Kaggle competition: Predict Future Sales
GENES = [col for col in train_features.columns if col.startswith('g-')]
CELLS = [col for col in train_features.columns if col.startswith('c-')]<feature_engineering>
items = pd.read_csv('.. /input/items.csv')
 shops = pd.read_csv('.. /input/shops.csv')
 cats = pd.read_csv('.. /input/item_categories.csv')
 train = pd.read_csv('.. /input/sales_train.csv')
 test = pd.read_csv('.. /input/test.csv' ).set_index('ID' )
<define_search_space>
train = train[train.item_price<100000]
train = train[train.item_cnt_day<1001]
def calc_QT_par_kurt(QT_n_quantile_min=10, QT_n_quantile_max=200):
a = np.array([[1.53655,1], [30.4929,1]])
 b = np.array([QT_n_quantile_min, QT_n_quantile_max])
 return np.linalg.solve(a, b )<compute_train_metric>
median = train[(train.shop_id==32)&(train.item_id==2973)&(train.date_block_num==4)&(train.item_price>0)].item_price.median()
train.loc[train.item_price<0, 'item_price'] = median
def n_quantile_for_kurt(kurt, calc_QT_par_kurt_transform):
return int(calc_QT_par_kurt_transform[0]*kurt + calc_QT_par_kurt_transform[1] )<feature_engineering>
train.loc[train.shop_id == 0, 'shop_id'] = 57
test.loc[test.shop_id == 0, 'shop_id'] = 57
train.loc[train.shop_id == 1, 'shop_id'] = 58
test.loc[test.shop_id == 1, 'shop_id'] = 58
train.loc[train.shop_id == 10, 'shop_id'] = 11
test.loc[test.shop_id == 10, 'shop_id'] = 11
for col in(GENES + CELLS):
transformer = QuantileTransformer(n_quantiles=100,random_state=0, output_distribution="normal")
 vec_len = len(train_features[col].values)
 vec_len_test = len(test_features[col].values)
 raw_vec = train_features[col].values.reshape(vec_len, 1)
 transformer.fit(raw_vec)
 train_features[col] = transformer.transform(raw_vec ).reshape(1, vec_len)[0]
test_features[col] = transformer.transform(test_features[col].values.reshape(vec_len_test, 1)).reshape(1, vec_len_test)[0]<set_options>
shops.loc[shops.shop_name == 'Сергиев Посад ТЦ "7Я"', 'shop_name'] = 'СергиевПосад ТЦ "7Я"'
shops['city'] = shops['shop_name'].str.split(' ' ).map(lambda x: x[0])
 shops.loc[shops.city == '!Якутск', 'city'] = 'Якутск'
shops['city_code'] = LabelEncoder().fit_transform(shops['city'])
 shops = shops[['shop_id','city_code']]
cats['split'] = cats['item_category_name'].str.split('-')
 cats['type'] = cats['split'].map(lambda x: x[0].strip())
 cats['type_code'] = LabelEncoder().fit_transform(cats['type'])
 cats['subtype'] = cats['split'].map(lambda x: x[1].strip() if len(x)> 1 else x[0].strip())
 cats['subtype_code'] = LabelEncoder().fit_transform(cats['subtype'])
 cats = cats[['item_category_id','type_code', 'subtype_code']]
items.drop(['item_name'], axis=1, inplace=True )
def seed_everything(seed=42):
random.seed(seed)
 os.environ['PYTHONHASHSEED'] = str(seed)
 np.random.seed(seed)
 torch.manual_seed(seed)
 torch.cuda.manual_seed(seed)
 torch.backends.cudnn.deterministic = True
seed_everything(seed=42 )<concatenate>
len(list(set(test.item_id)- set(test.item_id ).intersection(set(train.item_id)))) , len(list(set(test.item_id))), len(test )
data = pd.concat([pd.DataFrame(train_features[GENES]), pd.DataFrame(test_features[GENES])])
 data2 =(TruncatedSVD(n_components=n_comp_GENES, random_state=42 ).fit_transform(data[GENES]))
train2 = data2[:train_features.shape[0]]; test2 = data2[-test_features.shape[0]:]
train2 = pd.DataFrame(train2, columns=[f'pca_G-{i}' for i in range(n_comp_GENES)])
 test2 = pd.DataFrame(test2, columns=[f'pca_G-{i}' for i in range(n_comp_GENES)])
 train_features = pd.concat(( train_features, train2), axis=1)
 test_features = pd.concat(( test_features, test2), axis=1 )<create_dataframe>
ts = time.time()
matrix = []
cols = ['date_block_num','shop_id','item_id']
for i in range(34):
sales = train[train.date_block_num==i]
matrix.append(np.array(list(product([i], sales.shop_id.unique() , sales.item_id.unique())) , dtype='int16'))
matrix = pd.DataFrame(np.vstack(matrix), columns=cols)
 matrix['date_block_num'] = matrix['date_block_num'].astype(np.int8)
 matrix['shop_id'] = matrix['shop_id'].astype(np.int8)
 matrix['item_id'] = matrix['item_id'].astype(np.int16)
 matrix.sort_values(cols,inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
data = pd.concat([pd.DataFrame(train_features[CELLS]), pd.DataFrame(test_features[CELLS])])
 data2 =(TruncatedSVD(n_components=n_comp_CELLS, random_state=42 ).fit_transform(data[CELLS]))
train2 = data2[:train_features.shape[0]]; test2 = data2[-test_features.shape[0]:]
train2 = pd.DataFrame(train2, columns=[f'pca_C-{i}' for i in range(n_comp_CELLS)])
 test2 = pd.DataFrame(test2, columns=[f'pca_C-{i}' for i in range(n_comp_CELLS)])
 train_features = pd.concat(( train_features, train2), axis=1)
 test_features = pd.concat(( test_features, test2), axis=1 )<drop_column>
train['revenue'] = train['item_price'] * train['item_cnt_day']
train_features = train_features.drop(CELLS+GENES , axis=1 )<drop_column>
ts = time.time()
group = train.groupby(['date_block_num','shop_id','item_id'] ).agg({'item_cnt_day': ['sum']})
 group.columns = ['item_cnt_month']
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=cols, how='left')
 matrix['item_cnt_month'] =(matrix['item_cnt_month'] 
.fillna(0)
.clip(0,20)
.astype(np.float16))
time.time() - ts
test_features = test_features.drop(CELLS+GENES , axis=1 )<concatenate>
test['date_block_num'] = 34
test['date_block_num'] = test['date_block_num'].astype(np.int8)
 test['shop_id'] = test['shop_id'].astype(np.int8)
 test['item_id'] = test['item_id'].astype(np.int16 )
data = train_features.append(test_features)
 data<create_dataframe>
ts = time.time()
matrix = pd.concat([matrix, test], ignore_index=True, sort=False, keys=cols)
 matrix.fillna(0, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
var_thresh = VarianceThreshold(VarianceThreshold_for_FS)
 data = train_features.append(test_features)
 data_transformed = var_thresh.fit_transform(data.iloc[:, 4:])
 train_features_transformed = data_transformed[ : train_features.shape[0]]
test_features_transformed = data_transformed[-test_features.shape[0] : ]
train_features = pd.DataFrame(train_features[['sig_id','cp_type','cp_time','cp_dose']].values.reshape(-1, 4),\
columns=['sig_id','cp_type','cp_time','cp_dose'])
 train_features = pd.concat([train_features, pd.DataFrame(train_features_transformed)], axis=1)
 test_features = pd.DataFrame(test_features[['sig_id','cp_type','cp_time','cp_dose']].values.reshape(-1, 4),\
columns=['sig_id','cp_type','cp_time','cp_dose'])
 test_features = pd.concat([test_features, pd.DataFrame(test_features_transformed)], axis=1)
 train_features.shape<merge>
ts = time.time()
matrix = pd.merge(matrix, shops, on=['shop_id'], how='left')
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, items, on=['item_id'], how='left')
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, cats, on=['item_category_id'], how='left')
 matrix['city_code'] = matrix['city_code'].astype(np.int8)
 matrix['item_category_id'] = matrix['item_category_id'].astype(np.int8)
 matrix['type_code'] = matrix['type_code'].astype(np.int8)
 matrix['subtype_code'] = matrix['subtype_code'].astype(np.int8)
 time.time() - ts
train = train_features.merge(train_targets_scored, on='sig_id')
 train = train[train['cp_type']!='ctl_vehicle'].reset_index(drop=True)
 test = test_features[test_features['cp_type']!='ctl_vehicle'].reset_index(drop=True)
 target = train[train_targets_scored.columns]<drop_column>
def lag_feature(df, lags, col):
tmp = df[['date_block_num','shop_id','item_id',col]]
for i in lags:
shifted = tmp.copy()
shifted.columns = ['date_block_num','shop_id','item_id', col+'_lag_'+str(i)]
shifted['date_block_num'] += i
df = pd.merge(df, shifted, on=['date_block_num','shop_id','item_id'], how='left')
 return df
train = train.drop('cp_type', axis=1)
 test = test.drop('cp_type', axis=1 )<drop_column>
ts = time.time()
group = matrix.groupby(['date_block_num'] ).agg({'item_cnt_month': ['mean']})
 group.columns = [ 'date_avg_item_cnt' ]
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num'], how='left')
 matrix['date_avg_item_cnt'] = matrix['date_avg_item_cnt'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix = lag_feature(matrix, [1], 'date_avg_item_cnt')
 matrix.drop(['date_avg_item_cnt'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
target_cols = target.drop('sig_id', axis=1 ).columns.values.tolist()<drop_column>
ts = time.time()
group = matrix.groupby(['date_block_num', 'item_id'] ).agg({'item_cnt_month': ['mean']})
 group.columns = [ 'date_item_avg_item_cnt' ]
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num','item_id'], how='left')
 matrix['date_item_avg_item_cnt'] = matrix['date_item_avg_item_cnt'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix = lag_feature(matrix, [1,2,3,6,12], 'date_item_avg_item_cnt')
 matrix.drop(['date_item_avg_item_cnt'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
target_non_scored_cols = train_targets_nonscored.drop('sig_id', axis=1 ).columns.values.tolist()<drop_column>
ts = time.time()
group = matrix.groupby(['date_block_num', 'shop_id'] ).agg({'item_cnt_month': ['mean']})
 group.columns = [ 'date_shop_avg_item_cnt' ]
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num','shop_id'], how='left')
 matrix['date_shop_avg_item_cnt'] = matrix['date_shop_avg_item_cnt'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix = lag_feature(matrix, [1,2,3,6,12], 'date_shop_avg_item_cnt')
 matrix.drop(['date_shop_avg_item_cnt'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
train_non_scored = train.drop(target_cols , axis = 1 ).copy()<merge>
ts = time.time()
group = matrix.groupby(['date_block_num', 'item_category_id'] ).agg({'item_cnt_month': ['mean']})
 group.columns = [ 'date_cat_avg_item_cnt' ]
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num','item_category_id'], how='left')
 matrix['date_cat_avg_item_cnt'] = matrix['date_cat_avg_item_cnt'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix = lag_feature(matrix, [1], 'date_cat_avg_item_cnt')
 matrix.drop(['date_cat_avg_item_cnt'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
train_non_scored = train_non_scored.merge(train_targets_nonscored , how = 'inner' )<drop_column>
ts = time.time()
group = matrix.groupby(['date_block_num', 'shop_id', 'item_category_id'] ).agg({'item_cnt_month': ['mean']})
 group.columns = ['date_shop_cat_avg_item_cnt']
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num', 'shop_id', 'item_category_id'], how='left')
 matrix['date_shop_cat_avg_item_cnt'] = matrix['date_shop_cat_avg_item_cnt'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix = lag_feature(matrix, [1], 'date_shop_cat_avg_item_cnt')
 matrix.drop(['date_shop_cat_avg_item_cnt'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
target_non_scored = train_non_scored[['sig_id']+target_non_scored_cols]<split>
ts = time.time()
group = matrix.groupby(['date_block_num', 'shop_id', 'type_code'] ).agg({'item_cnt_month': ['mean']})
 group.columns = ['date_shop_type_avg_item_cnt']
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num', 'shop_id', 'type_code'], how='left')
 matrix['date_shop_type_avg_item_cnt'] = matrix['date_shop_type_avg_item_cnt'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix = lag_feature(matrix, [1], 'date_shop_type_avg_item_cnt')
 matrix.drop(['date_shop_type_avg_item_cnt'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
folds_non_scored = train_non_scored.copy()
mskf = MultilabelStratifiedKFold(n_splits=7)
 for f,(t_idx, v_idx)in enumerate(mskf.split(X=train, y=target)) :
folds_non_scored.loc[v_idx, 'kfold'] = int(f)
 folds_non_scored['kfold'] = folds_non_scored['kfold'].astype(int)
 folds_non_scored<split>
ts = time.time()
group = matrix.groupby(['date_block_num', 'shop_id', 'subtype_code'] ).agg({'item_cnt_month': ['mean']})
 group.columns = ['date_shop_subtype_avg_item_cnt']
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num', 'shop_id', 'subtype_code'], how='left')
 matrix['date_shop_subtype_avg_item_cnt'] = matrix['date_shop_subtype_avg_item_cnt'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix = lag_feature(matrix, [1], 'date_shop_subtype_avg_item_cnt')
 matrix.drop(['date_shop_subtype_avg_item_cnt'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
folds = train.copy()
mskf = MultilabelStratifiedKFold(n_splits=7)
 for f,(t_idx, v_idx)in enumerate(mskf.split(X=train, y=target)) :
folds.loc[v_idx, 'kfold'] = int(f)
 folds['kfold'] = folds['kfold'].astype(int)
 folds<prepare_x_and_y>
ts = time.time()
group = matrix.groupby(['date_block_num', 'city_code'] ).agg({'item_cnt_month': ['mean']})
 group.columns = [ 'date_city_avg_item_cnt' ]
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num', 'city_code'], how='left')
 matrix['date_city_avg_item_cnt'] = matrix['date_city_avg_item_cnt'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix = lag_feature(matrix, [1], 'date_city_avg_item_cnt')
 matrix.drop(['date_city_avg_item_cnt'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
<import_modules>
ts = time.time()
group = matrix.groupby(['date_block_num', 'item_id', 'city_code'] ).agg({'item_cnt_month': ['mean']})
 group.columns = [ 'date_item_city_avg_item_cnt' ]
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num', 'item_id', 'city_code'], how='left')
 matrix['date_item_city_avg_item_cnt'] = matrix['date_item_city_avg_item_cnt'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix = lag_feature(matrix, [1], 'date_item_city_avg_item_cnt')
 matrix.drop(['date_item_city_avg_item_cnt'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
<train_model>
ts = time.time()
group = matrix.groupby(['date_block_num', 'type_code'] ).agg({'item_cnt_month': ['mean']})
 group.columns = [ 'date_type_avg_item_cnt' ]
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num', 'type_code'], how='left')
 matrix['date_type_avg_item_cnt'] = matrix['date_type_avg_item_cnt'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix = lag_feature(matrix, [1], 'date_type_avg_item_cnt')
 matrix.drop(['date_type_avg_item_cnt'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
<prepare_x_and_y>
ts = time.time()
group = matrix.groupby(['date_block_num', 'subtype_code'] ).agg({'item_cnt_month': ['mean']})
 group.columns = [ 'date_subtype_avg_item_cnt' ]
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num', 'subtype_code'], how='left')
 matrix['date_subtype_avg_item_cnt'] = matrix['date_subtype_avg_item_cnt'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix = lag_feature(matrix, [1], 'date_subtype_avg_item_cnt')
 matrix.drop(['date_subtype_avg_item_cnt'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
<categorify>
ts = time.time()
group = train.groupby(['item_id'] ).agg({'item_price': ['mean']})
 group.columns = ['item_avg_item_price']
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['item_id'], how='left')
 matrix['item_avg_item_price'] = matrix['item_avg_item_price'].astype(np.float16)
 group = train.groupby(['date_block_num','item_id'] ).agg({'item_price': ['mean']})
 group.columns = ['date_item_avg_item_price']
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num','item_id'], how='left')
 matrix['date_item_avg_item_price'] = matrix['date_item_avg_item_price'].astype(np.float16)
 lags = [1,2,3,4,5,6]
matrix = lag_feature(matrix, lags, 'date_item_avg_item_price')
 for i in lags:
matrix['delta_price_lag_'+str(i)] = \ 
(matrix['date_item_avg_item_price_lag_'+str(i)] - matrix['item_avg_item_price'])/ matrix['item_avg_item_price']
def select_trend(row):
for i in lags:
if row['delta_price_lag_'+str(i)]:
return row['delta_price_lag_'+str(i)]
return 0
matrix['delta_price_lag'] = matrix.apply(select_trend, axis=1)
 matrix['delta_price_lag'] = matrix['delta_price_lag'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix['delta_price_lag'].fillna(0, inplace=True)
 fetures_to_drop = ['item_avg_item_price', 'date_item_avg_item_price']
for i in lags:
fetures_to_drop += ['date_item_avg_item_price_lag_'+str(i)]
fetures_to_drop += ['delta_price_lag_'+str(i)]
matrix.drop(fetures_to_drop, axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
class MoADataset:
def __init__(self, features, targets):
self.features = features
self.targets = targets
def __len__(self):
return(self.features.shape[0])
 def __getitem__(self, idx):
dct = {
'x' : torch.tensor(self.features[idx, :], dtype=torch.float),
'y' : torch.tensor(self.targets[idx, :], dtype=torch.float)
 }
return dct
class TestDataset:
def __init__(self, features):
self.features = features
def __len__(self):
return(self.features.shape[0])
 def __getitem__(self, idx):
dct = {
'x' : torch.tensor(self.features[idx, :], dtype=torch.float)
 }
return dct<train_model>
ts = time.time()
group = train.groupby(['date_block_num','shop_id'] ).agg({'revenue': ['sum']})
 group.columns = ['date_shop_revenue']
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['date_block_num','shop_id'], how='left')
 matrix['date_shop_revenue'] = matrix['date_shop_revenue'].astype(np.float32)
 group = group.groupby(['shop_id'] ).agg({'date_shop_revenue': ['mean']})
 group.columns = ['shop_avg_revenue']
group.reset_index(inplace=True)
 matrix = pd.merge(matrix, group, on=['shop_id'], how='left')
 matrix['shop_avg_revenue'] = matrix['shop_avg_revenue'].astype(np.float32)
 matrix['delta_revenue'] =(matrix['date_shop_revenue'] - matrix['shop_avg_revenue'])/ matrix['shop_avg_revenue']
matrix['delta_revenue'] = matrix['delta_revenue'].astype(np.float16)
 matrix = lag_feature(matrix, [1], 'delta_revenue')
 matrix.drop(['date_shop_revenue','shop_avg_revenue','delta_revenue'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 time.time() - ts
def train_fn(model, optimizer, scheduler, loss_fn, dataloader, device):
model.train()
final_loss = 0
for data in dataloader:
optimizer.zero_grad()
inputs, targets = data['x'].to(device), data['y'].to(device)
 outputs = model(inputs)
 loss = loss_fn(outputs, targets)
 loss.backward()
optimizer.step()
scheduler.step()
final_loss += loss.item()
final_loss /= len(dataloader)
 return final_loss
def valid_fn(model, loss_fn, dataloader, device):
model.eval()
final_loss = 0
valid_preds = []
for data in dataloader:
inputs, targets = data['x'].to(device), data['y'].to(device)
 outputs = model(inputs)
 loss = loss_fn(outputs, targets)
 final_loss += loss.item()
valid_preds.append(outputs.sigmoid().detach().cpu().numpy())
 final_loss /= len(dataloader)
 valid_preds = np.concatenate(valid_preds)
 return final_loss, valid_preds
def inference_fn(model, dataloader, device):
model.eval()
preds = []
for data in dataloader:
inputs = data['x'].to(device)
 with torch.no_grad() :
outputs = model(inputs)
 preds.append(outputs.sigmoid().detach().cpu().numpy())
 preds = np.concatenate(preds)
 return preds<normalization>
matrix['month'] = matrix['date_block_num'] % 12
class SmoothBCEwLogits(_WeightedLoss):
def __init__(self, weight=None, reduction='mean', smoothing=0.0):
super().__init__(weight=weight, reduction=reduction)
 self.smoothing = smoothing
self.weight = weight
self.reduction = reduction
@staticmethod
def _smooth(targets:torch.Tensor, n_labels:int, smoothing=0.0):
assert 0 <= smoothing < 1
with torch.no_grad() :
targets = targets *(1.0 - smoothing)+ 0.5 * smoothing
return targets
def forward(self, inputs, targets):
targets = SmoothBCEwLogits._smooth(targets, inputs.size(-1),
self.smoothing)
 loss = F.binary_cross_entropy_with_logits(inputs, targets,self.weight)
 if self.reduction == 'sum':
loss = loss.sum()
elif self.reduction == 'mean':
loss = loss.mean()
return loss<categorify>
days = pd.Series([31,28,31,30,31,30,31,31,30,31,30,31])
 matrix['days'] = matrix['month'].map(days ).astype(np.int8 )
def process_data(data):
data = pd.get_dummies(data, columns=['cp_time','cp_dose'])
 return data<define_variables>
ts = time.time()
cache = {}
matrix['item_shop_last_sale'] = -1
matrix['item_shop_last_sale'] = matrix['item_shop_last_sale'].astype(np.int8)
 for idx, row in matrix.iterrows() :
key = str(row.item_id)+' '+str(row.shop_id)
 if key not in cache:
if row.item_cnt_month!=0:
cache[key] = row.date_block_num
else:
last_date_block_num = cache[key]
matrix.at[idx, 'item_shop_last_sale'] = row.date_block_num - last_date_block_num
cache[key] = row.date_block_num
time.time() - ts
feature_cols = [c for c in process_data(folds ).columns if c not in target_cols]
feature_cols = [c for c in feature_cols if c not in ['kfold','sig_id']]
len(feature_cols )<define_variables>
ts = time.time()
cache = {}
matrix['item_last_sale'] = -1
matrix['item_last_sale'] = matrix['item_last_sale'].astype(np.int8)
 for idx, row in matrix.iterrows() :
key = row.item_id
if key not in cache:
if row.item_cnt_month!=0:
cache[key] = row.date_block_num
else:
last_date_block_num = cache[key]
if row.date_block_num>last_date_block_num:
matrix.at[idx, 'item_last_sale'] = row.date_block_num - last_date_block_num
cache[key] = row.date_block_num
time.time() - ts
DEVICE =('cuda' if torch.cuda.is_available() else 'cpu')
 EPOCHS = 25
BATCH_SIZE = 128
LEARNING_RATE = 1e-3
WEIGHT_DECAY = 1e-5
NFOLDS = 7
EARLY_STOPPING_STEPS = 10
EARLY_STOP = False
num_features=len(feature_cols)
 num_targets=len(target_cols)
 num_non_scored_targets=len(target_non_scored_cols)
 hidden_size=1500 
<normalization>
ts = time.time()
matrix['item_shop_first_sale'] = matrix['date_block_num'] - matrix.groupby(['item_id','shop_id'])['date_block_num'].transform('min')
 matrix['item_first_sale'] = matrix['date_block_num'] - matrix.groupby('item_id')['date_block_num'].transform('min')
 time.time() - ts
class Model(nn.Module):
def __init__(self, num_features, num_targets, hidden_size):
super(Model, self ).__init__()
self.batch_norm1 = nn.BatchNorm1d(num_features)
 self.dense1 = nn.utils.weight_norm(nn.Linear(num_features, hidden_size))
self.batch_norm2 = nn.BatchNorm1d(hidden_size)
 self.dropout2 = nn.Dropout(Dropout_Model)
 self.dense2 = nn.utils.weight_norm(nn.Linear(hidden_size, hidden_size))
self.batch_norm3 = nn.BatchNorm1d(hidden_size)
 self.dropout3 = nn.Dropout(Dropout_Model)
 self.dense3 = nn.utils.weight_norm(nn.Linear(hidden_size, num_targets))
def forward(self, x):
x = self.batch_norm1(x)
 x = F.leaky_relu(self.dense1(x))
x = self.batch_norm2(x)
 x = self.dropout2(x)
 x = F.leaky_relu(self.dense2(x))
x = self.batch_norm3(x)
 x = self.dropout3(x)
 x = self.dense3(x)
 return x
class LabelSmoothingLoss(nn.Module):
def __init__(self, classes, smoothing=0.0, dim=-1):
super(LabelSmoothingLoss, self ).__init__()
self.confidence = 1.0 - smoothing
self.smoothing = smoothing
self.cls = classes
self.dim = dim
def forward(self, pred, target):
pred = pred.log_softmax(dim=self.dim)
 with torch.no_grad() :
true_dist = torch.zeros_like(pred)
 true_dist.fill_(self.smoothing /(self.cls - 1))
true_dist.scatter_(1, target.data.unsqueeze(1), self.confidence)
 return torch.mean(torch.sum(-true_dist * pred, dim=self.dim))<prepare_x_and_y>
ts = time.time()
matrix = matrix[matrix.date_block_num > 11]
time.time() - ts
def run_training(fold, seed , pretrain):
seed_everything(seed)
 train = process_data(folds)
 test_ = process_data(test)
 trn_idx = train[train['kfold'] != fold].index
val_idx = train[train['kfold'] == fold].index
train_df = train[train['kfold'] != fold].reset_index(drop=True)
 valid_df = train[train['kfold'] == fold].reset_index(drop=True)
 x_train, y_train = train_df[feature_cols].values, train_df[target_cols].values
x_valid, y_valid = valid_df[feature_cols].values, valid_df[target_cols].values
train_dataset = MoADataset(x_train, y_train)
 valid_dataset = MoADataset(x_valid, y_valid)
 trainloader = torch.utils.data.DataLoader(train_dataset, batch_size=BATCH_SIZE, shuffle=True)
 validloader = torch.utils.data.DataLoader(valid_dataset, batch_size=BATCH_SIZE, shuffle=False)
 if pretrain:
model = Model(
 num_features=num_features,
num_targets=num_non_scored_targets,
hidden_size=hidden_size, 
)
 model.load_state_dict(torch.load(f"FOLD{fold}_non_scored.pth"))
model.batch_norm3 = nn.BatchNorm1d(hidden_size)
 model.dropout3 = nn.Dropout(0.5)
 model.dense3 = nn.utils.weight_norm(nn.Linear(hidden_size, num_targets))
else:
model = Model(
 num_features=num_features,
num_targets=num_targets,
hidden_size=hidden_size, 
)
 model.to(DEVICE)
 optimizer = torch.optim.Adam(model.parameters() , lr=LEARNING_RATE, weight_decay=WEIGHT_DECAY)
 if pretrain:
scheduler = optim.lr_scheduler.OneCycleLR(optimizer=optimizer, pct_start=0.1, div_factor=1e3,
max_lr=1e-3, epochs=EPOCHS, steps_per_epoch=len(trainloader))
epochs = 25
else:
scheduler = optim.lr_scheduler.OneCycleLR(optimizer=optimizer, pct_start=0.1, div_factor=1e3,
max_lr=1e-2, epochs=EPOCHS, steps_per_epoch=len(trainloader))
epochs = copy.copy(EPOCHS)
 loss_fn = nn.BCEWithLogitsLoss()
loss_tr = SmoothBCEwLogits(smoothing =0.001)
 early_stopping_steps = EARLY_STOPPING_STEPS
early_step = 0
oof = np.zeros(( len(train), target.iloc[:, 1:].shape[1]))
best_loss = np.inf
for epoch in range(EPOCHS):
train_loss = train_fn(model, optimizer,scheduler, loss_tr, trainloader, DEVICE)
 print(f"FOLD: {fold}, EPOCH: {epoch}, train_loss: {train_loss}")
 valid_loss, valid_preds = valid_fn(model, loss_fn, validloader, DEVICE)
 print(f"FOLD: {fold}, EPOCH: {epoch}, valid_loss: {valid_loss}")
 if valid_loss < best_loss:
best_loss = valid_loss
oof[val_idx] = valid_preds
torch.save(model.state_dict() , f"FOLD{fold}_.pth")
 elif(EARLY_STOP == True):
early_step += 1
if(early_step >= early_stopping_steps):
break
x_test = test_[feature_cols].values
testdataset = TestDataset(x_test)
 testloader = torch.utils.data.DataLoader(testdataset, batch_size=BATCH_SIZE, shuffle=False)
 model = Model(
 num_features=num_features,
num_targets=num_targets,
hidden_size=hidden_size, 
)
 model.load_state_dict(torch.load(f"FOLD{fold}_.pth"))
model.to(DEVICE)
 predictions = np.zeros(( len(test_), target.iloc[:, 1:].shape[1]))
predictions = inference_fn(model, testloader, DEVICE)
 return oof, predictions<prepare_x_and_y>
ts = time.time()
def fill_na(df):
for col in df.columns:
if('_lag_' in col)&(df[col].isnull().any()):
if('item_cnt' in col):
df[col].fillna(0, inplace=True)
 return df
matrix = fill_na(matrix)
 time.time() - ts
train_x = process_data(folds_non_scored )<filter>
matrix.to_pickle('data.pkl')
 del matrix
del cache
del group
del items
del shops
del cats
del train
gc.collect() ;
val_idx = train_x[train_x['kfold'] == 0].index<prepare_x_and_y>
data = pd.read_pickle('data.pkl' )
def run_training_non_scored(fold, seed):
seed_everything(seed)
 train = process_data(folds_non_scored)
 test_ = process_data(test)
 trn_idx = train[train['kfold'] != fold].index
val_idx = train[train['kfold'] == fold].index
train_df = train[train['kfold'] != fold].reset_index(drop=True)
 valid_df = train[train['kfold'] == fold].reset_index(drop=True)
 x_train, y_train = train_df[feature_cols].values, train_df[target_non_scored_cols].values
x_valid, y_valid = valid_df[feature_cols].values, valid_df[target_non_scored_cols].values
train_dataset = MoADataset(x_train, y_train)
 valid_dataset = MoADataset(x_valid, y_valid)
 trainloader = torch.utils.data.DataLoader(train_dataset, batch_size=BATCH_SIZE, shuffle=True)
 validloader = torch.utils.data.DataLoader(valid_dataset, batch_size=BATCH_SIZE, shuffle=False)
 model = Model(
 num_features=num_features,
num_targets=num_non_scored_targets,
hidden_size=hidden_size, 
)
 model.to(DEVICE)
 optimizer = torch.optim.Adam(model.parameters() , lr=LEARNING_RATE, weight_decay=WEIGHT_DECAY)
 scheduler = optim.lr_scheduler.OneCycleLR(optimizer=optimizer, pct_start=0.1, div_factor=1e3,
max_lr=1e-4, epochs=EPOCHS, steps_per_epoch=len(trainloader))
loss_fn = nn.BCEWithLogitsLoss()
early_stopping_steps = EARLY_STOPPING_STEPS
early_step = 0
oof = np.zeros(( len(train), target_non_scored.iloc[:, 1:].shape[1]))
best_loss = np.inf
for epoch in range(10):
train_loss = train_fn(model, optimizer,scheduler, loss_fn, trainloader, DEVICE)
 print(f"FOLD: {fold}, EPOCH: {epoch}, train_loss: {train_loss}")
 valid_loss, valid_preds = valid_fn(model, loss_fn, validloader, DEVICE)
 print(f"FOLD: {fold}, EPOCH: {epoch}, valid_loss: {valid_loss}")
 if valid_loss < best_loss:
best_loss = valid_loss
oof[val_idx] = valid_preds
torch.save(model.state_dict() , f"FOLD{fold}_non_scored.pth")
 elif(EARLY_STOP == True):
early_step += 1
if(early_step >= early_stopping_steps):
break
x_test = test_[feature_cols].values
testdataset = TestDataset(x_test)
 testloader = torch.utils.data.DataLoader(testdataset, batch_size=BATCH_SIZE, shuffle=False)
 model = Model(
 num_features=num_features,
num_targets=num_non_scored_targets,
hidden_size=hidden_size, 
)
 model.load_state_dict(torch.load(f"FOLD{fold}_non_scored.pth"))
model.to(DEVICE)
 predictions = np.zeros(( len(test_), target_non_scored.iloc[:, 1:].shape[1]))
predictions = inference_fn(model, testloader, DEVICE)
 return oof, predictions<define_variables>
data = data[[
'date_block_num',
'shop_id',
'item_id',
'item_cnt_month',
'city_code',
'item_category_id',
'type_code',
'subtype_code',
'item_cnt_month_lag_1',
'item_cnt_month_lag_2',
'item_cnt_month_lag_3',
'item_cnt_month_lag_6',
'item_cnt_month_lag_12',
'date_avg_item_cnt_lag_1',
'date_item_avg_item_cnt_lag_1',
'date_item_avg_item_cnt_lag_2',
'date_item_avg_item_cnt_lag_3',
'date_item_avg_item_cnt_lag_6',
'date_item_avg_item_cnt_lag_12',
'date_shop_avg_item_cnt_lag_1',
'date_shop_avg_item_cnt_lag_2',
'date_shop_avg_item_cnt_lag_3',
'date_shop_avg_item_cnt_lag_6',
'date_shop_avg_item_cnt_lag_12',
'date_cat_avg_item_cnt_lag_1',
'date_shop_cat_avg_item_cnt_lag_1',
'date_city_avg_item_cnt_lag_1',
'date_item_city_avg_item_cnt_lag_1',
'delta_price_lag',
'month',
'days',
'item_shop_last_sale',
'item_last_sale',
'item_shop_first_sale',
'item_first_sale',
]]
def run_k_fold_none_scored(NFOLDS, seed):
oof = np.zeros(( len(train_non_scored), len(target_non_scored_cols)))
 predictions = np.zeros(( len(test), len(target_non_scored_cols)))
 for fold in range(NFOLDS):
oof_, pred_ = run_training_non_scored(fold, seed)
 print(oof_.shape)
 print(oof.shape)
 predictions += pred_ / NFOLDS
oof += oof_
return oof, predictions<categorify>
X_train = data[data.date_block_num < 33].drop(['item_cnt_month'], axis=1)
 Y_train = data[data.date_block_num < 33]['item_cnt_month']
X_valid = data[data.date_block_num == 33].drop(['item_cnt_month'], axis=1)
 Y_valid = data[data.date_block_num == 33]['item_cnt_month']
X_test = data[data.date_block_num == 34].drop(['item_cnt_month'], axis=1 )
def run_k_fold(NFOLDS, seed , pretrain=False):
oof = np.zeros(( len(train), len(target_cols)))
 predictions = np.zeros(( len(test), len(target_cols)))
 for fold in range(NFOLDS):
oof_, pred_ = run_training(fold, seed, pretrain)
 predictions += pred_ / NFOLDS
oof += oof_
return oof, predictions<feature_engineering>
del data
gc.collect() ;
for seed in SEED:
oof_, predictions_ = run_k_fold(NFOLDS, seed, pretrain=True)
 oof += oof_ / len(SEED)
 predictions += predictions_ / len(SEED)
 train[target_cols] = oof
test[target_cols] = predictions<merge>
ts = time.time()
model = XGBRegressor(
 max_depth=8,
n_estimators=1000,
min_child_weight=300,
colsample_bytree=0.8,
subsample=0.8,
eta=0.3,
seed=42)
 model.fit(
 X_train,
Y_train,
eval_metric="rmse",
eval_set=[(X_train, Y_train),(X_valid, Y_valid)],
verbose=True,
early_stopping_rounds = 10)
 time.time() - ts
<save_to_csv><EOS> 
Y_pred = model.predict(X_valid ).clip(0, 20)
 Y_test = model.predict(X_test ).clip(0, 20)
 submission = pd.DataFrame({
"ID": test.index,
"item_cnt_month": Y_test
})
 submission.to_csv('xgb_submission.csv', index=False)
 pickle.dump(Y_pred, open('xgb_train.pickle', 'wb'))
pickle.dump(Y_test, open('xgb_test.pickle', 'wb'))