Kaggle competition: Jane Street Market Prediction
<SOS> metric: JaneStreetPnl Kaggle data source: jane-street-market-prediction<feature_engineering>
copyfile(src = ".. /input/mlp-model-130-features-200-epoch/Models.py", dst = ".. /working/Models.py")
 pd.set_option('display.max_columns', 100)
 pd.set_option('display.max_rows', 100)
 DATA_PATH = '.. /input/jane-street-market-prediction/'
Model_Root = '.. /input/mlp-model-130-features-200-epoch/'
NFOLDS = 5
TRAIN = False
CACHE_PATH = '.. /input/mlp012003weights'
def save_pickle(dic, save_path):
with open(save_path, 'wb')as f:
pickle.dump(dic, f)
 def load_pickle(load_path):
with open(load_path, 'rb')as f:
message_dict = pickle.load(f)
 return message_dict
feat_cols = [f'feature_{i}' for i in range(130)]
target_cols = ['action', 'action_1', 'action_2', 'action_3', 'action_4']
f_mean = np.load(f'{CACHE_PATH}/f_mean_online.npy')
 all_feat_cols = [col for col in feat_cols]
all_feat_cols.extend(['cross_41_42_43', 'cross_1_2'])
 class Model(nn.Module):
def __init__(self):
super(Model, self ).__init__()
self.batch_norm0 = nn.BatchNorm1d(len(all_feat_cols))
self.dropout0 = nn.Dropout(0.2)
 dropout_rate = 0.2
hidden_size = 256
self.dense1 = nn.Linear(len(all_feat_cols), hidden_size)
 self.batch_norm1 = nn.BatchNorm1d(hidden_size)
 self.dropout1 = nn.Dropout(dropout_rate)
 self.dense2 = nn.Linear(hidden_size+len(all_feat_cols), hidden_size)
 self.batch_norm2 = nn.BatchNorm1d(hidden_size)
 self.dropout2 = nn.Dropout(dropout_rate)
 self.dense3 = nn.Linear(hidden_size+hidden_size, hidden_size)
 self.batch_norm3 = nn.BatchNorm1d(hidden_size)
 self.dropout3 = nn.Dropout(dropout_rate)
 self.dense4 = nn.Linear(hidden_size+hidden_size, hidden_size)
 self.batch_norm4 = nn.BatchNorm1d(hidden_size)
 self.dropout4 = nn.Dropout(dropout_rate)
 self.dense5 = nn.Linear(hidden_size+hidden_size, len(target_cols))
self.Relu = nn.ReLU(inplace=True)
 self.PReLU = nn.PReLU()
self.LeakyReLU = nn.LeakyReLU(negative_slope=0.01, inplace=True)
 self.RReLU = nn.RReLU()
def forward(self, x):
x = self.batch_norm0(x)
 x = self.dropout0(x)
 x1 = self.dense1(x)
 x1 = self.batch_norm1(x1)
 x1 = self.LeakyReLU(x1)
 x1 = self.dropout1(x1)
 x = torch.cat([x, x1], 1)
 x2 = self.dense2(x)
 x2 = self.batch_norm2(x2)
 x2 = self.LeakyReLU(x2)
 x2 = self.dropout2(x2)
 x = torch.cat([x1, x2], 1)
 x3 = self.dense3(x)
 x3 = self.batch_norm3(x3)
 x3 = self.LeakyReLU(x3)
 x3 = self.dropout3(x3)
 x = torch.cat([x2, x3], 1)
 x4 = self.dense4(x)
 x4 = self.batch_norm4(x4)
 x4 = self.LeakyReLU(x4)
 x4 = self.dropout4(x4)
 x = torch.cat([x3, x4], 1)
 x = self.dense5(x)
 return x
if True:
device = torch.device("cuda:0")
 model_list = []
tmp = np.zeros(len(feat_cols))
for _fold in [1, 3, 4]:
torch.cuda.empty_cache()
model = Model()
model.to(device)
 model_weights = f"{CACHE_PATH}/online_model{_fold}.pth"
model.load_state_dict(torch.load(model_weights))
model.eval()
model_list.append(model)
 models_other = []
model = torch.load(Model_Root + 'FOLD_1_10.pth')
 models_other.append(model)
 model = torch.load('.. /input/kaggle-model-130-features-epoch-200/' + 'FOLD_1_10.pth')
 models_other.append(model )
train.loc[:, 'ConfirmedCases'] = train.loc[:, 'ConfirmedCases'] - train.groupby('geo')['ConfirmedCases'].shift(periods=1)
 train.loc[:, 'Fatalities'] = train.loc[:, 'Fatalities'] - train.groupby('geo')['Fatalities'].shift(periods=1)
 train = train.groupby('geo' ).tail(train.groupby('geo' ).size().values[0]-1)
 train.loc[train.loc[:, 'ConfirmedCases'] < 0, 'ConfirmedCases'] = 0.0
train.loc[train.loc[:, 'Fatalities'] < 0, 'Fatalities'] = 0.0
train<install_modules>
SEED = 1111
np.random.seed(SEED)
 def create_mlp(
 num_columns, num_labels, hidden_units, dropout_rates, label_smoothing, learning_rate 
):
inp = tf.keras.layers.Input(shape=(num_columns,))
x = tf.keras.layers.BatchNormalization()(inp)
 x = tf.keras.layers.Dropout(dropout_rates[0] )(x)
 for i in range(len(hidden_units)) :
x = tf.keras.layers.Dense(hidden_units[i] )(x)
 x = tf.keras.layers.BatchNormalization()(x)
 x = tf.keras.layers.Activation(tf.keras.activations.swish )(x)
 x = tf.keras.layers.Dropout(dropout_rates[i + 1] )(x)
 x = tf.keras.layers.Dense(num_labels )(x)
 out = tf.keras.layers.Activation("sigmoid" )(x)
 model = tf.keras.models.Model(inputs=inp, outputs=out)
 model.compile(
 optimizer=tfa.optimizers.RectifiedAdam(learning_rate=learning_rate),
loss=tf.keras.losses.BinaryCrossentropy(label_smoothing=label_smoothing),
metrics=tf.keras.metrics.AUC(name="AUC"), 
)
 return model
epochs = 200
batch_size = 4096
hidden_units = [160, 160, 160]
dropout_rates = [0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2]
label_smoothing = 1e-2
learning_rate = 1e-3
tf.keras.backend.clear_session()
tf.random.set_seed(SEED)
 clf = create_mlp(
 len(feat_cols), 5, hidden_units, dropout_rates, label_smoothing, learning_rate 
)
 clf.load_weights('.. /input/jane-street-with-keras-nn-overfit/model.h5')
 tf_models = [clf]
<import_modules><EOS> 
if True:
env = janestreet.make_env()
env_iter = env.iter_test()
for(test_df, pred_df)in tqdm(env_iter):
if test_df['weight'].item() > 0:
x_tt = test_df.loc[:, feat_cols].values
if np.isnan(x_tt.sum()):
x_tt = np.nan_to_num(x_tt)+ np.isnan(x_tt)* f_mean
cross_41_42_43 = x_tt[:, 41] + x_tt[:, 42] + x_tt[:, 43]
cross_1_2 = x_tt[:, 1] /(x_tt[:, 2] + 1e-5)
 feature_inp = np.concatenate((
x_tt,
np.array(cross_41_42_43 ).reshape(x_tt.shape[0], 1),
np.array(cross_1_2 ).reshape(x_tt.shape[0], 1), 
), axis=1)
 torch_pred = np.zeros(( 1, len(target_cols)))
 for model in model_list:
torch_pred += model(torch.tensor(feature_inp, dtype=torch.float ).to(device)).sigmoid().detach().cpu().numpy() / len(model_list)
 torch_pred = np.median(torch_pred)
 pred_other_torch = np.zeros(( 1, len(target_cols)))
 for model in models_other:
pred_other_torch += np.mean(model(torch.tensor(x_tt, dtype=torch.float ).to(device)).sigmoid().detach().cpu().numpy() , axis=1)/ len(models_other)
 tf_pred = np.median(np.mean([model(x_tt, training = False ).numpy() for model in tf_models],axis=0))
pred = torch_pred * 0.35 + np.median(pred_other_torch)* 0.25 + tf_pred * 0.40
pred_df.action = np.where(pred > 0.495, 1, 0 ).astype(int)
 else:
pred_df.action = 0
env.predict(pred_df )