Kaggle competition: New York City Taxi Trip Duration
<SOS> metric: RMSLE Kaggle data source: new-york-city-taxi-trip-duration<prepare_output>
%matplotlib inline
img_sub = sub[["Patient_Week","FVC","Confidence"]].copy()<load_from_csv>
df_train = pd.read_csv('.. /input/train.csv')
 df_test = pd.read_csv('.. /input/test.csv' )
ROOT = ".. /input/osic-pulmonary-fibrosis-progression"
BATCH_SIZE=128
tr = pd.read_csv(f"{ROOT}/train.csv")
 tr.drop_duplicates(keep=False, inplace=True, subset=['Patient','Weeks'])
 chunk = pd.read_csv(f"{ROOT}/test.csv")
 print("add infos")
 sub = pd.read_csv(f"{ROOT}/sample_submission.csv")
 sub['Patient'] = sub['Patient_Week'].apply(lambda x:x.split('_')[0])
 sub['Weeks'] = sub['Patient_Week'].apply(lambda x: int(x.split('_')[-1]))
sub = sub[['Patient','Weeks','Confidence','Patient_Week']]
sub = sub.merge(chunk.drop('Weeks', axis=1), on="Patient" )<concatenate>
df_train.isna().sum()
tr['WHERE'] = 'train'
chunk['WHERE'] = 'val'
sub['WHERE'] = 'test'
data = tr.append([chunk, sub] )<count_unique_values>
df_train.isnull().sum()
print(tr.shape, chunk.shape, sub.shape, data.shape)
 print(tr.Patient.nunique() , chunk.Patient.nunique() , sub.Patient.nunique() ,
data.Patient.nunique())
<feature_engineering>
df_train.duplicated().sum()
data['min_week'] = data['Weeks']
data.loc[data.WHERE=='test','min_week'] = np.nan
data['min_week'] = data.groupby('Patient')['min_week'].transform('min' )<categorify>
df_train = df_train[(df_train['trip_duration'] > 60)&(df_train['trip_duration'] < 4600)]
df_train['trip_duration'] = np.log(df_train['trip_duration'].values)
base = data.loc[data.Weeks == data.min_week]
base = base[['Patient','FVC']].copy()
base.columns = ['Patient','min_FVC']
base['nb'] = 1
base['nb'] = base.groupby('Patient')['nb'].transform('cumsum')
 base = base[base.nb==1]
base.drop('nb', axis=1, inplace=True )<merge>
data = data.merge(base, on='Patient', how='left')
 data['base_week'] = data['Weeks'] - data['min_week']
del base<data_type_conversions>
COLS = ['Sex','SmokingStatus']
FE = []
for col in COLS:
for mod in data[col].unique() :
FE.append(mod)
 data[mod] =(data[col] == mod ).astype(int )<feature_engineering>
df_train['pickup_datetime'] = pd.to_datetime(df_train['pickup_datetime'])
 df_train['dropoff_datetime'] = pd.to_datetime(df_train['dropoff_datetime'])
 df_test['pickup_datetime'] = pd.to_datetime(df_test['pickup_datetime'] )
data['age'] =(data['Age'] - data['Age'].min())/(data['Age'].max() - data['Age'].min())
 data['BASE'] =(data['min_FVC'] - data['min_FVC'].min())/(data['min_FVC'].max() - data['min_FVC'].min())
 data['week'] =(data['base_week'] - data['base_week'].min())/(data['base_week'].max() - data['base_week'].min())
 data['percent'] =(data['Percent'] - data['Percent'].min())/(data['Percent'].max() - data['Percent'].min())
 FE += ['age','percent','week','BASE']<filter>
tr = data.loc[data.WHERE=='train']
chunk = data.loc[data.WHERE=='val']
sub = data.loc[data.WHERE=='test']
del data<compute_test_metric>
df_train['month'] = df_train.pickup_datetime.dt.month
df_train['day'] = df_train.pickup_datetime.dt.dayofweek
df_train['hour'] = df_train.pickup_datetime.dt.hour
df_train['minute'] = df_train.pickup_datetime.dt.minute
df_test['month'] = df_test.pickup_datetime.dt.month
df_test['day'] = df_test.pickup_datetime.dt.dayofweek
df_test['hour'] = df_test.pickup_datetime.dt.hour
df_test['minute'] = df_test.pickup_datetime.dt.minute
C1, C2 = tf.constant(70, dtype='float32'), tf.constant(1000, dtype="float32")
 def score(y_true, y_pred):
tf.dtypes.cast(y_true, tf.float32)
 tf.dtypes.cast(y_pred, tf.float32)
 sigma = y_pred[:, 2] - y_pred[:, 0]
fvc_pred = y_pred[:, 1]
sigma_clip = tf.maximum(sigma, C1)
 delta = tf.abs(y_true[:, 0] - fvc_pred)
 delta = tf.minimum(delta, C2)
 sq2 = tf.sqrt(tf.dtypes.cast(2, dtype=tf.float32))
metric =(delta / sigma_clip)*sq2 + tf.math.log(sigma_clip* sq2)
 return K.mean(metric)
 def qloss(y_true, y_pred):
qs = [0.2, 0.50, 0.8]
q = tf.constant(np.array([qs]), dtype=tf.float32)
 e = y_true - y_pred
v = tf.maximum(q*e,(q-1)*e)
 return K.mean(v)
 def mloss(_lambda):
def loss(y_true, y_pred):
return _lambda * qloss(y_true, y_pred)+(1 - _lambda)*score(y_true, y_pred)
 return loss
def make_model(nh):
z = L.Input(( nh,), name="Patient")
 x = L.Dense(100, activation="relu", name="d1" )(z)
 x = L.Dense(100, activation="relu", name="d2" )(x)
 p1 = L.Dense(3, activation="linear", name="p1" )(x)
 p2 = L.Dense(3, activation="relu", name="p2" )(x)
 preds = L.Lambda(lambda x: x[0] + tf.cumsum(x[1], axis=1),
name="preds" )([p1, p2])
 model = M.Model(z, preds, name="CNN")
 model.compile(loss=mloss(0.8), optimizer=tf.keras.optimizers.Adam(lr=0.1, beta_1=0.9, beta_2=0.999, epsilon=None, decay=0.01, amsgrad=False), metrics=[score])
 return model<prepare_x_and_y>
df_train['d_latitude'] = df_train['pickup_latitude'] - df_train['dropoff_latitude']
df_train['d_longitude'] = df_train['pickup_longitude'] - df_train['dropoff_longitude']
df_test['d_latitude'] = df_test['pickup_latitude'] - df_test['dropoff_latitude']
df_test['d_longitude'] = df_test['pickup_longitude'] - df_test['dropoff_longitude']
y = tr['FVC'].values
z = tr[FE].values
ze = sub[FE].values
nh = z.shape[1]
pe = np.zeros(( ze.shape[0], 3))
pred = np.zeros(( z.shape[0], 3))<choose_model_class>
df_train['distance'] = np.sqrt(np.square(df_train['d_longitude'])+ np.square(df_train['d_latitude']))
df_test['distance'] = np.sqrt(np.square(df_test['d_longitude'])+ np.square(df_test['d_latitude']))
NFOLD = 5
kf = KFold(n_splits=NFOLD )<predict_on_test>
%%time
cnt = 0
EPOCHS = 800
for tr_idx, val_idx in kf.split(z):
cnt += 1
print(f"FOLD {cnt}")
 net = make_model(nh)
 net.fit(z[tr_idx], y[tr_idx], batch_size=BATCH_SIZE, epochs=EPOCHS,
validation_data=(z[val_idx], y[val_idx]), verbose=0)
 print("train", net.evaluate(z[tr_idx], y[tr_idx], verbose=0, batch_size=BATCH_SIZE))
print("val", net.evaluate(z[val_idx], y[val_idx], verbose=0, batch_size=BATCH_SIZE))
print("predict val...")
 pred[val_idx] = net.predict(z[val_idx], batch_size=BATCH_SIZE, verbose=0)
 print("predict test...")
 pe += net.predict(ze, batch_size=BATCH_SIZE, verbose=0)/ NFOLD<compute_test_metric>
Features = ["vendor_id","passenger_count","pickup_longitude", "pickup_latitude", "dropoff_longitude","dropoff_latitude","distance","month","hour","day"]
Target = "trip_duration"
X_train = df_train[Features]
y_train = df_train[Target]
lgb_train = lgb.Dataset(X_train,y_train)
 lgb_params = {'learning_rate': 0.1,
'max_depth': 25,
'num_leaves': 1000,
'objective': 'regression',
'feature_fraction': 0.9,
'bagging_fraction': 0.5,
'max_bin': 1000
}
sigma_opt = mean_absolute_error(y, pred[:, 1])
 unc = pred[:,2] - pred[:, 0]
sigma_mean = np.mean(unc)
 print(sigma_opt, sigma_mean )<prepare_output>
model_lgb = lgb.train(lgb_params,lgb_train,num_boost_round=500 )
sub['FVC1'] = 1.*pe[:, 1]
sub['Confidence1'] = pe[:, 2] - pe[:, 0]
subm = sub[['Patient_Week','FVC','Confidence','FVC1','Confidence1']].copy()
subm.loc[~subm.FVC1.isnull() ].head(10 )<feature_engineering>
subm.loc[~subm.FVC1.isnull() ,'FVC'] = subm.loc[~subm.FVC1.isnull() ,'FVC1']
if sigma_mean<70:
subm['Confidence'] = sigma_opt
else:
subm.loc[~subm.FVC1.isnull() ,'Confidence'] = subm.loc[~subm.FVC1.isnull() ,'Confidence1']<load_from_csv>
X_prediction = df_test[Features]
prediction = np.exp(model_lgb.predict(X_prediction))
print(prediction )
otest = pd.read_csv('.. /input/osic-pulmonary-fibrosis-progression/test.csv')
 for i in range(len(otest)) :
subm.loc[subm['Patient_Week']==otest.Patient[i]+'_'+str(otest.Weeks[i]), 'FVC'] = otest.FVC[i]
subm.loc[subm['Patient_Week']==otest.Patient[i]+'_'+str(otest.Weeks[i]), 'Confidence'] = 0.1<save_to_csv>
My_Submission = pd.DataFrame({'id': df_test.id, 'trip_duration': prediction})
 print(My_Submission )
<prepare_output><EOS> 
My_Submission.to_csv('submission.csv', index=False )