Kaggle competition: PetFinder.my Adoption Prediction
<SOS> metric: QuadraticWeightedKappa Kaggle data source: petfinder.my-adoption-prediction<categorify>
np.random.seed(369 )
_=
cat_cols = [f'id_{i}' for i in range(12,39)]
for i in cat_cols:
if i in all_data.columns:
all_data[i] = all_data[i].astype(str)
 all_data[i].fillna('unknown', inplace=True)
 enc_cols = []
for i, t in all_data.loc[:, all_data.columns != 'isFraud'].dtypes.iteritems() :
if t == object:
enc_cols.append(i)
 all_data[i] = pd.factorize(all_data[i])[0]
print(enc_cols )<prepare_x_and_y>
def confusion_matrix(rater_a, rater_b, min_rating=None, max_rating=None):

 assert(len(rater_a)== len(rater_b))
if min_rating is None:
min_rating = min(rater_a + rater_b)
 if max_rating is None:
max_rating = max(rater_a + rater_b)
 num_ratings = int(max_rating - min_rating + 1)
 conf_mat = [[0 for i in range(num_ratings)]
for j in range(num_ratings)]
for a, b in zip(rater_a, rater_b):
conf_mat[a - min_rating][b - min_rating] += 1
return conf_mat
def histogram(ratings, min_rating=None, max_rating=None):

 if min_rating is None:
min_rating = min(ratings)
 if max_rating is None:
max_rating = max(ratings)
 num_ratings = int(max_rating - min_rating + 1)
 hist_ratings = [0 for x in range(num_ratings)]
for r in ratings:
hist_ratings[r - min_rating] += 1
return hist_ratings
def quadratic_weighted_kappa(y, y_pred):

 rater_a = y
rater_b = y_pred
min_rating=None
max_rating=None
rater_a = np.array(rater_a, dtype=int)
 rater_b = np.array(rater_b, dtype=int)
 assert(len(rater_a)== len(rater_b))
if min_rating is None:
min_rating = min(min(rater_a), min(rater_b))
if max_rating is None:
max_rating = max(max(rater_a), max(rater_b))
conf_mat = confusion_matrix(rater_a, rater_b,
min_rating, max_rating)
 num_ratings = len(conf_mat)
 num_scored_items = float(len(rater_a))
hist_rater_a = histogram(rater_a, min_rating, max_rating)
 hist_rater_b = histogram(rater_b, min_rating, max_rating)
 numerator = 0.0
denominator = 0.0
for i in range(num_ratings):
for j in range(num_ratings):
expected_count =(hist_rater_a[i] * hist_rater_b[j]
/ num_scored_items)
 d = pow(i - j, 2.0)/ pow(num_ratings - 1, 2.0)
 numerator += d * conf_mat[i][j] / num_scored_items
denominator += d * expected_count / num_scored_items
return(1.0 - numerator / denominator )
X_train = all_data[all_data['isFraud'].notnull() ]
X_test = all_data[all_data['isFraud'].isnull() ].drop('isFraud', axis=1)
 Y_train = X_train.pop('isFraud')
 del all_data<train_model>
class OptimizedRounder(object):
def __init__(self):
self.coef_ = 0
def _kappa_loss(self, coef, X, y):
X_p = np.copy(X)
 for i, pred in enumerate(X_p):
if pred < coef[0]:
X_p[i] = 0
elif pred >= coef[0] and pred < coef[1]:
X_p[i] = 1
elif pred >= coef[1] and pred < coef[2]:
X_p[i] = 2
elif pred >= coef[2] and pred < coef[3]:
X_p[i] = 3
else:
X_p[i] = 4
ll = quadratic_weighted_kappa(y, X_p)
 return -ll
def fit(self, X, y):
loss_partial = partial(self._kappa_loss, X=X, y=y)
 initial_coef = [0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5]
self.coef_ = sp.optimize.minimize(loss_partial, initial_coef, method='nelder-mead')
 def predict(self, X, coef):
X_p = np.copy(X)
 for i, pred in enumerate(X_p):
if pred < coef[0]:
X_p[i] = 0
elif pred >= coef[0] and pred < coef[1]:
X_p[i] = 1
elif pred >= coef[1] and pred < coef[2]:
X_p[i] = 2
elif pred >= coef[2] and pred < coef[3]:
X_p[i] = 3
else:
X_p[i] = 4
return X_p
def coefficients(self):
return self.coef_['x']
def rmse(actual, predicted):
return sqrt(mean_squared_error(actual, predicted))
%%time
params={'learning_rate': 0.01,
'objective': 'binary',
'metric': 'auc',
'num_threads': -1,
'num_leaves': 256,
'verbose': 1,
'random_state': 42,
'bagging_fraction': 1,
'feature_fraction': 0.85
}
oof_preds = np.zeros(X_train.shape[0])
 sub_preds = np.zeros(X_test.shape[0])
 clf = lgb.LGBMClassifier(**params, n_estimators=3000)
 clf.fit(X_train, Y_train)
 oof_preds = clf.predict_proba(X_train, num_iteration=clf.best_iteration_)[:,1]
sub_preds = clf.predict_proba(X_test, num_iteration=clf.best_iteration_)[:,1]<save_to_csv>
print('Train')
 train = pd.read_csv(".. /input/train/train.csv")
 print(train.shape)
 print('Test')
 test = pd.read_csv(".. /input/test/test.csv")
 print(test.shape)
 print('Breeds')
 breeds = pd.read_csv(".. /input/breed_labels.csv")
 print(breeds.shape)
 print('Colors')
 colors = pd.read_csv(".. /input/color_labels.csv")
 print(colors.shape)
 print('States')
 states = pd.read_csv(".. /input/state_labels.csv")
 print(states.shape)
 target = train['AdoptionSpeed']
train_id = train['PetID']
test_id = test['PetID']
train.drop(['AdoptionSpeed', 'PetID'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 test.drop(['PetID'], axis=1, inplace=True )
submission = pd.DataFrame()
submission['TransactionID'] = X_test_id
submission['isFraud'] = sub_preds
submission.to_csv('submission.csv', index=False )<set_options>
doc_sent_mag = []
doc_sent_score = []
nf_count = 0
for pet in train_id:
try:
with open('.. /input/train_sentiment/' + pet + '.json', 'r')as f:
sentiment = json.load(f)
 doc_sent_mag.append(sentiment['documentSentiment']['magnitude'])
 doc_sent_score.append(sentiment['documentSentiment']['score'])
 except FileNotFoundError:
nf_count += 1
doc_sent_mag.append(-1)
 doc_sent_score.append(-1)
 train.loc[:, 'doc_sent_mag'] = doc_sent_mag
train.loc[:, 'doc_sent_score'] = doc_sent_score
doc_sent_mag = []
doc_sent_score = []
nf_count = 0
for pet in test_id:
try:
with open('.. /input/test_sentiment/' + pet + '.json', 'r')as f:
sentiment = json.load(f)
 doc_sent_mag.append(sentiment['documentSentiment']['magnitude'])
 doc_sent_score.append(sentiment['documentSentiment']['score'])
 except FileNotFoundError:
nf_count += 1
doc_sent_mag.append(-1)
 doc_sent_score.append(-1)
 test.loc[:, 'doc_sent_mag'] = doc_sent_mag
test.loc[:, 'doc_sent_score'] = doc_sent_score
warnings.filterwarnings('ignore' )<define_variables>
train_desc = train.Description.fillna("none" ).values
test_desc = test.Description.fillna("none" ).values
tfv = TfidfVectorizer(min_df=2, max_features=None,
strip_accents='unicode', analyzer='word', token_pattern=r'(?u)\b\w+\b',
ngram_range=(1, 3), use_idf=1, smooth_idf=1, sublinear_tf=1, 
)
 tfv.fit(list(train_desc))
X = tfv.transform(train_desc)
 X_test = tfv.transform(test_desc)
 print("X(tfidf):", X.shape)
 svd = TruncatedSVD(n_components=200)
 svd.fit(X)
 X = svd.transform(X)
 print("X(svd):", X.shape)
 print("train:", train.shape )
def seed_everything(seed=0):
random.seed(seed)
 os.environ['PYTHONHASHSEED'] = str(seed)
 np.random.seed(seed)
<define_variables>
train_desc = train.Description.fillna("none" ).values
test_desc = test.Description.fillna("none" ).values
tfv = TfidfVectorizer(min_df=3, max_features=10000,
strip_accents='unicode', analyzer='word', token_pattern=r'\w{1,}',
ngram_range=(1, 3), use_idf=1, smooth_idf=1, sublinear_tf=1,
stop_words = 'english')
 tfv.fit(list(train_desc))
X = tfv.transform(train_desc)
 X_test = tfv.transform(test_desc)
 print("X(tfidf):", X.shape)
 svd = TruncatedSVD(n_components=120)
 svd.fit(X)
 X = svd.transform(X)
 print("X(svd):", X.shape)
 X = pd.DataFrame(X, columns=['svd_{}'.format(i)for i in range(120)])
 train = pd.concat(( train, X), axis=1)
 X_test = svd.transform(X_test)
 X_test = pd.DataFrame(X_test, columns=['svd_{}'.format(i)for i in range(120)])
 test = pd.concat(( test, X_test), axis=1)
 print("train:", train.shape )
SEED = 42
seed_everything(SEED)
 LOCAL_TEST = False
TARGET = 'isFraud'<load_pretrained>
vertex_xs = []
vertex_ys = []
bounding_confidences = []
bounding_importance_fracs = []
dominant_blues = []
dominant_greens = []
dominant_reds = []
dominant_pixel_fracs = []
dominant_scores = []
label_descriptions = []
label_scores = []
nf_count = 0
nl_count = 0
for pet in train_id:
try:
with open('.. /input/train_metadata/' + pet + '-1.json', 'r')as f:
data = json.load(f)
 vertex_x = data['cropHintsAnnotation']['cropHints'][0]['boundingPoly']['vertices'][2]['x']
vertex_xs.append(vertex_x)
 vertex_y = data['cropHintsAnnotation']['cropHints'][0]['boundingPoly']['vertices'][2]['y']
vertex_ys.append(vertex_y)
 bounding_confidence = data['cropHintsAnnotation']['cropHints'][0]['confidence']
bounding_confidences.append(bounding_confidence)
 bounding_importance_frac = data['cropHintsAnnotation']['cropHints'][0].get('importanceFraction', -1)
 bounding_importance_fracs.append(bounding_importance_frac)
 dominant_blue = data['imagePropertiesAnnotation']['dominantColors']['colors'][0]['color']['blue']
dominant_blues.append(dominant_blue)
 dominant_green = data['imagePropertiesAnnotation']['dominantColors']['colors'][0]['color']['green']
dominant_greens.append(dominant_green)
 dominant_red = data['imagePropertiesAnnotation']['dominantColors']['colors'][0]['color']['red']
dominant_reds.append(dominant_red)
 dominant_pixel_frac = data['imagePropertiesAnnotation']['dominantColors']['colors'][0]['pixelFraction']
dominant_pixel_fracs.append(dominant_pixel_frac)
 dominant_score = data['imagePropertiesAnnotation']['dominantColors']['colors'][0]['score']
dominant_scores.append(dominant_score)
 if data.get('labelAnnotations'):
label_description = data['labelAnnotations'][0]['description']
label_descriptions.append(label_description)
 label_score = data['labelAnnotations'][0]['score']
label_scores.append(label_score)
 else:
nl_count += 1
label_descriptions.append('nothing')
 label_scores.append(-1)
 except FileNotFoundError:
nf_count += 1
vertex_xs.append(-1)
 vertex_ys.append(-1)
 bounding_confidences.append(-1)
 bounding_importance_fracs.append(-1)
 dominant_blues.append(-1)
 dominant_greens.append(-1)
 dominant_reds.append(-1)
 dominant_pixel_fracs.append(-1)
 dominant_scores.append(-1)
 label_descriptions.append('nothing')
 label_scores.append(-1)
 print(nf_count)
 print(nl_count)
 train.loc[:, 'vertex_x'] = vertex_xs
train.loc[:, 'vertex_y'] = vertex_ys
train.loc[:, 'bounding_confidence'] = bounding_confidences
train.loc[:, 'bounding_importance'] = bounding_importance_fracs
train.loc[:, 'dominant_blue'] = dominant_blues
train.loc[:, 'dominant_green'] = dominant_greens
train.loc[:, 'dominant_red'] = dominant_reds
train.loc[:, 'dominant_pixel_frac'] = dominant_pixel_fracs
train.loc[:, 'dominant_score'] = dominant_scores
train.loc[:, 'label_description'] = label_descriptions
train.loc[:, 'label_score'] = label_scores
vertex_xs = []
vertex_ys = []
bounding_confidences = []
bounding_importance_fracs = []
dominant_blues = []
dominant_greens = []
dominant_reds = []
dominant_pixel_fracs = []
dominant_scores = []
label_descriptions = []
label_scores = []
nf_count = 0
nl_count = 0
for pet in test_id:
try:
with open('.. /input/test_metadata/' + pet + '-1.json', 'r')as f:
data = json.load(f)
 vertex_x = data['cropHintsAnnotation']['cropHints'][0]['boundingPoly']['vertices'][2]['x']
vertex_xs.append(vertex_x)
 vertex_y = data['cropHintsAnnotation']['cropHints'][0]['boundingPoly']['vertices'][2]['y']
vertex_ys.append(vertex_y)
 bounding_confidence = data['cropHintsAnnotation']['cropHints'][0]['confidence']
bounding_confidences.append(bounding_confidence)
 bounding_importance_frac = data['cropHintsAnnotation']['cropHints'][0].get('importanceFraction', -1)
 bounding_importance_fracs.append(bounding_importance_frac)
 dominant_blue = data['imagePropertiesAnnotation']['dominantColors']['colors'][0]['color']['blue']
dominant_blues.append(dominant_blue)
 dominant_green = data['imagePropertiesAnnotation']['dominantColors']['colors'][0]['color']['green']
dominant_greens.append(dominant_green)
 dominant_red = data['imagePropertiesAnnotation']['dominantColors']['colors'][0]['color']['red']
dominant_reds.append(dominant_red)
 dominant_pixel_frac = data['imagePropertiesAnnotation']['dominantColors']['colors'][0]['pixelFraction']
dominant_pixel_fracs.append(dominant_pixel_frac)
 dominant_score = data['imagePropertiesAnnotation']['dominantColors']['colors'][0]['score']
dominant_scores.append(dominant_score)
 if data.get('labelAnnotations'):
label_description = data['labelAnnotations'][0]['description']
label_descriptions.append(label_description)
 label_score = data['labelAnnotations'][0]['score']
label_scores.append(label_score)
 else:
nl_count += 1
label_descriptions.append('nothing')
 label_scores.append(-1)
 except FileNotFoundError:
nf_count += 1
vertex_xs.append(-1)
 vertex_ys.append(-1)
 bounding_confidences.append(-1)
 bounding_importance_fracs.append(-1)
 dominant_blues.append(-1)
 dominant_greens.append(-1)
 dominant_reds.append(-1)
 dominant_pixel_fracs.append(-1)
 dominant_scores.append(-1)
 label_descriptions.append('nothing')
 label_scores.append(-1)
 print(nf_count)
 test.loc[:, 'vertex_x'] = vertex_xs
test.loc[:, 'vertex_y'] = vertex_ys
test.loc[:, 'bounding_confidence'] = bounding_confidences
test.loc[:, 'bounding_importance'] = bounding_importance_fracs
test.loc[:, 'dominant_blue'] = dominant_blues
test.loc[:, 'dominant_green'] = dominant_greens
test.loc[:, 'dominant_red'] = dominant_reds
test.loc[:, 'dominant_pixel_frac'] = dominant_pixel_fracs
test.loc[:, 'dominant_score'] = dominant_scores
test.loc[:, 'label_description'] = label_descriptions
test.loc[:, 'label_score'] = label_scores
print('Load Data')
 train_df = pd.read_pickle('.. /input/ieee-data-minification/train_transaction.pkl')
 if LOCAL_TEST:
test_df = train_df.iloc[-100000:,].reset_index(drop=True)
 train_df = train_df.iloc[:400000,].reset_index(drop=True)
 train_identity = pd.read_pickle('.. /input/ieee-data-minification/train_identity.pkl')
 test_identity = train_identity[train_identity['TransactionID'].isin(test_df['TransactionID'])].reset_index(drop=True)
 train_identity = train_identity[train_identity['TransactionID'].isin(train_df['TransactionID'])].reset_index(drop=True)
 else:
test_df = pd.read_pickle('.. /input/ieee-data-minification/test_transaction.pkl')
 test_identity = pd.read_pickle('.. /input/ieee-data-minification/test_identity.pkl' )<feature_engineering>
train.drop(['Name', 'RescuerID', 'Description'], axis=1, inplace=True)
 test.drop(['Name', 'RescuerID', 'Description'], axis=1, inplace=True )
valid_card = train_df['card1'].value_counts()
valid_card = valid_card[valid_card>10]
valid_card = list(valid_card.index)
 train_df['card1'] = np.where(train_df['card1'].isin(valid_card), train_df['card1'], np.nan)
 test_df['card1'] = np.where(test_df['card1'].isin(valid_card), test_df['card1'], np.nan )<count_values>
numeric_cols = ['Age', 'Quantity', 'Fee', 'VideoAmt', 'PhotoAmt', 'AdoptionSpeed', 'doc_sent_mag', 'doc_sent_score', 'dominant_score', 'dominant_pixel_frac', 'dominant_red', 'dominant_green', 'dominant_blue', 'bounding_importance', 'bounding_confidence', 'vertex_x', 'vertex_y', 'label_score'] + ['svd_{}'.format(i)for i in range(120)]
cat_cols = list(set(train.columns)- set(numeric_cols))
train.loc[:, cat_cols] = train[cat_cols].astype('category')
 test.loc[:, cat_cols] = test[cat_cols].astype('category')
 print(train.shape)
 print(test.shape)
 foo = train.dtypes
cat_feature_names = foo[foo == "category"]
cat_features = [train.columns.get_loc(c)for c in train.columns if c in cat_feature_names]
i_cols = ['card1','card2','card3','card5',
'C1','C2','C3','C4','C5','C6','C7','C8','C9','C10','C11','C12','C13','C14',
'D1','D2','D3','D4','D5','D6','D7','D8','D9',
'addr1','addr2',
'dist1','dist2',
'P_emaildomain', 'R_emaildomain'
]
for col in i_cols:
temp_df = pd.concat([train_df[[col]], test_df[[col]]])
 fq_encode = temp_df[col].value_counts().to_dict()
train_df[col+'_fq_enc'] = train_df[col].map(fq_encode)
 test_df[col+'_fq_enc'] = test_df[col].map(fq_encode )<categorify>
N_SPLITS = 5
def run_cv_model(train, test, target, model_fn, params={}, eval_fn=None, label='model'):
kf = StratifiedKFold(n_splits=N_SPLITS, random_state=42, shuffle=True)
 fold_splits = kf.split(train, target)
 cv_scores = []
qwk_scores = []
pred_full_test = 0
pred_train = np.zeros(( train.shape[0], N_SPLITS))
all_coefficients = np.zeros(( N_SPLITS, 4))
feature_importance_df = pd.DataFrame()
i = 1
for dev_index, val_index in fold_splits:
print('Started ' + label + ' fold ' + str(i)+ '/' + str(N_SPLITS))
if isinstance(train, pd.DataFrame):
dev_X, val_X = train.iloc[dev_index], train.iloc[val_index]
dev_y, val_y = target[dev_index], target[val_index]
else:
dev_X, val_X = train[dev_index], train[val_index]
dev_y, val_y = target[dev_index], target[val_index]
params2 = params.copy()
pred_val_y, pred_test_y, importances, coefficients, qwk = model_fn(dev_X, dev_y, val_X, val_y, test, params2)
 pred_full_test = pred_full_test + pred_test_y
pred_train[val_index] = pred_val_y
all_coefficients[i-1, :] = coefficients
if eval_fn is not None:
cv_score = eval_fn(val_y, pred_val_y)
 cv_scores.append(cv_score)
 qwk_scores.append(qwk)
 print(label + ' cv score {}: RMSE {} QWK {}'.format(i, cv_score, qwk))
fold_importance_df = pd.DataFrame()
fold_importance_df['feature'] = train.columns.values
fold_importance_df['importance'] = importances
fold_importance_df['fold'] = i
feature_importance_df = pd.concat([feature_importance_df, fold_importance_df], axis=0)
 i += 1
print('{} cv RMSE scores : {}'.format(label, cv_scores))
print('{} cv mean RMSE score : {}'.format(label, np.mean(cv_scores)))
 print('{} cv std RMSE score : {}'.format(label, np.mean(cv_scores)))
 print('{} cv QWK scores : {}'.format(label, qwk_scores))
print('{} cv mean QWK score : {}'.format(label, np.mean(qwk_scores)))
 print('{} cv std QWK score : {}'.format(label, np.std(qwk_scores)))
 pred_full_test = pred_full_test / float(N_SPLITS)
 results = {'label': label,
'train': pred_train, 'test': pred_full_test,
'cv': cv_scores, 'qwk': qwk_scores,
'importance': feature_importance_df,
'coefficients': all_coefficients}
return results
params = {'application': 'regression',
'boosting': 'gbdt',
'metric': 'rmse',
'num_leaves': 70,
'max_depth': 9,
'learning_rate': 0.01,
'bagging_fraction': 0.89,
'feature_fraction': 0.82,
'min_split_gain': 0.02,
'min_child_samples': 150,
'min_child_weight': 0.02,
'lambda_l2': 0.0475,
'verbosity': -1,
'data_random_seed': 20,
'early_stop': 600,
'verbose_eval': 100,
'num_rounds': 12000}
def runLGB(train_X, train_y, test_X, test_y, test_X2, params):
print('Prep LGB')
 d_train = lgb.Dataset(train_X, label=train_y)
 d_valid = lgb.Dataset(test_X, label=test_y)
 watchlist = [d_train, d_valid]
print('Train LGB')
 num_rounds = params.pop('num_rounds')
 verbose_eval = params.pop('verbose_eval')
 early_stop = None
if params.get('early_stop'):
early_stop = params.pop('early_stop')
 model = lgb.train(params,
train_set=d_train,
num_boost_round=num_rounds,
valid_sets=watchlist,
verbose_eval=verbose_eval,
categorical_feature=list(cat_features),
early_stopping_rounds=early_stop)
 print('Predict 1/2')
 pred_test_y = model.predict(test_X, num_iteration=model.best_iteration)
 optR = OptimizedRounder()
optR.fit(pred_test_y, test_y)
 coefficients = optR.coefficients()
pred_test_y_k = optR.predict(pred_test_y, coefficients)
 print("Valid Counts = ", Counter(test_y))
print("Predicted Counts = ", Counter(pred_test_y_k))
print("Coefficients = ", coefficients)
 qwk = quadratic_weighted_kappa(test_y, pred_test_y_k)
 print("QWK = ", qwk)
 print('Predict 2/2')
 pred_test_y2 = model.predict(test_X2, num_iteration=model.best_iteration)
 return pred_test_y.reshape(-1, 1), pred_test_y2.reshape(-1, 1), model.feature_importance() , coefficients, qwk
results = run_cv_model(train, test, target, runLGB, params, rmse, 'lgb' )
for col in ['ProductCD','M4']:
temp_dict = train_df.groupby([col])[TARGET].agg(['mean'] ).reset_index().rename(
 columns={'mean': col+'_target_mean'})
 temp_dict.index = temp_dict[col].values
temp_dict = temp_dict[col+'_target_mean'].to_dict()
train_df[col+'_target_mean'] = train_df[col].map(temp_dict)
 test_df[col+'_target_mean'] = test_df[col].map(temp_dict )<categorify>
optR = OptimizedRounder()
coefficients_ = np.mean(results['coefficients'], axis=0)
 print(coefficients_)
 coefficients_[0] = 1.645
coefficients_[1] = 2.115
coefficients_[3] = 2.84
train_predictions = [r[0] for r in results['train']]
train_predictions = optR.predict(train_predictions, coefficients_ ).astype(int)
 Counter(train_predictions )
for col in list(train_df):
if train_df[col].dtype=='O':
print(col)
 train_df[col] = train_df[col].fillna('unseen_before_label')
 test_df[col] = test_df[col].fillna('unseen_before_label')
 train_df[col] = train_df[col].astype(str)
 test_df[col] = test_df[col].astype(str)
 le = LabelEncoder()
le.fit(list(train_df[col])+list(test_df[col]))
train_df[col] = le.transform(train_df[col])
 test_df[col] = le.transform(test_df[col])
 train_df[col] = train_df[col].astype('category')
 test_df[col] = test_df[col].astype('category' )<init_hyperparams>
optR = OptimizedRounder()
coefficients_ = np.mean(results['coefficients'], axis=0)
 print(coefficients_)
 coefficients_[0] = 1.645
coefficients_[1] = 2.115
coefficients_[3] = 2.84
test_predictions = [r[0] for r in results['test']]
test_predictions = optR.predict(test_predictions, coefficients_ ).astype(int)
 Counter(test_predictions )
lgb_params = {
'objective':'binary',
'boosting_type':'gbdt',
'metric':'auc',
'n_jobs':-1,
'learning_rate':0.01,
'num_leaves': 2**8,
'max_depth':-1,
'tree_learner':'serial',
'colsample_bytree': 0.7,
'subsample_freq':1,
'subsample':1,
'n_estimators':800,
'max_bin':255,
'verbose':-1,
'seed': SEED,
'early_stopping_rounds':100,
}<predict_on_test>
print("True Distribution:")
 print(pd.value_counts(target, normalize=True ).sort_index())
 print("Test Predicted Distribution:")
 print(pd.value_counts(test_predictions, normalize=True ).sort_index())
 print("Train Predicted Distribution:")
 print(pd.value_counts(train_predictions, normalize=True ).sort_index())
def make_predictions(tr_df, tt_df, features_columns, target, lgb_params, NFOLDS=2):
folds = KFold(n_splits=NFOLDS, shuffle=True, random_state=SEED)
 X,y = tr_df[features_columns], tr_df[target]
P,P_y = tt_df[features_columns], tt_df[target]
tt_df = tt_df[['TransactionID',target]]
predictions = np.zeros(len(tt_df))
for fold_,(trn_idx, val_idx)in enumerate(folds.split(X, y)) :
print('Fold:',fold_)
 tr_x, tr_y = X.iloc[trn_idx,:], y[trn_idx]
vl_x, vl_y = X.iloc[val_idx,:], y[val_idx]
print(len(tr_x),len(vl_x))
tr_data = lgb.Dataset(tr_x, label=tr_y)
 if LOCAL_TEST:
vl_data = lgb.Dataset(P, label=P_y)
 else:
vl_data = lgb.Dataset(vl_x, label=vl_y)
 estimator = lgb.train(
 lgb_params,
tr_data,
valid_sets = [tr_data, vl_data],
verbose_eval = 200, 
)
 pp_p = estimator.predict(P)
 predictions += pp_p/NFOLDS
if LOCAL_TEST:
feature_imp = pd.DataFrame(sorted(zip(estimator.feature_importance() ,X.columns)) , columns=['Value','Feature'])
 print(feature_imp)
 del tr_x, tr_y, vl_x, vl_y, tr_data, vl_data
gc.collect()
tt_df['prediction'] = predictions
return tt_df 
<compute_train_metric>
pd.DataFrame(sk_cmatrix(target, train_predictions), index=list(range(5)) , columns=list(range(5)) )
if LOCAL_TEST:
test_predictions = make_predictions(train_df, test_df, features_columns, TARGET, lgb_params)
 print(metrics.roc_auc_score(test_predictions[TARGET], test_predictions['prediction']))
else:
lgb_params['learning_rate'] = 0.01
lgb_params['n_estimators'] = 800
lgb_params['early_stopping_rounds'] = 100
test_predictions = make_predictions(train_df, test_df, features_columns, TARGET, lgb_params, NFOLDS=2 )<save_to_csv>
quadratic_weighted_kappa(target, train_predictions)
 rmse(target, [r[0] for r in results['train']])
 submission = pd.DataFrame({'PetID': test_id, 'AdoptionSpeed': test_predictions})
 submission.head()
if not LOCAL_TEST:
test_predictions['isFraud'] = test_predictions['prediction']
test_predictions[['TransactionID','isFraud']].to_csv('submission.csv', index=False )<set_options>
submission.to_csv('submission.csv', index=False )
<import_modules><EOS> 
submission.to_csv('submission.csv', index=False )