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<title> - [H.A.S.C. No. 114-119] BUILDING THE FLEET WE NEED: A LOOK AT NAVY FORCE STRUCTURE</title> |
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[House Hearing, 114 Congress] |
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[From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] |
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[H.A.S.C. No. 114-119] |
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BUILDING THE FLEET WE NEED: A LOOK AT NAVY FORCE STRUCTURE |
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HEARING |
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BEFORE THE |
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SUBCOMMITTEE ON SEAPOWER AND PROJECTION FORCES |
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OF THE |
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COMMITTEE ON ARMED SERVICES |
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HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES |
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ONE HUNDRED FOURTEENTH CONGRESS |
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SECOND SESSION |
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HEARING HELD |
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APRIL 13, 2016 |
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[GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] |
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U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE |
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20-079 WASHINGTON : 2017 |
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For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing |
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Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512-1800; |
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DC area (202) 512-1800 Fax: (202) 512-2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, |
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Washington, DC 20402-0001 |
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SUBCOMMITTEE ON SEAPOWER AND PROJECTION FORCES |
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J. RANDY FORBES, Virginia, Chairman |
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K. MICHAEL CONAWAY, Texas JOE COURTNEY, Connecticut |
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BRADLEY BYRNE, Alabama JAMES R. LANGEVIN, Rhode Island |
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ROBERT J. WITTMAN, Virginia RICK LARSEN, Washington |
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DUNCAN HUNTER, California, Vice MADELEINE Z. BORDALLO, Guam |
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Chair HENRY C. ``HANK'' JOHNSON, Jr., |
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VICKY HARTZLER, Missouri Georgia |
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PAUL COOK, California SCOTT H. PETERS, California |
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JIM BRIDENSTINE, Oklahoma TULSI GABBARD, Hawaii |
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JACKIE WALORSKI, Indiana GWEN GRAHAM, Florida |
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RYAN K. ZINKE, Montana SETH MOULTON, Massachusetts |
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STEPHEN KNIGHT, California |
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STEVE RUSSELL, Oklahoma |
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David Sienicki, Professional Staff Member |
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Phil MacNaughton, Professional Staff Member |
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Katherine Rember, Clerk |
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C O N T E N T S |
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Page |
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STATEMENTS PRESENTED BY MEMBERS OF CONGRESS |
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Courtney, Hon. Joe, a Representative from Connecticut, Ranking |
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Member, Subcommittee on Seapower and Projection Forces......... 2 |
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Forbes, Hon. J. Randy, a Representative from Virginia, Chairman, |
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Subcommittee on Seapower and Projection Forces................. 1 |
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WITNESSES |
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Lehman, Hon. John F., Former Secretary of the Navy............... 3 |
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Natter, ADM Robert J., USN (Ret.), Former Commander, U.S. Fleet |
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Forces Command................................................. 5 |
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APPENDIX |
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Prepared Statements: |
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Forbes, Hon. J. Randy........................................ 29 |
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Lehman, Hon. John F.......................................... 31 |
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Natter, ADM Robert J......................................... 37 |
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Documents Submitted for the Record: |
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[There were no Documents submitted.] |
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Witness Responses to Questions Asked During the Hearing: |
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[There were no Questions submitted during the hearing.] |
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Questions Submitted by Members Post Hearing: |
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[There were no Questions submitted post hearing.] |
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BUILDING THE FLEET WE NEED: A LOOK AT NAVY FORCE STRUCTURE |
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House of Representatives, |
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Committee on Armed Services, |
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Subcommittee on Seapower and Projection Forces, |
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Washington, DC, Wednesday, April 13, 2016. |
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The subcommittee met, pursuant to call, at 3:30 p.m., in |
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room 2118, Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. J. Randy Forbes |
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(chairman of the subcommittee) presiding. |
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OPENING STATEMENT OF HON. J. RANDY FORBES, A REPRESENTATIVE |
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FROM VIRGINIA, CHAIRMAN, SUBCOMMITTEE ON SEAPOWER AND |
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PROJECTION FORCES |
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Mr. Forbes. Well, I want to welcome all of our members to |
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our hearing today. I am particularly pleased to have some of |
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our Nation's foremost naval experts providing testimony before |
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our subcommittee. |
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We have the Honorable John F. Lehman, former Secretary of |
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the Navy, and Admiral Robert J. Natter, U.S. Navy, retired, |
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former Commander, Fleet Forces Command. Gentlemen, thank you so |
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much for all that you have done for our country and we are |
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delighted to have you with us today. |
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When John Lehman stepped down as Secretary of the Navy in |
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1987, we had 594 ships. When Admiral Natter retired from the |
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Navy in 2003, we had 297 ships. Today, we have 272 ships. The |
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size of our fleet is only one metric for Navy strength, but it |
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is an important one. And while I firmly believe that the United |
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States Navy remains the most powerful and capable maritime |
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force in the world, I am concerned about the future and the |
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trend lines that we see in those three points. |
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We have heard from the Chief of Naval Operations [CNO] |
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Admiral Richardson that we are returning to an era of great |
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power competition in which our maritime superiority will be |
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contested. We have heard the gaps in our aircraft carrier |
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presence will continue to occur in the Middle East and the |
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Pacific. We have heard from the Marine Corps that shortfalls in |
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amphibious ships are driving them to consider deploying aboard |
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foreign ships. |
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A few weeks ago, Admiral Harris, our commander in the |
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Pacific, testified to Congress that the Navy can currently only |
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fulfill 62 percent of his demand for submarines. We all thought |
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that sounded pretty dire, but just last week I was informed by |
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the Navy that across the board, the Navy will only be able to |
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meet 42 percent of anticipated demand for forces in fiscal year |
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2017. So it turns out that Admiral Harris' situation may |
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actually be above average, an alarming realization indeed. |
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The conclusion we should all be drawing from this data is |
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that we need more ships, and more aircraft, and more investment |
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in other elements and enablers of naval power. The |
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administration points to a ship construction program that will |
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meet the 380-ship Navy in the next few years. However, if one |
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looks under the hood of this car, one sees some disturbing |
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details. The administration continues to count ships that they |
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intend to shrink wrap and tie to the pier. Once again, they are |
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proposing to lay up half our cruisers and truncate the |
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procurement of small surface combatants. |
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Now, in fiscal year 2017, they are asking for permission to |
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deactivate an entire carrier air wing. These trend lines are, |
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indeed, concerning and point to a clear need to provide |
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additional investment in our Navy and in the other elements of |
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our national defense. They are also evidence, I believe, of |
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malaise and a lack of vision in thinking about American |
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seapower. |
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While I believe that our uniformed leaders are fully |
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capable of providing this vision and leadership, I believe the |
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administration, and the next, must place a higher priority on |
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national security and the strength of our Navy. Our witnesses |
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today have fought these battles before and are a clear source |
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of inspiration as we navigate these troubled waters and seek to |
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rebuild our maritime strength. We are indebted to them for |
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their service, and today we once again call on their wisdom and |
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foresight. I look forward to hearing their thoughts. |
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But now I turn to my good friend and colleague, the ranking |
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member of the subcommittee, Congressman Joe Courtney of |
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Connecticut, for any comments he might have. |
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[The prepared statement of Mr. Forbes can be found in the |
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Appendix on page 29.] |
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STATEMENT OF HON. JOE COURTNEY, A REPRESENTATIVE FROM |
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CONNECTICUT, RANKING MEMBER, SUBCOMMITTEE ON SEAPOWER AND |
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PROJECTION FORCES |
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Mr. Courtney. Great, thank you, Mr. Chairman, for holding |
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today's hearing to hear the views of our two distinguished |
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witnesses on the Navy's force structure. As the Chief of Naval |
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Operations Admiral John Richardson shared with our committee |
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last month, the Navy is undergoing a review of its Force |
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Structure Assessment. Given the changing dynamics around the |
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world, the growing demand for our ships, and the increasing |
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strain on our naval fleet, I welcome this reassessment of our |
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force structure requirements, which is the subject of today's |
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hearing. |
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Our current fleet requirements stand at 308 ships which, |
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thanks to the 84 ships under contract over the last several |
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years, we expect to reach within the next 5 years. That is good |
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news, but it is just a start because even under the Navy's |
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plan, we will not sustain the levels needed to fully support |
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the various components of that fleet. |
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While the 30-year shipbuilding plan for 2017 has still not |
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been submitted to Congress, we expect it to reflect what we saw |
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in the 2016 plan, that even when we meet the 308-ship goal, key |
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shortfalls will remain. |
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For example, we will face shortages in small and large |
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surface combatants as well as attack submarines over the next |
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three decades. Additional shortfalls remain in the fighter |
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aircraft and other capabilities that will be key to combating |
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the challenges of the future. |
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Notably, one area that the CNO singled out for particular |
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review in the Force Structure Assessment was our attack |
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submarine force. The current requirement of 48 was set nearly a |
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decade ago before undersea resurgence that we see now by China |
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and Russia. |
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Retired Admiral Jim Stavridis told our panel that Russian |
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submarine activity is probably 70 to 80 percent of what we saw |
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during Cold War times. Admiral Harris told us of his concerns |
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that the U.S. submarine force will dip to 41 at a time when |
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China is increasing their fleet size and advancing their |
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undersea capabilities. European Commander General Breedlove |
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told us that the submarine shortfall leaves us playing zone |
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defense in the North Atlantic. And above all, our combatant |
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commanders have been clear to us that the current fleet of 54 |
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attack submarines, let alone the future force of 41 or even 48, |
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cannot adequately meet the demand of our undersea capabilities. |
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That is the kind of area that begs for reassessment and I |
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look forward to the outcome of their review, not just for |
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submarines, but across all aspects of our naval fleet. However, |
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if we are ever going to reach the required fleet size, Congress |
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and the Nation must grapple with the dual challenges of the |
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Budget Control Act [BCA] and the critical need to recapitalize |
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our sea-based strategic deterrent submarine fleet without |
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depleting resources for other vital shipbuilding programs. |
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If not addressed, both of these issues will significantly |
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impact our ability to build and sustain the fleet we need. I |
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hope our witnesses will share their views on both subjects with |
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us today. The shortfalls we will face are largely the result of |
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decisions made in previous decades which we cannot undo in a |
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single year. What we can do, though, is continue to work in a |
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bipartisan way to address our current and future shipbuilding |
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needs going forward. |
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I am proud that this panel has a record of doing so and I |
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look forward to sustaining that record. The witnesses' input |
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today is vital as we prepare to mark up the 2017 defense |
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authorization bill and continue to build the fleet we need for |
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the future. I yield back, Mr. Chairman. |
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Mr. Forbes. Thank you, Mr. Courtney. And without objection, |
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Secretary Lehman and Admiral Natter's written testimony will be |
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made a part of the record. No objection, so it will be so |
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entered. |
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And with that, Mr. Secretary, we are delighted to have you |
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here and we look forward to any opening remarks that you might |
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have for us. |
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Secretary, you might want to push that. |
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STATEMENT OF HON. JOHN F. LEHMAN, FORMER SECRETARY OF THE NAVY |
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Mr. Lehman. Sorry. It has been a long time since I have |
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been before this distinguished committee and it really is |
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distinguished. |
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I spent hundreds of hours before this committee and your |
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predecessors. Charlie Bennett, I think I spent more time with |
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Charlie when I was Secretary than I did with anybody else but |
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my wife. And the history that this subcommittee, and its |
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predecessor committee, has had in building and leading, helping |
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to lead executive branches to form the kind of Navy that has |
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prevented wars, and prevented us losing wars, stands out among |
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all committees, in my judgment, in the history of the Congress. |
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And you have been able to carry that tradition and are |
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continuing to lead and show a vision of where a bipartisan |
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naval strategy can be achieved. So thank you for that. |
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I am delighted to be back. It has been a long time. But as |
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you know, just so everybody knows my prejudices, the naval |
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tradition in my family is old. George Lehman was in the |
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Revolutionary Navy. My great grandfather was in the Union Navy. |
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My father was in World War II. I was a Reserve naval aviator |
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for 25 years, and ended up touching virtually every trouble |
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spot during that period. My son was a naval aviator with three |
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tours on the Teddy Roosevelt in all of the combat areas. So I |
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come with prejudices. |
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I was Secretary of the Navy for 6 years. The |
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accomplishments of the Navy in those years, I think, was made |
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possible because, particularly starting in 1977, 1978, 1979, |
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your subcommittee and the Seapower Subcommittee on the Senate |
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side, laid the groundwork, the intellectual groundwork at a |
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time when the Nation was not fully conscious of what the |
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dangers really were; that we were, in fact, losing the Cold |
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War. And as a result of the groundwork and the foundation of |
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strategic thinking that was laid by your subcommittee in those |
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years leading up to 1981, the possibility of a bipartisan |
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majority, starting in 1981, led on the Senate side by Scoop |
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Jackson and others, and on the House side by Charlie Bennett, |
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and with President Reagan adopting basically what your |
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philosophy had laid down, intellectual foundations, we were |
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able to reverse what was a very unpleasant result of the |
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postwar, the post-Vietnam war letdown and disarmament that had |
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undertaken. |
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I think that history will show that it was those years that |
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really won the war, the Cold War at sea. It was the |
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demonstration that we could build a Navy and maintain a Navy |
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without breaking the bank and we could defeat the Soviet forces |
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at sea. And I think that was a major contribution to the |
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collapse of the Soviet Union. |
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Now, as I have said before, quoting my boss, my old boss, |
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Henry Kissinger, ``History doesn't repeat itself but it |
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rhymes.'' And we are rhyming again now. Not only with the post- |
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Vietnam period of disarmament, but we are rhyming more |
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disturbingly with the 1930s and the reverse of what Teddy |
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Roosevelt famously argued for, to speak softly but carry a big |
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stick. |
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We are currently speaking loudly about Chinese incursions |
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in the South China Sea, the Russian Navy incursions, and yet we |
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are carrying an ever-smaller stick. And while the intentions |
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and naval policy has always been bipartisan, but sometimes the |
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reality of what is really happening compared to what the hope |
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and intention of Congress is, are not the same. |
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The fact is, we have allowed inattention over 20 years to |
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the structure, the practices, the bureaucracy of the Department |
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of Defense that it has become so dysfunctional that we |
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currently have, according to the GAO [Government Accountability |
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Office], $450 billion of cost overruns in current programs. |
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Those are going to have to be paid. These are contractual |
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obligations. They are not funded. That is about 6 years of the |
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procurement budgets for ACAT [Acquisition Category] I and II |
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programs. And every year we are averaging about 20 percent cost |
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overruns regardless of Nunn-McCurdy breaches, and so forth. |
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That is what the real numbers are. |
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So we are disarming rapidly. We are spending today roughly |
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the same in constant dollars as we did at the height of the |
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Reagan administration. And we have an Army not of 20 divisions, |
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as Reagan built, but 8. We have an Air Force of not 35 tactical |
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fighter wings, as President Reagan built, but 15. We don't have |
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220 strategic bombers as Reagan had, we have 72. We don't have |
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a 594-ship Navy, as Reagan built with that same amount of |
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money, but we have 272. This is unilateral disarmament. |
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And I am just so really optimistic and delighted about what |
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you did in this committee and working with the Senate to start |
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really fundamental reform; not the kind of reform that |
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everybody talks about every year, we are going to reform this |
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and reform that. But what you all did in the NDAA [National |
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Defense Authorization Act] that was signed earlier this year |
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and what you are on the route of doing for the NDAA for this |
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year, is truly historic and starts the process of dismantling |
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this vast bureaucratic, amorphous entity that has strangled |
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innovation, strangled cost control, strangled common sense. |
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We have got to do that if we are going to get back to the |
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kind of effective procurement to rebuild a Navy that is |
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sufficient in size and quality to deter as we deterred--the |
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600-ship Navy as an objective was not to win a war. It was to |
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deter a war and it succeeded. It ended the Cold War without |
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really firing a shot. And unfortunately, today, we are doing |
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the opposite. We are getting weaker. The threat is getting more |
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sophisticated and diverse in more places around the world than |
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we had in the nice bipolar Cold War and so we have really got |
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to reverse before it leads to unintended combat which we could |
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well lose. |
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So I look forward to your questions and thank you for |
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inviting me. It is a pleasure to be here. |
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[The prepared statement of Mr. Lehman can be found in the |
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Appendix on page 31.] |
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Mr. Forbes. Mr. Secretary, thank you. Admiral Natter. |
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STATEMENT OF ADM ROBERT J. NATTER, USN (RET.), FORMER |
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COMMANDER, U.S. FLEET FORCES COMMAND |
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Admiral Natter. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Chairman Forbes, |
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Ranking Member Courtney, ladies and gentlemen, I am honored to |
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be here as an independent witness before your subcommittee, |
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sitting next to Secretary Lehman, someone who the Navy |
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certainly respects and admires for what he and the |
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administration of President Reagan were able to accomplish. |
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I can say that my family doesn't have near the historical |
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platitudes that Secretary Lehman talked about. Although I must |
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admit, I have six brothers, six of whom were naval officers and |
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one Air Force officer and we still love him. |
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And I have three daughters. All three served in the Navy. |
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Two still are naval officers, and two sons-in-law are in the |
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Navy. So I have a vested interest like so many of us in what |
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happens to our military today, and especially what happens to |
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our young men and women serving if we call on them to go to |
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combat. |
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I am, quite honestly, worried today about the troubling |
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reduction in the size of our Navy and the shrinking of our |
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technology advantage. There is a dangerous myth out there |
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espoused by some that our shrinking numbers, happily, can be |
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offset by our technology; that our ships today are so much |
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better than our ships of the past. |
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The uncomfortable little truth, though, is that although |
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our ships are indeed better than they were in the past, our |
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potential adversaries are not producing buggy whips and ships |
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that sail either. And in fact, some, not most, but some of |
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their technologies are, in fact, better than ours today. The |
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truth is, numbers do count, and the truth is, we need more |
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ships and aircraft in our Navy today. |
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Let me expand on that a bit. With respect to the Navy's |
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force structure, the current number of that force structure is |
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308. But as a practical matter, that number is not achievable |
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without top-line relief of the Navy's SCN [Shipbuilding and |
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Conversion, Navy] account to accommodate the Ohio Replacement |
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Program. Everyone knows that. There are solutions out there. |
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There are critics of those solutions, for very valid, and very |
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longstanding criticisms of those approaches. But the reality is |
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that without an alternative, without a top-line increase or |
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some other account to accommodate this national strategic |
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requirement, the Navy's shipbuilding account is not worth the |
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paper it is written on. |
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And given today's realities, what are those? A fast-growing |
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Chinese military force structure and its actions in Asia waters |
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that essentially are grabbing 600,000 square miles of ocean |
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resources; with North Korea developing nuclear weapons and the |
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means to deliver them--no one disagrees with that. We are |
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watching it happen--with Russian naval deployments returning to |
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Cold War levels--that is not a secret, everyone is aware of |
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that--and with ongoing terrorism deployments on the part of our |
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Navy. |
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My view is, given those realities that I just laid out, our |
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minimum number of Navy combatant force structure ships has to |
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be, today, given that threat, about 350 ships. I mean, all you |
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have to do is look at the number of ships we had when I was |
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commander of the 7th Fleet in Asia and the opposition that we |
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faced in those days. |
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The problems today are much more serious and the numbers of |
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those potential adversaries have--the numbers they have are |
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much more serious than when I was there, and yet, the numbers |
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of our ships and aircraft are smaller. We have got to have at |
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least a 350-ship Navy to be able to confront the kinds of |
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challenges that we face today, and those technologies that |
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those challenges have, and the appropriate number of balanced |
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aircraft to operate with them. |
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With that, I am going to hush, and then open it up to your |
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questions. Thank you. |
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[The prepared statement of Admiral Natter can be found in |
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the Appendix on page 37.] |
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Mr. Forbes. Admiral, thank you. I am going to defer my |
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questions until the end to make sure all of our members can get |
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theirs in. So with that, we recognize Mr. Courtney for any |
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questions he may have. |
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Mr. Courtney. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Again, thank you for |
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your great testimony this morning, to both witnesses. |
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Secretary Lehman, again, you described the process that |
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occurred in the late 1970s and early 1980s, in terms of, you |
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know, trying to determine what a proper force structure number |
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should be. |
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And could you elaborate a little bit more in terms of just, |
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you know, where did that begin? Did it begin with just sort of |
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an assessment of just, you know, what are the threats over, you |
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know, out there, and then sort of build the number from that; |
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or you know, the industrial base, or you know, what was sort of |
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the origination of that process? |
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Mr. Lehman. That is an excellent question because, you |
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know, the history you don't know, you are bound to repeat. So |
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one of the reasons that the 600-ship Navy, which was truly a |
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bipartisan naval rebuilding program, never really changed from |
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the first time it was proposed in detail with budgets and was |
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in the supplemental in 1980. Never changed until the end of the |
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Bush administration and the fall of the Soviet Union, was |
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because it wasn't just pulled out of thin air. It wasn't just |
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political theater. It was derived from a careful analysis by |
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multiple sources including CNA [Center for Naval Analyses], the |
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Sea Plan 2000 study, the Naval War College, about where our |
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true vital interests were in the world and what the threat was |
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in each of those areas, mainly from the Soviet Union and its |
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allies. |
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And then what force structure was needed to effectively |
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deny the Soviet Union any thoughts that they could prevail and |
|
close off chokepoints or interdict the sea lines of |
|
communication between NATO [North Atlantic Treaty Organization] |
|
and North America. Every single one of these vital areas, vital |
|
to the security of the United States, was carefully analyzed. |
|
And from that, the force structure needed to protect those |
|
vital areas was derived. |
|
And that is basically how we came up with 600 ships and 15 |
|
carrier battle groups and 100 nuclear attack submarines, quite |
|
apart from the strategic equation. There was a logic to it. |
|
There was a discipline and a rigor to it. And it held up |
|
because it was not esoteric. It was not based on complex |
|
algorithms of force exchanges and so forth. |
|
And that is what we need and lack today, I think--a |
|
bipartisan acceptance of what our national strategy really is. |
|
And with that national strategy, we can derive the force |
|
structure, the minimum that we have to have, accepting the fact |
|
that we, as we did then, had fully integrated B-52s, and Air |
|
Force assets into the naval strategy, the capabilities and |
|
force structures of our allies, and we do that today. |
|
So I think using that same discipline, that same rigor, and |
|
that same logic, that the minimum figure is the one that I |
|
would fully endorse with Admiral Natter, which is roughly 350 |
|
ships. The number of aircraft carriers--don't forget aircraft |
|
carriers are the one absolute that any naval formation or any |
|
naval activity has to have. They provide the disk. It is the |
|
carrier that provides the disk 600 miles across of total air |
|
superiority that protects every other ship whether it is an |
|
Army transport, or a fast deployment ship, or reefers, or the |
|
small boys in a battle group. |
|
There, my number would be 15. And I think that can be |
|
achieved if the reforms that this committee has pushed and |
|
proposed on fundamentally streamlining and reducing that vast, |
|
choking bureaucracy in the Department of Defense to get back to |
|
fixed pricing and get back to the disciplines of no change |
|
orders once production is approved. |
|
We are not going to get there right away. But in the |
|
meantime, we have to show intent because in 1981 we had fewer |
|
than 500 ships. We had 13 aircraft carriers and we had terrible |
|
morale. You will recall, those of you from the Tidewater area, |
|
that in 1979 there were four ships that could not deploy |
|
because they didn't have the sailors. I mean, retention was |
|
terrible. We are heading right down that road again. We are |
|
succumbing to that same siren song that we heard in the 1930s |
|
and we heard in the 1970s, we will do more with less. |
|
But yet, we can't do more with less. We have to do less |
|
with less. But the temptation to do more is there and so we |
|
found in the 1970s we ended up with 11-month deployments, some |
|
of them as long as 12-month deployments, when history has |
|
proven that if you keep sailors at sea away from their families |
|
for more than 6 months over time, they will do it in a surge or |
|
a war, but otherwise, you are going to destroy the |
|
infrastructure of your Navy in skilled people, in morale, in |
|
readiness, the up rates of aircraft on carriers, the ship |
|
systems, and so forth. |
|
So we are headed down that road. We are doing it. We are, |
|
regardless of what people say, the deployments, as you all |
|
know, are now, many of them, well beyond 6 months. And we are |
|
starting to see the same impact on retention of our skilled |
|
technicians and leaders in both the commissioned and |
|
noncommissioned ranks. So we have got to turn it around. |
|
Mr. Courtney. And so Admiral, right around the time you |
|
left the Navy was about the last time we did do a Force |
|
Structure Assessment, which as the chairman says, is 308 ships. |
|
Could you talk a little bit about, you know, what the world |
|
looked like then as you were, again, finishing a distinguished |
|
career and what it looks like today and why that assessment, |
|
reassessment is needed? |
|
Admiral Natter. Well, I retired about 10 years ago. We had |
|
just done a very successful set of operations over in the |
|
Middle East going after Al Qaeda. The Russians really were no |
|
longer confrontational. It was not the Russia of the Cold War |
|
days. They were rebuilding, trying to internally. China was |
|
just coming out of its cocoon. When I was commander of the 7th |
|
Fleet about 5 years before that, I made port visits to China. I |
|
was the first Admiral to go into Hong Kong after reversion. The |
|
Chinese were much more cooperative than they are today. They |
|
were not grabbing islands and claiming territorial seas that |
|
truly don't exist. We have got a different environment today. |
|
We have much graver threats. |
|
The idea that there is going to be a confrontation in the |
|
Spratlys, or more seriously in my view, the Senkakus with |
|
Japan, is going to directly affect every American. And if we |
|
were to go to combat with the forces we have today, we would |
|
not be as effective and I would question our ability to succeed |
|
against a China that was serious about going on the offensive |
|
against us in that theater. |
|
I just can't state enough that we do not have sufficient |
|
forces out there to take them on, or for that matter, North |
|
Korea, who as we all know, is developing a nuclear weapon and |
|
the means to deliver it. |
|
The idea that we are just going to develop a defensive |
|
capability against nuclear weapons that are lobbed against our |
|
bases in Japan, against our ground forces in South Korea, is |
|
insanity. Without a strong military, we may as well just |
|
withdraw and admit that we are going to be isolationists |
|
because that is the direction we are headed. I am very |
|
concerned about it. |
|
As I mentioned, I have daughters and sons-in-law who are on |
|
active duty who have been in harm's way, and I don't want to |
|
lose them without a committed nation behind them. |
|
Mr. Forbes. The distinguished gentleman from Alabama, Mr. |
|
Byrne, is recognized for 5 minutes. |
|
Mr. Byrne. Thank you. Thank you, gentlemen, and both of you |
|
have good, strong long-time connections to the State of |
|
Alabama. Secretary Lehman is from my hometown in Mobile, and |
|
Admiral, you are a son of the State of Alabama. We appreciate |
|
both of you and thank you for your service. |
|
Two weeks ago I was in China at a conference, and one of |
|
the days in conference we spent talking about the military |
|
situation there. We had a representative from the United States |
|
side, and a representative from the Chinese side. And the |
|
Chinese representative was remarkably candid and very |
|
worrisome. I would like to read a portion, just a few sentences |
|
of what he had to say, and ask you to react to it. To some |
|
extent, I think, Admiral, you have already addressed it, but I |
|
would like for you to be a little more specific about what we |
|
would do in response to this. But, listen to what he said. You |
|
know, this is the Chinese speaking: |
|
``As is well known, security frictions between China and |
|
the U.S. for a long time have occurred mainly within the first |
|
island chain. Chinese efforts to secure reunification across |
|
the Taiwanese Strait and to safeguard its territory, |
|
sovereignty, and maritime rights and interests in the East |
|
China Sea and the South China Sea, face incessant U.S. |
|
interference and intervention.'' And here is the key sentence. |
|
``The development of a new balance of power will be marked by |
|
China's enhanced capacity to safeguard its territory and |
|
sovereignty and maritime rights and interests and a weakened |
|
U.S. capability to intervene.'' That is the Chinese perspective |
|
on us. |
|
So if we are going to reverse that, specifically, what do |
|
we need to do? |
|
Admiral Natter. Well, those are very strong words. Because |
|
they are said, does not make them truth. There are legitimate |
|
disagreements as to who those atolls and reefs really belong |
|
to, if anyone, because they are atolls and reefs. And |
|
international law and maritime practice has a definition about |
|
those. |
|
The idea that the Chinese are claiming an additional |
|
645,000 square miles of ocean resources, fisheries, mineral |
|
rights on the sea bed, and potentially waters to restrict |
|
maritime commerce and the passage of naval ships out of the |
|
Straits of Malacca, up to Japan, up to our Southeast Asian |
|
friends, is absolute insanity. Saying it does not make it true, |
|
any more than Putin claiming that Ukraine is part of Russia |
|
makes it true. The reality is, the longer we allow this to |
|
happen, the more difficult it is going to become to reverse it |
|
or to stop it. |
|
The fact that they are putting very capable weapon systems |
|
on these sand bars and we are watching it happen, in my view, |
|
is a mistake. Having said that, I would be the first to say if, |
|
in fact, we are going to contest it, if we are going to |
|
challenge it with our neighbors in Southeast Asia and in East |
|
Asia, we need to do it with more capable forces than the United |
|
States has deployed there today. |
|
Mr. Byrne. Mr. Secretary. |
|
Mr. Lehman. Yes, I would echo that. I have made two |
|
official visits, not official as far as I was concerned, but as |
|
far as the Chinese were concerned, since I left the government. |
|
Both times at the invitation of very senior people in the |
|
Defense Ministry, Liu Huaqing who was the head of the Navy and |
|
so forth. I find that statement totally consistent with the |
|
stated intentions in both of those visits. |
|
My first visit, which was around 1992, they were more in |
|
sorrow than in anger. ``Why are you disarming? You are |
|
abandoning. You are creating a vacuum here in the Western |
|
Pacific. And you are going to create all sorts of instability |
|
because your Navy is not here anymore. We used to--every time |
|
we looked out the window in a Hong Kong hotel, we saw a |
|
carrier, and its escorts there.'' And this provided a stability |
|
that relieved us of the worry that control of the strategic |
|
straits which are obsessive with the Chinese, the Straits of |
|
Sunda, and Malacca. They are not going to let that happen. And |
|
they told us that. And they said, well, we are going to bring-- |
|
we are going to build aircraft carriers because we don't have |
|
base rights in those areas. But we are going to not allow the |
|
vacuum that you are creating to persist. |
|
And so I find the Chinese, other than some of their more |
|
bellicose junior military officers, junior, you know, one- and |
|
two-stars which seem to have a franchise of making outrageous |
|
statements, but I find the official statements of their |
|
military very consistent and not necessarily pointed hostilely |
|
at the U.S. I don't believe that they intend to invade the U.S. |
|
or seize the Hawaiian Islands, but I do believe they are, they |
|
view us now, but you know, the Taiwan problem is a separate set |
|
of issues which we could spend all day talking about. |
|
But the fact is that they really are dependent on virtually |
|
all of their oil to be imported and imported through straits |
|
that are potentially not secure. And so they are building, they |
|
told us, they are building a 600-ship Navy, and if you try to |
|
interfere, you would do so at your peril. And that at least we |
|
can understand what their intentions are, which they do not |
|
have the equivalent confidence--they don't know what our |
|
strategy is. And I think one reason is because we have no |
|
strategy. |
|
Mr. Byrne. My time is up. I really appreciate your |
|
comments. Thank you. |
|
Mr. Forbes. The gentleman from Rhode Island, Mr. Langevin, |
|
is recognized for 5 minutes. |
|
Mr. Langevin. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Secretary Lehman and |
|
Admiral Natter, thank you both for your service to our country |
|
and for your testimony here today. |
|
For both of you, I don't disagree with anything you have |
|
said in terms of strength, in terms of where we were, and where |
|
we are. The challenge, of course, that we have and the |
|
circumstances were different back when you were there and where |
|
we are now, is the significant national debt that--the annual |
|
budget deficits and a crushing national debt that we have to |
|
contend with, which in itself, is a threat to U.S. national |
|
security--both short-term rate and long term. |
|
So given those circumstances, you know, what is your |
|
guidance and advice to how we now balance those realities with |
|
the priorities that we have in being able to defend the country |
|
and have the size force that we actually need given the, you |
|
know, the budget realities that we are in? |
|
Admiral Natter. Well, I am not here to testify as the |
|
former Office of Management and Budget. Having said that, I |
|
fully agree, that is a huge threat to the security of this |
|
Nation. And there has to be a handle on our budget deficit. I |
|
think there is bipartisan concern, appropriately, for that. And |
|
I think there is recognition in a bipartisan way for the |
|
problems of the deficit. |
|
Having said that, the security of this Nation, I think, is |
|
first and foremost. I think George Washington would have |
|
believed that and I think he lived that reality. So I think the |
|
idea of a 350-ship Navy and a balanced military is a priority |
|
and that, I think, that it is affordable. I think the Nation is |
|
going to have to get a handle on how it is paid for and how |
|
other costs impacts, of the national budget, and the deficit, |
|
have to be gotten under control. But I am not here to testify |
|
about that, sir. |
|
Mr. Lehman. Congressman, I think that, as I mentioned |
|
earlier, Teddy Roosevelt's famous dictum to speak softly but |
|
carry a big stick is very important today because we have |
|
allowed our defenses, for whatever the sound reasons, and I |
|
don't disagree with anything you said on the budgetary issues |
|
that we face. |
|
Nevertheless, we have, in the hopes that after the fall of |
|
the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War, that we would |
|
have a relatively peaceful era ahead that did not require the |
|
kinds of sacrifices that we had to do in the Cold War. That has |
|
not proved to be the case. Our hopes have proved false. And we |
|
now have nuclear hostile powers even, like North Korea and |
|
others emerging. We have got the unique problems of Islamist |
|
terrorism, and we have allowed our deterrence to really erode. |
|
I mean, seriously erode. And by deterrence, that means are you |
|
persuading the potential enemies you have, the potential bad |
|
actors that they would suffer more than they could possibly |
|
gain if they took actions against American interests? |
|
Our deterrence is failing. It is failing to deter the |
|
Chinese from building its bases in the South China Sea. And it |
|
is failing in deterring the Russians from reestablishing a |
|
hegemony that they feel they have lost in their near abroad. |
|
And it is failing to deter a lot of other potential actors down |
|
the road. |
|
So what do we do about this? Well, I totally agree with the |
|
Admiral. We can afford it. We are only spending 3 percent of |
|
the GDP [gross domestic product] on defense today. In the |
|
Kennedy and Eisenhower years it was 8 to 9 percent. In |
|
President Reagan's years it was about 3.5 to 3.75 percent, so |
|
you are not talking of a vast change to reestablish deterrence. |
|
But it is going to take some time. |
|
And the dangerous thing about doing what we are doing as we |
|
did in the 1930s, and that is speak loudly and make bold |
|
declarations about getting the Chinese out of the South China |
|
Sea, as we continue to erode our naval and other services' |
|
capabilities is the worst of all possible dangerous situations |
|
because that leads--historically, has led to miscalculations. |
|
You know, in the 1930s, we spoke boldly and we imposed |
|
embargoes, a steel embargo, the scrap embargo, the oil |
|
embargoes on Japan, as we disarmed, as we adhered to the |
|
Washington Naval [Treaty] agreements and built no capital ships |
|
until this subcommittee, which was then a full committee, |
|
passed the 1936 initiative to start building capital ships. Up |
|
to that time, we had adhered to the Washington Naval |
|
agreements, and the Japanese did not. They withdrew from the |
|
Washington Treaties, and so they grew and we shrank. And I |
|
think that was a major cause of World War II in the Pacific. |
|
So we have got to maintain deterrence. We don't have a |
|
choice. And people have to start articulating this because the |
|
American people will support it, if their leaders on both sides |
|
of the aisle, and I might just as an aside to perhaps upset |
|
some of my revered Republican colleagues. I know the chairman |
|
knows his history better than I do, but the fact is, there are |
|
only three Presidents in the history of the United States that |
|
never built a single capital ship for the U.S. Navy and those |
|
were all Republicans, ending up with Hoover. And that is a |
|
history we don't want to repeat for sure. |
|
So I just, I think we, my last point would be, let's be |
|
careful. As Reagan proved, you don't have to have achieved a |
|
600-ship Navy to have 90 percent of the deterrence. You have to |
|
make it clear that you are heading there. You are rebuilding. |
|
There is strong bipartisan support to maintain deterrence. Once |
|
you have achieved that, because it is a game of perceptions, |
|
but perceptions based on people who are smart and they read our |
|
mail. And they know what the reality is of our capabilities and |
|
our weaknesses. And so whereas if we had the full deterrent, we |
|
might take actions, not necessarily violent actions right away, |
|
but we might begin to put the pressure on the Chinese and force |
|
them out of those militarized islands. But today, we do risk a |
|
conflict by miscalculation. And that far away with as small of |
|
a force as we have today, it might not end well for us. |
|
Mr. Langevin. All right. I appreciate both of your |
|
insights, your testimony here today. I know my time has |
|
expired, but I take your words to heart and I thank you for |
|
what you have imparted to the committee today. |
|
Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I yield back. |
|
Mr. Forbes. The chairman of the Readiness Committee, Mr. |
|
Wittman from Virginia. |
|
Mr. Wittman. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Gentlemen, thank you |
|
so much for joining us. Thanks for your service. |
|
I wanted to talk about two issues I believe we see of the |
|
Navy force structure. One is amphibious lift. I think we are |
|
doing more to address that this year. I want to thank the |
|
chairman for all of his efforts and a continuing effort to |
|
address what I believe is a shortcoming in amphibious lift. |
|
But I do want to get your perspective on where we are with |
|
our submarine force. A couple of different tracks, you see |
|
China continuing to grow their fleet moving eastward through |
|
the South China Sea into the Pacific, more presence there. |
|
Secondly, with the Russians, the fifth-generation submarine, |
|
the Yasen-class, the Severodvinsk very, very capable attack |
|
submarine. We see those forces going in that direction. We see |
|
our forces going in the opposite direction. The 30-year |
|
shipbuilding plan shows us going down to a 41-boat force in our |
|
attack submarines. We see, too, a gap between Ohio-class |
|
retirements, Ohio-class replacement availability. We see back |
|
and forth about a national sea-based deterrence fund to make |
|
sure that we can fund Ohio-class replacement. |
|
Give me your perspective on what we need to do overall with |
|
our submarine force, which I believe is truly going to be the |
|
most tactically and strategically important element of our |
|
Navy, and not to discount the others, but to have that as part |
|
of that, part of the nuclear triad, but also the ability to |
|
keep up with pretty advanced submarines with the Russians and |
|
the numbers of Chinese submarines that we will see out there. |
|
Give me your perspective on what we need to do both in our |
|
attack class, in our Ohio class, to make sure that we counter |
|
what we see going on with the other, we will call them, near |
|
peers? |
|
Mr. Lehman. Well, I strongly support the idea of a |
|
strategic funding approach to rebuilding our strategic |
|
deterrence, because while this is one of the proudest of Navy |
|
roles and missions, nevertheless, it is only very indirectly |
|
related to maintaining command of the seas. And if the Navy is |
|
forced to fund the entire replacement of the Ohio class, there |
|
will, under almost any feasible funding scenario, not be enough |
|
money to even maintain the fleet we have. |
|
So as an approach, I think that is the right approach. But |
|
our submarine force, just to go back to command of the seas, to |
|
protect our vital interests and restore deterrence, is the idea |
|
that we are going to end up with 41 or even 48 nuclear attack |
|
subs is insufficient, because the biggest vulnerability we have |
|
today and in my judgment it is severe, is in antisubmarine |
|
warfare. We have allowed a lot of our antisubmarine systems, |
|
not just the ones on ships and submarines, but overall, to |
|
deteriorate significantly. And we have got to rebuild that. And |
|
we have, to me, it is unbelievable how a succession of CNOs let |
|
this happen. |
|
But we have no frigates in the fleet. This is unbelievable. |
|
And the idea--I am a strong supporter of the LCS [Littoral |
|
Combat Ship] and have been from the beginning. I think both of |
|
the versions of it are good ships for certain roles, but they |
|
will never be frigates. I don't care how much--how big a plug |
|
you put in and how much fuel you stuff in, they will never be |
|
frigates. They were never designed to be frigates. |
|
Frigates are one of the most essential parts of protecting |
|
a naval force at sea, a Marine amphibious group, an Army |
|
resupply flotilla, or a carrier battle group, you have got the |
|
threats. The submarine threat is so much greater today, not |
|
only the Russian and Chinese, the Russian subs are the equal or |
|
better of our best submarines from the Cold War. But you have |
|
got over 100 very, very quiet diesel electrics or closed- |
|
propulsion circuit modern submarines that are really quiet. And |
|
that is a huge threat because we have really, because of higher |
|
priorities, we have let that dimension of our protection of |
|
surface ships really deteriorate. |
|
So you know, this always gives, always gave all of my nuke |
|
friends heart attacks when I would suggest it. And I am not |
|
suggesting that we don't build a nuclear attack submarine fleet |
|
up above 60, at least, but I believe we need a high-low mix. I |
|
think the modern, particularly German technology in closed- |
|
propulsion conventional submarines which cost a quarter or less |
|
than a nuclear submarine, a high-low mix is probably what we |
|
ought to have in the future. And I guess I am not going to be |
|
invited to the Army-Navy game this year, but that is what I |
|
think. |
|
Admiral Natter. You can take my ticket. |
|
Mr. Forbes. The gentleman's time has expired. Ms. Gabbard |
|
from Hawaii is recognized for 5 minutes. |
|
Ms. Gabbard. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, gentlemen. |
|
A follow-up to Mr. Wittman's question, that was kind of what I |
|
wanted to talk about as you spoke broadly about the nuclear |
|
threat coming from North Korea to places like Japan and South |
|
Korea. Representing Hawaii, this is something that as North |
|
Korea beats its drums and makes its threats, Hawaii falls |
|
within range of their ICBM [intercontinental ballistic missile] |
|
capabilities and now the miniaturized nuclear capabilities that |
|
they are talking about. |
|
And so this question of our submarines, the projected |
|
reduction and the need for us to be able to maintain that is |
|
something that is critical. But really, also, the entire |
|
ballistic missile defense capability that we are looking at is |
|
of paramount importance. |
|
I am wondering if you could talk a little bit more about |
|
that ballistic missile defense and where you see that falls |
|
into this need for what you talk about a bipartisan strategy, a |
|
national security strategy. |
|
Admiral Natter. Well, with respect to ballistic missile |
|
defense, as you well know, we have a sea capability as well as |
|
a land-based capability. But getting back to our own submarine |
|
question, the only way you are going to really protect yourself |
|
and defeat that threat is to go on the offensive and knock out |
|
their sites before they launch, or after they start launching. |
|
Because if you remain on the defensive, you will never, ever be |
|
able to gain 100 percent reliability in knocking everything |
|
down. That is the beauty of a submarine. It is a very offensive |
|
weapon system. |
|
Our purpose in being as a Navy is to destroy the |
|
opposition. And if you can't go on the offensive, remain on the |
|
offensive and attack until that threat is destroyed, you are |
|
never going to be batting 100 percent against the threat coming |
|
toward you. BMD [ballistic missile defense], land-based and |
|
sea-based, is awfully important, very important. And it is |
|
pretty well funded. |
|
But the sea-based threat to that, getting back to the |
|
Secretary's commentary on antisubmarine warfare, we need to |
|
improve that because the Chinese are developing a significant |
|
submarine-based threat and the Russians are, as I mentioned in |
|
my opening remarks, deploying in ways that they have not done |
|
since the Cold War. |
|
That is why the Navy is looking at basing antisubmarine |
|
warfare capabilities back in Keflavik, Iceland. It is not |
|
because we enjoy cold weather. It is because that is where the |
|
Russians operate. And we need to work with our allies to go |
|
after that threat both offensively and defensively. So |
|
ballistic missile defense, I am in. I am all in. |
|
Ms. Gabbard. Thank you. |
|
Mr. Lehman. The ballistic missile defense based on the |
|
Aegis has a long history, and while I will not indulge my |
|
tendency in my anecdotage to tell you too much about it, one of |
|
the first battles as a new kid working for Henry Kissinger that |
|
I was engaged in, was the attempt by the Arms Control and |
|
Disarmament Agency to block the Aegis cruiser because they |
|
alleged--and frankly, they were right--the Aegis missile |
|
system, the phased-array radar, did violate the ABM [anti- |
|
ballistic missile] agreement in SALT I [Strategic Arms |
|
Limitations Talks/Treaty]. It had the kind of power aperture |
|
that clearly was capable of ballistic missile defense. And of |
|
course, now it is. It is now part of our ballistic missile |
|
defense. That was a long, long time ago, well before you were |
|
born. And here we are. |
|
Now, the Navy got the mission, and now just as, you know, |
|
the Navy fought a huge battle in 1947 in this room to get a |
|
role in the nuclear deterrence and then after some severe |
|
battles, they won that role and they were in the SIOP, the |
|
single integrated operational plan. But then they suddenly |
|
found, hey, wait, being in the SIOP with the nukes meant that |
|
they were tied to launch points and no longer could the fleet |
|
move. It had to stay where it is. And the Aegis ballistic |
|
missile defense ships are finding the same thing. |
|
So while they count in the 300-ship Navy or the 272-ship |
|
Navy, they are of limited use in a conventional war because |
|
then you will be in DEFCON 3 [Defense Readiness Condition], or |
|
wherever, and you are going to be tied to a specific point. |
|
So I am not arguing for canceling the ABM capability in the |
|
Aegis cruiser, but it severely limits the strategic |
|
capability--I mean, the conventional capabilities of deterrence |
|
in the fleet. |
|
So I believe we need ballistic missile defense. We |
|
shouldn't try to delude ourselves. You know, again, the reality |
|
is that our pursuit of Star Wars helped to end the Cold War |
|
because the Russians believed that we could do it because we |
|
showed them we could do so much else. And it was really so far |
|
out in terms of cost and capability that it was not an option |
|
any of us were really comfortable with putting all of the money |
|
that would be necessary to get it going. |
|
But it sure paid off because the Russians, it helped to |
|
paint a picture that gave Gorbachev what he needed between the |
|
600-ship Navy kicking him around in the annual exercises and |
|
the idea of Star Wars, which his military were telling him |
|
``oh, yeah, it is going to work. So we have got to have our |
|
own. You have got to give us three times the budget.'' That is |
|
what ended the Cold War. |
|
So we do need to stay up on the capability, the technology. |
|
We need to deploy it particularly in the land, against Iranian |
|
threats and Russian threats now against their near abroad, and |
|
North Koreans, who God knows what they will do. So we should |
|
have that capability. But let's not go overboard and tie every |
|
Aegis ship to a launch point where they are no longer part of |
|
the Navy. |
|
Mr. Forbes. The gentlelady's time has expired. The |
|
gentlelady from Missouri, Mrs. Hartzler, is recognized for 5 |
|
minutes. |
|
Mrs. Hartzler. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and thank you both |
|
for your service. My goodness, all the way back to the |
|
Revolutionary War. I mean---- |
|
Mr. Lehman. No, not me. |
|
Mrs. Hartzler. You don't look that old. But I mean, your |
|
family history of serving in the Navy is just admirable. And |
|
Admiral, certainly, you have so much to be proud of too. I |
|
can't imagine your whole family involved in the Navy and one |
|
son still serving in another capacity. But thank you for your |
|
service. |
|
I wanted to talk a little bit about unmanned capabilities |
|
as it relates to the aircraft carriers. And so can you speak to |
|
the value of unmanned aviation to an aircraft carrier air wing? |
|
Mr. Lehman. Well, let me start. But the fact is that---- |
|
Mrs. Hartzler. I don't think your microphone is on. |
|
Mr. Lehman. Oh, I am sorry. If I left it on all the time, |
|
you would hear our side comments, which you don't want to do. |
|
There is an absolutely important role for unmanned aircraft |
|
as part of the carrier air wing. But don't think it is going to |
|
solve a lot of manpower or cost problems. It takes more people |
|
to operate in a squadron, to maintain and operate a squadron of |
|
UAVs [unmanned aerial vehicles] today with today's technology |
|
than it does manned aircraft. |
|
I am a strong supporter of UCAS [Unmanned Combat Air |
|
System]. I think it should have a strike capability, but we |
|
shouldn't try to make it all things to all possible missions. |
|
Because you just--that is what we tried to do with the F-35 and |
|
look what happened to that. And so what we should do is move in |
|
a measured way. To me, you know, as a former carrier aviator, |
|
the most important thing for me right now, if I were in that |
|
planning phase, would be an unmanned tanker as part of the |
|
carrier air wing because our strike aircraft today are less |
|
capable in terms of range and payload than they were 30 years |
|
ago. So we need to get more range and more payload and that |
|
means you need more tankering. |
|
And the reconnaissance intelligence gathering and so forth, |
|
these are important functions that UCAS can do. Strike versions |
|
as well. What we shouldn't do is try to cram all these |
|
different missions into one airframe and one system, and it |
|
should be done in a measured way. |
|
Stealth, I am very much a skeptic on stealth. It has its |
|
role in certain places, but the price and the compromise is in |
|
other capabilities that you have to make to be truly stealthy |
|
are not worth it in my judgment, particularly on a carrier. I |
|
don't think that even the F-35 will get more than one truly |
|
stealthy flight. |
|
Because anybody that has ever spent time, as you all have, |
|
on an aircraft carrier and sees what goes on down on the deck |
|
and pitching seas and salt spray, and particularly towards the |
|
end of a deployment, the grease all over the deck and airplanes |
|
starting to slide, and people running with chains and knocking |
|
dents into the--nobody who has spent time operationally on a |
|
carrier believes that stealth can survive on a ship. |
|
As it is, the Air Force's stealth aircraft have to go into |
|
a clean room after every flight to get their full stealth |
|
restored. So it doesn't have to be stealthy. It is nice to have |
|
perhaps for some missions, particularly ISR [intelligence, |
|
surveillance, and reconnaissance] missions, but we have got to |
|
be careful what we are going to give up to get that stealth, |
|
particularly in a strike version. It has got a role. There are |
|
going to be more of them in the future, but to try to rush into |
|
it and put too many requirements on it would be a big mistake. |
|
Mrs. Hartzler. I represent Whiteman Air Force Base that has |
|
B-2 bombers, stealth bombers, so a little bit familiar with |
|
that. I understand what you are saying. |
|
Admiral, do you have anything to add in 26 seconds? |
|
Admiral Natter. Yes. Thank you. I certainly agree with the |
|
Secretary on this. The real value of having unmanned aircraft |
|
is to augment the air wing and the capabilities of our F-18s |
|
and F-35s. |
|
I see, in addition to an air refueler, which makes a lot of |
|
sense to me, the ability to put another ISR node up in the air |
|
so that you have not only the F-35 and the E-2 working through |
|
NIFC-CA [Naval Integrated Fire Control-Counter Air] to the |
|
Aegis cruisers and destroyers, you also have an unmanned node |
|
up there so that you can spread your ability to attack and |
|
defend the battle group and to attack either land targets or |
|
other naval targets. |
|
As the Secretary of Defense has testified in open hearing, |
|
the Navy has already conducted a significant range attack on |
|
the surface target as well as an air target, utilizing this. |
|
And so unmanned aircraft would fit very well into that |
|
approach, but I don't foresee in my lifetime an unmanned air |
|
wing operating from a carrier. I just don't see that happening. |
|
Mr. Lehman. Well, I will believe in it when I get on and |
|
fly in the first unmanned United airliner. |
|
Mr. Forbes. The gentlelady's time has expired. |
|
The gentlelady from Florida, Ms. Graham, is recognized for |
|
5 minutes. |
|
Ms. Graham. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Thank you so much, gentlemen. I wish I would have been here |
|
at the beginning. I found this to be so informative. Really |
|
appreciate all you bring to this discussion. |
|
You mentioned, Mr. Secretary, the Littoral Combat Ship. I |
|
am interested in talking a little bit more about that. Since I |
|
have sat down, you have said that the frigate, you don't want |
|
to have the LCS and the different roles it can play, you think |
|
the frigate would be a better ship for some purposes. You have |
|
also said that a ship can't be all things for all |
|
possibilities. If I have quoted you wrong, please correct me. |
|
How do you see the LCS, its current role, what it is |
|
expected to do? Can it meet those challenges? And, Admiral, you |
|
as well. I think the current budget from the President has |
|
decreased the number of LCSes that we are going to be |
|
purchasing. Do we need to maintain the number or even increase |
|
them? And just how do you see this fitting into our Navy |
|
operations today? Thank you. |
|
Mr. Lehman. Well, first of all, I have always been a fan of |
|
the LCSes. They do have a role in littoral combat. The modular |
|
idea was one of these ideas that, you know, it is a great idea |
|
but actually implementing it is going to cost more than it was |
|
worth. |
|
But frankly, in their current versions, I think we have |
|
enough of them with what the administration has been asking |
|
for. But we have built up in two shipyards a tremendous |
|
capability. I mean, I have owned some shipyards. And building a |
|
workforce that really knows what it is doing and knows how to |
|
take care of supply chain management and learning curve |
|
production, it takes years. And we have built that kind of |
|
capability in Marinette, and we have built it in Mobile. And so |
|
whatever we do next, we should do everything possible to keep |
|
that organic capability alive by participating in shipbuilding. |
|
Right now, building the same Littoral Combat Ship, more of |
|
them than has been asked for, I don't see the need for them. |
|
Trying to make them, either of those two hull forms, which |
|
each, in their way, is a tremendous really technological |
|
achievement, but trying to make them into a frigate--a frigate |
|
has to be that multi-role ship. It has to have, first and |
|
foremost, antisubmarine warfare capability. It has got to be |
|
able to tow a passive tail, so for passive sonar. It has got to |
|
have an active sonar. It has got to be able to defend itself |
|
against cruise missiles. It has got to be able to attack other |
|
ships and shore. |
|
The Perry class, which we have now retired the last one of |
|
them, we called them FFG-7s, they had a little bit of |
|
capability in each area, a lot of capability in the |
|
antisubmarine area. But they were great ships. We were able to |
|
compete them where there were three yards building them. The |
|
price came down and down and down because we had that annual |
|
competition. |
|
And they could deploy--they had ranges of over 8,000 miles. |
|
So they could deploy with any--people criticized them because |
|
they only had a top speed of 28 knots, but they actually could |
|
go faster than that. They could keep up with the carriers 98 |
|
percent of the time and they were great ships. And they were |
|
very cost effective. |
|
You cannot take an LCS of either design and get any--you |
|
know, they called the F-18--the Super Hornet F-18 was just |
|
supposed to be--it was really to get through you guys. It was |
|
just an F-18. It was just a Hornet, a little bigger, it would |
|
go longer, faster, et cetera. |
|
It was totally a different airplane. It had no commonality. |
|
The engines were different. The wing was different. The radar |
|
was different. It was a new airplane. And that is what they are |
|
going to try to do with the LCS. Call it an LCS frigate, but if |
|
it is going to do the frigate job, it will be an entirely new |
|
ship, and yet it will have to make compromises to retain some |
|
commonality at all with the LCS and you are going to get the |
|
worst of both worlds out of it, I guarantee it. |
|
What we need to do--even if we went back to the FFG-7 with |
|
modern technology, we have such vulnerability. Admiral Natter |
|
used to deploy his battle groups with 28 ships. Today we |
|
average six ships, which leave these huge gaps in your layers |
|
of defense particularly against submarines, and particularly |
|
against diesel submarines, let alone attack submarines--I mean |
|
nuclear submarines. |
|
So I think we need to be realistic about it. And we ought |
|
to come up with a frigate design that can be built in these |
|
same yards or at least part of them, if not all of them, and |
|
that can be competed on a fixed-price base. Don't let the vast |
|
bureaucracy--you know, I owned Hawaii Superferry. I am sorry |
|
that Ms. Gabbard is not here. She hopefully rode it at one |
|
point. We built that right next--150 feet from the first |
|
aluminum LCS, roughly the same size ship, both built to ABS, |
|
American Bureau of Shipping, quality standards. |
|
In the lifetime of our ship, we had two change orders that |
|
we found, sand eroded the intakes. There was sort of good |
|
commonsense changes that did not require any big design |
|
changes. One hundred fifty feet next to us, the first LCS, the |
|
aluminum LCS, which I think was an LCS 2, they averaged 75 |
|
change orders a week. Seventy-five change orders a week! |
|
I had one guy down there as my, what my equivalent would be |
|
SUPSHIPs [Supervisor of Shipbuilding] to supervise and oversee |
|
the shipyards. It was a great shipyard. The Navy had to build |
|
their own building to house all their SUPSHIPs people. And as a |
|
result, ours came in on budget, because we had a fixed-price |
|
budget. So we were on budget, on time, two change orders. |
|
Next door, they came in three times the price, the contract |
|
price, and a year and a half or 2 years late. And when you try |
|
to look at what the change orders did, they were all, you know, |
|
move the ashtray from here to there, some Beltway bandit had |
|
submitted a study that showed if you go from 38 knots top speed |
|
to 39 knots top speed that, therefore, there were instances |
|
where this could make a big difference and so that change order |
|
came down. Nobody knew who approved it, where it came from. It |
|
just got into the system from one of the 40 JROC [Joint |
|
Requirements Oversight Council] subcommittees. |
|
So whatever we do here--and this is really--a lot of good |
|
ideas are coming out of this committee. We have got to do it |
|
along with fixing and carrying out the reforms that you put |
|
into the defense bill this year, because if you just pour that |
|
money into the current dysfunctional system, it is wasting the |
|
money. |
|
Mr. Forbes. Gentlemen, you have been very patient with us. |
|
I have just a few more questions I would like to ask for the |
|
record. |
|
Admiral, you have spent a fair amount of time with the 7th |
|
Fleet in the Asia-Pacific area. Can you just give us a little |
|
capsule version of your experience there? And then if you could |
|
also tell us, based upon that experience, as you see our force |
|
structure there now, with also what you see with other forces |
|
there, how would you assess our capabilities there and your |
|
worries, if any? |
|
Admiral Natter. Yes, sir. |
|
As we have discussed prior to that question, the Navy and |
|
the fleet, when I was commander of the 7th Fleet, had roughly |
|
the same number of ships that are forward deployed there now, |
|
today. But we did not have a Chinese Navy that was worthy of |
|
being called a navy. The Russian Navy was back in port trying |
|
to keep their ships from rusting to the bottom. I visited |
|
Vladivostok. Their ships were a disgrace. |
|
The reality, though, is times have changed. We have a |
|
Russian Navy that is deploying, as I mentioned before, to Cold |
|
War levels. We have North Korea that has developed a nuclear |
|
weapon and the means to deliver it, in the process of means to |
|
deliver it. And we certainly have the Chinese Navy that is much |
|
more aggressive, much more capable, technologically and with |
|
force levels, and yet we still have roughly the same size as |
|
the 7th Fleet that we had when I was there. |
|
The idea, as Secretary Lehman has mentioned here today, |
|
that we are going to say we are not going to stand for them |
|
unilaterally claiming 645,000 square miles of ocean resources, |
|
and yet we don't have the means to put up and to confront them |
|
in the early stages of what they are doing. Because if we wait, |
|
and we don't get with our allies and say this is not something |
|
that we are going to allow to happen unilaterally, then it is |
|
going to become impossible further down the road. |
|
And if, as Secretary Lehman has mentioned, that we fall |
|
into a confrontation with them, and we have insufficient forces |
|
there to act in a responsible way as a capable Navy, then you |
|
are going to have American citizens who are serving our country |
|
die. And I would suggest that the government is responsible for |
|
that, and I would again applaud this committee for what you are |
|
doing to raise that as an important issue. |
|
Because I had it relatively easy as 7th Fleet commander; my |
|
successor today does not. He has a very, very tough problem to |
|
confront. |
|
Mr. Forbes. Would you be concerned if you were the 7th |
|
Fleet commander today? |
|
Admiral Natter. I think it goes without saying, yes, sir. I |
|
would be very concerned about the capability of my forces. |
|
Individually, they are great. |
|
And let me just say, we have been talking about force |
|
levels. The men and women serving in your military today are |
|
the best citizens this country could ever ask for. We just need |
|
to give them the tools to prevail if we ask them to go do |
|
something. That is what I am fearful of today. |
|
Mr. Forbes. There is a myth that--or at least I think it is |
|
a myth, I would like to have both of your opinions on it--that |
|
we are not going to need to increase the number of ships, in |
|
fact, the size of our force structure today because all of our |
|
future battles are going to be done with special forces and |
|
with unmanned platforms. |
|
Mr. Secretary, how would you respond to that argument? And |
|
then, Admiral, if you would give us your thoughts. |
|
Mr. Lehman. Well, of course, the Navy is a very visual |
|
service, and that is the advantage. Through the Cold War our |
|
fleet was visible throughout places like Singapore, and later |
|
Vietnam, and Malaysia, and Hong Kong, and Korea. Everybody knew |
|
we were there, and everybody knew these ships had real |
|
capability. And nobody doubted the ability of America to |
|
command the seas--that is to protect our allies and to keep |
|
free trade traveling and keep freedom of the seas. |
|
Today, I meet very few people in my travels who believe |
|
that is the case, even though they are totally pro-American. |
|
The fact that through most of the last 10 years we have had no |
|
combatants in the Mediterranean, for instance, when we normally |
|
had 40 or 50 combatants in the 6th Fleet during the Cold War. |
|
Now, I mean, I travel to places around the Mediterranean |
|
and they say, gee, we haven't had a liberty call here for 20 |
|
years. We haven't had a Navy ship. Don't you have a Navy |
|
anymore? Because they don't see it because we aren't there. So |
|
who knows what the next war is going to be tripped by, but |
|
there will be conflicts. There have been conflicts. |
|
Nobody foresaw, before 9/11--Presidents of both parties |
|
were saying that terrorism, yeah, it is a problem, but it is |
|
one that--you know, every President that I can recall, |
|
including, I must say, my sainted boss, President Reagan, their |
|
first response to every terrorist act was we will bring these |
|
people to justice. Well, who gives a damn about bringing these |
|
people to justice? You have got to prevent it from happening. |
|
And today, more and more of our enemies do not see us bringing |
|
anybody to justice and still let us be able to deter and to |
|
stop and to enforce freedom of the seas and so forth. |
|
Cyber is very important, and we are becoming more and more |
|
vulnerable to it. I don't know how many dozens of millions of |
|
lines of code are in the F-35, for instance. Many of our |
|
systems, just as our electrical grid, we think we have |
|
protected, but the thousands of hackers that are all over the |
|
world, that is just red meat to them. Oh, you think you have |
|
got a hack-proof system, and we find out that it is not hack |
|
proof. |
|
So who knows where it is going to come from, but history |
|
has told us that you say we cannot predict where and how the |
|
next war is going to break out. So you better be prepared for |
|
other contingencies than just the favorite ones you would hope |
|
would be the problem. |
|
Mr. Forbes. Admiral. |
|
Admiral Natter. I am glad you have asked this question, Mr. |
|
Chairman. I served with the Naval Special Warfare in Vietnam, |
|
worked with two SEAL [Sea, Air, and Land teams] platoons. I |
|
have very good friends in Ranger battalions and also Ranger |
|
Regiment and also in Naval Special Warfare, friends and |
|
relatives today. They are the very first ones who will tell you |
|
that they cannot be effective without the support and |
|
interaction of conventional forces. |
|
Let me give you an example: The SS Alabama, those SEALs who |
|
shot and killed the pirates who took the captain of the |
|
Alabama, how did they get on station? Air Force aircraft. From |
|
what platforms were they enabled to take those pirates down? A |
|
United States Navy ship supported by other ships and aircraft. |
|
Those SEALs did not just come out of the water and emerge and |
|
start shooting. |
|
Without conventional forces, without air support for our |
|
Rangers, and SEALs, and other special operators in Iraq and |
|
around the world, there is no way they can be as effective as |
|
they are today. There is a good place. They are very valuable |
|
to this Nation. I respect the heck out of them. But I agree |
|
with them; they would not be nearly as effective without strong |
|
conventional forces around the world. |
|
Mr. Lehman. Yeah. Even the delivery of the Special Forces, |
|
for instance, in Desert Storm came from the Kitty Hawk. I mean, |
|
the carriers are not just air wing carriers. I mean, when there |
|
was all the uproar during the Clinton administration in Haiti, |
|
it was a carrier that took the two airborne divisions down to |
|
Haiti and delivered them with their helicopters. |
|
The Navy is able to project power and to provide support |
|
anywhere in the world. Anywhere in the world. We have lost |
|
bases, 95 percent of the bases we had during the Cold War in |
|
Europe and in Asia. We don't have land bases. When there is a |
|
crisis that can be solved and put down before it escalates into |
|
a conflagration, it is the Navy that can go there. |
|
Yes, Air Force is an essential part of that as well, but 95 |
|
percent of the tonnage for any military contingency has to |
|
travel by sea. And if that is the case, whether it is a |
|
prepositioned ship in Diego Garcia, or a fast deployment ship |
|
or whatever, it has got to be protected by total air |
|
superiority and submarine superiority underneath. |
|
So the idea is so typical of Washington armchair think |
|
tanks that see this great new wave. That is why a mess was |
|
created in our Ford-class carrier, because the think tanks were |
|
saying, oh, the Navy is so stodgy. They never know what is |
|
happening in technology. We have to have a revolution in |
|
military warfare. We are going to put 12 new technologies into |
|
the aircraft carrier, so there you have a hull. It is a Nimitz |
|
hull. And it has got seven technologies today that we still |
|
don't know how to make work. |
|
Mr. Forbes. Last two questions because I know Mr. Courtney |
|
needs to go as well. |
|
Our carriers. There have been some arguments that we don't |
|
need carriers today. We need to maybe reduce the number we |
|
have. And there is even a proposal to take one of our carrier |
|
air wings out in the budget this year. |
|
Can you just tell us how important you think it is that we |
|
maintain at least 11 carriers and 10 air wings, or do you think |
|
we can reduce them down? Admiral. |
|
Admiral Natter. I would love to take that one on, sir. The |
|
assumption that we can do away with an air wing assumes that we |
|
are going to just be operating in peacetime. What happens when |
|
those aircraft go down through hostile fire? We will suffer |
|
casualties in warfare. There will be an opposition who wants to |
|
kill us as badly as we want to kill them, and they will be |
|
successful to a point. So the idea that we are operating on |
|
zero margin is crazy. |
|
With respect to the number of carriers, we have been |
|
operating 10 for really--and will be for about 10 years until |
|
Ford comes online and is able to deploy. These ships, as the |
|
Secretary has said, are deploying for 9 months now. It is |
|
crazy. And we have adjusted the rotation, the Fleet Response |
|
Plan to accommodate really longer deployments. What does that |
|
do? It builds up deferred maintenance on the part of these |
|
ships and aircraft. |
|
The F-18s, they can't get them through depot quickly enough |
|
because when they have opened them up they have found problems |
|
that were more critical than they expected, primarily because |
|
of the high flight hours on the F-18s. So we need to be able to |
|
have sufficient force structure for what the national command |
|
authority is asking our ships, our squadrons, and our people to |
|
do. |
|
Mr. Forbes. Good. Last question for you is this: I think |
|
both of you basically concurred we need about 350 ships. Is |
|
that fair? We have both witnesses are nodding. |
|
Mr. Lehman. Yes. |
|
Mr. Forbes. There was a question that we were asked about |
|
what the makeup of those ships would be. We can't get there |
|
overnight. But as we start allocating our dollars, where would |
|
you suggest we start, as we go from where we are today to |
|
perhaps one day getting back to 350. What is the most important |
|
investments we need to make over the next 5-plus years? |
|
Mr. Lehman. Well, I would say the biggest lack is |
|
antisubmarine capability, and the frigate is perhaps the most |
|
glaring deficiency. The less sexy things--you know, everybody |
|
likes to debate how many of this and how many of that, |
|
airplanes and ships, but the things like the towed arrays, and |
|
the former SOSUS [Sound Surveillance System] arrays, and the |
|
less sexy things that are fundamentally important to having an |
|
environment where you do command the seas. Those are the ones |
|
that get left out when you get into shooting wars, in the |
|
Middle East and elsewhere, and you have insufficient budgets, |
|
but you are told you have got to keep this many ships and hit |
|
these many deployments. |
|
All of that unsexy stuff disappears from the budgets. The |
|
committees don't concentrate on them, because there is only so |
|
many things that a committee like yours can really take on. And |
|
we are leaving ourselves today in a very dangerous position |
|
vis-a-vis the submarines, not just the Chinese, Russian nuclear |
|
submarines, but the huge proliferation of good, quiet, diesel |
|
electric subs. |
|
And the cruise missile threat and so much is said by people |
|
that say, oh, get rid of the aircraft carriers, they are just |
|
targets. We have dealt with the problem of ballistic missile |
|
attacks on the submarines for as long as I have been involved |
|
with the Navy. The Russians had them. The technology has moved |
|
on. But our defensive technology has moved on. |
|
So, yes, we are going to get hit. Any of the surface ships |
|
are going to get hit by missiles, by conventional missiles. But |
|
that doesn't mean that it is going to take them out of action |
|
or prevent the defeat of our potential enemies. So if there is |
|
one issue I would urge you to really focus on, it is our |
|
vulnerability to enemy submarines of both conventional and |
|
nuclear. |
|
Mr. Forbes. Admiral. |
|
Admiral Natter. To me, the question really begs a |
|
commonsense response, an answer. And that is, what is the best |
|
way to achieve roughly a 350-ship Navy, because I think in |
|
gross numbers that is what the requirement is, and do it in a |
|
way where we are not wasting money. Industry has got to be |
|
involved in this. We don't want to say, all right, start |
|
building five submarines a year, for example. That is not going |
|
to happen without wasting a lot of money. |
|
What I would suggest is that we establish as an overall |
|
goal 350. You say we are going to up it to three submarines a |
|
year, three DDGs [guided missile destroyers] a year. We are |
|
going to shorten the timeline between the start of a new |
|
carrier from 5 years to 4 years. That will eventually drive it |
|
up to 12 carriers. And ASW [antisubmarine warfare] ships and |
|
aircraft, the P-8 is a good start. We need surface ships that |
|
can conduct competent ASW. |
|
And we also need to build amphibious lift. The Marines have |
|
a steady drumbeat, as you all Members of Congress know. They |
|
need the lift for their people. The way to do that is in a |
|
gradual industry-sensitive way that gets us to where we want to |
|
go, gets us on the right track, and doesn't burn money in the |
|
process. |
|
Mr. Lehman. Yeah, I would just like to add one fillip to |
|
the admiral. I agree with him completely. But in the 1980s, we |
|
froze designs, which enabled contractors to bid fixed price. |
|
You can't bid fixed price if there is 75 change orders a week. |
|
It is impossible. You have got to go to cost-plus. That is why |
|
everything today in procurement is cost-plus even when they say |
|
it is fixed price. It is really every time a change order comes |
|
in that allows them to escape the strictures of the fixed-price |
|
contract. |
|
So unless the Navy does its part in preventing change |
|
orders, then you can't expect contractors to be held to fixed- |
|
price competitive contracts. The three and three worked |
|
brilliantly during the 1980s. We had three subs. The low-priced |
|
bidder for two got the two, and the high-price got the one. And |
|
the same with--that is how we built all the Arleigh Burke |
|
destroyers, how we built all the Tico [Ticonderoga]-class Aegis |
|
cruisers, all the submarines. We competed everything every |
|
year. And that discipline got better ideas, it got innovations. |
|
Because when you are looking at the guy running next to you |
|
trying to take your extra ship, then things happen. That is how |
|
we were able to return $8 billion to the Treasury, in effect. |
|
So we have got to get back to that. |
|
But you can't ask the contractors to take those kinds of |
|
risks until you get control of the constant change and the |
|
bureaucratic method of running a business, which average, as |
|
you know, in the ACAT I and II, we average 22.5 years to go |
|
from the requirement to the first fielding. That is insane. It |
|
took 4 years for Polaris and Minuteman, 4 years to do the same |
|
thing. But then, of course, the defense bureaucracy was about |
|
one-tenth the size it is now. |
|
Mr. Forbes. Gentlemen, we thank you. |
|
Mr. Courtney, did you have anything else? |
|
Thank you both again for your service to our country. Thank |
|
you for laying this foundation for us, which we hope will help |
|
us build upon to rebuild the number of ships that we need in |
|
our Navy. If either of you have any last comments that you |
|
would like to offer before we go? |
|
Mr. Lehman. Keep up the good work. |
|
Mr. Forbes. Okay. |
|
Admiral Natter. Amen to that, sir. |
|
And I would just like to emphasize again, our men and women |
|
deserve your support, and I want to thank you and the fellow |
|
members of your committee for that support. Good luck with the |
|
rest of the Hill. |
|
Mr. Forbes. Thank you. And with that, we are adjourned. |
|
[Whereupon, at 5:05 p.m., the subcommittee was adjourned.] |
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A P P E N D I X |
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April 13, 2016 |
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PREPARED STATEMENTS SUBMITTED FOR THE RECORD |
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April 13, 2016 |
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[GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] |
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