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<title> - THE PRESIDENT'S FISCAL YEAR 2012 BUDGET</title> |
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[House Hearing, 112 Congress] |
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[From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] |
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THE PRESIDENT'S |
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FISCAL YEAR 2012 BUDGET |
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HEARING |
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before the |
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COMMITTEE ON THE BUDGET |
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HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES |
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ONE HUNDRED TWELFTH CONGRESS |
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FIRST SESSION |
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HEARING HELD IN WASHINGTON, DC, FEBRUARY 15, 2011 |
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Serial No. 112-4 |
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Printed for the use of the Committee on the Budget |
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Available on the Internet: |
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http://www.gpoaccess.gov/congress/house/budget/index.html |
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U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE |
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64-728 WASHINGTON : 2011 |
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For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing |
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Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512-1800; DC |
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area (202) 512-1800 Fax: (202) 512-2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC |
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20402-0001 |
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COMMITTEE ON THE BUDGET |
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PAUL RYAN, Wisconsin, Chairman |
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SCOTT GARRETT, New Jersey CHRIS VAN HOLLEN, Maryland, |
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MICHAEL K. SIMPSON, Idaho Ranking Minority Member |
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JOHN CAMPBELL, California ALLYSON Y. SCHWARTZ, Pennsylvania |
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KEN CALVERT, California MARCY KAPTUR, Ohio |
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W. TODD AKIN, Missouri LLOYD DOGGETT, Texas |
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TOM COLE, Oklahoma EARL BLUMENAUER, Oregon |
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TOM PRICE, Georgia BETTY McCOLLUM, Minnesota |
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TOM McCLINTOCK, California JOHN A. YARMUTH, Kentucky |
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JASON CHAFFETZ, Utah BILL PASCRELL, Jr., New Jersey |
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MARLIN A. STUTZMAN, Indiana MICHAEL M. HONDA, California |
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JAMES LANKFORD, Oklahoma TIM RYAN, Ohio |
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DIANE BLACK, Tennessee DEBBIE WASSERMAN SCHULTZ, Florida |
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REID J. RIBBLE, Wisconsin GWEN MOORE, Wisconsin |
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BILL FLORES, Texas KATHY CASTOR, Florida |
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MICK MULVANEY, South Carolina HEATH SHULER, North Carolina |
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TIM HUELSKAMP, Kansas PAUL TONKO, New York |
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TODD C. YOUNG, Indiana KAREN BASS, California |
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JUSTIN AMASH, Michigan |
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TODD ROKITA, Indiana |
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FRANK C. GUINTA, New Hampshire |
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ROB WOODALL, Georgia |
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Professional Staff |
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Austin Smythe, Staff Director |
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Thomas S. Kahn, Minority Staff Director |
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C O N T E N T S |
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Page |
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Hearing held in Washington, DC, February 15, 2011................ 1 |
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Hon. Paul Ryan, Chairman, Committee on the Budget............ 1 |
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Prepared statement of.................................... 2 |
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Questions submitted for the record....................... 66 |
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Hon. Chris Van Hollen, ranking minority member, Committee on |
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the Budget................................................. 3 |
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Prepared statement of.................................... 4 |
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Hon. Jacob J. Lew, Director, Office of Management and Budget. 5 |
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Prepared statement of.................................... 8 |
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Responses to questions submitted for the record.......... 66 |
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Hon. John A. Yarmuth, a Representative in Congress from the |
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State of Kentucky, questions submitted for the record...... 81 |
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THE PRESIDENT'S FISCAL YEAR 2012 BUDGET |
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TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 15, 2011 |
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House of Representatives, |
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Committee on the Budget, |
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Washington, DC. |
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The committee met, pursuant to call, at 10:00 a.m., in room |
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210, Cannon House Office Building, Hon. Paul Ryan, [Chairman of |
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the Committee] presiding. |
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Present: Representatives Ryan, Simpson, Campbell, Calvert, |
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Akin, Cole, Price, McClintock, Chaffetz, Stutzman, Lankford, |
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Black, Ribble, Flores, Mulvaney, Huelskamp, Young, Amash, |
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Rokita, Guinta, Woodall, Van Hollen, Schwartz, Kaptur, Doggett, |
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Blumenauer, McCollum, Pascrell, Ryan of Ohio, Wasserman |
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Schultz, Moore, Castor, Tonko, and Bass. |
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Chairman Ryan. Director Lew, welcome back, I understand |
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there is a traffic problem that tied you up, those things can |
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happen. The President is fortunate that you agreed to a return |
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assignment at Office of Management and Budget. This one is |
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going to be a little different than the last one, I think, |
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because the fiscal situation is so much worse. You have come |
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under a darkening fiscal outlook. We are aware of the |
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challenges that you face in putting this budget together, and |
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we thank you for your hard work and for coming here today. |
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Having said all of that, the budget of the United States is |
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more than just about arithmetic. It is a statement of national |
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priorities. It is a gauge of our national health. Because we |
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face a crippling burden of debt, this year's budget in |
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particular presented the President with a unique opportunity to |
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lead our country. |
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The President has disappointed us all by declining that |
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opportunity. He punted. Instead of confronting our debt head- |
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on, the President has presented us with a budget that spends |
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too much, borrows too much, and taxes too much, and that costs |
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jobs and opportunities. His budget would double the amount of |
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debt held by the public by the end of this term, and triple it |
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on the 10th anniversary of his inauguration. |
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To be sure, our country was already on an unsustainable |
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fiscal trajectory before he took office. Our debt is the |
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product of acts by many Presidents and many Congresses over |
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many years. Both of our political parties share the blame in |
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where we have come to. Nevertheless, the President's policies |
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have accelerated us down this disastrous path. He has made our |
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spending problems worse with policies such as the failed |
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stimulus and a brand-new open-ended health care entitlement. He |
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has argued for massive tax increases that would stifle economic |
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growth and job creation, and make our fiscal picture worse. His |
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budget alone contains $1.6 trillion in higher taxes on American |
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families, businesses, and entrepreneurs. In our nation's most |
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pressing fiscal challenges, the President has abdicated his |
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leadership role. |
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First, he punted to a bipartisan Fiscal Commission to |
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develop solutions to the problem. Then, when his own commission |
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put forward a set of fundamental entitlement and tax reforms, a |
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commission comprised of a majority of Democrats, he ignored |
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them. He even failed to take the commission's advice on less |
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sensitive subjects, such as discretionary spending. His budget |
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would increase discretionary spending by $353 billion, relative |
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to his commission's proposals. |
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Former Clinton Chief of Staff, and co-chair of the Fiscal |
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Commission, a man who I have great respect for, a Democrat, |
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Erskine Bowles said, quote, The budget goes nowhere near where |
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they will have to go to resolve our fiscal nightmare. The |
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President's budget disregards the drivers of our debt crisis |
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and the insolvency of our entitlement programs. Every day that |
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passes without leadership on this crucial challenge is another |
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day of uncertainty for job creators, and a darkening economic |
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prospect for millions of Americans living in the shadow of our |
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growing and unsustainable debt. |
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The politically safe response, I suppose, is to do nothing. |
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I wonder about that, though. Unfortunately, this is the path |
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the President has chosen. We feel that it is our responsibility |
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to do things differently, to lead where he has fallen short, |
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and that is exactly what we plan to do. |
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With that, I will yield to Ranking Member Van Hollen for an |
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opening statement. |
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[The statement of Chairman Ryan follows:] |
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Prepared Statement of Hon. Paul Ryan, Chairman, Committee on the Budget |
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Director Lew, welcome back. |
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The President is fortunate that you agreed to a return assignment |
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to OMB under a darkening fiscal outlook. We are aware of the challenges |
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you faced in putting this budget together, and we thank you for your |
|
hard work. |
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The Budget of the United States is about much more than arithmetic. |
|
It is a statement of national priorities--and a gauge of our nation's |
|
health. |
|
Because we face a crippling burden of debt, this year's budget in |
|
particular presented the President with a unique opportunity to lead |
|
our country. |
|
The President has disappointed us all by declining that |
|
opportunity. He punted. |
|
Instead of confronting our debt head on, the President has |
|
presented us with a budget that spends too much, borrows too much and |
|
taxes too much. His budget would double the amount of debt held by the |
|
public by the end of his term--and triple it by the tenth anniversary |
|
of his inauguration. |
|
To be sure, our country was already on an unsustainable trajectory |
|
before he took office. Our debt is the product of acts by many |
|
presidents and many Congresses over many years. Both parties share the |
|
blame. |
|
Nevertheless, this President's policies have accelerated us down |
|
this disastrous path. He has made our spending problems worse with |
|
policies such as the failed stimulus and the new health care |
|
entitlement. |
|
He has argued for massive tax increases that would stifle economic |
|
growth and make our fiscal picture worse--this budget alone contains |
|
$1.6 trillion in higher taxes on American families, businesses and |
|
entrepreneurs. |
|
And on our nation's most pressing fiscal challenges, the President |
|
has abdicated his leadership role. First, he punted to a bipartisan |
|
commission to develop solutions to the problem. |
|
Then, when his own commission put forward a set of fundamental |
|
entitlement and tax reforms, he ignored them. Erskine Bowles, the |
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Democratic chairman of the fiscal commission, said the White House |
|
budget request goes ``nowhere near where they will have to go to |
|
resolve our fiscal nightmare.'' |
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He even failed to take the commission's advice on less sensitive |
|
subjects, such as discretionary spending: His budget would increase |
|
discretionary spending by $353 billion relative to the commission's |
|
proposals. |
|
The President's budget disregards the drivers of our debt crisis |
|
and the insolvency of our entitlement programs. |
|
Every day that passes without leadership on this crucial challenge |
|
is another day of uncertainty for job creators and darkening economic |
|
prospects for millions of Americas living in the shadow of our growing |
|
debt. |
|
The politically safe response, I suppose, is to do nothing. |
|
Unfortunately, this is the path the President has chosen. |
|
We feel that it's our responsibility to do things differently--to |
|
lead where he has fallen short. And that's exactly what we plan to do. |
|
With that, I will yield to Ranking Member Van Hollen for an opening |
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statement. |
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Mr. Van Hollen. Thank you, Chairman Ryan, welcome Director |
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Lew. I know that President Obama, like President Clinton, will |
|
be well-served by having you at the helm of Office of |
|
Management and Budget. And I thank you for being here to |
|
discuss the President's budget. And while we are still |
|
reviewing some of the details, I want to commend the President |
|
for putting forth a budget that reduces our deficit while also |
|
investing in our future. |
|
This is a tough-love budget. It cuts non-security |
|
discretionary spending by $400 billion, taking that category of |
|
spending to the lowest share of GDP since the Eisenhower |
|
Administration. And starting this year, it steadily decreases |
|
the deficit, and brings the budget to primary balance by the |
|
year 2017. But the President's budget cuts the deficit while |
|
making critical investments in areas like education, clean |
|
energy, infrastructure, and scientific innovation. |
|
Last week, Chairman of the Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke |
|
testified before this committee about the importance of |
|
targeted national investments to help grow the economy and keep |
|
America competitive. He highlighted the need to pursue policies |
|
to foster economic growth, quote, By encouraging investment in |
|
the skills of our workforce as well as new machinery and |
|
equipment, by promoting research and development, and by |
|
providing necessary public infrastructure. This budget does |
|
that. |
|
As we debate the best way forward, our conversation must |
|
include a comprehensive review of our national balance sheet. |
|
It is simply short-sighted to think we can try to balance our |
|
budget through cuts in domestic discretionary spending alone, a |
|
category that represents only 12 percent of the overall budget. |
|
We must look to other areas, including comprehensive tax |
|
reform, and eliminating special interest breaks in the tax |
|
code. The President's budget moves in the right direction by |
|
putting an end to taxpayer dollars going to subsidies for big |
|
oil companies at a time when gas is costing American families |
|
more than $3 a gallon, and oil companies are making huge |
|
profits; there is no reason to subsidize those companies and |
|
short-change investments in education and Head Start, as some |
|
of our colleagues are proposing to do today on the floor of the |
|
House. |
|
This budget extends tax cuts for middle class tax families, |
|
but rejects tax breaks for those at the very top. It takes a |
|
balanced approach, much like the budgets under President |
|
Clinton. Under the Clinton Administration, the country enjoyed |
|
real economic growth of 3.9 percent per year, and the economy |
|
added 20.8 million private sector jobs. That balanced approach |
|
allowed us to not only stop running deficits, but actually |
|
achieve surpluses and begin to reduce our nation's debt. |
|
Unfortunately, those surpluses disappeared under the previous |
|
Bush Administration. They cut taxes for the wealthy and turned |
|
a $5.6 trillion surplus into a sea of deficits, lost 653,000 |
|
private sector jobs over that eight year period. |
|
In January, 2009, when the President raised his hand and |
|
was sworn in, he was handed an economy in free-fall that was |
|
losing 700,000 jobs a month, and a record $1.3 trillion |
|
deficit. Unfortunately, some of the first acts of the new |
|
Congress were to eliminate the PAYGO rule, and add $230 billion |
|
to that deficit in connection with health care reform. |
|
Having spent the first two years working to rescue the |
|
economy, working with Congress and the American people, the |
|
President's budget is now focused on strengthening the economy |
|
with a plan of targeted investments and deficit reduction. It |
|
stands in stark contrast, I might say, to the approach that we |
|
are seeing by our colleagues on the floor of the House, which |
|
is to slash important programs immediately, disregarding the |
|
impact on the fragile economy and workers. |
|
It is critical that our nation's budget strike the right |
|
balance with both spending and revenue, and I believe the |
|
President's budget makes an important effort to hit the right |
|
note. It is a starting point. I must say, it is interesting to |
|
hear many of our colleagues on the Republican side criticize |
|
the President for not putting more of the ideas of the |
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Bipartisan Deficit-Debt Reduction Commission on the table, when |
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in the House, the representatives to that commission voted |
|
against it. |
|
That being said, and I am going to conclude, Mr. Chairman, |
|
in order to tackle our longer-term fiscal challenges beyond the |
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10-year period of this budget, it is important that the White |
|
House and the Congress, Republicans and Democrats, come |
|
together to seriously discuss and consider the ideas in the |
|
Commission's proposal. Compromise is not a dirty word. Getting |
|
things done requires give and take. We should begin that |
|
conversation now. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
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[The statement of Mr. Van Hollen follows:] |
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Prepared Statement of Hon. Chris Van Hollen, Ranking Minority Member, |
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Committee on the Budget |
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Thank you very much, Chairman Ryan. |
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Welcome, Director Lew. I know that President Obama, like President |
|
Clinton, will be well-served by having you at the helm of the Office of |
|
Management and Budget. |
|
Thank you for being here today to discuss the President's budget. |
|
While we are still reviewing some of the details, I want to commend the |
|
President for submitting a budget that reduces our deficit, while also |
|
investing in our future. This is a tough love budget. It cuts non- |
|
security discretionary spending by $400 billion over the next decade-- |
|
taking that category of spending to the lowest share of GDP since the |
|
Eisenhower Administration. And, starting this year, it steadily |
|
decreases the deficit and brings the budget to primary balance by 2017. |
|
But the President's budget cuts the deficit while making critical |
|
investments in areas like education, clean energy, infrastructure, and |
|
scientific innovation. Last week Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke |
|
testified before this committee about the importance of targeted |
|
national investments to help grow the economy and keep America |
|
competitive. He highlighted the need to pursue policies to foster |
|
economic growth 'by encouraging investment in the skills of our |
|
workforce as well as new machinery and equipment, by promoting research |
|
and development, and by providing necessary public infrastructure.' |
|
This budget does that. |
|
As we debate the best way forward, our conversation must include a |
|
comprehensive review of our national balance sheet. It is simply short- |
|
sighted to think we can try to balance our budget through cuts in |
|
domestic discretionary spending alone--a category that represents only |
|
12 percent of the overall budget. We must also look to other areas, |
|
including comprehensive tax reform and eliminating special interest |
|
breaks in the tax code. The President's budget moves in the right |
|
direction by putting an end to taxpayer dollars going to subsidies for |
|
big oil companies. At a time when gas is costing American families more |
|
than $3 a gallon and oil companies are making huge profits, there is no |
|
reason to subsidize big oil companies and short-change funding for Head |
|
Start and education, as our Republican colleagues are proposing to do |
|
today on the House floor. President Obama's budget also extends tax |
|
cuts for middle class families, but rejects tax cuts for the wealthiest |
|
2 percent of Americans. At a time of huge deficits, we cannot afford to |
|
ask our children to pay for tax breaks for the folks at the very top. |
|
The President's budget takes a balanced approach, much like the |
|
budgets under President Clinton. Under the Clinton Administration, the |
|
country enjoyed real economic growth of 3.9 percent per year and the |
|
economy added 20.8 million private-sector jobs. That balanced approach |
|
allowed us to not only stop running deficits, but actually achieve |
|
surpluses and begin to reduce our nation's debt. Unfortunately, those |
|
surpluses were squandered under the Bush Administration. The Bush |
|
Administration cut taxes for the wealthy and turned a $5.6 trillion |
|
surplus into a sea of deficits and lost 653,000 private-sector jobs |
|
over eight years. In January 2009 the Obama Administration was handed |
|
an economy in free fall that was losing over 700,000 jobs a month and a |
|
record $1.3 trillion deficit. |
|
Having spent its first two years working to rescue the economy, the |
|
President's budget is now focused on strengthening the economy with a |
|
plan of targeted investments and deficit reduction. The President's |
|
approach stands in stark contrast to the House Republicans' plan being |
|
debated on the House floor today. That plan would recklessly slash |
|
important programs immediately--disregarding the impact to American |
|
workers and our fragile recovery. The President's Bipartisan Commission |
|
charged with reducing our national debt and deficit stated that 'in |
|
order to avoid shocking the fragile economy, the Commission recommends |
|
waiting until 2012 to begin enacting programmatic spending cuts.' The |
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Rivlin-Domenici Commission rendered the same advice. Deep cuts now will |
|
not create a single job; in fact, Mark Zandi and other economists have |
|
warned against deep spending cuts that would put thousands of American |
|
jobs at risk. President Obama, on the other hand, has laid out a long- |
|
term, responsible path to fiscal sustainability. He has proposed |
|
significant but targeted cuts that stand in contrast to the House |
|
Republicans' hatchet job on the budget that will cost many Americans |
|
their jobs. |
|
It is critical that our nation's budget strikes the right balance |
|
with both spending and revenue, and I believe the President's budget |
|
makes an important effort to hit the right note. It is an important |
|
starting point. That being said, in order to tackle our longer-term |
|
fiscal challenges--beyond the 10 year period of this budget--it is |
|
important that the White House and the Congress, Republicans and |
|
Democrats, come together to seriously discuss and consider the ideas in |
|
the Commission's proposal. Compromise is not a dirty word. Getting |
|
things done requires give and take. We should begin that conversation |
|
now. |
|
|
|
Chairman Ryan. Mr. Lew, the floor is yours. |
|
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STATEMENT OF JACOB J. LEW, DIRECTOR, |
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OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET |
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Mr. Lew. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Ranking Member Van |
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Hollen, members of the Committee, thanks for having me here |
|
today to present the President's 2012 budget. It is a real |
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honor to be here again after 10 years, presenting the |
|
President's budget, and I thank the Chairman and the Ranking |
|
Member for the very kind personal words that they opened with. |
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I have a great deal of respect for each of them, and look |
|
forward to working together in a bipartisan way as we move |
|
through the long and difficult process. |
|
After emerging from the worst recession in generations, we |
|
face another historic challenge. We need to demonstrate to the |
|
American people that we can live within our means and invest in |
|
the future. We need to work our way out of the deficits that |
|
are driving up our debt, and at the same time make the tough |
|
choices to make sure that we are in a position to out-educate, |
|
out-build, and out-innovate our competitors. That is what it is |
|
going to take to return to robust economic health and to grow |
|
jobs in the future. |
|
This is the seventh budget that I have worked on at the |
|
Office of Management and Budget, and the most difficult. It |
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includes more than $1 trillion in deficit reduction, two-thirds |
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of it from lower spending, and it puts the nation on a path |
|
towards fiscal sustainability so that by the middle of the |
|
decade, the government will no longer be adding to our national |
|
debt as a share of the economy. By the middle of the decade, we |
|
will be able to pay our current bills and remain in primary |
|
balance for many years after that. |
|
The President has called this budget a down-payment. |
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Because we still have work to do to pay down the debt and |
|
address our long-term challenges. But we can't start to pay |
|
down the debt until we stop adding to it. And that is what this |
|
budget does. |
|
The budget lays out a strategy for significant deficit |
|
reduction, the most deficit reduction in a comparable period |
|
since the end of World War II. It will bring our deficit down |
|
to about three percent of the economy by the middle of the |
|
decade, and stay there for the rest of this budget window. |
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Changing the trajectory of our fiscal path is a significant |
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accomplishment, but to do this it will take tough choices, and |
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I would like to highlight just a few of them. |
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Our budget includes a five-year, non-security discretionary |
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spending freeze that will reduce the deficit by over $400 |
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billion over the next decade, and bring spending in this |
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category of the budget to the lowest level since President |
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Eisenhower sat in the Oval Office. To achieve savings of this |
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magnitude, it is not enough to just deal with programs that are |
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outdated, or ineffective, or duplicative, though we do start |
|
there. It is also necessary to make reductions in programs |
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that, absent the current fiscal situation, we wouldn't be |
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looking for reductions. Programs like low-income energy |
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assistance and Community Development Block Grants. |
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In national security, which we are not freezing, we are |
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also making real cuts. Defense spending over the past decade |
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has been growing faster than inflation, and we can no longer |
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afford that. The budget cuts $78 billion for the Pentagon's |
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spending plan over the next five years, which will bring |
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Defense spending down to zero real growth. It cuts weapon |
|
programs that Secretary Gates and the military leadership says |
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we don't need, and we can't afford. We are also capturing |
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savings that come from bringing our troops home from Iraq, |
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which, when you add it in, brings defense spending down by more |
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than five percent, compared to the President's budget of last |
|
year. |
|
Of course, cutting discretionary spending alone can't solve |
|
our fiscal problems. This budget also deals with mandatory |
|
spending and with revenue, and it takes significant steps to |
|
address our long-term fiscal challenges. For example, this |
|
budget shows that we can pay for solutions to two problems that |
|
we have been all too willing to kick down the road by putting |
|
on the national credit card. One is preventing a nearly 30 |
|
percent reduction in reimbursements to doctors in Medicare, to |
|
keep doctors in the system and treating patients. Another is |
|
preventing an increase in taxes on middle class families |
|
through the Alternative Minimum Tax, commonly known as the AMT. |
|
In December, there was bipartisan agreement to pay for a |
|
one-year extension of the so-called Doc-Fix, which was not |
|
required by budget rules, but it was the right thing to do. In |
|
this budget, we build on that, and we have $62 billion of |
|
savings to pay for the next two years of this fix. And those |
|
three years of paying for the Doc-Fix establishes a clear |
|
pattern and creates a window so we can work together, so that |
|
we can address this in the future without adding to the |
|
deficit. |
|
With regard to the Alternative Minimum Tax, we have offsets |
|
in the budget to pay for three years of what is called a patch. |
|
And we could pay for it by limiting the amount that those in |
|
the highest tax bracket can receive for itemized deductions. It |
|
is a big step towards cutting back on spending in the tax code, |
|
and it is consistent with the Fiscal Commission |
|
recommendations. If we continue on this path of paying for the |
|
AMT patch after 2014, it alone will reduce the deficit by one |
|
percent of GDP by the end of the decade. These both are down- |
|
payments on long-term reform to reduce the deficit further, and |
|
the administration looks forward to working with Congress to |
|
permanently cover these costs once and for all. |
|
Similarly, as the President said in the State of the Union, |
|
we are eager to work together on a deficit-neutral corporate |
|
tax reform that will simplify the system, eliminating special |
|
interest loopholes and level the playing field, and lower the |
|
corporate tax rate for the first time in 25 years. And while it |
|
does not contribute to our deficits in the short or medium |
|
term, the President has laid out his principles to strengthen |
|
Social Security, has called on Congress to work in a bipartisan |
|
fashion, to keep this compact with future generations. |
|
As we take these steps to live within our means, we also |
|
invest in the areas critical to future economic growth and job |
|
creation: education, innovation, clean energy, and |
|
infrastructure. And even in these areas, the budget cuts |
|
programs in order to fund high-priority investments. For |
|
example, in education, we maintain the increased maximum Pell |
|
Grant level, which is enabling nine million students to pay for |
|
college education, and we pay for it with a $100 billion in |
|
savings that primarily come from eliminating summer-school Pell |
|
Grants and eliminating the graduate student in-school loan |
|
subsidy. |
|
In the area of innovation, we support $148 billion in |
|
research and development investments, including $32 billion for |
|
the National Institutes of Health. And we need visionary goals |
|
to bring about a new clean energy economy to help pay for these |
|
investments. Lower priority programs are cut, and we eliminate |
|
12 tax breaks for oil, gas, and coal companies, that will raise |
|
$46 billion over 10 years. |
|
And to build the infrastructure we need to compete, the |
|
budget includes a proposal for a $556 billion surface |
|
transportation re-authorization bill. Not only does this plan |
|
include the consolidation of 60 duplicative, often-earmarked |
|
programs into five, and it demands more competition for funds, |
|
but we insist that the bill be paid for, and we look forward to |
|
working in a bipartisan manner to do that. |
|
Mr. Chairman, I am under no illusions how difficult it is |
|
to make the tough choices needed to put us on a sustainable |
|
fiscal path. As we make these choices, I believe that it is |
|
important that we not cut areas that are critical to helping |
|
our economy to grow, and making a difference for families and |
|
businesses. |
|
Finally, cutting spending and cutting our deficits requires |
|
us to put political differences aside, and working together. I |
|
look forward to working with you and crafting a set of policies |
|
that enable us to live within our means and invest in the |
|
future. And I look forward to answering your questions. Thank |
|
you very much. |
|
[The statement of Mr. Lew follows:] |
|
|
|
Prepared Statement of Hon. Jacob J. Lew, Director, |
|
Office of Management and Budget |
|
|
|
Chairman Ryan, Ranking Member Van Hollen, and Members of the |
|
Committee, thank you for inviting me to testify this morning about the |
|
President's Fiscal Year 2012 Budget. |
|
As the President has said, now that the country is back from the |
|
brink of a potential economic collapse, our goal is to win the future |
|
by out-educating, out-building and out-innovating our competitors so |
|
that we can return to robust economic and job growth. But to make room |
|
for the investments we need to foster growth, we have to cut what we |
|
cannot afford. We have to reduce the burden placed on our economy by |
|
years of deficits and debt. |
|
This is the seventh budget I have worked on at OMB and the most |
|
difficult. It is a budget of shared sacrifice across the Federal |
|
government. It is a budget that makes tough choices to begin to tackle |
|
our major fiscal challenges. It is a budget that transitions from |
|
rescuing the economy to investing in our future. It is a budget that |
|
lives within our means in order to compete effectively in the world |
|
economy. |
|
then and now |
|
The world has changed since I last served at OMB. When I left OMB |
|
in January 2001, we had balanced the budget and projected a surplus of |
|
$5.6 trillion over the next decade. In fact, we projected that the U.S. |
|
would effectively be debt-free by 2013. Unprecedented economic growth |
|
was certainly a key driver of budget surpluses. But in a virtuous |
|
cycle, a commitment by the President and the Congress to maintain a |
|
surplus reinforced expectation of Federal fiscal responsibility, which |
|
had a positive impact on interest rates and further helped to spur |
|
economic growth. This surplus was the result of year after year of |
|
fiscal discipline including budget agreements in 1990, 1993 and 1997. |
|
Presidents and congressional majorities from both parties reached |
|
across the aisle to make tough policy choices. |
|
When I returned as OMB Director last November to a projected |
|
deficit of $10.4 trillion--a sixteen trillion dollar swing in just over |
|
ten years--the fiscal picture could not have been more different. Large |
|
deficits were driven by two main factors: first, the worst economic |
|
downturn in a generation and policy response necessary to rescue the |
|
economy, and second, the decision in prior years to give two large tax |
|
cuts without offsetting them and to create a Medicare prescription drug |
|
benefit without paying for it. |
|
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|
|
|
Clearly, the challenges we face today are very different than those |
|
we faced more than a decade ago, when many of us worked together to |
|
balance the budget. |
|
our record |
|
Bringing the Economy Back from the Brink |
|
It is useful to begin by reviewing the state of our economy, |
|
because it shows how far we have come but also how far we need to go. |
|
When the President took office the economy was in freefall. Real |
|
gross domestic product (GDP) was dropping at an annual rate of 4.9 |
|
percent after falling at an annual rate of 6.8 percent the previous |
|
quarter. The economy was losing an average of 783,000 private sector |
|
jobs per month. A steep decline in the stock market combined with |
|
falling home prices led to a significant loss of household wealth. |
|
Between the third quarter of 2007 and the first quarter of 2009, the |
|
real net worth of American households declined by 28 percent--the |
|
equivalent of one year's GDP. |
|
In the last year, we have seen some encouraging signs that the |
|
trajectory has changed and that a recovery is beginning to take hold. |
|
An economy that had been shrinking for nearly a year is now growing |
|
again--over the past six quarters, through the first quarter of FY |
|
2011, real GDP has grown at an average rate of 3.2 percent. After |
|
nearly two years of job losses, more than one million private sector |
|
jobs were added to the economy in 2010. Capital and credit markets are |
|
functioning and gaining strength. And after teetering on the brink of |
|
liquidation just two years ago, America's auto industry is posting |
|
healthy gains and returning money to the taxpayers who helped it |
|
through a period of turmoil. |
|
What changed? |
|
Just 28 days after taking office, the President signed into law the |
|
Recovery Act to create and save jobs and to invest in an economy able |
|
to compete in the 21st century. Approximately one-third, or $288 |
|
billion, of the Act's funds went to tax cuts for small businesses and |
|
95 percent of working families. Another third, or $224 billion, was |
|
used for emergency relief for individuals and state and local |
|
governments. The final third was invested in projects to create jobs, |
|
spur economic activity, and lay the foundation for future sustained |
|
growth. |
|
This investment had a powerful impact. The White House Council of |
|
Economic Advisers (CEA) estimates that the Recovery Act raised the |
|
level of GDP as of the third quarter of 2010 by 2.7 percentage points, |
|
relative to what it would have been absent intervention, and raised |
|
employment relative to what it otherwise would have been by between 2.7 |
|
and 3.7 million jobs in the same time frame. |
|
And we have acted together to build on this growth. In March 2010, |
|
the President signed the Hiring Incentives to Restore Employment (HIRE) |
|
Act that provided subsidies for firms that hired workers who were |
|
unemployed for at least two months and other job creation incentives. |
|
In August, he signed into law $10 billion in additional aid to States |
|
to prevent the dismissal of 160,000 of teachers, police officers, and |
|
firefighters nationwide. In September, the President signed the Small |
|
Business Jobs Act. At the end of 2010, the President signed into law a |
|
bipartisan agreement on taxes that prevented a tax increase for middle- |
|
class families, extended unemployment insurance benefits for millions |
|
of Americans hardest hit by the recession, provided powerful incentives |
|
for business investment and job creation, and temporarily reduced the |
|
payroll tax which also would help spur macroeconomic demand. Economists |
|
from across the political spectrum agree that this bill will boost |
|
economic growth in 2011 by 0.5 to 1.2 percentage points. |
|
From the Recovery Act to our financial stabilization plan, the |
|
President's tough choices over the past two years have helped to save |
|
the economy from a second Great Depression. But we are keenly aware |
|
that the recovery is not happening fast enough for the millions of |
|
Americans who are still looking for jobs, and our immediate task is to |
|
accelerate economic growth and job creation to get our fellow Americans |
|
back to work. That is why the President has proposed an up-front |
|
investment of $50 billion in building new roads, rails, and runways to |
|
upgrade our infrastructure and create new jobs. It is why the President |
|
is making key investments in innovation, clean energy, and education |
|
that will create jobs and make our workforce more competitive. And that |
|
is why the President laid out a commonsense approach to regulation that |
|
is pragmatic and evidence-based, and that will protect our health and |
|
safety and help lay the groundwork for economic growth and job |
|
creation. |
|
restoring a sound fiscal policy |
|
While taking steps to rescue the economy, the President has also |
|
worked to restore accountability and fiscal responsibility. In his |
|
first Budget, the President confronted directly the fiscal situation we |
|
inherited, eliminating trillions of dollars in budget gimmicks. He made |
|
a commitment to restoring fiscal responsibility, while recognizing that |
|
increasing the deficit in the short term was necessary to arrest the |
|
economic freefall. The President pledged to cut the deficit he |
|
inherited in half as a share of the economy by the end of his first |
|
term, a commitment this Budget keeps. He signed into law pay-as-you-go |
|
(PAYGO) legislation that returned the tough budget rules of the 1990s |
|
to Washington. The principle behind PAYGO is simple: all new, non- |
|
emergency entitlement spending and revenue losses must be offset by |
|
savings or revenue increases, with no exception for new tax cuts. |
|
In addition, the President signed into law the landmark Affordable |
|
Care Act (ACA), enacting comprehensive health insurance reforms that |
|
will hold insurance companies more accountable, lower health care |
|
costs, guarantee more health care choices, and enhance the quality of |
|
health care for all Americans while reducing the deficit. According to |
|
CBO analysis, the Affordable Care Act will save more than $200 billion |
|
over the next ten years and will reduce the deficit by more than $1 |
|
trillion over the second decade. This is more deficit reduction than in |
|
any legislation since the 1990s. At the same time, the ACA's savings |
|
provisions tackle the single biggest contributor of our nation's long- |
|
term deficits--rising health care costs. |
|
While taking major steps to bring down our deficits, the President |
|
also demanded that the Government spend every taxpayer dollar with as |
|
much care as taxpayers spend their own dollars. The President proposed |
|
legislation to create an expedited rescission authority so that |
|
unnecessary spending can be struck swiftly and constitutionally. |
|
Through his Accountable Government Initiative, the Administration has |
|
launched a host of initiatives to streamline what works, cut what does |
|
not, and eliminate wasteful spending. These initiatives include |
|
focusing agencies on identifying and delivering on their top |
|
priorities, a comprehensive strategy to reform Government contracting |
|
that will save $40 billion by the end of 2011, an initiative to reduce |
|
the amount of improper payments made by the Government by $50 billion, |
|
a review and reform of information technology use and procurement, an |
|
initiative to reduce administrative overhead by billions and improve |
|
performance, and an effort to dispose of billions of dollars of |
|
unneeded and under-utilized real property assets. |
|
Each year since entering office, President has asked his |
|
Administration to go line-by-line through the Budget to identify |
|
programs that are outdated, ineffective, or duplicative. In his first |
|
two Budgets, the President identified more than 120 terminations, |
|
reductions, and savings, totaling approximately $20 billion in each |
|
year. These terminations ranged from a radio navigation system for |
|
ships made obsolete by GPS to new F-22 fighter jets. While recent |
|
administrations have seen between 15 and 20 percent of their proposed |
|
discretionary cuts approved by the Congress, the Administration saw 60 |
|
percent of its proposed discretionary cuts become law for 2010. |
|
Finally, in April 2010, the President created the bipartisan |
|
National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform, and charged |
|
the Commission with identifying policies to improve the fiscal |
|
situation in the medium term and to achieve long-term fiscal |
|
sustainability. The Commission made an important contribution, |
|
beginning the process of building a bi-partisan consensus on the nature |
|
of the challenge we face and expanding the debate to include a broader |
|
range of options. While the Administration doesn't agree with every |
|
recommendation in the report, there are many areas of this budget that |
|
reflect the work of the Commission. |
|
living within our means and investing in the future |
|
Now that the country is back from the brink of a potential economic |
|
collapse, our goal is to win the future. But we cannot do so if we are |
|
saddled with increasingly growing deficits. This Budget builds on |
|
recent progress and lays out a comprehensive and responsible plan that |
|
will put us on a path toward fiscal sustainability for the rest of the |
|
decade--a down payment that will build a strong foundation to tackle |
|
our long-term challenges. |
|
The projected deficit this year is nearly 11 percent of GDP, the |
|
highest level since World War II, reflecting the severity of the |
|
recession and our temporary measures to generate jobs and growth. The |
|
Budget lays out a path of rapid deficit reduction--the most deficit |
|
reduction in a comparable period since World War II. In the second half |
|
of the decade and beyond, debt is no longer growing as a share of GDP-- |
|
a key indicator of fiscal sustainability. Redirecting our fiscal path |
|
on this downward slope is a significant accomplishment, one which will |
|
take tough choices and shared sacrifice--and is essential for the long- |
|
term competitiveness of the American economy. |
|
<GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT> |
|
|
|
The first step to reducing our deficit is maintaining a strong |
|
economy, which is a key priority for the Budget. As the baseline |
|
projections show, with economic growth we begin to make substantial |
|
progress at reducing the deficit even before we make additional policy |
|
changes. However, even with a sustained recovery, simply continuing |
|
current policies does not get the job done--it would leave us with |
|
deficits of between 4 and 5 percent of GDP--with debt growing at an |
|
unsustainable rate through the end of the decade and beyond. |
|
To stay on a path towards sustainable deficits on the order of 3 |
|
percent of GDP, we make tough choices across all areas of the Budget to |
|
identify more than $1 trillion in savings--two thirds from spending |
|
reductions. This requires decisions beyond just separating the good |
|
programs from the bad. It means broadly sharing sacrifices in all areas |
|
of the Budget in order to make critical investments in areas most |
|
important to growth and competitiveness. And it means reducing spending |
|
in areas where we continue believe there is still important work to do. |
|
It cannot be achieved by simply looking at discretionary spending--we |
|
need to look at mandatory and revenue policies as well. An overview of |
|
key decisions in the FY 2012 Budget is as follows: |
|
<bullet> Non-security discretionary. The Budget proposes to freeze |
|
non-security discretionary spending for five years, which saves more |
|
than $400 billion over the next decade and brings this category of |
|
spending to its lowest level as a share of the economy since Dwight |
|
Eisenhower was in office. |
|
<bullet> Security discretionary. The Budget reflects tough |
|
decisions in areas outside of the non-security freeze--bringing Defense |
|
spending down from a long period of significant real growth to zero |
|
real growth, saving $78 billion over the next five years relative to |
|
last year's plan. Reflecting the winding down of military operations in |
|
Iraq, the Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO) budget for DOD in 2012 |
|
will be about 26 percent lower than levels in the President's 2011 |
|
request. As a result, the overall defense budget, including OCO, will |
|
be down by 5.2 percent from last year's request. |
|
<bullet> Health care. The Budget fully pays for a two-year |
|
extension of current Medicare physician payment rates with $62 billion |
|
in health care savings, preventing a payment cut of over 25 percent. |
|
The Budget also proposes incentives for States to implement medical |
|
malpractice reforms to further reduce the growth of health care costs. |
|
<bullet> Revenues. The Budget pays for three years of AMT relief by |
|
cutting the value of tax expenditures for high-income taxpayers by 30 |
|
percent. The Budget also opposes any further extension of the |
|
unaffordable upper-income tax cuts to two years. |
|
<bullet> Fiscal stewardship. The Budget includes several proposals |
|
to reduce the risk of future liabilities. These include giving the |
|
Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) the ability to adjust |
|
premiums to reflect all risks facing the pension insurance system and |
|
proposing reforms to encourage State responsibility and improve the |
|
solvency of the Unemployment Insurance Trust Fund. |
|
shared sacrifices, hard choices |
|
To be competitive in the 21st Century, the United States cannot be |
|
weighed down by crippling budget deficits, ineffective programs that |
|
waste tax dollars, and a government that is not accountable to the |
|
American people. |
|
Five-year non-security freeze. It would be short-sighted to cut |
|
spending across the board and shortchange critical areas for growth and |
|
competitiveness--such as education, innovation, and infrastructure--or |
|
carelessly slash programs that protect the most vulnerable. This means |
|
that some cuts must be deeper to make room for key investments. In his |
|
2011 Budget request, the President proposed a three-year, non-security |
|
discretionary freeze. As the economic recovery takes hold, the |
|
President believes that it is important to go further and is now |
|
proposing a five-year, non-security discretionary freeze. This is an |
|
extension of the freeze proposed last year, based on 2010 enacted |
|
levels. This freeze would be the most aggressive effort to restrain |
|
discretionary spending in 30 years and, by 2015, would lower non- |
|
security discretionary funding as a share of the economy to the lowest |
|
level since Dwight D. Eisenhower was president. Over the decade, the |
|
five-year freeze saves more than $400 billion. |
|
Program terminations, reductions, and savings. In part to meet this |
|
freeze, the Budget includes over 200 terminations, reductions, and |
|
savings totaling more than $33 billion in savings for 2012 alone. On |
|
their own, these cuts will not solve our fiscal problems, but they are |
|
a critical step to creating a more responsible and accountable |
|
Government and a key component of a comprehensive deficit reduction |
|
strategy. It is never easy to end or cut programs; they all have |
|
advocates. Some programs are duplicative, outdated and ineffective. But |
|
we also had to choose programs that, absent the fiscal situation, we |
|
would not cut: |
|
<bullet> Low-Income Housing Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP). The |
|
Budget cuts LIHEAP by more than $2 billion, returning LIHEAP funding to |
|
2008 levels, prior to the energy price spikes. However, in this |
|
difficult fiscal environment, we cannot afford to maintain the |
|
expansion to the program. |
|
<bullet> Community Services Block Grant (CSBG). CSBG has helped to |
|
support community action organizations in cities and towns across the |
|
country. These are grassroots groups working in poor communities, |
|
dedicated to empowering those living there and helping them with some |
|
of life's basic necessities. These are the kinds of programs that |
|
President Obama worked with when he was a community organizer, so this |
|
cut is not easy for him. Yet for the past 30 years, these grants have |
|
been allocated to virtually the same organizations, using a formula |
|
that does not consider how good a job the recipients are doing. The |
|
Budget proposes to cut financing for this grant program in half, saving |
|
$350 million, and to reform the remaining half into a competitive grant |
|
program, so that funds are spent to give communities the most effective |
|
help. |
|
<bullet> Grants-in-Aid for Airports. The Budget lowers funding for |
|
the airport grants program to $2.4 billion, a reduction of $1.1 |
|
billion, by eliminating guaranteed funding for large and medium hub |
|
airports. The Budget focuses the traditional Federal grants to support |
|
smaller commercial and general aviation airports that do not have |
|
access to additional revenue or other outside sources of capital. At |
|
the same time, the Budget would allow larger airports greater |
|
flexibility to generate revenue with increased non-Federal passenger |
|
facility charges. |
|
These cuts are not limited to a few agencies. Rather, these cuts |
|
reflect shared sacrifice across the Federal government--even for |
|
agencies that are central to out-competing, out-building, and out- |
|
educating in the 21st century. For example, the Department of Education |
|
has made difficult decisions in order to maintain historic increases |
|
for Pell Grants, which are critical to creating future generations that |
|
are well-educated and globally-competitive. The Administration would |
|
put Pell Grants on firm financial footing through steps that include |
|
eliminating the in-school interest subsidy for loans to graduate |
|
students and ending the new year-round Pell Grant, which offers |
|
students a second Pell Grant in one year, but has cost ten times more |
|
than anticipated. The Budget also eliminates 13 discretionary programs |
|
at the Department of Education and consolidates 38 K-12 programs into |
|
11 new programs that emphasize using competition to allocate funds. |
|
Federal civilian employee pay freeze. Federal workers are patriots |
|
who work for the Nation often at great personal sacrifice. They deserve |
|
our respect and gratitude. But just as families and businesses across |
|
the country are tightening their belts, so too must the Federal |
|
government. On his first day in office, the President froze salaries |
|
for all senior political appointees at the White House. In his Budget |
|
last year, the President proposed extending that freeze to other |
|
political appointees, and he eliminated bonuses for all political |
|
appointees across the Administration. Starting in 2011, the President |
|
has proposed and Congress enacted a two-year pay freeze for all |
|
civilian Federal workers. This will save $2 billion over the remainder |
|
of 2011, $28 billion over the next five years, and more than $60 |
|
billion over the next 10 years. |
|
Savings in discretionary security programs. The President's Budget |
|
also demands cuts and savings in security programs. DOD, in particular, |
|
has seen an average increase to its base budget of 7.4 percent a year |
|
over the past decade. Moving forward, DOD is pursuing a variety of |
|
strategies to set the course for zero real growth in defense spending, |
|
and saving $78 billion in its base budget (including $13 billion in FY |
|
2012) relative to FY 2011's request for the next five years. Secretary |
|
Gates will oversee a package of terminations, consolidations, and |
|
efficiencies in operations to slow this growth, and these savings will |
|
be used to fund programs and efforts critical to the armed forces and |
|
the security of the Nation. Reflecting the winding down of military |
|
operations in Iraq, the Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO) budget |
|
for DOD in 2012 will be about 26 percent lower than levels in the |
|
President's FY 2011's request. As a result, the overall defense budget, |
|
including OCO, will be down by 5.2 percent from last year's request. |
|
Administrative savings. Allowing waste is never right, and it is |
|
especially intolerable in a time of tightening belts and tough |
|
decisions. Continuing the President's Accountable Government |
|
Initiative, the Budget cuts $2 billion in administrative overhead like |
|
travel, printing, supplies, and advisory contract services; establishes |
|
a process to quickly sell excess and under-utilized Federal real |
|
estate; and embraces competitive grant programs based on the Race to |
|
the Top model. This model is applied to programs from early childhood |
|
education through college; to allocate grants for transportation; to |
|
bring innovation to workforce training; and to encourage both |
|
commercial building efficiency and electric vehicle deployment. |
|
Reorganize government. We live and do business in a global economy, |
|
but the organization of our government has not kept pace with the |
|
private sector advancements of the 21st century. Many of our government |
|
organizations have strayed from their original or core missions, |
|
evolving out of inertia rather than in response to the changing needs |
|
of the groups they serve. This has resulted in duplicative and |
|
ineffective programs that persist and grow over time, and an |
|
organization of functions that doesn't always make sense. For example, |
|
as the President stated in his State of the Union address, there are |
|
twelve different agencies that deal with exports. Americans deserve a |
|
streamlined, efficient and well-functioning Federal government that is |
|
responsive to the needs of its citizens and of the private sector. |
|
The Budget reflects the President's commitment to reorganizing the |
|
Federal government to ensure that our resources are being used |
|
effectively and efficiently, with a particular focus on making the U.S. |
|
more competitive. In the coming months we will be working to identify |
|
where we can merge, consolidate and cut in order to better facilitate |
|
the needs of all American companies, entrepreneurs, and innovators and |
|
give these engines of economic growth a leg up in the global economy. |
|
The President plans to submit a proposal to Congress to enact the |
|
changes necessary to reorganize the Federal government in a way that |
|
best serves the goal of a more competitive America. |
|
investments in our future |
|
The best antidote to a growing deficit is a growing economy, which |
|
spurs expanded employment, higher revenue collection, and lower demand |
|
for spending on safety net programs like unemployment insurance |
|
nutrition assistance. Putting the Nation on a sustainable fiscal path |
|
and getting our deficits under control are critical to making the |
|
United States competitive in the global economy, and the Budget lays |
|
out a strategy to do this. At the same time, it also recognizes that we |
|
cannot cut back on investments that will fuel future economic growth |
|
particularly since sustained and robust economic growth plays a very |
|
significant, long-term role in reducing deficits. While the Budget |
|
identifies cuts and savings and asks for shared sacrifices across the |
|
government, it also invests in areas critical to helping America win |
|
the race for the jobs and industry of the future. |
|
We must target scarce Federal resources to the areas critical to |
|
winning the future: education, innovation, clean energy, and |
|
infrastructure. |
|
Educate a competitive future workforce. In an era where most new |
|
jobs will require some kind of higher education, we have to keep |
|
investing in the skills of our workers and the education of our |
|
children. This Budget continues to support the President's commitment |
|
to once again have the highest proportion of college graduates in the |
|
world by 2020, and continues the reform agenda not just by devoting |
|
significant resources to where they are needed, but also by ensuring |
|
that those funds are being invested in programs that deliver results |
|
efficiently and effectively. This Budget calls for: |
|
<bullet> Maintaining the Pell Grant maximum award at $5,550. Since |
|
2008, the Administration has increased the maximum Pell Grant by $819, |
|
ensuring access to postsecondary education for over 9 million students |
|
from low-income families. |
|
<bullet> Supporting reform of K-12 education with expanded Race to |
|
the Top and other innovative, evidence-based programs that encourage |
|
innovation and reward success, and expands the Race to the Top concept |
|
to early childhood education with $350 million to establish a new, |
|
competitive Early Learning Challenge Fund for States. |
|
<bullet> Establishing a Workforce Innovation Fund that will |
|
encourage States and localities to break down barriers among programs, |
|
test new ideas, and replicate proven strategies for delivering better |
|
employment and education results at a lower cost per outcome. |
|
Investment in R&D and transformational technologies. To compete in |
|
the 21st century economy, we need to create an environment where |
|
invention, innovation, and industry can flourish. That starts with |
|
continuing investment in the basic science and engineering research and |
|
technology development from which new products, new businesses, and |
|
even new industries are formed. We must focus in areas that show the |
|
greatest promise for job creation to position ourselves to get ahead of |
|
our competitors and be a leader in emerging industries. This Budget |
|
makes significant investments in clean energy technology and research |
|
and development to nurture the United States as a world leader in |
|
innovation. To meet these goals, the Budget calls for: |
|
<bullet> Providing $148 billion for research and development. This |
|
level of funding continues the effort to double investments in basic |
|
research at the National Science Foundation, Department of Energy |
|
Office of Science, and the National Institute for Standards and |
|
Technology (NIST); provides robust investment in biomedical research at |
|
National Institutes of Health (NIH); and doubles energy efficiency |
|
research and development. |
|
<bullet> Making the Research and Experimentation (R&E) tax credit |
|
permanent to give businesses the certainty they need to make these |
|
important investments. In addition, the Administration proposes to |
|
expand the credit by about 20 percent, the largest increase in the |
|
credit's history, and simplify it so that it is easier for firms to |
|
take this credit and make the investments our economy needs to compete. |
|
<bullet> Bolstering economic rejuvenation in hard-hit areas of our |
|
country with new Growth Zone program. Growth Zones will deliver |
|
expanded tax incentives for investment and employment and a more |
|
streamlined access to government assistance to 20 new areas facing |
|
economic distress as well as growth potential. |
|
<bullet> Providing $8.7 billion for clean energy technology |
|
research, development, demonstration, and deployment. This includes |
|
more than doubling energy efficiency investments and increasing |
|
renewable energy investments by over 70 percent. The Budget seeks to |
|
reinforce new approaches to energy research by adding three new energy |
|
innovation hubs and expanding investment in the Advanced Research |
|
Projects Agency--Energy (ARPAE). In addition, the budget provides $5 |
|
billion for Section 48C tax credits for renewable energy manufacturing |
|
facilities. |
|
Build a 21st century infrastructure. To compete in the 21st |
|
century, we need an infrastructure that keeps pace with the times and |
|
outpaces our rivals, and for too long we have neglected our Nation's |
|
infrastructure, its roads, bridges, levees, waterways, communications |
|
networks, and transit systems. In the Recovery Act, the Administration |
|
made the largest one-time investment in our Nation's infrastructure |
|
since President Eisenhower called for the creation of a national |
|
highway system. We need to continue to build on those efforts--and to |
|
do so responsibly by paying for what we build. We cannot strengthen our |
|
economy with a modern infrastructure if at the same time it weakens our |
|
fiscal standing. To give America the world-class infrastructure our |
|
economy needs, the Budget: |
|
<bullet> Proposes a six-year surface transportation reauthorization |
|
that increases average annual investment by $35 billion per year, in |
|
real terms, over the previous six year authorization plus passenger |
|
rail funding in those years; this represents a total inflation-adjusted |
|
increase of sixty percent over the life of the bill. To bring the trust |
|
fund under budget enforcement mechanisms, the Budget proposes to |
|
reclassify trust fund spending on surface transportation as mandatory, |
|
subjecting it to PAYGO rules and closing score-keeping loopholes. |
|
<bullet> Provides $1.2 billion for the Next Generation Air |
|
Transportation System, the Federal Aviation Administration's multi-year |
|
effort to improve the efficiency, safety, and capacity of the aviation |
|
system. |
|
<bullet> Invests in smart, energy-efficient, and reliable |
|
electricity delivery infrastructure. The Budget continues to support |
|
the modernization of the Nation's electrical grid by investing in |
|
research, development, and demonstration of smart-grid technologies to |
|
spur the transition to a smarter, more efficient, secure and reliable |
|
electrical system. |
|
<bullet> Builds next-generation wireless broadband network to |
|
provide access to 98 percent of the population, creates a Wireless |
|
Innovation Fund, and establishes an interoperable broadband network for |
|
public safety. These proposals will be fully paid for with proceeds |
|
from proposed ``voluntary incentive auctions'' of underused spectrum |
|
and other spectrum management measures, which will generate more than |
|
$27 billion over the next decade. In addition to funding the programs |
|
above, nearly $10 billion of these proceeds will be dedicated to |
|
deficit reduction. |
|
building on our progress |
|
Now that the recovery is beginning to take hold, taking further |
|
steps to ensure responsibility has to be a priority--not because fiscal |
|
austerity in and of itself is virtuous, but because there is no way |
|
that we can compete and win in the world economy if we are borrowing |
|
without an end in sight. |
|
The President's Budget is a down payment. It puts the government on |
|
a path to reach sustainable deficits over the next ten years. This |
|
means that for the first time in 10 years, the government will again be |
|
fully paying for all of its programs and the debt will stabilize as a |
|
share of GDP. This is an important milestone--but not the finish line-- |
|
on the path to a balanced budget. |
|
We cannot achieve sustainable levels with ever deeper cuts in non- |
|
security discretionary spending, which is simply not a large enough |
|
share of the picture either to cause or to solve the whole problem. The |
|
President has been clear that we must work on a bipartisan basis to |
|
find long-term solutions across all areas of the Budget, including |
|
Medicare, Medicaid, and tax reform. |
|
Continue efforts to restrain the growth of health costs. Health |
|
care comprises one-quarter of non-interest Federal spending, and it is |
|
the key driver of future deficit growth. According to CBO analysis, the |
|
Affordable Care Act will save more than $200 billion over the next ten |
|
years and will reduce the deficit by more than $1 trillion over the |
|
second decade. This is a pivotal achievement, and the President is |
|
resolutely committed to implementing the ACA fairly, efficiently, and |
|
swiftly. But the job is not yet done. The Budget builds on the ACA with |
|
additional proposals to contain health care cost growth: |
|
<bullet> The ACA made important advances in the area of program |
|
integrity, but there are other important opportunities to reduce fraud, |
|
waste, and abuse in Medicare and Medicaid. The Budget includes ideas |
|
pulled from external sources, including recommendations from the |
|
President's Fiscal Commission and from legislation that has received |
|
bipartisan support. The $62 billion in health savings in the Budget |
|
focus on increasing program integrity, efficiency, and accountability-- |
|
not reducing beneficiary access or benefits. For example, the Budget |
|
extends efficiencies from Medicare competitive bidding for durable |
|
medical equipment to Medicaid, and prohibits brand and generic drug |
|
companies from delaying the availability of new generic drugs (``pay- |
|
for-delay ''). |
|
<bullet> At the same time, these health savings pay for two years |
|
of relief from the Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR) formula--preventing a |
|
decrease of nearly 30 percent in physician payments that would hurt |
|
Medicare. This paid-for extension is on top of the three previous paid- |
|
for extensions of the SGR fix, including the one-year extension enacted |
|
in December, establishing a pattern of practice that we hope to |
|
continue as we work with Congress to achieve a permanent fix. |
|
<bullet> Fully implementing the Affordable Care Act achieves cost |
|
savings and promotes efficient care, including reimbursing doctors and |
|
hospitals as Accountable Care Organizations, and adjusting payments to |
|
hospitals with high readmissions or hospital-acquired conditions. |
|
Implementing the Act also has the potential to fundamentally transform |
|
our health system into one that delivers better care at lower cost--a |
|
potential that is not fully captured in the ACA savings estimates. In |
|
particular, the Act incorporates the most promising ideas from |
|
economists and leaders from across the political spectrum to control |
|
health care costs. |
|
<bullet> The President's Budget includes $250 million in grants to |
|
States to reform their laws on medical malpractice through various |
|
approaches such as health courts, safe harbors, early disclosure and |
|
offer programs, or other legal reforms. These grants would be awarded |
|
and administered by the Bureau of Justice Assistance (BJA) in |
|
consultation with the Department of Health and Human Services. The goal |
|
of any reform would be to fairly compensate patients who are harmed by |
|
negligence, reduce providers' insurance premiums, weed out frivolous |
|
lawsuits, improve the quality of health care, and reduce medical costs |
|
associated with ``defensive medicine.'' This proposal is in line with |
|
the Fiscal commission's recommendation for ``an aggressive set of |
|
reforms to the tort system.'' |
|
Make a Down Payment on Tax Reform. To foster a competitive economy, |
|
we must have sensible and affordable tax policy that is consistent with |
|
our overall objectives of deficit reduction and economic growth. Since |
|
the last comprehensive overhaul nearly three decades ago, the tax code |
|
has been weighed down with revenue-side spending in the form of special |
|
deductions, credits, and other tax expenditures that do little for |
|
middle income families, and burdened with generous upper income tax |
|
cuts and more generous estate tax cuts for families making more than |
|
$250,000 a year. To compete and win in the world economy, we cannot |
|
sustain a tax code burdened with these unaffordable benefits. This is |
|
why the President has called on the Congress to undertake a fundamental |
|
reform of our tax system. As progress towards this goal, the Budget |
|
calls for: |
|
<bullet> Allowing the 2001 and 2003 High-Income and Estate Tax Cuts |
|
to Expire. The Administration remains opposed to the permanent |
|
extension of these high-income tax cuts past 2012, as now scheduled, |
|
and supports the return of estate tax to 2009 rates and exemption |
|
levels. These policies save nearly a trillion dollars over the decade |
|
including interest effects. We cannot afford these unpaid-for tax |
|
breaks for the wealthiest Americans and we are committed to limiting |
|
the current extension to two years. |
|
<bullet> Beginning the Process of Corporate Tax Reform. The United |
|
States has the highest corporate tax rate in the world. Part of the |
|
reason for this is the proliferation of tax breaks and loopholes |
|
written to benefit a particular company or industry. The result is a |
|
tax code that makes our businesses and our economy less competitive as |
|
a whole. The President is calling on Congress to work with the |
|
Administration on corporate tax reform that would simplify the system, |
|
eliminate these special interest loopholes, level the playing field, |
|
and use the savings to lower the corporate tax rate for the first time |
|
in 25 years--and do so without adding a dime to our deficit. |
|
<bullet> Paying for the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). This Budget |
|
provides for a three year extension of AMT relief, and is offset by an |
|
across-the-board 30 percent reduction in itemized deductions for high- |
|
income taxpayers. This is the first time an extension of AMT relief has |
|
been fully paid for. While our base projections do not assume that we |
|
continue to pay for AMT relief after 2014, the President is committed |
|
to working with Congress to fully pay for AMT relief beyond this |
|
window. Doing so reduces the deficit by an additional 1 percent of GDP |
|
by the end of the decade relative to the deficit reduction in the |
|
Budget. |
|
Take Steps Now to Reduce Future Liabilities. Looming debts and |
|
unfunded liabilities can put taxpayers on the line for bailing out |
|
programs in the future. The Budget promotes fiscal stewardship by |
|
restoring responsibility to key areas. First, the Budget proposes to |
|
give the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) Board the ability |
|
to adjust premiums and directs PBGC to take into account the risks that |
|
different sponsors pose to their retirees and to PBGC. This will both |
|
encourage companies to fully fund their pension benefits and give the |
|
PBGC the tools to improve its financial soundness without over- |
|
burdening the companies it ensures, saving $16 billion over next |
|
decade. Second, the 2012 Budget provides short-term relief to States by |
|
providing a two-year suspension of State interest payments on their |
|
debt and automatic increases in Federal unemployment insurance (UI) |
|
taxes. At the same time, the Budget proposes steps to encourage States |
|
to put their UI systems on firmer financial footing and pay back what |
|
they owe to the Federal government. Beginning in 2014, the Budget |
|
increases the minimum wages states can subject to unemployment taxes to |
|
$15,000. Finally, the Budget proposes to gradually reduce the loan |
|
portfolios and eligible loan sizes of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and |
|
end the conservatorship of these companies, scaling back government |
|
support in a way that allows private capital to return without |
|
undermining the housing market recovery. |
|
Begin a Dialogue on Social Security Solvency. The President |
|
considers Social Security to be one of our most successful programs, |
|
and indispensable to workers, people with disabilities, seniors, and |
|
survivors. The President has been clear that we need to strengthen |
|
Social Security to make sure that Social Security is sound and reliable |
|
for the American people, now and in the future. The Budget lays out the |
|
President's principles: Reform should strengthen the program and its |
|
protections for the most vulnerable, without putting at risk current |
|
retirees and people with disabilities, without slashing benefits for |
|
future generations, and without subjecting American's guaranteed |
|
retirement income to the whims of the stock market. The President |
|
believes that the best way forward is for leaders of both parties to |
|
come together to discuss the way forward on a bipartisan basis. |
|
Social Security is not contributing to our deficit any time soon. |
|
Our goal is to make sure that current and future generations are |
|
assured that the system will remain sound for the long term as well--to |
|
provide the peace of mind that is one of the important benefits of |
|
insurance. |
|
a way forward |
|
There has been a vibrant national conversation on fiscal |
|
responsibility over the past several months. The President's Fiscal |
|
Commission made important progress in launching a serious bipartisan |
|
discussion last year, and I commend them for resetting the debate on |
|
further deficit reduction. While the President has not embraced all of |
|
their proposals, many of them are included in this year's Budget. |
|
Federal employee pay freezes, medical malpractice reform, a call for |
|
government reorganization, and the elimination of in-school subsidies |
|
for graduate student loans are just a few examples. Our Terminations, |
|
Reductions, and Savings volume includes numerous proposals that were |
|
also recommended for termination or reduction by the Fiscal Commission. |
|
And like the Commission, we make proposals to improve budget |
|
discipline, including subjecting the Transportation Trust Fund to PAYGO |
|
rules and providing for program integrity cap adjustments. We must take |
|
serious steps to both cut spending and cut deficits. We must address |
|
these issues in a bipartisan way. And we must do so in a way that is |
|
consistent with our core values. |
|
The Fiscal Commission was clear that that the only way to tackle |
|
our deficit is to cut excessive spending wherever we find it--in |
|
domestic spending, defense spending, health care spending, and spending |
|
through tax breaks and loopholes. Now that the worst of the recession |
|
is over, we have to confront the fact that our government spends more |
|
than it takes in. That is not sustainable and we need a comprehensive |
|
approach |
|
The five year non-security freeze achieves significant savings with |
|
a dramatic reduction in discretionary spending over the coming decade, |
|
and it will require commitment from both the Administration and |
|
Congress to live within that framework. But we have to remember that |
|
this category of spending represents a little more than 12 percent of |
|
our Budget. To make further progress, we cannot pretend that cutting |
|
this kind of spending alone will be enough. Looking forward, we will |
|
have to make hard decisions to further reduce health care costs, |
|
including programs like Medicare and Medicaid, which are the single |
|
biggest contributor to our long-term deficit. Health insurance reform |
|
will slow these rising costs, which is part of why nonpartisan |
|
economists have said that repealing the health care law would add a |
|
quarter of a trillion dollars to our deficit. Still, we need to look at |
|
other ideas to bring down costs, and the proposals in this year's |
|
Budget are a first step. And we cannot afford a permanent extension of |
|
the tax cuts for the wealthiest two percent of Americans if we are |
|
committed to achieving a sustainable deficit. |
|
This Budget builds on the work of the last two years, and makes a |
|
down payment on a strong American future. Much work remains to be done. |
|
We need to take steps to reduce our future liabilities. And we need to |
|
work to shape our government into one that is more affordable, more |
|
effective, and more efficient. |
|
I look forward to working with both houses of Congress in the |
|
coming months as we work to put our fiscal path back on a sustainable |
|
course. |
|
|
|
Chairman Ryan. Thank you. Mr. Lew, before I get into this, |
|
how long do we have you for? I understand you have to testify |
|
over in the Senate later this afternoon. |
|
Mr. Lew. I believe we have until 12:30. |
|
Chairman Ryan. But a little bit longer than that, since you |
|
were a little late, how does that sound? |
|
Mr. Lew. I apologize for being late. I hadn't allowed for |
|
the new security rules. |
|
Chairman Ryan. No, don't apologize. I am just trying to |
|
manage time so everybody gets a shot at their questions. |
|
Mr. Lew. Actually, Mr. Chairman, the issue was, the |
|
gentleman in front of me in line had to take his shoes off as |
|
he went through the metal detector, and it took a few minutes. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Okay. I am reading in the Washington Post |
|
today, an editorial board which is, you know, more often |
|
thought as favorable toward the administration's point of view, |
|
quote, the title of the editorial is, President Obama's Budget |
|
Kicks the Hard Choices Further Down the Road, quote, The |
|
President punted. Having been given the chance, the cover and |
|
the push by the Fiscal Commission he created to take bold steps |
|
to raise revenue and curb entitlement spending, President |
|
Obama, in his fiscal 2012 budget proposal, chose instead to |
|
duck. To duck, and to mask some of the ducking with the sort of |
|
budgetary gimmicks he once derided. |
|
We just heard from the Congressional Budget Office director |
|
and the chairman of the Federal Reserve, one of the best things |
|
we can do for the economy today is put in place a plan that |
|
gets this deficit and debt under control. Why did you duck? If |
|
George Bush brought this budget to the House, I would say the |
|
exact same thing. You know the drivers of our debt, you |
|
understand the issues. I think the fact that the President even |
|
gave us this Fiscal Commission to start with acknowledged, we |
|
agree on the size and the scope and the nature of the problem. |
|
Why did you duck, why are you not taking this opportunity to |
|
lead? |
|
Mr. Lew. Mr. Chairman, I think the President's budget, if |
|
you look at the bottom line, addresses the fiscal challenges |
|
that we face in the short and the medium-term, and he has |
|
called it a down-payment, acknowledging that we need to work |
|
together in the long-term. If you look at what the mandate of |
|
the Fiscal Commission was, it was to bring the deficit down to |
|
three percent of GDP by the middle of the decade. Our budget |
|
does that. |
|
Surely there are things in our budget that we will have |
|
disagreements about. I know that we are going to have a serious |
|
debate about priorities. But the President's budget |
|
accomplishes the goal. And I think if you look at the budget, |
|
it does it with some very, very tough decisions. The spending |
|
reductions are very real, the revenue provisions are very real, |
|
and the mandatory savings are very real. There certainly are |
|
other things that we will need to work on together to address |
|
the long-term challenges, but if our goal is to get to a |
|
sustainable deficit by 2015, I think the President's budget |
|
puts down a comprehensive deficit reduction path. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Okay, using your own table S-4 on page 176 |
|
of your budget, you don't get the primary balance in your own |
|
numbers until 2017, and then immediately thereafter you have |
|
more problems. |
|
Mr. Lew. So, let us look at S-4. If you look at S-4, where |
|
it starts, the deficit is 10.9 percent of GDP. It comes down to |
|
3.2 percent of GDP in 2015. We then stay between 2.9 and 3.2, |
|
3.3, in that area around three percent of GDP for the rest of |
|
the decade, and if you had a series that went beyond, it would |
|
go on for years beyond that. I think it is a mistake to think |
|
of three percent of GDP as a bulls-eye. I think if you compare |
|
10.9 percent to 3.2 or 3.1 or 3.0, it is a world of difference. |
|
And I think we achieved primary balance in this budget. |
|
Chairman Ryan. So let us get into what is behind that |
|
primary balance, behind your claims of balance. And I can go |
|
through the tables. Am I correct that the budget proposes |
|
revenues that are $819 billion greater than your current policy |
|
baseline, and that within your policy baseline, you have an |
|
$807 billion, 10-year tax increase built into it, because it |
|
assumes the expiration of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts for higher |
|
income earners, and assumes the estate tax reverts back to 2009 |
|
level? Am I correct that that is what your baseline assumes? |
|
Mr. Lew. Mr. Chairman, our baseline assumes, consistent |
|
with where there was bipartisan agreement in December, that we |
|
would permanently extend the middle class tax cuts, and that we |
|
would have estate tax relief. We did not have long term |
|
agreement on the upper income rates, or on the richer estate |
|
tax relief. |
|
Chairman Ryan. I just wanted to make sure we have an equal |
|
understanding. |
|
Mr. Lew. Yeah. We tried to construct a baseline so that the |
|
difference would be clear. |
|
Chairman Ryan. So, adding the additions in the baseline |
|
revenue increases, that is about $1.6 trillion in additional |
|
revenues from where we are today, correct? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well, the upper-income tax cut is $709 billion, |
|
and the estate provision is $98, and then there is some debt |
|
service on top of that. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Right, so 1.6, okay. |
|
Mr. Lew. It is 953, actually, I believe. |
|
Chairman Ryan. What about debt service? |
|
Mr. Lew. It is 709 for the upper-income, 98 for the estate, |
|
and 147 in debt service. |
|
Chairman Ryan. So, let me get to this because you have to |
|
go, and I have a lot of questions, and I am going to send you |
|
more. Your economic assumptions, which are how you achieve |
|
primary balance, which is how you achieve the claims you are |
|
making. I want to walk you through this and ask you why you |
|
make these economic assumptions. |
|
You are expecting very robust growth in the coming years. |
|
Your forecast calls for real GDP growth well above four percent |
|
in 2013 and 2014, much, much higher than the private sector |
|
Blue Chip consensus or Congressional Budget Office, but I find |
|
it interesting that 2013 also marks the year where you are |
|
calling for a big rise in taxes across all segments of our |
|
economy. You basically are raising taxes on successful small |
|
businesses, on investment, as part of the expiration of the |
|
2001-2003 tax cuts and the health care tax cuts. Specifically, |
|
there is a new 3.8 tax increase on investment. As of 2013, the |
|
top income tax rate will rise from its current level of 35 |
|
percent all the way to 44.8 percent. The tax on dividends could |
|
triple from its current level of 15 percent to 45.4 percent. |
|
And the tax on capital gains will rise from 15 percent to 23.8 |
|
percent. |
|
But you are calling for robust economic growth in that very |
|
year. Do you think that the tax increases that you are planning |
|
on in 2013 on mostly successful small businesses in the |
|
investment community in America, on job creators; you think it |
|
is not going to impact the economy? You think that is the year |
|
when the economy takes off? Because if it doesn't, then you |
|
never reach primary balance, as you are claiming. |
|
Mr. Lew. Mr. Chairman, there was, in December, an agreement |
|
that we should extend certain tax provisions for two years. And |
|
there are some provisions that do take effect, or go out of |
|
effect, because of that. I think if you look at our economic |
|
assumptions, the economic assumptions in the short-term are |
|
actually a little bit more pessimistic than some of the outside |
|
observers. In the long-term they are a little bit more |
|
optimistic, and it is driven by one key difference, which is an |
|
important conceptual difference. The question is will we |
|
recover from this recession the way we have recovered from past |
|
recessions? |
|
If you look historically, financially-led recessions have |
|
had slightly longer periods of recovery, but in the end we get |
|
back to where the economy would have been. We assume that that |
|
is the case. We are within the range of recoveries from past |
|
financially-led recessions, and we think that they are very |
|
prudent, reasonable assumptions. Undoubtedly, and I apologize I |
|
am a lawyer not an economist, so I could get into a level of |
|
detail here which is probably beyond my own training. But |
|
economists can disagree about what year it would happen and |
|
they can disagree about whether or not we will get back to what |
|
was the potential GDP before. We think it is the right thing to |
|
do, to get our economy back. That is one of the reasons we have |
|
put forward a budget that invests in the things that it takes |
|
to keep growing the economy; and we think that education, |
|
innovation, and infrastructure are key to it. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Here is what does not add up to me; you are |
|
saying, in 2013, you are going to have economic growth 1.3 |
|
percent higher than what the Congressional Budget Office |
|
believes, 1.4 percentage points higher than what the Blue Chip |
|
believes, and you are claiming this explosion of growth in a |
|
year where you are raising taxes across the board on |
|
entrepreneurs, small businesses, investors, investment. |
|
History doesn't square with your comments. And if we are |
|
right and you are wrong about this, then you will never reach |
|
primary balance. The $1.7 trillion you are claiming in extra |
|
revenue because of the higher economic growth, you are claiming |
|
above and beyond what the Congressional Budget Office claims, |
|
doesn't materialize then, and we are in a world of trouble. |
|
And I will just finish with this. What is so frustrating |
|
about this is, you know the drivers of our debt are the |
|
entitlement programs. And yet, you are doing nothing to address |
|
that. We are in different parties; that is fine. But when |
|
people elect a President, they expect a President to lead, to |
|
take on the country's biggest challenges before they become |
|
actual crises. And we all know that this debt is becoming a |
|
crisis. And you are not even touching these programs. You are |
|
assuming the economy is going to take off in a year in which |
|
you are raising taxes everywhere, all over the economy. And if |
|
your math doesn't add up, then we are all in a world of hurt, |
|
and this will cost us jobs. |
|
Mr. Lew. Mr. Chairman, if you look at tax provisions, the |
|
vast majority of the revenues that you are talking about are |
|
associated with the tax rate at the top end; the tax rates for |
|
people who earn $250,000 a year or more. I would just note |
|
that, during the last administration I served, and during the |
|
Clinton Administration, at those tax rates we had the longest |
|
period of uninterrupted growth in American history. So they are |
|
not tax rates that have been historically challenging to |
|
growth. If you look inside our budget, where there are new |
|
proposals, we have a lot of tax cut proposals that are designed |
|
to promote the kinds of investment that we need in this |
|
country. And we, net, have $360 billion of new revenue. So it |
|
doesn't amount to a large amount in 2013. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Yeah. I don't know where you are from, but |
|
where I come from, most of our jobs come from successful small |
|
businesses. In Wisconsin, you drive to any city, and there is |
|
going to be an industrial park with a Sub-S, a LLC with 100, |
|
maybe 200, 300 employees. They file taxes as individuals. Most |
|
of the top tax rate is actually small businesses. And when we |
|
are taxing our small businesses at rates above 50 percent in |
|
most states, like Wisconsin, 44.8 percent in this country, |
|
where most of our competitors are taxing their businesses at |
|
rates lower than we are, how do we expect to win global |
|
competition? How do we expect to create jobs when we are taxing |
|
the engine of economic growth and job creation, small |
|
businesses, at rates in excess of 50 percent in most states? |
|
Mr. Lew. I think that if we look at who are the taxpayers |
|
in that class, at $250,000 or above, and where the revenue |
|
goes. I am from New York, a lot of it goes to finance and a lot |
|
of it goes to law. And I think that it is not the case that the |
|
top rate is something that is principally a small business |
|
issue. I think that we have a lot of tax proposals that would |
|
make taxes easier for small businesses. The right way to target |
|
small business is to make sure that we do the things that are |
|
targeted to investment, and not to the kinds of income that |
|
drives people into that top bracket, in the most cases. |
|
Chairman Ryan. All right. Mr. Van Hollen. |
|
Mr. Van Hollen. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Director Lew, as I |
|
indicated in my opening statement, I think it is an important |
|
achievement that in this budget you reach primary balance by |
|
the year 2017 and begin to stabilize the problem. But I also |
|
indicated that I think we all need to work together, especially |
|
to take actions, now, to deal with what are going to be |
|
projected deficits in the next 20 years, and I think that |
|
conversation should begin now. |
|
But I do want to point out that this is not easy to do when |
|
you have dug yourself as a country in a deep hole, digging |
|
itself out, that there are other alternatives out there. And |
|
the Chairman of the Committee has put forward an alternative |
|
road map, in good faith, in a sincere effort to reduce the |
|
deficit. So it is in that spirit that I just want to point out |
|
that when the Congressional Budget Office, last January, scored |
|
that budget proposal, that deficit proposal, that they |
|
indicated that in the year 2020, the deficit would be 3.7 |
|
percent of GDP. And that the budget would not be in primary |
|
balance under that plan, as of that day. And that, in fact, if |
|
you go out another 20 years, until 2040, the deficit in percent |
|
of GDP is 4.5 percent, and the budget is just then getting into |
|
primary balance. |
|
And I point that out, Mr. Chairman, to show you how hard it |
|
is. As some criticize the President's effort, just recognize |
|
that other sincere efforts that were made actually brought the |
|
deficit into primary balance later than the President's budget. |
|
And there are going to be conversations about different |
|
assumptions, but my point is, these deficit numbers were the |
|
result of a good faith effort, and I think the President has |
|
made a good faith effort. We do all need to get together. |
|
Now I want to discuss the longer-term outlook. I want to |
|
discuss what is happening today on the floor as it draws |
|
contrast with the approach that the Obama Administration is |
|
taken with respect to the deficit. As you indicated, you are |
|
talking about significant cuts in domestic discretionary |
|
spending. As you know from listening to many of my colleagues, |
|
these are going to have a real impact, and a painful impact on |
|
many people's lives. But you have decided that, in order to get |
|
deficit under control, we are going to have to make these tough |
|
decisions, and we agree. |
|
At the same time, today on the floor, there are proposals |
|
to cut immediately and deeply. I just want to read to you a |
|
statement from the President's Bipartisan Deficit Commission, |
|
that we are hearing lots of positive things about, from our |
|
colleagues, about their recommendations and approach. Here is |
|
what they said, and I quote, In order to avoid shocking the |
|
fragile economy, the commission recommends waiting until 2012 |
|
to begin enacting programmatic spending cuts. |
|
Another bipartisan commission, the Rivlin-Domenici |
|
Commission, rendered the same advice. Mark Zandi and other |
|
economists have indicated that deep, immediate cuts, in |
|
contrast to responsible and planned cuts over a period of time, |
|
those deep, immediate cuts, could harm the fragile economy, and |
|
hurt job growth. If you could please comment on the proposals |
|
today, for very deep and very immediate cuts and the impact |
|
they would have on the economy and job growth, in your opinion. |
|
Mr. Lew. Mr. Van Hollen, I think we have a tough balance |
|
that we have to strike. We agree that it would be a mistake to |
|
do drastic deficit reduction in this year that we are in, |
|
beginning in next year. We had bipartisan agreement in December |
|
on the tax bill, largely because of the concern that we needed |
|
to keep the economy moving, that we couldn't afford the drag |
|
that a tax increase in January would have had. At the same |
|
time, we need to focus on reducing spending, we need to focus |
|
on making decisions that will turn the corner on the deficit, |
|
and we can't really wait years to do that. |
|
I think our budget has a frame that we think is the right |
|
frame for making the tough trade-offs. And we are going to have |
|
to work, as we go through the remainder of the legislation for |
|
fiscal year 2011, and then as we work together on next year, to |
|
come up with the right balance. I think it is important that we |
|
have the right balance. You don't need to make the kinds of |
|
cuts that you are describing in order to get on the right path, |
|
but you do need to tighten the belt, which is what our budget |
|
is saying. |
|
And we are watching carefully as the House continues work. |
|
We will be working with the House and the Senate, and then |
|
ultimately together, to do the responsible thing and fund the |
|
government. But I think it is a question of not mixing too many |
|
things together. The long-term challenge is what we have got to |
|
keep our eye on. When I say long-term, in this window of the |
|
next 10 years, we have got to look to the middle of the decade. |
|
And are we on a path towards getting down to a deficit where we |
|
stop adding to the debt? That is what we have tried to do with |
|
the budget. |
|
Mr. Van Hollen. Some of our Republican colleagues have |
|
indicated that, if they don't get their way, in terms of these |
|
very deep and immediate cuts that could harm the economy, that |
|
if they don't get their way on those cuts, that they would shut |
|
down the government. Now, we have seen this movie before, I |
|
know you have. If you could just make clear what some of the |
|
impacts of that would be on things like the Social Security |
|
Administration and other essential functions of government. |
|
Mr. Lew. Well, I take the Congressional leadership at their |
|
word, that we all want to avoid a situation like that. It is |
|
not the right way to run the government, and I think we have a |
|
broad agreement that we have to keep essential services going. |
|
When the government shut down in the mid-1990s, it was very |
|
unpleasant. It was unpleasant when people needed to apply for |
|
passports because a relative was ill or passed away overseas, |
|
and they couldn't get a passport. People started to appreciate |
|
things that they just took for granted, but when the government |
|
shut down, they stopped. |
|
I hope we don't get to the point where we have to go |
|
through that again. And I think if we all work together in a |
|
bipartisan way to look for the things we can agree on, and take |
|
some of the things that we can't agree on, and put them off to |
|
the side, we can accomplish a great deal. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Thank you, Mr. Van Hollen. I will just |
|
simply say for the record, it is not our desire to see the |
|
government shut down, but equally we don't want to rubber-stamp |
|
these elevated spending levels. We want to see a beginning of a |
|
down-payment on spending reductions. With that, Mr. Simpson. |
|
Mr. Simpson. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and I would just |
|
reiterate what you just said. It is nobody's desire to shut |
|
down the government; what we want to do is reduce spending. And |
|
that is what we are trying to do with the budget that we are |
|
bringing to the floor. Everybody talks about draconian cuts. |
|
You have got to remember, this is on top of enormous increases |
|
that have occurred over the last couple of years, so it is not |
|
as draconian as a lot of people would like. But I appreciate |
|
your testimony; I appreciate your hard work on this budget. I |
|
know it is hard to put together a budget, even if it is one |
|
that most people, I want to say this respectfully, but most |
|
people don't take seriously. |
|
Most people don't think this is ever going to be enacted. |
|
All the right words are used. I think the Ranking Member said, |
|
this is a tough-love budget. If this was the tough-love that my |
|
father had shown me when I was young, I would still be a |
|
juvenile delinquent. Some people think I still am; I understand |
|
that. |
|
I have heard that we have to make tough choices; they are |
|
going to be necessary. We have to live within our means. Let me |
|
ask you, this budget, theoretically, goes to balance in, what, |
|
16 years? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well, it is going to take a long time to go to |
|
balance, we first have to stabilize the debt. |
|
Mr. Simpson. Is there ever a balance projected out there? |
|
Mr. Lew. To get to balance will require a set of decisions |
|
that are beyond what anyone is discussing right now. |
|
Mr. Simpson. Why is no one discussing that? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well, I will tell you the last time I testified |
|
before this committee, I presented a balanced budget with a |
|
surplus. I understand what it takes to get to a balanced |
|
budget. We have gone through 10 years of a combination of |
|
things that have driven the deficit up. We have had an economic |
|
crisis, but we also had decisions to not pay for what we were |
|
doing. We now have to deal with the results of that, and it is |
|
not going to be a quick process. I know that I left things in |
|
pretty good shape 10 years ago, and I look forward to leaving |
|
things in better shape when I am done this time. |
|
Mr. Simpson. I do not deny that you did. We have a tendency |
|
in this committee to sit and look back at certain indicators |
|
that prove our point of view. All of those don't really matter. |
|
What matters is where we are today, and where we are going to |
|
be in the future. And what the American people are saying is, |
|
get your fiscal house in order. I don't see this getting our |
|
fiscal house in order. I have noticed that everybody says, Well |
|
we are going to have $400 billion in cuts and savings in this |
|
budget, like that is some big deal. Four-hundred billion |
|
dollars, yeah it is a lot of money, that is over 10 years, |
|
right? |
|
Mr. Lew. Yes. |
|
Mr. Simpson. That is like $40 billion a year. The budget |
|
this year's proposal is $3.73 trillion? Forty billion in |
|
savings? Less than one percent, or around one percent in |
|
savings? This is not tough-love. This is continuing the path we |
|
are currently on with no future balanced budget ever, in this |
|
proposal, and the American people are rejecting it, frankly. |
|
Mr. Lew. Congressman, let me just say a couple things. |
|
First, we have put what we believe to be a very serious |
|
proposal, it is comprehensive, forward. We don't think we have |
|
a monopoly on all knowledge and wisdom; we look forward to |
|
seeing the ideas that are put forward. And when you put forward |
|
a budget that reduces the deficit, I am sure there will be |
|
things in it that we can agree on, there will be things that we |
|
can't agree on. This is the first step in the process. I know |
|
that it is easy for pundits on the outside to dismiss the |
|
starting point, but the President's budget is the starting |
|
point. It is a frame, it is a comprehensive frame. And I think |
|
that it does achieve something very important, which is it |
|
stabilizes the deficit at three percent of GDP by the middle of |
|
the decade, and while I totally agree that we need to be on a |
|
path that goes beyond that, and I wish we were on a path where |
|
we could, together, talk about balance. Until we stop adding to |
|
the national debt, we can't talk about getting to balance, and |
|
this budget would get you there. |
|
We won't agree on all the details. And I know that some of |
|
the actions that have been taken in this House do cut spending. |
|
I haven't seen the actions yet that reduce the deficit. And I |
|
look forward to that. I know that it is the beginning of the |
|
process, and we will work together when we see your proposals. |
|
Mr. Simpson. Well we all understand that you are not going |
|
to get to balance by simply cutting spending. The spending is a |
|
portion of how you get there. You also have to look at the |
|
entitlement programs which this budget totally left out, in |
|
terms of reform of the entitlement programs. And everyone, I |
|
think the American people understand, that we have to address |
|
entitlement reform, and leadership has to come from the White |
|
House to do that, quite frankly. |
|
Mr. Lew. Congressman, we agree that we need to reduce |
|
spending. I think if you look in this budget, this is possibly |
|
the toughest budget that certainly a Democratic President has |
|
ever put forward, cutting things that are very, very important |
|
priorities, things that many of us have worked for decades to |
|
grow. We have said we have got to tighten our belt; we have got |
|
to do what every American family does and make the tough |
|
choices. So I think there are real tough choices in this |
|
budget. I don't think that it is fair to say that we haven't |
|
dealt with entitlements. We certainly haven't dealt completely |
|
with entitlements, but $62 billion of savings to pay for |
|
Medicare in the next two years is something. It is real, it is |
|
a first step, it is a down-payment. |
|
I think that if we are going to work together on |
|
entitlements, we also have to acknowledge that Social Security |
|
is not driving the deficit between now and 2021. You know, I |
|
worked on Social Security Reform. In 1983 I was working on the |
|
reform bill. So I deeply, deeply believe that we have an |
|
obligation to current workers, to future retirees, to current |
|
retirees, to have a system that is sound and reliable for |
|
decades and decades to come. But it is not contributing to the |
|
short-term deficit. We should do it because it is the right |
|
thing to do. |
|
Mr. Simpson. Right. Appreciate it, thank you. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Ms. Schwartz. |
|
Ms. Schwartz. Thank you very much. Good to have you here |
|
and thank you for your good work on this first budget that you |
|
are presenting. And I appreciate, and it was more in your |
|
written remarks than what you said here, but you reference, you |
|
did reference how we got here. And I don't want to dwell on |
|
this, but I appreciate the fact that you laid out very, very |
|
clearly that the national debt and the economic crisis that the |
|
President inherited. And the work that the President and the |
|
Democratic Congress did in the last two years to bring us out |
|
of what was obviously a really deep, really broad, and in many |
|
cases, devastating recession for this country. But being clear |
|
that the President inherited a $10 trillion debt; this didn't |
|
all happen in the last two years. And of course, the recession |
|
actually meant that there were few people paying taxes, too; so |
|
this reduced our revenues. |
|
The President's budget really does, I believe, make very |
|
clear that we can't accept the status quo; that where we have |
|
gotten to is a better place. We are beginning to see a growth |
|
in the economy, beginning to see some growth in jobs, which is |
|
good, and we just can't sit on our hands. Nor do I think that |
|
we, and I think you have rejected this, the notion that we can |
|
get to a place where we can balance the budget and grow the |
|
economy simply by spending cuts. My Republican colleague did |
|
acknowledge that, and I appreciate that, because that is their |
|
proposal right now. The only thing we can do is spending cuts, |
|
and actually tax cuts, but that alone is not going to get us |
|
there. And that is what is being presented by the Republican |
|
majority. |
|
But I also will agree, those made by the Republican side, |
|
that budgets are about priorities and values, and I think this |
|
is something that the President has made very clear: that we |
|
cannot only focus on deficit reduction. We need to reduce the |
|
deficit, but if we are going to grow the economy, put people |
|
back to work, then we have to invest in the future. And that is |
|
what I wanted to ask you about. I wanted to acknowledge, of |
|
course, that the budget does reduce the deficit by $1.1 |
|
trillion, and that is real money for most of us. And it is not |
|
easy to get there. And it brings fiscal stability to the nation |
|
in 2017, primary balance, again none of this is easy. |
|
But the budget also does make strategic investments in the |
|
future. For many of us in our districts across the country, if |
|
we are going to see growth in this economy, the focus on |
|
energy, on innovation, on education, on infrastructure, is |
|
important. And every business I talk to says to me, We need, we |
|
look at, we locate, do we have incentives for innovation? Do we |
|
have the kind of infrastructure that allows us to move our |
|
products and our workforce? Is there an educated workforce? |
|
They ask about taxes, too. But they want to know, and it starts |
|
with, where is the infrastructure? Where are the advantages for |
|
innovation? |
|
And so, I think we need to talk about that. Because |
|
otherwise we are really just looking at a slash-and-burn, |
|
willy-nilly, let us just cut spending right now. And again, the |
|
Budget Deficit Commission said, not a good idea in a fragile |
|
economy. So I would like you to elaborate a bit on the tax |
|
credits that are available to businesses to incentivize |
|
research and development, key to our growth. Because it is the |
|
private sector in this country that does create the new |
|
discoveries, the new technologies, the new products. But they |
|
often look to us for that helping hand. |
|
Mr. Lew. Thank you. I think that, if you were to ask most |
|
businesses that are in the high technology area, what is the |
|
single thing we could do that would give them stability looking |
|
forward, it would be to make permanent the R&D Tax Credit. The |
|
uncertainty from year to year is a very difficult way to do |
|
business. And while, in Washington, there is a kind of |
|
conventional wisdom that we know it will be extended because it |
|
has to be extended, if you are a business person trying to make |
|
a decision, trying to go get financing, trying to get |
|
investors, having that ambiguity out there can be life or death |
|
as far as your business is concerned. So I think, putting in |
|
our budget a permanent extension in the context of a fiscal |
|
policy that pays for it, is very important. |
|
I think it is also important to remember that there is a |
|
role for government-funded programs and tax support in R&D. |
|
Basic research in this country has really been very much |
|
enhanced by what we do at the National Institutes of Health, |
|
what we do in the National Science Foundation, what we do in |
|
the Department of Energy, and what has made us the leaders in |
|
innovation is that the technology that is discovered in places |
|
where, frankly, the risk should be shared by all of us, it is |
|
then handed off to a private sector that has the capacity to |
|
implement it more effectively than any other in the world. And |
|
we have tried to balance that. |
|
Chairman Ryan. I hate to cut you off, but I just want to |
|
make sure that every member gets a chance, and it is way over |
|
the five minute limit. |
|
Ms. Schwartz. I appreciate your comments; we will keep |
|
working together on that. Thank you. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Mr. Campbell. |
|
Mr. Campbell. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, and welcome, |
|
Director Lew. |
|
Mr. Lew. Thank you. |
|
Mr. Campbell. In your budget, you propose to increase |
|
federal civilian employment outside of the Department of |
|
Defense by 22,400 people in the coming fiscal year, 2012. |
|
Seriously, you want to increase the number of federal employees |
|
now? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well, we have an awful lot of agencies that are |
|
going down. The increases are very much concentrated in areas |
|
where there are new missions, and they are missions that, I |
|
think, are shared concerns. If we put in place new screening |
|
procedures at our airports, and we put in the machinery so that |
|
we can make sure that no one gets on an airplane with an |
|
explosive. We also need to have the inspectors there, who run |
|
the machines, who know what is in them. I think if you go |
|
through the increases, they are very heavily in areas where |
|
there are new missions that we are undertaking, and I am happy |
|
to get back to you after and go through some of them. |
|
Mr. Campbell. Okay, so you do propose to increase by |
|
22,000? |
|
Mr. Lew. No, in general, if you look through the budget, |
|
there are a lot of agencies that go down, so we don't have a |
|
general approach. |
|
Mr. Campbell. Twenty-two thousand, four-hundred is the net |
|
increase outside of defense. Another question, Your |
|
predecessor, Dr. Orszag, before this committee on several |
|
occasions, said that the current fiscal trajectory of the |
|
country was unsustainable. Do you share that view? |
|
Mr. Lew. I think this budget stands for the principle that |
|
we have to get our fiscal house in order, and that we have to |
|
take seriously stopping the practice of treating deficits like |
|
they don't matter. And we have put a plan forward that would |
|
get us to primary balance by the middle of the decade. That was |
|
the challenge that he was describing ahead of us at the time. |
|
Mr. Campbell. Absent this budget, you agree that the |
|
current trajectory is unsustainable? |
|
Mr. Lew. If you look at what is driving the deficit down, |
|
part of it is getting the economy moving again. |
|
Mr. Campbell. Director Lew, I understand you are a lawyer, |
|
but is it unsustainable? That word is used by a lot of people. |
|
Mr. Lew. I was going to answer your question; I just need |
|
to break it into the pieces in order to answer your question. |
|
We need to keep the economy growing in order to not have an |
|
unsustainable deficit, because the kind of financial crisis we |
|
are in, the recession, creates enormous problems in our fiscal |
|
policy. We have got policies in place to do that, but then we |
|
can't stay at deficits that are five percent of GDP, which is |
|
roughly where we would be if we didn't make policy. We need to |
|
make policy to bring it down so we can get to primary balance. |
|
We have done that, and I do think that that is what we have to |
|
do to have a sustainable fiscal policy. |
|
Mr. Campbell. So is this budget sustainable? Does it solve |
|
the problem? |
|
Mr. Lew. Those are two different issues. Sustainable is a |
|
step along the way; I think the problem is bigger than that. I |
|
think that, you know, I preferred sitting in this seat when I |
|
could project surpluses in healthy economic times. We are a |
|
long way from being able to do that on either side of the |
|
aisle. We are going to need to work together to get to the |
|
point where we stop adding to the problem, and then we are |
|
going to need to work together to solve the rest of it. |
|
Mr. Campbell. Earlier I believe you did use the word |
|
sustainable with this budget. So do you believe that if we did |
|
this budget, it was enacted for the next 10 years exactly as it |
|
is on this paper, that we would move along fine, we don't have |
|
a debt problem, we don't have a problem? |
|
Mr. Lew. No, I think this budget produces a deficit that is |
|
sustainable for a period of time so that we can then work |
|
together. It is a down payment, and then we need to work |
|
together. |
|
Mr. Campbell. Afterwards the deficit goes up, after the 10 |
|
years of this budget. |
|
Mr. Lew. It starts to creep up, but as you get 20 years out |
|
it starts to be a problem again. There is more work ahead of |
|
us. I totally agree with the notion that we cannot just look at |
|
the next five or ten years, but I am saying we have to start by |
|
looking at the next five or 10 years. |
|
Mr. Campbell. So we do have to deal with the entitlement |
|
programs? |
|
Mr. Lew. The President said in the State of the Union, and |
|
in his budget, that we have to look to the short-term and the |
|
long-term. We need to work together on that. |
|
Mr. Campbell. Why not propose something now? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well, this budget proposes a great deal to get us |
|
to primary balance. It gets us to a place that is sustainable. |
|
And it extends the offer, as the President did in the State of |
|
the Union, to work together. We have tried to leave options on |
|
the table, we have tried to create an environment where we will |
|
be able to work on things that have historically been |
|
challenging, and I think we need to do both. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Mr. Doggett. |
|
Mr. Doggett. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman, and thank |
|
you for your service. And I want to draw attention to the last |
|
time you came before this committee, because it was an unusual |
|
time in which you did not just talk about a balanced budget, |
|
but as you made reference in an earlier comment, you, working |
|
with President Clinton and this Congress, produced a balanced |
|
budget, something that no Republican President, before or |
|
after, has done in decades. And the unfortunate thing is, |
|
having produced that balanced budget, our Republican colleagues |
|
in the Bush-Cheney administration, when they took over, instead |
|
of building on that success, squandered on that success. They |
|
never met a tax break they didn't like, they believed in the |
|
alchemy that every expert who came here, Republican and |
|
Democrat alike, told them that those tax breaks wouldn't pay |
|
for themselves, they abandoned pay-as-you-go government, they, |
|
in addition to all the tax breaks that they advanced, they |
|
advanced one increase in spending after another, increasing |
|
government spending at an incredible rate, but not wanting to |
|
pay for it. |
|
And so after eight years of running our debt up and our |
|
economy down, they are complaining today that you haven't |
|
solved all the problems that they created in eight years fast |
|
enough. And I think that is basically the circumstance in which |
|
we find ourselves. With reference specifically to this question |
|
you were just asked about the 22,000 increase in government |
|
employees, isn't a large part of that related to the honesty |
|
that this administration brings to federal employment, that you |
|
can contract out and create the appearance that you are |
|
reducing the size of the government, but many of these |
|
contracting out experiments of the last eight years just ended |
|
up costing tax payers more and producing less? |
|
Mr. Lew. That is part of it. And the other kinds of |
|
examples that I have used explain the other part of it. We also |
|
have a very, very large work force, and this is a very small |
|
percentage of the total. |
|
Mr. Doggett. And then I want to ask you about one type of |
|
entitlement spending that I am encouraged to see, and I want to |
|
explore with you a minute about it, that the administration |
|
again seems to be focusing on for the first time, something |
|
prior administrations have not done; and that is the whole area |
|
of tax expenditures, because they really do amount to |
|
entitlements since they are entirely out of the budget process. |
|
You have, for the first time since 1993, of any President, |
|
revised that section of your budget, and it would appear that |
|
tax expenditures, which now rival direct discretionary |
|
expenditures, will receive some type of thorough evaluation by |
|
the administration, and I just ask you first to comment |
|
generally about what you see going forward, and whether perhaps |
|
we will eventually have a tax expenditure budget to allow a |
|
more thorough comparison of the tax expenditures and the direct |
|
expenditures? |
|
Mr. Lew. Congressman Doggett, the issue of tax expenditures |
|
is a very important one. If you look at the work the Fiscal |
|
Commission did, one of the places where I think they made a |
|
real contribution was in having a conversation about spending |
|
on both the revenue and direct spending side. If you look at |
|
the President's budget, the proposal that I described as the |
|
way we pay for the alternative minimum tax extension is a prime |
|
example of how we begin to get that spending on the tax side. |
|
It says that we have a host of provisions in the tax code that |
|
are of more value as you get into a higher and higher tax |
|
bracket, and that we should limit it so that someone who has a |
|
family at 250,000 and above gets the same value as people at |
|
250,000 and below. It doesn't take the deduction away, it |
|
starts to trim the value of it. We think that is a measured way |
|
to start getting at this issue of spending in the tax code. And |
|
we think it is something that ought to be the basis for being |
|
able to begin a serious conversation. |
|
Mr. Doggett. Have you envisioned, during the coming year, a |
|
thorough and careful evaluation of these tax expenditures, and |
|
implementing what you say in your budget appendix? |
|
Mr. Lew. The President has proposed in his State of the |
|
Union and the budget that we begin to work together on |
|
corporate tax reform and that we have a general bipartisan |
|
consensus. |
|
Mr. Doggett. Just on that point specifically, I am very |
|
pleased that the President, in his State of the Union, and |
|
Secretary Geithner indicated that must be revenue neutral. I |
|
think it actually ought to be revenue increasing to help deal |
|
with this problem, but that is a non-negotiable position in the |
|
administration. We are not going to see us borrow from the |
|
Chinese in order to give tax cuts to corporations, are we? |
|
Mr. Lew. So the principle the President set forth was that |
|
we should broaden the base, lower the rates, so we can be more |
|
competitive, and it is really, principally, a way to drive our |
|
international competitiveness. That is going to be challenging |
|
because once we have all agreed on that broad principle, |
|
broadening the base means that you take away special interest |
|
tax provisions. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Thanks. Mr. Calvert. |
|
Mr. Calvert. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I just want make a |
|
point; my friends on the other side of the aisle took over the |
|
Congress in 2007, and that is when you see significant spending |
|
increases, and as I understand it, Congress does have something |
|
to do with spending around here. And that is certainly a big |
|
part of it. I want to thank our guest for coming out today, I |
|
understand the traffic was bad, I saw it out there, it was |
|
pretty difficult. A couple of things you pointed out to drive |
|
people to investment. I am a small businessman, was a small |
|
businessman; how do you drive people to investment if you have |
|
significant increases down the road in capital gains rate? |
|
Mr. Lew. I think that the responsibility that we have, |
|
first and foremost, is to keep a healthy, growing economy where |
|
there is demand and there is business activity out there. So I |
|
think that, going to our big frame, the most important thing we |
|
can do to promote investment is to be responsible in the way we |
|
conduct our fiscal policy. Within that, we have made the kinds |
|
of choices that we think are where the government can really be |
|
helpful in terms of driving the economy of the future. When you |
|
talk to business leaders, in my job I fairly frequently talk to |
|
business leaders, I hear over and over again where they have |
|
problems right now is hiring people with the right skills, |
|
engineering skills, technical skills. By producing the |
|
workforce that our businesses need, we are helping to promote |
|
business in this country. |
|
Mr. Calvert. Reclaiming my time, I find it difficult to |
|
believe that--the folks that I did business with--finding |
|
capital gains rates going up significantly is going to make it |
|
easier for them to do business. But I have another question I |
|
want to ask. My other job--I am on the Defense Appropriation |
|
Committee--and I wanted to understand this new account that you |
|
have to cover the diplomatic and development costs of the U.S. |
|
involvement in Iraq, and Afghanistan, and Pakistan. As you |
|
know, in past years that was handled in the regular base- |
|
budget. And I want to know what standards were used to |
|
determine what costs were appropriate for inclusion in this |
|
account, and can you send us a written guidance for the account |
|
for the record? |
|
Mr. Lew. I am happy to get back for the record, but I can |
|
give you a brief answer if you would like. The funding for |
|
military operations overseas are funded through what are called |
|
overseas contingency operations funding. It has not |
|
historically been an issue for the civilian side, but with |
|
things like the withdrawal of troops in Iraq, and the build-up |
|
of a civilian mission that is quite labor-intensive, security- |
|
intensive, it creates the same challenges that the military |
|
does. The simple rule that was used in putting it together was, |
|
to the extent that we have activities that wouldn't carry on |
|
once we normalize our diplomatic footprint, those should be |
|
handled in the base. To the extent that we have activities that |
|
are more like the military surge, they should be in the |
|
overseas account. |
|
Mr. Calvert. I would like to have that. Also, the budget |
|
request, $117 plus billion for Department of Defense's account |
|
for conduct of the war in Iraq and Afghanistan; and that is |
|
obviously dependent on U.S. troop level in Iraq and |
|
Afghanistan, and as you understand, under the SOFA agreement, |
|
the Status of Forces Agreement, we are reducing the force in |
|
Iraq at the end of this calendar year, and Afghanistan has |
|
announced policy to a troop withdrawal in July, 2011, though |
|
the size of that withdrawal is still yet to be determined. On |
|
your assumption, what troop level are you assuming for |
|
Afghanistan and Iraq in this funding request? |
|
Mr. Lew. In Iraq we have a clearly stated policy to |
|
withdraw our troops on schedule, and the funding levels reflect |
|
that policy. In Afghanistan, our policy is that we will begin |
|
to withdraw troops. We have not used the budget as the place to |
|
project specific numbers. That will have to be worked through |
|
by the national security team. |
|
Mr. Calvert. Okay, yet to be determined. Last question, you |
|
expect an additional war supplemental to be asked for here in |
|
the short term? |
|
Mr. Lew. We have requested funds that we know to be needed |
|
for the coming fiscal year. We have not yet seen what the |
|
appropriations are for fiscal year 2011, and we obviously don't |
|
know what the appropriations will be for fiscal 2012, so I |
|
can't give you a guarantee, not knowing what will be |
|
appropriated, but I know we have estimated, to the best of our |
|
ability, what the costs will be. |
|
Mr. Calvert. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Ms. McCollum. |
|
Ms. McCollum. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Lew, thank you |
|
for being here today. Now, we have three challenges facing us |
|
and they need to be all addressed simultaneously. We need to |
|
reduce the deficit, at the same time we need to grow the |
|
economy, and create jobs that will keep America competitive. |
|
Now, as far as I am concerned, the best way to reduce the |
|
deficit is to get American back to work. But we have tough |
|
choices to make. The big difference between making sound |
|
investments and smart cuts, as President Obama has proposed, or |
|
the path that our Tea Party Republican colleagues are taking on |
|
the fiscal year 2011 budget with ideology, mean-spirited, or |
|
just plain dumb, cuts. Now, Mr. Lew, over the past years, |
|
Congress has provided tax breaks, tax cuts, tax loopholes, and |
|
special tax perks, estimated to reduce revenues by more than $1 |
|
trillion. In December's legislation to extend the Bush tax |
|
cuts, some of the beneficiaries of these tax break earmarks |
|
were NASCAR racetrack owners, Caribbean rum manufacturers, at |
|
the cost of hundreds of millions of dollars in foregone |
|
revenues. |
|
The last point I would like to make before I ask you three |
|
questions is: The discretionary defense spending over the next |
|
five years will approach $3 trillion, not including the cost of |
|
the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Yet this budget proposes only |
|
a $78 billion reduction in defense spending, which is nothing |
|
more than a rounding error. Now, I know Congress is part of the |
|
problem. Despite the Pentagon's objections, I am aware the |
|
Republicans have included an alternative engine for the F-35 |
|
Joint Strike Fighter and the F-11 CR at the cost of $45 |
|
million. Now, this is a total waste of taxpayer dollars, and an |
|
example of Congressional pork, and it should be eliminated. |
|
So, Mr. Lew my questions are; the defense discretionary |
|
spending is dwarfing all other domestic investments, keeping |
|
our community safe, and strong, and prospering. Where can |
|
greater defense spending reductions take place over the next |
|
decade? Can you also elaborate on the administration's plan to |
|
close tax loopholes, and end special tax perks, and cut off the |
|
special interest tax giveaways that are adding hundreds of |
|
billions of dollars to the deficit. And then, if you have time, |
|
could you explain more on some of the President's ideas on how |
|
to grow this economy and create jobs? |
|
Mr. Lew. Thank you, Congresswoman McCollum. Let me start on |
|
Department of Defense. We, I think, share on a bipartisan basis |
|
the belief that we have a core responsibility to provide for |
|
national defense. Over the last 10 years, the spending on |
|
defense has been considerably above inflation, and it wasn't |
|
subject to the same kind of rigor that other things were, and |
|
we were also going through extraordinary times. |
|
This is not a judgment being made about the past, but as we |
|
look to the future, this budget says that we have to start |
|
pulling back, but not pulling back in a way that sacrifices our |
|
national security. The policy in this budget says that the |
|
Department of Defense will tamp down its increases so that it |
|
will have no real growth in the five-year window. That is $78 |
|
billion of savings compared to their five year plan for the |
|
last year's budget. We think that is a very important step. |
|
It is an important step which requires tough choices. It |
|
means you can't afford the second engine that you don't need |
|
for the Joint Strike Fighter, it means you can't afford the |
|
Marine Expeditionary Vehicle. There are tough decisions that |
|
have to be made, and I think we have a Secretary of Defense and |
|
a leadership in our military, that is prepared to make the |
|
tough choices, and we look forward to working with Congress. |
|
But they are hard--it means that there are things that are made |
|
now that won't be made in the future, and that is what it is |
|
going to take to start getting our defense budget under |
|
control. |
|
On the question of closing loopholes, the President's |
|
budget includes a number of specific proposals, I mentioned the |
|
oil, gas, and coal provisions in my opening remarks, but we |
|
also have provisions that would take away the tax benefits that |
|
come to companies that export jobs, and we think that it is |
|
important to have policies in our tax code be designed to |
|
reflect what we need to do in our economy. So, in our economy, |
|
for the future, we need to develop the new renewable energy |
|
technology industry. That is going to create jobs in the |
|
future. I am kind of getting to your third question by |
|
answering the second within the five minutes. Ware going to |
|
build the new economy in renewables and in clean energy, and |
|
that is where we need to put our investment. So if you look at |
|
the withdrawal of a special provision for oil, gas, and coal, |
|
and the investment in new technologies, it kind of tells a |
|
story about how we think you invest in the future. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Mr. Akin. |
|
Mr. Akin. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Just a couple of |
|
thoughts. Years ago, I was taught what was called the Harvard |
|
Case Study Approach to solving problems, and it was taught in |
|
business schools, and the idea was that you are given this |
|
complicated situation, and you could see all sorts of things |
|
that would be a good thing to do, and you got this-this-and- |
|
this, you have all these good ideas, but part of the discipline |
|
was, pick the number one thing. What is the very first and |
|
essential element that you have got to deal with? And that was |
|
frequently the situation then that would determine whether a |
|
company was going to succeed or fail. |
|
As I take a look at many of the things we have discussed |
|
even here this morning, and that you are dealing with in the |
|
budget, we are dealing with, to some degree, some peripheral |
|
things, but it seems like there has been pretty good emphasis |
|
that the elephant in the room is the tremendous growth of |
|
entitlements. I just heard references to the fact that maybe |
|
the defense budget is really the bugaboo here. |
|
But if you take a look at defense as a percent of GDP, |
|
going back to maybe 67 or so, you are looking at close to nine |
|
percent of GDP being spent on defense, it is now dropped to |
|
four-something. And one of the few people on this committee |
|
sitting on armed services; we talk about, Well, we are going to |
|
cut this Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle for the Marines. The |
|
only problem is, if you really believe in Marines, you have got |
|
to get them from the ocean to the shore. So, I am not so sure |
|
that you have already cut the percent of GDP for defense not |
|
quite in half, and in the meantime entitlements have gone from |
|
about 2.5 percent, if you go beyond Medicare, Medicaid, Social |
|
Security, to the other entitlements, you are well up at |
|
whatever it is, 12 percent. And you put entitlement and debt |
|
service together, and all of a sudden, voila, that is what our |
|
revenue is. |
|
So it seems to me that the elephant in the room is the |
|
entitlements, and courageous leadership is going to acknowledge |
|
that fact and say, Okay, now let us have the conversation, and |
|
talk about what we are going to do with those. Because all of |
|
us know we are talking about some heavy cuts in discretionary, |
|
but that is just the tip of the iceberg. So I guess it is |
|
disappointing not to say, Hey, let us at least make this the |
|
main subject the main subject. The second thing that I don't |
|
quite understand is the idea that we are somehow going to shock |
|
the fragile recovery by cutting discretionary income. I guess |
|
that is assuming that that discretionary income, by spending |
|
all that money, it helps the economy. If you could enlighten me |
|
on that line of reasoning, because I don't understand that. |
|
Mr. Lew. Thank you, Congressman. I have a soft-spot for |
|
those business school case studies; I paid my way through |
|
college by working on producing those case studies, so they |
|
have played an important part in my life. The first thing I |
|
would do, looking at a university class on how do you solve the |
|
problem, is say, Where do we need to be on the bottom line? And |
|
bottom line is we need to have a three percent of GDP deficit |
|
in order to say we are not adding to the debt. Then I would |
|
ask, What are you doing to get there? And we have put forward a |
|
plan that gets there. And then, I would say, you separate the |
|
question of what do you need to do for the long term. And that |
|
is exactly what we have done in this budget. |
|
So, I think we are dealing with the short-term and the |
|
medium-term, we are saying in a very direct way that we need to |
|
work together on the long-term, and we are trying to leave as |
|
much open for discussion so there is an environment where we |
|
can actually reach agreement. The easiest thing to do is kind |
|
of polarize the environment. We are deliberately leaving room |
|
for that conversation. |
|
Mr. Akin. Let me just jump in. In order to come up with the |
|
numbers that you have come up with, some of the assumptions |
|
strike me as being a little odd. For instance, some of my |
|
Democrat colleagues have talked about how, when President Bush |
|
took office, everything was rosy and perfect, but I recall |
|
there was quite a recession going in 2000, 2001. I do remember |
|
the numbers in May, 2003 we did three unpopular tax cuts, |
|
capital gains, dividends, and death tax. They weren't popular |
|
because we were tarred-and-feathered as sticking up for the |
|
rich guy. But the trouble was it was those rich guys that owned |
|
the businesses that hired people. And if you destroy the |
|
businesses by overtaxing the owners of small business, then you |
|
don't have any jobs. |
|
So, I took a look at those numbers after capital gains, |
|
dividends, and death tax, and what we saw was that first of all |
|
the GDP jumped, and it had the kind of growth that you want to |
|
make the budget numbers work, but we did it by cutting those |
|
taxes on the small business and the investors. We also saw that |
|
the employment turned right around. We went from un-employing a |
|
lot of people to jobs being created. And last of all, according |
|
to just what Laffer predicted, the government revenues actually |
|
jumped up when we cut the taxes, because of the fact that the |
|
economy got back going. So I don't understand how you make it |
|
work with growth and still raising taxes. |
|
Mr. Lew. I would love to respond but I suspect from the |
|
tapping I don't have time. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Mr. Pascrell. |
|
Mr. Pascrell. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you for your |
|
service. |
|
Mr. Lew. Thank you, Congressman. |
|
Mr. Pascrell. I find it remarkable, and I say this with |
|
fondness, Mr. Chairman, I am glad you smiled. I say this with |
|
fondness. You have become an existential party. You have |
|
amnesia about how the past and how we got to this place, and |
|
you don't want us to invest in the future. We are stuck with |
|
the here and now. I don't think we are stuck. I think this is a |
|
pretty credible blueprint. And it is not going to be like this |
|
when we finish, but it is a credible blueprint to begin with. |
|
There is a simple juxtaposition going on here. The President's |
|
budget, correct me if I am wrong Mr. Lew, the President's |
|
budget achieves substantial deficit reductions, and achieves a |
|
sustainable debt of three percent of the GDP by 2015. Is that |
|
correct, or incorrect? |
|
Mr. Lew. I would only correct you that it is the deficit. |
|
Mr. Pascrell. I am sorry. A sustainable deficit; that is |
|
what I meant to say. Second question is, isn't it true that in |
|
this President's budget, there is $5 billion in small business |
|
tax cuts for 2012, and if you add up the 10 years there is $116 |
|
billion in real tax cuts for small businesses. Is that correct? |
|
Mr. Lew. There are substantial incentives for small |
|
business. They do add up to a number like that. I don't have |
|
the exact number in front of me. I assume you have the correct |
|
number. |
|
Mr. Pascrell. Okay. Here is my second question then, some |
|
of my colleagues, who I admire, and respect, and that is |
|
nothing to smile about, I mean it. I don't have to agree with |
|
them, right? Some of my colleagues criticized the President's |
|
budget that it does not cut entitlement programs like Medicare. |
|
In fact, Mr. Chairman and I went outside for water, and the |
|
President was providing us with his address at 11 a.m. about |
|
the budget, and that was his first question. Why didn't you |
|
show leadership,--I think those were your words yesterday--Why |
|
didn't you show leadership in going after Medicare and Social |
|
Security? |
|
We know Social Security has very little to do with the |
|
deficit. We would agree with that, correct? I personally |
|
believe we can balance the deficit without cutting Medicare for |
|
seniors. That is my own personal belief. You could do other |
|
things. However, is it not true, Mr. Lew, that federal health |
|
care reform adopted many recommendations from Congress own |
|
independent advisory commission, the Medicare Payment Advisory |
|
Commission, we established that, did we not? |
|
Mr. Lew. Correct. |
|
Mr. Pascrell. And that by having a Medicare Center for |
|
Innovation, Medicare now can test and use new payment models. |
|
We fought to have that in there for a very specific reason, to |
|
not only improve patient care, but lower our national spending |
|
on health care. Would you just respond to that, please? |
|
Mr. Lew. Congressman, I think there are many, many things |
|
that we have done in the last couple years that are very |
|
important in health care. We have real savings in the 10 years, |
|
bigger savings beyond that, and we have put in place mechanisms |
|
like the ones you have described, which give us the ability to |
|
get the best practices, which are the way we are going to |
|
reduce spending overall going forward. A lot of those things |
|
don't score easily, because there is a question about when they |
|
will have results. We believe that they will have results, and |
|
we have to stay on the course of implementing it that we make |
|
sure we get the benefit. |
|
Mr. Pascrell. And many of those were not even scored. |
|
Mr. Lew. Correct. That doesn't mean they are not real. It |
|
just means you first have to demonstrate it. |
|
Mr. Pascrell. Why should we be paying for police to patrol |
|
the streets of Kabul and Baghdad? Why is that exempt when we |
|
say defense appropriations? Why is that exempt, but not cops on |
|
the beat in Patterson, New Jersey, or Camden, New Jersey, or |
|
anywhere? Why? |
|
Mr. Lew. I want to start by saying that we provide funding |
|
to make sure we can keep cops on the street in Camden, New |
|
Jersey, as well. So we don't believe that the choice is you |
|
either do one or the other. One of the things we have tried to |
|
do is preserve funding for the cops program. I think he short |
|
answer to the question of why we should be supporting the |
|
training of the police in Afghanistan, is that in order for us |
|
to get to the point where we can withdraw American troops, |
|
Afghanistan is going to need to have the ability to protect |
|
itself so that we are not put at risk, and that is part of our |
|
plan. |
|
Mr. Pascrell. I was talking about the security in our own |
|
country. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Chairman Ryan. A lot of our problem here is we have |
|
witnesses in high demand. I want to make sure every member gets |
|
his chance, so I ask unanimous consent that we reduce our four |
|
minutes each, so that we can make sure that we can accommodate |
|
everybody and still allow Mr. Lew his chance to go over to the |
|
Senate to testify. Without objection. Mr. Cole. |
|
Mr. Cole. Well, I was going to object, because it was my |
|
time. My friend Mr. Price and I think we either need to get |
|
taller or you guys in the front row need to get a lot shorter, |
|
it is very hard to see you there. |
|
Mr. Lew. This has actually changed since the last time I |
|
was here. I find myself leaning forward a lot more. |
|
Mr. Cole. But since my time is short, I have got three |
|
areas I would like to ask you about. The first is, just looking |
|
at your budget; you basically keep 80 percent of the Bush tax |
|
cuts for about 95 percent of the people that received them. |
|
Does that suggest, one, that you don't think those went to the |
|
rich particularly, and two, that you see them as having been, |
|
and continuing to be, beneficial to the economy? |
|
Mr. Lew. You know, we believe that the tax cuts for the |
|
middle class are a good thing, and there was too high a tax |
|
rate burden, and we should continue to do what we can to |
|
minimize the tax burden on the middle class. One thing I would |
|
just point out is that we don't take the benefits of those tax |
|
breaks away from anyone; even if they are above 250,000, we |
|
just say there shouldn't be additional tax breaks. |
|
Mr. Cole. No, I understand that, and again, I applaud the |
|
President for embracing, literally 80 percent of the Bush tax |
|
cuts, something that seems to be forgotten around here |
|
sometimes. We can disagree about 20 percent, but 80 percent we |
|
actually do agree on. Second question, and this gets maybe to |
|
your philosophy, the administration's philosophy, in your |
|
deficit reduction plan over several years, you have some tax |
|
increases, you have some spending restraints. Roughly, what is |
|
the balance that you strike between tax increases and spending |
|
cuts or restraints? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well, I apologize that it is a little bit of a |
|
complicated answer, just because baselines make how you measure |
|
complicated, and I want to be clear. We start with a baseline |
|
that assumes that the tax rate in the top bracket stays where |
|
it will be when the provisions enacted last December expire. |
|
From that baseline, we have net $360 billion of additional |
|
revenue. But I say net because we have $392 billion of tax |
|
cuts, so after you pay for the tax cuts, net $360 billion of |
|
new revenues. |
|
Mr. Cole. And how much in spending restraint? |
|
Mr. Lew. We have $751 billion in mandatory and non-security |
|
discretionary savings, and we do count debt service as spending |
|
because we have to pay for debt service. |
|
Mr. Cole. Obviously we would probably disagree over whether |
|
letting those tax cuts run out amounts to a tax increase or |
|
not, but let me put that aside. Let me get to the last point I |
|
wanted to ask you about and this really does get down to, |
|
actually, some questions my friend Mr. Akin raised. Look, we |
|
all know entitlement spending is going to be a major focus. |
|
As an appropriator I will be thrilled the day we finally |
|
move to tax expenditures and entitlement expenditures, because |
|
that is where the problem is. But since you have expressed a |
|
lot of the President wants to do this, doesn't want to take |
|
options off the table. I am like everybody else, I am really |
|
disappointed we haven't seen more, at this point, but can you |
|
tell me when that discussion would begin, is the President |
|
going to propose a format in which it would take place, does he |
|
think he should lead with a proposal of his own, or wait for |
|
Congress to put one on? I am sort of mystified about how we get |
|
to the elephant in the room that Mr. Akin was talking about. |
|
Mr. Lew. The President has put quite a lot on the table in |
|
the budget that we presented yesterday, and it is the first |
|
step in the process. We have a lot of work to do together, both |
|
in terms of finishing the work on 2011, getting to work on |
|
2012. I have to tell you from my own personal experience, |
|
having watched and been part of the deficit reduction efforts |
|
in the late 70s, 80s, 90s, when we have had real success in a |
|
bipartisan basis, it is come from people working together |
|
behind the scenes and in an environment where there could be |
|
the kinds of open conversations where there is trust. And I |
|
think if we concentrate on developing that kind of a |
|
conversation, we will again produce the best results for the |
|
American people. |
|
Mr. Cole. Thank you gentlemen. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Ms. Castor. |
|
Ms. Castor. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Welcome. I would like |
|
to show you a chart, here. |
|
<GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT> |
|
|
|
I understand you were the head of Office of Management and |
|
Budget in the last few years of the Clinton administration, |
|
where there were burgeoning debts and growing deficits, but at |
|
the end of the Clinton administration, is it true that you left |
|
when we had a projected 10 year surplus of $5.6 trillion? |
|
Mr. Lew. I would just correct that I was director of Office |
|
of Management and Budget three years in a row when we had |
|
surpluses. We didn't have deficits, we had surpluses. We were |
|
paying down the debt, so that is what that chart says. |
|
Ms. Castor. I stand corrected. And then when President |
|
Obama took office, we were facing an $8 trillion, 10-year |
|
deficit. It must be entirely frustrating to you, it must have |
|
been frustrating, during that eight year period, to watch what |
|
happened to the surpluses left at the end of the Clinton |
|
administration. |
|
Mr. Lew. I don't exaggerate when I say it breaks my heart. |
|
I think that you look at what drove the deficit up, some of it |
|
was beyond our control, in terms of the economy. When there is |
|
a recession, there is a loss of revenue and there is certain |
|
spending that you have. Some of it was because of wars, which |
|
you don't necessarily choose, but if you go to war, that is an |
|
extraordinary circumstance. Some of it was because we just |
|
suspended the basic common sense of paying for what we did. And |
|
we had tax cuts and spending increases that weren't paid for, |
|
and that is what has created the long-term problem we are |
|
dealing with now. These other things correct themselves; the |
|
economy is recovering, and we are going to see revenues and |
|
spending get back to their more normal levels. The wars will |
|
come to an end; we are pulling our troops home from Iraq. The |
|
other creates a problem that we have to deal with. |
|
Ms. Castor. And that is why I am grateful that you have |
|
taken on this new challenge. We all agree, the government has |
|
got to live within its means. But we must remain mindful that |
|
we are coming out of the most severe recession in our |
|
lifetimes, and we have got to build on the economic foundation |
|
for the future, and that is why I am particularly focused on |
|
job creation, and jobs, and our workforce. My district is home |
|
to one of the largest universities in the country, and a lot of |
|
community colleges, and private universities, and I am 100 |
|
percent behind you on what this budget does to maintain the |
|
maximum Pell grant for students. It remains at $5,550 for |
|
students. You all know that the Pell Grant helps over nine |
|
million students across America afford college. |
|
Now, over the last couple of days there is been a lot of |
|
confusion in the press, however, over what is happening with |
|
the Pell grant. It appears President Obama maintains the |
|
maximum Pell grant, at $5,550 for 2012, for students, and you |
|
pay for it by cutting the relatively new year-round Pell grant |
|
that allowed some students to qualify for two Pell grants. I |
|
wasn't aware that they could do that. |
|
Are you also aware that in contrast to what the President's |
|
budget is trying to do, right now on the floor of the House, |
|
the Republican continuing resolution has proposed cuts in the |
|
Pell grant by $845 per student for 2011? I think that is moving |
|
in the wrong direction when we want to ensure that we have the |
|
most competitive workforce across the globe. So could you |
|
explain your budget and why you viewed this as a priority, and |
|
your view of the Republican efforts to diminish support for |
|
students, and how it will hurt our national goal of supporting |
|
an educated workforce that can out-compete others? |
|
Chairman Ryan. And I ask you to explain that in six |
|
seconds, otherwise give the rest in writing, please. |
|
Mr. Lew. We think Pell grants are an enormously important |
|
program. We have taken the tough steps in this budget to pay |
|
for it, and when you look at where some of the increases in |
|
spending since 2008 and now are, Pell grants is one of the |
|
biggest, and we think it is one of the best investments we can |
|
make in our future. |
|
Chairman Ryan. All members, if you ask your question at the |
|
end of your time allotted, you are taking away from our fellow |
|
colleague. So that is why I am being judicious with the gavel, |
|
here, so everybody gets a chance. Mr. Price. |
|
Mr. Price. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Director Lew, thanks so |
|
much for joining us. Some of our friends on the other side of |
|
the aisle, one of them said on our side there is an amnesia |
|
about the past. So I want to visit a little bit of the amnesia |
|
that goes around to the other side. You said that the last time |
|
you were before this committee it was a good time because you |
|
had produced a balanced budget. What party was in control of |
|
the House of Representatives at that time? |
|
Mr. Lew. I am proud to say we worked on a bipartisan, |
|
balanced budget agreement. |
|
Mr. Price. But the answer to that would be Democrat or |
|
Republican? |
|
Mr. Lew. We worked with Republican leadership. |
|
Mr. Price. Republican leaders. Thank you very much. |
|
Mr. Lew. The Republicans and Democrats in Congress. |
|
Mr. Price. Can you tell me, Director Lew, what the debt was |
|
in this country at the end of 2006? |
|
Mr. Lew. I would have to look that number up. I have a lot |
|
of numbers in my head, I don't have that number in my head. |
|
Mr. Price. If I told you that the debt at the end of 2006 |
|
when the Republicans ended their control of Congress--the House |
|
of Representatives--was $8.4 trillion. Would you say that was |
|
about right? |
|
Mr. Lew. When we took office it was approaching $10 |
|
trillion. |
|
Mr. Price. When Speaker Pelosi began her reign would be |
|
about right in 2007, correct? And the debt right now, Director |
|
Lew? |
|
Mr. Lew. The debt right now, I can look that up. |
|
Mr. Price. About $14 trillion? |
|
Mr. Lew. $14 trillion. |
|
Mr. Price. Somewhere in that range. So about $6 trillion in |
|
the last four years under Democrat leadership in the House, is |
|
that correct? |
|
Mr. Lew. You know, I think that one can go through these |
|
numbers, and we can look it up in the book, and we can |
|
establish what the numbers are. I think one has to understand |
|
what was going on in these periods. |
|
Mr. Price. Absolutely. |
|
Mr. Lew. We were going through the worst economic |
|
conditions since the Great Depression. |
|
Mr. Price. I will reclaim my time Director, I am sorry. I |
|
only get four minutes. And as the elephant in the room has been |
|
discussed, it is a remarkable, remarkable display that we |
|
believe has come out of the administration. When I was a kid we |
|
used to play kickball in the street or in the backyard, and |
|
when we turned around and headed to our house, we knew that the |
|
house was going to be there. The house is burning down, Mr. |
|
Director. |
|
And the fact of the matter is that the administration is |
|
playing kickball and not attending to the work that needs to be |
|
done. To put a budget before the American people that doesn't |
|
address the entitlement issues is reckless and irresponsible. |
|
And you talk about, To get to balance, a set of decisions needs |
|
to be discussed, that no one is discussing right now. But I |
|
will tell you who is discussing them, Mr. Director, and that is |
|
our constituents. They are scared to death. And they don't see |
|
any leadership coming out of this administration as it relates |
|
to the entitlements. When does that discussion begin? |
|
Mr. Lew. You know, Congressman, if you look at what was |
|
going on during the period. |
|
Mr. Price. When, Mr. Director, when does that discussion |
|
begin? |
|
Mr. Lew. I am happy to answer that discussion if you give |
|
me a moment. |
|
Mr. Price. I have got four minutes and the fact of the |
|
matter is that you are not answering the question, and you |
|
haven't answered the question. |
|
Mr. Lew. The President has put down a budget that we think |
|
takes the first, and very important, step of showing how we get |
|
to a sustainable deficit by the middle of the decade. That is |
|
an important step. And the President has also said that we need |
|
to work together on a bipartisan basis to do what we need to do |
|
in the long term, and I think we can't confuse the two issues. |
|
Mr. Price. Does this budget deal with the entitlements that |
|
[inaudible]. |
|
Mr. Lew. This budget begins to, but those entitlement |
|
issues did not cause the increases that you have just |
|
described. The worst economic recession since the Great |
|
Depression drove those numbers. We need to get the economy |
|
moving, and we need to take the steps that we have put forward |
|
in this budget and then more, on a bipartisan basis, working |
|
together. |
|
Mr. Price. We look forward to that. As you well know, and |
|
as you have stated here, this budget does not deal with the |
|
entitlement issues. I want to turn my attention very quickly to |
|
the tax issues. The assumptions under this budget assume that |
|
the tax increases will occur for those making more than |
|
$250,000 in two years; is that correct? |
|
Mr. Lew. It assumes that the tax rates that are in current |
|
law will remain in effect. |
|
Mr. Price. So that a tax increase for small businesses |
|
occurs within this budget window, is that correct? |
|
Mr. Lew. It means that individuals, families that earn over |
|
$250,000 a year will pay the same taxes that they did during |
|
the end of the 1990s when the economy was growing at the |
|
fastest rate. |
|
Mr. Price. And the amount of tax increase in this budget is |
|
about $1.6 trillion, is that correct? |
|
Mr. Lew. Again, it gets to this question of measurement. I |
|
have tried to be very clear that there is a portion that we are |
|
not taking credit for because it is in the baseline, and I am |
|
happy to work through those numbers. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Thank you, we already established the 1.6 |
|
number. Mr. Tonko. |
|
Mr. Tonko. Thank you, Mr. Chair. Director Lew, thank you |
|
for joining today. |
|
Ms. Moore. Mr. Chair, excuse me. What happened to me? I |
|
just want to know. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Ms. Moore, as you know, the rule is in the |
|
order in which you show up, so we have Tonko, Bass, Moore, |
|
Wasserman Schultz, Ryan, and Blumenauer on your side of the |
|
aisle. |
|
Ms. Moore. Okay, I just wanted to make sure I hadn't |
|
disappeared. |
|
Chairman Ryan. No, you are still there, Gwen. |
|
Ms. Moore. Okay, got you. |
|
Mr. Tonko. Thank you for providing insight on the |
|
President's proposed budget. Also, I am aware that you are a |
|
fellow New Yorker. Last month, members of the New York |
|
delegation in the House, myself included, wrote to you about |
|
extending the Federal-State Health Reform Partnership. As you |
|
know, this innovative partnership between New York and the |
|
federal government has led to significant modernizations and |
|
improvements for several hospitals and health systems. |
|
Established by former Governor Pataki and Secretary Leavitt to |
|
improve New York's outdated health care system, the funds have |
|
been allocated already, but not all the projects that have been |
|
authorized by the agreement have been finished. The New York |
|
delegation also wrote to urge you and Secretary Sebelius to |
|
extend the waiver for three years, and my concern is that be |
|
agreed to here. It is a common-sense thing to do, and do you |
|
know if the Office of Management and Budget extends the waiver |
|
before it expires late this year? |
|
Mr. Lew. Congressman, I know it is under review. There are |
|
actually two waivers that are under review. I have been at the |
|
Office of Management and Budget for eight weeks, it is one of |
|
the things that I have actually looked at; it hasn't come to me |
|
for a decision yet, we will continue to work with the state as |
|
we review it. |
|
Mr. Tonko. Great. We look forward to working with you on |
|
that. And also, the President's budget, I am very concerned |
|
about the investment in R&D and basic research, and happy to |
|
note that the President's budget proposes to invest some $148 |
|
billion in R&D, in energy efficiency, and key basic research, |
|
contrasted with the Republican spending plan that would slash |
|
R&D. The President's budget also proposes robust investments in |
|
the National Institutes of Health, where doctors and scientists |
|
work to cure cancer, heart disease, and diabetes. Alzheimer's |
|
and other diseases that together claim the lives of millions of |
|
Americans every year are also impacted by that budgeting. The |
|
GOP spending plan on the floor today cuts the National |
|
Institutes of Health budget by about a billion, and medical |
|
research has proven to extend life expectancy, for instance, |
|
from 50 years in 1911 to nearly 80 years now in 2011. Can you |
|
explain the approach taken with R&D and research, basic |
|
research in the President's plan? Some call it spending, others |
|
reference it as investing. |
|
Mr. Lew. I am happy to. We have taken a very close look at |
|
the R&D budget and we have looked kind of beyond some of the |
|
traditional boundaries. There has been a broad consensus that |
|
biomedical research is important. We agree with that. We have |
|
an increase in biomedical research. But we have looked at areas |
|
like energy research, and we have put significant resources |
|
into developing the technologies that will make us the most |
|
competitive country with the technologies of the future. We |
|
have put money into basic research. I think that we have to |
|
have a comprehensive research agenda in order for us to be in a |
|
place where, as the President says, we can out-innovate other |
|
countries. |
|
It has been an area, historically, of enormous strength in |
|
the United States. Even today, we spend more as a country, |
|
public and private combined, on research than any other country |
|
in the world. There are certain aspects of it which don't |
|
happen in the private sector alone, because there is too much |
|
risk, too many experiments and things that aren't going to |
|
become commercially viable, but you need to go through that |
|
process in order to get the material, the knowledge, out there. |
|
And I think we have had a history of very effective partnership |
|
in this country of transferring research from government-funded |
|
research to private-sector development, and we have tried to |
|
put together a budget that will continue what we think is the |
|
best of the American tradition. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Thank you. Mr. McClintock. |
|
Mr. McClintock. Mr. Lew, welcome. I want to join Ms. Castor |
|
and others for complimenting you on the job you did under the |
|
Clinton administration. You guys did an absolutely magnificent |
|
job managing the nation's fiscal affairs. You cut spending by a |
|
miraculous 4 percent of GDP during your years; historic reform |
|
of entitlements ending welfare as we know it; what amounted to |
|
the biggest capital-gains tax cut in American history; four |
|
years of budget surpluses. It is true it was a Republican |
|
Congress, but give credit where credit is due. You guys did a |
|
great job. But I look at this budget, and it seems to be |
|
exactly the opposite. |
|
Mr. Lew. I wanted to just say thank you. |
|
Mr. McClintock. No, with all sincerity, thank you. It was a |
|
great job. But I look at this budget and it is exactly the |
|
opposite: record increases in spending, biggest peacetime |
|
deficit in American history, no effort to address entitlements, |
|
which have grown significantly more challenging over the last |
|
several years. Wouldn't you call this the anti-Clinton budget? |
|
Mr. Lew. No, Congressman. I am very proud of the work I did |
|
in the Clinton administration and I would point out that one of |
|
the reasons that spending was falling as a percentage of GDP is |
|
the economy was growing so fast because we had a good fiscal |
|
policy that promoted confidence and economic growth. I think if |
|
you look at the projections today, spending now and in the |
|
future, we are projecting the retirement of the baby boom. We |
|
are seeing more people become 65 and claiming their benefits. |
|
Mr. McClintock. Actually, that is my very next question. I |
|
want to get to your long-range projection. |
|
Mr. Lew. And I think that it is part of the reality of |
|
projections that even if we cut spending in the policies that |
|
we are making, as we pay the benefits that people are due, |
|
there will be areas of the budget where spending goes up. I |
|
don't think any of us would want to be saying that people |
|
shouldn't be able to collect their Social Security benefits |
|
when they are 65, but that and Medicare for people retiring is |
|
really driving those aggregate spending levels. On the |
|
discretionary side, we are cutting spending. |
|
Mr. McClintock. Exactly right, which is why we are all |
|
baffled that you haven't tackled entitlements that are driving |
|
our long-range projections right off a cliff. But speaking of |
|
those long-range projections, I look at the claims that you are |
|
reducing the deficit in the long-term. You know, we have enough |
|
trouble projecting 10 quarters into the future without |
|
projecting 10 years, but I look at what you are doing here and |
|
you take the current year's war-funding level of $165 billion |
|
this year, pay for operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, |
|
including the surge, you then take this level and project it |
|
out for 10 years and this represents your current policy |
|
baseline. You then assume a policy or placeholder $50 billion |
|
for the war from 2013 to 2021, and then you count the lower |
|
funding in your budget relative to this current policy baseline |
|
as a $1.1 trillion spending cut over 10 years. You take the |
|
related debt service, that is another $1.3 trillion. Are you |
|
guys really planning to stay in Iraq at current levels and to |
|
continue the surge for the next 10 years? It has either a yes |
|
or no question. Yes or no? |
|
Mr. Lew. No, the budget reflects our withdrawal from Iraq. |
|
Mr. McClintock. And you are claiming that as savings. You |
|
take a baseline assuming of $165 billion a year, including the |
|
surge, and then you count everything below that as savings. |
|
Well we are planning to do that anyway. |
|
Mr. Lew. I am happy to respond. We are almost out of time. |
|
The overseas contingency operation account is something that |
|
really solved a problem that the Obama administration |
|
inherited, which was there was no orderly way to fund war |
|
operations, and supplemental appropriations were very much in |
|
disrepute as being a way of not having honest budgeting. |
|
Mr. McClintock. In the five seconds I have got left, that |
|
is an intellectually dishonest way of presenting the budget, |
|
particularly when the other part is $819 billion of tax |
|
increases. |
|
Mr. Lew. That is an important issue, and I would love to be |
|
able to respond in more detail on it. |
|
Chairman Ryan. How about in writing, because I would love |
|
to hear the answer to that one too. Ms. Bass. |
|
Ms. Bass. Thank you. Director Lew, thank you for your |
|
testimony. |
|
Mr. Lew. Thank you. |
|
Ms. Bass. You and the President should be commended for |
|
crafting a $1.1 trillion deficit-cutting budget that strikes |
|
the right balance, frankly, between spending reductions and |
|
targeted investments in infrastructure, innovation, and |
|
education. Prior to Congress, I served in the California |
|
Legislature where we had to make tough choices, such as |
|
eliminating Pell Grants for summer school to sustain the |
|
maximum award for all eligible students. |
|
Having said that, I do want to take a moment to draw |
|
attention to the choices made in the continuing resolution that |
|
will be debated this week. Not only does the spending plan make |
|
devastating cuts to critical programs that families depend on |
|
to get back on their feet, but the continuing resolution would |
|
result in lost jobs of 1,300 police officers, 2,400 |
|
firefighters, and 16,000 private-sector construction jobs from |
|
cutting $1.7 billion from the federal building fund. |
|
The most promising new source of economic growth and job |
|
creation is in our public infrastructure system, from roads and |
|
bridges to broadband and air-traffic control systems to a new |
|
energy grid. I am pleased to see that the budget invests in |
|
these key areas that will spur job creation, and based on this, |
|
what do you believe are the potential numbers of jobs that |
|
would be created by what you and the President are proposing? |
|
Mr. Lew. Congressman, I thank you. I can't give you a |
|
specific job forecast. I think we have all learned that there |
|
is uncertainty in the projections when you get to a pinpoint |
|
number. I think what we know is that when you build roads, when |
|
you build ports, when you build the infrastructure we need to |
|
be competitive in the future, it puts men and women to work on |
|
those projects in real time. And in our Surface Transportation |
|
Reauthorization Proposal, we do propose that $50 billion be |
|
done at the beginning to get a head start and to get people to |
|
work. I would be happy to get back to you with some notions of |
|
what that means in terms of specific jobs, but it is clearly a |
|
lot of jobs. |
|
Ms. Bass. I would appreciate that, even if you could give |
|
us a range. If you could get back to me, I would appreciate |
|
that. Second question, with the cuts that are taken in the |
|
defense part of the budget, I do believe that we can find |
|
additional savings. I wanted to ask you, for example, as I |
|
understand it, there is nearly 270 bases in Germany, 65 years |
|
after World War II ended. And I wanted to know if the |
|
administration has conducted a savings estimate on closing |
|
these bases that probably no longer serve a strategic value, |
|
and if some of them do, I would question whether over 200 do. |
|
Mr. Lew. You know, I think that these are the kinds of |
|
questions the Department of Defense needs to ask, not just |
|
about Europe but about its operations everywhere. What do we |
|
need for our current and future defense, what could we live |
|
without? I don't want to prejudge the answers to any of those |
|
questions, but I think that by putting in this budget the first |
|
step to bringing the Department of Defense back into the normal |
|
budget tradeoffs, where we are saying no real growth. That is a |
|
cut, in terms of what you can buy; it means you have to start |
|
doing less things. That is a step in the direction of asking a |
|
lot of very hard questions. |
|
Ms. Bass. Thank you, and then just finally I wanted to |
|
thank you for your comments earlier, especially about the R&D |
|
credit. Being in California and the Silicon Valley, we hear |
|
that all the time from the tech community, the need for that to |
|
be long-term so that they can do the planning. So thank you |
|
very much for your time. |
|
Mr. Lew. Thank you. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Mr. Chaffetz. |
|
Mr. Chaffetz. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Director, thank you |
|
for being here and your good work. I do appreciate it, the work |
|
you have done in the past. But what I have a problem with is |
|
this budget. It was suggested earlier that budgets reflect the |
|
priorities and values of those that present them, and I think |
|
in this case it is true. I think it is very true, that this is |
|
a case that is being made by the administration. They want big |
|
government, more government, the bottom line is this doubles |
|
the debt in 10 years, and that it is fiscally irresponsible. |
|
You know, the decisions we make in Congress are all about what |
|
kind of money we are going to pull out of people's pockets and |
|
give to somebody else. I find it reprehensible that we continue |
|
to talk about investments and other things when we are pulling |
|
money from people's pockets to try to give it to somebody else. |
|
The most important thing we can do is allow money to stay in |
|
their own pockets. It is the American people's money, it is not |
|
Congress money, it is not the White House's money. |
|
I want to get very specific at some of the things you said. |
|
This budget is a down payment was one of the things I heard, a |
|
quote from you, I believe, yesterday. This is a down payment on |
|
mortgaging our future, and it exacerbates the problem. It |
|
doesn't actually solve it. |
|
I want to talk about part of your testimony on page six. It |
|
says, quote, To stay on a path towards sustainable deficits. |
|
Sustainable deficits seems like an oxymoron to me. We are on a |
|
trajectory where we can't afford anything. We are paying $600 |
|
million a day just in interest. I would appreciate, at a future |
|
date, to please try to define for us sustainable deficits, |
|
because I think to the average American, to me, it does not |
|
make sense. We have no sustainable deficits. |
|
To further go on with that quote, you say, On the order of |
|
three percent of GDP, we make tough choices across all areas of |
|
the budget to identify more than $1 trillion in savings, two- |
|
thirds from spending reductions. Where does that other third |
|
come from? As I understand it, it is from tax increases, is it |
|
not? |
|
Mr. Lew. I am happy to answer all the questions you just |
|
asked. |
|
Mr. Chaffetz. Just this last one, please. I know our time |
|
is short. |
|
Mr. Lew. The net savings come from a number of provisions, |
|
but a lot of it comes from the provision that would pay for the |
|
alternative-minimum tax, which would reduce the value of tax |
|
deductions for families with $250,000 and above. |
|
Mr. Chaffetz. And a significant portion does come from tax |
|
increases, correct? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well, one-third. |
|
Mr. Chaffetz. A third is coming from tax increases. You |
|
have a statement in here about federal civilian employee pay |
|
freeze. I find this to be terribly disingenuous. The reality |
|
is, when Barack Obama took office to now, we have 145,000 |
|
additional federal workers. To suggest that pay is being frozen |
|
is not an accurate statement. Through step increases, through |
|
bonuses, through others, we have dramatically increased the |
|
federal payroll. The budget that is being proposed, when you |
|
say pay freeze, does that mean that expenditures on payroll |
|
will go up or stay the same? |
|
Mr. Lew. It means that people are not going to get a cost- |
|
of-living adjustment, a raise from the pay that they get right |
|
now. |
|
Mr. Chaffetz. So the total, the line-item going forward, |
|
will our total expenditure from the U.S. Government, will that |
|
go up or will that be the same? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well if we have more people, we will obviously |
|
have to pay the people who we are hiring, but for an individual |
|
federal worker they are going to see their pay frozen. |
|
Mr. Chaffetz. I guess what I am worried about for the |
|
American taxpayer is their expense for federal employees is |
|
going to go up, correct? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well I think if we want people to work at the |
|
airports and check to see that bombs aren't getting on planes, |
|
we have to pay them. |
|
Mr. Chaffetz. We already have 65,000 TSA agents. |
|
Mr. Lew. But we have new technology, and the new technology |
|
requires people to use it. |
|
Mr. Chaffetz. How many is enough? How many more TSA agents |
|
do you need? You have 65,000 TSA agents. |
|
Mr. Lew. Congressman, I am happy to go into detailed |
|
answers. |
|
Mr. Chaffetz. How many more TSA agents do you need? |
|
Mr. Lew. I think as we put new technology at the airports, |
|
we needed to hire people to work that equipment. I can get you |
|
an exact number. |
|
Mr. Chaffetz. We have 65,000. I need to know how many more |
|
people is it going to take? |
|
Mr. Lew. I know that it is not worth buying equipment that |
|
we don't have people to operate. |
|
Mr. Chaffetz. I appreciate it. Thanks, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Mr. Lew. And I would like to answer your other questions if |
|
I have time. I don't know if I have time. |
|
Chairman Ryan. If you could get to the gentleman in |
|
writing, only because we want to watch your time and the rest |
|
of the members time. |
|
Mr. Lew. Sure, okay. |
|
Chairman Ryan. It has now my pleasure to yield time to Ms. |
|
Moore. |
|
Ms. Moore. Thank you so much, Mr. Chairman, and thank you |
|
Mr. Lew for appearing. Now as you can tell, members on both |
|
sides of the aisle are very frustrated, because this is a very |
|
difficult budget. And coming from a cold place like Wisconsin, |
|
it is just chilling to see things cut like the low-income |
|
housing energy assistance program, for example. But I do |
|
appreciate the fact that the administration has attempted to |
|
have somewhat of a balance in terms of revenue and spending |
|
cuts and defense cuts, and entitlement cuts. I just want to ask |
|
you a very simple question: If we cut every dime of |
|
discretionary non-defense spending, would that put us on a |
|
course toward ending our deficits? Every single dime. |
|
Mr. Lew. It has not a big enough part of the budget for us |
|
to solve the problem. |
|
Ms. Moore. Thank you. That is what I want to know, because |
|
there is an attempt to really describe the solution as simply |
|
just cutting everything, not just low-income heating assistance |
|
but everything. |
|
Entitlements, my questions are generated from just |
|
listening here today. I get a little bit nervous when my |
|
colleagues talk about the White House not having dealt with |
|
entitlements. Did you say earlier in your testimony that you |
|
had found, what was it, $65 billion. |
|
Mr. Lew. $62 billion. |
|
Ms. Moore. In savings from Medicare? |
|
Mr. Lew. It is Medicare, Medicaid, federal employees health |
|
benefit programs; it is dozens of different provisions. |
|
Ms. Moore. So thank you. So you did, in fact, deal with |
|
entitlements. The reason I get nervous is entitlements is a |
|
really big category. The Medicare prescription drug program, |
|
can you remind me of how much that cost and was not paid for? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well I can tell you none of it was paid for. The |
|
exact estimate at the time was on the order of $500 billion. |
|
Ms. Moore. $500 billion? |
|
Mr. Lew. I wasn't working on this at the time, I might have |
|
the number wrong. |
|
Ms. Moore. And I wasn't here, and Democrats weren't in |
|
control of Congress. That is an entitlement that needs |
|
reforming. |
|
Social Security, I get very nervous. Can you just clarify |
|
for me who pays for Social Security? It comes out of our |
|
paychecks and employers paychecks, and you said earlier it was |
|
not driving the deficit. Why do they keep lumping Social |
|
Security into this deficit situation that we are in, and saying |
|
that it needs to be dealt with? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well, Social Security is financed by payroll tax, |
|
half by the employer, half by the employee. And if you look at |
|
the Social Security trust fund, it is projected to remain in a |
|
position to pay benefits until 2037, so we don't have any |
|
immediate crisis in Social Security funding. I think that it is |
|
also the case that we are spending more year to year on Social |
|
Security because people are retiring. If you turn 65, you get |
|
benefits. |
|
Ms. Moore. Okay, so thank you. I hate to cut you off but I |
|
keep hearing an awful lot about how the White House is harming |
|
small businesses, the business creators. I am just wondering, |
|
what are they talking about? If I have a hedge fund operating |
|
from my living room with a computer, I am a small business and |
|
I make, you know, several million dollars, am I considered a |
|
small business? A job creator? Like you said, law firms. Who |
|
are these small businesses that we are harming with the tax? |
|
Mr. Lew. I think if you look at the budget proposals we |
|
have, we have targeted assistance for small businesses that |
|
meet the kind of definition that I think most of us would, in a |
|
common-sense way, think of a small business. A small factory, a |
|
small shop, and it wouldn't apply to services like law and |
|
finance. So we have incentives that we propose that would make |
|
the tax code more attractive. |
|
Ms. Moore. You have differentiated here so that we are just |
|
not the mom-pop shop. |
|
Mr. Lew. We don't need to have the overall tax rate on the |
|
wealthiest Americans go back down to the [inaudible] level. |
|
Ms. Moore. Okay, let me ask one final question in my last |
|
five seconds, or just to make a statement maybe. The Bush era |
|
tax cuts, which I think we ought to have gotten rid of, period; |
|
those earning over $250,000 a year still benefit six times as |
|
much as everybody else. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Thank you, Ms. Moore. Ms. Black. |
|
Mrs. Black. Thank you, and thank you Mr. Lew. I want to go |
|
back and continue in the vein of the question related to a |
|
sustainable deficit. You started out by saying that this budget |
|
is just a starting point. I am a little disappointed in that |
|
because my understanding is that as the role of the President, |
|
he is to set forth a plan, not a skeleton. I am disappointed |
|
that there wasn't more of a plan here along the areas of the |
|
entitlement programs, but that is really not the direction I |
|
want to go. The direction that I want to go in is talking about |
|
sustainable deficits. |
|
Now, as has already been said here, we admire the work that |
|
you did during the Clinton administration, and particularly |
|
having a budget surplus, and that it broke your heart that we |
|
are not in that situation. However, it seems as I read your |
|
testimony and what I hear today, that the goal here was to have |
|
a sustainable deficit. And I think our goal should be to be out |
|
of debt, and that we shouldn't have a sustainable deficit but |
|
we should have a balanced budget. Do you agree that we should |
|
be in a situation where our goal should not be a sustainable |
|
deficit, but should be that we would have a surplus and not |
|
spend more money than what we bring in? |
|
Mr. Lew. The reason we call this a down payment is because |
|
we do agree that we need to get beyond stopping the building up |
|
of the debt, and we then need to work on surplus so that we can |
|
pay it down. The problem is you don't get there quickly. You |
|
have to stop putting more onto the bill before you can pay it |
|
down. It is going to take hard work to do that. The three |
|
percent of GDP gets us only to the point where we are paying |
|
our current bills with revenue, and we still have the deficit, |
|
the long-term debt, out there. And then we are going to need to |
|
work together on dealing with that. |
|
Mrs. Black. And I want to go to that too, because if our |
|
goal over the next 10 years is to just have sustainable |
|
deficit, we will never pay down the debt. And frankly, one of |
|
the reasons why I ran is because I look at my six |
|
grandchildren, and I am really sad to think that my goal over |
|
the next 10 years, or my goal of serving for however long I |
|
serve, is just to sustain the deficit and not go toward the |
|
debt. And I think that it is short-sighted for us to think |
|
along those lines. I want to see a plan that gets rid of the |
|
deficit and begins to start to pay on the debt. |
|
Mr. Lew. I think that having presented budgets that had |
|
surpluses and now working on a budget that is a tough budget, |
|
that stops building the debt, I agree that we need to look |
|
beyond getting to the point where we are not adding to the |
|
debt, and we need to look to the point where during good |
|
economic times, we are paying down the debt. It is not a simple |
|
process. We are not going to get there quickly. It took a long |
|
time to dig this hole; it took a lot of decisions to get us |
|
where we are. It is going to take a lot of hard work to get |
|
out. And I think that the notion that this is a starting point, |
|
I don't mean to say it is not a serious starting point. It is a |
|
comprehensive, responsible budget. The President doesn't get |
|
the final word; he gets the first word. He has put his plan |
|
forward. |
|
Mrs. Black. But I want to go back, again, to words that you |
|
used on one of the other comments that you made, and you talked |
|
about all of the things that got us to where we are. But you |
|
said the number-one thing was, we suspended common-sense |
|
spending where we are spending more than what we bring in. And |
|
this budget that we have gotten does the same thing, and I |
|
don't think it gets us to where our goal really should be, and |
|
that is to stop deficit spending and start paying down our |
|
debt. |
|
Mr. Lew. Well this budget actually adheres to the principle |
|
that we need to pay for what we do, and with all respect I |
|
would note that changing the rules of the House so that tax |
|
cuts don't require offsets is not something that is going to |
|
help get to the goal that you are looking for. We need to have |
|
a clearheaded understanding that whether it is a tax cut or |
|
spending increase, if we don't pay for it, it increases the |
|
deficit. |
|
Mrs. Black. Well the more that we take from the people that |
|
are out there creating the jobs, the less jobs we will have, |
|
the less taxes we will collect. Thank you. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Ms. Wasserman Schultz. |
|
Ms. Wasserman Schultz. Thank you Mr. Chairman. Welcome, it |
|
is good to see you. |
|
Mr. Lew. It has good to be here. |
|
Ms. Wasserman Schultz. I think it is interesting that the |
|
gentle lady from Tennessee laments the lack of a plan. Here it |
|
is. This looks like a plan to me. |
|
Mr. Lew. Felt like a plan putting it together. |
|
Ms. Wasserman Schultz. I bet it did. This from the party |
|
that still after six weeks in the 112th Congress, still has no |
|
jobs agenda, still has not put forward a plan to create jobs, |
|
not a single piece of legislation, nothing that has as many |
|
pages as this, 207 pages like this plan does. I think that when |
|
casting aspersions about the lack of a plan, they should look |
|
inward first. But your testimony referred to $62 billion in |
|
savings from increasing efficiency and accountability of health |
|
spending. Now we really focused on cracking down on waste, |
|
fraud, and abuse, and that was a huge priority in the 111th |
|
Congress for Democrats, particularly when we passed the |
|
Affordable Care Act. What are some of the significant policies |
|
in the budget that will contribute to that kind of savings? |
|
Mr. Lew. Congresswoman, there is kind of three baskets of |
|
savings. There is one set, which is about 16 provisions, which |
|
we would call program integrity. It is to make sure that if a |
|
provider has been paid erroneously, we recoup payment. If a |
|
provider submits bills for things that shouldn't be paid or |
|
duplicate bills, we have a process to make sure we pay once and |
|
we pay properly. That saves a little over $30 billion. |
|
We then have a number of provisions that would give |
|
Medicare and Medicaid the ability to take advantage of generic |
|
drugs, particularly generic biologics. That saves a little over |
|
$10 billion. Then we have a couple of changes in the Medicaid |
|
program, one of which would make sure that when we have |
|
expanded coverage and less uncompensated care, we calibrate |
|
correctly the disproportionate share payments that are supposed |
|
to pay providers who are providing uncompensated care. And then |
|
there is another that just lines up the state payment rates so |
|
that there is accuracy in what they are being matched for. |
|
Ms. Wasserman Schultz. The $62 billion in savings to which |
|
I just referred: Is that separate and distinct from the $125 |
|
billion in savings included in the budget related to program |
|
integrity? |
|
Mr. Lew. It is only counted in the budget once, and it is |
|
in the mandatory section, the $62 billion. We may have a |
|
display that shows it somewhere else, but it is only in the |
|
numbers once. |
|
Ms. Wasserman Schultz. Thank you. I want to focus on the |
|
cuts in Community Development Block Grants. In recent years, |
|
Congress has typically provided more than the President |
|
requests for Community Development Block Grants. And that is |
|
obviously a program that helps local governments fund housing, |
|
and sewers, and streets, and economic development, particularly |
|
in low and moderate income neighborhoods. Let me just give you |
|
a couple of examples of it for folks that really don't know |
|
Congressional speak. You know, Community Development Block |
|
Grants funds things like three grants in 2010 to the cities of |
|
Janesville, Kenosha, and Racine, Wisconsin, totaling nearly $4 |
|
million, and $2.4 million in two grants to Lima and Mansfield, |
|
Ohio. So my question is, the President's 2012 budget cuts |
|
Community Development Block Grants by about $646 million, and |
|
that is compared to the CR, where the Republican cuts it $3.1 |
|
billion, below, from the CR, $2.4 billion below the President. |
|
Can you classify the distinction between the President's |
|
approach to Community Development Block Grants cuts and the |
|
cuts in the CR, from the Republicans? |
|
Mr. Lew. The President's budget is a comprehensive budget |
|
where we have made tough tradeoffs. Reducing community- |
|
development block grants by 7.5 percent is a tough decision. We |
|
have got a lot of cities and towns that do good work with this |
|
money. But we didn't think it was necessary to make a deeper |
|
cut than that to hit the target of the $400 billion savings. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Ms. Wasserman Schultz. Thank you. |
|
Chairman Ryan. The gentleman from Appleton, Wisconsin, Mr. |
|
Ribble. |
|
Mr. Ribble. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Director |
|
Lew, for being here today. Just reading out of your testimony |
|
on page five, you say, Now that the country is back from the |
|
brink of potential economic collapse,--I would dare say that |
|
there is about 10 million Americans who wouldn't agree with |
|
that because they don't have a job today--Our goal is to win |
|
the future. But we cannot do so if we are saddled with |
|
increasingly growing deficits. Do you believe that statement, |
|
or was it just put in there as hyperbole? |
|
Mr. Lew. No, I believe it. I think that we were in a state |
|
of free-fall in the economy. We are not content with |
|
unemployment where it is now, or growth where it is now, but we |
|
have gone from negative growth and losing jobs to positive |
|
growth and creating jobs. And I believe that if we don't deal |
|
with the deficit, it is going to become a real threat to our |
|
economy. |
|
Mr. Ribble. So we cannot win the future if we are saddled |
|
with increasingly growing deficits. That is a statement that |
|
you agree? |
|
Mr. Lew. Yeah, no, I definitely agree with that. I wrote |
|
it, and I agree with it. That's a good thing. |
|
Mr. Ribble. Why would the President project a budget that, |
|
for the last five years, whose deficits are $890 billion, $891 |
|
billion, $960 billion, $1.05 trillion, and $1.16 trillion? All |
|
growing deficits. |
|
Mr. Lew. I think if you look at these last few years, there |
|
have been extraordinary things going on because of the |
|
recession. We have had a collapse in terms of revenues because |
|
of lower economic activity, we have had increased expenditures, |
|
some of them automatic stabilizers, some of them actions |
|
Congress and we took together to get the economy moving again. |
|
We have said that we are now at a pivot point. We cannot accept |
|
that as business as usual. It was necessary during the |
|
recession. We had to get out of this recession; if we were |
|
seeing negative growth right now and rising unemployment, that |
|
would be a terrible thing. So we are very proud of the work we |
|
did. We inherited an economy that was not in good shape, and we |
|
have gotten it on the path towards being in much better shape. |
|
The job is not done. And we are now looking to the future, and |
|
that is why we are putting together a budget that we think |
|
invests in the future. |
|
Mr. Ribble. Yeah, but the first five years, you project |
|
decreasing deficits and the last five years, you project |
|
increasing deficits, which will prevent us from winning the |
|
future. |
|
Mr. Lew. I think the deficit, as a percentage of the |
|
economy, stays in that 3 percent range in the entire period of |
|
this budget, and that is what we need to do to be able to pay |
|
our bills and not to put our current expenses on the credit |
|
card. We are going to have to do a lot more to pay down the |
|
debt. We are, and we are not pretending that we can do that all |
|
at once. We need to do that together, but we have got to get |
|
started. |
|
Mr. Ribble. On page seven, you use, It would be |
|
shortsighted to cut spending across the board and short-change |
|
critical areas for growth and competitiveness, such as |
|
education, innovation, and infrastructure, or carelessly slash |
|
programs that protect the most vulnerable. It is a little |
|
incendiary to think that those are the only two choices, but |
|
maybe it wasn't written with that intent. I will tell you what |
|
I believe is careless; when all the adults in this room leave, |
|
cameras are gone and the television announcers go home, I |
|
believe there is going to be a five-year-old sitting here with |
|
the bill. I think that is careless. Thank you sir. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Thank you. Mr. Ryan. |
|
Mr. Ryan of Ohio. Thank you, Chairman Ryan, thank you, Mr. |
|
Lew. I think this is the best budget you could put together |
|
given the circumstances, and I think it is important for us to |
|
remember that it was the President and this administration that |
|
said we need to have a Debt Commission, that made that happen |
|
while a lot of Republicans on the other side were doing the |
|
Potomac two-step, backpedalling away from it. And I think we |
|
need to go back and read those press clippings. You were here |
|
in 1993. Would you say that 1993 budget, when we had great |
|
economic growth during the 90s, 20 plus million new jobs being |
|
created, was it the 93 budget that really got the economy back |
|
on track? |
|
Mr. Lew. Congressman, I would say that what really made a |
|
difference was that from 1990, under President Bush, to 1993 |
|
under President Clinton, to 1997, when there was a bipartisan |
|
budget agreement, we showed continued emphasis on reducing the |
|
deficit, and paying for what we were doing, and getting our |
|
economic house in order. 1990 and 1997 were bipartisan; 1993 |
|
was not. I hope that we are now going back into a period where |
|
we can work together, because I actually believe that people |
|
draw a false distinction between, Is the economy causing us to |
|
get out of the deficit or is it our policies? They are |
|
connected. When we pursue policies that promote confidence in |
|
the future, it is good for the economy. When the economy grows, |
|
it is good for the deficit; a virtuous cycle. |
|
Mr. Ryan of Ohio. I think it is important that we realize |
|
that mature decisions were made in 1990; mature decisions were |
|
made in 1993. In 1993, there wasn't one Republican that voted |
|
for that budget. Vice President Gore had to break the tie in |
|
1993, and then when we got into the 90s, we had some money to |
|
invest in children's healthcare and R&D, and set the stage for |
|
T-Com revolution and the Internet revolution and everything |
|
else. |
|
Two quick questions. One is, is a concern of yours, we have |
|
got $100 billion in cuts that our friends in the House want to |
|
make immediately in the next few months. We have got about $140 |
|
to $150 billion in cuts being made by states across the |
|
country, $2 billion is going to be pulled out from the federal |
|
employees. Are you concerned that in the short-term, that we |
|
are pulling too much money out of the economy and it is going |
|
to hurt the growth that we have had and the success that you |
|
have had over the last year or two? |
|
Mr. Lew. We have put together a budget that tries to step |
|
on the brakes at the right time, and to not jump too fast into |
|
fiscal consolidation. I think we are going to have to look and |
|
see how the debate develops here in Congress. I think there is |
|
a concern in the states, as they are facing their fiscal |
|
challenges. We were careful in this budget that overall, the |
|
impact on the states, we don't think will create more of a |
|
problem there, though there are some things we reduce, there |
|
are other things we increase. |
|
Mr. Ryan of Ohio. I am concerned. You guys have the veto |
|
pen, and I just want to encourage you to not be afraid to take |
|
a stand, because we have come a long way in the last two years |
|
and we need the President to continue to lead us out of this. |
|
We are doing the right things now, I disagree with what my |
|
friends on the other side are saying. That leads me to my next |
|
and final question, and you have got 35 seconds to try to sum |
|
it up. How do these investments that you are making, R&D, |
|
education, high-speed rail, infrastructure, how do these |
|
investments compare as a percent of the GDP to what China is |
|
doing, what Germany is doing, what some of these other |
|
countries are pumping money into; how do our investments |
|
compare to these other countries, as we try to be competitive |
|
and compete? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well overall, the United States as a private- |
|
public combined, spends more money on research and development |
|
than the next four largest countries put together, so we are |
|
the leaders in R&D. I think in these areas, we frankly have not |
|
kept up with some of our competitors. The infrastructure |
|
investment needs to keep up in order to be able to ship goods |
|
and buy and sell goods. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Thank you. Mr. Flores. |
|
Mr. Flores. Thank you Mr. Chairman, and thank you Director |
|
Lew for joining us today. I want to continue the conversation |
|
that Mr. Price started about amnesia regarding the past. Do you |
|
recall what the unemployment rate was in December, 2006? It was |
|
about 4.4 percent. The unemployment rate in December, 2010 was |
|
in the mid-nines. I would submit that what you claim that you |
|
inherited was due to a legislative process that occurred during |
|
that four-year period, and that wasn't controlled on this side |
|
of the aisle. |
|
I am new to this job, I have been in it about six weeks. |
|
Before I did this, I was a CPA and a CFO and a CEO for a number |
|
of successful companies, and so I know what it is like to sign |
|
the front side out of a paycheck, to make the decision to |
|
commit to hire an employer, to make an investment. This so- |
|
called plan doesn't put me in a position, if I were in that |
|
chair today, to do that. |
|
The other thing is that I know a little bit about |
|
businesses and budgeting, and I have learned some new |
|
terminology. Sustainable deficits is a new term, and then |
|
primary balance, that is another interesting term. When |
|
Chairman Bernanke was here last week, he said that the federal |
|
deficit over the long term should not exceed the interest cost |
|
that we pay on our debt. We have come up with this definition |
|
of primary balance, that it is okay to run a deficit of 3 |
|
percent of GDP. How many businesses and families do you know of |
|
that can operate in primary balance and for how long? |
|
Mr. Lew. We haven't set the goal of stopping at primary |
|
balance. We have said you have to get to primary balance in |
|
order to get beyond that, and I think it is an important |
|
difference. |
|
Mr. Flores. This doesn't get better than primary balance. |
|
Mr. Lew. You are not going to get to balance if you don't |
|
pass through primary balance. |
|
Mr. Flores. Let me submit to you that most families and |
|
most businesses that I know of cannot operate in primary |
|
balance. I commend you for having balanced budgets during the |
|
Clinton administration. That is what I call primary balance, is |
|
where you have zero deficit or a surplus. |
|
Mr. Lew. If I could just respond on the first point. You |
|
know, I think most families have had some experience with |
|
building up balances on their credit card that they really were |
|
facing really hard decisions. |
|
Mr. Flores. They don't do it over 10 years. They don't do |
|
it over 40. |
|
Mr. Lew. They start by cutting up the card, not putting |
|
more on it, and that is what primary balance is. |
|
Mr. Flores. And they start by cutting their net deficit to |
|
zero, and this plan doesn't do that. My questions are this, you |
|
have got average spending during, what was it? Let me rephrase |
|
that. |
|
Mr. Lew. I am going to have to bring historical statistics |
|
with me the next time I testify. |
|
Mr. Flores. I can answer it for you, but do you recall what |
|
spending was as a percent of GDP during the Clinton |
|
administration? |
|
Mr. Lew. It was around 20 percent. |
|
Mr. Flores. Correct. And what is the average spending as a |
|
percent of GDP under this plan? |
|
Mr. Lew. I think that when you look at spending as a |
|
percentage of GDP over time, it does grow as the population |
|
grows, because people become eligible for Social Security and |
|
Medicare. So when one talks about those numbers, you have to |
|
look at what is behind them. |
|
Mr. Flores. It is almost 23 percent, and if we really |
|
wanted to develop a plan to have sustainable deficits of zero |
|
or a primary balance of zero, we should have spending down |
|
around the same level as taxes and that is around 18.3 percent |
|
of GDP over the long-term. |
|
Mr. Lew. You don't get the balance if your revenue and your |
|
spending don't cross. The question is, at what level they cross |
|
providing what we need for the country. |
|
Mr. Flores. I understand. I yield back. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Ms. Kaptur. |
|
Ms. Kaptur. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Welcome, Mr. Lew. Each |
|
member of Congress arrives here from different life |
|
experiences, and one truth in our family is going back nearly a |
|
century, that when Republicans occupied the White House in |
|
Congress, members of our family were thrown out of work. And |
|
when Democrats regained those offices, our family members |
|
started going back to work. It is one of the reasons I am a |
|
Democrat. I know until all Americans who want to work are able |
|
to become productive again, we won't be able to balance our |
|
budget nor reduce the deficit. No American I know wants to |
|
borrow more money from China or any other foreign country to |
|
keep this economy afloat. The administration budget, in my |
|
opinion, makes a responsible start and takes the deficit |
|
seriously, and so do I. In fact, I have served in this Congress |
|
long enough to have been a part of the solution during the |
|
1990s that some of my Republican colleagues have referenced, to |
|
balance the budget and grow jobs in this economy. Mr. Lew, you |
|
were a part of that, I think the President has the right man in |
|
your position. |
|
Also this man, Mr. Panetta, who now has the CIA. We sat in |
|
this room, I was a member of the Budget Committee back then. I |
|
know what we did for America, and when we did it, Alan |
|
Greenspan said he didn't think it was a good idea to balance |
|
the budget. That is the most unbelievable statement I ever |
|
heard in my life. Congress did it by making tough choices, by |
|
cutting waste and also curbing special interests. I support the |
|
administration's proposals to get rid of those oil subsidies. |
|
Let them compete in the global economy. In the tough times we |
|
are facing today due to the Wall Street abuses that caused the |
|
recession we are in, the problem with the Republican budget is, |
|
it hurts job creation and it goes after the people who can |
|
least afford to hold their lives together in this economy. |
|
In fact, their budget cuts off almost four million student |
|
loans, it takes away five million meals to the homebound |
|
elderly, it lays off meat and poultry inspectors, and it cuts |
|
40,000 jobs in preschools and Head Start. I don't think that is |
|
a very good set of proposals, so my questions, really Mr. Lew, |
|
to you deal with jobs, which is where we should be focused in |
|
two areas; one transportation, and the other one energy. For |
|
where I come from, which is not a government platform like |
|
capital cities like the one we are sitting in right now, and it |
|
is not a trading virtual platform like New York or Chicago or |
|
San Francisco, these places that deal in virtual stuff, we are |
|
the real economy in northern Ohio, and for us transportation |
|
and energy are destiny. |
|
So let me ask you, the administration has put some focus in |
|
its budget, despite tough times, on investing in |
|
infrastructure, and also in new forms of energy. That is music |
|
to our ears in our part of the country. We have to compete in |
|
an unsubsidized, free-enterprise economy in northern Ohio. |
|
Could you please tell us a little bit about the investments |
|
that the administration is going to be making in transportation |
|
and in renewable energy, and how this will contribute to job |
|
creation, which we all desperately want? |
|
Mr. Lew. Thank you, Ms. Kaptur. I am going to try in 50 |
|
seconds to do justice to our program, but we have an approach |
|
that is designed to make sure that we build the infrastructure |
|
so that we can have goods come and go between American markets |
|
and shipped internationally from our seaports and our airports. |
|
We have taken a broad view of surface transportation, because |
|
it also means having the kind of modern communications |
|
technology so that northern Ohio becomes part of the virtual |
|
economy because there is no part of the country that is left |
|
behind. That is what it is going to take to win the future. In |
|
R&D, in energy, you know we look at the new technologies in |
|
renewable energy and where other countries are frankly putting |
|
their money down, saying That is the future. If we don't do the |
|
same, we are going to find ourselves left behind. America has |
|
never been left behind before, and we shouldn't start now. |
|
Ms. Kaptur. I wish you could say more. Thank you very much, |
|
Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Lew. |
|
Mr. Lew. Thank you. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Mr. Mulvaney. |
|
Mr. Mulvaney. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Lew, I am also |
|
one of the folks who is new around here, but I am familiar with |
|
budgets, I have written them, I have read them, and I can |
|
assure you, sir, that if you let me play around with the |
|
assumptions, I can make you a budget that looks as good or as |
|
bad as I want it to. I am looking at your assumptions regarding |
|
the revenues in the future, and you have assumed, essentially, |
|
that revenues have become about 19 percent of GDP in the next |
|
couple of years and then steadily increase over the course of |
|
your budget, peaking out above 20 percent. These are the |
|
historical numbers going back to the 1960s, and I suggest to |
|
you sir, or I would ask you, are you making an assumption that |
|
we have only seen once or twice in the last 40 years? |
|
Mr. Lew. You know, the revenue projections are based on a |
|
combination of current law and specific proposals, and it is |
|
driven by what is happening in the economy overall. |
|
Mr. Mulvaney. But the truth of the matter is that you are |
|
assuming numbers that, you are assuming the numbers will be |
|
average. Nineteen percent, 19 percent, 20 percent, and we have |
|
only seen that sporadically once, maybe twice, in the last 40 |
|
years. You take a look at the GDP, another one of your |
|
assumptions, Mr. Ryan mentioned it earlier, the Washington Post |
|
beat you up on it today; you are assuming rates of growth in |
|
the economy that dramatically exceed even what the |
|
Congressional Budget Office is assuming. Against that backdrop, |
|
you are also assuming interest rates dramatically lower than |
|
the Congressional Budget Office. I would suggest to you, sir, |
|
that to assume growth rates that are higher but interest rates |
|
that are lower is internally inconsistent, and I draw your |
|
attention to the fact that you have assumed an interest rate on |
|
the 10-year Treasury note of this year of 3 percent. Do you |
|
know what the 10-year traded at last week? |
|
Mr. Lew. I did not check the [inaudible] rates last week. |
|
Mr. Mulvaney. Three point six five. And your assumption is |
|
that it will be 3 percent this year. The Congressional Budget |
|
Office, by the way, says it will be 3.4; they are already too |
|
low. The Congressional Budget Office also testified that for |
|
every percentage point that they assume the interest rate is |
|
too low, it is $1.3 trillion of additional debt over the course |
|
of the 10 years. You have assumed revenues that are way higher |
|
than average, GDP that is higher than anybody else thinks, and |
|
interest rates that are dramatically lower than anybody else |
|
thinks. And I put it to you, sir, that that is the reason that |
|
this is not a credible document. |
|
And I go back and I look at the past couple of budgets that |
|
the President has offered. Two years ago, he told us the |
|
deficit this year would be $900 billion in his budget. Last |
|
year, he told us the deficit this year would be $1.3 trillion. |
|
Yesterday, he told us it was $1.6. Two years ago, he projected |
|
that the budget deficit next year would be $557. Last year, he |
|
told us that number was going to be $829. Now he is telling us |
|
the number is going to be $1.1. I can't believe the numbers. I |
|
can't do it. And until we can get numbers that we can agree on |
|
are at least in the middle of the assumptions, it is going to |
|
be very difficult for us to focus on policy. |
|
Is it a question? No, sir, it is not. Am I beating up on |
|
you? Perhaps unfairly so. But the point is this; we should be |
|
here talking about policy. We should be here talking about what |
|
the President wants to do to fix the country, and what we want |
|
to do to fix the country. I happen to be one of those |
|
Republicans who does not believe the President doesn't want the |
|
country to succeed. I believe that he does, but we have to have |
|
a discussion about policy, and when you give us numbers that |
|
are simply not credible, it really prevents us from doing that. |
|
I expect better. |
|
Mr. Lew. Can I respond at least quickly? |
|
Mr. Mulvaney. Very briefly. I expect better out of you, and |
|
I have already spoken to the Chairman, I expect better from us. |
|
When you see our budget, you are not going to see unreasonable |
|
assumptions. But yes, sir, you may. |
|
Mr. Lew. The economic assumptions in this budget reflect |
|
what is the middle in terms of where the Federal Reserve Board |
|
looks at what the likely patterns of recovery are. So, there |
|
are mainstream assumptions. |
|
Mr. Mulvaney. Well then you need to walk to the |
|
Congressional Budget Office and tell them that their numbers |
|
are whacked out. |
|
Mr. Lew. And there is a conceptual difference between the |
|
Congressional Budget Office numbers, where they believe the |
|
economy never gets back to the level of strength that it had |
|
before the recession. That hasn't been the experience of past |
|
recessions, even financially-led recessions. It is taken |
|
longer, but we have gotten back. So there may be year-to-year |
|
disagreements, but we think we have very credible economic |
|
assumptions, and I am happy when we have more time, to go |
|
through them in some detail. Thank you. |
|
Mr. Mulvaney. Thank you. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Thank you Mr. Huelskamp. Mr. Huelskamp, will |
|
you just yield for 10 seconds? |
|
Mr. Huelskamp. Yes, sir. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Here is what we think is wrong. You are |
|
assuming 3.9 percent growth in the first five years, 3.2 |
|
percent over 10 years. That is above trend, and only with those |
|
rosy assumptions can you ever get close to the primary balance |
|
you are claiming. That is why when we see blue chip |
|
Congressional Budget Office far below where you are, it sort of |
|
strains the credibility of these claims. That is the point we |
|
are trying to make. |
|
Mr. Lew. Mr. Chairman, I would just say that in the short |
|
term, we actually are slightly less optimistic. In the long |
|
term, we are slightly more optimistic, because of the |
|
difference in approach I just described. |
|
Chairman Ryan. And medium-term, where you hit your |
|
objectives more often. |
|
Mr. Lew. The idea behind the economic projections is, will |
|
we or won't we track the recovery patterns from past |
|
financially-led recessions? We believe we will. That is what |
|
the projection is. So it is to that trend. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Mr. Huelskamp. |
|
Mr. Huelskamp. Thank you Mr. Chairman. Mr. Director, I |
|
appreciate you being here, and back in February 23, 2009, the |
|
Congressional Budget Office at that time outlines a $1.186 |
|
trillion deficit. The very next day, the President made his |
|
promise to pledge to cut the deficit in half by the end of my |
|
first term in office. In your comments, and the President's |
|
yesterday, he made a claim that he was going to meet that |
|
pledge, at least projected. But the numbers show one-half of |
|
the Congressional Budget Office figures are a $593 billion |
|
deficit. What do you predict? |
|
Mr. Lew. If you look at it as a percentage of GDP, we cut |
|
it in half by the end of the first term. |
|
Mr. Huelskamp. That was not the statement of the President. |
|
That is what bothers me, how the President can stand up, and |
|
you can stand here in this document, and claim that you are |
|
cutting the deficit in half, when you did not. |
|
Mr. Lew. We are cutting it in half as a percentage of GDP. |
|
Mr. Huelskamp. That was not the claim the President made. |
|
Would you agree with me? |
|
Mr. Lew. I know what we have done in this budget. I know |
|
what we have said in this budget. We have cut the deficit in |
|
half as a percentage of GDP. |
|
Mr. Huelskamp. I appreciate that. Again, I will just note, |
|
that is not what the President said, and that is not accurate |
|
of what is in your budget, and that is some of my difficulty. |
|
Where I come from, if you are wrong, you are wrong, but to |
|
stand up and again make that claim, I was very disappointed in |
|
that particular claim. But I am also particularly disappointed, |
|
Mr. Director, in another statement in your document where you |
|
state, quote, We are going to stay on a path towards |
|
sustainable deficits. How long are deficits sustainable? |
|
Mr. Lew. We need to get to the place where we stop adding |
|
to the national debt. This is a down payment. We need to work |
|
together to go farther than that. But you have got to walk |
|
before you run. You have got to get rid of the deficit before |
|
you cut the debt. |
|
Mr. Huelskamp. I understand, but this budget never does |
|
that, does it? |
|
Mr. Lew. It gets us on a path where we will able to do it, |
|
yes. |
|
Mr. Huelskamp. The path is unsustainable. Your path in this |
|
budget is unsustainable. The deficit is not sustainable. |
|
Mr. Lew. I look forward to seeing the plan. |
|
Mr. Huelskamp. We are not talking about a proposed plan, |
|
Mr. Lew. That is why I am dissatisfied. The language that is |
|
coming out of this administration is telling the American |
|
people that we can borrow for 10 years or longer, and are going |
|
to call it sustainable. We are going to say 3 percent borrowing |
|
is sustainable. It is not sustainable. There is no way we can |
|
sustain the track that is being presented here, and that is |
|
disappointing, because I know the American people. I know |
|
people that work every day and try to balance their budgets and |
|
they understand that sometimes you go under water awhile. But |
|
to sit here today, and have the President claim, somehow, it |
|
will be all okay, even if we are going to have a $768 billion |
|
deficit in two years and we are going to sustain that forever, |
|
and that is why I am very disappointed that the President |
|
didn't stand. I am very disappointed in that. That is what I |
|
wanted to convey. Because the President has the opportunity to |
|
stand up and provide proposals to save and strengthen Medicare. |
|
And you have said here that those are not contained in here. |
|
But I just want to note, to the American people, the folks |
|
that are listening here, and in the media, this is not |
|
sustainable. You can call it whatever you want. Sustainable |
|
deficits do not work. Primary balance is a figment of our |
|
imagination. Only in Washington could you run a deficit and |
|
claim it is balance, and somehow use the word balance. Mr. Lew, |
|
you couldn't do that anywhere else. They would laugh you out of |
|
the room. And I come at the state level. I served in the state |
|
legislature. We had a requirement; balance. It wasn't a primary |
|
balance. We couldn't run a deficit. This country is on a course |
|
for un-sustainability and I would expect the President to stand |
|
forward and say I am not going to keep my word, but to stand up |
|
and tell the American people, I kept my pledge. He did not. |
|
Mr. Lew. I disagree with you Congressman. |
|
Mr. Huelskamp. He is $193 billion off of his promise. That |
|
is a false claim and I am very disappointed in that. I yield |
|
back the balance of my time, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Do you want to take a second? |
|
Mr. Lew. No, I would be delighted to, Mr. Chairman. |
|
Chairman Ryan. You know it is coming out of your time. |
|
Mr. Lew. I understand. I have missed lunch a lot of days. I |
|
think that if we want to use the kinds of common-sense language |
|
that people understand, we should just do that. We should say, |
|
Can you bring down the debt before you eliminate the deficit? |
|
No. You can't start paying down the debt until you stop adding |
|
to it. That is all we mean by primary balance. We are not |
|
talking about it being okay. We are just saying that you can't |
|
honestly tell people that we can pay down the debt, while you |
|
are still adding to it. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Mr. Young. |
|
Mr. Young. Mr. Director thanks so much for being here |
|
today. I know it has been a long morning and early afternoon |
|
for you. My focus here in Congress is on sustainability, but it |
|
is on sustainable job creation. And in the testimony we |
|
received from Bernanke the other day, he indicated that the one |
|
thing that really is missing from our policymakers in |
|
Washington, the Executive Branch and Congress alike, is that |
|
coherent plan, as he phrased it, and as Moody's recently |
|
phrased it when they downgraded Japan's debt. A coherent plan |
|
to deal with our entitlement programs. That is pointedly absent |
|
from this budget, this roadmap, if you will. I think that is a |
|
dereliction of duty on the part of the President. |
|
Now you have indicated in today's Wall Street Journal, if |
|
they quoted you correctly, that such proposals to deal with |
|
these matters are better left in closed-door settings. Fair |
|
enough. Perhaps that is the political judgment you make. I |
|
actually think we owe it to the American people to own up to |
|
them and to treat them like adults. That is what I intend to |
|
do. What is our pathway into this meeting? How are we going to |
|
begin this conversation? Will a letter be forthcoming? What |
|
will the date of that meeting be? Please enlighten us. |
|
Mr. Lew. Congressman, I don't believe that is exactly what |
|
I said, but what I do believe and what I have said is, we have |
|
put down a plan, which is the President's plan for how we are |
|
going to get to the point where we stop adding to the debt. We |
|
have also said that we need to have an environment where we can |
|
work together on these long-term issues and have conversations |
|
about things that it is frankly hard to have conversations |
|
about. History shows that it is much harder to create an |
|
environment where we can have trust and conversations to work |
|
on a bipartisan basis, than just to take polarizing positions. |
|
We have tried to strike a balance, putting a responsible plan |
|
out there and creating an environment for that conversation. We |
|
just took the first step yesterday. Congress is going to come |
|
forward. You will write your budget and we will engage. It is a |
|
long process. This is the first step. |
|
Mr. Young. What is the next step? |
|
Mr. Lew. Congress will write a budget. We look forward to |
|
seeing what you do and your budget, and how you reach primary |
|
surplus, how you reach deficit reduction, if you bring down the |
|
debt. We really do think that you will have ideas that we want |
|
to take advantage of and we look forward to working together. |
|
Mr. Young. In this remaining minute and a half, let us |
|
narrow down exactly what concerns the President has. People on |
|
this panel here, at least on this side of the aisle, invite and |
|
encourage the dialogue with the White House on this. Is it |
|
people in his own party that are a barrier, and what might I do |
|
as a freshman member of Congress to create the political space |
|
where the President can step up and take a leadership role in |
|
these matters? |
|
Mr. Lew. I have worked on bipartisan negotiations from both |
|
sides of the street, I was in the Speaker's office when the, |
|
with a Democratic speaker when there was a Republican |
|
President, and with a Democratic President and Republican |
|
speaker. I can tell you the hardest part of the process is |
|
developing the trust, where you can talk about the things that |
|
you have to do. I think the attempts to characterize this |
|
budget in the way that we have done it today are things that I |
|
hope people take another look at, because this is a serious |
|
proposal. I know you don't agree with it. I know there are |
|
things that will be in your budget that we don't agree with. We |
|
have to come from those positions, to find the middle where we |
|
can agree. That is how you reach bipartisan agreement. |
|
Mr. Young. Well I would encourage the President, I know he |
|
is watching C-SPAN today, to move forward aggressively on this |
|
matter. We are running out of time. We don't know what the |
|
optimal debt to GDP ratio is, as Bernanke and others have |
|
testified, and I think we need to very quickly embrace this |
|
issue and solve it, as opposed to dancing around it and doing |
|
the Potomac two-step. |
|
Mr. Lew. We look forward to working together. We share the |
|
same long-term goal. We may have different ideas about how to |
|
get there and that is what we need to work through together. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Mr. Rokita. |
|
Mr. Rokita. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Lew. |
|
Representative Young, Representative Stutzman, and I come from |
|
a state that has a balanced budget. In fact we have a triple-A |
|
bond rating, haven't raised taxes, and our secretary of state |
|
for the last eight years has been running the office on a 1987 |
|
budget, unadjusted for inflation, and by and large, no one |
|
seems to have missed a beat, no one is complaining about lack |
|
of services or anything else. Can you imagine if we could have |
|
Washington work on 1987 dollars? Hold on, don't answer that. |
|
Mr. Lew. I think there would be a lot of people who asked |
|
where their Social Security check was. |
|
Mr. Rokita. No, I don't think so. I don't think so. But we |
|
have to get to that, because you are right. You have |
|
acknowledged here a couple times that we have this pig in the |
|
python, the baby boomers you described, getting older and need |
|
their check, and that is, I think, the frustration here, is |
|
yeah, we all see that. But where is the leadership? You |
|
mentioned a few times that you are a lawyer, I am one too, I |
|
feel your pain. |
|
Mr. Lew. I haven't practiced in a long time. |
|
Mr. Rokita. But, classic basic skills of negotiation |
|
dictate that, when you are kicking off a process, which you |
|
just did yesterday, leadership dictates even, that you kicked |
|
off up here. And it seems that you are right here, and saying, |
|
Okay, you guys fill in the blanks. |
|
Mr. Lew. No, I don't agree with that. I think we kicked off |
|
the process with a comprehensive plan that put an awful lot on |
|
the table, that is, we think, the best way to deal with the |
|
immediate challenges in front of us. And if that is not |
|
something that you agree with, we look forward to seeing your |
|
plan, and then we will work together to find where we can |
|
resolve it. So I don't agree with the characterization. I do |
|
agree that, as the President said, when he said this is a down- |
|
payment, there will be issues that we have to deal with beyond |
|
this, and those are totally consistent. |
|
Mr. Rokita. Okay, so in that regard, let me ask you some |
|
specific things. There has been a bipartisan agreement. Steny |
|
Hoyer, if I am quoting him correctly, said, Democrats agree |
|
that spending cuts are necessary to tackle our deep budget |
|
deficit. So we have got bipartisan agreement that we have got |
|
to start cutting spending. Given the reality that spending cuts |
|
are coming, has Office of Management and Budget approved any |
|
agency's spending in excess of fiscal year 2010 levels? |
|
Mr. Lew. We are currently operating under a Continuing |
|
Resolution. Under the Continuing Resolution, we neither can |
|
begin or terminate activities. So we have been operating under |
|
the terms of something that provides for funding, in most |
|
cases, at fiscal year 2010 levels. It is an imperfect way to |
|
run the government, we should have full-year spending bills, |
|
and there undoubtedly will be complications as we move through |
|
the year, adjusting these numbers as we go along. |
|
Mr. Rokita. Have you advised agencies to prepare to start |
|
lowering their budgets? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well, we advised agencies that they should follow |
|
the law. The law is that under continuing resolution, you do |
|
not initiate or terminate programs. |
|
Mr. Rokita. Well, for the future, are you starting to get |
|
these agencies acclimated to a culture of spending cuts? |
|
Mr. Lew. I think the budget exercise we went through to |
|
produce this budget was a transition for many agencies, where |
|
things that were sacred cows that only grew, were frozen or |
|
reduced. There are tough decisions in this budget, really tough |
|
decisions, and I think there isn't an agency of government that |
|
hasn't made those trade-offs. |
|
Mr. Rokita. You acknowledged that there is a net excess of |
|
22,000 federal employees under your plan. |
|
Mr. Lew. I am acknowledging that there is an increase, |
|
which is a very small percentage of the federal workforce, to |
|
address new activities in this period. |
|
Mr. Rokita. In Indiana, 22,000 is a lot of people. |
|
Mr. Lew. It is a lot of people, but it is a big country, |
|
too, so when you put a few people at airports all over the |
|
country, it starts to add up. |
|
Mr. Rokita. Oh, don't start the airport business. |
|
Mr. Lew. I could give other examples if I had more time. |
|
Mr. Rokita. One more thing on Social Security. You |
|
mentioned that Social Security wasn't much of an issue, I am |
|
paraphrasing, obviously, but I want you to tell me whether or |
|
not the trust fund has any money in it or not. |
|
Mr. Lew. Trust fund has been running a surplus since 1983. |
|
Mr. Rokita. That is been taken. |
|
Mr. Lew. And it has bonds in it. |
|
Mr. Rokita. Thank you. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Mr. Stutzman. |
|
Mr. Stutzman. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Lew, |
|
for your time today. Does the administration have any concern |
|
about the national debt? |
|
Mr. Lew. Yes. |
|
Mr. Stutzman. I mean, am I right in reading that, on page |
|
202, that our debt is going to go from $13.5 trillion to $26.3 |
|
trillion over the next 10 years? |
|
Mr. Lew. Yeah, I think that we are very concerned about |
|
controlling the deficit so we stop building the national debt. |
|
We then have to start bringing down the debt so that the |
|
interest payments can also be reduced. |
|
Mr. Stutzman. There is no plan, or no idea, in here, that |
|
even starts the curve back to some sort of solvency with |
|
national debt. I mean, to me, as we waited for the President's |
|
budget, I really felt that, you know, the President was going |
|
to come back and he was going to, in this town as a freshman, I |
|
am finding it is very political, I see great divides between |
|
the party, and I thought maybe the President's going to try and |
|
one-up the Republican party, and do something that, you know, |
|
maybe we are going to try to jump out in front and do. |
|
And it totally surprised me to see this type of a budget. |
|
As a small business owner back in Indiana, to project deficit |
|
spending, project doubling the debt; when are we going to start |
|
to see some sort of action to show otherwise? |
|
Mr. Lew. First, I mean, you are looking at, there are |
|
different measures of the debt. The debt held by the public is |
|
the part of the debt that has the impact on credit markets. And |
|
I would just note there are different ways of looking at it, it |
|
gets to a much lower number in 2021. |
|
Mr. Stutzman. Where does it start to do, to go back down? |
|
Am I looking at the wrong line? |
|
Mr. Lew. No, I mean, until we start paying down the debt, |
|
the interest payments on the debt will still be increasing that |
|
number. I don't disagree that we need to ultimately turn the |
|
corner and start paying down the debt. I just am arguing, and I |
|
think it is common sense, that until we stop adding to the debt |
|
through our spending policies, to pay down the old debt is |
|
impossible. So we have got to do this in two steps. This down |
|
payment has that first step, which is the critical and |
|
necessary first step. |
|
Mr. Stutzman. As I am going back through, there are a |
|
couple of departments that get minimal increases. But it |
|
appears the largest increase is to the Department of the |
|
Treasury, specifically the IRS. Can you comment why? |
|
Mr. Lew. Well, there are several reasons. First of all, we |
|
are implementing financial regulatory reform, which is an |
|
important area. We certainly don't want to be exposed to the |
|
future risks of bail-out that we have seen in recent years. |
|
Secondly, we have enforcement initiatives where, I think we |
|
all agree, that if two people live next door and they are in |
|
the same income tax status, they have the same income, they |
|
should pay the same taxes. It shouldn't be that if you cheat |
|
you pay a lower tax rate. And there are enforcement efforts in |
|
there. |
|
Mr. Stutzman. So how many of the 22,000 new federal |
|
employees are anticipated to be hired by the IRS? |
|
Mr. Lew. I would have to go back and check the specific |
|
numbers. |
|
Mr. Stutzman. I have got a couple of miscellaneous |
|
questions. How many federal employees do we currently have? |
|
Mr. Lew. I could give you an exact number, I am happy to |
|
get back to you. |
|
Mr. Stutzman. Okay, and then real quick, I think I heard |
|
you say earlier, that employers' number one concern is that |
|
they need an educated workforce, is that right? |
|
Mr. Lew. I said, when I meet with CEOs, one of the big |
|
concerns that I hear them express is that they are having |
|
trouble hiring people with the skills they need in science, |
|
engineering, and math. |
|
Mr. Stutzman. Okay, all right. Thank you, Mr. Chairman, I |
|
will yield back. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Okay. Mr. Lankford. |
|
Mr. Lankford. Thank you. You got to do this whole exercise |
|
last year, and go through all the dance and all the hearings |
|
and everything else, and then the budget was actually not |
|
passed. |
|
Mr. Lew. I have only been here eight weeks on the job. |
|
Mr. Lankford. Congress just passed on it, and so getting a |
|
chance to do this again, and that we can hopefully get a chance |
|
to pick up and pass a budget this time, and get us through all |
|
that. I am hearing a perpetual sense that the certain |
|
apocalypse is coming if Republicans actually try to balance the |
|
budget and move us from, out of just deficit spending, to |
|
actually cutting down the debt. But I can tell you, I see the |
|
other side of this, to say $26 trillion is a more frightening |
|
thing to me that balancing the budget is a frightening thing to |
|
me on that. |
|
Let me just set a quick stage for you, just the emotions of |
|
that, because you are walking to this, early on at this point, |
|
returning back, as I am walking into it. Here is the sense that |
|
I walk into it with. When I came on January 5, this year's |
|
budget deficit was projected to be $1.4 trillion. By the State |
|
of the Union, it was $1.5 trillion. As of yesterday, it is |
|
$1.65 trillion. Now, what I am hearing is this sense of |
|
consternation that we are talking about cutting $100 billion |
|
out of this year's budget when actually our deficit has |
|
increased $250 billion, just in the six weeks that we have been |
|
in this session, at this point. |
|
So there is a real sense among a lot of people that I have |
|
talked with, to say we cannot just slow down the amount of debt |
|
that we are adding each year. We have actually got to get back |
|
to balance. And I know you are walking a fine line, and I know |
|
you are fulfilling the President's mandate to say let us slow |
|
down the curve somewhat on it. But you go out 10 years, and |
|
there is no debt reduction. I know you said a bunch of times, |
|
we have got to get back to this primary balance. But it seems |
|
as if the next President and the next Congress is left with the |
|
hard decisions, and this is just some simple decisions that get |
|
into it. |
|
Mr. Lew. In fairness, President Obama took office and |
|
inherited a situation that was out of control, and we are |
|
getting it under control and we are doing it as we emerge from |
|
the recession. |
|
Mr. Lankford. What I am hearing are terms like sustainable |
|
deficits, that doesn't seem to be working towards getting it |
|
under control. That seems to be working towards getting it to |
|
some manageable balance that we only add a trillion or so a |
|
year to our debt, and we are not really getting out of this. |
|
The other side that really concerns me is this whole sense |
|
of trying to split up the way that we are handling energy, that |
|
there is a preferred energy and there is a non-preferred |
|
energy. And we are going to try to sink a lot of money into |
|
R&D, into new technologies and energy, while punishing people |
|
that are in traditional. There has been a lot of conversation |
|
about jobs and about small businesses. And my question, in |
|
multi-fold in this; my concerns on it, number one is, is an |
|
independent producer of traditional energy sources who has |
|
three to five employees a small business? |
|
Mr. Lew. If that was the entirety of the business, I |
|
believe it would be a small business. |
|
Mr. Lankford. For a lot of independent producers around the |
|
country, they have three to five employees. And there is this |
|
sense of, we are going to go hammer on the big oil companies, |
|
when the majority of our energy companies aren't the big giant |
|
companies. They are small independent producers that are |
|
scattered all over the country. There are hundreds and |
|
thousands of them, scattered all over, that are about to get |
|
hammered, that are living in fear that the administration is |
|
going to come hammer them to come do another type of energy, |
|
very similar to what President Carter did when he said we are |
|
going to have 20 percent of our electricity produced by solar |
|
power by the year 2000. Yet here we are, in 2011, it is not |
|
even one percent. |
|
Mr. Lew. We are seeing that other countries are investing |
|
in the technology now, and the technology has advanced, and we |
|
are entering a different period of time. |
|
Let me just respond to one point that you made. |
|
Mr. Lankford. Let me just finish, I have no issue with all |
|
forms of energy. I have an issue with going and punishing one |
|
group that is actually fueling our vehicles and powering our |
|
cars and getting our homes ready, so we can go try to do |
|
something else that may work ten years from now. It feels like |
|
the sustainable debt, you are saying, We will try to manage |
|
this and hopefully that will work out at some point. That is |
|
what I feel like we are doing to energy by trying to punish the |
|
energy companies. |
|
Mr. Lew. I know we are almost out of time, but I just want |
|
to go back to one point you were making earlier, when you |
|
described the increase in the projected deficits. I just want |
|
to point out that in December, I know you weren't here in |
|
December. In December, my first couple of weeks in this new |
|
position, we had an important bipartisan agreement to do |
|
something that I think most of us agree on, which is taxes |
|
shouldn't have gone up January 1 of this year. We needed to |
|
have economic activity, it was the wrong time to let a tax |
|
increase take place. We also needed to do some things because |
|
we were still in a recession. That is driving up the numbers, |
|
but we knew when we passed it at the time, that it would have |
|
that short-term impact. |
|
Chairman Ryan. Thank you. Mr. Guinta. |
|
Mr. Guinta. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Lew, |
|
for being here. I have a couple of quick questions, and I will |
|
try to not take up the full four minutes. First of all, I |
|
understand earlier this morning we agreed on the $1.6 trillion |
|
deficit number for fiscal year 2012, as proposed. Correct? |
|
Mr. Lew. I am not sure I understand what you are referring |
|
to. |
|
Mr. Guinta. Did you agree that this budget proposal has a |
|
$1.6 trillion deficit? |
|
Mr. Lew. Our budget states in its four corners, what the |
|
deficit is each year. |
|
Mr. Guinta. 2012, it is $1.6 trillion, correct? |
|
Mr. Lew. In 2012, it is 1.1. |
|
Mr. Guinta. One point one trillion, okay. You had said that |
|
we want to cut the deficit in half, as it relates to GDP. You |
|
had also made statements about the deficit as a percentage of |
|
GDP. You also said that we need to be talking more clearly to |
|
the country about the challenges we have. I don't disagree with |
|
that. My point would be, I don't think the country appreciates |
|
the verbiage that we use. Municipalities, states, and homes do |
|
not budget the way the federal government budgets. I agree with |
|
you, and I think most people here agree, that we do have to |
|
reform and reduce spending. We do have to get on a path to have |
|
a greater fiscal soundness moving forward. |
|
I don't see that path in this budget. You have conveyed |
|
that this is a first step. You have also made the statement |
|
that we need to put the, step on the brakes at the right time. |
|
I believe that the country believes that this is the right |
|
time. Our time is now, in order to change course, change |
|
direction. And I am certainly willing to work with you, and |
|
anybody, who recognizes that point. I don't see it in the |
|
budget, and maybe I am missing it, but I will continue to look |
|
through. |
|
A couple of things that I would consider. First of all, I |
|
would like to know, how many programs for this budget did the |
|
administration audit? |
|
Mr. Lew. How many did we audit, we reviewed every program |
|
in the Federal Government. We have terminations, reductions, |
|
and savings in over 200. |
|
Mr. Guinta. In this budget proposal? Okay, do you know how |
|
much money that saves? |
|
Mr. Lew. $33 billion, those 200 plus terminations, |
|
reductions, and savings, save over $33 billion in 2012. |
|
Mr. Guinta. And where did you end up spending that savings |
|
in this proposal? |
|
Mr. Lew. We are living within the freeze. We are paying for |
|
the extension of the Medicare Doc Fix, we are doing, there is a |
|
whole host of things. In just a few seconds, it would be hard |
|
to give you the complete, comprehensive answer. |
|
Mr. Guinta. Is there a proposal for a reduction in force of |
|
federal employees? |
|
Mr. Lew. There is not a general policy. I believe there are |
|
some agencies that may well have some reductions enforced. It |
|
is not that it was a government-wide policy. |
|
Mr. Guinta. But you could instruct the departments to |
|
reduce their size and scope? |
|
Mr. Lew. Right, we have a pay-freeze, which is a reduction |
|
in compensation for federal workers. And we have budgets that |
|
are very constrained, which mean that they are going to take on |
|
new missions without new people. And I think these are very |
|
tight budgets for federal agencies. |
|
Mr. Guinta. Okay. And the final point I would like to make |
|
is, in New Hampshire, my home state, 94 percent of our |
|
employers are small business owners. I note on the Office of |
|
Management and Budget Website that you project over 10 years, |
|
500,000 new jobs will be created in New Hampshire. Our total |
|
population is about 1.3 million. I fail to see how we are going |
|
to create 500,000 new jobs in my state, particularly when we |
|
have got the marginal rate lapsing at 45 percent with the |
|
number of small business owners we have. |
|
Mr. Lew. I am not familiar with the specific projection you |
|
are referring to. I am happy to take a look at it and get back |
|
to you. |
|
Mr. Guinta. Okay. Thank you very much. |
|
Chairman Ryan. That is it? |
|
Mr. Lew. Thank you very much. |
|
Chairman Ryan. I hope you get some time to eat lunch before |
|
your next hearing. Thank you for coming by. We obviously have a |
|
chasm that separates our opinions on these issues. I look |
|
forward to further meetings with you in the future, this |
|
hearing is adjourned. |
|
Mr. Lew. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. |
|
[Questions submitted for the record and their responses |
|
follow:] |
|
|
|
Questions Submitted for the Record and Their Responses |
|
|
|
Chairman Ryan: |
|
Director Lew, in Table S-7, there is an adjustment to the BEA |
|
baseline of $118 billion over ten years ($12 billion per year) to |
|
``reflect the incremental cost of funding the existing Pell maximum |
|
grant award.'' |
|
Could you provide a more detailed justification for this adjustment |
|
and tell us if it is mandatory or discretionary funding? |
|
|
|
A: The adjustment to the BEA baseline reflects the special |
|
scorekeeping rule for Pell Grants that CBO, OMB, and the Congressional |
|
budget committees have used since 2006. The scoring rule charges the |
|
appropriations committees for the full cost of funding the Pell maximum |
|
award for all eligible students, regardless of the amount of budget |
|
authority specified in the appropriations bill. The proposed outyear |
|
adjustment to the BEA baseline reflects the full cost of funding the |
|
current discretionary maximum award level--$4,860--for the projected |
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number of students who would qualify in each fiscal year of the ten- |
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year budget window. Finally, the adjustment is discretionary and does |
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not suggest mandatory funding for the entire Pell Grant program. |
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Chairman Ryan: |
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Your predecessor's June 8, 2010 budget preparation guidance to |
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agencies ``requested that each non-security agency submit a budget |
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request five percent below the discretionary total provided for that |
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agency for FY 2012 in the FY 2011 Budget.'' Despite this guidance, many |
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agencies including Commerce, Education, Energy, HUD, Interior, |
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Treasury, EPA, GSA, NASA, NSF, SBA, and SSA saw increases over the |
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projected 2012 level or decreases smaller than 5%. |
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Why did the administration not reduce spending that the agencies |
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themselves decided were low priority? |
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Please provide for the record a list of the programs identified by |
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the agencies pursuant to this guidance. |
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A: The agency submissions to OMB are part of the deliberative |
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process which informed the development of the 2012 Budget. Like in past |
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years, OMB provided guidance to agencies on their 2012 Budget request, |
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including the top-line funding level for each agency. This past year, |
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we also asked agencies to identify lower priority programs that are |
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less critical in advancing their missions. |
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The materials agencies submitted were critical to developing our FY |
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2012 Budget request, and directly informed decisions to terminate or |
|
reduce funding for many low priority programs. Overall, the budget |
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proposed 200 terminations and reductions that save $30 billion in 2012. |
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In other cases, the Budget proposes to consolidate funding for low |
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priority programs and use the funding more effectively, or reform |
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programs so they can better accomplish their mission. |
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All of this contributed to the President's proposal to freeze non- |
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security discretionary spending for five years. |
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Chairman Ryan: |
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Please provide the Committee with a list of proposed terminations |
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and major reductions in the President's budget for FY 2002-FY 2010 and |
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the ultimate funding level provided by Congress for these programs. |
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A: Attached is the list of discretionary programs that were |
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proposed in the President's Budget for termination or reduction from |
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2006 to 2010, compared with the funding levels enacted by the Congress. |
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The 2006 Budget was the first year that the President's Budget included |
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a supporting document detailing proposed terminations and reductions. |
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From 2006 to 2009, the supporting document was titled ``Major Savings |
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and Reforms.'' Since 2010, the supporting document was titled |
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``Terminations, Reductions, and Savings.'' |
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Congressman Yarmuth: |
|
Director Lew, for the past two years I have opposed the |
|
Administration's proposal to repeal the Last In, First Out (LIFO) |
|
accounting method for tax purposes. American companies have been |
|
operating under the assumption that LIFO is a perfectly sound |
|
accounting method since 1939, when Congress enacted tax code section |
|
472, which expressly makes LIFO an acceptable method of tax accounting. |
|
Repealing LIFO would have a devastating impact on a number of companies |
|
in my district, particularly Brown-Forman, a wine and spirits company |
|
that is one of the largest producers of Kentucky bourbon. Brown-Forman, |
|
which employs about 1,300 people in Louisville, estimates repealing |
|
LIFO would raise its taxes by hundreds of millions of dollars. The |
|
company, and the spirits industry at-large, has long used LIFO as its |
|
standard accounting method, which is, in part, attributable to the fact |
|
that it produces whiskey, a product which necessitates aging over long |
|
periods and which federal law specifically requires to be aged. |
|
There is one aspect of the President's proposal that has me |
|
particularly concerned for American companies, and that is the fact |
|
that the proposal would not only repeal the LIFO method going forward; |
|
it would also ``recapture the LIFO reserve'' of every LIFO taxpayer. |
|
This proposal would retroactively repeal deductions that were clearly |
|
authorized by the U.S. tax code and that in many cases were taken by |
|
the taxpayer as far back as several decades ago. This would be the |
|
equivalent of repealing the mortgage interest deduction and forcing |
|
homeowners to repay all of the deductions they took. This, like the |
|
current LIFO proposal, would be exceedingly unfair, as are most |
|
retroactive tax changes. I, therefore, urge you to reconsider your |
|
proposal--and respond to these concerns. |
|
|
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A: The repeal of the LIFO (last in, first out) method of accounting |
|
will eliminate a tax deferral opportunity available to taxpayers that |
|
hold inventories, the cost of which increase over time. This tax |
|
benefit does not accrue to taxpayers who use the FIFO (first in, first |
|
out) method of accounting. In addition, LIFO repeal would simplify the |
|
tax code by removing a complex and burdensome accounting method that |
|
has been the source of controversy between taxpayers and the Internal |
|
Revenue Service. International Financial Reporting Standards do not |
|
permit the use of the LIFO method, and repealing LIFO would remove this |
|
possible impediment to the implementation of these standards in the |
|
United States. |
|
Taxpayers that currently use the LIFO method would be required to |
|
write up their beginning LIFO inventory to its FIFO value starting in |
|
2013. Allowing LIFO taxpayers to exclude the amount of the inventory |
|
write up from gross income would represent a substantial windfall for |
|
those taxpayers relative to others who have been using FIFO for years |
|
and potentially paying more tax as a result. Furthermore, the |
|
Administration's proposal mitigates the burden of the retroactive |
|
effect by allowing the one-time increase in gross income to be taxed |
|
over 10 years, rather than all at once; in short, the Administration's |
|
proposal provides appropriate transition relief. |
|
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[Whereupon, at 12:55 p.m., the committee adjourned subject |
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to the call of the Chair] |
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