The Obvious False Flag that is Navalny’s Poisoning
By: Sai Nomia
Tags: False Flag, Propaganda, Russia, Poisoning, Navalny

Throughout history, false flag attacks have been used as a tool of covert warfare. A false flag attack is one where it’s done by one party so that it will be assumed it was done by another, and that other party will bear negative consequences for it. It is attacking one party by making an attack that’s predicted to turn the tide against them appear as though it was done by them.

Regarding the recent attack on Navalny, it can be said with certainty that this attack, if it was an attack as is being reported, was not done by or for the Russian government, but was done as an attack against them, with the Russian government meant to bear the fallout of it. The attack entirely-predictably undermines everything Russia’s government has been working for, and the timing was impeccable for that goal — and that’s why an enemy of Russia would have done it and why, as an attack, it is one of the most obvious false flag attacks in the history of them.

As said, there could hardly be a worse time for this to occur for the Russian government, or a time when it would undermine Russia’s long-term interests more. Here is a list of Russia’s interests that the attack predictably undermines:

It occurred 1 day before Russia’s National Flag Day. Such an attack and the accusations that come with it stand to weaken morale and pride for the Russian people, and to replace national pride with humiliation — both for the Russian people who suspect their government, and for the Russian government before its people and before the international community who Russia has been making large efforts to build positive relations and move beyond disagreements with.

It occurred about 3 weeks before regional elections in Russia were to take place, and so stands to sour voters and sway votes in favour of candidates who oppose the Russian government.

It occurred when Trump had been planning to hold meetings with Putin before the November 3rd US presidential election. The situation with Navalny will now, no doubt, create a major barrier to doing that.

It occurred while there’s unrest in Belarus, and Lukashenko has asked the Russian government to provide security to Belarus. An attack in Russia could serve to tie Russia’s hands with a scandal of their own, and make it more politically costly for them to help the government of Belarus by intervening in any overt manner. It also occurred while members of the Belarusian opposition figures are meeting with US state department officials. An attack on a dissident also serves to encourage Belarusians to take an anti-Russia position in their protests, with the Belarusian government being very pro-Russia.

It occurred while the US is doing everything it can to put pressure on European countries to boycott the Nord Steam 2 pipeline project with Russia, and while Mike Pompeo has just recently further threatened Germany and other investors against participation in the project. But Germany has rebuffed the US government’s efforts. Yet, Mike Pompeo is still confidently asserting that the US government will succeed in stopping the Nord Stream 2 project. At attack on a so-called leading political opposition figure in Russia (though, that isn’t particularly how Navalny is viewed within Russia) obviously serves as a bit of additional convincing or prodding to not partner with Russia’s government — and that’s something the Russian government is aware of. Mike Pompeo infamously said that while he was CIA director, “we lied, we cheated, we stole… we had entire training courses”. I expect those to be his methods while pursuing his goal against Nord Stream 2.

It enables anti-Russia critics to heap on scorn and ostracize Russia from public favour. And many of the pundits heaping scorn and criticism on Russia’s government are very much aware that in no way would harming Navalny be anything other than a false flag attack (even New York Times’ editorial board opined that could be the more likely scenario in their scathing editorial of the situation: “it may indeed be that Mr. Putin and his lieutenants did not order the hit on Mr. Navalny, who stands to become a bigger problem as a martyr than he was as a gadfly”), yet they’ll knowingly attribute blame to Russia’s government all the same because capitalizing on a false flag by responding connivingly to it is big part of why a false flag is done.

It ensures that the string of conspiracies and scandals indicting the Russian government doesn’t get too cold, which is always a goal of certain foreign opponents of Russia’s government.

Russians are not stupid people. In fact, they’re one of the most educated people in the world.

https://fedena.com/blog/2014/01/10-countries-high-literacy-rate-world.html

https://www.bbc.com/news/education-42222488

“Russia takes the top place in this international education league table, based on tests taken every five years.”

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2014/09/13/24-7-wall-st-most-educated-countries/15460733/

“These are the most educated countries in the world.

1) Russian Federation — Percent of population with tertiary education: 53.5%”

Russian people also don’t have their minds wired in an opposite way to people everywhere else in the world: They don’t think that down is up, that bad press is good press, that doing exactly what undermines their critical interests is achieving their critical interests. That concept is foreign demonization projected onto Russia for the purpose of polarising our perceptions against Russia to ostracize them from the opportunities that would see them gain in power, wealth, and influence, which would result in them presenting a bigger threat to the existing Western hegemony of international affairs.

And Putin certainly isn’t a clueless person. So, the Russian government is not going to do the exact thing that works against them for no benefit to themselves, in the exact signature way (poisoning, especially via Novichock — a chemical possessed and that’s been made by many countries) that will trigger confirmation bias around the world, at the exactly worst-possible time for all of the Russian government’s interests, and in a setting that ensures its failure and the international sensationalising of it against the Russian government.

But an enemy of the Russian government will do precisely all of those things. And what are called “false flag” operations occur regularly and are done by many countries. A false flag attack is one that is done so that an enemy takes the blame for it. And when people associate a certain negative conduct with a particular person or group, then doing that thing in a way that will trigger confirmation bias in people can become a powerful tool for enemies of that person or group. If Navalny was poisoned as an attack, then I believe it is about as obvious of a false flag operation as they come.

Even the NYT wrote that Navalny is more of a threat to Russia’s government as a martyr than left alone — however, not letting the propaganda opportunity go to waste, NYT nonsensically claimed it’s still Putin’s fault even if it was a false flag attack. Navalny’s domestic approval rating polls between 2% and 9%, and his image in Russia is not like what it is in the West, where he’s used as a mascot and propaganda for anti-Russia criticism. In Russia, he isn’t viewed as serious opposition to Putin, but is largely seen as somewhat of a clown due to his antics.

And even when the US government is threatening the worst-ever sanctions against Russia if it turns-out that they poisoned Navalny… the US government, or at least US intel agencies (because Trump isn’t the brightest), knows it was a false-flag attack if it was an attack. This is the normal way politics are done, unfortunately. The US government wants to sanction Russia because it weakens Russia relative to the US government. So, any pretext to do so is good pretext for the US government.

Generally, when an action like this is done, it’s done because of the effects it will have. And someone decided to harm Navalny and spin it as an attack by the Russian government because of the effect it would provoke against the Russian government and Russia itself.

The US and UK are obviously prime suspects in this due to their histories — and especially the US, considering its outspoken interest in stopping Nord Stream 2 and undermining Russia in general. But Ukraine, which was tried to pull-off terrorist attacks in Crimea in 2016 and whose then-president confessed to it in a phonecall with Joseph Biden, is also logically a suspect. Or, multiple countries could have conspired together to create this false flag.

But the one thing that can be said with certainty is that the attack on Navalny, if it was an attack as Germany is claiming, is one of the most obvious false flag attacks in the history of them.

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