Predictive Analytics in Crime
By: Rohit Sangale
Tags: AI, Security, Predictions, Analytics, Superintelligence

Predictive Analytics in Crime

Introduction –

Future is uncertain and unknown we don’t know whether our future will good or bad and Humans don’t like that uncertainty.

We try to do things which can reduce uncertainty by predicting future through various means so if things are bad we can be well prepared.

Maintaining law & order along with peaceful society is the most important and first job of any type of government/state administration.

Predictive analytics is a branch of analytics which deals in future predictions of unknown events.

Predictive Analytics in crime means using predictive analytics and technologies to help law enforcement agencies to predict and prevent the crime incidents.

Detailed working-

Various technology and methods can be used for this task

Challenges of nowadays of law & order and security are not conventional as before . the threat is very hard to recognize and track. There is need for more additional other techniques for it.

Big Data Analytics- Generally most of the data especially is not available at single database or can be accessed through one integrated gateway because databases are disbursed but it’s now changing, various authorities are integrating their databases with each other. Various past event data can be analysed to find pattern or link between. Because of data integration identification of a person and his past activity background can be known.

Social media- Extreme sentiments and ideology can be identified and tracked.

Surveillance — the activities and event can be tracked along with individual person. Cameras with face recognition can be used.

Social Economic Analysis — One of the strongest reason behind criminal activities are economic hardship along with bad social environment. If one can do analysis of this factor then we can find population which need attention.

Advantages-

• Prevention of crime — some preliminary actions can be taken which can avoid the incident

• Quick response — A crime can be reported in less amount of time and counter reaction can be taken quickly.

• More efficient justice- because of availability of more data than usual, the possibility of false judgement can decrease.

• Better society- as result in reduction in crime, the society will progress

• If applied in excellent way the big data analytics can help in better utilization of human resources.

Disadvantages –

• May lead to excessive control in the hand of authority- “Power can corrupt & absolute power corrupts absolutely.

• Privacy concern

• Excessive policing

• Oppression and Exploitation of certain section of society

• Some can get framed without even actually doing the actual crime.

• It can be as bad as its masters

Access of data to few selected entities

Emergence of super intelligent AI governance

It has now become a widely shared belief that artificial intelligence (AI) is a general-purpose technology with transformative potential. The speed and extent of progress in a machine knowledge upheaval would present difficulties to existing organizations. Under profoundly fierce conditions, prior arrangements may shred and long-range arranging become more troublesome. This could make it harder to understand the additions from coordination that would somehow be conceivable — both at the global level and inside countries. At the homegrown level, misfortune could emerge from misguided guideline being hurried through in flurry, or thoroughly thought out guideline neglecting to stay up with quickly changing innovative and social conditions. At the worldwide level the dangers of maladjustment are conceivably even more prominent, as there are more fragile administration foundations and less social union, and it ordinarily takes years or a long time to imagine and actualize very much thought about standards, approaches, and establishments.

There always be some sort of problem in society

A few concerns stream from the chance of presenting huge quantities of new creatures, particularly when these new creatures have credits related with personhood. A portion of these worries identify with the chance of brain wrongdoing, which we examined in the past subsection yet different concerns relate regardless of whether we accept that no psyche wrongdoing happens. One uncommon situation that is significant here is that, with advanced replication rates, populace numbers could change amazingly quickly. A functioning populace strategy, with fitting courses of action put in place ahead of time, might be important to prevent Malthusian results (where normal pay tumbles to near means level) and other awful outcomes. Consider the arrangement of youngster uphold normal in created nations. People are free to have the same number of youngsters as they can make; and the state steps in to help kids whose guardians neglect to accommodate them. With computerized creatures, this course of action is clearly unreasonable. In the event that guardians had the option to make subjective quantities of kids and there is tireless variety in ability to do as such, this framework would rapidly fall. The facts demonstrate that over longer timescales, Malthusian concerns will emerge for organically recreating people also, as advancement follows up on human manners to choose for types that exploit current flourishing to create bigger families. For advanced personalities, be that as it may, the beginning of a Malthusian condition could be sudden. Social orders would in this way defy an issue: either acknowledge populace controls, requiring would-be procreators to meet certain conditions prior to being permitted to make new creatures; or acknowledge the hazard that huge quantities of new creatures might be given the base measure of assets needed to help their work, while being functioned as hard as could be expected under the circumstances and ended as soon as they are not, at this point financially savvy. Of these alternatives, the previous appears to be ideal, particularly if it should turn out that the common mental condition of a maximally profitable specialist later on economy is needing in certain effect or other alluring characteristics.

Conclusion –

It is relatively new when it comes to its actual deployment in real life however in fictional contents like movies, series and comic books such concept have already been explored through various means and possible scenarios . There are various benefits but these technologies can also be exploited in unjust way especially privacy of an individual or excessive policing or oppressive dictator regime.

Author’s opinion -

I think we should not halt advancement in technology because of some possibility of issues. If not today then somewhere in future , it is gonna happen. What we need is framework and transparency in work and making people understand the technology.

Latest technology should be of course adopted if it improves our life, in this case of predictive policing in crime prediction up to particular extend is okay but it also need very good ,fair and just administration and execution.

If technology can help us to understand and solve problems which can help us tackle socio economic problems ,give protection & swift justice and make opportunities more accessible to people who are at disadvantage.

Privacy should be respected and protected ,there are ways to do so and we need to work more on it if needed.

We should adopt more advance technologies in this domain but also have to consider various issues and would need to work constructively on it.

“Best way to predict future is to create it” ,if too much power and control is in hands of few entities then there is strong possibility of its abuse.