Bet $5 Win $125: Saints at Bucs
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We’ve made it to week 15 of the NFL season and with the current state of affairs in the league, that in itself is almost a miracle. Multiple teams have a shot at clinching their division this week and Tampa Bay can do just this with a win against division rival New Orleans. Regardless of

The Saints have had a difficult 2021 and the hits keep on coming as now they will be playing the Bucs minus their Head Coach after going on the covid list. New Orleans has had to deal with an uncountless amount of injuries and covid list stints this season to key contributors but they’re amazingly still in the playoff hunt at 6–7 even after losing 5 straight games from weeks 9 through 13. They’ve done so by continuing to play good defense which currently ranks inside the top 10 against the run and 11th in points against but is just middle of the pack against the pass. Their offense is where the Saints are lacking fire power and in particular the passing game. Without a legit WR sans Michael Thomas, they rank last in the league in comp % (58) and 29th in yards at 198/gm. They have a difficult time playing from behind or even pulling away from bad teams and may find themselves playing catch up this week against Tampa Bay.

Unlike New Orleans, The Bucs have an elite passing offense which ranks 1st in attempts, yards, and TDs. They’re averaging over 31 points/gm this year and have posted over 30 in four straight and in eight of their 13 games. One of the Bucs 3 losses this season did come at the hands of New Orleans back in week 8 but that was when the Saints were at full strength and even in the loss, Brady threw for 375 and 4 tds. Defensively, Tampa Bay is statistically one of the best teams against the rush but is also currently ravaged with injuries to their defensive backfield and has been allowing over 275 yards passing over their last 3 games. Unfortunately for the Saints, those games were against the Colts, Falcons, and Bills, who all have either an elite QB with exterior weapons or a stud RB (like the Saints) and WRs to threaten the outside (unlike the Saints). Also of note for this matchup is the Bucs average home margin of victory of 19 points which includes their 2 point opening night W against Dallas.

This series has been filled with close games over the first 3 since the arrival of TB12 but with a division title and playoff seeding on the line, I have a feeling Brady and boys are about to hit the gas pedal. With no Sean Peyton or anything close to resembling a real NFL passing offense, the Saints only hope of keeping this game close is to ugly it up and hope for multiple turnovers like their previous meeting in the Big Easy. New Orleans has struggled mightily their last 4 games including their week 14 victory over the sad Jets and just don’t have the offense to compete with elite teams right now. Their lack of passing game limits their ability to play from a deficit and that’s where I think they’ll be quickly. Going against my better judgement here especially in a divisional matchup, I’m laying the double digits and going with the Buccaneers -11.5

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