fabiochiu/medium-articles huggingface dataset:
Two NFL Underdogs to Target Week 15
By: Kenneth Bates
Tags: Betting, Underdogs, Sports Betting, NFL Picks, Football

Few picks in the NFL feel quite as good as cashing in on an underdog, and in a league that prides itself on parity and the mantra of “any given Sunday”, calling one of those upsets is great to anyone’s bankroll (and ego). The playoff picture is starting to fall into focus, with several teams in both conferences facing “do or die” contests down the stretch. Eliminated — or practically eliminated — teams come out of the woodwork this time of year to play spoiler.

New York Jets (+350) v. Miami Dolphins

Betting on the Jets to win has generally not been favorable to bettors, but Gang Green heads down to south Florida in an interesting spot. The Dolphins, coming off their bye, have reeled off five-straight victories to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Jets are 9.5 point underdogs in the match up, with two of their three wins coming as substantial dogs — 6 points to Tennessee and 11.5 to Cincinnati.

The Dolphins will be without several of their play makers that contributed to their winning streak, which includes a 24–17 victory over the Jets in November — a game which was tied going into the fourth quarter. Breakout rookie Jaylen Waddle is the most notable ‘Fin expected to miss the game on the reserve/COVID-19 list, as well as Safety Jevon Holland and running backs Myles Gaskin and Phillip Lindsay.

The Dolphins are still the more talented team, but a flyer on their division-rival in New York is worth a shot.

Houston Texans (+185) v. Jacksonville Jaguars

A match up of two of the worst teams in the league, the Texans have a decent shot to get one more in the victory column on the road in Jacksonville. The Jags are laying 4.5 at home days after canning controversy-prone first-year Head Coach Urban Meyer. Although this may be a good motivational factor for interim coach Darrell Bevel, both these teams lack top-end talent and fail to execute on the field.

Houston were victorious in their first bout with Jacksonville this year, securing a 16-point victory in the season opener. Sweeping a division opponent is never easy, but give me the dog against the team that has been crushed by over twenty in three of their last four.
The Money Machine | Best Bets 12/13
Tags: Sports, NBA, NFL, Sports Betting, Make Money Online

Today brings great opportunities with a full NBA slate as well as a star studded Monday Night Football Game between the Cardinals and Rams. Here is everything I’m betting today starting with player props. Let’s go streaking!

Player Props

Bet of the Day: ??? Retweet my Pinned Tweet for the Bet of the Day!

https://twitter.com/MoneyMachineBet

2. Domantas Sabonis Under 5.5 Assists vs. GS Warriors -140

Sabonis is averaging just 4.2 assists per game this season. The Pacers are also playing a Warriors team that is 1st in the league in defensive rating and ranks at the top of the league in opponent FG%. Although Sabonis has been playing mid-30s minutes consistently as of late he is only averaging 5 assists per game over the last 5 games, which has been against much worse defensive teams.

3. Rondale Moore Over 24.5 Receiving Yards vs. LA Rams -110

I think this line is way too low for a few reasons. #1 Vegas expects this game to be a high scoring close game, and so do I. This bids well for Moore who thrives in such an environment. #2 He has hit the over on 24.5 in 7/12 games played this year. #3 It only takes one play, especially with Rondale, who is a very above average NFL athlete.

Sides and Totals

Houston Rockets +10 @ ATL Hawks -110

The Houston Rockets have been playing much improved basketball as of late, and I am hopping on the train tonight vs the Atlanta Hawks.

These are my best bets for today. To get THE Bet of the day Retweet my pinned tweet. Let’s win some money!!!
The Tip Off: CBB PrizePicks Entry (Friday Dec. 10th)
Tags: Sports Gambling, Sports, Prizepicks, College Basketball, Sports Betting

ZERO flippin FT attempts for Brad Davison?! After seeing former Wolverine Colin Castleton dominate North Florida and double his projected points scored, it was only appropriate that Wisconsin’s point guard not even get to the free throw line once in a season where he’s averaging 5 attempts per game. Another 1–1 night brings the Overall Record to 11–14–1 and keeps us searching for that elusive .500 mark. It’s another light slate of games today with mostly lesser known players on the court but I’m still going for it. Here are my two favorite CBB PrizePicks props for Friday December 10th.

Jalen Slawson (F, Furman) O/U 15.5 Points — Definitely not a household name but somebody who could make some noise come March. Slawson is the Paladins 2nd leading scorer at 16.9 points, averages over 11 shots, and 5 FT per game. Although he’s gone over this prop in just 5 of 9 games this year, he’s primed for a big evening against App State and their guard-heavy lineup. It’s a shot in the dark as even I (a degenerate who loves small school basketball) hasn’t seen a ton of this Furman team but from afar, I do know they score and score a lot with Slawson being a major reason why. Over 15.5 Points

Javon Freeman-Liberty (G, DePaul) O/U 17.5 Points — If you’re an avid Big East fan, you should know how good Javon is. He tied for the team lead in pts/gm average last season (14.4) after transferring from Valpo and as the unquestioned leader in 2021 has upped his scoring to almost 22/gm. He has posted 19 or more points and has attempted at least 14 shots in all but 1 game (vs Loyola IL) so far. He’ll face a tough matchup tonight against Louisville but even though their overall team defense is “good”, it isn’t the level of past Cardinals teams and they’ve allowed an opposing player to score 17+ points in 5 games this year with 3 guys for Furman and 2 for Detroit doing so. Depaul gives Javon the green light at all times and I expect him to lead the charge for the Blue Demons. Over 17.5 Points

If you want to join the PrizePicks party, and create a CBB entry, sign up and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100 by clicking the link below.
How to Beat FanDuel Sports in 2022
By: Caan Berry
Tags: Fanduel Sportsbook, Sports Betting, FanDuel, Oddsjam

Smart sports bettors are beating FanDuel’s Sportsbook with smart math and computer-assisted matching, and you can too…

Take a look below as we show you exactly how it’s done!

How to beat FanDuel Sportsbook in 2022

When you visit a casino, the house always wins.

Why? Because they have an advantage baked into their odds and games.

However, the rise of online sports betting in the United States has just changed FOREVER!

Check out this video, it shows you how you can beat FanDuel in 2022:

See, it’s not too good to be true. You really can beat FanDuel’s sportsbook!

The software used in the video can be found at oddsjam.com.

FanDuel Sports Betting Tips:

By following the methods shared in the video above you can lock in a profit on FanDuel sportsbook products, although there are a few words of warning…

Promotional bonuses — exploiting the free plays that FanDuel and other providers give to their customers is an extremely simple way of winning. However, you should realise that FanDuel won’t be giving away $1,000 to new customers forever.

Now is your chance, make the most of it.

Generous odds — much like the promotions, FanDuel is currently engaged in a tustle with other providers like DraftKings. They want the lion share of online business and they’re giving away value odds to get it. So find yourself some great value odds, arb them with some smart software and bank those dollars. If you can, stake heavily on the largest arbitrage options — they won’t allow it forever.

Multiple accounts — You may be tempted to maximise your profitability by registering multiple accounts with different providers. This is a practice that has been exploited in the UK and Europe with online sportsbooks, but remember, it’s a legal grey area. Also, it’s against terms and conditions of sportsbooks, just know they may try and avoid paying out if you do this.

Good luck on your sports betting journey, thanks for reading!

Related: Full OddsJam Software Review for 2022
The Tip Off: CBB PrizePicks Entry (Wednesday December 15th)
Tags: Sports Gambling, Sports, Prizepicks, College Basketball, Sports Betting

Oh Boy have I been bad. Monday’s winless night extended my Non Cashing entry streak to 11 and dropped the Overall Prop Record to 12–16–2 on the year. The luck has to turn around right?! Here is my CBB entry for Wednesday December 15th.

D.J. Burns (F, Winthrop) O/U 14.5 Points

The big man has been spinning some sweet tunes in 2021 while scoring an averaging 16 pts, 5 boards, and an assist per game. He is a force to be reckoned with down low and is shooting over 60% from the field and 70% from the free throw line this year. Although he’s gone over this total in just 4 of 10 games, the fact he’s scored 14+ in 7 games and less than 12 just once this year, almost guarantees he’ll at least threaten this number. He and Winthrop get an Elon team which has a sub 300 Kenpom defensive ranking and allows over 77 points/gm. The Eagles should score plenty of points tonight and I fully expect D.J. to have the crowd bumpin.

Over 14.5 Points.

Bryce Hamilton (G, UNLV) O/U 17.5 Points

Hamilton is the unquestioned leader of this UNLV team and is currently averaging 18 points/gm. This isn’t that surprising considering he’s taking around 17 shots and playing over 30 minutes per game. Tonight he and the Runnin’ Rebels get an Omaha squad that is allowing over 80 points/gm and has given up 87+ in 4 of their last 6 contests. I’ve had some bad luck with attacking points overs recently, but tonight, Hamilton will play the starring role in Vegas.

Over 17.5 Points

If you want to join the PrizePicks party, and create a CBB entry, sign up and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100 by clicking the link below.
Is Ollie Watkins the Key Man after Grealish Departure at Aston Villa?
Tags: Casinos, Sports Betting, Premier League

Aston Villa had been expected to perform extremely well after excellent recruitment in the summer transfer window. Even though the Villans sold their talisman Jack Grealish to Manchester City for £100 million, the signings of Leon Bailey, Emiliano Buendía, Danny Ings, Axel Tuanzebe, and more in summer 2021 made fans hope for a brighter future and higher league finishes.

However, the start of the 2021–22 season has been quite rough for Villa as they parted ways with the manager, Dean Smith and appointed former Rangers manager and Liverpool legend, Steven Gerard. Gerrard’s name carries more weight than Smith’s, partially because of the way he took to management in his maiden role but mainly because of his playing exploits.

With Danny Ings as the main striker, Ollie Watkins started playing in either a wide position or as a striker of the bench in Dean Smith’s 4–2–3–1 formation. Jack Grealish’s absence from the team has left a major hole in the attack which Gerard needs to revolutionise the attack.

Gerrard often used a 4–3–3 system at Rangers and this could be a good starting point when it comes to tackling Villa’s tactical quandary. Playing wide of a three in attack is completely different to wide in a trio in behind a lone striker, with an attacking midfielder alongside. Positionally, it is much deeper, with less freedom and space to run into; Watkins needs to be able to cut inside into the box if he isn’t going to play centrally to begin with, and this is a system that could also suit Bailey or Buendia, when fit.

Ollie Watkins could play quite a versatile role like Jack Grealish, either as a wide man or a central striker. However, Watkins has struggled for form this season. The form of Ollie Watkins has been a by-product of the struggles Aston Villa has faced to replace Grealish this season.

In 10 league games, he has only scored three goals, because his role hasn’t been settled. Gerrard has batted away questions over his desire to manage Liverpool in the future and Villa harbor ambitions of a return to European football, but more immediately, continuing to pull away from the relegation zone is imperative, and Watkins needs to be firing for that to happen.

Betting on who Premier League games can be a great way for you to earn some money. With betting odds, you can place bets with favourable odds and earn money. Betting Best Odds is a well-renowned betting website that offers bonuses for betting websites, where you can place bets on Premier League matches. The company offers bonuses for a plethora of betting sites including Paddy Power, Betway, Bet365, Coral Bet, William Hill, 888 Bet, and many more.
The Offer Sheet: New Years Day Hockey
By: Matt Rooney
Tags: Sports Betting, NHL

Picks & Preview for the Winter Classic and more on New Years Day

Not only do we get another edition of the Winter Classic but we have a full slate of NHL hockey on New Years Day. So if you get tired of the Bowl Games or feel like flipping back and forth, here’s a few picks for the New Years Day slate of NHL games on New Years Day. I’m getting my odds from DraftKings for these games. If you haven’t signed up with them yet you can do so HERE and take advantage of one of their many new signup offers.

Wild vs Blues UNDER 5.5 (+100)

It’s going to be freezing at this game. Temperatures call for -3 with some wind. It just seems like it’s going to be a miserable game for everyone involved. Expect a simple, defensive minded game from both teams. I don’t think either will try to do too much. While the Winter Classic is prone to more flukey plays with new ice and a weird layout, I don’t think that will effect things enough to make this go over.

Hurricanes -1.5 (+155) vs Blue Jackets

Too much value to pass up on here with Carolina. They put in a really good effort in a 4–0 shutout win over Montreal in their first game since the COVID mini-break, and for the two games prior to the shutdown were on a little roll. They seem to have corrected some of their offensive and consistency issues that plagued them in their mini slump. The Blue Jackets have been up and down all year. They had a nice win against Nashville out of the break, but +155 is too much value to pass up on with a team like Carolina.

Panthers 1st Period ML (-105) vs Canadiens

I really just wanted to find a way to bet the Panthers in this one with some value. You can take them at -1.5 at -150 but I really don’t love betting that price. The Panthers are 2–0 out of the break and have outscored opponents 13–6. Montreal is 0–2 with a 4–0 loss to Carolina and a 5–4 loss to Tampa in which Tampa started a taxi squad goalie. I love the Panthers here, 1st Period ML makes the most sense in terms of value.
Women’s leadership roles in the SportsBooks Industry
Tags: Women In Tech, Sports Betting, Women In Business, Sportsbook

In the last decades we have seen how the sports and gambling industry has been transformed, changes that will continue, although with some modifications, thanks to the technological advances of today’s world, and women’s role in sportsbooks is becoming stronger and more prominent. Nowadays we can see how women are gaining an increasingly important role in this world (which at the beginning seemed to be only for men).

The growth of sportsbooks has allowed us women to play an important role within this sports and gambling environment and at a webinar sponsored by the American Gaming Association, hosted in honor of International Women’s Day, four representatives of our gender, who play roles within the gaming industry, shared with the participants their life stories in addition to their experience in this field. Each of them fulfills different roles and are successful professionals, who demonstrated that they have one thing in common, and that is that they are fearless and determined.

Famous Women in the Sportsbook World

Our four representatives were Elaine Hodgson, president and executive director of Incredible Technologies; Stephanie A. Bryan, president and executive director of Poarch Band of Creek Indians; Melonie Johnson, president and operations director of Borgata Hotel Casino & Spa in Atlantic City; and Sara Gonso Tait, executive director of the Indiana Gaming Commission.

They have been successful in the gaming world, a field that has been dominated by men, thereby demonstrating that women can be leaders in this industry and fulfill our role to the fullest, because it is not a matter of gender but of capabilities.

Among their life stories, they shared that before assuming their new roles, they often were told that they had reached their maximum, which annoyed them a lot and encouraged them to work harder to prove that they were capable of becoming what they are today, successful professionals.

In this aspect, it is important to note that a study conducted at the end of last year shows that the sports and gaming industry will have a divided workforce in terms of gender diversity in the short term. Although salaries, for now, favor men as well as management position and it is part of the environment that needs to be changed.

Since we are talking about successful women in the gaming industry, we cannot miss Denise Coates, the highest paid female executive in the world.

Denise Coates, who owns more than half of the shares of Bet365, a company dedicated to online gambling, has a salary that exceeds 220 million sterling pounds and the dividends she obtains annually are around 45 million dollars. What caused at some point that comments were issued as that this was “irresponsible and excessive”.

We women have always fought for our rights and in every battle we have faced we have been victorious, that is the reason for the success we are achieving in the sportsbook world.

https://www.lauravarelafallas.com/womens-leadership-roles-in-the-sportsbooks-industry/
Hit-list English Premier League 2021–2022 Half Season
By: Maksim Lonschakov
Tags: Sports, Football, English Premier League, Sports Betting, Soccer

4. Center-defs: Rüdiger — White.

And here is another representative of the Arsenal, as promised.

In general, an interesting situation, Arsenal is not to say that it is directly reliable in defense, but two of their players show just phenomenal numbers. Arsenal are clearly on the right track. They have already learned to beat the middle peasants, now they need to learn how to compete with the tops.

Rüdiger with two partners began to look like a decent center-back, not a clown. His area of ​​responsibility has become smaller and it became possible to join more in the attack, more often to be on the ball. This change was beneficial. The numbers speak for themselves.

White (first screenshot) plays more in defending and he did more interceptions (5,6 per game vs 4,3 for Rüdiger), a bit more pick ups and ball recoveries (5,3 vs 5,1 and 6 vs 5,8). But Rüdiger plays more on the ball. He is more involved in the game and makes more passes with more precision. (47 vs 73 and 87% pass accurate vs 92% for Rüdiger)
The Offer Sheet: NHL Bets for December 16th
By: Matt Rooney
Tags: Sports Betting, NHL

Picks & preview for Thursday’s slate

With only 3 games on Wednesday’s slate, none of which I felt strongly about, it was probably a nice night to take a step back and not force anything. So after a night off, we have a big Thursday night set of games with plenty of value to be had. I’m getting my odds from FanDuel tonight. If you haven’t signed up with them yet, you can do that HERE and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000. Let’s get to the picks.

Lightning -1.5 (+100) vs Senators

Ok, let’s try this one again. I took this puck line 5 days ago around +140 when these two teams faced off in Ottawa. The Senators routed a sleepy Lightning team in an early start. I knew it was a bad spot going in, but the value was too high to lay off. The fact that we’re less than a week removed from that game and the Lightning are all the way down to even money to cover the puck line vs Ottawa now tells me this spot is worth jumping at. Home ice advantage isn’t worth that much, so it seems like Vegas might know something here.

Panthers -1.5 (+154) vs Kings

In hindsight, the Panthers coming home after a 3-game road trip probably wasn’t the best spot to take them -2.0. They’re likely missing a couple of forwards for tonight’s game against LA, but even with that clunker vs the Senators earlier this week they’re still 14–2–0 at home this year. It’s usually easy for teams as good as Florida to throw those bad losses away and move on quickly. This much value on the Panthers puck line in a home game is always worth taking until proven otherwise.

Avalanche -1.5 (+140) vs Predators & Team Total OVER 3.5 (+110)

So far this blog has been a who’s who of teams I love to bet, and that doesn’t change with this pick. Both teams have won 5 in a row. The Avs are 6–0–1 in their last 7. As well as Nashville has been playing, they haven’t played in four days thanks to a Flames COVID PPD, and it’s their first game home after a long road trip. It’s probably better for them to have that little layoff before their first home game back, but a team with Colorado’s speed and offensive prowess is a tough matchup after 4 days without a game. At this value, I’m happy to take a chance betting the Avs.

BONUS PICK: Sharks 3, Canucks 1 EXACT SCORE (+2300)

I truly don’t know what to make of this one, I honestly just really want to make a pick on the late night game. The Canucks have played much better hockey since the hiring of Bruce Boudreau. They head into San Jose on a 5-game win streak and winners of 7 of their last 8. The Sharks have been a bit of a roller coaster all year but have actually been solid defensively and gotten great goaltending from James Reimer. I will say, only place this bet once you know for sure Reimer is in net. I think the Canucks are due for a little bit of a come down to earth game and the first game on the road after a long home stand could be a spot for that. Let’s have some fun and throw a dart at the wall with this one.
How to Improve Sports Betting Odds — Step by Step Guide in Python
By: Lianne, Justin, Just Into Data
Tags: Sports, Hockey, Sports Betting, Data Science, Predictive Analytics

Traditional methods

To begin, let’s review the traditional statistics on the sports website.

Imagine today is the final game of the season. Team A is going to face Team C. Which team do you think has better odds of winning the championship? Who would you place your bets on?

Below are the records of the playoff games involving Team A and Team C.

Sports websites such as NHL.com (National Hockey League) often provide statistics like these:

W — Total Wins, L — Total Losses, T — Total Ties

The traditional method of ranking the teams is by looking at Win-Loss %, i.e., the percentage of wins out of total games. In this case, Team A would tie with Team C since they both have the same winning percentage of 50%.

But when you look closer at the game data, Team C beat Team B (7– 0) more than Team A beat Team B (1 – 0). So Team C should have a higher chance of beating Team A this time.

It is easy to study each result when there’s a small number of games. But when there are many teams and games, we need a systematic way to analyze the data.

How do we incorporate the details like goal differences from the past games to get a better ranking of teams?

And what if this final game takes place on Team A’s home turf? The home team usually benefits over the visiting team. With this extra piece of information, which team do you think has a higher chance of winning now?
India, Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies
Tags: India, Cryptocurrency, Blockchain, Sports Betting, Binance

But but blockchain is for criminals…

Too many times have we heard this argument. It is almost a meme by now. It is a bit true, but also a lot wrong. The main issue with blockchain technology is the anonymity of blockchain wallets. Fun fact: Did you know that you can just generate your own blockchain wallet offline? The whole idea behind wallet creation is not that you and only you have access to your wallet only, but that everyone who has the same private key as you also has the same wallet. The “security” only stems from one aspect: Stochastics! Two people have a very very low chance to create the same wallet. For example, MetaMask creates them using 2048 seed words. In total, you need 12 of them to create a wallet. Therefore, there are 204⁸¹² possibilities. Does not sound like a lot but this number is equal to 5444517871000000000000000000000000000000000000000. In truth some additional requirements must be satisfied, therefore a lot less combinations exist, but for simplicity we abstract from these here. All of these wallets are therefore entirely anonymous. The only way to know who has access to which address is by creating a mapping between a person’s real identity and the wallet address they have used for a transaction. Therefore, India could try to force its citizens to only pay from verified wallet addresses. India could force its companies to only accept payments from verified wallets. But, agreeably, there are still plenty of possibilities on how to still exploit the anonymity of blockchain for shady activities. There’s one crucial aspect to the blockchain though: It keeps a log of every transaction ever executed forever, redundantly backed up on thousands or even millions of servers worldwide. Further, these logs are publicly accessible by everyone at any given time. Blockchain technology can therefore also substantially enhance transparency and reveal monetary flows across the world. It acts as an ultimate threat: Yes, you can engage in illegal transactions, but should your wallet address ever become traceable back to you, even if only by accident, everyone can see what you’ve done. Therefore, India should not ban “private” (i.e.. “decentralized”) blockchains, but rather embrace them and build systems around them to enhance both their transparency and security.
The Tip Off: CBB PrizePicks Entry (Thursday Dec. 30th)
Tags: Sports Gambling, Sports, Prizepicks, College Basketball, Sports Betting

The streak is over. Tuesday’s entry got off to fast start with TTU’s Kevin McCullar assisting on 4 of the Red Raiders first 8 shots and hitting his over within the first 11 minutes of the game. Unfortunately, Gonzaga and Chet Holmgren started slow and the super freshman could only muster 9 points on the night. It’s time to start another winning streak so here is my CBB entry for Thursday December 30th.

Caleb Houstan O/U 1.5 3-Pt Made

Michigan hasn’t played a game in almost 2 weeks so they should be well rested and prepared for UCF and their tough defense. The Knights are holding teams to just 28% (29th) from deep but do allow over 25 attempts (314th) per game. This plays right into Caleb Houstan’s role for the Wolverines. He is taking almost 5 three’s/gm and had attempted at least 4 in every game prior to their destruction of Southern Utah. Caleb has made multiple 3’s in 6 games this year and had done so in 4 of the previous 5 before the aforementioned annihilation of SUU. I expect to see Houstan get involved early and possibly hit this in the 1H. Over 1.5 3-Pt Made

Andrew Taylor O/U 1.5 3-Pt Made

Leave it to me to find a little known player to back. Taylor however seems to be a great value tonight. He plays for a Marshall team led by Dan D’Antoni (yes, Mike’s bro) who runs a very similar style of offense to that of Mike’s pro teams where its about volume not necessarily quality. They average over 67 FGA (4th) with 25.5 3PA (83rd) per game and Andrew Taylor leads the team with over 6 3pa/gm. He’s shooting just 27% from deep in 2021 and has made 2+ in just 2 of his last 6 games but Taylor is a career 34% 3pt shooter and shot over 40% last season. Andrew and the Thundering Herd play Louisiana Tech who surrenders 24 3PA and over 70 pts/gm. This matchup has the highest implied total of night at 156 so we should see plenty of shots attempted. By volume alone, this prop is more likely to hit than not.

Over 1.5 3-Pt Made

If you want to join the PrizePicks party, and create a CBB entry, sign up and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100 by clicking the link below.
The Over Strikes Back
By: Sam Henrichs
Tags: Nlf, Gambling, Sports Betting, Machine Learning, Statistics

With four seconds left in regulation, the San Francisco 49ers and the Cincinnati Bengals were deadlocked, 20 to 20. Veteran kicker Robbie Gould lined up from the 30-yard line, preparing to attempt a game-winning kick.

Miss.

Sorry, Robbie.

OBI-WAN had predicted the over and placed a substantial stake on the over for 49ers-Bengals. The game’s over-under had opened at 47.5, meaning the only way for the over to hit was the missed field goal, overtime, and either three field goals or a field goal and a touchdown. Which of course was never going to happen.

Bengals start with the ball. Cincinnati field goal. San Francisco touchdown. Game over, with a final score 26–23. A big win for OBI-WAN, and a big week. Let’s take a look at the numbers.

The three largest-risk of the bets hit. All were overs, on Bills-Bucs, Rams-Cardinals, and 49ers-Bengals. These drove the 23.07% ROI for Week 14. Since testing began in Week 11, OBI-WAN has averaged a return of 14.68%, with only one negative of 2.74% in Week 12. OBI-WAN started with a small sum of $1,000 and has grown it to $1,649.99 in just 4 weeks.

Only a Sith deals in absolutes, but OBI-WAN has loved to deal in over-unders. Total bets continue to drive high performance. OBI-WAN has searched his feelings and come out with a 63.79% prediction rate, far surpassing the 52.4% needed to break even at odds of -110. The system almost always picks the over when two teams above .500 play, but this appears to be a profitable strategy.

While many predicted overs go under, far fewer predicted under bets have gone over, suggesting unders may be worth a stronger investment. My goal going into the week was to see the lower bound of a 95% confidence interval for the total performance exceed the 52.4% mark, it just missed at 51.4%. Week 15’s portfolio has an even larger number of total bets, so perhaps it will be enough to drive it up.

The biggest loss came from an under bet on Seahawks-Titans. The actual total of 57 beat the opening line of 42 by 15. An embarrassing look for the system, but I’m happy for Rashad Penny. A few more highlights came as both the over and Rams moneyline hit on Monday night, as well as the Falcons at +130.

Anyways, Week 15.

This is the largest portfolio of the past five weeks by number of bets. It ranks second in the system’s risk-reward grade, and first in expected return. What surprised me most was the 12 total bets, 10 of which are over. This feels concerning, but the math hasn’t failed yet.

The first test is on Thursday, where the Chargers head to Arrowhead to take on what could very well be the best team in AFC. OBI-WAN recommends the over and Chargers moneyline. We’ll see how it goes.
The Tip Off: Early CBB PrizePicks Entry (Tuesday Dec. 21st)
Tags: Sports Gambling, Sports, Prizepicks, College Basketball, Sports Betting

That makes 2 winning entries in a row after a couple of unknown starts hit their overs. The Overall Record is now at .500 (16–16–2) and headed in the right direction. Lets see if a couple of early afternoon ballers can get us above that even mark. Here is an early CBB PrizePicks entry for Tuesday December 21st.

Mark Sears (G, Ohio) O/U 15.5 Points

Unlike the store with the same name, Mark isn’t closed for business. He has taken over nicely for Jason Preston and has more than doubled his scoring output from last season while also averaging over 4 rebounds and 3 assists per game. Sears is taking over 13 shots/gm and has yet to take less than 11. He is also getting to the charity stripe pretty consistently with at least FTA in 8 of 10 contests. Even better for Mark and Ohio is that USC Upstate is allowing over 77 pts/gm to D-1 schools this season and is being torched by opposing guard play. In this early afternoon game, I’m all over this “Blue Light Special” Over 15.5 Points

Tristen Newton (G, East Carolina) O/U 14.5 Points

Another player who has taken a huge step forward and become his team’s leader is Newton. He’s upped his scoring average from 8.7 to 17.5 while contributing over 3 rebs and 4 assists per game. Much like Sears above, he is also very friendly with the free throw line averaging almost 5 attempts/gm while taking at least 4 in 9 of 11 games. Even in his last game where he and Pirates were somewhat held in check by Liberty, Tristen was able to score 15 points in just 28 minutes of play (7–8 on FTs) while dealing with his own foul trouble. Today he plays a Southern Miss squad riding a 5 game losing streak in which they’ve surrendered over 72/gm. The Golden Eagles have also struggled to defend on the road, giving up an average of 76 points in those 5 games thus far. Another easy pick for me, Over 14.5 Points

If you want to join the PrizePicks party, and create a CBB entry, sign up and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100 by clicking the link below.
Future Tracker: New York Islanders
By: Matt Rooney
Tags: Sports Betting, NHL

Future odds for the Islanders headed into 2022

Let’s take a look at some Islanders futures headed into the New Year.

Islanders Futures

After going the distance and falling 1–0 to the eventual Stanley Cup Champion Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Final, expectations were very high on Long Island headed into this year. Unfortunately, nothing has really clicked for the Islanders this year. They’ve struggled mightily to put the puck in the net, and while they’ve been fine defensively and in net their inability to score and find that timely scoring has hit hard. About a quarter of the way through the season, they find themselves in dead last in the Metro, but stranger things have happened in hockey. So with that said, here’s some Metro Division prices for the Isles.

FanDuel: +7000 | DraftKings: +9000 | BetMGM: +8000 | PointsBet: +8000

Eastern Conference and Stanley Cup odds will be shorter than the division, but they hold more value. If you truly believe in the Islanders bouncing back this season one of those props is the way to go. It’s going to be really hard for the Isles to make up all that ground on Carolina and Washington while jumping the rest of the division in the process. The more likely outcome would be they sneak into the playoffs in a wild card slot and get hot there. If you’re looking for a futures bet on the Isles, I’d avoid the division and look toward a Conference or Cup future. Here’s their odds to win the East:

FanDuel: +2500 | DraftKings: +3500 | BetMGM: +3000 | PointsBet: +3500

Here’s the Islanders odds to win the Stanley Cup

FanDuel: +6000 | DraftKings: +7000 | BetMGM: +6600 | PointsBet: +8000
Camellia Bowl Betting Preview
Tags: Sportsbetting, Collegefootball

A Christmas Day game for the most degenerate of college football fans

Camellia Bowl

Georgia State (7–5) vs Ball State (6–6)

Saturday, 2:30pm, ESPN

Georgia State -6/Total 51

Head to FanDuel Sportsbook to take advantage of your $1,000 risk-free bet

The Bowl Game for the most degenerate college football fan surely has to be the Camellia Bowl. What’s better than a 7–5 team from the Sun Belt going up against a 6–6 MAC team in Montgomery on Christmas afternoon? Georgia State started 1–4, but the four losses were to good teams (Army, UNC, Auburn, App State) and their only loss after October 2nd was a four-point loss at Louisiana. After winning the MAC a year ago, Ball State slid back to 6–6. They did beat Army in their non-conference slate and beat Buffalo in the season finale to get bowl eligible.

Georgia State is going to run the ball behind the monster duo Tucker Gregg and Jamyest Williams. The dynamic duo combined for over 1,700 yards on the ground and 18 touchdowns. Quarterback Darren Grainger can also run it, adding 524 yards to the Panthers’ tally. Georgia State’s 224.5 yards per game are the eighth most in the country and they rank 16th in rush EPA. Grainger wasn’t asked to throw the ball a ton this year, throwing it just 209 times. He completed 57.9 percent of his passes and had 16 touchdowns with just four interceptions. Georgia State is pretty one dimensional on offense, but they also don’t make mistakes in the passing game very often. Georgia State was a bend-but-don’t-break defense in conference play. They gave up 402 yards per game against Sun Belt foes, but were fourth in scoring defense at 23.4 ppg. They’re a better run stopping team than pass stopping team. They allowed just 3.3 yards per carry in Sun Belt games, but gave up the second most passing yards per game in league games ahead of only Louisiana-Monroe.

Looking at Ball State’s statistical profile it’s kind of hard to figure out how they managed to get to 6–6. The answer seems to be turnovers. They were +4 in turnovers against Western Michigan and Buffalo and +2 in turnovers in a seven-point win against Eastern Michigan and in a 12-point win against Army. The 15 interceptions they forced this year are largely responsible for them being 72nd in the country in pass efficiency defense despite being third worst in passing yards allowed in the MAC. They’re 87th or worse in rush EPA, pass EPA and rush EPA defense. If they’re going to run the ball well, it’s going to be thanks to the efforts of Carson Steele who ran for 829 yards this season. Drew Plitt isn’t asked to do a ton in the passing game. He’s tied for 102nd in yards per attempt this season, but he also doesn’t turn the ball over much, throwing just five interceptions.

This game feels like a pretty decent mismatch. Georgia State played much better down the stretch and the Sun Belt is a better conference than the MAC. The line opened at -3 and jumped to -6 so the value on it is gone, but it still seems like a game in which Georgia State is going to cover.
Forex Online Trading in Malaysia: Major Features of the Forex Market and the List of Top Regulated Brokers
Tags: Forex Traders, Investing, Forex, Forex Brokers, Forex Trading

Forex Online Trading in Malaysia: Major Features of the Forex Market and the List of Top Regulated Brokers TopForex.Trade Dec 28, 2021·2 min read

Malaysia is an emerging economy that attracts investors. For its rapid economic growth, Malaysia is called the new Asian tiger.

An interesting fact: the Malaysian Exchange is a public company, its shares are traded on the KLSE under the ticker BURSA. Any trader can buy them and become one of the minority shareholders or make a profit on exchange rate jumps.

Our TopForex.Trade team recommends top regulated forex brokers in Malaysia, with which you can get impressive bonuses up to $8000, as well as passive income opportunities.

In order for you to get acquainted with the opportunities of the forex market in Malaysia, as well as learn what trading tools are the most popular there, we have prepared an extensive article that will be your guide. You will also be able to find a list of trusted forex brokers and the offers they provide to their clients.
How to Trade during the End of the Year
Tags: Trading, 2022, Stocks, Forex, 2021

Normally, the last two weeks of the year have unusual market dynamics. The vast majority of traders take the time off. This also coincides with governments not publishing economic data, and corporations not publishing reports. Generally, most major issues happen in the new year.

In turn, that creates a combination of trading opportunities for smaller traders who might have some free time around those days. This is particularly true for people who might not be full-time traders.

So, let’s have a look at how you can trade during the end of the year.

There is a big move coming

With everything on hold for about two weeks, or sometimes just a week depending on how the holidays line up, a lot of market-moving events get clustered around the start of the year.

Therefore, traders could use the opportunity to pre-position ahead of that. If you have any open trades throughout that period, it’s recommendable to double-check your stop losses and take profits. That’s because there will likely be a dramatic increase in volatility when the markets return.

On the 1st of January, there’s typically a lot of contracts rolling off, from employment contracts for CEOs to business agreements, to securities lockups. This means traders who are just coming back from the holidays will re-adjust their positions given the new situation.

In general, expert traders position themselves for safety during the extended holiday period. And when they come back, they take on risks in the market.

General trends to watch

That’s why just under 8 out of every 10 years, the stock markets of the world rise in the first couple of trading days in the new year. Logically, a technical correction follows that move, before the market takes on its trajectory for the month.

This might be good for stocks, and currently more risky plays like tech and consumer discretionary. As for currencies, the dollar, franc, and yen could potentially suffer as people pull their assets from safe havens to buy into the new trends of the year.

A new perspective

With traders having had some time off to reflect and balance their strategies, it’s common for professional traders to refine their trading outlook. Getting caught up in the market action could force them to take a particular stance, which they might modify after having some time to reflect. For this reason, traders are often wary of new analyses coming out in the first few days of the year.

Buy and sell recommendations from major investor information suppliers like banks and financial services companies might need some modification. And this could lead to a fundamental shift in the dynamics of some assets over the first few days of the year.

The bottom line is that expert traders generally stay out of the market because it’s a high-risk environment. So, if you are going to get into the markets, make sure you have proper money management and that the trades offer a commensurate amount of a reward.
FXREVIEW — TICKMILL V/S HOTFOREX?
By: Jakub Kovacik
Tags: Xm, Forex, Forex Brokers, Forex Trading, Tickmill

Staying on the path of broker’s comparison, here I am back with another two forex brokers — Tickmill and Hotforex.

As always, we will start off with regulations. For Tickmill, they are regulated with FCA, CySEC, and FSCA, meanwhile Hotforex is regulated and backed by FCA, SVG, FSA, FSCA, and DFSA. One thing we can notice that they are both backed by FCA and FSCA, which are some of the important regulatory bodies.

But that is not it, we will talk about their trading conditions, which I believe is make it and break it, for forex broker out there.

SPREADS

Tickmill is off to the great start, with a pip lower when compared to the better pairs’ of Hotforex.

2. COMMISSIONS

Tickmill — $4/100k RT (Pro Account), $2/100K RT (VIP Account)

Hotforex — $6/100k RT

With offering two different type of account with low commission, Tickmill is taking a W for offering cheaper commission, as compared to Hotforex.

Let’s include the commission and spreads so we can see what changed:

Undoubtedly, Tickmill is taking a lead in all forex pairs, with thanks to their lower commission fees.

3. PAYMENT METHODS

Minimum Deposit for Tickmill — 100 USD

Minimum Deposit for Hotforex — 5 USD (or 100 USD for Wire Transfer)

Both the brokers accept multiple deposit and withdrawal methods by multiple credit cards, multiple electronic payment methods, bank wire transfer, local bank transfer, and other payment methods. There are no extra fees charged for withdrawal of funds with both too.

4. SERVICES

Both Tickmill and Hotforex offer great services ranging from good trading tools to deposit bonuses, and more. The customer support is a plus point, from what I have been leaving a messages.

Talking about inactivity fees:

Tickmill— No fees will be charged for the inactivity of an account. Also, if there is zero activity for 30 days, your account will be closed.

Hotforex — 5 USD will be charged for the inactivity of an account for 6 months and then, additionally of 5 USD per month afterward.

Closing up, you can see that Tickmill has a much better pros as compared to Hotforex. You can always try dabbling with both of them and see if they works well, according to your trading needs.

Hope this helps in picking the right choice of the broker for your trading.
AMZN Stock Prices May Collapse To The Level Of 2871.52
Tags: Elliottwave, Technical Analysis, Trading, Forex, Amazon

AMZN shares are likely forming a bullish impulse, which is part of the development of a deep fourth wave of the primary degree.

The primary correction ④ takes the form of an intermediate triple combination (W)-(X)-(Y)-(X)-(Z). To complete the correction pattern an intermediate wave (Z) is necessary.

Wave (Z) most likely takes the form of a triple zigzag W-X-Y-X-Z, where the first four parts are already fully completed. And now we are in the final minor wave Z. It seems that wave Z takes the form of a simple zigzag of the minute degree. The impulse ⓐ and the correction ⓑ are currently forming. So, now we can expect a price decrease in the impulse ⓒ.

It is possible that the price will fall to 2871.52. At that level, wave (Z) will be at 161.8% of actionary wave (Y). Moreover, wave (Y) concluded at the same level.

Alternatively, the primary correction ④ may have already ended. Thus, the primary fifth wave, taking the form of an ending diagonal (1)-(2)-(3)-(4)-(5) of the intermediate degree, may be under development.

It is possible that at the end of October correction (4), in the form of a minor double zigzag W-X-Y, came to an end. An intermediate wave (5) is currently forming. This wave can take the form of a double combination W-X-Y.

In the near future, market participants may expect the construction of a minute zigzag ⓐ-ⓑ-ⓒ, forming the final minor wave Y. Growth in this zigzag is possible to the level of 43488.71. At that level, wave ⑤ will be at 76.4% of primary impulse wave ③.

Open your account now to gain access to unlimited Orbex Trading Education!
DRIP Looking Brighter, Why Your Chance is now…
By: Daniel Smith
Tags: Drip Network, Bnb, Cryptocurrency Investment, Forex, Crypto

As you already know when dealing with Crypto anything can happen however the future is looking bright for DRIP with many things coming soon and prognostics also looking good, I invite you to do your own research in Medium articles or YouTube with so many people already making it big time…

Don’t let this chance slip away you can still do it, DRIP still fairly new and price of DRIP is growing, might stay stable at one point with possibilities of growing even bigger who knows but now is the time to be in it…

I have been blessed not only to have joined, but also joined a great team which is Cryptozoa Team which it’s Telegram group has the most welcoming and warmest of Drippers all searching for the same goal financial freedom, they all are very friendly and helpful with any issues you may have with great support during your journey!

How to Get Involved?

Go to https://drip.community/fountain, and exchange BNB for DRIP

Take my own Buddy id:

0x7CE602248Edea48C398EB3122c68f8018e371F33

Go to the Faucet, and enter a Buddy address in the Referral section. Consider adding me within the Cryptozoa team which has a wonderful team of players more than ready to help.

Again my Buddy id:

0x7CE602248Edea48C398EB3122c68f8018e371F33

Deposit at least 1.12 DRIP (Ensure you have 0.05–0.1 BNB for transaction fees.)

You’re set up on DRIP. Get ready to receive 1% daily! But, do come back regularly to hit that hydrate/recompound button!

Once you join DRIP with my buddy id: 0x7CE602248Edea48C398EB3122c68f8018e371F33 and the Cryptozoa Telegram group DM me @danix721 and I will airdrop you 1 DRIP, am doing this promotion this week until the 1st Jan 2022 so you can take advantage!

You can purchase DRIP tokens and join the project by going to the official https://drip.community/ network. Players can use the Swap tab to trade BNB for the corresponding amount of DRIP. You can also purchase DRIP on DEXs like Pancakeswap, but due to the 10% it’s best to do it on the project website.

Not only do you save on the tax, but it also has the highest amount of liquidity and the lowest slippage available.