How India is currently faring on Covid-19 scale India News Today
Tags: India, News Today, Covid 19, Health, Coronavirus

The current trend of Covid-19 pandemic in India is comforting on national landscape. But it has some signs of distress in certain pockets at district and state levels. Here is what the current Covid-19 trend in India looks like

A woman wearing face mask stands in front of a mural made on a wall to spread awareness about prevention from Covid-19 in Delhi. (Photo: PTI)

Aglance at the covid19india.org, a leading online tracker of coronavirus numbers in India, gives a somewhat comforting feeling that the coronavirus pandemic may be tapering down in the country. On eight days in November, India reported less than 40,000 cases of Covid-19 — including three days of under-35,000 and one of under-30,000 confirmed cases of novel coronavirus infections.

For three weeks on trot or 21 consecutive days, the active Covid-19 caseload in India stayed below the 5 lakh-mark. According to official figures, there were 4,35,603 active Covid-19 patients in the country at the end of November.

This puts the active caseload at 4.6 per cent or a recovery rate of 93.94 per cent considering that the Covid-19 case fatality rate stands at 1.45 per cent.

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This is significant in the wake of the past caseload growth in India. The total number of lab-tested Covid-19 cases crossed the 10 lakh-mark on July 16. An additional 10 lakh cases were added over the next 22 days (20 lakh by August 7).

In another 13 days, India had 30 lakh confirmed Covid-19 cases (August 23) adding 10 lakh more by September 5 (13 days). India went passed a Covid-19 caseload of 50 lakh on September 16 (adding 10 lakh in 11 days), 60 lakh on September 28 (10 lakh in 12 days) before the rate of increase showed a marked decline.

The next 10 lakh cases of Covid-19 were added over 13 days (reaching 70 lakh on October 11), 17 days (crossing 80 lakh on October 29), and 22 days (surpassing 90 lakh on November 19).

India added 4.59 lakh fresh Covid-19 cases in the final 11 days of November. In September, India added more than double this number to its Covid-19 tally.

India has tested 14.13 crore samples bringing the overall positivity rate to 6.7 per cent. However, a large number of these samples would have come from the same ‘positive’ persons.

While the overall picture is comforting, there are signs of distress at the micro level. Some states such as Kerala and Delhi have recently seen sharp spikes in Covid-19 spread. A number of states in recent days tightened Covid-19 guidelines following a revision by the Centre.

At district level, there are reports that semi-urban and rural districts have increased their share in India’s Covid-19 tally. In April-end, the urban districts of India had over three-fourth share in the total Covid-19 tally for the country. In November-end, their share was found to be less than 55 per cent and the rural and semi-urban districts’ contribution increasing to about 45 per cent.

While a majority of the districts are still reported to have shown decline in the number of fresh Covid-19 cases, some 280 districts have recorded fresh surge in novel coronavirus infections. The spread of novel coronavirus in rural and semi-urban districts is a cause of concern as these areas don’t have a public or even health infrastructure to tackle severe cases of Covid-19.

However, the biggest relief for the policymakers is the definite sign of Covid-19 slowing down in Mumbai, Pune, now even Delhi, Bengaluru and Chennai.