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The Tip Off: CBB Betting Card (Friday Dec. 17th)
Tags: Sports Gambling, Sports, Draftkings Sportsbook, College Basketball, Sports Betting

The grind towards .500 is turning into a trek through quicksand as every time it seems we’ve taken a positive step, I get sucked further away from the mark. Tuesday started out hot hitting 3 of the first 4 sides only to collapse and lose the last 3. It was a 3–4 day which brings the Overall Record to 36–46 on the season. Today we don’t have a huge schedule but with some intriguing matchups on the slate, I couldn’t stay away. Here is my CBB Betting card for Friday Decemeber 17th.

Liberty -3 vs East Carolina (1:30pm et)

St. Bonaventure vs Virginia Tech 1H Under 60 & Bonnies game ML +120 (4pm et)

Furman at Mississippi State 1H Over 64.5 & MSU game -7.5 (7pm et)

Tarleton State ML +100 vs South Alabama (8pm et)

Villanova -6.5 at Creighton (8pm et)

Saint Mary’s at San Diego State 1H Under 55.5 & Aztecs 1H ML +110 (10pm et)

If you like any of these sides or want to shop the market, head over to Draftkings Sportsbook where *New users who make a deposit of $5 or more and place a moneyline bet on any CBB team will WIN $100 *Free Bet Bonus* if either side from that game scores. Click the link below to sign up and get started
The Offer Sheet: NHL Bets for December 10th
By: Matt Rooney
Tags: Sports Betting, NHL

Picks and preview for Friday’s slate

It came down to a flukey goal in OT, but Sebastian Aho gave us a 2–1 night last night with his OT winner in Calgary, both winners coming with plus odds. Very upset with myself, accidentally made my picks on the DeepDive account while posting their podcast last night so that account gets the credit on the site, but my gambling account grew so that’s what’s important here. A fun slate tonight including a -2.5 (!!!) puck line favorite. I’m getting my lines on FanDuel today. If you haven’t signed up with them yet you can do that HERE and get a risk free bet up to $1,000.

Rangers -1.5 (+128) vs Sabres

This line is dropping FAST so get it at this value while you can. I got it at +150 last night, it’s now at +128. I truly don’t understand this line. The Rangers lost their last time out to Colorado. They were on the 2nd end of a back-to-back and had to travel home. They played a very fresh Avalanche team that’s already the fastest team in the NHL and couldn’t keep up with tired legs. Before that though they’d won 7 straight games and 11 of 12. The Rangers are without Igor Shesterkin for a bit who’s been an early Vezina candidate, but their goaltending behind him is serviceable and Buffalo is just a really bad hockey team. Good team with plus puck line odds vs bad team, we take it every time.

Florida Panthers Alt. Line -2.5 (+124) vs Coyotes

There aren’t a ton of matchups I like laying the -2.5 with, but this is one of them. Arizona is one of the worst teams if not the worst team in hockey. They just can’t really score. They score just 1.76 goals per game while allowing 3.64 goals per game. I’ve never been shy about how high I am on Florida. They’re still my pick to win the Cup this year. The Panthers haven’t played in a few days so they’re going to be fresh. Sergei Bobrovsky has been one of the best goalies in hockey this year. The Panthers haven’t been a great road team this year, so that’s the one concern to be had, but I do think they’re that much better than the Coyotes.

Avalanche -2.5 (+128) vs Red Wings and OVER 6.5 (+102)

No folks, that’s not an Alt. Line. The Avs are -2.5 on the puck line tonight. I love that number and I’ll probably take the over 6.5 as well at +102 just because I think Colorado can score 6 tonight. The Red Wings just got boat-raced by the Blues in St. Louis tonight, had not the easiest of travel overnight to Denver, and now have to take the ice against the fastest team in the NHL and the highest powered offense as well. The Red Wings are a much improved team from recent years, but this is just a really bad spot for them. Colorado hasn’t scored less than 4 goals in their last 4 games. They’ve scored 23 goals total in that stretch good for 5.75 goals per game. Not sure which goaltender Detroit will go with tonight since Alex Nedeljkovic got pulled after 2 periods last night, but I’m not sure it matters. Let’s get nuts!
The Blogger Bowl: December 23rd
By: Matt Rooney
Tags: Sports Betting, College Football

Matt Rooney of Betsperts and Phil Gough of SB Nation pick each and every Bowl game throughout the 2021–22 Bowl season

Throughout Bowl season, Matt Rooney of Betsperts and Phil Gough of Notre Dame’s SB Nation site One Foot Down will pick and preview every Bowl game and of course track our picks on Betsperts as well. Whoever has the most units gained after Bowl Season wins! Follow along with our picks at username 10Mrooney and PhilG_24.

Unit Count

Matt: +4.36 Phil: -0.55

Frisco Football Classic (2:30pm CT) North Texas vs. Miami (Ohio) (-2.5) O/U 55.5

Phil: While this is Miami’s last game while their most famous alum (Big Ben) is still playing, I am going to go against fate. North Texas has better wins this year and honestly, they are one of my favorite uniforms in college. As you can tell, I am leaning heavily into the analytics on this one. Pick: NTSU + 2.5

Matt: I’ve been going by the “Fade the MAC” theory all bowl season long and so far its been working. North Texas finished the season with 5 straight wins to become eligible including an easy win over #23 UTSA. Miami’s been wildly inconsistent throughout their season on both sides of the ball. North Texas has better wins on the schedule. I’m also not going to bet against a team nicknamed the “Mean Green.” Pick: NTU +2.5, NTU ML (+115)

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl (6:00pm CT) UCF vs. Florida (-7) O/U 55.5

Phil: The fact that this game is not the Bad Boy’s Mower bowl anymore is an absolute travesty. UCF has been very average all year and officially lost their quarterback for next year. Florida has been a dumpster fire, but is starting off a new regime. They still have tons of talent and a LOT to play for after a garbage season. Florida will dominate this one as the Billy Napier era kicks off. Pick: Florida -7 Ov 55.5

Matt: I hate this game. I have zero feel on it. Both teams had their ups and downs. Both teams have had their good offense and defensive efforts and their bad ones as well. Both teams have for the most part failed in all their big tests other than Florida keeping it close with Alabama early in the season. I’m going to take Florida and hate every second of it. Pick: Florida -7
NFL WEEK 14 — Monday Night Football
By: Zack Nicol
Tags: Sports Betting, Monday Night Football, Football, NFL

Monday Night Football time! Picks, Plays and Evaluation from me below. Guest pickers at the bottom of the article. Enjoy!

8:15 PM ET

LOS ANGELES RAMS at ARIZONA CARDINALS (-3) ; O/U 50.5

Model Z Projection: ARI -1.5, 47.35 Total

Straight Up Pick: Los Angeles Rams

Spread Pick: LAR +3⭐

O/U Pick: Under 50.5⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- Rondale Moore over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

- Hopkins to score (+110)

- Donald to record a sack (+116)

- Eno Benjamin to score (+500)

- Eno Benjamin to score 1st (+3000)

Zack’s “Quick” Rundown: Ugh, the Rams are the latest team brutally hit hard by the inactive list. Even with guys like CB1 Ramsey, TE1 Higbee, RB1 Henderson, RT Havenstein and possibly C Allen, they’re still only 3 point underdogs on the road against the best record in the league. Somehow I think the spread is wrong and should be more for the Cards, but I’m still going with the Rams. Those are some big names yes, but the Rams have built some depth on the defensive side of the ball and head to head are a better defense than the Cards, even with this lengthy inactive list. I don’t feel confident at all in picking the Rams straight up, but I have a feeling here. I really like this Rams team as a whole and think they can get out of this skid against a division rival and get into the playoffs.

Position Faceoff: Arizona Cardinals 8–5

QB: LAR 7TH / ARI 6TH

RB: LAR 31ST / ARI 23RD

WR: LAR 3RD / ARI 2ND

TE: LAR 31ST / TE 11TH

OL: LAR 12TH / ARI 17TH

IDL: LAR 1ST / ARI 29TH

EDGE: LAR 2ND / ARI 6TH

LB: LAR 19TH / ARI 8TH

CB: LAR 20TH / ARI 14TH

S: LAR 14TH / ARI 19TH

OVERALL: LAR 11TH / ARI 6TH

OFFENSE: LAR 16TH / ARI 5TH

DEFENSE: LAR 2ND / ARI 4TH

🎁SPECIAL GUEST PICKERS🎁

Ryan Mead: [3X BET] ARI -3 (-110), ARI -6.5 Alt Spread (+170), ARI -9.5 Alt Spread (+340)

Kyle Brockman: Conner to score 1st TD (+550), Kupp to score 1st TD (+650)

Joel Podos: LAR +3 (-110), Over 51.5 (-110), Kupp to score (-110)

Ryan Shaughnessy: ARI -3 (-110), Murray to score, Murray over 27.5 rushing yards (-110), Over 51 (-110), Ertz to score the 1st TD (+1100)
The Tip Off: CBB PrizePicks Entry (Tuesday Dec. 28th)
Tags: Sports Gambling, Sports, Prizepicks, College Basketball, Sports Betting

Merry belated Christmas to everyone, especially those who have continued to tail my CBB entries. Last time out (Wednesday Dec. 22nd) was the 4th straight winning entry and now the Overall Prop record sits at 20–16–2 as we approach the New Year. College hoops continues to suffer numerous cancellations, postponements, or forfeitures making it difficult to know who is/isn’t actually playing and the prop field smaller. I however absolutely love college hoops and won’t be deterred from continuing the grind. On that note, here is my CBB PrizePicks entry for Tuesday December 28th.

Kevin McCullar (G, Texas Tech) O/U 3 Assists

He has ascended to the Red Raiders leader and has improved both his scoring from 10 to almost 14 points/gm while also becoming a good ball distributor averaging over 3 assists/gm. McCullar has posted 3+ helpers in 6 of the teams 9 games this year and has 4+ in 3 of the last 4. Today’s game against 1–10 Alabama State should allow Tech not to have to rely on Kevin’s scoring in turn leading to him getting more teammates involved. Over 3 Assists

Chet Holmgren (F, Gonzaga) O/U 13.5 Points

The Zags super frosh hasn’t disappointed so far this year and is averaging over 13 points, 8.5 rebounds, and 2 assists per game. He has consistently been in double figure scoring and has gone over today’s prop in 8 of 12 games this season. More importantly, Chet is scoring 16 points per in the 7 games against non power schools so far. He’ll tower over the North Alabama roster today and should have plenty of 2nd chance opportunities which only adds to his scoring potential with his 60+% shooting. I think the Zags roll the Lions today leaving Holmgren to see more minutes and play the starring role. Over 13.5 Points

If you want to join the PrizePicks party, and create a CBB entry, sign up and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100 by clicking the link below.
The Blogger Bowl: December 21st
By: Matt Rooney
Tags: Sports Betting, College Football

Matt Rooney of Betsperts and Phil Gough of SB Nation pick each and every Bowl game throughout the 2021–22 Bowl season

Throughout Bowl season, Matt Rooney of Betsperts and Phil Gough of Notre Dame’s SB Nation site One Foot Down will pick and preview every Bowl game and of course track our picks on Betsperts as well. Whoever has the most units gained after Bowl Season wins! Follow along with our picks at username 10Mrooney and PhilG_24.

Unit Count

Matt: +2.68 Phil: +1.64

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (2:30pm CT) Kent State vs. Wyoming (-3.5) O/U 59.5

Phil: In a game like this, which appears to be a tossup, I pick the team with the better athletes. Kent State has a thousand yard rusher and a great receiver in Donte Cephus. You might remember his brother, Quintez,who was a Wisconsin star 2 years back. Wyoming has been all over the place all year, so I am going to stick with the team with Mac Champions in this one. Pick: Kent State +3.5

Matt: I’m going to stick with my working theory of fading the MAC in Bowl spots. Kent State has been a really fun offense to watch in that conference all year but defensively they’ve struggled quite a bit all year. Wyoming has been a roller coaster this season. Won their first four, lost their next four, split their next four. While the offense has struggled against some better teams, they’ve put up 50 and 45 points in their two games vs MAC opponents this year. Pick: Wyoming -3.5, OV 59.5

Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl (6:30pm CT) UTSA vs. San Diego State (-3) O/U 49

Phil: Meep Meep has been a hell of a ride, and this one will be a very close one in my eyes. Both teams have a lot to play for as they are coming off of historically great seasons. I like points to be scored, but ultimately UTSA will put the cherry on top of their fantasy season. Pick: UTSA (+3) OV 49

Matt: I’ve gone back and forth on the sides here all morning and can’t really justify one over the other enough. The two teams like winning in different ways. San Diego State has generally won more low scoring, ball control affairs. UTSA on the other hand is putting up over 37 points per game. In a Bowl game like this where SDSU has been before, this spot seems like a Super Bowl type game for UTSA. Meep meep. Pick: UTSA +3, OV 49
The Tip Off: CBB PrizePicks Entry (Thursday Dec. 16th)
Tags: Sports Gambling, Sports, Prizepicks, College Basketball, Sports Betting

Tis the season of miracles and one happened for us yesterday. My streak of 11 consecutive losing entries was snapped as both D.J. Burns and Bryce Hamilton played starring roles for their teams and went over their points props. This creeps the Overall Record to 14–16–2 on the year. Tonight’s CBB slate is again lacking star power but coming off our first W in a long while, it’s probably a good idea to keep at it. Here is my CBB PrizePicks entry for Thursday December 16th.

Essam Mostafa (C, Coastal Carolina) O/U 15.5 Points

Like I said, tonight is a very lean schedule with a bunch of mid-major and small schools playing. One of those is Coastal Carolina with Mr. Mostafa going against Regent University, which isn’t even a D-1 school. Essam stands out tonight because of his 12.5 shots and 16.8 pts/gm average. He’s also getting to the line pretty frequently (6 FTA/gm) and will tower over Regent’s undersized (Only 3 players taller than 6’4”) squad. Also enticing is the 90.4 pts/gm allowed by Regent to their 5 other D-1 opponents this season. Needless to say, Coastal should score a ton and Mostafa will dominate.

Over 15.5 Points

Souley Brown (G, UTEP) O/U 18.5 Points

If you haven’t heard this name before, it’s time to introduce yourself to it. Souley Brown averaged over 18 points/gm last season and is up to 20+ this year. He missed 3 games at the end of November but continued his torrid streak since returning. Brown has scored 18+ in 5 of his 6 games, is taking close to 16 shots and 8 FT per game all while seeing over minutes of court time on average. Even more reason to believe Souley is in line for another big performance is that McNeese State has allowed their last 4 and 7 of their 8 D-1 opponents this season to score 77 or more points. This is a big number but an easy pick for me.

Over 18.5 Points

If you want to join the PrizePicks party, and create a CBB entry, sign up and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100 by clicking the link below.
CFB bets for the weekend
By: Louie Call
Tags: Sports Betting, Betting, Football, College Football

For us degenerates, betting college football is what we do. Unfortunately are days are numbered for this season and it has been a hell of a season. A season that has fortunately made me some money. As we head into the one of the final weekends of the season I have a couple games that I’m looking forward to.

Cincy +13.5: This games gets me excited. Typically any Friday night CFB games is a good reason for me to bet. But in all seriousness, this line is juicy. Alabama is 7–6 against the spread this year and have obviously played down to there opponents. And doesn’t 13.5 seem like a awful lot for CFP game? Sure, Bama can go out and shitrock Cincy. But that would just be inconsistent with what they have done all year. It hard for me to believe tht Bama can cover the spread two weeks in a row. If you want to get spicy, how about Cincy ML. Why? Because why the hell not? Cincy is great value at +380.

Utah ML +160: Full transparency, I fucking love the Utes this year. They decimated Oregon twice in two very tough games that sealed their destiny. Utah is playing their best football at the right time. As well, have you seen the jerseys their wearing? They are so frosty that Vegas should have made them the favorites. That’s why we have the edge ;). In all seriousness, no one talks about this is betting enough, but external factors play a huge role. Ohio State’s top receivers, Chris Olave & Garret Wilson, are sitting out. While they are extreme talents and their absence will be missed. But I think it’s more than that, and this happens every year. The teams that have players sitting typically doesn’t resonant well with the rest of team and that usually results in poor play. We are hammering the Utes!

Follow me on twitter at @averagelou99
MNF PrizePicks-Dolphins at Saints
Tags: Sports Gambling, Sports, Prizepicks, NFL, Sports Betting

Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Man, Monday Night Football used to be the most exciting game of the week but has recently become background noise. The game has often been between two bad teams or just flat out boring. This week another potentially low scoring, not exciting matchup mired by covid protocols and a depleted roster is on tap when the Dolphins visit the Saints. To maintain some kind of interest I’m turning to PrizePicks where I have two player props I like during the game.

Ian Book O/U 169.5 Passing Yards — The Book on Ian in the NFL is currently blank as this will not only be his first ever NFL start but it’s also the first time even being active on gameday. The situation for his first career start isn’t exactly ideal with it being on somewhat short notice for an already poor passing team against a surging Dolphins defense. That Miami D has held 5 of it’s last 6 opponents to 304 total yards or less and their last 3 to an average of just 179 passing yards. Considering the Saints have thrown for just 164/gm in 3 of their last 4 and this game is slated to be very low scoring (total of O/U 38 as of now), I see no reason to think New Orleans expands it’s downfield attack with a rookie who has never even dressed for a game against one of the league’s hottest teams. We actually saw 5 different QBs go under this total yesterday and I fully expect Book to make it 6. Under 169.5 Passing Yards

Mike Gesicki O/U 38.5 Receiving Yards — Outside of a couple goose eggs and a game where he wasn’t needed against Carolina, Gesicki has been very consistent. The Dolphins TE has produced at least 41 receiving yards in 11 of the teams 14 games this season and could play a huge role tonight. The Saints will likely be down Malcom Jenkins and Demario Davis leaving the middle of the field vulnerable for Gesicki to exploit. With Jaylen Waddle and Devante Parker finally playing at the same time and being closely watched by the Saints corners, I think Tua continues to look toward Mike often (combined 19 targets over the last 2 games).

Over 38.5 Receiving Yards

If you want to join the PrizePicks party, and create a CBB entry, sign up and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100 by clicking the link below.
Fantasy EPL GW20 Recap and GW21 Algo Recommendations
By: Dilyan Kovachev
Tags: English Premier League, Sports Betting, Data Science, Fantasy Football, Soccer

Fantasy EPL GW20 Recap and GW21 Algo Recommendations

Top Team GW20

If this is the first time you land on one of our Fantasy EPL Blogs, you might want to check out some of our original blogs in my Medium archives to get familiar with our overall approach and the improvements we’ve made to the captain/team recommender algorithm over time.

Top 100 Managers FPL Team Stats for GW20

Despite the unpredictable circumstances, the top 100 FPL Managers had a decent week with a 52pts AVG. Still, there were some top managers that scored in the 35–40pts range, so if you scored anywhere above 40pts, you can feel good about yourself.

Most Selected Player Combo by Top 100 Managers

We used the data for most selected players for each position by the Top100 managers to create the hybrid team below:

Top 100 Team Formations

Looks like most top players used a 4-4–2 or 3-5-2 formations last GW.

GW20 Performance Recap and Overall Stats

We had a decent week, with two of our teams scoring above AVG, and above the Top100 Managers AVG of 52pts. The positives were selecting good Captains and VCs, following our Algo recommendations to go with Gallaher, Kane, or Ronaldo. We were also very glad we picked up Bowen and replaced Salah with KDB on most of our teams, which paid off very well!
Bet $5 Win $150: Browns at Packers
Tags: Sports Gambling, Sports, NFL, Sports Betting, Fanduel Sportsbook

Christmas is upon us and FanDuel Sportsbook has an awesome gift for new users. Sign up before or on Christmas day and get 30/1 odds on any team playing on Christmas day to win their game https://bit.ly/Bet5WIN150 One particular matchup where this makes a ton of sense is when the Browns and Packers meet at Lambeau Field.

When the NFL schedule was released, it isn’t outlandish to have assumed these teams would be in each other’s shoes at the moment as Cleveland entered the year with short Super Bowl odds and Aaron Rodgers retirement rumors were still abound. Fast forward to the now with

Cleveland coming off a heartbreaking home loss to the Raiders with Nick Mullens behind center where many other regulars were out due to covid protocols while the Packers withstood a extended their win streak to 3 improving to 11–3 and clinching them the NFC North title.

The Browns have been one of the most inconsistent teams in the NFL this season and after losing to Arizona in week 6, they have since alternated wins and losses in every game. The Packers are as healthy as they’ve been all season and besides some defensive lapses over the last 4 weeks, have been quite possibly the best team in the league. Green Bay has also been really good at home winning all 6 of their games by an average of almost 14 points. With news that Browns center J.C. Tretter goin on Covid list while writing this, the Browns chances of receiving coal on Saturday seem even more likely. Backtracking to the Packers recent defensive struggles, you also see teams with either dynamic skill players or a mobile QB which the Browns possess neither of these traits at this time.

It’s clear who the better team here is and I fully expect the Packers to dominate on Saturday. Although my last big favorite I backed (Tampa Bay -10.5) didn’t work out too well for me, I’m confident that Aaron Rodgers & Co. are fully committed to that #1 seed in the NFC and will not repeat the same mistakes from last week. Give me Packers -7.5 *(as of Noon 12/23)

However, to make your Christmas even better, take advantage of the FD Sportsbook offer I referenced and get 30/1 odds on Green Bay just to win as your first bet. Sign up and make Christmas a winning one by using the link below.
At the Window: NFL Week 16 Betting Card
Tags: Sports Gambling, Sports, NFL, Sports Betting, Fanduel Sportsbook

To say trying to bet the NFL has been hard of late is possibly the understatement of the year. Not only has the league seen more parody than ever, but covid has reared its ugly self once again and games are being greatly impacted because of it. That said, here are the sides that barring any big roster news ahead of the weekend I’ll be backing for week 16.

Colts ML at Cardinals — These two teams are moving in opposite directions currently and Indy looks like the team we thought they’d be from the get. Arizona looked lifeless last week against Detroit who controlled the game on both sides of the ball and in particular the trenches where Indy has a decided advantage on paper. I think the Cards slide continues and the Colts keep their AFC South hopes alive.

Bills ML at Patriots — Buffalo had every opportunity to beat New England the last time they played and this time out, the weather won’t be anywhere near as bad.

Chargers TT Over 27.5 vs Texans — LA has scored 28+ in 3 straight games in 4 of their last 5 all against teams much better than Houston. Even if Austin Ekeler misses, I expect this Chargers O-Line to dominate and the Chargers to do whatever they want on offense.

4-Leg Teaser

Packers -1.5 (-7.5) vs Browns

Falcons PK (-6) vs Lions

Seahawks -.5 (-6.5) vs Bears

Cowboys -4 (-10) vs WFT

Player Props

Jonathan Taylor — Over 102.5 rush yards

“ Longest rush Over 20.5 yards

“ Score 2+ TDs +230

Justin Jackson — Over Whatever rush yards

Courtland Sutton — Over 27.5 receiving yards

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The Offer Sheet: Sunday Night Football
By: Matt Rooney
Tags: DFS, Sports Betting, NFL

PrizePicks Entry for Bears and Packers on Sunday Night Football

Well, here we go again. The Bears head into Lambeau Field for Sunday Night Football in what seems more like an exclamation point on the latest chapter of this rivalry for Green Bay than an actual football game. But, they will play football in Green Bay tonight and the Packers will win by multiple touchdowns, so let’s submit a PrizePicks entry to keep things interesting.

Aaron Rodgers OVER 250.5 Passing Yards

Rodgers has only gone under this total 4 times this season. One of those times was in Chicago, but the Bears defense is much much worse than it was at the time. They’re down multiple starters since then, they’re secondary has been regressing. Aaron Rodgers just keeps getting better. He’s gone over 300 Pass Yards in his last two games. He owns the Bears. I’d be shocked if it wasn’t a huge night for Rodgers yet again in this rivalry.

David Montgomery OVER 60.5 Rush Yards

Montgomery has been one of the lone bright spots on the Bears this season. For as bad as they’ve been, Montgomery has had a lot of success running the football this season including a 90-yard effort last Sunday vs Arizona. With Justin Fields back in the fold this week, Matt Nagy will likely get a whole lot more conservative in his play-calling which should mean more carries for Montgomery early (at least before the Packers go up a couple scores and the Bears have to start chasing).
NFL WEEK 16 — Monday Night Football
By: Zack Nicol
Tags: NFL, Sports Betting, Fun, Monday Night Football, Football

Monday Night Football time! Picks, Plays and Evaluation from me below. Enjoy!

8:15 PM ET

MIAMI DOLPHINS (-3) at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS ; O/U 37

Model Z Projection: MIA -1, 42.05 Total

Straight Up Pick: Miami Dolphins

Spread Pick: MIA -3⭐

O/U Pick: Under 37⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- Waddle over 6.5 Receptions (+118)

- Gesicki 50+ Receiving Yards (+134)

- Gesicki to score (+360)

- Tua Tagovailoa over 33.5 Pass Attempts (-106)

- Kamara over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

- Kamara over 4.5 Receptions (-110)

- Book over 29.5 Pass Attempts (-108)

Notable Inactives (11 for New Orleans, 2 for Miami): NO QB1 Taysom Hill, NO QB2 Trevor Siemian, NO WR2* Deonte Harris, NO RT Ryan Ramczyk, NO LB Demario Davis, NO LB Kwon Alexander, NO EDGE Carl Granderson, NO S Malcolm Jenkins, NO TE1 Adam Trautman, NO TE2 Garrett Griffin, NO TE3 Juwan Johnson, MIA WR4* Albert Wilson, MIA C Greg Mancz

Zack’s “Quick” Rundown: I like what Miami is doing. Granted, this 6-game win streak includes games against the Texans, Jets twice, Panthers and Giants, but it’s still impressive. New Orleans, also impressive, just shutout Tampa in Tampa as double digit underdogs, wild! For tonight, New Orleans is down hard, if you couldn’t tell by the inactives short story above. It’ll be rookie from Notre Dame, Ian Book under center with limited weapons, but atleast Alvin Kamara will be playing. Their depleted linebacker group scares me, but atleast they still have PFF Wonderboy rookie, Pete Werner who is the 4th best LB, and most would think he’s LB3 on his own team (behind Davis [10th] and Alexander [51st]). Ultimately, I think Ian Book has a tough time against this Miami Defense, and Tua gets it done on his side of the ball. I’ll take Miami by a field goal or more with low confidence, in a low scoring affair.

Position Faceoff: Miami Dolphins 7–6

QB: MIA 18th / NO 31st

RB: MIA 20th / NO 2nd

WR: MIA 14th / NO 28th

TE: MIA 6th / NO 28th

OL: MIA 31st / NO 17th

IDL: MIA 2nd / NO 13th

EDGE: MIA 8th / NO 7th

LB: MIA 17th / NO 10th

CB: MIA 20th / NO 6th

S: MIA 4th / NO 5th

OVERALL: MIA 17th / NO 19th

OFFENSE: MIA 22nd / NO 26th

DEFENSE: MIA 6th / NO 5th
Sports betting, just like any other form of gambling, is designed you for to lose your money — a…
Tags: FanDuel, Gambling, Money, Sports Betting, DraftKings

Sports betting, just like any other form of gambling, is designed for you to lose your money — a majority of bettors will lose more than they win in their lives. If the average person actually made a profit, sportsbooks and casinos would not be in business. AND THEN, even if you somehow manage to be in the minority that makes a profit in a given year, you have to report any and all of your gambling winnings (and losses) on your tax return as taxable income. Read this.

However, betting on sports is also really, really fun. Gambling makes games interesting, and you can win some money if you stay disciplined. (Yes, it is also extremely addicting to a lot of people, and it has ruined countless people’s lives, like this guy.)

Every major betting site in the U.S. offers regular promotions in the form of “gimmie” bets, odds boosts, and risk-free bets for both sports and casino games. Although it feels like there are less of the actual “good” promotions these days, they still happen fairly often, and they can accumulate to a nice little return by the end of the year if you, again, stay disciplined.

Starting on 1/1/22, I will be tracking every bet I place using the “good” promotions. I’ll be sure to tweet a head of time, so there is a ledger of accountability for the bets. Here is the excel file where I’ll keep track of all of the wins and losses, which I will update regularly.

Moreover, please note that I do not claim to be an expert on any sport, especially football, which is what I bet on the most. I do follow the NFL and NBA pretty closey, but I will not pretend that any of these bets will be based on some extremely in-depth analysis or anything more than a “hey, this looks like a solid play.”

Also, all major sites will allow you to put limits of how much you can bet, deposit, etc. at any given time. If you have any reason at all to believe that you will go overboard with your wagers, please, please, please set some limits before you start.

Lastly, if you have not yet made an account on any of the major sites, all of them have a “refer-a-friend” sign-on bonus, where they will usually match your deposit to a certain amount, typically in the form of free bets. Sometimes there are other sign-up promotions that are better than the friend referral, so do some research before making your account and/or first bet— you can’t go back and switch it. Here are my referral links, which should each give you at least a $100 desposit bonus: Draftkings, FanDuel, and PointsBet. DISCLAIMER: I would obviously also receive free bet money if you use any of my links.
NFL WEEK 15 — Monday Double Header
By: Zack Nicol
Tags: Footbal, Sports Betting, Fun, Monday Night Football, Nft

A Double-Header Monday Night Football slate. Would love to get excited about that, but these teams are pretty decimated with inactives. But hey, football is football! Picks, Plays. Guest Pickers and Evaluation from me below. Enjoy!

5:00 PM ET

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (-3) at CLEVELAND BROWNS ; O/U 41.5

Model Z Projection: CLE -6.5, 48.58 Total

Straight Up Pick: Cleveland Browns

Spread Pick: CLE +3⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

O/U Pick: Over 41.5⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- CLE +3 (-110)

- CLE ML (+130)

- CLE -9.5 Alt Spread (+390)

- Chubb to score (-115)

- Chubb to score 2x (+420)

- Chubb over 81.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

- Mullens 200+ Passing Yards (+102)

Zack’s “Quick” Rundown: Wow the Model (CLE -6.5) is really off for this game. Sure, it’s not Baker, it’s not Keenum, it’s Nick Mullens. But the only other notable inactives are Clowney and Hunt. Vegas on the other hand will be without a handful of significant guys: CB2 Hobbs (#11 CB on PFF), CB3* Mullen, TE1 Waller, LB2 Perryman and RB2 Drake. I agree with the model that the wrong team is favored here. The Nick Mullens discount is way too much. Browns, hard.

8:15 PM ET

MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-6.5) at CHICAGO BEARS ; O/U 45

Model Z Projection: MIN -9, 55.50 Total

Straight Up Pick: Minnesota Vikings

Spread Pick: MIN -6.5⭐⭐⭐⭐

O/U Pick: Over 45⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- MIN -6.5 (-110)

- MIN -10.5 Alt Spread (+145)

- Jefferson to score & MIN to win (+105)

- Jefferson 100+ Receiving Yards (-102)

- Fields over 252.5 Passing & Receiving Yards (-110)

- Montgomery over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

- Cook 100+ Rushing Yards (+130)

- Cook to score & MIN to win (+100)

- Conklin over 30.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

- Cousins 300+ Passing Yards (+235)

Zack’s “Quick” Rundown: As I worked through this injury report novel for the Bears, it was clear to see that they are going to get smoked tonight. With a cornerback group that is already the worst in the league in my opinion, they’ll be without their #1 CB and a few more corners. I like a Primetime Kirk and a Minnesota blowout in Chi-Town tonight.
Sunday Night Football PrizePicks Entry
By: Matt Rooney
Tags: DFS, Sports Betting, NFL

Entry for Cowboys vs WFT on Sunday Night Football

The Cowboys & WFT go head to head on Sunday Night Football, Taylor Heinicke returns for the Football Team under center while the Cowboys expect to get the second half of their 1–2 punch in the backfield back in the lineup tonight in Tony Pollard. I put together a two-leg PrizePicks entry for tonight’s NFC East showdown. If you haven’t signed up with them yet, you can do that HERE and you’ll get a 100% deposit match on your first deposit up to $100.

Tony Pollard OVER 41.5 Rush Yards

Coming into the season, Tony Pollard looked like just the backup to Zeke Elliott in the Cowboys backfield. As the season has gone on, it’s been clear he’s much more of an equal. He’s gone over the 41.5 Rush Yard total in 4 of his last 5 games, and 8 of his 13 games this season. Washington is banged up on the DL and the Cowboys will want to keep Dak protected headed into the playoffs so a steady diet of the rush attack should be in order.

Adam Humphries OVER 25.5 Receiving Yards

Humphries has gone over this total in 5 of his last 8 games. He’s a possession receiver and doesn’t reel off a ton of big plays, but his targets have been trending up the last 3 weeks. Taylor Heinicke returns tonight which can only be a good thing for the WFT receivers. Humphries has had 5+ targets in each of his last 3 games with 11 receptions. If he’s targeted 5+ times again I like him to hit this over.
Frisco Football Classic Betting Preview
Tags: Sportsbetting, Collegefootball

A made up game between two teams who are vastly different on offense.

Frisco Football Classic

North Texas (6–6) vs Miami OH (6–6)

Thursday, 3:30pm, ESPN

Miami -2.5/Total 54.5

Head to FanDuel Sportsbook to take advantage of your $1,000 risk-free bet

Who knows what to expect when you get two 6–6 teams playing in a game that was made up a couple of weeks ago. We ended up with one more bowl eligible team than there were available bowl slots, so they created an extra bowl game and made 6–7 Hawaii bowl eligible and thus the Frisco Football Classic, not to be confused with Tuesday’s Frisco Bowl, was born. It pits the contrasting styles of pass-happy Miami and run-oriented North Texas. Miami was a missed two-point conversion in overtime away from appearing in the MAC Championship game. North Texas was one of two teams in FBS to start 1–6 and win its last five games to get bowl eligible.

Miami went 1–3 against a tough non-conference slate and then went 5–3 in MAC play with the three losses coming by a combined four points. They’re led on offense by Blaine Gabbert’s younger brother Brett. Gabbert threw for over 2,400 yards with 24 touchdowns in 10 games played. Jack Sorenson has been on a pretty crazy run at receiver. AJ Mayer leaned on Sorenson in the two starts when Gabbert was injured and that continued through the rest of the season. Sorenson went six games in a row over 110 yards receiving before being held to 81 in the season finale against Kent State. Mac Hippenhammer provided a reliable second option for Gabbert, snagging 48 catches for 786 yards this year. Miami isn’t proficient running the football. The Redhawks are 88th in the country in rushing offense and 100th in rush EPA per play.

North Texas has the best non-service academy rushing attack in college football averaging 245.5 yards per game on the ground and the Mean Green leaned on that rushing attack to get bowl eligible. They had over 300 yards on the ground against FIU and Southern Miss. They entered the season finale against UTSA needing a win to get bowl eligible and churned out 340 yards against the Road Runners. DeAndre Toney is their lead back. Toney ran for 1,215 yards and 13 touchdowns this year. North Texas has three capable back-ups and quarterback Austin Aune is a running threat also. Aune isn’t much of a passer completing only 51.7 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and seven interceptions.

This is a really interesting game because of the contrasting styles and because what each offense does well, the opposing defense doesn’t defend particularly well. Miami is 82nd in rush EPA defense, North Texas is 93rd in pass EPA defense and 98th in pass efficiency defense. This total has ticked up a couple of points from where it opened and even so I still like the over. I’d lean Miami if I had to pick a side. North Texas actually runs the most plays per game in college football, but if they’re in a spot where they have to pass it might be difficult for them to come back.
The Blogger Bowl: December 17th Bowls
By: Matt Rooney
Tags: Sports Betting, College Football

Matt Rooney of Betsperts and Phil Gough of SB Nation pick each and every Bowl game throughout the 2021–22 Bowl season

Throughout Bowl season, Matt Rooney of Betsperts and Phil Gough of Notre Dame’s SB Nation site One Foot Down will pick and preview every Bowl game and of course track our picks on Betsperts as well. Whoever has the most units gained after Bowl Season wins! Follow along with our picks at username 10Mrooney and PhilG_24.

Bahamas Bowl (11am CT): Toledo Rockets (-10) (-370) vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (+295) O/U 51.5

Phil: I have to go with the mighty Toledo Rockets in this one. Both teams have been wildly inconsistent this year, but Toledo has finished the season very strong, and will continue that trend. I like them straight up and to cover. I am also smashing the over in this one as Toledo is averaging 45.5 ppg over their last 4 and MTSU is averaging around 29 ppg. It will be hot and players will be a bit sluggish after lounging on the beaches. Expect a shootout in the beginning, with Toledo’s defense finishing the game in the 4th to guarantee the cover. Pick: Toledo -10, + OV 50

Matt: Going through both schedules, there’s a whole lot of reason to take either side on this one. It opened at Toledo -8, and at that number I think I’d have been on the Rockets, but with the jump to 10, I think that’s enough for me to ride with Middle Tennessee State. I think the MAC tends to get overvalued a bit in Bowl games because of their heightened exposure during MACtion (I love MACtion so much) season. I think both teams will be able to score quite a bit, and like who’s going to take the under in the Bahamas Bowl, that’s no fun. Like Phil said above, both teams have been a bit of a roller coaster this season, so for that reason I’m going to fallback on my MACtion strategy that served me well: Underdogs and Overs. Pick: MTSU +10, OV 50

Tailgreeter Cure Bowl (5pm CT): Northern Illinois Huskies (+320) vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (-10.5) (-420) O/U 63

Phil: When Picking games like this, I generally look at what team has more to gain. In this case, Coastal has had a very disappointing year based on the lofty expectations coming into 2021. NIU on the other hand, who was supposed to hot trash, has wildly exceeded expectations. I like NIU to win straight up against a sluggish CCU team. The sluggishness also makes the under ripe for picking. Pick: NIU +11, UN 63

Matt: I have ZERO feel on a side here. I’ve gone back and forth on both, and in my head can justify going either way. So I’m just going to stick with a total here and take the over. Northern averages over 31 points per game, Coastal is up over 40 points per game. Northern is allowing over 32 points per game and close to 450 yards per game. This one probably depends on which version of Northern’s offense shows up. If we get the version we saw in the MAC Championship game, I think the over cruises. Pick: OV 63
The Tip Off: CBB PrizePicks Entry (Monday Dec. 13th)
Tags: Sports Gambling, Sports, Prizepicks, College Basketball, Sports Betting

We fell short once again going 1–1 last Friday bringing the Overall Record to 11–14–1 on the year. Surprisingly though, it was Javon Freeman-Liberty who fell short of his number against a tough Louisville defense that still allowed an opposing player to go off, just not our guy. Oh well, back to the grind we go with another entry filled with a couple lesser known names in college basketball.

Patrick Baldwin Jr. (G, Milwaukee) O/U 17.5 Points

Baldwin made a not so surprising decision to follow his pops and choose to attend Milwaukee but the fact that he was a top 10 recruit made that choice so. He’s missed a few games this season but has looked as advertised while averaging 16.5 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 1.8 assists during his 6 games of action. He’s taking an average of 14.5 shots/gm with an average of just under 4 attempts from deep. He’s easily the Panthers best player, go-to player, and the guy they rely upon in close games. He and Milwaukee are 7 point home dogs tonight so look for Baldwin Jr. to be chucking it up a lot and with that amount of volume, points should come.

Over 17.5 Points

Tyler Robertson (G, Portland) O/U 2 3-pointers made

I’ll just start by saying that Robertson takes an average of just under 15 shots per game and 50% of those come from distance. He’s taken at least 6 shots from beyond the arc in all 8 games he’s played and is making over 2 each time out. He hardly leaves the court as evidenced by his team leading 36.6 minutes played/gm average and leads the team in every major category (pts, reb, ast) so far this season and is clearly the Pilot for Portland. Look for Robertson to have a huge night.

Over 2 3-pointers made

If you want to join the PrizePicks party, and create a CBB entry, sign up and receive a 100% deposit match up to $100 by clicking the link below.
Week 16 Play or Pine #NFL #NFLUK #IDP #DST #Kickersmatter #PlayorPine #wherestheD
By: Idp Iggy
Tags: Sports, Idp, NFL, Sports Betting, Fantasy Football

Week 16 is here my friends! 2nd round of the Playoffs. With it being such a short week here are a few players for each position. No description this week, due to Christmas, but the proof is in the pudding. Go back and look at the previous weeks Play or Pine if you have doubt. Happy Holidays, enjoy Friends, Family, and Football.

WEEK 16 PLAYS

D/ST — Miami Dolphins, Green Bay Packers, Dallas Cowboys, Los Angeles Chargers

Kickers — Matt Gay, Evan McPherson, Dustin Hopkins, Brandon McManus

Defensive Linemen — Trey Hendrickson, Maxx Crosby, Charles Harris, Brian Burns

Linebackers — TJ Watt, Foye Oluokun, Devin White, Alex Singleton

Defensive Backs — Jeremy Chinn, Harrison Smith, Minkah Fitzpatrick, Logan Ryan

WEEK 16 PINES

D/ST — Carolina Panthers, Cleveland Browns, Los Angeles Rams, Washington Football Team

Kickers — Harrison Butker, Tyler Bass, Chase McLaughin

Defensive Linemen — Joey Bosa, Javon Hargrave, Jonathan Greenard

Linebackers — Cole Holcomb, Darius Leonard, Demario Davis, Kamu Grugier-Hill

Defensive Backs — Jonathan Abram, Landon Collins, Derwin James, Vonn Bell

Have a wonderful Holiday Weekend! Enjoy some great slate of games, stuff your belly and WIN THE WEEK!
The Offer Sheet: NHL Bets for December 20th
By: Matt Rooney
Tags: Sports Betting, NHL

Picks & Preview for Monday’s state

Back after a little bit of a layoff. Got beat up pretty good Thursday with some late COVID news to a couple of the teams we bet on. Also, I think I’m done fading the Senators for a little bit. Due to the NHL’s proactive COVID postponements, we have a little bit of a smaller slate with just two games going on. Still have a pick for you though. I’ll be using FanDuel. If you haven’t signed up with them yet, you can do that HERE and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

Wild ML (+104) vs Stars

As of now, this is my only pick for the night. Both teams haven’t been their best as of late. The Stars had lost 4 straight before a 4–3 OT win over the Blackhawks on Saturday. The Wild have dropped their last 3. The Wild have been the more consistent team all year, and at plus money on the ML I like taking a chance on them. Minnesota despite their recent struggles still leads the Central and they’re scoring over 3.6 goals per game. After a two-ish week stretch of great defense and goaltending, that’s come back down to earth a little bit for Dallas. Let’s take the plus money here and see what happens.
What is ZCode™?
By: Ciko Ciko
Tags: Betting Tips, Betting, Robotics Automation, Sports Betting, Betting Strategies

BETTING WIN SECRET

After Years Of Live Beta-testing On Facebook In Front Of Over 12,315 Fans, ZCode™ Finally Goes LIVE!

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December 17, 2021: From The Desks of: Ron, Mike and Steve

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