NFL WEEK 16 — Sunday Picks & Plays
By: Zack Nicol
Tags: Fun, Sports Betting, Football, NFL

1:00 PM ET

DETROIT LIONS at ATLANTA FALCONS (-7) ; O/U 42

Model Z Projection: ATL -9, 55.14 Total

Straight Up Pick: Atlanta Falcons

Spread Pick: ATL -7⭐⭐

O/U Pick: Over 42⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- Patterson over 83.5 rushing & receiving yards (-110)

- Pitts over 50.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

- Pitts 80+ Receiving Yards (+290)

- Pitts to score (+170)

- Pitts to score 2x (+1000)

- Matt Ryan over 244.5 Passing Yards (-110)

1:00 PM ET

BALTIMORE RAVENS at CINCINNATI BENGALS (-7) ; O/U 41.5

Model Z Projection: CIN -.5, 51.14 Total

Straight Up Pick: Cincinnati Bengals

Spread Pick: BAL +7⭐⭐

O/U Pick: Over 41.5⭐⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- Andrews 60+ Receiving yards (-102)

- Andrews to score (+230)

- Chase over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-110) [added at 11:00am ET]

- Chase to score (+105) [added at 11:00am ET]

1:00 PM ET

LOS ANGELES RAMS (-3) at MINNESOTA VIKINGS ; O/U 48.5

Model Z Projection: LAR -11, 49.32 Total

Straight Up Pick: Los Angeles Rams

Spread Pick: LAR -3⭐⭐⭐

O/U Pick: Over 48.5⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- Kupp over 8.5 Receptions (-110)

- Jefferson over 21.5 Longest Receptions (-110)

- Mattison over 17.5 rushing attempts (-110)

1:00 PM ET

BUFFALO BILLS at NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-1) ; O/U 43.5

Model Z Projection: NE -1.5, 47.01 Total

Straight Up Pick: New England Patriots

Spread Pick: NE -1⭐⭐

O/U Pick: Under 43.5⭐⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- Singletary over 47.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

- NE -1 (-110)

- Damien Harris to score (+100)

- Damien Harris over 60.5 Rushing yards (-110)

- Damien Harris 80+ Rushing Yards (+205)

1:00 PM ET

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS at NEW YORK JETS (-1.5) ; O/U 41

Model Z Projection: NYJ -1, 53.85 Total

Straight Up Pick: New York Jets

Spread Pick: NYJ -1.5⭐⭐

O/U Pick: Over 41⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- Michael Carter over 40.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

- Michael Carter over 63.5 Rushing & Receiving yards (-110)

- Michael Carter 80+ Rushing yards (+490)

- Michael Carter to score (+135)

- Berrios to score (+280) [added at 11:45am ET]

- Berrios 50+ Receiving Yards (+154) [added at 11:45am ET]

- Robinson 100+ Rushing Yards (+200)

- Robinson to score (-105)

- [2X BET] Marvin Jones over 50.5 Receiving yards (-110)

- Zach Wilson over 217.5 Passing Yards (-110)

- Trevor Lawrence over 218.5 Passing Yards (-110)

1:00 PM ET

NEW YORK GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-10.5) ; O/U 40.5

Model Z Projection: PHI -7.5, 51.72 Total

Straight Up Pick: Philadelphia Eagles

Spread Pick: NYG +10.5⭐

O/U Pick: Over 40.5⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- Goedert to score (+210)

- Goedert to score 2x (+1300)

- Hurts over 246.5 Passing & Rushing Yards (-110)

1:00 PM ET

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-10.5) at CAROLINA PANTHERS ; O/U 43.5

Model Z Projection: TB -8, 48.72 Total

Straight Up Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Spread Pick: TB -10.5⭐ (Going against the model on this one, Panthers suck)

O/U Pick: Under 43.5⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- Antonio Brown to score (-115)

- Antonio Brown over 66.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

- Panthers under 16 Points (-110)

1:00 PM ET

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-10.5) at HOUSTON TEXANS ; O/U 45.5

Model Z Projection: LAC -7, 50.33 Total

Straight Up Pick: Los Angeles Chargers

Spread Pick: HOU +10.5⭐

O/U Pick: Under 45.5⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- Burkhead to score (+170)

- Mills over 214.5 Passing Yards (-110)

- Justin Herbert over 17.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

4:05 PM ET

CHICAGO BEARS at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-6.5) ; O/U 41.5

Model Z Projection: SEA -6.5, 52.33

Straight Up Pick: Seattle Seahawks

Spread Pick: SEA -6.5⭐⭐

O/U Pick: Under 41.5⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- Kmet to score (+400)

- Metcalf to score (+135)

- Lockett to score (+135)

- SEA -6.5 (-110)

4:25 PM ET

PITTSBURGH STEELERS at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-10.5) ; O/U 45.5

Model Z Projection: KC -13.5, 51.84 Total

Straight Up Pick: Kansas City Chiefs

Spread Pick: KC -10.5⭐

O/U Pick: Under 45.5⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- KC 1st Qtr winner & KC 1st Half winner (-111)

- Hill over 86.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

4:25 PM ET

DENVER BRONCOS (-1) at LAS VEGAS RAIDERS ; O/U 41

Model Z Projection: DEN -.5, 49.85 Total

Straight Up Pick: Denver Broncos

Spread Pick: DEN -1⭐

O/U Pick: Under 41⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- Carr under 1.5 Passing TDs (+100)

8:20 PM ET

WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM at DALLAS COWBOYS (-10) ; O/U 46.5

Model Z Projection: DAL -9.5, 52.54 Total

Straight Up Pick: Dallas Cowboys

Spread Pick: DAL -10⭐

O/U Pick: Under 46.5⭐

Zack’s Plays:

- McLaurin under 4.5 Receptions (+100)

- Zuerlein under 2.5 XP’s (+100)