>+𝐿𝐼𝒱𝐸’’• “Dolphins vs Raiders”(Livestream) — NFL FREE, TV channel 2020
By: The Oscars
Tags: Live, Raiders, NFL, Live Streaming, Dolphins

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This Saturday, the Las Vegas Raiders are hoping to patch up the holes in a defense that has allowed an average of 30.07 points per game. They will stay at home another week and welcome the Miami Dolphins at 8:15 p.m. ET Dec. 26 at Allegiant Stadium. Miami should still be feeling good after a victory, while the Raiders will be looking to regain their footing.

Las Vegas fought the good fight in their overtime matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers last week but wound up with a less-than-desirable result, falling 30–27. Las Vegas’ defeat came about despite a quality game from QB Marcus Mariota, who passed for one TD and 226 yards on 28 attempts in addition to rushing for one TD and 88 yards. Mariota ended up with a passer rating of 133.20.

Meanwhile, Miami picked up a 22–12 win over the New England Patriots this past Sunday. Miami’s RB Salvon Ahmed was one of the most active players for the team, rushing for one TD and 122 yards on 23 carries. This was the first time Ahmed has racked up 100+ rushing yards all year.

Las Vegas is now 7–7 while Miami sits at 9–5. Both teams are in the playoff hunt, so this is a critical contest.

The Raiders are expected to lose this next one by 3. They have failed bettors playing the spread in their past four games, so buyers beware.

Las Vegas came up short against the Dolphins when the teams previously met two seasons ago, falling 28–20. Maybe Las Vegas will have more luck at home instead of on the road? Watch the matchup and check back on CBS Sports for all the details.

How To Watch

When: Saturday at 8:15 p.m. ET

Where: Allegiant Stadium — Paradise, Nevada

TV: NFL Network

Follow: CBS Sports App

With just two weeks to go, the Miami Dolphins are poised to play playoff football for just the third time since 2002.

But they have some work to do.

Not only does Miami have to fend off the Baltimore Ravens who hold an identical 9–5 record, but the Las Vegas Raiders are on the outside looking in. The Raiders sit at 7–7 though, and are playing for their season.

Saturday’s NFL triple-header concludes with one of the most consequential games of Week 16.

The two square off in primetime on Saturday night at 8:15pm EST in Allegiant Stadium.

Odds as of December 24th from DraftKings

The Dolphins have been absolute monsters against the spread this year, going 11–3. They’ve been especially hot lately, going 9–1 since October 11th.

The Raiders meanwhile, are not doing their hometown proud. They’re 0–4 ATS since November 29th, and 7–7 overall.

Carr Moving Towards Playing on Saturday

The last time we got a good look at Derek Carr, he was limping off the field against the Los Angeles Chargers with a groin injury.

He was forced to sit and watch as Marcus Mariota came in and went 17-for-28 for 226 yards, a touchdown and an interception. He also mixed in 88 yards on nine rushing attempts with a TD.

Carr carries an 87.2 rating in his 18 nighttime starts. In early and afternoon games, he sits at 90.8 and 94.1 respectively. His yards/attempt fall off, and he averages a full 30 yards-pre-game fewer in primetime spots.

The Dolphins have also been especially stingy against passers lately. Over the past six games, just two passers have gone over 210 yards against them, and one was Patrick Mahomes.

That stretch has featured a handful of lower tier QBs however, so expect a more competent display from Carr.

Dolphins Hoping for Healthy Offense

Miami will get one of its ailing stars back on Saturday in running back Myles Gaskin.

After spending time on Injured Reserve with a knee injury, Gaskin returned against the Bengals and racked up 141 total yards on two catches and 21 carries. Then he landed on the Covid list, and watched Salvon Ahmed blitz the Patriots for 122 yards on 23 carries.

Saturday’s NFL triple-header concludes with one of the most consequential games of Week 16.

The Dolphins are 9–5 and holding onto the AFC’s final wild card spot for dear life with the tiebreaker over the Ravens — win out, and Miami is in the playoffs.

The Raiders, meanwhile, are down but not out (yet). They’re two games back at 7–7 and are playing for their postseason chances. They would need to win out and hope that the Ravens lose their final games and the Dolphins lose their season finale in order to get in. What was once such a promising season for Las Vegas is now on life support.

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have a ton of momentum.

After starting the season 1–3, they’ve won eight of their last 10 to quickly rise into playoff contention. They flipped their season with wins over the Rams and Cardinals coming out of the bye week, but those are the Dolphins’ only two wins against teams .500 or better. Then again, their three losses to such teams have all been by one score.

The Dolphins have been competitive all season, and they’re doing it mostly with an increasingly great and creative defense. Head coach Brian Flores has pulled all the right levers for this defense and now has the Dolphins rated as the sixth-best unit in Football Outsiders’ weighted DVOA, which weights recent action, meaning that they’re playing their best defense of the season. They’re especially strong against the pass and have done a great job coming into each game with a unique defensive game plan.

Miami’s offense tends to do just enough. Rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa hasn’t posted big numbers, but he’s not making many mistakes and is getting the job done. The Dolphins are also running the ball better of late and welcome back Myles Gaskin, which should help against a very porous run defense.

The Dolphins have a good passing attack and an improving run game — they’re certainly trending in the right direction as they make their playoff push.

The offense has carried the Raiders much of the season thanks mostly to a strong passing attack, but they’re below-average overall and could drop further if Derek Carr is unavailable. Carr has no injury status for the game and is thus expected to start, which would certainly help.

The Raiders typically need a whole lot of points, because their defense is truly terrible: They rank bottom-five in overall DVOA and second-to-last against the run. They’ve allowed 180 points over their last five games and are a Hail Mary against the hapless Jets away from going 0–5 over that span — that miracle play is all that’s keeping their slim playoff hopes alive.

Dolphins-Raiders Pick

Simply put, this is a mismatch at this point of the season.

The Raiders have faded in a huge way after a great start to the season, much like they did a year ago under Jon Gruden. If Carr does start as expected, his passing could give the Raiders a chance, but remember that passing defense has been the Dolphins’ strong suit — that tilts the matchup heavily in the Dolphins’ favor.

On one side, you’ve got a great Miami defense that shouldn’t let Vegas score much, and on the other side we’ve got Vegas allowing points at will. If that doesn’t sound like a game with a three-point line to you, then we’re on the same page.

It’s a bummer that this line has hit the key number of three. Still, shop around to see if you can find the Dolphins at -2.5 — you can use our NFL odds page to check if real-time lines have shifted since writing — but don’t be afraid to play them at -3: You don’t want that to slip to -3.5 before kickoff, either, or you’ll lose some real value. Playing the waiting game goes both ways.

If Carr ends up sitting for Marcus Mariota, that line will surely rise again, but that also tilts the game further in Miami’s direction, without Carr’s passing available. I would play Miami up to -5.5 in that scenario.

As it is, I’ll shop for Miami at -2.5 or better (and look to live bet the Dolphins at that number early on). But if that line doesn’t materialize before kickoff, I’ll be content to play the Dolphins at -3 in a matchup that looks a lot more one-sided than records would lead you to believe.

There’s a reason one of these teams looks headed for the playoffs while the other is hanging on by a thread.

Dolphins at Raiders, Saturday, 8:15 p.m., NFL Network, Channel 10 (WPLG in Broward and Dade)

Latest line: Dolphins are favored by 3 1/2 points. Over/under: 47.

Dave Hyde, Sports Columnist (Season record: 8–6): Dolphins 20, Raiders 13

Jon Gruden’s team has lost four of its last five games. He’s playing either backup quarterback Marcus Mariota or hobbled Derek Carr. A game that looked difficult a month ago is there for the Dolphins to take when they need it most. The Dolphins, who are 9–2 against the Raiders since a playoff loss in 2000, are assured of a winning season for just the second time since 2008.

Omar Kelly, Dolphins Columnist (Season record: 8–6): Dolphins 24, Raiders 17

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The Dolphins can beat any team in the NFL if the run game is working, and this is their opportunity to show that last week’s 250-yard explosion wasn’t a mirage. Miami should own the line of scrimmage against the Raiders, setting the season finale up as a win-and-you’re-in game against the first-place Bills. The Dolphins lead the NFL in third-down defense, holding opposing teams to just a 33-percent conversion rate.

Safid Deen, Dolphins Writer (Season record: 10–4): Dolphins 38, Raiders 24

Tua Tagovailoa should have a big game against the reeling Raiders, who were off to a promising 6–3 start before losing four of five. The Raiders are allowing a whopping 30.1 points a game. They find themselves on the brink of being eliminated from the postseason for the third straight year under Jon Gruden and for the 17th time in the past 18 seasons. The Dolphins’ rebuilding effort is ahead of schedule as Miami started six rookies on offense in last week’s win over the Patriots while battling for a playoff spot.