{{위키데이터 속성 추적}}
[[파일:Red Giant Earth.jpg|섬네일|278x278px|alt=A dark gray and red sphere representing the scorched Earth lies against a black background to the right of an orange circular object representing the Sun|[[태양]]이 [[적색 거성]] 단계에 진입한 뒤 70억 년이 지난 후 불 탄 [[지구]]의 상상도.<ref name=apj418/>]]

생물학 및 지질학적 '''지구의 미래'''는 여러 장기 영향의 추정된 효과에 기초하여 외삽될 수 있다. 여기에는 [[지구]] 표면의 화학 작용, 행성 내부의 냉각 속도, [[태양계]]의 다른 물체와의 [[섭동 (천문학)|중력적 상호작용]], 그리고 [[태양 광도]]가 꾸준히 증가하는 것이 포함된다. 이 외삽법에서 불확실한 요소는 [[기후 공학]]에 중요한 변화를 일으킬 수 있는 기후 공학처럼,<ref name=aree25_245/> 인간이 도입한 기술의 지속적인 영향이다.<ref name=Mooney/><ref name=pnas104_31/> 현재의 [[홀로세 절멸]]<ref name=pnas98_1/>은 기술{{sfn|Myers|2000|pp=63–70}}로 인해 발생하고 있으며 그 영향은 최대 5백만 년까지 지속될 수 있다.{{sfn|Reaka-Kudla|Wilson|Wilson|1997|pp=132–133}} 차례 차례로, 기술은 [[인간 절멸|인류의 절멸]]을 가져올 것이고, 지구는 장기간의 자연 과정에 의해서 점진적으로 느린 진화 속도로 점차적으로 돌아갈 것이다.<ref name=bostrom2002/><ref name=geo2_3_113/>

== 같이 보기 ==
{{div col|2}}
* [[종말론]]
* [[생명체 거주가능 영역]]
* [[지구의 역사]]
* [[행성 공학]]
* [[행성 거주가능성]]
* [[세계 변동 위험]]
* [[태양계의 안정성]]
* [[제11천년기 이후]]
{{div col end}}

==출처==
{{각주|30em|refs=
<ref name=apj418>{{인용| last1=Sackmann | first1=I.-Juliana | last2=Boothroyd | first2=Arnold I. | last3=Kraemer | first3=Kathleen E. | title=Our Sun. III. Present and Future | journal=[[The Astrophysical Journal]] | volume=418 | pages=457–468 | doi=10.1086/173407 | date=1993 | bibcode=1993ApJ...418..457S }}</ref>

<ref name=aree25_245>{{인용| first=David W. | last=Keith | title=Geoengineering the Environment: History and Prospect | journal=Annual Review of Energy and the Environment | volume=25 | pages=245–284 |date=November 2000 | doi=10.1146/annurev.energy.25.1.245 }}</ref>

<ref name=Mooney>{{인용| last1=Vitousek | first1=Peter M.; Mooney, Harold A.; Lubchenco, Jane; Melillo, Jerry M. | title=Human Domination of Earth's Ecosystems | journal=Science | date=July 25, 1997 | volume=277 | issue=5325 | pages=494–499 | doi=10.1126/science.277.5325.494 }}</ref>

<ref name=pnas104_31>{{인용| display-authors=1 | first1=Helmut | last1=Haberl | first2=K. Heinz | last2=Erb | first3=Fridolin | last3=Krausmann | first4=Veronika | last4=Gaube | first5=Alberte | last5=Bondeau | first6=Christoph | last6=Plutzar | first7=Simone | last7=Gingrich | first8=Wolfgang | last8=Lucht | first9=Marina | last9=Fischer-Kowalski | title=Quantifying and mapping the human appropriation of net primary production in earth's terrestrial ecosystems | journal=Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America | volume=104 | issue=31 | pages=12942–7 |date=July 2007 | pmid=17616580 | pmc=1911196 | doi=10.1073/pnas.0704243104 | bibcode=2007PNAS..10412942H }}</ref>

<ref name=pnas98_1>{{인용| last1=Myers | first1=N. | last2=Knoll | first2=A. H. | date=May 8, 2001 | title=The biotic crisis and the future of evolution | journal=Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America | volume=98 | issue=1 | pages=5389–92 | pmid=11344283 | doi= 10.1073/pnas.091092498| pmc=33223 | bibcode=2001PNAS...98.5389M }}</ref>

<ref name=bostrom2002>{{인용| first=Nick | last=Bostrom  | title=Existential Risks: Analyzing Human Extinction Scenarios and Related Hazards | journal=[[Journal of Evolution and Technology]] | volume=9 | issue=1 | date=2002 | url=http://www.nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.html | accessdate=2011-08-09 }}</ref>

<ref name=geo2_3_113>{{인용| first=Steven Ian | last=Dutch | title=The Earth Has a Future | pages=113–124 | journal=Geosphere | volume=2 | issue=3 | date=2006 | url= http://geosphere.geoscienceworld.org/content/2/3/113.full.pdf+html | doi=10.1130/GES00012.1 }}</ref>

}} <!-- End: refs= -->

===서지학===
{{참고 자료 시작|colwidth=30em}}
*{{인용| last1=Adams | first1=Fred C. | date=2008 | editor1-first=Nick | editor1-last=Bostrom | editor2-first=Milan M. | editor2-last=Ćirković | title=Global catastrophic risks | contribution=Long term astrophysical processes | publisher=Oxford University Press | isbn=0-19-857050-3 | url=https://books.google.com/books?id=-Jxc88RuJhgC&pg=PA33 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Brownlee | first1=Donald E. | date=2010 | chapter=Planetary habitability on astronomical time scales | title=Heliophysics: Evolving Solar Activity and the Climates of Space and Earth | editor1-first=Carolus J. | editor1-last=Schrijver | editor2-first=George L. | editor2-last=Siscoe | chapterurl=https://books.google.com/books?id=M8NwTYEl0ngC&pg=PA79 | publisher=Cambridge University Press | isbn=0-521-11294-X | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Calkin | first1=P. E. | last2=Young | first2=G. M. | chapter=Global glaciation chronologies and causes of glaciation | title=Past glacial environments: sediments, forms, and techniques | series=Glacial environments | volume=2 | editor1-last=Menzies | editor1-first=John | isbn=0-7506-2352-7 | publisher=Butterworth-Heinemann | date=1996 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Cowie | first1=Jonathan | date=2007 | title=Climate change: biological and human aspects | publisher=Cambridge University Press | isbn=0-521-69619-4 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Fishbaugh | first1=Kathryn E. | first2=David J. | last2=Des Marais | first3=Oleg | last3=Korablev | first4=François | last4=Raulin | first5=Phillipe | last5=Lognonné | title=Geology and habitability of terrestrial planets | volume=24 | series=Space Sciences Series of Issi | publisher=Springer | date=2007 | isbn=0-387-74287-5 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| first1=Guillermo | last1=Gonzalez | date=2004 | first2=Jay Wesley | last2=Richards | title=The privileged planet: how our place in the cosmos is designed for discovery | publisher=Regnery Publishing | isbn=0-89526-065-4 | url=https://books.google.com/books?id=KFdu4CyQ1k0C&pg=PA48 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Hanslmeier | first1=Arnold | date=2009 | title=Habitability and cosmic catastrophes | work=Advances in Astrobiology and Biogeophysics | publisher=Springer | isbn=3-540-76944-7 | url=https://books.google.com/books?id=PRqVqQKao9QC | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용 | last1=Hoffman | first1=Paul F. | date=1992 | chapter=Supercontinents | title=Encyclopedia of Earth System Sciences | publisher=Academic press, Inc | chapterurl=http://www.eps.harvard.edu/people/faculty/hoffman/pdfs/supercontinents.pdf | postscript=. | ref=harv | access-date=2017-01-07 | archive-date=2008-08-28 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080828212020/http://www.eps.harvard.edu/people/faculty/hoffman/pdfs/supercontinents.pdf }}
*{{인용| last1=Lunine | first1=Jonathan Irving | last2=Lunine | first2=Cynthia J. | title=Earth: evolution of a habitable world | date=1999 | publisher=Cambridge University Press | isbn=0-521-64423-2 | url=https://books.google.com/books?id=sZgB52BCa0UC&pg=PA244 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| first=Arthur Jack | last=Meadows | date=2007 | title=The future of the universe | publisher=Springer | isbn=1-85233-946-2 | url=https://books.google.com/books?id=KTa-jBOBS5UC&pg=PA34 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Nield | first1=Ted | date=2007 | title=Supercontinent: ten billion dates in the life of our planet | publisher=Harvard University Press | isbn=0-674-02659-4 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Myers | first1=Norman | date=2000 | editors=Peter H. Raven and Tania Williams | contribution=The Meaning of Biodiversity Loss | pages=63–70 | title=Nature and human society: the quest for a sustainable world : proceedings of the 1997 Forum on Biodiversity | isbn=0-309-06555-0 | publisher=National Academies |ref=harv | postscript=. }}
*{{인용| last1=Palmer | first1=Douglas | date=2003 | title=Prehistoric past revealed: the four billion date history of life on Earth | publisher=University of California Press | isbn=0-520-24105-3 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Reaka-Kudla | first1=Marjorie L. | last2=Wilson | first2=Don E. | last3=Wilson | first3=Edward O. | title=Biodiversity 2 | edition=2nd | publisher=Joseph Henry Press | date=1997 | isbn=0-309-05584-9 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Roberts | first1=Neil | date=1998 | title=The Holocene: an environmental history | edition=2nd | publisher=Wiley-Blackwell | isbn=0-631-18638-7 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Stevenson | first1=D. J. | date=2002 | contribution=Introduction to planetary interiors | publisher=[[IOS Press]] | editor1-first=Russell Julian | editor1-last=Hemley | editor2-first=G. | editor2-last=Chiarotti | editor3-first=M. | editor3-last=Bernasconi | editor4-first=L. | editor4-last=Ulivi  | title=Fenomeni ad alte pressioni | isbn=1-58603-269-0 | url=https://books.google.com/books?id=IsKCaK9W0EwC&pg=PA605 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last=Tayler | first=Roger John | date=1993 | title=Galaxies, structure and evolution | edition=2nd | publisher=Cambridge University Press | isbn=0-521-36710-7 | url=https://books.google.com/books?id=mxb1IxSyu7wC&pg=PA92 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Thompson | first1=Russell D. | last2=Perry | first2=Allen Howard | title=Applied Climatology: Principles and Practice | pages=127–128 | publisher=Routledge | date=1997 | isbn=0-415-14100-1 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=van der Maarel | first1=E. | date=2005 | title=Vegetation ecology | publisher=Wiley-Blackwell | isbn=0-632-05761-0 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Ward | first1=Peter Douglas | date=2006 | title=Out of thin air: dinosaurs, birds, and Earth's ancient atmosphere | publisher=National Academies Press | isbn=0-309-10061-5 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
*{{인용| last1=Ward | first1=Peter Douglas | last2=Brownlee | first2=Donald | title=The life and death of planet Earth: how the new science of astrobiology charts the ultimate fate of our world | date=2003 | publisher=Macmillan | isbn=0-8050-7512-7 | postscript=. | ref=harv }}
{{참고 자료 끝}}

==참고 도서==
* {{인용| last1=Scotese | first1=Christopher R. | title=PALEOMAP Project | url=http://www.scotese.com/ | accessdate=2009-08-28 | postscript=. }}
* {{인용| last1=Tonn | first1=B. E. |date=March 2002 | title=Distant futures and the environment | journal=Futures | volume=34 | issue=2 | pages=117&ndash;132 | doi=10.1016/S0016-3287(01)00050-7 | postscript=. }}

{{지구}}
{{물질적 지구}}
{{세계 변동 위험}}{{자연}}

[[분류:지구]]
[[분류:판 구조론]]
[[분류:미래학]]
[[분류:종말론]]
[[분류:지구의 지질학적 역사]]