The Sun.
London, England, 1868-09-01 00:00:00

Grant.

Alabama 8
Florida ... 3
Georgia ... ... 9
Illinois ... 16
Indiana ... 13
lowa ... 8
Kansas ... 3
Louisiana
Maine ... ... 7
Massachusetts ... 12
Michigan 8
Minnesota ... 4
Nebraska 3
New Hampshire 5
North Carolina... ...
Rhode Island ... 4
South Carolina... 6
Tennessee ... ... 10
Vermont
West Virginia 5

I believe that Georgia, Alabama, Louisiana, and North
Carolina will vote for Seymour, but their Legislatures
may take the election from the people, and fraudulently
cast the electoral votes for Grant.

Comparing these estimates, the whole question
turns upon the forty-seven votes of Pennsylvania
and Ohio, nearly a sixth of the total in the Elec-
toral College. Pennsylvania is the puzzle ; both
parties think they can carry it, but the democrats
with the more confidence. Ever since Ohio gave
so smashing a vote against negro suffrage, the De-
mocrats have counted it as one of their States. They
are pretty certain of New York, with its 33 votes, and
could they but carry Ohio and the Keystone State,
they would have in these little short of a third of the
Electoral College. The Republicans count Ohio as
theirs, but so do the Democrats, though with less
confidence. Indeed, although as yet we have not
reached the place in Granny's class which would
entitle us to prophesy, we may safely predict that
the main battle will be in Pennsylvania and Ohio.
The Standard states that the tide has fairly set in
against the Republican party, and that their jour-
nals, formerly so confident, have lately changed
their tune. While we acknowledge that the De-
mocratic ticket appears to be steadily rising in
favour, we are not a little amused at the
reasons given for Democratic confidence by
the correspondent of our Tory contemporary.
First, then, he says, because FRANK BLAIR declares
Democratic success is " ordained of lIEAvEN."
This ought to settle the question. FRANK BLAIR,
his allies, and his enemies, might knock off work ;
but, strange inconsistency ! he is themost energetic
of the four. Perhaps the General only accepts
llEAvENasan ally; or, he may hold with FREDERICK
the GREAT that PROVIDENCE is on the side of big
battalions, which he is doing his best to marshal ; or
very likely he thinks thatHEAVEN helps those who help
themselves. The correspondent's second reason is
the above-mentioned altered tune of the Republican
journals, whose refrain is now changed from
" must" and " will," to " if " and " hilt;"---and his
third reason is the apathy in the Republican rank
and file, which is happily coupled with his fourth
reason, the unexampled enthusiasm of the Demo-
cratic masses. The Republicans have chosen a silent
chief, and it would be inconsistent if they thus
early commenced howling ; and though the corre-
spondent attaches value to a noise; we believe peo-
ple very often scream themselves hoarse before the
conquering hero arrives. There is time enough
for the shouting, and soon enough there will
be a change in this deceptive apathy of the Re-
publican party. The " Singing Soldiers" have
not as yet come on the stage, and their advent will
be the signal for those who do the shouting to begin.
It is very difficult to feel the American pulse. There
are many quacks ready enough with unfee'd opinions
about Uncle SAm, but there are few indeed who can
do more than hazard conjectures. The farmer class
throughout the Union, in whose hands the decision
really is, are not given to the noisy demonstrations
of a New York Irish mob. PAT'S voice is loud
enough, and his brogue sufficiently distinct to
tell who the crowd are and which way
they go. But such gatherings are more noisy
than effective, and we believe the mass of Americans
know who they intend to vote for, and will vote as
they intended, the Singing Republican Soldiers and
the Shouting Democrats notwithstanding. Light
will, however, immediately begin to illuminate the
subject ; dim and distant rays at first, but rapidly
becoming stronger. Tennessee has just voted,
Vermont is to vote next Tuesday, California next
Wednesday week, and Maine ou the 14th Septem-
ber. During October, Nebraska, Ohio, Indiana,
Pennsylvania, lowa, and West Virginia will vote, and
on the 3d November New York, New Jersey, Dela-
ware, Maryland, Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin , Min -
neso ta, Missouri, Kausas,Nevada, and Massachusetts.
Thus in nine weeks there will be 23 elections, be-
sides the Presidential. Although we have little
faith in indications, we are fully alive to the nn-
portance of the New York Herald's change of
front; for, if anything in the States has a faculty
of getting into and swimming away in the midst of
popular currents, it is that newspaper, which the cor-
respondent gives as his eighth reason. But this he
contrasts with another, which he considers equally
important, the decision of ANDREW JOHNSON to sus-
tain SEYMOUR and BLAIR. We know what a happy
knack the PRESIDENT has of sustaining his friends, and
it is probable that on reaching this determination
he wrote the Message proposing a Constitutional
Amendment, when he illustrated his argument by a
hard bit at SEYMOUR'S government of New York.
It is altogether too early for those without Granny's
gifts to predict, and we believe, as we before. stated,
that the battle will be narrowed to the Key-Stone
State, the indications being that the Republicans
may win in spite of Pennsylvania, but not the
Democrats. We allow the force of what oar re-
spected contemporary says—for we do respect the
,Standard, and like it, notwithstanding its high Tory
principles and our own " chaff "—that the state of
affairs is too unsettled for any decided conclusion,
but the Democrats have lately made most running.
—Anylo-A»zerican Times.

Cob Berdan, of sharpshooter fame, has been bre-
veted a major-general of volunteers rather late in tho
day, one would suppose—for gallant and distinguished
conduct at Chancellorsville and Gettysburg. He was
strongly reeommoded for this honour by Gone. Hooker
sad §icklos,