Claim: The Long Bet Project of the Long Now Foundation, an American public non-profit organization based in San Francisco, was analyzed by researcher Gwern Branwen who said the project should continue indefinitely.
Evidence: An analysis by researcher Gwern Branwen found dozens of bets that had already expired but had not resolved, and many others with poorly defined resolution criteria. Branwen also found that the vast majority of the expired predictions resolved false, so that anyone could make a profit by betting indiscriminately against existing predictions. In light of these and other issues, and the website's extremely low activity levels (with an average of less than two bets per year), Branwen concluded that the Long Bet Project should be shut down.