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66
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118
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stringlengths 159
1.79k
| end_date_iso
stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
⌀ | active
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classes | closed
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classes | market_slug
stringlengths 12
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⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xf49ca19a0b5bc1bad056e0b7db335171f4c43509a23459c881dabbd92c661602
|
0x66d07cdaaa94d4a2e75d21caa49fb0ab1d74420999602c2e527ec5778ef003f6
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on January 30?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 30, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-42-43f-on-january-30
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc78e6a2f6614129226d8f5af947c2db1cb653a41ba7a420b64b04b45673fe600
|
0xd9e60bcddc81c7efd78e2b3ad1f536e7e0d3e2856f447d8aa469b17f1e351e64
|
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
|
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-february-28
|
[
"Business",
"market cap",
"AI",
"Economy",
"stock",
"DeepSeek",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc11e991e8f0a5806c35cb580112259c9fb7adb9f5db728996bec41fcce438460
|
0xf9492b26f8867eeea5a9aceb1609cd63333b47dbc225fddf072aa6855a2b4cab
|
Timberwolves vs. Suns
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 29 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to “Timberwolves”.
If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to “Suns”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-min-phx-2025-01-29
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb07
|
0x6939d624b61fc7a9fcba0c90059ec0e2984a37428b25ca9e4917deb14810298e
|
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl LIX by 1-3 points?
|
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed”
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-chiefs-win-super-bowl-lix-by-1-3-points
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xca6e98eb7e637250c12ef73abc88718a9372fca1fe5fcf91d44fbdd2a285918c
|
0x7dbb8b4975ce941270a05273dfcfe346fa02b4f0c64c5127ce0af0c8aa8fcb8f
|
Clippers vs. Spurs
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 29 at 8:00PM ET:
If the LA Clippers win, the market will resolve to “Clippers”.
If the San Antonio Spurs win, the market will resolve to “Spurs”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-lac-sas-2025-01-29
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x60fee3ae029a76e3ebabd7eb0976020b633a4f402ccb43fb9fafced6e92d4021
|
0xe9e9a29d660401bb3ee7971b928c60f8f0b78edf4c37c60143968aa632310fb3
|
Will Sporting CP advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-sporting-cp-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x09debf17430672914cbe2d84039f064eaf9a3f9df3ab342d913fea0dbcafd706
|
0x5f73fc9c756b2ffd1591876d49c263ea9c60eafd9640054272178b125d8f598b
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 54°F or higher on January 28?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 28, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-54f-or-higher-on-january-28
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1ce2ef81743678592f0a8ecb0222f64874c8523cc8236b3149f0750a304bb3d8
|
0xb29fb319cd7f3436ff5e784650581e8f250ce23d219aa5dbf80fd3d33cfbb638
|
Suns vs. Warriors
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 31 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to “Suns”.
If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to “Warriors”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-phx-gsw-2025-01-31
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xe4cfb9045cc9d31f5ec43f219e57a9b8d90e0e763bfdd2cdee5e9d37786387c7
|
0x4dfa4a86e9b87a5dd7899aa0b24ec784b93a8c011ac95cef71b50c41254ad80e
|
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.
Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-coinbase-run-an-ad-during-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Commericals",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9c95a86bf2be4a663a959e6964941551fc8672e30da0ac0ff1ce9c1380dd9302
|
0xe1e2e891b81fdb4cabe3afcd4363c056bd0c0c9c067f1ff8cb4767e1f24583ac
|
Will the match between Ajax and Galatasaray end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Ajax and Galatasaray scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-ajax-and-galatasaray-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Galatasaray",
"Ajax"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2ded5401de1f9586caa14919b4b6b8f90005366a2cae3a917184a7b3ee6e0602
|
0x4e7f7a5a65236699bda705189b4c536670d6a14821a546477b9e8b08a5a25e3d
|
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during January press conference?
|
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Artificial Intelligence (e.g. "OpenAI" would count).
If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-powell-say-ai-or-artificial-intelligence-during-january-press-conference
|
[
"Politics",
"Business",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Mentions",
"jpow",
"Jerome Powell"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x34c4ed4ce17042d34747c90c09de9157ee429022426cd2df43775d1bfc8747e7
|
0x8b4ac5a1f20bbd0d2ba72073a1d5e835ad01ed02868ae75399ed8dccdf70ab4d
|
Celtics vs. 76ers
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 2 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Boston Celtics win, the market will resolve to “Celtics”.
If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to “76ers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-bos-phi-2025-02-02
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x1ef5f3413bece50ade3434eaaf09315fc652b46b4443ab2d8804ca3504999f02
|
0x3fdf885d8c0a7d7e4c39e3578fb7c7221f160aec35cbaf81d5aff4f3d037134a
|
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?
|
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-apple-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-february-7
|
[
"Business",
"market cap",
"AI",
"Economy",
"stock",
"DeepSeek",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x91f5ae4260c301f1b1007e9fabab05bd7534ca9a43d08b2959547be7088b971a
|
0x360b26b426bfac279461e65af58551425eb32b984a121dc1f6826ec23e02d8f5
|
Predators vs. Sabres
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 31 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Nashville Predators win, the market will resolve to “Predators”.
If the Buffalo Sabres win, the market will resolve to “Sabres”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-nsh-buf-2025-01-31
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad60f
|
0xcf93cd8279503d3fcd3a139b8e4d2dd5e6a119be8e4f76bf1638963d7c353a17
|
Will JuJu Smith-Schuster score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-juju-smith-schuster-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe4fc2750b5c5b4fcd2a9ca6e93c03f9fc69c0c21eacffbdd53db7844e13feee
|
0xce181990cdcec7bb6f5ac849064161fa0a250ac69be1729c67d77eba796aa20f
|
Nets vs. Hornets
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 29 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Brooklyn Nets win, the market will resolve to “Nets”.
If the Charlotte Hornets win, the market will resolve to “Hornets”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-bkn-cha-2025-01-29
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x5151e6ddf2dfaa5e727f62e5653959ce3042a6e1d0418a3007f2fa23b72e2956
|
0xf704cb3b56c8f75260044018aab29495270413e48e316fe31ac5b74d2b112468
|
Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.
Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-progressive-run-an-ad-during-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Commericals",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x09debf17430672914cbe2d84039f064eaf9a3f9df3ab342d913fea0dbcafd704
|
0x03bc957561b37f4be07eb393314ca8369f2895efef06d6ac1dc623a6ad939c72
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on January 28?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 28, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-50-51f-on-january-28
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xa16c9db75b1783938101d1e14b8377f97974965c5d5b3768b35f98645834dd01
|
0xcb11d4a14ca69c63d47586c1536d2fbe28e18afc6b3e233993df144ea7749e80
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 35-36°F on January 28?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 28, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-35-36f-on-january-28
|
[
"Weather",
"New York"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad60d
|
0xf232bc36430a3232d0af1f4b281c0e982836b803988747c1eba7355c88ba0c27
|
Will PHI Eagles D/ST score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-phi-eagles-dst-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xadecb6935b8a1a825e4cf4ee1e2c279bcbfd88ec15427f3a9c91bdbadc99b5fe
|
0x83665b516511ec8807bb023ed03ef15482bc90c0640ae835ec6193571231d06e
|
Will Logan and Jake Paul fight before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul and Logan Paul fight each other in a publicly scheduled bout by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be video footage of the fight, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-logan-and-jake-paul-fight-before-april
|
[
"Sports",
"Culture",
"Boxing"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8fa7ecc3aa3dd108e5a4031722ed72175513aef2be0e6f64667946cdaedcee6d
|
0x15e65f6a16dc72ce4a12ff6aa1d138a525b60da6b667da1dfbdc775d8917a499
|
Will Trump impose tariffs on China in the first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on the listed country by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-china-in-the-first-100-days
|
[
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Tariffs",
"Trade War",
"First 100 days",
"Liberation Day Tariffs"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xdf69691b921c121215c0523d110ddbd74d316a63fd23ee99e24a9a6936be89cc
|
0xa45541252ccc55196d6cefbb5d746be1e8f520007d26b83d45f2d93f489a9b0a
|
Will Trump impose tariffs on any country before March?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on any country by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-any-country-before-march
|
[
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x4568461e9cade2cc211e0447f151256b15778e2d4167043bb0e965a1133cae01
|
0xed04af3b15798ae17157811e2db49721d37e5d78f28858e03a4eae30a542cb87
|
Will Lazio beat Braga?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Braga and Lazio scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Lazio wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-lazio-beat-braga
|
[
"Sports",
"lazio",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Braga"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb04
|
0xbc4cf146fda1645086b93a7dcf0728c567eef3d17da3a627fcde44e1305e1b5c
|
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl LIX by 10-12 points?
|
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed”
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-chiefs-win-super-bowl-lix-by-10-12-points
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc567ed7967267e3f2cad5bca670e589c9645bfa2f55636ce7bdbcd77c5f71098
|
0x4576fef036fe13d925d81380a8d3995669b30d6735fe6c3a7b46d80bbe8e815a
|
Lakers vs. Wizards
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 30 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Los Angeles Lakers win, the market will resolve to “Lakers”.
If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to “Wizards”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-lal-was-2025-01-30
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x034effc4269bb76f02ca96f713d9611ae80a34ea60b3929240afe586b9872967
|
0xc3b3a2807f69ee9de69984efa57308f938735584dd842268f4629c2132ce665e
|
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model by DeepSeek has a higher arena score than all OpenAI models on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by May 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the arena score must be higher - if it ties with the best OpenAI arena score it will not count.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
|
2025-05-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
deepseek-better-than-all-openai-models-before-june
|
[
"China",
"AI",
"Tech"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x23b8107c08b2d013be0c66b8927adedc3855892ed478b3cc82707d6884c56701
|
0x42e33d839fba20676e3f10fc9555ba2c7db1afd96a9ad52e17445600e1ada535
|
Canucks vs. Stars
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 31 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Vancouver Canucks win, the market will resolve to “Canucks”.
If the Dallas Stars win, the market will resolve to “Stars”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-van-dal-2025-01-31
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xf79053ad38c44f2215432f855449e700f954b85e53d26032cf12146f1a826804
|
0x07255ba38f01271699f5f00de6dd27f4eb04024cda2d3440cd57a967032df0d2
|
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be greater than 80?
|
This market will resolve according to the Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer “All Critics” Tomatometer score for "Captain America: Brave New World" as of Feb 17, 2025 at 10:00AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.
|
2025-02-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-captain-america-brave-new-world-rotten-tomatoes-score-be-greater-than-80
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad614
|
0x86eb8304342807099791ce359f6bb91c1414ed410ea8441c8bfe99fc23c0a1dd
|
Will Jahan Dotson score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-jahan-dotson-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x471c5a952d40fc6033b3b73cfb9a2d9b6c599f7c63731b0bf8ad78b1e53b7c40
|
0x969a5b4b7af623ce898a89e5ec2193834fdc5192a63f1759ab204089d2bd2ff5
|
Grizzlies vs. Knicks
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 27 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to “Grizzlies”.
If the New York Knicks win, the market will resolve to “Knicks”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-mem-nyk-2025-01-27
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x9b5913e1e8524a402bfa87402750fbc092df1dc73f285103ccdbcee4f2aeae1c
|
0x8185077647190a6fc453f5216ef30e21d0410c1f2dd324b88e85ee0a9a3fe77d
|
Will VfB Stuttgart advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-vfb-stuttgart-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb0e
|
0x4aada14f602de551f597754771533856529302960b981d210d0a08e8409cae03
|
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl LIX by 19-21 points?
|
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed”
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-eagles-win-super-bowl-lix-by-19-21-points
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4568461e9cade2cc211e0447f151256b15778e2d4167043bb0e965a1133cae02
|
0x9f5ef8138f7e695658b66f212d34a3b7a7507eff0736e5c0d087e57244be8c84
|
Will the match between Braga and Lazio end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Braga and Lazio scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-braga-and-lazio-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"lazio",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Braga"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdbfa9def23c84a56f82ac0d801f5de3c156bb16319a10d98d26348c7b27acd51
|
0xd6c4916c8e1640b0ad349a48ace505da2dbd6185e7ddaea58b57b35ac2555dba
|
Islanders vs. Panthers
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 2 at 6:00PM ET:
If the New York Islanders win, the market will resolve to “Islanders”.
If the Florida Panthers win, the market will resolve to “Panthers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-nyi-fla-2025-02-02
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x671ee8f4711d3d4d90354eaf4ba91a75a5203d9d680a1b786052055e7fe22900
|
0x59b432224e9442e83991166317e13155a7a806c326720a71e4a75caeade0c902
|
Will Real Sociedad beat PAOK?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Real Sociedad and PAOK scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Real Sociedad wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-real-sociedad-beat-paok
|
[
"Sports",
"real sociedad",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"PAOK"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3f5afe49c8396170f0c14699dde65e9cf2cd11ef36224bcd00720122d0c021b1
|
0x2914fdd6e90e21200a6027914d8f7e3b75bbb51293b16da9887d41584f141363
|
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If a Chinese AI model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
|
2025-04-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-a-chinese-model-become-1-before-april
|
[
"Business",
"AI",
"Tech",
"Geopolitics",
"DeepSeek"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x32ed399fb4af3d05a92ff810a9f177cf8a113f31b6738dba5a57fe2f705e39b2
|
0x130978c53904b43c7f49afb24f252619d1a5a0098a48aab91d36ed18d67c83f2
|
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by Monday?
|
On January 27, MicroStrategy announced that, during the period between January 21, 2025 and January 26, 2025, the Company acquired approximately 10,107 bitcoins (see: https://assets.contentstack.io/v3/assets/bltb564490bc5201f31/blt20c45041f41de66b/679770467bb3224979f6d936/form-8-k_01-27-2025.pdf).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces that they have acquired additional Bitcoin by February 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor.
|
2025-02-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-microstrategy-purchase-more-bitcoin-by-monday
|
[
"Bitcoin",
"MSTR",
"Michael Saylor",
"MicroStrategy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x7b12c48f05c0dbf7f54bb3bf5f6df8e94fb25b0faf92aa221c77c0497894890b
|
0xdd78a5f8cb1926dfb49d6c35820bd9ddfbbdd874467abe7ebc78cee0c619498e
|
Rockets vs. Celtics
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 27 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Houston Rockets win, the market will resolve to “Rockets”.
If the Boston Celtics win, the market will resolve to “Celtics”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-hou-bos-2025-01-27
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc78e6a2f6614129226d8f5af947c2db1cb653a41ba7a420b64b04b45673fe604
|
0x82c470c38881e81a84ba2126d3f632fb6192cc6e2c69f683f4c82a3f68d99614
|
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
|
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-company-a-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-february-28
|
[
"Business",
"market cap",
"AI",
"Economy",
"stock",
"DeepSeek",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x00df5b0ee39baea96298a3fb921ad4ad7a4bbe451336210768639d5fa105c201
|
0xaac333a8bba3349f370b63308aafccab6e66e288cb98660c995810f9b5429a5a
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 37-38°F on January 26?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 26, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-37-38f-on-january-26
|
[
"Weather",
"New York"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf7cf5f88524218ab992fe8d91d52196d8248fd3cc25a7a3df2e8cdf1523deb07
|
0x1abab48ecc675ee3014984d43abd861a15aa539729ac2cde4feee3e733cfe7ef
|
Will Elon tweet 250 or more times Jan 24-31?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-250-or-more-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x1e0cf80b956d744dc5bbb6e00179a30b39635ae1eb3f17565b87c5a04221d952
|
0x6656172152f6294c9f0c69ab405a6ebbd4ff62b3aa53322fa74a1597a925040f
|
Mavericks vs. Pelicans
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 29 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to “Mavericks”.
If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to “Pelicans”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-dal-nop-2025-01-29
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x2d660a13cf7c8ef49264ec8e27aff93dc90c2fcf6430ddd7e8ae60bbbbc416cf
|
0x5d32aae82079d69a8b8a2bb363f0f9130593ecbb1dcce79f5bf49cd3f8640e2a
|
Bulls vs. Celtics
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 29 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to “Bulls”.
If the Boston Celtics win, the market will resolve to “Celtics”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-chi-bos-2025-01-29
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x4568461e9cade2cc211e0447f151256b15778e2d4167043bb0e965a1133cae00
|
0x7e1f9a4b8576c569f4d2c1889f2c53800f2098a19dc46f8ea16b20b7362233df
|
Will Braga beat Lazio?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Braga and Lazio scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Braga wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-braga-beat-lazio
|
[
"Sports",
"lazio",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Braga"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xb2539cdbc1b8687a0f452d4c7618f84b3e5ba33c965b3ba5690b9123b15ed324
|
0x0d2b2dbef0efeeb942f4de41dabe268552a07426b8fc19a8b85d602f6af5653d
|
Super Bowl LIX Winner
|
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for February 9 at 6:30PM ET:
If the Kansas City Chiefs win, the market will resolve to “Chiefs”.
If the Philadelphia Eagles win, the market will resolve to “Eagles”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-16T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nfl-kc-phi-2025-02-09
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games",
"Superbowl",
"Super Bowl LIX"
] | false
| null | null |
0xf71019dd3fb922da6cfdedf8b1c26b7fdc89b30b129ec7d03f7ca769aedb197e
|
0xb1b75fed74d9cb374a7aafe5241822aafd3ffa093361c0288069660cd0d98d14
|
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?
|
This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 28, 2025 will count for this market.
|
2025-01-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-issue-an-executive-order-on-day-9
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xe17deba14f80a138885405ace5531223e0766ef91ccb7439a3503a67f1201a07
|
0x3aeb2e9ec69a0d5638e91175027a462b48623aca0c31cde6f696ba1a1043263a
|
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
|
The next German federal election is scheduled to take place on February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next German federal election.
If the next German Coalition after the election is not announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
If a party does not meet fraktion threshold (5% of seats) it will not be counted as part of the coalition. For example, if CDU/CSU, SPD, & BSW form a coalition, but BSW is not a fraktion, the market would resolve to “CDU/CSU & SPD”.
Any party which signs a coalition agreement which leads to the appointment of a Chancellor will be considered part of the coalition.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
|
2025-02-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-cducsu-spd-and-bsw-form-the-next-german-government
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"German Election"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb00
|
0x7aa1b3f5794483c7aac51f1d2dddf8f879b1740d08aabc99b9fec264676444fa
|
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl LIX by 22 or more points?
|
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed”
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-chiefs-win-super-bowl-lix-by-22-or-more-points
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1e01f7c4788c1c057f30dcec969f8d4b429e9d614d82dc929f6757ea996a331b
|
0xf020738dba678bedae04e8dec109bbaf1a48528af4833736b2f67c3586bf0b58
|
Will Trump impose tariffs on Colombia in the first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on the listed country by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-colombia-in-the-first-100-days
|
[
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Tariffs",
"Trade War",
"First 100 days",
"Liberation Day Tariffs"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x09debf17430672914cbe2d84039f064eaf9a3f9df3ab342d913fea0dbcafd703
|
0x550c701fbd6e7e8b81ac822118eac125b95d6a44500e7e2ce967ce76d6861259
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on January 28?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 28, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-48-49f-on-january-28
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3b6703d6adc88a490d743fcdc5c4ba057f23168857ab2ca93cd9be48f4afbb02
|
0x285e02d87d6d484fba3151f040349c962f00d7076c810bc7431b948a363f075f
|
Will the match between Olympiacos and FK Qarabag end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Olympiacos and FK Qarabag scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-olympiacos-and-fk-qarabag-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Olympiacos",
"FK Qarabag"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5b0bb83009774f4c878ac4a3beb725706e7ebe0d5126b75c41bd0ae832eddf6d
|
0x7b1e4e52fd0d34385c809c3a24c31753972d2acafc00c10d61ad0470eb36f64e
|
Bucks vs. Jazz
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 27 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks”.
If the Utah Jazz win, the market will resolve to “Jazz”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-mil-uta-2025-01-27
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xf7cf5f88524218ab992fe8d91d52196d8248fd3cc25a7a3df2e8cdf1523deb03
|
0x00bed1e828b5a916db1be4e9549aa0331c1c8983c8c56b3c8bb863bd5c8dbc12
|
Will Elon tweet 150-174 times Jan 24-31?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-150-174-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4af93c8e3e1670ff91f7014623100bc505d7ae16613768724b7b9c6e649c4c4b
|
0xb66734389f1128575f3d55aa19f74b6d8e01065ee27cd40ebd7451c07d711384
|
Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.
Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ripple-run-an-ad-during-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Commericals",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x72022e3123ad232a4a8f5f2be05918283a96eeec3fffbd6704ac1a3699fe1402
|
0xa87398935179d2700d93e2b8cad1e1dbfd58f6bb2f4f73e58fd2223a18975cc8
|
Will the match between Ferencvaros and AZ Alkmaar end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Ferencvaros and AZ Alkmaar scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-ferencvaros-and-az-alkmaar-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Ferencvaros",
"AZ Alkmaar"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf7cf5f88524218ab992fe8d91d52196d8248fd3cc25a7a3df2e8cdf1523deb02
|
0xcf6f91040601326f1e241ecf7072fb0fc962934c84c07fd94cefb518f9e4a5e3
|
Will Elon tweet 125-149 times Jan 24-31?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-125-149-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x122bd865b0092faccb387e3eb867215a8b30ca67803cf8ab1f2c614d3460bef9
|
0xf66aadb7b4ad3fdd3ef4cad304be439a6f9bf375726eaede5b4e99387db27af8
|
Will Lille advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-lille-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x772dcb877c318e2e487207d556c6152cc1c8fd03d8792063eae86c7a977c5300
|
0x686eeea3419e779996825ff57c33831022a0447910488a0f8e8f2b3ed6eff6be
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 33°F or below on January 30?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 30, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-33f-or-below-on-january-30
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcec55c7cd29270f2b88f148ec151b2599d268b422fd681bec1247f1cef6a5118
|
0x4f5e800d03dfb2785c32d7b2ba5c5f76dddc2916d98dce3c4e2079ec45bf59ce
|
Thunder vs. Warriors
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 29 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to “Thunder”.
If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to “Warriors”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-okc-gsw-2025-01-29
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xec26d3507db34c26be15205cf25c7ffd1d4fb0b890b8383b937f78a303264f02
|
0x0ab4f406709746e60eb39576d80fd4e72850f6bbc214950901b0c735e5f96777
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on January 29?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 29, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-44-45f-on-january-29
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x72022e3123ad232a4a8f5f2be05918283a96eeec3fffbd6704ac1a3699fe1401
|
0xf80372c49f1f9afe28df3dd4d4e24279d5994e3e58d3dbbc83f549de87f02095
|
Will AZ Alkmaar beat Ferencvaros?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Ferencvaros and AZ Alkmaar scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If AZ Alkmaar wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-az-alkmaar-beat-ferencvaros
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Ferencvaros",
"AZ Alkmaar"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdf807464e9a99f260650e1c4dc38ce0bfe7e242ae1fb21b986fa70afa674d925
|
0x8ab8a967bbf05af0dbc9fe6bb4698c876b5ac43969662f3411faa3cc6bd851ae
|
Jets vs. Capitals
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 1 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Winnipeg Jets win, the market will resolve to “Jets”.
If the Washington Capitals win, the market will resolve to “Capitals”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-wpg-wsh-2025-02-01
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xe38dda65cae01639bf898f43c3626d6b18eeb542a73ae3caa8ce14a89f752500
|
0x03abe4c51b65b1f53a0543eb6e8ae9691966ac82faf964708b2f7e156170be11
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 41°F or below on January 29?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 29, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-41f-or-below-on-january-29
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x09debf17430672914cbe2d84039f064eaf9a3f9df3ab342d913fea0dbcafd701
|
0x7ca8538f341653d9c441a305d67192e7b831b063b733127e1475dd9b1c3850b8
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on January 28?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 28, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-44-45f-on-january-28
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x10a89fdcba09554321d548255aac596d1f68eaaef22916fd7293973439f5fe52
|
0xcfd785ab373eede7c6122f259a395af3e51f49ac1d25953849554b511aeee104
|
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model by DeepSeek has a higher arena score than all OpenAI models on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by February 28, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the arena score must be higher - if it ties with the best OpenAI arena score it will not count.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
deepseek-better-than-all-openai-models-before-march
|
[
"Business",
"China",
"AI",
"OpenAI",
"Tech",
"DeepSeek"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6d6ac135d69315bdc76a03f323b18182be4325bc7a74e41ca0caf8f77c140668
|
0x5fc69c6fa99972be65bd88aac43c6c1cbf5ddd434d66b8ae92c63e3d05e68556
|
Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on the listed country by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-denmark-in-the-first-100-days
|
[
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Tariffs",
"Trade War",
"First 100 days",
"Liberation Day Tariffs"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2f37f90a6061604747a1db81a856dd239eea17d3ac0f9f36715d4a8582769500
|
0xbc90ffc8a3f9cc9616026d94706dab912ad6504f37a1e9b8f49ba1197f73d495
|
Will Nice beat Bodo Glimt?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Nice and Bodo Glimt scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Nice wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-nice-beat-bodo-glimt
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Bodo Glimt",
"Nice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf7cf5f88524218ab992fe8d91d52196d8248fd3cc25a7a3df2e8cdf1523deb05
|
0x948783ba97b920fec2f2100c1aefe011f70015e1617be05d3441e64b896155cb
|
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times Jan 24-31?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-200-224-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8b0e0c2d201eb93c61b2f58e0fdfaa1956a834c8f87499705605aeb344a20867
|
0x355b907f61b3da6c950b6d37cdabd5de65a72a5bad4445aa546c98637acd15fd
|
Will xAi/X run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.
Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-xaix-run-an-ad-during-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Commericals",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd09d834fe1521b025c8b6d9cbef1e8448bcd9594771e2b9c857e7ef334145ef0
|
0x6f753e8d84cfc2f7d71e042bbeb223d17b778bb183f6c6c2150f3fd7b8826825
|
Kings vs. Thunder
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 1 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Sacramento Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the Oklahoma City Thunder win, the market will resolve to “Thunder”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-sac-okc-2025-02-01
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xa16c9db75b1783938101d1e14b8377f97974965c5d5b3768b35f98645834dd00
|
0xa17e0a4832ae8e2583804e09d8ec1ae280ba2df6f35564158f87e0d03916db56
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 34°F or below on January 28?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 27, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-34f-or-below-on-january-28
|
[
"Weather",
"New York"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad600
|
0x10a39eda8f920760a4fea3c6e583154d7cde79191cd0b825c4521e859cecb797
|
Will Saquon Barkley score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-saquon-barkley-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xea16859ea236caf6795cc061579441cb8b522541f5cc17fd247c9359e19babaf
|
0xb6d97bf8e046413c7f52b80d6d6721d9c43aea2e68e3cd83d89968df96295bfe
|
Lakers vs. Hornets
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 27 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Los Angeles Lakers win, the market will resolve to “Lakers”.
If the Charlotte Hornets win, the market will resolve to “Hornets”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-lal-cha-2025-01-27
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad607
|
0x88ac60280e11e57da6887ad96d49656e74880637358b0bcf37aeb7a7adcf85ed
|
Will Marquise Brown score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-marquise-brown-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xac3568669fb95cb6e5e6d62e6024727f713bd6aeedddcf6782bb58acfdbe0eec
|
0x976dba40361ef7d0cd55d01d63d9f0cedf1f9229413a7bbc0be31ba637d791a8
|
Nuggets vs. 76ers
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 31 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to “Nuggets”.
If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to “76ers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-den-phi-2025-01-31
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x1eec413ac6a8a253586fbbe5e14de365a930cd2b2afa98b7a83b58c384edb95d
|
0x680aac046be68958b9a1b863beee83bc86754bd591dee5b7cd65aacdbd140888
|
Blues vs. Utah
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 2 at 7:00PM ET:
If the St. Louis Blues win, the market will resolve to “Blues”.
If the Utah win, the market will resolve to “Utah”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-stl-utah-2025-02-02
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad619
|
0xfa5f0d0c01fa1fb2606533fc9092bbd6a3bce7f18492456f5f44a6a34e52d5c2
|
Will Ainias Smith score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ainias-smith-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf9c9031b4c22013a960a16f612f80a38617b3824e89d5f452a911277fcf57e02
|
0x954782fbdb41c40400bf58e9963c0bb42535fdabd7c76c3e84e40ececd92c11f
|
Will the match between Athletic Bilbao and Viktoria Plzen end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Athletic Bilbao and Viktoria Plzen scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-athletic-bilbao-and-viktoria-plzen-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Viktoria Plzen",
"Athletic Bilbao"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad611
|
0xfe24f5be0623604efd3454d10f7707aa2f5849abd19b3418e84f5dc2542d0ed8
|
Will Kenneth Gainwell score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kenneth-gainwell-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x22fc40c88dd0f77d2fdbf9f0ada704563affdfbdb3285f2d11b4f5f622ed1e12
|
0x694c15a0ed56d5c865760b324f0a3d17f17092fcb56ac6668ca80e0b2bff22f8
|
Will Atalanta advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-atalanta-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf9c9031b4c22013a960a16f612f80a38617b3824e89d5f452a911277fcf57e00
|
0x1fe0cfce3cd4626d555645e98dd4f25d5631ea4f22b64ef281f6ea8250ae4b6a
|
Will Athletic Bilbao beat Viktoria Plzen?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Athletic Bilbao and Viktoria Plzen scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Athletic Bilbao wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-athletic-bilbao-beat-viktoria-plzen
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Viktoria Plzen",
"Athletic Bilbao"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x772dcb877c318e2e487207d556c6152cc1c8fd03d8792063eae86c7a977c5301
|
0x99659d3e3dfdba4c1ec74755cf48276e6cfc7fa77f4cf946633c59e14c28dcbb
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 34-35°F on January 30?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 30, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-34-35f-on-january-30
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf0b229b33873b73f48057af877b67f81d4141bf0e8aae4a2e8b9a9507c600700
|
0xc792eba9a4637241ba068b7528d3894e5d3bc53b5a52eaa44ec2b64b410f677f
|
Will ICE detain less than 350 people in the next update (Jan 27)?
|
On January 26, ICE posted the following update: https://x.com/ICEgov/status/1883680858453705153.
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's next daily update. If ICE doesn't release a daily update by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<350" bracket.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-less-than-350-people-in-the-next-update-jan-27
|
[
"Politics"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x96da2e797b051e95bd866d9096ca27710b4e3d00580b361b53431caa485ec502
|
0xcba0cb77f16d6b51516798fe164b01d959bbcebe9e5f8afcdfaa1256f5b11a9e
|
Will ICE detain 500-599 people on January 29?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 29, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<400" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-500-599-people-on-january-29
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x37c2419ddaf7b832909b555316ee0067d996594156ff5b7bd628a797a67aed00
|
0x67df559ab1ced15d521afa1fd2a4aff83db0a5c13e016b49d49db20f2e653a1c
|
Will Twente beat Besiktas?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between FC Twente and Besiktas scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If FC Twente wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-twente-beat-besiktas
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Besiktas",
"Twente"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb0c
|
0xc6ef1b74a2e89a432702fa6ad8c38d10079505a13b4fbae3d0c1e42a9effb9c7
|
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl LIX by 13-15 points?
|
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed”
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-eagles-win-super-bowl-lix-by-13-15-points
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbcfeb6aff438e213aa30cdbaa8b54b00c89dacf814d2decb433f56f4dd80cf02
|
0xdba2a1961053a1523af79f63481936e02c7bd67b29f19f0f7b9a217b017e83cd
|
Will the match between FC Midtjylland and Fenerbahce end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between FC Midtjylland and Fenerbahce scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-fc-midtjylland-and-fenerbahce-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Fenerbahce",
"FC Midtjylland"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x96da2e797b051e95bd866d9096ca27710b4e3d00580b361b53431caa485ec503
|
0x49354c1cc5b7e39e6afe112a1ce63f8882b9cc32bc5074881853e20160973bf9
|
Will ICE detain 600-699 people on January 29?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 29, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<400" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-600-699-people-on-january-29
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1ef5f3413bece50ade3434eaaf09315fc652b46b4443ab2d8804ca3504999f00
|
0x905e5c06dd8c829ab3facaa00142d0eaa04a0b5e6ec0027d766cfc9a6a789aa2
|
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?
|
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7, 2025, as of market close. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-nvidia-be-the-largest-company-in-the-world-by-market-cap-on-february-7
|
[
"Business",
"market cap",
"AI",
"Economy",
"stock",
"DeepSeek",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1c0d69da14bea5ff780759961d48f05c2fc1a5375e79267da05b3b99f4f51613
|
0x1f415f14a2ba6b7e22be65b6dcfe1246b467ec5f3d8fe7232c8b521d4167e156
|
Will courts block Trump funding freeze by Friday?
|
Effective on 5 PM ET on January 28, a funding block on all federal grants and loans will come into effect according to a memorandum issued to the OMB by Donald Trump. You can read more about that here: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/28/lawsuit-seeks-to-block-trump-funding-freeze.html
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US court blocks the implementation or any portion of this funding pause by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of any portion this funding pause will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-courts-block-trump-funding-freeze-by-friday
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"us government"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xe813b05473c989c6bc307c5ca773dca5b69b8420d20786c102d34ae3b902a808
|
0x9bbfae87fba5c85044ee33fc90e4db3c579448825e20a30660518f85a093cef8
|
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 8 times?
|
This market will resolve to the number of times Taylor Swift is shown on-screen, between the start of the National Anthem and the final whistle, during the official broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox.
"Times" refers to discrete instances where Taylor Swift is clearly visible. These instances must be separated by shots where Taylor Swift is not clearly visible on screen.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “0”.
Note: Only live appearances count (commercials and videos recorded in the past won't count).
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official NFL broadcast of Super Bowl LIX, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
taylor-swift-shown-on-the-super-bowl-lix-broadcast-8-times
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Taylor Swift",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9a5ccb909cb1699b8bbc027f0a80546c073989d26b7450dcb9b1fa8627b3dc01
|
0xc12e5d5d6191fe0736638b45e4be9f7928437a0ac9a4ea6b2966635281a72112
|
Will Porto beat Maccabi TLV?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Maccabi TLV and FC Porto scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If FC Porto wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-porto-beat-maccabi-tlv
|
[
"Sports",
"porto",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Maccabi TLV"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xc68527bd31538ba7a1a0ee6ed9f0dfa53e23c9984c68ebd82daac6815807a602
|
0x4a7c82ca00bc65a9fc883758890bc6a8ba73b2e9a5480e90b5ea5b940e81bfa3
|
Will the match between AS Roma and Frankfurt end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between AS Roma and Eintracht Frankfurt scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-as-roma-and-frankfurt-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Frankfurt",
"AS Roma"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb06
|
0xb03694356f5f5b0075d6514a129aa0cc8fe508d18aaebee79bb391ea47603a29
|
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl LIX by 4-6 points?
|
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed”
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-chiefs-win-super-bowl-lix-by-4-6-points
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe38dda65cae01639bf898f43c3626d6b18eeb542a73ae3caa8ce14a89f752502
|
0xb96f7a0f28008c2d0224ec629d5959b1423d4163f26b795a2d62e84fee7b9af6
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 44-45°F on January 29?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 29, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-44-45f-on-january-29
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x551b716d5a218f59d4106c5da43043394637907429a742dcc23c46bf53255439
|
0xb07dfa07725b6470b89f73c69d382118785c7592e830613b1f1f5797802b9f42
|
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.
Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-anthropic-run-an-ad-during-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Commericals",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x73e7a59463fb42bba7c045037dedd98f6fdc96efc711c2316b7dd22b79378df9
|
0x695f76fdb798fca269151c49423fe45c8c3ed660ac60ea85f23c7e521e5b3e2c
|
Rangers vs. Bruins
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 1 at 3:30PM ET:
If the New York Rangers win, the market will resolve to “Rangers”.
If the Boston Bruins win, the market will resolve to “Bruins”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-nyr-bos-2025-02-01
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xfd58db5c9d5184435b972192a5c38ddae87375a283b684148b9d32adc7188d01
|
0x586da693b47b4ba0c759d195f94b68b3ee3cbd8d358bba18c67a7efc14cc3a5e
|
Will Malmo FF beat Slavia Praha?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Slavia Praha and Malmo FF scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Malmo FF wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-malmo-ff-beat-slavia-praha
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Slavia Praha",
"Malmo FF"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x19bd3e27fe03f70312dfa8aed2f49ca91d04f0e145320b5ca9e42f762057d7af
|
0xfa6bfd33a1e9955597799b0792835eec74814c448e456693300d888b53b2e455
|
Will Shakhtar Donetsk advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-shakhtar-donetsk-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
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