question_id
stringlengths
0
66
condition_id
stringlengths
0
66
question
stringlengths
2
118
description
stringlengths
159
1.79k
end_date_iso
stringdate
2024-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
active
bool
2 classes
closed
bool
2 classes
market_slug
stringlengths
12
132
tags
listlengths
1
17
is_50_50
bool
2 classes
yes_price
float64
0
1
no_price
float64
0
1
0x671ee8f4711d3d4d90354eaf4ba91a75a5203d9d680a1b786052055e7fe22902
0xc227dfcc712243d3acbb288afc5f81f820eae6984d9d2dfb5fff243df4ac4a91
Will the match between Real Sociedad and PAOK end in a draw?
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Real Sociedad and PAOK scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-match-between-real-sociedad-and-paok-end-in-a-draw
[ "Sports", "real sociedad", "Soccer", "Europa League", "Games", "PAOK" ]
false
0
1
0x31b9a285d9e815031cdb87e67a4616749194f93b6321a1f83fb51a44356fcd00
0xe7f5ec0feedcb647c8f746288b14718bc0d5fdc61f4965222b968e417d62372d
Will ICE detain less than 400 people on January 28?
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 28, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<400" bracket. The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
2025-01-28T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-ice-detain-less-than-400-people-on-january-28
[ "Politics", "Immigration", "Trump Presidency", "Trump 100 Days", "Trump Week 1" ]
false
0
1
0xc68527bd31538ba7a1a0ee6ed9f0dfa53e23c9984c68ebd82daac6815807a600
0xb10e68f8ccead0b6af8f84410845efe8b18443ed718a42827435a5b4621c5b8f
Will AS Roma beat Frankfurt?
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between AS Roma and Eintracht Frankfurt scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If AS Roma wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-as-roma-beat-frankfurt
[ "Sports", "Soccer", "Europa League", "Games", "Frankfurt", "AS Roma" ]
false
1
0
0x9b9cb15c2728f57a1720e0f8adc666a15f509b9def15688d1ed83a1eee2b3fd6
0xf007e26268220704c0235e7bd7dc271966eff3f5c10be28d3cc2108ffad1437e
Predators vs. Penguins
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 1 at 7:00PM ET: If the Nashville Predators win, the market will resolve to “Predators”. If the Pittsburgh Penguins win, the market will resolve to “Penguins”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
nhl-nsh-pit-2025-02-01
[ "Sports", "NHL", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x982c1202ed9b2c78d38b643b43d56a857214bacd0a821e5cdb0bf0a074af8e8b
0x81d9ee80096953298f1b960c6406896aedc44bea202c67c6cb582feedbce740e
Blue Jackets vs. Stars
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 2 at 6:00PM ET: If the Columbus Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to “Blue Jackets”. If the Dallas Stars win, the market will resolve to “Stars”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
nhl-cbj-dal-2025-02-02
[ "Sports", "NHL", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x562513475719d758bab4b439b5f7eb3511431788321f08a10833cc7f5b889678
0xf669a9e1b51102bf0bda6ad94cb9e7e780543e52b524fd268afe677fee88753f
Pistons vs. Pacers
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 29 at 7:00PM ET: If the Detroit Pistons win, the market will resolve to “Pistons”. If the Indiana Pacers win, the market will resolve to “Pacers”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-det-ind-2025-01-29
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad604
0x51e5aa3dc43b281b6c062d5db6d76b99c9c419de19a5217612cb4d08946aa7fb
Will Xavier Worthy score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX. Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify. Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-xavier-worthy-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
[ "Sports", "NFL", "props", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0xf2d3b3407afba5ef8c2f1ff9db85a6509b58a523e0d549ff6aaa2d41095f9300
0x3d536c06bf2cbce63c2ac8c9af78f80ff3b92ab4d4cae08d5157cc98ec5c6e31
Will Tottenham beat IF Elfsborg?
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Tottenham and IF Elfsborg scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If Tottenham wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-tottenham-beat-if-elfsborg
[ "Sports", "Europa League", "Games", "IF Elfsborg", "Tottenham" ]
false
1
0
0xf79053ad38c44f2215432f855449e700f954b85e53d26032cf12146f1a826801
0x832baba7ea82158fd165d2133d20104813efddbe49fe09a06327fe5eb081750c
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60?
This market will resolve according to the Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer “All Critics” Tomatometer score for "Captain America: Brave New World" as of Feb 17, 2025 at 10:00AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.
2025-02-17T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-captain-america-brave-new-world-rotten-tomatoes-score-be-between-50-and-60
[ "Movies", "Culture" ]
false
1
0
0xf7cf5f88524218ab992fe8d91d52196d8248fd3cc25a7a3df2e8cdf1523deb04
0xf55becb18e8df4ba9f621416f8c0f6786f3833c1e06b1eb14c48a7af524dcebb
Will Elon tweet 175-199 times Jan 24-31?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-elon-tweet-175-199-times-jan-24-31
[ "Culture", "Tweet Markets", "Elon Tweets" ]
false
0
1
0xec26d3507db34c26be15205cf25c7ffd1d4fb0b890b8383b937f78a303264f04
0xc4cfaeff22901563358f96fe6e04a2204719db694bdaeeb310353fe7701b2843
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on January 29?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 29, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-48-49f-on-january-29
[ "Weather" ]
false
1
0
0x092e3a0849d1062ad4c5b7f069d5f67ed745333c8c2738b3cfebe66b4a199ee9
0x777e04368d6dedd8c54e58bbfdee71d299d754dea9eed644279a03183afc1fc4
Devils vs. Sabres
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 2 at 1:00PM ET: If the New Jersey Devils win, the market will resolve to “Devils”. If the Buffalo Sabres win, the market will resolve to “Sabres”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
nhl-nj-buf-2025-02-02
[ "Sports", "NHL", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad608
0xf97588e7363a58da4ec96be3158e852ae5d66935fff9c305d9c099b78891f564
Will DeVonta Smith score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX. Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify. Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-devonta-smith-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
[ "Sports", "NFL", "props", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0x79d25d7d97deea67737c1bff9f17ce4f041f910fa5a1f2789d90022c31aed6cb
0xfbc8918c194456a3b0bebf50a10c92d09bc8226307fb80ab22d9a5f81307ab7b
Will AC Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated). The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-ac-milan-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
[ "Sports", "Champions League", "Soccer" ]
false
0
1
0xec26d3507db34c26be15205cf25c7ffd1d4fb0b890b8383b937f78a303264f00
0x37043c657d017a2a6936510351db741c976022982a2ad2fff47595778f47a0c4
Will the highest temperature in London be 41°F or below on January 29?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 29, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-41f-or-below-on-january-29
[ "Weather" ]
false
0
1
0xf2d3b3407afba5ef8c2f1ff9db85a6509b58a523e0d549ff6aaa2d41095f9301
0x86d0aad505e265dea2a84857d5f404b33b3f1d2add8e52e4cda744928929eb86
Will IF Elfsborg beat Tottenham?
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Tottenham and IF Elfsborg scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If IF Elfsborg wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-if-elfsborg-beat-tottenham
[ "Sports", "Europa League", "Games", "IF Elfsborg", "Tottenham" ]
false
0
1
0x69bd3169769ff7c9f3565ca4acea6b0e72243008cf2e55052bc20b0c13855202
0x0ee5496b9f7ed13970c9f0559ba2b0a0e029160f33348154b214101c373c9f1a
Will the match between Lyon and Ludogorets end in a draw?
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Lyon and Ludogorets scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-match-between-lyon-and-ludogorets-end-in-a-draw
[ "Sports", "Soccer", "Europa League", "Games", "Lyon", "Ludogorets" ]
false
1
0
0x3275c0538d1903056ba663ed0bb40e4236a54415f149d81991b595e95250e801
0xcfcb27302e9b6e08bde3916e18ad331537f67305fcaf758f87e5fe14ec83d7c1
Will RFS beat Dynamo Kyiv?
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Dynamo Kyiv and RFS scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If RFS wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-rfs-beat-dynamo-kyiv
[ "Sports", "Soccer", "Europa League", "Games", "Dynamo Kyiv", "RFS" ]
false
0
1
0xa16c9db75b1783938101d1e14b8377f97974965c5d5b3768b35f98645834dd06
0x413deaaa8854526ac7928a0bbec5333755ea2cf94ec156801b3d5034776091d3
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 45°F or higher on January 28?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 28, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-28T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-45f-or-higher-on-january-28
[ "Weather", "New York" ]
false
0
1
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad60b
0xe6b81dfbc593813f31af63e8d5d51427ae47364bfdc29c776160ddb0a539dbbd
Will Noah Gray score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX. Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify. Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-noah-gray-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
[ "Sports", "NFL", "props", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0xbcfeb6aff438e213aa30cdbaa8b54b00c89dacf814d2decb433f56f4dd80cf01
0x6fa3ce64cb909b26b3f01f971d47fc954d76ed205f2665408ea040c7907b44bc
Will Fenerbahce beat FC Midtjylland?
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between FC Midtjylland and Fenerbahce scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If Fenerbahce wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-fenerbahce-beat-fc-midtjylland
[ "Sports", "Soccer", "Europa League", "Games", "Fenerbahce", "FC Midtjylland" ]
false
0
1
0x09debf17430672914cbe2d84039f064eaf9a3f9df3ab342d913fea0dbcafd705
0xb261f9715c6ad0e6cac125ece5b1707d966ed9bc7aca5028c9cf5e96ff66bf40
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on January 28?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 28, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-52-53f-on-january-28
[ "Weather" ]
false
0
1
0x3e0928ab8ceae629912bdc3b17e5a56d6a03abeeba57c359054949d15cae2736
0x7eafa31879187311d535212e8ed81cc343a41cf3bd9083e569588b8df565c5aa
Clippers vs. Suns
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 27 at 9:30PM ET: If the LA Clippers win, the market will resolve to “Clippers”. If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to “Suns”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-lac-phx-2025-01-27
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x25db99d8036f05c045b5afa4d373df5e0753953da34d9d930a410ce94024d4ba
0x5126065fdba96ca23a1d54062a342c64326e1af401f598e1dd1f0a0571dffb1a
Canadiens vs. Ducks
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 2 at 4:00PM ET: If the Montreal Canadiens win, the market will resolve to “Canadiens”. If the Anaheim Ducks win, the market will resolve to “Ducks”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
nhl-mon-ana-2025-02-02
[ "Sports", "NHL", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0xe17deba14f80a138885405ace5531223e0766ef91ccb7439a3503a67f1201a03
0xcb091b62f4d383e6a351630c099d565927c19b3d213ffc323d2e404ec9672530
Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?
The next German federal election is scheduled to take place on February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next German federal election. If the next German Coalition after the election is not announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". If a party does not meet fraktion threshold (5% of seats) it will not be counted as part of the coalition. For example, if CDU/CSU, SPD, & BSW form a coalition, but BSW is not a fraktion, the market would resolve to “CDU/CSU & SPD”. Any party which signs a coalition agreement which leads to the appointment of a Chancellor will be considered part of the coalition. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
2025-02-23T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-cducsu-and-greens-form-the-next-german-government
[ "Politics", "Global Elections", "German Election" ]
false
0
1
0x0d3b29a7f633735fc2d83f94c53e15f466a9d949d58e9499c7b9980063a62d1c
0x4994ae9134c45ac2bca9dbbe1d5c4f20aa84d5525a0e9d699d204cee1a2ad525
Lakers vs. Knicks
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 1 at 8:30PM ET: If the Los Angeles Lakers win, the market will resolve to “Lakers”. If the New York Knicks win, the market will resolve to “Knicks”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-lal-nyk-2025-02-01
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0xe17deba14f80a138885405ace5531223e0766ef91ccb7439a3503a67f1201a01
0x0eb62fac38bb76c90efe3ee004db68aeb88babe95879499075d5dea4c4bb2c43
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
The next German federal election is scheduled to take place on February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next German federal election. If the next German Coalition after the election is not announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". If a party does not meet fraktion threshold (5% of seats) it will not be counted as part of the coalition. For example, if CDU/CSU, SPD, & BSW form a coalition, but BSW is not a fraktion, the market would resolve to “CDU/CSU & SPD”. Any party which signs a coalition agreement which leads to the appointment of a Chancellor will be considered part of the coalition. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
2025-02-23T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-cducsu-spd-and-greens-form-the-next-german-government
[ "Politics", "Global Elections", "German Election" ]
false
0
1
0xa16c9db75b1783938101d1e14b8377f97974965c5d5b3768b35f98645834dd03
0xc1980cf721ab6956c5e39c73e04d061a003643a9403f23f4cc749f20190baebb
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 39-40°F on January 28?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 28, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-28T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-39-40f-on-january-28
[ "Weather", "New York" ]
false
0
1
0x3fa30e43aac0b018e9d534be1c3dd27563e589039d805a55c5808ba7b87c71e2
0xb877260ec35776872a111f89e195d9fdd8375959ed116b76d32392a3c56e5d67
Blue Jackets vs. Utah
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 31 at 9:00PM ET: If the Columbus Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to “Blue Jackets”. If the Utah win, the market will resolve to “Utah”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
true
true
nhl-cbj-utah-2025-01-31
[ "Sports", "NHL", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x086aa4c477c7c85b86ef793d088baec6ec2c4e2dc68c2f59c4284a81ffd3b76a
0xacedebe321448cb07897fe489008311415291f85f611ff4ce85c1b2ae33bc3a1
Will Bayern Munich advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated). The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-bayern-munich-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
[ "Sports", "Champions League", "Soccer" ]
false
1
0
0xe813b05473c989c6bc307c5ca773dca5b69b8420d20786c102d34ae3b902a806
0x71e83b199e93297593cd37fbd4af12404de7bbb283ed765cf3f4fb488b6739ba
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 6 times?
This market will resolve to the number of times Taylor Swift is shown on-screen, between the start of the National Anthem and the final whistle, during the official broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox. "Times" refers to discrete instances where Taylor Swift is clearly visible. These instances must be separated by shots where Taylor Swift is not clearly visible on screen. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “0”. Note: Only live appearances count (commercials and videos recorded in the past won't count). The primary resolution source for this market will be the official NFL broadcast of Super Bowl LIX, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
taylor-swift-shown-on-the-super-bowl-lix-broadcast-6-times
[ "Sports", "chiefs", "eagles", "NFL", "Taylor Swift", "Culture", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props", "Super Bowl TV" ]
false
0
1
0xe38dda65cae01639bf898f43c3626d6b18eeb542a73ae3caa8ce14a89f752506
0xb5c8dc1a931f3afe5c5eb716348177058937b39b56788ea1e930efd9bedaad56
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 52°F or higher on January 29?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 29, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-52f-or-higher-on-january-29
[ "Weather", "New York City" ]
false
1
0
0x89d7a964ce5c59ad2003e2bd338484c62c20a5cd3be1dc3a93957c113574084a
0x055ec29ffac03fbfef273267812139e07207d05a64ba6b9e39223eea331217ed
Will Trump impose tariffs on Panama in the first 100 days?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on the listed country by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-panama-in-the-first-100-days
[ "Trump", "U.S. Politics", "Trump Presidency", "Trump 100 Days", "Tariffs", "Trade War", "First 100 days", "Liberation Day Tariffs" ]
false
0
1
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb08
0x6b5261b61da699bf5524daf4da1c1ffa8b30584c8801eecb6d7c2b6dcff7a317
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl LIX by 1-3 points?
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed” The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-eagles-win-super-bowl-lix-by-1-3-points
[ "Sports", "chiefs", "eagles", "NFL", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0xe6c52e26699462a749106f64f4dd342e09e4b3a40021d27953e3674d6a303d04
0xc82a51f040ca20d9c489cb958c9bbe052010992dbb2202ad448e32632baaef23
Timberwolves vs. Jazz
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 30 at 9:00PM ET: If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to “Timberwolves”. If the Utah Jazz win, the market will resolve to “Jazz”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-min-uta-2025-01-30
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x81960e49149dee019199886d631244bbfa48a8dc76b6ad83811c312defb11415
0x7a194a67a3f3d42137315b6b6d8317bbbeeae610dbe86e6a20b48260dfd4f879
Nuggets vs. Knicks
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 29 at 7:30PM ET: If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to “Nuggets”. If the New York Knicks win, the market will resolve to “Knicks”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-den-nyk-2025-01-29
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad610
0x749e9c877af58bc7d6e20093c419afa567c0380f31369328917de7a5599bb6ad
Will Samaje Perine score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX. Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify. Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-samaje-perine-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
[ "Sports", "NFL", "props", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0x2f37f90a6061604747a1db81a856dd239eea17d3ac0f9f36715d4a8582769501
0x8b910e2f9433b26283f06694039a1b8b90ecaf8ff75a60ad66c899257861dca2
Will Bodo Glimt beat Nice?
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Nice and Bodo Glimt scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If Bodo Glimt wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-bodo-glimt-beat-nice
[ "Sports", "Soccer", "Europa League", "Games", "Bodo Glimt", "Nice" ]
false
0
1
0xa16c9db75b1783938101d1e14b8377f97974965c5d5b3768b35f98645834dd05
0xc99e8d3c2cea0ee08f76ec800d72b16213a0cd7b0cd7f5d0385093448b033d71
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on January 28?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 28, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-28T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-43-44f-on-january-28
[ "Weather", "New York" ]
false
0
1
0x00df5b0ee39baea96298a3fb921ad4ad7a4bbe451336210768639d5fa105c202
0xc86ce961a1927a72b84dc9a0c95041741007ef0569b358d86b1af889fee984c5
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 39-40°F on January 26?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 26, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-39-40f-on-january-26
[ "Weather", "New York" ]
false
0
1
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb10
0xce4243e3b5cbc2109af752f84d63e5f8ddb299e5c18ff42abeb8787426520178
Will Super Bowl LIX get delayed/postponed past February?
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed” The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-super-bowl-lix-get-delayedpostponed-past-february
[ "Sports", "chiefs", "eagles", "NFL", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0x5e77ae833aab3564d119c1c9e6ef2219ee1d75ba37b7b76cc6edd8f62cccee04
0x7a6af08eaf6bb3a943c249c7bb7a46bed1fac74a15e07eacf818f18752825aed
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?
Since the recent ascendency of the DeepSeek AI model, rumors have been spreading that the company has made use of a large amount of Nvidia hardware that they do not report. You can find more information on that here: https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1883946417133383797 This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that DeepSeek used Nvidia hardware banned from export to China in developing an AI model by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from the U.S. Government or Nvidia definitively claiming that banned Nvidia chips were used, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming their use will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, as well as official statements for the U.S. Government and Nvidia.
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
true
true
deepseek-confirmed-to-have-used-banned-nvidia-chips
[ "Politics", "Business", "China", "AI", "nvidia", "Tech", "Geopolitics", "Creators", "DeepSeek", "ChinaTalk" ]
false
0
1
0x22e21475a0123a89faf07592e9f445c0f29f2d9e18ded7234c399c8b2114a654
0xafa36fdbd3b303b6c793a04c0f3d653d7d41211ba21811f6894c76a1ac827b06
Bulls vs. Pistons
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 2 at 3:00PM ET: If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to “Bulls”. If the Detroit Pistons win, the market will resolve to “Pistons”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-chi-det-2025-02-02
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb09
0x7a23642cd31411d749cb52009745ae330848025b1945b8ed293485fb11b81f4d
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl LIX by 4-6 points?
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed” The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-eagles-win-super-bowl-lix-by-4-6-points
[ "Sports", "chiefs", "eagles", "NFL", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0xe17deba14f80a138885405ace5531223e0766ef91ccb7439a3503a67f1201a04
0x458d2650b1e2c530c69b68a10f1cc5d8730627afcdc46660602d738ac2aff449
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?
The next German federal election is scheduled to take place on February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next German federal election. If the next German Coalition after the election is not announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". If a party does not meet fraktion threshold (5% of seats) it will not be counted as part of the coalition. For example, if CDU/CSU, SPD, & BSW form a coalition, but BSW is not a fraktion, the market would resolve to “CDU/CSU & SPD”. Any party which signs a coalition agreement which leads to the appointment of a Chancellor will be considered part of the coalition. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
2025-02-23T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-cducsu-spd-and-fdp-form-the-next-german-government
[ "Politics", "Global Elections", "German Election" ]
false
0
1
0x772dcb877c318e2e487207d556c6152cc1c8fd03d8792063eae86c7a977c5303
0xe9160abf8e049b1b55f4cd086706436aae4fa46221ed68f062a5fa63cc850540
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on January 30?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 30, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-38-39f-on-january-30
[ "Weather", "New York City" ]
false
1
0
0x56f69c3cb6e4679ec25e8a611c4969cfc4b99d5739d8b1adf3d2035ba9945ac4
0x6ec4554e35f251c50ee7f339de3279dff8019c8ea5aa93f7b857675f9146921d
Will Barcelona advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated). The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-barcelona-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
[ "Sports", "Champions League", "Soccer" ]
false
1
0
0x30ad8f2561d0270271ed49cc9a45a2d7f9e3feaf71ee926d7ec7c891807237d2
0x1ab33493cb17e808c31d5d4329b0abc876872df0d1ff5c1e91ba720653e9e4b0
Rockets vs. Grizzlies
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 30 at 9:30PM ET: If the Houston Rockets win, the market will resolve to “Rockets”. If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to “Grizzlies”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-hou-mem-2025-01-30
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0xefcdf51fe047dfdaa0f16f7e242a4de428e5444c046e7cb261ce3941b410d10e
0x2d8c635f65eb8e684e46965bd4a3a4f07bc5f654c566eb07f984d813b2bc6bec
Bucks vs. Trail Blazers
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 28 at 10:00PM ET: If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks”. If the Portland Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to “Trail Blazers”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-mil-por-2025-01-28
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0xe813b05473c989c6bc307c5ca773dca5b69b8420d20786c102d34ae3b902a807
0x497665a7021f4ff40fe4a3ca8e2f988c1ed979ad6f39eb9b75151d239eb14841
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 7 times?
This market will resolve to the number of times Taylor Swift is shown on-screen, between the start of the National Anthem and the final whistle, during the official broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox. "Times" refers to discrete instances where Taylor Swift is clearly visible. These instances must be separated by shots where Taylor Swift is not clearly visible on screen. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “0”. Note: Only live appearances count (commercials and videos recorded in the past won't count). The primary resolution source for this market will be the official NFL broadcast of Super Bowl LIX, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
taylor-swift-shown-on-the-super-bowl-lix-broadcast-7-times
[ "Sports", "chiefs", "eagles", "NFL", "Taylor Swift", "Culture", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props", "Super Bowl TV" ]
false
0
1
0xc68527bd31538ba7a1a0ee6ed9f0dfa53e23c9984c68ebd82daac6815807a601
0x090d216d78aca97198fec48f52ef14956248cc268005bf88f5b9a55bcbbe54da
Will Frankfurt beat AS Roma?
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between AS Roma and Eintracht Frankfurt scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If Eintracht Frankfurt wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-frankfurt-beat-as-roma
[ "Sports", "Soccer", "Europa League", "Games", "Frankfurt", "AS Roma" ]
false
0
1
0xf79053ad38c44f2215432f855449e700f954b85e53d26032cf12146f1a826800
0x01081df0cc99aef286312d8e520fa35d881918f3d0229556bc0a87be0dd9fd37
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?
This market will resolve according to the Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer “All Critics” Tomatometer score for "Captain America: Brave New World" as of Feb 17, 2025 at 10:00AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.
2025-02-17T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-captain-america-brave-new-world-rotten-tomatoes-score-be-less-than-50
[ "Movies", "Culture" ]
false
0
1
0xf0b229b33873b73f48057af877b67f81d4141bf0e8aae4a2e8b9a9507c600706
0xca8dfc5a45318a5536b8f1a512bc89fded57c19a44a127ba474c5f4ddbcd58ce
Will ICE detain 600-649 people in the next update (Jan 27)?
On January 26, ICE posted the following update: https://x.com/ICEgov/status/1883680858453705153. This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's next daily update. If ICE doesn't release a daily update by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<350" bracket.
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-ice-detain-600-649-people-in-the-next-update-jan-27
[ "Politics" ]
false
0
1
0xec26d3507db34c26be15205cf25c7ffd1d4fb0b890b8383b937f78a303264f01
0x085fae25e2b803654ce7d421af5e71983e9dea0fe60fab042d2937e56d0a4571
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on January 29?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 29, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-42-43f-on-january-29
[ "Weather" ]
false
0
1
0x7161092c81abad4f73022f64061e1a3a9d78d4c8a7a2e94a26afed40710dbcd3
0x77503609986845d078697b91990277054a512f9ca9c05193a705b8e6affee5dd
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 8?
This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 27, 2025 will count for this market.
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-trump-issue-an-executive-order-on-day-8
[ "Politics", "Trump", "Breaking News", "Trump Presidency" ]
false
1
0
0x96da2e797b051e95bd866d9096ca27710b4e3d00580b361b53431caa485ec500
0x27e85c3f395f93b4e872e8a83f0690b2161edc488db12be4848ab661c1e3ff8f
Will ICE detain less than 400 people on January 29?
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 29, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<400" bracket. The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-ice-detain-less-than-400-people-on-january-29
[ "Politics", "Immigration", "Trump Presidency" ]
false
0
1
0xaa76609fa09fe4e31f1d3de7b0389a220f7b14cc0fc63a45885500e3423604a9
0xbb0383497173ffd9eb85de2953af04400227705ac4c31866b979a9852a83553c
Will AS Monaco advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated). The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-as-monaco-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
[ "Sports", "Champions League", "Soccer" ]
false
0
1
0x8877f2114141fd5de4b230834ce186a449a0a483cc1bf70e81a824cb492e303b
0x1cf86e182d130ad9a730307fe919bcb18cd59c5bdad21bbdba6469d84e5cb242
Will Trump impose tariffs on China before March?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on China by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-china-before-march
[ "Politics", "Trump", "Taxes", "Geopolitics", "Trump Presidency" ]
false
1
0
0x5247d7347dd8380f8da518321abb1f91d9a3c57352d4e35422ee852f97f61517
0xb7d6906795d1da821a8983236ec893a702854f8ea893882e1f005408a3023f1c
Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on the listed country by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-japan-in-the-first-100-days
[ "Trump", "U.S. Politics", "Trump Presidency", "Trump 100 Days", "Tariffs", "Trade War", "First 100 days", "Liberation Day Tariffs" ]
false
1
0
0xa16c9db75b1783938101d1e14b8377f97974965c5d5b3768b35f98645834dd02
0xc06270c9bb1d3cf9ece7767542bed9ca6f2b4a5453e385ebf8396287d5c50f60
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 37-38°F on January 28?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 28, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-28T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-37-38f-on-january-28
[ "Weather", "New York" ]
false
0
1
0xf9c9031b4c22013a960a16f612f80a38617b3824e89d5f452a911277fcf57e01
0x26372ae74bdd1e3876ae6b759342912ed83ce7a38ae6376e3c9c99eca3d888e3
Will Viktoria Plzen beat Athletic Bilbao?
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Athletic Bilbao and Viktoria Plzen scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If Viktoria Plzen wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-viktoria-plzen-beat-athletic-bilbao
[ "Sports", "Soccer", "Europa League", "Games", "Viktoria Plzen", "Athletic Bilbao" ]
false
0
1
0x772dcb877c318e2e487207d556c6152cc1c8fd03d8792063eae86c7a977c5304
0x8073603f4600881c8799a8b1eb63c994c0df763977bb090b41bcb551e0cb8e61
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on January 30?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 30, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-40-41f-on-january-30
[ "Weather", "New York City" ]
false
0
1
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad61a
0x42e8d900f27a4f89369081e41c18a1602266aca658051742cf958eedd4aea680
Will Peyton Hendershot score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX. Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify. Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-peyton-hendershot-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
[ "Sports", "NFL", "props", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0xf0b229b33873b73f48057af877b67f81d4141bf0e8aae4a2e8b9a9507c600702
0xfcfda8fc384127cca869a8f706947f980506605b657aa09c33a542521198bdc4
Will ICE detain 400-449 people in the next update (Jan 27)?
On January 26, ICE posted the following update: https://x.com/ICEgov/status/1883680858453705153. This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's next daily update. If ICE doesn't release a daily update by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<350" bracket.
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-ice-detain-400-449-people-in-the-next-update-jan-27
[ "Politics" ]
false
0
1
0xba90aaa737380ee1bc8597967fc0e447512754f721bb97e7d936aed1895874fb
0x8ba0ee1e6f8d5d9c09ab482e85ba34ab6da9ea53a8b8eff2b61b5be85d0de27d
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated). The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-borussia-dortmund-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
[ "Sports", "Champions League", "Soccer" ]
false
1
0
0x00df5b0ee39baea96298a3fb921ad4ad7a4bbe451336210768639d5fa105c204
0x4540b32442b43dd831ffebd952c528f0f4176ea89030bf5635c6e8140d72c28e
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on January 26?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 26, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-43-44f-on-january-26
[ "Weather", "New York" ]
false
1
0
0xe813b05473c989c6bc307c5ca773dca5b69b8420d20786c102d34ae3b902a805
0x12b3067205e4cf79f340d40e32e96c79369059d6fb8a41c06686a8610d8993b0
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 5 times?
This market will resolve to the number of times Taylor Swift is shown on-screen, between the start of the National Anthem and the final whistle, during the official broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox. "Times" refers to discrete instances where Taylor Swift is clearly visible. These instances must be separated by shots where Taylor Swift is not clearly visible on screen. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “0”. Note: Only live appearances count (commercials and videos recorded in the past won't count). The primary resolution source for this market will be the official NFL broadcast of Super Bowl LIX, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
taylor-swift-shown-on-the-super-bowl-lix-broadcast-5-times
[ "Sports", "chiefs", "eagles", "NFL", "Taylor Swift", "Culture", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props", "Super Bowl TV" ]
false
0
1
0xec26d3507db34c26be15205cf25c7ffd1d4fb0b890b8383b937f78a303264f03
0x7e8993463a73b02648e528b1345e759c82f421d8b0e002820a03dfee99cb28e3
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on January 29?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 29, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-46-47f-on-january-29
[ "Weather" ]
false
0
1
0x4d503a142ff94c65cddf53b7200e8d8e3d79faf2ba62e147c726f1600f5c40f4
0xded045fbc57ed87cefad7ffed4d2e6cb39f7f403bf03463b50da9a662d9b6bd3
Will Feyenoord advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated). The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-feyenoord-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
[ "Sports", "Champions League", "Soccer" ]
false
1
0
0x971ee26c78a0faecc9094a100e4ac838ca58e48f8ef7a9932ff61c0ff27e4b17
0x2151d01ff7030deebf33670d0c76c1f7f769b16cdb9ef37f257c8ad33a9dd7bd
Lakers vs. 76ers
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 28 at 7:30PM ET: If the Los Angeles Lakers win, the market will resolve to “Lakers”. If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to “76ers”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-lal-phi-2025-01-28
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x5a13bac2ff8b3f4fae211a6e9ec85659484204c6ee01ad40bd43cc0ad778d7b7
0x1b407d450db2de9a8dac245cb0f6bf7c23d0a859c373c68fa4f27e3d1ee47714
Kings vs. Nets
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 27 at 7:30PM ET: If the Sacramento Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”. If the Brooklyn Nets win, the market will resolve to “Nets”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-sac-bkn-2025-01-27
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0xe38dda65cae01639bf898f43c3626d6b18eeb542a73ae3caa8ce14a89f752504
0xe51ac9fece08f29af5f124fa9e50c8affb9787663cca2186394eb8d161098020
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on January 29?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 29, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-48-49f-on-january-29
[ "Weather", "New York City" ]
false
0
1
0x3275c0538d1903056ba663ed0bb40e4236a54415f149d81991b595e95250e802
0x78f27fa6db6876f10c2652bcb7cf5b7f9d61a190a1ad59830d1fc28393e895ef
Will the match between Dynamo Kyiv and RFS end in a draw?
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Dynamo Kyiv and RFS scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-match-between-dynamo-kyiv-and-rfs-end-in-a-draw
[ "Sports", "Soccer", "Europa League", "Games", "Dynamo Kyiv", "RFS" ]
false
0
1
0xe17deba14f80a138885405ace5531223e0766ef91ccb7439a3503a67f1201a06
0x40ea3197c420060b496893c32d8329cbe983cfd0e5b8e101ce4668314739bb66
Will SPD, FDP, and Greens form the next German Government?
The next German federal election is scheduled to take place on February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next German federal election. If the next German Coalition after the election is not announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". If a party does not meet fraktion threshold (5% of seats) it will not be counted as part of the coalition. For example, if CDU/CSU, SPD, & BSW form a coalition, but BSW is not a fraktion, the market would resolve to “CDU/CSU & SPD”. Any party which signs a coalition agreement which leads to the appointment of a Chancellor will be considered part of the coalition. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
2025-02-23T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-spd-fdp-and-greens-form-the-next-german-government
[ "Politics", "Global Elections", "German Election" ]
false
0
1
0x8c9ff1a0e70dc21bd34eb8f291fd8206a6f727e2407118f788891316eacecc46
0xe7f226c24654272d59e04d84009c8643cf38fdd2765a202795a17eaa68ae3abb
Will Powell say "DeepSeek" during January press conference?
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 29, 2025 at 2:00 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says "DeepSeek" during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "DeepSeek" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Chinese AI company. If no such statement happens by February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-powell-say-deepseek-during-january-press-conference
[ "Politics", "Business", "Fed Rates", "Economy", "Mentions", "jpow", "Jerome Powell" ]
false
0
1
0x400ecc052b9d81af201f44e6e8fc47948fc26fcb9c408ee543202c938107ac72
0xfb26f06dff4ed5987db3c79b085cc0fa6aaf845b2a6a4ef43388b7bf267bc18a
Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated). The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-juventus-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
[ "Sports", "Champions League", "Soccer" ]
false
0
1
0xdbd363707f6414400ea62278a41d6cbf8f3fa3e048735ba1c60abc3226e0feff
0x630144bbbc9272583cac1e6fb1c3dd9bca5005165470d6231f59c683e2858734
Heat vs. Spurs
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 1 at 8:30PM ET: If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”. If the San Antonio Spurs win, the market will resolve to “Spurs”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-mia-sas-2025-02-01
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x52f6c5064d7e6b45f86d91087cebf5176c158a8b4fc3308cb977e38605d093bf
0x5312f9859e4f97a5746c00bf746dfbbdd24d284a2cb7266ad696c089c3aea251
Golden Knights vs. Rangers
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 2 at 6:00PM ET: If the Vegas Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to “Golden Knights”. If the New York Rangers win, the market will resolve to “Rangers”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
nhl-las-nyr-2025-02-02
[ "Sports", "NHL", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0xf49ca19a0b5bc1bad056e0b7db335171f4c43509a23459c881dabbd92c661600
0xfb73b9105a797b96e2d58d68789c87bdfe7ec3cf4db89ffd1a547f771fcf9ee9
Will the highest temperature in London be 39°F or below on January 30?
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 30, 2025. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-39f-or-below-on-january-30
[ "Weather" ]
false
0
1
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad617
0x546b01ded24676bcd1c9f618f6cd2923bc0c592777a2a5709155561718781f05
Will Nikko Remigio score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX. Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify. Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-nikko-remigio-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
[ "Sports", "NFL", "props", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0x30d64ad7b0b3f8f510502d719d839a50f76407bda7fbbb86897719635d0bf1a4
0xc0752835bfc07d7ffa288f4979575abe76ea031a2942e1c8024ab0fafa128f6d
Islanders vs. Lightning
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 1 at 7:00PM ET: If the New York Islanders win, the market will resolve to “Islanders”. If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
nhl-nyi-tb-2025-02-01
[ "Sports", "NHL", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0xea615ecb7d0641c2f958bdc95250d4bc32d5415597ac4be3d9505bc2208db204
0x6fa2ad0806eba7a56ce5a674f0927397772ba2ed9da0ad77fea9cecd3f90ee5c
Will Meta have the top AI model on February 28?
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-meta-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28
[ "Business", "AI", "grok", "Tech", "DeepSeek" ]
false
0
1
0x6e1850207e1e97e445e4c4c65f555e05ad61e6aa77f3070a9aa334838df36815
0x37d13f2f89fa04c2fd454ebd65debb6a1778d7575bf6775e30f0885010a7f0ac
Who will win the Coin Toss: Chiefs or Eagles?
This market will resolve to “Chiefs” if the Kansas City Chiefs win the opening coin toss at Super Bowl LIX. This market will resolve to “Eagles” if the Philadelphia Eagles win the opening coin toss at Super Bowl LIX. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
who-will-win-the-coin-toss-chiefs-or-eagles
[ "Sports", "NFL", "coin toss", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props", "National Anthem/Coin Toss" ]
false
null
null
0x98e4b7bc8560a8d3934905a2624975cd4ef28f910774f5207c6ec0fdd340a068
0x2d69fcf6caf07cc0574f95e902457e453eafd879779638c9991fd33d5d8ab79c
Raptors vs. Wizards
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 29 at 7:00PM ET: If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to “Raptors”. If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to “Wizards”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-tor-was-2025-01-29
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad60e
0x49a5c7454a49bdaff8e341e1dfa1c10501517c664c49eae380e48a5dcaa1bb23
Will KC Chiefs D/ST score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX. Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify. Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-kc-chiefs-dst-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
[ "Sports", "NFL", "props", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0xf0b229b33873b73f48057af877b67f81d4141bf0e8aae4a2e8b9a9507c600701
0x1f76502a3269d9f74ad3571d587bf663f8656705bfdda719484b5391d5eefa6f
Will ICE detain 350-399 people in the next update (Jan 27)?
On January 26, ICE posted the following update: https://x.com/ICEgov/status/1883680858453705153. This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's next daily update. If ICE doesn't release a daily update by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<350" bracket.
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-ice-detain-350-399-people-in-the-next-update-jan-27
[ "Politics" ]
false
0
1
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb0a
0x2ee662c3863455e5b38ec9cb273560630ded67735641609f2b52bb49f47254df
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl LIX by 7-9 points?
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed” The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-eagles-win-super-bowl-lix-by-7-9-points
[ "Sports", "chiefs", "eagles", "NFL", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0x96c71e02f4079dfdfbca0419b1fa8682f0fce4cfd09541809b43fe3801e061e1
0x73ad98fdeea5367601f03f9c73b4ed4acddad1ac0a8706c57e7973846c3e8783
Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan before March?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on the Republic of China (Taiwan) by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-taiwan-before-march
[ "Politics", "Trump", "Trump Presidency", "Trade War" ]
false
0
1
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb01
0x6453fdd22dcb49dd7f66a5806ddfa4bf16f33dc371f45b56108f6ffde770f61e
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl LIX by 19-21 points?
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed” The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-chiefs-win-super-bowl-lix-by-19-21-points
[ "Sports", "chiefs", "eagles", "NFL", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0x6b1f63e00e2b42b25599025513b3823dbc0c9b0d0436a7bfcc6c79a8bf8988f3
0xf0ebfd35a5f35da9b652178ecb7747cc6f3de550edaff3b660469bc8d6791910
Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised. Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify. The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-toyota-run-an-ad-during-super-bowl-lix
[ "Sports", "NFL", "Culture", "Super Bowl LIX", "Commericals", "Super Bowl Props", "Super Bowl Specials", "Super Bowl TV" ]
false
0
1
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad61e
0xa5224c9daaeba18142991b7a8d0160b933f1d58d6743feac90c1b39a47eefecd
Will another player on the Eagles score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX. Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify. Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-another-player-on-the-eagles-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
[ "Sports", "NFL", "props", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props" ]
false
0
1
0xd5b3c74eb884d5de82738fa669b7c61779bfb79042590c260727f749daa62d69
0x88118002fdce3087c42752da52935d2d1c92803acffea651e816b9425f590e08
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 27 at 7:00PM ET: If the Detroit Pistons win, the market will resolve to “Pistons”. If the Cleveland Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to “Cavaliers”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-det-cle-2025-01-27
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x4731e878d780433aed9aab0e1032f9ec32e1d5b2010bcd332e684954b51693fc
0x0c1b7d08b1465456118f19f8324832b3e0068364008e637cc96e97b6cec5ccd4
Red Wings vs. Flames
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 1 at 10:00PM ET: If the Detroit Red Wings win, the market will resolve to “Red Wings”. If the Calgary Flames win, the market will resolve to “Flames”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
nhl-det-cal-2025-02-01
[ "Sports", "NHL", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0x84f5b8bd3e87794cbc8032086687d6e78faa925a1fd245efdd40db323a16e828
0xe4c2aeaf542ec16d15a5a240976b80d4bce0e9bec015b2fbb3db9232f6f01596
Magic vs. Jazz
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 1 at 5:00PM ET: If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to “Magic”. If the Utah Jazz win, the market will resolve to “Jazz”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-orl-uta-2025-02-01
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0xb7c6a59c0c1564812311920ee6467f7a7e0647345c734bced04eab8546ab045d
0xe9d7e6e1bf4951d0ff6a3449a40e004e56d380b192111dcf8f3a1fdd55f1714e
Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised. Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify. The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-perplexity-run-an-ad-during-super-bowl-lix
[ "Sports", "NFL", "Culture", "Super Bowl LIX", "Commericals", "Super Bowl Props", "Super Bowl Specials", "Super Bowl TV" ]
false
0
1
0xb27bc2c9041166982892ae8b05d3ebee268ab9205025aa946b53e14c6bd829bb
0xdaa29f3bfdbe5d4cf27422f2d2b9c55495eac784aaf71a5aff03ce3c669307eb
Magic vs. Trail Blazers
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 30 at 10:00PM ET: If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to “Magic”. If the Portland Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to “Trail Blazers”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
true
true
nba-orl-por-2025-01-30
[ "Sports", "NBA", "Games" ]
false
null
null
0xd0750348074b36f748223058f393aca71dae7f62cb1ee3f3a4eb938e06fcaf00
0x5698b09745d80ff14c29ae713560756123d166dafe307150420312dbdf309199
Will Anderlecht beat Hoffenheim?
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Anderlecht and TSG Hoffenheim scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. If Anderlecht wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-anderlecht-beat-hoffenheim
[ "Sports", "Soccer", "Europa League", "Games", "Anderlecht", "Hoffenheim" ]
false
0
1
0x9a289e88d868389a82255e19b4b8bec8a73a34ca986d2940f6c7e8300c941e6d
0xfa3a1bceed8f7714c4a186da402b90d4f42332aef6f70fad7a9a586fa8be7f4d
Will the Chiefs lead the Eagles by 7 or more points after the first half of Super Bowl LIX?
This market refers to Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Chiefs” if the Kansas City Chiefs lead the Philadelphia Eagles by 7 or more points after the first half of play in Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Eagles.” If the first half is not completed by or the game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-the-chiefs-lead-the-eagles-by-7-or-more-points-after-the-first-half-of-super-bowl-lix
[ "Sports", "NFL", "Spreads", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props", "First Half", "Game Props" ]
false
null
null
0x514ef1e9f17b42e4e30d724c1a65059d073d04d1aa8d786f629fd6582607970f
0x98a14eaaa840b371322a5e84e1ba3061473e260284e541e32d885cdaa1014db8
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Mona Lisa" first?
This market will resolve according to the first song Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count. If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source will be live footage of the halftime show.
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-mona-lisa-first
[ "Sports", "NFL", "Super Bowl LIX", "Super Bowl Props", "Kendrick Halftime Show" ]
false
0
1
0x3321c716c37c097e24f911a5ee57685ae96d17598e47aed0f308a8d9e81376ce
0x1c765c03fe72dcfa97c7b3c09711288b7560ea2b20d0f53abe529ede2792a62e
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by February 28?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sudzha railroad station located on Privokzal'naya ulitsa by February 28, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sudzha+train+station.png Sudzha Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Sudzha+location.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/s7MXZ3FSQBaVkAMk9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
true
true
will-russia-recapture-sudzha-by-february-28
[ "Politics", "russia", "Ukraine", "Breaking News", "Geopolitics" ]
false
0
1