question_id
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118
| description
stringlengths 159
1.79k
| end_date_iso
stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
⌀ | active
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classes | closed
bool 2
classes | market_slug
stringlengths 12
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float64 0
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1
⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x63975ac5732b09e9f14c184e455c77fa6f525c4b36f7ca41f1be825146c90103
|
0xcfa15b5db79907263751c342c1e3b31d9175102db130ded23a91be0d7a8e4b84
|
Will Andrew Tate tweet 200-219 times Jan 24-31?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@cobratate), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-andrew-tate-tweet-200-219-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d08
|
0xa68cf9ef67d11abe37bb2ca1ea2e3e4c4a014cc5ef3fcee4b9f1bdec5be92c37
|
Will Kansas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kansas-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xab9c950dd4adf6ca0f2c55cccc6c65e1a3983708a61721af6d3a10c5cf252807
|
0xb1c5cb57fc64f26800c104e0eb286438c5307bc0e4c604056b29784d46a7184c
|
AfD banned before German election?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the political party Alternative for Germany (Alternative für Deutschland, AfD) is banned at the federal level in Germany by February 22, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Partial bans at the state level or restrictions short of a full federal ban will not count.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
afd-banned-before-german-election
|
[
"Politics",
"German Election"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x76cabfb84818a635fcf17f0921c7ab058c75720ab2a7688b730b28621eb80901
|
0x4e002315257067063d442ddbc3aa6262334eb064861dd3dbd892b549a3878513
|
Will the Chiefs face the Commanders in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the teams that advance to Super Bowl LIX.
If the Super Bowl LIX matchup has not been confirmed by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-chiefs-face-the-commanders-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"NFL",
"Superbowl",
"Super Bowl LIX"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6c0e006b08430420197a5618f70bd768bb7026fee91f159de7e3ea3c9d2cc802
|
0x868834dca0093a7892aa7b2f29adc7ee11adb3b64a1196f90251efede8cec58b
|
Will the match between Bayer Leverkusen and Sparta Praha end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Bayer Leverkusen and Sparta Praha scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-bayer-leverkusen-and-sparta-praha-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Bayer Leverkusen",
"Sparta Praha"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x04e874d36b4fad71723a020e6bd8d843d18a7c167b74dccc156d2441118e73af
|
0xde4b8a3a6bff6bf8caabeea53e78d886c88b759a8a642ab14ee14ab0c5f8afde
|
Scorigami in Super Bowl LIX?
|
In sports, a Scorigami is a scoring combination that has never before occurred in a sport or league's history.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one NFL Scorigami occurs during the 2024-25 AFC Championship Game, the 2024-25 NFC Championship Game, or Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" once all scheduled games for the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs have been completed and none resulted in a new Scorigami.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL ([https://www.nfl.com/scores/](https://www.nfl.com/scores/)), however other sites tracking Scorigami may be used ([nflscorigami.com](https://nflscorigami.com/), [twitter.com/NFL_Scorigami](https://twitter.com/NFL_Scorigami)).
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
another-scorigami-in-the-nfl-playoffs
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"scorigami",
"gami"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x76cabfb84818a635fcf17f0921c7ab058c75720ab2a7688b730b28621eb80903
|
0x1afd5d98b2d2e5dfb29625423e6e2b823275299aa2e68175cbeea09a2812cb86
|
Will the Bills face the Commanders in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the teams that advance to Super Bowl LIX.
If the Super Bowl LIX matchup has not been confirmed by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-bills-face-the-commanders-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"NFL",
"Superbowl",
"Super Bowl LIX"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x63975ac5732b09e9f14c184e455c77fa6f525c4b36f7ca41f1be825146c9010b
|
0xf7affecdaf88f268c96f8d2a0adf099abccd94ada5aec64c28dc0c8683f87c9a
|
Will Andrew Tate tweet 360 or more times Jan 24-31?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@cobratate), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-andrew-tate-tweet-360-or-more-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x63975ac5732b09e9f14c184e455c77fa6f525c4b36f7ca41f1be825146c90102
|
0x01cd127d45c858f6f204b9fdeb033b2fe707d9444fa8f3af517fbd2e6cff5d14
|
Will Andrew Tate tweet 180-199 times Jan 24-31?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@cobratate), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-andrew-tate-tweet-180-199-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3d9b4f1c2544fd21fefd83a7811eff57a289f85a28afba1d2407feeab1f13901
|
0xdff811f862de767f0665891e041201bfad4346ff5f2fad80f92b663d20b39be5
|
Will the Eagles beat the Chiefs in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to exact outcome of Super Bowl LIX.
If Super Bowl LIX has not been completed by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-eagles-beat-the-chiefs-in-superbowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"bills",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"commanders",
"Superbowl",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xf546e78775f82c4dbca95ced9d54ae8a33411dc3ea28e63b5fc9f0db4c5e5300
|
0x685cfe5dab22704f3fc55bfd0cf891704fd4f781633edf64539e7ca42a31c611
|
Will Aston Villa beat Celtic?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Aston Villa and Celtic scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Aston Villa wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-aston-villa-beat-celtic
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Aston Villa",
"Celtic"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xf071f1a0f1b02978c726298b49e617bca8394243e4e3918312914b1df3213102
|
0x69549cb50429f3feb21116a253f1f7be0469f6eacbe8b27670d2254752a6d4ba
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 29-30°F on January 25?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 25, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-29-30f-on-january-25
|
[
"Weather",
"New York"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d25
|
0xb8b67f09f6850d6225e5bcbfd6ca51ede3bd421c367e5037e3c3aae9d595c64d
|
Will North Carolina win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-north-carolina-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf3f872a7a808442508636cf96c622ee6411ba5e8e00482af7c1f7cbab53ac604
|
0x4eabfbc5d7ae93682e1edfdbf247d676491dbc6667e9d84f3a42d2a5b7bf5f7d
|
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 24-31?
|
Note: Lower options can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-24-31-lower-options
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-325-349-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xeaef1d67bf597d21d7162fd6c03de3e57ee9a822f1b70b76bf453019a0cf6e01
|
0xae08b0027bb1fb50c112e72da476cf4356989fe281e97930a8ee62236268ffe4
|
Will Atalanta beat Barcelona?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Barcelona and Atalanta scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Atalanta wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-atalanta-beat-barcelona
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"barcelona",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Atalanta"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x11efacaa909f396d7da20a6b685462e023d5351c2db9f6794f10ff6810b1f100
|
0xc67473899383033954b8e1745b70fd0ad767c847dd8a48623ce7671952e54e44
|
Will Stuttgart beat Paris Saint-Germain?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Stuttgart and Paris Saint-Germain scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Stuttgart wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-stuttgart-beat-paris-saint-germain
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Paris Saint-Germain",
"Stuttgart"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d06
|
0xc3e1b9c2dd9006994c8cb5ec4424b39551ba0db2ba814e8adcf749659eb7d978
|
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-florida-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d39
|
0xde663b4555b34cf9f9d18eae8bd3f1b0a32abedb786274225e6a45bf9dac4ba9
|
Will Robert Morris win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-robert-morris-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf3f872a7a808442508636cf96c622ee6411ba5e8e00482af7c1f7cbab53ac600
|
0xf2d9e4b280288159c6202e86d6a69e850ce80c361ba09e348de445a951b796f6
|
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 24-31?
|
Note: Lower options can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-24-31-lower-options
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-less-than-250-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d34
|
0x8a99e47bf9ffa13d0621d584dc0f10f58f3a78abc9f50d2147998379b667c79e
|
Will Vanderbilt win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-vanderbilt-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d11
|
0x189113c537d5f827fe5ef4805b431bc2d908241b5335032186715a3eb16a8983
|
Will Purdue win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-purdue-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0e8c3a297a1b68478a5ca154aa027b4b90913f4c4efae85fbf939a37d1e3eaec
|
0x1743731bb51902ec3a75fd80593667f5e62595adac0cbe4127347aa3e0c667d6
|
Kings vs. Lightning
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 30 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Los Angeles Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the Tampa Bay Lightning win, the market will resolve to “Lightning”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-lak-tb-2025-01-30
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d03
|
0x78d5a1b542e4def61318c50cf40590607571122ba7f487ab744f63de8a2a361f
|
Will Iowa State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-iowa-state-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x68f4d24a0d8ab8d8f1a0520e859127f5a846b71197e931d1d7c9d3104c645a06
|
0x6e60a23e50b17ff81ffd4670ef1f221103eb3cc8ae6c48a85f29749c3d49c42d
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or higher on January 24?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 24, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-57f-or-higher-on-january-24
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa870d16ff1cc27bd54444d757d2fadffc8a5890755c8052f43a8a9255660ab90
|
0x31f11f0ac7218f2d3a36ebd8655ea9f3c600dae1de10f987daa9d3d16127c2d4
|
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in his first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 23, and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-meet-with-benjamin-netanyahu-in-his-first-100-days
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Geopolitics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Foreign Policy",
"First 100 days"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x948efee1a74d4a155d02e04189d5d6348dca4e4ed9f47ac790c3ddaf092c5f0f
|
0xf06edd5750493b217628bb6c0a405656331b9ee361079e752e4f5aa9e00b934c
|
Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?
|
This market will resolve to “Heads” if the opening coin toss lands on heads at Super Bowl LIX.
This market will resolve to “Tails” if the opening coin toss lands on Tails.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
what-is-ther
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"coin toss",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"National Anthem/Coin Toss"
] | false
| null | null |
0xbcfeb6aff438e213aa30cdbaa8b54b00c89dacf814d2decb433f56f4dd80cf00
|
0x5b320ed3b0d90ba511ce02ad14e2bbaaa3f6f09282d5bba236b774c60b54767b
|
Will FC Midtjylland beat Fenerbahce?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between FC Midtjylland and Fenerbahce scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If FC Midtjylland wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-fc-midtjylland-beat-fenerbahce
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Fenerbahce",
"FC Midtjylland"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x73e975affe79696bab7a868cc0e344627b301a6dde7cbaa9cc2b752872b36976
|
0xb8a8e602687b28f01ace4ec92291de13bead3838e32d81dbcc09e66d50c94d6d
|
Will Arsenal advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-arsenal-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad615
|
0xf4d16349adeadc5be294f657b6c5e8699bd70c6ee7941e82e3762002ee54789d
|
Will Johnny Wilson score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-johnny-wilson-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1555cd7864535d58621814a096e1ca607f74469f89b431439916f1b1d9fad10c
|
0x55b1043e0cc87a2330bc656e1a2c548f35bc9d4a4f3b33c26de4a27c02e1c6b8
|
Flames vs. Kraken
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 2 at 9:00PM ET:
If the Calgary Flames win, the market will resolve to “Flames”.
If the Seattle Kraken win, the market will resolve to “Kraken”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-cal-sea-2025-02-02
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x8843db8bd5a503bab0ebcab711242744809694b7dc4505d62268ba55b6a83946
|
0x2c112018dcd30a8e6ea5f63edb25dd6b3019756a387439a41ab97447d262b084
|
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.
Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-nvidia-run-an-ad-during-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Commericals",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9c95a86bf2be4a663a959e6964941551fc8672e30da0ac0ff1ce9c1380dd9300
|
0xcf2238d7e138aa56fe10f9268b8ce9d3ae81bfa0237563f18c049f890232a171
|
Will Ajax beat Galatasaray?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Ajax and Galatasaray scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Ajax wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ajax-beat-galatasaray
|
[
"Sports",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Galatasaray",
"Ajax"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xf49ca19a0b5bc1bad056e0b7db335171f4c43509a23459c881dabbd92c661605
|
0xb5c989a43d2a523b30911d0b3b1df9aad8681f19fa86b1ff74dfd0244a0610eb
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on January 30?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 30, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-48-49f-on-january-30
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x96da2e797b051e95bd866d9096ca27710b4e3d00580b361b53431caa485ec501
|
0x47c6555b8fc011757bbb063112dedef988f5c955e58a90103de4ff827256a758
|
Will ICE detain 400-499 people on January 29?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 29, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<400" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-400-499-people-on-january-29
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe38dda65cae01639bf898f43c3626d6b18eeb542a73ae3caa8ce14a89f752503
|
0x950df471a8e4197e3683a48c1b6a79a6e5abb8d7c18a3d287d4447db8dc5dea0
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 46-47°F on January 29?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 29, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-46-47f-on-january-29
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x79f535e68940f8ef660e7e9bc6f1b812bdd6c989d1a3193fdb9ba355a5482b78
|
0xf3bd9102ae39fe9b603211a0bfdb677ff0928afc8011fbe451a71bfb2007361c
|
Magic vs. Heat
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 27 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to “Magic”.
If the Miami Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-orl-mia-2025-01-27
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xf7cf5f88524218ab992fe8d91d52196d8248fd3cc25a7a3df2e8cdf1523deb06
|
0x6cbc47b102c6c4e8face115f1992269150ee2c718b0424568125aa7fc991f54c
|
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times Jan 24-31?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-225-249-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf49ca19a0b5bc1bad056e0b7db335171f4c43509a23459c881dabbd92c661603
|
0xab2548fb79f70ad30bf63370c78839118c76b9436dfa96080b63bc45b53cea1a
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on January 30?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 30, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-44-45f-on-january-30
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa02118dc7fa6be5d675b6be8426100956303a6636b01bee7bdb2fb205ea76e29
|
0x75da1c0652e4d6d5524b2efa49931c9ce0d602fec7e48c649c8db0f7bc333e48
|
Will Liverpool advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-liverpool-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x897538c41a7e82490a159061a35019425b3513ed0e839f8e13137eb0014589f4
|
0xe3b305286bd6526b54791716ef39d5ff30800c2e6215541ba7ef95c0c2fcef9e
|
Wizards vs. Mavericks
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 27 at 8:30PM ET:
If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to “Wizards”.
If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to “Mavericks”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-was-dal-2025-01-27
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x3f7c9e3194781f3aaa12570368e235e87e791efd6a00613306612ad8a31aea2c
|
0xc937c1f81d94cc7baa789eb8f4ebb7e8b19d3b577cc6183a6f533004044d908e
|
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.
Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-apple-run-an-ad-during-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Commericals",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf49ca19a0b5bc1bad056e0b7db335171f4c43509a23459c881dabbd92c661606
|
0xd7289386c0a25afca8d83764e340351d953200870f66ea38d7d8c750402074ce
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or higher on January 30?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 30, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-50f-or-higher-on-january-30
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcce8e5d54c9bf48996cf57622f83f48d023f176a64f88a3b18a86ce0e2f20b5d
|
0x7e62351041934ac5fe9c73edc801e0c5bc1e1586028d97cb7d9838a93df54ebe
|
Will Club Brugge advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-club-brugge-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb0f
|
0x65e0967820bec80fd7f930448da7cfe37668744ffddb73572ab223aede502f78
|
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl LIX by 22 or more points?
|
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed”
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-eagles-win-super-bowl-lix-by-22-or-more-points
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd99512208f8fb47f0b3c78cb7860bdbb38d43a485d98c8fb35a68634599fde0a
|
0x86ec6bdeb264453c590ffe416963f6ae4eb559e8a818ae022a8e7df5b63cbb92
|
Bucks vs. Spurs
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 31 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks”.
If the San Antonio Spurs win, the market will resolve to “Spurs”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-mil-sas-2025-01-31
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xea615ecb7d0641c2f958bdc95250d4bc32d5415597ac4be3d9505bc2208db207
|
0x268a8c551c574d999d37fee1530820558a22a6a58a8bb7b4b69d3ccfb2bb07c7
|
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?
|
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-alibaba-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28
|
[
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"DeepSeek"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xba6da53ef7537492c35073f6d48ac23dc3182a584a0b0eecbe838c991afcd61e
|
0x32cafb4f646148465fe711628fb0c08d3f51decc4054be30aced58ccabc425d4
|
Blues vs. Avalanche
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 31 at 9:00PM ET:
If the St. Louis Blues win, the market will resolve to “Blues”.
If the Colorado Avalanche win, the market will resolve to “Avalanche”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-stl-col-2025-01-31
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x00df5b0ee39baea96298a3fb921ad4ad7a4bbe451336210768639d5fa105c203
|
0xcfee08b91f760b71c4352789ff56feb830f29260c9b807301bde19bff5759cf6
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 41-42°F on January 26?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 26, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-41-42f-on-january-26
|
[
"Weather",
"New York"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x405b030696427832401a88aaf6596f5a98c3ed88bf8684d2768c9f0a3f047876
|
0xf1f736e51360f60ed099cfa5633af32bf2757e85929a2ec1685d8f23ea49bb65
|
Hawks vs. Timberwolves
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 27 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Atlanta Hawks win, the market will resolve to “Hawks”.
If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to “Timberwolves”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-atl-min-2025-01-27
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xe70726937486a6e2ff39936df4a4fdbc8ed98b4b3e1a29001825ff75b79f75ad
|
0xd22fc494191f36ad002bc9ab87e3c83c1aa21384bb146d9629a96a39d2c9fce9
|
Clippers vs. Hornets
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 31 at 7:00PM ET:
If the LA Clippers win, the market will resolve to “Clippers”.
If the Charlotte Hornets win, the market will resolve to “Hornets”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-lac-cha-2025-01-31
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x9200cfbcc7c76365ea2119708b32f71758033e78baa7d3b3db59dbb177604064
|
0xc0a7d6ad3e0db1726f5876b00ab3aa8b40630e1c0973aa4104f2b7f175931924
|
Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-paris-saint-germain-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x184f79c5957ab99954cd491ddc8189f1fd6df35fa9b682cb7d3da75d8d17ea51
|
0xfe83571db2f9933b6139c44a5d92a4fcc775636663a9c9cfc3376019f958dbb2
|
Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-psv-eindhoven-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad61c
|
0xa89bdf3317a710978f1ea2f80a6c86f33cd98d69449c0c7f29272f82fa06c940
|
Will Grant Calcaterra score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-grant-calcaterra-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf49ca19a0b5bc1bad056e0b7db335171f4c43509a23459c881dabbd92c661601
|
0xe37b03906f8cde1b307dd6a260ae2acb06c393e60862c69648778ed688951da4
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on January 30?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 30, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-40-41f-on-january-30
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb46797ef491f1a7b15d5b822f691a3987bc07c1e7306a8d69f10b5f3bf06507e
|
0x563eb58b4629471e0588a7c0e820dbd51fe7b7d0c5707e5e0a250690547a6560
|
Will Aston Villa advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-aston-villa-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xe17deba14f80a138885405ace5531223e0766ef91ccb7439a3503a67f1201a02
|
0xbcb70e357694345bcd6b1a2c7c999a352843b6044f3d36dd494ac18661c25ef8
|
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?
|
The next German federal election is scheduled to take place on February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next German federal election.
If the next German Coalition after the election is not announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
If a party does not meet fraktion threshold (5% of seats) it will not be counted as part of the coalition. For example, if CDU/CSU, SPD, & BSW form a coalition, but BSW is not a fraktion, the market would resolve to “CDU/CSU & SPD”.
Any party which signs a coalition agreement which leads to the appointment of a Chancellor will be considered part of the coalition.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
|
2025-02-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-cducsu-and-afd-form-the-next-german-government
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"German Election"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9a6258d24a20d43ac8c9e5ed1abbba3ce361d2048d4da01f05a55e02329c804c
|
0x3109368a8c10cb96ccd73edb84461a5525229cfc35d6225facafa74d3418f398
|
Pelicans vs. Raptors
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 27 at 7:30PM ET:
If the New Orleans Pelicans win, the market will resolve to “Pelicans”.
If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to “Raptors”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-nop-tor-2025-01-27
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xfe485749ba11876ee1026e6411d863dce1b0951d385558a373d8b3a7bd6fd53f
|
0x939643150756c693fa321aa8dc30bafd44ca71d608ee11ef66941688e63fb6f5
|
Will Pete Buttigieg announce Michigan Senate run before March?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former United States Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg announces that he is running for Senator from Michigan in the 2026 midterm election, between January 27, and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Pete Buttigieg will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Pete Buttigieg (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-pete-buttigieg-announce-michigan-senate-run-before-march
|
[
"Politics"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9a5ccb909cb1699b8bbc027f0a80546c073989d26b7450dcb9b1fa8627b3dc00
|
0xfc45bb0a047fe94b1db99d72d9aa50dd53268af6a52ece7d1c5e88ad02fd6b94
|
Will Maccabi TLV beat Porto?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Maccabi TLV and FC Porto scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Maccabi TLV wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-maccabi-tlv-beat-porto
|
[
"Sports",
"porto",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Maccabi TLV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x862356ba69ff3026f482dcfa1de9b10f371a203a3e86b2b73625f1acd0d5d3cc
|
0xb351d24bffa23961d81df0f2e47143be3f4d41a8c72128b5465de32185fe77c8
|
Rockets vs. Hawks
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 28 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Houston Rockets win, the market will resolve to “Rockets”.
If the Atlanta Hawks win, the market will resolve to “Hawks”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-hou-atl-2025-01-28
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x391ad720b06ca6e28ff51bbda5b1a7f0d96477edfd0ca209fdea2ede2c8a5357
|
0x90022f8972b01ea54fafc30e38412b2f6bcfe5544f3cfbfbcba0cd1b3fc1b3d6
|
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DeepSeek iOS app is the #1 app in the United States iPhone Apple App Store for the Top Free Apps category, on January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is information from Apple (see: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/top-free-apps/36).
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-deepseek-still-be-1-free-app-on-friday
|
[
"Business",
"AI",
"Tech"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xe813b05473c989c6bc307c5ca773dca5b69b8420d20786c102d34ae3b902a803
|
0xed55b47daec0676d9106464392e2ebc17a7c1a9df38d5d12cba6aa7757389e31
|
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 3 times?
|
This market will resolve to the number of times Taylor Swift is shown on-screen, between the start of the National Anthem and the final whistle, during the official broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox.
"Times" refers to discrete instances where Taylor Swift is clearly visible. These instances must be separated by shots where Taylor Swift is not clearly visible on screen.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “0”.
Note: Only live appearances count (commercials and videos recorded in the past won't count).
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official NFL broadcast of Super Bowl LIX, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
taylor-swift-shown-on-the-super-bowl-lix-broadcast-3-times
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Taylor Swift",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x31b9a285d9e815031cdb87e67a4616749194f93b6321a1f83fb51a44356fcd03
|
0xf0ef92e124fa742e7c1c98a2fa1b118086cd33efae33fe41e305f74e5e1c6ba0
|
Will ICE detain 600-699 people on January 28?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 28, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<400" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-600-699-people-on-january-28
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa5f809477f05ca62082ef631020da65b4198f2b2d5733e0d77ade2591ea08a0e
|
0x34358ad0897f644fa89af707023b66b0193d964d75391420687712b9a9252252
|
Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on the listed country by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-taiwan-in-the-first-100-days
|
[
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Tariffs",
"Trade War",
"First 100 days",
"Liberation Day Tariffs"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x53f3c8adea74c9057c5e31d0445f686197c9e7be5b58eef8f50f34822496c670
|
0x3528c806d65e8f44ad5d6c247f61d1a84e2cc41672b65f5ca9991d8a4c32a85e
|
Will Trump impose tariffs on Mexico in the first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on the listed country by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-mexico-in-the-first-100-days
|
[
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Tariffs",
"Trade War",
"First 100 days",
"Liberation Day Tariffs"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x37c2419ddaf7b832909b555316ee0067d996594156ff5b7bd628a797a67aed01
|
0x7fa83b9872bd54ce349d7d1147098d3b86dc643bbd7969922fc54a1bfb7ce204
|
Will Besiktas beat Twente?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between FC Twente and Besiktas scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Besiktas wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-besiktas-beat-twente
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Besiktas",
"Twente"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x96da2e797b051e95bd866d9096ca27710b4e3d00580b361b53431caa485ec505
|
0x4e0e443197f0dc6cda6bb8a91562d9536c2d33c765bc883c0452626100571f3d
|
Will ICE detain 800 or more people on January 29?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 29, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<400" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-800-or-more-people-on-january-29
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xb4e2677406cdd4a12916a760ab1a1094dfce5296c44b2ab7c2883ebb5380f12f
|
0x2e95353687ea1c6e084e461ed86b67c82f5221b2017e0f0ff7a44c4d9f0b43fc
|
Jazz vs. Warriors
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 28 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Utah Jazz win, the market will resolve to “Jazz”.
If the Golden State Warriors win, the market will resolve to “Warriors”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-uta-gsw-2025-01-28
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x5d92690af508f1eddcddba0116f1b6b01905d7ca35a7ee25f53db5274cbd8d00
|
0x83d068fa9d71b20f782decc80efbca83c2f673f1b94aa55b7a61f1899d411ecc
|
Will FCSB beat Manchester United?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between FCSB and Manchester United scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If FCSB wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-fcsb-beat-manchester-united
|
[
"Sports",
"manchester united",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"FCSB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3b6703d6adc88a490d743fcdc5c4ba057f23168857ab2ca93cd9be48f4afbb01
|
0x31dd19e9d75e1fbdfcbbc1f094fbd5de0759435f0fc271b075c458e2d5e8e03a
|
Will FK Qarabag beat Olympiacos?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Olympiacos and FK Qarabag scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If FK Qarabag wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-fk-qarabag-beat-olympiacos
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Olympiacos",
"FK Qarabag"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdd334bf587aab6d42c6d53e2bbcfdb3168a0aef5c2b235d3131b2049a7bec9d5
|
0x5f1c330b8f5904180a99ded22083a35c73bf3ef403ad4baf0b92fa3a473ed9fc
|
Will Atletico Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-atletico-madrid-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x772dcb877c318e2e487207d556c6152cc1c8fd03d8792063eae86c7a977c5306
|
0xb11fdcde8e0bbb304261ca47aec69e05623438e7c16d87a3b05f84ee10c1eb0b
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 44°F or higher on January 30?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 30, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-44f-or-higher-on-january-30
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x736ed63552978850a0e4da6c8266709246e4c8b39aafe2ee502568a0f992b185
|
0x5123fcf0a4ca140bfec3f2f81cb4067a428218477f20950f2a09880d5bcdd5ef
|
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is impossible for this team to reach the Round of 16 of the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, this market will resolve to “No” (ie they are mathematically eliminated).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-02-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-bayer-leverkusen-advance-to-the-round-of-16-in-the-2024-25-uefa-champions-league
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad616
|
0xd7edb7defacff69e050e3c80706e98b845231d7e7cbc5ce3131b2d0b01e710ab
|
Will Carson Steele score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-carson-steele-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfaa5370ced18a5e744efbf4049b1d9283398bd1c9dcd147b75966d6fcfb90d0a
|
0x9306060d704cb23ed9851124eade3a5390a7292b4aebf2bfde6131c93925bf20
|
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.
Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-state-farm-run-an-ad-during-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Commericals",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf79053ad38c44f2215432f855449e700f954b85e53d26032cf12146f1a826802
|
0x86d792bdbec0af60c2006cceac6384a89df156dc8e4eb103d166ef79d51eb82b
|
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 70?
|
This market will resolve according to the Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer “All Critics” Tomatometer score for "Captain America: Brave New World" as of Feb 17, 2025 at 10:00AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.
|
2025-02-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-captain-america-brave-new-world-rotten-tomatoes-score-be-between-60-and-70
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc43747a94dd5faf780f1af511f0dbcb821e07cdb5e0e8f2c8be89e04ec6f281f
|
0xf859a8bec297bd8e763a24d3744c0bd1b7f5178f990d75623e62974ada573142
|
Kings vs. 76ers
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 29 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Sacramento Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the Philadelphia 76ers win, the market will resolve to “76ers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-sac-phi-2025-01-29
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x72022e3123ad232a4a8f5f2be05918283a96eeec3fffbd6704ac1a3699fe1400
|
0x4fdcc344be82b4da348dfba822de5ab0f91573733a2a53c12639c39b7578d6a9
|
Will Ferencvaros beat AZ Alkmaar?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Ferencvaros and AZ Alkmaar scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Ferencvaros wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ferencvaros-beat-az-alkmaar
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Ferencvaros",
"AZ Alkmaar"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad61b
|
0x4a86fc56dec9e2931493c2ddfc6f5f45d60603af2c0ca4bb8d3a0a21dc48447b
|
Will E.J. Jenkins score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ej-jenkins-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe17deba14f80a138885405ace5531223e0766ef91ccb7439a3503a67f1201a08
|
0x2e9e4aa4480a3b1f4671ff8ae6f6f4c254f26056138180c61cc78a9231e9ad7b
|
Will another coalition form the next German Government?
|
The next German federal election is scheduled to take place on February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next German federal election.
If the next German Coalition after the election is not announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If a party does not meet fraktion threshold (5% of seats) it will not be counted as part of the coalition. For example, if CDU/CSU, SPD, & BSW form a coalition, but BSW is not a fraktion, the market would resolve to “CDU/CSU & SPD”.
Any party which signs a coalition agreement which leads to the appointment of a Chancellor will be considered part of the coalition.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
|
2025-02-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-another-coalition-form-the-next-german-government
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"German Election"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad61d
|
0xa4ec17a28751a6af598cc891e5d67bf3c2a6e2572a42baa965173ae98bed58e4
|
Will another player on the Chiefs score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-another-player-on-the-chiefs-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb7e1d4c392315b606db481736a008eee3ed0f0accf6fdb61f553d2d35721fb0d
|
0x55046f402e1bd7f523ea9ced987e0a76fe1cb4b6b83a23059a3fb57ad40dc59f
|
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl LIX by 16-18 points?
|
This market will resolve according to the correct winning team and margin of Super Bowl LIX.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Delayed/Postponed”
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-eagles-win-super-bowl-lix-by-16-18-points
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x441dd47a491066708702df1228c59d1f73f1e8a09ffdb7e0e412b0eaf84d508f
|
0xa96554eb2e8f32cece0560ec0edda15cacef4e117a5ead51669d39e857cea391
|
Clippers vs. Raptors
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 2 at 3:30PM ET:
If the LA Clippers win, the market will resolve to “Clippers”.
If the Toronto Raptors win, the market will resolve to “Raptors”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-lac-tor-2025-02-02
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x31b9a285d9e815031cdb87e67a4616749194f93b6321a1f83fb51a44356fcd02
|
0x0168f51ba8a7332795b722b5ec33871d2af57108adaa1c4a90f29aed619e808d
|
Will ICE detain 500-599 people on January 28?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 28, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<400" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-500-599-people-on-january-28
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe813b05473c989c6bc307c5ca773dca5b69b8420d20786c102d34ae3b902a800
|
0xd75113aabd84e9e8496079974d992ff779b27ba26d1788b2a6bbebc63a734259
|
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 0 times?
|
This market will resolve to the number of times Taylor Swift is shown on-screen, between the start of the National Anthem and the final whistle, during the official broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox.
"Times" refers to discrete instances where Taylor Swift is clearly visible. These instances must be separated by shots where Taylor Swift is not clearly visible on screen.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “0”.
Note: Only live appearances count (commercials and videos recorded in the past won't count).
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official NFL broadcast of Super Bowl LIX, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
taylor-swift-shown-on-the-super-bowl-lix-broadcast-0-times
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Taylor Swift",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1e7f775d8d3e5bc087a42590269b6bc03870d601c1117eb027045b6d9b4e7d97
|
0x3ea40099035653b80821b24956c0e36c3fc1927af092e643925213abaa252250
|
Nuggets vs. Bulls
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 27 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Denver Nuggets win, the market will resolve to “Nuggets”.
If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to “Bulls”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-den-chi-2025-01-27
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x08ed017a7c2ea5ed813166e8b69134b06f9f1ac74c2733117a76eeb384da7a1c
|
0x36e90dbfacbc4522a26bb38d4ff133d0aeaa14681348daae5cf6195259dbe64b
|
Red Wings vs. Canucks
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 2 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Detroit Red Wings win, the market will resolve to “Red Wings”.
If the Vancouver Canucks win, the market will resolve to “Canucks”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-det-van-2025-02-02
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x08eb0e2e23a165da2e708c1dd1c802de54f6a44524cd7b0b30ee08f3ce330cbc
|
0x982806dfdbcf53c461c46bd889631fe1160ed6367252f4933a04193194acc637
|
Will Elon reach #1 in Path of Exile 2 in January?
|
Elon Musk is presently playing Path of Exile 2 under the name of Fatalismftw. He is currently ranked #3 on the Hardcore League leaderboard: https://pathofexile2.com/ladder/Hardcore
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fatalismftw reaches #1 on the Path of Exile 2 Hardcore League leaderboard by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable before this market's expiration date, and Elon Musk has not yet reached the #1 rank, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Fatalismftw character dies before this market's end date, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the above described leaderboard: https://pathofexile2.com/ladder/Hardcore.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-reach-1-in-path-of-exile-2-before-february
|
[
"gaming",
"Esports",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x325e5362f2789b9de9013ddeb7adc9994b0b3a7526466b031595d41d111b895a
|
0xed04978e22f057a9eca05a34ff933651527e49665fa5970c20d24c7b1d10b984
|
Mavericks vs. Pistons
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 31 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to “Mavericks”.
If the Detroit Pistons win, the market will resolve to “Pistons”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-dal-det-2025-01-31
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xfc0f2b71d5e032c988f5af74a3388898b207f3be20c47de5c341152b3b565bad
|
0x39162f1d2c78d0a643f1fad2458df9374c0768e2d8cd523da5a40ff22918b9c8
|
Wizards vs. Timberwolves
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 1 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Washington Wizards win, the market will resolve to “Wizards”.
If the Minnesota Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to “Timberwolves”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-was-min-2025-02-01
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xea615ecb7d0641c2f958bdc95250d4bc32d5415597ac4be3d9505bc2208db202
|
0xedecff2ebfe6cd86e6f78da7ad773a86f5d31b8d9a449a5a660aaa3637c35ba5
|
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
|
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28
|
[
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"DeepSeek"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x00df5b0ee39baea96298a3fb921ad4ad7a4bbe451336210768639d5fa105c205
|
0x75ae59efdbed99d27ca6c5da9da46422b49f1c909a182a5effafc0e9d4cb7c00
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on January 26?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 26, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-45-46f-on-january-26
|
[
"Weather",
"New York"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xeadb8655e2fd713aeabc88c2362418d4ab78272d4b8818956cfff9d40cc7bb1f
|
0xec0f32aae6f6125f5470fed1d1f8cd0f678398ce99fbd51e70a9b5501907b799
|
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce breakup before March?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce end their romantic relationship by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Confirmation can come in various forms, including, but not limited to, social media posts, interviews, press releases, official statements, or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve to "No" otherwise.
If it's unclear whether or not they are in a romantic relationship, this market will resolve to the side with the stronger argument based on credible reporting.
|
2025-03-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-taylor-swift-and-travis-kelce-breakup-before-march
|
[
"Sports",
"Taylor Swift",
"Culture",
"travis kelce",
"Super Bowl LIX"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x7b3acfed178099825cf06eb2973e457b47d9a1c311b62728114f854b19520fb9
|
0xd8db4261af1a94a482109b0cc9ca263a9f3af4bdc389202d941d2544e5216d89
|
Suns vs. Trail Blazers
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 1 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to “Suns”.
If the Portland Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to “Trail Blazers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-phx-por-2025-02-01
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x671ee8f4711d3d4d90354eaf4ba91a75a5203d9d680a1b786052055e7fe22901
|
0xef5eab03fae6f011ecfd8127d82211a8a2bc6fb1c81a03a2b6c2981622aa6eb4
|
Will PAOK beat Real Sociedad?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Real Sociedad and PAOK scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If PAOK wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-paok-beat-real-sociedad
|
[
"Sports",
"real sociedad",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"PAOK"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3834634167639337c9becfcf310b5080c5d7618c55b42123a2f55dbf8a6ad605
|
0x10024dbb211271f438fd01325a4cee8b03183874121bb205b3137fb46770fdc2
|
Will A.J. Brown score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the player/unit to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX.
Any rushing or receiving touchdowns will count. Passing touchdowns will not qualify.
Special teams and defensive touchdowns will count for the listed D/ST unit, not the individual player who scores them.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No TD”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-aj-brown-score-the-first-touchdown-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"props",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xea615ecb7d0641c2f958bdc95250d4bc32d5415597ac4be3d9505bc2208db200
|
0x82cc9762eb034e4d9196106daefe747600c154d5014f8f292138b483150d789c
|
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?
|
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28
|
[
"Business",
"AI",
"grok",
"Tech",
"DeepSeek"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2f37f90a6061604747a1db81a856dd239eea17d3ac0f9f36715d4a8582769502
|
0x0ad696d49ecb31b857f986b4eae7aaa45d35889ce9a743464f060010405958a6
|
Will the match between Nice and Bodo Glimt end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Nice and Bodo Glimt scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-nice-and-bodo-glimt-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Bodo Glimt",
"Nice"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3b6703d6adc88a490d743fcdc5c4ba057f23168857ab2ca93cd9be48f4afbb00
|
0xfa249b01d69efd48aead326f57e97a854256f86895a2ea91a5286ebef820a4b1
|
Will Olympiacos beat FK Qarabag?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League match between Olympiacos and FK Qarabag scheduled for January 30, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Olympiacos wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-olympiacos-beat-fk-qarabag
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Olympiacos",
"FK Qarabag"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xf79053ad38c44f2215432f855449e700f954b85e53d26032cf12146f1a826803
|
0x5979efb742f61373752bf774004a09c905f47e29a5fa99515dc09024154e6391
|
Will "Captain America: Brave New World" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70 and 80?
|
This market will resolve according to the Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer “All Critics” Tomatometer score for "Captain America: Brave New World" as of Feb 17, 2025 at 10:00AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.
|
2025-02-17T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-captain-america-brave-new-world-rotten-tomatoes-score-be-between-70-and-80
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
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