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climate | Even if we meet the Paris goals of two degrees warming , cities like Karachi and Kolkata will become close to uninhabitable , annually encountering deadly heat waves like those that crippled them in 2015 . | appeal to emotion |
climate | At four degrees , the deadly European heat wave of 2003 , which killed as many as 2,000 people a day , will be a normal summer . | faulty generalization |
climate | At six , according to an assessment focused only on effects within the U.S. from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration , summer labor of any kind would become impossible in the lower Mississippi Valley , and everybody in the country east of the Rockies would be under more heat stress than anyone , anywhere , in the world today . As Joseph Romm has put it in his authoritative primer Climate Change : What Everyone Needs to Know , heat stress in New York City would exceed that of present-day Bahrain , one of the planet ’ s hottest spots , and the temperature in Bahrain “ would induce hyperthermia in even sleeping humans. ” | fallacy of logic |
climate | As soon as several decades from now , the hajj will become physically impossible for the 2 million Muslims who make the pilgrimage each year . | false dilemma |
climate | As soon as several decades from now , the hajj will become physically impossible for the 2 million Muslims who make the pilgrimage each year . | faulty generalization |
climate | With dialysis , which is expensive , those with kidney failure can expect to live five years ; without it , life expectancy is in the weeks . Of course , heat stress promises to pummel us in places other than our kidneys , too . | fallacy of logic |
climate | But as the pathbreaking work by Rosamond Naylor and David Battisti has shown , the tropics are already too hot to efficiently grow grain , and those places where grain is produced today are already at optimal growing temperature — which means even a small warming will push them down the slope of declining productivity . | faulty generalization |
climate | The droughts in the American plains and Southwest would not just be worse than in the 1930s , a 2015 NASA study predicted , but worse than any droughts in a thousand years — and that includes those that struck between 1100 and 1300 , which “ dried up all the rivers East of the Sierra Nevada mountains ” and may have been responsible for the death of the Anasazi civilization . | fallacy of credibility |
climate | There are now , trapped in Arctic ice , diseases that have not circulated in the air for millions of years — in some cases , since before humans were around to encounter them . Which means our immune systems would have no idea how to fight back when those prehistoric plagues emerge from the ice . | appeal to emotion |
climate | Before the early-modern period , when adventuring sailboats accelerated the mixing of peoples and their bugs , human provinciality was a guard against pandemic . Today , even with globalization and the enormous intermingling of human populations , our ecosystems are mostly stable , and this functions as another limit , but global warming will scramble those ecosystems and help disease trespass those limits as surely as Cortés did . | fallacy of logic |
climate | The fraction of carbon dioxide is growing : It just crossed 400 parts per million , and high-end estimates extrapolating from current trends suggest it will hit 1,000 ppm by 2100 . At that concentration , compared to the air we breathe now , human cognitive ability declines by 21 percent . | ad populum |
climate | Other stuff in the hotter air is even scarier , with small increases in pollution capable of shortening life spans by ten years . | appeal to emotion |
climate | The warmer the planet gets , the more ozone forms , and by mid-century , Americans will likely suffer a 70 percent increase in unhealthy ozone smog , the National Center for Atmospheric Research has projected . | fallacy of credibility |
climate | Which does make you think again about the autism epidemic in West Hollywood . | false causality |
climate | Already , more than 10,000 people die each day from the small particles emitted from fossil-fuel burning ; each year , 339,000 people die from wildfire smoke , in part because climate change has extended forest-fire season ( in the U.S. , it ’ s increased by 78 days since 1970 ) . | false causality |
climate | By 2050 , according to the U.S. Forest Service , wildfires will be twice as destructive as they are today ; in some places , the area burned could grow fivefold . | appeal to emotion |
climate | Peatland fires in Indonesia in 1997 , for instance , added to the global CO2 release by up to 40 percent , and more burning only means more warming only means more burning . | circular reasoning |
climate | There is also the terrifying possibility that rain forests like the Amazon , which in 2010 suffered its second “ hundred-year drought ” in the space of five years , could dry out enough to become vulnerable to these kinds of devastating , rolling forest fires — which would not only expel enormous amounts of carbon into the atmosphere but also shrink the size of the forest . That is especially bad because the Amazon alone provides 20 percent of our oxygen . | appeal to emotion |
climate | In 2013 , melting Arctic ice remodeled Asian weather patterns , depriving industrial China of the natural ventilation systems it had come to depend on , which blanketed much of the country ’ s north in an unbreathable smog . | false causality |
climate | The Chinese “ airpocalypse ” of 2013 peaked at what would have been an Air Quality Index of over 800 . That year , smog was responsible for a third of all deaths in the country . | ad populum |
climate | But researchers like Marshall Burke and Solomon Hsiang have managed to quantify some of the non-obvious relationships between temperature and violence : For every half-degree of warming , they say , societies will see between a 10 and 20 percent increase in the likelihood of armed conflict . | fallacy of credibility |
climate | Some speculate that the elevated level of strife across the Middle East over the past generation reflects the pressures of global warming — a hypothesis all the more cruel considering that warming began accelerating when the industrialized world extracted and then burned the region ’ s oil . | fallacy of credibility |
climate | `` The bottom line point is that there has been a long-term warming trend observed in the location where Pam intensified , '' Ventrice said . | false causality |
climate | This debate — as I argue at some length in Watermelons — was always about left-wing ideology , quasi-religious hysteria , and “ follow the money ” corruption , never about “ science . ” | fallacy of extension |
climate | That is , all these different experts from around the world — China , Russia , Canada , the U.S. , Italy , etc . — have been looking closely at different aspects of the global warming puzzle in various regions and on different timescales and come to the conclusion in irreproachable , peer-reviewed scientific ways that there is no evidence to support the global warming scare story . | intentional |
climate | Büntgen et al , below , shows that temperatures in the northern hemisphere were warmer in the early 1400s than they are today | intentional |
climate | Here ’ s an unusual one from Guillet et al suggesting that there ’ s nothing new about wildly early or late grape harvests through the centuries : | intentional |
climate | Here ’ s one from Li et al showing that China was much warmer 8,000 years ago | fallacy of relevance |
climate | Here ’ s an unusual one from Guillet et al suggesting that there ’ s nothing new about wildly early or late grape harvests through the centuries : | fallacy of relevance |
climate | By “ global warming ” these papers don ’ t , of course , mean the mild warming of around 0.8 degrees Celsius that the planet has experienced since the middle of the 19th century as the world crawled out of the Little Ice Age . | intentional |
climate | Here ’ s one from Li et al showing that China was much warmer 8,000 years ago | intentional |
climate | Here ’ s an unusual one from Guillet et al suggesting that there ’ s nothing new about wildly early or late grape harvests through the centuries : | intentional |
climate | Büntgen et al , below , shows that temperatures in the northern hemisphere were warmer in the early 1400s than they are today | fallacy of relevance |
climate | Here ’ s an unusual one from Guillet et al suggesting that there ’ s nothing new about wildly early or late grape harvests through the centuries : | fallacy of relevance |
climate | “ Global warming ” is a myth — so say 80 graphs from 58 peer-reviewed scientific papers published in 2017 . | fallacy of credibility |
climate | “ Global warming ” as in the scary , historically unprecedented , primarily man-made phenomenon which we must address urgently before the icecaps melt and the Pacific islands disappear beneath the waves and all the baby polar bears drown . | ad hominem |
climate | By “ global warming ” these papers don ’ t , of course , mean the mild warming of around 0.8 degrees Celsius that the planet has experienced since the middle of the 19th century as the world crawled out of the Little Ice Age . | equivocation |
climate | “ Global warming ” as in the scary , historically unprecedented , primarily man-made phenomenon which we must address urgently before the icecaps melt and the Pacific islands disappear beneath the waves and all the baby polar bears drown . | intentional |
climate | What all these papers argue in their different ways is that the alarmist version of global warming — aka Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming ( CAGW ) — is a fake artefact . | fallacy of extension |
climate | That is , all these different experts from around the world — China , Russia , Canada , the U.S. , Italy , etc . — have been looking closely at different aspects of the global warming puzzle in various regions and on different timescales and come to the conclusion in irreproachable , peer-reviewed scientific ways that there is no evidence to support the global warming scare story . | equivocation |
climate | “ Global warming ” is a myth — so say 80 graphs from 58 peer-reviewed scientific papers published in 2017 . | intentional |
climate | Büntgen et al , below , shows that temperatures in the northern hemisphere were warmer in the early 1400s than they are today | fallacy of credibility |
climate | Here ’ s one from Li et al showing that China was much warmer 8,000 years ago | fallacy of credibility |
climate | Here ’ s an unusual one from Guillet et al suggesting that there ’ s nothing new about wildly early or late grape harvests through the centuries : | fallacy of credibility |
climate | Here ’ s an unusual one from Guillet et al suggesting that there ’ s nothing new about wildly early or late grape harvests through the centuries : | fallacy of credibility |
climate | And on and on it goes — there are 80 graphs in all , each showing in its different way why the scare about global warming has been horribly overdone because the evidence just doesn ’ t support its being unusual or a problem . | fallacy of logic |
climate | Few , if any , entertain the notion that carbon dioxide levels have much to do with it . | intentional |
climate | Several of the papers note that the primary influence on warming appears to be solar activity . | equivocation |
climate | The intellectually corrupt and mendacious alarmist science establishment — | ad hominem |
climate | But this is just ugly propaganda . | ad hominem |
climate | Here are dozens of reputable scientists from around the world with no axe to grind collaborating on studies which all corroborate , independently and rigorously , the increasingly respectable view that “ man-made global warming ” just isn ’ t a thing . | fallacy of credibility |
climate | Here are dozens of reputable scientists from around the world with no axe to grind collaborating on studies which all corroborate , independently and rigorously , the increasingly respectable view that “ man-made global warming ” just isn ’ t a thing . | ad populum |
climate | Here are dozens of reputable scientists from around the world with no axe to grind collaborating on studies which all corroborate , independently and rigorously , the increasingly respectable view that “ man-made global warming ” just isn ’ t a thing . | fallacy of logic |
climate | This debate — as I argue at some length in Watermelons — was always about left-wing ideology , quasi-religious hysteria , and “ follow the money ” corruption , never about “ science . ” | ad hominem |
climate | As a disclaimer , the plot line in which much of New England and Western Europe gets plunged into an ice age is significantly over exaggerated and unrealistic on human time scales . | faulty generalization |
climate | Ever since 2012 , scientists have been debating a complex and frankly explosive idea about how a warming planet will alter our weather — one that , if it ’ s correct , would have profound implications across the Northern Hemisphere and especially in its middle latitudes , where hundreds of millions of people live . | appeal to emotion |
climate | The study itself , for instance , refers to “ quasi-resonant amplification ( QRA ) of synoptic-scale waves ” as the key mechanism for how researchers believe this is happening — terminology sure to impart terror in nonscientists worldwide . | intentional |
climate | Mann , who testifies before Congress this week in a session that is expected to feature a rip-roaring debate about the severity of climate change , commented , “ That ’ s going to be a fake debate . | false dilemma |
climate | You have said on several occasions that summer Arctic sea ice would disappear by the middle of this decade . It hasn ’ t . Are you being alarmist ? No . | false dilemma |
climate | By contrast , carbon dioxide hangs around in the climate system for about 100 years before it ends up in the sea and is absorbed by creatures that die and litter the seabed . | appeal to emotion |
climate | Calculations suggest it would need 40 % to 50 % of the arable land of the planet to make it work on the scale we will need and that would not leave enough land to grow crops to feed the world or to provide homes for a viable population of wild animals and plants . | ad populum |
climate | Most people expect this year will see a record low in the Arctic ’ s summer sea-ice cover . | ad populum |
climate | Today , there are quite a number of researchers who think carbon dioxide could last 1,000 years in the atmosphere . | ad populum |
climate | We may be able to raise the Thames barrier in Britain but in Bangladesh , it just means more and more people will be drowned . | appeal to emotion |
climate | It ’ s one that has often been celebrated by climate change skeptics and contrarians who have long contended that global warming won ’ t be all bad , and that plants might help offset any global warming trend . | false dilemma |
climate | On our current trajectory , the report warns , “ planetary and human systems [ are ] reaching a ‘ point of no return ’ by mid-century , in which the prospect of a largely uninhabitable Earth leads to the breakdown of nations and the international order . ” | appeal to emotion |
climate | Barrie now works for the Climate Change Institute at Australian National University , Canberra . | appeal to emotion |
climate | A harrowing scenario analysis of how human civilization might collapse in coming decades due to climate change has been endorsed by a former Australian defense chief and senior royal navy commander . | intentional |
climate | A harrowing scenario analysis of how human civilization might collapse in coming decades due to climate change has been endorsed by a former Australian defense chief and senior royal navy commander . | faulty generalization |
climate | The analysis , published by the Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration , a think-tank in Melbourne , Australia , describes climate change as “ a near- to mid-term existential threat to human civilization ” and sets out a plausible scenario of where business-as-usual could lead over the next 30 years . | faulty generalization |
climate | On our current trajectory , the report warns , “ planetary and human systems [ are ] reaching a ‘ point of no return ’ by mid-century , in which the prospect of a largely uninhabitable Earth leads to the breakdown of nations and the international order . ” | intentional |
climate | The only way to avoid the risks of this scenario is what the report describes as “ akin in scale to the World War II emergency mobilization ” —but this time focused on rapidly building out a zero-emissions industrial system to set in train the restoration of a safe climate . | intentional |
climate | Some one billion people would be forced to attempt to relocate from unlivable conditions , and two billion would face scarcity of water supplies . Agriculture would collapse in the sub-tropics , and food production would suffer dramatically worldwide . The internal cohesion of nation-states like the US and China would unravel . | faulty generalization |
climate | “ Even for 2°C of warming , more than a billion people may need to be relocated and in high-end scenarios , the scale of destruction is beyond our capacity to model with a high likelihood of human civilization coming to an end , ” the report notes . | fallacy of logic |
climate | Barrie now works for the Climate Change Institute at Australian National University , Canberra . | faulty generalization |
climate | Barrie now works for the Climate Change Institute at Australian National University , Canberra . | intentional |
climate | Some one billion people would be forced to attempt to relocate from unlivable conditions , and two billion would face scarcity of water supplies . Agriculture would collapse in the sub-tropics , and food production would suffer dramatically worldwide . The internal cohesion of nation-states like the US and China would unravel . | intentional |
climate | Yes , you read that correctly , three million — million — years ago CO2 levels on Earth were the same as they are today , but there is one major difference between three million years ago and today… | intentional |
climate | We have also been told the problem is DEFINITELY NOT a billions-year-old planet running through cycles where the temperature might fluctuate a bit . Oh , no , that could never be it — so stop saying that could be , you Denier . | intentional |
climate | No , actually , what this study proves is that there is nothing we can do to stop the Earth ’ s naturally occurring climate cycles . | intentional |
climate | Current CO2 levels of 410 parts per million ( ppm ) were last seen on Earth three million years ago , according to the most detailed reconstruction of the Earth ’ s climate by researchers at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research ( PIK ) and published in Science Advances . | intentional |
climate | And yet… CO2 levels were the same then as they are now… | false dilemma |
climate | The far-left ThinkProgress reports that scientists have finally proven that the theory of man-made Global Warming is a total hoax . | fallacy of relevance |
climate | Yes , you read that correctly , three million — million — years ago CO2 levels on Earth were the same as they are today , but there is one major difference between three million years ago and today… Three million years ago , we humans were not driving cars or eating the meat that requires cow farts ; we weren ’ t barbecuing or refusing to recycle or building factories ; there was no Industrial Age , no plastic , no air conditioning , no electricity , no lumber mills , no consumerism , no aerosols . In fact , three million years ago , there were probably no human beings on Earth , at least not human in the way we use that term today . And yet… | false causality |
climate | Yes , you read that correctly , three million — million — years ago CO2 levels on Earth were the same as they are today , but there is one major difference between three million years ago and today… Three million years ago , we humans were not driving cars or eating the meat that requires cow farts ; we weren ’ t barbecuing or refusing to recycle or building factories ; there was no Industrial Age , no plastic , no air conditioning , no electricity , no lumber mills , no consumerism , no aerosols . In fact , three million years ago , there were probably no human beings on Earth , at least not human in the way we use that term today . And yet… | fallacy of logic |
climate | Temperatures were up to 7 degrees Fahrenheit warmer globally , at least double that at the poles , and sea levels were some 20 meters ( 65 feet ) higher . How is that possible 2,999,945 years before Americans moved to the suburbs and lit up the charcoal grills ? | fallacy of logic |
climate | Because , because , because Orange Man Bad : | fallacy of relevance |
climate | Because , because , because Orange Man Bad : | fallacy of extension |
climate | No , actually , what this study proves is that there is nothing we can do to stop the Earth ’ s naturally occurring climate cycles . | fallacy of logic |
climate | Current CO2 levels of 410 parts per million ( ppm ) were last seen on Earth three million years ago , according to the most detailed reconstruction of the Earth ’ s climate by researchers at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research ( PIK ) and published in Science Advances . | fallacy of credibility |
climate | Because , because , because Orange Man Bad : | ad hominem |
climate | As a 2003 study published in the same Science journal put it , `` there will not be enough nitrogen available to sustain the high carbon uptake scenarios . '' | intentional |
climate | Pay close attention to the word `` paradigm . '' | intentional |
climate | The question is whether any climate scientists or environmentalists — who are entirely wedded to the idea that industrialization is destroying the planet — would ever admit this . | intentional |
climate | The question is whether any climate scientists or environmentalists — who are entirely wedded to the idea that industrialization is destroying the planet — would ever admit this . | fallacy of extension |
climate | As we 've noted in this space , the idea of `` settled science '' peddled by environmentalists and politicians defies the history of science , which has seen repeated upheavals of previous forms of `` settled science . '' | fallacy of credibility |
climate | As we 've noted in this space , the idea of `` settled science '' peddled by environmentalists and politicians defies the history of science , which has seen repeated upheavals of previous forms of `` settled science . '' | faulty generalization |
climate | Thomas Kuhn studied this phenomenon in his 1962 book `` The Structure Of Scientific Revolutions . '' He explained how scientists develop a theory — or paradigm — based on available evidence — to explain what they 're seeing . Once that paradigm takes hold , scientists are often loath to give up on it even if evidence piles up that it might be wrong . Eventually , however , faulty paradigms do give way , ushering in a new scientific paradigm . Examples of such paradigm shifts in the past : heliocentric solar system , continental drift , Einstein 's theories . | fallacy of relevance |
climate | Thomas Kuhn studied this phenomenon in his 1962 book `` The Structure Of Scientific Revolutions . '' He explained how scientists develop a theory — or paradigm — based on available evidence — to explain what they 're seeing . Once that paradigm takes hold , scientists are often loath to give up on it even if evidence piles up that it might be wrong . Eventually , however , faulty paradigms do give way , ushering in a new scientific paradigm . Examples of such paradigm shifts in the past : heliocentric solar system , continental drift , Einstein 's theories . | fallacy of credibility |
climate | Thomas Kuhn studied this phenomenon in his 1962 book `` The Structure Of Scientific Revolutions . '' He explained how scientists develop a theory — or paradigm — based on available evidence — to explain what they 're seeing . Once that paradigm takes hold , scientists are often loath to give up on it even if evidence piles up that it might be wrong . Eventually , however , faulty paradigms do give way , ushering in a new scientific paradigm . Examples of such paradigm shifts in the past : heliocentric solar system , continental drift , Einstein 's theories . | faulty generalization |