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stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
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classes | market_slug
stringlengths 12
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⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x335a1199c30aa88642bcdcfc9ef60132894ab6f0b363d33edcc33a20a43c9801
|
0x62579342b0aafd65f6a79f6bbd6231d2d114ba26f8bb06a77096f0b6cf7ca066
|
Will Elon Musk tweet 300-349 times February 7-14?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-musk-tweet-300-349-times-february-7-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4d33157871afb8a14213cbde6e2c452e6357f0a4a90de282abdf06bbc3654101
|
0x00eb19cbc90c35fdf5d18ce68efe6920b82ecb39c21addda1a64a0b1ef65403c
|
Will 'Wicked' win Best Cinematography in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Cinematography.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title's first word comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-wicked-win-best-cinematography-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3469b09017acf708f90e440f7b0986e7503390adeb07ce4ae5b7e6f96f8c4603
|
0x2d857ff2381cc50a1dbcb98a5c45d9b5e63c5c22919b46b0f3641891667e13e0
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on February 9?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 9, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-44-45f-on-february-9
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd57b14789c2ed6a6544218922fc684f46a173a50566a111d0e5d6fbe57bbb2ad
|
0xf77744b2f043dfbb7192f327d20cd37a4fb26f6477821c8b3eee84049942ebed
|
Will a non-quarterback throw a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” any player not listed as a quarterback, throws a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this market will resolver to “No”.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Player positions can be found on the official team depth charts at philadelphiaeagles.com and cheifs.com.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-a-non-quarterback-throw-a-touchdown-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Game Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb74e15090d8e0223f03979783c530fce7c525985752b5550ab187a5d2e9fc200
|
0x9f11ec72e7b55d357869f19836802952e896052c7d6e1408e994b5cfd0a53468
|
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or less in February?
|
This is a market about inflation over the 12 month period ending February 2025 before seasonal adjustment as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12 month period ending in February 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-annual-inflation-increase-by-2pt7-or-less-in-february
|
[
"Politics",
"Inflation",
"Economy",
"Macro Inflation",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6d92f273d3d00cf4b303be7768af7ca96c5f8df18399c69833e44880d911f7a6
|
0x327ba6f057ddb2e586e353d28f984355ae8151e488f49e3572da1e6a8b742416
|
Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?
|
The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario wins a majority of seats (63 or more) in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario as a result of the next Ontario parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).
|
2025-02-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
conservatives-win-majority-in-ontario-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Canada",
"Global Elections",
"Ontario"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xcf667ac43158c7d0b2a0cdd59bd8138ba0ad877139bf5dd1208937d9059f8b00
|
0x0d18029fb2997d1a03a48f282701e3dbc44b6103889464fc550168f9d1ec91d0
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 33°F or below on February 9?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 9, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-33f-or-below-on-february-9
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc485772d74bd48fa500b43708a58871fe839f996ba747702427c4e08ac516e92
|
0xc602ace21c0409bcca0413ceca008f2b61e01909112d8624235eb5efd6e040fd
|
Will Donald Trump say "Trudeau" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-trudeau-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2b1ca11c3c921b1c7f3efa1ef25dba0e850048347bbe151b91b25c140b8efd04
|
0x1538c193e5e54e38ea45abfff37928d3be6f1147a8dd771a92ffa5d718d7f993
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 37-38°F on February 10?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 10, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-37-38f-on-february-10
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x0c3753f309b19327fbaa58f1723e7a00ca582cf860319deec5730853f277de38
|
0x5b00ddea88e4ac439113b2f937f9f6ac93473f6fe946acd1af27295dcec0080c
|
New Trump tariffs by Friday?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on any country, good, or service between February 4 and February 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
new-trump-tariffs-by-friday
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Geopolitics",
"Tariff",
"Trade War"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8f4dffef28cb4c651b48b9fc6faf402ab3d64ab75941863625b87fa51b7d1602
|
0x410b5ed650365f768e78b00663bc660d97030e932f95f4806dbac655d86a8687
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on February 5?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 5, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-47-48f-on-february-5
|
[
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8209418b98a45a99025a0ec171de2d5aace5eddc221d01edce86ffb076af8403
|
0x81456f0a046c281552f42f8ef376a8472c99b3ab85c2167e4621b1d60c73d19c
|
Will Trump say "Gaza" during his February 4 press conference with Netanyahu?
|
Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu are scheduled to hold a meeting followed by a press conference today at 4:00 PM ET (https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-meets-benjamin-netanyahu-first-foreign-leader-meeting-2025712).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this press conference scheduled for February 4. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
If this press conference does not happen by February 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press conference.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-gaza-during-his-february-4-press-conference-with-netanyahu
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Israel",
"Geopolitics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xd562b224a06c7be93a94e9aa71b3a2252334e4aba454f8071010f50e5ee82704
|
0x7b9972c81b798ed4c8172d7710ee93c8421e407cccea7b0bc27281eaf48b7171
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on February 6?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 6, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-47-48f-on-february-6
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x143e40edf93daab2480f0ee0f06aca47bce293fa6acaa8e87ea67301d2c820af
|
0xea90be5eb460a6688f7c3bc7de2b232c116dce964ec65f2e6f7a3b01d437d65a
|
Will Ackman head US Wealth Fund?
|
On February 3, Donald Trump signed an executive order creating a sovereign wealth fund (see: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/03/trump-sovereign-wealth-fund-tiktok).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Bill Ackman will head the sovereign wealth fund created by the Trump administration by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If Ackman co-heads the sovereign wealth fund with others, it will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
The resolution source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ackman-head-us-wealth-fund
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"us government"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x445ca11bec2f1b9c8f6de07ad3e0718d4cccfe901494289e9694a958ddd01f06
|
0x97f246d346a9041aa38279bf723a51a776c9e135d4480583f2c824c1f912a979
|
Will Bitcoin be between $102000 and $104000 on February 14?
|
This market will resolve to according to the final “Close” price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 14 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-bitcoin-be-between-102000-and-104000-on-february-14
|
[
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8f6a3748b7bbdd7f8030133f4c063f9db2639e71c60114c91399fb5d98a93502
|
0xa9609fd91c52ebdbab7769919acdcd14475bcba06d19df76d3bd9f900e18b0cd
|
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.9% on February 14?
|
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 14, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for February 14 must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trumps-538-approval-rating-be-between-46pt0-and-46pt9-on-february-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Approval",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4d33157871afb8a14213cbde6e2c452e6357f0a4a90de282abdf06bbc3654102
|
0x9d9febf014242ee5630a58277272fec763fc022111c4eb26f9685d099ab33f7e
|
Will 'The Brutalist' win Best Cinematography in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Cinematography.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title's first word comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-brutalist-win-best-cinematography-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd9b6498a6efeb7e9d7efe224b26dc3f6c83fc34c5d9acfee51b710771754aa3c
|
0x77dfb43b09ad3a728becb5c299384b40424a7533c80e54f844e1e3c9b911e633
|
Will Donald Trump say "DEI" or "Diversity Equity and Inclusion" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-dei-or-diversity-equity-and-inclusion-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6fc9ef6afb70c52fe3a3f1cc0c2b41186d04c1940d1b2d1c9d1710f66adbd680
|
0x3a93d764740fcbf0e53b89c5810bce5c91b3d7076155e81e92fac67a8d06e8fa
|
FA Cup: Stoke City vs. Cardiff City (To Advance)
|
This market refers to the FA Cup Fourth Round match between Stoke City and Cardiff City, scheduled for February 8, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET.
If Stoke City advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Stoke.”
If Cardiff City advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Cardiff.”
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond February 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FA Cup.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
fa-cup-stoke-city-vs-cardiff-city-to-advance
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Stoke City",
"FA Cup",
"Cardiff City"
] | false
| null | null |
0x7a887116f4583ab24594efffdf2f17b93625bf094aa44910e1cbf877f06d8004
|
0xf11c8514e43a75ea697190ddc6488eb6add613b7afe106f44201840813257200
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 5?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 5, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-36-37f-on-february-5
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x33e8df50fae026a55b33526cb685a1a6bde7e014312a6ea34014d031ba422cb5
|
0x0222b1c5a75a02b29aaa80da6a4a49e8ff3a5055a38e8f9c1ec16648d556e688
|
Ye divorce before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ye (Kanye West) and/or Bianca Censori announce their intention to divorce by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by March 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Ye and/or Censori, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ye-divorce-before-april
|
[
"Music",
"ye",
"Celebrities",
"Culture",
"Kanye"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd562b224a06c7be93a94e9aa71b3a2252334e4aba454f8071010f50e5ee82705
|
0x80ef4a09c0f0343a16128bdee1799b7ebb76ef15749ea7b3e2e04b3010d3f089
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on February 6?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 6, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-49-50f-on-february-6
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x10bc1c93fbce02bc0d7625848ada61147af58f81e79ae511cd2efbb161d44500
|
0x8cb1c896413880ab06c239f9ba7e1a29c428e20e8fd67477ddeca8fdfc317e70
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 35°F or below on February 7?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 7, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-35f-or-below-on-february-7
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x96eadf2d28abb73ed0c939f7cfc343299a2dd37f06c8b59c061b40a4e4f1636e
|
0xdbba965216da22b3a2b3d7aebf5751f4be8ba71a7fbfc730e5940817bf77cda3
|
WIll there be a penalty for exessive celebration called in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is one more accepted excessive celebration penalties committed by the Kansas City Chief or the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Super Bowl LIX is not completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-a-penalty-for-exessive-celebration-called-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Penalties",
"Game Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe68f6394d95a27d83bcb4e021fa5371d4fece7cd62870a287c0eb2ce1490702
|
0x169b0b6718026cd8c9e52fab6f26acdbc296cbfe7769d4c6a84b4a1def2659e3
|
Will Kanye tweet 60-79 times on February 7?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times ye (@kanyewest), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and February 8, 2025, 12:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kanye-tweet-60-79-times-on-february-7
|
[
"Breaking News",
"Culture",
"Kanye",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe59fd7e6c3edfe904247d191b6a6445e42b25c31834c00769de0bcb520955d00
|
0x2520ab88977c985ed107955a929c190e4391b2d5a151678ae4ed94641c84eed2
|
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-02-11?
|
In the upcoming UCL game, scheduled for February 11 at 3:00PM ET,
If Sporting CP wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Sporting CP loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-02-11T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ucl-spo-dor-2025-02-11-spo
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Games",
"UCL"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x45df12415d61a601729e12006762c560e69db8c2ca32302b5e031790864dca17
|
0x9c1fab578d029a165629dff9e1fceb45df515707791c10c0b48001cc27a0b7bb
|
Copa del Rey: Valencia vs. Barcelona (To Advance)
|
This market refers to the Copa del Rey quarterfinal between Valencia and Barcelona, scheduled for February 6, 2025, at 3:30 PM ET.
If Valencia advances to the Copa del Rey Semifinal, this market will resolve to “Valencia.”
If Barcelona advances to the Copa del Rey Semifinal, this market will resolve to “Barcelona.”
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond February 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Copa del Rey.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
copa-del-rey-valencia-vs-barcelona-to-advance
|
[
"Sports",
"barcelona",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Valencia"
] | false
| null | null |
0x10bc1c93fbce02bc0d7625848ada61147af58f81e79ae511cd2efbb161d44506
|
0xf593915e6f1e129d1a4d1ef8c1c63a0dedd7b35ddd77fc87dcdba40629cd78a1
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 46°F or higher on February 7?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 7, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-46f-or-higher-on-february-7
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3469b09017acf708f90e440f7b0986e7503390adeb07ce4ae5b7e6f96f8c4606
|
0xe0643c50cc6bf0761feaa1d1565880680ac47eb9265d07e6b06831bd9aa4fcba
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or higher on February 9?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 9, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-50f-or-higher-on-february-9
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa30f8043e88eb700dda70d2e585ef9e25083de5a3d08b51f1fc258d1e6e6130d
|
0x74655573b8e2e328da041f0a24ee62fd6a765fba8678e8f4fd8e2f84dfa1f0a8
|
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-ukraine-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2b1ca11c3c921b1c7f3efa1ef25dba0e850048347bbe151b91b25c140b8efd00
|
0x7394e8d3d483177f01552b8833730e77d8f868b18b477a6c4a5c8519df7783a3
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 30°F or below on February 10?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 10, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-30f-or-below-on-february-10
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb1e09f557db732d11d3fb37029e43b8fd76ff8be34687290c1c89b215ddf37c5
|
0x374145ccbf3ca0d7912766a53bac68883fb74016ef3d267b7f232a2084fc7309
|
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 10?
|
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 10, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”
In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-issue-an-executive-order-on-february-10
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Executive Actions"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x6d888ae839c868fdd636335856035014eefb19eb0029f454710e1409bcf09904
|
0x14221fa2d85b163c0b3072b394e144f70610da1e99f6d2ccb59d0038bbe445c2
|
Will 'Kneecap' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Foreign Language Film.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title's first word comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kneecap-win-best-foreign-language-film-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x765bf1422bca8ed08184b1283823a85dc864721de333df4cc3fda2d1d0a07d01
|
0x9f264c358917d32b4f6b9b5624417dc3fada221f91aab186717b3ea8a024ccf9
|
Will Club Brugge vs. Atalanta end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming UCL game, scheduled for February 12 at 12:45PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-02-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ucl-bru-ata-2025-02-12-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Games",
"UCL"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb74e15090d8e0223f03979783c530fce7c525985752b5550ab187a5d2e9fc202
|
0x2e95c8296d3626317655520b39ce84dd5c1bbf97e4ec5ca6243943b4c7dd1ab7
|
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in February?
|
This is a market about inflation over the 12 month period ending February 2025 before seasonal adjustment as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12 month period ending in February 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-annual-inflation-increase-by-2pt9-in-february
|
[
"Politics",
"Inflation",
"Economy",
"Macro Inflation",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5bc7b76164bd644ee1dbdabf15399f01f5168a881231e756d6f0afa0513d6116
|
0x682b703b5a5911f7fa30592960c4d135d803817f31f77ef07becbbe20de2086c
|
Will the Chiefs commit a roughing the passer penalty in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kansas City Chiefs commit a roughing the passer penalty against the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: Any roughing the pass penalty will qualify regardless of if it's accepted.
If Super Bowl LIX is not completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-chiefs-commit-a-roughing-the-passer-penalty-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Penalties",
"Game Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2267183e17e5561e94dd500afec7634d37889829203b65c6a15acee9ec0cf368
|
0xbd7c2e6ae79257bea79bf5cee158ad5667b42f2a52371da12a71939108373dba
|
FA Cup: Wigan Athletic vs. Fulham (To Advance)
|
This market refers to the FA Cup Fourth Round match between Wigan Athletic and Fulham, scheduled for February 8, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET.
If Wigan Athletic advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Wigan.”
If Fulham advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Fulham.”
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond February 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FA Cup.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
fa-cup-wigan-athletic-vs-fulham-to-advance
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Wigan Athletic",
"Fulham"
] | false
| null | null |
0x4a2c069048c82f600bf1973806ccc1c4ff58f774b2370114cc0988f9ea30c600
|
0x10f3694970f07013eb4f5dfc2275b33c35f3ebc8a5d7fd3f751d8d4d870d9a2d
|
Will "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?
|
This market will resolve according to how much “Love Hurts” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Love-Hurts-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 7 - 9) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by February 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-love-hurts-opening-weekend-box-office-be-less-than-5m
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6658a4f6a2bc6029c4efa534d556340d0d0105b129c149af5706578ada464700
|
0x4c34d000818d43f3464132f5b6dddee5d9f341b9303544feeafc195e3322e846
|
Will Danielle Deadwyler win Best Supporting Actress in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-danielle-deadwyler-win-best-supporting-actress-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe68f6394d95a27d83bcb4e021fa5371d4fece7cd62870a287c0eb2ce1490700
|
0x3eb6f3df3c71ff7825612af938d6667d5dab4a12b89d95f4846a782b15d37586
|
Will Kanye tweet less than 40 times on February 7?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times ye (@kanyewest), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and February 8, 2025, 12:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kanye-tweet-less-than-40-times-on-february-7
|
[
"Breaking News",
"Culture",
"Kanye",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5b847aed951aee46233b30efe53160b423f26158fdff6156fc2ce32a29436202
|
0x8cb8b01a24c0245d1479d0a81ad2919b03c7d83b7f912b5653435e7d8580d08d
|
Will "Heart Eyes" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $9-12m?
|
This market will resolve according to how much “Heart Eyes” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Heart-Eyes-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 7 - 9) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by February 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-heart-eyes-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-9-12m
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc6259b94d3092f9b0ea867f35daca8dc32ba11215f76330ab1a10c737c34fe06
|
0x26de5b8927c80aa5be7c8e0bdd98e6fb2607ba6b79c47aedabce2fb04a5a96e8
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 40°F or higher on February 8?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 8, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-40f-or-higher-on-february-8
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8f6a3748b7bbdd7f8030133f4c063f9db2639e71c60114c91399fb5d98a93505
|
0xf207bc37c2ca219dfcac4b02708a1e2c3cfa100873a966a2052836b0d88849c4
|
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be 49% or more on February 14?
|
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 14, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for February 14 must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trumps-538-approval-rating-be-49-or-more-on-february-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Approval",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xefddbd0dbfea926f853ee916343b809f806c1657acc357324c3a3728a1385eae
|
0xaa2a3c7d39d55ca18030e56d54b005adfe146d60288e3c0e4b2af760cfadaea1
|
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-biden-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x335a1199c30aa88642bcdcfc9ef60132894ab6f0b363d33edcc33a20a43c9809
|
0xf4d8f5dcd9f6d7cca429e895387b260e15287f30f4217dcd4485f4009313e5a1
|
Will Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-musk-tweet-700-749-times-february-7-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4d33157871afb8a14213cbde6e2c452e6357f0a4a90de282abdf06bbc3654104
|
0x9cec1f53910aecae651088b3265ef02239dd9737983f98c8226c86d71a345b2d
|
Will 'Dune: Part Two' win Best Cinematography in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Cinematography.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title's first word comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-dune-part-two-win-best-cinematography-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3469b09017acf708f90e440f7b0986e7503390adeb07ce4ae5b7e6f96f8c4602
|
0x2d14b53b06a979ea8be0803e3a9e1ac4ddd14a4c69bb247ec00f3ac9aba60bc2
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on February 9?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 9, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-42-43f-on-february-9
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xa689ffda45def0b47d14c59f58c271cd1944d6657b5126a1f93f21ac9b8d0e03
|
0xb521536d734e85555cd3dd567ecddec02db182eed276c85abb6e9c9f83cac0ea
|
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in February?
|
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in February 2025 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-monthly-inflation-increase-by-0pt4-in-february
|
[
"Politics",
"Inflation",
"Economy",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9ac71974071966893684d44d49cbeca22edadd80c24c5e3b1159a641762dd201
|
0xb1774ca00d2790e2bd93bf9ee5eeb62181bb710dc7984093f38f822590b1fcd2
|
Will Karla Sofía Gascón win Best Actress in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Actress.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-karla-sofa-gascn-win-best-actress-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe59fd7e6c3edfe904247d191b6a6445e42b25c31834c00769de0bcb520955d01
|
0x4999c762e8fd7515f0d0be5f3a16b462004b63d87494fc0777d225ef402f1709
|
Will Sporting CP vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming UCL game, scheduled for February 11 at 3:00PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-02-11T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ucl-spo-dor-2025-02-11-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Games",
"UCL"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xed85f0ea5967bbd0f39f4d29b796e662ea598c1110c4a8723d3756873da230a2
|
0x7f0473fe67593d7953b6cd479ee4fe4c36100f1e708d1465dfc3749123855f90
|
Will Trump say "Syria" during his February 4 press conference with Netanyahu?
|
Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu are scheduled to hold a meeting followed by a press conference today at 4:00 PM ET (https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-meets-benjamin-netanyahu-first-foreign-leader-meeting-2025712).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this press conference scheduled for February 4. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
If this press conference does not happen by February 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press conference.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-syria-during-his-february-4-press-conference-with-netanyahu
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Israel",
"Geopolitics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x88b10021dd0e51d720d6a29ca389ac71a78033156a0b635701c9376ef36c4202
|
0x68504b1fe8cd61f0c0b8a198af518ab82cae3dd5f424f411605971a28b5e8f1f
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 37-38°F on February 10?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 10, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-37-38f-on-february-10
|
[
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5b31a02fdc112e3abffbef8e490507ddfa8334fcc5b4ff27e55be5b9bc0c45ef
|
0x99fb636ee3d11f3b3ef926a9f94022ee43c175c4d81739548eaa28cfb3109fa2
|
Which team will commit more penalties in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market refers to the amount of accepted penalties called on each team in Super Bowl LIX.
This market will resolve to "Eagles" if the Philadelphia Eagles commit more penalties that are accepted in Super Bowl LIX against the Kansas City Chiefs.
This market will resolve to "Chiefs" is the Kansas City Chiefs commit more penalties that are accepted in Super Bowl LIX against the Philadelphia Eagles.
If both teams commit the same number of accepted penalties in this game or Super Bowl LIX is not completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and live footage from Super Bowl LIX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
which-team-will-commit-more-penalties-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Penalties",
"Game Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x07918cb44529862ec981a0f8d52ed64059be668ba9c86045efd5390227ba8165
|
0x65feddd3f225b634f7602629f14b2fab5be821f89915ba8802d8c3cd05b26ddb
|
FA Cup: Aston Villa vs. Tottenham (To Advance)
|
This market refers to the FA Cup Fourth Round match between Aston Villa and Tottenham Hotspur, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 12:35 PM ET.
If Aston Villa advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Aston Villa.”
If Tottenham Hotspur advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Tottenham.”
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond February 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FA Cup.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
fa-cup-aston-villa-vs-tottenham-to-advance
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Aston Villa",
"Tottenham",
"FA Cup"
] | false
| null | null |
0xb8815ce1c18dcb6eb7d31b40f3d247381fb23bbb1af9c45ab0e4e27c2167842b
|
0xca7a37547494d7179428b6e447e9eaedaee8eeeb7394998232505a3128c91edf
|
FA Cup: Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Chelsea (To Advance)
|
This market refers to the FA Cup Fourth Round match between Brighton & Hove Albion and Chelsea, scheduled for February 8, 2025, at 3:00 PM ET.
If Brighton & Hove Albion advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Brighton & Hove Albion.”
If Chelsea advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Chelsea.”
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond February 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FA Cup.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
fa-cup-brighton-hove-albion-vs-chelsea-to-advance
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Chelsea",
"Brighton & Hove Albion",
"FA Cup"
] | false
| null | null |
0xaf327bdaa99d46088961f64c8ee17e1e8b1523b035bba9d2be5804c4d9b45a02
|
0x3b3cba495145f5bf1a5b273db703d75df7573123c2c655a592efb13e2768b5f3
|
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-02-11?
|
In the upcoming UCL game, scheduled for February 11 at 12:45PM ET,
If Paris Saint Germain wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Paris Saint Germain loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-02-11T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11-psg
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Games",
"UCL"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x5b847aed951aee46233b30efe53160b423f26158fdff6156fc2ce32a29436203
|
0xccd280a54f106876161482f015b0df9a1768151651d533eb114fe3cf6420b504
|
Will "Heart Eyes" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $12m?
|
This market will resolve according to how much “Heart Eyes” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Heart-Eyes-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 7 - 9) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by February 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-heart-eyes-opening-weekend-box-office-be-more-than-12m
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc6259b94d3092f9b0ea867f35daca8dc32ba11215f76330ab1a10c737c34fe02
|
0x877bf88dacbc4ce3500fe87d6a8b84cf53ad0681ad3fd7c636773a048952be5c
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 32-33°F on February 8?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 8, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-32-33f-on-february-8
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd562b224a06c7be93a94e9aa71b3a2252334e4aba454f8071010f50e5ee82702
|
0xdf84cf36c9a3f43420bda36d9e1efa42742bd5c46644025d770ea3e9e4a636bf
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on February 6?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 6, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-43-44f-on-february-6
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x94c4008e1a28dfa074fad7e40086c1e9415778111a8472ed4c4f33fdb71b7142
|
0x5151d6b99ad13b8b747c07d23b2f4eba0e320607e68ee2be9bc1d64f9c26fbca
|
FA Cup: Manchester United vs. Leicester City (To Advance)
|
This market refers to the FA Cup Fourth Round match between Manchester United and Leicester City, scheduled for February 7, 2025, at 3:00 PM ET.
If Manchester United advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Man U.”
If Leicester City advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Leicester.”
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond February 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FA Cup.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
fa-cup-manchester-united-vs-leicester-city-to-advance
|
[
"Sports",
"manchester united",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Leicester City",
"FA Cup"
] | false
| null | null |
0x3908dcb75815325de68cf4a8c4b1b373f872eafd86aaefd69431774d3a78ed00
|
0x2c5ca65c78539eee7d38c4296399bb1f934dd519ea36da06eeee8ec4aebd319d
|
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 0 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. This year, 'Emilia Pérez' has been nominated for a total of 13 Oscars.
This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film 'Emilia Pérez' or by people for their roles in that film in the 2025 Academy Awards.
If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "0".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-emilia-prez-win-0-oscars-at-the-2025-academy-awards
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8f4dffef28cb4c651b48b9fc6faf402ab3d64ab75941863625b87fa51b7d1600
|
0x6be026cccb86a59c42107f95fcdb8eca1587e4783e48722c00ca86fc55bc55a7
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 44°F or below on February 5?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 5, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-44f-or-below-on-february-5
|
[
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x95344ac0fcc3fdf83d8a621454e4e9e3c8fef22636aa73dc369db0d02e068645
|
0x292b67ee34eab13d1984a099a4c7b10517bc074685f91b3618c17a06ec0fa89e
|
Trump executive order cutting Department of Education by Friday?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order reducing, eliminating or otherwise altering the budget, function, staff, or scope of the US Department of Education between February 3 and February 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
trump-executive-order-cutting-department-of-education-by-friday
|
[
"Trump",
"DOGE",
"Trump Presidency",
"Executive Actions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6d888ae839c868fdd636335856035014eefb19eb0029f454710e1409bcf09900
|
0x72168f8c8e9bc07cea32b98a016e5b810944ca763acf0c6a1c888630ffa6a655
|
Will 'All We Imagine as Light' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Foreign Language Film.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title's first word comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-all-we-imagine-as-light-win-best-foreign-language-film-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd13552035e48e17a5f18d6ebebe683871853ea4c0f6a0f63f7a95499d0437588
|
0xa0ff9815e784f89efe90cd1dac7fe63339180bc4baa0372ec11474a1e84e10a4
|
Will Trump pass a border/immigration law in first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a bill is signed into law by Donald Trump that meets any of the following criteria:
- Increases funding for a border wall with Mexico
- Increases immigration services fees
- Taxes remittances
- Increases funding for Immigration law enforcement, U.S. Customs and Border Patrol
- Restricts undocumented immigrants from using government services
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the listed provisions of a qualifying bill do not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-pass-a-borderimmigration-law-in-first-100-days
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Immigration/Border"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x335a1199c30aa88642bcdcfc9ef60132894ab6f0b363d33edcc33a20a43c9805
|
0xe72775ac7fe4dc8edb5ebb0d3680f8a61d1e2055a21c0666502229b41263f786
|
Will Elon Musk tweet 500-549 times February 7-14?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-musk-tweet-500-549-times-february-7-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x335a1199c30aa88642bcdcfc9ef60132894ab6f0b363d33edcc33a20a43c980a
|
0xace6aa14cb0295b0a46eb9ed38c54ee4baf71b5c571e209b27390286456d2ec5
|
Will Elon Musk tweet 750-799 times February 7-14?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-musk-tweet-750-799-times-february-7-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x335a1199c30aa88642bcdcfc9ef60132894ab6f0b363d33edcc33a20a43c9807
|
0x29d534d01c60cd3cbd1b302de9e07e570e9bf5f5ba781a383781564f6372ea37
|
Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-musk-tweet-600-649-times-february-7-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x11fcf1ccfd0f8321d69e4a13c95cf9862874d05810265ed27b807c699b928eaf
|
0x1933e8f6f088ac9a40fbb04c578a13283a01550a6896dc5bba44a2600993f3c3
|
Will there be a kickoff return TD in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the Chiefs or the Eagles return a kickoff in Super Bowl LIX for a touchdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No",
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-a-kickoff-return-td-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"elliot",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Butker",
"Game Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa689ffda45def0b47d14c59f58c271cd1944d6657b5126a1f93f21ac9b8d0e02
|
0xead6f5408bde9f184be018773c131a3d39c091be029b122b98c4c485d3ac01be
|
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?
|
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in February 2025 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-monthly-inflation-increase-by-0pt3-in-february
|
[
"Politics",
"Inflation",
"Economy",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9ac71974071966893684d44d49cbeca22edadd80c24c5e3b1159a641762dd200
|
0xc19fc3d0363f8148a8b85a06fe3b6fc3afb5d43a437486e0ee07f96eb933b9e5
|
Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Actress.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-cynthia-erivo-win-best-actress-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc0fb889cbf547eccc4793fac6cc2e79df2e337bdc24a6dd3faf8c99a90665f00
|
0x8f40d01bba5ef204437e11663ae8c40af0f613e816d1b86978806fe3e0b3a903
|
Will POTUS tweet less than 5 times Feb 7-14?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-potus-tweet-less-than-5-times-feb-7-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8f6a3748b7bbdd7f8030133f4c063f9db2639e71c60114c91399fb5d98a93503
|
0xd809047dfee4314ab16d95cb3d4bd2f986dd70a1067f57dcaaf77e86610eed52
|
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.9% on February 14?
|
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 14, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for February 14 must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trumps-538-approval-rating-be-between-47pt0-and-47pt9-on-february-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Approval",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5b847aed951aee46233b30efe53160b423f26158fdff6156fc2ce32a29436201
|
0xfd74558915bae887e2c4f15f25a43631a5563c6ca2cb0fa8f6f04d22b3284aa9
|
Will "Heart Eyes" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $6-9m?
|
This market will resolve according to how much “Heart Eyes” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Heart-Eyes-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 7 - 9) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by February 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-heart-eyes-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-6-9m
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x445ca11bec2f1b9c8f6de07ad3e0718d4cccfe901494289e9694a958ddd01f02
|
0xf2ecb958c779916b1cd7084504586e1235ea8cd3fe88a220b5a5552da5086cd8
|
Will Bitcoin be between $94000 and $96000 on February 14?
|
This market will resolve to according to the final “Close” price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 14 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-bitcoin-be-between-94000-and-96000-on-february-14
|
[
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcf667ac43158c7d0b2a0cdd59bd8138ba0ad877139bf5dd1208937d9059f8b01
|
0x7d1bdcf5c64429bf49de0c59fad9b5665d8dee32017c275199119dca23d92627
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 34-35°F on February 9?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 9, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-34-35f-on-february-9
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x79033459e411bfd287e0b08b63576e356d4263f0266a572942af112fcd8906ec
|
0xa88c9374d1e6c8ea09444a90e0c3547eaf40f87b804ff4edb231c28b39c2d805
|
Will Trump say "Missile defense shield" during his February 4 press conference with Netanyahu?
|
Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu are scheduled to hold a meeting followed by a press conference today at 4:00 PM ET (https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-meets-benjamin-netanyahu-first-foreign-leader-meeting-2025712).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this press conference scheduled for February 4. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
If this press conference does not happen by February 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press conference.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-missile-defense-shield-during-his-february-4-press-conference-with-netanyahu
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Israel",
"Geopolitics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb27fba8648c0d6fe01e98e1db3f80cdeed701d8c755b2943e9f7831224319a04
|
0x51aab3d5701d508aab1d02a91de3dad905a1b488fabc6b1944275ae7f3281c49
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on February 7?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 7, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-42-43f-on-february-7
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc0fb889cbf547eccc4793fac6cc2e79df2e337bdc24a6dd3faf8c99a90665f02
|
0x3e043bb71fda49df1afa26ff9bddee4fe328af7b912c4a7fc6a97e142aee95f5
|
Will POTUS tweet 8-10 times Feb 7-14?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-potus-tweet-8-10-times-feb-7-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2d680eed6fbf64dfe8787fc9c9af641ab17d16007d7081452846da55ddb13bea
|
0xfc21d6bb87b6f7e7ab120694a6deb1659c2ee5863c5a62244201d6df0b1c8e42
|
Solana above $190 on February 14?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOLUSDT 14 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 190.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOLUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
solana-above-190-on-february-14
|
[
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3469b09017acf708f90e440f7b0986e7503390adeb07ce4ae5b7e6f96f8c4600
|
0x46637c75a916b6c15ffdec03a45c0e3d1d20c1c2efd39465c4786e01d09048aa
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 39°F or below on February 9?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 9, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-39f-or-below-on-february-9
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x21349e09de214621e044ea0e91a20402634582017878a85de1f0f88d4fa758c0
|
0x9d12b8a275f9a68c182e5df517eb79993f0647cb5ee44e471dedbeb9001e5062
|
Will Berachain launch a token in February?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Berachain (https://www.berachain.com/) officially launches a token by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. If a first such token launch occurs outside of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be public announcements from Berachain.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-berachain-launch-a-token-in-february
|
[
"Crypto"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x69ec910ff84ead8c964ecd7f0bce4105da6b81c2b26a725cf1dfe260a66d1601
|
0xd4a25367e1cb646d62b19b76a081879b2c53e0196cee218e945bdd5833f0bdda
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 34-35°F on February 6?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 6, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-34-35f-on-february-6
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8f6a3748b7bbdd7f8030133f4c063f9db2639e71c60114c91399fb5d98a93504
|
0xb34e63c61fc67e65692b2e073b995d1d512f8a742b8776c7c7c54cbb6c4a14c3
|
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.9% on February 14?
|
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 14, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for February 14 must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trumps-538-approval-rating-be-between-48pt0-and-48pt9-on-february-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Approval",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb27fba8648c0d6fe01e98e1db3f80cdeed701d8c755b2943e9f7831224319a03
|
0xcc5aee5d99706010c09d13e1e1f3383b248054619bdd72b86083b082b5058ccc
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on February 7?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 7, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-40-41f-on-february-7
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x466763c7c88c181556e925eefbf241b9d5a042b459d4c2e3ade087584af4a2c2
|
0x335072210229726404a4fc1769856b394773f175f094351ab8b7f71e61c6cde8
|
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-putin-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8e5e87f4c8279e91e0f8a4c63d7e3ee11d0661ad905ed814842945b1679a100d
|
0xfe457590ee4ea398110119d9542d37f7c10899316fac0ba5b562d3a362dcd93f
|
Will Trump cut NPR funding in February?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration takes any action blocking, eliminating, or reducing funding for National Public Radio (NPR) by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-cut-npr-funding-in-february
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Elon Musk",
"DOGE",
"Trump Presidency",
"National Public Radio",
"Executive Actions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x380e07558c78d5e16e7484adf95aefd763e7cee4daaed7267d029d9a37715833
|
0x0ba26a31d38992b56cfa51107584b2996c67a3110b387322557170d32b25d336
|
The Portnoy Parlay - Super Bowl LIX
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if during Super Bowl LIX, all of the following occurs:
-Patrick Mahomes records 15 or more rushing yards
-Kareem Hunt records 40 or more rushing yards
-Jalen Hurts records 40 or more rushing yards
-Jalen Hurts scores at least 1 rushing or receiving touchdown
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
the-portnoy-parlay-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Parlays",
"Barstool",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Dave Portnoy",
"Super Bowl Specials"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x335a1199c30aa88642bcdcfc9ef60132894ab6f0b363d33edcc33a20a43c9808
|
0x95a7018a4ef25e1bf6b1f43ad255452632ea2bfdbaf7261c5423dd244bca5a58
|
Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-musk-tweet-650-699-times-february-7-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf32f61c1986d15c7869e3731d9ad4338e7178b36e81c9e3a390eb2736fdd2149
|
0x1459714fd0e58801af95a656e908462e4b3e60511e5e8247cafa92b560bb1d75
|
FA Cup: Plymouth Argyle vs. Liverpool (To Advance)
|
This market refers to the FA Cup Fourth Round match between Plymouth Argyle and Liverpool, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET.
If Plymouth Argyle advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Plymouth Argyle.”
If Liverpool advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Liverpool.”
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond February 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FA Cup.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
fa-cup-plymouth-argyle-vs-liverpool-to-advance
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Liverpool",
"FA Cup",
"Plymouth"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc81f5fd96585532bd7e9566a0eb397b321ddd871d07a22e4d684dad402a58501
|
0x4d360fca6c17606bf3b5edd21fa6fa6bb7a68b7bf837d0486576961a905aabcf
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on February 8?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 8, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-40-41f-on-february-8
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6ef9b1bb38db71ff89ae750d39c09576f2b86862f3009e735430d6e3171f4116
|
0x9b5de47b4ab392976b65bf8966184f5c24f147e5f374a0b6f0fa09fda2fd3759
|
Jones - Aspinall date announced before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UFC announces that a fight between Jon Jones and Tom Aspinall has been scheduled by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement that the fight has been scheduled will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether the fight actually occurs or when the fight is scheduled for.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the UFC or Dana White (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-04-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
jones-aspinall-date-announced-before-april
|
[
"Sports",
"UFC",
"Jon Jones",
"Tom Asprinall"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x07fd41b32712e23ee91c2c376c978efab5219b4a07b7dbfa746d57e9e042e5cc
|
0x6fbb47c4568c24a1f3e47db33798b4c95f8d4acc042394d93d698d84d80bb926
|
Will Donald Trump say "Bills" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-bills-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd4d0519a0e798e3d6951131c1a818acaad6aae32c561a4f8a59f37b3d4bab200
|
0xcebc2102d6be642ca40a7ae3807ccd1dbbc719bf20e5aeffb7497881a0f46694
|
Will the first score of Super Bowl LIX be a touchdown?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first score of Super Bowl LIX is a touchdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: if the first score of the game occurs on a free kick, this market will resolve to "Yes".
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No".
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-first-score-of-super-bowl-lix-be-a-touchdown
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Games",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Game Props"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x88b10021dd0e51d720d6a29ca389ac71a78033156a0b635701c9376ef36c4204
|
0xc7db22a8254bb78ae024915718f0f8a48c0e663a19ce778c3056515a697d22f7
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on February 10?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 10, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-41-42f-on-february-10
|
[
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xc81f5fd96585532bd7e9566a0eb397b321ddd871d07a22e4d684dad402a58505
|
0x162b069c4e111108ad932ad889e34175434ebaf656fa36fd1d25b53995b0a992
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on February 8?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 8, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-48-49f-on-february-8
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd3df70fb00a5d3b3bf133fcbc2ea01bd02cddb78e5850925953f6495dcbd5541
|
0x43e04652599824ec355007a0bee2be605f1ce57179040d978a45be244c96306d
|
Will there be a score in the last 2 minutes of either half?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a either team scores in the last 2 minutes of the first half or the last 2 minutes of the second half in SUper Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-a-score-in-the-last-2-minutes-of-either-half
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Game Props"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x6e7ad73f7174be1a08362fa0aabaf0005c68e63a4f655a051f98e5bf7fb97735
|
0xe5f9982f70b0963a5061a337f8ee26d813578920a5a48211a5fcc1051901f22f
|
Will Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during his February 4 press conference with Netanyahu?
|
Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu are scheduled to hold a meeting followed by a press conference today at 4:00 PM ET (https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-meets-benjamin-netanyahu-first-foreign-leader-meeting-2025712).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this press conference scheduled for February 4. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
If this press conference does not happen by February 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press conference.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-ai-or-artificial-intelligence-during-his-february-4-press-conference-with-netanyahu
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Israel",
"Geopolitics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb74e15090d8e0223f03979783c530fce7c525985752b5550ab187a5d2e9fc201
|
0x2b2a56d3528eff2c8e8f21278a033f793d4fa92cf9bfd67ffa1e872623f41af5
|
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in February?
|
This is a market about inflation over the 12 month period ending February 2025 before seasonal adjustment as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12 month period ending in February 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-annual-inflation-increase-by-2pt8-in-february
|
[
"Politics",
"Inflation",
"Economy",
"Macro Inflation",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x4d33157871afb8a14213cbde6e2c452e6357f0a4a90de282abdf06bbc3654105
|
0xe8cca032342ce7259e3eaef962c870a4825300b8eef99b5712a56a21cb457ea0
|
Will 'Nickel Boys' win Best Cinematography in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Cinematography.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title's first word comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-nickel-boys-win-best-cinematography-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
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