question_id
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stringlengths 159
1.79k
| end_date_iso
stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
⌀ | active
bool 2
classes | closed
bool 2
classes | market_slug
stringlengths 12
132
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listlengths 1
17
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classes | yes_price
float64 0
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1
⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x7a8ef79a73e355f01aaa15104acff6783ab06a907a3e68ce6474668c920ccb49
|
0x764d117785396915741ed433c69ec2404c600f65f316aa15186e24bb52e9a4fa
|
Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?
|
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which imposes additional tariffs or increases the 25% general tariff on Canada by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-04-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-increase-tariffs-on-canada-before-may
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Canada",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Tariffs",
"Trade War",
"First 100 days",
"Mark Carney",
"poilievre",
"World",
"Liberation Day Tariffs"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x96e143fa1fd3975e5bc6e0cdc71b6abc2125f73ef4aa645d55ac4c19635ac601
|
0x36eca98c71c76d2357269ed7d15bf1d36cb228cc1ad7d2c85033177ed493681c
|
Will Liverpool vs. Wolves end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for February 16 at 9:00AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-02-16T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-liv-wol-2025-02-16-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf5a086412068a7282d479a039794edc37d7576e1f33e4fa6209f3935eda98139
|
0xe2e2e00b5eb4ebc7de38b0e4ebc6e78f4e3eea2b6ec93968ac4c0c159bc87bf9
|
Ducks vs. Kings
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 8 at 10:30PM ET:
If the Anaheim Ducks win, the market will resolve to “Ducks”.
If the Los Angeles Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-16T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-ana-lak-2025-02-08
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x8f6fab3add52de31fbee4e4c7288aa5ef6d26a916af6d03f4661c0a8785529f8
|
0x714ac9048cbb7c10ccadaf0bef5e8bd3ec59592871ffb265d647bc1dce59378a
|
Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.
Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-google-run-an-ad-during-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Commericals",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xfc8d2d59c7943b2deb50fb4ceb186129d701dbe8f5a68a317a638b4aa9e18ed1
|
0xbacdf04bf7f22a670dc4fb408878ec56b76f9934599829455b9371693ba84b8b
|
Spurs vs. Magic
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 8 at 7:00PM ET:
If the San Antonio Spurs win, the market will resolve to “Spurs”.
If the Orlando Magic win, the market will resolve to “Magic”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-16T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-sas-orl-2025-02-08
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x8e5830137c852965ce0def2060be8e2fc91c0f53e295c415ccdb1618254ddb64
|
0x5bb8e8dc4ce3ff973263546060599b5139fb844a52776541e8f3b48cb1dfd064
|
Jazz vs. Suns
|
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for February 7 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Utah Jazz win, the market will resolve to “Jazz”.
If the Phoenix Suns win, the market will resolve to “Suns”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nba-uta-phx-2025-02-07
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc6259b94d3092f9b0ea867f35daca8dc32ba11215f76330ab1a10c737c34fe04
|
0x67730f992402e71d3ee869e364daf8cbcf33a35d0ad66b09f74c73cf0cd5664e
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 8?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 8, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-36-37f-on-february-8
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd061f17ffdf2de0c57080d14361ac0a30fca89cc7658704c007338b88b70124d
|
0xce38bd9c2d1d6d400cc966a8d94ba2cfd0dd2d2d09677141c07cc7f2321b3f23
|
Travis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift at Super Bowl?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at Super Bowl LIX Travis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift while on venue grounds (must be confirmed by picture or video). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Super Bowl LIX is not completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-travis-kelce-propose-to-taylor-swift-at-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6d888ae839c868fdd636335856035014eefb19eb0029f454710e1409bcf09902
|
0x6fd27cd718c8cbea63f010a2efd991265b9ef2d2e5d0224f0680b17ab82def93
|
Will 'Flow' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Foreign Language Film.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title's first word comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-flow-win-best-foreign-language-film-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x10bc1c93fbce02bc0d7625848ada61147af58f81e79ae511cd2efbb161d44504
|
0x8c8a9dfec1523c0bfaf2560d5b3ec6e37c50e7f487f401c54ad5f05f52db84e3
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 42-43°F on February 7?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 7, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-42-43f-on-february-7
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x820b2400c243d2fe6996cfccc593873bd324d455685c6aa62f563c3bec41171a
|
0x8d4b9e5efdbe4772cad179d7823122afe9477dd36da8584a7c442f06d977b2a7
|
Will courts block DOGE access to Treasury payments before March?
|
According to reporting, the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) was granted access to U.S. Treasury payment systems (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/01/us/politics/elon-musk-doge-federal-payments-system.html)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. federal court blocks or limits in any way DOGE’s access to U.S. Treasury payment systems by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-courts-block-doge-access-to-treasury-payments-before-march
|
[
"Politics",
"DOGE",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xc0fb889cbf547eccc4793fac6cc2e79df2e337bdc24a6dd3faf8c99a90665f06
|
0x1cab37e468019d23361567b7f83394a81f51d58ba4bfa4e2e70636a0cd88fd5d
|
Will POTUS tweet 20-22 times Feb 7-14?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-potus-tweet-20-22-times-feb-7-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfa57ab28e66ec1fff43d3a1dc9b189451f21c025f05a885fa8d86c3de6b02e30
|
0x3bc2babca97c5b0cfd468d4c7afcca65a0afa66e2e7640f73b36b27b57a99370
|
"It's Scripted" KC Comeback Parlay
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if during Super Bowl LIX, all of the following occurs:
-The Philadelphia Eagles lead the Chiefs at any point in the 4th quarter of this game
-The Kansas City Chiefs win the game
-Patrick Mahomes wins the Super Bowl LIX MVP Award
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
its-scripted-kc-comeback-parlay-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"Esports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3ac781268782afcfdea1e804d0a76e15175c46dc8ebc09594338ce3121bcaa0c
|
0x1ac1173583dba7277b7a8011136c40de9b5fba1051d2bafb7b750e6c211721f2
|
Will Donald Trump say "Patrick" or "Mahomes" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-patrick-or-mahomes-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x445bbb664a08592d308d80a462d289610de2eff915b3aa4348ba1c37cb32374a
|
0x62d424a76fd466787bb30693cd2a22d883a9bf1a71b2b81a3c56831155cca202
|
Will Adin Ross put on the Retardio by Sunday?
|
Adin Ross recently posted that if Ethereum did not reach $3,400 in the next 48-72 hours, he would change his pfp to a RETARDIO (https://x.com/ar15crypto/status/1887352041544052812).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adin Ross (@AR15CRYPTO) changes his X/Twitter profile picture to a Retardio Cousins image by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Adin Ross's X/Twitter account: https://x.com/AR15CRYPTO
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-adin-ross-put-on-the-retardio-by-sunday
|
[
"Crypto",
"social media",
"Twitter",
"Culture",
"Crypto Prices",
"X"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe68f6394d95a27d83bcb4e021fa5371d4fece7cd62870a287c0eb2ce1490705
|
0x2dcff4187f527a1b21339930f262e4210020680416fe5b150d70cf24871920c3
|
Will Kanye tweet 120-139 times on February 7?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times ye (@kanyewest), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and February 8, 2025, 12:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kanye-tweet-120-139-times-on-february-7
|
[
"Breaking News",
"Culture",
"Kanye",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb27fba8648c0d6fe01e98e1db3f80cdeed701d8c755b2943e9f7831224319a02
|
0xd27fe91e166357f18d0528a4862a43e709d672ec5293e23cdd5fe33598b9d668
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 38-39°F on February 7?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 7, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-38-39f-on-february-7
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3161124d7e6ad7315466f7edc188e1cca95c2c25a823218fa0264f8378830e03
|
0x8ccf8585a6b5811a76ca72a114837e64baf7009713c7c8ccb50c7fd07c3b1943
|
Will Natus Vincere win the ESL Katowice Tournament?
|
This market will resolve to according to the winner of the 2025 IEM Katowice Tournament.
If this event is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), canceled, or a winner has not been declared, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/tour/cs/katowice/).
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-natus-vincere-win-the-esl-katowice-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Esports",
"cs2"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd562b224a06c7be93a94e9aa71b3a2252334e4aba454f8071010f50e5ee82706
|
0xe209822d82f8f59b880a8be80347ba2e90c3fe2f640af98cf56ecd44763e3470
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 51°F or higher on February 6?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 6, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-51f-or-higher-on-february-6
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x23fea88bea1e8738642083ac297fb627899c4bb962d842c7ee55796aff7afb4e
|
0xee4432c25fd2d013b3d47620a2b9252832a701cb18e29c8448d9995772d99f04
|
Will David Sacks say "Memecoin" during his February 4 presser?
|
David Sacks, Trump’s Crypto Czar, is scheduled to host a press conference today at 2:30 PM ET (https://www.cryptotimes.io/2025/02/03/david-sacks-to-host-press-conference-on-digital-asset/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Sacks says the listed term during his press conference scheduled for February 4. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
If this presser does not happen by February 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press conference.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-david-sacks-say-memecoin-during-his-february-4-presser
|
[
"Politics",
"Crypto",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3469b09017acf708f90e440f7b0986e7503390adeb07ce4ae5b7e6f96f8c4601
|
0x0d17ff4f96e94507ca0da8a15c7a33ead1ea623c4c11d55bb2f244792ae7b111
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on February 9?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 9, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-40-41f-on-february-9
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc0fb889cbf547eccc4793fac6cc2e79df2e337bdc24a6dd3faf8c99a90665f07
|
0x2a10d42da1c8b634e984c4dbd6ae695a802e8038aa70555bac7dfeae0b996e85
|
Will POTUS tweet 23-25 times Feb 7-14?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-potus-tweet-23-25-times-feb-7-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x13ee2a8e8b0536820b2e16510f86c492b46cae612ed706f1a9705a787f74fa13
|
0x899a4a54f263191157834615ca7f658d053095ddd3c1200d63f0a8102cb88403
|
Will there be 4 or more field goals made in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Over” if Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles combine for 4 or more field goals made in Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Under".
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-4-or-more-field-goals-made-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kicking",
"Game Props",
"Player Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0xe74446ffd8a6b4679156d989d74dc65739db8f636b800a1980955447c5c88309
|
0xa47ff6451e56f3f16492a54884184b0f9c4785af65e8b62879a5cee1620213ca
|
Will 0XOMNIA win the PvP trading competition?
|
This market will resolve according to the winner of the pvp.trade trading competition.
If the competition is permanently canceled or otherwise has not been completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve according to whichever trader was in the lead as of the last official update. If there is a tie for the lead the market will resolve in favor of the trader whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The primary resolution source will be information from pvp.trade (https://x.com/pvp_dot_trade), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-0xomnia-win-the-pvp-trading-competition
|
[
"Crypto",
"Memecoins"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb4292344499fcada43fdf646fabc7f5464e1c420c82f54d47d0a8fa262dcbb01
|
0x816816d8f5a69d80ff539a209d537de0bed4d13b968fc11790257f310085caae
|
Will Manchester City vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming UCL game, scheduled for February 11 at 3:00PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-02-11T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ucl-mac-rma-2025-02-11-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Games",
"UCL"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3f8c16c8e8b0db5a9d5b8cb509e3bcb7e5b4f94b3790f1884dd8e142e5ba4778
|
0x0d2f89c874eaf65b0fc700ff4b8162aa630b13e25c9414a9764745fdba6eac7c
|
Dogecoin above $0.25 on February 14?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGEUSDT 14 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 0.25001 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGEUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGEUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
dogecoin-above-0pt25-on-february-14
|
[
"Crypto",
"Crypto Prices",
"Memecoins",
"Dogecoin"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x212fa1c4a1d216fdbc6f0bb7553a7d1c10eb406ef72cc4c923edbce5b1200114
|
0x67f52599e19007999c83c2bb9c3d59ad0f43bc05737c1791e0b45f9d5c53573e
|
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto", "Cryptocurrency", or "Bitcoin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-crypto-cryptocurrency-or-bitcoin-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x25153ca86508f86f6086c65cec87b04ecbcfecc656102634e03f01a968644238
|
0x2ca290579a45a1e5bdd123a5a1e7cef514af546120fee4f0e44a3563686b8ff1
|
Copa del Rey: Leganés vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)
|
This market refers to the Copa del Rey quarterfinal between Leganés and Real Madrid, scheduled for February 5, 2025, at 3:00 PM ET.
If Leganés advances to the Copa del Rey Semifinal, this market will resolve to “Leganés.”
If Real Madrid advances to the Copa del Rey Semifinal, this market will resolve to “Real Madrid.”
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Copa del Rey.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
copa-del-rey-legans-vs-real-madrid-to-advance
|
[
"Sports",
"La Liga",
"real madrid",
"Soccer",
"Leganes",
"Copa Del Rey"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc81f5fd96585532bd7e9566a0eb397b321ddd871d07a22e4d684dad402a58506
|
0x626b59d382df140bebd6150aa1569b64c8ee7cdcc69f728a13d53095e8ceaa4b
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or higher on February 8?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 8, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-50f-or-higher-on-february-8
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe033b3bd0cee41f53065c1ff65c76477e0bae72b73a97931737a3c64b93708f8
|
0xb50ebb7420e5bad18ee95a657d8ebea2f45aca5cd39856211d77a70125fbf9f1
|
Coppa Italia: AC Milan vs. Roma (To Advance)
|
This market refers to the Coppa Italia quarterfinal between AC Milan and AS Roma, scheduled for February 5, 2025, at 3:00 PM ET.
If AC Milan advances to the Coppa Italia Semifinal, this market will resolve to “Milan.”
If AS Roma advances to the Coppa Italia Semifinal, this market will resolve to “Roma.”
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond February 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Coppa Italia.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
copa-italia-ac-milan-vs-roma-to-advance
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Serie A",
"Roma",
"AC Milan"
] | false
| null | null |
0x84bbb6be06a978639cb6f058e8e035913474418a016e81ff34ec0f7f759b193f
|
0x846011839a422f2cbd9c4ae3910cf1b3574a5c74592312b5cd80f42e599db163
|
Ireland, Norway, or Spain accepts Gazan refugees in February?
|
On February 6, the Israeli Minister of Defense, Israel Katz, posted that Spain, Ireland, and Norway are legally obligated to take Gazan refugees (https://x.com/Israel_katz/status/1887416931365314902).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Spain, Ireland, or Norway announces a plan to accept Gazan refugees between February 5 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the governments of Ireland, Norway, and Spain, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ireland-norway-or-spain-accepts-gazan-refugees-in-february
|
[
"Politics",
"Gaza",
"Israel",
"Geopolitics",
"Europe"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x59920dd2ecdb0e1f213dd0acd8b77a3536d7018e6f94a37257fc341f55459365
|
0xd79437eccbe38da7009fa02150acbed64aee9a8dde84584193b9aa6bd70464d7
|
Will the last team to score win Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the last team to score in Super Bowl LIX wins the game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-last-team-to-score-win-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Game Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc6259b94d3092f9b0ea867f35daca8dc32ba11215f76330ab1a10c737c34fe05
|
0xa7e765666ffbe3a990b4146b4c62465749acc8a0132932cb1dca4261099f1a2c
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 8?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 8, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-38-39f-on-february-8
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa14413dbb94788bfe3c4479d3b7a12e2c4157ad0539d2d5be14e99bfeaf888ec
|
0xb08914ce072f75db7e07afdada49fae8e4b9deb01201afc2eeb72849120ea503
|
Copa del Rey: Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna (To Advance)
|
This market refers to the Copa del Rey quarterfinal between Real Sociedad and Osasuna, scheduled for February 6, 2025, at 1:30 PM ET.
If Real Sociedad advances to the Copa del Rey Semifinal, this market will resolve to “Real Sociedad.”
If Osasuna advances to the Copa del Rey Semifinal, this market will resolve to “Osasuna.”
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond February 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Copa del Rey.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
copa-del-rey-real-sociedad-vs-osasuna-to-advance
|
[
"Sports",
"La Liga",
"real sociedad",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Copa Del Rey",
"Osasuna"
] | false
| null | null |
0xaa7d2bfd7e66b9148f3bef4d2d9e1b772435ac13c3951dbc305d9b40226511d6
|
0x20c004e69415c6f48764ff89747082b2942592f36ab398d8bd01d55a59cdd68e
|
Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be withdrawing all military forces from Syria by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only official policy announcements will qualify.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, announcements of a partial withdrawal, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-announce-withdrawal-from-syria-in-first-100-days-2025
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Middle East",
"U.S. Politics",
"Geopolitics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Foreign Policy",
"First 100 days",
"World"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2b1ca11c3c921b1c7f3efa1ef25dba0e850048347bbe151b91b25c140b8efd01
|
0xb54df16adfe2a0b473d102d5224ff9d2c552b42cec1960ff59be7365aff5f4ac
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 31-32°F on February 10?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 10, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-31-32f-on-february-10
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbec2ba9211d79cff743960a9fa368588fef5e047d2cc9d89c9c54a823728bb24
|
0x460de8d4363925e546070057106d643bf1a4e2f3df24367144878f1cf33d6c46
|
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-gaza-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb4292344499fcada43fdf646fabc7f5464e1c420c82f54d47d0a8fa262dcbb00
|
0x491cb0ee1e9aded594ad5be7eafd05ca4161c80b12eed18a09b2bfa38e2e6fcd
|
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?
|
In the upcoming UCL game, scheduled for February 11 at 3:00PM ET,
If Manchester City wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Manchester City loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-02-11T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ucl-mac-rma-2025-02-11-mac
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Games",
"UCL"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2f546025fed0537ffdc4c82bb9fef7d269c2a618353224293e282e1732096c3a
|
0x9780fc9f93aff3e2996fa988005de2662d444ea971d07edfa8d88c08e909f874
|
Will Trump say "Iran" during his February 4 press conference with Netanyahu?
|
Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu are scheduled to hold a meeting followed by a press conference today at 4:00 PM ET (https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-meets-benjamin-netanyahu-first-foreign-leader-meeting-2025712).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this press conference scheduled for February 4. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
If this press conference does not happen by February 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press conference.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-iran-during-his-february-4-press-conference-with-netanyahu
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Israel",
"Geopolitics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x605a808ca8f4c7c75d21fafeeee63b03282f7498d48b127eb8239f7207a46650
|
0x44ed371c6f18a042223cb9f88e0a1363383657cd3a5d02a8b45c457fa1790ebf
|
Will the U.S. deport illegal migrants to El Salvador before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any illegal alien who is not a citizen of El Salvador in the custody of U.S. law enforcement or correctional authorities, is transferred to El Salvador for the purpose of incarceration or deportation by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify, an illegal alien must be transferred to El Salvador, and physically enter the terrestrial or territory. Entering the maritime territory or airspace will not qualify.
Any transfer meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or reversed by judicial or other actions.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-us-deport-illegal-migrants-to-el-salvador-before-april
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"bukele",
"Foreign Policy",
"Immigration/Border"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x7a887116f4583ab24594efffdf2f17b93625bf094aa44910e1cbf877f06d8000
|
0x389020147e6b69e7e9119e6f766b73947349ba13524ec4742ccfcc1cf0c6ef6c
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 29°F or below on February 5?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 5, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-29f-or-below-on-february-5
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3908dcb75815325de68cf4a8c4b1b373f872eafd86aaefd69431774d3a78ed01
|
0x9b81d62f81190b3dde5dc0f54caa686a014be2b5dd977b1867caceb0886cf731
|
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 1 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. This year, 'Emilia Pérez' has been nominated for a total of 13 Oscars.
This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film 'Emilia Pérez' or by people for their roles in that film in the 2025 Academy Awards.
If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "0".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-emilia-prez-win-1-oscars-at-the-2025-academy-awards
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x7a887116f4583ab24594efffdf2f17b93625bf094aa44910e1cbf877f06d8005
|
0x92c1b4a7111deba2e55c6a342cf646b3b1b86b483f037e204027fbf1dda83e8a
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 5?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 5, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-38-39f-on-february-5
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5fcd117be7d9defae1af0f419facce45dc2da551315522b9cbac7a2059f24c4e
|
0xced4a7bf39664e3ff715faac2adaa865b6e00e6bfc90e5bdcad9244c60191c87
|
Trump cuts taxes in first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill is signed into law by Donald Trump that reduces or removes US federal taxes of any kind or renews/extends expiring tax cuts by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
trump-cuts-taxes-in-first-100-days
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe59fd7e6c3edfe904247d191b6a6445e42b25c31834c00769de0bcb520955d02
|
0x2fe995e213736dc5b35d3df31b7f68ed49aa64f42cdb34957bde747d89d58c6b
|
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-11?
|
In the upcoming UCL game, scheduled for February 11 at 3:00PM ET,
If Borussia Dortmund wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Borussia Dortmund loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-02-11T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ucl-spo-dor-2025-02-11-dor
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Games",
"UCL"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x8f4dffef28cb4c651b48b9fc6faf402ab3d64ab75941863625b87fa51b7d1606
|
0x5abfc533183561de74833c4de1f0b8512d800bc7d64d4c943622e1bf889c923c
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 55°F or higher on February 5?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 5, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-55f-or-higher-on-february-5
|
[
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8f4dffef28cb4c651b48b9fc6faf402ab3d64ab75941863625b87fa51b7d1604
|
0xe8e1206208186e5c59f93ecc38453a334246c658625da8a0aa53b1fefc56571c
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February 5?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 5, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-51-52f-on-february-5
|
[
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6d888ae839c868fdd636335856035014eefb19eb0029f454710e1409bcf09905
|
0x7ca5a751c69f24c3fea0aa84b3096d9316a58f793ef67baa599fc1adeecc3f86
|
Will 'The Seed of the Sacred Fig' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Foreign Language Film.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title's first word comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-seed-of-the-sacred-fig-win-best-foreign-language-film-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x335a1199c30aa88642bcdcfc9ef60132894ab6f0b363d33edcc33a20a43c9803
|
0xc96f27ac4e8e3880cac7855282c01f3883264e5948ead97a389788e66493756b
|
Will Elon Musk tweet 400-449 times February 7-14?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-musk-tweet-400-449-times-february-7-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x09c1b0056c67c3858e983c7190965b669b1caa0fe5dcae8fb4e7fe3b2914b070
|
0xaeda399acfc702f43c0e3e89130d48d1360d515c4c71d28a153db97fceda0516
|
Will David Sacks say "Pumpfun" or "Pump.fun" during his February 4 presser?
|
David Sacks, Trump’s Crypto Czar, is scheduled to host a press conference today at 2:30 PM ET (https://www.cryptotimes.io/2025/02/03/david-sacks-to-host-press-conference-on-digital-asset/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Sacks says the listed term during his press conference scheduled for February 4. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
If this presser does not happen by February 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press conference.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-david-sacks-say-pumpfun-or-pumpfun-during-his-february-4-presser
|
[
"Politics",
"Crypto",
"Trump",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6245a011a9c33d9336d8ae5a365f65cc3ce2b82ba430cb68e757e4d63c2babea
|
0x67f86ba114c60bdeeb28bd442629f3ce3e35f5febd95851a9b5574df43e0ec02
|
Will DOGE cut $1B from USAID before March?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) cuts $1 billion or more from USAID by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be https://www.doge-tracker.com/, specifically the value for "USAID" listed in the 'Departments' tab. If doge-tracker.com becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-doge-cut-1b-from-usaid-before-march
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Elon Musk",
"DOGE",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x4a2c069048c82f600bf1973806ccc1c4ff58f774b2370114cc0988f9ea30c602
|
0xad0ba38e1e6b0467002e19dcbe91534cf5bf6152975b077f1f25cc22a1618723
|
Will "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $8-11m?
|
This market will resolve according to how much “Love Hurts” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Love-Hurts-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 7 - 9) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by February 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
|
2025-02-10T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-love-hurts-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-8-11m
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x25b74cfb632dbc5452a35e5a3169767f64fdd1032df67904b0e6a86925a4a69a
|
0xe54dbf2ab4001bfc7edc15b0708e03b320a88997a229abe060a1304b829b71c9
|
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 15?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas between February 4, and March 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Israel and/or Hamas, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
|
2025-03-15T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-phase-ii-by-march-15
|
[
"Politics",
"Gaza",
"Middle East",
"Israel",
"netanyahu",
"Bibi",
"Geopolitics",
"Foreign Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x96eb2a56f315cb4083521ddf06dc0bb00b1c02b2d7ee7929ab8be2412616ba75
|
0xd461e5db3ec9945031b254759eb3094a4210cb2364ff56f08f95066f8ad91698
|
Will Donald Trump say "Eagles" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-eagles-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x80bc342d9fa0cc34ab1b4d42c76ad1ec51dd63ed4031e6d9a271f653a2ebcade
|
0xd4ca6dded40f4ff94d12dc93ec72297cf79be72a3626c0d2fe57aafa515c61dc
|
Will Donald Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-hell-3-times-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x445ca11bec2f1b9c8f6de07ad3e0718d4cccfe901494289e9694a958ddd01f05
|
0xc9a7246b0a2a82d14c0a68f23520910b9e071baae03c5fb7a270d8b38ec9eec9
|
Will Bitcoin be between $100000 and $102000 on February 14?
|
This market will resolve to according to the final “Close” price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 14 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-bitcoin-be-between-100000-and-102000-on-february-14
|
[
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8f4dffef28cb4c651b48b9fc6faf402ab3d64ab75941863625b87fa51b7d1601
|
0xb8f5509328823e46e33b57ee226e41c8c1bdb3388446c892c40cfb05b27873c7
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on February 5?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 5, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-45-46f-on-february-5
|
[
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5ea146139aa7685c2f52f63fe3c6a941934d69b7b641fea932c8e2ecfde174dd
|
0x3ab88b734659dd5cd876158d7509995537b09e352b99105b86ee81f4786faeab
|
Trump negative approval before March?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 5 and February 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify.
The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered.
Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published. If the first data point after February 28, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for February 28, this market will resolve according to all prior data points.
Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
trump-negative-approval-before-march
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Approval",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8f6a3748b7bbdd7f8030133f4c063f9db2639e71c60114c91399fb5d98a93501
|
0x87111274e7ed6d26478a7216692b3289b3347de630fd985a2ef2441f52db45f9
|
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.9% on February 14?
|
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 14, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for February 14 must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trumps-538-approval-rating-be-between-45pt0-and-45pt9-on-february-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Approval",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x10bc1c93fbce02bc0d7625848ada61147af58f81e79ae511cd2efbb161d44501
|
0x749b827711e7e8974aa700dd304887622358ba4c5fdc01f3f0d9793a93020f33
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 36-37°F on February 7?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 7, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-36-37f-on-february-7
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xccaf5a5336f8cf2c6720a38cb4dabfbf8515fcc63068a3b5d939961b23383aba
|
0xe821ae220a3a4c1c616c760d9b71ff5692f8ade379f325bdab57997346ec8501
|
Will Donald Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-beautiful-5-times-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x7a887116f4583ab24594efffdf2f17b93625bf094aa44910e1cbf877f06d8006
|
0xaee9452bcd52d93ea48c549a0e0b571a513b3a9588faaa750b9ed1abd291088b
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 40°F or higher on February 5?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 5, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-40f-or-higher-on-february-5
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf11ca66ec05af5a2c17f30686ab4346ef71f4cc411be21e75bf703076cdedc7f
|
0xb65736c700e9d5017258c27fcc5b3407174c0e85a3cd3cc348d5b0ed2e304227
|
Will there be a doink in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least one kick (field goal or extra point) hits the field goal uprights or crossbar in Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note: Whether or not the attempt is successful or not will have no impact on this market. The ball must make visibe contact with the post in order for this market to resolve as "Yes".
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-a-doink-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kicking",
"Game Props",
"Player Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe68f6394d95a27d83bcb4e021fa5371d4fece7cd62870a287c0eb2ce1490707
|
0x14daa7330b70d7bd90ef6e14824f744a08ffc6bb2836abe80302776f9c438a6b
|
Will Kanye tweet 160-179 times on February 7?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times ye (@kanyewest), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and February 8, 2025, 12:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kanye-tweet-160-179-times-on-february-7
|
[
"Breaking News",
"Culture",
"Kanye",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa689ffda45def0b47d14c59f58c271cd1944d6657b5126a1f93f21ac9b8d0e01
|
0xf576d637a7968871e7eb1f9cf6d945fd278eb38f6364fa84724b85defbbb74cc
|
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?
|
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in February 2025 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-monthly-inflation-increase-by-0pt2-in-february
|
[
"Politics",
"Inflation",
"Economy",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xee3ef7bd9212f41510ac199d3d8da2963d5f9eca58d4e785ad420b0216ebbed2
|
0x06d753dca06824f4af826e23f85f6fed1484d504ce301045fa26434c63e4f922
|
Will there be a missed extra point attempt in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the Kansas City Chiefs or the Philadelphia Eagles miss an extra point attempt in Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note: "missed extra point attempt" refers to missing the one point conversion kick after scoring a touchdown. Two point conversions will have no bearing on this market.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-a-missed-extra-point-attempt-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kicking",
"Game Props",
"Player Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe44cde6763b43a94164f9f0582e168b0f2e0366744cffd0df78fd483f781b300
|
0x1e7b37b2e897c63067cd1df7444080f34182d6bea4d79f74c7fb189643d6bb00
|
Will Celtic win on 2025-02-12?
|
In the upcoming UCL game, scheduled for February 12 at 3:00PM ET,
If Celtic wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Celtic loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-02-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ucl-cel-bay-2025-02-12-cel
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Games",
"UCL"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa689ffda45def0b47d14c59f58c271cd1944d6657b5126a1f93f21ac9b8d0e04
|
0xbe55fb3cb6873c9487969eb212ca59cc4600dfafe4e41e39af10e0d718a606d1
|
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in February?
|
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in February 2025 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-monthly-inflation-increase-by-0pt5-or-more-in-february
|
[
"Politics",
"Inflation",
"Economy",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcf667ac43158c7d0b2a0cdd59bd8138ba0ad877139bf5dd1208937d9059f8b04
|
0xa7aaee439ed8d30e972bcc5ba365d8d981be0322f394ffca59a2a579ceffcae1
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on February 9?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 9, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-40-41f-on-february-9
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x93168c7d05761e32e6500ff2e1b4198edf0fa182d0ff72624a6384ef1c41f987
|
0xab378d20b8db8b82602a86e9dc98fba5377f851dd0a9c9635c1b9cfc255256dd
|
Will Donald Trump say "Taylor" or "Swift" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-taylor-or-swift-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfc160a9edc8cd0e54dc0eb7fffb21ebad0ed20ce115aef2d70b662753aa61533
|
0x9ec2f6e245d018c6ff3a2eca35a8e15792da07dcf2ad9c6890658e2fb06ae445
|
Will a lineman score a touchdown?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” any player listed as an offensive or defensive lineman, scores a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this market will resolver to “No”.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Passing TDs will not count.
Player positions can be found on the official team depth charts at philadelphiaeagles.com and cheifs.com.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-a-lineman-score-a-touchdown
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Game Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc0fb889cbf547eccc4793fac6cc2e79df2e337bdc24a6dd3faf8c99a90665f03
|
0x937b00af36c37c4f0a627bfa522c5aa677d661588851b368715af2e58bb1b20f
|
Will POTUS tweet 11-13 times Feb 7-14?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-potus-tweet-11-13-times-feb-7-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd960af8f333ab33c5a3f85028c4363951191f57e9cb09f2af6aab5840fdaac8d
|
0x2791fc53b9cf0a8d7ccb7602c88e948d00e426ef906216b902a1ee1a03b5066e
|
FA Cup: Preston North End vs. Wycombe Wanderers (To Advance)
|
This market refers to the FA Cup Fourth Round match between Preston North End and Wycombe Wanderers, scheduled for February 8, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET.
If Preston North End advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Preston.”
If Wycombe Wanderers advances to the next round of the FA Cup, this market will resolve to “Wycombe.”
If the match is canceled or postponed beyond February 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FA Cup.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
fa-cup-preston-north-end-vs-wycombe-wanderers-to-advance
|
[
"Sports",
"Games",
"Preston North End",
"FA Cup",
"Wycombe Wanderers"
] | false
| null | null |
0x44a83c34026e3d4932b6eb7b83d3ebb4fb85636c3db8e321f33d317056070072
|
0x8ccff45ee33d6e8be19e552f9ecbcd066733fc6a1eea3a1fcb629e3ded130717
|
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 14 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 97,000.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
bitcoin-above-97000-on-february-14
|
[
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x281e2add391601545922d10fbcaa963fb63b03d5501b50befdcafbb06795b9a6
|
0x10bac9207caac2ecc6c49e75f74db4f21428e01cd09c96fef9774bb32df1f889
|
Bank of England rate cut in March meeting?
|
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for March is scheduled to be released on the 20th.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is decreased following the first Monetary Policy Committee meeting in March, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market may not resolve to "No" until March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET has passed, or otherwise the first Monetary Policy Committee meeting in March has occurred and no rate cut is issued.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-20T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
bank-of-england-rate-cut-in-march-meeting
|
[
"Politics",
"Economy",
"Economic Policy",
"World"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcf667ac43158c7d0b2a0cdd59bd8138ba0ad877139bf5dd1208937d9059f8b05
|
0x869826243743e4d4c0719ecdfaede9339db9b298c3c7c641379ff78ecd9f18d7
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 42-43°F on February 9?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 9, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-42-43f-on-february-9
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x710a471fdbe6e1bf61b4ae82ba84af6010071fef83ed5427b6bc39ed5931714b
|
0xb40c3a4585cb05912191f22e65f5b106acea08ecabd5a4b314fdcbe45e660e75
|
Is Markiplier engaged?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Markiplier (Mark Edward Fischbach) is engaged to be married by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it is announced that Markiplier is married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Markiplier or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
is-markiplier-engaged
|
[
"social media",
"youtube",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x69ec910ff84ead8c964ecd7f0bce4105da6b81c2b26a725cf1dfe260a66d1604
|
0x78592d8b52a4bc6b78fe127020aecdb89808b74a242e095c862187b59edbe3bd
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on February 6?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 6, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-40-41f-on-february-6
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x0a686fea8167d54e95d8e9e4db7f4c19e1d3f7df69d707ffed6027cd66cf7caf
|
0x0ef9a1e851f603bde7134e58e4ed89b9e2879438881ae98c3ad30f20561b1995
|
Will DOGE audit the IRS before May?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) initiates an official audit of the US Internal Revenue Service (IRS) by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An audit must be explicitly referred to as such in official government documents, press releases, or credible news reports for it to count as an audit.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from DOGE and the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-04-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-doge-audit-the-irs-before-may
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Elon Musk",
"DOGE",
"First 100 days"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1f745c679afc1c1439e90146a332571be92beb7f1fe9419102a43ed1ddb2078b
|
0x64ad7e44a045a55bb51e1a8bb3f92f7de50952c27bbf5be484ffb87fd14babb3
|
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 7?
|
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on February 7, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”
In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-issue-an-executive-order-on-february-7
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Recurring",
"Executive Actions"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3161124d7e6ad7315466f7edc188e1cca95c2c25a823218fa0264f8378830e01
|
0x4004ef0fc753b948dab4e5af05ba029b3336d8237e168548c34eaef8ac22fd0b
|
Will The MongolZ win the ESL Katowice Tournament?
|
This market will resolve to according to the winner of the 2025 IEM Katowice Tournament.
If this event is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), canceled, or a winner has not been declared, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/tour/cs/katowice/).
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-mongolz-win-the-esl-katowice-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Esports",
"cs2"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x445ca11bec2f1b9c8f6de07ad3e0718d4cccfe901494289e9694a958ddd01f04
|
0xcafba0a6a7fa46a78b4d59902df0af76b3dbdb338b1a635e9c605b94ead81607
|
Will Bitcoin be between $98000 and $100000 on February 14?
|
This market will resolve to according to the final “Close” price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT 14 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-bitcoin-be-between-98000-and-100000-on-february-14
|
[
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc81f5fd96585532bd7e9566a0eb397b321ddd871d07a22e4d684dad402a58502
|
0x0e1ece7552e4066c95f6eaa15d0593b5b2361557a3c9310d1201eeea2cebd47f
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on February 8?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 8, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-08T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-42-43f-on-february-8
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3c6a37a116abe95e186bf17f88501826290060ec1e00299457afc8f9fa5a204f
|
0x4e6ea158e4217af939e3c06acb21f79e6c7df9e8ccc8ce0209d6f0e6a1caf121
|
Will 10% or more CIA personnel accept buyout offer before March?
|
On February 4, The Central Intelligence Agency offered buyouts to its entire workforce (see: https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/the-cia-is-about-to-get-a-trump-makeover-16fc0cbf)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 10% or more of CIA employees accept the buyout resignation offer. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration and the CIA. If the number is only reported as an absolute number by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will use the most exact unrounded percentage using the reported number out of 23,000 to calculate the percentage of employees that accepted the buyout.
If the Trump Administration does not publish the number or percentage of CIA employees that accept the buyout offer by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-10-or-more-cia-personnel-accept-buyout-offer-before-march
|
[
"Politics",
"DOGE",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2794eed0c3bae5d736aec96e9446ad2f70f36ff40cdf1aeb18535b14160b2399
|
0xcc717dfecf9ce713b4e2e9dd5baa4f249826dc5e61403669f2143b32743aebb6
|
Will Trump say "Somalia" during his February 4 press conference with Netanyahu?
|
Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu are scheduled to hold a meeting followed by a press conference today at 4:00 PM ET (https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-meets-benjamin-netanyahu-first-foreign-leader-meeting-2025712).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this press conference scheduled for February 4. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
If this press conference does not happen by February 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press conference.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-somalia-during-his-february-4-press-conference-with-netanyahu
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Israel",
"Geopolitics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x6d888ae839c868fdd636335856035014eefb19eb0029f454710e1409bcf09901
|
0xf36cb2a893f724e1cb2a329ff7bd320d596ac0356ef1bc64efc16e46b30fc15a
|
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win Best Foreign Language Film in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Foreign Language Film.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title's first word comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-emilia-prez-win-best-foreign-language-film-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xb27fba8648c0d6fe01e98e1db3f80cdeed701d8c755b2943e9f7831224319a01
|
0xb42dc86f558eb1f8aae8617ef6a14bd24b72ab6afa48cebd59bda15b3a4244ec
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 36-37°F on February 7?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 7, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-36-37f-on-february-7
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdafadd3e28b8a48ddb4c60c6016d898c52463a24e56fff45ef1b45f0b55e103b
|
0x49e89cefb88d8a0901e36bb8fba407574d05aa4d06a23425150209280c64cf43
|
iPhone SE 4 under $500?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the base price of the iPhone SE 4, as announced by Apple, is under $500 USD. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the price of iPhone SE 4 is not announced by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be Apple's first announcement of the price.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
iphone-se-4-under-500
|
[
"Business",
"apple",
"Tech"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc1709a78ceffaefa43a00267743e14bc1f216d7b1de3fab97da2cc6e47097067
|
0xc662aa3b33d8e83a62cc95bb570be1bdb672e35b0bfb9eb4496bfd5a734c6809
|
Will Trump say "Iron Dome" during his February 4 press conference with Netanyahu?
|
Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu are scheduled to hold a meeting followed by a press conference today at 4:00 PM ET (https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-meets-benjamin-netanyahu-first-foreign-leader-meeting-2025712).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this press conference scheduled for February 4. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
If this press conference does not happen by February 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press conference.
|
2025-02-04T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-iron-dome-during-his-february-4-press-conference-with-netanyahu
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Israel",
"Geopolitics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4e4a7971b9f2c747e2b5d1ccd491a099c73381f69afb8ad8ad1b164692eed52e
|
0xed04e14b098bfd70e1970a21a9516d58246f7b04367aa8a50f6f0db7320b207e
|
Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-israel-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x62a5170d30ba7259823b304e103363e6267194eb8ad21357a474b3ed501e53fe
|
0x12bca63394668689104e3197fdc17609668b2988d1102c5713c11478927c8b1e
|
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.
Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-cryptocom-run-an-ad-during-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Commericals",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe74446ffd8a6b4679156d989d74dc65739db8f636b800a1980955447c5c88306
|
0x810be5b25c9474849fefadf4132ea95115d1422ce389e4c75d9a2a67f4a4dbea
|
Will JEZ win the PvP trading competition?
|
This market will resolve according to the winner of the pvp.trade trading competition.
If the competition is permanently canceled or otherwise has not been completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve according to whichever trader was in the lead as of the last official update. If there is a tie for the lead the market will resolve in favor of the trader whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The primary resolution source will be information from pvp.trade (https://x.com/pvp_dot_trade), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-jez-win-the-pvp-trading-competition
|
[
"Crypto",
"Memecoins"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x74ee9767ca3f466a5dc2167297105ddab83bb3425b25e2c017d875f6ab662060
|
0x5f282d7094c15c4c3f9ef73becd8540b0b000c45f87529ae42a09d4922518cc3
|
Will there be a blocked kick in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least one kick (field goal or extra point) is blocked in Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note: Whether or not the attempt is successful or not will have no impact on this market.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible repotting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-there-be-a-blocked-kick-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kicking",
"Game Props",
"Player Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3e4439135e1f102c667c2c55a9eaf8c561654f97f5f4b5b4602c967806750f6f
|
0x33d09eebb5d482dbc0b9a0546812ddf528d4bc48d348b6b1bd9e47c57c46df8e
|
Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
|
Fox News's Bret Baier announced he will have an interview that will air before Super Bowl LIX, on Sunday, February 9, 2025 at 3 PM ET (https://x.com/bretbaier/status/1886567501351223331).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Super Bowl LIX pre-game interview with Bret Baier. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will not count.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the interview.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-say-doge-or-department-of-governmental-efficiency-during-super-bowl-pregame-interview
|
[
"Trump",
"NFL",
"Culture",
"Mentions",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl TV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x01a5cd7579a621faba9047bc881f8d02abc95d381dbe9545362246dd4d66f322
|
0xdd4eaa5e71ef25584e7ff432fbfac1398cbcca6cc0686a0caf6b284478503a3d
|
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 14 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 2,700.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ethereum-above-2700-on-february-14
|
[
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x9ac71974071966893684d44d49cbeca22edadd80c24c5e3b1159a641762dd204
|
0x360fbda919c2cf7f230457c6d46e0ab0d67b115536aca01f7ff666f4237365be
|
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress in the 2025 Critics' Choice Awards?
|
The 30th Critics' Choice Awards will be presented on February 7, 2025, at the Barker Hangar at the Santa Monica Airport in Santa Monica, California, honoring the finest achievements of filmmaking and television programming in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Critics' Choice Movie Award for Best Actress.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/critics-choice-awards/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-mikey-madison-win-best-actress-in-the-2025-critics-choice-awards
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Critics' Choice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3161124d7e6ad7315466f7edc188e1cca95c2c25a823218fa0264f8378830e04
|
0x7fe6bc3ac12edfcce5e048fd0af78e81623aafe03a9d1a8f3b476b631616b683
|
Will Virtus.Pro win the ESL Katowice Tournament?
|
This market will resolve to according to the winner of the 2025 IEM Katowice Tournament.
If this event is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), canceled, or a winner has not been declared, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/tour/cs/katowice/).
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-virtuspro-win-the-esl-katowice-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Esports",
"cs2"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xaf327bdaa99d46088961f64c8ee17e1e8b1523b035bba9d2be5804c4d9b45a01
|
0x1c9978f9e7990d5f2b594c82f65f1ffbe754ca867926d690d7e2c5e7029aadec
|
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming UCL game, scheduled for February 11 at 12:45PM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-02-11T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ucl-bre-psg-2025-02-11-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Games",
"UCL"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8f6a3748b7bbdd7f8030133f4c063f9db2639e71c60114c91399fb5d98a93500
|
0x8bdca29882ab7e580a0be08f03564496be31d1107ecae34f4da5ca88ff0b57e7
|
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be below 45% on February 14?
|
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 14, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for February 14 must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
|
2025-02-14T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trumps-538-approval-rating-be-below-45-on-february-14
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Approval",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x70b9273b2f557ace74fcb25f36a7b482e165079ec611208bd5854f3af0a652a4
|
0x5dc8d683fa7722bd848074349c0fbfc8b4dfab4e6f8e4e503e4d96802c62aa6f
|
Will a player be ejected from Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is one more player(s) on the active roster for Super Bowl LIX on either the Kansas City Chiefs or the Philadelphia Eagles is ejected from the game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Super Bowl LIX is not completed by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-a-player-be-ejected-from-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Penalties",
"Game Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
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