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Climate change isn't increasing extreme weather damage costs.
This causes a variety of secondary effects, namely, changes in patterns of precipitation, rising sea levels, altered patterns of agriculture, increased extreme weather events, the expansion of the range of tropical diseases, and the opening of new marine trade routes.
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The Earth’s climate is changing in response to increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases ( GHGs ) and particulate matter in the atmosphere, largely as the result of human activities.
Water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and ozone are the primary greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
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Empirical measurements of the Earth's heat content show the planet is still accumulating heat and global warming is still happening.
This is predicted to produce changes such as the melting of glaciers and ice sheets, more extreme temperature ranges, significant changes in weather and a global rise in average sea levels.
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The most vulnerable parts of the West Antarctic ice sheet could raise the sea level by 10 to 15 feet, inundating many of the world’s coastal cities, though most scientists think that would take well over a century, or perhaps longer.
In the scientific literature, there is an overwhelming consensus that global surface temperatures have increased in recent decades and that the trend is caused mainly by human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases.
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parts of the Earth will likely become close to uninhabitable
Their reported relationship appeared to account for nearly 80 per cent of measured temperature changes over this period.
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Skeptics have long pointed to ice gain in the Southern Hemisphere as evidence climate change wasn’t occurring, but scientists warned that it was caused by natural variations and circulations in the atmosphere.
In the scientific literature, there is an overwhelming consensus that global surface temperatures have increased in recent decades and that the trend is caused mainly by human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases.
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We don't need a high heat flow - just a high temperature for the core to affect the surface climate.
Sea water has an important influence on the world's climate, with the oceans acting as a large heat reservoir.
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During the period 1940 to 1976 there was a cooling of the climate despite increasing CO2 levels.
Individual proxy records, such as tree ring widths and densities used in dendroclimatology, are calibrated against the instrumental record for the period of overlap.
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Discovery Of Massive Volcanic CO2 Emissions Discredits Global Warming Theory
Global Warming Led To Atmospheric Hydrogen Sulfide And Permian Extinction.
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Since then, the planet has been cooling on a millennial scale
Orbital forcing from cycles in the earth's orbit around the sun has, for the past 2,000 years, caused a long-term northern hemisphere cooling trend that continued through the Middle Ages and the Little Ice Age.
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The unusual heat was most noteworthy in Europe, which had its warmest April on record, and Australia, which had its second-warmest.
Furthermore, 2014 was Australia's third warmest year since national temperature observations commenced in 1910.
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Prof Adam Scaife, a climate modelling expert at the UK’s Met Office, said the evidence for a link to shrinking Arctic ice was now good: ‘The consensus points towards that being a real effect.’”
However scientists have found that ice is being lost, and at an accelerating rate.
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Everybody knows that the Pacific island of Tuvalu is sinking. ...
A rising tide : Planning the future of a sinking island.
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The IPCC confirms that computer modeling predicts the existence of a tropical, mid-troposphere “hot spot” about 10km above the Earth’s surface.
They judge that global mean surface air temperature has increased by 0.3 to 0.6 °C over the last 100 years, broadly consistent with prediction of climate models, but also of the same magnitude as natural climate variability.
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An additional kick was supplied by an El Niño weather pattern that peaked in 2016 and temporarily warmed much of the surface of the planet, causing the hottest year in a historical record dating to 1880.
Relevant to this dispute is the observation that Greenland ice cores often report higher and more variable CO 2 values than similar measurements in Antarctica.
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Rapid loss of ice-mass from the glaciers of Greenland and Antarctica are cited as proof positive of global warming's onslaught.
The Greenland, and possibly the Antarctic, ice sheets have been losing mass recently, because losses by ablation including outlet glaciers exceed accumulation of snowfall.
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People tend to think of an ice-free Arctic in summer in terms of it merely being a symbol of global change.
A sea ice free summer Arctic within 30 years?.
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Satellites and on-site measurements are observing that Himalayan glaciers are disappearing at an accelerating rate.
For comparison, the average global temperature for the period between 1951 and 1980 was 14 °C (57 °F).
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Warmer seasons or triennial phases are followed by an atmosphere that is rich in CO2, reflecting the gas solving or exsolving from water, and not photosynthesis activity.
Projected annual energy-related CO 2 emissions in 2030 were 40–110% higher than in 2000, with two-thirds of the increase originating in developing countries.
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[ T ]he raw data, the actual thermometer data[ ... ] shows that the US has been cooling for 80 to 90 years.
In fact, if one ignores the unusual El Nino year of 1998, one sees a cooling trend.
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“Although the extent of the summer sea ice after 2006 dropped abruptly to levels not expected until 2050, the predicted 67-per-cent decline in polar bear numbers simply didn’t happen.
The proportion of maternity dens on sea ice has changed from 62% between the years 1985 through 1994, to 37% over the years 1998 through 2004.
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Renewables can't provide baseload power
Supplying Baseload Power and Reducing Transmission Requirements by Interconnecting Wind Farms ( PDF ).
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The warm and cool regions roughly balance each other out with little impact on global temperature.
The main balancing feedback to global temperature change is radiative cooling to space as infrared radiation, which increases strongly with increasing temperature.
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[ocean acidification was ] First referenced in a peer-reviewed study in Nature in 2003
Taught master's degrees are normally one to two year courses, rated at 60 - 120 ECTS credits, while research master's degrees are normally two year courses, either rated at 120 ECTS credits or not credit rated.
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Scientists say the recent climate agreement negotiated in Paris is not remotely ambitious enough to forestall a significant melting of Greenland and Antarctica, though if fully implemented, it may slow the pace somewhat.”
Since the Industrial Revolution anthropogenic emissions – primarily from use of fossil fuels and deforestation – have rapidly increased its concentration in the atmosphere, leading to global warming.
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The IPCC statement on Amazon rain forests is correct.
The IPCC has since acknowledged that the date is incorrect, while reaffirming that the conclusion in the final summary was robust.
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precipitation from global warming will make the world much greener
With the temperature of the nearby buildings sometimes reaching over 50 degrees different from the near-surface air temperature, precipitation will warm rapidly, causing runoff into nearby streams, lakes and rivers ( or other bodies of water ) to provide excessive thermal pollution.
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The carbon footprint on wind [ energy ] is significant.
The 11 Biggest Wind Farms and Wind Power Constructions That Reduce Carbon Footprint.
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Growers regularly pump CO2 into greenhouses, raising levels to three times that of the natural environment, to produce stronger, greener, healthier plants.”
Therefore, the relative frequency of El Niño compared to La Niña events can affect global temperature trends on decadal timescales.
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The melting of the Greenland ice sheet is already contributing significantly to sea level rise, and new research is highlighting that the melting of Arctic sea ice can alter weather conditions across Europe, Asia and North America.’”
Occupational CO 2 exposure limits have been set in the United States at 0.5% (5000 ppm) for an eight-hour period.
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Plant stomata show higher and more variable CO2 levels.
The consensus theory of the scientific community is that the resulting greenhouse effect is a principal cause of the increase in global warming which has occurred over the same period, and a chief contributor to the accelerated melting of the remaining glaciers and polar ice.
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It appears, for the entire tropics, the observed outgoing radiation fluxes increase with the increase in sea surface temperatures ( SSTs ).
Using isotope proxies to determine ocean temperatures indicates sea surface temperatures in the tropics as high as 35 °C ( 95 °F ) and, relative to present-day values, bottom water temperatures that are 10 °C ( 18 °F ) higher.
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The Independent Climate Change Email Review investigated the CRU scientists' actions relating to peer review.
Methods agree that the Totten Glacier has lost ice in recent decades in response to ocean warming and possibly a reduction in local sea ice cover.
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The research also revealed how large areas of the polar ice caps could collapse and significant changes to ecosystems could see the Sahara Desert become green and the edges of tropical forests turn into fire-dominated savanna.
The potential for major sea level rise depends mostly on a significant melting of the polar ice caps of Greenland and Antarctica, as this is where the vast majority of glacial ice is located.
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To make matters worse, the water temperatures in the Arctic Ocean are several degrees above average, which is an expected result of having less sea ice.
Between 1993 and 2017, the global mean sea level rose on average by 3.1 ± 0.3 mm per year, with an acceleration detected as well.
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The Ozone Layer stops UV radiation from entering our atmosphere.
It is a major aspect of climate change and has been demonstrated by direct temperature measurements and by measurements of various effects of the warming.
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Eleven percent of the world’s population is currently vulnerable to climate change impacts such as droughts, floods, heat waves, extreme weather events and sea-level rise.
The clumping of the soil textural components of sand, silt and clay causes aggregates to form and the further association of those aggregates into larger units creates soil structures called peds (a contraction of the word pedolith).
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Species that have a lot of plasticity tend to be generalists.
The Medieval Warm Period (MWP) also known as the Medieval Climate Optimum, or Medieval Climatic Anomaly was a time of warm climate in the North Atlantic region lasting from c. 950 to c. 1250.
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Solar panels drain the sun's energy.
Nevertheless, the country's total greenhouse gas emissions were the highest in the EU in 2017[update].
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‘We could be decades too fast, or decades too slow,’said one of them, Robert M. DeConto of the University of Massachusetts, Amherst.
The changes in temperature have been associated with increasing concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2) and other GHGs in the atmosphere."
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Urban and rural regions show the same warming trend.
Surfaces in the urban areas tend to warm faster than those of the surrounding rural areas.
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[The 1990 IPCC report said] that the Antarctic ice sheets were stable
Climate change caused by human activities that emit greenhouse gases into the air is expected to affect the frequency of extreme weather events such as drought, extreme temperatures, flooding, high winds, and severe storms.
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Glaciers are in rapid retreat worldwide, despite 1 error in 1 paragraph in a 3000 page IPCC report.
Cost-effective 2 °C scenarios project annual global greenhouse gas emissions to peak before the year 2020, with deep cuts in emissions thereafter, leading to a reduction in 2050 of 41% compared to 1990 levels.
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it’s not a pollutant that threatens human civilization.
The present, unprecedented scale and speed of human movement make it more difficult than ever to contain an epidemic through local quarantines, and other sources of uncertainty and the evolving nature of the risk means natural pandemics may pose a realistic threat to human civilization.
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There is no question whatsoever that the CO2 increase is human-caused.
It is likely that anthropogenic ( i.e., human-induced ) warming, such as that due to elevated greenhouse gas levels, has had a discernible influence on many physical and biological systems.
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It was the post war industrialization that caused the rapid rise in global CO2 emissions, but by 1945 when this began, the Earth was already in a cooling phase that started around 1942 and continued until 1975.
Extreme Weather Prompts Unprecedented Global Warming Alert.
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[Wind energy] is a more expensive way of producing energy than the alternative.
Since the Industrial Revolution anthropogenic emissions – primarily from use of fossil fuels and deforestation – have rapidly increased its concentration in the atmosphere, leading to global warming.
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During a state House debate on a jobs and energy bill this week, Democrats offered an amendment that would put the Legislature on record saying that climate change is real and that humans are causing it.
In a speech in April 2012, Kasich acknowledged that climate change is real and is a problem.
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"The solubility of carbon dioxide in water is listed in the Handbook of Chemistry and Physics as a declining function of temperature. ...
18 January 2019.
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Reefs need carbon dioxide; it’s their basic food.
The general public had little awareness of carbon dioxide's effects on climate, but Science News in May 1959 forecast a 25% increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide in the 150 years from 1850 to 2000, with a consequent warming trend.
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Extreme weather isn't caused by global warming
(2012) concluded that human activities had likely led to a warming of extreme daily minimum and maximum temperatures at the global scale.
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precipitation from global warming will make the world much greener
"NASA Faked the Moon Landing—Therefore, (Climate) Science Is a Hoax".
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Geologists say that humans are now pumping the gas into the air much faster than nature has ever done.
Some of the changes have been faster than previous assessments had suggested.
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"A United Nations report has identified the world's rapidly growing herds of cattle as the greatest threat to the climate, forests and wildlife. ...
It involves cooling the body to temperatures between 20 °C (68 °F) to 25 °C (77 °F), and stopping blood circulation and brain function for up to one hour.
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“The Northern Hemisphere jet stream […] flow is stronger when that temperature difference is large.
The range of surge levels in eastern St. Tammany Parish is estimated at 13–16 feet (4.0–4.9 m), not including wave action.
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There is no statistical evidence that global warming is intensifying[ … ] floods
Human activities are now causing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases—including carbon dioxide, methane, tropospheric ozone, and nitrous oxide—to rise well above pre-industrial levels ... Increases in greenhouse gases are causing temperatures to rise ...
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Maximum warming occurs over the surface during winter while less surface warming is found in summer when heat is being used to melt sea ice.
Since the start of the 20th century, the global mean surface temperature of the Earth has increased by more than 0.7°C and the rate of warming has been largest in the last 30 years.
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Rather, global polar bear numbers have been stable or slightly improved.”
Precession in the alignment of the obliquity and eccentricity lead to global warming and cooling ('great' summers and winters) with a period of 170,000 years.
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satellites confirmed measurements from ground stations show a considerable, and naturally-occurring, global brightening from 1983-2001 ( Pinker et al., 2005 ).
Wild et al., using measurements over land, report brightening since 1990, and Pinker et al.
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While there are isolated cases of growing glaciers, the overwhelming trend in glaciers worldwide is retreat.
A slight cooling led to the advance of many alpine glaciers between 1950 and 1985, but since 1985 glacier retreat and mass loss has become larger and increasingly ubiquitous.
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‘Next year or the year after, the Arctic will be free of ice’
Expert predicts ice-free Arctic by 2020 as UN releases climate report.
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Obama administration's Clean Power Plan would have little or no effect on carbon dioxide emissions.
The final version of the plan aims to reduce carbon dioxide emissions from electrical power generation by 32 percent by 2030, relative to 2005 levels.
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Gone are the days when scientists drew a bright line dividing weather and climate.
Aside from climatic changes that have caused the gradual drift of populations ( for example the desertification of the Middle East, and the formation of land bridges during glacial periods ), extreme weather events have caused smaller scale population movements and intruded directly in historical events.
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The most vulnerable parts of the West Antarctic ice sheet could raise the sea level by 10 to 15 feet, inundating many of the world’s coastal cities, though most scientists think that would take well over a century, or perhaps longer.
Currently, surface temperatures are rising by about 0.2 °C per decade.
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I note particularly that sea-level rise is not affected by the warming; it continues at the same rate, 1.8 millimeters a year, according to a 1990 review by Andrew S. Trupin and John Wahr.
By 1929, the Great Depression arrived, causing political chaos throughout the world.
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"[T]he influence of so-called greenhouse gases on near-surface temperature - is not yet absolutely proven.
On the other hand, any doubling of the percentage of carbon dioxide in the air would raise the temperature of the earth's surface by 4°; and if the carbon dioxide were increased fourfold, the temperature would rise by 8°."
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Local and regional sea levels continue to exhibit typical natural variability—in some places rising and in others falling.
Tides, the generally twice-daily rise and fall of sea levels, are caused by Earth's rotation and the gravitational effects of the orbiting Moon and, to a lesser extent, of the Sun.
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They concluded that trends toward rising climate damages were mainly due to increased population and economic activity in the path of storms, that it was not currently possible to determine the portion of damages attributable to greenhouse gases, and that they didn’t expect that situation to change in the near future.
Current rates of sea level rise from satellite altimetry have been estimated to be 3.0 ± 0.4 millimetres (0.118 ± 0.016 in) per year for the period 1993–2017.
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Based on the increase of solar activity during the twentieth century, it should account for between half to two-thirds of all climate change.
Economics has been subject to criticism that it relies on unrealistic, unverifiable, or highly simplified assumptions, in some cases because these assumptions simplify the proofs of desired conclusions.
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Temperatures in 1999 were nearly three-tenths of a degree lower than in 1998, and a similar change should occur this time around, though it might not fit so neatly into a calendar year.
Climate sensitivity can be estimated by using reconstructions of Earth's past temperatures and CO 2 levels.
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The sun has gone into ‘lockdown’ which could cause freezing weather, earthquakes and famine, say scientists
The current consensus of the scientific community is that the aerosols and dust released into the upper atmosphere causes cooler temperatures by preventing the sun's energy from reaching the ground.
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If ECS is as low as the Energy Balance literature suggests, it means that the climate models we have been using for decades run too hot and need to be revised.
In 1896, he published the first climate model of its kind, showing that halving of CO 2 could have produced the drop in temperature initiating the ice age.
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Polar bear numbers are increasing
The difference between data analysis and data mining is that data analysis is used to test models and hypotheses on the dataset, e.g., analyzing the effectiveness of a marketing campaign, regardless of the amount of data; in contrast, data mining uses machine learning and statistical models to uncover clandestine or hidden patterns in a large volume of data.
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CO2 emissions were much smaller 100 years ago.
The first 30 ppm increase took place in about 200 years, from the start of the Industrial Revolution to 1958; however the next 90 ppm increase took place within 56 years, from 1958 to 2014.
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When all forcings are combined, they show good correlation to global temperature throughout the 20th century including the mid-century cooling period.
Stott's group found that combining these factors enabled them to closely simulate global temperature changes throughout the 20th century.
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The Independent Climate Change Email Review investigated the CRU scientists' actions relating to peer review.
A new statement, adopted by the society in 2003, revised in 2007, and revised and expanded in 2013, affirms that rising levels of greenhouse gases have caused and will continue to cause the global surface temperature to be warmer: Human activities are changing Earth's climate.
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Sen. George LeMieux voted to let oil companies off the hook and overturn pollution rules.
Some 2.3 million people have found renewable energy jobs in recent years, and projected investments of $630 billion by 2030 would translate into at least 20 million additional jobs.
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The news of expanding Antarctic sea ice stole headlines from global warming alarmists who asserted Arctic sea ice had reached its lowest extent since 1979.'
In an op-ed for The New York Times, he wrote, "Ironically, much of the hysteria over global warming is itself fueled by concerns that it may drive numerous species to extinction and increase hunger worldwide, especially in developing countries.
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Burning fuel to produce fertiliser to grow feed, to produce meat and to transport it - and clearing vegetation for grazing - produces 9 per cent of all emissions of carbon dioxide, the most common greenhouse gas.
The EPA estimates the Clean Power Plan will reduce the pollutants that contribute to smog and soot by 25 percent, and the reduction will lead to net climate and health benefits of an estimated $25 billion to $45 billion per year in 2030.
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more so than downsizing one’s car, or being vigilant about turning off light bulbs, and certainly more than quitting showering.
The EAIS is the driest, windiest, and coldest place on Earth, with temperatures reported down to nearly -100°C.
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If every house in Florida had a solar-heated water tank, that would eliminate consumption by 17 percent.
When combined with storage, large scale solar heating can provide 50-97% of annual heat consumption for district heating.
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But more than 7% of deaths are related to cold—counting hypothermia, as well as increased blood pressure and risk of heart attack that results when the body restricts blood flow in response to frigid temperatures.”
For example, plunged into freezing seas, around 20% of victims die within two minutes from cold shock ( uncontrolled rapid breathing, and gasping, causing water inhalation, massive increase in blood pressure and cardiac strain leading to cardiac arrest, and panic ); another 50% die within 15–30 minutes from cold incapacitation ( inability to use or control limbs and hands for swimming or gripping, as the body protectively shuts down the peripheral muscles of the limbs to protect its core ).
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Arctic sea ice is also falling at an accelerated rate.
Winter Storm naming in the United States goes back to the 1700s when a snowstorm dubbed "The Great Snow of 1717" hit the colonies of New England in 1717.
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The influence of the volcano is easily spotted and removed, together with other even more important spurious influences.
Biostratigraphy, the use of fossils to work out the chronological order in which rocks were formed, is useful to both paleontologists and geologists.
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Climate change is due to cosmic rays.
Cosmic rays blamed for global warming.
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97% consensus on human-caused global warming has been disproven.
In a 2019 CBS poll, 64% of the US population said that climate change is a crisis or a serious problem, with 44% saying human activity was a significant contributor.
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Their ECS estimate is 1.5 degrees, with a probability range between 1.05 and 2.45 degrees.
Regarding the draft conclusion that the 20th Century was the warmest in the last 1000 years, he said "We don't accept this.
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97% consensus on human-caused global warming has been disproven
Of these, 97% agree, explicitly or implicitly, that global warming is happening and is human-caused.
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Small amounts of very active substances can cause large effects.
Since the start of the 20th century, the global mean surface temperature of the Earth has increased by more than 0.7°C and the rate of warming has been largest in the last 30 years.
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If Senator Wong was really serious about her science she would stop breathing because you inhale air that's got 385 parts per million carbon dioxide in it
Thus at sea level, where the ambient atmospheric pressure is about 100 kPa, the moistened air that flows into the lungs from the trachea consists of water vapor ( 6.3 kPa ), nitrogen ( 74.0 kPa ), oxygen ( 19.7 kPa ) and trace amounts of carbon dioxide and other gases ( a total of 100 kPa ).
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The amount of land we use for meat — humankind’s biggest use of land — has declined by an area nearly as large as Alaska
It is by far the biggest cause of land use, as it accounts for nearly 40% of the global land surface.
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Arctic sea ice extent was lower in the past.
In August 2013, Arctic sea ice extent averaged 6.09m km2, which represents 1.13 million km2 below the 1981–2010 average for that month.
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There is no statistical evidence that global warming is intensifying[ … ] droughts
Overall, higher temperatures bring more rain and snowfall, but for some regions droughts and wildfires increase instead.
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“Sea level rise is global.
Over the past five decades there has been a global warming of approximately 0.65 °C (1.17 °F) at the Earth's surface (see historical temperature record).
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The strong El Nino has continued into 2016, raising the possibility that this year will, yet again, set a global temperature record
Consistent with Schmidt's comment, the NASA / NOAA announcement stated that globally-averaged temperatures in 2016 were 1.78 degrees Fahrenheit ( 0.99 degrees Celsius ) warmer than the mid-20th century mean and that the impact of El Nino warming was estimated to have increased the annual global temperature anomaly for 2016 by 0.2 degrees Fahrenheit ( 0.12 degrees Celsius ).
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Global sea level rose about 8 inches in the last century.
More precise data gathered from satellite radar measurements reveal an accelerating rise of 7.5 cm ( 3.0 in ) from 1993 to 2017, which is a trend of roughly 30 cm ( 12 in ) per century.
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Earth’s Albedo has risen in the past few years, and by doing reconstructions of the past albedo, it appears that there was a significant reduction in Earth’s albedo leading up to a lull in 1997.
Ice and snow increase Earth's albedo, i.e.
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His best estimate is that the warming in response to a doubling of CO2 concentration, which may happen this century unless the usual suspects get away with shutting down the economies of the West, will be a harmless 1 Fahrenheit degree, not the 6 F predicted by the IPCC."
This is much colder than the conditions that actually exist at the Earth's surface (the global mean surface temperature is about 14 °C).
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and three Nobel economic laureates support "direct investment in technology" rather than a carbon tax.
Small eruptions, with injections of less than 0.1 Mt of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, affect the atmosphere only subtly, as temperature changes are comparable with natural variability.
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“The oceans will never become acid because there is such a huge buffering capacity in the oceans.
The current level of GHG emissions means that ocean acidity will continue to increase and aquatic ecosystems will continue to degrade and change.
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