wallet string | market_id string | question string | market_slug string | event_slug string | n_outcomes int64 | positive_outcomes float64 | total_hold_amt float64 | stance_outcome string | stance_hold_amt int64 | second_hold_amt int64 | confidence float64 | label_status string | label_status_v2 string | stance_first_block int64 | stance_last_block int64 | stance_first_tx_hash string | stance_last_tx_hash string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x2a9862541e0538f1ca5954af82607bab44a10f67dff5d8d76436a8aef8ca4900 | Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election? | will-a-candidate-from-another-party-win-montana-us-senate-election | montana-us-senate-election-winner | 1 | 1 | 4,291,130,000 | no | 4,291,130,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,627,854 | 63,123,982 | 0x0a5c25f463181ba85ceb375a5d19f59dbf4c7aae2695f892107cb2c5852278c6 | 0xf1074aed86acebeebfd9967b5cd189869bd65e5670c749b8ba448ae510d5987f |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x2f0bae3cdd6c42468ebfd30df5a93adcbe666d891674116b990bae8d11b7f511 | Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election? | will-a-democrat-win-montana-us-senate-election | montana-us-senate-election-winner | 2 | 1 | 4,067,582,853 | no | 4,067,582,853 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,627,826 | 62,627,826 | 0x53fe6241ac332a2d8837d03d72f39d8dfb7616177403b2a590abaf90aaf452c4 | 0x53fe6241ac332a2d8837d03d72f39d8dfb7616177403b2a590abaf90aaf452c4 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x2f79a2f0319415722075a07a991d6bd7b5bb7765001ef25dde8066326a90ef00 | Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | will-a-democrat-win-florida-in-the-2024-us-presidential-election | florida-presidential-election-winner | 1 | 1 | 20,686,741,807 | no | 20,686,741,807 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,524,471 | 63,124,042 | 0x4ac81ec365ce82d9e0c0a864054e256610413e964664d01805930a68df203c7e | 0x1e8b8ff7e4aae3340ebb26c42910002f9fd90a418953616c02f28a3ad0b0a296 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x367be8313ab188e17a50370d037de4555f076e3ed988a3ca1701746c5d378300 | Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election? | will-a-democrat-win-nevada-presidential-election | nevada-presidential-election-winner | 1 | 1 | 2,140,000,000 | no | 2,140,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,914,973 | 63,124,054 | 0x979ae9cd097af83ef665bebb7eda9c0b0c63cf4761bdde70f85937d05627d689 | 0x9edaf40bd3dc12a6292cde531b60331938ea4ec390b5899b2b3293ea07fac8f5 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x47dc93079a0cb0f7174a61330b3a7eeea3c60f9839a92456452ecfebaa54162c | Will a Democrat win Missouri Presidential Election? | will-a-democrat-win-missouri-in-the-2024-us-presidential-election | missouri-presidential-election-winner | 2 | 2 | 60,003,075 | yes | 30,003,075 | 30,000,000 | 0.000051 | uncertain_low_confidence | certain_holdpos | 62,451,684 | 62,451,684 | 0xd71c42cd001caf965090c2b14290ac46b54b1ccdd893e1ca02f36c1f1274e4a9 | 0xd71c42cd001caf965090c2b14290ac46b54b1ccdd893e1ca02f36c1f1274e4a9 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x48e0352bf6b0b6fd8714c007231908a8d1b4e8b01635f3dc84afb0945722166c | Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18? | bitcoin-above-62000-on-october-18 | bitcoin-above-62000-on-october-18 | 2 | 2 | 606,000,000 | no | 303,000,000 | 303,000,000 | 0 | uncertain_low_confidence | certain_holdpos | 62,992,755 | 63,013,789 | 0x9289c29ead4651b7614154ac22cab6d12bd846978b2d689c25aa12e3bac72405 | 0x73206d3a9729e656e8a30b049d92a5aad5249ec68fc3fbf0b91043e1af247d09 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x49e5aa171e6056284d5093534a46d4ce370f9e714bbaf34a185880dffd9c9200 | Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election? | will-a-democrat-win-north-carolina-presidential-election | north-carolina-presidential-election-winner | 1 | 1 | 23,551,091,024 | no | 23,551,091,024 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,548,052 | 63,005,146 | 0xc9afa30ae95dc0befbf59281039b5f9c703a2dddbeb8d171aead72e86cd23cf2 | 0x2ca9f563d8899daed290574b082808195d50e878f3f88e8cecab0ee2698a084d |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x52e7598455202511cc09b04232afb457412e00e8e518a1c8e60595d7e83dfe00 | Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend? | will-joker-folie-deux-gross-less-than-105m-opening-weekend | joker-folie-a-deux-opening-weekend-box-office | 1 | 1 | 550,025,921 | no | 550,025,921 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,548,350 | 62,554,799 | 0xc877f25375bc6b9ba0c90f8e31a388f5c39bf6164cc78ce73d322de9e5bdfb92 | 0x0b94d1af1aba6bca0c2fa8ef55defb57c0928e9eedd098a5bb0cec3b8d9f4697 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x5391cb0e8759aab7ae978cedae3dbb6fe4b876f420515ef8221e9f8e9a222c00 | Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election? | will-a-democrat-win-arizona-us-senate-election | arizona-us-senate-election-winner | 2 | 2 | 31,077,935,269 | no | 30,605,375,269 | 472,560,000 | 0.969589 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,568,824 | 63,123,890 | 0xe0b3aede71ea5d4190fafba4e94ef387c247c3415dc1a390bd612fb3b708d958 | 0x5280d66969865217c87a24eb3e296912b5beae7940de08bbdc992585407a4713 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x61cf17bdde72375d7e24d483bf965655c886ce0b3bd640701fdc6f3a0d8eb900 | Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election? | will-a-democrat-win-arizona-presidential-election | arizona-presidential-election-winner | 1 | 1 | 11,585,539,409 | no | 11,585,539,409 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,716,208 | 63,029,405 | 0x55b56129fd4ade9842954c110b0316ae91624c5caccded8161f382ae5dda33dc | 0x5e070b2f9b437a36150c5125d2885a26f5f2ec41d8700f5cdd2c4b214bc8148b |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x6220f518db01794939124d4596ed620d73596c9d482e3bd4a5705e9986b02000 | Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election? | will-a-democrat-win-michigan-us-senate-election | michigan-us-senate-election-winner | 1 | 1 | 6,558,463,845 | no | 6,558,463,845 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,675,801 | 63,124,094 | 0xac05ea75883cfbe3a5d0247772e9f15ed1b493aad91770e7f98e4a1280c4476c | 0xad3165709fe1a0ea44dd8effdc5a7de3293fc62084bf950d0f847ad1c95ba5d9 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x6679ee3522c4fcb5266bbddcf75973bc2735d9c80c517e7c179c035680a01cec | Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election? | will-a-candidate-from-another-party-win-montana-us-senate-election | montana-us-senate-election-winner | 2 | 2 | 4,291,410,000 | no | 4,291,130,000 | 280,000 | 0.99987 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,627,826 | 62,627,826 | 0x53fe6241ac332a2d8837d03d72f39d8dfb7616177403b2a590abaf90aaf452c4 | 0x53fe6241ac332a2d8837d03d72f39d8dfb7616177403b2a590abaf90aaf452c4 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x6e7017efe0a83c77e19bcdf61f8c4014a13a3f4ed77a5694f15113acc26260a0 | Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2-2.4 on Oct 4? | will-kamala-lead-in-rcp-by-2-2pt4-on-oct-4 | trump-vs-harris-polling-margin-friday-oct-4 | 2 | 2 | 139,000,000 | yes | 123,000,000 | 16,000,000 | 0.769784 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,633,867 | 62,633,867 | 0x2ff6a835f187ba6fc8bbba474bda8026ee05073c7c4a6617f671a5db902fa891 | 0x2ff6a835f187ba6fc8bbba474bda8026ee05073c7c4a6617f671a5db902fa891 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x74743fe453d866f40bc8dd686c9ce29a5215c3ecd26939ee40a638ba29f06e5a | Will Russia capture Toretsk before October? | will-russia-capture-toretsk-before-october | will-russia-capture-toretsk-before-october | 2 | 2 | 322,000,000 | no | 161,000,000 | 161,000,000 | 0 | uncertain_low_confidence | certain_holdpos | 62,433,319 | 62,434,111 | 0xe0d364338f7fe40690e2eadf48dc1020ee0e421b22213181723885833e5e8905 | 0x1a5ff64660258b9935b728a8dab786ac4f34a11ddd06edcbbe95fbedebc75df3 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x773a2323665c6c8b6d2d9cd022cef4672d78675d34bb7f4ca0681fa0a642bb00 | Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | will-a-democrat-win-wisconsin-presidential-election | wisconsin-presidential-election-winner | 1 | 1 | 17,227,935,838 | no | 17,227,935,838 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,589,504 | 63,038,456 | 0x85ea793a1f6f7b3a265f6101520e9e71a7b43950cf0279594227cf3ab71f8bdb | 0x8475510018e64439e49873cb7c7846d05469021221fecd211b808fded0f8823e |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x78c311c856fc22431bae03b2b3d3fa74f7d0c9f46552619367c92208a7797b52 | Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend? | will-joker-folie-deux-gross-less-than-105m-opening-weekend | joker-folie-a-deux-opening-weekend-box-office | 2 | 2 | 589,025,921 | no | 550,025,921 | 39,000,000 | 0.867578 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,548,330 | 62,548,330 | 0x7a48d212ceb044bee7a57a06351ab6107ed73faa8a3ab64d3d3f962ea5233e00 | 0x7a48d212ceb044bee7a57a06351ab6107ed73faa8a3ab64d3d3f962ea5233e00 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x798322f674c16fae8708e879e0986e33631bf917fd9eb45f4df67ded0382a3d4 | Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2.5-2.9 on Oct 4? | will-kamala-lead-in-rcp-by-2pt5-2pt9-on-oct-4 | trump-vs-harris-polling-margin-friday-oct-4 | 2 | 2 | 139,000,000 | yes | 123,000,000 | 16,000,000 | 0.769784 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,633,867 | 62,633,867 | 0x2ff6a835f187ba6fc8bbba474bda8026ee05073c7c4a6617f671a5db902fa891 | 0x2ff6a835f187ba6fc8bbba474bda8026ee05073c7c4a6617f671a5db902fa891 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x84b3feb105123dd579011d8c1605e7e513dae866e98011fd701fb1b94201de00 | Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | will-a-democrat-win-new-hampshire-in-the-2024-us-presidential-election | new-hampshire-presidential-election-winner | 2 | 1 | 5,868,933,458 | no | 5,868,933,458 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,527,735 | 63,116,432 | 0xab396e9835f19e692f8f44050a4e27df8311824be519ccff7d93970b37613386 | 0xb510592f6dfde8ddbe09e3e948ef0b02916eb867d60377ba7533fc44b848b520 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x869df181b925dc15ed7a6f82ea13996ab7b1f7ab9edc538311051e34db151400 | Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election? | will-a-democrat-win-new-mexico-presidential-election | new-mexico-presidential-election-winner-2024 | 1 | 1 | 2,726,980,000 | no | 2,726,980,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,527,756 | 62,876,078 | 0x983b91f4994c4e60b0e0f24b6211e2f55a57cf038f8c69436fc02b0adf8c7441 | 0x442e8ac2e947982587c676eb4e6de330d5cde9c909648eb58f55ae467cf7697f |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x886ebb580d398919a50146d9fbeaa87f4d6c61eb492d1061e6aadbe1f49120b3 | Will Kamala lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Oct 4? | will-kamala-lead-in-rcp-by-0-0pt4-on-oct-4 | trump-vs-harris-polling-margin-friday-oct-4 | 2 | 2 | 139,000,000 | yes | 123,000,000 | 16,000,000 | 0.769784 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,634,262 | 62,634,262 | 0x46b020c7022da36e5914ef31090cad31db63ee85437072b57cfe9e0b98ce6954 | 0x46b020c7022da36e5914ef31090cad31db63ee85437072b57cfe9e0b98ce6954 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x8a795ffd676543bfb778c846ef581db319b824cd0273966d2e0c1773d9f58d77 | Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1-1.4 on Oct 4? | will-kamala-lead-in-rcp-by-1-1pt4-on-oct-4 | trump-vs-harris-polling-margin-friday-oct-4 | 2 | 2 | 139,000,000 | yes | 123,000,000 | 16,000,000 | 0.769784 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,634,032 | 62,634,032 | 0xa69deaf635f083a7b6acada14614f89d8c0d4784111adfe9cb99318c375be1e4 | 0xa69deaf635f083a7b6acada14614f89d8c0d4784111adfe9cb99318c375be1e4 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x8f97d034bbf01cd874af524cefc6d83deaa25373c1ab4545a81589a4d3d2b2a8 | Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election? | will-a-democrat-win-north-carolina-presidential-election | north-carolina-presidential-election-winner | 2 | 2 | 23,767,961,024 | no | 23,551,091,024 | 216,870,000 | 0.981751 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,876,102 | 62,876,102 | 0xc75275084466e50b399dc3b0a275cc60555210cf4d83f42771f6e99fe82d472f | 0xc75275084466e50b399dc3b0a275cc60555210cf4d83f42771f6e99fe82d472f |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x9489fba6c36a01281916a273db24e169c6a0687d5ce5fce7ef6fe39165697cbb | Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $105-120m opening weekend? | will-joker-folie-deux-gross-between-105-120m-opening-weekend | joker-folie-a-deux-opening-weekend-box-office | 2 | 2 | 589,010,000 | no | 550,010,000 | 39,000,000 | 0.867574 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,548,330 | 62,548,330 | 0x7a48d212ceb044bee7a57a06351ab6107ed73faa8a3ab64d3d3f962ea5233e00 | 0x7a48d212ceb044bee7a57a06351ab6107ed73faa8a3ab64d3d3f962ea5233e00 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x9c0db17abe5d3219eb085e317569dfa5a9565e6742b6444ee3288c66225c0900 | Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 4? | will-trump-lead-in-rcp-on-oct-4 | trump-vs-harris-polling-margin-friday-oct-4 | 1 | 1 | 21,000,000 | no | 21,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,548,221 | 62,548,221 | 0x2390124f8743cab57c6b6a80ea6618eb417a170484a0d33a5da9fc322750d675 | 0x2390124f8743cab57c6b6a80ea6618eb417a170484a0d33a5da9fc322750d675 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x9ce25435a01fa26daec2a3ff4e72b4eada10e08ee416e995f22215e22785d000 | Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting? | fed-decreases-interest-rates-by-75-bps-after-november-2024-meeting | fed-interest-rates-november-2024 | 1 | 1 | 592,560,000 | no | 592,560,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,548,433 | 62,555,407 | 0xd297bbffb09fd24bb5191bebe94e786e52956ce3b45c3e875203c7b4eb7d1909 | 0x82fad749ae91d69d06cc06c6da2482764df195ae2c79bc5029a1cbbb7f53593d |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0x9d110bc79834c6cd630822f0ca6add74004cae814282f7d3aff9b843c4f63300 | Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? | will-a-democrat-win-michigan-presidential-election | michigan-presidential-election-winner | 1 | 1 | 76,182,844,130 | no | 76,182,844,130 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,568,849 | 63,124,083 | 0x77df9d5d45f5030f71d480466d7a86bb2115fbaf476602ad9fd669b8544c2f15 | 0xdcde1d9632d2d26a89c86c2bf4746a9c98381208f4a432acf7e707d928e43f9f |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xa059663a859bac52841660e1fc2ed3fc247f04f549e3fb306c531527a76514ea | Will a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election? | will-a-candidate-from-another-party-win-arizona-us-senate-election | arizona-us-senate-election-winner | 2 | 1 | 27,525,570,000 | no | 27,525,570,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,589,565 | 62,675,680 | 0x94c78e26670dabfc43146b9ebdba99d83d6682e2c24fa08bcfdbf79096f5a1ef | 0x99d78f7b4caeabcb7aa950d7b80b35c5612ba1a10ba1ebc2809d4227c7ebb19d |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xac7162f96876ea602d984de6f9800b8a4b8a45897e798a7630d9e004ae5b9a0b | Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election? | will-a-republican-win-arizona-us-senate-election | arizona-us-senate-election-winner | 2 | 2 | 31,950,826,945 | no | 31,182,826,945 | 768,000,000 | 0.951926 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,589,561 | 62,675,680 | 0x55891e56560badf49531ad70c622e427dc5f43e37b8f79778fc1e015c0af8ec6 | 0x99d78f7b4caeabcb7aa950d7b80b35c5612ba1a10ba1ebc2809d4227c7ebb19d |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xafd8bd9f9f4fcf42dcd1a159990126dff2ffe8b3afb9543b4a4e565c94b0d0f0 | Will Kamala lead in RCP by 3.5 or more on Oct 4? | will-kamala-lead-in-rcp-by-3pt5-or-more-on-oct-4 | trump-vs-harris-polling-margin-friday-oct-4 | 2 | 2 | 139,000,000 | yes | 123,000,000 | 16,000,000 | 0.769784 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,634,032 | 62,634,032 | 0xa69deaf635f083a7b6acada14614f89d8c0d4784111adfe9cb99318c375be1e4 | 0xa69deaf635f083a7b6acada14614f89d8c0d4784111adfe9cb99318c375be1e4 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xb17631413f217b33763f011a61990dd420f760af13bba6cdccd68c52b2b72d4e | Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election? | will-a-democrat-win-arizona-us-senate-election | arizona-us-senate-election-winner | 2 | 2 | 31,077,935,269 | no | 30,605,375,269 | 472,560,000 | 0.969589 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,589,557 | 62,675,680 | 0x2bc47320c512e34420acf06b080fac5846ccd075177fee773e4f51f683335f0b | 0x99d78f7b4caeabcb7aa950d7b80b35c5612ba1a10ba1ebc2809d4227c7ebb19d |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xbb01eefb24a38a9aa1921ec168d3049e7374b28a2540937d06b3ff2524d66627 | Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? | will-a-republican-win-michigan-presidential-election | michigan-presidential-election-winner | 2 | 2 | 76,041,224,821 | no | 75,447,224,821 | 594,000,000 | 0.984377 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,622,817 | 62,622,817 | 0x82591243cd544dd71643ca340b29fe375ad280947e17ad4cad251afbe5736644 | 0x82591243cd544dd71643ca340b29fe375ad280947e17ad4cad251afbe5736644 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xbd2010cab69921ed62f7a281b361994ab8d425fe904a937556c135bd0a46b800 | Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 11? | will-trump-lead-in-rcp-on-oct-11 | trump-vs-harris-polling-margin-next-friday-oct-11 | 1 | 1 | 75,000,000 | no | 75,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,555,081 | 62,555,451 | 0x38ce6401a87ec56697d834ac741040b602fe11d69866892313ea7e51cc1e2c16 | 0xba2a1455c8333b2b068e5e3cd501e9d33a21a6b514e1e23238fbc459ac2304be |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xce49840450b4444dd44cc51a53f74c68ac3b243adec49c24047baa16e9ba7ae6 | Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 on Oct 4? | will-kamala-lead-in-rcp-by-1pt5-1pt9-on-oct-4 | trump-vs-harris-polling-margin-friday-oct-4 | 2 | 2 | 139,000,000 | yes | 123,000,000 | 16,000,000 | 0.769784 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,634,032 | 62,634,032 | 0xa69deaf635f083a7b6acada14614f89d8c0d4784111adfe9cb99318c375be1e4 | 0xa69deaf635f083a7b6acada14614f89d8c0d4784111adfe9cb99318c375be1e4 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xdcc133e7e381ced0a54c35b9190b34dbe5a1116b871354a70518e4b43a24cfb8 | Will Kamala lead in RCP by 3-3.4 on Oct 4? | will-kamala-lead-in-rcp-by-3-3pt4-on-oct-4 | trump-vs-harris-polling-margin-friday-oct-4 | 2 | 2 | 139,000,000 | yes | 123,000,000 | 16,000,000 | 0.769784 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,634,032 | 62,634,032 | 0xa69deaf635f083a7b6acada14614f89d8c0d4784111adfe9cb99318c375be1e4 | 0xa69deaf635f083a7b6acada14614f89d8c0d4784111adfe9cb99318c375be1e4 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xe6c986842244b43245207841d987e9885688fe0c362eedd1249a9029a2004739 | Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 4? | will-trump-lead-in-rcp-on-oct-4 | trump-vs-harris-polling-margin-friday-oct-4 | 2 | 2 | 149,000,000 | yes | 128,000,000 | 21,000,000 | 0.718121 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,560,712 | 62,634,032 | 0x084c2e88854be6c90f5540d20edf1065e3cca70ffe7a3cbdf193a59c9afa9c52 | 0xa69deaf635f083a7b6acada14614f89d8c0d4784111adfe9cb99318c375be1e4 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xe88b88d1f39e2108ad8ee8b8c88fc043d1a21ac25c99b16d915ca82c0ee90ef2 | Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $135-150m opening weekend? | will-joker-folie-deux-gross-between-135-150m-opening-weekend | joker-folie-a-deux-opening-weekend-box-office | 2 | 2 | 589,010,000 | no | 550,010,000 | 39,000,000 | 0.867574 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,548,330 | 62,548,330 | 0x7a48d212ceb044bee7a57a06351ab6107ed73faa8a3ab64d3d3f962ea5233e00 | 0x7a48d212ceb044bee7a57a06351ab6107ed73faa8a3ab64d3d3f962ea5233e00 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xebbf621279b1c7c8b341cf058d3e58bcb97a0686d836e58da792ffc7edec5c00 | 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House | democratic-sweep-in-2024-election | balance-of-power-2024-election | 1 | 1 | 1,217,000,000 | no | 1,217,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,548,124 | 62,554,816 | 0x9dd049feaaad447efb96cb296af9b295cdabeee1c6ee7796af094f4fbc245218 | 0xcd543b3ec31ac7808e37c3c7653d6f1811ca3f9e892136ecb9ecc70b01b9273e |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xfee7d4c13ac7456879c63460d02e57844b349d62965c0436d4ac69109e148800 | Will a candidate from another party win Wisconsin US Senate Election? | will-a-candidate-from-another-party-win-wisconsin-us-senate-election | wisconsin-us-senate-election-winner | 1 | 1 | 3,295,810,000 | no | 3,295,810,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,627,079 | 63,116,530 | 0xff867a4ff80216b81df25edaac4978d7895937071487a5834dff95420d6a17a9 | 0x69e08b7e233fee91643a337e82c8c8cc2ec706ef1d13857cf5c948f453b2ded8 |
0x3a63219b1cc004ec514cdc94b0525e59c2c0461f | 0xfefbd6fa16a276839af9d87e7e649b0ccc90a2b36e63b5e48f50fb8da76bcb33 | Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election? | will-a-republican-win-virginia-in-the-2024-us-presidential-election | virginia-presidential-election-winner | 2 | 2 | 13,989,303,079 | no | 13,978,711,954 | 10,591,125 | 0.998486 | certain | certain_holdpos | 62,410,597 | 62,520,200 | 0xe93534e4437d00d29d81df33e9ff1f8a038567483e2f42ba3e405e1cb9293d02 | 0x6de1ad4ab310600ae9531d3feaf7c63f918f3b97a90e8304cbec0772a522f251 |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x062a4e008966d1862a08c4ba4b1ed2b5197fee50b12e959cf60a64668e750186 | Will a candidate from another party win Louisiana Presidential Election? | will-a-candidate-from-another-party-win-louisiana-presidential-election | louisiana-presidential-election-winner | 2 | 1 | 182,822,000 | no | 182,822,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 64,211,361 | 64,211,361 | 0x1d026b503063e98f332e6e5d72dd6981758c0494556771df0e15135841f902d0 | 0x1d026b503063e98f332e6e5d72dd6981758c0494556771df0e15135841f902d0 |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x0dc9832083677c8ac022380fc75ae771b25b470f50a1dbecbd58664c65e24b30 | Will Trump tweet 30-34 times Nov 22-29? | will-trump-tweet-30-34-times-nov-22-29 | donald-trump-of-tweets-nov-22-29 | 2 | 1 | 6,833,500 | no | 6,833,500 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,220,355 | 65,220,355 | 0x6d14c63bd1ab0f724d15841a96a3327374734cfd7d5006848231a6347a0d7e9e | 0x6d14c63bd1ab0f724d15841a96a3327374734cfd7d5006848231a6347a0d7e9e |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x122fcee73f3f3a566a8b909af0917c6d972cccbad2277a76e0ae06297866ed13 | Will Kamala Harris win Maryland by the largest margin? | will-kamala-harris-win-maryland-by-the-largest-margin | which-state-will-kamala-win-by-the-largest-margin | 2 | 1 | 8,778,000 | no | 8,778,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,220,355 | 65,220,355 | 0x6d14c63bd1ab0f724d15841a96a3327374734cfd7d5006848231a6347a0d7e9e | 0x6d14c63bd1ab0f724d15841a96a3327374734cfd7d5006848231a6347a0d7e9e |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x21689d1c243520bcaff1f0a9d7e45bd63da4f86fbb6a3aec93008e17d437d2c5 | Will Trump win Wyoming by the largest margin? | will-trump-win-wyoming-by-the-largest-margin | which-state-will-trump-win-by-the-largest-margin | 2 | 1 | 7,565,129 | yes | 7,565,129 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,931,996 | 65,931,996 | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x24ee858fba5f91b94e6278e71b8e1fdaabaf2a3680700d670f42aaa1c5f40179 | Will inflation increase by 2.8% or more in November? | will-inflation-increase-by-2pt8-or-more-in-november | november-inflation | 2 | 1 | 3,118,420 | no | 3,118,420 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,932,000 | 65,932,000 | 0xaa06a098cc247bd533d4b906bdb4535707bed6cd189161f5be231fcb7a1f8467 | 0xaa06a098cc247bd533d4b906bdb4535707bed6cd189161f5be231fcb7a1f8467 |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x3189e493d87b09525eced3aaae9bb48a9460cef9aa7e6b1c4ed3c4c2df8ffe6a | Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C? | will-the-november-2024-temperature-increase-be-between-1pt20-1pt24c | november-2024-temperature-increase-c | 2 | 1 | 8,885,541 | no | 8,885,541 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,931,996 | 65,931,996 | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x31d7fbf8a4b08ea07e3ffa283d9c5acbaaadf247da08a57e9f0795f6f742f4bd | Will the November unemployment rate be 4.3% or more? | will-the-november-unemployment-rate-be-4pt3-or-more | november-unemployment-rate | 2 | 1 | 3,545,450 | no | 3,545,450 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,220,355 | 65,220,355 | 0x6d14c63bd1ab0f724d15841a96a3327374734cfd7d5006848231a6347a0d7e9e | 0x6d14c63bd1ab0f724d15841a96a3327374734cfd7d5006848231a6347a0d7e9e |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x325038359610a566c0963c9f0ea2ea33b2ddedf7808898c4ed4166787213f1b5 | Trump sentenced to no prison time? | trump-sentenced-to-no-prison-time | trump-sentenced-to-how-much-prison-time | 2 | 1 | 6,320,000 | yes | 6,320,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 64,211,361 | 64,211,361 | 0x1d026b503063e98f332e6e5d72dd6981758c0494556771df0e15135841f902d0 | 0x1d026b503063e98f332e6e5d72dd6981758c0494556771df0e15135841f902d0 |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x34b8fa269775d034f3d98b6848e0a7c5212efcaa0c98e6f8fb54c5d6f72b3705 | Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | will-any-other-republican-politician-win-the-popular-vote-in-the-2024-presidential-election | presidential-election-popular-vote-winner-2024 | 2 | 1 | 470,000 | no | 470,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 64,211,361 | 64,211,361 | 0x1d026b503063e98f332e6e5d72dd6981758c0494556771df0e15135841f902d0 | 0x1d026b503063e98f332e6e5d72dd6981758c0494556771df0e15135841f902d0 |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x3a92a26ce837b361bd044acc2c0b81346ad66e9a891fc5ad27b9a35e6701c6e7 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | fed-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-june-2025-meeting | fed-decision-in-june | 2 | 1 | 133,320,000 | no | 133,320,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 73,823,331 | 73,823,331 | 0xfb56728077d78a48327fafcdc1ac679586e65f1b4ee43a06205d42df472ccb12 | 0xfb56728077d78a48327fafcdc1ac679586e65f1b4ee43a06205d42df472ccb12 |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x536edf11e2966f157280f0def83fec67c215be63fe508a7128793dfc415d141b | Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote? | will-rfk-jr-win-1-of-the-popular-vote | rfk-popular-vote-share | 2 | 1 | 6,939,392 | yes | 6,939,392 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,931,996 | 65,931,996 | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x5f24a333f529613b306cd2eeeeb570c20bf5099f312c6f8a8ef0e76a903b8362 | Will Kamala Harris win California by the largest margin? | will-kamala-harris-win-california-by-the-largest-margin | which-state-will-kamala-win-by-the-largest-margin | 2 | 1 | 6,636,000 | no | 6,636,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,931,996 | 65,931,996 | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x76dbb81a9fd937efa736aa23e6c0eb33aaf0f2ca4aa6c06da1d5529ed236ebfb | Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | will-tim-walz-be-d-nom-for-vp-on-election-day | democratic-vp-nominee-on-election-day | 2 | 1 | 6,543,000 | yes | 6,543,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 64,211,361 | 64,211,361 | 0x1d026b503063e98f332e6e5d72dd6981758c0494556771df0e15135841f902d0 | 0x1d026b503063e98f332e6e5d72dd6981758c0494556771df0e15135841f902d0 |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x77424e91e4933ba8319c514dea8c16a166b9fe40ff46414c830b2f37466db5cd | Will Wisconsin be the closest state? | will-wisconsin-be-the-closest-state | closest-state-in-the-presidential-election | 2 | 1 | 7,424,848 | yes | 7,424,848 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,931,996 | 65,931,996 | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x7e3a54031521a54cb8bbe38ac1267f2e3de49dbdcc23badb8f04b23a803780b8 | Will NPP win the most seats in the Ghanaian parliamentary election? | will-npp-win-the-most-seats-in-the-ghanaian-parliamentary-election | ghana-legislative-election | 2 | 1 | 6,012,000 | no | 6,012,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,931,996 | 65,931,996 | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x870efa69f5c2694036556d1cbc6f15c91933a75314e489788dbbfde966203d99 | Will 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend? | will-wicked-gross-less-than-95m-opening-weekend | wicked-opening-weekend-box-office | 2 | 1 | 6,190,475 | no | 6,190,475 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 64,800,865 | 64,800,865 | 0x0242123985295e5f5d6424ace9c7a08f0ccc54124a1208d4c259580fe352f3c2 | 0x0242123985295e5f5d6424ace9c7a08f0ccc54124a1208d4c259580fe352f3c2 |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0x9ed20a8e6a304cbb73d8fa749f703562d766d50357a2b4cbd39a1f1822c0ae6d | Will another team finish second in La Liga? | will-another-team-finish-second-in-la-liga | la-liga-2nd-place | 2 | 1 | 143,260,000 | no | 143,260,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 72,409,816 | 72,409,816 | 0xbbead8faed9ab4ff82d456c2bc4afc9e18019da32936804d49e49fabe030d180 | 0xbbead8faed9ab4ff82d456c2bc4afc9e18019da32936804d49e49fabe030d180 |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0xa4a53fb996c80da674a8c2ee472afe173e01b8c25323082e95cd5d2221d56b4c | Will Trump tweet 15-19 times Dec 6-13? | will-trump-tweet-15-19-times-dec-6-13 | donald-trump-of-tweets-december-6-13 | 2 | 1 | 8,095,230 | no | 8,095,230 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,931,996 | 65,931,996 | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0xa7418dd4edddef36d260746f7510af7627d724511a70093684cdebdf6d1490e7 | Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election? | will-the-peoples-party-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-canadian-election | which-party-wins-2nd-most-seats-in-canadian-election | 2 | 1 | 132,900,000 | no | 132,900,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 71,192,273 | 71,192,273 | 0x3f3787979a50e5202c6ec1e27d6f59ceabf54056336c3e02200bb006a596bc7e | 0x3f3787979a50e5202c6ec1e27d6f59ceabf54056336c3e02200bb006a596bc7e |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0xb80559cded72bf1bef053fc135e7b1d0061005b5d986b2b00eb9676a7b50c49d | Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | will-meta-have-the-top-ai-model-on-january-31 | top-ai-model-on-january-31 | 2 | 1 | 57,985,500 | no | 57,985,500 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 67,892,974 | 67,892,974 | 0xb943997dd781dadb529a43a90f74e0c3f98c0da28bf411afa733081ab0a3588c | 0xb943997dd781dadb529a43a90f74e0c3f98c0da28bf411afa733081ab0a3588c |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0xbc7a5e7106ad6b3d9c51f7e5152c04faf29ae2f471fd9c8e12ffaa3f5d7a6335 | Will 'Metaphor: ReFantazio' win Game of the Year? | will-metaphor-refantazio-win-game-of-the-year | game-of-the-year-2024 | 2 | 1 | 5,771,737 | no | 5,771,737 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,931,996 | 65,931,996 | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0xc085dd46fe5d6fd20c1a2ef6d7ad43b11fda38bbbe16396bd6900385212ca27e | Will Holly Cairns be the next Prime Minister of Ireland? | will-holly-cairns-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ireland | next-prime-minster-of-ireland | 2 | 1 | 161,161,000 | no | 161,161,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 67,892,974 | 67,892,974 | 0xb943997dd781dadb529a43a90f74e0c3f98c0da28bf411afa733081ab0a3588c | 0xb943997dd781dadb529a43a90f74e0c3f98c0da28bf411afa733081ab0a3588c |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0xce045626857ea0aaa57a6cf8e7d890db82a60fef7ecba244cefff1aaa417184c | Will the ECB announce an increase at the October meeting? | will-the-ecb-announce-an-increase-at-the-october-meeting | ecb-interest-rates-october-2025 | 2 | 1 | 360,170,000 | no | 360,170,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 78,459,912 | 78,459,912 | 0xb8e6c22408259a088c604ada569d200452b2cc1b7773b1194e1282be6997f835 | 0xb8e6c22408259a088c604ada569d200452b2cc1b7773b1194e1282be6997f835 |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0xd06c12e1df58c6a6587686ff8b6aa6ff742963db2b0705da667e08c016f4b7f4 | Will Brad Lander finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? | will-brad-lander-finish-third-in-the-2025-new-york-city-mayoral-democratic-primary | nyc-mayor-dem-primary3rd-place | 2 | 1 | 120,950,000 | yes | 120,950,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 75,466,379 | 75,466,379 | 0x3b37533f57807ec742c15070c007e684f336ccfae72610f39cb1d2c008d43629 | 0x3b37533f57807ec742c15070c007e684f336ccfae72610f39cb1d2c008d43629 |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0xd3570077ea2b151a993c323751d719785886460662358c4caf4e95434e581331 | Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get 125m or more views on day 1? | will-mrbeast-x-ronaldo-video-get-125m-or-more-views-on-day-1 | mrbeast-x-ronaldo-video-views-on-day-1-nov-30 | 2 | 1 | 8,863,625 | no | 8,863,625 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,220,355 | 65,220,355 | 0x6d14c63bd1ab0f724d15841a96a3327374734cfd7d5006848231a6347a0d7e9e | 0x6d14c63bd1ab0f724d15841a96a3327374734cfd7d5006848231a6347a0d7e9e |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0xe8d095422da9f6c3ceed727a4b6251177f618b002d2a698bfccb48716c7aa469 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | fed-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-september-2025-meeting | fed-decision-in-september | 2 | 1 | 114,453,333 | no | 114,453,333 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 77,992,830 | 77,992,830 | 0x666a0b65379a18af10c8f30808545ef0fede5701b356e21a2571854d7ccf7197 | 0x666a0b65379a18af10c8f30808545ef0fede5701b356e21a2571854d7ccf7197 |
0x3a670a80d97592fbcfe5587fbf0f5c8301555432 | 0xf1e8d58513d652e1248d2da60d3b35a684362f15a4e9bcd90660ddfd044b16cd | Will RFK Jr. get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate? | will-rfk-jr-get-the-most-votes-of-any-3rd-party-candidate | which-3rd-party-candidate-wins-most-votes | 2 | 1 | 7,014,027 | no | 7,014,027 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 65,931,996 | 65,931,996 | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af | 0xb95764ad43f423fb6f9fec2220bc545491c4300db0404429cc574fdbd58e50af |
0x3a67b7c98d82f8c847117a06ef5799f685eb32fe | 0x04e07c6085d96ecc1ac7568d6cb640f09e4d300a25afc763b67f15d8f2c8597c | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | fed-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-january-2025-meeting | fed-interest-rates-january-2025 | 2 | 1 | 7,000,000 | no | 7,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 67,550,746 | 67,550,746 | 0xa69f55878a2e7243309cc78c32d3346a713f2d39e15d13cc604a45cb4744430f | 0xa69f55878a2e7243309cc78c32d3346a713f2d39e15d13cc604a45cb4744430f |
0x3a67b7c98d82f8c847117a06ef5799f685eb32fe | 0x0631c01fcafcb2f49c26722e29ba08acb3b29cf87652cfee9dd6e043a737de26 | Will another player win the Beast Games? | will-another-player-win-the-beast-games | who-will-win-the-beast-games | 2 | 1 | 2,008,000 | no | 2,008,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 68,670,284 | 68,670,284 | 0x210e3be62e24b9e67b6d8039a95e9da84db2f0e7302a80993e9bedd72b2ea1f5 | 0x210e3be62e24b9e67b6d8039a95e9da84db2f0e7302a80993e9bedd72b2ea1f5 |
0x3a67b7c98d82f8c847117a06ef5799f685eb32fe | 0x21559998482bf5dfbcaf0f5409edd34eebd84c8998df622f9da8ff1e1f248a26 | Will someone else be inaugurated? | will-someone-else-be-inaugurated | who-will-be-inaugurated-as-president | 2 | 1 | 5,000,000 | no | 5,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 66,991,544 | 66,991,544 | 0xed1819652887f61fb5e88ec03da0e074f74464e6c1aac85e0beeda4f3a607e6f | 0xed1819652887f61fb5e88ec03da0e074f74464e6c1aac85e0beeda4f3a607e6f |
0x3a67b7c98d82f8c847117a06ef5799f685eb32fe | 0x4e0f29885709d63bfcff29e80f4a8df1da9e97906ba9e21577b46a70858d8e06 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-january-2025-meeting | fed-interest-rates-january-2025 | 2 | 1 | 5,000,000 | no | 5,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 67,550,748 | 67,550,748 | 0x035fa34a8154e4e1617b33d32dd8ba1c6417526878402ac94201e3d475ff5fc1 | 0x035fa34a8154e4e1617b33d32dd8ba1c6417526878402ac94201e3d475ff5fc1 |
0x3a67b7c98d82f8c847117a06ef5799f685eb32fe | 0x6010dcf920657e24a05c3bc47274972815138a67582f00473d8e4af193605e8d | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix? | will-charles-leclerc-win-the-2025-monaco-grand-prix | monaco-grand-prix-winner | 2 | 1 | 10,000,000 | yes | 10,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 72,709,506 | 72,709,506 | 0xfb2e9006dd7bd554f9b97fb8b3c5e5f358492d147b74ec6088de2174c6478e73 | 0xfb2e9006dd7bd554f9b97fb8b3c5e5f358492d147b74ec6088de2174c6478e73 |
0x3a67b7c98d82f8c847117a06ef5799f685eb32fe | 0x7883a3c40bb01cbd3b9ec9e3b73d75af705e300c9369f27178739cf3f4fa089a | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting? | fed-decreases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-january-2025-meeting | fed-interest-rates-january-2025 | 2 | 1 | 8,000,000 | no | 8,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 67,550,746 | 67,550,746 | 0xa69f55878a2e7243309cc78c32d3346a713f2d39e15d13cc604a45cb4744430f | 0xa69f55878a2e7243309cc78c32d3346a713f2d39e15d13cc604a45cb4744430f |
0x3a67b7c98d82f8c847117a06ef5799f685eb32fe | 0xbd0c9068086cf2b0f272495792c48f97a7562bd490ed610fff54d2d3e2d0a367 | Will JC (Player 566) win the Beast Games? | will-jc-player-566-win-the-beast-games | who-will-win-the-beast-games | 2 | 1 | 1,201,000 | no | 1,201,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 68,670,284 | 68,670,284 | 0x210e3be62e24b9e67b6d8039a95e9da84db2f0e7302a80993e9bedd72b2ea1f5 | 0x210e3be62e24b9e67b6d8039a95e9da84db2f0e7302a80993e9bedd72b2ea1f5 |
0x3a67b7c98d82f8c847117a06ef5799f685eb32fe | 0xc3d4155148681756bfe67bb41d8d0882a8a122e7d3762b3591bf6598c9bd198b | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | will-donald-trump-be-inaugurated | who-will-be-inaugurated-as-president | 2 | 1 | 5,000,000 | yes | 5,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 66,991,544 | 66,991,544 | 0xed1819652887f61fb5e88ec03da0e074f74464e6c1aac85e0beeda4f3a607e6f | 0xed1819652887f61fb5e88ec03da0e074f74464e6c1aac85e0beeda4f3a607e6f |
0x3a67b7c98d82f8c847117a06ef5799f685eb32fe | 0xc5a29d7da91c765c5b8b45dc5f86147558ad0d16bb18e7ca14a74e3b5e3ebf9a | Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? | will-kamala-harris-be-inaugurated | who-will-be-inaugurated-as-president | 2 | 1 | 6,000,000 | no | 6,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 66,991,544 | 66,991,544 | 0xed1819652887f61fb5e88ec03da0e074f74464e6c1aac85e0beeda4f3a607e6f | 0xed1819652887f61fb5e88ec03da0e074f74464e6c1aac85e0beeda4f3a607e6f |
0x3a67b7c98d82f8c847117a06ef5799f685eb32fe | 0xfbe5679958542741985ac0fb616e43e22df25162f1d72a75d13f2cbabfbd733d | Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 2025 BAFTA Awards for "Wicked"? | will-cynthia-erivo-win-best-actress-at-the-2025-bafta-awards-for-wicked | bafta-award-best-actress | 2 | 1 | 1,404,000 | no | 1,404,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 68,670,284 | 68,670,284 | 0x210e3be62e24b9e67b6d8039a95e9da84db2f0e7302a80993e9bedd72b2ea1f5 | 0x210e3be62e24b9e67b6d8039a95e9da84db2f0e7302a80993e9bedd72b2ea1f5 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x00595863287c7c30148d0714255073d0ae0cf338f5287195b720b4ad1c5cbab7 | Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | will-another-candidate-win-the-2024-romanian-presidential-election | romania-presidential-election | 2 | 1 | 1,508,437 | yes | 1,508,437 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 70,975,983 | 70,975,983 | 0x854bf241142f9bf4fc7bed0d8ad65df91fb20471b5e226ae9d935abd7406b455 | 0x854bf241142f9bf4fc7bed0d8ad65df91fb20471b5e226ae9d935abd7406b455 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x0232d9789fad275889803816a0db229c56a25ae6af416c45612165b499c7ecc7 | Will Poland win on 2025-10-12? | uef-lit-pol-2025-10-12-pol | uef-lit-pol-2025-10-12 | 2 | 1 | 904,107 | yes | 904,107 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 77,616,192 | 77,616,192 | 0x49ed9a3cf6a32d558d920737f4772175f51c2ca66376788930ed5ac02ddf1e03 | 0x49ed9a3cf6a32d558d920737f4772175f51c2ca66376788930ed5ac02ddf1e03 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x027eeeaba097b5f3b166eace64668b2e6b327acc7c6b314ae5f03b33b51425e7 | Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | will-mikie-sherrill-win-the-new-jersey-governor-election-in-2025 | new-jersey-governor-election-winner-2025 | 2 | 1 | 100,209,064 | yes | 100,209,064 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 78,611,592 | 78,611,592 | 0xf0a7aeccada9aae6fa79d11f51f65b077e3e6bc4c097d89528a0915dcf1928a8 | 0xf0a7aeccada9aae6fa79d11f51f65b077e3e6bc4c097d89528a0915dcf1928a8 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x02eb6fb967ef78120c601757549794474640d4e1082beaf88dc9c0d34fc825ae | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31? | will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31 | which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-march | 2 | 1 | 1,086,950 | no | 1,086,950 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 69,761,767 | 69,761,767 | 0x212f28a640c4e610312dbc0a14a3052ca66405f8436f02948cf258e4f18cb790 | 0x212f28a640c4e610312dbc0a14a3052ca66405f8436f02948cf258e4f18cb790 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x04685da850aab60c7eae1b43f1d3b654eced97b74545261b71d08e820fce09b9 | Will San Marino vs. Cyprus end in a draw? | uef-smr-cyp-2025-10-12-draw | uef-smr-cyp-2025-10-12 | 2 | 1 | 313,000,000 | yes | 313,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 77,621,269 | 77,621,269 | 0xc61a14503defb4a79b9fc9cd8a03976ffd9260ee92dfa54748245a39af9b4a7f | 0xc61a14503defb4a79b9fc9cd8a03976ffd9260ee92dfa54748245a39af9b4a7f |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x04a1462e83c415194ac700181bd97f97db149fdcfa4fd3fef745795cfe3ad975 | Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | will-jeannette-jara-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2025-chilean-presidential-election | chile-presidential-election-1st-round-winner | 2 | 1 | 21,052,630 | yes | 21,052,630 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 79,269,887 | 79,269,887 | 0xbb5721cd5d9b1eb5b2112b35a5311669dff644c64167877883df58bad42589e6 | 0xbb5721cd5d9b1eb5b2112b35a5311669dff644c64167877883df58bad42589e6 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x04e07c6085d96ecc1ac7568d6cb640f09e4d300a25afc763b67f15d8f2c8597c | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | fed-increases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-january-2025-meeting | fed-interest-rates-january-2025 | 2 | 1 | 1,103,000 | no | 1,103,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 67,306,401 | 67,306,401 | 0x719c6299c60fd2983c488c8550c8422fbf5e602bf15c232c738f153dc814fe7a | 0x719c6299c60fd2983c488c8550c8422fbf5e602bf15c232c738f153dc814fe7a |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x05abfe3cb89504134856c42c701bbe77b3f26fa3d4dfcbd7a3d8e76b143fd288 | Will $Trump FDV be less than $5b on Feb 1? | will-trump-fdv-be-less-than-5b-on-feb-1 | trump-fdv-on-february-1 | 2 | 1 | 1,315,260 | no | 1,315,260 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 67,486,226 | 67,486,226 | 0x30f69d319fdddec3d122ce393e363f67dab8f46ae1587e9512918ebde9b190ac | 0x30f69d319fdddec3d122ce393e363f67dab8f46ae1587e9512918ebde9b190ac |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x062b8e11f9c1d54268dc61a754e130d04d596076f2dfc288cc102e8c38d06020 | Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | will-george-simion-win-the-2024-romanian-presidential-election | romania-presidential-election | 2 | 1 | 1,319,233 | no | 1,319,233 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 70,975,983 | 70,975,983 | 0x854bf241142f9bf4fc7bed0d8ad65df91fb20471b5e226ae9d935abd7406b455 | 0x854bf241142f9bf4fc7bed0d8ad65df91fb20471b5e226ae9d935abd7406b455 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x0704cb3eb6231ef570d7fe4eff0869311ee518a529d2467f2a794a4ff2779e32 | March Madness: Less than 5 upsets? | march-madness-less-than-5-upsets | how-many-upsets-in-first-round-of-ncaa-tournament | 2 | 1 | 1,002,004 | no | 1,002,004 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 69,336,962 | 69,336,962 | 0x0a640298858b5e2b9d71f2f63a4201dfbfab4fcdb2b9bfba8baa5a4fe824c5c4 | 0x0a640298858b5e2b9d71f2f63a4201dfbfab4fcdb2b9bfba8baa5a4fe824c5c4 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x09069f2df5507af026c289f3c1adbc79049e7ee708686ee80072e7eb09f459e1 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31? | will-anthropic-have-the-top-ai-model-on-january-31 | top-ai-model-on-january-31 | 2 | 1 | 1,010,100 | no | 1,010,100 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 67,404,076 | 67,404,076 | 0xf189f4ce358b737113113babfb5b63df439a19e0f4e95bd9ed3e996215fa24a1 | 0xf189f4ce358b737113113babfb5b63df439a19e0f4e95bd9ed3e996215fa24a1 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x091abe4ede5894f020ee19675a5a1c3c693c4be58c536c7753dac9b0463b4a76 | Will Lecce vs. Napoli end in a draw? | sea-lec-nap-2025-10-28-draw | sea-lec-nap-2025-10-28 | 2 | 1 | 11,004,216,922 | yes | 11,004,216,922 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 78,498,622 | 78,498,622 | 0xbb1cc54374d7232a791e02eb9e6fb3477d749ffe7ce50f5910a618333a37403d | 0xbb1cc54374d7232a791e02eb9e6fb3477d749ffe7ce50f5910a618333a37403d |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x0db9fbb7744df3883aa75e1301839e58b3fc8c685fcac21c489736979aa68e57 | Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 16? | will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-55-56f-on-march-16 | highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-march-16 | 2 | 1 | 1,228,217 | no | 1,228,217 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 69,130,084 | 69,130,084 | 0xca0a40b85fcc57ee4a95850396929f5fe7da04f9d1e42dc482a8e8ab9ac38fe0 | 0xca0a40b85fcc57ee4a95850396929f5fe7da04f9d1e42dc482a8e8ab9ac38fe0 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x0dfc5226c22e3c631b0ecead60fcd183ce111096f785e621887a228905fab7c2 | Will Hans Moke Niemann win the Speed Chess Championship? | will-hans-moke-niemann-win-the-speed-chess-championship | speed-chess-championship-2024 | 2 | 1 | 9,899,019,150 | no | 9,899,019,150 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 61,524,926 | 61,524,926 | 0xbd179975ade0a971e7f326cfacad4b1a85ac43826f7004ef6842dc9666e2c338 | 0xbd179975ade0a971e7f326cfacad4b1a85ac43826f7004ef6842dc9666e2c338 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x0e1bf4d5c116557ff5d5ae26549cea15af30eb30ca4d5a1e2487951ac7ed9620 | Will England win on 2025-10-14? | uef-lat-eng-2025-10-14-eng | uef-lat-eng-2025-10-14 | 2 | 2 | 724,870,501 | no | 724,857,141 | 13,360 | 0.999963 | certain | certain_holdpos | 77,707,248 | 77,707,248 | 0x4ca88d32db070ca425bd665ea3b000dbb3a48a436841a6277bc834e12c202219 | 0x4ca88d32db070ca425bd665ea3b000dbb3a48a436841a6277bc834e12c202219 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x0fb910f988120dea820d25404e9826e5902c3dad8daf75e2327ab4a16f6c4d1a | Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-26? | bun-b04-fre-2025-10-26-b04 | bun-b04-fre-2025-10-26 | 2 | 1 | 2,750,818 | yes | 2,750,818 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 78,201,972 | 78,201,972 | 0x718724959e08c0a7466ab10a1745476e2f947106ef3e2133f1aca7b9f3942913 | 0x718724959e08c0a7466ab10a1745476e2f947106ef3e2133f1aca7b9f3942913 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x119de0760054ba5d860b1ac7d998f97bd3941bac2f50a5065c0735fcdbd4fff8 | Will Lithuania vs. Poland end in a draw? | uef-lit-pol-2025-10-12-draw | uef-lit-pol-2025-10-12 | 2 | 1 | 1,295,000,000 | yes | 1,295,000,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 77,621,269 | 77,621,269 | 0xc61a14503defb4a79b9fc9cd8a03976ffd9260ee92dfa54748245a39af9b4a7f | 0xc61a14503defb4a79b9fc9cd8a03976ffd9260ee92dfa54748245a39af9b4a7f |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x1219a7fbfa49a637f332ec086956e7166c9f102ee003c6a9f31c431134447754 | Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | will-the-florida-panthers-win-the-2025-presidents-trophy | presidents-trophy-winner | 2 | 1 | 1,001,000 | no | 1,001,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 70,014,547 | 70,014,547 | 0x39e39aba6d3ce54fba6c34e55c9f940e75f0d9b7fb882016c3d8b2ddea3d5d87 | 0x39e39aba6d3ce54fba6c34e55c9f940e75f0d9b7fb882016c3d8b2ddea3d5d87 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x130ceb9fec2b69491404cc5e56c7740d0c54b0e3761ddce90533fbfaf2131d57 | Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07? | epl-lei-new-2025-04-07-new | epl-lei-new-2025-04-07 | 2 | 1 | 255,231,883 | yes | 255,231,883 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 70,033,840 | 70,033,840 | 0x03a267937b4cbd732327381379442491d2ab171eecd9c49054e325a41ee7c1de | 0x03a267937b4cbd732327381379442491d2ab171eecd9c49054e325a41ee7c1de |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x149a8242ec4eee7c05a9054413f77fd5555882addf8a40ddcdf7f61e3350ad19 | Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28? | sea-ata-mil-2025-10-28-mil | sea-ata-mil-2025-10-28 | 2 | 1 | 6,410,254 | no | 6,410,254 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 78,315,984 | 78,315,984 | 0xb11a4abd8110919c95237ebfcdb97626bdc3588e11d5ddda1566c067d98dd9ba | 0xb11a4abd8110919c95237ebfcdb97626bdc3588e11d5ddda1566c067d98dd9ba |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x14a5164a7390e4aaf3516ed32476afb1f8b5573e4416cf71bb16ebf48361b6bb | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31? | will-anthropic-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31 | which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-march | 2 | 1 | 2,008,000 | no | 2,008,000 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 69,761,765 | 69,761,765 | 0x7bf539d4eb26c9a857795c6441a81f693277dce47fc294ed1cf42c9ba84ed14a | 0x7bf539d4eb26c9a857795c6441a81f693277dce47fc294ed1cf42c9ba84ed14a |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x15dd9a096b39f662e619ad840e5ef06085322349684cf2ca9eaf5daafd5e7cd2 | Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-13? | uef-slv-che-2025-10-13-che | uef-slv-che-2025-10-13 | 2 | 1 | 344,827,585 | yes | 344,827,585 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 77,665,541 | 77,665,541 | 0x90ba2e5a47c27f2847ecbd632ee46e7167009c47b49b94eca5e8e443e4a3cf39 | 0x90ba2e5a47c27f2847ecbd632ee46e7167009c47b49b94eca5e8e443e4a3cf39 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x17cd926896aa499bea870e218dc2e32c99f102237e6ae90f49f4b03d69cac4da | Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? | will-conor-mcgregor-win-the-irish-presidential-election | ireland-presidential-election | 2 | 1 | 4,012,035 | no | 4,012,035 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 78,176,779 | 78,176,779 | 0x8f280b1b06c159f6867b4b914cf86dde5dd193b2495b7314ae65af2b0a295cc6 | 0x8f280b1b06c159f6867b4b914cf86dde5dd193b2495b7314ae65af2b0a295cc6 |
0x3a69e66ce3411143043741768ef5b47e239aa466 | 0x1801f481a410f7c2e781bba74a222a0f7e6306eead05aca38e093963734a8add | Will Cyprus win on 2025-10-12? | uef-smr-cyp-2025-10-12-cyp | uef-smr-cyp-2025-10-12 | 2 | 1 | 243,820,117 | yes | 243,820,117 | 0 | 1 | certain | certain_holdpos | 77,596,314 | 77,596,314 | 0x2e3d1c0745611e68ac226540657583e8ba712e12bd607e3e343053e8e0c67874 | 0x2e3d1c0745611e68ac226540657583e8ba712e12bd607e3e343053e8e0c67874 |
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