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As this federal election campaign slips deeper into uncertainty, an awful realization dawns in the east. 

The Trans Mountain pipeline expansion will never be built unless a majority government is elected. 

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After Justin Trudeau’s blackface fiasco, polls show the Liberals and Conservatives are virtually tied, making a minority very likely. 

To govern, either big-party leader would have to strike a deal with Jagmeet Singh’s NDP and, possibly, Elizabeth May’s Greens. 

Singh and May would both demand cancellation of the pipeline as a condition of supporting a minority. 

Andrew Scheer and the Conservatives couldn’t consider support from the NDP unless the condition were dropped.  Singh couldn’t dream of dropping it. 

Not that they could live with each other under any circumstances.  We can forget that pairing. 

The pipeline’s future — or lack of it — could well come down to a Trudeau minority propped up by these ardent anti-pipeline parties.