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22 Aug 2022
Bank Negara Malaysia and the Companies Commission of Malaysia Strengthen Strategic Collaboration on AML/CFT Regulation and Supervision
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/bnm-ssm-signed-toc2022
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Reading: Bank Negara Malaysia and the Companies Commission of Malaysia Strengthen Strategic Collaboration on AML/CFT Regulation and Supervision Share: 28 Bank Negara Malaysia and the Companies Commission of Malaysia Strengthen Strategic Collaboration on AML/CFT Regulation and Supervision Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1637 on Monday, 22 August 2022 22 Aug 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) and the Companies Commission of Malaysia (SSM) today signed a Terms of Collaboration to strengthen collaboration in the regulation and supervision of anti-money laundering, countering financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) and targeted financial sanctions (TFS).  The Terms of Collaboration set out the respective regulatory and supervisory responsibilities of BNM and SSM in the regulation and supervision of company secretaries and trust companies. It will also provide for a more structured approach to assess money laundering and terrorism financing (ML/TF) risks in these two sectors, as well as to promote institutional capacity building in these areas. BNM Governor Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah Yunus said, “The signing today is the result of the close partnership between BNM and SSM over the years.  BNM is pleased to have SSM working closely with us to secure and maintain the integrity of the financial system. We are confident that SSM will be able to take on greater responsibility to conduct AML/CFT supervision on company secretaries and trust companies in the near future.” SSM CEO Datuk Nor Azimah Abdul Aziz said, “It is important for company secretaries and trust companies to know and understand their roles and risk exposures related to ML/TF. This will form the basis for them to understand and develop countermeasures against these criminal activities. Today’s signing is a significant stride towards that goal.”Bank Negara Malaysia Companies Commission of Malaysia 22 August 2022     Bank Negara Malaysia 22 August 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
22 Aug 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 August 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-15-august-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 August 2022 Share: 76 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 August 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Monday, 22 August 2022 22 Aug 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD110.9 billion as at 15 August 2022. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.5 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.1 times total short-term external debt. [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 6.4 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at 4Q QB 2021. Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 15 August 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 22 August 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
12 Aug 2022
Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Second Quarter of 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/qb22q2_en_pr
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/7923034/qb22q2_transcript.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/7923034/qb22q2_en_table1.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/7923034/qb22q2_slides.pdf
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Reading: Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Second Quarter of 2022 Share: 207 Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Second Quarter of 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Friday, 12 August 2022 12 Aug 2022 Higher economic growth of 8.9% in the second quarter (1Q 2022: 5.0%) The Malaysian economy registered a stronger growth of 8.9% in the second quarter of 2022 (1Q 2022: 5.0%). While the GDP was lifted to some extent by the low base from the Full Movement Control Order (FMCO) in June 2021, growth in April and May 2022 was particularly robust. Domestic demand continued to strengthen, underpinned by the steady recovery in labour market conditions and ongoing policy support. The higher growth was also reflective of normalising economic activity as the country moved towards endemicity and reopened international borders. Exports remain supported by strong demand for E&E products. By sector, the services and manufacturing sectors continued to drive growth. On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted basis, the economy increased by 3.5% (1Q 2022: 3.8%). During the quarter, headline and core inflation increased to 2.8% and 2.5%, respectively (1Q 2022: 2.2% and 1.7%, respectively). The higher core inflation reflected an improvement in demand conditions amid the high-cost environment, with price increases mainly driven by food away from home and other food items. Exchange rate developments The ringgit depreciated by 4.6% against the US dollar in the second quarter of 2022 (YTD until 10 August 2022: -6.3%), broadly in line with the movement of regional currencies (2Q 2022: -4.7%; YTD: -5.8%). This largely reflected the continued strengthening of the US dollar following aggressive US monetary policy tightening, increased investors’ risk aversion due to the weaker global growth outlook and the military conflict in Ukraine. Nonetheless, elevated commodity prices and Malaysia’s economic recovery helped to cushion the downward impact from the external developments on the ringgit during the quarter. Going forward, while domestic financial markets will continue to be subjected to episodes of heightened volatility, spillovers to domestic financial intermediation are expected to remain broadly contained, supported by Malaysia’s healthy external position and strong banking system. Financing conditions Net financing to the private sector grew by 4.9% (1Q 2022: 4.5%) amid higher growth in outstanding loans (5.4%; 1Q 2022: 4.4%). Outstanding corporate bond growth moderated (3.4%; 1Q 2022: 4.6%) as growth in bond redemptions continued to outpace that of issuances. Outstanding business loan grew by 5.5% (1Q 2022: 4.3%), following strong expansion in loan disbursements for both working capital and investments. For households, outstanding loan growth increased further (5.7%; 1Q 2022: 4.8%), with higher growth recorded across all loan purposes. Loan disbursements remained robust amid strong loan demand, particularly for the purchase of cars and houses. Overall, loan repayments for both the business and household segments have been encouraging upon the lapse of repayment assistance programmes and the reopening of the economy. The Malaysian economy will be supported by firm domestic demand With growth in the first half of 2022 at 6.9%, the Malaysian economy is projected to expand further for the remainder of the year. Commenting on the outlook for 2022, Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah explained, “While external demand could face headwinds from slower global growth, the Malaysian economy will continue to be supported by firm domestic demand. Growth would also benefit from improving labour market conditions and higher tourist arrivals, as well as continued implementation of multi-year investment projects”. However, Malaysia’s growth remains susceptible to a weaker-than-expected global growth, further escalation of geopolitical conflicts and worsening supply chain disruptions. Headline inflation is projected to trend higher in some months during the remainder of the year, due partly to the base effect from the discount on electricity prices implemented in 3Q 2021. Core inflation is expected to average higher in 2022, as demand continues to improve amid the high-cost environment. The extent of upside pressures on inflation is expected to remain partly contained by the existing price control measures, fuel subsidies and the continued spare capacity in the economy. Nevertheless, the inflation outlook continues to be contingent on upside risks steming from the strength of domestic demand, global price developments, and domestic policy measures. See also: Presentation Slides (PDF) Press Conference Presentation Transcript Press Conference Video Table 1: GDP by Expenditure Components and Economic Activity Publication: Quarterly Bulletin Second Quarter 2022   Bank Negara Malaysia 12 August 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Sorotan Bulanan Pertumbuhan pembiayaan bersih terus meningkat Julai 2022 Perdagangan Borong dan Runcit berkembang pada bulan Jun • Indeks Perdagangan Borong dan Runcit (Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade, IOWRT) meningkat sebanyak 35.8% pada bulan Jun 2022 (Mei: 14.7%). Peningkatan yang lebih tinggi didorong terutamanya oleh segmen kenderaan bermotor. Hal ini berdasarkan pembelian yang dipercepat sebelum tamat tempoh pengecualian Cukai Jualan dan Perkhidmatan pada 30 Jun serta asas yang rendah pada bulan Jun 2021 apabila bilik pameran kenderaan ditutup sepanjang pelaksanaan perintah kawalan pergerakan (PKP) penuh. • Pada asas bulanan terlaras secara bermusim, pertumbuhan terus menurun kepada -2.3% (Mei: -0.7%) berikutan peningkatan asas bulanan terlaras secara bermusim yang kukuh pada bulan April iaitu sebanyak 7.9%. Indeks Perdagangan Borong dan Runcit Sumber: Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia 10.0 14.7 35.8 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 Jun-21 Ogo-21 Okt-21 Dis-21 Feb-22 Apr-22 Jun-22 Borong Runcit Kenderaan bermotor Perdagangan pengedaran Mata peratusan, % tahun ke tahun Sumbangan kepada Pertumbuhan Pembiayaan Bersih1 dan Pertumbuhan Pinjaman Terkumpul 1 Merujuk pinjaman terkumpul sistem perbankan (tidak termasuk institusi kewangan pembangunan (IKP)) dan bon korporat terkumpul. Data pinjaman terkumpul bagi bulan Julai 2022 adalah berdasarkan data pinjaman/pembiayaan baharu yang mencerminkan keperluan terkini. Angka-angka tidak semestinya terjumlah disebabkan oleh penggenapan. Sumber: Bank Negara Malaysia Sumbangan kepada pertumbuhan (mata peratusan) • Pembiayaan bersih meningkat sebanyak 5.3% (Jun: 5.0%) didorong oleh pertumbuhan yang lebih tinggi bagi pinjaman terkumpul (5.9%; Jun: 5.6%) dan bon korporat (3.7%; Jun: 3.4%). • Pertumbuhan pinjaman isi rumah terkumpul adalah pada 6.1% apabila pertumbuhan pengeluaran pinjaman mengatasi pertumbuhan bayaran balik pinjaman. Tujuan aliran kredit kepada isi rumah sebahagian besarnya adalah untuk pembelian rumah dan kereta. • Bagi sektor perniagaan, pinjaman terkumpul meningkat sebanyak 5.8%, didorong terutamanya oleh pemberian pinjaman kepada PKS. Mengikut tujuan, pinjaman modal kerja terus merupakan pendorong utama meskipun pertumbuhan bayaran balik pinjaman mengatasi pertumbuhan pengeluaran pinjaman. Hal ini berkemungkinan mencerminkan bantuan bayaran balik pinjaman yang terus berkurang. 3.6 4.0 4.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 4.5 5.0 5.3 Mei-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Bon Korporat Pinjaman Sistem Perbankan Pembiayaan Bersih Inflasi keseluruhan meningkat kepada 4.4% pada bulan Julai • Inflasi keseluruhan meningkat kepada 4.4% pada bulan Julai (Jun: 3.4%). Seperti yang dijangka, peningkatan ini mencerminkan sebahagian besar kesan asas daripada diskaun tarif elektrik yang dilaksanakan pada suku ketiga tahun 2021 yang menyumbang 0.5 mata asas kepada inflasi keseluruhan. Makanan dan minuman bukan alkohol juga memberikan tekanan selanjutnya kepada inflasi yang meningkat sebanyak 6.9% pada bulan Julai. • Inflasi teras juga meningkat kepada 3.4% pada bulan Julai (Jun: 3.0%). Peningkatan mencerminkan sebahagian besar harga yang lebih tinggi bagi barangan budi bicara seperti makanan di luar rumah (7.8%). Hal ini disebabkan oleh permintaan yang bertambah baik berikutan persekitaran kos yang lebih tinggi. 1 Pengiraan inflasi teras tidak termasuk barangan yang harganya tidak menentu dan barangan yang harganya ditadbir. Pengiraan juga tidak termasuk anggaran kesan langsung perubahan dasar cukai. Sumber: Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia dan anggaran Bank Negara Malaysia 3.4 4.4 3.0 3.4 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 J a n -2 1 F e b -2 1 M a c -2 1 A p r- 2 1 M e i- 2 1 J u n -2 1 J u l- 2 1 O g o -2 1 S e p -2 1 O k t- 2 1 N o v -2 1 D is -2 1 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a c -2 2 A p r- 2 2 M e i- 2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 Makanan & minuman bukan alkohol (29.5%) Perumahan & utiliti (23.8%) Pengangkutan (14.6%) Lain-lain (32.1%) Inflasi keseluruhan (skala kanan) Inflasi teras¹ (skala kanan) Sumbangan kepada inflasi Sumbangan mata peratusan %, tahun ke tahun 5.9 5.8 6.1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Jul-21 Okt-21 Jan-22 Apr-22 Jul-22 Jumlah pinjaman Pinjaman perniagaan Pinjaman isi rumah Pertumbuhan tahunan (%) Data baharu Sorotan Bulanan Julai 2022 2 Kadar hasil bon 10 tahun menurun sejajar dengan kadar hasil bon global yang lebih rendah Prestasi Pasaran Kewangan pada Bulan Julai 2022 Sumber: Bank Negara Malaysia dan Bursa Malaysia *Negara serantau termasuk Singapura, Thailand, Filipina, Indonesia dan Korea • Keadaan pasaran kewangan global menjadi reda dengan ketara pada bulan Julai. Hal ini mencerminkan jangkaan pertumbuhan global yang lebih perlahan. Pelarasan pasaran kewangan domestik terus teratur dan turut disokong oleh jumlah dagangan yang kukuh. • Kadar hasil MGS 10 tahun menurun sebanyak 38.0 mata asas seiring dengan kadar hasil US Treasury 10 tahun (-36.4 mata asas) dan kadar hasil bon serantau* lain (purata: -39.7 mata asas). • FBM KLCI meningkat sebanyak 3.3% (purata serantau*: 2.5%), disokong oleh prospek pertumbuhan dalam negeri yang positif manakala ringgit menjadi lemah sebanyak 1.0% berbanding dengan dolar AS. Hal ini sejajar dengan pergerakan mata wang (purata: -0.6%) serantau. 9.0 -8.0 -0.7 -38.0 3.3 -1.0 MGS 10 tahun (mata asas, bulan ke bulan) Ekuiti (%, bulan ke bulan) Ringgit (%, bulan ke bulan) -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 Jul-22 Jun-22 Tahap permodalan institusi perbankan terus kukuh untuk menyokong pemulihan ekonomi • Sistem perbankan terus mencatatkan kedudukan permodalan yang kukuh untuk menghadapi kemungkinan tekanan dan terus menyokong aliran kredit ke dalam ekonomi. • Nisbah modal sistem perbankan bertambah baik pada bulan Julai, didorong oleh pengiktirafan keuntungan dan perolehan penilaian separuh tahun ke atas instrument kewangan yang sedia untuk dijual apabila kadar hasil bon menurun sedikit. • Pada akhir bulan Julai 2022, sistem perbankan mencatatkan lebihan penampan modal1 sebanyak RM129.6 billion. Kecukupan Modal Sistem Perbankan 14.6 15.2 18.3 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 J u l- 2 1 O g o -2 1 S e p -2 1 O k t- 2 1 N o v -2 1 D is -2 1 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a c -2 2 A p r- 2 2 M e i- 2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 Nisbah Modal Ekuiti Biasa Kumpulan 1 Nisbah Modal Kumpulan 1 Nisbah Jumlah Modal % Sumber: Bank Negara Malaysia 1 Merujuk jumlah modal yang melebihi tahap pengawalseliaan minimum, yang meliputi keperluan penampan pengekalan modal (2.5%) dan keperluan minimum bank tertentu yang lebih tinggi Daya tahan institusi perbankan terus disokong oleh kualiti aset yang kukuh Kualiti Aset Sistem Perbankan Sumber: Bank Negara Malaysia • Nisbah pinjaman terjejas kasar dan bersih keseluruhan meningkat sedikit masing-masing kepada 1.85% (Jun: 1.78%) dan 1.2% (Jun: 1.1%). • Nisbah perlindungan kerugian pinjaman (termasuk rizab pengawalseliaan) kekal pada tahap berhemat iaitu 112.8% daripada pinjaman terjejas, dengan jumlah peruntukan mencakupi 1.8% daripada jumlah pinjaman. • Setakat akhir bulan Julai 2022, sistem perbankan mencatatkan jumlah peruntukan dan rizab pengawalseliaan sebanyak RM 41.1 billion. % 1.8 1.2 1.8 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 J u l- 2 1 O g o -2 1 S e p -2 1 O k t- 2 1 N o v -2 1 D is -2 1 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a c -2 2 A p r- 2 2 M e i- 2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 Nisbah Jumlah Peruntukan kepada Jumlah Pinjaman Nisbah Pinjaman Terjejas Kasar Nisbah Pinjaman Terjejas Bersih SIARAN AKHBAR No. Ruj.: 08/22/09 EMBARGO: Tidak boleh dicetak atau disiarkan sebelum pukul 1500 hari Selasa, 30 Ogos 2022 Sorotan Bulanan – Julai 2022 Inflasi keseluruhan meningkat kepada 4.4% pada bulan Julai • Inflasi keseluruhan meningkat kepada 4.4% pada bulan Julai (Jun: 3.4%). Seperti yang dijangka, peningkatan ini mencerminkan sebahagian besar kesan asas daripada diskaun tarif elektrik yang dilaksanakan pada suku ketiga tahun 2021 yang menyumbang 0.5 mata asas kepada inflasi keseluruhan. Makanan dan minuman bukan alkohol juga memberikan tekanan selanjutnya kepada inflasi yang meningkat sebanyak 6.9% pada bulan Julai. • Inflasi teras1 juga meningkat kepada 3.4% pada bulan Julai (Jun: 3.0%). Peningkatan mencerminkan sebahagian besar harga yang lebih tinggi bagi barangan budi bicara seperti makanan di luar rumah (7.8%). Hal ini disebabkan oleh permintaan yang bertambah baik berikutan persekitaran kos yang lebih tinggi. Perdagangan Borong dan Runcit berkembang pada bulan Jun • Indeks Perdagangan Borong dan Runcit (Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade, IOWRT) meningkat sebanyak 35.8% pada bulan Jun 2022 (Mei: 14.7%). Peningkatan yang lebih tinggi didorong terutamanya oleh 1 Pengiraan inflasi teras tidak termasuk barangan yang harganya tidak menentu dan barangan yang harganya ditadbir. Pengiraan juga tidak termasuk anggaran kesan langsung perubahan dasar cukai. D i t e r b i t k a n o l e h : J a b a t a n K o m u n i k a s i S t r a t e g i k , T i n g k a t 1 4 , B l o k B , B a n g u n a n B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m e l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y segmen kenderaan bermotor. Hal ini berdasarkan pembelian yang dipercepat sebelum tamat tempoh pengecualian Cukai Jualan dan Perkhidmatan pada 30 Jun serta asas yang rendah pada bulan Jun 2021 apabila bilik pameran kenderaan ditutup sepanjang pelaksanaan perintah kawalan pergerakan (PKP) penuh. • Pada asas bulanan terlaras secara bermusim, pertumbuhan terus menurun kepada -2.3% (Mei: -0.7%) berikutan peningkatan asas bulanan terlaras secara bermusim yang kukuh pada bulan April iaitu sebanyak 7.9%. Pertumbuhan pembiayaan bersih terus meningkat • Pembiayaan bersih2 meningkat sebanyak 5.3% (Jun: 5.0%) didorong oleh pertumbuhan yang lebih tinggi bagi pinjaman terkumpul (5.9%; Jun: 5.6%) dan bon korporat (3.7%; Jun: 3.4%). • Pertumbuhan pinjaman isi rumah terkumpul adalah pada 6.1% apabila pertumbuhan pengeluaran pinjaman mengatasi pertumbuhan bayaran balik pinjaman. Tujuan aliran kredit kepada isi rumah sebahagian besarnya adalah untuk pembelian rumah dan kereta. • Bagi sektor perniagaan, pinjaman terkumpul meningkat sebanyak 5.8%, didorong terutamanya oleh pemberian pinjaman kepada PKS. Mengikut tujuan, pinjaman modal kerja terus merupakan pendorong utama meskipun pertumbuhan bayaran balik pinjaman mengatasi pertumbuhan pengeluaran pinjaman. Hal ini berkemungkinan mencerminkan bantuan bayaran balik pinjaman yang terus berkurang. Kadar hasil bon 10 tahun menurun sejajar dengan kadar hasil bon global yang lebih rendah • Keadaan pasaran kewangan global menjadi reda dengan ketara pada bulan Julai. Hal ini mencerminkan jangkaan pertumbuhan global yang 2 Merujuk pinjaman terkumpul sistem perbankan (tidak termasuk institusi kewangan pembangunan (IKP)) dan bon korporat terkumpul. Data pinjaman terkumpul bagi bulan Julai 2022 adalah berdasarkan data pinjaman/pembiayaan baharu yang mencerminkan keperluan terkini. Angka-angka tidak semestinya terjumlah disebabkan oleh penggenapan. D i t e r b i t k a n o l e h : J a b a t a n K o m u n i k a s i S t r a t e g i k , T i n g k a t 1 4 , B l o k B , B a n g u n a n B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m e l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y lebih perlahan. Pelarasan pasaran kewangan domestik terus teratur dan turut disokong oleh jumlah dagangan yang kukuh. • Kadar hasil MGS 10 tahun menurun sebanyak 38.0 mata asas seiring dengan kadar hasil US Treasury 10 tahun (-36.4 mata asas) dan kadar hasil bon serantau3 lain (purata: -39.7 mata asas). • FBM KLCI meningkat sebanyak 3.3% (purata serantau*: 2.5%), disokong oleh prospek pertumbuhan dalam negeri yang positif manakala ringgit menjadi lemah sebanyak 1.0% berbanding dengan dolar AS. Hal ini sejajar dengan pergerakan mata wang (purata: -0.6%) serantau. Tahap permodalan institusi perbankan terus kukuh untuk menyokong pemulihan ekonomi • Sistem perbankan terus mencatatkan kedudukan permodalan yang kukuh untuk menghadapi kemungkinan tekanan dan terus menyokong aliran kredit ke dalam ekonomi. • Nisbah modal sistem perbankan bertambah baik pada bulan Julai, didorong oleh pengiktirafan keuntungan dan perolehan penilaian separuh tahun ke atas instrument kewangan yang sedia untuk dijual apabila kadar hasil bon menurun sedikit. • Pada akhir bulan Julai 2022, sistem perbankan mencatatkan lebihan penampan modal4 sebanyak RM129.6 billion. Daya tahan institusi perbankan terus disokong oleh kualiti aset yang kukuh • Nisbah pinjaman terjejas kasar dan bersih keseluruhan meningkat sedikit masing-masing kepada 1.85% (Jun: 1.78%) dan 1.2% (Jun: 1.1%). • Nisbah perlindungan kerugian pinjaman (termasuk rizab pengawalseliaan) kekal pada tahap berhemat iaitu 112.8% daripada pinjaman terjejas, dengan jumlah peruntukan mencakupi 1.8% daripada jumlah pinjaman. 3 Negara serantau termasuk Singapura, Thailand, Filipina, Indonesia dan Korea 4 Merujuk jumlah modal yang melebihi tahap pengawalseliaan minimum, yang meliputi keperluan penampan pengekalan modal (2.5%) dan keperluan minimum bank tertentu yang lebih tinggi D i t e r b i t k a n o l e h : J a b a t a n K o m u n i k a s i S t r a t e g i k , T i n g k a t 1 4 , B l o k B , B a n g u n a n B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m e l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • Setakat akhir bulan Julai 2022, sistem perbankan mencatatkan jumlah peruntukan dan rizab pengawalseliaan sebanyak RM 41.1 billion. Bank Negara Malaysia 30 Ogos 2022 20220830_BNM Monthly Highlights July 2022_BM 20220830_BNM Press Release_MSB July 2022_BM Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services 27Quarterly Bulletin | 4Q 2021 Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services One of the indicators used by the Bank to measure international reserve adequacy is the reserve coverage of retained imports,1 which is communicated on a fortnightly basis. As the economy grew and evolved with higher share of the services sector, this has raised the prominence of services imports in the measure of reserve adequacy. Given this consideration and in line with the international best practice, future fortnightly reporting of Malaysia’s international reserves will include the indicator on reserve coverage of imports of goods and services, effective from 22 February 2022.2 1 Defined as gross imports subtracted with re-exports. The 12-month average retained imports can be derived from the Monthly Highlight and Statistics Table 3.6.8 (Imports by End-Use; see Appendix 1). 2 For the international reserves position as at 15 February 2022. 3 Defined as imports plus exports. 4 From RM101.3 billion to RM351.3 billion, or a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.4%. 5 Based on JP Morgan’s Government Bond Index for Emerging Markets. Services tradeC1 0 100 200 300 400 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 RM billion Travel1 Computer and information Transport Manufacturing Other business3 Other2 Perdagangan perkhidmatanR1 0 100 200 300 400 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 RM bilion Perjalanan1 Komputer dan informasi Pengangkutan Pembuatan Perniagaan Lain3 Lain-lain2 Nota: Data sebelum tahun 2005 adalah berdasarkan garis panduan dalam Edisi Kelima Manual Imbangan Pembayaran dan Kedudukan ............Pelaburan Antarabangsa (BPM5) IMF. Data bagi tahun 2005 dan selanjutnya adalah berdasarkan BPM6. 1 Termasuk perbelanjaan perjalanan bagi aktiviti pelancongan. 2 Termasuk pembinaan, caj penggunaan harta intelek, perkhidmatan persendirian, kebudayaan dan rekreasi. 3 Perkhidmatan perniagaan lain termasuk perkhidmatan penyelidikan dan pembangunan, profesional, teknikal, berkaitan perdagangan dan ...perkhidmatan perniagaan lain. Sumber: Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia dan Bank Negara Malaysia Note: Data prior to 2005 are based on the guideline in the Fifth Edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position ............Manual (BPM5) of the IMF. Data for 2005 and beyond are based on BPM6. 1 Includes travel spending for tourism activity. 2 Includes construction, charges for intellectual property use, personal, culture & recreational services. 3 Other business services comprise research and development, professional, technical, trade-related and other business services. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia The Bank’s reporting of the reserve coverage of retained imports was published as early as in the 1990s. Data on retained imports are available on monthly basis and thereby closely match the fortnightly release of the international reserves data. However, retained imports do not include payment for services, which has grown over the past two decades. From 1999 to 2019, services trade3 has increased by 246.9%4 (Chart 1). This was mainly due to higher tourism activity as well as payments for foreign transport services for goods trade. In addition, there was also an expansion in goods import, largely in support of domestic investment activities and production of manufactured goods. Malaysia’s performance on this indicator is in line with regional and peer5 economies. On historical basis, reserve coverage of imports of goods and services indicator has been in the range of between 5 and 8 months since 2008 – well above the generally-accepted ‘rule of thumb’ adequacy threshold of 3-months, and demonstrates the ability of the Malaysian economy to withstand against external shocks. 28 Quarterly Bulletin | 4Q 2021 It is also important to emphasize that the assessment of reserve adequacy should not be solely based on the face value of these indicators. This needs to be complemented with deeper understanding about the country’s external position, financial system and broad economic policies. In particular, international reserves is not the only means to meet external obligations.6 Prevailing assessment indicates that the country’s external position7 is underpinned by its strong economic fundamentals including healthy current account surplus, large foreign currency external assets held by domestic entities8 and the flexible ringgit exchange rate. References Department of Statistics, Malaysia. ‘External Sector’, Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia, Putrajaya. Greenspan, A., ‘Currency reserves and debt’. Remarks before the World Bank Conference on Recent Trends in Reserves Management, Washington, DC, 29 April 1999. International Monetary Fund, (2016). ‘Guidance Note on the Assessment of Reserve Adequacy and Related Considerations’. Appendix 1: Calculation of international reserves coverage of retained imports aFor example, to calculate monthly retained imports for December 2019, the retained imports for the months of January to December 2019 is summed up (i.e. rolling 12-months of retained imports). This number is then divided by 12, to obtain a monthly average. The figures can be obtained from BNM’s MHS Table 3.6.8, column S. 6 Further information can be found in the box article “Malaysia’s Resilience in Managing External Debt Obligations and the Adequacy of International Reserves” in BNM’s Annual Report 2018. 7 In addition, it has also been emphasized that Malaysia’s external debt position, including short-term external debt, remains manageable. This is supported by the favourable currency and maturity profile on its external debt as well as domestic entities’ resilient repayment capacity. Foreign-currency external debt of corporates are also mainly subject to prudential and hedging requirements (refer to the latest assessment on external debt developments on page 25) 8 Amounting to RM1.1 trillion as at end-2021. GDP Q2 2022 Presentation Slides. Sidang Akhbar Prestasi Ekonomi Suku 12 Ogos 2022 Kedua Tahun 2022 1 7.4 5.4 4.4 4.0 3.1 2.9 1.6 0.4 8.2 5.0 3.8 5.4 3.1 3.0 3.5 4.8 PH ID SG EA TW KR US CN 2Q22 1Q22 Real GDP Growth1 Moderation in global growth in 2Q 2022 led by major economies Note: 1) GDP for the second quarter of 2022 are advanced or preliminary estimates except for China, Singapore, Indonesia, and Philippines; 2) Inflation figures are aggregated across major countries based on their share of global growth Source: CEIC, National authorities, S&P Global, IMF, BNM estimates. 5.4 7.8 3.4 5.6 4.4 6.7 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Inflation2 Emerging Economies Global Growth Developments • High inflation amid elevated geopolitical tensions weighing on growth. • Lockdowns in China affected growth early in the quarter, but picked up as the economy reopened. • Moderation in goods trade following shift to services as most economies reopened. 2022 Advanced Economies Annual change (%) World 2 The Malaysian economy continued to recover with growth of 8.9% in 2Q 2022 0.7 -17.1 -2.5 -3.3 -0.5 15.9 -4.5 3.6 5.0 8.9 -0.9 -15.1 18.1 -3.1 2.4 -0.8 -2.7 4.6 3.8 3.5 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 1Q-20 2Q-20 3Q-20 4Q-20 1Q-21 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 2Q-22 y-o-y q-o-q SA Real GDP Growth Annual Growth 2021: 3.1% 2020: -5.5% Annual change (%) Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Factors supporting growth: Expansion in domestic demand Resilient exports, particularly for E&E products Continued recovery in the labour market Ongoing policy support Monthly Real GDP Growth (%yoy) Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 4.4 5.2 5.3 5.6 5.0 16.5 3 Services and manufacturing sectors continued to drive growth Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia 3 6.6 9.2 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) 6.5 12.0 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) ManufacturingServices Agriculture Strong demand for semiconductors and consumer-related products Higher consumer spending amid transition to endemicity, reopening of international borders, additional policy support Contraction in livestock and other agriculture production amid rising input costs and labour shortages 0.1 -2.4 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) -1.1 -0.5 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) -6.2 2.4 1Q-22 1Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) Mining Construction Higher production in oil and gas facilities including from the Pegaga gas field in Block SK320 Turnaround in activities supported by progress in large non-residential and small-scale projects 4 6.7 2.6 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) Private Consumption Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Private Investment Public Investment Public Consumption Net exports Stronger spending driven by labour market recovery and policy measures Improvement in structures and continued expansion in M&E investments Higher capital expenditure by public corporations Contraction in supplies and services spending Import growth (14.0%) outpacing export growth (10.4%) 5 5.5 18.3 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) -26.5 -28.7 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) Further improvement in domestic demand Updated 0.4 6.3 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) -0.9 3.2 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) 3.0 40.5 -15.0 -20.1 -2.5 4.4 34.0 -12.3 -14.7 -2.6 Current Account Balance Goods Services Primary Income Secondary Income 1Q22 2Q22 Higher current account surplus while FDI remained encouraging Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia RM billion ▪ Smaller primary income deficit due mainly to higher income generated by Malaysian firms investing abroad ▪ Lower services deficit supported mainly by higher travel receipts amid international border reopening Current Account Foreign Direct Investment RM billion Current Account (% of GDP) 2Q-22: 1.0% 1Q-22: 0.7% 24.4 5.4 10.0 8.9 17.3 5.2 -3.2 15.3 Total Equity Injections Debt Instruments Reinvestment of Earnings 1Q22 2Q22 ▪ Continued FDI inflows despite outflows in debt instruments ▪ FDI was mainly channelled into the manufacturing sector and financial services sub-sector 6 Continued growth expected for the Malaysian economy underpinned by firm domestic demand, offsetting the expected moderation in external demand Private expenditure expected to drive growth, supported by improving labour market and recovery in tourism 4.4 -5.5 3.1 2019 2020 2021 2022f Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia, staff estimates Annual change, % Malaysia GDP Implementation of multi-year projects (e.g. MyDigital, ECRL, LRT3) Continued recovery in labour market Key factor underpinning private consumption Higher tourist arrivals Higher consumer confidence and lower risk aversion as travel activity continues to normalise to pre-pandemic levels Easing of supply chain disruptions Receding COVID-related disruptions and slowing global trade to lower pressures across global supply chains Moderation in global growth Slower growth mainly in advanced economies, particularly the US and Euro Area Key Factors Affecting Growth in 2H 2022 and 2023 EMR 2021: 5.3 - 6.3 2023 MY GDP Projections Annual change, % 4.5 4.7 World Bank IMF 7 8 14.9 15.6 15.7 15.9 15.9 15.9 5.1 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 Apr-22May-22Jun-22 T h o u s a n d s Labour market indicators Employment (Millions of persons) 34.8 10.4 7.6 3.0 2.2 2.4 9 41 46 46 46 44 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jobless claims and placement rates Updated Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and the Social Security Organisation Labour market continues to improve in tandem with stronger economic activity Private sector wages (Nominal) Continued expansion in employment amid low jobless claims and relatively strong pace of hiring Wages in the manufacturing and services sectors continued to rise, partly supported by the minimum wage hike Jobless claims (thousand persons) Placement rate (% of retrenched workers) Annual change (%) Note: Private sector wages refer to wages of workers in the manufacturing and services sectors. Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Unemployment rate (% of labour force) 3.4 -4.0 6.0 2.3 5.2 1.4 -6.4 0.4 -2.6 9.3 2.1 -5.6 2.4 -0.9 7.8 4.8 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 Services Manufacturing Private sector (Total) Real private sector (total) However, some segments continue to face various challenges Source: Bank Negara Malaysia estimates based on HIES 2019, Department of Statistics, Malaysia Lagged recovery in selected economic sectors Value-Added by Economic Sector 1H 22 vs 1H 19 (pre-pandemic), RM billion 1 Refers to share to GDP in 2021 2 Includes employers, own account workers and unpaid family workers 23.2 21.8 7.0 -2.8 -2.9 -5.1 -7.0 Biz and Other Services Mfg. Wholesale & Retail Trade F&B Accom. Agri. Mining Construction 80% of the economy1 20% Change in Employment 2Q 22 and 2Q 20 (crisis trough) compared to 4Q 19 (pre-pandemic), thousand persons Women Youth and Elders Low-Skilled Non-standard2 Workers 1 3 2 4 Certain segments have slower recovery in employment Crisis trough +141.2 +305.5 -209 -161.7 Women Men -64.1 +510.7 -160.9 -209.9 Youth and Elders Workers aged 25- 54 -109.3 +373 +183 -228.3 -201.5 +59.1 Low-Skill Mid-Skill High-Skill +153.4 +293.4 -61 -309.8 Non-standard Standard 9 3.2 2.3 2.6 3.3 4.9 2.4 2.9 1.0 1.2 4.6 5.0 2.7 World US Euro Area China ASEAN NIEs 2022 2023 IMF Growth Forecast for Selected Countries Annual Change, % Malaysia’s diversified exports will cushion weaker external demand going forward Weaker global growth outlook on account of slowdown in major economies However, Malaysia’s diversified exports would continue to support export growth Note: G3 includes the US, the euro area and Japan. Newly Industrialised Economies (NIEs) refers to Hong Kong SAR, Korea and Chinese Taipei. ASEAN excludes MY. Growth for NIEs and ASEAN calculated based on IMF’s latest available growth forecast and PPP-share of global GDP. Source: International Monetary Fund, Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Exports by Products and Markets (2021) % Share of Total Exports Markets ASEAN, 28% PR China, 16% NIEs, 12% G3, 27% ROW, 17% Products E&E, 37% Resource-based manufactured goods, 26% Mining, 6% Agriculture, 8% Non resource-based manufactured goods, 24% 10 Updated In particular, continued strength in E&E demand is expected to remain a key driver of exports Despite moderating global growth, exports remain resilient… …while firms’ adaptability helps to mitigate against disruptions Building inventory/ Buffer stocks (Advance bookings) Using alternative transportation mode (Air cargo and land trucking) Negotiating with clients to spread orders Diversifying supplier base * Includes Others Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Source: BNM Industrial Insights, news flows 18.2 44.0 15.7 29.4 22.0 30.0 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 2021 2022 E&E Non-E&E* Commodities Gross exports (% yoy) Annual change (%), contribution to growth (ppt) Gross Exports …supported by continued strength in E&E demand going forward… Industry Semiconductor Sales Forecasts Firms’ Proactive Measures 26.2 26.0 16.3 11.0 5.1 WSTS IC Insights 2021 2022f 2023f Annual change (%) Source: WSTS, IC Insights ’11 – ’19 avg.: 4.1% ’16 – ’19 avg.: 6.8% 11 Risks tilted to the downside mainly from weaker global growth and stronger price pressures The growth outlook however, remains subject to risks Updated Upside Risks Downside Risks 1. Stronger employment and income conditions 2. Strong improvement in tourism sector 3. Additional domestic policy measures 1. Deceleration in global growth 2. Worsening supply disruptions and further increase in global commodity prices 3. Acute labour shortages 4. Stronger cost and price pressures weighing on household spending and business activity 5. Disruptive financial market adjustments 12 1.1 0.9 2.2 1.9 2.3 3.8 4.0 3.3 4.6 4.7 6.3 6.1 8.0 6.2 2.2 2.5 2.8 3 3.8 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.9 6.5 7.3 8 8.7 9.2 China Japan Malaysia Vietnam Indonesia Korea Australia Philippines Singapore Thailand India EU US UK 2Q 2022 1Q 2022 Source: Bloomberg and Department of Statistics, Malaysia Inflation has substantially increased in many countries Higher inflation across countries (yoy, %) Note: Data until June 2022 Source: World Bank 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Feb-19 Jul-19 Dec-19 May-20 Oct-20 Mar-21 Aug-21 Jan-22 Jun-22 Index / USD per barrel Brent, USD/barrel June 2022: 120.1 World Bank Grains Price Index June 2022: 157.9 Rising prices of key commodities Global inflation Key commodity prices 13 The impact of exchange rate pass-through varies for different items and households Magnitude of exchange rate pass-through for selected fresh food items Source: World Bank and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates High global commodity prices have been the main factor driving food prices, compounded by stronger US dollar Ringgit movements are only one of the factors contributing to food price changes Other factors include logistics costs, labour costs, weather conditions etc. 1 2 Stylised illustration of wheat prices Wheat price (USD/metric tonne) MYRUSD exchange rate Jan-22 374.2 4.19 Jun-22 459.6 4.40 A) Global wheat prices B) Domestic wheat prices Jan-22 price RM1,567.9 Jun-22 price (excluding exchange rate movements) RM1,925.7 Jun-22 price (including exchange rate movements) RM2,022.2 Impact of rising global prices: +RM357.8 Impact of exchange rate movements: +RM96.5 Other factors of production also contribute to rising prices, while the impact of exchange rate movements vary across different items Increases in global commodity prices have been the biggest factor underlying rising food prices Indian mackerel 26% Apple 8% 14 Headline and core inflation edged higher to 2.8% and 2.5% respectively during the quarter Rising core inflation reflected improving demand conditions amid the high cost environment More CPI items recorded month-on-month price increases Note: Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Headline and core inflation Headline inflation and core inflation (yoy %) -2.6 -1.4 -1.5 0.5 4.1 2.2 3.2 2.2 2.8 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.7 2.5 Q 2 -2 0 Q 3 -2 0 Q 4 -2 0 Q 1 -2 1 Q 2 -2 1 Q 3 -2 1 Q 4 -2 1 Q 1 -2 2 Q 2 -2 2 Headline inflation Core inflation Month-on-month price changes of CPI items Unchanged Share of CPI items (%) 21 21 14 10 13 12 9 33 40 50 63 35 31 28 46 39 36 27 52 57 63 2 0 1 1 -2 0 1 9 A v e 2 0 1 9 Q 2 2 0 2 1 Q 3 2 0 2 1 Q 4 2 0 2 1 Q 1 2 0 2 2 Q 2 2 0 2 2 Price increase Price decline Note: Numbers may not add up to 100 due to rounding error Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 15 Headline and core inflation are expected to average higher in 2022 2 Core inflation is expected to average higher in 2022, as domestic demand continues to improve amid the high- cost environment Inflation Forecast for 2022 Average headline inflation (%) 1 Key drivers of inflation Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates. Average core inflation (%) Headline inflation is expected to trend higher in some months due partly to the base effect from the discount on electricity prices implemented in 3Q 2021 3 Upside risks to the inflation outlook stem from the strength of domestic demand, global prices and domestic policy measures 3.2 2.2 2.5 0.7 3.0 2.0 2021 2022f 2021 2022f 16 The MPC gradually adjusted the degree of accommodation amid positive growth prospects Source: Bank Negara Malaysia OPR was gradually increased by another 25 basis points to 2.25% at the July 2022 MPC meeting to reduce the degree of monetary accommodation amid the positive growth prospects for the Malaysian economy The MPC will continue to assess evolving conditions and their implications on the overall outlook to domestic inflation and growth Any adjustments to the monetary policy settings would be done in a measured and gradual manner, to support a sustainable economic growth in an environment of price stability 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Overnight Policy Rate, OPR % July 2022: 2.25% Historic low level of OPR Monetary policy continues to be accommodative 17 The OPR was adjusted amid an improving economy and demand conditions Economy continues on a recovery path and is no longer in crisis, and the unprecedented conditions that warranted the large monetary support have since abated The OPR adjustments would also pre-emptively manage the risk of excessive demand on price pressures Ultimately, the goal of monetary policy in Malaysia is to achieve price stability and sustainable economic growth over a longer term The gradual adjustments in the OPR are necessary to avoid the need for stronger measures in the future, which would be more disruptive to the economy Domestic growth will continue to be supported by firm domestic demand, amid better labour market conditions, recovery in tourism activity, and improved investment activity and prospects 18 -10.4 -6.7 -5.5 -5.2 -5.2 -4.6 -3.8 -3.5 -2.7 -0.1 6.5 -15.0 -10.0 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 JPY KRW THB PHP CNY MYR TWD IDR SGD Ringgit NEER** DXY 2Q 22 Since 1 July 22* 29.5 36.5 -26.5 52.9 58.7 -36.9 3.7 3.2 3.6 -60 0 60 120 1Q22 2Q22 Since 1 July** Malaysia Regional* Avg Volume (RM billion) Movement of 10-Year Sovereign Bond Yields bps Domestic financial market conditions continued to tighten in the second quarter *Change in DXY, ringgit NEER, and exchange rate against the US dollar from 1 July to 10 August 2022 **Ringgit Nominal Effective Exchange Rate ***Average 1M Implied Volatility Onshore for 2Q22 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Reuters US dollar continued to strengthen against ringgit and regional currencies. Ringgit has remained broadly stable against major trade partners. Domestic bond yields and equity moved in line with regional countries 19 Updated Movement of the DXY and Exchange Rate against the US Dollar (%) *Regional countries include Indonesia, the Philippines, PR China, Singapore, South Korea and Thailand. **Data from 1 July to 10 August 2022 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia, Bloomberg -16.4 -15.4 -14.5 -9.0 -9.0 -7.5 -5.1 -4.6 -2.3 -0.6 4.5 -25 -15 -5 5 15 U S K o re a P h ili p p in e s M a la y s ia S in g a p o re T h a ila n d J a p a n U K In d o n e s ia H K C h in a 2Q 2022 Since 1 July** Movement of Equity Prices (% change) Volatility*** 5.3 6.6 6.7 4.3 5.0 6.7 7.5 9.3 Malaysia’s strong external position has strengthened the economy’s resilience to withstand external shocks Current account remained in surplus Note: Data on current account is cumulative for the year. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Department of Statistics, Malaysia 107.6 116.9 109.2 80.0 85.0 90.0 95.0 100.0 105.0 110.0 115.0 120.0 2020 2021 2H July 2022 USD billion International Reserves 4.2 3.8 0.9 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 2020 2021 1H 2022f % of GDP Current Account Surplus 2,060.0 933.2 0.0 500.0 1,000.0 1,500.0 2,000.0 2,500.0 FCY Assets FCY Liabilities RM billion FCY denominated external assets & liabilities (as at 2Q 2022) Foreign-currency (FCY) external assets exceeded liabilities Adequate international reserves 20 Growth in net financing underpinned by bank lending Net financing grew by 4.9%, driven by higher outstanding loan growth Note: Data refer to loans from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), except for business loan by purpose (i.e. working capital and investment), which only include banking system data. * Excludes issuances by Cagamas and non-residents. ** ‘Others’ include loans for the purposes of non-residential property purchases, credit card, consumer durable goods and other purposes. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Outstanding household loan growth increased further amid higher growth in loan disbursements and repayments 3.3 4.0 1.2 0.9 4.5 4.9 1Q 2022 2Q 2022 Outstanding corporate bonds* Outstanding loans Net financing Net Financing Annual change (%) / Cont. to growth (ppt) Outstanding Household Loan Growth 22 Outstanding Business Loan Growth Annual change (%) / Cont. to growth (ppt) 5.3 3.2 4.2 4.8 5.7 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 2Q-22 Others** Personal use Houses Cars Securities Total Annual change (%) / Cont. to growth (ppt) Household Loan Disbursements and Repayments Annual change (%) -24.0 9.5 12.7 29.0 1.2 -4.6 3.3 13.3 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 2Q-22 Loan Disbursements Loan Repayments 1.3 2.4 4.8 4.3 5.5 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 2Q-22 Working Capital Investment- related Others** Total Business Loan Disbursements and Repayments Annual change (%) 32.5 31.6 19.6 26.6 27.9 25.1 20.5 23.4 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 2Q-22 Loan Disbursements Loan Repayments Business loan growth increased, supported by higher growth in both working capital and investment loans 21 MSMEs continued to access bank financing in 2Q 2022 Financing to MSMEs expanded at a faster pace of 7.5% in 2Q 2022 1 Investment-related purpose includes financing for the purchase of non-residential property, commercial vehicle, fixed assets (e.g. machinery and equipment), securities, and construction activity. Note: Banking system and DFIs Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 6.0 3.2 4.9 6.0 7.5 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 Outstanding SME Financing % yoy SME Financing Disbursements by Purpose 1 Financing disbursements surpassing pre-pandemic levels, in tandem with an increase in SMEs’ financing needs for working capital and business expansion RM billion 15 18 69 71 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 2017-19 quarterly average: RM15 bn 2017-19 quarterly average: RM57 bn Investment Working Capital 22 9.7 11.0 11.0 10.9 10.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 12.5 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 1.83 1.90 1.83 1.78 1.79 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 2010-2019 Average: 1.73% Banks remain resilient and well-positioned to support ongoing economic recovery Banks continue to maintain provisions to buffer against potential credit losses Total Provisions, as % of loans 1 Refers to the share of loans that have exhibited deterioration in credit risk, for which banks are required to set aside provisions based on lifetime expected losses * MFRS 9 - Malaysian Financial Reporting Standard 9 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Credit risk remains elevated as relief measures gradually expire Strong capital and liquidity positions would continue to support intermediation needs Gross Impaired Loans Ratio (%) 1.62 1.57 1.50 1.55 1.65 1.30 1.40 1.50 1.60 1.70 1.80 1.90 2.00 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 12.5 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 Mar-22: 18.3 Dec-21: 19.2 Sep-21: 18.3 Mar-22: 151 Dec-21: 153 Sep-21: 154 Total Capital Ratio, % Liquidity Coverage Ratio, % 148 Jun-22 17.7 Jun-22 2018-2020 Average: 8.0% MFRS 9* Stage 2 Loans1 Ratio (%) 2010-2019 Average: 1.90% 23 Policy priorities should now also accord a stronger focus on longer-term policies to complement short-term measures Attracting quality investments to create high value added activities and high-income jobs, particularly for Malaysians Continued upskilling to develop a high-skilled workforce to match demands of the future economy and industry Accelerating automation and digitalisation efforts to improve competitiveness, increase productivity and reduce reliance on low-skilled foreign workers Enhancing social safety nets and improving the social protection framework through savings from a more targeted subsidy regime Advancing the environmental, social and governance (ESG) agenda to ensure Malaysia remains competitive globally, whilst also securing a more sustainable future Key Structural Reforms 24 Summary In 2Q 2022, the Malaysian economy grew by 8.9% mainly driven by consumption activities amid the recovery in labour market conditions. The outlook, however, is subject to risks related to weaker-than-expected global growth, heightened geopolitical tensions, global financial market volatility and supply chain disruptions, leading to much slower economic growth. Growth in 2022 to be supported by strengthening domestic demand and reopening of international borders, which more than offset moderation in external demand. Updated Policy support should also accord a stronger focus on longer-term priorities to complement short-term measures Headline and core inflation for 2022 are expected to average higher reflecting improvement in economic activity amid higher costs. 25 End of Presentation 26 Q&A 27 Q&A BANK NEGARA MALAYSIA 27 CENTRAL BANK or MALAYSIA Additional Information 28 Add. Info 1 Malaysia’s GDP expanded by 8.9% in 2Q 2022 Annual Change in GDP Growth by Component 1 Numbers do not add up due to rounding and exclusion of import duties component Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Real GDP (% YoY) Share, % (2021) 2021 2022 2Q 1Q 2Q Domestic Demand (Excluding Stocks) 92.7 12.3 4.4 13.0 Private Sector 74.4 13.0 4.4 15.4 Consumption 58.8 11.7 5.5 18.3 Investment 15.6 17.3 0.4 6.3 Public Sector 18.3 9.0 4.8 2.8 Consumption 13.8 8.2 6.7 2.6 Investment 4.5 12.0 -0.9 3.2 Net Exports of Goods and Services 6.0 57.6 -26.5 -28.7 Exports 69.1 37.1 8.0 10.4 Imports 63.1 35.5 11.1 14.0 Change in stocks, RM bn 1.3 15.2 5.7 11.8 Real GDP 100.0 15.9 5.0 8.9 Real GDP (% YoY) Share1 % (2021) 2021 2022 2Q 1Q 2Q Services 57.0 13.4 6.5 12.0 Manufacturing 24.3 26.7 6.6 9.2 Agriculture 7.1 -1.5 0.1 -2.4 Mining and Quarrying 6.7 10.6 -1.1 -0.5 Construction 3.7 40.3 -6.2 2.4 Real GDP 100.0 15.9 5.0 8.9 29 Malaysia’s GDP expanded by 8.9% in 2Q 2022 Percentage Point Contribution to GDP Growth by Component 1 Numbers do not add up due to rounding and exclusion of import duties component Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Real GDP (Ppt contribution, %) Share, % (2021) 2021 2022 2Q 1Q 2Q Domestic Demand (Excluding Stocks) 92.7 11.3 4.2 11.7 Private Sector 74.4 9.7 3.4 11.2 Consumption 58.8 6.7 3.3 10.1 Investment 15.6 3.0 0.1 1.1 Public Sector 18.3 1.6 0.8 0.5 Consumption 13.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 Investment 4.5 0.4 0.0 0.1 Net Exports of Goods and Services 6.0 2.5 -1.5 -1.7 Exports 69.1 22.5 5.4 7.5 Imports 63.1 19.9 6.9 9.2 Change in Stocks 1.3 2.0 2.2 -1.0 Real GDP 100.0 15.9 5.0 8.9 Real GDP (Ppt contribution, %) Share1, % (2021) 2021 2022 2Q 1Q 2Q Services 57.0 7.8 3.7 6.8 Manufacturing 24.3 5.9 1.6 2.2 Agriculture 7.1 -0.1 0.01 -0.2 Mining and Quarrying 6.7 0.8 -0.1 0.0 Construction 3.7 1.2 -0.2 0.1 Real GDP 100.0 15.9 5.0 8.9 30 Add. Info 2 Financial account of the balance of payments continued to record net inflow Continued net inflows in direct and other investment accounts offset net outflows in portfolio investment account *As per the IMF’s BPM5 classifications (i.e. directional basis) Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia; and Bank Negara Malaysia RM billion 2021 2022 4Q Year 1Q 2Q 1H Direct Investment 10.5 28.5 20.8 2.6 23.4 Direct Investment Abroad (DIA)* -7.9 -19.7 -3.6 -14.7 -18.3 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)* 18.5 48.1 24.4 17.3 41.7 Portfolio Investment 2.6 18.8 -10.1 -14.7 -24.8 Residents -6.1 -35.8 -13.9 -4.4 -18.3 Non-residents 8.7 54.6 3.8 -10.3 -6.5 Financial Derivatives -1.8 -2.3 0.2 -0.2 0.0 Other Investment -10.6 -32.0 19.6 12.5 32.1 Financial Account Balance 0.7 13.0 30.4 0.2 30.7 Continued FDI inflows amid higher DIA outflows Net inflows in other investment account Net outflows in portfolio investment Financial Account by Component 31 Add. Info 3 13.1 8.7 -5.0 Banks Corporates Fed. Gov. Net change: +RM17.1* billion Corporates’ external debt is mainly subject to prudential requirements 64.8 126.5 146.5 88.5 24.8 13.1 Total: RM464.1 billion Bonds and notes Loans Other debt liabilities Intragroup loans Trade credits NR holdings of domestic debt securities Subject to prudential requirements On concessionary and flexible terms Backed by export earnings Corporate External Debt Breakdown by Instrument (as at end-2Q 2022) Malaysia’s external debt remains manageable External debt amounted to 67.7% of GDP as at end-2Q 2022 (1Q 22: 69.6%) Banks are resilient to face potential external shocks * Consist of deposit & interbank placements, bonds and notes, and money market instruments. ** Consist of short-term financial institutions’ deposits, interbank borrowings and loans from unrelated counterparties. 146.6 76.8 FCY liquid external assets FCY external debt-at-risk Source: Ministry of Finance Malaysia, Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia Changes in External Debt by Institution (from 1Q 2022) Banks’ FCY Liquid External Assets* and FCY External Debt-at-Risk** RM billionRM billion RM billion * Inclusive of RM0.3 billion increase in BNM external debt (allocation of SDR) due to exchange rate valuation changes 32 Add. Info 4 Adequate buffers to weather external shocks Sustained net creditor position… … and further supported by L External Assets Minus External Liabilities (2Q 21 – 2Q 22) p Preliminary r Revised Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia … with large net foreign-currency external assets … 7.3 5.6 5.5 3.0 3.7 0 2 4 6 8 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 RM billion (LHS) % of GDP (RHS) RM billion % of GDP Sustained foreign income Continued current account surplus reduces external financing requirements Sufficient international reserves to facilitate international transactions … to finance 5.4 months of imports of goods & services and is 1.1 times total short-term external debt as at 29 July 2022 33 Add. Info 5 2,060.0 933.2 0.0 500.0 1,000.0 1,500.0 2,000.0 2,500.0 FCY Assets FCY Liabilities RM billion FCY denominated external assets & liabilities (as at 2Q 2022)
Press Release
12 Aug 2022
BNM Reassures Nation's Payment System Remains Safe And Secure
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/safe-payment-system
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Reading: BNM Reassures Nation's Payment System Remains Safe And Secure Share: 104 BNM Reassures Nation's Payment System Remains Safe And Secure Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1115 on Friday, 12 August 2022 12 Aug 2022 We refer to the potential data breach incident as announced by iPay88 (M) Sdn. Bhd., a company providing payment gateway services to banks and merchants. Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) wishes to highlight that forensic investigations are still ongoing. The breach originated from and is confined to iPay88’s payment card systems and does not involve vulnerabilities in the banks’ systems. Financial institutions in Malaysia also observe strong authentication methods for online card transactions, including prompting cardholders for additional confirmation of certain transactions considered to be more risky. This reduces the risk of fraudulent transactions occurring. For non-authenticated transactions, particularly purchases from overseas merchants, customers will not be liable for any fraudulent or unauthorised transactions that may arise from this incident. In light of this incident, BNM has instructed banks to immediately notify affected cardholders of additional protective measures that will be taken to further protect them against risks of fraudulent or unauthorised transactions. Banks have also heightened their fraud risk management and monitoring of suspicious or fraudulent activities for affected cards. BNM takes a serious view of any incident that can affect confidence in the payment system, and will not hesitate to take necessary supervisory or enforcement actions to ensure strong security controls are in place and maintained by financial institutions, and customers are treated fairly. Customers are advised to immediately notify their banks if they observe any irregular or unauthorised transactions on their cards. For further enquiries or complaints, members of the public can contact BNMTELELINK at 1-300-88-5465 or to submit via https://telelink.bnm.gov.my/   Bank Negara Malaysia 12 August 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
11 Aug 2022
The 6th Royal Award for Islamic Finance to be conferred on 4 October 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/6th-raif-2022
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Reading: The 6th Royal Award for Islamic Finance to be conferred on 4 October 2022 Share: 190 The 6th Royal Award for Islamic Finance to be conferred on 4 October 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1100 on Thursday, 11 August 2022 11 Aug 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) and the Securities Commission Malaysia (SC) are pleased to announce that the Royal Award for Islamic Finance 2022 will be conferred at a ceremony on 4 October 2022 in Kuala Lumpur. The Royal Award recognises visionary individuals whose outstanding achievements and innovative ideas contribute significantly to the growth of Islamic finance, the global economy, and  social progress of communities around the world. A global call for nominations was made in December 2021, following which 49 submissions were received for 37 nominees from 14 countries. These nominees include renowned Islamic finance practitioners, Shariah scholars, and academicians. This year’s winner will be the sixth recipient of the prestigious Royal Award, which was  inaugurated in 2010 as a biennial award1 in support of Malaysia as the global standard of a comprehensive and sophisticated Islamic finance marketplace. The Royal Award winner is selected by an independent seven-member international jury headed by former Deputy Prime Minister Tun Musa Hitam. The jury comprises eminent Shariah scholars, academicians, and finance practitioners. The assessment process is based on a set of defined selection criteria, encompassing contributions towards driving policy development, developing and growing the Islamic finance market, advocating for Islamic finance, pioneering innovation, expanding the frontiers of knowledge, and exercising exceptional leadership and influence. In addition to the Royal Award, two new award categories have been introduced this year - the Emerging Leader Prize and Impact Challenge Prize which will be presented in a separate ceremony. The Emerging Leader Prize recognises young international talent who have made outstanding contributions in advancing innovative ideas in the field of Islamic finance. For this award, the Secretariat has received a total of 18 submissions for 14 nominees from 8 countries. The prize winner is determined by an international panel of Selection Committee, comprising esteemed academicians and industry practitioners. Meanwhile, the Impact Challenge Prize recognises digital and innovative solutions based on Islamic finance principles or Islamic finance enablers, that seek to improve the economic and social resilience of financially impacted communities globally. This prize is a collaboration with the World Bank Group Inclusive Growth and Sustainable Finance Hub in Malaysia and the Malaysia Digital Economy Corporation. The prize winner(s) are evaluated based on four criteria - innovation, impact, commercial viability and scalability. The organisers have received 50 applications from 14 countries for the Impact Challenge Prize. Those who met the criteria were shortlisted to join an Accelerator Programme. At the end of the Programme, they presented their innovative solutions to a panel of judges, comprising senior representatives from BNM and SC, Islamic Development Bank, World Bank Group and the venture capital industry. The Emerging Leader and Impact Challenge Prizes will be presented at the Global Islamic Finance Forum (GIFF) on 5 October 2022 in Kuala Lumpur. _________ 1 Due to the pandemic, the Royal Award was deferred in 2020.   Members of the Media may contact the Media Team at: Roziah Mohd. Hanifa (roziah@bnm.gov.my), Delyana Nordin (delyanaN@seccom.com.my)   NOTE TO THE EDITOR The Royal Award for Islamic Finance Past Recipients Past Royal Award recipients are Tan Sri Dr. Zeti Akhtar Aziz, former Governor of Bank Negara Malaysia (2018); Professor Datuk Dr Rifaat Ahmed Abdel Karim, former CEO of the International Islamic Liquidity Management Corporation (2016); Dato’ Dr Abdul Halim Ismail, founding member of Malaysia’s first Islamic bank (2014); Mr Iqbal Khan, CEO of Fajr Capital (2012); and Shaikh Saleh Abdullah Kamel, founder of the Dallah al Baraka Group (2010). The Royal Award in 2010 also recognised the late Dr Ahmad El-Naggar who was often referred to as 'Father of Modern Islamic Banking', with a posthumous honorable mention. About Malaysia's Islamic Finance Marketplace Since its origin nearly 40 years ago, Islamic finance in Malaysia has evolved into a well-developed and comprehensive Islamic finance marketplace, capable of meeting diverse needs of the economy and society. The marketplace is characterised by a robust regulatory, supervisory, Shariah and legal framework, deep and progressive Islamic financial markets, diverse set of players, multi-asset commodity and exchange platforms, efficient multi-channel payment gateways to facilitate financial intermediation as well as talent base with global capabilities and connectivity for business deals anywhere in the world. Malaysia’s Islamic finance marketplace is open to global industry players and market participants to collaborate with and mutually benefit from a highly conducive business environment of innovation, expertise and deal flow. Our marketplace is a comprehensive Islamic finance ecosystem and business environment of infrastructure, innovation, expertise and deal flow, served by the Malaysia International Islamic Financial Centre (MIFC) Community, comprising the financial institutions, professional firms, regulators and government agencies. For more information on Malaysia’s Islamic finance marketplace, please visit www.mifc.com and follow us on Twitter (@MalaysiaIF) / LinkedIn (@Malaysia World's Islamic Finance Marketplace). About Bank Negara Malaysia Bank Negara Malaysia is Malaysia’s central bank. Our principal objective is to promote monetary stability and financial stability conducive to the sustainable growth of the Malaysian economy. To this end, we played a key role in developing both the conventional and Islamic financial system with the view that a well-developed financial system contributes to the country’s resilience. Over the years, we have also taken the lead in promoting Malaysia as an International Islamic Financial Center. Log on to www.bnm.gov.my for more information. About Securities Commission Malaysia The Securities Commission Malaysia (SC), a statutory body reporting to the Minister of Finance, was established under the Securities Commission Act 1993. It is the sole regulatory agency for the regulation and development of capital markets. The SC has direct responsibility for supervising and monitoring the activities of market institutions, including the exchanges and clearing houses, and regulating all persons licensed under the Capital Markets and Services Act 2007. More information about the SC is available on its website at www.sc.com.my. Follow the SC on Twitter at @SecComMy for more updates. About The World Bank Group Inclusive Growth and Sustainable Finance Hub in Malaysia The World Bank Group Inclusive Growth and Sustainable Finance Hub in Malaysia is a partnership between Malaysia and the World Bank. The Hub works closely with counterparts in country and beyond by conducting analytical, advisory, and research work to support inclusive growth, promote sustainable finance and inclusive finance and to enhance good governance. Log on to www.wbg.org/my or www.facebook.com/worldbankmalaysia for more information. Bank Negara Malaysia 11 August 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
05 Aug 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 29 July 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-29-july-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 29 July 2022 Share: 55 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 29 July 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Friday, 5 August 2022 5 Aug 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD109.2 billion as at 29 July 2022. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.8 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.1 times of the total short-term external debt. [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 6.5 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at 4Q QB 2021. Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 29 July 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 5 August 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
04 Aug 2022
Consumer Credit Oversight Board Task Force Invites Feedback on Proposed Enactment of Consumer Credit Act
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/ccobtf-invites-fdbk-cca-cp1
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Reading: Consumer Credit Oversight Board Task Force Invites Feedback on Proposed Enactment of Consumer Credit Act Share: 148 Consumer Credit Oversight Board Task Force Invites Feedback on Proposed Enactment of Consumer Credit Act Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1240 on Thursday, 4 August 2022 4 Aug 2022 The Government is working on the formulation of a Consumer Credit Act (CCA), with the aim of strengthening protection for credit consumers in Malaysia. The CCA seeks to provide a comprehensive framework for regulating the conduct of entities carrying out the business of providing credit or credit services to such consumers, with an immediate focus on those that are not currently subject to direct regulation by any authority [1]. This includes the regulation of new forms of credit such as “Buy Now Pay Later” providers. The CCA will pave the way for the establishment of the Consumer Credit Oversight Board (CCOB) as an independent competent authority to oversee consumer credit providers and credit service providers. The public consultation is the first of a two-part consultation. It provides an overview of the current landscape of the consumer credit industry in Malaysia, its challenges, and proposed reforms to better protect individuals and small businesses in their dealings with credit providers and credit service providers. The reforms will be implemented in phases under a proposed multi-year programme to deliver consistent standards of protection for credit consumers and support the orderly development of the credit industry in Malaysia. The CCOB Task Force seeks feedback on the proposed regulatory and authorisation framework, as well as areas that will be addressed in the legislation to promote high standards of professionalism and fair conduct of credit providers and credit service providers. This will be followed by Part 2 of the consultation paper, targeted to be issued in the fourth quarter of this year, which will provide further details on authorisation, governance, and conduct requirements that will be applied to credit providers and credit service providers. The public consultation paper is available for download from CCOB’s website [www.ccob.my]. This website serves as a one-stop reference point for all stakeholders seeking information and updates related to CCA and CCOB. Interested parties and members of the public are invited to provide feedback and comments on the consultation paper to CCOB Task Force by Monday, 5 September 2022 by emailing to CCAConsultation@bnm.gov.my.   CONSUMER CREDIT OVERSIGHT BOARD TASK FORCE   [1] These include but are not limited to “Buy Now Pay Later” providers, leasing and factoring companies, impaired loan buyers and debt collection agencies. ABOUT THE CONSUMER CREDIT OVERSIGHT BOARD TASK FORCE The Consumer Credit Oversight Board Task Force (CCOB Task Force) was set up in July 2021 and led by the Ministry of Finance (MOF), Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) and the Securities Commission Malaysia (SC) to drive the enactment of the CCA. This effort is in collaboration with the Ministry of Domestic Trade and Consumer Affairs (KPDNHEP), the Ministry of Housing and Local Government (KPKT), the Ministry of Entrepreneur and Cooperatives Development (KUSKOP) and Malaysia Co-operative Societies Commission (SKM). For media queries, please contact the following: Consumer Credit Oversight Board Task Force +603 9179 2329 ccobtf@bnm.gov.myBank Negara Malaysia 4 August 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
29 Jul 2022
Monetary and Financial Developments in June 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-and-financial-developments-in-june-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/7650790/i_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary and Financial Developments in June 2022 Share: 6 Monetary and Financial Developments in June 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Friday, 29 July 2022 29 Jul 2022 Headline inflation increased to 3.4% in June Headline inflation increased to 3.4% (May: 2.8%), mainly reflecting the higher core inflation (3.0%; May: 2.4%). The rise was contributed mainly by higher inflation for food away from home, expenditure in restaurant and cafe, and repair and maintenance for personal transport. The relatively sharp increase reflected higher price pressures amid the ongoing military conflict in Ukraine, adverse weather conditions in key food-exporting countries, stronger US dollar and improving domestic demand. Nevertheless, headline inflation is projected to remain within the 2.2% to 3.2% forecast range for the year. Robust export growth in June Exports registered a robust growth of 38.8% (May: 30.4%) to RM146.2 billion, which is the highest level of exports on record. This reflects continued strength across Malaysia’s export products, driven by strong global demand for manufactured exports and high commodity prices. Moving forward, export growth is expected to remain supported by continued external demand for semiconductors, albeit at a moderating pace due to slower global growth. Higher expansion in net financing Net financing grew by 5.0% (May: 4.5%) driven by higher growth in outstanding loans (5.6%; May: 5.0%) while outstanding corporate bond growth remained unchanged at 3.4%. Outstanding household loan growth increased across all loan purposes (5.9%; May: 5.0%) reflecting higher growth in loan disbursements, especially for cars and houses. For businesses, outstanding loans grew at 5.8% (May: 5.4%), as growth in loan disbursements (23.0%; May: 20.8%) outpaced that of repayments (20.0%; May: 23.6%). By sector, the higher outstanding loan growth reflected stronger growth in wholesale and retail trade, and transport, storage and communication. Domestic financial markets conditions tightened following the sharp rise in US interest rates In June, global financial market conditions tightened following the 75-bps hike (largest since 1994) in the US federal funds rate, amid elevated US inflationary pressures. This had subsequently raised concerns on the US and global economic growth outlook. Adjustments in the domestic financial markets remained orderly amid positive economic recovery prospects. Amid foreign portfolio outflows from the domestic bond market, 10-year MGS yields rose by 9.0 bps, a smaller increase compared to regional bond yields (average: 21.5 bps). The ringgit depreciated by 0.7% (regional average: -3.1%) in June amid broad US dollar strength, while the FBM KLCI declined by 8.0% (regional average: -7.1%). Banks’ liquidity and funding positions remain supportive of intermediation activities The banking system continued to record healthy liquidity positions, with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 148.4%. Banks’ funding sources remained stable and supportive of credit intermediation in the economy amid sustained growth in deposits. Loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.8%. Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Overall gross impaired loans ratio increased slightly to 1.7% (May-22: 1.6%), but net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.0%. Banks continued to be prudent in loan provisioning to buffer against potential credit losses, with total provisions and regulatory reserves amounting to RM 41.1 billion (May-22: RM 40.7 billion). Total provisions stood at 1.8% as a share of total banking system loans and 108.5% of impaired loans. Monthly Highlights [PDF] Related Assets Monthly Highlights & Statistics in June 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 29 July 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights May 2023 Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined further to 2.8% in May May 2023 Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation moderated to 2.8% (April 2023: 3.3%). This decline was largely due to non-core CPI components, particularly lower inflation for fuel (-0.2 percentage points, ppt) and fresh food (-0.1ppt). • Core inflation also declined slightly to 3.5% (April 2023: 3.6%) amid lower inflation for communication services. 3.3 2.8 3.6 3.5 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 A p r- 2 3 M a y -2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) 1.6 5.1 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 1 Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector improved in May 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.0% as at end-May (April 2023: 3.7%), driven mainly by higher growth in credit to businesses (2.8%; April 2023: 2.5%). • Outstanding corporate bonds grew by 4.6% (April 2023: 4.4%), while outstanding business loans expanded by 1.6% (April 2023: 1.0%). The higher business loan growth reflected improvement in loans for both working capital and investments to SMEs and non-SMEs. • In the household segment, outstanding loan growth was sustained at 5.1% (April 2023: 5.0%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. Of note, household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.0% and 8.4%, respectively (April 2023: 6.8% and 8.0%). 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 4.5 4.2 3.7 4.0 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Index of wholesale and retail trade growth moderated in April Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded more moderately by 4.7% in April 2023 (March 2023: 9.4%). The lower growth was due mainly to the decline in the motor vehicle segment. • However, the retail segment continued to record a double-digit growth of 10.0% (March 2023: 13.8%), supported by sales in non-specialised and other specialised stores1. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index increased at a faster pace of 6.5% (March 2023: -0.9%). 1 Other goods in specialised stores includes clothing, footwear, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, watches, jewellery and optical goods. 10.6 9.4 4.7 -2 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 Apr-22 Jun-22 Aug-22 Oct-22 Dec-22 Feb-23 Apr-23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Monthly Highlights 2 May 2023 Domestic financial markets were largely affected by external factors Financial Market Performance in May 2023 -18.0 -0.5 -1.1 -3.0 -2.0 -3.4 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -20 -15 -10 -5 0 May-23 Apr-23 Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 1Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia • Global investors maintained a risk-off approach throughout May, as concerns over the impact of the US debt ceiling crisis and the weaker-than- expected rebound in China’s economy weighed on global financial markets. • As a result, the ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 3.4% (regional1 average: -1.2%). Similarly, the FBM KLCI declined by 2.0% (regional1 average: -1.3%). • Nonetheless, the 10-year MGS yields decreased slightly by 3 basis points, supported by non-resident inflows into the domestic bond market. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 151.2% (April 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.8% (April 2023: 82.1%). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.8 151.2 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.80% (April 2023: 1.78%) and 1.10% (April 2023: 1.10%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remained at a prudent level of 114.1% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.1 1.7 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio April 2023 Monthly Highlights Slide 1 Slide 2
Press Release
29 Jul 2022
Asia/Pacific Group on Money Laundering (APG) Concludes its Annual Meeting 2022 in Kuala Lumpur with Strengthened Efforts in Combating Global Financial Crimes
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/apg-annual-meeting-2022-concluded
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Reading: Asia/Pacific Group on Money Laundering (APG) Concludes its Annual Meeting 2022 in Kuala Lumpur with Strengthened Efforts in Combating Global Financial Crimes Share: 41 Asia/Pacific Group on Money Laundering (APG) Concludes its Annual Meeting 2022 in Kuala Lumpur with Strengthened Efforts in Combating Global Financial Crimes Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1438 on Friday, 29 July 2022 29 Jul 2022 Over 370 international delegates from around the Asia-Pacific region and the world gathered this week from 24 to 28 July 2022 to attend the hybrid annual meeting of the Asia/Pacific Group on Money Laundering (APG) in Kuala Lumpur. The meeting was officiated by Senator Tengku Datuk Seri Utama Zafrul Tengku Abdul Aziz, Finance Minister of Malaysia. Co-chaired by Deputy Governor Marzunisham Omar of Bank Negara Malaysia and Deputy Commissioner Ian McCartney, of the Australian Federal Police, the delegates met over four days to discuss important issues relating to serious financial crime impacting the region and the world at large. The meeting was attended by the president of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF), Mr. Raja Kumar of the Ministry of Home Affairs in Singapore, whose recent appointment last month as the FATF President will further ensure a strong regional voice in global efforts to combat money laundering and terrorist financing. The APG is an intergovernmental organisation consisting of 41 member countries and jurisdictions in the Asia/Pacific region and was formed in 1997 in Bangkok, Thailand. Its members, including Malaysia, are firmly committed to implementing the international standards against serious financial crime that impact financial systems. This week, the APG achieved a number of important outcomes including: Adoption of mutual evaluation follow-up reports and typologies reports; Important governance and organisational decisions on the future of the APG; Review of the FATF’s strategic direction for the next round of country evaluations and how that impacts the business of the APG; and The conduct of meetings between providers of technical assistance and many APG members to improve their legal and financial regulatory anti-money laundering systems. This year marks an important milestone for the APG: its 25th anniversary. A number of events was held throughout the week to celebrate this occasion. Over the past 25 years, the APG has grown from strength to strength, from its 13 founding members to now the largest FATF-Style Regional Body (FSRBs) in the global AML/CFT network. Malaysia is very pleased to have chaired the APG over the last two years and in particular during its 25th anniversary celebrations. The APG Annual Meeting this week marked the end of Malaysia’s tenure as the APG Co-Chair. During the co-chairmanship of APG, Malaysia concluded a set of priorities to support capacity building in the areas of data analytics, public-private partnership (PPP), and supervision of the Designated Non-Financial Businesses and Professions (DNFBPs). The outcomes achieved this week will better position the APG and its member countries and jurisdictions to fight financial crime and defeat efforts by criminals and terrorists to subvert the integrity of the international financial system. The APG also welcomed Canada as the new APG Co-Chair (rotating), succeeding Malaysia. Bank Negara Malaysia Asia / Pacific Group on Money Laundering   Bank Negara Malaysia 29 July 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
29 Jul 2022
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-June 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-june-2022-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-June 2022 Share: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-June 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Friday, 29 July 2022 29 Jul 2022 In accordance with the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period. The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III and IV. As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD109,025.1 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to USD5.9 million as at end-June 2022. As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD8,146.4 million. The short forward positions amounted to USD14,001.0 million as at end-June 2022, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,117.1 million in the next 12 months. As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets are Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD401.6 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit. Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-June 2022, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable. Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (30 June 2022) Bank Negara Malaysia 29 July 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
22 Jul 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 July 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-15-july-2022
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 July 2022 Share: 3 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 July 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Friday, 22 July 2022 22 Jul 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD107.0 billion as at 15 July 2022. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.7 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.1 times of the total short-term external debt. [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 6.4 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at 4Q QB 2021     Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 15 July 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 22 July 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
22 Jul 2022
University of Nottingham Malaysia students win Tun Ismail Ali Chair Monetary Policy Challenge 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/tiac-mp-challenge-2022-winner
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Reading: University of Nottingham Malaysia students win Tun Ismail Ali Chair Monetary Policy Challenge 2022 Share: 38 University of Nottingham Malaysia students win Tun Ismail Ali Chair Monetary Policy Challenge 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1220 on Friday, 22 July 2022 22 Jul 2022 Imran Danial bin Adi Firdaus, Lee Wenn Shian and Wan Zulyahya Amri bin Shoberi, students from University of Nottingham Malaysia receiving the top prize at the Tun Ismail Ali Monetary Policy Challenge 2022 from Bank Negara Malaysia Assistant Governor Fraziali Ismail (left).   Three students from University of Nottingham Malaysia have emerged as the winning team for the Tun Ismail Ali Chair (TIAC) Monetary Policy Challenge 2022. The team consists of Imran Danial bin Adi Firdaus, Lee Wenn Shian and Wan Zulyahya Amri bin Shoberi, under the guidance of team advisor Dr. Teo Wing Leong. The TIAC Challenge started in 2018 to promote interest in monetary and public policy as well as encourage more discourse on contemporary issues among undergraduate students. After a two-year hiatus due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the TIAC Challenge returned this year with a new focus on the formulation of monetary policy. Participants were tasked to assess the economic conditions of a fictitious economy and decide on the appropriate monetary policy action. Twenty-seven shortlisted students from 7 universities competed in the two-day challenge held at Sasana Kijang, BNM. The team brought home a cash prize of RM5,000 as well as internship placements with BNM. Judges were impressed by the team’s in-depth assessment of the economy and the rationale underlying their policy decision. BNM Assistant Governor Fraziali Ismail said, “The challenge this year aims to expose our undergraduates to the discussions and the deliberations that take place at BNM’s Monetary Policy Committee in setting the OPR. This is part of BNM’s efforts to raise public understanding of the role of BNM in promoting monetary stability.” TIAC was founded in 2000, in memory of BNM’s first Malaysian Governor, the late Tun Ismail Ali. It aims to encourage research, commentary, and interaction on issues related to monetary and financial policies.  Bank Negara Malaysia 22 July 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
07 Jul 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 30 June 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-30-june-2022
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 30 June 2022 Share: 75 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 30 June 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Thursday, 7 July 2022 7 Jul 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD109.0 billion as at 30 June 2022. The reserves level has taken into account the quarterly foreign exchange revaluation changes. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.8 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.1 times total short-term external debt.   [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 6.7 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at 4Q QB 2021. Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 30 June 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 7 July 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
06 Jul 2022
Monetary Policy Statement
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-policy-statement-06072022
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Reading: Monetary Policy Statement Share: 3.1k Monetary Policy Statement Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Wednesday, 6 July 2022 6 Jul 2022 At its meeting today, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Bank Negara Malaysia decided to increase the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by 25 basis points to 2.25 percent. The ceiling and floor rates of the corridor of the OPR are correspondingly increased to 2.50 percent and 2.00 percent, respectively. The reopening of the global economy and the improvement in labour market conditions continue to support the recovery of economic activity. However, these have been partly offset by the impact from rising cost pressures, the military conflict in Ukraine and strict containment measures in China. Inflationary pressures have continued to increase mainly due to elevated commodity prices and strong demand conditions, despite some easing in global supply chain conditions. Consequently, central banks are expected to continue adjusting their monetary policy settings, some at a faster pace, to reduce inflationary pressures. Going forward, the pace of global growth is expected to moderate, and will continue to be affected by the elevated cost pressures, conflict in Ukraine, global supply chain conditions, and financial market volatility. For the Malaysian economy, economic activity continued to strengthen in recent months. Exports and retail spending indicators affirm the positive growth momentum, supported by the transition to endemicity. In the labour market, the unemployment rate declined further, with higher labour participation and improving income prospects. Looking ahead, while external demand is expected to moderate, weighed by headwinds to global growth, economic growth will be supported by firm domestic demand. Additionally, the reopening of international borders since 1 April 2022 would facilitate the recovery in tourism-related sectors. Investment activity and prospects continue to be supported by the realisation of multi-year projects. However, downside risks to growth continue to stem from a weaker-than-expected global growth, further escalation of geopolitical conflicts, and worsening supply chain disruptions. Year-to-date, headline inflation has averaged 2.4%. While it is projected to remain within the 2.2% - 3.2% forecast range for the year, headline inflation may be higher in some months due mainly to the base effect from electricity prices. Underlying inflation, as measured by core inflation, is expected to average between 2.0% - 3.0% in 2022 as demand continues to improve amid the high-cost environment. Nevertheless, the extent of upward pressures on inflation will remain partly contained by existing price controls, fuel subsidies and the continued spare capacity in the economy. The inflation outlook continues to be subject to global commodity price developments, arising mainly from the ongoing military conflict in Ukraine and prolonged supply-related disruptions, as well as domestic policy measures. Amid the positive growth prospects for the Malaysian economy, the MPC decided to further adjust the degree of monetary accommodation. This is consistent with the MPC’s view that the unprecedented conditions that necessitated a historically low OPR have continued to recede. At the current OPR level, the stance of monetary policy remains accommodative and supportive of economic growth. The MPC will continue to assess evolving conditions and their implications on the overall outlook to domestic inflation and growth. Any adjustments to the monetary policy settings going forward would be done in a measured and gradual manner, ensuring that monetary policy remains accommodative to support a sustainable economic growth in an environment of price stability.  Bank Negara Malaysia 6 July 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
30 Jun 2022
Monetary and Financial Developments in May 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-and-financial-developments-in-may-2022
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Reading: Monetary and Financial Developments in May 2022 Share: 4 Monetary and Financial Developments in May 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Thursday, 30 June 2022 30 Jun 2022 Headline inflation increased to 2.8% in May Headline inflation increased to 2.8% (April: 2.3%), reflecting the continued uptrend in core inflation in line with improvement in economic activity amid lingering cost pressures. As expected, core inflation[1] was higher at 2.4% (April: 2.1%), due mainly to higher inflation for both food away and food at home, rental, and repair and maintenance for personal transport. This uptick occurred amid costlier imported food inputs, mainly due to war in Ukraine and inclement weather conditions, an increase in demand during the festive season and the reopening of Malaysia's international borders. Continued strength in manufacturing production in April 2022 Manufacturing IPI continued to expand above long-term average in April 2022 at 6.2% (2011-2019 avg: 4.8%). Growth was driven mainly by the E&E cluster which recorded double-digit growth for the 8th consecutive month since Sep 2021 amid strong demand globally. The consumer-related cluster, particularly motor vehicle production, also supported growth as producers fulfil backlogs post-FMCO. Slight moderation in net financing growth Net financing[2] growth moderated slightly to 4.5% (April: 4.6%), due to slower growth in outstanding corporate bonds (3.4%; April: 3.7%), while outstanding loan growth was sustained at 5.0%. For households, outstanding loan growth was slightly higher (5.0%; April: 4.9%). This reflected the strong growth in loan disbursements (17.8%; April: 10.8%), with continued higher growth in loan repayments observed (9.1%; April: 8.5%). Outstanding business loans registered slower growth (5.4%; April: 5.7%), as loan repayments growth outpaced that of disbursements. Although the growth in loan disbursements moderated across most purposes, it remained elevated (20.8%; April: 37.2%; 2017-19 average: 5.0%). Adjustments in domestic financial markets remained orderly Global financial conditions tightened significantly due to expectations for faster and larger policy rate hikes by advanced economies, especially the US, amid higher and more prolonged inflationary pressures. Nonetheless, domestic financial market adjustments remained orderly. Notably, the 10-year MGS yield fell by 21.0 bps during the month, supported by foreign portfolio inflows into the domestic bond market. By contrast, regional bond yields rose by 24.5 bps on average. The ringgit depreciated marginally by 0.4% in May while the FBM KLCI declined by 1.9%, in line with regional[3] equities (between -0.2% and -3.7%) due to investors’ risk aversion amid the lockdowns in China. Banks remained well-capitalised to support economic recovery Capital ratios rose marginally in May, driven by valuation gains on available-for-sale financial instruments as bond yields eased temporarily during the period. As at end-May 2022, the banking system recorded RM121.5 billion excess capital buffers[4]. The resilience of banks continued to be underpinned by sound asset quality Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly stable at 1.6% and 1.0%, respectively. This reflected the marginal increase in impairments from the business and household segments, following the tapering of repayment assistance measures since Q1. Total provisions remained at prudent level accounting for 1.8% of total banking system loans and 109.1% of impaired loans. As of end-May 2022, total provisions and regulatory reserves stood at RM 40.7 billion (end-April: RM 40.2 billion). ________ [1] Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. It also excludes the estimated direct impact of tax policy changes. [2] Refers to outstanding loans of the banking system (excluding development financial institutions (DFIs)) and outstanding corporate bonds. [3] Regional countries include Singapore, Thailand, Indonesia and Korea. [4] Refers to total capital above the regulatory minimum, which includes the capital conservation buffer (2.5%) and bank-specific higher minimum requirements. Related Assets Monthly Highlights & Statistics in May 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 30 June 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
30 Jun 2022
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-May 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-may-2022-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-May 2022 Share: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-May 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Thursday, 30 June 2022 30 Jun 2022 In accordance with the IMF SDDS format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period. The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III and IV. As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD112,818.3 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to USD3.3 million as at end-May 2022. As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD6,224.9 million. The short forward positions amounted to USD11,321.1 million as at end-May 2022, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,203.9 million in the next 12 months. As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets are Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD401.6 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit. Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-May 2022, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable. Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (31 May 2022) Bank Negara Malaysia 30 June 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
09 Jun 2022
BNM steps up collaboration with banks and law enforcement agencies to combat new modus operandi by financial fraudsters
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/combating-financial-fraud
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Reading: BNM steps up collaboration with banks and law enforcement agencies to combat new modus operandi by financial fraudsters Share: 1.1k BNM steps up collaboration with banks and law enforcement agencies to combat new modus operandi by financial fraudsters Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1924 on Thursday, 9 June 2022 9 Jun 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) takes all forms of financial fraud seriously. All licensed banks are required to adopt high standards of security, particularly for internet and mobile banking services. This includes routine security reviews and advisories issued by BNM to financial institutions to enhance existing controls and ensure adequate protection against latest threats, while maintaining efficient services for customers. Fraud risk is constantly evolving, as scammers continue to devise more sophisticated means of defrauding the public. This includes new approaches of tricking bank account holders into revealing their banking details or installing malware on their devices. The financial industry and authorities therefore continue to remain vigilant against new modus operandi. BNM has been collaborating with Polis Diraja Malaysia (PDRM), Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC) and the financial industry to coordinate efforts in combating financial fraud and scam, and create greater public awareness on new fraud tactics. In addition to ensuring more effective preventive measures by financial institutions against new modus operandi, these efforts will also support the recovery of embezzled funds as well as timely and effective investigations by the relevant law enforcement agencies.   The public is advised to be extra vigilant in safeguarding their personal information and downloading files or applications from unverified sources onto mobile devices. Users of financial services also have an important role to keep themselves informed of emerging threats through advisories issued by financial institutions, BNM and other authorities, and taking precautions to protect themselves. Information on the latest threats and measures that individuals can take to protect themselves against evolving threats can be obtained from the Amaran Scam Facebook Page at https://www.facebook.com/amaranpenipuan/. Account holders who encounter suspicious transactions involving their bank accounts should immediately: Notify their banks; Contact the following numbers: The Commercial Crime Investigation Department (CCID) Scam Response Centre at 03-2610 1559/1599 BNMTELELINK at 1-300-88-5465This will facilitate immediate measures by CCID in coordination with BNM and banks to help protect affected accounts; and Lodge a police report to facilitate investigation. For cases of unauthorised transactions, BNM requires all licensed banks to ensure proper communication, as well as fair redress for customers who have taken necessary steps to protect themselves and have not acted fraudulently. All banks have been reminded to ensure that they provide the appropriate assistance and information to affected customers on protecting their accounts as well as the status of the banks’ investigations. Appropriate supervisory and enforcement actions will also be taken by BNM in cases where banks have not taken adequate steps to protect their customers or failed to comply with the relevant regulations. Bank Negara Malaysia 9 June 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
08 Jun 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 May 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-31-may-2022
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 May 2022 Share: 97 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 May 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Wednesday, 8 June 2022 8 Jun 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD112.8 billion as at 31 May 2022. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.7 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.1 times total short-term external debt.   [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 6.8 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the  article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27. Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 31 May 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 8 June 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
31 May 2022
Monetary and Financial Developments in April 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-and-financial-developments-in-april-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/7306093/i_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary and Financial Developments in April 2022 Share: Monetary and Financial Developments in April 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Tuesday, 31 May 2022 31 May 2022 Headline inflation increased to 2.3% in April Headline inflation increased to 2.3% (March: 2.2%), while core inflation was marginally higher at 2.1% (March: 2.0%). The increase in inflation was due mainly to higher inflation for food away from home, air travel fares, and repair and maintenance for personal transport. Continued strength in export growth Exports grew by 20.7% (March: 25.3%), reflecting continued strength across Malaysia’s export products. Moving forward, export performance will continue to benefit from external demand and global technology upcycle. In addition, high commodity prices and improving production will provide further impetus to exports. Nonetheless, the trade outlook remains contingent on the global supply chain disruptions and the military conflict in Ukraine. Sustained net financing growth in April Net financing continued to grow at 4.6%, supported by higher growth in outstanding loans (5.0%; March: 4.6%), amid some moderation in the growth of outstanding corporate bonds (3.7%; March: 4.6%). Outstanding household loan growth was sustained at 4.9%, reflecting steady growth across most purposes. Growth in loan disbursements during the month was slightly higher (10.8%; March: 10.2%) amid a pickup in loan repayments growth (8.5%; March: 3.2%). For businesses, outstanding loan growth increased (5.7%; March: 4.5%), reflecting higher growth in working capital loans (8.3%; March: 6.3%) as the growth in working capital disbursements outpaced that of repayments. Bond yields increased, driven mainly by external developments In April, global financial conditions tightened due to expectations of faster US monetary policy normalisation and higher investor risk aversion due to the military conflict in Ukraine. Despite spillovers to the domestic financial markets, adjustments remained orderly amid healthy average trading volumes. The 10-year MGS yields rose by 53 basis points, alongside higher bond yields globally. The FBM KLCI increased marginally by 0.8% due to improved prospects for the domestic economy as Malaysia transitioned into endemicity. The ringgit depreciated, in line with major and regional currencies, following foreign portfolio outflows during the month, as investors re-allocated their funds into safe-haven assets such as in the US. Banks’ liquidity and funding positions remain supportive of intermediation activities The banking system continued to maintain healthy liquidity positions and recorded a strong Liquidity Coverage Ratio of 156.7%. Stable funding growth, in particular of retail deposits, continue to support banks’ intermediation activities. The aggregate Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) stood at 119.0% as of March 2022. Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Overall gross impaired and net impaired loans ratios remained stable at 1.6% and 0.9% respectively. Banks continue to be prudent in loan provisioning to buffer against potential credit losses, with total provisions and regulatory reserves amounting to RM 40.2 billion (March: RM 39.8 billion). Total provisions stood at 1.8% as a share of total banking system loans and 113.4% of impaired loans. Monthly Highlights [PDF] Related Assets Monthly Highlights & Statistics in April 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 31 May 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights May 2023 Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined further to 2.8% in May May 2023 Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation moderated to 2.8% (April 2023: 3.3%). This decline was largely due to non-core CPI components, particularly lower inflation for fuel (-0.2 percentage points, ppt) and fresh food (-0.1ppt). • Core inflation also declined slightly to 3.5% (April 2023: 3.6%) amid lower inflation for communication services. 3.3 2.8 3.6 3.5 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 A p r- 2 3 M a y -2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) 1.6 5.1 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 1 Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector improved in May 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.0% as at end-May (April 2023: 3.7%), driven mainly by higher growth in credit to businesses (2.8%; April 2023: 2.5%). • Outstanding corporate bonds grew by 4.6% (April 2023: 4.4%), while outstanding business loans expanded by 1.6% (April 2023: 1.0%). The higher business loan growth reflected improvement in loans for both working capital and investments to SMEs and non-SMEs. • In the household segment, outstanding loan growth was sustained at 5.1% (April 2023: 5.0%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. Of note, household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.0% and 8.4%, respectively (April 2023: 6.8% and 8.0%). 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 4.5 4.2 3.7 4.0 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Index of wholesale and retail trade growth moderated in April Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded more moderately by 4.7% in April 2023 (March 2023: 9.4%). The lower growth was due mainly to the decline in the motor vehicle segment. • However, the retail segment continued to record a double-digit growth of 10.0% (March 2023: 13.8%), supported by sales in non-specialised and other specialised stores1. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index increased at a faster pace of 6.5% (March 2023: -0.9%). 1 Other goods in specialised stores includes clothing, footwear, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, watches, jewellery and optical goods. 10.6 9.4 4.7 -2 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 Apr-22 Jun-22 Aug-22 Oct-22 Dec-22 Feb-23 Apr-23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Monthly Highlights 2 May 2023 Domestic financial markets were largely affected by external factors Financial Market Performance in May 2023 -18.0 -0.5 -1.1 -3.0 -2.0 -3.4 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -20 -15 -10 -5 0 May-23 Apr-23 Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 1Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia • Global investors maintained a risk-off approach throughout May, as concerns over the impact of the US debt ceiling crisis and the weaker-than- expected rebound in China’s economy weighed on global financial markets. • As a result, the ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 3.4% (regional1 average: -1.2%). Similarly, the FBM KLCI declined by 2.0% (regional1 average: -1.3%). • Nonetheless, the 10-year MGS yields decreased slightly by 3 basis points, supported by non-resident inflows into the domestic bond market. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 151.2% (April 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.8% (April 2023: 82.1%). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.8 151.2 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.80% (April 2023: 1.78%) and 1.10% (April 2023: 1.10%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remained at a prudent level of 114.1% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.1 1.7 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio April 2023 Monthly Highlights Slide 1 Slide 2
Press Release
31 May 2022
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-April 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-april-2022-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-April 2022 Share: 16 Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-April 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Tuesday, 31 May 2022 31 May 2022 In accordance with the International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period. The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III and IV. As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD112,460.6 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to USD3.5 million as at end-April 2022. As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD6,294.7 million. The short forward positions amounted to USD9,081.9 million as at end-April 2022, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,259.3 million in the next 12 months. As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets is Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD401.6 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit. Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-April 2022, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable. Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (30 April 2022) Bank Negara Malaysia 31 May 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
23 May 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 13 May 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-13-may-2022-1
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 13 May 2022 Share: 131 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 13 May 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Monday, 23 May 2022 23 May 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD111.4 billion as at 13 May 2022. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.6 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.1 times of the total short-term external debt.   [1]  Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 6.7 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at bnm.gov.my/-/quarterly-bulletin-4q-2021. Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 13 May 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 23 May 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
23 May 2022
BNM Launches LKIM's 50th Anniversary Commemorative Coins
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/lkim-50years-coins
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Reading: BNM Launches LKIM's 50th Anniversary Commemorative Coins Share: 2.9k BNM Launches LKIM's 50th Anniversary Commemorative Coins Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 0900 on Monday, 23 May 2022 23 May 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia announces today the issuance of commemorative coins in conjunction with the 50th Anniversary of Lembaga Kemajuan Ikan Malaysia (LKIM). The coins were launched by Minister of Agriculture and Food Industries, YB Datuk Seri Dr. Ronald Kiandee in an event at Wisma LKIM on 14 April 2022. The commemorative coins will be issued in two denominations: 1. Coloured Sterling Silver Commemorative Coin (proof) The coin weighs 31 grams and is made of sterling silver with 92.5 purity. It has a face value of RM10 and will be sold at RM253 a piece. The mintage quantity is 1,000 pieces. 2. Nordic Gold Brilliant Uncirculated (B.U.) Commemorative Coin This coin weighs 8.5 grams and is made of copper and several other metals. It has a face value of RM1 and will be sold at RM13.20 a piece. The mintage quantity is 10,000 pieces. These commemorative coins are also available for sale in a Set of 2. Each Set of 2 is priced at RM308. Each set comprises one coloured sterling silver proof coin and one Nordic gold proof coin. A total of 1,000 sets will be available for purchase. Please refer to Appendix I for the detailed specifications of these commemorative coins. Coin design The design of the commemorative coins is as follows: Obverse The text "50 TAHUN LEMBAGA KEMAJUAN IKAN MALAYSIA” is shown on the left circumference of the coins. The image on the coins features an aerial view of a fisherman pulling his net. Filled with fresh fish from the blue sea (coloured sterling silver coins only), it symbolises his skills and experience and the bounty of Malaysia's water. Reverse The text "BANK NEGARA MALAYSIA”, as the issuing authority of these numismatic coins, is shown on the top circumference of the coin, with the official logo of LKIM's golden jubilee featured immediately below in the centre. The bottom segment features a 3D wave sculpture motif, symbolising the challenges and opportunities faced by the fishing industry. The text of "10 RINGGIT” and "1 RINGGIT” as the face value of the coins are shown at the bottom circumference. Sale of commemorative coins To provide a fair opportunity for members of the public to buy these limited‑edition coins, there will be a purchase limit of one Set of 2, one coloured sterling silver coin (proof) and up to five Nordic gold (B.U.) coins per person. Members of the public can place their orders at duit.bnm.gov.my from 10.00 a.m., Monday, 23 May 2022 to 11.00 p.m., Friday, 3 June 2022. Members of the public are advised to place their orders through the Bank Negara Malaysia online system and not with or through any other party or unauthorised ordering facility. All orders will be considered, and there will be no preference given to orders based on the order date and time. In the event of oversubscription, balloting will take place. Note: All prices are inclusive of 10% Sales and Services Tax (SST). Appendix I Technical Specifications Category Metal Alloy Face Value (RM) Diameter (mm) Weight (g) Mintage Quantity(pcs/ set) Price (RM) Single Coloured Sterling Silver (proof) Ag 92.5 10 40.7 31 1,000 253 Nordic Gold (B.U.) Cu89 Zn5 Al5 Sn1 1 30 8.5 10,000 13.20 Set of 2 Coloured Sterling Silver (proof) and Nordic Gold (proof) Ag 92.5 and Cu89 Zn5 Al5 Sn1 10 and 1 40.7 and 30 31 and 8.5 1,000 308 Note: Prices stated above are inclusive of 10% SST Bank Negara Malaysia 23 May 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
13 May 2022
Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the First Quarter of 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/qb22q1_en_pr
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/7121127/qb22q1_slides.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/7121127/qb22q1_en_table1.pdf
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Reading: Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the First Quarter of 2022 Share: 112 Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the First Quarter of 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Friday, 13 May 2022 13 May 2022 The Malaysian economy grew by 5.0% in the first quarter (4Q 2021: 3.6%) The Malaysian economy registered a positive growth of 5.0% in the first quarter of 2022 (4Q 2021: 3.6%). This was mainly supported by improving domestic demand as economic activity continued to normalise with the easing of containment measures. The improvement also reflects the recovery in the job market, with the unemployment rate declining further to 4.1% (4Q 2021: 4.3%), as well as continued policy support. Strong external demand amid the continued upcycle in global technology provided further lift to growth. On the supply side, services and manufacturing sectors continued to drive economic growth, expanding by 6.5% and 6.6% respectively. On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted basis, the economy grew by 3.9% (4Q 2021: 4.6%). Headline inflation moderated to 2.2% during the quarter (4Q 2021: 3.2%). This mainly reflects the smaller contribution from the dissipating base effect from lower domestic retail fuel prices last year, and the absence of the base effect from electricity tariff rebates implemented in 2020. Core inflation increased to 1.7% during the quarter (4Q 2021: 0.8%). This reflects price adjustments amid the higher costs and improving demand conditions, with price increases being more noticeable specifically for food items due to supply-related factors such as higher global commodity prices. Exchange rate developments The ringgit depreciated by 0.7% against the US dollar in the first quarter of 2022 (YTD as at 11 May 2022: -4.7%), broadly in line with the movement of regional currencies (1Q 2022: -0.8%; YTD: -3.4%). This was due to the broad US dollar strength, driven by higher US interest rates, global risk-off sentiment given the conflict in Ukraine and expectations of modest growth in China. High commodity prices and Malaysia's recovery prospects had also cushioned the downward pressure on the ringgit from these external factors. Going forward, while domestic financial markets are subject to periods of high volatility, spillovers to domestic financial intermediation are expected to be contained. Malaysia’s strong external position and resilient banking system enable the economy to withstand external shocks. Financing conditions Net financing to the private sector grew by 4.5% (4Q 2021: 4.7%) amid lower growth in outstanding corporate bonds (4.6%; 4Q 2021: 5.4%). Outstanding loan growth was sustained at 4.4%. Business loan growth moderated to 4.3% (4Q 2021: 4.8%), reflecting lower growth in outstanding working capital loans amid continued high repayments growth. Growth in working capital loan disbursements, however, remained strong during the quarter (21.2%; 4Q 2021: 32.8%) in line with the recovery in economic activity. For households, outstanding loan growth increased across most purposes (4.8%; 4Q 2021: 4.2%), with robust growth in loan disbursements (12.7%; 4Q 2021: 9.5%). This reflects the continued demand for loans among households, particularly for the purchase of houses and cars. Household resilience continues to be supported by sound debt servicing capacity and healthy financial buffers at the aggregate level, with lending underpinned by prudent underwriting standards and loan affordability assessments by banks. The Malaysian economy is expected to improve further in 2022 Commenting on the outlook for 2022, Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah said, “The domestic economy is expected to improve further this year, with growth projected at 5.3% to 6.3% as announced in March 2022. This is underpinned by stronger domestic demand, continued expansion in external demand, and further improvement in the labour market. Growth would also benefit from the easing of restrictions, reopening of international borders and implementation of investment projects”. Nevertheless, risks to Malaysia’s growth momentum remain. These include a weaker-than-expected global growth, further escalation of geopolitical conflicts, worsening supply chain disruptions, adverse developments surrounding COVID-19 and heightened financial market volatility. For 2022, in an environment of high input costs and improving demand, headline inflation is projected to average between 2.2% and 3.2%. Underlying inflation, as measured by core inflation, is also expected to trend higher during the year, averaging between 2.0 to 3.0%. Several key factors are expected to partly contain upward pressure on prices, namely the existing price control measures and the continued spare capacity in the economy. Nonetheless, the inflation outlook remains subject to commodity price developments, arising mainly from the military conflict in Ukraine and prolonged supply-related disruptions. The outlook is also contingent on domestic policy measures on administered prices. See also: Table 1: GDP by Expenditure Components and Economic Activity Presentation Slides (PDF) Press Conference Video Publication: Quarterly Bulletin First Quarter 2022Bank Negara Malaysia 13 May 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
GDP Q1 2022 Press Conference Slides Sidang Akhbar Prestasi Ekonomi Suku 13 Mei 2022 Pertama Tahun 2022 1 5.0 5.0 4.8 3.6 3.4 3.1 3.1 4.7 5.0 4.0 5.5 6.1 4.2 4.9 EA ID CN US SG KR TW 1Q22 4Q21 Real GDP Growth1 Global growth moderated in 1Q 2022 2 Note: 1) GDP for the fourth quarter of 2021 are advanced or preliminary estimates except for China, and Indonesia. Source: CEIC, National authorities, S&P Global, IMF. 56.0 46.8 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Composite PMI Emerging Economies Global Growth Developments • Growth recovery supported by economic re-openings • Global trade remained resilient despite headwinds from the military conflict in Ukraine and lockdowns in China. • Inflation in major advanced economies remained elevated due to high energy prices and re-escalation of supply chain disruptions, amid environment of tight labour market. 2022 Advanced Economies >50 = expansionary Annual change (%) 2021 The Malaysian economy registered a stronger growth of 5.0% in 1Q 2022 0.7 -17.1 -2.5 -3.3 -0.5 15.9 -4.5 3.6 5.0 -0.9 -15.1 18.1 -3.1 2.4 -0.8 -2.7 4.6 3.9 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 1Q-20 2Q-20 3Q-20 4Q-20 1Q-21 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 y-o-y q-o-q SA Real GDP Growth Annual Growth 2021: 3.1% 2020: -5.5% Annual change (%) Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia Factors supporting growth: Expansion in domestic demand Continued growth in external demand 3 Recovery in the labour market Continued policy support Monthly Real GDP Growth (%yoy) Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 2.7 6.2 2.0 4.3 5.2 5.4 Overall expansion in activities was mainly driven by services and manufacturing sectors Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia 3 9.1 6.6 4Q-21 1Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) 3.2 6.5 4Q-21 1Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) ManufacturingServices Agriculture Continued demand for semiconductors and consumer related products such as motor vehicles Higher leisure-related spending and business- related activities amid reopening of the economy Oil palm output disrupted by heavy rainfall 2.8 0.2 4Q-21 1Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) 4 -0.6 -1.1 4Q-21 1Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) -12.2 -6.2 4Q-21 1Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) Mining Construction Continued decline in output weighed by maintenance closures of oil & gas facilities Improvement in non- residential activities and implementation of small scale projects 1.6 6.7 4Q-21 1Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) Private Consumption Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia Private Investment Public Investment Public Consumption Net exports Spending driven by recovery in labour market conditions Smaller contraction in structures and continued robust M&E investments Improvement in gen. govt. fixed assets spending Higher growth in supplies and services spending Import growth (11.1%) outpacing export growth (8.0%) 4 3.7 5.5 4Q-21 1Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) 0.8 -26.5 GDP, Annual change (%) Higher consumption and investment activities Updated -2.8 0.4 4Q-21 1Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) -3.4 -0.9 4Q-21 1Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) 5 15.3 51.8 -15.4 -19.6 -1.4 3.0 40.5 -15.0 -20.1 -2.5 Current Account Balance Goods Services Primary Income Secondary Income 4Q21 1Q22 Lower current account surplus while foreign direct investment improved Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia 6 RM billion ▪ Lower goods surplus as import growth outpaced export growth ▪ Broadly sustained primary income deficit amid continued investment income accrued to foreign investors in Malaysia Current Account Foreign Direct Investment RM billion Current Account (% of GDP) 1Q-22: 0.7% 4Q-21: 3.6% 18.5 3.5 0.8 14.2 24.4 5.4 10.0 8.9 Total Equity Injections Debt Instruments Reinvestment of Earnings 4Q21 1Q22 ▪ Improved FDI driven by higher equity injections and larger inflows from debt instruments ▪ FDI was mainly channelled into the manufacturing sector and financial services subsector Updated Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia and the Social Security Organisation 7 Labour market improvements continued as economic activity recovers Private sector nominal wages Employment improved amid lower jobless claims and relatively sustained pace of hiring Wages in the manufacturing and services sectors continued to grow Jobless claims (thousand persons) Placement rate (% of retrenched workers) 3.4 -4.0 6.0 2.3 4.7 4.1 1.4 -6.4 0.4 -2.6 1.2 5.0 2.1 -5.6 2.4 -0.9 2.5 4.7 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 Manufacturing Services Private sector Annual change (%) Note: Private sector wages refer to wages of workers in the manufacturing and services sectors. Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 14.88 15.57 15.69 15.73 15.77 5.1 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.1 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 T h o u s a n d s Labour market indicators Employment (Millions of persons) Unemployment rate (% of labour force) 34.81 10.43 4.56 2.79 3.09 9 41 34 50 44 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Jobless claims and placement rates Growth to expand further driven by higher domestic demand Upside risks from external and domestic demand Downside risks from COVID-19, geopolitical conflicts and cost pressures 8 The outlook will continue to be influenced by potential risk factorsIn 2022, growth will be supported by continued expansion in global and domestic demand Key factors supporting growth 2022 5.3% - 6.3% Continued expansion in domestic and external demand Improvement in employment and income prospects Targeted policy measures Reopening of international borders ▲ Higher-than-expected global growth from faster rollout of boosters and anti-viral treatments, and additional policy support ▲ Stronger-than-expected improvement in tourism-related sectors amid reopening of borders ▲ Additional domestic policy measures ▼ Further escalation of geopolitical conflicts, worsening supply disruptions and further increase in price of commodities ▼ Heightened financial market volatility leading to tightening financial conditions ▼ Higher-than-expected cost and price pressures weighing on business and household sentiments, and labour shortages ▼ Emergence of severe, vaccine-resistant VOCs ▲ Better-than-expected employment and income conditions supporting household spending 3.2 2.2 4Q 2021 1Q 2022 Fuel (ppt) Price Admin ex Fuel (ppt) Core Inflation (ppt) Price-Volatile Items (ppt) Headline Inflation (%) Headline inflation moderated to 2.2% as core inflation increased to 1.7% during the quarter • Headline Inflation moderated due mainly to the dissipating base effects • Core inflation increased amid improving demand and the high cost environment • While price increases were more broad-based, CPI items recording above average inflation2/ largely driven by supply factors Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 1/ Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. 2/ Above average inflation is defined as annual inflation being 1 standard deviation above its 2011-2019 average. Headline and Core Inflation1/ and Contribution to Headline Inflation Headline inflation (%) / Contribution to headline inflation (ppt) 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.7 Q 1 -2 0 Q 2 -2 0 Q 3 -2 0 Q 4 -2 0 Q 1 -2 1 Q 2 -2 1 Q 3 -2 1 Q 4 -2 1 Q 1 -2 2 Core inflation (%) 9 Month-on-month price changes of CPI items Unchanged Share of CPI items (%) 21 14 14 10 13 12 33 46 50 63 35 31 46 40 36 27 52 57 2 0 1 1 -2 0 1 9 A v e Q 1 2 0 2 1 Q 2 2 0 2 1 Q 3 2 0 2 1 Q 4 2 0 2 1 Q 1 2 0 2 2 Price increase Price decline Headline inflation to average between 2.2% and 3.2% in 2022 2021 2022f 2.5 2.2 3.2 2 Core inflation is expected to average higher for the year, reflecting the improvement in economic activity and continued cost pressures Core inflation is expected to trend higher to average between 2.0% and 3.0% in 2022 Inflation Forecast for 2022 Headline inflation (%) 1 Households and Analyst Inflation Expectations Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates. The inflation outlook continues to be subject to global commodity price developments, as well as domestic policy measures on administered prices Core inflation (%) 2021 2022f 0.7 2.0 3.0 2.7 2.4 2022 2023-2027 Remains close to actual historical average over the long- term Households and analyst inflation expectations remain anchored Narrower spread indicates inflation expectations remain anchored Longer-term – short term spread of household inflation expectations1/, % Average of analyst inflation expectations, % 0.7 0.4 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Source: BNM Consumer Sentiment Survey and Consensus Forecasts. 1/ The spread of household inflation expectations refers to the difference between the 2-3 years ahead household inflation expectations and 1-year ahead household inflation expectations. 10 The MPC began reducing degree of accommodation amid firmer domestic growth trajectory Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) % May 22: 2.00% 11 OPR increased by 25 basis points to 2.00% at the May 2022 MPC meeting Firmer domestic growth underscored decision to begin reducing the degree of monetary accommodation This will be done in a measured and gradual manner, ensuring that monetary policy remains accommodative to support a sustainable economic growth in an environment of price stability Movement of the US Dollar Index and Exchange Rate against the US Dollar (%) Bond yields increased while domestic equity market declined marginally, mainly reflecting external developments The ringgit depreciated amid a broad US dollar strength, reflecting higher US interest rates and increased investor risk aversion Note: YTD data as at 11 May 2022 Source: Bursa Malaysia, Bloomberg, Insides 10-year bond yields (YTD change, bps) Equity (YTD, % change) 10-Year Sovereign Bond Yields and Equity Prices Note: YTD data as at 11 May 2022 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bloomberg Domestic financial market conditions tightened amid higher bond yields while the equity market declined marginally * The US Dollar Index (or DXY) is an index of the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies, namely EUR (57.6%), JPY (13.6%), GBP (11.9%), CAD (9.1%), SEK (4.2%), and CHF (3.6%). -17.4 -16.0 -15.3 -12.9 -9.0 -6.8 -2.7 -0.7 -0.5 3.3 3.6 U S C h in a H K K o re a J a p a n P h ili p p in e s T h a ila n d M a la y s ia U K S in g a p o re In d o n e s ia 87.7 114.1 141.1 180.9 UK Singapore US Australia -11.7 -8.6 -6.9 -6.7 -6.5 -5.1 -4.7 -4.0 -3.6 -2.7 -2.4 -1.8 8.5 -15.0 -10.0 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 JPY GBP EUR KRW TWD CNY MYR AUD THB SGD PHP IDR US Dollar Index* % change 102.4 129.6 138.9 Indonesia Philippines Thailand Countries which have raised interest rates Countries which have not raised interest rates 84.0 Malaysia 12 154.2 157.2 155.6 160.1 162.0 145 147 149 151 153 155 157 159 161 163 1Q 21 2Q 21 3Q 21 4Q 21 1Q 22 Total Liquidity in the System RM billion Malaysia's strong external position and sufficient liquidity have strengthened the economy’s resilience to withstand external shocks Malaysia’s healthy external position ensures limited spillovers to the domestic economy Note: Data on current account is cumulative for the year, net IIP as at end of year, reserves as at 15 Apr 2022 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Department of Statistics Malaysia Domestic liquidity conditions remain supportive of economic recovery 2020 - 2021 average: 151.6103.6 114.4 100.0 102.0 104.0 106.0 108.0 110.0 112.0 114.0 116.0 2019 Current USD billion International Reserves 52.9 53.5 52.2 52.4 52.6 52.8 53.0 53.2 53.4 53.6 2019 2021 RM billion Current Account Surplus -38.8 91.0 -60.0 -40.0 -20.0 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 2019 2021 RM billion Net International Investment Position 13 Net financing remained supportive of economic activity Net financing grew by 4.5% amid lower outstanding corporate bond growth and sustained outstanding loan growth Working capital loans continued to support business loan growth, with some further increase in investment loans Note: Data refer to loans from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), except for business loan by purpose (i.e. working capital and investment), which only include banking system data. Numbers may not add up due to rounding. * Excludes issuances by Cagamas and non-residents. ** ‘Others’ include loans for the purposes of non-residential property purchases, credit card, consumer durable goods and other purposes. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Household loan growth increased with higher growth recorded across most loan purposes 3.3 3.3 1.4 1.2 4.7 4.5 4Q 2021 1Q 2022 Outstanding corporate bonds* Outstanding loans Net financing Net Financing Annual change (%) / Cont. to growth (ppt) Outstanding Household Loan 22 4.8 4.3 7.4 6.3 1.4 1.6 1Q-21 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 Outstanding Business Loan Growth Annual change (%) Working Capital 6.0 5.3 3.2 4.2 4.8 1Q-21 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 Others** Personal use Houses Cars Securities Total Business Loan Disbursement and Repayment Annual change (%) / Cont. to growth (ppt) Overall business 32.5 31.6 19.6 27.9 25.1 20.5 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 Loan Disbursement Loan Repayment Household Loan Disbursement and Repayment Annual change (%) 14 Investment -24.0 9.5 12.7 1.2 -4.6 3.3 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 Loan Disbursement Loan Repayment Annual change (%) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 4Q21 1Q22 2017-19 quarterly average MSMEs continued to access bank financing in 1Q 2022 Financing to MSMEs expanded at a faster annual pace of 6.0% Strong momentum in disbursements and repayments *Excludes mining and quarrying sector (0.4% of total MSME establishments in 2021 and 0.001% of quarterly SME financing disbursements on average) Note: Banking system and DFIs Source: Bank Negara Malaysia and Department of Statistics, Malaysia Forthcoming disbursements broad- based across major SME sectors 79 8584 88 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 Repayments Disbursements Outstanding SME Financing % yoy SME Financing Disbursements & Repayments RM bn SME Financing Disbursements by Sector* RM bn 2017-19 quarterly average: Disbursement: RM75 bn Repayment: RM74 bn 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 8.0%83.8% 5.8% 1.9% Share of MSME establishments in 2021 10.0 6.0 3.2 4.9 6.0 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 15 1.77 1.83 1.90 1.83 1.78 Mar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 2015-2019 Average: 1.36% 132 129 138 138 133 Mar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 2015-2019 Average: 113% Banks remain resilient and well-positioned to support ongoing economic recovery …banks continue to maintain high provision levels to absorb potential credit losses Total Provisions, as % of loans Loan Loss Coverage Ratio2, % 1 Refers to the share of loans that have exhibited deterioration in credit risk, for which banks are required to set aside provisions based on lifetime expected losses 2 Including regulatory reserves * MFRS 9 - Malaysian Financial Reporting Standard 9 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia While credit risk levels remain elevated… Healthy capital and liquidity buffers against shocks and to support intermediation needs MFRS 9* Stage 2 Loans Ratio1 (%) 9.9 9.8 11.1 11.0 10.9 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 Mar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 2020 Average: 8.4% Dec-21: 19.2 Sep-21: 18.3 Jun-21: 18.6 Dec-21: 154 Sep-21: 154 Jun-21: 149 Total Capital Ratio, % Liquidity Coverage Ratio, % 151 Mar-22 18.2 Mar-22 16 Summary In 1Q 2022, the Malaysian economy grew by 5.0% mainly driven by consumption activities amid the recovery in labour market conditions. The outlook, however, is subject to risks related to emergence of severe VOCs, heightened geopolitical tensions, global financial market volatility and supply chain disruptions, leading to much slower economic growth. Growth in 2022 to be supported by strengthening domestic demand amid sustained export growth, and reopening of international borders. Updated 17 Targeted policy measures and assistance continue to provide support to vulnerable businesses and households. Headline inflation to average between 2.2% and 3.2% in 2022, while core inflation to trend higher as economic activity gathered pace amid the environment of high costs. Additional Information 20 Malaysia’s GDP expanded by 5.0% in 1Q 2022 Annual Change in GDP Growth by Component 1 Numbers do not add up due to rounding and exclusion of import duties component Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia 21 Real GDP (% YoY) Share, % (2021) 2021 2022 1Q 4Q 1Q Domestic Demand (Excluding Stocks) 92.7 -1.0 1.9 4.4 Private Sector 74.4 -0.9 2.5 4.4 Consumption 58.8 -1.5 3.7 5.5 Investment 15.6 1.3 -2.8 0.4 Public Sector 18.3 -1.7 0.1 4.8 Consumption 13.8 5.6 1.6 6.7 Investment 4.5 -18.5 -3.4 -0.9 Net Exports of Goods and Services 6.0 6.6 0.8 -26.5 Exports 69.1 11.7 13.0 8.0 Imports 63.1 12.2 14.5 11.1 Change in stocks, RM bn 1.3 -1.9 3.8 5.8 Real GDP 100.0 -0.5 3.6 5.0 Real GDP (% YoY) Share1 % (2021) 2021 2022 1Q 4Q 1Q Services 57.0 -2.3 3.2 6.5 Manufacturing 24.3 6.7 9.1 6.6 Agriculture 7.1 0.1 2.8 0.2 Mining and Quarrying 6.7 -4.4 -0.6 -1.1 Construction 3.7 -10.4 -12.2 -6.2 Real GDP 100.0 -0.5 3.6 5.0 Malaysia’s GDP expanded by 5.0% in 1Q 2022 Percentage Point Contribution to GDP Growth by Component 1 Numbers do not add up due to rounding and exclusion of import duties component Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia 22 Real GDP (Ppt contribution, %) Share, % (2021) 2021 2022 1Q 4Q 1Q Domestic Demand (Excluding Stocks) 92.7 -1.0 1.8 4.2 Private Sector 74.4 -0.7 1.8 3.4 Consumption 58.8 -0.9 2.1 3.4 Investment 15.6 0.2 -0.4 0.1 Public Sector 18.3 -0.3 0.0 0.8 Consumption 13.8 0.7 0.3 0.8 Investment 4.5 -0.9 -0.2 0.0 Net Exports of Goods and Services 6.0 0.3 0.1 -1.5 Exports 69.1 7.1 8.2 5.4 Imports 63.1 6.7 8.2 6.9 Change in Stocks 1.3 0.2 1.8 2.2 Real GDP 100.0 -0.5 3.6 5.0 Real GDP (Ppt contribution, %) Share1, % (2021) 2021 2022 1Q 4Q 1Q Services 57.0 -1.3 1.9 3.7 Manufacturing 24.3 1.5 2.1 1.6 Agriculture 7.1 0.01 0.2 0.01 Mining and Quarrying 6.7 -0.3 -0.04 -0.1 Construction 3.7 -0.5 -0.5 -0.2 Real GDP 100.0 -0.5 3.6 5.0 23 Financial account recorded significantly higher net inflow Sizeable net inflows in direct and other investment accounts more than offset net outflows in portfolio investment account *As per the IMF’s BPM5 classifications (i.e. directional basis) Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia; and Bank Negara Malaysia RM billion 2021 2022 3Q 4Q Year 1Q Direct Investment 8.0 10.5 28.5 20.8 Direct Investment Abroad (DIA)* -1.5 -7.9 -19.7 -3.6 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)* 9.5 18.5 48.1 24.4 Portfolio Investment -3.7 2.6 18.8 -10.1 Residents -4.9 -6.1 -35.8 -13.9 Non-residents 1.2 8.7 54.6 3.8 Financial Derivatives 0.7 -1.8 -2.3 0.2 Other Investment -5.2 -10.6 -32.0 19.6 Financial Account Balance -0.2 0.7 13.0 30.4 Higher FDI inflows amid lower DIA outflows Net inflows in other investment account Net outflows in portfolio investment Financial Account by Component Corporates’ external debt is mainly subject to prudential requirements 65.0 128.2 142.3 81.1 25.2 13.6 Total: RM455.4 billion Bonds and notes Loans Other debt liabilities Intragroup loans Trade credits NR holdings of domestic debt securities Subject to prudential requirements On concessionary and flexible terms Backed by export earnings Corporate External Debt Breakdown by Instrument (as at end-1Q 2022) Malaysia’s external debt remains manageable External debt amounted to 69.6% of GDP as at end-1Q 2022 (4Q 21: 70.0%) Banks are resilient to face potential external shocks 24 * Consist of deposit & interbank placements, bonds and notes, and money market instruments. ** Consist of short-term financial institutions’ deposits, interbank borrowings and loans from unrelated counterparties. 148.4 61.1 FCY liquid external assets FCY external debt-at-risk Source: Ministry of Finance Malaysia, Department of Statistics Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia Changes in External Debt by Institution (from 4Q 2021) Banks’ FCY Liquid External Assets* and FCY External Debt-at-Risk** 21.8 4.0 3.4 Banks Corporates Fed. Gov. Net change: +RM29.2 billion RM billionRM billion RM billion Adequate buffers to weather external shocks Sustained net creditor position… … and further supported by L External Assets Minus External Liabilities (1Q 21 – 1Q 22) p Preliminary r Revised Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia … with large net foreign-currency external assets … External Assets and Liabilities in Ringgit Versus Foreign-Currency Denomination (1Q 2022) 6.7 7.3 5.6 5.5 3.0 0 2 4 6 8 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 RM billion (LHS) % of GDP (RHS) RM billion % of GDP 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 Assets Liabilities Ringgit Foreign currency RM billion Sustained foreign income Continued current account surplus reduces external financing requirements Sufficient international reserves to facilitate international transactions … to finance 5.7 months of imports of goods & services and is 1.1 times total short-term external debt as at 29 April 2022 25 GDP Q2 2022 Presentation Slides. Sidang Akhbar Prestasi Ekonomi Suku 12 Ogos 2022 Kedua Tahun 2022 1 7.4 5.4 4.4 4.0 3.1 2.9 1.6 0.4 8.2 5.0 3.8 5.4 3.1 3.0 3.5 4.8 PH ID SG EA TW KR US CN 2Q22 1Q22 Real GDP Growth1 Moderation in global growth in 2Q 2022 led by major economies Note: 1) GDP for the second quarter of 2022 are advanced or preliminary estimates except for China, Singapore, Indonesia, and Philippines; 2) Inflation figures are aggregated across major countries based on their share of global growth Source: CEIC, National authorities, S&P Global, IMF, BNM estimates. 5.4 7.8 3.4 5.6 4.4 6.7 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Inflation2 Emerging Economies Global Growth Developments • High inflation amid elevated geopolitical tensions weighing on growth. • Lockdowns in China affected growth early in the quarter, but picked up as the economy reopened. • Moderation in goods trade following shift to services as most economies reopened. 2022 Advanced Economies Annual change (%) World 2 The Malaysian economy continued to recover with growth of 8.9% in 2Q 2022 0.7 -17.1 -2.5 -3.3 -0.5 15.9 -4.5 3.6 5.0 8.9 -0.9 -15.1 18.1 -3.1 2.4 -0.8 -2.7 4.6 3.8 3.5 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 1Q-20 2Q-20 3Q-20 4Q-20 1Q-21 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 2Q-22 y-o-y q-o-q SA Real GDP Growth Annual Growth 2021: 3.1% 2020: -5.5% Annual change (%) Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Factors supporting growth: Expansion in domestic demand Resilient exports, particularly for E&E products Continued recovery in the labour market Ongoing policy support Monthly Real GDP Growth (%yoy) Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 4.4 5.2 5.3 5.6 5.0 16.5 3 Services and manufacturing sectors continued to drive growth Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia 3 6.6 9.2 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) 6.5 12.0 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) ManufacturingServices Agriculture Strong demand for semiconductors and consumer-related products Higher consumer spending amid transition to endemicity, reopening of international borders, additional policy support Contraction in livestock and other agriculture production amid rising input costs and labour shortages 0.1 -2.4 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) -1.1 -0.5 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) -6.2 2.4 1Q-22 1Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) Mining Construction Higher production in oil and gas facilities including from the Pegaga gas field in Block SK320 Turnaround in activities supported by progress in large non-residential and small-scale projects 4 6.7 2.6 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) Private Consumption Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Private Investment Public Investment Public Consumption Net exports Stronger spending driven by labour market recovery and policy measures Improvement in structures and continued expansion in M&E investments Higher capital expenditure by public corporations Contraction in supplies and services spending Import growth (14.0%) outpacing export growth (10.4%) 5 5.5 18.3 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) -26.5 -28.7 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) Further improvement in domestic demand Updated 0.4 6.3 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) -0.9 3.2 1Q-22 2Q-22 GDP, Annual change (%) 3.0 40.5 -15.0 -20.1 -2.5 4.4 34.0 -12.3 -14.7 -2.6 Current Account Balance Goods Services Primary Income Secondary Income 1Q22 2Q22 Higher current account surplus while FDI remained encouraging Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia RM billion ▪ Smaller primary income deficit due mainly to higher income generated by Malaysian firms investing abroad ▪ Lower services deficit supported mainly by higher travel receipts amid international border reopening Current Account Foreign Direct Investment RM billion Current Account (% of GDP) 2Q-22: 1.0% 1Q-22: 0.7% 24.4 5.4 10.0 8.9 17.3 5.2 -3.2 15.3 Total Equity Injections Debt Instruments Reinvestment of Earnings 1Q22 2Q22 ▪ Continued FDI inflows despite outflows in debt instruments ▪ FDI was mainly channelled into the manufacturing sector and financial services sub-sector 6 Continued growth expected for the Malaysian economy underpinned by firm domestic demand, offsetting the expected moderation in external demand Private expenditure expected to drive growth, supported by improving labour market and recovery in tourism 4.4 -5.5 3.1 2019 2020 2021 2022f Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia, staff estimates Annual change, % Malaysia GDP Implementation of multi-year projects (e.g. MyDigital, ECRL, LRT3) Continued recovery in labour market Key factor underpinning private consumption Higher tourist arrivals Higher consumer confidence and lower risk aversion as travel activity continues to normalise to pre-pandemic levels Easing of supply chain disruptions Receding COVID-related disruptions and slowing global trade to lower pressures across global supply chains Moderation in global growth Slower growth mainly in advanced economies, particularly the US and Euro Area Key Factors Affecting Growth in 2H 2022 and 2023 EMR 2021: 5.3 - 6.3 2023 MY GDP Projections Annual change, % 4.5 4.7 World Bank IMF 7 8 14.9 15.6 15.7 15.9 15.9 15.9 5.1 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 19 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 Apr-22May-22Jun-22 T h o u s a n d s Labour market indicators Employment (Millions of persons) 34.8 10.4 7.6 3.0 2.2 2.4 9 41 46 46 46 44 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jobless claims and placement rates Updated Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and the Social Security Organisation Labour market continues to improve in tandem with stronger economic activity Private sector wages (Nominal) Continued expansion in employment amid low jobless claims and relatively strong pace of hiring Wages in the manufacturing and services sectors continued to rise, partly supported by the minimum wage hike Jobless claims (thousand persons) Placement rate (% of retrenched workers) Annual change (%) Note: Private sector wages refer to wages of workers in the manufacturing and services sectors. Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Unemployment rate (% of labour force) 3.4 -4.0 6.0 2.3 5.2 1.4 -6.4 0.4 -2.6 9.3 2.1 -5.6 2.4 -0.9 7.8 4.8 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 Services Manufacturing Private sector (Total) Real private sector (total) However, some segments continue to face various challenges Source: Bank Negara Malaysia estimates based on HIES 2019, Department of Statistics, Malaysia Lagged recovery in selected economic sectors Value-Added by Economic Sector 1H 22 vs 1H 19 (pre-pandemic), RM billion 1 Refers to share to GDP in 2021 2 Includes employers, own account workers and unpaid family workers 23.2 21.8 7.0 -2.8 -2.9 -5.1 -7.0 Biz and Other Services Mfg. Wholesale & Retail Trade F&B Accom. Agri. Mining Construction 80% of the economy1 20% Change in Employment 2Q 22 and 2Q 20 (crisis trough) compared to 4Q 19 (pre-pandemic), thousand persons Women Youth and Elders Low-Skilled Non-standard2 Workers 1 3 2 4 Certain segments have slower recovery in employment Crisis trough +141.2 +305.5 -209 -161.7 Women Men -64.1 +510.7 -160.9 -209.9 Youth and Elders Workers aged 25- 54 -109.3 +373 +183 -228.3 -201.5 +59.1 Low-Skill Mid-Skill High-Skill +153.4 +293.4 -61 -309.8 Non-standard Standard 9 3.2 2.3 2.6 3.3 4.9 2.4 2.9 1.0 1.2 4.6 5.0 2.7 World US Euro Area China ASEAN NIEs 2022 2023 IMF Growth Forecast for Selected Countries Annual Change, % Malaysia’s diversified exports will cushion weaker external demand going forward Weaker global growth outlook on account of slowdown in major economies However, Malaysia’s diversified exports would continue to support export growth Note: G3 includes the US, the euro area and Japan. Newly Industrialised Economies (NIEs) refers to Hong Kong SAR, Korea and Chinese Taipei. ASEAN excludes MY. Growth for NIEs and ASEAN calculated based on IMF’s latest available growth forecast and PPP-share of global GDP. Source: International Monetary Fund, Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Exports by Products and Markets (2021) % Share of Total Exports Markets ASEAN, 28% PR China, 16% NIEs, 12% G3, 27% ROW, 17% Products E&E, 37% Resource-based manufactured goods, 26% Mining, 6% Agriculture, 8% Non resource-based manufactured goods, 24% 10 Updated In particular, continued strength in E&E demand is expected to remain a key driver of exports Despite moderating global growth, exports remain resilient… …while firms’ adaptability helps to mitigate against disruptions Building inventory/ Buffer stocks (Advance bookings) Using alternative transportation mode (Air cargo and land trucking) Negotiating with clients to spread orders Diversifying supplier base * Includes Others Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Source: BNM Industrial Insights, news flows 18.2 44.0 15.7 29.4 22.0 30.0 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 2021 2022 E&E Non-E&E* Commodities Gross exports (% yoy) Annual change (%), contribution to growth (ppt) Gross Exports …supported by continued strength in E&E demand going forward… Industry Semiconductor Sales Forecasts Firms’ Proactive Measures 26.2 26.0 16.3 11.0 5.1 WSTS IC Insights 2021 2022f 2023f Annual change (%) Source: WSTS, IC Insights ’11 – ’19 avg.: 4.1% ’16 – ’19 avg.: 6.8% 11 Risks tilted to the downside mainly from weaker global growth and stronger price pressures The growth outlook however, remains subject to risks Updated Upside Risks Downside Risks 1. Stronger employment and income conditions 2. Strong improvement in tourism sector 3. Additional domestic policy measures 1. Deceleration in global growth 2. Worsening supply disruptions and further increase in global commodity prices 3. Acute labour shortages 4. Stronger cost and price pressures weighing on household spending and business activity 5. Disruptive financial market adjustments 12 1.1 0.9 2.2 1.9 2.3 3.8 4.0 3.3 4.6 4.7 6.3 6.1 8.0 6.2 2.2 2.5 2.8 3 3.8 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.9 6.5 7.3 8 8.7 9.2 China Japan Malaysia Vietnam Indonesia Korea Australia Philippines Singapore Thailand India EU US UK 2Q 2022 1Q 2022 Source: Bloomberg and Department of Statistics, Malaysia Inflation has substantially increased in many countries Higher inflation across countries (yoy, %) Note: Data until June 2022 Source: World Bank 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Feb-19 Jul-19 Dec-19 May-20 Oct-20 Mar-21 Aug-21 Jan-22 Jun-22 Index / USD per barrel Brent, USD/barrel June 2022: 120.1 World Bank Grains Price Index June 2022: 157.9 Rising prices of key commodities Global inflation Key commodity prices 13 The impact of exchange rate pass-through varies for different items and households Magnitude of exchange rate pass-through for selected fresh food items Source: World Bank and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates High global commodity prices have been the main factor driving food prices, compounded by stronger US dollar Ringgit movements are only one of the factors contributing to food price changes Other factors include logistics costs, labour costs, weather conditions etc. 1 2 Stylised illustration of wheat prices Wheat price (USD/metric tonne) MYRUSD exchange rate Jan-22 374.2 4.19 Jun-22 459.6 4.40 A) Global wheat prices B) Domestic wheat prices Jan-22 price RM1,567.9 Jun-22 price (excluding exchange rate movements) RM1,925.7 Jun-22 price (including exchange rate movements) RM2,022.2 Impact of rising global prices: +RM357.8 Impact of exchange rate movements: +RM96.5 Other factors of production also contribute to rising prices, while the impact of exchange rate movements vary across different items Increases in global commodity prices have been the biggest factor underlying rising food prices Indian mackerel 26% Apple 8% 14 Headline and core inflation edged higher to 2.8% and 2.5% respectively during the quarter Rising core inflation reflected improving demand conditions amid the high cost environment More CPI items recorded month-on-month price increases Note: Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Headline and core inflation Headline inflation and core inflation (yoy %) -2.6 -1.4 -1.5 0.5 4.1 2.2 3.2 2.2 2.8 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.7 2.5 Q 2 -2 0 Q 3 -2 0 Q 4 -2 0 Q 1 -2 1 Q 2 -2 1 Q 3 -2 1 Q 4 -2 1 Q 1 -2 2 Q 2 -2 2 Headline inflation Core inflation Month-on-month price changes of CPI items Unchanged Share of CPI items (%) 21 21 14 10 13 12 9 33 40 50 63 35 31 28 46 39 36 27 52 57 63 2 0 1 1 -2 0 1 9 A v e 2 0 1 9 Q 2 2 0 2 1 Q 3 2 0 2 1 Q 4 2 0 2 1 Q 1 2 0 2 2 Q 2 2 0 2 2 Price increase Price decline Note: Numbers may not add up to 100 due to rounding error Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 15 Headline and core inflation are expected to average higher in 2022 2 Core inflation is expected to average higher in 2022, as domestic demand continues to improve amid the high- cost environment Inflation Forecast for 2022 Average headline inflation (%) 1 Key drivers of inflation Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates. Average core inflation (%) Headline inflation is expected to trend higher in some months due partly to the base effect from the discount on electricity prices implemented in 3Q 2021 3 Upside risks to the inflation outlook stem from the strength of domestic demand, global prices and domestic policy measures 3.2 2.2 2.5 0.7 3.0 2.0 2021 2022f 2021 2022f 16 The MPC gradually adjusted the degree of accommodation amid positive growth prospects Source: Bank Negara Malaysia OPR was gradually increased by another 25 basis points to 2.25% at the July 2022 MPC meeting to reduce the degree of monetary accommodation amid the positive growth prospects for the Malaysian economy The MPC will continue to assess evolving conditions and their implications on the overall outlook to domestic inflation and growth Any adjustments to the monetary policy settings would be done in a measured and gradual manner, to support a sustainable economic growth in an environment of price stability 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Overnight Policy Rate, OPR % July 2022: 2.25% Historic low level of OPR Monetary policy continues to be accommodative 17 The OPR was adjusted amid an improving economy and demand conditions Economy continues on a recovery path and is no longer in crisis, and the unprecedented conditions that warranted the large monetary support have since abated The OPR adjustments would also pre-emptively manage the risk of excessive demand on price pressures Ultimately, the goal of monetary policy in Malaysia is to achieve price stability and sustainable economic growth over a longer term The gradual adjustments in the OPR are necessary to avoid the need for stronger measures in the future, which would be more disruptive to the economy Domestic growth will continue to be supported by firm domestic demand, amid better labour market conditions, recovery in tourism activity, and improved investment activity and prospects 18 -10.4 -6.7 -5.5 -5.2 -5.2 -4.6 -3.8 -3.5 -2.7 -0.1 6.5 -15.0 -10.0 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 JPY KRW THB PHP CNY MYR TWD IDR SGD Ringgit NEER** DXY 2Q 22 Since 1 July 22* 29.5 36.5 -26.5 52.9 58.7 -36.9 3.7 3.2 3.6 -60 0 60 120 1Q22 2Q22 Since 1 July** Malaysia Regional* Avg Volume (RM billion) Movement of 10-Year Sovereign Bond Yields bps Domestic financial market conditions continued to tighten in the second quarter *Change in DXY, ringgit NEER, and exchange rate against the US dollar from 1 July to 10 August 2022 **Ringgit Nominal Effective Exchange Rate ***Average 1M Implied Volatility Onshore for 2Q22 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Reuters US dollar continued to strengthen against ringgit and regional currencies. Ringgit has remained broadly stable against major trade partners. Domestic bond yields and equity moved in line with regional countries 19 Updated Movement of the DXY and Exchange Rate against the US Dollar (%) *Regional countries include Indonesia, the Philippines, PR China, Singapore, South Korea and Thailand. **Data from 1 July to 10 August 2022 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia, Bloomberg -16.4 -15.4 -14.5 -9.0 -9.0 -7.5 -5.1 -4.6 -2.3 -0.6 4.5 -25 -15 -5 5 15 U S K o re a P h ili p p in e s M a la y s ia S in g a p o re T h a ila n d J a p a n U K In d o n e s ia H K C h in a 2Q 2022 Since 1 July** Movement of Equity Prices (% change) Volatility*** 5.3 6.6 6.7 4.3 5.0 6.7 7.5 9.3 Malaysia’s strong external position has strengthened the economy’s resilience to withstand external shocks Current account remained in surplus Note: Data on current account is cumulative for the year. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Department of Statistics, Malaysia 107.6 116.9 109.2 80.0 85.0 90.0 95.0 100.0 105.0 110.0 115.0 120.0 2020 2021 2H July 2022 USD billion International Reserves 4.2 3.8 0.9 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 2020 2021 1H 2022f % of GDP Current Account Surplus 2,060.0 933.2 0.0 500.0 1,000.0 1,500.0 2,000.0 2,500.0 FCY Assets FCY Liabilities RM billion FCY denominated external assets & liabilities (as at 2Q 2022) Foreign-currency (FCY) external assets exceeded liabilities Adequate international reserves 20 Growth in net financing underpinned by bank lending Net financing grew by 4.9%, driven by higher outstanding loan growth Note: Data refer to loans from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), except for business loan by purpose (i.e. working capital and investment), which only include banking system data. * Excludes issuances by Cagamas and non-residents. ** ‘Others’ include loans for the purposes of non-residential property purchases, credit card, consumer durable goods and other purposes. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Outstanding household loan growth increased further amid higher growth in loan disbursements and repayments 3.3 4.0 1.2 0.9 4.5 4.9 1Q 2022 2Q 2022 Outstanding corporate bonds* Outstanding loans Net financing Net Financing Annual change (%) / Cont. to growth (ppt) Outstanding Household Loan Growth 22 Outstanding Business Loan Growth Annual change (%) / Cont. to growth (ppt) 5.3 3.2 4.2 4.8 5.7 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 2Q-22 Others** Personal use Houses Cars Securities Total Annual change (%) / Cont. to growth (ppt) Household Loan Disbursements and Repayments Annual change (%) -24.0 9.5 12.7 29.0 1.2 -4.6 3.3 13.3 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 2Q-22 Loan Disbursements Loan Repayments 1.3 2.4 4.8 4.3 5.5 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 2Q-22 Working Capital Investment- related Others** Total Business Loan Disbursements and Repayments Annual change (%) 32.5 31.6 19.6 26.6 27.9 25.1 20.5 23.4 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 2Q-22 Loan Disbursements Loan Repayments Business loan growth increased, supported by higher growth in both working capital and investment loans 21 MSMEs continued to access bank financing in 2Q 2022 Financing to MSMEs expanded at a faster pace of 7.5% in 2Q 2022 1 Investment-related purpose includes financing for the purchase of non-residential property, commercial vehicle, fixed assets (e.g. machinery and equipment), securities, and construction activity. Note: Banking system and DFIs Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 6.0 3.2 4.9 6.0 7.5 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 Outstanding SME Financing % yoy SME Financing Disbursements by Purpose 1 Financing disbursements surpassing pre-pandemic levels, in tandem with an increase in SMEs’ financing needs for working capital and business expansion RM billion 15 18 69 71 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 1Q21 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 2017-19 quarterly average: RM15 bn 2017-19 quarterly average: RM57 bn Investment Working Capital 22 9.7 11.0 11.0 10.9 10.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 12.5 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 1.83 1.90 1.83 1.78 1.79 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 2010-2019 Average: 1.73% Banks remain resilient and well-positioned to support ongoing economic recovery Banks continue to maintain provisions to buffer against potential credit losses Total Provisions, as % of loans 1 Refers to the share of loans that have exhibited deterioration in credit risk, for which banks are required to set aside provisions based on lifetime expected losses * MFRS 9 - Malaysian Financial Reporting Standard 9 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Credit risk remains elevated as relief measures gradually expire Strong capital and liquidity positions would continue to support intermediation needs Gross Impaired Loans Ratio (%) 1.62 1.57 1.50 1.55 1.65 1.30 1.40 1.50 1.60 1.70 1.80 1.90 2.00 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 12.5 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 Mar-22: 18.3 Dec-21: 19.2 Sep-21: 18.3 Mar-22: 151 Dec-21: 153 Sep-21: 154 Total Capital Ratio, % Liquidity Coverage Ratio, % 148 Jun-22 17.7 Jun-22 2018-2020 Average: 8.0% MFRS 9* Stage 2 Loans1 Ratio (%) 2010-2019 Average: 1.90% 23 Policy priorities should now also accord a stronger focus on longer-term policies to complement short-term measures Attracting quality investments to create high value added activities and high-income jobs, particularly for Malaysians Continued upskilling to develop a high-skilled workforce to match demands of the future economy and industry Accelerating automation and digitalisation efforts to improve competitiveness, increase productivity and reduce reliance on low-skilled foreign workers Enhancing social safety nets and improving the social protection framework through savings from a more targeted subsidy regime Advancing the environmental, social and governance (ESG) agenda to ensure Malaysia remains competitive globally, whilst also securing a more sustainable future Key Structural Reforms 24 Summary In 2Q 2022, the Malaysian economy grew by 8.9% mainly driven by consumption activities amid the recovery in labour market conditions. The outlook, however, is subject to risks related to weaker-than-expected global growth, heightened geopolitical tensions, global financial market volatility and supply chain disruptions, leading to much slower economic growth. Growth in 2022 to be supported by strengthening domestic demand and reopening of international borders, which more than offset moderation in external demand. Updated Policy support should also accord a stronger focus on longer-term priorities to complement short-term measures Headline and core inflation for 2022 are expected to average higher reflecting improvement in economic activity amid higher costs. 25 End of Presentation 26 Q&A 27 Q&A BANK NEGARA MALAYSIA 27 CENTRAL BANK or MALAYSIA Additional Information 28 Add. Info 1 Malaysia’s GDP expanded by 8.9% in 2Q 2022 Annual Change in GDP Growth by Component 1 Numbers do not add up due to rounding and exclusion of import duties component Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Real GDP (% YoY) Share, % (2021) 2021 2022 2Q 1Q 2Q Domestic Demand (Excluding Stocks) 92.7 12.3 4.4 13.0 Private Sector 74.4 13.0 4.4 15.4 Consumption 58.8 11.7 5.5 18.3 Investment 15.6 17.3 0.4 6.3 Public Sector 18.3 9.0 4.8 2.8 Consumption 13.8 8.2 6.7 2.6 Investment 4.5 12.0 -0.9 3.2 Net Exports of Goods and Services 6.0 57.6 -26.5 -28.7 Exports 69.1 37.1 8.0 10.4 Imports 63.1 35.5 11.1 14.0 Change in stocks, RM bn 1.3 15.2 5.7 11.8 Real GDP 100.0 15.9 5.0 8.9 Real GDP (% YoY) Share1 % (2021) 2021 2022 2Q 1Q 2Q Services 57.0 13.4 6.5 12.0 Manufacturing 24.3 26.7 6.6 9.2 Agriculture 7.1 -1.5 0.1 -2.4 Mining and Quarrying 6.7 10.6 -1.1 -0.5 Construction 3.7 40.3 -6.2 2.4 Real GDP 100.0 15.9 5.0 8.9 29 Malaysia’s GDP expanded by 8.9% in 2Q 2022 Percentage Point Contribution to GDP Growth by Component 1 Numbers do not add up due to rounding and exclusion of import duties component Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Real GDP (Ppt contribution, %) Share, % (2021) 2021 2022 2Q 1Q 2Q Domestic Demand (Excluding Stocks) 92.7 11.3 4.2 11.7 Private Sector 74.4 9.7 3.4 11.2 Consumption 58.8 6.7 3.3 10.1 Investment 15.6 3.0 0.1 1.1 Public Sector 18.3 1.6 0.8 0.5 Consumption 13.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 Investment 4.5 0.4 0.0 0.1 Net Exports of Goods and Services 6.0 2.5 -1.5 -1.7 Exports 69.1 22.5 5.4 7.5 Imports 63.1 19.9 6.9 9.2 Change in Stocks 1.3 2.0 2.2 -1.0 Real GDP 100.0 15.9 5.0 8.9 Real GDP (Ppt contribution, %) Share1, % (2021) 2021 2022 2Q 1Q 2Q Services 57.0 7.8 3.7 6.8 Manufacturing 24.3 5.9 1.6 2.2 Agriculture 7.1 -0.1 0.01 -0.2 Mining and Quarrying 6.7 0.8 -0.1 0.0 Construction 3.7 1.2 -0.2 0.1 Real GDP 100.0 15.9 5.0 8.9 30 Add. Info 2 Financial account of the balance of payments continued to record net inflow Continued net inflows in direct and other investment accounts offset net outflows in portfolio investment account *As per the IMF’s BPM5 classifications (i.e. directional basis) Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia; and Bank Negara Malaysia RM billion 2021 2022 4Q Year 1Q 2Q 1H Direct Investment 10.5 28.5 20.8 2.6 23.4 Direct Investment Abroad (DIA)* -7.9 -19.7 -3.6 -14.7 -18.3 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)* 18.5 48.1 24.4 17.3 41.7 Portfolio Investment 2.6 18.8 -10.1 -14.7 -24.8 Residents -6.1 -35.8 -13.9 -4.4 -18.3 Non-residents 8.7 54.6 3.8 -10.3 -6.5 Financial Derivatives -1.8 -2.3 0.2 -0.2 0.0 Other Investment -10.6 -32.0 19.6 12.5 32.1 Financial Account Balance 0.7 13.0 30.4 0.2 30.7 Continued FDI inflows amid higher DIA outflows Net inflows in other investment account Net outflows in portfolio investment Financial Account by Component 31 Add. Info 3 13.1 8.7 -5.0 Banks Corporates Fed. Gov. Net change: +RM17.1* billion Corporates’ external debt is mainly subject to prudential requirements 64.8 126.5 146.5 88.5 24.8 13.1 Total: RM464.1 billion Bonds and notes Loans Other debt liabilities Intragroup loans Trade credits NR holdings of domestic debt securities Subject to prudential requirements On concessionary and flexible terms Backed by export earnings Corporate External Debt Breakdown by Instrument (as at end-2Q 2022) Malaysia’s external debt remains manageable External debt amounted to 67.7% of GDP as at end-2Q 2022 (1Q 22: 69.6%) Banks are resilient to face potential external shocks * Consist of deposit & interbank placements, bonds and notes, and money market instruments. ** Consist of short-term financial institutions’ deposits, interbank borrowings and loans from unrelated counterparties. 146.6 76.8 FCY liquid external assets FCY external debt-at-risk Source: Ministry of Finance Malaysia, Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia Changes in External Debt by Institution (from 1Q 2022) Banks’ FCY Liquid External Assets* and FCY External Debt-at-Risk** RM billionRM billion RM billion * Inclusive of RM0.3 billion increase in BNM external debt (allocation of SDR) due to exchange rate valuation changes 32 Add. Info 4 Adequate buffers to weather external shocks Sustained net creditor position… … and further supported by L External Assets Minus External Liabilities (2Q 21 – 2Q 22) p Preliminary r Revised Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia … with large net foreign-currency external assets … 7.3 5.6 5.5 3.0 3.7 0 2 4 6 8 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 2Q22 RM billion (LHS) % of GDP (RHS) RM billion % of GDP Sustained foreign income Continued current account surplus reduces external financing requirements Sufficient international reserves to facilitate international transactions … to finance 5.4 months of imports of goods & services and is 1.1 times total short-term external debt as at 29 July 2022 33 Add. Info 5 2,060.0 933.2 0.0 500.0 1,000.0 1,500.0 2,000.0 2,500.0 FCY Assets FCY Liabilities RM billion FCY denominated external assets & liabilities (as at 2Q 2022)
Press Release
11 May 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 29 April 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-29-april-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 29 April 2022 Share: 480 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 29 April 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Wednesday, 11 May 2022 11 May 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD112.5 billion as at 29 April 2022. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.9 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.2 times of the total short-term external debt.   [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 6.9 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at Quarterly Bulletin 4Q 2021. Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 29 April 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 11 May 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
11 May 2022
Monetary Policy Statement
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-policy-statement-11052022
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Reading: Monetary Policy Statement Share: 9.9k Monetary Policy Statement Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Wednesday, 11 May 2022 11 May 2022 At its meeting today, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Bank Negara Malaysia decided to increase the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by 25 basis points to 2.00 percent. The ceiling and floor rates of the corridor of the OPR are correspondingly increased to 2.25 percent and 1.75 percent, respectively. The sustained reopening of the global economy and the improvement in labour market conditions continue to support the recovery of economic activity. These have partly cushioned the impact of the military conflict in Ukraine and the strict containment measures in China. Inflationary pressures have increased sharply due to a rise in commodity prices, strained supply chains and strong demand conditions, particularly in the US. Consequently, several central banks are expected to adjust their monetary policy settings at a faster pace to reduce inflationary pressures. The global growth outlook will continue to be affected by the developments surrounding the conflict in Ukraine, COVID-19, global supply chain conditions, commodity price shocks, and financial market volatility. For the Malaysian economy, latest indicators show that growth is on a firmer footing, driven by strengthening domestic demand amid sustained export growth. The labour market is further lifted by a lower unemployment rate, higher labour participation and better income prospects. The transition to endemicity on 1 April 2022 would strengthen economic activity, in line with further easing of restrictions and the reopening of international borders. Investment activity and prospects have also improved, underpinned by the realisation of multi-year projects and positive growth outlook. However, risks to growth remain, which include a weaker-than-expected global growth, further escalation of geopolitical conflicts, worsening supply chain disruptions, and adverse developments surrounding COVID-19. Headline inflation is projected to average between 2.2% - 3.2% in 2022. Given the improvement in economic activity amid lingering cost pressures, underlying inflation, as measured by core inflation, is expected to trend higher to average between 2.0% - 3.0% in 2022. Nevertheless, upward pressure on prices would be partly contained by existing price controls and the continued spare capacity in the economy. The inflation outlook continues to be subject to global commodity price developments, arising mainly from the ongoing military conflict in Ukraine and prolonged supply-related disruptions, as well as domestic policy measures on administered prices. Over the course of the COVID-19 crisis, the OPR was reduced by a cumulative 125 basis points to a historic low of 1.75% to provide support to the economy. The unprecedented conditions that necessitated such actions have since abated. With the domestic growth on a firmer footing, the MPC decided to begin reducing the degree of monetary accommodation. This will be done in a measured and gradual manner, ensuring that monetary policy remains accommodative to support a sustainable economic growth in an environment of price stability. Bank Negara Malaysia 11 May 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
29 Apr 2022
Five successful applicants for the digital bank licences
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/digital-bank-5-licences
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Reading: Five successful applicants for the digital bank licences Share: 8.4k Five successful applicants for the digital bank licences Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Friday, 29 April 2022 29 Apr 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) wishes to announce the five successful applicants for the digital bank licences as approved by the Minister of Finance Malaysia. A. The following applicants are to be licensed under the Financial Services Act 2013 (FSA): a consortium of Boost Holdings Sdn. Bhd. and RHB Bank Berhad; a consortium led by GXS Bank Pte. Ltd. and Kuok Brothers Sdn. Bhd; and a consortium led by Sea Limited and YTL Digital Capital Sdn Bhd. B. The following applicants are to be licensed under the Islamic Financial Services Act 2013 (IFSA): a consortium of AEON Financial Service Co., Ltd., AEON Credit Service (M) Berhad and MoneyLion Inc.; and a consortium led by KAF Investment Bank Sdn. Bhd. Three out of the five consortiums are majority-owned by Malaysians namely Boost Holdings and RHB Bank Berhad, Sea Limited and YTL Digital Capital Sdn. Bhd. and KAF Investment Bank Sdn. Bhd. All 29 applications received were thoroughly assessed pursuant to section 10 (1) of FSA, and IFSA[1], which require BNM to consider all the factors in Schedule 5 of the Acts and other relevant policy requirements. The assessment criteria cover the character and integrity of applicants, nature and sufficiency of financial resources, soundness and feasibility of business and technology plans as well as ability to meaningfully address financial inclusion gaps. Applications were assessed on their individual merits, as well as relative to other applications based on consistent evaluations of each assessment criteria. This horizontal review is based on the assessment criteria applied across all applicants to determine the relative strength of each application and identify successful applicants. Throughout the assessment process, BNM instituted strict governance and evaluation procedures to ensure robust, objective and consistent assessments across all 29 applications received. Four levels of assessment were carried out, supported by a cross-functional technical team, a review team and internal independent observers from BNM’s risk and legal departments. The final recommendations to the Minister were deliberated and endorsed by BNM’s Management Committee. Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah said, “Digital banks are expected to further advance financial inclusion. By adopting digital technology more widely for everyday transactions, we can significantly increase opportunities for our society to participate in the economy - by overcoming geographical barriers, reducing transaction costs and promoting better financial management.” “Digital banks can help individuals and businesses gain better access to more personalised solutions backed by data analytics. As businesses move online, digital banking also provides a safer and a more convenient way to transact,” she added. Following this announcement, the successful applicants will undergo a period of operational readiness that will be validated by BNM through an audit before they can commence operations. This process may take between 12 to 24 months. In line with the 5 strategic thrusts stated in the Financial Sector Blueprint 2022-2026, BNM will continue to work with the financial and fintech industries and relevant stakeholders to continuously enhance access to financial services throughout the country and across all segments of society.   [1] FSA and IFSA: Section 10. (1) In assessing an application duly made under section 9 to carry on any licensed business, BNM shall have regard to all the factors set out in part 1 and Part 2 of Schedule 5 and such other matters that BNM considers relevant. Bank Negara Malaysia 29 April 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
29 Apr 2022
Monetary and Financial Developments in March 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-and-financial-developments-in-march-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6982294/i_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary and Financial Developments in March 2022 Share: 4 Monetary and Financial Developments in March 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Friday, 29 April 2022 29 Apr 2022 Headline inflation remained stable at 2.2% in March Headline inflation was unchanged at 2.2% (February: 2.2%), mainly reflecting lower fuel inflation which was offset by higher core inflation. Core inflation[1] was higher at 2.0% (February: 1.8%), due to higher inflation in food away from home, jewellery, and other services for personal transport equipment. Wholesale and Retail Trade expanded in February The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) grew by 3.8% in February 2022 (January: 3.4%). The higher growth was driven mainly by the retail segment. Improvement in retail was broad based across most components, with the exception of retail sale of information & communication equipment (-3.2%; January: -0.8%). On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, growth accelerated to 4.9% (January: 1.3%). This was amid reopening of the economy and better labour market conditions, which had provided support to household spending. Net financing[2] growth moderated slightly in March Net financing grew by 4.6%, amid lower growth in outstanding corporate bonds (4.6%; February: 5.0%). Growth in outstanding household loans was stronger at 4.9% (February: 4.7%), reflecting growth across all purposes, as loan disbursements growth picked up (10.2%; February: 3.1%). For businesses, outstanding loan growth was lower (4.5%; February: 5.5%) amid lower growth in working capital financing. Nonetheless, growth in working capital loan disbursements remained strong (12.4%; February: 19.8%; 2017-19 average: 4.8%), despite some base effects from higher disbursements in March 2021. Domestic financial markets driven by tighter global financial conditions and geopolitical developments In March, global financial market sentiments were affected by faster-than-anticipated monetary policy normalisation path by the US Federal Reserve and the conflict in Ukraine. The corresponding broad US dollar strength during the month also resulted in a marginal depreciation of the ringgit. Domestic financial market conditions tightened, following the increase in 10-year MGS yields by 20.6 basis points, and the decline in the FBM KLCI by 1.3%. Despite the weaker financial market performance, adjustments remained orderly amid sufficient trading liquidity. Banking system remains well-positioned to support economic recovery Banks maintained strong capitalisation levels, with excess capital buffers[3] of RM125.5 billion as at March 2022. Capital ratios declined marginally, mainly driven by valuation adjustments on available-for-sale financial instruments amidst rising bond yields. The resilience of banks continued to be underpinned by sound asset quality Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly stable at 1.5% and 0.9%, respectively.  Banks’ provisioning levels remained high, as banks continue to be prudent, with loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) of 133% (2020-2021 average: 129%). Total provisions eased marginally to 1.8% as a share of total banking system loans (February: 1.9%).    [1] Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. It also excludes the estimated direct impact of tax policy changes. [2] Refers to outstanding loans of the banking system (excluding development financial institutions (DFIs)) and outstanding corporate bonds. [3] Refers to total capital above the regulatory minimum, which includes the capital conservation buffer (2.5%) and bank-specific higher minimum requirements See also: Monthly Highlights [PDF] Related Assets Monthly Highlights & Statistics in March 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 29 April 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights May 2023 Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined further to 2.8% in May May 2023 Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation moderated to 2.8% (April 2023: 3.3%). This decline was largely due to non-core CPI components, particularly lower inflation for fuel (-0.2 percentage points, ppt) and fresh food (-0.1ppt). • Core inflation also declined slightly to 3.5% (April 2023: 3.6%) amid lower inflation for communication services. 3.3 2.8 3.6 3.5 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 A p r- 2 3 M a y -2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) 1.6 5.1 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 1 Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector improved in May 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.0% as at end-May (April 2023: 3.7%), driven mainly by higher growth in credit to businesses (2.8%; April 2023: 2.5%). • Outstanding corporate bonds grew by 4.6% (April 2023: 4.4%), while outstanding business loans expanded by 1.6% (April 2023: 1.0%). The higher business loan growth reflected improvement in loans for both working capital and investments to SMEs and non-SMEs. • In the household segment, outstanding loan growth was sustained at 5.1% (April 2023: 5.0%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. Of note, household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.0% and 8.4%, respectively (April 2023: 6.8% and 8.0%). 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 4.5 4.2 3.7 4.0 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Index of wholesale and retail trade growth moderated in April Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded more moderately by 4.7% in April 2023 (March 2023: 9.4%). The lower growth was due mainly to the decline in the motor vehicle segment. • However, the retail segment continued to record a double-digit growth of 10.0% (March 2023: 13.8%), supported by sales in non-specialised and other specialised stores1. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index increased at a faster pace of 6.5% (March 2023: -0.9%). 1 Other goods in specialised stores includes clothing, footwear, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, watches, jewellery and optical goods. 10.6 9.4 4.7 -2 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 Apr-22 Jun-22 Aug-22 Oct-22 Dec-22 Feb-23 Apr-23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Monthly Highlights 2 May 2023 Domestic financial markets were largely affected by external factors Financial Market Performance in May 2023 -18.0 -0.5 -1.1 -3.0 -2.0 -3.4 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -20 -15 -10 -5 0 May-23 Apr-23 Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 1Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia • Global investors maintained a risk-off approach throughout May, as concerns over the impact of the US debt ceiling crisis and the weaker-than- expected rebound in China’s economy weighed on global financial markets. • As a result, the ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 3.4% (regional1 average: -1.2%). Similarly, the FBM KLCI declined by 2.0% (regional1 average: -1.3%). • Nonetheless, the 10-year MGS yields decreased slightly by 3 basis points, supported by non-resident inflows into the domestic bond market. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 151.2% (April 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.8% (April 2023: 82.1%). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.8 151.2 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.80% (April 2023: 1.78%) and 1.10% (April 2023: 1.10%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remained at a prudent level of 114.1% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.1 1.7 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio April 2023 Monthly Highlights Slide 1 Slide 2
Press Release
29 Apr 2022
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-March 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-march-2022-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-March 2022 Share: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-March 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Friday, 29 April 2022 29 Apr 2022 In accordance with the International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period. The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III and IV. As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD115,591.3 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to USD33.6 million as at end-March 2022. As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD5,703.8 million. The short forward positions amounted to USD8,988.9 million while long forward positions amounted to USD30 million as at end-March 2022, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,286.7 million in the next 12 months. As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets are Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD401.6 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit. Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-March 2022, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable. Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (31 March 2022) Bank Negara Malaysia 29 April 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
27 Apr 2022
Joint Statement by BNM and Securities Commission Malaysia: Accelerating the Financial Sector's Response to Climate Risk
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/jc3-7th-meeting
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/3770663/jc3_can_cgm_report_2022.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/3770663/jc3_report_sustainable_finance.pdf
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Reading: Joint Statement by BNM and Securities Commission Malaysia: Accelerating the Financial Sector's Response to Climate Risk Share: 96 Joint Statement by BNM and Securities Commission Malaysia: Accelerating the Financial Sector's Response to Climate Risk Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1806 on Wednesday, 27 April 2022 27 Apr 2022 The Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) held its seventh meeting on 26 April 2022. Discussions centred on the progress of action plans and priorities for 2022, and effects of recent global developments on transition efforts and policy responses of countries. JC3 members noted that these developments could heighten the prospects of delaying the progress of transition efforts, and underscore the need for the financial sector to strengthen its response to climate change. Key updates on the work of sub-committees[1] established under JC3 include: Contributed to the exposure draft by Bank Negara Malaysia on Climate Risk Management and Scenario Analysis which was issued in December 2021. The exposure draft sets out regulatory expectations on the management of climate-related risks by banks, insurers and takaful operators. This will complement the implementation of the Climate Change and Principle-based Taxonomy (CCPT) by financial institutions as well as plans underway by Bank Negara Malaysia to conduct climate-related stress tests for the financial sector in 2024. The exposure draft is expected to be finalised in the second half of 2022. Issued the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) Application Guide for Malaysian Financial Institutions in March 2022 for public consultation. The Guide outlines key recommendations and provides guidance to assist financial institutions in preparing for the climate-related disclosures. Commenced work to develop a Climate Disclosure Guide for Malaysian Businesses. This Guide aims to improve the quality of and access to information on business resilience to climate related risks, in turn promoting financial flows to mitigation and adaptation actions, including among small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Members also agreed to identify cross cutting and strategic issues stemming from the exposure draft issued by the International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) on Sustainability Disclosure Standards and consider providing a collective response, particularly from the perspective of a developing economy, to the ISSB. Completed the first series of specialised level training programmes for the financial sector -- covering the implementation and application of the CCPT, scenario analysis and stress testing. The next series will focus on governance and reporting, with accompanying workshops on data applications and the implementation of TCFD. Further progressed work on the development of a data catalogue for reference by the financial sector. The catalogue will identify and map available climate data sources to support the critical data needs for identified use cases that include investment and lending decisions, macroeconomic modelling, stress testing, scenario analysis and product development. Published the Report on the Sustainable Finance Landscape in Malaysia capturing key insights from the extensive outreach programmes and a survey on sustainability practices among financial institutions in Malaysia undertaken by JC3 in 2021. The Report, released today, assesses the current state of sustainability practices and product offerings within the financial sector, and highlights the opportunities and challenges for the financial industry to meaningfully support the climate transition. According to Datuk Zainal Izlan Zainal Abidin, Deputy Chief Executive, Securities Commission Malaysia and Co-Chair of JC3, "Financial institutions are initiating steps to embed climate risk in their strategy and risk management framework, and are making considerable progress in committing to Net Zero targets. There is also an increasing supply of green financial and investment products in the market. In driving the sustainability agenda, the top three challenges identified in the Report are poor data quality and availability, lack of incentives, and low awareness of green finance solutions in the market. Cohesive efforts are required in addressing these challenges to accelerate the pace of transition and support an orderly transition to Net Zero.” Further commenting on the progress of other initiatives by the JC3, Jessica Chew, Deputy Governor, Bank Negara Malaysia and Co-Chair of JC3, said “The issuance of the draft Application Guide and work on the data catalogue are timely as financial institutions are preparing for mandatory TCFD-aligned climate-related financial risk disclosures in 2024. We expect financial institutions to adopt the stretch recommendations set out in the Application Guide to encourage positive cascading effects on economic activities that interact with the financial sector. Given the significant financial impact of climate-related risks, this will also improve market transparency on how financial institutions integrate climate risk considerations into business decisions and risk management”. JC3 members also discussed the CEO Action Network (CAN) – Climate Governance Malaysia (CGM) Report on Exploring a Low Emissions Pathway for Malaysia, and considered further ways in which the financial sector can contribute to support a low emissions pathway for Malaysia, while noting that broader legislative and structural imperatives remain critical. JC3 members welcomed plans by the Value-based Intermediation Community of Practitioners (VBI COP) to deliver the third cohort of VBIAF[2] sectoral guides which will focus on the mining and quarrying, agriculture, transportation and storage, and waste management sectors. This complements the sectoral guides on six sectors/activities[3] already issued thus far. JC3 will continue to actively promote alignment between the VBIAF and the CCPT. At this meeting, JC3 members also welcomed the participation of two new members from the capital market[4] and three new observers[5] in the committee.   Bank Negara Malaysia Securities Commission Malaysia 27 April 2022 [1] Risk Management; Governance and Disclosure; Product and Innovation; Engagement and Capacity Building; and Bridging Data Gaps [2] Value-based Intermediation Financing and Investment Impact Assessment Framework [3] Palm oil, renewable energy, energy efficiency, oil & gas, manufacturing, construction & infrastructure [4] Kenanga Investors Berhad and UOB Asset Management (Malaysia) Berhad [5] Life Insurance Association of Malaysia, Employees Provident Fund, Khazanah Nasional Berhad   About the JC3 The JC3 is a platform established in September 2019 to pursue collaborative actions for building climate resilience within the Malaysia financial sector. The JC3 is co-chaired by Jessica Chew Cheng Lian, Deputy Governor Bank Negara Malaysia and Datuk Zainal Izlan Zainal Abidin, Deputy Chief Executive Securities Commission Malaysia with members comprising senior officials from Bursa Malaysia and 21 financial industry players as well as relevant experts. The JC3’s initiatives and priorities are undertaken by its five sub-committees, namely Risk Management; Governance and Disclosure; Product and Innovation; Engagement and Capacity Building; and Bridging Data Gaps. Members: Allianz General Insurance Company (Malaysia) Berhad, AmBank (M) Berhad, Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad, Bank Pembangunan Malaysia Berhad, Bank Pertanian Malaysia Berhad (Agrobank), BIMB Investment Management Berhad, BNP Paribas Asset Management Sdn. Bhd., Bursa Malaysia Berhad, CIMB Bank, Etiqa Family Takaful Berhad, HSBC Amanah Malaysia Berhad, Kenanga Investors Berhad, Maybank Berhad, MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Berhad, MSIG Insurance (Malaysia) Berhad, RHB Islamic Bank Berhad, RHB Islamic International Asset Management Bhd., Standard Chartered Bank Malaysia Berhad, Swiss Re Asia Pte. Ltd. (Swiss Retakaful), Syarikat Takaful Malaysia Am Berhad, UOB Asset Management (Malaysia) Berhad and Zurich General Insurance Malaysia Berhad. Bank Negara Malaysia 27 April 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Peluasan Ukuran Liputan Rizab Bagi Import – daripada Import Tertangguh kepada Import Barangan dan Perkhidmatan 27Buletin Suku Tahunan | S4 2021 27 Peluasan Ukuran Liputan Rizab Bagi Import – daripada Import Tertangguh kepada Import Barangan dan Perkhidmatan Salah satu penunjuk yang digunakan oleh Bank untuk mengukur kecukupan rizab antarabangsa ialah liputan rizab bagi import tertangguh,1 yang disiarkan setiap dua minggu. Apabila ekonomi berkembang dengan bahagian sektor perkhidmatan yang lebih besar, keadaan ini telah meningkatkan kepentingan import perkhidmatan dalam pengukuran kecukupan rizab. Dengan mengambil kira perkara ini dan selaras dengan amalan terbaik antarabangsa, laporan rizab antarabangsa Malaysia secara dwimingguan pada masa hadapan akan merangkumi penunjuk tentang liputan rizab bagi import barangan dan perkhidmatan, berkuat kuasa mulai 22 Februari 2022.2 1 Ditakrifkan sebagai import kasar ditolak dengan eksport semula. Import tertangguh purata 12 bulan boleh didapati daripada Sorotan Bulanan dan Statistik, Jadual 3.6.8 (Import oleh Pengguna Akhir; lihat Lampiran 1). 2 Bagi kedudukan rizab antarabangsa pada 15 Februari 2022. 3 Ditakrifkan sebagai import ditambah dengan eksport. 4 Daripada RM101.3 bilion kepada RM351.3 bilion, atau kadar pertumbuhan tahunan terkompaun (compound annual growth rate, CAGR) sebanyak 6.4%. Services tradeC1 0 100 200 300 400 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 RM billion Travel1 Computer and information Transport Manufacturing Other business3 Other2 Perdagangan perkhidmatanR1 0 100 200 300 400 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 RM bilion Perjalanan1 Komputer dan informasi Pengangkutan Pembuatan Perniagaan Lain3 Lain-lain2 Nota: Data sebelum tahun 2005 adalah berdasarkan garis panduan dalam Edisi Kelima Manual Imbangan Pembayaran dan Kedudukan ............Pelaburan Antarabangsa (BPM5) IMF. Data bagi tahun 2005 dan selanjutnya adalah berdasarkan BPM6. 1 Termasuk perbelanjaan perjalanan bagi aktiviti pelancongan. 2 Termasuk pembinaan, caj penggunaan harta intelek, perkhidmatan persendirian, kebudayaan dan rekreasi. 3 Perkhidmatan perniagaan lain termasuk perkhidmatan penyelidikan dan pembangunan, profesional, teknikal, berkaitan perdagangan dan ...perkhidmatan perniagaan lain. Sumber: Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia dan Bank Negara Malaysia Note: Data prior to 2005 are based on the guideline in the Fifth Edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position ............Manual (BPM5) of the IMF. Data for 2005 and beyond are based on BPM6. 1 Includes travel spending for tourism activity. 2 Includes construction, charges for intellectual property use, personal, culture & recreational services. 3 Other business services comprise research and development, professional, technical, trade-related and other business services. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia Pelaporan Bank berhubung dengan liputan rizab bagi import tertangguh telah diterbitkan seawal tahun 1990-an. Data bagi import tertangguh tersedia setiap bulan dan oleh itu sangat sepadan dengan siaran kedudukan rizab antarabangsa setiap dua minggu. Walau bagaimanapun, import tertangguh tidak merangkumi bayaran untuk perkhidmatan, yang telah berkembang sepanjang dua dekad yang lalu. Dari tahun 1999 hingga 2019, perdagangan perkhidmatan3 telah meningkat sebanyak 246.9%4 (Rajah 1). Hal ini disebabkan terutamanya oleh aktiviti pelancongan yang lebih tinggi serta pembayaran untuk perkhidmatan pengangkutan asing bagi perdagangan barangan. Selain itu, import barangan juga berkembang, sebahagian besarnya bagi menyokong aktiviti pelaburan dalam negeri dan pengeluaran barangan perkilangan. 28 Buletin Suku Tahunan | S4 202128 Prestasi Malaysia berhubung dengan penunjuk ini selaras dengan ekonomi serantau dan ekonomi yang setara.5 Data sebelum ini menunjukkan liputan rizab bagi import barangan dan perkhidmatan berada dalam julat antara lima hingga lapan bulan sejak tahun 2008. Paras ini jauh melebihi nilai ambang yang diterima pakai secara meluas iaitu tiga bulan. Hal ini menunjukkan keupayaan ekonomi Malaysia untuk bertahan daripada kejutan luaran. Penting juga untuk ditekankan bahawa penilaian kecukupan rizab tidak seharusnya berdasarkan semata- mata nilai muka penunjuk-penunjuk ini. Penilaian ini perlu dilengkapi dengan pemahaman yang mendalam mengenai kedudukan luaran, sistem kewangan dan dasar ekonomi negara secara am. Khususnya, rizab antarabangsa bukan sahaja cara untuk memenuhi obligasi luaran.6 Penilaian semasa menunjukkan kedudukan luaran negara7 disokong oleh asas-asas ekonomi yang utuh termasuk lebihan akaun semasa yang kukuh, aset luaran mata wang asing yang besar yang dipegang oleh entiti dalam negeri8 dan kadar pertukaran ringgit yang fleksibel. Rujukan Department of Statistics, Malaysia. ‘External Sector’, Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia, Putrajaya. Greenspan, A., ‘Currency reserves and debt’. Remarks before the World Bank Conference on Recent Trends in Reserves Management, Washington, DC, 29 April 1999. International Monetary Fund, (2016). ‘Guidance Note on the Assessment of Reserve Adequacy and Related Considerations’. Lampiran 1: Pengiraan liputan rizab antarabangsa bagi import tertangguh aSebagai contoh, untuk mengira import tertangguh setiap bulan bagi bulan Disember 2019, import tertangguh bagi bulan Januari hingga Disember 2019 dicampurkan (iaitu import tertangguh bagi 12 bulan secara berturut- turut). Jumlah ini kemudiannya dibahagikan dengan 12, bagi mendapatkan purata bulanan. Angka-angka boleh didapati daripada Jadual 3.6.8, kolum S MHS yang dikeluarkan oleh BNM. 5 Berdasarkan JP Morgan’s Government Bond Index for Emerging Markets. 6 Maklumat lanjut boleh didapati dalam rencana “Daya Tahan Malaysia dalam Mengurus Obligasi Hutang Luar Negeri dan Kecukupan Rizab Antarabangsa” dalam Laporan Tahunan BNM 2018. 7 Selain itu, turut diberikan penekanan ialah kedudukan hutang luar negeri Malaysia, termasuk hutang luar negeri jangka pendek, yang kekal terurus. Hal ini disokong oleh profil mata wang dan tempoh matang yang bersesuaian terhadap hutang luar negeri serta daya tahan keupayaan bayaran balik pinjaman oleh entiti dalam negeri. Hutang luar negeri dalam mata wang asing oleh syarikat-syarikat juga sebahagian besarnya tertakluk pada keperluan berhemat dan lindung nilai (rujuk penilaian terkini tentang perkembangan hutang luar negeri di halaman [xx]) 8 Berjumlah RM1.1 trilion pada akhir tahun 2021. PowerPoint Presentation Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) Report on the Sustainable Finance Landscape in Malaysia An assessment of sustainability practices and product offerings in the financial sector April 2022 1. Preamble 03 2. Results at a glance 05 3. Strategy and commitment 06 4. Governance and risk management 12 5. Green products and solutions 16 6. Climate disclosures 25 7. The way forward 28 8. Appendices 32 Contents Preamble Sustainability and climate change are important issues that financial institutions should consider given the significant risks they posed to the financial system. Given the huge contribution of the financial sector to the economy, the financial institutions play an important role in supporting Malaysia’s commitment to the United Nations' (UN) 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Agreement, including Malaysia’s aspiration to achieve net zero greenhouse gas emission by 2050, as announced at the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP26). At the regional level, several ASEAN countries have made national decarbonisation commitments at COP26 in line with the Paris Agreement aspiration. While the majority have pledged to reduce emission levels by 2030, only six out of ten ASEAN countries have committed to net zero with Malaysia being one of them1. In taking the climate agenda forward for Malaysia, the 12th Malaysia Plan outlines the nation’s path towards net zero emission by committing to a carbon neutral target by 2050 and the phasing out of coal power generation. The financial sector in Malaysia is guided by the respective blueprints and masterplans released by the regulators, including in addressing sustainability and climate issues. In September 2021, the Securities Commission Malaysia (SC) launched the Capital Market Masterplan 3 (CMP3) which serves as a strategic framework for the capital market to continue to support the economy as we transition into an inclusive and sustainable country. More recently, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) launched the Financial Sector Blueprint 2022- 2026 with the primary objective of facilitating an orderly transition of the banking system into a greener economy. As part of an initiative to support this agenda, the Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) launched a survey in November 2021 involving the financial institutions in Malaysia to understand and assess the current state of sustainability practices and readiness within the financial sector. It focuses on four key aspects of sustainability practices: ● Sustainability commitment and strategy ● Governance and risk management ● Green products and solutions ● Climate disclosures The report sets out the results of this survey and observations on the common issues within the industry. Based on the survey results, Malaysian financial institutions have demonstrated commitments on sustainability and climate issues. There have also been concerted efforts to embed climate risk as part of the risk management framework and governance oversight. There are also opportunities to accelerate the readiness of the Malaysian financial sector in furthering the sustainability and climate agenda further. A great deal remains to be done; however, we hope that this report will provide some insights on the common issues to be addressed in the industry, and the next steps forward for the Malaysian financial sector. 1 ASEAN Taxonomy for Sustainable Finance, November 2021, https://asean.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/ASEAN-Taxonomy.pdf 3 Survey overview The JC3 launched a survey in November 2021 to understand and assess the current state of sustainability practices and readiness within the financial sector.The survey instrument was developed and designed by JC3. The survey gathered feedback from JC3 members comprising the banking, insurance and asset management sectors. The results of the survey were then compiled and analysed for the purpose of this report. Number of financial institutions invited to participate Number of respondents* Survey questions categorisations Breakdown of respondents* 35 24 11 Banks 5 Insurance companies 7 Asset management firms 1 Others 4 Section A: Strategy and Commitments Section B: Governance, Risk and Reporting Section C: Asset and Liabilities Section D: Products and solutions Section E: Client Base Section F: Shareholder and Investor Engagement Section G: Critical Success Factors and Challenges *Note: The larger financial institutions responded to the JC3 survey at the Group level. Results at a glance 92% of respondents have a sustainability strategy in place, however only 42% have made commitments on net zero 73% of banking respondents have made some commitments to ban or phase out financing of coal related activities 83% of respondents have a sustainability framework in their organisation, however only 46% have reflected climate risk in their risk appetite statement Strategy Commitment Governance 88% of respondents offer sustainability products to their customers, and 92% plan to increase the number of sustainability products in the future 21% of respondents have a third party verification process on their sustainability reports 95% of respondents cited data quality or availability as one of the key challenges in driving the sustainability agenda Reporting Challenges Products 5 Strategy and Commitment 1 Malaysian financial sector’s sustainability journey Most financial institutions say they have strategies and governance structures in place to embark on the sustainability journey towards greener finance. Only a minority of the respondents state that they are still working towards putting a sustainability strategy in place. As sustainability became more imperative in recent years, more organisations and their stakeholders recognised sustainability as a strategic priority to capture business opportunities and address risks. Survey responses on sustainability oversight as part of the governance structure suggest that many banks are incorporating global sustainability frameworks and policies such as the Value- based Intermediation (VBI) principles, UN SDGs and Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI), among others with boards leading and working together with the senior management team in setting the right strategies, targets and frameworks. Has your organisation made any sustainability commitments as part of the strategy? Survey responses show that, based on the various sustainability frameworks, 79% of the respondents are aligned to the SDGs, 33% are aligned to the Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI) and 21% are aligned to the Principles for Responsible Banking (PRB). 91% 100% Insurance companies 86% Banks Asset management companies 100% 91% Do you have any sustainability frameworks in your organisation? 91% 60% 86% Banks Insurance companies Asset management companies 60% 91% 7 The financial sector is progressively making commitment towards net zero. Based on the survey result, about 42% of the survey respondents in the financial sector have made commitments towards net zero targets. This appears to be ahead of other Malaysian companies based on a recent study2 conducted which showed that only around 18% of Malaysian companies, across all industries, have made net zero commitments. It is important for organisations to set net zero targets, to ensure accountability and commitment to facilitate decarbonisation of the economy. Financial institutions should also adapt their business model and strategy accordingly as more and more stakeholders expects commitment on sustainability and climate. Please refer to the appendix on Box Articles A and B on the approach of Standard Chartered and Zurich on transition to low carbon economy. Commitment to net zero 92% of respondents have a sustainability strategy in place, however only 42% of respondents have made commitments on net zero. 2 PwC 25th Annual CEO Global Survey 2022 https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/ceo-agenda/ceosurvey/2022.html 8 42% 58% of FIs have made commitments on net zero of FIs have not made commitments on net zero Has your organisation made any commitments towards net zero target? Stance on coal financing The financial sector is committing to reduce coal financing. A collective response to address this issue has now become crucial. The financial sector, which is a key enabler of the economy plays an important role to ensure that the initiatives towards sustainability are achieved successfully. Our survey results show that 30% of the organisations from the banking sector have set plans in motion and commit to reduce coal financing. Most of the targets set are to cease coal-fired power plants and coal financing in the coming years and many have started to phase out new coal-related activities in the last year. On the other hand, insurance companies are planning to increase their green exposures by introducing new green products in their portfolio offerings although the majority are yet to set specific targets. While this is a start towards the journey, there is still a pressing need for these organisations to prioritise their focus to ensure they are able to achieve these targets by the set timeframe. “...Carbon emission intensity from the power sector is set to decline by 45% in 2030 and a further 60% in 2035, compared to the 2005 level, in line with Malaysia’s Nationally Determined Contributions targets under the Paris Climate Agreement.3” 3 MIDA, 2021, Malaysia aims 31% RE capacity by 2025 9 - Minister of Energy and Natural Resources https://www.mida.gov.my/mida-news/malaysia-aims-31-re-capacity-by-2025/ Challenges in sustainable finance Survey respondents cited poor data quality or availability, inadequate financial incentives and low awareness of green finance in the market as some of the top challenges faced in their efforts towards a sustainable finance market. Challenges: “Difficulty in deriving to optimal risk-reward profile as unlike interest rate & credit risk, there is no benchmark yet to measure environmental, social and governance (ESG) premium” Success factor: “Supply availability of ESG bonds/sukuks in the primary and secondary market” - Local insurance provider Challenges: “Readiness of external fund manager in terms of skill & consistent methodology (amongst others) in identifying and evaluating sustainable / green securities, consistent with the industry” Success factor: “we think better coordination and stronger policy integration will help address the conflicts among the various interests and priorities in the public and private sectors.“ - Local asset manager “ 10 Challenges: “Low awareness among SMEs, the Environmental and Social Risk Assessment (ESRA) checklist is technical in nature and medium-sized companies may not have access to subject matter expertise” Success factor: “Collaborative efforts with regulators and industry partners is essential to give impetus for the development of feasible industry standards and practices.” - Local banking institution The sustainable finance market in Malaysia has seen remarkable growth. While there are a number of ongoing sustainable finance initiatives, there are also various challenges that could prevent the efficient scale-up of this sustainable finance market. “ Out of these challenges, 67% of the respondents indicated that there are insufficient green/sustainable finance products on offer. How to resolve the challenges? Pushing the ESG agenda forward Our survey reinforces the view that the strategy and implementation plan within the financial sector is still at an early stage of development. Given the challenges faced, particularly in relation to the top three challenges on poor data quality or availability, inadequate financial incentives and inadequate awareness of green finance in the market, which are among the common problems most organisations encounter, there needs to be tailored and targeted approaches in resolving these issues. Survey results show that the banking sector is moving towards sustainability-centric initiatives, and making higher commitments towards financing green and environmentally sustainable activities. The banking sector is also putting more focus on introducing new green/sustainable products and offerings to customers by increasing public awareness and encouraging them to take on such products. Working together with the authorities and regulators, the financial sector can make greater progress in its contribution for a net zero future. Please refer to the appendix on Box Articles C and D on how BIMB Investment Management Berhad and BNP Paribas Asset Management Sdn Bhd are supporting the ESG agenda and the transition towards a low carbon economy. Next steps: ‘Implement Exclusion list and Environmental, Social and Governance Risk Assessment (ESG) and set ESG-related Annual KPI” Success factor: “Embedding ESG considerations into our strategies, business, operations and decision making” - Local financial institution Next steps: “Cascading of this information to fund managers so ESG would be one of the factors under consideration.” Success factor: “Available ESG bonds/sukuks meet the appetite i.e. credit rating, maturity, valuation, liquidity” - Local insurance provider Next steps: “Establish policy that is in line with our Group and parent company” Success factor: “Upskilling & Grooming in the Workforce - Upskilling to develop the skill of our staff and grooming them with the right knowledge and upskill their level of skills offering proper training to bring the best out of them.” - Local asset manager Please describe what are the necessary steps for your organisation to establish these commitments and targets, including key success factors and challenges. “ “ 11 Governance and Risk Management 2 Driving forces for change Most organisations are making progress in establishing a governance structure and oversight over their sustainability strategy. It is important for the Board to set the tone from the top in spearheading the sustainability efforts and vision for the organisation. Climate change risks continue to receive increased focus from investors, regulators, media and non-government organisations. A total of 71% of respondents from our survey reported that climate risk has been incorporated into their risk management framework. A further 25% of the respondents are currently at the pilot stage of establishing the process and framework while the rest have not started to integrate climate risk into their risk management framework (4%). While it is imperative that organisations have an established framework with a defined structure, it is also important that the governance structure is clear on the roles and responsibilities of the Board in making sure the organisation has an articulated strategic response to make an informed business decision. 92% of respondents have reflected sustainability roles and responsibilities in their governance structure Banking Insurance Asset Management Has climate risk (e.g. physical, transitional and other related risks) been considered into your risk management framework? 82% 80% 43% 13 The banking sector is relatively ahead of the insurance and asset management sector with 73% of respondents saying that they have reflected climate risk consideration into their risk appetite statement and risk consideration process. Embedding climate risk into sustainability framework 83% of respondents have a sustainability framework in their organisation, however only 46% have reflected climate risk in their risk appetite statement. Embedding climate risk into its counterparty ratings continues to be a challenge for many financial institutions. The top sustainability issues faced today are largely environmental in nature due to the impact of climate change and regulatory requirements. COP26 emphasises on climate risk being the greatest risk faced by humankind and the urgent need to tackle climate change together. Most respondents say that they are in the process of integrating climate risk into their risk management process including the identification of clients’ portfolio that are more susceptible to climate risk. 46% 54% have a risk appetite statement that makes reference to climate risk of FIs do not make reference to climate risk in the organisation’s risk appetite statement Does your risk appetite statement make any reference to climate risk? 100% 40% Insurance 57% 14% Asset Management Banking 100% 73% While all banks have a risk appetite statement, only 73% say that they make reference to climate risk. While all insurance companies have a risk appetite statement, only 40% say that they make reference to climate risk. Only 57% of asset management companies say they have a risk appetite statement and 14% say that they make reference to climate risk. Have a risk appetite statement Climate risk is mentioned in the risk appetite statement 14 There should be more focus on embedding climate risk into risk appetite statements It is important that the Board stays updated with current regulatory requirements and evolving risks vis-à-vis climate-related aspects. This is critical to ensure that the Board is able to drive the strategic vision in managing the organisation's climate risk. Another approach financial institutions can take is by clearly addressing climate-related risks within their risk appetite statement and develop relevant risk metrics to manage climate-related risks. Currently, over half (54%) of our survey respondents have not embedded climate risk into their risk appetite statement. When such targets are set, it will help the organisation to direct its focus to consider embedding climate change risks across the organisation, and think about ways to mitigate them in the long term. This would support the organisation’s vision in building resilience towards climate-related risk issues. This is aligned with BNM’s Exposure Draft on Climate Risk Management and Scenario Analysis which sets out the proposed requirements and guidelines on climate risk management and scenario analysis for financial institutions. The exposure draft complements the Climate Change and Principle-based Taxonomy (CCPT), Value- based Intermediation Financing and Investment Impact Assessment Framework (VBIAF), as well as the VBIAF Sectoral Guides. Risk management is critical in business resilience 4 BNM, 2021, Climate Risk Management and Scenario Analysis - Exposure Draft 15 Green Products and Solutions 3 ● Green bonds - Funding projects with positive environmental or climate impact ● Climate bonds - Financing projects needed to address climate issues ● Transition bonds - Funding decarbonisation strategies ● Low carbon ETFs - Instruments that invest into companies that meet low carbon emission criteria ● Private equity infrastructure fund - Unlisted, closed-end funds investing in renewable infrastructure projects ● Alternative financing - Alternative fundraising via equity crowdfunding (ECF) and peer-to-peer (P2P) financing Expanding green finance Green finance covers a broad range of products and services, which can be divided into banking, insurance products and asset management segments. The 'green' aspect in green products relates to investment or underlying assets that are environment-friendly, such as clean renewable energy projects or products that are designed to encourage or reward activities that manage environmental risks. To deepen the green finance market, the financial sector needs to focus on developing innovative financial instruments that will mobilise capital and investments into sustainable projects and activities. Green products and services Examples of products that have been observed in the global market: ● Microfinance - Financing instrument targeted at low income population ● Green loans - Lending to encourage market development in climate aligned sectors ● Green mortgages - Encouraging homeowners to purchase new energy efficient homes such as those with solar panel ● Green vehicle financing - Incentivise demand for green cars with low greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity and high fuel efficiency ratings ● Sustainability linked solutions - Incentivise positive change by offering access to preferential interest rates based on sustainability performance including ESG-linked Revolving Credit Facility (RCF) and ESG-linked Supply Chain ● Green motor insurance - Insurance incentives offered on motor vehicles that help reduce greenhouse gases emissions ● Green housing insurance - Facilitate use of renewable materials or energies in homes or buildings ● Green insurance for business - Insurance incentives for businesses that use alternative materials or energy i.e. Pay as You Drive to track miles driven in your car, installing “green” building systems and materials and coverage for “green” certified rebuilding ● Green technology - Insurance to provide risk protection for new green technology such as solar, wind-turbine, energy efficiency technology to help mitigate the risks associated with newly emerging technologies Banks Capital Markets Insurers 17 Tapping into the local green finance market Survey results indicate a growing trend of green products in Malaysia 91% of the banking sector have at least one or more green product / service offering. Green financing is among the most commonly offered products. 80% of insurance companies have some form of sustainability based insurance products while 71% of asset managers offer ESG related funds. Banking sector Insurance sector Asset management sector 18 Please refer to the appendix on Box Articles A, B, E, F and G on how Standard Chartered, Zurich, CIMB, HLB and RHB offer financial solutions in the market for climate- friendly activities. Key initiatives and incentives to drive sustainability in Malaysia E Environment, minimising the impact of an organisation to nature S Social, contributions by an organisation to promote fairness in society G Governance, processes for decision making, reporting and ethical behaviour 19 Initiatives to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) or other GHG emissions including: ● Green incentives and funding/matching grants for activities to reduce CO2/GHG emissions (e.g. RM12 million matching grant for research to enhance Light Emitting Diodes (LED) and electric vehicles (EV). ● RM1 billion fund to support small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in reducing their carbon footprint ● Setting up of Bursa Malaysia’s Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM) platform to support trading of carbon credits to help manage organisations’ carbon footprint Contributions to promote trust, welfare and equality in society, product safety and data privacy and security. For example: ● Funding/matching grants (e.g. RM1.1 billion fund for training/upskilling, RM6.6 billion to implement various Technical and Vocational Education and Training initiatives) ● RM7,000 tax relief for professional courses including ESG- related programmes Focuses on quality and scope of reporting and accountability. This includes tax transparency, for example: ● Management of fiscal affairs by the authorities (proposed Fiscal Responsibility Act, Tax expenditure statement), ● Tax compliance certificates A number of initiatives were announced by the government in the Malaysian Budget 2022. The following are some of the key initiatives in relation to the E, S and G dimensions of sustainability. 20 The Malaysian financial industry has demonstrated commitment towards national sustainability and climate change agenda through the mobilisation of financing for projects and activities that are aligned with environmental, social and sustainability objectives. In the sukuk and bond market, issuances of green and sustainability sukuk under the national Sustainable and Responsible Investment (SRI) Sukuk Framework, are gaining traction since the issuance of the world’s first green sukuk for the financing of a renewable energy project in 2017. The SRI Sukuk Framework was introduced in 2014 to facilitate the financing of sustainable and responsible investment initiatives in Malaysia. As at 31 December 2021, a total of RM8.3 billion of SRI Sukuk have been cumulatively issued to fund a wide range of green, social and sustainability projects, which include quality education, affordable housing, green building and affordable and clean energy. Out of the total issuances of RM8.3 billion, 72% (RM6.0 billion) were dually recognised under both the SRI Sukuk Framework and the ASEAN Green and Sustainability Bond Standards. In addition, RM1.6 billion of RM-denominated issuances have been issued cumulatively under the ASEAN Green and Sustainability Bond Standards in Malaysia . The issuers of these sukuk and bonds were guided and supported by Malaysian financial institutions that served as the Principal Advisers for these issuances. Expanding product offerings for sustainable development 21 Footnote: 1. The ASEAN Green Bond Standards were launched in 2017, followed by the ASEAN Social Bond Standards and ASEAN Sustainability Bond Standards in 2018. 2. Introduced by the Securities Commission Malaysia to strengthen Malaysia’s leadership position in the SRI fund market in the region, particularly in integrating the commonalities between ICM and SRI into investment products and solutions. In 2021, Malaysia’s first sovereign sustainability sukuk amounting to USD1.3 billion was issued in alignment with the ASEAN Sustainability Bond Standards. This issuance is also recognised as the world’s first US dollar sustainability sukuk issued by a sovereign, where proceeds are being used for eligible social and green projects aligned to the SDGs. Such offering provides a strong signal of the Malaysian government’s commitment towards the sustainability agenda. As at 31 December 2021, the total issuances of bonds and sukuk labelled under the ASEAN Green, Social and Sustainability Bond Standards amounted to USD20.9 billion since the release of these standards, of which 18% came from Malaysia. This includes CIMB Bank Berhad’s issuance of its USD680 million SDG Bond that was aligned with the ASEAN Sustainability Bond Standards. Within the fund management space, there has been steady growth of SRI funds since the Guidelines on SRI Funds were introduced in 2017. As at 31 December 2021, there were 34 SRI funds offered in Malaysia, which comprised 22 unit trust funds and 12 wholesale funds with a total net asset value (NAV) of RM5.07 billion, thereby offering investment options that are aligned with environmental, social and sustainability objectives to individual and institutional investors. Out of these SRI funds offered, 16 are also Shariah-compliant. The Malaysian fund management industry has also leveraged on the SC’s Waqf-Featured Fund Framework (framework) to provide the public access to Islamic funds that allocate whole or part of the funds’ returns towards socially impactful activities via waqf arrangement. To date, four Waqf-featured funds have been issued since the launch of the framework in November 2020. To further grow this segment and attract more investors, fund managers need to introduce more innovative SRI fund products, including funds that focus on key investment themes such as climate change, social inclusion, etc. While there has been encouraging growth in the introduction of green and sustainability sukuk and bonds and qualified SRI funds, the Malaysian financial industry has to continuously enhance its capabilities to meet the needs of the market for sustainable investment products and innovative product structures that can support Malaysia’s transition to a low-carbon economy. Expanding product offerings for sustainable development (cont’d) SRI Sukuk and Bond Grant Scheme To incentivise and encourage more issuers to finance green, social and sustainability projects through sukuk issued under the SC’s SRI Sukuk Framework or bonds issued in Malaysia under the ASEAN Green, Social and Sustainability Bond Standards. OBJECTIVE ELIGIBILITY FOR ISSUANCES THAT QUALIFY FOR THE SRI SUKUK AND BOND GRANT SCHEME ● Green SRI sukuk issuances made under the SC’s SRI Sukuk Framework from July 2017 onwards ● Social sustainability or other SRI sukuk issuances made under the SC’s SRI Sukuk Framework from 25 August 2020 onwards ● Bond issuances made under the ASEAN Green Bond Standards, ASEAN Social Bond Standards or ASEAN Sustainability Bond Standards from 29 October 2020 onwards www.sc.com.my | www.capitalmarketsmalaysia.com APPLICATION PERIOD FOR THE SRI SUKUK AND BOND GRANT SCHEME From January 2021 until fully utilised CLAIM CLAIM AMOUNT TAX INCENTIVE Issuer can claim for the Grant based on an issue or programme 90% of the actual external review cost subject to a maximum of RM300,000 Income tax exemption for the recipient of the SRI Sukuk and Bond Grant Scheme from Year of Assessment (YA) 2021 until YA 2025 22 SRI - Sustainable and Responsible Investment Securities Commission Malaysia (SC) has established the SRI Sukuk and Bond Grant Scheme to encourage and grow the SRI sukuk and bond segment further. http://www.sc.com.my Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) has established a Low Carbon Transition Facility RM2 billion as part of a joint effort with participating financial institutions to support and encourage SMEs to adopt sustainable practices for business resilience. This initiative is in line with Malaysia’s national target to achieve a net-zero emission by 2050. 23 BNM’s Fund for SMEs: Low Carbon Transition Facility (LCTF) BNM’s Low Carbon Transition Facility is established to support SMEs in adopting sustainable and low carbon practices. The type of businesses suitable to apply for this facility The Low Carbon Transition Facility is open for SMEs in all sectors that are committed to transform their business operations towards low carbon operations. This includes improving energy efficiency, increasing the use of sustainable material for production and obtaining sustainability certification. All applications should be made directly with the participating financials to reduce risk of financial scams. No third party agents are being employed by participating financial institutions for the purpose of this facility. Objective Encourage and support SMEs to adopt sustainable practices for business resilience Special feature Participating financial institutions to provide financing on a matching basis Size RM2 billion [RM1 billion at location from Bank Negara Malaysia + RM1 billion from participating financial institutions (matching basis)] Eligibility Criteria SMEs in all sectors Purpose of financing To fund capital expenditure or working capital to initiate or facilitate the transition to low carbon and sustainable operations Tenure Up to 10 years Financing size per SME Maximum RM10 million Financing rate to SMEs Maximum financing rate of 5.0% p.a., inclusive of guarantee fee (if any) Guarantee Guarantee schemes by Credit Guarantee Corporation Malaysia Berhad (CGC) / Syarikat Jaminan Pembiayaan Perniagaan Berhad (SJPP) Availability 3 February 2022 until fully utilisation Low Carbon Transition Facility (LCTF) For more information Contact the participating financial institutions’ customer service centre Log on to participating financial institutions’ website bnm.gov.my/sme-financing An initiative by: Credit Guarantee Providers: Financing size per SME Maximum RM10 million Financing Rate to SMEs Maximum financing rate of 5% p.a. Inclusive of guarantee fee (if any) Tenure Up to 10 years 5 BCG, 2021, Securing Our Future: Net Zero Pathways for Malaysia Financial institutions are starting to think about the business opportunities created by climate change. Most of the respondents from the survey have undertaken initial analysis to understand the impact of climate change on their business lines, products and portfolios. A total of 92% of respondents are considering how climate change could create opportunities and are currently planning to increase the number of green or sustainable products and solutions in the coming future with strategic considerations and new opportunities to engage with clients on climate-related issues. Sustainable marketplace is growing 88% of the respondents say that they are currently offering green or sustainable products and / or solutions. Towards greener financing From the survey results, many respondents say their customers express interest in green products and services. Indeed, some studies have suggested that between RM300 to RM500 billion worth of investments are needed until 2050 to achieve Malaysia’s net zero target5. Even though 88% of respondents say that they are currently offering green or sustainable products and solutions, 67% indicated that there is a challenge in terms of the breadth of green/sustainable financial products on offer. Based on discussions and feedback from the JC3 members, one of the key challenges faced by financial institutions is insufficient overall awareness of green products, financial incentives and talents. Please refer to Section 5 on the potential steps that could be taken as a way forward. Additionally, please also refer to the appendix for the Box Article H on how Swiss Re conducts knowledge sharing sessions for its Malaysian clients on sustainability topics and the transition towards innovative green products. 24 Climate Disclosures 4 Increasing adoption of sustainability reporting frameworks 79% say they have either fully or partially adopted at least one sustainability reporting framework Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) Task Force on Climate- Related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) Climate Change and Principle-based Taxonomy (CCPT) Integrated Reporting 37%29% 13% 21% eeeeeeeeee17% 21% 50% 32%13% 13% 42% 41%21% 13% 25% Adoption of frameworks by the FIs Fully adopted Partially adopted Plan to adopt No plans to adopt 91% of banks say that they have fully or partially adopted at least one sustainability reporting framework Banking 82% of banks say that they plan to adopt at least another framework, in addition to their existing sustainability reporting frameworks 71% of asset managers that they have fully or partially adopted at least one sustainability reporting framework Asset Management 29% of asset managers say that they plan to adopt at least another framework, in addition to their existing sustainability reporting frameworks 60% of insurers say that they have fully or partially adopted at least one sustainability reporting framework Insurance 80% of insurers say that they plan to adopt at least another framework, in addition to their existing sustainability reporting frameworks 26 12% Sustainability report helps stakeholders better understand the impact of business decisions made and the actions taken towards a sustainable business practice. Our survey shows that 29% of respondents have adopted the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) framework, while there is a potential growth on the adoption of Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) with 50% of respondents saying that they have plans to adopt TCFD in the coming future. Disclosures on sustainability reporting Our survey suggests that interactions with customers help to highlight areas that most respondents need to pay attention to. Only 50% of the respondents said that they have established a methodology to identify customers who are more susceptible to climate change. It is observed that the bigger financial institutions have already started evaluating and engaging with clients on climate-related issues, including their approach to manage climate change risks. When asked if the financial institutions have third party verification on their sustainability reporting process, only 21% stated that they have conducted independent assurance assessment. Investors and stakeholders would have more confidence in the information reported when it has been independently assured. Third party verification provides a reasonable assurance level for the stakeholders as assurers have experience in conducting the work using a recognised assurance standard. This allows the stakeholders to find value in the assurance reports and find out if there is something they need to be aware of. Most institutions have a sustainability strategy and framework in place. Majority are in the budding stage of sustainability reporting. However, only 21% state that they have third party verification on their sustainability reporting process. Independent assurance on sustainability reports promotes the integrity and credibility of disclosures in order to build trust among stakeholders and investors while providing transparency. Financial institutions should think about disclosures in a holistic manner, to help address challenges and refine the processes for data gathering while enhancing climate metrics to establish a more comprehensive framework over time. 27% 20% 17% 27 The way forward 5 Next steps forward 29 There has been a lot of encouraging progress in the sustainability journey in the Malaysian financial sector so far. This also comes with a set of challenges on its own and there is still much that can be done as part of the transition to a greener economy. The following sets out some of the thematic initiatives that financial institutions can consider when furthering this agenda. Strengthen governance and risk management framework over climate risk The survey results indicated that 92% of the respondents have reflected sustainability roles and responsibilities in their governance structure. Governance framework is important to enable effective oversight into climate risk and sustainability issues by the Board and senior management. As such, there is increasing need and proposition for the establishment of a dedicated sustainability function within the financial institutions, and designating the relevant ESG roles. From the survey results, we noted that 29% of respondents have not yet considered climate risk as part of their risk management framework while more than half of the respondents (54%) have not yet embedded climate risk considerations into their risk appetite statement. This is an area of importance as financial institutions need to assess climate risk on their business strategy and adapt accordingly within this new paradigm. In addition, the industry can also benefit from further applications of risk management tools such as stress testing and scenario analysis (refer to JC3 Application and Reference Guides on Climate Risk Management and Scenario Analysis) to facilitate further analysis and insights into this area. Embed strategy and commitments Even though the majority of survey respondents indicated that they have a sustainability strategy (92%) and framework (83%) in place, however, more than half of the respondents (58%) have not yet made any commitment towards the net zero target. This commitment is important if we want to decarbonise the economy and move towards net zero. Given the key role of the financial sector in our economy, it is more important than ever for the industry to take a lead on this issue and set the right tone in the economy. In addition, sustainability issues is not just about responding to risks, but also about recognising the opportunity that it presents and adapting to this new paradigm. As such it is important for the financial institutions to set and announce respective climate targets, in line with Malaysia’s commitment to achieve net zero GHG emission by 2050, as well as to continue aligning its strategy towards this agenda. Next steps forward (cont’d) 30 Widen the range of innovative products From the survey results about 67% of respondents agreed that there is currently inadequate number of green/sustainable financial products in the local market. It is important to increase the breadth of green products to cater to market demands from customers and investors. Moving forward, there needs to be further investments, including in new technologies, development of sustainable investment methodologies and skill sets, to enhance internal capabilities and readiness of the financial institutions to offer innovative products into the market. In addition, financial institutions should consider and explore collaboration with multilateral development banks/agencies in providing blended financing for green projects. Furthermore, the industry is encouraged to engage and understand the financing needs of corporates and SMEs to enable them to offer suitable financing spectrum, including for sustainable supply chain financing and alternative financing. Stronger disclosure framework and verification Reporting framework is an important component of the sustainability agenda, and many stakeholders are demanding for more robust, transparent and quality disclosures. From our survey results, there is still a proportion of the survey respondents which have not yet adopted a sustainability disclosure framework as part of their reporting process. For those who have, only 21% have conducted third party verification on their disclosures. Financial institutions play an important role to ensure robustness and reliability of data reported in sustainability disclosures. Meanwhile, the industry should accelerate the adoption of TCFD- aligned climate-related financial risk disclosures (refer to JC3 TCFD Application Guide for Malaysian Financial Institutions), which will not only provide greater transparency on how climate risk considerations are integrated into business decisions and risk management of financial institutions, but will also help drive action towards more effective risk mitigation and better adaptation to climate change. Capacity building and awareness Many of the initiatives and steps discussed above are reliant on a good support system within the financial institution. There is a high importance of having the right set of talents with aligned goals in order to assist the financial institution in realising its strategic objectives. Given that the overall Malaysian economy is relatively new to ESG, there may be a shortage of talent in the short term. As such, investment in people should be an important part of the financial institution’s agenda to continuously build and groom talent internally. A structured and phased development plan for an identified pool of talent would play an important role in supporting the financial institution throughout its sustainability journey. The financial sector should also work on enhancing sustainability capabilities to develop ESG specialist talent for the industry. Acknowledgement 31 This report was prepared by the JC3 Sub- Committee 3: Product and Innovation (SC3), which is chaired by Securities Commission Malaysia. The JC3 SC3 would like to acknowledge the efforts of the following members and observers of JC3 who contributed to the development of the JC3 report: 1. Bank Negara Malaysia 2. BIMB Investment Management Berhad 3. BNP Paribas Asset Management Malaysia Sdn Bhd 4. CIMB Islamic Bank Berhad 5. Hong Leong Bank Berhad 6. Malayan Banking Berhad 7. Principal Asset Management Berhad 8. PwC Malaysia 9. RAM Sustainability Sdn Bhd 10. RHB Investment Bank Berhad 11. Singular Asset Management Berhad 12. Standard Chartered Bank Malaysia Berhad 13. Swiss Re Retakaful 14. Zurich Malaysia 31 Appendices 6 Box A: Enabling the net zero Transition through Sustainable Trade Finance Standard Chartered has had a long commitment to Sustainable Finance. We have the financial expertise, governance frameworks, innovative thinking, technology and geographical reach to get capital from where it exists to the markets where it matters the most. We continue to be an early leader in sustainable finance focused on emerging markets, from launching the world’s first Sustainable Deposit to introducing comprehensive Sustainable Trade proposition. At Standard Chartered, our vision is to be the world’s most sustainable and responsible bank. We are committed to sustainable social and economic development in our business, operations and communities. Thus, in an effort to meaningfully support clients with their sustainability journey, we set out to understand what a truly sustainable supply chain is. Through the launch of Standard Chartered’s Sustainable Trade Finance proposition, which included our lens on what sustainable trade is, we aim to help our clients deliver on their own sustainability goals and drive changes to their supply chains, which in turn enhance our clients’ brand recognition and reputation in relation to sustainability. By applying our sustainability lens to the entire suite of trade finance products, we are able to support: ● Sustainable goods: Working with customers and partners to finance underlying goods that meet agreed sustainability standards. ● Sustainable suppliers: Supporting trade for suppliers who meet acceptable thresholds against ESG ratings or metrics such as gender equality, responsible sourcing criteria and water use. ● Sustainable end-use: Focusing on trade financing in sustainable industries including renewable energy, energy efficiency, the blue economy, sustainable infrastructure, water management and clean transportation. ● Transition industries: Helping industries transition and reduce their carbon footprint by offering trade financing that recognises efforts to help reduce emissions. As part of our proposition, we established definitions on sustainable financing of working capital products, across documentary trade as well as open account, to supply chain financing solutions in support and incentivise clients’ journey to sustainability. In furthering our mandate to drive financing towards sustainable development outcomes and be the leading Sustainable Trade Bank in our footprint, we have and will be working closely with our clients on transaction and transition advisory while providing thought leadership for the industry. To meet the goals of the Paris Agreement – perhaps the greatest challenge faced by our planet – and reduce carbon emissions to net zero by 2050, collaboration is crucial. We cannot combat the worst effects of climate change without policymakers, financial institutions and companies working together. Nowhere is this more true than for multinational companies (MNCs) and their suppliers. 33 Box A: Enabling the net zero Transition through Sustainable Trade Finance (cont’d) Our research report, Carbon Dated, reveals that almost three-quarters of MNC carbon emissions are generated in their supply chains. As MNCs start to transition to net zero, it’s therefore no surprise that they are looking to their suppliers to do much of the heavy lifting. Our research shows that two-thirds of MNCs are targeting supply chain emissions as the first step on their transition journey. For suppliers, especially those in emerging markets, the stakes couldn’t be higher: 57% of MNCs are willing to replace emerging- market suppliers with ones in developed markets that are less reliant on fossil fuels if it would help them reach net zero. There is clearly an expiry date for carbon-reliant businesses, and it’s fast-approaching. However, if suppliers can show their MNC partners that they are making progress in their transition and can become a positive link in the chain, a share of a huge market could be theirs. In 12 key emerging and fast- growing economies we reviewed exports to the tune of USD1.6tn, or around one-third, are set to be subject to MNC zero tolerance on carbon. Closer to home, impact on Malaysia’s export market, is estimated at USD65.3 billion, if the suppliers are not embracing net-zero transitions expediently. The above represents a major opportunity for net-zero-focused suppliers, but also quantifies the potential losses to companies not embracing net-zero transition. Suppliers cannot do it alone but will rely on support from both banks and trading partners to reach net zero. Many of the MNCs with whom we spoke as part of our study are keen to help, with almost one in five now offering grants or loans to their suppliers to invest in reducing emissions from operations. Carbon markets and transparent carbon pricing will provide even stronger signals to reduce carbon emissions and the tools to manage the related risks. The role of banks such as Standard Chartered is critical and cannot be underestimated. We must provide the financing needed for companies in both emerging markets and carbon-intensive sectors to transition to net zero. In this regard, Standard Chartered has supported various clients on their Sustainability journey. One such example is the recently mobilized executive green trade finance facility to support Amplus Energy Solutions FZE, a subsidiary of Amplus Solar, in its solar generation business. Amplus Solar is a member of the PETRONAS Group and is Asia’s leading distributed energy company which provides low-carbon energy solutions to its industrial and commercial customers. This facility is a significant milestone towards the implementation of sustainable practices across ecosystems and in building more resilient supply chains. Launching sustainable trade is one of the key enablers in delivering our commitment to fully integrate ESG into our business and financing decisions, from how we finance suppliers to how we help deliver the SDGs and beyond. We are committed to promote economic and social development in the markets we serve, doing so sustainably and equitably in line with our purpose and valued behaviours of “Never Settle”, “Better Together” and “Do the right thing”. This sustainability philosophy sets out how Standard Chartered integrates sustainability into our organisation decision making and we work closely with non-governmental organisations (NGOs), investors and technical specialists to ensure our framework remains fit for purpose. 34 Box B: Insuring sustainability for long-term benefits The world is transforming at an unprecedented pace. The next generation will inherit the outcome of our choices today. As such, we need to do and contribute more to play our part in preserving the planet. Zurich’s ambition is to become one of the most impactful and responsible companies in the world. Central to our purpose, differentiation, and growth, is our commitment to sustainability. We want to create a brighter future together to generate positive progress and impact, and through this journey, unite our people and customers towards realising a shared vision: an inspiring and optimistic future. Our 1.5°C Future In June 2019, Zurich became the first insurer to sign the United Nations Business Ambition for 1.5°C pledge, demonstrating our commitment towards climate action and accelerating action to reduce climate risks. The road to achieve goals of the Paris Agreement to limit global warming to 1.5⁰C requires immediate and decisive action. In translating our support for the transition to a climate neutral future, we set science-based CO2 reduction targets and focused on innovation to drive sustainable solutions. Zurich Group’s operations have been carbon neutral since 2014, and we have now set targets to further reduce emissions from operations of 50% by 2025, and 70% by 2029. We also target to adopt 100% renewable energy to power operations by end-2022, and electrify 100% of our corporate vehicle fleet by end-2029. As a responsible corporate citizen, we track our CO2 emissions. This is part of our accountability for our impact on the environment. The amount of CO2 emissions from electricity utilised by Zurich offices in Malaysia is equivalent to: ● About 10.5 million km driven by an average passenger vehicle ● 313 homes’ energy use for one year ● 316,027,596 number of smartphones charged In offsetting our CO2 emissions, we are one of the early adopters in the financial industry in Malaysia to purchase Renewable Energy Certificates (REC) as part of our pledge and global commitment towards the utilisation of 100% renewable power. “Our planet is at a climate crossroads now. Immediate, collective action to halt this is paramount. We must act before it is too late. Progress over perfection is much needed. While climate action is long-term, any action today no matter how small is better than inaction.” Junior Cho Zurich Malaysia Country Lead“ 35 Box B: Insuring sustainability for long-term benefits (cont’d) Work Sustainability Apart from focusing on the action to preserve the planet, we also need to look at how our actions will impact us − the people. Driven by technological advancements, the skills of today may no longer be relevant in the future. These changing trends bring with it new challenges, and we care about these challenges. Zurich acknowledges the need for individuals to be better protected. To this end, we support our people and business in navigating the changing world of work and responding to evolving customer needs. For our own workforce, Zurich is committed to creating a sense of security and trust at the workplace. Under this principle, we prioritise employee development by upskilling and reskilling, to help them stay relevant and fit for the future as well as offer career opportunities to fulfil their individual aspirations and business needs. Our employees are the drivers of our business. Their wellbeing is our top priority. To build a sustainable and diverse workforce, we must establish the feeling of shared ownership. Each and every one of us plays an important role to create a meaningful impact to the business, our customers, and the community that we serve. At the start of the first Movement Control Order in March 2020, Zurich Malaysia became one of the first companies to adapt and work fully remotely while maintaining our service standards to our customers. On top of this, we implemented various programmes to manage and support employee wellbeing such as webinars on various wellbeing pillars, COVID-19 vaccination programme and working with partners like Naluri to provide a comprehensive mental and physical wellness programme. One of the ways to support our employees in their wellbeing journey especially during the pandemic was a company-wide Wellbeing Day on 18 October 2021, where Zurich Malaysia employees were given the day off to take time off from work and focus on themselves. Confidence in Digital Society The shift into working remotely during the pandemic has compelled us to change the way we interact with our customers. When face-to-face interactions were restricted, we depend on technology to ensure that we are able to provide the level of service expected by our customers. This is not only at the organisational level, as the industry’s digital adoption and transformation took a quantum leap too. A McKinsey Global Survey in October 2020 indicated that COVID-19 accelerated the digitisation of customer interactions years ahead of the average rate of adoption from 2017 to 2019. In APAC, the acceleration was ahead by 4 years, while the rest of the world was at 3 years. The expectations and increased reliance on digital communication and services reinforces Zurich’s commitment to be clearly responsible in the way we work with and handle data, and this is expressed in our Data Commitment which was put in place in 2019. 36 Box B: Insuring sustainability for long-term benefits (cont’d) Confidence in Digital Society (cont’d) Zurich’s Data Commitment pledges to protect the personal data of our customers and never sell or share it without being fully transparent. We will only use the data provided to us, to do what is best in rendering our products and services to our customers, in line with Malaysia’s Personal Data Protection Act. Bearing this in mind, we will continue to contribute to increased cybersecurity through risk awareness, risk mitigation and insurance programmes. In 2020, Zurich Malaysia together with Alliance Bank introduced Malaysia’s first personal cyber insurance to safeguard Malaysians against financial losses arising from cybercrime. Supporting ESG in the communities around us Flood resilience – “Being there when it matters most” claims programme Flood Aid Vehicles to provide on-the-spot claims approvals of up to RM30k and disbursement of flood relief items, benefitting 124 policyholders/participants and totalling RM1.43mil. This was supported by the 24-hour flood claims contact centre Eat Right to Play Right A 6-year integrated community programme in partnership with Zurich Foundation to focus on children malnutrition by instilling healthy eating habits; leveraging on grassroots football as a platform for outreach Home building and COVID-19 Collective for Orang Asli 82 communities across 5 states were engaged by grant partners and Epic Society in initiatives across several impact areas such as sustainable energy, education, food security, clean water, culture preservation, health & hygiene awareness, socioeconomic empowerment, digital literacy and skills training. Disbursement of surplus sharing from the takaful fund for the benefit of the community during the pandemic Contributed monies accumulated from the general takaful surplus pool as donation on behalf of our general takaful customers to philanthropic or life-saving causes. The latest initiatives include supporting the local COVID-19 vaccination programme in collaboration with the Malaysian Red Crescent Society, and purchasing medical equipment for government hospitals. 37 Box C: Role of a Fund Manager to drive SRI growth through ESG incorporation We believe our actions have both a direct and indirect impact on a wide range of stakeholders, ranging from investors, corporations, employees and suppliers, as well as the local communities in which these stakeholders live, work and serve. We also believe economic value creation can and should be combined with environmental stewardship, social inclusion and good governance. The fund management industry, being the primary savings and investment vehicles, could play a significant role to drive the SRI growth through ESG incorporation and shareholder resolutions. The fund manager should have the following in place to kick start its ESG roles: - a. Sustainable investment approach (how the firm approaches sustainability). b. Governance structure (how the firm ensures compliance with this policy). c. Clear and transparent description of how ESG is integrated in the investment process. By considering ESG criterion, fund managers seek to identify companies that are attractive for investment because they have superior management practices or present lower risk to investors and other stakeholders. ESG criteria have evolved over time to encompass a wide range of indicators as well as take into account emerging trends. This has led to more disclosure from companies, more tools and methods for investors to analyse ESG risks and opportunities, and in many cases more favourable risk/return benefits for investors over the long term. Fund managers incorporate ESG issues across a range of asset classes and investment vehicles. These include unit trust funds and exchange traded funds and many others such as venture capital, private equity, hedge and responsible property funds as well as other commingled, pooled products typically reserved for specific kinds of institutions or other accredited high net worth investors. Fund management companies may integrate technology, data and finance to deliver sustainable, transparent financial solutions for a changing world. BIMB Investment is leveraging on Arabesque S- Ray’s services as well as other of major financial institutions, investors, corporations and consultants, together with media organisations and other stakeholder groups. The Arabesque S-Ray collects and processes information from a variety of sources and this data is transformed into proprietary scores based on financial materiality. The S-Ray data engine evaluates companies’ sustainability performance across a spectrum of ESG dimensions to create a suite of proprietary scores: S-Ray ESG Score, United Nations Global Compact (UNGC) Score and Temperature Score, in addition to a Preference Filter, that allows for the screening of companies to align with investors’ values. Arabesque S-Ray has increased BIMB Investment’s transparency into a company’s long- and short- term risks and opportunities by analysing its corporate DNA through a range of sustainability lenses which enhances financial decisions. 38 Box D: The importance of active stewardship to support the transition towards a low carbon economy BNP Paribas Asset Management has been a pioneer in sustainable investment since 2002 – with sustainability at the heart of our approach. We launched our Global Sustainability Strategy in 2019 and became the first global asset manager to commit and integrate sustainable investment across its flagship fund range (i.e., all our applicable funds have ESG criteria integrated within their investment process). We are committed to being a ’future maker‘, leveraging on our investments, voice to shape a better future. We differentiate ourselves from our peers by defining six pillars of sustainable investment, which are governed by robust and transparent policies and implemented across our portfolios. Within each pillar we articulate several commitments to action including the commitment to align our overall portfolio with the Paris Agreement. This decision was made after years of climate leadership by our firm and has since been supported by several portfolio and operational actions - ranging from engagement targets to specific KPIs. BNPP AM now publishes the carbon footprint of its funds and has set up portfolio KPIs, such as targeting a higher weighted average ESG score and a lower carbon footprint than the benchmark. We also have sector policies covering the sectors that are the most sensitive to climate change: ● in 2020, BNPP AM implemented a significantly tighter exclusion policy on companies engaged in the mining of thermal coal and the generation of electricity from coal; and ● in 2021, we enhanced our policy on Unconventional Oil & Gas. Climate indicators are integrated in investment decisions, with engagement to encourage better disclosure and practices. 39 Box D: The importance of active stewardship to support the transition towards a low carbon economy (cont’d) Companies, investors and governments are also ramping up efforts to achieve their 2050 net zero commitment and halve emission targets by 2030 in the coming years. These are aligned with The Inevitable Policy Response (IPR)’s Forecast Policy Scenario (FPS) – and will result in growth in investors’ allocation to low carbon investment solutions. Active stewardship plays a key part in aligning to the Paris Agreement. It includes effective voting activities, direct and collaborative corporate engagement and public policy advocacy. Active stewardship needs to be central to an asset manager’s strategy. It can help identify ESG risks and opportunities and contribute to positive changes to economic and environmental ecosystems. At BNP Paribas Asset Management, our Global Sustainability Strategy sets out the firm’s roadmap “to make a substantive contribution to the low-carbon energy transition” and states that one of the ways we will achieve this is by encouraging our investee companies “to align their strategies with the goals of the Paris Agreement”. BNP Paribas Asset Management plays an active role in collaborative engagement initiatives such as Climate Action 100+ and the recently launched Asia Investor Group on Climate Change (AIGCC). We believe in the importance of structured and focused engagement with companies rather than divestment. When you divest, you lose the ability to influence a company. BNP Paribas Asset Management was also co-leading engagements with CLP, a Hong Kong listed power utility with businesses across APAC, operating a number of coal-fired power generation assets on their coal policy, via a dedicated Engagement Program supported by the AIGCC. This Program is backed by investors with over USD8.8tn in assets. As a result of the ongoing engagement with CLP, the company announced on 23 September 2020 its commitment to net zero by 2050 and coal exit by 2040. It set new science-based targets to align with the goal of limiting global warming to well-below 2°C. The company also stated its ambition to further strengthen its approach to align with 1.5°C. Through engagement, we believe we can identify which companies are actively reducing their reliance on coal and lowering their carbon intensity of power generation and continue to support them as they make progress towards facilitating a low carbon future. 40 Box D: The importance of active stewardship to support the transition towards a low carbon economy (cont’d) We see urgency expressed by regulators in the region to address climate related risks, as Asia is not immune to the impact of climate change. The formation of the Joint Committee for Climate Change (JC3) co-chaired by Bank Negara Malaysia and Securities Commission Malaysia, which brings together major financial institutions in Malaysia, outlines initiatives to strengthen climate-related risks in the industry. The SRI Roadmap issued by the Securities Commission Malaysia in 2019 and the Climate Change and Principle Based Taxonomy issued by Bank Negara Malaysia in 2021, set the fundamental framework and commitment for all financial institutions to play a role in promoting economic and social development in a sustainable way. Ultimately, BNP Paribas Asset Management is committed to engaging with companies and working with regulators, our clients and stakeholders in the region to take the necessary action to align to Paris targets and commitment. 41 Box E: Setting a One-Stop Sustainability Solution for SMEs CIMB GreenBizReady launched in February 2021, is a one-stop sustainability solution for CIMB’s SME customers looking to start and advance in their sustainability journey. SMEs will be connected to and supported by industry leaders and government agencies, and will be offered a suite of solutions to enable and strengthen their sustainability efforts. Solutions include sustainability-linked financing, sustainability service providers, training and capacity building, certification and advisory services and business matching. CIMB GreenBizReady will provide SMEs with a competitive advantage by equipping them with practical knowledge and tools to incorporate Economic, Environmental and Social considerations into their business, helping them become sustainability-ready for long-term business resilience. This is also aligned with Bank Negara Malaysia’s Value- Based Intermediation (“VBI”) initiative, of which CIMB Islamic is a strong proponent, and a founding member of the VBI community of practitioners. CIMB GreenBizReady’s strategic associates include MIDA, MATRADE, MGTC, SIRIM, TNBX, PFAN, BuySolar, IMPACTO, MAEKO, Aerodyne, Sols Energy, Maqo Solar, and Revotech, of which these strategic associates are grouped into the following pillars respectively: With the support of these strategic associates, GreenBizReady will enable SMEs to participate in programmes and activities via online platforms while also enjoying complimentary mentorship sessions on a regular basis. After completing each session, SMEs will have a designated contact person to help them plan the next steps of their sustainability journey by assessing their readiness and providing recommendations for implementation. 42 Box E: Setting a One-Stop Sustainability Solution for SMEs (cont’d) CIMB GreenBizReady provides SMEs the flexibility to determine the best way for them to embark on their own sustainability journey according to their preference, priorities, and budget. However, the recommended first step for SMEs under GreenBizReady would be through the CIMB - IMPACTO SME Adoption Programme because it will provide a framework and structured approach for the SMEs, where they can build on from this foundation going forward (e.g. global standards and best practices). In summary, the programme is structured as follows: Steps of the SME GreenBizReady As this is a long-term journey and we are only at the beginning, we are working on various awareness and engagement initiatives both internally and externally. There is definitely a strong business case for SMEs to transition towards sustainability, especially for SMEs in the global supply chain or SMEs that are exporting to advanced economies. They would have come across the importance of sustainability in their business dealings and recognised the opportunities available to them if they transition earlier than their competitors. S te p 1 S te p 3 S te p 2 Sustainability Self-Assessment Questionnaire Upon expression of interest, CIMB will disseminate the assessment questionnaire to its member SMEs Summary Recommendation Report by Impacto Completed questionnaires will be submitted for topline analysis and a Summary Recommendation Report Comprehensive Assessment* by Impacto One-on-one sessions regarding operations and strategies, resulting in a customised report with checklists, useful information and templates that can be used for implementation. Using a scoring mechanism, baseline scores will be attributed. *For selected SMEs, subject to eligibility criterias 43 Box F: HLB’s Whole-of-bank approach to Sustainability At Hong Leong Bank (HLB), we are cognisant that individuals and companies we do business with will directly or indirectly affect the environment. This is why we are committed to adopting a whole-of-bank approach towards integrating environmental and social considerations as well as good governance into our business activities and solutions in order to create a better future for us, for our future generations, and for our environment. Products and Services The Bank has identified Renewable Energy (RE) as a critical important and high growth industry with significant commercial potentials. We believe in helping to steer the transition towards a more sustainable source of energy. Our significant focus in sustainable financing focus are driven towards our Corporate and SME customers that are investing in renewable energy; this includes solar, biogas and small hydropower. Our initiatives are in line with the government’s goal to increase the share of RE to 20% of the country’s power mix by 2025. Renewable energy has significant growth potential to support the country’s low carbon economy agenda, as well as long-term advantages for households in terms of energy cost savings, cushioning against future rise in energy costs and reducing carbon footprint in the process. In 2021, the Bank successfully launched two Solar Financing initiatives, one catered to SMEs whilst the other is to home owners. The HLB SME Solar Financing product is a green energy financing facility developed for SMEs looking to install small-scale solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. On the other hand, the HLB Solar Plus Loan/Financing-i product is a financing facility for installation of solar power systems in homes. It allows home owners, including those with homes under construction, to seamlessly apply for financing of solar power energy systems together with their home loan/financing application. We have partnered with solar powered energy system specialists such as Solarvest, ERS Energy and Solaroo Systems, that provides comprehensive one-stop installation, commissioning, operations and maintenance services to our customers, and will look towards partnering additional well regarded solution providers in the marketplace. 44 Our sustainability journey is guided by deep and meaningful engagements with stakeholders to ensure that all of our sustainability initiatives and policies are aligned with business objectives and consistent with the bank’s values. Consequently, we have progressed in integrating environmental, social and governance (“ESG”) considerations into our daily business practices, products and services, and in our interactions with business partners and with our customers. Our business activities and interactions with our stakeholder partners and customers can be categorized into the four focus areas as depicted in the accompanying diagram; namely the areas of products and services, innovation and funding, advocacy and advisory, as well as capacity building and knowledge sharing. Box F: HLB’s Whole-of-bank approach to Sustainability (cont’d) Funding and Innovation There is growing demand from both investors and customers for sustainable financial and investment products. In 2021, HLB was the first bank in Malaysia to undertake a consumer finance green securitisation exercise worth RM300mil in sustainable home loans and financing. The issuance of the green securitisation is to promote and grow the Ringgit bond market with high-quality sustainable bond/sukuk offerings. Advocacy and Advisory The Bank’s commitment to sustainable business practices extends across our entire value chain. We strive to create a fair, sustainable, responsible, and ethical approach to procuring and delivering goods and services. To that end, we create meaningful partnerships with our suppliers and vendors. In addition, we worked on embedding sustainability considerations across our entire value chain. The Bank has enhanced our Procurement Policy to include ESG evaluation on all of the Bank’s vendors. More importantly, we want to help our supply chain transition towards sustainable practices and we will continue to advocate, advise and support our suppliers in embracing a greener future. 45 As part of our efforts to decarbonise transportation in Malaysia, the Bank has developed a Green Car Financing Framework which formulates initiatives to form partnerships with hybrid car manufacturers as well as community engagements to facilitate a shift in consumer preferences towards green vehicles. We offer customers competitive financing rates on new green car purchases, as well as fast-track one-day approvals through our Green Lane for priority credit evaluation. To ensure that the Bank achieves its sustainability aspirations, HLB constantly looks at developing new value propositions in our products and services to drive greener outcomes for us and our customers. These home financing assets were amongst the Bank’s eligible sustainable assets that met HLB’s and Cagamas’ stringent environmental, social and governance (ESG) criteria. Our efforts were recognised when the Bank won the Asset- Backed/Asset-Based/Covered Sustainability Bond Of The Year in the Environmental Finance's Bond Awards 2022. Box F: HLB’s Whole-of-bank approach to Sustainability (cont’d) In relation to our customers, and as part of our best efforts to focus on RE, the Bank has established a dedicated RE specialist unit that draws expertise from professionals who have focused on the fields of RE in order to help guide the Bank and our customers on the path towards transitioning to sustainable energy sources and practices. We work closely with our customers to provide value-added services that include advisory in guiding new energy players on warranties and guarantees form of coverage for equipment as well as help customers evaluate the feasibility and generation capacity of their Renewable Energy projects. We make continuous efforts to build upon our sustainable banking practices. HLB implemented a business and corporate banking framework, which governs our sustainable lending and financing processes. By adopting an inclusionary approach, the aim is to work with and encourage our customers in their transition to more sustainable business practices and mitigate environmental risks. Capacity Building and Sharing We believe capacity building and knowledge sharing is very important at this stage to engender more broad-based awareness and galvanize more affirmative actions for the environment from our communities. Towards this end, HLB has initiated a number of programmes as part of our efforts to promote internal and community capacity building and sustainability knowledge sharing. 1. Collaboration with Jeffrey Sachs Centre on Sustainable Development sustainable practices implemented by global and domestic companies, and the Bank’s ESG Policy & Assessment Framework that was developed by the Bank in consultation with the WWF. To date, we have completed training for over 400 of our relationship and credit risk managers and executives. Concurrently, HLB hosted a strategic engagement and dialogue session on Sustainable Development at Sunway University. The session facilitated a high-level discussion on climate-related risks, environmental and social issues, and financial institutions’ role in supporting the transition towards a lower carbon economy. 46 The Bank collaborated with Jeffrey Sachs Centre to introduce a Sustainable Development Programme that provides a comprehensive training module and certification for our business relationship managers and credit risk managers. The Programme covers climate change, environmental and social themes, case studies of Box F: HLB’s Whole-of-bank approach to Sustainability (cont’d) 2. Sustainability Roundtable Sessions The Sustainability Roundtable sessions serve as our stakeholder engagement platform with the objective of enabling our customers and business communities to learn more about the current and future ESG related developments, issues and its impact on long-term sustainability and economic / social value creation. We have conducted seven roundtable sessions since 2020 and have three more scheduled for the remainder of 2022. In addition, similar to digital transformation, many companies are keen to incorporate more sustainable practices in their operations, but the lack of know-hows as well as the uncertainty in relation to returns- on-investment may have discouraged them from making the shift. The Bank made concerted efforts in engaging industry stakeholders such as regulators, governing agencies, trade associations and key industry players as part of our discussion panels to share their insights as well as their respective sustainability transformation and journey for the benefit of the roundtable attendees. We have created awareness amongst the wider community, on the importance of embedding ESG practices as a core function of a company’s long-term sustainability. As a banking institution, we also gained great insights in terms of understanding the different industries’ challenges and opportunities in the sustainability space, thus allowing HLB to empower our front-liners to have more meaningful conversations with our borrowing customers, in our effort to support them to transition towards better ESG & sustainable business practices. 47 Box F: HLB’s Whole-of-bank approach to Sustainability (cont’d) 3. Collaboration with Malaysian Green Technology and Climate Change Corporation (MGTC) The Bank collaborated with MGTC to introduce an informational section on our corporate website which will include infographics related to topics such as Types of Electric and Hybrid Vehicles and the Future of EV Cars in Malaysia. Besides that, MGTC assisted the Bank in developing a GHG Carbon Calculator by providing the Bank with the calculation methodology. The aim of the calculator is to track and analyse our Scope 3 emissions from employees’ commute. This is in line with the government’s plan to promote a more sustainable mode of transportation whereby the Bank will, based on the analysis, be introducing initiatives such as lower interest rates for mobility financing based on relative carbon savings. Sustainability is the Now and Future In conclusion, the Bank strives towards inclusive growth, ensuring that we provide economic empowerment to our customers and communities while managing the climate and social impact of our operations. The Bank believes that sustainable banking practices will serve as the foundation to our continued competitive advantage and contributes to a better future for the world. Sustainability is not just the future, it needs to be acted upon now. 48 Box G: Providing Financial Solutions for the Climate Demand for green banking solutions has accelerated in view of the continued and sustained interest from the investment community, in particular by investors who are focused on long-term, stable returns, and are more aware on the impact of environmental risks on businesses, which have the potential to materialise over a longer term. For ASEAN, the demand for additional ASEAN green investment from 2016 to 2030 is an estimated US$3 trillion. This opportunity represents a new ASEAN green investment market 37 times the size of the global 2016 green bond market, which will certainly benefit SMEs that are seeking sustainable financing. Additionally, part of our role as a financial services provider is to steer customers / clients towards climate action and sustainable practices. This will in turn, create actual impact and change in the real economy for sustainable development which will contribute towards financial inclusion and access, as well as sustainable investment. RHB Banking Group has committed to extend RM5 billion towards green financing activities by 2025 to further promote the transition to a low-carbon and climate-resilient economy through lending, insurance, capital markets advisory and investment. As of the first half of 2021, RHB has extended RM3.3 billion in green financing of which 20% is for renewable energy projects. As of June 2021, RHB Asset Management launched four ESG SRI-qualified funds - RHB i-Global Sustainable Disruptors Fund which is a Shariah-compliant fund, RHB Global Impact Fund, RHB Sustainable Global Thematic Fund and RHB Asia Sustainable Leaders Fund with a combined AUM of RM812 million. The four hallmark ESG funds, and potentially more new funds in the future, provide avenues for investors to deploy their capital in sustainable investments, hence making a positive impact across the national and global landscape. Meanwhile, in the insurance space, RHB Insurance has been equally busy as well with the launch of Hybrid/Electric car insurance in mid-August 2021 aimed at supporting lower carbon emissions where preferred pricing is provided for hybrid/electric car policyholders. Since its launch, the product has impacted about 300 policyholders, and RHB Insurance will continue to develop more ESG insurance in supporting a sustainable and responsible insurance. Through RHB Investment Bank Berhad (RHBIB), as of June 2021 the group has successfully originated and distributed RM1.65 billion worth of green/sustainable/SRI Sukuk for our clients in the capital market and advisory segment. Certainly, this will be a catalyst for the RHB Group to continue to support the development of ESG initiatives in the capital markets space. 49 Box G: Providing Financial Solutions for the Climate (cont’d) Notable programmes and deals by RHBIB relating to the group’s green financing commitment include: In August 2021, RHB launched the Sustainability Financing Programme (SFP), a Green Financing product bundling programme aimed at reaching out to the needs of both Small Medium Enterprises (SME) and Retail customers. The four pillars of the SFP comprise Green Energy, Green Buildings, Green Process and Green Products, which aim to promote sustainable development and support the nation’s transition to a low-carbon economy through green financing solutions that integrate ESG criteria. They target to grant a total of RM1 billion in new financing via the RHB Sustainability Financing Programme by 2025. In addition to this, RHB Islamic Bank Berhad (RHB Islamic) has strengthened its commitment in sustainable practices by becoming the first bank in Malaysia and in the Asia Pacific region to introduce an eco-friendly recycled plastic debit card via its collaboration with WWF-Malaysia and Universiti Malaysia Terengganu. This revolutionary RHB Visa WWF Debit Card-i forms part of RHB Islamic’s initiative under its flagship initiative “Ocean Harmony” that aims to raise public awareness in the conservation and environmental sustainability of the marine ecosystem. The first edition of the eco-friendly card features the Green Sea Turtle, one of the most endangered sea creatures in the world today. RHIB as the Principal Adviser, Lead Manager, and Lead Arranger for the issuance of Malaysia’s 1st ever ESG-related Unrated Perpetual Sukuk of up to RM500 million RHIB as the sole Principal Adviser, sole Lead Arranger and Joint Lead Manager for the landmark issuance of the 1st ever Sustainability Sukuk by a Malaysian Development Financial Institution RHBIB as the Sole Adviser, Lead Arranger and Lead Manager in the establishment of Islamic Medium Term Notes programme of up to RM200 million in nominal value (“ASEAN Green SRI Sukuk Programme”) ● In 2020, Pasukhas Green Asset Sdn Bhd’s RM17 million Green Sukuk was commended with the following awards: ○ Best ASEAN Green SRI Sukuk by The Asset Triple A Islamic Finance Award ○ Green Deal of the Year by Asian Banking & Finance Corporate & Investment Banking Awards 2020 RHB Visa WWF Debit Card-i 50 Box H: Knowledge sharing that that tackles sustainability challenges Sustainability has long been top of mind in Malaysia, and we have seen significant efforts towards creating a green market and increasing the share of renewables in the energy mix. Off the back of the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, it's also becoming very clear that we all need to move towards immediate, rapid and large- scale reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, moving to a net zero energy system by 2050, if feasible. At Swiss Re, we continually share our knowledge in a way that tackles sustainability challenges, creating long-term value across the re/insurance and re/takaful value chain. In fact, we constantly manage and monitor risks and opportunities associated with ESG issues and focus on long-term value generation, by reducing our underwriting activities in sectors we do not consider sustainable – such as thermal coal, or stop investing in companies with poor ESG ratings altogether. Sustainable re/insurance and re/takaful covers all our business activities from liability to the asset side of our balance sheet, our own operations and dialogue with our stakeholders. Here in Malaysia, we are looking to support the transition to a low carbon environment by enabling new risk solutions to come to market, thereby giving consumers and businesses confidence to adopt new technologies – for example in green infrastructure, energy and mobility projects and impact investing. Our dialogues with clients on sustainability remain top of our agenda and our commitment to our Insurance and Takaful clients stands strong, as we help our clients develop innovative products to address growing environmental and social challenges. As a concrete example we are currently developing a solar parametric solution for a large Malaysian client which will help in the transition to this form of renewable energy. Now, more than ever, shareholders are putting pressure on all companies to adopt more sustainable practices; regulators are asking for more disclosure; employees, especially the younger generation, also expect real progress towards a more sustainable future. Thus, we have very active dialogues with Malaysian clients about sustainability topics. As a business focused on building resilience in communities, we are also moving away from providing insurance and takaful coverage to most carbon-intensive oil and gas producers. At the same time, to encourage the transition towards renewable energy, we are providing risk cover to more than 5,600 wind and solar farms globally. To achieve our business and net-zero goals, we are continuing to build and scale on successful partnerships with clients working on this transition. As we move towards 2030, Malaysia's development priorities will forge ahead to align and integrate with SDGs – advancing green growth towards a low-carbon nation, attaining carbon neutral. We at Swiss Re will also do the same and we believe that achieving net zero by 2050 is mission possible, however, we will need to speed up and scale up climate solutions across all value chains. 51 Thank you
Press Release
25 Apr 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 April 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-15-april-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 April 2022 Share: 53 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 April 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Monday, 25 April 2022 25 Apr 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD114.4 billion as at 15 April 2022. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 6.0 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.2 times total short-term external debt.     [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 7.1 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at at bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 15 April 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 25 April 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
07 Apr 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 March 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-31-march-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 March 2022 Share: 155 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 March 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Thursday, 7 April 2022 7 Apr 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD115.6 billion as at 31 March 2022. The reserves level has taken into account the quarterly foreign exchange revaluation changes. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 6.1 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.2 times total short-term external debt.     [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 7.4 months of retained imports of goods (15 March 2022: 7.3 months). For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 31 March 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 7 April 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
31 Mar 2022
Monetary and Financial Developments in February 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-and-financial-developments-in-february-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6675125/i_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary and Financial Developments in February 2022 Share: 5 Monetary and Financial Developments in February 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Thursday, 31 March 2022 31 Mar 2022 Headline inflation moderated to 2.2% in February Headline inflation moderated to 2.2% in February (Jan: 2.3%), mainly reflecting lower inflation in the transport (Feb: 3.9%; Jan: 6.0%) segment. Underlying inflation, as measured by core inflation 1 , was higher at 1.8% during the month (Jan: 1.6%), driven mainly by food away from home and rental. Export growth remained strong in February Exports grew by 16.8% (Jan: 23.9%), reflecting continued strength across Malaysia’s export products. Moving forward, export performance will continue to benefit from the expansion in external demand and global technology upcycle. In addition, high commodity prices will provide support to export growth. Nonetheless, the trade outlook remains contingent on the path of the pandemic, global supply chain disruptions as well as risks surrounding the global growth outlook amid the military conflict in Ukraine. Net financing growth was sustained in February Net financing2 growth was sustained at 4.8%, as outstanding corporate bonds growth increased (Feb: 5.2%; Jan: 5.0%) while outstanding loan growth was stable at 4.7%. Outstanding household loans continued to expand at 4.7%, reflecting broadly sustained growth across most purposes. For businesses, outstanding loan growth increased (Feb: 5.5%; Jan: 5.3%) amid higher lending to SMEs and sustained growth in working capital loans (Feb: 8.3%; Jan: 8.2%; 2017-19 average: 4.3%). Growth in total loan disbursements moderated in February but remained high (Feb: 12.3%; Jan: 21.5%; 2017-19 average: 5.0%), as disbursements growth for businesses continued to be elevated. Domestic financial markets were orderly amid ongoing geopolitical conflict In February, the military conflict in Ukraine had affected global financial markets, resulting in increased volatility. Spillovers to domestic financial markets and broader financial conditions were however contained, reflecting positive investor sentiments, given Malaysia’s position as a net commodities exporter amid higher global commodity prices. The domestic equity market had increased, driven by the plantation sector. The FBM KLCI rose by 6.3% to 1,608 points as at end-February. The 10-year MGS yields declined by 0.6 basis points while the ringgit depreciated by 0.3%. Banks maintained sufficient liquidity to support intermediation activities Banking system continued to maintain healthy liquidity positions with the Liquidity Coverage Ratio remaining strong at 151.3%. Banks’ funding profile remained stable supported by sustained growth in deposits. The Net Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) stood at 116.4% as at December 2021. Banks’ asset quality remained sound Gross and net impaired loans ratios remained low at 1.5% and 0.9% respectively Banks continue to be prudent in loan provisioning to buffer against potential credit losses, with total provisions and regulatory reserves amounting to RM41.1 billion (Jan-22: RM40.8 billion). Total provisions stood at 1.9% as a share of total banking system loans.  1  Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. It also excludes the estimated direct impact of tax policy changes. 2 Refers to outstanding loans of the banking system (excluding development financial institutions (DFIs)) and outstanding corporate bonds.   View Monthly Highlights [PDF] Related Assets Monthly Highlights & Statistics February 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 31 March 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights May 2023 Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined further to 2.8% in May May 2023 Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation moderated to 2.8% (April 2023: 3.3%). This decline was largely due to non-core CPI components, particularly lower inflation for fuel (-0.2 percentage points, ppt) and fresh food (-0.1ppt). • Core inflation also declined slightly to 3.5% (April 2023: 3.6%) amid lower inflation for communication services. 3.3 2.8 3.6 3.5 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 A p r- 2 3 M a y -2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) 1.6 5.1 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 1 Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector improved in May 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.0% as at end-May (April 2023: 3.7%), driven mainly by higher growth in credit to businesses (2.8%; April 2023: 2.5%). • Outstanding corporate bonds grew by 4.6% (April 2023: 4.4%), while outstanding business loans expanded by 1.6% (April 2023: 1.0%). The higher business loan growth reflected improvement in loans for both working capital and investments to SMEs and non-SMEs. • In the household segment, outstanding loan growth was sustained at 5.1% (April 2023: 5.0%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. Of note, household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.0% and 8.4%, respectively (April 2023: 6.8% and 8.0%). 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 4.5 4.2 3.7 4.0 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Index of wholesale and retail trade growth moderated in April Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded more moderately by 4.7% in April 2023 (March 2023: 9.4%). The lower growth was due mainly to the decline in the motor vehicle segment. • However, the retail segment continued to record a double-digit growth of 10.0% (March 2023: 13.8%), supported by sales in non-specialised and other specialised stores1. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index increased at a faster pace of 6.5% (March 2023: -0.9%). 1 Other goods in specialised stores includes clothing, footwear, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, watches, jewellery and optical goods. 10.6 9.4 4.7 -2 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 Apr-22 Jun-22 Aug-22 Oct-22 Dec-22 Feb-23 Apr-23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Monthly Highlights 2 May 2023 Domestic financial markets were largely affected by external factors Financial Market Performance in May 2023 -18.0 -0.5 -1.1 -3.0 -2.0 -3.4 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -20 -15 -10 -5 0 May-23 Apr-23 Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 1Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia • Global investors maintained a risk-off approach throughout May, as concerns over the impact of the US debt ceiling crisis and the weaker-than- expected rebound in China’s economy weighed on global financial markets. • As a result, the ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 3.4% (regional1 average: -1.2%). Similarly, the FBM KLCI declined by 2.0% (regional1 average: -1.3%). • Nonetheless, the 10-year MGS yields decreased slightly by 3 basis points, supported by non-resident inflows into the domestic bond market. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 151.2% (April 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.8% (April 2023: 82.1%). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.8 151.2 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.80% (April 2023: 1.78%) and 1.10% (April 2023: 1.10%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remained at a prudent level of 114.1% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.1 1.7 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio April 2023 Monthly Highlights Slide 1 Slide 2
Press Release
31 Mar 2022
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-February 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-february-2022-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-February 2022 Share: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-February 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Thursday, 31 March 2022 31 Mar 2022 In accordance with the IMF SDDS format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period. The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III and IV. As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD115,762.2 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to USD133.8 million as at end-February 2022. As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD5,599.4 million. The short forward positions amounted to USD8,473.1 million while long forward positions amounted to USD130 million as at end-February 2022, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,271.2 million in the next 12 months. As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets are Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD401.8 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit. Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-February 2022, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable. Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (28 February 2022) Bank Negara Malaysia 31 March 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
30 Mar 2022
BNM publishes AR 2021, EMR 2021 and FSR 2H2021
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/ar2021_en_pr
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6459002/fsr21h2_en_hhdebt.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6458991/ar2021_en_slides.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6459002/fsr21h2_en_housing.pdf
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Reading: BNM publishes AR 2021, EMR 2021 and FSR 2H2021 Share: 13 BNM publishes AR 2021, EMR 2021 and FSR 2H2021 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1002 on Wednesday, 30 March 2022 30 Mar 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) today published its Annual Report 2021 (AR 2021), Economic and Monetary Review 2021 (EMR 2021) and Financial Stability Review for Second Half 2021 (FSR 2H2021). Annual Report 2021 AR 2021 sets out the initiatives and workings of the Bank in 2021 in fulfilling its mandates to promote monetary stability and financial stability conducive to the sustainable growth of the Malaysian economy. This includes the means in which BNM discharged its mandates to support Malaysia’s transition through and out of the pandemic, as well as other challenges such as the floods. AR 2021 also provides an account of the Bank’s operations and resources that enable it to function effectively and efficiently. Four box articles on topical interests are featured in AR 2021: Cost of living. Linkages for efficient cross-border payments. Repayment assistance. Money laundering and terrorism financing. The report also sets out BNM’s Audited Financial Statements for the financial year ended 31 December 2021. As audited and certified by the Auditor General, the financial position of BNM remained stable in 2021. BNM’s total assets amounted to RM551.6 billion as at 31 December 2021. A net profit of RM12.8 billion was recorded for the financial year, of which RM7.8 billion will be transferred into the General Reserve Fund. BNM has declared a dividend of RM5 billion to the Government for the financial year 2021. Economic and Monetary Review 2021 The Economic and Monetary Review sets out BNM’s economic assessments and outlook. Highlights of EMR 2021 include: 2022 is set to be a watershed year as most countries progressively transition towards endemic management of COVID-19. However, even as the global economy is expected to continue its recovery path, policymakers are adjusting their policy settings against rapidly evolving uncertainties, including the military conflict in Ukraine which began in February. The pace of economic recovery in Malaysia is projected to gather further momentum amid the reopening of the economy and international borders. With better COVID-19 management and higher vaccination rates, BNM expects less disruption to domestic economic activity and spending in the event of resurgences. Malaysia will also continue to benefit from the expansion in global demand. For 2022 as a whole, the economy is expected to grow between 5.3% and 6.3%. Headline inflation is forecasted to average between 2.2% and 3.2% in 2022. While high input costs are projected to exert some pressures on selected fresh food prices, these pressures will be partly mitigated by price controls. Meanwhile, core inflation is expected to average higher between 2.0% and 3.0% in 2022 due to stronger demand conditions amid lingering cost pressures. However, the extent of upward adjustments in core inflation will remain partly contained by the continued slack in the economy and labour market. Labour market conditions are expected to improve in 2022 as economic activity picks up. The unemployment rate is expected to decline further to around 4% of the labour force. This sustained recovery in employment and income is expected to drive an improvement in household spending. Monetary policy will remain accommodative to support a sustainable economic recovery while ensuring price stability. BNM is cognisant of the consequences of keeping interest rates low for an extended period of time. As the outlook for inflation remains largely supply-driven, BNM is closely monitoring for any signs of potential second-round effects, where price pressures could become more entrenched as domestic demand recovers. Ultimately, any potential adjustments to the degree of accommodation will remain data-dependent and be undertaken in a measured and gradual way to preserve an appropriate level of support to the economy. The EMR 2021 also features two box articles pertinent to issues relating to the post-pandemic recovery: Recovery Prospects in the Global Economy after the Great Lockdown: Lessons from Cyclical and Structural Perspectives. Anatomy of Inflation: Effects from the Enduring Pandemic. Financial Stability Review for Second Half 2021 The Financial Stability Review is a biannual publication which details BNM’s assessment of risks and outlook for domestic financial stability. Highlights of FSR 2H 2021 include: Financial institutions remained vigilant in managing their risks given the continued uncertainty posed by domestic and global developments. Credit risk remains a key focus as banks continue to build up provisions to buffer against a potential rise in impairments. Provisions against loan losses in the banking system currently stand at 143%, which is close to its historical high. Despite expectations of continued market volatility, conditions in domestic financial markets are expected to remain orderly. This is supported by Malaysia’s deep and liquid bond market, diverse investor base, as well as positive real yields. Sound risk management practices of financial institutions, coupled with their strong capital and liquidity buffers, will continue to preserve domestic financial stability. Latest stress tests conducted by BNM continue to affirm the resilience of capital buffers of banks and insurers to withstand potential losses under severe macroeconomic and financial shocks, while sustaining support for economic recovery. Almost all banks were able to maintain post-shock capital ratios above the regulatory minimum. Banks' excess capital buffers currently amount to RM135 billion. Ensuring operational and cyber resilience remains a key focus for BNM and financial institutions. This comes amid an increasing reliance by financial institutions on third party service providers, higher cloud adoption and rising ransomware threats. Effectively managing the effects of climate risks will also be at the forefront of the financial sector agenda for BNM and the industry in the coming years. Two box articles are featured in FSR 2H2021: Evolving Spaces in the Wake of the Pandemic: Vulnerabilities from the Commercial Real Estate Sector. Implementation of the Climate Change and Principle-based Taxonomy (CCPT) in the Financial Sector. Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah Yunus said, “Going forward, well-executed structural reforms are needed to address the critical challenge of reinvigorating growth opportunities and strengthening our economic fundamentals. The three key areas that we ought to focus on are inclusivity, digitalisation, and sustainability. We must make the most out of this recovery period to rebuild better and ensure that Malaysia is well-prepared to harness future trends to our benefit.” For more details of the publications, please visit bnm.gov.my/ar2021. See also: EMR 2021 Key Highlights FSR 2H2021 Key Highlights Spotlight: Household Debt Spotlight: Housing (Un)affordability Press conference slides    Bank Negara Malaysia 30 March 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services 27Quarterly Bulletin | 4Q 2021 Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services One of the indicators used by the Bank to measure international reserve adequacy is the reserve coverage of retained imports,1 which is communicated on a fortnightly basis. As the economy grew and evolved with higher share of the services sector, this has raised the prominence of services imports in the measure of reserve adequacy. Given this consideration and in line with the international best practice, future fortnightly reporting of Malaysia’s international reserves will include the indicator on reserve coverage of imports of goods and services, effective from 22 February 2022.2 1 Defined as gross imports subtracted with re-exports. The 12-month average retained imports can be derived from the Monthly Highlight and Statistics Table 3.6.8 (Imports by End-Use; see Appendix 1). 2 For the international reserves position as at 15 February 2022. 3 Defined as imports plus exports. 4 From RM101.3 billion to RM351.3 billion, or a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.4%. 5 Based on JP Morgan’s Government Bond Index for Emerging Markets. Services tradeC1 0 100 200 300 400 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 RM billion Travel1 Computer and information Transport Manufacturing Other business3 Other2 Perdagangan perkhidmatanR1 0 100 200 300 400 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 RM bilion Perjalanan1 Komputer dan informasi Pengangkutan Pembuatan Perniagaan Lain3 Lain-lain2 Nota: Data sebelum tahun 2005 adalah berdasarkan garis panduan dalam Edisi Kelima Manual Imbangan Pembayaran dan Kedudukan ............Pelaburan Antarabangsa (BPM5) IMF. Data bagi tahun 2005 dan selanjutnya adalah berdasarkan BPM6. 1 Termasuk perbelanjaan perjalanan bagi aktiviti pelancongan. 2 Termasuk pembinaan, caj penggunaan harta intelek, perkhidmatan persendirian, kebudayaan dan rekreasi. 3 Perkhidmatan perniagaan lain termasuk perkhidmatan penyelidikan dan pembangunan, profesional, teknikal, berkaitan perdagangan dan ...perkhidmatan perniagaan lain. Sumber: Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia dan Bank Negara Malaysia Note: Data prior to 2005 are based on the guideline in the Fifth Edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position ............Manual (BPM5) of the IMF. Data for 2005 and beyond are based on BPM6. 1 Includes travel spending for tourism activity. 2 Includes construction, charges for intellectual property use, personal, culture & recreational services. 3 Other business services comprise research and development, professional, technical, trade-related and other business services. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia The Bank’s reporting of the reserve coverage of retained imports was published as early as in the 1990s. Data on retained imports are available on monthly basis and thereby closely match the fortnightly release of the international reserves data. However, retained imports do not include payment for services, which has grown over the past two decades. From 1999 to 2019, services trade3 has increased by 246.9%4 (Chart 1). This was mainly due to higher tourism activity as well as payments for foreign transport services for goods trade. In addition, there was also an expansion in goods import, largely in support of domestic investment activities and production of manufactured goods. Malaysia’s performance on this indicator is in line with regional and peer5 economies. On historical basis, reserve coverage of imports of goods and services indicator has been in the range of between 5 and 8 months since 2008 – well above the generally-accepted ‘rule of thumb’ adequacy threshold of 3-months, and demonstrates the ability of the Malaysian economy to withstand against external shocks. 28 Quarterly Bulletin | 4Q 2021 It is also important to emphasize that the assessment of reserve adequacy should not be solely based on the face value of these indicators. This needs to be complemented with deeper understanding about the country’s external position, financial system and broad economic policies. In particular, international reserves is not the only means to meet external obligations.6 Prevailing assessment indicates that the country’s external position7 is underpinned by its strong economic fundamentals including healthy current account surplus, large foreign currency external assets held by domestic entities8 and the flexible ringgit exchange rate. References Department of Statistics, Malaysia. ‘External Sector’, Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia, Putrajaya. Greenspan, A., ‘Currency reserves and debt’. Remarks before the World Bank Conference on Recent Trends in Reserves Management, Washington, DC, 29 April 1999. International Monetary Fund, (2016). ‘Guidance Note on the Assessment of Reserve Adequacy and Related Considerations’. Appendix 1: Calculation of international reserves coverage of retained imports aFor example, to calculate monthly retained imports for December 2019, the retained imports for the months of January to December 2019 is summed up (i.e. rolling 12-months of retained imports). This number is then divided by 12, to obtain a monthly average. The figures can be obtained from BNM’s MHS Table 3.6.8, column S. 6 Further information can be found in the box article “Malaysia’s Resilience in Managing External Debt Obligations and the Adequacy of International Reserves” in BNM’s Annual Report 2018. 7 In addition, it has also been emphasized that Malaysia’s external debt position, including short-term external debt, remains manageable. This is supported by the favourable currency and maturity profile on its external debt as well as domestic entities’ resilient repayment capacity. Foreign-currency external debt of corporates are also mainly subject to prudential and hedging requirements (refer to the latest assessment on external debt developments on page 25) 8 Amounting to RM1.1 trillion as at end-2021. 2021 Annual Report, EMR & FSR Presentation Slides Option 1 BANK NEGARA MALAYSIA ► ANNUAL REPORT 2021 ► ECONOMIC AND MONETARY REVIEW 2021 ► FINANCIAL STABILITY REVIEW – SECOND HALF 2021 30 MARCH 2022 1 2 ► However, lingering uncertainties remain along with unfolding developments that could affect Malaysia’s growth prospects ► Policies remain in place to support vulnerable segments and secure a sustainable economic recovery ► Need to advance implementation of structural reforms that furthers a conducive investment climate and enhance long-term competitiveness for the Malaysian economy to emerge stronger and more resilient The Malaysian economy to strengthen in 2022 0 30 60 90 120 150 0 20 40 60 80 100 Jan-20 Jul-20 Feb-21 Aug-21 Mar-22 Volatility Index Oil Prices (RHS) Volatility Index and Brent Oil Prices Index USD/Barrel Economic recovery on track despite challenging global conditions Source: Bank Negara Malaysia estimates, Intercontinental Exchange, Bloomberg, International Monetary Fund ► State of the pandemic Resurgences would still weigh on growth through sentiments and absenteeism. ► Military conflict in Ukraine exerting further pressure on growth via trade, inflation and financial markets. ► Pace of policy normalisation in major economies amid a challenging operating landscape and tighter financial conditions. Growth in 2022 to be affected by.. 3 -3.1 5.8 3.8 to 4.3 2020 2021e 2022f Global Real GDP Growth Annual Change (%) Malaysia’s exports to benefit from continued global demand and higher commodity prices Source: WSTS, IC Insights, MPOB, PETRONAS and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 4 26.2 26.0 10.4 11.0 WSTS IC Insights 2022f 2021 Global Semiconductor Sales Forecasts Annual Change (%) 26.0 10.9 2021p 2022f Gross Exports Annual Change (%) LNG (RM/tonne) 3.0% 1,469 2,000 - 2,200 Brent (USD/barrel) 1.6% 71 100 - 120 CPO (RM/tonne) 6.1% of MY exports (2021) 4,430 6,200 - 6,600 2021 2022f 2011-19 Avg.: 5.2% 2016-19 Avg.: 6.8% 2011-19 Avg.: 4.1% Rest of the World Europe and Americas Other Asian Countries ASEAN Further lift to growth from reopening of international borders Reopening of borders to international tourists would support the recovery of travel receipts Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia, Tourism Malaysia, newsflows Travel Receipts RM billion 5 Share of Tourist Expenditure in Malaysia by Region % share of 2019 9 37 51 4 International Tourism Bubbles Travel bubble for international tourists to Langkawi 15 Nov. 2021 Vaccinated Travel Lane (VTL) Singapore (21 January 2022), Thailand and Cambodia (15 March 2022) 1Q 2022 Reopening of Borders Reopening of international borders to all foreign tourists 1 Apr. 2022 2019: 82.1 2020: 12.6 2021: 0.4 High vaccine coverage domestically enables a more targeted approach to manage COVID-19 Note: Data as at 11.59 PM on 24 March 2022 Source: Ministry of Health Malaysia GitHub (github.com/MoH-Malaysia/covid19-public) 6 97.5 66.2 Adult Booster Primary Vaccinated Primary Vaccinated Partially Vaccinated % of adult population (aged 18+) Vaccine Coverage High booster coverage among adults 36.1Children Partially Vaccinated % of children (aged 5-11) Steadily increasing take-up as PICKids continues High vaccine coverage and effectiveness allows for proportionate, targeted and calibrated approach ►No nationwide containment measures, albeit some impact from self-isolation, absenteeism and risk aversion as cases rise 0 5 10 15 20 0 10 20 30 40 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 New COVID-19 Cases (7 Day Average, Thousands) New ICU COVID-19 Cases (RHS, 7 Day Average, Hundreds) COVID-19 Cases and ICU Cases 94.6 91.5 Adolescent % of adolescents (aged 12-17) Near-universal coverage among adolescents Partially Vaccinated Primary Vaccinated Further improvement in employment prospects amid encouraging signs of hiring activity in 2022 * Tourism-related industries follows SOCSO definition and includes wholesale retail, administrative and support services, accommodation and F&B, transportation and storage, entertainment and recreation ** The placement rate refers to the number of people placed in new jobs under the Employment Insurance Scheme (EIS) for every 100 persons retrenched *** Long-term reforms refer to the initiatives to raise the quality of education, strengthen the technical and vocational education and training (TVET) ecosystem and implement market-based tools to manage foreign workers Source: SOCSO, Department of Statistics, Malaysia, Ministry of Finance (MOF), and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Policy measures supporting the labour market 7 Wage Subsidy Programme Progress of Long-term Reforms*** Upskilling & Reskilling Initiatives MySTEPJaminKerja Avg. Daily Loss of Employment (LOE) and Placement Rate Number of Persons (As at 18 March 2022) 157 171 118 125 40 31 45 41 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 Non tourism-related LOE Tourism-related LOE* Placement rate** 15.13 15.10 15.29 ~15.6 2019 2020 2021p 2022f Total Employment Million Persons Unemployment and Underemployment % of Labour Force 3.3 4.5 4.6 ~4.0 1.2 2.3 2.0 ~1.3 2019 2020 2021p 2022f Underemployment Rate Unemployment Rate 2020, -1.1 2021, 3.0 Jan-22, 4.1 2020, -0.2% 2021, 1.3% 2022f, ~2.3% Continued improvement in both employment and income growth *Nominal wages deflated by CPI; ** Average for retail, recreation, grocery and pharmacy categories Note: p Preliminary, f Forecast Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia, Google Mobility (data up to 21 March 2022) and Bank Negara Malaysia. Jan-21, -25.8 Jan-Mar-22 avg., 3.2 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 Improvements in labour market to support household spending Google Mobility** Change Relative to 3 Jan – 6 Feb 2020 (%) Real Private Consumption Annual Change (%) 8 Credit Card Spending by Local Cardholders Annual Change (%) Jan-21, -16.6 Jan-Feb-22 avg., 28.8 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 Absence of strict containment measures to provide additional lift to spending, with further support from pent up demand Nominal Manufacturing Wages Annual Change, % 1.9 9.0 2021p 2022f Employment Growth Annual Change, % Jan-22: 2.9% Real Manufacturing Wages* -0.01% 0.5% 1.7% Malaysians are highly indebted but their capacity to repay remain supported by targeted assistance and prudent lending standards While debt-servicing capacity of borrowers remained sound… Matters arising Household debt-to-GDP ratio remains on the higher end compared to regional economies TH = Thailand; SG = Singapore; ID = Indonesia; PH = Philippines 1 As at Sep. 2021. Household debt-to-GDP ratio for Indonesia and the Philippines covers household debt from the banking system only, while for Thailand and Singapore, it covers household debt from banks and non-banks. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bank of International Settlement, Bursa Malaysia, Employees Provident Fund, national authorities, Securities Commission Malaysia, World Bank, and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates. 82.7 87.4 93.2 89.6 89.0 89.3 69.7 17.2 9.9 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21 TH SG ID PH Household Debt-to-GDP % Outstanding household loans (Jun ’21: 35%) 35% Newly-approved loans (Jun ’21: 44%) 44% Median Debt Service Ratios (DSRs) Malaysia Regional Economies1 9 ...further excessive debt accumulation can affect households' spending power Key drivers for overall investment Strong FDI and investment intentions Investments’ recovery to be driven by continued capacity expansions and higher technology adoption 32.4 14.6 54.9 2019 2020 2021 Real Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) Annual Change (%) Key Factors Supporting GFCF Growth Foreign Direct Investments Net inflows, RM bn Total Approved Investments RM bn Greater ESG considerations E&E Metal Products Key Industries Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia, MIDA and Bank Negara Malaysia Note: *Refers to investments in business services sub-sectors including financial services, information and communications, support services and global establishments (investments in principal hubs and regional offices ) 10 Professional Business Services* 128 103 98 83 64 209 2019 2020 2021 Domestic Foreign Continuation of large infrastructure projects Nationwide digital connectivity enhancements Post-pandemic shift towards automation and digitalisation -0.9 6.3 2021p 2022f Policies remain in place to support vulnerable segments and secure a sustainable recovery Policy support in 2022 for households and businesses Source: Newsflows and Bank Negara Malaysia 11 Enhance physical connectivity Strengthen ESG adoption Social protection reform Ensuring sustainable economic recovery on multiple fronts Attract quality foreign investments Special Strategic Investment Fund (RM 2 bil) Digital Ecosystem Acceleration Scheme Incentives for greater adoption of e-commerce Accelerate digital connectivity Create a future-ready workforce Policy Initiatives Direct cash assistance Bantuan Keluarga Malaysia (RM8.2 bil) Hiring incentives Jamin Kerja Keluarga Malaysia (RM2 bil) EPF-related measures Headline inflation to average between 2.2% - 3.2% amid higher underlying inflation Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Headline inflation to average between 2.2% - 3.2% (2021: 2.5%) Headline Inflation Annual Change, % Amid existing policy interventions to contain pass-through from global cost pressures Core inflation to average higher, between 2.0% - 3.0% (2021: 0.7%) As economic activity continues to pick up amid environment of high input costs Inflation outlook subject to Global commodity price developments amid risks from prolonged supply-related disruptions 12 2.5 3.2 1.0 0.7 -1.2 2.5 2.2 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022f -0.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.6 4.2 4.5 5.2 6.6 7.3 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Japan PR China Malaysia Thailand France Indonesia Singapore South Korea Germany Canada United Kingdom Philippines United States South Africa Mexico Russia Brazil Cumulative Inflation Target/Average Several factors have in part contained overall domestic inflationary pressures at the current juncture Source: National authorities and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Note: For more information, please refer to the EMR 2021 box article ‘An Anatomy of Inflation: Effects from the Prolonged Pandemic’ Offsetting factors for Malaysia Cumulative CPI Inflation (Dec-19 to Dec-21) Annualised, % Policy interventions Price ceiling on retail fuel, electricity rebates, price controls on some staple food items Less severe pandemic-related disruptions Proximity to global manufacturing hub Labour participation rate remains forthcoming Spare capacity in the economy and labour market Economic activity well below pre-pandemic trend, with unemployment rate yet to fully recover 13 While overall headline inflation has remained manageable, cost of living concerns have re-emerged Net Income by Income Group RM/month Price pressures in 2021 were driven by specific items... …disproportionately affecting low-income households with low buffers Percentage of CPI Basket with Elevated Inflation in 2021 % of CPI Basket, Weighted Note: Elevated inflation is defined as inflation being above 1 standard deviation from mean, in any months in 2021 * The weighted average is estimated by taking the inflation of individual items and calculating their weighted average. The figures might not add up to the official CPI inflation of 2.5% due to different methodology Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Note: Net income is gross income net expenditure and financial obligations Source: Bank Negara Malaysia estimates based on 2019 Household Income and Expenditure Survey, Department of Statistics, Malaysia Examples of affected items (2021 Inflation) ▲ Fuel: 24.1% ▲ Electricity: 15.2% ▲ Fresh Meat: 3.8% RM4,081 RM1,127 RM230 RM922 RM349 RM203 T20 M40 B40 Expenditure on items experiencing high inflation (excl. fuel & electricity) Net income 80 20 Percentage of CPI Basket 0.8 13.5 Weighted Average Inflation by CPI Basket* Other items High-inflation items Small portion of CPI basket… …experienced sharp price increases 14 Key Growth Drivers Malaysia GDP Growth Annual Change (%) 2022f: 5.3% - 6.3% Continued expansion in external demand supported by the tech upcycle Improvement in employment and income prospects Lifting of containment measures & reopening of international borders Continued access to targeted policy measures The Malaysian economy is projected to grow between 5.3% and 6.3% in 2022 Note: p Preliminary, f Forecast Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Growth to be underpinned by both external and domestic demand against a challenging operating environment Key Challenges in 2022 ► COVID-19 pandemic developments Risk aversion affecting household and business sentiments, and minor disruptions due to absenteeism ► Ongoing geopolitical conflicts Escalation of conflicts leading to elevated commodity prices and supply chain disruptions ► Elevated cost and price pressures Cost of living and profitability concerns weighing on household and business sentiments 15 2020: -5.6% 2021p: 3.1% Risks to the economic outlook remain tilted to the downside Upside risks from external and domestic demand Downside risks from COVID-19, geopolitical conflicts and cost pressures ▼ Weaker-than-expected global growth ▼ Further escalation in geopolitical conflicts ▼ Worsening supply disruptions and labour shortages ▼ Heightened financial market volatility leading to tightening financial conditions ▼ Higher-than-expected cost and price pressures weighing on business and household sentiments ▼ Emergence of severe, vaccine-resistant VOCs ▼ Domestic policy uncertainty 16 2022f: 5.3% - 6.3% ▲ Higher-than expected global growth ▲ Stronger-than-expected improvement in tourism-related sectors amid reopening of borders Monetary policy in 2022 will continue to facilitate a sustainable economic recovery while preserving price stability Determined by new data amid heightened uncertainty and fast- evolving conditions ► Added layer of complexity amid combination of downside risks to growth and upside risks to inflation Ensure degree of accommodation is consistent with the improving economic environment Updated OPR unchanged at 1.75% to maintain support to the economy 2021 Monetary policy stance to facilitate sustainable economic recovery and price stability 2022 Any potential policy adjustments would be gradual and measured Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) % Mar. 2022: 1.75% 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 17 2.9 3.3 1.6 1.4 4.5 4.6 2020 2021 Outstanding corporate bonds* Outstanding loans Net financing Outstanding Business Loan Growth Annual Change (%) Financing to businesses and households remain supportive of economic activity Note: Net financing and household loans include loans from the banking system, development financial institutions (DFIs) and major non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs). Overall business loans include loans from the banking system and DFIs, while working capital loans include loans from the banking system only. *Excludes issuances by Cagamas and non-residents. ** Based on weighted responses of 20 banks, representing 96% of total outstanding banking system loans. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Outstanding Household Loan Growth Annual Change (%) …amid continued flow of credit to businesses and households… Net Financing Annual Change (%) / Cont. to Growth (ppt) Net financing growth was sustained in 2021… 4.8 7.4 1Q-21 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 Working Capital Overall Business 4.1 1.3 7.2 1Q-21 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 Overall Household Residential Property Cars …with banks targeting higher loan growth in 2022 3.4 3.9 4.5 2019 2020 2021 2022f Outstanding Banking System Total Loan Growth Annual Change (%) Actual Banks’ Loan Growth Target** 6.4% - 5.4% 18 Banks remain cautious amid the uncertain credit risk outlook 1 Refers to loans classified as Stage 2 as % of household or business loans. Stage 2 loans refers to exposures that have exhibited deterioration in credit risk, for which banks are required to set aside provisions based on lifetime expected credit losses under Malaysian Financial Reporting Standard 9. 2 Includes regulatory reserves. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia While impairments remain low, banks continue to be cautious in managing credit risks… Matters arising Impairment Ratio Households … and have built sizeable buffers against a potential rise in impairments Loan Loss Coverage Ratio2 % 2015-19 Average Jun '21 Dec '21 Businesses (Jun ’21: 1.1%) 1.0% (Jun ’21: 2.7%) 2.4% Provisions-to-Total Loans % 1.4 1.8 1.9 2015-19 Average Jun '21 Dec '21 1.4 1.8 1.9 113 129 143 Share of Stage 2 Loans1 (Jun ’21: 6.9%) 8.5% (Jun ’21: 15.6%) 16.7% 19 Latest stress tests affirm banks’ ability to support economic recovery under two hypothetical adverse scenarios with extended stress up to end-2024 Rising corporate debt globally warrants continued vigilance Corporate debt has increased with higher financing needs during the pandemic Source: Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Credit Database Critical to balance between short- and long- term economic goals Corporate Debt Share of GDP (%) 73 102 115 Advanced Economies 4Q 10 4Q 19 2Q 21 84 95 105 World Emerging Economies 89 91 98 20 Timely, Direct, and Proportionate Policy Support Unprecedented policies cushioned the downturn; but policy recalibration is required as demand conditions improve. Structural Reforms to Enhance Economic Resilience Labour market flexibility and stronger insolvency laws could expedite resource reallocation and increase productivity. Well-Capitalised Banks to Ensure Macroeconomic and Financial Stability Healthy bank balance sheets disincentivise continued lending to zombie firms. 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020 2021p 2022f 2023f - 2025f Industrialisation Promotion of Investment Act Note: f Forecast, 2023f – 2025f refers to forecasts from the 12th Malaysia Plan; *Based on emissions intensity in 2005 Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia Physical Connectivity North-South Highway Enabling the Services Sector Financial sector reforms High-speed broadband Malaysia GDP Growth Annual Change (%) Effective implementation of structural reforms are key to ensure the Malaysian economy emerges from the crisis stronger and more resilient Past reforms have underpinned Malaysia’s economic development Sustainability 45% reduction in GHG emissions intensity to GDP by 2030*, net zero by 2050 ►Greening finance and financing green Inclusivity Strengthening the effectiveness of financial intermediation ecosystem ►Diversifying choices for customers, including “digital-first” solutions Digitalisation 25.5% contribution of the digital economy to GDP by 2025 ►Digitalising financial services Key Reform Areas 21 Financial Sector Blueprint: Key priorities for 2022-2023 3Broad Themes Finance for All • Diverse financial choices • Strong financial safety nets • Confident consumers Finance for Transformation • Grow alternative finance • Deeper global integration • Vibrant financial landscape Finance for Sustainability • Wider adoption of value-based intermediation • Greening finance and financing green 5Strategic Thrusts Fund Malaysia’s Economic Transformation1 Elevate the Financial Well-being of Households and Businesses 2 Advance Digitalisation3 Facilitate an Orderly Transition to a Greener Economy 4 Advance Value Based Finance Through Islamic Finance Leadership 5 ► Further develop alternative financing instruments to complement traditional finance • Launch a Business Recapitalisation Fund based on blended finance • Operationalise a dedicated alternative finance collaboration mechanism ► Issue the Financial Inclusion Framework 2022-2026 ► Enact the Consumer Credit Act (CCA) and establish the Consumer Credit Oversight Board (CCOB) ► Strengthen resolution arrangements by consolidating the Ombudsman for Financial Services (OFS) and Securities Industry Dispute Resolution Centre (SIDREC) ► Issue and operationalise digital bank licenses in 2022 and roll out the digital insurance / takaful framework ► Facilitate identification and testing of high-impact data sharing use cases ► Implement Climate Change and Principles-based Taxonomy (CCPT) ► Issue principles and guidance on Climate Risk Management, Stress Testing and Scenario Analysis ► Mainstream social finance including expansion of iTEKAD ► Form and operationalise the MIFC Leadership Council (MLC) as an industry- led committee in driving MIFC aspirations * Priorities are non-exhaustive Priorities for 2022-2023* Complemented by regulatory enhancements to address risks, promote fair treatment of consumers, and ensure efficient payment infrastructure 22 In 2022, the Bank aims to further support an orderly and just transition for Malaysia to reach net zero by 2050 Matters arising Key priorities in 2022 Integrate climate-related and environmental risks in prudential regulation and supervision ► Advance adoption of Climate Change and Principle-based Taxonomy and VBIAF1 Sectoral Guides ► Finalise climate risk management requirements2 and VBIAF Sectoral Guides ► Continue preparations for industry- wide Climate Change Stress Tests in 2024 Scale up green finance ► Operationalise Low Carbon Transition Facility ► Continue to actively engage business communities, including SMEs to create greater awareness on climate risk and the need to transition ► Facilitate development of more targeted financial solutions Intensify efforts to bridge data gaps ► Roll out data catalogue, covering the top 8 climate data sources3 for reference by the financial sector Strengthen practices in the disclosure of climate risk by financial institutions ► Step up preparations for mandatory TCFD aligned climate-related financial disclosures by financial institutions Align the financial sector’s response with national strategy ► Intensify engagements with relevant Government ministries, agencies and authorities 1 Value-based Intermediation Financing and Investment Impact Assessment Framework 2 Climate Risk Management and Scenario Analysis (CRMSA) policy document 3 i) GHG emissions; (ii) green/sustainable lending and financing; iii) energy consumption and renewable energy sources; iv) exposure to physical risks v) asset value at risk from natural catastrophes; vi) ESG ratings; vii) water consumption and waste management; viii) biodiversity and deforestation indicators The Bank will continue to work closely with financial industry through the Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) 23 Total Assets RM551.6 bil International Reserves RM486.9 bil USD116.9 bil Net Profit RM12.8 bil Dividend Payable to the Government RM5.0 bil Bank Negara Malaysia: Financial position remained stable in 2021 * Special Drawing Rights ** Malaysian Government Securities Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Financial Position (RM billion, as at 31 December 2021) 24 Income and Expenditures (RM billion, year ended 31 December 2021) Total Income 14.73 Net Profit 12.80 Recurring Expenditure 1.30 Development Expenditure 0.59 Taxation 0.04 Capital & Liabilities Assets RM552 bil Capital RM187 bil Liabilities RM365 bil Summary Malaysian economy is projected to expand between 5.3% - 6.3%, driven by continued external demand and improved domestic economic activity Headline inflation to average between 2.2% - 3.2%, while underlying inflation is expected to average higher Balance of risks remain tilted to the downside, mainly arising from developments surrounding COVID-19 and geopolitical conflicts Financing to businesses and households to continue being supportive of economic activity Imperative to pursue structural reforms to ensure the Malaysian economy emerges from the crisis stronger and more resilient 25 Option 1 Thank you 26 Option 1 Q & A 27 Option 1 Additional Information 28 Higher growth across most economic sectors GDP Growth by Economic Activity (Annual Change, %) % Share (2021p) 2020 2021p 2022f Real GDP 100 -5.6 3.1 5.3 - 6.3 Services 57.0 -5.5 1.9 6.9 Manufacturing 24.3 -2.6 9.5 5.2 Mining & Quarrying 6.7 -10.6 0.7 2.5 Agriculture 7.2 -2.2 -0.2 1.5 Construction 3.7 -19.4 -5.2 6.1 -3.2 1.1 3.9 -0.6 2.2 1.3 -0.8 0.0 0.2 -0.2 -0.01 0.1 -0.9 -0.2 0.2 2020 2021p 2022f Services Manufacturing Mining & Quarrying Agriculture Construction Malaysia GDP Growth by Economic Activity Annual Change (%), Ppt. Contribution Note: p Preliminary, f Forecast Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Real GDP: -5.6% 3.1% 5.3% - 6.3% 29 -2.5 1.1 5.3 -2.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.9 0.2 -1.3 -0.6 0.4 -0.9 -0.4 0.2 0.7 1.7 -1.0 2020 2021p 2022f Private Consumption Private Investment Public Consumption Public Investments Net Exports of Goods & Services Change in Stocks Improvement across most demand components Note: p Preliminary, f Forecast, 1 Excluding stocks Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates GDP Growth by Expenditure Components (Annual Change, %) % Share (2021p) 2020 2021p 2022f Real GDP 100 -5.6 3.1 5.3 - 6.3 Domestic Demand1 92.7 -5.8 1.9 7.2 Private Consumption 58.8 -4.3 1.9 9.0 Private Investment 15.6 -11.9 2.6 5.3 Public Consumption 13.8 3.9 6.6 1.2 Public Investment 4.5 -21.3 -11.4 9.6 Net Exports of Goods and Services 6.0 -13.0 -5.8 2.6 Exports 69.2 -8.9 15.9 4.8 Imports 63.2 -8.4 18.5 5.1 Malaysia GDP Growth by Expenditure Components Annual Change (%), Ppt. Contribution Real GDP: -5.6% 3.1% 5.3% - 6.3% 30 Negative output gap to narrow further in 2022 amid quicker recovery in actual output growth Note: e Estimate, f Forecast Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Actual Output and Potential Output Growth Output Gap 0.8 0.7 0.4 -6.8 -6.0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e 2022f % Share of Potential OutputAnnual Change (%) 31 5.8 4.8 4.3 -5.6 3.14.9 4.9 4.8 1.6 2.3 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e 2022f Actual Output Potential Output 5.3 - 6.3 3.0 - 4.0 Continued growth in potential output, supported by expansion in factors of production 1 Labour Force Expansion -4.0 to -3.0 Quicker recovery in actual output growth to narrow negative output gap 3 Productivity Improvement 2 Capital Accumulation Factors of Production 4.2 3.5 -90 -40 10 60 110 160 210 260 -0.5 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 2020 2021 2022f Current Account Balance % of GDP Current account to remain in surplus within 4.2% - 4.7% in 2022 Current account surplus to be driven by goods surplus... …supported by diversified export products and markets Non-E&E, 47% Note: G3 includes the US, the euro area and Japan. Newly Industrialised Economies (NIEs) refers to Hong Kong SAR, Korea and Chinese Taipei. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 4.2 - 4.7 Exports by Products and Markets (2021) % Share of Total Exports Markets ASEAN, 28% PR China, 15% NIEs, 12% G3, 27% ROW, 18% Goods Surplus Income Deficits Services Deficit Current Account Balance Products E&E, 37% Non-E&E (Resource based), 26% Mining, 6% Agriculture, 8% Non-E&E (Non-resource based), 24% 32 2021 Annual Report, EMR & FSR Presentation Slides Option 1 BANK NEGARA MALAYSIA ► ANNUAL REPORT 2021 ► ECONOMIC AND MONETARY REVIEW 2021 ► FINANCIAL STABILITY REVIEW – SECOND HALF 2021 30 MARCH 2022 1 2 ► However, lingering uncertainties remain along with unfolding developments that could affect Malaysia’s growth prospects ► Policies remain in place to support vulnerable segments and secure a sustainable economic recovery ► Need to advance implementation of structural reforms that furthers a conducive investment climate and enhance long-term competitiveness for the Malaysian economy to emerge stronger and more resilient The Malaysian economy to strengthen in 2022 0 30 60 90 120 150 0 20 40 60 80 100 Jan-20 Jul-20 Feb-21 Aug-21 Mar-22 Volatility Index Oil Prices (RHS) Volatility Index and Brent Oil Prices Index USD/Barrel Economic recovery on track despite challenging global conditions Source: Bank Negara Malaysia estimates, Intercontinental Exchange, Bloomberg, International Monetary Fund ► State of the pandemic Resurgences would still weigh on growth through sentiments and absenteeism. ► Military conflict in Ukraine exerting further pressure on growth via trade, inflation and financial markets. ► Pace of policy normalisation in major economies amid a challenging operating landscape and tighter financial conditions. Growth in 2022 to be affected by.. 3 -3.1 5.8 3.8 to 4.3 2020 2021e 2022f Global Real GDP Growth Annual Change (%) Malaysia’s exports to benefit from continued global demand and higher commodity prices Source: WSTS, IC Insights, MPOB, PETRONAS and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 4 26.2 26.0 10.4 11.0 WSTS IC Insights 2022f 2021 Global Semiconductor Sales Forecasts Annual Change (%) 26.0 10.9 2021p 2022f Gross Exports Annual Change (%) LNG (RM/tonne) 3.0% 1,469 2,000 - 2,200 Brent (USD/barrel) 1.6% 71 100 - 120 CPO (RM/tonne) 6.1% of MY exports (2021) 4,430 6,200 - 6,600 2021 2022f 2011-19 Avg.: 5.2% 2016-19 Avg.: 6.8% 2011-19 Avg.: 4.1% Rest of the World Europe and Americas Other Asian Countries ASEAN Further lift to growth from reopening of international borders Reopening of borders to international tourists would support the recovery of travel receipts Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia, Tourism Malaysia, newsflows Travel Receipts RM billion 5 Share of Tourist Expenditure in Malaysia by Region % share of 2019 9 37 51 4 International Tourism Bubbles Travel bubble for international tourists to Langkawi 15 Nov. 2021 Vaccinated Travel Lane (VTL) Singapore (21 January 2022), Thailand and Cambodia (15 March 2022) 1Q 2022 Reopening of Borders Reopening of international borders to all foreign tourists 1 Apr. 2022 2019: 82.1 2020: 12.6 2021: 0.4 High vaccine coverage domestically enables a more targeted approach to manage COVID-19 Note: Data as at 11.59 PM on 24 March 2022 Source: Ministry of Health Malaysia GitHub (github.com/MoH-Malaysia/covid19-public) 6 97.5 66.2 Adult Booster Primary Vaccinated Primary Vaccinated Partially Vaccinated % of adult population (aged 18+) Vaccine Coverage High booster coverage among adults 36.1Children Partially Vaccinated % of children (aged 5-11) Steadily increasing take-up as PICKids continues High vaccine coverage and effectiveness allows for proportionate, targeted and calibrated approach ►No nationwide containment measures, albeit some impact from self-isolation, absenteeism and risk aversion as cases rise 0 5 10 15 20 0 10 20 30 40 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 New COVID-19 Cases (7 Day Average, Thousands) New ICU COVID-19 Cases (RHS, 7 Day Average, Hundreds) COVID-19 Cases and ICU Cases 94.6 91.5 Adolescent % of adolescents (aged 12-17) Near-universal coverage among adolescents Partially Vaccinated Primary Vaccinated Further improvement in employment prospects amid encouraging signs of hiring activity in 2022 * Tourism-related industries follows SOCSO definition and includes wholesale retail, administrative and support services, accommodation and F&B, transportation and storage, entertainment and recreation ** The placement rate refers to the number of people placed in new jobs under the Employment Insurance Scheme (EIS) for every 100 persons retrenched *** Long-term reforms refer to the initiatives to raise the quality of education, strengthen the technical and vocational education and training (TVET) ecosystem and implement market-based tools to manage foreign workers Source: SOCSO, Department of Statistics, Malaysia, Ministry of Finance (MOF), and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Policy measures supporting the labour market 7 Wage Subsidy Programme Progress of Long-term Reforms*** Upskilling & Reskilling Initiatives MySTEPJaminKerja Avg. Daily Loss of Employment (LOE) and Placement Rate Number of Persons (As at 18 March 2022) 157 171 118 125 40 31 45 41 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2Q21 3Q21 4Q21 1Q22 Non tourism-related LOE Tourism-related LOE* Placement rate** 15.13 15.10 15.29 ~15.6 2019 2020 2021p 2022f Total Employment Million Persons Unemployment and Underemployment % of Labour Force 3.3 4.5 4.6 ~4.0 1.2 2.3 2.0 ~1.3 2019 2020 2021p 2022f Underemployment Rate Unemployment Rate 2020, -1.1 2021, 3.0 Jan-22, 4.1 2020, -0.2% 2021, 1.3% 2022f, ~2.3% Continued improvement in both employment and income growth *Nominal wages deflated by CPI; ** Average for retail, recreation, grocery and pharmacy categories Note: p Preliminary, f Forecast Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia, Google Mobility (data up to 21 March 2022) and Bank Negara Malaysia. Jan-21, -25.8 Jan-Mar-22 avg., 3.2 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 Improvements in labour market to support household spending Google Mobility** Change Relative to 3 Jan – 6 Feb 2020 (%) Real Private Consumption Annual Change (%) 8 Credit Card Spending by Local Cardholders Annual Change (%) Jan-21, -16.6 Jan-Feb-22 avg., 28.8 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 Absence of strict containment measures to provide additional lift to spending, with further support from pent up demand Nominal Manufacturing Wages Annual Change, % 1.9 9.0 2021p 2022f Employment Growth Annual Change, % Jan-22: 2.9% Real Manufacturing Wages* -0.01% 0.5% 1.7% Malaysians are highly indebted but their capacity to repay remain supported by targeted assistance and prudent lending standards While debt-servicing capacity of borrowers remained sound… Matters arising Household debt-to-GDP ratio remains on the higher end compared to regional economies TH = Thailand; SG = Singapore; ID = Indonesia; PH = Philippines 1 As at Sep. 2021. Household debt-to-GDP ratio for Indonesia and the Philippines covers household debt from the banking system only, while for Thailand and Singapore, it covers household debt from banks and non-banks. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bank of International Settlement, Bursa Malaysia, Employees Provident Fund, national authorities, Securities Commission Malaysia, World Bank, and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates. 82.7 87.4 93.2 89.6 89.0 89.3 69.7 17.2 9.9 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Jun-21 Dec-21 TH SG ID PH Household Debt-to-GDP % Outstanding household loans (Jun ’21: 35%) 35% Newly-approved loans (Jun ’21: 44%) 44% Median Debt Service Ratios (DSRs) Malaysia Regional Economies1 9 ...further excessive debt accumulation can affect households' spending power Key drivers for overall investment Strong FDI and investment intentions Investments’ recovery to be driven by continued capacity expansions and higher technology adoption 32.4 14.6 54.9 2019 2020 2021 Real Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) Annual Change (%) Key Factors Supporting GFCF Growth Foreign Direct Investments Net inflows, RM bn Total Approved Investments RM bn Greater ESG considerations E&E Metal Products Key Industries Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia, MIDA and Bank Negara Malaysia Note: *Refers to investments in business services sub-sectors including financial services, information and communications, support services and global establishments (investments in principal hubs and regional offices ) 10 Professional Business Services* 128 103 98 83 64 209 2019 2020 2021 Domestic Foreign Continuation of large infrastructure projects Nationwide digital connectivity enhancements Post-pandemic shift towards automation and digitalisation -0.9 6.3 2021p 2022f Policies remain in place to support vulnerable segments and secure a sustainable recovery Policy support in 2022 for households and businesses Source: Newsflows and Bank Negara Malaysia 11 Enhance physical connectivity Strengthen ESG adoption Social protection reform Ensuring sustainable economic recovery on multiple fronts Attract quality foreign investments Special Strategic Investment Fund (RM 2 bil) Digital Ecosystem Acceleration Scheme Incentives for greater adoption of e-commerce Accelerate digital connectivity Create a future-ready workforce Policy Initiatives Direct cash assistance Bantuan Keluarga Malaysia (RM8.2 bil) Hiring incentives Jamin Kerja Keluarga Malaysia (RM2 bil) EPF-related measures Headline inflation to average between 2.2% - 3.2% amid higher underlying inflation Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Headline inflation to average between 2.2% - 3.2% (2021: 2.5%) Headline Inflation Annual Change, % Amid existing policy interventions to contain pass-through from global cost pressures Core inflation to average higher, between 2.0% - 3.0% (2021: 0.7%) As economic activity continues to pick up amid environment of high input costs Inflation outlook subject to Global commodity price developments amid risks from prolonged supply-related disruptions 12 2.5 3.2 1.0 0.7 -1.2 2.5 2.2 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022f -0.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.6 4.2 4.5 5.2 6.6 7.3 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Japan PR China Malaysia Thailand France Indonesia Singapore South Korea Germany Canada United Kingdom Philippines United States South Africa Mexico Russia Brazil Cumulative Inflation Target/Average Several factors have in part contained overall domestic inflationary pressures at the current juncture Source: National authorities and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Note: For more information, please refer to the EMR 2021 box article ‘An Anatomy of Inflation: Effects from the Prolonged Pandemic’ Offsetting factors for Malaysia Cumulative CPI Inflation (Dec-19 to Dec-21) Annualised, % Policy interventions Price ceiling on retail fuel, electricity rebates, price controls on some staple food items Less severe pandemic-related disruptions Proximity to global manufacturing hub Labour participation rate remains forthcoming Spare capacity in the economy and labour market Economic activity well below pre-pandemic trend, with unemployment rate yet to fully recover 13 While overall headline inflation has remained manageable, cost of living concerns have re-emerged Net Income by Income Group RM/month Price pressures in 2021 were driven by specific items... …disproportionately affecting low-income households with low buffers Percentage of CPI Basket with Elevated Inflation in 2021 % of CPI Basket, Weighted Note: Elevated inflation is defined as inflation being above 1 standard deviation from mean, in any months in 2021 * The weighted average is estimated by taking the inflation of individual items and calculating their weighted average. The figures might not add up to the official CPI inflation of 2.5% due to different methodology Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Note: Net income is gross income net expenditure and financial obligations Source: Bank Negara Malaysia estimates based on 2019 Household Income and Expenditure Survey, Department of Statistics, Malaysia Examples of affected items (2021 Inflation) ▲ Fuel: 24.1% ▲ Electricity: 15.2% ▲ Fresh Meat: 3.8% RM4,081 RM1,127 RM230 RM922 RM349 RM203 T20 M40 B40 Expenditure on items experiencing high inflation (excl. fuel & electricity) Net income 80 20 Percentage of CPI Basket 0.8 13.5 Weighted Average Inflation by CPI Basket* Other items High-inflation items Small portion of CPI basket… …experienced sharp price increases 14 Key Growth Drivers Malaysia GDP Growth Annual Change (%) 2022f: 5.3% - 6.3% Continued expansion in external demand supported by the tech upcycle Improvement in employment and income prospects Lifting of containment measures & reopening of international borders Continued access to targeted policy measures The Malaysian economy is projected to grow between 5.3% and 6.3% in 2022 Note: p Preliminary, f Forecast Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Growth to be underpinned by both external and domestic demand against a challenging operating environment Key Challenges in 2022 ► COVID-19 pandemic developments Risk aversion affecting household and business sentiments, and minor disruptions due to absenteeism ► Ongoing geopolitical conflicts Escalation of conflicts leading to elevated commodity prices and supply chain disruptions ► Elevated cost and price pressures Cost of living and profitability concerns weighing on household and business sentiments 15 2020: -5.6% 2021p: 3.1% Risks to the economic outlook remain tilted to the downside Upside risks from external and domestic demand Downside risks from COVID-19, geopolitical conflicts and cost pressures ▼ Weaker-than-expected global growth ▼ Further escalation in geopolitical conflicts ▼ Worsening supply disruptions and labour shortages ▼ Heightened financial market volatility leading to tightening financial conditions ▼ Higher-than-expected cost and price pressures weighing on business and household sentiments ▼ Emergence of severe, vaccine-resistant VOCs ▼ Domestic policy uncertainty 16 2022f: 5.3% - 6.3% ▲ Higher-than expected global growth ▲ Stronger-than-expected improvement in tourism-related sectors amid reopening of borders Monetary policy in 2022 will continue to facilitate a sustainable economic recovery while preserving price stability Determined by new data amid heightened uncertainty and fast- evolving conditions ► Added layer of complexity amid combination of downside risks to growth and upside risks to inflation Ensure degree of accommodation is consistent with the improving economic environment Updated OPR unchanged at 1.75% to maintain support to the economy 2021 Monetary policy stance to facilitate sustainable economic recovery and price stability 2022 Any potential policy adjustments would be gradual and measured Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) % Mar. 2022: 1.75% 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 17 2.9 3.3 1.6 1.4 4.5 4.6 2020 2021 Outstanding corporate bonds* Outstanding loans Net financing Outstanding Business Loan Growth Annual Change (%) Financing to businesses and households remain supportive of economic activity Note: Net financing and household loans include loans from the banking system, development financial institutions (DFIs) and major non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs). Overall business loans include loans from the banking system and DFIs, while working capital loans include loans from the banking system only. *Excludes issuances by Cagamas and non-residents. ** Based on weighted responses of 20 banks, representing 96% of total outstanding banking system loans. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Outstanding Household Loan Growth Annual Change (%) …amid continued flow of credit to businesses and households… Net Financing Annual Change (%) / Cont. to Growth (ppt) Net financing growth was sustained in 2021… 4.8 7.4 1Q-21 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 Working Capital Overall Business 4.1 1.3 7.2 1Q-21 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 Overall Household Residential Property Cars …with banks targeting higher loan growth in 2022 3.4 3.9 4.5 2019 2020 2021 2022f Outstanding Banking System Total Loan Growth Annual Change (%) Actual Banks’ Loan Growth Target** 6.4% - 5.4% 18 Banks remain cautious amid the uncertain credit risk outlook 1 Refers to loans classified as Stage 2 as % of household or business loans. Stage 2 loans refers to exposures that have exhibited deterioration in credit risk, for which banks are required to set aside provisions based on lifetime expected credit losses under Malaysian Financial Reporting Standard 9. 2 Includes regulatory reserves. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia While impairments remain low, banks continue to be cautious in managing credit risks… Matters arising Impairment Ratio Households … and have built sizeable buffers against a potential rise in impairments Loan Loss Coverage Ratio2 % 2015-19 Average Jun '21 Dec '21 Businesses (Jun ’21: 1.1%) 1.0% (Jun ’21: 2.7%) 2.4% Provisions-to-Total Loans % 1.4 1.8 1.9 2015-19 Average Jun '21 Dec '21 1.4 1.8 1.9 113 129 143 Share of Stage 2 Loans1 (Jun ’21: 6.9%) 8.5% (Jun ’21: 15.6%) 16.7% 19 Latest stress tests affirm banks’ ability to support economic recovery under two hypothetical adverse scenarios with extended stress up to end-2024 Rising corporate debt globally warrants continued vigilance Corporate debt has increased with higher financing needs during the pandemic Source: Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Credit Database Critical to balance between short- and long- term economic goals Corporate Debt Share of GDP (%) 73 102 115 Advanced Economies 4Q 10 4Q 19 2Q 21 84 95 105 World Emerging Economies 89 91 98 20 Timely, Direct, and Proportionate Policy Support Unprecedented policies cushioned the downturn; but policy recalibration is required as demand conditions improve. Structural Reforms to Enhance Economic Resilience Labour market flexibility and stronger insolvency laws could expedite resource reallocation and increase productivity. Well-Capitalised Banks to Ensure Macroeconomic and Financial Stability Healthy bank balance sheets disincentivise continued lending to zombie firms. 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020 2021p 2022f 2023f - 2025f Industrialisation Promotion of Investment Act Note: f Forecast, 2023f – 2025f refers to forecasts from the 12th Malaysia Plan; *Based on emissions intensity in 2005 Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia Physical Connectivity North-South Highway Enabling the Services Sector Financial sector reforms High-speed broadband Malaysia GDP Growth Annual Change (%) Effective implementation of structural reforms are key to ensure the Malaysian economy emerges from the crisis stronger and more resilient Past reforms have underpinned Malaysia’s economic development Sustainability 45% reduction in GHG emissions intensity to GDP by 2030*, net zero by 2050 ►Greening finance and financing green Inclusivity Strengthening the effectiveness of financial intermediation ecosystem ►Diversifying choices for customers, including “digital-first” solutions Digitalisation 25.5% contribution of the digital economy to GDP by 2025 ►Digitalising financial services Key Reform Areas 21 Financial Sector Blueprint: Key priorities for 2022-2023 3Broad Themes Finance for All • Diverse financial choices • Strong financial safety nets • Confident consumers Finance for Transformation • Grow alternative finance • Deeper global integration • Vibrant financial landscape Finance for Sustainability • Wider adoption of value-based intermediation • Greening finance and financing green 5Strategic Thrusts Fund Malaysia’s Economic Transformation1 Elevate the Financial Well-being of Households and Businesses 2 Advance Digitalisation3 Facilitate an Orderly Transition to a Greener Economy 4 Advance Value Based Finance Through Islamic Finance Leadership 5 ► Further develop alternative financing instruments to complement traditional finance • Launch a Business Recapitalisation Fund based on blended finance • Operationalise a dedicated alternative finance collaboration mechanism ► Issue the Financial Inclusion Framework 2022-2026 ► Enact the Consumer Credit Act (CCA) and establish the Consumer Credit Oversight Board (CCOB) ► Strengthen resolution arrangements by consolidating the Ombudsman for Financial Services (OFS) and Securities Industry Dispute Resolution Centre (SIDREC) ► Issue and operationalise digital bank licenses in 2022 and roll out the digital insurance / takaful framework ► Facilitate identification and testing of high-impact data sharing use cases ► Implement Climate Change and Principles-based Taxonomy (CCPT) ► Issue principles and guidance on Climate Risk Management, Stress Testing and Scenario Analysis ► Mainstream social finance including expansion of iTEKAD ► Form and operationalise the MIFC Leadership Council (MLC) as an industry- led committee in driving MIFC aspirations * Priorities are non-exhaustive Priorities for 2022-2023* Complemented by regulatory enhancements to address risks, promote fair treatment of consumers, and ensure efficient payment infrastructure 22 In 2022, the Bank aims to further support an orderly and just transition for Malaysia to reach net zero by 2050 Matters arising Key priorities in 2022 Integrate climate-related and environmental risks in prudential regulation and supervision ► Advance adoption of Climate Change and Principle-based Taxonomy and VBIAF1 Sectoral Guides ► Finalise climate risk management requirements2 and VBIAF Sectoral Guides ► Continue preparations for industry- wide Climate Change Stress Tests in 2024 Scale up green finance ► Operationalise Low Carbon Transition Facility ► Continue to actively engage business communities, including SMEs to create greater awareness on climate risk and the need to transition ► Facilitate development of more targeted financial solutions Intensify efforts to bridge data gaps ► Roll out data catalogue, covering the top 8 climate data sources3 for reference by the financial sector Strengthen practices in the disclosure of climate risk by financial institutions ► Step up preparations for mandatory TCFD aligned climate-related financial disclosures by financial institutions Align the financial sector’s response with national strategy ► Intensify engagements with relevant Government ministries, agencies and authorities 1 Value-based Intermediation Financing and Investment Impact Assessment Framework 2 Climate Risk Management and Scenario Analysis (CRMSA) policy document 3 i) GHG emissions; (ii) green/sustainable lending and financing; iii) energy consumption and renewable energy sources; iv) exposure to physical risks v) asset value at risk from natural catastrophes; vi) ESG ratings; vii) water consumption and waste management; viii) biodiversity and deforestation indicators The Bank will continue to work closely with financial industry through the Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) 23 Total Assets RM551.6 bil International Reserves RM486.9 bil USD116.9 bil Net Profit RM12.8 bil Dividend Payable to the Government RM5.0 bil Bank Negara Malaysia: Financial position remained stable in 2021 * Special Drawing Rights ** Malaysian Government Securities Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Financial Position (RM billion, as at 31 December 2021) 24 Income and Expenditures (RM billion, year ended 31 December 2021) Total Income 14.73 Net Profit 12.80 Recurring Expenditure 1.30 Development Expenditure 0.59 Taxation 0.04 Capital & Liabilities Assets RM552 bil Capital RM187 bil Liabilities RM365 bil Summary Malaysian economy is projected to expand between 5.3% - 6.3%, driven by continued external demand and improved domestic economic activity Headline inflation to average between 2.2% - 3.2%, while underlying inflation is expected to average higher Balance of risks remain tilted to the downside, mainly arising from developments surrounding COVID-19 and geopolitical conflicts Financing to businesses and households to continue being supportive of economic activity Imperative to pursue structural reforms to ensure the Malaysian economy emerges from the crisis stronger and more resilient 25 Option 1 Thank you 26 Option 1 Q & A 27 Option 1 Additional Information 28 Higher growth across most economic sectors GDP Growth by Economic Activity (Annual Change, %) % Share (2021p) 2020 2021p 2022f Real GDP 100 -5.6 3.1 5.3 - 6.3 Services 57.0 -5.5 1.9 6.9 Manufacturing 24.3 -2.6 9.5 5.2 Mining & Quarrying 6.7 -10.6 0.7 2.5 Agriculture 7.2 -2.2 -0.2 1.5 Construction 3.7 -19.4 -5.2 6.1 -3.2 1.1 3.9 -0.6 2.2 1.3 -0.8 0.0 0.2 -0.2 -0.01 0.1 -0.9 -0.2 0.2 2020 2021p 2022f Services Manufacturing Mining & Quarrying Agriculture Construction Malaysia GDP Growth by Economic Activity Annual Change (%), Ppt. Contribution Note: p Preliminary, f Forecast Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Real GDP: -5.6% 3.1% 5.3% - 6.3% 29 -2.5 1.1 5.3 -2.0 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.9 0.2 -1.3 -0.6 0.4 -0.9 -0.4 0.2 0.7 1.7 -1.0 2020 2021p 2022f Private Consumption Private Investment Public Consumption Public Investments Net Exports of Goods & Services Change in Stocks Improvement across most demand components Note: p Preliminary, f Forecast, 1 Excluding stocks Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates GDP Growth by Expenditure Components (Annual Change, %) % Share (2021p) 2020 2021p 2022f Real GDP 100 -5.6 3.1 5.3 - 6.3 Domestic Demand1 92.7 -5.8 1.9 7.2 Private Consumption 58.8 -4.3 1.9 9.0 Private Investment 15.6 -11.9 2.6 5.3 Public Consumption 13.8 3.9 6.6 1.2 Public Investment 4.5 -21.3 -11.4 9.6 Net Exports of Goods and Services 6.0 -13.0 -5.8 2.6 Exports 69.2 -8.9 15.9 4.8 Imports 63.2 -8.4 18.5 5.1 Malaysia GDP Growth by Expenditure Components Annual Change (%), Ppt. Contribution Real GDP: -5.6% 3.1% 5.3% - 6.3% 30 Negative output gap to narrow further in 2022 amid quicker recovery in actual output growth Note: e Estimate, f Forecast Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Actual Output and Potential Output Growth Output Gap 0.8 0.7 0.4 -6.8 -6.0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e 2022f % Share of Potential OutputAnnual Change (%) 31 5.8 4.8 4.3 -5.6 3.14.9 4.9 4.8 1.6 2.3 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021e 2022f Actual Output Potential Output 5.3 - 6.3 3.0 - 4.0 Continued growth in potential output, supported by expansion in factors of production 1 Labour Force Expansion -4.0 to -3.0 Quicker recovery in actual output growth to narrow negative output gap 3 Productivity Improvement 2 Capital Accumulation Factors of Production 4.2 3.5 -90 -40 10 60 110 160 210 260 -0.5 0.5 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.5 2020 2021 2022f Current Account Balance % of GDP Current account to remain in surplus within 4.2% - 4.7% in 2022 Current account surplus to be driven by goods surplus... …supported by diversified export products and markets Non-E&E, 47% Note: G3 includes the US, the euro area and Japan. Newly Industrialised Economies (NIEs) refers to Hong Kong SAR, Korea and Chinese Taipei. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 4.2 - 4.7 Exports by Products and Markets (2021) % Share of Total Exports Markets ASEAN, 28% PR China, 15% NIEs, 12% G3, 27% ROW, 18% Goods Surplus Income Deficits Services Deficit Current Account Balance Products E&E, 37% Non-E&E (Resource based), 26% Mining, 6% Agriculture, 8% Non-E&E (Non-resource based), 24% 32
Press Release
25 Mar 2022
BNM launches Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) to spur Islamic financial product innovation
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/myor-i-launch
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/938039/pd-myor-i.pdf
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Reading: BNM launches Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) to spur Islamic financial product innovation Share: 2 BNM launches Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) to spur Islamic financial product innovation Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Friday, 25 March 2022 25 Mar 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is pleased to announce the launch of MYOR-i. The introduction of MYOR-i will spur the development of innovative Shariah-compliant financial products which will further deepen Malaysia’s Islamic financial market. It will also reinforce a holistic Shariah-compliant ecosystem and enhance best market practices and standards. MYOR-i, the first transaction-based Islamic benchmark rate in the world, is developed in accordance with the Principles for Financial Benchmarks [1]. BNM’s Shariah Advisory Council (SAC) has also confirmed that MYOR-i is Shariah-compliant. MYOR-i will replace the Kuala Lumpur Islamic Reference Rate (KLIRR), which will be discontinued with immediate effect. BNM has collaborated with the Financial Markets Committee (FMC) [2] and the AIBIM-FMAM [3]Islamic Market Technical and Development Committee (IMTDC) on the development of MYOR-i. The policy document is now published on BNM’s website with the following key features and governance standards: MYOR-i is administered and calculated by BNM. It is a volume-weighted average rate of return on Shariah-compliant unsecured overnight Ringgit interbank transactions. This includes BNM’s Islamic overnight monetary operations [4]. MYOR-i is currently based on the Commodity Murabahah instrument. New Shariah-compliant instruments may be included in the future. MYOR-i for any given Kuala Lumpur business day will be published on BNM’s website at 12 p.m. on the following business day. BNM will conduct periodic reviews of MYOR-i to ensure that it remains robust and representative of conditions in the underlying market. The establishment of MYOR-i as the Islamic benchmark rate will be a catalyst in driving Islamic financial product innovation and creating transparency for market players to negotiate and standardise their financial contracts, thus achieving efficient pricing across all financial instruments. This will help to deepen the onshore Islamic financial market and enhance its role in financing real economic activities in Malaysia. For enquiries, the public can reach out to the Financial Benchmark Review team of BNM at fbr@bnm.gov.my. See also: Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) and aggregate volumes Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) Policy Document Footnotes [1] The Principles for Financial Benchmarks is developed by the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO). It provides an overarching framework of principles for benchmarks used in financial markets. [2] The FMC is a committee established by BNM in May 2016. It comprises of representatives from BNM, financial institutions, corporations, financial service providers and other institutions who have prominent roles or participation in the financial markets. [3] AIBIM: Association of Islamic Banking and Financial Institutions Malaysia FMAM: Financial Markets Association Malaysia [4] Excludes Standing Facilities. Bank Negara Malaysia 25 March 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) Issued on: 25 March 2022 BNM/RH/PD 034-4 Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) Applicable to the following interbank institutions: 1. Licensed Islamic banks 2. Licensed banks and licensed investment banks carrying on Islamic banking business 3. Prescribed development financial institutions carrying on Islamic financial business 4. Other interbank institutions that are direct participants of RENTAS Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) Issued on: 25 March 2022 TABLE OF CONTENTS PART A OVERVIEW ............................................................................................... 1 1 Introduction ................................................................................................ 1 2 Applicability ............................................................................................... 1 3 Legal provisions ........................................................................................ 1 4 Effective date ............................................................................................. 1 5 Interpretation ............................................................................................. 1 6 Related legal instruments, policy documents and Shariah rulings ............. 3 PART B DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY ............................................................... 4 7 Calculation and eligible transactions ......................................................... 4 8 Data sources and quality ........................................................................... 4 9 Publication ................................................................................................. 5 PART C GOVERNANCE ......................................................................................... 6 10 Administration of MYOR-i .......................................................................... 6 11 Contingency arrangements ....................................................................... 6 APPENDIX 1 Eligible Instruments ............................................................................. 7 APPENDIX 2 MYOR-i features ................................................................................. 8 APPENDIX 3 Template for submission of RENTAS transaction data ....................... 9 APPENDIX 4 Illustration of a contingency calculation ............................................. 10 Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 1 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 PART A OVERVIEW 1.1 In line with the continued development of the Islamic financial market, the Financial Markets Committee (FMC), in consultation with the AIBIM-FMAM1 Islamic Market Technical and Development Committee (IMTDC), recommended for the replacement of the Kuala Lumpur Islamic Reference Rate (KLIRR) with a new Islamic benchmark rate, named the Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i). MYOR-i is designed based on the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO)’s Principles for Financial Benchmarks. 1.2 This policy document sets out the benchmark design, methodology and governance framework to ensure the integrity and credibility of MYOR-i. 2.1 This policy document is applicable to interbank institutions as defined in paragraph 5.2. 3.1 The requirements in this policy document are specified pursuant to sections 152 and 155 of the Islamic Financial Services Act 2013 (IFSA) and section 116 of the Development Financial Institutions Act 2002 (DFIA). 3.2 The guidance in this policy document is issued pursuant to section 277 of the IFSA and section 126 of the DFIA. 4.1 This policy document comes into effect on 25 March 2022. 5.1 The terms and expressions used in this policy document shall have the same meanings assigned to them in the Financial Services Act 2013 (FSA), IFSA or DFIA, as the case may be, unless otherwise defined in this policy document. 5.2 For the purposes of this policy document: 1 AIBIM: Association of Islamic Banking and Financial Institutions Malaysia FMAM: Financial Markets Association Malaysia 1 Introduction 2 Applicability 3 Legal provisions 4 Effective date 5 Interpretation Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 2 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 “S” denotes a standard, an obligation, a requirement, specification, direction, condition and any interpretative, supplemental and transitional provisions that must be complied with. Non-compliance may result in enforcement action; “G” denotes guidance which may consist of statements or information intended to promote common understanding and advice or recommendations that are encouraged to be adopted; “agent” refers to a market participant, generally an interbank institution or an approved money broker, who executes deals on behalf of its clients pursuant to the clients’ mandate and without taking on market risk in connection with the deals; “business day” means any calendar day from Monday to Friday except a public or bank holiday in Kuala Lumpur; “Commodity Murabahah” refers to a contract based on the sale and purchase of Shariah-compliant commodities where the acquisition cost and the mark-up are disclosed to the purchaser; “Eligible Instrument” means a Shariah-compliant instrument listed in Appendix 1; “FAST” means the Fully Automated System for Issuing / Tendering which is a centralised system for the issuance of debt securities and to facilitate the Bank’s monetary policy operations; “Funding Facility” refers to the funding facility provided by the Bank to meet temporary liquidity needs of interbank institutions at a profit rate as referenced in the Bank’s Policy Document on Standing Facilities; “interbank institutions” refer to the following institutions which are approved by the Bank to deal in the interbank market, whether acting as principals or agents in the wholesale financial markets – (a) licensed Islamic banks under the IFSA; (b) licensed banks and licensed investment banks approved under section 15(1)(a) of the FSA to carry on Islamic banking business; (c) prescribed development financial institutions approved under section 33B(1) of the DFIA to carry on Islamic financial business; and (d) any other interbank institution which is a direct participant of the Real-Time Electronic Transfer of Funds and Securities System (RENTAS); Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 3 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 “MYOR-i” refers to the Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate, which is the Shariah-compliant transaction-based Islamic benchmark rate for Malaysia with features listed in Appendix 2; “principal” refers to a market participant who transacts for its own account and not acting as an agent; “RENTAS” means the Real-Time Electronic Transfer of Funds and Securities System which is the real-time gross settlement system; “senior management” refers to the chief executive officer and senior officers of interbank institutions; “Shariah Advisory Council” refers to the Bank’s Shariah Advisory Council (SAC) established under section 51 of the Central Bank of Malaysia Act 2009, which is the authority for the ascertainment of Islamic law for the purposes of Islamic financial business; “Shariah-compliant” refers to Islamic financial products and services that are consistent with Shariah principles and approved by the Bank’s SAC; and “Standing Facilities” means both the Lending / Funding Facility and Deposit / Acceptance Facility offered by the Bank. 6.1 This policy document must be read together with other relevant legal instruments, policy documents, guidelines, codes or circulars issued by the Bank, in particular - (a) Code of Conduct for Malaysia Wholesale Financial Markets; (b) Participation Rules for Payments and Securities Services; (c) Operational Procedures for Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) Settlement in RENTAS; (d) Policy Document on Standing Facilities; (e) Policy Document on Murabahah; (f) Policy Document on Tawarruq; (g) Policy Document on Wakalah; and (h) the Shariah Advisory Council of Bank Negara Malaysia (SAC) Ruling on the New Islamic Reference Rate i.e Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) based on the 218th SAC Meeting dated 28 October 2021. 6 Related legal instruments, policy documents and Shariah rulings Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 4 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 PART B DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY G 7.1 MYOR-i is calculated as the volume-weighted average rate of return on Shariah- compliant unsecured overnight MYR interbank placements, rounded to two decimal places. Eligible transactions comprise the following transactions that are based on an Eligible Instrument: (a) Unsecured placements between interbank institutions (either brokered or direct/bilateral); and (b) The Bank’s Islamic overnight monetary operations, which comprise tenders conducted through FAST or manual operations, and direct overnight placements between the Bank and interbank institutions, excluding Standing Facilities. G 7.2 To ensure MYOR-i is reflective of the latest conditions and developments in the Islamic financial market, new Eligible Instruments may be added in the future, subject to the following conditions: (a) Instruments shall be approved by the Bank’s SAC; and (b) Instruments shall meet all requirements for MYOR-i as assessed by the Bank, including but not limited to liquidity, data quality and robust governance standards. G 8.1 The data used to calculate MYOR-i is collected from two key sources: (a) RENTAS; and (b) FAST. S 8.2 In the event2 that there is insufficient or missing transaction data submitted through RENTAS3, interbank institutions shall provide all relevant data on their overnight interbank money market transactions to the Bank according to the template provided in Appendix 3 via email by RENTAS closing time, or immediately upon request by the Bank. S 8.3 Interbank institutions shall notify the Investment Operations and Financial Market Department of the Bank and provide all relevant transaction data by the cut-off time specified in paragraph 9.2 upon identification of errors in RENTAS transaction data which affect the calculation of MYOR-i. The notification shall first be made via telephone followed by an email with supporting documentation. S 8.4 The senior management of interbank institutions shall put in place and implement robust internal policies and mechanisms, including effective back-up arrangements to ensure the accuracy of RENTAS transaction data and enable timely detection of errors which may affect the calculation of MYOR-i. 2 For example, due to IT or RENTAS-related issues. 3 Information in MT202 settlement instructions. 7 Calculation and eligible transactions 8 Data sources and quality Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 5 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 G 9.1 MYOR-i for a given business day is published by 12:00 noon on the following business day on the Bank’s official website. S 9.2 Interbank institutions shall report any identified errors to the Investment Operations and Financial Market Department of the Bank by 2:00 p.m. on the publication day. Errors identified or reported after 2:00 p.m. shall not be taken into account by the Bank for the determination of the correct rate. G 9.3 A republication shall be made by the Bank if the erroneous rate is two or more basis points away from the correct rate. G 9.4 A notification shall be made by the Bank by 3:00 p.m. on the same publication day on the official webpage for MYOR-i to indicate a potential republication due to erroneous data. In the absence of such a notification, MYOR-i will not be republished. G 9.5 The republication shall be made by the Bank by 4:00 p.m. on the same publication day. An annotation shall be made to the republished rate to indicate a rate change. 9 Publication Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 6 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 PART C GOVERNANCE G 10.1 The Bank is the administrator of MYOR-i and shall undertake periodic reviews of the design and methodology of MYOR-i to ensure that the benchmark rate accurately reflects the underlying market structure. G 10.2 The Bank will seek the views of the FMC and the IMTDC to ensure that a holistic approach is undertaken when reviewing any changes to MYOR-i design or methodology. For material changes, the Bank will conduct a public consultation to seek feedback from market participants. G 11.1 In the event of disruption to the normal production of MYOR-i (e.g. disruption to trade settlement, interbank trading or data collection), the Bank shall calculate and publish MYOR-i based on the average MYOR-i, adjusted for any changes in the Funding Facility profit rate, over the previous three publication days: MYOR-it = 1 3 �[MYOR-it-n + (FFPRt − FFPRt-n)] 3 𝑛𝑛=1 where t = day of disruption event (i.e. contingency calculation day); and FFPR = Funding Facility profit rate Refer to Appendix 4 for an illustration of the contingency calculations. G 11.2 For exceptional circumstances other than short-term disruptions, the Bank shall exercise expert judgement and recommend an appropriate rate for publication. 10 Administration of MYOR-i 11 Contingency arrangements Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 7 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 1. Commodity Murabahah APPENDIX 1 Eligible Instruments Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 8 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 Description MYOR-i is the transaction-based Islamic benchmark rate based on Shariah-compliant unsecured overnight MYR interbank placements. Administrator and calculator The Bank Calculation methodology Volume-weighted average Rounding precision Rounded to two decimal places Eligible transactions Eligible transactions comprise the following transactions that are based on an Eligible Instrument: (a) Unsecured placements between interbank institutions (either brokered or direct/bilateral); and (b) The Bank’s Islamic overnight monetary operations, which comprise tenders conducted through FAST or manual operations, and direct overnight placements between the Bank and interbank institutions, excluding Standing Facilities. Data sources RENTAS and FAST Data collection window Eligible transactions done throughout the entire business day (i.e. until RENTAS close). Publication 12:00 noon Kuala Lumpur time on the next business day on the Bank’s official website. Republication A republication shall be made by the Bank if the erroneous rate is two or more basis points away from the correct rate and is identified or reported by 2:00 p.m. on the publication day. A notification on potential republication due to erroneous data will be made by 3:00 p.m., with republication (if any) by the Bank by 4:00 p.m. on the same day. Contingency arrangements In the event of disruption to the normal production of MYOR-i, the Bank shall calculate MYOR-i based on the average MYOR-i, adjusted for any changes in the Funding Facility profit rate, over the previous three publication days. For exceptional circumstances, the Bank shall exercise expert judgement and recommend an appropriate rate. APPENDIX 2 MYOR-i features Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 9 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 Institution: ________________________ Date : ________________________ MT202 Additional Info Transaction ID Sender Ref ID Seller BIC Buyer BIC Settlement date TRN code Trans type Status Currency code Amount Market Type Method / Brokers Product Rate Maturity date MMO00 MT202 Settled MYR I MUR For the columns under “MT202 Additional Info”, the information shall be consistent with the codes outlined in Appendix XVII of the Operational Procedures for MYR Settlement in RENTAS, in particular: Category Details Code Market type Islamic I Method / Brokers Brokered Affin Moneybrokers Brokered ICAP (Malaysia) Brokered Harlow’s & MGI Direct Trade AF IM HA DT Product Murabahah MUR Rate Up to 2 decimal places x.xx Maturity date MMM format: JAN, FEB, MAR, APR, MAY, JUN, JUL, AUG, SEP, OCT, NOV, DEC DDMMMYY APPENDIX 3 Template for submission of RENTAS transaction data Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 10 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 Add the difference between the FFPR for the contingency calculation day (t) and the historical date (t-n) For illustrative purposes, the MYOR-i for t-3, t-2 and t-1 were 1.73%, 1.75% and 2.02% respectively. There was a 25 bps increase in the Funding Facility profit rate (FFPR) on day t-1: Rates expressed as percentages (%) Day t-3 t-2 t-1 t MYOR-i 1.73 1.75 2.02 Contingency FFPR 2.00 2.00 2.25 2.25 *25 bps increase in FFPR According to the formula, the MYOR-i for day t-3 and day t-2 will be adjusted upwards by 25 bps to 1.98% and 2.00% respectively: Day t-3 t-2 t-1 Adjusted MYOR-i 1.73 + (2.25 - 2.00) = 1.98 1.75 + (2.25 - 2.00) = 2.00 2.02 + (2.25 - 2.25) = 2.02 Contingency MYOR-i for day t = (1.98 + 2.00 + 2.02) / 3 = 2.00 APPENDIX 4 Illustration of a contingency calculation TABLE OF CONTENTS PART A OVERVIEW 1 Introduction 2 Applicability 3 Legal provisions 4 Effective date 5 Interpretation 6 Related legal instruments, policy documents and Shariah rulings PART B DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY 7 Calculation and eligible transactions 8 Data sources and quality 9 Publication PART C GOVERNANCE 10 Administration of MYOR-i 11 Contingency arrangements APPENDIX 1 Eligible Instruments APPENDIX 2 MYOR-i features APPENDIX 3 Template for submission of RENTAS transaction data APPENDIX 4 Illustration of a contingency calculation
Press Release
22 Mar 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 March 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-15-march-2022
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 March 2022 Share: 3 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 March 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Tuesday, 22 March 2022 22 Mar 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD115.2 billion as at 15 March 2022. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 6.0 months of imports of goods and services, and is 1.2 times total short-term external debt. Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 15 March 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 22 March 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
22 Mar 2022
BIS Innovation Hub and central banks of Australia, Malaysia, Singapore and South Africa develop experimental multi-CBDC platform for international settlements
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/project-dunbar-update1
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Reading: BIS Innovation Hub and central banks of Australia, Malaysia, Singapore and South Africa develop experimental multi-CBDC platform for international settlements Share: 17 BIS Innovation Hub and central banks of Australia, Malaysia, Singapore and South Africa develop experimental multi-CBDC platform for international settlements Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1435 on Tuesday, 22 March 2022 22 Mar 2022 Project Dunbar developed two prototypes for a shared platform that could enable international settlements using digital currencies issued by multiple central banks. The platform was designed to facilitate direct cross-border transactions between institutions in different currencies, with the potential to cut costs and increase speed. The project identified challenges of implementing a multi-CBDC platform shared across central banks and proposes practical solution designs to address them.   The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Innovation Hub, the Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank Negara Malaysia, the Monetary Authority of Singapore, and the South African Reserve Bank today announced the completion of prototypes for a common platform enabling international settlements using multiple central bank digital currencies (mCBDCs). Led by the Innovation Hub’s Singapore Centre, Project Dunbar proved that financial institutions could use CBDCs issued by participating central banks to transact directly with each other on a shared platform. This has the potential to reduce reliance on intermediaries and correspondingly, the costs and time taken to process cross-border transactions. The project was organised along three workstreams: one focusing on high-level functional requirements and design, and two concurrent technical streams that developed prototypes on different technological platforms (Corda and Partior). The project identified three critical questions: which entities should be allowed to hold and transact with CBDCs issued on the platform? How could the flow of cross-border payments be simplified while respecting regulatory differences across jurisdictions? What governance arrangements could give countries sufficient comfort to share critical national infrastructure such as a payments system? The project proposed practical solutions for addressing these issues, which were validated through the development of prototypes that demonstrated the technical viability of multi-CBDC shared platforms for international settlements. “A common platform is the most efficient model for payments connectivity but is also the most challenging to achieve. Project Dunbar demonstrated that key concerns of trust and shared control can be addressed through governance mechanisms enforced by robust technological means, laying the foundation for the development of future global and regional platforms,” said Andrew McCormack, Head of the BIS Innovation Hub Centre in Singapore. Bank Negara Malaysia Assistant Governor Fraziali Ismail said, "The successful completion of Project Dunbar has produced meaningful insights on how a multi-CBDC platform may potentially solve complex issues in the cross-border payment space. The project is a testament to the importance of central bank collaboration in supporting the development of next-generation payment infrastructures. We intend to carry these insights through other proofs-of-concept as we continue our CBDC exploration journey.” The project’s findings also affirmed that any such arrangement should be subject to the governance deemed appropriate by central bank participants, including allowing them to retain control of the application of rules on a jurisdictional and currency level. The details and conclusions of the project were published today in a report that supports the efforts of the G20 roadmap for enhancing cross-border payments, particularly in exploring an international dimension of CBDC design. Feedback on the joint report can be directed to the Dunbar project team at singapore.centre@bisih.org. Download the full report here: https://www.bis.org/publ/othp47.htm   Bank Negara Malaysia BIS Innovation Hub Monetary Authority of Singapore Reserve Bank of Australia South African Reserve Bank  Bank Negara Malaysia 22 March 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
16 Mar 2022
Appointment of Suhaimi Ali as Assistant Governor and Retirement of Assistant Governor Norzila Abd Aziz
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/bnm-new-ag-suhaimi
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Reading: Appointment of Suhaimi Ali as Assistant Governor and Retirement of Assistant Governor Norzila Abd Aziz Share: 18 Appointment of Suhaimi Ali as Assistant Governor and Retirement of Assistant Governor Norzila Abd Aziz Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1100 on Wednesday, 16 March 2022 16 Mar 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) wishes to announce the appointment of Encik Suhaimi Ali as Assistant Governor effective 1 April 2022. Encik Suhaimi joined BNM in 1998 after graduating from the University of Notre Dame, United States of America. Throughout his career with BNM, he has served in various areas which include financial sector development, regulation and supervision, strategic planning, market conduct, international negotiations and IT services, as well as in the Governor’s Office.  BNM would also like to announce the retirement of Assistant Governor Puan Norzila Abdul Aziz on 1 April 2022. Since joining the Bank in 1988, Puan Norzila has played an instrumental role in strengthening and modernising BNM’s investment operations and financial markets functions, and in driving the BNM’s efforts to deepen the Malaysia’s financial market. Assistant Governor Encik Adnan Zaylani Mohamad Zahid will assume Puan Norzila’s existing portfolio comprising the Investment Operations and Financial Markets and Foreign Exchange Policy departments. He will also oversee the Data Management and Statistics department. Encik Suhaimi will meanwhile assume Encik Adnan’s existing portfolio comprising the Financial Development and Innovation, Islamic Finance, as well as Financial Inclusion departments. Governor Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah Mohd Yunus said, “On behalf of BNM, I would like to express my thanks and utmost appreciation to Norzila for her significant contributions to BNM and country in her 35 years of service. Norzila has been a valued member of BNM’s leadership team. Her dedicated service and leadership has helped us navigate and respond to challenging episodes which include the Asian and global financial crises, and the pandemic. We are truly grateful for her service. As for Suhaimi, I am confident that his appointment will strengthen our ability to deliver BNM’s mandates”. Bank Negara Malaysia 16 March 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
15 Mar 2022
Bank Negara Malaysia and World Bank assess nature-related financial risks for Malaysian banks
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/bnm-wb-report-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/3770663/wb-bnm-2022-report.pdf
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Reading: Bank Negara Malaysia and World Bank assess nature-related financial risks for Malaysian banks Share: 7 Bank Negara Malaysia and World Bank assess nature-related financial risks for Malaysian banks Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1315 on Tuesday, 15 March 2022 15 Mar 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia and the World Bank published today a report entitled “An Exploration of Nature-related Financial Risks in Malaysia”. This exploratory study, jointly undertaken by Bank Negara Malaysia and the World Bank, uses local and global data to examine the relationship between the Malaysian financial sector and nature. It also assesses potential exposures to nature-related risks through banks’ financing activities. Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah said, “Ecosystem and planetary health matters to economic and financial stability. While the primary responsibility for addressing these priorities rests with the government, the financial industry and authorities have a critical interest in deepening our understanding and appreciation of the interactions between climate and nature-related risks – because how these risks evolve, both affect and are affected by, the actions of financial institutions.” “By identifying and quantifying nature-related financial risks, authorities will be better positioned to prioritize initiatives within their scope of mandate in managing this concern,” said Ndiame Diop, World Bank Country Director for Brunei, Malaysia, Philippines and Thailand. “We are happy to have partnered with Bank Negara Malaysia to support their leadership on this issue. This report is the first of its kind published by a central bank in Asia. We hope that it will provide an example for other countries facing similar challenges,” added Ndiame. The report provides a launch pad for further study on nature-related risks and highlights the importance of tackling nature loss and climate change in a coherent manner. It also recognises the opportunity to leverage on the progress made on climate initiatives to address broader nature-related risks. Bank Negara Malaysia will continue to engage with the financial sector and other key stakeholders to build capacity in this area. Download the full report here. Bank Negara Malaysia The World Bank   Bank Negara Malaysia 15 March 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia MARCH 2022 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia CONNECT WITH US wbg.org/Malaysia @WorldBankMalaysia @WB_AsiaPacific http://bit.ly/WB_blogsMY www.bnm.gov.my @bnm.official @banknegaramalaysia @BNM_official BNM Official Bank Negara Malaysia MARCH 2022 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia © 2022 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank Sasana Kijang, 2 Jalan Dato Onn, Kuala Lumpur 50480, Malaysia Some rights reserved. This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. 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The risk of claims resulting from such infringement rests solely with you. If you wish to re-use a component of the work, it is your responsibility to determine whether permission is needed for that re-use and to obtain permission from the copyright owner. Examples of components can include, but are not limited to, tables, figures, or images. All queries on rights and licenses should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; e-mail: pubrights@ worldbank.org. Acknowledgements List of Figures List of Boxes Acronyms and Abbreviations Executive Summary ES.1 Introduction ES.2 Key Findings ES.3 Potential Actions to Address Challenges of Nature-Related Financial Risks CHAPTER 1: Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia 1.1 The Malaysian Banking Sector 1.2 Malaysia, a Biodiversity Hotspot 1.3 Nature-Related Financial Risks CHAPTER 2: Exposure Assessment 2.1 Dependency on Ecosystem Services 2.2 Impacts on Ecosystem Services 2.3 Activities in Key Biodiversity Areas 2.4 Physical and Transition Risk Scenarios CHAPTER 3: Potential Actions to Address Nature-Related Financial Risks CHAPTER 4: Conclusions 4.1 Key Findings 4.2 Potential Actions to Address Challenges of Nature-Related Financial Risks 4.3 Areas for Future Exploration References Appendix A.1 Methodology A.2 ENCORE Definitions A.3 Reputational Risk A.4 Drivers of Nature-Related Financial Risk Scenarios in Malaysia A.4.1 Land and Sea Use Change A.4.2 Natural Resource Use and Exploitation A.4.3 Climate Change A.4.4 Pollution A.4.5 Invasive Species and Diseases A.4.6 Governance Issues A.4.7 Policy Uncertainty A.5 Interviews with Experts Focused on Biodiversity in Malaysia A.6 Full List of Explorative Nature-Related Risk Scenarios 4 5 6 7 8 8 10 14 16 19 22 30 32 34 37 42 47 50 58 59 60 61 63 68 69 74 78 80 80 83 85 87 88 89 89 90 91 Table of Contents 3An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia An Exploration of Nature-related Financial Risks in Malaysia was prepared through a joint Bank Negara Malaysia-World Bank collaboration by core team members Nepomuk Dunz, Henk Jan Reinders, Shahira Johan Arief Jothi, Rekha Reddy, Martijn Regelink, Fiona Stewart (World Bank), Mohd Shazwan Shuhaimen, and Thulaja Thessa K. Vasudhevan (BNM), under the supervision of Cecile Thioro Niang (World Bank) and Madelena Mohamed (BNM). Shashank Singh, Samantha Power, Uma Rajoo (World Bank), Keshia Jasmine Ashaari, Nur Izzati Jamal, Nur Zalini Abdul Rahman, and Chow Chin Hwa (BNM) provided key inputs. Pietro Calice, Rafaello Cervigni, Souleymane Coulibaly, Katia D’Hulster, Erik Feyen, Federico Diaz Kalan, Tatiana Didier, Olga Gavryliuk, Giovanni Ruta, Marc Schrijver, Tao Wang (World Bank), Jessica Chew Cheng Lian, Fraziali Ismail, Suraya Sani, Razeen Mohd Rom, Chuah Kue Peng, Katie Lee, Audrey Lim Shu Wen, Nur Syairah Husna (BNM), and Quek Yew Aun of the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources (KeTSA) provided useful comments on draft versions of this report. Kane Chong and Francis Sim designed the report and its cover. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in the text belong solely to the authors, and not necessarily to the authors’ employer, organization, committee, or other group or individual. Acknowledgements 4 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia List of Figures Figure 1 From nature-related risks to financial risks 9 Figure 2 Percentage of Malaysian banks’ commercial loans to sectors with high and very high scores on nature-related risk dimensions 11 Figure 3 Top-15 identified nature-related financial risk scenarios by banking sector commercial loans exposure 13 Figure 4 Possible actions to address challenges of nature-related financial risks 15 Figure 5 Scope of nature-related financial risks within the environmental, social, and governance framework 18 Figure 6 Overall assets per bank type 19 Figure 7 Overall commercial lending of Malaysian banks by sector, as of December 2020 20 Figure 8 Commercial lending by Malaysian banks by state, as of December 2020 21 Figure 9 Projected GDP per sector by state level contribution (percent, 2019) 21 Figure 10 Malaysian environmental performance across several indicators in 2010 and 2020. 26 Figure 11 Change in 2030 real GDP under a partial ecosystem collapse scenario (compared with a no-tipping-point scenario) 27 Figure 12 From nature-related risks to financial risks 31 Figure 13 The financial sector and ecosystem services dependencies per Malaysian ringgit invested (in million RM) 34 Figure 14 Relative commercial lending exposure to sectors with high or very high dependencies (physical risk) 35 Figure 15 Dependency of the commercial lending portfolio to individual ecosystem services (percentage) 36 Figure 16 Unweighted share of commercial lending portfolio with high or very high dependencies on ecosystem services by type of bank 36 Figure 17 The environmental impact of financial sector lending per Malaysian ringgit invested (in million RM) 37 Figure 18 Relative commercial lending exposure to NACE sectors with high or very high impacts 38 Figure 19 Impact of the commercial lending portfolio on impact drivers from firms’ business activities (in percentage) 39 Figure 20 Unweighted share of commercial lending portfolio with high or very high impact drivers from firms’ activities on natural assets and ecosystem services by type of bank 40 Figure 21 High resolution Malaysia industrial and smallholder oil palm map for 2019 41 Figure 22 Protected areas in Malaysia 43 Figure 23 Protected and non-protected KBA as a share of Malaysian States area (percent of total state area) 44 Figure 24 Commercial residential and non-residential purchase lending exposure by Postal Code area of Malaysian banks to non-protected KBA 45 Figure 25 Net ecosystem service use (potential vs. realized services index) per district in Malaysia. Model results from the Co$tingNature version 3 policy support system 45 Figure 26 Identified nature-related financial risk scenarios by banking sector exposure 48 5An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia List of Boxes Box 1 Assessing materiality of an ecosystem service for a business 24 Box 2 Case Study − Transition risk for Malaysia’s palm oil sector 41 Box 3 Context for nature-related risks to the financial sector: Findings from the Netherlands, France, and Brazil 49 Box 4 Mobilizing private finance for nature 53 Box 5 Nature-related disclosure developments 56 6 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Acronyms and Abbreviations ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations BNM Bank Negara Malaysia CO2/ CO2e Carbon Dioxide/Carbon Dioxide Equivalent CCPT Climate Change and Principle Based Taxonomy DFI Development Finance Institutions DNB Dutch Central Bank (De Nederlandsche Bank) ESG Environmental, Social, and Governance ENCORE Exploring Natural Capital Opportunities, Risks and Exposure (biodiversity tool) EU European Union EUR Euro (currency) GDP Gross Domestic Product GHG Greenhouse Gas Gt Gigaton IPBES Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services IBAT Integrated Biodiversity Assessment Tool KBA Key Biodiversity Areas JC3 Joint Committee on Climate Change MSA Mean Species Abundance MSPO Malaysia Sustainable Palm Oil MyBIS Malaysia Biodiversity Information System NACE Statistical Classification of Activities in the European Community (Nomenclature des Activités Économiques dans la Communauté Européenne) NGFS Network for Greening the Financial System NGO Non-Governmental Organization RM Malaysian ringgit (currency) TCFD Task Force for Climate-related Financial Disclosure TNFD Task Force for Nature-related Financial Disclosure UEBT Union for Ethical Biotrade UK United Kingdom UN United Nations USD United States dollar (currency) VBI/ VBIAF Value-Based Intermediation/Value- Based Intermediation Financing and Investment Impact Assessment Framework WB World Bank WEF World Economic Forum 7An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary The term megadiverse country refers to any one of a group of nations that harbor the majority of Earth’s species and high numbers of endemic species. The World Conservation Monitoring Centre of the United Nations Environment Program has identified 17 mega-diverse countries, one of which is Malaysia. For example, this study finds that two important nature-related factors Malaysian banks may have exposure to are: (1) the imposition of more stringent climate policies and (2) enhanced efforts to preserve nature’s function as a store of carbon-dioxide (C02). It also finds highly relevant risk factors that are connected to climate change – including those related to extensive water use, land use, and pollution other than greenhouse gases (GHGs). 1 2 Malaysia is one of the world’s megadiverse countries, and many of its economic activities are directly or indirectly dependent on nature and its associated ecosystem services.1 The COVID-19 pandemic, with its far-reaching economic impacts, is a reminder of the link between human health and planetary health, given that most human infectious diseases are transmitted between species (Taylor et al. 2001). Ecosystem services are broadly defined as the benefits that people obtain from ecosystems and include regulating services (such as regulation of droughts, floods, and land degradation), provisioning services (such as crops, fresh water, aquaculture, and timber), supporting services (such as photosynthesis, nutrient cycle, and water cycle), and cultural services (such as recreational and other non-material benefits). A recent World Bank (WB) study found that, in a worst-case scenario of partial ecosystem collapse, Malaysia could experience a 6 percent gross domestic product (GDP) annual loss by 2030 compared to a baseline scenario (Johnson et al. 2021). In Malaysia, the losses would be driven by a decline in export demand and adverse impacts of the partial collapse of forestry and fishery ecosystem services. In parallel to climate-related risks, nature-related risks can lead to economic and financial losses. As shown in Figure 1, nature-related risks as defined in this study encompass a broad set of risks that are related to ecosystem services, biodiversity, and natural assets (such as water and forests). Within the environmental risk dimension of the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) framework on sustainability, these risks complement and partly overlap with those risks associated with climate change.2 Physical risk could emerge from the deterioration and loss of ecosystem services that firms depend on. At the same time business operations may have an impact on biodiversity and ecosystem services via excessive natural resources extraction, disposal of waste, or land-use change. If firms do not adapt in a timely fashion and banks do not adjust their lending portfolio, nature-related financial transition risk could materialize. Transition risk consists of sudden changes in policy, technology, and consumer preferences in response to nature loss and can have a substantial impact on the economic, financial, and reputational position of firms and their financing banks with large impacts on biodiversity and ecosystems. Central banks have recently started to investigate biodiversity and other nature-related impacts and dependencies of financial systems. Central banks and supervisors have so far focused mainly on climate- related risks but have recently expanded their efforts to cover a broader set of environmental risks. Studies include France (Svartzman et al. 2021), the Netherlands (van Toor et al. 2020), and Brazil (Calice et al. 2021). Such studies on nature-related risks are nevertheless at a nascent stage and largely exploratory in nature (Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) 2021). ES.1 Introduction 8 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary One of the main roles of the financial system is to allocate capital (both equity and debt) to productive activities. When risks are not adequately understood and priced in, this could lead to an overallocation of capital to sectors that is not in line with sustainability objectives. Furthermore, it hinders adequate mitigation actions to prevent or limit financial impacts of such risks. Exposure is defined here as the fraction of outstanding loans to highly vulnerable sectors and regions that could potentially be affected by adverse nature- related risk factors and scenarios. 3 4 More comprehensive regulatory and supervisory policy implications are under development. The NGFS, of which Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is a member, has recommended several first actions that could be taken by financial sector regulators and supervisors to help build the foundations for more comprehensive measures, namely: (1) capacity building, (2) assessing domestic financial system dependencies and impacts on nature, (3) awareness raising and signaling, and (4) supporting relevant initiatives to the extent possible (NGFS 2021). BNM, as part of its mandate to promote monetary and financial stability conducive to the sustainable growth of the Malaysian economy, has an interest in understanding nature-related financial risks to the financial sector. A better understanding of nature-related financial risks is important for prudential supervision to identify and address any emerging risks in the loan books and investments of banks and other financial institutions. This work is the result of a collaboration between the WB and BNM to: (1) build capacity to develop the analytical framework through which nature-related financial risks can be analyzed and managed and (2) raise awareness of these issues within BNM and among stakeholders in the government and the financial sector. Sustainable policies for the maintenance of ecosystem services are the main responsibility of the line- ministries within the government. However, adequate pricing of nature-related financial risks is important to align capital allocation, including loan origination, with Malaysia’s sustainability goals.3 This report assesses the exposure of Malaysian banks to sectors and regions that are highly vulnerable to nature-related risks.4 Expanding on the work of other central banks, three main types of exposures are examined. These include (1) the exposure of banks to sectors that are highly dependent on ecosystem services and hence pose physical risk, (2) the exposure of banks to sectors that negatively affect ecosystem services Figure 1: From nature-related risks to financial risks Source: Based on van Toor et al. 2020 and Svartzman et al. 2021 Nature Financial system Physical risk • Loss of Ecosystem Services creating » ‘slow-onset’ loss » ‘sudden-onset’ events • Interactions with other ecological issues (e.g., climate change) Dependency Macroeconomic deterioration Impact Revised lending conditions Economy Economic risks • Supply chain disruptions • Raw material price volatility • Limited substitutability of essential ecosystem services • Productivity changes (e.g., agriculture) • Changing demand and costs • Stranded assets • Relocation of activities • Legal liabilities • Lower asset value Financial risks • Credit risk (e.g., losses on corporate loans) • Underwriting risk (e.g., inaccurate risk assessment) • Market risk (e.g., losses on shares and bonds) • Operational risk (e.g., liability risks, legal costs, reputational damage) • Liquidity risk (e.g., refinancing risk) Transition and reputation risk • Policy and regulation change • Change in demand – including from international buyers • Change in technology Liability risk • Lawsuits from harmed communities • Fines from regulators 9An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary and hence pose transition risk, and (3) the exposure of banks to Key Biodiversity Areas (KBA) that may become protected in the future. In addition, a first set of adverse scenarios are identified that are most relevant to Malaysia and these are mapped to bank’s loan exposures. This study makes use of both Malaysian and global data. The sectoral mapping data is primarily obtained from the Exploring Capital Opportunities, Risks and Exposure (ENCORE) database while the exposure data is obtained from BNM. The spatial analysis uses data on KBA in Malaysia from the World Database of Key Biodiversity Areas, hosted by the Integrated Biodiversity Assessment Tool (IBAT). The sectoral analysis covers approximately 90 percent of the total commercial loan portfolio of Malaysian banks while data for the spatial analysis are far more limited. Given that the data and methodologies to assess nature-related financial risks are currently limited, this study is exploratory in nature. This report constitutes a first step towards assessing the exposure of Malaysian banks to nature-related financial risks. However, data on economic and financial vulnerability is often incomplete or unavailable. To get a more complete understanding of nature-related financial risks, further research is needed, this may include developing: (1) a comprehensive set of scenarios to be used in assessing nature-related financial risks, (2) a better understanding of how scenarios lead to adverse economic and financial outcomes (e.g., transmission channels), and (3) models to understand the quantitative impact of scenarios and transmission channels on economic sectors and financial institutions, including banks. Key findings are provided in section ES.2 and a list of potential actions in section ES.3. This terminology refers to the provision of clean water from rain and water flow from natural sources. This terminology refers to unsustainable land use change or resource use, which reduces the extent of natural ecosystems, or over exploits them beyond their ability to replenish, which in turn affects continuous provision of ecosystem services. 5 6 ES.2 Key Findings Based on loans to economic sectors, Malaysian banks are exposed to a broad range of nature-related physical and transition risks. Of the commercial loans portfolio analyzed, 54 percent is exposed to sectors that depend to a high extent on ecosystem services. This high dependency exposes Malaysian banks to physical risk from ecosystem deterioration, particularly related to deterioration in surface water5 (29 percent), climate regulation such as carbon storage (26 percent), and flood and storm protection (16 percent) (Figure 2, panel a). Of the commercial loans portfolio, 87 percent is also exposed to sectors that strongly impact ecosystem services (thus potentially facing a higher level of transition risk from changes in regulations and policies), particularly related to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (61 percent), water use (55 percent), and terrestrial ecosystem use6 (43 percent) among others (Figure 2, panel b). There are wide differences between individual banks and bank types in their exposure to physical risk arising from lending to sectors that depend highly on ecosystem services and transition risk, and arising from lending to sectors that have significant impact on nature. The differences are linked to the target sector of lending that those banks predominantly serve. For example, construction lending is strongly dependent on surface water6,climate regulation, and flood and storm protection, and strongly impacts nature via terrestrial ecosystem use, freshwater use, and GHG emissions, among others. 10 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary Figure 2. Percentage of Malaysian banks’ commercial loans to sectors with high and very high scores on nature-related risk dimensions Source: ENCORE, BNM, WB calculations Animal-based energy Buffering and attenuation of mass �ows Climate regulation Disease control Fibers and other materials Flood and storm protection Ground water Maintain nursery habitatsMass stabilization and erosion control Pest control Pollination Soil quality Surface water Water �ow maintenance Water quality 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 5% 0% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Disturbances Freshwater ecosystem use GHG emissions Marine ecosystem use Non-GHG air pollutants Other resource useSoil pollutants Solid waste Terrestrial ecosystem use Water pollutants Water use 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% (a) Dependency on ecosystem services (physical risk) (b) Impacts on ecosystem services induced by firms’ business activities (transition risk) 11An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary For physical risk, individual banks’ exposure to one or more sectors that are highly or very highly dependent on ecosystem services range between 5 and 83 percent of the total commercial loan portfolio. The average exposure according to bank type ranges from 40 percent (investment banks) to 55 percent (Islamic banks). As for transition risk, the individual banks’ exposures to sectors that highly or very highly impact nature range between 28 and 100 percent. The average exposure according to bank type ranges from 70 percent (investment banks) to 95 percent (development finance institutions (DFIs). The largest variance in exposures to both physical and transition risks according to bank type is observed in investment banks. Based on the spatial distribution of loans, Malaysian banks have limited direct exposure to KBA that may be increasingly protected in the future. KBA are sites that contribute significantly to maintaining global biodiversity and are hence important candidates for future protective regulation (i.e., transition risk).7 The states Perak and Kedah currently have more than a quarter of their territory designated as non-protected KBA. However, the majority of the commercial loans analyzed are channeled to Kuala Lumpur and Selangor, areas that are already well developed. Less than one percent of Malaysian banks’ lending portfolio (RM 329 million, USD 78 million) is estimated to go to firms in currently non-protected KBA. Due to data limitations, however, it is possible that exposures are higher.8 It would be important to monitor new loan origination practices towards both currently protected areas and areas that may become protected in the future, especially as there are ongoing discussions for an increased target on protected areas under the Convention on Biological Diversity, to which Malaysia is a signatory. There may also be an important role to monitor more indirect exposures through, for example, supply chain linkages between firms in and outside protected areas. An explorative set of nature-related events shows that there is a wide range of adverse physical risk and transition risk scenarios that could affect Malaysian banks. Based on ENCORE and interviews with stakeholders, 21 possible scenarios of nature-related financial physical risk and 7 nature-related financial transition risk scenarios were identified. These scenarios were not projections of a business-as-usual scenario, but rather state the current financial exposure if affected ecosystem services of identified scenarios defaulted. Scenarios with the highest banking sector exposure are those that affect a wide range of sectors. These include: reduced ecosystem services due to continued high resource use, pollution, and urban sprawl (44 percent of the commercial loans portfolio), sudden and unexpected introduction of new climate policy (38 percent), and deterioration of ecosystem services due to continued high rates of deforestation (30 percent), as shown in Figure 3. Sectors including agriculture, forestry, fisheries, and tourism are affected by many different financial physical and transition risk scenarios. Other sectors, such as real estate, construction, and wholesale, are large sectors within the Malaysian banking sector’s loan books but have a more limited number of relevant scenarios connected to them. These sectors are specifically exposed to scenarios that limit water availability and scenarios that affect a wide range of ecosystem services (such as deforestation-induced ecosystem service deterioration). The Integrated Biodiversity Assessment Tool website (IBAT) utilizes two subsets of KBA in virtually all countries: Important Bird and Biodiversity Areas (IBA) and Alliance for Zero Extinction Sites (AZE). For Malaysia, KBA data is primarily based on IBA data, capturing bird population and diversity. IBAT data show that IBAs make up 55 of 60 terrestrial KBA in Malaysia. Other areas could be important for biodiversity and at risk as well, where currently no data is available. See Appendix Section A1 for details on data limitations. 7 8 12 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary Source: ENCORE, BNM, interviews, WB calculations. Note: Dark blue scenarios are nature-related financial transition risk scenarios, light blue scenarios are nature-related financial physical risk scenarios. Exposure amounts are based on the share of corporate loans to economic sectors that could be directly affected in the scenario under consideration. Figure 3: Top-15 identified nature-related financial risk scenarios by banking sector commercial loans exposure Reduced ecosystem services due to resource overuse, pollution and urban sprawl Sudden and unexpected climate policy introduction Ecosystem services deterioration due to deforestation Sudden increase in the price of water Regulatory restriction of water pollution Changed ocean current and circulation Increase in sea surface temperature Severe reduction in available timber Severe �ooding occurrence Severe storm occurrence Increased ocean acidi�cation Extension of protected areas Lower clean water availability due to continously high water pollution Regulatory restriction of non-sustainable fertilizers Regulatory restriction of non-sustainable pesticides N at ur e- re la te d � na nc ia l r is k sc en ar io Share of total commercial loans outstanding (%) 0 20 40 13An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary ES.3 Potential Actions to Address Challenges of Nature-Related Financial Risks Based on this initial assessment, the findings of this report may support further policy discussions to understand the potential impacts of nature-related financial risks on the financial sector and the economy. Like climate change, addressing the nature-related agenda demands a multistakeholder approach driven by the federal government as part of an integrated national strategy in which financial regulators can act as a central coordinator for a relevant financial sector action plan. Financial regulators, as advisors to the government, have an important role in providing a feedback loop to the government to highlight the potential impacts of nature-related financial losses to the financial sector and the economy. Thus, this report can be a catalyst to initiate discussions and synchronize existing efforts by relevant government agencies to better model and quantify the value of ecosystem services in Malaysia. Malaysia’s financial sector regulators could build on their ongoing climate change initiatives to deepen the understanding of nature-related financial risks, aiming to address them in a more comprehensive manner. While the discussion on nature-related financial risks is still at a nascent stage, efforts to address such risks are within the existing mandate of BNM to the extent that they pose a threat to its ability to preserve Malaysia’s financial stability. Although this report is exploratory and its analyses have limitations, the risks presented in its findings, Malaysia’s status as a megadiverse country, and the impact of the recent flood event,9 provide motivation for BNM to continue building its internal capacity for analysis and facilitate wider awareness of these issues as initial steps. Moreover, BNM could help contribute towards knowledge development and regulatory discourse on nature-related financial risks in the region and globally, bringing the valuable perspective of a megadiverse developing country. Subsequently, BNM could develop further actions related to nature-related financial risks that are cohesive and integrated within its existing climate change strategy. These might include: (1) national policy discussion and direction on nature-related risks, (2) further development of nature-related financial risks methodologies and analyses, (3) progress of ongoing climate change initiatives and determined linkages with nature-related financial risks, and (4) incorporation of evolving practices and standards from the global financial regulatory and supervisory community. Key areas for actions to manage nature-related financial risks include, (1) raising awareness and policy discourse, (2) enhancing capacity building of relevant stakeholders, (3) enhancing macroeconomic surveillance capacity and risk identification, and (4) developing regulatory and supervisory requirements. Figure 4 depicts recommended actions that could be considered by BNM (and relevant stakeholders such as ministries with responsibility for environmental issues, state-level agencies, and financial institutions) and the level of policy intervention intensity, recognizing the need for prioritization in this challenging pandemic period. The December 2021 flood event, which displaced around 125,000 people across ten states, was linked to extreme weather patterns that became more likely with climate change. Public opinion in one state suggests deforestation worsened flood conditions. As at 2 January 2022, the government had allocated RM1.2 billion (USD335 million) in financial aid and other forms of relief for the flood victims. 9 14 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary Figure 4: Possible actions to address challenges of nature-related financial risks Source: WB. Note: CCPT = Climate Change and Principle-based Taxonomy; VBIAF = Value-based Intermediation Financing and Investment Impact Assessment Framework; ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations. Raising awareness, stakeholder engagement and policy discourse on understanding nature-related financial risks • Disseminate report findings with relevant governmental and non-governmental stakeholders, relevant regulators and supervised financial institutions. • Contribute to knowledge programs that raise awareness on nature-related financial risks. • Advocate and work closely with government to include considerations of nature- related financial risks in relevant policies and investment decisions. • Encourage and support the government towards developing a cohesive national strategy to address nature-related risks alongside climate change. Enhancing capacity building of relevant stakeholders • Expand existing capacity building and stakeholder engagement programs under the Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) to include nature-related financial risks. • Collaborate with key knowledge partners to build understanding and tools for nature-related financial risks. • Support development of incentives and instruments to mobilize private finance for the protection and management of biodiversity and ecosystem services. • Provide financial sector perspectives to government to expand existing government grants/funds related to climate change to encompass goals relevant to protection of biodiversity and ecosystem services. Enhancing macroeconomic surveillance capacity and risk identification • Enhance technical capacity in understanding nature- related financial risks by identifying transmission channels and interacting factors between climate and nature-related risks. • Incorporate a basic concept of nature-related financial risks in existing plans for a surveillance framework on climate risks where both risks have strong synergies (ex: deforestation, disaster resilience). • Improving existing data collection relevant to nature- related risks at a granular level, including for non-credit products (e.g., insurance) and leveraging ongoing work under the JC3. • Consider nature-related financial risks as part of high- level reference scenarios for Malaysia, towards developing stress testing plans for nature-related risks alongside climate change. • Consider supervisory deep dives at select banks that are deemed at higher risk, for example due to their financing activities in (future) protected areas. Developing regulatory and supervisory requirements • Enhance existing guidance on nature-related risks in relevant taxonomies and frameworks (CCPT, VBIAF, ASEAN taxonomy) by synthesizing relevant findings of this report. • Signal expectations for supervised institutions to understand the most relevant nature-related financial risks faced by their institution. • Enhance climate-related regulatory guidance on risk management, governance, and disclosures with specific aspects of nature-related financial risks. • Communicate regulatory and supervisory expectations on managing and disclosing nature-related financial risks along with risks of climate change for supervised institutions. • Develop a monitoring system for new credit to be compliant with climate and nature-related regulations, including checking whether business activities will take place in (future) protected areas. Public awareness/ Policy discourse Capacity building Policy adoption Less intensive More intensive Policy intervention 15An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia CHAPTER 1 16 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Globally, ecosystem health and biodiversity are gaining increasing attention as key challenges for environmental sustainability.10 Biodiversity is declining faster than at any time in human history, with one- quarter of species globally threatened and around one million species facing extinction (Intergovernmental Science Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES)11 2019). The World Economic Forum (WEF), in its Global Risks Report 2021, cited biodiversity loss as one of top global risks society faces (WEF 2021). Biodiversity - the diversity among living organisms - strongly contributes to the generation of ecosystem services and ensures ecosystem functioning.12 Other threats such as land and sea-use change, pollution, direct exploitation of organisms, climate change, and invasive alien species also put ecosystems at risk and these drivers of nature loss are largely the result of human economic activities (IPBES 2019). This is an essential issue as ecosystem services make human life possible by providing essential benefits from ecosystems such as regulating services (such as regulation of floods, droughts, and land degradation), provisioning services (such as crops, fresh water, aquaculture, and timber), supporting services (such as photosynthesis, nutrient cycle, water cycle), and cultural services (such as recreational and other non-material benefits).13 The decline in global wildlife populations coupled with the massive degradation of oceans, forests, freshwater bodies, and other ecosystems undermines nature’s productivity, resilience, and adaptability. Fourteen of the 18 ecosystem services categories that the IPBES defines have declined since 1970 (IPBES 2019). This underpins broad consensus that humanity overstretches its pressure on nature (Steffen et al. 2015; IPBES 2019; Dasgupta 2021). Estimates show that 1.6 earths would be required to maintain the world’s current living standards with the current economic systems (Dasgupta 2021). A continuous excessive use of ecosystems beyond their regenerative rate could trigger abrupt, nonlinear, and systemic change in the health of entire ecosystems, if certain ecological thresholds are passed (Lenton 2013; Dasgupta 2021). This has a direct bearing on future economic performance; furthermore, socio-economic impacts can be particularly severe if ecosystems collapse. To illustrate this point: more than half the world’s total GDP is moderately or highly dependent on nature and its services; with construction, agriculture, and food and beverages being the three sectors that depend most on nature (WEF, 2020). Recently, the devastating effects of the COVID-19 pandemic have provided an important example of what could become a more frequent event due to deforestation, land-use change, and species exploitation (Platto et al. 2021; IPBES 2020). As such, biodiversity and nature loss fuel risks and uncertainties for our economies and wellbeing (Dasgupta 2021; Folke et al. 2021). This report investigates the exposure of the banking sector to a broad range of nature-related risks to the financial sector. Exposure is defined here as the fraction of outstanding loans to highly vulnerable sectors (i.e., highly dependent or highly impacting sectors on nature) in the economy, or in other words the maximum possible loss in those sectors. Nature-related risks encompass risks that relate to ecosystem services, natural assets (such as water and forests), and biodiversity. It thereby covers a large share of the environmental risk dimension in the ESG framework for sustainable development. Thus, the scope of risks that are covered in this report are termed “nature-related risks”, as outlined in Figure 5. Biodiversity is defined in the United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity (1992) as the “variability among living organisms from all sources, including terrestrial, marine and other aquatic ecosystems, and the ecological complexes of which they are part; this includes diversity within species, between species, and of ecosystems”. The IPBES is an independent intergovernmental body established by States to strengthen the science-policy interface for biodiversity and ecosystem services for the conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity, long-term human well-being, and sustainable development (https://ipbes.net/about). https://www.fao.org/ecosystem-services-biodiversity/en/ To emphasize the interconnectedness of biodiversity and ecosystem services this report applies a more holistic terminology of ‘nature’ and ‘nature-related risks.’ 10 11 12 13 17An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Figure 5: Scope of nature-related financial risks within the environmental, social, and governance framework Sustainable Development Environmental Social Governance Other Environmental Biodiversity “Climate” “Nature” “Sustainable” Climate Change Adaptation & Mitigation Source: WB Nature-related risks are sometimes interrelated with climate-related risks, sharing common drivers through human activities. Climate- and nature-related risks are interconnected (Lade et al. 2021) as for instance, climate-induced flooding, wildfires, and cyclones accelerate habitat and biodiversity loss. At the same time, forests, mangroves, and peatlands are natural carbon sinks, capturing and storing carbon dioxide (CO2) while also providing protection from extreme weather events. Protecting and restoring those ecosystems can thereby mitigate climate change and prevent its worst impacts (Poertner et al. 2021). Nevertheless, nature-related risks are often more localized and multidimensional than climate-related risks, posing some challenges for policy design.14 Yet, explicitly considering climate-nature interactions in policy designs provides opportunities to maximize co-benefits, while minimizing trade-offs and compounding risks for the economy and the financial sector (Poertner et al. 2021). Moreover, methodologies used for the assessment of climate-related risks may be tailored to assess nature-related risks as well, including scenario analysis and stress testing. This multidimensionality, for instance, is one reason why there is no single high-level metric to assess the footprint of economic activity such as tons of CO2 equivalent for nature, nor a global goal equivalent to keeping warming well below 2°C and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels (Power et al. 2022). 14 18 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Figure 6: Overall assets per bank type Source: Based on publicly available BNM data (BNM 2021) This total includes all bank categories except for DFIs. https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monthly-highlights-and-statistics-in-november-2021) https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/3q-gdp-2021 15 16 17 Malaysia has a large, well-developed banking sector. Total assets15 in March 2021 were RM 3,016 billion (USD 754 billion or about 224 percent of 2020 GDP) (Figure 6). Government securities (20 percent) and loans and advances (60 percent) make up the bulk of Malaysian banks’ balance sheets, with differences across bank types. BNM is the principal regulator and supervisor of the Malaysian banking sector, which as the central bank for Malaysia, is mandated to promote monetary and financial stability conducive to the sustainable growth of the Malaysian economy. The Malaysian banking sector has shown resilience through the COVID-19 crisis. Capital buffers were adequate with regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets at 18.2 percent as of September 2021. Reported non- performing loans to total gross loans ratio were 1.5 percent as of October 2021, one of the lowest compared to Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries, although extended forbearance measures remained in effect for many individuals and firms. The systemwide liquidity coverage ratio was 153 percent as of October 2021, well above the Basel III regulatory minimum of 100 percent.16 The contraction by 4.5 percent of the Malaysian economy in the third quarter of 2021 was a risk factor to financial stability. However, the Malaysian economy is expected to improve following the normalization of economic activities after the COVID-19 pandemic, which would relax pressures on financial markets.17 Commercial Banks (RM2,063bn) Cash and Cash Equivalents Balances in Current Account with Bank Negara Malaysia Other Deposits Placed and Reverse Repos Statutory Deposits with Bank Negara Malaysia Investment Account Due from Designated Financial Institutions Negotiable Instrument Deposits Held Treasury Bills Government Securities Other Securities Loans and Advances Other Assets Islamic Banks (RM903bn) B an k Ty p e Assets by bank type March 2021 0 20 40 Assets in % of Total 60 80 100 Investment Banks (RM50bn) 1.1 The Malaysian Banking Sector 19An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Comparing Malaysian banks’ commercial sector lending with sectoral GDP data shows that capital intensive sectors such as construction have a higher lending share in banks’ portfolios (15 percent) compared to their contribution to GDP (4 percent). Other sectors are relatively underrepresented, this may be because they have limited access to lending or are less capital intensive (e.g., agriculture has a lending share of 4 percent vs. a GDP share of 8 percent). Furthermore, some sectors might be dominated by large firms (e.g., oil and gas), which are capital intensive but acquire the bulk of their financing from capital markets. This has implications for the analysis as it only considers impacts and dependencies of sectors that have outstanding loans with the Malaysian banking sector. Household loans are the largest share of Malaysian banks’ lending portfolio. 40 percent of commercial sectoral lending goes to corporates, micro, small, and medium enterprises and others. 18 19 Finance provision to the real economy in Malaysia concentrates around loan financing, with a dominant role for the Malaysian banking sector. Seventy-four percent of outstanding net financing in December 2020 was provided by loans from banks and DFIs. Corporate bonds are a growing financing instrument, representing the remaining 26 percent of outstanding net financing. Nevertheless, the banking sector (and specifically loan financing) remains the dominant source of financing. For commercial lending, the wholesale and retail trade sector constitutes the largest share of Malaysian banks’ commercial loans outstanding balance, at slightly more than 16 percent (Figure 6). Manufacturing is the second largest lending exposure (16 percent), followed by construction (15 percent), and real estate (14 percent). This reflects the high importance of manufacturing and construction sectors in the Malaysian economy. The agricultural sector (4 percent) and especially the mining sector (1 percent) constitute only a small share of Malaysian banks’ commercial loans portfolio (Figure 7).18 The following analysis considers Malaysian banks’ commercial sector lending portfolio, which represents a significant share of Malaysian banks’ lending.19 Figure 7: Overall commercial lending of Malaysian banks by sector, as of December 2020 Source: Based on unpublished BNM data Wholesale and Retail Trade 16.14%Other Sectors 15.66% Manufacturing 15.51% Construction 15.12% Real Estate Activities 14.11% Financial and Insurance/ Takaful Activities 10.09% Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 4.39% Transportation and Storage 3.38% Accommodation and Food Service 2.61% Electricity Supply 1.49% Mining and Quarrying 1.04% Water Supply & Co 0.45% Lending by sector 20 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia ‘Supra’ State covers production activities that are beyond the center of predominant economic interest for any state.20 Figure 8: Commercial lending by Malaysian banks by state, as of December 2020 Commercial lending by Malaysian banks is heterogeneously distributed among states (Figure 8), reflecting the population and economic centers of the country. Over 60 percent of commercial lending goes to Kuala Lumpur and Selangor, having a strong manufacturing, service, and real estate sector and contributing the largest share of Malaysian GDP (Figure 9). Johor with its strong oil palm sector (10 percent), Sarawak (6 percent), and Pulau Pinang (5 percent) also receive considerable lending shares. The other Malaysian states share the remaining 17 percent of banks’ lending, with Perlis having the lowest share of only 0.1 percent of total lending. Source: Based on unpublished BNM data Figure 9: Projected GDP per sector by state level contribution (percent, 2019) State100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Agriculture Construction GDP at purchasers prices Import duties Manufacturing Mining and quarrying Services Johor Kedah Kelantan Melaka Negeri Sembilan Pahang Perak Perlis Pulau Pinang Sabah Sarawak Selangor Supra Terengganu W.P. Kuala Lumpur W.P. Labuan Source: Based on Department of statistics Malaysia (DOSM 2021) data20 Sabah Sarawak Selangor Kuala Lumpur Putrajaya Labuan Pahang Perak Melaka Pulau Pinang Negeri Sembilan Terengganu Kelantan Kedah Perlis Johor 30 20 10 0 % O ve ra ll Le nd in g 21An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia The sample of commercial loans outstanding by Malaysian banks represents 90 percent of the total commercial loan portfolio. The sample portfolio data, as of December 2020, totaled RM 733 billion (USD 183 billion). The largest bank type, with about 68 percent share of banking sector assets, are 26 commercial banks, which account for about 66 percent of the lending sample, followed by 16 Islamic banks.21 Islamic banks cover about 30 percent of banking sector assets and about 31 percent of the lending sample. Investment banks are the third bank category, consisting of 10 domestically owned banks22 that account for about 2 percent of total banking sector assets and 0.4 percent of the sample. Additionally, 9 DFIs23 play a role in commercial lending in Malaysia, accounting for about 2 percent of the analyzed lending portfolio in this report. Malaysia’s biological diversity is among the richest in the world. Spread across the three regions of Peninsular Malaysia, Sabah, and Sarawak, Malaysia’s terrestrial, coastal, and marine habitats harbor a wide variety of floral and faunal communities. The country’s forest cover extends to around 59 percent of the total land area (MyBIS 2015).24 This includes extensive tropical peatlands, which cover more than 7 percent of Malaysia’s total land area, and whose unique wet, acidic, and low-nutrient conditions harbor species of plants and animals not found in other tropical forests (MyBIS 2016). These peatlands also store more than 9 gigatons (Gt) of carbon (almost the size of annual global carbon emissions),25 more than twice the 4 Gt carbon that is stored in the rest of Malaysia’s forest vegetation (Page and Rieley 2018). Malaysia’s vast shoreline has more than half a million hectares of mangroves, with five mangrove areas designated as Ramsar sites – an international network of wetlands recognized, among other things, for their importance to conservation of global biological diversity (Ramsar 2010). Together, these and other natural habitats nurture more than 15,000 species of vascular plants, 307 known species of mammals, 785 species of birds, 2,068 species of freshwater and marine animals, 150,000 species of invertebrates, and more than 612 species of hard corals in the country (MyBIS 2015). This rich variety of life has placed Malaysia, a country with only 0.2 percent of the world’s land mass, as one of 17 megadiverse countries in the world.26 Malaysia’s rich biodiversity, and the natural ecosystems it supports, sustain the country’s economy. Natural resources such as oil, timber, and fish, and the provision of ecosystem services such as healthy soils, clean water, pollination, and a stable climate, strongly influence the productivity of various sectors of the economy. Many sectors rely directly on natural resources and ecosystem services for a range of factors within their production processes including inputs to production, inputs to research and development, business operations, and assimilation of waste in these sectors (WEF 2020).27 A sector is highly reliant on an ecosystem service if any disruption in this service can prevent the production processes, and thus directly impact the financial viability of the businesses in these sectors (Box 1) (NCFA and UN-WCMC 2018). https://www.bnm.gov.my/web/guest/islamic-banks: Eight commercial banks have domestic ownership while 18 banks have foreign ownership. Of the 16 Islamic banks, 11 are domestically owned and 5 are foreign owned. https://www.bnm.gov.my/web/guest/investment-banks 6 DFIs regulated under the DFI Act and 3 DFIs not regulated under the DFI Act (https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/akta-institusi- kewangan-pembangunan-2002- act-618-) https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.LND.FRST.ZS?locations=MY Note that global carbon dioxide emissions were 36.7 Gt in 2019 (Ritchie and Roser 2020), this corresponds to carbon emissions of 10 Gt in 2019. https://www.biodiversitya-z.org/content/megadiverse-countries Natural genetic diversity plays a particularly key role in pharmaceutical and biomedical research. 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 1.2 Malaysia, a Biodiversity Hotspot 22 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia The recent Changing Wealth of Nations report by the WB (2021) shows that while human and produced capital in Malaysia have grown, natural capital has declined. Specifically, forests, mangroves, and fisheries-based wealth in Malaysia has declined, while protected areas’, cropland, and pastureland wealth has increased. See the Appendix Section A4 for a more detailed analysis on the current stage of drivers for nature and biodiversity loss in Malaysia as defined by the IPBES (2019). 28 29 Sectors that are highly reliant on an ecosystem service include agriculture, fishing and forestry, construction, electricity, water utilities, and food, beverages, and tobacco sectors. Furthermore, there are other sectors which are moderately reliant on nature, meaning they have a limited dependency on ecosystem services within their direct operations. However, those sectors often rely on inputs from sectors with high direct nature dependencies and are thus indirectly dependent on its ecosystem services. This includes manufacturing, transport, chemicals and materials, aviation, travel and tourism, real estate, mining and metals, retail, consumer goods and lifestyle, oil and gas, and automotive sectors (WEF 2020). This supports the claim by the Dasgupta report (2021), that the entire economy is embedded in nature and as such reliant on a functioning biosphere. Malaysia experienced strong economic growth in recent decades; yet this economic growth has come at the cost of a significant loss of biodiversity and natural capital in the country.28 The country’s high levels of economic growth in the last two decades have led to an exponential rise in demand for natural resources, which in turn has amplified key drivers of nature and biodiversity loss in Malaysia. These include habitat loss and fragmentation, pollution, unsustainable resource extraction and usage, and climate change.29 23An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Materiality of potential dependencies To assess the importance of the contribution an ecosystem service makes to a production process, and the materiality of the impact if this service is disrupted, two aspects can be considered: 1. How significant is the loss of functionality in the production process if the ecosystem service is disrupted? a. Limited loss of functionality: the production process can continue as is or with minor modifications. b. Moderate loss of functionality: the production process can continue only with important modifications (e.g., slower production or use of substitutes). c. Severe loss of functionality: Disruption in the service provision prevents the production process. BOX 1 Assessing materiality of an ecosystem service for a business 24 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Source: Natural Capital Finance Alliance (2021) 2. How significant is the financial loss due to the loss of functionality in the production process? a. Limited financial loss: Disruption to the production process doesn’t materially affect the company’s profits. b. Moderate financial loss: Disruption to the production process materially affects the company’s profits. c. Severe financial loss: There is a reasonable possibility that disruption in the production process will affect the financial viability of the company. The materiality assessment reflects both these considerations. A very high materiality rating means that the loss of functionality is severe and that the expected financial impact is severe as well. Materiality of potential impacts on ecosystem services To assess the importance of a potential impact of a production process on natural capital, the following three aspects were considered: 1. How frequently might the impact occur? • High: The impact and its resulting effects on natural capital are expected to occur continuously throughout the project life cycle. • Medium: The impact and its resulting effects on natural capital are expected to occur regularly throughout the project life cycle (i.e., from several times per year to several times per month). • Low: The impact and its resulting effects on natural capital are expected to occur only a small number of times in the project life cycle (e.g., only during construction/set-up). 2. How quickly might the impact start to affect natural capital? • <1 year: The impact and its resulting effects on natural capital will occur within one year of the start of the production process. • 1-3 years: The impact and its resulting effects on natural capital will occur between one and three years after the start of the production process. • >3 years: The impact and its resulting effects on natural capital will occur more than three years after the start of the production process. 3. How severe might the impact be? • High: The impact and its resulting effects are expected to cause major, irreparable, and long- lasting damage to natural capital. • Medium:  The impact and its resulting effects are expected to cause significant and lasting damage to natural capital. • Low: The impact and its resulting effects are expected to cause minor, reparable, and temporary damage to natural capital. 25An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Major environmental challenges exist with respect to deforestation, pollution, and water management. Figure 10 shows results from the Yale University Environmental Performance Index for Malaysia for the years 2010 (orange) and 2020 (blue).30 Malaysian environmental performance showed improvements in areas like environmental health, air quality, agriculture, climate change, and sanitation and drinking water, though arguably starting from a low environmental performance base. In contrast, pollution emissions and, more notably, ecosystem services and biodiversity and habitat indicators show a deterioration over the past decade. Those findings have also been confirmed in interviews with different stakeholders from academia, the government, and non-governmental organizations (NGOs).31 Interview partners expressed concerns especially with respect to Malaysian forest management, water pollution, and species loss. Furthermore, governance related issues were frequently mentioned as a driver of nature and biodiversity loss. These issues stem mainly from the contention between the federal and state governments’ jurisdiction over land and forest matters.32 Figure 10: Malaysian environmental performance across several indicators in 2010 and 2020 Sources: Based on the Yale Environmental Performance Index Note: Scores are normalized to 100, with 100 being the target to reach. Figure 3 compares environmental indicators between 2010 and 2020 that are scaled to 100. Hence, the graph also provides an indication of the current level of environmental quality in Malaysia, with 100 being perfectly healthy ecosystems. Appendix Section A5 contains details on interview insights. https://www.wwf.org.my/?18445/STATE-GOVERNMENT-HAS-JURISDICTION-OVER-FOREST-AND-LAND-MATTERS; https://www.malaysianbar.org.my/article/ news/legal-and-general-news/legal-news/challenges-in-implementing-and-enforcing-environmental-protection-measures-in-malaysia-by-ainul-jaria-bt- maidin 30 31 32 Environmental Performance Index Environmental Health Air Quality Sanitation & Drinking Water Waste Management Biodiversity & Habitat Ecosystem Services Fisheries Climate Change Pollution Emissions Agriculture Water Resources 0 20 40 60 80 100 2020 2010 26 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Environmental degradation can push an ecosystem to a “tipping point” beyond which it will shift to a new state or collapse entirely. Such a collapse would lead to a large-scale, abrupt decline in ecosystem services. See Johnson et al. (2021) “The Economic Case for Nature - A global Earth-economy model to assess development policy pathways”. The model developed by the WB in collaboration with the University of Minnesota and Purdue University assesses a scenario of partial ecosystem service collapse—a 90 percent reduction in the flow of the following ecosystem services: wild pollination, marine fisheries, and provision of timber from native forests on real economic activity to 2030. The CGE model utilized in the study accounts for a broad range of direct and indirect substitution effects. Under the tipping point scenario, global GDP declines relative to the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario. With less income in the rest of the world, demand for Malaysian exports declines and hence leading to a decline in domestic production in Malaysia relative to BAU. In addition, relative to East Asia and the Pacific, the adverse impacts of ecosystems collapse in Malaysia’s forestry and fisheries are much larger, which would cause a larger decline in Malaysia’s GDP relative to the rest of East Asia and the Pacific. The model used in the analysis does not offer precise predictions about what the global economy or any given country’s economy will look like in the future. Rather, the scenarios described in this report illustrate the direction and range of possible outcomes of select biophysical scenarios and policy responses. The estimations presented are conservative, due to the limited range of ecosystem services considered, as well as other limitations (for further details please see Johnson et al. 2021). 33 34 35 36 Both nature preservation policies and nature loss can have impacts on the economy and hence can be sources of financial risks to Malaysian banks. A recent WB (Johnson et al. 2021) study analyzes the economic impacts from degrading ecosystem services. In an adverse scenario of partial ecosystem collapse, economic losses could mount up to 3.4 percent of GDP in East Asia and the Pacific region in 2030.33,34 For Malaysia specifically, the effects of such a scenario are estimated to be higher than the region’s average, projected at 6 percent of GDP loss by 2030 (Figure 11), driven by decline in export demand and adverse impacts of the collapse of forestry and fisheries ecosystem services.35 Figure 11: Change in 2030 real GDP under a partial ecosystem collapse scenario (compared with a no-tipping-point scenario)36 b) Change in percentage termsa) Change in monetary terms (US$ billions) 0-5-10-15-20-25-1000 -500 0 Sub-Saharan Africa South Asia North America Middle East and North Africa Latin America and Caribbean Europe and Central Asia East Asia and Paci�c Madagascar Angola+DRC Ethiopia Rest of SS Africa Nigeria South Africa Bangladesh Pakistan Rest of S Asia India Canada United States Egypt, Arab Rep. Morocco Rest of M East N Africa Rest of S America Brazil Central America Argentina Colombia Mexico Rest of C Asia Turkey Other Europe Poland Russian Federation European Union Indonesia Vietnam Philippines Malaysia Rest of SE Asia China Korea, Rep. Rest of E Asia Oceania Japan Source: Johnson et al. (2021) 27An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia 28 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia https://ukcop26.org/glasgow-leaders-declaration-on-forests-and-land-use/ https://www.bnm.gov.my/climatechange https://www.nst.com.my/opinion/letters/2021/10/738332/corporate-role-biodiversity-conservation 37 38 39 The Malaysian government has taken several policy actions on biodiversity, with additional initiatives by the private sector. • Its National Policy on Biodiversity 2016-2025 serves as its guide for biodiversity management and complement to Malaysia’s commitment to the United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity and the Sustainable Development Goals. The policy is part of Malaysia’s agenda to promote sustainability and mentions that Malaysia is committed to conserve its biological diversity, promote its sustainable use, and ensure the fair and equitable sharing of benefits arising from the utilization of biological resources. A National Biological Diversity Roundtable group was created in 2019 to advise the minister on the direction and strategy of implementing the National Biodiversity Policy. • Malaysia also signed the Glasgow Leaders’ Declaration on Forests and Land Use at the 26th United Nations (UN) Climate Change Conference of the Parties, a commitment to halt and reverse forest loss and land degradation by 2030.37 Malaysia’s financial regulators have demonstrated their leadership in driving the sustainability and climate change agenda in the financial sector by deploying several initiatives that aim to address climate related risks and sustainable finance practices.38 • In 2019, BNM and the Securities Commission of Malaysia formed the JC3 to pursue collaborative actions for building climate resilience within the Malaysian financial sector. JC3 initiatives encompass aspects of risk management, governance and disclosure, product and innovation, capacity building and stakeholder engagement, and data. • Since its formation, BNM has finalized the issuance of a principle-based taxonomy – Climate Change and Principle-based Taxonomy (CCPT), that is intended to facilitate the financial institutions’ categorization of economic activities against climate objectives and promote the transition to a low-carbon economy. BNM has also collaborated with Islamic financial institutions under the Value-based Intermediation (VBI) Community of Practitioners to publish guidance documents on credit risk management practices to help financial institutions evaluate financing and investment activities against ESG criteria. The CCPT and VBI guidance documents refer to biodiversity risk as an element of managing environmental risks. In December 2021, BNM issued the Reference Guide on Climate Risk Management and Scenario Analysis for public consultation. The JC3 members also supported the proposal for financial institutions to make mandatory Task Force for Climate- related Financial Disclosure (TCFD)-aligned climate-related financial risk disclosures from 2024. Private sector initiatives around biodiversity are also developing. In February 2020, an interim working group consisting of members from the private sector, academia, research institutes, and NGOs was formed with the mandate to establish the Malaysia Platform for Business and Biodiversity. This is envisioned as a platform for the private sector to discuss, share, and collaborate on issues related to biodiversity conservation and its mainstreaming, particularly to support the implementation of the National Policy on Biological Diversity.39 29An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia One of the main roles of the financial system is to allocate capital (both equity and debt) to productive activities. When risks are not adequately understood and priced in, this could lead to an overallocation of capital to sectors that is not in line with sustainability objectives. Further, it hinders adequate mitigation actions to prevent or limit financial impacts of such risks. Subsequent exposure analysis of this report focuses on direct dependencies only. 40 41 Financial institutions’ relationship with nature is twofold, often referred to as a “double materiality” (European Commission 2019, Oman and Svartzman 2021). On the one hand, the activities that are being financed can either contribute to or deteriorate the value of ecosystem services in Malaysia. On the other hand, ongoing biodiversity loss could have negative economic and financial implications for Malaysian firms and the financial sector (NGFS 2021, World Bank Group 2021b). Globally, nature-related risks are becoming increasingly likely, whereas precise timing and magnitude are difficult to predict (Kedward et. al. 2020). Malaysia could be particularly exposed to those risks, given its status as a megadiverse country and its high dependence of economic activity on ecosystem service provision (see section above for details). Better identification, assessment, and management of nature-related financial risks can help align capital allocation with sustainability goals.40 Even though some nature-related risks may be gradual trends, these could turn into abrupt financial risks when financial sector participants reprice assets based on changed future expectations and better data. The degradation of biodiversity and natural ecosystems could lead to physical and transition risks that could transmit through the economy. This could potentially pose a risk for the financial system (Figure 12), with reinforcing macroeconomic feedback effects (Dunz and Power 2021). Physical risk could emerge from the loss of ecosystem services that firms are depending on. Such dependencies could be direct (e.g., fisheries decline for the aquaculture sector) or indirect via supply chain impacts and relative price changes (e.g., higher food prices).41 Physical risk could either be triggered through ‘slow-onset’ loss of ecosystem services (e.g., reduced agricultural yields) or ‘sudden-onset’ events like the triggering of an ecological regime shift (e.g., eutrophication of a lake). 1.3 Nature-Related Financial Risks 30 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia See Appendix Section A3 for details on reputational risk. The impacts of Malaysian companies on biodiversity and nature may also expose them to liability risk. Such risks may materialize for companies through litigation or other legal avenues outside courtrooms such as regulatory fines and enforcement. Physical risk could pose liability risk to companies as they might be deemed responsible for a loss or injury associated with nature loss and may be required to pay compensation to the affected parties. Nature-related transition risk could pose liability risk as firms continuously contributing to nature loss could be sued. Liability risk can materialize for banks through various avenues – direct impacts as defendants in litigation, and indirect second order impacts through credit, investment, and underwriting risk stemming from their exposure to the affected companies, as well as third order indirect impacts through systemic risks if nature-related liability risk is of a sufficient magnitude across sectors or geographies (Barker et al. 2020). 42 43 Figure 12: From nature-related risks to financial risks Source: WB based on van Toor et al. 2020 and Svartzman et al. 2021 Sudden changes in policy, technology, and consumer preferences in response to nature loss can have a substantial impact on the economic, financial, and reputational42 position of firms and their financing banks with large impacts on biodiversity and ecosystems. Business operations may have an impact on biodiversity and ecosystem services via excessive natural resources extraction, disposal of waste, or land-use change. If firms do not adapt timely and banks do not adjust their lending portfolio, nature-related financial transition risk could materialize following sudden changes in policy, technology, and consumer preferences. Those pressures on companies could stem from domestic changes as well as changes in important export markets for Malaysia such as the European Union (EU). Physical and transition risks can directly disrupt production processes or indirectly materialize across value chains of businesses (second- and third-order effects), thus impacting their ability to generate profits and repay debts. The degree of nature-related risk emergence, however, depends on the availability of substitutes for those depleted ecosystem services as well as the ability of firms and banks to adapt timely. If not anticipated and no action is taken, the sectors with high negative impacts on biodiversity may see abrupt write-downs in their asset valuations (stranded assets) as the economies transition to more sustainable pathways and higher liability claims (liability risk)43 arising from impacts and dependencies on biodiversity. For financial institutions, this adverse impact on the profitability of businesses they lend to may translate into market, credit, liquidity, and operational risks (Figure 12). Nature Financial system Physical risk • Loss of Ecosystem Services creating » ‘slow-onset’ loss » ‘sudden-onset’ events • Interactions with other ecological issues (e.g., climate change) Dependency Macroeconomic deterioration Impact Revised lending conditions Economy Economic risks • Supply chain disruptions • Raw material price volatility • Limited substitutability of essential ecosystem services • Productivity changes (e.g., agriculture) • Changing demand and costs • Stranded assets • Relocation of activities • Legal liabilities • Lower asset value Financial risks • Credit risk (e.g., losses on corporate loans) • Underwriting risk (e.g., inaccurate risk assessment) • Market risk (e.g., losses on shares and bonds) • Operational risk (e.g., liability risks, legal costs, reputational damage) • Liquidity risk (e.g., refinancing risk) Transition and reputation risk • Policy and regulation change • Change in demand – including from international buyers • Change in technology Liability risk • Lawsuits from harmed communities • Fines from regulators 31An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Exposure Assessment CHAPTER 2 32 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment A detailed description of the underlying methodology in this report can be found in Appendix Section A1. https://encore.naturalcapital.finance/en/explore Box 1 provides an overview of the core assumptions of ENCORE with respect to materiality of ecosystem services for businesses. One could argue, however, that absent more detailed information on the production process of Malaysian firms, this approach is conservative as it caps the exposure towards one ecosystem service to its relative share of the entire lending portfolio. 44 45 46 47 This report investigates the exposure in the commercial loan book of Malaysian banks using a combination of sectoral and spatial analyses.44 1. First, it investigates banking sector exposures to economic sectors by using the ENCORE biodiversity tool. Following the work of other central banks, the analysis is focused on relationships between economic sectors and ecosystem services with high or very high dependencies, as the degradation of those ecosystem services is likely to have a strong detrimental impact on firms’ business processes (physical risk). 2. Second, exposures of banks to sectors that have a negative impact on ecosystem services and that could hence be subject to transition risk in case of unanticipated policy introduction and consumer preference change are mapped. 3. Third, spatial exposure of banks’ commercial property purchase lending to areas that may become protected in the future are analyzed. 4. Fourth, a first non-exhaustive set of nature-related risk scenarios for Malaysia (see Figure 26) are explored. These are based on interviews (the conclusions of which are summarized in Appendix Section A5), datasets such as ENCORE and the WB Terrestrial Biodiversity Indicators, and reports from Malaysian stakeholders which are summarized in Appendix Section A4. For most analyses results are obtained for individual banks, however outcomes are reported at the bank segment level to ensure confidentiality of respective bank’s exposures. The analysis on ecosystem dependency and impact is conducted by using ENCORE (Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021).45 ENCORE is a database that maps sector-based impacts and dependencies on ecosystem services for sectors of the economy.46 This allows a detailed assessment of the interactions of the economy with the natural environment and thus an exposure analysis of Malaysian banking sectors’ lending portfolio to potential nature-related physical and transition risks. The overall commercial loans outstanding in the sample stood at RM 733 billion (USD 183 billion) as of December 2020. The analysis follows closely the approach proposed by the Dutch Central Bank (DNB) (van Toor et al. 2020), consisting of several steps of data reclassification and remapping. Reclassification and remapping are needed to align sector classification of the lending data with sector classification used in ENCORE. Following the DNB approach, the focus of the analysis is on relationships between economic sectors and ecosystem services with high or very high dependencies only, as the degradation of those ecosystem services is likely to have a strong detrimental impact on firms’ business processes. Likewise, only linkages of economic sectors and drivers of environmental change with a high or very high impact to assess transition risk exposure are considered. The reclassification allows assessment of the nature-related physical and transition risk exposure of the Malaysian banks’ commercial lending portfolio. ENCORE is a global tool and thereby subject to some caveats. Ecosystem service dependencies and the state of natural assets differ by country and require a geographical context to refine the assessment provided by ENCORE. ENCORE focuses on direct nature-related impacts and dependencies for the various sectors of the economy. Thus, ENCORE can only give a comprehensive view on the key first-order nature-related impacts and dependencies at the level of sectors of the economy. Furthermore, the currently applied equal weighting approach in the case of multiple sector or ecosystem service linkages influences the exposure results.47 33An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment This section estimates the risks that Malaysian banks may be exposed to from the loss in ecosystem services (physical risk). Multiple sectors of the economy depend directly or indirectly on ecosystem services. The resilience of these ecosystem services, in turn, is contingent upon a thriving biodiversity. Biodiversity loss, driven by unsustainable business processes, could thus lead to a degradation of the ecosystem services it sustains. In turn, negative impacts on the financial position of companies that depend on these ecosystem services could emerge, with negative financial implications for banks financing them. Fifty-four percent of the commercial lending portfolio of Malaysian banks is to sectors which are highly or very highly dependent on one or several ecosystem services (Figure 13). This amounted to RM 398 billion (USD 94 billion) lent to these sectors as of December 2020.48 Most of these ecosystem service dependencies concentrate around a few economic sectors, with real estate and construction activities constituting about 42 percent of all sectors’ dependencies (Figure 14).49 Real estate activities strongly depend on surface water provision. Construction activities are especially vulnerable to climate physical risk, thus depending on climate regulation (chronic temperature increase) and flood and storm protection (acute climate physical risk). Wholesale trade is also strongly dependent on ecosystem services due to its reliance on climate regulation provision. Agricultural activities make up about 8 percent of sectors’ dependencies on ecosystem services, whereas they depend on a multitude of different ecosystem services such as disease control and maintenance of nursery habitats. This makes agriculture especially vulnerable to a multitude of ecosystem service deteriorations. Figure 13: The financial sector and ecosystem services dependencies per Malaysian ringgit invested (in million RM) Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations This sectoral analysis covers approximately 90 percent of the total corporate loan portfolio of Malaysian banks. The oil and gas sector that is relatively important for the Malaysian economy does not show up prominently in this analysis as oil and gas companies receive large shares of their financing from capital markets. 48 49 2.1 Dependency on Ecosystem Services Real estate activities Leisure facility provision Processed food and drink production Construction materials production Hotels and resorts provision Tyre and rubber production Life science, pharma and biotech manufacture Life science, pharma and biotech tools and services Production of forest and wood-based products Catalytic cracking, fractional distillation and crystallization Natural �bre production Synthetic �bre production Alcoholic fermentation and distilling Tobacco production Nuclear and thermal power stations Iron extraction Geothermal energy production Mining Construction Marine ports and services Distribution Water services (e.g. waste water, treatment and distribution) Cruise line provision Large-scale livestock (beef and dairy) Small-scale livestock (beef and dairy) Telecommunication and wireless services Integrated oil and gas Large-scale forestry Small-scale forestry Hydropower production Solar energy provision Wind energy provision Saltwater wild-caught �sh Freshwater wild-caught �sh Marine transportation Airport services Infrastructure maintenance contracts Large-scale irrigated arable crops Small-scale irrigated arable crops Electric/nuclear power transmission and distribution Large-scale rainfed arable crops Small-scale rainfed arable crops Aquaculture Oil and gas transportation Gas distribution Railway transportation Fibre-optic cable installation (marine) Biomass energy production Production of paper products Production of leisure or personal products Commercial Banks Surface water Ground water Climate regulation Flood and storm protection Water �ow maintenance Water quality Maintain nursery habitats Fibres and other materials Pollination Soil quality Disease control Pest control Animal-based energy Mass stabilisation and erosion control Buffering and attenuation of mass �ows Islamic Banks Investment Banks DFIs Real estate activities Leisure facility provision Processed food and drink production Construction materials production Hotels and resorts provision Tyre and rubber production Life science, pharma and biotech manufacture Life science, pharma and biotech tools and services Production of forest and wood-based products Catalytic cracking, fractional distillation and crystallization Natural �bre production Synthetic �bre production Alcoholic fermentation and distilling Tobacco production Nuclear and thermal power stations Iron extraction Geothermal energy production Mining Construction Marine ports and services Distribution Water services (e.g. waste water, treatment and distribution) Cruise line provision Large-scale livestock (beef and dairy) Small-scale livestock (beef and dairy) Telecommunication and wireless services Integrated oil and gas Large-scale forestry Small-scale forestry Hydropower production Solar energy provision Wind energy provision Saltwater wild-caught �sh Freshwater wild-caught �sh Marine transportation Airport services Infrastructure maintenance contracts Large-scale irrigated arable crops Small-scale irrigated arable crops Electric/nuclear power transmission and distribution Large-scale rainfed arable crops Small-scale rainfed arable crops Aquaculture Oil and gas transportation Gas distribution Railway transportation Fibre-optic cable installation (marine) Biomass energy production Production of paper products Production of leisure or personal products Commercial Banks Surface water Ground water Climate regulation Flood and storm protection Water �ow maintenance Water quality Maintain nursery habitats Fibres and other materials Pollination Soil quality Disease control Pest control Animal-based energy Mass stabilisation and erosion control Buffering and attenuation of mass �ows Islamic Banks Investment Banks DFIs 34 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia 34 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 — Exposure Assessment 2.1 Dependency on Ecosystem Services This section estimates the risks that Malaysian banks may be exposed to from the loss in ecosystem services (physical risk). Multiple sectors of the economy depend directly or indirectly on ecosystem services. The resilience of these ecosystem services, in turn, is contingent upon a thriving biodiversity. Biodiversity loss, driven by unsustainable business processes, could thus lead to a degradation of the ecosystem services it sustains. In turn, negative impacts on the financial position of companies that depend on these ecosystem services could emerge, with negative financial implications for banks financing them. Fifty-four percent of the commercial lending portfolio of Malaysian banks is to sectors which are highly or very highly dependent on one or several ecosystem services (Figure 13). This amounted to RM 398 billion (USD 94 billion) lent to these sectors as of December 2020.48 Most of these ecosystem service dependencies concentrate around a few economic sectors, with real estate and construction activities constituting about 42 percent of all sectors’ dependencies (Figure 14).” Real estate activities strongly depend on surface water provision. Construction activities are especially vulnerable to climate physical risk, thus depending on climate regulation (chronic temperature increase) and flood and storm protection (acute climate physical risk). Wholesale trade is also strongly dependent on ecosystem services due to its reliance on climate regulation provision. Agricultural activities make up about 8 percent of sectors’ dependencies on ecosystem services, whereas they depend on a multitude of different ecosystem services such as disease control and maintenance of nursery habitats. This makes agriculture especially vulnerable to a multitude of ecosystem service deteriorations. Figure 13: The financial sector and ecosystem services dependencies per Malaysian ringgit invested (in million RM) Real estate activities Leisure facility provision Processed food and drink production Construction materials production Hotels and resorts provision Tyre and rubber production cite science, pharma and biotech manufacture =roduction o leisure or ersonal products .ife science, harma andnbiotech tools and services =rodi.ictiori o forest and woodrbased pro ucts catalytic cracking fractional distillation and crystallization atural fibre ro ction ?I'Ofi|‘.lCt‘lO _o pape products :ynt et_lc ibre pro Vucilon . _ 4 Acohollc fermentation and distilling Tab cco pr duction , Nuc ear an thermal power stations lron extraction Geothermal energy production Mining Surface water aim was. I Commercial Banks Climate regulation Construction Marine ports and services Flood and storm protection I Water {low maintenance 1 water quality — Maintain nursery habitats — Distribution water services (e.g. waste water, treatment and distribution) Cruise line provision .arge-scale livestock (beef and dairy) ntegrated oil and gas qarge-scale fores ry , .Y . . ‘ ' ? Sollar El'lel'gy|dPl’OVlSl|'K‘)V1{_ h P°lll"a"°" I I - I - - \£\?inl%fer?e|r\g,l pr°r?i‘fi§ion '5 5°" quallw — ma -sca e orestry— , _ ~ : Small-scale liyestock (beef an’d’dairy)_~~ es, Dlsease Comwl Telecommunication and wireless services \‘\ \ _ \ pest comm; : Freshwater wild-caught fish * e Marine transportation Airport services , infrastructure niaintenance contracts Large-scale Irrigated arable crops 2 Fibres and other materials 1 Islamic Banks T Animalrbasedienergy 2 Investment Banks Z DF|s } kit/lass,stabilisation and erosion control 2 giomass energy P,9duc,i°.-./ I Buffering and attenuation of mass flows 2 Small-scale irrigated arable cm s Electric/nuclear ower transmission and distribution l.arge—scale rain ed arable crops Aquaculture _ Oi and gas transportation srnall-scale rainied arable crops Gas rl u on , Ra: way transportation Fibre—aptic cable installation (marine) Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations 48 This sectoral analysis covers approximately 90 percent of the total corporate loan portfolio of Malaysian banks. 49 The oil and gas sector that is relatively important for the Malaysian economy does not show up prominently in this analysis as oil and gas companies receive large shares of their financing from capital markets. Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment It should be noted that the indicated dependencies per bank level rely on sectoral global averages from the ENCORE database. Ecosystem service dependency might differ depending on project design and should ultimately be assessed on a project level. For instance, a real estate investment that incorporates a passive house standard (i.e. a green building standard) might be far less dependent on ecosystem services such as water compared to conventional real estate projects. 50 Figure 14: Relative commercial lending exposure to sectors with high or very high dependencies (physical risk) Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations Note: Sectors according to the Statistical Classification of Activities in the European Community (NACE) Real estate activities Construction of buildings Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities Manufacture of food products Accommodation Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles Warehousing and support activities for transportation Others 26.6% 15.4% 9.0% 7.7% 5.7% 4.2% 4.1% 2.1% 2.1% 23.2% Among all ecosystem services, Malaysian banks depend most strongly on individual ecosystems which provide surface water (30 percent), ground water (14 percent), flood and storm protection (16 percent), and climate regulation (26 percent) (Figure 15). Of every RM per loan, almost half depends highly or very highly on these four ecosystem services. For instance, Ulu Muda forest complex, covering 7 forest reserves, is an important water catchment forest not only for Kedah (96 percent of its water supply), but also the neighboring states of Penang and Perlis (80 percent and 50 percent of water supply respectively) (Sharma 2016, Ramasamy 2017). Flood and storm protection is becoming increasingly important as climate change grows. For example, floods have already had a substantial impact in Malaysia, with the recent Klang Valley and East Coast floods. The high dependence on climate regulation – long-term carbon storage in natural assets such as soils, vegetable biomass, and the oceans, as well as the role of vegetation to modify temperatures, humidity, and wind speeds at local levels – indicates the strong relevance of natural asset intactness moderating climate change impacts. This shows how climate- and nature-related risks are interacting, with large potential for co- benefits from policy, regulation, and investment. These dependencies of Malaysian banks on ecosystem services vary widely across the types of banks and across individual banks within the same category.50 Ecosystem service dependency varies across bank types, with commercial banks (54 percent) and Islamic banks (55 percent) showing the highest dependency. Both bank types are specifically dependent on climate regulation and surface water, indicating their large exposure towards real estate activities and wholesale sectors. DFIs (46 percent) show a relatively strong dependency on flood and storm protection, indicating the importance of infrastructure and agricultural sectors in their loan portfolio. Dependencies on ecosystem services vary across individual banks, even within the same bank type (Figure 16). Investment banks have the lowest exposure to ecosystem service dependent sectors on average (40 percent), with a high variability across peers. While the overall categories of commercial banks and Islamic banks have the highest dependency on ecosystem services in their loan portfolios, for individual banks dependency can be as low as 10 percent. Those dependencies are often driven by a specific lending focus in banks’ portfolios, with agriculture, real estate, and construction lending showing high dependencies. 35An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Figure 15: Dependency of the commercial lending portfolio to individual ecosystem services (percentage) Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations Figure 16: Unweighted share of commercial lending portfolio with high or very high dependencies on ecosystem services by type of bank Surface water E co sy st em S er vi ce Climate regulation Flood and storm protection Ground water Water �ow maintenance Soil quality Mass stabilization and erosion control Disease control Buffering and attenuation of mass �ows Pest control Pollination Water quality Animal-based energy Fibers and other materials Maintain nursery habitats Very high dependency 0 20 40 60 80 100 High dependency Share of Total Credit to Economic Sectors in % Other 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Islamic Banks Development Finance Institutions Investment Banks Commercial Banks P er ce nt ag e Bank Type Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations 36 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Nature-related financial transition risk could emerge for Malaysian banks through the financing of companies that have negative impacts on biodiversity and ecosystem services, as these companies could face regulatory or reputational implications. A transition to conserve and restore biodiversity may expose companies, and the banks financing them, to potential disruptions and shocks (see Section 1.3 for details). Regulatory and reputational issues could emerge for entire sectors, posing sectoral transition risk. For example, in 2019, Norway’s USD 1 trillion Government Pension Fund Global, revealed that since 2012, the Fund had divested from 33 palm oil companies over deforestation risks.51,52 This included Malaysia’s Sime Darby Plantation, the world’s largest oil palm planter by land size. The Fund also announced that it was asking banks in Indonesia, Malaysia, and Brazil to adopt No Deforestation criteria for their loans to the agricultural sector (Norges Bank 2019). The analysis of impacts on ecosystem services follows the same methodology as for the dependency of ecosystem service assessment. Eighty-seven percent of the commercial loan portfolio analyzed are channeled to sectors which highly or very highly impact various natural assets and ecosystem services (Figure 17). This represented RM 639 billion (USD 151 billion) of commercial loans outstanding to these sectors as of December 2020. Malaysian banks could face high risk to changes in regulations, technologies, and consumer preferences driven by concern over these environmental impacts. This further emphasizes the importance for the financial sector to start taking actions to mitigate such transition risk. https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/investments/holdings-as-at-31.12.2018/ https://www.regnskog.no/en/news/norways-government-pension-fund-acts-against-deforestation-divests-major-agricultural-companies 51 52 2.2 Impacts on Ecosystem Services Figure 17: The environmental impact of financial sector lending per Malaysian ringgit invested (in million RM) Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations Commercial Banks Real estate activities Infrastructure holdings Construction GHG emissions Solid waste Water use Terrestrial ecosystem use Water pollutants Soil pollutants Disturbances Non-GHG air pollutants Freshwater ecosystem use Marine ecosystem use Other resource use Distribution Islamic Banks Investment Banks DFIs Commercial Banks Real estate activities Infrastructure holdings Construction GHG emissions Solid waste Water use Terrestrial ecosystem use Water pollutants Soil pollutants Disturbances Non-GHG air pollutants Freshwater ecosystem use Marine ecosystem use Other resource use Distribution Islamic Banks Investment Banks DFIs 37An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Figure 18: Relative commercial lending exposure to NACE sectors with high or very high impacts Source: Based on unpublished BNM data and ENCORE data Real estate activities Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles Construction of buildings Civil engineering Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities Manufacture of food products Others 43.0% 16.6% 11.2% 9.6% 6.1% 5.1% 4.8% 3.5% The impacts considered here are classified as high or very high impacts. 53 Yet, the commercial lending portfolio of Malaysian banks that highly or very highly drive impacts, are mainly accounted by six sectors which are responsible for over half of those impacts. This is both due to the size of lending exposure and the sectoral characteristics. Those sectors include real estate activities (17 percent), wholesale trade (11 percent), construction of buildings (10 percent), civil engineering (6 percent), retail trade (5 percent), and crops and animal production (5 percent) (Figure 18). Drivers of environmental impact, such as excessive water use, in turn affect the underlying natural assets, such as species, water, and habitat. The banking sector could be particularly exposed to these drivers of environmental impacts given that Malaysia is a megadiverse country and the structure of its economy largely comprises production activities that are closely tied to natural assets and ecosystems. However, as becomes evident, the sectoral impacts on natural assets and ecosystem services are less concentrated than sectoral dependencies on ecosystem service provision. This indicates the wide range of economic activities that have a negative impact on nature and the scope of the challenge to reduce those impacts. Among all impact drivers, the ones individually impacted the most53 through commercial lending by Malaysian banks are GHG emissions (61 percent), water use (56 percent), and terrestrial ecosystem use (43 percent) (Figure 19). Of every RM of lending by the banks, about 40 cents are in sectors that highly or very highly impact these three impact drivers. This indicates the strong exposure of the natural assets that are most severely impacted by those impact drivers. GHG emissions are a main driver of impact on ecosystem services by contributing to climate change, which highlights the interlinkage between climate-related and nature-related risks. It further highlights the relevance of marine and terrestrial protected areas to lower impacts, and helps to maintain key ecosystem service provision in Malaysia. Enforcement of existing protected areas and the creation of new areas could pose significant nature transition risk to the Malaysian banking sector. 38 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Figure 19: Impact of the commercial lending portfolio on impact drivers from firms’ business activities (in percentage) Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations GHG emissions Im p ac t d ri ve rs Water use Terrestrial ecosystem use Solid waste Soil pollutants Disturbances Non-GHG air pollutants Water pollutants Freshwater ecosystem use Marine ecosystem use Other resource use Very high 0 20 40 60 80 100 High Share of Total Credit to Economic Sectors in % Other 39An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment The impacts of Malaysian banks on natural assets and ecosystem services are generally high but vary across types of banks and individual banks.54 Impact drivers vary strongly across individual banks (Figure 20), depending on their lending focus. Banks that have a large exposure towards real estate activities and infrastructure projects, for instance, contribute to the deterioration of natural assets and ecosystem services via GHG emissions, terrestrial ecosystem use, and water-related impacts (i.e., water use and water pollutants). This partially explains why DFIs have a relatively high impact on natural assets and ecosystem services in their loan portfolio (95 percent), followed by Islamic banks (89 percent). There is a relatively low variability in impact among DFIs and Islamic banks, indicating a homogenous impact in their lending activities amongst peers (e.g., DFIs usually lend to sectors with high impacts on nature such as infrastructure and agriculture55). Investment banks show the lowest impact on average; but it is still 70 percent. Additionally, there is high variability across the group. Figure 20: Unweighted share of commercial lending portfolio with high or very high impact drivers from firms’ activities on natural assets and ecosystem services by type of bank Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 Islamic Banks Development Finance Institutions Investment Banks Commercial Banks Pe rc en ta g e Bank Type It should be noted, however, that the indicated impacts per bank level rely on sectoral global averages from the ENCORE database. Ecosystem service impacts might differ depending on project design and should ultimately be assessed on a project level. For instance, a civil engineering project that includes a comprehensive environmental impact assessment in the planning phase might be far less impacting on ecosystem services compared to conventional real estate projects. Note that impact might vary with projects and only global averages are considered here. For example, a sustainable agriculture project with no fertilizer and pesticide use and space for species that is financed by a DFI might actually create a nature-positive impact. 54 55 40 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment The upstream palm oil sector is often linked with deforestation, making it particularly susceptible to transition risk. The sector is particularly relevant for Malaysia as it contributed to 2.7 percent of the country’s GDP in 2019 and is its biggest agricultural export (DOSM 2021). However, shifts in public perception and increased investor pressure have led to an increased focus on reducing the use of commodities with negative environmental impact within the supply chains and production processes of companies. The environmental concerns linked to palm oil have triggered major regulatory and market movements, such as the EU’s 2019 Renewable Energy Directive, which requires that by 2030, no crop sourced from recently deforested areas or peatlands can be used to produce biofuels.56 These considerations linked to negative environmental impacts of the palm oil sector in Malaysia can be a source of transition risk to companies and the financial institutions linked to them. Already, there have been tentative signs of transition risk impacting companies’ stock price performance. While crude palm oil prices rose 42 percent year to year in November 2021, the FBM KLCI Plantation Index slipped 3.8 percent during the corresponding period. This was partly attributed to the “steep ESG discount attached to plantation stock valuations” amid “deforestation, fire and haze, and labor concerns”.57 The Malaysian government has enacted policy measures to boost the share of sustainability certified palm oil58, aiming to mitigate such transition risk. It has enforced mandatory sustainability standards under the Malaysia Sustainable Palm Oil (MSPO) scheme, which mandate all oil palm plantations to be certified for sustainability (Malaysia Palm Oil Board, Government of Malaysia). As of end-2020, 88 percent of the total oil palm planted area in Malaysia, equivalent to 5.2 million hectares, has been MSPO certified.59 Meanwhile, 21 percent of the planted area has also been certified under the internationally recognized Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil.60 There is also a proposal to cap the area of oil palm plantations to 6.5 million hectares by 2023, whereas the area recorded in 2018 was 5.8 million hectares.61 BOX 2 Case Study – Transition risk for Malaysia’s palm oil sector https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/MEMO_19_1656 CPO Price Rally Marred by ESG Concerns, Public Invest Research Sector Update November 8, 2011 https://www.eco-business.com/news/what-is-sustainable-palm-oil/ https://mspotrace.org.my/Home https://rspo.org/news-and-events/news/press-release-positive-growth-for-sustainable-palm-oil https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2021/01/05/malaysia-committed-to-cap-total-oil-palm-planted-area-at-65m-hectares 56 57 58 59 60 61 Figure 21: High resolution Malaysia industrial and smallholder oil palm map for 2019 Source: Adrià et al. 2021, WB calculations Sabah Sarawak Selangor Kuala Lumpur Putrajaya Labuan Pahang Perak Melaka Pulau Pinang Negeri Sembilan Terengganu Kelantan Kedah Perlis Johor Industrial oil palm plantations Smallholder oil palm plantations Other land cover 41An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Malaysian banks could also be exposed to spatial biodiversity transition risk by financing companies that operate in nature and biodiversity-relevant areas. To protect those sites, the government could introduce new protective policy measures that would restrict or even impede business operations in those locations. Companies could face relocation costs or a need to adjust business models, potentially weakening their financial position. Consequently, transition risk for the Malaysian banking sector could emerge. Ambitious global nature conservation targets would require Malaysia to significantly increase its protected area scope (currently at about 13 percent of its land area [UNEP-WCMC 2021]), posing a potential risk for firms that currently operate in to-be protected areas. Recent research shows that more ambitious and urgent steps are needed to stop the rapid decline in biodiversity (IPBES 2019). Thus, a target of 30 percent protection of the Earth’s land and sea area by 2030 (“30x30” goal) is currently being discussed62 and was officially put forward at the UN Convention on Biological Diversity in October 2021 in Kunming, as part of the ‘Kunming Declaration’ (2021).63 This would mean a significant step-up compared to the 2010 declared Aichi Biodiversity Targets, which aim for 17 percent of terrestrial and 10 percent of maritime area protection across the globe (currently at 15 percent globally [Lewis et al. 2019]). Current non-protected KBA could serve as a proxy for areas that could become protected if Malaysia follows the targets of the ‘Kunming Declaration’. Protecting currently non-protected KBA would increase the share of terrestrial protected areas (Figure 22, panel a and b) of total land area from 13 percent (UNEP- WCMC 2021)64 to about 24 percent. However, KBA relevance is not equally distributed across Malaysian states (Figure 23). States such as Perak, Pahang, Kedah, and Selangor are biodiversity hotspots, with KBA making up almost 50 percent of Perak’s land area. While Malaysia has seen ambitious efforts in stepping-up protected areas since the 2000s (UNEP-WCMC 2021), a large share of KBA in Malaysian states is currently non-protected (see light blue bars in Figure 23 as a share of dark blue bars). As such, firms currently operating in those regions could be restricted, with implications for their financing banks. For the spatial transition risk analysis, postal code-based lending data65 for commercial non- residential and residential property purchases (excluding household loans) are mapped to KBA. KBA could potentially be designated as protected in the future and it is thus relevant to see banks’ financial exposure to those areas. This report refers to the gap between the protected areas and KBA as “currently non-protected KBA” and is intended to provide a proxy for areas that could become protected in the future. The sample has loans outstanding and the location of loan utilization as of December 2020 and covers about 5 percent of the overall commercial lending data sample. The Malaysian banking sector has RM 329 million (USD 78 million) in lending exposure to firms that are active in currently non-protected KBA, although limitations in the analysis, such as data restrictions, suggest this could be a conservative estimate. Figure 24 shows the geographical distribution of Malaysian banks’ commercial residential and non-residential property lending that occurs in currently non- protected KBA. Malaysia is also currently considering protecting at least 30% of terrestrial areas and inland waters and 15% of coastal and marine areas through an effectively managed and ecologically representative system of protected areas and other effective area-based conservation measures by 2030. Due to COVID-19, the final negotiations on the Kunming Declaration will not take place until May 2022. Terrestrial protected areas are as of 2016, marine protected areas as of 2022. Data correspond to the location of loan utilization i.e., where the economic activity is undertaken. 62 63 64 65 2.3 Activities in Key Biodiversity Areas 42 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Figure 22: Protected areas in Malaysia Source: UNEP-WCMC 2021, WB calculations Malaysia W.P. Putrajaya W.P. Labuan W.P. Kuala Lumpur Terengganu Selangor Sarawak Sabah Pulau Pinang Perlis Perak Pahang Negeri Sembilan Melaka Kelantan Kedah Johor St at e % of total state area 0 5 10 15 20 25 Protected area share within Malaysian States a) Protected terrestrial area share of total state area as of 2016, by state in Malaysia (percent) b) Protected area (state parks, wildlife reserves, forest reserves) in Malaysia (terrestrial and marine) Sabah Sarawak Selangor Kuala Lumpur Putrajaya Labuan Pahang Perak Melaka Pulau Pinang Negeri Sembilan Terengganu Kelantan Kedah Perlis Johor State park Wildlife reserve Forest Reserve 43An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Figure 23: Protected and non-protected KBA as a share of Malaysian States area (percent of total state area) Malaysia W.P. Putrajaya W.P. Labuan W.P. Kuala Lumpur Terengganu Selangor Sarawak Sabah Pulau Pinang Perlis Perak Pahang Negeri Sembilan Melaka Kelantan Share of protected KBA Share of non-protected KBA Kedah Johor St at e % of total state area Key biodiversity area share within Malaysian States 0 10 20 30 40 Source: Statistical Office Malaysia, IBAT (BirdLife International Partnership, Alliance for Zero Extinction), WB calculations The share of commercial lending to non-protected KBA of overall commercial lending is relatively small, which could be explained by three reasons. First, the geospatial resolution of available financial data only covers residential and non-residential property lending, constituting only a share of 5 percent of overall commercial lending in our sample. Further, the matching process would benefit from geospatial files that could provide the full extent of postal code level territories. Second, sectors that are most likely to be active in those areas include agriculture and mining, only constituting about 5 percent of overall commercial lending of Malaysian banks (Figure 7). Third, the states with the highest shares of non-protected KBA such as Perak, Kedah, and Sarawak only make up about 3 percent, 2 percent, and 6 percent respectively of state-level lending by Malaysian banks (Figure 8), whereas the bulk of the lending of over 60 percent goes to just two states that have limited KBA in their state area (Kuala Lumpur) or no lending that would occur in KBA (Selangor). KBA are in areas that are relatively untouched by economic activity as strong economic activity in those areas would have deteriorated biodiversity and as such impacted their status as KBA. This could point to the fact that first-order spatial transition risk might not be as problematic for the Malaysian banking sector but instead second-order dependencies for firms that depend on the primary inputs from agriculture and mining, such as manufacturing and construction firms, could be indirectly impacted by spatial transition risk.66 Figure 25 supports this claim as the net balance of potential provision of ecosystem services and use of ecosystem services for each district in Malaysia differ strongly across the country. The coastal urban areas of An analysis of upstream and downstream input dependence for selected countries has been conducted by Cahen-Fourot et al. (2020) and Cahen-Fourot et al. (2021) 66 44 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment https://data.humdata.org/67 Figure 24: Commercial residential and non-residential purchase lending exposure by Postal Code area of Malaysian banks to non-protected KBA Source: Statistical Office Malaysia, IBAT, BirdLife International Partnership, Alliance for Zero Extinction, BNM (unpublished data), Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021,67 WB calculations Figure 25: Net ecosystem service use (potential vs. realized services index) per district in Malaysia. Model results from the Co$tingNature version 3 policy support system Source: Mulligan, M. (2021), Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021, WB calculations Sabah Sarawak Selangor Kuala Lumpur Putrajaya Labuan Pahang Perak Melaka Pulau Pinang Negeri Sembilan Terengganu Kelantan Kedah Perlis Johor Non-protected key biodiversity areas Protected key biodiversity areas Currently protected areas Financial exposure 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 R el at iv e to ta l p ot en ti al s er vi ce s in d ex Peninsular Malaysia’s west coast with its strong manufacturing, services, and construction sectors (Figure 9) are net consumers of ecosystem services. The protected areas in Perak, Pahang, Sarawak, and Sabah, in contrast, are net providers of ecosystem services. 45An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia 46 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment To assess nature-related financial risks for prudential purposes, there is a need to go beyond exposure analysis and identify those risk scenarios that can materially affect banks’ balance sheets. The scenarios should provide a coherent narrative for adverse events that produce severe economic and financial damage while at the same describing a set of plausible futures. In practice, macroprudential authorities and micro prudential supervisors often work with scenarios that have yearly probabilities of occurring between 1 in 10 to 1 in 1,000 years, to reflect that distributions of event occurrences might shift with growing climate change or nature-related risks. In contrast to climate-related scenarios, however, nature-related risks are less well understood and to a higher degree multidimensional.68 For example, ENCORE identifies 21 different ecosystem services and 27 different drivers of environmental change. This poses challenges for the development of nature-related financial risk scenarios and more research is needed on this matter. A preliminary set of scenarios were developed for this report based on ENCORE, stakeholder interviews, and an explorative analysis of drivers of nature-related financial risk scenarios in Malaysia.69 The scenarios capture current banking sector exposure in case of adverse events, such as floods or storms, far- reaching ecosystem service deterioration, or sudden policy changes, that could affect a combination of different ecosystem services and thus a multitude of economic sectors. The analysis above considered Malaysian banking sector exposure to nature risks in sectors and individual or entire ecosystem services. The scenarios for this section are not projections of business-as-usual, but rather state the current financial exposure if identified ecosystem services defaulted. The identification of 21 physical and 7 transition risk scenarios shows the range of the banking sector’s commercial loans portfolio exposure. Exposure ranges from 44 percent (reduced ecosystem services due to continued high resource use, pollution, and urban sprawl) to 0.5 percent (species decline due to excessive hunting) (Figure 26). Scenarios with the highest banking sector exposure are those that would affect a wide range of sectors, such as a general deterioration of ecosystem services for example due to high resource use, pollution, and urban sprawl (44 percent) or high rates of deforestation (30 percent). Exposure was also high regarding scenarios that could affect firms’ costs and business models in multiple sectors, for example sudden and unexpected climate policy introduction (38 percent), regulatory restriction of water pollution (17 percent), and sudden increase in the price of water (removal of subsidies / market dynamics) (17 percent). Some physical risk scenarios were only expected to directly affect a few sectors with banking sector exposure. These included reduced agricultural yields and water pollution due to intense agri- and aquaculture (2.5 percent), animal disease outbreak (0.8 percent), and severe reduction in available fish stock (0.7 percent). Sectors that are exposed in almost every physical and transition risk scenario are the agricultural, forestry, and fishing sectors as they have a high and direct dependence on multiple ecosystem services. Further, the electricity sector would be affected in multiple scenarios as it is highly dependent on regulating ecosystem services such as flood and storm protection and climate regulation. Drivers that could lead to the most severe scenarios in terms of Malaysian banking sector loan exposure are land- and sea use change, Nature-related risks are often interconnected (e.g., soil erosion, groundwater depletion, biodiversity loss), caused by multiple anthropogenic drivers (e.g., intensive agriculture, deforestation, pollution), while acting on multiple scales (from local ecosystems to planetary processes), while interacting with climate change (Kedward et al. 2020). See Appendix Section A4 and A5 for details. Appendix Section A4 provides a high-level analysis of the five core drivers of biodiversity and nature loss, land- and sea-use change, extensive natural resource use and exploitation, climate change, pollution, and invasive species spread (IBPES 2019), as well as governance and policy uncertainty related issues in the context of Malaysia. Appendix Section A5 describes core findings of the interviews in detail. 68 69 2.4 Physical and Transition Risk Scenarios 47An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Figure 26: Identified nature-related financial risk scenarios by banking sector exposure Source: ENCORE, BNM, interviews, WB calculations. Note: Dark blue scenarios are nature-related financial transition risk scenarios, light blue scenarios are nature-related financial physical risk scenarios. Exposure amounts are based on the share of corporate loans to economic sectors that could be directly affected in the scenario under consideration. Reduced ecosystem services due to resource overuse, pollution and urban sprawl Sudden and unexpected climate policy introduction Ecosystem services deterioration due to deforestation Regulatory restriction of water pollution Sudden increase in the price of water Severe reduction in available timber Increase in sea surface temperature Changed ocean current and circulation Severe �ooding occurrence Severe storm occurrence Extension of protected areas Increased ocean acidi�cation Regulatory restriction of non-sustainable pesticides Regulatory restriction of non-sustainable fertilizers Lower clean water availability due to continously high water pollution Lower water availability for other ecosystem services Severe drought occurrence Reduced agricultural yields and water pollution Atmospheric pollution causing deterioration of ecosystem services Unmanaged waste disposal and soil pollution affecting habitats Severe wild�re occurrence Species decline due to excessive hunting Invasive species sprawl Animal disease outbreak Species decline due to genetic modi�cation Severe reduction in available �sh stock Pest outbreak Regulatory / market backlash against non-sustainable forestry N at ur e- re la te d � na nc ia l r is k sc en ar io Share of total commercial loans outstanding (%) 0 20 40 natural resource use and exploitation, and climate change. Further, governance is an important scenario driver, especially with respect to transition risk. Within the environmental risk dimension of the ESG framework on sustainability, nature-related risks complement and partly overlap with those risks associated with climate change. For example, this study found that two important nature-related risk factors to which Malaysian banks have exposure are: (1) imposition of more stringent climate policies and (2) efforts to preserve nature’s function as a store of CO2. However, there are highly relevant risk factors not directly related to climate change – including extensive water use, land use, and pollution other than GHGs. This report restricts itself to a ‘possibility range’ of nature-related risk scenarios. The reported scenarios are not projections of a business-as-usual scenario. They constitute a range of possible nature-risk scenarios for Malaysia. The materialization and degree of risk depends on vulnerability, likelihood of occurrence, and indirect impacts, which require further research. In general, the likelihood and financial consequences of specific nature- related risk scenarios are challenging to determine given the complexity, non-linearity, and endogeneity of causal relationships (Svartzman et al. 2021; NGFS 2021; Kedward et al. 2020). Likelihood of occurrence would depend on the current conditions of scenario relevant aspects such as natural assets or policy regulation as well as an uncertainty range, considering nature and policy related factors as well as shared socioeconomic pathways.70 There exists a wide range of models that could assess impacts of scenarios of drivers of biodiversity and ecosystem service-related issues (Kim et al. 2018; Lade et al. 2021; Schaphoff et al. 2018) but important knowledge gaps specifically with respect to economic and financial impacts remain (IPBES 2016). Studies on nature-related risks from diverse countries can help fill these gaps (See Box 3). See O’Neill et al. (2014) for discussion of shared socioeconomic pathways and their use.70 48 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Central banks around the world are increasingly beginning to investigate biodiversity and other nature-related impacts and dependencies of financial systems. Initial studies by central banks including the Netherlands (van Toor et al. 2020), France (Svartzman et al. 2021), and Brazil (Calice et al. 2021) were recently published. In each country, the studies indicate material exposures to risks resulting from biodiversity loss. Results from these countries are not necessarily directly comparable to those of Malaysia but are described here as additional context. This is due to differences in: 1) economic structures, 2) level of biodiversity (Brazil is classified as megadiverse like Malaysia but France and the Netherlands are not), 3) study scope and methodologies applied (only Malaysia looks at transition risk from ENCORE drivers of environmental impacts), and 4) scope of data used for the analysis (each study relied on the ENCORE database for data on ecosystem services, but in the Netherlands this covered not only banks’ corporate loan portfolio, as in Malaysia, but also other parts of the financial system). • The Netherlands: Van Toor et al. (2020) find that financial institutions have material exposures to risks resulting from biodiversity loss and that the sector finances companies that have an impact on biodiversity. Dutch financial institutions have provided EUR 510 billion in finance (36 percent of the portfolio of investments by Dutch financial institutions) to companies that are highly or very highly dependent on one or more ecosystem services. Financial institutions also have exposure of EUR 28 billion to companies operating in areas that are protected or that might come under protection and EUR 96 billion of investments in, or loans to, companies involved in environmental controversies with negative consequences for ecosystem services or biodiversity. • France: Svartzman et al. (2021) also find substantial exposures to biodiversity risks in its estimates of dependencies and impacts of the French financial system on biodiversity. 42 percent of the value of securities held by French financial institutions comes from issuers that are highly or very highly dependent on one or more ecosystem services. The accumulated terrestrial biodiversity footprint of these securities is comparable to the loss of at least 130,000 km² of “pristine” nature, which corresponds to the complete artificialization of 24 percent of the area of metropolitan France. • Brazil: Results in Calice et al. (2021) also suggest that exposures to biodiversity loss and related economic costs are material. 46 percent of Brazilian banks’ non-financial corporate loan portfolio is concentrated in sectors highly or very highly dependent on one or more ecosystem service. Output losses associated with the collapse in ecosystem services could translate into a cumulative long-term increase in corporate non-performing loans of 9 percentage points. 15 percent of Brazilian banks’ corporate loan portfolio is to firms potentially operating in protected areas, which could increase to 25 percent should conservation gaps close, and 38 percent should all priority areas become protected. Finally, 7 percent of corporate loans are to firms with recorded environmental controversies. BOX 3 Context for nature-related risks to the financial sector: Findings from the Netherlands, France, and Brazil 49An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Potential Actions to Address Nature-Related Financial Risks CHAPTER 3 50 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 3 - Potential Actions to Address Nature-related Financial Risks Based on the initial assessment on nature-related financial risks to the financial sector in Malaysia and the exposures identified, further steps could be considered by financial sector regulators and supervisors in Malaysia in tandem with its ongoing climate change initiatives to effectively manage nature-related financial risks. Although the discussion on nature-related financial risks is still at a nascent stage compared to climate-related financial risks, BNM, as part of its mandate to promote monetary and financial stability conducive to the sustainable growth of the Malaysian economy, could take a proactive approach to gradually build its internal regulatory and supervisory capacity in identifying, assessing, monitoring, and managing nature-related financial risks. Efforts to address nature-related financial risks could follow a similar roadmap as used to address climate-related financial risks, where BNM has adopted a phased strategy. Initial efforts could focus first on increasing awareness of nature-related financial risks and capacity building. Later efforts could enhance existing regulatory and supervisory measures, in line with the evolving global regulatory and supervisory good practices, to which BNM could also help contribute knowledge development and regulatory discourse on nature-related financial risks in the region and globally – as part of bodies such as the NGFS. Four domains where actions could be undertaken are: (1) Raising awareness, stakeholder engagement, and policy discourse on understanding nature-related financial risks, (2) Enhancing capacity building of relevant stakeholders, (3) Strengthening macroeconomic surveillance capacity and risk identification, and (4) Developing regulatory and supervisory requirements, described in further detail below.71 Actions are categorized according to intensity of effort, recognizing that resources are scarce in any central bank and trade-offs will need to be made in allocating resources to nature-related risks, particularly relevant during this COVID-19 period. While this report focuses on actions that are largely in the domain or sphere of influence of BNM as a central bank, it recognizes that national governments bear primary responsibility and have broader tools to address biodiversity loss and climate change in an integrated manner. Additional actions could be considered by other Malaysian authorities as the country moves towards a net-zero economy. For instance, the Ministry of Environment and Water could better coordinate alignment between upcoming climate policies, such as the Long-term Low Emissions Development Strategy, with the action plans and targets of the National Policy on Biological Diversity. Delineating nature-positive low carbon pathways would be an important step to avoid potentially negative trade-offs from climate mitigation strategies that could have detrimental impacts on biodiversity and ecosystem health (e.g., poorly designed low-carbon infrastructure or energy projects). Such broader efforts to promote integrated approaches to nature-related risks would lend greater impetus and impact to financial sector actions. 1. Raising awareness, stakeholder engagement, and policy discourse on understanding nature-related financial risks: • Socialize key themes from this report with key stakeholders: As part of the broader discourse in Malaysia on nature and biodiversity, and in parallel with other efforts to support climate action, BNM could socialize findings of this report with government agency stakeholders such as the Ministry of Environment and Water and the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources. BNM could also encourage engagement of state-level agencies and the broader community of non-government and financial sector professionals, including its supervised financial institutions. See also the recent World Bank report (2021c) for more universal recommendations on nature-related actions.71 51An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 3 - Potential Actions to Address Nature-related Financial Risks • Contribute to knowledge programs that raise awareness of nature-related financial risks: BNM could share its understanding of nature-related financial risks within knowledge programs on climate change and other relevant themes as part of its efforts to address emerging risks. • Advocate and work closely with the government to ensure nature-related financial risks are considered in relevant policies and investment decisions. Complementary actions could include encouraging the public and private sector to consider the value and price of ecosystem services and relevant policies in investment decisions. Natural capital accounting (as, for instance, proposed by the UN System of Environmental Economic Accounting)72 provides a more comprehensive stocktake of a country’s natural wealth (WB 2021a). It can support government, regulators, and private sector participants to better manage natural assets and inform investment and development decisions for conservation, restoration, and sustainable use of nature. • Encourage and support the government towards developing a cohesive national strategy to address nature-related risks along with climate change: Plans to address nature-related financial risks for the wider financial sector should be designed to leverage synergies with ongoing efforts for climate change. Coordinated efforts would support timely and smooth implementation and support effective prioritization amidst multiple competing priorities. It would also avoid unintended consequences such as detracting efforts from ongoing climate change implementation. 2. Enhancing capacity building of relevant stakeholders: • Expand capacity building and stakeholder engagement with key working groups for the financial sector: Existing capacity building and stakeholder engagement programs under the JC3 could be leveraged and expanded to include increased awareness of nature-related risks with other stakeholders. • Collaborate with key knowledge partners to build understanding and tools for nature-related financial risks. Further collaboration with conservation organizations, ecologists, and interdisciplinary academic researchers can help to strengthen understanding and tools for assessing nature-related risks. • Support development of incentives and instruments to mobilize private finance for the protection and management of biodiversity and ecosystem services. A key challenge is to attract private finance for the conservation of nature, particularly when financial returns to investment are low. Along with other stakeholders, BNM could support the development of short-term financial incentives for companies to implement their sustainability strategies or to drive nature-smart investments73 and disseminate relevant information on borrowers, incentives, and instruments for greater mobilization of private finance for protection and management of biodiversity and ecosystem services (see Box 4). • Provide financial sector perspectives to government to expand existing government grants/funds related to climate change to encompass goals relevant to protection of biodiversity and ecosystem services: Over time, BNM and other stakeholders could advocate expanding existing funds for mitigating the impacts of climate change to encompass goals that reduce nature-related risks. In addition, DFIs have https://seea.un.org/ A range of instruments to encourage private finance, including the sustainability linked loan tying interest rates to a company’s reduction of biodiversity impact and associated risk and incentives to bridge the gap between public and private financing, are discussed in the World Bank report, Mobilizing Private Finance for Nature (2020). 72 73 52 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 3 - Potential Actions to Address Nature-related Financial Risks One of the key issues hampering protection of nature in Malaysia has been the lack of funds available for habitat and species conservation activities. State governors are often landowners of key areas but have traditionally been reliant on revenues from natural resource extraction practices such as timber harvesting, mining, and agricultural development that can be detrimental to ecosystems. Governments and regulators can help harness the power of the financial sector to mobilize private finance at a scale to protect nature. The 2021 WB Report on Mobilizing Private Finance for Nature highlighted a set of ideas including: (1) environmental fiscal reforms: using reforms as part of COVID-19 crisis recovery plans, reforming agricultural subsidies and land ownership with detrimental impacts, (2) national data provision: supporting the integration of nature-related criteria in financial decisions by adopting national capital accounting practices and providing relevant data as a public good, (3) establishing a task force for nature-related financial disclosure (TNFD) (discussed in Box 5) to provide a framework for reporting and risk assessment, (4) identifying companies with the greatest negative impact on nature, and v) providing catalytic capital from multilateral development banks and government to funds and other financial instruments to finance nature. Financial incentives can help drive the transition to a nature-smart economy. For example, in 2019, Bunge, one of the world’s largest agricultural producers, took out its first sustainability- linked loan. The interest rate was tied to the company reducing its biodiversity impact and associated risks, namely increasing traceability for its main agricultural commodities, and adopting sustainable practices across its wider soybean and palm oil supply chain. These instruments have the potential to help drive the transition to a nature-smart economy by offering short-term financial incentives for companies to implement their sustainability strategies. Enabling financial infrastructure can also help green finance. In 2020, the Central Bank of Brazil launched the sustainability pillar of its strategic plan which included the creation of a Sustainable Rural Credit Bureau. This will be associated with the rural credit information system and contain information on farmers’ sustainable practices as part of efforts to mitigate social, environmental, and climate risks in the financial system. Rural credit beneficiaries can make information registered in the new system (replacing its existing rural credit and agricultural operations system) available to any interested party. Several of the 270 data fields collect and verify information on the environmental and sustainability practices of each operation. A set of parameters associated with the sustainability of rural projects will be prepared, which will allow agricultural policy makers to assess the possibility of granting additional incentives to the financing of these projects (Banco Central Do Brasil 2021). BOX 4 Mobilizing private finance for nature a mandate to support national development objectives and may show substantial exposure to nature- related financial risks. Given their proximity to government and status as regulated entities, their funding could also be leveraged to mobilize private capital towards green finance and provide a demonstration effect of how sustainable finance could be mainstreamed within their own operations. 53An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 3 - Potential Actions to Address Nature-related Financial Risks 3. Strengthening macroeconomic surveillance capacity and risk identification • Improve understanding of interacting factors between climate and nature-related financial risks: In the near-term, BNM could consider further developing its understanding of relevant scenarios, transmission channels, and modelling methodologies, while continuing to monitor exposures to nature-related risks periodically. This work could be informed by the developing global discourse on nature-related financial risks, and could also influence it, given Malaysia’s relatively unique status as a megadiverse country with high dependence on its ecosystem services. • Incorporate a basic concept of nature-related financial risks in existing plans for a surveillance framework on climate risks: This element could be incorporated where both risks have strong synergies, such as deforestation and disaster resilience, without requiring an additional surveillance framework related to nature-related risks. • Improve data collection relevant to managing nature-related financial risks: Stronger collaboration and coordination amongst interdisciplinary stakeholders such as ministries, regulators, the private sector, and academics and experts from economic and natural sciences disciplines can help to fill gaps in data needed to manage both climate and nature-related risks and support sharing of proprietary data, particularly at local levels. Specifically, this could focus on building capacity to provide data on economic impacts under different nature-related physical and transition risk scenarios (parallel to similar efforts on climate-related risks). This could help identify the risks and opportunities that are most relevant for Malaysia and complement the global data obtained from ENCORE. Government authorities could also establish centralized environmental databases (e.g., forest cover and protected area maps, emissions data, water stress maps, etc.) that are accessible and frequently updated as a public good to support wider monitoring efforts. This process could also leverage ongoing work by the JC3 subcommittee on data needs, which has undertaken a stakeholder consultation process to identify and prioritize the collection of climate data for uses such as exposure quantification, investment and lending decisions, and macroeconomic and financial stability modeling. Indicators on biodiversity are among the data that could be considered for prioritized collection. Building these data over time, not only for the banking sector, but also for non-bank financial institutions exposed to nature-related risks (e.g., insurance/takaful) could provide a clearer picture of nature-related risks in the financial system. • Consider nature-related financial risks as part of high-level reference scenarios for Malaysia: In the medium to long term, Malaysia could develop stress testing for nature-related scenarios alongside those being developed to examine climate-related risks. • Consider supervisory deep dives at select banks that are deemed at higher risk: These supervisory efforts could look at banks whose data indicates a greater level of risk, for example those who are financing activities in (future) protected areas. 54 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 3 - Potential Actions to Address Nature-related Financial Risks 4. Enhancing regulatory and supervisory guidance related to nature-related financial risks • Enhance existing guidance in relevant taxonomies and frameworks to include findings on nature- related financial risks: BNM could expand guidance for biodiversity or nature-related aspects in its CCPT (BNM 2021) and Value-based Intermediation and Impact Assessment Framework (VBIAF) (BNM 2019) to include more prominent considerations of nature-related financial risks. The CCPT adopts the principle of ’do no significant harm to the environment‘, which means that an economic activity must protect healthy ecosystems and biodiversity in order to satisfy the principle’s assessment criteria. Similarly, the ASEAN Taxonomy for Sustainable Finance has also recognized the protection of healthy ecosystems and biodiversity as a key environmental objective in its consultative draft. Guidance could be expanded, for example by incorporating the concepts of drivers of environmental impacts and dependencies on ecosystem services in the assessment process. • Signal expectations for supervised financial institutions to understand the most relevant nature- related financial risks faced by their institution: Based on the findings of this study, BNM could facilitate further analysis and deep dives on potential risk exposures that stand out or indicate baseline practices that could be adopted by financial institutions to identify high exposures to nature-related financial risks. • Enhance climate-related regulatory guidance on risk management and voluntary disclosures with specific aspects of nature-related financial risks: BNM could also consider efforts to enhance regulatory guidance on climate-related disclosures with voluntary disclosure guidance on nature-related financial risks, such as those being piloted by the TNFD (described in Box 5). • Communicate regulatory and supervisory expectations on managing nature-related financial risk along with climate change risks for supervised institutions: In the longer term, as diagnostics mature and international guidance develops, regulatory and supervisory expectations and requirements could be formulated in line with evolving good practices. For institutions that have high exposures to vulnerable sectors or regions, BNM could communicate additional expectations and include consideration of nature- related financial risks as part of the supervisory process. • Develop a monitoring system for new credit to be compliant with climate and nature-related regulations: Such a system could include mechanisms for checking whether business activities will take place in (future) protected areas. As described in Box 4, Brazil is developing a Sustainable Rural Credit Bureau which will be associated with the rural credit information system and contain information on farmers’ sustainable practices as part of efforts to mitigate social, environmental, and climate risks in the financial system. 55An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 3 - Potential Actions to Address Nature-related Financial Risks Following the global push for companies to disclose their climate-related risks and opportunities, momentum has recently been building behind the nature-related disclosure agenda. The TCFD four pillars framework has become the most used framework globally for corporations and other organizations disclosure on climate criteria. A TNFD was formally launched in June 2021 with the mandate to build a similar framework for nature. The mission of the TNFD is, “to develop and deliver a risk management and disclosure framework for organizations to report and act on evolving nature-related risks, which aims to support a shift in global financial flows away from nature-negative outcomes and toward nature-positive outcomes.” The TNFD has committed to working closely together with standard setting and disclosure mechanism bodies to promote global consistency for nature-related reporting, building upon the structure and foundation of the TCFD. The TNFD aspires to ensure the two frameworks will be comprehensive in their coverage of climate and nature-related financial risks, and complementary in their usability and adoption by market participants. The G7 Finance Ministers and G20 Sustainable Finance Roadmap have endorsed the TNFD, and the governments of Switzerland, the United Kingdom (UK), France, the Netherlands, and Australia are its funding partners. The TNFD will go through five phases of work from 2021 to 2023: Build, Test, Consult, Disseminate, and Uptake. According to its website, “The TNFD will not create a new disclosure standard, but rather establish and promote the adoption of an integrated risk management and disclosure framework that aggregates the best tools and materials.” The TNFD is taking an open innovation approach similar to the iterative innovation models used in the technology sector. The TNFD aims to share the initial high-level architecture of the framework shortly, to enable early pilot testing and consultation, and then evolve and develop the framework further with feedback from the market and relevant experts, given the complexity and urgency of the task of tackling nature-related risks. A beta version of the framework will be released in March 2022. The most explicit biodiversity disclosure requirements to date have been imposed by France. Article 173-VI of France’s Energy Transition and Green Growth Law, which went into effect in January 2016, requires investors to disclose how they factor ESG criteria and carbon-related aspects into their investment policies. The French Parliament amended Article 173 to require the disclosure of biodiversity impacts starting in 2021 (Ernst and Young 2017). This prompted French investors to start to develop better data on nature-related impacts and dependencies (Mirova 2020). Other European governments are following suit, including the UK, which pledged in its Green Finance Strategy (2019), to “work with international partners to catalyze market-led action on enhancing nature-related financial disclosures” (Her Majesty’s Treasury UK Government 2019). The DNB’s June 2020 report on risks to the financial sector from biodiversity loss calls for the development of a biodiversity risk disclosure framework (van Toor et al. 2020). The EU Taxonomy of Sustainable Activities also creates pressure for disclosure. Conservation and restoration of biodiversity and ecosystems is one of the categories of the taxonomy. Additionally, all investments under the taxonomy are required to ‘do no harm’ under its six categories of environmental objectives (European Commission 2020). BOX 5 Nature-related disclosure developments Source: Prepared by World Bank and TNFD secretariat staff 56 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia 57An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Conclusions CHAPTER 4 58 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 4 - Conclusions 4.1 Key Findings This report provides a first assessment of nature-related financial risks for the Malaysian banking sector, examining their lending exposure to businesses which depend on and impact nature and its ecosystem services. Nature-related financial risks for Malaysian banks are examined using a conventional risk management approach which focuses on risk identification, risk assessment, and risk mitigation with a focus on exposures to sectors at risk. Better understanding of nature-related risks is key to align capital allocation, including loan origination, with Malaysian and global sustainability goals. Better understanding of nature- related financial risks is also important for prudential supervision, to identify any emerging risks on the books of banks and other financial institutions. Nature-related risks in Malaysia center around the deterioration of natural assets and ecosystems tied to water use, climate regulation, GHG emissions, and deforestation, which could have implications for the Malaysian banking sector. • About 54 percent of Malaysian banks’ commercial lending portfolio could currently be exposed to physical risk, being highly or very highly dependent on well-functioning ecosystem services. Dependency on surface water (29 percent), climate regulation (26 percent), and flood and storm protection (16 percent) stand out specifically. At the same time, current banks’ lending portfolio allocation is also exposed to significant transition risk, if the government introduced unexpected nature-related policies or if consumer preferences were to change (both domestically and abroad). • About 87 percent of Malaysian banks’ commercial lending portfolio could currently be exposed to sectors that strongly impact ecosystem services, thus facing a higher level of transition risk. The strongest impact drivers in this analysis were GHG emissions (61 percent of total lending portfolio), water use (55 percent), and terrestrial ecosystem use (43 percent). Findings suggest substantial differences between individual banks in their exposure to sectors that depend highly on ecosystem services and that highly impact natural assets and ecosystem services. Those differences can be explained by different target sectors of lending which individual banks lend to; construction lending, for instance, is strongly dependent on surface water, climate regulation and flood and storm protection, and generally has strong environmental impacts via terrestrial ecosystem use, freshwater use, and GHG emissions. For ecosystem services, exposures to one or more highly or very highly dependent sectors range between 5 and 83 percent of the total commercial loan portfolio for individual banks. For environmental change, exposures to highly or very highly contributing sectors range between 28 and 100 percent. This indicates a necessity for more in-depth analysis of individual banks’ portfolio composition and assessment of respective implications for financial stability. Transition risk exposure from lending in potentially to-be-protected areas seems currently limited to less than 1 percent of outstanding loans in our sample, although limitations in the analysis, such as data restrictions, suggest this could be a conservative estimate. The analysis shows that most Malaysian bank loans are in areas that are already well developed. Less than one percent of Malaysian banks’ commercial lending portfolio (RM 329 million, USD 78 million) is estimated to go to firms in currently non-protected KBA. However, due to data limitations, this may be a somewhat conservative estimate and exposures may be higher. There may also be an important role for more indirect exposures through supply chain linkages among firms in and outside protected areas. Also, it could be important to monitor new loan origination practices towards both currently protected areas and areas that may become protected in the future. 59An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 4 - Conclusions This report develops a first set of twenty-one nature-related physical and seven transition risk scenarios, using ENCORE and stakeholder interviews, that show potentially high but heterogenous banking sector exposure. This serves as a ‘possibility range’ of potential nature-related risk scenarios and related banking sector exposure, given data and knowledge gaps in assessing likelihood and financial consequences. Scenarios with the highest banking sector exposure are those that would affect a wide range of sectors such as a general deterioration of ecosystem services: • Reduced ecosystem services due to continued high resource use, pollution, and urban sprawl: 44 percent of Malaysian banking sector’s commercial lending portfolio • Ecosystem service deterioration due to continued high rates of deforestation: 30 percent • Policies that could affect firms’ costs and business models in multiple sectors (sudden and unexpected climate policy introduction): 38 percent. The agricultural, forestry, and fishing sectors are exposed to almost every physical and transition risk scenario as they have a high and direct dependence on multiple ecosystem services. Some physical risk scenarios are expected to directly affect only a few sectors, which constrain banking sector exposure.74 This analysis indicates that the financial sector has an indirect, yet important, two-way relationship with nature. Recent research by the WB shows that significant benefits could emerge from aligning policy responses to the nature and biodiversity crisis, including economic stimulus as well as climate change mitigation and adaptation (Johnson et al. 2021). Banks’ lending behavior is an important determinant of the effectiveness of policies and of the degree to which nature-related risks could emerge. Their financing impacts the drivers of environmental change while being dependent on nature and its ecosystem services, constituting a double materiality (European Commission 2019, Oman and Svartzman 2021). Thus, banks’ lending behavior has an impact on their financial physical, transition, and liability risk exposures. By aligning their lending exposure to sectors and activities that benefit nature or do no harm, banks could in turn lower their risk exposure. In some cases, this could even increase economic and financial returns. For example, a WB study (2017) indicates that reducing overfishing and overcapacity by 40 percent, could result in more fish eventually being caught, allowing the recovery of more than USD 80 billion in “sunken billions” (loss of potential economic rents in global fisheries) while rebuilding the global fish stock. Those scenarios include amongst others “Reduced agricultural yields and water pollution due to intense agri- and aquaculture” (2.5 percent), “Animal disease outbreak” (0.8 percent), and “Severe reduction in available fish stock (0.7 percent). 74 The findings of this report could inform and facilitate further policy discussions to better understand the impacts of nature-related financial risks on the financial sector and economy. BNM, as financial regulator, could act as a central coordinator for a financial sector action plan, working closely with multiple stakeholders and in line with the government’s national biodiversity strategy. Further actions related to nature- related financial risks could be developed that are cohesive and integrated within its existing climate change strategy. These would consider: (1) national policy discussion and direction on nature-related risks, (2) further 4.2 Potential Actions to Address Challenges of Nature-Related Financial Risks 60 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 4 - Conclusions At the local level understanding is more advanced. 75 The exposure analysis conducted in this report is a step towards a fully-fledged nature stress-test. However, addressing certain limitations and knowledge gaps would require further research across multiple stakeholders from natural science, finance, the economy, and society. The analysis in this report can provide initial insights and a general understanding of potential risks that might become more likely in the future and that supervisors should consider within their financial stability mandate. More research is necessary to further refine exposure estimates from the ENCORE tool. A better understanding is needed of economic and financial vulnerabilities, scenario analysis needs to be refined, and methodologies are required to account for the economic and societal relevance of sectors beyond GDP and the share of financial exposure. While it is understood that some activities negatively affect nature and its ecosystem services (Oliver et al. 2015, Folke et al. 2016), it is unclear when and how this could result in severe economic and financial losses.75 Like in a Jenga game, where it is the players’ goal to remove a block from a tower in each round without making the tower fall, the ongoing pressure on nature reduces its resilience, threatening collapse. Cascading and feedback effects from interactions between different ecosystems could thereby amplify human impacts (Lade et al. 2020). Sudden shocks to ecosystem services could lead to strong economic and financial risks. They could also result in high-risk materialization, especially if economic vulnerability is high, if substitutes for economic production are expensive or non-existent, and damage to nature is irreversible. Beyond direct impacts, such as for the agricultural sector, indirect impacts could emerge via supply chains that could result in even larger economic and financial risks for the economy. Information is needed on the potential economic and societal relevance of certain sectors beyond their GDP share or direct financial sector exposure. Agriculture for instance constitutes a relatively small share of GDP and even smaller share of Malaysian banks’ lending; yet strongly reduced agricultural yields could have severe social implications on food security, and food imports might not be able to compensate for the decline. Social implications like this could emerge from the collapse of ecosystem services and could become a critical risk to the macroeconomy. The reported scenarios should be considered as a range of possible nature-related financial risk scenarios for Malaysia, whereas the materialization and degree of risk depends on vulnerability, likelihood of occurrence, and indirect impacts. The scenarios are not projections of a business-as-usual 4.3 Areas for Future Exploration development of nature-related financial risk methodologies and analyses, (3) progress of ongoing climate change initiatives and determined linkages with nature-related financial risks, and (4) evolving practices and standards from the global financial regulatory and supervisory community. Key areas for actions to manage nature-related financial risks include, (1) raising awareness and policy discourse, (2) enhancing capacity building of relevant stakeholders, (3) enhancing macroeconomic surveillance capacity and risk identification, and (4) developing regulatory and supervisory requirements. Section 3 and Figure 4 in this report depict recommended actions that could be considered by BNM (and relevant stakeholders such as ministries with responsibility for environmental issues, state-level agencies, and financial institutions) in more detail. Recommended actions differ by the level of policy intervention intensity, recognizing the need for prioritization in this challenging pandemic period. 61An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 4 - Conclusions scenario, but rather state the current financial exposure if the affected ecosystem services of this range of identified scenarios defaulted. Indeed, the likelihood and financial consequences of specific nature-related risk scenarios are challenging to determine given the complexity, non-linearity, and endogeneity of causal relationships (Svartzman et al. 2021; NGFS 2021; Kedward et al. 2020). Yet, an analysis of the main drivers of nature-related risks, such as land- and sea use change, nature use and exploitation, climate change, pollution, invasive species, governance, and policy uncertainty, indicates potential sources for nature-related financial risk scenarios. Several areas merit further analysis to support the identification and assessment of nature-related financial risks. Global nature and biodiversity work programs are progressing but started later than similar work on climate-related financial risks, and are both broader in scope and more complex in their causal relationships.76 Information is lacking on the likelihood and severity of adverse scenarios related to biodiversity loss as well as their economic and financial impact. The analysis in this report could also be complemented by the development of a comprehensive set of scenarios to be used in assessing nature-related financial risks and a better understanding of how scenarios lead to adverse economic and financial outcomes (e.g., transmission channels). Additionally, the development of models to understand the quantitative impact of scenarios and transmission channels on financial institutions, including banks and non-bank financial institutions, would enhance the knowledge of future risks to the financial system due to nature-related risks. For example, ENCORE identifies 21 different ecosystem services and 27 different drivers of environmental change. 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ENCORE thus allows a detailed assessment of the interactions of the economy with the natural environment and thus an exposure analysis of the Malaysian banking sectors’ commercial loan portfolio to potential nature-related physical and transition risks. ENCORE’s database consists of 86 business processes and 21 ecosystem services (see Appendix Table A4), such as clean and reliable supplies of water, carbon sequestration, and pollination. It further contains 11 impact drivers on nature and ecosystem services, such as terrestrial ecosystem use and GHG emissions (See Appendix Table A5). Data on outstanding commercial loans (unpublished) for the analysis was provided by BNM. The data covers 61 Malaysian banks (26 commercial banks, 16 Islamic banks, 10 investment banks, and 9 DFIs [6 regulated under the DFI Act and 3 not]) at the end of December 2020. The loan data is given at NACE Revision 2 at the 4-digit level. The commercial loans outstanding in the sample stands at RM 733 billion representing 90 percent of the total commercial loans portfolio. Table A1 summarizes the data sets that inform the analysis in this report. A.1 Methodology https://encore.naturalcapital.finance/en/explore77 Table A1: Underlying data for analysis in this report Type of Analysis Data sources Dependencies on Ecosystem Services • ENCORE (Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021) • BNM commercial loans data Impacts on Ecosystem Services • ENCORE (Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021) • BNM commercial loans data Activities in key biodiversity areas • Key biodiversity areas (IBAT) • Protected Areas (UNEP-WCMC 2021) • BNM postal-code based lending data for commercial non-residential and residential property purchase. Physical and transition risk scenarios • ENCORE (Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021) • BNM commercial loans data • Interviews • Additional reports and biophysical datasets Source: World Bank 69An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix The analysis follows closely the approach proposed by DNB (van Toor et al. 2020), consisting of several steps of data reclassification and remapping (Figure A1). Reclassification and remapping are needed to align sector classification of the lending data with sector classification used in ENCORE. Additionally, we extend the DNB analysis that focused on nature-related sectoral physical risk, by also assessing banks’ portfolio impacts on ecosystem services and natural assets. As such we can also examine sectoral transition risk exposure of Malaysian banks, using a similar methodology. First, we reclassify the banks’ lending data from NACE Revision 2 at the 2-digit level to business processes which are used in ENCORE. For the mapping we rely on the reclassification typology by DNB, as ENCORE only provides sectoral mapping from economic sectors given at the Global Industry Classification Standard to business processes. As several sectors could be linked to more than one business process, weights need to be assigned. We follow the DNB approach in assigning equal weighting according to the number of business processes. For instance, A2 “forestry and logging” would map to both, “large-scale forestry” and “small-scale forestry” and we assign each of the business processes a weight of 50 percent of lending that goes to “forestry and logging” (see Table A2). NACE REV2 Sector Business Process Weight A2 – Forestry and logging Large-scale forestry 0.5 Small-scale forestry 0.5 Following the DNB approach, we focus the analysis on relationships between economic sectors and ecosystem services with high or very high dependencies only, as the degradation of those ecosystem services is likely to have a strong detrimental impact on firms’ business processes. Likewise, we only consider linkages of economic sectors and drivers of environmental change with a high or very high impact. Second, we map business processes to dependencies on ecosystem services (physical risk) or impact drivers on nature loss (transition risk). Several business processes depend highly or very highly on more than one ecosystem service or affect nature highly or very highly via more than one impact driver. In those cases, we use equal weighting according to the number of ecosystem services for sectors. For example, for business processes (e.g., processed food and drink production) that highly or very highly depend on two ecosystem services such as surface water supply and climate regulation, for one RM of lending, half is allocated to surface water supply and half for climate regulation (Table A3). For assessing the exposure of Malaysian banks to individual ecosystem services (Figure 13 and Figure 17), an unweighted approach is applied. This attributes one RM for every RM of lending to the respective ecosystem service. This approach, however, does not allow us to add different ecosystem service dependencies in banks’ portfolios as the sum would exceed the original portfolio size. Table A2: Weighting example for mapping economic sectors to business process Source: World Bank 70 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Table A3: Weighting example for mapping business processes to ecosystem services Business Process Ecosystem Service Weight Unweighted Weighted Processed food and drink production Surface water 1 0.5 Ground water 1 0.5 Source: World Bank The reclassification allows us to map sectoral lending (NACE) to business processes in ENCORE which again are linked to ecosystem service dependencies (physical risk) or impact drivers (transition risk). Those, in turn, further affect natural assets such as species, habitats, and water. We show the nature- related physical and transition exposures of the Malaysian banks’ commercial lending portfolio in the following subsections with respect to natural asset dependencies and impacts and ecosystem service dependencies and impacts, most exposed economic sectors in Malaysian banks’ commercial lending portfolio, and the distribution exposure to impacts and dependencies amongst individual banks. Figure A1: Practical steps to assess sectoral physical and transition risk exposure Reclassifying and mapping data Setting weights for relative importance of ecosystem services Adjusting data structure to assess and plot exposure on several levels 1. 2. 3. Source: World Bank ENCORE is a global tool and thereby subject to several caveats. Ecosystem service dependencies and the state of the natural assets differ by country and require a geographical and sectoral context to refine the assessment provided by ENCORE. For instance, the dependency of construction sectors on flood and storm protection as an ecosystem service might depend on the prevalence of floods and storms in the specific country context. As such a global average, as applied by ENCORE, could over- or underestimate the dependency and impacts of specifics sectors. Furthermore, ENCORE focuses on direct nature-related impacts and dependencies for the various sectors of the economy. Thus, ENCORE can give a comprehensive view on the key first-order nature-related impacts and dependencies at the level of sectors of the economy. Estimates provided in the previous sections should however be considered as conservative, as the ENCORE tool only includes direct reliance of sectors on ecosystem services, whereas indirect dependencies that could stem from downstream supply chains are not captured. Furthermore, the currently applied equal weighting approach in case of multiple sector- or ecosystem service linkages, strongly influences the exposure results.78 Additional analysis is needed to contextualize and refine the analysis with respect to substitutability and adaptability options that could inform those weights by incorporating country specifics (see Table A2 and A3). The ENCORE analysis could be complementary to assessments of other key biodiversity-specific indicators at the local level and develop One could argue, however, that in absence of more detailed information on the production process of Malaysian firms, this approach is conservative as it caps the exposure towards one ecosystem service to its relative share of the entire lending portfolio. 78 71An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix an understanding of the cross-sectoral linkages of upstream and downstream value chains amongst different sectors. This combined approach could inform potential nature-related vulnerabilities of economic sectors of the Malaysian economy, that could become sources of financial risk for the Malaysian banking sector. The analysis in this report depicts the exposure of Malaysian banks to sectors that are potentially exposed to nature-related physical and transition risks. However, the analysis does not provide information on the potential economic and societal relevance of certain sectors. Agriculture for instance constitutes a relatively small share of GDP and even smaller share in Malaysian banks’ lending; yet strongly reduced agricultural yields could have severe social implications on food security, and food imports could potentially not compensate for the decline. Social implications like this could emerge from ecosystem service collapse and could become a critical risk to the macroeconomy, but go beyond the scope of this analysis. For the analysis of activities in KBA, we map postal code based lending data for commercial non- residential and residential property purchases (excluding household loans) to KBA (Figure A2). KBA could potentially be designated as protected in the future and it is thus relevant to see banks’ financial exposure to those areas. We use the IBAT, developed by the UN Environment Program World Conservation Monitoring Centre, International Union for Conservation of Nature, Conservation International, and Birdlife International, to compare the currently protected areas in Malaysia with KBA79 that are not yet protected. The gap between the protected areas and KBA we call “currently non-protected KBA” and is intended to provide a proxy for areas that could become protected in the future. For Malaysia as a whole, protecting those currently non-protected KBA would increase the share of protected areas of total land area to about 24 percent. However, KBA relevance is not equally distributed across Malaysian states (Figure 23). States such as Perak, Pahang, Kedah, and Selangor are biodiversity hotspots, with KBA making almost up to 50 percent of Perak’s land area for instance. While Malaysia has seen ambitious efforts in stepping-up protected areas since the 2000s (UNEP-WCMC 2021), a large share of KBA in Malaysian states is currently non-protected (see light blue bars in Figure 23 as a share of dark blue bars). As such, firms currently operating in those regions could be restricted, with implications for their financing banks. For the analysis we use (unpublished) postal code level commercial non-residential and residential property purchase lending data (excluding households) of Malaysian banks, provided by BNM. The sample comprises loans outstanding and the location of loan utilization as of December 2020 and covers about 5 percent of the overall commercial lending data sample. In the absence of geospatial datasets that could provide a postal code level resolution of areas in Malaysia, we rely on a workaround by assigning each postal code (at its centroid) a longitude and latitude coordinate80 that we transform into a coordinate reference system, in this case the WGS8481 format. During that exercise, some lending contracts had to be dropped, however, as no coordinates existed for the respective postal code in our dataset. We then compare if those postal code coordinates lie within the currently non-protected KBA areas to assess the financial lending exposure of Malaysian banks in those areas. This approach has limitations,82 resulting in the below reported spatial exposures being conservative estimates. KBA are defined to be sites that contribute significantly to maintain global biodiversity, in terrestrial and maritime sites (IBAT, 2021). This exercise was conducted manually using the dataset provided at https://www.back4app.com/database/back4app/zip-codes-all-countries-in-the-world/ malaysia-zip-code The WGS84 is a widely used coordinate reference system in geospatial mapping, often used in cartography, geodesy, and satellite navigation including GPS. It would benefit from the availability of postal code level shapefiles for Malaysia. 79 80 81 82 72 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix See Appendix Section 4 and 5 for details. 83 Figure A2: Practical steps to assess activities in Key Biodiversity Areas Source: World Bank Reclassifying and mapping data Assessing share of protected and non-protected KBA per state Matching datasets to assess spatial transition risk exposure 1. 2. 3. We also explore a first non-exhaustive set of nature-related risk scenarios for Malaysia (see Table A1). This is based on interviews (the conclusions of which are summarized in Section A5), datasets such as ENCORE and the WB Terrestrial Biodiversity Indicators, and publicly and non-publicly available reports from Malaysian stakeholders.83 They are, however, not projections of a business-as-usual scenario, but rather state the financial exposure if the affected ecosystem services of this range of identified scenarios would default. Similar to the University of Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership (2021) scenario classification, we categorize scenarios according to types of risk, driver of risk, and sectors, natural assets, and ecosystem services where the risk scenario would originate. Scenario types can be classified as posing physical risk (e.g., the depletion of fisheries) or transition risk (e.g., the creation of new protected areas). Transition risk scenarios can entail policies aiming to protect biodiversity (regulatory risk), technological changes, and changes in consumer preferences (including reputational risk). Both risk scenario types can have either local or nation-wide direct impact. Indirect impacts, which are not covered here, could induce spillovers to previously not directly affected regions. For physical risk scenarios, ENCORE provides affected natural assets and ecosystem services. This serves as a basis for assessing banking sector exposure to economic sectors that highly or very highly depend on those ecosystem services. It should be noted, however, that ENCORE only captures direct impacts from dependencies, whereas indirect impacts that could stem from supply chains or macroeconomic and financial feedback effects are not covered. Further, only impacts via affected ecosystem exposure are considered. For instance, typhoons might destroy production facilities and houses, however, this analysis only captures the exposure of the banking sector to firms that might be faced with deteriorated ecosystem services after a severe typhoon. Sectors that are likely to face a direct transition risk exposure are either classified according to ENCORE (e.g., in case of water regulation risks), according to the climate-policy relevant sector classification (Battiston et al. 2017) in case of a climate policy scenario, or with respect to informed and conservative author judgement (e.g., pesticide and fertilizer scenario). Given the novelty of the topic some data limitations exist. Those limitations include 1) bank lending data beyond non-financial corporations (e.g., households and financial sector institutions), 2) additional financial instruments such as equity, bonds, and sukuks, 3) data on financial exposure of other financial institutions than banks such as insurance companies or pension funds, 4) a higher financial data coverage of location specific lending and investments, 5) higher granularity of spatial data ideally at asset level, and 6) input-output data for capturing indirect financial exposure of economic sectors (e.g., manufacturing via mining). 73An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix A.2 ENCORE Definitions Table A4: List of ecosystem services included in the ENCORE database with their description No. Ecosystem Service Ecosystem service description 1 Animal-based energy Physical labor is provided by domesticated or commercial species, including oxen, horses, donkeys, goats, and elephants. These can be grouped as draught animals, pack animals, and mounts. 2 Bio-remediation Bio-remediation is a natural process whereby living organisms such as micro-organisms, plants, algae, and some animals degrade, reduce, and/or detoxify contaminants. 3 Buffering and attenuation of mass flows Buffering and attenuation of mass flows allows the transport and storage of sediment by rivers, lakes, and seas. 4 Climate regulation Global climate regulation is provided by nature through the long- term storage of carbon dioxide in soils, vegetable biomass, and the oceans. At a regional level, the climate is regulated by ocean currents and winds while, at local and micro-levels, vegetation can modify temperatures, humidity, and wind speeds. 5 Dilution by atmosphere and ecosystems Water, both fresh and saline, and the atmosphere can dilute the gases, fluids, and solid waste produced by human activity. 6 Disease control Ecosystems play important roles in regulation of diseases for human populations as well as for wild and domesticated flora and fauna. 7 Fibers and other materials Fibers and other materials from plants, algae, and animals are directly used or processed for a variety of purposes. This includes wood, timber, and fibers which are not further processed, as well as material for production, such as cellulose, cotton, and dyes, and plant, animal, and algal material for fodder and fertilizer use. 8 Filtration Filtering, sequestering, storing, and accumulating pollutants is carried out by a range of organisms including, algae, animals, microorganisms, and vascular and non-vascular plants. 9 Flood and storm protection Flood and storm protection is provided by the sheltering, buffering, and attenuating effects of natural and planted vegetation. 10 Genetic materials Genetic material is understood to be deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) and all biota including plants, animals, and algae. 11 Ground water Groundwater is water stored underground in aquifers made of permeable rocks, soil, and sand. The water that contributes to groundwater sources originates from rainfall, snow melts, and water flow from natural freshwater resources. 12 Maintain nursery habitats Nurseries are habitats that make a significantly high contribution to the reproduction of individuals from a particular species, where juveniles occur at higher densities, avoid predation more successfully, or grow faster than in other habitats. 13 Mass stabilization and erosion control Mass stabilization and erosion control is delivered through vegetation cover protected and stabilizing terrestrial, coastal, and marine ecosystems, coastal wetlands, and dunes. Vegetation on slopes also prevents avalanches and landslides, and mangroves, sea grass, and macroalgae provide erosion protection of coasts and sediments. 74 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix No. Ecosystem Service Ecosystem service description 14 Mediation of sensory impacts Vegetation is the main (natural) barrier used to reduce noise and light pollution, limiting the impact it can have on human health and the environment. 15 Pest control Pest control and invasive alien species management is provided through direct introduction and maintenance of populations of the predators of the pest or the invasive species, landscaping areas to encourage habitats for pest reduction, and the manufacture of a family of natural biocides based on natural toxins to pests. 16 Pollination Pollination services are provided by three main mechanisms: animals, water, and wind. Most plants depend to some extent on animals that act as vectors, or pollinators, to perform the transfer of pollen. 17 Soil quality Soil quality is provided through weathering processes, which maintain bio-geochemical conditions of soils including fertility and soil structure, and decomposition and fixing processes, which enables nitrogen fixing, nitrification, and mineralization of dead organic material. 18 Surface water Surface water is provided through freshwater resources from collected precipitation and water flow from natural sources. 19 Ventilation Ventilation provided by natural or planted vegetation is vital for good indoor air quality and without it there are long term health implications for building occupants due to the build-up of volatile organic compounds, airborne bacteria, and molds. 20 Water flow maintenance The hydrological cycle, also called water cycle or hydrologic cycle, is the system that enables circulation of water through the Earth’s atmosphere, land, and oceans. The hydrological cycle is responsible for recharge of groundwater sources (i.e. aquifers) and maintenance of surface water flows. 21 Water quality Water quality is provided by maintaining the chemical condition of freshwaters, including rivers, streams, lakes, and ground water sources, and salt waters to ensure favorable living conditions for biota. Source: ENCORE, Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021 75An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Table A5: List of impact drivers included in the ENCORE database with their description No. Impact Drivers Description 1 Disturbances Examples include decibels and duration of noise, lumens and duration of light, at site of impact. 2 Freshwater ecosystem use Examples include area of wetland, ponds, lakes, streams, rivers, or peatland necessary to provide ecosystem services such as water purification, fish spawning, areas of infrastructure necessary to use rivers and lakes such as bridges, dams, and flood barriers, etc. 3 GHG emissions Examples include volume of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6), Hydrofluorocarbons, (HFCs) and perfluorocarbons (PFCs), etc. 4 Marine ecosystem use Examples include area of aquaculture by type, area of seabed mining by type, etc. 5 Non-GHG air pollutants Examples include volume of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and coarse particulate matter (PM10), Volatile Organic Compounds, mono-nitrogen oxides (NO and NO2, commonly referred to as NOx), Sulphur dioxide (SO2), Carbon monoxide (CO), etc. 6 Other resource use Examples include volume of mineral extracted, volume of wild- caught fish by species, number of wild-caught mammals by species, etc. 7 Soil pollutants Examples include volume of waste matter discharged and retained in soil over a given period. 8 Solid waste Examples include volume of waste by classification (i.e., nonhazardous, hazardous, and radioactive), by specific material constituents (e.g., lead, plastic), or by disposal method (e.g., landfill, incineration, recycling, specialist processing). 9 Terrestrial ecosystem use Examples include area of agriculture by type, area of forest plantation by type, area of open cast mine by type, etc. 10 Water pollutants Examples include volume discharged to receiving water body of nutrients (e.g., nitrates and phosphates) or other substances (e.g., heavy metals and chemicals). 11 Water use Examples include volume of groundwater consumed, volume of surface water consumed, etc. Source: ENCORE, Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021 76 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Table A6: List of drivers of environmental change included in the ENCORE database with their description No. Driver of environmental change Description 1 Diseases Harmful pathogens and microbes that are originally found within the ecosystem(s) in question, but have become “out-of-balance” or “released” directly or indirectly due to human activities. 2 Droughts Periods in which rainfall falls below the normal range of variation. 3 Earthquakes Earthquakes manifest themselves by shaking and displacing or disrupting the ground. They may also cause associated events such as tsunamis, landslides, or even volcanic activity. 4 Fire Suppression or increase in fire frequency and/or intensity outside of its natural range of variation. 5 Flooding Extreme precipitation events leading to the submergence of dry land. 6 Landslides Landslide events leading to geological changes. 7 Habitat modification Major changes in habitat composition and location, for example deforestation. 8 Human modification of genetic material Human altered or transported organisms or genes. 9 Human movement Migration by people from one place to another with the intentions of settling, permanently or temporarily in a new location. 10 Industrial or domestic activities Non-agricultural human activities including non-consumptive use of resources. 11 Industrial or domestic construction Process of constructing a building or infrastructure for industrial or domestic purposes. 12 Intensive agriculture and aquaculture Threats from farming and ranching as a result of agricultural expansion and intensification, including silviculture, mariculture, and aquaculture (includes the impacts of any fencing around farmed areas). 13 Invasive species Harmful plants, animals, pathogens, and other microbes not originally found within the ecosystem(s) in question and directly or indirectly introduced and spread into it by human activities. 14 Ocean acidification Changes to the ocean chemistry which occurs when carbon dioxide is absorbed from the atmosphere and reacts with seawater to produce acid. 15 Ocean current and circulation Large scale movement of waters in the ocean basins. 16 Overfishing The harvesting of aquatic wild animals or plants at a rate that is greater than their capacity for regeneration. Harvesting can occur for commercial, recreation, subsistence, research, or cultural purposes, or for control/persecution reasons; accidental mortality/bycatch are also included. 17 Overharvesting The harvesting of plants, fungi, trees, and other woody vegetation, and other non-timber/non-animal products at a rate that is greater than their capacity for regeneration. The harvesting can occur for commercial, recreation, subsistence, research or cultural purposes, or for control reasons. 18 Overhunting The killing or trapping of terrestrial wild animals or animal products at a rate that is greater than their capacity for regeneration. The killing or trapping can occur for commercial, recreation, subsistence, research, or cultural purposes, or for control/persecution reasons; includes accidental mortality/bycatch. 77An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix No. Driver of environmental change Description 19 Pests Harmful plants or animals that are originally found within the ecosystem(s) in question, but have become “out-of-balance” or “released” directly or indirectly due to human activities. 20 Pollution Threats arising from the introduction of contaminants into the natural environment. 21 Population changes Changes in species populations over time and space. 22 Sea level rise Increase in global mean sea level as a result of an increase in the volume of water in the world’s oceans or heat dilation. 23 Sea surface temperature Periods in which sea surface temperatures exceed or go below the normal range of variation. 24 Storms Extreme precipitation and/or wind events. 25 Volcanoes Volcanic events which may lead to changes in natural capital assets. 26 Water abstraction Changing water flow patterns from their natural range of variation due to human activities. 27 Weather conditions Weather conditions outside of the natural range of variation. Source: ENCORE, Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021 A.3 Reputational Risk Malaysian banks could also be exposed to reputational risk arising from financing companies whose operations negatively impact the country’s biodiversity and the ecosystem services it sustains. The UEBT Biodiversity Barometer (UEBT 2020), an annual survey on biodiversity awareness which has surveyed more than 74,000 people since 2009, shows that consumer awareness of biodiversity has increased consistently over the last decade (see Figure A3) (UEBR 2020). This trend is likely to continue as policymakers are increasingly seeking to harness the power of civil society in reversing the biodiversity loss and its impact on ecosystems, species, and people. For instance, the first target of Malaysia’s National Policy on Biological Diversity 2016-2025 is to raise the awareness of biodiversity among Malaysians and the steps they can take to conserve and use it sustainably (MyBIS 2016). Reputation loss could translate into lower revenues and profits for firms engaging in controversial activities as customers might prefer more sustainable products. Most controversies with respect to biodiversity and land-use are related to agricultural products as shown by the MSCI ESG Controversies database (see Figure A4),84 of which 7 are recorded for Malaysia, all with respect to biodiversity loss and land-use change (see Figure A5). Banks that finance controversial firms could also lose reputation themselves, impacting banks’ customer and investors’ relations.85 Both firm and banks’ reputation loss, could pose financial risks for Malaysian banks (NGFS 2021). The MSCI ESG Controversies database records the instances of negative environmental impact resulting from a company’s product or operations. See https:// www.msci.com/documents/1296102/1636401/ESG_Controversies_Factsheet.pdf/4dfb3240-b5ed-0770-62c8-159c2ff785a0 for the methodology. The annual fossil fuel finance report by a group of NGOs, which states fossil fuel financing activities of the largest banks globally and receives a lot attention, is an example of potential reputational concerns with respect to climate change (RAN et al. 2021). 84 85 78 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Figure A3: Awareness of biodiversity among surveyed individuals in the UEBT Biodiversity Barometer Source: Based on UEBT Biodiversity Barometer Figure A4: Number of controversies globally as reported in MSCI ESG Controversy Database Source: Based on MSCI ESG Controversy Database 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 2009 2012 2015 2020 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Other Sectors Diversi�ed Chemicals Electric Utilities Steel Construction & Engineering Multi-Sector Holdings Paper Products Trading Companies & Distributors Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals Diversi�ed Metals & Mining Independent Power Producers Packaged Foods & Meats Gold Agricultural Products Red Orange Yellow 79An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix A.4 Drivers of Nature-Related Financial Risk Scenarios in Malaysia This section provides an overview of relevant data regarding the drivers of nature-related financial risk scenarios in Malaysia. The IPBES (2019) identifies five main drivers of biodiversity and nature loss, namely land- and sea use change, natural resource use and exploitation, climate change, pollution, and invasive species. Furthermore, governance and policy uncertainty can drive transition risk scenarios as well as physical risk scenarios. The following subsections shed a light on selected aspects of those different drivers of nature- related financial risks based on insights from stakeholder interviews as well as global and local nature and biodiversity datasets for Malaysia. This is intended to provide an initial assessment of the risk materiality of nature-related financial risks for the Malaysian banking sector. A.4.1 Land and Sea Use Change Land use change in Malaysia strongly impacts forest and peatland cover in Malaysia. Between 2000 and 2019, large areas around the coast of Sarawak, Johor, and Pahang saw significant losses in rain forest (Figure A6)86 often cleared to set up oil palm plantations (Figure 21). In three decades between 1975 and 2005, Malaysia lost 4.6 million hectares of forest cover, a 20 percent reduction of forest land (Wicke et al. 2011). According to Global Forest Watch, Malaysia lost 29% of its tree cover between 2001 and 2020, releasing 4.82Gt of CO2e emissions (Global annual CO2 emissions stand at 33Gt in 2021 according to the International Energy Agency, 2021). 86 Figure A5: Number of controversies linked to biodiversity and land use for different sectors in Malaysia as reported in MSCI ESG Controversy Database Source: Based on MSCI ESG Controversy Database Red Orange Yellow 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Casinos & Gaming Construction & Engineering Agricultural Products 80 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix https://www.worldwildlife.org/stories/endangered-species-threatened-by-unsustainable-palm-oil-production https://www.100jutapokok.gov.my/ The MSA compares the actual abundance of native species in an ecosystem with the theoretical ‘original state’ of that ecosystem without any disturbance from human activities. 87 88 89 Further, between 1990 and 2005, about 55 percent expansion of palm oil, the biggest agricultural export of Malaysia, came at the expense of the forests- mostly species-rich and carbon-rich tropical forests (Koh et al. 2008). This widespread replacement of natural forests with monoculture palm plantations has reduced the overall plant diversity and threatened many animal species dependent on such forests including orangutans and Bornean elephants.87 The growth in oil palm plantations has also been responsible for a considerable loss of mangroves in Malaysia, estimated to be 2.8 percent of the total mangrove habitat area between 2000 and 2012 (Richards et al. 2016). This loss of mangroves may lead to a weakened natural protection against cyclones and tsunamis (Alongi 2008). Certain regions, especially in Sarawak and Sabah, have been reforested thanks to strong efforts of private and public initiatives in Malaysia with the 100 million tree-planting campaign expected to provide another push.88 At the same time, forests are also an important habitat for species, thus supporting biodiversity, which is typically lower in reforested areas as compared to primary forests (Cunningham et al. 2015). Agriculturally driven land-use change, especially when planting monocultures such as oil palms, could increase the risk for agricultural productivity and stability, especially with respect to pollinator dependence (Aizen et al. 2019). Figure A6: Forest cover, forest loss, and forest gain between 2000 and 2019 in Malaysia Source: Based on Hansen et al. 2015 and Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021 Malaysia is home to some of the world’s most important biodiversity hotspots, whereas ecosystems and species are increasingly coming under pressure. Mean species abundance (MSA) is an indicator that measures the local terrestrial biodiversity intactness, for which we use estimates from the GLOBIO model (Schipper et al. 2019).89 MSA differs strongly across Malaysian regions. Regions with intact or protected rainforest show high MSA, meaning that human pressures such as land use, road disturbance, fragmentation, hunting, atmospheric nitrogen deposition, and climate change are limited. Also, a continued growth in the quarrying of limestone has come at the cost of an excessive exploitation of karsts- biodiversity reservoirs that can restock degraded environments (Clements et al, 2006). Limestone is a key ingredient in the production of cement, of which Malaysia is the fifth largest exporter in the world (WITS 2021). Urban regions such as Kuala Lumpur and regions that have a large cultivated agricultural sector such as palm oil (e.g., Johor) show low values of MSA (Figure A7a), meaning that pressures on biodiversity are high. Forest cover Forest loss (2000 - 2019) Forest gain (2000 - 2012) 81An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Endangered species risk, stemming from the WB’s terrestrial biodiversity indicators, also differs across regions. Regions in the North of Peninsular Malaysia show highest numbers of endangered species (Figure A7b) because they host some of the most biodiverse rainforests, while at the same time facing strong land use change pressures. Land conversion from forests to crop land or oil palm plantations has been particularly high in those regions in recent years (growth in oil palm plantation area between 2018 and 2020 4 percent for Pahang, 8 percent for Kelantan, and 6 percent for Terengganu (MPOB 2021), see Figure 21 for a map of current extent of oil palm plantations in Malaysia). The rainforests in Sarawak and Sabah on Borneo are still relatively untouched, showing a high MSA and having a lower number of endangered species. Sabah also shows the largest state area share that is currently protected (Figure 22a), followed by Pahang, with large areas of its rainforests in the North being protected. In total about 13 percent of Malaysian state area is currently protected, according to data from UNEP-WCMC (2021), falling potentially short of a 30x30 goal that is currently being discussed internationally. The percentage of area protected varies across states, however. Some endangered species hotspots, such as Kedah and Kelantan, currently show only limited area protection, indicating potential regions that could see protected area expansion efforts in the future. Figure A7: a) Mean species abundance in 2015 by district in Malaysia b) Number of endangered species 2019 by district in Malaysia Source: Based on Schipper et al. 2019 (Globio), WB Terrestrial Biodiversity Indicators (2019), and Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 82 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Several nature-related financial physical and transition risk scenarios could be driven by land- and sea use change and the accompanying loss in ecosystems and species (Table A7). Scenarios with highest banking sector loan exposure are urban sprawl (44 percent) and deforestation (30 percent) by inducing ecosystem service reduction. Further, reduced availability of timber (16 percent) as well as severe flooding occurrence (10 percent) as trees and mangroves cannot provide flood and storm protection show a high exposure of Malaysian banks. Further, transition risk scenarios such as an expansion of protected areas (8.4 percent) or stronger forestry regulation (0.7 percent) show a high potential risk exposure of the Malaysian banking sector. A.4.2 Natural Resource Use and Exploitation Continuous overexploitation of renewable and non-renewable resources such as fisheries, timber, and mineral extraction could drive certain nature-related financial risk scenarios. By 2030, six additional inhabitants are expected in Malaysia, whereas the urbanization rate is expected to increase from 76 percent in 2017 to 86 percent in 2050 (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). In the past, population growth and urbanization, were accompanied by higher infrastructure needs and consumption levels, increasing the terrestrial footprint in Malaysia (Figure A8). Mineral extraction is also expected to increase further in the next decade to support the construction and industry sectors (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). Furthermore, Malaysia has experienced a strong growth in non-metallic mineral extraction such as sand and gravel between 2015 and 2019. Silica sand and sand, for instance, have significant impacts towards river morphology, as well as sensitive freshwater and wetland ecosystems (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). As such, those activities would need to be accompanied by careful measures for ecosystem and nature protection, to avoid the materialization of nature-related risk scenarios such as “Reduced ecosystem services due to continued high resource use, pollution, and urban sprawl”. Fish stock is already relatively stretched in Malaysia with a deteriorating trend that could eventually lead to a fish stock collapse if current patterns continue. Figure A8: Change in Malaysian terrestrial footprint between 2000 and 2013 by district. Source: Based on UN Biodiversity Lab90, Venter et al. 2016, and Williams et al. 2020, Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021 Note: The terrestrial human footprint entails several granular and recent bottom-up survey information data sets to measure direct and indirect human pressures on the environment (built environments, population density, electric infrastructure, crop lands and pasture lands, roads, railways, and navigable waterways). Footprint scores range from 0-50, whereas here the net change between 2000 and 2013 is shown for Malaysia. A value of five thus means that the terrestrial human footprint increased by a score of five between 2000 and 2013. https://unbiodiversitylab.org/90 1 5 4 3 2 0 83An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix The nature-related financial risk exposure analysis shows a strong impact (about 15 percent) and high dependency (about 30 percent) on water. Similarly, a water-related financial risk scenario, either due to higher water pollution or stricter water regulation, shows a strong exposure of the Malaysian banking sector with about 17 percent of its lending portfolio. Specifically, the real estate and construction sectors strongly depend on the services provided by surface water, ground water, and water flow maintenance for operability. In recent years, Malaysia water consumption levels have steadily increased, from 6.4 million liters per day in 2015 to 6.8 million liters per day in 2019 (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). The strong use and pollution of water has implications for the water cycle that could potentially lead to an overall deterioration of its availability and usability for ecosystem services provisioning. Population growth could further increase consumption levels and growing climate change could impact currently stable irrigation patterns. In 2030, the World Resource Institute Aqueduct model projects some districts in Malaysia to have a threefold water stress level compared to today if no measures are taken (Figure A9). In response, the Malaysia government might increase water extraction and storage facilities, which could again feed back onto ecosystems and biodiversity, especially freshwater communities. Nature-related financial physical risk scenarios that could specifically be susceptible to overexploitation of resources are urban sprawl (potentially affecting 44 percent of Malaysian bank lending) and deforestation (30 percent) by inducing ecosystem service reduction (Table A7). Further, severe timber reduction (16 percent), reduced water availability (6 percent), and reduced agricultural yields (2.5 percent) could pose financial risk exposure in case of continued overexploitation. Figure A9: Aqueduct Malaysia water stress projections in 2030 Source: Based on WRI2021, Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 C ha ng e in w at er s tr es s in 2 03 0 84 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix A.4.3 Climate Change The rich vegetation in Malaysia also provides an important ecosystem service for climate regulation by sequestering large amounts of carbon; however, forest loss and conversion of peatlands in the past 20 years has reduced this potential. The loss of 29 percent of Malaysia’s forest cover between 2000 and 2020 alone released 4.8Gt of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) emissions.91 Currently about 17 percent of Malaysian banking sector’s lending portfolio depends on climate regulation, thus posing a strong financial risk if this ecosystem service deteriorates. Especially the rainforests in Perak, Pahang, and Kelantan as well as on Borneo stand out as storages for carbon with their large area shares of rainforests. Further, the peatland areas of Selangor, Pahang and Sarawak are important sources for carbon storage (Page and Rieley 2018). Converted land for crops and oil palm plantations, however, has less carbon storage potential (Figure A10), especially in states such as Johor and the Southern districts of Pahang, that host some of the country’s largest oil palm plantation areas. Figure A10: Vegetation carbon storage by district in Malaysia Global annual CO2e emissions stand at 33Gt in 2021 according to International Energy Agency, 2021. CO2 emissions per capita in Malaysia increased from 5.2 tons CO2e in 2000 to 7.6 tons CO2e in 2018 (Climate Watch, 2020) https://aries.integratedmodelling.org/aries-for-seea-explorer/ 91 92 Source: Based on UN System of Environmental-Economic Accounting (SEEA) 202192 and Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 Nature also plays an important role for flood and storm protection, on which more than 5 percent of commercial lending in Malaysia depends. Especially sectors such as construction, telecommunication, and electricity provision are sensitive to disruptions from extreme weather events, that could be moderated by intact rainforests and mangroves. Mangroves, covering more than half a million hectares of vast shoreline in Malaysia, offer protection from waves and tsunamis and can prevent shoreline erosion (Alongi, 2008). Flood and storm protection become even more relevant with growing climate change as it is expected to lead to higher intensity and frequency of extreme weather events such as flooding and cyclones (IPCC, 2021). According to data by the ThinkHazard! Platform developed by the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery, large parts of Malaysia are especially prone to flooding risk, including river (Figure A11a) and urban flooding risk (Figure A11b), potentially posing a risk to the financial sector. Coastal flooding (Figure A11c) is at high risk at the Eastern Coast of Peninsular Malaysia and in South Sarawak. Already over the past decades, the frequency and extremity of flood events have increased in Malaysia, with more expected given ongoing climate change (World Bank Group/Asian Development Bank 2021). The northeastern coast of Peninsular Malaysia and the East 85An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Figure A11: a) River flood risk in Malaysia by district b) Urban flood risk in Malaysia by district c) Coastal flood risk in Malaysia by district High Medium Low Very low No data High Medium Low Very low No data High Medium Low Very low No data 86 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix https://thinkhazard.org/en/report/153-malaysia93 A.4.4 Pollution Pollution from run-off and pesticides from agriculture, untreated waste, industry and mining pollutants, oil spills, and plastics is an ongoing issue in Malaysia (see Figure 10), posing increasing pressures on the health of its ecosystems and a potential risk for the Malaysian banking sector. Malaysian banks have a direct exposure between 2 and 44 percent of their loan portfolio to pollution related financial risk scenarios. Ongoing pollution could thus pose a risk for the Malaysian financial sector, if certain tipping points for ecosystem health (e.g., atmosphere, forests, freshwater) are crossed. Malaysia’s waste management systems are currently inadequate for dealing with the amount of waste produced (Kaza et al., 2018), particularly plastic waste (Chen et al. 2021). About 85 percent of solid waste is currently put into sanitary and unsanitary landfill sites (Chen et al. 2021). Plastic is a particular issue, especially as Malaysia is the world’s largest plastic importer since 2017 (Chen et al. 2021). Plastic waste is rarely recycled, but often burned illegally, resulting in the release of toxic substances (Timbuong and Tang, 2019). The Malaysian government has introduced several policies of Borneo are also strongly exposed to cyclone risk (Figure A11d). Climate change also impacts biodiversity and ecosystems through regular coral bleaching occurrences, changes in ecosystem structure and function and altered species distribution (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). Nature-related financial physical risk scenarios that could specifically be susceptible to climate change impacts are reduced ecosystem service (44 percent). This could be a slow but steady process (Table A7). Climate change affects ecosystems either abruptly or chronically, which could deteriorate their ability to sustain ecosystem services. As such climate change could drive nature-related financial risk scenarios such as an increase in sea surface temperature (16 percent), changed ocean current and circulation (16 percent), severe flooding occurrence (10 percent), severe cyclone occurrence (9 percent), and increased ocean acidification (8 percent). d) Cyclone risk in Malaysia by district Source: Based on ThinkHazard! 2021,93 and Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021 High Medium Low Very low No data 87An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix to address this problem, such as issuance of plastic waste import permits; however, insufficient solid waste management remains one of the main environmental problems in Malaysia (Moh and Manaf, 2017). Water pollution in combination with increasing water consumption threatens freshwater abundance in Malaysia. Main sources of water pollution in Malaysia are urban, agricultural, and forest land use (Camara et al. 2019). Furthermore, aquaculture or fertilizer runoff can contribute to eutrophication which can lead to lower species richness and biodiversity as it affects fish and other aquatic organisms (Er et al. 2018). Air pollution has increased in Malaysia with industrial expansion that released many harmful particles into the atmosphere (Usmani et al. 2020). Recently haze has also become a prevalent issue in Malaysia stemming from forest fires in Malaysia and Indonesia, with significant effects on air quality (Mead et al., 2018). Air pollution threatens ecosystems such as species and forests. However, it also poses a direct threat to humans, with 6.4 million deaths in 2016 attributed to air pollution worldwide (WHO 2017) and strong human health impacts in Malaysia (Qureshi et al. 2015). Continuously high levels of pollution could eventually be a driver of nature-related financial risk scenarios with a considerable potential risk exposure for Malaysian banks. Potential scenarios could be a reduction in ecosystem services due to continued high resource use, pollution, and urban sprawl (44 percent), increased ocean acidification (8 percent), lower clean water availability due to continuously high-water pollution (7.1 percent), unmanaged waste disposal and soil pollution strongly affecting productivity of habitats (2.4 percent), and atmospheric pollution causing deterioration of ecosystem services (1.7 percent). A.4.5 Invasive Species and Diseases Invasive species are another IPBES identified driver of nature-related financial risk scenarios in Malaysia. The spread of invasive alien species can have detrimental impacts for nature, humans, animals, and plants, while also posing risks for the economy and financial sector. Globalization and accompanying trade and tourism increase, as well as growing climate change, caused higher numbers of invasive species (MyBIS 2018). Malaysia Biodiversity Information System (MyBIS) provided in its 2018 list of invasive alien species an overview of potential threats. For instance, S. molesta is a water plant that affects aquatic ecosystems by weaving themselves into a thick, floating mat, which blocks oxygen and light from the water. As a result, this pest could threaten cultivated aquatic crops and potentially clog irrigation and drinking water lines. Another example is the red palm weevil disease, which strongly impacts the Malaysian coconut industry. Infected palms need to be removed and replanted, causing high economic costs. Furthermore, some diseases such as foot and mouth disease might directly affect animals, having a devastating impact on individual farmers and the rural community. Malaysia is aware of the invasive species and disease threat and is developing strategies for containing potential risks (MyBIS 2021), however, as the example of COVID-19 demonstrated, such diseases can spread quickly around the globe. Sectors such as agriculture, forestry, and aquaculture could be strongly impacted in such scenarios, exposing the Malaysian banking sector to potential financial risk. Nature-related financial risk exposure of Malaysian banks to potential invasive species driven scenarios such as invasive species sprawl (1 percent) and species decline due to human genetic modification (0.7 percent) is relatively low. However, in a globalized world invasive species and diseases could spread relatively quickly around the globe thus being a quite likely scenario. 88 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix A.4.6 Governance Issues Governance challenges could be a driver of nature-related financial risk scenarios. Conflicting priorities across national policies and the state development agenda as well as restricted capacity and capability of enforcement and implementation could hinder effective policies to avoid physical risk materialization. Furthermore, lack of clarity around accountability and responsibility could pose transition risk as an orderly implementation of policies could be impeded. The implementation of strict forestry policies and regulation as a scenario could for instance cause severe risks for Malaysian banks (0.7 percent) in case of an uncoordinated and sudden implementation. The Malaysia 2020 Forestry Policy could serve as an example. This aims to regulate forest management in the three major regions of Malaysia; yet it currently lacks an effective implementation framework (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). Each region in Malaysia has its own administrative framework and jurisdiction which hinder effective monitoring and cross-checking to ensure parity of efforts across different regions. Sabah Forest Policy, for example, highlights specific land area commitments for conservation and protected area management, while Peninsular Malaysia and Sarawak policies provide less detail. This could result in unbalanced expectations and responsibilities to achieve the country’s target of preserving at least 50 percent of total forest cover spread across the three regions (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). Governance issues can be a driver for several nature-related financial risk scenarios with a high exposure of Malaysian banks. Those scenarios entail all transition risk scenarios such as “sudden and unexpected climate policy introduction” (38 percent), “regulatory restriction of water pollution” (17 percent), “sudden increase in the price of water (removal of subsidies / market dynamics) (17 percent)”, “extension of protected areas” (8 percent), and regulatory restriction of non-sustainable pesticides and fertilizers” (7.4 percent) as the design, implementation, and enforcement of policies could be a significant driver of transition risk. In contrast, orderly introduced policies might lead to lower transition risk as firms and banks can anticipate potential policy implications. A.4.7 Policy Uncertainty Erratic and contradictory policy and regulatory signals by the government could increase policy uncertainty. Policy uncertainty is another driver of nature-related financial risk scenarios as it can impede firms from implementing transformative changes in business operations to reduce their nature impacts. Costly and long-term strategies might not be pursued, which could increase physical risk likelihood as current highly impacting business models are continued and transition risk, as no preparation has been conducted in case of sudden nature-related policy introduction. 89An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Engagements with local environmental specialists from government and non-governmental organizations were conducted to get a more complete understanding of nature-related financial risks impacting Malaysia’s financial system. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with several key stakeholders including a government ministry, a government agency, two non-governmental organizations and a research firm.94 The main objectives of the interviews were to obtain insights from the key stakeholders on (1) the preliminary findings of the report, (2) potential policy changes that may impact transition risk, and (3) relevant on-going research and initiatives that could further contribute to the analytical understanding of this study. The feedback received from the stakeholders is broadly summarized as follows: • At the policy level, focus on nature-related risks and their impacts to the economy and people is garnering increased interest at the federal-level as well as at certain state-level where nature- related businesses have a significant impact. While policies, including legislations and regulations to manage nature-related resources can be considered comprehensive, policy implementation coordination at the ministerial-level and state-level could be deemed fragmented and hence limiting the implementation effectiveness. Malaysia’s recognition as a highly biodiverse country attracts strong stakeholder activism and financial support by both local and international activists, which plays a critical role in policy implementation oversight. • Quantification and modelling of economic costs of nature-related loss to the economy and people are limited. One of the key action plans under the National Biodiversity Action Plan 2016-2025, is establishing the necessary tools and mechanisms to facilitate the recognition of the economic value of biodiversity and ecosystem services. From the reported 456 studies that estimated economic values 86 percent of them are in relation to the forest ecosystem.95 Implementation of payment for ecosystem services (PES) is also limited with one example being payment for watershed services implemented in the state of Perak. In terms of scenario validation, nature and climate-related events are being monitored by relevant ministries but are yet to be used in any economic modelling for policy decision-making purposes. • Limited data availability and data sharing amongst key stakeholders may hamper the development of a more robust multidisciplinary research program that is necessary for Malaysia’s capacity building. Local nature-related data are mostly proprietary in nature generated by both public and private actors. However, the availability of these data to the public differs greatly by type of ecosystems. For example, data on forest ecosystems are more widely available compared to water services. Based on the observations above, addressing nature-related financial risks may present unique challenges to financial sector players, particularly with respect to understanding the complex and multidisciplinary nature of the subject. Closer engagement with key stakeholders would be imperative to facilitate meaningful progress in managing nature-related financial risks by the financial sector players. Interviews were conducted with the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources, the World Wildlife Fund, Forests and Finance, PE Research and Akademi Sains Malaysia. https://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/uploads/files/7_Publication/Technical_Paper/MyStats/2017/1(a)-2_Prof_Awang_Noor_Abd_Ghani.pdf 94 95 A.5 Interviews with Experts Focused on Biodiversity in Malaysia 90 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix A.6 Full List of Explorative Nature-Related Risk Scenarios Table A7: List of possible nature-related financial physical and transition risk scenarios Risk scenario Source Driver Type of risk Affected natural assets Affected ecosystem services/ economic sectors Share of total lending Number of sectors affected (unconditional) Animal disease outbreak ENCORE Overexploitation, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Species Animal-based energy, fibers and other materials, pollination 0.80% 5 Severe drought occurrence ENCORE Climate change, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Habitats, Soils and sediments, Species, Water Buffering and attenuation of mass flows, Fibers and other materials, Mass stabilization and erosion control, Soil quality, Animal-based energy, Pollination, Water quality 3.70% 13 Severe wildfire occurrence ENCORE Climate change, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Habitats, Soils and sediments Fibers and other materials, Mass stabilization and erosion control 1.70% 7 Severe flooding occurrence ENCORE Climate change, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Habitats, Land geomorphology, Soils and sediments, Species, Water Buffering and attenuation of mass flows, Fibers and other materials, Flood and Storm protection, Mass stabilization and erosion control, Soil quality, Pollination, 9.60% 16 Pest outbreak ENCORE Overexploitation, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Species Fibers and other materials, pollination 0.70% 5 Severe storm occurrence ENCORE Climate change, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Habitats, Soils and sediments, Species, Water Buffering and attenuation of mass flows, fibers and other materials, flood and storm protection, maintenance of nursery habitats, mass stabilization and erosion control, pollination, water quality, Dilution by atmosphere and ecosystems 9.40% 37 Ecosystem service deterioration due to continued high rates of deforestation ENCORE Overexploitation, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Atmosphere, Habitats, Land geomorphology, Minerals, Soils and sediments, Species, Water Climate regulation, mediation of sensory impacts, pollination, soil quality, water flow maintenance, bio-remediation, buffering and attenuation of mass flows, fibers and other materials, filtration, flood and storm protection, maintenance of nursery habitats, pest control, water flow maintenance, soil quality, disease control, Ventilation, ground water 30.40% 42 Species decline due to human genetic modification ENCORE Invasive non- native species Physical risk Species Fibers and other materials, Genetic materials, Pollination 0.70% 5 Reduced ecosystem services due to continued high resource use, pollution and urban sprawl ENCORE Pollution, Climate Change, Overexploitation, Change and sea and land use Physical risk Atmosphere, Habitats, Land geomorphology, Ocean geomorphology, Soils and sediments, Water Dilution by atmosphere and ecosystems, buffering and attenuation of mass flows, Climate regulation, flood and storm protection, maintenance of nursery habitats, mass stabilization and erosion control, surface water 44.10% 49 91An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Risk scenario Source Driver Type of risk Affected natural assets Affected ecosystem services/ economic sectors Share of total lending Number of sectors affected (unconditional) Reduced agricultural yields and water pollution due to intense agri- and aquaculture ENCORE Overexploitation Physical risk Soils and sediments, Species, Water Buffering and attenuation of mass flows, soil quality, disease control, fibers and other materials, maintenance of nursery habitats, pest control, pollination 2.50% 6 Invasive species sprawl ENCORE Invasive non- native species Physical risk Species, Water Bio-remediation, Fibers and other materials, Maintenance of nursery habitats, Pollination, Water quality 1% 10 Increased ocean acidification ENCORE Climate change, Pollution Physical risk Habitats, species, water Flood and storm protection, maintenance of nursery habitats, mass stabilization and erosion control, water quality 8% 19 Changed ocean current and circulation ENCORE Climate change Physical risk Habitats, water Climate regulation, maintenance of nursery habitats, dilution by atmosphere and ecosystems, water quality 15.90% 26 Severe reduction in available fish stock ENCORE Overexploitation Physical risk Species Fibers and other materials, maintenance of nursery habitats, pollination 0.70% 5 Severe reduction in available timber ENCORE Overexploitation, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Soils and sediments, Species Climate regulation, fibers and other materials, pollination 16.20% 22 Species decline due to excessive hunting ENCORE Overexploitation Physical risk Species Pest control, pollination 1.70% 13 Atmospheric pollution causing deterioration of ecosystem services ENCORE Pollution, Climate Change Physical risk Atmosphere Mediation of sensory impacts, pollination, soil quality, water flow maintenance 2.40% 15 Unmanaged waste disposal and soil pollution strongly affecting productivity of habitats ENCORE Pollution Physical risk Habitat, species, soils and sediments Bio-remediation, fibers and other materials, filtration, maintenance of nursery habitats, mediation of sensory impacts, soil quality, water flow maintenance, pollination, water quality 2.40% 15 Lower clean water availability due to continuously high water pollution ENCORE Pollution Physical risk Water Dilution by atmosphere and ecosystems, ground water, maintenance of nursery habitats, mediation of sensory impacts, pollination, soil quality, water flow maintenance, water quality 7.10% 29 Increase in sea surface temperature ENCORE Climate Change Physical risk Habitats, soils and sediments, species, water Climate regulation, fibers and other materials 16% 22 Lower water availability for other ecosystem services ENCORE Pollution, Climate Change, Overexploitation, Change and sea and land use Physical risk Water Ground water, water flow maintenance, dilution by atmosphere and ecosystem 6% 29 Regulatory / market backlash against non- sustainable forestry Interviews Governance, Policy uncertainty, Consumer sentiments Transition risk   Forestry and logging, Manufacture of wood and products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials, Manufacture of furniture 0.70% 3 92 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Risk scenario Source Driver Type of risk Affected natural assets Affected ecosystem services/ economic sectors Share of total lending Number of sectors affected (unconditional) Extension of protected areas Interviews Governance, Policy uncertainty Transition risk   Forestry and logging, Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities, Fishing and Aquaculture, Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas, Mining of metal ores, Other mining and quarrying, Mining Support Service Activities, Manufacture of food products, Manufacture of beverages, Manufacture of tobacco products, Manufacture of wood and products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials, Manufacture of furniture 8.40% 10 Regulatory restriction of non- sustainable pesticides ENCORE Governance, Policy uncertainty Transition risk   Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities, Fishing and Aquaculture, Manufacture of food products, Manufacture of beverages, Manufacture of tobacco products, Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products 7.40% 6 Regulatory restriction of non- sustainable fertilizers ENCORE Governance, Policy uncertainty Transition risk   Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities, Fishing and Aquaculture, Manufacture of food products, Manufacture of beverages, Manufacture of tobacco products, Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products 7.40% 6 Regulatory restriction of water pollution Interviews Governance, Policy uncertainty Transition risk   Manufacture of food products, Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities, Accommodation, Other manufacturing, Manufacture of rubber and plastic products, Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment, Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products, Manufacture of wood and products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials, Manufacture of textiles, Water transport, Manufacture of paper and paper products, Manufacture of basic metals, Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply, Mining support service activities, Mining of metal ores, Water collection, treatment and supply, Waste collection, treatment and disposal activities; materials recovery, Manufacture of beverages, Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products, Other mining and quarrying, Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas, Forestry and logging, Manufacture of wearing apparel, Manufacture of tobacco products, Manufacture of leather and related products, Mining of coal and lignite, Fishing and Aquaculture, Remediation activities and other waste management services, Sewerage 16.80% 29 93An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Risk scenario Source Driver Type of risk Affected natural assets Affected ecosystem services/ economic sectors Share of total lending Number of sectors affected (unconditional) Sudden and unexpected climate policy introduction ENCORE Governance, Policy uncertainty Transition risk   Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities, Forestry and logging, Fishing and Aquaculture, Mining of coal and lignite, Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas, Mining of metal ores, Manufacture of beverages, Other manufacturing, Manufacture of furniture, Manufacture of other transport equipment, Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers, Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c., Manufacture of electrical equipment, Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products, Manufacture of basic metals, Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products, Manufacture of rubber and plastic products, Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations, Manufacture of textiles, Manufacture of leather and related products, Manufacture of paper and paper products, Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products, Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products, Manufacture of wearing apparel, Mining support service activities, Water collection, treatment and supply, Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply, Sewerage, Waste collection, treatment and disposal activities; materials recovery, Construction of buildings, Civil engineering, Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, Land transport and transport via pipelines, Water transport, Air transport, Warehousing and support activities for transportation, Postal and courier activities, Accommodation, Financial service activities, except insurance and pension funding, Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security, Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities, Real estate activities 37.60% 30 94 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Risk scenario Source Driver Type of risk Affected natural assets Affected ecosystem services/ economic sectors Share of total lending Number of sectors affected (unconditional) Sudden increase in the price of water (removal of subsidies / market dynamics) Interviews Governance, Policy uncertainty Transition risk   Manufacture of food products, Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities, Accommodation, Other manufacturing, Manufacture of rubber and plastic products, Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment, Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products, Manufacture of wood and products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials, Manufacture of textiles, Water transport, Manufacture of paper and paper products, Manufacture of basic metals, Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply, Mining support service activities, Mining of metal ores, Water collection, treatment and supply, Waste collection, treatment and disposal activities; materials recovery, Manufacture of beverages, Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products, Other mining and quarrying, Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas, Forestry and logging, Manufacture of wearing apparel, Manufacture of tobacco products, Manufacture of leather and related products, Mining of coal and lignite, Fishing and Aquaculture, Remediation activities and other waste management services, Sewerage 16.80% 29 95An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia CONNECT WITH US wbg.org/Malaysia @WorldBankMalaysia @WB_AsiaPacific http://bit.ly/WB_blogsMY www.bnm.gov.my @bnm.official @banknegaramalaysia @BNM_official BNM Official Bank Negara Malaysia Title Table of Contents Acknowledgements List of Figures List of Boxes Acronyms and Abbreviations Executive Summary ES.1 Introduction ES.2 Key Findings ES.3 Potential Actions to Address Challenges of Nature-Related Financial Risks Chapter 1. Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia 1.1 The Malaysian Banking Sector 1.2 Malaysia, a Biodiversity Hotspot 1.3 Nature-Related Financial Risks Chapter 2. Exposure Assessment 2.1 Dependency on Ecosystem Services 2.2 Impacts on Ecosystem Services 2.3 Activities in Key Biodiversity Areas 2.4 Physical and Transition Risk Scenarios Chapter 3. Potential Actions to Address Nature-Related Financial Risks Chapter 4. Conclusions 4.1 Key Findings 4.2 Potential Actions to Address Challenges of Nature-Related Financial Risks 4.3 Areas for Future Exploration References Appendix A.1 Methodology A.2 ENCORE Definitions A.3 Reputational Risk A.4 Drivers of Nature-Related Financial Risk Scenarios in Malaysia A.4.1 Land and Sea Use Change A.4.2 Natural Resource Use and Exploitation A.4.3 Climate Change A.4.4 Pollution A.4.5 Invasive Species and Diseases A.4.6 Governance Issues A.4.7 Policy Uncertainty A.5 Interviews with Experts Focused on Biodiversity in Malaysia A.6 Full List of Explorative Nature-Related Risk Scenarios
Press Release
07 Mar 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 28 February 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-28-february-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 28 February 2022 Share: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 28 February 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Monday, 7 March 2022 7 Mar 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD115.8 billion as at 28 February 2022. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 6.1 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.2 times total short-term external debt.   [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 7.3 months of retained imports of goods (15 February 2022: 7.3 months). For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 28 February 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 7 March 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
03 Mar 2022
Monetary Policy Statement
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-policy-statement-03032022
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Reading: Monetary Policy Statement Share: 9 Monetary Policy Statement Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Thursday, 3 March 2022 3 Mar 2022 At its meeting today, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Bank Negara Malaysia decided to maintain the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 1.75 percent. The global economy continues to recover. Despite the recent moderation in economic activity due to the Omicron-driven COVID-19 resurgences, the overall recovery trajectory remains on track. Inflation in many economies remain elevated, due to both demand and supply factors. Going forward, more countries will transition to endemic management of COVID-19, hence supporting global growth prospects. The unfolding developments surrounding the military conflict in Ukraine, however, have emerged as a key risk to global growth and trade prospects, commodity prices and financial market conditions. The global growth outlook will also continue to be affected by developments surrounding COVID-19, risks of prolonged global supply disruptions, and heightened financial market volatility amid adjustments in monetary policy in major economies. Despite the challenging environment, the Malaysian economy expanded by 3.1% in 2021. Looking ahead, the growth recovery will strengthen in 2022, driven by the expansion in global demand and higher private sector expenditure, amid improvements in the labour market and continued targeted policy support. The expected reopening of international borders would also provide further support to economic recovery. The economic impact from the recent increase in COVID-19 cases due to the Omicron variant is expected to be considerably less severe than previous waves in the absence of stringent restrictions. Risks to the growth outlook remain tilted to the downside due to external and domestic factors. These include a weaker-than-expected global growth, ongoing geopolitical conflicts, worsening supply chain disruptions, and developments surrounding COVID-19. Headline inflation in 2022 is projected to remain moderate as the base effect from fuel inflation continues to dissipate. Underlying inflation, as measured by core inflation, is expected to normalise to around its long-term average as economic activity continues to pick up amid the environment of high input costs. Nevertheless, core inflation is expected to be modest, with the upside risk partly contained by the continued slack in the economy and labour market. The inflation outlook continues to be subject to global commodity price developments amid risks from prolonged supply-related disruptions. The MPC considers the current stance of monetary policy to be appropriate and accommodative. Fiscal and financial measures will continue to provide support to economic activity. Amid the prevailing uncertainties, the stance of monetary policy will continue to be determined by new data and their implications on the overall outlook for domestic inflation and growth. Bank Negara Malaysia 3 March 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
28 Feb 2022
Monetary and Financial Developments in January 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-and-financial-developments-in-january-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6292127/i_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary and Financial Developments in January 2022 Share: Monetary and Financial Developments in January 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Monday, 28 February 2022 28 Feb 2022 Headline inflation moderated to 2.3% in January 2022 Headline inflation moderated to 2.3% in January 2022 (December: 3.2%) due mainly to the lower contribution from fuel and electricity inflation. This was partly offset by higher food and non-alcoholic beverages inflation (3.6%; December: 3.2%). Underlying inflation, as measured by core inflation, increased to 1.6% (December: 1.1%), driven mainly by food away from home, and repair and maintenance for personal transport. Wholesale and retail trade growth moderated in December 2021 The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded at a more moderate pace of 0.6% in December 2021 (November: 2.4%). The slower growth was recorded across all sub-components. The index decelerated on a seasonally adjusted month-on-month basis (-0.4%; November: 1.2%). This reflected mainly slowing activities in the retail segments, amid rising price pressures faced by consumers in the last quarter of the year. Sustained net financing growth amid continued support from bank lending Net financing growth was sustained at 4.8% in January 2022, as outstanding loan growth increased (4.7%; December: 4.5%) amid some moderation in outstanding corporate bond growth (5.0%; December: 5.5%). Outstanding household loans grew by 4.7% (December: 4.3%), in line with the higher growth in loan disbursements (21.3%; December: 7.4%), which outpaced the growth in loan repayments (6.0%; December: 1.2%). Growth in outstanding business loans (5.3%; December: 5.0%) continued to be supported by working capital loans. By sector, it was mainly driven by the manufacturing and wholesale and retail trade sectors. Financial markets driven by expectations of tighter global monetary conditions Domestic financial market conditions tightened in January 2022 as MGS yields rose and the domestic equity market declined. This was driven mainly by firmer expectations for a faster pace of US monetary policy tightening and the corresponding broad strengthening in the US dollar. During the month, despite marginal ringgit depreciation, Malaysia continued to record non-resident portfolio inflows into the equities and bond market. Importantly, despite the weaker financial market performance, financial market adjustments remained orderly amid sufficient trading liquidity. Banking system capitalisation remains strong Banks remain well-capitalised to withstand potential stress and continue supporting credit flows to the economy. Capital ratios rose slightly in January 2022 due to recognition of year-end profits. This was partially offset by valuation adjustments on available-for-sale financial instruments. Banks’ loss-absorbing capacity remains strong, with excess capital buffers1 of RM131.9 billion as at January 2022. The resilience of banks continued to be underpinned by sound asset quality Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly stable at 1.4% and 0.9%, respectively. Banks continue to set aside additional provisions against potential credit losses. Total provisions currently stand at 1.9% of total banking system loans and 130.5% of impaired loans.   1 Refers to total capital above the regulatory minimum, which includes the capital conservation buffer (2.5%) and bank-specific higher minimum requirements.   View Monthly Highlights [PDF] Related Assets Monthly Highlights and Statistics in January 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 28 February 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights May 2023 Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined further to 2.8% in May May 2023 Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation moderated to 2.8% (April 2023: 3.3%). This decline was largely due to non-core CPI components, particularly lower inflation for fuel (-0.2 percentage points, ppt) and fresh food (-0.1ppt). • Core inflation also declined slightly to 3.5% (April 2023: 3.6%) amid lower inflation for communication services. 3.3 2.8 3.6 3.5 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 A p r- 2 3 M a y -2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) 1.6 5.1 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 1 Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector improved in May 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.0% as at end-May (April 2023: 3.7%), driven mainly by higher growth in credit to businesses (2.8%; April 2023: 2.5%). • Outstanding corporate bonds grew by 4.6% (April 2023: 4.4%), while outstanding business loans expanded by 1.6% (April 2023: 1.0%). The higher business loan growth reflected improvement in loans for both working capital and investments to SMEs and non-SMEs. • In the household segment, outstanding loan growth was sustained at 5.1% (April 2023: 5.0%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. Of note, household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.0% and 8.4%, respectively (April 2023: 6.8% and 8.0%). 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 4.5 4.2 3.7 4.0 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Index of wholesale and retail trade growth moderated in April Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded more moderately by 4.7% in April 2023 (March 2023: 9.4%). The lower growth was due mainly to the decline in the motor vehicle segment. • However, the retail segment continued to record a double-digit growth of 10.0% (March 2023: 13.8%), supported by sales in non-specialised and other specialised stores1. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index increased at a faster pace of 6.5% (March 2023: -0.9%). 1 Other goods in specialised stores includes clothing, footwear, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, watches, jewellery and optical goods. 10.6 9.4 4.7 -2 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 Apr-22 Jun-22 Aug-22 Oct-22 Dec-22 Feb-23 Apr-23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Monthly Highlights 2 May 2023 Domestic financial markets were largely affected by external factors Financial Market Performance in May 2023 -18.0 -0.5 -1.1 -3.0 -2.0 -3.4 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -20 -15 -10 -5 0 May-23 Apr-23 Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 1Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia • Global investors maintained a risk-off approach throughout May, as concerns over the impact of the US debt ceiling crisis and the weaker-than- expected rebound in China’s economy weighed on global financial markets. • As a result, the ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 3.4% (regional1 average: -1.2%). Similarly, the FBM KLCI declined by 2.0% (regional1 average: -1.3%). • Nonetheless, the 10-year MGS yields decreased slightly by 3 basis points, supported by non-resident inflows into the domestic bond market. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 151.2% (April 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.8% (April 2023: 82.1%). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.8 151.2 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.80% (April 2023: 1.78%) and 1.10% (April 2023: 1.10%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remained at a prudent level of 114.1% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.1 1.7 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio April 2023 Monthly Highlights Slide 1 Slide 2
Press Release
28 Feb 2022
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-January 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-january-2022-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-January 2022 Share: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-January 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Monday, 28 February 2022 28 Feb 2022 In accordance with the IMF SDDS format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period. The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III and IV. As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD116,107.9 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to USD133.3 million as at end-January 2022. As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD5,336.8 million. The short forward positions amounted to USD8,205.5 million while long forward positions amounted to USD130 million as at end-January 2022, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,343.4 million in the next 12 months. As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets are Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD401.8 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit. Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-January 2022, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable. Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (31 January 2022) Bank Negara Malaysia 28 February 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
23 Feb 2022
Matters relating to 1MDB
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/stmt-20220223
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Reading: Matters relating to 1MDB Share: Matters relating to 1MDB Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 2200 on Wednesday, 23 February 2022 23 Feb 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) refers to the witness testimony in an ongoing trial in New York relating to the approval given by BNM for 1MDB to invest abroad in 2009. All investments abroad by resident entities are subject to the requirements under the Exchange Control Act 1953 that was in force prior to 2013 (since replaced by the Financial Services Act 2013). These requirements and criteria governing such investments are transparent and published on BNM’s website. All submissions made by 1MDB, including the said application, were subject to the same approval criteria and internal governance process that apply to any submission by other entities to BNM.  BNM would also like to address previous reports on information received from foreign financial intelligence units (FIUs) with respect to the accounts belonging to the husband of a former Governor. On this, BNM has furnished information to the relevant law enforcement agency in April 2016 in accordance with our responsibilities under the Anti-Money Laundering, Anti-Terrorism Financing and Proceeds of Unlawful Activities Act 2001.   Bank Negara Malaysia 23 February 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
22 Feb 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 February 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-15-february-2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 February 2022 Share: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 February 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Tuesday, 22 February 2022 22 Feb 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD115.8 billion as at 15 February 2022. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 6.1 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.2 times total short-term external debt.   [1]   Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 7.3 months of retained imports of goods (31 January 2022: 7.5 months). For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 15 February 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 22 February 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
18 Feb 2022
eCCRIS Registration is Now Digital. Register Anytime, Anywhere
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/eccris-digital
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6190098/CCRIS-Guide-en.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6190098/CCRIS-Highlights-en.pdf
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Reading: eCCRIS Registration is Now Digital. Register Anytime, Anywhere Share: 224 eCCRIS Registration is Now Digital. Register Anytime, Anywhere Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1430 on Friday, 18 February 2022 18 Feb 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia wishes to announce that effective 18 February 2022, Malaysian individual new users may now directly register for eCCRIS at eccris.bnm.gov.my, without the need to walk into a BNM or Agensi Kaunseling dan Pengurusan Kredit (AKPK) office. To register for eCCRIS, individuals need to only follow the steps attached. This includes for new users to make a RM1 online transfer to a designated BNM account via internet banking, with the RM1 automatically refunded within two working days upon registration. This step allows for the identities of individuals to be confirmed digitally, taking away the need for physical verification. Deputy Governor Marzunisham Omar said, “These enhancements make it more convenient and safer for individual users to register for eCCRIS and have access to their CCRIS reports, all from the comfort of their homes.” For companies and non-Malaysian individuals, new user registrations can continue to be performed through eLINK at telelink.bnm.gov.my. Please visit bnm.gov.my/ccris for further information on CCRIS and eCCRIS. The public may also reach BNMTELELINK at 1-300-88-5465 or 603-2174 1717 (overseas) or via our newly introduced Live Chat function at bnm.gov.my/livechat. See also: Key highlights of the Enhanced eCCRIS eCCRIS Online Registration User Guide for New Individual UserBank Negara Malaysia 18 February 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) Issued on: 25 March 2022 BNM/RH/PD 034-4 Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) Applicable to the following interbank institutions: 1. Licensed Islamic banks 2. Licensed banks and licensed investment banks carrying on Islamic banking business 3. Prescribed development financial institutions carrying on Islamic financial business 4. Other interbank institutions that are direct participants of RENTAS Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) Issued on: 25 March 2022 TABLE OF CONTENTS PART A OVERVIEW ............................................................................................... 1 1 Introduction ................................................................................................ 1 2 Applicability ............................................................................................... 1 3 Legal provisions ........................................................................................ 1 4 Effective date ............................................................................................. 1 5 Interpretation ............................................................................................. 1 6 Related legal instruments, policy documents and Shariah rulings ............. 3 PART B DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY ............................................................... 4 7 Calculation and eligible transactions ......................................................... 4 8 Data sources and quality ........................................................................... 4 9 Publication ................................................................................................. 5 PART C GOVERNANCE ......................................................................................... 6 10 Administration of MYOR-i .......................................................................... 6 11 Contingency arrangements ....................................................................... 6 APPENDIX 1 Eligible Instruments ............................................................................. 7 APPENDIX 2 MYOR-i features ................................................................................. 8 APPENDIX 3 Template for submission of RENTAS transaction data ....................... 9 APPENDIX 4 Illustration of a contingency calculation ............................................. 10 Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 1 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 PART A OVERVIEW 1.1 In line with the continued development of the Islamic financial market, the Financial Markets Committee (FMC), in consultation with the AIBIM-FMAM1 Islamic Market Technical and Development Committee (IMTDC), recommended for the replacement of the Kuala Lumpur Islamic Reference Rate (KLIRR) with a new Islamic benchmark rate, named the Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i). MYOR-i is designed based on the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO)’s Principles for Financial Benchmarks. 1.2 This policy document sets out the benchmark design, methodology and governance framework to ensure the integrity and credibility of MYOR-i. 2.1 This policy document is applicable to interbank institutions as defined in paragraph 5.2. 3.1 The requirements in this policy document are specified pursuant to sections 152 and 155 of the Islamic Financial Services Act 2013 (IFSA) and section 116 of the Development Financial Institutions Act 2002 (DFIA). 3.2 The guidance in this policy document is issued pursuant to section 277 of the IFSA and section 126 of the DFIA. 4.1 This policy document comes into effect on 25 March 2022. 5.1 The terms and expressions used in this policy document shall have the same meanings assigned to them in the Financial Services Act 2013 (FSA), IFSA or DFIA, as the case may be, unless otherwise defined in this policy document. 5.2 For the purposes of this policy document: 1 AIBIM: Association of Islamic Banking and Financial Institutions Malaysia FMAM: Financial Markets Association Malaysia 1 Introduction 2 Applicability 3 Legal provisions 4 Effective date 5 Interpretation Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 2 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 “S” denotes a standard, an obligation, a requirement, specification, direction, condition and any interpretative, supplemental and transitional provisions that must be complied with. Non-compliance may result in enforcement action; “G” denotes guidance which may consist of statements or information intended to promote common understanding and advice or recommendations that are encouraged to be adopted; “agent” refers to a market participant, generally an interbank institution or an approved money broker, who executes deals on behalf of its clients pursuant to the clients’ mandate and without taking on market risk in connection with the deals; “business day” means any calendar day from Monday to Friday except a public or bank holiday in Kuala Lumpur; “Commodity Murabahah” refers to a contract based on the sale and purchase of Shariah-compliant commodities where the acquisition cost and the mark-up are disclosed to the purchaser; “Eligible Instrument” means a Shariah-compliant instrument listed in Appendix 1; “FAST” means the Fully Automated System for Issuing / Tendering which is a centralised system for the issuance of debt securities and to facilitate the Bank’s monetary policy operations; “Funding Facility” refers to the funding facility provided by the Bank to meet temporary liquidity needs of interbank institutions at a profit rate as referenced in the Bank’s Policy Document on Standing Facilities; “interbank institutions” refer to the following institutions which are approved by the Bank to deal in the interbank market, whether acting as principals or agents in the wholesale financial markets – (a) licensed Islamic banks under the IFSA; (b) licensed banks and licensed investment banks approved under section 15(1)(a) of the FSA to carry on Islamic banking business; (c) prescribed development financial institutions approved under section 33B(1) of the DFIA to carry on Islamic financial business; and (d) any other interbank institution which is a direct participant of the Real-Time Electronic Transfer of Funds and Securities System (RENTAS); Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 3 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 “MYOR-i” refers to the Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate, which is the Shariah-compliant transaction-based Islamic benchmark rate for Malaysia with features listed in Appendix 2; “principal” refers to a market participant who transacts for its own account and not acting as an agent; “RENTAS” means the Real-Time Electronic Transfer of Funds and Securities System which is the real-time gross settlement system; “senior management” refers to the chief executive officer and senior officers of interbank institutions; “Shariah Advisory Council” refers to the Bank’s Shariah Advisory Council (SAC) established under section 51 of the Central Bank of Malaysia Act 2009, which is the authority for the ascertainment of Islamic law for the purposes of Islamic financial business; “Shariah-compliant” refers to Islamic financial products and services that are consistent with Shariah principles and approved by the Bank’s SAC; and “Standing Facilities” means both the Lending / Funding Facility and Deposit / Acceptance Facility offered by the Bank. 6.1 This policy document must be read together with other relevant legal instruments, policy documents, guidelines, codes or circulars issued by the Bank, in particular - (a) Code of Conduct for Malaysia Wholesale Financial Markets; (b) Participation Rules for Payments and Securities Services; (c) Operational Procedures for Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) Settlement in RENTAS; (d) Policy Document on Standing Facilities; (e) Policy Document on Murabahah; (f) Policy Document on Tawarruq; (g) Policy Document on Wakalah; and (h) the Shariah Advisory Council of Bank Negara Malaysia (SAC) Ruling on the New Islamic Reference Rate i.e Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) based on the 218th SAC Meeting dated 28 October 2021. 6 Related legal instruments, policy documents and Shariah rulings Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 4 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 PART B DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY G 7.1 MYOR-i is calculated as the volume-weighted average rate of return on Shariah- compliant unsecured overnight MYR interbank placements, rounded to two decimal places. Eligible transactions comprise the following transactions that are based on an Eligible Instrument: (a) Unsecured placements between interbank institutions (either brokered or direct/bilateral); and (b) The Bank’s Islamic overnight monetary operations, which comprise tenders conducted through FAST or manual operations, and direct overnight placements between the Bank and interbank institutions, excluding Standing Facilities. G 7.2 To ensure MYOR-i is reflective of the latest conditions and developments in the Islamic financial market, new Eligible Instruments may be added in the future, subject to the following conditions: (a) Instruments shall be approved by the Bank’s SAC; and (b) Instruments shall meet all requirements for MYOR-i as assessed by the Bank, including but not limited to liquidity, data quality and robust governance standards. G 8.1 The data used to calculate MYOR-i is collected from two key sources: (a) RENTAS; and (b) FAST. S 8.2 In the event2 that there is insufficient or missing transaction data submitted through RENTAS3, interbank institutions shall provide all relevant data on their overnight interbank money market transactions to the Bank according to the template provided in Appendix 3 via email by RENTAS closing time, or immediately upon request by the Bank. S 8.3 Interbank institutions shall notify the Investment Operations and Financial Market Department of the Bank and provide all relevant transaction data by the cut-off time specified in paragraph 9.2 upon identification of errors in RENTAS transaction data which affect the calculation of MYOR-i. The notification shall first be made via telephone followed by an email with supporting documentation. S 8.4 The senior management of interbank institutions shall put in place and implement robust internal policies and mechanisms, including effective back-up arrangements to ensure the accuracy of RENTAS transaction data and enable timely detection of errors which may affect the calculation of MYOR-i. 2 For example, due to IT or RENTAS-related issues. 3 Information in MT202 settlement instructions. 7 Calculation and eligible transactions 8 Data sources and quality Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 5 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 G 9.1 MYOR-i for a given business day is published by 12:00 noon on the following business day on the Bank’s official website. S 9.2 Interbank institutions shall report any identified errors to the Investment Operations and Financial Market Department of the Bank by 2:00 p.m. on the publication day. Errors identified or reported after 2:00 p.m. shall not be taken into account by the Bank for the determination of the correct rate. G 9.3 A republication shall be made by the Bank if the erroneous rate is two or more basis points away from the correct rate. G 9.4 A notification shall be made by the Bank by 3:00 p.m. on the same publication day on the official webpage for MYOR-i to indicate a potential republication due to erroneous data. In the absence of such a notification, MYOR-i will not be republished. G 9.5 The republication shall be made by the Bank by 4:00 p.m. on the same publication day. An annotation shall be made to the republished rate to indicate a rate change. 9 Publication Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 6 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 PART C GOVERNANCE G 10.1 The Bank is the administrator of MYOR-i and shall undertake periodic reviews of the design and methodology of MYOR-i to ensure that the benchmark rate accurately reflects the underlying market structure. G 10.2 The Bank will seek the views of the FMC and the IMTDC to ensure that a holistic approach is undertaken when reviewing any changes to MYOR-i design or methodology. For material changes, the Bank will conduct a public consultation to seek feedback from market participants. G 11.1 In the event of disruption to the normal production of MYOR-i (e.g. disruption to trade settlement, interbank trading or data collection), the Bank shall calculate and publish MYOR-i based on the average MYOR-i, adjusted for any changes in the Funding Facility profit rate, over the previous three publication days: MYOR-it = 1 3 �[MYOR-it-n + (FFPRt − FFPRt-n)] 3 𝑛𝑛=1 where t = day of disruption event (i.e. contingency calculation day); and FFPR = Funding Facility profit rate Refer to Appendix 4 for an illustration of the contingency calculations. G 11.2 For exceptional circumstances other than short-term disruptions, the Bank shall exercise expert judgement and recommend an appropriate rate for publication. 10 Administration of MYOR-i 11 Contingency arrangements Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 7 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 1. Commodity Murabahah APPENDIX 1 Eligible Instruments Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 8 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 Description MYOR-i is the transaction-based Islamic benchmark rate based on Shariah-compliant unsecured overnight MYR interbank placements. Administrator and calculator The Bank Calculation methodology Volume-weighted average Rounding precision Rounded to two decimal places Eligible transactions Eligible transactions comprise the following transactions that are based on an Eligible Instrument: (a) Unsecured placements between interbank institutions (either brokered or direct/bilateral); and (b) The Bank’s Islamic overnight monetary operations, which comprise tenders conducted through FAST or manual operations, and direct overnight placements between the Bank and interbank institutions, excluding Standing Facilities. Data sources RENTAS and FAST Data collection window Eligible transactions done throughout the entire business day (i.e. until RENTAS close). Publication 12:00 noon Kuala Lumpur time on the next business day on the Bank’s official website. Republication A republication shall be made by the Bank if the erroneous rate is two or more basis points away from the correct rate and is identified or reported by 2:00 p.m. on the publication day. A notification on potential republication due to erroneous data will be made by 3:00 p.m., with republication (if any) by the Bank by 4:00 p.m. on the same day. Contingency arrangements In the event of disruption to the normal production of MYOR-i, the Bank shall calculate MYOR-i based on the average MYOR-i, adjusted for any changes in the Funding Facility profit rate, over the previous three publication days. For exceptional circumstances, the Bank shall exercise expert judgement and recommend an appropriate rate. APPENDIX 2 MYOR-i features Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 9 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 Institution: ________________________ Date : ________________________ MT202 Additional Info Transaction ID Sender Ref ID Seller BIC Buyer BIC Settlement date TRN code Trans type Status Currency code Amount Market Type Method / Brokers Product Rate Maturity date MMO00 MT202 Settled MYR I MUR For the columns under “MT202 Additional Info”, the information shall be consistent with the codes outlined in Appendix XVII of the Operational Procedures for MYR Settlement in RENTAS, in particular: Category Details Code Market type Islamic I Method / Brokers Brokered Affin Moneybrokers Brokered ICAP (Malaysia) Brokered Harlow’s & MGI Direct Trade AF IM HA DT Product Murabahah MUR Rate Up to 2 decimal places x.xx Maturity date MMM format: JAN, FEB, MAR, APR, MAY, JUN, JUL, AUG, SEP, OCT, NOV, DEC DDMMMYY APPENDIX 3 Template for submission of RENTAS transaction data Malaysia Islamic Overnight Rate (MYOR-i) 10 of 10 Issued on: 25 March 2022 Add the difference between the FFPR for the contingency calculation day (t) and the historical date (t-n) For illustrative purposes, the MYOR-i for t-3, t-2 and t-1 were 1.73%, 1.75% and 2.02% respectively. There was a 25 bps increase in the Funding Facility profit rate (FFPR) on day t-1: Rates expressed as percentages (%) Day t-3 t-2 t-1 t MYOR-i 1.73 1.75 2.02 Contingency FFPR 2.00 2.00 2.25 2.25 *25 bps increase in FFPR According to the formula, the MYOR-i for day t-3 and day t-2 will be adjusted upwards by 25 bps to 1.98% and 2.00% respectively: Day t-3 t-2 t-1 Adjusted MYOR-i 1.73 + (2.25 - 2.00) = 1.98 1.75 + (2.25 - 2.00) = 2.00 2.02 + (2.25 - 2.25) = 2.02 Contingency MYOR-i for day t = (1.98 + 2.00 + 2.02) / 3 = 2.00 APPENDIX 4 Illustration of a contingency calculation TABLE OF CONTENTS PART A OVERVIEW 1 Introduction 2 Applicability 3 Legal provisions 4 Effective date 5 Interpretation 6 Related legal instruments, policy documents and Shariah rulings PART B DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY 7 Calculation and eligible transactions 8 Data sources and quality 9 Publication PART C GOVERNANCE 10 Administration of MYOR-i 11 Contingency arrangements APPENDIX 1 Eligible Instruments APPENDIX 2 MYOR-i features APPENDIX 3 Template for submission of RENTAS transaction data APPENDIX 4 Illustration of a contingency calculation Online eCCRIS ENG 1. Starting 18 February 2022, new individual users can register for eCCRIS online at eccris.bnm.gov.my. 2. No physical presence needed at Bank Negara Malaysia or Agensi Kaunseling dan Pengurusan Kredit’s (AKPK) premises for registration authentication. 3. New users must be Malaysian individuals with MyKad and internet banking facility. For others, existing arrangements will still apply (i.e., registration via kiosk at AKPK premises or eLINK at telelink.bnm.gov.my). Key Highlights of the Enhanced eCCRIS: Online Registration for New Individual Users 4. Identity of new users will be confirmed digitally. This involves a RM1 transfer to a designated Bank Negara Malaysia account via internet banking. The RM1 will be automatically refunded within 2 working days upon registration. If you have more queries on the online eCCRIS registration, you can contact BNMTELELINK at 1-300-88-5465 / 603-2174 1717 (overseas) or via Live Chat at www.bnm.gov.my/livechat 5. The online registration is more convenient and safer. New Malaysian individual users with an internet connection can now register and access their CCRIS report anytime and anywhere. To learn more about the CCRIS Report, visit bnm.gov.my/ccris. New Malaysian individual users with MyKad and internet banking facility Applicable: Not Applicable but existing arrangements apply: Malaysian individual without internet banking Permanent Resident and non-Malaysian Businesses User registration at eccris.bnm.gov.my Step 1 Confirm details and Terms and Conditions Step 2 If authentication is successful, you will receive a 6-digit OTP to your registered mobile number and email to complete your registration Step 4 OTP.. For a more detailed registration user guide, see bnm.gov.my/ccris One-off RM1 transfer via internet banking will be refunded automatically within 2 working days Step 3: Digital authentication
Press Release
11 Feb 2022
Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Fourth Quarter of 2021
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/4q-gdp-2021
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/4Q_table_en.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/4Q2021_GDP_Slides.pdf
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Reading: Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Fourth Quarter of 2021 Share: 8 Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Fourth Quarter of 2021 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Friday, 11 February 2022 11 Feb 2022 The Malaysian economy rebounded by 3.6% in the fourth quarter (3Q 2021: -4.5%) The Malaysian economy registered a positive growth of 3.6% in the fourth quarter of 2021 (3Q 2021: -4.5%), as economic activities resumed with the easing of containment measures. The rebound in economic activity was aided by recovery in the labour market as well as continued policy support. In addition, strong external demand amid the continued upcycle in global technology provided a further lift to growth. On the supply side, all economic sectors recorded improvements in growth, led by the services and manufacturing sectors. On the expenditure side, growth was driven mainly by the improvement in household spending and trade activity. On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted basis, the economy registered an increase of 6.6% (3Q 2021: -3.6%). With the turnaround in growth in the fourth quarter, the economy grew by 3.1% for 2021 as a whole, and the unemployment rate declined to 4.6%. As expected, headline inflation increased to 3.2% during the quarter (3Q 2021: 2.2%). The higher inflation during the quarter was due mainly to the normalisation in electricity prices following the lapse of the three-month electricity bill discount implemented in July 2021. Core inflation increased marginally to 0.8% during the quarter (3Q 2021: 0.7%) as economic reopening gathered momentum. For 2021 as a whole, average headline inflation was 2.5% (2020: -1.2%), while core inflation averaged at 0.7% (2020: 1.1%). Exchange rate developments The ringgit appreciated by 0.3% against the US dollar in the fourth quarter of 2021. This was supported by improved sentiment from the easing of COVID-19 restriction measures and accelerated COVID-19 vaccine booster inoculations. However, since 3 January 2022, the ringgit depreciated marginally by 0.3% against the US dollar, broadly in line with the trend of other regional currencies amid growing expectations for tighter global liquidity conditions, including a more rapid pace of monetary policy tightening by the US Federal Reserve. Going forward, as uncertainties regarding global liquidity adjustments and developments surrounding the path of the pandemic remain, the domestic financial markets are expected to be subject to periodic bouts of volatility. Financing conditions Growth in net financing to the private sector increased to 4.7% (3Q 2021: 3.9%), due mainly to higher outstanding loan growth (4.4%; 3Q 2021: 2.9%) as economic activity picked up. Outstanding household loan growth grew by 4.2% (3Q 2021: 3.2%) with higher growth across most loan purposes. Loan applications and disbursements were substantially higher following the easing of movement restrictions, particularly for purchasing houses and passenger cars. For businesses, outstanding loan growth increased to 4.8% (3Q 2021: 2.4%) and continued to be driven by higher working capital loans. The Malaysian economy is expected to remain on its recovery path in line with continued expansion in global growth and higher private sector spending For 2022, the domestic economy is expected to remain on its recovery path, supported by the continued expansion in global demand and higher private sector expenditure given improving labour market conditions and on-going policy support. The continuation of major investment projects in both private and public sectors will also support growth. Governor Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah explained, “Malaysia is well-positioned to continue benefitting from the expansion in global economic and trade activities. The acceleration of the COVID-19 booster vaccination programme and vaccination of children above 5 years old, coupled with sufficient capacity in the healthcare system, would improve domestic economic activities, thus strengthening the recovery momentum.” However, the balance of risks remains tilted to the downside, mainly from development surrounding COVID-19, both globally and domestically. Average headline inflation for 2022 is likely to remain moderate as the base effect from fuel inflation dissipates. Core inflation is expected to edge upwards as economic activity normalises amid the environment of high input costs. Nevertheless, core inflation is expected to be modest, with upside risk contained by the continued slack in the economy and labour market. The outlook, however, continues to be subject to global commodity price developments amid risks from prolonged supply-related disruptions. Bank Negara is expected to publish the Annual Report 2021 (AR 2021), Economic and Monetary Review 2021 (EMR 2021), and Financial Stability Review for Second Half 2021 on 30 March 2022. See also: Table 1: GDP by Expenditure Components and Economic Activity Presentation Slides (PDF) Press Conference Video Publication: Quarterly Bulletin Fourth Quarter 2021Bank Negara Malaysia 11 February 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights January 2021 1 Headline inflation was less negative at -0.2% • The less negative headline inflation in January (December 2020: -1.4%) was driven mainly by the increase in electricity inflation and higher domestic retail fuel prices during the month. • These increases reflected the lapse in the effect from the tiered electricity tariff rebate and the rise in global oil prices respectively. • Underlying inflation, as measured by core inflation, remained stable at 0.7%. -1.7 -1.4 -0.2 0.70.70.7 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 Ja n- 19 Fe b- 19 M ar -1 9 A pr -1 9 M ay -1 9 Ju n- 19 Ju l-1 9 A ug -1 9 S ep -1 9 O ct -1 9 N ov -1 9 D ec -1 9 Ja n- 20 Fe b- 20 M ar -2 0 A pr -2 0 M ay -2 0 Ju n- 20 Ju l-2 0 A ug -2 0 S ep -2 0 O ct -2 0 N ov -2 0 D ec -2 0 Ja n- 21 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. It also excludes the estimated direct impact of tax policy changes. Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM), Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy IOWRT improved in December, with a smaller contraction Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 Ja n- 20 Fe b- 20 M ar -2 0 A pr -2 0 M ay -2 0 Ju n- 20 Ju l-2 0 A ug -2 0 S ep -2 0 O ct -2 0 N ov -2 0 D ec -2 0 Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale ppt, yoy IOWRT: Contribution to growth • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) improved in December 2020, recording a smaller annual contraction of 0.7% in December 2020 (November: -1.6%), due to the relaxation of CMCO, including the removal of restrictions on interstate travel and mobility on 9 December. • The improvement was seen in wholesale trade, which declined marginally by 0.02% (Nov: -0.5%), while motor vehicles rose by 6.0% (Nov: 0.5%). • Meanwhile, retail trade declined at a smaller rate (-2.9%; November: -3.2%). -0.7 3.8 1.5 4.9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Jan- 20 Mar- 20 May- 20 Jul - 20 Sep- 20 Nov- 20 Jan- 21 Total loans Business loans Household loans % yoy Contribution to Net Financing1 Growth and Outstanding Loan Growth 1 Refers to outstanding loans of the banking system (excluding development financial institutions (DFIs)). 2 High base effect due to disbursements of large-value loans in the manufacturing sector in December 2019 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Higher expansion in net financing 1 % yoy 2.7 2.5 2.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 4.5 4.2 4.5 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Corporate Bonds Banking System Loans Net Financing • Net financing expanded at 4.5% amid higher outstanding loan growth (January: 3.8%, December: 3.4%) while outstanding corporate bond growth moderated slightly to 6.3% (December: 6.5%). • Outstanding household loan growth was sustained at 4.9% (December: 5.0%) with disbursements remaining above historical average (January: RM28.8bn, 2017-19 monthly average: RM27.8bn). • Outstanding business loan grew at 1.5% after a slower growth in December 20202. The growth was contributed mainly by the SME segment. Monthly Highlights January 2021 Performance of domestic financial markets declined during the month • In January, the performance of domestic financial markets was affected by a confluence of global and domestic factors. • Globally, an uptick in US Treasury yields amid rising US inflation expectations pushed global bond yields higher, while supporting a broad strengthening of the US dollar. As a result, the 10-year MGS yield increased by 5.4 basis points and the ringgit depreciated by 1.0% against the US dollar, in line with regional trends. • Domestically, investor sentiments were affected by the re-imposition of stricter containment measures to address rising COVID-19 infections. In particular, concerns on the impact of these restrictions to domestic corporate earnings weighed on equity market sentiments. As a result, the FBM KLCI declined by 3.7% during the month.Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia -9.0 4.1 1.4 5.4 -3.7 -1.0 10-year MGS (bps) Equity (% change) Ringgit (% change) -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 Jan-21 Dec-20 -30.5 Financial Markets Performance in January 2 Banking system liquidity remained supportive of financial intermediation Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 82.7 71.8 147.6 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 Ja n 20 Fe b 20 M ar 2 0 Ap r 2 0 M ay 2 0 Ju n 20 Ju l 2 0 Au g 20 Se p 20 O ct 2 0 N ov 2 0 D ec 2 0 Ja n 21 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan to Fund Ratio Loan to Fund and Equity Ratio • Banking system liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) remained at a healthy level, despite a slight decline in January 2021 (Dec-20: 148.2%). – This was supported by higher holdings of marketable securities and placements with central banks. • Banks’ funding profile also remained stable amid sustained growth in deposits. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking system asset quality remains healthy • Gross impaired loans ratio increased marginally to 1.60% in January 2021 (December 2020: 1.56%). • Banks continued to pre-emptively identify loans with higher credit risks and set aside additional provisions against future potential losses to ensure their continued resilience. 1.0 1.6 1.7 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 Ja n 20 Fe b 20 M ar 2 0 Ap r 2 0 M ay 2 0 Ju n 20 Ju l 2 0 Au g 20 Se p 20 O ct 2 0 N ov 2 0 D ec 2 0 Ja n 21 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia % Net Impaired Loans Ratio SIARAN AKHBAR Ref. No.: 02/21/06 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 26 February 2021 MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS – JANUARY 2021 Headline inflation was less negative at -0.2% • The less negative headline inflation in January (December 2020: -1.4%) was driven mainly by the increase in electricity inflation and higher domestic retail fuel prices during the month. • These increases reflected the lapse in the effect from the tiered electricity tariff rebate and the rise in global oil prices respectively. • Underlying inflation, as measured by core inflation1, remained stable at 0.7%. IOWRT improved in December, with a smaller contraction • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) improved in December 2020, recording a smaller annual contraction of 0.7% in December 2020 (November: -1.6%), due to the relaxation of CMCO, including the removal of restrictions on interstate travel and mobility on 9 December. • The improvement was seen in wholesale trade, which declined marginally by 0.02% (November: -0.5%), while motor vehicles rose by 6.0% (November: 0.5%). • Meanwhile, retail trade declined at a smaller rate (-2.9%; November: -3.2%). Higher expansion in net financing • Net financing2 expanded at 4.5% amid higher outstanding loan growth (January: 3.8%, December: 3.4%) while outstanding corporate bond growth moderated slightly to 6.3% (December: 6.5%). • Outstanding household loan growth was sustained at 4.9% (December: 5.0%) with disbursements remaining above historical average (January: RM28.8bn, 2017-19 monthly average: RM27.8bn). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. It also excludes the estimated direct impact of tax policy changes. 2 Refers to outstanding loans of the banking system (excluding development financial institutions (DFIs)). D i t e r b i t k a n o l e h : J a b a t a n K o m u n i k a s i S t r a t e g i k , T i n g k a t 1 4 , B l o k B , B a n g u n a n B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . T e l e f o n : + 6 0 ( 3 ) 2 6 9 8 8 0 4 4 F a k s i m i l i : + 6 0 ( 3 ) 2 6 9 3 6 9 1 9 W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • Outstanding business loan grew at 1.5% after a slower growth in December 20203. The growth was contributed mainly by the SME segment. Performance of domestic financial markets declined during the month • In January, the performance of domestic financial markets was affected by a confluence of global and domestic factors. • Globally, an uptick in US Treasury yields amid rising US inflation expectations pushed global bond yields higher, while supporting a broad strengthening of the US dollar. As a result, the 10-year MGS yield increased by 5.4 basis points and the ringgit depreciated by 1.0% against the US dollar, in line with regional trends. • Domestically, investor sentiments were affected by the re-imposition of stricter containment measures to address rising COVID-19 infections. In particular, concerns on the impact of these restrictions to domestic corporate earnings weighed on equity market sentiments. As a result, the FBM KLCI declined by 3.7% during the month. Banking system liquidity remained supportive of financial intermediation • Banking system liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) remained at a healthy level, despite a slight decline in January 2021 (December-20: 148.2%). − This was supported by higher holdings of marketable securities and placements with central banks. • Banks’ funding profile also remained stable amid sustained growth in deposits. Banking system asset quality remains healthy • Gross impaired loans ratio increased marginally to 1.60% in January 2021 (December 2020: 1.56%). • Banks continued to pre-emptively identify loans with higher credit risks and set aside additional provisions against future potential losses to ensure their continued resilience. Bank Negara Malaysia 26 February 2021 3 High base effect due to disbursements of large-value loans in the manufacturing sector in December 2019. 26022021_MSB January 2021 EN 26022021_Monthly Highlights January 2021_ EN MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS – JANUARY 2021 Bahagian 2021 (%) 2020 2021 S4 Tahun S1 S2 S3 S4 Tahun Pertumbuhan tahunan (%) Permintaan Dalam Negeri Agregat (tidak termasuk stok) Sektor swasta Penggunaan Pelaburan Sektor awam Penggunaan Pelaburan Eksport Bersih Eksport Barangan dan Perkhidmatan Import Barangan dan Perkhidmatan 92.7 74.3 58.8 15.6 18.3 13.8 4.5 6.0 69.2 63.2 -4.5 -4.0 -3.5 -6.6 -5.7 2.4 -20.4 10.0 -2.1 -3.3 -5.8 -6.0 -4.3 -11.9 -4.7 3.9 -21.3 -13.0 -8.9 -8.4 -1.0 -0.9 -1.5 1.3 -1.5 5.9 -18.6 0.8 11.9 13.0 12.4 13.0 11.7 17.4 9.7 9.0 12.0 34.3 37.4 37.6 -4.1 -4.4 -4.2 -4.8 -2.8 8.1 -28.9 -37.5 5.1 11.7 2.3 2.4 3.7 -3.0 1.9 4.3 -3.8 2.6 13.3 14.6 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.6 1.6 6.6 -11.4 -5.8 15.9 18.5 KDNK Benar 100.0 -3.4 -5.6 -0.5 16.1 -4.5 3.6 3.1 KDNK (pertumbuhan suku tahunan terlaras secara bermusim) - -1.5 - 2.7 -1.9 -3.6 6.6 - Nota: Angka-angka tidak terjumlah disebabkan oleh penggenapan dan pengecualian stok. Sumber: Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia J1 KDNK Mengikut Komponen Perbelanjaan (pada harga malar tahun 2015) Bahagian 2021 (%) 2020 2021 S1 S2 S3 S4 Tahun S1 S2 S3 S4 Tahun Pertumbuhan tahunan (%) Perkhidmatan Perkilangan Pertanian Perlombongan Pembinaan 57.0 24.3 7.2 6.7 3.7 3.1 1.4 -8.6 -2.9 -7.9 -16.2 -18.3 0.9 -20.8 -44.5 -4.0 3.3 -0.3 -7.8 -12.4 -4.8 3.0 -1.0 -10.4 -13.9 -5.5 -2.6 -2.2 -10.6 -19.4 -2.3 6.6 0.2 -5.0 -10.4 13.5 26.6 -1.5 13.9 40.3 -4.9 -0.8 -1.9 -3.6 -20.6 3.2 9.1 2.8 -0.9 -12.2 1.9 9.5 -0.2 0.7 -5.2 KDNK Benar 100.0 0.7 -17.2 -2.7 -3.4 -5.6 -0.5 16.1 -4.5 3.6 3.1 Nota: Angka-angka tidak terjumlah disebabkan oleh penggenapan dan pengecualian komponen duti import Sumber: Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia J2 KDNK Mengikut Aktiviti Ekonomi (pada harga malar tahun 2015)
Press Release
10 Feb 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 January 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-31-january-2022
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 January 2022 Share: 2 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 January 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Thursday, 10 February 2022 10 Feb 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD116.1 billion as at 31 January 2022. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 7.5 months of retained imports and is 1.2 times total short-term external debt. Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 31 January 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 10 February 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
31 Jan 2022
Monetary and Financial Developments in December 2021
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-and-financial-developments-in-december-2021
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/5989921/i_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary and Financial Developments in December 2021 Share: Monetary and Financial Developments in December 2021 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Monday, 31 January 2022 31 Jan 2022 Headline inflation moderated to 3.2% in December Headline inflation moderated to 3.2% in December (November: 3.3%) due mainly to lower transport inflation (December: 9.5%; November: 12.7%), which was partly offset by higher food and non-alcoholic beverages inflation (December: 3.2%; November: 2.7%). Underlying inflation, as measured by core inflation[1], increased to 1.1% (November: 0.9%), driven mainly by some food[2] and maintenance[3] goods and services. For 2021 as a whole, average headline inflation was 2.5% (2020: -1.2%), while core inflation averaged at 0.7% (2020: 1.1%). Strong export growth in December Exports grew by 29.2% (November: 32.4%), reflecting continued strength across Malaysia’s export products. Moving forward, Malaysia’s export performance will continue to benefit from external demand and the global technology upcycle. In addition, high commodity prices will provide further impetus to export growth. Nonetheless, the trade outlook remains contingent on the path of the pandemic and global supply chain disruptions. Higher net financing growth as economic activity picked up Net financing growth increased to 4.8% (November: 4.5%), reflecting higher growth in both outstanding loans (December: 4.5%; November: 4.3%) and outstanding corporate bonds (December: 5.5%; November: 4.9%). Household loan growth continued to increase to 4.3% (November: 4.1%), amid higher loan disbursements across most loan purposes. For businesses, outstanding loan growth (December: 5.0%; November: 4.8%) continued to be supported by high growth in working capital loans (December: 7.4%; November: 8.0%; 2017-19 average: 4.3%). Domestic financial markets were supported by the positive growth outlook Domestic financial market conditions were stable in December, with non-resident (NR) inflows into the bond market offsetting outflows from the equity market. Despite NR inflows, MGS yields increased, alongside sovereign yields in other countries. This reflected higher US Treasury yields due to the faster pace of US monetary policy normalisation. Notwithstanding the spillovers, domestic financial intermediation remained uninterrupted. The ringgit appreciated and the KLCI rose amid favourable domestic factors, including improvements in economic activity, continued progress in COVID-19 booster vaccinations and higher global energy prices. Sufficient liquidity in the banking system to support intermediation Banking system funding and liquidity positions remain supportive of intermediation activity amid steady deposit growth. The banking system liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) improved (December-21: 3%; November-21: 144.7%) following the dissipation of temporary effects from the expiry of income tax exemption on corporate investments in Money Market Funds in November. The loan-to-fund ratio remained broadly stable at 82.3. Banks’ asset quality remained sound and continued to improve The extension of repayment assistance measures has provided much-needed temporary relief to affected borrowers. Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios stood lower at 1.4% and 0.9%, respectively, driven by resumption of loan repayments amid the gradual reopening of the economy. Banks continue to set aside provisioning buffers with total provisions accounting for 1.9% of total banking system loans. [1]Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. It also excludes the estimated direct impact of tax policy changes. [2]For example, food away from home and bread & bakeries products. [3]For example, repair & maintenance of personal transport.   View Monthly Highlights [PDF] Related Assets Monthly Highlights and Statistics in December 2021 Bank Negara Malaysia 31 January 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights May 2023 Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined further to 2.8% in May May 2023 Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation moderated to 2.8% (April 2023: 3.3%). This decline was largely due to non-core CPI components, particularly lower inflation for fuel (-0.2 percentage points, ppt) and fresh food (-0.1ppt). • Core inflation also declined slightly to 3.5% (April 2023: 3.6%) amid lower inflation for communication services. 3.3 2.8 3.6 3.5 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 A p r- 2 3 M a y -2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) 1.6 5.1 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 1 Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector improved in May 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.0% as at end-May (April 2023: 3.7%), driven mainly by higher growth in credit to businesses (2.8%; April 2023: 2.5%). • Outstanding corporate bonds grew by 4.6% (April 2023: 4.4%), while outstanding business loans expanded by 1.6% (April 2023: 1.0%). The higher business loan growth reflected improvement in loans for both working capital and investments to SMEs and non-SMEs. • In the household segment, outstanding loan growth was sustained at 5.1% (April 2023: 5.0%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. Of note, household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.0% and 8.4%, respectively (April 2023: 6.8% and 8.0%). 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 4.5 4.2 3.7 4.0 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Index of wholesale and retail trade growth moderated in April Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded more moderately by 4.7% in April 2023 (March 2023: 9.4%). The lower growth was due mainly to the decline in the motor vehicle segment. • However, the retail segment continued to record a double-digit growth of 10.0% (March 2023: 13.8%), supported by sales in non-specialised and other specialised stores1. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index increased at a faster pace of 6.5% (March 2023: -0.9%). 1 Other goods in specialised stores includes clothing, footwear, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, watches, jewellery and optical goods. 10.6 9.4 4.7 -2 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 Apr-22 Jun-22 Aug-22 Oct-22 Dec-22 Feb-23 Apr-23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Monthly Highlights 2 May 2023 Domestic financial markets were largely affected by external factors Financial Market Performance in May 2023 -18.0 -0.5 -1.1 -3.0 -2.0 -3.4 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -20 -15 -10 -5 0 May-23 Apr-23 Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 1Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia • Global investors maintained a risk-off approach throughout May, as concerns over the impact of the US debt ceiling crisis and the weaker-than- expected rebound in China’s economy weighed on global financial markets. • As a result, the ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 3.4% (regional1 average: -1.2%). Similarly, the FBM KLCI declined by 2.0% (regional1 average: -1.3%). • Nonetheless, the 10-year MGS yields decreased slightly by 3 basis points, supported by non-resident inflows into the domestic bond market. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 151.2% (April 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.8% (April 2023: 82.1%). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.8 151.2 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.80% (April 2023: 1.78%) and 1.10% (April 2023: 1.10%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remained at a prudent level of 114.1% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.1 1.7 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio April 2023 Monthly Highlights Slide 1 Slide 2
Press Release
31 Jan 2022
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-December 2021
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-december-2021-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-December 2021 Share: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-December 2021 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Monday, 31 January 2022 31 Jan 2022 In accordance with the IMF SDDS format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period. The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III and IV. As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD116,890.4 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to USD153.2 million as at end-December 2021. As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD4,869.3 million. The short forward positions amounted to USD7,553.3 million while long forward positions amounted to USD150 million as at end-December 2021, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,368.3 million in the next 12 months. As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets are Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD386.3 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit.  Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-December 2021, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable. Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (31 December 2021) Bank Negara Malaysia 31 January 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
27 Jan 2022
Launch of the Cross-Border QR Payment Linkage between Malaysia and Indonesia
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/duitnow-qris-link-my-id
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Reading: Launch of the Cross-Border QR Payment Linkage between Malaysia and Indonesia Share: 47 Launch of the Cross-Border QR Payment Linkage between Malaysia and Indonesia Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1210 on Thursday, 27 January 2022 27 Jan 2022 Joint Press Release Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) and Bank Indonesia (BI) today launched a cross-border QR payment linkage. It will enable instant, secure, and efficient cross-border payments between Malaysia and Indonesia. Through this linkage, consumers in both countries will be able to make retail payments by scanning the DuitNow or QRIS (Quick Response Code Indonesian Standard) QR codes displayed by offline and online merchants.[1] Today marks the beginning of a pilot phase that will pave the way for a full commercial launch in the third quarter of 2022. This linkage will be expanded in the future to support cross-border remittance where users in both countries can make real-time fund transfers with convenience. Ms. Jessica Chew Cheng Lian, Deputy Governor of Bank Negara Malaysia said, “The cross-border QR payment linkage between Malaysia and Indonesia marks a key milestone in the long history of collaboration between both countries. Phase 2 of the QR payment linkage between Malaysia and Thailand[2] has also gone live this week. Such developments will bring us closer towards realising the vision of creating an ASEAN network of fast and efficient retail payment systems. This in turn will further accelerate our digital transformation and financial integration, for the benefit of individuals and businesses.” In addition, Bank Indonesia Deputy Governor, Mr. Doni P. Joewono, said on this occasion “This initiative links cross-border payments through the interconnection of national QR codes of the two countries and also represents another milestone of the Indonesian Payment System Blueprint 2025. Bank Indonesia recognises the significance of cross-border payment system linkages and has continuously pursued such initiatives. This will give more options for users in the cross-border payment space and serve as a key to improve transaction efficiency, support the digitalisation of trade and investment, and maintain macroeconomic stability by promoting a more extensive use of Local Currency Settlement (LCS) Framework. Through the use of direct quotation of local currency exchange rates provided by Appointed Cross Currency Dealer (ACCD) banks under the LCS Framework, it will improve the efficiency of transactions, thus lowering the transaction cost.” The payment connectivity will further strengthen the close economic ties between Malaysia and Indonesia and support post-pandemic economic recovery. As international travel resumes, tourism will be a key sector that will greatly benefit from this service. The sizeable traveller flows between the two countries recorded an average of 5.6 million arrivals yearly before the pandemic.[3] Both countries are also key remittance corridors for their nationals working abroad who will benefit from faster, cheaper, and more transparent cross-border remittances. This initiative is also aligned with the G20 Roadmap for Enhancing Cross-border Payments developed by the Financial Stability Board and other international bodies. This project is made possible with the collaboration of various stakeholders from both countries under the joint stewardship of BNM and BI. These include Payments Network Malaysia Sdn Bhd (PayNet), the Indonesian Payment System Association (ASPI) and RAJA (Rintis, Artajasa, Jalin, and Alto) as payment system operators. The settlement banks are CIMB Bank Berhad, Bank Mandiri and Bank Negara Indonesia. Other participants include various banks and non-bank payment service providers from both countries[4]. Bank Negara Malaysia Bank Indonesia 27 January 2022 [1] DuitNow QR and QRIS are national QR code solutions in Malaysia and Indonesia, respectively, that allow merchants to accept payments from customers of different participating banks and e-wallet operators using a unified QR code. [2] Under Phase 1 of the QR payment linkage launched in June 2021, Thai users can use their mobile payment applications to scan DuitNow QR codes to make payment to Malaysian merchants. Following the launch of Phase 2, Malaysian users can now scan Thai QR codes to make payment to Thai merchants. [3] Source: Ministry of Tourism, Arts and Culture, Malaysia [4] Participants from Malaysia include Public Bank Berhad and Razer Merchant Services, while participants from Indonesia include Bank Central Asia, Bank Mandiri, Bank Mega, Bank Pembangunan Daerah Bali (BPD Bali), Bank Permata, Bank Sinarmas, Bank Syariah Indonesia, CIMB Niaga, LinkAja, Ottocash, ShopeePay Indonesia. Bank Negara Malaysia 27 January 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
24 Jan 2022
Malaysia's Financial Sector Blueprint 2022-2026 unveiled at MyFintech Week 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/fsb3_en_pr
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Reading: Malaysia's Financial Sector Blueprint 2022-2026 unveiled at MyFintech Week 2022 Share: Malaysia's Financial Sector Blueprint 2022-2026 unveiled at MyFintech Week 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1645 on Monday, 24 January 2022 24 Jan 2022 Malaysia’s Financial Sector Blueprint 2022-2026 sets the vision for the nation’s financial sector development, in line with key national economic aspirations. MyFintech Week 2022 features more than 100 speakers and experts on critical issues in finance such as digitalisation and innovation, financial inclusion and sustainability. The week-long event will showcase transformational insights from thought leaders and masterclasses by industry experts. Malaysia’s five year Financial Sector Blueprint was unveiled today at the launch of MyFintech Week 2022 (MyFW 2022) officiated by the Minister of Finance, YB Senator Tengku Datuk Seri Utama Zafrul Aziz. More than 3000 participants, including industry leaders, policymakers and the general public joined the virtual launch. The 5-year Blueprint outlines the vision and strategies for the development of the nation’s financial sector. Underpinned by three broad outcomes of finance for all, finance for transformation and finance for sustainability, the Blueprint identifies five strategic thrusts to achieve these outcomes: Fund Malaysia’s economic transformation; Elevate the financial well-being of households and businesses; Advance digitalisation of the financial sector; Position the financial system to facilitate an orderly transition to greener economy; and Advance value-based finance through Islamic finance leadership In his speech, YB Senator Tengku Datuk Seri Utama Zafrul said, “the launch of the Financial Sector Blueprint 2022 – 2026 is timely. In realising the nations’s aspirations, the financial sector has always played an important role – be it supporting families to grow and protect their wealth, or helping businesses expand and venture into new areas. In the next five years, the strategies outlined in this Blueprint will be critical for the financial sector to continue to be the catalyst for reform, drive sustainability and contribute to our collective aspiration of a “Prosperous, Inclusive and Sustainable Malaysia”.” “The financial sector will continue to have a central role in providing solutions to the challenges ahead”, said Governor Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah in her opening remarks. “It is our desire and belief that the financial sector will continue to serve Malaysia well in the years ahead, doing its part to improve the well-being of people now and for the generations to come”. MyFW 2022 is a virtual conference covering a wide range of pressing issues facing the future of the financial industry. Themed “Advancing Digitalisation for Recovery, Sustainability and Inclusion”, MyFW 2022 focuses on seven key priorities for the financial sector, namely New Realities, Economy, Inclusion and Financial Health, Startups, Regulations, Sustainability and Resiliency. Day 1 of MyFW also featured an address by Achim Steiner, Administrator of the United Nations Development Programme who highlighted the importance to take bold action in dealing with climate issues. Continuing on the theme of sustainability were other panel sessions featuring speakers which include Charlotte Wolff-Bye, Chief Sustainability Officer, Petronas who shared insights on the “Powering the Great Transition to a Greener, More Sustainable Economy”, and Gillian Tett, Chair of Editorial Board, The Financial Times (US) who led a discussion on “Net zero banking: How realistic? How soon?”. The sessions emphasised the need for financial institutions and large corporations to be torchbearers through greater transparency and accountability in implementing net zero targets. Day 1 of MyFW also saw discussions revolve around topics such as Bigtechs in finance and the future of Malaysia’s digital economy. The conference will run for another four days with an exciting line up of sessions on topics such as invisible finance, decentralised finance (DeFi) and the future of digital insurance. Participants can also look forward to over 10 masterclasses delivered by industry experts which will provide in-depth exploration of issues such as cross-border payments and cloud adoption. Download and read more about the Financial Sector Blueprint 2022-2026 or visit the event website to find out more about MyFintech Week 2022. Bank Negara Malaysia 24 January 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
24 Jan 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 14 January 2022
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-14-january-2022
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 14 January 2022 Share: 8 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 14 January 2022 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Monday, 24 January 2022 24 Jan 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD116.2 billion as at 14 January 2022. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 7.4 months of retained imports and is 1.2 times total short-term external debt. Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 14 January 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia 24 January 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
21 Jan 2022
Establishment of New Financing Facilities by Bank Negara Malaysia
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/new-bnm-funds-sme-brf-lctf
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/2294076/drf2022_en_broc.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/2294076/brf2022_en_faq.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/2294076/lctf2022_en_faq.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/2294076/lctf2022_en_fi.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/2294076/brf2022_en_broc.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/2294076/drf2022_en_faq.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/2294076/lctf2022_en_broc.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/2294076/brf2022_en_fi.pdf
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Reading: Establishment of New Financing Facilities by Bank Negara Malaysia Share: 18 Establishment of New Financing Facilities by Bank Negara Malaysia Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1745 on Friday, 21 January 2022 21 Jan 2022 As announced during the Budget 2022 speech by the Minister of Finance, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) will introduce two new facilities under BNM’s Fund for SMEs. Applications to these facilities will be open from 3 February 2022 until the funds are fully utilised. RM1 billion Business Recapitalisation Facility (BRF) BRF aims to support SMEs to recover and grow, while managing their level of indebtedness[1] through innovative financing solutions. Under BRF, SMEs may obtain: a) Equity financing through the issuance of preference shares, common shares, or any suitable equity-like instruments; or b) A mix of debt financing from participating financial institutions (PFIs) and equity financing through third party equity financiers (blended finance). BRF is available for SMEs of all economic sectors, up to a maximum of RM5 million, for financing working capital and/or capital expenditure. The tenure of financing is up to 10 years. For b), the effective rate for debt financing under BRF is up to 3.5% per annum for financing without guarantee, or up to 5.0% per annum inclusive of any guarantee fee. Interested SMEs can apply directly from participating commercial banks, Islamic banks and development financial institutions regulated by BNM. According to Bank Negara Malaysia Governor, Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah Mohd Yunus, “More innovative financing solutions, such as blended finance and equity financing, pool together resources, capacity and knowledge across the public and private sectors comprising banks, development financial institutions and equity investors. This enables businesses to build back better in the post-pandemic landscape.” RM1 billion Low Carbon Transition Facility (LCTF) The RM1 billion LCTF by BNM supports and encourages SMEs to adopt sustainable practices for business resilience. Under the design of the Facility, financial institutions will match the LCTF with RM1 billion of their own funds. This Facility is in line with the Government’s target for Malaysia to be a net-zero emission economy by 2050. These sustainable practices include, but are not limited to: Obtaining sustainability certification; Increasing use of sustainable materials for production; Improving energy efficiency of building and appliances; and Installing on-site renewable energy generation equipment. The LCTF is available for SMEs of all economic sectors, up to a maximum of RM10 million, for financing working capital and/or capital expenditure. The tenure of financing is up to 10 years. The financing rate is up to 5.0% per annum, inclusive of any guarantee fee. Interested SMEs can apply directly from participating commercial banks, Islamic banks and development financial institutions regulated by BNM. “There is an urgent need for SMEs to adopt sustainable practices in their business operations moving forward. The LCTF encourages this and supports the financial industry to innovate their product offerings to facilitate businesses embed sustainability and recalibrate their business operations and processes,” said Governor Nor Shamsiah. Enhanced Features of the Disaster Relief Facility 2022 (DRF 2022) BNM has recently increased the allocation for DRF 2022 by RM300 million, bringing the total allocation to RM500 million. Eligible SMEs and micro enterprises will now be able to obtain financing up to RM700,000 per SME and up to RM150,000 for micro enterprises. The financing tenure has been extended up to 7 years. SMEs may contact BNM at bnm.my/LINK for more information on the DRF. SMEs may also access other facilities available under BNM’s Fund for SMEs. Details on these funds are available at bnm.gov.my/sme-financing. See also: BRF brochure Frequently asked questions on BRF List of Participating Financial Institutions for BRF LCTF brochure Frequently asked questions on LCTF List of Participating Financial Institutions for LCTF DRF 2022 brochure Frequently asked questions on DRF 2022 [1] This refers to improvements in the capital structure of an SME, particularly those who wish to undertake capital expenditure, facilitating a more manageable debt-to-equity (D/E) for the SME after tapping on the BRF. Bank Negara Malaysia 21 January 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
Share 2021 (%) 2020 2021 4Q Year 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year Annual growth (%) Aggregate Domestic Demand (excluding stocks) Private sector Consumption Investment Public sector Consumption Investment Net Exports Exports of Goods and Services Imports of Goods and Services 92.7 74.3 58.8 15.6 18.3 13.8 4.5 6.0 69.2 63.2 -4.5 -4.0 -3.5 -6.6 -5.7 2.4 -20.4 10.0 -2.1 -3.3 -5.8 -6.0 -4.3 -11.9 -4.7 3.9 -21.3 13.0 -8.9 -8.4 -1.0 -0.9 -1.5 1.3 -1.5 5.9 -18.6 0.8 11.9 13.0 12.4 13.0 11.7 17.4 9.7 9.0 12.0 34.3 37.4 37.6 -4.1 -4.4 -4.2 -4.8 -2.8 8.1 -28.9 -37.5 5.1 11.7 2.3 2.4 3.7 -3.0 1.9 4.3 -3.8 2.6 13.3 14.6 1.9 2.0 1.9 2.6 1.6 6.6 -11.4 -5.8 15.9 18.5 Real GDP 100.0 -3.4 -5.6 -0.5 16.1 -4.5 3.6 3.1 GDP (q-o-q growth, seasonally adjusted) - -1.5 - 2.7 -1.9 -3.6 6.6 - Note: Figures may not add up due to rounding and exclusion of stocks. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia T1 GDP by Expenditure Components (at constant 2015 prices) Share 2021 (%) 2020 2021 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year Annual growth (%) Services Manufacturing Agriculture Mining Construction 57.0 24.3 7.2 6.7 3.7 3.1 1.4 -8.6 -2.9 -7.9 -16.2 -18.3 0.9 -20.8 -44.5 -4.0 3.3 -0.3 -7.8 -12.4 -4.8 3.0 -1.0 -10.4 -13.9 -5.5 -2.6 -2.2 -10.6 -19.4 -2.3 6.6 0.2 -5.0 -10.4 13.5 26.6 -1.5 13.9 40.3 -4.9 -0.8 -1.9 -3.6 -20.6 3.2 9.1 2.8 -0.9 -12.2 1.9 9.5 -0.2 0.7 -5.2 Real GDP 100.0 0.7 -17.2 -2.7 -3.4 -5.6 -0.5 16.1 -4.5 3.6 3.1 Note: Numbers do not add up due to rounding and exclusion of import duties component. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia T2 GDP by Economic Activity (at constant 2015 prices) BNM’s Fund for SMEs Business Recapitalisation Facility General Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) Business Recapitalisation Facility (BRF) No. Question Answer 1. What is BRF? BRF is a financing facility established by Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) to support SMEs to recover and grow, while managing their level of their indebtedness1 through innovative financing solutions. Under BRF, SMEs may obtain: • Equity financing through issuance of preference shares, common shares, or any suitable equity-like instruments; or • A mix of debt financing from participating financial institutions (PFIs) and equity financing through third party equity financiers (blended finance). Note: Financing should not be used for refinancing of existing credit/financing facilities 2. Who is eligible to apply for BRF? Viable Malaysian-owned SMEs2 including micro enterprises from all economic sectors including existing beneficiaries of BNM funds. 3. What projects/activities are eligible for financing under BRF? The purpose of BRF financing is for: • Working capital; and/or • Capital expenditure. Note: Financing should not be used for refinancing of existing credit/financing facilities 4. What is the maximum financing amount and tenure for SMEs under the BRF? • Eligible SMEs will be able to obtain financing up to RM5 million per SME3. • Financing tenure of up to 10 years. 5. What is the financing rate? • Debt financing: The maximum effective rate is 5.0% per annum inclusive of guarantee fee or 3.5% per annum without guarantee fee. • Equity financing: No cap imposed on return for equity investment. 1 This refers to improvements in the capital structure of an SME, particularly those who wish to undertake capital expenditure, facilitating a more manageable debt-to-equity (D/E) for the SME after tapping on the BRF. 2 At least 51% shares held by Malaysians and as defined by SME Corp. Malaysia’s Guideline for SME Definition, accessible at: www.smecorp.gov.my/images/pdf/2021/Guideline_on_SMEDefinition_Updated_Sept2020_Final.pdf 3 Under the blended financing option, SMEs may be able to receive a combined financing of more than RM5 million from the PFI and third party equity financier. http://www.smecorp.gov.my/images/pdf/2021/Guideline_on_SMEDefinition_Updated_Sept2020_Final.pdf 6. Which banks offer financing under BRF? Eligible SMEs can apply directly to PFIs, which comprise commercial banks, Islamic banks and development financial institutions regulated by BNM. 7. How can SMEs know that they are eligible to apply for financing under the BRF? Eligible SMEs are advised to contact the PFIs to ascertain their eligibility under the facility. All applications for financing will be subject to assessments by the PFIs and relevant third party equity financiers. 8. Is BRF open to existing customers of the PFIs only? No, BRF is open to new and existing SME customers of the PFIs as long as they are Malaysian SMEs that fulfil the eligibility criteria set out by BNM as well as meet the credit assessments by the PFIs and relevant third party equity financiers. 9. Do SMEs need to provide collateral to obtain financing under the BRF? No. Collateral is NOT required under the BRF. 10. If my business is not eligible for the BRF, what other support is available for me? • SMEs who are facing difficulties with loan/financing repayments are advised to engage their respective financial institutions for rescheduling and restructuring (R&R) of their existing facilities, to help alleviate their cash flow problems. • SMEs that are not eligible for the BRF may apply for financing from other facilities under BNM’s Fund for SMEs (e.g. All Economic Sector Facility, Agrofood Facility, Micro Enterprise Facility, PENJANA Tourism Financing, SME Automation and Digitalisation Facility, High Tech Facility – National Investment Aspirations or Low Carbon Transition Facility), or other financing products for SMEs offered by financial institutions. SMEs can also apply via the imSME platform (imsme.com.my). Approval for financing under the above schemes are subject to the specific scheme’s eligibility criteria and assessment by the PFIs. • Additionally, they could obtain financing advisory services through MyKNP (Khidmat Nasihat Pembiayaan) that provides advisory assistance and tips to improve eligibility for future financing and alternative sources of finance at myknp.com.my. 11. What can an SME do if its application for financing under any of the facilities is rejected by the PFI? If an application is rejected, the SME is advised to: a) Obtain clarification from the PFI on the reason(s) of rejection; b) Consider re-submitting the application via the imSME platform (imsme.com.my) if the SME has not done so earlier; https://imsme.com.my/portal/en http://www.myknp.com.my/ https://imsme.com.my/portal/en c) Obtain financing advisory services through MyKNP (that provides advisory assistance and tips to improve eligibility for future financing and alternative sources of finance at myknp.com.my; or d) Channel enquiries or complaints to BNM via eLINK. 12. When will the BRF be made available? The Facility will be available starting from 3 February 2022 until full utilisation. http://www.myknp.com.my/ https://telelink.bnm.gov.my/ BNM’s Fund for SMEs Low Carbon Transition Facility Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) Low Carbon Transition Facility (LCTF) No. Question Answer 1. What is Low Carbon Transition Facility (LCTF)? LCTF is a financing facility to encourage and support SMEs to adopt sustainable practices for business resilience. 2. Who is eligible to apply for LCTF and what are the eligibility criteria? SMEs in all sectors committed to transform towards low carbon and sustainable business operations. SMEs should contact any of the participating financial institutions on their eligibility under the facility. All applications for financing will be subject to assessments by the participating financial institution. 3. What projects/activities are eligible for financing under the LCTF? The LCTF can be used to finance capital expenditure or working capital to initiate or facilitate the transition to low carbon and sustainable operations. These include, but are not limited to, the following activities: (a) obtaining sustainability certification; (b) increasing the use of sustainable materials for production; (c) improving energy efficiency of buildings and appliances; and (d) installing on-site generation equipment of renewable energy. SMEs should contact any of the participating financial institutions to obtain the full list of projects/activities eligible to be financed. 4. What is the maximum financing amount and tenure under the LCTF? Eligible SMEs will be able to obtain financing up to RM10 million per SME and financing tenure of up to 10 years. 5. What is the financing rate? The maximum financing rate is 5.0% per annum, inclusive of guarantee fee. 6. When will the LCTF be made available? The facility will be available from 3 February 2022 until full utilisation. 7. Which banks offer financing under LCTF? SMEs can apply for LCTF financing from participating commercial banks, Islamic banks and development financial institutions regulated by Bank Negara Malaysia. The list of participating financial institutions is provided in the Appendix. 8. Is LCTF a standardised facility? No. SMEs should contact any of the participating financial institutions to discuss on the suitable facility that supports their transition needs. 9. Can SMEs obtain the LCTF to re-finance existing credit/financing facilities? No. The LCTF cannot be used for refinancing of existing credit/financing facilities. 10. Do SMEs need to provide collateral to obtain financing under the LCTF? No. Collateral is not required under the LCTF. 11. What can an SME do if its application for financing under any of the facilities is rejected by the participating financial institutions? If an application is rejected, the SME is advised to: (a) obtain clarification from the participating financial institution on the reason(s) of rejection; or (b) consider submitting the application via the imSME platform, if the SME has not done so earlier; or (c) obtain financing advisory services through MyKNP (Khidmat Nasihat Pembiayaan) that provides advisory assistance and tips to improve eligibility for future financing and alternative sources of finance at myknp.com.my; or (d) channel enquiries or complaints to Bank Negara Malaysia via eLINK. http://www.myknp.com.my/ https://telelink.bnm.gov.my/ Low Carbon Transition Facility (LCTF) List of Participating Financial Institutions 1. Affin Bank Berhad / Affin Islamic Bank Berhad 2. Alliance Bank Malaysia Berhad / Alliance Islamic Bank Berhad 3. Al Rajhi Banking & Investment Corporation (Malaysia) Berhad 4. AmBank (M) Berhad / AmBank Islamic Berhad 5. Bangkok Bank Berhad 6. Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad 7. Bank Kerjasama Rakyat Malaysia Berhad (Bank Rakyat) 8. Bank Muamalat Malaysia Berhad 9. Bank of China (Malaysia) Berhad 10. Bank Pembangunan Malaysia Berhad 11. Bank Pertanian Malaysia Berhad (Agrobank) 12. Bank Simpanan Nasional 13. CIMB Bank Berhad / CIMB Islamic Bank Berhad 14. Export-Import Bank of Malaysia Berhad (EXIM Bank) 15. HSBC Bank Malaysia Berhad / HSBC Amanah Malaysia Berhad 16. Hong Leong Bank Berhad / Hong Leong Islamic Bank Berhad 17. Malayan Banking Berhad / Maybank Islamic Berhad 18. MBSB Bank Berhad 19. OCBC Bank (Malaysia) Berhad / OCBC Al-Amin Bank Berhad 20. Public Bank Berhad / Public Islamic Bank Berhad 21. RHB Bank Berhad / RHB Islamic Bank Berhad 22. Small Medium Enterprise Development Bank Malaysia Berhad (SME Bank) 23. Standard Chartered Bank Malaysia Berhad / Standard Chartered Saadiq Berhad 24. United Overseas Bank (Malaysia) Bhd Max RM5 million Up to 5.0% p.a. inclusive of guarantee fee or 3.5% p.a. without guarantee; no cap on return for equity investment Up to 10 years Financing size per SME Financing Rate to SMEs Maximum Tenure For more information Contact the PFI’s customer service centre Log on to PFI’s website Credit Guarantee Providers:An initiative by: bnm.gov.my/sme-financing Objective To support SMEs to recover and grow, while managing their level of indebtedness1 through innovative financing solutions Size RM1 billion Eligibility criteria Viable Malaysian-owned SMEs2 including micro enterprises from all economic sectors Purpose of financing Working capital and/or capital expenditure Tenure Up to 10 years Financing size per SME Up to RM5 million Financing rate to SMEs The maximum effective rate is up 5.0% p.a., inclusive of guarantee fee or 3.5% p.a. without guarantee; no cap on return for equity investment Type of facility SMEs can either obtain: • Equity financing through issuance of preference shares, common shares, or any suitable equity-like instruments; or • A mix of debt financing from participating financial institutions (PFIs) and equity financing through third party equity financiers (blended finance). Availability 3 February 2022 until full utilisation Application procedure Application for equity financing or blended financing can be submitted to PFIs and approval will be subjected to the credit assessment of PFIs and/or relevant third party equity investors All applications should be made directly with the participating financial institutions to reduce risk of financial scams. No third party agents are being employed by participating financial institutions for the purpose of this facility. 1 This refers to improvements in the capital structure of an SME, particularly those who wish to undertake capital expenditure, facilitating a more manageable debt- to-equity (D/E) for the SME after tapping on the BRF. 2 At least 51% shares held by Malaysians and as defined by SME Corp. Malaysia’s Guideline for SME Definition, accessible at https://www.smecorp.gov.my/images/pdf/2021/Guideline_on_SMEDefinition_Updated_Sept2020_Final.pdf BNM’s Business Recapitalisation Facility is established to provide financing which lowers the indebtedness of SMEs who wish to undertake capital expenditure. BNM’s Fund for SMEs : Business Recapitalisation Facility (BRF) Updated as at 7 January 2022 BNM’s Fund for SMEs Disaster Relief Facility 2022 General Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) Disaster Relief Facility (DRF) 2022 No. Question Answer 1. What is DRF 2022? DRF 2022 is a financing facility established by BNM to alleviate the financial burden of SMEs and micro enterprises affected by the recent floods nationwide, to enable them to resume their business operations. The purpose of DRF 2022 financing are: • Repairs and/or replacement of assets for business use (e.g. plants and machinery) which have been damaged by floods; and/or • Working capital Note: Financing should not be used for refinancing of existing credit/financing facilities 2. Who is eligible to apply for DRF 2022? SMEs1 and micro enterprises affected by floods located in districts identified by Agensi Pengurusan Bencana Negara (NADMA) as flood disaster areas Note: SMEs and micro enterprises may obtain the information from Portal Bencana administered by NADMA at https://portalbencana.nadma.gov.my/en/disaster-information 3. What is the maximum financing amount and tenure for SMEs and micro enterprises under the DRF 2022? • Eligible SMEs and micro enterprises will be able to obtain financing up to RM700,000 per SME and up to RM150,000 for micro enterprises • Financing tenure of up to 7 years, including moratorium period of 6 months on both principal and interest/profit payments 4. What is the financing rate? The maximum effective financing rate is 3.50% per annum, inclusive of guarantee fee 5. Which banks can SMEs and micro enterprises apply for financing under DRF 2022? Affected businesses can apply for financing from participating financial institutions (PFIs) which comprise commercial banks, Islamic banks and development financial institutions regulated by BNM 1 At least 51% shares held by Malaysians and as defined by SME Corp. Malaysia’s Guideline for SME Definition, accessible at https://www.smecorp.gov.my/images/pdf/2021/Guideline_on_SMEDefinition_Updated_Sept2020_Fi nal.pdf https://portalbencana.nadma.gov.my/en/disaster-information https://www.smecorp.gov.my/images/pdf/2021/Guideline_on_SMEDefinition_Updated_Sept2020_Final.pdf https://www.smecorp.gov.my/images/pdf/2021/Guideline_on_SMEDefinition_Updated_Sept2020_Final.pdf Updated as at 7 January 2022 6. How can SMEs and micro enterprises know that they are eligible to apply for financing under the DRF 2022? Eligible SMEs and micro enterprises are advised to contact the PFIs to ascertain their eligibility under the facility. All applications for financing will be subject to assessments by the PFIs 7. How long will it take for PFIs to approve the application? PFIs are to process the applications within 14 days upon receiving complete documentation from the applicants 8. Do SMEs or micro enterprises need to provide collateral to obtain financing under the DRF 2022? No. Collateral is NOT required under the DRF 2022 9. What can an SME or micro enterprise do if its application for financing under any of the facilities is rejected by the PFI? If an application is rejected, the SME or micro enterprise is advised to do the following: a) Obtain clarification from the PFI on the reason(s) of rejection; b) Obtain financing advisory services through MyKNP (Khidmat Nasihat Pembiayaan) that provides advisory assistance and tips to improve eligibility for future financing and alternative sources of finance (www.myknp.com.my); or c) Contact BNM’s eLINK at bnm.gov.my/LINK for additional assistance 10. When will the DRF 2022 be made available? The facility will be available from 27 December 2021 until full utilisation (or subject to further decision by BNM) Bank Negara Malaysia Updated as at 7 January 2022 http://www.myknp.com.my/ https://telelink.bnm.gov.my/ BNM’s Fund for SMEs : Low Carbon Transition Facility (LCTF) For more information Contact the participating financial institutions’ customer service centre Credit Guarantee Providers:An initiative by: bnm.gov.my/sme-financing All applications should be made directly with the participating financial institutions to reduce risk of financial scams. No third party agents are being employed by participating financial institutions for the purpose of this facility. Objective Encourage and support SMEs to adopt sustainable practices for business resilience Special feature Participating financial institutions to provide financing on a matching basis Size RM2 billion [RM1 billion allocation from Bank Negara Malaysia + RM1 billion from participating financial institutions (matching basis)] Eligibility criteria SMEs in all sectors Purpose of financing To fund capital expenditure or working capital to initiate or facilitate the transition to low carbon and sustainable operation Tenure Up to 10 years Financing size per SME Maximum RM10 million Financing rate to SMEs Maximum financing rate of 5.0% p.a., inclusive of guarantee fee (if any) Guarantee Guarantee schemes by Credit Guarantee Corporation Malaysia Berhad (CGC) / Syarikat Jaminan Pembiayaan Perniagaan Berhad (SJPP) Availability 3 February 2022 until full utilisation Low Carbon Transition Facility (LCTF) BNM’s Low Carbon Transition Facility is established to support SMEs in adopting sustainable and low carbon practices. The type of businesses suitable to apply for this facility The Low Carbon Transition Facility is open for SMEs in all sectors that are committed to transform their business operations towards low carbon operations. This includes improving energy efficiency, increasing use of sustainable material for production and obtaining sustainability certification. Maximum RM10 million Maximum financing rate of 5% p.a. inclusive of guarantee fee (if any) Up to 10 years Financing size per SME Financing Rate to SMEs Tenure Log on to participating financial institutions’ website Business Recapitalisation Facility (BRF) List of Participating Financial Institutions 1. Affin Bank Berhad / Affin Islamic Bank Berhad 2. Alliance Bank Malaysia Berhad / Alliance Islamic Bank Berhad 3. Al Rajhi Banking & Investment Corporation (Malaysia) Berhad 4. AmBank (M) Berhad / AmBank Islamic Berhad 5. Bangkok Bank Berhad 6. Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad 7. Bank Kerjasama Rakyat Malaysia Berhad (Bank Rakyat) 8. Bank Muamalat Malaysia Berhad 9. Bank of China (Malaysia) Berhad 10. Bank Pembangunan Malaysia Berhad 11. Bank Pertanian Malaysia Berhad (Agrobank) 12. Bank Simpanan Nasional 13. CIMB Bank Berhad / CIMB Islamic Bank Berhad 14. Export-Import Bank of Malaysia Berhad (EXIM Bank) 15. HSBC Bank Malaysia Berhad / HSBC Amanah Malaysia Berhad 16. Hong Leong Bank Berhad / Hong Leong Islamic Bank Berhad 17. Malayan Banking Berhad / Maybank Islamic Berhad 18. MBSB Bank Berhad 19. OCBC Bank (Malaysia) Berhad / OCBC Al-Amin Bank Berhad 20. Public Bank Berhad / Public Islamic Bank Berhad 21. RHB Bank Berhad / RHB Islamic Bank Berhad 22. Small Medium Enterprise Development Bank Malaysia Berhad (SME Bank) 23. Standard Chartered Bank Malaysia Berhad / Standard Chartered Saadiq Berhad 24. United Overseas Bank (Malaysia) Bhd
Press Release
20 Jan 2022
Monetary Policy Statement
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-policy-statement-20012022
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Reading: Monetary Policy Statement Share: 5 Monetary Policy Statement Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Thursday, 20 January 2022 20 Jan 2022 At its meeting today, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Bank Negara Malaysia decided to maintain the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 1.75 percent. The global economy continues to recover, supported by manufacturing and trade activity. Labour market conditions have also improved in many countries. However, several countries reintroduced measures to curb ongoing COVID-19 resurgences, causing some moderation in the pace of recovery in domestic activity, especially services. Inflation remains elevated in a number of countries, driven by both supply and demand factors. Going forward, continued progress in vaccination coverage, advancements in vaccine efficacy, and the availability of anti-viral treatments will allow for better management of the pandemic, hence supporting global growth prospects. The global growth outlook will continue to be affected by uncertainties over the emergence of new variants of concern, risks of prolonged global supply disruptions, and risks of heightened financial market volatility amid adjustments in monetary policy in major economies. For Malaysia, the latest high-frequency indicators show that economic activity rebounded in the fourth quarter, in line with the relaxation of containment measures. For 2021, growth will be within the projected range of 3% - 4%. Looking ahead, growth is expected to gain further momentum in 2022. This will be driven by the expansion in global demand and higher private sector expenditure amid improvements in the labour market and continued policy support. Risks to the growth outlook, however, remain tilted to the downside. Such risks may arise from a weaker-than-expected global growth, a worsening in supply chain disruptions, and the emergence of severe and vaccine-resistant COVID-19 variants of concern. Headline inflation has averaged 2.3% for the period January-November 2021. For 2022, average headline inflation is likely to remain moderate as the base effect from fuel inflation dissipates. Underlying inflation, as measured by core inflation, is expected to edge upwards as economic activity normalises amid the environment of high input costs. Nevertheless, core inflation is expected to be modest, with upside risk contained by the continued slack in the economy and labour market. The outlook, however, continues to be subject to global commodity price developments amid risks from prolonged supply-related disruptions. The MPC considers the current stance of monetary policy to be appropriate and accommodative. Fiscal and financial measures will continue to cushion the economic impact on businesses and households and provide support to economic activity. The stance of monetary policy will continue to be determined by new data and their implications on the overall outlook for inflation and domestic growth. Bank Negara Malaysia 20 January 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
11 Jan 2022
Appointment of an External Member to Bank Negara Malaysia's Monetary Policy Committee
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/appointment-bnm-mpc-member-2022
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Reading: Appointment of an External Member to Bank Negara Malaysia's Monetary Policy Committee Share: Appointment of an External Member to Bank Negara Malaysia's Monetary Policy Committee Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Tuesday, 11 January 2022 11 Jan 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) wishes to announce the appointment of Mr. Lim Chee Sing as an external member of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The appointment is for a two-year term, effective 1 January 2022. Mr. Lim Chee Sing From 2013 until 2017, Mr. Lim served as the Executive Director and Chairman of RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd. He was also the Group Chief Economist of the RHB Banking Group and an equity market strategist for the Malaysian market for RHB Research Institute. An economist by training, he began his career with BNM in 1981, where he worked for close to eleven years. He then joined RHB Research Institute as its regional economist and subsequently promoted to the Head of Research. Mr. Lim holds an MBA and a Bachelor’s degree in Economics from the University of Malaya. BNM also wishes to announce that Dato’ Dr. Gan Wee Beng will step down from his current position as external member of the MPC on 1 April 2022. He has been on the MPC since 1 April 2019. Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah Mohd Yunus said, “I would like to welcome Mr. Lim to the MPC who brings with him a wealth of expertise and experiences. I would also like to express my utmost appreciation to Dato’ Dr. Gan for his contributions to the Bank’s monetary policy formulation over the last three years. We wish him all the best in his future endeavours.” About the MPC Under the Central Bank of Malaysia Act 2009 (CBA), the MPC is responsible for formulating monetary policy and deciding on policies for the conduct of monetary policy operations. The CBA also sets out the process for appointing members to the MPC. Members of the MPC: Governor Nor Shamsiah Mohd Yunus Deputy Governor Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour Deputy Governor Jessica Chew Cheng Lian Deputy Governor Marzunisham Omar Assistant Governor Norzila Abdul Aziz Assistant Governor Dr. Norhana Endut Dato' Dr. Gan Wee Beng (member until 1 April 2022) Nor Zahidi Alias Lim Chee SingBank Negara Malaysia 11 January 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
07 Jan 2022
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 December 2021
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-31-december-2021
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 December 2021 Share: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 December 2021 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Friday, 7 January 2022 7 Jan 2022 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD116.9 billion as at 31 December 2021. The reserves level has taken into account the quarterly foreign exchange revaluation changes. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 7.7 months of retained imports and is 1.2 times total short-term external debt. Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 31 December 2021 Bank Negara Malaysia 7 January 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
04 Jan 2022
Discussion Paper on Licensing Framework for Digital Insurers and Takaful Operators
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/dp-on-licensing-framework-dito
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/943361/DP_on_Licensing_Framework_for_DITOs.pdf
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Reading: Discussion Paper on Licensing Framework for Digital Insurers and Takaful Operators Share: 24 Discussion Paper on Licensing Framework for Digital Insurers and Takaful Operators Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1917 on Tuesday, 4 January 2022 4 Jan 2022 Bank Negara Malaysia (the Bank) today issued the Discussion Paper on Licensing Framework for Digital Insurers and Takaful Operators. The Discussion Paper outlines the proposed framework for licensing new digital insurers and takaful operators (DITOs) to encourage digital innovation in the insurance and takaful sector. It also complements the Bank’s initiative on digital banks and digitalisation of the financial sector.  DITOs are expected to contribute to a more inclusive, competitive, efficient insurance and takaful sector in line with evolving needs of consumers. “The proposed framework aims to attract new digital players that can offer innovative solutions to address critical protection gaps among the unserved and underserved market segments, as well as enhance customer experience and elevate trust,” said Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Tan Sri Datuk Nor Shamsiah Mohd Yunus. The framework will adopt a balanced approach. The focus is to encourage more significant innovation, whilst promoting financial stability and protecting consumer interests. The Discussion Paper covers the requirements for entry, such as criteria in assessing an application and capital requirement, and explores new business models such as risk-sharing. The Bank aims to issue an Exposure Draft upon obtaining feedback from the Discussion Paper. This will be followed by a Policy Document on prudential and business conduct requirements for DITOs in 2022. The applications for a DITO licence will be open at a later date. The Bank invites written feedback on the Discussion Paper by 28 February 2022. See also: Discussion Paper on Licensing Framework for Digital Insurers and Takaful OperatorsBank Negara Malaysia 4 January 2022 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2022. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
29 Dec 2023
Reappointment of an External Member to Bank Negara Malaysia’s Monetary Policy Committee
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/mpc-mbr-reappt-lim
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Reading: Reappointment of an External Member to Bank Negara Malaysia’s Monetary Policy Committee Share: 3 Reappointment of an External Member to Bank Negara Malaysia’s Monetary Policy Committee Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1730 on Friday, 29 December 2023 29 Dec 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) wishes to announce the reappointment of Mr. Lim Chee Sing as an external member of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The reappointment is for a three-year term, effective 1 January 2024. Mr. Lim Chee SingMr. Lim Chee Sing has been an external member of the MPC since 1 January 2022. From 2013 until 2017, he served as the Executive Director and Chairman of RHB Research Institute Sdn. Bhd. He was also the Group Chief Economist of the RHB Banking Group and an equity market strategist for the Malaysian market for RHB Research Institute. An economist by training, he began his career with BNM in 1981, where he worked for close to eleven years. He then joined RHB Research Institute as its regional economist, and was subsequently promoted to the Head of Research in 2002. Mr. Lim Chee Sing holds an MBA and a Bachelor’s degree in Economics from the University of Malaya.   About the MPC Under the Central Bank of Malaysia Act 2009 (CBA 2009), the MPC is responsible for formulating monetary policy and deciding on policies for the conduct of monetary policy operations. The CBA 2009 also sets out the process for appointing members to the MPC. Members of the MPC: Governor Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour Deputy Governor Jessica Chew Cheng Lian Deputy Governor Marzunisham Omar Deputy Governor Adnan Zaylani Mohamad Zahid Assistant Governor Norhana Endut Assistant Governor Fraziali Ismail Lim Chee Sing (External Member) Nor Zahidi Alias (External Member)   Bank Negara Malaysia 29 December 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
29 Dec 2023
Monetary and Financial Developments in November 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-and-financial-developments-in-november-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/12999521/i_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary and Financial Developments in November 2023 Share: Monetary and Financial Developments in November 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Friday, 29 December 2023 29 Dec 2023 Headline inflation moderated to 1.5% in November Headline inflation continued to moderate to 1.5% in November (October 2023: 1.8%), driven by lower core inflation[1] (2.0%; October 2023: 2.4%) and fresh food inflation (0.1%; October 2023: 1.2%). Notably, the lower core inflation was largely driven by food away from home (3.9%; October 2023: 5.6%). Manufacturing production improved by 0.9% in October 2023 The manufacturing industrial production index (IPI) grew by 0.9% on an annual basis in October 2023 (September 2023: 0.4%), underpinned by a further improvement in domestic-oriented clusters, mainly transport equipment, and food, beverages, and tobacco. This more than offset the continued drag from export-oriented clusters amid weaker semiconductor component production and the gradual restart from oil refinery maintenance.  Higher growth in credit to the private non-financial sector[2],[3] Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.6% as at end-November (October 2023: 4.2%), driven mainly by higher growth in credit to businesses (3.5%; October 2023: 2.8%). Outstanding business loans expanded by 2.6% (October 2023: 1.1%), supported by higher growth in working capital loans. Of note, growth in outstanding loans to SMEs remained forthcoming (7.9%; October 2023: 7.2%). Meanwhile, outstanding corporate bonds growth moderated slightly to 4.6% (October 2023: 5.0%). For households, outstanding loan growth was stable (5.7%; October 2023: 5.6%), supported by sustained growth across most loan purposes. Household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.6% and 9.4%, respectively (October 2023: 7.6% and 9.1%). Domestic financial markets continued to be affected by global investor sentiments Global financial conditions were driven by financial market expectations that interest rates in advanced economies had peaked. Reflecting these investor sentiments, global bond yields declined while global equity markets traded higher. Against this backdrop, the ringgit appreciated by 2.4% against the US dollar (regional[4] average: +3.2%), while the 10-year MGS yield decreased by 30 bps (regional4 average: -49 bps) amid non-resident inflows into the domestic bond market. The FBM KLCI also traded higher by 0.7%, in line with other bourses (regional4 average: 3.3%). Banks remained well-capitalised to support economic growth Banks’ capital position remained strong to withstand potential shocks and support credit intermediation growth in the economy. The banking system recorded an excess capital buffer[5] of RM134.1 billion as of November 2023 (October 2023: RM132.9 billion). Banking system resilience continued to be underpinned by sound asset quality Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remain largely stable at 1.7% and 1.0%, respectively. Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remained at a prudent level of 119.7% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.6% of total loans. [1] Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. [2]  Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). [3]  Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. [4]  Regional countries comprise: Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and South Korea. [5] Refers to total capital above the regulatory minimum, which includes the capital conservation buffer (2.5%) and bank-specific higher minimum requirements.   Monthly Highlights [PDF] Related Assets Monthly Highlights & Statistics in November 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 29 December 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights May 2023 Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined further to 2.8% in May May 2023 Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation moderated to 2.8% (April 2023: 3.3%). This decline was largely due to non-core CPI components, particularly lower inflation for fuel (-0.2 percentage points, ppt) and fresh food (-0.1ppt). • Core inflation also declined slightly to 3.5% (April 2023: 3.6%) amid lower inflation for communication services. 3.3 2.8 3.6 3.5 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 A p r- 2 3 M a y -2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) 1.6 5.1 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 1 Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector improved in May 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.0% as at end-May (April 2023: 3.7%), driven mainly by higher growth in credit to businesses (2.8%; April 2023: 2.5%). • Outstanding corporate bonds grew by 4.6% (April 2023: 4.4%), while outstanding business loans expanded by 1.6% (April 2023: 1.0%). The higher business loan growth reflected improvement in loans for both working capital and investments to SMEs and non-SMEs. • In the household segment, outstanding loan growth was sustained at 5.1% (April 2023: 5.0%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. Of note, household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.0% and 8.4%, respectively (April 2023: 6.8% and 8.0%). 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 4.5 4.2 3.7 4.0 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Index of wholesale and retail trade growth moderated in April Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded more moderately by 4.7% in April 2023 (March 2023: 9.4%). The lower growth was due mainly to the decline in the motor vehicle segment. • However, the retail segment continued to record a double-digit growth of 10.0% (March 2023: 13.8%), supported by sales in non-specialised and other specialised stores1. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index increased at a faster pace of 6.5% (March 2023: -0.9%). 1 Other goods in specialised stores includes clothing, footwear, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, watches, jewellery and optical goods. 10.6 9.4 4.7 -2 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 Apr-22 Jun-22 Aug-22 Oct-22 Dec-22 Feb-23 Apr-23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Monthly Highlights 2 May 2023 Domestic financial markets were largely affected by external factors Financial Market Performance in May 2023 -18.0 -0.5 -1.1 -3.0 -2.0 -3.4 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -20 -15 -10 -5 0 May-23 Apr-23 Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 1Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia • Global investors maintained a risk-off approach throughout May, as concerns over the impact of the US debt ceiling crisis and the weaker-than- expected rebound in China’s economy weighed on global financial markets. • As a result, the ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 3.4% (regional1 average: -1.2%). Similarly, the FBM KLCI declined by 2.0% (regional1 average: -1.3%). • Nonetheless, the 10-year MGS yields decreased slightly by 3 basis points, supported by non-resident inflows into the domestic bond market. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 151.2% (April 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.8% (April 2023: 82.1%). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.8 151.2 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.80% (April 2023: 1.78%) and 1.10% (April 2023: 1.10%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remained at a prudent level of 114.1% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.1 1.7 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio April 2023 Monthly Highlights Slide 1 Slide 2
Press Release
29 Dec 2023
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-November 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-november-2023-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-November 2023 Share: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-November 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Friday, 29 December 2023 29 Dec 2023 In accordance with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period.  The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III and IV.  As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD112,302.6 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to USD3.9 million as at end-November 2023. As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD18,012.8 million. The net short forward positions amounted to USD23,990.5 million as at end-November 2023, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,404.4 million in the next 12 months. As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets are Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD369.4 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit.  Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-November 2023, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable. Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (30 November 2023) Bank Negara Malaysia 29 December 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
22 Dec 2023
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 December 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-15-december-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 December 2023 Share: 9 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 December 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Friday, 22 December 2023 22 Dec 2023 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD112.8 billion as at 15 December 2023. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.5 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.0 times of the total short-term external debt. [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 7.1 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at Quarterly Bulletin 4Q2021 Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 15 December 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 22 December 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
18 Dec 2023
Issuance of Commemorative Coins in Conjunction with the 100th Anniversary of UPSI
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/upsi-100yrs-coins-en
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Reading: Issuance of Commemorative Coins in Conjunction with the 100th Anniversary of UPSI Share: 110 Issuance of Commemorative Coins in Conjunction with the 100th Anniversary of UPSI Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1100 on Monday, 18 December 2023 18 Dec 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia today announces the issuance of commemorative coins in conjunction with the 100th anniversary of Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris (UPSI). The commemorative coins will be issued in two denominations: 1. Coloured Sterling Silver Commemorative Coin (proof) The square coin – Malaysia’s first – is made of sterling silver with 92.5 purity, and weighs 43 grams. It has a face value of RM10 and will be sold at RM440 per piece. The mintage quantity is 1,000 pieces. 2. Nordic Gold Brilliant Uncirculated (B.U.) Commemorative Coin This coin is made of copper and several other metals, and weighs 8.5 grams. The coin has a face value of RM1 and will be sold at RM16.50 per piece. The mintage quantity is 5,000 pieces. These commemorative coins are also available for sale in a Set of 2, with each set priced at RM495. The set comprises one coloured sterling silver proof coin and one Nordic gold proof coin. A total of 1,000 sets will be available for purchase. Detailed specifications of these commemorative coins are set out in the Appendix. Coin design The design of the commemorative coins is as follows: 1.Coloured Sterling Silver Commemorative Coin (proof) – Square-shaped   Obverse – The obverse features the majestic Suluh Budiman building at UPSI’s campus in Tanjung Malim cast against a 3D engraving of a tembusu tree, one of several which dot the campus. Both the building and the tree symbolise the historic of UPSI, when it was known as the Sultan Idris Training College (SITC). The text “SAMBUTAN 100 TAHUN UPSI” is shown in the middle of the coin.  Reverse – The text “BANK NEGARA MALAYSIA”, as the issuing authority of the numismatic coins, is shown in the circumference of a stylised motif of the The text “10 RINGGIT” which denotes the face value is shown on the left, while silhouettes of UPSI graduates, fondly known as Anak Kandung Suluh Budiman, is shown on the right. The official logo of UPSI100 in colour is also depicted within the Grand Bell.   2. Nordic Gold Brilliant Uncirculated (B.U.) Commemorative Coin   Obverse - The text “UNIVERSITI PENDIDIKAN SULTAN IDRIS” is shown on the top circumference, against a background based on the stylised motif of the Grand Bell. The emblems of UPSI and its predecessors – SITC, MPSI and IPSI – are featured in the middle of the coin. Reverse - The text “BANK NEGARA MALAYSIA”, as the issuing authority of the numismatic coins, is shown on the top circumference, while the text “1 RINGGIT”, denoting its face value, is depicted on the bottom circumference. The official logo of UPSI100 and an image of an open book are featured, symbolising the abundance of knowledge. Sale of commemorative coins To provide a fair opportunity for members of the public to buy these limited-edition coins, there will be a purchase limit of one Set of 2, one coloured sterling silver coin (proof) and up to five Nordic gold (B.U.) coins per person. Members of the public can place their orders at duit.bnm.gov.my from 11:00 a.m., Monday, 18 December 2023 to 11:00 p.m., Monday, 1 January 2024. Members of the public are advised to place their orders through Bank Negara Malaysia’s online system and not with or through any other party or unauthorised ordering facility. All orders will be considered, and there will be no preference given to orders based on the order date and time. In the event of oversubscription, balloting will take place.   Appendix: Technical Specifications  Category  Metal  Alloy  Face Value (RM)  Diameter  (mm)  Weight  (g)  Mintage Quantity (pcs/set)  Price  (RM)  Single  Coloured Sterling Silver (proof)  Ag 92.5  10  41.65 x 41.65 (Square) 43  1,000  440  Nordic Gold (B.U.)  Cu89 Zn5 Al5 Sn1  1  30  8.5  5,000  16.50  Set of 2  Coloured Sterling Silver (proof) and  Nordic Gold (proof)  Ag 92.5 and Cu89 Zn5 Al5 Sn1  10 and 1  41.65 x 41.65 and 30 30  43 and  8.5  1,000  495  Note: Prices stated above are inclusive of 10% Sales and Services Tax (SST).  Bank Negara Malaysia 18 December 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
07 Dec 2023
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 30 November 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-30-november-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 30 November 2023 Share: 8 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 30 November 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Thursday, 7 December 2023 7 Dec 2023 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD112.3 billion as at 30 November 2023. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.4 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.0 time the total short-term external debt. [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 7.1 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at bnm.gov.my/-/quarterly-bulletin-4q-2021 Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 30 November 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 7 December 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
03 Dec 2023
Bank Negara Malaysia and the World Bank Announce Initiatives to Enable the Financial Sector to Support Nature-Positive Outcomes
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/cop28-pr-en
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/3770663/wb-bnm-2022-report.pdf
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Reading: Bank Negara Malaysia and the World Bank Announce Initiatives to Enable the Financial Sector to Support Nature-Positive Outcomes Share: 10 Bank Negara Malaysia and the World Bank Announce Initiatives to Enable the Financial Sector to Support Nature-Positive Outcomes 1610 on Sunday, 3 December 2023 Financial risks assessment guide for Malaysian financial institutions and businesses to assess nature-related risks and impacts Private capital mobilisation for nature-based solutions   Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) and the World Bank announced two key initiatives to enable the financial sector to support nature-positive outcomes. The announcements were made at COP28[1] in conjunction with the Climate Finance Day at the Malaysia Pavilion in Dubai. These initiatives will facilitate the integration of nature-related considerations into decision-making while supporting financial flows towards nature-based solutions. This follows from the recommendations outlined in the report ‘An Exploration of Nature-related Financial Risks in Malaysia’ released in 2022. Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “The partnership announced today is in recognition of the implications of nature-related risks to a megadiverse country like Malaysia. The collaboration sealed today will bring about greater alignment between financial flows and positive outcomes.“ The World Bank Country Director for Brunei, Malaysia, Philippines and Thailand Ndiame Diop said, “With this collaboration, Malaysia aims to develop robust measures to increase finance for the natural world, thereby setting a good example for other nations grappling with nature-related financial and economic risks.”   Nature-related financial risks assessment guide for Malaysian financial institutions and businesses The risk assessment guide will be developed in consultation with the Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures (TNFD) Secretariat. The aim is to support Malaysian financial institutions and businesses in identifying and assessing an organisation's nature-related dependencies, impacts, risks and opportunities. The guide will be based on the integrated approach that TNFD has developed for the identification and assessment of nature-related issues, called the LEAP[2] approach. This consultation will follow BNM becoming a member of the TNFD Forum, a global multidisciplinary consultative group that is aligned with TNFD’s mission and principles.   Private capital mobilisation for nature-based solutions BNM and the World Bank will facilitate the development of innovative financial instruments to support private investments in nature. This includes enabling regulations to support nature-positive outcomes and piloting new financial structures.    [1] 28th United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Conference of Parties in Dubai, UAE. [2] The LEAP approach (Locate, Evaluate, Assess, Prepare) is an integrated process developed by TNFD to help organisations identify and assess nature-related impacts, dependencies, risks, and opportunities, even without formal disclosure (https://tnfd.global/publication/additional-guidance-on-assessment-of-nature-related-issues-the-leap-approach/)   Bank Negara Malaysia 03 December 2023   © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia MARCH 2022 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia CONNECT WITH US wbg.org/Malaysia @WorldBankMalaysia @WB_AsiaPacific http://bit.ly/WB_blogsMY www.bnm.gov.my @bnm.official @banknegaramalaysia @BNM_official BNM Official Bank Negara Malaysia MARCH 2022 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia © 2022 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank Sasana Kijang, 2 Jalan Dato Onn, Kuala Lumpur 50480, Malaysia Some rights reserved. This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Nothing herein shall constitute or be considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved. Rights and Permissions This work is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO license (CC BY 3.0 IGO) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo. Under the Creative Commons Attribution license, you are free to copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt this work, including for commercial purposes, under the following conditions: Attribution: Please cite the work as follows: World Bank and Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM). An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia. Kuala Lumpur. World Bank. (2022). 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The risk of claims resulting from such infringement rests solely with you. If you wish to re-use a component of the work, it is your responsibility to determine whether permission is needed for that re-use and to obtain permission from the copyright owner. Examples of components can include, but are not limited to, tables, figures, or images. All queries on rights and licenses should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; e-mail: pubrights@ worldbank.org. Acknowledgements List of Figures List of Boxes Acronyms and Abbreviations Executive Summary ES.1 Introduction ES.2 Key Findings ES.3 Potential Actions to Address Challenges of Nature-Related Financial Risks CHAPTER 1: Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia 1.1 The Malaysian Banking Sector 1.2 Malaysia, a Biodiversity Hotspot 1.3 Nature-Related Financial Risks CHAPTER 2: Exposure Assessment 2.1 Dependency on Ecosystem Services 2.2 Impacts on Ecosystem Services 2.3 Activities in Key Biodiversity Areas 2.4 Physical and Transition Risk Scenarios CHAPTER 3: Potential Actions to Address Nature-Related Financial Risks CHAPTER 4: Conclusions 4.1 Key Findings 4.2 Potential Actions to Address Challenges of Nature-Related Financial Risks 4.3 Areas for Future Exploration References Appendix A.1 Methodology A.2 ENCORE Definitions A.3 Reputational Risk A.4 Drivers of Nature-Related Financial Risk Scenarios in Malaysia A.4.1 Land and Sea Use Change A.4.2 Natural Resource Use and Exploitation A.4.3 Climate Change A.4.4 Pollution A.4.5 Invasive Species and Diseases A.4.6 Governance Issues A.4.7 Policy Uncertainty A.5 Interviews with Experts Focused on Biodiversity in Malaysia A.6 Full List of Explorative Nature-Related Risk Scenarios 4 5 6 7 8 8 10 14 16 19 22 30 32 34 37 42 47 50 58 59 60 61 63 68 69 74 78 80 80 83 85 87 88 89 89 90 91 Table of Contents 3An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia An Exploration of Nature-related Financial Risks in Malaysia was prepared through a joint Bank Negara Malaysia-World Bank collaboration by core team members Nepomuk Dunz, Henk Jan Reinders, Shahira Johan Arief Jothi, Rekha Reddy, Martijn Regelink, Fiona Stewart (World Bank), Mohd Shazwan Shuhaimen, and Thulaja Thessa K. Vasudhevan (BNM), under the supervision of Cecile Thioro Niang (World Bank) and Madelena Mohamed (BNM). Shashank Singh, Samantha Power, Uma Rajoo (World Bank), Keshia Jasmine Ashaari, Nur Izzati Jamal, Nur Zalini Abdul Rahman, and Chow Chin Hwa (BNM) provided key inputs. Pietro Calice, Rafaello Cervigni, Souleymane Coulibaly, Katia D’Hulster, Erik Feyen, Federico Diaz Kalan, Tatiana Didier, Olga Gavryliuk, Giovanni Ruta, Marc Schrijver, Tao Wang (World Bank), Jessica Chew Cheng Lian, Fraziali Ismail, Suraya Sani, Razeen Mohd Rom, Chuah Kue Peng, Katie Lee, Audrey Lim Shu Wen, Nur Syairah Husna (BNM), and Quek Yew Aun of the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources (KeTSA) provided useful comments on draft versions of this report. Kane Chong and Francis Sim designed the report and its cover. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in the text belong solely to the authors, and not necessarily to the authors’ employer, organization, committee, or other group or individual. Acknowledgements 4 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia List of Figures Figure 1 From nature-related risks to financial risks 9 Figure 2 Percentage of Malaysian banks’ commercial loans to sectors with high and very high scores on nature-related risk dimensions 11 Figure 3 Top-15 identified nature-related financial risk scenarios by banking sector commercial loans exposure 13 Figure 4 Possible actions to address challenges of nature-related financial risks 15 Figure 5 Scope of nature-related financial risks within the environmental, social, and governance framework 18 Figure 6 Overall assets per bank type 19 Figure 7 Overall commercial lending of Malaysian banks by sector, as of December 2020 20 Figure 8 Commercial lending by Malaysian banks by state, as of December 2020 21 Figure 9 Projected GDP per sector by state level contribution (percent, 2019) 21 Figure 10 Malaysian environmental performance across several indicators in 2010 and 2020. 26 Figure 11 Change in 2030 real GDP under a partial ecosystem collapse scenario (compared with a no-tipping-point scenario) 27 Figure 12 From nature-related risks to financial risks 31 Figure 13 The financial sector and ecosystem services dependencies per Malaysian ringgit invested (in million RM) 34 Figure 14 Relative commercial lending exposure to sectors with high or very high dependencies (physical risk) 35 Figure 15 Dependency of the commercial lending portfolio to individual ecosystem services (percentage) 36 Figure 16 Unweighted share of commercial lending portfolio with high or very high dependencies on ecosystem services by type of bank 36 Figure 17 The environmental impact of financial sector lending per Malaysian ringgit invested (in million RM) 37 Figure 18 Relative commercial lending exposure to NACE sectors with high or very high impacts 38 Figure 19 Impact of the commercial lending portfolio on impact drivers from firms’ business activities (in percentage) 39 Figure 20 Unweighted share of commercial lending portfolio with high or very high impact drivers from firms’ activities on natural assets and ecosystem services by type of bank 40 Figure 21 High resolution Malaysia industrial and smallholder oil palm map for 2019 41 Figure 22 Protected areas in Malaysia 43 Figure 23 Protected and non-protected KBA as a share of Malaysian States area (percent of total state area) 44 Figure 24 Commercial residential and non-residential purchase lending exposure by Postal Code area of Malaysian banks to non-protected KBA 45 Figure 25 Net ecosystem service use (potential vs. realized services index) per district in Malaysia. Model results from the Co$tingNature version 3 policy support system 45 Figure 26 Identified nature-related financial risk scenarios by banking sector exposure 48 5An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia List of Boxes Box 1 Assessing materiality of an ecosystem service for a business 24 Box 2 Case Study − Transition risk for Malaysia’s palm oil sector 41 Box 3 Context for nature-related risks to the financial sector: Findings from the Netherlands, France, and Brazil 49 Box 4 Mobilizing private finance for nature 53 Box 5 Nature-related disclosure developments 56 6 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Acronyms and Abbreviations ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations BNM Bank Negara Malaysia CO2/ CO2e Carbon Dioxide/Carbon Dioxide Equivalent CCPT Climate Change and Principle Based Taxonomy DFI Development Finance Institutions DNB Dutch Central Bank (De Nederlandsche Bank) ESG Environmental, Social, and Governance ENCORE Exploring Natural Capital Opportunities, Risks and Exposure (biodiversity tool) EU European Union EUR Euro (currency) GDP Gross Domestic Product GHG Greenhouse Gas Gt Gigaton IPBES Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services IBAT Integrated Biodiversity Assessment Tool KBA Key Biodiversity Areas JC3 Joint Committee on Climate Change MSA Mean Species Abundance MSPO Malaysia Sustainable Palm Oil MyBIS Malaysia Biodiversity Information System NACE Statistical Classification of Activities in the European Community (Nomenclature des Activités Économiques dans la Communauté Européenne) NGFS Network for Greening the Financial System NGO Non-Governmental Organization RM Malaysian ringgit (currency) TCFD Task Force for Climate-related Financial Disclosure TNFD Task Force for Nature-related Financial Disclosure UEBT Union for Ethical Biotrade UK United Kingdom UN United Nations USD United States dollar (currency) VBI/ VBIAF Value-Based Intermediation/Value- Based Intermediation Financing and Investment Impact Assessment Framework WB World Bank WEF World Economic Forum 7An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary The term megadiverse country refers to any one of a group of nations that harbor the majority of Earth’s species and high numbers of endemic species. The World Conservation Monitoring Centre of the United Nations Environment Program has identified 17 mega-diverse countries, one of which is Malaysia. For example, this study finds that two important nature-related factors Malaysian banks may have exposure to are: (1) the imposition of more stringent climate policies and (2) enhanced efforts to preserve nature’s function as a store of carbon-dioxide (C02). It also finds highly relevant risk factors that are connected to climate change – including those related to extensive water use, land use, and pollution other than greenhouse gases (GHGs). 1 2 Malaysia is one of the world’s megadiverse countries, and many of its economic activities are directly or indirectly dependent on nature and its associated ecosystem services.1 The COVID-19 pandemic, with its far-reaching economic impacts, is a reminder of the link between human health and planetary health, given that most human infectious diseases are transmitted between species (Taylor et al. 2001). Ecosystem services are broadly defined as the benefits that people obtain from ecosystems and include regulating services (such as regulation of droughts, floods, and land degradation), provisioning services (such as crops, fresh water, aquaculture, and timber), supporting services (such as photosynthesis, nutrient cycle, and water cycle), and cultural services (such as recreational and other non-material benefits). A recent World Bank (WB) study found that, in a worst-case scenario of partial ecosystem collapse, Malaysia could experience a 6 percent gross domestic product (GDP) annual loss by 2030 compared to a baseline scenario (Johnson et al. 2021). In Malaysia, the losses would be driven by a decline in export demand and adverse impacts of the partial collapse of forestry and fishery ecosystem services. In parallel to climate-related risks, nature-related risks can lead to economic and financial losses. As shown in Figure 1, nature-related risks as defined in this study encompass a broad set of risks that are related to ecosystem services, biodiversity, and natural assets (such as water and forests). Within the environmental risk dimension of the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) framework on sustainability, these risks complement and partly overlap with those risks associated with climate change.2 Physical risk could emerge from the deterioration and loss of ecosystem services that firms depend on. At the same time business operations may have an impact on biodiversity and ecosystem services via excessive natural resources extraction, disposal of waste, or land-use change. If firms do not adapt in a timely fashion and banks do not adjust their lending portfolio, nature-related financial transition risk could materialize. Transition risk consists of sudden changes in policy, technology, and consumer preferences in response to nature loss and can have a substantial impact on the economic, financial, and reputational position of firms and their financing banks with large impacts on biodiversity and ecosystems. Central banks have recently started to investigate biodiversity and other nature-related impacts and dependencies of financial systems. Central banks and supervisors have so far focused mainly on climate- related risks but have recently expanded their efforts to cover a broader set of environmental risks. Studies include France (Svartzman et al. 2021), the Netherlands (van Toor et al. 2020), and Brazil (Calice et al. 2021). Such studies on nature-related risks are nevertheless at a nascent stage and largely exploratory in nature (Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) 2021). ES.1 Introduction 8 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary One of the main roles of the financial system is to allocate capital (both equity and debt) to productive activities. When risks are not adequately understood and priced in, this could lead to an overallocation of capital to sectors that is not in line with sustainability objectives. Furthermore, it hinders adequate mitigation actions to prevent or limit financial impacts of such risks. Exposure is defined here as the fraction of outstanding loans to highly vulnerable sectors and regions that could potentially be affected by adverse nature- related risk factors and scenarios. 3 4 More comprehensive regulatory and supervisory policy implications are under development. The NGFS, of which Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is a member, has recommended several first actions that could be taken by financial sector regulators and supervisors to help build the foundations for more comprehensive measures, namely: (1) capacity building, (2) assessing domestic financial system dependencies and impacts on nature, (3) awareness raising and signaling, and (4) supporting relevant initiatives to the extent possible (NGFS 2021). BNM, as part of its mandate to promote monetary and financial stability conducive to the sustainable growth of the Malaysian economy, has an interest in understanding nature-related financial risks to the financial sector. A better understanding of nature-related financial risks is important for prudential supervision to identify and address any emerging risks in the loan books and investments of banks and other financial institutions. This work is the result of a collaboration between the WB and BNM to: (1) build capacity to develop the analytical framework through which nature-related financial risks can be analyzed and managed and (2) raise awareness of these issues within BNM and among stakeholders in the government and the financial sector. Sustainable policies for the maintenance of ecosystem services are the main responsibility of the line- ministries within the government. However, adequate pricing of nature-related financial risks is important to align capital allocation, including loan origination, with Malaysia’s sustainability goals.3 This report assesses the exposure of Malaysian banks to sectors and regions that are highly vulnerable to nature-related risks.4 Expanding on the work of other central banks, three main types of exposures are examined. These include (1) the exposure of banks to sectors that are highly dependent on ecosystem services and hence pose physical risk, (2) the exposure of banks to sectors that negatively affect ecosystem services Figure 1: From nature-related risks to financial risks Source: Based on van Toor et al. 2020 and Svartzman et al. 2021 Nature Financial system Physical risk • Loss of Ecosystem Services creating » ‘slow-onset’ loss » ‘sudden-onset’ events • Interactions with other ecological issues (e.g., climate change) Dependency Macroeconomic deterioration Impact Revised lending conditions Economy Economic risks • Supply chain disruptions • Raw material price volatility • Limited substitutability of essential ecosystem services • Productivity changes (e.g., agriculture) • Changing demand and costs • Stranded assets • Relocation of activities • Legal liabilities • Lower asset value Financial risks • Credit risk (e.g., losses on corporate loans) • Underwriting risk (e.g., inaccurate risk assessment) • Market risk (e.g., losses on shares and bonds) • Operational risk (e.g., liability risks, legal costs, reputational damage) • Liquidity risk (e.g., refinancing risk) Transition and reputation risk • Policy and regulation change • Change in demand – including from international buyers • Change in technology Liability risk • Lawsuits from harmed communities • Fines from regulators 9An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary and hence pose transition risk, and (3) the exposure of banks to Key Biodiversity Areas (KBA) that may become protected in the future. In addition, a first set of adverse scenarios are identified that are most relevant to Malaysia and these are mapped to bank’s loan exposures. This study makes use of both Malaysian and global data. The sectoral mapping data is primarily obtained from the Exploring Capital Opportunities, Risks and Exposure (ENCORE) database while the exposure data is obtained from BNM. The spatial analysis uses data on KBA in Malaysia from the World Database of Key Biodiversity Areas, hosted by the Integrated Biodiversity Assessment Tool (IBAT). The sectoral analysis covers approximately 90 percent of the total commercial loan portfolio of Malaysian banks while data for the spatial analysis are far more limited. Given that the data and methodologies to assess nature-related financial risks are currently limited, this study is exploratory in nature. This report constitutes a first step towards assessing the exposure of Malaysian banks to nature-related financial risks. However, data on economic and financial vulnerability is often incomplete or unavailable. To get a more complete understanding of nature-related financial risks, further research is needed, this may include developing: (1) a comprehensive set of scenarios to be used in assessing nature-related financial risks, (2) a better understanding of how scenarios lead to adverse economic and financial outcomes (e.g., transmission channels), and (3) models to understand the quantitative impact of scenarios and transmission channels on economic sectors and financial institutions, including banks. Key findings are provided in section ES.2 and a list of potential actions in section ES.3. This terminology refers to the provision of clean water from rain and water flow from natural sources. This terminology refers to unsustainable land use change or resource use, which reduces the extent of natural ecosystems, or over exploits them beyond their ability to replenish, which in turn affects continuous provision of ecosystem services. 5 6 ES.2 Key Findings Based on loans to economic sectors, Malaysian banks are exposed to a broad range of nature-related physical and transition risks. Of the commercial loans portfolio analyzed, 54 percent is exposed to sectors that depend to a high extent on ecosystem services. This high dependency exposes Malaysian banks to physical risk from ecosystem deterioration, particularly related to deterioration in surface water5 (29 percent), climate regulation such as carbon storage (26 percent), and flood and storm protection (16 percent) (Figure 2, panel a). Of the commercial loans portfolio, 87 percent is also exposed to sectors that strongly impact ecosystem services (thus potentially facing a higher level of transition risk from changes in regulations and policies), particularly related to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (61 percent), water use (55 percent), and terrestrial ecosystem use6 (43 percent) among others (Figure 2, panel b). There are wide differences between individual banks and bank types in their exposure to physical risk arising from lending to sectors that depend highly on ecosystem services and transition risk, and arising from lending to sectors that have significant impact on nature. The differences are linked to the target sector of lending that those banks predominantly serve. For example, construction lending is strongly dependent on surface water6,climate regulation, and flood and storm protection, and strongly impacts nature via terrestrial ecosystem use, freshwater use, and GHG emissions, among others. 10 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary Figure 2. Percentage of Malaysian banks’ commercial loans to sectors with high and very high scores on nature-related risk dimensions Source: ENCORE, BNM, WB calculations Animal-based energy Buffering and attenuation of mass �ows Climate regulation Disease control Fibers and other materials Flood and storm protection Ground water Maintain nursery habitatsMass stabilization and erosion control Pest control Pollination Soil quality Surface water Water �ow maintenance Water quality 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 5% 0% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Disturbances Freshwater ecosystem use GHG emissions Marine ecosystem use Non-GHG air pollutants Other resource useSoil pollutants Solid waste Terrestrial ecosystem use Water pollutants Water use 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% (a) Dependency on ecosystem services (physical risk) (b) Impacts on ecosystem services induced by firms’ business activities (transition risk) 11An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary For physical risk, individual banks’ exposure to one or more sectors that are highly or very highly dependent on ecosystem services range between 5 and 83 percent of the total commercial loan portfolio. The average exposure according to bank type ranges from 40 percent (investment banks) to 55 percent (Islamic banks). As for transition risk, the individual banks’ exposures to sectors that highly or very highly impact nature range between 28 and 100 percent. The average exposure according to bank type ranges from 70 percent (investment banks) to 95 percent (development finance institutions (DFIs). The largest variance in exposures to both physical and transition risks according to bank type is observed in investment banks. Based on the spatial distribution of loans, Malaysian banks have limited direct exposure to KBA that may be increasingly protected in the future. KBA are sites that contribute significantly to maintaining global biodiversity and are hence important candidates for future protective regulation (i.e., transition risk).7 The states Perak and Kedah currently have more than a quarter of their territory designated as non-protected KBA. However, the majority of the commercial loans analyzed are channeled to Kuala Lumpur and Selangor, areas that are already well developed. Less than one percent of Malaysian banks’ lending portfolio (RM 329 million, USD 78 million) is estimated to go to firms in currently non-protected KBA. Due to data limitations, however, it is possible that exposures are higher.8 It would be important to monitor new loan origination practices towards both currently protected areas and areas that may become protected in the future, especially as there are ongoing discussions for an increased target on protected areas under the Convention on Biological Diversity, to which Malaysia is a signatory. There may also be an important role to monitor more indirect exposures through, for example, supply chain linkages between firms in and outside protected areas. An explorative set of nature-related events shows that there is a wide range of adverse physical risk and transition risk scenarios that could affect Malaysian banks. Based on ENCORE and interviews with stakeholders, 21 possible scenarios of nature-related financial physical risk and 7 nature-related financial transition risk scenarios were identified. These scenarios were not projections of a business-as-usual scenario, but rather state the current financial exposure if affected ecosystem services of identified scenarios defaulted. Scenarios with the highest banking sector exposure are those that affect a wide range of sectors. These include: reduced ecosystem services due to continued high resource use, pollution, and urban sprawl (44 percent of the commercial loans portfolio), sudden and unexpected introduction of new climate policy (38 percent), and deterioration of ecosystem services due to continued high rates of deforestation (30 percent), as shown in Figure 3. Sectors including agriculture, forestry, fisheries, and tourism are affected by many different financial physical and transition risk scenarios. Other sectors, such as real estate, construction, and wholesale, are large sectors within the Malaysian banking sector’s loan books but have a more limited number of relevant scenarios connected to them. These sectors are specifically exposed to scenarios that limit water availability and scenarios that affect a wide range of ecosystem services (such as deforestation-induced ecosystem service deterioration). The Integrated Biodiversity Assessment Tool website (IBAT) utilizes two subsets of KBA in virtually all countries: Important Bird and Biodiversity Areas (IBA) and Alliance for Zero Extinction Sites (AZE). For Malaysia, KBA data is primarily based on IBA data, capturing bird population and diversity. IBAT data show that IBAs make up 55 of 60 terrestrial KBA in Malaysia. Other areas could be important for biodiversity and at risk as well, where currently no data is available. See Appendix Section A1 for details on data limitations. 7 8 12 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary Source: ENCORE, BNM, interviews, WB calculations. Note: Dark blue scenarios are nature-related financial transition risk scenarios, light blue scenarios are nature-related financial physical risk scenarios. Exposure amounts are based on the share of corporate loans to economic sectors that could be directly affected in the scenario under consideration. Figure 3: Top-15 identified nature-related financial risk scenarios by banking sector commercial loans exposure Reduced ecosystem services due to resource overuse, pollution and urban sprawl Sudden and unexpected climate policy introduction Ecosystem services deterioration due to deforestation Sudden increase in the price of water Regulatory restriction of water pollution Changed ocean current and circulation Increase in sea surface temperature Severe reduction in available timber Severe �ooding occurrence Severe storm occurrence Increased ocean acidi�cation Extension of protected areas Lower clean water availability due to continously high water pollution Regulatory restriction of non-sustainable fertilizers Regulatory restriction of non-sustainable pesticides N at ur e- re la te d � na nc ia l r is k sc en ar io Share of total commercial loans outstanding (%) 0 20 40 13An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary ES.3 Potential Actions to Address Challenges of Nature-Related Financial Risks Based on this initial assessment, the findings of this report may support further policy discussions to understand the potential impacts of nature-related financial risks on the financial sector and the economy. Like climate change, addressing the nature-related agenda demands a multistakeholder approach driven by the federal government as part of an integrated national strategy in which financial regulators can act as a central coordinator for a relevant financial sector action plan. Financial regulators, as advisors to the government, have an important role in providing a feedback loop to the government to highlight the potential impacts of nature-related financial losses to the financial sector and the economy. Thus, this report can be a catalyst to initiate discussions and synchronize existing efforts by relevant government agencies to better model and quantify the value of ecosystem services in Malaysia. Malaysia’s financial sector regulators could build on their ongoing climate change initiatives to deepen the understanding of nature-related financial risks, aiming to address them in a more comprehensive manner. While the discussion on nature-related financial risks is still at a nascent stage, efforts to address such risks are within the existing mandate of BNM to the extent that they pose a threat to its ability to preserve Malaysia’s financial stability. Although this report is exploratory and its analyses have limitations, the risks presented in its findings, Malaysia’s status as a megadiverse country, and the impact of the recent flood event,9 provide motivation for BNM to continue building its internal capacity for analysis and facilitate wider awareness of these issues as initial steps. Moreover, BNM could help contribute towards knowledge development and regulatory discourse on nature-related financial risks in the region and globally, bringing the valuable perspective of a megadiverse developing country. Subsequently, BNM could develop further actions related to nature-related financial risks that are cohesive and integrated within its existing climate change strategy. These might include: (1) national policy discussion and direction on nature-related risks, (2) further development of nature-related financial risks methodologies and analyses, (3) progress of ongoing climate change initiatives and determined linkages with nature-related financial risks, and (4) incorporation of evolving practices and standards from the global financial regulatory and supervisory community. Key areas for actions to manage nature-related financial risks include, (1) raising awareness and policy discourse, (2) enhancing capacity building of relevant stakeholders, (3) enhancing macroeconomic surveillance capacity and risk identification, and (4) developing regulatory and supervisory requirements. Figure 4 depicts recommended actions that could be considered by BNM (and relevant stakeholders such as ministries with responsibility for environmental issues, state-level agencies, and financial institutions) and the level of policy intervention intensity, recognizing the need for prioritization in this challenging pandemic period. The December 2021 flood event, which displaced around 125,000 people across ten states, was linked to extreme weather patterns that became more likely with climate change. Public opinion in one state suggests deforestation worsened flood conditions. As at 2 January 2022, the government had allocated RM1.2 billion (USD335 million) in financial aid and other forms of relief for the flood victims. 9 14 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Executive Summary Figure 4: Possible actions to address challenges of nature-related financial risks Source: WB. Note: CCPT = Climate Change and Principle-based Taxonomy; VBIAF = Value-based Intermediation Financing and Investment Impact Assessment Framework; ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations. Raising awareness, stakeholder engagement and policy discourse on understanding nature-related financial risks • Disseminate report findings with relevant governmental and non-governmental stakeholders, relevant regulators and supervised financial institutions. • Contribute to knowledge programs that raise awareness on nature-related financial risks. • Advocate and work closely with government to include considerations of nature- related financial risks in relevant policies and investment decisions. • Encourage and support the government towards developing a cohesive national strategy to address nature-related risks alongside climate change. Enhancing capacity building of relevant stakeholders • Expand existing capacity building and stakeholder engagement programs under the Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) to include nature-related financial risks. • Collaborate with key knowledge partners to build understanding and tools for nature-related financial risks. • Support development of incentives and instruments to mobilize private finance for the protection and management of biodiversity and ecosystem services. • Provide financial sector perspectives to government to expand existing government grants/funds related to climate change to encompass goals relevant to protection of biodiversity and ecosystem services. Enhancing macroeconomic surveillance capacity and risk identification • Enhance technical capacity in understanding nature- related financial risks by identifying transmission channels and interacting factors between climate and nature-related risks. • Incorporate a basic concept of nature-related financial risks in existing plans for a surveillance framework on climate risks where both risks have strong synergies (ex: deforestation, disaster resilience). • Improving existing data collection relevant to nature- related risks at a granular level, including for non-credit products (e.g., insurance) and leveraging ongoing work under the JC3. • Consider nature-related financial risks as part of high- level reference scenarios for Malaysia, towards developing stress testing plans for nature-related risks alongside climate change. • Consider supervisory deep dives at select banks that are deemed at higher risk, for example due to their financing activities in (future) protected areas. Developing regulatory and supervisory requirements • Enhance existing guidance on nature-related risks in relevant taxonomies and frameworks (CCPT, VBIAF, ASEAN taxonomy) by synthesizing relevant findings of this report. • Signal expectations for supervised institutions to understand the most relevant nature-related financial risks faced by their institution. • Enhance climate-related regulatory guidance on risk management, governance, and disclosures with specific aspects of nature-related financial risks. • Communicate regulatory and supervisory expectations on managing and disclosing nature-related financial risks along with risks of climate change for supervised institutions. • Develop a monitoring system for new credit to be compliant with climate and nature-related regulations, including checking whether business activities will take place in (future) protected areas. Public awareness/ Policy discourse Capacity building Policy adoption Less intensive More intensive Policy intervention 15An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia CHAPTER 1 16 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Globally, ecosystem health and biodiversity are gaining increasing attention as key challenges for environmental sustainability.10 Biodiversity is declining faster than at any time in human history, with one- quarter of species globally threatened and around one million species facing extinction (Intergovernmental Science Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES)11 2019). The World Economic Forum (WEF), in its Global Risks Report 2021, cited biodiversity loss as one of top global risks society faces (WEF 2021). Biodiversity - the diversity among living organisms - strongly contributes to the generation of ecosystem services and ensures ecosystem functioning.12 Other threats such as land and sea-use change, pollution, direct exploitation of organisms, climate change, and invasive alien species also put ecosystems at risk and these drivers of nature loss are largely the result of human economic activities (IPBES 2019). This is an essential issue as ecosystem services make human life possible by providing essential benefits from ecosystems such as regulating services (such as regulation of floods, droughts, and land degradation), provisioning services (such as crops, fresh water, aquaculture, and timber), supporting services (such as photosynthesis, nutrient cycle, water cycle), and cultural services (such as recreational and other non-material benefits).13 The decline in global wildlife populations coupled with the massive degradation of oceans, forests, freshwater bodies, and other ecosystems undermines nature’s productivity, resilience, and adaptability. Fourteen of the 18 ecosystem services categories that the IPBES defines have declined since 1970 (IPBES 2019). This underpins broad consensus that humanity overstretches its pressure on nature (Steffen et al. 2015; IPBES 2019; Dasgupta 2021). Estimates show that 1.6 earths would be required to maintain the world’s current living standards with the current economic systems (Dasgupta 2021). A continuous excessive use of ecosystems beyond their regenerative rate could trigger abrupt, nonlinear, and systemic change in the health of entire ecosystems, if certain ecological thresholds are passed (Lenton 2013; Dasgupta 2021). This has a direct bearing on future economic performance; furthermore, socio-economic impacts can be particularly severe if ecosystems collapse. To illustrate this point: more than half the world’s total GDP is moderately or highly dependent on nature and its services; with construction, agriculture, and food and beverages being the three sectors that depend most on nature (WEF, 2020). Recently, the devastating effects of the COVID-19 pandemic have provided an important example of what could become a more frequent event due to deforestation, land-use change, and species exploitation (Platto et al. 2021; IPBES 2020). As such, biodiversity and nature loss fuel risks and uncertainties for our economies and wellbeing (Dasgupta 2021; Folke et al. 2021). This report investigates the exposure of the banking sector to a broad range of nature-related risks to the financial sector. Exposure is defined here as the fraction of outstanding loans to highly vulnerable sectors (i.e., highly dependent or highly impacting sectors on nature) in the economy, or in other words the maximum possible loss in those sectors. Nature-related risks encompass risks that relate to ecosystem services, natural assets (such as water and forests), and biodiversity. It thereby covers a large share of the environmental risk dimension in the ESG framework for sustainable development. Thus, the scope of risks that are covered in this report are termed “nature-related risks”, as outlined in Figure 5. Biodiversity is defined in the United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity (1992) as the “variability among living organisms from all sources, including terrestrial, marine and other aquatic ecosystems, and the ecological complexes of which they are part; this includes diversity within species, between species, and of ecosystems”. The IPBES is an independent intergovernmental body established by States to strengthen the science-policy interface for biodiversity and ecosystem services for the conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity, long-term human well-being, and sustainable development (https://ipbes.net/about). https://www.fao.org/ecosystem-services-biodiversity/en/ To emphasize the interconnectedness of biodiversity and ecosystem services this report applies a more holistic terminology of ‘nature’ and ‘nature-related risks.’ 10 11 12 13 17An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Figure 5: Scope of nature-related financial risks within the environmental, social, and governance framework Sustainable Development Environmental Social Governance Other Environmental Biodiversity “Climate” “Nature” “Sustainable” Climate Change Adaptation & Mitigation Source: WB Nature-related risks are sometimes interrelated with climate-related risks, sharing common drivers through human activities. Climate- and nature-related risks are interconnected (Lade et al. 2021) as for instance, climate-induced flooding, wildfires, and cyclones accelerate habitat and biodiversity loss. At the same time, forests, mangroves, and peatlands are natural carbon sinks, capturing and storing carbon dioxide (CO2) while also providing protection from extreme weather events. Protecting and restoring those ecosystems can thereby mitigate climate change and prevent its worst impacts (Poertner et al. 2021). Nevertheless, nature-related risks are often more localized and multidimensional than climate-related risks, posing some challenges for policy design.14 Yet, explicitly considering climate-nature interactions in policy designs provides opportunities to maximize co-benefits, while minimizing trade-offs and compounding risks for the economy and the financial sector (Poertner et al. 2021). Moreover, methodologies used for the assessment of climate-related risks may be tailored to assess nature-related risks as well, including scenario analysis and stress testing. This multidimensionality, for instance, is one reason why there is no single high-level metric to assess the footprint of economic activity such as tons of CO2 equivalent for nature, nor a global goal equivalent to keeping warming well below 2°C and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels (Power et al. 2022). 14 18 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Figure 6: Overall assets per bank type Source: Based on publicly available BNM data (BNM 2021) This total includes all bank categories except for DFIs. https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monthly-highlights-and-statistics-in-november-2021) https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/3q-gdp-2021 15 16 17 Malaysia has a large, well-developed banking sector. Total assets15 in March 2021 were RM 3,016 billion (USD 754 billion or about 224 percent of 2020 GDP) (Figure 6). Government securities (20 percent) and loans and advances (60 percent) make up the bulk of Malaysian banks’ balance sheets, with differences across bank types. BNM is the principal regulator and supervisor of the Malaysian banking sector, which as the central bank for Malaysia, is mandated to promote monetary and financial stability conducive to the sustainable growth of the Malaysian economy. The Malaysian banking sector has shown resilience through the COVID-19 crisis. Capital buffers were adequate with regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets at 18.2 percent as of September 2021. Reported non- performing loans to total gross loans ratio were 1.5 percent as of October 2021, one of the lowest compared to Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries, although extended forbearance measures remained in effect for many individuals and firms. The systemwide liquidity coverage ratio was 153 percent as of October 2021, well above the Basel III regulatory minimum of 100 percent.16 The contraction by 4.5 percent of the Malaysian economy in the third quarter of 2021 was a risk factor to financial stability. However, the Malaysian economy is expected to improve following the normalization of economic activities after the COVID-19 pandemic, which would relax pressures on financial markets.17 Commercial Banks (RM2,063bn) Cash and Cash Equivalents Balances in Current Account with Bank Negara Malaysia Other Deposits Placed and Reverse Repos Statutory Deposits with Bank Negara Malaysia Investment Account Due from Designated Financial Institutions Negotiable Instrument Deposits Held Treasury Bills Government Securities Other Securities Loans and Advances Other Assets Islamic Banks (RM903bn) B an k Ty p e Assets by bank type March 2021 0 20 40 Assets in % of Total 60 80 100 Investment Banks (RM50bn) 1.1 The Malaysian Banking Sector 19An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Comparing Malaysian banks’ commercial sector lending with sectoral GDP data shows that capital intensive sectors such as construction have a higher lending share in banks’ portfolios (15 percent) compared to their contribution to GDP (4 percent). Other sectors are relatively underrepresented, this may be because they have limited access to lending or are less capital intensive (e.g., agriculture has a lending share of 4 percent vs. a GDP share of 8 percent). Furthermore, some sectors might be dominated by large firms (e.g., oil and gas), which are capital intensive but acquire the bulk of their financing from capital markets. This has implications for the analysis as it only considers impacts and dependencies of sectors that have outstanding loans with the Malaysian banking sector. Household loans are the largest share of Malaysian banks’ lending portfolio. 40 percent of commercial sectoral lending goes to corporates, micro, small, and medium enterprises and others. 18 19 Finance provision to the real economy in Malaysia concentrates around loan financing, with a dominant role for the Malaysian banking sector. Seventy-four percent of outstanding net financing in December 2020 was provided by loans from banks and DFIs. Corporate bonds are a growing financing instrument, representing the remaining 26 percent of outstanding net financing. Nevertheless, the banking sector (and specifically loan financing) remains the dominant source of financing. For commercial lending, the wholesale and retail trade sector constitutes the largest share of Malaysian banks’ commercial loans outstanding balance, at slightly more than 16 percent (Figure 6). Manufacturing is the second largest lending exposure (16 percent), followed by construction (15 percent), and real estate (14 percent). This reflects the high importance of manufacturing and construction sectors in the Malaysian economy. The agricultural sector (4 percent) and especially the mining sector (1 percent) constitute only a small share of Malaysian banks’ commercial loans portfolio (Figure 7).18 The following analysis considers Malaysian banks’ commercial sector lending portfolio, which represents a significant share of Malaysian banks’ lending.19 Figure 7: Overall commercial lending of Malaysian banks by sector, as of December 2020 Source: Based on unpublished BNM data Wholesale and Retail Trade 16.14%Other Sectors 15.66% Manufacturing 15.51% Construction 15.12% Real Estate Activities 14.11% Financial and Insurance/ Takaful Activities 10.09% Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 4.39% Transportation and Storage 3.38% Accommodation and Food Service 2.61% Electricity Supply 1.49% Mining and Quarrying 1.04% Water Supply & Co 0.45% Lending by sector 20 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia ‘Supra’ State covers production activities that are beyond the center of predominant economic interest for any state.20 Figure 8: Commercial lending by Malaysian banks by state, as of December 2020 Commercial lending by Malaysian banks is heterogeneously distributed among states (Figure 8), reflecting the population and economic centers of the country. Over 60 percent of commercial lending goes to Kuala Lumpur and Selangor, having a strong manufacturing, service, and real estate sector and contributing the largest share of Malaysian GDP (Figure 9). Johor with its strong oil palm sector (10 percent), Sarawak (6 percent), and Pulau Pinang (5 percent) also receive considerable lending shares. The other Malaysian states share the remaining 17 percent of banks’ lending, with Perlis having the lowest share of only 0.1 percent of total lending. Source: Based on unpublished BNM data Figure 9: Projected GDP per sector by state level contribution (percent, 2019) State100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Agriculture Construction GDP at purchasers prices Import duties Manufacturing Mining and quarrying Services Johor Kedah Kelantan Melaka Negeri Sembilan Pahang Perak Perlis Pulau Pinang Sabah Sarawak Selangor Supra Terengganu W.P. Kuala Lumpur W.P. Labuan Source: Based on Department of statistics Malaysia (DOSM 2021) data20 Sabah Sarawak Selangor Kuala Lumpur Putrajaya Labuan Pahang Perak Melaka Pulau Pinang Negeri Sembilan Terengganu Kelantan Kedah Perlis Johor 30 20 10 0 % O ve ra ll Le nd in g 21An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia The sample of commercial loans outstanding by Malaysian banks represents 90 percent of the total commercial loan portfolio. The sample portfolio data, as of December 2020, totaled RM 733 billion (USD 183 billion). The largest bank type, with about 68 percent share of banking sector assets, are 26 commercial banks, which account for about 66 percent of the lending sample, followed by 16 Islamic banks.21 Islamic banks cover about 30 percent of banking sector assets and about 31 percent of the lending sample. Investment banks are the third bank category, consisting of 10 domestically owned banks22 that account for about 2 percent of total banking sector assets and 0.4 percent of the sample. Additionally, 9 DFIs23 play a role in commercial lending in Malaysia, accounting for about 2 percent of the analyzed lending portfolio in this report. Malaysia’s biological diversity is among the richest in the world. Spread across the three regions of Peninsular Malaysia, Sabah, and Sarawak, Malaysia’s terrestrial, coastal, and marine habitats harbor a wide variety of floral and faunal communities. The country’s forest cover extends to around 59 percent of the total land area (MyBIS 2015).24 This includes extensive tropical peatlands, which cover more than 7 percent of Malaysia’s total land area, and whose unique wet, acidic, and low-nutrient conditions harbor species of plants and animals not found in other tropical forests (MyBIS 2016). These peatlands also store more than 9 gigatons (Gt) of carbon (almost the size of annual global carbon emissions),25 more than twice the 4 Gt carbon that is stored in the rest of Malaysia’s forest vegetation (Page and Rieley 2018). Malaysia’s vast shoreline has more than half a million hectares of mangroves, with five mangrove areas designated as Ramsar sites – an international network of wetlands recognized, among other things, for their importance to conservation of global biological diversity (Ramsar 2010). Together, these and other natural habitats nurture more than 15,000 species of vascular plants, 307 known species of mammals, 785 species of birds, 2,068 species of freshwater and marine animals, 150,000 species of invertebrates, and more than 612 species of hard corals in the country (MyBIS 2015). This rich variety of life has placed Malaysia, a country with only 0.2 percent of the world’s land mass, as one of 17 megadiverse countries in the world.26 Malaysia’s rich biodiversity, and the natural ecosystems it supports, sustain the country’s economy. Natural resources such as oil, timber, and fish, and the provision of ecosystem services such as healthy soils, clean water, pollination, and a stable climate, strongly influence the productivity of various sectors of the economy. Many sectors rely directly on natural resources and ecosystem services for a range of factors within their production processes including inputs to production, inputs to research and development, business operations, and assimilation of waste in these sectors (WEF 2020).27 A sector is highly reliant on an ecosystem service if any disruption in this service can prevent the production processes, and thus directly impact the financial viability of the businesses in these sectors (Box 1) (NCFA and UN-WCMC 2018). https://www.bnm.gov.my/web/guest/islamic-banks: Eight commercial banks have domestic ownership while 18 banks have foreign ownership. Of the 16 Islamic banks, 11 are domestically owned and 5 are foreign owned. https://www.bnm.gov.my/web/guest/investment-banks 6 DFIs regulated under the DFI Act and 3 DFIs not regulated under the DFI Act (https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/akta-institusi- kewangan-pembangunan-2002- act-618-) https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.LND.FRST.ZS?locations=MY Note that global carbon dioxide emissions were 36.7 Gt in 2019 (Ritchie and Roser 2020), this corresponds to carbon emissions of 10 Gt in 2019. https://www.biodiversitya-z.org/content/megadiverse-countries Natural genetic diversity plays a particularly key role in pharmaceutical and biomedical research. 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 1.2 Malaysia, a Biodiversity Hotspot 22 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia The recent Changing Wealth of Nations report by the WB (2021) shows that while human and produced capital in Malaysia have grown, natural capital has declined. Specifically, forests, mangroves, and fisheries-based wealth in Malaysia has declined, while protected areas’, cropland, and pastureland wealth has increased. See the Appendix Section A4 for a more detailed analysis on the current stage of drivers for nature and biodiversity loss in Malaysia as defined by the IPBES (2019). 28 29 Sectors that are highly reliant on an ecosystem service include agriculture, fishing and forestry, construction, electricity, water utilities, and food, beverages, and tobacco sectors. Furthermore, there are other sectors which are moderately reliant on nature, meaning they have a limited dependency on ecosystem services within their direct operations. However, those sectors often rely on inputs from sectors with high direct nature dependencies and are thus indirectly dependent on its ecosystem services. This includes manufacturing, transport, chemicals and materials, aviation, travel and tourism, real estate, mining and metals, retail, consumer goods and lifestyle, oil and gas, and automotive sectors (WEF 2020). This supports the claim by the Dasgupta report (2021), that the entire economy is embedded in nature and as such reliant on a functioning biosphere. Malaysia experienced strong economic growth in recent decades; yet this economic growth has come at the cost of a significant loss of biodiversity and natural capital in the country.28 The country’s high levels of economic growth in the last two decades have led to an exponential rise in demand for natural resources, which in turn has amplified key drivers of nature and biodiversity loss in Malaysia. These include habitat loss and fragmentation, pollution, unsustainable resource extraction and usage, and climate change.29 23An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Materiality of potential dependencies To assess the importance of the contribution an ecosystem service makes to a production process, and the materiality of the impact if this service is disrupted, two aspects can be considered: 1. How significant is the loss of functionality in the production process if the ecosystem service is disrupted? a. Limited loss of functionality: the production process can continue as is or with minor modifications. b. Moderate loss of functionality: the production process can continue only with important modifications (e.g., slower production or use of substitutes). c. Severe loss of functionality: Disruption in the service provision prevents the production process. BOX 1 Assessing materiality of an ecosystem service for a business 24 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Source: Natural Capital Finance Alliance (2021) 2. How significant is the financial loss due to the loss of functionality in the production process? a. Limited financial loss: Disruption to the production process doesn’t materially affect the company’s profits. b. Moderate financial loss: Disruption to the production process materially affects the company’s profits. c. Severe financial loss: There is a reasonable possibility that disruption in the production process will affect the financial viability of the company. The materiality assessment reflects both these considerations. A very high materiality rating means that the loss of functionality is severe and that the expected financial impact is severe as well. Materiality of potential impacts on ecosystem services To assess the importance of a potential impact of a production process on natural capital, the following three aspects were considered: 1. How frequently might the impact occur? • High: The impact and its resulting effects on natural capital are expected to occur continuously throughout the project life cycle. • Medium: The impact and its resulting effects on natural capital are expected to occur regularly throughout the project life cycle (i.e., from several times per year to several times per month). • Low: The impact and its resulting effects on natural capital are expected to occur only a small number of times in the project life cycle (e.g., only during construction/set-up). 2. How quickly might the impact start to affect natural capital? • <1 year: The impact and its resulting effects on natural capital will occur within one year of the start of the production process. • 1-3 years: The impact and its resulting effects on natural capital will occur between one and three years after the start of the production process. • >3 years: The impact and its resulting effects on natural capital will occur more than three years after the start of the production process. 3. How severe might the impact be? • High: The impact and its resulting effects are expected to cause major, irreparable, and long- lasting damage to natural capital. • Medium:  The impact and its resulting effects are expected to cause significant and lasting damage to natural capital. • Low: The impact and its resulting effects are expected to cause minor, reparable, and temporary damage to natural capital. 25An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Major environmental challenges exist with respect to deforestation, pollution, and water management. Figure 10 shows results from the Yale University Environmental Performance Index for Malaysia for the years 2010 (orange) and 2020 (blue).30 Malaysian environmental performance showed improvements in areas like environmental health, air quality, agriculture, climate change, and sanitation and drinking water, though arguably starting from a low environmental performance base. In contrast, pollution emissions and, more notably, ecosystem services and biodiversity and habitat indicators show a deterioration over the past decade. Those findings have also been confirmed in interviews with different stakeholders from academia, the government, and non-governmental organizations (NGOs).31 Interview partners expressed concerns especially with respect to Malaysian forest management, water pollution, and species loss. Furthermore, governance related issues were frequently mentioned as a driver of nature and biodiversity loss. These issues stem mainly from the contention between the federal and state governments’ jurisdiction over land and forest matters.32 Figure 10: Malaysian environmental performance across several indicators in 2010 and 2020 Sources: Based on the Yale Environmental Performance Index Note: Scores are normalized to 100, with 100 being the target to reach. Figure 3 compares environmental indicators between 2010 and 2020 that are scaled to 100. Hence, the graph also provides an indication of the current level of environmental quality in Malaysia, with 100 being perfectly healthy ecosystems. Appendix Section A5 contains details on interview insights. https://www.wwf.org.my/?18445/STATE-GOVERNMENT-HAS-JURISDICTION-OVER-FOREST-AND-LAND-MATTERS; https://www.malaysianbar.org.my/article/ news/legal-and-general-news/legal-news/challenges-in-implementing-and-enforcing-environmental-protection-measures-in-malaysia-by-ainul-jaria-bt- maidin 30 31 32 Environmental Performance Index Environmental Health Air Quality Sanitation & Drinking Water Waste Management Biodiversity & Habitat Ecosystem Services Fisheries Climate Change Pollution Emissions Agriculture Water Resources 0 20 40 60 80 100 2020 2010 26 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia Environmental degradation can push an ecosystem to a “tipping point” beyond which it will shift to a new state or collapse entirely. Such a collapse would lead to a large-scale, abrupt decline in ecosystem services. See Johnson et al. (2021) “The Economic Case for Nature - A global Earth-economy model to assess development policy pathways”. The model developed by the WB in collaboration with the University of Minnesota and Purdue University assesses a scenario of partial ecosystem service collapse—a 90 percent reduction in the flow of the following ecosystem services: wild pollination, marine fisheries, and provision of timber from native forests on real economic activity to 2030. The CGE model utilized in the study accounts for a broad range of direct and indirect substitution effects. Under the tipping point scenario, global GDP declines relative to the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario. With less income in the rest of the world, demand for Malaysian exports declines and hence leading to a decline in domestic production in Malaysia relative to BAU. In addition, relative to East Asia and the Pacific, the adverse impacts of ecosystems collapse in Malaysia’s forestry and fisheries are much larger, which would cause a larger decline in Malaysia’s GDP relative to the rest of East Asia and the Pacific. The model used in the analysis does not offer precise predictions about what the global economy or any given country’s economy will look like in the future. Rather, the scenarios described in this report illustrate the direction and range of possible outcomes of select biophysical scenarios and policy responses. The estimations presented are conservative, due to the limited range of ecosystem services considered, as well as other limitations (for further details please see Johnson et al. 2021). 33 34 35 36 Both nature preservation policies and nature loss can have impacts on the economy and hence can be sources of financial risks to Malaysian banks. A recent WB (Johnson et al. 2021) study analyzes the economic impacts from degrading ecosystem services. In an adverse scenario of partial ecosystem collapse, economic losses could mount up to 3.4 percent of GDP in East Asia and the Pacific region in 2030.33,34 For Malaysia specifically, the effects of such a scenario are estimated to be higher than the region’s average, projected at 6 percent of GDP loss by 2030 (Figure 11), driven by decline in export demand and adverse impacts of the collapse of forestry and fisheries ecosystem services.35 Figure 11: Change in 2030 real GDP under a partial ecosystem collapse scenario (compared with a no-tipping-point scenario)36 b) Change in percentage termsa) Change in monetary terms (US$ billions) 0-5-10-15-20-25-1000 -500 0 Sub-Saharan Africa South Asia North America Middle East and North Africa Latin America and Caribbean Europe and Central Asia East Asia and Paci�c Madagascar Angola+DRC Ethiopia Rest of SS Africa Nigeria South Africa Bangladesh Pakistan Rest of S Asia India Canada United States Egypt, Arab Rep. Morocco Rest of M East N Africa Rest of S America Brazil Central America Argentina Colombia Mexico Rest of C Asia Turkey Other Europe Poland Russian Federation European Union Indonesia Vietnam Philippines Malaysia Rest of SE Asia China Korea, Rep. Rest of E Asia Oceania Japan Source: Johnson et al. (2021) 27An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia 28 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia https://ukcop26.org/glasgow-leaders-declaration-on-forests-and-land-use/ https://www.bnm.gov.my/climatechange https://www.nst.com.my/opinion/letters/2021/10/738332/corporate-role-biodiversity-conservation 37 38 39 The Malaysian government has taken several policy actions on biodiversity, with additional initiatives by the private sector. • Its National Policy on Biodiversity 2016-2025 serves as its guide for biodiversity management and complement to Malaysia’s commitment to the United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity and the Sustainable Development Goals. The policy is part of Malaysia’s agenda to promote sustainability and mentions that Malaysia is committed to conserve its biological diversity, promote its sustainable use, and ensure the fair and equitable sharing of benefits arising from the utilization of biological resources. A National Biological Diversity Roundtable group was created in 2019 to advise the minister on the direction and strategy of implementing the National Biodiversity Policy. • Malaysia also signed the Glasgow Leaders’ Declaration on Forests and Land Use at the 26th United Nations (UN) Climate Change Conference of the Parties, a commitment to halt and reverse forest loss and land degradation by 2030.37 Malaysia’s financial regulators have demonstrated their leadership in driving the sustainability and climate change agenda in the financial sector by deploying several initiatives that aim to address climate related risks and sustainable finance practices.38 • In 2019, BNM and the Securities Commission of Malaysia formed the JC3 to pursue collaborative actions for building climate resilience within the Malaysian financial sector. JC3 initiatives encompass aspects of risk management, governance and disclosure, product and innovation, capacity building and stakeholder engagement, and data. • Since its formation, BNM has finalized the issuance of a principle-based taxonomy – Climate Change and Principle-based Taxonomy (CCPT), that is intended to facilitate the financial institutions’ categorization of economic activities against climate objectives and promote the transition to a low-carbon economy. BNM has also collaborated with Islamic financial institutions under the Value-based Intermediation (VBI) Community of Practitioners to publish guidance documents on credit risk management practices to help financial institutions evaluate financing and investment activities against ESG criteria. The CCPT and VBI guidance documents refer to biodiversity risk as an element of managing environmental risks. In December 2021, BNM issued the Reference Guide on Climate Risk Management and Scenario Analysis for public consultation. The JC3 members also supported the proposal for financial institutions to make mandatory Task Force for Climate- related Financial Disclosure (TCFD)-aligned climate-related financial risk disclosures from 2024. Private sector initiatives around biodiversity are also developing. In February 2020, an interim working group consisting of members from the private sector, academia, research institutes, and NGOs was formed with the mandate to establish the Malaysia Platform for Business and Biodiversity. This is envisioned as a platform for the private sector to discuss, share, and collaborate on issues related to biodiversity conservation and its mainstreaming, particularly to support the implementation of the National Policy on Biological Diversity.39 29An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia One of the main roles of the financial system is to allocate capital (both equity and debt) to productive activities. When risks are not adequately understood and priced in, this could lead to an overallocation of capital to sectors that is not in line with sustainability objectives. Further, it hinders adequate mitigation actions to prevent or limit financial impacts of such risks. Subsequent exposure analysis of this report focuses on direct dependencies only. 40 41 Financial institutions’ relationship with nature is twofold, often referred to as a “double materiality” (European Commission 2019, Oman and Svartzman 2021). On the one hand, the activities that are being financed can either contribute to or deteriorate the value of ecosystem services in Malaysia. On the other hand, ongoing biodiversity loss could have negative economic and financial implications for Malaysian firms and the financial sector (NGFS 2021, World Bank Group 2021b). Globally, nature-related risks are becoming increasingly likely, whereas precise timing and magnitude are difficult to predict (Kedward et. al. 2020). Malaysia could be particularly exposed to those risks, given its status as a megadiverse country and its high dependence of economic activity on ecosystem service provision (see section above for details). Better identification, assessment, and management of nature-related financial risks can help align capital allocation with sustainability goals.40 Even though some nature-related risks may be gradual trends, these could turn into abrupt financial risks when financial sector participants reprice assets based on changed future expectations and better data. The degradation of biodiversity and natural ecosystems could lead to physical and transition risks that could transmit through the economy. This could potentially pose a risk for the financial system (Figure 12), with reinforcing macroeconomic feedback effects (Dunz and Power 2021). Physical risk could emerge from the loss of ecosystem services that firms are depending on. Such dependencies could be direct (e.g., fisheries decline for the aquaculture sector) or indirect via supply chain impacts and relative price changes (e.g., higher food prices).41 Physical risk could either be triggered through ‘slow-onset’ loss of ecosystem services (e.g., reduced agricultural yields) or ‘sudden-onset’ events like the triggering of an ecological regime shift (e.g., eutrophication of a lake). 1.3 Nature-Related Financial Risks 30 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 1 - Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia See Appendix Section A3 for details on reputational risk. The impacts of Malaysian companies on biodiversity and nature may also expose them to liability risk. Such risks may materialize for companies through litigation or other legal avenues outside courtrooms such as regulatory fines and enforcement. Physical risk could pose liability risk to companies as they might be deemed responsible for a loss or injury associated with nature loss and may be required to pay compensation to the affected parties. Nature-related transition risk could pose liability risk as firms continuously contributing to nature loss could be sued. Liability risk can materialize for banks through various avenues – direct impacts as defendants in litigation, and indirect second order impacts through credit, investment, and underwriting risk stemming from their exposure to the affected companies, as well as third order indirect impacts through systemic risks if nature-related liability risk is of a sufficient magnitude across sectors or geographies (Barker et al. 2020). 42 43 Figure 12: From nature-related risks to financial risks Source: WB based on van Toor et al. 2020 and Svartzman et al. 2021 Sudden changes in policy, technology, and consumer preferences in response to nature loss can have a substantial impact on the economic, financial, and reputational42 position of firms and their financing banks with large impacts on biodiversity and ecosystems. Business operations may have an impact on biodiversity and ecosystem services via excessive natural resources extraction, disposal of waste, or land-use change. If firms do not adapt timely and banks do not adjust their lending portfolio, nature-related financial transition risk could materialize following sudden changes in policy, technology, and consumer preferences. Those pressures on companies could stem from domestic changes as well as changes in important export markets for Malaysia such as the European Union (EU). Physical and transition risks can directly disrupt production processes or indirectly materialize across value chains of businesses (second- and third-order effects), thus impacting their ability to generate profits and repay debts. The degree of nature-related risk emergence, however, depends on the availability of substitutes for those depleted ecosystem services as well as the ability of firms and banks to adapt timely. If not anticipated and no action is taken, the sectors with high negative impacts on biodiversity may see abrupt write-downs in their asset valuations (stranded assets) as the economies transition to more sustainable pathways and higher liability claims (liability risk)43 arising from impacts and dependencies on biodiversity. For financial institutions, this adverse impact on the profitability of businesses they lend to may translate into market, credit, liquidity, and operational risks (Figure 12). Nature Financial system Physical risk • Loss of Ecosystem Services creating » ‘slow-onset’ loss » ‘sudden-onset’ events • Interactions with other ecological issues (e.g., climate change) Dependency Macroeconomic deterioration Impact Revised lending conditions Economy Economic risks • Supply chain disruptions • Raw material price volatility • Limited substitutability of essential ecosystem services • Productivity changes (e.g., agriculture) • Changing demand and costs • Stranded assets • Relocation of activities • Legal liabilities • Lower asset value Financial risks • Credit risk (e.g., losses on corporate loans) • Underwriting risk (e.g., inaccurate risk assessment) • Market risk (e.g., losses on shares and bonds) • Operational risk (e.g., liability risks, legal costs, reputational damage) • Liquidity risk (e.g., refinancing risk) Transition and reputation risk • Policy and regulation change • Change in demand – including from international buyers • Change in technology Liability risk • Lawsuits from harmed communities • Fines from regulators 31An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Exposure Assessment CHAPTER 2 32 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment A detailed description of the underlying methodology in this report can be found in Appendix Section A1. https://encore.naturalcapital.finance/en/explore Box 1 provides an overview of the core assumptions of ENCORE with respect to materiality of ecosystem services for businesses. One could argue, however, that absent more detailed information on the production process of Malaysian firms, this approach is conservative as it caps the exposure towards one ecosystem service to its relative share of the entire lending portfolio. 44 45 46 47 This report investigates the exposure in the commercial loan book of Malaysian banks using a combination of sectoral and spatial analyses.44 1. First, it investigates banking sector exposures to economic sectors by using the ENCORE biodiversity tool. Following the work of other central banks, the analysis is focused on relationships between economic sectors and ecosystem services with high or very high dependencies, as the degradation of those ecosystem services is likely to have a strong detrimental impact on firms’ business processes (physical risk). 2. Second, exposures of banks to sectors that have a negative impact on ecosystem services and that could hence be subject to transition risk in case of unanticipated policy introduction and consumer preference change are mapped. 3. Third, spatial exposure of banks’ commercial property purchase lending to areas that may become protected in the future are analyzed. 4. Fourth, a first non-exhaustive set of nature-related risk scenarios for Malaysia (see Figure 26) are explored. These are based on interviews (the conclusions of which are summarized in Appendix Section A5), datasets such as ENCORE and the WB Terrestrial Biodiversity Indicators, and reports from Malaysian stakeholders which are summarized in Appendix Section A4. For most analyses results are obtained for individual banks, however outcomes are reported at the bank segment level to ensure confidentiality of respective bank’s exposures. The analysis on ecosystem dependency and impact is conducted by using ENCORE (Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021).45 ENCORE is a database that maps sector-based impacts and dependencies on ecosystem services for sectors of the economy.46 This allows a detailed assessment of the interactions of the economy with the natural environment and thus an exposure analysis of Malaysian banking sectors’ lending portfolio to potential nature-related physical and transition risks. The overall commercial loans outstanding in the sample stood at RM 733 billion (USD 183 billion) as of December 2020. The analysis follows closely the approach proposed by the Dutch Central Bank (DNB) (van Toor et al. 2020), consisting of several steps of data reclassification and remapping. Reclassification and remapping are needed to align sector classification of the lending data with sector classification used in ENCORE. Following the DNB approach, the focus of the analysis is on relationships between economic sectors and ecosystem services with high or very high dependencies only, as the degradation of those ecosystem services is likely to have a strong detrimental impact on firms’ business processes. Likewise, only linkages of economic sectors and drivers of environmental change with a high or very high impact to assess transition risk exposure are considered. The reclassification allows assessment of the nature-related physical and transition risk exposure of the Malaysian banks’ commercial lending portfolio. ENCORE is a global tool and thereby subject to some caveats. Ecosystem service dependencies and the state of natural assets differ by country and require a geographical context to refine the assessment provided by ENCORE. ENCORE focuses on direct nature-related impacts and dependencies for the various sectors of the economy. Thus, ENCORE can only give a comprehensive view on the key first-order nature-related impacts and dependencies at the level of sectors of the economy. Furthermore, the currently applied equal weighting approach in the case of multiple sector or ecosystem service linkages influences the exposure results.47 33An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment This section estimates the risks that Malaysian banks may be exposed to from the loss in ecosystem services (physical risk). Multiple sectors of the economy depend directly or indirectly on ecosystem services. The resilience of these ecosystem services, in turn, is contingent upon a thriving biodiversity. Biodiversity loss, driven by unsustainable business processes, could thus lead to a degradation of the ecosystem services it sustains. In turn, negative impacts on the financial position of companies that depend on these ecosystem services could emerge, with negative financial implications for banks financing them. Fifty-four percent of the commercial lending portfolio of Malaysian banks is to sectors which are highly or very highly dependent on one or several ecosystem services (Figure 13). This amounted to RM 398 billion (USD 94 billion) lent to these sectors as of December 2020.48 Most of these ecosystem service dependencies concentrate around a few economic sectors, with real estate and construction activities constituting about 42 percent of all sectors’ dependencies (Figure 14).49 Real estate activities strongly depend on surface water provision. Construction activities are especially vulnerable to climate physical risk, thus depending on climate regulation (chronic temperature increase) and flood and storm protection (acute climate physical risk). Wholesale trade is also strongly dependent on ecosystem services due to its reliance on climate regulation provision. Agricultural activities make up about 8 percent of sectors’ dependencies on ecosystem services, whereas they depend on a multitude of different ecosystem services such as disease control and maintenance of nursery habitats. This makes agriculture especially vulnerable to a multitude of ecosystem service deteriorations. Figure 13: The financial sector and ecosystem services dependencies per Malaysian ringgit invested (in million RM) Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations This sectoral analysis covers approximately 90 percent of the total corporate loan portfolio of Malaysian banks. The oil and gas sector that is relatively important for the Malaysian economy does not show up prominently in this analysis as oil and gas companies receive large shares of their financing from capital markets. 48 49 2.1 Dependency on Ecosystem Services Real estate activities Leisure facility provision Processed food and drink production Construction materials production Hotels and resorts provision Tyre and rubber production Life science, pharma and biotech manufacture Life science, pharma and biotech tools and services Production of forest and wood-based products Catalytic cracking, fractional distillation and crystallization Natural �bre production Synthetic �bre production Alcoholic fermentation and distilling Tobacco production Nuclear and thermal power stations Iron extraction Geothermal energy production Mining Construction Marine ports and services Distribution Water services (e.g. waste water, treatment and distribution) Cruise line provision Large-scale livestock (beef and dairy) Small-scale livestock (beef and dairy) Telecommunication and wireless services Integrated oil and gas Large-scale forestry Small-scale forestry Hydropower production Solar energy provision Wind energy provision Saltwater wild-caught �sh Freshwater wild-caught �sh Marine transportation Airport services Infrastructure maintenance contracts Large-scale irrigated arable crops Small-scale irrigated arable crops Electric/nuclear power transmission and distribution Large-scale rainfed arable crops Small-scale rainfed arable crops Aquaculture Oil and gas transportation Gas distribution Railway transportation Fibre-optic cable installation (marine) Biomass energy production Production of paper products Production of leisure or personal products Commercial Banks Surface water Ground water Climate regulation Flood and storm protection Water �ow maintenance Water quality Maintain nursery habitats Fibres and other materials Pollination Soil quality Disease control Pest control Animal-based energy Mass stabilisation and erosion control Buffering and attenuation of mass �ows Islamic Banks Investment Banks DFIs Real estate activities Leisure facility provision Processed food and drink production Construction materials production Hotels and resorts provision Tyre and rubber production Life science, pharma and biotech manufacture Life science, pharma and biotech tools and services Production of forest and wood-based products Catalytic cracking, fractional distillation and crystallization Natural �bre production Synthetic �bre production Alcoholic fermentation and distilling Tobacco production Nuclear and thermal power stations Iron extraction Geothermal energy production Mining Construction Marine ports and services Distribution Water services (e.g. waste water, treatment and distribution) Cruise line provision Large-scale livestock (beef and dairy) Small-scale livestock (beef and dairy) Telecommunication and wireless services Integrated oil and gas Large-scale forestry Small-scale forestry Hydropower production Solar energy provision Wind energy provision Saltwater wild-caught �sh Freshwater wild-caught �sh Marine transportation Airport services Infrastructure maintenance contracts Large-scale irrigated arable crops Small-scale irrigated arable crops Electric/nuclear power transmission and distribution Large-scale rainfed arable crops Small-scale rainfed arable crops Aquaculture Oil and gas transportation Gas distribution Railway transportation Fibre-optic cable installation (marine) Biomass energy production Production of paper products Production of leisure or personal products Commercial Banks Surface water Ground water Climate regulation Flood and storm protection Water �ow maintenance Water quality Maintain nursery habitats Fibres and other materials Pollination Soil quality Disease control Pest control Animal-based energy Mass stabilisation and erosion control Buffering and attenuation of mass �ows Islamic Banks Investment Banks DFIs 34 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia 34 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 — Exposure Assessment 2.1 Dependency on Ecosystem Services This section estimates the risks that Malaysian banks may be exposed to from the loss in ecosystem services (physical risk). Multiple sectors of the economy depend directly or indirectly on ecosystem services. The resilience of these ecosystem services, in turn, is contingent upon a thriving biodiversity. Biodiversity loss, driven by unsustainable business processes, could thus lead to a degradation of the ecosystem services it sustains. In turn, negative impacts on the financial position of companies that depend on these ecosystem services could emerge, with negative financial implications for banks financing them. Fifty-four percent of the commercial lending portfolio of Malaysian banks is to sectors which are highly or very highly dependent on one or several ecosystem services (Figure 13). This amounted to RM 398 billion (USD 94 billion) lent to these sectors as of December 2020.48 Most of these ecosystem service dependencies concentrate around a few economic sectors, with real estate and construction activities constituting about 42 percent of all sectors’ dependencies (Figure 14).” Real estate activities strongly depend on surface water provision. Construction activities are especially vulnerable to climate physical risk, thus depending on climate regulation (chronic temperature increase) and flood and storm protection (acute climate physical risk). Wholesale trade is also strongly dependent on ecosystem services due to its reliance on climate regulation provision. Agricultural activities make up about 8 percent of sectors’ dependencies on ecosystem services, whereas they depend on a multitude of different ecosystem services such as disease control and maintenance of nursery habitats. This makes agriculture especially vulnerable to a multitude of ecosystem service deteriorations. Figure 13: The financial sector and ecosystem services dependencies per Malaysian ringgit invested (in million RM) Real estate activities Leisure facility provision Processed food and drink production Construction materials production Hotels and resorts provision Tyre and rubber production cite science, pharma and biotech manufacture =roduction o leisure or ersonal products .ife science, harma andnbiotech tools and services =rodi.ictiori o forest and woodrbased pro ucts catalytic cracking fractional distillation and crystallization atural fibre ro ction ?I'Ofi|‘.lCt‘lO _o pape products :ynt et_lc ibre pro Vucilon . _ 4 Acohollc fermentation and distilling Tab cco pr duction , Nuc ear an thermal power stations lron extraction Geothermal energy production Mining Surface water aim was. I Commercial Banks Climate regulation Construction Marine ports and services Flood and storm protection I Water {low maintenance 1 water quality — Maintain nursery habitats — Distribution water services (e.g. waste water, treatment and distribution) Cruise line provision .arge-scale livestock (beef and dairy) ntegrated oil and gas qarge-scale fores ry , .Y . . ‘ ' ? Sollar El'lel'gy|dPl’OVlSl|'K‘)V1{_ h P°lll"a"°" I I - I - - \£\?inl%fer?e|r\g,l pr°r?i‘fi§ion '5 5°" quallw — ma -sca e orestry— , _ ~ : Small-scale liyestock (beef an’d’dairy)_~~ es, Dlsease Comwl Telecommunication and wireless services \‘\ \ _ \ pest comm; : Freshwater wild-caught fish * e Marine transportation Airport services , infrastructure niaintenance contracts Large-scale Irrigated arable crops 2 Fibres and other materials 1 Islamic Banks T Animalrbasedienergy 2 Investment Banks Z DF|s } kit/lass,stabilisation and erosion control 2 giomass energy P,9duc,i°.-./ I Buffering and attenuation of mass flows 2 Small-scale irrigated arable cm s Electric/nuclear ower transmission and distribution l.arge—scale rain ed arable crops Aquaculture _ Oi and gas transportation srnall-scale rainied arable crops Gas rl u on , Ra: way transportation Fibre—aptic cable installation (marine) Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations 48 This sectoral analysis covers approximately 90 percent of the total corporate loan portfolio of Malaysian banks. 49 The oil and gas sector that is relatively important for the Malaysian economy does not show up prominently in this analysis as oil and gas companies receive large shares of their financing from capital markets. Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment It should be noted that the indicated dependencies per bank level rely on sectoral global averages from the ENCORE database. Ecosystem service dependency might differ depending on project design and should ultimately be assessed on a project level. For instance, a real estate investment that incorporates a passive house standard (i.e. a green building standard) might be far less dependent on ecosystem services such as water compared to conventional real estate projects. 50 Figure 14: Relative commercial lending exposure to sectors with high or very high dependencies (physical risk) Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations Note: Sectors according to the Statistical Classification of Activities in the European Community (NACE) Real estate activities Construction of buildings Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities Manufacture of food products Accommodation Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles Warehousing and support activities for transportation Others 26.6% 15.4% 9.0% 7.7% 5.7% 4.2% 4.1% 2.1% 2.1% 23.2% Among all ecosystem services, Malaysian banks depend most strongly on individual ecosystems which provide surface water (30 percent), ground water (14 percent), flood and storm protection (16 percent), and climate regulation (26 percent) (Figure 15). Of every RM per loan, almost half depends highly or very highly on these four ecosystem services. For instance, Ulu Muda forest complex, covering 7 forest reserves, is an important water catchment forest not only for Kedah (96 percent of its water supply), but also the neighboring states of Penang and Perlis (80 percent and 50 percent of water supply respectively) (Sharma 2016, Ramasamy 2017). Flood and storm protection is becoming increasingly important as climate change grows. For example, floods have already had a substantial impact in Malaysia, with the recent Klang Valley and East Coast floods. The high dependence on climate regulation – long-term carbon storage in natural assets such as soils, vegetable biomass, and the oceans, as well as the role of vegetation to modify temperatures, humidity, and wind speeds at local levels – indicates the strong relevance of natural asset intactness moderating climate change impacts. This shows how climate- and nature-related risks are interacting, with large potential for co- benefits from policy, regulation, and investment. These dependencies of Malaysian banks on ecosystem services vary widely across the types of banks and across individual banks within the same category.50 Ecosystem service dependency varies across bank types, with commercial banks (54 percent) and Islamic banks (55 percent) showing the highest dependency. Both bank types are specifically dependent on climate regulation and surface water, indicating their large exposure towards real estate activities and wholesale sectors. DFIs (46 percent) show a relatively strong dependency on flood and storm protection, indicating the importance of infrastructure and agricultural sectors in their loan portfolio. Dependencies on ecosystem services vary across individual banks, even within the same bank type (Figure 16). Investment banks have the lowest exposure to ecosystem service dependent sectors on average (40 percent), with a high variability across peers. While the overall categories of commercial banks and Islamic banks have the highest dependency on ecosystem services in their loan portfolios, for individual banks dependency can be as low as 10 percent. Those dependencies are often driven by a specific lending focus in banks’ portfolios, with agriculture, real estate, and construction lending showing high dependencies. 35An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Figure 15: Dependency of the commercial lending portfolio to individual ecosystem services (percentage) Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations Figure 16: Unweighted share of commercial lending portfolio with high or very high dependencies on ecosystem services by type of bank Surface water E co sy st em S er vi ce Climate regulation Flood and storm protection Ground water Water �ow maintenance Soil quality Mass stabilization and erosion control Disease control Buffering and attenuation of mass �ows Pest control Pollination Water quality Animal-based energy Fibers and other materials Maintain nursery habitats Very high dependency 0 20 40 60 80 100 High dependency Share of Total Credit to Economic Sectors in % Other 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Islamic Banks Development Finance Institutions Investment Banks Commercial Banks P er ce nt ag e Bank Type Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations 36 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Nature-related financial transition risk could emerge for Malaysian banks through the financing of companies that have negative impacts on biodiversity and ecosystem services, as these companies could face regulatory or reputational implications. A transition to conserve and restore biodiversity may expose companies, and the banks financing them, to potential disruptions and shocks (see Section 1.3 for details). Regulatory and reputational issues could emerge for entire sectors, posing sectoral transition risk. For example, in 2019, Norway’s USD 1 trillion Government Pension Fund Global, revealed that since 2012, the Fund had divested from 33 palm oil companies over deforestation risks.51,52 This included Malaysia’s Sime Darby Plantation, the world’s largest oil palm planter by land size. The Fund also announced that it was asking banks in Indonesia, Malaysia, and Brazil to adopt No Deforestation criteria for their loans to the agricultural sector (Norges Bank 2019). The analysis of impacts on ecosystem services follows the same methodology as for the dependency of ecosystem service assessment. Eighty-seven percent of the commercial loan portfolio analyzed are channeled to sectors which highly or very highly impact various natural assets and ecosystem services (Figure 17). This represented RM 639 billion (USD 151 billion) of commercial loans outstanding to these sectors as of December 2020. Malaysian banks could face high risk to changes in regulations, technologies, and consumer preferences driven by concern over these environmental impacts. This further emphasizes the importance for the financial sector to start taking actions to mitigate such transition risk. https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/investments/holdings-as-at-31.12.2018/ https://www.regnskog.no/en/news/norways-government-pension-fund-acts-against-deforestation-divests-major-agricultural-companies 51 52 2.2 Impacts on Ecosystem Services Figure 17: The environmental impact of financial sector lending per Malaysian ringgit invested (in million RM) Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations Commercial Banks Real estate activities Infrastructure holdings Construction GHG emissions Solid waste Water use Terrestrial ecosystem use Water pollutants Soil pollutants Disturbances Non-GHG air pollutants Freshwater ecosystem use Marine ecosystem use Other resource use Distribution Islamic Banks Investment Banks DFIs Commercial Banks Real estate activities Infrastructure holdings Construction GHG emissions Solid waste Water use Terrestrial ecosystem use Water pollutants Soil pollutants Disturbances Non-GHG air pollutants Freshwater ecosystem use Marine ecosystem use Other resource use Distribution Islamic Banks Investment Banks DFIs 37An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Figure 18: Relative commercial lending exposure to NACE sectors with high or very high impacts Source: Based on unpublished BNM data and ENCORE data Real estate activities Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles Construction of buildings Civil engineering Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities Manufacture of food products Others 43.0% 16.6% 11.2% 9.6% 6.1% 5.1% 4.8% 3.5% The impacts considered here are classified as high or very high impacts. 53 Yet, the commercial lending portfolio of Malaysian banks that highly or very highly drive impacts, are mainly accounted by six sectors which are responsible for over half of those impacts. This is both due to the size of lending exposure and the sectoral characteristics. Those sectors include real estate activities (17 percent), wholesale trade (11 percent), construction of buildings (10 percent), civil engineering (6 percent), retail trade (5 percent), and crops and animal production (5 percent) (Figure 18). Drivers of environmental impact, such as excessive water use, in turn affect the underlying natural assets, such as species, water, and habitat. The banking sector could be particularly exposed to these drivers of environmental impacts given that Malaysia is a megadiverse country and the structure of its economy largely comprises production activities that are closely tied to natural assets and ecosystems. However, as becomes evident, the sectoral impacts on natural assets and ecosystem services are less concentrated than sectoral dependencies on ecosystem service provision. This indicates the wide range of economic activities that have a negative impact on nature and the scope of the challenge to reduce those impacts. Among all impact drivers, the ones individually impacted the most53 through commercial lending by Malaysian banks are GHG emissions (61 percent), water use (56 percent), and terrestrial ecosystem use (43 percent) (Figure 19). Of every RM of lending by the banks, about 40 cents are in sectors that highly or very highly impact these three impact drivers. This indicates the strong exposure of the natural assets that are most severely impacted by those impact drivers. GHG emissions are a main driver of impact on ecosystem services by contributing to climate change, which highlights the interlinkage between climate-related and nature-related risks. It further highlights the relevance of marine and terrestrial protected areas to lower impacts, and helps to maintain key ecosystem service provision in Malaysia. Enforcement of existing protected areas and the creation of new areas could pose significant nature transition risk to the Malaysian banking sector. 38 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Figure 19: Impact of the commercial lending portfolio on impact drivers from firms’ business activities (in percentage) Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations GHG emissions Im p ac t d ri ve rs Water use Terrestrial ecosystem use Solid waste Soil pollutants Disturbances Non-GHG air pollutants Water pollutants Freshwater ecosystem use Marine ecosystem use Other resource use Very high 0 20 40 60 80 100 High Share of Total Credit to Economic Sectors in % Other 39An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment The impacts of Malaysian banks on natural assets and ecosystem services are generally high but vary across types of banks and individual banks.54 Impact drivers vary strongly across individual banks (Figure 20), depending on their lending focus. Banks that have a large exposure towards real estate activities and infrastructure projects, for instance, contribute to the deterioration of natural assets and ecosystem services via GHG emissions, terrestrial ecosystem use, and water-related impacts (i.e., water use and water pollutants). This partially explains why DFIs have a relatively high impact on natural assets and ecosystem services in their loan portfolio (95 percent), followed by Islamic banks (89 percent). There is a relatively low variability in impact among DFIs and Islamic banks, indicating a homogenous impact in their lending activities amongst peers (e.g., DFIs usually lend to sectors with high impacts on nature such as infrastructure and agriculture55). Investment banks show the lowest impact on average; but it is still 70 percent. Additionally, there is high variability across the group. Figure 20: Unweighted share of commercial lending portfolio with high or very high impact drivers from firms’ activities on natural assets and ecosystem services by type of bank Source: BNM (unpublished data), ENCORE, WB calculations 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 Islamic Banks Development Finance Institutions Investment Banks Commercial Banks Pe rc en ta g e Bank Type It should be noted, however, that the indicated impacts per bank level rely on sectoral global averages from the ENCORE database. Ecosystem service impacts might differ depending on project design and should ultimately be assessed on a project level. For instance, a civil engineering project that includes a comprehensive environmental impact assessment in the planning phase might be far less impacting on ecosystem services compared to conventional real estate projects. Note that impact might vary with projects and only global averages are considered here. For example, a sustainable agriculture project with no fertilizer and pesticide use and space for species that is financed by a DFI might actually create a nature-positive impact. 54 55 40 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment The upstream palm oil sector is often linked with deforestation, making it particularly susceptible to transition risk. The sector is particularly relevant for Malaysia as it contributed to 2.7 percent of the country’s GDP in 2019 and is its biggest agricultural export (DOSM 2021). However, shifts in public perception and increased investor pressure have led to an increased focus on reducing the use of commodities with negative environmental impact within the supply chains and production processes of companies. The environmental concerns linked to palm oil have triggered major regulatory and market movements, such as the EU’s 2019 Renewable Energy Directive, which requires that by 2030, no crop sourced from recently deforested areas or peatlands can be used to produce biofuels.56 These considerations linked to negative environmental impacts of the palm oil sector in Malaysia can be a source of transition risk to companies and the financial institutions linked to them. Already, there have been tentative signs of transition risk impacting companies’ stock price performance. While crude palm oil prices rose 42 percent year to year in November 2021, the FBM KLCI Plantation Index slipped 3.8 percent during the corresponding period. This was partly attributed to the “steep ESG discount attached to plantation stock valuations” amid “deforestation, fire and haze, and labor concerns”.57 The Malaysian government has enacted policy measures to boost the share of sustainability certified palm oil58, aiming to mitigate such transition risk. It has enforced mandatory sustainability standards under the Malaysia Sustainable Palm Oil (MSPO) scheme, which mandate all oil palm plantations to be certified for sustainability (Malaysia Palm Oil Board, Government of Malaysia). As of end-2020, 88 percent of the total oil palm planted area in Malaysia, equivalent to 5.2 million hectares, has been MSPO certified.59 Meanwhile, 21 percent of the planted area has also been certified under the internationally recognized Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil.60 There is also a proposal to cap the area of oil palm plantations to 6.5 million hectares by 2023, whereas the area recorded in 2018 was 5.8 million hectares.61 BOX 2 Case Study – Transition risk for Malaysia’s palm oil sector https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/MEMO_19_1656 CPO Price Rally Marred by ESG Concerns, Public Invest Research Sector Update November 8, 2011 https://www.eco-business.com/news/what-is-sustainable-palm-oil/ https://mspotrace.org.my/Home https://rspo.org/news-and-events/news/press-release-positive-growth-for-sustainable-palm-oil https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2021/01/05/malaysia-committed-to-cap-total-oil-palm-planted-area-at-65m-hectares 56 57 58 59 60 61 Figure 21: High resolution Malaysia industrial and smallholder oil palm map for 2019 Source: Adrià et al. 2021, WB calculations Sabah Sarawak Selangor Kuala Lumpur Putrajaya Labuan Pahang Perak Melaka Pulau Pinang Negeri Sembilan Terengganu Kelantan Kedah Perlis Johor Industrial oil palm plantations Smallholder oil palm plantations Other land cover 41An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Malaysian banks could also be exposed to spatial biodiversity transition risk by financing companies that operate in nature and biodiversity-relevant areas. To protect those sites, the government could introduce new protective policy measures that would restrict or even impede business operations in those locations. Companies could face relocation costs or a need to adjust business models, potentially weakening their financial position. Consequently, transition risk for the Malaysian banking sector could emerge. Ambitious global nature conservation targets would require Malaysia to significantly increase its protected area scope (currently at about 13 percent of its land area [UNEP-WCMC 2021]), posing a potential risk for firms that currently operate in to-be protected areas. Recent research shows that more ambitious and urgent steps are needed to stop the rapid decline in biodiversity (IPBES 2019). Thus, a target of 30 percent protection of the Earth’s land and sea area by 2030 (“30x30” goal) is currently being discussed62 and was officially put forward at the UN Convention on Biological Diversity in October 2021 in Kunming, as part of the ‘Kunming Declaration’ (2021).63 This would mean a significant step-up compared to the 2010 declared Aichi Biodiversity Targets, which aim for 17 percent of terrestrial and 10 percent of maritime area protection across the globe (currently at 15 percent globally [Lewis et al. 2019]). Current non-protected KBA could serve as a proxy for areas that could become protected if Malaysia follows the targets of the ‘Kunming Declaration’. Protecting currently non-protected KBA would increase the share of terrestrial protected areas (Figure 22, panel a and b) of total land area from 13 percent (UNEP- WCMC 2021)64 to about 24 percent. However, KBA relevance is not equally distributed across Malaysian states (Figure 23). States such as Perak, Pahang, Kedah, and Selangor are biodiversity hotspots, with KBA making up almost 50 percent of Perak’s land area. While Malaysia has seen ambitious efforts in stepping-up protected areas since the 2000s (UNEP-WCMC 2021), a large share of KBA in Malaysian states is currently non-protected (see light blue bars in Figure 23 as a share of dark blue bars). As such, firms currently operating in those regions could be restricted, with implications for their financing banks. For the spatial transition risk analysis, postal code-based lending data65 for commercial non- residential and residential property purchases (excluding household loans) are mapped to KBA. KBA could potentially be designated as protected in the future and it is thus relevant to see banks’ financial exposure to those areas. This report refers to the gap between the protected areas and KBA as “currently non-protected KBA” and is intended to provide a proxy for areas that could become protected in the future. The sample has loans outstanding and the location of loan utilization as of December 2020 and covers about 5 percent of the overall commercial lending data sample. The Malaysian banking sector has RM 329 million (USD 78 million) in lending exposure to firms that are active in currently non-protected KBA, although limitations in the analysis, such as data restrictions, suggest this could be a conservative estimate. Figure 24 shows the geographical distribution of Malaysian banks’ commercial residential and non-residential property lending that occurs in currently non- protected KBA. Malaysia is also currently considering protecting at least 30% of terrestrial areas and inland waters and 15% of coastal and marine areas through an effectively managed and ecologically representative system of protected areas and other effective area-based conservation measures by 2030. Due to COVID-19, the final negotiations on the Kunming Declaration will not take place until May 2022. Terrestrial protected areas are as of 2016, marine protected areas as of 2022. Data correspond to the location of loan utilization i.e., where the economic activity is undertaken. 62 63 64 65 2.3 Activities in Key Biodiversity Areas 42 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Figure 22: Protected areas in Malaysia Source: UNEP-WCMC 2021, WB calculations Malaysia W.P. Putrajaya W.P. Labuan W.P. Kuala Lumpur Terengganu Selangor Sarawak Sabah Pulau Pinang Perlis Perak Pahang Negeri Sembilan Melaka Kelantan Kedah Johor St at e % of total state area 0 5 10 15 20 25 Protected area share within Malaysian States a) Protected terrestrial area share of total state area as of 2016, by state in Malaysia (percent) b) Protected area (state parks, wildlife reserves, forest reserves) in Malaysia (terrestrial and marine) Sabah Sarawak Selangor Kuala Lumpur Putrajaya Labuan Pahang Perak Melaka Pulau Pinang Negeri Sembilan Terengganu Kelantan Kedah Perlis Johor State park Wildlife reserve Forest Reserve 43An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Figure 23: Protected and non-protected KBA as a share of Malaysian States area (percent of total state area) Malaysia W.P. Putrajaya W.P. Labuan W.P. Kuala Lumpur Terengganu Selangor Sarawak Sabah Pulau Pinang Perlis Perak Pahang Negeri Sembilan Melaka Kelantan Share of protected KBA Share of non-protected KBA Kedah Johor St at e % of total state area Key biodiversity area share within Malaysian States 0 10 20 30 40 Source: Statistical Office Malaysia, IBAT (BirdLife International Partnership, Alliance for Zero Extinction), WB calculations The share of commercial lending to non-protected KBA of overall commercial lending is relatively small, which could be explained by three reasons. First, the geospatial resolution of available financial data only covers residential and non-residential property lending, constituting only a share of 5 percent of overall commercial lending in our sample. Further, the matching process would benefit from geospatial files that could provide the full extent of postal code level territories. Second, sectors that are most likely to be active in those areas include agriculture and mining, only constituting about 5 percent of overall commercial lending of Malaysian banks (Figure 7). Third, the states with the highest shares of non-protected KBA such as Perak, Kedah, and Sarawak only make up about 3 percent, 2 percent, and 6 percent respectively of state-level lending by Malaysian banks (Figure 8), whereas the bulk of the lending of over 60 percent goes to just two states that have limited KBA in their state area (Kuala Lumpur) or no lending that would occur in KBA (Selangor). KBA are in areas that are relatively untouched by economic activity as strong economic activity in those areas would have deteriorated biodiversity and as such impacted their status as KBA. This could point to the fact that first-order spatial transition risk might not be as problematic for the Malaysian banking sector but instead second-order dependencies for firms that depend on the primary inputs from agriculture and mining, such as manufacturing and construction firms, could be indirectly impacted by spatial transition risk.66 Figure 25 supports this claim as the net balance of potential provision of ecosystem services and use of ecosystem services for each district in Malaysia differ strongly across the country. The coastal urban areas of An analysis of upstream and downstream input dependence for selected countries has been conducted by Cahen-Fourot et al. (2020) and Cahen-Fourot et al. (2021) 66 44 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment https://data.humdata.org/67 Figure 24: Commercial residential and non-residential purchase lending exposure by Postal Code area of Malaysian banks to non-protected KBA Source: Statistical Office Malaysia, IBAT, BirdLife International Partnership, Alliance for Zero Extinction, BNM (unpublished data), Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021,67 WB calculations Figure 25: Net ecosystem service use (potential vs. realized services index) per district in Malaysia. Model results from the Co$tingNature version 3 policy support system Source: Mulligan, M. (2021), Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021, WB calculations Sabah Sarawak Selangor Kuala Lumpur Putrajaya Labuan Pahang Perak Melaka Pulau Pinang Negeri Sembilan Terengganu Kelantan Kedah Perlis Johor Non-protected key biodiversity areas Protected key biodiversity areas Currently protected areas Financial exposure 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 R el at iv e to ta l p ot en ti al s er vi ce s in d ex Peninsular Malaysia’s west coast with its strong manufacturing, services, and construction sectors (Figure 9) are net consumers of ecosystem services. The protected areas in Perak, Pahang, Sarawak, and Sabah, in contrast, are net providers of ecosystem services. 45An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia 46 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment To assess nature-related financial risks for prudential purposes, there is a need to go beyond exposure analysis and identify those risk scenarios that can materially affect banks’ balance sheets. The scenarios should provide a coherent narrative for adverse events that produce severe economic and financial damage while at the same describing a set of plausible futures. In practice, macroprudential authorities and micro prudential supervisors often work with scenarios that have yearly probabilities of occurring between 1 in 10 to 1 in 1,000 years, to reflect that distributions of event occurrences might shift with growing climate change or nature-related risks. In contrast to climate-related scenarios, however, nature-related risks are less well understood and to a higher degree multidimensional.68 For example, ENCORE identifies 21 different ecosystem services and 27 different drivers of environmental change. This poses challenges for the development of nature-related financial risk scenarios and more research is needed on this matter. A preliminary set of scenarios were developed for this report based on ENCORE, stakeholder interviews, and an explorative analysis of drivers of nature-related financial risk scenarios in Malaysia.69 The scenarios capture current banking sector exposure in case of adverse events, such as floods or storms, far- reaching ecosystem service deterioration, or sudden policy changes, that could affect a combination of different ecosystem services and thus a multitude of economic sectors. The analysis above considered Malaysian banking sector exposure to nature risks in sectors and individual or entire ecosystem services. The scenarios for this section are not projections of business-as-usual, but rather state the current financial exposure if identified ecosystem services defaulted. The identification of 21 physical and 7 transition risk scenarios shows the range of the banking sector’s commercial loans portfolio exposure. Exposure ranges from 44 percent (reduced ecosystem services due to continued high resource use, pollution, and urban sprawl) to 0.5 percent (species decline due to excessive hunting) (Figure 26). Scenarios with the highest banking sector exposure are those that would affect a wide range of sectors, such as a general deterioration of ecosystem services for example due to high resource use, pollution, and urban sprawl (44 percent) or high rates of deforestation (30 percent). Exposure was also high regarding scenarios that could affect firms’ costs and business models in multiple sectors, for example sudden and unexpected climate policy introduction (38 percent), regulatory restriction of water pollution (17 percent), and sudden increase in the price of water (removal of subsidies / market dynamics) (17 percent). Some physical risk scenarios were only expected to directly affect a few sectors with banking sector exposure. These included reduced agricultural yields and water pollution due to intense agri- and aquaculture (2.5 percent), animal disease outbreak (0.8 percent), and severe reduction in available fish stock (0.7 percent). Sectors that are exposed in almost every physical and transition risk scenario are the agricultural, forestry, and fishing sectors as they have a high and direct dependence on multiple ecosystem services. Further, the electricity sector would be affected in multiple scenarios as it is highly dependent on regulating ecosystem services such as flood and storm protection and climate regulation. Drivers that could lead to the most severe scenarios in terms of Malaysian banking sector loan exposure are land- and sea use change, Nature-related risks are often interconnected (e.g., soil erosion, groundwater depletion, biodiversity loss), caused by multiple anthropogenic drivers (e.g., intensive agriculture, deforestation, pollution), while acting on multiple scales (from local ecosystems to planetary processes), while interacting with climate change (Kedward et al. 2020). See Appendix Section A4 and A5 for details. Appendix Section A4 provides a high-level analysis of the five core drivers of biodiversity and nature loss, land- and sea-use change, extensive natural resource use and exploitation, climate change, pollution, and invasive species spread (IBPES 2019), as well as governance and policy uncertainty related issues in the context of Malaysia. Appendix Section A5 describes core findings of the interviews in detail. 68 69 2.4 Physical and Transition Risk Scenarios 47An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Figure 26: Identified nature-related financial risk scenarios by banking sector exposure Source: ENCORE, BNM, interviews, WB calculations. Note: Dark blue scenarios are nature-related financial transition risk scenarios, light blue scenarios are nature-related financial physical risk scenarios. Exposure amounts are based on the share of corporate loans to economic sectors that could be directly affected in the scenario under consideration. Reduced ecosystem services due to resource overuse, pollution and urban sprawl Sudden and unexpected climate policy introduction Ecosystem services deterioration due to deforestation Regulatory restriction of water pollution Sudden increase in the price of water Severe reduction in available timber Increase in sea surface temperature Changed ocean current and circulation Severe �ooding occurrence Severe storm occurrence Extension of protected areas Increased ocean acidi�cation Regulatory restriction of non-sustainable pesticides Regulatory restriction of non-sustainable fertilizers Lower clean water availability due to continously high water pollution Lower water availability for other ecosystem services Severe drought occurrence Reduced agricultural yields and water pollution Atmospheric pollution causing deterioration of ecosystem services Unmanaged waste disposal and soil pollution affecting habitats Severe wild�re occurrence Species decline due to excessive hunting Invasive species sprawl Animal disease outbreak Species decline due to genetic modi�cation Severe reduction in available �sh stock Pest outbreak Regulatory / market backlash against non-sustainable forestry N at ur e- re la te d � na nc ia l r is k sc en ar io Share of total commercial loans outstanding (%) 0 20 40 natural resource use and exploitation, and climate change. Further, governance is an important scenario driver, especially with respect to transition risk. Within the environmental risk dimension of the ESG framework on sustainability, nature-related risks complement and partly overlap with those risks associated with climate change. For example, this study found that two important nature-related risk factors to which Malaysian banks have exposure are: (1) imposition of more stringent climate policies and (2) efforts to preserve nature’s function as a store of CO2. However, there are highly relevant risk factors not directly related to climate change – including extensive water use, land use, and pollution other than GHGs. This report restricts itself to a ‘possibility range’ of nature-related risk scenarios. The reported scenarios are not projections of a business-as-usual scenario. They constitute a range of possible nature-risk scenarios for Malaysia. The materialization and degree of risk depends on vulnerability, likelihood of occurrence, and indirect impacts, which require further research. In general, the likelihood and financial consequences of specific nature- related risk scenarios are challenging to determine given the complexity, non-linearity, and endogeneity of causal relationships (Svartzman et al. 2021; NGFS 2021; Kedward et al. 2020). Likelihood of occurrence would depend on the current conditions of scenario relevant aspects such as natural assets or policy regulation as well as an uncertainty range, considering nature and policy related factors as well as shared socioeconomic pathways.70 There exists a wide range of models that could assess impacts of scenarios of drivers of biodiversity and ecosystem service-related issues (Kim et al. 2018; Lade et al. 2021; Schaphoff et al. 2018) but important knowledge gaps specifically with respect to economic and financial impacts remain (IPBES 2016). Studies on nature-related risks from diverse countries can help fill these gaps (See Box 3). See O’Neill et al. (2014) for discussion of shared socioeconomic pathways and their use.70 48 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 2 - Exposure Assessment Central banks around the world are increasingly beginning to investigate biodiversity and other nature-related impacts and dependencies of financial systems. Initial studies by central banks including the Netherlands (van Toor et al. 2020), France (Svartzman et al. 2021), and Brazil (Calice et al. 2021) were recently published. In each country, the studies indicate material exposures to risks resulting from biodiversity loss. Results from these countries are not necessarily directly comparable to those of Malaysia but are described here as additional context. This is due to differences in: 1) economic structures, 2) level of biodiversity (Brazil is classified as megadiverse like Malaysia but France and the Netherlands are not), 3) study scope and methodologies applied (only Malaysia looks at transition risk from ENCORE drivers of environmental impacts), and 4) scope of data used for the analysis (each study relied on the ENCORE database for data on ecosystem services, but in the Netherlands this covered not only banks’ corporate loan portfolio, as in Malaysia, but also other parts of the financial system). • The Netherlands: Van Toor et al. (2020) find that financial institutions have material exposures to risks resulting from biodiversity loss and that the sector finances companies that have an impact on biodiversity. Dutch financial institutions have provided EUR 510 billion in finance (36 percent of the portfolio of investments by Dutch financial institutions) to companies that are highly or very highly dependent on one or more ecosystem services. Financial institutions also have exposure of EUR 28 billion to companies operating in areas that are protected or that might come under protection and EUR 96 billion of investments in, or loans to, companies involved in environmental controversies with negative consequences for ecosystem services or biodiversity. • France: Svartzman et al. (2021) also find substantial exposures to biodiversity risks in its estimates of dependencies and impacts of the French financial system on biodiversity. 42 percent of the value of securities held by French financial institutions comes from issuers that are highly or very highly dependent on one or more ecosystem services. The accumulated terrestrial biodiversity footprint of these securities is comparable to the loss of at least 130,000 km² of “pristine” nature, which corresponds to the complete artificialization of 24 percent of the area of metropolitan France. • Brazil: Results in Calice et al. (2021) also suggest that exposures to biodiversity loss and related economic costs are material. 46 percent of Brazilian banks’ non-financial corporate loan portfolio is concentrated in sectors highly or very highly dependent on one or more ecosystem service. Output losses associated with the collapse in ecosystem services could translate into a cumulative long-term increase in corporate non-performing loans of 9 percentage points. 15 percent of Brazilian banks’ corporate loan portfolio is to firms potentially operating in protected areas, which could increase to 25 percent should conservation gaps close, and 38 percent should all priority areas become protected. Finally, 7 percent of corporate loans are to firms with recorded environmental controversies. BOX 3 Context for nature-related risks to the financial sector: Findings from the Netherlands, France, and Brazil 49An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Potential Actions to Address Nature-Related Financial Risks CHAPTER 3 50 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 3 - Potential Actions to Address Nature-related Financial Risks Based on the initial assessment on nature-related financial risks to the financial sector in Malaysia and the exposures identified, further steps could be considered by financial sector regulators and supervisors in Malaysia in tandem with its ongoing climate change initiatives to effectively manage nature-related financial risks. Although the discussion on nature-related financial risks is still at a nascent stage compared to climate-related financial risks, BNM, as part of its mandate to promote monetary and financial stability conducive to the sustainable growth of the Malaysian economy, could take a proactive approach to gradually build its internal regulatory and supervisory capacity in identifying, assessing, monitoring, and managing nature-related financial risks. Efforts to address nature-related financial risks could follow a similar roadmap as used to address climate-related financial risks, where BNM has adopted a phased strategy. Initial efforts could focus first on increasing awareness of nature-related financial risks and capacity building. Later efforts could enhance existing regulatory and supervisory measures, in line with the evolving global regulatory and supervisory good practices, to which BNM could also help contribute knowledge development and regulatory discourse on nature-related financial risks in the region and globally – as part of bodies such as the NGFS. Four domains where actions could be undertaken are: (1) Raising awareness, stakeholder engagement, and policy discourse on understanding nature-related financial risks, (2) Enhancing capacity building of relevant stakeholders, (3) Strengthening macroeconomic surveillance capacity and risk identification, and (4) Developing regulatory and supervisory requirements, described in further detail below.71 Actions are categorized according to intensity of effort, recognizing that resources are scarce in any central bank and trade-offs will need to be made in allocating resources to nature-related risks, particularly relevant during this COVID-19 period. While this report focuses on actions that are largely in the domain or sphere of influence of BNM as a central bank, it recognizes that national governments bear primary responsibility and have broader tools to address biodiversity loss and climate change in an integrated manner. Additional actions could be considered by other Malaysian authorities as the country moves towards a net-zero economy. For instance, the Ministry of Environment and Water could better coordinate alignment between upcoming climate policies, such as the Long-term Low Emissions Development Strategy, with the action plans and targets of the National Policy on Biological Diversity. Delineating nature-positive low carbon pathways would be an important step to avoid potentially negative trade-offs from climate mitigation strategies that could have detrimental impacts on biodiversity and ecosystem health (e.g., poorly designed low-carbon infrastructure or energy projects). Such broader efforts to promote integrated approaches to nature-related risks would lend greater impetus and impact to financial sector actions. 1. Raising awareness, stakeholder engagement, and policy discourse on understanding nature-related financial risks: • Socialize key themes from this report with key stakeholders: As part of the broader discourse in Malaysia on nature and biodiversity, and in parallel with other efforts to support climate action, BNM could socialize findings of this report with government agency stakeholders such as the Ministry of Environment and Water and the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources. BNM could also encourage engagement of state-level agencies and the broader community of non-government and financial sector professionals, including its supervised financial institutions. See also the recent World Bank report (2021c) for more universal recommendations on nature-related actions.71 51An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 3 - Potential Actions to Address Nature-related Financial Risks • Contribute to knowledge programs that raise awareness of nature-related financial risks: BNM could share its understanding of nature-related financial risks within knowledge programs on climate change and other relevant themes as part of its efforts to address emerging risks. • Advocate and work closely with the government to ensure nature-related financial risks are considered in relevant policies and investment decisions. Complementary actions could include encouraging the public and private sector to consider the value and price of ecosystem services and relevant policies in investment decisions. Natural capital accounting (as, for instance, proposed by the UN System of Environmental Economic Accounting)72 provides a more comprehensive stocktake of a country’s natural wealth (WB 2021a). It can support government, regulators, and private sector participants to better manage natural assets and inform investment and development decisions for conservation, restoration, and sustainable use of nature. • Encourage and support the government towards developing a cohesive national strategy to address nature-related risks along with climate change: Plans to address nature-related financial risks for the wider financial sector should be designed to leverage synergies with ongoing efforts for climate change. Coordinated efforts would support timely and smooth implementation and support effective prioritization amidst multiple competing priorities. It would also avoid unintended consequences such as detracting efforts from ongoing climate change implementation. 2. Enhancing capacity building of relevant stakeholders: • Expand capacity building and stakeholder engagement with key working groups for the financial sector: Existing capacity building and stakeholder engagement programs under the JC3 could be leveraged and expanded to include increased awareness of nature-related risks with other stakeholders. • Collaborate with key knowledge partners to build understanding and tools for nature-related financial risks. Further collaboration with conservation organizations, ecologists, and interdisciplinary academic researchers can help to strengthen understanding and tools for assessing nature-related risks. • Support development of incentives and instruments to mobilize private finance for the protection and management of biodiversity and ecosystem services. A key challenge is to attract private finance for the conservation of nature, particularly when financial returns to investment are low. Along with other stakeholders, BNM could support the development of short-term financial incentives for companies to implement their sustainability strategies or to drive nature-smart investments73 and disseminate relevant information on borrowers, incentives, and instruments for greater mobilization of private finance for protection and management of biodiversity and ecosystem services (see Box 4). • Provide financial sector perspectives to government to expand existing government grants/funds related to climate change to encompass goals relevant to protection of biodiversity and ecosystem services: Over time, BNM and other stakeholders could advocate expanding existing funds for mitigating the impacts of climate change to encompass goals that reduce nature-related risks. In addition, DFIs have https://seea.un.org/ A range of instruments to encourage private finance, including the sustainability linked loan tying interest rates to a company’s reduction of biodiversity impact and associated risk and incentives to bridge the gap between public and private financing, are discussed in the World Bank report, Mobilizing Private Finance for Nature (2020). 72 73 52 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 3 - Potential Actions to Address Nature-related Financial Risks One of the key issues hampering protection of nature in Malaysia has been the lack of funds available for habitat and species conservation activities. State governors are often landowners of key areas but have traditionally been reliant on revenues from natural resource extraction practices such as timber harvesting, mining, and agricultural development that can be detrimental to ecosystems. Governments and regulators can help harness the power of the financial sector to mobilize private finance at a scale to protect nature. The 2021 WB Report on Mobilizing Private Finance for Nature highlighted a set of ideas including: (1) environmental fiscal reforms: using reforms as part of COVID-19 crisis recovery plans, reforming agricultural subsidies and land ownership with detrimental impacts, (2) national data provision: supporting the integration of nature-related criteria in financial decisions by adopting national capital accounting practices and providing relevant data as a public good, (3) establishing a task force for nature-related financial disclosure (TNFD) (discussed in Box 5) to provide a framework for reporting and risk assessment, (4) identifying companies with the greatest negative impact on nature, and v) providing catalytic capital from multilateral development banks and government to funds and other financial instruments to finance nature. Financial incentives can help drive the transition to a nature-smart economy. For example, in 2019, Bunge, one of the world’s largest agricultural producers, took out its first sustainability- linked loan. The interest rate was tied to the company reducing its biodiversity impact and associated risks, namely increasing traceability for its main agricultural commodities, and adopting sustainable practices across its wider soybean and palm oil supply chain. These instruments have the potential to help drive the transition to a nature-smart economy by offering short-term financial incentives for companies to implement their sustainability strategies. Enabling financial infrastructure can also help green finance. In 2020, the Central Bank of Brazil launched the sustainability pillar of its strategic plan which included the creation of a Sustainable Rural Credit Bureau. This will be associated with the rural credit information system and contain information on farmers’ sustainable practices as part of efforts to mitigate social, environmental, and climate risks in the financial system. Rural credit beneficiaries can make information registered in the new system (replacing its existing rural credit and agricultural operations system) available to any interested party. Several of the 270 data fields collect and verify information on the environmental and sustainability practices of each operation. A set of parameters associated with the sustainability of rural projects will be prepared, which will allow agricultural policy makers to assess the possibility of granting additional incentives to the financing of these projects (Banco Central Do Brasil 2021). BOX 4 Mobilizing private finance for nature a mandate to support national development objectives and may show substantial exposure to nature- related financial risks. Given their proximity to government and status as regulated entities, their funding could also be leveraged to mobilize private capital towards green finance and provide a demonstration effect of how sustainable finance could be mainstreamed within their own operations. 53An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 3 - Potential Actions to Address Nature-related Financial Risks 3. Strengthening macroeconomic surveillance capacity and risk identification • Improve understanding of interacting factors between climate and nature-related financial risks: In the near-term, BNM could consider further developing its understanding of relevant scenarios, transmission channels, and modelling methodologies, while continuing to monitor exposures to nature-related risks periodically. This work could be informed by the developing global discourse on nature-related financial risks, and could also influence it, given Malaysia’s relatively unique status as a megadiverse country with high dependence on its ecosystem services. • Incorporate a basic concept of nature-related financial risks in existing plans for a surveillance framework on climate risks: This element could be incorporated where both risks have strong synergies, such as deforestation and disaster resilience, without requiring an additional surveillance framework related to nature-related risks. • Improve data collection relevant to managing nature-related financial risks: Stronger collaboration and coordination amongst interdisciplinary stakeholders such as ministries, regulators, the private sector, and academics and experts from economic and natural sciences disciplines can help to fill gaps in data needed to manage both climate and nature-related risks and support sharing of proprietary data, particularly at local levels. Specifically, this could focus on building capacity to provide data on economic impacts under different nature-related physical and transition risk scenarios (parallel to similar efforts on climate-related risks). This could help identify the risks and opportunities that are most relevant for Malaysia and complement the global data obtained from ENCORE. Government authorities could also establish centralized environmental databases (e.g., forest cover and protected area maps, emissions data, water stress maps, etc.) that are accessible and frequently updated as a public good to support wider monitoring efforts. This process could also leverage ongoing work by the JC3 subcommittee on data needs, which has undertaken a stakeholder consultation process to identify and prioritize the collection of climate data for uses such as exposure quantification, investment and lending decisions, and macroeconomic and financial stability modeling. Indicators on biodiversity are among the data that could be considered for prioritized collection. Building these data over time, not only for the banking sector, but also for non-bank financial institutions exposed to nature-related risks (e.g., insurance/takaful) could provide a clearer picture of nature-related risks in the financial system. • Consider nature-related financial risks as part of high-level reference scenarios for Malaysia: In the medium to long term, Malaysia could develop stress testing for nature-related scenarios alongside those being developed to examine climate-related risks. • Consider supervisory deep dives at select banks that are deemed at higher risk: These supervisory efforts could look at banks whose data indicates a greater level of risk, for example those who are financing activities in (future) protected areas. 54 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 3 - Potential Actions to Address Nature-related Financial Risks 4. Enhancing regulatory and supervisory guidance related to nature-related financial risks • Enhance existing guidance in relevant taxonomies and frameworks to include findings on nature- related financial risks: BNM could expand guidance for biodiversity or nature-related aspects in its CCPT (BNM 2021) and Value-based Intermediation and Impact Assessment Framework (VBIAF) (BNM 2019) to include more prominent considerations of nature-related financial risks. The CCPT adopts the principle of ’do no significant harm to the environment‘, which means that an economic activity must protect healthy ecosystems and biodiversity in order to satisfy the principle’s assessment criteria. Similarly, the ASEAN Taxonomy for Sustainable Finance has also recognized the protection of healthy ecosystems and biodiversity as a key environmental objective in its consultative draft. Guidance could be expanded, for example by incorporating the concepts of drivers of environmental impacts and dependencies on ecosystem services in the assessment process. • Signal expectations for supervised financial institutions to understand the most relevant nature- related financial risks faced by their institution: Based on the findings of this study, BNM could facilitate further analysis and deep dives on potential risk exposures that stand out or indicate baseline practices that could be adopted by financial institutions to identify high exposures to nature-related financial risks. • Enhance climate-related regulatory guidance on risk management and voluntary disclosures with specific aspects of nature-related financial risks: BNM could also consider efforts to enhance regulatory guidance on climate-related disclosures with voluntary disclosure guidance on nature-related financial risks, such as those being piloted by the TNFD (described in Box 5). • Communicate regulatory and supervisory expectations on managing nature-related financial risk along with climate change risks for supervised institutions: In the longer term, as diagnostics mature and international guidance develops, regulatory and supervisory expectations and requirements could be formulated in line with evolving good practices. For institutions that have high exposures to vulnerable sectors or regions, BNM could communicate additional expectations and include consideration of nature- related financial risks as part of the supervisory process. • Develop a monitoring system for new credit to be compliant with climate and nature-related regulations: Such a system could include mechanisms for checking whether business activities will take place in (future) protected areas. As described in Box 4, Brazil is developing a Sustainable Rural Credit Bureau which will be associated with the rural credit information system and contain information on farmers’ sustainable practices as part of efforts to mitigate social, environmental, and climate risks in the financial system. 55An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 3 - Potential Actions to Address Nature-related Financial Risks Following the global push for companies to disclose their climate-related risks and opportunities, momentum has recently been building behind the nature-related disclosure agenda. The TCFD four pillars framework has become the most used framework globally for corporations and other organizations disclosure on climate criteria. A TNFD was formally launched in June 2021 with the mandate to build a similar framework for nature. The mission of the TNFD is, “to develop and deliver a risk management and disclosure framework for organizations to report and act on evolving nature-related risks, which aims to support a shift in global financial flows away from nature-negative outcomes and toward nature-positive outcomes.” The TNFD has committed to working closely together with standard setting and disclosure mechanism bodies to promote global consistency for nature-related reporting, building upon the structure and foundation of the TCFD. The TNFD aspires to ensure the two frameworks will be comprehensive in their coverage of climate and nature-related financial risks, and complementary in their usability and adoption by market participants. The G7 Finance Ministers and G20 Sustainable Finance Roadmap have endorsed the TNFD, and the governments of Switzerland, the United Kingdom (UK), France, the Netherlands, and Australia are its funding partners. The TNFD will go through five phases of work from 2021 to 2023: Build, Test, Consult, Disseminate, and Uptake. According to its website, “The TNFD will not create a new disclosure standard, but rather establish and promote the adoption of an integrated risk management and disclosure framework that aggregates the best tools and materials.” The TNFD is taking an open innovation approach similar to the iterative innovation models used in the technology sector. The TNFD aims to share the initial high-level architecture of the framework shortly, to enable early pilot testing and consultation, and then evolve and develop the framework further with feedback from the market and relevant experts, given the complexity and urgency of the task of tackling nature-related risks. A beta version of the framework will be released in March 2022. The most explicit biodiversity disclosure requirements to date have been imposed by France. Article 173-VI of France’s Energy Transition and Green Growth Law, which went into effect in January 2016, requires investors to disclose how they factor ESG criteria and carbon-related aspects into their investment policies. The French Parliament amended Article 173 to require the disclosure of biodiversity impacts starting in 2021 (Ernst and Young 2017). This prompted French investors to start to develop better data on nature-related impacts and dependencies (Mirova 2020). Other European governments are following suit, including the UK, which pledged in its Green Finance Strategy (2019), to “work with international partners to catalyze market-led action on enhancing nature-related financial disclosures” (Her Majesty’s Treasury UK Government 2019). The DNB’s June 2020 report on risks to the financial sector from biodiversity loss calls for the development of a biodiversity risk disclosure framework (van Toor et al. 2020). The EU Taxonomy of Sustainable Activities also creates pressure for disclosure. Conservation and restoration of biodiversity and ecosystems is one of the categories of the taxonomy. Additionally, all investments under the taxonomy are required to ‘do no harm’ under its six categories of environmental objectives (European Commission 2020). BOX 5 Nature-related disclosure developments Source: Prepared by World Bank and TNFD secretariat staff 56 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia 57An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Conclusions CHAPTER 4 58 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 4 - Conclusions 4.1 Key Findings This report provides a first assessment of nature-related financial risks for the Malaysian banking sector, examining their lending exposure to businesses which depend on and impact nature and its ecosystem services. Nature-related financial risks for Malaysian banks are examined using a conventional risk management approach which focuses on risk identification, risk assessment, and risk mitigation with a focus on exposures to sectors at risk. Better understanding of nature-related risks is key to align capital allocation, including loan origination, with Malaysian and global sustainability goals. Better understanding of nature- related financial risks is also important for prudential supervision, to identify any emerging risks on the books of banks and other financial institutions. Nature-related risks in Malaysia center around the deterioration of natural assets and ecosystems tied to water use, climate regulation, GHG emissions, and deforestation, which could have implications for the Malaysian banking sector. • About 54 percent of Malaysian banks’ commercial lending portfolio could currently be exposed to physical risk, being highly or very highly dependent on well-functioning ecosystem services. Dependency on surface water (29 percent), climate regulation (26 percent), and flood and storm protection (16 percent) stand out specifically. At the same time, current banks’ lending portfolio allocation is also exposed to significant transition risk, if the government introduced unexpected nature-related policies or if consumer preferences were to change (both domestically and abroad). • About 87 percent of Malaysian banks’ commercial lending portfolio could currently be exposed to sectors that strongly impact ecosystem services, thus facing a higher level of transition risk. The strongest impact drivers in this analysis were GHG emissions (61 percent of total lending portfolio), water use (55 percent), and terrestrial ecosystem use (43 percent). Findings suggest substantial differences between individual banks in their exposure to sectors that depend highly on ecosystem services and that highly impact natural assets and ecosystem services. Those differences can be explained by different target sectors of lending which individual banks lend to; construction lending, for instance, is strongly dependent on surface water, climate regulation and flood and storm protection, and generally has strong environmental impacts via terrestrial ecosystem use, freshwater use, and GHG emissions. For ecosystem services, exposures to one or more highly or very highly dependent sectors range between 5 and 83 percent of the total commercial loan portfolio for individual banks. For environmental change, exposures to highly or very highly contributing sectors range between 28 and 100 percent. This indicates a necessity for more in-depth analysis of individual banks’ portfolio composition and assessment of respective implications for financial stability. Transition risk exposure from lending in potentially to-be-protected areas seems currently limited to less than 1 percent of outstanding loans in our sample, although limitations in the analysis, such as data restrictions, suggest this could be a conservative estimate. The analysis shows that most Malaysian bank loans are in areas that are already well developed. Less than one percent of Malaysian banks’ commercial lending portfolio (RM 329 million, USD 78 million) is estimated to go to firms in currently non-protected KBA. However, due to data limitations, this may be a somewhat conservative estimate and exposures may be higher. There may also be an important role for more indirect exposures through supply chain linkages among firms in and outside protected areas. Also, it could be important to monitor new loan origination practices towards both currently protected areas and areas that may become protected in the future. 59An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 4 - Conclusions This report develops a first set of twenty-one nature-related physical and seven transition risk scenarios, using ENCORE and stakeholder interviews, that show potentially high but heterogenous banking sector exposure. This serves as a ‘possibility range’ of potential nature-related risk scenarios and related banking sector exposure, given data and knowledge gaps in assessing likelihood and financial consequences. Scenarios with the highest banking sector exposure are those that would affect a wide range of sectors such as a general deterioration of ecosystem services: • Reduced ecosystem services due to continued high resource use, pollution, and urban sprawl: 44 percent of Malaysian banking sector’s commercial lending portfolio • Ecosystem service deterioration due to continued high rates of deforestation: 30 percent • Policies that could affect firms’ costs and business models in multiple sectors (sudden and unexpected climate policy introduction): 38 percent. The agricultural, forestry, and fishing sectors are exposed to almost every physical and transition risk scenario as they have a high and direct dependence on multiple ecosystem services. Some physical risk scenarios are expected to directly affect only a few sectors, which constrain banking sector exposure.74 This analysis indicates that the financial sector has an indirect, yet important, two-way relationship with nature. Recent research by the WB shows that significant benefits could emerge from aligning policy responses to the nature and biodiversity crisis, including economic stimulus as well as climate change mitigation and adaptation (Johnson et al. 2021). Banks’ lending behavior is an important determinant of the effectiveness of policies and of the degree to which nature-related risks could emerge. Their financing impacts the drivers of environmental change while being dependent on nature and its ecosystem services, constituting a double materiality (European Commission 2019, Oman and Svartzman 2021). Thus, banks’ lending behavior has an impact on their financial physical, transition, and liability risk exposures. By aligning their lending exposure to sectors and activities that benefit nature or do no harm, banks could in turn lower their risk exposure. In some cases, this could even increase economic and financial returns. For example, a WB study (2017) indicates that reducing overfishing and overcapacity by 40 percent, could result in more fish eventually being caught, allowing the recovery of more than USD 80 billion in “sunken billions” (loss of potential economic rents in global fisheries) while rebuilding the global fish stock. Those scenarios include amongst others “Reduced agricultural yields and water pollution due to intense agri- and aquaculture” (2.5 percent), “Animal disease outbreak” (0.8 percent), and “Severe reduction in available fish stock (0.7 percent). 74 The findings of this report could inform and facilitate further policy discussions to better understand the impacts of nature-related financial risks on the financial sector and economy. BNM, as financial regulator, could act as a central coordinator for a financial sector action plan, working closely with multiple stakeholders and in line with the government’s national biodiversity strategy. Further actions related to nature- related financial risks could be developed that are cohesive and integrated within its existing climate change strategy. These would consider: (1) national policy discussion and direction on nature-related risks, (2) further 4.2 Potential Actions to Address Challenges of Nature-Related Financial Risks 60 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 4 - Conclusions At the local level understanding is more advanced. 75 The exposure analysis conducted in this report is a step towards a fully-fledged nature stress-test. However, addressing certain limitations and knowledge gaps would require further research across multiple stakeholders from natural science, finance, the economy, and society. The analysis in this report can provide initial insights and a general understanding of potential risks that might become more likely in the future and that supervisors should consider within their financial stability mandate. More research is necessary to further refine exposure estimates from the ENCORE tool. A better understanding is needed of economic and financial vulnerabilities, scenario analysis needs to be refined, and methodologies are required to account for the economic and societal relevance of sectors beyond GDP and the share of financial exposure. While it is understood that some activities negatively affect nature and its ecosystem services (Oliver et al. 2015, Folke et al. 2016), it is unclear when and how this could result in severe economic and financial losses.75 Like in a Jenga game, where it is the players’ goal to remove a block from a tower in each round without making the tower fall, the ongoing pressure on nature reduces its resilience, threatening collapse. Cascading and feedback effects from interactions between different ecosystems could thereby amplify human impacts (Lade et al. 2020). Sudden shocks to ecosystem services could lead to strong economic and financial risks. They could also result in high-risk materialization, especially if economic vulnerability is high, if substitutes for economic production are expensive or non-existent, and damage to nature is irreversible. Beyond direct impacts, such as for the agricultural sector, indirect impacts could emerge via supply chains that could result in even larger economic and financial risks for the economy. Information is needed on the potential economic and societal relevance of certain sectors beyond their GDP share or direct financial sector exposure. Agriculture for instance constitutes a relatively small share of GDP and even smaller share of Malaysian banks’ lending; yet strongly reduced agricultural yields could have severe social implications on food security, and food imports might not be able to compensate for the decline. Social implications like this could emerge from the collapse of ecosystem services and could become a critical risk to the macroeconomy. The reported scenarios should be considered as a range of possible nature-related financial risk scenarios for Malaysia, whereas the materialization and degree of risk depends on vulnerability, likelihood of occurrence, and indirect impacts. The scenarios are not projections of a business-as-usual 4.3 Areas for Future Exploration development of nature-related financial risk methodologies and analyses, (3) progress of ongoing climate change initiatives and determined linkages with nature-related financial risks, and (4) evolving practices and standards from the global financial regulatory and supervisory community. Key areas for actions to manage nature-related financial risks include, (1) raising awareness and policy discourse, (2) enhancing capacity building of relevant stakeholders, (3) enhancing macroeconomic surveillance capacity and risk identification, and (4) developing regulatory and supervisory requirements. Section 3 and Figure 4 in this report depict recommended actions that could be considered by BNM (and relevant stakeholders such as ministries with responsibility for environmental issues, state-level agencies, and financial institutions) in more detail. Recommended actions differ by the level of policy intervention intensity, recognizing the need for prioritization in this challenging pandemic period. 61An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Chapter 4 - Conclusions scenario, but rather state the current financial exposure if the affected ecosystem services of this range of identified scenarios defaulted. Indeed, the likelihood and financial consequences of specific nature-related risk scenarios are challenging to determine given the complexity, non-linearity, and endogeneity of causal relationships (Svartzman et al. 2021; NGFS 2021; Kedward et al. 2020). Yet, an analysis of the main drivers of nature-related risks, such as land- and sea use change, nature use and exploitation, climate change, pollution, invasive species, governance, and policy uncertainty, indicates potential sources for nature-related financial risk scenarios. Several areas merit further analysis to support the identification and assessment of nature-related financial risks. Global nature and biodiversity work programs are progressing but started later than similar work on climate-related financial risks, and are both broader in scope and more complex in their causal relationships.76 Information is lacking on the likelihood and severity of adverse scenarios related to biodiversity loss as well as their economic and financial impact. The analysis in this report could also be complemented by the development of a comprehensive set of scenarios to be used in assessing nature-related financial risks and a better understanding of how scenarios lead to adverse economic and financial outcomes (e.g., transmission channels). Additionally, the development of models to understand the quantitative impact of scenarios and transmission channels on financial institutions, including banks and non-bank financial institutions, would enhance the knowledge of future risks to the financial system due to nature-related risks. For example, ENCORE identifies 21 different ecosystem services and 27 different drivers of environmental change. 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ENCORE thus allows a detailed assessment of the interactions of the economy with the natural environment and thus an exposure analysis of the Malaysian banking sectors’ commercial loan portfolio to potential nature-related physical and transition risks. ENCORE’s database consists of 86 business processes and 21 ecosystem services (see Appendix Table A4), such as clean and reliable supplies of water, carbon sequestration, and pollination. It further contains 11 impact drivers on nature and ecosystem services, such as terrestrial ecosystem use and GHG emissions (See Appendix Table A5). Data on outstanding commercial loans (unpublished) for the analysis was provided by BNM. The data covers 61 Malaysian banks (26 commercial banks, 16 Islamic banks, 10 investment banks, and 9 DFIs [6 regulated under the DFI Act and 3 not]) at the end of December 2020. The loan data is given at NACE Revision 2 at the 4-digit level. The commercial loans outstanding in the sample stands at RM 733 billion representing 90 percent of the total commercial loans portfolio. Table A1 summarizes the data sets that inform the analysis in this report. A.1 Methodology https://encore.naturalcapital.finance/en/explore77 Table A1: Underlying data for analysis in this report Type of Analysis Data sources Dependencies on Ecosystem Services • ENCORE (Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021) • BNM commercial loans data Impacts on Ecosystem Services • ENCORE (Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021) • BNM commercial loans data Activities in key biodiversity areas • Key biodiversity areas (IBAT) • Protected Areas (UNEP-WCMC 2021) • BNM postal-code based lending data for commercial non-residential and residential property purchase. Physical and transition risk scenarios • ENCORE (Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021) • BNM commercial loans data • Interviews • Additional reports and biophysical datasets Source: World Bank 69An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix The analysis follows closely the approach proposed by DNB (van Toor et al. 2020), consisting of several steps of data reclassification and remapping (Figure A1). Reclassification and remapping are needed to align sector classification of the lending data with sector classification used in ENCORE. Additionally, we extend the DNB analysis that focused on nature-related sectoral physical risk, by also assessing banks’ portfolio impacts on ecosystem services and natural assets. As such we can also examine sectoral transition risk exposure of Malaysian banks, using a similar methodology. First, we reclassify the banks’ lending data from NACE Revision 2 at the 2-digit level to business processes which are used in ENCORE. For the mapping we rely on the reclassification typology by DNB, as ENCORE only provides sectoral mapping from economic sectors given at the Global Industry Classification Standard to business processes. As several sectors could be linked to more than one business process, weights need to be assigned. We follow the DNB approach in assigning equal weighting according to the number of business processes. For instance, A2 “forestry and logging” would map to both, “large-scale forestry” and “small-scale forestry” and we assign each of the business processes a weight of 50 percent of lending that goes to “forestry and logging” (see Table A2). NACE REV2 Sector Business Process Weight A2 – Forestry and logging Large-scale forestry 0.5 Small-scale forestry 0.5 Following the DNB approach, we focus the analysis on relationships between economic sectors and ecosystem services with high or very high dependencies only, as the degradation of those ecosystem services is likely to have a strong detrimental impact on firms’ business processes. Likewise, we only consider linkages of economic sectors and drivers of environmental change with a high or very high impact. Second, we map business processes to dependencies on ecosystem services (physical risk) or impact drivers on nature loss (transition risk). Several business processes depend highly or very highly on more than one ecosystem service or affect nature highly or very highly via more than one impact driver. In those cases, we use equal weighting according to the number of ecosystem services for sectors. For example, for business processes (e.g., processed food and drink production) that highly or very highly depend on two ecosystem services such as surface water supply and climate regulation, for one RM of lending, half is allocated to surface water supply and half for climate regulation (Table A3). For assessing the exposure of Malaysian banks to individual ecosystem services (Figure 13 and Figure 17), an unweighted approach is applied. This attributes one RM for every RM of lending to the respective ecosystem service. This approach, however, does not allow us to add different ecosystem service dependencies in banks’ portfolios as the sum would exceed the original portfolio size. Table A2: Weighting example for mapping economic sectors to business process Source: World Bank 70 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Table A3: Weighting example for mapping business processes to ecosystem services Business Process Ecosystem Service Weight Unweighted Weighted Processed food and drink production Surface water 1 0.5 Ground water 1 0.5 Source: World Bank The reclassification allows us to map sectoral lending (NACE) to business processes in ENCORE which again are linked to ecosystem service dependencies (physical risk) or impact drivers (transition risk). Those, in turn, further affect natural assets such as species, habitats, and water. We show the nature- related physical and transition exposures of the Malaysian banks’ commercial lending portfolio in the following subsections with respect to natural asset dependencies and impacts and ecosystem service dependencies and impacts, most exposed economic sectors in Malaysian banks’ commercial lending portfolio, and the distribution exposure to impacts and dependencies amongst individual banks. Figure A1: Practical steps to assess sectoral physical and transition risk exposure Reclassifying and mapping data Setting weights for relative importance of ecosystem services Adjusting data structure to assess and plot exposure on several levels 1. 2. 3. Source: World Bank ENCORE is a global tool and thereby subject to several caveats. Ecosystem service dependencies and the state of the natural assets differ by country and require a geographical and sectoral context to refine the assessment provided by ENCORE. For instance, the dependency of construction sectors on flood and storm protection as an ecosystem service might depend on the prevalence of floods and storms in the specific country context. As such a global average, as applied by ENCORE, could over- or underestimate the dependency and impacts of specifics sectors. Furthermore, ENCORE focuses on direct nature-related impacts and dependencies for the various sectors of the economy. Thus, ENCORE can give a comprehensive view on the key first-order nature-related impacts and dependencies at the level of sectors of the economy. Estimates provided in the previous sections should however be considered as conservative, as the ENCORE tool only includes direct reliance of sectors on ecosystem services, whereas indirect dependencies that could stem from downstream supply chains are not captured. Furthermore, the currently applied equal weighting approach in case of multiple sector- or ecosystem service linkages, strongly influences the exposure results.78 Additional analysis is needed to contextualize and refine the analysis with respect to substitutability and adaptability options that could inform those weights by incorporating country specifics (see Table A2 and A3). The ENCORE analysis could be complementary to assessments of other key biodiversity-specific indicators at the local level and develop One could argue, however, that in absence of more detailed information on the production process of Malaysian firms, this approach is conservative as it caps the exposure towards one ecosystem service to its relative share of the entire lending portfolio. 78 71An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix an understanding of the cross-sectoral linkages of upstream and downstream value chains amongst different sectors. This combined approach could inform potential nature-related vulnerabilities of economic sectors of the Malaysian economy, that could become sources of financial risk for the Malaysian banking sector. The analysis in this report depicts the exposure of Malaysian banks to sectors that are potentially exposed to nature-related physical and transition risks. However, the analysis does not provide information on the potential economic and societal relevance of certain sectors. Agriculture for instance constitutes a relatively small share of GDP and even smaller share in Malaysian banks’ lending; yet strongly reduced agricultural yields could have severe social implications on food security, and food imports could potentially not compensate for the decline. Social implications like this could emerge from ecosystem service collapse and could become a critical risk to the macroeconomy, but go beyond the scope of this analysis. For the analysis of activities in KBA, we map postal code based lending data for commercial non- residential and residential property purchases (excluding household loans) to KBA (Figure A2). KBA could potentially be designated as protected in the future and it is thus relevant to see banks’ financial exposure to those areas. We use the IBAT, developed by the UN Environment Program World Conservation Monitoring Centre, International Union for Conservation of Nature, Conservation International, and Birdlife International, to compare the currently protected areas in Malaysia with KBA79 that are not yet protected. The gap between the protected areas and KBA we call “currently non-protected KBA” and is intended to provide a proxy for areas that could become protected in the future. For Malaysia as a whole, protecting those currently non-protected KBA would increase the share of protected areas of total land area to about 24 percent. However, KBA relevance is not equally distributed across Malaysian states (Figure 23). States such as Perak, Pahang, Kedah, and Selangor are biodiversity hotspots, with KBA making almost up to 50 percent of Perak’s land area for instance. While Malaysia has seen ambitious efforts in stepping-up protected areas since the 2000s (UNEP-WCMC 2021), a large share of KBA in Malaysian states is currently non-protected (see light blue bars in Figure 23 as a share of dark blue bars). As such, firms currently operating in those regions could be restricted, with implications for their financing banks. For the analysis we use (unpublished) postal code level commercial non-residential and residential property purchase lending data (excluding households) of Malaysian banks, provided by BNM. The sample comprises loans outstanding and the location of loan utilization as of December 2020 and covers about 5 percent of the overall commercial lending data sample. In the absence of geospatial datasets that could provide a postal code level resolution of areas in Malaysia, we rely on a workaround by assigning each postal code (at its centroid) a longitude and latitude coordinate80 that we transform into a coordinate reference system, in this case the WGS8481 format. During that exercise, some lending contracts had to be dropped, however, as no coordinates existed for the respective postal code in our dataset. We then compare if those postal code coordinates lie within the currently non-protected KBA areas to assess the financial lending exposure of Malaysian banks in those areas. This approach has limitations,82 resulting in the below reported spatial exposures being conservative estimates. KBA are defined to be sites that contribute significantly to maintain global biodiversity, in terrestrial and maritime sites (IBAT, 2021). This exercise was conducted manually using the dataset provided at https://www.back4app.com/database/back4app/zip-codes-all-countries-in-the-world/ malaysia-zip-code The WGS84 is a widely used coordinate reference system in geospatial mapping, often used in cartography, geodesy, and satellite navigation including GPS. It would benefit from the availability of postal code level shapefiles for Malaysia. 79 80 81 82 72 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix See Appendix Section 4 and 5 for details. 83 Figure A2: Practical steps to assess activities in Key Biodiversity Areas Source: World Bank Reclassifying and mapping data Assessing share of protected and non-protected KBA per state Matching datasets to assess spatial transition risk exposure 1. 2. 3. We also explore a first non-exhaustive set of nature-related risk scenarios for Malaysia (see Table A1). This is based on interviews (the conclusions of which are summarized in Section A5), datasets such as ENCORE and the WB Terrestrial Biodiversity Indicators, and publicly and non-publicly available reports from Malaysian stakeholders.83 They are, however, not projections of a business-as-usual scenario, but rather state the financial exposure if the affected ecosystem services of this range of identified scenarios would default. Similar to the University of Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership (2021) scenario classification, we categorize scenarios according to types of risk, driver of risk, and sectors, natural assets, and ecosystem services where the risk scenario would originate. Scenario types can be classified as posing physical risk (e.g., the depletion of fisheries) or transition risk (e.g., the creation of new protected areas). Transition risk scenarios can entail policies aiming to protect biodiversity (regulatory risk), technological changes, and changes in consumer preferences (including reputational risk). Both risk scenario types can have either local or nation-wide direct impact. Indirect impacts, which are not covered here, could induce spillovers to previously not directly affected regions. For physical risk scenarios, ENCORE provides affected natural assets and ecosystem services. This serves as a basis for assessing banking sector exposure to economic sectors that highly or very highly depend on those ecosystem services. It should be noted, however, that ENCORE only captures direct impacts from dependencies, whereas indirect impacts that could stem from supply chains or macroeconomic and financial feedback effects are not covered. Further, only impacts via affected ecosystem exposure are considered. For instance, typhoons might destroy production facilities and houses, however, this analysis only captures the exposure of the banking sector to firms that might be faced with deteriorated ecosystem services after a severe typhoon. Sectors that are likely to face a direct transition risk exposure are either classified according to ENCORE (e.g., in case of water regulation risks), according to the climate-policy relevant sector classification (Battiston et al. 2017) in case of a climate policy scenario, or with respect to informed and conservative author judgement (e.g., pesticide and fertilizer scenario). Given the novelty of the topic some data limitations exist. Those limitations include 1) bank lending data beyond non-financial corporations (e.g., households and financial sector institutions), 2) additional financial instruments such as equity, bonds, and sukuks, 3) data on financial exposure of other financial institutions than banks such as insurance companies or pension funds, 4) a higher financial data coverage of location specific lending and investments, 5) higher granularity of spatial data ideally at asset level, and 6) input-output data for capturing indirect financial exposure of economic sectors (e.g., manufacturing via mining). 73An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix A.2 ENCORE Definitions Table A4: List of ecosystem services included in the ENCORE database with their description No. Ecosystem Service Ecosystem service description 1 Animal-based energy Physical labor is provided by domesticated or commercial species, including oxen, horses, donkeys, goats, and elephants. These can be grouped as draught animals, pack animals, and mounts. 2 Bio-remediation Bio-remediation is a natural process whereby living organisms such as micro-organisms, plants, algae, and some animals degrade, reduce, and/or detoxify contaminants. 3 Buffering and attenuation of mass flows Buffering and attenuation of mass flows allows the transport and storage of sediment by rivers, lakes, and seas. 4 Climate regulation Global climate regulation is provided by nature through the long- term storage of carbon dioxide in soils, vegetable biomass, and the oceans. At a regional level, the climate is regulated by ocean currents and winds while, at local and micro-levels, vegetation can modify temperatures, humidity, and wind speeds. 5 Dilution by atmosphere and ecosystems Water, both fresh and saline, and the atmosphere can dilute the gases, fluids, and solid waste produced by human activity. 6 Disease control Ecosystems play important roles in regulation of diseases for human populations as well as for wild and domesticated flora and fauna. 7 Fibers and other materials Fibers and other materials from plants, algae, and animals are directly used or processed for a variety of purposes. This includes wood, timber, and fibers which are not further processed, as well as material for production, such as cellulose, cotton, and dyes, and plant, animal, and algal material for fodder and fertilizer use. 8 Filtration Filtering, sequestering, storing, and accumulating pollutants is carried out by a range of organisms including, algae, animals, microorganisms, and vascular and non-vascular plants. 9 Flood and storm protection Flood and storm protection is provided by the sheltering, buffering, and attenuating effects of natural and planted vegetation. 10 Genetic materials Genetic material is understood to be deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) and all biota including plants, animals, and algae. 11 Ground water Groundwater is water stored underground in aquifers made of permeable rocks, soil, and sand. The water that contributes to groundwater sources originates from rainfall, snow melts, and water flow from natural freshwater resources. 12 Maintain nursery habitats Nurseries are habitats that make a significantly high contribution to the reproduction of individuals from a particular species, where juveniles occur at higher densities, avoid predation more successfully, or grow faster than in other habitats. 13 Mass stabilization and erosion control Mass stabilization and erosion control is delivered through vegetation cover protected and stabilizing terrestrial, coastal, and marine ecosystems, coastal wetlands, and dunes. Vegetation on slopes also prevents avalanches and landslides, and mangroves, sea grass, and macroalgae provide erosion protection of coasts and sediments. 74 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix No. Ecosystem Service Ecosystem service description 14 Mediation of sensory impacts Vegetation is the main (natural) barrier used to reduce noise and light pollution, limiting the impact it can have on human health and the environment. 15 Pest control Pest control and invasive alien species management is provided through direct introduction and maintenance of populations of the predators of the pest or the invasive species, landscaping areas to encourage habitats for pest reduction, and the manufacture of a family of natural biocides based on natural toxins to pests. 16 Pollination Pollination services are provided by three main mechanisms: animals, water, and wind. Most plants depend to some extent on animals that act as vectors, or pollinators, to perform the transfer of pollen. 17 Soil quality Soil quality is provided through weathering processes, which maintain bio-geochemical conditions of soils including fertility and soil structure, and decomposition and fixing processes, which enables nitrogen fixing, nitrification, and mineralization of dead organic material. 18 Surface water Surface water is provided through freshwater resources from collected precipitation and water flow from natural sources. 19 Ventilation Ventilation provided by natural or planted vegetation is vital for good indoor air quality and without it there are long term health implications for building occupants due to the build-up of volatile organic compounds, airborne bacteria, and molds. 20 Water flow maintenance The hydrological cycle, also called water cycle or hydrologic cycle, is the system that enables circulation of water through the Earth’s atmosphere, land, and oceans. The hydrological cycle is responsible for recharge of groundwater sources (i.e. aquifers) and maintenance of surface water flows. 21 Water quality Water quality is provided by maintaining the chemical condition of freshwaters, including rivers, streams, lakes, and ground water sources, and salt waters to ensure favorable living conditions for biota. Source: ENCORE, Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021 75An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Table A5: List of impact drivers included in the ENCORE database with their description No. Impact Drivers Description 1 Disturbances Examples include decibels and duration of noise, lumens and duration of light, at site of impact. 2 Freshwater ecosystem use Examples include area of wetland, ponds, lakes, streams, rivers, or peatland necessary to provide ecosystem services such as water purification, fish spawning, areas of infrastructure necessary to use rivers and lakes such as bridges, dams, and flood barriers, etc. 3 GHG emissions Examples include volume of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6), Hydrofluorocarbons, (HFCs) and perfluorocarbons (PFCs), etc. 4 Marine ecosystem use Examples include area of aquaculture by type, area of seabed mining by type, etc. 5 Non-GHG air pollutants Examples include volume of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and coarse particulate matter (PM10), Volatile Organic Compounds, mono-nitrogen oxides (NO and NO2, commonly referred to as NOx), Sulphur dioxide (SO2), Carbon monoxide (CO), etc. 6 Other resource use Examples include volume of mineral extracted, volume of wild- caught fish by species, number of wild-caught mammals by species, etc. 7 Soil pollutants Examples include volume of waste matter discharged and retained in soil over a given period. 8 Solid waste Examples include volume of waste by classification (i.e., nonhazardous, hazardous, and radioactive), by specific material constituents (e.g., lead, plastic), or by disposal method (e.g., landfill, incineration, recycling, specialist processing). 9 Terrestrial ecosystem use Examples include area of agriculture by type, area of forest plantation by type, area of open cast mine by type, etc. 10 Water pollutants Examples include volume discharged to receiving water body of nutrients (e.g., nitrates and phosphates) or other substances (e.g., heavy metals and chemicals). 11 Water use Examples include volume of groundwater consumed, volume of surface water consumed, etc. Source: ENCORE, Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021 76 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Table A6: List of drivers of environmental change included in the ENCORE database with their description No. Driver of environmental change Description 1 Diseases Harmful pathogens and microbes that are originally found within the ecosystem(s) in question, but have become “out-of-balance” or “released” directly or indirectly due to human activities. 2 Droughts Periods in which rainfall falls below the normal range of variation. 3 Earthquakes Earthquakes manifest themselves by shaking and displacing or disrupting the ground. They may also cause associated events such as tsunamis, landslides, or even volcanic activity. 4 Fire Suppression or increase in fire frequency and/or intensity outside of its natural range of variation. 5 Flooding Extreme precipitation events leading to the submergence of dry land. 6 Landslides Landslide events leading to geological changes. 7 Habitat modification Major changes in habitat composition and location, for example deforestation. 8 Human modification of genetic material Human altered or transported organisms or genes. 9 Human movement Migration by people from one place to another with the intentions of settling, permanently or temporarily in a new location. 10 Industrial or domestic activities Non-agricultural human activities including non-consumptive use of resources. 11 Industrial or domestic construction Process of constructing a building or infrastructure for industrial or domestic purposes. 12 Intensive agriculture and aquaculture Threats from farming and ranching as a result of agricultural expansion and intensification, including silviculture, mariculture, and aquaculture (includes the impacts of any fencing around farmed areas). 13 Invasive species Harmful plants, animals, pathogens, and other microbes not originally found within the ecosystem(s) in question and directly or indirectly introduced and spread into it by human activities. 14 Ocean acidification Changes to the ocean chemistry which occurs when carbon dioxide is absorbed from the atmosphere and reacts with seawater to produce acid. 15 Ocean current and circulation Large scale movement of waters in the ocean basins. 16 Overfishing The harvesting of aquatic wild animals or plants at a rate that is greater than their capacity for regeneration. Harvesting can occur for commercial, recreation, subsistence, research, or cultural purposes, or for control/persecution reasons; accidental mortality/bycatch are also included. 17 Overharvesting The harvesting of plants, fungi, trees, and other woody vegetation, and other non-timber/non-animal products at a rate that is greater than their capacity for regeneration. The harvesting can occur for commercial, recreation, subsistence, research or cultural purposes, or for control reasons. 18 Overhunting The killing or trapping of terrestrial wild animals or animal products at a rate that is greater than their capacity for regeneration. The killing or trapping can occur for commercial, recreation, subsistence, research, or cultural purposes, or for control/persecution reasons; includes accidental mortality/bycatch. 77An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix No. Driver of environmental change Description 19 Pests Harmful plants or animals that are originally found within the ecosystem(s) in question, but have become “out-of-balance” or “released” directly or indirectly due to human activities. 20 Pollution Threats arising from the introduction of contaminants into the natural environment. 21 Population changes Changes in species populations over time and space. 22 Sea level rise Increase in global mean sea level as a result of an increase in the volume of water in the world’s oceans or heat dilation. 23 Sea surface temperature Periods in which sea surface temperatures exceed or go below the normal range of variation. 24 Storms Extreme precipitation and/or wind events. 25 Volcanoes Volcanic events which may lead to changes in natural capital assets. 26 Water abstraction Changing water flow patterns from their natural range of variation due to human activities. 27 Weather conditions Weather conditions outside of the natural range of variation. Source: ENCORE, Natural Capital Finance Alliance 2021 A.3 Reputational Risk Malaysian banks could also be exposed to reputational risk arising from financing companies whose operations negatively impact the country’s biodiversity and the ecosystem services it sustains. The UEBT Biodiversity Barometer (UEBT 2020), an annual survey on biodiversity awareness which has surveyed more than 74,000 people since 2009, shows that consumer awareness of biodiversity has increased consistently over the last decade (see Figure A3) (UEBR 2020). This trend is likely to continue as policymakers are increasingly seeking to harness the power of civil society in reversing the biodiversity loss and its impact on ecosystems, species, and people. For instance, the first target of Malaysia’s National Policy on Biological Diversity 2016-2025 is to raise the awareness of biodiversity among Malaysians and the steps they can take to conserve and use it sustainably (MyBIS 2016). Reputation loss could translate into lower revenues and profits for firms engaging in controversial activities as customers might prefer more sustainable products. Most controversies with respect to biodiversity and land-use are related to agricultural products as shown by the MSCI ESG Controversies database (see Figure A4),84 of which 7 are recorded for Malaysia, all with respect to biodiversity loss and land-use change (see Figure A5). Banks that finance controversial firms could also lose reputation themselves, impacting banks’ customer and investors’ relations.85 Both firm and banks’ reputation loss, could pose financial risks for Malaysian banks (NGFS 2021). The MSCI ESG Controversies database records the instances of negative environmental impact resulting from a company’s product or operations. See https:// www.msci.com/documents/1296102/1636401/ESG_Controversies_Factsheet.pdf/4dfb3240-b5ed-0770-62c8-159c2ff785a0 for the methodology. The annual fossil fuel finance report by a group of NGOs, which states fossil fuel financing activities of the largest banks globally and receives a lot attention, is an example of potential reputational concerns with respect to climate change (RAN et al. 2021). 84 85 78 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Figure A3: Awareness of biodiversity among surveyed individuals in the UEBT Biodiversity Barometer Source: Based on UEBT Biodiversity Barometer Figure A4: Number of controversies globally as reported in MSCI ESG Controversy Database Source: Based on MSCI ESG Controversy Database 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 2009 2012 2015 2020 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Other Sectors Diversi�ed Chemicals Electric Utilities Steel Construction & Engineering Multi-Sector Holdings Paper Products Trading Companies & Distributors Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals Diversi�ed Metals & Mining Independent Power Producers Packaged Foods & Meats Gold Agricultural Products Red Orange Yellow 79An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix A.4 Drivers of Nature-Related Financial Risk Scenarios in Malaysia This section provides an overview of relevant data regarding the drivers of nature-related financial risk scenarios in Malaysia. The IPBES (2019) identifies five main drivers of biodiversity and nature loss, namely land- and sea use change, natural resource use and exploitation, climate change, pollution, and invasive species. Furthermore, governance and policy uncertainty can drive transition risk scenarios as well as physical risk scenarios. The following subsections shed a light on selected aspects of those different drivers of nature- related financial risks based on insights from stakeholder interviews as well as global and local nature and biodiversity datasets for Malaysia. This is intended to provide an initial assessment of the risk materiality of nature-related financial risks for the Malaysian banking sector. A.4.1 Land and Sea Use Change Land use change in Malaysia strongly impacts forest and peatland cover in Malaysia. Between 2000 and 2019, large areas around the coast of Sarawak, Johor, and Pahang saw significant losses in rain forest (Figure A6)86 often cleared to set up oil palm plantations (Figure 21). In three decades between 1975 and 2005, Malaysia lost 4.6 million hectares of forest cover, a 20 percent reduction of forest land (Wicke et al. 2011). According to Global Forest Watch, Malaysia lost 29% of its tree cover between 2001 and 2020, releasing 4.82Gt of CO2e emissions (Global annual CO2 emissions stand at 33Gt in 2021 according to the International Energy Agency, 2021). 86 Figure A5: Number of controversies linked to biodiversity and land use for different sectors in Malaysia as reported in MSCI ESG Controversy Database Source: Based on MSCI ESG Controversy Database Red Orange Yellow 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Casinos & Gaming Construction & Engineering Agricultural Products 80 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix https://www.worldwildlife.org/stories/endangered-species-threatened-by-unsustainable-palm-oil-production https://www.100jutapokok.gov.my/ The MSA compares the actual abundance of native species in an ecosystem with the theoretical ‘original state’ of that ecosystem without any disturbance from human activities. 87 88 89 Further, between 1990 and 2005, about 55 percent expansion of palm oil, the biggest agricultural export of Malaysia, came at the expense of the forests- mostly species-rich and carbon-rich tropical forests (Koh et al. 2008). This widespread replacement of natural forests with monoculture palm plantations has reduced the overall plant diversity and threatened many animal species dependent on such forests including orangutans and Bornean elephants.87 The growth in oil palm plantations has also been responsible for a considerable loss of mangroves in Malaysia, estimated to be 2.8 percent of the total mangrove habitat area between 2000 and 2012 (Richards et al. 2016). This loss of mangroves may lead to a weakened natural protection against cyclones and tsunamis (Alongi 2008). Certain regions, especially in Sarawak and Sabah, have been reforested thanks to strong efforts of private and public initiatives in Malaysia with the 100 million tree-planting campaign expected to provide another push.88 At the same time, forests are also an important habitat for species, thus supporting biodiversity, which is typically lower in reforested areas as compared to primary forests (Cunningham et al. 2015). Agriculturally driven land-use change, especially when planting monocultures such as oil palms, could increase the risk for agricultural productivity and stability, especially with respect to pollinator dependence (Aizen et al. 2019). Figure A6: Forest cover, forest loss, and forest gain between 2000 and 2019 in Malaysia Source: Based on Hansen et al. 2015 and Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021 Malaysia is home to some of the world’s most important biodiversity hotspots, whereas ecosystems and species are increasingly coming under pressure. Mean species abundance (MSA) is an indicator that measures the local terrestrial biodiversity intactness, for which we use estimates from the GLOBIO model (Schipper et al. 2019).89 MSA differs strongly across Malaysian regions. Regions with intact or protected rainforest show high MSA, meaning that human pressures such as land use, road disturbance, fragmentation, hunting, atmospheric nitrogen deposition, and climate change are limited. Also, a continued growth in the quarrying of limestone has come at the cost of an excessive exploitation of karsts- biodiversity reservoirs that can restock degraded environments (Clements et al, 2006). Limestone is a key ingredient in the production of cement, of which Malaysia is the fifth largest exporter in the world (WITS 2021). Urban regions such as Kuala Lumpur and regions that have a large cultivated agricultural sector such as palm oil (e.g., Johor) show low values of MSA (Figure A7a), meaning that pressures on biodiversity are high. Forest cover Forest loss (2000 - 2019) Forest gain (2000 - 2012) 81An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Endangered species risk, stemming from the WB’s terrestrial biodiversity indicators, also differs across regions. Regions in the North of Peninsular Malaysia show highest numbers of endangered species (Figure A7b) because they host some of the most biodiverse rainforests, while at the same time facing strong land use change pressures. Land conversion from forests to crop land or oil palm plantations has been particularly high in those regions in recent years (growth in oil palm plantation area between 2018 and 2020 4 percent for Pahang, 8 percent for Kelantan, and 6 percent for Terengganu (MPOB 2021), see Figure 21 for a map of current extent of oil palm plantations in Malaysia). The rainforests in Sarawak and Sabah on Borneo are still relatively untouched, showing a high MSA and having a lower number of endangered species. Sabah also shows the largest state area share that is currently protected (Figure 22a), followed by Pahang, with large areas of its rainforests in the North being protected. In total about 13 percent of Malaysian state area is currently protected, according to data from UNEP-WCMC (2021), falling potentially short of a 30x30 goal that is currently being discussed internationally. The percentage of area protected varies across states, however. Some endangered species hotspots, such as Kedah and Kelantan, currently show only limited area protection, indicating potential regions that could see protected area expansion efforts in the future. Figure A7: a) Mean species abundance in 2015 by district in Malaysia b) Number of endangered species 2019 by district in Malaysia Source: Based on Schipper et al. 2019 (Globio), WB Terrestrial Biodiversity Indicators (2019), and Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 82 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Several nature-related financial physical and transition risk scenarios could be driven by land- and sea use change and the accompanying loss in ecosystems and species (Table A7). Scenarios with highest banking sector loan exposure are urban sprawl (44 percent) and deforestation (30 percent) by inducing ecosystem service reduction. Further, reduced availability of timber (16 percent) as well as severe flooding occurrence (10 percent) as trees and mangroves cannot provide flood and storm protection show a high exposure of Malaysian banks. Further, transition risk scenarios such as an expansion of protected areas (8.4 percent) or stronger forestry regulation (0.7 percent) show a high potential risk exposure of the Malaysian banking sector. A.4.2 Natural Resource Use and Exploitation Continuous overexploitation of renewable and non-renewable resources such as fisheries, timber, and mineral extraction could drive certain nature-related financial risk scenarios. By 2030, six additional inhabitants are expected in Malaysia, whereas the urbanization rate is expected to increase from 76 percent in 2017 to 86 percent in 2050 (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). In the past, population growth and urbanization, were accompanied by higher infrastructure needs and consumption levels, increasing the terrestrial footprint in Malaysia (Figure A8). Mineral extraction is also expected to increase further in the next decade to support the construction and industry sectors (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). Furthermore, Malaysia has experienced a strong growth in non-metallic mineral extraction such as sand and gravel between 2015 and 2019. Silica sand and sand, for instance, have significant impacts towards river morphology, as well as sensitive freshwater and wetland ecosystems (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). As such, those activities would need to be accompanied by careful measures for ecosystem and nature protection, to avoid the materialization of nature-related risk scenarios such as “Reduced ecosystem services due to continued high resource use, pollution, and urban sprawl”. Fish stock is already relatively stretched in Malaysia with a deteriorating trend that could eventually lead to a fish stock collapse if current patterns continue. Figure A8: Change in Malaysian terrestrial footprint between 2000 and 2013 by district. Source: Based on UN Biodiversity Lab90, Venter et al. 2016, and Williams et al. 2020, Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021 Note: The terrestrial human footprint entails several granular and recent bottom-up survey information data sets to measure direct and indirect human pressures on the environment (built environments, population density, electric infrastructure, crop lands and pasture lands, roads, railways, and navigable waterways). Footprint scores range from 0-50, whereas here the net change between 2000 and 2013 is shown for Malaysia. A value of five thus means that the terrestrial human footprint increased by a score of five between 2000 and 2013. https://unbiodiversitylab.org/90 1 5 4 3 2 0 83An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix The nature-related financial risk exposure analysis shows a strong impact (about 15 percent) and high dependency (about 30 percent) on water. Similarly, a water-related financial risk scenario, either due to higher water pollution or stricter water regulation, shows a strong exposure of the Malaysian banking sector with about 17 percent of its lending portfolio. Specifically, the real estate and construction sectors strongly depend on the services provided by surface water, ground water, and water flow maintenance for operability. In recent years, Malaysia water consumption levels have steadily increased, from 6.4 million liters per day in 2015 to 6.8 million liters per day in 2019 (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). The strong use and pollution of water has implications for the water cycle that could potentially lead to an overall deterioration of its availability and usability for ecosystem services provisioning. Population growth could further increase consumption levels and growing climate change could impact currently stable irrigation patterns. In 2030, the World Resource Institute Aqueduct model projects some districts in Malaysia to have a threefold water stress level compared to today if no measures are taken (Figure A9). In response, the Malaysia government might increase water extraction and storage facilities, which could again feed back onto ecosystems and biodiversity, especially freshwater communities. Nature-related financial physical risk scenarios that could specifically be susceptible to overexploitation of resources are urban sprawl (potentially affecting 44 percent of Malaysian bank lending) and deforestation (30 percent) by inducing ecosystem service reduction (Table A7). Further, severe timber reduction (16 percent), reduced water availability (6 percent), and reduced agricultural yields (2.5 percent) could pose financial risk exposure in case of continued overexploitation. Figure A9: Aqueduct Malaysia water stress projections in 2030 Source: Based on WRI2021, Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 C ha ng e in w at er s tr es s in 2 03 0 84 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix A.4.3 Climate Change The rich vegetation in Malaysia also provides an important ecosystem service for climate regulation by sequestering large amounts of carbon; however, forest loss and conversion of peatlands in the past 20 years has reduced this potential. The loss of 29 percent of Malaysia’s forest cover between 2000 and 2020 alone released 4.8Gt of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) emissions.91 Currently about 17 percent of Malaysian banking sector’s lending portfolio depends on climate regulation, thus posing a strong financial risk if this ecosystem service deteriorates. Especially the rainforests in Perak, Pahang, and Kelantan as well as on Borneo stand out as storages for carbon with their large area shares of rainforests. Further, the peatland areas of Selangor, Pahang and Sarawak are important sources for carbon storage (Page and Rieley 2018). Converted land for crops and oil palm plantations, however, has less carbon storage potential (Figure A10), especially in states such as Johor and the Southern districts of Pahang, that host some of the country’s largest oil palm plantation areas. Figure A10: Vegetation carbon storage by district in Malaysia Global annual CO2e emissions stand at 33Gt in 2021 according to International Energy Agency, 2021. CO2 emissions per capita in Malaysia increased from 5.2 tons CO2e in 2000 to 7.6 tons CO2e in 2018 (Climate Watch, 2020) https://aries.integratedmodelling.org/aries-for-seea-explorer/ 91 92 Source: Based on UN System of Environmental-Economic Accounting (SEEA) 202192 and Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 Nature also plays an important role for flood and storm protection, on which more than 5 percent of commercial lending in Malaysia depends. Especially sectors such as construction, telecommunication, and electricity provision are sensitive to disruptions from extreme weather events, that could be moderated by intact rainforests and mangroves. Mangroves, covering more than half a million hectares of vast shoreline in Malaysia, offer protection from waves and tsunamis and can prevent shoreline erosion (Alongi, 2008). Flood and storm protection become even more relevant with growing climate change as it is expected to lead to higher intensity and frequency of extreme weather events such as flooding and cyclones (IPCC, 2021). According to data by the ThinkHazard! Platform developed by the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery, large parts of Malaysia are especially prone to flooding risk, including river (Figure A11a) and urban flooding risk (Figure A11b), potentially posing a risk to the financial sector. Coastal flooding (Figure A11c) is at high risk at the Eastern Coast of Peninsular Malaysia and in South Sarawak. Already over the past decades, the frequency and extremity of flood events have increased in Malaysia, with more expected given ongoing climate change (World Bank Group/Asian Development Bank 2021). The northeastern coast of Peninsular Malaysia and the East 85An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Figure A11: a) River flood risk in Malaysia by district b) Urban flood risk in Malaysia by district c) Coastal flood risk in Malaysia by district High Medium Low Very low No data High Medium Low Very low No data High Medium Low Very low No data 86 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix https://thinkhazard.org/en/report/153-malaysia93 A.4.4 Pollution Pollution from run-off and pesticides from agriculture, untreated waste, industry and mining pollutants, oil spills, and plastics is an ongoing issue in Malaysia (see Figure 10), posing increasing pressures on the health of its ecosystems and a potential risk for the Malaysian banking sector. Malaysian banks have a direct exposure between 2 and 44 percent of their loan portfolio to pollution related financial risk scenarios. Ongoing pollution could thus pose a risk for the Malaysian financial sector, if certain tipping points for ecosystem health (e.g., atmosphere, forests, freshwater) are crossed. Malaysia’s waste management systems are currently inadequate for dealing with the amount of waste produced (Kaza et al., 2018), particularly plastic waste (Chen et al. 2021). About 85 percent of solid waste is currently put into sanitary and unsanitary landfill sites (Chen et al. 2021). Plastic is a particular issue, especially as Malaysia is the world’s largest plastic importer since 2017 (Chen et al. 2021). Plastic waste is rarely recycled, but often burned illegally, resulting in the release of toxic substances (Timbuong and Tang, 2019). The Malaysian government has introduced several policies of Borneo are also strongly exposed to cyclone risk (Figure A11d). Climate change also impacts biodiversity and ecosystems through regular coral bleaching occurrences, changes in ecosystem structure and function and altered species distribution (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). Nature-related financial physical risk scenarios that could specifically be susceptible to climate change impacts are reduced ecosystem service (44 percent). This could be a slow but steady process (Table A7). Climate change affects ecosystems either abruptly or chronically, which could deteriorate their ability to sustain ecosystem services. As such climate change could drive nature-related financial risk scenarios such as an increase in sea surface temperature (16 percent), changed ocean current and circulation (16 percent), severe flooding occurrence (10 percent), severe cyclone occurrence (9 percent), and increased ocean acidification (8 percent). d) Cyclone risk in Malaysia by district Source: Based on ThinkHazard! 2021,93 and Humanitarian Data Exchange 2021 High Medium Low Very low No data 87An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix to address this problem, such as issuance of plastic waste import permits; however, insufficient solid waste management remains one of the main environmental problems in Malaysia (Moh and Manaf, 2017). Water pollution in combination with increasing water consumption threatens freshwater abundance in Malaysia. Main sources of water pollution in Malaysia are urban, agricultural, and forest land use (Camara et al. 2019). Furthermore, aquaculture or fertilizer runoff can contribute to eutrophication which can lead to lower species richness and biodiversity as it affects fish and other aquatic organisms (Er et al. 2018). Air pollution has increased in Malaysia with industrial expansion that released many harmful particles into the atmosphere (Usmani et al. 2020). Recently haze has also become a prevalent issue in Malaysia stemming from forest fires in Malaysia and Indonesia, with significant effects on air quality (Mead et al., 2018). Air pollution threatens ecosystems such as species and forests. However, it also poses a direct threat to humans, with 6.4 million deaths in 2016 attributed to air pollution worldwide (WHO 2017) and strong human health impacts in Malaysia (Qureshi et al. 2015). Continuously high levels of pollution could eventually be a driver of nature-related financial risk scenarios with a considerable potential risk exposure for Malaysian banks. Potential scenarios could be a reduction in ecosystem services due to continued high resource use, pollution, and urban sprawl (44 percent), increased ocean acidification (8 percent), lower clean water availability due to continuously high-water pollution (7.1 percent), unmanaged waste disposal and soil pollution strongly affecting productivity of habitats (2.4 percent), and atmospheric pollution causing deterioration of ecosystem services (1.7 percent). A.4.5 Invasive Species and Diseases Invasive species are another IPBES identified driver of nature-related financial risk scenarios in Malaysia. The spread of invasive alien species can have detrimental impacts for nature, humans, animals, and plants, while also posing risks for the economy and financial sector. Globalization and accompanying trade and tourism increase, as well as growing climate change, caused higher numbers of invasive species (MyBIS 2018). Malaysia Biodiversity Information System (MyBIS) provided in its 2018 list of invasive alien species an overview of potential threats. For instance, S. molesta is a water plant that affects aquatic ecosystems by weaving themselves into a thick, floating mat, which blocks oxygen and light from the water. As a result, this pest could threaten cultivated aquatic crops and potentially clog irrigation and drinking water lines. Another example is the red palm weevil disease, which strongly impacts the Malaysian coconut industry. Infected palms need to be removed and replanted, causing high economic costs. Furthermore, some diseases such as foot and mouth disease might directly affect animals, having a devastating impact on individual farmers and the rural community. Malaysia is aware of the invasive species and disease threat and is developing strategies for containing potential risks (MyBIS 2021), however, as the example of COVID-19 demonstrated, such diseases can spread quickly around the globe. Sectors such as agriculture, forestry, and aquaculture could be strongly impacted in such scenarios, exposing the Malaysian banking sector to potential financial risk. Nature-related financial risk exposure of Malaysian banks to potential invasive species driven scenarios such as invasive species sprawl (1 percent) and species decline due to human genetic modification (0.7 percent) is relatively low. However, in a globalized world invasive species and diseases could spread relatively quickly around the globe thus being a quite likely scenario. 88 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix A.4.6 Governance Issues Governance challenges could be a driver of nature-related financial risk scenarios. Conflicting priorities across national policies and the state development agenda as well as restricted capacity and capability of enforcement and implementation could hinder effective policies to avoid physical risk materialization. Furthermore, lack of clarity around accountability and responsibility could pose transition risk as an orderly implementation of policies could be impeded. The implementation of strict forestry policies and regulation as a scenario could for instance cause severe risks for Malaysian banks (0.7 percent) in case of an uncoordinated and sudden implementation. The Malaysia 2020 Forestry Policy could serve as an example. This aims to regulate forest management in the three major regions of Malaysia; yet it currently lacks an effective implementation framework (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). Each region in Malaysia has its own administrative framework and jurisdiction which hinder effective monitoring and cross-checking to ensure parity of efforts across different regions. Sabah Forest Policy, for example, highlights specific land area commitments for conservation and protected area management, while Peninsular Malaysia and Sarawak policies provide less detail. This could result in unbalanced expectations and responsibilities to achieve the country’s target of preserving at least 50 percent of total forest cover spread across the three regions (ERE Consulting Group, 2021). Governance issues can be a driver for several nature-related financial risk scenarios with a high exposure of Malaysian banks. Those scenarios entail all transition risk scenarios such as “sudden and unexpected climate policy introduction” (38 percent), “regulatory restriction of water pollution” (17 percent), “sudden increase in the price of water (removal of subsidies / market dynamics) (17 percent)”, “extension of protected areas” (8 percent), and regulatory restriction of non-sustainable pesticides and fertilizers” (7.4 percent) as the design, implementation, and enforcement of policies could be a significant driver of transition risk. In contrast, orderly introduced policies might lead to lower transition risk as firms and banks can anticipate potential policy implications. A.4.7 Policy Uncertainty Erratic and contradictory policy and regulatory signals by the government could increase policy uncertainty. Policy uncertainty is another driver of nature-related financial risk scenarios as it can impede firms from implementing transformative changes in business operations to reduce their nature impacts. Costly and long-term strategies might not be pursued, which could increase physical risk likelihood as current highly impacting business models are continued and transition risk, as no preparation has been conducted in case of sudden nature-related policy introduction. 89An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Engagements with local environmental specialists from government and non-governmental organizations were conducted to get a more complete understanding of nature-related financial risks impacting Malaysia’s financial system. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with several key stakeholders including a government ministry, a government agency, two non-governmental organizations and a research firm.94 The main objectives of the interviews were to obtain insights from the key stakeholders on (1) the preliminary findings of the report, (2) potential policy changes that may impact transition risk, and (3) relevant on-going research and initiatives that could further contribute to the analytical understanding of this study. The feedback received from the stakeholders is broadly summarized as follows: • At the policy level, focus on nature-related risks and their impacts to the economy and people is garnering increased interest at the federal-level as well as at certain state-level where nature- related businesses have a significant impact. While policies, including legislations and regulations to manage nature-related resources can be considered comprehensive, policy implementation coordination at the ministerial-level and state-level could be deemed fragmented and hence limiting the implementation effectiveness. Malaysia’s recognition as a highly biodiverse country attracts strong stakeholder activism and financial support by both local and international activists, which plays a critical role in policy implementation oversight. • Quantification and modelling of economic costs of nature-related loss to the economy and people are limited. One of the key action plans under the National Biodiversity Action Plan 2016-2025, is establishing the necessary tools and mechanisms to facilitate the recognition of the economic value of biodiversity and ecosystem services. From the reported 456 studies that estimated economic values 86 percent of them are in relation to the forest ecosystem.95 Implementation of payment for ecosystem services (PES) is also limited with one example being payment for watershed services implemented in the state of Perak. In terms of scenario validation, nature and climate-related events are being monitored by relevant ministries but are yet to be used in any economic modelling for policy decision-making purposes. • Limited data availability and data sharing amongst key stakeholders may hamper the development of a more robust multidisciplinary research program that is necessary for Malaysia’s capacity building. Local nature-related data are mostly proprietary in nature generated by both public and private actors. However, the availability of these data to the public differs greatly by type of ecosystems. For example, data on forest ecosystems are more widely available compared to water services. Based on the observations above, addressing nature-related financial risks may present unique challenges to financial sector players, particularly with respect to understanding the complex and multidisciplinary nature of the subject. Closer engagement with key stakeholders would be imperative to facilitate meaningful progress in managing nature-related financial risks by the financial sector players. Interviews were conducted with the Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources, the World Wildlife Fund, Forests and Finance, PE Research and Akademi Sains Malaysia. https://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/uploads/files/7_Publication/Technical_Paper/MyStats/2017/1(a)-2_Prof_Awang_Noor_Abd_Ghani.pdf 94 95 A.5 Interviews with Experts Focused on Biodiversity in Malaysia 90 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix A.6 Full List of Explorative Nature-Related Risk Scenarios Table A7: List of possible nature-related financial physical and transition risk scenarios Risk scenario Source Driver Type of risk Affected natural assets Affected ecosystem services/ economic sectors Share of total lending Number of sectors affected (unconditional) Animal disease outbreak ENCORE Overexploitation, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Species Animal-based energy, fibers and other materials, pollination 0.80% 5 Severe drought occurrence ENCORE Climate change, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Habitats, Soils and sediments, Species, Water Buffering and attenuation of mass flows, Fibers and other materials, Mass stabilization and erosion control, Soil quality, Animal-based energy, Pollination, Water quality 3.70% 13 Severe wildfire occurrence ENCORE Climate change, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Habitats, Soils and sediments Fibers and other materials, Mass stabilization and erosion control 1.70% 7 Severe flooding occurrence ENCORE Climate change, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Habitats, Land geomorphology, Soils and sediments, Species, Water Buffering and attenuation of mass flows, Fibers and other materials, Flood and Storm protection, Mass stabilization and erosion control, Soil quality, Pollination, 9.60% 16 Pest outbreak ENCORE Overexploitation, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Species Fibers and other materials, pollination 0.70% 5 Severe storm occurrence ENCORE Climate change, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Habitats, Soils and sediments, Species, Water Buffering and attenuation of mass flows, fibers and other materials, flood and storm protection, maintenance of nursery habitats, mass stabilization and erosion control, pollination, water quality, Dilution by atmosphere and ecosystems 9.40% 37 Ecosystem service deterioration due to continued high rates of deforestation ENCORE Overexploitation, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Atmosphere, Habitats, Land geomorphology, Minerals, Soils and sediments, Species, Water Climate regulation, mediation of sensory impacts, pollination, soil quality, water flow maintenance, bio-remediation, buffering and attenuation of mass flows, fibers and other materials, filtration, flood and storm protection, maintenance of nursery habitats, pest control, water flow maintenance, soil quality, disease control, Ventilation, ground water 30.40% 42 Species decline due to human genetic modification ENCORE Invasive non- native species Physical risk Species Fibers and other materials, Genetic materials, Pollination 0.70% 5 Reduced ecosystem services due to continued high resource use, pollution and urban sprawl ENCORE Pollution, Climate Change, Overexploitation, Change and sea and land use Physical risk Atmosphere, Habitats, Land geomorphology, Ocean geomorphology, Soils and sediments, Water Dilution by atmosphere and ecosystems, buffering and attenuation of mass flows, Climate regulation, flood and storm protection, maintenance of nursery habitats, mass stabilization and erosion control, surface water 44.10% 49 91An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Risk scenario Source Driver Type of risk Affected natural assets Affected ecosystem services/ economic sectors Share of total lending Number of sectors affected (unconditional) Reduced agricultural yields and water pollution due to intense agri- and aquaculture ENCORE Overexploitation Physical risk Soils and sediments, Species, Water Buffering and attenuation of mass flows, soil quality, disease control, fibers and other materials, maintenance of nursery habitats, pest control, pollination 2.50% 6 Invasive species sprawl ENCORE Invasive non- native species Physical risk Species, Water Bio-remediation, Fibers and other materials, Maintenance of nursery habitats, Pollination, Water quality 1% 10 Increased ocean acidification ENCORE Climate change, Pollution Physical risk Habitats, species, water Flood and storm protection, maintenance of nursery habitats, mass stabilization and erosion control, water quality 8% 19 Changed ocean current and circulation ENCORE Climate change Physical risk Habitats, water Climate regulation, maintenance of nursery habitats, dilution by atmosphere and ecosystems, water quality 15.90% 26 Severe reduction in available fish stock ENCORE Overexploitation Physical risk Species Fibers and other materials, maintenance of nursery habitats, pollination 0.70% 5 Severe reduction in available timber ENCORE Overexploitation, Changing use of sea and land Physical risk Soils and sediments, Species Climate regulation, fibers and other materials, pollination 16.20% 22 Species decline due to excessive hunting ENCORE Overexploitation Physical risk Species Pest control, pollination 1.70% 13 Atmospheric pollution causing deterioration of ecosystem services ENCORE Pollution, Climate Change Physical risk Atmosphere Mediation of sensory impacts, pollination, soil quality, water flow maintenance 2.40% 15 Unmanaged waste disposal and soil pollution strongly affecting productivity of habitats ENCORE Pollution Physical risk Habitat, species, soils and sediments Bio-remediation, fibers and other materials, filtration, maintenance of nursery habitats, mediation of sensory impacts, soil quality, water flow maintenance, pollination, water quality 2.40% 15 Lower clean water availability due to continuously high water pollution ENCORE Pollution Physical risk Water Dilution by atmosphere and ecosystems, ground water, maintenance of nursery habitats, mediation of sensory impacts, pollination, soil quality, water flow maintenance, water quality 7.10% 29 Increase in sea surface temperature ENCORE Climate Change Physical risk Habitats, soils and sediments, species, water Climate regulation, fibers and other materials 16% 22 Lower water availability for other ecosystem services ENCORE Pollution, Climate Change, Overexploitation, Change and sea and land use Physical risk Water Ground water, water flow maintenance, dilution by atmosphere and ecosystem 6% 29 Regulatory / market backlash against non- sustainable forestry Interviews Governance, Policy uncertainty, Consumer sentiments Transition risk   Forestry and logging, Manufacture of wood and products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials, Manufacture of furniture 0.70% 3 92 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Risk scenario Source Driver Type of risk Affected natural assets Affected ecosystem services/ economic sectors Share of total lending Number of sectors affected (unconditional) Extension of protected areas Interviews Governance, Policy uncertainty Transition risk   Forestry and logging, Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities, Fishing and Aquaculture, Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas, Mining of metal ores, Other mining and quarrying, Mining Support Service Activities, Manufacture of food products, Manufacture of beverages, Manufacture of tobacco products, Manufacture of wood and products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials, Manufacture of furniture 8.40% 10 Regulatory restriction of non- sustainable pesticides ENCORE Governance, Policy uncertainty Transition risk   Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities, Fishing and Aquaculture, Manufacture of food products, Manufacture of beverages, Manufacture of tobacco products, Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products 7.40% 6 Regulatory restriction of non- sustainable fertilizers ENCORE Governance, Policy uncertainty Transition risk   Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities, Fishing and Aquaculture, Manufacture of food products, Manufacture of beverages, Manufacture of tobacco products, Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products 7.40% 6 Regulatory restriction of water pollution Interviews Governance, Policy uncertainty Transition risk   Manufacture of food products, Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities, Accommodation, Other manufacturing, Manufacture of rubber and plastic products, Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment, Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products, Manufacture of wood and products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials, Manufacture of textiles, Water transport, Manufacture of paper and paper products, Manufacture of basic metals, Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply, Mining support service activities, Mining of metal ores, Water collection, treatment and supply, Waste collection, treatment and disposal activities; materials recovery, Manufacture of beverages, Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products, Other mining and quarrying, Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas, Forestry and logging, Manufacture of wearing apparel, Manufacture of tobacco products, Manufacture of leather and related products, Mining of coal and lignite, Fishing and Aquaculture, Remediation activities and other waste management services, Sewerage 16.80% 29 93An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Risk scenario Source Driver Type of risk Affected natural assets Affected ecosystem services/ economic sectors Share of total lending Number of sectors affected (unconditional) Sudden and unexpected climate policy introduction ENCORE Governance, Policy uncertainty Transition risk   Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities, Forestry and logging, Fishing and Aquaculture, Mining of coal and lignite, Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas, Mining of metal ores, Manufacture of beverages, Other manufacturing, Manufacture of furniture, Manufacture of other transport equipment, Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers, Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c., Manufacture of electrical equipment, Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products, Manufacture of basic metals, Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products, Manufacture of rubber and plastic products, Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations, Manufacture of textiles, Manufacture of leather and related products, Manufacture of paper and paper products, Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products, Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products, Manufacture of wearing apparel, Mining support service activities, Water collection, treatment and supply, Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply, Sewerage, Waste collection, treatment and disposal activities; materials recovery, Construction of buildings, Civil engineering, Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, Land transport and transport via pipelines, Water transport, Air transport, Warehousing and support activities for transportation, Postal and courier activities, Accommodation, Financial service activities, except insurance and pension funding, Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security, Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities, Real estate activities 37.60% 30 94 An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia Appendix Risk scenario Source Driver Type of risk Affected natural assets Affected ecosystem services/ economic sectors Share of total lending Number of sectors affected (unconditional) Sudden increase in the price of water (removal of subsidies / market dynamics) Interviews Governance, Policy uncertainty Transition risk   Manufacture of food products, Crops and animal production, hunting and related service activities, Accommodation, Other manufacturing, Manufacture of rubber and plastic products, Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment, Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products, Manufacture of wood and products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials, Manufacture of textiles, Water transport, Manufacture of paper and paper products, Manufacture of basic metals, Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply, Mining support service activities, Mining of metal ores, Water collection, treatment and supply, Waste collection, treatment and disposal activities; materials recovery, Manufacture of beverages, Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products, Other mining and quarrying, Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas, Forestry and logging, Manufacture of wearing apparel, Manufacture of tobacco products, Manufacture of leather and related products, Mining of coal and lignite, Fishing and Aquaculture, Remediation activities and other waste management services, Sewerage 16.80% 29 95An Exploration of Nature-Related Financial Risks in Malaysia CONNECT WITH US wbg.org/Malaysia @WorldBankMalaysia @WB_AsiaPacific http://bit.ly/WB_blogsMY www.bnm.gov.my @bnm.official @banknegaramalaysia @BNM_official BNM Official Bank Negara Malaysia Title Table of Contents Acknowledgements List of Figures List of Boxes Acronyms and Abbreviations Executive Summary ES.1 Introduction ES.2 Key Findings ES.3 Potential Actions to Address Challenges of Nature-Related Financial Risks Chapter 1. Biodiversity, Nature, and Banking in Malaysia 1.1 The Malaysian Banking Sector 1.2 Malaysia, a Biodiversity Hotspot 1.3 Nature-Related Financial Risks Chapter 2. Exposure Assessment 2.1 Dependency on Ecosystem Services 2.2 Impacts on Ecosystem Services 2.3 Activities in Key Biodiversity Areas 2.4 Physical and Transition Risk Scenarios Chapter 3. Potential Actions to Address Nature-Related Financial Risks Chapter 4. Conclusions 4.1 Key Findings 4.2 Potential Actions to Address Challenges of Nature-Related Financial Risks 4.3 Areas for Future Exploration References Appendix A.1 Methodology A.2 ENCORE Definitions A.3 Reputational Risk A.4 Drivers of Nature-Related Financial Risk Scenarios in Malaysia A.4.1 Land and Sea Use Change A.4.2 Natural Resource Use and Exploitation A.4.3 Climate Change A.4.4 Pollution A.4.5 Invasive Species and Diseases A.4.6 Governance Issues A.4.7 Policy Uncertainty A.5 Interviews with Experts Focused on Biodiversity in Malaysia A.6 Full List of Explorative Nature-Related Risk Scenarios
Press Release
30 Nov 2023
Monetary and Financial Developments in October 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-and-financial-developments-in-october-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/12592033/i_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary and Financial Developments in October 2023 Share: Monetary and Financial Developments in October 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Thursday, 30 November 2023 30 Nov 2023 Headline inflation edged lower to 1.8% in October Headline inflation edged lower to 1.8% (September 2023: 1.9%) driven largely by lower fresh food inflation (1.2%; September 2023: 1.6%). Meanwhile, core inflation[1] was lower at 2.4% (September 2023: 2.5%) during the month. In particular, the moderation was due to lower inflation for selected services including food away from home and repair and maintenance for personal transport.Smaller contraction in exports Exports contracted at a slower pace (-4.4%; September 2023: -13.8%), reflecting improvement in both manufactured and commodities exports. Manufactured exports recorded smaller declines in both electrical and electronics (E&E) and non-E&E exports. Meanwhile, commodities exports were supported by improved palm oil exports. Looking ahead, exports are expected to gradually improve towards the end of the year. Downside risks remain, stemming from weaker external demand. Sustained growth in credit to the private non-financial sector Credit to the private non-financial sector[2],[3] grew by 4.2% as at end-October (September 2023: 4.2%), underpinned by higher outstanding household loan growth amid slower growth in credit to businesses. Outstanding business loans expanded by 1% (September 2023: 1.6%), due mainly to more moderate growth in working capital loans among non-small and medium enterprises (non-SMEs). Growth in outstanding loans to SMEs, however, remained forthcoming (6.9%; September 2023: 6.7%). Meanwhile, the growth in outstanding corporate bonds was sustained at 5% (September 2023: 5%). For households, outstanding loan growth improved slightly to 5.6% (September 2023: 5.4%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. This reflected higher demand for household loans, particularly for the purchase of houses, cars and personal use. Domestic financial markets were mostly affected by global investor sentiments Global financial conditions were affected mainly by the rise in the 10-year United States (US) treasury yield as strong US economic data led to growing investor expectations of a higher policy rate environment. Against this backdrop, the 10-year Malaysian Government Securities (MGS) yield increased by 14 basis points (bps) (regional[4] average: +22 bps) while the ringgit depreciated by 1.6% against the US dollar (regional average: -0.3%). The FBM KLCI increased by 1.3% amid improved domestic equity market sentiments post-Budget 2024. Banks remained well-capitalised to support economic growth Capital ratios were broadly stable, supportive of banks’ financial intermediation activities and bolstering their ability to withstand unexpected losses. The banking system excess capital buffer[5] remained healthy at RM132.6 billion. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions The banking system continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 150.8% (September 2023: 151.5%). The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained largely stable at 82.2% (September 2023: 82.5%).   [1] Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. [2]  Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). [3]  Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. [4]  Regional countries comprise: Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and South Korea. [5] Refers to total capital above the regulatory minimum, which includes the capital conservation buffer (2.5%) and bank-specific higher minimum requirements.   Monthly Highlights [PDF] Related Assets Monthly Highlights & Statistics in October 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 30 November 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights May 2023 Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined further to 2.8% in May May 2023 Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation moderated to 2.8% (April 2023: 3.3%). This decline was largely due to non-core CPI components, particularly lower inflation for fuel (-0.2 percentage points, ppt) and fresh food (-0.1ppt). • Core inflation also declined slightly to 3.5% (April 2023: 3.6%) amid lower inflation for communication services. 3.3 2.8 3.6 3.5 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 A p r- 2 3 M a y -2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) 1.6 5.1 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 1 Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector improved in May 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.0% as at end-May (April 2023: 3.7%), driven mainly by higher growth in credit to businesses (2.8%; April 2023: 2.5%). • Outstanding corporate bonds grew by 4.6% (April 2023: 4.4%), while outstanding business loans expanded by 1.6% (April 2023: 1.0%). The higher business loan growth reflected improvement in loans for both working capital and investments to SMEs and non-SMEs. • In the household segment, outstanding loan growth was sustained at 5.1% (April 2023: 5.0%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. Of note, household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.0% and 8.4%, respectively (April 2023: 6.8% and 8.0%). 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 4.5 4.2 3.7 4.0 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Index of wholesale and retail trade growth moderated in April Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded more moderately by 4.7% in April 2023 (March 2023: 9.4%). The lower growth was due mainly to the decline in the motor vehicle segment. • However, the retail segment continued to record a double-digit growth of 10.0% (March 2023: 13.8%), supported by sales in non-specialised and other specialised stores1. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index increased at a faster pace of 6.5% (March 2023: -0.9%). 1 Other goods in specialised stores includes clothing, footwear, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, watches, jewellery and optical goods. 10.6 9.4 4.7 -2 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 Apr-22 Jun-22 Aug-22 Oct-22 Dec-22 Feb-23 Apr-23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Monthly Highlights 2 May 2023 Domestic financial markets were largely affected by external factors Financial Market Performance in May 2023 -18.0 -0.5 -1.1 -3.0 -2.0 -3.4 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -20 -15 -10 -5 0 May-23 Apr-23 Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 1Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia • Global investors maintained a risk-off approach throughout May, as concerns over the impact of the US debt ceiling crisis and the weaker-than- expected rebound in China’s economy weighed on global financial markets. • As a result, the ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 3.4% (regional1 average: -1.2%). Similarly, the FBM KLCI declined by 2.0% (regional1 average: -1.3%). • Nonetheless, the 10-year MGS yields decreased slightly by 3 basis points, supported by non-resident inflows into the domestic bond market. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 151.2% (April 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.8% (April 2023: 82.1%). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.8 151.2 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.80% (April 2023: 1.78%) and 1.10% (April 2023: 1.10%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remained at a prudent level of 114.1% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.1 1.7 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio April 2023 Monthly Highlights Slide 1 Slide 2
Press Release
30 Nov 2023
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-October 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-october-2023-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-October 2023 Share: 2 Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-October 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Thursday, 30 November 2023 30 Nov 2023 In accordance with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period. The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III and IV. As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD108,539.1 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to USD1.6 million as at end-October 2023. As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD16,481.1 million. The net short forward positions amounted to USD25,060.6 million as at end-October 2023, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,194.1 million in the next 12 months. As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets are Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD369.4 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit. Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-October 2023, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable. Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (31 October 2023) Bank Negara Malaysia 30 November 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
22 Nov 2023
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 November 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-15-november-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 November 2023 Share: 10 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 November 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Wednesday, 22 November 2023 22 Nov 2023 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD110.5 billion as at 15 November 2023. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.3 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.0 time the total short-term external debt. [1]   Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves are sufficient to finance 7.0 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at bnm.gov.my/-/quarterly-bulletin-4q-2021 Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 15 November 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 22 November 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
17 Nov 2023
Launch of Cross-border Real-time Payment Systems Connectivity between Malaysia and Singapore
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/mysg-pmt-en
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Reading: Launch of Cross-border Real-time Payment Systems Connectivity between Malaysia and Singapore Share: 19 Launch of Cross-border Real-time Payment Systems Connectivity between Malaysia and Singapore 1806 on Friday, 17 November 2023 Person-to-person (P2P) cross-border fund transfers are now enabled via DuitNow and PayNow Users can transfer funds instantly between the two countries by using just the recipient’s mobile phone number or Virtual Payment Address (VPA)[1] BNM Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour (fifth from left) and MAS Managing Director Mr Ravi Menon (sixth from left) at the launch of the cross-border real-time payment systems connectivity between Malaysia and Singapore, accompanied by officials and industry players.   Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) and the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) have jointly launched the real-time payment systems linkage between Malaysia’s DuitNow and Singapore’s PayNow. The initiative follows the QR payment linkage announced on 31 March 2023 which enabled cross-border QR payments to merchants. BNM Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour and MAS Managing Director Mr Ravi Menon marked the launch by executing live cross-border fund transfers to each other at the Singapore FinTech Festival today. The DuitNow-PayNow linkage enables instant, secure and cost-effective P2P fund transfers and remittances between the two countries. This real-time payment systems linkage is also the first to include the participation of non-bank financial institutions from both countries, providing access to a broader group of users. Consumers of participating financial institutions[2] are now able to send and receive funds of up to RM3,000 or S$1,000 daily by using the recipient’s mobile phone number or VPA. For users in Malaysia, the service will first be available for all Maybank, CIMB and TNG Digital’s users,[3] with other financial institutions gradually onboarded thereafter. The service will be made available to Singapore customers of Liquid Group, Maybank Singapore, OCBC and UOB under a phased approach, where these institutions will progressively increase the number of eligible user groups from today until end-January 2024. This is to support customers' familiarisation with the service. The DuitNow-PayNow linkage is an outcome of extensive collaboration among the central banks, payment system operators,[4] scheme owners, and participating financial institutions of both countries. It is an important milestone in improving the cost, speed, access and transparency of cross-border payments. Users from both countries will benefit from the linkage’s cost-effectiveness, inclusivity and accessibility. It is also aligned with the objectives of the ASEAN Payment Connectivity Initiative and the G20 Roadmap for Enhancing Cross-border Payments. In 2022, P2P and remittance transactions between the two countries stood at RM7.8 billion/S$2.3 billion. BNM Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Cross-border payments that are fast, secure, and cost-efficient can provide immense benefits, especially for individuals and small businesses in countries with very close economic ties such as Malaysia and Singapore. The DuitNow-PayNow linkage enables us to reap these benefits towards our shared growth and prosperity, while laying the foundations for scalable cross-border payment networks across and beyond ASEAN.” MAS Managing Director Mr Ravi Menon said, “The PayNow-DuitNow linkage is the culmination of a shared aspiration by Singapore and Malaysia to facilitate cross-border payments between our two countries. This linkage represents another step toward ASEAN’s vision for regional payments interconnectivity.”   [1] A Virtual Payment Address is an identifier used by Singapore non-bank financial institutions which are uniquely linked to a person’s bank account. An example of a LiquidPay VPA is +651234567#XNAP. [2] Participants from Malaysia are CIMB Bank Malaysia Berhad, Malayan Banking Berhad and TNG Digital Sdn. Bhd. (non-bank financial institution). Participants from Singapore are Liquid Group (non-bank financial institution), Maybank Singapore, OCBC and UOB. Malaysia’s Hong Leong Bank Berhad and Singapore’s DBS will join at a later stage. [3] For TNG Digital users, the service will be offered on a phased approach with outbound service (i.e., Malaysia to Singapore) to be available immediately and inbound service (Singapore to Malaysia) to be offered in December 2023. [4] Payments Network Malaysia and Singapore’s Banking Computer Services Pte Ltd.   Bank Negara Malaysia 17 November 2023       © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
17 Nov 2023
Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Third Quarter of 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/qb23q3_en_pr
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/12521489//qb23q3_slides.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/12521489/qb23q3_en_table1.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/12521489/qb23q3_transcript.pdf
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Reading: Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Third Quarter of 2023 Share: 37 Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Third Quarter of 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Friday, 17 November 2023 17 Nov 2023 The economy grew by 3.3% in the third quarter The Malaysian economy expanded by 3.3% in the third quarter of 2023 (2Q 2023: 2.9%). Growth was anchored by resilient domestic demand. Household spending remained supported by continued growth in employment and wages. Meanwhile, investment activity was underpinned by the progress of multi-year projects and capacity expansion by firms. Exports remained soft amid prolonged weakness in external demand. This, however, was partially offset by the recovery in inbound tourism. On the supply side, the services, construction and agriculture sectors remained supportive of growth. This was partly offset by the decline in production in the manufacturing sector given the weakness in demand for electrical and electronic (E&E) products and lower production of refined petroleum products. On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted basis, the economy grew by 2.6% (2Q 2023: 1.5%). Overall, the Malaysian economy expanded by 3.9% in the first three quarters of 2023. Headline inflation continued to moderate to 2% (2Q 2023: 2.8%) during the quarter. The moderation was recorded in both non-core inflation and core inflation. For non-core inflation, fresh food and fuel contributed to the decline. Core inflation declined further to 2.5% (2Q 2023: 3.4%) but remained above its long-term average (2011-2019 average: 2%). The moderation in core inflation was largely contributed by selected services, including food away from home, expenditure in restaurants and cafés, and personal transport repair and maintenance. Inflation pervasiveness declined as the share of Consumer Price Index (CPI) items recording monthly price increases moderated to 40.8% during the quarter (2Q 2023: 42.7%), below the third quarter long-term (2011-2019) average of 44.5%. Exchange rate developments Domestic financial conditions were driven mainly by evolving expectations over the global monetary policy path. In particular, the strength of the US job markets has prompted expectations for a tighter-for-longer policy stance by the US Federal Reserve and subsequently higher US and global interest rates. In contrast, the People’s Bank of China undertook further monetary policy easing to address weaker-than-expected growth in China, which dampened investor sentiments towards the region. Against this backdrop, the US dollar appreciation extended into the quarter, and the Malaysian ringgit ended up depreciating by 0.2% alongside other regional currencies. However, the ringgit appreciated by 1.4% against a basket of major trading partner currencies, as indicated by the ringgit nominal effective exchange rate (NEER). Financing conditions The growth in credit to the private non-financial sector improved to 4.2% (2Q 2023: 3.7%), supported by higher growth in business loans (1.6%; 2Q 2023: 0.5%) while outstanding corporate bonds growth was sustained at 5% (2Q 2023: 4.9%). The higher business loan growth was driven mainly by improving growth in working capital loans to non-SMEs. Of note, SME loan growth remained forthcoming (6.7%; 2Q 2023: 6.4%). For households, outstanding loans expanded by 5.4% (2Q 2023: 5.1%), reflecting steady growth across key purposes. Going forward, growth will remain resilient despite external headwinds on account of firm domestic demand BNM Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour says, "Despite the challenging global environment, the Malaysian economy is projected to expand by around 4% in 2023 and 4% – 5% in 2024. Growth will continue to be driven by the expansion in domestic demand amid steady employment and income prospects, particularly in domestic-oriented sectors. This growth performance along with other favourable economic developments would provide support to the ringgit.” Improvements in tourist arrivals and spending are expected to continue. Investment will be supported by further progress of multi-year infrastructure projects and the implementation of catalytic initiatives. Measures under Budget 2024 will also provide additional impetus to economic activity. The growth outlook remains subject to downside risks stemming primarily from weaker- than-expected external demand as well as larger and more protracted declines in commodity production. However, there are upside risk factors such as stronger-than-expected tourism activity, a stronger recovery from the E&E downcycle, and faster implementation of existing and new investment projects. Headline and core inflation to remain moderate for the remainder of 2023 As expected, both headline and core inflation have been declining throughout the year, mainly due to milder cost conditions. This would likely continue for the remainder of 2023. Overall, headline inflation is expected to average between 2.5% and 3% in 2023. Going forward, risks to the inflation outlook remain highly subject to changes to domestic policy on subsidies and price controls, as well as global commodity prices and financial market developments. See also: Press Conference Slides (PDF) Press Conference Presentation Transcript Press Conference Video Publication: Quarterly Bulletin Third Quarter 2023 Table 1: GDP by Expenditure Components and Economic ActivityBank Negara Malaysia 17 November 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Sorotan Bulanan 2.6 5.7 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Nov-22 Mac-23 Jul-23 Nov-23 Pinjaman perniagaan Perniagaan isi rumah Bon korporat 144.8 0.9 -5 0 5 10 15 20 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150 Ja n- 22 Fe b- 22 M ac -2 2 Ap r-2 2 M ei -2 2 Ju n- 22 Ju l-2 2 O go -2 2 Se p- 22 O kt -2 2 N ov -2 2 D is -2 2 Ja n- 23 Fe b- 23 M ac -2 3 Ap r-2 3 M ei -2 3 Ju n- 23 Ju l-2 3 O go -2 3 Se p- 23 O kt -2 3 Indeks Pengeluaran Perindustrian Perkilangan IPI Perkilangan (2015=100) - skala kiri Pertumbuhan Tahun ke Tahun IPI Perkilangan (%) - skala kanan Pengeluaran perkilangan meningkat sebanyak 0.9% pada bulan Oktober 2023 November 2023 • Indeks pengeluaran perindustrian (IPI) perkilangan meningkat sebanyak 0.9% secara tahunan pada bulan Oktober 2023 (September 2023: 0.4%), disokong oleh kelompok sektor berasaskan dalam negeri yang terus bertambah baik, terutamanya kelengkapan pengangkutan serta makanan, minuman dan tembakau. • Peningkatan ini lebih daripada mengimbangi pertumbuhan kelompok berorientasikan eksport yang terus lemah berikutan pengeluaran komponen semikonduktor yang lebih rendah dan penyelenggaraan loji penapisan minyak yang digerakkan semula secara beransur-ansur. Sumber: Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia 1 Sumbangan kepada pertumbuhan (mata peratusan) • Kredit kepada sektor swasta bukan kewangan meningkat sebanyak 4.6% pada akhir bulan November (Oktober 2023: 4.2%), didorong terutamanya oleh peningkatan kredit kepada perniagaan yang lebih tinggi (3.5%; Oktober 2023: 2.8%). • Pinjaman perniagaan terkumpul berkembang sebanyak 2.6% (Oktober 2023: 1.1%), disokong oleh pertumbuhan pinjaman modal kerja yang lebih tinggi. Yang ketara, pertumbuhan pinjaman terkumpul kepada PKS kekal menggalakkan (7.9%; Oktober 2023: 7.2%). Sementara itu, pertumbuhan bon korporat terkumpul berkurang sedikit kepada 4.6% (Oktober 2023: 5.0%). • Pertumbuhan pinjaman terkumpul bagi isi rumah adalah stabil (5.7%; Oktober 2023: 5.6%), disokong oleh pertumbuhan yang mampan bagi kebanyakan tujuan pinjaman. Pertumbuhan pinjaman isi rumah terus didorong oleh pinjaman untuk pembelian rumah dan kenderaan, masing-masing meningkat sebanyak 7.6% dan 9.4%, (Oktober 2023: 7.6% dan 9.1%). 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.80.9 1.1 1.1 1.0 3.8 4.2 4.2 4.6 Ogo-23 Sep-23 Okt-23 Nov-23 Bon Korporat Pinjaman Perniagaan Pinjaman Isi Rumah Kredit kepada Sektor Swasta Bukan Kewangan Pertumbuhan kredit kepada sektor swasta bukan kewangan yang lebih tinggi Inflasi keseluruhan menurun kepada 1.5% pada bulan November • Inflasi keseluruhan terus menurun kepada 1.5% pada bulan November (Oktober 2023: 1.8%), didorong oleh inflasi yang lebih rendah bagi inflasi teras (2.0%; Oktober 2023: 2.4%) dan inflasi makanan segar (0.1%; Oktober 2023: 1.2%). • Yang ketara, inflasi teras yang lebih rendah didorong sebahagian besarnya oleh makanan di luar rumah (3.9%; Oktober 2023: 5.6%). Sumbangan kepada Inflasi Sumbangan mata peratusan %, tahun ke tahun 1 Pengiraan inflasi teras tidak termasuk barangan yang harganya tidak menentu dan barangan yang harganya ditadbir. Sumber: Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia dan anggaran Bank Negara Malaysia 1.8 1.5 2.42.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 O go -2 2 Se p- 22 O kt -2 2 N ov -2 2 D is -2 2 Ja n- 23 Fe b- 23 M ac -2 3 Ap r-2 3 M ei -2 3 Ju n- 23 Ju l-2 3 O go -2 3 Se p- 23 O kt -2 3 N ov -2 3 Makanan & minuman bukan alkohol (29.5%) Perumahan & utiliti (23.8%) Pengangkutan (14.6%) Lain-lain (32.1%) Inflasi keseluruhan (skala kanan) Inflasi teras¹ (skala kanan) Pertumbuhan tahunan (%) Kredit kepada Sektor Swasta Bukan Kewangan1,2 1 Terdiri daripada pinjaman kepada isi rumah dan syarikat bukan kewangan oleh sistem perbankan dan institusi kewangan pembangunan (IKP) serta bon korporat yang diterbitkan oleh syarikat bukan kewangan (termasuk kertas jangka pendek). 2 Mulai penerbitan Sorotan dan Perangkaan Bulanan (Monthly Highlights and Statistics, MHS) bulan Disember 2022, siri ini diperkenalkan untuk meningkatkan kualiti data pembiayaan. Siri data baharu ini tersedia dalam Jadual 2.18.MHS. Sumber: Bank Negara Malaysia Sorotan Bulanan November 2023 2 Prestasi Pasaran Kewangan pada bulan November 2023 14.0 1.3 -1.6 -30.0 0.7 2.4 MGS 10 tahun (mata asas, bulan ke bulan) Ekuiti (%, bulan ke bulan) Ringgit (%, bulan ke bulan) -33 -26 -19 -12 -5 2 9 16 Nov-23 Okt-23 Nota: Data kadar pertukaran ialah kadar pada pukul 12.00 tengah hari di Pasaran Tukaran Asing Antara Bank Kuala Lumpur *Negara serantau terdiri daripada: Singapura, Thailand, Filipina, Indonesia dan Korea Sumber: Bank Negara Malaysia dan Bursa Malaysia Pasaran kewangan domestik terus dipengaruhi oleh sentimen pelabur global Permodalan sistem perbankan kekal kukuh untuk menyokong pertumbuhan ekonomi • Kedudukan modal bank-bank kekal kukuh bagi menghadapi kemungkinan kejutan serta menyokong pertumbuhan kredit pengantaraan dalam ekonomi. • Sistem perbankan mencatatkan lebihan penampan modal1 sebanyak RM134.1 bilion pada bulan November 2023 (Oktober 2023: RM132.9 bilion). Kecukupan Modal Sistem Perbankan 14.5 15.0 18.1 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 N ov -2 2 D is -2 2 Ja n- 23 Fe b- 23 M ac -2 3 Ap r-2 3 M ei -2 3 Ju n- 23 Ju l-2 3 O go -2 3 Se p- 23 O kt -2 3 N ov -2 3 Nisbah Modal Ekuiti Biasa Kumpulan 1 Nisbah Modal Kumpulan 1 Nisbah Jumlah Modal % 1 Merujuk jumlah modal melebihi tahap pengawalseliaan minimum, yang meliputi keperluan penampan pengekalan modal (2.5%) dan keperluan minimum bank tertentu yang lebih tinggi. Daya tahan sistem perbankan terus disokong oleh kualiti aset yang mantap Kualiti Aset Sistem Perbankan Sumber: Bank Negara Malaysia • Nisbah pinjaman terjejas kasar dan bersih keseluruhan sebahagian besarnya kekal stabil, masing-masing pada 1.7% dan 1.0%. • Nisbah perlindungan kerugian pinjaman (termasuk rizab pengawalseliaan) kekal pada tahap berhemat sebanyak 119.7% daripada pinjaman terjejas dengan jumlah peruntukan mencakupi 1.6% daripada jumlah pinjaman. % 1.7 1.0 1.6 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 N ov -2 2 D is -2 2 Ja n- 23 Fe b- 23 M ac -2 3 Ap r-2 3 M ei -2 3 Ju n- 23 Ju l-2 3 O go -2 3 Se p- 23 O kt -2 3 N ov -2 3 Nisbah Jumlah Peruntukan kepada Jumlah Pinjaman Nisbah Pinjaman Terjejas Kasar Nisbah Pinjaman Terjejas Bersih Sumber: Bank Negara Malaysia • Keadaan pasaran global didorong oleh jangkaan pasaran kewangan bahawa kadar faedah di negara maju telah mencapai tahap tertinggi. Mencerminkan sentimen pelabur ini, kadar hasil bon global menurun manakala pasaran ekuiti global didagangkan dengan lebih tinggi. • Berlatarkan keadaan ini, ringgit menambah nilai sebanyak 2.4% berbanding dengan dolar AS (purata serantau*: +3.2%), manakala kadar hasil MGS 10 tahun menurun sebanyak 30 mata asas (purata serantau*: -49 mata asas) berikutan aliran masuk dana bukan pemastautin ke dalam pasaran bon domestik. • FBM KLCI juga didagangkan lebih tinggi sebanyak 0.7%, sejajar dengan pasaran saham lain (purata serantau* : 3.3%). SIARAN AKHBAR No. Ruj.: 12/23/08 EMBARGO: Tidak boleh dicetak atau disiarkan sebelum pukul 1500 hari Jumaat, 29 Disember 2023 Sorotan Bulanan – November 2023 Inflasi keseluruhan menurun kepada 1.5% pada bulan November • Inflasi keseluruhan terus menurun kepada 1.5% pada bulan November (Oktober 2023: 1.8%), didorong oleh inflasi yang lebih rendah bagi inflasi teras1 (2.0%; Oktober 2023: 2.4%) dan inflasi makanan segar (0.1%; Oktober 2023: 1.2%). • Yang ketara, inflasi teras yang lebih rendah didorong sebahagian besarnya oleh makanan di luar rumah (3.9%; Oktober 2023: 5.6%). Pengeluaran perkilangan meningkat sebanyak 0.9% pada bulan Oktober 2023 • Indeks pengeluaran perindustrian (IPI) perkilangan meningkat sebanyak 0.9% secara tahunan pada bulan Oktober 2023 (September 2023: 0.4%), disokong oleh kelompok sektor berasaskan dalam negeri yang terus bertambah baik, terutamanya kelengkapan pengangkutan serta makanan, minuman dan tembakau. • Peningkatan ini lebih daripada mengimbangi pertumbuhan kelompok berorientasikan eksport yang terus lemah berikutan pengeluaran komponen semikonduktor yang lebih rendah dan penyelenggaraan loji penapisan minyak yang digerakkan semula secara beransur-ansur. 1 Pengiraan inflasi teras tidak termasuk barangan yang harganya tidak menentu dan barangan yang harganya ditadbir. D i t e r b i t k a n o l e h : J a b a t a n K o m u n i k a s i S t r a t e g i k , T i n g k a t 1 4 , B l o k B , B a n g u n a n B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m e l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Pertumbuhan kredit kepada sektor swasta bukan kewangan2,3 yang lebih tinggi • Kredit kepada sektor swasta bukan kewangan meningkat sebanyak 4.6% pada akhir bulan November (Oktober 2023: 4.2%), didorong terutamanya oleh peningkatan kredit kepada perniagaan yang lebih tinggi (3.5%; Oktober 2023: 2.8%). • Pinjaman perniagaan terkumpul berkembang sebanyak 2.6% (Oktober 2023: 1.1%), disokong oleh pertumbuhan pinjaman modal kerja yang lebih tinggi. Yang ketara, pertumbuhan pinjaman terkumpul kepada PKS kekal menggalakkan (7.9%; Oktober 2023: 7.2%). Sementara itu, pertumbuhan bon korporat terkumpul berkurang sedikit kepada 4.6% (Oktober 2023: 5.0%). • Pertumbuhan pinjaman terkumpul bagi isi rumah adalah stabil (5.7%; Oktober 2023: 5.6%), disokong oleh pertumbuhan yang mampan bagi kebanyakan tujuan pinjaman. Pertumbuhan pinjaman isi rumah terus didorong oleh pinjaman untuk pembelian rumah dan kenderaan, masing- masing meningkat sebanyak 7.6% dan 9.4%, (Oktober 2023: 7.6% dan 9.1%). Pasaran kewangan domestik terus dipengaruhi oleh sentimen pelabur global • Keadaan pasaran global didorong oleh jangkaan pasaran kewangan bahawa kadar faedah di negara maju telah mencapai tahap tertinggi. Mencerminkan sentimen pelabur ini, kadar hasil bon global menurun manakala pasaran ekuiti global didagangkan dengan lebih tinggi. • Berlatarkan keadaan ini, ringgit menambah nilai sebanyak 2.4% berbanding dengan dolar AS (purata serantau4: +3.2%), manakala kadar hasil MGS 10 tahun menurun sebanyak 30 mata asas (purata serantau4: -49 mata asas) 2 Terdiri daripada pinjaman kepada isi rumah dan syarikat bukan kewangan oleh sistem perbankan dan institusi kewangan pembangunan (IKP) serta bon korporat yang diterbitkan oleh syarikat bukan kewangan (termasuk kertas jangka pendek). 3 Mulai penerbitan Sorotan dan Perangkaan Bulanan (Monthly Highlights and Statistics, MHS) bulan Disember 2022, siri ini diperkenalkan untuk meningkatkan kualiti data pembiayaan. Siri data baharu ini tersedia dalam Jadual 2.18 MHS. 4 Negara serantau terdiri daripada Singapura, Thailand, Filipina, Indonesia dan Korea. D i t e r b i t k a n o l e h : J a b a t a n K o m u n i k a s i S t r a t e g i k , T i n g k a t 1 4 , B l o k B , B a n g u n a n B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m e l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y berikutan aliran masuk dana bukan pemastautin ke dalam pasaran bon domestik. • FBM KLCI juga didagangkan lebih tinggi sebanyak 0.7%, sejajar dengan pasaran saham lain (purata serantau4: 3.3%). Permodalan sistem perbankan kekal kukuh untuk menyokong pertumbuhan ekonomi • Kedudukan modal bank-bank kekal kukuh bagi menghadapi kemungkinan kejutan serta menyokong pertumbuhan kredit pengantaraan dalam ekonomi. • Sistem perbankan mencatatkan lebihan penampan modal5 sebanyak RM134.1 bilion pada bulan November 2023 (Oktober 2023: RM132.9 bilion). Daya tahan sistem perbankan terus disokong oleh kualiti aset yang mantap • Nisbah pinjaman terjejas kasar dan bersih keseluruhan sebahagian besarnya kekal stabil, masing-masing pada 1.7% dan 1.0%. • Nisbah perlindungan kerugian pinjaman (termasuk rizab pengawalseliaan) kekal pada tahap berhemat sebanyak 119.7% daripada pinjaman terjejas dengan jumlah peruntukan mencakupi 1.6% daripada jumlah pinjaman. Bank Negara Malaysia 29 Disember 2023 5 Merujuk jumlah modal melebihi tahap pengawalseliaan minimum, yang meliputi keperluan penampan pengekalan modal (2.5%) dan keperluan minimum bank tertentu yang lebih tinggi. 20231229_BNM Monthly Highlights Nov 2023_BM Slide Number 1 Slide Number 2 20231229_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights Nov 2023_BM 25Quarterly Bulletin | 3Q 2023 Annex Share 2022 (%) 2022 2023 3Q 4Q Year 1Q 2Q 3Q Annual growth (%) Aggregate Domestic Demand (excluding stocks) Private sector Consumption Investment Public sector Consumption Investment Net Exports Exports of Goods and Services Imports of Goods and Services 93.1 75.5 60.2 15.3 17.6 13.2 4.4 5.5 74.6 69.1 13.2 14.4 14.8 13.2 7.9 6.5 13.1 26.2 21.5 21.1 6.8 7.8 7.3 10.3 3.9 3.0 6.0 23.0 8.6 7.2 9.2 10.3 11.2 7.2 4.7 4.5 5.3 -1.0 14.5 15.9 4.6 5.6 5.9 4.7 -0.3 -2.2 5.7 54.4 -3.3 -6.5 4.5 4.5 4.3 5.1 4.6 3.8 7.9 -3.7 -9.4 -9.7 4.8 4.5 4.6 4.5 6.2 5.8 7.5 -22.7 -12.0 -11.1 Real GDP 100.0 14.1 7.1 8.7 5.6 2.9 3.3 GDP (q-o-q growth, seasonally adjusted) - 2.2 -1.7 - 0.9 1.5 2.6 Note: Figures may not add up due to rounding and exclusion of stocks. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Table 1: GDP by Expenditure Components (at constant 2015 prices) Share 2022 (%) 2022 2023 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q Annual growth (%) Services Manufacturing Agriculture Mining Construction 58.3 24.1 6.6 6.4 3.5 16.7 13.1 1.2 9.1 15.3 9.1 3.9 1.1 6.3 10.1 7.3 3.2 1.0 2.4 7.4 4.7 0.1 -1.0 -2.3 6.2 5.0 -0.1 0.8 -0.1 7.2 Real GDP 100.0 14.1 7.1 5.6 2.9 3.3 Note: Numbers do not add up due to rounding and exclusion of import duties component. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Table 2: GDP by Economic Activity (at constant 2015 prices) PRESS RELEASE EMBARGO: For immediate release ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS IN MALAYSIA IN THE THIRD QUARTER OF 2023 Press Conference Presentation Transcript Moderate global growth in 3Q 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Global growth in the third quarter of 2023 was moderate, weighed by higher interest rates and elevated inflation. China’s growth showed early signs of improvement as consumption rose, though its property market remained weak. While global core inflation continued to moderate, headline inflation edged up albeit temporarily, partly due to higher commodity prices. Regional exports showed tentative signs of recovery. This was in line with a nascent turnaround in the global E&E sector. However, headwinds remain due to moderating demand conditions, shift in consumption from goods to services, and ongoing trade restrictions.” Malaysia’s GDP grew by 3.3% in 3Q 2023 Ketua Perangkawan Malaysia Dato’ Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin berkata, “Pada suku ketiga 2023, ekonomi Malaysia berkembang 3.3%, disokong oleh peningkatan permintaan dalam negeri, pasaran buruh yang terus bertambah baik, serta aktiviti pelancongan dan pembinaan yang semakin rancak. Namun, permintaan luar negeri yang lemah dan pengeluaran perlombongan yang lebih rendah telah menjejaskan pertumbuhan ekonomi negara. Dari segi pertumbuhan suku tahun ke suku tahun pelarasan musim, KDNK P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y menunjukkan momentum pertumbuhan yang lebih kukuh iaitu mencatatkan sebanyak 2.6%, iaitu peningkatan berterusan sejak suku keempat. Manakala melihat kepada KDNK bulanan, pertumbuhan KDNK pada bulan Julai adalah sebanyak 4.2%, pada bulan Ogos 3.2%, dan pada bulan September 2.5%.” Chief Statistician of Malaysia Dato’ Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin said, “In the third quarter of 2023, the Malaysian economy grew by 3.3%, supported by expansion in domestic demand, continued improvement in labour market conditions, and rising tourism and construction activities. However, the weaker external demand and lower mining production has weighed on growth. On seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis, GDP this quarter showed a stronger growth momentum of 2.6%, which is a continued improvement since the fourth quarter of 2022.” Expansion in domestic demand, with services and construction sectors supporting growth Chief Statistician of Malaysia Dato’ Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin said, “On the expenditure side, expansion in domestic demand was driven by both private and public sector spending. Higher private consumption growth benefited from favourable labour market conditions, with expansion in both necessities and discretionary spending. Growth in investments reflects continued capacity expansion by businesses, as well as fixed asset spending by the Government and capital expenditure by public corporations. However, net exports continued to contract as weaker external demand weighed on goods exports growth. “Looking at the supply side, growth is driven mainly by the services sector and construction sector. Growth in the services sector improved across both consumer- and business-related subsectors. The sector also continued to benefit from improving tourism-related spending. “For the construction sector, growth was supported by the progress of ongoing large infrastructure and small-scale projects. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y “Meanwhile, the manufacturing sector recorded a marginal contraction mainly on account of further weakness in E&E cluster and lower production of refined petroleum products.” Continued current account surplus and FDI inflows Chief Statistician of Malaysia Dato’ Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin, said, “Malaysia’s Current Account Balance (CAB) in the third quarter of 2023 recorded a continued surplus of RM9.1 billion, equivalent to 2 per cent of the GDP, mainly supported by goods surplus, followed by lower deficit in the Services and Secondary income account. The Services account recorded a lower deficit of RM10.3 billion in the third quarter of 2023, supported by the continued recovery in inbound tourism and construction. “On the income front, the Primary income account posted higher deficit of RM11 billion, mainly due to higher income generated by foreign companies in Malaysia. Meanwhile, the Secondary income account registered a lower deficit of RM2.2 billion. “During this quarter, foreign direct investment (FDI) posted a higher net inflow of RM7.2 billion as against RM3.1 billion in the preceding quarter. The higher FDI inflows were supported by larger inflows in debt instruments and continued equity injections from foreign investors. The largest recipient of FDI was the services sector, mainly in financial and mining & quarrying sectors. Hong Kong, China and the United Kingdom were the primary sources of FDI during this quarter. “In the meantime, direct investment abroad (DIA) outflows expanded to RM13.4 billion, particularly in services sector. The top three destinations of DIA were Indonesia, Angola and Vietnam.” Further expansion in domestic demand and improvement in external demand to support growth in 2024 Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “As we can observe from the GDP performance in the third quarter, the impact of P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y weaker external demand on the economy was cushioned by the resilience of domestic demand. “Looking ahead, Malaysia’s economy is expected to grow between 4% – 5% in 2024, underpinned by continued expansion in domestic demand, and improvement in external demand. “The key factors driving growth are: first, better employment and income prospects, which will help strengthen domestic demand; second, the realisation and progress of multi-year projects; third, improvement in the global tech cycle, which is expected to lead to higher trade activities; and fourth, continued increase in tourist arrivals, which will spur growth in tourism- related sectors.” Household spending to remain as anchor of growth Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Household spending will remain the anchor for growth, and this is driven by continued employment and improvement in income levels, sound financial buffers, and support from targeted government measures.” Favourable labour market conditions going forward Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “The favourable labour market conditions is the key driver for household spending. “Unemployment rate declined to 3.4% in the third quarter and is expected to improve further by the end of 2023. The gradual decline in unemployment was driven mainly by continued expansion in employment. “Going forward, strong job creation data suggests that employment will continue to expand. Furthermore, labour participation rate is also at a historical high of 70.1%. These factors would support further growth in income and consumer spending.” P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Investment activity will be supported by realisation of projects, easing supply conditions and structural policy measures Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Looking ahead, investment activity will be supported by progress of new and existing projects, for example in E&E manufacturing and data centres. Investment would also be boosted by factors such as easing labour supply, stabilisation of input cost, and implementation of structural policy measures through the NIMP and NETR, which includes projects such as the Kasawari Carbon Capture and Storage and EV charging stations. “I must re-emphasise that these investments are not only important in supporting immediate growth, but also to enhance Malaysia’s future growth potential and competitiveness. “In this regard, it is crucial to ensure that the high investment intentions and plans are facilitated and realised.” While exports declined, it exhibited relative resilience amidst a challenging global landscape Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “While exports declined in 3Q 2023, as the slowdown in global trade in goods and a high base in 3Q 2022, this is offset by the higher travel receipts during the quarter. “Notwithstanding this, Malaysia’s diversified exports structure has also partly contributed to export resilience. This is reflected in our export performance, which started to decline much later than some regional economies, with smaller magnitude of contraction. “There are also some signs of stabilisation in export growth as reflected in the turnaround in the quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted export growth.” P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Exports to gradually recover going forward, supported by pick up in global tech cycle and tourism activity Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Exports are expected to gradually recover in the near term. The global semiconductor sales, which have been declining in 1H 2023, is showing some signs of turn-around recently. The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) is projecting a positive growth of 11.8% in 2024, as compared to a contraction of 10.3% in 2023, which will help to lift our exports, especially in E&E products. “In addition, tourism-related activities are expected to pick up further. In 3Q 2023, travel receipts have reached 78% of the corresponding period in 2019. This is expected to continue to recover moving forward and return to pre-pandemic level in 2024.” Inbound tourism continues to recover towards pre-pandemic level, in line with regional economies Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “As of 1H 2023, tourist arrivals in Malaysia have reached about 70% of the pre- pandemic level, in line with most economies in the region. “The recovery is driven mainly by regional tourists from Singapore, Indonesia and Thailand, with Chinese tourists having the largest room for catch up growth in 2024, providing good prospects for Malaysia to benefit. Given this, we should intensify our efforts towards ensuring Malaysia continues to be an attractive global tourist destination. “By the way, I should mention that although the chart on the RHS here shows tourist arrival from China being an outlier, as we have explained earlier, this owes much to factors such as the lack of flights and issues with passport renewals in China when they reopened. These constraints are easing. The latest figures which will be released soon will show a much improved figure.” P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth remains subject to risks from both external and domestic factors Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “The overall growth projection of 4% to 5% next year is subject to both upside and downside risks.” “On the global front, slower-than-expected recovery in external demand is the key downside risk factor. On the domestic front, weaker labour market conditions, more severe shocks on commodity production due to stronger impact from El Nino, and prolonged plant maintenance could also potentially weigh on the growth outlook. “There are also upside risks from stronger-than-expected tourism activity; faster recovery from tech cycle downturn as well as a larger impact from the progress of multi-year investment projects and policy measures under national master plans and blueprints that were announced recently by the Government.” Malaysia’s Economic Resilience: A Post-pandemic Analysis Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “As of 2Q 2023, on a seasonally adjusted basis, Malaysia’s GDP had exceeded pre-pandemic levels by more than 10%. The recovery was led mainly by the manufacturing and services sectors. “Despite the external challenges, Malaysia’s diversified exports and tourism rebound have contributed to the country’s trade resilience. Furthermore, the improving labour market provided job and income opportunities, especially for the vulnerable segments. “In essence, our economic fundamentals have enabled the country to weather the current slowdown in external demand, and the outlook is for further improvement in our growth prospects.” Disinflation trend continued with lower headline and core inflation P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “In line with the easing cost environment, headline inflation continued to trend lower, averaging at 2% for the third quarter (2Q 2023: 2.8%). Much of this downtrend was driven by lower core inflation, which contributed around half of the decline during the third quarter. This also partly reflected effects from the higher base in the third quarter of 2022. “Core inflation moderated to 2.5% during the quarter (2Q 2023: 3.4%) mainly due to lower inflation for core services, such as food away from home, expenditure at restaurants and café, and repair and maintenance of personal transport. The moderation in core inflation is expected to continue until end of the year.” Going forward, the inflation outlook remains highly subject to domestic policy factors, global commodity prices and financial market developments Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “For 2024, headline inflation is expected to average between 2.1% and 3.6% based on the outlook by the Ministry of Finance. The wide range partly accounts for some upside impact from proposed subsidy rationalisation measures, where a more precise details of these policies are currently being finalised. We will continuously evaluate their implications to the inflation outlook going forward based on the final implementation of these policies. “In addition to the domestic policy factors, risks to the inflation outlook could also stem from global developments. Near-term upside risks include higher global commodity prices from geopolitical conflicts and potential disruptions from the El Nino weather phenomenon, as well as higher import prices amid exchange rate pressures. These risks could be offset by more subdued global commodity prices driven by weaker-than-expected global growth, as well as more favourable weather conditions leading to lower pressure on food prices.” P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y The OPR was maintained at 3.00% at the November MPC meeting Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Turning to monetary policy, the MPC maintained the OPR at 3.00% at the November 2023 MPC meeting. “At the current OPR level, the MPC deemed that the monetary policy stance remains supportive of the economy and is consistent with the current assessment of the inflation and growth prospects. “As I mentioned earlier, growth next year will be mainly driven by resilient domestic expenditure. Inflation is also expected to remain modest. “Going forward, the MPC will remain vigilant to ongoing developments to inform the assessment on the outlook of domestic inflation and growth. The MPC will ensure that the monetary policy stance remains conducive to sustainable economic growth amid price stability.” The ringgit depreciated in a strong USD environment Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “The ringgit depreciated against the US dollar in the third quarter. This trend was also observed among other regional currencies, due primarily to external factors including the US monetary policy path. “Malaysia’s economy today is resilient notably in terms of our economic fundamentals, robustness of our financial sector, and depth of our financial markets. The persistently strong US dollar is therefore not expected to derail Malaysia’s growth prospects. “Going forward, global financial market uncertainties are expected to ease – barring any new adverse developments such as heightening geopolitical tensions – as financial markets expect the US policy rate to be reduced next year. This should ease US dollar strength and thus reduce depreciation pressure on the ringgit.” P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Portfolio investment recorded a net outflow amid external uncertainty Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “However, of late, we have experienced outflows from portfolio investment. In the third quarter, portfolio investment recorded a net outflow of RM14.1 billion compared to an inflow of RM8.1 billion in the second quarter of the year due mainly to higher residents’ investments in equity and debt securities abroad. “This also reflected the liquidation of domestic debt securities by non-resident investors, which has partially offset non-residents’ acquisition of equity securities in Malaysia. “To ensure balanced two-way flows, we encourage domestic investors to seek investment opportunities domestically, repatriate export and foreign income and investment proceeds, and sequence foreign investments. “Ongoing and future investment projects and structural policy measures will enhance Malaysia’s future potential growth and competitiveness, which will attract foreign investments. This will provide more sustainable support to the ringgit in the longer-term. “That being said, I want to emphasise that the Bank remains committed to ensure the ringgit adjusts in an orderly manner and in the longer term, it should reflect our economic fundamentals.” Malaysian bond yields and equities rose Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “In the bond market, bond yields on the 10-year MGS rose in line with regional peers amid the increase in US bond yields. Investors were largely expecting the US policy rate to remain higher-for-longer. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y “On domestic equity markets, the announcement of structural reforms, including various national master plans, boosted prospects of corporate earnings of companies in the KLCI. “Such structural reforms reflect Malaysia’s ongoing policy imperatives. Greater investor confidence in Malaysia’s growth prospects will eventually support a real appreciation in the exchange rate as external uncertainties recede.” Credit growth improved following expansion in business loans Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Turning to credit conditions, credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.2% as at end of the third quarter, driven mainly by higher growth in business loans (1.6%; 2Q 2023: 0.5%), while the growth in outstanding corporate bonds was sustained at 5.0% (2Q 2023: 4.9%). For households, outstanding loans grew by 5.4% (2Q 2023: 5.1%), with sustained growth recorded across key purposes. “In terms of credit flows, loan disbursements have remained forthcoming across both the business and household segments.” Banks continued to meet SME financing needs in 3Q 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Financing by banks and DFIs continued to support SMEs’ business needs in the third quarter, with outstanding financing growing at 6.7%. “Approval rates have been higher than the pre-pandemic levels, indicating banks are meeting the strong financing demand for investment-related and working capital purposes. Strong financing activity on both fronts reflect the improved business activity and elevated cash flow needs amid a challenging operating environment. “In 3Q 2023, we saw financing disbursements sustained at high levels, particularly for working capital purposes. Disbursement growth for working P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y capital purposes was primarily driven by the services sectors, notably in the wholesale and retail trade, real estate and information and communication sectors.” Banks remain well-positioned to support financial intermediation needs Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Turning now to the banking system’s resilience. As indicated earlier, the banking system continued to play an important role in supporting growth during the quarter. “Owing to their strong financial position, including high levels of capital and liquidity buffers, banks remain well-positioned to support the financing needs of the domestic economy. “The quality of business and household loans remains sound, with the share of loans with higher credit risk and borrowers receiving repayment assistance moderating. Impairment ratios remain low and stable as well. These improvements have been supported by prudent loan affordability assessments by banks, which help to ensure that borrowers have buffers against rising costs. “Even with these stable levels of impairments, banks remain prudent in their provisioning for potential loan losses, given an environment of rising costs and uneven recovery. “For borrowers who continue to face financial difficulties, I wish to emphasise that bespoke loan repayment assistance from banks and AKPK remains available.” Malaysia’s macroeconomic fundamentals remain supportive of growth Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Let me iterate that Malaysia’s economic fundamentals remain strong and supportive of growth moving forward. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y “GDP has exceeded its pre-pandemic levels, with continued improvement in labour market conditions. “Malaysia’s diversified exports destination and products will cushion the impact from moderating global demand. “Our external position remains strong despite the external headwinds, with sustained net creditor position and continued surplus in the current account balance. “In addition, our deep financial markets and strong financial sector will continue to ensure efficient financial intermediation and contribute towards economic growth.” Summary Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “In summary, the Malaysian economy expanded by 3.3% in the third quarter of 2023, driven mainly by private sector expenditure. The 2.6% growth in seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter number also indicates a positive momentum in economic activity.” “For 2024, growth is projected to improve to between 4% and 5%, anchored by domestic demand.” There are downside as well as upside risks to growth, stemming from both external and domestic factors. Headline inflation is expected to average between 2.1% and 3.6% for 2024.” Bank Negara Malaysia 17 November 2023
Press Release
07 Nov 2023
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 October 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-31-october-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 October 2023 Share: 4 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 October 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Tuesday, 7 November 2023 7 Nov 2023 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD108.5 billion as at 31 October 2023. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.1 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.0 time the total short-term external debt. [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 7.0 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at Quarterly Bulletin 4Q2021 Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 31 October 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 7 November 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
02 Nov 2023
Monetary Policy Statement
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-policy-statement-02112023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/12380720/MPS_Snapshot_2023_11_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary Policy Statement Share: 27 Monetary Policy Statement Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Thursday, 2 November 2023 2 Nov 2023 At its meeting today, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Bank Negara Malaysia decided to maintain the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 3.00 percent. The global economy continues to expand, driven by domestic demand amid strong labour market conditions. Some signs of recovery are emerging in the electrical and electronics (E&E) sector, but global trade remains soft partly due to the shift in spending from goods to services, and ongoing trade restrictions. Global growth remains weighed down by persistently elevated inflation and higher interest rates, with several major economies experiencing slowing growth momentum. There are early signs of improvement in China’s growth, though its property market remained weak. Global headline inflation edged up partly due to higher commodity prices, while core inflation continued to moderate. For most central banks, the monetary policy stance is likely to remain tight. The growth outlook remains subject to downside risks, mainly from higher-than-anticipated inflation outturns, an escalation of geopolitical tensions, and a sharp tightening in financial market conditions. For the Malaysian economy, the advance GDP estimate points to an improvement in economic activity in the third quarter. Growth in 2024 will be driven mainly by resilient domestic expenditure, with some support emanating from the expected recovery in E&E exports. Continued employment and wage growth remain supportive of household spending. Tourist arrivals and spending are expected to improve further. Investment activity would be supported by continued progress of multi-year infrastructure projects, and implementation of catalytic initiatives under the national master plans. Measures under Budget 2024 will also provide additional impetus to economic activity. The growth outlook remains subject to downside risks stemming from weaker-than-expected external demand and larger and protracted declines in commodity production. Meanwhile, upside risks to growth mainly emanate from stronger-than-expected tourism activity, a stronger recovery from the E&E downcycle, and faster implementation of existing and new projects. As expected, both headline and core inflation have moderated, mainly due to easing cost pressures. In the third quarter, headline and core inflation averaged at 2.0% and 2.5%, respectively. Going into 2024, inflation is expected to remain modest. Risks to the inflation outlook remain highly subject to changes to domestic policy on subsidies and price controls, as well as global commodity prices and financial market developments. Of note, the Government’s intention to review price controls and subsidies in 2024 will affect the outlook for inflation and demand conditions. The expectations of a higher-for-longer interest rate environment in the US, and increased concerns over the escalation of geopolitical tensions have contributed to a persistently strong US dollar. This has affected other major and emerging market currencies, including the ringgit. Nevertheless, these developments are not expected to derail Malaysia's growth prospects. Bank Negara Malaysia will continue to manage risks of heightened volatility, including to provide liquidity, to ensure the orderly functioning of the domestic foreign exchange market. Financial institutions continue to operate with strong capital and liquidity buffers, with domestic financial conditions remaining conducive to sustain credit growth. At the current OPR level, the monetary policy stance remains supportive of the economy and is consistent with the current assessment of the inflation and growth prospects. The MPC remains vigilant to ongoing developments to inform the assessment on the outlook of domestic inflation and growth. The MPC will ensure that the monetary policy stance remains conducive to sustainable economic growth amid price stability. The meeting also approved the schedule of MPC meetings for 2024. In accordance with the Central Bank of Malaysia Act 2009, the MPC will convene six times during the year. The Monetary Policy Statement will be released at 3 p.m. on the final day of each MPC meeting.   Schedule of Monetary Policy Committee Meetings for 2024MPC Meeting No. Dates 1st 23 and 24 January 2024 (Tuesday and Wednesday) 2nd 6 and 7 March 2024 (Wednesday and Thursday) 3rd 8 and 9 May 2024 (Wednesday and Thursday) 4th 10 and 11 July 2024 (Wednesday and Thursday) 5th 4 and 5 September 2024 (Wednesday and Thursday) 6th 5 and 6 November 2024 (Tuesday and Wednesday)    See also: Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) Snapshot: November 2023 Frequently Asked QuestionsBank Negara Malaysia 2 November 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
PRESS RELEASE EMBARGO: For immediate release ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS IN MALAYSIA IN THE THIRD QUARTER OF 2023 Press Conference Presentation Transcript Moderate global growth in 3Q 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Global growth in the third quarter of 2023 was moderate, weighed by higher interest rates and elevated inflation. China’s growth showed early signs of improvement as consumption rose, though its property market remained weak. While global core inflation continued to moderate, headline inflation edged up albeit temporarily, partly due to higher commodity prices. Regional exports showed tentative signs of recovery. This was in line with a nascent turnaround in the global E&E sector. However, headwinds remain due to moderating demand conditions, shift in consumption from goods to services, and ongoing trade restrictions.” Malaysia’s GDP grew by 3.3% in 3Q 2023 Ketua Perangkawan Malaysia Dato’ Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin berkata, “Pada suku ketiga 2023, ekonomi Malaysia berkembang 3.3%, disokong oleh peningkatan permintaan dalam negeri, pasaran buruh yang terus bertambah baik, serta aktiviti pelancongan dan pembinaan yang semakin rancak. Namun, permintaan luar negeri yang lemah dan pengeluaran perlombongan yang lebih rendah telah menjejaskan pertumbuhan ekonomi negara. Dari segi pertumbuhan suku tahun ke suku tahun pelarasan musim, KDNK P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y menunjukkan momentum pertumbuhan yang lebih kukuh iaitu mencatatkan sebanyak 2.6%, iaitu peningkatan berterusan sejak suku keempat. Manakala melihat kepada KDNK bulanan, pertumbuhan KDNK pada bulan Julai adalah sebanyak 4.2%, pada bulan Ogos 3.2%, dan pada bulan September 2.5%.” Chief Statistician of Malaysia Dato’ Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin said, “In the third quarter of 2023, the Malaysian economy grew by 3.3%, supported by expansion in domestic demand, continued improvement in labour market conditions, and rising tourism and construction activities. However, the weaker external demand and lower mining production has weighed on growth. On seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter basis, GDP this quarter showed a stronger growth momentum of 2.6%, which is a continued improvement since the fourth quarter of 2022.” Expansion in domestic demand, with services and construction sectors supporting growth Chief Statistician of Malaysia Dato’ Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin said, “On the expenditure side, expansion in domestic demand was driven by both private and public sector spending. Higher private consumption growth benefited from favourable labour market conditions, with expansion in both necessities and discretionary spending. Growth in investments reflects continued capacity expansion by businesses, as well as fixed asset spending by the Government and capital expenditure by public corporations. However, net exports continued to contract as weaker external demand weighed on goods exports growth. “Looking at the supply side, growth is driven mainly by the services sector and construction sector. Growth in the services sector improved across both consumer- and business-related subsectors. The sector also continued to benefit from improving tourism-related spending. “For the construction sector, growth was supported by the progress of ongoing large infrastructure and small-scale projects. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y “Meanwhile, the manufacturing sector recorded a marginal contraction mainly on account of further weakness in E&E cluster and lower production of refined petroleum products.” Continued current account surplus and FDI inflows Chief Statistician of Malaysia Dato’ Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin, said, “Malaysia’s Current Account Balance (CAB) in the third quarter of 2023 recorded a continued surplus of RM9.1 billion, equivalent to 2 per cent of the GDP, mainly supported by goods surplus, followed by lower deficit in the Services and Secondary income account. The Services account recorded a lower deficit of RM10.3 billion in the third quarter of 2023, supported by the continued recovery in inbound tourism and construction. “On the income front, the Primary income account posted higher deficit of RM11 billion, mainly due to higher income generated by foreign companies in Malaysia. Meanwhile, the Secondary income account registered a lower deficit of RM2.2 billion. “During this quarter, foreign direct investment (FDI) posted a higher net inflow of RM7.2 billion as against RM3.1 billion in the preceding quarter. The higher FDI inflows were supported by larger inflows in debt instruments and continued equity injections from foreign investors. The largest recipient of FDI was the services sector, mainly in financial and mining & quarrying sectors. Hong Kong, China and the United Kingdom were the primary sources of FDI during this quarter. “In the meantime, direct investment abroad (DIA) outflows expanded to RM13.4 billion, particularly in services sector. The top three destinations of DIA were Indonesia, Angola and Vietnam.” Further expansion in domestic demand and improvement in external demand to support growth in 2024 Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “As we can observe from the GDP performance in the third quarter, the impact of P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y weaker external demand on the economy was cushioned by the resilience of domestic demand. “Looking ahead, Malaysia’s economy is expected to grow between 4% – 5% in 2024, underpinned by continued expansion in domestic demand, and improvement in external demand. “The key factors driving growth are: first, better employment and income prospects, which will help strengthen domestic demand; second, the realisation and progress of multi-year projects; third, improvement in the global tech cycle, which is expected to lead to higher trade activities; and fourth, continued increase in tourist arrivals, which will spur growth in tourism- related sectors.” Household spending to remain as anchor of growth Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Household spending will remain the anchor for growth, and this is driven by continued employment and improvement in income levels, sound financial buffers, and support from targeted government measures.” Favourable labour market conditions going forward Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “The favourable labour market conditions is the key driver for household spending. “Unemployment rate declined to 3.4% in the third quarter and is expected to improve further by the end of 2023. The gradual decline in unemployment was driven mainly by continued expansion in employment. “Going forward, strong job creation data suggests that employment will continue to expand. Furthermore, labour participation rate is also at a historical high of 70.1%. These factors would support further growth in income and consumer spending.” P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Investment activity will be supported by realisation of projects, easing supply conditions and structural policy measures Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Looking ahead, investment activity will be supported by progress of new and existing projects, for example in E&E manufacturing and data centres. Investment would also be boosted by factors such as easing labour supply, stabilisation of input cost, and implementation of structural policy measures through the NIMP and NETR, which includes projects such as the Kasawari Carbon Capture and Storage and EV charging stations. “I must re-emphasise that these investments are not only important in supporting immediate growth, but also to enhance Malaysia’s future growth potential and competitiveness. “In this regard, it is crucial to ensure that the high investment intentions and plans are facilitated and realised.” While exports declined, it exhibited relative resilience amidst a challenging global landscape Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “While exports declined in 3Q 2023, as the slowdown in global trade in goods and a high base in 3Q 2022, this is offset by the higher travel receipts during the quarter. “Notwithstanding this, Malaysia’s diversified exports structure has also partly contributed to export resilience. This is reflected in our export performance, which started to decline much later than some regional economies, with smaller magnitude of contraction. “There are also some signs of stabilisation in export growth as reflected in the turnaround in the quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted export growth.” P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Exports to gradually recover going forward, supported by pick up in global tech cycle and tourism activity Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Exports are expected to gradually recover in the near term. The global semiconductor sales, which have been declining in 1H 2023, is showing some signs of turn-around recently. The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) is projecting a positive growth of 11.8% in 2024, as compared to a contraction of 10.3% in 2023, which will help to lift our exports, especially in E&E products. “In addition, tourism-related activities are expected to pick up further. In 3Q 2023, travel receipts have reached 78% of the corresponding period in 2019. This is expected to continue to recover moving forward and return to pre-pandemic level in 2024.” Inbound tourism continues to recover towards pre-pandemic level, in line with regional economies Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “As of 1H 2023, tourist arrivals in Malaysia have reached about 70% of the pre- pandemic level, in line with most economies in the region. “The recovery is driven mainly by regional tourists from Singapore, Indonesia and Thailand, with Chinese tourists having the largest room for catch up growth in 2024, providing good prospects for Malaysia to benefit. Given this, we should intensify our efforts towards ensuring Malaysia continues to be an attractive global tourist destination. “By the way, I should mention that although the chart on the RHS here shows tourist arrival from China being an outlier, as we have explained earlier, this owes much to factors such as the lack of flights and issues with passport renewals in China when they reopened. These constraints are easing. The latest figures which will be released soon will show a much improved figure.” P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth remains subject to risks from both external and domestic factors Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “The overall growth projection of 4% to 5% next year is subject to both upside and downside risks.” “On the global front, slower-than-expected recovery in external demand is the key downside risk factor. On the domestic front, weaker labour market conditions, more severe shocks on commodity production due to stronger impact from El Nino, and prolonged plant maintenance could also potentially weigh on the growth outlook. “There are also upside risks from stronger-than-expected tourism activity; faster recovery from tech cycle downturn as well as a larger impact from the progress of multi-year investment projects and policy measures under national master plans and blueprints that were announced recently by the Government.” Malaysia’s Economic Resilience: A Post-pandemic Analysis Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “As of 2Q 2023, on a seasonally adjusted basis, Malaysia’s GDP had exceeded pre-pandemic levels by more than 10%. The recovery was led mainly by the manufacturing and services sectors. “Despite the external challenges, Malaysia’s diversified exports and tourism rebound have contributed to the country’s trade resilience. Furthermore, the improving labour market provided job and income opportunities, especially for the vulnerable segments. “In essence, our economic fundamentals have enabled the country to weather the current slowdown in external demand, and the outlook is for further improvement in our growth prospects.” Disinflation trend continued with lower headline and core inflation P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “In line with the easing cost environment, headline inflation continued to trend lower, averaging at 2% for the third quarter (2Q 2023: 2.8%). Much of this downtrend was driven by lower core inflation, which contributed around half of the decline during the third quarter. This also partly reflected effects from the higher base in the third quarter of 2022. “Core inflation moderated to 2.5% during the quarter (2Q 2023: 3.4%) mainly due to lower inflation for core services, such as food away from home, expenditure at restaurants and café, and repair and maintenance of personal transport. The moderation in core inflation is expected to continue until end of the year.” Going forward, the inflation outlook remains highly subject to domestic policy factors, global commodity prices and financial market developments Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “For 2024, headline inflation is expected to average between 2.1% and 3.6% based on the outlook by the Ministry of Finance. The wide range partly accounts for some upside impact from proposed subsidy rationalisation measures, where a more precise details of these policies are currently being finalised. We will continuously evaluate their implications to the inflation outlook going forward based on the final implementation of these policies. “In addition to the domestic policy factors, risks to the inflation outlook could also stem from global developments. Near-term upside risks include higher global commodity prices from geopolitical conflicts and potential disruptions from the El Nino weather phenomenon, as well as higher import prices amid exchange rate pressures. These risks could be offset by more subdued global commodity prices driven by weaker-than-expected global growth, as well as more favourable weather conditions leading to lower pressure on food prices.” P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y The OPR was maintained at 3.00% at the November MPC meeting Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Turning to monetary policy, the MPC maintained the OPR at 3.00% at the November 2023 MPC meeting. “At the current OPR level, the MPC deemed that the monetary policy stance remains supportive of the economy and is consistent with the current assessment of the inflation and growth prospects. “As I mentioned earlier, growth next year will be mainly driven by resilient domestic expenditure. Inflation is also expected to remain modest. “Going forward, the MPC will remain vigilant to ongoing developments to inform the assessment on the outlook of domestic inflation and growth. The MPC will ensure that the monetary policy stance remains conducive to sustainable economic growth amid price stability.” The ringgit depreciated in a strong USD environment Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “The ringgit depreciated against the US dollar in the third quarter. This trend was also observed among other regional currencies, due primarily to external factors including the US monetary policy path. “Malaysia’s economy today is resilient notably in terms of our economic fundamentals, robustness of our financial sector, and depth of our financial markets. The persistently strong US dollar is therefore not expected to derail Malaysia’s growth prospects. “Going forward, global financial market uncertainties are expected to ease – barring any new adverse developments such as heightening geopolitical tensions – as financial markets expect the US policy rate to be reduced next year. This should ease US dollar strength and thus reduce depreciation pressure on the ringgit.” P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Portfolio investment recorded a net outflow amid external uncertainty Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “However, of late, we have experienced outflows from portfolio investment. In the third quarter, portfolio investment recorded a net outflow of RM14.1 billion compared to an inflow of RM8.1 billion in the second quarter of the year due mainly to higher residents’ investments in equity and debt securities abroad. “This also reflected the liquidation of domestic debt securities by non-resident investors, which has partially offset non-residents’ acquisition of equity securities in Malaysia. “To ensure balanced two-way flows, we encourage domestic investors to seek investment opportunities domestically, repatriate export and foreign income and investment proceeds, and sequence foreign investments. “Ongoing and future investment projects and structural policy measures will enhance Malaysia’s future potential growth and competitiveness, which will attract foreign investments. This will provide more sustainable support to the ringgit in the longer-term. “That being said, I want to emphasise that the Bank remains committed to ensure the ringgit adjusts in an orderly manner and in the longer term, it should reflect our economic fundamentals.” Malaysian bond yields and equities rose Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “In the bond market, bond yields on the 10-year MGS rose in line with regional peers amid the increase in US bond yields. Investors were largely expecting the US policy rate to remain higher-for-longer. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y “On domestic equity markets, the announcement of structural reforms, including various national master plans, boosted prospects of corporate earnings of companies in the KLCI. “Such structural reforms reflect Malaysia’s ongoing policy imperatives. Greater investor confidence in Malaysia’s growth prospects will eventually support a real appreciation in the exchange rate as external uncertainties recede.” Credit growth improved following expansion in business loans Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Turning to credit conditions, credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.2% as at end of the third quarter, driven mainly by higher growth in business loans (1.6%; 2Q 2023: 0.5%), while the growth in outstanding corporate bonds was sustained at 5.0% (2Q 2023: 4.9%). For households, outstanding loans grew by 5.4% (2Q 2023: 5.1%), with sustained growth recorded across key purposes. “In terms of credit flows, loan disbursements have remained forthcoming across both the business and household segments.” Banks continued to meet SME financing needs in 3Q 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Financing by banks and DFIs continued to support SMEs’ business needs in the third quarter, with outstanding financing growing at 6.7%. “Approval rates have been higher than the pre-pandemic levels, indicating banks are meeting the strong financing demand for investment-related and working capital purposes. Strong financing activity on both fronts reflect the improved business activity and elevated cash flow needs amid a challenging operating environment. “In 3Q 2023, we saw financing disbursements sustained at high levels, particularly for working capital purposes. Disbursement growth for working P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y capital purposes was primarily driven by the services sectors, notably in the wholesale and retail trade, real estate and information and communication sectors.” Banks remain well-positioned to support financial intermediation needs Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Turning now to the banking system’s resilience. As indicated earlier, the banking system continued to play an important role in supporting growth during the quarter. “Owing to their strong financial position, including high levels of capital and liquidity buffers, banks remain well-positioned to support the financing needs of the domestic economy. “The quality of business and household loans remains sound, with the share of loans with higher credit risk and borrowers receiving repayment assistance moderating. Impairment ratios remain low and stable as well. These improvements have been supported by prudent loan affordability assessments by banks, which help to ensure that borrowers have buffers against rising costs. “Even with these stable levels of impairments, banks remain prudent in their provisioning for potential loan losses, given an environment of rising costs and uneven recovery. “For borrowers who continue to face financial difficulties, I wish to emphasise that bespoke loan repayment assistance from banks and AKPK remains available.” Malaysia’s macroeconomic fundamentals remain supportive of growth Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Let me iterate that Malaysia’s economic fundamentals remain strong and supportive of growth moving forward. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y “GDP has exceeded its pre-pandemic levels, with continued improvement in labour market conditions. “Malaysia’s diversified exports destination and products will cushion the impact from moderating global demand. “Our external position remains strong despite the external headwinds, with sustained net creditor position and continued surplus in the current account balance. “In addition, our deep financial markets and strong financial sector will continue to ensure efficient financial intermediation and contribute towards economic growth.” Summary Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “In summary, the Malaysian economy expanded by 3.3% in the third quarter of 2023, driven mainly by private sector expenditure. The 2.6% growth in seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter number also indicates a positive momentum in economic activity.” “For 2024, growth is projected to improve to between 4% and 5%, anchored by domestic demand.” There are downside as well as upside risks to growth, stemming from both external and domestic factors. Headline inflation is expected to average between 2.1% and 3.6% for 2024.” Bank Negara Malaysia 17 November 2023
Press Release
31 Oct 2023
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-September 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-september-2023-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-September 2023 Share: 2 Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-September 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Tuesday, 31 October 2023 31 Oct 2023 In accordance with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period. The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III and IV.   As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD110,146.8 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to USD1.6 million as at end-September 2023. As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD17,285.5 million. The net short forward positions amounted to USD24,097.4 million as at end-September 2023, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,214.3 million in the next 12 months. As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets are Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD369.4 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit. Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-September 2023, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable. Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (30 September 2023) Bank Negara Malaysia 31 October 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
28 Oct 2023
Karnival Celik Kewangan Johor: Elevating Digital Financial Capabilities of Malaysians
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/kckj-pr-en
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Reading: Karnival Celik Kewangan Johor: Elevating Digital Financial Capabilities of Malaysians Share: 7 Karnival Celik Kewangan Johor: Elevating Digital Financial Capabilities of Malaysians Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1425 on Saturday, 28 October 2023 28 Oct 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia, in collaboration with members and partners of the Financial Education Network (FEN) as well as the financial industry, is organising the Karnival Celik Kewangan (KCK). The KCK Johor is currently taking place from 27 to 29 October 2023 at AEON Mall Kulaijaya, Johor. The KCK Johor marks the finale of the Financial Literacy Month 2023 (FLM 2023) held throughout the month of October. FEN has covered more than 50 locations nationwide during FLM 2023 to raise awareness on the importance of financial literacy and promote financial inclusion among Malaysians. Throughout the month, FEN has provided the public with access to extensive financial education resources. These resources include personal financial management, digital financial literacy, awareness on financial scams, and free financial advisory services. The KCK Johor offers a unique opportunity for the public to access information on financial products and services. Attendees will be able to learn about their rights and responsibilities as financial consumers. They will also be able to stay updated on the latest developments in business and financial management, as well as seek financial advisory. In addition, attendees will be able to benefit from information booths by FEN strategic partners, government agencies and financial institutions. This includes the #jangankenascam booth which is a collaboration by financial institutions to enhance awareness on financial scams. The three-day carnival also features a wide range of fun and exciting activities. Visitors will be able to take part in pocket talks, lucky draws, children activities, including an appearance by the Si Kijang mascot and a mini concert. The event was officiated by Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour. In his speech, Governor Rasheed highlighted that a considerable number of Malaysians currently adopt a short-term mindset when planning their financial management for futures, resulting in difficulties later due to inadequate financial management. Prudent financial management plays a fundamental role in addressing this, ultimately paving the way for a more prosperous and sustainable standard of living. The event also saw the launch of FEN PROAKTIF[1], a pilot financial education programme developed in collaboration with the Ministry of Higher Education. FEN PROAKTIF aims to equip youths with financial skills relevant to when they start working, including digital financial literacy. Acknowledging the potential of FEN PROAKTIF to positively impact young lives across the nation, Governor Rasheed expressed his aspirations for the swift expansion of the programme to all universities and youth groups, including those in technical and vocational education and training (TVET) institutions and community colleges. Governor Rasheed also thanked FEN members, partners and new strategic collaborators namely Ministry of Rural and Regional Development, Ministry of Youth and Sports, PERKESO, HRDCorp, and Amanah Ikhtiar Malaysia that have supported FLM 2023 to realise FEN’s aspiration to expand its reach in conveying the message of financial literacy.   Financial Education Network 28 October 2023   See also: Governor’s Speech at Karnival Celik Kewangan Johor     About Financial Education Network (FEN) Established in November 2016, FEN serves as an inter-agency platform to increase the impact of financial education initiatives and identify new opportunities to elevate financial literacy among Malaysians through greater alignment, closer collaboration and a strong focus on impact assessments. Its members include the Ministry of Education Malaysia, Ministry of Higher Education, Bank Negara Malaysia, Securities Commission Malaysia, Employees Provident Fund, Agensi Kaunseling dan Pengurusan Kredit, Perbadanan Insurans Deposit Malaysia and Permodalan Nasional Berhad. [1] FEN PROAKTIF refers to Projek Rintis Pendidikan Kewangan di Institusi Pendidikan Tinggi oleh FEN, involving nine universities nationwide. The programme is supported by the four members of FEN, namely the Ministry of Higher Education, Bank Negara Malaysia, Securities Commission Malaysia, and Agensi Kaunseling dan Pengurusan Kredit, with the assistance of the HRDCorp platform eLATIH. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 October 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
27 Oct 2023
Statement on FinTIP Alert
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/fintip
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Reading: Statement on FinTIP Alert Share: 11 Statement on FinTIP Alert Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 0821 on Friday, 27 October 2023 27 Oct 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) would like to address a Financial Sector Cyber Threat Intelligence Platform (FinTIP) alert that was seen circulating on social media. BNM and the financial industry regularly share information about potential threats in the cyberspace. The FinTIP alert is a routine precautionary notice meant for financial institutions and their connected counterparties. FinTIP constantly scans the cyber landscape and highlights emerging threats including potential escalation in hacking activities. The FinTIP alert allows financial institutions to take appropriate preventive measures to secure their systems and avoid any potential disruption to financial services. Bank Negara Malaysia 27 October 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
23 Oct 2023
JC3 Announces Initiatives to Support an Inclusive Transition to a Greener Economy
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/jc3j20-pr-en
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Reading: JC3 Announces Initiatives to Support an Inclusive Transition to a Greener Economy Share: 3 JC3 Announces Initiatives to Support an Inclusive Transition to a Greener Economy Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1530 on Monday, 23 October 2023 23 Oct 2023 The Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) has announced five key initiatives to expedite the transition of businesses and farmers towards low-carbon practices. The announcements were made at the JC3 Journey to Zero Conference which begins today. It underlines JC3’s commitment to pursue accelerated climate action and emphasises the critical role of the financial industry in enabling a sustainable agenda for the country. Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour, Governor of Bank Negara Malaysia, said, “The Bank will continue to provide a facilitative policy environment for the industry to advance financial innovations and explore novel financial structures needed to meet the significant financing needs for climate risk mitigation and adaptation. This will need to include a more prominent role for public-private partnerships and innovative blended finance structures.” Dato’ Seri Dr. Awang Adek Hussin, Chairman of Securities Commission Malaysia, said, “Considering the huge financing requirement for sustainable development and energy transition, the financial sector, particularly the capital market, must continue to facilitate financing and investments in these key areas to support the Government’s priorities.” “As such, the capital market should be ready to facilitate fundraising and investments to achieve sustainability and climate goals,” he added. Y.B. Nik Nazmi Nik Ahmad, Minister of Natural Resources, Environment and Climate Change, who delivered the Keynote Address said, “The very ethos of the governing frameworks of this administration, namely the Malaysia Madani and Ekonomi Madani, have sustainability at their core. Since taking office, we have set into place various measures to both contribute to climate action and transform our economy. “Indeed, the Budget 2024 continues to build on the Ekonomi Madani with holistic measures to address climate change and complement other policies such as the National Energy Transition Roadmap (NETR), the New Industrial Master Plan (NIMP) 2030 and the Mid-Term Review of the 12th Malaysia Plan (MTR-12MP).” These public and private sector collaborations encompass the following: 1. Greening Industrial Parks This pilot project, in partnership with the Ministry of International Trade and Industry, Malaysian Investment Development Authority and SIRIM aims to transition the management of industrial parks and operations of their tenant companies to low-carbon and sustainable practices. These include developing infrastructure such as integrated waste management, use of renewable energy, measurement, monitoring and reporting of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions as well as verification systems. Leveraging SIRIM’s cutting-edge S.M.A.R.T solution, designed for sustainable processes and practices, these industrial parks will be able to enhance their efficiency, minimise waste, reduce carbon footprint, and ensure eco-friendly production processes. 2. Greening Value Chain programme with Bursa Malaysia Following the positive outcomes from the JC3 Greening Value Chain (GVC) pilot programme which was announced in 2022 in conjunction with the Finance Day at COP-27 and has enabled more than 80 participating small and medium enterprises (SMEs) within the supply chain of four corporates to start measuring and reporting their GHG emissions, the Bursa Malaysia’s Centralised Sustainability Intelligence Platform (CSI) is now collaborating with the JC3’s GVC programme. Through the collaboration, more SMEs within the supply chain of Public Listed Companies (PLCs) can benefit from capacity-building support, GHG emissions reporting tools, and transition finance facilities. 3. RM1 billion portfolio guarantee scheme for ESG financing Credit Guarantee Corporation Malaysia Berhad (CGC) in partnership with 18 participating banks will offer RM1 billion portfolio guarantee scheme. This is for ESG financing to support wider access to financing for SMEs. 4. ESG jump-start portal In addition, a one-stop online portal for SMEs to access foundational information to jump-start their sustainability journey is now available on the JC3 website. The portal contains useful and practical information on capacity-building programs, certification schemes, financial and incentive schemes. It also showcases other relevant resources offered by the financial industry, government agencies and other partner organisations.   5. Green AgriTech JC3 is taking steps to further empower the agriculture sector via collaborative partnership with the Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security (MAFS), Lembaga Pertubuhan Peladang (LPP), and the Malaysia Digital Economy Corporation (MDEC) to pilot the Green AgriTech programme, with a key focus on the ESG agenda for the agriculture sector. The program aims to encourage the adoption of green technology and sustainable agriculture practices among local farmers. The JC3 has also issued the 2023 Climate Data Catalogue (DC) on its website today, reflecting the latest set of data needs and sources. The 2023 DC is more comprehensive, incorporating additional data items compared to the first version issued in December 2022. The latest release now features a total of 249 granular data items mapped to 399 data sources from 135 data providers. The availability of required data items in terms of sources, time-series and granularity has also improved. The 2023 DC is available in both Excel and web-based versions. The three-day conference also recognised JC3 members and individuals who have played a critical and active role in leading JC3 initiatives. Further details are available at jc3malaysia.com. The JC3 Journey to Zero conference is hosting more than 3,000 participants ranging from regulators, climate experts, advocates, practitioners, and policymakers. It aims to encourage dialogue and solutions in financing Malaysia’s transition and progress towards sustainable development.   About the JC3 The JC3 is a platform established in September 2019 to pursue collaborative actions for building climate resilience within the Malaysian financial sector. The JC3 is co-chaired by Datuk Jessica Chew Cheng Lian, Deputy Governor of Bank Negara Malaysia and Datuk Kamarudin Hashim, Managing Director of Securities Commission Malaysia, with members comprising senior officials from Bursa Malaysia and 21 financial industry players. The JC3’s initiatives and priorities are undertaken by its five sub-committees, namely Risk Management; Governance and Disclosure; Product and Innovation; Engagement and Capacity Building; and Bridging Data Gaps. An SME Focus Group has been recently established to develop strategies and solutions that support transition by SMEs. Members: Allianz General Insurance Company (Malaysia) Berhad AmBank (M) Berhad Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad Bank Pembangunan Malaysia Berhad Bank Pertanian Malaysia Berhad (Agrobank) BIMB Investment Management Berhad BNP Paribas Asset Management Sdn. Bhd. Bursa Malaysia Berhad CIMB Bank Etiqa Family Takaful Berhad HSBC Amanah Malaysia Berhad Kenanga Investors Berhad Maybank Berhad MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Berhad MSIG Insurance (Malaysia) Berhad RHB Islamic Bank Berhad RHB Islamic International Asset Management Bhd Standard Chartered Bank Malaysia Berhad Swiss Re Asia Pte. Ltd. (Swiss Retakaful) Syarikat Takaful Malaysia Am Berhad UOB Asset Management (Malaysia) Berhad and Zurich General Insurance Malaysia Berhad   Joint Committee on Climate Change 23 October 2023   © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
21 Oct 2023
Assistance for MSMEs under Belanjawan 2024
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/msme-budget24
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Reading: Assistance for MSMEs under Belanjawan 2024 Share: 4 Assistance for MSMEs under Belanjawan 2024 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Saturday, 21 October 2023 21 Oct 2023 RM600 million allocated for MSMEs under BNM’s Fund for SMEs  Additional RM25 million in matching grants allocated through iTEKAD to assist microentrepreneurs  Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) wishes to provide details on the assistance for micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) as announced in the Belanjawan 2024 speech by the Prime Minister and Minister of Finance, YAB Dato’ Seri Anwar bin Ibrahim on 13 October 2023.  Continuous support under BNM’s Fund for SMEs   BNM continues to support priority segments of MSMEs to obtain financing at competitive rates. A total of RM600 million from selected facilities under BNM’s Fund for SMEs has been earmarked for four target segments:  RM200 million increase in allocation for the Micro Enterprises Facility (MEF) to further support the financing needs of microentrepreneurs, of which RM50 million will be allocated for low-income microentrepreneurs under the iTEKAD initiative.   RM200 million under the All Economic Sectors Facility (AES) will be allocated to catalyse the provision of CAKNA 2, a contract financing facility for small contractors (G1-G4) by financial institutions. It aims to support the implementation of small-scale government projects (of contract value less than RM1.5 million).   RM100 million under the Agrofood Facility (AF) will be allocated to support the national food security agenda by increasing domestic food supply and expanding import capacity.   RM100 million under the Low Carbon Transition Facility (LCTF) will be allocated to incentivise MSMEs to obtain sustainability and green certification for their business operations.  Overall, about RM8.4 billion is still available for MSMEs across all financing facilities under the BNM’s Fund for SMEs. These facilities are aligned with efforts to support the involvement of MSMEs in key national initiatives including the New Industrial Master Plan 2030, the National Energy Transition Roadmap and other initiatives under Belanjawan 2024.  For more information on these and other facilities under BNM’s Fund for SMEs, please visit bnm.gov.my/funds4sme  Available Balance for Facilities under BNM’s Fund for SMEs   No  Facility  Available Balance  (RM  million)  Remarks  1  All Economic Sectors Facility (AES)  2,904   RM200 million will be allocated to catalyse the provision of contract financing for small contractors (G1-G4)  2  Business Recapitalisation Facility (BRF) 1,000    3  SME Automation and Digitalisation Facility (ADF)  914    4  Low Carbon Transition Facility (LCTF)  892   RM100 million will be allocated to incentivise MSMEs to obtain sustainability and green certification  5  High Tech and Green Facility (HTG)  808    6  Agrofood Facility (AF)  798   RM100 million will be allocated to support the national food security agenda  7  PENJANA Tourism Financing (PTF) 464    8  Micro Enterprises Facility (MEF)  417  RM200 million increase in allocation for MEF, of which RM50 million will be allocated for low-income microentrepreneurs under iTEKAD initiative  9  Disaster Relief Facility (DRF) 231       Total  8,428    Measures to crowd in social finance funds and support low-income microentrepreneurs through iTEKAD   An additional RM25 million in grants will be allocated to support the expansion of the iTEKAD initiative and assist low-income microentrepreneurs. These funds will be matched with social finance funds such as donations (including corporate social responsibility funds), zakat and cash waqf.   For more information on iTEKAD and other social finance initiatives, please visit bnm.gov.my/social-finance. Bank Negara Malaysia 21 October 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
20 Oct 2023
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 13 October 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-13-october-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 13 October 2023 Share: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 13 October 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Friday, 20 October 2023 20 Oct 2023 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD108.9 billion as at 13 October 2023. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.1 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.0 time the total short-term external debt. [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 7.0 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at Quarterly Bulletin 4Q2021. Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 13 October 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 20 October 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
12 Oct 2023
Advancing Financial Literacy at the National Financial Literacy Symposium 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/nfls23-en
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Reading: Advancing Financial Literacy at the National Financial Literacy Symposium 2023 Share: Advancing Financial Literacy at the National Financial Literacy Symposium 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1635 on Thursday, 12 October 2023 12 Oct 2023 The National Financial Literacy Symposium 2023 (NFLS 2023) took place from 10 to 11 October 2023 at Sasana Kijang, Kuala Lumpur. Organised by the Financial Education Network (FEN), in collaboration with the Malaysian Economic Association (MEA), NFLS 2023 brought together policymakers, researchers, practitioners and non-government organisations to discuss and translate research findings into practical tools and strategies to elevate financial literacy. Collaboration with MEA provides synergy to promote the involvement of economic community in scientific research on the financial well-being of Malaysians. In his keynote address, Bank Negara Malaysia Deputy Governor Encik Adnan Zaylani Mohamad Zahid stressed the importance of a strong research culture in advancing financial literacy. He said, “Our collective goal is to harness the power of research to shape the design, implementation and monitoring of financial education initiatives. The Symposium serves as a platform for robust discussions on current financial literacy issues, involving senior policymakers, market practitioners and academicians”. Meanwhile, Employees Provident Fund Chief Financial Officer Encik Mohamad Hafiz Kassim said, “Advancing financial literacy agenda remains one of our foremost priorities. Through this symposium, we hope to foster a collaborative learning environment, forge meaningful connections, and spark transformative ideas that will have a lasting impact”. In addition to the importance of financial literacy, Agensi Kaunseling dan Pengurusan Kredit Chief Executive Officer Encik Azaddin Ngah Tasir is of the view that climate impact could severely affect our financial well-being in the near future and should be taken seriously. NFLS 2023 was co-hosted by Bank Negara Malaysia, the Employees Provident Fund and Agensi Kaunseling dan Pengurusan Kredit, in conjunction with FEN’s Financial Literacy Month 2023. The two-day Symposium lined up a mix of panel discussions and research paper presentations by domestic, regional and international experts. The Symposium delved into the fast-evolving digital finance realm – the risks it poses and the opportunities it presents for meaningful financial inclusion among consumers. Forty-two research papers were submitted earlier covering various aspects of financial literacy such as financial consumer behaviour, retirement planning, dynamics of gig economy and the advancement of digital financial products and services. Ten submissions were shortlisted and presented at the Symposium. Awards were presented to the three best papers, as follows: Retirement Readiness and Financial Sustainability: Investigating the Behavioural Dynamics among Millennials in Malaysia, by Joyce S.S. Chuah, Santha Vaithilingam, Sharon G.M. Koh, Mahendiran Nair, Monash Universiti Malaysia and Sunway University Digital Financial Literacy and the Usage of Digital Financial Products and Services, by Helen Lee Siew Heng, Loke Yiing Jia and Chin Phaik Nie, Universiti Sains Malaysia Motivations and Drivers Behind Savings Behaviour and their Impact on Financial Resilience: Breaking Common Assumptions, by Nadhirah Ibrahim, Aida Jaslina Jalaludin, Azleen Osman Rani, The Institute for Capital Market Research Malaysia For more information on NFLS 2023, please visit www.fenetwork.my/nfls/   Financial Education Network 12 October 2023   See also: Keynote address by Deputy Governor Adnan Zaylani Mohamad Zahid on the launch of NFLS 2023   About Financial Education Network (FEN) Established in November 2016, FEN serves as an inter-agency platform to increase the impact of financial education initiatives and identify new opportunities to elevate financial literacy among Malaysians through greater alignment, closer collaboration and a strong focus on impact assessments. Its members include the Ministry of Education Malaysia, Ministry of Higher Education, Bank Negara Malaysia, Securities Commission Malaysia, Employees Provident Fund, Agensi Kaunseling dan Pengurusan Kredit, Perbadanan Insurans Deposit Malaysia and Permodalan Nasional Berhad.   © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
09 Oct 2023
Financial Stability Review First Half 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/fsr23h1-en-pr
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Reading: Financial Stability Review First Half 2023 Share: 2 Financial Stability Review First Half 2023 1200 on Monday, 9 October 2023 Overall households’ and businesses’ debt repayment ability remains healthy amid sound lending standards maintained by banks The healthy buffers of financial institutions continue to preserve their resilience against unexpected losses and enable them to support financial intermediation Preservation of operational and cyber readiness of financial institutions remains a priority   Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) released the Financial Stability Review for the First Half of 2023 today. Domestic financial markets remain orderly Despite continued heightened volatility in the global financial markets, domestic market conditions remain orderly. This was reflected in the smooth intermediation of two-way flows in the bond and equity markets. Ringgit continued to be primarily influenced by external developments. However, foreign exchange (FX) risk exposures in the corporate and banking sectors remain manageable. This was underpinned by banks’ sizeable foreign currency liquid asset buffers and corporates’ prudent FX risk management practices. Continued onshore FX market liquidity is enabling orderly adjustments to external developments. This will support businesses and market participants in managing their FX exposures and allocation of resources. Businesses continued to show improvement in financial performance amid ongoing challenges Domestic business activity has improved considerably. However, recovery remains uneven as certain sectors continue to face challenges arising from elevated input costs and weak external demand. Overall business loan impairments remain low at 1% of total banking system loans. The share of SME loans with higher credit risk (classified as Stage 2[1]) remains small at 2.1% of total banking system loans. The share of SME loans under repayment assistance declined further to 5.5% of total SME loans (or 0.9% of total loans from the banking system and development financial institutions). SMEs that have exited repayment assistance programmes have largely been able to sustain their loan repayments. Businesses are likely to face continued headwinds such as elevated costs and weak external demand. In addition, climate-related risks and opportunities are more likely to be important considerations for businesses. However, most businesses are expected to be able to withstand potential new shocks amid improvements in business leverage, healthy cash buffers, and more agile business models. Income and employment growth continues to support household resilience The household debt-to-GDP ratio remains stable at 81.9%. The median debt- to-income (DTI) ratio for overall households had been broadly stable at 1.4 times amid sound lending standards maintained by banks. Other measures of households’ debt repayment ability also indicate limited new risks. The median debt service ratios (DSRs) for newly approved and outstanding household loans remain prudent at 42% and 36%, respectively. This is helping to preserve healthy loan servicing buffers among households. The share of Stage 2[1] household loans has declined further to 4.6% of total household loans (or 2.7% of banking system loans) from 6.7% as of December 2022. Banks remain vigilant of risks associated with higher borrowing costs and the performance of borrowers that are exiting repayment assistance programmes extended during the pandemic. Any drop in household borrowing quality is expected to be well within the existing provisioning and capital buffers of the banking system. Preserving operational and cyber resilience of financial institutions remains a high priority Financial institutions continue to invest significant resources in managing operational and cyber-related risks. The launch of the National Scam Response Centre (NSRC) in October 2022 has allowed for more efficient actions to combat financial scams. Financial institutions are cooperating with law enforcement agencies through the NSRC to clamp down on mule accounts used to facilitate financial scams. Significant resources will continue to be directed towards increasing public cooperation in reporting fraud incidents and raising awareness of safe banking. Financial institutions are also making progress in aligning business operations with environmental and sustainability goals. Bank Negara Malaysia Deputy Governor Jessica Chew says, “Financial institutions are increasingly adopting sustainable investment and lending practices, as well as expanding green financial solutions. To this end, addressing data needs and capacity building in climate risk management continue to be an ongoing priority for financial institutions, through collaborative efforts supported by the Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) with private industry and government agencies.” Domestic financial system remains resilient Banks continued to maintain strong liquidity buffers. The aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio and Net Stable Funding Ratio remained well above regulatory minima at 154.4% and 117.0%, respectively. The banking system remains well- capitalised. The total capital ratio stood at 18.5% at end-June 2023 with capital buffers of RM138.5 billion in excess of the regulatory minimum. Similarly, the insurance and takaful sector also remained resilient. The aggregate capital adequacy ratio and excess capital buffers stood at 225% and RM38.8 billion, respectively, as of the end of June 2023. The strong buffers of banks, insurers, and takaful operators will continue to ensure the financial system’s resilience against future shocks and unexpected losses. This will enable them to continue to support the financing and protection needs of households and businesses.   [1] Stage 2 loans are loans that have exhibited deterioration in credit risk, for which banks are required to set aside provisions based on lifetime expected credit losses based on the Malaysian Financial Reporting Standard 9.   See also: Financial Stability Review First Half 2023    Bank Negara Malaysia 9 October 2023   © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
06 Oct 2023
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 29 September 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-29-september-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 29 September 2023 Share: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 29 September 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Friday, 6 October 2023 6 Oct 2023 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD110.1 billion as at 29 September 2023. The reserves level has taken into account the quarterly foreign exchange revaluation changes. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.1 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.0 time of the total short-term external debt. [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves are sufficient to finance 7.0 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at bnm.gov.my/-/quarterly-bulletin-4q-2021 Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 29 September 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 6 October 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
05 Oct 2023
BIS and central bank partners to explore protocols for embedding policy and regulatory compliance in cross-border transactions
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/project-mandala-launch
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Reading: BIS and central bank partners to explore protocols for embedding policy and regulatory compliance in cross-border transactions Share: 5 BIS and central bank partners to explore protocols for embedding policy and regulatory compliance in cross-border transactions 1400 on Thursday, 5 October 2023 Project Mandala looks to automate compliance procedures, provide real-time transaction monitoring and increase transparency and visibility around country-specific policies. The project explores the feasibility of encoding policy and regulatory requirements into a common protocol. It is a joint collaboration between BIS Innovation Hub (BISIH) Singapore Centre, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Bank of Korea (BOK), Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM), and Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), with financial institutions.   The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) and central bank partners today launched Project Mandala, which explores the feasibility of encoding jurisdiction-specific policy and regulatory requirements into a common protocol for cross-border use cases such as foreign direct investment, borrowing and payments. Disparate policy and regulatory frameworks between different jurisdictions are among the chief obstacles to smooth and efficient cross-border payments. They contribute to the regulatory compliance burden across the payment chain, increase the time for cross-border transactions and introduce uncertainties among stakeholders. Project Mandala – a proof-of-concept run by BISIH Singapore Centre, RBA, BOK, BNM and MAS, with the collaboration of financial institutions – seeks to ease the policy and regulatory compliance burden by automating compliance procedures, providing real-time transaction monitoring and increasing transparency and visibility around country-specific policies. In doing so, it aims to address key challenges identified during Project Dunbar, which developed an experimental multiple central bank digital currency (mCBDC) platform. The envisioned compliance-by-design architecture could enable a more efficient cross-border transfer of any digital assets including CBDCs and tokenised deposits. It could also serve as the foundational compliance layer for legacy and nascent wholesale or retail payment systems. The measures could include quantifiable and configurable foreign exchange rules, as well as anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) measures. Project Mandala aligns with the Financial Stability Board 2023 priority actions for achieving the G20 targets for enhancing cross-border payments in the area of promoting an efficient legal, regulatory and supervisory environment for cross-border payments while maintaining their safety, security and integrity. Bank Negara Malaysia Assistant Governor Dr. Norhana Endut said, “BNM is committed to making cross-border payments more efficient. Project Mandala could pave the way for more seamless cross-border transactions in the future while ensuring that regulatory compliance and transaction security are maintained. We welcome its potential, not only for Malaysia but also for the global community."  Bank Negara Malaysia 5 October 2023   © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
05 Oct 2023
Outcome of Public Consultation on Exposure Draft on Licensing and Regulatory Framework for Digital Insurers and Takaful Operators
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/dito-outcome
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Reading: Outcome of Public Consultation on Exposure Draft on Licensing and Regulatory Framework for Digital Insurers and Takaful Operators Share: 3 Outcome of Public Consultation on Exposure Draft on Licensing and Regulatory Framework for Digital Insurers and Takaful Operators Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1046 on Thursday, 5 October 2023 5 Oct 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) wishes to provide an update on the outcome of the consultation paper on the Exposure Draft on Licensing and Regulatory Framework for Digital Insurers and Takaful Operators (DITO Framework) published in November 2022. The Exposure Draft outlines the proposed framework to facilitate the entry of DITOs in Malaysia that can offer strong value propositions to realise the policy outcomes of inclusion, competition, and efficiency. Feedback from more than 50 stakeholders were received during this consultation period, which ended on 28 April 2023. In the months that followed, BNM continued to engage various stakeholders extensively to consider the feedback received from the Exposure Draft, particularly in relation to alternative business and operational models, as well as on the approach to the foundational phase. The input and feedback received have been insightful in providing additional perspectives, including market trends, to shape the final version of the policy document. Having carefully considered the feedback and additional insights gained, BNM is taking the opportunity to refine several aspects of the DITO Framework. This includes enhancements to provide clarity for emerging and innovative business models such as embedded insurance and insurance-as-a-service. This aims to encourage wider participation from players in the insurance and takaful value chain that can deliver the intended policy outcomes of the DITO Framework. BNM plans to finalise the framework by the first half of 2024. BNM would like to thank all parties that have contributed views, ideas and proposals during the consultation. Interested parties are still welcome to provide further feedback or engage BNM on the DITO Framework at DITF@bnm.gov.my. Bank Negara Malaysia 5 October 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
29 Sep 2023
DuitNow QR payments: Micro and small businesses will continue to enjoy zero-cost transactions; No new costs for individual customers
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/duitnow-qr-payments
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Reading: DuitNow QR payments: Micro and small businesses will continue to enjoy zero-cost transactions; No new costs for individual customers Share: 50 DuitNow QR payments: Micro and small businesses will continue to enjoy zero-cost transactions; No new costs for individual customers 2206 on Friday, 29 September 2023 Major banks and non-bank financial service providers will waive transaction fees for micro and small businesses accepting DuitNow QR payments   Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) would like to address concerns over the imposition of a transaction fee[1] by some acquirers[2] on businesses that accept DuitNow QR payments from 1 October 2023, following the end of a temporary fee waiver introduced in 2019. The transaction fee is intended to cover costs and investments needed by the industry to upkeep their payment systems, including cybersecurity and fraud prevention controls, in order to maintain the high service and security standards for payment services. DuitNow QR remains an affordable and cost-effective payment method. For individual customers, the usage of DuitNow QR to make payments will not attract any additional charges. For businesses, any transaction fee imposed on QR payments remains as low as, or lower than, fees imposed on payments using debit cards. Businesses using DuitNow QR as a payment method also do not need to incur recurring costs for POS terminal rental for card-based payment channels or additional overhead and administrative costs for handling cash payments. The industry will take measures to minimise the potential impact of transaction fees on small businesses. Major banks and selected non-bank financial service providers, who manage 75% of businesses currently accepting DuitNow QR payments, have announced that they will continue to waive the transaction fee for micro and small businesses accepting DuitNow QR payments. In addition, PayNet[3] will allocate resources to help defray the costs incurred by acquirers that continue to offer full waivers to micro and small businesses accepting DuitNow QR payments. Together, these measures will enable micro and small businesses to continue to enjoy DuitNow QR payment services at zero cost, while ensuring that QR payment services remain efficient, reliable, and safe for all consumers. BNM remains fully committed to supporting the widespread adoption of digital payments in Malaysia through a vibrant, secure, and inclusive payment ecosystem that is also sustainable over the long term.   Bank Negara Malaysia 29 September 2023   [1] The transaction fee applicable for business merchants is known as the Merchant Discount Rate (MDR), which is a common fee associated with the provision of electronic payment services. It is charged based on a percentage of the payment transaction value to cover processing costs. A business merchant would receive the payment made by their customers after deducting the MDR. Currently, debit and credit card payments also incur MDRs. [2] Acquirers are banks or non-bank financial service providers that provide merchant acquiring services that enable businesses, including micro and small businesses, to accept electronic payments for the sale of goods and services to their customers. [3] Payments Network Malaysia Sdn Bhd (PayNet), the operator of DuitNow QR.   © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
29 Sep 2023
Monetary and Financial Developments in August 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-and-financial-developments-in-august-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/12049798/i_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary and Financial Developments in August 2023 Share: 4 Monetary and Financial Developments in August 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Friday, 29 September 2023 29 Sep 2023 Headline inflation remained unchanged at 2.0% in August Headline inflation remained unchanged at 2.0% (July 2023: 2.0%) as the decline in core inflation was offset by an uptick in inflation for non-core components, including fuel and electricity. The lower core inflation at 2.5% (July 2023: 2.8%) largely reflected lower inflation for food away from home, rental and discretionary services. Exports declined further in August Exports contracted by 18.6% in August 2023 (July 2023: -13.0%), reflecting weaker external demand and a decline in commodity prices amid a high base effect. Manufactured export growth was weighed mainly by electrical and engineering (E&E) products, petroleum and palm oil-based products. Meanwhile, commodities exports declined due primarily to lower palm oil, liquefied natural gas and crude petroleum shipments. Export growth is expected to remain in contraction in the near term, albeit at a milder pace. Downside risks remain, stemming from weaker external Sustained growth in credit to the private non-financial sector in August Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 3.8% as at end-August (July 2023: 3.8%), supported by higher growth in outstanding loans. For businesses, while outstanding corporate bonds grew at a slower pace of 4.4% (July 2023: 5.2%), outstanding loan growth increased to 0.7% (July 2023: 0.2%). This mainly reflected improvement in the non-SME segment, for both working capital and investment loans. Of note, growth in outstanding loans to SMEs remained largely forthcoming at 2% (July 2023: 6.7%). Growth in outstanding household loans was sustained at 3% (July 2023: 5.2%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. Household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.3% and 8.7%, respectively (July 2023: 7.1% and 8.4%, respectively). Domestic financial markets were driven by external factors Global financial markets were weighed down by ongoing concerns surrounding the Chinese economic slowdown. The People’s Bank of China announced an unexpected round of monetary policy easing. Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve’s Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed at the Jackson Hole Symposium that US monetary conditions would need to remain tight for longer. As a result, the ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 2.1% (regional[1] average: -2.4%), while the FBM KLCI declined by 0.5% (regional average: -2.0%). 10-year MGS yields remain unchanged in Banks remain well-capitalised to support economic growth Banks’ capital position remained strong to withstand potential shock and support credit intermediation growth in the economy. The banking system recorded excess capital buffers[2] of RM133.3 billion as of the reporting date. Banking system resilience continues to be underpinned by sound asset quality Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remain largely unchanged at 1.8% and 1.1%, respectively. Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remains at a prudent level of 115.0% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.6% of total loans. See also: Monthly Highlights [PDF] [1] Regional countries comprised of Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia and Korea [2] Refers to total capital above the regulatory minimum, which includes the capital conservation buffer (2.5%) and bank-specific higher minimum requirements Related Assets Monthly Highlights & Statistics in August 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 29 September 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights May 2023 Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined further to 2.8% in May May 2023 Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation moderated to 2.8% (April 2023: 3.3%). This decline was largely due to non-core CPI components, particularly lower inflation for fuel (-0.2 percentage points, ppt) and fresh food (-0.1ppt). • Core inflation also declined slightly to 3.5% (April 2023: 3.6%) amid lower inflation for communication services. 3.3 2.8 3.6 3.5 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 A p r- 2 3 M a y -2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) 1.6 5.1 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 1 Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector improved in May 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.0% as at end-May (April 2023: 3.7%), driven mainly by higher growth in credit to businesses (2.8%; April 2023: 2.5%). • Outstanding corporate bonds grew by 4.6% (April 2023: 4.4%), while outstanding business loans expanded by 1.6% (April 2023: 1.0%). The higher business loan growth reflected improvement in loans for both working capital and investments to SMEs and non-SMEs. • In the household segment, outstanding loan growth was sustained at 5.1% (April 2023: 5.0%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. Of note, household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.0% and 8.4%, respectively (April 2023: 6.8% and 8.0%). 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 4.5 4.2 3.7 4.0 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Index of wholesale and retail trade growth moderated in April Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded more moderately by 4.7% in April 2023 (March 2023: 9.4%). The lower growth was due mainly to the decline in the motor vehicle segment. • However, the retail segment continued to record a double-digit growth of 10.0% (March 2023: 13.8%), supported by sales in non-specialised and other specialised stores1. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index increased at a faster pace of 6.5% (March 2023: -0.9%). 1 Other goods in specialised stores includes clothing, footwear, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, watches, jewellery and optical goods. 10.6 9.4 4.7 -2 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 Apr-22 Jun-22 Aug-22 Oct-22 Dec-22 Feb-23 Apr-23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Monthly Highlights 2 May 2023 Domestic financial markets were largely affected by external factors Financial Market Performance in May 2023 -18.0 -0.5 -1.1 -3.0 -2.0 -3.4 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -20 -15 -10 -5 0 May-23 Apr-23 Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 1Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia • Global investors maintained a risk-off approach throughout May, as concerns over the impact of the US debt ceiling crisis and the weaker-than- expected rebound in China’s economy weighed on global financial markets. • As a result, the ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 3.4% (regional1 average: -1.2%). Similarly, the FBM KLCI declined by 2.0% (regional1 average: -1.3%). • Nonetheless, the 10-year MGS yields decreased slightly by 3 basis points, supported by non-resident inflows into the domestic bond market. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 151.2% (April 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.8% (April 2023: 82.1%). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.8 151.2 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.80% (April 2023: 1.78%) and 1.10% (April 2023: 1.10%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remained at a prudent level of 114.1% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.1 1.7 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio April 2023 Monthly Highlights Slide 1 Slide 2
Press Release
29 Sep 2023
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-August 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-august-2023-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-August 2023 Share: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-August 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Friday, 29 September 2023 29 Sep 2023 In accordance with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period. The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III and IV. As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD112,460.7 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to USD1.7 million as at end-August 2023. As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD17,555.2 million. The net short forward positions amounted to USD22,889.7 million as at end-August 2023, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,228.8 million in the next 12 months. As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets are Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD369.5 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit. Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-August 2023, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable.   Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (31 August 2023) Bank Negara Malaysia 29 September 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
27 Sep 2023
Joint Statement by Bank Negara Malaysia and Securities Commission Malaysia: Updates from the 11th Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) Meeting
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/jc3-mtg11-en
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Reading: Joint Statement by Bank Negara Malaysia and Securities Commission Malaysia: Updates from the 11th Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) Meeting Share: 9 Joint Statement by Bank Negara Malaysia and Securities Commission Malaysia: Updates from the 11th Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) Meeting Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1040 on Wednesday, 27 September 2023 27 Sep 2023 The Joint Committee on Climate Change (JC3) convened its eleventh meeting on 20 September 2023 to review the progress and action plans of JC3. Members also discussed the proposed deliverables and action plans of the newly established SME Focus Group within JC3. Working Groups on Physical Risk and Transition Risk have been formed under JC3 to support financial institutions’ implementation of the Policy Document on Climate Risk Management and Scenario Analysis (CRMSA) issued by Bank Negara Malaysia. Engagements with industry are also being intensified to build capacity and accelerate preparations for the upcoming industry-wide Climate Risk Stress Test (CRST). JC3 also noted improvements[1] towards more consistent and credible reporting by financial institutions under the Climate Change and Principle-based Taxonomy (CCPT), although financial institutions continue to face challenges in obtaining information from their customers and counterparties to enable appropriate classifications. In addressing this challenge, JC3 will facilitate the adoption of a standardised minimum due diligence questionnaire by financial institutions and develop tailored guidance for SMEs to provide the information required by financial institutions. JC3 is reviewing the TCFD[2] Application Guide for Malaysian Financial Institutions[3] published in June 2022 and will make relevant updates to the Guide to take into account the International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) general sustainability-related (S1) and climate-related (S2) disclosure standards. Members were also updated on the immediate focus and priorities of the Advisory Committee on Sustainability Reporting. This committee was established with the endorsement of the Ministry of Finance and chaired by the Securities Commission Malaysia to look into the implementation of the ISSB in Malaysia. The newly formed SME Focus Group under JC3 will initially focus on enhancing awareness, facilitating green certifications of SMEs and supporting better disclosures. This will complement existing initiatives by Government ministries and agencies to jump-start the transition journey for SMEs. The SME Focus Group will work in close collaboration with FIs, relevant Government ministries and agencies, Credit Guarantee Corporation and SME trade associations in this important effort. Members also noted the positive outcomes from the Greening Value Chain (GVC) pilot programme, an initiative rolled out by JC3 earlier this year. The programme, implemented in partnership with four corporates, has enabled sixty participating SMEs within their supply chain to start measuring and reporting their greenhouse gas emissions. Jessica Chew, Deputy Governor of Bank Negara Malaysia and Co-Chair of JC3, said, “It is critical to ensure that SMEs are not left behind in the transition to a greener economy. Key to this will be reducing the costs of transition for SMEs and leveraging strategic partners, including FIs and large anchor corporates to support SMEs on this journey.” At this meeting, members also had a fruitful exchange with the Ministry of Economy to gain better insights on the National Energy Transition Roadmap (NETR) and the role of the financial sector in supporting the flagship projects outlined in the NETR, as well as areas of collaboration between the financial sector and Government. Datuk Kamarudin Hashim, Managing Director of the Securities Commission Malaysia and Co-Chair of JC3, stated, “Given the nature of climate-related projects, public sector financing alone will not be viable. Blended financing can bridge the gap to make financing for sustainable projects more feasible. In this regard, blended financing can accelerate the implementation of projects and initiatives, including under the recently launched NETR by the Ministry of Economy, which aims to accelerate the development of a sustainable, affordable and resilient energy system to support Malaysia's low-carbon transition.” JC3 will soon organise its biennial flagship conference that will take place from 23 to 25 October 2023 at Sasana Kijang, Kuala Lumpur. This hybrid JC3 Journey to Zero Conference will focus on practical and actionable solutions, emphasising the critical role of the financial industry in driving sustainable transformation. For those interested in participating in the JC3 Journey to Zero Conference, registration is now open at https://jc3conference.com/.   Bank Negara Malaysia Securities Commission Malaysia 27 September 2023 [1] Improvements in interpreting guiding principles in particular Guiding Principle 3 (“no significant harm to the environment”) and Guiding Principle 4 (“remedial measures to transition”) after the issuance of the Due Diligence Questions in assessing BNM CCPT Guiding Principles 3 and 4 by CCPT IG in April 2023 [2] Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures [3] Released by JC3 in 2022   About the JC3 The JC3 is a platform established in September 2019 to pursue collaborative actions for building climate resilience within the Malaysian financial sector. The JC3 is co-chaired by Datuk Jessica Chew Cheng Lian, Deputy Governor of Bank Negara Malaysia and Datuk Kamarudin Hashim, Managing Director of Securities Commission Malaysia, with members comprising senior officials from Bursa Malaysia and 21 financial industry players. The JC3’s initiatives and priorities are undertaken by its five sub-committees, namely Risk Management; Governance and Disclosure; Product and Innovation; Engagement and Capacity Building; and Bridging Data Gaps. An SME Focus Group has been established to develop strategies and solutions that support transition by SMEs. Members: Allianz General Insurance Company (Malaysia) Berhad, AmBank (M) Berhad, Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad, Bank Pembangunan Malaysia Berhad, Bank Pertanian Malaysia Berhad (Agrobank), BIMB Investment Management Berhad, BNP Paribas Asset Management Sdn. Bhd., Bursa Malaysia Berhad, CIMB Bank, Etiqa Family Takaful Berhad, HSBC Amanah Malaysia Berhad, Kenanga Investors Berhad, Maybank Berhad, MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Berhad, MSIG Insurance (Malaysia) Berhad, RHB Islamic Bank Berhad, RHB Islamic International Asset Management Bhd., Standard Chartered Bank Malaysia Berhad, Swiss Re Asia Pte. Ltd. (Swiss Retakaful), Syarikat Takaful Malaysia Am Berhad, UOB Asset Management (Malaysia) Berhad and Zurich General Insurance Malaysia Berhad.   © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
22 Sep 2023
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 September 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-15-september-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 September 2023 Share: 4 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 September 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Friday, 22 September 2023 22 Sep 2023 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD111.5 billion as at 15 September 2023. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.2 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.0 time of the total short-term external debt.   [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 7.1 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at bnm.gov.my/-/quarterly-bulletin-4q-2021 Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 15 September 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 22 September 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
19 Sep 2023
Renewal of Bilateral Swap Arrangement between Japan and Malaysia
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/bsa-bnm-boj-en
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Reading: Renewal of Bilateral Swap Arrangement between Japan and Malaysia Share: Renewal of Bilateral Swap Arrangement between Japan and Malaysia Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1400 on Tuesday, 19 September 2023 19 Sep 2023 Japan and Malaysia renewed the Bilateral Swap Arrangement1 (BSA) effective on 18 September 2023. The Bank of Japan (BOJ), acting as agent for the Minister of Finance of Japan, and Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) renewed the BSA of up to USD3 billion. The signed Amendment and Restatement Agreement follows the BSA signed in 2020. The renewed BSA incorporates the recent amendments to the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralisation (CMIM) Agreement. Japan and Malaysia agree that the BSA will further deepen financial cooperation between the two countries and enhance regional financial stability.   1 The BSA is a bilateral agreement that allows both parties to exchange their local currencies for U.S. Dollars, with Malaysia also having the option to exchange Malaysian ringgit for Japanese yen.   Bank of Japan Bank Negara Malaysia 19 September 2023   © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
07 Sep 2023
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 30 August 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-30-august-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 30 August 2023 Share: 3 International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 30 August 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Thursday, 7 September 2023 7 Sep 2023 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD112.5 billion as at 30 August 2023. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.2 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.0 time of the total short-term external debt. [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 7.1 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at bnm.gov.my/-/quarterly-bulletin-4q-2021 Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 30 August 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 7 September 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
07 Sep 2023
Monetary Policy Statement
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-policy-statement-07092023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/11842159/MPS_Snapshot_2023_09_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary Policy Statement Share: 17 Monetary Policy Statement Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Thursday, 7 September 2023 7 Sep 2023 At its meeting today, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Bank Negara Malaysia decided to maintain the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 3.00 percent. The global economy continues to expand, driven by resilient domestic demand supported by strong labour market conditions. Global growth, however, remains weighed down by persistently elevated core inflation and higher interest rates. Global trade is also affected by rotation of spending from goods to services, and the ongoing electrical and electronics (E&E) downcycle. The slower-than-expected growth in China also weighed on the global economy. Globally, headline inflation continued to moderate. While core inflation in advanced economies is slowing down, it remains above historical averages. For most central banks, the monetary policy stance is likely to remain tight. The growth outlook remains subject to downside risks, mainly from a slower momentum in major economies, higher-than-anticipated inflation outturns, an escalation of geopolitical tensions, and a sharp tightening in financial market conditions. In the second quarter of the year, growth of the Malaysian economy was affected by slower external demand and a decline in commodity production. Moving forward, growth will continue to be driven by resilient domestic expenditure amid the challenging external environment. Continued employment and wage growth, particularly in the domestic-oriented sectors, remain supportive of household spending. Tourist arrivals and spending are expected to improve further. Investment activity would be supported by continued progress of multi-year infrastructure projects, and implementation of catalytic initiatives under the recently announced national master plans. Domestic financial conditions also remain conducive to financial intermediation amid sustained credit growth. These factors will continue to underpin the growth momentum going into 2024. While the growth outlook is subject to downside risks stemming from weaker-than-expected external demand and larger and protracted declines in commodity production, upside risks mainly emanate from stronger-than-expected tourism activity, a stronger recovery from the E&E downcycle, and faster implementation of existing and new projects. In line with expectations, headline and core inflation have continued to ease amid the more moderate cost conditions. This moderating trend would likely continue in the second half of 2023, partly reflecting the higher base from the second half of 2022 and continued easing momentum of price increases. Risks to the inflation outlook remain highly subject to changes to domestic policy on subsidies and price controls, global commodity prices and financial market developments, as well as the degree of persistence in core inflation. At the current OPR level, the monetary policy stance remains supportive of the economy and is consistent with the current assessment of the inflation and growth prospects. The MPC remains vigilant to ongoing developments to inform the assessment on the outlook of domestic inflation and growth. The MPC will ensure that the monetary policy stance remains conducive to sustainable economic growth amid price stability.   See also: Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) Snapshot: September 2023 Frequently Asked QuestionsBank Negara Malaysia 7 September 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services 27Quarterly Bulletin | 4Q 2021 Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services One of the indicators used by the Bank to measure international reserve adequacy is the reserve coverage of retained imports,1 which is communicated on a fortnightly basis. As the economy grew and evolved with higher share of the services sector, this has raised the prominence of services imports in the measure of reserve adequacy. Given this consideration and in line with the international best practice, future fortnightly reporting of Malaysia’s international reserves will include the indicator on reserve coverage of imports of goods and services, effective from 22 February 2022.2 1 Defined as gross imports subtracted with re-exports. The 12-month average retained imports can be derived from the Monthly Highlight and Statistics Table 3.6.8 (Imports by End-Use; see Appendix 1). 2 For the international reserves position as at 15 February 2022. 3 Defined as imports plus exports. 4 From RM101.3 billion to RM351.3 billion, or a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.4%. 5 Based on JP Morgan’s Government Bond Index for Emerging Markets. Services tradeC1 0 100 200 300 400 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 RM billion Travel1 Computer and information Transport Manufacturing Other business3 Other2 Perdagangan perkhidmatanR1 0 100 200 300 400 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 RM bilion Perjalanan1 Komputer dan informasi Pengangkutan Pembuatan Perniagaan Lain3 Lain-lain2 Nota: Data sebelum tahun 2005 adalah berdasarkan garis panduan dalam Edisi Kelima Manual Imbangan Pembayaran dan Kedudukan ............Pelaburan Antarabangsa (BPM5) IMF. Data bagi tahun 2005 dan selanjutnya adalah berdasarkan BPM6. 1 Termasuk perbelanjaan perjalanan bagi aktiviti pelancongan. 2 Termasuk pembinaan, caj penggunaan harta intelek, perkhidmatan persendirian, kebudayaan dan rekreasi. 3 Perkhidmatan perniagaan lain termasuk perkhidmatan penyelidikan dan pembangunan, profesional, teknikal, berkaitan perdagangan dan ...perkhidmatan perniagaan lain. Sumber: Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia dan Bank Negara Malaysia Note: Data prior to 2005 are based on the guideline in the Fifth Edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position ............Manual (BPM5) of the IMF. Data for 2005 and beyond are based on BPM6. 1 Includes travel spending for tourism activity. 2 Includes construction, charges for intellectual property use, personal, culture & recreational services. 3 Other business services comprise research and development, professional, technical, trade-related and other business services. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia The Bank’s reporting of the reserve coverage of retained imports was published as early as in the 1990s. Data on retained imports are available on monthly basis and thereby closely match the fortnightly release of the international reserves data. However, retained imports do not include payment for services, which has grown over the past two decades. From 1999 to 2019, services trade3 has increased by 246.9%4 (Chart 1). This was mainly due to higher tourism activity as well as payments for foreign transport services for goods trade. In addition, there was also an expansion in goods import, largely in support of domestic investment activities and production of manufactured goods. Malaysia’s performance on this indicator is in line with regional and peer5 economies. On historical basis, reserve coverage of imports of goods and services indicator has been in the range of between 5 and 8 months since 2008 – well above the generally-accepted ‘rule of thumb’ adequacy threshold of 3-months, and demonstrates the ability of the Malaysian economy to withstand against external shocks. 28 Quarterly Bulletin | 4Q 2021 It is also important to emphasize that the assessment of reserve adequacy should not be solely based on the face value of these indicators. This needs to be complemented with deeper understanding about the country’s external position, financial system and broad economic policies. In particular, international reserves is not the only means to meet external obligations.6 Prevailing assessment indicates that the country’s external position7 is underpinned by its strong economic fundamentals including healthy current account surplus, large foreign currency external assets held by domestic entities8 and the flexible ringgit exchange rate. References Department of Statistics, Malaysia. ‘External Sector’, Jabatan Perangkaan Malaysia, Putrajaya. Greenspan, A., ‘Currency reserves and debt’. Remarks before the World Bank Conference on Recent Trends in Reserves Management, Washington, DC, 29 April 1999. International Monetary Fund, (2016). ‘Guidance Note on the Assessment of Reserve Adequacy and Related Considerations’. Appendix 1: Calculation of international reserves coverage of retained imports aFor example, to calculate monthly retained imports for December 2019, the retained imports for the months of January to December 2019 is summed up (i.e. rolling 12-months of retained imports). This number is then divided by 12, to obtain a monthly average. The figures can be obtained from BNM’s MHS Table 3.6.8, column S. 6 Further information can be found in the box article “Malaysia’s Resilience in Managing External Debt Obligations and the Adequacy of International Reserves” in BNM’s Annual Report 2018. 7 In addition, it has also been emphasized that Malaysia’s external debt position, including short-term external debt, remains manageable. This is supported by the favourable currency and maturity profile on its external debt as well as domestic entities’ resilient repayment capacity. Foreign-currency external debt of corporates are also mainly subject to prudential and hedging requirements (refer to the latest assessment on external debt developments on page 25) 8 Amounting to RM1.1 trillion as at end-2021.
Press Release
30 Aug 2023
Appointment of New Deputy Governor of Bank Negara Malaysia
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/appt-dgazmz
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Reading: Appointment of New Deputy Governor of Bank Negara Malaysia Share: 10 Appointment of New Deputy Governor of Bank Negara Malaysia Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1600 on Wednesday, 30 August 2023 30 Aug 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia (the Bank) today announces that the Minister of Finance has approved the appointment of Encik Adnan Zaylani bin Mohamad Zahid as Deputy Governor for a three-year term effective 1 September 2023. As Deputy Governor, Encik Adnan Zaylani will oversee the Financial Markets and Development sectors. He will be a member of the Bank’s Board of Directors and continue to serve on various committees of the Bank, including the Management Committee, Monetary Policy Committee, Reserve Management Committee, Financial Risk Management Committee, Financial Stability Committee, and Joint Policy Committee. Encik Adnan Zaylani joined the Bank in 1994 and holds a Master of Public Policy from the Blavatnik School of Government, University of Oxford. He also holds a Master of Science in Global Market Economics and a Bachelor of Science in Economics from the London School of Economics and Political Science. Throughout his 29-year career with the Bank, he has been involved in diverse areas of central banking ranging from investments and financial markets, foreign exchange policy, Islamic finance and financial sector development. He is currently the Chairman of the Financial Markets Committee, and a member of the Board Executive Committee of the International Islamic Liquidity Management Corporation, the Board of Directors of Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Diperbadankan) [KWAP], and the Board of Directors of International Centre for Education in Islamic Finance.  Bank Negara Malaysia 30 August 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
30 Aug 2023
Monetary and Financial Developments in July 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-and-financial-developments-in-july-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/11761547/i_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary and Financial Developments in July 2023 Share: Monetary and Financial Developments in July 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Wednesday, 30 August 2023 30 Aug 2023 Headline inflation continued to moderate to 2.0% in July Headline inflation declined to 2.0% (June 2023: 2.4%) in line with easing monthly price increases. The decline was driven by lower core inflation[1] at 2.8% (June 2023: 3.1%) attributed mainly to lower inflation for food away from home and selected discretionary services. Manufacturing production contracted by 1.6% in June Manufacturing IPI contracted by 1.6% in June 2023 compared to a year ago, weighed down by weaker production of electrical and electronic products (E&E) and refined petroleum products amid the global tech cycle downturn and decline in mining output, respectively.  However, production in the domestic-oriented clusters remained resilient, reflecting mainly the continued growth in food, beverages and tobacco, metals and non-metallic products as well as transport equipment. Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector[2],[3] was sustained in July Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 3.8% as at end-July (June 2023: 3.8%), underpinned by sustained loan growth in the household segment. Outstanding business loans expanded at a slower pace of 0.2% (June 2023: 0.7%), due mainly to a more moderate growth in working capital loans among non-SMEs. Growth in outstanding loans to SMEs, however, remained forthcoming (6.7%; June 2023: 6.4%). In addition, outstanding corporate bond growth continued to increase (5.2%; June 2023: 4.9%), as bond issuances growth outpaced that of redemptions. Growth in outstanding household loans was sustained at 5.2% (June 2023: 5.1%), with steady growth registered across most loan purposes. This was reflective of the higher growth in household loan applications, particularly for the purchase of houses, cars and personal use. Domestic financial markets were mostly affected by investors’ expectations of the US policy rate cycle Domestic financial market developments were driven mainly by financial market expectations that the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy tightening cycle was nearing its end after the policy rate increase at the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The ringgit appreciated against the US dollar by 3.1%, higher than the regional[4] average of 1.9%. 10-year MGS yields declined marginally by 1 bps. The FBM KLCI also increased by 6.0% (regional[4] average: 3.5%). Banks remained well-capitalised to support economic growth Banks' capital position remained strong to withstand potential stress and provide credit to support economic activities. The banking system excess capital buffer[5] was healthy at RM142.0 billion. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions Banking system continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 154.8% (June 2023: 154.3%). The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained largely stable at 82.0% (June 2023: 81.6%).   See also: Monthly Highlights [PDF] [1] Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. [2] Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). [3] Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. [4] Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea. [5] Refers to total capital above the regulatory minimum, which includes the capital conservation buffer (2.5%) and bank-specific higher minimum requirements. Related Assets Monthly Highlights & Statistics in July 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 30 August 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights May 2023 Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined further to 2.8% in May May 2023 Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation moderated to 2.8% (April 2023: 3.3%). This decline was largely due to non-core CPI components, particularly lower inflation for fuel (-0.2 percentage points, ppt) and fresh food (-0.1ppt). • Core inflation also declined slightly to 3.5% (April 2023: 3.6%) amid lower inflation for communication services. 3.3 2.8 3.6 3.5 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 A p r- 2 3 M a y -2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) 1.6 5.1 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 1 Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector improved in May 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.0% as at end-May (April 2023: 3.7%), driven mainly by higher growth in credit to businesses (2.8%; April 2023: 2.5%). • Outstanding corporate bonds grew by 4.6% (April 2023: 4.4%), while outstanding business loans expanded by 1.6% (April 2023: 1.0%). The higher business loan growth reflected improvement in loans for both working capital and investments to SMEs and non-SMEs. • In the household segment, outstanding loan growth was sustained at 5.1% (April 2023: 5.0%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. Of note, household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.0% and 8.4%, respectively (April 2023: 6.8% and 8.0%). 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 4.5 4.2 3.7 4.0 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Index of wholesale and retail trade growth moderated in April Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded more moderately by 4.7% in April 2023 (March 2023: 9.4%). The lower growth was due mainly to the decline in the motor vehicle segment. • However, the retail segment continued to record a double-digit growth of 10.0% (March 2023: 13.8%), supported by sales in non-specialised and other specialised stores1. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index increased at a faster pace of 6.5% (March 2023: -0.9%). 1 Other goods in specialised stores includes clothing, footwear, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, watches, jewellery and optical goods. 10.6 9.4 4.7 -2 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 Apr-22 Jun-22 Aug-22 Oct-22 Dec-22 Feb-23 Apr-23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Monthly Highlights 2 May 2023 Domestic financial markets were largely affected by external factors Financial Market Performance in May 2023 -18.0 -0.5 -1.1 -3.0 -2.0 -3.4 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -20 -15 -10 -5 0 May-23 Apr-23 Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 1Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia • Global investors maintained a risk-off approach throughout May, as concerns over the impact of the US debt ceiling crisis and the weaker-than- expected rebound in China’s economy weighed on global financial markets. • As a result, the ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 3.4% (regional1 average: -1.2%). Similarly, the FBM KLCI declined by 2.0% (regional1 average: -1.3%). • Nonetheless, the 10-year MGS yields decreased slightly by 3 basis points, supported by non-resident inflows into the domestic bond market. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 151.2% (April 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.8% (April 2023: 82.1%). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.8 151.2 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.80% (April 2023: 1.78%) and 1.10% (April 2023: 1.10%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remained at a prudent level of 114.1% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.1 1.7 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio April 2023 Monthly Highlights Slide 1 Slide 2
Press Release
30 Aug 2023
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-July 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-july-2023-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-July 2023 Share: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-July 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Wednesday, 30 August 2023 30 Aug 2023 In accordance with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition, and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period. The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III, and IV. As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD112,944.9 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to 1.7 million as at end-July 2023.   As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities, and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD15,639.5 The net short forward positions amounted to USD24,297.0 million as at end-July 2023, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,367.5 million in the next 12 months.   As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets is Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD369.5 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks, and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit. Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-July 2023, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable.   Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (31 July 2023) Bank Negara Malaysia 30 August 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release
22 Aug 2023
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 August 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-15-august-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 August 2023 Share: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 15 August 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Tuesday, 22 August 2023 22 Aug 2023 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD112.2 billion as at 15 August 2023. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.2 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.0 time of the total short-term external debt. [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves is sufficient to finance 7.1 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at Quarterly Bulletin 4Q2021 Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 15 August 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 22 August 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
22 Aug 2023
Scaling Up iTEKAD Program for Greater Socioeconomic Empowerment of Micro Enterprise
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/itekad-pr
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/5915429/fsb3_en_box4.pdf
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Reading: Scaling Up iTEKAD Program for Greater Socioeconomic Empowerment of Micro Enterprise Share: 3 Scaling Up iTEKAD Program for Greater Socioeconomic Empowerment of Micro Enterprise Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1420 on Tuesday, 22 August 2023 22 Aug 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) today hosted the first Majlis Jalinan Kerjasama iTEKAD. The event aims to provide a platform to dialogue and strengthen the commitment for sustainable socioeconomic development through social finance. Prime Minister YAB Dato’ Seri Anwar bin Ibrahim delivered his keynote address at the event. More than 300 current and future collaborators and implementation partners attended the event comprising iTEKAD participants, financial institutions (FIs), State Islamic Religious Councils (SIRCs), corporates, government agencies and government-linked companies (GLCs). The iTEKAD initiative was introduced by BNM during the pandemic to assist low-income microentrepreneurs strengthen their financial management and business acumen towards generating sustainable income.  This is also aligned to the strategic thrust of Financial Sector Blueprint 2022 – 2026 in elevating the financial well-being of households and businesses. This initiative combines philanthropic and commercial funds in a form of blended finance to provide structured training, seed capital and microfinancing to the target segments. As of May 2023, over 3,000 microentrepreneurs have benefited from the program with improved financial resilience. At the same time, many participants have created jobs and provided economic opportunity within their respective communities. To date, iTEKAD has 11 participating FIs nationwide and over 50 implementation partners. The participating FIs are Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad, CIMB Islamic Bank Berhad, Bank Muamalat Malaysia Berhad, Bank Kerjasama Rakyat Malaysia Berhad, Agrobank, Bank Simpanan Nasional, RHB Islamic Bank Berhad, AmBank Islamic Berhad, SME Bank, Public Islamic Bank and Maybank Islamic Berhad. New implementation partners include Koperasi Usahawan Serikandi Johor (KUSERI), Sekretariat Usahawan Negeri Perak (STEP), Lembaga Kemajuan Tanah Persekutuan (FELDA), Majlis Agama Islam Melaka (MAIM), Majlis Ugama Islam dan Adat Resam Melayu Pahang (MUIP), Majlis Ugama Islam Sabah (MUIS), Tabung Baitulmal Sarawak (TBS) and MADCash Sdn. Bhd.  A broader stakeholder network will enhance funding, market access and impact monitoring towards uplifting microentrepreneurs in Malaysia. By end of the year, participating FIs together with their respective implementation partners have committed to onboard over 4,000 iTEKAD participants. Stakeholders including corporates from the public and private sectors are encouraged to contact any of the participating FIs to be part of the iTEKAD initiative. For more information on iTEKAD, please visit bnm.gov.my/social-finance. BNM Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour delivering his Welcoming Address at the Majlis Jalinan Kerjasama iTEKAD Prime Minister YAB Dato’ Seri Anwar bin Ibrahim delivering his Keynote Address at the Majlis Jalinan Kerjasama iTEKAD Prime Minister YAB Dato’ Seri Anwar bin Ibrahim (centre) and BNM Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour (sixth from left) together with collaborators and implementation partners of ITEKAD BNM Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour (second left), Prime Minister YAB Dato’ Seri Anwar bin Ibrahim (centre), Deputy Minister of Finance I Datuk Seri Ahmad bin Maslan (second right) and Deputy Minister of Entrepreneur and Cooperatives Development YB Senator Saraswathy a/p Kandasami (far right) engaging one of the beneficiaries of iTEKAD. Bank Negara Malaysia 22 August 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights 142.8 -1.6 -5 0 5 10 15 20 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150 Ja n- 22 Fe b- 22 M ar -2 2 Ap r-2 2 M ay -2 2 Ju n- 22 Ju l-2 2 Au g- 22 Se p- 22 O ct -2 2 N ov -2 2 D ec -2 2 Ja n- 23 Fe b- 23 M ar -2 3 Ap r-2 3 M ay -2 3 Ju n- 23 Manufacturing Industrial Production Index Mfg. IPI Index (2015=100) - LHS Mfg. IPI Index YoY Growth (%) - RHS Manufacturing production contracted by 1.6% in June July 2023 • Manufacturing IPI contracted by 1.6% in June 2023 compared to a year ago, weighed down by weaker production of electrical and electronic products (E&E) and refined petroleum products amid the global tech cycle downturn and decline in mining output, respectively. • However, production in the domestic-oriented clusters remained resilient, reflecting mainly the continued growth in food, beverages and tobacco, metals and non-metallic products as well as transport equipment. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia 1 Headline inflation continued to moderate to 2.0% in July Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 2.42.0 3.12.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 Ap r-2 2 M ay -2 2 Ju n- 22 Ju l-2 2 Au g- 22 Se p- 22 O ct -2 2 N ov -2 2 D ec -2 2 Ja n- 23 Fe b- 23 M ar -2 3 Ap r-2 3 M ay -2 3 Ju n- 23 Ju l-2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) • Headline inflation declined to 2.0% (June 2023: 2.4%) in line with easing monthly price increases. • The decline was driven by lower core inflation at 2.8% (June 2023: 3.1%) attributed mainly to lower inflation for food away from home and selected discretionary services. 0.2 5.2 5.2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Jul-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector was sustained in July 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 3.8% as at end-July (June 2023: 3.8%), underpinned by sustained loan growth in the household segment. • Outstanding business loans expanded at a slower pace of 0.2% (June 2023: 0.7%), due mainly to a more moderate growth in working capital loans among non-SMEs. Growth in outstanding loans to SMEs, however, remained forthcoming (6.7%; June 2023: 6.4%). In addition, outstanding corporate bonds growth continued to increase (5.2%; June 2023: 4.9%), as bond issuances growth outpaced that of redemptions. • Growth in outstanding household loans was sustained at 5.2% (June 2023: 5.1%), with steady growth registered across most loan purposes. This was reflective of the higher growth in household loan applications, particularly for the purchase of houses, cars and personal use. 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.8 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Monthly Highlights July 2023 Domestic financial markets were mostly affected by investors’ expectations of the US policy rate cycle 2 Financial Market Performance in July 2023 15.0 -0.8 -1.3 -1.0 6.0 3.1 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -6 -3 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 Jul-23 Jun-23 Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market *Regional countries comprise: Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia • Domestic financial markets developments were driven mainly by financial market expectations that the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy tightening cycle was nearing its end after the policy rate increase at the July FOMC meeting. • The ringgit appreciated against the US dollar by 3.1%, higher than the regional* average of 1.9%. 10-year MGS yields declined marginally by 1 bps. The FBM KLCI also increased by 6.0% (regional* average: 3.5%). Banks remained well-capitalised to support economic growth • Banks' capital position remained strong to withstand potential stress and provide credit to support economic activities. • The banking system excess capital buffer1 was healthy at RM142.0 billion. Banking System Capital Adequacy 15.1 15.6 18.8 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Ju l-2 2 Au g- 22 Se p- 22 O ct -2 2 N ov -2 2 D ec -2 2 Ja n- 23 Fe b- 23 M ar -2 3 Ap r-2 3 M ay -2 3 Ju n- 23 Ju l-2 3 Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Capital Ratio Tier 1 Capital Ratio Total Capital Ratio % Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 1 Refers to total capital above the regulatory minimum, which includes the capital conservation buffer (2.5%) and bank-specific higher minimum requirements Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios Source: Bank Negara Malaysia % 82.0 154.8 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 Ju l 2 2 Au g 22 Se p 22 O ct 2 2 N ov 2 2 D ec 2 2 Ja n 23 Fe b 23 M ar 2 3 Ap r 2 3 M ay 2 3 Ju n 23 Ju l 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio • Banking system continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 154.8% (June 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained largely stable at 82.0% (June 2023: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 08/23/09 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Wednesday, 30 August 2023 Monthly Highlights – July 2023 Headline inflation continued to moderate to 2.0% in July • Headline inflation declined to 2.0% (June 2023: 2.4%) in line with easing monthly price increases. • The decline was driven by lower core inflation1 at 2.8% (June 2023: 3.1%) attributed mainly to lower inflation for food away from home and selected discretionary services. Manufacturing production contracted by 1.6% in June • Manufacturing IPI contracted by 1.6% in June 2023 compared to a year ago, weighed down by weaker production of electrical and electronic products (E&E) and refined petroleum products amid the global tech cycle downturn and decline in mining output, respectively. • However, production in the domestic-oriented clusters remained resilient, reflecting mainly the continued growth in food, beverages and tobacco, metals and non-metallic products as well as transport equipment. 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 was sustained in July • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 3.8% as at end-July (June 2023: 3.8%), underpinned by sustained loan growth in the household segment. • Outstanding business loans expanded at a slower pace of 0.2% (June 2023: 0.7%), due mainly to a more moderate growth in working capital loans among non-SMEs. Growth in outstanding loans to SMEs, however, remained forthcoming (6.7%; June 2023: 6.4%). In addition, outstanding corporate bond growth continued to increase (5.2%; June 2023: 4.9%), as bond issuances growth outpaced that of redemptions. • Growth in outstanding household loans was sustained at 5.2% (June 2023: 5.1%), with steady growth registered across most loan purposes. This was reflective of the higher growth in household loan applications, particularly for the purchase of houses, cars and personal use. Domestic financial markets were mostly affected by investors’ expectations of the US policy rate cycle • Domestic financial market developments were driven mainly by financial market expectations that the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy tightening cycle was nearing its end after the policy rate increase at the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. • The ringgit appreciated against the US dollar by 3.1%, higher than the regional4 average of 1.9%. 10-year MGS yields declined marginally by 1 bps. The FBM KLCI also increased by 6.0% (regional4 average: 3.5%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. 4 Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Banks remained well-capitalised to support economic growth • Banks' capital position remained strong to withstand potential stress and provide credit to support economic activities. • The banking system excess capital buffer5 was healthy at RM142.0 billion. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions • Banking system continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 154.8% (June 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained largely stable at 82.0% (June 2023: 81.6%). Bank Negara Malaysia 30 August 2023 5 Refers to total capital above the regulatory minimum, which includes the capital conservation buffer (2.5%) and bank-specific higher minimum requirements. 20230830_BNM Monthly Highlights_July 2023_en Slide Number 1 Slide Number 2 20230830_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-July 2023_eng
Press Release
18 Aug 2023
Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Second Quarter of 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/qb23q2_en_pr
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/11625493//qb23q2_slides.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/11625493/qb23q2_transcript.pdf, https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/11625493/qb23q2_en_table1.pdf
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Reading: Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Second Quarter of 2023 Share: 49 Economic and Financial Developments in Malaysia in the Second Quarter of 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Friday, 18 August 2023 18 Aug 2023 The economy grew by 2.9% in the second quarter The Malaysian economy expanded moderately in the second quarter of 2023 (2.9%; 1Q 2023: 5.6%), weighed mainly by slower external demand. Domestic demand remained the key driver of growth, supported by private consumption and investment. Household spending was supported by further growth in employment and wages. Meanwhile, investment activity was underpinned by capacity expansion, progress of multi-year projects and higher fixed asset spending by the government. Continued recovery in inbound tourism partially offset the slower goods export growth. Growth during the quarter was also affected by the high base effect in the second quarter of 2022 when the economy experienced strong growth from reopening effects and policy measures. On the supply side, the services and construction sectors continued to support growth. Meanwhile, production in the agriculture and mining sectors were affected by hot weather and plant maintenance. On a quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted basis, the economy grew by 1.5% (1Q 2023: 0.9%). Headline inflation during the quarter continued to moderate to 2.8% (1Q 2023: 3.6%). The moderation was recorded in both non-core inflation and core inflation. For non-core inflation, fresh food and fuel contributed to the decline. Core inflation, while declining, remained elevated relative to its long-term average (2011-2019 average: 2.0%). The moderation in core inflation (2Q 2023: 3.4%; 1Q 2023: 3.9%) was largely contributed by selected services. These included food away from home, telephone and telefax services, and personal transport repair and maintenance. Inflation pervasiveness declined as the share of Consumer Price Index (CPI) items recording monthly price increases moderated to 42.7% during the quarter (1Q 2023: 56.0%), below the second quarter long-term average (2011-2019) of 43.9%. Notably, inflation pervasiveness dropped in June after a transitory uptick in May following the festive season. Exchange rate developments Global developments continued to be the dominant factor in driving domestic financial conditions during the quarter. Global financial market sentiments were dampened by concerns over a slower global economic outlook, and weaker-than-expected rebound in China’s economy. This was further compounded by concerns over the US debt ceiling crisis during the first two months of the quarter, alongside ongoing financial market expectations of continued monetary policy tightening in advanced economies. Lower commodity prices and global semiconductor demand also weighed on domestic financial markets. Reflecting these developments, the ringgit depreciated by 5.8% in the second quarter of 2023. However, the ringgit has appreciated by 1.1% so far over the third quarter (as at 15 August 2023), amid growing expectations that monetary policy tightening in the US is nearing its end.  Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) will continue to closely monitor global and domestic financial conditions and ensure market adjustments remain orderly. BNM’s presence in the foreign exchange market is to stem currency movements that are deemed excessive. Financing conditions The growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated to 3.8% (1Q 2023: 4.1%) on account of slower growth in outstanding business loans. Outstanding corporate bonds growth, however, improved to 4.9% (1Q 2023: 4.4%). Outstanding business loans grew by 0.7%, due mainly to lower growth in working capital loans to non-SMEs. Notwithstanding this, investment-related loan growth remained sustained, with steady growth recorded for the purchase of fixed assets and non-residential properties. For households, outstanding loans expanded by 5.1%, mainly driven by loans for the purchase of residential properties and cars. For the remainder of 2023, growth to remain moderate amid external headwinds but continues to be supported by resilient domestic demand With the challenging global environment, the Malaysian economy is projected to expand close to the lower end of the 4.0% to 5.0% range in 2023. Growth will continue to be supported by domestic demand amid improving employment and income as well as implementation of multi-year projects. Tourist arrivals are expected to continue rising, which would support tourism-related activities. Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour explained, “Risks to Malaysia’s growth outlook is subject to downside risk stemming primarily from weaker-than-expected global growth. There are, however, upside risk factors such as stronger-than-expected tourism activity and faster implementation of projects.” Headline and core inflation are projected to moderate further in 2H 2023 For the second half of 2023, both headline and core inflation are projected to trend lower within expectations, partly due to the higher base in the corresponding period last year. Nonetheless, risks to the inflation outlook are subject to the changes to domestic policy on subsidies and price controls, as well as global commodity prices and financial market developments. See also: Press Conference Slides (PDF) Press Conference Presentation Transcript Press Conference Video Publication: Quarterly Bulletin Second Quarter 2023 Table 1: GDP by Expenditure Components and Economic ActivityBank Negara Malaysia 18 August 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
GDP Q2 2023 Presentation Slides 1 Sidang Akhbar Prestasi Ekonomi Suku 18 Ogos 2023 Kedua Tahun 2023 1 2 Global Growth Developments The global economy registered modest growth in 2Q 2023 Note: 1 GDP for the second quarter of 2023 are advanced or preliminary estimates except for China, Indonesia, Philippines, Hong Kong and Singapore. 2 Inflation figures are aggregated across major countries based on their share of global growth. AEs stands for Advanced Economies while EMEs stands for Emerging Market Economies. Source: Macrobond, national authorities, International Monetary Fund, Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 4.5 6.7 3.73.6 4.8 3.1 8.1 4.0 5.5 2.1 Jan-22 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 World Headline World Core AEs Headline EMEs Headline Inflation2 6.3 5.2 4.3 2.6 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.5 4.5 5.0 6.4 1.8 2.9 0.9 1.1 0.4 CN ID PH US HK KR EA SG 2Q23 1Q23 Real GDP Growth1 Annual change (%) Moderating headline inflation, but core inflation remained high Modest growth as growth is weighed by higher interest rate and elevated inflation Regional exports declined due to shift from goods to services and global technology downcycle 2 China’s economy grew post-reopening, albeit at a slower pace Annual change (%) Jun-23 3 Malaysia’s GDP grew by 2.9% in 2Q 2023 Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Factors Supporting Growth in 2Q 2023 -0.2 16.2 -4.2 3.6 4.8 8.8 14.1 7.1 5.6 2.9 2.2 -1.7 0.9 1.5 1Q-21 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 2Q-22 3Q-22 4Q-22 1Q-23 2Q-23 Annual change (%) q-o-q SA Real GDP Growth (Quarterly) Higher tourism activities Monthly Real GDP Growth (Annual change, %) Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 4.6 6.6 5.7 0.7 5.6 2.4 Moderation from 1Q 2023 partly due to ... Continued increase in domestic demand Lower commodity production Weaker external demand amid global technology downcycle Improving labour market 3 High base effect from 2Q 2022 4 Growth underpinned by domestic demand and tourism activities Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Private Consumption Moderate expansion in both necessities and discretionary spending Driven mainly by services and construction sectors -3.7 54.4 2Q23 1Q23 3.8 -2.2 2Q23 1Q23 7.9 5.7 2Q23 1Q23 5.1 4.7 2Q23 1Q23 4.3 5.9 2Q23 1Q23 Private Investment Supported by investment in structures and M&E Public Investment Improved Government’s fixed assets spending Public Consumption Higher emoluments spending Net Exports Weaker exports amid global technology downcycle Driven mainly by private sector expenditure 6.2 7.4 2Q23 1Q23 -2.3 2.4 2Q23 1Q23 -1.1 1.0 2Q23 1Q23 0.1 3.2 2Q23 1Q23 4.7 7.3 2Q23 1Q23 Services Moderation in consumer- and business- related services, while tourism spending remained supportive Manufacturing Weaker E&E production and lower refined petroleum production amid a decline in mining output Agriculture Lower oil palm and fisheries output amid hot weather condition Mining Decreased oil and gas output due to plant maintenance Construction Continued progress of large infrastructure projects and support from higher special trade activities Annual Change (%) Annual Change (%) 4 5 12.0 5.8 -1.4 7.7 3.1 7.7 3.7 -8.3 Total Equity Injections Debt Instruments Reinvestment of Earnings 1Q23 2Q23 4.3 39.9 -12.8 -16.9 -5.9 9.1 29.5 -11.3 -6.3 -2.8 Current Account Balance Goods Services Primary Income Secondary Income 1Q23 2Q23 Larger current account surplus and continued FDI inflows Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia RM bil  Narrower services deficit reflecting continued recovery in inbound tourism  Smaller primary income deficit driven mainly by higher investment income from investments abroad Current Account Foreign Direct Investment RM bil  Continued FDI inflows supported by higher equity injections and inflows in debt instruments.  However, FDI flows were weighed by dividend payments and losses in the manufacturing and mining sectors. Current Account (% of GDP) 2Q 2023: 2.1% 1Q 2023: 1.0% 5 6 Looking ahead, domestic demand to remain the key driver of growth amid challenging global environment Continued recovery in labour market Further improvement in employment and income prospects Implementation of new and existing investment projects Continued progress of multi-year projects Higher tourism activity Further recovery in tourist arrivals and travel receipts towards pre-pandemic levels Slower global growth Tight monetary policy, slower trade activity and prolonged global technology downcycle Growth in 2023 to remain between 4% and 5% Key growth drivers 6 Lower commodity production Hot weather and plant maintenance affecting output in the commodity sector 7 Mixed indicators, but generally pointing to continued growth for the Malaysian economy 7 Overall IPI Baltic Dry Index Index of Retail Trade Global Composite PMI Malaysia’s PMI New Export Orders RAM-CTOS Business Confidence Index Jul-22 Oct-22 Jan-23 Apr-23 Jul-23 Expansionary: >50 51.7 Index 170 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 2019: 139.5 Index (2015=100)Seasonally Adjusted Index (2015 = 100) 54.8 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 ’17-’19 avg: 55.3 -48.1 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 45.0 Jul-22 Oct-22 Jan-23 Apr-23 Jul-23 ’11-’19 avg: 2.2% Index (Neutral=50) Expansionary: >50Annual Change (%) Index 127.9 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 2019: 114.9 8 Slowdown in goods exports partially cushioned by increased tourism activities Broad weakness in exports across regional countries *refers to non-oil domestic exports ** compiled by World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia, World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS), national authorities and newsflows Gross Export Growth (USD) -10.9 -12.0 -14.6 -16.8 -17.8 -25.0 -15.0 -5.0 5.0 15.0 25.0 35.0 45.0 -20 -10 0 SG* KR MY TW ID 2Q23 2Q22 (RHS) Annual change (%) WSTS Forecast of Global Semiconductor Sales Tentative signs of bottoming out of global tech downcycle… Actual Global Semiconductor Sales** 26.2 3.3 -10.3 11.8 2021 2022 2023f 2024f Annual change (%) 11.9 -21.4 -21.1 -17.3 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Annual change (%), 3-month moving average 8 …and expected recovery in 2024 0.3 5.7 10.1 12.2 12.3 16.3 1Q-22 2Q-22 3Q-22 4Q-22 1Q-23 2Q-23 3Q-23 RM billion Travel Receipts Tourism sector continues to pick-up towards pre-pandemic level 2019 quarterly avg: RM20.5 billion 9 Labour market continued to improve Employment growth remains above pre-pandemic average Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia, Employment Insurance System, Social Security Organisation, Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 70.0 82.8 56.2 46.1 69.1 81.1 56.1 45.9 Overall Men Women Youth 2Q 23 4Q 19 Further decline in unemployment rate Vulnerable segments have recovered to pre-pandemic levels 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Unemployment rate, % of labour force Labour force participation rate, % of population 2.2 3.2 3.6 3.2 3.1 2.8 1Q 22 2Q 22 3Q 22 4Q 22 1Q 23 2Q 23 Pre-pandemic (2019): 3.3% 2015-2019 avg.: 1.7% Employment, % yoy 9 4.0 3.1 3.9 3.5 3.5 3.3 4.3 2020 - 2022 avg jobless claims: 5.6 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Jobless claims, thousand persons Jobless claims remains below levels during pandemic years 10 Spending continues to grow…. Household spending to remain as anchor of growth Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia Going forward, consumption growth would be underpinned by: Passenger car sales Thousand units 152.2 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 Continued employment growth and lower unemployment rate Government measures including special appreciation assistance for civil servants and RM100 e-Tunai credit for B40 & M40 households Easing price pressures9 Real wages 2Q23: 1.0% (1Q23: 0.9%) Nominal wages 2Q23: 3.8% (1Q23: 4.5%) Private sector wages Annual change, % Financial assets1-to-debt ratio: 2.1 times Liquid financial assets2-to- debt ratio: 1.3 times Household financial buffers Ratio as of June 2023 4Q19: 3.8% 4Q19: 4.8% … supported by increment in wages and financial buffers 10 2015-2019 avg.:135.2 Note: 1 Financial assets comprise EPF savings, deposits, unit trust funds, domestic equity holdings, and insurance policies (surrender value). 2 Liquid financial assets exclude EPF savings. 17.9 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 Annual change (%) Credit Card Spending 2015-2019 avg.:7.6 11 35.1 28.4 36.9 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 * Loans for investment-related purposes covers purchases of residential property for business use, non-residential property, fixed assets other than land / building, and for construction. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Progress of multi-year infrastructure projects to provide further lift to growth Going forward, realisation of approved projects to support investment activity Supportive financing conditions and continuation of new and existing projects to support investment growth in 2023 *Proxied by coverage of populated areas (COPA) Source: Newsflows Key Infrastructure Projects Cumulative Progress Rate ECRL RM50.0 billion 2018 2026 42% LRT3 RM16.6 billion 2018 2024 86% MyDIGITAL 5G RM16.5 billion 2021 2031 62%* Pan Borneo Highway (Sabah) RM16.0 billion 2016 2024 75% MIDA Total Investment Approvals RM Billion 211 167 309 268 71 2019 2020 2021 2022 1Q23 Primary Manufacturing Services Total 11 Financing for investment improved Source: MIDA Business Loan Disbursements and Corporate Bond Issuances RM Billion Investment- Related* Loan Disbursements Corporate Bond Issuances for New Activity 12 MADANI Economy Framework to drive comprehensive restructuring of the Malaysian economy Source: Prime Minister Office, Malaysia, newsflows 12 Key Initiatives New Industrial Master Plan • Advance economic complexity, digitalisation and sustainability • Spur investments in technology and innovation National Energy Transition Roadmap • Increase renewable energy generation • Promote new green growth areas Create quality and higher paying jobs • Reduce reliance on low-skilled foreign labour Revitalise the industrial sector to be more competitive • Generate economic activities with higher value add and economic complexity Promote a climate resilient and greener economy • Accelerate energy transition Malaysia’s Economic Vision Position ourselves as a globally competitive investment destination • Strengthen investment promotion and incentives Ensure a sustainable fiscal position • Strengthen the fiscal position and ensure resilience and long-term sustainability of public finances Fiscal Responsibility Act • Improve the transparency, accountability and governance of public finance • Act as an anchor to existing and future reforms 13 Disinflation trend continued with lower headline and core inflation ■ Headline inflation trended lower in line with moderating costs conditions ■ Core inflation declined amid lower inflation for food away from home and communication services 1/ Average of past inflation is calculated based on monthly frequency from Jan-11 to Dec-19 2/ YTD refers to the average from January 2023 to June 2023 Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Malaysia Inflation 3.3 2.8 2.4 3.6 3.5 3.1 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 Apr-22 Jul-22 Oct-22 Jan-23 Apr-23 Headline inflation Core inflation 2011-’19 Avg 1/.: Headline 2.2 Core 2.0 Annual Change (%) (2Q-23: 2.8; 1Q-23: 3.6) (2Q-23: 3.4; 1Q-23: 3.9) 1.3 1.8 2.8 3.1 2.9 2.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 -0.2 1Q-22 2Q-22 3Q-22 4Q-22 1Q-23 2Q-23 Core Fresh food Fuel Other (non-fuel price admin) Contribution (ppt) Non-core Breakdown of inflation by components Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia, Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 13 YTD 2/ Headline inflation: 3.3% YTD Core inflation: 3.6% 14 Inflationary pressures have become more generalised over the past two years, although currently on a moderating trend Drivers of inflation can be disentangled into general (common) and sector-specific (idiosyncratic) price changes Common inflation has risen in recent times due to a confluence of simultaneous and aggregate shocks: – Military conflict in Ukraine – Pent-up demand – Potential shift in firms’ pricing behaviour amid a high-inflation environment Ongoing disinflationary trend is contributed by both lower common and idiosyncratic factors Box Article: Lower headline inflation reflected the decline in both common and idiosyncratic components 1/ Headline inflation is adjusted to exclude the direct impact of consumption tax policies changes (GST and SST) in 2015 and 2018. 2/ Upcycle refers to periods when global food and/or energy commodities exhibited year-on-year movements higher than the standard deviation. Global food and energy commodities data are from World Bank Commodity Price Data (The Pink Sheet). Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia staff estimates. 14 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 Ja n- 11 Ju l-1 1 Ja n- 12 Ju l-1 2 Ja n- 13 Ju l-1 3 Ja n- 14 Ju l-1 4 Ja n- 15 Ju l-1 5 Ja n- 16 Ju l-1 6 Ja n- 17 Ju l-1 7 Ja n- 18 Ju l-1 8 Ja n- 19 Ju l-1 9 Ja n- 20 Ju l-2 0 Ja n- 21 Ju l-2 1 Ja n- 22 Ju l-2 2 Ja n- 23 Common Idiosyncratic Headline inflation Contribution (ppt) 2011 Food & Energy Joint Upcycle2/ 2017 Energy Upcycle 2020 COVID-19 and weaker global oil price 2021-2022 Food & Energy Joint Upcycle / Reopening of economy 2015 Lower global energy and commodity prices Decomposition of headline inflation1/ by common and idiosyncratic factors 1 2 3 Box article: Understanding Inflation Drivers: Differentiating Common and Idiosyncratic Dynamics in Malaysia 15 ▲ Higher global commodity prices due to worsening geopolitical conflict or adverse weather events ▲ Higher imported input costs amid exchange rate depreciation Going forward, risks to inflation stem mainly from global developments Key drivers of headline inflation in 2023 2.8% to 3.8% (2023f) Elevated core inflation Firm domestic demand and improvement in labour market Moderating global cost environment Lower key commodity prices Gradual subsidy rationalisation Revision in electricity surcharge1/ Prevailing price controls and subsidies On key necessity items Upside risks Downside risks ▼ Weaker global growth leading to more subdued commodity prices ▼ Faster dissipation of domestic pent-up demand from 2022 • Headline inflation is expected to average close to the lower bound of forecast range with the risks broadly balanced. 1/ Reflecting revision for high-usage households and selected industry participants in 2H 2023 and 1H 2023, respectively. 15 16 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 July 2023: 3.00% Overnight Policy Rate, OPR % Historical low OPR level The OPR was maintained at 3.00% at the July MPC meeting At the July MPC meeting, the MPC deemed the monetary policy stance to be slightly accommodative and supportive of the economy The MPC remains vigilant to ongoing developments and will continue to monitor incoming data to inform the assessment on the outlook of domestic inflation and growth – The MPC continued to see limited risks of future financial imbalances 16 17 Updated Domestic bond yields declined slightly amid inflows, despite ongoing expectations for US monetary policy tightening *Regional countries include Indonesia, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea and Thailand. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, ETP and Bloomberg -16.0 -6.0 -32.9 2.6 -40.7 36.9 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 1Q23 2Q23 Malaysia Regional Average* US Movement of 10-Year Local Currency Sovereign Bond Yields (in bps) Domestic financial market developments driven mainly by external factors Performance of Equity Indices (%QoQ Change) Most regional equities including Malaysia declined, reflecting investors’ cautious economic outlook US: United States; PH: the Philippines; MY: Malaysia; TH: Thailand; SG: Singapore; KR: South Korea; CH: China; JP: Japan; ID: Indonesia. Source: Bloomberg and Bursa Malaysia -3.6 -4.9 5.9 -0.7 0.2 -1.0 10.8 7.0 7.5 -6.6 -3.2 -2.2 -2.1 -1.6 -0.5 3.5 8.3 18.4 -10 0 10 20 TH MY CH ID SG PH KR US JP 2Q23 1Q23 17 18 -2.6 -2.5 -2.3 -1.8 -1.4 -1.3 -0.5 -0.4 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.1 3.1 1.6 0.3 PHP TWD IDR AUD INR KRW JPY CNY SGD EUR GBP ZAR THB MYR NOK NEER** DXY* -10.0 -8.0 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 Since 1 July 2023*** YTD Recently, the ringgit has appreciated against the US dollar Updated *The US dollar Index (DXY) is an index of the value of the US dollar against a basket of foreign currencies, namely EUR (57.6%), JPY (13.6%), GBP (11.9%), CAD (9.1%), SEK (4.2%), and CHF (3.6%). ** NEER refers to the ringgit nominal effective exchange rate. It is an index measuring ringgit’s performance against currencies of Malaysia’s major trading partners. *** Change in exchange rate against the US dollar from 1 July to 15 August 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia and Bloomberg US Dollar Index (DXY) and Selected Currencies against the US Dollar (%) Negative indicates currency depreciation 18 The ringgit has strengthened against the US dollar since 1 July 2023. This is due to market expectations that the aggressive monetary policy tightening in major economies is nearing its end. Further clarity on the future monetary policy actions in major economies will provide support to the ringgit and other regional currencies. 19 Banks remain well-positioned to support financial intermediation needs 1 Impairment ratio based on Stage 3 loans under MFRS 9. 2 Business ICR and CASTD ratios as at Mar-23 3 Financial assets comprise EPF savings, deposits, unit trust funds, domestic equity holdings, and insurance policies (surrender value). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Strong buffers allow banks to continue supporting financial intermediation activities Total Capital Ratio, % Liquidity Coverage Ratio, % Loan Loss Coverage Ratio (including regulatory reserve), % Impaired Loans Ratio, % Banks have sufficient provisions to absorb potential credit losses from vulnerable borrowers 148.3 152.5 152.7 157.3 155.3 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 18.3 17.8 19.0 18.6 18.2 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 115.3 114.8 118.6 116.3 116.2 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 2010-2019 average: 106.3% 19 1.3 2.8 1.8 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Household Sector Business Sector Overall Gross Impaired Loans 2010-2019 overall average: 1.9% 20 Financing in 2Q 2023 remained supportive of SMEs’ business needs Steady growth in outstanding financing Higher financing approvals across both working capital and investment purposes *Investment-related purpose includes financing for the purchase of non-residential properties, residential properties for business use, fixed assets (incl. cars), and construction purposes. Note: Reflects loan/financing from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs). The data series were revised following a data rectification by financial institutions, mainly involving the reclassification of SME loans as non-SME loans. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia …with investment-related financing approvals driven by the services sectors 5.8 5.9 6.4 4 5 6 7 8 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 RM million % yoy (RHS) Outstanding SME Financing RM million 5 10 15 20 25 30 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 Working Capital Investment-related SME Financing Approvals 10.6 11.9 18.1 13.7 17.5 16.7 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 Others Mining Agriculture Construction Manufacturing Services RM million Annual change (%) / Contribution to growth (Ppt) 2018-19 quarterly average: RM14 bn 2018-19 quarterly average: RM11 bn SME Financing Approvals by Sector for Investment-Related Purposes* % yoy 20 21 Domestic demand to remain key driver of growth in 2023 amid challenging global environment Downside risks to growth emanating primarily from external developments, while there are upside risks mainly from domestic factors Summary In 2Q 2023, the Malaysian economy grew by 2.9%, driven mainly by private sector expenditure Headline and core inflation are projected to average between 2.8% and 3.8% in 2023 21 22 End of Presentation 22 23 Q&A 23 Q&A BANK NEGARA MALAYSIA CENTRAL BANK or MALAYSIA 24 Selamat Menyambut Hari Kebangsaan Ke-66 24 2525 | Muzium dan Galeri Seni C-erak Seni Pencerifaan | Tlre Ar?‘ olSforylelling 18.08.2023, 8:15 p.m. Galeri Seni, Aras 3 / An‘ Gallery, Level 3 Muzium clan Galeri Seni Bank Negara Malaysia ,_~‘2.3‘ 26 Feedback Survey 26 27 Additional Information 27 28 Add. Info 1 Breakdown of 2Q 2023 GDP (% yoy) Annual Change in GDP Growth by Component 1 Numbers do not add up due to rounding and exclusion of import duties component. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Real GDP (% YoY) Share, % (2022) 2022 2023 2Q 1Q 2Q Domestic Demand (Excluding Stocks) 93.1 13.0 4.6 4.5 Private Sector 75.5 15.4 5.6 4.5 Consumption 60.2 18.3 5.9 4.3 Investment 15.3 6.3 4.7 5.1 Public Sector 17.6 2.5 -0.3 4.6 Consumption 13.2 2.3 -2.2 3.8 Investment 4.4 3.2 5.7 7.9 Net Exports of Goods and Services 5.5 -29.0 54.4 -3.7 Exports 74.6 15.9 -3.3 -9.4 Imports 69.1 20.1 -6.5 -9.7 Change in stocks, RM bil. 1.4 12.3 2.8 8.0 Real GDP 100.0 8.8 5.6 2.9 Real GDP (% YoY) Share1, % (2022) 2022 2023 2Q 1Q 2Q Services 58.3 11.9 7.3 4.7 Manufacturing 24.1 9.2 3.2 0.1 Agriculture 6.6 -2.3 1.0 -1.1 Mining and Quarrying 6.4 -1.7 2.4 -2.3 Construction 3.5 2.5 7.4 6.2 Real GDP 100.0 8.8 5.6 2.9 28 29 Financial account recorded a larger net outflow Portfolio investment net inflows were more than offset by net outflows in other and direct investment account Continued FDI inflows amid higher DIA outflows Net outflows in other investment Net inflows in portfolio investment Add. Info 2 *As per the IMF’s BPM5 classifications (i.e. directional basis). Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia 29 RM billion 2022 2023 4Q Year 1Q 2Q 1H Direct Investment -9.3 15.9 10.9 -4.9 6.0 Direct Investment Abroad (DIA)* -28.5 -58.6 -1.1 -8.0 -9.1 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)* 19.2 74.6 12.0 3.1 15.1 Portfolio Investment -26.7 -50.6 -33.3 8.1 -25.2 Residents -15.0 -30.5 -16.3 -10.1 -26.5 Non-residents -11.7 -20.1 -17.0 18.3 1.3 Financial Derivatives -1.7 -2.2 -0.9 0.3 -0.6 Other Investment 36.6 49.2 20.9 -15.1 5.8 Financial Account Balance -1.1 12.4 -2.4 -11.6 -13.9 30 Adequate buffers to weather external shocks Higher net creditor position … … and further supported by L External Assets Minus External Liabilities (1Q 22 – 2Q 23) Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia … with large net foreign-currency assets … 3.2 3.0 3.9 4.7 4.7 8.9 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 1Q-22 2Q-22 3Q-22 4Q-22 1Q-23 2Q-23 Net IIP Position (LHS) % of GDP (RHS) RM bil % of GDP Sustained foreign income Continued current account surplus reduces external financing requirements Sufficient international reserves* to facilitate international transactions … to finance 5.3 months of imports of goods & services and is 1.0 time total short-term external debt as at 31 July 2023 Add. Info 3 30 * Note: The reserves coverage ratios differ from that published in the press statement on international reserves as at 31 July 2023 as it reflects the latest 2Q 2023 data on imports of goods & services and short-term external debt. 2,302.8 1,015.1 FCY Assets FCY Liabilities FCY Denominated External Assets & Liabilities (End-2Q 2023) (RM bil) 31 Effective exchange rates offer a broader perspective of a country’s currency value Apart from bilateral exchange rates, the NEER and REER are used to assess a currency’s performance 1. The NEER considers a currency’s performance against a group of currencies, weighted by the importance of each trading partner. The REER then adjusts for price differences. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Box article: Methodological Framework for Computing Malaysia’s Effective Exchange Rate Indices • Effective exchange rates, namely the NEER and REER, can provide insights into macroeconomic conditions and can facilitate price competitiveness assessments, inflation analysis and external balance evaluations. • Since 2018, movements in the ringgit NEER and REER have been relatively more muted, when comparing the movements of the NEER and REER series with the bilateral ringgit exchange rate against the US dollar. Ringgit Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER)1 and Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)1Series 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.880 84 88 92 96 100 Ja n- 18 Ju n- 18 N ov -1 8 Ap r-1 9 Se p- 19 Fe b- 20 Ju l-2 0 D ec -2 0 M ay -2 1 O ct -2 1 M ar -2 2 Au g- 22 Ja n- 23 Ju n- 23 MYR / USDIndex (21 July 2005 = 100) NEER REER MYR / USD Note: Last date in the chart is 30 June 2023. The daily REER is calculated by using the monthly CPI for each day of the month. appreciation 31 Add. Info 4 32 Temporary commodity-related factors weighed on 2Q 2023 GDP Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Department of Statistics Malaysia, Malaysian Palm Oil Board -10.5 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Annual Change % yoy Plant maintenance activities and hot weather affected production in the mining, manufacturing and agriculture sector 32 Crude Oil and Condensates Production Natural Gas Production Manufacture of refined petroleum products (IPI) Crude Palm Oil Production -5.9 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Annual Change % yoy -8.4 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Annual Change % yoy -6.3 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Annual Change % yoy Add. Info 5 Slide Number 1 The global economy registered modest growth in 2Q 2023 Malaysia’s GDP grew by 2.9% in 2Q 2023 Growth underpinned by domestic demand and tourism activities Larger current account surplus and continued FDI inflows Looking ahead, domestic demand to remain the key driver of growth amid challenging global environment Mixed indicators, but generally pointing to continued growth for the Malaysian economy Slowdown in goods exports partially cushioned by increased �tourism activities Labour market continued to improve Household spending to remain as anchor of growth Slide Number 11 MADANI Economy Framework to drive comprehensive restructuring of the Malaysian economy Disinflation trend continued with lower headline and core inflation Box Article: Lower headline inflation reflected the decline in both common and idiosyncratic components Going forward, risks to inflation stem mainly from global developments Slide Number 16 Domestic financial market developments driven mainly by external factors Recently, the ringgit has appreciated against the US dollar Banks remain well-positioned to support financial intermediation needs Financing in 2Q 2023 remained supportive of SMEs’ business needs Summary Slide Number 22 Slide Number 23 Slide Number 24 Slide Number 25 Slide Number 26 Slide Number 27 Breakdown of 2Q 2023 GDP (% yoy) Financial account recorded a larger net outflow Adequate buffers to weather external shocks Effective exchange rates offer a broader perspective of a country’s �currency value Temporary commodity-related factors weighed on 2Q 2023 GDP [Post-Publish] 2Q23 QB_Slides_20230821.pdf Default Section Slide 1 Part A: Developments Slide 2: The global economy registered modest growth in 2Q 2023 Slide 3: Malaysia’s GDP grew by 2.9% in 2Q 2023 Slide 4: Growth underpinned by domestic demand and tourism activities Slide 5: Larger current account surplus and continued FDI inflows Part B: Outlook Slide 6: Looking ahead, domestic demand to remain the key driver of growth amid challenging global environment Slide 7: Mixed indicators, but generally pointing to continued growth for the Malaysian economy Slide 8: Slowdown in goods exports partially cushioned by increased tourism activities Slide 9: Labour market continued to improve Slide 10: Household spending to remain as anchor of growth Slide 11 Slide 12: MADANI Economy Framework to drive comprehensive restructuring of the Malaysian economy Slide 13: Disinflation trend continued with lower headline and core inflation Slide 14: Box Article: Lower headline inflation reflected the decline in both common and idiosyncratic components Slide 15: Going forward, risks to inflation stem mainly from global developments Slide 16 Part C: Monetary and Financial Developments Slide 17: Domestic financial market developments driven mainly by external factors Slide 18: Recently, the ringgit has appreciated against the US dollar Slide 19: Banks remain well-positioned to support financial intermediation needs Slide 20: Financing in 2Q 2023 remained supportive of SMEs’ business needs Part D: Summary Slide 21: Summary Slide 22 Slide 23 Slide 24 Slide 25 Slide 26 Additional Information Slide 27 Slide 28: Breakdown of 2Q 2023 GDP (% yoy) Slide 29: Financial account recorded a larger net outflow Slide 30: Adequate buffers to weather external shocks Slide 31: Effective exchange rates offer a broader perspective of a country’s currency value Slide 32: Temporary commodity-related factors weighed on 2Q 2023 GDP PRESS RELEASE P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y EMBARGO: For immediate release ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENTS IN MALAYSIA IN THE SECOND QUARTER OF 2023 Press Conference Presentation Transcript The global economy registered modest growth in 2Q 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “In the second quarter of 2023, global growth was modest. While the labour market remained resilient, growth continued to be weighed by higher interest rates and elevated inflation. China’s growth came in below expectation, despite benefiting from low base from the lockdown back in 2Q 2022. “Global headline inflation continued to moderate, in line with lower commodity prices. Meanwhile, core inflation moderated at a much slower pace given the resilient labour market. “Regional exports contracted, reflecting slowing global demand, ongoing shift in consumption from goods to services and downcycle in E&E sector, particularly for consumer electronics.” Malaysia’s GDP grew by 2.9% in 2Q 2023 Ketua Perangkawan Malaysia Dato’ Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin berkata, “Pada suku kedua 2023, ekonomi Malaysia berkembang 2.9%, disokong oleh pasaran buruh yang bertambah baik, peningkatan permintaan dalam negeri yang berterusan dan aktiviti pelancongan yang semakin rancak. Namun, pengurangan permintaan luar negeri dalam keadaan kitaran menurun teknologi P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y global dan pengeluaran komoditi yang lebih rendah menjejaskan pertumbuhan ekonomi. “Pertumbuhan tahunan yang lebih perlahan pada suku ini turut mencerminkan kesan asas yang tinggi dari suku kedua 2022 selepas pembukaan semula ekonomi negara dan kesan daripada pelaksanaan beberapa langkah dasar. Dari segi pertumbuhan suku tahun ke suku tahun pelarasan musim, KDNK menunjukkan peningkatan momentum pertumbuhan yang lebih kukuh sebanyak 1.5%, iaitu peningkatan berterusan sejak suku keempat 2022. “Pada suku kedua ini, tiga sektor yang terus mencatatkan pertumbuhan iaitu sektor perkhidmatan meningkat sebanyak 4.7%, sektor pembuatan meningkat sebanyak 0.1% dan sektor pembinaan meningkat sebanyak 6.2%. Manakala dua sektor mencatatkan penyusutan iaitu sektor pertanian merosot sebanyak 1.1% dan sektor perlombongan merosot 2.3%.” Growth underpinned by domestic demand and tourism activities Ketua Perangkawan Malaysia Dato’ Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin said, “On the demand side, growth was supported by both private and public sector expenditures. “Private consumption growth was underpinned by firm labour market conditions. Spending expanded moderately across both necessities and discretionary items. “Growth in overall investment improved, driven by capital expenditure on structures, and machinery & equipment (M&E), as well as improved Government’s fixed assets spending. “However, during this quarter, net exports registered a contraction due to the more challenging global environment. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y “Turning to the supply side, growth is driven mainly by the services and construction sectors. “The services sector growth moderated across both consumer- and business- related subsectors. Nevertheless, the sector continued to benefit from improving tourism-related spending. In fact, this is one of the bright spots during the quarter. “For the construction sector, growth remained supported by the continued progress of large infrastructure projects and higher special trade activities. “Hot weather and plant maintenance had affected commodity production and led to contractions in the agriculture and mining sectors.” Larger current account surplus and continued FDI inflows Ketua Perangkawan Malaysia Dato’ Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin said, “On the balance of payments, for the second quarter of 2023, the Malaysian current account recorded a higher surplus of RM9.1 billion, or 2.1% of GDP. The Services account deficit narrowed by 12.0 per cent quarter-on-quarter to RM11.3 billion, reflecting mainly further recovery in inbound tourism. In addition, the primary income account registered a lower deficit, mainly due to higher income generated by Malaysians investing abroad. Meanwhile, Secondary income account deficit contracted from RM5.9 billion in the preceding quarter to RM2.8 billion. On the financial account, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows moderated to RM3.1 billion during the quarter. The FDI inflows were supported by higher equity injections, reflecting foreign investors’ continued confidence on business prospects in the country. These investments were channelled mainly into the Services sector, predominantly in Professional, scientific & technical and Financial sub-sector. The FDI were primarily from Singapore, Taiwan and Germany. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y In the meantime, Direct Investment Abroad (DIA) outflows expanded to RM8.0 billion as compared to RM1.1 billion in the previous quarter. The outflow was mainly due to higher equity injection and profit retained abroad.The major sectors contributed to the DIA were Services particularly in Financial and Information & telecommunication sub-sector. The DIA major destinations were to Singapore, Indonesia and Norway. Looking ahead, domestic demand to remain the key driver of growth amid challenging global environment Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “For 2023, we expect Malaysia’s growth to be close to the lower end of our growth forecast range, underpinned by domestic demand. “Let me reiterate that the moderate growth in second quarter of 2023 was partly driven by several temporary factors, including plant maintenance in the mining sector, hot weather affecting agricultural output, as well as high base effects from the economic reopening and policy measures in second quarter last year. “Based on our estimation, had it not been for the synchronised commodity- related factors, growth could have been 40 basis points higher at 3.3%. “Going forward, growth will be supported by four factors. First, continued recovery in the labour market; second, implementation of new and existing investment projects; third, higher tourism activity; and fourth, dissipation of plant maintenance activities in the mining sector. “Nevertheless, in our baseline forecast, the weak external demand is expected to weigh on near-term growth.The economy is facing downside risks stemming from weaker-than-expected global growth and a deeper or longer-than- expected technology downcycle. Beyond that, there could be lower-than- expected commodity production domestically due to stronger impact from El Niño and prolonged plant maintenance. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y “On the upside, tourism activity could pick up even more, while progress of investment projects could be faster-than-expected.” Mixed indicators, but generally pointing to continued growth for the Malaysian economy Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “In the near term, the external environment is expected to remain challenging. Nevertheless, indicators of domestic demand in the bottom row of the slide, continue to point towards a positive expansion in growth.” Slowdown in goods exports partially cushioned by increased tourism activities Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “As a small open economy, Malaysia is affected by the slowdown in global demand. Like other regional economies, Malaysia’s exports also declined in the second quarter of 2023. This was driven mainly by weaker manufactured goods amid a downturn in global tech cycle and lower commodity prices. “The global semiconductor sales, which have been declining thus far, are showing tentative signs of bottoming out. Furthermore, the World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) is projecting a positive growth in 2024 on the back of improving demand and easing of inventory correction. “In addition, tourism-related activities are expected to pick up further and provide support to growth.” As mentioned by our Chief Statistician, tourism was one of the bright spots in the second quarter. We are already seeing strong increase in tourist arrivals and tourist spending.” Labour market continued to improve Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “The labour market continued to improve in 2Q 2023. The unemployment rate declined further to 3.4% in June, driven by steady employment growth. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y “Vulnerable segments such as women and youth have also recovered to pre- pandemic levels. However, there is still room for improvement as labour participation amongst women remains way below that of men, which is one of the focus areas of the MADANI economic framework recently announced by the Government.” Household spending to remain as anchor of growth Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Household spending continues to expand, supported by wage growth and ample financial buffers. High-frequency data such as credit card spending and passenger car sales continue to record above pre-pandemic figures. “Going forward, household spending will remain as the anchor of growth underpinned by continued employment growth, healthy household financial buffers, government policy measures and easing price pressures.” In second half of 2023, households remain supported by recent measures announced by the government, namely the RM100 e-Tunai for B40s and M40s as well as RM300 and RM200 special assistance for civil servants and pensioners respectively. Supportive financing conditions and continuation of new and existing projects to support investment growth in 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Growth continue to be supported by investment activity. Financing for capital expenditure remains forthcoming, as also investment intentions. New approved investments totalled RM71.4 billion in the first quarter of 2023. “Going forward, the economy would benefit from the realisation of new investment and existing projects, particularly large infrastructure projects such as the ECRL and digitalisation projects. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y “I should mention, progress of these investment is critical not just to support immediate growth, but also to lift Malaysia’s future growth potential. In this regard, the implementation of catalytic projects, such as those announced under the recently unveiled National Energy Transition Roadmap (NETR) Phase 1, would also provide support to growth in the medium term. In fact, some of these projects are already in progress, with more commencing next year.” MADANI Economy Framework to drive comprehensive restructuring of the Malaysian economy Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “It is important to not just focus on the headline GDP growth, but also quality growth that is inclusive and sustainable over the long-term. To this end, the MADANI framework will anchor the restructuring of the Malaysian economy to achieve this vision. “Within this framework, the Malaysian economy will see several important transformation, such as having a revitalised industrial sector, supported by quality investments which will create quality and high-paying jobs; becoming a climate resilient and greener economy and improvement in fiscal governance and transparency which will enhance confidence from investors and credit rating agencies. “Among the key initiatives which will be important in driving this, includes the New Industrial Master Plan, the National Energy Transition Roadmap and the tabling of the Fiscal Responsibility Act. “In the short-term, we can expect to see positive support to growth from the implementation of several important catalytic projects under the National Energy Transition Roadmap.” Disinflation trend continued with lower headline and core inflation Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Now let me turn to inflation. In line with the easing cost environment, headline inflation P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y continued to trend lower in the second quarter, averaging 2.8% for the quarter (1Q 2023: 3.6%). Much of this downtrend was driven by lower core inflation, which contributed around half of the decline during the second quarter. “While core inflation moderated to 3.4% during the quarter (1Q 2022: 3.9%), it remains elevated relative to the historical average of around 2.0%, therefore the need to remain vigilant. The lower core inflation was mainly due to lower inflation for food away from home and communication services.” Lower headline inflation reflected the decline in both common and idiosyncratic components Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Looking deeper into the dynamics of inflation, price changes can be driven by sector-specific (idiosyncratic) factors or economy-wide – “common” – factors. While the former leads to price changes of specific goods and services relative to others; the latter exert widespread, general price pressures. “Over the past two years, the common component has risen significantly, given the confluence of multiple supply and demand shocks. During the high inflation environment, firms also reported1 to have found it easier to raise prices, a shift in price-setting behaviour that could further contribute to the rise in common inflation. “At present, the ongoing disinflationary trend has been contributed by both common and idiosyncratic components. Of note, the disinflationary process would have been more gradual in the absence of idiosyncratic component. “I would invite you to read our box article on this entitled “Understanding Inflation Drivers: Differentiating Common and Idiosyncratic Dynamics in Malaysia” in this Quarterly Bulletin.” P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Going forward, risks to inflation stem mainly from global developments Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Let me take a minute to speak on the risks to inflation. We see that the risks to inflation stem mainly from global developments. Both headline and core inflation are expected to moderate over the course of 2023. Headline inflation is expected to average close to the lower bound of the earlier communicated forecast range of 2.8-3.8%. “While cost pressures have eased, core inflation will remain at elevated levels as demand conditions remain rather firm. “The balance of risk to inflation is mostly tied to global developments. Near-term upside risks include higher global commodity prices from geopolitical conflicts and adverse weather events like El , and higher imported input amid exchange rate depreciation. These risks could be offset by subdued global commodity prices due to a weaker global growth outlook, and a faster dissipation of domestic pent-up demand.” The OPR was maintained at 3.00% at the July MPC meeting Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Turning to monetary policy, the MPC maintained the OPR at 3.00% at the July 2023 meeting. At the current OPR level, the MPC deemed the monetary policy stance to be slightly accommodative and supportive of the economy. “Going forward, the MPC will continue to closely monitor the ongoing domestic and global developments, and their impact on domestic inflation and growth prospects. The MPC will ensure that the monetary policy stance remains conducive to sustainable economic growth amid price stability.” Domestic financial market developments driven mainly by external factors Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “On financial markets, adjustments in the domestic financial markets were mostly driven by global developments, including investors’ expectations of further P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y monetary policy tightening in the US and other advanced economies, the weaker-than-expected economic rebound from China and the US debt ceiling crisis earlier in the second quarter of this year. “The domestic equity market was also affected this year by lower global demand for semiconductors and lower commodity prices, as well as weakening corporate earnings and political uncertainties. “However, domestic government bond yields declined during the second quarter, supported by non-resident inflows.” Recently, the ringgit has appreciated against the US dollar Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Reflecting investors’ expectations of further aggressive monetary policy tightening in the US and other advanced economies throughout the first half of the year, the ringgit depreciated by 4.7% against the US dollar year-to-date. “Recently however, the ringgit has appreciated by 1.1% against the US dollar since the second quarter of 2023. The NEER, which measures the ringgit’s performance against our major trading partners, has also appreciated by 1.6%. This is amid overall market expectations that the aggressive monetary policy tightening campaign in the US is nearing its end. “Bank Negara Malaysia will continue to closely monitor global and domestic financial conditions and ensure market adjustments remain orderly. Towards this end, BNM’s presence in the foreign exchange market is to stem currency movements that are deemed excessive. Thus, BNM will continue to manage risks arising from any heightened financial market volatility.” Banks remain well-positioned to support financial intermediation needs Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “The banking system will continue to play an important role in supporting growth in 2023. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y “Owing to their strong financial position, including high levels of capital and liquidity buffers, banks remain well-positioned to support the financing needs of the domestic economy. “Banks have also set aside adequate reserves to cover potential credit losses. This is important because some households and businesses, including SME borrowers, still face vulnerabilities in the current environment of elevated costs. “Overall household and business impairments remained low and stable, indicating that most borrowers are able to repay their loans in a timely manner. Households’ median debt service ratio of 36% for outstanding loans and businesses’ median interest coverage ratio of 5.8 times. “Bespoke repayment assistance also remains available for borrowers who continue to face financial difficulties.” Financing in 2Q 2023 remained supportive of SMEs’ business needs Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Financing activity by banks and DFIs to SMEs remained supportive of economic activity, with steady growth in outstanding financing at 6.4%. “Financing approvals continued to support both working capital and investment purposes, surpassing historical quarterly trends. More positively, we saw sustained double-digit growth in financing approvals for investment- related purposes. In the second quarter of 2023, the growth in approvals was primarily driven by the services sectors, particularly in the finance, real estate, and transport, storage, and communications sectors.” Summary Bank Negara Malaysia Governor Datuk Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said, “Let me now conclude. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y “The Malaysian economy expanded by 2.9% in the second quarter of 2023, driven mainly by private sector expenditure. Growth is projected to be close to the lower-end of the forecast range of between 4% to 5% for 2023 as a whole, anchored by domestic demand. “There are downside risks to growth, stemming primarily from external factors. Meanwhile, upside risks are mainly from domestic factors, such as stronger- than-expected tourism activity and implementation of projects. “On inflation, both headline and core are expected to average between 2.8% and 3.8% for the year.” Bank Negara Malaysia 18 August 2023 GDP Q2 2023 Presentation Slides 1 Sidang Akhbar Prestasi Ekonomi Suku 18 Ogos 2023 Kedua Tahun 2023 1 2 Global Growth Developments The global economy registered modest growth in 2Q 2023 Note: 1 GDP for the second quarter of 2023 are advanced or preliminary estimates except for China, Indonesia, Philippines, Hong Kong and Singapore. 2 Inflation figures are aggregated across major countries based on their share of global growth. AEs stands for Advanced Economies while EMEs stands for Emerging Market Economies. Source: Macrobond, national authorities, International Monetary Fund, Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 4.5 6.7 3.73.6 4.8 3.1 8.1 4.0 5.5 2.1 Jan-22 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 World Headline World Core AEs Headline EMEs Headline Inflation2 6.3 5.2 4.3 2.6 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.5 4.5 5.0 6.4 1.8 2.9 0.9 1.1 0.4 CN ID PH US HK KR EA SG 2Q23 1Q23 Real GDP Growth1 Annual change (%) Moderating headline inflation, but core inflation remained high Modest growth as growth is weighed by higher interest rate and elevated inflation Regional exports declined due to shift from goods to services and global technology downcycle 2 China’s economy grew post-reopening, albeit at a slower pace Annual change (%) Jun-23 3 Malaysia’s GDP grew by 2.9% in 2Q 2023 Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Factors Supporting Growth in 2Q 2023 -0.2 16.2 -4.2 3.6 4.8 8.8 14.1 7.1 5.6 2.9 2.2 -1.7 0.9 1.5 1Q-21 2Q-21 3Q-21 4Q-21 1Q-22 2Q-22 3Q-22 4Q-22 1Q-23 2Q-23 Annual change (%) q-o-q SA Real GDP Growth (Quarterly) Higher tourism activities Monthly Real GDP Growth (Annual change, %) Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 4.6 6.6 5.7 0.7 5.6 2.4 Moderation from 1Q 2023 partly due to ... Continued increase in domestic demand Lower commodity production Weaker external demand amid global technology downcycle Improving labour market 3 High base effect from 2Q 2022 4 Growth underpinned by domestic demand and tourism activities Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Private Consumption Moderate expansion in both necessities and discretionary spending Driven mainly by services and construction sectors -3.7 54.4 2Q23 1Q23 3.8 -2.2 2Q23 1Q23 7.9 5.7 2Q23 1Q23 5.1 4.7 2Q23 1Q23 4.3 5.9 2Q23 1Q23 Private Investment Supported by investment in structures and M&E Public Investment Improved Government’s fixed assets spending Public Consumption Higher emoluments spending Net Exports Weaker exports amid global technology downcycle Driven mainly by private sector expenditure 6.2 7.4 2Q23 1Q23 -2.3 2.4 2Q23 1Q23 -1.1 1.0 2Q23 1Q23 0.1 3.2 2Q23 1Q23 4.7 7.3 2Q23 1Q23 Services Moderation in consumer- and business- related services, while tourism spending remained supportive Manufacturing Weaker E&E production and lower refined petroleum production amid a decline in mining output Agriculture Lower oil palm and fisheries output amid hot weather condition Mining Decreased oil and gas output due to plant maintenance Construction Continued progress of large infrastructure projects and support from higher special trade activities Annual Change (%) Annual Change (%) 4 5 12.0 5.8 -1.4 7.7 3.1 7.7 3.7 -8.3 Total Equity Injections Debt Instruments Reinvestment of Earnings 1Q23 2Q23 4.3 39.9 -12.8 -16.9 -5.9 9.1 29.5 -11.3 -6.3 -2.8 Current Account Balance Goods Services Primary Income Secondary Income 1Q23 2Q23 Larger current account surplus and continued FDI inflows Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia RM bil  Narrower services deficit reflecting continued recovery in inbound tourism  Smaller primary income deficit driven mainly by higher investment income from investments abroad Current Account Foreign Direct Investment RM bil  Continued FDI inflows supported by higher equity injections and inflows in debt instruments.  However, FDI flows were weighed by dividend payments and losses in the manufacturing and mining sectors. Current Account (% of GDP) 2Q 2023: 2.1% 1Q 2023: 1.0% 5 6 Looking ahead, domestic demand to remain the key driver of growth amid challenging global environment Continued recovery in labour market Further improvement in employment and income prospects Implementation of new and existing investment projects Continued progress of multi-year projects Higher tourism activity Further recovery in tourist arrivals and travel receipts towards pre-pandemic levels Slower global growth Tight monetary policy, slower trade activity and prolonged global technology downcycle Growth in 2023 to remain between 4% and 5% Key growth drivers 6 Lower commodity production Hot weather and plant maintenance affecting output in the commodity sector 7 Mixed indicators, but generally pointing to continued growth for the Malaysian economy 7 Overall IPI Baltic Dry Index Index of Retail Trade Global Composite PMI Malaysia’s PMI New Export Orders RAM-CTOS Business Confidence Index Jul-22 Oct-22 Jan-23 Apr-23 Jul-23 Expansionary: >50 51.7 Index 170 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 2019: 139.5 Index (2015=100)Seasonally Adjusted Index (2015 = 100) 54.8 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 ’17-’19 avg: 55.3 -48.1 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 45.0 Jul-22 Oct-22 Jan-23 Apr-23 Jul-23 ’11-’19 avg: 2.2% Index (Neutral=50) Expansionary: >50Annual Change (%) Index 127.9 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 2019: 114.9 8 Slowdown in goods exports partially cushioned by increased tourism activities Broad weakness in exports across regional countries *refers to non-oil domestic exports ** compiled by World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia, World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS), national authorities and newsflows Gross Export Growth (USD) -10.9 -12.0 -14.6 -16.8 -17.8 -25.0 -15.0 -5.0 5.0 15.0 25.0 35.0 45.0 -20 -10 0 SG* KR MY TW ID 2Q23 2Q22 (RHS) Annual change (%) WSTS Forecast of Global Semiconductor Sales Tentative signs of bottoming out of global tech downcycle… Actual Global Semiconductor Sales** 26.2 3.3 -10.3 11.8 2021 2022 2023f 2024f Annual change (%) 11.9 -21.4 -21.1 -17.3 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Annual change (%), 3-month moving average 8 …and expected recovery in 2024 0.3 5.7 10.1 12.2 12.3 16.3 1Q-22 2Q-22 3Q-22 4Q-22 1Q-23 2Q-23 3Q-23 RM billion Travel Receipts Tourism sector continues to pick-up towards pre-pandemic level 2019 quarterly avg: RM20.5 billion 9 Labour market continued to improve Employment growth remains above pre-pandemic average Source: Department of Statistics Malaysia, Employment Insurance System, Social Security Organisation, Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 70.0 82.8 56.2 46.1 69.1 81.1 56.1 45.9 Overall Men Women Youth 2Q 23 4Q 19 Further decline in unemployment rate Vulnerable segments have recovered to pre-pandemic levels 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Unemployment rate, % of labour force Labour force participation rate, % of population 2.2 3.2 3.6 3.2 3.1 2.8 1Q 22 2Q 22 3Q 22 4Q 22 1Q 23 2Q 23 Pre-pandemic (2019): 3.3% 2015-2019 avg.: 1.7% Employment, % yoy 9 4.0 3.1 3.9 3.5 3.5 3.3 4.3 2020 - 2022 avg jobless claims: 5.6 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Jobless claims, thousand persons Jobless claims remains below levels during pandemic years 10 Spending continues to grow…. Household spending to remain as anchor of growth Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia Going forward, consumption growth would be underpinned by: Passenger car sales Thousand units 152.2 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 Continued employment growth and lower unemployment rate Government measures including special appreciation assistance for civil servants and RM100 e-Tunai credit for B40 & M40 households Easing price pressures9 Real wages 2Q23: 1.0% (1Q23: 0.9%) Nominal wages 2Q23: 3.8% (1Q23: 4.5%) Private sector wages Annual change, % Financial assets1-to-debt ratio: 2.1 times Liquid financial assets2-to- debt ratio: 1.3 times Household financial buffers Ratio as of June 2023 4Q19: 3.8% 4Q19: 4.8% … supported by increment in wages and financial buffers 10 2015-2019 avg.:135.2 Note: 1 Financial assets comprise EPF savings, deposits, unit trust funds, domestic equity holdings, and insurance policies (surrender value). 2 Liquid financial assets exclude EPF savings. 17.9 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 Annual change (%) Credit Card Spending 2015-2019 avg.:7.6 11 35.1 28.4 36.9 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 * Loans for investment-related purposes covers purchases of residential property for business use, non-residential property, fixed assets other than land / building, and for construction. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Progress of multi-year infrastructure projects to provide further lift to growth Going forward, realisation of approved projects to support investment activity Supportive financing conditions and continuation of new and existing projects to support investment growth in 2023 *Proxied by coverage of populated areas (COPA) Source: Newsflows Key Infrastructure Projects Cumulative Progress Rate ECRL RM50.0 billion 2018 2026 42% LRT3 RM16.6 billion 2018 2024 86% MyDIGITAL 5G RM16.5 billion 2021 2031 62%* Pan Borneo Highway (Sabah) RM16.0 billion 2016 2024 75% MIDA Total Investment Approvals RM Billion 211 167 309 268 71 2019 2020 2021 2022 1Q23 Primary Manufacturing Services Total 11 Financing for investment improved Source: MIDA Business Loan Disbursements and Corporate Bond Issuances RM Billion Investment- Related* Loan Disbursements Corporate Bond Issuances for New Activity 12 MADANI Economy Framework to drive comprehensive restructuring of the Malaysian economy Source: Prime Minister Office, Malaysia, newsflows 12 Key Initiatives New Industrial Master Plan • Advance economic complexity, digitalisation and sustainability • Spur investments in technology and innovation National Energy Transition Roadmap • Increase renewable energy generation • Promote new green growth areas Create quality and higher paying jobs • Reduce reliance on low-skilled foreign labour Revitalise the industrial sector to be more competitive • Generate economic activities with higher value add and economic complexity Promote a climate resilient and greener economy • Accelerate energy transition Malaysia’s Economic Vision Position ourselves as a globally competitive investment destination • Strengthen investment promotion and incentives Ensure a sustainable fiscal position • Strengthen the fiscal position and ensure resilience and long-term sustainability of public finances Fiscal Responsibility Act • Improve the transparency, accountability and governance of public finance • Act as an anchor to existing and future reforms 13 Disinflation trend continued with lower headline and core inflation ■ Headline inflation trended lower in line with moderating costs conditions ■ Core inflation declined amid lower inflation for food away from home and communication services 1/ Average of past inflation is calculated based on monthly frequency from Jan-11 to Dec-19 2/ YTD refers to the average from January 2023 to June 2023 Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia estimates Malaysia Inflation 3.3 2.8 2.4 3.6 3.5 3.1 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 Apr-22 Jul-22 Oct-22 Jan-23 Apr-23 Headline inflation Core inflation 2011-’19 Avg 1/.: Headline 2.2 Core 2.0 Annual Change (%) (2Q-23: 2.8; 1Q-23: 3.6) (2Q-23: 3.4; 1Q-23: 3.9) 1.3 1.8 2.8 3.1 2.9 2.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 -0.2 1Q-22 2Q-22 3Q-22 4Q-22 1Q-23 2Q-23 Core Fresh food Fuel Other (non-fuel price admin) Contribution (ppt) Non-core Breakdown of inflation by components Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia, Bank Negara Malaysia estimates 13 YTD 2/ Headline inflation: 3.3% YTD Core inflation: 3.6% 14 Inflationary pressures have become more generalised over the past two years, although currently on a moderating trend Drivers of inflation can be disentangled into general (common) and sector-specific (idiosyncratic) price changes Common inflation has risen in recent times due to a confluence of simultaneous and aggregate shocks: – Military conflict in Ukraine – Pent-up demand – Potential shift in firms’ pricing behaviour amid a high-inflation environment Ongoing disinflationary trend is contributed by both lower common and idiosyncratic factors Box Article: Lower headline inflation reflected the decline in both common and idiosyncratic components 1/ Headline inflation is adjusted to exclude the direct impact of consumption tax policies changes (GST and SST) in 2015 and 2018. 2/ Upcycle refers to periods when global food and/or energy commodities exhibited year-on-year movements higher than the standard deviation. Global food and energy commodities data are from World Bank Commodity Price Data (The Pink Sheet). Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia staff estimates. 14 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 Ja n- 11 Ju l-1 1 Ja n- 12 Ju l-1 2 Ja n- 13 Ju l-1 3 Ja n- 14 Ju l-1 4 Ja n- 15 Ju l-1 5 Ja n- 16 Ju l-1 6 Ja n- 17 Ju l-1 7 Ja n- 18 Ju l-1 8 Ja n- 19 Ju l-1 9 Ja n- 20 Ju l-2 0 Ja n- 21 Ju l-2 1 Ja n- 22 Ju l-2 2 Ja n- 23 Common Idiosyncratic Headline inflation Contribution (ppt) 2011 Food & Energy Joint Upcycle2/ 2017 Energy Upcycle 2020 COVID-19 and weaker global oil price 2021-2022 Food & Energy Joint Upcycle / Reopening of economy 2015 Lower global energy and commodity prices Decomposition of headline inflation1/ by common and idiosyncratic factors 1 2 3 Box article: Understanding Inflation Drivers: Differentiating Common and Idiosyncratic Dynamics in Malaysia 15 ▲ Higher global commodity prices due to worsening geopolitical conflict or adverse weather events ▲ Higher imported input costs amid exchange rate depreciation Going forward, risks to inflation stem mainly from global developments Key drivers of headline inflation in 2023 2.8% to 3.8% (2023f) Elevated core inflation Firm domestic demand and improvement in labour market Moderating global cost environment Lower key commodity prices Gradual subsidy rationalisation Revision in electricity surcharge1/ Prevailing price controls and subsidies On key necessity items Upside risks Downside risks ▼ Weaker global growth leading to more subdued commodity prices ▼ Faster dissipation of domestic pent-up demand from 2022 • Headline inflation is expected to average close to the lower bound of forecast range with the risks broadly balanced. 1/ Reflecting revision for high-usage households and selected industry participants in 2H 2023 and 1H 2023, respectively. 15 16 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 July 2023: 3.00% Overnight Policy Rate, OPR % Historical low OPR level The OPR was maintained at 3.00% at the July MPC meeting At the July MPC meeting, the MPC deemed the monetary policy stance to be slightly accommodative and supportive of the economy The MPC remains vigilant to ongoing developments and will continue to monitor incoming data to inform the assessment on the outlook of domestic inflation and growth – The MPC continued to see limited risks of future financial imbalances 16 17 Updated Domestic bond yields declined slightly amid inflows, despite ongoing expectations for US monetary policy tightening *Regional countries include Indonesia, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea and Thailand. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, ETP and Bloomberg -16.0 -6.0 -32.9 2.6 -40.7 36.9 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 1Q23 2Q23 Malaysia Regional Average* US Movement of 10-Year Local Currency Sovereign Bond Yields (in bps) Domestic financial market developments driven mainly by external factors Performance of Equity Indices (%QoQ Change) Most regional equities including Malaysia declined, reflecting investors’ cautious economic outlook US: United States; PH: the Philippines; MY: Malaysia; TH: Thailand; SG: Singapore; KR: South Korea; CH: China; JP: Japan; ID: Indonesia. Source: Bloomberg and Bursa Malaysia -3.6 -4.9 5.9 -0.7 0.2 -1.0 10.8 7.0 7.5 -6.6 -3.2 -2.2 -2.1 -1.6 -0.5 3.5 8.3 18.4 -10 0 10 20 TH MY CH ID SG PH KR US JP 2Q23 1Q23 17 18 -2.6 -2.5 -2.3 -1.8 -1.4 -1.3 -0.5 -0.4 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.1 3.1 1.6 0.3 PHP TWD IDR AUD INR KRW JPY CNY SGD EUR GBP ZAR THB MYR NOK NEER** DXY* -10.0 -8.0 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 Since 1 July 2023*** YTD Recently, the ringgit has appreciated against the US dollar Updated *The US dollar Index (DXY) is an index of the value of the US dollar against a basket of foreign currencies, namely EUR (57.6%), JPY (13.6%), GBP (11.9%), CAD (9.1%), SEK (4.2%), and CHF (3.6%). ** NEER refers to the ringgit nominal effective exchange rate. It is an index measuring ringgit’s performance against currencies of Malaysia’s major trading partners. *** Change in exchange rate against the US dollar from 1 July to 15 August 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia and Bloomberg US Dollar Index (DXY) and Selected Currencies against the US Dollar (%) Negative indicates currency depreciation 18 The ringgit has strengthened against the US dollar since 1 July 2023. This is due to market expectations that the aggressive monetary policy tightening in major economies is nearing its end. Further clarity on the future monetary policy actions in major economies will provide support to the ringgit and other regional currencies. 19 Banks remain well-positioned to support financial intermediation needs 1 Impairment ratio based on Stage 3 loans under MFRS 9. 2 Business ICR and CASTD ratios as at Mar-23 3 Financial assets comprise EPF savings, deposits, unit trust funds, domestic equity holdings, and insurance policies (surrender value). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Strong buffers allow banks to continue supporting financial intermediation activities Total Capital Ratio, % Liquidity Coverage Ratio, % Loan Loss Coverage Ratio (including regulatory reserve), % Impaired Loans Ratio, % Banks have sufficient provisions to absorb potential credit losses from vulnerable borrowers 148.3 152.5 152.7 157.3 155.3 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 18.3 17.8 19.0 18.6 18.2 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 115.3 114.8 118.6 116.3 116.2 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 2010-2019 average: 106.3% 19 1.3 2.8 1.8 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Household Sector Business Sector Overall Gross Impaired Loans 2010-2019 overall average: 1.9% 20 Financing in 2Q 2023 remained supportive of SMEs’ business needs Steady growth in outstanding financing Higher financing approvals across both working capital and investment purposes *Investment-related purpose includes financing for the purchase of non-residential properties, residential properties for business use, fixed assets (incl. cars), and construction purposes. Note: Reflects loan/financing from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs). The data series were revised following a data rectification by financial institutions, mainly involving the reclassification of SME loans as non-SME loans. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia …with investment-related financing approvals driven by the services sectors 5.8 5.9 6.4 4 5 6 7 8 300 310 320 330 340 350 360 370 380 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 RM million % yoy (RHS) Outstanding SME Financing RM million 5 10 15 20 25 30 1Q22 2Q22 3Q22 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 Working Capital Investment-related SME Financing Approvals 10.6 11.9 18.1 13.7 17.5 16.7 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 4Q22 1Q23 2Q23 Others Mining Agriculture Construction Manufacturing Services RM million Annual change (%) / Contribution to growth (Ppt) 2018-19 quarterly average: RM14 bn 2018-19 quarterly average: RM11 bn SME Financing Approvals by Sector for Investment-Related Purposes* % yoy 20 21 Domestic demand to remain key driver of growth in 2023 amid challenging global environment Downside risks to growth emanating primarily from external developments, while there are upside risks mainly from domestic factors Summary In 2Q 2023, the Malaysian economy grew by 2.9%, driven mainly by private sector expenditure Headline and core inflation are projected to average between 2.8% and 3.8% in 2023 21 22 End of Presentation 22 23 Q&A 23 Q&A BANK NEGARA MALAYSIA CENTRAL BANK or MALAYSIA 24 Selamat Menyambut Hari Kebangsaan Ke-66 24 2525 | Muzium dan Galeri Seni C-erak Seni Pencerifaan | Tlre Ar?‘ olSforylelling 18.08.2023, 8:15 p.m. Galeri Seni, Aras 3 / An‘ Gallery, Level 3 Muzium clan Galeri Seni Bank Negara Malaysia ,_~‘2.3‘ 26 Feedback Survey 26 27 Additional Information 27 28 Add. Info 1 Breakdown of 2Q 2023 GDP (% yoy) Annual Change in GDP Growth by Component 1 Numbers do not add up due to rounding and exclusion of import duties component. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia Real GDP (% YoY) Share, % (2022) 2022 2023 2Q 1Q 2Q Domestic Demand (Excluding Stocks) 93.1 13.0 4.6 4.5 Private Sector 75.5 15.4 5.6 4.5 Consumption 60.2 18.3 5.9 4.3 Investment 15.3 6.3 4.7 5.1 Public Sector 17.6 2.5 -0.3 4.6 Consumption 13.2 2.3 -2.2 3.8 Investment 4.4 3.2 5.7 7.9 Net Exports of Goods and Services 5.5 -29.0 54.4 -3.7 Exports 74.6 15.9 -3.3 -9.4 Imports 69.1 20.1 -6.5 -9.7 Change in stocks, RM bil. 1.4 12.3 2.8 8.0 Real GDP 100.0 8.8 5.6 2.9 Real GDP (% YoY) Share1, % (2022) 2022 2023 2Q 1Q 2Q Services 58.3 11.9 7.3 4.7 Manufacturing 24.1 9.2 3.2 0.1 Agriculture 6.6 -2.3 1.0 -1.1 Mining and Quarrying 6.4 -1.7 2.4 -2.3 Construction 3.5 2.5 7.4 6.2 Real GDP 100.0 8.8 5.6 2.9 28 29 Financial account recorded a larger net outflow Portfolio investment net inflows were more than offset by net outflows in other and direct investment account Continued FDI inflows amid higher DIA outflows Net outflows in other investment Net inflows in portfolio investment Add. Info 2 *As per the IMF’s BPM5 classifications (i.e. directional basis). Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia 29 RM billion 2022 2023 4Q Year 1Q 2Q 1H Direct Investment -9.3 15.9 10.9 -4.9 6.0 Direct Investment Abroad (DIA)* -28.5 -58.6 -1.1 -8.0 -9.1 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)* 19.2 74.6 12.0 3.1 15.1 Portfolio Investment -26.7 -50.6 -33.3 8.1 -25.2 Residents -15.0 -30.5 -16.3 -10.1 -26.5 Non-residents -11.7 -20.1 -17.0 18.3 1.3 Financial Derivatives -1.7 -2.2 -0.9 0.3 -0.6 Other Investment 36.6 49.2 20.9 -15.1 5.8 Financial Account Balance -1.1 12.4 -2.4 -11.6 -13.9 30 Adequate buffers to weather external shocks Higher net creditor position … … and further supported by L External Assets Minus External Liabilities (1Q 22 – 2Q 23) Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia and Bank Negara Malaysia … with large net foreign-currency assets … 3.2 3.0 3.9 4.7 4.7 8.9 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 1Q-22 2Q-22 3Q-22 4Q-22 1Q-23 2Q-23 Net IIP Position (LHS) % of GDP (RHS) RM bil % of GDP Sustained foreign income Continued current account surplus reduces external financing requirements Sufficient international reserves* to facilitate international transactions … to finance 5.3 months of imports of goods & services and is 1.0 time total short-term external debt as at 31 July 2023 Add. Info 3 30 * Note: The reserves coverage ratios differ from that published in the press statement on international reserves as at 31 July 2023 as it reflects the latest 2Q 2023 data on imports of goods & services and short-term external debt. 2,302.8 1,015.1 FCY Assets FCY Liabilities FCY Denominated External Assets & Liabilities (End-2Q 2023) (RM bil) 31 Effective exchange rates offer a broader perspective of a country’s currency value Apart from bilateral exchange rates, the NEER and REER are used to assess a currency’s performance 1. The NEER considers a currency’s performance against a group of currencies, weighted by the importance of each trading partner. The REER then adjusts for price differences. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Box article: Methodological Framework for Computing Malaysia’s Effective Exchange Rate Indices • Effective exchange rates, namely the NEER and REER, can provide insights into macroeconomic conditions and can facilitate price competitiveness assessments, inflation analysis and external balance evaluations. • Since 2018, movements in the ringgit NEER and REER have been relatively more muted, when comparing the movements of the NEER and REER series with the bilateral ringgit exchange rate against the US dollar. Ringgit Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER)1 and Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)1Series 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.880 84 88 92 96 100 Ja n- 18 Ju n- 18 N ov -1 8 Ap r-1 9 Se p- 19 Fe b- 20 Ju l-2 0 D ec -2 0 M ay -2 1 O ct -2 1 M ar -2 2 Au g- 22 Ja n- 23 Ju n- 23 MYR / USDIndex (21 July 2005 = 100) NEER REER MYR / USD Note: Last date in the chart is 30 June 2023. The daily REER is calculated by using the monthly CPI for each day of the month. appreciation 31 Add. Info 4 32 Temporary commodity-related factors weighed on 2Q 2023 GDP Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Department of Statistics Malaysia, Malaysian Palm Oil Board -10.5 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Annual Change % yoy Plant maintenance activities and hot weather affected production in the mining, manufacturing and agriculture sector 32 Crude Oil and Condensates Production Natural Gas Production Manufacture of refined petroleum products (IPI) Crude Palm Oil Production -5.9 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Annual Change % yoy -8.4 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Annual Change % yoy -6.3 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Annual Change % yoy Add. Info 5 Slide Number 1 The global economy registered modest growth in 2Q 2023 Malaysia’s GDP grew by 2.9% in 2Q 2023 Growth underpinned by domestic demand and tourism activities Larger current account surplus and continued FDI inflows Looking ahead, domestic demand to remain the key driver of growth amid challenging global environment Mixed indicators, but generally pointing to continued growth for the Malaysian economy Slowdown in goods exports partially cushioned by increased �tourism activities Labour market continued to improve Household spending to remain as anchor of growth Slide Number 11 MADANI Economy Framework to drive comprehensive restructuring of the Malaysian economy Disinflation trend continued with lower headline and core inflation Box Article: Lower headline inflation reflected the decline in both common and idiosyncratic components Going forward, risks to inflation stem mainly from global developments Slide Number 16 Domestic financial market developments driven mainly by external factors Recently, the ringgit has appreciated against the US dollar Banks remain well-positioned to support financial intermediation needs Financing in 2Q 2023 remained supportive of SMEs’ business needs Summary Slide Number 22 Slide Number 23 Slide Number 24 Slide Number 25 Slide Number 26 Slide Number 27 Breakdown of 2Q 2023 GDP (% yoy) Financial account recorded a larger net outflow Adequate buffers to weather external shocks Effective exchange rates offer a broader perspective of a country’s �currency value Temporary commodity-related factors weighed on 2Q 2023 GDP [Post-Publish] 2Q23 QB_Slides_20230821.pdf Default Section Slide 1 Part A: Developments Slide 2: The global economy registered modest growth in 2Q 2023 Slide 3: Malaysia’s GDP grew by 2.9% in 2Q 2023 Slide 4: Growth underpinned by domestic demand and tourism activities Slide 5: Larger current account surplus and continued FDI inflows Part B: Outlook Slide 6: Looking ahead, domestic demand to remain the key driver of growth amid challenging global environment Slide 7: Mixed indicators, but generally pointing to continued growth for the Malaysian economy Slide 8: Slowdown in goods exports partially cushioned by increased tourism activities Slide 9: Labour market continued to improve Slide 10: Household spending to remain as anchor of growth Slide 11 Slide 12: MADANI Economy Framework to drive comprehensive restructuring of the Malaysian economy Slide 13: Disinflation trend continued with lower headline and core inflation Slide 14: Box Article: Lower headline inflation reflected the decline in both common and idiosyncratic components Slide 15: Going forward, risks to inflation stem mainly from global developments Slide 16 Part C: Monetary and Financial Developments Slide 17: Domestic financial market developments driven mainly by external factors Slide 18: Recently, the ringgit has appreciated against the US dollar Slide 19: Banks remain well-positioned to support financial intermediation needs Slide 20: Financing in 2Q 2023 remained supportive of SMEs’ business needs Part D: Summary Slide 21: Summary Slide 22 Slide 23 Slide 24 Slide 25 Slide 26 Additional Information Slide 27 Slide 28: Breakdown of 2Q 2023 GDP (% yoy) Slide 29: Financial account recorded a larger net outflow Slide 30: Adequate buffers to weather external shocks Slide 31: Effective exchange rates offer a broader perspective of a country’s currency value Slide 32: Temporary commodity-related factors weighed on 2Q 2023 GDP
Press Release
07 Aug 2023
International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 July 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/international-reserves-of-bank-negara-malaysia-as-at-31-july-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/6118085/qb2021q4_en_box_imports.pdf
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Reading: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 July 2023 Share: International Reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia as at 31 July 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Monday, 7 August 2023 7 Aug 2023 The international reserves of Bank Negara Malaysia amounted to USD112.9 billion as at 31 July 2023. The reserves position is sufficient to finance 5.1 months of imports of goods and services[1], and is 1.1 times the total short-term external debt. [1] Under the previous import coverage measure, reserves are sufficient to finance 7.0 months of retained imports of goods. For more information on the new indicator, please refer to the article on “Expansion of the Measure on Reserve Coverage of Imports – from Retained Imports to Imports of Goods and Services” in BNM’s Quarterly Bulletin for the Fourth Quarter of 2021 publication, page 27, which can be accessed at Quarterly Bulletin 4Q2021 Related Assets BNM Statement of Assets & Liabilities - 31 July 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 7 August 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March March 2023 1 3.7 3.4 3.9 3.8 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. 1 Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 9.5 8.510.6 0 10 20 30 40 Feb- 22 Mar- 22 Apr- 22 May- 22 Jun- 22 Jul- 22 Aug- 22 Sep- 22 Oct- 22 Nov- 22 Dec- 22 Jan- 23 Feb- 23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale 2.4 5.2 4.4 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 Mar-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector moderated 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.2 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February : 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 Monthly Highlights March 2023 Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly Financial Market Performance in March 2023 Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 11.0 -2.1 -5.3 0.0 -2.2 1.7 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Mar-23 Feb-23 • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. 2 Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.9 157.4 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February-23: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February-23: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continue to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 M a r 2 2 A p r 2 2 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February-23: 152.7%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February-23: 81.6%). PRESS RELEASE Ref. No.: 04/23/05 EMBARGO: Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 hours on Friday, 28 April 2023 Monthly Highlights – March 2023 Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March • Headline inflation declined to 3.4% in March (February: 3.7%) due mainly to lower inflation for fuel, air fares and selected food items, in line with the easing global commodity prices. • Core inflation1 moderated slightly to 3.8% during the month (February: 3.9%), driven largely by lower inflation for food away from home. Robust growth in volume index driven by retail and motor vehicles • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded by 10.6% in February 2023 (January: 8.5%). • The higher growth was driven mainly by retail sales in non-specialised stores (e.g., department stores) followed by continued strength in purchases of motor vehicles amid the ongoing fulfilment of backlog orders. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index accelerated by 5.5% (January: 0.2%). 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector2,3 moderated • Credit to the private non-financial sector grew by 4.2% as at end-March (February: 4.5%), attributed to slower growth in credit to businesses (3.2%; February: 3.7%). • While growth in outstanding corporate bonds moderated (4.4%; February: 5.5%), outstanding business loan growth was sustained at 2.4% (February: 2.4%). This was supported by the continued growth in both working capital (2.2%; February: 1.9%) and investment-related loans (4.3%; February: 4.2%). • Outstanding household loan growth remained broadly stable (5.2%; February: 5.3%), supported by growth in loans for car purchases (8.7%; February: 7.6%). This was amid weaker loan growth for the purchase of securities (-6.9%; February: -3.3%). Domestic financial market conditions remained orderly • In March, global financial markets were affected by the emergence of banking sector stress in some major economies. As spillovers were contained thus far due to early action by authorities, investors’ risk appetite for emerging market currencies and bonds improved. • In line with the performance of regional currencies, the ringgit appreciated by 1.7% against the US dollar. Conditions in the domestic bond market also remained stable. • The FBM KLCI declined by 2.2% during the month. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 157.4% (February: 152.7%). 2 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 3 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. P u b l i s h e d b y : S t r a t e g i c C o m m u n i c a t i o n s D e p a r t m e n t , L e v e l 1 4 , B l o c k B , B a n k N e g a r a M a l a y s i a , J a l a n D a t o ’ O n n , 5 0 4 8 0 K u a l a L u m p u r , M a l a y s i a . E - m a i l : c o m m u n i c a t i o n s @ b n m . g o v . m y W e b : w w w . b n m . g o v . m y • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.9% (February: 81.6%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios increased slightly to 1.8% (February: 1.8%) and 1.2% (February: 1.1%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to record a prudent level of 110.5% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. Bank Negara Malaysia 28 April 2023 20230428_BNM Monthly Highlights-March_en Slide 1 Slide 2 20230428_BNM PR_Monthly Highlights-Mar 2023_eng
Press Release
31 Jul 2023
Monetary and Financial Developments in June 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/monetary-and-financial-developments-in-june-2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/documents/20124/11457190/i_en.pdf
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Reading: Monetary and Financial Developments in June 2023 Share: 7 Monetary and Financial Developments in June 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Monday, 31 July 2023 31 Jul 2023 Headline inflation continued to decline to 2.4% in June Headline inflation declined to 2.4% (May 2023: 2.8%). This moderation was largely due to lower inflation for core CPI components (-0.3 percentage points, ppt) and fuel (-0.1ppt). The moderation in core inflation[1] (June 2023: 3.1%; May 2023 3.5%) was mainly due to lower inflation for some discretionary services, particularly food away from home. Exports declined in June Exports contracted by 14.1% (May 2023: -0.9%) in June 2023 reflecting weaker external demand, a decline in commodity prices and a high base effect from 2022. Manufactured export growth was weighed down mainly by petroleum products and palm oil-based products. Commodities exports declined due to lower shipments of palm oil, LNG, and crude petroleum. Sustained credit growth in June, despite slower growth in business loans Credit to the private non-financial sector[2],[3] was broadly sustained (3.9%; May 2023: 4.0%) despite slower expansion in credit to businesses (2.6%; May 2023: 2.8%). Growth in outstanding business loans moderated to 1.0% (May 2023: 1.6%), following slower growth in working capital loans among non-SMEs. Growth in outstanding corporate bonds, however, improved slightly to 4.9% (May 2023: 4.6%). For households, outstanding loan growth was unchanged at 5.1%, with sustained growth across most loan purposes. Notwithstanding this, loan applications recorded slower growth, particularly for the purchase of houses and personal use, partly due to the high base effect from a strong increase in June 2022. Domestic financial markets remained mostly driven by external factors Global financial sentiments were weighed down by concerns over the global growth outlook due to weaker-than-expected economic recovery in China. This was further compounded by slower economic activity in Europe and weak corporate earnings.  The ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 1.3% (regional[4] average: -0.1%) while the FBM KLCI declined by 0.8% (regional4 average: -0.1%) in June. Meanwhile, in tandem with global bond yields, the 10-year MGS yields rose by 15 bps, following indication of tighter monetary policy stance going forward by the US Federal Reserve. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation Banks continue to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 155.3% (May 2023: 151.0%). The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained broadly stable at 81.6% (May 2023: 81.8%). Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.75% (May 2023: 1.80%) and 1.09% (May 2023: 1.10%), respectively. Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) continues to be at a prudent level of 116.2% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.6% of total loans. See also: Monthly Highlights [PDF]  [1] Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. [2] Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). [3] Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. [4] Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea. Related Assets Monthly Highlights & Statistics in June 2023 Bank Negara Malaysia 31 July 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
Monthly Highlights May 2023 Monthly Highlights Headline inflation declined further to 2.8% in May May 2023 Contribution to Inflation ppt. contribution %, yoy 1 Core inflation is computed by excluding price-volatile and price-administered items. Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia & Bank Negara Malaysia estimates • Headline inflation moderated to 2.8% (April 2023: 3.3%). This decline was largely due to non-core CPI components, particularly lower inflation for fuel (-0.2 percentage points, ppt) and fresh food (-0.1ppt). • Core inflation also declined slightly to 3.5% (April 2023: 3.6%) amid lower inflation for communication services. 3.3 2.8 3.6 3.5 0.00 2.00 4.00 0.0 2.0 4.0 J a n -2 2 F e b -2 2 M a r- 2 2 A p r- 2 2 M a y -2 2 J u n -2 2 J u l- 2 2 A u g -2 2 S e p -2 2 O c t- 2 2 N o v -2 2 D e c -2 2 J a n -2 3 F e b -2 3 M a r- 2 3 A p r- 2 3 M a y -2 3 Food & non-alcohol (29.5%) Housing & utilities (23.8%) Transport (14.6%) Others (32.1%) Headline inflation (RHS) Core inflation¹ (RHS) 1.6 5.1 4.6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 May-22 Sep-22 Jan-23 May-23 Business loans Household loans Corporate bonds Annual growth (%) Credit to the Private Non-Financial Sector1,2 1 Growth in credit to the private non-financial sector improved in May 1 Comprises loans to households and non-financial corporations from the banking system and development financial institutions (DFIs), and corporate bonds issued by non-financial corporations (including short-term papers). 2 Starting with the publication of December 2022 Monthly Highlights and Statistics (MHS), this series was introduced to enhance the quality of financing data. This new data series is available in the MHS Table 2.18. Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Contribution to growth (ppt) • Credit to the private non-financial sector expanded by 4.0% as at end-May (April 2023: 3.7%), driven mainly by higher growth in credit to businesses (2.8%; April 2023: 2.5%). • Outstanding corporate bonds grew by 4.6% (April 2023: 4.4%), while outstanding business loans expanded by 1.6% (April 2023: 1.0%). The higher business loan growth reflected improvement in loans for both working capital and investments to SMEs and non-SMEs. • In the household segment, outstanding loan growth was sustained at 5.1% (April 2023: 5.0%), supported by higher growth across most loan purposes. Of note, household loan growth continued to be driven by loans for the purchase of houses and cars, which grew by 7.0% and 8.4%, respectively (April 2023: 6.8% and 8.0%). 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 4.5 4.2 3.7 4.0 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Corporate Bonds Business Loans Household Loans Credit to the Private Non- Financial Sector Index of wholesale and retail trade growth moderated in April Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia • The Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade (IOWRT) expanded more moderately by 4.7% in April 2023 (March 2023: 9.4%). The lower growth was due mainly to the decline in the motor vehicle segment. • However, the retail segment continued to record a double-digit growth of 10.0% (March 2023: 13.8%), supported by sales in non-specialised and other specialised stores1. • On a month-on-month seasonally adjusted basis, the index increased at a faster pace of 6.5% (March 2023: -0.9%). 1 Other goods in specialised stores includes clothing, footwear, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, watches, jewellery and optical goods. 10.6 9.4 4.7 -2 3 8 13 18 23 28 33 Apr-22 Jun-22 Aug-22 Oct-22 Dec-22 Feb-23 Apr-23 ppt, %yoy Motor vehicles Retail Wholesale Index of Wholesale and Retail Trade Monthly Highlights 2 May 2023 Domestic financial markets were largely affected by external factors Financial Market Performance in May 2023 -18.0 -0.5 -1.1 -3.0 -2.0 -3.4 10-year MGS (bps, mom) Equity (%, mom) Ringgit (%, mom) -20 -15 -10 -5 0 May-23 Apr-23 Note: The exchange rate data is the noon-rate in the Kuala Lumpur Interbank Foreign Exchange Market 1Regional countries comprise Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Indonesia, and Korea Source: Bank Negara Malaysia, Bursa Malaysia • Global investors maintained a risk-off approach throughout May, as concerns over the impact of the US debt ceiling crisis and the weaker-than- expected rebound in China’s economy weighed on global financial markets. • As a result, the ringgit depreciated against the US dollar by 3.4% (regional1 average: -1.2%). Similarly, the FBM KLCI declined by 2.0% (regional1 average: -1.3%). • Nonetheless, the 10-year MGS yields decreased slightly by 3 basis points, supported by non-resident inflows into the domestic bond market. Banks maintained strong liquidity and funding positions to support intermediation • Banks continued to record healthy liquidity buffers with the aggregate Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 151.2% (April 2023: 154.3%). • The aggregate loan-to-fund ratio remained stable at 81.8% (April 2023: 82.1%). Source: Bank Negara Malaysia Banking System Liquidity and Funding Ratios 81.8 151.2 0 40 80 120 160 70 75 80 85 90 95 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 % % Liquidity Coverage Ratio (RHS) Loan-to-Fund Ratio Asset quality in the banking system remained intact Banking System Asset Quality Source: Bank Negara Malaysia • Overall gross and net impaired loans ratios remained broadly unchanged at 1.80% (April 2023: 1.78%) and 1.10% (April 2023: 1.10%), respectively. • Loan loss coverage ratio (including regulatory reserves) remained at a prudent level of 114.1% of impaired loans, with total provisions accounting for 1.7% of total loans. % 1.8 1.1 1.7 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 M a y 2 2 J u n 2 2 J u l 2 2 A u g 2 2 S e p 2 2 O c t 2 2 N o v 2 2 D e c 2 2 J a n 2 3 F e b 2 3 M a r 2 3 A p r 2 3 M a y 2 3 Gross Impaired Loans Ratio Total Provisions to Total Loans Ratio Net Impaired Loans Ratio April 2023 Monthly Highlights Slide 1 Slide 2
Press Release
31 Jul 2023
Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-June 2023
https://www.bnm.gov.my/-/detailed-disclosure-of-international-reserves-as-at-end-june-2023-1
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Reading: Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-June 2023 Share: 2 Detailed Disclosure of International Reserves as at end-June 2023 Embargo : For immediate release Not for publication or broadcast before 1200 on Monday, 31 July 2023 31 Jul 2023 In accordance with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) format, the detailed breakdown of international reserves provides forward-looking information on the size, composition and usability of reserves and other foreign currency assets, and the expected and potential future inflows and outflows of foreign exchange of the Federal Government and Bank Negara Malaysia over the next 12-month period. The detailed breakdown of international reserves based on the SDDS format is shown in Tables I, II, III and IV. As shown in Table I, official reserve assets amounted to USD111,407.1 million, while other foreign currency assets amounted to USD1.8 million as at end-June 2023. As shown in Table II, for the next 12 months, the pre-determined short-term outflows of foreign currency loans, securities and deposits, which include among others, scheduled repayment of external borrowings by the Government and the maturity of foreign currency Bank Negara Interbank Bills, amounted to USD14,595.1 million. The net short forward positions amounted to USD24,083.5 million as at end-June 2023, reflecting the management of ringgit liquidity in the money market. In line with the practice adopted since April 2006, the data excludes projected foreign currency inflows arising from interest income and the drawdown of project loans. Projected foreign currency inflows amount to USD2,210.7 million in the next 12 months. As shown in Table III, the only contingent short-term net drain on foreign currency assets are Government guarantees of foreign currency debt due within one year, amounting to USD371.0 million. There are no foreign currency loans with embedded options, and no undrawn, unconditional credit lines provided by or to other central banks, international organisations, banks and other financial institutions. Bank Negara Malaysia also does not engage in foreign currency options vis-à-vis ringgit. Overall, the detailed breakdown of international reserves under the IMF SDDS format indicates that as at end-June 2023, Malaysia’s international reserves remain usable. Related Assets International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity (30 June 2023) Bank Negara Malaysia 31 July 2023 © Bank Negara Malaysia, 2023. All rights reserved.
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Press Release