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Who are the greatest Irish artists? part V, Harry Clarke

pa relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiharry_clarke target_blankharry clarkea 18891931 born dublin stained glass artist and book illustrator styles broadly art nouveau and symbolistp phe produced over 130 stained glass windows the majority of which are in ireland and then england  he was renowned for his rich original colors and his deep blues  the value of his work is often sitespecific it would make for a great go around ireland tour and unlike with most paintings a jpeg picks up only one part of the broader work nonetheless here is one imagep pa relattachment wpatt82116 hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomattachment_id82116img srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zclarke1jpg alt width518 classwpimage82116 height392ap por try thisp pa relattachment wpatt82117 hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomattachment_id82117img srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zclarke2jpg alt width548 classwpimage82117 height368ap pstill not good enough  i dont feel i can make a real case by giving you more images maybe you would do better to just view a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgooglecomsearchqharryclarkestainedglasstbmischved2ahukewjzyexo9azzahxtavkfhxpsawcq2ccegqiabaaoqharryclarkestainedglassgs_lcpcgnpbwcqazifcaaqgaqybqgaeiaemguiabcabdigcaaqcbaemgqiabaymgqiabaymgqiabaymgqiabaymgqiabaymgqiabayogqiabbdulwtavjwoafg7qebaabwahgagafmiahbzibaje0maeaoaebqgelz3dzlxdpei1pbwfaaqesclientimgeilvbyydmmmtod5noptinoabih609biw1280 target_blanka bunch en massea  a visit to the national gallery in dublin is better yet  barring that a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstrangestgeniusstainedglassclarkedp1845889711refsr_1_5dchild1keywordsharryclarkeqid1633553878sr85 target_blankthis excellent cataloga has fine images  here is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomartanddesign2019apr11irishartistharryclarkechristianpaganfantasyimagery target_blanka good short piece on clarkes weirdnessa the irish artist welded christian celtic and pagan imagery with the decadence of klimt and beardsley into an exotic futuristic fantasy also with quality imagesp pi see a few reasons for giving clarke serious considerationp p1 he did most of his major work in ireland  and his celtic revival emphasis is perhaps closer in spirit to contemporary ireland than are the angloirish backgrounds of many of the other leading contenders for best irish artistp p2 he expresses the playful dramatic and rebellious sides of the irish national spiritp p3 he is strikingly original  some of his work also influenced later developments in illustration and graphic novels  he in turn drew on varied sources including religious illustrations russian ballet and russian theatre art and the cinemap p4 the colors are memorable and the technical execution is very strongp p5 he and his studio did church stained glass for bayonne new jerseyp p6 you could imagine him doing a cover for a camille paglia book  as it stands he did illustrate goethe swinburne and hans christian andersenp pultimately he seems a little too concentrated in one direction to be my top pick and maybe my number one irish artist shouldnt be sofruity  but i enjoy his work greatly those few times i have been able to see it and i do recommend him highlyp pi hope youll be getting the final installment in this series my 1 pick pretty soonp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whoarethegreatestirishartistspartvharryclarkehtmlwho are the greatest irish artists part v harry clarkea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pa relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiharry_clarke target_blankharry clarkea 18891931 born dublin stained glass artist book illustrator styles broadly art nouveau symbolistp phe produced 130 stained glass windows majority ireland england renowned rich original colors deep blues value work sitespecific great ireland tour unlike paintings jpeg picks broader work nonetheless imagep pa relattachment wpatt82116 hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomattachment_id82116img srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zclarke1jpg alt width518 classwpimage82116 height392ap por try thisp pa relattachment wpatt82117 hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomattachment_id82117img srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zclarke2jpg alt width548 classwpimage82117 height368ap pstill good dont feel real case giving images maybe better view relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgooglecomsearchqharryclarkestainedglasstbmischved2ahukewjzyexo9azzahxtavkfhxpsawcq2ccegqiabaaoqharryclarkestainedglassgs_lcpcgnpbwcqazifcaaqgaqybqgaeiaemguiabcabdigcaaqcbaemgqiabaymgqiabaymgqiabaymgqiabaymgqiabaymgqiabayogqiabbdulwtavjwoafg7qebaabwahgagafmiahbzibaje0maeaoaebqgelz3dzlxdpei1pbwfaaqesclientimgeilvbyydmmmtod5noptinoabih609biw1280 target_blanka bunch en massea visit national gallery dublin better barring relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstrangestgeniusstainedglassclarkedp1845889711refsr_1_5dchild1keywordsharryclarkeqid1633553878sr85 target_blankthis excellent cataloga fine images relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomartanddesign2019apr11irishartistharryclarkechristianpaganfantasyimagery target_blanka good short piece clarkes weirdnessa irish artist welded christian celtic pagan imagery decadence klimt beardsley exotic futuristic fantasy quality imagesp pi reasons giving clarke considerationp p1 major work ireland celtic revival emphasis closer spirit contemporary ireland angloirish backgrounds leading contenders best irish artistp p2 expresses playful dramatic rebellious sides irish national spiritp p3 strikingly original work influenced later developments illustration graphic novels turn drew varied sources including religious illustrations russian ballet russian theatre art cinemap p4 colors memorable technical execution strongp p5 studio church stained glass bayonne new jerseyp p6 imagine cover camille paglia book stands illustrate goethe swinburne hans christian andersenp pultimately little concentrated direction pick maybe number irish artist shouldnt sofruity enjoy work greatly times able recommend highlyp pi hope youll getting final installment series 1 pick pretty soonp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whoarethegreatestirishartistspartvharryclarkehtmlwho greatest irish artists v harry clarkea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Joe Biden’s class war

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Critical Race Theory’s new disguise

pdoes critical race theory crt really exist not according to virginia governor ralph northam crt he a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210614uspoliticsnorthaminterviewhtml target_blankrecently tolda emthe new york timesem is a dog whistle that the republicans are using to frighten people what im interested in is equityp pbut rather than convince anyone about the nonexistence of crt his comments merely confirmed something else namely crts remarkable ability to shapeshift into whatever form its advocates choose for northam crt might not exist but thats only because it has undergone a rebrandingp pindeed while many on the right have obsessed over the rise of crt in the past year a different abbreviation has quickly become entrenched in americas schools and colleges diversity equity and inclusion deip divdiv ppart of its purpose appears to be to sow confusion among opponents of crt it has certainly riled the conservative heritage foundation in its recent a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwheritageorgcivilsocietyheritageexplainshowidentifycriticalracetheory target_blankguidea on how to identify critical race theory it warns of a new tactic deployed by the movements defenders they now deny that the curricula and training programs in question form part of crt insisting that the diversity equity and inclusion dei programs of trainers such as ibram x kendi and robin diangelo are distinct from the academic work of professors such as derrick bell kimberle crenshaw and other crt architectsp pcertainly regardless of which trendy threeletter term you prefer to describe the latest iteration of americas obsession with race the goal in each case is the same to shift away from meritocracy in favour of an equality of outcome systemp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108antiracismisanamericandreamrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108antiracismisanamericandreamrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202108gettyimages50591767scalede1629467545105300x148jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108antiracismisanamericandreamrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108antiracismisanamericandreamrefinnarh5the godfather of critical race theoryh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108antiracismisanamericandreamrefinnarspanbyspan tomiwa owoladeapdivadiv pbut implementing a grievance model into our youth education curriculum will not fix the problems it purports to solve there is after all a dearth of evidence suggesting that dei programmes advance diversity equity or inclusion in fact if dei programmes in schools have similar results as dei corporate training they might be not only ineffective but a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccomworklifearticle20210614whyineffectivediversitytrainingwontgoaway target_blankpotentially harmfulap pthis shift is due to the clear failure of affirmative action policies first introduced more than 50 years ago they were intended to create equal opportunities for a black community said to be held back by the legacies of slavery and jim crow laws suffice it to say that they failed today a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcensusgovlibrarystories202006blackhighschoolattainmentnearlyonparwithnationalaveragehtml target_blankonly 26a of black americans have a bachelors degree a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcensusgovlibrarystories202006blackhighschoolattainmentnearlyonparwithnationalaveragehtml target_blank10 lowera than the national average more than half of black households a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgsocialtrendsfactsheetfactsabouttheusblackpopulation target_blankearn lessa than 50000 annually and the a relnoopener hrefhttpsfredstlouisfedorggraphidlns11300032lns11300029lns11300031lns11300028 target_blanklabour force participation ratea for black men is 33 lower than for white men it has actually shrunk by 116 since the early 1970s a relnoopener hrefhttpsfortunecom20200601blackceosfortune5002020africanamericanbusinessleaders target_blankonly four ceos from emfortune 500ema companies are blackp pinstead of providing opportunities for black students affirmative action threw many students into the deepend of schools where they lacked the educational foundation to succeed frequently as richard sander and stuart taylor jr have a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncoukmismatchaffirmativestudentsintendeduniversitiesdp0465029965 target_blankobserveda they were mismatched large racial preferences backfire[d] against many and perhaps most recipients to the point that they learn less usually get much lower grades rank toward the bottom of the class and far more often drop outp pbut rather than recognise the failure of this approach its proponents have chosen to double down without analysing why affirmative action failed to produce equal opportunity for black students and without trying to identify solutions that would be more impactful those interested in crt and dei only wish to manipulate the system furtherp pinstead of focusing on ways to lift black students up as individuals with agency ability and choice they believe the system must reorient itself to produce the desired outcome starting with kindergarten it is dependent on the magnification of barriers and tension between racial groups something which i suspect is psychologically damaging to both white and black studentsp pfor white students the blame of slavery and jim crow laws are laid at their feet bari weiss recently a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcityjournalorgthemiseducationofamericaselites target_blankrevealeda a number of shocking cases of how this manifests itself in schools but one in particular caught my eye a fieldston student says that students are often told if you are white and male you are second in line to speak this is considered a normal and necessary redistribution of power but it is far from normal or necessary putting the atrocious sins of americas past on the shoulders of children and teenagers is a form of child abusep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107thefightbackagainstcriticalracetheoryrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202107thefightbackagainstcriticalracetheoryrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202107gettyimages1216403550scalede1625162020759300x152jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107thefightbackagainstcriticalracetheoryrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107thefightbackagainstcriticalracetheoryrefinnarh5the fightback against critical race theoryh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107thefightbackagainstcriticalracetheoryrefinnarspanbyspan douglas murrayapdivadiv pfor black children the situation is no better students are being taught that it is the system not their own effort and abilities that will determine their future in life this discourages hard work motivation ambition and aspiration it also breeds a relnoopener hrefhttpstennesseestarcom20190815experttennesseeswhiteprivilegetrainingworsensracerelations target_blankdistrust and hostility towards white teachersa further truncating their abilities to learn and progress in school as ian rowe a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesthepowerofpersonalagency11592770867 target_blankpoints outa the narrative that white people hold the power conveys a wrongheaded notion of white superiority and creates an illusion of black dependency on white largessep pand in the schools themselves this often leads to physical segregation paul rossi a former teacher at grace church high school in new york recently described how a relnoopener hrefhttpsbariweisssubstackcompirefusetostandbywhilemystudents target_blankracially segregated sessionsa were commonplace at his school down in atlanta meanwhile last month a concerned mother filed a lawsuit alleging that black students at mary lin elementary school were being assigned to only two of the six secondgrade classesp pbut you cant treat one group of students based on race differently than other groups as her a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnbcnewscomnewsusnewsatlantamomfilescomplaintallegingdaughtersgradeschoolsegregatedn1276584 target_blankattorneya eloquently put it after all any ideology that separates people due to their immutable characteristics will not lift up minority students but drag society down into neosegregation indeed its hardly surprising that students today seem more anxious scared and lacking in confidence than any previous generation for which we have datap pnevertheless the grievance model methods are spreading through american schools like wildfire take ralph northams state of virginia which is implementing the a hrefhttpswwwdoevirginiagovedequityvanavigatingequitybookpdfpage22road map to equitya which suggests that making equity is more important to education than academics perhaps thats why virginia legislators a relnoopener hrefhttpslisvirginiagovcgibinlegp604exe212sumsb1196 target_blankpassed a billa this year that requires all educators to complete instruction or training in cultural competency and with an endorsement in history and social sciences to complete instruction in african american historyp prather than push race to the foreground of education antiracists would do better to cultivate a learning environment for students where the focus is on being kind and respectful real diversity and inclusion are more likely to flourish when students are taught to help their fellow classmates rather than view them through a crudely racialised prismp plast week i a relnoopener hrefhttpsayaanhirsialicompodcastskatharinebirbalsingh target_blankspoke toa a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcomauthorkatharinebirbalsingh target_blankkatharine birbalsingha the headmistress of the remarkable michaela community school which serves families from disadvantaged backgrounds and achieves incredible results when i asked katharine what their secret was she told me were very traditional we believe in things like belonging we believe in personal responsibility in a sense of duty to your family to your communityp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatliberalsgetwrongaboutracerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatliberalsgetwrongaboutracerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202107gettyimages1215364978scalede16272284365731300x177jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatliberalsgetwrongaboutracerefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatliberalsgetwrongaboutracerefinnarh5what liberals get wrong about raceh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatliberalsgetwrongaboutracerefinnarspanbyspan eric kauffmanapdivadiv pand that is what it comes down to all children and students want to belong but demonising white students and resegregating black students does the very opposite it divides far more than it unitesp pa focus on personal responsibility also goes a long way both for students and for those looking to help when watching some of the virginia department of education a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwvirginiaisforlearnersvirginiagovedequityvawebinarseries target_blankwebinarsa on equity earlier this week i heard no mention of empowering or helping individual black children the conversations revolved around personal reflection and doing the work with little explanation of what this means in real life there was no mention of tutoring mentoring or guiding struggling studentsp pif we are going to have an honest conversation about elevating black students we must throw out buzzwords such as equity and start talking about practical solutions there is after all a genuine appetite for this a recent pew a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgsocialtrends20190508americansseeadvantagesandchallengesincountrysgrowingracialandethnicdiversity target_blankreporta found that 76 of americans said that racial and ethnic diversity is good for the countryp pand that will only be achieved by encouraging community service and involvement and requiring teachers to focus on respect and academic rigour within their classrooms what we must not do however is outsource education to a threeletter abbreviation be it crt or dei they are shallow shortsighted and performative and most importantly will do nothing to improve the futures of our childrenp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiseappcommentsview 11 commentsa

pdoes critical race theory crt exist according virginia governor ralph northam crt relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210614uspoliticsnorthaminterviewhtml target_blankrecently tolda emthe new york timesem dog whistle republicans frighten peoplewhat im interested equityp pbut convince nonexistence crt comments merely confirmed crts remarkable ability shapeshift form advocates choose northam crt exist thats undergone rebrandingp pindeed right obsessed riseof crt past year different abbreviation quickly entrenched americas schools colleges diversity equity inclusion deip divdiv ppart purpose appears sow confusion opponents crt certainly riled conservative heritage foundation recent relnoopener hrefhttpswwwheritageorgcivilsocietyheritageexplainshowidentifycriticalracetheory target_blankguidea identify critical race theory warns new tactic deployed movements defenders deny curricula training programs question form crt insisting diversity equity inclusion dei programs trainers ibram x kendi robin diangelo distinct academic work professors derrick bell kimberle crenshaw crt architectsp pcertainly regardless trendy threeletter term prefer describe latest iteration americas obsession race goal case shift away meritocracy favour equality outcome systemp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108antiracismisanamericandreamrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108antiracismisanamericandreamrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202108gettyimages50591767scalede1629467545105300x148jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108antiracismisanamericandreamrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108antiracismisanamericandreamrefinnarh5the godfather critical race theoryh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108antiracismisanamericandreamrefinnarspanbyspan tomiwa owoladeapdivadiv pbut implementing grievance model youth education curriculum fix problems purports solve dearth evidence suggesting dei programmes advance diversity equity inclusion fact dei programmes schools similar results dei corporate training ineffective relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccomworklifearticle20210614whyineffectivediversitytrainingwontgoaway target_blankpotentially harmfulap pthis shift clear failure affirmative action policies introduced 50 years ago intended create equal opportunities black community said held legacies slavery jim crow laws suffice failed today relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcensusgovlibrarystories202006blackhighschoolattainmentnearlyonparwithnationalaveragehtml target_blankonly 26a black americans bachelors degree relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcensusgovlibrarystories202006blackhighschoolattainmentnearlyonparwithnationalaveragehtml target_blank10 lowera national average half black households relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgsocialtrendsfactsheetfactsabouttheusblackpopulation target_blankearn lessa 50000 annually relnoopener hrefhttpsfredstlouisfedorggraphidlns11300032lns11300029lns11300031lns11300028 target_blanklabour force participation ratea black men 33 lower white men actually shrunk 116 early 1970s relnoopener hrefhttpsfortunecom20200601blackceosfortune5002020africanamericanbusinessleaders target_blankonly ceos emfortune 500ema companies blackp pinstead providing opportunities black students affirmative action threw students deepend schools lacked educational foundation succeed frequently richard sander stuart taylor jr relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncoukmismatchaffirmativestudentsintendeduniversitiesdp0465029965 target_blankobserveda mismatched large racial preferences backfire[d] recipients point learn usually lower grades rank class far drop outp pbut recognise failure approach proponents chosen double analysing affirmative action failed produce equal opportunity black students trying identify solutions impactful interested crt dei wish manipulate system furtherp pinstead focusing ways lift black students individuals agency ability choice believe system reorient produce desired outcome starting kindergarten dependent magnification barriers tension racial groups suspect psychologically damaging white black studentsp pfor white students blame slavery jim crow laws laid feet bari weiss recently relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcityjournalorgthemiseducationofamericaselites target_blankrevealeda number shocking cases manifests schools particular caught eye fieldston student says students told white male second line speak considered normal necessary redistribution power far normal necessary putting atrocious sins americas past shoulders children teenagers form child abusep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107thefightbackagainstcriticalracetheoryrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202107thefightbackagainstcriticalracetheoryrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202107gettyimages1216403550scalede1625162020759300x152jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107thefightbackagainstcriticalracetheoryrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107thefightbackagainstcriticalracetheoryrefinnarh5the fightback critical race theoryh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107thefightbackagainstcriticalracetheoryrefinnarspanbyspan douglas murrayapdivadiv pfor black children situation better students taught system effort abilities determine future life discourages hard work motivation ambition aspiration breeds relnoopener hrefhttpstennesseestarcom20190815experttennesseeswhiteprivilegetrainingworsensracerelations target_blankdistrust hostility white teachersa truncating abilities learn progress school ian rowe relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesthepowerofpersonalagency11592770867 target_blankpoints outa narrative white people hold power conveys wrongheaded notion white superiority creates illusion black dependency white largessep pand schools leads physical segregation paul rossi teacher grace church high school new york recently described relnoopener hrefhttpsbariweisssubstackcompirefusetostandbywhilemystudents target_blankracially segregated sessionsa commonplace school atlanta month concerned mother filed lawsuit alleging black students mary lin elementary school assigned secondgrade classesp pbut cant treat group students based race differently groups relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnbcnewscomnewsusnewsatlantamomfilescomplaintallegingdaughtersgradeschoolsegregatedn1276584 target_blankattorneya eloquently ideology separates people immutable characteristics lift minority students drag society neosegregation hardly surprising students today anxious scared lacking confidence previous generation datap pnevertheless grievance model methods spreading american schools like wildfire ralph northams state virginia implementing hrefhttpswwwdoevirginiagovedequityvanavigatingequitybookpdfpage22road map equitya suggests making equity important education academics thats virginia legislators relnoopener hrefhttpslisvirginiagovcgibinlegp604exe212sumsb1196 target_blankpassed billa year requires educators complete instruction training cultural competency endorsement history social sciences complete instruction african american historyp prather push race foreground education antiracists better cultivate learning environment students focus kind respectful real diversity inclusion likely flourish students taught help fellow classmates view crudely racialised prismp plast week relnoopener hrefhttpsayaanhirsialicompodcastskatharinebirbalsingh target_blankspoke toa relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcomauthorkatharinebirbalsingh target_blankkatharine birbalsingha headmistress remarkable michaela community school serves families disadvantaged backgrounds achieves incredible results asked katharine secret told traditional believe things like belonging believe personal responsibility sense duty family communityp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatliberalsgetwrongaboutracerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatliberalsgetwrongaboutracerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202107gettyimages1215364978scalede16272284365731300x177jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatliberalsgetwrongaboutracerefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatliberalsgetwrongaboutracerefinnarh5what liberals wrong raceh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107whatliberalsgetwrongaboutracerefinnarspanbyspan eric kauffmanapdivadiv pand comes children students want belong demonising white students resegregating black students opposite divides far unitesp pa focus personal responsibility goes long way students looking help watching virginia department education relnoopener hrefhttpswwwvirginiaisforlearnersvirginiagovedequityvawebinarseries target_blankwebinarsa equity earlier week heard mention empowering helping individual black children conversations revolved personal reflection work little explanation means real life mention tutoring mentoring guiding struggling studentsp pif going honest conversation elevating black students throw buzzwords equity start talking practical solutions genuine appetite recent pew relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgsocialtrends20190508americansseeadvantagesandchallengesincountrysgrowingracialandethnicdiversity target_blankreporta found 76 americans said racial ethnic diversity good countryp pand achieved encouraging community service involvement requiring teachers focus respect academic rigour classrooms outsource education threeletter abbreviation crt dei shallow shortsighted performative importantly improve futures childrenp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiseappcommentsview 11 commentsa

615f784b049b55b9d74031e6

The dangers of the Nobel Prize

pthis week a small selection of scientists have been on tenterhooks wondering if theyll get a a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomnobelprizestatus1444956917261029376 target_blankcall from swedena thatll instantly change their lives the most exciting time of year in the scientific community is upon us its nobel prize seasonp pbut this years winners would do well to consider what happened to many nobellists after they accepted their prize take kary mullis who a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnobelprizeorgprizeschemistry1993mullisfacts target_blankwon his nobela as the inventor of the polymerase chain reaction or pcr a fundamental technique thats now used not just in covid tests but in essentially all laboratory genetics research he spent the last part of his life strenuously a relnoopener hrefhttpsalumniberkeleyeducaliforniamagazinewinter2019intolerablegeniusberkeleysmostcontroversialnobellaureate target_blankdenyinga that the hiv virus causes aids or luc montagnier who won a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnobelprizeorgprizesmedicine2008montagnierfacts target_blankhis nobela for discovering that very hiv virus and went on to publish research on a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlenobellaureategiveshopeofcredibilitytohomeopathsvhwrwbs9pqb target_blankwhat amounts to homeopathyap divdiv pmore recently michael levitt won the nobel in 2013 for important computermodelling work relating to protein structure his twitter name mlevitt_np2013 np for nobel prize helps you see just what a big part of his identity the award is throughout the covid pandemic he has been a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwstatnewscom20210524stanfordprofessorandnobellaureatecriticssayhewasdangerouslymisleadingoncovid target_blankdrastically wronga in his a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcomthepostprofmichaellevitthereswhatigotwrong target_blankrosy predictionsa and sometimes conspiratorialsounding a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercommlevitt_np2013status1262799080402628608 target_blanktheoriesa about the spread of the disease in july 2020 for instance he a hrefhttpstwittercommlevitt_np2013status1287036738565738496stateda that covid in the us will be done in 4 weeksp pall these brilliant scientists lost their grip on reality emafterem they won their nobel and there are many other examples theres even a name for the phenomenon a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikinobel_disease target_blanknobel diseasea but at least in all those cases the nobel itself was awarded for a genuine scientific breakthrough theres one case where the prize was given and has never been rescinded for a disastrously misconceived discovery one that went on to blight thousands of livesp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108nevertrustascientistrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108nevertrustascientistrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202108gettyimajges541801716e16299095969111300x161jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108nevertrustascientistrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108nevertrustascientistrefinnarh5never trust a scientisth5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108nevertrustascientistrefinnarspanbyspan stuart ritchieapdivadiv pin 1949 the nobel prize in physiology or medicine was awarded to the inventor of a disturbing procedure an attempt to treat mental illness where a surgeon either injected pure ethanol directly into the brain to kill a clump of neurons or used a special instrument with a sharp wire to slice away the connections between parts of the brains frontal lobe oh and before they did so they had to first punch or drill a hole through the skull usually somewhere near the eyep pthe frontal lobotomy or sometimes leucotomy a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikigottlieb_burckhardt target_blankwasnt the first evera attempt at psychosurgery the treatment of mental disorders by operating on the brain but its invention is most strongly associated with the portuguese doctor politician and general polymath egas moniz inspired at least in part by previous a relnoopener hrefhttpslobotomyumwblogsorgthebegining target_blankresearch on chimpanzeesa who became notably less aggressive and more docile after their frontal lobes were chopped out in 1937 moniz reported a a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikicase_seriestexta20case20series20also20knownrecords20for20exposure20and20outcome target_blankcase seriesa of 20 patients suffering from conditions like anxiety depression and schizophrenia whom hed had lobotomisedp paccording to moniz his a relnoopener hrefhttpsajppsychiatryonlineorgdoipdf101176ajp9361379cookieset1 target_blankvery audacious and always safea procedure which he couldnt perform personally due to crippling gout in his hands worked wonders the patients were more placid more rational and easier to control he declared some of them curedp pbut was this evidence any good as the psychologist ann jane tierney a relnoopener hrefhttpspubmedncbinlmnihgov11232345 target_blankput ita on the 50th anniversary of monizs nobel prizep pema contemporary scientist can find considerable fault in monizs work including the inadequate followup times absence of control groups and the superficial and subjective evaluations of patients performed by individuals least likely to be objectiveemp pthat is even setting aside the upsetting nature of the procedure and we emshouldem set aside our yuck reactions since there are many horrificsounding medical procedures that are genuinely helpful the evidence that moniz put together to support the use of lobotomies was hopelessly unscientific and biased in favour of his desired conclusion that the technique was usefulp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptypromiseofpoppsychologyrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptypromiseofpoppsychologyrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202104gettyimages3248886e1618856233966300x167jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptypromiseofpoppsychologyrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptypromiseofpoppsychologyrefinnarh5the empty promise of pop psychologyh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptypromiseofpoppsychologyrefinnarspanbyspan sarah ditumapdivadiv pand yet the nobel committee some years later decided to give him the award by this time the lobotomy had skyrocketed in popularity and was being used across the world the bestknown proponent was the us neurologist a relnoopener hrefhttpsthejnsorgfocusviewjournalsneurosurgfocus433articlepe6xml target_blankwalter freemana an almost unreal character who seems straight from a medicalthemed horror movie across several decades he performed thousands of lobotomies for an everwidening list of complaints not just psychiatric conditions but also things like a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomscience2008jan13neurosciencemedicalscience target_blankbeing a badlybehaved childa and did so theatrically in front of an audience often making the initial hole in the skull using an ice pickp pbut also by the time the nobel was awarded the horrific downsides of lobotomy were wellknown the fact that there was no evidence of any longterm benefits in the majority of patients was a quibble in comparison to the most obvious problem the lobotomised were often changed entirely many emerged from the operation with altered personalities or slowerrunning brains others lost physical abilities still others died immediately due to bleeds on the brain freeman a relnoopener hrefhttpsjamanetworkcomjournalsjamaarticleabstract285532 target_blankclaimeda a 36 fatality rate but other sources suggest it was far higher most infamously john f kennedys a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjfklibraryorglearnaboutjfkthekennedyfamilyrosemarykennedy target_blanksister rosemarya who had a learning disability was lobotomised by freeman and a colleague in 1941 the procedure aimed at alleviating her seizures and aggression was a disaster it left her permanently with the mental capacity independence and continence of a small child the story was hushed up and rosemary was kept in a psychiatric hospital and then a special school far from prying eyes until she died in 2005p peven if he never intended for lobotomy to be used so terribly haphazardly it does seem unlikely that moniz deserved the worlds most prestigious scientific prize for inventing the technique but a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnobelprizeorgprizesmedicine1949monizfacts target_blankthere he isa on the official nobel website among the other winners were left with questions reminiscent of the ones being asked about statues of lessthanideal historical figures should we keep this reminder of a past that had very different values from our own should we somehow contextualise it or should we get rid of it altogether should we more than 70 years after it was awarded remove monizs nobel prizep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedisturbinghistoryofstatuesmashingrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedisturbinghistoryofstatuesmashingrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202006gettyimages4666495551300x115jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedisturbinghistoryofstatuesmashingrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedisturbinghistoryofstatuesmashingrefinnarh5the disturbing history of statuesmashingh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedisturbinghistoryofstatuesmashingrefinnarspanbyspan sean thomasapdivadiv pit has been a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnprorgtemplatesstorystoryphpstoryid4794007 target_blanksuggested beforea there are still people a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikihoward_dully target_blankalive todaya who were lobotomised early in life often with tragic consequences and it might be seen as a measure of justice for them and their families to remove the nobel committees endorsement its not unheard of in science some journals have begun to remove or flag research papers even very old ones from scientists who are under serious suspicion of misconductp pbut monizs research while slapdash especially by todays standards wasnt deliberately fraudulent at least as far as we know if we were to go back and wipe out the historical science that now seems poorquality to us wed have to disown huge swathes of the literature and rescind any number of prizes awarded over the years on top of that context reveals that moniz might emtechnicallyem have won the prize for lobotomies but its a relnoopener hrefhttpspubmedncbinlmnihgov9733316 target_blankat least plausiblea that the committee emactuallyem wanted to give it to him some years previously for his work on a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikicerebral_angiography target_blankcerebral angiographya a precomputer technique still used to this day that allows doctors to xray the blood vessels in the brainp pbesides its worth asking whats the point of rescinding a prize given to a longdead scientist for a treatment thats almost extinct everyone now knows how terrible a mistake the craze for lobotomies was psychosurgery in general almost entirely replaced by drug treatments during the latter half of the 20th century is nowadays a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmindorgukinformationsupportdrugsandtreatmentsneurosurgeryformentaldisordernmdaboutnmd target_blankvanishingly rarea formally condemning it isnt going to practically help any of its victimsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105youremorebiasedthanyouthinkrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202105youremorebiasedthanyouthinkrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202105gettyimages508530529e1622050039959300x189jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105youremorebiasedthanyouthinkrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105youremorebiasedthanyouthinkrefinnarh5youre more biased than you thinkh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105youremorebiasedthanyouthinkrefinnarspanbyspan stuart ritchieapdivadiv pperhaps the least the nobel organisation could do is provide better context about monizs award at the moment his page on their site notes with some understatement that the operation could lead to serious personality changes the only other discussion i could find about him on their website is a a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnobelprizeorgprizesmedicine1949monizarticle target_blankbizarre essaya from a psychiatrist in 1998 who defended moniz in no uncertain termsp pemi see no reason for indignation at what was done in the 1940s as at that time there were no other alternativesemp phis phrasing isnt exactly sensitive the exclamation mark is in the original but does he have a point lobotomy came before reliable psychiatric drugs or other treatments were developed not all doctors who used it were as flamboyant or clumsy as freeman its among the worst dead ends in medical history but shouldnt we expect missteps and mistakes in our march towards scientific progressp pmaybe the real moral of the story as well as those of all the nobellists who went off the rails about the pitfalls of honouring scientists the nobel prizes have been a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomsciencearchive201710theabsurdityofthenobelprizesinscience541863 target_blankcriticised as absurda in a world of collaborative cumulative science that relies less and less on individuals and maybe we shouldnt expect there to be enough earthshattering discoveries for major awards to be given emevery single yearemp pthats not to say we shouldnt honour our best and most creative researchers we just shouldnt a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202006whythereshouldneverbeheroesinscience target_blankturn them into heroesa with opinions that are somehow above criticism a bit a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202010howtheexpertsmesseduponcovid target_blankmore criticisma of our top scientists wouldve helped in the early stages of the pandemic to give one obvious example perhaps having moniz listed among the nobellists is the greatest reminder possible that even the best scientists dont comprise a pantheon of divine beings theyre just humans and some humans make terrible mistakes winning a nobel doesnt make someone infallible it doesnt even make their prizewinning discovery particularly true the only thing that can do that the only thing a scientist should really care about is the evidencep a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dolobotomiesworkappcommentsview 10 commentsa

pthis week small selection scientists tenterhooks wondering theyll relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomnobelprizestatus1444956917261029376 target_blankcall swedena thatll instantly change lives exciting time year scientific community nobel prize seasonp pbut years winners consider happened nobellists accepted prize kary mullis relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnobelprizeorgprizeschemistry1993mullisfacts target_blankwon nobela inventor polymerase chain reaction pcr fundamental technique thats covid tests essentially laboratory genetics research spent life strenuously relnoopener hrefhttpsalumniberkeleyeducaliforniamagazinewinter2019intolerablegeniusberkeleysmostcontroversialnobellaureate target_blankdenyinga hiv virus causes aids luc montagnier won relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnobelprizeorgprizesmedicine2008montagnierfacts target_blankhis nobela discovering hiv virus went publish research relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlenobellaureategiveshopeofcredibilitytohomeopathsvhwrwbs9pqb target_blankwhat amounts homeopathyap divdiv pmore recently michael levitt won nobel 2013 important computermodelling work relating protein structure twitter mlevitt_np2013 np nobel prize helps big identity award covid pandemic relnoopener hrefhttpswwwstatnewscom20210524stanfordprofessorandnobellaureatecriticssayhewasdangerouslymisleadingoncovid target_blankdrastically wronga relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcomthepostprofmichaellevitthereswhatigotwrong target_blankrosy predictionsa conspiratorialsounding relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercommlevitt_np2013status1262799080402628608 target_blanktheoriesa spread disease july 2020 instance hrefhttpstwittercommlevitt_np2013status1287036738565738496statedathat covid 4 weeksp pall brilliant scientists lost grip reality emafterem won nobel examples theres phenomenon relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikinobel_disease target_blanknobel diseasea cases nobel awarded genuine scientific breakthrough theres case prize given rescinded disastrously misconceived discovery went blight thousands livesp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108nevertrustascientistrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108nevertrustascientistrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202108gettyimajges541801716e16299095969111300x161jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108nevertrustascientistrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108nevertrustascientistrefinnarh5never trust scientisth5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108nevertrustascientistrefinnarspanbyspan stuart ritchieapdivadiv pin 1949 nobel prize physiology medicine awarded inventor disturbing procedure attempt treat mental illness surgeon injected pure ethanol directly brain kill clump neurons special instrument sharp wire slice away connections parts brains frontal lobe oh punch drill hole skull usually near eyep pthe frontal lobotomy leucotomy relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikigottlieb_burckhardt target_blankwasnt evera attempt psychosurgery treatment mental disorders operating brain invention strongly associated portuguese doctor politician general polymath egas moniz inspired previous relnoopener hrefhttpslobotomyumwblogsorgthebegining target_blankresearch chimpanzeesa notably aggressive docile frontal lobes chopped 1937 moniz reported relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikicase_seriestexta20case20series20also20knownrecords20for20exposure20and20outcome target_blankcase seriesa 20 patients suffering conditions like anxiety depression schizophrenia hed lobotomisedp paccording moniz relnoopener hrefhttpsajppsychiatryonlineorgdoipdf101176ajp9361379cookieset1 target_blankvery audacious safea procedure couldnt perform personally crippling gout hands worked wonders patients placid rational easier control declared curedp pbut evidence good psychologist ann jane tierney relnoopener hrefhttpspubmedncbinlmnihgov11232345 target_blankput ita 50th anniversary monizs nobel prizep pema contemporary scientist find considerable fault monizs work including inadequate followup times absence control groups superficial subjective evaluations patients performed individuals likely objectiveemp pthat setting aside upsetting nature procedure emshouldem set aside yuck reactions horrificsounding medical procedures genuinely helpful evidence moniz support use lobotomies hopelessly unscientific biased favour desired conclusion technique usefulp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptypromiseofpoppsychologyrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptypromiseofpoppsychologyrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202104gettyimages3248886e1618856233966300x167jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptypromiseofpoppsychologyrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptypromiseofpoppsychologyrefinnarh5the promise pop psychologyh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptypromiseofpoppsychologyrefinnarspanbyspan sarah ditumapdivadiv pand nobel committee years later decided award time lobotomy skyrocketed popularity world bestknown proponent neurologist relnoopener hrefhttpsthejnsorgfocusviewjournalsneurosurgfocus433articlepe6xml target_blankwalter freemana unreal character straight medicalthemed horror movie decades performed thousands lobotomies everwidening list complaints psychiatric conditions things like relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomscience2008jan13neurosciencemedicalscience target_blankbeing badlybehaved childa theatrically audience making initial hole skull ice pickp pbut time nobel awarded horrific downsides lobotomy wellknown fact evidence longterm benefits majority patients quibble comparison obvious problem lobotomised changed entirely emerged operation altered personalities slowerrunning brains lost physical abilities died immediately bleeds brain freeman relnoopener hrefhttpsjamanetworkcomjournalsjamaarticleabstract285532 target_blankclaimeda 36 fatality rate sources suggest far higher infamously john f kennedys relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjfklibraryorglearnaboutjfkthekennedyfamilyrosemarykennedy target_blanksister rosemarya learning disability lobotomised freeman colleague 1941 procedure aimed alleviating seizures aggression disaster left permanently mental capacity independence continence small child story hushed rosemary kept psychiatric hospital special school far prying eyes died 2005p peven intended lobotomy terribly haphazardly unlikely moniz deserved worlds prestigious scientific prize inventing technique relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnobelprizeorgprizesmedicine1949monizfacts target_blankthere isa onthe official nobel website winners left questions reminiscent ones asked statues lessthanideal historical figures reminder past different values contextualise rid altogether 70 years awarded remove monizs nobel prizep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedisturbinghistoryofstatuesmashingrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedisturbinghistoryofstatuesmashingrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202006gettyimages4666495551300x115jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedisturbinghistoryofstatuesmashingrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedisturbinghistoryofstatuesmashingrefinnarh5the disturbing history statuesmashingh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedisturbinghistoryofstatuesmashingrefinnarspanbyspan sean thomasapdivadiv pit relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnprorgtemplatesstorystoryphpstoryid4794007 target_blanksuggested beforea people relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikihoward_dully target_blankalive todaya lobotomised early life tragic consequences seen measure justice families remove nobel committees endorsement unheard science journals begun remove flag research papers old ones scientists suspicion misconductp pbut monizs research slapdash especially todays standards wasnt deliberately fraudulent far know wipe historical science poorquality wed disown huge swathes literature rescind number prizes awarded years context reveals moniz emtechnicallyem won prize lobotomies relnoopener hrefhttpspubmedncbinlmnihgov9733316 target_blankat plausiblea committeeemactuallyem wanted years previously work relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikicerebral_angiography target_blankcerebral angiographya precomputer technique day allows doctors xray blood vessels brainp pbesides worth asking whats point rescinding prize given longdead scientist treatment thats extinct knows terrible mistake craze lobotomies psychosurgery general entirely replaced drug treatments half 20th century nowadays relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmindorgukinformationsupportdrugsandtreatmentsneurosurgeryformentaldisordernmdaboutnmd target_blankvanishingly rarea formally condemning isnt going practically help victimsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105youremorebiasedthanyouthinkrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202105youremorebiasedthanyouthinkrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202105gettyimages508530529e1622050039959300x189jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105youremorebiasedthanyouthinkrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105youremorebiasedthanyouthinkrefinnarh5youre biased thinkh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105youremorebiasedthanyouthinkrefinnarspanbyspan stuart ritchieapdivadiv pperhaps nobel organisation provide better context monizs award moment page site notes understatement operation lead personality changes discussion find website relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnobelprizeorgprizesmedicine1949monizarticle target_blankbizarre essaya psychiatrist 1998 defended moniz uncertain termsp pemi reason indignation 1940s time alternativesemp phis phrasing isnt exactly sensitive exclamation mark original point lobotomy came reliable psychiatric drugs treatments developed doctors flamboyant clumsy freeman worst dead ends medical history shouldnt expect missteps mistakes march scientific progressp pmaybe real moral story nobellists went rails pitfalls honouring scientists nobel prizes relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomsciencearchive201710theabsurdityofthenobelprizesinscience541863 target_blankcriticised absurda world collaborative cumulative science relies individuals maybe shouldnt expect earthshattering discoveries major awards given emevery single yearemp pthats shouldnt honour best creative researchers shouldnt relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202006whythereshouldneverbeheroesinscience target_blankturn heroesa opinions criticism bit relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202010howtheexpertsmesseduponcovid target_blankmore criticisma scientists wouldve helped early stages pandemic obvious example having moniz listed nobellists greatest reminder possible best scientists dont comprise pantheon divine beings theyre humans humans terrible mistakes winning nobel doesnt infallible doesnt prizewinning discovery particularly true thing thing scientist care evidencep hrefhttpsunherdcom202110dolobotomiesworkappcommentsview 10 commentsa

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The Curious Cases of Rutherford and Fry is intellectual escapism

pi have two reasons for choosing emthe curious cases of rutherford and fryem to review this week the first is that the news feels particularly bleak as the days grow darker and the prospect of spiralling energy prices and an a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticshealth202109stateofacovidnationwhythiswintercouldpushthenhstobreakingpointnhs winter crisis loomsa and we all need a little intellectual escapism the geneticist adam rutherford and the mathematician hannah fry investigate everyday scientific mysteries in expert yet accessible detail that allows the overanxious brain to switch off while still learning something the second is that i have been accused of procat bias for previous emnew statesman emarticles and balance is important in journalism so this review is all about dogsp pthe first episode of the new emcurious casesem series begins with hannah cooing at some puppies playing in a paddling pool the duo want to find out how guide dogs know where theyre going and start at the beginning humans have been using dogs to help us hunt for 10000 years adam tells us but how did the transition from wolves to dogs happen wasnt it just that one day there was a particularly nice wolf who was a bit less bitey than the other wolves and then that nice wolf had nice baby wolves asks hannah this is the kind of content for which i pay my bbc licence feep phannah visits a guide dog training centre theres an obstacle course where very good dog wilmott has to work out whether spaces are wide enough for his handler to walk through and a terrifying exercise where also very good dog wendy helps a blindfolded hannah cross the road we learn that while dogs see mostly in black and white thanks to advances in display technology they can now watch television my dog enjoys wimbledon one trainer tells usp pby the end i know far more about the unique relationship between guide dog and owner i also feel more relaxed than i have all week adam compares dogs to the dmon companions in a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomcultureqa201706philippullmanqabodytarzanswouldimprovemylifephilip pullmans aemhis dark materialsem series calling them an extension and a reflection of your own internal state its enough for me to acknowledge they might be emalmostem as good as cats p pstrongemthe curious cases of rutherford and frybrembbc radio 4braired 7 octoberbr4pm now on catchupstrongp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculturetvradio202110thecuriouscasesofrutherfordandfryisintellectualescapismthe curious cases of rutherford and fry is intellectual escapisma appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

pihave reasons choosing emthe curious cases rutherford fryem review week news feels particularly bleak days grow darker prospect spiralling energy prices hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticshealth202109stateofacovidnationwhythiswintercouldpushthenhstobreakingpointnhs winter crisis loomsa need little intellectual escapism geneticist adam rutherford mathematician hannah fry investigate everyday scientific mysteries expert accessible detail allows overanxious brain switch learning second accused procat bias previous emnew statesman emarticles balance important journalism review dogsp pthe episode new emcurious casesem series begins hannah cooing puppies playing paddling pool duo want find guide dogs know theyre going start beginning humans dogs help hunt 10000 years adam tells transition wolves dogs happen wasnt day particularly nice wolf bit bitey wolves nice wolf nice baby wolves asks hannah kind content pay bbc licence feep phannah visits guide dog training centre theres obstacle course good dog wilmott work spaces wide handler walk terrifying exercise good dog wendy helps blindfolded hannah cross road learn dogs black white thanks advances display technology watch television dog enjoys wimbledon trainer tells usp pby end know far unique relationship guide dog owner feel relaxed week adam compares dogs dmon companions hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomcultureqa201706philippullmanqabodytarzanswouldimprovemylifephilip pullmans aemhis dark materialsem series calling extension reflection internal state acknowledge emalmostem good cats p pstrongemthe curious cases rutherford frybrembbc radio 4braired 7 octoberbr4pm catchupstrongp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculturetvradio202110thecuriouscasesofrutherfordandfryisintellectualescapismthe curious cases rutherford fry intellectual escapisma appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

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Minority Voter Abandons Democrats

pimg width768 alt srchttpss3freebeaconcomup202106gettyimages1323381578768x512jpg height512ppanother minority voter has abandoned the democratic partyp pandrew yang the asianamerican entrepreneur and unapologetic nerd who ran unsuccessfully for president and mayor of new york city a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwandrewyangcomblogbreakingupwiththedemocraticparty target_blankannounceda monday that he has changed his voter registration from quotdemocratquot to quotindependentquot in what he described as a quotstrangely emotional experiencequotp pyang a lifelong democrat was a relnoopener hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomsatiredemocraticracismyang target_blankshunneda by his partys voters most likely due to antiasian bigotry and systematically a relnoopener hrefhttpsfreebeaconcommediaandrewyangerasure target_blankignoreda by members of the liberal media during his runs for office quotim confident that no longer being a democrat is the right thingquot he wrote quoti believe i can have a greater impact this wayquotp pbeing a democrat was quotsomething of an odd fitquot yang explained quotim not very ideological im practical making partisan argumentsparticularly expressing what i often see as performative sentimentis sometimes uncomfortable for mequot he went on to denounce the quottheaterquot of political campaigns in which otherwise friendly opponents must attack each other quotfor appearancesquotp pits true that yangs liberal opponents including journalists launched some absurd attacks against the son of immigrants for example he was denounced for promoting quotbro culturequot and accused of offending a group of lgbtq activists after describing them as quothuman and beautifulquotp pin what may or may not have been a related move democrats in congress a relnoopener hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomsatireantiasiandemocrats target_blankblockeda legislation earlier this year that would have denied federal funding to universities that discriminated against asianamerican students before that one of president joe bidens first acts as president was to a relnoopener hrefhttpsfreebeaconcombidenadministrationjusticedeptabandonsadmissionsdiscriminationlawsuitagainstyale target_blankdropa a trumpera lawsuit against yale university for unlawful discrimination against asianamerican applicants who were not classified as a quotpreferred racial groupquotp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcompoliticsandrewyangdemocratminority voter abandons democratsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

pimg width768 alt srchttpss3freebeaconcomup202106gettyimages1323381578768x512jpg height512ppanother minority voter abandoned democratic partyp pandrew yangthe asianamerican entrepreneur unapologetic nerd ran unsuccessfully president mayor new york city relnoopener hrefhttpswwwandrewyangcomblogbreakingupwiththedemocraticparty target_blankannounceda monday changed voter registration quotdemocratquot quotindependentquot described quotstrangely emotional experiencequotp pyang lifelong democrat wasa relnoopener hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomsatiredemocraticracismyang target_blankshunnedaby partys voters likely antiasian bigotry systematically relnoopener hrefhttpsfreebeaconcommediaandrewyangerasure target_blankignoreda members liberal media runs officequotim confident longer democrat right thingquot wrote quoti believe greater impact wayquotp pbeing democrat quotsomething odd fitquot yang explained quotim ideological im practical making partisan argumentsparticularly expressing performative sentimentis uncomfortable mequot went denounce quottheaterquot political campaigns friendly opponents attack quotfor appearancesquotp pits true yangs liberal opponents including journalists launched absurd attacks son immigrants example denounced promoting quotbro culturequot accused offending group lgbtq activists describing quothuman beautifulquotp pin related democrats congress relnoopener hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomsatireantiasiandemocrats target_blankblockeda legislation earlier year denied federal funding universities discriminated asianamerican students president joe bidens acts president relnoopener hrefhttpsfreebeaconcombidenadministrationjusticedeptabandonsadmissionsdiscriminationlawsuitagainstyale target_blankdropa trumpera lawsuit yale university unlawful discrimination asianamerican applicants classified quotpreferred racial groupquotp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcompoliticsandrewyangdemocratminority voter abandons democratsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

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Where Have All the Sex Scenes Gone?

pimg width768 alt srchttpss3freebeaconcomup202110screenshot20210927at124940pm_1472x1028768x536png height536ppwhile i was watching emmalignantemthe new horror film from james wan one of the genres most popular directors at the momenton hbo max a pair of thoughts leapt into my head unbiddenp pthe first had to do with the films lurid violence its obsession with penetrative bloodletting and then finally its shift into truly gonzo bloodshed bones splintered blood spattered i may have cackled quietly to myself a handful of times as things ramped up though emmalignantem largely lacked his visual panache the carnagecombined with the films thematic preoccupations with identity siblings and parentagemade me think quotthis feels like a brian de palma film in that im not entirely sure whats going to happen nextquotp pthe second thought was an immediate answer to the first quotwell i guess i am entirely sure that there wont be anything approaching a de palmaesque sex scene not in a midbudget picture for a major studio in the year 2021quotp psure enough the closest wan gets to sexy in this movie is having a mousy crime scene investigator flirt harmlessly with a detective trying to solve a serial killing while the detectives older partner rolls her eyes and reminds them theyre on the clock it wasnt surprising a confluence of cultural and commercial factors render anything steamier than this off limitsp pbut it was a little depressingp pit was another hbo max movie that recently brought all this to mind one evening in search of something new i stumbled onto em10 to midnightem a classic or maybe a quotclassicquot charles bronson feature made by the exploitationfriendly label the cannon group it was like emmalignantem a little bit bonkers something akin to emfriday the 13them by way of john wayne gacy bronson played a hardass cop who wasnt opposed to violating a few civil liberties if it meant keeping people safe from a serial killer who stripped nude before doing his evil deeds on similarly nude coedsp pits not a good movie exactly but it is pleasingly disreputable there are lots of movies released these days that one could describe as quotnot good exactlyquot but very few that are as transgressive as em10 to midnightem feels today when i included it in a hrefhttpsscreentimethebulwarkcommy newsletter for the embulwarkema as that weeks assigned viewing i felt as though i was pushing the boundaries at least a little its not the sort of movie people are supposed to watch anymore its certainly not the sort of thing you should recommend to polite companyp pa friend texted to ask why such moviesthe lowbudget sleazefests like em10 to midnightem that have disappeared along with the midbudget shockers like emspeciesem and the hightoned erotic thrillers in the vein of embasic instinctemare so rare now the answer is twofoldp pfirst off theres the commercial factor its expensive to release movies in theaters and i dont mean because of production budgets anything opening wide requires a lowtomideightfigure ad buy at least more if you really want to pop on that opening weekend the increased cost of advertising means fewer films get released in general and those few need to be home runs not singles and its harder to hit a home run with an rrated movie than a pg13rated moviep pcongrats youre caught up on the last 30 years or so of the theatrical exhibition businessp pa pg13 movie isnt just easier to sell in america its also easier to sell overseasparticularly in china where films forbid all sorts of things ghosts weirdly depictions of homosexuality and nudity is a nogo too so if you want to try and recoup any of your investment in the middle kingdom better make sure youre not going to have too many nude scenes to cut outp pindeed discomfort with sex lines up nicely with the rise of the comic book movie and the sexless action flick writing all the way back in 1976practically a hedonistic paradise compared with nowpauline kael highlighted the rise of the cop movie and the ways in which police partnerships subbed in for real romantic relationships quotit doesnt have the hidden traps of the relationship between man and women or between lovers of the same sexquot kael wrote in quotnotes on evolving heroes morals audiencesquot quottwo human beings who are sexually and emotionally involved cause pain to each other and it takes more skill than most writers and directors have to deal with that painquotp pwhy bother showing men and women connecting emotionally and sexually when you can rake in billions by having steve rogers and tony stark punch aliensor occasionally each otherp pcommercial factors arent the only reason for the shift theres a critical and cultural component as wellp plike time twitter is a flat circle if youre on the social media service long enough youll see the same tweets go viral the same arguments flare up the same rebuttals be offered the same dunks thundered home with dr jlike authority one such circularity on film twitter our modern emcahiers du cinmaem goes a little like this a zoomer will say with supreme confidence that no movie has ever needed or been improved by a sex scene which will receive tens of thousands of likes and retweets from similarly puritanical letterboxd scholars this will in turn result in an exhausted gen xer or elderly millennial or even the occasional boomer to screenshot the offending tweet and retort quothow could modern movies be any more sexless you freaks have already won no one in the marvel cinematic universe has ever even contemplated sex every birth that has ever happened in that realm is virginalquotp pmy cohort of the olds is correct of course but it often makes me grimace a bit because the zoomers are simply living in the intellectual world we made for them what did we think would happen when we spent decades screaming about the male gaze and how films treatment of women inherently objectifies themp pbriefly quotthe male gazequot is a critical theory promulgated by laura mulvey suggesting that the patriarchy and its cinematic extension was by its nature kinda creepy quotthe extreme contrast between the darkness in the auditorium which also isolates the spectators from one another and the brilliance of the shifting patterns of light and shade on the screen helps to promote the illusion of voyeuristic separation although the film is really being shown is there to be seen conditions of screening and narrative conventions give the spectator an illusion of looking in on a private worldquot mulvey wrote in her classic essay quotvisual pleasure and narrative in cinemaquot quotamong other things the position of the spectators in the cinema is blatantly one of repression of their exhibitionism and projection of the repressed desire on to the performerquotp pin short we that is men are conditioned to make and watch and force upon society movies with nudity because its the only socially acceptable way we can act like a peeping tomp ptheres something to this idea of cinema as voyeurism allow me to again reference the work of brian de palma whose emdressed to killem opens with an extended sequence of a woman in a shower it is a private moment a moment of ecstasy we are illicitly looking upon but it is also a misdirection a dream sequence an effort by the woman in question to conjure up sexual feeling for the man who has climbed atop her and is thrusting away far from objectifying this admittedly attractive shes played by angie dickinson after all woman de palma is creating empathy with her by putting us in her head space showing us emherem desires emherem needsp pstill the suggestion that the male gaze is the beall and endall of cinematic sexuality has had perverse side effects one of which is the sort of puritanism we see from the zoomers and others uncomfortable with onscreen nudity every generation gets the scolds it deserves and theres something refreshingly oldfashioned about this brand of bowdlerizers as camille paglia a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsaloncom19990813hitchcock_paglia target_blankno fan of male gaze theorya she quotutter nonsense from the start the victim model of feminism applied wholesale to works of culturequot put it in emsexual personaeem quotsex has always been girt round with taboo irrespective of culture sex is the point of contact between man and nature where morality and good intentions fall to primitive urgesquotp pas such we see mild freak outs now and again when a writer or an artist injects an quotunduequot amount of sexuality into their work the most amusing of these by far was when the emnew yorkerems anthony lane found himself under fire for well a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercomcultureculturedeskincredibles2reviewedasequelintheshadowofamasterwork target_blankyoull seeap ptake your seat at any earlyevening screening of emincredibles 2em in the coming days listen carefully and you may just hear a shifty sound as of parents squirming awkwardly beside their enraptured offspring and why kids because mommy just leaned over to daddy and whispered quotis it just me or does mrs incredible kind of look like anastasia in fifty shades of grey you know the girl in the red room with the whips and allquot and daddy just rested his cooling soda firmly in his lap and like mr incredible tried very hard to think of algebra as for how daddy will react later on during the scene in which helen and the huskyvoiced evelyn unwind and simply talk woman to woman i hate to think but watch out for flying popcornp pas the emcutem noted lane has a a hrefhttpswwwthecutcom201806anthonylaneincredibles2newyorkerreviewhtmllong historya of doing the unthinkablespecifically noting that the women who grace our biggest screens be they animated heroines or fleshandblood scarlett johanssons are also frequently very attractivebut theres something especially absurd about getting offended on the behalf of a cartoon subjected to the dread male gaze crueler a villain than any faced by elastigirl and her family of superheroes just as theres something deeply weird about the lengths to which critics will go to avoid saying that say anya taylorjoy is one of the most interesting women to look at on screen because she has something akin to the almostalien beauty many supermodels have just as theres something odd about how it only really becomes appropriate to talk about how sexy actresses are after they pass a certain agep pthe only time it really becomes acceptable to talk about sex onscreen is when theres too much of it hence the sad decline of emgame of thronesem a series that for its first four or five seasons came under withering fire for the frequent way in which it mingled sex and violence and set scenes rife with expository dialogue in brothels leading to the rise of the amusingbutdegrading term quotsexpositionquot chastened by critical uproar the shows creators pulled back a bit but when a program about quottits and dragonsquot as guest star ian mcshane once a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnmecomnewstvianmcshaneongameofthronesitsjusttitsand880221 target_blankcolorfully put ita jettisons half that equation decline becomes almost inevitable people say the show lost the plot because they didnt have george rr martins source books to guide them that the last couple of seasons were deeply unsatisfactory on a storytelling levelp pallow me to suggest that perhaps the real problem was that audiences started paying emtoo muchem attention to the silliness of the plot in general because they didnt have other ah distractions on the screenp pthere are undoubtedly other factors adding to the decline in onscreen sexthe rise of instantly accessible and increasingly degrading pornography reducing the need for titillation in a public setting the increasingly personalyetcommunal nature of nudity in the form of the shared selfieand its not like it has disappeared entirely from feature filmmaking but such movies like sydney sweeneys emthe voyeursem are often relegated to streaming prime video in that case or vod as in the case of julia foxs empvt chatemp pand thats too bad sexiness and tawdriness are both fundamental parts of the human experience and should be celebrated and explored on the biggest screen possible there shouldnt be any shame in watching onscreen shamelessnessp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomculturewherehaveallsexscenesgonewhere have all the sex scenes gonea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

pimg width768 alt srchttpss3freebeaconcomup202110screenshot20210927at124940pm_1472x1028768x536png height536ppwhile watching emmalignantemthe new horror film james wan genres popular directors momenton hbo max pair thoughts leapt head unbiddenp pthe films lurid violence obsession penetrative bloodletting finally shift truly gonzo bloodshed bones splintered blood spattered cackled quietly handful times things ramped emmalignantem largely lacked visual panache carnagecombined films thematic preoccupations identity siblings parentagemade think quotthis feels like brian de palma film im entirely sure whats going happen nextquotp pthe second thought immediate answer quotwell guess entirely sure wont approaching de palmaesque sex scene midbudget picture major studio year 2021quotp psure closest wan gets sexy movie having mousy crime scene investigator flirt harmlessly detective trying solve serial killing detectives older partner rolls eyes reminds theyre clock wasnt surprising confluence cultural commercial factors render steamier limitsp pbut little depressingp pit hbo max movie recently brought mind evening search new stumbled em10 midnightem classic maybe quotclassicquot charles bronson feature exploitationfriendly label cannon group like emmalignantem little bit bonkers akin emfriday 13them way john wayne gacy bronson played hardass cop wasnt opposed violating civil liberties meant keeping people safe serial killer stripped nude evil deeds similarly nude coedsp pits good movie exactly pleasingly disreputable lots movies released days describe quotnot good exactlyquot transgressive em10 midnightem feels today included hrefhttpsscreentimethebulwarkcommy newsletter embulwarkema weeks assigned viewing felt pushing boundaries little sort movie people supposed watch anymore certainly sort thing recommend polite companyp pa friend texted ask moviesthe lowbudget sleazefests like em10 midnightem disappeared midbudget shockers like emspeciesem hightoned erotic thrillers vein embasic instinctemare rare answer twofoldp pfirst theres commercial factor expensive release movies theaters dont mean production budgets opening wide requires lowtomideightfigure ad buy want pop opening weekend increased cost advertising means fewer films released general need home runs singles harder hit home run rrated movie pg13rated moviep pcongrats youre caught 30 years theatrical exhibition businessp pa pg13 movie isnt easier sell america easier sell overseasparticularly china films forbid sorts things ghosts weirdly depictions homosexuality nudity nogo want try recoup investment middle kingdom better sure youre going nude scenes cut outp pindeed discomfort sex lines nicely rise comic book movie sexless action flick writing way 1976practically hedonistic paradise compared nowpauline kael highlighted rise cop movie ways police partnerships subbed real romantic relationships quotit doesnt hidden traps relationship man women lovers sexquot kael wrote quotnotes evolving heroes morals audiencesquot quottwo human beings sexually emotionally involved cause pain takes skill writers directors deal painquotp pwhy bother showing men women connecting emotionally sexually rake billions having steve rogers tony stark punch aliensor occasionally otherp pcommercial factors arent reason shift theres critical cultural component wellp plike time twitter flat circle youre social media service long youll tweets viral arguments flare rebuttals offered dunks thundered home dr jlike authority circularity film twitter modern emcahiers du cinmaem goes little like zoomer supreme confidence movie needed improved sex scene receive tens thousands likes retweets similarly puritanical letterboxd scholars turn result exhausted gen xer elderly millennial occasional boomer screenshot offending tweet retort quothow modern movies sexless freaks won marvel cinematic universe contemplated sex birth happened realm virginalquotp pmy cohort olds correct course makes grimace bit zoomers simply living intellectual world think happen spent decades screaming male gaze films treatment women inherently objectifies themp pbriefly quotthe male gazequot critical theory promulgated laura mulvey suggesting patriarchy cinematic extension nature kinda creepy quotthe extreme contrast darkness auditorium isolates spectators brilliance shifting patterns light shade screen helps promote illusion voyeuristic separation film shown seen conditions screening narrative conventions spectator illusion looking private worldquot mulvey wrote classic essay quotvisual pleasure narrative cinemaquot quotamong things position spectators cinema blatantly repression exhibitionism projection repressed desire performerquotp pin short men conditioned watch force society movies nudity socially acceptable way act like peeping tomp ptheres idea cinema voyeurism allow reference work brian de palma emdressed killem opens extended sequence woman shower private moment moment ecstasy illicitly looking misdirection dream sequence effort woman question conjure sexual feeling man climbed atop thrusting away far objectifying admittedly attractive shes played angie dickinson woman de palma creating empathy putting head space showing emherem desires emherem needsp pstill suggestion male gaze beall endall cinematic sexuality perverse effects sort puritanism zoomers uncomfortable onscreen nudity generation gets scolds deserves theres refreshingly oldfashioned brand bowdlerizers camille paglia relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsaloncom19990813hitchcock_paglia target_blankno fan male gaze theorya quotutter nonsense start victim model feminism applied wholesale works culturequot emsexual personaeem quotsex girt round taboo irrespective culture sex point contact man nature morality good intentions fall primitive urgesquotp pas mild freak outs writer artist injects quotunduequot sexuality work amusing far emnew yorkerems anthony lane found fire relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercomcultureculturedeskincredibles2reviewedasequelintheshadowofamasterwork target_blankyoull seeap ptake seat earlyevening screening emincredibles 2em coming days listen carefully hear shifty sound parents squirming awkwardly enraptured offspring kids mommy leaned daddy whispered quotis mrs incredible kind look like anastasia shades grey know girl red room whips allquot daddy rested cooling soda firmly lap like mr incredible tried hard think algebra daddy react later scene helen huskyvoiced evelyn unwind simply talk woman woman hate think watch flying popcornp pas emcutem noted lane hrefhttpswwwthecutcom201806anthonylaneincredibles2newyorkerreviewhtmllong historya unthinkablespecifically noting women grace biggest screens animated heroines fleshandblood scarlett johanssons frequently attractivebut theres especially absurd getting offended behalf cartoon subjected dread male gaze crueler villain faced elastigirl family superheroes theres deeply weird lengths critics avoid saying anya taylorjoy interesting women look screen akin almostalien beauty supermodels theres odd appropriate talk sexy actresses pass certain agep pthe time acceptable talk sex onscreen theres sad decline emgame thronesem series seasons came withering fire frequent way mingled sex violence set scenes rife expository dialogue brothels leading rise amusingbutdegrading term quotsexpositionquot chastened critical uproar shows creators pulled bit program quottits dragonsquot guest star ian mcshane relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnmecomnewstvianmcshaneongameofthronesitsjusttitsand880221 target_blankcolorfully ita jettisons half equation decline inevitable people lost plot didnt george rr martins source books guide couple seasons deeply unsatisfactory storytelling levelp pallow suggest real problem audiences started paying emtoo muchem attention silliness plot general didnt ah distractions screenp pthere undoubtedly factors adding decline onscreen sexthe rise instantly accessible increasingly degrading pornography reducing need titillation public setting increasingly personalyetcommunal nature nudity form shared selfieand like disappeared entirely feature filmmaking movies like sydney sweeneys emthe voyeursem relegated streaming prime video case vod case julia foxs empvt chatemp pand thats bad sexiness tawdriness fundamental parts human experience celebrated explored biggest screen possible shouldnt shame watching onscreen shamelessnessp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomculturewherehaveallsexscenesgonewhere sex scenes gonea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

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Biden Posts Worst Jobs Report Since 2020

pimg width768 alt srchttpss2freebeaconcomup202110biden768x512jpeg height512ppthe economy created just 194000 jobs last month marking its worst performance since december 2020 the labor department reported fridayp pthe latest a hrefhttpswwwblsgovnewsreleaseempsitnr0htmjob numbersa are down from 366000 added in august and fell more than 300000 short of the dow jones estimate while the unemployment rate fell to 48 percent from 52 the labor participation rate ticked down to 616 percenta hrefhttpswwwblsgovchartsemploymentsituationcivilianlaborforceparticipationratehtmcompareda with 634 percent in january 2020indicating many americans are leaving the workforce while the unemployment rate for women dropped 06 percent the group lost a net 26000 jobs in septemberp pa loss of more than 100000 government jobs particularly at public schools contributed to the modest employment figures as many school districts face covidrelated closures the weak employment numbers are raising alarms that the economy is struggling with significant labor shortagesp pquotthis was the time when a lot of people were expecting labor shortages to be getting better but in fact theyre getting worsequot michael pearce senior us economist at capital economics a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesseptemberjobsreportunemploymentrate202111633641477modhp_lead_pos2modhp_lead_pos1tolda the emwall street journalem quotits a pretty worrying situationquotp pthe tight labor market is pushing up wages which increased 06 percent last month elevated wages could worsen the countrys inflation surge which coupled with stagnant job growth has prompted some analysts to a hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomlatestnewseconomistswarnstagflationisbackwarna about the return of quotstagflationquot which crippled the us economy in the 1970sp pquotnow one can make a case that mild stagflation is already underwayquot new york university economist nouriel roubini a hrefhttpswwwprojectsyndicateorgcommentarymildstagflationishereandcouldpersistordeepenbynourielroubini202108wrotea in an august column quotinflation is rising in the united states and many advanced economies and growth is slowing sharply despite massive monetary credit and fiscal stimulusquotp pthe disappointing jobs report comes as the biden administration prepares to enforce its vaccine mandate which would require employees at businesses with more than 100 workers and federal agencies to receive coronavirus vaccinesp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomlatestnewsbidenpostsworstjobsreportsince2020biden posts worst jobs report since 2020a appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

pimg width768 alt srchttpss2freebeaconcomup202110biden768x512jpeg height512ppthe economy created 194000 jobs month marking worst performance december 2020 labor department reported fridayp pthe latest hrefhttpswwwblsgovnewsreleaseempsitnr0htmjob numbersa 366000 added august fell 300000 short dow jones estimate unemployment rate fell 48 percent 52 labor participation rate ticked 616 percenta hrefhttpswwwblsgovchartsemploymentsituationcivilianlaborforceparticipationratehtmcompareda 634 percent january 2020indicating americans leaving workforce unemployment rate women dropped 06 percent group lost net 26000 jobs septemberp pa loss 100000 government jobs particularly public schools contributed modest employment figures school districts face covidrelated closuresthe weak employment numbers raising alarms economy struggling significant labor shortagesp pquotthis time lot people expecting labor shortages getting better fact theyre getting worsequot michael pearce senior economist capital economics hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesseptemberjobsreportunemploymentrate202111633641477modhp_lead_pos2modhp_lead_pos1tolda emwall street journalem quotits pretty worrying situationquotp pthe tight labor market pushing wages increased 06 percent month elevated wages worsen countrys inflation surge coupled stagnant job growth prompted analysts hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomlatestnewseconomistswarnstagflationisbackwarna return quotstagflationquot crippled economy 1970sp pquotnow case mild stagflation underwayquot new york university economist nouriel roubini hrefhttpswwwprojectsyndicateorgcommentarymildstagflationishereandcouldpersistordeepenbynourielroubini202108wrotea august column quotinflation rising united states advanced economies growth slowing sharply despite massive monetary credit fiscal stimulusquotp pthe disappointing jobs report comes biden administration prepares enforce vaccine mandate require employees businesses 100 workers federal agencies receive coronavirus vaccinesp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomlatestnewsbidenpostsworstjobsreportsince2020biden posts worst jobs report 2020a appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

6160c86ad6f643cbf0a7075e

ChessCoach

pa relnoopener hrefhttpschrisbutnergithubiochesscoach target_blankchesscoach is a neural networkbased chess engine capable of naturallanguage commentaryap pvia zach valentap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110chesscoachhtmlchesscoacha appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pa relnoopener hrefhttpschrisbutnergithubiochesscoach target_blankchesscoach neural networkbased chess engine capable naturallanguage commentaryap pvia zach valentap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110chesscoachhtmlchesscoacha appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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The Future is Getting Farther Away

pin launching the innovation renaissance i said that if total factor productivity had continued to grow at its 1957 to 1973 rate then we today would be living in the world of 2076 rather than in the world of 2014 sadly the future is continuing to recede consider the graph below if growth had continued at the rate expected by the cbo in 2005 then we today would be living in the world of 2037 rather than in the world of 2021 nb i am eyeballingp pby the way dont blame this on the forecasters the forecast was reasonable the reality is below expectationp pimg sizesmaxwidth 913px 100vw 913px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110sahmgraphjpg alt width913 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110sahmgraphjpg 913w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110sahmgraph300x186jpg 300w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110sahmgraph768x477jpg 768w classwpimage82124 height567p phat tip a hrefhttpstwittercommattyglesiasstatus1446101524812271618s20matt yglesiasa reupping a graph originally produced by claudia sahm who i thought had a a hrefhttpstwittercomclaudia_sahmstatus1361306199208185858s20different interpretationa but a hrefhttpstwittercomclaudia_sahmstatus1446494745098919960s20maybe notap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thefutureisgettingfartherawayhtmlthe future is getting farther awaya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pin launching innovation renaissance said total factor productivity continued grow 1957 1973 rate today living world 2076 world 2014 sadly future continuing recede consider graph growth continued rate expected cbo 2005 today living world 2037 world 2021 nb eyeballingp pby way dont blame forecasters forecast reasonable reality expectationp pimg sizesmaxwidth 913px 100vw 913px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110sahmgraphjpg alt width913 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110sahmgraphjpg 913w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110sahmgraph300x186jpg 300w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110sahmgraph768x477jpg 768w classwpimage82124 height567p phat tip hrefhttpstwittercommattyglesiasstatus1446101524812271618s20matt yglesiasa reupping graph originally produced claudia sahm thought hrefhttpstwittercomclaudia_sahmstatus1361306199208185858s20different interpretationa hrefhttpstwittercomclaudia_sahmstatus1446494745098919960s20maybe notap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thefutureisgettingfartherawayhtmlthe future getting farther awaya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Fighting China For All The Right Reasons

audio controls source srchttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdswocbridge_mainmp3 img altfighting china for all the right reasons srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202110516815ldsdljpgpyour browser doesnt support html audio a hrefhttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdswocbridge_mainmp3herea is a link to the filep audiopelbridge colby deputy assistant secretary of defense for strategy and force development in the trump administration joins shadi and damir to talk about his challenging new book ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstrategydenialamericandefenseconflictdp0300256434refnodl_the strategy of denialaem an unflinchingly clinical argument for confronting china ppdoes chinas authoritarianism make it our enemy or is confrontation inevitable regardless will our allies stick by our side just because china is a bully and what does henry kissinger get wrong about power politicsphrppart 2 of the interview with bridge is a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivepolarizationathomeandthefightabroadavailable herea we discuss the impact polarization is having on america abroad are new domestic alliances among populists on the left and right possible after trump and is that a good thing for paying subscribers onlypp a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivefightingchinaforalltherightreasonsportalsignup target_blankappif you become a subscriber you will not only get access to bonus episodes with guests like glenn greenwald ross douthat and michael brendan dougherty you will also get access to our exclusive a hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivefriday_essaysfriday essaysaphrpemrequired readingempulliquota hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercomnewsannalsofinquirywillthenextamericanwarbewithchinawill the next american war be with chinaaquot by benjamin wallacewells emnew yorkeremliliema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomageambitionchasingfortunetruthdp0374280746refasc_df_0374280746_nodltaghyprod20linkcodedf0hvadid312562231174hvposhvnetwghvrand12296292584895732834hvponehvptwohvqmthvdevmhvdvcmdlhvlocinthvlocphy9061285hvtargidpla464894670199psc1age of ambitionaem by evan osnosliliquota hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivediplomacyisadirtybusinessdiplomacy is a dirty businessaquot by damir marusic emwisdom of crowdsemlilia hrefhttpsavalonlawyaleedu18th_centuryfed11aspfederalist no 11aliulpppp

audio controls source srchttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdswocbridge_mainmp3 img altfighting china right reasons srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202110516815ldsdljpgpyour browser doesnt support html audio hrefhttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdswocbridge_mainmp3herea link filep audiopelbridge colby deputy assistant secretary defense strategy force development trump administration joins shadi damir talk challenging new book ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstrategydenialamericandefenseconflictdp0300256434refnodl_the strategy denialaem unflinchingly clinical argument confronting china ppdoes chinas authoritarianism enemy confrontation inevitable regardless allies stick china bully henry kissinger wrong power politicsphrppart 2 interview bridge hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivepolarizationathomeandthefightabroadavailable herea discuss impact polarization having america abroad new domestic alliances populists left right possible trump good thing paying subscribers onlypp hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivefightingchinaforalltherightreasonsportalsignup target_blankappif subscriber access bonus episodes guests like glenn greenwald ross douthat michael brendan dougherty access exclusive hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivefriday_essaysfriday essaysaphrpemrequired readingempulliquota hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercomnewsannalsofinquirywillthenextamericanwarbewithchinawill american war chinaaquot benjamin wallacewells emnew yorkeremliliema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomageambitionchasingfortunetruthdp0374280746refasc_df_0374280746_nodltaghyprod20linkcodedf0hvadid312562231174hvposhvnetwghvrand12296292584895732834hvponehvptwohvqmthvdevmhvdvcmdlhvlocinthvlocphy9061285hvtargidpla464894670199psc1age ambitionaem evan osnosliliquota hrefhttpswisdomofcrowdslivediplomacyisadirtybusinessdiplomacy dirty businessaquot damir marusic emwisdom crowdsemlilia hrefhttpsavalonlawyaleedu18th_centuryfed11aspfederalist 11aliulpppp

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From the comments, on nuclear waste storage

div blockquotepnuclear has a waste storage problem that remains largely unaddressed p pnot so the first and easiest way to address it is to reprocess spent fuel as france does the next is to use modern reactor designs that actually clean up old fuel from light water reactors for example canadas candu reactor a proven common design can burn the fuel from us lwr reactors and its own spent fuel is only dangerous for on the order of a thousand years 6001200 instead of the 30000 from current us designs maintaining waste for hundreds of years is feasible and on a whole different scale than a 30000 year storage planp panother plan for the waste problem os small modular reactors which are never refueled onsite you bring in the fueled reactor run it for 10 years then exchange it for a new one and take the old one back to the factory to be refueled that centralizes waste and prevents all the problems with onsite storage with waste reprocessing 90 of it goes back into the reactor for the next decadep pthere are known robust solutions to these problems antinuke types just ignore thempblockquote pthat is from dan hanson from the comments sectionp div pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110fromthecommentsonnuclearwastestoragehtmlfrom the comments on nuclear waste storagea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

div blockquotepnuclear waste storage problem remains largely unaddressed p pnot easiest way address reprocess spent fuel france use modern reactor designs actually clean old fuel light water reactors example canadas candu reactor proven common design burn fuel lwr reactors spent fuel dangerous order thousand years 6001200 instead 30000 current designs maintaining waste hundreds years feasible different scale 30000 year storage planp panother plan waste problem os small modular reactors refueled onsite bring fueled reactor run 10 years exchange new old factory refueled centralizes waste prevents problems onsite storage waste reprocessing 90 goes reactor decadep pthere known robust solutions problems antinuke types ignore thempblockquote pthat dan hanson comments sectionp div pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110fromthecommentsonnuclearwastestoragehtmlfrom comments nuclear waste storagea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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School quality in cities, from my email

blockquotepon your podcast recently you asked ed glaeser for his political economy model to explain why schools in cities are so bad i think it may just be schools in iamerican icities that are bad rather than schools in cities in general and the political economy reason why is probably local control over schoolsp pi am familiar with the situation in england where outcomes are ibetter iin large cities english children on free school meals usually because their parents are on welfare have substantially better exam results and are a lot more likely to go to university in large cities than in the rest of the country while children not on free school meals do about as well as in large cities or slightly betterp pthat said schools in large english cities were bad 2030 years ago  in 2001 educational outcomes in inner london were the worst in england and the improvement coincided with major policy change starting in 1990 school governance reforms in england have nearly eliminated the powers of local authorities over schools most schools are now academies entirely independent from local authorities and local authorities have very little discretion in how they manage schools theoretically under their control on the other hand in the us local government makes more of the decisions on education than in any other oecd country 72 of decisions in the us are local compared to the oecd average of 3p pwhy is local control bad for cities i think it comes from the interaction between selection effects measurement of school quality and local control its genuinely quite hard for parents to assess school quality and the data that is comparable and easy to use like test results combines underlying quality and selection effects us cities are surrounded by independently governed suburbs some of which will always appear to have better schools than the city because of selection effects this draws the parents that are most motivated by education to move out of the city and to those suburbs leaving the cities with an electorate less motivated by education as an issue these parents are probably also better educated local governments have no incentives to compete over the capacity to improve the outcomes of poorly performing children since this could iattract imore of these students and make their test results look worsep pthe problem of a less interested electorate is aggravated by the complexity of school governance school districts in cities are usually  run by elected school boards and often too large to be able to compare to other areas or be held accountable for the performance of any given school urban voters have little in the way of partisan cues to help them choose between candidates elections are either explicitly nonpartisan or dominated by democrats this makes it easy for powerful interest groups teachers unions to dominate school board elections suburbs not only have more interested more educated voters but have much smaller school districts a quick look on google tells me the best school districts in big city suburbs often run fewer than 5 high schools suburban voters can easily compare school performance to other suburbs and hold their boards accountablepblockquote blockquotepin summary schools in american cities are bad because they have strong local government control over education most often through elected school boards suburbs in the metro area can select for highperforming students and parents concerned over education will confuse that with high school performance and move to the suburbs this leaves the parents least capable of organising to reform schools concentrated in cities which compounded by complex governance and the size of urban school districts leaves parents in cities incapable of overcoming the resistance of interest groupspblockquote pthat is from igor zurimendip pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110schoolqualityincitieshtmlschool quality in cities from my emaila appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepon podcast recently asked ed glaeser political economy model explain schools cities bad think mayjust schools iniamericanicities bad schools cities general political economy reason probablylocal control schoolsp pi familiar situation england outcomes areibetteriin large citiesenglish children free school meals usually parents welfare substantially better exam results lot likely university large citiesthan rest country whilechildren free school meals large cities slightly betterp pthat said schools large english cities werebad 2030 years ago in2001 educational outcomes ininner london worst england improvement coincided major policy change starting 1990 schoolgovernance reforms england nearly eliminated powers local authorities schools schools academies entirely independent local authorities local authorities little discretion manage schools theoretically control hand local government makes decisions education oecd country 72 decisions local compared oecd average 3p pwhy local control bad cities think comes interaction selection effects measurement school quality local control genuinely hard parents assess school quality thedata comparable easy use like test results combines underlying quality selection effects cities aresurrounded independentlygoverned suburbs someof appear better schools city selection effects draws parents motivated education city suburbs leaving thecities electorate motivated education issue parents probably better educated local governments incentives compete capacity improve outcomes poorly performing children couldiattractimore students test results look worsep pthe problem interested electorate aggravated complexity school governance school districts cities usually run elected school boards large able compare otherareas heldaccountable performance given school urban voters little way partisan cues help choose candidates elections explicitly nonpartisan dominated democrats thismakes easy powerful interestgroups teachers unions dominate school board elections suburbs interested educated voters smaller school districtsa quick look google tells best school districts big city suburbs run fewer 5 high schools suburban voters easily compare school performance suburbs hold boards accountablepblockquote blockquotepin summary schools american cities bad strong local government control education elected school boards suburbs metro area select highperforming students parents concerned education confuse thatwith high school performanceand suburbs leaves parents capable organising reform schools concentrated cities compounded complex governance size urban school districts leaves parents cities incapable overcoming resistance interest groupspblockquote pthat igor zurimendip pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110schoolqualityincitieshtmlschool quality cities emaila appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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New results on the Child Tax Credit

phere is my control c a relnoopener hrefhttpsgregmankiwblogspotcom202110theproposedchangesinchildtaxcredithtml target_blankfrom greg mankiwap blockquotepa a relnoopener hrefhttpsbfiuchicagoeduworkingpaper2021115 target_blanknew papera by kevin corinth bruce meyer matthew stadnicki and derek wu finds the following emphasis addedp pthe bproposed change under the american families planb afp to the tax cuts and jobs act tcja child tax credit ctc would increase maximum benefit amounts to 3000 or 3600 per child up from 2000 per child and make the full credit available to all low and middleincome families regardless of earnings or income we estimate the antipoverty targeting and labor supply effects of the expansion by linking survey data with administrative tax and government program data which form part of the comprehensive income dataset cid binitially ignoring any behavioral responses we estimate that the expansion of the ctc would reduce child poverty by 34 and deep child poverty by 39b the expansion of the ctc would have a larger antipoverty effect on children than any existing government program though at a higher cost per child raised above the poverty line than any other meanstested program relatedly the ctc expansion would allocate a smaller share of its total dollars to families at the bottom of the income distributionas well as families with the lowest levels of longterm income education or healththan any existing meanstested program with the exception of housing assistance we then simulate antipoverty effects accounting for labor supply responses by replacing the tcja ctc which contained substantial work incentives akin to the eitc with a universal basic incometype benefit the ctc expansion reduces the return to working at all by at least 2000 per child for most workers with children brelying on elasticity estimates consistent with mainstream simulation models and the academic literature we estimate that this change in policy would lead 15 million workers constituting 26 of all working parents to exit the labor force the decline in employment and the consequent earnings loss would mean that child poverty would only fall by 22 and deep child poverty would not fall at all with the ctc expansionbpblockquote pworth a ponderp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110newresultsonthechildtaxcredithtmlnew results on the child tax credita appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

phere control c relnoopener hrefhttpsgregmankiwblogspotcom202110theproposedchangesinchildtaxcredithtml target_blankfrom greg mankiwap blockquotepa relnoopener hrefhttpsbfiuchicagoeduworkingpaper2021115 target_blanknew papera kevin corinth bruce meyer matthew stadnicki derek wu finds following emphasis addedp pthe bproposed change american families planb afp tax cuts jobs act tcja child tax credit ctc increase maximum benefit amounts 3000 3600 child 2000 child credit available low middleincome families regardless earnings income estimate antipoverty targeting labor supply effects expansion linking survey data administrative tax government program data form comprehensive income dataset cid binitially ignoring behavioral responses estimate expansion ctc reduce child poverty 34 deep child poverty 39b expansion ctc larger antipoverty effect children existing government program higher cost child raised poverty line meanstested program relatedly ctc expansion allocate smaller share total dollars families income distributionas families lowest levels longterm income education healththan existing meanstested program exception housing assistance simulate antipoverty effects accounting labor supply responses replacing tcja ctc contained substantial work incentives akin eitc universal basic incometype benefit ctc expansion reduces return working 2000 child workers children brelying elasticity estimates consistent mainstream simulation models academic literature estimate change policy lead 15 million workers constituting 26 working parents exit labor force decline employment consequent earnings loss mean child poverty fall 22 deep child poverty fall ctc expansionbpblockquote pworth ponderp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110newresultsonthechildtaxcredithtmlnew results child tax credita appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Washington, D.C. facts of the day

blockquotepthe report released thursday by the downtowndc business improvement district painted a bleak picture of fall in downtown washington driven largely by the continued absence of ninetofivers office vacancies hit record highs dozens of restaurants remain closed and less than 25 percent of employees had returned to their downtown buildings by midseptember up less than 2 percent from july in a telltale sign of hard times in downtown washington it is difficult to find a shop open for coffee after 4 pmpblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomdcmdva20211008lessthan25percentofficeworkershavereturneddowntowndcnewreportsays target_blankmore from emily daviesap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110washingtondcfactsofthedayhtmlwashington dc facts of the daya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepthe report released thursday downtowndc business improvement district painted bleak picture fall downtown washington driven largely continued absence ninetofivers office vacancies hit record highs dozens restaurants remain closed 25 percent employees returned downtown buildings midseptember 2 percent july telltale sign hard times downtown washington difficult find shop open coffee 4 pmpblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomdcmdva20211008lessthan25percentofficeworkershavereturneddowntowndcnewreportsays target_blankmore emily daviesap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110washingtondcfactsofthedayhtmlwashington dc facts daya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Is the revolving door a moderating force on politicians?

blockquotepboard appointments represent highly lucrative career trajectories for former politicians we investigate which types of legislators are more likely to gain board service leveraging comprehensive data on the board service of former members of congress we show that ideological extremists are less likely to be appointed to a board after serving in congress additionally we use a differenceindifferences design to show that when the supply of legislators who are willing to take a directorship increases firms become less likely to appoint extremist legislators to their board the estimates are striking in magnitude indicating a strong preference for appointing moderates to boards surprisingly we find no evidence that a strong legislative record service on powerful committees or networks increase the probability of board service the results show that extremist legislators are effectively shut out of one of the most lucrative postelective career paths placing a cost on radical behaviorpblockquote pthat is from a relnoopener hrefhttpsgithubcombcegerodbcegerodgithubioblobmasterpaperspolitician_directors_wppdf target_blanka new papera by benjamin ck egerod and hai tranp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110istherevolvingdooramoderatingforceonpoliticianshtmlis the revolving door a moderating force on politiciansa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepboard appointments represent highly lucrative career trajectories politicians investigate types legislators likely gain board service leveraging comprehensive data board service members congress ideological extremists likely appointed board serving congress additionally use differenceindifferences design supply legislators willing directorship increases firms likely appoint extremist legislators board estimates striking magnitude indicating strong preference appointing moderates boards surprisingly find evidence strong legislative record service powerful committees networks increase probability board service results extremist legislators effectively shut lucrative postelective career paths placing cost radical behaviorpblockquote pthat relnoopener hrefhttpsgithubcombcegerodbcegerodgithubioblobmasterpaperspolitician_directors_wppdf target_blanka new papera benjamin ck egerod hai tranp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110istherevolvingdooramoderatingforceonpoliticianshtmlis revolving door moderating force politiciansa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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How to survive our tragedy

pare we living in a tragic age one of the words most used about climate change catastrophe comes to us from the ancient greek tragedy it means a sudden crisis or turnabout which is not a bad way of describing the melting of the polar icecaps as for the virus the ancient greeks knew a thing or two about plague it was by ridding his city of pestilence that oedipus was appointed king perhaps the queen should take over from chris whittyp ptragedy recalls us to a sense of our fragility but also of our value we wouldnt mourn for creatures we didnt regard as precious not many of us are devastated by the death of a flea a cynic is unlikely to lose sleep over covid deaths in indonesiap pif we are living through a tragedy it is a collective one the greeks would have understood this too the point of the chorus a bunch of ordinary citizens who sing and dance their way through the tragic drama is to socialise the disaster making it more than just the affair of a few patrician figures even so you couldnt have a cook or a cobbler as the hero since their lives werent considered important enough those who fall from the greatest height make the biggest splashp pthe death of achilles or agamemnon is a momentous event which sends shockwaves through the public realm whereas the passing of a slave is private it has no more significance than the killing of a flea it doesnt count as a historical event back then you couldnt have a tragedy called emdeath of a salesman emeven if there had been salesman in ancient athens it would be as bizarre as calling your play emthe fall of troy a farce in three acts emp divdiv pnone of this class distinction survived the emergence of mass democracy a political idea which ironically was born in ancient greece in the 20th century by far the bloodiest hundred years on record tragedy became universal once you develop weapons like bombs you globalise suffering and lamentation as the tattered old clich has it we really are all in this together you just have to take anyone from the street and push them to their limit you can even have a tragedy about plumbing as in ibsens eman enemy of the people emp pone of the ancient greeks deepest fears is of hubris the pride or presumption which leads you to overreach yourself and bring yourself to nothing when the citizens of thebes or athens observed such arrogance they trembled and looked fearfully to the skies aware that it would have its comeuppance a species which dominates and destroys its natural habitat in the name of power and acquisition is now reaping the fruits of its overreachingp pthose like king lear who would be everything must be taught the lesson that humanity is nothing frail sickeningly vulnerable and driven by animal need kings must be reduced to vagrants as lear wanders the heath with fools and madmen once you acknowledge that youre nothing you have a chance of becoming something but only like lear or oedipus by being hauled through hell for lear this repentance comes too late to prevent his death whether this will prove true of humanity as a whole remains to be seen it isnt looking goodp pthe problem is that hubris is built into the human species because we live not just in a physical world but a world of meaning we are able to overreach ourselves all the time our bodies can build themselves a prosthesis known as civilisation technology is an extension of our bodies but one that can escape our mastery badgers and squirrels by contrast cant create weapons of mass destruction unless theyre being very furtive about it they cant extend very far outside themselves they arent universal creatures unless squirrels in california are somehow in touch with squirrels in the ukrainep pthis inability to overreach themselves means that they cant blow themselves up but neither can they read marcel proust this is because they dont have language but this lack of language or developed concepts is also what keeps them safe from unclear warfare one might make an exception here for dolphins who after a few lessons might be able to write as well as jacob reesmoggp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptinessofevilrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptinessofevilrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202104gettyimages135860228e1618607124402300x160jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptinessofevilrefinnarspan more from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptinessofevilrefinnarh5the emptiness of evilh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptinessofevilrefinnarspanbyspan terry eagletonapdivadiv pbeing a linguistic animal is both a blessing and a curse in fact the ancient term sacred means both because human beings live in a richly developed conceptual world they can create things which are in danger of slipping from their control and taking on a tyrannical life of their own yet having language also means that they can be closer to each other than mere physical contact they can share their inner lives with each other love relationships consist mainly in talking unless im missing out on somethingp pcivilisation so freud claims is a product of eros meaning the creative drives as a whole there is however a problem eros is not the only source of civilisation in order to build bridges and cathedrals you also need to harness the power of eross old enemy thanatos or the death drive the death drive for freud is turned outwards and used to subjugate nature only in this way can cities and social orders be built thanatos however is a notoriously unreliable servant it doesnt want to subjugate things it wants to tear them to pieces in an orgy of obscene enjoyment so the very force which is intended to overcome chaos is secretly in love with it anarchy lies at the very heart of authorityp ptragic figures arent exactly guilty but they arent exactly innocent either if they were deepdyed villains they would forfeit our sympathy and we would be indifferent to their fate napoleon may have been a tragic figure but hitler wasnt yet tragic heroes arent blameless because the tragic crisis results from their own actions however little they may intend itp poedipus who has been described as a guilty innocent doesnt mean to kill his father and marry his mother but he contributes without knowing it to a network of cause and effect which causes these things to occur his own past actions return to plague him in alien form we are neither the innocent nor the wicked remarks the protagonist of william goldings novel emfree fall emwe are the guilty we fall down we crawl on hands and knees we weep and tear each otherp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whosetgreeceonfirerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whosetgreeceonfirerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021082gettyimages1234574825300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whosetgreeceonfirerefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whosetgreeceonfirerefinnarh5who set greece on fireh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whosetgreeceonfirerefinnarspanbyspan aris roussinos apdivadiv pit is just the same with climate change which nobody ever intended but which is the consequence of billions of individual acts nobody ever turned the ignition key in their car or heaped a shovelful of coal on the fire with the idea of wiping out the human race as inspector clouseau might say noone is guilty and everyone is guiltyp pits the same with the christian idea of original sin which means that we are sinful but not responsible for it in the tangled web of human actions and relationships you cant move without hurting someone somewhere our actions spin out of control and breed monstrous consequences which can come to dominate our own lives the ancient greeks knew all about marxs concept of alienation its just that they gave it the name of fate we are weaving our own inescapable destiny all the time and doing so through actions which are genuinely freep pthe good news is that free action to avert total collapse is still possible for us if only just we can take heart from the fact that not all stage tragedies end badly the first great piece of tragic art we have aeschyluss emoresteia emends on a positive note the blind beggarly oedipus is finally gathered to the gods while shakespearian tragedy usually ends with the tentative emergence of new life we come away from many a tragic drama remembering the dignity or defiance of those who go to their deaths not just their agonies a tragedy isnt always a piece of theatre which ends in total ruin its a situation in which you have to be broken and remade if youre to have any chance of redemption and even then there are no guarantees as the poet wb yeats writes nothing can be whole or solethat has not been rentp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whythewestwillcollapserefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whythewestwillcollapserefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202108f43fr3gr3g4e16291313319521300x154jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whythewestwillcollapserefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whythewestwillcollapserefinnarh5the west has lost its virtueh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whythewestwillcollapserefinnarspanbyspan paul kingsnorthapdivadiv pwe shall for instance weather covid but not reducing the planet to flood and desert is a different matter to avoid that we shall need to renounce the urge to power and possession which driven us so far and learn instead to live like the birds of the air and the lilies of the field that means undoing an awfully long history and history is what we mostly are made ofp pits true that people will do extraordinary things if the only alternative is to die certainly nothing short of such an alternative will cause governments and the transnational corporations to abandon their deathdealing habits but people will also do extraordinary things if they think they are going to die anyway such as murder rape loot and hunt for vengeancep pwe havent thought enough about what kind of existence we will have if doom becomes unavoidable people who have nothing to lose are dangerous i wouldnt like to be a racist cop if those ive beaten and humiliated know they can hang me from a lamp post without being put away for twenty years because the world wont last that long one thing is for sure being broken and remade rules out mere reformism reformism wouldnt have kept lear alive and it wont keep us alive eitherp pemterry eagleton is a visiting professor in english at lancaster university emp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtosurviveourtragedyappcommentsview 31 commentsa

pare living tragic age words climate change catastrophe comes ancient greek tragedy means sudden crisis turnabout bad way describing melting polar icecaps virus ancient greeks knew thing plague ridding city pestilence oedipus appointed king queen chris whittyp ptragedy recalls sense fragility value wouldnt mourn creatures didnt regard precious devastated death flea cynic unlikely lose sleep covid deaths indonesiap pif living tragedy collective greeks understood point chorus bunch ordinary citizens sing dance way tragic drama socialise disaster making affair patrician figures couldnt cook cobbler hero lives werent considered important fall greatest height biggest splashp pthe death achilles agamemnon momentous event sends shockwaves public realm passing slave private significance killing flea doesnt count historical event couldnt tragedy called emdeath salesmanemeven salesman ancient athens bizarre calling play emthe fall troy farce actsemp divdiv pnone class distinction survived emergence mass democracy political idea ironically born ancient greece 20th century far bloodiest years record tragedy universal develop weapons like bombs globalise suffering lamentation tattered old clich street push limit tragedy plumbing ibsens eman enemy peopleemp pone ancient greeks deepest fears hubris pride presumption leads overreach bring citizens thebes athens observed arrogance trembled looked fearfully skies aware comeuppance species dominates destroys natural habitat power acquisition reaping fruits overreachingp pthose like king lear taught lesson humanity frail sickeningly vulnerable driven animal need kings reduced vagrants lear wanders heath fools madmen acknowledge youre chance like lear oedipus hauled hell lear repentance comes late prevent death prove true humanity remains seen isnt looking goodp pthe problem hubris built human species live physical world world meaning able overreach time bodies build prosthesis known civilisation technology extension bodies escape mastery badgers squirrels contrast cant create weapons mass destruction theyre furtive cant extend far outside arent universal creatures squirrels california touch squirrels ukrainep pthis inability overreach means cant blow read marcel proust dont language lack language developed concepts keeps safe unclear warfare exception dolphins lessons able write jacob reesmoggp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptinessofevilrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptinessofevilrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202104gettyimages135860228e1618607124402300x160jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptinessofevilrefinnarspan authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptinessofevilrefinnarh5the emptiness evilh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104theemptinessofevilrefinnarspanbyspan terry eagletonapdivadiv pbeing linguistic animal blessing curse fact ancient term sacred means human beings live richly developed conceptual world create things danger slipping control taking tyrannical life having language means closer mere physical contact share inner lives love relationships consist mainly talking im missing somethingp pcivilisation freud claims product eros meaning creative drives problem eros source civilisation order build bridges cathedrals need harness power eross old enemy thanatos death drive death drive freud turned outwards subjugate nature way cities social orders built thanatos notoriously unreliable servant doesnt want subjugate things wants tear pieces orgy obscene enjoyment force intended overcome chaos secretly love anarchy lies heart authorityp ptragic figures arent exactly guilty arent exactly innocent deepdyed villains forfeit sympathy indifferent fate napoleon tragic figure hitler wasnt tragic heroes arent blameless tragic crisis results actions little intend itp poedipus described guilty innocent doesnt mean kill father marry mother contributes knowing network cause effect causes things occur past actions return plague alien form innocent wicked remarks protagonist william goldings novel emfree fallemwe guilty fall crawl hands knees weep tear otherp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whosetgreeceonfirerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whosetgreeceonfirerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021082gettyimages1234574825300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whosetgreeceonfirerefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whosetgreeceonfirerefinnarh5who set greece fireh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whosetgreeceonfirerefinnarspanbyspan aris roussinos apdivadiv pit climate change intended consequence billions individual acts turned ignition key car heaped shovelful coal fire idea wiping human race inspector clouseau guilty guiltyp pits christian idea original sin means sinful responsible tangled web human actions relationships cant hurting actions spin control breed monstrous consequences come dominate lives ancient greeks knew marxs concept alienation gave fate weaving inescapable destiny time actions genuinely freep pthe good news free action avert total collapse possible heart fact stage tragedies end badly great piece tragic art aeschylussemoresteiaemends positive note blind beggarly oedipus finally gathered gods shakespearian tragedy usually ends tentative emergence new life come away tragic drama remembering dignity defiance deaths agonies tragedy isnt piece theatre ends total ruin situation broken remade youre chance redemption guarantees poet wb yeats writes solethat rentp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whythewestwillcollapserefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whythewestwillcollapserefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202108f43fr3gr3g4e16291313319521300x154jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whythewestwillcollapserefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whythewestwillcollapserefinnarh5the west lost virtueh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202108whythewestwillcollapserefinnarspanbyspan paul kingsnorthapdivadiv pwe shall instance weather covid reducing planet flood desert different matter avoid shall need renounce urge power possession driven far learn instead live like birds air lilies field means undoing awfully long history history ofp pits true people extraordinary things alternative die certainly short alternative cause governments transnational corporations abandon deathdealing habits people extraordinary things think going die murder rape loot hunt vengeancep pwe havent thought kind existence doom unavoidable people lose dangerous wouldnt like racist cop ive beaten humiliated know hang lamp post away years world wont long thing sure broken remade rules mere reformism reformism wouldnt kept lear alive wont alive eitherp pemterry eagleton visiting professor english lancaster universityemp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtosurviveourtragedyappcommentsview 31 commentsa

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Which were the best eras to visit various places?

pfrancis quinn emails mep blockquotepim an american man 29 arrived in amsterdam for the first time yesterday and i am finding it to be the least crowded european city ive been to is this covidrelated possibly do you think or did the city used to be empty i even thought i was on a college campus almost im loving itp pim now thinking of a new question for tyler when was the best year to have visited various places from 19002100 past and present future possible travel times for all your readerspblockquote pgood idea lets put aside covid here are a few observationsp p1 the best time to visit the united states is now  the country keeps on getting better and more interesting most of all the latterp p2 new york city is a big exception here  it probably was more interesting to visit nyc in the 19501978 period when it was clearly the worlds leading city culturally and otherwisep p3 most of western europe probably was best to visit in the 1980s  modern enough to be comfortable less ruined by excess tourists and the internet doesnt really raise the value of europe much at all  note that i am putting aside visit in 1920 so you can be shocked by the novelty and then brag about it  that is an interesting plan but i think not the question at hand  and the danger of disease and poor medical care still would have been highp p4 much of eastern europe was best to visit right after the iron curtain came down  poland is an exception to this and it is best to visit poland nowp p5 for most of asia the best time to visit is right now  perhaps japan was more exciting in the bubble years  some parts of china were wrecked by the cultural revolution and hong kong was more fun before the takeover  china was freer and more fun ten to fifteen years ago  so there are exceptions but mostly the point stands  asia as a whole is getting better and more interestingp p6 for most of africa the best time to visit is right now wars aside  ethiopia for instance was obviously much better to visit a few years ago  i am not sure about nigeria  obviously for some anthropological or wildliferelated interests much earlier times might have been better but not for the typical educated touristp p7 right now is the best time to visit israel  i suspect some of the arab countries in the middle east were better to visit much earlier beirut and cairo for instance  yemen was clearly better to visit in the early 1990s  iran during the time of the shah  and so on  overall these points are not a promising sign for the region  dubai and the like are clearly best to visit nowp p8 most of latin america is best to visit now as the region remains largely unspoilt  brazil might be an exception to this though i have not been lately  some parts of brazil seem to be more dangerous and an earlier visit may well have been superior  ever see the movie a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvkktuepopu6a target_blankblack orpheusa set in riop p9 the 1960s were the best time to visit haitip pwhat elsep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whichwerethebesterastovisitvariousplaceshtmlwhich were the best eras to visit various placesa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pfrancis quinn emails mep blockquotepim american man 29 arrived amsterdam time yesterday finding crowded european city ive covidrelated possibly think city thought college campus im loving itp pim thinking new question tyler best year visited places 19002100 past present future possible travel times readerspblockquote pgood idea lets aside covid observationsp p1 best time visit united states country keeps getting better interesting latterp p2 new york city big exception probably interesting visit nyc 19501978 period clearly worlds leading city culturally otherwisep p3 western europe probably best visit 1980s modern comfortable ruined excess tourists internet doesnt raise value europe note putting aside visit 1920 shocked novelty brag interesting plan think question hand danger disease poor medical care highp p4 eastern europe best visit right iron curtain came poland exception best visit poland nowp p5 asia best time visit right japan exciting bubble years parts china wrecked cultural revolution hong kong fun takeover china freer fun years ago exceptions point stands asia getting better interestingp p6 africa best time visit right wars aside ethiopia instance obviously better visit years ago sure nigeria obviously anthropological wildliferelated interests earlier times better typical educated touristp p7 right best time visit israel suspect arab countries middle east better visit earlier beirut cairo instance yemen clearly better visit early 1990s iran time shah overall points promising sign region dubai like clearly best visit nowp p8 latin america best visit region remains largely unspoilt brazil exception lately parts brazil dangerous earlier visit superior movie relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvkktuepopu6a target_blankblack orpheusa set riop p9 1960s best time visit haitip pwhat elsep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whichwerethebesterastovisitvariousplaceshtmlwhich best eras visit placesa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Looking back at the remarkable history of the Nobel Prize from 1901-2021 using maps, charts, and tables

p p div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelmap2021pngx91208img alt width900 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelmap2021pngx91208 classwpimage1008612361 height551afigurediv div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelmap2021sizepngx91208img alt width768 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelmap2021sizepngx91208 classwpimage1008612362 height419afigurediv pas of today all of the 2021 nobel prizes have now been announced and this post reviews the remarkable history of the nobel prize from 19012021 using maps charts and tables to help summarize my ten most interesting observations about the nobel laureates by country geographical region gender religion research affiliation and age p paccording to the official a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnobelprizeorgnobel_prizesfacts target_blanknobel websitea 947 laureates from 80 different countries and 28 organizations have been awarded nobel prizes between 1901 and 2021 for a grand total of 975 nobel recipients individuals and organizations four individuals marie curie linus pauling john bardeen and frederick sanger and two organizations have been honored with nobel prizes more than once the international committee of the red cross and the united nations high commissioner for refugees which means that strong943 unique individualsstrong 885 men and 58 women and strong26 unique organizationsstrong have received the nobel prize in total p plooking back on the 121year history of nobel prizes here are my strongtop ten most interesting observations about nobel prizes and the 943 individual nobel laureatesstrong based on the maps above and the underlying data for laureates by country gender religion research affiliation and age p pstrong1 western countries dominate nobel awards strongthe top map above shows the number of nobel prizes awarded to laureates in eight geographical areas and one country south africa since that one country represents most of the awards for africa based on this a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikilist_of_nobel_laureates_by_country target_blanklist of nobel laureates by countrya the list includes a total of strong1174 country affiliations for nobel prize recipientsstrong because many of the 943 individual nobel laureates are listed for more than one country when the official nobel website mentions multiple countries for recipients usually the country of birth and the country where the laureate resides when the prize is awarded for example eight of the 13 nobel laureates this year have dualcountry affiliations david card for economics born in canada current affiliation is us joshua angrist for economics born in the us lived and taught in isreal current affiliation is the us guido imbens for economics born in the netherlands current affiliation is the us maria ressa for peace born in the philippines current affiliation is the us david macmillan for chemistry born in the us current affiliation is the us syukuro manabe for physics born in japan current affiliation is the us ardem patapoutian for medicine born in lebanon current affiliation is the us and abdulrazak gurnah for literature born in tanzania current affiliation is the uk p pone of the most interesting observations about the map above is that it shows that just two areas of the world stronga the us and canada 424 laureates and b western europe 507 laureates together represent 931 and nearly 80 of the 1174 country affiliations associated with nobel laureates since 1901strong when the 15 nobel laureates from australia and new zealand are included the share of nobel prizes awarded to laureates in western countries 946 increases to 806p pthe second map above is redrawn to reflect the relative size of each of eight major geographic areas based on their shares of nobel prizes received the proportional map helps to further illustrate graphically the dominance of uscanada and western europe for nobel laureates those two areas represent about 80 of the world mapp div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobeltopten20211pngx91208img alt width489 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobeltopten20211pngx91208 classwpimage1008612403 height342afigurediv pstrong2 top ten nobelwinning countries strongthe united states is by far the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikilist_of_nobel_laureates_by_country target_blankworlds leading country for receiving nobel prizesa with an astonishing strong398 laureates over the last 121 yearsstrong and 34 of all 1174 laureates which is almost three times more than the secondhighest ranked country the united kingdom with 136 awards see table above following the uk is germany at no 3 111 awards no 4 france 70 and sweden at no 5 tied with russiasoviet union 32 followed by no 6 japan with 29 nobel prizes canada with 28 awards switzerland with 27 and no 10 netherlands and austria tied with 22 awards p pto put americas dominance nobel prize dominance in perspective us laureates have received more nobel awards 398 than the 381 prizes awarded to laureates in the next five countries emcombined emuk germany france sweden and russiasoviet union to put the dominance of the top two countries in perspective laureates from the us and uk together have received 534 nobel prizes which is almost half 45 of all 1174 laureates since 1901 and individuals in the top three countries us uk and germany have together won 645 nobel prizes or nearly 55 of all awards p pheres a list of a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikilist_of_countries_by_nobel_laureates_per_capita target_blanknobel prizes per capitaa via wikipedia p pstrong3 latin america asia africa and the middle east strongtogether account for only 132 nobel prizes by country in total 112 of the 1174 total even though those areas together represent about 85 of the worlds populationp pstrong4 asiastrong laureates in asia alone have received 65 nobel prizes or 55 of the total prizes by country affiliation with nearly 55 of the worlds population nobel prizes for japanese laureates 29 represent slightly less than half of all asian awards followed by india 12 and china 8 adjusted for the huge population of asia more than 4 billion the number of asian laureates per 100 million of 176 is actually slightly lower than the number of african laureates per 100 million of 183 in contrast both the uscanada and western europe have been awarded more than strong100 nobel prizes per 100 million peoplestrong p pstrong5 middle east strongcountries in the middle east have received 24 nobel prizes with slightly more than half 13 of the awards in that region going to israeli laureates of the 24 nobel laureates from the middle east half 12 received either the literature 3 or peace prize 9 for the remaining 12 nobel prizes from that region in medicine chemistry physics and economics 9 of those laureates were israeli one was egyptian chemistry one was turkish chemistry and one was lebanese medicine p pstrong6 africa strongis the region of the world with the fewest nobel prize recipients only 22 in total and only 11 outside of south africa even though africa has a population of about 1 billion compared to only strong183 nobel prizes awarded per 100 million africansstrong within africa eastern africa has the fewest nobel laureates at only 046 per 100 million p pstrong7 jewish nobel laureatesstrong remarkably jews and people of jewish descent represent less than 020 of the worlds population but they represent 245 of all nobel laureates 231 out of 944 this year there are five jewish nobel laureates david julius medicine and joshua angrist economics p phere are the jewish a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikilist_of_jewish_nobel_laureates target_blankshares of the six individual nobel prizesap pstronga economicsstrong 35 out of 89 or 393 1965 times the jewish share of the populationbr strongb medicinestrong 57 out of 225 or 253 1265 times the jewish share of the populationbr strongc physicsstrong 59 out of 218 or 271 1353 times their share of the populationbr strongd chemistrystrong 35 out of 188 or 186 93 times their share of the populationbr stronge literaturestrong 15 out of 118 or 127 64 times their share of the populationbr strongf peacestrong 9 out of 109 or 83 41 times their share of the populationp div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelgender20211pngx91208img alt width444 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelgender20211pngx91208 classwpimage1008612400 height422afigurediv pstrong8 nobel laureates by genderstrong since 1901 885 men have been awarded nobel prizes compared to only 58 female laureates see chart above marie curie was honored twice she received the 1903 nobel prize in physics and the 1911 nobel prize in chemistry so 58 individual women have received a total of 59 nobel prizes by percentage men have received 938 of all nobel awards to individuals compared to a 62 share for women which is a malefemale nobel prize ratio of 151to1 by field women have received nobel prizes as followsp pstronga physics strong4brstrongb chemistrystrong 7brstrongc medicine strong12brstrongd literaturestrong 16brstronge peacestrong 18brstrongf economicsstrong 2p pnote that 34 of the 58 female laureates received a nobel prize for either literature or peace and those two categories together represent 586 of the total female nobel laureates this year only one of the 13 laureates is female maria ressa was awarded the peace prize the record for the most nobel prizes awarded to women in a single year was set in 2009 when there were five female laureates out of 13 total p div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobeltoptenaffiliationpngx91208img alt width485 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobeltoptenaffiliationpngx91208 classwpimage1008612394 height271afigurediv pstrong9 research affiliations of nobel laureatesstrong the table above shows the top ten a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnobelprizeorgprizesfactslistsaffiliationsphp target_blankresearch affiliations of nobel laureateas at the time of the announcement p div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelage20211pngx91208img alt width555 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelage20211pngx91208 classwpimage1008612395 height466afigurediv pstrong10 nobel prizes by agestrong nobel prizes have been awarded to laureates as young as 17year old malala yousafzai peace prize in 2014 and as old as 97year old john goodenough one of the winners of the 2019 nobel prize for chemistry and one year older than the previous oldest laureate arthur ashkin who shared the 2018 nobel prize in physics at age 96 based on the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpwwwnobelprizeorgnobel_prizeslistsagehtml target_blankfull list of laureates by agea the chart above shows the age distribution of the 943 nobel laureates whose median age was 60 years old when they received the nobel award by individual age there are more laureates who received a nobel prize at age 61 or 63 years 33 individuals for each age than any other age followed by ages 56 years 32 laureates and 60 years 31 laureates and 64 years 30 laureates the ages of this years 13 nobel laureates are 53 2 54 58 60 61 63 65 66 73 2 90 2 p pstrongbottom linestrong the united states along with western europe to a lesser extent have come under intense criticism in recent years especially from the left for a variety of supposed sins white supremacy colonialism toxic masculinity systemic racism patriarchy and the list goes on what doesnt get nearly as much attention appreciation or recognition are the scientific discoveries that disproportionately reflect the significant contributions of male scientists in america and western europe all seven of the sciencerelated nobel laureates this year in medicine physics and chemistry are males four in the us two from germany and one each from italy and the uk and that domination of male nobel laureates from the us and western europe has been consistent throughout the 121year history of the meritbased nobel prizes in the sciences p pits hard to know and measure exactly how much the ingenuity genius and innovative research of the hundreds of nobel laureates have contributed to advancing our collective standards of living but its likely significant in an era that lacks any sense of gratitude let me express my thanks to the contributions of nobel scientists who were acknowledged for their talents in a meritbased competition that hasnt yet been influenced by the growing woke mindset in the us obsessed with equity at the expense of merit but its predictable that the nobel prizes in the sciences will eventually if they arent already be criticized for being too male too white and too useuro centric with demands for greater diversity inclusion and equity die if and when that happens the integrity and tradition of nobel prizes in science will certainly die p pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemlookingbackattheremarkablehistoryofthenobelprizefrom19012021usingmapschartsandtableslooking back at the remarkable history of the nobel prize from 19012021 using maps charts and tablesa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

p p div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelmap2021pngx91208img alt width900 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelmap2021pngx91208 classwpimage1008612361 height551afigurediv div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelmap2021sizepngx91208img alt width768 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelmap2021sizepngx91208 classwpimage1008612362 height419afigurediv pas today 2021 nobel prizes announced post reviews remarkable history nobel prize 19012021 maps charts tables help summarize interesting observations nobel laureates country geographical region gender religion research affiliation age p paccording official relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnobelprizeorgnobel_prizesfacts target_blanknobel websitea 947 laureates 80 different countries 28 organizations awarded nobel prizes 1901 2021 grand total 975 nobel recipients individuals organizations individuals marie curie linus pauling john bardeen frederick sanger organizations honored nobel prizes international committee red cross united nations high commissioner refugees means strong943 unique individualsstrong 885 men 58 women strong26 unique organizationsstrong received nobel prize total p plooking 121year history nobel prizes mystrongtop interesting observations nobel prizes 943 individual nobel laureatesstrongbased maps underlying data laureates country gender religion research affiliation age p pstrong1 western countries dominate nobel awardsstrongthe map shows number nobel prizes awarded laureates geographical areas country south africa country represents awards africa based thisa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikilist_of_nobel_laureates_by_country target_blanklist nobel laureates countrya list includes total strong1174 country affiliations nobel prize recipientsstrong 943 individual nobel laureates listed country official nobel website mentions multiple countries recipients usually country birth country laureate resides prize awarded example 13 nobel laureates year dualcountry affiliations david card economics born canada current affiliation joshua angrist economics born lived taught isreal current affiliation guido imbens economics born netherlands current affiliation maria ressa peace born philippines current affiliation david macmillan chemistry born current affiliation syukuro manabe physics born japan current affiliation ardem patapoutian medicine born lebanon current affiliation abdulrazak gurnah literature born tanzania current affiliation uk p pone interesting observations map shows areas worldstronga canada 424 laureates b western europe 507 laureates represent 931 nearly 80 1174 country affiliations associated nobel laureates 1901strong 15 nobel laureates australia new zealand included share nobel prizes awarded laureates western countries 946 increases 806p pthe second map redrawn reflect relative size major geographic areas based shares nobel prizes received proportional map helps illustrate graphically dominance uscanada western europe nobel laureates areas represent 80 world mapp div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobeltopten20211pngx91208img alt width489 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobeltopten20211pngx91208 classwpimage1008612403 height342afigurediv pstrong2 nobelwinning countries strongthe united states far relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikilist_of_nobel_laureates_by_country target_blankworlds leading country receiving nobel prizesa astonishingstrong398 laureates 121 yearsstrong 34 1174 laureates times secondhighest ranked country united kingdom 136 awards table following uk germany 3 111 awards 4 france 70 sweden 5 tied russiasoviet union 32 followed 6 japan 29 nobel prizes canada 28 awards switzerland 27 10 netherlands austria tied 22 awards p pto americas dominance nobel prize dominance perspective laureates received nobel awards 398 381 prizes awarded laureates countries emcombined emuk germany france sweden russiasoviet union dominance countries perspective laureates uk received 534 nobel prizes half 45 1174 laureates 1901 individuals countries uk germany won 645 nobel prizes nearly 55 awards p pheres list relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikilist_of_countries_by_nobel_laureates_per_capita target_blanknobel prizes capitaa wikipedia p pstrong3 latin america asia africa middle eaststrongtogether account 132 nobel prizes country total 112 1174 total areas represent 85 worlds populationp pstrong4 asiastrong laureates asia received 65 nobel prizes 55 total prizes country affiliation nearly 55 worlds population nobel prizes japanese laureates 29 represent slightly half asian awards followed india 12 china 8 adjusted huge population asia 4 billion number asian laureates 100 million 176 actually slightly lower number african laureates 100 million 183 contrast uscanada western europe awarded strong100 nobel prizes 100 million peoplestrong p pstrong5 middle east strongcountries middle east received 24 nobel prizes slightly half 13 awards region going israeli laureates 24 nobel laureates middle east half 12 received literature 3 peace prize 9 remaining 12 nobel prizes region medicine chemistry physics economics 9 laureates israeli egyptian chemistry turkish chemistry lebanese medicine p pstrong6 africa strongis region world fewest nobel prize recipients 22 total 11 outside south africa africa population 1 billion compared strong183 nobel prizes awarded 100 million africansstrong africa eastern africa fewest nobel laureates 046 100 million p pstrong7 jewish nobel laureatesstrong remarkably jews people jewish descent represent 020 worlds population represent 245 nobel laureates 231 944 year jewish nobel laureates david julius medicine joshua angrist economics p phere jewish relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikilist_of_jewish_nobel_laureates target_blankshares individual nobel prizesap pstronga economicsstrong 35 89 393 1965 times jewish share populationbr strongb medicinestrong 57 225 253 1265 times jewish share populationbr strongc physicsstrong 59 218 271 1353 times share populationbr strongd chemistrystrong 35 188 186 93 times share populationbr stronge literaturestrong 15 118 127 64 times share populationbr strongf peacestrong 9 109 83 41 times share populationp div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelgender20211pngx91208img alt width444 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelgender20211pngx91208 classwpimage1008612400 height422afigurediv pstrong8 nobel laureates genderstrong 1901 885 men awarded nobel prizes compared 58 female laureates chart marie curie honored twice received 1903 nobel prize physics 1911 nobel prize chemistry 58 individual women received total 59 nobel prizes percentage men received 938 nobel awards individuals compared 62 share women malefemale nobel prize ratio 151to1 field women received nobel prizes followsp pstronga physics strong4brstrongb chemistrystrong 7brstrongc medicine strong12brstrongd literaturestrong 16brstronge peacestrong 18brstrongf economicsstrong 2p pnote 34 58 female laureates received nobel prize literature peace categories represent 586 total female nobel laureates year 13 laureates female maria ressa awarded peace prize record nobel prizes awarded women single year set 2009 female laureates 13 total p div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobeltoptenaffiliationpngx91208img alt width485 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobeltoptenaffiliationpngx91208 classwpimage1008612394 height271afigurediv pstrong9 research affiliations nobel laureatesstrong table shows thetop relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnobelprizeorgprizesfactslistsaffiliationsphp target_blankresearch affiliations nobel laureateas time announcement p div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelage20211pngx91208img alt width555 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110nobelage20211pngx91208 classwpimage1008612395 height466afigurediv pstrong10 nobel prizes agestrong nobel prizes awarded laureates young 17year old malala yousafzai peace prize 2014 old 97year old john goodenough winners 2019 nobel prize chemistry year older previous oldest laureate arthur ashkin shared 2018 nobel prize physics age 96 based thea relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpwwwnobelprizeorgnobel_prizeslistsagehtml target_blankfull list laureates agea chart shows age distribution 943 nobel laureates median age 60 years old received nobel award individual age laureates received nobel prize age 61 63 years 33 individuals age age followed ages 56 years 32 laureates 60 years 31 laureates 64 years 30 laureates ages years 13 nobel laureates 53 2 54 58 60 61 63 65 66 73 2 90 2 p pstrongbottom linestrong united states western europe lesser extent come intense criticism recent years especially left variety supposed sins white supremacy colonialism toxic masculinity systemic racism patriarchy list goes doesnt nearly attention appreciation recognition scientific discoveries disproportionately reflect significant contributions male scientists america western europe seven sciencerelated nobel laureates year medicine physics chemistry males germany italy uk domination male nobel laureates western europe consistent 121year history meritbased nobel prizes sciences p pits hard know measure exactly ingenuity genius innovative research hundreds nobel laureates contributed advancing collective standards living likely significant era lacks sense gratitude let express thanks contributions nobel scientists acknowledged talents meritbased competition hasnt influenced growing woke mindset obsessed equity expense merit predictable nobel prizes sciences eventually arent criticized male white useuro centric demands greater diversity inclusion equity die happens integrity tradition nobel prizes science certainly die p pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemlookingbackattheremarkablehistoryofthenobelprizefrom19012021usingmapschartsandtableslooking remarkable history nobel prize 19012021 maps charts tablesa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

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The Tories can save Blue Labour

pspanwhen even an inveterate social and economic liberal like boris johnson can give a speech at the conservative party conference railing against big business and invoking a paternalist high tory dirigisme as the governing ideology of the new era it is a sign of a historic shift in the tectonic plates of politics when the partys neoliberal faction whose decadeslong hostile takeover of british conservatism had until now reigned unchallenged is spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211009shouldclassicalliberalsabandonhopeconservativeparty target_blankspanreduced to mourning its new political marginalisationspanaspan we can celebrate the end of a disastrous era and the dawning of another its as if postliberalism has won the political argument we are all postliberals now spanp pspanwhat was a few short years ago the preserve of marginal discontents is now the hegemonic discourse it is the liberals who are on the back foot dreaming up spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompolitics201908whyliberalsnowbelieveinconspiracies target_blankspanevermore elaborate conspiracy theoriesspanaspan to explain the collapse of their ideology  spanp pspanyet britains most prominent postliberal theorists are not claiming victory and are instead mourning their defeat in a plaintive spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsconservatives202109isborisjohnsonsgovernmentreallybluelabour target_blankspanrecent essayspanaspan blue labours jonathan rutherford has claimed that we imagined blue labour was about renewal but in hindsight it was already too late one thinks of the owl of minerva taking flight only with the falling of dusk for rutherford labour no longer possesses the intellectual and philosophical resources for a political renaissance and it does not look beyond itself to acquire themspanp divdiv pspaninstead of seizing this historic moment the labour party has lost itself in the abstruse theological disputes of a liberalism increasingly unmoored from reality and become ever more feverish in policing its ideological purity as its voter base vanishes into historyspanp pspanto understand the sense of gloom pervading british postliberalism we must return to its diagnosis of the wests political crisis the argument is this liberalism contains within its essential nature the seeds of its own destruction by dividing communities social and economic classes and nations into a constellation of individuals warring among each other in search of selfadvantage liberalism negates any possibility of collective action or solidarity essentially a northwest european secular heresy derived from the protestant reformation liberalism seeks to spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsciencedirectcomsciencearticleabspiis0030438713000537 target_blankspanremake the world in its own imagespanaspan projecting its own ideal form onto utterly different societies in a mission as doomed to failure as americas wars in the islamic world spanp pspanin its purest economic form liberalism the ideological nursemaid of capitalism destroys its social and fiscal base in pursuit of an idealist model with disastrous results it is increasingly rejected by voters across most of the western world and yet it hangs on to tenuous political power through its capture of the economic elites aware of their slipping grasp on power encircled by enemies liberals have retreated into fundamentalist fervour fighting spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwdissentmagazineorgonline_articlesliberalsagainstdemocracy target_blankspana rearguard battle against democracyspanaspan while enforcing purity within their own ranks this is why we are mired in the culture wars this is why we are trapped in an increasingly heated political interregnum and this is why political crisis has become endemic across the west the rulers have lost the consent of the ruled even when the insurgents win elections they have no control over the actuallyexisting levers of powerspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages906982786scaled1300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarh5how france conquered europeh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarspanbyspan aris roussinosapdivadiv pspanit is in this context that the blue labour theorist adrian pabst has published spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncoukpostliberalmomentmanifestopostpandemicpoliticsdp1509546804 target_blankispanpostliberal politics the coming era of renewalspaniaispanspanispan which functions as an excellent introductory guide to postliberal thought for wavering liberals and a warning to current postliberals to shun the temptations of authoritarianism spanp pspanfor pabst too the covid era transpired to be a false dawn for postliberalism as the winners of the shutdown were tech oligarchs such as amazon google or chinas alibaba while familyowned businesses folded and innercity shops were boarded up instead of ushering in the postliberal moment then the new normal is largely an intensification of the forces that dominated the old status quo capitalism nationalism and technocracy instead of resolving the interregnum politics seems caught in an impassespanp pspanin setting out his stall pabst outlines the failings of a zombie liberalism still holding onto power in which a dominant class prefers a world of individual atomized exchange underwritten by an ideology of globalism and where  democracy and citizenship are debased and become merely functional arrangements to advance the interests of a new cosmopolitan class spanp pspanyet the most striking aspect of pabsts book is not his rejection of liberalism but rather his rejection of existing rightist strands of postliberalism most notably spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwdissentmagazineorgarticleamongthepostliberals target_blankspantheir american incarnationspanaspan the dominant theme of pabsts book is one of preserving postliberalisms position as a strand of leftwing thought which upholds the genuine achievements of liberalism a socially conservative branch of socialism rather than an economically interventionist faction of conservatism spanp pspanfor pabst it is the rightist selfstyled postliberals who are the enemy within behind their version of left on the economy and right on culture he argues lurk forms of statism and moralism that will do nothing to secure shared prosperity or plural societies pabst warns that postliberalism is too often associated with a politics that is antiliberal and antimodern animated by a reactionary desire to roll back the new rights of minorities and to return to social and political exclusion along the axes of race sex or classspanp pspantaking aim at the idealised spanispanmitteleuropaspanispan of prominent american conservative intellectuals pabst argues that while hungary and poland are superficially attractive for managing to combine spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtandfonlinecomdoiabs1010801356346720191639146 target_blankspana protectionist statespanaspan with spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwvicecomenarticlea3bgpghowhungarysorbaniswinningsupportbyoutsocializingthesocialists target_blankspanprofamily welfare and education policiesspanaspan in reality they are largely reliant on fiscal dumping and deregulation to attract foreign capital while sliding into authoritarian nationalism that undermines constitutional freedoms spanp pspanwhat may look postliberal turns out to be mostly antiliberal warns pabst arguing that behind the simplistic slogan left on the economy and right on culture lurks an admiration for a politics of state control and the rule of strongmen an authoritarianism sliding into novel forms of fascism in which authoritarian systems extend state surveillance into all spheres of societal and personal life coopting any independent movement and persecuting nonconformist groups spanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom201912allhailkingborisrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom201912allhailkingborisrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads201912gettyimages1180314863300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom201912allhailkingborisrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom201912allhailkingborisrefinnarh5all hail good king borish5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom201912allhailkingborisrefinnarspanbyspan maurice glasmanapdivadiv pspanyet the obvious retort is of course that this system of surveillance and enforced conformity is a perfect description of actuallyexisting liberalism at least in its deranged 21spanspanstspanspancentury incarnation for the unfortunate reality for a viable leftwing postliberalism is that as rutherford laments it is an entirely marginal force on the political left even blue labours relatively anodyne platform of workerled cooperatives state support for family formation reshoring vital industries and enforcing currentlyexisting immigration laws sees them consistently spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202011whyistheleftcallingmeafascist target_blankspancalled fascistsspanaspan or even nazis by their own partys activist base spanp pspana wild and paranoid spana relnoopener hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoi1011111467923x13063 target_blankspanrecent reviewspanaspan of pabsts book illustrates the problem the truth is writes the reviewer that he has hitched his wagon to the postliberal narrative of the nationalpopulist right assiduously promoted by the spanispanunherdspanispan website whose editors and contributors formed the core participants at the windsor castle symposium acknowledged in pabsts preface as the inspiration for his book spanp pspani should probably add here that i attended this conference and while membership of some secretive reactionary cabal under royal patronage would be a gratifying experience it is as divorced from reality as the rest of the review which is a classic example of the conspiratorial hysteria with which ageing liberals console themselves for the collapse of their ideological dreamworldspanp pspandespite pabst taking great pains to demarcate a leftwing postliberal space from that of the national populist right the reviewer goes on and on and on to claim that he cant resist the temptation to promote nationalpopulist and altright conspiracy theories about the fusion of woke capitalism with extreme identity politics that postliberalism is a rightwing nationalist project seeking to incorporate and hegemonise sections of the left by splitting it from its social liberal base spanp pspanif this is the left among which blue labour aims to carve out a postliberal movement then the project surely has little chance of success with labour so internally divided and further from power than they have been in decades the chances of guiding the party towards a humane postliberal ethos and then leading it to electoral victory seem impossibly remote so why waste time on a failing political party whose activists hate you and everything you stand for spanp pspanthis is the essential conundrum of blue labour and the reason for its perpetual marginalisation postliberals should leave political tribalism to americans politics is simply the means to reshape the state in your image and parties are merely useful vessels to do so logically the conclusion is that the only current means of shaping british politics is as a faction within the ruling conservative party whose dominance of british politics is unchallenged it is already making postliberal noises to anchor its new hold on the postindustrial north without any serious intellectual direction or engagement spanp pspanwhether we like it or not postliberalisms greatest opportunity to sway the course of politics is on the centreright and the road to doing so is through ideological capture of the states institutions just as the neoliberals did forty years ago spanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom201911apostliberalreadinglistrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom201911apostliberalreadinglistrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads201911gettyimages1188024899300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom201911apostliberalreadinglistrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom201911apostliberalreadinglistrefinnarh5a postliberal reading listh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom201911apostliberalreadinglistrefinnarspanbyspan giles fraserapdivadiv pspanthe key to victory is surely to utilise the power of the state through democratic means to break the antidemocratic liberal hold on the political system and advance postliberalism from a matter of debate among a tiny handful of academics and writers to a functioning political programme yet pabst with a watchful eye on the authoritarian statism of china and russia and on the spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcairnintinfoarticlee_etu_4259_0009illiberaldemocraciesincentraleuropehtm target_blankspanilliberal democracyspanaspan of hungary and poland views the untapped power of leviathan with alarm unmediated state sovereignty on the model of machiavellis prince or hobbes leviathan risks authoritarian control at home and anarchy abroad he warns  so the challenge before us is to turn the existing platforms into public utilities owned by the people not the state and to run them as mutuals with private providers competing on the provision of services spanp pspanthese are noble goals and a vast improvement on the alternatives yet there is an avoidance of the practical path towards implementing them spanispanhowspanispan do you break the power of global corporations and the tech oligarchs spanispanhowspanispan do you unprise the grasp of what pabst terms the sham clerisy who dominate much of the media education and the civil service on the national institutions they have commandeered for themselves spanp pspanlittle platoons however right and just their cause can function only within a broader army structure to nurture and guide them the only viable means to victory then is surely by employing the power of the state just as the neoliberals did and the most realistic means of doing so is through spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmsnbccomopinionjdvanceslatestfoxnewsstuntfarleftn1280480 target_blankspancentrerightspanaspan the managerialtechnocratic labour party which has junked the economic radicalism of the corbyn manifesto while doubling down on liberal identity politics certainly doesnt intend to spanp pspanif postliberals do not do this authoritarians will as we see in chinas crackdown on spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesgeorgecalhoun20210624whatreallyhappenedtojackmash1712fee17c7e target_blankspanoligarchs like ali babas jack maspanaspan and spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwiredcoukarticlechinatechgiantspolicy target_blankspanon tech platformsspanaspan paradoxical though it may seem the path to a radical localism surely lies through a resurgent state which must then give away the power it has reluctantly assumed to bring about necessary reform it is as if postliberals have adopted the teleological assumptions of liberals that the arc of history will drop power into their laps without also adopting their hunger for power and their willingness to use the state to achieve itspanp pspanpabst is correct to state that both the conservative party and the republicans remain beholden to capital and superficially adopt postliberal language to win popular support while continuing disastrous liberal policies yet there are reasons for hope as the marxist italian sociologist paolo gerbado observes in his new book spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwversobookscombooks3774thegreatrecoil target_blankispanthe great recoilspanispanspanaspan the new statism is a distinct phenomenon from the crude populisms of the decades first half and is still a malleable force waiting to be shaped spanp pspanthe task of doing so can be taken up by either right or left or by a postliberal synthesis of the two younger conservatives in america as defined in spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtabletmagcomsectionsnewsarticlesthenewmillennialamericanright target_blankspanpark mcdougalds incisive surveyspanaspan of the new millennial right as the conservative analogue of millennial socialism are frustrated with the politics of their elders and want a more solidaristic conservatism that is less libertarian both culturally and economically and in some ways less liberal in time they will capture the institutions of conservatism just as in time the millennial socialists will capture those of the democrats spanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1233914758scalede1633965805482copy300x158jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarh5the tories can save blue labourh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarspanbyspan giles fraserapdivadiv pspanin britain too much of the energy on the younger right is towards forging a confident developmentalist conservative state that corrects the most harmful errors of liberalism and spreads economic growth and social solidarity across every corner of the nation time may be on the postliberals side in the long term but only if they do not waste todays narrow window of opportunity on either preaching to the unconvertible or shrinking from their most viable path to powerspanp pspanthroughout his book pabst diagnoses the problems with unerring accuracy yet avoids the obvious conclusion there is a missing element the spanispanhowspanispan by which postliberalism triumphs a war only ends when one side wins decisively postliberals are unwilling to deliver the final blow instead mourning their ostracisation from a rump political left which despises them as existential enemies spanp pspanwithout a constantine to convert without the power of a rome behind them postliberals will find themselves trapped in the political catacombs forever meekly hiding from a savaging in the amphitheatre they cannot convert the liberal clerisy from within they will be forced to defeat them from without before authoritarians do the gap between conservative and socialist postliberals has always been largely cosmetic perhaps the future of blue labour now lies in shaping a dirigiste paternalist and communitarian red toryismspanp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourappcommentsview 3 commentsa

pspanwhen inveterate social economic liberal like boris johnson speech conservative party conference railing big business invoking paternalist high tory dirigisme governing ideology new era sign historic shift tectonic plates politics partys neoliberal faction decadeslong hostile takeover british conservatism reigned unchallenged spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcouknews20211009shouldclassicalliberalsabandonhopeconservativeparty target_blankspanreduced mourning new political marginalisationspanaspan celebrate end disastrous era dawning postliberalism won political argument postliberals nowspanp pspanwhat short years ago preserve marginal discontents hegemonic discourse liberals foot dreaming spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompolitics201908whyliberalsnowbelieveinconspiracies target_blankspanevermore elaborate conspiracy theoriesspanaspan explain collapse ideologyspanp pspanyet britains prominent postliberal theorists claiming victory instead mourning defeat plaintive spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsconservatives202109isborisjohnsonsgovernmentreallybluelabour target_blankspanrecent essayspanaspan blue labours jonathan rutherford claimed imagined blue labour renewal hindsight late thinks owl minerva taking flight falling dusk rutherford labour longer possesses intellectual philosophical resources political renaissance look acquire themspanp divdiv pspaninstead seizing historic moment labour party lost abstruse theological disputes liberalism increasingly unmoored reality feverish policing ideological purity voter base vanishes historyspanp pspanto understand sense gloom pervading british postliberalism return diagnosis wests political crisis argument liberalism contains essential nature seeds destruction dividing communities social economic classes nations constellation individuals warring search selfadvantage liberalism negates possibility collective action solidarity essentially northwest european secular heresy derived protestant reformation liberalism seeks spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsciencedirectcomsciencearticleabspiis0030438713000537 target_blankspanremake world imagespanaspan projecting ideal form utterly different societies mission doomed failure americas wars islamic worldspanp pspanin purest economic form liberalism ideological nursemaid capitalism destroys social fiscal base pursuit idealist model disastrous results increasingly rejected voters western world hangs tenuous political power capture economic elites aware slipping grasp power encircled enemies liberals retreated fundamentalist fervour fighting spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwdissentmagazineorgonline_articlesliberalsagainstdemocracy target_blankspana rearguard battle democracyspanaspan enforcing purity ranks mired culture wars trapped increasingly heated political interregnum political crisis endemic west rulers lost consent ruled insurgents win elections control actuallyexisting levers powerspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages906982786scaled1300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarh5how france conquered europeh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfranceconqueredeuroperefinnarspanbyspan aris roussinosapdivadiv pspanit context blue labour theorist adrian pabst published spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncoukpostliberalmomentmanifestopostpandemicpoliticsdp1509546804 target_blankispanpostliberal politics coming era renewalspaniaispanspanispan functions excellent introductory guide postliberal thought wavering liberals warning current postliberals shun temptations authoritarianismspanp pspanfor pabst covid era transpired false dawn postliberalism winners shutdown tech oligarchs amazon google chinas alibaba familyowned businesses folded innercity shops boarded instead ushering postliberal moment new normal largely intensification forces dominated old status quo capitalism nationalism technocracy instead resolving interregnum politics caught impassespanp pspanin setting stall pabst outlines failings zombie liberalism holding power dominant class prefers world individual atomized exchange underwritten ideology globalism democracy citizenship debased merely functional arrangements advance interests new cosmopolitan classspanp pspanyet striking aspect pabsts book rejection liberalism rejection existing rightist strands postliberalism notably spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwdissentmagazineorgarticleamongthepostliberals target_blankspantheir american incarnationspanaspan dominant theme pabsts book preserving postliberalisms position strand leftwing thought upholds genuine achievements liberalism socially conservative branch socialism economically interventionist faction conservatismspanp pspanfor pabst rightist selfstyled postliberals enemy version left economy right culture argues lurk forms statism moralism secure shared prosperity plural societies pabst warns postliberalism associated politics antiliberal antimodern animated reactionary desire roll new rights minorities return social political exclusion axes race sex classspanp pspantaking aim idealised spanispanmitteleuropaspanispan prominent american conservative intellectuals pabst argues hungary poland superficially attractive managing combine spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtandfonlinecomdoiabs1010801356346720191639146 target_blankspana protectionist statespanaspan spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwvicecomenarticlea3bgpghowhungarysorbaniswinningsupportbyoutsocializingthesocialists target_blankspanprofamily welfare education policiesspanaspan reality largely reliant fiscal dumping deregulation attract foreign capital sliding authoritarian nationalism undermines constitutional freedomsspanp pspanwhat look postliberal turns antiliberal warns pabst arguing simplistic slogan left economy right culture lurks admiration politics state control rule strongmen authoritarianism sliding novel forms fascism authoritarian systems extend state surveillance spheres societal personal life coopting independent movement persecuting nonconformist groupsspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom201912allhailkingborisrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom201912allhailkingborisrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads201912gettyimages1180314863300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom201912allhailkingborisrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom201912allhailkingborisrefinnarh5all hail good king borish5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom201912allhailkingborisrefinnarspanbyspan maurice glasmanapdivadiv pspanyet obvious retort course system surveillance enforced conformity perfect description actuallyexisting liberalism deranged 21spanspanstspanspancentury incarnation unfortunate reality viable leftwing postliberalism rutherford laments entirely marginal force political left blue labours relatively anodyne platform workerled cooperatives state support family formation reshoring vital industries enforcing currentlyexisting immigration laws sees consistently spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202011whyistheleftcallingmeafascist target_blankspancalled fascistsspanaspan nazis partys activist basespanp pspana wild paranoid spana relnoopener hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoi1011111467923x13063 target_blankspanrecent reviewspanaspan pabsts book illustrates problem truth writes reviewer hitched wagon postliberal narrative nationalpopulist right assiduously promoted spanispanunherdspanispan website editors contributors formed core participants windsor castle symposium acknowledged pabsts preface inspiration bookspanp pspani probably add attended conference membership secretive reactionary cabal royal patronage gratifying experience divorced reality rest review classic example conspiratorial hysteria ageing liberals console collapse ideological dreamworldspanp pspandespite pabst taking great pains demarcate leftwing postliberal space national populist right reviewer goes claim cant resist temptation promote nationalpopulist altright conspiracy theories fusion woke capitalism extreme identity politics postliberalism rightwing nationalist project seeking incorporate hegemonise sections left splitting social liberal basespanp pspanif left blue labour aims carve postliberal movement project surely little chance success labour internally divided power decades chances guiding party humane postliberal ethos leading electoral victory impossibly remote waste time failing political party activists hate stand forspanp pspanthis essential conundrum blue labour reason perpetual marginalisation postliberals leave political tribalism americans politics simply means reshape state image parties merely useful vessels logically conclusion current means shaping british politics faction ruling conservative party dominance british politics unchallenged making postliberal noises anchor new hold postindustrial north intellectual direction engagementspanp pspanwhether like postliberalisms greatest opportunity sway course politics centreright road ideological capture states institutions neoliberals years agospanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom201911apostliberalreadinglistrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom201911apostliberalreadinglistrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads201911gettyimages1188024899300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom201911apostliberalreadinglistrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom201911apostliberalreadinglistrefinnarh5a postliberal reading listh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom201911apostliberalreadinglistrefinnarspanbyspan giles fraserapdivadiv pspanthe key victory surely utilise power state democratic means break antidemocratic liberal hold political system advance postliberalism matter debate tiny handful academics writers functioning political programme pabst watchful eye authoritarian statism china russia spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcairnintinfoarticlee_etu_4259_0009illiberaldemocraciesincentraleuropehtm target_blankspanilliberal democracyspanaspan hungary poland views untapped power leviathan alarm unmediated state sovereignty model machiavellis prince hobbes leviathan risks authoritarian control home anarchy abroad warns challenge turn existing platforms public utilities owned people state run mutuals private providers competing provision servicesspanp pspanthese noble goals vast improvement alternatives avoidance practical path implementing spanispanhowspanispan break power global corporations tech oligarchs spanispanhowspanispan unprise grasp pabst terms sham clerisy dominate media education civil service national institutions commandeered themselvesspanp pspanlittle platoons right cause function broader army structure nurture guide viable means victory surely employing power state neoliberals realistic means spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmsnbccomopinionjdvanceslatestfoxnewsstuntfarleftn1280480 target_blankspancentrerightspanaspan managerialtechnocratic labour party junked economic radicalism corbyn manifesto doubling liberal identity politics certainly doesnt intend tospanp pspanif postliberals authoritarians chinas crackdown spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesgeorgecalhoun20210624whatreallyhappenedtojackmash1712fee17c7e target_blankspanoligarchs like ali babas jack maspanaspan spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwiredcoukarticlechinatechgiantspolicy target_blankspanon tech platformsspanaspan paradoxical path radical localism surely lies resurgent state away power reluctantly assumed bring necessary reform postliberals adopted teleological assumptions liberals arc history drop power laps adopting hunger power willingness use state achieve itspanp pspanpabst correct state conservative party republicans remain beholden capital superficially adopt postliberal language win popular support continuing disastrous liberal policies reasons hope marxist italian sociologist paolo gerbado observes new book spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwversobookscombooks3774thegreatrecoil target_blankispanthe great recoilspanispanspanaspan new statism distinct phenomenon crude populisms decades half malleable force waiting shapedspanp pspanthe task taken right left postliberal synthesis younger conservatives america defined spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtabletmagcomsectionsnewsarticlesthenewmillennialamericanright target_blankspanpark mcdougalds incisive surveyspanaspan new millennial right conservative analogue millennial socialism frustrated politics elders want solidaristic conservatism libertarian culturally economically ways liberal time capture institutions conservatism time millennial socialists capture democratsspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1233914758scalede1633965805482copy300x158jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarh5the tories save blue labourh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourrefinnarspanbyspan giles fraserapdivadiv pspanin britain energy younger right forging confident developmentalist conservative state corrects harmful errors liberalism spreads economic growth social solidarity corner nation time postliberals long term waste todays narrow window opportunity preaching unconvertible shrinking viable path powerspanp pspanthroughout book pabst diagnoses problems unerring accuracy avoids obvious conclusion missing element spanispanhowspanispan postliberalism triumphs war ends wins decisively postliberals unwilling deliver final blow instead mourning ostracisation rump political left despises existential enemiesspanp pspanwithout constantine convert power rome postliberals find trapped political catacombs forever meekly hiding savaging amphitheatre convert liberal clerisy forced defeat authoritarians gap conservative socialist postliberals largely cosmetic future blue labour lies shaping dirigiste paternalist communitarian red toryismspanp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thetoriescansavebluelabourappcommentsview 3 commentsa

61652b8d15a119331115cc48

How the Republicans can steal Virginia

pdemocrats are worried they are worried about the presidents plunging approval ratings they are worried about their stalled legislative agenda they are worried about the public reaction to the withdrawal from afghanistan about the pandemic the economy inflation the southern border and they are also worried about virginiap pold dominion has been getting steadily bluer for years its been twelve years since a republican has won a statewide race here joe biden romped home by ten points last november while trumps 44 vote share in 2020 was the worst performance by a republican presidential candidate in the state since 1968 virginia was starting to look like it might be out of the republican partys reach and that is what makes its upcoming offcycle gubernatorial election such a perilous electoral test an upset loss next month would be taken as an ominous sign of things to come it would bring back memories of 2009 when a republican win in virginia brought democrats down to earth with a thud after obamas election and presaged carnage in the following years midtermsp pthis years badblooded expensive fiercely fought contest between democrat terry mcauliffe and republican glenn youngkin has all the hallmarks of a tight race polls give mcauliffe a relnoopener hrefhttpsprojectsfivethirtyeightcompollsgovernorvirginia target_blanka lead in the low single digitsa virginians are faced with two candidates cut from the same cloth both are members of the washington elite both are residents of large suburban mansions in upmarket mclean just across the potomac from dcp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canthesouthescapeitsdemonsrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canthesouthescapeitsdemonsrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1052872664scalede1633255105610300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canthesouthescapeitsdemonsrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canthesouthescapeitsdemonsrefinnarh5can the south escape its demonsh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canthesouthescapeitsdemonsrefinnarspanbyspan joel kotkinapdivadiv pin many ways mcauliffe seems closer to a parody of a democratic insider than the real thing he first made a name for himself in the famously salubrious world of clinton fundraising in 1996 he drummed up 275 million for the clintons in 1999 the emnew york timesem a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom19991212usfriendshipcountsclintonstopfundraisermadelotsforhimselftoohtml target_blankdescribeda him as bills closest and most loyal washington friend al gore has described him as the greatest fundraiser in the history of the universep pmcauliffe now worth tens of millions of dollars wasnt shy about what was in it for him in an interview for that emtimesem article he boasted that i met all of my business contacts through politics and said that there was no question that his business associates dealt with him in part because of his close ties to the presidentp ponce he was safely ensconced in washingtons selfenriching selfregarding and selfsustaining network of political professionals a status confirmed by a stint as chair of the democratic national committee mcauliffe sought elected office after a failed run for virginia governor in 2009 he succeeded in 2013 virginia prohibits consecutive terms for its governor hence mcauliffes fouryear break before this years runp pthe once and future governor looked exactly as at home as you would expect on a recent weekend campaign stop in fairfax county northern virginia a wealthy part of the state mcauliffe must have squeezed tens of millions out of in campaign contributions over the years these dc suburbs have turned from red to blue and are supposed to form a bulwark against the republicans who fare much better in the states rural south and westp pas mcauliffes party has gone upmarket socioeconomically it has shifted leftwards ideologically in a garden full of khakiclad suburbanites who all seem to know him as terry the crowd dutifully outdoor masking on a sunny earlyautumn afternoon mcauliffe nodded along as a warmup speaker explains that climate change is a womens rights issuep pbut that leftwards drift is proving a problem on the ground in virginia one member of the crowd deetzie bayliss is running as a virginia house of delegates in a heavily republican area she tells me that the d next to her name is a turnoff for too many independents you seem like youd do a good job she says one voter told her recently but i see that letter and i think of nancy pelosi so im afraid i cant vote for youp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109hascanadaturnedintocaliforniarefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202109hascanadaturnedintocaliforniarefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021092gettyimages12345532551300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109hascanadaturnedintocaliforniarefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109hascanadaturnedintocaliforniarefinnarh5gavin newsoms hollow victoryh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109hascanadaturnedintocaliforniarefinnarspanbyspan marshall auerbackapdivadiv pwhen it is mcauliffes turn to speak he trots out his accomplishments in his first term as governor but is at his most enthusiastic when he reminds the audience that his opponent belongs to the same party as donald trumpp pyou all know i am running against a trump wannabe said mcauliffe to polite boos before painting a dystopian picture of virginia under republican rule mcauliffe likes to refer to his opponent as glenn trumpkin and whenever they meet to debate accuses him of being a minitrumpp pin both demeanour and platform however glenn youngkin is a far cry from the former president he is softly spoken where trump is brash and seems determined to avoid controversy rather than seek it out like a homing missile youngkin does describe himself as an outsider he declares in his twitter bio that he is not a politician but while it is true that he has never held elected office before the claim nonetheless stretches credulityp puntil recently youngkin was the ceo of the carlyle group he spent 25 years at the dcbased private equity firm and has the ninedigit net worth and a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwesquirecomstylemensfashiona22089261midtownuniformvestbusinessstyle target_blankfleece vest collectiona to prove it his attacks on washington are more than a little undermined by his ascent to the top of the business world in the city that shares its name with that term of abuse like his opponent then he is a throwback to a previous era in his partys development in his case a more buttonedup establishment brand of conservatism albeit with an added sprinkling of populismp pif mcauliffes challenge is to defy the presidents plummeting ratings and gin up the democratic coalition with itcouldhappenhere alarmism about the consequences of a gop win youngkins task is equally tricky he must somehow keep happy diehard trumpists emandem win over enough moderate suburbanites turned off by the partys rightwards turn but still concerned by the democrats increasingly assertive progressivismp pthat may sound impossible but several developments have suddenly made it seem feasible the most important is the a relnoopener hrefhttpsprojectsfivethirtyeightcombidenapprovalrating target_blankgrowing disenchantmenta towards biden felt by many democrats and independents no wonder mcauliffe has publicly a relnoopener hrefhttpsthehillcomhomenewssundaytalkshows576120mcauliffeexpressesfrustrationhousehasntpassedinfrastructure target_blankdespaireda at the possibility that his party might fail to pass their infrastructure package or their build back better legislation before election day on november 2p peducation has also loomed large in the race offering youngkin a policy area where rural conservatives and moderates in the suburbs might be able to find common cause thanks in part to overmighty teaching unions northern virginias schools were slow to reopen during the pandemic with some only recently returning to fulltime inperson instruction virginia has also been a a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomlocaleducationloudouncriticalracetheorytransgenderrights202107053dab01b8d4eb11ebae54515e2f63d37d_storyhtml target_blankflashpointa for the fight over how history and racism are taught in americas classrooms with bitter fights at school board meetings in loudoun county making a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomlocaleducationloudouncriticalracetheorytransgenderrights202107053dab01b8d4eb11ebae54515e2f63d37d_storyhtml target_blanknational headlinesa youngkin has promised to ban critical race theory in classrooms if he is elected i dont think parents should be telling schools what to teach said mcauliffe in a disastrously blunt moment recently needless to say it has featured heavily in youngkin television ads ever sincep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202106sanfranciscosprogressivenightmarerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202106sanfranciscosprogressivenightmarerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202106hobo21300x183jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202106sanfranciscosprogressivenightmarerefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202106sanfranciscosprogressivenightmarerefinnarh5san franciscos progressive nightmareh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202106sanfranciscosprogressivenightmarerefinnarspanbyspan oliver wisemanapdivadiv pbut even with these tailwinds youngkin must still keep together a bitterly divided republican family if he is to even contemplate victory in a state that leans democrat signs of the tensions in that coalition were on display at a debate watch party in northern virginia earlier this month the crowd of youngkin fans who piled into an alexandria sports bar were a mix of boomer suburbanites and younger more raucous and more magafriendly clustersp pin one exchange over vaccine mandates mcauliffe accused youngkin of siding with the antivaxxers a corner of the room whooped in approval at the idea hell yeah others seemed a lot less impressed indignant about the accusation and perplexed by the evidently unvaccinated guests later in the evening a chant of america first broke out to the bemusement of the more sedate members of the crowd hes nothing like trump mutters one such supporter to me at another moment shaking her head at the screen when mcauliffe trots out his wellrehearsed minitrump accusationp pindeed youngkins balancing act has not always been a pretty sight especially when it comes to dancing around trumps stolenelection crankery during the primary he did his best to dodge direct questions about whether biden was the legitimately elected president instead making much of his plans for election integrity an unconvincing fudge and a euphemistic nod to trumpian conspiracy theories once he had seen off his republican rivals he was suddenly a lot clearer about last years result though even recently a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomlocalvirginiapoliticsyoungkinvirginiainsurrectioncertify2021092764782f441fa711ecb3d68cdebe60d3e2_storyhtml target_blankequivocateda about whether he would have voted to certify the election results were he in congress he later confirmed that he wouldp pperhaps that is why while trump has endorsed youngkin the two have notably not appeared side by side on the campaign trail biden meanwhile hit the campaign trail back in july before his presidency entered the rocky patch from which it is yet to emerge mcauliffe however appears to be in no hurry to invite him backp pneither biden nor trump are currently in virginia but the election has nonetheless devolved into a referendum on the most prominent democrat and republican in the country democrats are hoping that the excess of a former president is enough to distract from the shortcomings of his successor but as this close race suggests they cannot rely on their favourite bogeyman foreverp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtherepublicanscanstealvirginiaappcommentsview 1 commentsa

pdemocrats worried worried presidents plunging approval ratings worried stalled legislative agenda worried public reaction withdrawal afghanistan pandemic economy inflation southern border worried virginiap pold dominion getting steadily bluer years years republican won statewide race joe biden romped home points november trumps 44 vote share 2020 worst performance republican presidential candidate state 1968 virginia starting look like republican partys reach makes upcoming offcycle gubernatorial election perilous electoral test upset loss month taken ominous sign things come bring memories 2009 republican win virginia brought democrats earth thud obamas election presaged carnage following years midtermsp pthis years badblooded expensive fiercely fought contest democrat terry mcauliffe republican glenn youngkin hallmarks tight race polls mcauliffe relnoopener hrefhttpsprojectsfivethirtyeightcompollsgovernorvirginia target_blanka lead low single digitsa virginians faced candidates cut cloth members washington elite residents large suburban mansions upmarket mclean potomac dcp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canthesouthescapeitsdemonsrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canthesouthescapeitsdemonsrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1052872664scalede1633255105610300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canthesouthescapeitsdemonsrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canthesouthescapeitsdemonsrefinnarh5can south escape demonsh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canthesouthescapeitsdemonsrefinnarspanbyspan joel kotkinapdivadiv pin ways mcauliffe closer parody democratic insider real thing famously salubrious world clinton fundraising 1996 drummed 275 million clintons 1999 emnew york timesem relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom19991212usfriendshipcountsclintonstopfundraisermadelotsforhimselftoohtml target_blankdescribeda bills closest loyal washington friend al gore described greatest fundraiser history universep pmcauliffe worth tens millions dollars wasnt shy interview emtimesem article boasted met business contacts politics said question business associates dealt close ties presidentp ponce safely ensconced washingtons selfenriching selfregarding selfsustaining network political professionals status confirmed stint chair democratic national committee mcauliffe sought elected office failed run virginia governor 2009 succeeded 2013 virginia prohibits consecutive terms governor mcauliffes fouryear break years runp pthe future governor looked exactly home expect recent weekend campaign stop fairfax county northern virginia wealthy state mcauliffe squeezed tens millions campaign contributions years dc suburbs turned red blue supposed form bulwark republicans fare better states rural south westp pas mcauliffes party gone upmarket socioeconomically shifted leftwards ideologically garden khakiclad suburbanites know terry crowd dutifully outdoor masking sunny earlyautumn afternoon mcauliffe nodded warmup speaker explains climate change womens rights issuep pbut leftwards drift proving problem ground virginia member crowd deetzie bayliss running virginia house delegates heavily republican area tells d turnoff independents like youd good job says voter told recently letter think nancy pelosi im afraid cant vote youp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109hascanadaturnedintocaliforniarefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202109hascanadaturnedintocaliforniarefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021092gettyimages12345532551300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109hascanadaturnedintocaliforniarefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109hascanadaturnedintocaliforniarefinnarh5gavin newsoms hollow victoryh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109hascanadaturnedintocaliforniarefinnarspanbyspan marshall auerbackapdivadiv pwhen mcauliffes turn speak trots accomplishments term governor enthusiastic reminds audience opponent belongs party donald trumpp pyou know running trump wannabe said mcauliffe polite boos painting dystopian picture virginia republican rule mcauliffe likes refer opponent glenn trumpkin meet debate accuses minitrumpp pin demeanour platform glenn youngkin far cry president softly spoken trump brash determined avoid controversy seek like homing missile youngkin describe outsider declares twitter bio politician true held elected office claim nonetheless stretches credulityp puntil recently youngkin ceo carlyle group spent 25 years dcbased private equity firm ninedigit net worth relnoopener hrefhttpswwwesquirecomstylemensfashiona22089261midtownuniformvestbusinessstyle target_blankfleece vest collectiona prove attacks washington little undermined ascent business world city shares term abuse like opponent throwback previous era partys development case buttonedup establishment brand conservatism albeit added sprinkling populismp pif mcauliffes challenge defy presidents plummeting ratings gin democratic coalition itcouldhappenhere alarmism consequences gop win youngkins task equally tricky happy diehard trumpists emandem win moderate suburbanites turned partys rightwards turn concerned democrats increasingly assertive progressivismp pthat sound impossible developments suddenly feasible important relnoopener hrefhttpsprojectsfivethirtyeightcombidenapprovalrating target_blankgrowing disenchantmenta biden felt democrats independents wonder mcauliffe publicly relnoopener hrefhttpsthehillcomhomenewssundaytalkshows576120mcauliffeexpressesfrustrationhousehasntpassedinfrastructure target_blankdespaireda possibility party fail pass infrastructure package build better legislation election day november 2p peducation loomed large race offering youngkin policy area rural conservatives moderates suburbs able find common cause thanks overmighty teaching unions northern virginias schools slow reopen pandemic recently returning fulltime inperson instruction virginia relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomlocaleducationloudouncriticalracetheorytransgenderrights202107053dab01b8d4eb11ebae54515e2f63d37d_storyhtml target_blankflashpointa fight history racism taught americas classrooms bitter fights school board meetings loudoun county making relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomlocaleducationloudouncriticalracetheorytransgenderrights202107053dab01b8d4eb11ebae54515e2f63d37d_storyhtml target_blanknational headlinesa youngkin promised ban critical race theory classrooms elected dont think parents telling schools teach said mcauliffe disastrously blunt moment recently needless featured heavily youngkin television ads sincep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202106sanfranciscosprogressivenightmarerefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202106sanfranciscosprogressivenightmarerefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202106hobo21300x183jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202106sanfranciscosprogressivenightmarerefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202106sanfranciscosprogressivenightmarerefinnarh5san franciscos progressive nightmareh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202106sanfranciscosprogressivenightmarerefinnarspanbyspan oliver wisemanapdivadiv pbut tailwinds youngkin bitterly divided republican family contemplate victory state leans democrat signs tensions coalition display debate watch party northern virginia earlier month crowd youngkin fans piled alexandria sports bar mix boomer suburbanites younger raucous magafriendly clustersp pin exchange vaccine mandates mcauliffe accused youngkin siding antivaxxers corner room whooped approval idea hell yeah lot impressed indignant accusation perplexed evidently unvaccinated guests later evening chant america broke bemusement sedate members crowd hes like trump mutters supporter moment shaking head screen mcauliffe trots wellrehearsed minitrump accusationp pindeed youngkins balancing act pretty sight especially comes dancing trumps stolenelection crankery primary best dodge direct questions biden legitimately elected president instead making plans election integrity unconvincing fudge euphemistic nod trumpian conspiracy theories seen republican rivals suddenly lot clearer years result recently relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomlocalvirginiapoliticsyoungkinvirginiainsurrectioncertify2021092764782f441fa711ecb3d68cdebe60d3e2_storyhtml target_blankequivocateda voted certify election results congress later confirmed wouldp pperhaps trump endorsed youngkin notably appeared campaign trail biden hit campaign trail july presidency entered rocky patch emerge mcauliffe appears hurry invite backp pneither biden trump currently virginia election nonetheless devolved referendum prominent democrat republican country democrats hoping excess president distract shortcomings successor close race suggests rely favourite bogeyman foreverp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtherepublicanscanstealvirginiaappcommentsview 1 commentsa

61652b8e15a119331115cc4a

The dangers of judicial vanity

pfor a certain sort of american liberal the former supreme court judge ruth bader ginsburg has become an icon that word is now grossly overused everything is iconic today but appropriate in its original sense a symbol of devotion to be venerated for the secular worship of rbg images of ginsburg can be bought on sweatshirts mugs and other mundane items usually showing her trademark lace collarp pginsburgworship is just another way to proclaim your place on the political and cultural spectrum but it might actually have changed american history in 2013 just as rbg memes were becoming popular ginsburg was urged by some supporters to step down and allow president barack obama and a democratic senate to appoint a younger liberal replacement then aged 80 and suffering recurrent cancer she refused she died in office in 2020 allowing donald trump and republican senators to tilt the court and american life away from her values did enjoyment of fame contribute to her decision never mind the dangers of judicial vanity there are tshirts to sell and virtues to signalp divdiv psome people clearly dream of turning brenda hale into britains rbg a pioneering feminist lawyer and cultural symbol these are people who spend too much time online and have fbpe in their twitter bio a couple of years ago many of them added spider emojis too in tribute to hale she is best known for wearing a spidershaped brooch while ruling as president of the supreme court that boris johnsons prorogation of parliament a crude attempt to get brexit done was unlawful in the days that followed people seemed more interested in this a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwirishtimescomlifeandstylefashionthebroochthatbiffedborisladyhalesspiderbecomesastoryofitsown14029821 target_blankcoded statementa this a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmirrorcouknewspoliticssecretmessagesupremecourtjudge20164615 target_blanksecret messagea than the unambiguous ruling which marked the culmination of hales stellar legal career she retired not long afterwards and has now written a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpenguincoukbooks1121120591spiderwoman9781847926593html target_blanka booka that her publishers evidently hope will appeal to all those people who obsessed over her a relnoopener hrefhttpstheconversationcomladyhalesspidershowskeytowomenspowerdressingisintheaccessories124307 target_blankpower dressingap pi suggest that this is her publishers hope because hale doesnt seem particularly keen on this attempt to turn her into a celebrity her book suggests an author somewhat resistant to the narratives that are being enthusiastically imputed to herp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom201911whatdonaldtuskgetswrongaboutbrexitrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom201911whatdonaldtuskgetswrongaboutbrexitrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads201911gettyimages981999496300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom201911whatdonaldtuskgetswrongaboutbrexitrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom201911whatdonaldtuskgetswrongaboutbrexitrefinnarh5why remainers are the imperialist nostalgicsh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom201911whatdonaldtuskgetswrongaboutbrexitrefinnarspanbyspan mary harringtonapdivadiv pone of those narratives is of social mobility and possibly even class struggle however did a girl from a little village outside richmond in yorkshire not she says early in the book the sort of place where you would expect a top judge to grow up reach the supreme court yet hales origins are hardly humble born in 1945 she is the daughter and granddaughter of oxbridge graduates her father is head of a boys grammar school her parents take the emtelegraphem invite neighbours for sherry after church and send the handyman to collect hale and her sister from school at lunchtime so they dont have to eat with the village kidsp pserious diligent and ferociously bright hale progresses to cambridge with neither difficulty nor trepidation she rightly notes that this makes her part of a tiny minority only 4 of schoolleavers went to university at the time she also says the transition to university didnt faze her because this was just what her family did it was normal so much for that class struggle thenp pmeanwhile hale pays only the most superficial attention to wider issues of access to the legal professions she offers a rosetinted view of todays law school as places that mean people who would never have dreamed of becoming lawyers in the past can now do so and yet they undeniably remain bastions of privilege much of it inherited the sociologists sam friedman and daniel lauriston a relnoopener hrefhttpspolicybristoluniversitypresscouktheclassceiling target_blankcalculatea that the children of lawyers are 17 times more likely than other kids to become lawyers a 2020 study by bridge group and the university of york a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthebridgegrouporguknewsadmissionstolaw target_blankconcludeda that the legal profession remains dominated by individuals from higher socioeconomic backgrounds with students from lower socioeconomic backgrounds half as likely to attend the top english law schools as other studentsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom201910thewaronsocialmobilityrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom201910thewaronsocialmobilityrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads201910gettyimages11428188222300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom201910thewaronsocialmobilityrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom201910thewaronsocialmobilityrefinnarh5the war on social mobilityh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom201910thewaronsocialmobilityrefinnarspanbyspan james kirkupapdivadiv pstill hale seems better placed to discuss struggles not of class but of sex her success as a female lawyer in a maledominated establishment is remarkable and she deserves to be held up as a role model but again she seems reluctant to play the part her book has a striking opening in which she writes frankly of suffering imposter syndrome at numerous points in her impressive career but this candid author then quickly disappears behind a fairly dry account of her career progression having been set up to tell the story of a determined woman who rose to the top in the face of male chauvinism hale sometimes makes becoming a top judge sound almost easyp pin her telling the closed male legal establishment actually looked after her rather well she becomes the first ever female member of the law commission despite not actually applying for the role a more senior lawyer on the commission nudges her into it she becomes a judge after the traditional tap on the shoulder from a senior official further promotions sound smooth and painless occasionally shes annoyed by anachronistic masculine judicial titles silly remarks from colleagues and daft old dinnertable traditions that exclude women but her book isnt a tale of institutional sexismp pthats not to say such bias doesnt exist and didnt figure in hales career rather hale isnt giving us the whole story here she often seems reluctant to talk about herself her experiences and feelings her personal life is largely absent the end of her first marriage after 24 years is mentioned only obliquely her daughter gets a handful of mentions but there is no account of how she combined family life with a demanding job the book is subtitled a life but it would be better to say a career influential men of course when they write emtheirem memoirs arent expected to explain who was looking after the kids while they were conquering the world but given that so many women find their careers hindered by family responsibilities hale might be a more accessible role model if shed addressed the subjectp pthat career has been driven by a truly formidable intellect its hard to avoid the conclusion that hales rise demonstrates the old adage that a woman has to be twice as good as a man to achieve the same but her refusal to talk about herself blunts her ability to explore sexism in the legal establishment shes more comfortable talking about her cases and the law itself this is generally done dispassionately though she reflects intriguingly that her time as a family court judge was largely spent oppressing womenp pperhaps shed rather not be defined by her sex but its hard not to think reading her memoir that an entire book by hale on how and where the law fails women would be fascinating and powerful but that book wouldnt include the prorogation case brexit or emthatem spider brooch  the things that made her properly famous and therefore the things most likely to sell copiesp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howfeminismateitselfrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howfeminismateitselfrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202109gettyimages908694058300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howfeminismateitselfrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howfeminismateitselfrefinnarh5how feminism ate itselfh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howfeminismateitselfrefinnarspanbyspan kat rosenfieldapdivadiv pfocusing on them though is to forget that hale was a public figure for decades during that time she figured occasionally in newspaper reports not all of them were positive and this rankles she recalls not just unfriendly emdaily mailem headlines about her but the page numbers and reporters bylines on 23 october 1995 there was a frontpage article by paul harris in a rare display of emotion she says such personalised coverage is distressing but insists the greater worry is journalists failure to understand her legal thinkingp pwas this memoir written as the last word then somewhere behind the veil of judicial dispassion stands a human being with the same frailties as the rest of us  including vanity and inconsistencyp pboth of these are displayed in hales account of the prorogation case a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwspectatorcoukarticlebrexiteersshouldcheerthesupremecourt target_blankto my minda the supreme courts ruling was a good one reestablishing parliaments constitutional primacy and deserving of ongoing attention but how much do we need to know about the people who gave that ruling how much do we gain from learning that hale wrote her findings from her house in yorkshire and that one of her fellow judges did the same in sicilyp phale herself insists that the legal principles are what really matter here and professes exasperation with public focus on her appearance in court what i was wearing that day is not important she declares shortly after telling us what she was wearing that day including the spider brooch and its history despite her exasperation she appears rather pleased by the people who buy tshirts with a spider logo or wear spider badges to show their support and then theres the title of her memoir emspider womanem which features the famous brooch on the front cover hale may not like that attention on her outfit and jewellery something a male judge surely would never experience but shes content to use it to promote her bookp pis there a touch of vanity here i suspect so but i dont say that as a criticism we are all vain creatures and theres no shame in that even the most august and dispassionate of judges may succumb to the urge to show off a bit fame has a terrible allure to plug her book hale has been doing the media circuit of broadcast and print interviews alongside authors actors and influencers and even before the prorogation case she heard the siren call in 2018 she appeared as a judge on masterchef this is the age of celebrity and everyones invited even judges indeed in her book hale make the case for diversity on the bench by arguing that judges must look like the society they serve perhaps they ought to be selling themselves on instagram or tiktok to ensure that young people engage with the law and relate to those who uphold itp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202102themythoftheselfmademanrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202102themythoftheselfmademanrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202102gettyimages931819551300x204jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202102themythoftheselfmademanrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202102themythoftheselfmademanrefinnarh5who created the selfmade manh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202102themythoftheselfmademanrefinnarspanbyspan selina toddapdivadiv pthen again judges are arguably the closest thing we now have to platos guardians a group that comes from society but still sits apart from it in order to make decisions in our best interest we dont really need to know what they think or worse how they feel while they dispense justice and the more we know about them the more likely we are to disagree with them familiarity breeds distrust the story of ruth bader ginsburg should be a cautionary tale to british judges not an inspiration for every american who adores notorious rbg there is one who distrusts liberals in the judiciary it is better for public trust in our institutions if impartial public servants keep quiet than if they make themselves more relatable figures a lesson that a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202106johnbercowwillnevergiveup target_blanka certain former house of commons speakera has sadly ignoredp pim wary of imputing thoughts to brenda hale but i wonder if she too is in two minds about the wisdom of a senior judge courting celebrity perhaps that explains why her book is stuck somewhere in the quagmire between fully revealing autobiography and impersonal legal historyp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thedangersofjudicialvanityappcommentsview commentsa

pfor certain sort american liberal supreme court judge ruth bader ginsburg icon word grossly overused iconic today appropriate original sense symbol devotion venerated secular worship rbg images ginsburg bought sweatshirts mugs mundane items usually showing trademark lace collarp pginsburgworship way proclaim place political cultural spectrum actually changed american history 2013 rbg memes popular ginsburg urged supporters step allow president barack obama democratic senate appoint younger liberal replacement aged 80 suffering recurrent cancer refused died office 2020 allowing donald trump republican senators tilt court american life away values enjoyment fame contribute decision mind dangers judicial vanity tshirts sell virtues signalp divdiv psome people clearly dream turning brenda hale britains rbg pioneering feminist lawyer cultural symbol people spend time online fbpe twitter bio couple years ago added spider emojis tribute hale best known wearing spidershaped brooch ruling president supreme court boris johnsons prorogation parliament crude attempt brexit unlawful days followed people interested relnoopener hrefhttpswwwirishtimescomlifeandstylefashionthebroochthatbiffedborisladyhalesspiderbecomesastoryofitsown14029821 target_blankcoded statementa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmirrorcouknewspoliticssecretmessagesupremecourtjudge20164615 target_blanksecret messagea unambiguous ruling marked culmination hales stellar legal career retired long written relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpenguincoukbooks1121120591spiderwoman9781847926593html target_blanka booka publishers evidently hope appeal people obsessed relnoopener hrefhttpstheconversationcomladyhalesspidershowskeytowomenspowerdressingisintheaccessories124307 target_blankpower dressingap pi suggest publishers hope hale doesnt particularly keen attempt turn celebrity book suggests author somewhat resistant narratives enthusiastically imputed herp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom201911whatdonaldtuskgetswrongaboutbrexitrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom201911whatdonaldtuskgetswrongaboutbrexitrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads201911gettyimages981999496300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom201911whatdonaldtuskgetswrongaboutbrexitrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom201911whatdonaldtuskgetswrongaboutbrexitrefinnarh5why remainers imperialist nostalgicsh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom201911whatdonaldtuskgetswrongaboutbrexitrefinnarspanbyspan mary harringtonapdivadiv pone narratives social mobility possibly class struggle girl little village outside richmond yorkshire says early book sort place expect judge grow reach supreme court hales origins hardly humble born 1945 daughter granddaughter oxbridge graduates father head boys grammar school parents emtelegraphem invite neighbours sherry church send handyman collect hale sister school lunchtime dont eat village kidsp pserious diligent ferociously bright hale progresses cambridge difficulty trepidation rightly notes makes tiny minority 4 schoolleavers went university time says transition university didnt faze family normal class struggle thenp pmeanwhile hale pays superficial attention wider issues access legal professions offers rosetinted view todays law school places mean people dreamed lawyers past undeniably remain bastions privilege inherited sociologists sam friedman daniel lauriston relnoopener hrefhttpspolicybristoluniversitypresscouktheclassceiling target_blankcalculatea children lawyers 17 times likely kids lawyers 2020 study bridge group university york relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthebridgegrouporguknewsadmissionstolaw target_blankconcludeda legal profession remains dominated individuals higher socioeconomic backgrounds students lower socioeconomic backgrounds half likely attend english law schools studentsp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom201910thewaronsocialmobilityrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom201910thewaronsocialmobilityrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads201910gettyimages11428188222300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom201910thewaronsocialmobilityrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom201910thewaronsocialmobilityrefinnarh5the war social mobilityh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom201910thewaronsocialmobilityrefinnarspanbyspan james kirkupapdivadiv pstill hale better placed discuss struggles class sex success female lawyer maledominated establishment remarkable deserves held role model reluctant play book striking opening writes frankly suffering imposter syndrome numerous points impressive career candid author quickly disappears fairly dry account career progression having set tell story determined woman rose face male chauvinism hale makes judge sound easyp pin telling closed male legal establishment actually looked female member law commission despite actually applying role senior lawyer commission nudges judge traditional tap shoulder senior official promotions sound smooth painless occasionally shes annoyed anachronistic masculine judicial titles silly remarks colleagues daft old dinnertable traditions exclude women book isnt tale institutional sexismp pthats bias doesnt exist didnt figure hales career hale isnt giving story reluctant talk experiences feelings personal life largely absent end marriage 24 years mentioned obliquely daughter gets handful mentions account combined family life demanding job book subtitled life better career influential men course write emtheirem memoirs arent expected explain looking kids conquering world given women find careers hindered family responsibilities hale accessible role model shed addressed subjectp pthat career driven truly formidable intellect hard avoid conclusion hales rise demonstrates old adage woman twice good man achieve refusal talk blunts ability explore sexism legal establishment shes comfortable talking cases law generally dispassionately reflects intriguingly time family court judge largely spent oppressing womenp pperhaps shed defined sex hard think reading memoir entire book hale law fails women fascinating powerful book wouldnt include prorogation case brexit emthatem spider brooch things properly famous things likely sell copiesp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howfeminismateitselfrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howfeminismateitselfrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202109gettyimages908694058300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howfeminismateitselfrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howfeminismateitselfrefinnarh5how feminism ate itselfh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109howfeminismateitselfrefinnarspanbyspan kat rosenfieldapdivadiv pfocusing forget hale public figure decades time figured occasionally newspaper reports positive rankles recalls unfriendly emdaily mailem headlines page numbers reporters bylines 23 october 1995 frontpage article paul harris rare display emotion says personalised coverage distressing insists greater worry journalists failure understand legal thinkingp pwas memoir written word veil judicial dispassion stands human frailties rest including vanity inconsistencyp pboth displayed hales account prorogation case relnoopener hrefhttpswwwspectatorcoukarticlebrexiteersshouldcheerthesupremecourt target_blankto minda supreme courts ruling good reestablishing parliaments constitutional primacy deserving ongoing attention need know people gave ruling gain learning hale wrote findings house yorkshire fellow judges sicilyp phale insists legal principles matter professes exasperation public focus appearance court wearing day important declares shortly telling wearing day including spider brooch history despite exasperation appears pleased people buy tshirts spider logo wear spider badges support theres title memoir emspider womanem features famous brooch cover hale like attention outfit jewellery male judge surely experience shes content use promote bookp pis touch vanity suspect dont criticism vain creatures theres shame august dispassionate judges succumb urge bit fame terrible allure plug book hale media circuit broadcast print interviews alongside authors actors influencers prorogation case heard siren 2018 appeared judge masterchef age celebrity everyones invited judges book hale case diversity bench arguing judges look like society serve ought selling instagram tiktok ensure young people engage law relate uphold itp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202102themythoftheselfmademanrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202102themythoftheselfmademanrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202102gettyimages931819551300x204jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202102themythoftheselfmademanrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202102themythoftheselfmademanrefinnarh5who created selfmade manh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202102themythoftheselfmademanrefinnarspanbyspan selina toddapdivadiv pthen judges arguably closest thing platos guardians group comes society sits apart order decisions best interest dont need know think worse feel dispense justice know likely disagree familiarity breeds distrust story ruth bader ginsburg cautionary tale british judges inspiration american adores notorious rbg distrusts liberals judiciary better public trust institutions impartial public servants quiet relatable figures lesson relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202106johnbercowwillnevergiveup target_blanka certain house commons speakera sadly ignoredp pim wary imputing thoughts brenda hale wonder minds wisdom senior judge courting celebrity explains book stuck quagmire fully revealing autobiography impersonal legal historyp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thedangersofjudicialvanityappcommentsview commentsa

61652b8f15a119331115cc4c

Is Korea preparing for war?

pso often portrayed as a rogue state north korea is actually hyperrational the regime tends to get what it wants and crucially on its own terms the awkward fact is nuclear weapons make a nation very powerful we are talking about a country which has a similarsized economy to mozambique says dr andrei lankov director of korea risk group yet north korea is playing a massive role in global politics exclusively because of its nuclear weaponsp pnorth korea has been a nuclear power for a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwiki2006_north_korean_nuclear_testtexton20october2032c2020062c20northa20nuclear20explosive20that20misfired target_blankalmost exactly 15 yearsa but in 2018 the nation agreed to a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsworldasia43846488 target_blankput its nuclear ambitions on the back burnera in the first meeting between a supreme leader and an american president recently though the regime has been on a weapons testing binge two weeks ago north korea successfully tested a new strategic weapon meaning one that can carry nukes in the form of a hypersonic missile called hwasong8 it was the countrys third missile test in the space of a month having earlier tested a new type of cruise missile as well as a hollywoodsounding system that a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldasiapacificnkorealaunchesweretestnewrailwaybornemissilesystemkcna20210915 target_blanklaunches missiles by trainap divdiv pall this is just evidence of the militarypowered petulance of a despotic regime you might say what western commentators seem reluctant to point out however is that their neighbours on the other side of the demilitarised zone dmz have been upping the stakes too few remarked upon the fact that the trainlaunched system test happened the same day that a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldasiapacificskoreablazesnewpathwithmostpotentconventionalmissilesubmarine20210908 target_blanksouth korea tested a submarinelaunched ballistic missilea making it the first country without nuclear weapons to develop such a systemp panalysis tends to centre around the two koreas as proxies of china and the united states and in the west most have a binary view of the north as relentlessly aggressive and the south as virtuous yet besieged but this flurry of weapons testing reveals a worrying arms race in which both nations are participating as each side seeks more independence from their superpower of choice its been a mere three years since kim jongun and his counterpart moon jaein first met  and promised to work towards reunification now both are upping the ante in search of heavily fortified peace as a new generation of leaders are stepping back from the longheld goal of returning to one koreap diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104nobodyeverleavesnorthkorearefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202104nobodyeverleavesnorthkorearefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202104gettyimages1872642e16184086723261300x167jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104nobodyeverleavesnorthkorearefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104nobodyeverleavesnorthkorearefinnarh5nobody ever leaves north koreah5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104nobodyeverleavesnorthkorearefinnarspanbyspan etan smallmanapdivadiv pfor the north becoming a nuclear power was always an existential calculation partly triggered by the us invasion of iraq one of many disastrous consequences of a disastrous war the toppling of saddam hussein and later muammar gaddafi in libya led kim jongil to conclude that dictators unarmed with nuclear weapons get overthrown but there are other more oblique benefits to having a nuclear armoury lankov tells mep pemthey have used their weapons to squeeze aid from foreign governments which would not normally provide aid to north korea or at least would provide aid on conditions which the north korean government does not see as acceptable such as total monitoring distribution of aid to the needy population by foreign ngo workersemp pthe regime doesnt want to be wholly reliant on china so needs to coerce other nations into charity at the moment china keeps the state afloat partly in line with its a relnoopener hrefhttpsthediplomatcomtagchinanoninterferencepolicy target_blankforeign policy of noninterferencea and partly because it does not want a humanitarian crisis of 25 million people on its border ive seen that border from both sides and parts are a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsbscomaunewscommenttheabsurditiesfacedbynorthkoreanrefugeesinchina target_blankpainfully easy to crossa in some places like dandong its nothing more than trickles of rivers with flimsy wire fences and a couple of disinterested border guards who knock off at sunsetp pfor their part the chinese are said to be unhappy with the kim regime setting red lines for its military program such as not reintroducing long range missile and nuclear tests which the north has wisely obeyed at the same time chinas only real influence is economic if it were to overthrow the kim regime and install a favoured general it would create just the kind of destabilising effect the chinese are afraid ofp pto put it bluntly north korea is nobodys ally and a pain in everyones neck beyond its military two of the states greatest capabilities appear to be a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwdwcomennorthkorearampsupmanufactureofillegaldrugsamidsanctionsa40169753 target_blankmanufacturing methamphetaminea and a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercommagazine20210426theincredibleriseofnorthkoreashackingarmy target_blankhackinga its believed to be a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwvanityfaircomnews201910theuntoldstoryofthesonyhack target_blankbehind the hack of sony in 2014a after an unflattering portrayal of their leader in the film emthe interviewem experts believe that its military capabilities are likely stolen from russia and reverse engineeredp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedefectortakingonkimjongunrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedefectortakingonkimjongunrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202006gettyimages8511387701300x212jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedefectortakingonkimjongunrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedefectortakingonkimjongunrefinnarh5the defector taking on kim jongunh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedefectortakingonkimjongunrefinnarspanbyspan ian birrellapdivadiv pall of which is to say that the north korean military program is about ensuring the regime survives appearing responsible allows them to negotiate sanctions relief with the united states adhering to the moratorium on nuclear tests keeps china happy and a happy china continues the flow of aid and resources to the tune of about 2 billion per year without it the nation could fall into decay within weeksp pold promises offered by the united states to the north namely economic growth are now of little interest to the regime military might is the only tried and tested way of getting what it wants markets are bad for political stability and the north koreans are rolling them back lankov said it means that we are probably going to deal with north korea for the next 10 years or so as a significantly more repressive society where the government will care more about central control than they do about economic developmentp ptalks between the two koreas about reconciliation and unification are an accepted theatre people often point to the unification of germany which he says was really a conquest of the east by the west albeit one that most people wanted north korea dreams of conquering the south but it is a dream that will probably never come true says lankov recently kim jong un moved away from the old goal of liberating southern compatriots from their miserably capitalist lives to common prosperity of the entire nationem emp pthis is something the north and south seem to agree on unless youre talking to old school anticommunists or hardline human rights people in the south lankov tells me reunification is not what they want because they dont want to have to pay for the victory he said young south koreans in particular a relnoopener hrefhttpsintpolicydigestorgwhyyoungsouthkoreansdontwantreunificationanymore target_blankcare less and lessa about reuniting the two nations and closing the huge gap in health education infrastructure even language and culture cleaved by almost 70 years apart its estimated that doing so would cost the south a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomnewsarticles20140112parkextolskoreabonanzawithanorthsouthunification target_blank591 billiona over a decadep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom201903whytrumpwillneverwinoverkimrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom201903whytrumpwillneverwinoverkimrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads201903gettyimages1132660482300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom201903whytrumpwillneverwinoverkimrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom201903whytrumpwillneverwinoverkimrefinnarh5why trump will never win over kimh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom201903whytrumpwillneverwinoverkimrefinnarspanbyspan gerard degrootapdivadiv pthe carnegie endowment for international peace a relnoopener hrefhttpscarnegieendowmentorg20200513peninsulaofparadoxessouthkoreanpublicopiniononunificationandoutsidepowerspub81737 target_blankhas labelleda public opinion in the south significant majorities of people wanting military alliances with both the united states and china a mixture of paradoxes in reality its an expression of wanting peace with koreans knowing all too well the cost of civil war  which is what any dissolution of the north korean regime would probably amount to any sort of reunification would immediately provoke the collapse of the regime says lankov it wont look like germany  were talking serious bloodshed on the scale of libya or syriap ptheyre not a bunch of suicidal idiots the idea of reunification with social justice and righting wrongs is the kind of rubbish intellectuals like to believep pthe real paradox here then isnt the southern yearning for multiple military alliances or moving away from reconciliation its the current and substantial military buildup taking place in the country on top of the united states a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpriorgstories20210824usbuildingmilitarybasemiddlepacificoceanmicronesianresidentshave target_blankcontinued military expansiona in the pacificp pthe best prospect for a unified korea would be a situation where the chinese decide not to intervene the us agrees to pay and the south korean tanks roll in conquest disguised as reunification in other words something so unlikely that the status quo is looking like the only way forward for people on both sides of the dmz this is the reality of postcold war peace and harmony two neighbours armed to the teeth looking beyond the patronage of their superpower ally to advance their own military capabilities in a futile game of chickenp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110iskoreapreparingforwarappcommentsview commentsa

pso portrayed rogue state north korea actually hyperrational regime tends wants crucially terms awkward fact nuclear weapons nation powerful talking country similarsized economy mozambique says dr andrei lankov director korea risk group north korea playing massive role global politics exclusively nuclear weaponsp pnorth korea nuclear power relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwiki2006_north_korean_nuclear_testtexton20october2032c2020062c20northa20nuclear20explosive20that20misfired target_blankalmost exactly 15 yearsa 2018 nation agreed relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsworldasia43846488 target_blankput nuclear ambitions burnera meeting supreme leader american president recently regime weapons testing binge weeks ago north korea successfully tested new strategic weapon meaning carry nukes form hypersonic missile called hwasong8 countrys missile test space month having earlier tested new type cruise missile hollywoodsounding system relnoopener hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldasiapacificnkorealaunchesweretestnewrailwaybornemissilesystemkcna20210915 target_blanklaunches missiles trainap divdiv pall evidence militarypowered petulance despotic regime western commentators reluctant point neighbours demilitarised zone dmz upping stakes remarked fact trainlaunched system test happened day relnoopener hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldasiapacificskoreablazesnewpathwithmostpotentconventionalmissilesubmarine20210908 target_blanksouth korea tested submarinelaunched ballistic missilea making country nuclear weapons develop systemp panalysis tends centre koreas proxies china united states west binary view north relentlessly aggressive south virtuous besieged flurry weapons testing reveals worrying arms race nations participating seeks independence superpower choice mere years kim jongun counterpart moon jaein met promised work reunification upping ante search heavily fortified peace new generation leaders stepping longheld goal returning koreap diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104nobodyeverleavesnorthkorearefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202104nobodyeverleavesnorthkorearefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202104gettyimages1872642e16184086723261300x167jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202104nobodyeverleavesnorthkorearefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104nobodyeverleavesnorthkorearefinnarh5nobody leaves north koreah5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202104nobodyeverleavesnorthkorearefinnarspanbyspan etan smallmanapdivadiv pfor north nuclear power existential calculation partly triggered invasion iraq disastrous consequences disastrous war toppling saddam hussein later muammar gaddafi libya led kim jongil conclude dictators unarmed nuclear weapons overthrown oblique benefits having nuclear armoury lankov tells mep pemthey weapons squeeze aid foreign governments normally provide aid north korea provide aid conditions north korean government acceptable total monitoring distribution aid needy population foreign ngo workersemp pthe regime doesnt want wholly reliant china needs coerce nations charity moment china keeps state afloat partly line relnoopener hrefhttpsthediplomatcomtagchinanoninterferencepolicy target_blankforeign policy noninterferencea partly want humanitarian crisis 25 million people border ive seen border sides parts relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsbscomaunewscommenttheabsurditiesfacedbynorthkoreanrefugeesinchina target_blankpainfully easy crossa places like dandong trickles rivers flimsy wire fences couple disinterested border guards knock sunsetp pfor chinese said unhappy kim regime setting red lines military program reintroducing long range missile nuclear tests north wisely obeyed time chinas real influence economic overthrow kim regime install favoured general create kind destabilising effect chinese afraid ofp pto bluntly north korea nobodys ally pain everyones neck military states greatest capabilities appear relnoopener hrefhttpswwwdwcomennorthkorearampsupmanufactureofillegaldrugsamidsanctionsa40169753 target_blankmanufacturing methamphetaminea relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnewyorkercommagazine20210426theincredibleriseofnorthkoreashackingarmy target_blankhackinga believed relnoopener hrefhttpswwwvanityfaircomnews201910theuntoldstoryofthesonyhack target_blankbehind hack sony 2014a unflattering portrayal leader film emthe interviewem experts believe military capabilities likely stolen russia reverse engineeredp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedefectortakingonkimjongunrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedefectortakingonkimjongunrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202006gettyimages8511387701300x212jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedefectortakingonkimjongunrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedefectortakingonkimjongunrefinnarh5the defector taking kim jongunh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202006thedefectortakingonkimjongunrefinnarspanbyspan ian birrellapdivadiv pall north korean military program ensuring regime survives appearing responsible allows negotiate sanctions relief united states adhering moratorium nuclear tests keeps china happy happy china continues flow aid resources tune 2 billion year nation fall decay weeksp pold promises offered united states north economic growth little interest regime military tried tested way getting wants markets bad political stability north koreans rolling lankov said means probably going deal north korea 10 years significantly repressive society government care central control economic developmentp ptalks koreas reconciliation unification accepted theatre people point unification germany says conquest east west albeit people wanted north korea dreams conquering south dream probably come true says lankov recently kim jong un moved away old goal liberating southern compatriots miserably capitalist lives common prosperity entire nationememp pthis north south agree youre talking old school anticommunists hardline human rights people south lankov tells reunification want dont want pay victory said young south koreans particular relnoopener hrefhttpsintpolicydigestorgwhyyoungsouthkoreansdontwantreunificationanymore target_blankcare lessa reuniting nations closing huge gap health education infrastructure language culture cleaved 70 years apart estimated cost south relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomnewsarticles20140112parkextolskoreabonanzawithanorthsouthunification target_blank591 billiona decadep diva hrefhttpsunherdcom201903whytrumpwillneverwinoverkimrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom201903whytrumpwillneverwinoverkimrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads201903gettyimages1132660482300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom201903whytrumpwillneverwinoverkimrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom201903whytrumpwillneverwinoverkimrefinnarh5why trump win kimh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom201903whytrumpwillneverwinoverkimrefinnarspanbyspan gerard degrootapdivadiv pthe carnegie endowment international peace relnoopener hrefhttpscarnegieendowmentorg20200513peninsulaofparadoxessouthkoreanpublicopiniononunificationandoutsidepowerspub81737 target_blankhas labelleda public opinion south significant majorities people wanting military alliances united states china mixture paradoxes reality expression wanting peace koreans knowing cost civil war dissolution north korean regime probably sort reunification immediately provoke collapse regime says lankov wont look like germany talking bloodshed scale libya syriap ptheyre bunch suicidal idiots idea reunification social justice righting wrongs kind rubbish intellectuals like believep pthe real paradox isnt southern yearning multiple military alliances moving away reconciliation current substantial military buildup taking place country united states relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpriorgstories20210824usbuildingmilitarybasemiddlepacificoceanmicronesianresidentshave target_blankcontinued military expansiona pacificp pthe best prospect unified korea situation chinese decide intervene agrees pay south korean tanks roll conquest disguised reunification words unlikely status quo looking like way forward people sides dmzthis reality postcold war peace harmony neighbours armed teeth looking patronage superpower ally advance military capabilities futile game chickenp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110iskoreapreparingforwarappcommentsview commentsa

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Better Ways to Cut Healthcare Waste

divimg sizesmaxwidth 600px 100vw 600px srchttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1jpg width600 alt srcsethttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1jpg 600w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1300x300jpg 300w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1500x500jpg 500w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1150x150jpg 150w classwppostimage height600divpthis video was adapted from a column austin wrote for a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20200108upshotmajorstudyhealthwastehtmlthe upshota links to sources can be found a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20200108upshotmajorstudyhealthwastehtmlthereap p p piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedwr0whnq9vae width500 height281iframep p pthe post a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressbetterwaystocuthealthcarewastebetter ways to cut healthcare wastea first appeared on a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

divimg sizesmaxwidth 600px 100vw 600px srchttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1jpg width600 alt srcsethttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1jpg 600w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1300x300jpg 300w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1500x500jpg 500w httpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202106healthcaretriagethumbnail1150x150jpg 150w classwppostimage height600divpthis video adapted column austin wrote hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20200108upshotmajorstudyhealthwastehtmlthe upshota links sources found hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20200108upshotmajorstudyhealthwastehtmlthereap pp piframe allowfullscreenallowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedwr0whnq9vae width500 height281iframep ppthe post hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressbetterwaystocuthealthcarewastebetter ways cut healthcare wastea appeared hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

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Why we must stand with Poland

pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecom20211011whywemuststandwithpolandwhy we must stand with polanda appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwspikedonlinecomspikedap

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David Card on the return to schooling

pcard is best known amongst intellectuals for his minimum wage work but he also has been central in estimating the returns to higher education using superior methods  in particular he has induced many economists to downgrade the import of the signaling model of education  here is one excerpt from a relnoopener hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoipdf1011111468026200237casa_tokentrjjzipcf6qaaaaaubgirusweeyzmcwdbmvjaduq3kgoxnhsxvsi9t7xch2am89dlutb9v9wznwqd2ti9sufj1tghjnzf target_blankhis econometrica papera appropriately entitled estimating the return to schooling progress on some persistent econometric problemsp blockquotepa review of studies that have used compulsory schooling laws differences in the accessibility of schools and similar features as instrumental variables for completed education reveals that the resulting estimates of the return to schooling are typically asbr big or bigger than the corresponding ordinary least squares estimates one interpretation of this finding is that marginal returns to education among the loweducation subgroups typically affected by supplyside innovations tend to be relatively high reflecting their high marginal costs of schooling rather than low ability that limits their return to educationpblockquote pthe empirical problem arises of course because intrinsic talent and degree of schooling are highly correlated so the investigator needs some recourse to superior identification  how can you tell if apparent returns to schooling simply reflect a higher talented cohort in the first place  so you might for instance look for an exogenous change to compulsory schooling laws that affects some children but not others a few of those have come in the nordic countries  that likely will be uncorrelated with child talent and so it will help you separate out the true causal return to additional schooling because you can measure whether the kids with that extra year end up earning more controlling for other relevant variables of course  and see a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thecredibilityrevolution1html target_blankalexs discussiona of the angrist and card paper on similar questionsp psee also a relnoopener hrefhttpcpistanfordedu_mediapdfreference20mediacard_1999_educationpdf target_blankcards survey of this entire fielda written for emhandbook of labor economicsem  one impressive feature of these pieces is they show how many disparate methods of measurement all point toward a broadly common conclusion  whether or not a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgooglecomsearchqbryancaplansourcelnmstbmischsaxved2ahukewifjvk4mclzahuglniehachdquq_auoanoecaeqbabiw1280bih567dpr15 target_blankyou agreea these papers have been extremely influential and they are one reason why claudia goldin in a relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesclaudiagoldin target_blankmy recent cwt with hera asserted that very little of higher education was about the signaling premiump pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110davidcardonthereturntoschoolinghtmldavid card on the return to schoolinga appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pcard best known intellectuals minimum wage work central estimating returns higher education superior methods particular induced economists downgrade import signaling model education excerpt relnoopener hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoipdf1011111468026200237casa_tokentrjjzipcf6qaaaaaubgirusweeyzmcwdbmvjaduq3kgoxnhsxvsi9t7xch2am89dlutb9v9wznwqd2ti9sufj1tghjnzf target_blankhis econometrica papera appropriately entitled estimating return schooling progress persistent econometric problemsp blockquotepa review studies compulsory schooling laws differences accessibility schools similar features instrumental variables completed education reveals resulting estimates return schooling typically asbr big bigger corresponding ordinary squares estimates interpretation finding marginal returns education loweducation subgroups typically affected supplyside innovations tend relatively high reflecting high marginal costs schooling low ability limits return educationpblockquote pthe empirical problem arises course intrinsic talent degree schooling highly correlated investigator needs recourse superior identification tell apparent returns schooling simply reflect higher talented cohort place instance look exogenous change compulsory schooling laws affects children come nordic countries likely uncorrelated child talent help separate true causal return additional schooling measure kids extra year end earning controlling relevant variables course relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thecredibilityrevolution1html target_blankalexs discussiona angrist card paper similar questionsp psee relnoopener hrefhttpcpistanfordedu_mediapdfreference20mediacard_1999_educationpdf target_blankcards survey entire fielda written emhandbook labor economicsem impressive feature pieces disparate methods measurement point broadly common conclusion relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgooglecomsearchqbryancaplansourcelnmstbmischsaxved2ahukewifjvk4mclzahuglniehachdquq_auoanoecaeqbabiw1280bih567dpr15 target_blankyou agreea papers extremely influential reason claudia goldin relnoopener hrefhttpsconversationswithtylercomepisodesclaudiagoldin target_blankmy recent cwt hera asserted little higher education signaling premiump pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110davidcardonthereturntoschoolinghtmldavid card return schoolinga appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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The First Nobel Prize for Marginal Revolution University!

pthe nobel prize in economics this year goes to david card joshua angrist and guido imbens i describe their contributions in greater detail in a hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thecredibilityrevolution1htmla nobel prize for the credibility revolutionap pits also fun to note that joshua angrist mostly teaches at mit but he also teaches a course on a hrefhttpsmruorgmasteringeconometricsmastering econometricsa at a hrefhttpsmruorgmarginal revolution universitya so this is our first nobel prize here is master joshua on instrumental variablesp piframe allowfullscreentrue srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedeojupd6104qversion3rel1showsearch0showinfo1iv_load_policy1fs1hlenusautohide2wmodetransparent width640 height360iframep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thefirstnobelprizeformarginalrevolutionuniversityhtmlthe first nobel prize for marginal revolution universitya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthe nobel prize economics year goes david card joshua angrist guido imbens describe contributions greater detail hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thecredibilityrevolution1htmla nobel prize credibility revolutionap pits fun note joshua angrist teaches mit teaches course hrefhttpsmruorgmasteringeconometricsmastering econometricsa hrefhttpsmruorgmarginal revolution universitya nobel prize master joshua instrumental variablesp piframe allowfullscreentrue srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedeojupd6104qversion3rel1showsearch0showinfo1iv_load_policy1fs1hlenusautohide2wmodetransparent width640 height360iframep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thefirstnobelprizeformarginalrevolutionuniversityhtmlthe nobel prize marginal revolution universitya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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A Nobel Prize for the Credibility Revolution

pthe nobel prize goes to david card joshua angrist and guido imbens if you seek their monuments look around you almost all of the empirical work in economics that you read in the popular press and plenty that doesnt make the popular press is due to analyzing natural experiments using techniques such as difference in differences instrumental variables and regression discontinuity the techniques are powerful but the ideas behind them are also understandable by the person in the street which has given economists a tremendous advantage when talking with the public take for example the famous minimum wage study of a hrefhttpswwwjstororgstable2118030card and krueger 1994a and a hrefhttpdavidcardberkeleyedupapersnjminaerpdfherea the study is well known because of its paradoxical finding that new jerseys increase in the minimum wage in 1992 didnt reduce employment at fast food restaurants and may even have increased employment but what really made the paper great was the clarity of the methods that card and krueger used to study the problemp pthe obvious way to estimate the effect of the minimum wage is to look at the difference in employment in fast food restaurants before and after the law went into effect but other things are changing through time so circa 1992 the standard approach was to control for other variables by also including in the statistical analysis factors such as the state of the economy include enough control variables so the reasoning went and you would uncover the true effect of the minimum wage card and krueger did something different they turned to a control groupp ppennsylvania didnt pass a minimum wage law in 1992 but its close to new jersey so card and kruger reasoned that whatever other factors were affecting new jersey fast food restaurants would very likely also influence pennsylvania fast food restaurants the state of the economy for example would likely have a similar effect on demand for fast food in nj as in pa as would say the weather in fact the argument extends to just about any other factor that one might imagine including demographics changes in tastes changes in supply costs the standard approach circa 1992 of controlling for other variables requires at the very least that we know what variables are important but by using a control group we dont need to know what the other variables are only that whatever they are they are likely to influence nj and pa fast food restaurants similarly put differently nj and pa are similar so what happened in pa is a good estimate of emwhat would have happenedem in nj had nj not passed the minimum wagep pthus what card and kruger estimated the effect of the minimum wage in new jersey by calculating the difference in employment in nj before and after the law and then subtracting the difference in employment in pa before and after the law hence the term difference in differences by subtracting the pa difference ie what would have happened in nj if the law had not been passed from the nj difference what actually happened we are left with the effect of the minimum wage brilliantp pyet by todays standards obvious indeed its hard to understand that circa 1992 the idea of differences in differences was not common despite the fact that differences in differences was actually pioneered by the physician a hrefhttpwwwphuclaeduepisnowgrand_experimenthtmljohn snow in his identification of the causes of choleraa in the 1840 and 1850s what seems obvious today was not so obvious to generations of economists who used other less credible techniques even when there was no technical barrier to using better methodsp pfurthermore its less appreciated but not less important that card and krueger went beyond the njpa comparison maybe pa isnt a good control for nj ok lets try another control some fast food restaurants in nj were paying more than the minimum wage even embeforeem the minimum wage went into effect since these restaurants were always paying more than the minimum wage the minimum wage law shouldnt influence employment at these restaurants but these highwage fastfood restaurants should be influenced by other factors influencing the demand for and cost of fast food such as the state of the economy input prices demographics and so forth thus card and krueger also calculated the effect of the minimum wage by subtracting the difference in employment in high wage restaurants uninfluenced by the law from the difference in employment in lowwage restaurants their results were similar to the njpa comparisonp pthe importance of a hrefhttpswwwjstororgstable2118030card and krueger 1994a was not the result which continue to be a hrefhttpwwwnberorgpapersw18681debateda but that card and krueger revealed to economists that there were natural experiments with plausible treatment and control groups all around us if only we had the creativity to see them the last thirty years of empirical economics has been the result of economists opening their eyes to the natural experiments all around themp pangrist and kruegers 1991 paper a hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution20211020httpswwwjstororgstable2937954does compulsory school attendance affect schooling and earningsa is one of the most beautiful in all of economics it begins with a seemingly absurd strategy and yet in the light of a few pictures it convinces the reader that the strategy isnt absurd but brilliantp pthe problem is a classic one how to estimate the effect of schooling on earnings people with more schooling earn more but is this because of the schooling or is it because people who get more schooling have more ability angrist and kruegers strategy is to use the correlation between a students quarter of birth and their years of education to estimate the effect of schooling on earnings what what could a students quarter of birth possibly have to do with how much education a student receives is this some weird kind of economic astrologyp pangrist and krueger exploit two quirks of us education the first quirk is that a child born in late december can start first grade earlier than a child nearly the same age who is born in early january the second quirk is that for many decades an individual could quit school at age 16 put these two quirks together and what you get is that people born in the fourth quarter are a little bit more likely to have a little bit more education than similar students born in the the first quarter scott cunninghams excellent textbook on causal inference a hrefhttpscunningcomcunningham_mixtapepdfthe mixtapea has a nice diagramp pimg sizesmaxwidth 694px 100vw 694px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810mixtapeivpng alt width694 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810mixtapeivpng 694w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810mixtapeiv300x96png 300w classwpimage74573 height223p pputting it all together what this means is that the random factor of quarter of birth is correlated with months of education who would think of such a thing not me id scoff that you could pick up such a small effect in the data but here come the pictures picture one from a review paper a hrefhttpswwwjstororgstable2696517angrist and krueger 2001a shows quarter of birth and total education what you see is that years of education are going up over time as it becomes more common for everyone to stay in school beyond age 16 but notice the saw tooth pattern people who were born in the first quarter of the year get a little bit less education than people born in the fourth quarter the difference is small 1 or so of a year but its clear the difference is therep pimg sizesmaxwidth 500px 100vw 500px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810angristkrueger1jpg alt width500 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810angristkrueger1jpg 500w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810angristkrueger1300x197jpg 300w classwpimage74575 height329p pok now for the payoff  since quarter of birth is random its as if someone randomly assigned some students to get more education than other studentsthus angrist and krueger are uncovering a random experiment in natural data the next step then is to look and see how earnings vary with quarter of birth heres the picturep pimg sizesmaxwidth 556px 100vw 556px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810angristkrueger2jpg alt width556 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810angristkrueger2jpg 556w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810angristkrueger2300x197jpg 300w classwpimage74574 height365p pcrazy but there it is plain as day people who were born in the first quarter have slightly less education than people born in the fourth quarter figure one and people born in the first quarter have slightly lower earnings than people born in the fourth quarter figure two the effect on earnings is small about 1 but recall that quarter of birth only changes education by about 1 of a year so dividing the former by the latter gives an estimate that implies an extra year of education increases earnings by a healthy 10p plots more could be said here can we be sure that quarter of birth is random it seems random but other researchers have found a hrefhttpswwwjstororgstable2291055correlations between quarter of birth and schizophrenia autism and iqa perhaps due to sunlight or foodavailability effects these effects are very small but remember so is the influence of quarter of birth on earnings so a small effect can still bias the results is quarter of birth is truly as random as a random number generator maybe not such is the progress of sciencep pas with card and kruger the innovation in this paper was not the result but the method open your eyes be creative uncover the natural experiments that aboundthis was the lesson of the credibility revolutionp pa hrefhttpsimbenspeoplestanfordeduguido imbensa of stanford grew up in the netherlands has been less involved in clever studies of empirical phenomena but rather in developing the theoretical framework the key papers are angrist and imbens 1994 a hrefhttpswwwjstororgstable2951620identification and estimation of local treatment effectsa and angrist imbens and rubin a hrefhttpswwwtandfonlinecomdoiabs10108001621459199610476902identification of causal effects using instrumental variablesa which answers the question when we use an instrumental variable what exactly is it that we are measuring in a study of the flu for example some doctors were randomly remindedencouraged to offer their patients the flu shot  we can use the randomization as an instrumental variable to measure the effect of the flu shot but note some patients will always get a flu shot say the elderly some patients will never get a flu shot say the young so what we are really measuring is not the effect of the flu shot on everyone the average treatment effect but rather on the subset of patients who got the flu shot because their doctor was encouragedthat latter effect is known as the local average treatment effect its the treatment effect for those who are influenced by the instrument the random encouragement which is not necessarily the same as an the effect of the flu shot on groups of people who were not influenced by the instrumentp pby the way imbens is married to susan athey herself a potential nobel prize winner imbensathey have many joint papers bringing a hrefhttpsarxivorgabs190310075causal inference and machine learning togethera a hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution201401inequalityandthemastersofmoneyhtmlthe akerlofyellen of the new generationa talk about assortative matching angrist by the way was the best man at the weddingp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thecredibilityrevolution1htmla nobel prize for the credibility revolutiona appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthe nobel prize goes david card joshua angrist guido imbens seek monuments look empirical work economics read popular press plenty doesnt popular press analyzing natural experiments techniques difference differences instrumental variables regression discontinuity techniques powerful ideas understandable person street given economists tremendous advantage talking public example famous minimum wage study hrefhttpswwwjstororgstable2118030card krueger 1994a hrefhttpdavidcardberkeleyedupapersnjminaerpdfherea study known paradoxical finding new jerseys increase minimum wage 1992 didnt reduce employment fast food restaurants increased employment paper great clarity methods card krueger study problemp pthe obvious way estimate effect minimum wage look difference employment fast food restaurants law went effect things changing time circa 1992 standard approach control variables including statistical analysis factors state economy include control variables reasoning went uncover true effect minimum wage card krueger different turned control groupp ppennsylvania didnt pass minimum wage law 1992 close new jersey card kruger reasoned factors affecting new jersey fast food restaurants likely influence pennsylvania fast food restaurants state economy example likely similar effect demand fast food nj pa weather fact argument extends factor imagine including demographics changes tastes changes supply costs standard approach circa 1992 controlling variables requires know variables important control group dont need know variables likely influence nj pa fast food restaurants similarly differently nj pa similar happened pa good estimate emwhat happenedem nj nj passed minimum wagep pthus card kruger estimated effect minimum wage new jersey calculating difference employment nj law subtracting difference employment pa law term difference differences subtracting pa difference ie happened nj law passed nj difference actually happened left effect minimum wage brilliantp pyet todays standards obvious hard understand circa 1992 idea differences differences common despite fact differences differences actually pioneered physician hrefhttpwwwphuclaeduepisnowgrand_experimenthtmljohn snow identification causes choleraa 1840 1850s obvious today obvious generations economists credible techniques technical barrier better methodsp pfurthermore appreciated important card krueger went njpa comparison maybe pa isnt good control nj ok lets try control fast food restaurants nj paying minimum wage embeforeem minimum wage went effect restaurants paying minimum wage minimum wage law shouldnt influence employment restaurants highwage fastfood restaurants influenced factors influencing demand cost fast food state economy input prices demographics forth card krueger calculated effect minimum wage subtracting difference employment high wage restaurants uninfluenced law difference employment lowwage restaurants results similar njpa comparisonp pthe importance hrefhttpswwwjstororgstable2118030card krueger 1994a result continue hrefhttpwwwnberorgpapersw18681debateda card krueger revealed economists natural experiments plausible treatment control groups creativity thirty years empirical economics result economists opening eyes natural experiments themp pangrist kruegers 1991 paper hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution20211020httpswwwjstororgstable2937954does compulsory school attendance affect schooling earningsa beautiful economics begins seemingly absurd strategy light pictures convinces reader strategy isnt absurd brilliantp pthe problem classic estimate effect schooling earnings people schooling earn schooling people schooling ability angrist kruegers strategy use correlation students quarter birth years education estimate effect schooling earnings students quarter birth possibly education student receives weird kind economic astrologyp pangrist krueger exploit quirks education quirk child born late december start grade earlier child nearly age born early january second quirk decades individual quit school age 16 quirks people born fourth quarter little bit likely little bit education similar students born quarter scott cunninghams excellent textbook causal inference hrefhttpscunningcomcunningham_mixtapepdfthe mixtapea nice diagramp pimg sizesmaxwidth 694px 100vw 694px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810mixtapeivpng alt width694 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810mixtapeivpng 694w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810mixtapeiv300x96png 300w classwpimage74573 height223p pputting means random factor quarter birth correlated months education think thing id scoff pick small effect data come pictures picture review paper hrefhttpswwwjstororgstable2696517angrist krueger 2001a shows quarter birth total education years education going time common stay school age 16 notice saw tooth pattern people born quarter year little bit education people born fourth quarter difference small 1 year clear difference therep pimg sizesmaxwidth 500px 100vw 500px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810angristkrueger1jpg alt width500 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810angristkrueger1jpg 500w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810angristkrueger1300x197jpg 300w classwpimage74575 height329p pok payoff quarter birth random randomly assigned students education studentsthus angrist krueger uncovering random experiment natural data step look earnings vary quarter birth heres picturep pimg sizesmaxwidth 556px 100vw 556px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810angristkrueger2jpg alt width556 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810angristkrueger2jpg 556w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads201810angristkrueger2300x197jpg 300w classwpimage74574 height365p pcrazy plain day people born quarter slightly education people born fourth quarter figure people born quarter slightly lower earnings people born fourth quarter figure effect earnings small 1 recall quarter birth changes education 1 year dividing gives estimate implies extra year education increases earnings healthy 10p plots said sure quarter birth random random researchers found hrefhttpswwwjstororgstable2291055correlations quarter birth schizophrenia autism iqa sunlight foodavailability effects effects small remember influence quarter birth earnings small effect bias results quarter birth truly random random number generator maybe progress sciencep pas card kruger innovation paper result method open eyes creative uncover natural experiments aboundthis lesson credibility revolutionp pa hrefhttpsimbenspeoplestanfordeduguido imbensa stanford grew netherlands involved clever studies empirical phenomena developing theoretical framework key papers angrist imbens 1994 hrefhttpswwwjstororgstable2951620identification estimation local treatment effectsa angrist imbens rubin hrefhttpswwwtandfonlinecomdoiabs10108001621459199610476902identification causal effects instrumental variablesa answers question use instrumental variable exactly measuring study flu example doctors randomly remindedencouraged offer patients flu shot use randomization instrumental variable measure effect flu shot note patients flu shot elderly patients flu shot young measuring effect flu shot average treatment effect subset patients got flu shot doctor encouragedthat effect known local average treatment effect treatment effect influenced instrument random encouragement necessarily effect flu shot groups people influenced instrumentp pby way imbens married susan athey potential nobel prize winner imbensathey joint papers bringing hrefhttpsarxivorgabs190310075causal inference machine learning togethera hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution201401inequalityandthemastersofmoneyhtmlthe akerlofyellen new generationa talk assortative matching angrist way best man weddingp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thecredibilityrevolution1htmla nobel prize credibility revolutiona appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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The economics Nobel

pi have a few commitments tomorrow morning so my own coverage might be a bit less than usual though you still will get something  alex will be on it toop pstrongaddendumstrong having woken up to alexs excellent posts perhaps you wont be hearing much from me at allp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110theeconomicsnobelhtmlthe economics nobela appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pi commitments tomorrow morning coverage bit usual alex toop pstrongaddendumstrong having woken alexs excellent posts wont hearing allp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110theeconomicsnobelhtmlthe economics nobela appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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The moderating role of culture on the benefits of economic freedom

pa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsciencedirectcomsciencearticlepiis0147596721000603 target_blankby johan graafland and eelkede jongap blockquotepwe argue that successful implementation of promarket policies and institutions requires that large parts of the population know how to use the resulting freedom in a way that can bring long term benefits a panel analysis on a sample of 67 countries from 1970 to 2019 confirms this theoretical argument we find that long term orientation increases the effect of economic freedom on income per capita whereas uncertainty avoidance weakens the positive relationship between economic freedom and income per capita the policy implication is that the introduction of free market policies and institutions will particularly foster economic development in longterm oriented societies and in societies with low uncertainty avoidancepblockquote pvia the excellent a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyroundupowningmanagement target_blankkevin lewisap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110themoderatingroleofcultureonthebenefitsofeconomicfreedomhtmlthe moderating role of culture on the benefits of economic freedoma appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsciencedirectcomsciencearticlepiis0147596721000603 target_blankby johan graafland eelkede jongap blockquotepwe argue successful implementation promarket policies institutions requires large parts population know use resulting freedom way bring long term benefits panel analysis sample 67 countries 1970 2019 confirms theoretical argument find long term orientation increases effect economic freedom income capita uncertainty avoidance weakens positive relationship economic freedom income capita policy implication introduction free market policies institutions particularly foster economic development longterm oriented societies societies low uncertainty avoidancepblockquote pvia excellent relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyroundupowningmanagement target_blankkevin lewisap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110themoderatingroleofcultureonthebenefitsofeconomicfreedomhtmlthe moderating role culture benefits economic freedoma appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Why people love dead Jews

pi remember being in the alleys of downtown cairo a decade ago and coming to the ruins of a synagogue one of dozens that once housed the religious life of the thousands of jews who gave this neighbourhood its name it is still called the jewish quarter even though by the time i arrived in 2009 the actual jews who had crowded the alleys up to the 1940s had been hounded out by state persecution and mob violence as far as i knew the jewish population of cairos jewish quarter on the day i visited was one mep pthe synagogue was named for the philosopher and physician maimonides who led the jewish community here in the 12supthsup century when cairo was the most important jewish centre in the middle east the building was nothing but a roofless shell but i discovered a work crew laying planks in one of the rooms up to their knees in fetid water it turned out that the egyptian government the same regime that took possession of much of the property of the 80000 jews whod been forced out of the country two generations earlier was engaged in a restoration projectp pa polite young engineer on the site showed me the location of the stand where the torah scroll was once read another man in civilian clothes but with some vaguely military authority told me not to take picturesp divdiv pthere couldnt be anything bad about the restoration of a synagogue could there it was hard to explain why none of this felt right why i preferred to see the building left to rot rather than see it made up like a corpse at a wake i had the same feeling when i saw other journalists refer seriously to the jewish community of cairo quoting a woman who was its presidentp pthere was no community just a regimeapproved simulacrum designed to allow everyone to pretend that an ethnic cleansing hadnt taken place and that something dead was alive it was a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiweekend_at_bernie27s target_blankemweekend at berniesema at the time of my visit the egyptian government was trying to get one of its officials elected to a top cultural post at the un an effort hindered by this same officials past a relnoopener hrefhttpnewsbbccouk1hiworldmiddle_east8071962stm target_blanksupporta for burning hebrew books a synagogue renovation couldnt hurt his cause the real jews were long out of egypt but their imaginary avatars were still hard at work serving the narrative needs of othersp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howinfluencershaveenabledantisemitismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howinfluencershaveenabledantisemitismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202105freepal1300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howinfluencershaveenabledantisemitismrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howinfluencershaveenabledantisemitismrefinnarh5how influencers have legitimised antisemitismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howinfluencershaveenabledantisemitismrefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pin cairo and at similar sites ive visited elsewhere in the middle east and europe ive felt in the words of the author dara horn an unarticulated sense that despite all the supposed goodwill something was clearly off horn has now articulated that sense and many other important and elusive senses in a superb new essay collection a relnoopener hrefhttpswwnortoncombooks9780393531565 target_blankempeople love dead jewsema i should mention that i spent a summer with the author on a youth programme three decades ago and have remained in touch horn comes at her subject with a deep grasp of history and a personal commitment to the living jewish tradition with an acerbic sense of humour that pops out now and then and also refreshingly and necessarily with angerp pone memorable essay recounts a bizarre trip to several jewish heritage sites in harbin china near the siberian border the city is known for its vast a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwchinahighlightscomfestivalsharbiniceandsnowfestivalhtm target_blankice festivala every winter and also for being founded by jews who were sent there by tsarist russia as part of a railway project but were then dispossessed and driven out by a mix of imperial japanese occupiers white russian bigots and rapacious communists of both the soviet and maoist variety horn quips that jewish heritage sites a benign term used in many countries for the purpose of multicultural branding and drawing jewish tourism sounds better than property seized from dead or expelled jewsp pthe author visits the largest jewish cemetery in the far east which turns out not to be a real cemetery at all but just gravestones on empty ground the original cemetery was rezoned years ago and the harbin municipality moved only the markers not the bodies which now seem to be under an amusement parkp pthe names of those jews have inevitably been forgotten a very different posthumous fate befell anne frank the subject of another essay in this book who in the decades since her murder at age 16 has been turned into a global brand horn is cutting about the way her famous diary has been used as a feelgood story that flatters readers in the same way that a renovated synagogue flatters the multiculturalism of the egyptian statep pthe books most famous sentence i still believe in spite of everything that people are truly good at heart is something we all like to hear but it obscures the obvious truth of the text which was written a few weeks before anne was turned in by dutch neighbours to die in a german camp no one was good enough to save her it is far more gratifying horn writes to believe that an innocent dead girl has offered us grace than to recognise the obvious frank wrote about people being truly good at heart before meeting people who werentp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202106howamericanjewslostthemselvesrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202106howamericanjewslostthemselvesrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202106bw2300x195jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202106howamericanjewslostthemselvesrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202106howamericanjewslostthemselvesrefinnarh5how american jews lost themselvesh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202106howamericanjewslostthemselvesrefinnarspanbyspan ben judahapdivadiv pand its easier to love a jewish girl who can no longer express her potentially uncomfortable conclusions about her own life than it is to tolerate her annoyingly living coreligionists in 2018 the anne frank museum in amsterdam located at the site of the house where she hid with her family wouldnt let a jewish employee wear a kippah explaining that this violated the museums neutrality the directors changed their mind only after four months of deliberations horn observes which seems like a rather long time for the anne frank house to ponder whether it was a good idea to force a jew into hiding a similar observation might be made about a place like belgium which also has nice jewish museums and memorials yet just passed a law a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjpostcomdiasporabelgiumbanskosherslaughteringpavingwayforpossibleeuban653958 target_blankbanninga kosher slaughter a necessity for those living belgian jews who would like to practice their religionp plooming over horns essay collection is the place that is now home to the largest number of living jews the state of israel israel is the ultimate demonstration of horns thesis though she mostly and wisely steers clear of the topic many people eager to venerate their vanished jews are simultaneously uncomfortable with the ones who are still alive in the tiny corner of the middle east where they fled after most other places on earth became unlivablep phorn skirts close in one moving essay about a group of yiddish actors and writers in the soviet union of the 1940s who were exploited for propaganda then killed when they were no longer useful the communists could tolerate jews she writes provided they werent practising the jewish religion studying traditional jewish texts using hebrew or supporting zionism meaning that nearly all of jewish life was out of bounds the soviet union thus pioneered a versatile gaslighting slogan which it later spread through its client states in the developing world and which remains popular today it was not antisemitic merely antizionistp pthis differentiation which outlived the soviets and is increasingly popular on the western left today is largely lost on the plurality of jews who are israelis and on the vast majority who think a jewish state is a good idea older people here in israel still remember how in the yom kippur war of 1973 just 28 years after the concentration camps closed the same liberal countries of europe that were expressing pious regret for the recent extermination of their jews wouldnt allow desperately needed american resupply flights to land in their territory en route to israel which had just been attacked by two arab clients of the soviets and was struggling to recoverp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202102havelondonsorthodoxjewsreachedherdimmunityrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202102havelondonsorthodoxjewsreachedherdimmunityrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202102gettyimages4616704382300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202102havelondonsorthodoxjewsreachedherdimmunityrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202102havelondonsorthodoxjewsreachedherdimmunityrefinnarh5how covid ripped through londons jewsh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202102havelondonsorthodoxjewsreachedherdimmunityrefinnarspanbyspan etan smallmanapdivadiv pand in 2021 young jews can still see how countries like france germany and the uk lay solemn wreaths at holocaust memorials while participating in the isolation of the jewish state at the un where the human rights council to give just one example has condemned israel more times than all other countries on earth combined they can also observe how activists in places awash with jewish heritage sites and holocaust museums are energetically promoting a boycott of zionists with telling successp phorn doesnt go there in part because she doesnt need to her inspired essays say enough but it is that kind of hypocrisy thats at the heart of her argument empeople love dead jews emhelps explain the acute anxiety of many jewish citizens of western countries in 2021 who feel the ground shifting as old forms of thought reappear in public on both the left and the right and as it becomes clear how few lessons have really been learnedp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110whypeoplelovedeadjewsappcommentsview 12 commentsa

pi remember alleys downtown cairo decade ago coming ruins synagogue dozens housed religious life thousands jews gave neighbourhood called jewish quarter time arrived 2009 actual jews crowded alleys 1940s hounded state persecution mob violence far knew jewish population cairos jewish quarter day visited mep pthe synagogue named philosopher physician maimonides led jewish community 12supthsup century cairo important jewish centre middle east building roofless shell discovered work crew laying planks rooms knees fetid water turned egyptian government regime took possession property 80000 jews whod forced country generations earlier engaged restoration projectp pa polite young engineer site showed location stand torah scroll read man civilian clothes vaguely military authority told picturesp divdiv pthere couldnt bad restoration synagogue hard explain felt right preferred building left rot like corpse wake feeling saw journalists refer seriously jewish community cairo quoting woman presidentp pthere community regimeapproved simulacrum designed allow pretend ethnic cleansing hadnt taken place dead alive relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiweekend_at_bernie27s target_blankemweekend berniesema time visit egyptian government trying officials elected cultural post un effort hindered officials past relnoopener hrefhttpnewsbbccouk1hiworldmiddle_east8071962stm target_blanksupporta burning hebrew books synagogue renovation couldnt hurt cause real jews long egypt imaginary avatars hard work serving narrative needs othersp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howinfluencershaveenabledantisemitismrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howinfluencershaveenabledantisemitismrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202105freepal1300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howinfluencershaveenabledantisemitismrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howinfluencershaveenabledantisemitismrefinnarh5how influencers legitimised antisemitismh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105howinfluencershaveenabledantisemitismrefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pin cairo similar sites ive visited middle east europe ive felt words author dara horn unarticulated sense despite supposed goodwill clearly horn articulated sense important elusive senses superb new essay collection relnoopener hrefhttpswwnortoncombooks9780393531565 target_blankempeople love dead jewsema mention spent summer author youth programme decades ago remained touch horn comes subject deep grasp history personal commitment living jewish tradition acerbic sense humour pops refreshingly necessarily angerp pone memorable essay recounts bizarre trip jewish heritage sites harbin china near siberian border city known vast relnoopener hrefhttpswwwchinahighlightscomfestivalsharbiniceandsnowfestivalhtm target_blankice festivala winter founded jews sent tsarist russia railway project dispossessed driven mix imperial japanese occupiers white russian bigots rapacious communists soviet maoist variety horn quips jewish heritage sites benign term countries purpose multicultural branding drawing jewish tourism sounds better property seized dead expelled jewsp pthe author visits largest jewish cemetery far east turns real cemetery gravestones ground original cemetery rezoned years ago harbin municipality moved markers bodies amusement parkp pthe names jews inevitably forgotten different posthumous fate befell anne frank subject essay book decades murder age 16 turned global brand horn cutting way famous diary feelgood story flatters readers way renovated synagogue flatters multiculturalism egyptian statep pthe books famous sentence believe spite people truly good heart like hear obscures obvious truth text written weeks anne turned dutch neighbours die german camp good save far gratifying horn writes believe innocent dead girl offered grace recognise obvious frank wrote people truly good heart meeting people werentp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202106howamericanjewslostthemselvesrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202106howamericanjewslostthemselvesrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202106bw2300x195jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202106howamericanjewslostthemselvesrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202106howamericanjewslostthemselvesrefinnarh5how american jews lost themselvesh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202106howamericanjewslostthemselvesrefinnarspanbyspan ben judahapdivadiv pand easier love jewish girl longer express potentially uncomfortable conclusions life tolerate annoyingly living coreligionists 2018 anne frank museum amsterdam located site house hid family wouldnt let jewish employee wear kippah explaining violated museums neutrality directors changed mind months deliberations horn observes like long time anne frank house ponder good idea force jew hiding similar observation place like belgium nice jewish museums memorials passed law relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjpostcomdiasporabelgiumbanskosherslaughteringpavingwayforpossibleeuban653958 target_blankbanninga kosher slaughter necessity living belgian jews like practice religionp plooming horns essay collection place home largest number living jews state israel israel ultimate demonstration horns thesis wisely steers clear topic people eager venerate vanished jews simultaneously uncomfortable ones alive tiny corner middle east fled places earth unlivablep phorn skirts close moving essay group yiddish actors writers soviet union 1940s exploited propaganda killed longer useful communists tolerate jews writes provided werent practising jewish religion studying traditional jewish texts hebrew supporting zionism meaning nearly jewish life bounds soviet union pioneered versatile gaslighting slogan later spread client states developing world remains popular today antisemitic merely antizionistp pthis differentiation outlived soviets increasingly popular western left today largely lost plurality jews israelis vast majority think jewish state good idea older people israel remember yom kippur war 1973 28 years concentration camps closed liberal countries europe expressing pious regret recent extermination jews wouldnt allow desperately needed american resupply flights land territory en route israel attacked arab clients soviets struggling recoverp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202102havelondonsorthodoxjewsreachedherdimmunityrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202102havelondonsorthodoxjewsreachedherdimmunityrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202102gettyimages4616704382300x200jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202102havelondonsorthodoxjewsreachedherdimmunityrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202102havelondonsorthodoxjewsreachedherdimmunityrefinnarh5how covid ripped londons jewsh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202102havelondonsorthodoxjewsreachedherdimmunityrefinnarspanbyspan etan smallmanapdivadiv pand 2021 young jews countries like france germany uk lay solemn wreaths holocaust memorials participating isolation jewish state un human rights council example condemned israel times countries earth combined observe activists places awash jewish heritage sites holocaust museums energetically promoting boycott zionists telling successp phorn doesnt doesnt need inspired essays kind hypocrisy thats heart argument empeople love dead jews emhelps explain acute anxiety jewish citizens western countries 2021 feel ground shifting old forms thought reappear public left right clear lessons learnedp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110whypeoplelovedeadjewsappcommentsview 12 commentsa

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My Nobel predictions

pi never get it right except when i named duflo banerjee and kremer but a few of you have been asking  ill predict david card claudia goldin and larry katz for work related to issues of poverty and inequality etc  in any case well know soon enoughp pdo you have a better predictionp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110mynobelpredictionshtmlmy nobel predictionsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pi right named duflo banerjee kremer asking ill predict david card claudia goldin larry katz work related issues poverty inequality etc case know soon enoughp pdo better predictionp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110mynobelpredictionshtmlmy nobel predictionsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Solve for the Kiwi Covid equilibrium?

blockquotepelimination was so popular with voters that every major political party backed itp pbut over the past two weeks the national act and green parties have all peeled off from the government vocally denouncing the new approach or offering new plans of their own ardern and her ministers continue to equivocate on whether elimination is over at all a hemming and hawing that smith says could hinder them from communicating a clear new vision for new zealands path forwardp pin one sense ardern could now be a victim of her own success says ben thomas a communications consultant and former national government staffer the governments elimination campaign was so compelling and its results so strong that it won huge support polling above 80 through most of the pandemicp ppart of the prime ministers problem is that she did such a good job of rallying new zealanders to this cause of convincing them correctly that elimination was an achievable goal and of instilling a real fear of the virus thats a very hard thing to unwind from thomas saysp psmith says elimination was something that new zealanders could be proud of it brought us together and became a common goal and the challenge now is to find what is the common goal during a suppression strategy probably vaccination rates but to give us this same pride that we had last year in our covid response again that is the big challenge facing jacinda and her team nowp pthe most likely candidate for that new vision is vaccination but its harder to capture the urgency of that message while simultaneously arguing the country is still eliminating the virusp blockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021oct09jacindaardernfacingbiggestchallengeyetasnewzealandswitchestocovidsuppression target_blankthe full storya via rich deweyp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110solveforthekiwicovidequilibriumhtmlsolve for the kiwi covid equilibriuma appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepelimination popular voters major political party backed itp pbut past weeks national act green parties peeled government vocally denouncing new approach offering new plans ardern ministers continue equivocate elimination hemming hawing smith says hinder communicating clear new vision new zealands path forwardp pin sense ardern victim success says ben thomas communications consultant national government staffer governments elimination campaign compelling results strong won huge support polling 80 pandemicp ppart prime ministers problem good job rallying new zealanders cause convincing correctly elimination achievable goal instilling real fear virus thats hard thing unwind thomas saysp psmith says elimination new zealanders proud brought common goal challenge find common goal suppression strategy probably vaccination rates pride year covid response big challenge facing jacinda team nowp pthe likely candidate new vision vaccination harder capture urgency message simultaneously arguing country eliminating virusp blockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021oct09jacindaardernfacingbiggestchallengeyetasnewzealandswitchestocovidsuppression target_blankthe storya rich deweyp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110solveforthekiwicovidequilibriumhtmlsolve kiwi covid equilibriuma appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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What should I ask Ray Dalio?

pi will be doing a conversation with him  so what should i ask  and if you wish here is a relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiray_dalio target_blankhis wikipedia pageap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whatshouldiaskraydaliohtmlwhat should i ask ray dalioa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pi conversation ask wish relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikiray_dalio target_blankhis wikipedia pageap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whatshouldiaskraydaliohtmlwhat ask ray dalioa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Economic recalculation is proceeding slowly

blockquotepan engineer stuck on a cargo ship abandoned in a black sea port has waited four years to get paid and go homep poff the coast of somalia a crew awaiting pay languishes on a piratetrawled stretch of the indian ocean while their ship slowly takes on water another 14 seafarers stuck on a cargo ship off the coast of iran have run out of food and fuel some contemplated suicidepblockquote div blockquotepwe cannot survive here said an engineer aboard the mv aizdihar abandoned off the iranian port city of bandar abbas please help us he spoke via video earlier this year his face drawnp pthe 14 trillion shipping industry responsible for 90 of world trade has left in its wake what appears to be a record number of a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlessailortrappedaboardabandonedcargoshipfouryears11619789989modarticle_inline target_blankcargoship castawaysa abandonment cases are counted when shipowners fail to pay crews two or more months in wages or dont cover the cost to send crew members home according to the international maritime organization a united nations agencyp plast year the number of such cases reported to the agency more than doubled to 85 from 40 in 2019 this year is on track to be worsep pmore than 1000 seafarers are currently abandoned on container ships and bulk carriers according to estimates by the international transport workers federation a labor union the true toll is likely higher because many crew members are reluctant to speak out for fear of being blacklisted according to interviews with seafarers on abandoned vessels shipowners agents maritime organizations and union officialsp pmohamed arrachedi the unions middle east coordinator said he wakes up to dozens of whatsapp messages from distraught sailors around the world its a global humanitarian crisispblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlescrewsareabandonedonshipsinrecordnumberswithoutpayfoodorawayhome11633699978 target_blankmore from the wsja by drew hinshaw and joe parkinsonp div pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110economicrecalculationisproceedingslowlyhtmleconomic recalculation is proceeding slowlya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepan engineer stuck cargo ship abandoned black sea port waited years paid homep poff coast somalia crew awaiting pay languishes piratetrawled stretch indian ocean ship slowly takes water 14 seafarers stuck cargo ship coast iran run food fuel contemplated suicidepblockquote div blockquotepwe survive said engineer aboard mv aizdihar abandoned iranian port city bandar abbas help spoke video earlier year face drawnp pthe 14 trillion shipping industry responsible 90 world trade left wake appears record number ofa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlessailortrappedaboardabandonedcargoshipfouryears11619789989modarticle_inline target_blankcargoship castawaysaabandonment cases counted shipowners fail pay crews months wages dont cover cost send crew members home according international maritime organization united nations agencyp plast year number cases reported agency doubled 85 40 2019 year track worsep pmore 1000 seafarers currently abandoned container ships bulk carriers according estimates international transport workers federation labor union true toll likely higher crew members reluctant speak fear blacklisted according interviews seafarers abandoned vessels shipowners agents maritime organizations union officialsp pmohamed arrachedi unions middle east coordinator said wakes dozens whatsapp messages distraught sailors world global humanitarian crisispblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlescrewsareabandonedonshipsinrecordnumberswithoutpayfoodorawayhome11633699978 target_blankmore wsja drew hinshaw joe parkinsonp div pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110economicrecalculationisproceedingslowlyhtmleconomic recalculation proceeding slowlya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Beyond reasonable doubt: climate science and the limits of appropriate scepticism

pwhen the detective dirty harry points his huge gun at a criminal he states that there is some doubt about whether the chamber that is currently cocked is actually loaded the policeman then utters the movies famous lines youve got to ask yourself a question do i feel lucky well do you punkp pin a sense this question captures the state of debate about climate change on the cusp of the cop26 global summit in glasgow quantifying uncertainty is always a crucial part of science in the dirty harry example a thoughtful criminal will first infer a one in six chance of dying assuming one loaded chamber in a sixchamber pistol before deciding whether fleeing is worth the risk p psimilarly to decide whether recalcitrant governments at the forthcoming summit are unwisely pushing humanitys luck its best to focus on the wellestablished science whose uncertainties can be quantified its reasonable to suspect the wilder speculations of doom and its obviously reasonable too to doubt whether a particular detailed and specific prediction will be accurate but its not reasonable to deny that were running some risks the existence of which has been well established gauging what can and cannot reasonably be doubted is indispensable to settling just how lucky we can feel but it can be tough to glean what is sure and what is dubious in a debate that is mired in emotion politics money and sensationalism as much as it is in science p pthe lurch away from science is not hard to understand some socialists might welcome a wholesale reworking of the business model of modern industrial civilisation which they judge rightly or wrongly to be a happy requirement of dealing with the climate crisis hairshirted puritans meanwhile may enthusiastically embrace the darkest scenarios almost because of the implied need for immediate dramatic restrictions on energy production consumption and travel for others including libertarians in particular this restriction of personal freedom is anathema they will thus have an ideological reason to doubt apocalyptic predictions in such ways and even before we get to the potential of vested personal interests that distort ones reading of science a persons immediate reaction to the issue of climate change tends to become deeply entangled with their political dnap pthe debate is now reaching a new level with the release this summer of a dire new report from the intergovernmental panel on climate change ipcc its first major assessment of global climate change in eight years warning of potential disastrous consequences if carbon emissions are not curtailed in the coming decade the un secretary general antnio guterres labelled the report a code red for humanity as the new administration in the united states looks set to use the coming summit as an attempt to return to a position of leadership on the climate issue p pbut just how much can washington or even the ipcc be emreasonablyem sure of developing sound public policy proposals in the current intellectual climatenever mind winning wide political approval for painful choiceswill be challenging until we can agree on what it does and does not make sense to doubtp div classwpblockspacerdiv pstrongirreducible uncertaintiesstrongp pat one level it might seem peculiar for any openminded scientist to be talking about the limits of doubt because in some respects the scientific method emisem doubt never take anything on trust always interrogate whether youre really sure and stand ready to falsify and jettison anything if experiment disagrees with your predictions and indeed there is properly plenty of doubt and all manner of uncertainties at the frontiers of climate science it is one of the great hallmarks of good science that we not only acknowledge the existence of uncertainties but also attempt to accurately quantify them one way of thinking about climate policy is as an organised societal response to doubt in theory at least governments and ngos should be weighing various alternatives attempting to predict what policies might produce the best outcomes recognising that their current understanding may be incomplete and that outcomes may differ from expectations p pduring the leadup to decisions and summits like cop26 debate and discussion can usefully explore such issues as the economic and environmental utility or lack thereof of carbon taxes carbon caps subsidies for renewable energy and zerocarbon technologies tariffs on coal funding for carbon capture and so on acknowledged uncertainty should be integral to this discussion with costs being weighed against a range of harmful possible outcomes together with the likelihood of different potential impacts of variousbrproposed interventions p pbut we are unlikely to devote adequate time and resources to such potentially disruptive moves if fundamental doubt lingers about the main predicted consequences of climate change so that governments and citizens can rationalise a wait and see attitude campaigns that plant the seeds of this sort of sweeping doubt have been remarkably effective at forestalling an organised response in places like the united states the allimportant distinction to draw is between a candid admission of the existence of the sort of uncertainty that has to be grappled with in all areas of science including climate and a cynically confected ultrascepticism which invites paralysis by falsely cowing us into believing we dont know anything at all p pnow it is true that emnoem science is ever completely settled even newtons classical law of gravity which accurately predicts most of the physical phenomenon humans can directly observe was supplanted by the theory of general relativity general relativity may in turn be supplanted by something like string theory nevertheless we need to counter our natural tendency to jump from the reality that we dont know everything about the universe to the conclusion that we know almost nothing the fact that we dont have the slightest idea what is the fundamental gravitational cause of the accelerating expansion of our universe doesnt thwart our ability to navigate the gravitational forces in our solar system accurately enough to drop a rover on mars precisely where it was intended to landp pin the climate context natural scepticism is only emboldened by just how much remains uncertain at the forefront detailed regional predictions require complex and sometimes interactive modelling of the atmosphere oceans and landmasses as well as amassing a large number of measurements around the globe moreover data about past climate events is sometimes sparse and the conclusions we draw based on paleoclimate data invariably get refined as new numbers come in p ptake a couple of recent examples just as the new ipcc report was about to be unveiled emscienceem magazine reported that most climate models used in it projected implausibly fast warming rates when projecting backwards to compare with paleoclimate data during the coldest point in the most recent ice age about 20000 years ago the data suggested the earth cooled by less than 6c while the models suggested almost twice as much cooling projecting into the future estimates that use current data and trends suggest warming between 26c and 39c if cosub2sub in the atmosphere doubles compared to preindustrial times whereas many of the models considered by the ipcc predict warming in excess of 5cp psimilarly a recent report from columbia universitys lamontdoherty earth observatory and utrecht university suggests that sea level rise in the past was less significant than previously estimated and another study out of utrecht this year suggested that sea level rise in the coming century is likely to be 25 per cent less than previously predicted due to slower global ocean warming than earlier estimates suggestedp div classwpblockspacerdiv pstrongsure thingsstrongp pthese are real scientific concerns that cannot be wished away if you hear a campaigner claim that all such uncertainties are over and it is now a settled fact that there are only 12 years left to save the world ignore them they and you would do better to switch attention to the real question whether in the face of the evolving and sometimes imprecise predictions there is sufficient uncertainty regarding the fundamental nature extent and impact of climate change to justify stepping back from concerted and potentially costly efforts to curb cosub2sub productionp pthe answer is no the inevitable uncertainty at the cutting edge of atmospheric science does not undermine wellunderstood basic predictions to return to another gravitational analogy letting uncertainties at the forefront of science cause us to ignore fundamental wellunderstood science is like using the fact that uncertainties exist about quantum gravity to justify jumping out of a seventhstorey window just in case you might fall up rather than down p div classwpblockimagefigureimg sizesmaxwidth 580px 100vw 580px srchttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110gettyimages13391779791jpg width580 alt srcsethttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110gettyimages13391779791jpg 580w httpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110gettyimages13391779791300x197jpg 300w classwpimage119853 height381figcaptionover the past decade greenlands ice sheet has melted at a mostly constant and sometimes accelerating rate photo mario tamagetty imagesfigcaptionfigurediv pthe fundamental science that underlies climate change is now over 150 years old and it works having been tested by easily replicable experimentsas basic as showing how much glass bulbs filled with different gasses will heatfor over a century moreover the general climate predictions based on this fundamental science agree with observations that have been made over the past 60 years p pwhen one has an underlying wellfounded theory whose predictions accurately correlate with known causes and observed effects it is a good bet that one is on the right track one can never completely rule out some weird cosmic conspiracy that reproduces by coincidence the exact same effects as wellestablished theories would predict but the right attitude to such freak possibilities is best expressed colloquially if it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck it is probably a duck p phere are the basic physical principles and observations that underlie the reality of humaninduced climate changep pa if energy in equals energy out the earths overall temperature will remain constant we can measure the total energy in when the sun is directly overhead and it is 1361 watts per square metre averaged over the earth accounting for nighttime and regions where the sun is at a lower angle this total average energy input is cut by threequarters to a value of 340 watts per square metre but whatever the number the temperature will not rise if the same amount of energy bounces back out to space as is incident on earthp blockquote classwpblockquotepone way of thinking about climate policy is as an organised societal response to doubtpblockquote pb if there were no atmosphere and the earth radiated back into space 340 watts per square metre then our 175yearold understanding of thermodynamics which specifies that all bodies radiate an amount of energy that is proportional to the fourth power of their temperature allows us to calculate that the average surface temperature of the earth would be about 18 degrees below 0cp pc the actual average temperature of the earth is roughly a positive 15c this is because the earth is blanketed by an atmosphere that traps much heat energy about 30 per cent of solar energy impinging on earth is directly reflected back into space from the top of the atmosphere the rest is absorbed by the atmosphere and the earth the earths surface then reradiates its energy back out as infrared radiation but before this can make its way out into space it has to pass through the atmosphere it is the proportion of energy absorbed here which determines how much warmer our world ends up than if there were no atmosphereand that in turn depends on the mix of gasses therep pd increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere makes it less transparent to outgoing infrared radiation carbon dioxide absorbs heat energy as does water this was first measured in the 1860s by irish scientist john tyndall who measured the amount of heat radiation that successfully transmitted through vials of different gases en route to space all the reradiated energy has to pass through the upper atmosphere where there is little water vapour so it is substantially the cosub2 subthere which determines how transparent it is to the outbound heat energy more of it will mean less of the energy makes it out to space and if less radiation is emitted outwards into space while the amount of radiation coming in from the sun remains the same the equilibrium that would otherwise exist is disturbed a departure from equilibrium called emradiative forcingem there is extra heat energy which makes its way to the earths surface heating it upp pe the predicted radiative forcing due to the additional cosub2sub in the atmosphere is between 153 watts per square metre over the earths entire surfaceand this is consistent with measurements eventually even with more cosub2sub than before so long as the new mix of gasses is stable equilibrium would be restored a hotter planet and hotter atmosphere will emit enough heat energy into space to balance the incoming radiation from the sun but if cosub2sub continues to be pumped into the atmosphere then additional radiative forcing will occur and equilibrium will not be achieved instead the temperature of the earthatmosphere system will continue to risep div classwpblockimagefigureimg sizesmaxwidth 580px 100vw 580px srchttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110sizeadjustedkraussgettyimages1150822972png width580 alt srcsethttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110sizeadjustedkraussgettyimages1150822972png 580w httpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110sizeadjustedkraussgettyimages1150822972300x225png 300w classwpimage119860 height435figcaptionno excuse for inaction climate protesters in london in 2019 photo john keeblegetty imagesfigcaptionfigurediv pthese are the welltested bits of physics and chemistry underlying the current science of climate change they are confirmed by a host of observations including satellite and groundbased measurements of upward and downward radiation and cosub2sub and temperature measurements across the globe and the basic predictionthat measured human production of greenhouse gases between 1900 and 2020 would increase the earths temperature by about 12chas been validated p pthe earths surface is dominated by water and the oceans govern the balance of heat across it here measurements are particularly telling the worlds oceans had increased in average temperature in 2019 by 0075c compared to the 30year average temperature between 1980 and 2010 this may not seem like a lot but it corresponds to the additional heat that would have been produced by setting off 36bn hiroshimalevel atombomb explosions in the ocean about four every second day and night 365 days a year for the past 25 yearsp pit takes some time for the additional energy impinging on the earth due to radiative forcing to be fully and uniformly distributed through the oceans depths even if greenhouse gas production stopped today the radiative forcing that has already occurred up to now will result in an additional ocean temperature rise of almost 05c over the coming centuries p div classwpblockspacerdiv pstrongslipping below the waterlinestrongp pas we consider the likely impacts of climate change amid many uncertainties this additional heat in the oceans is telling it has been known for millennia that water expands when heated and when considering sea level rise the basic change in ocean temperature this century will produce a sea level change of at least a quarter of a metre p pand that is before we come on to sobering uncertainties regarding the melting of glaciers and icesheets as i am writing this it has been reported that it rained on greenlands snowy summit for the first time in recorded history over the past decade the melting of greenlands ice sheet has persisted at a mostly constant and sometimes accelerating rate even conservative estimates of this melting along with the melting of glaciers in western antarctica when combined with sea level rise due to increasing ocean temperatures imply a minimum total sea level rise of about 05 metres during this century emeven ifem the world reduces carbon production in line with the promises made at the last important cop summit before glasgow at paris in 2015p blockquote classwpblockquotepdoubt about the likelihood and timing is completely legitimate doubt about the seriousness of what is at stake is notpblockquote pa halfmetre may not strike you as much but a lot depends on the eyes of the beholder if someone is precariously holding a bowling ball 50 centimetres above your foot it wont seem trivial p pa broken toe heals however over 100m people live in coastal regions which will be below hightide levels by the end of this century many of these people will face loss of property and livelihood without hope of recovery p plast year i spent several weeks on the mekong river visiting a region where over 14m people depend directly on the health of that ecosystem and where over 60m less directly depend on the rice produced in the flooded paddies making it the most fertile riceproducing region in the world if the south china sea turns the flooded plains brackish then rice paddies will make way for salty mangrove swamps and a river system that today produces more fresh fish than the fish presently harvested in the us will be no longer p div classwpblockimagefigureimg sizesmaxwidth 306px 100vw 306px srchttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110editedkrausantoniopng alt width306 srcsethttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110editedkrausantoniopng 580w httpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110editedkrausantonio200x300png 200w classwpimage119864 height458figcaptioncode red for humanity un secretary general antnio guterres has tried to mobilise nations to take climate change seriously photo mrio cruzepaefeshutterstockfigcaptionfigurediv pfor the people of southern vietnamemalmost allem of which is less than one metre above sea leveland many other places immediately threatened by rising seas the current uncertainty about whether temperatures will rise by 2 or 4c or whether sea levels will rise by more than one metre is rather academic it cannot be reasonably doubted that these communities will have to respond soon to the immediate ongoing effects of climate change not due to future cosub2sub emissions but the change already locked in by past emissions p pin sum it is now known with close to certainty that mediating the known effects of climate change in the near term will be required if we are to stave off some of the worst consequences for the worlds poorest populations living in equatorial regions ensuring access to modern agricultural methods in the face of increasing droughts and to clean water and reliable power will be important as will building coastal infrastructure to deal with rising seas p div classwpblockspacerdiv pstrongindubitable arithmetic strongp pbecause the impacts of climate change elsewhere in the world may take many decades or centuries to manifest some may still find it hard to muster much urgency to address current carbon production but here too another basic bit of atmospheric chemistry independent of current uncertainties in highresolution climate modelling is importantthe firmly established reality that the additional cosub2sub concentration we add to the atmosphere will not dissipate for over 1000 years p phumanity pumps about 10bn tons of carbon into the atmosphere each year roughly five billion of which will remain in the atmosphere for a millennium the cumulative effect of this is measurably material over the past 60 years for example we have emalreadyem increased the abundance of this gas in the atmosphere by over 30 per cent and if the current production rate continues by 2050 the atmospheric abundance will have doubled compared to the preindustrial concentration of 600bn tons and almost all of this extra carbon will remain in the atmosphere for the foreseeable futureemeven ifem fossil fuel burning now stops or slows p pif we set an ambitious goal of limiting the rise in the total cosub2sub concentration in the atmosphere to peak at less than twice the preindustrial levelbasically the goal of the paris agreementthen every decade in which we continue to produce cosub2sub at current levels makes the required future reductions more severe and so more disruptive for our society and economy had we begun to reduce carbon production in 2010 the required annual reductions would have been 37 per cent waiting until 2020 to begin already means that future reductions would need to have been 90 per cent per year waiting for another decade to take action would mean that hitting the same goal would require annual reductions that are likely impossiblep blockquote classwpblockquotepthe basic change in ocean temperature this century will produce a sea level change of at least a quarter of a metrepblockquote pbeyond this there is the question of climate tipping points that might produce irreversible dramatic changes due to feedback between various different effectsthe possible complete disappearance of that greenland ice sheet is a particularly disturbing example here should it vanish as it has at times in the distant past worldwide sea levels will increase by about seven metres enough to flood almost all major coastal cities on earthan outcome that nobody could doubt would be ruinous p pmodels suggest that a mean temperature increase of 5 to 7c is guaranteed to irreversibly destabilise the ice sheet which would then disappear over the course of several centuries to a millennium some models though suggest a temperature increase of as little as 2c could irreversibly albeit more slowly threaten its stability while the timescale over which it would disappear is different in the two scenarios the end result is the same p pwe cannot say with certainty when such a tipping point might occur feedbacks are inherently fiendishthe interaction of multiple processes so even if we can see where they emcouldem occur it is very difficult to predict exactly how far things can slip before they are triggered doubt about the likelihood and timing is completely legitimate doubt about the seriousness of what is at stake is not p pin the face of admitted uncertainty about the imminence of globally devastating effects we could gamble on those models that suggest the sheet will survive until the warming reaches fiveplus degrees or we could instead try to ensure temperatures do not rise as high as the lower value at which other projections suggest the trouble might start again it comes down to dirty harrys question are we feeling luckyp pwith time better models and more data the uncertainties associated with climate predictions will decrease but even today when important residual uncertainties remain they cannot erase the fundamental realities of climate change now nor can they be used as an excuse for inaction as the former publisher of the emnew york timesem once stressed keeping an open mind is a good thing but not so open that your brains fall out p pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukmagazinebeyondreasonabledoubtclimatescienceandthelimitsofappropriatescepticismcop26beyond reasonable doubt climate science and the limits of appropriate scepticisma appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukprospect magazineap

pwhen detective dirty harry points huge gun criminal states doubt chamber currently cocked actually loaded policeman utters movies famous lines youve got ask question feel lucky punkp pin sense question captures state debate climate change cusp cop26 global summit glasgow quantifying uncertainty crucial science dirty harry example thoughtful criminal infer chance dying assuming loaded chamber sixchamber pistol deciding fleeing worth riskp psimilarly decide recalcitrant governments forthcoming summit unwisely pushing humanitys luck best focus wellestablished science uncertainties quantified reasonable suspect wilder speculations doom obviously reasonable doubt particular detailed specific prediction accurate reasonable deny running risks existence established gauging reasonably doubted indispensable settling lucky feel tough glean sure dubious debate mired emotion politics money sensationalism sciencep pthe lurch away science hard understand socialists welcome wholesale reworking business model modern industrial civilisation judge rightly wrongly happy requirement dealing climate crisis hairshirted puritans enthusiastically embrace darkest scenarios implied need immediate dramatic restrictions energy production consumption travel including libertarians particular restriction personal freedom anathema ideological reason doubt apocalyptic predictions ways potential vested personal interests distort ones reading science persons immediate reaction issue climate change tends deeply entangled political dnap pthe debate reaching new level release summer dire new report intergovernmental panel climate change ipcc major assessment global climate change years warning potential disastrous consequences carbon emissions curtailed coming decade un secretary general antnio guterres labelled report code red humanity new administration united states looks set use coming summit attempt return position leadership climate issuep pbut washington ipcc emreasonablyem sure developing sound public policy proposals current intellectual climatenever mind winning wide political approval painful choiceswill challenging agree sense doubtp div classwpblockspacerdiv pstrongirreducible uncertaintiesstrongp pat level peculiar openminded scientist talking limits doubt respects scientific method emisem doubt trust interrogate youre sure stand ready falsify jettison experiment disagrees predictions properly plenty doubt manner uncertainties frontiers climate science great hallmarks good science acknowledge existence uncertainties attempt accurately quantify way thinking climate policy organised societal response doubt theory governments ngos weighing alternatives attempting predict policies produce best outcomes recognising current understanding incomplete outcomes differ expectationsp pduring leadup decisions summits like cop26 debate discussion usefully explore issues economic environmental utility lack thereof carbon taxes carbon caps subsidies renewable energy zerocarbon technologies tariffs coal funding carbon capture acknowledged uncertainty integral discussion costs weighed range harmful possible outcomes likelihood different potential impacts variousbrproposed interventionsp pbut unlikely devote adequate time resources potentially disruptive moves fundamental doubt lingers main predicted consequences climate change governments citizens rationalise wait attitude campaigns plant seeds sort sweeping doubt remarkably effective forestalling organised response places like united states allimportant distinction draw candid admission existence sort uncertainty grappled areas science including climate cynically confected ultrascepticism invites paralysis falsely cowing believing dont know allp pnow true emnoem science completely settled newtons classical law gravity accurately predicts physical phenomenon humans directly observe supplanted theory general relativity general relativity turn supplanted like string theory need counter natural tendency jump reality dont know universe conclusion know fact dont slightest idea fundamental gravitational cause accelerating expansion universe doesnt thwart ability navigate gravitational forces solar system accurately drop rover mars precisely intended landp pin climate context natural scepticism emboldened remains uncertain forefront detailed regional predictions require complex interactive modelling atmosphere oceans landmasses amassing large number measurements globe data past climate events sparse conclusions draw based paleoclimate data invariably refined new numbers come inp ptake couple recent examples new ipcc report unveiled emscienceem magazine reported climate models projected implausibly fast warming rates projecting backwards compare paleoclimate data coldest point recent ice age 20000 years ago data suggested earth cooled 6c models suggested twice cooling projecting future estimates use current data trends suggest warming 26c 39c cosub2sub atmosphere doubles compared preindustrial times models considered ipcc predict warming excess 5cp psimilarly recent report columbia universitys lamontdoherty earth observatory utrecht university suggests sea level rise past significant previously estimated study utrecht year suggested sea level rise coming century likely 25 cent previously predicted slower global ocean warming earlier estimates suggestedp div classwpblockspacerdiv pstrongsure thingsstrongp pthese real scientific concerns wished away hear campaigner claim uncertainties settled fact 12 years left save world ignore better switch attention real question face evolving imprecise predictions sufficient uncertainty fundamental nature extent impact climate change justify stepping concerted potentially costly efforts curb cosub2sub productionp pthe answer inevitable uncertainty cutting edge atmospheric science undermine wellunderstood basic predictions return gravitational analogy letting uncertainties forefront science cause ignore fundamental wellunderstood science like fact uncertainties exist quantum gravity justify jumping seventhstorey window case fall downp div classwpblockimagefigureimg sizesmaxwidth 580px 100vw 580px srchttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110gettyimages13391779791jpg width580 alt srcsethttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110gettyimages13391779791jpg 580w httpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110gettyimages13391779791300x197jpg 300w classwpimage119853 height381figcaptionover past decade greenlands ice sheet melted constant accelerating rate photo mario tamagetty imagesfigcaptionfigurediv pthe fundamental science underlies climate change 150 years old works having tested easily replicable experimentsas basic showing glass bulbs filled different gasses heatfor century general climate predictions based fundamental science agree observations past 60 yearsp pwhen underlying wellfounded theory predictions accurately correlate known causes observed effects good bet right track completely rule weird cosmic conspiracy reproduces coincidence exact effects wellestablished theories predict right attitude freak possibilities best expressed colloquially walks like duck quacks like duck probably duckp phere basic physical principles observations underlie reality humaninduced climate changep pa energy equals energy earths overall temperature remain constant measure total energy sun directly overhead 1361 watts square metre averaged earth accounting nighttime regions sun lower angle total average energy input cut threequarters value 340 watts square metre number temperature rise energy bounces space incident earthp blockquote classwpblockquotepone way thinking climate policy organised societal response doubtpblockquote pb atmosphere earth radiated space 340 watts square metre 175yearold understanding thermodynamics specifies bodies radiate energy proportional fourth power temperature allows calculate average surface temperature earth 18 degrees 0cp pc actual average temperature earth roughly positive 15c earth blanketed atmosphere traps heat energy 30 cent solar energy impinging earth directly reflected space atmosphere rest absorbed atmosphere earth earths surface reradiates energy infrared radiation way space pass atmosphere proportion energy absorbed determines warmer world ends atmosphereand turn depends mix gasses therep pd increasing carbon dioxide atmosphere makes transparent outgoing infrared radiation carbon dioxide absorbs heat energy water measured 1860s irish scientist john tyndall measured heat radiation successfully transmitted vials different gases en route space reradiated energy pass upper atmosphere little water vapour substantially cosub2 subthere determines transparent outbound heat energy mean energy makes space radiation emitted outwards space radiation coming sun remains equilibrium exist disturbed departure equilibrium called emradiative forcingem extra heat energy makes way earths surface heating upp pe predicted radiative forcing additional cosub2sub atmosphere 153 watts square metre earths entire surfaceand consistent measurements eventually cosub2sub long new mix gasses stable equilibrium restored hotter planet hotter atmosphere emit heat energy space balance incoming radiation sun cosub2sub continues pumped atmosphere additional radiative forcing occur equilibrium achieved instead temperature earthatmosphere system continue risep div classwpblockimagefigureimg sizesmaxwidth 580px 100vw 580px srchttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110sizeadjustedkraussgettyimages1150822972png width580 alt srcsethttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110sizeadjustedkraussgettyimages1150822972png 580w httpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110sizeadjustedkraussgettyimages1150822972300x225png 300w classwpimage119860 height435figcaptionno excuse inaction climate protesters london 2019 photo john keeblegetty imagesfigcaptionfigurediv pthese welltested bits physics chemistry underlying current science climate change confirmed host observations including satellite groundbased measurements upward downward radiation cosub2sub temperature measurements globe basic predictionthat measured human production greenhouse gases 1900 2020 increase earths temperature 12chas validatedp pthe earths surface dominated water oceans govern balance heat measurements particularly telling worlds oceans increased average temperature 2019 0075c compared 30year average temperature 1980 2010 like lot corresponds additional heat produced setting 36bn hiroshimalevel atombomb explosions ocean second day night 365 days year past 25 yearsp pit takes time additional energy impinging earth radiative forcing fully uniformly distributed oceans depths greenhouse gas production stopped today radiative forcing occurred result additional ocean temperature rise 05c coming centuriesp div classwpblockspacerdiv pstrongslipping waterlinestrongp pas consider likely impacts climate change amid uncertainties additional heat oceans telling known millennia water expands heated considering sea level rise basic change ocean temperature century produce sea level change quarter metrep pand come sobering uncertainties melting glaciers icesheets writing reported rained greenlands snowy summit time recorded history past decade melting greenlands ice sheet persisted constant accelerating rate conservative estimates melting melting glaciers western antarctica combined sea level rise increasing ocean temperatures imply minimum total sea level rise 05 metres century emeven ifem world reduces carbon production line promises important cop summit glasgow paris 2015p blockquote classwpblockquotepdoubt likelihood timing completely legitimate doubt seriousness stake notpblockquote pa halfmetre strike lot depends eyes beholder precariously holding bowling ball 50 centimetres foot wont trivialp pa broken toe heals 100m people live coastal regions hightide levels end century people face loss property livelihood hope recoveryp plast year spent weeks mekong river visiting region 14m people depend directly health ecosystem 60m directly depend rice produced flooded paddies making fertile riceproducing region world south china sea turns flooded plains brackish rice paddies way salty mangrove swamps river system today produces fresh fish fish presently harvested longerp div classwpblockimagefigureimg sizesmaxwidth 306px 100vw 306px srchttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110editedkrausantoniopng alt width306 srcsethttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110editedkrausantoniopng 580w httpswwwprospectmagazinecoukcontentuploads202110editedkrausantonio200x300png 200w classwpimage119864 height458figcaptioncode red humanity un secretary general antnio guterres tried mobilise nations climate change seriously photo mrio cruzepaefeshutterstockfigcaptionfigurediv pfor people southern vietnamemalmost allem metre sea leveland places immediately threatened rising seas current uncertainty temperatures rise 2 4c sea levels rise metre academic reasonably doubted communities respond soon immediate ongoing effects climate change future cosub2sub emissions change locked past emissionsp pin sum known close certainty mediating known effects climate change near term required stave worst consequences worlds poorest populations living equatorial regions ensuring access modern agricultural methods face increasing droughts clean water reliable power important building coastal infrastructure deal rising seasp div classwpblockspacerdiv pstrongindubitable arithmeticstrongp pbecause impacts climate change world decades centuries manifest find hard muster urgency address current carbon production basic bit atmospheric chemistry independent current uncertainties highresolution climate modelling importantthe firmly established reality additional cosub2sub concentration add atmosphere dissipate 1000 yearsp phumanity pumps 10bn tons carbon atmosphere year roughly billion remain atmosphere millennium cumulative effect measurably material past 60 years example emalreadyem increased abundance gas atmosphere 30 cent current production rate continues 2050 atmospheric abundance doubled compared preindustrial concentration 600bn tons extra carbon remain atmosphere foreseeable futureemeven ifem fossil fuel burning stops slowsp pif set ambitious goal limiting rise total cosub2sub concentration atmosphere peak twice preindustrial levelbasically goal paris agreementthen decade continue produce cosub2sub current levels makes required future reductions severe disruptive society economy begun reduce carbon production 2010 required annual reductions 37 cent waiting 2020 begin means future reductions need 90 cent year waiting decade action mean hitting goal require annual reductions likely impossiblep blockquote classwpblockquotepthe basic change ocean temperature century produce sea level change quarter metrepblockquote pbeyond question climate tipping points produce irreversible dramatic changes feedback different effectsthe possible complete disappearance greenland ice sheet particularly disturbing example vanish times distant past worldwide sea levels increase seven metres flood major coastal cities earthan outcome doubt ruinousp pmodels suggest mean temperature increase 5 7c guaranteed irreversibly destabilise ice sheet disappear course centuries millennium models suggest temperature increase little 2c irreversibly albeit slowly threaten stability timescale disappear different scenarios end result samep pwe certainty tipping point occur feedbacks inherently fiendishthe interaction multiple processes emcouldem occur difficult predict exactly far things slip triggered doubt likelihood timing completely legitimate doubt seriousness stake notp pin face admitted uncertainty imminence globally devastating effects gamble models suggest sheet survive warming reaches fiveplus degrees instead try ensure temperatures rise high lower value projections suggest trouble start comes dirty harrys question feeling luckyp pwith time better models data uncertainties associated climate predictions decrease today important residual uncertainties remain erase fundamental realities climate change excuse inaction publisher emnew york timesem stressed keeping open mind good thing open brains fall outp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukmagazinebeyondreasonabledoubtclimatescienceandthelimitsofappropriatescepticismcop26beyond reasonable doubt climate science limits appropriate scepticisma appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwprospectmagazinecoukprospect magazineap

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The coming fuf

pstrongby james pethokoukis and arthur turrellstrongp precent headlines suggest fusion power is on its way with researchers making breakthrough discoveries poised to revolutionize the energy industry but will fusion be held back by the same fears and regulatory obstacles that hamper fission power today and with the arrival of cheap solar and wind do we even need fusion energy in this episode of political economy im joined by arthur turrell to discuss these questions and morep parthur is deputy director at the data science campus of the office for national statistics in the uk and the author of ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstarbuildersnuclearfusionplanetdp1982130660 target_blankthe star builders nuclear fusion and the race to power the planetaemp diviframe srchttpsplayercaptivatefmepisode62e9edbf035b49c8903cbd981b9052ddiframediv pwhat follows is a lightly edited transcript of our conversation you can download the episode a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastarthurturrellisfusionpowertheenergysourceofthefuture target_blankherea and dont forget to subscribe to my podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomypodcastid589914386mt2 target_blankitunesa or a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera tell your friends leave a reviewp pstrongpethokoukis a skeptic might say in fact im guessing some skeptics have said in the past that nuclear fusion is the future of energy and always will be yet over the past year it seems to me as someone who previously did not follow fusion and the developments very closely that theres been a lot of activity these are just a few headlines from the new york times a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20200929climatenuclearfusionreactorhtml target_blankcompact nuclear fusion reactor is very likely to work studies suggesta and these two headlines are from over the past month or so a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210810technologycommonwealthfusionmitreactorhtml target_blankmassachusetts startup hopes to move a step closer to commercial fusiona another one a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210817sciencelasersfusionpowerwattsearthhtml target_blanklaser fusion experiment unleashes an energetic burst of optimisma the new york times has given fusion more coverage over the past year than is really typical over a number of years so whats going onstrongp pturrell its a great question and its a really exciting question i just want to remind listeners that im speaking in a personal capacity today having recently written a book about nuclear fusion called ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstarbuildersnuclearfusionplanetdp1474611583 target_blankthe star buildersaem so i think that clich joke i think we can throw that away now the reason i say that is because progress has always been dependent not on how long something takes but on the level of investment and human ingenuity that is being put into something and the investment and the human ingenuity thats been put into fusion is starting to demonstrate some really interesting breakthroughs recently the biggest of those probably the biggest in the last five years has been the emergence of a private sector in fusion which suggests that theres some market confidence investors must think that theyre able to get some return whether from fusion energy or from technologies related to fusionp pso that is changing the game and its also increasing the pace of progress because i think its encouraging private and public alike to up their game so thats one thing thats going on the other thing is that some of those improvements and developments in public laboratories are starting to kind of emerge from the drawing board into practical application so there have been a number of technological breakthroughs things like superconductors which allow for new types of experimental fusion reactor design and there have just been some experimental breakthroughs as well so for instance theres been an enormous result at the national ignition facility which is trying to do a type of fusion called laser fusion based at lawrence livermore national laboratory in california recently where theyve demonstrated a worldrecord beating net energy gain from fusion so the breakthroughs the experimental results not just in laser fusion but actually in the other approach to fusion called magnetic confinement fusion too have really given the whole field a sense of optimismp pi would say its the most exciting time in fusion definitely for decades but probably ever actually even though im saying a lot of things have happened recently if i look at it in kind of a moores law style we are just carrying on the path that was established a long time ago its just that that path is now taking us close to a point where the problem ceases to be can we get more energy out than we put in and it starts to become how can we start to turn this into an energy source instead of a scientific experimentp spanspan pstrongmy very basic understanding is and please correct me that there are two main approaches both of which you mentioned theres the laser ignition approach and the magnetic confinement approach could you briefly explain what each of those is trying to dostrongp ptheres actually a third one which you can see if you go outside right now which is gravitational confinement and that is how the sun does nuclear fusion of course we cant do that on earth and it would be a very bad idea for us to try for practical fusion on earth we need to find a way to contain material or fusion fuel that is at least tens of millions of degrees 60 million degrees is the absolute minimum thats four times hotter than the core of the sun so you cant put this stuff in a container because it would melt the container it would dump its energy and the fusion reactions would stop so fusion is hard to start and easy to stop which is one reason why its very safe as well so you need something invisible that doesnt touch the fusion fuel to confine it so that the energy stays inside and further reactions can go once theyve been kicked off or ignitedp pand the two main ways that people are trying to do this are magnetic confinement fusion and what is sometimes called laser fusion but it actually belongs to a large group called inertial confinement fusion now in the magnetic confinement fusion case the stuff that you get in fusion fuel the stuff that the sun is made out of is the fourth state of matter after solids liquids and gases you get this stuff called plasma and its made up of what you get when atoms get ripped apart because theres so much energy around into their constituent parts of positively charged nuclei and negatively charged electrons the thing about charged particles is they interact with magnetic fields and in magnetic confinement fusion essentially whats created is a magnetic trap of fields that these charged particles get stuck on and so when theyre doing fusion they stick around rather than flinging off away into the walls of the experiment at least in principlep figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110turrelllongread21jpgx91208 classwpimage1008612547figcaptiontechnicians at the megajoule laser project will be able to simulate nuclear tests using amplified energy from 176 lasers which is directed at a target located inside the spherebrreutersregis duvignaufigcaptionfigure pinertial confinement fusion takes a very different approach and in fusion youre always looking for temperature density so particles that are close together and confinement and if you reduce one of those then you have to up the other two what inertial confinement fusion says is we wont bother trying to confine it at all were just going to bring together something at the perfect conditions for fusion temperature and density for a brief moment and just let it rip a brief moment is the time it takes a sound wave to cross the fuel once its been assembled but a brief moment is a very long time in nuclear physics and its long enough for a billion reactions to happen in terms of bringing this fuel together at the right temperature and density for just that brief moment youve got various different options and one of them is to use laser energy because you can squeeze a lot of energy into a small amount of space and a very short period of time with a pulse of light and create those conditionsp pstrongi think you used the phrase net energy gain strongstrong so what does that tell you different from something called the wallplug energy ratiostrongp pyeah so im really glad you asked this question it is so important to make this distinction i think where most people start from is they might see a headline saying nuclear fusion is close we have to be really careful about what we mean by nuclear fusion and the first thing that sometimes people mean is just doing some fusion reactions but thats easy and experiments can do it all the time people have even done it in their backyards or in their garages which i dont recommend but its possible the next phase and the thing that lots of scientists around the world in fact theres over 100 experimental fusion reactors operational or being constructed right now are trying to do is to demonstrate scientific net energy gain and thats about creating an experiment where you put in a certain amount of energy and you get at least as much energy back outp pand the reason why thats such an important benchmark or milestone is because an energy source that you cant get more energy out of than you put in is no good obviously and people are interested in fusion on earth as a clean energy source so scientific gain has been the next milestone for many decades now but experiments are pretty close to that but there are milestones beyond that and the next one beyond that is something that you called wallplug energy gain and sometimes i call it the energy it takes to keep the lights on in the facility so if youve got this experimental reactor its the energy to charge up the capacitor banks a type of battery its the energy to keep the diagnostics running its the energy to keep the lights on its all of that peripheral machinery that you need to do a fusion experiment that isnt just about the reactor the experiment the scientific bit itself and that requires the gain not of a hundred percent so one unit of energy out for energy in but a gain thats appreciably more than that it depends on the reactor but i think what people would really like to achieve is at least 30 times energy out for energy in now that sounds like a long way awayp pstrongyeah that does sound like a long way awaystrongp pyeah but you know the nature of fusion is that it is a process that scales quite incredibly and to give you a sense of that ill just say that in 2018 laser fusion on the national ignition facility the record that theyd hit was 3 percent of net energy gain thats 3 percent where theyre trying to get to a hundred percent but between 2018 and the latest results which came out just last month in fact they went from 3 percent to 70 percent so they got a massive increase it wasnt going from 3 percent to 4 percent it was going from 3 percent to 70 percent and thats because very small changes in initial conditions can produce very much bigger outcomes and so when theyre making improvements theyre getting factors of three or six or even 20 out in terms of energy gain so when you think about it like that theyre not actually very far away from a wallplug gain potentiallyp pstrongis the private sector favoring one approach over the other again we dont know whos going to win but does there seem to be more innovation momentum on one particular approach or technology than the otherstrongp pthats a really good question i think its so early days that from a kind of societal point of view its really great that people are exploring lots of different options because we just dont know which one is going to a work first at least on the scale for a power plant or b which is the most commercially viable which is incredibly important too so its great that theyre pursuing different options id say there are slightly more private sector fusion firms im aware of that are pursuing magnetic confinement fusion but that technology has been around longer and its been out in the open a lot longer as well so more details of it are public as compared to inertial confinement fusion but there are a nonzero number of private sector fusion firms pursuing the inertial approach too and in terms of the recent breakthrough at nift that was an inertial fusion machine but both are really promising and i think its great that people are trying out every kind of option herep pstrongcertainly one way to look at this is that government scientists have been working on this for a while and that didnt work so now the private sector has swooped in and theyre making great gains but obviously its really a case much like the private space industry in that the private sector is building on all kinds of research thats gone before is technology at a state that there is a clean handoff to the private sector or are there still more basic research kinds of things that government needs to dostrongp pi think that the quickest path to fusion is going to be a partnership between the public and private players the public sector does some things really well and some things not so well and the private sector does some things really well and some things not well part of fusion is this big laboratory scientific exploration understanding the physics behind this state of matter plasma thats incredibly badly behaved and not always that well understood and really breaking through the frontier scientifically and some of it is about how do we do this on a scale thats relevant for power generation repeatably reliably resiliently how do we make it modular so that we can improve the learning rate with construction how do we bring down the capital costs and thats the thing where the private sector can really contribute i think the department of energy has recognized this with their milestonebased programs where theyre making some of the public money available to private firms who can reach certain goals that are going to need to be reached to get to a future where fusion can actually deliver energyp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110turrelllongread3jpgx91208 classwpimage1008612552figcaptionmodel of an experimental nuclear fusion reactor in cadarache north of marseillebrvia reutersfigcaptionfigure pstronghas that basic science sort of been done and thats understood and now were moving onstrongp pi wouldnt say so no but i wouldnt say that the science is just the preserve of the public laboratories either i think the private sector can get involved in that where id say we are is that its pretty clear how to get scientific net energy gain now but i think what we dont understand is necessarily all the ins and outs of that so weve got very close with 70 percent once and magnetic confinement fusion came also quite close that was actually back in the 90s so we kind of got there a little bit but i think we can understand how to really reliably do that on these big government machines which have after all gotten closer than the private sector machines have to date where i think the public sector fusion efforts might go next is on working on some of the other big challenges of turning fusion into an energy sourcep pand thats about being selfsufficient in the fuel for fusion which involves some complicated physics on the material science of how we build reactor walls that can withstand this kind of energy release which is not because necessarily its a lot of energy although it is but because it comes in a particular type in the form of high energy particles and how we get the heat out of fusion reactions and ultimately do something thats actually quite boring which is use it to turn water into steam to drive turbines which weve done many times before but that first step of getting heat energy out of the fusion reactor is something that people need to work on too and i think on all of those things the public or private sector could make progress but right now there are public sector facilities around the world gearing up to try to tackle some of those challenges particularly in the uk and japanp pstrongwhy do we need star machines if we need them for clean energy isnt that handled or will be handled by existing technologies as youve written in the book weve seen a big decline in solar costs and people seem very excited about renewables so if its for climate change arent these wellunderstood technologies the road forward rather than things like the star machines which you just conceded still need a lot of research if its not for that then do we really need them at all for any other reasonstrongp pyeah thats a really good question look all of the star builders i spoke to all of the engineers physicists mathematicians computer scientists entrepreneurs who are working on nuclear fusion energy that i spoke to are absolutely convinced that renewables are going to be a key part of our energy supply thats a given and theyre all convinced that climate change is a problem and that fossil fuels are on the way out so i think everyone agrees on that why do we need fusion then if were going to get lots of energy from renewables well i think theyre already going to be a big part of reaching that zero and beyond absolutely renewables are already the cheapest form of power except keeping existing nuclear fission plants open but i think in almost anything that you do in life its useful to have a portfolio of things with different strengths and weaknesses that you can draw uponp pso for instance if i think about the advantages of renewables they work right now and theyre very cheap but on the disadvantages side the energy that they tap into is very diffuse its spread out over large areas and that means that they need vast areas to work so for example to power the uk solely using onshore wind turbines would mean covering 17 percent of the country with turbines which is a huge amount its absolutely enormous and as weve found this summer in the uk the energy from renewables is not always reliable so weve had a very unwindy summer in the uk here sadly it hasnt been that sunny either but sometimes you want types of power that arent so reliant on the weather to provide that baseload energy p figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110turrelllongread4jpgx91208 classwpimage1008612551figcaptionvia twenty20figcaptionfigure pnow its true that batteries are going to play a large role in this as well and help us turn day into night when it comes to renewables some of the star builders i spoke to were skeptical about batteries ever scaling up to cover the whole year but i think the other point here is that fusion could potentially provide energy at very large scales too and without using up lots of area even if we dont get fusion energy until after net zero we can start to suck down that carbon dioxide back out of the atmosphere and instead of just level off the curve of cosub2sub that weve submitted start to actually reverse it and hopefully reverse some of the harms toop pso thats one reason another reason in the long run why we might want fusion energy and excuse me if this sounds rather futuristic is that we are not going to explore the solar system as a species using a coalfired spaceship and in fact if you look at what realistic trips outside of our kind of solar systems backyard would have to be powered by or even the earths backyard i should say fusion is one of the best candidates for that because it packs a lot of energy into a very small amount of space in fact its 10 million times higher in energy density than coalp pstrongso with a fusiondriven spacecraft how does that change the calculus as far as traveling to the moon to mars the inner planets or the outer planets or beyondstrongp pgreat question i dont have figures at hand but my understanding is that the time to get to mars and back is cut substantially to something that is feasible if you can use a fusion rocket instead of a conventional rocket its all about the fact that you dont have to carry as much fusion fuel with you because it contains a lot of energyp pstrongwhen we talk about clean fusion energy what is the scale were talking about will fusion reactors produce enough energy that well need fewer fusion plants compared to coal plantsstrongp pso this is all of course assuming that fusion energy from power plants gets there and is commercially viable so we have to bear that in mind and there are big challenges on the way to that but assuming that gets solved then i think fusion energy would be broadly similar to what you can do with nuclear fission today so in terms of land area orders of magnitude more efficient than say wind farms were talking about a few square kilometers to power several million homes which for a wind farm would probably take something equivalent to the land area of washington dc for about three million homesp pso its much more space efficient i think nuclear fission is great and im really a fan of it as an energy source but in terms of safety as well nuclear fusion would likely offer an advantage relative probably to all other forms of power it would certainly be safer than some types of renewables and it would almost certainly be safer than nuclear fission as well which by the way in the round is one of the most safe forms of energyp pstrongare both the safety issue as well as the nuclear waste issue the key advantages of fusion over fission or are there other onesstrongp ptheres another one as well which is about nuclear proliferation so if you are worried about rogue states using the materials involved in fission to construct nuclear weapons those materials can be generated in relatively short time or a peaceful fission program can be used as a cover for the production of the materials you need for nuclear weapons the most extreme type of nuclear weapon is the hydrogen bomb that makes use of both fission and fusion reactions but the fusion reactions have to be triggered by fission reactions and for that you need the fissile material the great thing about nuclear fusion in this respect is that theres no reason for it to involve any fissile material whatsoever you only need the ingredients for fusion which are kind of useless on their own for nuclear weaponsp pstronga lot of environmentalists dont like fission very much strongstrong maybe thats changing do they like fusion especially since it doesnt have that nuclear waste issuestrongp pyeah so i think youd have to ask some environmentalists my sense is that the mood is changing a little bit on fission because theres a trade off there what do we think is the biggest problem here is it the really longlived radioactive waste of which there isnt very much generated or is it climate change and right now climate change to me certainly seems like the bigger challenge that we face on planet earth but i think there are reasons why environmentalists would generally prefer fusion and theres obviously a reason why people sometimes talk about fusion as the holy grail of energy production even if all energy production forms have pros and cons as you say fusion doesnt produce zero radioactive waste but it doesnt produce it as an output of the fusion reactions itself the radioactive waste that we think will be produced is from the chamber being activated over the period of its lifetime so rather than radioactive waste coming out all the time what you end up with is whats at the end of a plants life when you need to decommission the reactor chamber and the best guesses suggest that that will be dangerous for a much shorter period of time on the order of a hundred years as compared to the waste thats produced as a part of ongoing processes in fission which although small in volume is dangerous for a lot lot longer than thatp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110turrelllongread5jpgx91208 classwpimage1008612562figcaptioncontainers are seen at a plant for processing liquid radioactive waste at the chernobyl nuclear power plant in ukraine reutersgleb garanichfigcaptionfigure pstrongive talked to a lot of entrepreneurs about different technologies theyre working on such as autonomous cars you talk to those guys and you walk out of that and you think this thing is going to happen its going to happen soon its very exciting im sure you felt that excitement and you have to sort of temper yourself now that youve written this book and youve had a chance to breathe a little bit what is the reasonably optimistic take on when im going to be able to flip on a light switch and thats going to be fusionsupplied electricity to my light bulbstrongp pso lets start with the big picture here fusion is the most ubiquitous energy source in the universe it powers stars it was around in the big bang its around in supernovae its kind of embarrassing that we havent managed to do it on earth in a way so i think humanity will get there its the most energyrich source of fuel that we can lay our hands on reasonably in the solar system or in the known universe so i think well want to do it at some point for those reasons i said about exploring the universe as well im really optimistic that were going to do this at some point there are extra reasons to do it in the short run and i completely hear what youre saying about people being overoptimistic and in fact fusion has been terribly guilty of that in its history people working on fusion have said oh its about to work were going to deliver fusion energy and they havent really defined what they mean by that which is why i was really keen to get that in earlier and its incredibly difficult you know fusion is probably the greatest scientific and technical challenge that we as a species have ever taken on so its very difficult to do at the small scales that we want to do it here on earth compared to how it works in the sun but just because a feat is difficult to achieve doesnt mean we should rule it out i think you can never underestimate what human ingenuity can achieve and it might seem wild and fanciful to get this thing that powers stars and happens in supernovae working on earth but if you look at human history so many wild ideas have unexpectedly come to fruitionp pand i take a recent example here which is katalin kariks research on mrna to fight diseases which seemed such a long shot that she couldnt even get it funded she got demoted but were really lucky today where we sit here in 2021 that her and her collaborators persevered because some of the most successful covid vaccines and a vaccine for malaria as well are based on that technology and the vaccines were developed in record time and thats partly about people dreaming big and persevering but its partly and this comes to a more practical point that society said yes we are going to put our weight behind this were going to invest a lot in it and were just going to make it happen and thats what made the difference from this being a technology in principle to a technology in practice that is out there saving lives every day so i think whether were going to see fusion energy really depends on if we as a society decide to pursue it and whether we give it the investment we want but theres lots of evidence from the rest of the universe and from the experiments that have been done that we could get there if we wanted top pstrongif you could just name a few of the private sector companies that youve talked to whose work youve reviewed to just give a sense of like whos out there doing whatstrongp pyeah so on the inertial confinement fusion side theres a firm called first light fusion who are interesting instead of using lasers theyre using projectiles to ignite those fusion reactions theres another firm who i went to speak to and visit called tokamak energy so they are using a type of technology called a spherical tokamak these tokamaks are basically these magnetic traps i mentioned but the point about making it spherical is you can make it more compact and that has some real benefits from a commercial point of view and making things more modularp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110turrelllongread11jpgx91208 classwpimage1008612546figcaptionthe experimental advanced superconducting tokamak fusion device nicknamed artificial sun is tested at the institute of plasma physics reutersjianan yufigcaptionfigure pover in the us one of the firms that i think is really interesting to watch is commonwealth fusion systems because theyve been born out of a really well respected set of researchers and a fusion program at mit theyre also using some more compact superconducting tokamaktype technologies there are a bunch of others around some are more plausible than others but because theyre private sector firms we dont know all of the details of them so it can sometimes be hard to compare and get a good sense of whos ahead with the technologiesp pstrongmy guest today has been arthur turrell author of ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstarbuildersnuclearfusionplanetdp1982130660 target_blankthe star builders nuclear fusion and the race to power the planetaem arthur thanks a lot for coming on the podcaststrongp pthanks for having me jimp p divpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsistheunitedstatesreallymeritocraticmylongreadqawithadrianwooldridgeis the united states really meritocratic my longread qampa with adrian wooldridgea a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsthelegacyofthemoonlandingmylongreadqawithcharlesfishmanthe legacy of the moon landing my longread qampa with charles fishmana a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicswillacceleratingtechnologyendthegreatstagnationmylongreadqawithazeemazharwill accelerating technology end the great stagnation my longread qampa with azeem azharapdivbr pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsthecomingfusionrevolutionmylongreadqawitharthurturrellthe coming fusion revolution my longread qampa with arthur turrella appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pstrongby james pethokoukis arthur turrellstrongp precent headlines suggest fusion power way researchers making breakthrough discoveries poised revolutionize energy industry fusion held fears regulatory obstacles hamper fission power today arrival cheap solar wind need fusion energy episode political economy im joined arthur turrell discuss questions morep parthur deputy director data science campus office national statistics uk author ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstarbuildersnuclearfusionplanetdp1982130660 target_blankthe star builders nuclear fusion race power planetaemp diviframe srchttpsplayercaptivatefmepisode62e9edbf035b49c8903cbd981b9052ddiframediv pwhat follows lightly edited transcript conversation download episode relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastarthurturrellisfusionpowertheenergysourceofthefuture target_blankherea dont forget subscribe podcast relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomypodcastid589914386mt2 target_blankitunesa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera tell friends leave reviewp pstrongpethokoukis skeptic fact im guessing skeptics said past nuclear fusion future energy past year previously follow fusion developments closely theres lot activity headlines new york times relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20200929climatenuclearfusionreactorhtml target_blankcompact nuclear fusion reactor likely work studies suggesta headlines past month relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210810technologycommonwealthfusionmitreactorhtml target_blankmassachusetts startup hopes step closer commercial fusiona relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210817sciencelasersfusionpowerwattsearthhtml target_blanklaser fusion experiment unleashes energetic burst optimisma new york times given fusion coverage past year typical number years whats going onstrongp pturrell great question exciting question want remind listeners im speaking personal capacity today having recently written book nuclear fusion called ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstarbuildersnuclearfusionplanetdp1474611583 target_blankthe star buildersaem think clich joke think throw away reason progress dependent long takes level investment human ingenuity investment human ingenuity thats fusion starting demonstrate interesting breakthroughs recently biggest probably biggest years emergence private sector fusion suggests theres market confidence investors think theyre able return fusion energy technologies related fusionp pso changing game increasing pace progress think encouraging private public alike game thats thing thats going thing improvements developments public laboratories starting kind emerge drawing board practical application number technological breakthroughs things like superconductors allow new types experimental fusion reactor design experimental breakthroughs instance theres enormous result national ignition facility trying type fusion called laser fusion based lawrence livermore national laboratory california recently theyve demonstrated worldrecord beating net energy gain fusion breakthroughs experimental results laser fusion actually approach fusion called magnetic confinement fusion given field sense optimismp pi exciting time fusion definitely decades probably actually im saying lot things happened recently look kind moores law style carrying path established long time ago path taking close point problem ceases energy starts start turn energy source instead scientific experimentp spanspan pstrongmy basic understanding correct main approaches mentioned theres laser ignition approach magnetic confinement approach briefly explain trying dostrongp ptheres actually outside right gravitational confinement sun nuclear fusion course cant earth bad idea try practical fusion earth need find way contain material fusion fuel tens millions degrees 60 million degrees absolute minimum thats times hotter core sun cant stuff container melt container dump energy fusion reactions stop fusion hard start easy stop reason safe need invisible doesnt touch fusion fuel confine energy stays inside reactions theyve kicked ignitedp pand main ways people trying magnetic confinement fusion called laser fusion actually belongs large group called inertial confinement fusion magnetic confinement fusion case stuff fusion fuel stuff sun fourth state matter solids liquids gases stuff called plasma atoms ripped apart theres energy constituent parts positively charged nuclei negatively charged electrons thing charged particles interact magnetic fields magnetic confinement fusion essentially whats created magnetic trap fields charged particles stuck theyre fusion stick flinging away walls experiment principlep figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110turrelllongread21jpgx91208 classwpimage1008612547figcaptiontechnicians megajoule laser project able simulate nuclear tests amplified energy 176 lasers directed target located inside spherebrreutersregis duvignaufigcaptionfigure pinertial confinement fusion takes different approach fusion youre looking temperature density particles close confinement reduce inertial confinement fusion says wont bother trying confine going bring perfect conditions fusion temperature density brief moment let rip brief moment time takes sound wave cross fuel assembled brief moment long time nuclear physics long billion reactions happen terms bringing fuel right temperature density brief moment youve got different options use laser energy squeeze lot energy small space short period time pulse light create conditionsp pstrongi think phrase net energy gain strongstrong tell different called wallplug energy ratiostrongp pyeah im glad asked question important distinction think people start headline saying nuclear fusion close careful mean nuclear fusion thing people mean fusion reactions thats easy experiments time people backyards garages dont recommend possible phase thing lots scientists world fact theres 100 experimental fusion reactors operational constructed right trying demonstrate scientific net energy gain thats creating experiment certain energy energy outp pand reason thats important benchmark milestone energy source cant energy good obviously people interested fusion earth clean energy source scientific gain milestone decades experiments pretty close milestones called wallplug energy gain energy takes lights facility youve got experimental reactor energy charge capacitor banks type battery energy diagnostics running energy lights peripheral machinery need fusion experiment isnt reactor experiment scientific bit requires gain percent unit energy energy gain thats appreciably depends reactor think people like achieve 30 times energy energy sounds like long way awayp pstrongyeah sound like long way awaystrongp pyeah know nature fusion process scales incredibly sense ill 2018 laser fusion national ignition facility record theyd hit 3 percent net energy gain thats 3 percent theyre trying percent 2018 latest results came month fact went 3 percent 70 percent got massive increase wasnt going 3 percent 4 percent going 3 percent 70 percent thats small changes initial conditions produce bigger outcomes theyre making improvements theyre getting factors 20 terms energy gain think like theyre actually far away wallplug gain potentiallyp pstrongis private sector favoring approach dont know whos going win innovation momentum particular approach technology otherstrongp pthats good question think early days kind societal point view great people exploring lots different options dont know going work scale power plant b commercially viable incredibly important great theyre pursuing different options id slightly private sector fusion firms im aware pursuing magnetic confinement fusion technology longer open lot longer details public compared inertial confinement fusion nonzero number private sector fusion firms pursuing inertial approach terms recent breakthrough nift inertial fusion machine promising think great people trying kind option herep pstrongcertainly way look government scientists working didnt work private sector swooped theyre making great gains obviously case like private space industry private sector building kinds research thats gone technology state clean handoff private sector basic research kinds things government needs dostrongp pi think quickest path fusion going partnership public private players public sector things things private sector things things fusion big laboratory scientific exploration understanding physics state matter plasma thats incredibly badly behaved understood breaking frontier scientifically scale thats relevant power generation repeatably reliably resiliently modular improve learning rate construction bring capital costs thats thing private sector contribute think department energy recognized milestonebased programs theyre making public money available private firms reach certain goals going need reached future fusion actually deliver energyp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110turrelllongread3jpgx91208 classwpimage1008612552figcaptionmodel experimental nuclear fusion reactor cadarache north marseillebrvia reutersfigcaptionfigure pstronghas basic science sort thats understood moving onstrongp pi wouldnt wouldnt science preserve public laboratories think private sector involved id pretty clear scientific net energy gain think dont understand necessarily ins outs weve got close 70 percent magnetic confinement fusion came close actually 90s kind got little bit think understand reliably big government machines gotten closer private sector machines date think public sector fusion efforts working big challenges turning fusion energy sourcep pand thats selfsufficient fuel fusion involves complicated physics material science build reactor walls withstand kind energy release necessarily lot energy comes particular type form high energy particles heat fusion reactions ultimately thats actually boring use turn water steam drive turbines weve times step getting heat energy fusion reactor people need work think things public private sector progress right public sector facilities world gearing try tackle challenges particularly uk japanp pstrongwhy need star machines need clean energy isnt handled handled existing technologies youve written book weve seen big decline solar costs people excited renewables climate change arent wellunderstood technologies road forward things like star machines conceded need lot research need reasonstrongp pyeah thats good question look star builders spoke engineers physicists mathematicians computer scientists entrepreneurs working nuclear fusion energy spoke absolutely convinced renewables going key energy supply thats given theyre convinced climate change problem fossil fuels way think agrees need fusion going lots energy renewables think theyre going big reaching zero absolutely renewables cheapest form power keeping existing nuclear fission plants open think life useful portfolio things different strengths weaknesses draw uponp pso instance think advantages renewables work right theyre cheap disadvantages energy tap diffuse spread large areas means need vast areas work example power uk solely onshore wind turbines mean covering 17 percent country turbines huge absolutely enormous weve found summer uk energy renewables reliable weve unwindy summer uk sadly hasnt sunny want types power arent reliant weather provide baseload energy p figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110turrelllongread4jpgx91208 classwpimage1008612551figcaptionvia twenty20figcaptionfigure pnow true batteries going play large role help turn day night comes renewables star builders spoke skeptical batteries scaling cover year think point fusion potentially provide energy large scales lots area dont fusion energy net zero start suck carbon dioxide atmosphere instead level curve cosub2sub weve submitted start actually reverse hopefully reverse harms toop pso thats reason reason long run want fusion energy excuse sounds futuristic going explore solar system species coalfired spaceship fact look realistic trips outside kind solar systems backyard powered earths backyard fusion best candidates packs lot energy small space fact 10 million times higher energy density coalp pstrongso fusiondriven spacecraft change calculus far traveling moon mars inner planets outer planets beyondstrongp pgreat question dont figures hand understanding time mars cut substantially feasible use fusion rocket instead conventional rocket fact dont carry fusion fuel contains lot energyp pstrongwhen talk clean fusion energy scale talking fusion reactors produce energy need fewer fusion plants compared coal plantsstrongp pso course assuming fusion energy power plants gets commercially viable bear mind big challenges way assuming gets solved think fusion energy broadly similar nuclear fission today terms land area orders magnitude efficient wind farms talking square kilometers power million homes wind farm probably equivalent land area washington dc million homesp pso space efficient think nuclear fission great im fan energy source terms safety nuclear fusion likely offer advantage relative probably forms power certainly safer types renewables certainly safer nuclear fission way round safe forms energyp pstrongare safety issue nuclear waste issue key advantages fusion fission onesstrongp ptheres nuclear proliferation worried rogue states materials involved fission construct nuclear weapons materials generated relatively short time peaceful fission program cover production materials need nuclear weapons extreme type nuclear weapon hydrogen bomb makes use fission fusion reactions fusion reactions triggered fission reactions need fissile material great thing nuclear fusion respect theres reason involve fissile material whatsoever need ingredients fusion kind useless nuclear weaponsp pstronga lot environmentalists dont like fission strongstrong maybe thats changing like fusion especially doesnt nuclear waste issuestrongp pyeah think youd ask environmentalists sense mood changing little bit fission theres trade think biggest problem longlived radioactive waste isnt generated climate change right climate change certainly like bigger challenge face planet earth think reasons environmentalists generally prefer fusion theres obviously reason people talk fusion holy grail energy production energy production forms pros cons fusion doesnt produce zero radioactive waste doesnt produce output fusion reactions radioactive waste think produced chamber activated period lifetime radioactive waste coming time end whats end plants life need decommission reactor chamber best guesses suggest dangerous shorter period time order years compared waste thats produced ongoing processes fission small volume dangerous lot lot longer thatp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110turrelllongread5jpgx91208 classwpimage1008612562figcaptioncontainers seen plant processing liquid radioactive waste chernobyl nuclear power plant ukraine reutersgleb garanichfigcaptionfigure pstrongive talked lot entrepreneurs different technologies theyre working autonomous cars talk guys walk think thing going happen going happen soon exciting im sure felt excitement sort temper youve written book youve chance breathe little bit reasonably optimistic im going able flip light switch thats going fusionsupplied electricity light bulbstrongp pso lets start big picture fusion ubiquitous energy source universe powers stars big bang supernovae kind embarrassing havent managed earth way think humanity energyrich source fuel lay hands reasonably solar system known universe think want point reasons said exploring universe im optimistic going point extra reasons short run completely hear youre saying people overoptimistic fact fusion terribly guilty history people working fusion said oh work going deliver fusion energy havent defined mean keen earlier incredibly difficult know fusion probably greatest scientific technical challenge species taken difficult small scales want earth compared works sun feat difficult achieve doesnt mean rule think underestimate human ingenuity achieve wild fanciful thing powers stars happens supernovae working earth look human history wild ideas unexpectedly come fruitionp pand recent example katalin kariks research mrna fight diseases long shot couldnt funded got demoted lucky today sit 2021 collaborators persevered successful covid vaccines vaccine malaria based technology vaccines developed record time thats partly people dreaming big persevering partly comes practical point society said yes going weight going invest lot going happen thats difference technology principle technology practice saving lives day think going fusion energy depends society decide pursue investment want theres lots evidence rest universe experiments wanted pstrongif private sector companies youve talked work youve reviewed sense like whos whatstrongp pyeah inertial confinement fusion theres firm called light fusion interesting instead lasers theyre projectiles ignite fusion reactions theres firm went speak visit called tokamak energy type technology called spherical tokamak tokamaks basically magnetic traps mentioned point making spherical compact real benefits commercial point view making things modularp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110turrelllongread11jpgx91208 classwpimage1008612546figcaptionthe experimental advanced superconducting tokamak fusion device nicknamed artificial sun tested institute plasma physics reutersjianan yufigcaptionfigure pover firms think interesting watch commonwealth fusion systems theyve born respected set researchers fusion program mit theyre compact superconducting tokamaktype technologies bunch plausible theyre private sector firms dont know details hard compare good sense whos ahead technologiesp pstrongmy guest today arthur turrell author ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstarbuildersnuclearfusionplanetdp1982130660 target_blankthe star builders nuclear fusion race power planetaem arthur thanks lot coming podcaststrongp pthanks having jimp p divpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsistheunitedstatesreallymeritocraticmylongreadqawithadrianwooldridgeis united states meritocratic longread qampa adrian wooldridgea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsthelegacyofthemoonlandingmylongreadqawithcharlesfishmanthe legacy moon landing longread qampa charles fishmana hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicswillacceleratingtechnologyendthegreatstagnationmylongreadqawithazeemazharwill accelerating technology end great stagnation longread qampa azeem azharapdivbr pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsthecomingfusionrevolutionmylongreadqawitharthurturrellthe coming fusion revolution longread qampa arthur turrella appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

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OnlySubs: Forever Oppression for Historically Oppressed Groups

pemonlysubs episode 65 forever oppression for historically oppressed groupsspan datatagposttitle spanemis now available exclusively for new discourses contributors on the following platformsbr a relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscourseslocalscompost1165827foreveroppressionforhistoricallyoppressedgroupsonlysubswithjameslindsayep65 target_blanklocalsabr a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpatreoncompostsforeverforwith57310479 target_blankpatreonabr a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsubscribestarcomposts440458 target_blanksubscribestarabr a relnoopener hrefhttpsyoutubeev1lq5anthu target_blankyoutube membersabr a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthinkspotcomonline_contentnewdiscoursesforeveroppressionforhistoricallyoppressedgroupsonlysubswithjameslindsebuzre1event target_blankthinkspotap divthe woke movement moves through linguistic manipulations one of the most common types of manipulation is the application of a specific but seemingly benign term that will be worked into policy and then be made actionable with a specialized meaning once its too late to easily change it charles pincourt refers to this approach as the reverse motteandbailey trojan horse rhetorical maneuver in fact in his admirable forthcoming volume icounterwokecrafti a term that fits the activist bill for the agenda of the identity marxism movement were currently being attacked by is historically marginalized or historically oppressed group in fact this term is very insidious for a very simple reason historical status is permanent it does not change even if some historically oppressed group becomes absolutely and tyrannically dominant in society it is still ihistoricallyi oppressed therefore absolutely inoi policy that provides special treatment or that erects double standards should include the nicesounding euphemistic phrasing historically oppressed or historically marginalized groups in this episode of james lindsay onlysubs my subscribersonly podcast i try to shed some light on this specific manipulation in the hopes that people will become more aware and able to identify and resist these manipulations when and where they arisediv pprevious episodes of emonlysubsem can be found a hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagonlysubshereap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202110onlysubsforeveroppressionforhistoricallyoppressedgroupsonlysubs forever oppression for historically oppressed groupsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

pemonlysubs episode 65 forever oppression historically oppressed groupsspan datatagposttitlespanemis available exclusively new discourses contributors following platformsbr relnoopener hrefhttpsnewdiscourseslocalscompost1165827foreveroppressionforhistoricallyoppressedgroupsonlysubswithjameslindsayep65 target_blanklocalsabr relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpatreoncompostsforeverforwith57310479 target_blankpatreonabr relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsubscribestarcomposts440458 target_blanksubscribestarabr relnoopener hrefhttpsyoutubeev1lq5anthu target_blankyoutube membersabr relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthinkspotcomonline_contentnewdiscoursesforeveroppressionforhistoricallyoppressedgroupsonlysubswithjameslindsebuzre1event target_blankthinkspotap divthe woke movement moves linguistic manipulations common types manipulation application specific seemingly benign term worked policy actionable specialized meaning late easily change charles pincourt refers approach reverse motteandbailey trojan horse rhetorical maneuver fact admirable forthcoming volume icounterwokecrafti term fits activist bill agenda identity marxism movement currently attacked historically marginalized historically oppressed group fact term insidious simple reason historical status permanent change historically oppressed group absolutelyand tyrannically dominant society stillihistoricallyioppressed absolutelyinoipolicy provides special treatment erects double standards include nicesounding euphemistic phrasing historically oppressed historically marginalized groups episode james lindsay onlysubs subscribersonly podcast try shed light specific manipulation hopes people aware able identify resist manipulations arisediv pprevious episodes emonlysubsem found hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomtagonlysubshereap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescom202110onlysubsforeveroppressionforhistoricallyoppressedgroupsonlysubs forever oppression historically oppressed groupsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsnewdiscoursescomnew discoursesap

61660ec51f79a410a7f4624b

Covid scam arbitrage

blockquote p datauriwwwcurbedcom_componentsclayparagraphinstancesckuipjzjv000e2bojrtxlb0g5published datawordcount156 dataeditabletextit sounded like the ultimate a hrefhttpswwwjusticegovusaosdnyprfourdefendantschargedcovid19fraudschemecovidera travel bargaina fivestar hotels in manhattan at a 60 percent discount i do not know exactly what hotel u would be place but i know it would be 5 star hotel be cash app ready read a facebook post hyping the deal a cash apponly hotel promotion might raise a few red flags but trust that the rooms were very much real they were just supposed to be set aside for covid patients and healthcare providers the scam was uncovered after four months of excellent business and this week a hrefhttpswwwjusticegovusaosdnypressreleasefile1439311downloadfederal prosecutors chargeda chanette lewis with fraudulently booking new yorks a hrefhttpswww1nycgovsitehelpnownycgethelpcovid19hotelprogrampageemergency covid hotel roomsa using healthcare workers stolen personal information lewis 30 and three other accomplices are alleged to have advertised the rooms on facebook and to have made a whopping 400000 by booking more than 2700 nights worth of stays in the spring and summer of last yearp p datauriwwwcurbedcom_componentsclayparagraphinstancesckuipy1r7001c3e6i5tzmeyd1published datawordcount178 dataeditabletextlewis whose actual job was to book quarantine rooms on behalf of the city had access to healthcare workers personal information through her work at the office of emergency management but she allegedly used their credentials to book stays for emherem guests instead making it look like they had been exposed to covid i stole some doctor numbers and emails i was writing down they employed id number lmao prosecutors say lewis wrote in a facebook message the hotel rooms which would normally run hundreds of dollars a night went for only 50 a night and 150 for the week she then took the cash prosecutors say and the city was billed for the rooms the grift went so well that lewis recruited others to help her out i wanna teach u the ropes of it she messaged her coconspirator tatiana benjamin 26 in june her guests did the opposite of quarantine some threw parties and as one special agent for the us attorney ominously put it engaged in violencep blockquote p datauriwwwcurbedcom_componentsclayparagraphinstancesckuipy1r7001c3e6i5tzmeyd1published datawordcount178 dataeditabletexthere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcurbedcom202110covidhotelscamnewyorkcityhtml target_blankthe full storya via a relnoopener hrefhttpsviewfromthewingcom target_blankair genius gary leffap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110covidscamarbitragehtmlcovid scam arbitragea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquote p datauriwwwcurbedcom_componentsclayparagraphinstancesckuipjzjv000e2bojrtxlb0g5published datawordcount156 dataeditabletextit sounded like ultimate hrefhttpswwwjusticegovusaosdnyprfourdefendantschargedcovid19fraudschemecovidera travel bargaina fivestar hotels manhattan 60 percent discount know exactly hotel u place know 5 star hotel cash app ready read facebook post hyping deal cash apponly hotel promotion raise red flags trust rooms real supposed set aside covid patients healthcare providers scam uncovered months excellent business week hrefhttpswwwjusticegovusaosdnypressreleasefile1439311downloadfederal prosecutors chargeda chanette lewis fraudulently booking new yorks hrefhttpswww1nycgovsitehelpnownycgethelpcovid19hotelprogrampageemergency covid hotel roomsa healthcare workers stolen personal information lewis 30 accomplices alleged advertised rooms facebook whopping 400000 booking 2700 nights worth stays spring summer yearp p datauriwwwcurbedcom_componentsclayparagraphinstancesckuipy1r7001c3e6i5tzmeyd1published datawordcount178 dataeditabletextlewis actual job book quarantine rooms behalf city access healthcare workers personal information work office emergency management allegedly credentials book stays emherem guests instead making look like exposed covid stole doctor numbers emails writing employed id number lmao prosecutors lewis wrote facebook message hotel rooms normally run hundreds dollars night went 50 night 150 week took cash prosecutors city billed rooms grift went lewis recruited help wanna teach u ropes messaged coconspirator tatiana benjamin 26 june guests opposite quarantine threw parties special agent attorney ominously engaged violencep blockquote p datauriwwwcurbedcom_componentsclayparagraphinstancesckuipy1r7001c3e6i5tzmeyd1published datawordcount178 dataeditabletexthere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcurbedcom202110covidhotelscamnewyorkcityhtml target_blankthe storya relnoopener hrefhttpsviewfromthewingcom target_blankair genius gary leffap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110covidscamarbitragehtmlcovid scam arbitragea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

6166102c1f79a410a7f4626b

Elite capture of foreign aid

pthe evidence is taken from overseas bank accounts and here is the abstractp blockquotepdo elites capture foreign aid this paper documents that aid disbursements to highly aiddependent countries coincide with sharp increases in bank deposits in offshore financial centers known for bank secrecy and private wealth management but not in other financial centers the estimates are not confounded by contemporaneous shocks such as civil conflicts natural disasters and financial crises and are robust to instrumenting with predetermined aid commitments the implied leakage rate is around 75 percentbr at the sample mean and tends to increase with the ratio of aid to gdp the findings are consistent with aid capture in the most aiddependent countriespblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjournalsuchicagoedudoiabs101086717455 target_blankthe full piecea via the excellent a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyrounduphealthfacts target_blankkevin lewisa  that is by jrgen juel andersen niels johannesen and bob rijkers and here is a relnoopener hrefhttpsdocuments1worldbankorgcurateden493201582052636710pdfelitecaptureofforeignaidevidencefromoffshorebankaccountspdf target_blanka less gated linkap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110elitecaptureofforeignaidhtmlelite capture of foreign aida appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthe evidence taken overseas bank accounts abstractp blockquotepdo elites capture foreign aid paper documents aid disbursements highly aiddependent countries coincide sharp increases bank deposits offshore financial centers known bank secrecy private wealth management financial centers estimates confounded contemporaneous shocks civil conflicts natural disasters financial crises robust instrumenting predetermined aid commitments implied leakage rate 75 percentbr sample mean tends increase ratio aid gdp findings consistent aid capture aiddependent countriespblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjournalsuchicagoedudoiabs101086717455 target_blankthe piecea excellent relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyrounduphealthfacts target_blankkevin lewisa jrgen juel andersen niels johannesen bob rijkers relnoopener hrefhttpsdocuments1worldbankorgcurateden493201582052636710pdfelitecaptureofforeignaidevidencefromoffshorebankaccountspdf target_blanka gated linkap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110elitecaptureofforeignaidhtmlelite capture foreign aida appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

616760071f753f3b74d7c011

So Big Tech massively investing in itself is worrisome now?

pstrongby james pethokoukisstrongp pimagine a world much like this one where the most valuable companies were in the technology sector and like this one these companies were pretty dominant in their respective business areas the search engine company captured 8090 percent of all queries the social media giant ran three of the four largest social platforms the online retailer accounted for 40 percent of all online sales the supercool smartphone company had half of the us marketp pnow also imagine that these companies had such control over their markets and their executives felt so confident about the future that little was spent on new investment or rampd surely such a damning data point would be one of the main things mentioned by their critics as a reason for government to break up fatandhappy big tech some might also accuse them of shorttermism focusing more on quarterly profits dividends and buybacks rather than making longterm investmentsp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110pethokoukis1013cookjpgx91208 classwpimage1008612642figcaptionapple ceo tim cook greets customers at the new apple store in los angelesbrreuterslucy nicholsonfigcaptionfigure pof course the level of big tech spending on new investment and rampd is where my imaginary world and our real one part ways a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211012technologybigtechspendinghtmlsmidtwnytimesbitssmtypcur target_blankheresa shira ovide from the new york timesp blockquote classwpblockquotepemi have watched mouth agape as americas five biggest tech superstars apple microsoft google amazon and facebook have splurged on bigticket investments in their businesses that includes specialized equipment to assemble iphones hulking computer hubs and undersea internet cables that zip youtube videos to your phone and the warehouses for amazon workers to assemble and ship orders what the companies spend on physical assets that last for years capital expenditures for you wonks is one of the best glimpses at how big tech leverages success into even more success the combined profits of these five companies climbed more than 25 percent in the most recent year according to financial statements the tech giants have the cash and the permission from their investors to spend almost whatever it takes to stay on top its an advantage that few companies can matchempblockquote pwait so if these supervaluable companies emdidnt emmassively invest in their businesses their critics would express alarm but they emdoem invest massively in their businesses yet i guess thats supposed to be alarming too one cant help but be reminded of and see the wisdom in the philosophical underpinning of american competition law antitrust exists to protect competition not competitors even if those competitors are feisty upstarts or merely entrepreneurs with big dreams as antitrust experts john w mayo and mark whitener a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomoutlookfivemythsmythsantitrustlawamazongooglemonopoly20200320ead2a0726a1a11ea992357073adce27c_storyhtmlexplaineda in the washington post last yearp blockquote classwpblockquotep[antitrust] recognizes that the potential for economic rewards is what incentivizes investment and risktaking the resulting competition for marketplace supremacy can be fierce and weaker firms often fail along the way those left standing should not be punished for their success even if only one survives as the supreme court said more than 50 years ago monopolies should be targets of antitrust enforcement only when there is the willful acquisition or maintenance of [monopoly] power as distinguished from growth or development as a consequence of a superior product business acumen or historic accident antitrust doesnt condemn a firm for developing a universally popular search engine ketchup or pharmaceutical drug even if that success leads to market dominance its how a monopoly is obtained or preserved that matters not its mere existencepblockquote pand given the current hostility to big tech in washington its pretty obvious that the dominance is being maintained more by providing value to consumers rather than by exploiting americas political system like a bunch of crony capitalists wall street banks frequently release reports highlighting the very real antitrust and regulatory risks to alphabet amazon apple and facebook but i would note that those companies frequently occupy the top spots in lists of the most innovative firms in america and the world for example a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwvisualcapitalistcomrankedthemostinnovativecompaniesin2021 target_blankherea a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwforbescominnovativecompanieslisttabrank target_blankherea and a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwlinkedincompulsemostinnovativecompanies2021accordingbcglouiscolumbus target_blankherea same with a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnasdaqcomarticleswhichcompaniesspendthemostinresearchanddevelopmentrd20210621 target_blankrampd spendinga they seem to be staying on top by mostly doing things the right way and if you have a problem with that too then you really have slipped into big is bad because big is bad territoryp divpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsarethedeepfundamentalsoftheuseconomyactuallyprettystrongare the deep fundamentals of the us economy actually pretty stronga a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsinnovationisimportantevenmorethanyouthinkinnovation is important even more than you thinka a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsnewsfromtheendofcapitalismstrongwagegrowthatthebottomcorporateconcentrationnotacrisisnews from the end of capitalism strong wage growth at the bottom corporate concentration not a crisisapdiv pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicssobigtechmassivelyinvestinginitselfisworrisomenowso big tech massively investing in itself is worrisome nowa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pstrongby james pethokoukisstrongp pimagine world like valuable companies technology sector like companies pretty dominant respective business areas search engine company captured 8090 percent queries social media giant ran largest social platforms online retailer accounted 40 percent online sales supercool smartphone company half marketp pnow imagine companies control markets executives felt confident future little spent new investment rampd surely damning data point main things mentioned critics reason government break fatandhappy big tech accuse shorttermism focusing quarterly profits dividends buybacks making longterm investmentsp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110pethokoukis1013cookjpgx91208 classwpimage1008612642figcaptionapple ceo tim cook greets customers new apple store los angelesbrreuterslucy nicholsonfigcaptionfigure pof course level big tech spending new investment rampd imaginary world real ways relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211012technologybigtechspendinghtmlsmidtwnytimesbitssmtypcur target_blankheresa shira ovide new york timesp blockquote classwpblockquotepemi watched mouth agape americas biggest tech superstars apple microsoft google amazon facebook splurged bigticket investments businesses includes specialized equipment assemble iphones hulking computer hubs undersea internet cables zip youtube videos phone warehouses amazon workers assemble ship orders companies spend physical assets years capital expenditures wonks best glimpses big tech leverages success success combined profits companies climbed 25 percent recent year according financial statements tech giants cash permission investors spend takes stay advantage companies matchempblockquote pwait supervaluable companies emdidnt emmassively invest businesses critics express alarm emdoem invest massively businesses guess thats supposed alarming cant help reminded wisdom philosophical underpinning american competition law antitrust exists protect competition competitors competitors feisty upstarts merely entrepreneurs big dreams antitrust experts john w mayo mark whitener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomoutlookfivemythsmythsantitrustlawamazongooglemonopoly20200320ead2a0726a1a11ea992357073adce27c_storyhtmlexplaineda washington post yearp blockquote classwpblockquotep[antitrust] recognizes potential economic rewards incentivizes investment risktaking resulting competition marketplace supremacy fierce weaker firms fail way left standing punished success survives supreme court said 50 years ago monopolies targets antitrust enforcement willful acquisition maintenance [monopoly] power distinguished growth development consequence superior product business acumen historic accident antitrust doesnt condemn firm developing universally popular search engine ketchup pharmaceutical drug success leads market dominance monopoly obtained preserved matters mere existencepblockquote pand given current hostility big tech washington pretty obvious dominance maintained providing value consumers exploiting americas political system like bunch crony capitalists wall street banks frequently release reports highlighting real antitrust regulatory risks alphabet amazon apple facebook note companies frequently occupy spots lists innovative firms america world example relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwvisualcapitalistcomrankedthemostinnovativecompaniesin2021 target_blankherea relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwforbescominnovativecompanieslisttabrank target_blankherea relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwlinkedincompulsemostinnovativecompanies2021accordingbcglouiscolumbus target_blankherea relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnasdaqcomarticleswhichcompaniesspendthemostinresearchanddevelopmentrd20210621 target_blankrampd spendinga staying things right way problem slipped big bad big bad territoryp divpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsarethedeepfundamentalsoftheuseconomyactuallyprettystrongare deep fundamentals economy actually pretty stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsinnovationisimportantevenmorethanyouthinkinnovation important thinka hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsnewsfromtheendofcapitalismstrongwagegrowthatthebottomcorporateconcentrationnotacrisisnews end capitalism strong wage growth corporate concentration crisisapdiv pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicssobigtechmassivelyinvestinginitselfisworrisomenowso big tech massively investing worrisome nowa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

616760601f753f3b74d7c019

How do low real interest rates affect optimal tax policy?

palan auerbach and william gale have a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw29352fromrss target_blanka new papera on this topicp blockquotepinterest rates on government debt have fallen in many countries over the last several decades with markets indicating that rates may stay low well into the future it is by now well understood that sustained low interest rates can change the nature of longrun fiscal policy choices in this paper we examine a related issue the implications of sustained low interest rates for the structure of tax policy we show that low interest rates a reduce the differences between consumption and income taxes b make wealth taxes less efficient relative to capital income taxes at given rates of tax c reduce the value of firmlevel investment incentives and d substantially raise the valuation of benefits of carbon abatement policies relative to their costspblockquote pone core intuition here is that as the safe return goes to zero capital taxes are not especially burdensome compared to consumption taxes  of course the safe return may not be entirely welldefined within a corporate context and capital taxes often hit returns to risk as well so this is a bit more complicated than the abstract alone would indicatep pthe authors also offer this intuition which i do not quite followp blockquotepin simplified environments a wealth tax can be written as an equivalent tax on capital income as the rate of return falls the equivalent income tax rate of any given wealth tax rises that is a given wealth tax rate becomes more distortionary relative to a given capital income tax as the rate of return fallspblockquote pone of my biggest worries about a wealth tax is that it takes resources away from people who at the margin seem to be good at generating extranormal returns  that comparative advantage might be more important as the safe rate goes to zero  so i am fine with the conclusion of the authors but not sure if their intuition is equivalent to mine i suspect it is notp pthis one is clearer to mep blockquotepa major focus of potential tax reform has been the treatment of capital gains given their taxfavored status their high concentration among the very wealthy and the distortions that the current method of taxation causes a key element of the current system of capital gains taxationbr is the lockin effect which discourages the realization of gains to take advantage of deferral of taxation with very low interest rates the deferral advantage loses much of its relevance and this can make relatively simple reforms such as taxing capital gains at death achieve results very similar to more complicated schemes such as taxing capital gains on accrual even when not realizedpblockquote poverall this paper is very interesting and thoughtprovoking  nonetheless until we understand better why the safe rate of return has diverged so radically from typical but still risky corporate rates of return i am not sure what implications we can draw from the modelp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110howdolowrealinterestratesaffectoptimaltaxpolicyhtmlhow do low real interest rates affect optimal tax policya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

palan auerbach william gale relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw29352fromrss target_blanka new papera topicp blockquotepinterest rates government debt fallen countries decades markets indicating rates stay low future understood sustained low interest rates change nature longrun fiscal policy choices paper examine related issue implications sustained low interest rates structure tax policy low interest rates reduce differences consumption income taxes b wealth taxes efficient relative capital income taxes given rates tax c reduce value firmlevel investment incentives d substantially raise valuation benefits carbon abatement policies relative costspblockquote pone core intuition safe return goes zero capital taxes especially burdensome compared consumption taxes course safe return entirely welldefined corporate context capital taxes hit returns risk bit complicated abstract indicatep pthe authors offer intuition followp blockquotepin simplified environments wealth tax written equivalent tax capital income rate return falls equivalent income tax rate given wealth tax rises given wealth tax rate distortionary relative given capital income tax rate return fallspblockquote pone biggest worries wealth tax takes resources away people margin good generating extranormal returns comparative advantage important safe rate goes zero fine conclusion authors sure intuition equivalent suspect notp pthis clearer mep blockquotepa major focus potential tax reform treatment capital gains given taxfavored status high concentration wealthy distortions current method taxation causes key element current system capital gains taxationbr lockin effect discourages realization gains advantage deferral taxation low interest rates deferral advantage loses relevance relatively simple reforms taxing capital gains death achieve results similar complicated schemes taxing capital gains accrual realizedpblockquote poverall paper interesting thoughtprovoking nonetheless understand better safe rate return diverged radically typical risky corporate rates return sure implications draw modelp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110howdolowrealinterestratesaffectoptimaltaxpolicyhtmlhow low real interest rates affect optimal tax policya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

6167606f1f753f3b74d7c01b

Dark Days in Washington, with A.B. Stoddard

pa b stoddard is one of the countrys sharpest and best informed political commentators a former congressional reporter and producer of abc world news tonight as well as a current columnist for realclearpolitics she has seen politics from the inside and up close since the 1990s and when she warns that both parties and the country are in a dark place as the 2022 and 2024 elections approach we should listenp pbrin this interview a b stoddard talks about her experiences as a woman in the maledominated news business her view of how congress has slid into dysfunction in recent decades and her assessment of how donald trump was able to take over the republican party and jettison its loyalty to ronald reagan and his oncerevered brand of conservatism she analyzes the democrats stumbles in their attempts to pass the bipartisan infrastructure framework and the build back better plan the tensions between the partys moderate and progressive factions and the breakdown of the democratic establishments control over the legislative process she also speculates about why the democratic leadership has failed to grapple with the growing threat of electionnullification efforts by state republican legislatures and the growing potential for political violence in upcoming electionsp iframe srchttpsplayersimplecastcom4598f06123444a3084dd0ec80cb8e0e5darkfalse width100 height200pxiframe h2transcripth2 pstronga b stoddardstrong i grew up in a time where you could not go two days without hearing an ode to the greatness of ronald reagan you cannot raise the name of ronald reagan now in the republican party in maga world or you would be written off immediately as a sellout rino traitorp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong hello im geoff kabaservice for the niskanen center welcome to the vital center podcast where we try to sort through the problems of the muddled moderate majority of americans drawing upon history biography and current events im especially pleased to be able to welcome a b stoddard to the podcast a b is a frequent media commentator and a columnist at realclearpolitics shes a former congressional reporter and columnist at the hill a former producer of abc world news tonight and a frequent participant in tv news and politics panels and she is in my opinion and that of many others one of the nations sharpest most insightful and most evenhanded analysts of politics so welcome a b its really a pleasure and an honor to be able to talk with you todayp pstronga b stoddardstrong oh geoff the honor and pleasure is mine im really thrilled to be herep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong so i usually ask people a fairly standard question at the beginning of these discussions and that is where did you come from and what path did you take that led you to the work that you do nowp pstronga b stoddardstrong well i am from new york city my whole family is from connecticut my parents and grandparents and aunts and uncles and cousins  and so i spent a lot of time there growing up and ended up going to connecticut college in new london i had wanted to be a journalist though from the time i was probably 14 13 i knew i wanted to join the high school paper and i did and then i was the editor of the high school paper and then i did the same thing in college i joined the paper and then i ended up editing the magazine and i worked hard to find good internships and jobs in the summer in the business to build some understanding and get some experience and meet people and i managed to do that which was really great because i think its really hard i didnt obviously get paid and i think kids today think that internships are going to be paid but i really had wonderful experiences doing thatp pand so i just knew when i left school when i left college that that was the path i was going to take and with great certainty and so i doggedly pursued that i think back on that and wonder how i was so convinced that this is what i must do but i do have a memory of being romanced by the news business and reporting early on just simply because every day was different and you would meet different people and hear different stories and particularly before i got into politics i just loved feature writing i just loved being off on a different path finding different slices of life all the time no matter how goofy and so i really enjoyed it it held my attention and ive always enjoyed writing so thats how i ended up in the businessp pthe interesting thing was when i was out at a small paper in prince william county virginia doing that after other jobs sorting mail and stuff like that finally with my own byline and doing some interesting longterm projects in addition to the daytoday i watched the clarence thomas hearings and that was really i dont have a lot of outofthemovies clarifying moments in my life that i can look back on and that is one of them where i was so riveted that i decided right then and there i just had to cover congress and i have ever since and that was a long time agop pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and how did you move from reportage into opinionwriting and what does it take to actually make a good opinion writer and i ask this because this is a question i keep asking myself of coursep pstronga b stoddardstrong i still cant really believe that i do this and i dont know what qualifies me to do this but i do know that i was really blessed to have the opportunity to meet great reporters of the congress who did commentary and columns two of the most important ones who were my friends were mary mcgrory when i was first starting out and then later cokie roberts who covered the congress and the politics of washington every day to inform their opinions and opiniongiving and so my columns have always been heavy probably at many times too heavy and too loaded with facts because thats how i come to it i dont think i am qualified enough to share an opinion until i show you all the facts that inform itp pand so im very uncomfortable just myself although i enjoy those columns that are heavy on opinion i just could never im not a faker and when im invited on shows where the panels extend out of politics into culture i always say no and say im just not a good fit and im not going to fake that thats for the kids or other people but really i only like to weigh in on what i know and in columns i always feel a burden to show the reader how i got to that opinion now that im not confined by 600 words which i was in my print days i go long and i go hard into my arguments with a lot of data and facts because i think that just makes my argument more credible and i really do look back at those influences of columnists and commentators i knew who were covering the daily the hourly sometimes inandouts of what the battles were to make sure that they were really well informed when they opinedp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong its interesting you mentioned mary mcgrory because she and meg greenfield i think were real pioneers as women in the political coverage particularly at the washington post and i wonder what have been the advantages and disadvantages if any for you as a woman in the political reporting and commentating businessp pstronga b stoddardstrong well it was definitely very much a mans world and a white mans world in the newsrooms that i came of age in and worked in theres no question i mean there are more disadvantages i believe than advantages its hard to become a mother of three children in the news business as i did and to manage that i and i had twins and then 22 months later another so i had three children in three years and was running a zoo i think its hard when you dont work with and for a lot of women to become a mom to transition into that most humbling job the most timeconsuming most frightening and joyous and important experience looking back thats difficult and i actually had to maneuver my professional path around it i mean i certainly walked away from opportunities in order to be a more present mom and thats what you dop pand maybe thats changed i certainly along the way then got to work with robin sproul the bureau chief of abc news just one of the most wonderful people and wonderful bosses and women in the business of all time really lucky to work under her and so it got easier there are now a lot more women obviously in television in the work i do across the board and i guess in the beginning you know we were exotic back when i was 27 in the newsroom but it often felt very strange and im just glad that there are a lot more women in this business in all industries across the boardp pand i have a very strong feeling about women in politics as well that i really im kind of biased towards women as problemsolvers managers listeners they read to the end of the email unlike men theyre better team players theyre better team leaders and ive asked republican women candidates about this and they always say oh im not running because im a woman im just running because i want to lower taxes and regulation but i think that women in both parties should run saying we need more women in politics because at the table we bring something special and we just simply are bringing different skills to problemsolving in a way that i think could make dramatic improvement in the system if both parties committed to electing more of them and embracing the fact that women are different but in some quarters thats still a weird thing to sayp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and i realize this is sort of a general question but youve pointed out one of the ways in which politics is different now which is just more women involved in governing what are some of the other ways in which politics has changed during the time youve been active in political reporting and what are some of the factors that seem to be making politics more dysfunctional nowadaysp pstronga b stoddardstrong this is where the conversation begins to turn dark geoff there are the usual suspects on my list that everyone else has when i started covering the congress we were using lexisnexis and the fax machine and it was not at all as easy for specialinterest groups to stalk you and target you and infuriate your constituents and punish you for working across the aisle and yes you had to do a lot of fundraising not nearly as much as you do now but just as we were talking about in the 90s people did stay largely in washington and they had friendships and they played tennis together and they lived together in the suburbs and went to the same church and ended up at each others kids graduations and that makes a huge difference in the level of comity obviously and cooperationp pthe most piercing anecdote of my career when i look back on how those actual structural changes led to so much fueled and amplified the polarization i think about in 1996 at the defense of marriage act in the house i often would press my face in the speakers lobby to the window into the chamber to see who was with who and who was looking at their shoes and trying to dodge the moment and that was really one of those highdrama moments and interestingly enough which has nothing to do with the story i actually was covering don young my first reporting job in the congress was for states news service and i was given alaska where i had never been to cover the alaska delegation and don young is one of the most supremely grumpy members of congress and still is with pride but i had covered him in the merchant marine and fisheries committeep pand i watched him leave the republican side of the chamber and walk over and sit on the democratic side of the chamber during the defense of marriage act and put his arm around congressman gerry studds who was the first openly gay member of congress  who had been censured by the congress for an affair with a page who was a minor 13 years before that and if don young did that today we would speak of nothing else for six months straight people would be in his bushes threatening his life today that would happenp pthat was a brave thing then but it was still realistic because there was a bond between members obviously studds had been chairman until the takeover in 94 with young as his ranking in that committee then young was chairman and studds was his ranking they had a deep abiding friendship and don young stuck his neck out in front of his republican colleagues during this tough vote that the democrats with much intraparty tension within the clinton administration and the national party they were taking this vote even though they were really uncomfortable about it and in essence against samesex marriage and the benefits that are provided to heterosexual marriagep pit was a really big moment and i just think that kind of thing really would not be allowed today and people take pride in the fact that they are not interested in relationships across the aisle and then of course we know that theyre actually sort of threatening each other even in the congress thats to me really the most telling anecdote i can come up with about how much of a different world it wasp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong it occurs to me that we both went to college in connecticut at a time when the governor was lowell weicker who was a liberal republican and to even use the term liberal republican nowadays sounds like a contradiction in terms or political science fiction but within our notallthatlong lifetimes such creatures were to be found at least in some numbersp pstronga b stoddardstrong yes and i grew up in new york in a family of liberal republicans no one talked about their gay cousin and we lived in prerudy giuliani manhattan with high crime we were not in alabama protecting our rights to own guns i mean everything was different in terms of the republican party of today the focus was not on cultural issues it was obviously on fiscal sanity a role in the world on the global stage not too many deep and broad foreign entanglements but certainly a leadership role and obviously lower taxes and small government and these other issues were just on the sidelines they werent the driving forces of the battle yes youre right even the term liberal republican most people who are much younger havent even heard that today its astonishingp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong so since you mentioned the republican party of today your a hrefhttpswwwrealclearpoliticscomarticles20210928trump_admits_the_midterms_are_about_him_not_the_gop_146472html2most recenta or one of your most recent articles in realclearpolitics was about how donald trump at a rally in georgia basically endorsed leftwing democrat stacey abrams for governor over the actual conservative incumbent republican governor brian kemp so how would you try to explain this to a visitor from another planet what kind of dynamic is at work where the former defeated republican president is sort of endorsing leftwing democrats over conservative republican governorsp pstronga b stoddardstrong well at times i feel like we were invaded by people from another planet starting in 2015 because everything about our politics has changed everything about the republican party has changed and everything about the constitutional order has changed which is the most frightening and the most consequential but i think that if you had seen the scene that saturday night in perry georgia and he was just a sore loser in the process of being sidelined by the republican party you would say this is a demagogue for whom it is all about him he once led a party that he has just abject contempt for he doesnt intend to unify or aid in any way he doesnt want them to win elections hes only interested in punishment and its lucky for the republicans that hes on the way out and just doing some carnival barking sideshows and some crowds are still showing upp phe is the leader of the republican party and when he does what he did to dump on brian kemp and then say youd all be better off with stacy abrams the democrat whos likely to challenge him it infuriates republicans  and they remain completely silent they do nothing about it somebody somewhere might be making a phone call to one of the trump lackeys who surround him  no longer corey lewandowski who has now been temporarily sidelined for drunkenly telling people that he stabs people and sexual assault but there are others who might be getting a small phone call a whimpering voice about how itd be really helpful if the former president whos so important to us just didnt endorse democrats but thats all theyll do they know it wont be effective and theyre probably not even making those phone callsp phe has no intention of helping the republicans next year he will have vengeance rallies where he might if he gets his candidate of choice to win a primary he might show up in the primary battle to help his candidate of choice oust the person hes targeting a republican who might have supported impeachment against him this last january but i doubt that hell even really help them across the finishing line if he gets maga candidates especially in swing districts its just really about his own fundraising his own platform and his vendettas and i dont think thats going to change between now and next novemberp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong you know i have a hard time explaining how we got to this position and im somebody who has studied the republican party fairly closely and part of whats taught me humility in recent years is that a lot of the history doesnt really seem to offer a lot of guidance to what has gone on since 2015 but what people on the left i think dont understand is that as improbable as it was for donald trump to have won the presidency or at least to have won the electoral college in 2016 i think it was at least as improbable that he won the republican presidential nomination in 2016 against a large field of 16 other candidates most of whom had extensive experience in politics builtin support and a lifetime of work for the republican party which of course donald trump did not havep pand if you went back just four years before the 2016 election every single republican presidential candidate was claiming absolute fidelity to the legacy of ronald reagan and trump in so many ways has departed from that brand of conservatism so how do you think that happened what were some of the critical factors that allowed trump to dominate and redefine the republican partyp pstronga b stoddardstrong well i too am as surprised as everyone else that he was able to be a lifelong democrat and then just change on a dime to win over enough of the primary base that he could just eke out in pluralities a path to the nomination which is how it happened in the beginning if you look at the support for every other contender of course it was always larger than the support for donald trump but he was then able to just resoundingly staggeringly galvanize through cultural issues enough of the base to really intimidate those other contenders and really just bewilder them so that his following was so much more fervent and attached and adoring than people were even prepared for so the nottrump republicans who kept supporting other people up and until the final days with ted cruz and i guess john kasich they were watching around them people turn towards trump and it was surprising them in their family at their office in their neighborhood and then they also of course loathed hillary clinton and they were going to get on board to take her down really no matter what no matter who was runningp pso it was kind of a perfect storm of so many things but he very shrewdly had sam nunberg and other people harvesting the fields of talk radio to find out what the base was really angry about and hated and then he passionately spoke to those themes while calling everyone else a wimp the case he made against the establishment  that they have repeatedly sold you out and youve been suckered into supporting them and theyll never solve the problem the glue that that became for him and enough of the voters that the voters who resisted him were just so overwhelmed by the fervent trump support they saw around them in quarters that surprised them so they just threw inp pand i grew up in a time where you could not go two days without hearing an ode to the greatness of ronald reagan and the reverence in the republican party for ronald reagan was not matched anywhere else in the republican party with other presidents except for talking about lincoln and then in the democratic party you cannot raise the name of ronald reagan now in the republican party in maga world or you would be written off immediately as a sellout rino traitor and obviously he wouldnt be able to win a republican primary for immigration and other issues but the triumph of ronald reagan was his fealty to liberty and how much he spoke to the american people about our greatest exceptional gifts and blessings and what we needed to champion all around the worldp pand donald trump never spoke about liberty  really from the day he was in office he never did he only started talking about freedom when he realized that his base didnt like the lockdowns that he announced and supported back in the spring of 2020 and then he started talking about freedom but just thinking about not only the reverence for ronald reagan literally evaporating but everything that he stood for in a wonderful way is like some remnant of the republican party that no ones allowed to even discuss anymore its incredible like you i cant make sense of it after the 2020 election i went into my office geoff and threw out a whole bunch of stuff that i had on the history of the republican party what might happen next i just tossed itp pand whats so interesting now about history not applying to the present battles i find it stunning  look at the democrats right now the democrats on the hill are saying we sold out the public option in the healthcare battle in 2010 and were not going to be snookered again by you establishment democrats we shouldnt have done that when literally democracy is now hanging in the balance we didnt have that threat in 2010 now we have about a year to do something to stop the republicans from stealing the 2024 election and theyre screaming about what provisions they can jam into this unpopular tooexpensive package and waxing about the popularity of the hearingaid benefit its just crazy to mep pthey think that theyre telling us theyre going to prevail because theyve integrated and learned their lesson from 2010 and it doesnt apply right now this is a higherstakes game where theyre going to lose power even if they want to do that in the name of progress and then be obliterated essentially as a party its amazing to me that none of the things from decades ago or even five years ago seem to apply right nowp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong i recall a conversation i had with ezra klein about three years ago where i was defending the utility of an understanding of history for assessing current politics and he basically came back and said actually history is pretty much useless at this point because people dont actually believe what they claim they believe the things that motivate them are not even what they understand themselves to be motivated by and i have definitely had a reassessment since that time however i do think that something the democrats might benefit from is knowing more about the tea party and how the tea party movement was able to overthrow the establishment represented by people like john boehner and paul ryan and how the tea partys apparent motivation of fiscal conservatism and fiscal responsibility was actually tissuethin and other motivations were really what drove the tea party movement which was how it ended up being donald trumps mainstay of supportp pand then also i think it would be useful for democrats to examine the role of the house freedom caucus and how a relative minority of the party was able to bend the larger majority of the party to its will by being an unyielding ideological monolith what do you think about these thoughtsp pstronga b stoddardstrong well i agree with you geoff which happens a lot i think that the democrats theyre in a really bad predicament because of their margins so that even if the progressives do not band together in a cohesive largeenough bloc to threaten the agenda the way the hfc did really only three people at a time can be hostagetakers  or one at a time  because shes only working with a fourseat margin and that is emboldening them and then of course in the senate side they dont control  they preside over the chamber and they control the committee process but they dont have an actual majority and so its so tenuous over there i think that thats what the problem is here is that the fragile margin has enabled them to look as if they are really controlling the agenda when theyre actually notp pon process theyve had now a symbolic tactical victory and whats interesting is that they were enabled by the white house and what i did not think was going to happen in 2021 is that president biden was going to roll the speaker nancy pelosi nancy pelosi understood that doing those two bills together by the end of september was important politically because it was all going to happen at once and they were going to champion a bipartisan bill that passed that would immediately start producing new jobs and instead because of a process breakdown it looked to the media and to people who werent watching at a granular level as if the progressives prevailed and they are now the champions of the party and theyre in control and the socialists are going to take overp pso it gave republicans a huge opening that was unnecessary and it was all because joe biden rolled nancy pelosi none of this we could expect she made a promise im taking this recent example because i think it speaks so much to when an establishment exerts control or loses control over an insurgent faction like the tea party nancy pelosi made them a promise and then broke it she rarely ever does this but she did and then the white house made her eat her wordsp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong this is her promise she made to the moderatesp pstronga b stoddardstrong right first she said to everybody were going to pass these two bills that divide our party together its going to be great it wasnt realistic and then she says im really sorry we just cant were going to pass a bipartisan bill that attracted the support of 19 republican senators and pass it into law and work really hard on getting the other thing out really soon  but afterwards and then you have joe biden coming in at the end of september in a surprise visit in person and saying yeah well just go back to pairing them and he rolled the speaker which is astounding so they have to get on the same page about the insurgency that they have in their midst the left in groups like the justice democrats are now trying to primary  as they have been unsuccessfully i might highlight for years for at least two cycles  trying to primary incumbent democratsp pand you have someone like hakeem jeffries whos supposed to get the speakership starting a pac with josh gottheimer the lead moderate democrat  the sort of rebel the joe manchin of the house to stop incumbent democrats from being ousted in primaries by leftist insurgents were beyond warning signs at this point they have to figure out how to get this under control the left never wins swing districts they dont succeed they only succeed in making blue seats blue and so this has to be dealt with or theyre going to break their party open and if they do its their own faultp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong i tend to be reflexively fond of moderates on either side of the aislep pstronga b stoddardstrong samep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong whether it be moderate republicans to the extent that they still exist or the new democrats or even the blue dogs but i think its also useful to reevaluate ones priors on occasion i think for example the progressives have a point that the obama stimulus bill was too small because the moderates overestimated the degree of opposition that there was to the kind of stimulus that actually was required to set the economy back on track and i could also reach for historical examples where for example moderate democrats during the kennedy and johnson administrations took the worst possible course on vietnam  that of graduated escalation  because they set themselves up reflexively against what they perceived as the extremes of total withdrawal or total commitmentp pso can you argue perhaps from a devilsadvocate perspective about why the progressives might be correct to pair the bipartisan infrastructure framework with the build back better social spending or why they may actually be correct in arguing that a lot of the biden build back better plan is popular or would be popular and would benefit democrats and even the country more than the smaller visions of the moderatesp pstronga b stoddardstrong theyre correct in some polling  and i tend to be very nervous about polling after the 2020 election that a lot of these provisions are popular but what they are trying to do is put in so many shortterm targeted relief shortterm funding packages that they set up these political and fiscal cliffs in the years to come and create more problems and uncertainty the argument from the moderates is fine if we pair them just trim the size of the social welfare package it is by all estimates in most polls the price tag has been rejected by majority of voters it is deemed too big pare it down and then do just what theyre saying at the white house a few things well try to bring more universal benefit things that everyone can get behind action on climate more subsidies of the aca childcare programs bring those in at higher funding levels so they last longer and people know that theyre happening and dont try to throw the kitchen sink in and then people find out that they only get it for 24 monthsp pthis is right now what most americans are not paying attention to theyre paying attention to the price tag because thats a big part of the debate and the debate on cable and all the chatter and theyre paying attention to the timing and the process are they going to pair the bills are they not going to pair the bills i think the center would be fine with voting on them at the same time if the progressives would agree to more universal benefits instead of targeted relief and theres a debate going on about that and so priorities will have to be cut if you fund things for longerp pi think in the end both things will pass and i think in the end joe manchin will determine the price tag of the package because thats the reality in the meantime theyre going to figure out whats in it and how long things are funded for the problem with the progressives is that they are the purpose of a political party is to win elections and the progressives are in denial about the margins and who will make or break the majority next year and bernie sanders exuberance over the dental benefits and the expansion of medicare and all of these things versus the actual political needs of the swing district democrats in the house which is to address climate to use the child tax credit this kind of thing thats popular in their districts where they can hold their seat that was recently held by republicans so that they can help hold the majority that should be the priorityp pbut were really looking at this point at the prospect of progressives going for broke trying to say we want to get all these things in and we dont care if it costs us the majority and as one exasperated new democrat said to me this weekend the great society programs ushered in the heyday of the republican party with nixon and reagan and the democrats lost election after election in the name of progress its really hard to back the progressives gobig strategy geoff because im very concerned and i think democrats should be very concerned  and im not a democrat about what it means if kevin mccarthy has a 3seat majority versus a 33seat majority and in between is the worldp pare you going to lose elissa slotkin elaine luria abby spanberger and a whole bunch of swingdistrict democrats as the party did in 2020 and hand a sturdy majority to the republicans to begin their wreckingball plans impeach biden for no reason on and on i mean they just have to think long and hard about that just to be able to say they got 19 extra programs in the reconciliation packagep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong i wonder as someone in the media whether you have thoughts about the medias responsibility for the present political dynamic i mean for example all of those moderates you mentioned dont get a fraction combined of the coverage that alexandra ocasiocortez receives her wearing a tax the rich dress to the met gala is going to make 10 times more news than anything related to policy that the moderates might be pressing and i sometimes think that a really underestimated factor in media coverage is how they are bored with the reality that most elections at the presidential level are decided in the suburbs thats not news they want conflict they want to be able to say that it was the j d vance hillbilly elegy voter out in that diner in west virginia who decided the election or that it was the hispanic voters who decided the election when the reality is no actually its pretty much the moderate majority of americans in the suburbs who decide electionsp pstronga b stoddardstrong yeah i was fascinated to see that matt yglesias just recently had a piece about how the median voter is lacking a college education and is white and in their midfifties the democratic party is not interested in acknowledging a lot of the data that was decisive in the 2020 election that david shor has talked a lot about the fact is that hes a data analyst who calls himself a progressive but had a fallingout with the woke mob  and thats another story it can be googled but david shor talks about how the defund the police stuff worked against the democrats in the last election among latino women who were concerned not only working class black and latino men but women who were concerned about the police in their neighborhood and presence in the security of their neighborhoods and the democrats and what happened in the rio grande valley in texas the democrats have not faced the reality of their liabilities and the fact that joe biden almost lost the election by less than hillary clinton lost the electionp pits just craziness i do think that the moderates youre right dont get a lot of attention although josh gottheimer does end up on television pretty regularly the problem is for your average swing democrat in the house the truth is they dont want to be in public rows with progressives and they dont want to be critical because its very hard for them they dont want to lose endorsements they dont want to lose fundraising they dont want groups in the democratic party to look at whats going on now and say you know what the moderates theyve asked too much im just going to go fund a governors race instead of sending a check to support the frontliners in the housep pthey want leadership to push back on progressives they dont want to do it themselves so there are very few of them like joe manchin and josh gottheimer who get out there and are leaders in no labels and such and are willing to be on the chopping block and take the incoming a lot of them are just staying quiet and they know how vulnerable they are after 2020 and we know that they made sure their leadership knew that after 2020 the reason that they dont get a lot of attention is theyre intentionally staying quiet so theyre not really in the cable news story and as we also know theres not a lot of debates left in the media a lot of the coverage is people agreeing with each other and not really having i dont know when the last time i saw a congressman from the progressive caucus with a congressman from the new dem caucus together on a show debating the finer points of this policy it doesnt really happen and maybe that is because the moderates are just trying to stay out of itp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong it also does seem to me that the business model of cable news political discussion increasingly is tending in a more polarized direction that one channel or another is going to be part of team a or team b and anyone who comes bearing an opposing perspective is going to be greeted like a skunk at the proverbial garden partyp pstronga b stoddardstrong no question and i think its unfortunate while i do not like the fights that drove clicks and fed the business model of a few years ago that seems to have ended and it seems that people are talking just to each other when i go into my doom mode geoff i tend to get nastygrams on twitter or in my email because people dont like it when i pick on both parties thats unpopular and i guess theres not a lot of us doing that but i know that the fights the conflict that seems like a model we were in for several years i think it ended in maybe the end of the trump administration you just dont see a lot of democrats going on fox and making the case and debating a republican you dont see the same on cnn and msnbc in reversep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong as you say the left does not appreciate even constructive criticism from the right but nonetheless i have been surprised by the extent to which leftleaning media has really undercovered some of what seem to me to be the shocking events around january 6th i dont know if the john eastman memos advising trump and pence how they could undo the electoral college vote thanks to ambiguities in the electoral count act are too boring for most viewers or if thats the judgment that the media outlets are making but anyway it seems to me that democrats generally have failed to respond with the appropriate seriousness to what you and the other panelists on a hrefhttpsbegtodifferthebulwarkcomdemocratsaredividedrepublicansareunitedasacultmona charens beg to differ podcasta discussed most recently which is bob kagans a hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomopinions20210923robertkaganconstitutionalcrisisarticlea on our present constitutional crisis and the very real possibility that something awful could happen around the 2024 electionp pstronga b stoddardstrong i am astounded that nancy pelosi and chuck schumer have not publicly released bob kagans piece to their conferences with an attached letter saying i expect you to read every page of this its 11 pages or whatever it is and i want you to know that we are trying to govern with a radicalized party that intends to break the system and we have to respond accordingly im just astounded the january 6 commission looks like its a serious undertaking theyre very committed to bringing out the truth and that could produce some dramatic attentionfocusing revelations to wake up the electorate but as a party it is staggering to me that we could be in the situation where they continue to be fighting about hearing aids and that they are not taking seriously the fact that theyre running out of time to mitigate this threatp pand so my frustration all year has been that they want to focus a votingrights debate on a bill they knew would never pass it was written before the current threat and the big lie and a failed coup that was a messaging bill that is a joke and it was never going to pass and they want to continue to talk about voter suppression and votecasting and access to the ballot when the real crisis and the real threat remains the prospects for voter nullification and subversion and the stealing of an election and by that count they have failed the manchin compromise voting rights bill does address these problems it will be very hard for him to get 10 republicans but we pray that he does i imagine people at the highest level of the democratic party do appreciate that this is an emergency and that they want to tend to this after they get through this budget agenda fight and that they will and i believe in sincerity that joe manchin is committed and invested and worried about these very issues of voter nullificationp pthe idea that the democrats are going to spend 25 million from the dnc to get out the vote and with voter registration and education overcome all of the shenanigans that republican legislatures are passing in these swing states so that they can totally control the process is a joke and wait until those voters find out that they cast their votes but were not counted so i have been alarmed all along this is going back now at least six months at their refusal to focus on the crisis at hand and their insistence on talking about how you cant hand out water bottles in line anymore and there are not enough drop boxes like there were in the pandemic and thats just not the problem that we facep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong since you raised the subject of women on the republican side earlier lets talk about lets say susan collins the longtime senator from maine this is somebody who represents at least a purpleish state and who has indeed played a significant role in whatever level of bipartisanship existed in the senate in years past her partnership with maryland democratic senator barbara mikulski really did lay the groundwork for a lot of cooperation between the parties women were the senators who actually broke the government shutdown in years past they have indeed played a constructive role behind the scenes in creating whatever level of dialogue does exist in washington whats going through her mind as she sees these republican state legislatures passing measures to in effect nullify elections when will she actually speak out on the ambiguities of the electoral count act that came very close to producing a constitutional crisis on january 6th whats it going to take for someone like that to actp pstronga b stoddardstrong well i obviously cant answer that but my wishful thinking is that she is actually engaging with joe manchin on this issue and understands postreelection  and she won with a very very impressive surprise margin of almost nine points when every single poll showed her in a dead heat or losing all year long i think that she understands how to win and how to legislate across the aisle and im just one of the people who thinks that the world would be a worse place if susan collins were not at the table which she is to this minute shes at the table on all these issues so my general feeling about the voting rights stuff is that those conversations are going on theyre on the back burner because of this other stuff but that i hope that they are happening and that [manchin] is building support among people like susan collins for the urgency of addressing the electoral count act and other protectionsp pthe thing that also bothers me is i just dont understand why people who are retiring cant come to the rescue of the system shes not retiring but she just was reelected so im talking about richard burr im talking about pat toomey im talking about rob portman and i was really disappointed that the people who retired last year lamar alexander im forgetting who else pat roberts that they couldnt come up to the gate and say look on my way out i think its really important that i say that i see that this institution is in trouble and we need to come together and we need to do what we can to shore up the system and its the best thing for the country and just walk out the doorp pso i am counting on the people that have just been reelected and maybe are in their last seats im counting on mitt romney who is sort of an island unto himself i dont know if hes going to run again in utah hes maybe 74 years old or something like that but according to chuck grassley mitt romney could have a few terms left in him im counting on him to see the threat and do the right thing and if they dont ill be upsetp pthats my wishful thinking geoff is that maybe this year before the midterms and before the next presidential cycle people who have just been reelected and are freed from those pressures and i will not put lindsey graham in this bucket and then people who are leaving could maybe step up and take this seriously because maybe theyll see this different lead than they saw impeaching donald trump for the incitement of the insurrection which rob portman took a pass on maybe theyll see that this doesnt have anything to do with any personalities or people and is simply an institutional reform that we must pass i want to be optimistic that thats still possible that we can count on themp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong a question ive had  and i dont have an answer to this is to what extent a lot of the positions that your average republican voter takes are seriously held people change their minds even in todays polarized society i know some people who thought what happened at bengazi was the worst possible betrayal of all time and then they eventually came to realize that was perhaps an overheated take in the moment so to what extent do you think there actually is a prospect that some of these republican voters who say they think joe biden is an illegitimate president are going to change their minds to what extent do you think the idea that policy doesnt matter to republican voters is going to changep pstronga b stoddardstrong i do not think that the big lie adherents are going to change their mind i truly believe that once you buy the big lie you always buy the big lie im very concerned that the number of people that think that joe biden is an illegitimate president has risen in the winter into the spring the number of republicans who think that the insurrection was a dangerous event and a problem has lowered since the spring this is really concerning and i dont think theyre going to change their mind and i dont think theyre going to go back even if there are just incredibly dramatic revelations from the 16 committee i really dont i dont think that thats going to make a differencep pi know that they changed their mind the legislators the electeds they changed their mind about free trade they changed their mind about eminent domain they changed their mind about our role in the world all because of donald trump but i dont think that we are going to see any kind of improvement in the prospects for our democratic health the health of our democracy among the republican base and then the republican electeds in the months to come i dont think we can count on that i just dont think its realisticp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and i guess sort of a big framing question would be the extent to which you see donald trump as an accelerant of american decline more generally to what extent would a future historian be someone like bob kagan perched almost from a perspective of a few years in the future looking back at what caused the downfall of the american republic and its continuing slide in world power and saying this is what should have been happening in 2021 in 2022 to what extent do you think that there are going to be enough americans who care about the countrys political cultural economic health that they will pull back from some of these extreme positionsp pstronga b stoddardstrong i believe that this is a result of many factors but most of all its fueled and enabled by social media so the extent to which americans begin to walk away from social media engaging in political fights on social media getting their news solely from their facebook wall this type of thing that could really help if they bought into the fact that their minds have been melted intentionally by facebook and instagram and everything that actually could give us some space in which people see what the culprit was and then see that maybe theyd been misled and to take the temperature down i dont expect our party leaders to be the answer to taking the temperature down i think its going to have to come from the ground upp pthats my concern is that i dont know how i mean geoff there is a possibility that next year we see a surprise result and the democrats hold on somehow because swing voters say the republicans have become a party that is willing to break the rules to hold onto power but theyre not interested in governance and theyre nihilist and so we see a surprise result if were not surprised then republicans are going to take the house and possibly the senate and thats going to empower donald trump and all of this anticonstitutional behavior which is going to have really scary ramifications but what concerns me is that i know people whove commissioned polling on the threats to democracy and people seem tuned outp pand i have friends and family members who after trump left office said oh thank god i dont have to follow politics anymore and are on their merry way and have no idea whats going on and dont follow this anymore  because they dont think they have to and theyre tuned out and i understand i understand why they are they dont know whats happening in these state legislatures they dont understand that madison cawthorn is calling for a holy war or that paul gosar is telling his constituents there will be a reelection and he has been assured by a nonexistent fraud department in the cia that their leader in the congress the house republican leader doesnt think what theyre saying is wrong and that we have people stoking the potential for violence stoking potential violence americans have really tuned out from this  unless im wrong this is just my anecdotal i look around in my world and i just see the people who arent in this business just walking awayp pand so unless people who follow politics a little bit are more animated by this by the end of next year and after the findings of the 16 committee than i think they are now i think that we just have too much apathy about this that people dont understand its a normsbased system they think its written in a tablet somewhere carved for all infinity and surely the grownups are going to take care of us which of course is what i thought my whole life until the last few years and thats the problem there are too many people who have become deranged by social media and misinformation and they believe that they are the champions of democracy the ones who want to bust the system open and reinstate donald trump as president and thats why i believe were in for choppy watersp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong as a last question a b is there a particular race in 2022 that you think is going to be revealing about what the future might hold for me its definitely the ohio senate race if republicans take the message that josh mandel or j d vance can be a deeply antiinstitutionalist champion of the culture war and win against a more mainstream democrat then i think were in for real trouble in 2024 is there any particular race besides that one that youre looking toward as a way of seeing what the future direction of politics will bep pstronga b stoddardstrong well i feel so lame but that was going to be my answer ohio senate theres an open seat in pennsylvania im very fascinated to see what direction thats going to go in seeing if ron johnsons going to leave office and what would happen there if he did  hes being very mysterious but certainly the ohio senate race where you have a really as you said thoughtful democrat mainstream democrat tim ryan hes sort of the default primary candidate but once hes cleared to be the general election candidate ill be fascinated to see how he runs he absolutely knows ohio he knows youngstown he knows the trump voter he knows their culture he knows their concernsp pand to see who he faces off against as you said who the republicans rally around will be absolutely fascinating it is a red state  i think hes probably likely to lose but who knows depending on who they pick j d vance has become just a shell of who we all thought he was its like theyre each trying to outembarrass themselves for gain over the other between him and josh mandel so its going to be fascinating and the marino guy the businessman who has a bunch of money its just going to be a fascinating race and mostly because for me ohio is no longer the governor dewine senator portman ohio republican brand that weve known for so long its just going to be gone now its amazing but yeah that to me is not only the most fascinating but it will really be very consequential for the direction of the partyp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong a b stoddard thank you so much for joining me todayp pstronga b stoddardstrong thank you geoffp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong and thank you all for listening to the vital center podcast please subscribe and rate us on your preferred podcasting platform if you have any questions comments or other responses please include them along with your rating or send us an email at contactniskanencenterorg thanks as always to our technical director kristie eshelman our sound engineer ray ingegneri and the niskanen center in washington dcp pa hrefhttpsunsplashcomphotos9oprqadqlasphotoa by a hrefhttpsunsplashcomgrafton360utm_sourceunsplashutm_mediumreferralutm_contentcreditcopytextchris graftona on a hrefhttpsunsplashcomutm_sourceunsplashutm_mediumreferralutm_contentcreditcopytextunsplashap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgdarkdaysinwashingtonwithabstoddarddark days in washington with ab stoddarda appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgniskanen centerap

pa b stoddard countrys sharpest best informed political commentators congressional reporter producer abc world news tonight current columnist realclearpolitics seen politics inside close 1990s warns parties country dark place 2022 2024 elections approach listenp pbrin interview b stoddard talks experiences woman maledominated news business view congress slid dysfunction recent decades assessment donald trump able republican party jettison loyalty ronald reagan oncerevered brand conservatism analyzes democrats stumbles attempts pass bipartisan infrastructure framework build better plan tensions partys moderate progressive factions breakdown democratic establishmentscontrol legislative process speculates democratic leadership failed grapple growing threat electionnullification efforts state republican legislatures growing potential political violence upcoming electionsp iframe srchttpsplayersimplecastcom4598f06123444a3084dd0ec80cb8e0e5darkfalse width100 height200pxiframe h2transcripth2 pstronga b stoddardstrong grew time days hearing ode greatness ronald reagan raise ronald reagan republican party maga world written immediately sellout rino traitorp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong hello im geoff kabaservice niskanen center welcome vital center podcast try sort problems muddled moderate majority americans drawing history biography current events im especially pleased able welcome b stoddard podcast b frequent media commentator columnist realclearpolitics shes congressional reporter columnist hill producer abc world news tonight frequent participant tv news politics panels opinion nations sharpest insightful evenhanded analysts politics welcome b pleasure honor able talk todayp pstronga b stoddardstrong oh geoff honor pleasure im thrilled herep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong usually ask people fairly standard question beginning discussions come path led work nowp pstronga b stoddardstrong new york city family connecticut parents grandparents aunts uncles cousins spent lot time growing ended going connecticut college new london wanted journalist time probably 14 13 knew wanted join high school paper editor high school paper thing college joined paper ended editing magazine worked hard find good internships jobs summer business build understanding experience meet people managed great think hard didnt obviously paid think kids today think internships going paid wonderful experiences thatp pand knew left school left college path going great certainty doggedly pursued think wonder convinced memory romanced news business reporting early simply day different meet different people hear different stories particularly got politics loved feature writing loved different path finding different slices life time matter goofy enjoyed held attention ive enjoyed writing thats ended businessp pthe interesting thing small paper prince william county virginia jobs sorting mail stuff like finally byline interesting longterm projects addition daytoday watched clarence thomas hearings dont lot outofthemovies clarifying moments life look riveted decided right cover congress long time agop pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong reportage opinionwriting actually good opinion writer ask question asking coursep pstronga b stoddardstrong cant believe dont know qualifies know blessed opportunity meet great reporters congress commentary columns important ones friends mary mcgrory starting later cokie roberts covered congress politics washington day inform opinions opiniongiving columns heavy probably times heavy loaded facts thats come dont think qualified share opinion facts inform itp pand im uncomfortable enjoy columns heavy opinion im faker im invited shows panels extend politics culture im good fit im going fake thats kids people like weigh know columns feel burden reader got opinion im confined 600 words print days long hard arguments lot data facts think makes argument credible look influences columnists commentators knew covering daily hourly inandouts battles sure informed opinedp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong interesting mentioned mary mcgrory meg greenfield think real pioneers women political coverage particularly washington post wonder advantages disadvantages woman political reporting commentating businessp pstronga b stoddardstrong definitely mans world white mans world newsrooms came age worked theres question mean disadvantages believe advantages hard mother children news business manage twins 22 months later children years running zoo think hard dont work lot women mom transition humbling job timeconsuming frightening joyous important experience looking thats difficult actually maneuver professional path mean certainly walked away opportunities order present mom thats dop pand maybe thats changed certainly way got work robin sproul bureau chief abc news wonderful people wonderful bosses women business time lucky work got easier lot women obviously television work board guess beginning know exotic 27 newsroom felt strange im glad lot women business industries boardp pand strong feeling women politics im kind biased women problemsolvers managers listeners read end email unlike men theyre better team players theyre better team leaders ive asked republican women candidates oh im running im woman im running want lower taxes regulation think women parties run saying need women politics table bring special simply bringing different skills problemsolving way think dramatic improvement system parties committed electing embracing fact women different quarters thats weird thing sayp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong realize sort general question youve pointed ways politics different women involved governing ways politics changed time youve active political reporting factors making politics dysfunctional nowadaysp pstronga b stoddardstrong conversation begins turn dark geoff usual suspects list started covering congress lexisnexis fax machine easy specialinterest groups stalk target infuriate constituents punish working aisle yes lot fundraising nearly talking 90s people stay largely washington friendships played tennis lived suburbs went church ended kids graduations makes huge difference level comity obviously cooperationp pthe piercing anecdote career look actual structural changes led fueled amplified polarization think 1996 defense marriage act house press face speakers lobby window chamber looking shoes trying dodge moment highdrama moments interestingly story actually covering don young reporting job congress states news service given alaska cover alaska delegation don young supremely grumpy members congress pride covered merchant marine fisheries committeep pand watched leave republican chamber walk sit democratic chamber defense marriage act arm congressman gerry studds openly gay member congress censured congress affair page minor 13 years don young today speak months straight people bushes threatening life today happenp pthat brave thing realistic bond members obviously studds chairman takeover 94 young ranking committee young chairman studds ranking deep abiding friendship don young stuck neck republican colleagues tough vote democrats intraparty tension clinton administration national party taking vote uncomfortable essence samesex marriage benefits provided heterosexual marriagep pit big moment think kind thing allowed today people pride fact interested relationships aisle course know theyre actually sort threatening congress thats telling anecdote come different world wasp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong occurs went college connecticut time governor lowell weicker liberal republican use term liberal republican nowadays sounds like contradiction terms political science fiction notallthatlong lifetimes creatures found numbersp pstronga b stoddardstrong yes grew new york family liberal republicans talked gay cousin lived prerudy giuliani manhattan high crime alabama protecting rights guns mean different terms republican party today focus cultural issues obviously fiscal sanity role world global stage deep broad foreign entanglements certainly leadership role obviously lower taxes small government issues sidelines werent driving forces battle yes youre right term liberal republican people younger havent heard today astonishingp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong mentioned republican party today hrefhttpswwwrealclearpoliticscomarticles20210928trump_admits_the_midterms_are_about_him_not_the_gop_146472html2most recenta recent articles realclearpolitics donald trump rally georgia basically endorsed leftwing democrat stacey abrams governor actual conservative incumbent republican governor brian kemp try explain visitor planet kind dynamic work defeated republican president sort endorsing leftwing democrats conservative republican governorsp pstronga b stoddardstrong times feel like invaded people planet starting 2015 politics changed republican party changed constitutional order changed frightening consequential think seen scene saturday night perry georgia sore loser process sidelined republican party demagogue led party abject contempt doesnt intend unify aid way doesnt want win elections hes interested punishment lucky republicans hes way carnival barking sideshows crowds showing upp phe leader republican party dump brian kemp youd better stacy abrams democrat whos likely challenge infuriates republicans remain completely silent somebody making phone trump lackeys surround longer corey lewandowski temporarily sidelined drunkenly telling people stabs people sexual assault getting small phone whimpering voice itd helpful president whos important didnt endorse democrats thats theyll know wont effective theyre probably making phone callsp phe intention helping republicans year vengeance rallies gets candidate choice win primary primary battle help candidate choice oust person hes targeting republican supported impeachment january doubt hell help finishing line gets maga candidates especially swing districts fundraising platform vendettas dont think thats going change novemberp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong know hard time explaining got position im somebody studied republican party fairly closely whats taught humility recent years lot history doesnt offer lot guidance gone 2015 people left think dont understand improbable donald trump won presidency won electoral college 2016 think improbable won republican presidential nomination 2016 large field 16 candidates extensive experience politics builtin support lifetime work republican party course donald trump havep pand went years 2016 election single republican presidential candidate claiming absolute fidelity legacy ronald reagan trump ways departed brand conservatism think happened critical factors allowed trump dominate redefine republican partyp pstronga b stoddardstrong surprised able lifelong democrat change dime win primary base eke pluralities path nomination happened beginning look support contender course larger support donald trump able resoundingly staggeringly galvanize cultural issues base intimidate contenders bewilder following fervent attached adoring people prepared nottrump republicans kept supporting people final days ted cruz guess john kasich watching people turn trump surprising family office neighborhood course loathed hillary clinton going board matter matter runningp pso kind perfect storm things shrewdly sam nunberg people harvesting fields talk radio find base angry hated passionately spoke themes calling wimp case establishment repeatedly sold youve suckered supporting theyll solve problem glue voters voters resisted overwhelmed fervent trump support saw quarters surprised threw inp pand grew time days hearing ode greatness ronald reagan reverence republican party ronald reagan matched republican party presidents talking lincoln democratic party raise ronald reagan republican party maga world written immediately sellout rino traitor obviously wouldnt able win republican primary immigration issues triumph ronald reagan fealty liberty spoke american people greatest exceptional gifts blessings needed champion worldp pand donald trump spoke liberty day office started talking freedom realized base didnt like lockdowns announced supported spring 2020 started talking freedom thinking reverence ronald reagan literally evaporating stood wonderful way like remnant republican party ones allowed discuss anymore incredible like cant sense 2020 election went office geoff threw bunch stuff history republican party happen tossed itp pand whats interesting history applying present battles find stunning look democrats right democrats hill saying sold public option healthcare battle 2010 going snookered establishment democrats shouldnt literally democracy hanging balance didnt threat 2010 year stop republicans stealing 2024 election theyre screaming provisions jam unpopular tooexpensive package waxing popularity hearingaid benefit crazy mep pthey think theyre telling theyre going prevail theyve integrated learned lesson 2010 doesnt apply right higherstakes game theyre going lose power want progress obliterated essentially party amazing things decades ago years ago apply right nowp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong recall conversation ezra klein years ago defending utility understanding history assessing current politics basically came said actually history pretty useless point people dont actually believe claim believe things motivate understand motivated definitely reassessment time think democrats benefit knowing tea party tea party movement able overthrow establishment represented people like john boehner paul ryan tea partys apparent motivation fiscal conservatism fiscal responsibility actually tissuethin motivations drove tea party movement ended donald trumps mainstay supportp pand think useful democrats examine role house freedom caucus relative minority party able bend larger majority party unyielding ideological monolith think thoughtsp pstronga b stoddardstrong agree geoff happens lot think democrats theyre bad predicament margins progressives band cohesive largeenough bloc threaten agenda way hfc people time hostagetakers time shes working fourseat margin emboldening course senate dont control preside chamber control committee process dont actual majority tenuous think thats problem fragile margin enabled look controlling agenda theyre actually notp pon process theyve symbolic tactical victory whats interesting enabled white house think going happen 2021 president biden going roll speaker nancy pelosi nancy pelosi understood bills end september important politically going happen going champion bipartisan bill passed immediately start producing new jobs instead process breakdown looked media people werent watching granular level progressives prevailed champions party theyre control socialists going overp pso gave republicans huge opening unnecessary joe biden rolled nancy pelosi expect promise im taking recent example think speaks establishment exerts control loses control insurgent faction like tea party nancy pelosi promise broke rarely white house eat wordsp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong promise moderatesp pstronga b stoddardstrong right said everybody going pass bills divide party going great wasnt realistic says im sorry cant going pass bipartisan bill attracted support 19 republican senators pass law work hard getting thing soon joe biden coming end september surprise visit person saying yeah pairing rolled speaker astounding page insurgency midst left groups like justice democrats trying primary unsuccessfully highlight years cycles trying primary incumbent democratsp pand like hakeem jeffries whos supposed speakership starting pac josh gottheimer lead moderate democrat sort rebel joe manchin house stop incumbent democrats ousted primaries leftist insurgents warning signs point figure control left wins swing districts dont succeed succeed making blue seats blue dealt theyre going break party open faultp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong tend reflexively fond moderates aislep pstronga b stoddardstrong samep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong moderate republicans extent exist new democrats blue dogs think useful reevaluate ones priors occasion think example progressives point obama stimulus bill small moderates overestimated degree opposition kind stimulus actually required set economy track reach historical examples example moderate democrats kennedy johnson administrations took worst possible course vietnam graduated escalation set reflexively perceived extremes total withdrawal total commitmentp pso argue devilsadvocate perspective progressives correct pair bipartisan infrastructure framework build better social spending actually correct arguing lot biden build better plan popular popular benefit democrats country smaller visions moderatesp pstronga b stoddardstrong theyre correct polling tend nervous polling 2020 election lot provisions popular trying shortterm targeted relief shortterm funding packages set political fiscal cliffs years come create problems uncertainty argument moderates fine pair trim size social welfare package estimates polls price tag rejected majority voters deemed big pare theyre saying white house things try bring universal benefit things action climate subsidies aca childcare programs bring higher funding levels longer people know theyre happening dont try throw kitchen sink people find 24 monthsp pthis right americans paying attention theyre paying attention price tag thats big debate debate cable chatter theyre paying attention timing process going pair bills going pair bills think center fine voting time progressives agree universal benefits instead targeted relief theres debate going priorities cut fund things longerp pi think end things pass think end joe manchin determine price tag package thats reality meantime theyre going figure whats long things funded problem progressives purpose political party win elections progressives denial margins break majority year bernie sanders exuberance dental benefits expansion medicare things versus actual political needs swing district democrats house address climate use child tax credit kind thing thats popular districts hold seat recently held republicans help hold majority priorityp pbut looking point prospect progressives going broke trying want things dont care costs majority exasperated new democrat said weekend great society programs ushered heyday republican party nixon reagan democrats lost election election progress hard progressives gobig strategy geoff im concerned think democrats concerned im democrat means kevin mccarthy 3seat majority versus 33seat majority worldp pare going lose elissa slotkin elaine luria abby spanberger bunch swingdistrict democrats party 2020 hand sturdy majority republicans begin wreckingball plans impeach biden reason mean think long hard able got 19 extra programs reconciliation packagep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong wonder media thoughts medias responsibility present political dynamic mean example moderates mentioned dont fraction combined coverage alexandra ocasiocortez receives wearing tax rich dress met gala going 10 times news related policy moderates pressing think underestimated factor media coverage bored reality elections presidential level decided suburbs thats news want conflict want able j d vance hillbilly elegy voter diner west virginia decided election hispanic voters decided election reality actually pretty moderate majority americans suburbs decide electionsp pstronga b stoddardstrong yeah fascinated matt yglesias recently piece median voter lacking college education white midfifties democratic party interested acknowledging lot data decisive 2020 election david shor talked lot fact hes data analyst calls progressive fallingout woke mob thats story googled david shor talks defund police stuff worked democrats election latino women concerned working class black latino men women concerned police neighborhood presence security neighborhoods democrats happened rio grande valley texas democrats faced reality liabilities fact joe biden lost election hillary clinton lost electionp pits craziness think moderates youre right dont lot attention josh gottheimer end television pretty regularly problem average swing democrat house truth dont want public rows progressives dont want critical hard dont want lose endorsements dont want lose fundraising dont want groups democratic party look whats going know moderates theyve asked im going fund governors race instead sending check support frontliners housep pthey want leadership push progressives dont want like joe manchin josh gottheimer leaders labels willing chopping block incoming lot staying quiet know vulnerable 2020 know sure leadership knew 2020 reason dont lot attention theyre intentionally staying quiet theyre cable news story know theres lot debates left media lot coverage people agreeing having dont know time saw congressman progressive caucus congressman new dem caucus debating finer points policy doesnt happen maybe moderates trying stay itp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong business model cable news political discussion increasingly tending polarized direction channel going team team b comes bearing opposing perspective going greeted like skunk proverbial garden partyp pstronga b stoddardstrong question think unfortunate like fights drove clicks fed business model years ago ended people talking doom mode geoff tend nastygrams twitter email people dont like pick parties thats unpopular guess theres lot know fights conflict like model years think ended maybe end trump administration dont lot democrats going fox making case debating republican dont cnn msnbc reversep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong left appreciate constructive criticism right nonetheless surprised extent leftleaning media undercovered shocking events january 6th dont know john eastman memos advising trump pence undo electoral college vote thanks ambiguities electoral count act boring viewers thats judgment media outlets making democrats generally failed respond appropriate seriousness panelists hrefhttpsbegtodifferthebulwarkcomdemocratsaredividedrepublicansareunitedasacultmona charens beg differ podcasta discussed recently bob kagans hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomopinions20210923robertkaganconstitutionalcrisisarticlea present constitutional crisis real possibility awful happen 2024 electionp pstronga b stoddardstrong astounded nancy pelosi chuck schumer publicly released bob kagans piece conferences attached letter saying expect read page 11 pages want know trying govern radicalized party intends break system respond accordingly im astounded january 6 commission looks like undertaking theyre committed bringing truth produce dramatic attentionfocusing revelations wake electorate party staggering situation continue fighting hearing aids taking seriously fact theyre running time mitigate threatp pand frustration year want focus votingrights debate bill knew pass written current threat big lie failed coup messaging bill joke going pass want continue talk voter suppression votecasting access ballot real crisis real threat remains prospects voter nullification subversion stealing election count failed manchin compromise voting rights bill address problems hard 10 republicans pray imagine people highest level democratic party appreciate emergency want tend budget agenda fight believe sincerity joe manchin committed invested worried issues voter nullificationp pthe idea democrats going spend 25 million dnc vote voter registration education overcome shenanigans republican legislatures passing swing states totally control process joke wait voters find cast votes counted alarmed going months refusal focus crisis hand insistence talking cant hand water bottles line anymore drop boxes like pandemic thats problem facep pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong raised subject women republican earlier lets talk lets susan collins longtime senator maine somebody represents purpleish state played significant role level bipartisanship existed senate years past partnership maryland democratic senator barbara mikulski lay groundwork lot cooperation parties women senators actually broke government shutdown years past played constructive role scenes creating level dialogue exist washington whats going mind sees republican state legislatures passing measures effect nullify elections actually speak ambiguities electoral count act came close producing constitutional crisis january 6th whats going like actp pstronga b stoddardstrong obviously cant answer wishful thinking actually engaging joe manchin issue understands postreelection won impressive surprise margin points single poll showed dead heat losing year long think understands win legislate aisle im people thinks world worse place susan collins table minute shes table issues general feeling voting rights stuff conversations going theyre burner stuff hope happening [manchin] building support people like susan collins urgency addressing electoral count act protectionsp pthe thing bothers dont understand people retiring cant come rescue system shes retiring reelected im talking richard burr im talking pat toomey im talking rob portman disappointed people retired year lamar alexander im forgetting pat roberts couldnt come gate look way think important institution trouble need come need shore system best thing country walk doorp pso counting people reelected maybe seats im counting mitt romney sort island unto dont know hes going run utah hes maybe 74 years old like according chuck grassley mitt romney terms left im counting threat right thing dont ill upsetp pthats wishful thinking geoff maybe year midterms presidential cycle people reelected freed pressures lindsey graham bucket people leaving maybe step seriously maybe theyll different lead saw impeaching donald trump incitement insurrection rob portman took pass maybe theyll doesnt personalities people simply institutional reform pass want optimistic thats possible count themp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong question ive dont answer extent lot positions average republican voter takes seriously held people change minds todays polarized society know people thought happened bengazi worst possible betrayal time eventually came realize overheated moment extent think actually prospect republican voters think joe biden illegitimate president going change minds extent think idea policy doesnt matter republican voters going changep pstronga b stoddardstrong think big lie adherents going change mind truly believe buy big lie buy big lie im concerned number people think joe biden illegitimate president risen winter spring number republicans think insurrection dangerous event problem lowered spring concerning dont think theyre going change mind dont think theyre going incredibly dramatic revelations 16 committee dont dont think thats going differencep pi know changed mind legislators electeds changed mind free trade changed mind eminent domain changed mind role world donald trump dont think going kind improvement prospects democratic health health democracy republican base republican electeds months come dont think count dont think realisticp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong guess sort big framing question extent donald trump accelerant american decline generally extent future historian like bob kagan perched perspective years future looking caused downfall american republic continuing slide world power saying happening 2021 2022 extent think going americans care countrys political cultural economic health pull extreme positionsp pstronga b stoddardstrong believe result factors fueled enabled social media extent americans begin walk away social media engaging political fights social media getting news solely facebook wall type thing help bought fact minds melted intentionally facebook instagram actually space people culprit maybe theyd misled temperature dont expect party leaders answer taking temperature think going come ground upp pthats concern dont know mean geoff possibility year surprise result democrats hold swing voters republicans party willing break rules hold power theyre interested governance theyre nihilist surprise result surprised republicans going house possibly senate thats going empower donald trump anticonstitutional behavior going scary ramifications concerns know people whove commissioned polling threats democracy people tuned outp pand friends family members trump left office said oh thank god dont follow politics anymore merry way idea whats going dont follow anymore dont think theyre tuned understand understand dont know whats happening state legislatures dont understand madison cawthorn calling holy war paul gosar telling constituents reelection assured nonexistent fraud department cia leader congress house republican leader doesnt think theyre saying wrong people stoking potential violence stoking potential violence americans tuned im wrong anecdotal look world people arent business walking awayp pand people follow politics little bit animated end year findings 16 committee think think apathy people dont understand normsbased system think written tablet carved infinity surely grownups going care course thought life years thats problem people deranged social media misinformation believe champions democracy ones want bust system open reinstate donald trump president thats believe choppy watersp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong question b particular race 2022 think going revealing future hold definitely ohio senate race republicans message josh mandel j d vance deeply antiinstitutionalist champion culture war win mainstream democrat think real trouble 2024 particular race youre looking way seeing future direction politics bep pstronga b stoddardstrong feel lame going answer ohio senate theres open seat pennsylvania im fascinated direction thats going seeing ron johnsons going leave office happen hes mysterious certainly ohio senate race said thoughtful democrat mainstream democrat tim ryan hes sort default primary candidate hes cleared general election candidate ill fascinated runs absolutely knows ohio knows youngstown knows trump voter knows culture knows concernsp pand faces said republicans rally absolutely fascinating red state think hes probably likely lose knows depending pick j d vance shell thought like theyre trying outembarrass gain josh mandel going fascinating marino guy businessman bunch money going fascinating race ohio longer governor dewine senator portman ohio republican brand weve known long going gone amazing yeah fascinating consequential direction partyp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong b stoddard thank joining todayp pstronga b stoddardstrong thank geoffp pstronggeoff kabaservicestrong thank listening vital center podcast subscribe rate preferred podcasting platform questions comments responses include rating send email contactniskanencenterorg thanks technical director kristie eshelman sound engineer ray ingegneri niskanen center washington dcp pa hrefhttpsunsplashcomphotos9oprqadqlasphotoa bya hrefhttpsunsplashcomgrafton360utm_sourceunsplashutm_mediumreferralutm_contentcreditcopytextchris graftonaona hrefhttpsunsplashcomutm_sourceunsplashutm_mediumreferralutm_contentcreditcopytextunsplashap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgdarkdaysinwashingtonwithabstoddarddark days washington ab stoddarda appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwniskanencenterorgniskanen centerap

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How Dominic Cummings has given the EU the perfect excuse for Brexit rage

pdominic cummings rarely misses a chance to start a fire especially if boris johnson is available for kindlingp phis latest twitter outpouring of verbal accelerant timed as always to generate maximum temperatures involved claiming that johnson did not understand the brexit deal he agreed with the eu two years ago and that he never intended to stick to it anywayp pthere were parts of the text of the divorce accord especially in the northern ireland protocol which the government had no desire to honour cummings said according to him the plan had been to ditch the bits we didnt like after winning the 2019 electionp peu politicians have jumped on cummingss comments as evidence that the uk is not to be trusted irelands deputy prime minister leo varadkar said the uk that it is a nation that doesnt necessarily keep its wordp pwhy does this matter the eu and the uk a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexit202110wearebackinthelandofbrexitnegotiationsare back in negotiationsa this time over rewriting the most troublesome parts of that northern ireland protocol to enable smoother flows of food medicine and other goods from the british mainlandp div section div div a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancom titlenew statesman img altnew statesman srchttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202109tns_master_logosvg a div spannewsletters from the new statesmanspan a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomallnewslettersview all newsletters spanspana div div a spanthe best of our politics international affairs culture and business coverage straight to your inboxspan spanspan a div section section section iframe namesubmitframeiframe div pbrexit minister lord frost has just submitted a draft legal text for an entirely new protocol the eu is responding with its own proposals and there are signs that many difficult issues could be resolved but negotiations are only just getting started which makes it a particularly sensitive time for cummings to strike his matchp pin truth that negotiations are now open again also means the reactions from the eu should be taken with a pinch of salt varadkar knows the game better than most he was the irish leader with whom johnson struck the protocol deal in 2019 ending months of deadlock venting public outrage is a classic tactic when a deal needs to be donep pthe uk has been demanding to rewrite the protocol for many months and the eu has already tangled with johnsons government over allegations that it was seeking to break the brexit deal breaching international law during the passage of the uk internal market bill which was a far graver threat to securing brexit agreements than cummingss commentaryp pthese latest remarks from cummings dont amount to much thats new and shouldnt affect the progress of the latest talks on the terms of trade for northern ireland that doesnt mean they wont generate some headlines and a little shortterm political heatp pemstrong[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeurope202110whybrexitbritainshouldembraceaeuropeanstyleeconomicmodelwhy brexit britain should embrace a europeanstyle economic modela]strongemp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexit202110howdominiccummingshasgiventheeutheperfectexcuseforbrexitragehow dominic cummings has given the eu the perfect excuse for brexit ragea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

pdominic cummings rarely misses chance start fire especially boris johnson available kindlingp phis latest twitter outpouring verbal accelerant timed generate maximum temperatures involved claiming johnson understand brexit deal agreed eu years ago intended stick anywayp pthere parts text divorce accord especially northern ireland protocol government desire honour cummings saidaccording plan ditch bits didnt like winning 2019 electionp peu politicians jumped cummingss comments evidence uk trusted irelands deputy prime minister leo varadkar said uk nation doesnt necessarily wordp pwhy matter eu uk hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexit202110wearebackinthelandofbrexitnegotiationsare negotiationsa time rewriting troublesome parts northern ireland protocol enable smoother flows food medicine goods british mainlandp div section div div hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancom titlenew statesman img altnew statesman srchttpswwwnewstatesmancomwpcontentuploadssites2202109tns_master_logosvg div spannewsletters new statesmanspan hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomallnewslettersview newsletters spanspana div div spanthe best politics international affairs culture business coverage straight inboxspan spanspan div section section section iframe namesubmitframeiframe div pbrexit minister lord frost submitted draft legal text entirely new protocol eu responding proposals signs difficult issues resolved negotiations getting started makes particularly sensitive time cummings strike matchp pin truth negotiations open means reactions eu taken pinch salt varadkar knows game better irish leader johnson struck protocol deal 2019 ending months deadlock venting public outrage classic tactic deal needs donep pthe uk demanding rewrite protocol months eu tangled johnsons government allegations seeking break brexit deal breaching international law passage uk internal market bill far graver threat securing brexit agreements cummingss commentaryp pthese latest remarks cummings dont thats new shouldnt affect progress latest talks terms trade northern ireland doesnt mean wont generate headlines little shortterm political heatp pemstrong[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomworldeurope202110whybrexitbritainshouldembraceaeuropeanstyleeconomicmodelwhy brexit britain embrace europeanstyle economic modela]strongemp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexit202110howdominiccummingshasgiventheeutheperfectexcuseforbrexitragehow dominic cummings given eu perfect excuse brexit ragea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

616760911f753f3b74d7c01f

Confronting the Supply Chain Crisis

img altconfronting the supply chain crisis srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110laportpngpppfor a generation the long beach and los angeles harbors in california handled more than 40 percent of all container cargo headed into the us and epitomized the power of a globalizing economy today the shipsmostly from asiastill dock but they must wait in a seemingly a hrefhttpssplash247commorethan40shipswaitingoutsidelaandlongbeachsettingnewrecordendless conga linea of a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlescargodelaysaregettingworsebutcaliforniaportsstillrestonweekends11632648602text25e22580259cit27s2520impossible2520to2520effectively2520movethe2520port2520of2520long2520beachamptextappeared2520in2520the2520september25202727as many as 60 vesselsa sometimes for as long as three weeks these are the worst delays in modern history and the price per container has risen to a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesrisingshippingcostsarecompanieslatestinflationriddle11631784602as much as 10 timesa its cost before the pandemic the a hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomshippingcontainersstuckcaliforniaportscombatshortages20219shipping crisisa is now projected to last through 2023ppa pandemicdriven shortage of parts and a hrefhttpsfinanceyahoocomnewsfedexjustpaintedadisturbingpictureofthejobmarket160422695htmllabora has combined with a hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsbusiness58643717a congested transport systema to create an a hrefhttpswwwpiiecomblogsrealtimeeconomicissueswatchusworkersaregettinglargeraisesnotenoughkeephigherinflationary spikea with shipping rates doubling on some routes prices for everything from a hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldusitsmadhouseorganicussoypriceshitrecordfuelfoodinflation20211011soybeans to natural gasa have soared as supplies take longer to produce and arrive and this high inflation is wiping out wage gains in a hrefhttpswwwheraldnetcomopinioncommentinflationhasturnedgrowthinwagesintoasetbackthe usa a hrefhttpswwwbloombergquintcomgadflyinflationgaugescontinuetogoupbelyingthebankofenglandstransiencethe uka and a hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldeuropegermaninflationoutpacesaveragewagegrowthq220210830germanya the chaos on the ground may not disturb the lifestyles of the tech and financial elites but it is hurting the middle and working classes the groups a hrefhttpswwwcnncom20210701perspectivesinflationlowincomeamericanswealthindexhtmlmost threateneda by surging inflationppthe supply chain disaster has also revealed the existence of crippling economic dependence particularly on china in highincome countries today whole industries in the westfrom medical equipment to chip and car makers to foodrely on china for finished products and key components when china cannot or decides not to supply these parts whole industries suffer debilitating supply chain shortages the notion of a rational selfregulating market system is unraveling and may yet presage the demise of the prevailing neoliberal erappstrongwalking away from productionstrongppfor generations a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20181215worldasiamckinseychinarussiahtmlbusiness consultantsa have persuaded businesses large and small to move their production to china in search of cheaper costs this has had a devastating effect particularly in the united states where between 2004 and 2017 the share of world manufacturing shrank from 15 to 10 percent while reliance on chinese inputs doubled the trade deficit with china a hrefhttpswwwepiorgpublicationgrowingchinatradedeficitscostsusjobs23textus20jobs20displaced20by20tradefigure20a20scott202020according to the economic policy institutea has cost as many as 37 million jobs since 2000 the consequences have also been severe in the uk which suffered a hrefhttpsinvestmentmonitoraibusinessactivitiesmanufacturingwhokilledbritishmanufacturingtextwhen2520looking2520at2520manufacturing2520asfigures2520from2520the2520world2520bankamptextalthough2520manufacturing2520jobs2520did2520increasejobs2520between252019972520and2520201915 million job lossesa in manufacturing between 1997 and 2009 in part due to a hrefhttpswwwnetzerowatchcomrisingenergypricesarekillingbritishindustryclimatepoliciesaretoblameclimate policiesa that threaten the last vestiges of heavy industry in the country that invented itppin the face of these trends the general response of the western elites has been why worry reflecting the ideological leanings of a hrefhttpsthehillcomopinioncivilrights502586corporateamericastandsagainstinjusticesexceptthosemadeinchinathe american establishmenta christina d romer the former head of the council of economic advisers in the obama administration a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20120205businessdomanufacturersneedspecialtreatmenteconomicviewhtmldismissed concernsa about manufacturing policy as nostalgic sentiment declaring american consumers value health care and haircuts as much as washing machines and hair dryersppbut unlike the local hair salon the market for washing machines is national and global and these goods have to be transported often over great distances a factory that makes parts for washing machines in a city state or region draws money to the local community moreover manufacturing has one of the a hrefhttpswwwnamorgfactsaboutmanufacturinghighest multiplier effectsa of any sectorone manufacturing job in a community is likely to generate numerous other direct indirect and induced jobs both locally and elsewhereppstrongpandemic lessonsstrongppin the midst of the pandemic even the worlds richest regionsa hrefhttpswwwpiiecompublicationsworkingpapershowcovid19medicalsupplyshortagesledextraordinarytradeandthe european uniona a hrefhttpswwwindependentcouknewsmedicalsupplychainshortagesleddeadlyconsequencesstoryfrontlinefactoriesdefenseproductionactcoronaviruspandemicb836658htmlthe united kingdoma north americafound themselves without basic medical equipment like masks and even the compounds needed to make critical chemical treatments in the early critical months chinas a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinasexportrestrictionsstrandmedicalgoodsusneedstofightcoronavirusstatedepartmentsays11587031203decision to block exportsa of these goods led to widespread shortages observes a hrefhttpswwwprojectsyndicateorgcommentarymanagingsupplychainriskswithoutundermininggrowthbyrichardhaass202012richard haassa president of the council on foreign relations there is also the concern that an increasingly assertive china might seek to exploit the worlds dependence on it for political purposesppthis disaster now playing out across the industrial landscape reflects the fracturing of supply chains over several decades a generation of politicians economists and pundits particularly in anglosaxon countries like a hrefhttpswwwbookwormroomcom20210127everynationshouldlearnaustraliaslessonsaustraliaa have paid little attention to nurturing the industrial commons which encompass production research and development supply chains embedded process development and engineering capacityppthis pattern affects industries besides medical equipment this year auto production was curtailed due to a worldwide shortage of semiconductors tied to a a hrefhttpsasianikkeicombusinesstechsemiconductorstaiwanschipindustryunderthreatasdroughtturnscritical2recent droughta in taiwan americas push into renewables threatens to further bolster chinas dominance of the solar panel industry and production of the essential metals needed to produce clean energy and electric cars the wests trade deficit now extends even a hrefhttpswwwmsncomenusnewstechnologyinnovationisnotenoughopinionarbb1fvmnuto hightech productsa when companies move production abroad they often shift a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesbringingthefactorieshome11595180872research and developmenta as well remarkably this has also included sources of critical components for a hrefhttpswwwreuterscomarticleususamilitarychinausmilitarycomestogripswithoverrelianceonchineseimportsiduskcn1mc275military goodsa many of which are now produced in chinappstrongreshoring a possible answerstrongppcamille farhata former top executive at general electric baxter and medtronic and now ceo of michiganbased manufacturer rti surgicaltold me that many products including medical supplies can be produced domestically farhat hopes the pandemic will convince other business leaders to stop destroying the supply ecosystem that makes production possible to stay safe you have to do contingency planningyou have to restore the network and maintain surplus production capacity hopefully we are learning that lesson there are signs that some are heeding farhats advice japan france the uk and a hrefhttpsecfreupublicationthe_new_china_consensus_how_europe_is_growing_wary_of_beijingthe european uniona all recognize that dependence on china carries enormous political and economic risks a hrefhttpswwwbusinessstandardcomarticleinternationaljapangovttopayatleast536millionforcompaniestoleavechina120072000004_1htmljapana is even offering loans to lure companies back home from chinappthere are signs of some change in the corporate suite as well even predating the current crisis a hrefhttpswwwmckinseycombusinessfunctionsoperationsourinsightsriskresilienceandrebalancinginglobalvaluechainsmckinsey and companya surveyed supply chain executives last year and found that nearly all respondents believe their supply chains are too vulnerable according to march 2020s a hrefhttpsblogthomasnetcomreshoringcreatesopportunitiesformanufacturersin2020thomas industrial surveya covid19 supply chain disruptions aggravated an appetite for locally sourced materials and servicesup to 70 percent of firms surveyed said they were likely or extremely likely to reshore in the coming years similarly a a hrefhttpsnewscgtncomnews20200517ubssupplychainuncertaintiesremainbutnomassexodusinsightqykaoo8k3kindexhtmlubs study revealeda that as many as 50 or 60 percent of firms now producing in china have moved or are planning to moveppthis shift includes some a hrefhttpswwwusatodaycomstorymoneybusiness20180628manufacturersbringingmostjobsbacktoamerica36438051major companiesa like a hrefhttpswwwstanleyblackanddeckercomarticlestanleyblackdeckerannouncesopeningnewcraftsmanplantfortworthtexasblack and deckera who have moved production to a new facility in fort worth texas as part of its reshoring strategy appliance giant whirlpool a hrefhttpswwwbrownsenategovnewsroompressreleasebrownwhirlpooldecisiontoreshorenearly400jobsisatestamenttothestrengthofohioworkersandmanufacturingreshored 400 jobsa along with general electric apple caterpillar a hrefhttpwwwclevelandcomakronindexssf201412goodyear_closing_latin_americahtmlgoodyeara general motors and polaris little tikes a major american toy maker has started a hrefhttpswwwplasticsnewscomarticle20130827news130829941littletikesgrowingaftershiftingproductionfromchinatousshifting productiona out of china and back to ohio when little tikes started out more than 40 years ago everything was made in the united states but most production moved to china in the 1980s and 90s when the chinese manufacturing sector began to take off now the wheel is kind of coming full circle executive vice president and worldwide general manager thomas richmond told meppof course such moves will be resisted by companies that have grown hopelessly dependent on farflung supply chains and no longer possess the skills to make their own products a hrefhttpswwwfreightwavescomnewsnorthamericasupplychainreshoringwillnothappenreportsayssome analysts suggesta that largescale reshoring to north america will require strong government action yet there are reasons for optimism president trumps tariffs a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinatradewardidntboostusmanufacturingmight11603618203may not have done mucha to revive us manufacturing but the reshoring initiatives harry moser told me that the annual number of jobs returning from offshore has increased from 6000 in 2010 to over 400000 in 2019 cumulative jobs brought back represent about five percent of the united states total industrial employment in 2019 for the first time in a decade the percentage of manufacturing goods imported to the us dropped notes a hrefhttpswwwkearneycomoperationsperformancetransformationusreshoringindexfullreporta recent kearny studya with much of the shift coming from east asiappstrongthe china challengestrongppthe supply chain crisis has made plain the grave threat posed by chinas rise in the early stages of chinas embrace of capitalism the countrys industrial push was widely welcomed as a triumph of liberal globalization china it was believed simply wanted to succeed and would do so in a manner at least somewhat congruent with western values its trajectory was expected to follow that of japan singapore or south korea all of which lack chinas military power both in population and resourcesppbut under the leadership of xi jinping china has nurtured an economy that works in a profoundly different way to those of capitalist countries in the west profits and individual wealth accumulation drive economic progress although chinese people may also want to get rich a hrefhttpswwwtabletmagcomsectionsnewsarticleschinaplansglobalorderthe primary goala of the ccp is to bolster the middle kingdoms global power and influence in china a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinatakesonitsnewtycoons1507916358the regimea employs its power to a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210212businesschinasundawuhtmlrestrain and even imprisona the countrys entrepreneurs if they defy its authority social media is used as a political tool to promote chinas ascendency even on ostensibly frivolous sites like a hrefhttpsqzcom1860538tiktokuserspraisechinatowardoffshadowbanningtik tokappchinas agenda has stretched beyond consolidating its hold on existing industries now it seeks to dominate such fields as a hrefhttpswwwreuterscomtechnologyunitedstateshaslostaibattlechinapentagonsexsoftwarechiefsays20211011artificial intelligencea a hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesjohncumbers20200203chinanowoutinvestsamericaintheglobalbioeconomyby30sh21afde357440biomedicinea and a hrefhttpswwwrealclearpoliticscomarticles20201209america_surrenders_to_china_144805htmlthe dominance of spacea that will likely shape the future economy economist a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20190507opinionxitrumptradewarchinaleadershiphtmlyizheng lian arguesa that stealing technology is now encouraged as china becomes a nation of patriotic thieves the basic rules that underpin capitalist economies simply do not much matter a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinacorporatecrackdowntechmarketsinvestors11628182971big time investorsa now lamentppchina is also determined to promote its alternative a hrefhttpswwwforeignaffairscomarticleschina20210916howchinaexportsauthoritarianismauthoritarian modela of governance particularly in developing countries this drive could accelerate with chinas military expansion and may yet include the conquest of taiwan which is now the worlds leader in semiconductor technology the feisty island nation is now subject to a hrefhttpswwwfoxnewscomworldchinasendsmoreaircrafttowardtaiwanonedayafterlargesteverincursion2520httpstwittercomlucasfoxnewsstatus1445029426274709515aerial incursionsa from the mainland and could be blockaded the a hrefhttpswwwyahoocomnowtaiwansemiconductorrampuschip104135100htmltaiwan semiconductor manufacturing companysa decision to build a 12 billion new plant in arizona could be critical to assuring secure supplies for americas manufacturersppstrongneeded a policy and political responsestrongpprevitalizing our industrial commons requires bold new initiatives and measures from our economic past which saw some very successful efforts to spark industrial growth during world war two and the cold war indeed as two harvard researchers a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomproducingprosperityamericamanufacturingrenaissancedp1422162680have suggesteda believing in the power of markets does not preclude the judicious use of appropriate government policiesppwhile rejecting trumps crude unilateral approach the biden administration has continued to pursue many of its predecessors themes including proposals to boost the domestic a hrefhttpswwwreuterscomarticleususabidensupplychainsbidentopressfor37billiontoboostchipmanufacturingamidshortfalliduskbn2ao13dsemiconductora and a hrefhttpswwwrealclearpoliticscomarticles20201118bidens_plan_to_build_back_better_with_american_steel_144681htmlsteel industriesa the biden plan would spend 300 billion on rampd to revitalize american industrial competitiveness and invest in alternatives to fouryear colleges a hrefhttpswwwuscannenbergmediacom20210702weshouldadvocatefortradeschoolsjustasmuchascollegeespeciallyafterapandemictrade schoolsa apprenticeships and community colleges a more ambitious part of a hrefhttpsjoebidencombuildbackbetterthe plana involves the use of taxes subsidies and publicprivate partnerships to encourage companies to retain the capacity to make critical supplies during a national emergencyppreshoring will require tariffs and bans but also incentives including tax policies that encourage industrial investments loans and loan guarantees grants publicprivate partnerships and supportive educational and physical infrastructure additionally steps could be taken to promote a hrefhttpsqzcom1931653usrareearthsminermpmaterialstakesonchinadominancethe development of critical rare metalsa outside of chinappwestern countries could also justify shifts away from china on environmental grounds for businesses and consumers attempts to move out of china could cost as much as 1 trillion but would detach firms from the countrys notoriously a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinas2060climatechangegambit11600964415modarticle_inlinehigh carbon supply chainsa which emit more greenhouse gasses a hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesrrapier20180701chinaemitsmorecarbondioxidethantheusandeucombinedsh2f728c55628cthan the united states and the european union combineda indeed a hrefhttpswwwusnewscomnewsnationalnewsarticles20210712just25citiescontributemorethanhalfofglobalgreenhouseemissionsreportfindsaccording to one recent studya china is home to 23 of the 25 largest cities in terms of ghg emissionsppstronga postglobalist politicsstrongppaddressing our supply chain vulnerabilities is not just good policy but also good politics robust efforts to counter chinas mounting challenge in science and technology such as the us innovation and competitiveness act passed the senate by a wide marginsup supa a hrefhttpstwittercombonnieglaserstatus1400268425214181377photo1recent surveya by the leftleaning center for american progress found that far more americans prioritize protecting us jobs and reducing illegal immigration than progressive goals like combatting climate change and improving relations with alliespfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrnew public opinion poll insights into what americans want us foreign policy objectives to be promoting democracy and freedoms comes in dead last a hrefhttpstcornd7gdloympictwittercomrnd7gdloymap bonnie glaser bonnieglaser a hrefhttpstwittercombonnieglaserstatus1400268425214181377ref_srctwsrc5etfwjune 3 2021ablockquote figurepdespite the muchballyhooed consumer benefits of lowcost imports a hrefhttpsfticommunicationscomenshiftingexpectationssurveymay2020the vast majority of americansa seem to be willing to pay higher prices that would come from moving production out of chinaa fact that has encouraged retailers such as a hrefhttpscdncorporatewalmartcom63a8a8dfb5b54ebd8ff53c8374726ac8finalpolicyroadmappdfwalmarta to seek out more domestic suppliers the current supply chain crisis can only reinforce these trends economic boycotts of chinese goods and firmsa successful example of which is the us attempt to thwart telecommunications giant a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesussetouttohobblechinashuaweiandsoithas11633617478huaweiamay be a harbinger of things to come at least in strategically critical areasppsome may seeem emsuch an effort as doomed particularly on a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211006businesschinabusinesswallstreethtmlwall streeta a bastion of prochina sentiment but the middle kingdom may be far more vulnerable than widely thought chinas financial system is only now feeling the impact of a hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20190410businesschinaeconomydebttianjinhtmlmassive but unwise investmentsa in highrise offices and a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinesecitiesbuyoffhousingglutwithborrowedmoney1507887001residential towersa epitomized by the evergrandes pending bankruptcy a hrefhttpshbrorg201909canchinaavoidagrowthcrisistextchina27s2520working2520population2520people2520agedthe2520netherlands252c2520and2520switzerland2520combineda rapid decline in the workforcea by over 200 million by 2050 a a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinaplansfurthershifttowardencouragingchildbirth11624003448stubbornly low birth ratea and a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesxijinpingstrumpmoment1477056486growing class conflicta could also pose challenges and provide opportunities for competitors more critically chinese regime controls could derail innovation certainly a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinagetsitsmessagetoamericansbutdoesntwanttoreciprocate11545407490blocking data and analysis from the rest of the worlda is not the route to informationera dominance pphanding the industrial and technological future to authoritarian states is a recipe for undermining our own democracy of course free countries will still trade with autocracies which a hrefhttpswwwsipriorgcommentarytopicalbackgrounder2020autocracyriseshouldweexpectmilitaryspendingfollowseem to be ascendanta but the focus needs to be on maintaining primary supply chains with partners who essentially conform to the rule of law and are not seeking to establish a global hegemony whats needed is a series of alliances with a hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesafarewelltonationbuilding11630680925likeminded countriesa that generally follow liberal capitalist values and legal norms this can be seen in the new defense pact between the us the uk and australia with potential growing ties to japan south korea and indiappin the long run capitalist order can only be maintained by a common belief in basic principles of fairness and legality the ships stalled at sea and empty supermarket shelves and relentlessly higher prices represent warning signs of a new and dangerous economic reality we can either accept dependency as the new normal or we can address it directly abandoning dreams in favor of approaches based on reality and greater selfreliancep

img altconfronting supply chain crisis srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110laportpngpppfor generation long beach los angeles harbors california handled 40 percent container cargo headed epitomized power globalizing economy today shipsmostly asiastill dock wait seemingly hrefhttpssplash247commorethan40shipswaitingoutsidelaandlongbeachsettingnewrecordendless conga linea hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlescargodelaysaregettingworsebutcaliforniaportsstillrestonweekends11632648602text25e22580259cit27s2520impossible2520to2520effectively2520movethe2520port2520of2520long2520beachamptextappeared2520in2520the2520september25202727as 60 vesselsa long weeks worst delays modern history price container risen hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesrisingshippingcostsarecompanieslatestinflationriddle11631784602as 10 timesa cost pandemic hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomshippingcontainersstuckcaliforniaportscombatshortages20219shipping crisisa projected 2023ppa pandemicdriven shortage parts hrefhttpsfinanceyahoocomnewsfedexjustpaintedadisturbingpictureofthejobmarket160422695htmllabora combined hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsbusiness58643717a congested transport systema create hrefhttpswwwpiiecomblogsrealtimeeconomicissueswatchusworkersaregettinglargeraisesnotenoughkeephigherinflationary spikea shipping rates doubling routes prices hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldusitsmadhouseorganicussoypriceshitrecordfuelfoodinflation20211011soybeans natural gasa soared supplies longer produce arrive high inflation wiping wage gains hrefhttpswwwheraldnetcomopinioncommentinflationhasturnedgrowthinwagesintoasetbackthe usa hrefhttpswwwbloombergquintcomgadflyinflationgaugescontinuetogoupbelyingthebankofenglandstransiencethe uka hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldeuropegermaninflationoutpacesaveragewagegrowthq220210830germanya chaos ground disturb lifestyles tech financial elites hurting middle working classes groups hrefhttpswwwcnncom20210701perspectivesinflationlowincomeamericanswealthindexhtmlmost threateneda surging inflationppthe supply chain disaster revealed existence crippling economic dependence particularly china highincome countries today industries westfrom medical equipment chip car makers foodrely china finished products key components china decides supply parts industries suffer debilitating supply chain shortages notion rational selfregulating market system unraveling presage demise prevailing neoliberal erappstrongwalking away productionstrongppfor generations hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20181215worldasiamckinseychinarussiahtmlbusiness consultantsa persuaded businesses large small production china search cheaper costs devastating effect particularly united states 2004 2017 share world manufacturing shrank 15 10 percent reliance chinese inputs doubled trade deficit china hrefhttpswwwepiorgpublicationgrowingchinatradedeficitscostsusjobs23textus20jobs20displaced20by20tradefigure20a20scott202020according economic policy institutea cost 37 million jobs 2000 consequences severe uk suffered hrefhttpsinvestmentmonitoraibusinessactivitiesmanufacturingwhokilledbritishmanufacturingtextwhen2520looking2520at2520manufacturing2520asfigures2520from2520the2520world2520bankamptextalthough2520manufacturing2520jobs2520did2520increasejobs2520between252019972520and2520201915 million job lossesa manufacturing 1997 2009 hrefhttpswwwnetzerowatchcomrisingenergypricesarekillingbritishindustryclimatepoliciesaretoblameclimate policiesa threaten vestiges heavy industry country invented itppin face trends general response western elites worry reflecting ideological leanings hrefhttpsthehillcomopinioncivilrights502586corporateamericastandsagainstinjusticesexceptthosemadeinchinathe american establishmenta christina d romer head council economic advisers obama administration hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20120205businessdomanufacturersneedspecialtreatmenteconomicviewhtmldismissed concernsa manufacturing policy nostalgic sentiment declaring american consumers value health care haircuts washing machines hair dryersppbut unlike local hair salon market washing machines national global goods transported great distances factory makes parts washing machines city state region draws money local community manufacturing hrefhttpswwwnamorgfactsaboutmanufacturinghighest multiplier effectsa sectorone manufacturing job community likely generate numerous direct indirect induced jobs locally elsewhereppstrongpandemic lessonsstrongppin midst pandemic worlds richest regionsa hrefhttpswwwpiiecompublicationsworkingpapershowcovid19medicalsupplyshortagesledextraordinarytradeandthe european uniona hrefhttpswwwindependentcouknewsmedicalsupplychainshortagesleddeadlyconsequencesstoryfrontlinefactoriesdefenseproductionactcoronaviruspandemicb836658htmlthe united kingdoma north americafound basic medical equipment like masks compounds needed critical chemical treatments early critical months chinas hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinasexportrestrictionsstrandmedicalgoodsusneedstofightcoronavirusstatedepartmentsays11587031203decision block exportsa goods led widespread shortages observes hrefhttpswwwprojectsyndicateorgcommentarymanagingsupplychainriskswithoutundermininggrowthbyrichardhaass202012richard haassa president council foreign relations concern increasingly assertive china seek exploit worlds dependence political purposesppthis disaster playing industrial landscape reflects fracturing supply chains decades generation politicians economists pundits particularly anglosaxon countries like hrefhttpswwwbookwormroomcom20210127everynationshouldlearnaustraliaslessonsaustraliaa paid little attention nurturing industrial commons encompass production research development supply chains embedded process development engineering capacityppthis pattern affects industries medical equipment year auto production curtailed worldwide shortage semiconductors tied hrefhttpsasianikkeicombusinesstechsemiconductorstaiwanschipindustryunderthreatasdroughtturnscritical2recent droughta taiwan americas push renewables threatens bolster chinas dominance solar panel industry production essential metals needed produce clean energy electric cars wests trade deficit extends hrefhttpswwwmsncomenusnewstechnologyinnovationisnotenoughopinionarbb1fvmnuto hightech productsa companies production abroad shift hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesbringingthefactorieshome11595180872research developmenta remarkably included sources critical components hrefhttpswwwreuterscomarticleususamilitarychinausmilitarycomestogripswithoverrelianceonchineseimportsiduskcn1mc275military goodsa produced chinappstrongreshoring possible answerstrongppcamille farhata executive general electric baxter medtronic ceo michiganbased manufacturer rti surgicaltold products including medical supplies produced domestically farhat hopes pandemic convince business leaders stop destroying supply ecosystem makes production possible stay safe contingency planningyou restore network maintain surplus production capacity hopefully learning lesson signs heeding farhats advice japan france uk hrefhttpsecfreupublicationthe_new_china_consensus_how_europe_is_growing_wary_of_beijingthe european uniona recognize dependence china carries enormous political economic risks hrefhttpswwwbusinessstandardcomarticleinternationaljapangovttopayatleast536millionforcompaniestoleavechina120072000004_1htmljapana offering loans lure companies home chinappthere signs change corporate suite predating current crisis hrefhttpswwwmckinseycombusinessfunctionsoperationsourinsightsriskresilienceandrebalancinginglobalvaluechainsmckinsey companya surveyed supply chain executives year found nearly respondents believe supply chains vulnerable according march 2020s hrefhttpsblogthomasnetcomreshoringcreatesopportunitiesformanufacturersin2020thomas industrial surveya covid19 supply chain disruptions aggravated appetite locally sourced materials servicesup 70 percent firms surveyed said likely extremely likely reshore coming years similarly hrefhttpsnewscgtncomnews20200517ubssupplychainuncertaintiesremainbutnomassexodusinsightqykaoo8k3kindexhtmlubs study revealeda 50 60 percent firms producing china moved planning moveppthis shift includes hrefhttpswwwusatodaycomstorymoneybusiness20180628manufacturersbringingmostjobsbacktoamerica36438051major companiesa like hrefhttpswwwstanleyblackanddeckercomarticlestanleyblackdeckerannouncesopeningnewcraftsmanplantfortworthtexasblack deckera moved production new facility fort worth texas reshoring strategy appliance giant whirlpool hrefhttpswwwbrownsenategovnewsroompressreleasebrownwhirlpooldecisiontoreshorenearly400jobsisatestamenttothestrengthofohioworkersandmanufacturingreshored 400 jobsa general electric apple caterpillar hrefhttpwwwclevelandcomakronindexssf201412goodyear_closing_latin_americahtmlgoodyeara general motors polaris little tikes major american toy maker started hrefhttpswwwplasticsnewscomarticle20130827news130829941littletikesgrowingaftershiftingproductionfromchinatousshifting productiona china ohio little tikes started 40 years ago united states production moved china 1980s 90s chinese manufacturing sector began wheel kind coming circle executive vice president worldwide general manager thomas richmond told meppof course moves resisted companies grown hopelessly dependent farflung supply chains longer possess skills products hrefhttpswwwfreightwavescomnewsnorthamericasupplychainreshoringwillnothappenreportsayssome analysts suggesta largescale reshoring north america require strong government action reasons optimism president trumps tariffs hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinatradewardidntboostusmanufacturingmight11603618203may mucha revive manufacturing reshoring initiatives harry moser told annual number jobs returning offshore increased 6000 2010 400000 2019 cumulative jobs brought represent percent united states total industrial employment 2019 time decade percentage manufacturing goods imported dropped notes hrefhttpswwwkearneycomoperationsperformancetransformationusreshoringindexfullreporta recent kearny studya shift coming east asiappstrongthe china challengestrongppthe supply chain crisis plain grave threat posed chinas rise early stages chinas embrace capitalism countrys industrial push widely welcomed triumph liberal globalization china believed simply wanted succeed manner somewhat congruent western values trajectory expected follow japan singapore south korea lack chinas military power population resourcesppbut leadership xi jinping china nurtured economy works profoundly different way capitalist countries west profits individual wealth accumulation drive economic progress chinese people want rich hrefhttpswwwtabletmagcomsectionsnewsarticleschinaplansglobalorderthe primary goala ccp bolster middle kingdoms global power influence china hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinatakesonitsnewtycoons1507916358the regimea employs power hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210212businesschinasundawuhtmlrestrain imprisona countrys entrepreneurs defy authority social media political tool promote chinas ascendency ostensibly frivolous sites like hrefhttpsqzcom1860538tiktokuserspraisechinatowardoffshadowbanningtik tokappchinas agenda stretched consolidating hold existing industries seeks dominate fields hrefhttpswwwreuterscomtechnologyunitedstateshaslostaibattlechinapentagonsexsoftwarechiefsays20211011artificial intelligencea hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesjohncumbers20200203chinanowoutinvestsamericaintheglobalbioeconomyby30sh21afde357440biomedicinea hrefhttpswwwrealclearpoliticscomarticles20201209america_surrenders_to_china_144805htmlthe dominance spacea likely shape future economy economist hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20190507opinionxitrumptradewarchinaleadershiphtmlyizheng lian arguesa stealing technology encouraged china nation patriotic thieves basic rules underpin capitalist economies simply matter hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinacorporatecrackdowntechmarketsinvestors11628182971big time investorsa lamentppchina determined promote alternative hrefhttpswwwforeignaffairscomarticleschina20210916howchinaexportsauthoritarianismauthoritarian modela governance particularly developing countries drive accelerate chinas military expansion include conquest taiwan worlds leader semiconductor technology feisty island nation subject hrefhttpswwwfoxnewscomworldchinasendsmoreaircrafttowardtaiwanonedayafterlargesteverincursion2520httpstwittercomlucasfoxnewsstatus1445029426274709515aerial incursionsa mainland blockaded hrefhttpswwwyahoocomnowtaiwansemiconductorrampuschip104135100htmltaiwan semiconductor manufacturing companysa decision build 12 billion new plant arizona critical assuring secure supplies americas manufacturersppstrongneeded policy political responsestrongpprevitalizing industrial commons requires bold new initiatives measures economic past saw successful efforts spark industrial growth world war cold war harvard researchers hrefhttpswwwamazoncomproducingprosperityamericamanufacturingrenaissancedp1422162680have suggesteda believing power markets preclude judicious use appropriate government policiesppwhile rejecting trumps crude unilateral approach biden administration continued pursue predecessors themes including proposals boost domestic hrefhttpswwwreuterscomarticleususabidensupplychainsbidentopressfor37billiontoboostchipmanufacturingamidshortfalliduskbn2ao13dsemiconductora hrefhttpswwwrealclearpoliticscomarticles20201118bidens_plan_to_build_back_better_with_american_steel_144681htmlsteel industriesa biden plan spend 300 billion rampd revitalize american industrial competitiveness invest alternatives fouryear colleges hrefhttpswwwuscannenbergmediacom20210702weshouldadvocatefortradeschoolsjustasmuchascollegeespeciallyafterapandemictrade schoolsa apprenticeships community colleges ambitious hrefhttpsjoebidencombuildbackbetterthe plana involves use taxes subsidies publicprivate partnerships encourage companies retain capacity critical supplies national emergencyppreshoring require tariffs bans incentives including tax policies encourage industrial investments loans loan guarantees grants publicprivate partnerships supportive educational physical infrastructure additionally steps taken promote hrefhttpsqzcom1931653usrareearthsminermpmaterialstakesonchinadominancethe development critical rare metalsa outside chinappwestern countries justify shifts away china environmental grounds businesses consumers attempts china cost 1 trillion detach firms countrys notoriously hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinas2060climatechangegambit11600964415modarticle_inlinehigh carbon supply chainsa emit greenhouse gasses hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesrrapier20180701chinaemitsmorecarbondioxidethantheusandeucombinedsh2f728c55628cthan united states european union combineda hrefhttpswwwusnewscomnewsnationalnewsarticles20210712just25citiescontributemorethanhalfofglobalgreenhouseemissionsreportfindsaccording recent studya china home 23 25 largest cities terms ghg emissionsppstronga postglobalist politicsstrongppaddressing supply chain vulnerabilities good policy good politics robust efforts counter chinas mounting challenge science technology innovation competitiveness act passed senate wide marginsup supa hrefhttpstwittercombonnieglaserstatus1400268425214181377photo1recent surveya leftleaning center american progress found far americans prioritize protecting jobs reducing illegal immigration progressive goals like combatting climate change improving relations alliespfigureblockquote classtwittertweetp langen dirltrnew public opinion poll insights americans want foreign policy objectives promoting democracy freedoms comes dead hrefhttpstcornd7gdloympictwittercomrnd7gdloymap bonnie glaser bonnieglaser hrefhttpstwittercombonnieglaserstatus1400268425214181377ref_srctwsrc5etfwjune 3 2021ablockquote figurepdespite muchballyhooed consumer benefits lowcost imports hrefhttpsfticommunicationscomenshiftingexpectationssurveymay2020the vast majority americansa willing pay higher prices come moving production chinaa fact encouraged retailers hrefhttpscdncorporatewalmartcom63a8a8dfb5b54ebd8ff53c8374726ac8finalpolicyroadmappdfwalmarta seek domestic suppliers current supply chain crisis reinforce trends economic boycotts chinese goods firmsa successful example attempt thwart telecommunications giant hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesussetouttohobblechinashuaweiandsoithas11633617478huaweiamay harbinger things come strategically critical areasppsome seeem emsuch effort doomed particularly hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211006businesschinabusinesswallstreethtmlwall streeta bastion prochina sentiment middle kingdom far vulnerable widely thought chinas financial system feeling impact hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20190410businesschinaeconomydebttianjinhtmlmassive unwise investmentsa highrise offices hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinesecitiesbuyoffhousingglutwithborrowedmoney1507887001residential towersa epitomized evergrandes pending bankruptcy hrefhttpshbrorg201909canchinaavoidagrowthcrisistextchina27s2520working2520population2520people2520agedthe2520netherlands252c2520and2520switzerland2520combineda rapid decline workforcea 200 million 2050 hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinaplansfurthershifttowardencouragingchildbirth11624003448stubbornly low birth ratea hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesxijinpingstrumpmoment1477056486growing class conflicta pose challenges provide opportunities competitors critically chinese regime controls derail innovation certainly hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticleschinagetsitsmessagetoamericansbutdoesntwanttoreciprocate11545407490blocking data analysis rest worlda route informationera dominance pphanding industrial technological future authoritarian states recipe undermining democracy course free countries trade autocracies hrefhttpswwwsipriorgcommentarytopicalbackgrounder2020autocracyriseshouldweexpectmilitaryspendingfollowseem ascendanta focus needs maintaining primary supply chains partners essentially conform rule law seeking establish global hegemony whats needed series alliances hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesafarewelltonationbuilding11630680925likeminded countriesa generally follow liberal capitalist values legal norms seen new defense pact uk australia potential growing ties japan south korea indiappin long run capitalist order maintained common belief basic principles fairness legality ships stalled sea supermarket shelves relentlessly higher prices represent warning signs new dangerous economic reality accept dependency new normal address directly abandoning dreams favor approaches based reality greater selfreliancep

616760951f753f3b74d7c021

Art Institute of Chicago Fires Majority White Docents Because of ‘Equity’ Concerns

pimg width768 alt srchttpss4freebeaconcomup202110artinstituteofchicago768x512jpeg height512ppthe art institute of chicago fired all 122 of its unpaid volunteer docents seemingly because most of them are whitep pwomans board executive director of learning and public engagement veronica stein on sept 3 gave the docents a collective pink slip saying the museums docent program doesnt adequately respond to quotissues of class and income equityquotp pthe majority of the museums former docents are white older women the ichicago tribunei a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwchicagotribunecomopinioneditorialscteditartinstitutedocentsfiring20210927dfrho66bjba2bp27phz2yndwzustoryhtml target_blanknoteda in its editorial on the firingp pquotonce you cut through the blather the letter basically said the museum had looked critically at its corps of docents a group dominated by mostly but not entirely white retired women with some time to spare and found them wanting as a demographicquot the itribunei wrotep pmuseum board chairman robert m levy in a itribunei oped a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwchicagotribunecomopinioncommentaryctopinionartinstitutedocentchangeresponse20210930himtjin2xne2jkkkb7hzz5xprastoryhtml target_blanksaida the editorial contains quotnumerous inaccuracies and mischaracterizationsquot though he did not say what they werep pthe 122 former docents had to go through rigorous 18month training sessions 5 years of research and biweekly further trainings for their unpaid service they will be replaced stein said by a quotlimited number of paid educatorsquot the museum will choose based on quotan income equityfocused lensquotp pmany local writers expressed anger at the museums decision with university of chicago emeritus professor jerry coyne a relnoopener hrefhttpswhyevolutionistruecom20211009theartinstituteofchicagofiresall122ofitsunpaidandvolunteerdocentsbecausetheyarentsufficientlydiverse target_blankwritinga that it is quotgrossly unfair and inimical to the education of museumgoersquotp plocal journalist dennis byrne meanwhile a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwchicagonowcomdennisbyrnesbarbershop202109artinstituteofchicagofiresdocentsbecausetheyaretoomanywhitesintheirranks target_blankwrotea that the art institute quotis being run for the benefit of the woke bureaucracy thats now in chargequot rather than quotthe black and brown chicago school children who benefited mightily from the docent toursquotp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcultureartinstituteofchicagofiresmajoritywhitedocentsbecauseofequityconcernsart institute of chicago fires majority white docents because of equity concernsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

pimg width768 alt srchttpss4freebeaconcomup202110artinstituteofchicago768x512jpeg height512ppthe art institute chicago fired 122 unpaid volunteer docents seemingly whitep pwomans board executive director learning public engagement veronica stein sept 3 gave docents collective pink slip saying museums docent program doesnt adequately respond quotissues class income equityquotp pthe majority museums docents white older women ichicago tribunei relnoopener hrefhttpswwwchicagotribunecomopinioneditorialscteditartinstitutedocentsfiring20210927dfrho66bjba2bp27phz2yndwzustoryhtml target_blanknoteda editorial firingp pquotonce cut blather letter basically said museum looked critically corps docents group dominated entirely white retired women time spare found wanting demographicquot itribunei wrotep pmuseum board chairman robert m levy itribuneioped relnoopener hrefhttpswwwchicagotribunecomopinioncommentaryctopinionartinstitutedocentchangeresponse20210930himtjin2xne2jkkkb7hzz5xprastoryhtml target_blanksaida editorial contains quotnumerous inaccuracies mischaracterizationsquot werep pthe 122 docents rigorous 18month training sessions 5 years research biweekly trainings unpaid service replaced stein said quotlimited number paid educatorsquotthe museum choose based quotan income equityfocused lensquotp pmany local writers expressed anger museums decision university chicago emeritus professor jerry coyne relnoopener hrefhttpswhyevolutionistruecom20211009theartinstituteofchicagofiresall122ofitsunpaidandvolunteerdocentsbecausetheyarentsufficientlydiverse target_blankwritinga quotgrossly unfair inimical education museumgoersquotp plocal journalist dennis byrne relnoopener hrefhttpswwwchicagonowcomdennisbyrnesbarbershop202109artinstituteofchicagofiresdocentsbecausetheyaretoomanywhitesintheirranks target_blankwrotea art institute quotis run benefit woke bureaucracy thats chargequot quotthe black brown chicago school children benefited mightily docent toursquotp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcultureartinstituteofchicagofiresmajoritywhitedocentsbecauseofequityconcernsart institute chicago fires majority white docents equity concernsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

6167609c1f753f3b74d7c023

Reviewed in Short: New books by Helen Carr and Suzannah Lipscomb, Kai-Fu Lee and Chen Qiufan, James Dyson and Sarah Hall

pstrongwhat is history now by helen carr and suzannah lipscombbrstrongemweidenfeld amp nicolson 352pp 20emp psixty years ago eh carr changed the study of history with a series of lectures at cambridge later compiled into a book emwhat is historyem in which he posited that by and large the historian will get the kind of facts he wants history means interpretation what is written as if it were inarguable fact is in reality influenced by the historians own experiences and motivations and indeed by the experiences and motivations of those who wrote the original source materialp pin emwhat is history nowem carrs greatgranddaughter helen carr and suzannah lipscomb both historians address the key issues of how we approach and retell history today a deliberately diverse group of essayists including onyeka nubia sarah churchwell maya jasanoff and rana mitter pose questions such as can and should we queer the past how can we write the history of empire and can we recover the lost lives of women given recent debates about statues empire and whether it is right or possible to rewrite history this is a timely collection varied and thoughtprovoking for everyone intrigued and perturbed by the recent debates about how and whose history should be commemoratedbremby pippa baileyemp pstrongai 2041 ten visions for our future by kaifu lee and chen qiufanbrstrongemwh allen 480pp 1499emp pthis book by the scifi novelist chen qiufan and kaifu lee a former president of google china is recommended as a credible vision of the future by the ceos of microsoft and salesforce among others by sheer coincidence belief in an aipowered future drives investment in all their businesses chens ten stories are usecase scenario after usecase scenario each a depressing snapshot of the ai future school romance healthcare and work are all governed by software and the undigitalised are invisiblep pultimately a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomideas202102howpreventaitakingoverworldai ais not just great for business it seems but for solving the problem of humanity itself when a government tries universal basic income to counter job losses from automation substance addictions become endemic until a ceo gets people working with ai in this future the only people who can be trusted to have money without work are wealthy tech investors occasionally the books writing is bad enough to raise a laugh in a tender moment one lovestruck teen says to another objective function maximisation but its real insight is that those at the forefront of technology are thinking about how their wealth accretion will affect the rest of us and theyre fine with itbremby will dunnemp pstronginvention a life by james dysonbrstrongemsimon amp schuster 352pp 25emp pa hrefhttpnewstatesmancombusinesscompanies202104brexiteerjamesdysonshowswhybusinessesshouldstayoutpoliticsjames dysonsa career as an inventor and entrepreneur has been built on ugly ducklings as product design goes inventing a musthave vacuum cleaner is one of the more unlikely routes to billionairedom but as with all dysons inventions from a wheelbarrow with a ball in place of a wheel to hand driers and hair curlers good looks are as important as utility as dyson relates in this breezy memoir he didnt train as an engineer but went to the royal college of art so his applied skills were painfully learnt with his cyclonic vacuum cleaner needing 5127 prototypes to perfect nor he confesses have things become easier with experiencep pthis is an oldfashioned autobiography telling an oldfashioned penurytolucre story and there is a whiff of the corporate brochure at times nevertheless dysons is an extraordinary tale in which he progresses from winceinducing debts while developing his vacuum cleaner to opening his own private university for aspiring designers and engineers its graduates and their peers he believes with winning optimism will use technology that combines lean engineering and material efficiency to solve the worlds illsbremby michael prodgeemrp pstrongburntcoat by sarah hallbrstrongemfaber amp faber 240pp 1299emp psarah halls latest novel her first in six years following a pair of lauded short story collections is a tale of sensuality and creative adventure told in the face of bodily decay and social collapse edith harkness is a sculptor now in her late fifties and dying of the deadly virus ag3 or nova whose victims she is memorialising with a work of public art resident in a slightly tweaked version of the north of england she recalls in higgledypiggledy flashback childhood pains artistic glory and sexual ecstasy the moist flare of your tongue was an accelerant as well as the coming roughly two decades earlier of contagious disease her rambling house the source of the title is where she keeps a studio and was once home to her turkish lover halitp phalls prose is flinty she has a taste for words like brackish but is also capable of unabashed reverie and moments of poeticism that verge on the abstract at times the novel feels like a mere mood piece an exercise in atmospherics but it grows as it moves along and becomes a piercing record of a life and its evanescent beautiesbremby leo robsonemp pa hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculturebooks202104reviewedshortnewbookstitlesemstrong[see also reviewed in short new books by margaret reynolds michio kaku ak blakemore and jay griffiths]strongemap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculture202110reviewedinshortnewbooksbyhelencarrandsuzannahlipscombkaifuleeandchenqiufanjamesdysonandsarahhallreviewed in short new books by helen carr and suzannah lipscomb kaifu lee and chen qiufan james dyson and sarah halla appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

pstrongwhat history helen carr suzannah lipscombbrstrongemweidenfeld amp nicolson 352pp 20emp psixty years ago eh carr changed study history series lectures cambridge later compiled book emwhat historyem posited large historian kind facts wants history means interpretation written inarguable fact reality influenced historians experiences motivations experiences motivations wrote original source materialp pin emwhat history nowem carrs greatgranddaughter helen carr suzannah lipscomb historians address key issues approach retell history today deliberately diverse group essayists including onyeka nubia sarah churchwell maya jasanoff rana mitter pose questions queer past write history empire recover lost lives women given recent debates statues empire right possible rewrite history timely collection varied thoughtprovoking intrigued perturbed recent debates history commemoratedbremby pippa baileyemp pstrongai 2041 visions future kaifu lee chen qiufanbrstrongemwh allen 480pp 1499emp pthis book scifi novelist chen qiufan kaifu lee president google china recommended credible vision future ceos microsoft salesforce sheer coincidence belief aipowered future drives investment businesses chens stories usecase scenario usecase scenario depressing snapshot ai future school romance healthcare work governed software undigitalised invisiblep pultimately hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomideas202102howpreventaitakingoverworldai ais great business solving problem humanity government tries universal basic income counter job losses automation substance addictions endemic ceo gets people working ai future people trusted money work wealthy tech investors occasionally books writing bad raise laugh tender moment lovestruck teen says objective function maximisation real insight forefront technology thinking wealth accretion affect rest theyre fine itbremby dunnemp pstronginvention life james dysonbrstrongemsimon amp schuster 352pp 25emp pa hrefhttpnewstatesmancombusinesscompanies202104brexiteerjamesdysonshowswhybusinessesshouldstayoutpoliticsjames dysonsa career inventor entrepreneur built ugly ducklings product design goes inventing musthave vacuum cleaner unlikely routes billionairedom dysons inventions wheelbarrow ball place wheel hand driers hair curlers good looks important utility dyson relates breezy memoir didnt train engineer went royal college art applied skills painfully learnt cyclonic vacuum cleaner needing 5127 prototypes perfect confesses things easier experiencep pthis oldfashioned autobiography telling oldfashioned penurytolucre story whiff corporate brochure times dysons extraordinary tale progresses winceinducing debts developing vacuum cleaner opening private university aspiring designers engineers graduates peers believes winning optimism use technology combines lean engineering material efficiency solve worlds illsbremby michael prodgeemrp pstrongburntcoat sarah hallbrstrongemfaber amp faber 240pp 1299emp psarah halls latest novel years following pair lauded short story collections tale sensuality creative adventure told face bodily decay social collapse edith harkness sculptor late fifties dying deadly virus ag3 nova victims memorialising work public art resident slightly tweaked version north england recalls higgledypiggledy flashback childhood pains artistic glory sexual ecstasy moist flare tongue accelerant coming roughly decades earlier contagious disease rambling house source title keeps studio home turkish lover halitp phalls prose flinty taste words like brackish capable unabashed reverie moments poeticism verge abstract times novel feels like mere mood piece exercise atmospherics grows moves piercing record life evanescent beautiesbremby leo robsonemp pa hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculturebooks202104reviewedshortnewbookstitlesemstrong[see reviewed short new books margaret reynolds michio kaku ak blakemore jay griffiths]strongemap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculture202110reviewedinshortnewbooksbyhelencarrandsuzannahlipscombkaifuleeandchenqiufanjamesdysonandsarahhallreviewed short new books helen carr suzannah lipscomb kaifu lee chen qiufan james dyson sarah halla appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

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The return of Succession

pwhat does jesse armstrong the creator of emsuccessionem want for his monsters now as kenneth tynan said of john webster ideally one feels he would have had all his characters drowned in a sea of cold sweat if nothing is too good for these people no job title no hotel room no private jet nothings too bad for them either or so its starting to seem emsuccessionem is a jacobean revenge tragedy with cashmere throws where there should be an arras and stolen data in place of purloined love letters the stench that comes off it im four episodes into season three critics privilege and the smell of fear think black orchid by tom ford layered with light top notes of piss and roomtemperature ranch dressing just will not go awayp pto recap at the end of season two kendall roy jeremy strong betrayed his beast of a parent publicly announcing that logan brian cox had known all about the misconduct at waystar roycos cruise line this wasnt understatement the plan kendall was supposed to have accepted responsibility for the scandal he was to have been the familys blood sacrifice but no matter the notion of ritual slaughter hasnt thank god gone away emsomeoneem has got to get it will it be logans slime ball soninlaw tom matthew macfadyen or will it be his craven greatnephew greg nicholas braun then again its still possible that kendall currently acting a bit like tom hanks in embigem will simply implode even if he gains immunity from prosecution as a corporate whistleblower no one in the world is ever going to be able to grant him asylum from the gelid heart of his fatherp pyoull want to know if this series is as good as the last well the dialogue is as scabrous and funny as ever youre the number one trending topic behind tater tots and the pope er emaem pope says greg asked by kendall to monitor his media profile and the performances are still perfection strongs ritalin kabuki his face superanimated one minute and lifeless the next is the most mesmerising thing on television sarah snook as shiv is hardening like ice beneath all that max mara to the point where you can almost hear her creaking kieran culkin as roman resembles more and more chucky out of emchilds playem one hand at his floppy fringe the other hovering ominously over his fly where something even more flaccid may be found except when nanny aka gerri kellman j smithcameron is aroundp pi love as much as i ever did the detail the way for instance that domestic staff can only ever be found hovering at the edge of the screen as easy to swat as flies in the eyes of their ghastly employers in episode four kendall is oblivious to the humiliation of his assistant who must wave an ipad in front of a giant pet rabbit so his children can see itp ppeople talk of the roys venality and cruelty but its their heedlessness to which emsuccessionems writers are most alert the halfeaten salads the purposeless journeys all the things never fully enjoyed their transient lives like their precariously contingent emotions warn us to be careful what we wish for though in a world that grows ever more terrifyingly sententious they also i think provide a furtive release for those weary of being kindp pstill it has to be said theres something missing this time its all very talky here are airless rooms with people hustling in them endlessly theres a circularity to each episode whos up and whos down and the nastier things get the more i scent diminishing returns i long for the set pieces of old shivs wedding in an english castle the gruesome new mexico gathering organised by connor alan ruck the hunting trip to hungary i miss the particular acid of caroline harriet walter logans exwife who doesnt give a toss about waystar royco though she will be back i readp pthis is not to say that i wont take emsuccessionem over any other show ive only to hear that emdallasemmeetsscott joplin theme tune for everything else to fade to grey but im anxious for it i want its greatness to last right until the moment the stage finally fills with corpses whether of people or a business or bothp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculturetvradio202109jessearmstrongonpowerpoliticsandthereturnofsuccessionjesse armstrong on power politics and the return of successiona]emstrongp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculturetv202110thereturnofsuccessionjessearmstrongthe return of successiona appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

pwhat jesse armstrong creator emsuccessionem want monsters kenneth tynan said john webster ideally feels characters drowned sea cold sweat good people job title hotel room private jet nothings bad starting emsuccessionem jacobean revenge tragedy cashmere throws arras stolen data place purloined love letters stench comes im episodes season critics privilege smell fear think black orchid tom ford layered light notes piss roomtemperature ranch dressing awayp pto recap end season kendall roy jeremy strong betrayed beast parent publicly announcing logan brian cox known misconduct waystar roycos cruise line wasnt understatement plan kendall supposed accepted responsibility scandal familys blood sacrifice matter notion ritual slaughter hasnt thank god gone away emsomeoneem got logans slime ball soninlaw tom matthew macfadyen craven greatnephew greg nicholas braun possible kendall currently acting bit like tom hanks embigem simply implode gains immunity prosecution corporate whistleblower world going able grant asylum gelid heart fatherp pyoull want know series good dialogue scabrous funny youre number trending topic tater tots pope er emaem pope says greg asked kendall monitor media profile performances perfection strongs ritalin kabuki face superanimated minute lifeless mesmerising thing television sarah snook shiv hardening like ice beneath max mara point hear creaking kieran culkin roman resembles chucky emchilds playem hand floppy fringe hovering ominously fly flaccid found nanny aka gerri kellman j smithcameron aroundp pi love detail way instance domestic staff found hovering edge screen easy swat flies eyes ghastly employers episode kendall oblivious humiliation assistant wave ipad giant pet rabbit children itp ppeople talk roys venality cruelty heedlessness emsuccessionems writers alert halfeaten salads purposeless journeys things fully enjoyed transient lives like precariously contingent emotions warn careful wish world grows terrifyingly sententious think provide furtive release weary kindp pstill said theres missing time talky airless rooms people hustling endlessly theres circularity episode whos whos nastier things scent diminishing returns long set pieces old shivs wedding english castle gruesome new mexico gathering organised connor alan ruck hunting trip hungary miss particular acid caroline harriet walter logans exwife doesnt toss waystar royco readp pthis wont emsuccessionem ive hear emdallasemmeetsscott joplin theme tune fade grey im anxious want greatness right moment stage finally fills corpses people business bothp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculturetvradio202109jessearmstrongonpowerpoliticsandthereturnofsuccessionjesse armstrong power politics return successiona]emstrongp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculturetv202110thereturnofsuccessionjessearmstrongthe return successiona appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

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Happy 96th Birthday Margaret Thatcher

div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202010thatcherpngx91208img alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202010thatcherpngx91208 classwpimage1008581612afigurediv pa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikimargaret_thatcher target_blankmargaret hilda thatchera pictured above was born on this day october 13 in 1925 and today would have been her 96th birthday unfortunately she died on april 8 2013 at the age of 87 to honor baroness thatcher on her 96th birthday here is my annual tribute to the iron lady in recognition of her significant contributions during her political career including serving as the prime minister of the uk from 1979 to 1990 below are some videos quotations and related articles to celebrate prime minister margaret thatchers birthday and her rich legacy defending liberty and freedom and fighting socialism p centeriframe allowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedxvz8tg4mvpa width640 height350iframecenter p1 the video above features margaret thatchers address to the conservative party conference in 1983 when she saidp blockquote classwpblockquoteplet us never forget this fundamental truth the state has no source of money other than the money people earn themselves if the state wishes to spend more it can do so only by borrowing your savings or by taxing you more strongthere is no such thing as public money there is only taxpayers moneystrongpblockquote pitem isem a very fundamental truth that is frequently forgotten any time you see or hear the terms public funding public funds  government funding or government funds be sure to substitute taxpayer funding and taxpayer fundsp p 2 here are the strongtop five reasons margaret thatcher is still an inspiration to women todaystrong via the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpiwforgblog2804951topfivereasonsmargaretthatcherisstillaninspirationtowomentoday target_blankindependent womens foruma on margaret thatchers birthday in 2017 summarized herep ul lishe didnt use her sex to influence her careerli lishe was principledli lishe challenged the status quoli lishe had to work for her successli lishe was a modern feministli ul pp centeriframe allowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedrv5t6rc6yvg width640 height350iframecenter p 3 the video above is margaret thatchers last house of commons speech on november 22 1990 which is known as thatchers last stand against socialism heres the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwmargaretthatcherorgdocument108256 target_blankfull transcripta and heres a quotep blockquote classwpblockquotepi think that the hon gentleman knows that i have the same contempt for his socialist policies as the people of east europe who have experienced them have for theirs i think that i must have hit the right nail on the head when i pointed out that the logic of those policies is that they would rather the poor were poorer once they start to talk about the gap they would rather that the gap were thatem[indicating[emdown here not thisem[indicating[embutem[indicatingem] so long as the gap is smaller they would rather have the poor poorer one does not create wealth and opportunity that way one does not create a propertyowning democracy that way pblockquote p4 here are 10 great margaret thatcher quotes which are just as relevant and timely for america today if not more so than they were for the uk more than a quartercentury ago listen up karla marx aoc thanks to larry reed for a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwfeeorgarticlesmargaretthatcheronsocialism20ofherbestquotesfbclidiwar0ypr1qt8cco_rft4xqrr33_ebujx0aymff6mfhh149d_1uwtiyagjoblk target_blanksome of these quotesap blockquote classwpblockquotep1 the problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other peoples moneypp2 do you know that one of the great problems of our age is that we are governed by people who care more about feelings than they do about thoughts and ideaspp3 i think weve been through a period where too many people have been given to understand that if they have a problem its the governments job to cope with it i have a problem ill get a grant im homeless the government must house me theyre casting their problem on society and you know there is no such thing as society there are individual men and women and there are families and no government can do anything except through people and people must look to themselves first its our duty to look after ourselves and then also to look after our neighbor people have got the entitlements too much in mind without the obligations theres no such thing as entitlement unless someone has first met an obligationpp4 no one would remember the good samaritan if hed only had good intentions he had money as wellpp5 the philosophical reason for which we are against nationalization and for private enterprise is because we believe that economic progress comes from the inventiveness ability determination and the pioneering spirit of extraordinary men and women if they cannot exercise that spirit here they will go away to another free enterprise country which will then make more economic progress than we do we ought in fact to be encouraging small firms and small companies because the extent to which innovation comes through these companies is tremendouspp6 our challenge is to create the kind of economic background which enables private initiative and private enterprise to flourish for the benefit of the consumer employee the pensioner and society as a wholei believe we should judge people on merit and not on background i believe the person who is prepared to work hardest should get the greatest rewards and keep them after tax that we should back the workers and not the shirkers that it is not only permissible but praiseworthy to want to benefit your own family by your own effortspp7 i place a profound beliefindeed a fervent faithin the virtues of selfreliance and personal independence on these is founded the whole case for the free society for the assertion that human progress is best achieved by offering the freest possible scope for the development of individual talents qualified only by a respect for the qualities and the freedom of othersfor many years there has been a subtle erosion of the essential virtues of the free society selfreliance has been sneered at as if it were an absurd suburban pretention thrift has been denigrated as if it were greed the desire of parents to choose and to struggle for what they themselves regarded as the best possible education for their children has been scornedpp8 what are the lessons then that weve learned from the last thirty years first that the pursuit of equality itself is a mirage whats more desirable and more practicable than the pursuit of equality is the pursuit of equality of opportunity and opportunity means nothing unless it includes the right to be unequal and the freedom to be different one of the reasons that we value individuals is not because theyre all the same but because theyre all different i believe you have a saying in the middle west dont cut down the tall poppies let them rather grow tall i would say let our children grow tall and some taller than others if they have the ability in them to do so because we must build a society in which each citizen can develop his full potential both for his own benefit and for the community as a whole a society in which originality skill energy and thrift are rewarded in which we encourage rather than restrict the variety and richness of human naturepp9 some socialists seem to believe that people should be numbers in a state computer we believe they should be individuals we are all unequal no one thank heavens is like anyone else however much the socialists may pretend otherwise we believe that everyone has the right to be unequal but to us every human being is equally importantpp10 there is no such thing as safe socialism if its safe its not socialism and if its socialism its not safe the signposts of socialism point downhill to less freedom less prosperity downhill to more muddle more failure if we follow them to their destination they will lead this nation into bankruptcypblockquote phappy 96th birthday margaret thatcher p pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemhappy96thbirthdaymargaretthatcherhappy 96th birthday margaret thatchera appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202010thatcherpngx91208img alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202010thatcherpngx91208 classwpimage1008581612afigurediv pa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikimargaret_thatcher target_blankmargaret hilda thatchera pictured born day october 13 1925 today 96th birthday unfortunately died april 8 2013 age 87 honor baroness thatcher 96th birthday annual tribute iron lady recognition significant contributions political career including serving prime minister uk 1979 1990 videos quotations related articles celebrate prime minister margaret thatchers birthday rich legacy defending liberty freedom fighting socialism p centeriframe allowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedxvz8tg4mvpa width640 height350iframecenter p1 video features margaret thatchers address conservative party conference 1983 saidp blockquote classwpblockquoteplet forget fundamental truth state source money money people earn state wishes spend borrowing savings taxing morestrongthere thing public money taxpayers moneystrongpblockquote pitemisema fundamental truth frequently forgotten time hear terms public funding public funds government funding government funds sure substitute taxpayer funding taxpayer fundsp p 2 strongtop reasons margaret thatcher inspiration women todaystrong thea relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpiwforgblog2804951topfivereasonsmargaretthatcherisstillaninspirationtowomentoday target_blankindependent womens forumaon margaret thatchers birthday 2017 summarized herep ul lishe didnt use sex influence careerli lishe principledli lishe challenged status quoli lishe work successli lishe modern feministli ul pp centeriframe allowfullscreen srchttpswwwyoutubecomembedrv5t6rc6yvg width640 height350iframecenter p 3 video margaret thatchers house commons speech november 22 1990 known thatchers stand socialism heres relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwmargaretthatcherorgdocument108256 target_blankfull transcripta heres quotep blockquote classwpblockquotepi think hon gentleman knows contempt socialist policies people east europe experienced theirs think hit right nail head pointed logic policies poor poorer start talk gap gap thatem[indicating[emdown thisem[indicating[embutem[indicatingem] long gap smaller poor poorer create wealth opportunity way create propertyowning democracy way pblockquote p4 10 great margaret thatcher quotes relevant timely america today uk quartercentury ago listen karla marx aoc thanks larry reed fora relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwfeeorgarticlesmargaretthatcheronsocialism20ofherbestquotesfbclidiwar0ypr1qt8cco_rft4xqrr33_ebujx0aymff6mfhh149d_1uwtiyagjoblk target_blanksome quotesap blockquote classwpblockquotep1 problem socialism eventually run peoples moneypp2 know great problems age governed people care feelings thoughts ideaspp3 think weve period people given understand problem governments job cope problem ill grant im homeless government house theyre casting problem society know thing society individual men women families government people people look duty look look neighbor people got entitlements mind obligations theres thing entitlement met obligationpp4 remember good samaritan hed good intentions money wellpp5 philosophical reason nationalization private enterprise believe economic progress comes inventiveness ability determination pioneering spirit extraordinary men women exercise spirit away free enterprise country economic progress ought fact encouraging small firms small companies extent innovation comes companies tremendouspp6 challenge create kind economic background enables private initiative private enterprise flourish benefit consumer employee pensioner society wholei believe judge people merit background believe person prepared work hardest greatest rewards tax workers shirkers permissible praiseworthy want benefit family effortspp7 place profound beliefindeed fervent faithin virtues selfreliance personal independence founded case free society assertion human progress best achieved offering freest possible scope development individual talents qualified respect qualities freedom othersfor years subtle erosion essential virtues free society selfreliance sneered absurd suburban pretention thrift denigrated greed desire parents choose struggle regarded best possible education children scornedpp8 lessons weve learned thirty years pursuit equality mirage whats desirable practicable pursuit equality pursuit equality opportunity opportunity means includes right unequal freedom different reasons value individuals theyre theyre different believe saying middle west dont cut tall poppies let grow tall let children grow tall taller ability build society citizen develop potential benefit community society originality skill energy thrift rewarded encourage restrict variety richness human naturepp9 socialists believe people numbers state computer believe individuals unequal thank heavens like socialists pretend believe right unequal human equally importantpp10 thing safe socialism safe socialism socialism safe signposts socialism point downhill freedom prosperity downhill muddle failure follow destination lead nation bankruptcypblockquote phappy 96th birthday margaret thatcher p pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemhappy96thbirthdaymargaretthatcherhappy 96th birthday margaret thatchera appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

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Should we give puberty blockers to children with gender dysphoria?

pwhen counselling men requesting vasectomy i ask them to contemplate difficult scenarios starting a new relationship having lost their partner or what they would do were one of their children to die no one has changed their mind as a result but for every 100 such men six or seven will ultimately regret the decisionp pthe data on adults who have undergone medical procedures to assist gender transition suggest the incidence of transition regret is lower around 1 per cent nevertheless there is a small minority who ultimately wish they hadnt used hormones or undergone surgery to effect permanent bodily change keira bell is one a woman in her midtwenties who had previously been transitioning to become a man her story made national news because when she was 16 years old she was given puberty blockers drugs that pause pubertal development while under the care of the nhss only gender identity development service gids for children run by the tavistock and portman trust she went on to be prescribed testosterone to promote male characteristics including voice change and facial hair and aged 20 to have surgery to remove her breasts bell believes she was insufficiently challenged by her doctors at gids and in early 2020 joined a legal action that sought judicial review of the tavistocks use of puberty blockersp pstrongem[see also ha hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculturebooks202109howtotalkabouttransrightsow to talk about trans rightsa]emstrongp pthe high court judgment last december found that it was highly unlikely that a child under the age of 13 would be able to consent to such treatment and doubtful that a 14 or 15yearold could fully understand its implications and further commented that doctors would probably want to seek authorisation from a court before prescribing to 16 and 17yearolds tavistock suspended new referrals for such drugs in minors on 17 september 2021 the court of appeal quashed the high court judgment and confirmed that the tavistock had acted lawfully at issue is the 1985 legal precedent known as gillick competence which states that a child under 16 can consent to medical treatment if they are sufficiently mature to understand the issues and reach a decision that capacity is assessed by doctors not courtsp pgender dysphoria commonly has its onset in childhood during adolescence it is associated with high levels of psychiatric morbidity anxiety depression selfharm and suicide the desire to help these distressed young people is entirely appropriatep ppuberty blockers are described by critics as experimental drugs they arent their use in other medical conditions is wellestablished but it is right to describe their application to gender dysphoria in adolescence in such terms too little is known at present about the way gender identity forms and evolves during this critical developmental stage puberty blockers arent prescribed until pubertal changes have become firmly established around 80 per cent of childhood gender dysphoria resolves once puberty begins for the 20 per cent whose dysphoria intensifies in adolescence there is too little research evidence to inform the risks and benefits of intervention hormonal manipulation in adolescence may have longterm health impacts in terms of stature brain development and susceptibility to future diseasep pto give truly informed consent adolescents must be made aware of the absence of data surrounding longterm mental and physical health outcomes if given this information though and if capable of weighing it there is no reason why young people cannot consent to treatments with uncertain outcomes the professionals involved in their care must provide balanced information and carefully evaluate each individuals capacity to consentp pkeira bell has vowed to continue her campaign the court of appeal has put responsibility for oversight back into the hands of healthcare professionals the nhs needs to show it is equal to the task of serving young people with gender dysphoria both ethically and wellp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomencounter202109womenareinabiggerfightthanthesuffragetteshelenjoyceonthetransdebatewomen are in a bigger fight than the suffragettes helen joyce on the trans debatea]emstrongp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomhealthscience202110shouldwegivepubertyblockerstochildrenwithgenderdysphoriashould we give puberty blockers to children with gender dysphoriaa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

pwhen counselling men requesting vasectomy ask contemplate difficult scenarios starting new relationship having lost partner children die changed mind result 100 men seven ultimately regret decisionp pthe data adults undergone medical procedures assist gender transition suggest incidence transition regret lower 1 cent small minority ultimately wish hadnt hormones undergone surgery effect permanent bodily change keira bell woman midtwenties previously transitioning man story national news 16 years old given puberty blockers drugs pause pubertal development care nhss gender identity development service gids children run tavistock portman trust went prescribed testosterone promote male characteristics including voice change facial hair aged 20 surgery remove breasts bell believes insufficiently challenged doctors gids early 2020 joined legal action sought judicial review tavistocks use puberty blockersp pstrongem[see ha hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomculturebooks202109howtotalkabouttransrightsow talk trans rightsa]emstrongp pthe high court judgment december found highly unlikely child age 13 able consent treatment doubtful 14 15yearold fully understand implications commented doctors probably want seek authorisation court prescribing 16 17yearolds tavistock suspended new referrals drugs minors 17 september 2021 court appeal quashed high court judgment confirmed tavistock acted lawfully issue 1985 legal precedent known gillick competence states child 16 consent medical treatment sufficiently mature understand issues reach decision capacity assessed doctors courtsp pgender dysphoria commonly onset childhood adolescence associated high levels psychiatric morbidity anxiety depression selfharm suicide desire help distressed young people entirely appropriatep ppuberty blockers described critics experimental drugs arent use medical conditions wellestablished right describe application gender dysphoria adolescence terms little known present way gender identity forms evolves critical developmental stage puberty blockers arent prescribed pubertal changes firmly established 80 cent childhood gender dysphoria resolves puberty begins 20 cent dysphoria intensifies adolescence little research evidence inform risks benefits intervention hormonal manipulation adolescence longterm health impacts terms stature brain development susceptibility future diseasep pto truly informed consent adolescents aware absence data surrounding longterm mental physical health outcomes given information capable weighing reason young people consent treatments uncertain outcomes professionals involved care provide balanced information carefully evaluate individuals capacity consentp pkeira bell vowed continue campaign court appeal responsibility oversight hands healthcare professionals nhs needs equal task serving young people gender dysphoria ethically wellp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomencounter202109womenareinabiggerfightthanthesuffragetteshelenjoyceonthetransdebatewomen bigger fight suffragettes helen joyce trans debatea]emstrongp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomhealthscience202110shouldwegivepubertyblockerstochildrenwithgenderdysphoriashould puberty blockers children gender dysphoriaa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

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Thinking about broken supply chains

pthat is the topic of a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20211011supplychaindisruptionsalmosttoomanyreasonstocountsrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg columna  here is one bitp blockquotepmost fundamentally some key nerve centers of the world economy have been hit by a mix of covid and bad luck especially in the latter part of this year transportation energy and highquality semiconductor chips all are experiencing big problems at the same time for reasons which are distinct yet broadly relatedpblockquote pandp blockquotepthis combination has fueled price inflation the demand is hitting the market and the supply cant catch up and its not just one problem that has an easy direct fix but rather a series of interlocking paths of economic chaos and delaypblockquote pdont expect all of your christmas shopping to run smoothlyp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thinkingaboutbrokensupplychainshtmlthinking about broken supply chainsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthat topic relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20211011supplychaindisruptionsalmosttoomanyreasonstocountsrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg columna bitp blockquotepmost fundamentally key nerve centers world economy hit mix covid bad luck especially year transportation energy highquality semiconductor chips experiencing big problems time reasons distinct broadly relatedpblockquote pandp blockquotepthis combination fueled price inflation demand hitting market supply cant catch problem easy direct fix series interlocking paths economic chaos delaypblockquote pdont expect christmas shopping run smoothlyp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thinkingaboutbrokensupplychainshtmlthinking broken supply chainsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Regulating Contagion

plast semester i developed a new class at the university of michigan called emregulating contagion pandemics and disease in us legal historyem syllabus a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110syllabus513pdfherea drawing partly on a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresscontagiona seminara i cotaught back in 2015 and partly on work as special counsel to governor whitmer on her covid19 response the class advanced three big ideasp pemfirst emcovid19 is not an anomaly contagion has shaped american history and law from the moment of first contact when smallpox and other novel diseases ravaged native american tribes and cleared the way for their dispossession the relative vulnerabilities of american and british troops to malaria and smallpox were strategically crucial in the revolutionary war yellow fever paved the way both for the louisiana purchase and aggressive exercises of maritime quarantine and the threat of cholera led to the creation of the countrys first modern public health agency in new york city plague variola minor typhoid flu both the spanish flu and the 1976 swine flu malaria aids and sars all left indelible marks in american law and all of the debates were having over covid19about the tension between individual liberty and collective responsibility the allocation of authority between state and federal governments and the harms that disease disproportionately visits on marginalized groupshave historical antecedentsp pemsecondem a study of contagious disease in the united states challenges the pervasive narrative that the nineteenthcentury state was weak and that americans have always beenand will always besuspicious of state authority confronted with extraordinary threats to life americans time and again moved aggressively to restrict travel quarantine vessels compel vaccinations isolate the sick tear down infected buildings and curtail social interactions we tend to overlook those measures both because historical memory is short and because public health law first took shape in states and municipalities which receive much less attention from legal scholars than the federal government but we are the heirs of an interventionist state not a recessive onep pemthird emcontagious disease offers an unusually good vantage point from which to study american legal development and in particular the evolution of public health law from an initial focus on coercive measures designed to prevent persontoperson spread the nineteenth century witnessed a shift toward sanitary interventions that aimed to create better conditions for health contrary to popular imagination the courts have generally upheld aggressive public health actions including those that have severe and sometimes troubling implications for personal liberty over time the federal government has gradually accrued more authority to control disease especially in connection with travel and with the approval of drugs and vaccines while leaving most daytoday responsibility with the states etcp pthe class was immense fun to teach and i thinkhope the students got a lot out of it somewhat unexpectedly i came around to the view that it was a valuable addition to the law school curriculum and would be worth teaching even if we were not in the midst of a global pandemicp pin case anyone else is hoping to teach a similar course the syllabus is a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110syllabus513pdfherea with many thanks to the historians lawyers and science journalistsincluding bill novak john witt howard markel elizabeth fenn polly price charles mann and david quammenwhose work helped the students and me to wrap our hands around the topic please drop me a line too if youd like class notes or slides or just to talk the class throughp pa hrefhttptwittercomnicholas_bagleynicholas_bagleyapthe post a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressregulatingcontagionregulating contagiona first appeared on a hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

plast semester developed new class university michigan called emregulating contagion pandemics disease legal historyem syllabus hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110syllabus513pdfherea drawing partly hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresscontagiona seminara cotaught 2015 partly work special counsel governor whitmer covid19 response class advanced big ideasp pemfirst emcovid19 anomaly contagion shaped american history law moment contact smallpox novel diseases ravaged native american tribes cleared way dispossession relative vulnerabilities american british troops malaria smallpox strategically crucial revolutionary war yellow fever paved way louisiana purchase aggressive exercises maritime quarantine threat cholera led creation countrys modern public health agency new york city plague variola minor typhoid flu spanish flu 1976 swine flu malaria aids sars left indelible marks american law debates having covid19about tension individual liberty collective responsibility allocation authority state federal governments harms disease disproportionately visits marginalized groupshave historical antecedentsp pemsecondem study contagious disease united states challenges pervasive narrative nineteenthcentury state weak americans beenand besuspicious state authority confronted extraordinary threats life americans time moved aggressively restrict travel quarantine vessels compel vaccinations isolate sick tear infected buildings curtail social interactions tend overlook measures historical memory short public health law took shape states municipalities receive attention legal scholars federal government heirs interventionist state recessive onep pemthird emcontagious disease offers unusually good vantage point study american legal development particular evolution public health law initial focus coercive measures designed prevent persontoperson spread nineteenth century witnessed shift sanitary interventions aimed create better conditions health contrary popular imagination courts generally upheld aggressive public health actions including severe troubling implications personal liberty time federal government gradually accrued authority control disease especially connection travel approval drugs vaccines leaving daytoday responsibility states etcp pthe class immense fun teach thinkhope students got lot somewhat unexpectedly came view valuable addition law school curriculum worth teaching midst global pandemicp pin case hoping teach similar course syllabus hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpresswpcontentuploads202110syllabus513pdfherea thanks historians lawyers science journalistsincluding bill novak john witt howard markel elizabeth fenn polly price charles mann david quammenwhose work helped students wrap hands topic drop line youd like class notes slides talk class throughp pa hrefhttptwittercomnicholas_bagleynicholas_bagleyapthe post hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressregulatingcontagionregulating contagiona appeared hrefhttpstheincidentaleconomistcomwordpressthe incidental economista

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“I didn’t set out to be any kind of icon”: Brenda Hale on becoming an anti-Brexit hero

pit started with a spider says baroness hale  of richmond the former president of the supreme court of her love of brooches  a different spider but they were always creatures and i have never really given much thought to what creature happened to be adorning my lapelp plady hale brenda to her friends 76 might not have thought hard about what brooch she wore  when she delivered the unanimous supreme court judgment on 24 september 2019 that boris johnsons prorogation of parliament had been unlawful but whether she had planned it or not that sparkly spider became emblematic of the antibrexit cause within hours conspiracy theories were spreading about the coded criticism of johnsons web of lies that the arachnid might convey the brooch soon had its own twitter account and tshirts bearing the spider symbol were sold with some of the proceeds going to the homeless charity shelter hale denies any secret messaging but has finally lent into the image her autobiography was published earlier this month under the title emspider womanemp pon the day we spoke it was a butterfly or possibly a moth brightening hales shoulder from her bookcasestacked home in richmond yorkshire she told me over zoom how her husband started buying her brooches when she had to wear dark suits for her work in the family division of the high court it was just sheer decoration lifting the spirits being a little bit different actually quite a lot being a little bit different she  said conspiratoriallyp pthat motif the quirky and unexpected juxtaposed with the austere and traditional seems strangely fitting in a way hale is the quintessential establishment figure a cambridgeeducated lawyer and academic who sits in the house of lords and handed down rulings from the highest court in the land probrexit critics of the prorogation verdict certainly painted her that way as an outoftouch elitist defying the prime ministers attempt to deliver the democratic will of the people though they also referred to her dismissively as an exbarmaid there was no doubting her sense of authority when she scolded me for taking notes in our interview reminding me im recording so should instead concentrate on what shes saying her parents were both teachers and it showsp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomencounter202110wehavetoanswerthequestionsbrexitraisedmichelbarnierontheeuandwhyhewantstoleadfrancewe have to answer the questions brexit raised michel barnier on the eu and why he wants to lead francea]emstrongp pbut theres a more rebellious side of hale that comes through in her book and our conversation a yorkshire grammar school girl breaking down barriers starting at cambridge just 15 years after the university began awarding degrees to women then as a barrister when i went into the law under 5 per cent of practising lawyers were women then as the first female law lord the first female supreme court justice and the first female president of the supreme courtp pin the valedictory ceremony to mark her retirement from the supreme court hale was described as a feminist frank and fearless she told me her passion for championing womens equality both within her profession and through applying the law has run the whole way through my career im not sure i would call it fierce but other people might fervent perhaps she can reel off the legal advances seen in her lifetime from domestic violence legislation to equal pay to the availability of contraception but is impatient at the slow rate of change elsewhere particularly with regard to judicial diversityp pthe presence of a woman or more than one woman around the table at lunch or wherever people are having their sandwiches enables a different perspective a different experience to be brought to the experiences which come before the court she said diversity is vital not only because the law should embody basic values of justice fairness and equality she argued but because more diverse groups make better decisions the continued lack of women and people of colour in senior legal ranks also undermines in her view the democratic legitimacy of the justice system it ought to be perceived by the public that it is there for them its there to serve their interests and not a small elite group laying down the law for the rest of us people should see the courts as their courts the peoples courtsp pelite for hale is a complex word conveying the best and the worst of the justice system its focus on intellectual excellence and its selfperpetuating resistance to inclusivity as such while there are some legal traditions she endorses obviously doing things properly and fairly and justly thats pretty important she breaks with the lawyer consensus by revealing shed happily do away with others id dance a jig of delight if wigs were entirely dispensed with she said laughing i dont think it really does much of a service to the law to have its practitioners dressing up in 18thcentury wigs quite apart from the fact that it makes them all look like old menp pthis is a playful side to hale that few who watched her solemnly deliver the prorogation decision would expect unexpected too is her willingness to admit to impostor syndrome her book opens with a list of moments when she felt like she didnt belong from her first day at a new school to her work as the youngest person and first woman appointed to the law commission wondering can i copep pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomencounter202109womenareinabiggerfightthanthesuffragetteshelenjoyceonthetransdebatewomen are in a bigger fight than the suffragettes helen joyce on the trans debatea]emstrongp pthat jars with the celebrity status she now enjoys gushing comparisons have been made to the us supreme court justice and womens rights pioneer ruth bader ginsburg but while hale is proud to identify as a feminist she also described herself as pragmatic and resisted my suggestion that there is something idealistic about the law and though she has collaborated on a rhyming childrens book about her journey to judicial stardom when asked about being a role model for young girls her answer was insistent  i didnt set out to be any kind of iconp pdespite everything shes achieved she still gives the impression of being slightly surprised at how her life has unfolded certainly she feels unsettled to have inadvertently become a hero of the remain cause thanks to a ruling that was as far as she and her fellow justices were concerned purely about upholding a legal principle not making a political statement its very uncomfortable she saidp pi asked how she feels about attacks on the judicial system from politicians and pundits with rhetoric about activist judges and ministers bidding to curtail the courts ability to hold government bodies to account through the judicial review and courts bill suddenly any sense of playfulness or uncertainty was gone the schoolmistress tone came back and i got told off again im not going to make any comment or criticism of any politician including the current government so please do not take anything i say as amounting to that she said sternlyp pbut for those who read headlines accusing judges of being enemies of the people and declaring war on democracy she had this message when judges assess the lawfulness of what a public authority has done they are usually assessing it in the light of what parliament has decided what parliament has legislated for so we are the servants of the legislation and thus supporting democracyp pthat sums up the contradictions of lady hale an unlikely peoples champion who intentionally or not schooled the prime minister on the workings of democracy she has spent her career simultaneously defending and rebelling against the established order and her explanation of an obscure point of law led her to be thrust into the limelight whatever role you try to cast her in theres always a sparkly butterfly reminding you it doesnt quite fit or possibly a mothp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomencounter202110ididntsetouttobeanykindoficonbrendahaleonbecominganantibrexitheroi didnt set out to be any kind of icon brenda hale on becoming an antibrexit heroa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

pit started spider says baroness hale richmond president supreme court love brooches different spider creatures given thought creature happened adorning lapelp plady hale brenda friends 76 thought hard brooch wore delivered unanimous supreme court judgment 24 september 2019 boris johnsons prorogation parliament unlawful planned sparkly spider emblematic antibrexit cause hours conspiracy theories spreading coded criticism johnsons web lies arachnid convey brooch soon twitter account tshirts bearing spider symbol sold proceeds going homeless charity shelter hale denies secret messaging finally lent image autobiography published earlier month title emspider womanemp pon day spoke butterfly possibly moth brightening hales shoulder bookcasestacked home richmond yorkshire told zoom husband started buying brooches wear dark suits work family division high court sheer decoration lifting spirits little bit different actually lot little bit different said conspiratoriallyp pthat motif quirky unexpected juxtaposed austere traditional strangely fitting way hale quintessential establishment figure cambridgeeducated lawyer academic sits house lords handed rulings highest court land probrexit critics prorogation verdict certainly painted way outoftouch elitist defying prime ministers attempt deliver democratic people referred dismissively exbarmaid doubting sense authority scolded taking notes interview reminding im recording instead concentrate shes saying parents teachers showsp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomencounter202110wehavetoanswerthequestionsbrexitraisedmichelbarnierontheeuandwhyhewantstoleadfrancewe answer questions brexit raised michel barnier eu wants lead francea]emstrongp pbut theres rebellious hale comes book conversation yorkshire grammar school girl breaking barriers starting cambridge 15 years university began awarding degrees women barrister went law 5 cent practising lawyers women female law lord female supreme court justice female president supreme courtp pin valedictory ceremony mark retirement supreme court hale described feminist frank fearless told passion championing womens equality profession applying law run way career im sure fierce people fervent reel legal advances seen lifetime domestic violence legislation equal pay availability contraception impatient slow rate change particularly regard judicial diversityp pthe presence woman woman table lunch people having sandwiches enables different perspective different experience brought experiences come court said diversity vital law embody basic values justice fairness equality argued diverse groups better decisions continued lack women people colour senior legal ranks undermines view democratic legitimacy justice system ought perceived public serve interests small elite group laying law rest people courts courts peoples courtsp pelite hale complex word conveying best worst justice system focus intellectual excellence selfperpetuating resistance inclusivity legal traditions endorses obviously things properly fairly justly thats pretty important breaks lawyer consensus revealing shed happily away id dance jig delight wigs entirely dispensed said laughing dont think service law practitioners dressing 18thcentury wigs apart fact makes look like old menp pthis playful hale watched solemnly deliver prorogation decision expect unexpected willingness admit impostor syndrome book opens list moments felt like didnt belong day new school work youngest person woman appointed law commission wondering copep pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomencounter202109womenareinabiggerfightthanthesuffragetteshelenjoyceonthetransdebatewomen bigger fight suffragettes helen joyce trans debatea]emstrongp pthat jars celebrity status enjoys gushing comparisons supreme court justice womens rights pioneer ruth bader ginsburg hale proud identify feminist described pragmatic resisted suggestion idealistic law collaborated rhyming childrens book journey judicial stardom asked role model young girls answer insistent didnt set kind iconp pdespite shes achieved gives impression slightly surprised life unfolded certainly feels unsettled inadvertently hero remain cause thanks ruling far fellow justices concerned purely upholding legal principle making political statement uncomfortable saidp pi asked feels attacks judicial system politicians pundits rhetoric activist judges ministers bidding curtail courts ability hold government bodies account judicial review courts bill suddenly sense playfulness uncertainty gone schoolmistress tone came got told im going comment criticism politician including current government amounting said sternlyp pbut read headlines accusing judges enemies people declaring war democracy message judges assess lawfulness public authority usually assessing light parliament decided parliament legislated servants legislation supporting democracyp pthat sums contradictions lady hale unlikely peoples champion intentionally schooled prime minister workings democracy spent career simultaneously defending rebelling established order explanation obscure point law led thrust limelight role try cast theres sparkly butterfly reminding doesnt fit possibly mothp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomencounter202110ididntsetouttobeanykindoficonbrendahaleonbecominganantibrexitheroi didnt set kind icon brenda hale antibrexit heroa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

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We should be optimistic about the malaria vaccine – but not necessarily for the reason you think

pone of the best possible things we could do in the world would be solving malaria the disease which isnt caused by a virus or a bacterium but by a family of microscopic parasites known as a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwcdcgovmalariaaboutfaqshtml target_blankplasmodiaa borne by a particular genus of a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwcdcgovmalariaaboutbiologytabs15 target_blankmosquitoa has a uniquely devastating toll in some of the worlds poorest countries and seems to have been with us a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwncbinlmnihgovbooksnbk215638 target_blanksince ancient timesap pthats why the news last week 7 october that the world health organisation who has a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewshealth58810551 target_blankgiven its approvala to a malaria vaccine was so exciting or at least sort ofp pthe vaccines approval is both news and not news at the same time as ill explain first though lets just be clear how grim the challenge of malaria is its not that a very high emproportionem of people who catch the disease die its just that an awful lot of people catch it 229 million in 2019 the last year for which a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwwhointnewsroomfactsheetsdetailmalaria target_blankwe have dataa so even with a lowseeming fatality rate around 02 per cent it translates to a truly tragic number of deaths 409000 that same year of which twothirds 274000 were of children under fivep peven leaving aside deaths the disease and its flulike symptoms have dreadful effects an a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwwhointpublicationsiitem9789240015791 target_blankestimateda 822000 babies in 2019 were born with low birthweight due to their mothers being infected with malaria while pregnant and already fragile economies in subsaharan africa are further a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwmalariafreefutureorgmalariaeconomic_impact target_blankheld backa by its effects on peoples ability to work to the tune of something like 12bn per yearp pthere has been significant progress against this devastating disease in recent years the death rate from malaria is substantially lower than it was at the turn of the century if the mortality rate had stayed the same as it was in 2000 the who calculates that there would have been an additional 76 million deaths in the subsequent 19 yearsp pone reason for the declining death rate is that were now much better at malaria prevention insecticidesoaked bed nets which protect people from the mosquito bites have become far more widely used over time in 2000 essentially zero homes in subsaharan africa had such a bed net now something like 70 per cent have at least one much of this is due to the heroic work of groups like the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwagainstmalariacom target_blankagainst malaria foundationa which is among the most a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwgivewellorgcharitiestopcharities target_blankeffective charitiesa in the world in terms of lives saved per pound spentp pbut even with more bed nets and better malariapreventing drugs we still have the hellish figures i quoted above thats where the vaccine comes inp pthere are a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticless4154102001963 target_blanka whole hosta of candidate vaccines for malaria which are at various stages of testing some focus on the parasites in the bloodstream some on stopping transmission not from person to person but from person to mosquito and thus from mosquito to person again and some are aimed at stopping infection in the first place the vaccine that has just been approved known as a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwncbinlmnihgovpmcarticlespmc7227679 target_blankrtssa or by its brand name mosquirix is one of the latter kind it blocks the parasite from invading the liver where it changes and multiplies before entering the bloodp pthe sense in which this isnt really news is that the vaccine has been around since the 1980s and weve had the data from a a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsjournalsplosorgplosmedicinearticleid101371journalpmed1001685 target_blankphase iii clinical triala where its efficacy was tested in large numbers of people since 2015 the who has approved it now because of a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwwhointnewsitem06102021whorecommendsgroundbreakingmalariavaccineforchildrenatrisk target_blankpilot trialsa in ghana kenya and malawi which demonstrated that giving four doses to children was feasible and costeffectivep pthe phase iii trial showed that the vaccine reduced malaria infection by 46 per cent in children and 27 per cent in infants this might seem a bit limp especially when were used to hearing about prevention rates from mrna covid vaccines in the 90 per cent range and also compared with other childhood vaccines like the mmr which is a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwcdcgovvaccinesvpdmmrpublicindexhtml target_blank97 per cent effectivea against measles but a a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsjournalsplosorgplosmedicinearticleid101371journalpmed1003377 target_blankmodelling study from last yeara still estimated that given some assumptions about the rollout of the jabs the rtss vaccine could prevent up to 43 million malaria cases in infants and 22000 deaths each yearp pthe whos own target is to have a vaccine with over 75 per cent efficacy against malaria by 2030 and clearly rtss falls far short dont despair though while were rolling out rtss in subsaharan africa other vaccines are on the way this april oxford university a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021apr23oxfordmalariavaccineproveshighlyeffectiveinburkinafasotrial target_blankannounceda that its malaria vaccine called r21 showed a far more promising 77 per cent efficacy in children in a a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwthelancetcomjournalslancetarticlepiis0140673621009430fulltext target_blankphase ii triala a smaller more preliminary studyp pso despite the fanfare and although it emdoesem represent genuine and exciting progress against malaria the approved rtss vaccine is likely only a stopgap in our ultimate goal of a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwncbinlmnihgovpmcarticlespmc7966294 target_blankeradicating the disease altogethera its now our responsibility to make sure that other more effective vaccines get over the regulatory hurdles as quickly as possible and maybe even get a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcoukglobalhealthscienceanddiseasecallsfasttrackmalariavaccineapprovalsavehundredsthousands target_blankemergency approvala like the covid vaccines the pandemic has shown us that its possible to cut down the usual frustratingly long process of drug approval if the situation is really urgent if a quarter of a million dead children every year isnt an emergency then what exactly isp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticshealth202110howbadisthewinterfluandwillitcauseawinterlockdownhow bad is the winter flu and will it cause a winter lockdowna]emstrongp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomhealthscience202110weshouldbeoptimisticaboutthemalariavaccinebutnotnecessarilyforthereasonyouthinkwe should be optimistic about the malaria vaccine but not necessarily for the reason you thinka appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

pone best possible things world solving malaria disease isnt caused virus bacterium family microscopic parasites known relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwcdcgovmalariaaboutfaqshtml target_blankplasmodiaa borne particular genus relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwcdcgovmalariaaboutbiologytabs15 target_blankmosquitoa uniquely devastating toll worlds poorest countries relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwncbinlmnihgovbooksnbk215638 target_blanksince ancient timesap pthats news week 7 october world health organisation relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewshealth58810551 target_blankgiven approvala malaria vaccine exciting sort ofp pthe vaccines approval news news time ill explain lets clear grim challenge malaria high emproportionem people catch disease die awful lot people catch 229 million 2019 year relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwwhointnewsroomfactsheetsdetailmalaria target_blankwe dataa lowseeming fatality rate 02 cent translates truly tragic number deaths 409000 year twothirds 274000 children fivep peven leaving aside deaths disease flulike symptoms dreadful effects relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwwhointpublicationsiitem9789240015791 target_blankestimateda 822000 babies 2019 born low birthweight mothers infected malaria pregnant fragile economies subsaharan africa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwmalariafreefutureorgmalariaeconomic_impact target_blankheld backa effects peoples ability work tune like 12bn yearp pthere significant progress devastating disease recent years death rate malaria substantially lower turn century mortality rate stayed 2000 calculates additional 76 million deaths subsequent 19 yearsp pone reason declining death rate better malaria prevention insecticidesoaked bed nets protect people mosquito bites far widely time 2000 essentially zero homes subsaharan africa bed net like 70 cent heroic work groups like relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwagainstmalariacom target_blankagainst malaria foundationa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwgivewellorgcharitiestopcharities target_blankeffective charitiesa world terms lives saved pound spentp pbut bed nets better malariapreventing drugs hellish figures quoted thats vaccine comes inp pthere relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticless4154102001963 target_blanka hosta candidate vaccines malaria stages testing focus parasites bloodstream stopping transmission person person person mosquito mosquito person aimed stopping infection place vaccine approved known relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwncbinlmnihgovpmcarticlespmc7227679 target_blankrtssa brand mosquirix kind blocks parasite invading liver changes multiplies entering bloodp pthe sense isnt news vaccine 1980s weve data relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsjournalsplosorgplosmedicinearticleid101371journalpmed1001685 target_blankphase iii clinical triala efficacy tested large numbers people 2015 approved relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwwhointnewsitem06102021whorecommendsgroundbreakingmalariavaccineforchildrenatrisk target_blankpilot trialsa ghana kenya malawi demonstrated giving doses children feasible costeffectivep pthe phase iii trial showed vaccine reduced malaria infection 46 cent children 27 cent infants bit limp especially hearing prevention rates mrna covid vaccines 90 cent range compared childhood vaccines like mmr relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwcdcgovvaccinesvpdmmrpublicindexhtml target_blank97 cent effectivea measles relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsjournalsplosorgplosmedicinearticleid101371journalpmed1003377 target_blankmodelling study yeara estimated given assumptions rollout jabs rtss vaccine prevent 43 million malaria cases infants 22000 deaths yearp pthe whos target vaccine 75 cent efficacy malaria 2030 clearly rtss falls far short dont despair rolling rtss subsaharan africa vaccines way april oxford university relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021apr23oxfordmalariavaccineproveshighlyeffectiveinburkinafasotrial target_blankannounceda malaria vaccine called r21 showed far promising 77 cent efficacy children relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwthelancetcomjournalslancetarticlepiis0140673621009430fulltext target_blankphase ii triala smaller preliminary studyp pso despite fanfare emdoesem represent genuine exciting progress malaria approved rtss vaccine likely stopgap ultimate goal relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwncbinlmnihgovpmcarticlespmc7966294 target_blankeradicating disease altogethera responsibility sure effective vaccines regulatory hurdles quickly possible maybe relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwtelegraphcoukglobalhealthscienceanddiseasecallsfasttrackmalariavaccineapprovalsavehundredsthousands target_blankemergency approvala like covid vaccines pandemic shown possible cut usual frustratingly long process drug approval situation urgent quarter million dead children year isnt emergency exactly isp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticshealth202110howbadisthewinterfluandwillitcauseawinterlockdownhow bad winter flu cause winter lockdowna]emstrongp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomhealthscience202110weshouldbeoptimisticaboutthemalariavaccinebutnotnecessarilyforthereasonyouthinkwe optimistic malaria vaccine necessarily reason thinka appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

616762261f753f3b74d7c04d

Lexington, Kentucky notes

phere they have nimhy rather than nimby not in my horses yard  and so the city is ringed by protected horse farms and the suburbs are further out  this makes the downtown core denser and more coherent than you might expect to the benefit of the visitor but perhaps not the residentp pi was struck by how much everyone complains about the trafficp pyou may recall that lexington was the setting for emqueens gambitemp poverall i would be long the city   downtown has a music and theater scene albeit on a modest scale  there is a university and a basketball team anthony davis rex chapman and john wall among many others and lots of health care  and lots of bourbonp pi had an excellent meal in a peruvian restaurant saw a plausible honduran restaurant and also a west indies chicken restaurant under construction  the local steak house was very good and they offer a 160 wagyu cut not my order howeverp pdowntown has more historical plaques than are needed and they cant even fit the event descriptions on a single side of the plaque  by the end of the doublesided exposition you are not sure what they are talking aboutp pas is common in the appalachian and nearappalachian regions the quality difference between prewwii and postwwii buildings is enormous even larger than usualp phow many people could off the top of their heads name the a relnoopener hrefhttpsworldpopulationreviewcomstatescitieskentucky target_blankemthirdema largest city in kentucky  overall louisville is larger and more charming but lexington arguably is less midwest and more kentuckyp pmaybe it was just coincidence but i sure saw and heard a lot of ambulances whizzing byp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110lexingtonkentuckynoteshtmllexington kentucky notesa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

phere nimhy nimby horses yard city ringed protected horse farms suburbs makes downtown core denser coherent expect benefit visitor residentp pi struck complains trafficp pyou recall lexington setting emqueens gambitemp poverall long city downtown music theater scene albeit modest scale university basketball team anthony davis rex chapman john wall lots health care lots bourbonp pi excellent meal peruvian restaurant saw plausible honduran restaurant west indies chicken restaurant construction local steak house good offer 160 wagyu cut order howeverp pdowntown historical plaques needed cant fit event descriptions single plaque end doublesided exposition sure talking aboutp pas common appalachian nearappalachian regions quality difference prewwii postwwii buildings enormous larger usualp phow people heads relnoopener hrefhttpsworldpopulationreviewcomstatescitieskentucky target_blankemthirdema largest city kentucky overall louisville larger charming lexington arguably midwest kentuckyp pmaybe coincidence sure saw heard lot ambulances whizzing byp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110lexingtonkentuckynoteshtmllexington kentucky notesa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

616762791f753f3b74d7c051

The men who failed Britain

pspani have a distinct memory of watching the first of the pandemic press conferences the first time chris whitty patrick vallance and boris johnson stood up behind those podiums in the woodlined room and told us what was going to happen it was march 3 2020 they unveiled the flatten the curve plan to slow rather than stop the viruss spread so that we would slowly build up population immunity while preventing the nhs being overwhelmedspanp pspanit seemed reassuring i know this because i messaged something like it seems like they might know what theyre doing  in a sciencenerdy chat group that im part of but my optimism was not echoed it seems like theyve just killed all our grannies responded someonespanp pspani recall this to make two points firstly i cant claim any sort of foresight i didnt see then though perhaps i should have done that the early response of the british government to covid was disastrous and wrongheaded instead i was falsely reassured by the confidence of the scientific advisers whitty and vallance spanp divdiv pspanbut secondly other people spanispandidspanispan see it the failings were predicted and not just by my friend a spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202004couldanyonehavepredictedcovid19 target_blankspanlarge numberspanaspan of smart numerate generalists outperformed public health experts repeatedly in predicting the course of the pandemic in those early monthsspanp pspanon monday night two house of commons select committees spana hrefhttpscommitteesparliamentukcommittee135scienceandtechnologycommitteepublicationsspanreleased the findingsspanaspan of their report into englands covid response the headlines yesterday were stark the spana hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewshealth58876089ampspanworst public health failure everspanaspan spana hrefhttpswwwbmjcomcontent375bmjn2487spanbig mistakesspanaspan spana hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021oct12damningcommonscovidreportshouldbeseenonlyasastartspandamningspanaspan spanp pspanthe individual mistakes failure to protect care homes failure to move quickly enough on lockdowns failure to build testing infrastructure and more are certainly worthy of criticism but having read the report i want to talk about what strikes me as the overarching theme being too bloody clever by halfspanp pspanlets return to early march 2020 when i was falsely reassured by the whittyvallancejohnson press conference the flatten the curve strategy that the three men introduced involved slowly introducing public health measures one by one the idea was to carefully control the r value  the number of people that each infected person would on average give the disease to the idea was to keep it at just above one so that the disease would slowly spread through the population rather than either burning through it or dwindling downspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109areweheadingforanotherwinterlockdownrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202109areweheadingforanotherwinterlockdownrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202109gettyimages1289026759scalede1631553301293copy300x152jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109areweheadingforanotherwinterlockdownrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109areweheadingforanotherwinterlockdownrefinnarh5are we heading for another winter lockdownh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109areweheadingforanotherwinterlockdownrefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv pspanin paragraph 87 of the report the committee writes it is striking looking back that it was accepted that the level of covid19 infection in the uk could be controlled by turning on particular nonpharmaceutical interventions at particular times spanp pspanstriking is certainly one word for it this was a novel disease we knew almost nothing about its behaviour on march 6 2020 i went to a gig at alexandra palace looking back now it should not have been allowed to go ahead but because the consensus at the time was that the disease was spread by fomites by touching surfaces the only advice was to keep washing our hands in fact it is spread largely through the air spanp pspanso we had a completely wrong idea how the virus behaved but we nevertheless had a confidentspana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgovukgovernmentpublicationscoronavirusactionplancoronavirusactionplanaguidetowhatyoucanexpectacrosstheuk target_blankspan planspanaspan to control it very precisely by spanispannow spanispanbanning large gatherings spanispanthen spanispanclosing schools spanispanthenspanispan encouraging working from homespanispanspanispan we were trying to thread a needle blindfoldedspanp pspanthis sort of overconfidence in highly uncertain science crops up over and over again as well as flattening the curve the phased introduction of distancing measures had another purpose it was not believed that the public would accept longterm restrictions on their freedom there is a risk spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvb1bjderkyyt484s target_blankspanwhitty told the publicspanaspan in one of the early press conferences that if we go too early people will understandably get fatigued and it will be difficult to sustain this over time spanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105haveweseentheendofcovidrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202105haveweseentheendofcovidrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202105gettyimages1214931668300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105haveweseentheendofcovidrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105haveweseentheendofcovidrefinnarh5have we seen the end of covidh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105haveweseentheendofcovidrefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv pspanthis was also the official sage position sage agreed that a balance needs to be struck between interventions that theoretically have significant impacts and interventions which the public can feasibly and safely adopt in sufficient numbers over long periodsspanp pspanits not clear what this claim was based on other behavioural scientists questioned it with 200 of them signing an spana relnoopener hrefhttpssitesgooglecomviewcovidopenletterhome target_blankspanopen letter spanaspanto the government asking for the evidence but what evidence were they hoping to receive what comparable situation have we ever faced a few smallscale experiments about people obeying instructions under laboratory conditions probably cant tell us anything at all about what people would be willing to do in order to save hundreds of thousands of their fellow citizens very possibly including their own elderly relatives nonetheless we based highly counterintuitive policy decisions not imposing strict lockdowns even as the disease was spreading and killing despite seeing it being successful elsewhere on this apparently unevidenced beliefspanp pspanand lets be clear the coming hundreds of thousands of deaths werespan spanvery much known about the report rightly says that we overrelied on a plan for pandemic flu that was a huge mistake and it led us to strange things like moving to delay the virus rather than contain it and stopping community testing spanp pspanthat meant that we had no idea how widespread the virus was the uk was reduced to understanding the spread of covid19 by waiting for people to be so sick that they needed to be admitted to hospital says the report for a country with a worldclass expertise in data analysis to face the biggest health crisis in a hundred years with virtually no data to analyse was an almost unimaginable setbackspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012didanyonepredictcoronavirusrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202012didanyonepredictcoronavirusrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202004gettyimages1210398255e1587552513561300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012didanyonepredictcoronavirusrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012didanyonepredictcoronavirusrefinnarh5did anyone predict coronavirush5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012didanyonepredictcoronavirusrefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv pspanso yes sticking to the flu plan was a disaster but if you spana relnoopener hrefhttpsassetspublishingservicegovukgovernmentuploadssystemuploadsattachment_datafile213717dh_131040pdf target_blankspanread the flu planspanaspan it wouldnt have worked any better for flu the disaster that arrived was completely foreseen yet it confidently said we couldnt do anything about it so we shouldnt try it said that planners should aim to cope with a population mortality rate of up to 210000315000 additional deaths within 15 weeks of a virus arriving and should plan for a situation in which up to 25 of those with symptoms die spanp pspanthe lowest number there 210000 over 15 weeks works out at 2000 deaths a day at the peak of the second wave the sevenday rolling average of deaths briefly  for nine days in fact broke 1200 a day spanp pspanthat period was horrifying but the pandemic flu plan was to cope with at least 2000 deaths a day for 15 weeks that appears to have been based on the idea that we the british public were so profoundly wedded to spanispanlibertyspanispan that we would rather let the equivalent of the entire population of norwich die in three months than have the nightclubs closed spanp pspanmore than that in fact it was important to keep them open so that people didnt get depressed large public gatherings or crowded events where people may be in close proximity are an important indicator of normality and may help maintain public morale during a pandemic the possibility that people might not want to attend large public gatherings if it might kill them or their family or might value the lives of their elderly relatives highly enough to stay home for a few weeks rather than watch them die in their thousands was not consideredspanp pspanover and over again the british response was one of unwarranted confidence in highly uncertain outcomes we were of course dealing with a largely unprecedented situation but that meant that the evidence was necessarily weak spanp pspanso statements such as there is very limited evidence that restrictions on mass gatherings will have any significant effect on influenza virus transmission from the pandemic flu plan were on the one hand true but also basically meaningless theres very limited evidence either way spanp pspanbut the common sense attitude would be that being in a large group of people probably helps the virus to spread and given that the alternative which the plan explicitly endorses is at least 210000 people dying in 15 weeks it seems incredible that the approach was well theres no evidence that it works so we might as well not tryspanp pspanthere are other areas where this overconfident cleverclever approach backfired for instance matt hancock told the committee that in the early months they were advised that testing people asymptomatically might lead to false negatives so you shouldnt do it of course it would also lead to lots of true positives but the fear of a hypothetical secondorder effect like spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwindependentcouknewshealthcoronavirusnewsfacemasksincreaseriskinfectiondoctorjennyharriesa9396811html target_blankspanjenny harriess claim last marchspanaspan that wearing masks could increase the risk of infection because it would make people more confident overshadowed the very obvious and real risk of disease its like the plan was based around not wanting to be obvious but always being clever and counterintuitivespanp pspanand the reliance on the pandemic flu flatten the curve plan meant that there was no modelling of the impacts of a lockdown dominic cummings told the committee you are going to have to lock down but there is no lockdown plan it doesnt exist sage havent modelled itspanp pspanoften simply plotting an exponential curve on a graph might have done better than the more complex forecasts the government used vallance spana relnoopener hrefhttpsourworldindataorgcoviddeaths target_blankspantold a press conferencespanaspan that we were four weeks behind italy when simply spana relnoopener hrefhttpsourworldindataorgexplorerscoronavirusdataexplorerzoomtoselectiontruetime2020030120200317facetnonepickersortdescpickermetrictotal_caseshidecontrolstruemetricconfirmeddeathsintervalcumulativerelativetopopulationfalsealignoutbreaksfalsecountrygbrita target_blankspanlooking at the number of deathsspanaspan showed that we were 14 days behind and when other countries locked down with some success we didnt learn from their example because we had a plan and we were confident in itspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107britainsabsurdquarantinefailuresrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202107britainsabsurdquarantinefailuresrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202107gettyimages12337136541e1627469501604300x237jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107britainsabsurdquarantinefailuresrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107britainsabsurdquarantinefailuresrefinnarh5britains absurd quarantine failuresh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107britainsabsurdquarantinefailuresrefinnarspanbyspan stuart ritchieapdivadiv pspanand of course spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcomthepostmaybedonaldtrumpstravelbanwasntstupid target_blankspanborder closuresspanaspan naively youd think that stopping people coming into the country would reduce the likelihood of the disease coming here but overconfident modelling told scientific advisers that it wouldnt so they trusted that rather than thinking ok but if the model is wrong then weve completely messed upspanp pspanthis isnt to place all of the blame on whitty vallance and sage or to exonerate the politicians there was plenty of cowardice and dithering on the part of the government not least as the report shows when they ignored scientific advice to impose a short circuit breaker lockdown in autumn 2020 presumably because they feared being unpopular spanp pspanbut the valuable lesson i think is not we should have done x or we should have done y specifically but that we should be less confident in our ability to predict highly complex situations and more than that we should look at the possible results of being wrong in our attempts to predict those highly complex outcomes if youre 60 sure that lockdowns wont work then that implies theres a 40 chance they will and spanispanthatspanispan implies that you think theres a 40 chance of saving hundreds of thousands of lives instead it seems like the whole way through the thinking was it probably wont work so lets not tryspanp pspani didnt foresee any of this i should have it was all there in the pandemic flu plan others smarter and more conscientious than me spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202004couldanyonehavepredictedcovid19 target_blankspandidspanaspan or at least foresaw that disaster was a realistic probability but the takeaway should be not in the next pandemic we need to protect care homes although we should but in the next pandemic we should stop trying to be so damn cleverspanp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainappcommentsview 7 commentsa

pspani distinct memory watching pandemic press conferences time chris whitty patrick vallance boris johnson stood podiums woodlined room told going happen march 3 2020 unveiled flatten curve plan slow stop viruss spread slowly build population immunity preventing nhs overwhelmedspanp pspanit reassuring know messaged like like know theyre sciencenerdy chat group im optimism echoed like theyve killed grannies responded someonespanp pspani recall points firstly cant claim sort foresight didnt early response british government covid disastrous wrongheaded instead falsely reassured confidence scientific advisers whitty vallancespanp divdiv pspanbut secondly people spanispandidspanispan failings predicted friend spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202004couldanyonehavepredictedcovid19 target_blankspanlarge numberspanaspan smart numerate generalists outperformed public health experts repeatedly predicting course pandemic early monthsspanp pspanon monday night house commons select committees spana hrefhttpscommitteesparliamentukcommittee135scienceandtechnologycommitteepublicationsspanreleased findingsspanaspan report englands covid response headlines yesterday stark spana hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewshealth58876089ampspanworst public health failure everspanaspan spana hrefhttpswwwbmjcomcontent375bmjn2487spanbig mistakesspanaspan spana hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021oct12damningcommonscovidreportshouldbeseenonlyasastartspandamningspanaspanspanp pspanthe individual mistakes failure protect care homes failure quickly lockdowns failure build testing infrastructure certainly worthy criticism having read report want talk strikes overarching theme bloody clever halfspanp pspanlets return early march 2020 falsely reassured whittyvallancejohnson press conference flatten curve strategy men introduced involved slowly introducing public health measures idea carefully control r value number people infected person average disease idea disease slowly spread population burning dwindling downspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109areweheadingforanotherwinterlockdownrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202109areweheadingforanotherwinterlockdownrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202109gettyimages1289026759scalede1631553301293copy300x152jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202109areweheadingforanotherwinterlockdownrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109areweheadingforanotherwinterlockdownrefinnarh5are heading winter lockdownh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202109areweheadingforanotherwinterlockdownrefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv pspanin paragraph 87 report committee writes striking looking accepted level covid19 infection uk controlled turning particular nonpharmaceutical interventions particular timesspanp pspanstriking certainly word novel disease knew behaviour march 6 2020 went gig alexandra palace looking allowed ahead consensus time disease spread fomites touching surfaces advice washing hands fact spread largely airspanp pspanso completely wrong idea virus behaved confidentspana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgovukgovernmentpublicationscoronavirusactionplancoronavirusactionplanaguidetowhatyoucanexpectacrosstheuk target_blankspan planspanaspan control precisely spanispannow spanispanbanning large gatherings spanispanthen spanispanclosing schools spanispanthenspanispan encouraging working homespanispanspanispan trying thread needle blindfoldedspanp pspanthis sort overconfidence highly uncertain science crops flattening curve phased introduction distancing measures purpose believed public accept longterm restrictions freedom risk spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvb1bjderkyyt484s target_blankspanwhitty told publicspanaspan early press conferences early people understandably fatigued difficult sustain timespanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105haveweseentheendofcovidrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202105haveweseentheendofcovidrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202105gettyimages1214931668300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202105haveweseentheendofcovidrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105haveweseentheendofcovidrefinnarh5have seen end covidh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202105haveweseentheendofcovidrefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv pspanthis official sage position sage agreed balance needs struck interventions theoretically significant impacts interventions public feasibly safely adopt sufficient numbers long periodsspanp pspanits clear claim based behavioural scientists questioned 200 signing spana relnoopener hrefhttpssitesgooglecomviewcovidopenletterhome target_blankspanopen letter spanaspanto government asking evidence evidence hoping receive comparable situation faced smallscale experiments people obeying instructions laboratory conditions probably cant tell people willing order save hundreds thousands fellow citizens possibly including elderly relatives nonetheless based highly counterintuitive policy decisions imposing strict lockdowns disease spreading killing despite seeing successful apparently unevidenced beliefspanp pspanand lets clear coming hundreds thousands deaths werespan spanvery known report rightly says overrelied plan pandemic flu huge mistake led strange things like moving delay virus contain stopping community testingspanp pspanthat meant idea widespread virus uk reduced understanding spread covid19 waiting people sick needed admitted hospital says report country worldclass expertise data analysis face biggest health crisis years virtually data analyse unimaginable setbackspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012didanyonepredictcoronavirusrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202012didanyonepredictcoronavirusrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202004gettyimages1210398255e1587552513561300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202012didanyonepredictcoronavirusrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012didanyonepredictcoronavirusrefinnarh5did predict coronavirush5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202012didanyonepredictcoronavirusrefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv pspanso yes sticking flu plan disaster spana relnoopener hrefhttpsassetspublishingservicegovukgovernmentuploadssystemuploadsattachment_datafile213717dh_131040pdf target_blankspanread flu planspanaspan wouldnt worked better flu disaster arrived completely foreseen confidently said couldnt shouldnt try said planners aim cope population mortality rate 210000315000 additional deaths 15 weeks virus arriving plan situation 25 symptoms diespanp pspanthe lowest number 210000 15 weeks works 2000 deaths day peak second wave sevenday rolling average deaths briefly days fact broke 1200 dayspanp pspanthat period horrifying pandemic flu plan cope 2000 deaths day 15 weeks appears based idea british public profoundly wedded spanispanlibertyspanispan let equivalent entire population norwich die months nightclubs closedspanp pspanmore fact important open people didnt depressed large public gatherings crowded events people close proximity important indicator normality help maintain public morale pandemic possibility people want attend large public gatherings kill family value lives elderly relatives highly stay home weeks watch die thousands consideredspanp pspanover british response unwarranted confidence highly uncertain outcomes course dealing largely unprecedented situation meant evidence necessarily weakspanp pspanso statements limited evidence restrictions mass gatherings significant effect influenza virus transmission pandemic flu plan hand true basically meaningless theres limited evidence wayspanp pspanbut common sense attitude large group people probably helps virus spread given alternative plan explicitly endorses 210000 people dying 15 weeks incredible approach theres evidence works tryspanp pspanthere areas overconfident cleverclever approach backfired instance matt hancock told committee early months advised testing people asymptomatically lead false negatives shouldnt course lead lots true positives fear hypothetical secondorder effect like spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwindependentcouknewshealthcoronavirusnewsfacemasksincreaseriskinfectiondoctorjennyharriesa9396811html target_blankspanjenny harriess claim marchspanaspan wearing masks increase risk infection people confident overshadowed obvious real risk disease like plan based wanting obvious clever counterintuitivespanp pspanand reliance pandemic flu flatten curve plan meant modelling impacts lockdown dominic cummings told committee going lock lockdown plan doesnt exist sage havent modelled itspanp pspanoften simply plotting exponential curve graph better complex forecasts government vallance spana relnoopener hrefhttpsourworldindataorgcoviddeaths target_blankspantold press conferencespanaspan weeks italy simply spana relnoopener hrefhttpsourworldindataorgexplorerscoronavirusdataexplorerzoomtoselectiontruetime2020030120200317facetnonepickersortdescpickermetrictotal_caseshidecontrolstruemetricconfirmeddeathsintervalcumulativerelativetopopulationfalsealignoutbreaksfalsecountrygbrita target_blankspanlooking number deathsspanaspan showed 14 days countries locked success didnt learn example plan confident itspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107britainsabsurdquarantinefailuresrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202107britainsabsurdquarantinefailuresrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202107gettyimages12337136541e1627469501604300x237jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202107britainsabsurdquarantinefailuresrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107britainsabsurdquarantinefailuresrefinnarh5britains absurd quarantine failuresh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202107britainsabsurdquarantinefailuresrefinnarspanbyspan stuart ritchieapdivadiv pspanand course spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcomthepostmaybedonaldtrumpstravelbanwasntstupid target_blankspanborder closuresspanaspan naively youd think stopping people coming country reduce likelihood disease coming overconfident modelling told scientific advisers wouldnt trusted thinking ok model wrong weve completely messed upspanp pspanthis isnt place blame whitty vallance sage exonerate politicians plenty cowardice dithering government report shows ignored scientific advice impose short circuit breaker lockdown autumn 2020 presumably feared unpopularspanp pspanbut valuable lesson think x y specifically confident ability predict highly complex situations look possible results wrong attempts predict highly complex outcomes youre 60 sure lockdowns wont work implies theres 40 chance spanispanthatspanispan implies think theres 40 chance saving hundreds thousands lives instead like way thinking probably wont work lets tryspanp pspani didnt foresee pandemic flu plan smarter conscientious spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202004couldanyonehavepredictedcovid19 target_blankspandidspanaspan foresaw disaster realistic probability takeaway pandemic need protect care homes pandemic stop trying damn cleverspanp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainappcommentsview 7 commentsa

6168b152f9a1e868f1079ecc

The future of remote work: Highlights from my conversation with Nicholas Bloom

pwhen the covid19 pandemic hit in march of 2020 the remote workforce skyrocketed almost overnight from only 7 percent of the working population to nearly 40 percent at the height of the pandemic today the pandemic is winding down but remote work is likely here to stay for many workersp pmy research at the american enterprise institute this year has explored the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgresearchproductsreportlookingbackonayearofremoteworktoseethewayforward target_blankimpactsa of remote work on the american workforce recently i had the opportunity to sit down and compare notes with a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsnbloompeoplestanfordedu target_blankdr nicholas blooma a professor at stanford university and an expert on remote work we a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastnicholasbloomonthefutureofremotework target_blankdiscusseda different work arrangements workeremployer bargaining over work from home and the future of remote work below are qampa highlights from our discussion that have been edited for length and clarity you can find the full transcript a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110bloomfulltranscriptformattedpdfx91208 target_blankherea and listen to the audio podcast on ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastnicholasbloomonthefutureofremotework target_blankhardly workingaemp pstrongorrell talk about your own kind of vocational pathway how did you wind up as a professor of labor economicsstrongp pbloom its a bit of a weird path i never honestly intended to be an academic after i did a masters in oxford in economics i got a job [with] the institute for fiscal studies a research think tank in london when i was there i realized that a lot of the people doing policy research are trying to use economics to make the world a better place so i thought i could get a phd and at that point the ifs had a great deal with ucl university college london you could do a phd while continuing to work so i basically had a day a week which i wasnt paid for and used that to work on a phd and so at the end i ended up as a phd and ended up in stanford in 2005 almost by accidentp pstrongyour 2015 paper on remote work in china has really been key to a lot of peoples thinking over the last year and a half can you talk a little bit about that paperstrongp pso we hatched a plan to set up whats called a randomized control trial we took two divisions in an [online travel company] headquarters in shanghai and asked them who wants to work from home four days a week the evens got work from home and the odds stayed in the office we had 125 in the treatment group [working from home] and 125 people that were in the control group [coming to the office] these people are making telephone calls taking bookings we tracked their performance minute by minute for the next 21 months and collected a lot of other [data] on who quit who got promoted who did well who made bonuses etcp pcontrary to expectation astoundingly the workingfromhome employees were 13 percent more productive than the folks in the office [which amounts to] almost a day a week extra and when we drilled down into it about 4 percent [out of the 13 percent] was because they were more productive per minute and when we interviewed them they said look its quieter at home we can just work betterp pthe rest of the increase in productivity 9 percent was due to the fact that folks at home just worked more their quit rates were almost half because they were a lot happier but see the one big sting in the tail is their promotion rates were almost half of the ones at the office so you know its a bit of a mixed blessing for the firm on average it was net good because they were more productive and they saved on office space if you are working from home in teams when most other people around you are not theres definitely a hit to a promotionp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110orrell1014remoteworkjpgx91208 classwpimage1008612775figcaptionvia twenty20figcaptionfigure pstrongwhat new remote work research is underway on the experience of the last 18 monthsstrongp pcertainly you can expect a lot of papers in terms of the performance impact theres a couple of ways to look at it one at just a very very macro level gdp right now is now above its prepandemic level but were still 5 million short of unemployment so we have 5 million fewer people working now than they were two years ago but we actually produce more so if you look at productivity were actually significantly up were about 5 percent up which suggests that given half of americans are currently working from home it probably cant be that bad particularly because the pandemic has been negative for productivityp pweve been surveying 5000 americans a month since the pandemic began we calculate productivity is probably about 3 percent to 5 percent higher and certainly will be long run from working from home if we maintain a largely hybrid model three days in two days out thats likely to increase productivity by 3 percent to 5 percent a large share of that increased productivity comes from saved commuting time saving on commute is an enormous benefit not just to productivity but to us individually because we just get more free timep pstrongwhat do you think the employers perspective is on this now do you think that the message has gotten through to the leadership that having flexible work arrangements is actually in their business intereststrongp pyes completely ive probably talked to 500 managers by now corporate america now understands that hybrid working which is something like three in the office two at home postpandemic improves productivity and is the correct business decision in terms of profit the reason this is such a big deal is that its really valuable to employees employees report its worth something like 7 percent to 8 percent increase in salary in order to get to work from home for 2 days a week if you try and force all your employees back 5 days a week we know from the survey data youre going to find 30 percent 40 percent of them pretty actively start looking for another jobp pstrongare there any other factors that you think play into this other than worker happiness and productivity are there other savings or gains that are made from flexible working arrangementsstrongp pits very clear that we are going to have some longrun residual fear of density in particular i think its 76 percent of people say they will be nervous postpandemic even vaccinated people of getting into crowded elevators packed subway trains i think i might put myself in that im not sure you know i would feel totally comfortable getting in a jammed elevator with 50 peoplep pstrongone of our scholars scott gottlieb has talked about changing work norms if you have a cold or the flu dont come into the officestrongp pi totally agree with scotts take on this and working from home helps this a lot because imagine youre in a hybrid mode youre working you know three days a week in the office two days a week at home you of course have the ability to work from home well set up and its normed and so if youre not feeling great you just take a home dayp pstrongso you put out a paper in may that was entitled dont let employees pick their work from home days id just like you to give a summary of that and why you think its important that employers set the ground rules for remote workstrongp pone is the problems of mixedmode with some working at home and some in person it turns out it doesnt work very well to have some people in the office and some at home so you imagine initially that those in the office will crowd into the conference room but theyre on one small screen on zoom theres whispering and you cant really see what goes on most companies have a rule now whereby if theres one person or more at home on zoom everyone in the office should also join independently on their zoom or teams whatever it is second issue if you look at the survey data weve been collecting you know the thousands of people every month you ask them which two days would you like to work from home brent which two days would you guessp pstrongim guessing friday and monday strongp pyep exactly everyone basically says friday and monday so the second problem with choice is if you want to use your office space efficiently or you want to hold your office space as it is but reduce density then you probably dont want to allow complete choice and then the final issue that is the hardest to explain but its potentially the most problematic in the long run you need to think of two things so one is who wants to work from home is not random in the survey data disabled people report on much higher preference than nondisabled you see amongst college educated employees with kids under the age of 12 women report a significantly higher preference than men we see that varies by race so black and asian workers report significantly higher preferences than white and latinx workers people living further from the office have a higher preference to work from home than those living nearby and theyre typically lower income the problem is it collides with the second fact which is if you are working from home in a team where other people are coming in more days than you youre likely to suffer in promotions folks randomized into working from home after 21 months had 50 percent lower rate of promotionp pmy advice has been to try and limit it in both directions so you want to make sure people are in the office two days a week lets say because it is important to come in but you also want to make sure people work from home for two days a week because this is the classic prisoners dilemmap pstrongcentral business districts have taken a huge hit and not just the people who own the buildings and rental space but all the businesses that go into supporting the commuters food and clothing and bars and restaurants have you looked at thatstrongp pyeah i mean with jose barrero and steve davis we did look i would say its definitely substantial we estimate new york san francisco such city centers may lose something like long run 5 percent to 10 percent of spending i have another paper with arjun ramani where weve actually pulled us postal service change of address dates and you can break it out for residential and businesses there has been about a 15 percent drop in a number of people and businesses and city centers over the pandemic from a commuter standpoint cities have emptied out and havent yet recoveredp divpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsfornicholasbloomoninnovationandworkfromhome5 questions for nicholas bloom on innovation and work from homea a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgworkforcetheremoteworktugofwarthe remote work tugofwara a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgworkforceremoteworkwillcountryroadsreallytakeyouhomeremote work will country roads really take you homeapdiv pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorguncategorizedthefutureofremoteworkhighlightsfrommyconversationwithnicholasbloomthe future of remote work highlights from my conversation with nicholas blooma appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pwhen covid19 pandemic hit march 2020 remote workforce skyrocketed overnight 7 percent working population nearly 40 percent height pandemic today pandemic winding remote work likely stay workersp pmy research american enterprise institute year explored relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgresearchproductsreportlookingbackonayearofremoteworktoseethewayforward target_blankimpactsa remote work american workforce recently opportunity sit compare notes relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsnbloompeoplestanfordedu target_blankdr nicholas blooma professor stanford university expert remote work relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastnicholasbloomonthefutureofremotework target_blankdiscusseda different work arrangements workeremployer bargaining work home future remote work qampa highlights discussion edited length clarity find transcript relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110bloomfulltranscriptformattedpdfx91208 target_blankherea listen audio podcast ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastnicholasbloomonthefutureofremotework target_blankhardly workingaemp pstrongorrell talk kind vocational pathway wind professor labor economicsstrongp pbloom bit weird path honestly intended academic masters oxford economics got job [with] institute fiscal studies research think tank london realized lot people policy research trying use economics world better place thought phd point ifs great deal ucl university college london phd continuing work basically day week wasnt paid work phd end ended phd ended stanford 2005 accidentp pstrongyour 2015 paper remote work china key lot peoples thinking year half talk little bit paperstrongp pso hatched plan set whats called randomized control trial took divisions [online travel company] headquarters shanghai asked wants work home days week evens got work home odds stayed office 125 treatment group [working home] 125 people control group [coming office] people making telephone calls taking bookings tracked performance minute minute 21 months collected lot [data] quit got promoted bonuses etcp pcontrary expectation astoundingly workingfromhome employees 13 percent productive folks office [which amounts to] day week extra drilled 4 percent [out 13 percent] productive minute interviewed said look quieter home work betterp pthe rest increase productivity 9 percent fact folks home worked quit rates half lot happier big sting tail promotion rates half ones office know bit mixed blessing firm average net good productive saved office space working home teams people theres definitely hit promotionp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110orrell1014remoteworkjpgx91208 classwpimage1008612775figcaptionvia twenty20figcaptionfigure pstrongwhat new remote work research underway experience 18 monthsstrongp pcertainly expect lot papers terms performance impact theres couple ways look macro level gdp right prepandemic level 5 million short unemployment 5 million fewer people working years ago actually produce look productivity actually significantly 5 percent suggests given half americans currently working home probably cant bad particularly pandemic negative productivityp pweve surveying 5000 americans month pandemic began calculate productivity probably 3 percent 5 percent higher certainly long run working home maintain largely hybrid model days days thats likely increase productivity 3 percent 5 percent large share increased productivity comes saved commuting time saving commute enormous benefit productivity individually free timep pstrongwhat think employers perspective think message gotten leadership having flexible work arrangements actually business intereststrongp pyes completely ive probably talked 500 managers corporate america understands hybrid working like office home postpandemic improves productivity correct business decision terms profit reason big deal valuable employees employees report worth like 7 percent 8 percent increase salary order work home 2 days week try force employees 5 days week know survey data youre going find 30 percent 40 percent pretty actively start looking jobp pstrongare factors think play worker happiness productivity savings gains flexible working arrangementsstrongp pits clear going longrun residual fear density particular think 76 percent people nervous postpandemic vaccinated people getting crowded elevators packed subway trains think im sure know feel totally comfortable getting jammed elevator 50 peoplep pstrongone scholars scott gottlieb talked changing work norms cold flu dont come officestrongp pi totally agree scotts working home helps lot imagine youre hybrid mode youre working know days week office days week home course ability work home set normed youre feeling great home dayp pstrongso paper entitled dont let employees pick work home days id like summary think important employers set ground rules remote workstrongp pone problems mixedmode working home person turns doesnt work people office home imagine initially office crowd conference room theyre small screen zoom theres whispering cant goes companies rule theres person home zoom office join independently zoom teams second issue look survey data weve collecting know thousands people month ask days like work home brent days guessp pstrongim guessing friday monday strongp pyep exactly basically says friday monday second problem choice want use office space efficiently want hold office space reduce density probably dont want allow complete choice final issue hardest explain potentially problematic long run need think things wants work home random survey data disabled people report higher preference nondisabled college educated employees kids age 12 women report significantly higher preference men varies race black asian workers report significantly higher preferences white latinx workers people living office higher preference work home living nearby theyre typically lower income problem collides second fact working home team people coming days youre likely suffer promotions folks randomized working home 21 months 50 percent lower rate promotionp pmy advice try limit directions want sure people office days week lets important come want sure people work home days week classic prisoners dilemmap pstrongcentral business districts taken huge hit people buildings rental space businesses supporting commuters food clothing bars restaurants looked thatstrongp pyeah mean jose barrero steve davis look definitely substantial estimate new york san francisco city centers lose like long run 5 percent 10 percent spending paper arjun ramani weve actually pulled postal service change address dates break residential businesses 15 percent drop number people businesses city centers pandemic commuter standpoint cities emptied havent recoveredp divpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsfornicholasbloomoninnovationandworkfromhome5 questions nicholas bloom innovation work homea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgworkforcetheremoteworktugofwarthe remote work tugofwara hrefhttpswwwaeiorgworkforceremoteworkwillcountryroadsreallytakeyouhomeremote work country roads homeapdiv pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorguncategorizedthefutureofremoteworkhighlightsfrommyconversationwithnicholasbloomthe future remote work highlights conversation nicholas blooma appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

6168b203f9a1e868f1079ed8

Women earned the majority of doctoral degrees in 2020 for the 12th straight year and outnumber men in grad school 148 to 100

pthe council of graduate schools cgs released its a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpscgsnetorggraduatefirsttimeenrollmentincreasesdespitesubstantialdeclineinternationalgraduatestudents target_blankannual report today on us graduate school enrollment and degrees for 2020a and this is an update of my annual post are the striking gender differences in graduate school enrollment and degrees p div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110grad1pngx91208img alt width667 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110grad1pngx91208 classwpimage1008612719 height503afigurediv div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110grad2pngx91208img alt width667 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110grad2pngx91208 classwpimage1008612720 height489afigurediv figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110grad31024x775pngx91208 classwpimage1008612721figure pstrong1 for the 12th year in a row women earned a majority of doctoral degrees awarded at us universities in 2020strong of the 76111 doctoral degrees awarded in 2020 table b25 women earned 40037 of those degrees and 531 of the total compared to 35368 degrees awarded to men who earned 469 of the total see top chart above strongfor every 100 men earning a doctoral degree last year there were more than 113 female graduatesstrong women have now earned a majority of doctoral degrees in each academic year since 20082009 and the 531 female share last year is a new recordhigh previously women started earning a majority of associates degrees for the first time in 1978 a majority of masters degrees in 1981 and a majority of bachelors degrees in 1982 according to the department of education therefore 2009 marked the year when men officially became the second sex in higher education by earning a minority of college degrees at all college levels from associates degrees to doctoral degrees by overall enrollment in higher education men have been an underrepresented minority for more than 40 years since the late 1970sp p2 by field of study women earning doctoral degrees in 2020 outnumbered men in 7 of the 11 graduate fields tracked by the cgs see top chart above arts and humanities 518 female biology a new recordhigh 538 share in one of the main stem fields despite the frequent narrative that emfemales are significantly underrepresented in stemem education 678 health and medical sciences 714 isnt that another stem field public administration 762 social and behavioral studies 613 and other fields 532 men still earned a majority of 2020 doctoral degrees in the four fields of business 533 male engineering 751 math and computer science 742 and physical and earth sciences 650p p3 the middle chart above shows the stronggender breakdown for masters degrees awarded in 2020 strongfrom table b24 and the gender disparity in favor of females is significant women earned more than 60 of all masters degrees in 2020 setting a new record high female share which would also mean that women earned almost 151 masters degrees last year for every 100 degrees earned by men like for doctoral degrees women outnumbered men in the same 7 out of the 11 fields of graduate study and in some of those fields the gender disparity was huge for example women earned strong421 masters degrees in health and medical sciences for every 100 menstrong strong408 masters degrees in public administration for every 100 men and 350 masters degrees in education for every 100 menstrongp p4 the bottom chart above displays totalstrong graduate enrollment in fall 2020 by gender and field for all graduate school programs in the usstrong certificate masters and doctoral degrees from table b13 showing that there is a significant gender gap in favor of women for students attending us graduate schools women represent nearly 60 of all graduate students in the us up from 585 in 2019 meaning that there are now 148 women enrolled in graduate school for every 100 men in certain fields like education 762 female health and medical sciences 784 female and public administration 790 female women outnumber men by a factor of three or more by field of study women enrolled in graduate school outnumber men in the same 7 out of the 11 graduate fields of study noted above with females being a minority share of graduate students in only business 465 female engineering 277 female math and computer science 32 female and physical and earth sciences 397 femalep pstrongmp strongheres my prediction the facts that a men are underrepresented in graduate school enrollment overall only 100 men were enrolled in 2020 for every 148 women b men received fewer masters less than a 40 share of the total and doctoral degrees 47 of the total than women in 2020 and c men were underrepresented in 7 out of 11 graduate fields of study at both the masters and doctoral levels last year for both degrees and enrollment will get almost no attention at all from feminists gender activists womens centers the media universities or anybody else in the higher education industryp padditionally there will be no calls for taxpayerfunded studies or increased taxpayer funding to address the significant gender disparities favoring women in graduate schools and nobody will refer to the gender graduate school enrollment and degree gaps favoring women as a problem or a national crisis further despite their stated commitment to gender equity the hundreds of university womens centers around the country are unlikely to show any concern about the significant gender inequities in graduate school enrollment and degrees and universities will not be allocating funding to set up mens centers or mens commissions on college campuses or providing funding for graduate scholarships for men to address male significant male underrepresentationp pstrongbottom linestrong if there is any attention about gender differences in the cgs annual report it will likely focus on the fact that women are a minority in strong4 of the 11 fields of graduate study including engineering and computer sciencestrong a gender gap that some a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpbayareablogsnytimescom20091228mathtechandthewomenwhodontlovethem target_blankconsider to be a national crisisa with calls for greater awareness of female underrepresentation in stem graduate fields of study and careers except for the two stem fields of a biology and b health and medical sciences where women have actually been overrepresented for decades but dont expect any concern about the fact that men have increasingly become the second sex in higher education the concern about gender imbalances will remain extremely selective and will only focus on acadmic fields where women not men are underrepresentedp pstrongexhibit astrong in the cgs report the coverage of gender imbalances was mostly lamenting the underrepresentation of women in stem for example note the tone and biasp blockquote pspanspan dirltra institutions spanspanspanspan dirltrresponding to the survey also reported that while spanspanspanbrspan dirltrspanwomenspan constitute more than three quarters of spanspanspanspan dirltrfirsttime graduate enrollment in fields of public spanspanspanspan dirltradministration and services 795 health sciences spanspanspanspan dirltr793 and education 768 in fall 2020 they spanspanspanspan dirltrcomprised spanemspan dirltrmuch spanspan dirltrsmaller spanspan dirltrportions spanemspan dirltrof spanspan dirltrfirsttime spanspanspanspan dirltrenrollment in the fields of engineering 293 spanspanspanspan dirltrmathematics and computer sciences 336 and spanspanspanbrspan dirltrphysical and earth sciences 443 brspanspanp pspanspan dirltrb in fall 2020 women comprised a larger share of spanspanspanspan dirltrfirsttime enrollees at the masters and graduate spanspanspanspan dirltrcertificate level 614 than at the doctoral level spanspanspanspan dirltr570 although women comprise the majority of  spanspanspanspan dirltrfirsttime spanspan dirltrgraduate spanspan dirltrstudents spanspan dirltroverall spanemspan dirltrthey spanspan dirltrwere spanemspanspanemspan dirltrunderrepresented spanemspan dirltrat spanspan dirltrthe spanspan dirltrmasters spanspan dirltrlevel spanspan dirltrin spanspanspanspan dirltrengineering 287 mathematics and computer spanspanspanspan dirltrsciences 338 and business 469 emmoreoverem spanspanspanspan dirltrmen comprised a majority of doctoral firsttime spanspanspanspan dirltrenrollees in engineering 687 mathematics and spanspanspanbrspan dirltrcomputer sciences 695 and physical and earth spanspanspanspan dirltrsciences 605spanspanp pspanspan dirltrc the majority of spanspanspanspan dirltrgraduate spanspan dirltrdegrees spanspan dirltrand spanspan dirltrcertificates spanspan dirltrawarded spanspan dirltrto spanspan dirltrwomen were in education health sciences public spanspanspanadministration and services and social and spanspanbehavioral sciences emhoweverem in many stem spanspanfields emmen still earned the majority of graduate emspanspanemdegrees and certificatesem men earned about threespanspanfourths of masters degrees 722 and doctoral spanspandegrees 751 in engineering similarly 645 of spanspanmasters degrees and 742 of doctoral degrees in spanspanmathematics and computer sciences were earned spanspanbrby men  spanspanspanp blockquote pto conclude let me pose a few questions paraphrasing george mason university economist a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemqwhatdoamericasdiversityworshippersproposebedoneaboutoverrepresentation target_blankwalter e williamsa if americas diversity worshipers see strongany female underrepresentation as a problem and possibly even as proof of gender discriminationstrong what do they propose should be done about female overrepresentation in higher education at every level and in 7 out of 11 graduate fields at the masters and doctoral degrees after all to be logically consistent arent female overrepresentation and female underrepresentation simply different sides of gender injustice im sure the armies of diversicrats in higher education who profess to be so committed to diversity equity and inclusion wont see it that way and will continue in their highly selective inequitable and onesided concern about gender disparities favorin men in higher education that are limited to only certain stem fieldsp pp pp pp pp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemwomenearnedthemajorityofdoctoraldegreesin2020forthe12thstraightyearandoutnumbermeningradschool148to100women earned the majority of doctoral degrees in 2020 for the 12th straight year and outnumber men in grad school 148 to 100a appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pthe council graduate schools cgs released itsa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpscgsnetorggraduatefirsttimeenrollmentincreasesdespitesubstantialdeclineinternationalgraduatestudents target_blankannual report today graduate school enrollment degrees 2020a update annual post striking gender differences graduate school enrollment degrees p div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110grad1pngx91208img alt width667 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110grad1pngx91208 classwpimage1008612719 height503afigurediv div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110grad2pngx91208img alt width667 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110grad2pngx91208 classwpimage1008612720 height489afigurediv figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110grad31024x775pngx91208 classwpimage1008612721figure pstrong1 12th year row women earned majority doctoral degrees awarded universities 2020strong 76111 doctoral degrees awarded 2020 table b25 women earned 40037 degrees 531 total compared 35368 degrees awarded men earned 469 total chart strongfor 100 men earning doctoral degree year 113 female graduatesstrong women earned majority doctoral degrees academic year 20082009 531 female share year new recordhigh previously women started earning majority associates degrees time 1978 majority masters degrees 1981 majority bachelors degrees 1982 according department education 2009 marked year men officially second sex higher education earning minority college degrees college levels associates degrees doctoral degrees overall enrollment higher education men underrepresented minority 40 years late 1970sp p2 field study women earning doctoral degrees 2020 outnumbered men 7 11 graduate fields tracked cgs chart arts humanities 518 female biology new recordhigh 538 share main stem fields despite frequent narrative emfemales significantly underrepresented stemem education 678 health medical sciences 714 isnt stem field public administration 762 social behavioral studies 613 fields 532 men earned majority 2020 doctoral degrees fields business 533 male engineering 751 math computer science 742 physical earth sciences 650p p3 middle chart shows stronggender breakdown masters degrees awarded 2020 strongfrom table b24 gender disparity favor females significant women earned 60 masters degrees 2020 setting new record high female share mean women earned 151 masters degrees year 100 degrees earned men like doctoral degrees women outnumbered men 7 11 fields graduate study fields gender disparity huge example women earned strong421 masters degrees health medical sciences 100 menstrong strong408 masters degrees public administration 100 men 350 masters degrees education 100 menstrongp p4 chart displays totalstrong graduate enrollment fall 2020 gender field graduate school programs usstrong certificate masters doctoral degrees table b13 showing significant gender gap favor women students attending graduate schools women represent nearly 60 graduate students 585 2019 meaning 148 women enrolled graduate school 100 men certain fields like education 762 female health medical sciences 784 female public administration 790 female women outnumber men factor field study women enrolled graduate school outnumber men 7 11 graduate fields study noted females minority share graduate students business 465 female engineering 277 female math computer science 32 female physical earth sciences 397 femalep pstrongmpstrongheres prediction facts men underrepresented graduate school enrollment overall 100 men enrolled 2020 148 women b men received fewer masters 40 share total doctoral degrees 47 total women 2020 c men underrepresented 7 11 graduate fields study masters doctoral levels year degrees enrollment attention feminists gender activists womens centers media universities anybody higher education industryp padditionally calls taxpayerfunded studies increased taxpayer funding address significant gender disparities favoring women graduate schools refer gender graduate school enrollment degree gaps favoring women problem national crisis despite stated commitment gender equity hundreds university womens centers country unlikely concern significant gender inequities graduate school enrollment degrees universities allocating funding set mens centers mens commissions college campuses providing funding graduate scholarships men address male significant male underrepresentationp pstrongbottom linestrong attention gender differences cgs annual report likely focus fact women minority instrong4 11 fields graduate study including engineering computer sciencestronga gender gap somea relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpbayareablogsnytimescom20091228mathtechandthewomenwhodontlovethem target_blankconsider national crisisa calls greater awareness female underrepresentation stem graduate fields study careers stem fields biology b health medical sciences women actually overrepresented decades dont expect concern fact men increasingly second sex higher education concern gender imbalances remain extremely selective focus acadmic fields women men underrepresentedp pstrongexhibit astrong cgs report coverage gender imbalances lamenting underrepresentation women stem example note tone biasp blockquote pspanspan dirltra institutions spanspanspanspan dirltrresponding survey reported spanspanspanbrspan dirltrspanwomenspan constitute quarters spanspanspanspan dirltrfirsttime graduate enrollment fields public spanspanspanspan dirltradministration services 795 health sciences spanspanspanspan dirltr793 education 768 fall 2020 spanspanspanspan dirltrcomprised spanemspan dirltrmuch spanspan dirltrsmaller spanspan dirltrportions spanemspan dirltrof spanspan dirltrfirsttime spanspanspanspan dirltrenrollment fields engineering 293 spanspanspanspan dirltrmathematics computer sciences 336 spanspanspanbrspan dirltrphysical earth sciences 443 brspanspanp pspanspan dirltrb fall 2020 women comprised larger share spanspanspanspan dirltrfirsttime enrollees masters graduate spanspanspanspan dirltrcertificate level 614 doctoral level spanspanspanspan dirltr570 women comprise majority spanspanspanspan dirltrfirsttime spanspan dirltrgraduate spanspan dirltrstudents spanspan dirltroverall spanemspan dirltrthey spanspan dirltrwere spanemspanspanemspan dirltrunderrepresented spanemspan dirltrat spanspan dirltrthe spanspan dirltrmasters spanspan dirltrlevel spanspan dirltrin spanspanspanspan dirltrengineering 287 mathematics computer spanspanspanspan dirltrsciences 338 business 469 emmoreoverem spanspanspanspan dirltrmen comprised majority doctoral firsttime spanspanspanspan dirltrenrollees engineering 687 mathematics spanspanspanbrspan dirltrcomputer sciences 695 physical earth spanspanspanspan dirltrsciences 605spanspanp pspanspan dirltrc majority spanspanspanspan dirltrgraduate spanspan dirltrdegrees spanspan dirltrand spanspan dirltrcertificates spanspan dirltrawarded spanspan dirltrto spanspan dirltrwomen education health sciences public spanspanspanadministration services social spanspanbehavioral sciences emhoweverem stem spanspanfields emmen earned majority graduate emspanspanemdegrees certificatesem men earned threespanspanfourths masters degrees 722 doctoral spanspandegrees 751 engineering similarly 645 spanspanmasters degrees 742 doctoral degrees spanspanmathematics computer sciences earned spanspanbrby men spanspanspanp blockquote pto conclude let pose questions paraphrasing george mason university economista relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemqwhatdoamericasdiversityworshippersproposebedoneaboutoverrepresentation target_blankwalter e williamsa americas diversity worshipers seestrongany female underrepresentation problem possibly proof gender discriminationstrong propose female overrepresentation higher education level 7 11 graduate fields masters doctoral degrees logically consistent arent female overrepresentation female underrepresentation simply different sides gender injustice im sure armies diversicrats higher education profess committed diversity equity inclusion wont way continue highly selective inequitable onesided concern gender disparities favorin men higher education limited certain stem fieldsp pp pp pp pp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemwomenearnedthemajorityofdoctoraldegreesin2020forthe12thstraightyearandoutnumbermeningradschool148to100women earned majority doctoral degrees 2020 12th straight year outnumber men grad school 148 100a appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

6168b21ef9a1e868f1079edc

Model these Sweden Denmark lower inflation rates

blockquotepswedens annual inflation rate rose to 25 percent in september of 2021 from 21 percent in august but below market expectations of 27 percent it was the highest since november of 2011 mainly due to prices of housing amp utilities 51 percent vs 38 percent in august namely electricity and transport 62 percent vs 64 percent of which fuels additional upward pressure came from education 25 percent vs 2 percent restaurants amp hotels 24 percent vs 26 percent miscellaneous goods amp services 2 percent vs 14 percent and food amp nonalcoholic beverages 09 percent vs 03 percent consumer prices measured with a fixed interest rate rose 28 percent yearonyear in september the fastest pace since october of 2008 below market expectations of 3 percent but above the central banks target of 2 percent on a monthly basis both the cpi and the cpif rose 05 percentpblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpstradingeconomicscomswedeninflationcpi target_blankthe linka they are an open economy facing lots of supply shocks right  so what is upp pa relnoopener hrefhttpstradingeconomicscomdenmarkinflationcpi target_blankand denmarkap blockquotepdenmarks annual inflation increased to 22 in september of 2021 from 18 in the previous month it was the highest inflation rate since november 2012 due to a rise in both prices of electricity 152 pointing to the highest annual increase since december 2008 and gas 528 which is the highest annual increase since july 1980pblockquote pi thank a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomveroderugy target_blankveroa for the pointer  in an email to me she asksp blockquotepif supply issues are the only cause of our inflation woes then why is it that countries that spent less than 5 of gdp on the pandemic are experiencing average inflation of 215 while countries that spent over 15 of gdp are experiencing average inflation of 394 i dont know the answer but i think it is worth asking this questionpblockquote panyonep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110modeltheseswedendenmarklowerinflationrateshtmlmodel these sweden denmark lower inflation ratesa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepswedens annual inflation rate rose 25 percent september 2021 21 percent august market expectations 27 percent highest november 2011 mainly prices housing amp utilities 51 percent vs 38 percent august electricity transport 62 percent vs 64 percent fuels additional upward pressure came education 25 percent vs 2 percent restaurants amp hotels 24 percent vs 26 percent miscellaneous goods amp services 2 percent vs 14 percent food amp nonalcoholic beverages 09 percent vs 03 percent consumer prices measured fixed interest rate rose 28 percent yearonyear september fastest pace october 2008 market expectations 3 percent central banks target 2 percent monthly basis cpi cpif rose 05 percentpblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpstradingeconomicscomswedeninflationcpi target_blankthe linka open economy facing lots supply shocks right upp pa relnoopener hrefhttpstradingeconomicscomdenmarkinflationcpi target_blankand denmarkap blockquotepdenmarks annual inflation increased 22 september 2021 18 previous month highest inflation rate november 2012 rise prices electricity 152 pointing highest annual increase december 2008 gas 528 highest annual increase july 1980pblockquote pi thank relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomveroderugy target_blankveroa pointer email asksp blockquotepif supply issues cause inflation woes countries spent 5 gdp pandemic experiencing average inflation 215 countries spent 15 gdp experiencing average inflation 394 dont know answer think worth asking questionpblockquote panyonep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110modeltheseswedendenmarklowerinflationrateshtmlmodel sweden denmark lower inflation ratesa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

6168b26ef9a1e868f1079ee4

The UK’s position on the Northern Ireland protocol is absurd and reckless

phere we go again negotiations between the eu and the uk on how northern ireland is treated postbrexit are going badly lord david frost is accusing the eu of overreach and of being unconstructive and insensitive he is demanding that the agreement that governs how northern ireland is treated be fundamentally rewritten and is threatening unilateral action if it is not  p pthis has happened before boris johnson repeatedly assured the dup that he would never agree to a border in the irish sea but did precisely that in october 2019 when he agreed the withdrawal agreement and the northern ireland protocol he fought and won a general election campaign on the basis of his ovenready deal even while denying the consequences of that dealp psome months later the uk sought to change the terms of the northern ireland protocol even threatening to breach international law by unilaterally disapplying its terms in the internal market bill once again in the event the uk government dropped its objections and signed up to a deal that kept the checks in place for goods travelling between great britain and northern ireland a hrefhttpswwwbelfastlivecouknewsbelfastnewsnisecretarybrandonlewisfaces19552275while still denying their existencea p pthe problem for the government was that however much it misrepresented the terms of our departure it had agreed to border checks in reality if there was going to be divergence from the eu there were always going to have to be border checks somewhere whether between great britain and northern ireland or northern ireland and the republic of ireland or the republic and the rest of the eu once border checks became a visible fact the uk accused the eu of being inflexible in its approach and demanded concessions  some concessions have indeed been offered by the eu but they do not meet frosts conditionsp pthe uks position is absurd and recklessp pit is absurd because of the nature of the governments objections frost has objected to the limited role that the european court of justice ecj has in the governance of the protocol even though that role a hrefhttpstwittercomstevepeersstatus1447108925074153473s20was included ina the governance proposals put forward by the very same david frost in the 2019 negotiations over the protocol and if he thought that the ongoing role of the ecj was so oppressive and unacceptable it is curious that he boasted in december 2020 that the ukeu trade deal meant that the jurisdiction of the european court of justice endsp pit is hardly surprising that eu member states view attempts to reopen the role of the ecj as both confirmation that the uk entered into both the protocol and the trade deal with no intention of honouring the terms as dominic cummings a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexit202110howdominiccummingshasgiventheeutheperfectexcuseforbrexitragehas claimeda and that frost now wants to wreck any kind of constructive renegotiation by focusing not on practical implementation but by returning to a previously settled point of principle in a saturday night tweet a hrefhttpstwittercomdavidghfroststatus1446981187663192066frost protested thata this is not a new point the issue of governance amp the cjeu [european court] is not new we set out our concerns three months ago in our 21 july command paper  it might not be an entirely new point but july 2021 is still subsequent to the conclusion of the negotiations as i say an absurd positionp pbehind the demand for a new protocol is the threat to trigger article 16 of the current protocol which allows either the uk or the eu to take unilateral safeguard measures if the protocol is leading to serious problems this threat is reckless on legal constitutional parliamentary diplomatic and economic groundsp pit should first be noted that article 16 is not a simple get out of jail card it is designed to provide safeguards in specific circumstances where there are serious economic societal or environmental difficulties that are liable to persist or to diversion of trade and allows a response that is strictly necessary to address the issue lawyers a hrefhttpstwittercomgeorgeperetzqcstatus1447092951788752899s20have been quick to point outa that a principled objection to ecj jurisdiction would not work as a justification for suspending large parts of the protocol under article 16 the government would be subject to a successful judicial review no doubt resulting in the judiciary getting roundly abused by excitable brexiteers once againp pthe government could avoid a humiliating judicial defeat if it passes primary legislation disapplying the protocol and amending or repealing section 7a of the withdrawal act but that would as with the early version of the internal market bill involve explicitly overriding an international treaty and a hrefhttpspubliclawforeveryonecom20211010legalexceptionalisminbritishpoliticaldiscourseinternationallawparliamentarysovereigntyandtheruleoflawbreaking international lawa the commons shamefully might pass such legislation but the lords with its current composition wontp passuming that the government somehow avoids these problems presumably by not focusing on the ecj in triggering article 16 but still takes unilateral action a hrefhttpstwittercommij_europestatus1446748878980661251s20informed observersa of the eu believe that its response will be substantial having made in its eyes concessions to the uk patience will have worn thin with a government seen as dishonest and dishonourable the eu knows that the uk is in a weaker position to withstand a trade war and that international confidence in britain is fragile it also knows that the eus reputation for being tough negotiators means that it cannot be seen to let the uk win reprisals will be welltargeted and painfulp pwhy would the uk pursue such a strategy unless the desire for a hostile relationship with the eu is paramount and it would give the government a scapegoat for the economic consequences of brexit it is hard to say let us hope that the bombastic rhetoric is a bluff and this is really all about checks on chilled meat even so such nonsense does the uks international standing nothing but harmp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexit202110howdominiccummingshasgiventheeutheperfectexcuseforbrexitragehow dominic cummings has given the eu the perfect excuse for brexit ragea]emstrongp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomcomment202110theukspositiononthenorthernirelandprotocolisabsurdandrecklessthe uks position on the northern ireland protocol is absurd and recklessa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

phere negotiations eu uk northern ireland treated postbrexit going badly lord david frost accusing eu overreach unconstructive insensitive demanding agreement governs northern ireland treated fundamentally rewritten threatening unilateral action notp pthis happened boris johnson repeatedly assured dup agree border irish sea precisely october 2019 agreed withdrawal agreement northern ireland protocol fought won general election campaign basis ovenready deal denying consequences dealp psome months later uk sought change terms northern ireland protocol threatening breach international law unilaterally disapplying terms internal market bill event uk government dropped objections signed deal kept checks place goods travelling great britain northern ireland hrefhttpswwwbelfastlivecouknewsbelfastnewsnisecretarybrandonlewisfaces19552275while denying existenceap pthe problem government misrepresented terms departure agreed border checks reality going divergence eu going border checks great britain northern ireland northern ireland republic ireland republic rest eu border checks visible fact uk accused eu inflexible approach demanded concessions concessions offered eu meet frosts conditionsp pthe uks position absurd recklessp pit absurd nature governments objections frost objected limited role european court justice ecj governance protocol role hrefhttpstwittercomstevepeersstatus1447108925074153473s20was included ina governance proposals forward david frost 2019 negotiations protocol thought ongoing role ecjwas oppressive unacceptable curious boasted december 2020 ukeu trade deal meant jurisdiction european court justice endsp pit hardly surprising eu member states view attempts reopen role ecj confirmation uk entered protocol trade deal intention honouring terms dominic cummings hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexit202110howdominiccummingshasgiventheeutheperfectexcuseforbrexitragehas claimeda frost wants wreck kind constructive renegotiation focusing practical implementation returning previously settled point principle saturday night tweet hrefhttpstwittercomdavidghfroststatus1446981187663192066frost protested thata new point issue governance amp cjeu [european court] new set concerns months ago 21 july command paper entirely new point july 2021 subsequent conclusion negotiations absurd positionp pbehind demand new protocol threat trigger article 16 current protocol allows uk eu unilateral safeguard measures protocol leading problems threat reckless legal constitutional parliamentary diplomatic economic groundsp pit noted article 16 simple jail card designed provide safeguards specific circumstances economic societal environmental difficulties liable persist diversion trade allows response strictly necessary address issue lawyers hrefhttpstwittercomgeorgeperetzqcstatus1447092951788752899s20have quick point outa principled objection ecj jurisdiction work justification suspending large parts protocol article 16 government subject successful judicial review doubt resulting judiciary getting roundly abused excitable brexiteers againp pthe government avoid humiliating judicial defeat passes primary legislation disapplying protocol amending repealing section 7a withdrawal act early version internal market bill involve explicitly overriding international treaty hrefhttpspubliclawforeveryonecom20211010legalexceptionalisminbritishpoliticaldiscourseinternationallawparliamentarysovereigntyandtheruleoflawbreaking international lawa commons shamefully pass legislation lords current composition wontp passuming government avoids problems presumably focusing ecj triggering article 16 takes unilateral action hrefhttpstwittercommij_europestatus1446748878980661251s20informed observersa eu believe response substantial having eyes concessions uk patience worn thin government seen dishonest dishonourable eu knows uk weaker position withstand trade war international confidence britain fragile knows eus reputation tough negotiators means seen let uk win reprisals welltargeted painfulp pwhy uk pursue strategy desire hostile relationship eu paramount government scapegoat economic consequences brexit hard let hope bombastic rhetoric bluff checks chilled meat nonsense uks international standing harmp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexit202110howdominiccummingshasgiventheeutheperfectexcuseforbrexitragehow dominic cummings given eu perfect excuse brexit ragea]emstrongp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomcomment202110theukspositiononthenorthernirelandprotocolisabsurdandrecklessthe uks position northern ireland protocol absurd recklessa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

6168b2ccf9a1e868f1079ef0

Stripe v. Elrond! Crypto and the Payments System

precently a hrefhttpselrondcomelronda the a hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomselrondblockchain startupa for which i am an advisor a hrefhttpselrondcomblogelrondacquirestwispayemoneylicensebought a payments processora conditional on approval from the romanian government on the same day stripe the payments processor announced that they are a hrefhttpstwittercomgponcinstatus1447948308907913218moving into cryptoa none of this is coincidental elrond understand that the payments market is a multitrillion dollar opportunity stripe knows that crypto innovation could undercut them very quickly if they arent preparedp phow did stripe turn into a multibillion dollar firm almost overnight obviously stripe is a great firm led by the brilliant collison brothers ceo patrick collison and president john collison but its also important to understand that the payments market in the united states is a 100 trillion dollar market yes a hrefhttpswwwfederalreservegovpaymentsystems2019decemberthefederalreservepaymentsstudyhtm100 trilliona any firm that captures even a small share of this market is going to be big credit cards are actually a small part of payments about 7 trillion with roughly a 2 transaction fee or a 140 billion market quick check credit card companies had a hrefhttpswwwfoolcomtheascentresearchcreditcardcompanyearnings2020 revenues of 176 billiona  ach debit and credit transfers are the big market 65 trillion which at a 5 transaction fee amounts to a 325 billion market this is retail price wholesale is lower thus payments revenue is on the order of 465 billion a small share of 465 billion is a very big market and that is just the us marketp pnow consider the following crypto payments are in principle at least an order of magnitude cheaper than ach payments on elrond for example a very fast and low cost blockchain compared to ethereum or bitcoin someone recently a hrefhttpstwittercomreezybtcstatus1448315014352359427photo1transferred 175 milliona for less than a penny moreover crypto payments are global while every other payments system gets much more expensive as you cross borders i recently sent 1500 to india and it cost me 100 in transaction fees to be sure payments made through the banking system have to obey know your customer regulations and also include invoicing and billing services which adds both to value and cost the main reason however that payments through the banking system are expensive is because the banking system rails are taped together with two hundred years of spit and duct tapep pcrypto payments are the future stripe knows it elrond knows it the race is onp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110cryptoandpaymentsstripevelrondhtmlstripe v elrond crypto and the payments systema appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

precently hrefhttpselrondcomelronda hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomselrondblockchain startupa advisor hrefhttpselrondcomblogelrondacquirestwispayemoneylicensebought payments processora conditional approval romanian government day stripe payments processor announced hrefhttpstwittercomgponcinstatus1447948308907913218moving cryptoa coincidental elrond understand payments market multitrillion dollar opportunity stripe knows crypto innovation undercut quickly arent preparedp phow stripe turn multibillion dollar firm overnight obviously stripe great firm led brilliant collison brothers ceo patrick collison president john collison important understand payments market united states 100 trillion dollar market yes hrefhttpswwwfederalreservegovpaymentsystems2019decemberthefederalreservepaymentsstudyhtm100 trilliona firm captures small share market going big credit cards actually small payments 7 trillion roughly 2 transaction fee 140 billion market quick check credit card companies hrefhttpswwwfoolcomtheascentresearchcreditcardcompanyearnings2020 revenues 176 billiona ach debit credit transfers big market 65 trillion 5 transaction fee amounts 325 billion market retail price wholesale lower payments revenue order 465 billion small share 465 billion big market marketp pnow consider following crypto payments principle order magnitude cheaper ach payments elrond example fast low cost blockchain compared ethereum bitcoin recently hrefhttpstwittercomreezybtcstatus1448315014352359427photo1transferred 175 milliona penny crypto payments global payments system gets expensive cross borders recently sent 1500 india cost 100 transaction fees sure payments banking system obey know customer regulations include invoicing billing services adds value cost main reason payments banking system expensive banking system rails taped years spit duct tapep pcrypto payments future stripe knows elrond knows race onp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110cryptoandpaymentsstripevelrondhtmlstripe v elrond crypto payments systema appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

6168b2dcf9a1e868f1079ef2

The EU’s concessions on the Northern Ireland protocol come at a cost

pthe european commission has unveiled a a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsuknorthernireland58871221 target_blankpackage of reformsa to the northern ireland protocol as expected they would drastically reduce the number of checks required between northern ireland and the uk but also as expected they retain the european court of justices role as the ultimate arbiter p pthe commission has gone considerably further than many expected and it has required considerable cajoling of member states to do so many in the british government believe that validates their belligerent approach they think it shows that the only way to get results in negotiations with the eu is to be tough not conciliatory from their perspective the approach is workingp pthe reality is that just as most brexiteers hadnt really thought all that much about northern ireland during the brexit campaign the commission and most member states hadnt fully grasped its complexities and sensitivities either that for a prolonged period during the brexit talks the commission and many in the eu27 wanted eu inspectors to have a permanent physical presence is a good example of that lack of considerationp pthe bigger question for the british government though is how do you define working the uk has a climate summit in november in which the government has put a huge amount of political and financial capital into we have joint operations against jihadism with the french government we want the rest of europe to take a stronger line on russia and depending on who in government you speak to on china too p pbelligerence on the protocol is a policy with a cost that cost is progress across the rest of the uks foreign policy objectives you can see how an accord could be reached that allows via some intermediary body britain to claim that the european court of justice is out of the picture while in reality it is anything but the question is is that really worth the energy that could be spent on climate change on joint operations in the western sahel or on any other ukeu foreign policy priority you care to namebrbrstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexit202110howdominiccummingshasgiventheeutheperfectexcuseforbrexitragehow dominic cummings has given the eu the perfect excuse for brexit ragea]emstrongp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexitisntdone202110eubrexitconcessionsonthenorthernirelandprotocolcomeatacostthe eus concessions on the northern ireland protocol come at a costa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

pthe european commission unveiled relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsuknorthernireland58871221 target_blankpackage reformsa northern ireland protocol expected drastically reduce number checks required northern ireland uk expected retain european court justices role ultimate arbiterp pthe commission gone considerably expected required considerable cajoling member states british government believe validates belligerent approach think shows way results negotiations eu tough conciliatoryfrom perspective approach workingp pthe reality brexiteers hadnt thought northern ireland brexit campaign commission member states hadnt fully grasped complexities sensitivities prolonged period brexit talks commission eu27 wanted eu inspectors permanent physical presence good example lack considerationp pthe bigger question british government define working uk climate summit november government huge political financial capital joint operations jihadism french government want rest europe stronger line russia depending government speak china toop pbelligerence protocol policy cost cost progress rest uks foreign policy objectives accord reached allows intermediary body britain claim european court justice picture reality question worth energy spent climate change joint operations western sahel ukeu foreign policy priority care namebrbrstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexit202110howdominiccummingshasgiventheeutheperfectexcuseforbrexitragehow dominic cummings given eu perfect excuse brexit ragea]emstrongp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexitisntdone202110eubrexitconcessionsonthenorthernirelandprotocolcomeatacostthe eus concessions northern ireland protocol come costa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

6168b340f9a1e868f1079f02

NIMBY vs. YIMBY sentences to ponder

pczs means commuting zonesp blockquotepwe find that larger and higherearnings czs have much higher housing costs than smaller or lowerearnings czs enough so tobr more than completely offset their larger effects on nominal earnings thus movements to larger or to higher earnings locations mean reductions in real incomepblockquote pthat is from a relnoopener hrefhttpswww2censusgovceswp2021ceswp2132pdf target_blanka new papera by david card jesse rothstein and moises yi  via a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercommodeledbehavior target_blankadam ozimeka  maybe this is a problemp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110nimbyvsyimbysentencestoponderhtmlnimby vs yimby sentences to pondera appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pczs means commuting zonesp blockquotepwe find larger higherearnings czs higher housing costs smaller lowerearnings czs tobr completely offset larger effects nominal earnings movements larger higher earnings locations mean reductions real incomepblockquote pthat relnoopener hrefhttpswww2censusgovceswp2021ceswp2132pdf target_blanka new papera david card jesse rothstein moises yi relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercommodeledbehavior target_blankadam ozimeka maybe problemp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110nimbyvsyimbysentencestoponderhtmlnimby vs yimby sentences pondera appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

6168b349f9a1e868f1079f04

Why Britain’s north-south divide has more to do with William the Conqueror than Margaret Thatcher

pspanon october 14spanspan 1066 in a field near hastings the last anglosaxon king of england may or may not have got an arrow in his eye bored schoolchildren since time immemorial have pored over the bayeux tapestry so you dear reader may vaguely remember the section entitled spanispanharold rex interfectus estspanispan thats king harold is killed for those of you who also slept through latin it features one helmeted chap appearing to have an accident with a very large toothpick and another impaled on the ground next to a cavalryman perhaps capx will use it for this articles picture nine and a half centuries is surely long enough for it be out of copyrightspanp pspananyway the ins and outs of whether an arrow went in but not out of harold godwinsons eye are less important the crosschannel crisis his death unleashed the normans triumphed and england was conquered despite the intervening 955 years 1066 and all its associations still resonate more today with the average englishman than the reformation civil war or the glorious revolution that according to historian george garnett is because the norman conquest brought a change of a magnitude and at a speed unparalleled in english history the politics and economics of england today are still shaped by those pesky gallic invaders spanp pspangarnett has described the conquest as a regime change and that reflects the profound changes to the governance structure and economy of england that the norman invasion wrought englands old ruling class were devastated and everything from language to architecture to how england looked and sounded was transformed spanp pspanbefore 1066 the country had been governed by earls ealdormen and thegns whose rule dated back centuries spanspanthe normans comprehensively replaced these anglosaxon rulers the domesday book williams comprehensive 1086 survey designed to determine who owned what and who owed him what highlights the extent of the changes of the 500 or so leading individuals identified by the book as the kings tenants only 13 had english names and of 7000 or so subtenants no more than 10 were natives spanp pspanbecause of a combination of battles forced exiles or enforced subservience those earls and thegns had given way to a notsonoble norman nobility england 12spanspanthspanspan century chronicler william of malmesbury complained has become the dwelling place of foreignersno englishman today is an earl a bishop or an abbot new faces everywhere enjoy englands riches and gnaw at her vitals william of malmesbury the nigel farage of the 1130sspanp pspanthis takeover meant widespread land redistribution and the replacement of english with latin as the language of government documents and religious texts it also ensured a privileged position for normans and their descendants gregory clark from the university of california davis finds that students with norman surnames are still 25 overrepresented at oxbridge today compared to other indigenous english surnames as sahil mahtani spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwspectatorcoukarticlesuethenormans target_blankspanhas pointed outspanaspan since the sutton trust estimates oxbridge graduates earn on average 400000 more over their lifetimes than others this norman predominance has presentday financial consequences one does not have to agree with mahtanis tongueincheek proposal for reparations to anglosaxon descendants to acknowledge that norman privilege is real spanp pspanadmittedly england was not wholly worse off for the normans invading as marc morris spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwhistoryextracomperiodnormanwhatthenormansdidforustextmarc20morris20explores20how20dukefrom20the20very20topamptexteven2095020years20after20thefamous20date20in20english20history target_blankspanhas highlightedspanaspan the normans sought to end the slavery that had flourished under the anglosaxons slaves had no more status than the beasts that stood in the field and comprised at least 10 of englands population in 1066 but slavery had been abolished in normandy and william banned the trade in england after taking the throne the domesday book shows a 25 drop in slave numbers in essex between 1066 and 1086 and no evidence for its presence exists after the 12spanspanthspanspan century nevertheless the normans were responsible for introducing the nebulous concept of feudalism to england this form of defined military service and tribute reduced the number of freemen in bedfordshire from 700 to just 90 between 1066 and 1086 the normans giveth and the normans taketh away spanp pspanthe norman conquest also profoundly changed englands landscape castles had previously hardly been seen but at least 500 had been established by 1100 the stone towers that some of these incorporated were far larger than anything constructed under the romans within a half century every english cathedral had been demolished and rebuilt in the new romanesque style the scale of these was unprecedented winchester for example was the largest church north of the alps though one can lament the loss of the centuriesold anglosaxon churches bishop wulfstan of worcester complained like an 11spanspanthspanspan century roger scruton that we wretches are destroying the work of the saints thinking in our insolent pride we are improving them its hardly the worst example of postconflict rebuilding in english history ill take cathedrals over coventry any day spanp pspanall of this came as part of a broader restructuring of englands economy the orientation of trade shifted away from scandinavia and towards continental europe cambridge universitys edward miller and john hatcherspan spanhave highlighted that english commerce expanded in size and value in the decades after 1066 this was especially with regards to wool spanispanthe economist spania relnoopener hrefhttpswwweconomistcomchristmasspecials20161224hownormanrulereshapedengland target_blankspanhas labelled thisspanaspan brentry britains entry into european markets that coincided with something of an economic boom the domesday book suggests the norman conquest had little affect on the aggregate wealth of england and in 13 of the 26 counties for which there is decent data the value of wealth increased over the following two hundred years britains economy went from strength to strength with the number of markets more than quintupling by the end of the 12spanspanthspanspan century and the population more than doubling to 6 million spanp pspanyet all this should not produce an unnecessarily panglossian view of the conquest despite the claims of your average corbynista the northsouth divide of modern britain has more to do with william the conqueror than margaret thatcher parts of northern england like northumbria and york had ties as deep with scandinavia and scotland as with southern england they were not going to accept norman rule without a fight and soon rebelled the brutal way in which william suppressed this revolt came to be known as the harrying of the north 100000 people are thought to have died the domesday book lists a third of the manors in northern counties as waste york lost over half its population and wealth in yorkshire fell by twothirds as spanispanthe economistspanispan highlighted by 1086 no part of the country north of birmingham had an aboveaverage income per household spanp pspanwhen the cabinet next meets to work out what levellingup means they could do worse than reflect on the historic nature of these deep divides though southern estates had been richer than northern ones in 1066 the former were four times as wealthy as the latter two decades later in terms of average estate wealth the richest county had been seven times as well off as the poorest in 1066 but this had widened to 18 times by 1086 955 years later policymakers are still grappling with how to close this gap william the conqueror deserves his other sobriquet of william the bastard for more than just his disputed paternity spanp pia relnoopener hrefhttpscpsmpagescomwfh31ysignupform datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpscpsmpagescomwfh31ysignupformampsourcegmailampust1634202610795000ampusgafqjcne6c7esis2qnuugjzmdzyopywha5w target_blankclick here to subscribe to our daily briefinga em the best pieces from capx and across the webemip pemcapx depends on the generosity of its readers if you value what we do please consider making a donationemp div div divdiv div div pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcowhybritainsnorthsouthdividehasmoretowithwilliamtheconquerorthanmargaretthatcherwhy britains northsouth divide has more to do with william the conqueror than margaret thatchera appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcocapxap

pspanon october 14spanspan 1066 field near hastings anglosaxon king england got arrow eye bored schoolchildren time immemorial pored bayeux tapestry dear reader vaguely remember section entitled spanispanharold rex interfectus estspanispan thats king harold killed slept latin features helmeted chap appearing accident large toothpick impaled ground cavalryman capx use articles picture half centuries surely long copyrightspanp pspananyway ins outs arrow went harold godwinsons eye important crosschannel crisis death unleashed normans triumphed england conquered despite intervening 955 years 1066 associations resonate today average englishman reformation civil war glorious revolution according historian george garnett norman conquest brought change magnitude speed unparalleled english history politics economics england today shaped pesky gallic invadersspanp pspangarnett described conquest regime change reflects profound changes governance structure economy england norman invasion wrought englands old ruling class devastated language architecture england looked sounded transformed spanp pspanbefore 1066 country governed earls ealdormen thegns rule dated centuries spanspanthe normans comprehensively replaced anglosaxon rulers domesday book williams comprehensive 1086 survey designed determine owned owed highlights extent changes 500 leading individuals identified book kings tenants 13 english names 7000 subtenants 10 natives spanp pspanbecause combination battles forced exiles enforced subservience earls thegns given way notsonoble norman nobility england 12spanspanthspanspan century chronicler william malmesbury complained dwelling place foreignersno englishman today earl bishop abbot new faces enjoy englands riches gnaw vitals william malmesbury nigel farage 1130sspanp pspanthis takeover meant widespread land redistribution replacement english latin language government documents religious texts ensured privileged position normans descendants gregory clark university california davis finds students norman surnames 25 overrepresented oxbridge today compared indigenous english surnames sahil mahtani spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwspectatorcoukarticlesuethenormans target_blankspanhas pointed outspanaspan sutton trust estimates oxbridge graduates earn average 400000 lifetimes norman predominance presentday financial consequences agree mahtanis tongueincheek proposal reparations anglosaxon descendants acknowledge norman privilege realspanp pspanadmittedly england wholly worse normans invading marc morris spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwhistoryextracomperiodnormanwhatthenormansdidforustextmarc20morris20explores20how20dukefrom20the20very20topamptexteven2095020years20after20thefamous20date20in20english20history target_blankspanhas highlightedspanaspan normans sought end slavery flourished anglosaxons slaves status beasts stood field comprised 10 englands population 1066 slavery abolished normandy william banned trade england taking throne domesday book shows 25 drop slave numbers essex 1066 1086 evidence presence exists 12spanspanthspanspan century normans responsible introducing nebulous concept feudalism england form defined military service tribute reduced number freemen bedfordshire 700 90 1066 1086 normans giveth normans taketh awayspanp pspanthe norman conquest profoundly changed englands landscape castles previously hardly seen 500 established 1100 stone towers incorporated far larger constructed romans half century english cathedral demolished rebuilt new romanesque style scale unprecedented winchester example largest church north alps lament loss centuriesold anglosaxon churches bishop wulfstan worcester complained like 11spanspanthspanspan century roger scruton wretches destroying work saints thinking insolent pride improving hardly worst example postconflict rebuilding english history ill cathedrals coventry dayspanp pspanall came broader restructuring englands economy orientation trade shifted away scandinavia continental europe cambridge universitys edward miller john hatcherspan spanhave highlighted english commerce expanded size value decades 1066 especially regards wool spanispanthe economist spania relnoopener hrefhttpswwweconomistcomchristmasspecials20161224hownormanrulereshapedengland target_blankspanhas labelled thisspanaspan brentry britains entry european markets coincided economic boom domesday book suggests norman conquest little affect aggregate wealth england 13 26 counties decent data value wealth increased following years britains economy went strength strength number markets quintupling end 12spanspanthspanspan century population doubling 6 millionspanp pspanyet produce unnecessarily panglossian view conquest despite claims average corbynista northsouth divide modern britain william conqueror margaret thatcher parts northern england like northumbria york ties deep scandinavia scotland southern england going accept norman rule fight soon rebelled brutal way william suppressed revolt came known harrying north 100000 people thought died domesday book lists manors northern counties waste york lost half population wealth yorkshire fell twothirds spanispanthe economistspanispan highlighted 1086 country north birmingham aboveaverage income householdspanp pspanwhen cabinet meets work levellingup means worse reflect historic nature deep divides southern estates richer northern ones 1066 times wealthy decades later terms average estate wealth richest county seven times poorest 1066 widened 18 times 1086 955 years later policymakers grappling close gap william conqueror deserves sobriquet william bastard disputed paternityspanp pia relnoopener hrefhttpscpsmpagescomwfh31ysignupform datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpscpsmpagescomwfh31ysignupformampsourcegmailampust1634202610795000ampusgafqjcne6c7esis2qnuugjzmdzyopywha5w target_blankclick subscribe daily briefingaem best pieces capx webemip pemcapx depends generosity readers value consider making donationemp div div divdiv div div pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcowhybritainsnorthsouthdividehasmoretowithwilliamtheconquerorthanmargaretthatcherwhy britains northsouth divide william conqueror margaret thatchera appeared relnofollow hrefhttpscapxcocapxap

6168b35af9a1e868f1079f08

Medieval Coasean warfare?

blockquoteppolitics thus gained a new intensity after the conquest and yet they were also less bloody  in the great anglonorman and english battles between 1106 and 1264 as in the more general ravaging warfare very few nobles were ever killed  the immediate reason as orderic stressed was the protection of armour but ultimately any knight could be surrounded and disarmed  the key point was that when this moment came he simply surrendered and was taken off for ransom  the institution of ransom was therefore absolutely central to the failsafe warfare enjoyed by the nobility in this period  indeed the whole aim in battle was to capture not to kill a noble opponent  there was here a wider context because politics too not just warfare was largely bloodless  it is a remarkable fact and one quite contrary to usual perceptions of the middle ages that between waltheofs demise in 1076 and gavestons in 1312 not a single english earl and indeed hardly a single baron was executed or murdered in england for political reasonspblockquote pthat is from the excellent and highly substantive book by david carpenter a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstrugglemasterypenguinhistory10661284dp0140148248refsr_1_1dchild1keywordsthestruggleformasteryqid1634179895sr81 target_blankthe struggle for mastery the penguin history of britain 10661284a  wasnt there also a jle piece about this kind of warfarep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110medievalcoaseanwarfarehtmlmedieval coasean warfarea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquoteppolitics gained new intensity conquest bloody great anglonorman english battles 1106 1264 general ravaging warfare nobles killed immediate reason orderic stressed protection armour ultimately knight surrounded disarmed key point moment came simply surrendered taken ransom institution ransom absolutely central failsafe warfare enjoyed nobility period aim battle capture kill noble opponent wider context politics warfare largely bloodless remarkable fact contrary usual perceptions middle ages waltheofs demise 1076 gavestons 1312 single english earl hardly single baron executed murdered england political reasonspblockquote pthat excellent highly substantive book david carpenter relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstrugglemasterypenguinhistory10661284dp0140148248refsr_1_1dchild1keywordsthestruggleformasteryqid1634179895sr81 target_blankthe struggle mastery penguin history britain 10661284a wasnt jle piece kind warfarep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110medievalcoaseanwarfarehtmlmedieval coasean warfarea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

6168b3b6f9a1e868f1079f1a

How Biden can save America

pjoe biden is starting to panic and not just because of his a relnoopener hrefhttpsprojectsfivethirtyeightcombidenapprovalrating target_blankdwindling approval ratingsa more than 18 months since covid struck the shocking dependence of the united states on fragile global supply chains and the corresponding absence of a functional manufacturing system has been exposedp pthe white house has responded with talk of creating more robust supply chains and reviving american manufacturing with its a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbuildbackbetter target_blankbuild back bettera agenda but if biden is serious about addressing these issues he needs to understand that this is a decadeslong process unlikely to be fully fixed during his presidencyp peven then victory isnt guaranteed at every step there will be efforts to undermine his attempts by a slew of powerful interests particularly those us corporations who have based their decisions to outsource manufacturing on narrow shortterm profitability concerns at the expense of acknowledging the strategic value of basing factories at home and now america is paying the pricep divdiv pyet many of the same executives who now bemoan a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwinccomglennleibowitzappleceotimcookthisisnumber1reasonwemakeiphonesinchinaitsnotwhatyouthinkhtml target_blankthe lack of skilled labour in the usa are themselves the architects of this very problem unlike their japanese and german competitors american firms have repeatedly underestimated the value of integrating their productdesign and manufacturing processes this poses a major barrier for newcomers particularly in highend industries such as semiconductors and biotech as moving part of the the production overseas not only degrades the quality of the product see a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmarketwatchcomstoryhowdidintelloseitssiliconvalleycrown20201016 target_blankintela as an example but also enhances the possibility of intellectual property theftp pat home the impact of decades of offshoring and outsourcing jobs is impossible to ignore manufacturing plants have been shuttered or scaled back while many former employees have moved on to other jobs or simply retired young people too are opting for other careers while starved of students many community colleges and vocational schools have scaled back their technical programmesp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtherepublicanscanstealvirginiarefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtherepublicanscanstealvirginiarefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages50333707scalede16339749616851300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtherepublicanscanstealvirginiarefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtherepublicanscanstealvirginiarefinnarh5how the republicans can steal virginiah5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtherepublicanscanstealvirginiarefinnarspanbyspan oliver wisemanapdivadiv pmany business leaders a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwuschambercomimmigration target_blankincluding the us chamber of commercea have issued calls for increased immigration to solve the skills gap but what kind of immigration right now in the us we have an increasingly odd alliance defending a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwhoustonchroniclecomlocalgraymattersarticlehowusimmigrationpolicygottobesuchamess6527917php target_blanktodays dysfunctional status quoa both the libertarian right and increasingly the progressive wing of the democratic party decry restrictions on immigration the former because it shuts off an increasing source of cheap serf labour the latter because they view such immigration restrictions as motivated by xenophobia and also see the new immigrants a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncombrownnewwhitedemographicrevolutiondp1620971151tagalternorg0820pldnsite1 target_blankas a source of longterm political support for their partya meanwhile political gridlock has precluded the shift toward a more coherent skillsbased immigration policy as opposed to the plethora of unskilled migrants a relnoopener hrefhttpsdisasterphilanthropyorgdisastersouthernborderhumanitariancrisis target_blanknow flooding the southern borderap pthe result is the worst of both worlds relatively a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgfacttank20210813migrantencountersatusmexicoborderareata21yearhigh target_blankuncontrolled immigration aof unskilled workers which in turn inhibits wage growth among lowerincome americans at a time when us manufacturing is undergoing an exodus all of which means that highquality american employment a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjobqualityindexcom target_blankas measured by the job quality indexa diminishes and wages stagnate for the restp padvocates of globalisation a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwftcomcontentda1f38dc7fbc11eab0fb13524ae1056b target_blankarguea that the resultant increase in profits to american companies spurs reinvestment which in turn creates employment but in many instances profits are not directed toward domestic reinvestment and as a result more jobs but to increasing investment abroadp pconsider the case of general motors a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomnewsgmtoclosecanadianplantandmayshedmorejobs target_blankwhich closed five profitable plants in north americaa despite being a significant recipient of us and canadian bailout funds after the 2008 crisis in order to increase investment in the domestic chinese market that is of course when a relnoopener hrefhttpshbrorg202001whystockbuybacksaredangerousfortheeconomy target_blankthey are not using acorporate cash to buy back stock and inflate share prices and ceo executive compensation by contrast toyota relies on suppliers clustered close to its base in japan making the company less susceptible to supply shocks or labour shortagesp pas far as redomiciling manufacturing goes the biden administration a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovwpcontentuploads202106100daysupplychainreviewreportpdfutm_sourcesfmce2808butm_mediumemaile2808butm_campaign20210610_global_manufacturing_economic_update_june_members target_blankhas advocated a variety of economic measuresa for companies such as tax incentives for insourcing but on its own this measure is unlikely to induce the requisite shift as these rewards can easily be matched by the recipient investment countrys government hence the state can and must drive this redomiciling process in other ways either via higher governmentfunded rampd expenditures or  a hrefhttpsgoindmediae546932ealindustrialpolicypartnergbr6d7668584628hpsoaxfndi5e0aye6od3vleqnsdeaogztgzcoiimeslocal content requirements lcrsap diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages124498909611300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarh5critical race theorys new disguiseh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pthis may run counter to 40 years of free market orthodoxy in the us it posits a much more activist role for government in the formulation of national developmentalist goals but it must happen even presidents said to be champions of the free market such as ronald reagan a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwreuterscomarticleususatradebreakingviewsbreakingviewsbacktothefuturetradewarlacksreaganvisioniduskbn1k02x1 target_blankresorted to managed trade measuresa in order to safeguard us manufacturing interests and counter foreign mercantilism more recently former treasury secretary lawrence summers a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheamericaninterestcom20200522howtofixglobalizationfordetroitnotdavos target_blankhas acknowledgeda economic thinking has privileged efficiency over resilience and it has been insufficiently concerned with the big downsides of efficiency more broadly our economic strategy will need to put less emphasis on shortterm commercial advantage and pay more attention to longrun strategic advantagep pfor whether america likes it or not the world particularly in terms of national security has changed in the 21st century for most of the postww2 period the united states was the dominant political power sustaining that position often meant that trade concerns were subsumed by broader cold war considerations the american domestic market was used as a carrot to sustain us political dominance in other regions notably by creating asian export dependency on the large american domestic consumer market often without fully considering the longer impact on us industryp pthat strategy succeeded and advanced american geopolitical interests for decades it was a significant force multiplier until it wasnt all of a sudden it became clear that the united states had failed to use trade to enhance its economy if anything it consistently sacrificed domestic economic interests in the service of foreign policy keeping allies close and prosperous and pressuring adversaries today however it no longer makes sense for america to sacrifice manufacturing to its asian economic rivals many of whom are increasingly turning to china as their economic locusp pabsent a coherent policy that emphasises domestic manufacturing then american fiscal policy risks becoming a public works programme for the rest of the world thats undoubtedly wonderful for workers in china germany or mexico but hardly does much for the steadily rising casualties of globalisation in the us economy the countrys bluecollar workers who have continued to be dismissed as a rounding errorp pneoclassical economics has always recognised that there would be losers from free trade but in theory the net welfare gains the increase in gross domestic product would be large enough that it could be redistributed so that no one was worse off in theory it makes sense but it is not always true in practicep pthe opposite has happened the gains a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomtradewarsareclassinternationaldp0300244177 target_blankhave not been distributed equallya and american production capabilities and skills have deteriorated as a resultp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfoxnewsconqueredamericarefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfoxnewsconqueredamericarefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110tucker300x176jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfoxnewsconqueredamericarefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfoxnewsconqueredamericarefinnarh5how fox news conquered americah5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfoxnewsconqueredamericarefinnarspanbyspan james billotapdivadiv pit is true that in macroeconomic terms imports are a benefit and exports a cost as it means that the exporting country is unable to consume the fruits of its own labour force but when such trade creates a deficit with a strategic competitor such as china it extracts a significant economic cost as the resultant deficit can ultimately degrade other nations industrial capacity and create huge economic vulnerability as a resultp ptake the taiwan semiconductor manufacturing company tsmc which has emerged over the past several years as the worlds most important semiconductor company as the hightech analyst jon stokes a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjonstokescompwhyachineseinvasionoftaiwan target_blankhas argueda were china to invade taiwan and seize tsmc the resultant collapse in semiconductor production could well cause the us economy to crash the lack of national resilience is precisely the kind of inefficiency that globalisation proselytisers seldom considerp pso if the us is truly committed to a policy of building back better it will require years of industrial reconfiguration and hundreds of billions of dollars money that is now being deployed wastefully in americas bloated defence budgets which both democrats and republicans remain determined to feedp pyes higher wages and redomiciling may well lead to higher business costs and possibly higher prices in the short term but they would also lead to the creation of more disposable income and an invigorated market capitalism as well as a more socially stable polity as the economic gains would be more equitably distributed a virtuous cycle would be created workers would be paid more competent managers will compensate for higher wages by using more and better machinery and by improving the way work is organised this will bring better products higher productivity and increased profits which in turn can lead to higher wagesp pit wont be easy but biden has little choice the present is not sustainable a world of shortages fragile supply chain links and a degradation of national security interests if america continues down this path it will soon face the ultimate inefficiency that economists seldom address dangerous international confrontations and ultimately warp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howbidencansaveamericaappcommentsview 8 commentsa

pjoe biden starting panic relnoopener hrefhttpsprojectsfivethirtyeightcombidenapprovalrating target_blankdwindling approval ratingsa 18 months covid struck shocking dependence united states fragile global supply chains corresponding absence functional manufacturing system exposedp pthe white house responded talk creating robust supply chains reviving american manufacturing relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbuildbackbetter target_blankbuild bettera agenda biden addressing issues needs understand decadeslong process unlikely fully fixed presidencyp peven victory isnt guaranteed step efforts undermine attempts slew powerful interests particularly corporations based decisions outsource manufacturing narrow shortterm profitability concerns expense acknowledging strategic value basing factories home america paying pricep divdiv pyet executives bemoan relnoopener hrefhttpswwwinccomglennleibowitzappleceotimcookthisisnumber1reasonwemakeiphonesinchinaitsnotwhatyouthinkhtml target_blankthe lack skilled labour usa architects problem unlike japanese german competitors american firms repeatedly underestimated value integrating productdesign manufacturing processes poses major barrier newcomers particularly highend industries semiconductors biotech moving production overseasnot degrades quality productsee relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmarketwatchcomstoryhowdidintelloseitssiliconvalleycrown20201016 target_blankintelaas examplebut enhances possibility intellectual property theftp pat home impact decades offshoring outsourcing jobs impossible ignore manufacturing plants shuttered scaled employees moved jobs simply retired young people opting careers starved students community colleges vocational schools scaled technical programmesp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtherepublicanscanstealvirginiarefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtherepublicanscanstealvirginiarefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages50333707scalede16339749616851300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtherepublicanscanstealvirginiarefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtherepublicanscanstealvirginiarefinnarh5how republicans steal virginiah5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howtherepublicanscanstealvirginiarefinnarspanbyspan oliver wisemanapdivadiv pmany business leaders relnoopener hrefhttpswwwuschambercomimmigration target_blankincluding chamber commercea issued calls increased immigration solve skills gap kind immigration right increasingly odd alliance defending relnoopener hrefhttpswwwhoustonchroniclecomlocalgraymattersarticlehowusimmigrationpolicygottobesuchamess6527917php target_blanktodays dysfunctional status quoa libertarian right increasingly progressive wing democratic party decry restrictions immigration shuts increasing source cheap serf labour view immigration restrictions motivated xenophobia new immigrants relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncombrownnewwhitedemographicrevolutiondp1620971151tagalternorg0820pldnsite1 target_blankas source longterm political support partya political gridlock precluded shift coherent skillsbased immigration policy opposed plethora unskilled migrants relnoopener hrefhttpsdisasterphilanthropyorgdisastersouthernborderhumanitariancrisis target_blanknow flooding southern borderap pthe result worst worlds relatively relnoopener hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgfacttank20210813migrantencountersatusmexicoborderareata21yearhigh target_blankuncontrolled immigration aof unskilled workers turn inhibits wage growth lowerincome americans time manufacturing undergoing exodus means highquality american employment relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjobqualityindexcom target_blankas measured job quality indexa diminishes wages stagnate restp padvocates globalisation relnoopener hrefhttpswwwftcomcontentda1f38dc7fbc11eab0fb13524ae1056b target_blankarguea resultant increase profits american companies spurs reinvestment turn creates employment instances profits directed domestic reinvestment result jobs increasing investment abroadp pconsider case general motors relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomnewsgmtoclosecanadianplantandmayshedmorejobs target_blankwhich closed profitable plants north americaa despite significant recipient canadian bailout funds 2008 crisis order increase investment domestic chinese market course relnoopener hrefhttpshbrorg202001whystockbuybacksaredangerousfortheeconomy target_blankthey acorporate cash buy stock inflate share prices ceo executive compensation contrast toyota relies suppliers clustered close base japan making company susceptible supply shocks labour shortagesp pas far redomiciling manufacturing goes biden administration relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovwpcontentuploads202106100daysupplychainreviewreportpdfutm_sourcesfmce2808butm_mediumemaile2808butm_campaign20210610_global_manufacturing_economic_update_june_members target_blankhas advocated variety economic measuresa companies tax incentives insourcing measure unlikely induce requisite shift rewards easily matched recipient investment countrys government state drive redomiciling process ways higher governmentfunded rampd expenditures hrefhttpsgoindmediae546932ealindustrialpolicypartnergbr6d7668584628hpsoaxfndi5e0aye6od3vleqnsdeaogztgzcoiimeslocal content requirements lcrsap diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages124498909611300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarh5critical race theorys new disguiseh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pthis run counter 40 years free market orthodoxy posits activist role government formulation national developmentalist goals happen presidents said champions free market ronald reagan relnoopener hrefhttpswwwreuterscomarticleususatradebreakingviewsbreakingviewsbacktothefuturetradewarlacksreaganvisioniduskbn1k02x1 target_blankresorted managed trade measuresa order safeguard manufacturing interests counter foreign mercantilism recently treasury secretary lawrence summers relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheamericaninterestcom20200522howtofixglobalizationfordetroitnotdavos target_blankhas acknowledgedaeconomic thinking privileged efficiency resilience insufficiently concerned big downsides efficiency broadly economic strategy need emphasis shortterm commercial advantage pay attention longrun strategic advantagep pfor america likes world particularly terms national security changed 21st century postww2 period united states dominant political power sustaining position meant trade concerns subsumed broader cold war considerations american domestic market carrot sustain political dominance regions notably creating asian export dependency large american domestic consumer market fully considering longer impact industryp pthat strategy succeeded advanced american geopolitical interests decades significant force multiplier wasnt sudden clear united states failed use trade enhance economy consistently sacrificed domestic economic interests service foreign policy keeping allies close prosperous pressuring adversaries today longer makes sense america sacrifice manufacturing asian economic rivals increasingly turning china economic locusp pabsent coherent policy emphasises domestic manufacturing american fiscal policy risks public works programme rest world thats undoubtedly wonderful workers china germany mexico hardly steadily rising casualties globalisation economy countrys bluecollar workers continued dismissed rounding errorp pneoclassical economics recognised losers free trade theory net welfare gains increase gross domestic product large redistributed worse theory makes sense true practicep pthe opposite happened gains relnoopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomtradewarsareclassinternationaldp0300244177 target_blankhave distributed equallya americanproduction capabilities skills deteriorated resultp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfoxnewsconqueredamericarefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfoxnewsconqueredamericarefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110tucker300x176jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfoxnewsconqueredamericarefinnarspansuggested articlespanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfoxnewsconqueredamericarefinnarh5how fox news conquered americah5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howfoxnewsconqueredamericarefinnarspanbyspan james billotapdivadiv pit true macroeconomic terms imports benefit exports cost means exporting country unable consume fruits labour force trade creates deficit strategic competitor china extracts significant economic cost resultant deficit ultimately degrade nations industrial capacity create huge economic vulnerability resultp ptake taiwan semiconductor manufacturing company tsmc emerged past years worlds important semiconductor companyas hightech analyst jon stokes relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjonstokescompwhyachineseinvasionoftaiwan target_blankhas argueda china invade taiwan seize tsmc resultant collapse semiconductor production cause economy crash lack national resilience precisely kind inefficiency globalisation proselytisers seldom considerp pso truly committed policy building better require years industrial reconfiguration hundreds billions dollars money deployed wastefully americas bloated defence budgets democrats republicans remain determined feedp pyes higher wages redomiciling lead higher business costs possibly higher prices short term lead creation disposable income invigorated market capitalism socially stable polity economic gains equitably distributed virtuous cycle created workers paid competent managers compensate higher wages better machinery improving way work organised bring better products higher productivity increased profits turn lead higher wagesp pit wont easy biden little choice present sustainable world shortages fragile supply chain links degradation national security interests america continues path soon face ultimate inefficiency economists seldom address dangerous international confrontations ultimately warp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howbidencansaveamericaappcommentsview 8 commentsa

6168b838f9a1e868f1079f1e

Elite capture of foreign aid

pthe evidence is taken from overseas bank accounts and here is the abstractp blockquotepdo elites capture foreign aid this paper documents that aid disbursements to highly aiddependent countries coincide with sharp increases in bank deposits in offshore financial centers known for bank secrecy and private wealth management but not in other financial centers the estimates are not confounded by contemporaneous shocks such as civil conflicts natural disasters and financial crises and are robust to instrumenting with predetermined aid commitments the implied leakage rate is around 75 percentbr at the sample mean and tends to increase with the ratio of aid to gdp the findings are consistent with aid capture in the most aiddependent countriespblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjournalsuchicagoedudoiabs101086717455 target_blankthe full piecea via the excellent a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyrounduphealthfacts target_blankkevin lewisa  that is by jrgen juel andersen niels johannesen and bob rijkers and here is a relnoopener hrefhttpsdocuments1worldbankorgcurateden493201582052636710pdfelitecaptureofforeignaidevidencefromoffshorebankaccountspdf target_blanka less gated linkap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110elitecaptureofforeignaidhtmlelite capture of foreign aida appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthe evidence taken overseas bank accounts abstractp blockquotepdo elites capture foreign aid paper documents aid disbursements highly aiddependent countries coincide sharp increases bank deposits offshore financial centers known bank secrecy private wealth management financial centers estimates confounded contemporaneous shocks civil conflicts natural disasters financial crises robust instrumenting predetermined aid commitments implied leakage rate 75 percentbr sample mean tends increase ratio aid gdp findings consistent aid capture aiddependent countriespblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwjournalsuchicagoedudoiabs101086717455 target_blankthe piecea excellent relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyrounduphealthfacts target_blankkevin lewisa jrgen juel andersen niels johannesen bob rijkers relnoopener hrefhttpsdocuments1worldbankorgcurateden493201582052636710pdfelitecaptureofforeignaidevidencefromoffshorebankaccountspdf target_blanka gated linkap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110elitecaptureofforeignaidhtmlelite capture foreign aida appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

616a02c1c6bcbbacb3406778

Tyrone, your local Straussian, comments on “Trap House”

blockquotepi a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwhamiltoninternationalestatescomnewswhatisatraphousehtml target_blanktook ita to refer to a place where drugs are sold but you might be trapped either by the police or by the attendant lifestyle and its appeals  the yale federalist society was proclaming itself comparable to such a trap house and thus at the same time broadcasting both its appeal and its potential dangerp pby calling itself such a trap house in a funny selfreferring way it became one  a kind of opposite to the liars paradox  how many other claims become true by the mere act of making them  i am making a claim now would be one of thempblockquote pstrongtylerstrong so says tyrone  but he is a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomstyrone target_blankvery consistently wronga  and if you dont know what tyrone is talking about in this incoherent philosophically naive missive it is not worth trying to find outp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110tyroneyourlocalstraussiancommentsontraphousehtmltyrone your local straussian comments on trap housea appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepi relnoopener hrefhttpswwwhamiltoninternationalestatescomnewswhatisatraphousehtml target_blanktook ita refer place drugs sold trapped police attendant lifestyle appeals yale federalist society proclaming comparable trap house time broadcasting appeal potential dangerp pby calling trap house funny selfreferring way kind opposite liars paradox claims true mere act making making claim thempblockquote pstrongtylerstrong says tyrone relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomstyrone target_blankvery consistently wronga dont know tyrone talking incoherent philosophically naive missive worth trying find outp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110tyroneyourlocalstraussiancommentsontraphousehtmltyrone local straussian comments trap housea appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

616a02f2c6bcbbacb340677e

All hands on deck: Neurodiversity and the future of work

pin the context of todays postpandemic a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgopedsthegreatdisappearingworkerhttpswwwaeiorgopedstherearenosimpleanswersforourlabormarketproblems target_blanklabor shortagea and jobs a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamericansurveycenterorgresearchthegreatamericanjobsreshuffle target_blankreshufflinga our economy needs all hands on deck at the end of august the number of job openings was a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwblsgovnewsreleasejoltshtm target_blank104 milliona even if we were able to match all currently unemployed workers to the available jobs wed still be about 2 million workers short the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgopedsourcurrentlaborshortageisjustasneakpeekintothefuture target_blankfuture demographic squeezea means this shortage may very well persistp pthe bottom line is this we have no workers to waste and one persistently excluded pool of talent is neurodivergent individuals neurodiversity activist alix generous who will be speaking at aeis a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeventsneurodiversityandthefutureofwork target_blankeventa next week on the topic of neurodiversity in the workplace gave a ted talk titled a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvtzqdewp48mu target_blankcomplex problems require unique mindsa her message applies now more than everp pneurodiversity refers to the idea that there are developmental differences in our brains that create normal variations amongst minds that have both unique strengths and differences neurodivergent individuals include those on the autism spectrum as well as those with adhd bipolar dyslexia and several other intellectual and developmental profilesp pdepending on how the term neurodivergent is defined between a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwworkdesigncom201912designingforneurodiversityandinclusion target_blank10 and 30 percenta of the population has a neurodivergent trait in the case of autism every year 50000 children on the autism spectrum reach the age of 18 and a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomnationalhealthsciencethetransitiontocollegecanbetoughevenmoresoifyouhaveautism20171103b45da6bebd9b11e78444a0d4f04b89eb_storyhtmlhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomnationalhealthsciencethetransitiontocollegecanbetoughevenmoresoifyouhaveautism20171103b45da6bebd9b11e78444a0d4f04b89eb_storyhtml target_blank44 percenta pursue some sort of postsecondary education in order to prepare for the labor market and employment yet a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwmarketwatchcomstorymostcollegegradswithautismcantfindjobsthisgroupisfixingthat201704105881421 target_blankover 80 percenta of adults on the spectrum go on to be unemployed half of those on the spectrum that are employed are a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesjenniferpalumbo20210427whyautismspeaksisencouragingcompaniestohirethoseontheautisticspectrumsh4143ab5c52a2 target_blankunderemployeda meaning that they have skillsets that go beyond what their job requiresp pwork is a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgarticlesshoulddisabledworkersgetthefederalminimumwage target_blankintegral to social wellbeinga as well as developing meaning purpose and sense of contribution to community but work isnt just good for neurodivergent workers it is also good for employers by excluding neurodivergent individuals from the workforce we lose their a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpshbrorg201705neurodiversityasacompetitiveadvantage target_blankunique gifts and skillsa such as exceptional pattern recognition and recall capacity as well as denying them the satisfaction of being recognized and valued companies such as microsoft and hewlettpackard reformed their hiring processes to improve access to neurodivergent talent and have seen productivity gains as well as increased employee engagement for both neurotypical and neurodivergent workersp peven still simply hiring more neurodivergent workers is not enough to truly increase opportunity its important to create welcoming accessible workplaces and workflows that align jobs to talent and social capacity part of the solution for businesses may be a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesasremoteworkbecomesthenormvastnewpossibilitiesopenforpeoplewithautism11615222804 target_blankremote worka which helps these employees work around difficult social situations they have difficulty processingp pemployers should also seek to learn from the governmental and the nonprofit sectors which have experience employing neurodivergent persons federal contractors are required to take proactive steps to recruit hire retain and promote qualified persons with disabilities both physical and mental with an employment target of a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwdolgovagenciesofccpfaqssection503 target_blank7 percenta the problem with such mandates is they communicate that incorporating such workers is a burden rather than an opportunity for the business and the worker failing to recognize and value these individuals for what they can do rather than looking only at limitations is both unfair after all who among us doesnt have some sort of limitation and counterproductivep pwere going to explore these themes in greater depth on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeventsneurodiversityandthefutureofwork target_blankmondaya hope you can join us to hear more about how to create more inclusive work environments and bring in more of the talent our economy needsp divpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgopedsthegreatdisappearingworkerthe great disappearing workera a hrefhttpswwwaeiorguncategorizedthefutureofremoteworkhighlightsfrommyconversationwithnicholasbloomthe future of remote work highlights from my conversation with nicholas blooma a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpovertystudiesonwardtoopportunitystandinginthegapforveteranemploymentonward to opportunity standing in the gap for veteran employmentapdiv pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpovertystudiesallhandsondeckneurodiversityandthefutureofworkall hands on deck neurodiversity and the future of worka appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pin context todays postpandemic relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgopedsthegreatdisappearingworkerhttpswwwaeiorgopedstherearenosimpleanswersforourlabormarketproblems target_blanklabor shortagea jobs relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamericansurveycenterorgresearchthegreatamericanjobsreshuffle target_blankreshufflinga economy needs hands deck end august number job openings relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwblsgovnewsreleasejoltshtm target_blank104 milliona able match currently unemployed workers available jobs wed 2 million workers short relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgopedsourcurrentlaborshortageisjustasneakpeekintothefuture target_blankfuture demographic squeezea means shortage persistp pthe line workers waste persistently excluded pool talent neurodivergent individuals neurodiversity activist alix generous speaking aeis relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeventsneurodiversityandthefutureofwork target_blankeventa week topic neurodiversity workplace gave ted talk titled relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvtzqdewp48mu target_blankcomplex problems require unique mindsa message applies everp pneurodiversity refers idea developmental differences brains create normal variations minds unique strengths differences neurodivergent individuals include autism spectrum adhd bipolar dyslexia intellectual developmental profilesp pdepending term neurodivergent defined relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwworkdesigncom201912designingforneurodiversityandinclusion target_blank10 30 percenta population neurodivergent trait case autism year 50000 children autism spectrum reach age 18 relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomnationalhealthsciencethetransitiontocollegecanbetoughevenmoresoifyouhaveautism20171103b45da6bebd9b11e78444a0d4f04b89eb_storyhtmlhttpswwwwashingtonpostcomnationalhealthsciencethetransitiontocollegecanbetoughevenmoresoifyouhaveautism20171103b45da6bebd9b11e78444a0d4f04b89eb_storyhtml target_blank44 percenta pursue sort postsecondary education order prepare labor market employment relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwmarketwatchcomstorymostcollegegradswithautismcantfindjobsthisgroupisfixingthat201704105881421 target_blankover 80 percenta adults spectrum unemployed half spectrum employed relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitesjenniferpalumbo20210427whyautismspeaksisencouragingcompaniestohirethoseontheautisticspectrumsh4143ab5c52a2 target_blankunderemployeda meaning skillsets job requiresp pwork relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgarticlesshoulddisabledworkersgetthefederalminimumwage target_blankintegral social wellbeinga developing meaning purpose sense contribution community work isnt good neurodivergent workers good employers excluding neurodivergent individuals workforce lose relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpshbrorg201705neurodiversityasacompetitiveadvantage target_blankunique gifts skillsa exceptional pattern recognition recall capacity denying satisfaction recognized valued companies microsoft hewlettpackard reformed hiring processes improve access neurodivergent talent seen productivity gains increased employee engagement neurotypical neurodivergent workersp peven simply hiring neurodivergent workers truly increase opportunity important create welcoming accessible workplaces workflows align jobs talent social capacity solution businesses relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesasremoteworkbecomesthenormvastnewpossibilitiesopenforpeoplewithautism11615222804 target_blankremote worka helps employees work difficult social situations difficulty processingp pemployers seek learn governmental nonprofit sectors experience employing neurodivergent persons federal contractors required proactive steps recruit hire retain promote qualified persons disabilities physical mental employment target relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwdolgovagenciesofccpfaqssection503 target_blank7 percenta problem mandates communicate incorporating workers burden opportunity business worker failing recognize value individuals looking limitations unfair doesnt sort limitation counterproductivep pwere going explore themes greater depth relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeventsneurodiversityandthefutureofwork target_blankmondaya hope join hear create inclusive work environments bring talent economy needsp divpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgopedsthegreatdisappearingworkerthe great disappearing workera hrefhttpswwwaeiorguncategorizedthefutureofremoteworkhighlightsfrommyconversationwithnicholasbloomthe future remote work highlights conversation nicholas blooma hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpovertystudiesonwardtoopportunitystandinginthegapforveteranemploymentonward opportunity standing gap veteran employmentapdiv pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpovertystudiesallhandsondeckneurodiversityandthefutureofworkall hands deck neurodiversity future worka appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

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Now-defunct publicity markets in everything

blockquote pthe official wizard of a datalinknamein body link hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworldnewzealand datacomponentautolinkedtagnew zealanda perhaps the only stateappointed wizard in the world has been cast from the public payroll spelling the end to a 23year legacyp pthe wizard whose real name is ian brackenbury channell 88 had been contracted to christchurch city council for the past two decades to promote the city through acts of wizardry and other wizardlike services at a cost of 16000 a year he has been paid a total of 368000p blockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021oct15newzealandcouncilendscontractwithwizardaftertwodecadesofservicecmpshare_androidapp_other target_blankthe full storya and for the pointer i thank p  and speaking of marketing here is a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomsameerchishtystatus1448946323139477504 target_blankvaccine markets in everythingap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110nowdefunctpublicitymarketsineverythinghtmlnowdefunct publicity markets in everythinga appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquote pthe official wizard ofa datalinknamein body link hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworldnewzealand datacomponentautolinkedtagnew zealanda stateappointed wizard world cast public payroll spelling end 23year legacyp pthe wizard real ian brackenbury channell 88 contracted christchurch city council past decades promote city acts wizardry wizardlike services cost 16000 year paid total 368000p blockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomworld2021oct15newzealandcouncilendscontractwithwizardaftertwodecadesofservicecmpshare_androidapp_other target_blankthe storya pointer thank p speaking marketing relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomsameerchishtystatus1448946323139477504 target_blankvaccine markets everythingap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110nowdefunctpublicitymarketsineverythinghtmlnowdefunct publicity markets everythinga appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Can It Ever Be “Too Late” For a Career Breakthrough? Research Says No

pa few months ago in the heat of oura hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20210522yesitsgoingtobeahotvaxsummerhtml hot vaxaa hrefhttpswwwglamourmagazinecoukarticlehotgirlsummerdefinition hot girl summera i turned 30 up until that point it had hardly been the year id been dreaming of to ring in my next decade i spent winter and spring cooped up alone in my apartment trying out new hobbies to fill the time where i would normally be out and about but just in time for summer the stars aligned social life opened up and travel was possible again as my 30th birthday approachedp div h3behavioral science democratizedh3 div pwe make 35000 decisions each day often in environments that arent conducive to making sound choices p pat tdl we work with organizations in the public and private sectorsfrom new startups to governments to established players like the gates foundationto debias decisionmaking and create better outcomes for everyonep div a hrefhttpsthedecisionlabcomconsultingservices more about our services a div pi started to consider what comes next when the summer slides into fall and we migrate indoors once again what will become my focus more existentially will i have bid all my best years adieu or are they just around the corner p plooking for advice wisdom and inspiration grounded in science i did a lot of reading conventional wisdom tells us to sharpen our focus in four realms in our lives relationships finances health and our careers in terms of relationships there is ample research ona hrefhttpsthedecisionlabcominsightsbusinesscanborrowingbringustogether friendshipsaa hrefhttpsthedecisionlabcominsightssocietydodatingappsaffectrelationshipdecisionmaking datinga and longterm a hrefhttpsbehavioralscientistorgmasteringmodernloveloganuryonbuildingbetterrelationshipsthroughbehavioralscienceromantic partnersa theres also extensive literature on how to establish healthy habits and a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsthedecisionlabcominsightsfinancetdlstudyimprovingfinancialdecisionmaking target_blankfinancial advicea to help us save for later lifep pbut what about our careers is the window for a career breakthrough gone by the time our twenties run out in other words if i spent my twenties diving into different interests and concerns but had not yet found the one in many senses emother than my careerem had i missed the boat i needed only to open my iphone to be reminded of whitney wolfe herd of bumble daniel ek of spotify or evan spiegel of snapchat who all had their big break before they turned 30p pa research paper published in september continues in a line of research on the hotstreak phenomenon it turns out reaching career greatness might not be so agedependent as we might think but instead dependent on a particular style of workp h2exploration vs exploitationh2 pa 2021 paper by lu liu and colleaguessup1sup looked at the career trajectories of thousands of famous painters film directors and scientists they found a unique pattern among those with mega fame across the three fields those who became superstars had a period of exploration before their hot streak after the hot streak of success began the superstar became more focused on their pursuits in a process the researchers called exploitation milking an effective styleapproachmethodology for all it was worthp pneither exploration nor exploitation alone predicted a hot streak it was the empatternem of exploration followed by exploitation that was the winning combinationthe key to the breakaway success of figures like jackson pollock in his drip period or peter jackson in the era of emthe lord of the ringsem among others p pthis finding is a blessing for millennials everywhere who have taken to heart the wisdom that one should try everything once in their 20sand who have not yet found their calling however a few questions remain how do we know to stop exploring and start exploiting furthermore how do we know when the period of exploration has turned into good old procrastination and what role does productivity playp h2if exploration plus exploitation is the secret sauce when do i start eitherh2 preceived wisdom tells us that peak performance comes in our 30s and lasts until our 40swhen we have built up experience in our fields but still have the energy and enthusiasm to sustain high productivitysup11sup conventional thought also implies that when we have reached our 30s its time to settle down and get serious in other words we should stop exploring and start exploiting p phowever this intuition does not match up with the evidence when looking at people who have excelled in film writing music and academia the timing of superstardom appears to be random a scientists highestimpact publication the metric for scientific excellence can happen at any time in their career not necessarily when they were young and full of energysup10sup p psimilarly for creative careers in film books and music luck is found to be an important driver of career success researchers have dubbed this the randomimpact rulesup4sup for scientists this principle applies across various disciplines and career lengths regardless of the decade an individual came to fame or if they published in teams or alonesup10sup see note 3 for more on the role of teams  p pwhat is the catch productivity still had a defining effect on the timing of an individuals highestimpact worksup10sup looking at the achievements of scientists researchers found that on average impact increased over time and that this was a result of increasing productivity not growing ability or excellence p pit appears then that if we can maintain high productivity and remain open to new opportunities our big break might be just around the corner p h2when the going is good get goingh2 pwhen you are in a flow and you have found a sense of career confidence and success what do you do next must we produce as much as possible when the going is goodp presearchers have found that in general artists and film directors experience hot streaks lasting for around five years for scientists such bursts typically last four yearssup11sup the same researchers also stressed that hot streaks were not characterized by increased productivity individuals did not produce more during these periods but what they did produce was more impactful than their previous or future workp pwhats more it is not just the first big break that happens at random a second and even third big break also happen randomlysup10sup that means even at midlife assuming 80 is the average lifespan there is still potential for another big break to happen virtually at any time see note 1 p pin conclusion when the going is good try to maintain your flow but do not stress about pushing out as much content as possible it also tells us that an ebb and flow of excellence can be expected we cannot always be on top p h2what is the advice to nearly 30yearoldsh2 pis it all over at 30 the simple answer is no not for those who persevere dame zaha hadid the renowned architect produced her internationally recognized graduate thesis a hrefhttpswwwzahahadidcomarchitecturemalevichstektonikmalevichs tektonika at age 27but it was not until 1997 at 47 years old that hadid received her first big commission to design the cincinnati art museumsup3sup by the 90s the technology required to bring her groundbreaking visions to life was finally available and from there she became the internationally famous architect we know today p pno freshly minted 30yearold has gotten there unscathed as scott barry kaufmann 2015 writes doing things differently sometimes involves doing things badly or wrong this is a message anyone in their early thirties hopefully learned through trial and error what we can learn from the careers of outstanding artists scientists and filmmakers is that having spent ones 30s exploring mayem emnot be a waste of time looking at figures like jackson pollock see note 2 and hadid we see that even into our 30s exploration can yield astounding success and superstardom furthermore only recently have longevity researchers like laura carstensen of stanford started to come out to say that fulltime careers shouldcould start in ones 40ssup9supp pit seems therefore that there is no easy answer as to when one should stop exploring however there is a clear message that success can happen at any time in a persons career and the only true way to prevent a hot streak is to stop working altogethersup11supp h2what can we do for greater success todayh2 pif youre not yet a famous painter director or scientist fear not this compelling research shows us that dedicated exploration collaboration with differently skilled people and consistent productivity are the ingredients for success this research also does not discount the role of luck however in our careers and personal success note 4 p pperhaps you will not find this research to be particularly groundbreakingemof course it has a lot to do with random chanceem however for artists it highlights a thought that often occurs in retrospect one article commenter i found explained this dilemma perfectly many artists including myself struggle with neverending exploration and producing a large body of work ending in the drawer while the exploitation step is obvious emwhen to initiate and how long emto sustain it is less sosup8supp pthis message might therefore come at the right moment for you fellow reader emanytimeem is a good time for a breakthrough p h3notes h3 ollilui et al 2021 also call out the career of nobel laureate and chemist john fenn fenn won the nobel prize in chemistry at age 85 for work he started only after he wasem semiretired in his late 60semliliin a similar vein mozart died at 35 having produced his most famous works in the couple of years leading up to his death jackson pollock was 35 at the time of his drip period and continued until he was 39 peter jackson was 40 when he directed the emlord of the ringsem trilogy lilithe impact of leveraging a team and our connections both strong and weak ties is measurable during a hot streak scientists were found to work with large teams while in the lead up to their stardom they had experimented with new concepts with smaller teamssup2sup furthermore network scientist barabsisup1sup wrote how to reach the top of the corporate ladder replace the idea of a corporate ladder with a social bridgewe never work in isolation we need to find the hubs that can accelerate our trajectories and reach out to them no matter what our discipline islilithis article does not take the role of luck into account however researchers have commented on its importance and it was written about in daniel kahnemanns 2011 bestseller emthinking fast and slowem luck plays a large role in every story of success it is almost always easy to identify a small change in the story that would have turned a remarkable achievement into a mediocre outcomeliol pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsthedecisionlabcominsightssocietycaniteverbetoolateforacareerbreakthroughresearchsaysnocan it ever be too late for a career breakthrough research says noa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsthedecisionlabcomthe decision labap

pa months ago heat oura hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20210522yesitsgoingtobeahotvaxsummerhtml hot vaxaa hrefhttpswwwglamourmagazinecoukarticlehotgirlsummerdefinitionhot girl summera turned 30 point hardly year id dreaming ring decade spent winter spring cooped apartment trying new hobbies fill time normally time summer stars aligned social life opened travel possible 30th birthday approachedp div h3behavioral science democratizedh3 div pwe 35000 decisions day environments arent conducive making sound choices p pat tdl work organizations public private sectorsfrom new startups governments established players like gates foundationto debias decisionmaking create better outcomes everyonep div hrefhttpsthedecisionlabcomconsultingservices services div pi started consider comes summer slides fall migrate indoors focus existentially bid best years adieu cornerp plooking advice wisdom inspiration grounded science lot reading conventional wisdom tells sharpen focus realms lives relationships finances health careers terms relationships ample research ona hrefhttpsthedecisionlabcominsightsbusinesscanborrowingbringustogether friendshipsaa hrefhttpsthedecisionlabcominsightssocietydodatingappsaffectrelationshipdecisionmaking datinga longterm hrefhttpsbehavioralscientistorgmasteringmodernloveloganuryonbuildingbetterrelationshipsthroughbehavioralscienceromantic partnersa theres extensive literature establish healthy habits relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsthedecisionlabcominsightsfinancetdlstudyimprovingfinancialdecisionmaking target_blankfinancial advicea help save later lifep pbut careers window career breakthrough gone time twenties run words spent twenties diving different interests concerns found senses emother careerem missed boat needed open iphone reminded whitney wolfe herd bumble daniel ek spotify evan spiegel snapchat big break turned 30p pa research paper published september continues line research hotstreak phenomenon turns reaching career greatness agedependent think instead dependent particular style workp h2exploration vs exploitationh2 pa 2021 paper lu liu colleaguessup1sup looked career trajectories thousands famous painters film directors scientists found unique pattern mega fame fields superstars period exploration hot streak hot streak success began superstar focused pursuits process researchers called exploitation milking effective styleapproachmethodology worthp pneither exploration exploitation predicted hot streak empatternem exploration followed exploitation winning combinationthe key breakaway success figures like jackson pollock drip period peter jackson era emthe lord ringsem othersp pthis finding blessing millennials taken heart wisdom try 20sand found calling questions remain know stop exploring start exploiting furthermore know period exploration turned good old procrastination role productivity playp h2if exploration plus exploitation secret sauce start eitherh2 preceived wisdom tells peak performance comes 30s lasts 40swhen built experience fields energy enthusiasm sustain high productivitysup11sup conventional thought implies reached 30s time settle words stop exploring start exploitingp phowever intuition match evidence looking people excelled film writing music academia timing superstardom appears random scientists highestimpact publication metric scientific excellence happen time career necessarily young energysup10sup p psimilarly creative careers film books music luck found important driver career success researchers dubbed randomimpact rulesup4sup scientists principle applies disciplines career lengths regardless decade individual came fame published teams alonesup10sup note 3 role teamsp pwhat catch productivity defining effect timing individuals highestimpact worksup10sup looking achievements scientists researchers found average impact increased time result increasing productivity growing ability excellence p pit appears maintain high productivity remain open new opportunities big break cornerp h2when going good goingh2 pwhen flow found sense career confidence success produce possible going goodp presearchers found general artists film directors experience hot streaks lasting years scientists bursts typically yearssup11sup researchers stressed hot streaks characterized increased productivity individuals produce periods produce impactful previous future workp pwhats big break happens random second big break happen randomlysup10sup means midlife assuming 80 average lifespan potential big break happen virtually time note 1p pin conclusion going good try maintain flow stress pushing content possible tells ebb flow excellence expected topp h2what advice nearly 30yearoldsh2 pis 30 simple answer persevere dame zaha hadid renowned architect produced internationally recognized graduate thesis hrefhttpswwwzahahadidcomarchitecturemalevichstektonikmalevichs tektonika age 27but 1997 47 years old hadid received big commission design cincinnati art museumsup3sup 90s technology required bring groundbreaking visions life finally available internationally famous architect know todayp pno freshly minted 30yearold gotten unscathed scott barry kaufmann 2015 writes things differently involves things badly wrong message early thirties hopefully learned trial error learn careers outstanding artists scientists filmmakers having spent ones 30s exploring mayem emnot waste time looking figures like jackson pollock note 2 hadid 30s exploration yield astounding success superstardom furthermore recently longevity researchers like laura carstensen stanford started come fulltime careers shouldcould start ones 40ssup9supp pit easy answer stop exploring clear message success happen time persons career true way prevent hot streak stop working altogethersup11supp h2what greater success todayh2 pif youre famous painter director scientist fear compelling research shows dedicated exploration collaboration differently skilled people consistent productivity ingredients success research discount role luck careers personal success note 4p pperhaps find research particularly groundbreakingemof course lot random chanceem artists highlights thought occurs retrospect article commenter found explained dilemma perfectlymany artists including struggle neverending exploration producing large body work ending drawer exploitation step obvious emwhen initiate long emto sustain sosup8supp pthis message come right moment fellow reader emanytimeem good time breakthroughp h3notesh3 ollilui et al 2021 career nobel laureate chemist john fenn fenn won nobel prize chemistry age 85 work started wasem semiretired late 60semliliin similar vein mozart died 35 having produced famous works couple years leading death jackson pollock 35 time drip period continued 39peter jackson 40 directed emlord ringsem trilogylilithe impact leveraging team connections strong weak ties measurable hot streak scientists found work large teams lead stardom experimented new concepts smaller teamssup2sup furthermore network scientist barabsisup1sup wrote reach corporate ladder replace idea corporate ladder social bridgewe work isolation need find hubs accelerate trajectories reach matter discipline islilithis article role luck account researchers commented importance written daniel kahnemanns 2011 bestseller emthinking fast slowem luck plays large role story success easy identify small change story turned remarkable achievement mediocre outcomeliol pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsthedecisionlabcominsightssocietycaniteverbetoolateforacareerbreakthroughresearchsaysnocan late career breakthrough research says noa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsthedecisionlabcomthe decision labap

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An update on my efforts to challenge Title VI and Title IX violations in higher education despite new resistance from Biden’s Office for Civil Rights

div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202106titlevipngx91208img alt width500 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202106titlevipngx91208 classwpimage1008603616 height167afigurediv div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads201912titleixpngx91208img alt width500 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads201912titleixpngx91208 classwpimage1008549214 height167afigurediv pregular visitors to carpe diem know that for the last several years i have been on a oneman mission to challenge the frequent and brazen violations in higher education of title ixs prohibition of sex discrimination and title vis prohibition of discrimination based on race and skin color as professor philip carl salzman a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemdoourwokeuniversitiesliveuptotheirownvalues target_blankpointed out last yeara universities regularly engage in a hypocritical double standard inclusion and equity for females people of color lgbtq and muslims exclusion and inequity for males whites heterosexuals christians jews and east asians in the orwellian tradition that is a central tenet of campus wokeness some campus groups are more equal than others and title ix and title vi have historically been enforced only for the preferred groups but not for the unpreferred groups its the numerous routine violations of federal civil rights laws and the doublestandard for enforcement of those laws that have motivated me to file nearly 400 title ix and title vi complaints against us universities for illegally violating the civil rights of unpreferred groups p pheres a summary of my civil rights advocacy this year sorry for the length but theres a lot to report p p1 strongcomplaintsstrong so far this year i have filed 100 title ix and title vi complaints with the office for civil rights for more than 300 violations of title ix and title vi at us colleges and universities of those 100 complaints 30 are for title vi violations 52 are for title ix violations and 18 are for violations of both title ix and title vi that brings the total number of civil rights complaints filed to 371 for nearly 1500 violations since the fall of 2018 which i am sure is the greatest number of title ixvi complaints ever filed by an individual its especially troubling that universities and colleges regularly certify to the department of education that they are strictly enforcing title ix and title as a legal condition of continuing to receive taxpayer dollars despite those regular and frequently false certifications most universities routinely violate titles ix and vi and that is what has motivated me to file nearly 400 federal civil rights complaints p p2 stronginvestigationsstrong in 2021 the office for civil rights ocr has so far opened federal civil rights investigations based on my complaints at 43 universities mostly for femaleonly and some women of color only scholarships faculty and student awards fellowships stem camps leadership programs and stem programs including harvard 2 new york university william and mary 4 carnegiemellon ithaca college seton hall villanova lehigh 5 cal tech maryland 7 ucdiego cal tech and pennsylvania 2 that brings the total number of federal ocr investigations based on my title ix complaints to 164 since january 2019 p p3 strongresolutionsstrong its been encouraging that more than 40 colleges and universities as a result of my complaints have corrected their title ix violations this year either preemptively once a federal civil rights investigation was opened or as a result of a resolution agreement with the office for civil rights at the conclusion of an investigation including the following you can view the a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwscribdcomdocument532521707titleixresolutionsin2021 target_blankentire list hereap ullistrongwake forest universitys strongschool of medicines girls in stem program was converted to a coeducational programlilistrongthe university of minnesotastrong terminated its womenonly gym hourslilistronguniversity of wisconsingreen baysstrong girls stem day conference was canceledlilistrongwayne state universitystrong is no longer hosting black girls code programs lilistrongucsan diego strongterminated its women in negotiation programlilistrongbrown universitysstrong girlsgetmath program is now coeducationallilistrongthe university of pennsylvaniasstrong femaleonly penn academy for reproductive sciences is now open to all gendersliul poverall its been a great year so far with corrections of title ix violations at more than 40 institutions to date in 2021 which is more than twice the number for successful resolutions in all of 2020 i would be hopeful for continued success and more corrections except for some recent troubling developments that i describe in below   p p4 strongnew troubles with the office for civil rightsstrong ocr both president biden and the secretary of education miguel cardona have made public statements this year that would seem to support my work advancing civil rights for all students and faculty in higher education in march of this year biden issued an a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbriefingroompresidentialactions20210308executiveorderonguaranteeinganeducationalenvironmentfreefromdiscriminationonthebasisofsexincludingsexualorientationorgenderidentity target_blankexecutive order on guaranteeing an educational environment free from discrimination on the basis of sex including sexual orientation or gender identitya where he saidp blockquote classwpblockquotepit is the policy of my administration that all students should be guaranteed an educational environment strongfree from discrimination on the basis of sexstrong for students attending schools and other educational institutions that receive federal financial assistance this guarantee is codified in part in title ix of the education amendments of 1972 20 usc 1681 et seq which prohibits discrimination on the basis of sex in education programs or activities receiving federal financial assistance pblockquote pin june secretary cardona issued the statement a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpscontentgovdeliverycomaccountsusedbulletins2e5043b target_blanktitle ix the strongest tool in protecting educational opportunities free from sex discriminationap blockquote classwpblockquoteptoday marks 49 years since the passage of title ix the strongest tool we have to protect strongevery students right to equal access to educational opportunities free from sex discriminationstrong because of this landmark rule our nation has made important progress toward realizing our selfconcept as stronga land of opportunity for all strongto strongprotecting students from sex discriminationstrong im proud of the actions the bidenharris administration has taken so far in ensuring that strongtitle ix protects the civil rights of all studentsstrong  as secretary of education i am committed to ensuring strongtitle ix works for all students and provides equal access to opportunities that will enrich students educational experiences and their futuresstrong pblockquote pdespite biden and cardonas supposed guarantee of an educational environment free from discrimination on the basis of sex and ensuring that title ix protects the civil rights of all students there have been some troubling signs that the office for civil rights under biden and cardona is actually now actively and deliberately enabling universities to violate title ix and continue their discriminatory practices the guarantee of a discriminationfree educational experience and protection of civil rights now apparently only applies to preferred groups women but not to unpreferred groups men even though men have statistically been an underrepresented minority urm in higher education for 40 years p pthe ocrs new enabling of higher educations illegal sex discrimination that is in direct contradiction to the discriminationfree guarantees of biden and cardona has taken place with several new troubling developments in a significant departure from past practices the ocr is now frequently requiring complainants to provide a identities of actual victims and specific instances of sex discrimination and b direct public statements by university officials that essentially admit their university is violating title ix p phere is a recent example of a request for additional information that i received from the denver office for civil rights regarding a discriminatory program that clearly operates exclusively for women at the university of new mexico the women in stem faculty awards doesnt the name alone tell you everything you need to know you can read my a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwscribdcomdocument532478605universityofnewmexicotitleixcomplaint target_blankoriginal complaint herea from may 13 2020 where i provide numerous genderspecific female references from university websites that along with the program name and documentation that only female faculty have ever received this award provide overwhelming evidence that this is a femaleonly program in fact the stated eligibility requirement for this award is clearly restricted to tenuretrack tenured and research strongwomen faculty members at unmstrong p ulliplease provide instances when a male applied for the women in stem award and was denied because of his sexliliplease provide statements by program officials indicating that the women in stem awards are exclusively for women or that men are excluded from applying or receiving an award or grant under the programliul pof course there would be no instances of a male faculty at unm who ever purposefully applied for an award for which he is clearly ineligible based on the clearly stated femaleonly eligibility requirement to apply for unms women in stem awards is quite timeconsuming and a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsadvanceunmeduwpcontentuploads201911wiscallforproposals2020rpdf target_blankrequires many many pages of documentationa including a cover page summary project description budget with justification curriculum vitae signed statement agreeing to award conditions and a statement of current and pending support including all external funding it should be totally obvious even to a government bureaucrat that no male unm faculty member has ever devoted the many hours required to apply for the women in stem award when it would be so obviously an unproductive exercise in futility asking for names of actual victims that dont exist is apparently a new ocr tactic that will now be used as an excuse for dismissing a valid title ix complaint about a valid title ix violation that will enable a university like unm to continue to engage in illegal discrimination to benefit one of the preferred groups mentioned above  p pit should be noted that ocr regulations do not require legal standing and do not require that a complainant identify a specific individual who has suffered an individualized injury before curing facial discrimination and emper seem facial violations of title ixs prohibition of sex discrimination as outlined above the ocr has resolved more than 40 complaints just so far this year that required universities to correct title ix violations without ever asking for names of actual victims the fact that this is now happening under biden signifies a major departure from past practices of ocr and a departure from ocr regulations and policies if the situation were reversed and a complaint was filed for a men in stem award or a white men in stem award it seems obvious that the ocr would not be asking for examples of women or blacks who applied to those programs and were denied because of sex or race as part of a federal civil rights investigation        p psecondly it should be equally obvious that unm officials would not make any explicit statements publicly that men are excluded from applying for the women in stem awards because it would be publicly admitting that it is violating the civil rights of male faculty and engaging in illegal discrimination however there are dozens of public statements by unm that do communicate to the public that the awards are exclusively and preferentially available only to women which violates title ix and i provided 15 such statements to the denver ocr here are tenp ollian anonymous gift has been made to unm to support research by and professorships for strongwomen facultystrong in science technology engineering and mathematics stem liliincome from investment of this gift will be used to assist strongunm women tenuretrack and tenured assistant and associate stem professorsstrong with establishing new research areas and developing research collaborationslilistrongeligibilitystrong tenuretrack tenured and research strongwomen faculty membersstrong at unm who hold the rank of assistant or associate professor and are pursuing research in areas supported by nsf nih nonclinical or doe are eligible to apply  lilipriority will be given to proposals that assist strongwomen assistant and associate stem professorsstrong with establishing new research areas and developing research collaborationslili15k for seed funding for new research if strongtwo women stem facultystrong at unm collaborate on a proposallilithe awards are supported by an anonymous gift made in 2015 to unm to support research by and professorships for strongwomen faculty in stemstrong lili unm provost james holloway applauded the awards which foster the ongoing success of strongwomen scientistsstronglilisince 2016 strong39 womenstrong in a variety of stem fields across unm have been named as recipients of the awardlili the call is open for strongwomen facultystrong in the university of new mexicos stem fields to apply for a variety of grants as part of the 2021 women in stem awards the call is being released earlier than in past years to encourage strongmore womenstrong to applylili unm provost james holloway said the awards aim to acknowledge the variety and depth of work done by strongwomen faculty membersstrong at the university the contributions of our strongfemale facultystrong in creating new knowledge in educating our students and in serving our state are astounding i am pleased that we are able to express our gratitude by rewarding them with the 2021 strongwomen strongin stem awardsliol pin what ill call a dirty dismissal the denver ocr issued a dismissal letter last month stating that ocr cannot infer that discrimination may have occurred or may be occurring at unm for its femaleonly women in stem awards additionally the ocrs dismissal stated that while the materials encourage women faculty to apply there is no evidence of an express statement that the award program is awarded on the basis of sex further the programs promotional materials do not include a restriction or preference based on sex p pstrongwhatstrong the university clearly states that eligibility is restricted to tenuretrack tenured and research strongwomen faculty membersstrong it has given the award exclusively to strong39 female facultystrong over the last six years and 0 males and it makes dozens of statements confirming conclusively that there is not just a preference based on sex but an actual strict eligibility requirement based on sex for this strongfemaleonly awardstrong p pfurther the ocr cited my lack of identifying actual victims in its dismissal by writing ocr asked whether you were aware of any individuals who were denied the opportunity to participate in the award program because of their sex you responded but did not identify any individuals who were denied participation because of their sex well of course i couldnt identify any specific victims of sex discrimination because its obvious that no male faculty at unm has ever spent the time to apply for an award for which he is clearly ineligible and there would be no paper trail or instances of such discrimination p pfinally the ocr stated that it is dismissing the complaint because ocr lacks sufficient factual detail to infer that the universitys women in stem award program violates title ix how about just the discriminatory name of the program that alone suggests a title ix violation without the additional mountain of evidence presented in detail after all its not the unm faculty stem award or the women and men stem award but the women [only] in stem award  p palthough this is perhaps the most egregious case to date of ocrs disregard of past practices and a direct contradiction of biden and cardonas discriminationfree guarantee and ive filed an appeal it reflects what is apparently the new ocr playbook that will increasingly be used to dismiss valid complaints of title ix violations give us instances and the names of actual victims of sex discrimination and provide us with specific statements from universities stating that men are excluded from participating in femaleonly programs if you cant provide any actual victims and any incriminating statements from university officials well dismiss your valid complaint and allow the university to continue to discriminate but of course only when the discrimination benefits preferred groups p puniversities for decades have been guilty of both violating title ix and enforcing federal civil rights laws selectively and have done so with impunity because nobody complained now that more than 500 title ix complaints have been filed by myself and others to hold universities accountable for many thousands of violations its the legal obligation of the ocr to investigate those violations and enforce title ix uniformly but the recent actions of the ocr under biden suggest that at least some regional ocr offices are willing to abrogate their legal responsibility to uphold the law and are instead enabling sanctioning and endorsing sex discrimination at universities like the university of new mexico welcome to the new orwellian world of bidens ocr where all students and faculty are guaranteed a discriminationfree experience in theory but where only some preferred groups will actually have that experience while other unpreferred groups will continue to be the victims of blatant illegal discrimination p palthough im discouraged to now have to fight both universities violating title ix and the ocrs new resistance to enforcing title ix ill continue to fight    p pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemanupdateonmyeffortstochallengetitleviandtitleixviolationsinhighereducationdespitenewresistancefrombidensofficeforcivilrightsan update on my efforts to challenge title vi and title ix violations in higher education despite new resistance from bidens office for civil rightsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202106titlevipngx91208img alt width500 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202106titlevipngx91208 classwpimage1008603616 height167afigurediv div classwpblockimagefigurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads201912titleixpngx91208img alt width500 srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads201912titleixpngx91208 classwpimage1008549214 height167afigurediv pregular visitors carpe diem know years oneman mission challenge frequent brazen violations higher education title ixs prohibition sex discrimination title vis prohibition discrimination based race skin color professor philip carl salzman relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemdoourwokeuniversitiesliveuptotheirownvalues target_blankpointed yeara universities regularly engage hypocritical double standard inclusion equity females people color lgbtq muslims exclusion inequity males whites heterosexuals christians jews east asians orwellian tradition central tenet campus wokeness campus groups equal title ix title vi historically enforced preferred groups unpreferred groups numerous routine violations federal civil rights laws doublestandard enforcement laws motivated file nearly 400 title ix title vi complaints universities illegally violating civil rights unpreferred groups p pheres summary civil rights advocacy year sorry length theres lot report p p1 strongcomplaintsstrong far year filed 100 title ix title vi complaints office civil rights 300 violations title ix title vi colleges universities 100 complaints 30 title vi violations 52 title ix violations 18 violations title ix title vi brings total number civil rights complaints filed 371 nearly 1500 violations fall 2018 sure greatest number title ixvi complaints filed individual especially troubling universities colleges regularly certify department education strictly enforcing title ix title legal condition continuing receive taxpayer dollars despite regular frequently false certifications universities routinely violate titles ix vi motivated file nearly 400 federal civil rights complaints p p2 stronginvestigationsstrong 2021 office civil rights ocr far opened federal civil rights investigations based complaints 43 universities femaleonly women color scholarships faculty student awards fellowships stem camps leadership programs stem programs including harvard 2 new york university william mary 4 carnegiemellon ithaca college seton hall villanova lehigh 5 cal tech maryland 7 ucdiego cal tech pennsylvania 2 brings total number federal ocr investigations based title ix complaints 164 january 2019 p p3 strongresolutionsstrong encouraging 40 colleges universities result complaints corrected title ix violations year preemptively federal civil rights investigation opened result resolution agreement office civil rights conclusion investigation including following view relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwscribdcomdocument532521707titleixresolutionsin2021 target_blankentire list hereap ullistrongwake forest universitys strongschool medicines girls stem program converted coeducational programlilistrongthe university minnesotastrong terminated womenonly gym hourslilistronguniversity wisconsingreen baysstrong girls stem day conference canceledlilistrongwayne state universitystrong longer hosting black girls code programs lilistrongucsan diego strongterminated women negotiation programlilistrongbrown universitysstrong girlsgetmath program coeducationallilistrongthe university pennsylvaniasstrong femaleonly penn academy reproductive sciences open gendersliul poverall great year far corrections title ix violations 40 institutions date 2021 twice number successful resolutions 2020 hopeful continued success corrections recent troubling developments describe p p4 strongnew troubles office civil rightsstrong ocr president biden secretary education miguel cardona public statements year support work advancing civil rights students faculty higher education march year biden issued relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbriefingroompresidentialactions20210308executiveorderonguaranteeinganeducationalenvironmentfreefromdiscriminationonthebasisofsexincludingsexualorientationorgenderidentity target_blankexecutive order guaranteeing educational environment free discrimination basis sex including sexual orientation gender identitya saidp blockquote classwpblockquotepit policy administration students guaranteed educational environment strongfree discrimination basis sexstrong students attending schools educational institutions receive federal financial assistance guarantee codified title ix education amendments 1972 20 usc 1681 et seq prohibits discrimination basis sex education programs activities receiving federal financial assistance pblockquote pin june secretary cardona issued statement relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpscontentgovdeliverycomaccountsusedbulletins2e5043b target_blanktitle ix strongest tool protecting educational opportunities free sex discriminationap blockquote classwpblockquoteptoday marks 49 years passage title ix strongest tool protect strongevery students right equal access educational opportunities free sex discriminationstrong landmark rule nation important progress realizing selfconcept stronga land opportunity strongto strongprotecting students sex discriminationstrong im proud actions bidenharris administration taken far ensuring strongtitle ix protects civil rights studentsstrong secretary education committed ensuring strongtitle ix works students provides equal access opportunities enrich students educational experiences futuresstrong pblockquote pdespite biden cardonas supposed guarantee educational environment free discrimination basis sex ensuring title ix protects civil rights students troubling signs office civil rights biden cardona actually actively deliberately enabling universities violate title ix continue discriminatory practices guarantee discriminationfree educational experience protection civil rights apparently applies preferred groups women unpreferred groups men men statistically underrepresented minority urm higher education 40 years p pthe ocrs new enabling higher educations illegal sex discrimination direct contradiction discriminationfree guarantees biden cardona taken place new troubling developments significant departure past practices ocr frequently requiring complainants provide identities actual victims specific instances sex discrimination b direct public statements university officials essentially admit university violating title ix p phere recent example request additional information received denver office civil rights discriminatory program clearly operates exclusively women university new mexico women stem faculty awards doesnt tell need know read relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwscribdcomdocument532478605universityofnewmexicotitleixcomplaint target_blankoriginal complaint herea 13 2020 provide numerous genderspecific female references university websites program documentation female faculty received award provide overwhelming evidence femaleonly program fact stated eligibility requirement award clearly restricted tenuretrack tenured research strongwomen faculty members unmstrong p ulliplease provide instances male applied women stem award denied sexliliplease provide statements program officials indicating women stem awards exclusively women men excluded applying receiving award grant programliul pof course instances male faculty unm purposefully applied award clearly ineligible based clearly stated femaleonly eligibility requirement apply unms women stem awards timeconsuming relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsadvanceunmeduwpcontentuploads201911wiscallforproposals2020rpdf target_blankrequires pages documentationa including cover page summary project description budget justification curriculum vitae signed statement agreeing award conditions statement current pending support including external funding totally obvious government bureaucrat male unm faculty member devoted hours required apply women stem award obviously unproductive exercise futility asking names actual victims dont exist apparently new ocr tactic excuse dismissing valid title ix complaint valid title ix violation enable university like unm continue engage illegal discrimination benefit preferred groups mentioned p pit noted ocr regulations require legal standing require complainant identify specific individual suffered individualized injury curing facial discrimination emper facial violations title ixs prohibition sex discrimination outlined ocr resolved 40 complaints far year required universities correct title ix violations asking names actual victims fact happening biden signifies major departure past practices ocr departure ocr regulations policies situation reversed complaint filed men stem award white men stem award obvious ocr asking examples women blacks applied programs denied sex race federal civil rights investigation p psecondly equally obvious unm officials explicit statements publicly men excluded applying women stem awards publicly admitting violating civil rights male faculty engaging illegal discrimination dozens public statements unm communicate public awards exclusively preferentially available women violates title ix provided 15 statements denver ocr tenp ollian anonymous gift unm support research professorships strongwomen facultystrong science technology engineering mathematics stem liliincome investment gift assist strongunm women tenuretrack tenured assistant associate stem professorsstrong establishing new research areas developing research collaborationslilistrongeligibilitystrong tenuretrack tenured research strongwomen faculty membersstrong unm hold rank assistant associate professor pursuing research areas supported nsf nih nonclinical doe eligible apply lilipriority given proposals assist strongwomen assistant associate stem professorsstrong establishing new research areas developing research collaborationslili15k seed funding new research strongtwo women stem facultystrong unm collaborate proposallilithe awards supported anonymous gift 2015 unm support research professorships strongwomen faculty stemstrong liliunm provost james holloway applauded awards foster ongoing success strongwomen scientistsstronglilisince 2016 strong39 womenstrong variety stem fields unm named recipients awardlilithe open strongwomen facultystrong university new mexicos stem fields apply variety grants 2021 women stem awards released earlier past years encourage strongmore womenstrong applyliliunm provost james holloway said awards aim acknowledge variety depth work strongwomen faculty membersstrong university contributions strongfemale facultystrong creating new knowledge educating students serving state astoundingi pleased able express gratitude rewarding 2021 strongwomen strongin stem awardsliol pin ill dirty dismissal denver ocr issued dismissal letter month stating ocr infer discrimination occurred occurring unm femaleonly women stem awards additionally ocrs dismissal stated materials encourage women faculty apply evidence express statement award program awarded basis sex programs promotional materials include restriction preference based sex p pstrongwhatstrong university clearly states eligibility restricted tenuretrack tenured research strongwomen faculty membersstrong given award exclusively strong39 female facultystrong years 0 males makes dozens statements confirming conclusively preference based sex actual strict eligibility requirement based sex strongfemaleonly awardstrong p pfurther ocr cited lack identifying actual victims dismissal writing ocr asked aware individuals denied opportunity participate award program sex responded identify individuals denied participation sex course couldnt identify specific victims sex discrimination obvious male faculty unm spent time apply award clearly ineligible paper trail instances discrimination p pfinally ocr stated dismissing complaint ocr lacks sufficient factual detail infer universitys women stem award program violates title ix discriminatory program suggests title ix violation additional mountain evidence presented detail unm faculty stem award women men stem award women [only] stem award p palthough egregious case date ocrs disregard past practices direct contradiction biden cardonas discriminationfree guarantee ive filed appeal reflects apparently new ocr playbook increasingly dismiss valid complaints title ix violations instances names actual victims sex discrimination provide specific statements universities stating men excluded participating femaleonly programs cant provide actual victims incriminating statements university officials dismiss valid complaint allow university continue discriminate course discrimination benefits preferred groups p puniversities decades guilty violating title ix enforcing federal civil rights laws selectively impunity complained 500 title ix complaints filed hold universities accountable thousands violations legal obligation ocr investigate violations enforce title ix uniformly recent actions ocr biden suggest regional ocr offices willing abrogate legal responsibility uphold law instead enabling sanctioning endorsing sex discrimination universities like university new mexico welcome new orwellian world bidens ocr students faculty guaranteed discriminationfree experience theory preferred groups actually experience unpreferred groups continue victims blatant illegal discrimination p palthough im discouraged fight universities violating title ix ocrs new resistance enforcing title ix ill continue fight p pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgcarpediemanupdateonmyeffortstochallengetitleviandtitleixviolationsinhighereducationdespitenewresistancefrombidensofficeforcivilrightsan update efforts challenge title vi title ix violations higher education despite new resistance bidens office civil rightsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

616a0358c6bcbbacb340678e

5 questions for Arthur Turrell on fusion energy

pstrongby james pethokoukis and arthur turrellstrongp pfusion energy has been the promise of physicists for decades but is it finally arriving as we face a warming climate and increasing energy needs fusion power may hold the potential to deliver an abundant clean energy future on a recent episode of political economy arthur turrell discussed whether nuclear fusion will be powering our homes any time soon what government can do to push this technology forward and if renewables are making fusion obsolete before it can get off the groundp parthur is deputy director at the data science campus of the office for national statistics in the uk and the author of ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstarbuildersnuclearfusionplanetdp1982130660 target_blankthe star builders nuclear fusion and the race to power the planetaemp pbelow is an abbreviated transcript of our conversation you can read our full discussion a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsthecomingfusionrevolutionmylongreadqawitharthurturrell target_blankherea you can also subscribe to my podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomywithjimpethokoukisid589914386 target_blankapple podcastsa or a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera or download the podcast on a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsricochetcomseriespoliticaleconomyjamespethokoukis target_blankricochetap pstrongpethokoukis a skeptic might say that nuclear fusion is the future of energy and always will be yet over the past year it seems to me that theres been a lot of activity so whats going onstrongp pturrell the investment and the human ingenuity thats been put into fusion is starting to demonstrate some really interesting breakthroughs recently the biggest of those has been the emergence of a private sector in fusion which suggests that theres some market confidence investors must think that theyre able to get some return whether from fusion energy or from technologies related to fusionp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110turrell5qsreactorjpgx91208 classwpimage1008612840figcaptionscientists work on the experimental advanced superconducting tokamak magnetic fusion device for the international thermonuclear experimental reactor via reutersfigcaptionfigure pthe other thing is there have been a number of technological breakthroughs things like superconductors which allow for new types of experimental fusion reactor design for instance theres been an enormous result at the national ignition facility which is trying to do a type of fusion called laser fusion recently where theyve demonstrated a worldrecord beating net energy gain from fusion so the breakthroughs have really given the whole field a sense of optimismp pstrongphysicists can produce fusion reactions but they arent generating electricity yet what are the upcoming milestones for fusion energystrongp pwe have to be really careful about what we mean by nuclear fusion and the first thing that sometimes people mean is just doing some fusion reactions but thats easy and experiments can do it all the time the next phase is to demonstrate scientific net energy gain and thats about creating an experiment where you put in a certain amount of energy and you get at least as much energy back out the reason why thats such an important benchmark or milestone is because an energy source that you cant get more energy out of than you put in is no good obviouslyp pthere are milestones beyond that and the next one beyond that is wallplug energy gain its the energy to charge up the capacitor banks its the energy to keep the diagnostics running its the energy to keep the lights on its all of that peripheral machinery that you need to do a fusion experiment and that requires a gain not of 100 percent so one unit of energy out for energy in but a gain thats appreciably more than that it depends on the reactor but i think what people would really like to achieve is at least 30 times energy out for energy inp pstrongwhy do we need star machines if its for climate change arent renewables the road forward if its not for that then do we really need them at all for any other reasonstrongp pall of the star builders i spoke to are absolutely convinced that renewables are going to be a key part of our energy supply but i think in almost anything that you do in life its useful to have a portfolio of things with different strengths and weaknesses that you can draw upon if i think about the advantages of renewables they work right now and theyre very cheap but on the disadvantages side the energy that they tap into is very diffuse its spread out over large areas and that means that they need vast areas to work and sometimes you want types of power that arent so reliant on the weather to provide that baseload energyp psome of the star builders i spoke to were skeptical about batteries ever scaling up to cover the whole year but i think the other point here is that fusion could potentially provide energy at very large scales too and without using up lots of area another reason in the long run why we might want fusion energy and excuse me if this sounds rather futuristic is that we are not going to explore the solar system as a species using a coalfired spaceshipp pstrongfission power has always been surrounded by a lot of worries about radiation and environmental impact do those same concerns apply to fusionstrongp pmy sense is that the mood is changing a little bit on fission because theres a trade off there is the biggest problem longlived radioactive waste of which there isnt very much generated or is it climate change and right now climate change to me certainly seems like the bigger challenge that we face on planet earth the radioactive waste that we think will be produced by fusion is whats at the end of a plants life when you need to decommission the reactor chamber and the best guesses suggest that that will be dangerous for a much shorter period of time compared to the waste thats produced as a part of ongoing processes in fissionp ptheres another concern as well which is about nuclear proliferation if you are worried about rogue states using the materials involved in fission to construct nuclear weapons those materials can be generated in relatively short time or a peaceful fission program can be used as a cover for the production of the materials you need for nuclear weapons the great thing about nuclear fusion in this respect is that theres no reason for it to involve any fissile material whatsoever you only need the ingredients for fusion which are kind of useless on their own for nuclear weaponsp pstrongis fusion technology at a state that there is a clean handoff to the private sector or are there still more basic research kinds of things that government needs to dostrongp pi think that the quickest path to fusion is going to be a partnership between the public and private players the public sector does some things really well and some things not so well and the private sector does some things really well and some things not well part of fusion is this big laboratory scientific exploration understanding the physics behind plasma and really breaking through the frontier scientifically and some of it is about how do we do this on a scale thats relevant for power generation repeatably reliably resiliently how do we make it modular so that we can improve the learning rate with construction how do we bring down the capital costs and thats the thing where the private sector can really contribute i think the department of energy has recognized this with their milestonebased programs where theyre making some of the public money available to private firms who can reach certain goals that are going to need to be reached to get to a future where fusion can actually deliver energyp pemjames pethokoukis is the dewitt wallace fellow at the american enterprise institute where he writes and edits the aeideas blog and hosts a weekly podcast a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtagpoliticaleconomypodcast target_blankpolitical economy with james pethokoukisaem emarthur turrell is deputy director at the data science campus of the office for national statistics in the uk and the authorem emof ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstarbuildersnuclearfusionplanetdp1982130660 target_blankthe star builders nuclear fusion and the race to power the planetap pdivpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforrameznaamontheviabilityofsolarandwindenergytopowerthefuture5 questions for ramez naam on the viability of solar and wind energy to power the futurea a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforelizabethkolbertongeoengineeringcrisprandmodernenvironmentalism5 questions for elizabeth kolbert on geoengineering crispr and modern environmentalisma a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsfornatemorrisonentrepreneurshipinnovationandenvironmentalism5 questions for nate morris on entrepreneurship innovation and environmentalismapdivbr pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforarthurturrellonfusionenergy5 questions for arthur turrell on fusion energya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pstrongby james pethokoukis arthur turrellstrongp pfusion energy promise physicists decades finally arriving face warming climate increasing energy needs fusion power hold potential deliver abundant clean energy future recent episode political economy arthur turrell discussed nuclear fusion powering homes time soon government push technology forward renewables making fusion obsolete groundp parthur deputy director data science campus office national statistics uk author ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstarbuildersnuclearfusionplanetdp1982130660 target_blankthe star builders nuclear fusion race power planetaemp pbelow abbreviated transcript conversation read discussion relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsthecomingfusionrevolutionmylongreadqawitharthurturrell target_blankherea subscribe podcast relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpspodcastsapplecomuspodcastpoliticaleconomywithjimpethokoukisid589914386 target_blankapple podcastsa relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwstitchercompodcastricochetmoneypoliticswithjimpethokoukis target_blankstitchera download podcast relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsricochetcomseriespoliticaleconomyjamespethokoukis target_blankricochetap pstrongpethokoukis skeptic nuclear fusion future energy past year theres lot activity whats going onstrongp pturrell investment human ingenuity thats fusion starting demonstrate interesting breakthroughs recently biggest emergence private sector fusion suggests theres market confidence investors think theyre able return fusion energy technologies related fusionp figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110turrell5qsreactorjpgx91208 classwpimage1008612840figcaptionscientists work experimental advanced superconducting tokamak magnetic fusion device international thermonuclear experimental reactor reutersfigcaptionfigure pthe thing number technological breakthroughs things like superconductors allow new types experimental fusion reactor design instance theres enormous result national ignition facility trying type fusion called laser fusion recently theyve demonstrated worldrecord beating net energy gain fusion breakthroughs given field sense optimismp pstrongphysicists produce fusion reactions arent generating electricity upcoming milestones fusion energystrongp pwe careful mean nuclear fusion thing people mean fusion reactions thats easy experiments time phase demonstrate scientific net energy gain thats creating experiment certain energy energy reason thats important benchmark milestone energy source cant energy good obviouslyp pthere milestones wallplug energy gain energy charge capacitor banks energy diagnostics running energy lights peripheral machinery need fusion experiment requires gain 100 percent unit energy energy gain thats appreciably depends reactor think people like achieve 30 times energy energy inp pstrongwhy need star machines climate change arent renewables road forward need reasonstrongp pall star builders spoke absolutely convinced renewables going key energy supply think life useful portfolio things different strengths weaknesses draw think advantages renewables work right theyre cheap disadvantages energy tap diffuse spread large areas means need vast areas work want types power arent reliant weather provide baseload energyp psome star builders spoke skeptical batteries scaling cover year think point fusion potentially provide energy large scales lots area reason long run want fusion energy excuse sounds futuristic going explore solar system species coalfired spaceshipp pstrongfission power surrounded lot worries radiation environmental impact concerns apply fusionstrongp pmy sense mood changing little bit fission theres trade biggest problem longlived radioactive waste isnt generated climate change right climate change certainly like bigger challenge face planet earth radioactive waste think produced fusion whats end plants life need decommission reactor chamber best guesses suggest dangerous shorter period time compared waste thats produced ongoing processes fissionp ptheres concern nuclear proliferation worried rogue states materials involved fission construct nuclear weapons materials generated relatively short time peaceful fission program cover production materials need nuclear weapons great thing nuclear fusion respect theres reason involve fissile material whatsoever need ingredients fusion kind useless nuclear weaponsp pstrongis fusion technology state clean handoff private sector basic research kinds things government needs dostrongp pi think quickest path fusion going partnership public private players public sector things things private sector things things fusion big laboratory scientific exploration understanding physics plasma breaking frontier scientifically scale thats relevant power generation repeatably reliably resiliently modular improve learning rate construction bring capital costs thats thing private sector contribute think department energy recognized milestonebased programs theyre making public money available private firms reach certain goals going need reached future fusion actually deliver energyp pemjames pethokoukis dewitt wallace fellow american enterprise institute writes edits aeideas blog hosts weekly podcast relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtagpoliticaleconomypodcast target_blankpolitical economy james pethokoukisaem emarthur turrell deputy director data science campus office national statistics uk authorem emof ema relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwamazoncomstarbuildersnuclearfusionplanetdp1982130660 target_blankthe star builders nuclear fusion race power planetap pdivpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforrameznaamontheviabilityofsolarandwindenergytopowerthefuture5 questions ramez naam viability solar wind energy power futurea hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforelizabethkolbertongeoengineeringcrisprandmodernenvironmentalism5 questions elizabeth kolbert geoengineering crispr modern environmentalisma hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsfornatemorrisonentrepreneurshipinnovationandenvironmentalism5 questions nate morris entrepreneurship innovation environmentalismapdivbr pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomics5questionsforarthurturrellonfusionenergy5 questions arthur turrell fusion energya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

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Fixing Failed States, America Edition

audio controls source srchttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdswocfionamp3 img altfixing failed states america edition srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202110fixingfailedjpgpyour browser doesnt support html audio a hrefhttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdswocfionamp3herea is a link to the filep audiopits no secret that the united states is in a bad place fiona hill author of the new book a hrefhttpswwwamazoncomdpb08nwt7lz7emthere is nothing for you hereema joins shadi and damir to talk about growing up poor in northern england seeing our divisions from inside the trump administration and how to apply the lessons other countries have learned in building unity at home ppwas trump all bad are we up to fixing out deep divisions and will a technocratic approach be enoughppemrequired readingempulliquota hrefhttpswwwbrookingseduresearchtheroleofislamineuropeanpopulismhowrefugeeflowsandfearofmuslimsdriverightwingsupportthe role of islam in european populismaquot by shadi hamid brookingsliliquota hrefhttpswwwtheamericaninterestcom20180405dealingdignitydeficitdealing with the dignity deficitaquot by damir marusic emthe american interestemliul

audio controls source srchttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdswocfionamp3 img altfixing failed states america edition srchttpswisdomofcrowdslivecontentimages202110fixingfailedjpgpyour browser doesnt support html audio hrefhttpschrtfmtrackgg6ba9trafficlibsyncomsecurewisdomofcrowdswocfionamp3herea link filep audiopits secret united states bad place fiona hill author new book hrefhttpswwwamazoncomdpb08nwt7lz7emthere hereema joins shadi damir talk growing poor northern england seeing divisions inside trump administration apply lessons countries learned building unity home ppwas trump bad fixing deep divisions technocratic approach enoughppemrequired readingempulliquota hrefhttpswwwbrookingseduresearchtheroleofislamineuropeanpopulismhowrefugeeflowsandfearofmuslimsdriverightwingsupportthe role islam european populismaquot shadi hamid brookingsliliquota hrefhttpswwwtheamericaninterestcom20180405dealingdignitydeficitdealing dignity deficitaquot damir marusic emthe american interestemliul

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Hunting the Satanists

pimg srchttpsi2prodwalesonlinecoukincomingarticle11858712ecealternatess615bsalem_painting_1908jpegjpg alt width328 height344michael flynn the former trump national security advisor and qanon promoter is now being a hrefhttpswwwthedailybeastcommichaelflynntoqanonbelieversimnotasatanistaccused by qanon of being a satanistap blockquotepflynns trouble started on sept 17 when he led a congregation at nebraska pastor hank kunnemans lord of hosts church in prayer flynns prayer included invocations to sevenfold rays and legions two phrases that struck some of flynns followers as strangep pas video of the prayer circulated in online conspiracy theorist groups the references to legions and rays soon sparked speculation among flynns rightwing supporters that their hero had been lured to the dark side always on the lookout for the satanic influence they imagine lurks at the heart of the world they claimed that flynn had secretly been worshiping the devil worse since the congregation was repeating the prayer after flynn the rumor went he had duped hundreds of christians into joining the ritualp pflynn isnt the first rightwing figure tied to qanon to see its acolytes turn on him oklahoma senate candidate jackson lahmeyer whose challenge to sen james lankford rok has been endorsed by flynn appeared at an april proqanon conference with flynn in tulsap pa few months later however lahmeyer a hrefhttpswwwvicecomenarticleepnmzzqanonpastorrunningforcongressaccusedofsatanismjacksonlaymeyerposteda a seemingly innocent picture of his daughter wearing red shoesapparently unaware that qanon followers consider red shoes to be yet another sign of their imagined satanic sextrafficking cabal lahmeyer was soon caught up in a qanon controversy of his ownp punfortunately i have to say it because people are asking me lahmeyer wrote in a facebook post im in no way involved in child sex trafficking pedophilia or devil worshippblockquote pnow heres a hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampusayalelawstudentsentalightheartedemailinvitingclassmatestohistraphousetheschoolisnowcallinghimtoaccountanother storyathis one about an email sent by a yale law student from the native american law students association nalsa to fellow classmates the email in question readsp blockquotepsup nalsap phope youre all still feeling social this friday at 730 we will be christening our very own soon to be worldrenowned nalsa trap houseby throwing a constitution day bash in collaboration with fedsoc planned abstractions include popeyes chicken basicbitchamericanthemed snacks like apple pie etc a cocktail station assorted hard and soft beverages and most importantly the opportunity to attend the nalsa trap houses inaugural mixerp phope to see you all therepblockquote pthe email seems to me like a lighthearted invitation to a party but of course not being oneoftheelect i cant read the secret esoteric meaning a hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampusayalelawstudentsentalightheartedemailinvitingclassmatestohistraphousetheschoolisnowcallinghimtoaccountaccording to yales diversity officea the email was actually a coded message to celebrate white supremacy with a blackface partyp blockquotepjust 12 hours after the email went out the student was summoned to the law schools office of student affairs which administrators said had receivedstrong nine discrimination and harassment complaintsstrong about his messagep pat a sept 16 meeting which the student a hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampuslistentoyalelawschooladministratorstellastudenthisaffiliationwiththefederalistsocietyistriggeringforclassmatesrecordeda and shared with the emwashington free beaconem associate dean ellen cosgrove and diversity director yaseen eldik told the student that the word trap connotes crack use hip hop and blackface those triggering associations eldik said were compounded by the fried chicken reference which is often used to undermine arguments that structural and systemic racism has contributed to racial health disparities in the usp peldik a former obama white house official went on to say that the students membership in the federalist society had triggered his peersp pthroughout the sept 16 meeting and a subsequent conversation the next day eldik and cosgrove hinted repeatedly that the student might face consequences if he didnt apologizeincluding trouble with the bar exams character and fitness investigations which cosgrove could a relnoopener hrefhttpsyaleconnectyaleeduylsosaleadershipteam datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpsyaleconnectyaleeduylsosaleadershipteamampsourcegmailampust1634055819093000ampusgafqjcnfonzwfzh6tto4csw7p_dzjmeyl6w target_blankweigh in ona as associate deanp pwhen the student hadnt apologized by the evening of sept 16 eldik and cosgrove emailed the entire secondyear class about the incident [a]n invitation was recently circulated containing pejorative and racist language the email read we condemn this in the strongest possible terms and are working on addressing thispblockquote pthe two cases illustrate that the worldview of qanon and yales diversity office are surprisingly similar both see a world in which satan literal or metaphorical is an active force in the world corrupting individuals and institutions satan is powerful but hidden he only reveals his influence when the corrupted slipup and by the incorrect use of a word phrase or a hrefhttpsgfycatcomappropriatedazzlingbuntinggesturea reveal their true naturesp psince satan is powerful and hidden the good people must constantly monitor everyone the moment a slipup is spotted no matter how small the corrupted must be denounced because anyone who even unwittingly associates with the corrupted will themselves become corrupted legionsand rays satanist trap house satanist red shoes sextrafficker federalist society satanist society repeating the prayer duping hundreds of christians into joining the ritual attending a party we condemn this in the strongest possible terms condemn the nonbelievers to hell its all the samep pthe other similarity of course is that both views are disturbingly common and completely bonkersp pspan dataoffsetkey916jt20photo credit spana dataoffsetkey916jt30 datahrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikisalem_vosper_paintingspan dataoffsetkey916jt30wikipediaspanaspan dataoffsetkey916jt40spanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110huntingthesatanistshtmlhunting the satanistsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pimg srchttpsi2prodwalesonlinecoukincomingarticle11858712ecealternatess615bsalem_painting_1908jpegjpg alt width328 height344michael flynn trump national security advisor qanon promoter hrefhttpswwwthedailybeastcommichaelflynntoqanonbelieversimnotasatanistaccused qanon satanistap blockquotepflynns trouble started sept 17 led congregation nebraska pastor hank kunnemans lord hosts church prayer flynns prayer included invocations sevenfold rays legions phrases struck flynns followers strangep pas video prayer circulated online conspiracy theorist groups references legions rays soon sparked speculation flynns rightwing supporters hero lured dark lookout satanic influence imagine lurks heart world claimed flynn secretly worshiping devil worse congregation repeating prayer flynn rumor went duped hundreds christians joining ritualp pflynn isnt rightwing figure tied qanon acolytes turn oklahoma senate candidate jackson lahmeyer challenge sen james lankford rok endorsed flynn appeared april proqanon conference flynn tulsap pa months later lahmeyer hrefhttpswwwvicecomenarticleepnmzzqanonpastorrunningforcongressaccusedofsatanismjacksonlaymeyerposteda seemingly innocent picture daughter wearing red shoesapparently unaware qanon followers consider red shoes sign imagined satanic sextrafficking cabal lahmeyer soon caught qanon controversy ownp punfortunately people asking lahmeyer wrote facebook post im way involved child sex trafficking pedophilia devil worshippblockquote pnow heres hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampusayalelawstudentsentalightheartedemailinvitingclassmatestohistraphousetheschoolisnowcallinghimtoaccountanother storyathis email sent yale law student native american law students association nalsa fellow classmates email question readsp blockquotepsup nalsap phope youre feeling social friday 730 christening soon worldrenowned nalsa trap houseby throwing constitution day bash collaboration fedsoc planned abstractions include popeyes chicken basicbitchamericanthemed snacks like apple pie etc cocktail station assorted hard soft beverages importantly opportunity attend nalsa trap houses inaugural mixerp phope therepblockquote pthe email like lighthearted invitation party course oneoftheelect cant read secret esoteric meaning hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampusayalelawstudentsentalightheartedemailinvitingclassmatestohistraphousetheschoolisnowcallinghimtoaccountaccording yales diversity officea email actually coded message celebrate white supremacy blackface partyp blockquotepjust 12 hours email went student summoned law schools office student affairs administrators said receivedstrong discrimination harassment complaintsstrong messagep pat sept 16 meeting student hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampuslistentoyalelawschooladministratorstellastudenthisaffiliationwiththefederalistsocietyistriggeringforclassmatesrecordeda shared emwashington free beaconem associate dean ellen cosgrove diversity director yaseen eldik told student word trap connotes crack use hip hop blackface triggering associations eldik said compounded fried chicken reference undermine arguments structural systemic racism contributed racial health disparities usp peldik obama white house official went students membership federalist society triggered peersp pthroughout sept 16 meeting subsequent conversation day eldik cosgrove hinted repeatedly student face consequences didnt apologizeincluding trouble bar exams character fitness investigations cosgrove relnoopener hrefhttpsyaleconnectyaleeduylsosaleadershipteam datasaferedirecturlhttpswwwgooglecomurlqhttpsyaleconnectyaleeduylsosaleadershipteamampsourcegmailampust1634055819093000ampusgafqjcnfonzwfzh6tto4csw7p_dzjmeyl6w target_blankweigh ona associate deanp pwhen student hadnt apologized evening sept 16 eldik cosgrove emailed entire secondyear class incident [a]n invitation recently circulated containing pejorative racist language email read condemn strongest possible terms working addressing thispblockquote pthe cases illustrate worldview qanon yales diversity office surprisingly similar world satan literal metaphorical active force world corrupting individuals institutions satan powerful hidden reveals influence corrupted slipup incorrect use word phrase hrefhttpsgfycatcomappropriatedazzlingbuntinggesturea reveal true naturesp psince satan powerful hidden good people constantly monitor moment slipup spotted matter small corrupted denounced unwittingly associates corrupted corrupted legionsand rays satanist trap house satanist red shoes sextrafficker federalist society satanist society repeating prayer duping hundreds christians joining ritual attending party condemn strongest possible terms condemn nonbelievers hell samep pthe similarity course views disturbingly common completely bonkersp pspan dataoffsetkey916jt20photo credit spana dataoffsetkey916jt30 datahrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikisalem_vosper_paintingspan dataoffsetkey916jt30wikipediaspanaspan dataoffsetkey916jt40spanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110huntingthesatanistshtmlhunting satanistsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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What’s going on at the Federal Trade Commission? Highlights from a conversation with Bilal Sayyed

pstrongby shane tews and mark jamisonstrongp punder chairwoman lina khans leadership the federal trade commission ftc is undergoing a number of process reforms that are poised to make the commission less democratic by allocating more power to the chair herself if successful what impact will these reforms have on the future of the commission and on the laws its tasked with enforcingp pwe recently sat down with a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsfedsocorgcontributorsbilalsayyed target_blankbilal sayyeda a a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpstechfreedomorg target_blanktechfreedoma senior adjunct fellow and former director of the ftcs office of policy planning for an explain to shane discussion on the situation at the ftc bilal shared his insights on how khans reforms will reshape longstanding policies around how the ftc is run and on the challenges companies may face under the new ftcs scrutinyp pbelow is an edited and abridged transcript of our talk you can listen to this twopart discussion and other episodes of explain to shane on aeiorg a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastwhatsgoingonatthefederaltradecommissionwithbilalsayyedparti target_blankherea and a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastwhatsgoingonatthefederaltradecommissionwithbilalsayyedpartii target_blankherea and subscribe via your a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpslinktreeexplaintoshane target_blankpreferred listening platforma you can also read the full transcripts of our discussion a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110etsep4120211005sayyedtranscriptpart1jkeditcleanwpversionpdfx91208x91208 target_blankherea and a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110etsep4220211007sayyedtranscriptpart2jkeditcleanwpversionpdfx91208x91208 target_blankherea if you enjoyed this episode leave us a review and tell your friends and colleagues to tune inp pstrongshane tews bilal to get us started give us an overview of what the ftc does and why it matters to consumers corporations and everyone involved in us governmentstrongp pbilal sayyed the ftc is one of two federal agencies focused on competition across a broad range of industries the other federal agency or executivebranch department that focuses on competition in the same way the ftc does is the antitrust division of the department of justice dojp pthe two are a bit different in setup the ftc is thought of as a legislative agency and has a fivemember commission that at least theoretically oversees the work of mostly career staff although theres a chair each commissioner gets a vote in the ordinary course about how the agency directs and uses its resources the dojs antitrust division is part of the executive branch and its officials report to the attorney general so theres a single decision maker therep pthe ftc is also the nations only broadbased consumer protection agency dealing with fraud in advertising claims as well as many other things eg privacy issues that arise across industries and the economy there are other federal regulatory agencies that arguably deal with consumer protection and competitionrelated issues but theyre relatively narrow in scopep pstrongmark jamison over the past two to three months the ftc has undergone some significant changes give us the big picture of whats going onstrongp pthe incoming chair and at least one of the retained democratic commissioners maybe both have a really different view of the ftcs role than previous commissions did regardless of their political makeup chair lina khan and her democratic colleagues believe theres been insufficient enforcement over the last 3040 years on both the competition and consumer protection side and they are aggressively moving to undo the local framework and procedural guardrails that i think they believe supported this underenforcement of antitrust lawsp pmost of what the ftc has done over the last 40 or so years has been enforcementoriented they identify a potential violation of law even sometimes a potential violation of a consumer protection rule and proceed with an investigation and evaluation of evidence then they enact an enforcement action or not against the respondents in that investigation but what you see now is the beginning of an effort to put more of the economy under rulebased regulation i think we will move away from the casebycase method into a regulatory model in which firms of any type have to adhere to certain rules and if they dont adhere to those rules theyll be found in violation this i think is consistent with the belief that theres been underenforcement of the law and that one reason for this is that onebyone enforcement actions take too much time and dont give you much bang for the buckp pso the key change i think is moving to a rulebased system in which the ftc probably drafts rules that apply industrywide or economywide and then looks for adherence to those rules that would be a significant change and not something the agency has done or attempted to do since the 1970sp pstrongan issue that has been hot in the media is the idea that some of the big tech companies have been acquiring smaller firms that could rise up and provide potential competition what are your thoughts on that and what do you think the ftc might do in that spacestrongp plook i think its important for the ftc and the dojs antitrust division to look to identify and potentially challenge acquisitions that will eliminate a strong future competitor to the acquiring firm or one of the parties to the merger we operate in an innovative economy in which firms develop new products and new ways of distributing products and thats been the driving force of our economy for a long time so if allegedly dominant firms acquire future competitors and either seek to bury what those firms are doing or in some way eliminate competition that is a problemp pbut of course there are difficulties with identifying future competitors not every new firm is a future competitor or even a significant or meaningful player in the markets they operate in there are large hurdles to developing from a startup to an effective competitor that makes the analysis of such acquisitions more difficult and speculative than acquisitions of existing competitors and the analysis is further complicated by the fact that its uncertain whether the smaller companies will develop into competitive threats even if they have interesting technologies or products one thing the agencies do consider and should consider more is does the merger in fact either bring that product or technology to market more quickly or make it more likely that the technology or product comes to marketp pthe concern has been that the agency doesnt have a framework for evaluating such transactions but thats just incorrect often you hear people in congressional hearings talk about facebooks acquisition of instagram or whatsapp as acquisitions that may have eliminated a potential or future competitor now the ftc has brought a case against facebook that was intended to look at those acquisitions so i wont comment on those specifically but the agency has in the last 2025 years brought by my count something in the range of 100 what id call potential or future competition cases theyve done this across a variety of industries and theyve largely been successful in preventing the acquisition or combination of existing and future competitors in those roughly 100 mattersp pso i think the agency leadership and congress as well may now be operating under the misconception that the ftc needs either greater resources or statutory authority to challenge such transactions the record should put that in perspectivep pstrongweve also seen several procedural changes at the ftc under its new leadership one is eliminating the requirement that a majority of commissioners vote to approve the start of an investigation now a single commissioner can sign off and launch an investigation what are your thoughtsstrongp pi have mixed thoughts on that i think i have concerns about the commission structure as a fivemember body to begin with it doesnt always allow for speed and it allows for conflicting messages either through the public or the staff it also potentially allows for delays in investigation however the place was set up as a commission and removing what could be a deliberative exchange between the commissioners before the start of an investigation could be harmfulp pi think a better approach wouldve been to try to impose some deadlines on the approval of such things there are under the commissions internal rules some deadlines but theyre often not adhered to and somewhat flexible speed is often a virtue though not always but i think this change loses some benefits of deliberation preinvestigation or before expanding an investigations scope in that sense it was a mistake p pstrongshane tews christine wilson a republican commissioner has cited difficulties obtaining information from ftc staff they have basically refused to work with her and shes apparently had to go outside the ftc to get data she wants how does that even happen strongp pthe agency has been largely collegial for the whole time ive been practicing and the chair doesnt ask the staff to stiff commissioners of a different party its counterproductive and it probably isnt even effective now although each commissioner at least prior to some of these changes gets a vote the chair is the person who sort of runs the agency either directly or through its leadership designees so it is possible of course to direct the staff to stiff other commissioners its not good policy but it can be done i think its ineffective because its very easy for the commissioners to indicate theyre not getting information that otherwise wouldve been normal to sharep pin some respects wilson was complaining about information shared with the parties or directed requests to the parties and so there you just can reach out to parties either directly or indirectly and say were just not hearing about whats going on at the early stages of an investigation and i think people will then provide that informationp pof course if you set up a commission to be bipartisan stiffing people at the beginning of an investigation probably hurts your ability to move things forward later whether its because you dont get the benefit of input from people or because things just get slowed down later on it is hard to see who benefits from this p divpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtechnologyandinnovationftcshouldresisttemptationtomovefastandbreakthingsftc should resist temptation to move fast and break thingsa a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtechnologyandinnovationtheftcmovestowardsacommandeconomythe ftc moves toward a command economya a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtechnologyandinnovationprivacypolicyimpasseascrisisprivacy policy impasse as crisisapdiv pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtechnologyandinnovationwhatsgoingonatthefederaltradecommissionhighlightsfromaconversationwithbilalsayyedwhats going on at the federal trade commission highlights from a conversation with bilal sayyeda appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pstrongby shane tews mark jamisonstrongp punder chairwoman lina khans leadership federal trade commission ftc undergoing number process reforms poised commission democratic allocating power chair successful impact reforms future commission laws tasked enforcingp pwe recently sat relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsfedsocorgcontributorsbilalsayyed target_blankbilal sayyeda relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpstechfreedomorg target_blanktechfreedoma senior adjunct fellow director ftcs office policy planning explain shane discussion situation ftc bilal shared insights khans reforms reshape longstanding policies ftc run challenges companies face new ftcs scrutinyp pbelow edited abridged transcript talk listen twopart discussion episodes explain shane aeiorg relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastwhatsgoingonatthefederaltradecommissionwithbilalsayyedparti target_blankherea relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgpodcastwhatsgoingonatthefederaltradecommissionwithbilalsayyedpartii target_blankherea subscribe relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpslinktreeexplaintoshane target_blankpreferred listening platforma read transcripts discussion relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110etsep4120211005sayyedtranscriptpart1jkeditcleanwpversionpdfx91208x91208 target_blankherea relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwaeiorgwpcontentuploads202110etsep4220211007sayyedtranscriptpart2jkeditcleanwpversionpdfx91208x91208 target_blankherea enjoyed episode leave review tell friends colleagues tune inp pstrongshane tews bilal started overview ftc matters consumers corporations involved governmentstrongp pbilal sayyed ftc federal agencies focused competition broad range industries federal agency executivebranch department focuses competition way ftc antitrust division department justice dojp pthe bit different setup ftc thought legislative agency fivemember commission theoretically oversees work career staff theres chair commissioner gets vote ordinary course agency directs uses resources dojs antitrust division executive branch officials report attorney general theres single decision maker therep pthe ftc nations broadbased consumer protection agency dealing fraud advertising claims things eg privacy issues arise industries economy federal regulatory agencies arguably deal consumer protection competitionrelated issues theyre relatively narrow scopep pstrongmark jamison past months ftc undergone significant changes big picture whats going onstrongp pthe incoming chair retained democratic commissioners maybe different view ftcs role previous commissions regardless political makeup chair lina khan democratic colleagues believe theres insufficient enforcement 3040 years competition consumer protection aggressively moving undo local framework procedural guardrails think believe supported underenforcement antitrust lawsp pmost ftc 40 years enforcementoriented identify potential violation law potential violation consumer protection rule proceed investigation evaluation evidence enact enforcement action respondents investigation beginning effort economy rulebased regulation think away casebycase method regulatory model firms type adhere certain rules dont adhere rules theyll found violation think consistent belief theres underenforcement law reason onebyone enforcement actions time dont bang buckp pso key change think moving rulebased system ftc probably drafts rules apply industrywide economywide looks adherence rules significant change agency attempted 1970sp pstrongan issue hot media idea big tech companies acquiring smaller firms rise provide potential competition thoughts think ftc spacestrongp plook think important ftc dojs antitrust division look identify potentially challenge acquisitions eliminate strong future competitor acquiring firm parties merger operate innovative economy firms develop new products new ways distributing products thats driving force economy long time allegedly dominant firms acquire future competitors seek bury firms way eliminate competition problemp pbut course difficulties identifying future competitors new firm future competitor significant meaningful player markets operate large hurdles developing startup effective competitor makes analysis acquisitions difficult speculative acquisitions existing competitors analysis complicated fact uncertain smaller companies develop competitive threats interesting technologies products thing agencies consider consider merger fact bring product technology market quickly likely technology product comes marketp pthe concern agency doesnt framework evaluating transactions thats incorrect hear people congressional hearings talk facebooks acquisition instagram whatsapp acquisitions eliminated potential future competitor ftc brought case facebook intended look acquisitions wont comment specifically agency 2025 years brought count range 100 id potential future competition cases theyve variety industries theyve largely successful preventing acquisition combination existing future competitors roughly 100 mattersp pso think agency leadership congress operating misconception ftc needs greater resources statutory authority challenge transactions record perspectivep pstrongweve seen procedural changes ftc new leadership eliminating requirement majority commissioners vote approve start investigation single commissioner sign launch investigation thoughtsstrongp pi mixed thoughts think concerns commission structure fivemember body begin doesnt allow speed allows conflicting messages public staff potentially allows delays investigation place set commission removing deliberative exchange commissioners start investigation harmfulp pi think better approach wouldve try impose deadlines approval things commissions internal rules deadlines theyre adhered somewhat flexible speed virtue think change loses benefits deliberation preinvestigation expanding investigations scope sense mistake p pstrongshane tews christine wilson republican commissioner cited difficulties obtaining information ftc staff basically refused work shes apparently outside ftc data wants happen strongp pthe agency largely collegial time ive practicing chair doesnt ask staff stiff commissioners different party counterproductive probably isnt effective commissioner prior changes gets vote chair person sort runs agency directly leadership designees possible course direct staff stiff commissioners good policy think ineffective easy commissioners indicate theyre getting information wouldve normal sharep pin respects wilson complaining information shared parties directed requests parties reach parties directly indirectly hearing whats going early stages investigation think people provide informationp pof course set commission bipartisan stiffing people beginning investigation probably hurts ability things forward later dont benefit input people things slowed later hard benefits p divpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtechnologyandinnovationftcshouldresisttemptationtomovefastandbreakthingsftc resist temptation fast break thingsa hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtechnologyandinnovationtheftcmovestowardsacommandeconomythe ftc moves command economya hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtechnologyandinnovationprivacypolicyimpasseascrisisprivacy policy impasse crisisapdiv pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgtechnologyandinnovationwhatsgoingonatthefederaltradecommissionhighlightsfromaconversationwithbilalsayyedwhats going federal trade commission highlights conversation bilal sayyeda appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

616a04a6c6bcbbacb34067b4

Why the IMF is intrinsically conservative and hard to reform

pthat is the topic of a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20211014theimfdoesntneedtobemoredemocraticutm_mediumsocialutm_sourcetwittercmpid3dsocialflowtwittermarketsutm_campaignsocialfloworganicutm_contentmarketssrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg columna here is one excerptp blockquotepthe imf is used by the g5 nations and their allies to put their reputational capital behind the international monetary order obviously the backing countries are only going to underwrite a system that they largely approve of and benefit fromp pif the imf didnt exist failed nations still periodically would be bailed out by rich ones if only because the g5 politicians wouldnt wish to endanger the stability of the global financial order but problems would arise as the bailouts would have to be organized anew each time which nation would put in how much who would pull the plug on failing nations and when who or what would enforce repayment all those questions are regularized and institutionalized through the existence of the imfp pthe cronyist element is that the g5 nations use the imf and its lending facilities to protect the creditworthiness of their own banks and financial systems in contrast an imf serving the citizens of the world whatever that might mean would be an imf without much support from the biggest and most important financial players it would be more like the undercapitalized unicef than an institution that can move world markets or help preserve themp pif the directorship and board governance of the imf were picked by a vote from all 190 member countries the leading g5 nations would put much less of their reputational capital behind the institution the imf is an international public good but such public goods only get produced when it is in somebodys selfish interest to do sopblockquote pand to closep blockquotepsuccessful international economic orders typically have been based on a fair degree of hegemony whether it was the britishled gold standard of the 19th century or the more recent postworld war ii american dominance once you realize that a lot of the current questions about the imf answer themselves rather automatically the real issue isnt how to improve the imf but how we are going to cope as current hegemonies continue to lose their swaypblockquote precommendedp p p pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whytheimfisintrinsicallyconservativeandhardtoreformhtmlwhy the imf is intrinsically conservative and hard to reforma appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthat topic relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20211014theimfdoesntneedtobemoredemocraticutm_mediumsocialutm_sourcetwittercmpid3dsocialflowtwittermarketsutm_campaignsocialfloworganicutm_contentmarketssrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg columna excerptp blockquotepthe imf g5 nations allies reputational capital international monetary order obviously backing countries going underwrite system largely approve benefit fromp pif imf didnt exist failed nations periodically bailed rich ones g5 politicians wouldnt wish endanger stability global financial order problems arise bailouts organized anew time nation pull plug failing nations enforce repayment questions regularized institutionalized existence imfp pthe cronyist element g5 nations use imf lending facilities protect creditworthiness banks financial systems contrast imf serving citizens world mean imf support biggest important financial players like undercapitalized unicef institution world markets help preserve themp pif directorship board governance imf picked vote 190 member countries leading g5 nations reputational capital institution imf international public good public goods produced somebodys selfish interest sopblockquote pand closep blockquotepsuccessful international economic orders typically based fair degree hegemony britishled gold standard 19th century recent postworld war ii american dominance realize lot current questions imf answer automatically real issue isnt improve imf going cope current hegemonies continue lose swaypblockquote precommendedp pp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whytheimfisintrinsicallyconservativeandhardtoreformhtmlwhy imf intrinsically conservative hard reforma appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

616a04b3c6bcbbacb34067b6

Labour needs to end its addiction to Britishness

pin her book emwalled states waning sovereigntyem the political theorist wendy brown notes an apparent paradox of the 21st century as globalisation and the end of the cold war broke down divisions between nation states the number of physical walls and blockades both between and within those territories appeared to surge p pbrown argues that these hyperbolic tokens of sovereignty are in fact icons of its erosion across miles of concrete and barbed wire these barriers only emphasise the instability and insecurity they are supposed to address transgressed easily by global capital terrorism climate change and now pandemicsp pwallbuilding anxieties have crossed over into political language too as electoral behaviour becomes more unpredictable and fluid the concept of the red wall was coined by the pollster james kanagasooriam to describe something far less secure than it suggests a group of labour seats in england where the conservatives underperformed with their usual demographics largely for cultural and historical reasons p pif the tories manage to culturally detoxify in certain seats there is a huge unlocked vote there kanagasooriam wrote on twitter in august 2019 in other words the red wall wasnt a wall at all labours apparent resilience there was based on a mirage of affinity between place and party rather than the more reliable force of demographic selfinterest when history took another step towards the mirage in 2019 nothing crumbled or collapsed it simply dissolved into the airp prather than question the reality of such electoral fortifications in the first place leading labour figures have enthusiastically reinforced the image of broken political battlements waiting to be rebuilt by someone with the right tools as keir starmer put it in his labour conference speech in september in his own remarks to conference scottish labours leader anas sarwar described scotland as the first red wall to fall adding an entire nation of rubble to the mix p pwhat does that comparison tell us about labours current crisis for a start it illustrates the importance of selective memory to the new regimes north and south of the border starmer and sarwar blame their current inability to break through on the slow difficult process of rebuilding after the previous leaders jeremy corbyn and richard leonard supposedly left the old walls unguarded p pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomcomment202110labourhasnohopeofdefeatingtheconservativesuntilitanswersthebrexitquestionlabour has no hope of defeating the conservatives until it answers the brexit questiona]emstrongp pbut in 2017 corbyns labour registered a tenpoint rise in its vote share across the north of england cancelling out a similar rise for the conservatives while also taking seats in the south labours decline in the red wall began before corbyn and has continued afterwards in scotland the excuses are even more laughable scottish labour was first beaten by the snp in 2007 with new labour still in power at westminster and its most brutal defeat came in 2015 under the leadership of jim murphy a blairite on the right of the party who like sarwar benefited from plenty of credulous media hype p pin fact labour faces far bigger problems which neither starmer nor sarwar is in any position to resolve the fantasy of territorial walls has been embraced by labour as nostalgia for a time when it could depend on old tribal alignments without doing much work to sustain them never mind generate new ones p pthose stubborn loyalties whether in england or scotland could be relied on by the leadership while they triangulated towards more affluent and politically footloose demographics in the southeast of england without that backstop to rely on the old blairite strategy of creeping rightwards on to tory ground rather than actually persuading people on to labours falls apart p pthe truth is that the basis of labours ukwide onesizefitsall appeal what we might call national labourism is long gone leaving behind little more than those localised cultural habits whose halflife is now threatening the partys future national labourism rose in the first half of the 20th century with the development of a distinctly national british economy examined in detail in david edgertons masterful emthe rise and fall of the british nationem 2018 back then britain offered a clear unit of stateguaranteed security and control which labour could meaningfully claim as its own it declined from the 1970s onwards as the conservative assault on industry and the trade unions yanked out labours national roots p pin scotland devolution offered an opportunity for labour to repot itself in national soil but with the scottish parliament in place it spurned this out of a pathological fear of the same nationalism it had quietly embraced at the british level by refusing to seriously differentiate itself from new labour and stand up to westminster scottish labour handed scotlands distinctive and disputatious political culture to the snp only welsh labour seems to have understood the enduring importance of what tom nairn has called nationality politics and has reaped the rewardsp pstarmer and sarwar may even think they are learning from the welsh labour leader mark drakeford singing the praises of british and even english or scottish patriotism which they spuriously oppose to nationalism yet their vision of identity is hopelessly depoliticised offering little more than an empty loyalty to triumphant athletes and pretty scenery that offers no bridgeway to everyday anxieties over the economy and the welfare state there is some movement in the right direction starmers buy british call for strategic state procurement offers a vision of economic nationalism that is being mirrored in scottish labours own criticisms of the snp p pbut it also helps to illustrate labours problem as starmer acknowledges the british economy is unsustainably offshored exploitative and unequal there is little there to be proud of the same goes for the other institutional underpinnings of britishness westminster is deeply unpopular while the nhs is fragmented along devolved lines so long as labour offers only embritish emvisions it will remain empty and unconvincing decades of conservative assaults on the british state have left the nation a hollowedout husk not just in economic and administrative terms but in cultural terms too all that remains is culturewar jingoism on the right and a strangely americanised ideal of identitybased progressivism on the left claimed on britains behalf by a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomcomment202109thebritainofemmaraducanushowswhynationalistsarelosingtheargumentthat old magpie of identity gordon browna p pif it could only break free of its british blinkers labour would find plenty of other more useful territorial identities that it has tended to submerge within britishness these come with less institutional or ideological baggage and are often far more malleable and open to leftwing appropriation that doesnt just mean scotland england and wales cities and regions especially in a country as big and diverse as england offer deep reservoirs of memory and meaning that mix far more productively with labour values and can be opposed more effectively to the tory state than the detritus of britishness can p pthese places are small enough to mean something immediate and positive for the people that live there and they are large enough to meaningfully frame that combination of workingclass solidarity and state intervention that makes up labours distinctive contribution to politics if starmer a native of the british state apparatus cannot see beyond it then labour may have to look elsewhere for someone who can a mayor of a northern city perhapsp pstrongem[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticslabour202109labourslostfuturetheinsidestoryofa20yearcollapselabours lost future the inside story of a 20year collapsea]emstrongp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsscotland202110labourneedstoenditsaddictiontobritishnesslabour needs to end its addiction to britishnessa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

pin bookemwalled states waning sovereigntyem political theorist wendy brown notes apparent paradox 21st century globalisation end cold war broke divisions nation states number physical walls blockades territories appeared surge p pbrown argues hyperbolic tokens sovereignty fact icons erosion miles concrete barbed wire barriers emphasise instability insecurity supposed address transgressed easily global capital terrorism climate change pandemicsp pwallbuilding anxieties crossed political language electoral behaviour unpredictable fluid concept red wall coined pollster james kanagasooriam describe far secure suggests group labour seats england conservatives underperformed usual demographics largely cultural historical reasonsp pif tories manage culturally detoxify certain seats huge unlocked vote kanagasooriam wrote twitter august 2019 words red wall wasnt wall labours apparent resilience based mirage affinity place party reliable force demographic selfinterest history took step mirage 2019 crumbled collapsed simply dissolved airp prather question reality electoral fortifications place leading labour figures enthusiastically reinforced image broken political battlements waiting rebuilt right tools keir starmer labour conference speech september remarks conference scottish labours leader anas sarwar described scotland red wall fall adding entire nation rubble mixp pwhat comparison tell labours current crisis start illustrates importance selective memory new regimes north south border starmer sarwar blame current inability break slow difficult process rebuilding previous leaders jeremy corbyn richard leonard supposedly left old walls unguardedp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomcomment202110labourhasnohopeofdefeatingtheconservativesuntilitanswersthebrexitquestionlabour hope defeating conservatives answers brexit questiona]emstrongp pbut 2017 corbyns labour registered tenpoint rise vote share north england cancelling similar rise conservatives taking seats south labours decline red wall began corbyn continued scotland excuses laughable scottish labour beaten snp 2007 new labour power westminster brutal defeat came 2015 leadership jim murphy blairite right party like sarwar benefited plenty credulous media hypep pin fact labour faces far bigger problems starmer sarwar position resolve fantasy territorial walls embraced labour nostalgia time depend old tribal alignments work sustain mind generate new onesp pthose stubborn loyalties england scotland relied leadership triangulated affluent politically footloose demographics southeast england backstop rely old blairite strategy creeping rightwards tory ground actually persuading people labours falls apartp pthe truth basis labours ukwide onesizefitsall appeal national labourism long gone leaving little localised cultural habits halflife threatening partys future national labourism rose half 20th century development distinctly national british economy examined detail david edgertons masterfulemthe rise fall british nationem 2018 britain offered clear unit stateguaranteed security control labour meaningfully claim declined 1970s onwards conservative assault industry trade unions yanked labours national rootsp pin scotland devolution offered opportunity labour repot national soil scottish parliament place spurned pathological fear nationalism quietly embraced british level refusing seriously differentiate new labour stand westminster scottish labour handed scotlands distinctive disputatious political culture snp welsh labour understood enduring importance tom nairn called nationality politics reaped rewardsp pstarmer sarwar think learning welsh labour leader mark drakeford singing praises british english scottish patriotism spuriously oppose nationalism vision identity hopelessly depoliticised offering little loyalty triumphant athletes pretty scenery offers bridgeway everyday anxieties economy welfare state movement right direction starmers buy british strategic state procurement offers vision economic nationalism mirrored scottish labours criticisms snpp pbut helps illustrate labours problem starmer acknowledges british economy unsustainably offshored exploitative unequal little proud goes institutional underpinnings britishness westminster deeply unpopular nhs fragmented devolved lines long labour offers onlyembritishemvisions remain unconvincing decades conservative assaults british state left nation hollowedout husk economic administrative terms cultural terms remains culturewar jingoism right strangely americanised ideal identitybased progressivism left claimed britains behalf hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomcomment202109thebritainofemmaraducanushowswhynationalistsarelosingtheargumentthat old magpie identity gordon brownap pif break free british blinkers labour find plenty useful territorial identities tended submerge britishness come institutional ideological baggage far malleable open leftwing appropriation doesnt mean scotland england wales cities regions especially country big diverse england offer deep reservoirs memory meaning mix far productively labour values opposed effectively tory state detritus britishness canp pthese places small mean immediate positive people live large meaningfully frame combination workingclass solidarity state intervention makes labours distinctive contribution politics starmer native british state apparatus labour look mayor northern city perhapsp pstrongem[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticslabour202109labourslostfuturetheinsidestoryofa20yearcollapselabours lost future inside story 20year collapsea]emstrongp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsscotland202110labourneedstoenditsaddictiontobritishnesslabour needs end addiction britishnessa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomnew statesmanap

616a04b5c6bcbbacb34067b8

Rising Markups and the Role of Consumer Preferences

pthat is a relnoopener hrefhttpspapersssrncomsol3paperscfmabstract_id3939126 target_blanka new papera by hendrik dpper alexander mackay nathan miller and joel stiebale with striking resultsp blockquotepwe characterize the evolution of markups for consumer products in the united states from 2006 to 2019 we use detailed data on prices and quantities for products in more than 100 distinct product categories to estimate demand systems with flexible consumer preferences we recover markups under an assumption that firms set prices to maximize profit within each product category we recover separate yearly estimates for consumer preferences and marginal costs we find that markups increase by about 25 percent on average over the sample period the change is attributable to decreases in marginal costs that are not passed through to consumers in the form of lower prices our estimates indicate that consumers have become less price sensitive over timepblockquote pof course under this hypothesis the supposed increase in monopoly is not so daunting after all  it would be an interesting question however why elasticity of demand might have fallen  better matching to consumers  more complacency  goods and services are these days more addictivep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110risingmarkupsandtheroleofconsumerpreferenceshtmlrising markups and the role of consumer preferencesa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthat relnoopener hrefhttpspapersssrncomsol3paperscfmabstract_id3939126 target_blanka new papera hendrik dpper alexander mackay nathan miller joel stiebale striking resultsp blockquotepwe characterize evolution markups consumer products united states 2006 2019 use detailed data prices quantities products 100 distinct product categories estimate demand systems flexible consumer preferences recover markups assumption firms set prices maximize profit product category recover separate yearly estimates consumer preferences marginal costs find markups increase 25 percent average sample period change attributable decreases marginal costs passed consumers form lower prices estimates indicate consumers price sensitive timepblockquote pof course hypothesis supposed increase monopoly daunting interesting question elasticity demand fallen better matching consumers complacency goods services days addictivep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110risingmarkupsandtheroleofconsumerpreferenceshtmlrising markups role consumer preferencesa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

616a04bfc6bcbbacb34067ba

The Exhibitionist Economy

img altthe exhibitionist economy srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110icons1pngpppwhen former facebook product manager frances haugen leaked thousands of internal company documents to the emwall street journalem in september it led to another cycle of acrimonious allegations of corporate irresponsibility ive seen a bunch of social networks a hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomnewsfacebookwhistleblowerfranceshaugenmisinformationpublic60minutes20211003haugen told em60 minutesema in an interview and it was substantially worse at facebook than what i had seen before facebook over and over again has shown it chooses profit over safety haugens disclosures inflamed an already a hrefhttpswwwedelmancomtrust2021trustbarometertrusttechnologyfeverish debatea about online privacy and the a hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgfacttank2021072056ofamericanssupportmoreregulationofmajortechnologycompaniesdesirability of attemptsa to curtail the reach and influence of the most powerful tech companies ppbut lost amid all the blamecasting has been any proper consideration of the responsibility social media users bear for the loss of their own privacy as big tech assumes the role of corporate supervillain its users absolve themselves of personal responsibility and while it is true that these companies are fuelled by our data how they got it and why we relinquished it in the first place also merit reflection ppyes silicon valleys race to the profitable bottom has always a hrefhttpswwwpublicaffairsbookscomtitlesjonfasmanweseeitall9781541730670traded on our privacya but while valid concerns about apptracking a hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomtechnologyarchive202002wemayhavenoprivacythingscanalwaysgetworse606250facial recognitiona and police surveillance remain a legitimate topic of political and journalistic interest the other half of the debate is being neglected the emergence of new cultural norms has seen citizens broadcast aspects of their personal lives that had hitherto remained out of public view missing from the latest eruption of public outrage targeting big tech and mark zuckerberg is an acknowledgement that we voluntarily agreed to surrender our privacy and that we may never get it backphrpthis is america declared emamerican idolem host ryan seacrest in 2010 where everyone has the right to life love and the pursuit of fame the rise of reality tv had ushered in a silent but dramatic shift in cultural messaging that social media was now poised to exploit at the beginning of the a hrefhttpswwwgovtechcomproductshowsmartphonesrevolutionizedsocietyinlessthanadecadehtmlsmartphone revolutiona in 2007 ucla researchers a hrefhttpswwwpsychologicalscienceorgnewskidswantfamemorethananythinghtmlwere already noticinga that fame was the number one value communicated to preteens on popular tv that same year a a hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgfacttank20070123gennexterssaygettingrichistheirgenerationstopgoala hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgfacttank20070123gennexterssaygettingrichistheirgenerationstopgoalpewa report found thata 1825 yearolds ranked getting rich and being famous as their single most important goal sixtyfour percent of those sampled ranked affluence as their most important life goal while only four percent selected becoming more spiritualppin 2012 researchers led by jean twenge a hrefhttpspsycnetapaorgrecord201205954001found thata compared to baby boomers or genxers collegeage millennials considered extrinsic values money image fame more important and those related to intrinsic values selfacceptance affiliation community less important these findings corresponded with declines in concern for others and civic orientation the same year another twengeled team examined over 750000 books tv shows and song lyrics published between 1960 and 2008 a hrefhttpsjournalssagepubcomdoiabs1011770022022112455100and founda the use of first person plural pronouns eg we us decreased 10 percent[] first person singular pronouns i me increased 42 percent and second person pronouns you your quadrupled these results complement previous research finding increases in individualistic traits among americansppthe twin sister research team of a hrefhttpswwwtandfonlinecomdoiabs101080174397602012715182pelin and selin kesebira arrived at similar conclusions by drawing on a large corpus of books they found that rising american individualism had led to a decline in general moral terms including decency and conscience and a 74 percent decline in virtue words such as honesty compassion and patience a a hrefhttpsarstechnicacomscience201907americankidswouldmuchratherbeyoutubersthanastronauts2019 polla commissioned by lego meanwhile found that the most desirable profession among american and british kids was no longer astronaut but vloggeryoutuber similar a hrefhttpsmediakixcomblogpercentchildrenbecomingayoutubersurveysa found those numbers to be even larger a a hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20191108studyyoungpeoplewanttobepaidinfluencershtmlreport from morning consulta found that 86 percent of gen z and millennials surveyed would post sponsored content for money and 54 percent would become an influencer given the opportunity a a hrefhttpswwwpewforumorg20181120whereamericansfindmeaninginlife2018 pewem empolla investigating where americans find meaning in life revealed that after family the most cited sources of purpose were career and money these goals supersede spirituality or friends and substantially outpace health and learningppthe proliferation of smartphones and social media has accelerated underlying social trends and transformed prevailing cultural norms of personal privacy our views on what should be kept private have changed in the culture as well as the courtroom a hrefhttpsreasoncom20180419howwelostprivacyobserves katrina gullivera in emreasonem today she contends we celebrate such openness revealing your personal history is now seen as brave things once held to be shameful are now accepted even lauded and those who emdontem want to share the details of their personal lives are portrayed as uptight or weirdppindividuals began battling to differentiate themselves across social media in ways that mimic silicon valleys a hrefhttpsmediumcomthriveglobalitstimetoredesigntheattentioneconomyf9215a2210becompetition for our attentiona reality tv allowed us to peer behind the curtain but instagram and tiktok tore the curtain down and threw it away and as our cultural moment increasingly esteems selfpromotion by way of selfies and thirst traps synchronized dances and a hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikimukbangmukbangsa who are we to judge the wild west of digital marketing and the attention economy have been tamed and we are all eager to lap it upppsocial media normalized what jonathan haidt calls a a hrefhttpsmobiletwittercomjonhaidtstatus1437836296639090691prestige economyaa performative culture in which people compete for social status under these market conditions privacywithholding our drunken antics beach bodies breakups shower thoughts and uninformed political takeswas the road to social irrelevance and nonexistence in a world measured by outrage and shrinking attention spans if youre not online a a hrefhttpswwwnews24comcitypressbusinessifyourenotonlineitslikeyoudontexistdisruptivetechdrivesbusiness20180920emcity pressem headline adviseda in 2018 you dont existppas the tech companies reached down humanitys brainstem to keep us hooked we matched their appetites with our own in the battle for eyeballs that meant showing skin last year the a hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoi101111gwao12354authors of a studya examining instagram influencers porn chic and the monetization of attention wrote an a hrefhttpstheconversationcomhowhighlysexualisedimageryisshapinginfluenceoninstagramandharassmentisrife113030article for the emconversationema in which they worried about a continuum of pornified selfrepresentations among nearly 200 female instagram influencers and that a higher number of followers were associated with a more explicitly pornified aesthetic influencers became a hrefhttpsgrincoblogaguidetobuildingyourpersonalbrandthroughsocialmediapersonal brandsa who leverage their platforms to entice followers to buy into whatever theyre selling some redirected patrons to an onlyfans profile while others flogged protein powder gummy vitamins or detox teappthe userbases of instagram tiktok snapchat and pinterest skew a hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorginternet20210407socialmediausein2021femalea but men who congregate on youtube linkedin twitter and reddit have shown themselves to be just as vulnerable to the a hrefhttponlineliebertpubcomdoiabs101089cyber20110151appeal of superficialitya whereas women post pictures featuring direct eyecontact a hrefhttpswwwsocialmediatodaycomsocialnetworksgenderspecificbehaviorssocialmediaandwhattheymeanonlinecommunicationsmen prefera more full body shots that include other people boys and men were also more likely to share a hrefhttpsinfosiceindianaeduherringteensgenderpdfdrunken escapadesa and risktaking adventures an investigation by emviceem a hrefhttpswwwvicecomenarticle7kvnxasnapchatisfuellingbritainsteenmurderepidemicrecently founda that snapchat has even become a popular forum among statusseeking young men for the promotion of violence and murderppthe unhealthy extremes of male social media behaviour coincided with the rise of hustle porn a termed coined by reddit cofounder alexis ohanian which he defined as the fetishization of people overworking themselves in an a hrefhttpswwwgqcomaugqwomendatingtheriseandriseofhustlepornnewsstory61df71f00cb3d41507f08d39fe063f04article for emgqema david smiedt explained [w]orshipping at the altar of musk and jobs the hustle lifestyle spawned the subbranches of hacks life hacks bio hacks time hacks anything to give you those few extra minutes a day to like fiddy says get rich or die trying hustle porn produced its own offshoot known as a hrefhttpswwwmacleanscasocietyappearingwealthyonsocialmediahasbecomeanindustryflexesaostentatious displays of wealth such as excessive collections of luxury watches cars gadgets and suitsphrpall the while we grew comfortable baring all in the name of entertainment and attention today we all live on instagram from a hrefhttpsthemanifestcomsocialmediahowdifferentgenerationsusesocialmediacradle to gravea a a hrefhttpswwwweforumorgagenda201910socialmediausebygenerationvast and growing segmenta of humanity has willingly forfeited personal privacy in pursuit of likes and shares the notion of a private sphere now seems quaint and archaica term that harks back to a distant era in which a persons privacy began at their hedgerow ppa hrefhttpswwwmayoclinicorghealthylifestyletweenandteenhealthindepthteensandsocialmediauseart20474437parentsa now fret about when to give their children smartphoneson one hand they worry about the effect of social media use on their wellbeing but on the other they a hrefhttpsarchiveph12npxagainurlhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesiphonesvsparentsthetugofwaroveramericaschildren1515772695feara their kids will face social ostracism and exclusion if they are not allowed to participate in their friends activities online and while some commentators have recommended that a hrefhttpsquillettecom20211004instagramandtheteengirlmentalhealthminimum mandatory agesa should be implemented the foreseeable reality is that restricting teen behavior is nearly impossible in 2018 a hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorginternet20180531teenssocialmediatechnology2018pew reported thata 95 percent of teens had access to a smartphone and 45 percent said they were online almost constantly that means the a hrefhttpswwwweforumorgagenda201910socialmediausebygenerationwindowa of life insulated from the vagaries of instagram tiktok and snapchat has become vanishingly small within their first decade classmates will be logging on to social networks creating a a hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0chm6ly9yc3mud2hvb3noa2fhlmnvbs9yc3mvcg9ky2fzdc9pzc81mdizepisodeyte3ndq0njgtytuwny00ote4ltkzztutzgiymti0oda0yznhtragedy of the commonsa in which others feel forced to join or face missing outppwe have walked into a privacy culdesac of our own making a persons entire educational and employment history is publicly available on linkedin facebook offers access to their friends and family twitter showcases their political beliefs instagram reveals their tastes and interests we no longer have to walk out of our front door to know our neighbours we just need to know their names thanks to cancel culture intolerance excavators can now scour digital footprints for breadcrumbs of missteps which are unsurprisingly easy to findppupcoming generations will not thank us for gifting them a world devoid of the concept of personal privacy we have left them an exhibitionist social economy in which status is conferred upon those who a hrefhttpswwwsciencedirectcomsciencearticlepiis0747563212003706casa_tokenps6vhlpbh5aaaaaadhfzmapg2wv06w9rwb68sq2dlwsyu7d8yjw1dc6cmeaurcaabvedzm4vd7lg9rkbnbf3kdeqmqexchange their privacya for standing and prestige and during the hue and cry of our latest crusade against mark zuckerberg and facebook that should give us pausep

img altthe exhibitionist economy srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110icons1pngpppwhen facebook product manager frances haugen leaked thousands internal company documents emwall street journalem september led cycle acrimonious allegations corporate irresponsibility ive seen bunch social networks hrefhttpswwwcbsnewscomnewsfacebookwhistleblowerfranceshaugenmisinformationpublic60minutes20211003haugen told em60 minutesema interview substantially worse facebook seen facebook shown chooses profit safety haugens disclosures inflamed hrefhttpswwwedelmancomtrust2021trustbarometertrusttechnologyfeverish debatea online privacy hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgfacttank2021072056ofamericanssupportmoreregulationofmajortechnologycompaniesdesirability attemptsa curtail reach influence powerful tech companies ppbut lost amid blamecasting proper consideration responsibility social media users bear loss privacy big tech assumes role corporate supervillain users absolve personal responsibility true companies fuelled data got relinquished place merit reflection ppyes silicon valleys race profitable hrefhttpswwwpublicaffairsbookscomtitlesjonfasmanweseeitall9781541730670traded privacya valid concerns apptracking hrefhttpswwwtheatlanticcomtechnologyarchive202002wemayhavenoprivacythingscanalwaysgetworse606250facial recognitiona police surveillance remain legitimate topic political journalistic interest half debate neglected emergence new cultural norms seen citizens broadcast aspects personal lives hitherto remained public view missing latest eruption public outrage targeting big tech mark zuckerberg acknowledgement voluntarily agreed surrender privacy backphrpthis america declared emamerican idolem host ryan seacrest 2010 right life love pursuit fame rise reality tv ushered silent dramatic shift cultural messaging social media poised exploit beginning hrefhttpswwwgovtechcomproductshowsmartphonesrevolutionizedsocietyinlessthanadecadehtmlsmartphone revolutiona 2007 ucla researchers hrefhttpswwwpsychologicalscienceorgnewskidswantfamemorethananythinghtmlwere noticinga fame number value communicated preteens popular tv year hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgfacttank20070123gennexterssaygettingrichistheirgenerationstopgoala hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorgfacttank20070123gennexterssaygettingrichistheirgenerationstopgoalpewa report found thata 1825 yearolds ranked getting rich famous single important goal sixtyfour percent sampled ranked affluence important life goal percent selected spiritualppin 2012 researchers led jean twenge hrefhttpspsycnetapaorgrecord201205954001found thata compared baby boomers genxers collegeage millennials considered extrinsic values money image fame important related intrinsic values selfacceptance affiliation community important findings corresponded declines concern civic orientation year twengeled team examined 750000 books tv shows song lyrics published 1960 2008 hrefhttpsjournalssagepubcomdoiabs1011770022022112455100and founda use person plural pronouns eg decreased 10 percent[] person singular pronouns increased 42 percent second person pronouns quadrupled results complement previous research finding increases individualistic traits americansppthe twin sister research team hrefhttpswwwtandfonlinecomdoiabs101080174397602012715182pelin selin kesebira arrived similar conclusions drawing large corpus books found rising american individualism led decline general moral terms including decency conscience 74 percent decline virtue words honesty compassion patience hrefhttpsarstechnicacomscience201907americankidswouldmuchratherbeyoutubersthanastronauts2019 polla commissioned lego found desirable profession american british kids longer astronaut vloggeryoutuber similar hrefhttpsmediakixcomblogpercentchildrenbecomingayoutubersurveysa found numbers larger hrefhttpswwwcnbccom20191108studyyoungpeoplewanttobepaidinfluencershtmlreport morning consulta found 86 percent gen z millennials surveyed post sponsored content money 54 percent influencer given opportunity hrefhttpswwwpewforumorg20181120whereamericansfindmeaninginlife2018 pewem empolla investigating americans find meaning life revealed family cited sources purpose career money goals supersede spirituality friends substantially outpace health learningppthe proliferation smartphones social media accelerated underlying social trends transformed prevailing cultural norms personal privacy views kept private changed culture courtroom hrefhttpsreasoncom20180419howwelostprivacyobserves katrina gullivera emreasonem today contends celebrate openness revealing personal history seen brave things held shameful accepted lauded emdontem want share details personal lives portrayed uptight weirdppindividuals began battling differentiate social media ways mimic silicon valleys hrefhttpsmediumcomthriveglobalitstimetoredesigntheattentioneconomyf9215a2210becompetition attentiona reality tv allowed peer curtain instagram tiktok tore curtain threw away cultural moment increasingly esteems selfpromotion way selfies thirst traps synchronized dances hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikimukbangmukbangsa judge wild west digital marketing attention economy tamed eager lap upppsocial media normalized jonathan haidt calls hrefhttpsmobiletwittercomjonhaidtstatus1437836296639090691prestige economyaa performative culture people compete social status market conditions privacywithholding drunken antics beach bodies breakups shower thoughts uninformed political takeswas road social irrelevance nonexistence world measured outrage shrinking attention spans youre online hrefhttpswwwnews24comcitypressbusinessifyourenotonlineitslikeyoudontexistdisruptivetechdrivesbusiness20180920emcity pressem headline adviseda 2018 dont existppas tech companies reached humanitys brainstem hooked matched appetites battle eyeballs meant showing skin year hrefhttpsonlinelibrarywileycomdoi101111gwao12354authors studya examining instagram influencers porn chic monetization attention wrote hrefhttpstheconversationcomhowhighlysexualisedimageryisshapinginfluenceoninstagramandharassmentisrife113030article emconversationema worried continuum pornified selfrepresentations nearly 200 female instagram influencers higher number followers associated explicitly pornified aesthetic influencers hrefhttpsgrincoblogaguidetobuildingyourpersonalbrandthroughsocialmediapersonal brandsa leverage platforms entice followers buy theyre selling redirected patrons onlyfans profile flogged protein powder gummy vitamins detox teappthe userbases instagram tiktok snapchat pinterest skew hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorginternet20210407socialmediausein2021femalea men congregate youtube linkedin twitter reddit shown vulnerable hrefhttponlineliebertpubcomdoiabs101089cyber20110151appeal superficialitya women post pictures featuring direct eyecontact hrefhttpswwwsocialmediatodaycomsocialnetworksgenderspecificbehaviorssocialmediaandwhattheymeanonlinecommunicationsmen prefera body shots include people boys men likely share hrefhttpsinfosiceindianaeduherringteensgenderpdfdrunken escapadesa risktaking adventures investigation emviceem hrefhttpswwwvicecomenarticle7kvnxasnapchatisfuellingbritainsteenmurderepidemicrecently founda snapchat popular forum statusseeking young men promotion violence murderppthe unhealthy extremes male social media behaviour coincided rise hustle porn termed coined reddit cofounder alexis ohanian defined fetishization people overworking hrefhttpswwwgqcomaugqwomendatingtheriseandriseofhustlepornnewsstory61df71f00cb3d41507f08d39fe063f04article emgqema david smiedt explained [w]orshipping altar musk jobs hustle lifestyle spawned subbranches hacks life hacks bio hacks time hacks extra minutes day like fiddy says rich die trying hustle porn produced offshoot known hrefhttpswwwmacleanscasocietyappearingwealthyonsocialmediahasbecomeanindustryflexesaostentatious displays wealth excessive collections luxury watches cars gadgets suitsphrpall grew comfortable baring entertainment attention today live instagram hrefhttpsthemanifestcomsocialmediahowdifferentgenerationsusesocialmediacradle gravea hrefhttpswwwweforumorgagenda201910socialmediausebygenerationvast growing segmenta humanity willingly forfeited personal privacy pursuit likes shares notion private sphere quaint archaica term harks distant era persons privacy began hedgerow ppa hrefhttpswwwmayoclinicorghealthylifestyletweenandteenhealthindepthteensandsocialmediauseart20474437parentsa fret children smartphoneson hand worry effect social media use wellbeing hrefhttpsarchiveph12npxagainurlhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesiphonesvsparentsthetugofwaroveramericaschildren1515772695feara kids face social ostracism exclusion allowed participate friends activities online commentators recommended hrefhttpsquillettecom20211004instagramandtheteengirlmentalhealthminimum mandatory agesa implemented foreseeable reality restricting teen behavior nearly impossible 2018 hrefhttpswwwpewresearchorginternet20180531teenssocialmediatechnology2018pew reported thata 95 percent teens access smartphone 45 percent said online constantly means hrefhttpswwwweforumorgagenda201910socialmediausebygenerationwindowa life insulated vagaries instagram tiktok snapchat vanishingly small decade classmates logging social networks creating hrefhttpspodcastsgooglecomfeedahr0chm6ly9yc3mud2hvb3noa2fhlmnvbs9yc3mvcg9ky2fzdc9pzc81mdizepisodeyte3ndq0njgtytuwny00ote4ltkzztutzgiymti0oda0yznhtragedy commonsa feel forced join face missing outppwe walked privacy culdesac making persons entire educational employment history publicly available linkedin facebook offers access friends family twitter showcases political beliefs instagram reveals tastes interests longer walk door know neighbours need know names thanks cancel culture intolerance excavators scour digital footprints breadcrumbs missteps unsurprisingly easy findppupcoming generations thank gifting world devoid concept personal privacy left exhibitionist social economy status conferred hrefhttpswwwsciencedirectcomsciencearticlepiis0747563212003706casa_tokenps6vhlpbh5aaaaaadhfzmapg2wv06w9rwb68sq2dlwsyu7d8yjw1dc6cmeaurcaabvedzm4vd7lg9rkbnbf3kdeqmqexchange privacya standing prestige hue cry latest crusade mark zuckerberg facebook pausep

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How my union betrayed me

pnobody familiar with the behaviour of publicsector unions will have been surprised at the university and college unions betrayal of kathleen stock in fact when it comes to defending freedom of speech tucaffiliated unions are a major part of the problem just ask the re teacher who was suspended from a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202103thenewinquisitionmustneverwin target_blankbatley grammar schoola this year or emunherdems a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom201907thebetrayalofpaulembery target_blankpaul embery who was unjustly dismisseda from standing as an fbu official for two years for speaking at a probrexit rallyp pi have worked in a government department for the past 33 years but it was only in 2008 that i became aware that the unions not always on the side of their members hr had sent round an intimidating email urging us all to complete our online diversity data if we didnt complete it by a specific date we were told that out names would be added to a list of non declarers that list would then be passed on to senior management in addition it said hr may contact non declarers by phone to update their details on the system there and thenp pmany of us immediately forwarded the email to our union the public and commercial services union pcs both to complain about the threatening tone of the email and to ask why the department needed to know such things as our sexual orientation or religious belief many of us also logged into our online hr profile and removed any existing diversity data wed already completedp divdiv pthe majority of us heard nothing in response but one regional union rep in our building not only received a reply that essentially this was voluntary data management which then union would also like us to complete but the message also contained some of the disparaging emails being sent between senior union officialsp pone exchange readp blockquotepemclarification does need sending out as soon as possible the members who have raised this with me are at the moment quite adamant that they will not supply this information especially given the way the email was worded this attitude will obviously soften with time especially when the noncompliants are interrogated over the phone by hrs  if a reasoned argument can be provided by us as to why they should freely give the required information but explaining that you dont have to do it if you dont want to then hrs will still get their answers but at least we dont look like we are supporting the way theyre carrying out this caper which is the impression people are gettingempblockquote ponce the email came to light our hr department apologised and emphasised that the data grab was voluntary but in many ways that was only the start fast forward to 2014 and the rollout of unconscious bias training ubt throughout the civil service this as with the supplying of diversity data wasnt mandatory though many were led to believe it was again i contacted my union to complain that management was forcing some kind of orwellian thoughttraining upon us that i was refusing to do it and to ask them if they would back me if i faced pressure to complete it or was threatened with disciplinary action for refusingp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110stock1536x8641300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarh5the hounding of kathleen stockh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarspanbyspan timandra harknessapdivadiv pin response a pcs official phoned to tell me that the union backed the introduction of ubt i was told the unions officials had completed it didnt see my issue with it and would not support me if i faced any action from management to which i replied if that was the case then he and the union were part of the problemp pbut it was only after searching through the pcs website that i realised how much of the problem the union really was i quickly came across several articles and even a conference motion from 2013 that demanded ubt be made mandatory for all staff in effect pcs were demanding intrusion into our very thought processes and in the process handing employers a means of disciplining us based on highly politicised subjective and a relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202007antiracismtrainingforchildreniscruel target_blankflaweda evidence of unconscious biasp pthen fortunately in december last year it was announced that that ubt was to be a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewseducation55309923 target_blankscrappeda throughout the civil service in england after a government equality office investigation found that it can actually backfire and reinforce stereotypes and biases in any normal world the scrapping of ubt would have been praised by those who value freedom of thought and conscience in the workplacep pnot so the deputy general secretary of prospect a union for civil service professionals who told the a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancompolitics2020dec15ukministerscriticisedforfailingtofindalternativetounconsciousbiastraining target_blankemguardianema while there is a debate as to the effectiveness of unconscious bias training simply scrapping it without setting out alternative ways to combat discrimination in the work place is not acceptable his concern was shared by the assistant general secretary of the senior civil service fda union who told the bbcs a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccoukiplayerepisodem000qf2spoliticslive15122020 target_blankempolitics liveema that to remove it without replacing it with anything seems absolutely illogicalp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages124498909611300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarh5critical race theorys new disguiseh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pbut the story doesnt end there perhaps in anticipation of ubt being scrapped or aware of its discrediting the civil service unions were busy behind the scenes collaborating on a replacement in the form of a new equality diversity and inclusion edi elearning module which was rolled out to us in september 2020 however unlike with its predecessor at least this time the collaboration between the unions and management was stated openly we were informed that we had until the 31 december 2020 to complete it i am yet to do sop pno doubt hr thought that highlighting the unions collaboration would give the training greater credibility but to me it was evidence of our unions insultingly low opinion of their members and the wider workforce that is rather than seeing us as a collective solution to workplace problems including in tackling discrimination we are made to feel like wouldbe bigots who need to be saved from ourselvesp pso to return to the ucus disgraceful lack of support for kathleen stock i would have been more shocked if her union had supported her right to think what she likes and express those opinions freely but until the unions overcome their own conscious prejudices against the workforce and stop collaborating with management to impose increasingly discredited diversity initiatives upon us dont expect them to defend freedom of thought and conscience in the workplace anytime soonp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howmyunionbetrayedmeappcommentsview 12 commentsa

pnobody familiar behaviour publicsector unions surprised university college unions betrayal kathleen stock fact comes defending freedom speech tucaffiliated unions major problem ask teacher suspended relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202103thenewinquisitionmustneverwin target_blankbatley grammar schoola year emunherdems relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom201907thebetrayalofpaulembery target_blankpaul embery unjustly dismisseda standing fbu official years speaking probrexit rallyp pi worked government department past 33 years 2008 aware unions members hr sent round intimidating email urging complete online diversity data didnt complete specific date told names added list non declarers list passed senior management addition said hr contact non declarers phone update details system thenp pmany immediately forwarded email union public commercial services union pcs complain threatening tone email ask department needed know things sexual orientation religious belief logged online hr profile removed existing diversity data wed completedp divdiv pthe majority heard response regional union rep building received reply essentially voluntary data management union like complete message contained disparaging emails sent senior union officialsp pone exchange readp blockquotepemclarification need sending soon possible members raised moment adamant supply information especially given way email worded attitude obviously soften time especially noncompliants interrogated phone hrs reasoned argument provided freely required information explaining dont dont want hrs answers dont look like supporting way theyre carrying caper impression people gettingempblockquote ponce email came light hr department apologised emphasised data grab voluntary ways start fast forward 2014 rollout unconscious bias training ubt civil service supplying diversity data wasnt mandatory led believe contacted union complain management forcing kind orwellian thoughttraining refusing ask faced pressure complete threatened disciplinary action refusingp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110stock1536x8641300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarh5the hounding kathleen stockh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110thehoundingofkathleenstockrefinnarspanbyspan timandra harknessapdivadiv pin response pcs official phoned tell union backed introduction ubt told unions officials completed didnt issue support faced action management replied case union problemp pbut searching pcs website realised problem union quickly came articles conference motion 2013 demanded ubt mandatory staff effect pcs demanding intrusion thought processes process handing employers means disciplining based highly politicised subjective relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202007antiracismtrainingforchildreniscruel target_blankflaweda evidence unconscious biasp pthen fortunately december year announced ubt relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewseducation55309923 target_blankscrappeda civil service england government equality office investigation found actually backfire reinforce stereotypes biases normal world scrapping ubt praised value freedom thought conscience workplacep pnot deputy general secretary prospect union civil service professionals told relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancompolitics2020dec15ukministerscriticisedforfailingtofindalternativetounconsciousbiastraining target_blankemguardianema debate effectiveness unconscious bias training simply scrapping setting alternative ways combat discrimination work place acceptable concern shared assistant general secretary senior civil service fda union told bbcs relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccoukiplayerepisodem000qf2spoliticslive15122020 target_blankempolitics liveema remove replacing absolutely illogicalp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages124498909611300x169jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarh5critical race theorys new disguiseh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110criticalracetheorysnewdisguiserefinnarspanbyspan ayaan hirsi aliapdivadiv pbut story doesnt end anticipation ubt scrapped aware discrediting civil service unions busy scenes collaborating replacement form new equality diversity inclusion edi elearning module rolled september 2020 unlike predecessor time collaboration unions management stated openly informed 31 december 2020 complete sop pno doubt hr thought highlighting unions collaboration training greater credibility evidence unions insultingly low opinion members wider workforce seeing collective solution workplace problems including tackling discrimination feel like wouldbe bigots need saved ourselvesp pso return ucus disgraceful lack support kathleen stock shocked union supported right think likes express opinions freely unions overcome conscious prejudices workforce stop collaborating management impose increasingly discredited diversity initiatives dont expect defend freedom thought conscience workplace anytime soonp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110howmyunionbetrayedmeappcommentsview 12 commentsa

616a053cc6bcbbacb34067c0

Harvard’s Lieberman says Americans can learn from hunter-gatherers

pour sedentary tendencies may be robbing us of a key benefit of physical activity the myriad repair mechanisms that heal the minor dings and tears of huntergatherer and farming lifestyles a deficit that may be particularly damaging as we agep pa hrefhttpsscholarharvardedudliebermanhomedaniel liebermana the edwin m lerner ii professor of biological sciences and an expert in the evolution of physical activity and exercise says that the difference in activity levels between western adults and huntergatherers is significant throughout the lifespan but grows particularly glaring as we age western adults slow down with age while elders of todays huntergatherer tribes whose daily exercise is already significantly higher chalk up six to 10 times more activity than their western counterpartsp pwe evolved to be very physically active as we age lieberman said theres no such thing as retirement if youre a huntergatherer you work until the end of your life there are no weekends no bank holidays no retirementp pgrandmothers actually increase foraging after their childrearing days spending more time engaged in the activity than mothers who are juggling childcare responsibilities four to eight hours per day compared with two to five for mothers all that exercise lieberman said stresses the body and requires it to spend significant resources on repair after each session patching tears in muscle fibers repairing cartilage damage and healing microfractures exerciserelated antioxidants antiinflammatories increased blood flow cellular and dna repair processes have been shown to lower the risk of diabetes obesity cancer osteoporosis alzheimers and depression exercise has even been shown to protect against covid19 lieberman said with 150 minutes per week resulting in a 2 times lower risk for contracting the illnessp div figure div div img sizesminwidth 1384px 808px minwidth 1070px calc100vw 160px 66 minwidth 768px calc100vw 120px 75 minwidth 600px calc100vw 120px calc100vw 50px srchttpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01231024x683jpeg width1024 altdan lieberman and brenda tindol srcsethttpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01231024x683jpeg 1024w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_0123300x200jpeg 300w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_0123768x512jpeg 768w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01231536x1024jpeg 1536w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01232048x1366jpeg 2048w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01231350x900jpeg 1350w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01231200x800jpeg 1200w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_0123900x600jpeg 900w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_0123400x267jpeg 400w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01231500x1000jpeg 1500w height683 div div figcaption pwe evolved to be very physically active as we age theres no such thing as retirement if youre a huntergatherer said daniel lieberman in a virtual event with brenda tindal executive director of the harvard museums of science and culturep prose lincolnharvard staff photographerp figcaption figure div div div div pwe evolved to stay physically active as we age in order to turn on these repair and maintenance mechanisms which help to counter senescence and our vulnerability to disease he said we never evolved not to be physically active so we dont turn these mechanisms on to the same extent if were just sitting aroundp plieberman who spoke wednesday at a virtual lecture sponsored by the a hrefhttpwwwhmnhharvardeduharvard museum of natural historya said he began thinking about the rise of the modern exercise culture while conducting research among native peoples who though often more fit than westerners also often expressed surprise at his questions about exercise and training he once asked a member of a tribe known for its running prowess about his training regimen and instead of hearing about intervals and splits lieberman was asked in return why anyone would run if they didnt have to the scientist had to admit the tribal runner was on to something and americans seem to agree just 20 percent get the recommended 150 minutes a week of moderate to vigorous exercisep ptraining is a bizarre modern western idea lieberman said their training is just their lives theyre physically active people because they have to climb up and down these mountains all the time these canyons and theyre farmers nobody goes for fivemile runs in this part of the world even though theyre very famous for their runningp plieberman who published his latest book exercised why something we never evolved to do is healthy and rewarding in january realized that what he believed to be a modern concept of exercise was really a western wealthy industrialized concept of exercise for most of the world and for most of human history people exercised because they had to or because it was rewarding for them as in the case of dancingp plieberman said huntergatherers who avoid accident and disease tend to live nearly as long as their counterparts in western industrialized societies the difference he said is that healthspan among this group the number of healthy years of life nearly matches their lifespan by contrast it is a common fear in modern industrialized societies that one will spend years incapacitated by disease before dyingp presearch on the rewards of exercise including findings on how it protects mental health and helps us burn calories and maintain strength is prodigious these benefits lieberman said grow more important as we age he cited a longrunning study of 21000 harvard graduates that showed that regular moderate to vigorous exercise burning 2000 or more calories per week lowered death rates 21 percent among those age 25 to 49 36 percent among those 50 to 59 and 50 percent among those 70 to 84p pthats an enormous effect lieberman said people are dying at faster rates as they get older but as they get older exercise has an even greater benefitpdivdivdiv

pour sedentary tendencies robbing key benefit physical activity myriad repair mechanisms heal minor dings tears huntergatherer farming lifestyles deficit particularly damaging agep pa hrefhttpsscholarharvardedudliebermanhomedaniel liebermana edwin m lerner ii professor biological sciences expert evolution physical activity exercise says difference activity levels western adults huntergatherers significant lifespan grows particularly glaring age western adults slow age elders todays huntergatherer tribes daily exercise significantly higher chalk 10 times activity western counterpartsp pwe evolved physically active age lieberman said theres thing retirement youre huntergatherer work end life weekends bank holidays retirementp pgrandmothers actually increase foraging childrearing days spending time engaged activity mothers juggling childcare responsibilities hours day compared mothers exercise lieberman said stresses body requires spend significant resources repair session patching tears muscle fibers repairing cartilage damage healing microfractures exerciserelated antioxidants antiinflammatories increased blood flow cellular dna repair processes shown lower risk diabetes obesity cancer osteoporosis alzheimers depression exercise shown protect covid19 lieberman said 150 minutes week resulting 2 times lower risk contracting illnessp div figure div div img sizesminwidth 1384px 808px minwidth 1070px calc100vw 160px 66 minwidth 768px calc100vw 120px 75 minwidth 600px calc100vw 120px calc100vw 50px srchttpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01231024x683jpeg width1024 altdan lieberman brenda tindol srcsethttpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01231024x683jpeg 1024w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_0123300x200jpeg 300w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_0123768x512jpeg 768w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01231536x1024jpeg 1536w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01232048x1366jpeg 2048w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01231350x900jpeg 1350w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01231200x800jpeg 1200w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_0123900x600jpeg 900w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_0123400x267jpeg 400w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110101321_lieberman_01231500x1000jpeg 1500w height683 div div figcaption pwe evolved physically active age theres thing retirement youre huntergatherer said daniel lieberman virtual event brenda tindal executive director harvard museums science culturep prose lincolnharvard staff photographerp figcaption figure div div div div pwe evolved stay physically active age order turn repair maintenance mechanisms help counter senescence vulnerability disease said evolved physically active dont turn mechanisms extent sitting aroundp plieberman spoke wednesday virtual lecture sponsored hrefhttpwwwhmnhharvardeduharvard museum natural historya said began thinking rise modern exercise culture conducting research native peoples fit westerners expressed surprise questions exercise training asked member tribe known running prowess training regimen instead hearing intervals splits lieberman asked return run didnt scientist admit tribal runner americans agree 20 percent recommended 150 minutes week moderate vigorous exercisep ptraining bizarre modern western idea lieberman said training lives theyre physically active people climb mountains time canyons theyre farmers goes fivemile runs world theyre famous runningp plieberman published latest book exercised evolved healthy rewarding january realized believed modern concept exercise western wealthy industrialized concept exercise world human history people exercised rewarding case dancingp plieberman said huntergatherers avoid accident disease tend live nearly long counterparts western industrialized societies difference said healthspan group number healthy years life nearly matches lifespan contrast common fear modern industrialized societies spend years incapacitated disease dyingp presearch rewards exercise including findings protects mental health helps burn calories maintain strength prodigious benefits lieberman said grow important age cited longrunning study 21000 harvard graduates showed regular moderate vigorous exercise burning 2000 calories week lowered death rates 21 percent age 25 49 36 percent 50 59 50 percent 70 84p pthats enormous effect lieberman said people dying faster rates older older exercise greater benefitpdivdivdiv

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From Steven Pinker, a paean to the rational mind

pat a time when belief in science appears to be waning conspiracy theories seem to be on the rise and many americans cannot agree on basic facts a hrefhttpspsychologyfasharvardedupeoplestevenpinkersteven pinkera argues for a return to rational thought and public discourse in his latest book rationality what it is why it seems scarce why it matters pinker harvards johnstone family professor of psychology and author of the better angels of our nature and enlightenment now thinks we will always need to push back against our own irrationality and that education democracy science and journalism along with an awareness of our own biases can help us embrace a more rational approach to everyday issues the interview was edited for clarity and lengthp h2qampah2 h3steven pinkerh3 pspanstronggazettestrongspan can you define rationality in a sentencep pspanpinkerspan i define it as the use of knowledge to attain a goal where knowledge according to the standard philosophers definition is justified true beliefp pspanstronggazettestrongspan we see examples of seemingly irrational beliefs and behaviors every day but you argue that people are fully capable of being rational how do you explain that disconnectp pspanpinkerspan first rationality is always in pursuit of a goal sometimes that goal is rational for each of us as individuals but irrational for us as a society a tragedy of the rationality commons as when it makes sense for every shepherd to graze his sheep on the town commons but when everyone does it the commons gets denuded and theyre all worse off in this case if everyone is ingenious in gaining prestige within their political sect by glorifying its sacred beliefs and demonizing rival sects that may work to everyones individual advantage but not to the advantage of the whole society in its interest in the truth and the best policiesp panother part of the answer is that we are born with primitive intuitions that served us well in traditional societies but have become obsolete in a scientifically sophisticated one for example we have the intuition that living things harbor an essence an inner stuff that makes them function and gives them their powers and that disease comes from external contaminants that pollute it that leads us to quack remedies like bloodletting purging cupping and homeopathy and opposition to genetically modified foods likewise the intuition of dualism that people have minds as well as bodies leads naturally to a belief in minds without bodies so we have ghosts and esp and communicating with the dead the intuition of design in our plans and artifacts leads to creationism and the superstition that everything happens for a reasonp pnow most of us unlearn these intuitions when we buy into the consensus of the scientific establishment its not as if we understand the physiology or neuroscience or cosmology ourselves but many people dont trust the scientific establishment so they fall back on those intuitionsp pfinally the conviction that all our beliefs should be grounded in evidence is psychologically unnatural i quote bertrand russell its undesirable to believe a proposition when theres no ground whatsoever for supposing it is true but thats not a truism its a radical manifesto most of us insist on reality when it comes to our immediate surroundings and our everyday lives we have no choice its the only way to get the kids clothed and fed to keep gas in the car and food in the fridge but we may not care about literal factuality when it comes to distant and cosmic questions like how did life arise what happens in remote halls of power whats the ultimate cause of disease until there was modern science and recordkeeping and journalism we had no way of finding out the answers anyway mythology was the best we could do and the criteria were uplift and solidarity and entertainment not literal truthp div figure div img sizesminwidth 1384px 1224px minwidth 1070px calc100vw 160px minwidth 600px calc100vw 120px calc100vw 50px srchttpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein11350x900jpeg width1350 altsteven pinker srcsethttpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein11350x900jpeg 1350w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein1300x200jpeg 300w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein11024x683jpeg 1024w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein1768x512jpeg 768w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein11536x1024jpeg 1536w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein12048x1366jpeg 2048w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein11200x800jpeg 1200w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein1900x600jpeg 900w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein1400x267jpeg 400w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein11500x1000jpeg 1500w height900 div figcaption pits too easy to blame social media for certain developments like the rise of knownothing populism that might be more attributable to cable news and am talk radio said steven pinkerp pphoto by rebecca goldstein p figcaption figure div div div div pspanstronggazettestrongspan can you apply that directly to the opposition to vaccines and masks doctors and scientists would say that those beliefs are pretty irrational but millions of people share them despite scientific studies that prove they save livesp pspanpinkerspan opposition to vaccination goes back to the origin of vaccination itself because its intuitively unnatural indeed repugnant to inject a disease organism into your body the people who do resist that intuition are those who trust the scientific establishment whatever the people in white coats say is good enough for me but people who are alienated from the political and scientific mainstream have no reason to doubt their intuitionsp panother contributor is the myside bias probably the most powerful of all the cognitive biases namely if something becomes an article of faith within your own coalition and if promoting it earns you status that is what you believe its somewhat arbitrary which positions get attached to which coalitions but with trumpian populism opposition to vaccines became a rallying point of the political right it wasnt always this way it used to be the treehugging mr and ms naturals who were suspicious of vaccines a romantic opposition to science and tech made vaccine resistance a leftish cause but now its more attached to the right in either case people are more adamant about protecting the sacred beliefs of their political tribe than looking at the best evidencep pspanstronggazettestrongspan do you think that people are more or less prone to rational or rational or irrational beliefs and actions today than in the pastp pspanpinkerspan im always suspicious of the leap from things are bad today to things were better yesterday thats been a theme of my books the better angels of our nature and enlightenment now where i explain how people mistakenly think for example that war and poverty have increased when the data show otherwise as franklin pierce adams said the best explanation for the good old days is a bad memory in the case of irrationality conspiracy theorizing is probably as old as language in past centuries for example we had the protocols of the elders of zion and the illuminati one longitudinal study of letters to the editor found no change in the prevalence of conspiratorial ideas in more than a centuryp plikewise with belief in the paranormal many religions are based on miracles and other paranormal phenomena and the scriptures reporting them were the original fake news before we had social media we had supermarket tabloids with sightings of elvis and babies born talking and we had urban legends like the hippie babysitter and alligators in the sewers whether theres been an uptick in recent years with the rise of social media is harder to tellp pthere certainly has been an increase in rationality inequality at the top end weve never been more rational with developments like effective altruism evidencebased medicine datadriven policing moneyball in sports but at the bottom end there has been a proliferation of nonsense easily transmitted through social mediap pspanstronggazettestrongspan i am curious about social media which have been the source of misinformation as have certain news outlets how can we use technology to instead help us think or act more rationallyp pspanpinkerspan we dont yet know the answer because social media are so new its too easy to blame social media for certain developments like the rise of knownothing populism that might be more attributable to cable news and am talk radio and some features of social media like fake news dont seem to be major factors in our politics the studies suggest that it titillates partisans rather than persuading the undecidedp psome developments to be sure are almost certainly attributable to social media hyperpolarization in politics may be one another may be the intimidation of debate and the rise of cancel culture in academia thanks to the ease of instant demonization and of amassing a shaming mob as opposed to the slower and more deliberative mechanisms that push back against our irrationality such as peer review fact checking editing and a reputation for accuracy rather than shareable snark the friction and slowness in proliferating ideas in the past meant that there were filters and ways of vetting claims for their accuracy rather than proliferating them instantaneouslyp pspanstronggazettestrongspan so how can we balance the emotional with the rational in our livesp pspanpinkerspan emotional reactions like love rewarding relationships and an appreciation of beauty are not in opposition to rationality because rationality is always in pursuit of a goal and those are clearly worthy goals when we speak of a tension between rationality and emotion often what we are referring to is a contrast between immediate and longerterm wellbeing like surrendering to impulse or doing what feels good now but knowing it will make you worse off in the long term there are just goals in different time frames what economists call discounting the future another real tension comes from conflicts between the goals of different people whats good for me may not be good for the people i work and deal and live with there too we ought to apply our rational faculties to reconcile conflicts among people thats what we mean by ethics and politicsp pstrongspangazettespan strongyou dedicated the book to your mother whyp pspanpinkerspan a lot of academics use my mother as a condescending term for unsophisticated reader when aiming to attract a broad audience theyll say make it simple enough that your mother can understand it in my case my 87yearold mother roslyn pinker is not an unsophisticated reader shes rational and literate and intellectually sophisticated shes just not an academic i showed her a draft and got her feedback making sure she could follow my arguments and understand the explanations was a test of whether my writing was clear and coherentp ptheres also a personal circumstance when the pandemic began and she was confined to her home as we all were it intensified our longdistance interactions and i think we grew closer while i was working on the bookpdivdivdiv

pat time belief science appears waning conspiracy theories rise americans agree basic facts hrefhttpspsychologyfasharvardedupeoplestevenpinkersteven pinkera argues return rational thought public discourse latest book rationality scarce matters pinker harvards johnstone family professor psychology author better angels nature enlightenment thinks need push irrationality education democracy science journalism awareness biases help embrace rational approach everyday issues interview edited clarity lengthp h2qampah2 h3steven pinkerh3 pspanstronggazettestrongspan define rationality sentencep pspanpinkerspan define use knowledge attain goal knowledge according standard philosophers definition justified true beliefp pspanstronggazettestrongspan examples seemingly irrational beliefs behaviors day argue people fully capable rational explain disconnectp pspanpinkerspan rationality pursuit goal goal rational individuals irrational society tragedy rationality commons makes sense shepherd graze sheep town commons commons gets denuded theyre worse case ingenious gaining prestige political sect glorifying sacred beliefs demonizing rival sects work everyones individual advantage advantage society interest truth best policiesp panother answer born primitive intuitions served traditional societies obsolete scientifically sophisticated example intuition living things harbor essence inner stuff makes function gives powers disease comes external contaminants pollute leads quack remedies like bloodletting purging cupping homeopathy opposition genetically modified foods likewise intuition dualism people minds bodies leads naturally belief minds bodies ghosts esp communicating dead intuition design plans artifacts leads creationism superstition happens reasonp pnow unlearn intuitions buy consensus scientific establishment understand physiology neuroscience cosmology people dont trust scientific establishment fall intuitionsp pfinally conviction beliefs grounded evidence psychologically unnatural quote bertrand russell undesirable believe proposition theres ground whatsoever supposing true thats truism radical manifesto insist reality comes immediate surroundings everyday lives choice way kids clothed fed gas car food fridge care literal factuality comes distant cosmic questions like life arise happens remote halls power whats ultimate cause disease modern science recordkeeping journalism way finding answers mythology best criteria uplift solidarity entertainment literal truthp div figure div img sizesminwidth 1384px 1224px minwidth 1070px calc100vw 160px minwidth 600px calc100vw 120px calc100vw 50px srchttpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein11350x900jpeg width1350 altsteven pinker srcsethttpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein11350x900jpeg 1350w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein1300x200jpeg 300w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein11024x683jpeg 1024w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein1768x512jpeg 768w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein11536x1024jpeg 1536w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein12048x1366jpeg 2048w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein11200x800jpeg 1200w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein1900x600jpeg 900w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein1400x267jpeg 400w httpsnewsharvardeduwpcontentuploads202110stevenpinker2021portraitbyrebeccagoldstein11500x1000jpeg 1500w height900 div figcaption pits easy blame social media certain developments like rise knownothing populism attributable cable news talk radio said steven pinkerp pphoto rebecca goldstein p figcaption figure div div div div pspanstronggazettestrongspan apply directly opposition vaccines masks doctors scientists beliefs pretty irrational millions people share despite scientific studies prove save livesp pspanpinkerspan opposition vaccination goes origin vaccination intuitively unnatural repugnant inject disease organism body people resist intuition trust scientific establishment people white coats good people alienated political scientific mainstream reason doubt intuitionsp panother contributor myside bias probably powerful cognitive biases article faith coalition promoting earns status believe somewhat arbitrary positions attached coalitions trumpian populism opposition vaccines rallying point political right wasnt way treehugging mr ms naturals suspicious vaccines romantic opposition science tech vaccine resistance leftish cause attached right case people adamant protecting sacred beliefs political tribe looking best evidencep pspanstronggazettestrongspan think people prone rational rational irrational beliefs actions today pastp pspanpinkerspan im suspicious leap things bad today things better yesterday thats theme books better angels nature enlightenment explain people mistakenly think example war poverty increased data franklin pierce adams said best explanation good old days bad memory case irrationality conspiracy theorizing probably old language past centuries example protocols elders zion illuminati longitudinal study letters editor found change prevalence conspiratorial ideas centuryp plikewise belief paranormal religions based miracles paranormal phenomena scriptures reporting original fake news social media supermarket tabloids sightings elvis babies born talking urban legends like hippie babysitter alligators sewers theres uptick recent years rise social media harder tellp pthere certainly increase rationality inequality end weve rational developments like effective altruism evidencebased medicine datadriven policing moneyball sports end proliferation nonsense easily transmitted social mediap pspanstronggazettestrongspan curious social media source misinformation certain news outlets use technology instead help think act rationallyp pspanpinkerspan dont know answer social media new easy blame social media certain developments like rise knownothing populism attributable cable news talk radio features social media like fake news dont major factors politics studies suggest titillates partisans persuading undecidedp psome developments sure certainly attributable social media hyperpolarization politics intimidation debate rise cancel culture academia thanks ease instant demonization amassing shaming mob opposed slower deliberative mechanisms push irrationality peer review fact checking editing reputation accuracy shareable snark friction slowness proliferating ideas past meant filters ways vetting claims accuracy proliferating instantaneouslyp pspanstronggazettestrongspan balance emotional rational livesp pspanpinkerspan emotional reactions like love rewarding relationships appreciation beauty opposition rationality rationality pursuit goal clearly worthy goals speak tension rationality emotion referring contrast immediate longerterm wellbeing like surrendering impulse feels good knowing worse long term goals different time frames economists discounting future real tension comes conflicts goals different people whats good good people work deal live ought apply rational faculties reconcile conflicts people thats mean ethics politicsp pstrongspangazettespan strongyou dedicated book mother whyp pspanpinkerspan lot academics use mother condescending term unsophisticated reader aiming attract broad audience theyll simple mother understand case 87yearold mother roslyn pinker unsophisticated reader shes rational literate intellectually sophisticated shes academic showed draft got feedback making sure follow arguments understand explanations test writing clear coherentp ptheres personal circumstance pandemic began confined home intensified longdistance interactions think grew closer working bookpdivdivdiv

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Michael Sandel’s Vain Quest for the Common Good

pimg width736 alt srchttpss3freebeaconcomup202110tyrannyofmerit_736x514jpg height514ppin 1640 in emthe elements of law natural and politicem thomas hobbes mischievously observed that quota democracy in effect is no more than an aristocracy of oratorsquot from silvertongued statesmen to clever sophists and crude demagogues the best talkers hobbes suggested subvert democratic equality by stirring the peoples passions shaping the publics agenda and commandeering the majoritys will two millennia earlier aristotle illuminated a deeper obstacle to democracys egalitarian aims even where all are committed to democratic deliberation some few are bound to stand outwinning praise acquiring status and renown and exciting jealousy and resentmentfor their rare dedication to and their singular labors to achieve the common good the aspiration to excel and the striving to distinguish oneself from the crowd apparently are woven into the fabric of human nature and set limits on equalitys reach and the just claims of community and the common goodp pharvard professor michael sandel has a talent for talking about equalityand gesturing at community invoking the common good and appealing to justicethat has lifted him to the top of his profession and brought him fame and fortune although his velvety prose and adroit equivocations tend to obscure the premises and implications of his reasoning he has consistently maintained over the course of a long career that the greatest threat to equality community the common good and justice in america is freedom in americap pin emthe tyranny of merit can we find the common goodem which was published to national and international acclaim last year and issued this year in paperback with a new prologue the distinguished harvard professor argues that the antagonism in america between equality community the common good and justice on the one side and freedom on the other has reached catastrophic proportions amid the bitter divide in the united states between progressive elites and conservativeleaning middleclass and workingclass voters sandel elaborates the sensational claim that it is meritocracythe view central to the modern tradition of freedom that a quotjust societyquot provides all individuals quotan equal chance to rise as far as their talent and hard work will take themquotthat is tearing the united states apart it turns out however that sandel is not opposed to the rule of every form of merit the thrust of his argument indicates that he wishes to replace the allegedly despotic rule of technocrats economists and financiers with the ostensibly refined and compassionate rule of experts in moral reasoning capable of leading national conversations about a common good in america that in his telling has been and remains elusivep pthe oddities and incongruities of sandels mature views already appear in his earliest successes in the 1980s as a young professor in harvard universitys department of government i taught there in the 1990s as he has accumulated accolades over his 40 years in residence on the banks of the charles river the tensions have intensified between the equality and community that he preaches and the exclusive personal brand that he has assiduously burnished and globally marketedp phis first book emliberalism and the limits of justiceem was published in 1982 and made his name in the fashion of the day the highly theoretical work lazily assumed that the modern tradition of freedom culminated in harvard philosophy professor john rawlss 1971 magnum opus ema theory of justiceem sandels critique of rawls and by implication of the modern tradition of freedomreaching back to john locke and including adam smith and friedrich hayekrevolves around an invidious contrast between a rightsbased politics that protects the freedom of the individual and a properly democratic and just politics grounded in community and dedicated to the common good the book led astray generations of graduate studentswho carried their confusion into their scholarship and teaching and disseminated it far and wideby suggesting that to affirm that individuals are by nature free and equal is to cast off moral constraint deny the social side of our humanity and disregard or disparage the goods people can enjoy only in common sandels subsequent bookson democracy bioethics the limits of the market and justicenever wander far from the accusation that the root cause of injustice in america is the attachment to individual freedomp pin the 1980s sandel launched a harvard class called quotjusticequot that quickly surpassed the competition in popularity in the spirit of his writings the course has tended to cast aspersions on individual freedom in the name of equality community justice and the common good at the same time the class has elevated the professors status and boosted demand for his services in the 1980s the course served as a star vehicle for sandel within harvard in the internet age harvard made the course available online turning him into an international intellectual celebrity not least in the peoples republic of chinap pthe harvard course typically features sandel holding forth alone on a grand stage in an ornate theater on occasion in front of more than 1000 students orchestrating the examination of select opinions about morality and politics and their application to a carefully chosen set of public policy issues the professor poses questions to the massive audience and plays off the responses offered by the small number of students who have the chance to participate in the guise of facilitating conversation sandel dons the persona of the consummate highbrow talkshow host and draws attention to himself as the master of ceremonies within the framework of a course touted as preparation for the assumption of civic responsibilities sandel reinforces the conceit that the apex of civic life consists in demonstrating publicly ones capacity to reason abstractly about moralityp pemthe tyranny of meritem refines extends and updates sandels careerlong effort to expose the oppressiveness and delusions of individual freedom americas quotmarketdriven meritocratic ethicquot replaces his first books culpritquotthe unencumbered selfquotas the principal adversary rooted in the commonsense american conviction that individuals should be free to develop their talents advance their interests and enjoy what they earn and acquire the meritocratic ethic according to sandel has been embraced and purified over the last four decades by the left as well as the right and thanks to the support of both parties has achieved ascendancy within american politicsp pthe cost has been staggering contends sandel meritocracy quotfueled resentment and prompted the backlashquot that in 2016 resulted in donald trumps election as president of the united states left unfettered sandel counsels the meritocratic ethic will further fray quotour social bonds and respect for one anotherquot and intensify citizens estrangement from quota politics of the common goodquotp pthe contest for admissions to elite colleges and universities according to the longtime harvard professor epitomizes the tyranny of merit by basing admissions on students ability and talent higher education sends a toxic message the admitted are winners who have earned the social status and remunerative and prestigious jobs conferred by a degree from a top institution of higher education while the rejected are losers who deserve an inferior social rank and lower incomesp psandel has a pointabout the elites harvard does exude a sense of superiority and the propensity to equate success in one endeavorsay graduation from or a perch on the faculty at an elite universitywith excellence in many domains and the entitlement to status wealth and power is a common human failingp pbut sandels depiction of the balance of power in higher education bears little relation to elite campuses at harvard and elsewhere an expanding dictatorship of grievance increasingly enfeebles the commitment to merit at least insofar as merit is understood in the spirit of liberal educationthat is acquiring knowledge pursuing the truth thinking independently and maintaining a community devoted to free and open inquiryp pconsistent with familiar progressive concerns sandel himself calls attention to the longstanding practice at harvard and elsewhere of relaxing standards to admit the children of wealthy alumni he does not so much as mention however the multiplicity of assaults on merit at our best universities spearheaded by progressives to promote intellectual homogeneityp pthese include the attacks on free speechfrom the policing of microaggressions to the harassment and disinviting of outside speakers the gutting of due process the hollowing and politicization of the curriculum the disparate evaluation of highly qualified asian candidates in the apparent effort to meet affirmativeaction targets the inflating of grades and the allocation of substantial resources to build diversity equity and inclusion bureaucracies the purpose of which is to achieve proportional representation of races by discriminating based on skin color a modicum of attention to his own university would have revealed to sandel that far from exercising tyranny meritgrounded in talent and driveis in danger of subjugation by the forces of social justice progressively understoodp pwith the assistance of a brief eccentric history of meritwhich dwells on the bible while neglecting plato and aristotle and relies heavily on the german sociologist max webers emthe protestant ethic and the spirit of capitalismem while mostly ignoring the progressive and conservative traditions in americasandel himself shows that recognition of the claims of merit is nothing new yet he insists that something important has changed quotover the past four decades the language of merit and deservingness has become central to public discoursequotp psandel points the finger at two marketfriendly conservatives president ronald reagan and prime minister margaret thatcher by embracing technocracyquotthe belief that market mechanisms are the primary instruments for achieving the public goodquotand globalization reagan and thatcher established merits tyranny according to sandel their marketfriendly progressive successors president bill clinton and prime minister tony blair carried forward the replacement of moral reflection and political judgment in public affairs with economic efficiency while spurring prodigious economic growth technocracy and globalization also produced sandel emphasizes vast inequalities and stagnant wages that exacerbated pride among the elites while inflaming resentment among those left behindp psandels assertioncentral to his case against meritocracythat political elites have been enthralled by economic efficiency to the exclusion of other considerations cannot be squared with reality take for example president clintons failed 19931994 attempt to reform health care the successful 1996 compromise welfarereform bill negotiated with speaker of the house newt gingrich and the 1999 kosovo intervention these enterprises were followed by president george w bushs faithbased amp community initiative and no child left behind act along with the global war on terror then there was president barack obamas nearly trilliondollar 2009 stimulus package the 2010 affordable care act and the 2015 iran deal jcpoa president donald trump reimposed control over americas southern border renegotiatedparticularly with chinatrade deals and in 2018 abrogated the iran deal and now president joe biden has opened the southern border advanced a massive entitlementladen spending package proceeded with a national vaccine mandate and promulgated throughout the federal bureaucracy guidelines for evaluating employees that emphasize the identity group to which they belong and their contribution to the achievement of proportional representation of races in the workforce he also pursued reentry to the jcpoa precipitously withdrew from afghanistan and with the appointment of john kerry as special presidential envoy has been pushing for a climatechange deal with chinap psay what you will for or against these major undertakings stretching across five presidencies and almost 30 years none can be explained exclusively or even primarily as aimed at quotsatisfying consumer preferences as measured by the gross domestic productquotp pto his credit sandel calls out his fellow credentialed elites for their bias against lesseducated people which he aptly refers to as quotthe last acceptable prejudicequot he laments the quot[e]lite disparagement of the working classquot as evinced in thencandidate hillary clintons ugly description in 2016 of trump voters as quotdeplorablesquot and thencandidate barack obamas grim and condescending characterization in 2008 of smalltown pennsylvanians as clinging bitterly to guns religion bigotry and antiimmigration and antitrade sentiment he urges the affluent and influential to recognize that by creating a society open to effort and ability meritocracy in the united states quotencourages the winners to consider their success their own doing a measure of their virtueand to look down on those less fortunate than themselvesquot while disposing elites quotto forget the luck and good fortune that helped them on their wayquot he warns that it is a mistake to interpret the populist wave that trump rode into the white house quotmainly in economic terms as a protest against job losses brought about by global trade and new technologiesquot populist discontent sandel stresses reflects justified resentment of a new quothereditary aristocracyquot whose wealth status and power enable them to pass on to their children the training and skills to win admissions to the finest universities and thus retain for their families and their class the most prestigious and powerful jobsp ptry as he might though sandel cannot escape the prejudices of the progressive elite in which he holds a high rank for example while criticizing the tendency to quotdenounce the upsurge of populist nationalism as little more than a racist xenophobic reaction against immigrants and multiculturalismquot he encourages the belief among fellow progressives that the bigotry on the other side of the aisle is while not the whole story real and consequential in his account moreover middleclass and workingclass americans especially those lacking a college degree suffer from quotnagging selfdoubt perhaps the rich are rich because they are more deserving than the poor maybe the losers are complicit in their misfortune after allquot such skewed assessments the result of attempting empathy from a distance rather than talking and listening to trump voters fosters the elite conviction that ordinary people are right to believe that society has stuck them with the short end of the stickp pmany members of the middle class and working class however see things differently they do not believe that life outside the tony precincts of blue america is a cause for regret or a mark of shamep psandel generally overlooks that many americans are more likely to disdain harvard for its haughtiness and for the pretensions of its faculty and graduates to impose their progressive views and preferences on the entire nation than to aspire to send their children there he fails to consider that substantial numbers of americans are proud of their local way of life have no yearning to live in manhattan or silicon valley and mostly want progressive elites to mind their own business and for the most part he ignores the abundant evidence that the anger and the resentment of the people who live beyond urban centers and the wealthy suburbs that surround them stem from the political classs faulty conduct many members of communities in red america believe that elites have recklessly opened the southern border and suspended immigration laws promiscuously spent taxpayer dollars with little concern for the longterm effects on the nations fiscal health tarnished americas good name by bungling wars and diplomacy converted much of the mainstream media into a propaganda arm of the democratic party mobilized powerful government agenciesthe irs the fbi and the department of justiceagainst the conservative grassroots as well as its democratically chosen standardbearer and not least transformed the educational systemfrom kindergarten through graduate and professional educationinto an assembly line for the reproduction of leftist ideologyp pdespite the many causes for concern including a few vague doubts that he himself raises sandel rejects the possibility that the primary problem with meritocracy in america is the failure of many members of our intellectual and political elites to perform their jobs well instead he sets out to discredit the very idea that human beings deserve the fruits of their laborp psandel directsagainst meritocracy and in favor of government regulation and redistributionan argument that 40 years ago he faulted john rawls for employing in favor of government regulation and redistribution in his first book sandel observed that rawls contention that our quotassets and attributesquot are quotarbitrary from a moral point of viewquot undercuts moral judgment and the ascription of responsibility quotthe self is left barequot wrote sandel quotof any substantive feature or characteristic that could qualify as a desert basequot the veteran sandel however relies on the flawed argument exposed by the young sandel the better to discredit meritocracy or rather a strawman version of meritocracyp pon the ridiculous assumption that defenders of merit typically subscribe to the extreme view that quotwe are as individuals wholly responsible for our fatequot sandel maintains that our talents and character are not of our own making but rather a result of external causeswhether favorable genetic inheritances divine providence nurturing environments or the good fortune to live in a society that rewards our specific talents including the talent for effort he tendentiously and without argument classifies all that as luck since quotwe do not merit or deserve the benefits or burdens that derive from luckquot sandel reasons we cannot reasonably claim responsibility for our actions and the results they produce so for example fathers and mothers who relentlessly drive their children to set aside all else in the competition to gain acceptance to the best colleges cant be held accountable for the anxiety and fragility they induce in their offspring because the parents disposition to equate happiness with an ivy league degree is itselflike all passions thoughts and deedsa result of the luck of the drawp pin passing sandel recognizes what is at stake quotthe meritocratic argumentquot he writes quotis above all a claim about human agency and freedomquotp pit is pertinent to add that the antimeritocratic argument that he employs for tactical advantagethat individuals deserve no credit for their virtues and it follows no blame for their vicesrepresents a radical break with the american constitutional tradition and the moral and intellectual sources that sustain it sandels reduction of character to the remorseless laws of cause and effect or to arbitrary chance assumes the falsity of biblical faiths teaching that human beings are made in the image of god and classical political philosophys account of natural right it cannot be reconciled with the belief in the rights shared equally by all on which america is founded it flies in the face of james madisons observation in emfederalistem 10reflecting the constitutions moral and political premisesthat quotthe first object of governmentquot is quotthe protectionquot of human beings diverse capabilities and qualities and the equal protection of the unequal attainments that inevitably result and it opens the door to authoritarian schemes of centralized social and economic control and radical redistributionp phaving gone to philosophical extremesand thereby legitimating political extremesto combat the tyranny of merit sandel offers tepid proposals to rescue america from the crisis that he insists engulfs the nation his principal education initiative involves establishing for the fewerthan2000 places in each harvard entering class a quotlottery of the qualifiedquot among the tens of thousands of applicants who each year meet a high threshold of achievement this he suggests would contain the pride of those admitted and soften the envy and resentment of those denied admission his main recommendations concerning the economy include wage subsidies for lowincome workers tighter federal regulation of trade outsourcing and immigration and quotshifting the tax burden from work to consumption and speculationquotp pif this is the best sandel has to offer in the face of a tyranny that he believes is wrecking the body politic and ravaging citizens ability to contemplate a common good then it is hard to resist the conclusion that he is from his own point of view a quisling or a fabulist if he believes that the united states embodies a cruel and grievously unjust meritocracy his modest reformswhich call for little sacrifice from himself and his colleagues while empowering his class by expanding governments powerrender him a collaborator with and a profiteer from a souldestroying regime if he believes that his underwhelming measures are proportional to the problem then his sustained resort to the language of tyranny makes him a fabulist concocting a scandalous accusation against freedom in the united states that could hardly have been better calculated to keep the authors rewards rolling in from fellow elites at home and overseas who take pride in denouncing americap pnumerous minor flaws in sandels book betray the sheltered progressive sphere in which he operates for example the disgraceful criminal trespass at the us capitol and interference with vital government functions by trump supporters on january 6 was not as sandel writes quota violent siegequot which implies a military operation sandel omits mention of the manyright and leftwho preceded him in illuminating the destabilizing divide between credentialed technocratic elites in america and the people including james burnham in emthe managerial revolutionem 1941 mickey kaus in emthe end of equalityem 1992 charles murray in emcoming apartem 2012 and david goodhart in emthe road to somewhereem 2017 sandel belittles trump voters nationalism as quotintolerantquot and quotvengefulquot though for the most part they want to preserve tolerant local communities from imperious federal regulation and to put americas vital interests at the center of american foreign policy he asserts that classical liberal friedrich hayek quotviewed the welfare state as antithetical to freedomquot despite hayeks explicit affirmation in emthe road to serfdomem his most influential work that the preservation of freedom is consistent with a genuine socialsafety net and absurdly sandel asserts that while receding in the united states the american dream is quotflourishingquot in chinawhere the chinese communist party confines approximately one million uyghurs in concentration camps deprives tibetans ethnic mongolians and christians of religious liberty subjects the entire nation to dissentcrushing hightech surveillance terminated hong kongs freedom last year in flagrant violation of chinas international obligations and stepped up its threats to do the same to taiwan and in every region of the world is at work fashioning an international order more congenial to authoritarian governmentp pthe fundamental flaw in sandels book is the organizing conviction that the principal source of americas political pathologies is the quotexhilarating promise of individual freedomquot which spawns a quotharsh ethic of successquot that weakens democracy generates injustice and obscures the common good the instances of meritocratic excess that sandel reasonably criticizes reflect not a working out of the premises of individual freedom but rather the failure of progressive elites to understand freedoms promise and to cultivate the virtues associations and institutions that enable citizens to honor it that failure stems in no small measure from an educational systemespecially higher education which trains k12 teachersthat neglects the principles of freedom when it doesnt inculcate scorn for them sandels abiding antipathy for freedom and persisting puzzlement over the common good are symptoms of the problemp palthough it has eluded sandel for 40 years and counting the common good in the united states is neither hidden nor mysterious it is proclaimed in the declaration of independence institutionalized in the constitution and woven into the fabric of american history it consists in securing and exercising responsibly the rights shared equally by all americas common good is suited to a people of diverse religious beliefs and a multiplicity of views about how to live a decent and fulfilling life it is achieved through the establishment of a limited government that focuses on protecting individual rights rather than dictating matters of conscience and legislating moralityp pthe constitution provides abundant mechanisms not least its ultimate reliance on the people for adjusting course and promoting justice and it offers citizens remarkable opportunities to practice their faith or do without faith enjoy and care for their families study work and acquire property join together in an endless variety of voluntary associations maintain exit and enter communities debate public affairs vote for the candidates most likely to effectively represent their views and interests and when the spirit moves run for office and pursue happiness as they understand it consistent with the toleration of the like pursuit of happiness by othersp pliberal democracy in america can never have too many citizens gifted in and excelling at preserving and improving our nations constitutional heritagep pemthe tyranny of merit can we find the common goodembr by michael j sandelbr picador paper 288 pp 18p pempeter berkowitz is the tad and dianne taube senior fellow at the hoover institution stanford university from 2019 to 2021 he served as director of the policy planning staff at the us state department his writings are posted at a relnoopener hrefhttpwwwpeterberkowitzcom target_blankpeterberkowitzcoma and he can be followed on twitter berkowitzpeteremp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcompoliticsmichaelsandelsvainquestforthecommongoodmichael sandels vain quest for the common gooda appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

pimg width736 alt srchttpss3freebeaconcomup202110tyrannyofmerit_736x514jpg height514ppin 1640 emthe elements law natural politicem thomas hobbes mischievously observed quota democracy effect aristocracy oratorsquot silvertongued statesmen clever sophists crude demagogues best talkers hobbes suggested subvert democratic equality stirring peoples passions shaping publics agenda commandeering majoritys millennia earlier aristotle illuminated deeper obstacle democracys egalitarian aims committed democratic deliberation bound stand outwinning praise acquiring status renown exciting jealousy resentmentfor rare dedication singular labors achieve common good aspiration excel striving distinguish oneself crowd apparently woven fabric human nature set limits equalitys reach claims community common goodp pharvard professor michael sandel talent talking equalityand gesturing community invoking common good appealing justicethat lifted profession brought fame fortune velvety prose adroit equivocations tend obscure premises implications reasoning consistently maintained course long career greatest threat equality community common good justice america freedom americap pin emthe tyranny merit find common goodem published national international acclaim year issued year paperback new prologue distinguished harvard professor argues antagonism america equality community common good justice freedom reached catastrophic proportions amid bitter divide united states progressive elites conservativeleaning middleclass workingclass voters sandel elaborates sensational claim meritocracythe view central modern tradition freedom quotjust societyquot provides individuals quotan equal chance rise far talent hard work themquotthat tearing united states apart turns sandel opposed rule form merit thrust argument indicates wishes replace allegedly despotic rule technocrats economists financiers ostensibly refined compassionate rule experts moral reasoning capable leading national conversations common good america telling remains elusivep pthe oddities incongruities sandels mature views appear earliest successes 1980s young professor harvard universitys department government taught 1990s accumulated accolades 40 years residence banks charles river tensions intensified equality community preaches exclusive personal brand assiduously burnished globally marketedp phis book emliberalism limits justiceem published 1982 fashion day highly theoretical work lazily assumed modern tradition freedom culminated harvard philosophy professor john rawlss 1971 magnum opus ema theory justiceem sandels critique rawls implication modern tradition freedomreaching john locke including adam smith friedrich hayekrevolves invidious contrast rightsbased politics protects freedom individual properly democratic politics grounded community dedicated common good book led astray generations graduate studentswho carried confusion scholarship teaching disseminated far wideby suggesting affirm individuals nature free equal cast moral constraint deny social humanity disregard disparage goods people enjoy common sandels subsequent bookson democracy bioethics limits market justicenever wander far accusation root cause injustice america attachment individual freedomp pin 1980s sandel launched harvard class called quotjusticequotthat quickly surpassed competition popularity spirit writings course tended cast aspersions individual freedom equality community justice common good time class elevated professors status boosted demand services 1980s course served star vehicle sandel harvard internet age harvard course available online turning international intellectual celebrity peoples republic chinap pthe harvard course typically features sandel holding forth grand stage ornate theater occasion 1000 students orchestrating examination select opinions morality politics application carefully chosen set public policy issues professor poses questions massive audience plays responses offered small number students chance participate guise facilitating conversation sandel dons persona consummate highbrow talkshow host draws attention master ceremonies framework course touted preparation assumption civic responsibilities sandel reinforces conceit apex civic life consists demonstrating publicly ones capacity reason abstractly moralityp pemthe tyranny meritem refines extends updates sandels careerlong effort expose oppressiveness delusions individual freedom americas quotmarketdriven meritocratic ethicquot replaces books culpritquotthe unencumbered selfquotas principal adversary rooted commonsense american conviction individuals free develop talents advance interests enjoy earn acquire meritocratic ethic according sandel embraced purified decades left right thanks support parties achieved ascendancy american politicsp pthe cost staggering contends sandel meritocracy quotfueled resentment prompted backlashquot 2016 resulted donald trumps election president united states left unfettered sandel counsels meritocratic ethic fray quotour social bonds respect anotherquot intensify citizens estrangement quota politics common goodquotp pthe contest admissions elite colleges universities according longtime harvard professor epitomizes tyranny merit basing admissions students ability talent higher education sends toxic message admitted winners earned social status remunerative prestigious jobs conferred degree institution higher education rejected losers deserve inferior social rank lower incomesp psandel pointabout elites harvard exude sense superiority propensity equate success endeavorsay graduation perch faculty elite universitywith excellence domains entitlement status wealth power common human failingp pbut sandels depiction balance power higher education bears little relation elite campuses harvard expanding dictatorship grievance increasingly enfeebles commitment merit insofar merit understood spirit liberal educationthat acquiring knowledge pursuing truth thinking independently maintaining community devoted free open inquiryp pconsistent familiar progressive concerns sandel calls attention longstanding practice harvard relaxing standards admit children wealthy alumni mention multiplicity assaults merit best universities spearheaded progressives promote intellectual homogeneityp pthese include attacks free speechfrom policing microaggressions harassment disinviting outside speakers gutting process hollowing politicization curriculum disparate evaluation highly qualified asian candidates apparent effort meet affirmativeaction targets inflating grades allocation substantial resources build diversity equity inclusion bureaucracies purpose achieve proportional representation races discriminating based skin color modicum attention university revealed sandel far exercising tyranny meritgrounded talent driveis danger subjugation forces social justice progressively understoodp pwith assistance brief eccentric history meritwhich dwells bible neglecting plato aristotle relies heavily german sociologist max webers emthe protestant ethic spirit capitalismem ignoring progressive conservative traditions americasandel shows recognition claims merit new insists important changed quotover past decades language merit deservingness central public discoursequotp psandel points finger marketfriendly conservatives president ronald reagan prime minister margaret thatcher embracing technocracyquotthe belief market mechanisms primary instruments achieving public goodquotand globalization reagan thatcher established merits tyranny according sandel marketfriendly progressive successors president bill clinton prime minister tony blair carried forward replacement moral reflection political judgment public affairs economic efficiency spurring prodigious economic growth technocracy globalization produced sandel emphasizes vast inequalities stagnant wages exacerbated pride elites inflaming resentment left behindp psandels assertioncentral case meritocracythat political elites enthralled economic efficiency exclusion considerations squared reality example president clintons failed 19931994 attempt reform health care successful 1996 compromise welfarereform bill negotiated speaker house newt gingrich 1999 kosovo intervention enterprises followed president george w bushs faithbased amp community initiative child left act global war terror president barack obamas nearly trilliondollar 2009 stimulus package 2010 affordable care act 2015 iran deal jcpoa president donald trump reimposed control americas southern border renegotiatedparticularly chinatrade deals 2018 abrogated iran deal president joe biden opened southern border advanced massive entitlementladen spending package proceeded national vaccine mandate promulgated federal bureaucracy guidelines evaluating employees emphasize identity group belong contribution achievement proportional representation races workforce pursued reentry jcpoa precipitously withdrew afghanistan appointment john kerry special presidential envoy pushing climatechange deal chinap psay major undertakings stretching presidencies 30 years explained exclusively primarily aimed quotsatisfying consumer preferences measured gross domestic productquotp pto credit sandel calls fellow credentialed elites bias lesseducated people aptly refers quotthe acceptable prejudicequot laments quot[e]lite disparagement working classquot evinced thencandidate hillary clintons ugly description 2016 trump voters quotdeplorablesquot thencandidate barack obamas grim condescending characterization 2008 smalltown pennsylvanians clinging bitterly guns religion bigotry antiimmigration antitrade sentiment urges affluent influential recognize creating society open effort ability meritocracy united states quotencourages winners consider success measure virtueand look fortunate themselvesquot disposing elites quotto forget luck good fortune helped wayquot warns mistake interpret populist wave trump rode white house quotmainly economic terms protest job losses brought global trade new technologiesquot populist discontent sandel stresses reflects justified resentment new quothereditary aristocracyquot wealth status power enable pass children training skills win admissions finest universities retain families class prestigious powerful jobsp ptry sandel escape prejudices progressive elite holds high rank example criticizing tendency quotdenounce upsurge populist nationalism little racist xenophobic reaction immigrants multiculturalismquot encourages belief fellow progressives bigotry aisle story real consequential account middleclass workingclass americans especially lacking college degree suffer quotnagging selfdoubt rich rich deserving poor maybe losers complicit misfortune allquot skewed assessments result attempting empathy distance talking listening trump voters fosters elite conviction ordinary people right believe society stuck short end stickp pmany members middle class working class things differently believe life outside tony precincts blue america cause regret mark shamep psandel generally overlooks americans likely disdain harvard haughtiness pretensions faculty graduates impose progressive views preferences entire nation aspire send children fails consider substantial numbers americans proud local way life yearning live manhattan silicon valley want progressive elites mind business ignores abundant evidence anger resentment people live urban centers wealthy suburbs surround stem political classs faulty conduct members communities red america believe elites recklessly opened southern border suspended immigration laws promiscuously spent taxpayer dollars little concern longterm effects nations fiscal health tarnished americas good bungling wars diplomacy converted mainstream media propaganda arm democratic party mobilized powerful government agenciesthe irs fbi department justiceagainst conservative grassroots democratically chosen standardbearer transformed educational systemfrom kindergarten graduate professional educationinto assembly line reproduction leftist ideologyp pdespite causes concern including vague doubts raises sandel rejects possibility primary problem meritocracy america failure members intellectual political elites perform jobs instead sets discredit idea human beings deserve fruits laborp psandel directsagainst meritocracy favor government regulation redistributionan argument 40 years ago faulted john rawls employing favor government regulation redistribution book sandel observed rawls contention quotassets attributesquot quotarbitrary moral point viewquot undercuts moral judgment ascription responsibility quotthe self left barequot wrote sandel quotof substantive feature characteristic qualify desert basequot veteran sandel relies flawed argument exposed young sandel better discredit meritocracy strawman version meritocracyp pon ridiculous assumption defenders merit typically subscribe extreme view quotwe individuals wholly responsible fatequot sandel maintains talents character making result external causeswhether favorable genetic inheritances divine providence nurturing environments good fortune live society rewards specific talents including talent effort tendentiously argument classifies luck quotwe merit deserve benefits burdens derive luckquot sandel reasons reasonably claim responsibility actions results produce example fathers mothers relentlessly drive children set aside competition gain acceptance best colleges cant held accountable anxiety fragility induce offspring parents disposition equate happiness ivy league degree itselflike passions thoughts deedsa result luck drawp pin passing sandel recognizes stake quotthe meritocratic argumentquot writes quotis claim human agency freedomquotp pit pertinent add antimeritocratic argument employs tactical advantagethat individuals deserve credit virtues follows blame vicesrepresents radical break american constitutional tradition moral intellectual sources sustain sandels reduction character remorseless laws cause effect arbitrary chance assumes falsity biblical faiths teaching human beings image god classical political philosophys account natural right reconciled belief rights shared equally america founded flies face james madisons observation emfederalistem 10reflecting constitutions moral political premisesthat quotthe object governmentquot quotthe protectionquot human beings diverse capabilities qualities equal protection unequal attainments inevitably result opens door authoritarian schemes centralized social economic control radical redistributionp phaving gone philosophical extremesand legitimating political extremesto combat tyranny merit sandel offers tepid proposals rescue america crisis insists engulfs nation principal education initiative involves establishing fewerthan2000 places harvard entering class quotlottery qualifiedquot tens thousands applicants year meet high threshold achievement suggests contain pride admitted soften envy resentment denied admission main recommendations concerning economy include wage subsidies lowincome workers tighter federal regulation trade outsourcing immigration quotshifting tax burden work consumption speculationquotp pif best sandel offer face tyranny believes wrecking body politic ravaging citizens ability contemplate common good hard resist conclusion point view quisling fabulist believes united states embodies cruel grievously unjust meritocracy modest reformswhich little sacrifice colleagues empowering class expanding governments powerrender collaborator profiteer souldestroying regime believes underwhelming measures proportional problem sustained resort language tyranny makes fabulist concocting scandalous accusation freedom united states hardly better calculated authors rewards rolling fellow elites home overseas pride denouncing americap pnumerous minor flaws sandels book betray sheltered progressive sphere operates example disgraceful criminal trespass capitol interference vital government functions trump supporters january 6 sandel writes quota violent siegequot implies military operation sandel omits mention manyright leftwho preceded illuminating destabilizing divide credentialed technocratic elites america people including james burnham emthe managerial revolutionem 1941 mickey kaus emthe end equalityem 1992 charles murray emcoming apartem 2012 david goodhart emthe road somewhereem 2017 sandel belittles trump voters nationalism quotintolerantquot quotvengefulquot want preserve tolerant local communities imperious federal regulation americas vital interests center american foreign policy asserts classical liberal friedrich hayek quotviewed welfare state antithetical freedomquot despite hayeks explicit affirmation emthe road serfdomem influential work preservation freedom consistent genuine socialsafety net absurdly sandel asserts receding united states american dream quotflourishingquot chinawhere chinese communist party confines approximately million uyghurs concentration camps deprives tibetans ethnic mongolians christians religious liberty subjects entire nation dissentcrushing hightech surveillance terminated hong kongs freedom year flagrant violation chinas international obligations stepped threats taiwan region world work fashioning international order congenial authoritarian governmentp pthe fundamental flaw sandels book organizing conviction principal source americas political pathologies quotexhilarating promise individual freedomquot spawns quotharsh ethic successquot weakens democracy generates injustice obscures common good instances meritocratic excess sandel reasonably criticizes reflect working premises individual freedom failure progressive elites understand freedoms promise cultivate virtues associations institutions enable citizens honor failure stems small measure educational systemespecially higher education trains k12 teachersthat neglects principles freedom doesnt inculcate scorn sandels abiding antipathy freedom persisting puzzlement common good symptoms problemp palthough eluded sandel 40 years counting common good united states hidden mysterious proclaimed declaration independence institutionalized constitution woven fabric american history consists securing exercising responsibly rights shared equally americas common good suited people diverse religious beliefs multiplicity views live decent fulfilling life achieved establishment limited government focuses protecting individual rights dictating matters conscience legislating moralityp pthe constitution provides abundant mechanisms ultimate reliance people adjusting course promoting justice offers citizens remarkable opportunities practice faith faith enjoy care families study work acquire property join endless variety voluntary associations maintain exit enter communities debate public affairs vote candidates likely effectively represent views interests spirit moves run office pursue happiness understand consistent toleration like pursuit happiness othersp pliberal democracy america citizens gifted excelling preserving improving nations constitutional heritagep pemthe tyranny merit find common goodembr michael j sandelbr picador paper 288 pp 18p pempeter berkowitz tad dianne taube senior fellow hoover institution stanford university 2019 2021 served director policy planning staff state department writings posted relnoopener hrefhttpwwwpeterberkowitzcom target_blankpeterberkowitzcomaand followed twitter berkowitzpeteremp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcompoliticsmichaelsandelsvainquestforthecommongoodmichael sandels vain quest common gooda appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

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REVIEW: ‘San Fransicko: Why Progressives Ruin Cities’

pimg width736 alt srchttpss1freebeaconcomup202110sanfransickocover_736x514jpg height514ppsan francisco has a poop problem between a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomsanfranciscohumanpoopproblem20194textbetween20201120and2020182c20san20francisco20experienced20a20182c20the20number20increased20to20more20than20282c000 target_blank2011a and a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsfgatecombayareapoliticsarticlesanfranciscopoopproblemstatsstreetsfecesnew16311073php target_blank2019a reports of human feces on public sidewalks quintupled rising from roughly 5500 to more than 30000 incidents have been on the decline since the covid pandemic began but residents still reported an average of 76 turds per day in the first half of 2021p pthe golden gate citys intestinal troubles are not newsconservative commentators have made a joke and a talking point out of them for ages but they are metonymic for a dysfunction increasingly apparent in americas big cities from the west coast to the east many major municipalities are marred by violent crime homelessness uncontrolled mental illness and general disorder this all in spite of an everadvancing cadre of progressive leaders who promise their latest tax hike will finally target the quotroot causesquot of the breakdownp pwhy are these big blue cities breaking down climate scientist and berkeley calif resident michael shellenberger tackles the question in his latest book emsan fransicko why progressives ruin citiesemp pat core shellenbergers answer is political though he takes pains to assure the reader of his liberal bona fides shellenberger insists that big cities particularly san francisco have been captured by a tooprogressive ideology city leaders have begrudgingly embraced the priorities of the activist class that staffs the various ngos providing key services including support for the homeless the mentally ill and the drug addictedp pthe result is urban disaster shellenberger covers the vogue for quothousing firstquot policy which emphasizes placing homeless people in housing without sobriety or medication requirements and which he argues does not consistently reduce the pathologies that lead to homelessness he discusses the quotharm reductionquot approach to drug policy which can mean providing users with the materials to use without quotcoercingquot them into treatment and he outlines the rising skepticism of policing and public safety alongside decarceral reforms which have created an atmosphere supportive of criminal offendingp pof course disentangling cause and effect in policymaking is hard but california is one of a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwhudusergovportaldatasetsahar2020aharpart1pitestimatesofhomelessnessintheushtml target_blankjust a handfula of states to see dramatic increases in its homeless population over the past decade and the states a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcourtscagovprop47htm target_blankdeliberate reductiona in the punishment for minor property offending is associated with a spike in a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210521ussanfranciscoshopliftingepidemichtml target_blankshopliftinga and the golden state is proudly progressivea progressivism doubtless even more common among the people who staff the ngos that actually manage its big cities streetsp pas far as a liberals case to liberals against the excesses of liberalism goes emsan fransickoem is a useful contribution to the genre it suffers from some of the usual flaws of popular nonfiction some chapters seem unnecessary and one suspects the whole thing could have been slashed down to a 10000word essay but the book does well the thing it is meant to do set out the key contradictions in contemporary liberalism as underscored by the governance failures of the places it is most commonp pone of the peculiar features of american liberalism is the selectiveness of its paternalism liberals are happy to embrace coercive policies that affect the average citizenvaccine mandates say or soda taxes but when it comes to the least of usthe drug addicted the mentally ill the chronically homeless the repeated victims of crimeit adopts an inexplicably laissez faire stance this approach sociologist neil gong a relnoopener hrefhttpsstatic1squarespacecomstatic5980b3e24402430ad86ee6d4t5d642c4d4295e600014d8faf1566846029345gong_asr_2019pdf target_blankhas argueda is dramatically at odds with how those with means ask to be treated while the mentally ill rich seek maximum paternalism the mentally ill poor are afforded the freedom to be madp pthis tendency runs in apparent contradiction to the lefts usual statist bent the antipsychiatry movement the push to deinstitutionalize and ban compulsory drug treatment and of course the movement to defund the police are all basically libertarian inasmuch as they work to reduce the capacity of the state to regulate certain kinds of antisocial conduct these regulations are considered per se illegitimate because they fail to target the quotroot causesquot of this behaviorracism sexism capitalism etcp psuch quotroot causesquot thinking is of course a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcityjournalorgjamesqwilsoncriminaljustice target_blankfallaciousa nothing about a causes proximity to an effect makes it more or less suited to policy intervention but more important it confuses the question of whom it is fair to manageaverage citizens are fair game whereas the oppressed are oppressed enough as iswith whom it benefits society to manage the public dispute becomes over how to be compassionate to the schizophrenic where compassion is always synonymous with license wholly obviating discussion of the harms done to society by his camping out on the sidewalk harms for which we increasingly lack moral languagep pthe sort of policies shellenberger endorses at the end of the booka statewide psych authority expanded conservatorship a more carrotandstick approach to mental health and drug abuse treatmentwould probably benefit their objects but they would also benefit the other members of society who are entitled to be free of antisocial behavior that entitlement of the average american has fallen out of fashion but it is the entitlement at the core of the social contract and governments of all sizes forget it at their perilp pemsan fransicko why progressives ruin citiesembr by michael shellenbergerbr harper 416 pp 2899p pispancharles fain lehman is a fellow at the manhattan institute and a contributing editor to spanispancity journal spanispanhe was previously a staff writer at the spanispanwashington free beaconspanp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomculturereviewsanfransickowhyprogressivesruincitiesreview san fransicko why progressives ruin citiesa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

pimg width736 alt srchttpss1freebeaconcomup202110sanfransickocover_736x514jpg height514ppsan francisco poop problem relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomsanfranciscohumanpoopproblem20194textbetween20201120and2020182c20san20francisco20experienced20a20182c20the20number20increased20to20more20than20282c000 target_blank2011a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwsfgatecombayareapoliticsarticlesanfranciscopoopproblemstatsstreetsfecesnew16311073php target_blank2019a reports human feces public sidewalks quintupled rising roughly 5500 30000 incidents decline covid pandemic began residents reported average 76 turds day half 2021p pthe golden gate citys intestinal troubles newsconservative commentators joke talking point ages metonymic dysfunction increasingly apparent americas big cities west coast east major municipalities marred violent crime homelessness uncontrolled mental illness general disorder spite everadvancing cadre progressive leaders promise latest tax hike finally target quotroot causesquot breakdownp pwhy big blue cities breaking climate scientist berkeley calif resident michael shellenberger tackles question latest book emsan fransicko progressives ruin citiesemp pat core shellenbergers answer political takes pains assure reader liberal bona fides shellenberger insists big cities particularly san francisco captured tooprogressive ideology city leaders begrudgingly embraced priorities activist class staffs ngos providing key services including support homeless mentally ill drug addictedp pthe result urban disaster shellenberger covers vogue quothousing firstquot policy emphasizes placing homeless people housing sobriety medication requirements argues consistently reduce pathologies lead homelessness discusses quotharm reductionquot approach drug policy mean providing users materials use quotcoercingquot treatment outlines rising skepticism policing public safety alongside decarceral reforms created atmosphere supportive criminal offendingp pof course disentangling cause effect policymaking hard california relnoopener hrefhttpswwwhudusergovportaldatasetsahar2020aharpart1pitestimatesofhomelessnessintheushtml target_blankjust handfula states dramatic increases homeless population past decade states relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcourtscagovprop47htm target_blankdeliberate reductiona punishment minor property offending associated spike relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20210521ussanfranciscoshopliftingepidemichtml target_blankshopliftinga golden state proudly progressivea progressivism doubtless common people staff ngos actually manage big cities streetsp pas far liberals case liberals excesses liberalism goes emsan fransickoem useful contribution genre suffers usual flaws popular nonfiction chapters unnecessary suspects thing slashed 10000word essay book thing meant set key contradictions contemporary liberalism underscored governance failures places commonp pone peculiar features american liberalism selectiveness paternalism liberals happy embrace coercive policies affect average citizenvaccine mandates soda taxes comes usthe drug addicted mentally ill chronically homeless repeated victims crimeit adopts inexplicably laissez faire stance approach sociologist neil gong relnoopener hrefhttpsstatic1squarespacecomstatic5980b3e24402430ad86ee6d4t5d642c4d4295e600014d8faf1566846029345gong_asr_2019pdf target_blankhas argueda dramatically odds means ask treated mentally ill rich seek maximum paternalism mentally ill poor afforded freedom madp pthis tendency runs apparent contradiction lefts usual statist bent antipsychiatry movement push deinstitutionalize ban compulsory drug treatment course movement defund police basically libertarian inasmuch work reduce capacity state regulate certain kinds antisocial conduct regulations considered se illegitimate fail target quotroot causesquot behaviorracism sexism capitalism etcp psuch quotroot causesquot thinking course relnoopener hrefhttpswwwcityjournalorgjamesqwilsoncriminaljustice target_blankfallaciousa causes proximity effect makes suited policy intervention important confuses question fair manageaverage citizens fair game oppressed oppressed iswith benefits society manage public dispute compassionate schizophrenic compassion synonymous license wholly obviating discussion harms society camping sidewalk harms increasingly lack moral languagep pthe sort policies shellenberger endorses end booka statewide psych authority expanded conservatorship carrotandstick approach mental health drug abuse treatmentwould probably benefit objects benefit members society entitled free antisocial behavior entitlement average american fallen fashion entitlement core social contract governments sizes forget perilp pemsan fransicko progressives ruin citiesembr michael shellenbergerbr harper 416 pp 2899p pispancharles fain lehman fellow manhattan institute contributing editor spanispancity journal spanispanhe previously staff writer spanispanwashington free beaconspanp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomculturereviewsanfransickowhyprogressivesruincitiesreview san fransicko progressives ruin citiesa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

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The continuing case for nuclear energy

blockquotepclimate mitigation scenarios envision considerable growth of wind and solar power but scholars disagree on how this growth compares with historical trends here we fit growth models to wind and solar trajectories to identify countries in which growth has already stabilized after the initial acceleration national growth has followed scurves to reach maximum annual rates of 08 interquartile range of 0611 of the total electricity supply for onshore wind and 06 0409 for solar in comparison onehalf of 15 ccompatible scenarios envision global growth of wind power above 13 and of solar power above 14 while onequarter of these scenarios envision global growth of solar above 33 per year replicating or exceeding the fastest national growth globally may be challenging because so far countries that introduced wind and solar power later have not achieved higher maximum growth rates despite their generally speedier progression through the technology adoption cyclepblockquote pthat is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticless41560021008630 target_blanka new paper from naturea by aleh cherp etal via the excellent a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyroundupsystemdown target_blankkevin lewisa  yes yes moores law for solar cost and all that but we need to think about the problem more deeply and that still implies a significant role for nuclear energy  and here is some good newsp blockquotepfinland has joined france poland hungary the czech republic in lobbying the european union to categorize nuclear power as sustainable according to the finnish broadcasting company finlands pronuclear lobbying marks a uturn within the green partypblockquote plink a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomshellenbergermdstatus1447963506737704966 target_blankhereap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thecontinuingcasefornuclearenergyhtmlthe continuing case for nuclear energya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquotepclimate mitigation scenarios envision considerable growth wind solar power scholars disagree growth compares historical trends fit growth models wind solar trajectories identify countries growth stabilized initial acceleration national growth followed scurves reach maximum annual rates 08 interquartile range 0611 total electricity supply onshore wind 06 0409 solar comparison onehalf 15ccompatible scenarios envision global growth wind power 13 solar power 14 onequarter scenarios envision global growth solar 33 year replicating exceeding fastest national growth globally challenging far countries introduced wind solar power later achieved higher maximum growth rates despite generally speedier progression technology adoption cyclepblockquote pthat relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnaturecomarticless41560021008630 target_blanka new paper naturea aleh cherp etal excellent relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnationalaffairscomblogdetailfindingsadailyroundupsystemdown target_blankkevin lewisa yes yes moores law solar cost need think problem deeply implies significant role nuclear energy good newsp blockquotepfinland joined france poland hungary czech republic lobbying european union categorize nuclear power sustainable according finnish broadcasting company finlands pronuclear lobbying marks uturn green partypblockquote plink relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomshellenbergermdstatus1447963506737704966 target_blankhereap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110thecontinuingcasefornuclearenergyhtmlthe continuing case nuclear energya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

616c59b45b0ffe8f8a763ea4

Is this the uh-oh moment for renewable energy?

pthat is the topic of a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20211016globalfuelcrisiscouldthwartshifttorenewableenergysrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg columna here is one excerptp blockquotepamerican elites like to argue for a carbon tax and other means of raising the price of carbon emissions and i fall into that camp myself yet higher energy prices are extremely unpopular with many voters a recent a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwkfforgreportsectionthekaiserfamilyfoundationwashingtonpostclimatechangesurveymainfindings target_blankstudya found that most americans would vote against a mere 24 annual climate tax on their energy bills many countries now have to ask themselves if they really are ready to start paying the bills for a transition away from carbonpblockquote pandp blockquotepthe biden administration has been playing a twosided game policies strongly discourage domestic producers from adding fossilfuel capacity and indeed those investments remain a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesshaledrillersmayspendmorebutdontexpectabonanzaevenat80oil11634042534 target_blankdepresseda perhaps that is how it should be yet when it comes to global capacity america is talking and playing a very different handp pfor instance the biden administration has a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldmiddleeastuscallopecitsalliesincreaseoilproductioncnbc20210811 target_blankcriticizeda opec for insufficient production of crude oil national security adviser jake sullivan said bluntly at a critical moment in the global recovery this is simply not enough that kind of policy talk is hard to square coming from the same government that has a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitestilakdoshi20211011tisthesillyseasonwithaloomingwinterofenergydiscontentsh33edf39e399c target_blankrevokeda permits for the keystone xl pipeline limited oil and gas leases on federal land and in alaska and used the endangered species act to limit energy development on private lands in the westp pthe federal governments strategy seems clear it is discouraging fossilfuel capacity in the us and canada but to keep energy prices low it will tolerate and indeed encourage high fossilfuel spending in other more distant nations that would give the us some domestic trophies in the fight to limit fossil fuels yet without higher energy prices for the world at largep pthe problem is that the same mix of policies wont do much to limit overall carbon emissions it will hurt american industry by penalizing domestic energy production and also damage us energy independencep blockquote pso far i am not seeing a lot of evidence that the world really is willing to tolerate higher energy prices  countries all over are rushing back to coal what are we supposed to conclude from thatp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110isthistheuhohmomentforrenewableenergyhtmlis this the uhoh moment for renewable energya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pthat topic relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbloombergcomopinionarticles20211016globalfuelcrisiscouldthwartshifttorenewableenergysrefhtohjx5y target_blankmy latest bloomberg columna excerptp blockquotepamerican elites like argue carbon tax means raising price carbon emissions fall camp higher energy prices extremely unpopular voters recenta relnoopener hrefhttpswwwkfforgreportsectionthekaiserfamilyfoundationwashingtonpostclimatechangesurveymainfindings target_blankstudyafound americans vote mere 24 annual climate tax energy bills countries ask ready start paying bills transition away carbonpblockquote pandp blockquotepthe biden administration playing twosided game policies strongly discourage domestic producers adding fossilfuel capacity investments remaina relnoopener hrefhttpswwwwsjcomarticlesshaledrillersmayspendmorebutdontexpectabonanzaevenat80oil11634042534 target_blankdepresseda comes global capacity america talking playing different handp pfor instance biden administration hasa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwreuterscomworldmiddleeastuscallopecitsalliesincreaseoilproductioncnbc20210811 target_blankcriticizedaopec insufficient production crude oil national security adviser jake sullivan said bluntly critical moment global recovery simply kind policy talk hard square coming government hasa relnoopener hrefhttpswwwforbescomsitestilakdoshi20211011tisthesillyseasonwithaloomingwinterofenergydiscontentsh33edf39e399c target_blankrevokedapermits keystone xl pipeline limited oil gas leases federal land alaska endangered species act limit energy development private lands westp pthe federal governments strategy clear discouraging fossilfuel capacity canada energy prices low tolerate encourage high fossilfuel spending distant nations domestic trophies fight limit fossil fuels higher energy prices world largep pthe problem mix policies wont limit overall carbon emissions hurt american industry penalizing domestic energy production damage energy independencep blockquote pso far seeing lot evidence world willing tolerate higher energy prices countries rushing coal supposed conclude thatp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110isthistheuhohmomentforrenewableenergyhtmlis uhoh moment renewable energya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

616c59c25b0ffe8f8a763ea6

Fasten your seat belts…

blockquote h3strongnew stablecoin charter could hinge on national bank act rewritestrongh3 pa specialpurpose banking charter for stablecoin issuers one of the potential options for federal regulators to rein in the risks posed by the digital asset may require a revamp of the national bank act the statute that defines the business of banking analysts said in an a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsbpius7listmanagecomtrackclickufaf7489e1426ec7870b0a00f0id588ae88361e0d6e1f2ce6 datalinkindex42 dataauthnotapplicable target_blankamerican banker piecea this week the prospect of the biden administration urging congress to authorize such a charter was recently reported by the wall street a relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsbpius7listmanagecomtrackclickufaf7489e1426ec7870b0a00f0ide2304bd107e0d6e1f2ce6 datalinkindex43 dataauthnotapplicable target_blankjournala the national bank act stipulates that the core activities for national banks are taking deposits making loans and facilitating payments the same statute is at the center of legal disputes over the occs fintech charter that would allow firms engaging in only one of those activities to receive a banking charter and essentially act as a bankpblockquote pthat is from an email i received from a relnoopener hrefhttpsbpicombpinsightsoctober92021 target_blankbpinsightsap pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110fastenyourseatbeltshtmlfasten your seat beltsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquote h3strongnew stablecoin charter hinge national bank act rewritestrongh3 pa specialpurpose banking charter stablecoin issuers potential options federal regulators rein risks posed digital asset require revamp national bank act statute defines business banking analysts said ana relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsbpius7listmanagecomtrackclickufaf7489e1426ec7870b0a00f0id588ae88361e0d6e1f2ce6 datalinkindex42 dataauthnotapplicable target_blankamerican banker pieceathis week prospect biden administration urging congress authorize charter recently reported wall streeta relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpsbpius7listmanagecomtrackclickufaf7489e1426ec7870b0a00f0ide2304bd107e0d6e1f2ce6 datalinkindex43 dataauthnotapplicable target_blankjournala national bank act stipulates core activities national banks taking deposits making loans facilitating payments statute center legal disputes occs fintech charter allow firms engaging activities receive banking charter essentially act bankpblockquote pthat email received relnoopener hrefhttpsbpicombpinsightsoctober92021 target_blankbpinsightsap pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110fastenyourseatbeltshtmlfasten seat beltsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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Will this revolution be televised?

blockquote pmore than a century after the artists of the vienna secession declared to every age its art to art its freedom the austrian capital has found a new site for artistic expression free from censorship the adultsonly platform onlyfansp pviennas tourism board has started an account a datalinknamein body link hrefhttpsonlyfanscomviennatouristboardon onlyfansa  the only social network that permits depictions of nudity in protest against platforms ongoing censorship of its art museums and galleriesp pin july the albertina museums new tiktok account was suspended and then blocked for showing works by the japanese photographer nobuyoshi araki that showed an obscured female breast forcing the museum to start a new account this followed a similar incident in 2019 when instagram ruled that a painting by peter paul rubens violated the platforms community standards which prohibit any depictions of nudity  a datalinknamein body link hrefhttpshelpinstagramcom477434105621119even thosea that are artistic or creative in naturep pin 2018 the natural history museums photograph of the 25000yearold venus of willendorf figurine was deemed pornographic by facebook and removed from the platformp pthe leopold museum has likewise struggled to promote its collection of nudes by the expressionist egon schiele with advertising regulators in germany the uk and us refusing to show them a datalinknamein body link hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomcities2018oct08repulsivetochildrenandadultshowexplicitshouldpublicartgetin a city tourism campaign in 2018a the tourist board successfully resubmitted the posters with banners obscuring the bare bodies reading sorry 100 years old but still too daring todaypblockquote phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomartanddesign2021oct16viennamuseumsopenadultonlyonlyfansaccounttodisplaynudes target_blankmore from the guardiana via jason dp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110willthisrevolutionbetelevisedhtmlwill this revolution be televiseda appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquote pmore century artists vienna secession declared age art art freedom austrian capital found new site artistic expression free censorship adultsonly platform onlyfansp pviennas tourism board started accounta datalinknamein body link hrefhttpsonlyfanscomviennatouristboardon onlyfansa social network permits depictions nudity protest platforms ongoing censorship art museums galleriesp pin july albertina museums new tiktok account suspended blocked showing works japanese photographer nobuyoshi araki showed obscured female breast forcing museum start new account followed similar incident 2019 instagram ruled painting peter paul rubens violated platforms community standards prohibit depictions nudity datalinknamein body link hrefhttpshelpinstagramcom477434105621119even thoseathat artistic creative naturep pin 2018 natural history museums photograph 25000yearold venus willendorf figurine deemed pornographic facebook removed platformp pthe leopold museum likewise struggled promote collection nudes expressionist egon schiele advertising regulators germany uk refusing thema datalinknamein body link hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomcities2018oct08repulsivetochildrenandadultshowexplicitshouldpublicartgetin city tourism campaign 2018a tourist board successfully resubmitted posters banners obscuring bare bodies reading sorry 100 years old daring todaypblockquote phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomartanddesign2021oct16viennamuseumsopenadultonlyonlyfansaccounttodisplaynudes target_blankmore guardiana jason dp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110willthisrevolutionbetelevisedhtmlwill revolution televiseda appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

616c59da5b0ffe8f8a763eb0

NASA Is Prepping for the Ravages of Climate Change

pemthis story was originally published by ema hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorynasaispreparingfortheravagesofclimatechangewireda emand is reproduced here as part of the ema relnoopener hrefhttpwwwclimatedeskorg target_blankclimate deska emcollaborationemp pspanwhen hurricane idaspan made landfall in august it buffeted nasas michoud assembly facility in new orleans with rain and strong winds and a hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstoryhurricaneidaneworleanspoweroutageshut downa a hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstoryneworleanswasalreadyaheatislandthenidacutthepowerpower in the areaa forcing the site to run on generators no one was injured and no parts of the space launch system rockets which are manufactured there and are planned for later moon missions were affected but more climateintensified storms will surely comep pwhile nasa scientists are naturally focused on space everything they do begins on earth as long as climate change continues everyone has to prepare for worstcase scenarios following a directive from the a hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbriefingroomstatementsreleases20211007factsheetbidenadministrationreleasesagencyclimateadaptationandresilienceplansfromacrossfederalgovernmentbiden administrationa last week a hrefhttpswwwnasagovpressreleasenasareleasesclimateactionplannasaa and other federal agencies released climate action plans theyre mostly centered on adapting to a future in which some climate changes cant be avoided p pour goal has been to drill down to all of the different threats that any individual location might be facing says nasa senior climate adviser gavin schmidt who contributed to the report were one of the agencies that isnt just a victim of climate change but were at the forefront of understanding climate change and bringing science to the table to help us make better decisionsp pnasa and other parts of the federal government sought to develop climate plans during the obama administration and theyre now reviving those efforts nasa officials initially made adaptation assessments in 2011 which were updated in 2015 and theyre now being updated again the agencys newly released report highlights five areas of focus including planning for climate risks as new missions move forward adapting infrastructure as much as possible and ensuring access to space which could be disrupted if say a flooded road delayed the delivery of rocket fuel to a launchpadp asideglobally and domestically we have put very valuable assets including runways and launchpads in the coastal zoneaside pwith some twothirds of nasas assets within 16 feet of sea levelincluding kennedy space center in florida and johnson space center in houstonhurricanes flood risks and rising seas are giving the agency much to worry about if we look globally and domestically we have put very valuable assets including runways and launchpads in the coastal zone i think nasa stepping forward with the precision of an engineeringoriented agency is very exciting to see says katharine mach a climate scientist at the university of miami whos unaffiliated with nasa and who served as a lead author of the united nations intergovernmental panel on climate changes a hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorytheunclimatereportallisnotwellbutallisnotlostlatest assessment reportap pnasas action plan describes the costs of recent extreme weather events likely worsened by climate change that come with big bills for repair michoud assembly facility alone racked up nearly 400 million in costs following two hurricanes and a tornado recent hurricanes and flooding damaged other infrastructure too with multiple sites on the gulf and east coasts each suffering more than 100 million worth of damage in southern california the 2009 station fire burned to within a meter of the perimeter of the jet propulsion laboratory which had to be closed as an inland site jpl could eventually have other climate problems to contend with as well including droughts and heat wavesp pwhile nasa would only move buildings or launch complexes as a very expensive last resort the agency is working more on structural hardening making buildings better able to withstand extreme weather or a loss of electricity so that they can temporarily operate off the grid it can mean raising the elevation adding pumping capacity and putting up barriers it can be about creating islands it can be about creating autonomous infrastructure systems like selfsufficient energy generation as well as redundancies says jesse keenan a social scientist at tulane university with expertise on climate change adaptation and the built environment keenan is unaffiliated with nasas reportp pnasas ongoing efforts also include building up offcoast dunes to act as buffers against incoming storms and stabilizing shorelines to protect against massive waves and storm surges that can accelerate erosion around coastal infrastructure p paccording to the climate plan any new infrastructure has to be sited above a 500year floodplain so those buildings wont need such fortification for a long while nasa also aims to develop redundancies when possible so that a critical mission doesnt depend on a piece of equipment housed at a single vulnerable facility for examplep ppart of nasas plan involves working toward reducing carbon emissions not just adapting to a world with more dangerous weather specifically one piece of the plan focuses on green aviation or making airplane flights more sustainable by designing more efficient engines batteries and fuels such as a blend of biofuels with traditional but highly polluting jet fuel nasa is also researching and investing in electrified aircraft propulsion systems that dont need to rely on liquid fuel some people forget that the first a in nasa is aeronautics schmidt saysp asidenasas most crucial task is to educate the public on the gravity of the climate crisis and the urgency of transitioning away from fossil fuels says scientist michael mannaside pwhile such research is important airplane flights arent the biggest part of the united states carbon budget airline travel gets outsized attention in these conversations given its very modest roughly 2 percent contribution to total carbon emissions writes michael mann a climate scientist at penn state and author of emthe new climate warem in an email to wired he supports these efforts but recommends that the government focus more on cutting carbon emissions from energy production and ground transportation the most important action that nasa can continue to take is to educate our public and policymakers on the gravity of the climate crisis and the urgency of transitioning away from fossil fuels toward clean energy mann writesp pindeed education is also a component of the plan nasas past educational efforts have often been directed toward scientists and the general public but now the agency will also have an audience of decisionmakers as it rolls out a variety of trainings so that nasas senior managers and others in the federal government can make better climateinformed decisions about missions and budgets schmidt saysp pto announce these and other new climate initiatives and to signal their high priority nasa administrator bill nelson is visiting several agency facilities this week on tuesday at nasa ames research center in mountain view california nelson described the agencys work on drones and communication systems designed for quickly responding to wildfires and researchers demonstrated a new technology for airports that would a hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorysoftwareaimsmakeflightsmootherhelpplanetcut taxi delays and congestion on runwaysa reducing carbon emissions on wednesday nelson will tour nasa armstrong flight research center north of los angeles which hosts the experimental allelectric a hrefhttpswwwwiredcom201606nasasnewelectricplanelooksgoofypackssweettechx57 aircrafta p pthen on thursday nelson will head to jpl to give more details about a proposal to develop what he called a climate resilience design center during an october 6 speech at a a hrefhttpswwwfemagovbusinessindustryresilientnationpartnershipnetworkeventsvirtual eventa coorganized by nasa and the federal emergency management agency this initiative would create a a hrefhttpsblogsnasagovnelson20211006climatechangemissioncontrolmission control centera that would provide engineering expertise to state local tribal and territorial governments as they adapt infrastructure to a changing climatep pin all these initiatives nasa will be relying on data from its fleet of earthobserving satellites that track a hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorytinysatellitescouldhelpwarnofthenextbighurricaneclimatedriven stormsa a hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstoryaspacelasershowshowcatastrophicsealevelrisewillbecrumbling coastlinesa dwindling water supplies melting a hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorynewnasasatelliteslaserswilltracktinychangesinpolariceice sheetsa spreading a hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorythescienceoffightingwildfiresgetsasatelliteboostwildfiresa a hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstoryanobservatoryspiedonlascarbonemissionsfromspacecarbon emissionsa and more the agencys many eyes in the sky not only scan the cosmos but look back at our own world too i think something inspiring about the nasa plan is that in a way traveling to space and remote sensing with satellites circling the planet are all about perspective on earth i think theres something to be said about bringing these two together mach saysp

pemthis story originally published ema hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorynasaispreparingfortheravagesofclimatechangewiredaemandis reproduced theema relnoopener hrefhttpwwwclimatedeskorg target_blankclimate deskaemcollaborationemp pspanwhen hurricane idaspanmade landfall august buffeted nasas michoud assembly facility new orleans rain strong winds anda hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstoryhurricaneidaneworleanspoweroutageshut downaa hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstoryneworleanswasalreadyaheatislandthenidacutthepowerpower areaa forcing site run generators injured parts space launch system rockets manufactured planned later moon missions affected climateintensified storms surely comep pwhile nasa scientists naturally focused space begins earth long climate change continues prepare worstcase scenarios following directive thea hrefhttpswwwwhitehousegovbriefingroomstatementsreleases20211007factsheetbidenadministrationreleasesagencyclimateadaptationandresilienceplansfromacrossfederalgovernmentbiden administrationa weeka hrefhttpswwwnasagovpressreleasenasareleasesclimateactionplannasaaand federal agencies released climate action plans theyre centered adapting future climate changes cant avoidedp pour goal drill different threats individual location facing says nasa senior climate adviser gavin schmidt contributed report agencies isnt victim climate change forefront understanding climate change bringing science table help better decisionsp pnasa parts federal government sought develop climate plans obama administration theyre reviving efforts nasa officials initially adaptation assessments 2011 updated 2015 theyre updated agencys newly released report highlights areas focus including planning climate risks new missions forward adapting infrastructure possible ensuring access space disrupted flooded road delayed delivery rocket fuel launchpadp asideglobally domestically valuable assets including runways launchpads coastal zoneaside pwith twothirds nasas assets 16 feet sea levelincluding kennedy space center florida johnson space center houstonhurricanes flood risks rising seas giving agency worry look globally domestically valuable assets including runways launchpads coastal zone think nasa stepping forward precision engineeringoriented agency exciting says katharine mach climate scientist university miami whos unaffiliated nasa served lead author united nations intergovernmental panel climate changes hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorytheunclimatereportallisnotwellbutallisnotlostlatest assessment reportap pnasas action plan describes costs recent extreme weather events likely worsened climate change come big bills repair michoud assembly facility racked nearly 400 million costs following hurricanes tornado recent hurricanes flooding damaged infrastructure multiple sites gulf east coasts suffering 100 million worth damage southern california 2009 station fire burned meter perimeter jet propulsion laboratory closed inland site jpl eventually climate problems contend including droughts heat wavesp pwhile nasa buildings launch complexes expensive resort agency working structural hardening making buildings better able withstand extreme weather loss electricity temporarily operate grid mean raising elevation adding pumping capacity putting barriers creating islands creating autonomous infrastructure systems like selfsufficient energy generation redundancies says jesse keenan social scientist tulane university expertise climate change adaptation built environment keenan unaffiliated nasas reportp pnasas ongoing efforts include building offcoast dunes act buffers incoming storms stabilizing shorelines protect massive waves storm surges accelerate erosion coastal infrastructurep paccording climate plan new infrastructure sited 500year floodplain buildings wont need fortification long nasa aims develop redundancies possible critical mission doesnt depend piece equipment housed single vulnerable facility examplep ppart nasas plan involves working reducing carbon emissions adapting world dangerous weather specifically piece plan focuses green aviation making airplane flights sustainable designing efficient engines batteries fuels blend biofuels traditional highly polluting jet fuel nasa researching investing electrified aircraft propulsion systems dont need rely liquid fuel people forget nasa aeronautics schmidt saysp asidenasas crucial task educate public gravity climate crisis urgency transitioning away fossil fuels says scientist michael mannaside pwhile research important airplane flights arent biggest united states carbon budget airline travel gets outsized attention conversations given modest roughly 2 percent contribution total carbon emissions writes michael mann climate scientist penn state author ofemthe new climate warem email wired supports efforts recommends government focus cutting carbon emissions energy production ground transportation important action nasa continue educate public policymakers gravity climate crisis urgency transitioning away fossil fuels clean energy mann writesp pindeed education component plan nasas past educational efforts directed scientists general public agency audience decisionmakers rolls variety trainings nasas senior managers federal government better climateinformed decisions missions budgets schmidt saysp pto announce new climate initiatives signal high priority nasa administrator bill nelson visiting agency facilities week tuesday nasa ames research center mountain view california nelson described agencys work drones communication systems designed quickly responding wildfires researchers demonstrated new technology airports woulda hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorysoftwareaimsmakeflightsmootherhelpplanetcut taxi delays congestion runwaysa reducing carbon emissions wednesday nelson tour nasa armstrong flight research center north los angeles hosts experimental allelectrica hrefhttpswwwwiredcom201606nasasnewelectricplanelooksgoofypackssweettechx57 aircraftap pthen thursday nelson head jpl details proposal develop called climate resilience design center october 6 speech aa hrefhttpswwwfemagovbusinessindustryresilientnationpartnershipnetworkeventsvirtual eventacoorganized nasa federal emergency management agency initiative create hrefhttpsblogsnasagovnelson20211006climatechangemissioncontrolmission control centera provide engineering expertise state local tribal territorial governments adapt infrastructure changing climatep pin initiatives nasa relying data fleet earthobserving satellites tracka hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorytinysatellitescouldhelpwarnofthenextbighurricaneclimatedriven stormsaa hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstoryaspacelasershowshowcatastrophicsealevelrisewillbecrumbling coastlinesa dwindling water supplies meltinga hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorynewnasasatelliteslaserswilltracktinychangesinpolariceice sheetsa spreadinga hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstorythescienceoffightingwildfiresgetsasatelliteboostwildfiresaa hrefhttpswwwwiredcomstoryanobservatoryspiedonlascarbonemissionsfromspacecarbon emissionsa agencys eyes sky scan cosmos look world think inspiring nasa plan way traveling space remote sensing satellites circling planet perspective earth think theres said bringing mach saysp

616c59ec5b0ffe8f8a763eba

Understanding Snowflakery: The Difference Between the Free Expression of Ideas and Harassment and Intimidation.

pa hrefhttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegssl1img dataorigfilehttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegfit32892c2250ampssl1 dataorigsize32892250 datamediumfilehttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegfit3002c205ampssl1 dataattachmentid1432 dataimagemetaquotaperturequotquot0quotquotcreditquotquotquotquotcameraquotquotquotquotcaptionquotquotquotquotcreated_timestampquotquot0quotquotcopyrightquotquotquotquotfocal_lengthquotquot0quotquotisoquotquot0quotquotshutter_speedquotquot0quotquottitlequotquotquotquotorientationquotquot0quot dataimagedescription srchttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize7202c493ssl1 datapermalinkhttpscounterweightsupportcom20211015understandingsnowflakerythedifferencebetweenthefreeexpressionofideasandharassmentandintimidationpexelsphoto813871 datalargefilehttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegfit7202c493ampssl1 alt dataimagetitlepexelsphoto813871 srcsethttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegw3289ampssl1 3289w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize3002c205ampssl1 300w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize10242c701ampssl1 1024w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize7682c525ampssl1 768w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize15362c1051ampssl1 1536w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize20482c1401ampssl1 2048w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize12002c821ampssl1 1200w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize6002c410ampssl1 600w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegw1440ampssl1 1440w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegw2160ampssl1 2160w sizesmaxwidth 720px 100vw 720px width720 dataimagecaption datacommentsopened1 classwpimage1432 datarecalcdims1 height493abr unfortunately this essay needs to be written because so many people seem to be fatally confused about the concept of academic freedom freedom of belief and speech more broadly and the value of viewpoint diversity and robust debate that is they fail to see the difference between someone making an argument that other people might find personally upsetting but which they do not have to read or listen to and targeted harassment intimidation and dishonest character assassination intended to terrify people into silence this is a very alarming development and it has never been more evident than in the current situation surrounding professor kathleen stockp pkathleen stock is a feminist academic who has been critical of some forms of trans activism and queer theory that prioritise a personal perception of gender identity over the existence of biological sex in ways that impact on womens rights spaces and sports while defending the rights of trans people to be free from harassment and discrimination and honouring their pronouns stock believes that recognizing the material reality of biological sex is important in emmaterial girls emshe rejects the idea that only trans people have a right to an opinion on the subject of gender and argues that everyone does and that she as a lesbian sexnonconforming woman has skin in the game too she believes that womens rights and trans peoples rights can both be recognized as important and rejects the idea that there is no debate to be had about thisp pin the past week stock has been on the receiving end of what can only reasonably be described as a campaign of intimidation and an attempt at cancellation in the form of having her fired from her position at the university of sussex this included an a hrefhttpswwwinstagramcomantiterfsussexinstagrama account set up to demand her firing posters stuck around her office calling for her firing and referring to her as transphobic and banners targeting her personally accompanied by the use of flares in addition to this student activists issued explicit threats to continue the aggressive targeted harassment until stock is fired and incited to others to behave intimidatingly until she is gone the instagram account a hrefhttpswwwmailpluscoukeditioncomment112953thedisgracefulkathleenstocksussextransrightswarriorscancelculturesaidap pif you care for our community like we do spread the word get people angry angry enough to do something about itp pa hrefhttpslesbianandgaynewscom202110ourdemandissimplefirekathleenstockuntilthenyoullseeusaroundantiterfstudentsatsussexuniversitytargetprofessorofphilosophyincampaanda our demand is simple fire kathleen stock until then youll see us aroundp pgiven all of this and the fact that police have needed to be consulted regarding prof stocks physical safety is it any wonder that she has experienced panic attacks and been a hrefhttpslesbianandgaynewscom202110ourdemandissimplefirekathleenstockuntilthenyoullseeusaroundantiterfstudentsatsussexuniversitytargetprofessorofphilosophyincampadescribeda as hyperventilating and crying this was a targeted personal attack on an individual of a physically threatening nature simply because she wrote a book made some arguments and organized with feminist and gay and lesbian groups to argue for the need to consider biological sex a relevant factorp pincredibly there are people who see prof stock making arguments which target no individual and which people can choose to read or not and which repeatedly stress the importance of trans peoples rights not to be intimidated or discriminated against as equivalent or even worse than the campaign of intimidation against her as an individual nowhere is this more evident than on twitter twitter should not be mistaken for a representation of broader society but neither should its power and influence be underestimatedp pimg dataorigfilehttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescrpngfit5372c231ampssl1 dataorigsize537231 datamediumfilehttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescrpngfit3002c129ampssl1 dataattachmentid1427 dataimagemetaquotaperturequotquot0quotquotcreditquotquotquotquotcameraquotquotquotquotcaptionquotquotquotquotcreated_timestampquotquot0quotquotcopyrightquotquotquotquotfocal_lengthquotquot0quotquotisoquotquot0quotquotshutter_speedquotquot0quotquottitlequotquotquotquotorientationquotquot0quot dataimagedescription srchttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescrpngresize5372c231ssl1 datapermalinkhttpscounterweightsupportcom20211015understandingsnowflakerythedifferencebetweenthefreeexpressionofideasandharassmentandintimidationgraphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2 datalargefilehttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescrpngfit5372c231ampssl1 altgraphical user interface text application description automatically generated dataimagetitlegraphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr srcsethttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescrpngw537ampssl1 537w httpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescrpngresize3002c129ampssl1 300w sizesmaxwidth 537px 100vw 537px width537 dataimagecaption datacommentsopened1 classwpimage1427 datarecalcdims1 height231p pthis is blatantly untrue as well as being ridiculously hyperbolic would it be reasonable to accuse judith butler of making genderconforming or as stock would prefer sexconforming people unsafe and wanting them dead because she has written and spoken about the importance of understanding gender as a performance would it be reasonable for students who disagreed with butlers theories of gender to worry that she wanted them dead or ethical for them to aggressively hound her demand her firing and incite students to behave aggressively towards to her of course it would not butler is to be understood as having written arguments which people including kathleen stock have responded to appropriately with arguments if activists targetted butler in this way or any other queer theorist or trans activist in this way which of course happens it would almost certainly be clear to the activists hounding stock that this was harassing and threatening behaviour it would also be clear to kathleen stock who condemns any such behaviour very explicitlyp pmany activists do not see this in this case because of their belief that arguments about sex and gender which do not comport with their gender ideology are literally dangerous to trans people it is argued that any differing views on how sex and gender work can lead trans people to commit suicide pretend to believe what i do or ill kill myself is an emotionally manipulative demand and cannot be used ethically to prevent people expressing a range of views on an issue that really needs to be discussed people who are suicidal require psychological support not the censorship of all other viewpoints similarly it is argued that the existence of gender critical feminist arguments encourages violence against trans people although there is no evidence of anyone having committed violence influenced by gender critical feminism nevertheless the belief that disagreement with a certain gender ideology held by what is almost certainly a minority of trans people is literally dangerous to trans people persists if you believe this it seems perfectly reasonable to respond to such arguments not with counterarguments but with aggressive retaliation people with this mindset do not see stock as a philosopher having an opinion which could be upsetting to some people but as a hatemonger causing real genuine harm the exchange below demonstrates this wellp pimg dataorigfilehttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110textdescriptionautomaticallygeneratedpngfit5392c260ampssl1 dataorigsize539260 datamediumfilehttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110textdescriptionautomaticallygeneratedpngfit3002c145ampssl1 dataattachmentid1428 dataimagemetaquotaperturequotquot0quotquotcreditquotquotquotquotcameraquotquotquotquotcaptionquotquotquotquotcreated_timestampquotquot0quotquotcopyrightquotquotquotquotfocal_lengthquotquot0quotquotisoquotquot0quotquotshutter_speedquotquot0quotquottitlequotquotquotquotorientationquotquot0quot dataimagedescription srchttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110textdescriptionautomaticallygeneratedpngresize5392c260ssl1 datapermalinkhttpscounterweightsupportcom20211015understandingsnowflakerythedifferencebetweenthefreeexpressionofideasandharassmentandintimidationtextdescriptionautomaticallygenerated datalargefilehttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110textdescriptionautomaticallygeneratedpngfit5392c260ampssl1 alttext description automatically generated dataimagetitletextdescriptionautomaticallygenerated srcsethttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110textdescriptionautomaticallygeneratedpngw539ampssl1 539w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110textdescriptionautomaticallygeneratedpngresize3002c145ampssl1 300w sizesmaxwidth 539px 100vw 539px width539 dataimagecaption datacommentsopened1 classwpimage1428 datarecalcdims1 height260p pbizarrely this has led some people to accuse those defending stock or opposing the bullying and harassment of being snowflakes they even regard the intimidating behaviour as criticism seeming not to comprehend that criticism is the production of a verbal or written critique not an attempt to get someone fired or make them too afraid to enter their place of workp pimg dataorigfilehttpsi2wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr1pngfit5382c303ampssl1 dataorigsize538303 datamediumfilehttpsi2wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr1pngfit3002c169ampssl1 dataattachmentid1429 dataimagemetaquotaperturequotquot0quotquotcreditquotquotquotquotcameraquotquotquotquotcaptionquotquotquotquotcreated_timestampquotquot0quotquotcopyrightquotquotquotquotfocal_lengthquotquot0quotquotisoquotquot0quotquotshutter_speedquotquot0quotquottitlequotquotquotquotorientationquotquot0quot dataimagedescription srchttpsi2wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr1pngresize5382c303ssl1 datapermalinkhttpscounterweightsupportcom20211015understandingsnowflakerythedifferencebetweenthefreeexpressionofideasandharassmentandintimidationgraphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr3 datalargefilehttpsi2wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr1pngfit5382c303ampssl1 altgraphical user interface text application description automatically generated dataimagetitlegraphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr srcsethttpsi2wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr1pngw538ampssl1 538w httpsi2wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr1pngresize3002c169ampssl1 300w sizesmaxwidth 538px 100vw 538px width538 dataimagecaption datacommentsopened1 classwpimage1429 datarecalcdims1 height303p pimg dataorigfilehttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2pngfit5302c237ampssl1 dataorigsize530237 datamediumfilehttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2pngfit3002c134ampssl1 dataattachmentid1430 dataimagemetaquotaperturequotquot0quotquotcreditquotquotquotquotcameraquotquotquotquotcaptionquotquotquotquotcreated_timestampquotquot0quotquotcopyrightquotquotquotquotfocal_lengthquotquot0quotquotisoquotquot0quotquotshutter_speedquotquot0quotquottitlequotquotquotquotorientationquotquot0quot dataimagedescription srchttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2pngresize5302c237ssl1 datapermalinkhttpscounterweightsupportcom20211015understandingsnowflakerythedifferencebetweenthefreeexpressionofideasandharassmentandintimidationgraphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr4 datalargefilehttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2pngfit5302c237ampssl1 altgraphical user interface text application description automatically generated dataimagetitlegraphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr srcsethttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2pngw530ampssl1 530w httpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2pngresize3002c134ampssl1 300w sizesmaxwidth 530px 100vw 530px width530 dataimagecaption datacommentsopened1 classwpimage1430 datarecalcdims1 height237p pthis use of the term snowflake is an attempt to turn a term coined to describe people who feel harmed by viewpoints they find upsetting back onto those who object to physical harassment and intimidation of an individual this does not work it therefore seems necessary to discuss what phenomenon the word snowflake is meant to describe and why it does not apply to people preferring not to become the victims of campaigns of targeted harassmentp pi am not a fan of the term snowflake it tends to be used in a derogatory fashion to indicate contempt for an individuals lack of psychological resilience this usually occurs in the response to some dramatic statement about the harmfulness of speech it is often said in response to things like your beliefs about sex and gender deny trans peoples right to exist your words erase women of color advocating for hearing aids is advocating deaf genocide while such statements are hyperbolic it is not particularly useful to just dismiss the individual expressing them as a snowflake this fails to recognize that the distress felt is probably completely genuine if it is some compassion and also a practical solution is required if we wish to be able to keep discussing different ideas we need to look at the cause of people feeling deeply and personally harmed by somebody else expressing a viewpoint this could be caused by an individual having suffered trauma that has left them feeling genuinely endangered by certain trigger words and who needs to be treated with therapy it could also be caused by a cultural shift in our attitudes towards language and concepts of emotional safety which is teaching young people to genuinely feel such intense distress at words this is more likely the explanation in the case of activist groups and it needs to be addressed on a cultural level this is particularly important as these groups are so often found in universities which will turn out the next generation of leaders of various industries and institutions and we need them to be able to cope with a full range of words and ideasp pon that cultural level what is disparagingly known as snowflakery is more seriously and empathetically expressed by concern about an increasing lack of psychological resilience it indicates alarm that an increasing number of young people and particularly those deeply steeped in theories of critical social justice behave as though words that convey ideas they find upsetting could psychologically melt them emthe coddling of the american mind emby greg lukianoff and jonathan haidt looks at precisely this phenomenon in a compassionate way that accepts the phenomenon as real and dangerous it points out that we should not just dismiss people feeling this way as snowflakes as though it is their choice and preference to feel this way the evidence that this phenomenon is accompanied by an increase in mental illness and suicide suggests it is not something young people are taking on because they enjoy itp pthis phenomenon is very real and it needs addressing robustly by reestablishing a cultural norm that exposes young people to a wide range of ideas and teaches them to respond to speech they find abhorrent and unethical with counterspeech rather than with mass hysteria violence intimidation and attempts to get people fired of course not all young people feel or behave this way and many of the people opposing this kind of mentality are themselves members of generation z they are our best hope for a more resilient tolerant and genuinely progressive futurep pthe phenomenon of snowflakery or what could be more compassionately referred to as a pathological oversensitivity to words that causes people to be less able to function in the ideologically diverse world in which we live is very different to an ethical objection to bullying harassment intimidation and cancellation it is absolutely essential that we do not lose sight of some very key distinctionsp ul lithe difference between distress and physical harmli ul pif somebody makes an argument that women are mentally inferior and should stay at home doing only domestic chores this idea could make me feel emotionally hurt or angry or that my full humanity was not being recognized it does not physically harm me as i remain free to do precisely what i want and i can choose not to read the argument or criticize the argument i can make my own argument for why women should be able to access all the opportunities men have in fact this happened and equal rights for women won i wont say the subject is not up for debate but i am confident that the arguments for equal rights for women are strong enough to keep winningp pthe issue of whether or not womens rights are affected by selfidentified gender identity being accepted as the definition of womanhood in all circumstances has not been settled and it really needs to be this requires allowing people like kathleen stock and theorists and activists who have opposing views to make those arguments and have those discussions they will not be easy for everyone and could cause significant distress to individuals but it will not cause them physical harm physical harm is much more likely to be caused by continuing not to allow this to be up for debate gender critical feminists and trans people already face much hostility and occasionally violence discussion is the only thing that will prevent this and enable a resolution to be found where natal womens rights and trans peoples rights do not conflict and disadvantage either partyp ul lithe difference between making arguments and targeting individuals for harassmentli ul pif somebody writes a book arguing that sex and gender both exist on a spectrum and that there are infinite numbers of gender identities and that these should be prioritized over understanding biological sex as binary with very little variation they are making an argument if somebody else writes a book arguing that biological sex is almost entirely binary and that it is important to recognize that and that gender identity cannot take priority over biological sex in every situation without affecting womens safety and ability to compete fairly in sports they are also making an argument people are likely to have strong feelings about both books but they can express these with argumentsp pif political activists become enraged with the author of either of these books and plaster their workplace with posters calling them hateful names set off flares set up instagram pages to incite acts of intimidation and frighten them out of speaking or writing or going to work this is not an argument these are targeted acts of harassment bullying and intimidation against an individual they are intended to circumvent the need for argument or dialogue and instead impose one viewpoint on others by intimidation at the moment it is the people making arguments for recognition of biological sex that activists feel most justified in trying to bully into silence but this could change if you recognize that this would be bullying and harassment if done to somebody writing a book supporting a position you hold recognize that it still so when done to someone writing one supporting a position you dontp ul lithe difference between criticism of ideas and punishment for themli ul pif somebody strongly dislikes an idea set forth by someone else they must be able to criticize it a criticism is when someone makes a critical analysis of an argument and attempts to show possibly in strong terms why that idea is factually wrong or morally abhorrent this is done in words just as the original idea was set out in words if the criticism is strong enough the other persons reputation could be damaged and they could lose esteem in the eyes of the public this is a natural consequence of having ones ideas critiqued and is acceptable in a liberal society it does not constitute a punishment although it could be considered a consequence nevertheless it is an acceptable consequence that we all sign up for when putting our ideas out into the public spherep pif someone strongly dislikes an idea set forth by someone else and they then try to get that person deplatformed fired or intimidated into silence this is not a criticism there has been no critical analysis it has not been shown why the idea is factually wrong or morally abhorrent the person taking these steps is not seeking to criticize ideas and convince others in a legitimate way that the individual expressing the idea is not putting forth anything of worth and should not be held in high esteem they are going straight to punishment this is not a natural consequence but one enabled by being in a position of power that enables one to essentially ban ideas and intimidate anyone else who might be thinking of expressing them this is not an acceptable consequence for expressing ideas in a liberal society and it is not something anyone should have to accept they are signing up for when expressing their ideas in the public sphere if we have a society where that is the case we have a society in which totalitarianism is being allowed to win out over liberalism and that must be fought by everybody who wishes to be able to speak freely whether they agree with the current ideas or notp p p pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpscounterweightsupportcom20211015understandingsnowflakerythedifferencebetweenthefreeexpressionofideasandharassmentandintimidationunderstanding snowflakery the difference between the free expression of ideas and harassment and intimidationa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpscounterweightsupportcomcounterweightap

pa hrefhttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegssl1img dataorigfilehttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegfit32892c2250ampssl1 dataorigsize32892250 datamediumfilehttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegfit3002c205ampssl1 dataattachmentid1432 dataimagemetaquotaperturequotquot0quotquotcreditquotquotquotquotcameraquotquotquotquotcaptionquotquotquotquotcreated_timestampquotquot0quotquotcopyrightquotquotquotquotfocal_lengthquotquot0quotquotisoquotquot0quotquotshutter_speedquotquot0quotquottitlequotquotquotquotorientationquotquot0quot dataimagedescription srchttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize7202c493ssl1 datapermalinkhttpscounterweightsupportcom20211015understandingsnowflakerythedifferencebetweenthefreeexpressionofideasandharassmentandintimidationpexelsphoto813871 datalargefilehttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegfit7202c493ampssl1 alt dataimagetitlepexelsphoto813871 srcsethttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegw3289ampssl1 3289w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize3002c205ampssl1 300w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize10242c701ampssl1 1024w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize7682c525ampssl1 768w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize15362c1051ampssl1 1536w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize20482c1401ampssl1 2048w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize12002c821ampssl1 1200w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegresize6002c410ampssl1 600w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegw1440ampssl1 1440w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110pexelsphoto813871jpegw2160ampssl1 2160w sizesmaxwidth 720px 100vw 720px width720 dataimagecaption datacommentsopened1 classwpimage1432 datarecalcdims1 height493abr unfortunately essay needs written people fatally confused concept academic freedom freedom belief speech broadly value viewpoint diversity robust debate fail difference making argument people find personally upsetting read listen targeted harassment intimidation dishonest character assassination intended terrify people silence alarming development evident current situation surrounding professor kathleen stockp pkathleen stock feminist academic critical forms trans activism queer theory prioritise personal perception gender identity existence biological sex ways impact womens rights spaces sports defending rights trans people free harassment discrimination honouring pronouns stock believes recognizing material reality biological sex important emmaterial girls emshe rejects idea trans people right opinion subject gender argues lesbian sexnonconforming woman skin game believes womens rights trans peoples rights recognized important rejects idea debate thisp pin past week stock receiving end reasonably described campaign intimidation attempt cancellation form having fired position university sussex included hrefhttpswwwinstagramcomantiterfsussexinstagrama account set demand firing posters stuck office calling firing referring transphobic banners targeting personally accompanied use flares addition student activists issued explicit threats continue aggressive targeted harassment stock fired incited behave intimidatingly gone instagram account hrefhttpswwwmailpluscoukeditioncomment112953thedisgracefulkathleenstocksussextransrightswarriorscancelculturesaidap pif care community like spread word people angry angry itp pa hrefhttpslesbianandgaynewscom202110ourdemandissimplefirekathleenstockuntilthenyoullseeusaroundantiterfstudentsatsussexuniversitytargetprofessorofphilosophyincampaanda demand simple fire kathleen stock youll aroundp pgiven fact police needed consulted prof stocks physical safety wonder experienced panic attacks hrefhttpslesbianandgaynewscom202110ourdemandissimplefirekathleenstockuntilthenyoullseeusaroundantiterfstudentsatsussexuniversitytargetprofessorofphilosophyincampadescribeda hyperventilating crying targeted personal attack individual physically threatening nature simply wrote book arguments organized feminist gay lesbian groups argue need consider biological sex relevant factorp pincredibly people prof stock making arguments target individual people choose read repeatedly stress importance trans peoples rights intimidated discriminated equivalent worse campaign intimidation individual evident twitter twitter mistaken representation broader society power influence underestimatedp pimg dataorigfilehttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescrpngfit5372c231ampssl1 dataorigsize537231 datamediumfilehttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescrpngfit3002c129ampssl1 dataattachmentid1427 dataimagemetaquotaperturequotquot0quotquotcreditquotquotquotquotcameraquotquotquotquotcaptionquotquotquotquotcreated_timestampquotquot0quotquotcopyrightquotquotquotquotfocal_lengthquotquot0quotquotisoquotquot0quotquotshutter_speedquotquot0quotquottitlequotquotquotquotorientationquotquot0quot dataimagedescription srchttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescrpngresize5372c231ssl1 datapermalinkhttpscounterweightsupportcom20211015understandingsnowflakerythedifferencebetweenthefreeexpressionofideasandharassmentandintimidationgraphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2 datalargefilehttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescrpngfit5372c231ampssl1 altgraphical user interface text application description automatically generated dataimagetitlegraphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr srcsethttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescrpngw537ampssl1 537w httpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescrpngresize3002c129ampssl1 300w sizesmaxwidth 537px 100vw 537px width537 dataimagecaption datacommentsopened1 classwpimage1427 datarecalcdims1 height231p pthis blatantly untrue ridiculously hyperbolic reasonable accuse judith butler making genderconforming stock prefer sexconforming people unsafe wanting dead written spoken importance understanding gender performance reasonable students disagreed butlers theories gender worry wanted dead ethical aggressively hound demand firing incite students behave aggressively course butler understood having written arguments people including kathleen stock responded appropriately arguments activists targetted butler way queer theorist trans activist way course happens certainly clear activists hounding stock harassing threatening behaviour clear kathleen stock condemns behaviour explicitlyp pmany activists case belief arguments sex gender comport gender ideology literally dangerous trans people argued differing views sex gender work lead trans people commit suicide pretend believe ill kill emotionally manipulative demand ethically prevent people expressing range views issue needs discussed people suicidal require psychological support censorship viewpoints similarly argued existence gender critical feminist arguments encourages violence trans people evidence having committed violence influenced gender critical feminism belief disagreement certain gender ideology held certainly minority trans people literally dangerous trans people persists believe perfectly reasonable respond arguments counterarguments aggressive retaliation people mindset stock philosopher having opinion upsetting people hatemonger causing real genuine harm exchange demonstrates wellp pimg dataorigfilehttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110textdescriptionautomaticallygeneratedpngfit5392c260ampssl1 dataorigsize539260 datamediumfilehttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110textdescriptionautomaticallygeneratedpngfit3002c145ampssl1 dataattachmentid1428 dataimagemetaquotaperturequotquot0quotquotcreditquotquotquotquotcameraquotquotquotquotcaptionquotquotquotquotcreated_timestampquotquot0quotquotcopyrightquotquotquotquotfocal_lengthquotquot0quotquotisoquotquot0quotquotshutter_speedquotquot0quotquottitlequotquotquotquotorientationquotquot0quot dataimagedescription srchttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110textdescriptionautomaticallygeneratedpngresize5392c260ssl1 datapermalinkhttpscounterweightsupportcom20211015understandingsnowflakerythedifferencebetweenthefreeexpressionofideasandharassmentandintimidationtextdescriptionautomaticallygenerated datalargefilehttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110textdescriptionautomaticallygeneratedpngfit5392c260ampssl1 alttext description automatically generated dataimagetitletextdescriptionautomaticallygenerated srcsethttpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110textdescriptionautomaticallygeneratedpngw539ampssl1 539w httpsi1wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110textdescriptionautomaticallygeneratedpngresize3002c145ampssl1 300w sizesmaxwidth 539px 100vw 539px width539 dataimagecaption datacommentsopened1 classwpimage1428 datarecalcdims1 height260p pbizarrely led people accuse defending stock opposing bullying harassment snowflakes regard intimidating behaviour criticism comprehend criticism production verbal written critique attempt fired afraid enter place workp pimg dataorigfilehttpsi2wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr1pngfit5382c303ampssl1 dataorigsize538303 datamediumfilehttpsi2wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr1pngfit3002c169ampssl1 dataattachmentid1429 dataimagemetaquotaperturequotquot0quotquotcreditquotquotquotquotcameraquotquotquotquotcaptionquotquotquotquotcreated_timestampquotquot0quotquotcopyrightquotquotquotquotfocal_lengthquotquot0quotquotisoquotquot0quotquotshutter_speedquotquot0quotquottitlequotquotquotquotorientationquotquot0quot dataimagedescription srchttpsi2wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr1pngresize5382c303ssl1 datapermalinkhttpscounterweightsupportcom20211015understandingsnowflakerythedifferencebetweenthefreeexpressionofideasandharassmentandintimidationgraphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr3 datalargefilehttpsi2wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr1pngfit5382c303ampssl1 altgraphical user interface text application description automatically generated dataimagetitlegraphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr srcsethttpsi2wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr1pngw538ampssl1 538w httpsi2wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr1pngresize3002c169ampssl1 300w sizesmaxwidth 538px 100vw 538px width538 dataimagecaption datacommentsopened1 classwpimage1429 datarecalcdims1 height303p pimg dataorigfilehttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2pngfit5302c237ampssl1 dataorigsize530237 datamediumfilehttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2pngfit3002c134ampssl1 dataattachmentid1430 dataimagemetaquotaperturequotquot0quotquotcreditquotquotquotquotcameraquotquotquotquotcaptionquotquotquotquotcreated_timestampquotquot0quotquotcopyrightquotquotquotquotfocal_lengthquotquot0quotquotisoquotquot0quotquotshutter_speedquotquot0quotquottitlequotquotquotquotorientationquotquot0quot dataimagedescription srchttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2pngresize5302c237ssl1 datapermalinkhttpscounterweightsupportcom20211015understandingsnowflakerythedifferencebetweenthefreeexpressionofideasandharassmentandintimidationgraphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr4 datalargefilehttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2pngfit5302c237ampssl1 altgraphical user interface text application description automatically generated dataimagetitlegraphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr srcsethttpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2pngw530ampssl1 530w httpsi0wpcomcounterweightsupportcomwpcontentuploads202110graphicaluserinterfacetextapplicationdescr2pngresize3002c134ampssl1 300w sizesmaxwidth 530px 100vw 530px width530 dataimagecaption datacommentsopened1 classwpimage1430 datarecalcdims1 height237p pthis use term snowflake attempt turn term coined describe people feel harmed viewpoints find upsetting object physical harassment intimidation individual work necessary discuss phenomenon word snowflake meant describe apply people preferring victims campaigns targeted harassmentp pi fan term snowflake tends derogatory fashion indicate contempt individuals lack psychological resilience usually occurs response dramatic statement harmfulness speech said response things like beliefs sex gender deny trans peoples right exist words erase women color advocating hearing aids advocating deaf genocide statements hyperbolic particularly useful dismiss individual expressing snowflake fails recognize distress felt probably completely genuine compassion practical solution required wish able discussing different ideas need look cause people feeling deeply personally harmed somebody expressing viewpoint caused individual having suffered trauma left feeling genuinely endangered certain trigger words needs treated therapy caused cultural shift attitudes language concepts emotional safety teaching young people genuinely feel intense distress words likely explanation case activist groups needs addressed cultural level particularly important groups found universities turn generation leaders industries institutions need able cope range words ideasp pon cultural level disparagingly known snowflakery seriously empathetically expressed concern increasing lack psychological resilience indicates alarm increasing number young people particularly deeply steeped theories critical social justice behave words convey ideas find upsetting psychologically melt emthe coddling american mind emby greg lukianoff jonathan haidt looks precisely phenomenon compassionate way accepts phenomenon real dangerous points dismiss people feeling way snowflakes choice preference feel way evidence phenomenon accompanied increase mental illness suicide suggests young people taking enjoy itp pthis phenomenon real needs addressing robustly reestablishing cultural norm exposes young people wide range ideas teaches respond speech find abhorrent unethical counterspeech mass hysteria violence intimidation attempts people fired course young people feel behave way people opposing kind mentality members generation z best hope resilient tolerant genuinely progressive futurep pthe phenomenon snowflakery compassionately referred pathological oversensitivity words causes people able function ideologically diverse world live different ethical objection bullying harassment intimidation cancellation absolutely essential lose sight key distinctionsp ul lithe difference distress physical harmli ul pif somebody makes argument women mentally inferior stay home domestic chores idea feel emotionally hurt angry humanity recognized physically harm remain free precisely want choose read argument criticize argument argument women able access opportunities men fact happened equal rights women won wont subject debate confident arguments equal rights women strong winningp pthe issue womens rights affected selfidentified gender identity accepted definition womanhood circumstances settled needs requires allowing people like kathleen stock theorists activists opposing views arguments discussions easy cause significant distress individuals cause physical harm physical harm likely caused continuing allow debate gender critical feminists trans people face hostility occasionally violence discussion thing prevent enable resolution found natal womens rights trans peoples rights conflict disadvantage partyp ul lithe difference making arguments targeting individuals harassmentli ul pif somebody writes book arguing sex gender exist spectrum infinite numbers gender identities prioritized understanding biological sex binary little variation making argument somebody writes book arguing biological sex entirely binary important recognize gender identity priority biological sex situation affecting womens safety ability compete fairly sports making argument people likely strong feelings books express argumentsp pif political activists enraged author books plaster workplace posters calling hateful names set flares set instagram pages incite acts intimidation frighten speaking writing going work argument targeted acts harassment bullying intimidation individual intended circumvent need argument dialogue instead impose viewpoint intimidation moment people making arguments recognition biological sex activists feel justified trying bully silence change recognize bullying harassment somebody writing book supporting position hold recognize writing supporting position dontp ul lithe difference criticism ideas punishment themli ul pif somebody strongly dislikes idea set forth able criticize criticism makes critical analysis argument attempts possibly strong terms idea factually wrong morally abhorrent words original idea set words criticism strong persons reputation damaged lose esteem eyes public natural consequence having ones ideas critiqued acceptable liberal society constitute punishment considered consequence acceptable consequence sign putting ideas public spherep pif strongly dislikes idea set forth try person deplatformed fired intimidated silence criticism critical analysis shown idea factually wrong morally abhorrent person taking steps seeking criticize ideas convince legitimate way individual expressing idea putting forth worth held high esteem going straight punishment natural consequence enabled position power enables essentially ban ideas intimidate thinking expressing acceptable consequence expressing ideas liberal society accept signing expressing ideas public sphere society case society totalitarianism allowed win liberalism fought everybody wishes able speak freely agree current ideas notp pp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpscounterweightsupportcom20211015understandingsnowflakerythedifferencebetweenthefreeexpressionofideasandharassmentandintimidationunderstanding snowflakery difference free expression ideas harassment intimidationa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpscounterweightsupportcomcounterweightap

616c5a145b0ffe8f8a763ebe

“Striketober” Roars as Nearly 100,000 Workers Authorize Work Stoppages

a hrefhttpstruthoutorgarticlesnearly100000workersauthorizeworkstoppagesimg sizesmaxwidth 200px 100vw 200px srchttpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1080389274200x134jpg width200 altnearly 4000 kaiser permanente mental health workers with the national union of healthcare workers kick off a fiveday strike at kaiser facilities throughout california on december 10 2018 srcsethttpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1080389274200x134jpg 200w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1080389274400x268jpg 400w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1080389274800x537jpg 800w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1080389274jpg 1024w classwppostimage height134apformer labor secretary robert reich observed wednesday that with employees in industries across the spectrum set to strike in the coming days following corporate leaders failure to meet their demands for fair pay and working conditions the us is closer than it has been in decades to experiencing a general strikep pyou might say workers have declared a national general strike until they get better pay and improved working conditionsspan spana hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomcommentisfree2021oct13americanworkersgeneralstrikerobertreichwroteaspan spanreich inemspan spanthe guardianem no one calls it a general strike but in its own disorganized way its related to the organized strikes breaking out across the land hollywood tv and film crews john deere workers alabama coal miners nabisco workers kellogg workers nurses in california healthcare workers in buffalop div plabor advocates are calling the nationwide show of union power and worker solidarity striketober as work stoppages across numerous industries are expected in the coming hours and days if unions demands arent metp pspanabout 10000 workers at farm equipment manufacturer john deere are spana delay150 tabindex1 relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwlabornotesorgblogs202110johndeereworkersoverwhelminglyrejectcontractcouldstrikewednesdaynight dataremovetabindextrue datastringifylinkhttpswwwlabornotesorgblogs202110johndeereworkersoverwhelminglyrejectcontractcouldstrikewednesdaynight datasktooltip_parentwalked outspan spanaspanthursday after the company failed to negotiate a contract that satisfies the demands of the united auto workers uaw members by 1159 pm on wednesdayspanp pwith 90 of members voting on sunday 90 voted down a tentative agreement over pension plan changes and what they viewed as inadequate pay raises boosting compensation by 5 to 6 considering the companys skyrocketing profits this year with a net income between 57 and 59 billionp pwe arent asking to be millionaires we are asking for fair wages a pension and postretirement healthcare one employeespan spana hrefhttpswwwwqadcomarticlemoneybusinessjohndeerestrikedeadline526fede5fe59281452ea9027723e1d4e510toldaspan spanemwqadem anspan spanemabcemspan spanaffiliate in moline illinois after 30 years or more of giving your body to a company moving 1000 pound castings around or assembling tractors it rips your body apart its not unreasonable to not want to have that worry in life of what ifp pmore than 24000 nurses and other healthcare workers in california and oregon alsospan spana hrefhttpsthehillcombusinessalobbying576456morethan100kworkersthreatenstrikesasunionsflexmusclesrl1votedaspan spanon monday to authorize a strike after contract negotiations with their employer kaiser permanente stalled the workers are demanding relief from pandemicrelated burnout 4 annual raises and increased hiringp p afterspan spana hrefhttpswwwcommondreamsorgnews20211004milestonemomentlabor98majortvfilmunionvotesstrikevotingaspan spanto authorize a strike earlier this month 60000 film and tv crew workers could go on strike on monday if the alliance of motion picture and television producers amptp which represents hundreds of production companies fails to offer a contract that allows employees sufficient time off p pworkers frequently work 12hour days often without meal breaks and get only 10 hours off in between workdays while the lowestpaid crew members earn less than a living wage according to the international alliance of theatrical stage employees iatsep pstriketober is a function of greedy bosses trying to recoup the unrecoupable tweeted jonas loeb communications director for iatsep div blockquote classtwittertweet p langen dirltra hrefhttpstwittercomhashtagstriketobersrchashref_srctwsrc5etfwstriketobera is a function of greedy bosses trying to recoup the unrecoupablep pworkers across every sector in our economy are being pushed to the brink to make up for the lost time during the pandemic shutdownp pevery strike is managements faultp p jonas loeb jonasloeb a hrefhttpstwittercomjonasloebstatus1446120877494456326ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 7 2021apblockquote pp pthe recent strike authorizations and impending possible work stoppages come as thousands of people are already striking for fair working conditions and pay including 1400span spana hrefhttpswwwcommondreamsorgnews20211006kelloggsstrrrike1400workerswalkjobprotectbenefitskellogg plant workersaspan spanin several states 1100 miners at warrior met coal who have beenspan spana hrefhttpswwwalcomnews202108warriormetcoalsstrikepracticescouldbringnationallaborrelationsboardcomplainthtmlfightingaspan spanfor a fair contract since april and 2000 hospital workers in new yorkp pthe nationwide wave of worker solidarity involves the kind of numbers you dont see anymore tweetedspan spanemhuffpostspan spanemlabor reporter dave jamiesonp blockquote classtwittertweet p langen dirltrso what is a hrefhttpstwittercomhashtagstriketobersrchashref_srctwsrc5etfwstriketoberap pwe now have strike authorizations at john deere strike deadline tonight iatsehollywood deadline oct 18 and kaiser permanente deadline tbdp pthats around 90000 workers right there those are the kind of numbers you dont see anymorep p dave jamieson jamieson a hrefhttpstwittercomjamiesonstatus1448307677189316616ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 13 2021apblockquote pp preich wrote that with frontline workers across the country putting their health at risk over the last 18 months by going to work at companies that have raked in historic profits workers are reluctant to return to or remain in their old jobs mostly because theyre burned outp div blockquote pyears ago when i was secretary of labor i kept meeting working people all over the country who had fulltime work but complained that their jobs paid too little and had few benefits or were unsafe or required lengthy or unpredictable hours many said their employers treated them badly harassed them and did not respect themp psince then these complaints have only grown louder according tospan spana hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomlaborshortageworkersquittingquitjobpandemiccovidsurveymonster20217pollsa for many the pandemic was the last straw workers are fed up wiped out donein and run down in the wake of so much hardship illness and death during the past year theyre not going to take it anymorep blockquote pcorporate america wants to frame this as a labor shortage wrote reich wrong whats really going on is more accurately described as a livingwage shortage a hazard pay shortage a childcare shortage a paid sick leave shortage and a healthcare shortage unlessspan spanemthesespan spanemshortages are rectified many americans wont return to work anytime soonp pas iatse members potential strike drew near the union pointed out that some of its members stagehands and theater tech workers at north shore music theater nsmt in beverly massachusetts secured livable wages after striking for just one day this monthp div blockquote classtwittertweet p langen dirltrbreaking after striking for just one day north shore music theatre stagehands prevailed in their fight for livable wages a hrefhttpstwittercomhashtagstriketobersrchashref_srctwsrc5etfwstriketobera p pim thrilled to go back to work tonight to the job that i love knowing my expertise is recognized and respected said one worker a hrefhttpstcoxplqerjvhthttpstcoxplqerjvhtap p iatse iasolidarity iatse a hrefhttpstwittercomiatsestatus1446224275451617285ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 7 2021apblockquote pp pnsmt crew were previously paid 60 less than the industry area average but will now be receiving wages starting at 18 per hourspan spana hrefhttpsiatsenetnorthshoremusictheatrestagehandsprevailinstrikeforlivablewagessaidaspan spanthe union last weekp paflcio president liz shulerspan spana hrefhttpsthehillcombusinessalobbying576456morethan100kworkersthreatenstrikesasunionsflexmusclesrl1toldaspan spanemthe hillspan spanemthat the striketober movement shows that with economic inequality getting worse and worse unions are the solutionp pthis is the capitalist system that has driven us to the brink shuler saidp punite here which represents 300000 hospitality employeesspan spana hrefhttpstwittercomuniteherestatus1447664653002289152expressed solidarityaspan spanwith the workers taking part in striketober and urged them to see themselves as in a position of powerp pit is clear that we are in a significant moment for union organizing said the union what we cannot do is lose this moment the socalled labor shortage which we know is really just a shortage of jobs that pay us enough to live on is a powerful bit of leverage workers have over employers right nowp pyou know what scares bossesspan spana hrefhttpstwittercomflyingwithsarastatus1447976093168934918addedaspan spansara nelson president of the association of flight attendants worker solidarity striketober is terrifying the bossesp

hrefhttpstruthoutorgarticlesnearly100000workersauthorizeworkstoppagesimg sizesmaxwidth 200px 100vw 200px srchttpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1080389274200x134jpg width200 altnearly 4000 kaiser permanente mental health workers national union healthcare workers kick fiveday strike kaiser facilities california december 10 2018 srcsethttpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1080389274200x134jpg 200w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1080389274400x268jpg 400w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1080389274800x537jpg 800w httpstruthoutorgwpcontentuploads202110gettyimages1080389274jpg 1024w classwppostimage height134apformer labor secretary robert reich observed wednesday employees industries spectrum set strike coming days following corporate leaders failure meet demands fair pay working conditions closer decades experiencing general strikep pyou workers declared national general strike better pay improved working conditionsspan spana hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancomcommentisfree2021oct13americanworkersgeneralstrikerobertreichwroteaspan spanreich inemspan spanthe guardianem calls general strike disorganized way related organized strikes breaking land hollywood tv film crews john deere workers alabama coal miners nabisco workers kellogg workers nurses california healthcare workers buffalop div plabor advocates calling nationwide union power worker solidarity striketober work stoppages numerous industries expected coming hours days unions demands arent metp pspanabout 10000 workers farm equipment manufacturer john deere spana delay150 tabindex1 relnoopener noreferrer hrefhttpswwwlabornotesorgblogs202110johndeereworkersoverwhelminglyrejectcontractcouldstrikewednesdaynight dataremovetabindextrue datastringifylinkhttpswwwlabornotesorgblogs202110johndeereworkersoverwhelminglyrejectcontractcouldstrikewednesdaynight datasktooltip_parentwalked outspan spanaspanthursday company failed negotiate contract satisfies demands united auto workers uaw members 1159 pm wednesdayspanp pwith 90 members voting sunday 90 voted tentative agreement pension plan changes viewed inadequate pay raises boosting compensation 5 6 considering companys skyrocketing profits year net income 57 59 billionp pwe arent asking millionaires asking fair wages pension postretirement healthcare employeespan spana hrefhttpswwwwqadcomarticlemoneybusinessjohndeerestrikedeadline526fede5fe59281452ea9027723e1d4e510toldaspan spanemwqadem anspan spanemabcemspan spanaffiliate moline illinois 30 years giving body company moving 1000 pound castings assembling tractors rips body apart unreasonable want worry life ifp pmore 24000 nurses healthcare workers california oregon alsospan spana hrefhttpsthehillcombusinessalobbying576456morethan100kworkersthreatenstrikesasunionsflexmusclesrl1votedaspan spanon monday authorize strike contract negotiations employer kaiser permanente stalled workers demanding relief pandemicrelated burnout 4 annual raises increased hiringp p afterspan spana hrefhttpswwwcommondreamsorgnews20211004milestonemomentlabor98majortvfilmunionvotesstrikevotingaspan spanto authorize strike earlier month 60000 film tv crew workers strike monday alliance motion picture television producers amptp represents hundreds production companies fails offer contract allows employees sufficient time p pworkers frequently work 12hour days meal breaks 10 hours workdays lowestpaid crew members earn living wage according international alliance theatrical stage employees iatsep pstriketober function greedy bosses trying recoup unrecoupable tweeted jonas loeb communications director iatsep div blockquote classtwittertweet p langen dirltra hrefhttpstwittercomhashtagstriketobersrchashref_srctwsrc5etfwstriketobera function greedy bosses trying recoup unrecoupablep pworkers sector economy pushed brink lost time pandemic shutdownp pevery strike managements faultp p jonas loeb jonasloeb hrefhttpstwittercomjonasloebstatus1446120877494456326ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 7 2021apblockquote pp pthe recent strike authorizations impending possible work stoppages come thousands people striking fair working conditions pay including 1400span spana hrefhttpswwwcommondreamsorgnews20211006kelloggsstrrrike1400workerswalkjobprotectbenefitskellogg plant workersaspan spanin states 1100 miners warrior met coal beenspan spana hrefhttpswwwalcomnews202108warriormetcoalsstrikepracticescouldbringnationallaborrelationsboardcomplainthtmlfightingaspan spanfor fair contract april 2000 hospital workers new yorkp pthe nationwide wave worker solidarity involves kind numbers dont anymore tweetedspan spanemhuffpostspan spanemlabor reporter dave jamiesonp blockquote classtwittertweet p langen dirltrso hrefhttpstwittercomhashtagstriketobersrchashref_srctwsrc5etfwstriketoberap pwe strike authorizations john deere strike deadline tonight iatsehollywood deadline oct 18 kaiser permanente deadline tbdp pthats 90000 workers right kind numbers dont anymorep p dave jamieson jamieson hrefhttpstwittercomjamiesonstatus1448307677189316616ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 13 2021apblockquote pp preich wrote frontline workers country putting health risk 18 months going work companies raked historic profits workers reluctant return remain old jobs theyre burned outp div blockquote pyears ago secretary labor kept meeting working people country fulltime work complained jobs paid little benefits unsafe required lengthy unpredictable hours said employers treated badly harassed respect themp psince complaints grown louder according tospan spana hrefhttpswwwbusinessinsidercomlaborshortageworkersquittingquitjobpandemiccovidsurveymonster20217pollsa pandemic straw workers fed wiped donein run wake hardship illness death past year theyre going anymorep blockquote pcorporate america wants frame labor shortage wrote reich wrong whats going accurately described livingwage shortage hazard pay shortage childcare shortage paid sick leave shortage healthcare shortage unlessspan spanemthesespan spanemshortages rectified americans wont return work anytime soonp pas iatse members potential strike drew near union pointed members stagehands theater tech workers north shore music theater nsmt beverly massachusetts secured livable wages striking day monthp div blockquote classtwittertweet p langen dirltrbreaking striking day north shore music theatre stagehands prevailed fight livable wages hrefhttpstwittercomhashtagstriketobersrchashref_srctwsrc5etfwstriketobera p pim thrilled work tonight job love knowing expertise recognized respected said worker hrefhttpstcoxplqerjvhthttpstcoxplqerjvhtap p iatse iasolidarity iatse hrefhttpstwittercomiatsestatus1446224275451617285ref_srctwsrc5etfwoctober 7 2021apblockquote pp pnsmt crew previously paid 60 industry area average receiving wages starting 18 hourspan spana hrefhttpsiatsenetnorthshoremusictheatrestagehandsprevailinstrikeforlivablewagessaidaspan spanthe union weekp paflcio president liz shulerspan spana hrefhttpsthehillcombusinessalobbying576456morethan100kworkersthreatenstrikesasunionsflexmusclesrl1toldaspan spanemthe hillspan spanemthat striketober movement shows economic inequality getting worse worse unions solutionp pthis capitalist system driven brink shuler saidp punite represents 300000 hospitality employeesspan spana hrefhttpstwittercomuniteherestatus1447664653002289152expressed solidarityaspan spanwith workers taking striketober urged position powerp pit clear significant moment union organizing said union lose moment socalled labor shortage know shortage jobs pay live powerful bit leverage workers employers right nowp pyou know scares bossesspan spana hrefhttpstwittercomflyingwithsarastatus1447976093168934918addedaspan spansara nelson president association flight attendants worker solidarity striketober terrifying bossesp

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Can we stop every terrorist?

pspanthere was a feeling of inevitability surrounding reports that ali harbi ali the man alleged to have murdered sir david amess mp spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlesirdavidamesssuspectflaggedextremismriskschoolpreventp03t93fld target_blankspanwas referred to the prevent programmespanaspan some years agospanp pspanprevent is a muchmocked government counterterrorism strategy which looks out for warning signs that someone is at risk of being radicalised into some form of violent extremism about 6000 people are spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgovukgovernmentstatisticsindividualsreferredtoandsupportedthroughthepreventprogrammeapril2019tomarch2020individualsreferredtoandsupportedthroughthepreventprogrammeapril2019tomarch2020 target_blankspanreferredspanaspan to it each year spanp pspanevery highprofile murder or act of terrorism appears to be followed by a story like this the manchester arena suicide bomber was spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwstandardcouknewsukmanchestersuicideattackerwasknowntosecurityservicesbutnotthoughttoposeimmediatethreata3546401html target_blankspanknown to the security servicesspanaspan lee rigbys killers were spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgovukgovernmentspeechespmcommonsstatementintelligenceandsecuritycommitteereportonfusilierleerigby target_blankspanknown to the security servicesspanaspan at least one of the london bridge attackers was spana relnoopener hrefhttpstheconversationcomthesecurityservicesneedtogetahandleonlowlevelterrorthreatsandfast79774 target_blankspanknown to the security servicesspanaspan its not just in cases of terrorism the murderer of alice gross had spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom201901isthistheendofpersonalresponsibility target_blankspana criminal record for sexual assaultspanaspan sarah everards killer had spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsukenglandlondon58755391 target_blankspana history of indecent exposurespanaspanspanp divdiv pspanthere is a further sense of inevitability over the fact that three days after sir davids murder priti patel the home secretary spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmirrorcouknewsuknewsantiterrorprogrammepreventunder25236027 target_blankspandeclaredspanaspan that prevent is under review to ensure that it is fit for purpose this is in fact an ongoing review that was spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgovukgovernmentpublicationsindependentreviewofpreventindependentreviewofpreventwaysofworking target_blankspanlaunched in 2019spanaspan and due to report in december rather than a response to the atrocity yet the announcement was clearly intended to suggest that the murder represented a failure on the part of the surveillance and deradicalisation systemspanp pspanbut is it the sense of inevitability is real these stories crop up a lot but the truth is they will spanispancontinuespanispan to keep cropping up almost every time there is a terror attack and almost no matter what we do with prevent or whatever its successor is prevent may be failing though ill happily defer judgment until the publication of the review but even if it were successful when terrorist attacks happen it is likely that the perpetrators would be on its books or known to the security servicesspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages12352517861copye1634122087853300x151jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarspanmore from this authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarh5the men who failed britainh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv pspanand more than that as callous as it sounds that may be for the best to give a sense of why that is its helpful to look at another system for spotting future risks cancer screeningspanp pspanyou screen for prostate cancer with a blood test which looks for levels of something called prostatespecific antigen or psa if youre between 50 and 69 years old the normal level of psa is spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnhsukconditionsprostatecancershouldihavepsatest target_blankspangiven asspanaspan below three nanograms per millilitre ngml if your test comes back higher than that you are flagged as at risk of having prostate cancerspanp pspanbut spana hrefhttpswwwnhsukconditionsprostatecancershouldihavepsatestspanaccording to the nhsspanaspan about 15 of men who do have prostate cancer actually have normal levels of psa that is below 3ngml if you run a screening test like this youll falsely reassure about one cancer sufferer in six that they are cancerfreespanp pspantheres a straightforward solution to that of course instead of putting your cutoff at 3ngml you could make it 25ngml then youd miss fewer cancersspanp pspanyou can probably guess the outcome though if you move the cutoff lower youll miss fewer real cancers but youll scare more men unnecessarily if you move the cutoff higher youll get fewer false positives you wont tell as many men that they have cancer when they dont but youll get more false negatives youll miss more real cancersspanp pspanyou might think that its a pretty straightforward decision telling people that they have cancer when they dont is inconvenient and alarming telling people that they dont have cancer when they do might kill them so you err on the side of cautionspanp pspanbut thats not how it works false positives on cancer screenings spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom201902iscancerscreeningdoingmoreharmthangood target_blankspancan literally killspanaspan people can end up having unnecessary surgeries xrays chemo or radiotherapy complications are sufficiently common that the nhs says that the benefits of prostate cancer screening spana hrefhttpswwwnhsukconditionsprostatecancerpsatestingspando not outweigh the risksspanaspanspanp pspanthe cost of getting it wrong is real with terrorism too the process is somewhat different though when it comes to the risk of someone being radicalised unlike a blood test there isnt a number that you can read off that doesnt mean there cant be one it could be that the people who are passed on to prevent are given a quasiobjective score we do exactly that for say suicidality risk or autism or spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202008whyismiddleagesodepressing target_blankspanhappinessspanaspan or any one of a thousand psychological functions you tick boxes on a questionnaire about someones isolation their anger their ideologies and if the score on the questionnaire adds up to more than 40 or whatever you declare them a terrorism risk that is precisely what goes on in a less obvious and open way with things like spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtechnologyreviewcom20190121137783algorithmscriminaljusticeai target_blankspanai parole decisionsspanaspan spanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1346746710scalede1634549059204300x167jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarh5the making of essex manh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarspanbyspan simon hefferapdivadiv pspanbut as it happens there isnt an explicit number the prevent spana relnoopener hrefhttpsassetspublishingservicegovukgovernmentuploadssystemuploadsattachment_datafile96456766271_ho_hmg_channel_duty_guidance_v14_webpdf target_blankspanguidancespanaspan says there is no fixed profile of a terrorist so there is no defined threshold to determine whether an individual is at risk of being drawn into terrorism so theres no nice straightforward terrorism risk 136 readoutspanp pspannonetheless the same process is going on a person comes into contact with the counterterrorism services of the 6000 or so who are referred to prevent each year spana relnoopener hrefhttpsassetspublishingservicegovukgovernmentuploadssystemuploadsattachment_datafile853646individualsreferredsupportedpreventprogrammeapr2018mar2019hosb3219pdf target_blankspanabout 500spanaspan or so are deemed vulnerable to radicalisation and are passed on to a subgroup called channel spanp pspansince referral to channel is not based on an objective score its based on a subjective feeling or expert judgment people will be flagged up if the panel judging them feels sufficiently strongly that theyre a risk they might not explicitly say terrorism risk 136 but still there is a threshold of risk over which someone is considered a threatspanp pspanand just like the psa levels in the blood that assessment will be imperfect if you read some young man saying something disturbing online is it harmless anger and braggadocio or are they a terrorist you can raise your implicit threshold and avoid harassing innocent people at the cost of an increased risk of missing a genuine terrorist or you can lower it and correctly identify more terrorists but at the cost of labelling a lot of harmless people as potential terroristsspanp pspanit might seem like the cancer test in reverse that theres an asymmetry here a false positive annoys people a false negative kills people but also like the cancer test its not as simple as that the false positives will be a lot more common than the false negatives simply put there are more mouthy nonterrorists than actual terrorists in the world there were 6000 people referred to prevent every year and 500 or so were judged to be of sufficiently high risk to be passed on to channel but there have been only spana relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikilist_of_terrorist_incidents_in_great_britain2020s target_blankspanfour actual terror attacksspanaspan in the last two years spanp pspanif you lower your threshold raise the alarm on more borderline cases then you will waste more police time put more innocent people under needless scrutiny and stigmatise more communities it seems inevitable that a lowered threshold will mean more young muslim men in particular being picked up by the security services that may be a price worth paying but lets be clear it will be a price that you pay if you take in everybody suspicious for questioning every misogynist loser on incel subreddits every angry racist or radical islamist on darkweb chatrooms you may prevent one or two more attacks but you will undoubtedly fill up your jails and enrage the populacespanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110weareindangeroflosingourhumanityrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110weareindangeroflosingourhumanityrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1346729429scalede1634372874927300x194jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110weareindangeroflosingourhumanityrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110weareindangeroflosingourhumanityrefinnarh5we are in danger of losing our humanityh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110weareindangeroflosingourhumanityrefinnarspanbyspan miriam catesapdivadiv pspanthis doesnt mean theres nothing you can do moving your threshold is zerosum but you can change your test if instead of testing for psa you looked for some other marker you might be able to tell whether someone had cancer with more accuracy in the case of counterterrorism you could do things like increasing police funding for surveillance rather than simply being more strict about your criteria although of course that would mean less money elsewherespanp pspanan alternative suggestion might be to abandon expert judgment and introduce something like i talked about above an explicit algorithm human judgment is spana relnoopener hrefhttpsfsblog201703algorithmscomplexdecisionmaking target_blankspanfamously terrible spanaspanat predicting complex things like the likelihood of a criminal to reoffend and algorithms consistently outperform us as the psychologist paul meehlspana relnoopener hrefhttpsciteseerxistpsueduviewdocdownloaddoi10116936031reprep1typepdf target_blankspan demonstrated way back in 1954spanaspan they beat humans at predicting the price of wine how long a cancer patient will live who will win a football match how likely a business is to succeed and spana relnoopener hrefhttpsbooksgooglecoukbooksidav9x8xakdv0cpgpt335lpgpt335dq22therangeofpredictedoutcomeshasexpandedtocovermedicalvariablessuchasthelongevityofcancerpatients22sourceblotsrelrhk_twnsigacfu3u1lfoggsvlxkko26opniieqcv1sghlensaxved2ahukewjw8dk419tzahxntsakhwngb2cq6af6bagceamvonepageq22the20range20of20predicted20outcomes20has20expanded20to20cover20medical20variables20such20as20the20longevity20of20cancer20patients2c22ffalse target_blankspandozens of other subjectsspanaspan it is likely that some fairly simple algorithm could do significantly better than the best experts at predicting who is a terror risk as wellspanp pspanbut it could only ever be a partial improvement humans are stubbornly hard to predict part of the reason why algorithms can outperform human judgment in those fields is because spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom201811evensuperforecastersdarkbrexit target_blankspanhuman judgment is consistently terriblespanaspan we are very often wrong about who will reoffend who will live and die who will win a football match it is not that algorithmic prediction is great the future is still hard to know however good we make our systems for detecting terrorists they will never be very good spanspanso terrible things will always happen and when they do we will assume our systems are too lax and need to be tightenedspanp pspanit is tempting to think like that in the wake of an atrocity such as david amesss murder to think that we ought to lower our thresholds of what counts as a risk perhaps its even true but just as it is an unavoidable fact of reality that reducing false alarms means missing more real ones a world in which sir davids murderer was caught ahead of time could be grimly authoritarianspanp a hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterroristappcommentsview commentsa

pspanthere feeling inevitability surrounding reports ali harbi ali man alleged murdered sir david amess mp spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthetimescoukarticlesirdavidamesssuspectflaggedextremismriskschoolpreventp03t93fld target_blankspanwas referred prevent programmespanaspan years agospanp pspanprevent muchmocked government counterterrorism strategy looks warning signs risk radicalised form violent extremism 6000 people spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgovukgovernmentstatisticsindividualsreferredtoandsupportedthroughthepreventprogrammeapril2019tomarch2020individualsreferredtoandsupportedthroughthepreventprogrammeapril2019tomarch2020 target_blankspanreferredspanaspan yearspanp pspanevery highprofile murder act terrorism appears followed story like manchester arena suicide bomber spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwstandardcouknewsukmanchestersuicideattackerwasknowntosecurityservicesbutnotthoughttoposeimmediatethreata3546401html target_blankspanknown security servicesspanaspan lee rigbys killers spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgovukgovernmentspeechespmcommonsstatementintelligenceandsecuritycommitteereportonfusilierleerigby target_blankspanknown security servicesspanaspan london bridge attackers spana relnoopener hrefhttpstheconversationcomthesecurityservicesneedtogetahandleonlowlevelterrorthreatsandfast79774 target_blankspanknown security servicesspanaspan cases terrorism murderer alice gross spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom201901isthistheendofpersonalresponsibility target_blankspana criminal record sexual assaultspanaspan sarah everards killer spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwbbccouknewsukenglandlondon58755391 target_blankspana history indecent exposurespanaspanspanp divdiv pspanthere sense inevitability fact days sir davids murder priti patel home secretary spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmirrorcouknewsuknewsantiterrorprogrammepreventunder25236027 target_blankspandeclaredspanaspan prevent review ensure fit purpose fact ongoing review spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgovukgovernmentpublicationsindependentreviewofpreventindependentreviewofpreventwaysofworking target_blankspanlaunched 2019spanaspan report december response atrocity announcement clearly intended suggest murder represented failure surveillance deradicalisation systemspanp pspanbut sense inevitability real stories crop lot truth spanispancontinuespanispan cropping time terror attack matter prevent successor prevent failing ill happily defer judgment publication review successful terrorist attacks happen likely perpetrators books known security servicesspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages12352517861copye1634122087853300x151jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarspanmore authorspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarh5the men failed britainh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themenwhofailedbritainrefinnarspanbyspan tom chiversapdivadiv pspanand callous sounds best sense helpful look system spotting future risks cancer screeningspanp pspanyou screen prostate cancer blood test looks levels called prostatespecific antigen psa youre 50 69 years old normal level psa spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnhsukconditionsprostatecancershouldihavepsatest target_blankspangiven asspanaspan nanograms millilitre ngml test comes higher flagged risk having prostate cancerspanp pspanbut spana hrefhttpswwwnhsukconditionsprostatecancershouldihavepsatestspanaccording nhsspanaspan 15 men prostate cancer actually normal levels psa 3ngml run screening test like youll falsely reassure cancer sufferer cancerfreespanp pspantheres straightforward solution course instead putting cutoff 3ngml 25ngml youd miss fewer cancersspanp pspanyou probably guess outcome cutoff lower youll miss fewer real cancers youll scare men unnecessarily cutoff higher youll fewer false positives wont tell men cancer dont youll false negatives youll miss real cancersspanp pspanyou think pretty straightforward decision telling people cancer dont inconvenient alarming telling people dont cancer kill err cautionspanp pspanbut thats works false positives cancer screenings spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom201902iscancerscreeningdoingmoreharmthangood target_blankspancan literally killspanaspan people end having unnecessary surgeries xrays chemo radiotherapy complications sufficiently common nhs says benefits prostate cancer screening spana hrefhttpswwwnhsukconditionsprostatecancerpsatestingspando outweigh risksspanaspanspanp pspanthe cost getting wrong real terrorism process somewhat different comes risk radicalised unlike blood test isnt number read doesnt mean cant people passed prevent given quasiobjective score exactly suicidality risk autism spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom202008whyismiddleagesodepressing target_blankspanhappinessspanaspan thousand psychological functions tick boxes questionnaire someones isolation anger ideologies score questionnaire adds 40 declare terrorism risk precisely goes obvious open way things like spana relnoopener hrefhttpswwwtechnologyreviewcom20190121137783algorithmscriminaljusticeai target_blankspanai parole decisionsspanaspanspanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1346746710scalede1634549059204300x167jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarh5the making essex manh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110themakingofessexmanrefinnarspanbyspan simon hefferapdivadiv pspanbut happens isnt explicit number prevent spana relnoopener hrefhttpsassetspublishingservicegovukgovernmentuploadssystemuploadsattachment_datafile96456766271_ho_hmg_channel_duty_guidance_v14_webpdf target_blankspanguidancespanaspan says fixed profile terrorist defined threshold determine individual risk drawn terrorism theres nice straightforward terrorism risk 136 readoutspanp pspannonetheless process going person comes contact counterterrorism services 6000 referred prevent year spana relnoopener hrefhttpsassetspublishingservicegovukgovernmentuploadssystemuploadsattachment_datafile853646individualsreferredsupportedpreventprogrammeapr2018mar2019hosb3219pdf target_blankspanabout 500spanaspan deemed vulnerable radicalisation passed subgroup called channelspanp pspansince referral channel based objective score based subjective feeling expert judgment people flagged panel judging feels sufficiently strongly theyre risk explicitly terrorism risk 136 threshold risk considered threatspanp pspanand like psa levels blood assessment imperfect read young man saying disturbing online harmless anger braggadocio terrorist raise implicit threshold avoid harassing innocent people cost increased risk missing genuine terrorist lower correctly identify terrorists cost labelling lot harmless people potential terroristsspanp pspanit like cancer test reverse theres asymmetry false positive annoys people false negative kills people like cancer test simple false positives lot common false negatives simply mouthy nonterrorists actual terrorists world 6000 people referred prevent year 500 judged sufficiently high risk passed channel spana relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikilist_of_terrorist_incidents_in_great_britain2020s target_blankspanfour actual terror attacksspanaspan yearsspanp pspanif lower threshold raise alarm borderline cases waste police time innocent people needless scrutiny stigmatise communities inevitable lowered threshold mean young muslim men particular picked security services price worth paying lets clear price pay everybody suspicious questioning misogynist loser incel subreddits angry racist radical islamist darkweb chatrooms prevent attacks undoubtedly fill jails enrage populacespanp diva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110weareindangeroflosingourhumanityrefinnara hrefhttpsunherdcom202110weareindangeroflosingourhumanityrefinnarimg srchttpsunherdcomwpcontentuploads2021102gettyimages1346729429scalede1634372874927300x194jpgadiva hrefhttpsunherdcom202110weareindangeroflosingourhumanityrefinnarspansuggested readingspanaa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110weareindangeroflosingourhumanityrefinnarh5we danger losing humanityh5apa hrefhttpsunherdcom202110weareindangeroflosingourhumanityrefinnarspanbyspan miriam catesapdivadiv pspanthis doesnt mean theres moving threshold zerosum change test instead testing psa looked marker able tell cancer accuracy case counterterrorism things like increasing police funding surveillance simply strict criteria course mean money elsewherespanp pspanan alternative suggestion abandon expert judgment introduce like talked explicit algorithm human judgment spana relnoopener hrefhttpsfsblog201703algorithmscomplexdecisionmaking target_blankspanfamously terrible spanaspanat predicting complex things like likelihood criminal reoffend algorithms consistently outperform psychologist paul meehlspana relnoopener hrefhttpsciteseerxistpsueduviewdocdownloaddoi10116936031reprep1typepdf target_blankspan demonstrated way 1954spanaspan beat humans predicting price wine long cancer patient live win football match likely business succeed spana relnoopener hrefhttpsbooksgooglecoukbooksidav9x8xakdv0cpgpt335lpgpt335dq22therangeofpredictedoutcomeshasexpandedtocovermedicalvariablessuchasthelongevityofcancerpatients22sourceblotsrelrhk_twnsigacfu3u1lfoggsvlxkko26opniieqcv1sghlensaxved2ahukewjw8dk419tzahxntsakhwngb2cq6af6bagceamvonepageq22the20range20of20predicted20outcomes20has20expanded20to20cover20medical20variables20such20as20the20longevity20of20cancer20patients2c22ffalse target_blankspandozens subjectsspanaspan likely fairly simple algorithm significantly better best experts predicting terror risk wellspanp pspanbut partial improvement humans stubbornly hard predict reason algorithms outperform human judgment fields spana relnoopener hrefhttpsunherdcom201811evensuperforecastersdarkbrexit target_blankspanhuman judgment consistently terriblespanaspan wrong reoffend live die win football match algorithmic prediction great future hard know good systems detecting terrorists good spanspanso terrible things happen assume systems lax need tightenedspanp pspanit tempting think like wake atrocity david amesss murder think ought lower thresholds counts risk true unavoidable fact reality reducing false alarms means missing real ones world sir davids murderer caught ahead time grimly authoritarianspanp hrefhttpsunherdcom202110canwestopeveryterroristappcommentsview commentsa

616e0e51e21762d0e28f1443

Convulsions at Yale Law School: Administrators Do Damage Control as Faculty Members Slam School’s Dishonesty

pimg width768 alt srchttpss4freebeaconcomup202009yale768x536jpg height536ppyale law school dean heather gerken on monday promised an investigation into the a hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampusayalelawstudentsentalightheartedemailinvitingclassmatestohistraphousetheschoolisnowcallinghimtoaccountcontroversy surrounding trent colberta the secondyear law student and federalist society member who sent a lighthearted email inviting classmates to his quottrap housequotp pgerken vowed not to quotact on the basis of partial facts reported out in a charged media environmentquotthough dozens of primarysource documents corroborating the incident have emergedand announced that yale law school deputy dean ian ayres would quotassess the situationquot and quothelp us think how best to move forwardquotp pit is unclear whether administrators will issue an apology for their conduct along the lines of the one they drafted for colbert as the foundation for individual rights in education has a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthefireorgsincetheyloveprewrittenapologynotesyaleadministratorsshouldsignours target_blankproposedap pyale law school told the emwashington free beaconem that ayress investigation would not result in any further action against colbert quotas our statement last week made clear this is protected speechquot said debra krozner the law schools managing director of public affairs quotit will not lead to any action against the studentquotp pgerkens announcement comes in the wake of widespread outrage over the administrations aggressive handling of the incident and its tendentious response to news reports about it including from two prominent yale law professors who lambasted the universitys official statementp pthat a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomdavidlatstatus1448373149335236623s11 target_blankearlier statementa released oct 13 in the wake of a emfree beaconem report about the process to which colbert had been subjected denied that the secondyear law student faced quotany disciplinary investigationquot or action over his emailp pthe denial sparked fierce blowback from two yale law school professors who lambasted the dishonesty of their own university one of those professors corporate legal scholar roberta romano threatened to quotcorrect the recordquot if the law school did not do so itself the administrations actions toward colbert romano wrote krozner are quotin direct and total conflict with what you statedquot noting that the schools diversity director had made quota sly threatquot about the students careerp pquotplease correct the recordquot she added quoti would not want to have to do it for youquotp panother yale law professor who asked to remain anonymous said the initial statement was quotappallingly disingenuous and full of falsehoodsquot yale law school quotstated no student is investigated or sanctioned for protected speechquot the professor told theem free beaconem quotits hard to square that statement with the dean of student affairs summoning a student for questioning in response to allegations by other students with the diversity director ominously warning the student that if he doesnt apologize his admission to the bar could be threatened or with the law school sending a message to the entire secondyear class condemning the students email as racist if all that isnt an investigation then its even worsea pronouncement of guilt without investigationquotp pthe outrage has bubbled over into other elite universities keith whittington a legal theorist at princeton and a member of the academic freedom alliance said yale laws actions were quothighly inappropriate and completely incompatible with maintaining a free speech culture in a law schoolquotp pquotthere is no question that such actions send a chilling message across the student body and convey clearly that the law school is a hostile environment for conservative studentsquot whittington told the emfree beaconemp pthe imbroglio started when colbert a member of the native american students association and the federalist society invited classmates to a happy hour cohosted by the two groups in a sept 15 email he announced that popeyes chicken would be served at his quottrap housequot a slang term for a place where people buy drugsp pthe message elicited nine discrimination complaints in under 12 hours according to administrators which prompted associate dean ellen cosgrove and diversity director yaseen eldik to summon colbert to a series of meetings in which they pressured him to apologize for his emailwith eldik going so far as to imply that colbert could face trouble with the bar if he didnt apologize when colbert didnt send a written apology drafted by the administration cosgrove and eldik emailed the secondyear class about his initial message which they characterized as quotpejorativequot and quotracistquot adding that the administration condemned it in quotthe strongest possible termsquotp pthe student complaints emphasized colberts membership in the federalist society a conservative legal group that eldik said was quotoppressive to certain communitiesquot those complaints intensified after the emfree beaconem a hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampuslistentoyalelawschooladministratorstellastudenthisaffiliationwiththefederalistsocietyistriggeringforclassmatespublished audioa of eldiks meeting with colbert between oct 17 and oct 18 several students sent law schoolwide emails denouncing colbert and the federalist society which one student group characterized as quotviolentquotp pquotthe pooled legal knowledge of our membership cannot name every [federalist society] decision that has harmed our communitiesquot yales dred scott society wrote in a 2555word email on oct 18quota testament to the extensiveness of this violencequotp pimg srchttpslh5googleusercontentcomynq5haa2wye45aseida9f8tvlq9mayoffbkg_qe78jmtgyopevzyulgvbq7ccgtubx0hdy_c2dg2bmweyawbr5mgsgha5sfekiexrjrxqaip57je9e4alw5nexscixukyvrfps1600 tabindex0 width602 height149p pcolberts actions the society members continued quotare yet another example of the way that [federalist society] members attempt to weaponize discourse against the very people trying to have conversations in community with himquotconversations a relnoopener hrefhttpsdavidlatsubstackcomptheyalelawschoolemailcontroversyjustpublishedtrue target_blankcolbert saysa were only initiated after the student complaints had been filedp pquottrents narrative of being a victim of cancel culture based on his membership in [the federalist society] attempts to both diminish the harm that he caused and erase the role that his own actions played in causing the harm in the first place quotp pthe president of black law students association marina edwards likewise rejected the idea that colbert had been quotcancelledquotp pquotblack students did not attempt to cancel trentquot she wrote in an oct 17 email to the law school quotcalling out someone who behaves irresponsibly toward historically marginalized communities regardless of their own identity is not an act of oppression it is an act of love and compassion for those whose lives are daily ripped apart and trampled upon by systems and people of oppressionquotp pedwards did not respond to a request for commentp pif students are not attempting to cancel colbert they are attempting to remove him from his position as a student representative in response to quotconcerns surrounding trent colberts conductquot the law schools student government said in an oct 16 email that it drafted an entirely new set of procedures for removing student representatives it remains unclear whether the student government will use those procedures against colbertp panother student group the first generation professionals at yale law school sent an email on oct 18 to quotaffirmquot edwardss message and quotcondemn the racist email sent by trent colbertquot the group said it quotrecognized[d]quot the quotharmful impactsquot of quothostile media coveragequot on black students and thanked eldik for attempting to quoteducate trent and repair harm within the [yale law school] communityquotp pthe emails from edwards and the dred scott society also invoked the concept of quotdialoguequot pioneered by paulo freire a brazilian marxist who praised mao zedongs cultural revolution as quotthe most genial solutionquot to quotoppressivequot pedagogyp pquotcritical dialogue is about holding space for positive growth and changequot edwards wrote citing quotfreirian praxisquotp pbut the dred scott society clarified quotto engage in dialogue we must all hold all of the cardsquotp pa hrefhttpswwwscribdcomdocument533536067fwdamessageaboutthemediacoverageintherecentdaysfrom_embed titleview fwd a message about the media coverage in the recent days on scribdfwd a message about the media coverage in the recent daysa by a hrefhttpswwwscribdcompublisher247263517washingtonfreebeaconfrom_embed titleview washington free beacons profile on scribdwashington free beacona on scribdp piframe srchttpswwwscribdcomembeds533536067contentstart_page1view_modescrollaccess_keykeyiwpjytoaycywhm1qf7tl width100 dataautoheightfalse dataaspectratio07729220222793488 titlefwd a message about the media coverage in the recent days height600iframep pa hrefhttpswwwscribdcomdocument533536109fwdareflectiononthefederalistsocietyanddialoguefromthedredscottsocietyfrom_embed titleview fwd a reflection on the federalist society and dialogue from the dred scott society on scribdfwd a reflection on the federalist society and dialogue from the dred scott societya by a hrefhttpswwwscribdcompublisher247263517washingtonfreebeaconfrom_embed titleview washington free beacons profile on scribdwashington free beacona on scribdp piframe srchttpswwwscribdcomembeds533536109contentstart_page1view_modescrollaccess_keykeyfi5aslt2zp1qje77mlxr width100 dataautoheightfalse dataaspectratio07729220222793488 titlefwd a reflection on the federalist society and dialogue from the dred scott society height600iframep pa hrefhttpswwwscribdcomdocument533536125fwdfgpboardstatementoncriticaldialogueatylsfrom_embed titleview fwd fgp board statement on critical dialogue at yls on scribdfwd fgp board statement on critical dialogue at ylsa by a hrefhttpswwwscribdcompublisher247263517washingtonfreebeaconfrom_embed titleview washington free beacons profile on scribdwashington free beacona on scribdp piframe srchttpswwwscribdcomembeds533536125contentstart_page1view_modescrollaccess_keykeyatpns77dpbolme82jixb width100 dataautoheightfalse dataaspectratio07729220222793488 titlefwd fgp board statement on critical dialogue at yls height600iframep pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampusconvulsionsatyalelawschooladministratorsdodamagecontrolasfacultymembersslamschoolsdishonestyconvulsions at yale law school administrators do damage control as faculty members slam schools dishonestya appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

pimg width768 alt srchttpss4freebeaconcomup202009yale768x536jpg height536ppyale law school dean heather gerken monday promised investigation hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampusayalelawstudentsentalightheartedemailinvitingclassmatestohistraphousetheschoolisnowcallinghimtoaccountcontroversy surrounding trent colberta secondyear law student federalist society member sent lighthearted email inviting classmates quottrap housequotp pgerken vowed quotact basis partial facts reported charged media environmentquotthough dozens primarysource documents corroborating incident emergedand announced yale law school deputy dean ian ayres quotassess situationquot quothelp think best forwardquotp pit unclear administrators issue apology conduct lines drafted colbert foundation individual rights education relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthefireorgsincetheyloveprewrittenapologynotesyaleadministratorsshouldsignours target_blankproposedap pyale law school told emwashington free beaconem ayress investigation result action colbert quotas statement week clear protected speechquot said debra krozner law schools managing director public affairs quotit lead action studentquotp pgerkens announcement comes wake widespread outrage administrations aggressive handling incident tendentious response news reports including prominent yale law professors lambasted universitys official statementp pthat relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomdavidlatstatus1448373149335236623s11 target_blankearlier statementa released oct 13 wake emfree beaconem report process colbert subjected denied secondyear law student faced quotany disciplinary investigationquot action emailp pthe denial sparked fierce blowback yale law school professors lambasted dishonesty university professors corporate legal scholar roberta romano threatened quotcorrect recordquot law school administrations actions colbert romano wrote krozner quotin direct total conflict statedquot noting schools diversity director quota sly threatquot students careerp pquotplease correct recordquot added quoti want youquotp panother yale law professor asked remain anonymous said initial statement quotappallingly disingenuous falsehoodsquot yale law school quotstated student investigated sanctioned protected speechquot professor told theemfree beaconem quotits hard square statement dean student affairs summoning student questioning response allegations students diversity director ominously warning student doesnt apologize admission bar threatened law school sending message entire secondyear class condemning students email racist isnt investigation worsea pronouncement guilt investigationquotp pthe outrage bubbled elite universities keith whittington legal theorist princeton member academic freedom alliance said yale laws actions quothighly inappropriate completely incompatible maintaining free speech culture law schoolquotp pquotthere question actions send chilling message student body convey clearly law school hostile environment conservative studentsquot whittington told emfree beaconemp pthe imbroglio started colbert member native american students association federalist society invited classmates happy hour cohosted groups sept 15 email announced popeyes chicken served quottrap housequot slang term place people buy drugsp pthe message elicited discrimination complaints 12 hours according administrators prompted associate dean ellen cosgrove diversity director yaseen eldik summon colbert series meetings pressured apologize emailwith eldik going far imply colbert face trouble bar didnt apologize colbert didnt send written apology drafted administration cosgrove eldik emailed secondyear class initial message characterized quotpejorativequot quotracistquot adding administration condemned quotthe strongest possible termsquotp pthe student complaints emphasized colberts membership federalist society conservative legal group eldik said quotoppressive certain communitiesquot complaints intensified emfree beaconem hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampuslistentoyalelawschooladministratorstellastudenthisaffiliationwiththefederalistsocietyistriggeringforclassmatespublished audioa eldiks meeting colbert oct 17 oct 18 students sent law schoolwide emails denouncing colbert federalist society student group characterized quotviolentquotp pquotthe pooled legal knowledge membership [federalist society] decision harmed communitiesquot yales dred scott society wrote 2555word email oct 18quota testament extensiveness violencequotp pimg srchttpslh5googleusercontentcomynq5haa2wye45aseida9f8tvlq9mayoffbkg_qe78jmtgyopevzyulgvbq7ccgtubx0hdy_c2dg2bmweyawbr5mgsgha5sfekiexrjrxqaip57je9e4alw5nexscixukyvrfps1600 tabindex0 width602 height149p pcolberts actions society members continued quotare example way [federalist society] members attempt weaponize discourse people trying conversations community himquotconversations relnoopener hrefhttpsdavidlatsubstackcomptheyalelawschoolemailcontroversyjustpublishedtrue target_blankcolbert saysa initiated student complaints filedp pquottrents narrative victim cancel culture based membership [the federalist society] attempts diminish harm caused erase role actions played causing harm place quotp pthe president black law students association marina edwards likewise rejected idea colbert quotcancelledquotp pquotblack students attempt cancel trentquot wrote oct 17 email law school quotcalling behaves irresponsibly historically marginalized communities regardless identity act oppression act love compassion lives daily ripped apart trampled systems people oppressionquotp pedwards respond request commentp pif students attempting cancel colbert attempting remove position student representative response quotconcerns surrounding trent colberts conductquot law schools student government said oct 16 email drafted entirely new set procedures removing student representatives remains unclear student government use procedures colbertp panother student group generation professionals yale law school sent email oct 18 quotaffirmquot edwardss message quotcondemn racist email sent trent colbertquot group said quotrecognized[d]quot quotharmful impactsquot quothostile media coveragequot black students thanked eldik attempting quoteducate trent repair harm [yale law school] communityquotp pthe emails edwards dred scott society invoked concept quotdialoguequot pioneered paulo freire brazilian marxist praised mao zedongs cultural revolution quotthe genial solutionquot quotoppressivequot pedagogyp pquotcritical dialogue holding space positive growth changequot edwards wrote citing quotfreirian praxisquotp pbut dred scott society clarified quotto engage dialogue hold cardsquotp pa hrefhttpswwwscribdcomdocument533536067fwdamessageaboutthemediacoverageintherecentdaysfrom_embed titleview fwd message media coverage recent days scribdfwd message media coverage recent daysa hrefhttpswwwscribdcompublisher247263517washingtonfreebeaconfrom_embed titleview washington free beacons profile scribdwashington free beacona scribdp piframe srchttpswwwscribdcomembeds533536067contentstart_page1view_modescrollaccess_keykeyiwpjytoaycywhm1qf7tl width100 dataautoheightfalse dataaspectratio07729220222793488 titlefwd message media coverage recent days height600iframep pa hrefhttpswwwscribdcomdocument533536109fwdareflectiononthefederalistsocietyanddialoguefromthedredscottsocietyfrom_embed titleview fwd reflection federalist society dialogue dred scott society scribdfwd reflection federalist society dialogue dred scott societya hrefhttpswwwscribdcompublisher247263517washingtonfreebeaconfrom_embed titleview washington free beacons profile scribdwashington free beacona scribdp piframe srchttpswwwscribdcomembeds533536109contentstart_page1view_modescrollaccess_keykeyfi5aslt2zp1qje77mlxr width100 dataautoheightfalse dataaspectratio07729220222793488 titlefwd reflection federalist society dialogue dred scott society height600iframep pa hrefhttpswwwscribdcomdocument533536125fwdfgpboardstatementoncriticaldialogueatylsfrom_embed titleview fwd fgp board statement critical dialogue yls scribdfwd fgp board statement critical dialogue ylsa hrefhttpswwwscribdcompublisher247263517washingtonfreebeaconfrom_embed titleview washington free beacons profile scribdwashington free beacona scribdp piframe srchttpswwwscribdcomembeds533536125contentstart_page1view_modescrollaccess_keykeyatpns77dpbolme82jixb width100 dataautoheightfalse dataaspectratio07729220222793488 titlefwd fgp board statement critical dialogue yls height600iframep pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomcampusconvulsionsatyalelawschooladministratorsdodamagecontrolasfacultymembersslamschoolsdishonestyconvulsions yale law school administrators damage control faculty members slam schools dishonestya appeared relnofollow hrefhttpsfreebeaconcomwashington free beaconap

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Some of them are frauds

blockquote pthe panel also seemed intrigued by preliminary data suggesting that johnson amp johnson recipients may be better off with a booster shot from moderna or pfizer although no vote was taken dr peter marks who oversees the fdas vaccine division said regulatory action to allow boosters with a different vaccine was possiblep pwhile some experts emphasized that the data was based on small groups of volunteers and shortterm findings others urged the fda to move quickly with what has fast become known as a mixandmatch approach especially for recipients of johnson amp johnsons vaccine which is much less widely availablep pim sold already said dr mark sawyer an infectious disease specialist with the university of california san diego school of medicine we need flexibility and to improve access to everyonep pothers said they worried that the public would end up bewildered if the government kept broadening the categories of people eligible for boosters and which vaccine could be used for extra shotsp pi hope we can do this in a way that doesnt look like were changing rules all the time said dr stanley perlman a professor of immunology at the university of iowap phealth officials and committee members suggested on friday that the singleshot johnson amp johnson vaccine had long been less protective in a particularly biting critique dr amanda cohn a highranking cdc medical officer said a single dose of johnson amp johnsons vaccine offered less protection than two doses of the mrna vaccines made by pfizer or moderna a gap that would only grow if it remained a oneshot regimen while the other twoshot vaccines were followed by a boosterp pthe experts generally agreed that the protection conferred by a single dose was inadequate but at least some were unconvinced that the second dose would bolster that protection significantlypblockquote pthe smart people i know who started with jampj took this matter into their own hands some time ago typically opting for an mrna supplement  they are just people yet they had skin in the game and they are miles ahead of the fda and cdc as formal institutions  here is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmedrxivorgcontent1011012021101021264827v1fullpdf target_blanka research paper on the questiona  here is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthelancetcomjournalslanepearticlepiis2666776221002350fulltext target_blankanothera  and here is a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercompaulsaxmdstatus1449362042167590915 target_blanka paul sax tweet and opeda dont know anyone who disagrees with this and the data have been highly suggestive for months  and this is after the authorities insisted for months that all vaccines will be treated the samep pagain i will repeat the perennial question do our public health agencies wish to maximize their own status and control and feeling of having done everything properly as they were trained or do they wish to maximize the expected value of actual outcomes for the citizenry  if it is not the latter and too often it is not i say they are oppressive frauds  and please dont try to tell me this kind of craperoo is boosting their credibility in fact they have emlost massive credibilityem with americas public intellectual class both left wing and right wing and for that matter centristp pi really do not have much sympathy for kyrie irving and bradley beal and their ilk but in fact their views are more understandable than you might think from reading msm  their generalized mistrust is not so crazy even though they are quite wrong in this particular instance  by the way a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnprorg202110121045280314takingaspirintopreventheartattackmaycausemoreharmthangoodtaskforce target_blankdont take those aspirin any moreap phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211015healthjohnsonjohnsonvaccineboosterhtml target_blankthe full nyt articlea cringeworthy throughout and i thank a relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomjordanschnyc target_blankjordana for the pointerp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110someofthemarefraudshtmlsome of them are fraudsa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

blockquote pthe panel intrigued preliminary data suggesting johnson amp johnson recipients better booster shot moderna pfizer vote taken dr peter marks oversees fdas vaccine division said regulatory action allow boosters different vaccine possiblep pwhile experts emphasized data based small groups volunteers shortterm findings urged fda quickly fast known mixandmatch approach especially recipients johnson amp johnsons vaccine widely availablep pim sold said dr mark sawyer infectious disease specialist university california san diego school medicine need flexibility improve access everyonep pothers said worried public end bewildered government kept broadening categories people eligible boosters vaccine extra shotsp pi hope way doesnt look like changing rules time said dr stanley perlman professor immunology university iowap phealth officials committee members suggested friday singleshot johnson amp johnson vaccine long protective particularly biting critique dr amanda cohn highranking cdc medical officer said single dose johnson amp johnsons vaccine offered protection doses mrna vaccines pfizer moderna gap grow remained oneshot regimen twoshot vaccines followed boosterp pthe experts generally agreed protection conferred single dose inadequate unconvinced second dose bolster protection significantlypblockquote pthe smart people know started jampj took matter hands time ago typically opting mrna supplement people skin game miles ahead fda cdc formal institutions relnoopener hrefhttpswwwmedrxivorgcontent1011012021101021264827v1fullpdf target_blanka research paper questiona relnoopener hrefhttpswwwthelancetcomjournalslanepearticlepiis2666776221002350fulltext target_blankanothera relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercompaulsaxmdstatus1449362042167590915 target_blanka paul sax tweet opeda dont know disagrees data highly suggestive months authorities insisted months vaccines treated samep pagain repeat perennial question public health agencies wish maximize status control feeling having properly trained wish maximize expected value actual outcomes citizenry oppressive frauds dont try tell kind craperoo boosting credibility fact emlost massive credibilityem americas public intellectual class left wing right wing matter centristp pi sympathy kyrie irving bradley beal ilk fact views understandable think reading msm generalized mistrust crazy wrong particular instance way relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnprorg202110121045280314takingaspirintopreventheartattackmaycausemoreharmthangoodtaskforce target_blankdont aspirin moreap phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwnytimescom20211015healthjohnsonjohnsonvaccineboosterhtml target_blankthe nyt articlea cringeworthy thank relnoopener hrefhttpstwittercomjordanschnyc target_blankjordana pointerp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110someofthemarefraudshtmlsome fraudsa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

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A new look at wealth concentration in America

pstrongby james pethokoukisstrongp phow rich are the richest americans its a question one pretty relevant to modern american political debate that is the subject of the new nber working paper a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw29374 target_blanktop wealth in america new estimates and implications for taxing the richa by matthew smith owen m zidar and eric zwickp pbut before i dig into it though let me ask a different question what if there were an economic policy that would by itself sharply reduce wealth concentration without any downside to capital formation or entrepreneurial risktaking lets say policy x would lower the share of national wealth held by the top 01 percent to 15 percent from 20 percent i would guess that most inequality worriers with the possible exception of the all billionaires are a policy error folks would see such a policy as an unqualified success p pwell some good news then the research from smith zidar and zwick szz finds that the top 01 wealth share in 2016 is 15 under our approach much less than many other estimates such as the well known ones from thomas piketty emmanuel saez and gabriel zucman psz which put the figure at around 20 percent the szz team builds up on the work of others including psz while assembling data from a variety of new sources the new research also shows as a dramatic increase in wealth concentration in recent decades from 1989 to 2016 the top 1 01 and 001 wealth shares increased by 76 51 and 30 percentage points respectively to 315 150 and 70 p figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpslh5googleusercontentcomiz8m0ailntjgtrbir6f5jj19k6kppkx80rfjt9yjprnngtjttqnfcx9wp0ki0uuox7sxf8qecwwhny229gb6stqkc1_c5_aodhmogzifij_nzrlsc2frr6pjtbckxuyxhhnzdts0figure pto be sure i am not saying this is the final word on the issue creating these estimates is devilishly tricky and incorporates a host of assumptions other economists might challenge but for the moment lets assume the szz effort moves us closer to the reality of the us wealth concentration which by the way the economists still describe as highly concentrated what are the policy implications one concerns the revenueraising potential and administrative difficulty of wealth taxes from the paperp blockquote classwpblockquotepgiven prominent wealth tax proposals focus on the extreme tail of the wealth distribution our estimates would reduce mechanical wealth tax revenue estimates we find a larger role for illiquid wealth categories where valuations are more contentious which could imply higher administrative burdens for a wealth tax or proposals to tax unrealized capital gainspblockquote divpstronglearn more stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicssobigtechmassivelyinvestinginitselfisworrisomenowso big tech massively investing in itself is worrisome nowa a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicswhythenewforbes400listssayssomethinggoodaboutamericawhy the new forbes 400 list says something good about americaa a hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicstherealtaxgapistheonebetweenprogressivespendingdreamsandeconomicrealitythe real tax gap is the one between progressive spending dreams and economic realityapdiv pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsanewlookatwealthconcentrationinamericaa new look at wealth concentration in americaa appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

pstrongby james pethokoukisstrongp phow rich richest americans question pretty relevant modern american political debate subject new nber working paper relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwnberorgpapersw29374 target_blanktop wealth america new estimates implications taxing richa matthew smith owen m zidar eric zwickp pbut dig let ask different question economic policy sharply reduce wealth concentration downside capital formation entrepreneurial risktaking lets policy x lower share national wealth held 01 percent 15 percent 20 percent guess inequality worriers possible exception billionaires policy error folks policy unqualified successp pwell good news research smith zidar zwick szz finds 01 wealth share 2016 15 approach estimates known ones thomas piketty emmanuel saez gabriel zucman psz figure 20 percent szz team builds work including psz assembling data variety new sources new research shows dramatic increase wealth concentration recent decades 1989 2016 1 01 001 wealth shares increased 76 51 30 percentage points respectively 315 150 70p figure classwpblockimageimg alt srchttpslh5googleusercontentcomiz8m0ailntjgtrbir6f5jj19k6kppkx80rfjt9yjprnngtjttqnfcx9wp0ki0uuox7sxf8qecwwhny229gb6stqkc1_c5_aodhmogzifij_nzrlsc2frr6pjtbckxuyxhhnzdts0figure pto sure saying final word issue creating estimates devilishly tricky incorporates host assumptions economists challenge moment lets assume szz effort moves closer reality wealth concentration way economists describe highly concentrated policy implications concerns revenueraising potential administrative difficulty wealth taxes paperp blockquote classwpblockquotepgiven prominent wealth tax proposals focus extreme tail wealth distribution estimates reduce mechanical wealth tax revenue estimates find larger role illiquid wealth categories valuations contentious imply higher administrative burdens wealth tax proposals tax unrealized capital gainspblockquote divpstronglearn stronga hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicssobigtechmassivelyinvestinginitselfisworrisomenowso big tech massively investing worrisome nowa hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicswhythenewforbes400listssayssomethinggoodaboutamericawhy new forbes 400 list says good americaa hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicstherealtaxgapistheonebetweenprogressivespendingdreamsandeconomicrealitythe real tax gap progressive spending dreams economic realityapdiv pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgeconomicsanewlookatwealthconcentrationinamericaa new look wealth concentration americaa appeared relnofollow hrefhttpswwwaeiorgamerican enterprise institute aeiap

616e0e8de21762d0e28f144f

Helping Andrew Yang

img althelping andrew yang srchttpswwwamericanpurposecomcontentimages202110yang1jpegpevery so often a citizen emerges to challenge the political establishment ross perots 1992 presidential run drew on a public hunger for a new approach he received 20 percent of the vote in 2016 donald trump steamrolled traditional republican candidates and changed the partys face to his own andrew yang is more a firecracker than a depth charge but he has captured the public imagination with his refreshing candor and fearlessnessppunlike perot or trump yang came from nowhereno public reputation no big money no access to any part of the establishment yet by force of his personality yang now has a pedestal in the political landscape in his new book a hrefhttpsamznto3fsuiq8emforward notes on the future of our democracyema yang plants the flag of a new political party he argues that though americans are not as polarized as polls suggest neither existing party will address the legitimate needs of the other side he also says that the two parties are comfortable with their duopoly of failurefirst you fail then i failand therefore will not support disruptive electoral reforms like rankedchoice votingppyang is not the first to suggest that our two political parties no longer represent most americans frank distefano in his a hrefhttpswwwamericanpurposecomarticleshowtobuildanewpoliticalpartyrecent essaya in these pages argued that the parties are on a lockedin path to destruction and decline in my 2019 book a hrefhttpsamznto3p38f85emtry common senseema which yang cites i said that each partys outmoded ideology precludes the overhauls needed to respond to public frustrationppit is no surprise that a plurality of voters now identifies as independent or as a member of a third party but the electoral machinery makes it difficult for a wouldbe candidate to operate outside the two parties and the primary system promotes extremists not problem solversppyangs idea of a party is initially not one with its own candidates but a centrist movement that exercises influence on candidates from both parties as distefano elaborates it a movement that captures public imagination can eventually take over or supplant one of the parties the challenge is to galvanize public support for this type of new overhaul movement in a political environment like todays which breeds deadlock not solutions while many americans might be receptive to a new party the current political shouting match has left them exhausted and cynical there is a huge gulf today between wanting change and rolling up your sleeves to force changeppso what does it take to engender the excitement needed for a new movement yang proposes a sixpoint platform for his forward partypp1 rankedchoice voting with open primaries these arrangements would reduce the stranglehold of the two parties and defang the extremistspp2 factbased governing the idea here is to evaluate programs objectivelypp3 humancentered capitalism yang wants to recenter business around employees and communities not just ownerspp4 effective and modern government here yang embraces the need to fix the plumbing of paralyzed governmentpp5 universal basic income giving americans 1000 per month was yangs signature proposal in his presidential campaigna proposal that was validated he argues by the covid relief paymentspp6 grace and tolerance yang urges americans to be more accepting of each other not stay locked in a battle of identity politicsppby opening the door to a new party yang once again reveals solid leadership instincts but a new movement requires a tougher more focused platform a list of centrist dogood reforms is unlikely to elicit the public passion needed to dislodge the current parties yang himself is a bold and disarming figure his party must be as well a new party needs a clarion call that can galvanize popular supportas the progressive movement did for example with its vision of public oversight of food and fair practices or the new deal with its idea of social safety nets successful movements also energize public passion by fingering villains as the tea party and occupy wall street didphrpto get americans out of their easy chairs the new party must light a bonfire yet yangs platform is soporific with no inspirational theme or evil targets whats the vision who are the enemies here is the way i would reframe yangs proposed forward partyppemfirst the clarion call for a new way of governing responsibility for americaem americans have lost their sense of selfdetermination we should be reempowered to make a difference revive individual responsibility at all levels of society replace mindless bureaucracy with accountability for results teachers should be free to do their best with authority to maintain classroom discipline principals should be free to hold teachers accountable and the same should hold true all the way up the chain of responsibility officials must be free to authorize action within a reasonable timeframe and they too must be accountable up the chain of responsibility mayors and police chiefs should have authority to manage the police force and other departments including authority to promote public employees who do their jobs and fire those who dontpdiv span datapullquoteandrew yang is more a firecracker than a depth charge but he has captured the public imaginationspan divpreviving human responsibility requires overhauling governments operating systems replacing thick rule books with simpler goals and principles managed by people who take responsibility for themselves and are accountable to others this is not so hard it is far easier to agree on goals than to bicker over endless details of implementation modern american government has become basically a bad form of central planning tying americans into knots of red tape ask any teacher or doctor restoring responsibility would empower officials and citizens to govern better and adapt to local needsppemsecond identify enemies and attack themem powerful forces will resist a movement to revive responsibility i see two main villains public unions which exist to block all accountability and the political parties themselves which have become organs of identity politics and special interests it is impossible to fix broken government or revive a shared sense of national purpose without defeating these villainspppublic unions have made government unmanageable and must be outlawedem empublic unions have preempted democratic governance citizens elect leaders to run the police force and schools but these leaders have no authority to fulfill this responsibility the minneapolis mayor appointed the police chief but under the police unions collective bargaining agreement the mayorstrong stronglacked authority to fire the rogue cop who killed george floydor even to reassign the officer unlike private unions which are dependent on the success of a private enterprise public unions retain power even where they cause government to fail miserablyppdemocracy is supposed to be a process of giving officials responsibility and holding them accountable but public unions have broken the links today there is zero accountability in the daily operations of american government without accountability rote compliance with the thick rule books replaces individual responsibility for results the bottom line today is a government bogged down in a bureaucratic jungle of dictates and entitlements nothing much works sensibly or fairly because no one is empowered to make things workppas for political parties they compete through failure not achievement party leaders have basically given up on reforming government instead they take turns in power pointing to the failures of the incumbent in 2016 presidential candidate donald trump tapped into broad public frustrations with washington trumps erratic leadership opened a door through which joe biden entered offering sanity but bidens failures of execution in afghanistan and on the mexican border now empower republicans to go on the attack and prepare for their own returnppthis spiral of negative democratic competition is accelerated by the rise of extremism each side stokes fear of the extremists on the other defund the police stop the steal actually fixing government is no longer the way the parties competeppeach party will aggressively resist reforms that would revive responsibility public unions have a stranglehold on the democratic party identity groups on the left will resist any accommodation of other points of view or what andrew yang calls grace and tolerance republicans have become a party of nihilism and offer no discernible governing vision they will rail against any reform that empowers public officials opens elections to moderate candidates or imposes taxes for public projectsppthe existing political parties are the problem not the path to a solution the new party envisioned by yang must ultimately supplant one of them the new party must ask its supporters to defeat the defenders of the status quo they are not the agents but the enemies of a successful future generating public enthusiasm will require not a laundry basket of reforms but a spear with a sharp point no matter which party is in charge focus on its virtually unblemished recent record of failureppamerica needs a new party its vision must be condensed into a new governing principle that resonates with american values and represents a clean break from bureaucratic paralysisa principle like human responsibility which can guide an overhaul of all levels of governmentppthe current state of american politics has squeezed all energy and hope out of our democracy theres no oxygen to serve as fuel for anyone who wants to do what is needed yang has cracked open a door but we need a new vision to open it wide and attract a public enervated by decades of failureppa hrefhttpswwwamericanpurposecomauthorphilipkhowardstrongemphilip k howardemstrongaem is founder of common good and author most recently ofem try common sense replacing the failed ideologies of right and left em2019emppemimage collision conference from toronto canada cc by 20 via a hrefhttpscreativecommonsorglicensesby20wikimedia commonsaemp

img althelping andrew yang srchttpswwwamericanpurposecomcontentimages202110yang1jpegpevery citizen emerges challenge political establishment ross perots 1992 presidential run drew public hunger new approach received 20 percent vote 2016 donald trump steamrolled traditional republican candidates changed partys face andrew yang firecracker depth charge captured public imagination refreshing candor fearlessnessppunlike perot trump yang came nowhereno public reputation big money access establishment force personality yang pedestal political landscape new book hrefhttpsamznto3fsuiq8emforward notes future democracyema yang plants flag new political party argues americans polarized polls suggest existing party address legitimate needs says parties comfortable duopoly failurefirst fail failand support disruptive electoral reforms like rankedchoice votingppyang suggest political parties longer represent americans frank distefano hrefhttpswwwamericanpurposecomarticleshowtobuildanewpoliticalpartyrecent essaya pages argued parties lockedin path destruction decline 2019 book hrefhttpsamznto3p38f85emtry common senseema yang cites said partys outmoded ideology precludes overhauls needed respond public frustrationppit surprise plurality voters identifies independent member party electoral machinery makes difficult wouldbe candidate operate outside parties primary system promotes extremists problem solversppyangs idea party initially candidates centrist movement exercises influence candidates parties distefano elaborates movement captures public imagination eventually supplant parties challenge galvanize public support type new overhaul movement political environment like todays breeds deadlock solutions americans receptive new party current political shouting match left exhausted cynical huge gulf today wanting change rolling sleeves force changeppso engender excitement needed new movement yang proposes sixpoint platform forward partypp1 rankedchoice voting open primaries arrangements reduce stranglehold parties defang extremistspp2 factbased governing idea evaluate programs objectivelypp3 humancentered capitalism yang wants recenter business employees communities ownerspp4 effective modern government yang embraces need fix plumbing paralyzed governmentpp5 universal basic income giving americans 1000 month yangs signature proposal presidential campaigna proposal validated argues covid relief paymentspp6 grace tolerance yang urges americans accepting stay locked battle identity politicsppby opening door new party yang reveals solid leadership instincts new movement requires tougher focused platform list centrist dogood reforms unlikely elicit public passion needed dislodge current parties yang bold disarming figure party new party needs clarion galvanize popular supportas progressive movement example vision public oversight food fair practices new deal idea social safety nets successful movements energize public passion fingering villains tea party occupy wall street didphrpto americans easy chairs new party light bonfire yangs platform soporific inspirational theme evil targets whats vision enemies way reframe yangs proposed forward partyppemfirst clarion new way governing responsibility americaem americans lost sense selfdetermination reempowered difference revive individual responsibility levels society replace mindless bureaucracy accountability results teachers free best authority maintain classroom discipline principals free hold teachers accountable hold true way chain responsibility officials free authorize action reasonable timeframe accountable chain responsibility mayors police chiefs authority manage police force departments including authority promote public employees jobs fire dontpdiv span datapullquoteandrew yang firecracker depth charge captured public imaginationspan divpreviving human responsibility requires overhauling governments operating systems replacing thick rule books simpler goals principles managed people responsibility accountable hard far easier agree goals bicker endless details implementation modern american government basically bad form central planning tying americans knots red tape ask teacher doctor restoring responsibility empower officials citizens govern better adapt local needsppemsecond identify enemies attack themem powerful forces resist movement revive responsibility main villains public unions exist block accountability political parties organs identity politics special interests impossible fix broken government revive shared sense national purpose defeating villainspppublic unions government unmanageable outlawedem empublic unions preempted democratic governance citizens elect leaders run police force schools leaders authority fulfill responsibility minneapolis mayor appointed police chief police unions collective bargaining agreement mayorstrong stronglacked authority fire rogue cop killed george floydor reassign officer unlike private unions dependent success private enterprise public unions retain power cause government fail miserablyppdemocracy supposed process giving officials responsibility holding accountable public unions broken links today zero accountability daily operations american government accountability rote compliance thick rule books replaces individual responsibility results line today government bogged bureaucratic jungle dictates entitlements works sensibly fairly empowered things workppas political parties compete failure achievement party leaders basically given reforming government instead turns power pointing failures incumbent 2016 presidential candidate donald trump tapped broad public frustrations washington trumps erratic leadership opened door joe biden entered offering sanity bidens failures execution afghanistan mexican border empower republicans attack prepare returnppthis spiral negative democratic competition accelerated rise extremism stokes fear extremists defund police stop steal actually fixing government longer way parties competeppeach party aggressively resist reforms revive responsibility public unions stranglehold democratic party identity groups left resist accommodation points view andrew yang calls grace tolerance republicans party nihilism offer discernible governing vision rail reform empowers public officials opens elections moderate candidates imposes taxes public projectsppthe existing political parties problem path solution new party envisioned yang ultimately supplant new party ask supporters defeat defenders status quo agents enemies successful future generating public enthusiasm require laundry basket reforms spear sharp point matter party charge focus virtually unblemished recent record failureppamerica needs new party vision condensed new governing principle resonates american values represents clean break bureaucratic paralysisa principle like human responsibility guide overhaul levels governmentppthe current state american politics squeezed energy hope democracy theres oxygen serve fuel wants needed yang cracked open door need new vision open wide attract public enervated decades failureppa hrefhttpswwwamericanpurposecomauthorphilipkhowardstrongemphilip k howardemstrongaem founder common good author recently ofem try common sense replacing failed ideologies right left em2019emppemimage collision conference toronto canada cc 20 hrefhttpscreativecommonsorglicensesby20wikimedia commonsaemp

616e0ebfe21762d0e28f1455

Brexit isn’t done – and Boris Johnson can’t answer the Irish Question

pas the deluge subsides and the waters fall short winston churchill wearily a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsapiparliamentukhistorichansardcommons1922feb16irishfreestateagreementbill target_blankcomplaineda after the first world war we see the dreary steeples of fermanagh and tyrone emerging once againp pour modern day churchill wannabe hes even started a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancompolitics2021oct13portraitoftheartistcriticscastdoubtonborisjohnsonholidaysnap target_blankpainting on holidaya must feel much the same boris johnson has no interest in northern ireland he can win no votes there there is scant evidence of him ever having visited the province before he achieved high office he a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvvz6z2lelyo target_blankonce compareda its border with the republic of ireland to londons congestion charge zone a statement of astounding ignorance matched only by karen bradleys a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwpoliticshomecomnewsukukregionsnorthernirelandnews98027karenbradleyididnotknowpeoplenorthernireland target_blankadmissiona as northern ireland secretary that she had not realised nationalists dont vote for unionist parties and vice versa p pbut however much the prime minister squirms lies rats and welches he cannot escape its grasp no amount of cakeism can solve the insoluble conundrum that his hard brexit requires a border between the uk and the irish republic and that it cannot be on the island of ireland because that would seriously undermine the good friday agreement try as he might he simply cannot get northern ireland and brexit donep pback in 2018 johnson rejected theresa mays solution a backstop that would have kept the entire uk aligned to the rules of the eus single market and customs union until an alternative could be found indeed the thenforeign secretary seized the chance to resign over the issue boosting his chances of succeeding the hapless may as tory party leader by arguing that britain was heading for the status of a colonyp phe then proceeded to promise northern irelands unionists solemnly repeatedly and unequivocally that there would be a border in the irish sea over my dead body that no british government could or should sign up to a brexit deal that rendered the province an economic colony of the eu and that its trade with the rest of the uk would remain unfettered with no forms no checks no barriers of any kind any customs forms should be put in the bin he added for good measurep pfast forward to late 2019 johnson has succeeded may as prime minister he is struggling to get any form of brexit approved in parliament and he has lost his majority so what does he do he meets leo varadkar the irish taoiseach at a country house in merseyside and agrees a border in the irish sea though for public consumption he continues to insist theres no question of there being checks on goods going nigb or gbnip pthat blatant betrayal of the democratic unionist party dup whose parliamentary support had kept him and may in power allowed johnson to call and win a december general election by claiming to have secured a brilliant and ovenready withdrawal deal that would enable him to get brexit done but a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexit202110howdominiccummingshasgiventheeutheperfectexcuseforbrexitragewe now know from dominic cummingsa johnsons chief adviser at that time that the prime ministers camp had no intention of honouring the northern ireland protocolp pin a series of tweets last week cummings said he had always intended to get johnson to ditch the bits we didnt like he added a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpstwittercomdominic2306status1448217287513751554 target_blankof course there wasnt good faith cheating foreigners is a core part of the jobap pcummings offered the charitable explanation that johnson simply did not understand what he had agreed to a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsmobiletwittercomdominic2306status1448059195807440902 target_blankhe never had a scoobydoo what the deal he signed meantain 120 he was babbling id never have signed it if id understood it but on emnewsnightem the dups ian paisley jr said johnson had a relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsuknorthernireland58910220 target_blankassured hima that after agreeing to the protocol he would sign up to changing that protocol and indeed tearing it up that this was just for the semanticsp peither way the protocols baleful consequences swiftly became apparent after the uk left the eu at the start of this year a huge range of imports from britain to northern ireland suddenly faced a daunting array of checks duties and bureaucratic barriers that the eu proceeded zealously to enforcep pa hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompolitics202104northernirelandriotshaveexposedborisjohnsonsrecklessloyalists rioteda unionists demanded the government abandon a protocol that was not only causing empty supermarket shelves but cast northern ireland adrift constitutionally from the rest of the uk johnson his sidekick david frost and the tory press began to complain preposterously that the prime minister had signed the protocol under duress and demanded a radical renegotiation of a deal they had agreed and trumpeted scarcely one year earlier p plast week the eu a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexitisntdone202110eubrexitconcessionsonthenorthernirelandprotocolcomeatacostoffered to enda the socalled sausage wars by lifting as much as 80 per cent of the border checks but the previous day frost had issued another demand that a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomcomment202110theukspositiononthenorthernirelandprotocolisabsurdandrecklessflew in the face of what he had previously agreeda and that he must know brussels will never accept he demanded the removal of the european court of justice ecj as the ultimate arbiter of the protocolp phow this tawdry saga will end is anyones guess the least bad outcome is that johnson will eventually pocket the eus concessions and claim victory but frosts ecj demand suggests our cynical prime minister sees greater electoral mileage in continuing to battle all those scheming anglophobic eurocrats ganging up on poor old britain p pshould he choose that route and unilaterally suspend the protocol by invoking article 16 a country already suffering acute shortages of fuel and labour could soon find itself in a fullblown unwinnable trade war with a bloc of 27 member states and 447 million people to which it presently sells 40 per cent of all its exportsp pwhatever the outcome this much can already be said for sure johnson has trashed the uks reputation as a trustworthy lawabiding nation he has poisoned its relations with the eu at a time when it is manifestly in britains interests to improve them he has betrayed northern irelands unionist community though the brexitsupporting torybacking dup has contributed mightily to its own demise and made it even more probable that sinn fin will emerge as the biggest party if the dup has not collapsed the stormont assembly before next mays elections p phe has jeopardised northern irelands fragile peace and made irish reunification much more likely he has strained relations with president biden and the democratic leaders of the us congress who are dismayed by his cavalier attitude towards the delicate good friday agreementp pno previous prime minister would have acted in such a shameful and destructive manner least of all churchill for all his frustration with that troubled and troublesome province across the irish seap pemstrong[see also a hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtheexplainer202110whatisthenorthernirelandprotocolandwhydoesitmatterwhat is the northern ireland protocol and why does it mattera]strongemp

pas deluge subsides waters fall short winston churchill wearily relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsapiparliamentukhistorichansardcommons1922feb16irishfreestateagreementbill target_blankcomplaineda world war dreary steeples fermanagh tyrone emerging againp pour modern day churchill wannabe hes started relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwtheguardiancompolitics2021oct13portraitoftheartistcriticscastdoubtonborisjohnsonholidaysnap target_blankpainting holidaya feel boris johnson interest northern irelandhe win votes scant evidence having visited province achieved high office relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwyoutubecomwatchvvz6z2lelyo target_blankonce compareda border republic ireland londons congestion charge zone statement astounding ignorance matched karen bradleys relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwpoliticshomecomnewsukukregionsnorthernirelandnews98027karenbradleyididnotknowpeoplenorthernireland target_blankadmissiona northern ireland secretary realised nationalists dont vote unionist parties vice versap pbut prime minister squirms lies rats welches escape grasp cakeism solve insoluble conundrum hard brexit requires border uk irish republic island ireland seriously undermine good friday agreement try simply northern ireland brexit donep pback 2018 johnson rejected theresa mays solution backstop kept entire uk aligned rules eus single market customs union alternative found thenforeign secretary seized chance resign issue boosting chances succeeding hapless tory party leader arguing britain heading status colonyp phe proceeded promise northern irelands unionists solemnly repeatedly unequivocally border irish sea dead body british government sign brexit deal rendered province economic colony eu trade rest uk remain unfettered forms checks barriers kind customs forms bin added good measurep pfast forward late 2019 johnson succeeded prime minister struggling form brexit approved parliament lost majority meets leo varadkar irish taoiseach country house merseyside agrees border irish sea public consumption continues insist theres question checks goods going nigb gbnip pthat blatant betrayal democratic unionist party dup parliamentary support kept power allowed johnson win december general election claiming secured brilliant ovenready withdrawal deal enable brexit hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexit202110howdominiccummingshasgiventheeutheperfectexcuseforbrexitragewe know dominic cummingsa johnsons chief adviser time prime ministers camp intention honouring northern ireland protocolp pin series tweets week cummings said intended johnson ditch bits didnt like added relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpstwittercomdominic2306status1448217287513751554 target_blankof course wasnt good faith cheating foreigners core jobap pcummings offered charitable explanation johnson simply understand agreed relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpsmobiletwittercomdominic2306status1448059195807440902 target_blankhe scoobydoo deal signed meantain 120 babbling id signed id understood emnewsnightem dups ian paisley jr said johnson relnoreferrer noopener hrefhttpswwwbbccomnewsuknorthernireland58910220 target_blankassured hima agreeing protocol sign changing protocol tearing semanticsp peither way protocols baleful consequences swiftly apparent uk left eu start year huge range imports britain northern ireland suddenly faced daunting array checks duties bureaucratic barriers eu proceeded zealously enforcep pa hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompolitics202104northernirelandriotshaveexposedborisjohnsonsrecklessloyalists rioteda unionists demanded government abandon protocol causing supermarket shelves cast northern ireland adrift constitutionally rest uk johnson sidekick david frost tory press began complain preposterously prime minister signed protocol duress demanded radical renegotiation deal agreed trumpeted scarcely year earlierp plast week eu hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancompoliticsbrexitisntdone202110eubrexitconcessionsonthenorthernirelandprotocolcomeatacostoffered enda socalled sausage wars lifting 80 cent border checks previous day frost issued demand hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomcomment202110theukspositiononthenorthernirelandprotocolisabsurdandrecklessflew face previously agreeda know brussels accept demanded removal european court justice ecj ultimate arbiter protocolp phow tawdry saga end anyones guess bad outcome johnson eventually pocket eus concessions claim victory frosts ecj demand suggests cynical prime minister sees greater electoral mileage continuing battle scheming anglophobic eurocrats ganging poor old britainp pshould choose route unilaterally suspend protocol invoking article 16 country suffering acute shortages fuel labour soon find fullblown unwinnable trade war bloc 27 member states 447 million people presently sells 40 cent exportsp pwhatever outcome said sure johnson trashed uks reputation trustworthy lawabiding nation poisoned relations eu time manifestly britains interests improve betrayed northern irelands unionist community brexitsupporting torybacking dup contributed mightily demise probable sinn fin emerge biggest party dup collapsed stormont assembly mays electionsp phe jeopardised northern irelands fragile peace irish reunification likely strained relations president biden democratic leaders congress dismayed cavalier attitude delicate good friday agreementp pno previous prime minister acted shameful destructive manner churchill frustration troubled troublesome province irish seap pemstrong[see hrefhttpswwwnewstatesmancomtheexplainer202110whatisthenorthernirelandprotocolandwhydoesitmatterwhat northern ireland protocol mattera]strongemp

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Podcast #169: Harvard Professor Steven Pinker on Rational Thinking, the Monty Hall Problem, and the Case for Objective Truth

iframe width500 srchttpswebplayerwhooshkaacomplayerepisodeid917569themelightenablevolumetrueiframeheight190 height200iframeimg altpodcast 169 harvard professor steven pinker on rational thinking the monty hall problem and the case for objective truth srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110pinker2pngpema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomenlightenmentnowsciencehumanismprogressdp0525427570enlightenment nowaem author steven pinker speaks with emquilletteem podcast host jonathan kay about his newly published book ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomrationalitywhatseemsscarcemattersdp0525561994refpd_bxgy_img_113290465858785748pd_rd_wlxrq7pf_rd_pc64372fac41c422e990d9e034f73989bpf_rd_r3pxyy8n8wcqn54zzh6mapd_rd_rcb1705800c62414ebb402156c8454e38pd_rd_wgjmnvupd_rd_i0525561994psc1rationality what it is why it seems scarce why it mattersaemp

iframe width500 srchttpswebplayerwhooshkaacomplayerepisodeid917569themelightenablevolumetrueiframeheight190 height200iframeimg altpodcast 169 harvard professor steven pinker rational thinking monty hall problem case objective truth srchttpss3amazonawscomprodstaticcontentquillettecom202110pinker2pngpema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomenlightenmentnowsciencehumanismprogressdp0525427570enlightenment nowaem author steven pinker speaks emquilletteem podcast host jonathan kay newly published book ema hrefhttpswwwamazoncomrationalitywhatseemsscarcemattersdp0525561994refpd_bxgy_img_113290465858785748pd_rd_wlxrq7pf_rd_pc64372fac41c422e990d9e034f73989bpf_rd_r3pxyy8n8wcqn54zzh6mapd_rd_rcb1705800c62414ebb402156c8454e38pd_rd_wgjmnvupd_rd_i0525561994psc1rationality scarce mattersaemp

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Jack Yeats, the greatest Irish artist

pi am going to pick jack butler yeats 18711957 sligo as irelands greatest artist and yes he was the brother of william butler yeats and son of the artist john butler yeats notable in his own rightp pfor background here are my earlier posts on a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202109whoarethebestirishartistspartionwilliamorpenhtml target_blankwilliam orpena a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202109whoarethebestirishartistspartiionjohnlaveryhtml target_blankjohn laverya a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whoarethebestirishartistspartiiimainiejelletthtml target_blankmainie jelletta and a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whoarethegreatestirishartistspartvharryclarkehtml target_blankharry clarkea  here are a relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whoarethebestirishartistspartivothernameshtml target_blanka few contendersa whom i ruled out from the getgop pa relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikijack_butler_yeats target_blankwikipediaa offers the following useful description of jack yeatsp blockquotephis favourite subjects included the irish landscape horses circus and travelling players his early paintings and drawings are distinguished by an energetic simplicity of line and colour his later paintings by an extremely vigorous and experimental treatment of often thickly applied paint he frequently abandoned the brush altogether applying paint in a variety of different ways and was deeply interested in the expressive power of colour despite his position as the most important irish artist of the 20th century and the first to sell for over 1m he took no pupils and allowed no one to watch him work so he remains a unique figurepblockquote pi dont think there are images i could show to convince you that yeats should stand above the other contenders  his signature expressionist works are thick with threedimensional texture and a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgooglecomsearchqjackyeatssourcelnmstbmischsaxved2ahukewi9tp3p3c_zahwopniehal7d_oq_auoaxoecaeqawbiw1280bih567dpr15imgrcothks4dfgddybm target_blankthey look like crap onlinea  i am fortunate to have seen a large exhibit of them lately in dublin  when i first saw some many years ago i thought they were a splotchy mess a kind of secondrate gaelic kokoscha but they hold up and improve remarkably well with time  everything is where it ought to bep phere is a more normal picture by yeatsp pa relattachment wpatt82181 hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomattachment_id82181img sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeatsngi941ngijpg alt width1024 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeatsngi941ngijpg 1024w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeatsngi941ngi300x197jpg 300w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeatsngi941ngi768x506jpg 768w classwpimage82181 height674ap phis scenes are more animated more impudent more multifaceted and fresher than those of any other irish painter  it is easy to imagine him still inspiring painters today irish or otherwise and i dont think the same is quite true for the other names surveyed  there is something whole greater than the sum of the parts that makes yeats a clear easy and i think mostly consensus choice for irelands greatest artist  and he certainly was irish enough to countp phere is a relnoopener hrefhttpswwwchristiescomfeaturesthelyricalartofjackbutleryeats117561aspx target_blanka good christies short essaya mixed in with six highquality images of works recently up for sale  oh and here is one of the expressionist horse paintings after allp pa relattachment wpatt82183 hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomattachment_id82183img sizesmaxwidth 1536px 100vw 1536px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeats2jpeg alt width1536 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeats2jpeg 1536w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeats2300x221jpeg 300w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeats21024x753jpeg 1024w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeats2768x565jpeg 768w classwpimage82183 height1130athe best places to see yeats works are in dublin and sligo but london and even the walters in baltimore have some  catch the dublin exhibit while you canp pthe post a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110jackyeatsthegreatestirishhtmljack yeats the greatest irish artista appeared first on a relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap

pi going pick jack butler yeats 18711957 sligo irelands greatest artist yes brother william butler yeats son artist john butler yeats notable rightp pfor background earlier posts relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202109whoarethebestirishartistspartionwilliamorpenhtml target_blankwilliam orpena relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202109whoarethebestirishartistspartiionjohnlaveryhtml target_blankjohn laverya relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whoarethebestirishartistspartiiimainiejelletthtml target_blankmainie jelletta relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whoarethegreatestirishartistspartvharryclarkehtml target_blankharry clarkea relnoopener hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110whoarethebestirishartistspartivothernameshtml target_blanka contendersa ruled getgop pa relnoopener hrefhttpsenwikipediaorgwikijack_butler_yeats target_blankwikipediaa offers following useful description jack yeatsp blockquotephis favourite subjects included irish landscape horses circus travelling players early paintings drawings distinguished energetic simplicity line colour later paintings extremely vigorous experimental treatment thickly applied paint frequently abandoned brush altogether applying paint variety different ways deeply interested expressive power colour despite position important irish artist 20th century sell 1m took pupils allowed watch work remains unique figurepblockquote pi dont think images convince yeats stand contenders signature expressionist works thick threedimensional texture relnoopener hrefhttpswwwgooglecomsearchqjackyeatssourcelnmstbmischsaxved2ahukewi9tp3p3c_zahwopniehal7d_oq_auoaxoecaeqawbiw1280bih567dpr15imgrcothks4dfgddybm target_blankthey look like crap onlinea fortunate seen large exhibit lately dublin saw years ago thought splotchy mess kind secondrate gaelic kokoscha hold improve remarkably time ought bep phere normal picture yeatsp pa relattachment wpatt82181 hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomattachment_id82181img sizesmaxwidth 1024px 100vw 1024px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeatsngi941ngijpg alt width1024 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeatsngi941ngijpg 1024w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeatsngi941ngi300x197jpg 300w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeatsngi941ngi768x506jpg 768w classwpimage82181 height674ap phis scenes animated impudent multifaceted fresher irish painter easy imagine inspiring painters today irish dont think true names surveyed greater sum parts makes yeats clear easy think consensus choice irelands greatest artist certainly irish countp phere relnoopener hrefhttpswwwchristiescomfeaturesthelyricalartofjackbutleryeats117561aspx target_blanka good christies short essaya mixed highquality images works recently sale oh expressionist horse paintings allp pa relattachment wpatt82183 hrefhttpsmarginalrevolutioncomattachment_id82183img sizesmaxwidth 1536px 100vw 1536px srchttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeats2jpeg alt width1536 srcsethttpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeats2jpeg 1536w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeats2300x221jpeg 300w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeats21024x753jpeg 1024w httpmarginalrevolutioncomwpcontentuploads202110zyeats2768x565jpeg 768w classwpimage82183 height1130athe best places yeats works dublin sligo london walters baltimore catch dublin exhibit canp pthe post relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginalrevolution202110jackyeatsthegreatestirishhtmljack yeats greatest irish artista appeared relnofollow hrefhttpmarginalrevolutioncommarginal revolutionap