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[
"The",
"House",
"Public",
"Works",
"and",
"Transportation",
"Committee",
"approved",
"a",
"bill",
"that",
"would",
"give",
"the",
"Transportation",
"Department",
"power",
"to",
"block",
"airline",
"leveraged",
"buy-outs",
",",
"despite",
"a",
"clear",
"veto",
"threat",
"from",
"the",
"Bush",
"administration",
".",
"The",
"23-5",
"vote",
"clears",
"the",
"way",
"for",
"consideration",
"on",
"the",
"House",
"floor",
"next",
"week",
"or",
"the",
"week",
"after",
".",
"Transportation",
"Secretary",
"Samuel",
"Skinner",
",",
"in",
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"letter",
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",",
"warned",
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"urge",
"President",
"Bush",
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"veto",
"the",
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"if",
"it",
"passed",
"Congress",
".",
"The",
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"Commerce",
"Committee",
"already",
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"similar",
"legislation",
".",
"On",
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",",
"a",
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"'s",
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",",
"Elaine",
"Chao",
",",
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"``",
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".",
"''",
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"had",
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".",
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"some",
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",",
"especially",
"senior",
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"the",
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"Department",
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".",
"``",
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"this",
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"we",
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"help",
"Skinner",
",",
"''",
"one",
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"said",
",",
"``",
"and",
"now",
"we",
"'re",
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"there",
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"the",
"wind",
".",
"''",
"A",
"few",
"weeks",
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",",
"Mr.",
"Skinner",
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"that",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"``",
"cleaner",
",",
"more",
"efficient",
"''",
"if",
"he",
"had",
"authority",
"to",
"block",
"buy-outs",
"in",
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".",
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"he",
"never",
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"an",
"official",
"position",
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"the",
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"and",
"has",
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"already",
"has",
"enough",
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"buy-outs",
".",
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"the",
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"bill",
",",
"the",
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"secretary",
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"have",
"30",
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",",
"and",
"an",
"additional",
"20",
"days",
"if",
"needed",
",",
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"any",
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"of",
"15",
"%",
"or",
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"a",
"major",
"U.S.",
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"'s",
"voting",
"stock",
".",
"The",
"secretary",
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"required",
"to",
"block",
"an",
"acquisition",
"if",
"he",
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",",
"or",
"if",
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"control",
"to",
"a",
"foreign",
"interest",
".",
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"legislation",
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"any",
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"a",
"major",
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",",
"it",
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"transactions",
"financed",
"by",
"large",
"amounts",
"of",
"debt",
".",
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"bill",
"are",
"concerned",
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"airline",
"might",
"sacrifice",
"costly",
"safety",
"measures",
"in",
"order",
"to",
"repay",
"debt",
".",
"The",
"panel",
"'s",
"action",
"occurs",
"in",
"a",
"politically",
"charged",
"atmosphere",
"surrounding",
"recent",
"buy-out",
"proposals",
",",
"their",
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"the",
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".",
"``",
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"of",
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"sort",
",",
"''",
"Rep.",
"James",
"Oberstar",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Minn.",
")",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"the",
"House",
"Aviation",
"Subcommittee",
",",
"said",
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"the",
"panel",
"'s",
"deliberations",
".",
"``",
"I",
"do",
"n't",
"believe",
"in",
"the",
"airline",
"business",
"you",
"can",
"be",
"totally",
"laissez-faire",
"because",
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"the",
"high",
"degree",
"of",
"public",
"interest",
"''",
"at",
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".",
"But",
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",",
"calling",
"the",
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"``",
"a",
"retreat",
"from",
"the",
"policy",
"of",
"deregulaton",
"of",
"the",
"airline",
"industry",
".",
"''",
"In",
"his",
"letter",
"to",
"Committee",
"Chairman",
"Glenn",
"Anderson",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Calif.",
")",
",",
"the",
"secretary",
"also",
"said",
"the",
"bill",
"``",
"would",
"be",
"at",
"odds",
"with",
"the",
"administration",
"'s",
"policies",
"welcoming",
"open",
"foreign",
"investment",
"and",
"market",
"allocation",
"of",
"resources",
".",
"''",
"Currently",
",",
"the",
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"Department",
"does",
"n't",
"have",
"the",
"authority",
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"block",
"a",
"takeover",
"in",
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".",
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",",
"if",
"the",
"secretary",
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"a",
"carrier",
"unfit",
"to",
"operate",
",",
"the",
"department",
"may",
"revoke",
"its",
"certificate",
",",
"grounding",
"the",
"airline",
".",
"Such",
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"is",
"more",
"than",
"adequate",
",",
"say",
"opponents",
"of",
"the",
"legislation",
".",
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"is",
"so",
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"the",
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".",
"The",
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",",
"the",
"parent",
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"American",
"Airlines",
",",
"to",
"allow",
"the",
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"secretary",
"to",
"block",
"corporate",
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"proxy",
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"that",
"oppose",
"a",
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".",
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[
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".",
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"17",
",",
"after",
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"adjusters",
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",",
"four",
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"in",
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".",
"But",
"as",
"Judge",
"Thomas",
"M.",
"Jenkins",
"donned",
"his",
"robes",
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"approval",
",",
"the",
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",",
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"his",
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"City",
",",
"Calif",
".",
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";",
"the",
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".",
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"a",
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",",
"it",
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"like",
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"--",
"not",
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"--",
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",",
"`",
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",",
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",",
"'",
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",",
"`",
"NOW",
"?",
"'",
"I",
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"shaking",
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"whole",
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".",
"''",
"A",
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"water",
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"floor",
",",
"soaking",
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"red",
"carpeting",
".",
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";",
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"dropped",
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",",
"the",
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"still",
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"an",
"evacuation",
"alarm",
"blared",
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".",
"The",
"four",
"lawyers",
"climbed",
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"table",
".",
"``",
"Let",
"'s",
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",",
"''",
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".",
"At",
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"was",
"an",
"$",
"80,000",
"settlement",
"involving",
"who",
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"pay",
"what",
"share",
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"cleanup",
"costs",
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"the",
"site",
"of",
"a",
"former",
"gas",
"station",
",",
"where",
"underground",
"fuel",
"tanks",
"had",
"leaked",
"and",
"contaminated",
"the",
"soil",
".",
"And",
"the",
"lawyers",
"were",
"just",
"as",
"eager",
"as",
"the",
"judge",
"to",
"wrap",
"it",
"up",
".",
"``",
"We",
"were",
"never",
"going",
"to",
"get",
"these",
"insurance",
"companies",
"to",
"agree",
"again",
",",
"''",
"says",
"John",
"V.",
"Trump",
",",
"a",
"San",
"Francisco",
"defense",
"lawyer",
"in",
"the",
"case",
".",
"Indeed",
",",
"the",
"insurance",
"adjusters",
"had",
"already",
"bolted",
"out",
"of",
"the",
"courtroom",
".",
"The",
"lawyers",
"went",
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"work",
"anyway",
",",
"duly",
"noting",
"that",
"the",
"proceeding",
"was",
"taking",
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"during",
"a",
"major",
"earthquake",
".",
"Ten",
"minutes",
"later",
",",
"it",
"was",
"done",
".",
"For",
"the",
"record",
",",
"Jeffrey",
"Kaufman",
",",
"an",
"attorney",
"for",
"Fireman",
"'s",
"Fund",
",",
"said",
"he",
"was",
"``",
"rattled",
"--",
"both",
"literally",
"and",
"figuratively",
".",
"''",
"``",
"My",
"belief",
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",",
"if",
"you",
"'ve",
"got",
"a",
"settlement",
",",
"you",
"read",
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"the",
"record",
".",
"''",
"says",
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",",
"now",
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"courthouse",
"as",
"``",
"Shake",
"'Em",
"Down",
"Jenkins",
".",
"''",
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"adjusters",
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".",
"``",
"I",
"did",
"n't",
"know",
"if",
"it",
"was",
"World",
"War",
"III",
"or",
"what",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Melanie",
"Carvain",
"of",
"Morristown",
",",
"N.J",
".",
"``",
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"the",
"settlement",
"into",
"the",
"record",
"was",
"the",
"last",
"thing",
"on",
"my",
"mind",
"."
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[
"FARMERS",
"REAP",
"abundant",
"crops",
".",
"But",
"how",
"much",
"will",
"shoppers",
"benefit",
"?",
"The",
"harvest",
"arrives",
"in",
"plenty",
"after",
"last",
"year",
"'s",
"drought-ravaged",
"effort",
":",
"The",
"government",
"estimates",
"corn",
"output",
"at",
"7.45",
"billion",
"bushels",
",",
"up",
"51",
"%",
"from",
"last",
"fall",
".",
"Soybean",
"production",
"swells",
"24",
"%",
".",
"As",
"a",
"result",
",",
"prices",
"paid",
"to",
"farmers",
"for",
"the",
"commodities",
",",
"which",
"are",
"used",
"in",
"products",
"as",
"diverse",
"as",
"bubble",
"gum",
"and",
"chicken",
"feed",
",",
"plummet",
"20",
"%",
"to",
"33",
"%",
".",
"But",
"do",
"n't",
"expect",
"too",
"much",
"in",
"the",
"way",
"of",
"price",
"breaks",
"soon",
"at",
"the",
"supermarket",
".",
"Economists",
"expect",
"consumer",
"food",
"prices",
"to",
"jump",
"5.5",
"%",
"this",
"year",
"to",
"the",
"highest",
"level",
"since",
"1980",
"and",
"up",
"from",
"last",
"year",
"'s",
"4.1",
"%",
"rise",
".",
"Next",
"year",
"may",
"see",
"a",
"drop",
"of",
"one",
"percentage",
"point",
".",
"Beef",
"prices",
",",
"hovering",
"near",
"records",
"since",
"the",
"drought",
",",
"could",
"drop",
"in",
"earnest",
"this",
"winter",
"if",
"ranchers",
"expand",
"herds",
".",
"Lower",
"feed",
"prices",
"may",
"help",
"animals",
"eat",
"more",
"cheaply",
",",
"but",
"humans",
"have",
"to",
"factor",
"in",
"an",
"expensive",
"middleman",
":",
"the",
"processor",
".",
"Food",
"companies",
"probably",
"wo",
"n't",
"cut",
"their",
"prices",
"much",
",",
"blaming",
"other",
"costs",
".",
"``",
"Labor",
"takes",
"the",
"biggest",
"single",
"chunk",
"out",
"of",
"the",
"`",
"food",
"dollar",
",",
"'",
"''",
"says",
"Frank",
"Pankyo",
"of",
"the",
"Food",
"Institute",
".",
"Stokely",
"says",
"stores",
"revive",
"specials",
"like",
"three",
"cans",
"of",
"peas",
"for",
"99",
"cents",
".",
"Two",
"cans",
"cost",
"89",
"cents",
"during",
"the",
"drought",
".",
"IF",
"IN",
"VITRO",
"fertilization",
"works",
",",
"it",
"usually",
"does",
"so",
"after",
"only",
"a",
"few",
"tries",
".",
"Costly",
"infertility",
"problems",
"and",
"procedures",
"proliferate",
"as",
"aging",
"baby",
"boomers",
"and",
"others",
"decide",
"to",
"have",
"children",
"--",
"now",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"estimated",
"that",
"one",
"in",
"six",
"couples",
"experiences",
"infertility",
",",
"and",
"in",
"1987",
",",
"Americans",
"spent",
"about",
"$",
"1",
"billion",
"to",
"fight",
"the",
"problem",
".",
"Only",
"about",
"five",
"states",
"now",
"offer",
"some",
"form",
"of",
"insurance",
"coverage",
",",
"but",
"more",
"are",
"expected",
".",
"A",
"letter",
"in",
"the",
"New",
"England",
"Journal",
"of",
"Medicine",
"notes",
"that",
"while",
"technology",
"offers",
"``",
"almost",
"endless",
"hope",
"...",
"when",
"to",
"stop",
"has",
"become",
"a",
"difficult",
"question",
"...",
".",
"''",
"The",
"authors",
",",
"from",
"Boston",
"'s",
"Beth",
"Israel",
"Hospital",
",",
"say",
"that",
"84",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"50",
"births",
"they",
"followed",
"occurred",
"after",
"only",
"two",
"in",
"vitro",
"cycles",
".",
"It",
"adds",
"that",
"births",
"were",
"``",
"extremely",
"unlikely",
"''",
"after",
"the",
"fourth",
"cycle",
"and",
"concludes",
"couples",
"who",
"do",
"n't",
"achieve",
"a",
"pregnancy",
"after",
"four",
"to",
"six",
"procedures",
"should",
"be",
"advised",
"that",
"success",
"is",
"unlikely",
".",
"Some",
"couples",
"continue",
"to",
"try",
".",
"``",
"Such",
"determination",
"may",
"translate",
"into",
"extreme",
"physical",
",",
"emotional",
"and",
"financial",
"costs",
",",
"''",
"the",
"letter",
"warns",
".",
"MARKET",
"MOVES",
",",
"these",
"managers",
"do",
"n't",
".",
"Only",
"three",
"of",
"the",
"25",
"corporate",
"pension",
"fund",
"managers",
"attending",
"a",
"Lowry",
"Consulting",
"Group",
"client",
"conference",
"say",
"they",
"plan",
"to",
"change",
"the",
"asset",
"allocation",
"mix",
"in",
"their",
"portfolios",
"because",
"of",
"the",
"market",
"drop",
".",
"WORLD",
"ODDITIES",
"come",
"alive",
"in",
"a",
"multimedia",
"version",
"of",
"the",
"Guinness",
"Book",
"of",
"Records",
".",
"The",
"$",
"99",
"CD-ROM",
"disk",
"(",
"it",
"can",
"only",
"be",
"played",
"on",
"an",
"Apple",
"Macintosh",
"computer",
"at",
"the",
"moment",
")",
"combines",
"animation",
",",
"music",
"and",
"sound",
".",
"Among",
"the",
"Guinness",
"disk",
"'s",
"wonders",
":",
"the",
"world",
"'s",
"loudest",
"recorded",
"belch",
".",
"ARTY",
"FAX",
"from",
"David",
"Hockney",
"begins",
"a",
"tongue-in-cheek",
"exhibit",
"today",
"at",
"New",
"York",
"'s",
"Andre",
"Emmerich",
"Gallery",
".",
"One",
"of",
"the",
"artist",
"'s",
"earliest",
"Fax",
"works",
"was",
"``",
"Little",
"Stanley",
"Sleeping",
",",
"''",
"a",
"portrait",
"of",
"his",
"dog",
".",
"PACS",
"GIVE",
"and",
"receive",
"in",
"a",
"debatable",
"duet",
"with",
"employees",
"'",
"favored",
"charities",
".",
"The",
"Federal",
"Election",
"Commission",
"clears",
"corporate",
"plans",
"to",
"donate",
"to",
"an",
"employee",
"'s",
"chosen",
"charity",
"in",
"exchange",
"for",
"the",
"worker",
"'s",
"gift",
"to",
"the",
"company",
"political",
"action",
"committee",
".",
"Latest",
"approvals",
":",
"Bell",
"Atlantic",
"'s",
"New",
"Jersey",
"Bell",
"and",
"General",
"Dynamics",
".",
"Companies",
"get",
"more",
"political",
"clout",
"plus",
"a",
"possible",
"tax-deductible",
"charitable",
"donation",
"--",
"so",
"far",
"no",
"word",
"from",
"the",
"IRS",
"on",
"deductibility",
".",
"Detroit",
"Edison",
",",
"the",
"plan",
"pioneer",
",",
"generated",
"$",
"54,000",
"in",
"matching",
"funds",
"this",
"year",
",",
"up",
"from",
"$",
"39,000",
"in",
"1988",
".",
"But",
"the",
"utility",
"may",
"not",
"continue",
"next",
"year",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"on",
"a",
"tight",
"budget",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Detroit",
"Edison",
"'s",
"Carol",
"Roskind",
".",
"Two",
"election",
"commission",
"members",
"opposed",
"the",
"matching",
"plans",
".",
"Scott",
"E.",
"Thomas",
"says",
"the",
"plans",
"give",
"employees",
"``",
"a",
"bonus",
"in",
"the",
"form",
"of",
"charitable",
"donations",
"made",
"from",
"an",
"employer",
"'s",
"treasury",
"''",
"in",
"exchange",
"for",
"the",
"political",
"donation",
".",
"``",
"The",
"U.S.",
"government",
"could",
"be",
",",
"in",
"effect",
",",
"subsidizing",
"political",
"contributions",
"to",
"corporate",
"PACs",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"New",
"Jersey",
"Bell",
"awaits",
"state",
"clearance",
".",
"Despite",
"federal",
"approval",
",",
"General",
"Dynamics",
"says",
"it",
"decided",
"it",
"wo",
"n't",
"go",
"ahead",
"with",
"the",
"matching",
"program",
".",
"CHRISTMAS",
"SHOPPERS",
"find",
"a",
"helping",
"hand",
"from",
"some",
"catalog",
"companies",
".",
"Blunt",
"Ellis",
"&",
"Loewi",
"estimates",
"direct",
"mail",
"catalog",
"sales",
"rose",
"to",
"$",
"12",
"billion",
"last",
"year",
".",
"And",
"while",
"it",
"'s",
"too",
"soon",
"to",
"tell",
"how",
"sales",
"will",
"fare",
"in",
"the",
"important",
"1989",
"Christmas",
"season",
",",
"some",
"companies",
"take",
"steps",
"to",
"ease",
"the",
"usual",
"11th-hour",
"crush",
".",
"Spiegel",
"promises",
"a",
"``",
"Guaranteed",
"Christmas",
",",
"''",
"with",
"a",
"pledge",
"to",
"deliver",
"goods",
"before",
"Christmas",
"if",
"ordered",
"by",
"Dec.",
"20",
".",
"And",
",",
"for",
"an",
"extra",
"$",
"6",
",",
"Land",
"'s",
"End",
"will",
"deliver",
"orders",
"within",
"two",
"days",
";",
"customers",
"can",
"designate",
"the",
"day",
".",
"Spiegel",
",",
"which",
"also",
"owns",
"Eddie",
"Bauer",
"and",
"Honeybee",
",",
"says",
"that",
"since",
"1987",
",",
"sales",
"have",
"doubled",
"during",
"the",
"week",
"before",
"Christmas",
".",
"An",
"L.L.",
"Bean",
"spokeswoman",
"notes",
":",
"``",
"People",
"are",
"just",
"used",
"to",
"living",
"in",
"a",
"last-minute",
"society",
".",
"''",
"Blunt",
"Ellis",
",",
"a",
"Milwaukee",
"brokerage",
"firm",
",",
"says",
"part",
"of",
"the",
"reason",
"catalog",
"sales",
"grow",
"in",
"popularity",
"is",
"because",
"consumers",
"have",
"more",
"money",
"but",
"less",
"time",
"to",
"spend",
"it",
".",
"L.L.",
"Bean",
"hires",
"about",
"2,700",
"workers",
"for",
"the",
"season",
"rush",
",",
"about",
"300",
"more",
"than",
"last",
"year",
";",
"Land",
"'s",
"End",
"hires",
"2,000",
".",
"BRIEFS",
":",
"Guarana",
"Antarctica",
",",
"a",
"Brazilian",
"soft",
"drink",
",",
"is",
"brought",
"to",
"the",
"U.S.",
"by",
"Amcap",
",",
"Chevy",
"Chase",
",",
"Md",
".",
"New",
"Product",
"News",
"says",
"the",
"beverage",
"``",
"looks",
"like",
"ginger",
"ale",
",",
"tastes",
"a",
"little",
"like",
"cherries",
"and",
"smells",
"like",
"bubble",
"gum",
".",
"''",
"...",
"``",
"Amenities",
"''",
"planned",
"for",
"Chicago",
"'s",
"new",
"Parkshore",
"Tower",
"apartments",
"include",
"an",
"on-site",
"investment",
"counselor",
"."
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",",
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"receive",
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"and",
"warrants",
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".",
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"it",
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"committees",
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"28",
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"March",
"16",
",",
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"750",
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".",
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"its",
"expenses",
"and",
"obligations",
"since",
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"16",
",",
"a",
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"47",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
"include",
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".",
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",",
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"110",
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",",
"initially",
"will",
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"$",
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"10",
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".",
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"receive",
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"entitling",
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"to",
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"as",
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"as",
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"of",
"the",
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"on",
"a",
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"basis",
".",
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"unsecured",
"creditors",
"of",
"the",
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"holding",
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"initially",
"will",
"receive",
"$",
"14",
"million",
"in",
"cash",
",",
"$",
"22",
"million",
"face",
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"senior",
"notes",
"and",
"49",
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".",
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"$",
"350",
"million",
"respectively",
".",
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"guarantee",
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".",
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".",
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"claims",
",",
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"with",
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",",
"administrative",
"claims",
",",
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"administrative",
"convenience",
"claims",
",",
"are",
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"about",
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"16",
"million",
".",
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"is",
"subject",
"to",
"approval",
"by",
"the",
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"court",
"and",
"others",
".",
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"spokesman",
"said",
"Maxicare",
"hopes",
"to",
"complete",
"the",
"reorganization",
"by",
"early",
"1990",
"."
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[
"Common",
"Cause",
"asked",
"both",
"the",
"Senate",
"Ethics",
"Committee",
"and",
"the",
"Justice",
"Department",
"to",
"investigate",
"$",
"1",
"million",
"in",
"political",
"gifts",
"by",
"Arizona",
"businessman",
"Charles",
"Keating",
"to",
"five",
"U.S.",
"senators",
"who",
"interceded",
"with",
"thrift-industry",
"regulators",
"for",
"him",
".",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"is",
"currently",
"the",
"subject",
"of",
"a",
"$",
"1.1",
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"federal",
"anti-racketeering",
"lawsuit",
"accusing",
"him",
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"bleeding",
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"assets",
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"a",
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"he",
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",",
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"Savings",
"&",
"Loan",
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",",
"and",
"driving",
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"insolvency",
".",
"Fred",
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"--",
"president",
"of",
"Common",
"Cause",
",",
"the",
"self-styled",
"citizens",
"lobby",
"--",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"already",
"has",
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"attempting",
"to",
"buy",
"influence",
"with",
"the",
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"--",
"Democratic",
"Sens.",
"Dennis",
"DeConcini",
"of",
"Arizona",
",",
"Alan",
"Cranston",
"of",
"California",
",",
"John",
"Glenn",
"of",
"Ohio",
"and",
"Donald",
"Riegle",
"of",
"Michigan",
";",
"and",
"GOP",
"Sen.",
"John",
"McCain",
"of",
"Arizona",
".",
"Mr.",
"Wertheimer",
"based",
"this",
"on",
"a",
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"that",
"was",
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":",
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"support",
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"way",
"influenced",
"several",
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"figures",
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"take",
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".",
"I",
"want",
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"say",
"in",
"the",
"most",
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"way",
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"I",
"certainly",
"hope",
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"a",
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"unusual",
"meeting",
"in",
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"office",
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"1987",
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",",
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"'",
"federally",
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"was",
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"a",
"ticking",
"time",
"bomb",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
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"had",
"complained",
"that",
"the",
"regulators",
"were",
"being",
"too",
"zealous",
".",
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"notes",
"show",
"that",
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"called",
"the",
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"Home",
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"Bank",
"Board",
"'s",
"regulations",
"``",
"grossly",
"unfair",
",",
"''",
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"that",
"Sen.",
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"insisted",
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"'s",
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"was",
"``",
"viable",
"and",
"profitable",
".",
"''",
"For",
"the",
"next",
"two",
"years",
",",
"the",
"Bank",
"Board",
",",
"which",
"at",
"the",
"time",
"was",
"the",
"agency",
"responsible",
"for",
"regulating",
"thrifts",
",",
"failed",
"to",
"act",
"--",
"even",
"after",
"federal",
"auditors",
"warned",
"in",
"May",
"1987",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"had",
"caused",
"Lincoln",
"to",
"become",
"insolvent",
".",
"Lincoln",
"'s",
"parent",
"company",
",",
"American",
"Continental",
"Corp.",
",",
"entered",
"bankruptcy-law",
"proceedings",
"this",
"April",
"13",
",",
"and",
"regulators",
"seized",
"the",
"thrift",
"the",
"next",
"day",
".",
"The",
"newly",
"formed",
"Resolution",
"Trust",
"Corp.",
",",
"successor",
"to",
"the",
"Bank",
"Board",
",",
"filed",
"suit",
"against",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"and",
"several",
"others",
"on",
"Sept.",
"15",
".",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"has",
"filed",
"his",
"own",
"suit",
",",
"alleging",
"that",
"his",
"property",
"was",
"taken",
"illegally",
".",
"The",
"cost",
"to",
"taxpayers",
"of",
"Lincoln",
"'s",
"collapse",
"has",
"been",
"estimated",
"at",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"$",
"2.5",
"billion",
".",
"Details",
"of",
"the",
"affair",
"have",
"become",
"public",
"gradually",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"two",
"years",
",",
"mostly",
"as",
"a",
"result",
"of",
"reporting",
"by",
"several",
"newspapers",
".",
"In",
"the",
"midst",
"of",
"his",
"1988",
"re-election",
"campaign",
",",
"Sen.",
"Riegle",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"the",
"Senate",
"Banking",
"Committee",
",",
"returned",
"$",
"76,000",
"in",
"contributions",
"after",
"a",
"Detroit",
"newspaper",
"said",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"had",
"gathered",
"the",
"money",
"for",
"him",
"about",
"two",
"weeks",
"before",
"the",
"meeting",
"with",
"regulators",
".",
"Sen.",
"DeConcini",
",",
"after",
"months",
"of",
"fending",
"off",
"intense",
"press",
"criticism",
",",
"returned",
"$",
"48,000",
"only",
"last",
"month",
",",
"shortly",
"after",
"the",
"government",
"formally",
"accused",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"of",
"defrauding",
"Lincoln",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"Sen.",
"McCain",
"last",
"week",
"disclosed",
"that",
"he",
"belatedly",
"had",
"paid",
"$",
"13,433",
"to",
"American",
"Continental",
"as",
"reimbursement",
"for",
"trips",
"he",
"and",
"his",
"family",
"took",
"aboard",
"the",
"corporate",
"jet",
"to",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"'s",
"vacation",
"home",
"at",
"Cat",
"Cay",
",",
"the",
"Bahamas",
",",
"from",
"1984",
"through",
"1986",
".",
"Sen.",
"McCain",
"said",
"he",
"had",
"meant",
"to",
"pay",
"for",
"the",
"trips",
"at",
"the",
"time",
"but",
"that",
"the",
"matter",
"``",
"fell",
"between",
"the",
"cracks",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
",",
"his",
"family",
"members",
"and",
"associates",
"also",
"donated",
"$",
"112,000",
"to",
"Sen.",
"McCain",
"'s",
"congressional",
"campaigns",
"over",
"the",
"years",
",",
"according",
"to",
"press",
"accounts",
".",
"But",
"Sen.",
"McCain",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"broke",
"off",
"their",
"friendship",
"abruptly",
"in",
"1987",
",",
"because",
"the",
"senator",
"refused",
"to",
"press",
"the",
"thrift",
"executive",
"'s",
"case",
"as",
"vigorously",
"as",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"wanted",
".",
"``",
"He",
"became",
"very",
"angry",
"at",
"that",
",",
"left",
"my",
"office",
"and",
"told",
"a",
"number",
"of",
"people",
"that",
"I",
"was",
"a",
"wimp",
",",
"''",
"Sen.",
"McCain",
"recalls",
".",
"In",
"July",
",",
"California",
"newspapers",
"disclosed",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"gave",
"$",
"850,000",
"in",
"corporate",
"funds",
"to",
"three",
"tax-exempt",
"voter",
"registration",
"organizations",
"in",
"1987",
"and",
"1988",
"at",
"the",
"behest",
"of",
"Sen.",
"Cranston",
",",
"who",
"conceded",
"that",
"soliciting",
"the",
"money",
"was",
"``",
"a",
"pretty",
"stupid",
"thing",
"to",
"do",
"politically",
".",
"''",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"Sen.",
"Cranston",
"received",
"$",
"47,000",
"in",
"campaign",
"donations",
"through",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
",",
"and",
"the",
"California",
"Democratic",
"party",
"received",
"$",
"85,000",
"in",
"corporate",
"donations",
"for",
"a",
"1986",
"get-out-the-vote",
"drive",
"that",
"benefited",
"the",
"senator",
"'s",
"re-election",
"campaign",
"that",
"year",
".",
"Also",
"in",
"July",
",",
"Ohio",
"newspapers",
"disclosed",
"$",
"200,000",
"in",
"corporate",
"donations",
"by",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"to",
"the",
"National",
"Council",
"on",
"Public",
"Policy",
",",
"a",
"political",
"committee",
"controlled",
"by",
"Sen.",
"Glenn",
".",
"That",
"was",
"in",
"addition",
"to",
"$",
"34,000",
"in",
"direct",
"campaign",
"donations",
"arranged",
"by",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
"to",
"the",
"Ohio",
"senator",
".",
"Mr.",
"Wertheimer",
"said",
"the",
"Senate",
"Ethics",
"Committee",
"should",
"hire",
"a",
"special",
"outside",
"counsel",
"to",
"conduct",
"an",
"investigation",
",",
"as",
"was",
"done",
"in",
"the",
"case",
"of",
"former",
"House",
"Speaker",
"James",
"Wright",
".",
"Wilson",
"Abney",
",",
"staff",
"director",
"of",
"the",
"ethics",
"panel",
",",
"would",
"n't",
"comment",
".",
"Sen.",
"Riegle",
"said",
"he",
"would",
"cooperate",
"with",
"any",
"inquiry",
",",
"but",
"that",
"his",
"conduct",
"had",
"been",
"``",
"entirely",
"proper",
".",
"''",
"Sen.",
"McCain",
"said",
"he",
"had",
"been",
"``",
"deeply",
"concerned",
"''",
"at",
"the",
"time",
"of",
"the",
"meeting",
"that",
"it",
"might",
"seem",
"to",
"be",
"improper",
",",
"but",
"decided",
"it",
"was",
"``",
"entirely",
"appropriate",
"''",
"for",
"him",
"to",
"seek",
"fair",
"treatment",
"for",
"a",
"constituent",
".",
"Sen.",
"Glenn",
"said",
"he",
"had",
"already",
"made",
"a",
"complete",
"disclosure",
"of",
"his",
"role",
"in",
"the",
"affair",
"and",
"``",
"I",
"am",
"completely",
"satisfied",
"to",
"let",
"this",
"matter",
"rest",
"in",
"the",
"hands",
"of",
"the",
"Senate",
"Ethics",
"Committee",
".",
"''",
"Sen.",
"DeConcini",
"said",
",",
"``",
"When",
"all",
"is",
"said",
"and",
"done",
",",
"I",
"expect",
"to",
"be",
"fully",
"exonerated",
".",
"''",
"Sen.",
"Cranston",
",",
"who",
"had",
"already",
"volunteered",
"his",
"help",
"to",
"the",
"Federal",
"Bureau",
"of",
"Investigation",
"in",
"any",
"investigation",
"of",
"Mr.",
"Keating",
",",
"portrayed",
"his",
"role",
"in",
"1987",
"as",
"prodding",
"regulators",
"to",
"act",
".",
"``",
"Why",
"did",
"n't",
"the",
"Bank",
"Board",
"act",
"sooner",
"?",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"``",
"That",
"is",
"what",
"Common",
"Cause",
"should",
"ask",
"be",
"investigated",
"."
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[
"Hospital",
"Regulation",
"Sparks",
"Kentucky",
"Feud",
"WHICH",
"IS",
"the",
"best",
"medicine",
"for",
"runaway",
"health",
"costs",
":",
"competition",
"or",
"regulation",
"?",
"The",
"question",
"is",
"at",
"the",
"root",
"of",
"a",
"brawl",
"between",
"Humana",
"Inc.",
",",
"the",
"big",
"for-profit",
"hospital",
"and",
"insurance",
"company",
",",
"and",
"its",
"not-for-profit",
"brethren",
"in",
"its",
"home",
"state",
"of",
"Kentucky",
".",
"The",
"battle",
"focuses",
"on",
"the",
"state",
"'s",
"certificate-of-need",
"law",
",",
"which",
"regulates",
"investment",
"in",
"new",
"medical",
"technology",
".",
"The",
"law",
"has",
"prevented",
"$",
"216",
"million",
"of",
"unnecessary",
"expenditures",
"since",
"1986",
",",
"according",
"to",
"William",
"S.",
"Conn",
",",
"president",
"of",
"the",
"Kentucky",
"Hospital",
"Association",
".",
"But",
"according",
"to",
"David",
"Jones",
",",
"Humana",
"'s",
"chief",
"executive",
",",
"it",
"promotes",
"technology",
"monopolies",
",",
"stifles",
"innovation",
"and",
"raises",
"prices",
".",
"If",
"the",
"Legislature",
"does",
"n't",
"repeal",
"the",
"law",
",",
"due",
"for",
"revision",
"in",
"1990",
",",
"Mr.",
"Jones",
"says",
"Humana",
"may",
"move",
"its",
"insurance",
"operations",
",",
"including",
"3,000",
"jobs",
"in",
"Louisville",
",",
"to",
"another",
"state",
".",
"The",
"company",
"complains",
"that",
"it",
"paid",
"$",
"10",
"million",
"to",
"non-Humana",
"hospitals",
"in",
"its",
"latest",
"fiscal",
"year",
"for",
"services",
"provided",
"to",
"its",
"insurance",
"plan",
"members",
".",
"But",
"Humana",
"says",
"its",
"own",
"facilities",
"could",
"serve",
"its",
"insured",
"for",
"less",
"if",
"they",
"were",
"properly",
"equipped",
".",
"Mr.",
"Conn",
"charges",
"that",
"Humana",
"'s",
"own",
"actions",
"undermine",
"its",
"argument",
".",
"When",
"a",
"hospital",
"in",
"Lexington",
"installed",
"a",
"lithotripter",
"last",
"year",
",",
"demand",
"for",
"a",
"similar",
"kidney-stone",
"smashing",
"machine",
"at",
"a",
"Humana",
"hospital",
"in",
"Louisville",
"fell",
"34",
"%",
".",
"The",
"Humana",
"hospital",
"responded",
"by",
"jacking",
"up",
"prices",
"to",
"make",
"up",
"for",
"lost",
"revenue",
",",
"Mr.",
"Conn",
"says",
",",
"and",
"now",
"charges",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"$",
"8,000",
"for",
"the",
"procedure",
",",
"which",
"costs",
"only",
"about",
"$",
"3,500",
"in",
"Lexington",
".",
"Humana",
"contends",
"that",
"$",
"8,000",
"represents",
"an",
"extreme",
"case",
"and",
"that",
"its",
"regular",
"charge",
"for",
"lithotripsy",
"is",
"$",
"4,900",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"another",
"hospital",
"'s",
"proposal",
"for",
"a",
"new-generation",
"lithotripter",
"is",
"pending",
"before",
"the",
"board",
"that",
"administers",
"the",
"certificate-of-need",
"law",
".",
"Humana",
",",
"which",
"wants",
"to",
"acquire",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"new",
"machines",
"itself",
",",
"is",
"on",
"the",
"record",
"as",
"opposed",
"to",
"the",
"proposal",
".",
"Debt-Burdened",
"Doctors",
"Seek",
"Financial",
"Security",
"HEALTH-CARE",
"experts",
"have",
"long",
"worried",
"that",
"young",
"doctors",
"emerging",
"from",
"medical",
"school",
"with",
"a",
"mountain",
"of",
"debt",
"will",
"choose",
"careers",
"in",
"high-paying",
"specialties",
"instead",
"of",
"primary",
"care",
",",
"where",
"more",
"physicians",
"are",
"needed",
"most",
".",
"Now",
"there",
"'s",
"a",
"new",
"wrinkle",
"in",
"what",
"young",
"doctors",
"want",
":",
"More",
"than",
"half",
"of",
"300",
"residents",
"responding",
"to",
"recent",
"survey",
"said",
"they",
"'d",
"prefer",
"a",
"guaranteed",
"salary",
"over",
"traditional",
"fee-for-service",
"compensation",
"in",
"their",
"first",
"professional",
"position",
".",
"And",
"81",
"%",
"preferred",
"a",
"group",
"practice",
"or",
"health",
"maintenance",
"organization",
",",
"while",
"just",
"11",
"%",
"favored",
"solo",
"practice",
".",
"``",
"Ten",
"years",
"ago",
",",
"a",
"physician",
"would",
"go",
"to",
"a",
"town",
"and",
"take",
"out",
"a",
"loan",
"(",
"to",
"start",
"a",
"practice",
")",
",",
"''",
"says",
"James",
"Merritt",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Merritt",
",",
"Hawkins",
"&",
"Associates",
",",
"an",
"Irvine",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"physician",
"recruiter",
"that",
"conducted",
"the",
"survey",
".",
"``",
"They",
"wo",
"n't",
"do",
"that",
"very",
"often",
"today",
"at",
"all",
".",
"They",
"'re",
"looking",
"for",
"something",
"that",
"'s",
"very",
"safe",
".",
"''",
"The",
"numbers",
"behind",
"such",
"fears",
":",
"The",
"average",
"debt",
"of",
"medical",
"school",
"graduates",
"who",
"borrowed",
"to",
"pay",
"for",
"their",
"education",
"jumped",
"10",
"%",
"to",
"$",
"42,374",
"this",
"year",
"from",
"$",
"38,489",
"in",
"1988",
",",
"says",
"the",
"Association",
"of",
"American",
"Medical",
"Colleges",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"115",
"%",
"more",
"than",
"in",
"1981",
".",
"Money",
"is",
"n't",
"the",
"only",
"reason",
"for",
"the",
"shift",
"in",
"practice",
"preferences",
".",
"It",
"reflects",
"values",
"of",
"a",
"generation",
"that",
"wants",
"more",
"time",
"for",
"families",
"and",
"personal",
"interests",
",",
"says",
"John",
"H.",
"Moxley",
"III",
",",
"who",
"directs",
"physician-executive",
"searches",
"for",
"Korn/Ferry",
"International",
".",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"a",
"change",
"in",
"the",
"social",
"fabric",
"of",
"medicine",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"Related",
"Roommates",
"Trim",
"Hospital",
"Bills",
"WHEN",
"Catherine",
"Bobar",
"spent",
"several",
"weeks",
"at",
"the",
"Medical",
"Center",
"of",
"Vermont",
"recently",
"with",
"a",
"bone",
"infection",
"in",
"her",
"toe",
",",
"she",
"shared",
"a",
"room",
"just",
"like",
"most",
"patients",
".",
"But",
"unlike",
"most",
"patients",
",",
"her",
"roommate",
"was",
"her",
"husband",
".",
"``",
"It",
"was",
"certainly",
"good",
"to",
"have",
"him",
"handy",
",",
"''",
"Mrs.",
"Bobar",
"says",
".",
"The",
"12-bed",
"``",
"cooperative",
"care",
"''",
"unit",
"is",
"one",
"of",
"about",
"18",
"nationwide",
"where",
"a",
"family",
"member",
"or",
"friend",
"helps",
"care",
"for",
"a",
"patient",
"in",
"the",
"hospital",
".",
"``",
"The",
"philosophy",
"is",
"to",
"make",
"the",
"patient",
"and",
"the",
"family",
"very",
"responsible",
"for",
"a",
"portion",
"of",
"their",
"own",
"care",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Anthony",
"J.",
"Grieco",
",",
"medical",
"director",
"of",
"cooperative",
"care",
"at",
"New",
"York",
"University",
"Medical",
"Center",
",",
"where",
"the",
"concept",
"began",
"10",
"years",
"ago",
".",
"``",
"It",
"helps",
"us",
",",
"and",
"them",
",",
"while",
"they",
"'re",
"here",
",",
"and",
"it",
"certainly",
"makes",
"them",
"a",
"better",
"health-care",
"team",
"when",
"they",
"get",
"home",
".",
"''",
"It",
"also",
"saves",
"money",
".",
"Because",
"patients",
"require",
"less",
"attention",
"from",
"nurses",
"and",
"other",
"staff",
",",
"room",
"charges",
"are",
"lower",
"--",
"about",
"$",
"100",
"less",
"per",
"day",
"than",
"a",
"regular",
"room",
"at",
"the",
"Vermont",
"hospital",
".",
"Cancer",
"patients",
"needing",
"prolonged",
"radiation",
"therapy",
",",
"diabetics",
"learning",
"to",
"manage",
"their",
"blood",
"sugar",
"levels",
",",
"and",
"cardiac",
"bypass",
"patients",
"are",
"among",
"those",
"who",
"spend",
"time",
"on",
"cooperative-care",
"units",
".",
"The",
"approach",
"has",
"generated",
"so",
"much",
"interest",
"that",
"NYU",
"is",
"host",
"to",
"the",
"first",
"conference",
"on",
"cooperative",
"care",
"Nov.",
"30",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"really",
"part",
"of",
"the",
"hospital",
"of",
"the",
"21st",
"century",
",",
"''",
"Dr.",
"Grieco",
"says",
".",
"Odds",
"and",
"Ends",
"THE",
"CHIEF",
"NURSING",
"officer",
"can",
"be",
"responsible",
"for",
"more",
"than",
"1,000",
"employees",
"and",
"at",
"least",
"one-third",
"of",
"a",
"hospital",
"'s",
"budget",
";",
"a",
"head",
"nurse",
"typically",
"oversees",
"up",
"to",
"80",
"employees",
"and",
"$",
"8",
"million",
".",
"So",
"says",
"the",
"Commonwealth",
"Fund",
",",
"a",
"New",
"York",
"philanthropist",
"that",
"'s",
"sponsoring",
"a",
"$",
"1",
"million",
"project",
"to",
"develop",
"joint",
"masters",
"in",
"business",
"and",
"nursing",
"programs",
"at",
"10",
"universities",
"...",
".",
"Meharry",
"Medical",
"College",
"in",
"Nashville",
",",
"Tenn.",
",",
"launches",
"a",
"new",
"research",
"publication",
"in",
"the",
"spring",
":",
"the",
"Journal",
"on",
"Health",
"Care",
"for",
"the",
"Poor",
"and",
"Underserved",
"."
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[
"Lung-cancer",
"mortality",
"rates",
"for",
"people",
"under",
"45",
"years",
"of",
"age",
"have",
"begun",
"to",
"decline",
",",
"federal",
"researchers",
"report",
".",
"The",
"drop",
"is",
"particularly",
"large",
"for",
"white",
"males",
",",
"although",
"black",
"males",
"and",
"white",
"and",
"black",
"women",
"also",
"show",
"lower",
"mortality",
"rates",
".",
"A",
"report",
"in",
"this",
"week",
"'s",
"issue",
"of",
"the",
"Journal",
"of",
"the",
"National",
"Cancer",
"Institute",
"also",
"projects",
"that",
"overall",
"U.S.",
"mortality",
"rates",
"from",
"lung",
"cancer",
",",
"the",
"leading",
"cause",
"of",
"cancer",
"death",
",",
"should",
"begin",
"to",
"drop",
"in",
"several",
"years",
"if",
"cigarette",
"smoking",
"continues",
"to",
"abate",
".",
"The",
"report",
",",
"which",
"comes",
"25",
"years",
"after",
"the",
"U.S.",
"Surgeon",
"General",
"issued",
"a",
"report",
"warning",
"against",
"the",
"dangers",
"of",
"smoking",
",",
"is",
"the",
"strongest",
"indication",
"to",
"date",
"that",
"the",
"reduction",
"in",
"smoking",
"is",
"leading",
"to",
"lower",
"death",
"rates",
"from",
"lung",
"cancer",
".",
"``",
"What",
"this",
"is",
"saying",
"is",
"that",
"the",
"surgeon",
"general",
"'s",
"message",
"is",
"having",
"an",
"impact",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Melvyn",
"Tockman",
",",
"an",
"epidemiologist",
"at",
"the",
"Johns",
"Hopkins",
"School",
"of",
"Hygiene",
"and",
"Public",
"Health",
"in",
"Baltimore",
".",
"The",
"National",
"Cancer",
"Institute",
"report",
"compares",
"mortality",
"rates",
"of",
"two",
"groups",
"of",
"people",
"between",
"the",
"ages",
"of",
"35",
"and",
"44",
"a",
"decade",
"apart",
".",
"The",
"death",
"rate",
"from",
"lung",
"cancer",
"of",
"white",
"males",
"aged",
"35",
"to",
"44",
"in",
"the",
"mid-1970s",
"was",
"13.4",
"per",
"100,000",
",",
"but",
"the",
"mortality",
"rate",
"of",
"the",
"same",
"age",
"group",
"in",
"the",
"mid-1980s",
"was",
"9.6",
",",
"a",
"decline",
"of",
"28.7",
"%",
".",
"Measured",
"the",
"same",
"way",
",",
"the",
"decline",
"for",
"black",
"males",
"was",
"14.2",
"%",
".",
"The",
"drop",
"in",
"mortality",
"rates",
"for",
"women",
"was",
"less",
"steep",
"--",
"8.9",
"%",
"for",
"blacks",
"and",
"5.3",
"%",
"for",
"whites",
".",
"The",
"study",
",",
"by",
"Susan",
"Devesa",
",",
"William",
"Blot",
"and",
"Joseph",
"Fraumeni",
"of",
"the",
"institute",
"'s",
"staff",
",",
"also",
"shows",
"that",
"the",
"incidence",
"of",
"lung",
"cancer",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"the",
"death",
"rate",
"declined",
"over",
"the",
"decade",
"for",
"all",
"groups",
"in",
"the",
"35-44",
"age",
"bracket",
",",
"except",
"black",
"men",
".",
"Although",
"lung-cancer",
"mortality",
"rates",
"are",
"increasing",
"for",
"the",
"nation",
"as",
"a",
"whole",
",",
"the",
"report",
"projects",
"that",
"death",
"rates",
"will",
"begin",
"to",
"decline",
"in",
"the",
"1990s",
"for",
"men",
"and",
"after",
"the",
"year",
"2000",
"for",
"women",
".",
"Lung-cancer",
"mortality",
"rates",
"increase",
"with",
"age",
"and",
"are",
"continuing",
"to",
"rise",
"for",
"all",
"age",
"groups",
"over",
"55",
",",
"with",
"sharp",
"increases",
"for",
"everybody",
"but",
"white",
"men",
".",
"But",
"Dr.",
"Fraumeni",
",",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"authors",
"of",
"the",
"report",
",",
"said",
"``",
"the",
"declining",
"rates",
"we",
"'re",
"seeing",
"for",
"younger",
"people",
"we",
"believe",
"may",
"be",
"a",
"harbinger",
"of",
"declining",
"mortality",
"in",
"the",
"future",
".",
"''",
"However",
",",
"he",
"stressed",
"that",
"the",
"improvement",
"depends",
"on",
"a",
"continued",
"reduction",
"in",
"smoking",
".",
"``",
"Even",
"though",
"these",
"favorable",
"trends",
"in",
"lung-cancer",
"mortality",
"affect",
"all",
"sex",
"and",
"race",
"groups",
",",
"they",
"ca",
"n't",
"be",
"taken",
"for",
"granted",
",",
"''",
"the",
"report",
"says",
".",
"``",
"Smoking",
"prevention",
"programs",
"should",
"reach",
"larger",
"segments",
"of",
"the",
"population",
",",
"especially",
"children",
",",
"adolescents",
"and",
"minorities",
".",
"''",
"An",
"editorial",
"in",
"the",
"NCI",
"Journal",
"says",
"the",
"report",
"of",
"declining",
"lung-cancer",
"mortality",
"``",
"among",
"young",
"men",
"and",
"women",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"indicates",
"that",
"we",
"finally",
"may",
"be",
"winning",
"the",
"battle",
"--",
"this",
"even",
"in",
"a",
"country",
"where",
"the",
"tobacco",
"industry",
"spends",
"over",
"$",
"2",
"billion",
"a",
"year",
"for",
"promotion",
"of",
"the",
"addictive",
"habit",
"of",
"smoking",
".",
"''",
"But",
"the",
"editorial",
",",
"by",
"Jan",
"Stjernsward",
"of",
"the",
"World",
"Health",
"Organization",
",",
"notes",
"that",
"tobacco",
"consumption",
"and",
"lung-cancer",
"mortality",
"rates",
"are",
"rising",
"in",
"developing",
"countries",
".",
"``",
"Non-smoking",
"should",
"be",
"established",
"as",
"the",
"norm",
"of",
"social",
"behavior",
"''",
"around",
"the",
"world",
",",
"the",
"editorial",
"says",
",",
"through",
"the",
"enactment",
"of",
"laws",
"that",
"limit",
"advertising",
",",
"boost",
"tobacco",
"prices",
"and",
"promote",
"anti-smoking",
"education",
".",
"Asked",
"for",
"comment",
",",
"Walker",
"Merryman",
",",
"a",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"the",
"Tobacco",
"Institute",
",",
"said",
"new",
"efforts",
"to",
"restrict",
"tobacco",
"advertising",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"could",
"violate",
"the",
"First",
"Amendment",
"protection",
"of",
"free",
"speech",
".",
"According",
"to",
"the",
"American",
"Cancer",
"Society",
",",
"smoking",
"is",
"responsible",
"for",
"85",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"lung-cancer",
"cases",
"among",
"men",
"and",
"75",
"%",
"among",
"women",
".",
"The",
"NCI",
"report",
"attributes",
"the",
"differences",
"in",
"mortality",
"rates",
"by",
"race",
"to",
"different",
"smoking",
"patterns",
".",
"A",
"higher",
"proportion",
"of",
"black",
"men",
"smoke",
"than",
"white",
"men",
".",
"While",
"nearly",
"equal",
"percentages",
"of",
"black",
"and",
"white",
"women",
"currently",
"smoke",
",",
"in",
"both",
"sexes",
"more",
"whites",
"have",
"given",
"up",
"smoking",
"than",
"blacks",
".",
"In",
"comparing",
"changes",
"in",
"mortality",
"rates",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"decade",
",",
"the",
"NCI",
"study",
"looked",
"only",
"at",
"blacks",
"and",
"whites",
".",
"Asians",
"and",
"native",
"Americans",
"were",
"n't",
"studied",
";",
"Hispanics",
"were",
"included",
"with",
"whites",
".",
"Recent",
"changes",
"in",
"average",
"annual",
"age-specific",
"lung-cancer",
"rates",
"per",
"100,000",
"population",
"by",
"race",
"and",
"sex",
".",
"White",
"Males",
"White",
"Females",
"Black",
"Males",
"Black",
"Females"
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"We",
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"?",
"Animals",
"?",
"Homosexuals",
"?",
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"``",
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"Mr.",
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"of",
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"Mr.",
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"``",
"invidious",
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".",
"''",
"This",
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"like",
"an",
"anti-homosexual",
"screed",
".",
"What",
"'s",
"really",
"going",
"on",
"here",
"?",
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"things",
"to",
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"a",
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"conservative",
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"--",
"a",
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"the",
"liberal",
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".",
"Mr.",
"Allen",
",",
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"Harvey",
"Mudd",
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"in",
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"and",
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"remain",
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"member",
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"the",
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",",
"has",
"spent",
"years",
"arguing",
"that",
"civil",
"rights",
"are",
"individuals",
"'",
"rights",
".",
"He",
"last",
"made",
"waves",
"when",
"he",
"dared",
"to",
"defend",
"an",
"Indian",
"girl",
"who",
"had",
"been",
"adopted",
"by",
"non-Indian",
"parents",
"off",
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".",
"Mr.",
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"which",
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"''",
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"."
] | [
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[
"Signs",
"of",
"a",
"slowing",
"economy",
"are",
"increasing",
"pressure",
"on",
"the",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"to",
"cut",
"short-term",
"interest",
"rates",
",",
"but",
"it",
"is",
"n't",
"clear",
"whether",
"the",
"central",
"bank",
"will",
"do",
"so",
".",
"A",
"survey",
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"Fed",
"'s",
"12",
"district",
"banks",
"shows",
"economic",
"growth",
"has",
"been",
"sluggish",
"in",
"recent",
"weeks",
",",
"while",
"upward",
"pressures",
"on",
"prices",
"have",
"moderated",
".",
"``",
"The",
"economy",
"is",
"clearly",
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",",
"''",
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"Robert",
"Black",
",",
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"Reserve",
"Bank",
".",
"``",
"If",
"you",
"look",
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"the",
"third",
"quarter",
"as",
"posting",
"roughly",
"2.5",
"%",
"growth",
",",
"I",
"do",
"see",
"some",
"slowing",
"in",
"the",
"fourth",
"quarter",
",",
"''",
"agrees",
"Kansas",
"City",
"Fed",
"President",
"Roger",
"Guffey",
".",
"Nevertheless",
",",
"both",
"Mr.",
"Guffey",
"and",
"Mr.",
"Black",
"say",
"the",
"slowdown",
"so",
"far",
"is",
"no",
"cause",
"for",
"concern",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"coming",
"closer",
"to",
"achieving",
"the",
"stated",
"objective",
"of",
"slowing",
"the",
"economy",
"to",
"a",
"point",
"where",
"hopefully",
"some",
"downward",
"trend",
"in",
"prices",
"will",
"occur",
",",
"''",
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"Mr.",
"Guffey",
".",
"Bush",
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"are",
"looking",
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"the",
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"to",
"bring",
"down",
"rates",
",",
"and",
"financial",
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"seem",
"to",
"be",
"expecting",
"easier",
"credit",
"as",
"well",
".",
"``",
"I",
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"the",
"market",
"had",
"been",
"expecting",
"the",
"Fed",
"to",
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"a",
"little",
"more",
"than",
"it",
"has",
"to",
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",",
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",",
"vice",
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"for",
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"Trust",
"Co",
".",
"The",
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"cut",
"the",
"key",
"federal",
"funds",
"interest",
"rate",
"by",
"about",
"0.25",
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"point",
"to",
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"%",
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"plunge",
",",
"but",
"has",
"shown",
"no",
"sign",
"of",
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"since",
".",
"The",
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"the",
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"found",
"that",
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",",
"in",
"particular",
",",
"has",
"been",
"weak",
"in",
"recent",
"weeks",
".",
"The",
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"Fed",
",",
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"instance",
",",
"reported",
"that",
"manufacturing",
"activity",
"``",
"continues",
"to",
"decline",
"''",
"for",
"the",
"fourth",
"month",
"in",
"a",
"row",
".",
"And",
"in",
"the",
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",",
"the",
"report",
"said",
",",
"``",
"a",
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"goods",
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"orders",
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"some",
"types",
",",
"including",
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"equipment",
",",
"petroleum",
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",",
"food",
"packaging",
"machinery",
"and",
"material",
"handling",
"equipment",
".",
"''",
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"also",
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",",
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"for",
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",",
"big-ticket",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"Several",
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";",
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".",
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"or",
"labor",
"costs",
".",
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"was",
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"a",
"shortage",
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"the",
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".",
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".",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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"--",
"perhaps",
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"--",
"Mr.",
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",",
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"until",
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"p.m.",
"seven",
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"a",
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"a",
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"rent",
".",
"For",
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"what",
"his",
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"described",
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"very",
"personal",
"and",
"helpful",
"service",
".",
"For",
"creating",
"a",
"focus",
"for",
"neighborhood",
"life",
".",
"Israel",
"Ortiz",
"is",
"only",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"thousands",
"of",
"entrepreneurs",
"and",
"their",
"employees",
"who",
"will",
"be",
"injured",
"or",
"killed",
"by",
"crime",
"this",
"year",
".",
"The",
"U.S.",
"Bureau",
"of",
"Justice",
"Statistics",
"reports",
"that",
"almost",
"2",
"%",
"of",
"all",
"retail-sales",
"workers",
"suffer",
"injuries",
"from",
"crime",
"each",
"year",
",",
"almost",
"twice",
"the",
"national",
"average",
"and",
"about",
"four",
"times",
"the",
"rate",
"for",
"teachers",
",",
"truck",
"drivers",
",",
"medical",
"workers",
"and",
"door-to-door",
"salespeople",
".",
"Only",
"a",
"few",
"other",
"occupations",
"have",
"higher",
"reported",
"rates",
"of",
"criminal",
"injury",
",",
"such",
"as",
"police",
",",
"bartenders",
"and",
"taxi",
"drivers",
".",
"Yet",
"these",
"figures",
"show",
"only",
"the",
"most",
"visible",
"part",
"of",
"the",
"problem",
".",
"Recent",
"data",
"from",
"New",
"York",
"City",
"provide",
"more",
"of",
"the",
"picture",
".",
"While",
"by",
"no",
"means",
"the",
"highest",
"crime",
"community",
"in",
"the",
"country",
",",
"New",
"York",
"is",
"a",
"prime",
"example",
"of",
"a",
"city",
"where",
"crime",
"strangles",
"small-business",
"development",
".",
"A",
"survey",
"of",
"small",
"businesses",
"there",
"was",
"conducted",
"this",
"spring",
"by",
"Interface",
",",
"a",
"policy",
"research",
"organization",
".",
"It",
"gave",
"1,124",
"businesses",
"a",
"questionnaire",
"and",
"analyzed",
"353",
"responses",
".",
"The",
"survey",
"found",
"that",
"over",
"a",
"three-year",
"period",
"22",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"firms",
"said",
"employees",
"or",
"owners",
"had",
"been",
"robbed",
"on",
"their",
"way",
"to",
"or",
"from",
"work",
"or",
"while",
"on",
"the",
"job",
".",
"Seventeen",
"percent",
"reported",
"their",
"customers",
"being",
"robbed",
".",
"Crime",
"was",
"the",
"reason",
"that",
"26",
"%",
"reported",
"difficulty",
"recruiting",
"personnel",
"and",
"that",
"19",
"%",
"said",
"they",
"were",
"considering",
"moving",
".",
"More",
"than",
"one-third",
"of",
"the",
"responding",
"businesses",
"said",
"they",
"suffer",
"from",
"drug",
"dealing",
"and",
"loitering",
"near",
"their",
"premises",
".",
"In",
"Brooklyn",
"and",
"the",
"Bronx",
",",
"one",
"out",
"of",
"four",
"commercial",
"firms",
"is",
"burglarized",
"each",
"year",
".",
"Industrial",
"neighborhoods",
"fare",
"even",
"worse",
",",
"with",
"burglary",
"rates",
"twice",
"the",
"citywide",
"average",
".",
"Crime",
"is",
"clearly",
"more",
"deadly",
"to",
"small-scale",
"entrepreneurship",
"than",
"to",
"big",
"businesses",
".",
"Two",
"decades",
"ago",
",",
"the",
"Small",
"Business",
"Administration",
"reported",
"Yale",
"Prof.",
"Albert",
"Reiss",
"'s",
"landmark",
"study",
"of",
"crime",
"against",
"2,500",
"small",
"businesses",
"drawn",
"from",
"national",
"IRS",
"records",
".",
"He",
"found",
"that",
"monetary",
"crime",
"losses",
",",
"as",
"a",
"proportion",
"of",
"gross",
"receipts",
",",
"were",
"37",
"times",
"higher",
"for",
"small",
"businesses",
"than",
"for",
"large",
"ones",
".",
"The",
"New",
"York",
"study",
"'s",
"companies",
"averaged",
"27",
"employees",
";",
"their",
"annual",
"crime",
"losses",
"averaged",
"about",
"$",
"15,000",
",",
"with",
"an",
"additional",
"$",
"8,385",
"annual",
"cost",
"in",
"security",
"--",
"enough",
"money",
"to",
"hire",
"at",
"least",
"one",
"more",
"worker",
".",
"The",
"costs",
"of",
"crime",
"may",
"also",
"be",
"enough",
"to",
"destroy",
"a",
"struggling",
"business",
".",
"Whatever",
"the",
"monetary",
"crime",
"losses",
",",
"they",
"may",
"not",
"be",
"nearly",
"as",
"important",
"to",
"entrepreneurs",
"as",
"the",
"risk",
"of",
"personal",
"injury",
".",
"After",
"repeated",
"gun",
"robberies",
",",
"some",
"entrepreneurs",
"may",
"give",
"up",
"a",
"business",
"out",
"of",
"fear",
"for",
"their",
"lives",
".",
"One",
"Washington",
"couple",
"recently",
"sold",
"their",
"liquor",
"store",
"after",
"34",
"years",
"in",
"business",
"that",
"included",
"four",
"robbery",
"deaths",
"and",
"16",
"robberies",
"or",
"burglaries",
"on",
"the",
"premises",
".",
"These",
"findings",
"illustrate",
"the",
"vicious",
"cycle",
"that",
"National",
"Institute",
"of",
"Justice",
"Director",
"James",
"K.",
"Stewart",
"calls",
"``",
"crime",
"causing",
"poverty",
".",
"''",
"Underclass",
"neighborhoods",
"offer",
"relatively",
"few",
"employment",
"opportunities",
",",
"contributing",
"to",
"the",
"poverty",
"of",
"local",
"residents",
".",
"Small",
"neighborhood",
"businesses",
"could",
"provide",
"more",
"jobs",
",",
"if",
"crime",
"were",
"not",
"so",
"harmful",
"to",
"creating",
"and",
"maintaining",
"those",
"businesses",
".",
"This",
"may",
"help",
"explain",
"why",
"small",
"businesses",
"create",
"65",
"%",
"of",
"all",
"jobs",
"nationally",
",",
"but",
"only",
"22",
"%",
"of",
"jobs",
"in",
"a",
"crime-ridden",
"city",
"like",
"New",
"York",
".",
"Bigger",
"business",
"can",
"often",
"better",
"afford",
"to",
"minimize",
"the",
"cost",
"of",
"crime",
".",
"The",
"New",
"York",
"study",
"found",
"that",
"the",
"cost",
"of",
"security",
"measures",
"in",
"firms",
"with",
"fewer",
"than",
"five",
"employees",
"was",
"almost",
"$",
"1,000",
"per",
"worker",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"one-third",
"that",
"amount",
"for",
"firms",
"with",
"more",
"than",
"10",
"employees",
".",
"The",
"shift",
"of",
"retailing",
"to",
"large",
"shopping",
"centers",
"has",
"created",
"even",
"greater",
"economies",
"of",
"scale",
"for",
"providing",
"low-crime",
"business",
"environments",
".",
"Private",
"security",
"guards",
"and",
"moonlighting",
"police",
"can",
"invoke",
"the",
"law",
"of",
"trespass",
"to",
"regulate",
"access",
"to",
"these",
"quasi-public",
"places",
".",
"Since",
"1984",
",",
"in",
"fact",
",",
"revenues",
"of",
"the",
"10",
"largest",
"guard",
"companies",
",",
"primarily",
"serving",
"such",
"big",
"businesses",
",",
"have",
"increased",
"by",
"almost",
"62",
"%",
".",
"Few",
"small",
"neighborhood",
"businesses",
",",
"however",
",",
"can",
"afford",
"such",
"protection",
",",
"even",
"in",
"collaboration",
"with",
"other",
"local",
"merchants",
".",
"In",
"the",
"neighborhoods",
"with",
"the",
"highest",
"crime",
"rates",
",",
"small",
"business",
"generally",
"relies",
"on",
"the",
"public",
"police",
"force",
"for",
"protection",
".",
"This",
"creates",
"several",
"problems",
".",
"One",
"is",
"that",
"there",
"are",
"not",
"enough",
"police",
"to",
"satisfy",
"small",
"businesses",
".",
"The",
"number",
"one",
"proposal",
"for",
"reducing",
"crime",
"in",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"survey",
"was",
"to",
"put",
"more",
"police",
"on",
"foot",
"or",
"scooter",
"patrol",
",",
"suggested",
"by",
"more",
"than",
"two-thirds",
"of",
"the",
"respondents",
".",
"Only",
"22",
"%",
"supported",
"private",
"security",
"patrols",
"funded",
"by",
"the",
"merchants",
"themselves",
".",
"A",
"second",
"problem",
"is",
"the",
"persistent",
"frustration",
"of",
"false",
"alarms",
",",
"which",
"can",
"make",
"urban",
"police",
"less",
"than",
"enthusiastic",
"about",
"responding",
"to",
"calls",
"from",
"small",
"businesses",
".",
"Only",
"half",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"small",
"businesses",
"surveyed",
",",
"for",
"their",
"part",
",",
"are",
"satisfied",
"with",
"the",
"police",
"response",
"they",
"receive",
".",
"Some",
"cities",
",",
"including",
"New",
"York",
",",
"have",
"experimented",
"with",
"special",
"tax",
"districts",
"for",
"commercial",
"areas",
"that",
"provide",
"additional",
"patrols",
"funded",
"by",
"local",
"businesses",
".",
"But",
"this",
"raises",
"added",
"cost",
"barriers",
"to",
"urban",
"entrepreneurship",
".",
"Another",
"solution",
"cities",
"might",
"consider",
"is",
"giving",
"special",
"priority",
"to",
"police",
"patrols",
"of",
"small-business",
"areas",
".",
"For",
"cities",
"losing",
"business",
"to",
"suburban",
"shopping",
"centers",
",",
"it",
"may",
"be",
"a",
"wise",
"business",
"investment",
"to",
"help",
"keep",
"those",
"jobs",
"and",
"sales",
"taxes",
"within",
"city",
"limits",
".",
"Increased",
"patrolling",
"of",
"business",
"zones",
"makes",
"sense",
"because",
"urban",
"crime",
"is",
"heavily",
"concentrated",
"in",
"such",
"``",
"hot",
"spots",
"''",
"of",
"pedestrian",
"density",
".",
"With",
"National",
"Institute",
"of",
"Justice",
"support",
",",
"the",
"Minneapolis",
"police",
"and",
"the",
"Crime",
"Control",
"Institute",
"are",
"currently",
"testing",
"the",
"effects",
"of",
"such",
"a",
"strategy",
",",
"comparing",
"its",
"deterrence",
"value",
"with",
"traditional",
"random",
"patrols",
".",
"Small-business",
"patrols",
"would",
"be",
"an",
"especially",
"helpful",
"gesture",
"whenever",
"a",
"small-business",
"person",
"is",
"scheduled",
"to",
"testify",
"against",
"a",
"robbery",
"suspect",
".",
"While",
"no",
"guarantee",
",",
"an",
"increased",
"police",
"presence",
"might",
"even",
"deter",
"further",
"attacks",
".",
"It",
"might",
"even",
"have",
"saved",
"the",
"life",
",",
"and",
"business",
",",
"of",
"Israel",
"Ortiz",
".",
"Mr.",
"Sherman",
"is",
"a",
"professor",
"of",
"criminology",
"at",
"the",
"University",
"of",
"Maryland",
"and",
"president",
"of",
"the",
"Crime",
"Control",
"Institute",
"in",
"Washington",
",",
"D.C",
"."
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"know",
".",
"The",
"products",
"range",
"from",
"computer-edited",
",",
"personal",
"newsletters",
"to",
"systems",
"that",
"sit",
"inside",
"a",
"personal",
"computer",
"and",
"pick",
"stories",
"on",
"selected",
"topics",
"off",
"news",
"wires",
".",
"``",
"Filtered",
"news",
"is",
"what",
"people",
"want",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Esther",
"Dyson",
",",
"editor",
"of",
"Release",
"1.0",
",",
"an",
"industry",
"newsletter",
"that",
"spots",
"new",
"developments",
".",
"``",
"Most",
"people",
"read",
"10",
"times",
"more",
"than",
"necessary",
"in",
"order",
"to",
"find",
"out",
"what",
"they",
"really",
"need",
".",
"''",
"Geoffrey",
"Goodfellow",
",",
"who",
"dropped",
"out",
"of",
"high",
"school",
"back",
"in",
"the",
"1970s",
"to",
"manage",
"a",
"computer",
"network",
"at",
"a",
"California",
"research",
"firm",
",",
"says",
":",
"``",
"Old",
"network",
"hands",
"have",
"started",
"to",
"turn",
"off",
"the",
"network",
"because",
"they",
"do",
"n't",
"have",
"time",
"to",
"wade",
"through",
"the",
"muck",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Goodfellow",
"has",
"started",
"a",
"Menlo",
"Park",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"company",
"called",
"Anterior",
"Technology",
"that",
"provides",
"human",
"editors",
"for",
"public",
"electronic",
"networks",
".",
"``",
"I",
"see",
"it",
"as",
"a",
"sewage",
"treatment",
"plant",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"A",
"new",
"product",
",",
"NewsEdge",
",",
"carries",
"five",
"business",
"news",
"wires",
"simultaneously",
"into",
"a",
"user",
"'s",
"computer",
"and",
"beeps",
"and",
"flashes",
"whenever",
"an",
"article",
"appears",
"that",
"is",
"of",
"interest",
"to",
"the",
"user",
".",
"The",
"product",
",",
"developed",
"by",
"Desktop",
"Data",
"Corp.",
",",
"a",
"new",
"company",
"based",
"in",
"Waltham",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"scans",
"the",
"wires",
"looking",
"for",
"articles",
"that",
"contain",
"key",
"words",
"specified",
"by",
"the",
"user",
".",
"One",
"early",
"user",
",",
"David",
"Semmel",
",",
"a",
"Chicago",
"venture",
"capitalist",
"and",
"investor",
"in",
"Desktop",
"Data",
",",
"says",
"he",
"uses",
"it",
"to",
"track",
"takeover",
"developments",
".",
"He",
"says",
"he",
"told",
"NewsEdge",
"to",
"look",
"for",
"stories",
"containing",
"such",
"words",
"as",
"takeover",
",",
"acquisition",
",",
"acquire",
",",
"LBO",
",",
"tender",
",",
"merger",
",",
"junk",
"and",
"halted",
".",
"``",
"I",
"'m",
"pretty",
"confident",
"I",
"'m",
"catching",
"everything",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"NewsEdge",
"is",
"pricey",
":",
"$",
"7,500",
"a",
"year",
"for",
"a",
"limited",
"version",
",",
"$",
"40,000",
"a",
"year",
"if",
"the",
"cost",
"of",
"all",
"the",
"news",
"wires",
"is",
"included",
".",
"And",
"it",
"works",
"best",
"in",
"high-powered",
"personal",
"computers",
".",
"But",
"some",
"investors",
"and",
"consultants",
"who",
"have",
"tried",
"it",
"are",
"enthusiastic",
".",
"Jeffrey",
"Tarter",
",",
"editor",
"of",
"SoftLetter",
",",
"a",
"Watertown",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"industry",
"newsletter",
",",
"says",
":",
"``",
"I",
"'ve",
"seen",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"people",
"fooling",
"around",
"on",
"the",
"fringes",
"of",
"filtering",
"information",
".",
"This",
"is",
"the",
"first",
"time",
"I",
"'ve",
"seen",
"something",
"I",
"could",
"imagine",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"people",
"using",
".",
"''",
"NewsEdge",
"uses",
"an",
"FM",
"radio",
"band",
"to",
"carry",
"news",
"wires",
"provided",
"by",
"Reuters",
",",
"McGraw-Hill",
"and",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"PR",
"Newswire",
",",
"which",
"carries",
"corporate",
"press",
"releases",
".",
"An",
"FM",
"receiver",
"attached",
"to",
"a",
"user",
"'s",
"personal",
"computer",
"receives",
"the",
"information",
".",
"Some",
"organizations",
"have",
"devised",
"their",
"own",
"systems",
"to",
"sort",
"through",
"news",
"wire",
"items",
"as",
"they",
"come",
"in",
".",
"George",
"Goodwin",
",",
"an",
"account",
"manager",
"at",
"Royal",
"Bank",
"of",
"Canada",
",",
"adapted",
"a",
"Lotus",
"Development",
"Corp.",
"program",
"called",
"Agenda",
"to",
"sort",
"through",
"international",
"news",
"wires",
".",
"It",
"automatically",
"selects",
"stories",
"from",
"particular",
"countries",
"for",
"reading",
"by",
"the",
"international",
"bankers",
"responsible",
"for",
"lending",
"in",
"those",
"areas",
".",
"For",
"those",
"who",
"do",
"n't",
"need",
"their",
"personalized",
"information",
"moment",
"by",
"moment",
",",
"some",
"services",
"are",
"offering",
"overnight",
"newsletters",
".",
"Individual",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"new",
"company",
"in",
"Brookline",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"uses",
"filtering",
"technology",
"developed",
"by",
"Cornell",
"University",
"computer",
"scientist",
"Gerard",
"Salton",
",",
"to",
"automatically",
"produce",
"customized",
"newsletters",
"it",
"sends",
"electronically",
"to",
"subscribers",
"by",
"8",
"a.m.",
"the",
"next",
"day",
".",
"``",
"We",
"are",
"operating",
"an",
"information",
"refinery",
"that",
"takes",
"a",
"broad",
"stream",
"of",
"raw",
"data",
"and",
"turns",
"it",
"into",
"actionable",
"knowledge",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Yosi",
"Amram",
",",
"founder",
"and",
"president",
".",
"The",
"daily",
"newsletter",
",",
"which",
"is",
"n't",
"widely",
"available",
"yet",
",",
"will",
"have",
"a",
"base",
"cost",
"of",
"$",
"2,000",
"a",
"year",
"and",
"provides",
"full",
"text",
"of",
"relevant",
"articles",
"under",
"license",
"agreements",
"with",
"Reuters",
",",
"McGraw",
"Hill",
",",
"United",
"Press",
"International",
",",
"two",
"press",
"release",
"news",
"wires",
"and",
"Japan",
"'s",
"Kyodo",
"news",
"service",
".",
"One",
"early",
"user",
"is",
"NEC",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"U.S.",
"printer",
"marketing",
"arm",
".",
"``",
"They",
"want",
"the",
"full",
"press",
"releases",
"on",
"printer",
"announcements",
"by",
"their",
"competition",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Amram",
"says",
".",
"It",
"also",
"tracks",
"personnel",
"and",
"financial",
"announcements",
"by",
"NEC",
"'s",
"distributors",
"and",
"customers",
".",
"Individual",
"Inc.",
"'s",
"technology",
"goes",
"beyond",
"word",
"searches",
"by",
"using",
"a",
"computerized",
"thesaurus",
".",
"If",
"a",
"customer",
"asks",
"for",
"stories",
"about",
"``",
"IBM",
",",
"''",
"the",
"computer",
"will",
"also",
"supply",
"stories",
"that",
"mention",
"``",
"I.B.M.",
",",
"International",
"Business",
"Machines",
",",
"or",
"Big",
"Blue",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Amram",
"says",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"Individual",
"Inc.",
"'s",
"computers",
"can",
"weigh",
"the",
"value",
"of",
"an",
"article",
"based",
"on",
"how",
"closely",
"the",
"story",
"matches",
"the",
"subscriber",
"'s",
"interest",
"area",
".",
"It",
"compares",
"the",
"position",
"of",
"key",
"words",
"in",
"the",
"story",
";",
"words",
"in",
"the",
"headline",
"or",
"first",
"paragraph",
"get",
"a",
"higher",
"value",
".",
"And",
"it",
"calculates",
"how",
"often",
"the",
"words",
"appear",
"in",
"the",
"story",
"compared",
"with",
"how",
"often",
"they",
"appear",
"in",
"the",
"entire",
"data",
"base",
".",
"The",
"higher",
"the",
"ratio",
"of",
"hits",
"to",
"total",
"words",
",",
"the",
"higher",
"the",
"presumed",
"value",
"to",
"the",
"reader",
".",
"Pinpoint",
"Information",
"Corp.",
",",
"Chantilly",
",",
"Va.",
",",
"a",
"producer",
"of",
"$",
"1,800-a-year",
"personalized",
"newsletters",
"about",
"the",
"computer",
"industry",
"that",
"started",
"full",
"operation",
"last",
"month",
",",
"relies",
"on",
"12",
"human",
"readers",
"to",
"code",
"news",
"releases",
"by",
"topic",
"in",
"order",
"to",
"select",
"items",
"for",
"each",
"subscriber",
".",
"``",
"The",
"computers",
"find",
"all",
"the",
"key",
"words",
"they",
"can",
",",
"but",
"the",
"editors",
"confirm",
"every",
"one",
".",
"Computer",
"picking",
"is",
"n't",
"perfect",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Harvey",
"Golomb",
",",
"president",
"and",
"founder",
"of",
"Pinpoint",
".",
"The",
"humans",
"also",
"write",
"abstracts",
"of",
"articles",
"from",
"some",
"200",
"computer",
"industry",
"publications",
".",
"Once",
"all",
"the",
"articles",
"are",
"coded",
"and",
"put",
"in",
"a",
"data",
"base",
",",
"Pinpoint",
"'s",
"computers",
"pick",
"the",
"most",
"relevant",
"for",
"each",
"subscriber",
"and",
"lay",
"them",
"out",
"in",
"a",
"three-to-five-page",
"newsletter",
"format",
";",
"each",
"newsletter",
"is",
"sent",
"directly",
"from",
"the",
"computer",
"to",
"the",
"subscriber",
"'s",
"fax",
"machine",
".",
"Mr.",
"Golomb",
"says",
"each",
"of",
"his",
"computers",
"can",
"produce",
"and",
"send",
"about",
"75",
"unique",
"newsletters",
"a",
"night",
".",
"Many",
"computer",
"network",
"users",
"who",
"never",
"see",
"news",
"wires",
"would",
"like",
"to",
"sort",
"through",
"their",
"electronic",
"mail",
"automatically",
".",
"So-called",
"E-mail",
"is",
"the",
"collection",
"of",
"inter-office",
"memos",
",",
"gossip",
",",
"technical",
"data",
",",
"schedules",
"and",
"directives",
"distributed",
"over",
"local",
"and",
"national",
"computer",
"networks",
".",
"``",
"All",
"these",
"interconnected",
"computers",
"make",
"it",
"difficult",
"to",
"sort",
"out",
"what",
"'s",
"junk",
"and",
"what",
"'s",
"important",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Chuck",
"Digate",
",",
"a",
"former",
"Lotus",
"Development",
"executive",
"who",
"has",
"started",
"a",
"new",
"company",
"to",
"cope",
"with",
"the",
"problem",
".",
"Mr.",
"Digate",
"says",
"his",
"firm",
",",
"Beyond",
"Inc.",
",",
"has",
"licensed",
"technology",
"known",
"as",
"Information",
"Lens",
"from",
"Massachusetts",
"Institute",
"of",
"Technology",
"and",
"plans",
"to",
"develop",
"it",
"for",
"commercial",
"use",
".",
"The",
"MIT",
"project",
"devised",
"ways",
"for",
"E-mail",
"to",
"be",
"automatically",
"categorized",
"as",
"top",
"priority",
"if",
"it",
"comes",
"from",
"certain",
"designated",
"senders",
"or",
"requires",
"action",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"couple",
"of",
"days",
".",
"Mr.",
"Digate",
"says",
"that",
"Beyond",
"will",
"refine",
"the",
"product",
"``",
"so",
"the",
"message",
"will",
"be",
"smart",
"enough",
"to",
"know",
"to",
"come",
"back",
"and",
"bother",
"you",
"again",
"next",
"week",
".",
"''",
"And",
"if",
"a",
"user",
"is",
"busy",
",",
"``",
"he",
"can",
"set",
"it",
"for",
"crisis",
"mode",
":",
"`",
"Do",
"n't",
"bother",
"me",
"with",
"reports",
"until",
"Monday",
".",
"'",
"''",
"A",
"program",
"called",
"Notes",
",",
"which",
"is",
"under",
"development",
"by",
"Lotus",
",",
"also",
"is",
"designed",
"to",
"sort",
"E-mail",
"sent",
"within",
"work",
"groups",
".",
"One",
"thing",
"that",
"makes",
"E-mail",
"difficult",
"to",
"sift",
"through",
"is",
"that",
"each",
"item",
"looks",
"the",
"same",
".",
"Notes",
",",
"which",
"is",
"designed",
"for",
"advanced",
"computers",
"that",
"display",
"graphics",
",",
"allows",
"mail",
"senders",
"to",
"put",
"different",
"logos",
"on",
"their",
"mail",
".",
"A",
"daily",
"news",
"briefing",
"from",
"the",
"company",
"librarian",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"would",
"have",
"a",
"distinctive",
"format",
"on",
"the",
"screen",
",",
"just",
"as",
"a",
"paper",
"version",
"would",
"have",
".",
"``",
"With",
"E-mail",
",",
"you",
"do",
"n't",
"have",
"the",
"visual",
"clues",
"of",
"paper",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Tarter",
",",
"the",
"editor",
"of",
"SoftLetter",
".",
"``",
"With",
"Notes",
",",
"they",
"'re",
"visually",
"distinct",
"."
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[
"Moscom",
"Corp.",
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"its",
"board",
"approved",
"the",
"repurchase",
"of",
"as",
"many",
"as",
"300,000",
"common",
"shares",
"when",
"market",
"conditions",
"are",
"suitable",
".",
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"maker",
"of",
"telecommunications",
"management",
"systems",
"had",
"6,420,268",
"shares",
"outstanding",
"as",
"of",
"Sept.",
"30",
".",
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"yesterday",
",",
"Moscom",
"closed",
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"$",
"4.375",
",",
"up",
"37.5",
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"."
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[
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"$",
"24",
"million",
"power",
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"the",
"plant",
"to",
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"operating",
"at",
"the",
"end",
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"the",
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".",
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",",
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"markets",
"closed",
"sharply",
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"2170.1",
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"the",
"effects",
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"earthquake",
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"Francisco",
"area",
"would",
"undermine",
"the",
"U.S.",
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".",
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"mood",
"changed",
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"dealers",
"reappraised",
"the",
"direct",
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"the",
"disaster",
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"Street",
"rebounded",
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"losses",
".",
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"30-share",
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"27.8",
"points",
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"1758.5",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"disaster",
",",
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"trading",
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"relative",
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"the",
"California",
"disaster",
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",",
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"has",
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"nervousness",
"after",
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"bumpy",
"ride",
"of",
"the",
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"several",
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",",
"caused",
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"interest-rate",
"increases",
"last",
"week",
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"Wall",
"Street",
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"6.9",
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".",
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"technical",
"factors",
",",
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"the",
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"reverse",
"losses",
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"a",
"day",
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".",
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"(",
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"15.80",
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"a",
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"climbed",
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"3",
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"290",
",",
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"12",
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"fared",
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",",
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"General",
"advancing",
"3",
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"344",
",",
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"2",
"to",
"184",
"1/2",
".",
"Pearl",
"Group",
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"5",
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"628",
",",
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"Life",
"finished",
"unchanged",
"at",
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"10.98",
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"sector",
"downgrade",
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"Securities",
",",
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"positive",
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"firms",
"about",
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"long-term",
"prospects",
".",
"NatWest",
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"the",
"most",
"actively",
"traded",
"of",
"the",
"banks",
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"finished",
"at",
"300",
",",
"up",
"1",
".",
"B.A.T",
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"in",
"early",
"dealings",
"but",
"recovered",
"to",
"finish",
"at",
"754",
",",
"up",
"5",
".",
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"said",
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"market",
"was",
"nervous",
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"a",
"special",
"B.A.T",
"holders",
"'",
"meeting",
"today",
".",
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"session",
"is",
"to",
"consider",
"a",
"defensive",
"plan",
"to",
"spin",
"off",
"assets",
"to",
"fend",
"off",
"Sir",
"James",
"Goldsmith",
"'s",
"#",
"13.4",
"billion",
"bid",
"for",
"B.A.T",
".",
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"stock",
"market",
"drop",
"has",
"shaken",
"confidence",
"in",
"the",
"plan",
",",
"but",
"dealers",
"said",
"the",
"shares",
"fell",
"initially",
"on",
"questions",
"about",
"whether",
"Mr.",
"Goldsmith",
"'s",
"highly",
"leveraged",
"bid",
"will",
"come",
"to",
"fruition",
".",
"Trading",
"was",
"suspended",
"in",
"WCRS",
"Group",
",",
"a",
"U.K.",
"advertising",
"concern",
",",
"pending",
"an",
"announcement",
"that",
"it",
"is",
"buying",
"the",
"remaining",
"50",
"%",
"of",
"France",
"'s",
"Carat",
"Holding",
"for",
"2.02",
"billion",
"French",
"francs",
"(",
"$",
"318.7",
"million",
")",
"and",
"expanding",
"commercial",
"and",
"equity",
"ties",
"with",
"advertising",
"group",
"Eurocom",
".",
"Merchant",
"banker",
"Morgan",
"Grenfell",
"climbed",
"14",
"to",
"406",
"on",
"renewed",
"takeover",
"speculation",
".",
"S.G.",
"Warburg",
",",
"also",
"mentioned",
"in",
"the",
"rumor",
"mill",
",",
"jumped",
"14",
"at",
"to",
"414",
".",
"Jaguar",
"advanced",
"19",
"to",
"673",
"as",
"traders",
"contemplated",
"a",
"potential",
"battle",
"between",
"General",
"Motors",
"and",
"Ford",
"Motor",
"for",
"control",
"of",
"the",
"U.K.",
"luxury",
"auto",
"maker",
".",
"Tokyo",
"'s",
"Nikkei",
"index",
"of",
"225",
"issues",
"rose",
"111.48",
"points",
",",
"or",
"0.32",
"%",
",",
"to",
"35107.56",
".",
"The",
"index",
"gained",
"527.39",
"Tuesday",
".",
"Volume",
"was",
"estimated",
"at",
"800",
"million",
"shares",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"678",
"million",
"Tuesday",
".",
"Declining",
"issues",
"outnumbered",
"advancers",
"505-455",
",",
"with",
"172",
"unchanged",
".",
"The",
"Tokyo",
"Stock",
"Price",
"Index",
"of",
"all",
"issues",
"listed",
"in",
"the",
"first",
"section",
",",
"which",
"gained",
"41.76",
"Tuesday",
",",
"was",
"up",
"0.24",
"points",
",",
"or",
"0.01",
"%",
",",
"at",
"2642.88",
".",
"In",
"early",
"trading",
"in",
"Tokyo",
"Thursday",
",",
"the",
"Nikkei",
"index",
"rose",
"135.09",
"points",
"to",
"35242.65",
".",
"On",
"Wednesday",
",",
"shares",
"were",
"pushed",
"up",
"by",
"index-related",
"buying",
"on",
"the",
"part",
"of",
"investment",
"trusts",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"small",
"orders",
"from",
"individuals",
"and",
"corporations",
",",
"traders",
"said",
".",
"Institutions",
",",
"meanwhile",
",",
"stepped",
"back",
"to",
"the",
"sidelines",
"as",
"the",
"direction",
"of",
"U.S.",
"interest",
"rates",
"remained",
"unclear",
".",
"The",
"uncertainty",
"was",
"multiplied",
"by",
"the",
"persistent",
"strength",
"of",
"the",
"dollar",
",",
"traders",
"said",
",",
"and",
"by",
"the",
"U.S.",
"trade",
"deficit",
",",
"which",
"widened",
"by",
"31",
"%",
"in",
"August",
"from",
"the",
"previous",
"month",
".",
"Traders",
"and",
"analysts",
"said",
"they",
"did",
"n't",
"see",
"any",
"effect",
"on",
"Tokyo",
"stocks",
"from",
"the",
"California",
"earthquake",
".",
"The",
"impact",
"on",
"Japanese",
"insurers",
"and",
"property",
"owners",
"with",
"interests",
"in",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"area",
"is",
"still",
"being",
"assessed",
",",
"they",
"said",
".",
"Buying",
"was",
"scattered",
"across",
"a",
"wide",
"range",
"of",
"issues",
",",
"making",
"the",
"session",
"fairly",
"characterless",
",",
"traders",
"said",
".",
"With",
"uncertainty",
"still",
"hanging",
"over",
"interest",
"rates",
"and",
"the",
"dollar",
",",
"the",
"market",
"failed",
"to",
"find",
"a",
"focus",
"that",
"might",
"lead",
"to",
"further",
"investor",
"commitments",
",",
"they",
"said",
".",
"Some",
"traders",
"said",
"the",
"popularity",
"of",
"issues",
"that",
"gained",
"yesterday",
"wo",
"n't",
"last",
"long",
",",
"as",
"investors",
"will",
"rotate",
"their",
"buying",
"choices",
"over",
"the",
"short",
"term",
".",
"Interest",
"rate-sensitive",
"shares",
"such",
"as",
"steel",
",",
"construction",
"and",
"electric",
"utility",
"companies",
",",
"which",
"rose",
"early",
"in",
"the",
"week",
",",
"saw",
"their",
"advance",
"weaken",
"yesterday",
".",
"Traders",
"said",
"these",
"issues",
"need",
"large-volume",
"buying",
"to",
"push",
"up",
"their",
"prices",
",",
"so",
"substantial",
"gains",
"are",
"n't",
"likely",
"unless",
"institutional",
"investors",
"participate",
".",
"An",
"outstanding",
"issue",
"in",
"yesterday",
"'s",
"session",
"was",
"Mitsubishi",
"Rayon",
",",
"which",
"surged",
"95",
"to",
"905",
"yen",
"(",
"$",
"6.34",
")",
"a",
"share",
".",
"Its",
"popularity",
"was",
"due",
"to",
"speculation",
"about",
"the",
"strong",
"earnings",
"potential",
"of",
"a",
"new",
"type",
"of",
"plastic",
"wrap",
"for",
"household",
"use",
",",
"a",
"trader",
"at",
"County",
"Natwest",
"Securities",
"Japan",
"said",
".",
"Some",
"laggard",
"food",
"issues",
"attracted",
"bargain-hunters",
",",
"traders",
"said",
".",
"Kirin",
"Brewery",
"was",
"up",
"100",
"at",
"2,000",
",",
"and",
"Ajinomoto",
"gained",
"70",
"to",
"2,840",
".",
"Pharmaceuticals",
"were",
"mostly",
"higher",
",",
"with",
"SS",
"Pharmaceutical",
"gaining",
"140",
"to",
"1,980",
".",
"Shares",
"closed",
"lower",
"in",
"other",
"major",
"Asian",
"and",
"Pacific",
"markets",
",",
"including",
"Sydney",
",",
"Hong",
"Kong",
",",
"Singapore",
",",
"Taipei",
",",
"Wellington",
",",
"Seoul",
"and",
"Manila",
".",
"Most",
"of",
"those",
"markets",
"had",
"rebounded",
"the",
"day",
"before",
"from",
"Monday",
"'s",
"slide",
".",
"But",
"unlike",
"the",
"Tokyo",
"exchange",
",",
"they",
"failed",
"to",
"extend",
"the",
"rise",
"to",
"a",
"second",
"session",
".",
"Elsewhere",
",",
"prices",
"surged",
"for",
"a",
"second",
"day",
"in",
"Frankfurt",
",",
"closed",
"higher",
"in",
"Zurich",
",",
"Stockholm",
"and",
"Amsterdam",
"and",
"were",
"broadly",
"lower",
"in",
"Milan",
",",
"Paris",
"and",
"Brussels",
".",
"South",
"African",
"gold",
"stocks",
"ended",
"marginally",
"firmer",
".",
"In",
"Brussels",
",",
"it",
"was",
"the",
"first",
"trading",
"day",
"for",
"most",
"major",
"shares",
"since",
"stocks",
"tumbled",
"on",
"Wall",
"Street",
"Friday",
".",
"Trading",
"had",
"been",
"impeded",
"by",
"a",
"major",
"computer",
"failure",
"that",
"took",
"place",
"before",
"the",
"start",
"of",
"Monday",
"'s",
"session",
".",
"Here",
"are",
"price",
"trends",
"on",
"the",
"world",
"'s",
"major",
"stock",
"markets",
",",
"as",
"calculated",
"by",
"Morgan",
"Stanley",
"Capital",
"International",
"Perspective",
",",
"Geneva",
".",
"To",
"make",
"them",
"directly",
"comparable",
",",
"each",
"index",
"is",
"based",
"on",
"the",
"close",
"of",
"1969",
"equaling",
"100",
".",
"The",
"percentage",
"change",
"is",
"since",
"year-end",
"."
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13,
16,
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13,
13,
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"is",
"n't",
"committed",
"to",
"going",
"forward",
"with",
"any",
"new",
"bid",
",",
"and",
"has",
"n't",
"participated",
"in",
"bankers",
"'",
"efforts",
"to",
"revive",
"the",
"transaction",
"that",
"collapsed",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"in",
"no",
"way",
"committed",
"to",
"a",
"deal",
"going",
"through",
"at",
"all",
".",
"We",
"'re",
"not",
"rushing",
"into",
"anything",
".",
"We",
"do",
"n't",
"want",
"to",
"be",
"party",
"to",
"a",
"second",
"rejection",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
",",
"adding",
"that",
"coming",
"up",
"with",
"a",
"revised",
"offer",
"could",
"easily",
"take",
"several",
"weeks",
".",
"Mr.",
"Stevens",
"'s",
"remarks",
",",
"confirming",
"a",
"report",
"in",
"The",
"Wall",
"Street",
"Journal",
"that",
"British",
"Air",
"wants",
"to",
"start",
"from",
"scratch",
"in",
"any",
"new",
"bid",
"for",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"second-largest",
"airline",
",",
"helped",
"push",
"UAL",
"stock",
"lower",
"for",
"the",
"fourth",
"straight",
"day",
".",
"UAL",
"fell",
"$",
"6.25",
"a",
"share",
"to",
"$",
"191.75",
"on",
"volume",
"of",
"2.3",
"million",
"shares",
"in",
"composite",
"trading",
"on",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"as",
"concern",
"deepened",
"among",
"takeover",
"stock",
"traders",
"about",
"the",
"length",
"of",
"time",
"it",
"will",
"take",
"to",
"revive",
"the",
"purchase",
".",
"Under",
"the",
"original",
"buy-out",
"approved",
"by",
"the",
"UAL",
"board",
"Sept.",
"14",
",",
"UAL",
"'s",
"pilots",
"planned",
"to",
"put",
"up",
"$",
"200",
"million",
"in",
"cash",
"and",
"make",
"$",
"200",
"million",
"in",
"annual",
"cost",
"concessions",
"for",
"a",
"75",
"%",
"stake",
".",
"UAL",
"management",
"was",
"to",
"pay",
"$",
"15",
"million",
"for",
"10",
"%",
",",
"and",
"British",
"Air",
"was",
"to",
"receive",
"a",
"15",
"%",
"stake",
".",
"The",
"buy-out",
"fell",
"through",
"when",
"Citicorp",
"and",
"Chase",
"Manhattan",
"Corp.",
"unexpectedly",
"failed",
"to",
"obtain",
"bank",
"financing",
".",
"Since",
"then",
",",
"UAL",
"stock",
"has",
"fallen",
"33",
"%",
"in",
"what",
"may",
"rank",
"as",
"the",
"largest",
"collapse",
"of",
"a",
"takeover",
"stock",
"ever",
".",
"The",
"tenor",
"of",
"Mr.",
"Stevens",
"'s",
"remarks",
"seemed",
"to",
"indicate",
"that",
"British",
"Air",
"will",
"take",
"a",
"more",
"active",
",",
"high-profile",
"role",
"in",
"pursuing",
"any",
"new",
"bid",
".",
"He",
"said",
"he",
"believes",
"UAL",
"management",
"was",
"badly",
"advised",
"on",
"the",
"funding",
"of",
"its",
"original",
"transaction",
".",
"Mr.",
"Stevens",
"said",
"British",
"Air",
"has",
"n't",
"received",
"any",
"new",
"buy-out",
"proposals",
"from",
"the",
"labor-management",
"group",
",",
"led",
"by",
"UAL",
"Chairman",
"Stephen",
"Wolf",
",",
"and",
"has",
"n't",
"received",
"any",
"indication",
"of",
"when",
"one",
"might",
"be",
"forthcoming",
".",
"``",
"As",
"far",
"as",
"we",
"'re",
"concerned",
",",
"we",
"'re",
"waiting",
"for",
"the",
"dust",
"to",
"settle",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"Although",
"British",
"Air",
"is",
"waiting",
"to",
"see",
"what",
"the",
"buy-out",
"group",
"comes",
"up",
"with",
",",
"Mr.",
"Stevens",
"said",
"a",
"revised",
"transaction",
"with",
"less",
"debt",
"leverage",
"is",
"likely",
"to",
"be",
"more",
"attractive",
"to",
"banks",
".",
"He",
"said",
"the",
"original",
"proposal",
"is",
"dead",
",",
"and",
"all",
"aspects",
"of",
"a",
"revised",
"version",
"are",
"up",
"for",
"change",
",",
"in",
"light",
"of",
"the",
"changes",
"in",
"UAL",
"'s",
"market",
"price",
",",
"the",
"amount",
"of",
"debt",
"banks",
"are",
"willing",
"to",
"fund",
",",
"and",
"the",
"price",
"British",
"Air",
"would",
"be",
"willing",
"to",
"pay",
".",
"Mr.",
"Stevens",
"said",
"he",
"expects",
"the",
"new",
"price",
"will",
"be",
"considerably",
"lower",
",",
"but",
"declined",
"to",
"specify",
"a",
"figure",
".",
"Asked",
"whether",
"a",
"$",
"230-a-share",
"figure",
"circulating",
"in",
"the",
"market",
"yesterday",
"is",
"too",
"low",
",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"certainly",
"not",
"too",
"low",
".",
"''",
"He",
"added",
"the",
"original",
"offer",
"was",
"``",
"a",
"pretty",
"full",
"price",
",",
"''",
"and",
"that",
"British",
"Air",
"'s",
"contribution",
"``",
"was",
"quite",
"a",
"large",
"chunk",
"for",
"us",
".",
"''",
"British",
"Air",
"was",
"originally",
"attracted",
"to",
"the",
"chance",
"of",
"obtaining",
"a",
"15",
"%",
"stake",
"in",
"the",
"company",
",",
"but",
"was",
"n't",
"particularly",
"happy",
"with",
"paying",
"$",
"750",
"million",
".",
"``",
"If",
"the",
"-LCB-",
"new",
"-RCB-",
"deal",
"had",
"us",
"putting",
"up",
"less",
"money",
"but",
"still",
"having",
"15",
"%",
",",
"that",
"would",
"be",
"a",
"point",
"in",
"our",
"favor",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"In",
"any",
"new",
"proposal",
",",
"British",
"Air",
"would",
"expect",
"a",
"greater",
"rate",
"of",
"return",
"than",
"the",
"20%-plus",
"in",
"the",
"original",
"proposal",
".",
"In",
"the",
"event",
"that",
"the",
"buy-out",
"group",
"stalls",
"in",
"reviving",
"its",
"bid",
",",
"the",
"UAL",
"board",
"could",
"remain",
"under",
"some",
"pressure",
"to",
"seek",
"another",
"transaction",
",",
"even",
"without",
"any",
"legal",
"obligation",
"to",
"do",
"so",
".",
"Roughly",
"one-third",
"of",
"its",
"stock",
"is",
"believed",
"held",
"by",
"takeover",
"stock",
"traders",
",",
"who",
"could",
"vote",
"to",
"oust",
"the",
"board",
"if",
"they",
"become",
"impatient",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"the",
"buy-out",
"group",
"'s",
"task",
"of",
"holding",
"its",
"fragile",
"coalition",
"together",
",",
"in",
"the",
"face",
"of",
"the",
"bid",
"'s",
"collapse",
"and",
"internal",
"opposition",
"from",
"two",
"other",
"employee",
"groups",
",",
"has",
"been",
"further",
"complicated",
"by",
"an",
"apparent",
"rift",
"in",
"the",
"ranks",
"of",
"the",
"pilot",
"union",
"itself",
".",
"A",
"pilot",
"representing",
"a",
"group",
"of",
"220",
"pilots",
"hired",
"during",
"United",
"'s",
"1985",
"strike",
"filed",
"suit",
"Friday",
"in",
"Chicago",
"federal",
"court",
"to",
"block",
"the",
"takeover",
".",
"The",
"dissident",
"pilots",
"oppose",
"the",
"plan",
"because",
"it",
"would",
"cause",
"them",
"to",
"lose",
"their",
"seniority",
".",
"UAL",
"'s",
"management",
"agreed",
"to",
"reduce",
"the",
"seniority",
"of",
"those",
"pilots",
"in",
"exchange",
"for",
"the",
"support",
"of",
"the",
"United",
"pilot",
"union",
"for",
"the",
"buy-out",
"proposal",
".",
"The",
"220",
"pilots",
"involved",
"in",
"the",
"suit",
"are",
"n't",
"members",
"of",
"the",
"union",
".",
"The",
"airline",
"had",
"allowed",
"them",
"to",
"move",
"ahead",
"of",
"some",
"union",
"members",
"in",
"seniority",
"following",
"the",
"1985",
"strike",
",",
"a",
"move",
"the",
"union",
"had",
"contested",
"in",
"a",
"previous",
"lawsuit",
".",
"Judith",
"Valente",
"contributed",
"to",
"this",
"article",
"."
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[
"Put",
"down",
"that",
"phone",
".",
"Walk",
"around",
"the",
"room",
";",
"take",
"two",
"deep",
"breaths",
".",
"Resist",
"the",
"urge",
"to",
"call",
"your",
"broker",
"and",
"sell",
"all",
"your",
"stocks",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"the",
"advice",
"of",
"most",
"investment",
"professionals",
"after",
"Friday",
"'s",
"190-point",
"drop",
"in",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
".",
"No",
"one",
"can",
"say",
"for",
"sure",
"what",
"will",
"happen",
"today",
".",
"And",
"investment",
"pros",
"are",
"divided",
"on",
"whether",
"stocks",
"will",
"perform",
"well",
"or",
"badly",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"six",
"months",
".",
"But",
"they",
"'re",
"nearly",
"unanimous",
"on",
"one",
"point",
":",
"Do",
"n't",
"sell",
"into",
"a",
"panic",
".",
"Investors",
"who",
"sold",
"everything",
"after",
"the",
"crash",
"of",
"1987",
"lived",
"to",
"regret",
"it",
".",
"Even",
"after",
"Friday",
"'s",
"plunge",
",",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
"was",
"48",
"%",
"above",
"where",
"it",
"landed",
"on",
"Oct.",
"19",
"two",
"years",
"ago",
".",
"Panic",
"selling",
"also",
"was",
"unwise",
"during",
"other",
"big",
"declines",
"in",
"the",
"past",
".",
"The",
"crash",
"of",
"1929",
"was",
"followed",
"by",
"a",
"substantial",
"recovery",
"before",
"the",
"great",
"Depression",
"and",
"awful",
"bear",
"market",
"of",
"the",
"1930s",
"began",
".",
"The",
"``",
"October",
"massacres",
"''",
"of",
"1978",
"and",
"1979",
"were",
"scary",
",",
"but",
"did",
"n't",
"lead",
"to",
"severe",
"or",
"sustained",
"downturns",
".",
"Indeed",
",",
"some",
"pros",
"see",
"Friday",
"'s",
"plunge",
",",
"plus",
"any",
"further",
"damage",
"that",
"might",
"occur",
"early",
"this",
"week",
",",
"as",
"a",
"chance",
"for",
"bargain",
"hunting",
".",
"``",
"There",
"has",
"been",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"emotional",
"selling",
"that",
"presents",
"a",
"nice",
"buying",
"opportunity",
"if",
"you",
"'ve",
"got",
"the",
"cash",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Stephen",
"B.",
"Timbers",
",",
"chief",
"investment",
"officer",
"of",
"Chicago-based",
"Kemper",
"Financial",
"Services",
"Inc",
".",
"But",
"most",
"advisers",
"think",
"the",
"immediate",
"course",
"for",
"individual",
"investors",
"should",
"be",
"to",
"stand",
"pat",
".",
"``",
"When",
"you",
"see",
"a",
"runaway",
"train",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Steve",
"Janachowski",
",",
"partner",
"in",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"investment",
"advisory",
"firm",
"Brouwer",
"&",
"Janachowski",
",",
"``",
"you",
"wait",
"for",
"the",
"train",
"to",
"stop",
".",
"''",
"Even",
"for",
"people",
"who",
"expect",
"a",
"bear",
"market",
"in",
"coming",
"months",
"--",
"and",
"a",
"sizable",
"number",
"of",
"money",
"managers",
"and",
"market",
"pundits",
"do",
"--",
"the",
"advice",
"is",
":",
"Wait",
"for",
"the",
"market",
"to",
"bounce",
"back",
",",
"and",
"sell",
"shares",
"gradually",
"during",
"rallies",
".",
"The",
"best",
"thing",
"individual",
"investors",
"can",
"do",
"is",
"``",
"just",
"sit",
"tight",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Marshall",
"B.",
"Front",
",",
"executive",
"vice",
"president",
"and",
"head",
"of",
"investment",
"counseling",
"at",
"Stein",
"Roe",
"&",
"Farnham",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"Chicago-based",
"investment",
"counseling",
"firm",
"that",
"manages",
"about",
"$",
"18",
"billion",
".",
"On",
"the",
"one",
"hand",
",",
"Mr.",
"Front",
"says",
",",
"it",
"would",
"be",
"misguided",
"to",
"sell",
"into",
"``",
"a",
"classic",
"panic",
".",
"''",
"On",
"the",
"other",
"hand",
",",
"it",
"'s",
"not",
"necessarily",
"a",
"good",
"time",
"to",
"jump",
"in",
"and",
"buy",
".",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"all",
"emotion",
"right",
"now",
",",
"and",
"when",
"emotion",
"starts",
"to",
"run",
",",
"it",
"can",
"run",
"further",
"than",
"anyone",
"anticipates",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"``",
"So",
"it",
"'s",
"more",
"prudent",
"to",
"wait",
"and",
"see",
"how",
"things",
"stabilize",
".",
"''",
"Roger",
"Ibbotson",
",",
"professor",
"of",
"finance",
"at",
"Yale",
"University",
"and",
"head",
"of",
"the",
"market",
"information",
"firm",
"Ibbotson",
"Associates",
"Inc.",
",",
"says",
",",
"``",
"My",
"real",
"advice",
"would",
"be",
"to",
"just",
"ride",
"through",
"it",
".",
"Generally",
",",
"it",
"is",
"n't",
"wise",
"to",
"be",
"in",
"and",
"out",
"''",
"of",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
".",
"Mr.",
"Ibbotson",
"thinks",
"that",
"this",
"week",
"is",
"``",
"going",
"to",
"be",
"a",
"roller-coaster",
"week",
".",
"''",
"But",
"he",
"also",
"thinks",
"it",
"is",
"``",
"a",
"good",
"week",
"to",
"consider",
"buying",
".",
"''",
"John",
"Snyder",
",",
"former",
"president",
"of",
"the",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"chapter",
"of",
"the",
"National",
"Association",
"of",
"Investors",
"Corp.",
",",
"an",
"organization",
"of",
"investment",
"clubs",
"and",
"individual",
"investors",
",",
"says",
"his",
"fellow",
"club",
"members",
"did",
"n't",
"sell",
"in",
"the",
"crash",
"of",
"1987",
",",
"and",
"see",
"no",
"reason",
"to",
"sell",
"now",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"dedicated",
"long-term",
"investors",
",",
"not",
"traders",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"We",
"understand",
"panics",
"and",
"euphoria",
".",
"And",
"we",
"hope",
"to",
"take",
"advantage",
"of",
"panics",
"and",
"buy",
"stocks",
"when",
"they",
"plunge",
".",
"''",
"One",
"camp",
"of",
"investment",
"pros",
"sees",
"what",
"happened",
"Friday",
"as",
"an",
"opportunity",
".",
"Over",
"the",
"next",
"days",
"and",
"weeks",
",",
"they",
"say",
",",
"investors",
"should",
"look",
"for",
"stocks",
"to",
"buy",
".",
"Friday",
"'s",
"action",
"``",
"was",
"an",
"old-fashioned",
"panic",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Alfred",
"Goldman",
",",
"director",
"of",
"technical",
"market",
"analysis",
"for",
"A.G.",
"Edwards",
"&",
"Sons",
"in",
"St.",
"Louis",
".",
"``",
"Stocks",
"were",
"being",
"thrown",
"out",
"of",
"windows",
"at",
"any",
"price",
".",
"''",
"His",
"advice",
":",
"``",
"You",
"ought",
"to",
"be",
"there",
"with",
"a",
"basket",
"catching",
"them",
".",
"''",
"James",
"Craig",
",",
"portfolio",
"manager",
"for",
"the",
"Denver-based",
"Janus",
"Fund",
",",
"which",
"has",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"industry",
"'s",
"better",
"track",
"records",
",",
"started",
"his",
"buying",
"during",
"Friday",
"'s",
"plunge",
".",
"Stocks",
"such",
"as",
"Hershey",
"Foods",
"Corp.",
",",
"Wal-Mart",
"Stores",
"Inc.",
",",
"American",
"International",
"Group",
"Inc.",
"and",
"Federal",
"National",
"Mortgage",
"Association",
"became",
"such",
"bargains",
"that",
"he",
"could",
"n't",
"resist",
"them",
",",
"he",
"says",
".",
"And",
"Mr.",
"Craig",
"expects",
"to",
"pick",
"up",
"more",
"shares",
"today",
".",
"``",
"It",
"will",
"be",
"chaotic",
"at",
"first",
",",
"but",
"I",
"would",
"not",
"be",
"buying",
"if",
"I",
"thought",
"we",
"were",
"headed",
"for",
"real",
"trouble",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"He",
"argues",
"that",
"stocks",
"are",
"reasonably",
"valued",
"now",
",",
"and",
"that",
"interest",
"rates",
"are",
"lower",
"now",
"than",
"in",
"the",
"fall",
"of",
"1987",
".",
"Mr.",
"Front",
"of",
"Stein",
"Roe",
"suggests",
"that",
"any",
"buying",
"should",
"``",
"concentrate",
"in",
"stocks",
"that",
"have",
"lagged",
"the",
"market",
"on",
"the",
"up",
"side",
",",
"or",
"stocks",
"that",
"have",
"been",
"beaten",
"down",
"a",
"lot",
"more",
"than",
"the",
"market",
"in",
"this",
"correction",
".",
"''",
"His",
"firm",
"favors",
"selected",
"computer",
",",
"drug",
"and",
"pollution-control",
"stocks",
".",
"Other",
"investment",
"pros",
"are",
"more",
"pessimistic",
".",
"They",
"say",
"investors",
"should",
"sell",
"stocks",
"--",
"but",
"not",
"necessarily",
"right",
"away",
".",
"Many",
"of",
"them",
"stress",
"that",
"the",
"selling",
"can",
"be",
"orderly",
",",
"gradual",
",",
"and",
"done",
"when",
"stock",
"prices",
"are",
"rallying",
".",
"On",
"Thursday",
",",
"William",
"Fleckenstein",
",",
"a",
"Seattle",
"money",
"manager",
",",
"used",
"futures",
"contracts",
"in",
"his",
"personal",
"account",
"to",
"place",
"a",
"bet",
"that",
"the",
"broad",
"market",
"averages",
"would",
"decline",
".",
"He",
"thinks",
"the",
"underlying",
"inflation",
"rate",
"is",
"around",
"5",
"%",
"to",
"6",
"%",
",",
"far",
"higher",
"than",
"most",
"people",
"suppose",
".",
"In",
"the",
"pension",
"accounts",
"he",
"manages",
",",
"Mr.",
"Fleckenstein",
"has",
"raised",
"cash",
"positions",
"and",
"invested",
"in",
"gold",
"and",
"natural",
"gas",
"stocks",
",",
"partly",
"as",
"an",
"inflation",
"hedge",
".",
"He",
"thinks",
"government",
"officials",
"are",
"terrified",
"to",
"let",
"a",
"recession",
"start",
"when",
"government",
",",
"corporate",
"and",
"personal",
"debt",
"levels",
"are",
"so",
"high",
".",
"So",
"he",
"thinks",
"the",
"government",
"will",
"err",
"on",
"the",
"side",
"of",
"rekindled",
"inflation",
".",
"As",
"a",
"result",
",",
"Mr.",
"Fleckenstein",
"says",
",",
"``",
"I",
"think",
"the",
"ball",
"game",
"'s",
"over",
",",
"''",
"and",
"investors",
"are",
"about",
"to",
"face",
"a",
"bear",
"market",
".",
"David",
"M.",
"Jones",
",",
"vice",
"president",
"at",
"Aubrey",
"G.",
"Lanston",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"recommends",
"Treasury",
"securities",
"(",
"of",
"up",
"to",
"five",
"years",
"'",
"maturity",
")",
".",
"He",
"says",
"the",
"Oct.",
"6",
"employment",
"report",
",",
"showing",
"slower",
"economic",
"growth",
"and",
"a",
"severe",
"weakening",
"in",
"the",
"manufacturing",
"sector",
",",
"is",
"a",
"warning",
"sign",
"to",
"investors",
".",
"One",
"strategy",
"for",
"investors",
"who",
"want",
"to",
"stay",
"in",
"but",
"hedge",
"their",
"bets",
"is",
"to",
"buy",
"``",
"put",
"''",
"options",
",",
"either",
"on",
"the",
"individual",
"stocks",
"they",
"own",
"or",
"on",
"a",
"broad",
"market",
"index",
".",
"A",
"put",
"option",
"gives",
"its",
"holder",
"the",
"right",
"(",
"but",
"not",
"the",
"obligation",
")",
"to",
"sell",
"a",
"stock",
"(",
"or",
"stock",
"index",
")",
"for",
"a",
"specified",
"price",
"(",
"the",
"strike",
"price",
")",
"until",
"the",
"option",
"expires",
".",
"Whether",
"this",
"insurance",
"is",
"worthwhile",
"depends",
"on",
"the",
"cost",
"of",
"an",
"option",
".",
"The",
"cost",
",",
"or",
"premium",
",",
"tends",
"to",
"get",
"fat",
"in",
"times",
"of",
"crisis",
".",
"Thus",
",",
"buying",
"puts",
"after",
"a",
"big",
"market",
"slide",
"can",
"be",
"an",
"expensive",
"way",
"to",
"hedge",
"against",
"risk",
".",
"The",
"prices",
"of",
"puts",
"generally",
"did",
"n't",
"soar",
"Friday",
".",
"For",
"example",
",",
"the",
"premium",
"as",
"a",
"percentage",
"of",
"the",
"stock",
"price",
"for",
"certain",
"puts",
"on",
"Eli",
"Lilly",
"&",
"Co.",
"moved",
"up",
"from",
"3",
"%",
"at",
"Thursday",
"'s",
"close",
"to",
"only",
"3.3",
"%",
"at",
"Friday",
"'s",
"close",
",",
"even",
"though",
"the",
"shares",
"dropped",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"5.50",
".",
"But",
"put-option",
"prices",
"may",
"zoom",
"when",
"trading",
"resumes",
"today",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"hard",
"to",
"generalize",
"about",
"a",
"reasonable",
"price",
"for",
"puts",
".",
"But",
"investors",
"should",
"keep",
"in",
"mind",
",",
"before",
"paying",
"too",
"much",
",",
"that",
"the",
"average",
"annual",
"return",
"for",
"stock",
"holdings",
",",
"long-term",
",",
"is",
"9",
"%",
"to",
"10",
"%",
"a",
"year",
";",
"a",
"return",
"of",
"15",
"%",
"is",
"considered",
"praiseworthy",
".",
"Paying",
",",
"say",
",",
"10",
"%",
"for",
"insurance",
"against",
"losses",
"takes",
"a",
"deep",
"bite",
"out",
"of",
"the",
"return",
".",
"James",
"A.",
"White",
"and",
"Tom",
"Herman",
"contributed",
"to",
"this",
"article",
"."
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[
"One",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"``",
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".",
"``",
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",",
"''",
"warns",
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",",
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",",
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"Mr.",
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",",
"enthusiastic",
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"huge",
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",",
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"those",
"benefits",
"worth",
"?",
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"people",
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"will",
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",",
"they",
"wo",
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"deficits",
"that",
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"could",
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".",
"``",
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"seen",
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"the",
"'80s",
",",
"''",
"says",
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",",
"the",
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",",
"``",
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"sour",
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"numbers",
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".",
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",",
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"ink",
",",
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",",
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",",
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"Thomas",
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",",
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",",
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"''",
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"--",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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"--",
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",",
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",",
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"``",
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",",
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",",
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"J.",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"``",
"And",
"yet",
"his",
"company",
"is",
"one",
"reason",
"why",
"rights",
"are",
"so",
"high",
"today",
".",
"''",
"Rivals",
"carp",
"at",
"``",
"the",
"principle",
"of",
"Pilson",
",",
"''",
"as",
"NBC",
"'s",
"Arthur",
"Watson",
"once",
"put",
"it",
"--",
"``",
"he",
"'s",
"always",
"expounding",
"that",
"rights",
"are",
"too",
"high",
",",
"then",
"he",
"'s",
"going",
"crazy",
".",
"''",
"But",
"the",
"49-year-old",
"Mr.",
"Pilson",
"is",
"hardly",
"a",
"man",
"to",
"ignore",
"the",
"numbers",
".",
"A",
"Yale",
"law",
"school",
"graduate",
",",
"he",
"began",
"his",
"career",
"in",
"corporate",
"law",
"and",
"then",
"put",
"in",
"years",
"at",
"Metromedia",
"Inc.",
"and",
"the",
"William",
"Morris",
"talent",
"agency",
".",
"In",
"1976",
",",
"he",
"joined",
"CBS",
"Sports",
"to",
"head",
"business",
"affairs",
"and",
",",
"five",
"years",
"later",
",",
"became",
"its",
"president",
".",
"Mr.",
"Pilson",
"says",
"that",
"when",
"he",
"spoke",
"out",
"a",
"few",
"years",
"ago",
",",
"``",
"I",
"did",
"n't",
"say",
"forever",
",",
"and",
"I",
"did",
"n't",
"say",
"every",
"property",
".",
"''",
"The",
"market",
"changed",
",",
"he",
"adds",
".",
"And",
"he",
"is",
"n't",
"the",
"only",
"big",
"spender",
":",
"NBC",
"will",
"pay",
"a",
"record",
"$",
"401",
"million",
"for",
"the",
"1992",
"Summer",
"Games",
",",
"and",
"ESPN",
",",
"80%-owned",
"by",
"Capital",
"Cities/ABC",
",",
"will",
"shell",
"out",
"$",
"400",
"million",
"for",
"four",
"years",
"of",
"baseball",
",",
"airing",
"175",
"regular-season",
"games",
"a",
"year",
".",
"``",
"Our",
"competitors",
"say",
"we",
"overbid",
"them",
".",
"Who",
"cares",
"?",
"Maybe",
"we",
"recognize",
"values",
"the",
"other",
"guys",
"do",
"n't",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Pilson",
"says",
".",
"Mr.",
"Pilson",
"'s",
"``",
"Major",
"Events",
"''",
"strategy",
"jelled",
"after",
"Mr.",
"Tisch",
"took",
"over",
".",
"Mr.",
"Pilson",
"recalls",
"that",
"in",
"April",
"1986",
",",
"after",
"CBS",
"'s",
"annual",
"meeting",
"in",
"Philadelphia",
",",
"he",
"and",
"Mr.",
"Tisch",
"took",
"the",
"90-minute",
"train",
"ride",
"back",
"to",
"New",
"York",
",",
"and",
"Mr.",
"Pilson",
"used",
"this",
"extended",
"private",
"audience",
"to",
"outline",
"his",
"ambitions",
".",
"Mr.",
"Tisch",
",",
"a",
"billionaire",
"in",
"hotels",
"and",
"finance",
",",
"was",
"just",
"learning",
"the",
"TV",
"business",
".",
"Five",
"months",
"later",
",",
"Mr.",
"Tisch",
"took",
"over",
"as",
"CBS",
"'s",
"chief",
"executive",
",",
"and",
"soon",
"he",
"was",
"wielding",
"sole",
"approval",
"each",
"time",
"Mr.",
"Pilson",
"scribbled",
"a",
"frighteningly",
"large",
"figure",
"on",
"a",
"slip",
"of",
"paper",
",",
"sealed",
"it",
"in",
"an",
"envelope",
"and",
"gave",
"it",
"to",
"sports",
"negotiators",
".",
"Then",
",",
"in",
"May",
"1988",
",",
"Mr.",
"Tisch",
"urgently",
"needed",
"to",
"make",
"a",
"bold",
"statement",
"to",
"quell",
"rumors",
"that",
"he",
"might",
"sell",
"the",
"network",
".",
"Mr.",
"Pilson",
"gave",
"him",
"one",
":",
"He",
"bid",
"$",
"243",
"million",
"for",
"rights",
"to",
"the",
"1992",
"Winter",
"Games",
"in",
"Albertville",
",",
"France",
";",
"ABC",
"and",
"NBC",
"would",
"n't",
"bid",
"even",
"$",
"200",
"million",
".",
"That",
"started",
"the",
"still-raging",
"bidding",
"wars",
".",
"The",
"``",
"Major",
"Events",
"''",
"strategy",
",",
"Mr.",
"Pilson",
"says",
",",
"is",
"designed",
"to",
"notch",
"a",
"place",
"for",
"CBS",
"on",
"the",
"crowded",
"TV",
"dial",
"of",
"the",
"1990s",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"also",
"a",
"fast",
"fix",
"for",
"an",
"ailing",
"image",
".",
"He",
"sees",
"flashy",
"sports",
"as",
"the",
"only",
"way",
"the",
"last-place",
"network",
"can",
"cut",
"through",
"the",
"clutter",
"of",
"cable",
"and",
"VCRs",
",",
"grab",
"millions",
"of",
"new",
"viewers",
"and",
"tell",
"them",
"about",
"other",
"shows",
"premiering",
"a",
"few",
"weeks",
"later",
".",
"Next",
"October",
",",
"CBS",
",",
"for",
"the",
"first",
"time",
",",
"wo",
"n't",
"have",
"to",
"start",
"the",
"season",
"against",
"the",
"much-watched",
"American",
"and",
"National",
"baseball",
"league",
"championships",
"and",
"the",
"World",
"Series",
".",
"``",
"I",
"'ve",
"been",
"struggling",
"against",
"that",
"for",
"years",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Jonathan",
"Rodgers",
",",
"who",
"runs",
"WBBM-TV",
",",
"the",
"CBS-owned",
"station",
"in",
"Chicago",
".",
"Even",
"if",
"baseball",
"triggers",
"losses",
"at",
"CBS",
"--",
"and",
"he",
"does",
"n't",
"think",
"it",
"will",
"--",
"``",
"I",
"'d",
"rather",
"see",
"the",
"games",
"on",
"our",
"air",
"than",
"on",
"NBC",
"and",
"ABC",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"That",
"is",
"n't",
"surprising",
".",
"Regular",
"TV",
"series",
"ratings",
"have",
"slumped",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"five",
"years",
",",
"and",
"premiering",
"new",
"shows",
"is",
"``",
"a",
"crap",
"shoot",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Pilson",
"says",
".",
"But",
"top",
"sports",
"events",
"are",
"still",
"a",
"strong",
"bet",
"to",
"lure",
"audiences",
"30",
"%",
"or",
"40",
"%",
"larger",
"than",
"those",
"CBS",
"usually",
"gets",
".",
"Mr.",
"Pilson",
"says",
"baseball",
"and",
"the",
"Olympics",
"may",
"help",
"CBS",
"move",
"up",
"to",
"No.",
"2",
"in",
"the",
"household",
"ratings",
"race",
",",
"putting",
"pizazz",
"back",
"into",
"the",
"network",
"'s",
"image",
".",
"And",
"the",
"Winter",
"Olympics",
"will",
"air",
"during",
"the",
"February",
"``",
"sweeps",
",",
"''",
"when",
"ratings",
"are",
"used",
"to",
"set",
"ad",
"rates",
"for",
"local",
"stations",
".",
"That",
"will",
"please",
"once-grumpy",
"affiliates",
"--",
"another",
"aim",
"of",
"the",
"Pilson",
"plan",
".",
"They",
"gleefully",
"await",
"the",
"``",
"dream",
"season",
"''",
"in",
"1990",
".",
"CBS",
"will",
"air",
"the",
"Super",
"Bowl",
",",
"baseball",
"playoffs",
",",
"college",
"and",
"pro",
"basketball",
"finals",
"and",
"other",
"premier",
"sports",
"events",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"made",
"me",
"more",
"committed",
"to",
"CBS",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Philip",
"A.",
"Jones",
",",
"the",
"president",
"of",
"Meredith",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"broadcast",
"group",
",",
"which",
"has",
"two",
"CBS",
"affiliates",
".",
"The",
"CBS",
"plan",
"to",
"use",
"big-time",
"sports",
"as",
"a",
"platform",
"for",
"other",
"series",
"carries",
"no",
"guarantee",
"of",
"success",
",",
"however",
".",
"No",
"amount",
"of",
"hype",
"will",
"bring",
"viewers",
"back",
"if",
"the",
"shows",
"are",
"weak",
".",
"``",
"In",
"this",
"market",
"of",
"40",
"channels",
",",
"sophisticated",
"viewers",
"and",
"the",
"remote",
"control",
",",
"trial",
"is",
"n't",
"a",
"guarantee",
"of",
"anything",
",",
"''",
"ESPN",
"'s",
"Mr.",
"Werner",
"says",
".",
"``",
"If",
"the",
"show",
"ai",
"n't",
"a",
"killer",
",",
"they",
"'re",
"gone",
".",
"''",
"During",
"the",
"1984",
"Summer",
"Games",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"ABC",
"touted",
"``",
"Call",
"to",
"Glory",
",",
"''",
"but",
"the",
"military",
"drama",
"was",
"missing",
"in",
"action",
"within",
"weeks",
".",
"Last",
"October",
",",
"during",
"the",
"1988",
"Summer",
"Games",
",",
"NBC",
"relentlessly",
"pitched",
"a",
"new",
"series",
",",
"``",
"Tattingers",
".",
"''",
"It",
"belly-flopped",
"anyway",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"sports",
"is",
"hardly",
"the",
"best",
"way",
"to",
"lure",
"adult",
"women",
".",
"Though",
"CBS",
"might",
"move",
"up",
"to",
"No.",
"2",
"in",
"household",
"ratings",
",",
"most",
"advertisers",
"buy",
"based",
"on",
"ratings",
"for",
"women",
"aged",
"18",
"to",
"49",
".",
"CBS",
"may",
"remain",
"a",
"distant",
"No.",
"3",
"in",
"that",
"regard",
".",
"Nor",
"is",
"CBS",
"a",
"shoo-in",
"to",
"get",
"blockbuster",
"ratings",
".",
"In",
"recent",
"years",
",",
"the",
"World",
"Series",
"and",
"the",
"Olympics",
"were",
"aired",
"against",
"CBS",
"'s",
"last-place",
"lineup",
".",
"But",
"CBS",
"will",
"put",
"the",
"athletes",
"up",
"against",
"Bill",
"Cosby",
",",
"``",
"Cheers",
"''",
"and",
"other",
"shows",
"in",
"NBC",
"'s",
"No.",
"1",
"schedule",
".",
"Even",
"the",
"boon",
"to",
"affiliate",
"relations",
"may",
"be",
"limited",
".",
"The",
"sports",
"lineup",
"may",
"add",
"only",
"1",
"%",
"to",
"5",
"%",
"to",
"a",
"station",
"'s",
"annual",
"profits",
".",
"It",
"alone",
"is",
"n't",
"likely",
"to",
"stop",
"a",
"station",
"from",
"dumping",
"CBS",
"shows",
".",
"``",
"The",
"World",
"Series",
",",
"seven",
"nights",
",",
"was",
"n't",
"enough",
"of",
"an",
"incentive",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Arnold",
"Klinsky",
"of",
"WHEC-TV",
"in",
"Rochester",
",",
"which",
"dropped",
"CBS",
"for",
"NBC",
"six",
"weeks",
"ago",
".",
"``",
"You",
"'ve",
"got",
"to",
"judge",
"where",
"the",
"network",
"will",
"be",
"in",
"three",
"years",
".",
"''",
"The",
"intangible",
"benefits",
"may",
"prove",
"extremely",
"costly",
"if",
"CBS",
"ca",
"n't",
"avoid",
"big",
"losses",
"on",
"the",
"sports",
"coverage",
"itself",
".",
"And",
"avoiding",
"such",
"losses",
"will",
"take",
"a",
"monumental",
"effort",
".",
"On",
"the",
"$",
"1.06",
"billion",
"baseball",
"agreement",
"alone",
",",
"CBS",
"is",
"likely",
"to",
"lose",
"$",
"250",
"million",
"in",
"four",
"years",
",",
"contends",
"Mr.",
"Wussler",
",",
"the",
"former",
"CBS",
"man",
",",
"now",
"at",
"Comsat",
"Inc",
".",
"Nevertheless",
",",
"he",
"deems",
"the",
"deal",
"``",
"plain",
"smart",
"''",
"for",
"its",
"huge",
"promotional",
"value",
".",
"Mr.",
"Pilson",
"calls",
"that",
"loss",
"estimate",
"``",
"wildly",
"inaccurate",
",",
"''",
"conceding",
"only",
"that",
"CBS",
"will",
"lose",
"money",
"on",
"baseball",
"in",
"the",
"first",
"year",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"too",
"early",
"to",
"tell",
"''",
"what",
"happens",
"after",
"that",
",",
"he",
"says",
".",
"But",
"Mr.",
"Tisch",
"expects",
"losses",
"in",
"all",
"four",
"years",
"of",
"the",
"contract",
",",
"he",
"told",
"U.S.",
"senators",
"last",
"June",
".",
"CBS",
"will",
"pay",
"an",
"average",
"of",
"$",
"82",
"million",
"more",
"each",
"year",
"than",
"ABC",
"and",
"NBC",
"had",
"paid",
"together",
"--",
"and",
"those",
"two",
"networks",
"expect",
"losses",
"on",
"baseball",
"this",
"season",
".",
"Yet",
"CBS",
"will",
"air",
"only",
"12",
"regular-season",
"games",
",",
"26",
"fewer",
"than",
"ABC",
"and",
"NBC",
".",
"That",
"has",
"outraged",
"some",
"fans",
".",
"It",
"also",
"indicates",
"a",
"$",
"50",
"million",
"drop",
"in",
"ad",
"sales",
"for",
"regular-season",
"games",
"--",
"a",
"risk",
"CBS",
"took",
"to",
"get",
"an",
"unprecedented",
"lock",
"on",
"all",
"playoff",
"games",
".",
"If",
"the",
"playoffs",
"end",
"in",
"four-game",
"sweeps",
",",
"losses",
"could",
"soar",
".",
"Advertisers",
"are",
"resisting",
"higher",
"prices",
",",
"which",
"would",
"help",
"close",
"the",
"gap",
".",
"CBS",
"signed",
"General",
"Motors",
"and",
"Toyota",
"to",
"be",
"the",
"only",
"auto-maker",
"sponsors",
"in",
"baseball",
"for",
"four",
"years",
".",
"Price",
":",
"$",
"265",
"million",
".",
"But",
"ad",
"executives",
"who",
"negotiated",
"the",
"deal",
"say",
"that",
"works",
"out",
"to",
"only",
"$",
"275,000",
"for",
"a",
"30-second",
"ad",
"in",
"the",
"World",
"Series",
"through",
"1993",
"--",
"17",
"%",
"less",
"than",
"what",
"ABC",
"is",
"charging",
"for",
"the",
"Series",
"this",
"month",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"``",
"there",
"'s",
"no",
"question",
"ad",
"rates",
"will",
"come",
"down",
"considerably",
"''",
"from",
"the",
"GM-Toyota",
"price",
",",
"says",
"Arnold",
"Chase",
"of",
"Bozell",
"Inc",
".",
"Other",
"admen",
",",
"however",
",",
"say",
"rates",
"could",
"rise",
"later",
"if",
"ad",
"spending",
"surges",
".",
"The",
"Winter",
"Games",
"outlook",
"also",
"is",
"mixed",
".",
"CBS",
"expects",
"to",
"make",
"modest",
"profits",
",",
"but",
"rivals",
"contend",
"that",
"it",
"will",
"take",
"a",
"beating",
".",
"ABC",
"lost",
"$",
"75",
"million",
"on",
"the",
"1988",
"Winter",
"Games",
",",
"partly",
"because",
"of",
"its",
"$",
"309",
"million",
"rights",
"fee",
".",
"It",
"aired",
"94.5",
"hours",
"of",
"mostly",
"live",
"events",
"in",
"Calgary",
"--",
"helping",
"raise",
"ratings",
"slightly",
"from",
"1984",
"--",
"but",
"still",
"failed",
"to",
"deliver",
"the",
"audience",
"promised",
"to",
"advertisers",
".",
"CBS",
"will",
"add",
"25",
"1/2",
"hours",
"to",
"that",
"load",
"in",
"1992",
",",
"and",
"ratings",
"could",
"be",
"hurt",
"by",
"a",
"lack",
"of",
"live",
"events",
".",
"All",
"prime-time",
"fare",
"will",
"be",
"on",
"tape-delay",
"because",
"of",
"time",
"differences",
"with",
"Norway",
",",
"so",
"the",
"results",
"can",
"be",
"announced",
"on",
"the",
"6",
"o'clock",
"news",
".",
"(",
"Turner",
"Broadcasting",
"will",
"pay",
"CBS",
"$",
"25",
"million",
"to",
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"50",
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".",
")",
"Barry",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
"$",
"10",
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",",
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".",
"``",
"Ten",
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"ai",
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"jack",
",",
"man",
",",
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"3",
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",",
"''",
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",",
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"Management",
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",",
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".",
"``",
"It",
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"--",
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".",
"''",
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",",
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"''",
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",",
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"David",
"J.",
"Stern",
",",
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".",
"``",
"This",
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";",
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".",
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".",
"''",
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",",
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",",
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"--",
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"Sports",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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"200",
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"media-stock",
"analyst",
"Richard",
"J.",
"MacDonald",
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"Grippo",
"Riely",
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"Street",
"wo",
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",",
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",",
"''",
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"Mr.",
"Pilson",
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"--",
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"all",
"this",
"?",
"--",
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"exactly",
"say",
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".",
"``",
"What",
"you",
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",",
"Are",
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[
"Alan",
"Seelenfreund",
",",
"52",
"years",
"old",
",",
"was",
"named",
"chairman",
"of",
"this",
"processor",
"of",
"prescription",
"claims",
",",
"succeeding",
"Thomas",
"W.",
"Field",
"Jr.",
",",
"55",
",",
"who",
"resigned",
"last",
"month",
".",
"Mr.",
"Field",
"also",
"had",
"been",
"chairman",
"of",
"McKesson",
"Corp.",
",",
"resigning",
"that",
"post",
"after",
"a",
"dispute",
"with",
"the",
"board",
"over",
"corporate",
"strategy",
".",
"Mr.",
"Seelenfreund",
"is",
"executive",
"vice",
"president",
"and",
"chief",
"financial",
"officer",
"of",
"McKesson",
"and",
"will",
"continue",
"in",
"those",
"roles",
".",
"PCS",
"also",
"named",
"Rex",
"R.",
"Malson",
",",
"57",
",",
"executive",
"vice",
"president",
"at",
"McKesson",
",",
"as",
"a",
"director",
",",
"filling",
"the",
"seat",
"vacated",
"by",
"Mr.",
"Field",
".",
"Messrs.",
"Malson",
"and",
"Seelenfreund",
"are",
"directors",
"of",
"McKesson",
",",
"which",
"has",
"an",
"86",
"%",
"stake",
"in",
"PCS",
"."
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[
"Investors",
"unsettled",
"by",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"'s",
"gyrations",
"can",
"take",
"some",
"comfort",
"in",
"the",
"predictable",
"arrival",
"of",
"quarterly",
"dividend",
"checks",
".",
"That",
"has",
"been",
"particularly",
"true",
"this",
"year",
"with",
"many",
"companies",
"raising",
"their",
"payouts",
"more",
"than",
"10",
"%",
".",
"But",
"do",
"n't",
"breathe",
"too",
"easy",
":",
"Those",
"dividend",
"increases",
"may",
"signal",
"trouble",
"ahead",
"for",
"stock",
"prices",
",",
"some",
"analysts",
"warn",
".",
"In",
"the",
"past",
",",
"they",
"say",
",",
"the",
"strongest",
"dividend",
"growth",
"has",
"often",
"come",
"at",
"times",
"when",
"the",
"stock-market",
"party",
"was",
"almost",
"over",
".",
"That",
"can",
"be",
"a",
"trap",
"for",
"unwary",
"investors",
",",
"says",
"Richard",
"Bernstein",
",",
"senior",
"quantitative",
"analyst",
"at",
"Merrill",
"Lynch",
"&",
"Co",
".",
"Strong",
"dividend",
"growth",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"is",
"``",
"the",
"black",
"widow",
"of",
"valuation",
"''",
"--",
"a",
"reference",
"to",
"the",
"female",
"spiders",
"that",
"attract",
"males",
"and",
"then",
"kill",
"them",
"after",
"mating",
".",
"Stephen",
"Boesel",
",",
"president",
"of",
"T.",
"Rowe",
"Price",
"Growth",
"and",
"Income",
"Fund",
",",
"explains",
"that",
"companies",
"raise",
"their",
"payouts",
"most",
"robustly",
"only",
"after",
"the",
"economy",
"and",
"corporate",
"profits",
"have",
"been",
"growing",
"for",
"some",
"time",
".",
"``",
"Invariably",
",",
"those",
"strong",
"periods",
"in",
"the",
"economy",
"give",
"way",
"to",
"recessionary",
"environments",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"``",
"And",
"recessionary",
"environments",
"are",
"n't",
"hospitable",
"to",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
".",
"''",
"Indeed",
",",
"analysts",
"say",
"that",
"payouts",
"have",
"sometimes",
"risen",
"most",
"sharply",
"when",
"prices",
"were",
"already",
"on",
"their",
"way",
"down",
"from",
"cyclical",
"peaks",
".",
"In",
"1976",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"dividends",
"on",
"the",
"stocks",
"in",
"Standard",
"&",
"Poor",
"'s",
"500-stock",
"index",
"soared",
"10",
"%",
",",
"following",
"much",
"slower",
"growth",
"the",
"year",
"before",
".",
"The",
"S&P",
"index",
"started",
"sliding",
"in",
"price",
"in",
"September",
"1976",
",",
"and",
"fell",
"12",
"%",
"in",
"1977",
"--",
"despite",
"a",
"15",
"%",
"expansion",
"in",
"dividends",
"that",
"year",
".",
"That",
"pattern",
"has",
"n't",
"always",
"held",
",",
"but",
"recent",
"strong",
"growth",
"in",
"dividends",
"makes",
"some",
"market",
"watchers",
"anxious",
".",
"Payouts",
"on",
"the",
"S&P",
"500",
"stocks",
"rose",
"10",
"%",
"in",
"1988",
",",
"according",
"to",
"Standard",
"&",
"Poor",
"'s",
"Corp.",
",",
"and",
"Wall",
"Street",
"estimates",
"for",
"1989",
"growth",
"are",
"generally",
"between",
"9",
"%",
"and",
"14",
"%",
".",
"Many",
"people",
"believe",
"the",
"growth",
"in",
"dividends",
"will",
"slow",
"next",
"year",
",",
"although",
"a",
"minority",
"see",
"double-digit",
"gains",
"continuing",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"many",
"market",
"watchers",
"say",
"recent",
"dividend",
"trends",
"raise",
"another",
"warning",
"flag",
":",
"While",
"dividends",
"have",
"risen",
"smartly",
",",
"their",
"expansion",
"has",
"n't",
"kept",
"pace",
"with",
"even",
"stronger",
"advances",
"in",
"stock",
"prices",
".",
"As",
"a",
"result",
",",
"the",
"market",
"'s",
"dividend",
"yield",
"--",
"dividends",
"as",
"a",
"percentage",
"of",
"price",
"--",
"has",
"slid",
"to",
"a",
"level",
"that",
"is",
"fairly",
"low",
"and",
"unenticing",
"by",
"historical",
"standards",
".",
"Put",
"another",
"way",
",",
"the",
"decline",
"in",
"the",
"yield",
"suggests",
"stocks",
"have",
"gotten",
"pretty",
"rich",
"in",
"price",
"relative",
"to",
"the",
"dividends",
"they",
"pay",
",",
"some",
"market",
"analysts",
"say",
".",
"They",
"are",
"keeping",
"a",
"close",
"watch",
"on",
"the",
"yield",
"on",
"the",
"S&P",
"500",
".",
"The",
"figure",
"is",
"currently",
"about",
"3.3",
"%",
",",
"up",
"from",
"3.2",
"%",
"before",
"the",
"recent",
"market",
"slide",
".",
"Some",
"analysts",
"say",
"investors",
"should",
"run",
"for",
"the",
"exits",
"if",
"a",
"sustained",
"market",
"rebound",
"pushes",
"the",
"yield",
"below",
"3",
"%",
".",
"A",
"drop",
"below",
"that",
"3",
"%",
"benchmark",
"``",
"has",
"always",
"been",
"a",
"strong",
"warning",
"sign",
"that",
"stocks",
"are",
"fully",
"valued",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Mr.",
"Boesel",
"of",
"T.",
"Rowe",
"Price",
".",
"In",
"fact",
",",
"``",
"the",
"market",
"has",
"always",
"tanked",
".",
"Always",
".",
"There",
"'s",
"never",
"been",
"an",
"exception",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Gerald",
"W.",
"Perritt",
",",
"a",
"Chicago",
"investment",
"adviser",
"and",
"money",
"manager",
",",
"based",
"on",
"a",
"review",
"of",
"six",
"decades",
"of",
"stock-market",
"data",
".",
"The",
"last",
"time",
"the",
"S&P",
"500",
"yield",
"dropped",
"below",
"3",
"%",
"was",
"in",
"the",
"summer",
"of",
"1987",
".",
"Stockholders",
"who",
"took",
"the",
"hint",
"and",
"sold",
"shares",
"escaped",
"the",
"October",
"debacle",
".",
"There",
"have",
"been",
"only",
"seven",
"other",
"times",
"--",
"in",
"1929",
",",
"1933",
",",
"1961",
",",
"1965",
",",
"1968",
",",
"1971",
"and",
"1972",
"--",
"when",
"the",
"yield",
"on",
"the",
"S&P",
"500",
"dropped",
"below",
"3",
"%",
"for",
"at",
"least",
"two",
"consecutive",
"months",
",",
"Mr.",
"Perritt",
"found",
".",
"And",
"in",
"each",
"case",
",",
"he",
"says",
",",
"a",
"sharp",
"drop",
"in",
"stock",
"prices",
"began",
"within",
"a",
"year",
".",
"Still",
",",
"some",
"market",
"analysts",
"say",
"the",
"current",
"3.3",
"%",
"reading",
"is",
"n't",
"as",
"troublesome",
"as",
"it",
"might",
"have",
"been",
"in",
"years",
"past",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"not",
"a",
"very",
"meaningful",
"indicator",
"currently",
"because",
"corporations",
"are",
"not",
"behaving",
"in",
"a",
"traditional",
"manner",
",",
"''",
"says",
"James",
"H.",
"Coxon",
",",
"head",
"of",
"stock",
"investments",
"for",
"Cigna",
"Corp.",
",",
"the",
"Philadelphia-based",
"insurer",
".",
"In",
"particular",
",",
"Mr.",
"Coxon",
"says",
",",
"businesses",
"are",
"paying",
"out",
"a",
"smaller",
"percentage",
"of",
"their",
"profits",
"and",
"cash",
"flow",
"in",
"the",
"form",
"of",
"dividends",
"than",
"they",
"have",
"historically",
".",
"So",
",",
"while",
"stock",
"prices",
"may",
"look",
"fairly",
"high",
"relative",
"to",
"dividends",
",",
"they",
"are",
"not",
"excessive",
"relative",
"to",
"the",
"underlying",
"corporate",
"strength",
".",
"Rather",
"than",
"increasing",
"dividends",
",",
"some",
"companies",
"have",
"used",
"cash",
"to",
"buy",
"back",
"some",
"of",
"their",
"shares",
",",
"notes",
"Steven",
"G.",
"Einhorn",
",",
"co-chairman",
"of",
"the",
"investment",
"policy",
"committee",
"at",
"Goldman",
",",
"Sachs",
"&",
"Co",
".",
"He",
"factors",
"that",
"into",
"the",
"market",
"yield",
"to",
"get",
"an",
"adjusted",
"yield",
"of",
"about",
"3.6",
"%",
".",
"That",
"is",
"just",
"a",
"tad",
"below",
"the",
"average",
"of",
"the",
"past",
"40",
"years",
"or",
"so",
",",
"he",
"says",
".",
"What",
"will",
"happen",
"to",
"dividend",
"growth",
"next",
"year",
"?",
"Common",
"wisdom",
"suggests",
"a",
"single-digit",
"rate",
"of",
"growth",
",",
"reflecting",
"a",
"weakening",
"in",
"the",
"economy",
"and",
"corporate",
"profits",
".",
"PaineWebber",
"Inc.",
",",
"for",
"instance",
",",
"is",
"forecasting",
"growth",
"in",
"S&P",
"500",
"dividends",
"of",
"just",
"under",
"5",
"%",
"in",
"1990",
",",
"down",
"from",
"an",
"estimated",
"11",
"%",
"this",
"year",
".",
"In",
"other",
"years",
"in",
"which",
"there",
"have",
"been",
"moderate",
"economic",
"slowdowns",
"--",
"the",
"environment",
"the",
"firm",
"expects",
"in",
"1990",
"--",
"the",
"change",
"in",
"dividends",
"ranged",
"from",
"a",
"gain",
"of",
"4",
"%",
"to",
"a",
"decline",
"of",
"1",
"%",
",",
"according",
"to",
"PaineWebber",
"analyst",
"Thomas",
"Doerflinger",
".",
"The",
"minority",
"argument",
",",
"meanwhile",
",",
"is",
"that",
"businesses",
"have",
"the",
"financial",
"wherewithal",
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",",
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[
"Criminal",
"charges",
"were",
"filed",
"against",
"Diceon",
"Electronics",
"Inc.",
"and",
"two",
"company",
"officials",
"alleging",
"waste",
"disposal",
"violations",
"in",
"its",
"Chatsworth",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"facility",
".",
"The",
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"Angeles",
"County",
"district",
"attorney",
"'s",
"office",
"filed",
"seven",
"felony",
"and",
"five",
"misdemeanor",
"counts",
"charging",
"that",
"late",
"last",
"year",
"and",
"early",
"this",
"year",
"the",
"Irvine",
",",
"Calif.-based",
"circuit-board",
"manufacturer",
"illegally",
"disposed",
"of",
"acid",
",",
"caustic",
"and",
"heavy",
"metals",
"into",
"the",
"sewer",
"system",
",",
"and",
"stored",
"hazardous",
"materials",
"in",
"leaky",
",",
"unlabeled",
"or",
"open-top",
"containers",
".",
"Named",
"as",
"defendants",
"were",
"Roland",
"Matthews",
",",
"president",
",",
"and",
"Peter",
"Jonas",
",",
"executive",
"vice",
"president",
"and",
"chief",
"financial",
"officer",
",",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"a",
"former",
"plant",
"manager",
".",
"The",
"company",
"said",
"local",
"authorities",
"held",
"hearings",
"on",
"the",
"allegations",
"last",
"spring",
"and",
"had",
"returned",
"the",
"plant",
"to",
"``",
"routine",
"inspection",
"''",
"in",
"August",
".",
"``",
"The",
"company",
"does",
"not",
"feel",
"that",
"it",
"or",
"any",
"of",
"the",
"individuals",
"violated",
"any",
"criminal",
"statute",
"and",
"the",
"company",
"expects",
"full",
"vindication",
"in",
"court",
".",
"''",
"Arraignments",
"are",
"scheduled",
"for",
"Nov.",
"14",
"."
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[
"Program",
"traders",
"are",
"fond",
"of",
"predicting",
"that",
"if",
"they",
"are",
"blocked",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"they",
"will",
"simply",
"emigrate",
"to",
"foreign",
"stock",
"markets",
".",
"But",
"in",
"London",
"and",
"Tokyo",
",",
"where",
"computer-driven",
"trading",
"now",
"plays",
"a",
"small",
"but",
"growing",
"role",
",",
"traders",
"say",
"a",
"number",
"of",
"hurdles",
"loom",
".",
"Government",
"officials",
",",
"especially",
"in",
"Japan",
",",
"probably",
"would",
"resist",
"any",
"onslaught",
"of",
"program",
"trading",
"by",
"players",
"trying",
"to",
"shrug",
"off",
"the",
"U.S.",
"furor",
"over",
"their",
"activities",
"and",
"marching",
"abroad",
"with",
"their",
"business",
".",
"Japan",
"is",
"``",
"very",
"concerned",
"''",
"about",
"the",
"possible",
"effects",
"of",
"program",
"trading",
",",
"a",
"senior",
"Japanese",
"official",
"said",
"after",
"the",
"Oct.",
"13",
"stock",
"plunge",
"in",
"New",
"York",
".",
"U.S.",
"stock-index",
"futures",
"are",
"n't",
"even",
"traded",
"in",
"Japan",
"now",
".",
"And",
"because",
"of",
"the",
"time",
"difference",
",",
"the",
"Japanese",
"and",
"the",
"U.S.",
"markets",
"'",
"trading",
"hours",
"do",
"n't",
"overlap",
".",
"It",
"all",
"adds",
"up",
"to",
"a",
"barrier",
"to",
"American-style",
"index",
"arbitrage",
",",
"the",
"most",
"popular",
"form",
"of",
"U.S.",
"program",
"trading",
"that",
"seeks",
"to",
"exploit",
"brief",
"differences",
"between",
"prices",
"of",
"stocks",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"and",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"a",
"futures",
"contract",
"in",
"Chicago",
"based",
"on",
"those",
"stocks",
".",
"About",
"11.6",
"%",
"of",
"all",
"program",
"trading",
"by",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"firms",
"in",
"September",
"took",
"place",
"in",
"foreign",
"markets",
",",
"according",
"to",
"Big",
"Board",
"data",
".",
"Yet",
"it",
"is",
"difficult",
"to",
"imagine",
"Japan",
"racing",
"to",
"introduce",
"Chicago-style",
"stock-index",
"futures",
".",
"Japan",
"'s",
"Finance",
"Ministry",
"already",
"is",
"scrutinizing",
"institutional",
"investors",
"'",
"activity",
"to",
"see",
"whether",
"policy",
"changes",
"are",
"needed",
"to",
"cope",
"with",
"the",
"current",
"level",
"of",
"program",
"trading",
",",
"said",
"Makato",
"Utsumi",
",",
"vice",
"minister",
"for",
"international",
"finance",
".",
"Program",
"trading",
"has",
"taken",
"off",
"in",
"Japan",
"since",
"last",
"year",
"'s",
"introduction",
"of",
"home-market",
"stock-index",
"futures",
"trading",
"on",
"the",
"Tokyo",
"and",
"Osaka",
"stock",
"exchanges",
".",
"But",
"regulators",
"are",
"wary",
".",
"They",
"have",
"n't",
"forgotten",
"the",
"leap",
"in",
"share",
"prices",
"last",
"Dec.",
"7",
",",
"when",
"the",
"first",
"bout",
"of",
"foreign-led",
"index",
"arbitrage",
"drove",
"stocks",
"skyward",
"in",
"the",
"last",
"half-hour",
"of",
"trading",
",",
"startling",
"regulators",
"who",
"thought",
"they",
"had",
"written",
"enough",
"rules",
"to",
"prevent",
"such",
"a",
"swing",
".",
"Japan",
"'s",
"Finance",
"Ministry",
"had",
"set",
"up",
"mechanisms",
"to",
"limit",
"how",
"far",
"futures",
"prices",
"could",
"fall",
"in",
"a",
"single",
"session",
"and",
"to",
"give",
"market",
"operators",
"the",
"authority",
"to",
"suspend",
"trading",
"in",
"futures",
"at",
"any",
"time",
".",
"``",
"Maybe",
"it",
"was",
"n't",
"enough",
",",
"''",
"a",
"Finance",
"Ministry",
"official",
"noted",
"after",
"the",
"Dec.",
"7",
"surge",
".",
"Japan",
"'s",
"regulators",
"have",
"since",
"tightened",
"controls",
"on",
"index-related",
"stock",
"purchases",
".",
"Tokyo",
"'s",
"leading",
"program",
"traders",
"are",
"the",
"big",
"U.S.",
"securities",
"houses",
",",
"though",
"the",
"Japanese",
"are",
"playing",
"catch-up",
".",
"Some",
"U.S.",
"firms",
",",
"notably",
"Salomon",
"Inc.",
"and",
"Morgan",
"Stanley",
"Group",
"Inc.",
",",
"have",
"reaped",
"a",
"hefty",
"chunk",
"of",
"their",
"Japanese",
"earnings",
"from",
"index",
"arbitrage",
",",
"both",
"for",
"customers",
"and",
"for",
"their",
"own",
"accounts",
".",
"(",
"Morgan",
"Stanley",
"last",
"week",
"joined",
"a",
"growing",
"list",
"of",
"U.S.",
"securities",
"firms",
"that",
"have",
"stopped",
"doing",
"index",
"arbitrage",
"for",
"their",
"own",
"accounts",
".",
")",
"Both",
"Deryck",
"C.",
"Maughan",
",",
"who",
"heads",
"Salomon",
"in",
"Tokyo",
",",
"and",
"John",
"S.",
"Wadsworth",
",",
"who",
"heads",
"Morgan",
"Stanley",
"there",
",",
"ascribe",
"a",
"good",
"part",
"of",
"their",
"firms",
"'",
"success",
"in",
"Tokyo",
"to",
"their",
"ability",
"to",
"offer",
"sophisticated",
",",
"futures-related",
"investment",
"strategies",
"to",
"big",
"institutional",
"clients",
".",
"They",
"do",
"n't",
"have",
"plans",
"to",
"cut",
"back",
".",
"``",
"It",
"has",
"not",
"been",
"disruptive",
"in",
"the",
"markets",
"here",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Maughan",
"said",
".",
"``",
"The",
"real",
"difference",
"seems",
"to",
"be",
"that",
"the",
"cash",
"market",
"here",
"...",
"is",
"big",
"enough",
"and",
"liquid",
"enough",
"that",
"the",
"futures",
"market",
"is",
"n't",
"having",
"the",
"same",
"impact",
"it",
"does",
"in",
"America",
".",
"''",
"The",
"British",
"also",
"are",
"scrutinizing",
"program",
"trades",
".",
"Index-arbitrage",
"trading",
"is",
"``",
"something",
"we",
"want",
"to",
"watch",
"closely",
",",
"''",
"an",
"official",
"at",
"London",
"'s",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"said",
".",
"``",
"We",
"do",
"n't",
"think",
"there",
"is",
"cause",
"for",
"concern",
"at",
"the",
"moment",
".",
"''",
"London",
"serves",
"increasingly",
"as",
"a",
"conduit",
"for",
"program",
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[
"The",
"turmoil",
"on",
"Wall",
"Street",
"may",
"benefit",
"some",
"retailers",
"attempting",
"to",
"lead",
"leveraged",
"buy-outs",
"of",
"their",
"specialty",
"and",
"department-store",
"chains",
",",
"investment",
"bankers",
"and",
"retailers",
"said",
".",
"Managers",
"at",
"five",
"chains",
"have",
"said",
"in",
"recent",
"weeks",
"that",
"they",
"intend",
"to",
"bid",
"for",
"their",
"companies",
".",
"The",
"chains",
"include",
"Bloomingdale",
"'s",
",",
"owned",
"by",
"Campeau",
"Corp.",
",",
"Toronto",
";",
"Saks",
"Fifth",
"Avenue",
"and",
"Marshall",
"Field",
"'s",
",",
"owned",
"by",
"B.A.T",
"Industries",
"PLC",
",",
"London",
";",
"and",
"B.",
"Altman",
"&",
"Co.",
"and",
"Sakowitz",
"Inc.",
",",
"owned",
"by",
"Hooker",
"Corp.",
",",
"which",
"is",
"now",
"being",
"managed",
"by",
"a",
"court-appointed",
"provisional",
"liquidator",
".",
"Hooker",
"is",
"based",
"in",
"Sydney",
",",
"Australia",
".",
"The",
"combination",
"of",
"so",
"many",
"chains",
"available",
"for",
"sale",
",",
"the",
"recent",
"failures",
"of",
"such",
"retailing",
"LBO",
"'s",
"as",
"Miller",
"&",
"Rhoads",
"Inc.",
"and",
"declining",
"investor",
"confidence",
"will",
"drive",
"down",
"prices",
",",
"retailing",
"observers",
"said",
".",
"``",
"The",
"pricing",
"will",
"become",
"more",
"realistic",
",",
"which",
"should",
"help",
"management",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Bruce",
"Rosenthal",
",",
"a",
"New",
"York",
"investment",
"banker",
"with",
"Nathan",
"S.",
"Jonas",
"&",
"Co",
".",
"``",
"Investors",
"are",
"n't",
"going",
"to",
"be",
"throwing",
"money",
"at",
"any",
"of",
"the",
"proposed",
"LBOs",
",",
"but",
"doing",
"deals",
"on",
"the",
"basis",
"of",
"ridiculous",
"assumptions",
"never",
"made",
"sense",
",",
"either",
".",
"''",
"Earlier",
"this",
"year",
",",
"bankers",
"and",
"other",
"investors",
"were",
"willing",
"to",
"provide",
"financing",
"because",
"they",
"assumed",
"there",
"would",
"be",
"major",
"gains",
"in",
"both",
"profitability",
"and",
"sales",
",",
"Mr.",
"Rosenthal",
"added",
".",
"Those",
"days",
"are",
"over",
"now",
",",
"he",
"believes",
".",
"``",
"Competition",
"from",
"third",
"parties",
"who",
"have",
"cash",
"and",
"are",
"prepared",
"to",
"buy",
"has",
"always",
"existed",
"and",
"will",
"continue",
",",
"''",
"added",
"Mr.",
"Rosenthal",
".",
"``",
"But",
"when",
"prices",
"were",
"crazy",
",",
"it",
"was",
"even",
"harder",
"to",
"do",
"an",
"LBO",
".",
"Bankers",
"believed",
"in",
"the",
"greater-fool",
"theory",
"that",
"says",
"somebody",
"else",
"is",
"always",
"willing",
"to",
"pay",
"more",
".",
"This",
"is",
"no",
"longer",
"true",
"today",
".",
"''",
"At",
"Saks",
"Fifth",
"Avenue",
",",
"Paul",
"Leblang",
",",
"senior",
"vice",
"president",
",",
"marketing",
",",
"agreed",
"that",
"lower",
"prices",
"will",
"help",
"his",
"management",
"team",
"in",
"their",
"proposed",
"LBO",
".",
"``",
"Having",
"to",
"take",
"on",
"less",
"debt",
"would",
"certainly",
"be",
"an",
"advantage",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Leblang",
".",
"``",
"It",
"would",
"also",
"help",
"us",
"in",
"our",
"search",
"for",
"equity",
"partners",
".",
"To",
"make",
"an",
"LBO",
"work",
",",
"now",
"we",
"are",
"going",
"to",
"need",
"more",
"than",
"just",
"junk",
"bonds",
".",
"''",
"None",
"believe",
"the",
"proposed",
"management",
"LBOs",
"will",
"be",
"easy",
"to",
"complete",
",",
"especially",
"at",
"B.",
"Altman",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"which",
"is",
"under",
"Chapter",
"11",
"bankruptcy",
"protection",
".",
"Not",
"only",
"could",
"the",
"Wall",
"Street",
"gyrations",
"damp",
"Christmas",
"sales",
"if",
"consumers",
"lose",
"confidence",
"in",
"the",
"economy",
",",
"but",
"potential",
"junk-bond",
"buyers",
"are",
"sure",
"to",
"demand",
"even",
"stronger",
"covenants",
"and",
"greater",
"management",
"equity",
"participation",
".",
"Further",
",",
"many",
"institutions",
"today",
"holding",
"troubled",
"retailers",
"'",
"debt",
"securities",
"will",
"be",
"reticent",
"to",
"consider",
"additional",
"retailing",
"investments",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"called",
"bad",
"money",
"driving",
"out",
"good",
"money",
",",
"''",
"said",
"one",
"retailing",
"observer",
".",
"``",
"Institutions",
"that",
"usually",
"buy",
"retail",
"paper",
"have",
"to",
"be",
"more",
"concerned",
".",
"''",
"However",
",",
"the",
"lower",
"prices",
"these",
"retail",
"chains",
"are",
"now",
"expected",
"to",
"bring",
"should",
"make",
"it",
"easier",
"for",
"managers",
"to",
"raise",
"the",
"necessary",
"capital",
"and",
"pay",
"back",
"the",
"resulting",
"debt",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"the",
"fall",
"selling",
"season",
"has",
"generally",
"been",
"a",
"good",
"one",
",",
"especially",
"for",
"those",
"retailers",
"dependent",
"on",
"apparel",
"sales",
"for",
"the",
"majority",
"of",
"their",
"revenues",
".",
"``",
"What",
"'s",
"encouraging",
"about",
"this",
"is",
"that",
"retail",
"chains",
"will",
"be",
"sold",
"on",
"the",
"basis",
"of",
"their",
"sales",
"and",
"earnings",
",",
"not",
"liquidation",
"values",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Joseph",
"E.",
"Brooks",
",",
"chairman",
"and",
"chief",
"executive",
"officer",
"of",
"Ann",
"Taylor",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"specialty",
"chain",
".",
"``",
"Retailers",
"who",
"had",
"good",
"track",
"records",
"of",
"producing",
"profits",
"will",
"have",
"a",
"better",
"chance",
"to",
"buy",
"back",
"their",
"companies",
".",
"''",
"Still",
",",
"most",
"retailing",
"observers",
"expect",
"that",
"all",
"the",
"proposed",
"retailing",
"LBOs",
"will",
"depend",
"partly",
"on",
"the",
"sale",
"of",
"junk",
"bonds",
",",
"a",
"market",
"already",
"in",
"tumult",
",",
"in",
"part",
"because",
"of",
"concerns",
"associated",
"with",
"bonds",
"issued",
"by",
"the",
"Federated",
"and",
"Allied",
"units",
"of",
"Campeau",
".",
"``",
"Prices",
"for",
"retail",
"chains",
"are",
"lower",
"today",
"than",
"they",
"were",
"last",
"week",
",",
"which",
"will",
"help",
"management",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Gilbert",
"Harrison",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"Financo",
"Inc.",
",",
"an",
"investment-banking",
"firm",
"specializing",
"in",
"retailing",
"acquisitions",
".",
"``",
"But",
"the",
"hurdle",
"of",
"financing",
"still",
"has",
"to",
"be",
"resolved",
".",
"Potential",
"bondholders",
"will",
"either",
"look",
"for",
"greater",
"equity",
"participation",
"on",
"behalf",
"of",
"management",
",",
"or",
"insist",
"the",
"equity",
"component",
"of",
"the",
"deals",
"be",
"substantially",
"greater",
"than",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"."
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"interest",
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",",
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".",
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"cuts",
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"other",
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",",
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"Schroder",
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".",
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"a",
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"next",
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".",
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"quarter",
",",
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"``",
"disappointing",
"''",
"after",
"a",
"promising",
"start",
".",
"Sam",
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"spokesman",
",",
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"I",
"do",
"n't",
"know",
"about",
"disappointing",
",",
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"but",
"added",
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"the",
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"has",
"n't",
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"able",
"to",
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"the",
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"of",
"some",
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",",
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"supermarkets",
".",
"For",
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"98.5",
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",",
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"1.27",
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"share",
".",
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",",
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"23",
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"a",
"share",
".",
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"York",
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"Exchange",
"composite",
"trading",
",",
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"closed",
"at",
"$",
"47",
",",
"up",
"$",
"1.125",
"."
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".",
"The",
"company",
"cited",
"softness",
"in",
"the",
"retail",
"health",
"and",
"beauty",
"aids",
"category",
",",
"``",
"as",
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"as",
"the",
"intense",
"competition",
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"protection",
"product",
"line",
".",
"''",
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"sales",
"were",
"stronger",
",",
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"a",
"rebound",
"in",
"Brazil",
",",
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"economic",
"turmoil",
"had",
"hurt",
"year-earlier",
"results",
",",
"Johnson",
"&",
"Johnson",
"said",
".",
"Mr.",
"Lothson",
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"PaineWebber",
"said",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"sales",
"pace",
"has",
"been",
"picking",
"up",
"largely",
"because",
"the",
"effect",
"of",
"unfavorable",
"exchange",
"rates",
"has",
"been",
"easing",
"--",
"a",
"pattern",
"continuing",
"this",
"quarter",
".",
"He",
"cautioned",
",",
"however",
",",
"that",
"a",
"``",
"tough",
"tax-rate",
"comparison",
"''",
"may",
"slow",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"earnings",
"growth",
"for",
"the",
"current",
"quarter",
".",
"For",
"last",
"year",
"'s",
"fourth",
"quarter",
",",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"tax",
"rate",
"was",
"less",
"than",
"20",
"%",
",",
"he",
"said",
".",
"While",
"the",
"third",
"period",
"contained",
"no",
"major",
"surprises",
",",
"Mr.",
"Lothson",
"said",
",",
"the",
"results",
"show",
"how",
"sensitive",
"the",
"multinationals",
"can",
"be",
"to",
"developments",
"in",
"a",
"single",
"country",
"such",
"as",
"Brazil",
".",
"He",
"also",
"questioned",
"whether",
"recent",
"gains",
"in",
"that",
"country",
"can",
"be",
"sustained",
".",
"The",
"following",
"issues",
"were",
"recently",
"filed",
"with",
"the",
"Securities",
"and",
"Exchange",
"Commission",
":",
"Bergen",
"Brunswig",
"Corp.",
",",
"proposed",
"offering",
"of",
"liquid",
"yield",
"option",
"notes",
",",
"via",
"Merrill",
"Lynch",
"Capital",
"Markets",
".",
"Columbia",
"Gas",
"System",
"Inc.",
",",
"shelf",
"offering",
"of",
"up",
"to",
"$",
"200",
"million",
"of",
"debentures",
".",
"Laserscope",
",",
"initial",
"offering",
"of",
"1,656,870",
"common",
"shares",
",",
"of",
"which",
"1,455,000",
"shares",
"are",
"to",
"be",
"sold",
"by",
"the",
"company",
"and",
"201,870",
"by",
"holders",
",",
"via",
"Alex",
".",
"Brown",
"&",
"Sons",
"Inc.",
"and",
"Volpe",
",",
"Covington",
"&",
"Welty",
".",
"TeleVideo",
"Systems",
"Inc.",
",",
"proposed",
"offering",
"of",
"1,853,735",
"common",
"shares",
",",
"to",
"be",
"sold",
"by",
"holders",
".",
"Western",
"Gas",
"System",
"Inc.",
",",
"initial",
"offering",
"of",
"3,250,000",
"common",
"shares",
",",
"of",
"which",
"3,040,000",
"shares",
"will",
"be",
"sold",
"by",
"the",
"company",
"and",
"210,000",
"by",
"a",
"holder",
",",
"via",
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"Funding",
",",
"Smith",
"Barney",
",",
"Harris",
"Upham",
"&",
"Co.",
"and",
"Hanifen",
",",
"Imhoff",
"Inc",
"."
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[
"When",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"plastics",
"took",
"off",
"in",
"1987",
",",
"Quantum",
"Chemical",
"Corp.",
"went",
"along",
"for",
"the",
"ride",
".",
"The",
"timing",
"of",
"Quantum",
"'s",
"chief",
"executive",
"officer",
",",
"John",
"Hoyt",
"Stookey",
",",
"appeared",
"to",
"be",
"nothing",
"less",
"than",
"inspired",
",",
"because",
"he",
"had",
"just",
"increased",
"Quantum",
"'s",
"reliance",
"on",
"plastics",
".",
"The",
"company",
"outpaced",
"much",
"of",
"the",
"chemical",
"industry",
"as",
"annual",
"profit",
"grew",
"fivefold",
"in",
"two",
"years",
".",
"Mr.",
"Stookey",
"said",
"of",
"the",
"boom",
",",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"going",
"to",
"last",
"a",
"whole",
"lot",
"longer",
"than",
"anybody",
"thinks",
".",
"''",
"But",
"now",
"prices",
"have",
"nose-dived",
"and",
"Quantum",
"'s",
"profit",
"is",
"plummeting",
".",
"Some",
"securities",
"analysts",
"are",
"looking",
"for",
"no",
"better",
"than",
"break-even",
"results",
"from",
"the",
"company",
"for",
"the",
"third",
"quarter",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"year-earlier",
"profit",
"of",
"$",
"99.8",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"3.92",
"a",
"share",
",",
"on",
"sales",
"of",
"$",
"724.4",
"million",
".",
"The",
"stock",
",",
"having",
"lost",
"nearly",
"a",
"quarter",
"of",
"its",
"value",
"since",
"Sept.",
"1",
",",
"closed",
"at",
"$",
"34.375",
"share",
",",
"down",
"$",
"1.125",
",",
"in",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"composite",
"trading",
"Friday",
".",
"To",
"a",
"degree",
",",
"Quantum",
"represents",
"the",
"new",
"times",
"that",
"have",
"arrived",
"for",
"producers",
"of",
"the",
"so-called",
"commodity",
"plastics",
"that",
"pervade",
"modern",
"life",
".",
"Having",
"just",
"passed",
"through",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"most",
"profitable",
"periods",
"in",
"their",
"history",
",",
"these",
"producers",
"now",
"see",
"their",
"prices",
"eroding",
".",
"Pricing",
"cycles",
",",
"to",
"be",
"sure",
",",
"are",
"nothing",
"new",
"for",
"plastics",
"producers",
".",
"And",
"the",
"financial",
"decline",
"of",
"some",
"looks",
"steep",
"only",
"in",
"comparison",
"with",
"the",
"heady",
"period",
"that",
"is",
"just",
"behind",
"them",
".",
"``",
"We",
"were",
"all",
"wonderful",
"heroes",
"last",
"year",
",",
"''",
"says",
"an",
"executive",
"at",
"one",
"of",
"Quantum",
"'s",
"competitors",
".",
"``",
"Now",
"we",
"'re",
"at",
"the",
"bottom",
"of",
"the",
"heap",
".",
"''",
"At",
"Quantum",
",",
"which",
"is",
"based",
"in",
"New",
"York",
",",
"the",
"trouble",
"is",
"magnified",
"by",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"heavy",
"dependence",
"on",
"plastics",
".",
"Once",
"known",
"as",
"National",
"Distillers",
"&",
"Chemical",
"Corp.",
",",
"the",
"company",
"exited",
"the",
"wine",
"and",
"spirits",
"business",
"and",
"plowed",
"more",
"of",
"its",
"resources",
"into",
"plastics",
"after",
"Mr.",
"Stookey",
"took",
"the",
"chief",
"executive",
"'s",
"job",
"in",
"1986",
".",
"Mr.",
"Stookey",
",",
"59",
"years",
"old",
",",
"declined",
"to",
"be",
"interviewed",
"for",
"this",
"article",
",",
"but",
"he",
"has",
"consistently",
"argued",
"that",
"over",
"the",
"long",
"haul",
"--",
"across",
"both",
"the",
"peaks",
"and",
"the",
"troughs",
"of",
"the",
"plastics",
"market",
"--",
"Quantum",
"will",
"prosper",
"through",
"its",
"new",
"direction",
".",
"Quantum",
"'s",
"lot",
"is",
"mostly",
"tied",
"to",
"polyethylene",
"resin",
",",
"used",
"to",
"make",
"garbage",
"bags",
",",
"milk",
"jugs",
",",
"housewares",
",",
"toys",
"and",
"meat",
"packaging",
",",
"among",
"other",
"items",
".",
"In",
"the",
"U.S.",
"polyethylene",
"market",
",",
"Quantum",
"has",
"claimed",
"the",
"largest",
"share",
",",
"about",
"20",
"%",
".",
"But",
"its",
"competitors",
"--",
"including",
"Dow",
"Chemical",
"Co.",
",",
"Union",
"Carbide",
"Corp.",
"and",
"several",
"oil",
"giants",
"--",
"have",
"much",
"broader",
"business",
"interests",
"and",
"so",
"are",
"better",
"cushioned",
"against",
"price",
"swings",
".",
"When",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"polyethylene",
"moves",
"a",
"mere",
"penny",
"a",
"pound",
",",
"Quantum",
"'s",
"annual",
"profit",
"fluctuates",
"by",
"about",
"85",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
",",
"provided",
"no",
"other",
"variables",
"are",
"changing",
".",
"In",
"recent",
"months",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"polyethylene",
",",
"even",
"more",
"than",
"that",
"of",
"other",
"commodity",
"plastics",
",",
"has",
"taken",
"a",
"dive",
".",
"Benchmark",
"grades",
",",
"which",
"still",
"sold",
"for",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"50",
"cents",
"a",
"pound",
"last",
"spring",
",",
"have",
"skidded",
"to",
"between",
"35",
"cents",
"and",
"40",
"cents",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"ethylene",
",",
"the",
"chemical",
"building",
"block",
"of",
"polyethylene",
",",
"has",
"n't",
"dropped",
"nearly",
"so",
"fast",
".",
"That",
"discrepancy",
"hurts",
"Quantum",
"badly",
",",
"because",
"its",
"own",
"plants",
"cover",
"only",
"about",
"half",
"of",
"its",
"ethylene",
"needs",
".",
"By",
"many",
"accounts",
",",
"an",
"early",
"hint",
"of",
"a",
"price",
"rout",
"in",
"the",
"making",
"came",
"at",
"the",
"start",
"of",
"this",
"year",
".",
"China",
",",
"which",
"had",
"been",
"putting",
"in",
"huge",
"orders",
"for",
"polyethylene",
",",
"abruptly",
"halted",
"them",
".",
"Calculating",
"that",
"excess",
"polyethylene",
"would",
"soon",
"be",
"sloshing",
"around",
"the",
"world",
",",
"other",
"buyers",
"then",
"bet",
"that",
"prices",
"had",
"peaked",
"and",
"so",
"began",
"to",
"draw",
"down",
"inventories",
"rather",
"than",
"order",
"new",
"product",
".",
"Kenneth",
"Mitchell",
",",
"director",
"of",
"Dow",
"'s",
"polyethylene",
"business",
",",
"says",
"producers",
"were",
"surprised",
"to",
"learn",
"how",
"much",
"inventories",
"had",
"swelled",
"throughout",
"the",
"distribution",
"chain",
"as",
"prices",
"spiraled",
"up",
".",
"``",
"People",
"were",
"even",
"hoarding",
"bags",
",",
"''",
"he",
"says",
".",
"Now",
"producers",
"hope",
"prices",
"have",
"hit",
"bottom",
".",
"They",
"recently",
"announced",
"increases",
"of",
"a",
"few",
"cents",
"a",
"pound",
"to",
"take",
"effect",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"several",
"weeks",
".",
"No",
"one",
"knows",
",",
"however",
",",
"whether",
"the",
"new",
"posted",
"prices",
"will",
"stick",
"once",
"producers",
"and",
"customers",
"start",
"to",
"haggle",
".",
"One",
"doubter",
"is",
"George",
"Krug",
",",
"a",
"chemical-industry",
"analyst",
"at",
"Oppenheimer",
"&",
"Co.",
"and",
"a",
"bear",
"on",
"plastics",
"stocks",
".",
"Noting",
"others",
"'",
"estimates",
"of",
"when",
"price",
"increases",
"can",
"be",
"sustained",
",",
"he",
"remarks",
",",
"``",
"Some",
"say",
"October",
".",
"Some",
"say",
"November",
".",
"I",
"say",
"1992",
".",
"''",
"He",
"argues",
"that",
"efforts",
"to",
"firm",
"up",
"prices",
"will",
"be",
"undermined",
"by",
"producers",
"'",
"plans",
"to",
"expand",
"production",
"capacity",
".",
"A",
"quick",
"turnaround",
"is",
"crucial",
"to",
"Quantum",
"because",
"its",
"cash",
"requirements",
"remain",
"heavy",
".",
"The",
"company",
"is",
"trying",
"to",
"carry",
"out",
"a",
"three-year",
",",
"$",
"1.3",
"billion",
"plant-expansion",
"program",
"started",
"this",
"year",
".",
"At",
"the",
"same",
"time",
",",
"its",
"annual",
"payments",
"on",
"long-term",
"debt",
"will",
"more",
"than",
"double",
"from",
"a",
"year",
"ago",
"to",
"about",
"$",
"240",
"million",
",",
"largely",
"because",
"of",
"debt",
"taken",
"on",
"to",
"pay",
"a",
"$",
"50-a-share",
"special",
"dividend",
"earlier",
"this",
"year",
".",
"Quantum",
"described",
"the",
"payout",
"at",
"the",
"time",
"as",
"a",
"way",
"for",
"it",
"to",
"share",
"the",
"bonanza",
"with",
"its",
"holders",
",",
"because",
"its",
"stock",
"price",
"was",
"n't",
"reflecting",
"the",
"huge",
"profit",
"increases",
".",
"Some",
"analysts",
"saw",
"the",
"payment",
"as",
"an",
"effort",
"also",
"to",
"dispel",
"takeover",
"speculation",
".",
"Whether",
"a",
"cash",
"crunch",
"might",
"eventually",
"force",
"the",
"company",
"to",
"cut",
"its",
"quarterly",
"dividend",
",",
"raised",
"36",
"%",
"to",
"75",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
"only",
"a",
"year",
"ago",
",",
"has",
"become",
"a",
"topic",
"of",
"intense",
"speculation",
"on",
"Wall",
"Street",
"since",
"Mr.",
"Stookey",
"deflected",
"dividend",
"questions",
"in",
"a",
"Sept.",
"29",
"meeting",
"with",
"analysts",
".",
"Some",
"viewed",
"his",
"response",
"--",
"that",
"company",
"directors",
"review",
"the",
"dividend",
"regularly",
"--",
"as",
"nothing",
"more",
"than",
"the",
"standard",
"line",
"from",
"executives",
".",
"But",
"others",
"came",
"away",
"thinking",
"he",
"had",
"given",
"something",
"less",
"than",
"his",
"usual",
"straight-from-the-shoulder",
"performance",
".",
"In",
"any",
"case",
",",
"on",
"the",
"day",
"of",
"the",
"meeting",
",",
"Quantum",
"'s",
"shares",
"slid",
"$",
"2.625",
"to",
"$",
"36.625",
"in",
"Big",
"Board",
"trading",
".",
"On",
"top",
"of",
"everything",
"else",
",",
"Quantum",
"confronts",
"a",
"disaster",
"at",
"its",
"plant",
"in",
"Morris",
",",
"Ill",
".",
"After",
"an",
"explosion",
"idled",
"the",
"plant",
"in",
"June",
",",
"the",
"company",
"progressed",
"in",
"September",
"to",
"within",
"12",
"hours",
"of",
"completing",
"the",
"drawn-out",
"process",
"of",
"restarting",
"it",
".",
"Then",
"a",
"second",
"explosion",
"occurred",
".",
"Two",
"workers",
"died",
"and",
"six",
"remain",
"in",
"the",
"hospital",
".",
"This",
"human",
"toll",
"adds",
"the",
"most",
"painful",
"dimension",
"yet",
"to",
"the",
"sudden",
"change",
"in",
"Quantum",
"'s",
"fortunes",
".",
"Until",
"this",
"year",
",",
"the",
"company",
"had",
"been",
"steadily",
"lowering",
"its",
"accident",
"rate",
"and",
"picking",
"up",
"trade-group",
"safety",
"awards",
".",
"A",
"prolonged",
"production",
"halt",
"at",
"the",
"plant",
"could",
"introduce",
"another",
"imponderable",
"into",
"Quantum",
"'s",
"financial",
"future",
".",
"When",
"a",
"plant",
"has",
"just",
"been",
"running",
"flat",
"out",
"to",
"meet",
"demand",
",",
"calculating",
"lost",
"profit",
"and",
"thus",
"claims",
"under",
"business-interruption",
"insurance",
"is",
"straightforward",
".",
"But",
"the",
"numbers",
"become",
"trickier",
"--",
"and",
"subject",
"to",
"dickering",
"between",
"insured",
"and",
"insurer",
"--",
"when",
"demand",
"is",
"shifting",
".",
"``",
"You",
"say",
"you",
"could",
"have",
"sold",
"X",
"percent",
"of",
"this",
"product",
"and",
"Y",
"percent",
"of",
"that",
",",
"''",
"recalls",
"Theodore",
"Semegran",
",",
"an",
"analyst",
"at",
"Shearson",
"Lehman",
"Hutton",
"who",
"went",
"through",
"this",
"exercise",
"during",
"his",
"former",
"career",
"as",
"a",
"chemical",
"engineer",
".",
"``",
"And",
"then",
"you",
"still",
"have",
"to",
"negotiate",
".",
"''",
"Quantum",
"hopes",
"the",
"Morris",
"plant",
",",
"where",
"limited",
"production",
"got",
"under",
"way",
"last",
"week",
",",
"will",
"resume",
"full",
"operation",
"by",
"year",
"'s",
"end",
".",
"The",
"plant",
"usually",
"accounts",
"for",
"20",
"%",
"to",
"25",
"%",
"of",
"Quantum",
"'s",
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".",
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"Elliott",
"."
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[
"In",
"the",
"bidding",
"war",
"for",
"Public",
"Service",
"Co.",
"of",
"New",
"Hampshire",
",",
"United",
"Illuminating",
"Co.",
"raised",
"its",
"proposed",
"offer",
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"one",
"it",
"valued",
"at",
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"2.29",
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"2.19",
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",",
"apparently",
"topping",
"all",
"other",
"bidders",
".",
"The",
"bids",
"remain",
"subject",
"to",
"evaluation",
"by",
"the",
"federal",
"bankruptcy",
"court",
"supervising",
"PS",
"of",
"New",
"Hampshire",
"'s",
"reorganization",
".",
"They",
"are",
"also",
"indirectly",
"subject",
"to",
"approval",
"by",
"the",
"state",
"of",
"New",
"Hampshire",
",",
"where",
"residents",
"fear",
"soaring",
"rates",
"to",
"pay",
"for",
"the",
"cost",
"of",
"reorganization",
".",
"Each",
"of",
"the",
"four",
"parties",
"bidding",
"for",
"PS",
"of",
"New",
"Hampshire",
"proposes",
"a",
"complex",
"financial",
"package",
"to",
"satisfy",
"creditors",
"and",
"shareholders",
"and",
"also",
"proposes",
"a",
"formula",
"to",
"limit",
"rate",
"increases",
"to",
"satisfy",
"the",
"state",
".",
"The",
"new",
"round",
"of",
"bidding",
"would",
"seem",
"to",
"complicate",
"the",
"decision",
"making",
"for",
"Judge",
"James",
"Yacos",
",",
"the",
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"judge",
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"case",
",",
"because",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"stockholders",
",",
"unsecured",
"creditors",
"and",
"regulators",
"each",
"are",
"currently",
"backing",
"different",
"plans",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"proposals",
"are",
"so",
"close",
",",
"that",
"non-financial",
"issues",
"such",
"as",
"timing",
"may",
"play",
"a",
"more",
"important",
"role",
".",
"The",
"unsecured",
"creditors",
"agreed",
"in",
"principle",
"to",
"support",
"New",
"Haven",
",",
"Conn.-based",
"United",
"Illuminating",
"'s",
"new",
"bid",
".",
"They",
"previously",
"had",
"backed",
"an",
"internal",
"reorganization",
"plan",
"proposed",
"by",
"PS",
"of",
"New",
"Hampshire",
".",
"All",
"of",
"the",
"bidders",
"contemplate",
"full",
"payment",
"including",
"interest",
"to",
"secured",
"creditors",
".",
"United",
"Illuminating",
"'s",
"plan",
",",
"however",
",",
"offers",
"more",
"for",
"unsecured",
"creditors",
".",
"Geoffrey",
"Kalmus",
",",
"counsel",
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"the",
"official",
"creditors",
"committee",
",",
"said",
"that",
"under",
"the",
"United",
"Illuminating",
"plan",
",",
"unsecured",
"creditors",
"would",
"be",
"paid",
"in",
"full",
"credits",
"and",
"interest",
"of",
"about",
"$",
"855",
"million",
",",
"accrued",
"before",
"PS",
"of",
"New",
"Hampshire",
"'s",
"Jan.",
"1988",
"filing",
"for",
"bankruptcy",
"court",
"protection",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"they",
"would",
"receive",
"some",
"$",
"200",
"million",
"in",
"payments",
"for",
"interest",
"since",
"then",
".",
"Mr.",
"Kalmus",
"said",
"that",
"by",
"next",
"July",
"they",
"would",
"have",
"accrued",
"unpaid",
"interest",
"equal",
"to",
"$",
"350",
"million",
".",
"Other",
"plans",
"generally",
"would",
"n't",
"pay",
"unsecured",
"creditors",
"'",
"interest",
"accrued",
"since",
"the",
"filing",
".",
"Under",
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"Illuminating",
"'s",
"plan",
",",
"a",
"new",
"holding",
"company",
"would",
"be",
"formed",
"to",
"own",
"the",
"two",
"companies",
".",
"It",
"would",
"be",
"72%-owned",
"by",
"United",
"Illuminating",
"holders",
"and",
"28%-owned",
"by",
"current",
"holders",
"of",
"PS",
"of",
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"Hampshire",
"preferred",
"and",
"common",
"stock",
".",
"PS",
"of",
"New",
"Hampshire",
"preferred",
"holders",
"also",
"would",
"get",
"certain",
"debentures",
"and",
"preferred",
"stock",
".",
"United",
"Illuminating",
"said",
"the",
"preferred",
"holders",
"total",
"package",
"would",
"equal",
"about",
"60",
"%",
"of",
"their",
"claims",
".",
"Common",
"shareholders",
"would",
"end",
"up",
"owning",
"about",
"6.4",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"combined",
"company",
".",
"As",
"previously",
"reported",
",",
"Northeast",
"Utilities",
",",
"Hartford",
",",
"Conn.",
",",
"Monday",
"filed",
"a",
"bid",
"it",
"valued",
"at",
"$",
"2.25",
"billion",
".",
"That",
"offer",
"was",
"endorsed",
"by",
"the",
"shareholders",
"committee",
".",
"The",
"other",
"bidders",
",",
"New",
"England",
"Electric",
"System",
",",
"Westboro",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"and",
"PS",
"of",
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"Hampshire",
",",
"did",
"n't",
"change",
"the",
"value",
"of",
"their",
"bids",
",",
"although",
"PS",
"of",
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"Hampshire",
"changed",
"its",
"rate",
"proposal",
".",
"New",
"England",
"Electric",
"values",
"its",
"offer",
"at",
"$",
"2",
"billion",
"and",
"PS",
"of",
"New",
"Hampshire",
"values",
"its",
"reorganization",
"plan",
"at",
"$",
"2.2",
"billion",
".",
"The",
"bankruptcy",
"judge",
"has",
"ruled",
"that",
"federal",
"bankruptcy",
"laws",
"could",
"be",
"used",
"to",
"circumvent",
"state",
"regulation",
".",
"However",
",",
"creditors",
"and",
"bidders",
"alike",
"concede",
"that",
"the",
"state",
"plays",
"a",
"major",
"role",
"because",
"it",
"could",
"significantly",
"delay",
"final",
"settlement",
"of",
"a",
"plan",
"it",
"did",
"n't",
"like",
".",
"The",
"state",
"has",
"endorsed",
"the",
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"England",
"Electric",
"plan",
",",
"which",
"promises",
"to",
"limit",
"rate",
"increases",
"to",
"4.8",
"%",
"annually",
"for",
"seven",
"years",
".",
"Northeast",
"Utilities",
"'",
"plan",
"proposes",
"5.5",
"%",
"annual",
"increases",
".",
"PS",
"of",
"New",
"Hampshire",
"amended",
"its",
"plan",
"to",
"call",
"for",
"two",
"years",
"of",
"5.5",
"%",
"rate",
"increases",
"followed",
"by",
"five",
"years",
"of",
"4.5",
"%",
"increases",
".",
"Fuel",
"cost",
"adjustments",
"could",
"change",
"the",
"effective",
"rate",
"increases",
",",
"however",
".",
"Previously",
"it",
"had",
"proposed",
"seven",
"years",
"of",
"5.5",
"%",
"increases",
".",
"United",
"Illuminating",
"also",
"amended",
"its",
"rate",
"plan",
".",
"The",
"new",
"offer",
"assumes",
"just",
"five",
"years",
"of",
"5.5",
"%",
"rate",
"increases",
",",
"to",
"be",
"followed",
"by",
"state-approved",
"increases",
"under",
"the",
"usual",
"hearing",
"procedure",
".",
"Previously",
"United",
"Illuminating",
"had",
"also",
"called",
"for",
"seven",
"years",
"of",
"5.5",
"%",
"increases",
".",
"The",
"bids",
"and",
"rate",
"proposals",
"generally",
"assume",
"the",
"Seabrook",
"nuclear",
"power",
"plant",
",",
"which",
"is",
"completed",
",",
"will",
"go",
"into",
"operation",
".",
"Most",
"of",
"the",
"plans",
"have",
"reduced",
"bids",
"in",
"case",
"the",
"plant",
"fails",
"to",
"get",
"a",
"license",
"from",
"the",
"Nuclear",
"Regulatory",
"Commission",
".",
"In",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"trading",
",",
"PS",
"of",
"New",
"Hampshire",
"'s",
"17",
"1/2",
"debenture",
"due",
"2004",
"closed",
"yesterday",
"at",
"$",
"82.50",
",",
"up",
"$",
"2",
".",
"The",
"utility",
"'s",
"stock",
"closed",
"at",
"$",
"4",
"a",
"share",
",",
"up",
"37.5",
"cents",
",",
"in",
"composite",
"trading",
"on",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
".",
"In",
"a",
"separate",
"development",
",",
"PS",
"of",
"New",
"Hampshire",
"gave",
"60",
"managers",
"severance",
"agreements",
"that",
"would",
"pay",
"one",
"to",
"three",
"years",
"'",
"salary",
"if",
"their",
"jobs",
"were",
"changed",
"or",
"they",
"were",
"dismissed",
"in",
"the",
"wake",
"of",
"a",
"takeover",
".",
"It",
"said",
"the",
"maximum",
"cost",
"of",
"the",
"plan",
"would",
"be",
"$",
"9.7",
"million",
"."
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".",
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"``",
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".",
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",",
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"pre-empt",
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"'",
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".",
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"an",
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"D.",
",",
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".",
")",
"despite",
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"business",
"only",
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".",
"There",
"is",
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"the",
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"care",
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".",
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"making",
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"harder",
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"``",
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"89",
",",
"we",
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"plans",
",",
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[
"Stock",
"prices",
"closed",
"slightly",
"higher",
"in",
"the",
"first",
"routine",
"trading",
"day",
"since",
"Friday",
"'s",
"big",
"plunge",
".",
"Some",
"issues",
"were",
"affected",
"by",
"Tuesday",
"'s",
"devastating",
"earthquake",
"in",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"area",
".",
"Activity",
"continued",
"to",
"slow",
"from",
"the",
"hectic",
"pace",
"set",
"during",
"the",
"market",
"'s",
"plunge",
"late",
"Friday",
"and",
"its",
"rebound",
"Monday",
",",
"as",
"players",
"began",
"to",
"set",
"their",
"sights",
"on",
"events",
"coming",
"later",
"this",
"week",
".",
"The",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Industrial",
"Average",
"drifted",
"through",
"the",
"session",
"within",
"a",
"trading",
"range",
"of",
"about",
"30",
"points",
"before",
"closing",
"with",
"a",
"gain",
"of",
"4.92",
"at",
"2643.65",
".",
"Broader",
"averages",
"also",
"posted",
"modest",
"gains",
".",
"Standard",
"&",
"Poor",
"'s",
"500-Stock",
"Index",
"rose",
"0.60",
"to",
"341.76",
",",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Equity",
"Market",
"Index",
"rose",
"0.71",
"to",
"320.54",
"and",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"Composite",
"Index",
"gained",
"0.43",
"to",
"189.32",
".",
"Some",
"822",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"issues",
"advanced",
"in",
"price",
",",
"while",
"668",
"declined",
".",
"But",
"the",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"Transportation",
"Average",
"went",
"down",
"for",
"the",
"seventh",
"consecutive",
"session",
",",
"due",
"largely",
"to",
"further",
"selling",
"in",
"UAL",
".",
"The",
"average",
"dropped",
"6.40",
"to",
"1247.87",
"and",
"has",
"now",
"lost",
"21.7",
"%",
"of",
"its",
"value",
"since",
"the",
"losing",
"streak",
"began",
"Oct.",
"10",
".",
"Big",
"Board",
"volume",
"dropped",
"to",
"166,900,000",
"shares",
",",
"in",
"line",
"with",
"the",
"level",
"of",
"trading",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"few",
"weeks",
",",
"from",
"224.1",
"million",
"Tuesday",
".",
"Traders",
"cited",
"anticipation",
"of",
"the",
"consumer",
"price",
"report",
"for",
"September",
",",
"due",
"today",
",",
"and",
"tomorrow",
"'s",
"expiration",
"of",
"October",
"stock-index",
"futures",
"and",
"options",
"as",
"major",
"factors",
"in",
"the",
"slowdown",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"activity",
"at",
"a",
"number",
"of",
"San",
"Francisco-based",
"brokerage",
"houses",
"was",
"curtailed",
"as",
"a",
"result",
"of",
"the",
"earthquake",
",",
"which",
"knocked",
"out",
"power",
"lines",
"and",
"telephone",
"service",
"throughout",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
".",
"Stocks",
"retreated",
"to",
"session",
"lows",
"just",
"after",
"the",
"opening",
"amid",
"worries",
"about",
"the",
"market",
"impact",
"of",
"the",
"quake",
",",
"but",
"quickly",
"snapped",
"back",
"to",
"higher",
"levels",
"with",
"the",
"help",
"of",
"futures-related",
"program",
"buying",
".",
"The",
"early",
"move",
"essentially",
"established",
"the",
"day",
"'s",
"trading",
"range",
",",
"and",
"traders",
"said",
"they",
"saw",
"little",
"of",
"the",
"program",
"activity",
"that",
"has",
"battered",
"the",
"market",
"recently",
".",
"``",
"I",
"did",
"n't",
"expect",
"it",
"to",
"be",
"this",
"quiet",
".",
"I",
"expected",
"to",
"see",
"more",
"volatility",
"as",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"institutions",
"who",
"were",
"spooked",
"last",
"Friday",
"did",
"some",
"selling",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Raymond",
"F.",
"DeVoe",
",",
"a",
"market",
"strategist",
"at",
"Legg",
"Mason",
"Wood",
"Walker",
",",
"Baltimore",
".",
"Mr.",
"DeVoe",
"said",
"he",
"expects",
"prices",
"to",
"show",
"some",
"renewed",
"instability",
"over",
"the",
"next",
"few",
"sessions",
"as",
"institutions",
"re-evaluate",
"their",
"stance",
"toward",
"the",
"market",
"in",
"light",
"of",
"its",
"decline",
".",
"``",
"I",
"would",
"suspect",
"that",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"investment",
"committees",
"are",
"looking",
"into",
"whether",
"(",
"they",
")",
"want",
"to",
"be",
"in",
"stocks",
"at",
"all",
",",
"''",
"he",
"said",
".",
"Insurance",
"stocks",
"were",
"sold",
"at",
"the",
"opening",
"amid",
"concerns",
"about",
"the",
"level",
"of",
"damage",
"claims",
"the",
"companies",
"would",
"receive",
"as",
"a",
"result",
"of",
"the",
"earthquake",
".",
"But",
"those",
"issues",
"recovered",
"quickly",
"and",
"turned",
"higher",
"because",
"of",
"expectations",
"that",
"the",
"quake",
"and",
"the",
"recent",
"Hurricane",
"Hugo",
"would",
"set",
"the",
"stage",
"for",
"an",
"increase",
"in",
"premium",
"rates",
".",
"Issues",
"of",
"insurance",
"brokers",
"were",
"especially",
"strong",
".",
"Marsh",
"&",
"McLennan",
"advanced",
"3",
"1/8",
"to",
"75",
"7/8",
",",
"Alexander",
"&",
"Alexander",
"Services",
"climbed",
"2",
"to",
"32",
"and",
"Corroon",
"&",
"Black",
"firmed",
"1",
"7/8",
"to",
"37",
"1/2",
".",
"Elsewhere",
"in",
"the",
"group",
",",
"General",
"Re",
"rose",
"2",
"3/4",
"to",
"86",
"1/2",
",",
"American",
"International",
"Group",
"gained",
"3",
"1/4",
"to",
"102",
"5/8",
",",
"Aetna",
"Life",
"&",
"Casualty",
"added",
"2",
"3/8",
"to",
"59",
"1/2",
"and",
"Cigna",
"advanced",
"7/8",
"to",
"62",
"1/2",
".",
"Loews",
",",
"the",
"parent",
"of",
"CNA",
"Financial",
",",
"rose",
"1",
"3/8",
"to",
"123",
"1/8",
".",
"Companies",
"in",
"the",
"construction",
",",
"engineering",
"and",
"building-products",
"sectors",
"were",
"among",
"other",
"beneficiaries",
"of",
"earthquake-related",
"buying",
".",
"The",
"heavy-construction",
"sector",
"was",
"the",
"session",
"'s",
"best",
"performer",
"among",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"industry",
"groups",
";",
"Fluor",
"rose",
"3/4",
"to",
"33",
"3/8",
",",
"Morrison",
"Knudsen",
"gained",
"2",
"1/4",
"to",
"44",
"1/8",
",",
"Foster",
"Wheeler",
"added",
"3/8",
"to",
"18",
"1/4",
"and",
"Ameron",
"climbed",
"2",
"3/8",
"to",
"39",
"3/4",
".",
"Among",
"engineering",
"firms",
",",
"CRS",
"Sirrine",
"rose",
"5/8",
"to",
"34",
"1/4",
"on",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
"and",
"four",
"others",
"rallied",
"on",
"the",
"American",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
":",
"Jacobs",
"Engineering",
"Group",
",",
"which",
"gained",
"1",
"1/8",
"to",
"25",
"3/8",
",",
"Greiner",
"Engineering",
",",
"which",
"rose",
"3",
"1/2",
"to",
"22",
"1/2",
";",
"Michael",
"Baker",
",",
"which",
"added",
"1",
"1/4",
"to",
"15",
"1/4",
",",
"and",
"American",
"Science",
"&",
"Engineering",
",",
"up",
"1/2",
"to",
"8",
"1/2",
".",
"Within",
"the",
"building-materials",
"group",
",",
"Georgia-Pacific",
"climbed",
"1",
"1/4",
"to",
"58",
"and",
"Louisiana-Pacific",
"added",
"1",
"to",
"40",
"3/4",
"after",
"Merrill",
"Lynch",
"recommended",
"the",
"forest-products",
"issues",
".",
"CalMat",
"advanced",
"2",
"3/4",
"to",
"28",
"3/4",
",",
"Lone",
"Star",
"Industries",
"gained",
"1",
"3/4",
"to",
"29",
"1/4",
",",
"Lafarge",
"rose",
"1",
"to",
"19",
"1/2",
",",
"Southdown",
"added",
"5/8",
"to",
"24",
"5/8",
"and",
"Eljer",
"Industries",
"rose",
"1",
"1/4",
"to",
"24",
"7/8",
".",
"Pacific",
"Gas",
"&",
"Electric",
"fell",
"3/8",
"to",
"19",
"5/8",
"in",
"Big",
"Board",
"composite",
"trading",
"of",
"1.7",
"million",
"shares",
"and",
"Pacific",
"Telesis",
"Group",
"slipped",
"5/8",
"to",
"44",
"5/8",
"as",
"the",
"companies",
"worked",
"to",
"restore",
"service",
"to",
"areas",
"affected",
"by",
"the",
"quake",
".",
"Chevron",
"added",
"1",
"to",
"65",
".",
"The",
"company",
",",
"based",
"in",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"said",
"it",
"had",
"to",
"shut",
"down",
"a",
"crude-oil",
"pipeline",
"in",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
"to",
"check",
"for",
"leaks",
"but",
"added",
"that",
"its",
"refinery",
"in",
"nearby",
"Richmond",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"was",
"undamaged",
".",
"Other",
"companies",
"based",
"in",
"the",
"area",
"include",
"Hewlett-Packard",
",",
"which",
"rose",
"1/4",
"to",
"49",
";",
"National",
"Semiconductor",
",",
"which",
"went",
"up",
"1/4",
"to",
"7",
"5/8",
",",
"and",
"Genentech",
",",
"which",
"eased",
"1/4",
"to",
"19",
"5/8",
".",
"None",
"of",
"the",
"firms",
"reported",
"any",
"major",
"damage",
"to",
"facilities",
"as",
"a",
"result",
"of",
"the",
"quake",
".",
"BankAmerica",
"eased",
"1/2",
"to",
"31",
"7/8",
"and",
"Wells",
"Fargo",
"lost",
"1/2",
"to",
"81",
"1/2",
";",
"the",
"two",
"bank",
"holding",
"companies",
",",
"based",
"in",
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"Francisco",
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"its",
"junk",
"portfolio",
"to",
"$",
"4.4",
"billion",
"was",
"n't",
"enough",
",",
"meaning",
"another",
"markdown",
"could",
"be",
"coming",
".",
"But",
"in",
"recent",
"days",
",",
"Columbia",
"has",
"edged",
"up",
",",
"closing",
"at",
"5",
"1/4",
",",
"up",
"3/8",
",",
"yesterday",
"on",
"revived",
"speculation",
"that",
"the",
"thrift",
"might",
"restructure",
".",
"Mr.",
"Spiegel",
"'s",
"fans",
"say",
"Columbia",
"'s",
"Southern",
"California",
"branches",
"are",
"highly",
"salable",
",",
"and",
"the",
"thrift",
"has",
"$",
"458",
"million",
"of",
"shareholders",
"equity",
"underlying",
"its",
"assets",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"almost",
"$",
"10",
"of",
"equity",
"for",
"each",
"Columbia",
"share",
",",
"including",
"convertible",
"preferred",
"shares",
",",
"though",
"more",
"junk",
"markdowns",
"would",
"reduce",
"the",
"cushion",
".",
"Columbia",
"has",
"only",
"about",
"10",
"million",
"common",
"shares",
"in",
"public",
"hands",
".",
"The",
"Spiegel",
"family",
"has",
"25",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"common",
"and",
"75",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"votes",
".",
"Other",
"big",
"common",
"holders",
"are",
"Carl",
"Lindner",
"'s",
"American",
"Financial",
",",
"investor",
"Irwin",
"Jacobs",
"and",
"Pacific",
"Financial",
"Research",
",",
"though",
"the",
"latter",
"cut",
"its",
"stake",
"this",
"summer",
".",
"While",
"many",
"problems",
"would",
"attend",
"a",
"restructuring",
"of",
"Columbia",
",",
"investors",
"say",
"Mr.",
"Spiegel",
"is",
"mulling",
"such",
"a",
"plan",
"to",
"mitigate",
"Columbia",
"'s",
"junk",
"problems",
".",
"Indeed",
",",
"Columbia",
"executives",
"recently",
"told",
"reporters",
"they",
"were",
"interested",
"in",
"creating",
"a",
"separate",
"unit",
"to",
"hold",
"Columbia",
"'s",
"junk",
"bonds",
"and",
"perhaps",
"do",
"merchant",
"banking",
".",
"Columbia",
"wo",
"n't",
"comment",
"on",
"all",
"the",
"speculation",
".",
"But",
"like",
"other",
"thrifts",
",",
"it",
"'s",
"expected",
"to",
"seek",
"regulators",
"'",
"consent",
"to",
"create",
"a",
"distinct",
"junk-bond",
"entity",
".",
"Plans",
"to",
"do",
"this",
"are",
"due",
"to",
"be",
"filed",
"in",
"a",
"week",
"or",
"so",
".",
"New",
"rules",
"force",
"thrifts",
"to",
"write",
"down",
"their",
"junk",
"to",
"market",
"value",
",",
"then",
"sell",
"the",
"bonds",
"over",
"five",
"years",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"why",
"Columbia",
"just",
"wrote",
"off",
"$",
"130",
"million",
"of",
"its",
"junk",
"and",
"reserved",
"$",
"227",
"million",
"for",
"future",
"junk",
"losses",
".",
"But",
"if",
"Columbia",
"could",
"keep",
"its",
"junk",
"bonds",
"separate",
"from",
"the",
"thrift",
"till",
"they",
"mature",
"--",
"at",
"full",
"value",
",",
"unless",
"the",
"issuer",
"goes",
"bust",
"or",
"restructures",
"--",
"the",
"junk",
"portfolio",
"might",
"do",
"all",
"right",
".",
"Columbia",
",",
"a",
"longtime",
"Drexel",
"client",
",",
"wo",
"n't",
"provide",
"current",
"data",
"on",
"its",
"junk",
".",
"But",
"its",
"17",
"big",
"junk",
"holdings",
"at",
"year",
"end",
"showed",
"only",
"a",
"few",
"bonds",
"that",
"have",
"been",
"really",
"battered",
".",
"These",
"were",
"Allied",
"Stores",
",",
"Western",
"Union",
"Telegraph",
",",
"Gillett",
"Holdings",
",",
"SCI",
"Television",
"and",
"Texas",
"Air",
",",
"though",
"many",
"other",
"bonds",
"in",
"Columbia",
"'s",
"portfolio",
"also",
"have",
"lost",
"value",
".",
"Possibly",
"offsetting",
"that",
",",
"Columbia",
"recently",
"estimated",
"it",
"has",
"unrealized",
"gains",
"on",
"publicly",
"traded",
"equity",
"investments",
"of",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"70",
"million",
".",
"It",
"also",
"hopes",
"for",
"ultimate",
"gains",
"of",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"$",
"300",
"million",
"on",
"equity",
"investments",
"in",
"buy-outs",
"and",
"restructurings",
".",
"One",
"trial",
"balloon",
"Mr.",
"Spiegel",
"is",
"said",
"to",
"have",
"floated",
"to",
"investors",
":",
"Columbia",
"might",
"be",
"broken",
"up",
",",
"as",
"Mellon",
"Bank",
"was",
"split",
"into",
"a",
"good",
"bank",
"and",
"a",
"bad",
"bank",
".",
"But",
"Columbia",
"'s",
"good",
"bank",
"would",
"be",
"a",
"regulated",
"thrift",
",",
"while",
"the",
"bad",
"bank",
"would",
"be",
"a",
"private",
"investment",
"company",
",",
"holding",
"some",
"of",
"Columbia",
"'s",
"junk",
"bonds",
",",
"real",
"estate",
"and",
"equity",
"investments",
".",
"Some",
"think",
"Columbia",
"'s",
"thrift",
",",
"which",
"now",
"is",
"seeking",
"a",
"new",
"chief",
"operating",
"officer",
",",
"might",
"be",
"capitalized",
"at",
",",
"say",
"$",
"300",
"million",
",",
"and",
"shopped",
"to",
"a",
"commercial",
"bank",
"that",
"wants",
"a",
"California",
"presence",
".",
"The",
"thrift",
"surely",
"could",
"be",
"sold",
"for",
"more",
"than",
"the",
"value",
"of",
"its",
"equity",
",",
"financial",
"industry",
"executives",
"say",
".",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"the",
"bad",
"bank",
"with",
"the",
"junk",
"bonds",
"--",
"and",
"some",
"capital",
"--",
"might",
"be",
"spun",
"off",
"to",
"Columbia",
"shareholders",
",",
"including",
"Mr.",
"Spiegel",
",",
"who",
"might",
"then",
"have",
"a",
"new",
"career",
",",
"investors",
"say",
".",
"It",
"is",
"n't",
"clear",
"how",
"much",
"a",
"restructuring",
"would",
"help",
"Columbia",
"stockholders",
".",
"But",
"``",
"the",
"concept",
"is",
"workable",
".",
"You",
"sell",
"the",
"good",
"bank",
"as",
"an",
"ongoing",
"operation",
"and",
"use",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"proceeds",
"to",
"capitalize",
"the",
"bad",
"bank",
",",
"''",
"says",
"thrift",
"specialist",
"Lewis",
"Ranieri",
"of",
"Ranieri",
"Associates",
"in",
"New",
"York",
".",
"Mr.",
"Spiegel",
"'s",
"next",
"career",
"move",
"is",
"a",
"subject",
"of",
"speculation",
"on",
"Wall",
"Street",
".",
"Few",
"people",
"think",
"Mr.",
"Spiegel",
"wants",
"to",
"run",
"a",
"bread-and-butter",
"thrift",
",",
"which",
"current",
"rules",
"would",
"force",
"Columbia",
"to",
"become",
".",
"``",
"They",
"are",
"n't",
"really",
"a",
"thrift",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Jonathan",
"Gray",
",",
"a",
"Sanford",
"C.",
"Bernstein",
"analyst",
".",
"Of",
"course",
",",
"regulators",
"would",
"have",
"to",
"approve",
"Columbia",
"'s",
"reorganization",
".",
"And",
"some",
"investment",
"bankers",
"say",
"a",
"restructuring",
"is",
"n't",
"feasible",
"while",
"the",
"SEC",
"still",
"is",
"scrutinizing",
"Mr.",
"Spiegel",
"'s",
"past",
"junk-bond",
"trades",
".",
"Pauline",
"Yoshihashi",
"in",
"Los",
"Angeles",
"contributed",
"to",
"this",
"article",
".",
"Columbia",
"Savings",
"&",
"Loan",
"(",
"NYSE",
";",
"Symbol",
":",
"CSV",
")",
"Business",
":",
"Savings",
"and",
"loan",
"Year",
"ended",
"Dec.",
"31",
",",
"1988",
":",
"Net",
"income",
":",
"$",
"65",
"million",
";",
"or",
"$",
"1.49",
"a",
"share",
"Third",
"quarter",
",",
"Sept.",
"30",
",",
"1989",
":",
"Net",
"loss",
":",
"$",
"11.57",
"a",
"share",
"vs.",
"net",
"income",
":",
"37",
"cents",
"a",
"share",
"Average",
"daily",
"trading",
"volume",
":",
"83,206",
"shares",
"Common",
"shares",
"outstanding",
":",
"19.6",
"million",
"Note",
":",
"All",
"per-share",
"figures",
"are",
"fully",
"diluted",
"."
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[
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[
"For",
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".",
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"took",
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"$",
"350",
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"provision",
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"loan",
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"the",
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"bank",
".",
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"an",
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"200",
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"loans",
",",
"leaving",
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"with",
"a",
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"losses",
"of",
"$",
"255",
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",",
"about",
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"its",
"$",
"416",
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"of",
"troubled",
"loans",
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"repossessed",
"real",
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".",
"First",
"Interstate",
"made",
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"capped",
"a",
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".",
"Earlier",
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",",
"Valley",
"National",
"Corp.",
",",
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"largest",
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"owned",
"banking",
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",",
"reported",
"a",
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"suspended",
"its",
"dividend",
".",
"Pinnacle",
"West",
"Capital",
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",",
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"with",
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"91",
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".",
"Security",
"Pacific",
"Corp.",
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"credit",
"losses",
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"third",
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"$",
"109",
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",",
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"sour",
"Arizona",
"real-estate",
"loans",
".",
"New",
"York-based",
"Chase",
"Manhattan",
"Corp.",
"took",
"an",
"$",
"85",
"million",
"Arizona-related",
"charge",
".",
"Furthermore",
",",
"the",
"regulatory",
"maneuvering",
"behind",
"First",
"Interstate",
"'s",
"loss",
"suggests",
"regulators",
"have",
"concluded",
"that",
"lenders",
"'",
"reserves",
"are",
"far",
"too",
"low",
"to",
"absorb",
"their",
"future",
"Arizona",
"losses",
"and",
"are",
"forcing",
"bankers",
"to",
"do",
"something",
"about",
"it",
".",
"Examiners",
"from",
"the",
"Office",
"of",
"the",
"Comptroller",
"of",
"the",
"Currency",
"had",
"been",
"combing",
"through",
"First",
"Interstate",
"'s",
"real-estate",
"portfolio",
"since",
"last",
"month",
";",
"they",
"first",
"recommended",
"that",
"First",
"Interstate",
"take",
"a",
"provision",
"that",
"was",
"less",
"than",
"the",
"eventual",
"$",
"350",
"million",
"third-quarter",
"hit",
".",
"When",
"First",
"Interstate",
"balked",
",",
"arguing",
"that",
"the",
"figure",
"was",
"too",
"high",
",",
"regulators",
"responded",
"by",
"raising",
"their",
"recommendation",
"to",
"$",
"350",
"million",
".",
"``",
"At",
"that",
"point",
",",
"-LCB-",
"First",
"Interstate",
"-RCB-",
"decided",
"it",
"was",
"the",
"better",
"part",
"of",
"valor",
"not",
"to",
"negotiate",
"further",
",",
"''",
"said",
"one",
"industry",
"official",
"close",
"to",
"the",
"talks",
".",
"Thomas",
"P.",
"Marrie",
",",
"chief",
"financial",
"officer",
",",
"would",
"n't",
"comment",
"about",
"the",
"details",
"of",
"the",
"negotiations",
".",
"He",
"said",
"the",
"provision",
"``",
"was",
"n't",
"forced",
"upon",
"us",
",",
"but",
"the",
"regulators",
"made",
"it",
"very",
"clear",
"what",
"they",
"thought",
"was",
"an",
"appropriate",
"number",
".",
"''",
"The",
"tough",
"regulatory",
"stance",
"portends",
"large",
"future",
"losses",
",",
"especially",
"at",
"the",
"state",
"'s",
"thrifts",
".",
"At",
"least",
"six",
"of",
"Arizona",
"'s",
"12",
"savings",
"and",
"loan",
"institutions",
"have",
"either",
"been",
"taken",
"over",
"by",
"the",
"government",
"'s",
"conservatorship",
"program",
"or",
"are",
"essentially",
"insolvent",
";",
"they",
"are",
"sitting",
"on",
"enormous",
"unrecognized",
"losses",
".",
"For",
"example",
",",
"Western",
"Savings",
"&",
"Loan",
"Association",
",",
"which",
"is",
"now",
"in",
"conservatorship",
",",
"had",
"tangible",
"capital-assets",
"minus",
"liabilities",
"--",
"of",
"a",
"negative",
"$",
"357.4",
"million",
"at",
"June",
"30",
".",
"It",
"had",
"a",
"$",
"258.9",
"million",
"loss",
"in",
"the",
"second",
"quarter",
".",
"Yet",
"it",
"still",
"held",
"$",
"916.3",
"million",
"of",
"repossessed",
"real",
"estate",
",",
"for",
"which",
"it",
"maintains",
"no",
"reserves",
"whatsoever",
".",
"It",
"also",
"had",
"$",
"479.7",
"million",
"of",
"past-due",
"loans",
";",
"its",
"level",
"of",
"reserves",
"against",
"those",
"was",
"n't",
"immediately",
"available",
",",
"though",
"it",
"is",
"believed",
"to",
"be",
"small",
".",
"The",
"rapid",
"deterioration",
"of",
"the",
"Arizona",
"thrifts",
"only",
"adds",
"to",
"the",
"ever-swelling",
"cost",
"of",
"the",
"government",
"'s",
"massive",
"thrift",
"bailout",
",",
"officially",
"estimated",
"at",
"about",
"$",
"166",
"billion",
".",
"Together",
",",
"the",
"six",
"government-controlled",
"or",
"essentially",
"insolvent",
"Arizona",
"thrifts",
"have",
"tangible",
"capital",
"of",
"a",
"negative",
"$",
"1.5",
"billion",
",",
"foreclosed",
"property",
"of",
"$",
"1.8",
"billion",
"and",
"pastdue",
"loans",
"of",
"$",
"1.63",
"billion",
".",
"They",
"have",
"no",
"reserves",
"against",
"the",
"real",
"estate",
",",
"and",
"their",
"reserves",
"against",
"the",
"loans",
"are",
"miniscule",
"compared",
"with",
"the",
"levels",
"of",
"reserves",
"banks",
"are",
"moving",
"to",
"set",
"up",
".",
"The",
"thrifts",
"had",
"a",
"combined",
"loss",
"of",
"$",
"487.8",
"million",
"in",
"the",
"second",
"quarter",
".",
"Other",
"lenders",
"have",
"been",
"recovering",
"only",
"50",
"cents",
"to",
"60",
"cents",
"on",
"the",
"dollar",
"on",
"foreclosed",
"Arizona",
"property",
",",
"if",
"they",
"can",
"sell",
"it",
"at",
"all",
".",
"All",
"this",
"havoc",
"is",
"the",
"result",
"of",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"worst",
"busts",
"in",
"Arizona",
"'s",
"boom-and-bust",
"history",
",",
"compounded",
"by",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"usual",
"suspects",
"in",
"1980s",
"banking",
"debacles",
":",
"greed",
",",
"fraud",
"and",
"plain",
"bad",
"banking",
".",
"In",
"the",
"late",
"1970s",
"and",
"early",
"1980s",
",",
"lenders",
"and",
"developers",
"poured",
"money",
"into",
"office",
"buildings",
",",
"condominiums",
"and",
"massive",
"tracts",
"of",
"raw",
"desert",
"land",
",",
"confident",
"that",
"Arizona",
"'s",
"population",
"would",
"grow",
"at",
"annual",
"rates",
"of",
"4",
"%",
"to",
"6",
"%",
"for",
"years",
"to",
"come",
".",
"Now",
",",
"annual",
"population",
"growth",
"is",
"running",
"at",
"about",
"2",
"%",
"a",
"year",
",",
"some",
"desert",
"tracts",
"bought",
"three",
"years",
"ago",
"for",
"$",
"90,000",
"an",
"acre",
"are",
"being",
"sold",
"at",
"$",
"25,000",
"an",
"acre",
"and",
"Phoenix",
"has",
"a",
"seven-year",
"supply",
"of",
"unoccupied",
"office",
"space",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"horrible",
"to",
"say",
",",
"but",
"it",
"'s",
"unfortunate",
"that",
"earthquake",
"was",
"n't",
"in",
"Phoenix",
"--",
"it",
"might",
"have",
"knocked",
"out",
"some",
"of",
"our",
"empty",
"buildings",
",",
"''",
"said",
"C.W.",
"Jackson",
",",
"a",
"prominent",
"Arizona",
"businessman",
"with",
"interests",
"in",
"real",
"estate",
",",
"banking",
"and",
"many",
"other",
"businesses",
".",
"Many",
"Arizona",
"real-estate",
"experts",
"think",
"the",
"worst",
"may",
"be",
"yet",
"to",
"come",
".",
"Ralph",
"Shattuck",
",",
"publisher",
"of",
"Foreclosure",
"Update",
"newsletter",
",",
"said",
"foreclosures",
"have",
"climbed",
"to",
"about",
"1,482",
"a",
"month",
"just",
"in",
"Maricopa",
"County",
",",
"where",
"Phoenix",
"is",
"located",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"up",
"from",
"about",
"687",
"a",
"month",
"in",
"1985",
",",
"and",
"it",
"'s",
"accelerating",
":",
"So",
"far",
"this",
"month",
",",
"foreclosures",
"are",
"averaging",
"about",
"85",
"a",
"day",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"frightening",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Shattuck",
"said",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"Mr.",
"Shattuck",
"and",
"others",
"said",
"residential",
"real",
"estate",
",",
"which",
"had",
"remained",
"fairly",
"strong",
"through",
"most",
"of",
"the",
"downturn",
",",
"is",
"beginning",
"to",
"comprise",
"more",
"and",
"more",
"of",
"the",
"foreclosures",
".",
"And",
"the",
"generally",
"frail",
"condition",
"of",
"Arizona",
"'s",
"lenders",
"means",
"there",
"is",
"little",
"capital",
"available",
"in",
"the",
"state",
"to",
"shore",
"up",
"the",
"economy",
"and",
"slow",
"down",
"the",
"slide",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"reasonable",
"to",
"say",
"there",
"is",
"not",
"a",
"solvent",
"S&L",
"in",
"the",
"state",
"and",
"the",
"amount",
"of",
"viable",
"bank",
"capital",
"is",
"very",
"low",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Jackson",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"going",
"to",
"see",
"another",
"big",
"wave",
"of",
"failures",
"and",
"defaults",
"between",
"now",
"and",
"year-end",
"...",
".",
"The",
"only",
"thing",
"a",
"lot",
"of",
"these",
"lenders",
"can",
"get",
"out",
"of",
"their",
"mouth",
"now",
"is",
":",
"`",
"Pay",
"me",
"in",
"60",
"days",
".",
"'",
"''",
"First",
"Interstate",
"had",
"a",
"$",
"214.4",
"million",
"loss",
"in",
"1988",
"'s",
"third",
"quarter",
",",
"mainly",
"from",
"writedowns",
"and",
"reserves",
"connected",
"with",
"its",
"Texas",
"operations",
".",
"For",
"the",
"six",
"months",
"ended",
"June",
"30",
",",
"it",
"reported",
"net",
"income",
"of",
"$",
"234.3",
"million",
",",
"or",
"$",
"4.83",
"a",
"share",
",",
"including",
"$",
"46",
"million",
"from",
"tax",
"credits",
"and",
"accounting",
"changes",
".",
"The",
"bank",
"'s",
"Arizona",
"unit",
"holds",
"about",
"$",
"6",
"billion",
"of",
"First",
"Interstate",
"'s",
"$",
"50",
"billion",
"of",
"assets",
".",
"Mr.",
"Marrie",
"said",
"the",
"bank",
"expects",
"Arizona",
"real-estate",
"prices",
",",
"which",
"plummeted",
"40",
"%",
"over",
"the",
"last",
"year",
",",
"to",
"fall",
"another",
"20",
"%",
"before",
"stabilizing",
".",
"Some",
"in",
"Arizona",
"think",
"that",
"may",
"be",
"optimistic",
".",
"First",
"Interstate",
"said",
"its",
"operations",
"outside",
"of",
"Arizona",
"``",
"achieved",
"results",
"as",
"expected",
"for",
"the",
"quarter",
",",
"''",
"but",
"did",
"n't",
"specify",
"the",
"results",
".",
"First",
"Interstate",
"stock",
"closed",
"at",
"$",
"57.625",
",",
"down",
"25",
"cents",
",",
"in",
"composite",
"trading",
"Friday",
"on",
"the",
"New",
"York",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
".",
"Since",
"its",
"unsuccessful",
"bid",
"for",
"BankAmerica",
"Corp.",
"in",
"1986",
",",
"the",
"bank",
"has",
"undertaken",
"a",
"major",
"restructuring",
"in",
"an",
"effort",
"to",
"cut",
"costs",
"and",
"boost",
"performance",
",",
"but",
"many",
"industry",
"officials",
"believe",
"it",
"may",
"be",
"ripe",
"for",
"a",
"takeover",
"bid",
",",
"especially",
"with",
"interstate",
"banking",
"set",
"to",
"begin",
"in",
"California",
"in",
"1991",
".",
"Mr.",
"Marrie",
"said",
"the",
"problems",
"in",
"Arizona",
"have",
"only",
"``",
"increased",
"our",
"resolve",
"to",
"continue",
"to",
"make",
"our",
"restructuring",
"even",
"more",
"effective",
".",
"''",
"Separately",
",",
"Standard",
"&",
"Poor",
"'s",
"Corp.",
"lowered",
"its",
"ratings",
"on",
"Valley",
"National",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"senior",
"debt",
"to",
"double-B",
"from",
"double-B-plus",
",",
"affecting",
"about",
"$",
"300",
"million",
"of",
"long-term",
"debt",
".",
"S&P",
"also",
"lowered",
"ratings",
"on",
"unsecured",
"deposits",
"and",
"issues",
"backed",
"by",
"a",
"letter",
"of",
"credit",
"from",
"the",
"bank",
"holding",
"company",
"'s",
"principal",
"unit",
",",
"Valley",
"National",
"Bank",
"of",
"Arizona",
".",
"The",
"ratings",
"service",
"said",
"the",
"downgrades",
"reflect",
"the",
"continued",
"slide",
"in",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"financial",
"condition",
".",
"A",
"spokesman",
"for",
"Phoenix",
",",
"Ariz.-based",
"Valley",
"National",
",",
"said",
"the",
"concern",
"will",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"withstand",
"the",
"current",
"downturn",
"in",
"Arizona",
"real",
"estate",
".",
"Commercial",
"paper",
"holders",
"have",
"reinvested",
"their",
"funds",
",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"and",
"consumer",
"deposits",
"have",
"been",
"up",
"in",
"the",
"last",
"few",
"days",
"."
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"in",
"response",
"to",
"Atsushi",
"Kageyama",
"'s",
"Manager",
"'s",
"Journal",
",",
"``",
"Looking",
"for",
"the",
"Real",
"Thing",
"in",
"Sony",
"''",
"(",
"editorial",
"page",
",",
"Oct.",
"2",
")",
".",
"Though",
"I",
"agree",
"with",
"many",
"of",
"Mr.",
"Kageyama",
"'s",
"comments",
",",
"I",
"believe",
"he",
"points",
"the",
"gun",
"in",
"the",
"wrong",
"direction",
":",
"It",
"is",
"n't",
"the",
"Americans",
"who",
"must",
"be",
"criticized",
"for",
"not",
"understanding",
"the",
"Japanese",
"culture",
",",
"but",
"the",
"Japanese",
"who",
"insist",
"on",
"forcing",
"their",
"culture",
"on",
"Americans",
".",
"The",
"Japanese",
"want",
"us",
"to",
"accept",
"their",
"culture",
",",
"but",
"they",
"refuse",
"to",
"accept",
"the",
"American",
"culture",
".",
"Japanese",
"managers",
"ca",
"n't",
"expect",
"Americans",
"to",
"behave",
"as",
"if",
"they",
"were",
"Japanese",
";",
"instead",
",",
"they",
"must",
"manage",
"Americans",
"as",
"Americans",
".",
"Americans",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"conform",
"to",
"the",
"Japanese",
"culture",
"when",
"in",
"Japan",
".",
"What",
"is",
"wrong",
"with",
"expecting",
"the",
"Japanese",
"to",
"conform",
"to",
"American",
"norms",
"when",
"they",
"locate",
"here",
"?",
"Americans",
"place",
"native",
"or",
"native",
"speakers",
"in",
"charge",
"of",
"subsidiaries",
"overseas",
".",
"European",
"multinationals",
"do",
"likewise",
";",
"even",
"in",
"America",
",",
"their",
"affiliates",
"are",
"usually",
"run",
"by",
"American",
"managers",
".",
"But",
"the",
"Japanese",
"insist",
"upon",
"Japanese",
"managers",
"everywhere",
"they",
"set",
"up",
"shop",
".",
"Do",
"the",
"Japanese",
"feel",
"so",
"superior",
"that",
"they",
"can",
"not",
"find",
"capable",
"American",
"managers",
"?",
"Paul",
"A.",
"Herbig",
"Indiana",
"University",
"Bloomington",
",",
"Ind",
".",
"Mr.",
"Kageyama",
"suggests",
"that",
"Kotobuki",
"Electronics",
"Industries",
"workers",
"were",
"having",
"difficulty",
"understanding",
"their",
"foreign",
"bosses",
"'",
"perspective",
".",
"While",
"Mr.",
"Kageyama",
"does",
"an",
"excellent",
"job",
"of",
"explaining",
"the",
"differences",
",",
"both",
"cultural",
"and",
"philosophic",
",",
"I",
"question",
"his",
"perspective",
".",
"Would",
"he",
"suggest",
"that",
"employees",
"of",
"an",
"American",
"company",
"doing",
"business",
"in",
"Japan",
"conform",
"to",
"their",
"new",
"bosses",
"'",
"culture",
"and",
"philosophy",
"?",
"Obviously",
"not",
".",
"Thus",
"the",
"conclusion",
"is",
"that",
"the",
"burden",
"rests",
"with",
"management",
"to",
"understand/adopt",
"the",
"culture",
"and",
"philosophy",
"of",
"the",
"country",
"in",
"which",
"they",
"are",
"operating",
".",
"The",
"workers",
"can",
"be",
"motivated",
",",
"and",
"the",
"company",
"reach",
"its",
"full",
"potential",
",",
"only",
"when",
"management",
"embraces",
"the",
"employees",
"'",
"perspective",
".",
"A.",
"Lawton",
"Langford",
"President",
"Municipal",
"Code",
"Corp",
".",
"Tallahassee",
",",
"Fla",
".",
"I",
"believe",
"Mr.",
"Kageyama",
"left",
"out",
"one",
"major",
"aspect",
"of",
"Japanese",
"culture",
"that",
"permeated",
"his",
"piece",
":",
"the",
"belief",
"in",
"the",
"superiority",
"of",
"Japanese",
"culture",
"and",
"behavior",
"vs.",
"others",
".",
"A",
"manager",
"should",
"not",
"have",
"to",
"rebut",
"the",
"opinions",
"of",
"his",
"employees",
"about",
"the",
"style",
"of",
"his",
"management",
".",
"Instead",
",",
"he",
"should",
"listen",
"to",
"see",
"how",
"that",
"criticism",
"can",
"be",
"used",
"constructively",
"to",
"advance",
"his",
"objective",
"of",
"carrying",
"out",
"a",
"set",
"of",
"tasks",
"through",
"the",
"efforts",
"of",
"his",
"subordinates",
".",
"Japanese",
"culture",
"vs.",
"American",
"culture",
"is",
"irrelevant",
".",
"The",
"key",
"is",
"how",
"a",
"manager",
"from",
"one",
"culture",
"can",
"motivate",
"employees",
"from",
"another",
".",
"For",
"Mr.",
"Kageyama",
"to",
"argue",
"that",
"American",
"employees",
"must",
"passively",
"accept",
"a",
"direct",
"imposition",
"of",
"the",
"Japanese",
"way",
"of",
"doing",
"things",
"is",
"outright",
"cultural",
"chauvinism",
"of",
"the",
"first",
"order",
".",
"The",
"Japanese",
"are",
"neglecting",
"the",
"opportunity",
"to",
"synthesize",
"a",
"new",
"corporate",
"culture",
"based",
"on",
"a",
"fusion",
"of",
"the",
"best",
"aspects",
"of",
"both",
"national",
"cultures",
".",
"Mr.",
"Kageyama",
"is",
"accurate",
"to",
"deny",
"a",
"specific",
"anti-American",
"bias",
".",
"It",
"is",
"more",
"difficult",
"to",
"deny",
"a",
"general",
"bigotry",
"in",
"seeing",
"things",
"only",
"the",
"Japanese",
"way",
".",
"When",
"the",
"response",
"to",
"criticism",
"is",
"only",
"a",
"better",
"explanation",
"of",
"policies",
"without",
"altering",
"the",
"reasons",
"for",
"the",
"criticism",
",",
"I",
"am",
"convinced",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Kageyama",
"has",
"still",
"failed",
"to",
"attack",
"the",
"root",
"cause",
"of",
"the",
"problem",
"and",
"is",
"simply",
"treating",
"symptoms",
".",
"Norman",
"L.",
"Owens",
"Tempe",
",",
"Ariz",
"."
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[
"GREAT",
"NORTHERN",
"NEKOOSA",
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"being",
"sought",
"by",
"another",
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"paper",
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",",
"Georgia-Pacific",
",",
"for",
"$",
"58",
"a",
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",",
"or",
"about",
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"3.18",
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".",
"The",
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"offer",
",",
"which",
"surprised",
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"because",
"it",
"appeared",
"to",
"be",
"unsolicited",
",",
"could",
"spark",
"a",
"period",
"of",
"industry",
"consolidation",
".",
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"questioned",
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"Georgia-Pacific",
"will",
"ultimately",
"prevail",
",",
"saying",
"other",
"paper",
"concerns",
"may",
"make",
"competing",
"bids",
".",
"Two",
"more",
"securities",
"firms",
"bowed",
"to",
"the",
"outcry",
"over",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"GE",
"'s",
"Kidder",
"Peabody",
"unit",
"said",
"it",
"would",
"stop",
"doing",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
"for",
"its",
"own",
"account",
",",
"while",
"Merrill",
"Lynch",
"said",
"it",
"was",
"halting",
"such",
"trading",
"entirely",
".",
"Also",
",",
"the",
"Big",
"Board",
"met",
"with",
"angry",
"stock",
"specialists",
".",
"A",
"big",
"pension-insurance",
"case",
"will",
"be",
"reviewed",
"by",
"the",
"Supreme",
"Court",
".",
"The",
"justices",
"agreed",
"to",
"decide",
"whether",
"federal",
"insurers",
"can",
"require",
"LTV",
"to",
"take",
"back",
"responsiblilty",
"for",
"funding",
"its",
"$",
"2.3",
"billion",
"pension",
"shortfall",
".",
"Drug",
"companies",
"lost",
"a",
"major",
"liability",
"case",
".",
"The",
"Supreme",
"Court",
"let",
"stand",
"a",
"New",
"York",
"ruling",
"that",
"all",
"manufacturers",
"of",
"an",
"anti-miscarriage",
"drug",
"are",
"liable",
"for",
"injuries",
"or",
"deaths",
"if",
"the",
"actual",
"maker",
"is",
"n't",
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".",
"Revco",
"received",
"a",
"$",
"925",
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"takeover",
"offer",
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"Texas",
"financier",
"Robert",
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"and",
"Acadia",
"Partners",
".",
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"chain",
"reacted",
"cautiously",
",",
"saying",
"the",
"plan",
"would",
"further",
"swell",
"its",
"huge",
"debt",
",",
"which",
"forced",
"the",
"company",
"into",
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"11",
"protection",
"last",
"year",
".",
"Rockefeller",
"Group",
"agreed",
"to",
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"a",
"51",
"%",
"interest",
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"Mitsubishi",
"Estate",
",",
"a",
"major",
"Japanese",
"developer",
"and",
"property",
"owner",
",",
"for",
"$",
"846",
"million",
".",
"Officials",
"at",
"some",
"Rockefeller",
"units",
"are",
"said",
"to",
"be",
"unhappy",
"with",
"the",
"agreement",
".",
"Continental",
"Air",
"replaced",
"its",
"top",
"executive",
"for",
"the",
"sixth",
"time",
"in",
"as",
"many",
"years",
".",
"Chairman",
"and",
"Chief",
"Executive",
"Joseph",
"Corr",
"was",
"succeeded",
"by",
"Frank",
"Lorenzo",
",",
"chief",
"of",
"parent",
"Texas",
"Air",
".",
"United",
"Air",
"'s",
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"may",
"have",
"to",
"pay",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"$",
"53.7",
"million",
"to",
"the",
"labor-management",
"buy-out",
"group",
"for",
"fees",
"and",
"expenses",
"incurred",
"in",
"their",
"failed",
"$",
"6.79",
"billion",
"takeover",
"bid",
".",
"Gen-Probe",
"agreed",
"to",
"be",
"bought",
"by",
"Chugai",
"Pharmaceutical",
"for",
"about",
"$",
"110",
"million",
".",
"The",
"sale",
"is",
"likely",
"to",
"fuel",
"concern",
"about",
"growing",
"Japanese",
"investment",
"in",
"U.S.",
"biotechnology",
"firms",
".",
"Boeing",
"posted",
"a",
"68",
"%",
"jump",
"in",
"third-quarter",
"earnings",
",",
"but",
"Wall",
"Street",
"'s",
"attention",
"was",
"focused",
"on",
"the",
"continued",
"strike",
"at",
"the",
"aircraft",
"maker",
".",
"The",
"Fed",
"delayed",
"approval",
"of",
"First",
"Union",
"'s",
"$",
"849",
"million",
"acquisition",
"of",
"Florida",
"National",
"Banks",
"pending",
"a",
"review",
"of",
"First",
"Union",
"'s",
"lending",
"practices",
"in",
"low-income",
"neighborhoods",
".",
"Allianz",
"of",
"West",
"Germany",
"entered",
"the",
"takeover",
"battle",
"between",
"France",
"'s",
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"and",
"Navigation",
"Mixte",
".",
"Maxwell",
"agreed",
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"its",
"U.S.",
"printing",
"unit",
"to",
"Quebecor",
"for",
"$",
"500",
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",",
"making",
"Quebecor",
"the",
"No.",
"2",
"commercial",
"printer",
"in",
"North",
"America",
".",
"New",
"construction",
"contracts",
"rose",
"8",
"%",
"in",
"September",
",",
"led",
"by",
"commercial",
",",
"industrial",
"and",
"public-works",
"projects",
",",
"according",
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"F.W.",
"Dodge",
"Group",
".",
"Western",
"Union",
"took",
"steps",
"to",
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"a",
"$",
"500",
"million",
"debt",
"swap",
",",
"citing",
"turmoil",
"in",
"the",
"junk",
"bond",
"market",
".",
"Markets",
"--",
"Stocks",
":",
"Volume",
"126,630,000",
"shares",
".",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"industrials",
"2603.48",
",",
"up",
"6.76",
";",
"transportation",
"1191.86",
",",
"up",
"1.43",
";",
"utilities",
"216.74",
",",
"up",
"0.88",
".",
"Bonds",
":",
"Shearson",
"Lehman",
"Hutton",
"Treasury",
"index",
"3416.81",
",",
"up",
"Commodities",
":",
"Dow",
"Jones",
"futures",
"index",
"129.38",
",",
"off",
"0.11",
";",
"spot",
"index",
"130.09",
",",
"off",
"0.71",
".",
"Dollar",
":",
"141.90",
"yen",
",",
"up",
"0.25",
";",
"1.8340",
"marks",
",",
"up",
"0.0040",
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"would",
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"42",
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"a",
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".",
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"Means",
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"would",
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"another",
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"obstacle",
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"sick",
"thrifts",
".",
"A",
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"gas",
"rule",
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"appeals",
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".",
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"$",
"1",
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[
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".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
"including",
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",",
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",",
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"fees",
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"``",
"The",
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",",
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",",
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".",
"Mr.",
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".",
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"so",
"great",
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"any",
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"to",
"pay",
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"derives",
"from",
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".",
"Therefore",
",",
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"the",
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"taken",
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"the",
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"even",
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"are",
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".",
"Justin",
"Feldman",
"and",
"Jack",
"Arseneault",
",",
"attorneys",
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",",
"both",
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".",
"In",
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",",
"U.S.",
"Attorney",
"Samuel",
"A.",
"Alito",
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",",
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"''",
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",",
"and",
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"different",
"from",
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",",
"although",
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"that",
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".",
"''",
"Mr.",
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"was",
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"court",
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"by",
"the",
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"and",
"Exchange",
"Commission",
".",
"In",
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",",
"the",
"SEC",
"accused",
"Mr.",
"Antar",
"of",
"engaging",
"in",
"a",
"``",
"massive",
"financial",
"fraud",
"''",
"to",
"overstate",
"the",
"earnings",
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"Eddie",
",",
"Edison",
",",
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",",
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"suits",
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"by",
"shareholders",
"against",
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"Antar",
"and",
"others",
".",
"The",
"SEC",
"has",
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"that",
"Mr.",
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[
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"firm",
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"completed",
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"Stores",
"Co.",
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"Caldor",
"discount",
"chain",
"for",
"$",
"500",
"million",
"plus",
"the",
"assumption",
"of",
"$",
"52",
"million",
"in",
"debt",
".",
"Caldor",
",",
"based",
"in",
"Norwalk",
",",
"Conn.",
",",
"operates",
"118",
"stores",
"in",
"the",
"Northeast",
";",
"it",
"reported",
"revenue",
"of",
"$",
"1.6",
"billion",
"last",
"year",
".",
"May",
"Stores",
",",
"St.",
"Louis",
",",
"runs",
"such",
"well-known",
"department",
"stores",
"as",
"Lord",
"&",
"Taylor",
"."
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[
"The",
"Soviet",
"legislature",
"approved",
"a",
"1990",
"budget",
"yesterday",
"that",
"halves",
"its",
"huge",
"deficit",
"with",
"cuts",
"in",
"defense",
"spending",
"and",
"capital",
"outlays",
"while",
"striving",
"to",
"improve",
"supplies",
"to",
"frustrated",
"consumers",
".",
"The",
"vote",
"to",
"approve",
"was",
"A",
"proposal",
"to",
"raise",
"prices",
"of",
"beer",
",",
"tobacco",
"and",
"luxuries",
"was",
"rejected",
"338-44",
".",
"Soviet",
"President",
"Mikhail",
"S.",
"Gorbachev",
"told",
"the",
"legislators",
"they",
"had",
"made",
"a",
"good",
"start",
",",
"but",
"that",
"the",
"most",
"difficult",
"work",
"was",
"still",
"ahead",
".",
"The",
"Tass",
"news",
"agency",
"said",
"the",
"1990",
"budget",
"anticipates",
"income",
"of",
"429.9",
"billion",
"rubles",
"(",
"US$",
"693.4",
"billion",
")",
"and",
"expenditures",
"of",
"489.9",
"billion",
"rubles",
"(",
"US$",
"790.2",
"billion",
")",
".",
"Those",
"figures",
"are",
"almost",
"exactly",
"what",
"the",
"government",
"proposed",
"to",
"legislators",
"in",
"September",
".",
"If",
"the",
"government",
"can",
"stick",
"with",
"them",
",",
"it",
"will",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"halve",
"this",
"year",
"'s",
"120",
"billion",
"ruble",
"(",
"US$",
"193",
"billion",
")",
"deficit",
".",
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"proposed",
"a",
"cut",
"in",
"the",
"defense",
"budget",
"this",
"year",
"to",
"70.9",
"billion",
"rubles",
"(",
"US$",
"114.3",
"billion",
")",
"from",
"77.3",
"billion",
"rubles",
"(",
"US$",
"125",
"billion",
")",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"large",
"cuts",
"in",
"outlays",
"for",
"new",
"factories",
"and",
"equipment",
".",
"Tass",
"said",
"the",
"final",
"budget",
"and",
"economic",
"plan",
"calls",
"for",
"a",
"sharp",
"increase",
"in",
"the",
"production",
"of",
"consumer",
"goods",
"."
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] |
[
"Insurers",
"may",
"see",
"claims",
"resulting",
"from",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"earthquake",
"totaling",
"nearly",
"$",
"1",
"billion",
"--",
"far",
"less",
"than",
"the",
"claims",
"they",
"face",
"from",
"Hurricane",
"Hugo",
"--",
"but",
"the",
"recent",
"spate",
"of",
"catastrophes",
"should",
"jolt",
"property",
"insurance",
"rates",
"in",
"coming",
"months",
".",
"The",
"property",
"claims",
"service",
"division",
"of",
"the",
"American",
"Insurance",
"Services",
"Group",
"estimated",
"insured",
"losses",
"from",
"the",
"earthquake",
"at",
"$",
"960",
"million",
".",
"This",
"estimate",
"does",
"n't",
"include",
"claims",
"under",
"workers",
"'",
"compensation",
",",
"life",
",",
"health",
"disability",
"and",
"liability",
"insurance",
"and",
"damage",
"to",
"infrastructure",
"such",
"as",
"bridges",
",",
"highways",
"and",
"public",
"buildings",
".",
"The",
"estimated",
"earthquake",
"losses",
"are",
"low",
"compared",
"with",
"the",
"$",
"4",
"billion",
"in",
"claims",
"that",
"insurers",
"face",
"from",
"Hurricane",
"Hugo",
",",
"which",
"ripped",
"through",
"the",
"Caribbean",
"and",
"the",
"Carolinas",
"last",
"month",
".",
"That",
"'s",
"because",
"only",
"about",
"30",
"%",
"of",
"California",
"homes",
"and",
"businesses",
"had",
"earthquake",
"insurance",
"to",
"cover",
"the",
"losses",
".",
"However",
",",
"insurance",
"brokers",
"and",
"executives",
"say",
"that",
"the",
"combination",
"of",
"the",
"Bay",
"area",
"earthquake",
",",
"Hugo",
"and",
"last",
"week",
"'s",
"explosion",
"at",
"the",
"Phillips",
"Petroleum",
"Co.",
"'s",
"refinery",
"in",
"Pasadena",
",",
"Texas",
",",
"will",
"cause",
"property",
"insurance",
"and",
"reinsurance",
"rates",
"to",
"jump",
".",
"Other",
"insurance",
"rates",
"such",
"as",
"casualty",
"insurance",
",",
"which",
"would",
"cover",
"liability",
"claims",
",",
"are",
"n't",
"likely",
"to",
"firm",
"right",
"away",
",",
"says",
"Alice",
"Cornish",
",",
"an",
"industry",
"analyst",
"with",
"Northington",
"Research",
"in",
"Avon",
",",
"Conn",
".",
"She",
"believes",
"the",
"impact",
"of",
"losses",
"from",
"these",
"catastrophes",
"is",
"n't",
"likely",
"to",
"halt",
"the",
"growth",
"of",
"the",
"industry",
"'s",
"surplus",
"capital",
"next",
"year",
".",
"Property",
"reinsurance",
"rates",
"are",
"likely",
"to",
"climb",
"first",
",",
"analysts",
"and",
"brokers",
"believe",
".",
"``",
"The",
"reinsurance",
"market",
"has",
"been",
"bloodied",
"by",
"disasters",
"''",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"in",
"Great",
"Britain",
"and",
"Europe",
",",
"says",
"Thomas",
"Rosencrants",
",",
"director",
"of",
"research",
"at",
"Interstate/Johnson",
"Lane",
"Inc.",
"in",
"Atlanta",
".",
"Insurers",
"typically",
"retain",
"a",
"small",
"percentage",
"of",
"the",
"risks",
"they",
"underwrite",
"and",
"pass",
"on",
"the",
"rest",
"of",
"the",
"losses",
".",
"Insurers",
"buy",
"this",
"insurance",
"protection",
"for",
"themselves",
"by",
"giving",
"up",
"a",
"portion",
"of",
"the",
"premiums",
"they",
"collect",
"on",
"a",
"policy",
"to",
"another",
"firm",
"--",
"a",
"reinsurance",
"company",
",",
"which",
",",
"in",
"turn",
",",
"accepts",
"a",
"portion",
"of",
"any",
"losses",
"resulting",
"from",
"this",
"policy",
".",
"Insurers",
",",
"such",
"as",
"Cigna",
"Corp.",
",",
"Transamerica",
"Corp",
",",
"and",
"Aetna",
"Life",
"&",
"Casualty",
"Co.",
",",
"buy",
"reinsurance",
"from",
"other",
"U.S.-based",
"companies",
"and",
"Lloyd",
"'s",
"of",
"London",
"for",
"one",
"catastrophe",
"at",
"a",
"time",
".",
"After",
"Hugo",
"hit",
",",
"many",
"insurers",
"exhausted",
"their",
"reinsurance",
"coverage",
"and",
"had",
"to",
"tap",
"reinsurers",
"to",
"replace",
"that",
"coverage",
"in",
"case",
"there",
"were",
"any",
"other",
"major",
"disasters",
"before",
"the",
"end",
"of",
"the",
"year",
".",
"After",
"the",
"earthquake",
"two",
"weeks",
"ago",
",",
"brokers",
"say",
"companies",
"scrambled",
"to",
"replace",
"reinsurance",
"coverages",
"again",
"and",
"Lloyd",
"'s",
"syndicates",
"turned",
"to",
"the",
"London",
"market",
"excess",
"lines",
"for",
"protection",
"of",
"their",
"own",
".",
"James",
"Snedeker",
",",
"senior",
"vice",
"president",
"of",
"Gill",
"&",
"Roeser",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"New",
"York-based",
"reinsurance",
"broker",
",",
"says",
"insurers",
"who",
"took",
"big",
"losses",
"this",
"fall",
"and",
"had",
"purchased",
"little",
"reinsurance",
"in",
"recent",
"years",
"will",
"be",
"asked",
"to",
"pay",
"some",
"pretty",
"hefty",
"rates",
"if",
"they",
"want",
"to",
"buy",
"reinsurance",
"for",
"1990",
".",
"However",
",",
"companies",
"with",
"few",
"catastrophe",
"losses",
"this",
"year",
"and",
"already",
"big",
"buyers",
"of",
"reinsurance",
"are",
"likely",
"to",
"see",
"their",
"rates",
"remain",
"flat",
",",
"or",
"perhaps",
"even",
"decline",
"slightly",
".",
"Many",
"companies",
"will",
"be",
"negotiating",
"their",
"1990",
"reinsurance",
"contracts",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"few",
"weeks",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"a",
"seller",
"'s",
"market",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Mr.",
"Snedeker",
"of",
"the",
"reinsurance",
"market",
"right",
"now",
".",
"But",
"some",
"large",
"insurers",
",",
"such",
"as",
"State",
"Farm",
"Mutual",
"Automobile",
"Insurance",
"Co.",
",",
"do",
"n't",
"purchase",
"reinsurance",
",",
"but",
"fund",
"their",
"own",
"program",
".",
"A",
"few",
"years",
"ago",
",",
"State",
"Farm",
",",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"largest",
"home",
"insurer",
",",
"stopped",
"buying",
"reinsurance",
"because",
"no",
"one",
"carrier",
"could",
"provide",
"all",
"the",
"coverage",
"that",
"it",
"needed",
"and",
"the",
"company",
"found",
"it",
"cheaper",
"to",
"self-reinsure",
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] |
[
"The",
"average",
"unemployment",
"rate",
"in",
"the",
"15",
"biggest",
"industrialized",
"democracies",
"was",
"steady",
"in",
"August",
"at",
"the",
"6.1",
"%",
"rate",
"of",
"the",
"two",
"previous",
"months",
",",
"the",
"Organization",
"for",
"Economic",
"Cooperation",
"and",
"Development",
"(",
"OECD",
")",
"said",
".",
"The",
"August",
"rate",
"was",
"0.6",
"percentage",
"point",
"lower",
"than",
"in",
"the",
"like",
"month",
"a",
"year",
"earlier",
",",
"reflecting",
"the",
"pickup",
"of",
"activity",
"in",
"the",
"15",
"countries",
".",
"The",
"OECD",
"said",
"that",
"most",
"of",
"the",
"improvement",
"occurred",
"in",
"the",
"second",
"half",
"of",
"last",
"year",
";",
"since",
"February",
"of",
"this",
"year",
",",
"unemployment",
"has",
"been",
"steady",
"at",
"around",
"6.2",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"labor",
"force",
"."
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] |
[
"Savings",
"and",
"loans",
"reject",
"blacks",
"for",
"mortgage",
"loans",
"twice",
"as",
"often",
"as",
"they",
"reject",
"whites",
",",
"the",
"Office",
"of",
"Thrift",
"Supervision",
"said",
".",
"But",
"that",
"does",
"n't",
"necessarily",
"mean",
"thrifts",
"are",
"discriminating",
"against",
"blacks",
",",
"the",
"agency",
"said",
".",
"The",
"office",
",",
"an",
"arm",
"of",
"the",
"Treasury",
",",
"said",
"it",
"does",
"n't",
"have",
"data",
"on",
"the",
"financial",
"position",
"of",
"applicants",
"and",
"thus",
"ca",
"n't",
"determine",
"why",
"blacks",
"are",
"rejected",
"more",
"often",
".",
"Nevertheless",
",",
"on",
"Capitol",
"Hill",
",",
"where",
"the",
"information",
"was",
"released",
"yesterday",
"at",
"a",
"Senate",
"banking",
"subcommittee",
"hearing",
",",
"lawmakers",
"said",
"they",
"are",
"worried",
"that",
"financial",
"institutions",
"are",
"routinely",
"discriminating",
"against",
"minorities",
".",
"They",
"asked",
"regulators",
"to",
"suggest",
"new",
"ways",
"to",
"force",
"banks",
"and",
"thrifts",
"to",
"comply",
"with",
"anti-discrimination",
"laws",
".",
"Sen.",
"Alan",
"Dixon",
"(",
"D",
",",
"Ill.",
")",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"the",
"subcommittee",
"on",
"consumer",
"and",
"regulatory",
"affairs",
",",
"said",
",",
"``",
"I",
"'m",
"not",
"a",
"statistician",
".",
"But",
"when",
"blacks",
"are",
"getting",
"their",
"loan",
"applications",
"rejected",
"twice",
"as",
"often",
"as",
"whites",
"--",
"and",
"in",
"some",
"cities",
",",
"it",
"is",
"three",
"and",
"four",
"times",
"as",
"often",
"--",
"I",
"conclude",
"that",
"discrimination",
"is",
"part",
"of",
"the",
"problem",
".",
"''",
"James",
"Grohl",
",",
"a",
"spokesman",
"for",
"the",
"U.S.",
"League",
"of",
"Savings",
"Institutions",
",",
"said",
",",
"``",
"The",
"data",
"is",
"a",
"red",
"flag",
",",
"but",
"lacking",
"the",
"financial",
"data",
"you",
"ca",
"n't",
"make",
"a",
"case",
"that",
"discrimination",
"is",
"widespread",
".",
"''",
"The",
"trade",
"group",
"official",
"added",
":",
"``",
"Certainly",
"the",
"federal",
"government",
"should",
"take",
"a",
"hard",
"look",
"at",
"it",
".",
"''",
"Sen.",
"Dixon",
"held",
"the",
"hearing",
"to",
"follow",
"up",
"on",
"a",
"provision",
"in",
"the",
"savings",
"and",
"loan",
"bailout",
"bill",
"that",
"required",
"regulators",
"to",
"report",
"on",
"evidence",
"of",
"discimination",
"in",
"mortgage",
"lending",
".",
"The",
"legislation",
"also",
"requires",
"broad",
"new",
"disclosures",
"of",
"the",
"race",
",",
"sex",
"and",
"income",
"level",
"of",
"borrowers",
",",
"but",
"that",
"information",
"wo",
"n't",
"be",
"gathered",
"in",
"new",
"studies",
"for",
"several",
"months",
"at",
"least",
".",
"The",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"said",
"its",
"studies",
"in",
"recent",
"years",
",",
"which",
"adjust",
"for",
"income",
"differences",
"and",
"other",
"variables",
",",
"showed",
"that",
"blacks",
"received",
"fewer",
"home",
"mortgages",
"from",
"banks",
"and",
"thrifts",
"than",
"whites",
".",
"But",
"John",
"LaWare",
",",
"a",
"Fed",
"governor",
",",
"told",
"the",
"subcommittee",
"the",
"evidence",
"is",
"mixed",
"and",
"that",
"the",
"Fed",
"'s",
"believes",
"the",
"vast",
"majority",
"of",
"banks",
"are",
"n't",
"discriminating",
".",
"For",
"instance",
",",
"he",
"noted",
",",
"the",
"Fed",
"studies",
"have",
"shown",
"that",
"blacks",
"receive",
"more",
"home",
"improvement",
"loans",
"than",
"whites",
".",
"Several",
"lawmakers",
"were",
"angered",
"that",
"the",
"bank",
"and",
"thrift",
"regulators",
"generally",
"said",
"they",
"have",
"been",
"too",
"busy",
"handling",
"the",
"record",
"number",
"of",
"bank",
"and",
"thrift",
"failures",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"few",
"years",
"to",
"put",
"much",
"energy",
"into",
"investigating",
"possible",
"discrimination",
".",
"``",
"We",
"would",
"be",
"the",
"first",
"to",
"admit",
"that",
"we",
"have",
"not",
"devoted",
"the",
"necessary",
"amount",
"of",
"emphasis",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"several",
"years",
"''",
"to",
"developing",
"examinations",
"for",
"discrimination",
",",
"said",
"Jonathan",
"Fiechter",
",",
"a",
"top",
"official",
"of",
"the",
"Office",
"of",
"Thrift",
"Supervision",
".",
"``",
"If",
"we",
"'ve",
"got",
"folks",
"out",
"there",
"who",
"are",
"being",
"turned",
"away",
"in",
"the",
"mortgage",
"market",
"improperly",
"and",
"unfairly",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Sen.",
"Donald",
"Riegle",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Mich.",
")",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"the",
"banking",
"committee",
",",
"``",
"then",
"that",
"is",
"a",
"matter",
"that",
"needs",
"remedy",
"now",
",",
"not",
"six",
"months",
"from",
"now",
",",
"or",
"six",
"years",
"from",
"now",
",",
"or",
"26",
"years",
"from",
"now",
".",
"''",
"Officials",
"of",
"the",
"Federal",
"Deposit",
"Insurance",
"Corp.",
"and",
"the",
"Office",
"of",
"the",
"Comptroller",
"of",
"the",
"Currency",
"said",
"they",
"have",
"punished",
"only",
"a",
"few",
"banks",
"for",
"violations",
"of",
"anti-discrimination",
"laws",
".",
"The",
"FDIC",
"said",
"it",
"has",
"issued",
"five",
"citations",
"to",
"banks",
"over",
"the",
"past",
"three",
"years",
"for",
"discriminatory",
"practices",
".",
"The",
"comptroller",
"'s",
"office",
"said",
"it",
"found",
"no",
"indications",
"of",
"illegal",
"discrimination",
"in",
"3,437",
"examinations",
"of",
"banks",
"since",
"April",
"1987",
".",
"The",
"comptroller",
"'s",
"office",
"also",
"said",
"that",
"of",
"37,000",
"complaints",
"it",
"received",
"since",
"January",
"1987",
",",
"only",
"16",
"alleged",
"racial",
"discrimination",
"in",
"real",
"estate",
"lending",
".",
"The",
"agency",
"investigated",
"the",
"complaints",
"but",
"no",
"violations",
"were",
"cited",
".",
"Thrift",
"regulators",
"did",
"n't",
"give",
"any",
"figures",
"on",
"their",
"enforcement",
"actions",
".",
"Mr.",
"Fiechter",
"said",
"that",
"among",
"the",
"possibilities",
"being",
"considered",
"by",
"regulators",
"to",
"fight",
"discrimination",
"is",
"the",
"use",
"of",
"``",
"testers",
"''",
"--",
"government",
"investigators",
"who",
"would",
"pose",
"as",
"home",
"buyers",
".",
"The",
"Department",
"of",
"Housing",
"and",
"Urban",
"Development",
"has",
"used",
"testers",
"to",
"investigate",
"discrimination",
"in",
"rental",
"housing",
".",
"Using",
"testers",
"could",
"be",
"controversial",
"with",
"financial",
"institutions",
",",
"but",
"Mr.",
"Grohl",
"said",
"the",
"U.S.",
"League",
"of",
"Savings",
"Institutions",
"had",
"n't",
"yet",
"taken",
"any",
"position",
"on",
"the",
"matter",
"."
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"Like",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
"''",
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",",
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"Settle",
"the",
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",",
"''",
"Steve",
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",",
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",",
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"Settle",
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"Score",
",",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
"of",
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".",
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",",
"he",
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",",
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"patronizing",
",",
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",",
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",",
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"The",
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"Tale",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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"Settle",
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",",
"do",
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"need",
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"?"
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[
"While",
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"Street",
"is",
"retreating",
"from",
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",",
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"investors",
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"likely",
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"strategies",
"at",
"full",
"blast",
",",
"further",
"roiling",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
",",
"trading",
"executives",
"say",
".",
"Bowing",
"to",
"a",
"mounting",
"public",
"outcry",
",",
"three",
"more",
"major",
"securities",
"firms",
"--",
"Bear",
",",
"Stearns",
"&",
"Co.",
"Inc.",
",",
"Morgan",
"Stanley",
"&",
"Co.",
"and",
"Oppenheimer",
"&",
"Co.",
"--",
"announced",
"Friday",
"they",
"would",
"suspend",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
"trading",
"for",
"their",
"own",
"accounts",
".",
"PaineWebber",
"Group",
"Inc.",
"announced",
"a",
"pullback",
"on",
"Thursday",
"from",
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"arbitrage",
",",
"a",
"controversial",
"program-trading",
"strategy",
"blamed",
"by",
"many",
"investors",
"for",
"encouraging",
"big",
"stock-market",
"swings",
".",
"Though",
"the",
"trading",
"halts",
"are",
"offered",
"as",
"a",
"sign",
"of",
"concern",
"about",
"recent",
"stock",
"market",
"volatility",
",",
"most",
"Wall",
"Street",
"firms",
"remain",
"open",
"to",
"handle",
"program",
"trading",
"for",
"customers",
".",
"Trading",
"executives",
"privately",
"say",
"that",
"huge",
"stock-index",
"funds",
",",
"which",
"dwarf",
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"Street",
"firms",
"in",
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"their",
"program",
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",",
"will",
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"to",
"launch",
"big",
"programs",
"through",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
".",
"Wells",
"Fargo",
"Investment",
"Advisers",
",",
"Bankers",
"Trust",
"Co.",
"and",
"Mellon",
"Capital",
"Management",
"are",
"among",
"the",
"top",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
"clients",
"of",
"Wall",
"Street",
",",
"trading",
"executives",
"say",
".",
"These",
"huge",
"stock-index",
"funds",
"build",
"portfolios",
"that",
"match",
"the",
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"500",
"stock",
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"or",
"other",
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"indexes",
",",
"and",
"frequently",
"swap",
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"futures",
"to",
"capture",
"profits",
".",
"``",
"They",
"will",
"do",
"it",
"every",
"chance",
"they",
"get",
",",
"''",
"said",
"one",
"program-trading",
"executive",
".",
"Consequently",
",",
"abrupt",
"swings",
"in",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"are",
"not",
"likely",
"to",
"disappear",
"anytime",
"soon",
",",
"they",
"say",
".",
"In",
"fact",
",",
"without",
"Wall",
"Street",
"firms",
"trading",
"for",
"their",
"own",
"accounts",
",",
"the",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
"trading",
"opportunities",
"for",
"the",
"big",
"funds",
"may",
"be",
"all",
"the",
"more",
"abundant",
".",
"``",
"More",
"customers",
"may",
"come",
"to",
"us",
"now",
",",
"''",
"said",
"James",
"Cayne",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Bear",
"Stearns",
"Cos",
".",
"Executives",
"who",
"manage",
"these",
"funds",
"see",
"the",
"current",
"debate",
"over",
"program",
"trading",
"as",
"a",
"repeat",
"of",
"the",
"concern",
"expressed",
"after",
"the",
"1987",
"crash",
".",
"They",
"noted",
"that",
"studies",
"completed",
"after",
"the",
"1987",
"crash",
"exonerated",
"program",
"trading",
"as",
"a",
"source",
"of",
"volatility",
".",
"``",
"The",
"issues",
"that",
"are",
"(",
"now",
")",
"being",
"raised",
",",
"in",
"classic",
"anti-intellectual",
"fashion",
",",
"fly",
"in",
"the",
"face",
"of",
"a",
"number",
"of",
"post-crash",
"studies",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Fred",
"Grauer",
",",
"chairman",
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"Wells",
"Fargo",
"Investment",
"Advisers",
".",
"A",
"Bankers",
"Trust",
"spokesman",
"said",
"that",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"investment",
"arm",
"uses",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
"to",
"enhance",
"investors",
"'",
"returns",
".",
"Officials",
"at",
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"Capital",
"were",
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"for",
"comment",
".",
"Stock-index",
"funds",
"have",
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"past",
"decade",
"as",
"pension",
"funds",
"and",
"other",
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"investors",
"have",
"sought",
"a",
"low-cost",
"way",
"to",
"match",
"the",
"performance",
"of",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"as",
"a",
"whole",
".",
"Many",
"money",
"managers",
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"stock",
"actively",
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"consistently",
"matching",
"the",
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"'s",
"returns",
".",
"Some",
"stock-index",
"funds",
"are",
"huge",
".",
"Wells",
"Fargo",
"Investment",
"Advisers",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"managed",
"$",
"25",
"billion",
"in",
"stock",
"investments",
"tracking",
"the",
"S&P",
"500",
"at",
"the",
"end",
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"June",
",",
"according",
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"Standard",
"&",
"Poor",
"'s",
"Corp",
".",
"Mr.",
"Grauer",
"said",
"$",
"2",
"billion",
"of",
"that",
"is",
"used",
"in",
"active",
"index",
"arbitrage",
".",
"Stock-index",
"funds",
"frequently",
"use",
"the",
"futures",
"markets",
"as",
"a",
"hedging",
"tool",
",",
"but",
"that",
"is",
"a",
"far",
"less",
"aggressive",
"strategy",
"than",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
",",
"in",
"which",
"traders",
"buy",
"and",
"sell",
"big",
"blocks",
"of",
"stocks",
"with",
"offsetting",
"trades",
"in",
"stock-index",
"futures",
"to",
"profit",
"from",
"price",
"differences",
".",
"The",
"190-point",
"plunge",
"in",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"Oct.",
"13",
"has",
"heightened",
"concerns",
"about",
"volatility",
".",
"And",
"while",
"signs",
"of",
"an",
"economic",
"slowdown",
",",
"softer",
"corporate",
"earnings",
"and",
"troubles",
"with",
"takeover",
"financing",
"all",
"have",
"contributed",
"to",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
"'s",
"recent",
"weakness",
",",
"many",
"investors",
"rushed",
"to",
"blame",
"program",
"trading",
"for",
"aggravating",
"market",
"swings",
".",
"The",
"Wall",
"Street",
"firms",
"'",
"pullback",
"followed",
"their",
"recent",
"blacklisting",
"by",
"several",
"institutional",
"investors",
".",
"Last",
"Tuesday",
",",
"Kemper",
"Corp.",
"'s",
"Kemper",
"Financial",
"Services",
"Inc.",
"unit",
"said",
"it",
"would",
"no",
"longer",
"trade",
"with",
"firms",
"committed",
"to",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
",",
"including",
"the",
"three",
"that",
"later",
"suspended",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
"trading",
"on",
"Friday",
".",
"Phoenix",
"Mutual",
"Life",
"Insurance",
"Co.",
"and",
"Founders",
"Asset",
"Management",
"Inc.",
"also",
"cut",
"off",
"brokerage",
"firms",
"that",
"engage",
"in",
"program",
"trading",
".",
"Though",
"it",
"is",
"still",
"doing",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
"trades",
"for",
"customers",
",",
"Morgan",
"Stanley",
"'s",
"trading",
"halt",
"for",
"its",
"own",
"account",
"is",
"likely",
"to",
"shake",
"up",
"firms",
"such",
"as",
"Kidder",
",",
"Peabody",
"&",
"Co.",
"that",
"still",
"do",
"such",
"trades",
"for",
"their",
"own",
"account",
".",
"Morgan",
"Stanley",
"has",
"consistently",
"been",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"top",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
"traders",
"in",
"recent",
"months",
".",
"Indeed",
",",
"Morgan",
"Stanley",
"'s",
"president",
",",
"Richard",
"B.",
"Fisher",
",",
"said",
"the",
"firm",
"is",
"putting",
"up",
"money",
"to",
"form",
"a",
"group",
"of",
"regulators",
",",
"investors",
"and",
"investment",
"banks",
"to",
"find",
"out",
"if",
"stock-index",
"arbitrage",
"artificially",
"induces",
"stock-market",
"volatility",
".",
"``",
"We",
"have",
"to",
"clear",
"up",
"these",
"issues",
"and",
"find",
"out",
"what",
"is",
"present",
"that",
"is",
"creating",
"artificial",
"volatility",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Fisher",
"said",
".",
"``",
"There",
"is",
"no",
"question",
"that",
"investor",
"confidence",
"(",
"in",
"the",
"stock",
"market",
")",
"is",
"critical",
".",
"''",
"Joining",
"the",
"call",
"for",
"some",
"kind",
"of",
"study",
"or",
"regulatory",
"action",
",",
"Merrill",
"Lynch",
"&",
"Co.",
"recommended",
"program-trading",
"reforms",
"late",
"Friday",
",",
"including",
"higher",
"margins",
"on",
"stock-index",
"futures",
"and",
"greater",
"regulatory",
"coordination",
".",
"Separately",
",",
"Mr.",
"Cayne",
"of",
"Bear",
"Stearns",
"said",
"his",
"firm",
"is",
"working",
"with",
"regulators",
"to",
"balance",
"margin",
"requirements",
"to",
"``",
"enhance",
"stabilization",
".",
"''",
"Margin",
"rules",
"determine",
"the",
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[
"Some",
"House",
"Democrats",
"are",
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"contending",
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"the",
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".",
"Four",
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"James",
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",",
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"former",
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",",
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"the",
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".",
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",",
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"in",
"the",
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"law",
"signed",
"in",
"August",
",",
"sets",
"policy",
"for",
"the",
"RTC",
",",
"which",
"will",
"sell",
"hundreds",
"of",
"the",
"nation",
"'s",
"sick",
"thrifts",
"and",
"billions",
"of",
"dollars",
"of",
"their",
"assets",
".",
"Treasury",
"Secretary",
"Nicholas",
"Brady",
",",
"Federal",
"Reserve",
"Board",
"Chairman",
"Alan",
"Greenspan",
"and",
"Housing",
"and",
"Urban",
"Development",
"Secretary",
"Jack",
"Kemp",
"are",
"members",
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"the",
"board",
".",
"President",
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"must",
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"two",
"other",
"members",
",",
"one",
"a",
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"and",
"one",
"a",
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".",
"An",
"administration",
"official",
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"last",
"week",
"that",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
",",
"the",
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"Bank",
"in",
"Phoenix",
",",
"is",
"the",
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"appointee",
",",
"and",
"that",
"a",
"security",
"clearance",
"was",
"under",
"way",
".",
"The",
"Democratic",
"appointee",
"has",
"n't",
"been",
"determined",
",",
"the",
"official",
"said",
".",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"declined",
"to",
"comment",
",",
"and",
"the",
"White",
"House",
"said",
"the",
"congressmen",
"'s",
"letter",
"is",
"under",
"review",
".",
"The",
"letter",
",",
"dated",
"last",
"Thursday",
",",
"cited",
"the",
"losses",
"at",
"Valley",
"National",
",",
"and",
"at",
"United",
"Bank",
",",
"also",
"of",
"Phoenix",
",",
"where",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"was",
"chairman",
"for",
"29",
"years",
".",
"Both",
"banks",
"have",
"been",
"battered",
",",
"as",
"have",
"other",
"Arizona",
"banks",
",",
"by",
"falling",
"real",
"estate",
"prices",
".",
"Valley",
"National",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"had",
"$",
"470",
"million",
"in",
"problem",
"assets",
"as",
"of",
"June",
".",
"``",
"We",
"believe",
"that",
"there",
"are",
"numerous",
"other",
"candidates",
"more",
"qualified",
"for",
"this",
"important",
"position",
"and",
"we",
"encourage",
"you",
"to",
"give",
"them",
"your",
"thorough",
"consideration",
"before",
"making",
"this",
"key",
"RTC",
"appointment",
",",
"''",
"the",
"letter",
"said",
".",
"``",
"The",
"RTC",
"needs",
"the",
"most",
"able",
",",
"competent",
"management",
"available",
".",
"''",
"But",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"has",
"long",
"ties",
"to",
"both",
"Republicans",
"and",
"banking",
".",
"He",
"was",
"co-chairman",
"of",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"'s",
"Arizona",
"campaign",
"committee",
"in",
"last",
"year",
"'s",
"election",
",",
"and",
"also",
"worked",
"for",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"in",
"the",
"1980",
"election",
".",
"The",
"two",
"met",
"more",
"than",
"30",
"years",
"ago",
",",
"when",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"worked",
"for",
"Commercial",
"Bank",
"&",
"Trust",
"Co.",
"of",
"Midland",
",",
"Texas",
",",
"where",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"was",
"an",
"organizing",
"director",
".",
"In",
"1986",
",",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"also",
"served",
"on",
"a",
"committee",
"of",
"businessmen",
"headed",
"by",
"William",
"Seidman",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"the",
"Federal",
"Deposit",
"Insurance",
"Corp.",
"and",
"the",
"Resolution",
"Trust",
"Corp",
".",
"That",
"committee",
"determined",
"to",
"open",
"Arizona",
"to",
"banking",
"across",
"state",
"lines",
".",
"Arizona",
"Trend",
"magazine",
"referred",
"to",
"Mr.",
"Simmons",
"this",
"year",
"as",
"one",
"of",
"the",
"25",
"most",
"influential",
"people",
"in",
"the",
"state",
".",
"The",
"letter",
"to",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"was",
"signed",
"by",
"Reps.",
"Bruce",
"Vento",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Minn.",
")",
",",
"the",
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"RTC",
"Task",
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",",
"Thomas",
"McMillen",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Md.",
")",
",",
"Kweisi",
"Mfume",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Md",
".",
")",
"and",
"Paul",
"Kanjorski",
"(",
"D.",
",",
"Pa",
".",
")",
"."
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[
"Pacific",
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"212",
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".",
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"holding",
"company",
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"expects",
"to",
"obtain",
"regulatory",
"approval",
"and",
"complete",
"the",
"transaction",
"by",
"year-end",
"."
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[
"Sheraton",
"Corp.",
"and",
"Pan",
"American",
"World",
"Airways",
"announced",
"that",
"they",
"and",
"two",
"Soviet",
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"world-class",
"''",
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"Square",
"in",
"Moscow",
".",
"U.S.",
"and",
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"project",
"as",
"a",
"new",
"indication",
"of",
"the",
"further",
"thaw",
"in",
"U.S.-Soviet",
"relations",
".",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"an",
"outstanding",
"example",
"of",
"how",
"the",
"East",
"and",
"the",
"West",
"can",
"work",
"together",
"for",
"their",
"mutual",
"benefit",
"and",
"progress",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Soviet",
"Ambassador",
"Yuri",
"Dubinin",
",",
"who",
"hosted",
"a",
"signing",
"ceremony",
"for",
"the",
"venture",
"'s",
"partners",
"at",
"the",
"Soviet",
"embassy",
"here",
".",
"Commerce",
"Secretary",
"Robert",
"Mosbacher",
",",
"who",
"attended",
"the",
"ceremony",
",",
"called",
"the",
"undertaking",
"a",
"``",
"historic",
"step",
"''",
"in",
"the",
"evolution",
"of",
"U.S.-Soviet",
"ties",
".",
"He",
"added",
"that",
"it",
"likely",
"will",
"have",
"a",
"``",
"mulitiplier",
"effect",
"''",
"in",
"stimulating",
"further",
"trade",
"between",
"the",
"two",
"countries",
".",
"The",
"project",
"will",
"be",
"the",
"largest",
"U.S.-backed",
"joint",
"venture",
"to",
"be",
"undertaken",
"in",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
"in",
"recent",
"years",
".",
"One",
"of",
"the",
"hotels",
",",
"to",
"be",
"called",
"the",
"Sheraton",
"Moscow",
",",
"will",
"have",
"450",
"rooms",
"and",
"will",
"cost",
"an",
"estimated",
"$",
"75",
"million",
"to",
"build",
".",
"The",
"six-story",
"hotel",
"will",
"be",
"on",
"Gorky",
"Street",
"and",
"initially",
"will",
"cater",
"mostly",
"to",
"business",
"travelers",
".",
"It",
"will",
"have",
"a",
"Russian",
"tavern",
",",
"an",
"English",
"pub",
",",
"a",
"discotheque",
"and",
"Japanese",
"and",
"Italian",
"restaurants",
",",
"according",
"to",
"a",
"Sheraton",
"announcement",
".",
"The",
"hotel",
"is",
"scheduled",
"to",
"open",
"in",
"1992",
".",
"The",
"second",
"hotel",
",",
"to",
"be",
"called",
"the",
"Budapest",
"Hotel",
",",
"is",
"to",
"be",
"constructed",
"at",
"a",
"site",
"even",
"closer",
"to",
"Red",
"Square",
".",
"Details",
"about",
"its",
"size",
"and",
"cost",
"have",
"n't",
"yet",
"been",
"determined",
".",
"Sheraton",
",",
"a",
"subsidiary",
"of",
"ITT",
"Corp.",
",",
"will",
"have",
"a",
"40",
"%",
"share",
"in",
"the",
"two",
"hotels",
";",
"Pan",
"American",
",",
"a",
"subsidiary",
"of",
"Pan",
"Am",
"Corp.",
",",
"will",
"have",
"a",
"10",
"%",
"share",
".",
"The",
"Soviet",
"owners",
"will",
"be",
"Mossoviet",
",",
"Moscow",
"'s",
"city",
"governing",
"body",
",",
"and",
"Aeroflot",
",",
"the",
"Soviet",
"national",
"airline",
".",
"Although",
"a",
"Finnish",
"group",
"has",
"a",
"minority",
"interest",
"in",
"an",
"already",
"operating",
"Moscow",
"hotel",
",",
"the",
"Sheraton-Pan",
"Am",
"venture",
"will",
"be",
"the",
"first",
"joint-venture",
"hotels",
"in",
"the",
"Soviet",
"Union",
"to",
"have",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"50",
"%",
"foreign",
"ownership",
".",
"U.S.",
"companies",
"account",
"for",
"less",
"than",
"8",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"1,000",
"or",
"more",
"Soviet",
"joint",
"ventures",
"that",
"have",
"been",
"announced",
"since",
"the",
"Soviets",
"began",
"encouraging",
"such",
"undertakings",
"in",
"1987",
".",
"But",
"some",
"U.S.",
"companies",
"are",
"negotiating",
"projects",
"that",
"could",
"be",
"among",
"the",
"biggest",
"ones",
"to",
"be",
"launched",
".",
"Chevron",
"Corp.",
",",
"Amoco",
"Corp.",
",",
"Archer-Daniels-Midland",
"Co.",
",",
"and",
"Eastman",
"Kodak",
"Co.",
"are",
"among",
"the",
"U.S.",
"companies",
"known",
"to",
"be",
"considering",
"such",
"ventures",
".",
"Sheraton",
"and",
"Pan",
"Am",
"said",
"they",
"are",
"assured",
"under",
"the",
"Soviet",
"joint-venture",
"law",
"that",
"they",
"can",
"repatriate",
"profits",
"from",
"their",
"hotel",
"venture",
".",
"The",
"Sheraton",
"Moscow",
"will",
"charge",
"about",
"$",
"140",
"to",
"$",
"150",
"a",
"day",
"for",
"each",
"of",
"its",
"rooms",
",",
"and",
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"payment",
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"currencies",
"that",
"can",
"be",
"traded",
"in",
"foreign",
"exchange",
"markets",
",",
"according",
"to",
"a",
"Sheraton",
"executive",
".",
"Thomas",
"Plaskett",
",",
"Pan",
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"'s",
"chairman",
",",
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"outgrowth",
"of",
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"current",
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"with",
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"operate",
"nonstop",
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"York-Moscow",
"flights",
".",
"He",
"said",
"the",
"rising",
"volume",
"of",
"passenger",
"traffic",
"on",
"this",
"route",
"justifies",
"a",
"major",
"investment",
"in",
"new",
"high-standard",
"Moscow",
"hotels",
"."
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[
"FALL",
"BALLOT",
"ISSUES",
"set",
"a",
"record",
"for",
"off-year",
"elections",
".",
"Odd-year",
"elections",
"attract",
"relatively",
"few",
"ballot",
"issues",
".",
"But",
"the",
"1989",
"fall",
"total",
"of",
"80",
",",
"while",
"well",
"below",
"1988",
"activity",
",",
"shows",
"``",
"a",
"steady",
"ratcheting",
"up",
"in",
"citizen",
"referenda",
"and",
"initiatives",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Patrick",
"McGuigan",
",",
"editor",
"of",
"Family",
",",
"Law",
"and",
"Democracy",
"Report",
".",
"He",
"says",
"the",
"10",
"citizen-sparked",
"issues",
"on",
"state",
"ballots",
"this",
"fall",
"represent",
"the",
"most",
"in",
"any",
"odd-year",
"this",
"decade",
".",
"Ballot",
"questions",
"range",
"from",
"a",
"Maine",
"initiative",
"on",
"banning",
"Cruise",
"missiles",
"to",
"a",
"referendum",
"on",
"increasing",
"the",
"North",
"Dakota",
"income",
"tax",
".",
"Ballot",
"watchers",
"say",
"attention",
"already",
"is",
"focused",
"on",
"the",
"1990",
"elections",
".",
"In",
"California",
",",
"two",
"petition",
"drives",
"for",
"next",
"year",
"'s",
"election",
"are",
"``",
"essentially",
"finished",
",",
"''",
"says",
"David",
"Schmidt",
",",
"author",
"of",
"``",
"Citizen",
"Lawmakers",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"McGuigan",
"cites",
"three",
"completed",
"efforts",
"in",
"Oklahoma",
".",
"Hot",
"ballot",
"topics",
"are",
"expected",
"to",
"be",
"abortion",
",",
"the",
"environment",
"and",
"insurance",
"reform",
".",
"Taking",
"a",
"cue",
"from",
"California",
",",
"more",
"politicians",
"will",
"launch",
"their",
"campaigns",
"by",
"backing",
"initiatives",
",",
"says",
"David",
"Magleby",
"of",
"Brigham",
"Young",
"University",
".",
"PHOTOGRAPH",
"COLLECTING",
"gains",
"new",
"stature",
"as",
"prices",
"rise",
".",
"Price",
"records",
"are",
"being",
"set",
"at",
"auctions",
"this",
"week",
".",
"At",
"Christie",
"'s",
",",
"a",
"folio",
"of",
"21",
"prints",
"from",
"Alfred",
"Stieglitz",
"'s",
"``",
"Equivalents",
"''",
"series",
"sold",
"for",
"$",
"396,000",
",",
"a",
"single-lot",
"record",
".",
"Other",
"works",
"also",
"have",
"been",
"exceeding",
"price",
"estimates",
".",
"In",
"part",
",",
"prices",
"reflect",
"development",
"of",
"a",
"market",
"structure",
"based",
"on",
"such",
"variables",
"as",
"the",
"number",
"of",
"prints",
".",
"This",
"information",
"used",
"to",
"be",
"poorly",
"documented",
"and",
"largely",
"anecdotal",
",",
"says",
"Beth",
"Gates-Warren",
"of",
"Sotheby",
"'s",
".",
"``",
"There",
"is",
"finally",
"some",
"sort",
"of",
"sense",
"in",
"the",
"market",
",",
"''",
"she",
"says",
".",
"Corporations",
"and",
"museums",
"are",
"among",
"the",
"serious",
"buyers",
",",
"giving",
"greater",
"market",
"stability",
",",
"says",
"Robert",
"Persky",
"of",
"the",
"Photograph",
"Collector",
".",
"``",
"When",
"I",
"see",
"prints",
"going",
"into",
"the",
"hands",
"of",
"institutions",
",",
"I",
"know",
"they",
"are",
"n't",
"going",
"to",
"come",
"back",
"on",
"the",
"market",
".",
"''",
"Most",
"in",
"demand",
":",
"classic",
"photographs",
"by",
"masters",
"such",
"as",
"Stieglitz",
"and",
"Man",
"Ray",
".",
"But",
"much",
"contemporary",
"work",
"is",
"also",
"fetching",
"``",
"a",
"great",
"deal",
"of",
"money",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Miles",
"Barth",
"of",
"the",
"International",
"Center",
"of",
"Photography",
".",
"DIALING",
"900",
"brings",
"callers",
"a",
"growing",
"number",
"of",
"services",
".",
"Currently",
"a",
"$",
"300",
"million-a-year",
"business",
",",
"900",
"telephone",
"service",
"is",
"expected",
"to",
"hit",
"$",
"500",
"million",
"next",
"year",
"and",
"near",
"$",
"2",
"billion",
"by",
"1992",
"as",
"uses",
"for",
"the",
"service",
"continue",
"to",
"expand",
",",
"says",
"Joel",
"Gross",
"of",
"Donaldson",
",",
"Lufkin",
"&",
"Jenrette",
"Inc",
".",
"The",
"service",
"--",
"which",
"costs",
"the",
"caller",
"from",
"30",
"cents",
"to",
"$",
"25",
"a",
"minute",
"--",
"currently",
"is",
"dominated",
"by",
"celebrity",
"chatter",
",",
"horoscopes",
"and",
"romance",
"lines",
".",
"But",
"more",
"serious",
"applications",
"are",
"in",
"the",
"wings",
",",
"and",
"that",
"is",
"where",
"the",
"future",
"growth",
"is",
"expected",
".",
"``",
"I",
"'m",
"starting",
"to",
"see",
"more",
"business",
"transactions",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Andrea",
"West",
"of",
"American",
"Telephone",
"&",
"Telegraph",
"Co.",
",",
"noting",
"growing",
"interest",
"in",
"use",
"of",
"900",
"service",
"for",
"stock",
"sales",
",",
"software",
"tutorials",
"and",
"even",
"service",
"contracts",
".",
"Colleges",
",",
"she",
"says",
",",
"are",
"eyeing",
"registration",
"through",
"900",
"service",
".",
"Charities",
"test",
"the",
"waters",
",",
"but",
"they",
"face",
"legal",
"barriers",
"to",
"electronic",
"fund",
"raising",
".",
"``",
"The",
"thing",
"that",
"will",
"really",
"break",
"this",
"market",
"right",
"open",
"is",
"merchandising",
",",
"''",
"Ms.",
"West",
"says",
".",
"Much",
"of",
"the",
"800",
"service",
"will",
"``",
"migrate",
"to",
"900",
",",
"''",
"predicts",
"Jack",
"Lawless",
",",
"general",
"manager",
"of",
"US",
"Sprint",
"'s",
"900",
"product",
".",
"FAMILY",
"PETS",
"are",
"improving",
"recovery",
"rates",
"of",
"patients",
"at",
"Columbia",
"Hospital",
",",
"Milwaukee",
".",
"Patients",
"who",
"receive",
"canine",
"or",
"feline",
"visitors",
"are",
"found",
"to",
"have",
"lower",
"blood",
"pressure",
"and",
"improved",
"appetite",
"and",
"be",
"more",
"receptive",
"to",
"therapy",
",",
"says",
"Mary",
"Ann",
"O'Loughlin",
",",
"program",
"coordinator",
".",
"TIRED",
"OF",
"TRIMMING",
"?",
"Hammacher",
"Schlemmer",
"&",
"Co.",
"offers",
"a",
"fiber-optic",
"Christmas",
"tree",
"that",
"eliminates",
"the",
"need",
"to",
"string",
"lights",
".",
"The",
"$",
"6,500",
"tree",
"is",
"designed",
"to",
"send",
"continuously",
"changing",
"colored",
"light",
"to",
"dozens",
"of",
"fiber-end",
"bunches",
".",
"MEDICINE",
"TRANSPLANT",
":",
"Growth",
"of",
"Japanese",
"trade",
"and",
"travel",
"prompts",
"Beth",
"Israel",
"Medical",
"Center",
",",
"New",
"York",
",",
"to",
"set",
"up",
"a",
"bilingual",
"medical",
"practice",
".",
"Funded",
"by",
"a",
"$",
"1",
"million",
"gift",
"from",
"Tokio",
"Marine",
"&",
"Fire",
"Insurance",
",",
"the",
"service",
"will",
"follow",
"Japanese",
"medical",
"protocols",
",",
"including",
"emphasis",
"on",
"preventative",
"medicine",
".",
"DIAPER",
"SERVICES",
"make",
"a",
"comeback",
"amid",
"growing",
"environmental",
"concerns",
".",
"Concerned",
"about",
"shrinking",
"landfills",
"and",
"the",
"safety",
"of",
"chemicals",
"used",
"in",
"super-absorbent",
"disposables",
",",
"parents",
"are",
"returning",
"to",
"the",
"cloth",
"diaper",
".",
"Tiny",
"Tots",
"Inc.",
",",
"Campbell",
",",
"Calif.",
",",
"says",
"business",
"is",
"up",
"35",
"%",
"in",
"the",
"past",
"year",
".",
"``",
"We",
"'re",
"gaining",
"1,200",
"new",
"customers",
"each",
"week",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Jack",
"Mogavero",
"of",
"General",
"Health",
"Care",
"Corp.",
",",
"Piscataway",
",",
"N.J",
".",
"In",
"Syracuse",
",",
"N.Y.",
",",
"DyDee",
"Service",
"'s",
"new",
"marketing",
"push",
"stresses",
"environmental",
"awareness",
".",
"Among",
"its",
"new",
"customers",
":",
"day-care",
"centers",
"that",
"previously",
"spurned",
"the",
"service",
".",
"The",
"National",
"Association",
"of",
"Diaper",
"Services",
",",
"Philadelphia",
",",
"says",
"that",
"since",
"January",
"it",
"has",
"gotten",
"more",
"than",
"672",
"inquiries",
"from",
"people",
"interested",
"in",
"starting",
"diaper",
"services",
".",
"Elisa",
"Hollis",
"launched",
"a",
"diaper",
"service",
"last",
"year",
"because",
"State",
"College",
",",
"Pa.",
",",
"where",
"she",
"lives",
",",
"did",
"n't",
"have",
"one",
".",
"Diaper",
"shortages",
"this",
"summer",
"limited",
"growth",
"at",
"Stork",
"Diaper",
"Services",
",",
"Springfield",
",",
"Mass.",
",",
"where",
"business",
"is",
"up",
"25",
"%",
"in",
"Also",
"spurring",
"the",
"move",
"to",
"cloth",
":",
"diaper",
"covers",
"with",
"Velcro",
"fasteners",
"that",
"eliminate",
"the",
"need",
"for",
"safety",
"pins",
".",
"BRIEFS",
":",
"Only",
"57.6",
"%",
"of",
"New",
"Yorkers",
"watch",
"the",
"local",
"news",
",",
"the",
"lowest",
"viewership",
"in",
"the",
"country",
",",
"says",
"a",
"new",
"study",
"by",
"Impact",
"Resources",
"Inc.",
",",
"Columbus",
",",
"Ohio",
"...",
".",
"FreudToy",
",",
"a",
"pillow",
"bearing",
"the",
"likeness",
"of",
"Sigmund",
"Freud",
",",
"is",
"marketed",
"as",
"a",
"$",
"24.95",
"tool",
"for",
"do-it-yourself",
"analysis",
"."
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"agent",
"''",
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",",
"responsible",
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".",
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"We",
"issue",
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";",
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",",
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",",
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"Wrap",
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"unusual",
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"For",
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"hours",
"a",
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"two",
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")",
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"A",
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",",
"the",
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"giant",
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"burnt",
"wrappers",
".",
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",",
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"then",
"rewrapped",
".",
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"expects",
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"Coin",
"Wrap",
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"20,000",
"--",
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"that",
"insurance",
"wo",
"n't",
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".",
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"half",
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",",
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"In",
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",",
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[
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"200",
".",
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"are",
"doing",
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"as",
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".",
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"low-crime",
"mall",
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"a",
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"area",
"violates",
"the",
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"typical",
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"pattern",
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"which",
"commercial",
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"regional",
"and",
"national",
"chain",
"stores",
"are",
"replaced",
"by",
"mom-and-pop",
"operations",
"offering",
"poorer-quality",
"merchandise",
"at",
"higher",
"prices",
".",
"Along",
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"the",
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"of",
"shopping",
"opportunities",
"is",
"an",
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"of",
"the",
"jobs",
"that",
"the",
"major",
"chains",
"used",
"to",
"provide",
"to",
"community",
"residents",
".",
"Thus",
"there",
"is",
"even",
"more",
"to",
"the",
"Vermont-Slauson",
"Center",
"than",
"a",
"good",
"place",
"to",
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".",
"This",
"defensible",
"commercial",
"zone",
"becomes",
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",",
"a",
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"oasis",
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"landscape",
",",
"evidence",
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"is",
"not",
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"and",
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"gangs",
"are",
"not",
"invincible",
".",
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"center",
"improves",
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"image",
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"as",
"well",
",",
"and",
"may",
"help",
"to",
"arrest",
",",
"or",
"even",
"reverse",
",",
"the",
"exodus",
"of",
"capital",
"and",
"investment",
".",
"An",
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"benefit",
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"the",
"creation",
"of",
"jobs",
".",
"This",
"starts",
"in",
"the",
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"phase",
"through",
"the",
"use",
"of",
"minority",
"contractors",
"and",
"local",
"workers",
".",
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"continues",
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"the",
"life",
"of",
"the",
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";",
"the",
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"Center",
"has",
"created",
"500",
"permanent",
"private-sector",
"jobs",
"at",
"a",
"one-time",
"cost",
"in",
"public",
"funds",
"of",
"only",
"$",
"2,500",
"per",
"job",
".",
"As",
"many",
"of",
"these",
"jobs",
"are",
"filled",
"by",
"local",
"residents",
",",
"who",
"move",
"from",
"the",
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"rolls",
"to",
"the",
"tax",
"rolls",
",",
"the",
"$",
"2,500-per-job",
"public",
"investment",
"should",
"repay",
"itself",
"in",
"a",
"few",
"years",
".",
"And",
"that",
"is",
"before",
"consideration",
"of",
"increased",
"state",
"and",
"local",
"revenues",
"from",
"taxes",
"and",
"fees",
"on",
"sales",
",",
"real",
"estate",
",",
"licenses",
"and",
"the",
"like",
".",
"Profits",
"are",
"also",
"plowed",
"back",
"into",
"the",
"community",
";",
"the",
"non-profit",
"Vermont-Slauson",
"Economic",
"Development",
"Corp.",
"receives",
"60",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"profits",
"from",
"the",
"Vermont-Slauson",
"Center",
"and",
"uses",
"the",
"money",
"to",
"provide",
"moderate",
"and",
"low-cost",
"housing",
"in",
"the",
"community",
"--",
"now",
"running",
"into",
"the",
"hundreds",
"of",
"units",
"--",
"as",
"well",
"as",
"commercial",
"and",
"industrial",
"development",
"projects",
".",
"Bradford",
"Crowe",
",",
"director",
"of",
"the",
"mayor",
"'s",
"City",
"Economic",
"Development",
"Office",
",",
"says",
":",
"``",
"There",
"is",
"no",
"question",
"that",
"Vermont-Slauson",
"had",
"a",
"halo",
"effect",
"on",
"the",
"surrounding",
"neighborhood",
".",
"What",
"had",
"been",
"a",
"deteriorated",
"area",
"with",
"nothing",
"but",
"wig",
"shops",
"and",
"shoe",
"shops",
"is",
"now",
"experiencing",
"a",
"major",
"upgrading",
"in",
"the",
"housing",
"and",
"commercial",
"stock",
",",
"thanks",
"to",
"a",
"continuously",
"replenished",
"source",
"of",
"revitalization",
"capital",
"that",
"Vermont-Slauson",
"yields",
".",
"''",
"Another",
"benefit",
"is",
"that",
"substantial",
"percentages",
"of",
"the",
"proprietors",
"in",
"these",
"centers",
"are",
"minority",
"businessmen",
"and",
"women",
".",
"In",
"the",
"Grand",
"Boulevard",
"Plaza",
"developed",
"by",
"Matanky",
"Realty",
"Group",
"in",
"Chicago",
"'s",
"Third",
"Ward",
",",
"opposite",
"the",
"Robert",
"Taylor",
"Homes",
",",
"29",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"stores",
"to",
"date",
"have",
"been",
"leased",
"to",
"blacks",
"and",
"14",
"%",
"to",
"members",
"of",
"other",
"minority",
"groups",
".",
"Children",
"from",
"the",
"community",
"will",
"have",
"worthier",
"role",
"models",
"than",
"the",
"drug",
"kingpins",
".",
"So",
"what",
"'s",
"the",
"catch",
"?",
"Primarily",
"that",
"putting",
"one",
"of",
"these",
"inner-city",
"deals",
"together",
"takes",
"time",
",",
"patience",
",",
"breadth",
"of",
"vision",
"and",
"negotiating",
"skills",
"that",
"not",
"all",
"developers",
"possess",
".",
"Security",
"costs",
"are",
"also",
"quite",
"high",
".",
"One",
"of",
"these",
"centers",
"can",
"involve",
"years",
"of",
"negotiating",
"with",
"numerous",
"public",
"agencies",
",",
"local",
"political",
"leaders",
",",
"and",
"citizen",
"groups",
",",
"and",
"with",
"prospective",
"tenants",
"and",
"sources",
"of",
"financing",
".",
"Suburban",
"deals",
"are",
"not",
"without",
"their",
"delays",
"and",
"complications",
"--",
"inner-city",
"deals",
"just",
"have",
"more",
"of",
"them",
".",
"Security",
"at",
"a",
"typical",
"Haagen",
"inner-city",
"center",
"is",
"impressive",
",",
"but",
"unobtrusive",
".",
"The",
"entire",
"site",
"is",
"enclosed",
"by",
"a",
"6-to-8-foot-high",
"ornamental",
"iron",
"fence",
"with",
"a",
"small",
"number",
"of",
"remote-controlled",
"gates",
".",
"Shrubs",
"and",
"flowers",
"give",
"it",
"a",
"pleasing",
"and",
"non-fortress-like",
"appearance",
".",
"Infrared",
"motion",
"detectors",
"and",
"closed-circuit",
"TV",
"cameras",
"monitor",
"the",
"entire",
"center",
";",
"lighting",
"levels",
"are",
"three",
"to",
"five",
"times",
"the",
"industry",
"standard",
".",
"The",
"security",
"command",
"post",
",",
"camouflaged",
"as",
"second-story",
"retail",
"space",
",",
"has",
"its",
"own",
"``",
"crow",
"'s",
"nest",
"''",
"above",
"the",
"roofs",
"of",
"the",
"other",
"buildings",
",",
"with",
"a",
"panoramic",
"view",
"of",
"the",
"entire",
"center",
".",
"Local",
"law",
"enforcement",
"is",
"present",
"in",
"a",
"sub-station",
"occupying",
"space",
"donated",
"by",
"the",
"center",
".",
"These",
"features",
"are",
"also",
"used",
"in",
"Matanky",
"Realty",
"Group",
"'s",
"Grand",
"Boulevard",
"Plaza",
".",
"Haagen",
"has",
"its",
"own",
"large",
"security",
"force",
"of",
"well-trained",
"and",
"well-paid",
"personnel",
"on",
"round-the-clock",
"duty",
"at",
"each",
"center",
".",
"Security",
"is",
"60",
"%",
"to",
"70",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"common",
"area",
"charges",
"of",
"these",
"centers",
",",
"vs.",
"an",
"industry",
"average",
"of",
"about",
"15",
"%",
".",
"These",
"security",
"costs",
"are",
"kept",
"off-budget",
"because",
"the",
"centers",
"'",
"site",
"acquisition",
",",
"construction",
",",
"and",
"financing",
"costs",
"were",
"reduced",
"by",
"such",
"programs",
"as",
"Urban",
"Development",
"Action",
"Grants",
",",
"Economic",
"Development",
"Administration",
"Grants",
",",
"Community",
"Development",
"Block",
"Grants",
",",
"tax-free",
"Industrial",
"Development",
"Bonds",
",",
"Enterprise",
"Zone",
"tax",
"write-offs",
",",
"city",
"infrastructure",
"grants",
",",
"and",
"tax",
"increment",
"financing",
".",
"Many",
"of",
"these",
"programs",
"no",
"longer",
"exist",
",",
"or",
"have",
"been",
"severely",
"cut",
"back",
".",
"However",
",",
"since",
"these",
"centers",
"appear",
"to",
"pay",
"for",
"themselves",
",",
"there",
"is",
"nothing",
"to",
"prevent",
"state",
"and",
"local",
"governments",
"from",
"enacting",
"legislation",
"with",
"similar",
"provisions",
".",
"Many",
"states",
"already",
"have",
"Enterprise",
"Zones",
"and",
"legislation",
"that",
"combines",
"tax",
"incentives",
",",
"loans",
",",
"and",
"grants",
"to",
"encourage",
"investment",
"in",
"depressed",
"areas",
"with",
"requirements",
"for",
"the",
"hiring",
"of",
"the",
"unemployed",
"and",
"minorities",
".",
"These",
"programs",
"could",
"be",
"expanded",
"to",
"focus",
"on",
"funds",
"for",
"project",
"planning",
",",
"identifying",
"sources",
"of",
"funds",
",",
"and",
"for",
"acquiring",
"a",
"site",
"and",
"preparing",
"it",
".",
"Combatting",
"crime",
"and",
"the",
"fear",
"of",
"it",
"in",
"inner-city",
"commercial",
"areas",
"should",
"give",
"Enterprise",
"Zones",
"more",
"success",
"than",
"most",
"have",
"enjoyed",
"to",
"date",
".",
"With",
"many",
"suburban",
"areas",
"basically",
"overbuilt",
"with",
"shopping",
"centers",
",",
"inner-city",
"areas",
"may",
"represent",
"a",
"major",
"new",
"untapped",
"market",
"for",
"investment",
".",
"New",
"approaches",
"to",
"mall",
"design",
"and",
"operation",
"make",
"it",
"possible",
"to",
"tap",
"these",
"markets",
".",
"If",
"the",
"risks",
"and",
"rewards",
"are",
"reasonable",
",",
"developers",
"will",
"respond",
".",
"Government",
"officials",
"who",
"wonder",
"how",
"important",
"it",
"is",
"for",
"them",
"to",
"encourage",
"development",
"in",
"high-risk",
"areas",
"should",
"visit",
"Vermont-Slauson",
"and",
"Grand",
"Boulevard",
"Plaza",
"and",
"decide",
"for",
"themselves",
".",
"The",
"answer",
"will",
"be",
"obvious",
".",
"Mr.",
"Titus",
"is",
"a",
"researcher",
"at",
"the",
"Justice",
"Department",
"'s",
"National",
"Institute",
"of",
"Justice",
"."
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[
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",",
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"earthlings",
"will",
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"skin",
"cancer",
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"Peter",
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",",
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",",
"is",
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"D.",
"Little",
"Inc.",
",",
"of",
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",",
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",",
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"find",
"alternative",
"technologies",
"that",
"will",
"allow",
"industry",
"to",
"eliminate",
"CFCs",
".",
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"addition",
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"his",
"interest",
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",",
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"is",
"creating",
"a",
"``",
"greenhouse",
"effect",
"''",
"that",
"will",
"work",
"important",
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"changes",
"in",
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"``",
"I",
"would",
"be",
"the",
"first",
"to",
"admit",
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"there",
"is",
"not",
"a",
"complete",
"consensus",
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",",
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".",
"``",
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"read",
"I",
"come",
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"the",
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"is",
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",",
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"is",
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".",
"We",
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"afford",
"to",
"wait",
".",
"''",
"But",
"does",
"it",
"have",
"to",
"be",
"so",
"soon",
"?",
"Some",
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"scientists",
"think",
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",",
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"next",
"century",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"easy",
"to",
"get",
"something",
"comparable",
"by",
"simply",
"moving",
"to",
"a",
"higher",
"altitude",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"there",
"are",
"questions",
",",
"particularly",
"among",
"atmospheric",
"scientists",
"who",
"know",
"this",
"subject",
"best",
",",
"about",
"the",
"ability",
"of",
"anyone",
"to",
"know",
"what",
"in",
"fact",
"is",
"happening",
"to",
"the",
"ozone",
"layer",
".",
"It",
"is",
"generally",
"agreed",
"that",
"when",
"CFCs",
"rise",
"from",
"earth",
"to",
"stratosphere",
",",
"the",
"chlorine",
"in",
"them",
"is",
"capable",
"of",
"interfering",
"with",
"the",
"process",
"through",
"which",
"ultraviolet",
"rays",
"split",
"oxygen",
"molecules",
"and",
"form",
"ozone",
".",
"But",
"ozone",
"creation",
"is",
"a",
"very",
"large-scale",
"natural",
"process",
"and",
"the",
"importance",
"of",
"human-generated",
"CFCs",
"in",
"reducing",
"it",
"is",
"largely",
"a",
"matter",
"of",
"conjecture",
".",
"The",
"ozone",
"layer",
"is",
"constantly",
"in",
"motion",
"and",
"thus",
"very",
"hard",
"to",
"measure",
".",
"What",
"scientists",
"have",
"known",
"since",
"the",
"late",
"1970s",
"is",
"that",
"there",
"is",
"a",
"hole",
"in",
"the",
"layer",
"over",
"Antarctica",
"that",
"expands",
"or",
"contracts",
"from",
"year",
"to",
"year",
".",
"But",
"it",
"is",
"at",
"least",
"worthy",
"of",
"some",
"note",
"that",
"there",
"are",
"very",
"few",
"refrigerators",
"in",
"Antarctica",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"surely",
"someone",
"has",
"noticed",
"that",
"household",
"refrigerators",
"are",
"closed",
"systems",
",",
"running",
"for",
"many",
"years",
"without",
"either",
"the",
"CFC",
"gas",
"or",
"the",
"insulation",
"ever",
"escaping",
".",
"Another",
"argument",
"of",
"the",
"environmentalists",
"is",
"that",
"if",
"substitutes",
"are",
"available",
",",
"why",
"not",
"use",
"them",
"?",
"Mr.",
"Teagan",
"cites",
"a",
"list",
"of",
"substitutes",
"but",
"none",
",",
"so",
"far",
",",
"match",
"the",
"nonflammable",
",",
"nontoxic",
"CFCs",
".",
"Butane",
"and",
"propane",
"can",
"be",
"used",
"as",
"coolants",
",",
"for",
"example",
",",
"but",
"are",
"flammable",
".",
"Moreover",
",",
"new",
"lubricants",
"will",
"be",
"needed",
"to",
"protect",
"compressors",
"from",
"the",
"new",
"formulations",
",",
"which",
",",
"as",
"with",
"CFCs",
",",
"are",
"solvents",
".",
"Mr.",
"Teagan",
"points",
"out",
"as",
"well",
"that",
"if",
"the",
"equipment",
"designed",
"to",
"get",
"along",
"without",
"CFCs",
"is",
"less",
"efficient",
"than",
"current",
"devices",
",",
"energy",
"consumption",
"will",
"rise",
"and",
"that",
"will",
"worsen",
"the",
"greenhouse",
"effect",
".",
"Folks",
"in",
"the",
"Midwest",
"who",
"just",
"suffered",
"a",
"mid-October",
"snowstorm",
"may",
"wonder",
"where",
"the",
"greenhouse",
"was",
"when",
"they",
"needed",
"it",
",",
"but",
"let",
"'s",
"not",
"be",
"flippant",
"about",
"grave",
"risks",
".",
"As",
"it",
"happens",
",",
"Arthur",
"D.",
"Little",
"is",
"not",
"at",
"all",
"interested",
"in",
"throwing",
"cold",
"water",
"on",
"ozone",
"depletion",
"and",
"global",
"warming",
"theories",
".",
"It",
"is",
"interested",
"in",
"making",
"some",
"money",
"advising",
"industry",
"on",
"how",
"to",
"convert",
"to",
"a",
"world",
"without",
"CFCs",
".",
"There",
"is",
",",
"after",
"all",
",",
"big",
"money",
"in",
"environmentalism",
".",
"Maybe",
"we",
"should",
"ask",
"why",
"it",
"was",
"that",
"Du",
"Pont",
"so",
"quickly",
"capitulated",
"and",
"issued",
"a",
"statement",
",",
"giving",
"it",
"wide",
"publicity",
",",
"that",
"it",
"was",
"withdrawing",
"CFCs",
".",
"Freon",
",",
"introduced",
"in",
"1930",
",",
"revolutionized",
"America",
"by",
"making",
"refrigeration",
"and",
"air",
"conditioning",
"practical",
"after",
"all",
".",
"One",
"answer",
"is",
"that",
"big",
"companies",
"are",
"growing",
"weary",
"of",
"fighting",
"environmental",
"movements",
"and",
"are",
"trying",
"instead",
"to",
"cash",
"in",
"on",
"them",
",",
"although",
"they",
"never",
"care",
"to",
"put",
"it",
"quite",
"that",
"way",
".",
"Du",
"Pont",
",",
"as",
"it",
"happens",
",",
"has",
"a",
"potential",
"substitute",
"for",
"CFCs",
".",
"Imperial",
"Chemical",
"Industries",
"of",
"the",
"U.K.",
"also",
"has",
"one",
",",
"and",
"is",
"building",
"a",
"plant",
"in",
"Louisiana",
"to",
"produce",
"it",
".",
"Japanese",
"chemical",
"companies",
"are",
"at",
"work",
"developing",
"their",
"own",
"substitutes",
"and",
"hoping",
"to",
"conquer",
"new",
"markets",
",",
"of",
"course",
".",
"There",
"are",
"still",
"others",
"who",
"do",
"n't",
"mind",
"seeing",
"new",
"crises",
"arise",
".",
"Environmental",
"groups",
"would",
"soon",
"go",
"out",
"of",
"business",
"were",
"they",
"not",
"able",
"to",
"send",
"out",
"mailings",
"describing",
"the",
"latest",
"threat",
"and",
"asking",
"for",
"money",
"to",
"fight",
"it",
".",
"University",
"professors",
"and",
"consultants",
"with",
"scientific",
"credentials",
"saw",
"a",
"huge",
"market",
"for",
"their",
"services",
"evaporate",
"when",
"price",
"decontrol",
"destroyed",
"the",
"energy",
"crisis",
"and",
"thus",
"the",
"demand",
"for",
"``",
"alternative",
"energy",
".",
"''",
"They",
"needed",
"new",
"crises",
"to",
"generate",
"new",
"grants",
"and",
"contracts",
".",
"In",
"other",
"words",
",",
"environmentalism",
"has",
"created",
"a",
"whole",
"set",
"of",
"vested",
"interests",
"that",
"fare",
"better",
"when",
"there",
"are",
"many",
"problems",
"than",
"when",
"there",
"are",
"few",
".",
"That",
"tends",
"to",
"tilt",
"the",
"public",
"debate",
"toward",
"``",
"solutions",
"''",
"even",
"when",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"most",
"knowledgeable",
"scientists",
"are",
"skeptical",
"about",
"the",
"seriousness",
"of",
"the",
"threats",
"and",
"the",
"insistence",
"of",
"urgency",
".",
"There",
"is",
"an",
"element",
"of",
"make-work",
"involved",
".",
"Consumers",
"pay",
"the",
"bill",
"for",
"all",
"this",
"in",
"the",
"price",
"of",
"a",
"refrigerator",
"or",
"an",
"air-conditioned",
"car",
".",
"If",
"they",
"were",
"really",
"getting",
"insurance",
"against",
"environmental",
"disaster",
",",
"the",
"price",
"would",
"be",
"cheap",
".",
"But",
"if",
"there",
"is",
"no",
"impending",
"threat",
",",
"it",
"can",
"get",
"to",
"be",
"very",
"expensive",
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",",
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"Connecticut",
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",",
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"3/4",
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"SP1-plus",
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".",
"University",
"of",
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"and",
"Dentistry",
"of",
"New",
"Jersey",
"--",
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"55.8",
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"C",
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".",
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",",
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"to",
"7.26",
"%",
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"2019",
".",
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"those",
"due",
"2002",
".",
"Federal",
"Home",
"Loan",
"Mortgage",
"Corp.",
"--",
"$",
"500",
"million",
"of",
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"mortgage",
"securities",
"being",
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"Brothers",
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",",
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"104",
",",
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"Freddie",
"Mac",
"9",
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".",
"The",
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"used",
"at-market",
"pricing",
".",
"Federal",
"National",
"Mortgage",
"Association",
"--",
"$",
"350",
"million",
"of",
"Remic",
"mortgage",
"securities",
"being",
"offered",
"in",
"11",
"classes",
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"Greenwich",
"Capital",
"Markets",
".",
"The",
"offering",
",",
"Series",
"1989-82",
",",
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"Mae",
"9",
"1/2",
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"42.3",
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"program",
"began",
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"1987",
".",
"Hanshin",
"Electric",
"Railway",
"Co",
".",
"(",
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")",
"--",
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"150",
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"2",
",",
"1993",
",",
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"coupon",
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".",
"Each",
"$",
"5,000",
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"carries",
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"warrant",
",",
"exercisable",
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"16",
",",
"1989",
",",
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"19",
",",
"1993",
",",
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"shares",
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"%",
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"price",
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"Oct.",
"24",
".",
"Toyobo",
"Co",
".",
"(",
"Japan",
")",
"--",
"$",
"150",
"million",
"of",
"bonds",
"due",
"Nov.",
"1",
",",
"1993",
",",
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"warrants",
",",
"indicating",
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",",
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".",
"Each",
"$",
"5000",
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"carries",
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"warrant",
",",
"exercisable",
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",",
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",",
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"18",
",",
"1993",
",",
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"shares",
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"%",
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"Oct.",
"23",
".",
"Sammi",
"Steel",
"Co",
".",
"(",
"Korea",
")",
"--",
"$",
"50",
"million",
"of",
"bonds",
"due",
"Nov.",
"8",
",",
"1994",
",",
"with",
"equity-purchase",
"warrants",
",",
"indicating",
"a",
"1",
"1/4",
"%",
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"1",
"3/4",
"%",
"coupon",
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"par",
",",
"via",
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"Lynch",
"International",
"Ltd.",
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"Dong",
"Suh",
"Securities",
"Co",
".",
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"$",
"5,000",
"bond",
"carries",
"one",
"warrant",
",",
"exercisable",
"from",
"May",
"8",
",",
"1991",
",",
"through",
"Oct.",
"8",
",",
"1994",
",",
"to",
"buy",
"company",
"shares",
"at",
"an",
"expected",
"premium",
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"75",
"%",
"to",
"85",
"%",
"to",
"the",
"closing",
"share",
"price",
"when",
"terms",
"are",
"fixed",
"Oct.",
"18",
".",
"Redland",
"International",
"Funding",
"PLC",
"(",
"U.K.",
"parent",
")",
"--",
"150",
"million",
"Australian",
"dollars",
"of",
"15",
"3/8",
"%",
"bonds",
"due",
"Nov.",
"8",
",",
"1996",
",",
"priced",
"at",
"101",
"3/4",
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"yield",
"15.44",
"%",
"less",
"full",
"fees",
",",
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"Morgan",
"Securities",
"Ltd",
".",
"Guaranteed",
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"PLC",
".",
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"2",
".",
"Tennessee",
"Valley",
"Authority",
"--",
"A",
"$",
"4",
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",",
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[
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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[
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[
"In",
"a",
"move",
"to",
"prevent",
"any",
"dislocation",
"in",
"the",
"financial",
"markets",
"from",
"the",
"California",
"earthquake",
",",
"the",
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"and",
"Exchange",
"Commission",
"said",
"it",
"temporarily",
"reassigned",
"options",
"listed",
"on",
"the",
"Pacific",
"Stock",
"Exchange",
"to",
"the",
"American",
",",
"New",
"York",
"and",
"Philadelphia",
"stock",
"exchanges",
"and",
"to",
"the",
"Chicago",
"Board",
"Options",
"Exchange",
".",
"The",
"decision",
",",
"which",
"affects",
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"of",
"dollars",
"of",
"trading",
"positions",
",",
"was",
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"late",
"yesterday",
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"the",
"Pacific",
"exchange",
"'s",
"options",
"floor",
"was",
"shut",
"down",
"as",
"a",
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"of",
"Tuesday",
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".",
"The",
"SEC",
",",
"faced",
"with",
"a",
"major",
"squeeze",
"on",
"options",
"positions",
",",
"said",
"it",
"was",
"necessary",
"to",
"ensure",
"that",
"options",
"listed",
"on",
"the",
"exchange",
"could",
"be",
"traded",
"today",
"and",
"tomorrow",
".",
"SEC",
"Chairman",
"Richard",
"Breeden",
"said",
"the",
"cooperation",
"by",
"the",
"exchanges",
"would",
"enable",
"investors",
"to",
"buy",
"and",
"sell",
"options",
"listed",
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"the",
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",",
"guaranteeing",
"the",
"liquidity",
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".",
"Officials",
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"four",
"exchanges",
"said",
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"over",
"50",
"traders",
"from",
"the",
"Pacific",
"exchange",
"were",
"taking",
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",",
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"York",
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"exchanges",
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"the",
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",",
"where",
"they",
"would",
"continue",
"making",
"markets",
"in",
"the",
"Pacific-listed",
"options",
".",
"The",
"Big",
"Board",
"said",
"carpenters",
"quickly",
"erected",
"a",
"new",
"options",
"floor",
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"accomodate",
"40",
"traders",
"from",
"the",
"Pacific",
"exchange",
".",
"In",
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",",
"specialists",
"on",
"the",
"exchanges",
"agreed",
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"backup",
"capital",
"for",
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"Pacific",
"exchange",
"options",
"traded",
"on",
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"exchanges",
".",
"Trading",
"was",
"light",
"on",
"the",
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"Stock",
"Exchange",
"yesterday",
",",
"with",
"workers",
"at",
"the",
"exchange",
"'s",
"main",
"floor",
"in",
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"Francisco",
"struggling",
"to",
"execute",
"orders",
"by",
"flashlight",
"as",
"a",
"result",
"of",
"a",
"continuing",
"power",
"outage",
".",
"The",
"most",
"pressing",
"problem",
"was",
"the",
"suspension",
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"options",
"trading",
".",
"The",
"Pacific",
"exchange",
"has",
"options",
"for",
"129",
"underlying",
"stock",
"issues",
",",
"including",
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"active",
"Hilton",
"Hotels",
"Corp.",
",",
"which",
"is",
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"on",
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"Big",
"Board",
".",
"Investors",
"were",
"concerned",
"that",
"they",
"might",
"be",
"unable",
"to",
"exercise",
"options",
"that",
"expire",
"tomorrow",
".",
"But",
"professionals",
"said",
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"the",
"day",
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"the",
"shutdown",
"would",
"n't",
"be",
"a",
"cause",
"for",
"alarm",
"even",
"if",
"it",
"were",
"to",
"persist",
"for",
"several",
"days",
".",
"``",
"I",
"'ve",
"told",
"my",
"staff",
"and",
"clients",
"that",
"they",
"still",
"have",
"the",
"ability",
"to",
"exercise",
"their",
"options",
",",
"because",
"they",
"are",
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"by",
"the",
"Options",
"Clearing",
"Corp.",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Michael",
"Schwartz",
",",
"a",
"senior",
"registered",
"options",
"strategist",
"at",
"Oppenheimer",
"&",
"Co",
".",
"The",
"SEC",
"reassigned",
"trading",
"in",
"the",
"options",
",",
"however",
",",
"to",
"allow",
"investors",
"to",
"do",
"more",
"than",
"simply",
"exercise",
"the",
"options",
".",
"While",
"the",
"exchange",
"'s",
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"floor",
"in",
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"Francisco",
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"open",
"on",
"a",
"limited",
"basis",
",",
"orders",
"were",
"being",
"routed",
"and",
"executed",
"in",
"Los",
"Angeles",
".",
"Workers",
"could",
"dial",
"out",
",",
"but",
"they",
"could",
"n't",
"receive",
"telephone",
"calls",
".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"a",
"very",
"uncertain",
"situation",
"right",
"now",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Navin",
"Vyas",
",",
"administrative",
"assistant",
"of",
"trading",
"floor",
"operations",
"of",
"the",
"exchange",
",",
"which",
"has",
"daily",
"volume",
"of",
"about",
"10",
"million",
"shares",
".",
"Because",
"the",
"exchange",
"'s",
"computer",
"was",
"rerouting",
"orders",
"to",
"the",
"exchange",
"'s",
"trading",
"operations",
"in",
"Los",
"Angeles",
",",
"``",
"business",
"is",
"as",
"usual",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Vyas",
"said",
".",
"``",
"If",
"one",
"city",
"is",
"down",
",",
"the",
"other",
"can",
"take",
"over",
".",
"''",
"Meanwhile",
",",
"the",
"brokerage",
"firms",
"in",
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"Francisco",
"were",
"trying",
"to",
"cope",
".",
"Charles",
"Daggs",
",",
"chairman",
"and",
"chief",
"executive",
"officer",
"of",
"Sutro",
"&",
"Co.",
",",
"said",
"traders",
"came",
"to",
"work",
"at",
"5",
"a.m.",
"PDT",
"--",
"many",
"on",
"foot",
"because",
"of",
"uncertain",
"road",
"and",
"traffic",
"conditions",
"--",
"but",
"learned",
"that",
"they",
"would",
"have",
"to",
"await",
"a",
"required",
"inspection",
"by",
"the",
"city",
"in",
"order",
"to",
"turn",
"the",
"power",
"back",
"on",
"at",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"two",
"main",
"facilities",
"there",
".",
"That",
"should",
"happen",
"by",
"today",
",",
"he",
"said",
".",
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"worked",
"with",
"the",
"help",
"of",
"sunlight",
"streaming",
"through",
"windows",
",",
"despite",
"large",
"cracks",
"in",
"the",
"walls",
"and",
"a",
"lack",
"of",
"incoming",
"phone",
"calls",
".",
"Also",
",",
"most",
"of",
"the",
"telecommunications",
"equipment",
"was",
"out",
".",
"The",
"traders",
"were",
"executing",
"municipal",
"bond",
",",
"mutual",
"fund",
"and",
"other",
"orders",
"through",
"a",
"sister",
"firm",
",",
"Tucker",
"Anthony",
"Inc.",
",",
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"is",
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"owned",
"by",
"John",
"Hancock",
"Freedom",
"Securities",
"but",
"is",
"based",
"in",
"New",
"York",
".",
"``",
"We",
"are",
"having",
"a",
"regular",
"day",
".",
"Volume",
"is",
"down",
"out",
"of",
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"Francisco",
",",
"but",
"not",
"out",
"of",
"the",
"11",
"outlying",
"offices",
",",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Daggs",
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".",
"Sutro",
"'s",
"Oakland",
"office",
"executed",
"orders",
"through",
"the",
"Sacramento",
"office",
",",
"which",
"was",
"n't",
"affected",
"by",
"the",
"quake",
".",
"Others",
",",
"like",
"Prudential-Bache",
"Securities",
"Inc.",
",",
"which",
"has",
"eight",
"offices",
"in",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"area",
",",
"set",
"up",
"an",
"800",
"number",
"yesterday",
"morning",
"for",
"customers",
"to",
"obtain",
"market",
"commentary",
"and",
"other",
"help",
".",
"At",
"Kidder",
",",
"Peabody",
"&",
"Co.",
"'s",
"Sacramento",
"branch",
",",
"Manager",
"Janet",
"White",
"received",
"calls",
"yesterday",
"morning",
"from",
"workers",
"in",
"San",
"Francisco",
"who",
"offered",
"to",
"work",
"in",
"Sacramento",
".",
"Then",
"she",
"discovered",
"that",
"Quotron",
"Systems",
"Inc.",
"'s",
"Sacramento",
"lines",
"were",
"down",
",",
"because",
"they",
"are",
"normally",
"tied",
"in",
"through",
"a",
"system",
"that",
"goes",
"through",
"San",
"Francisco",
".",
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"the",
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"brokers",
"had",
"to",
"call",
"other",
"company",
"offices",
"to",
"get",
"quotes",
"on",
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".",
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",",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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",",
"while",
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"and",
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"Jose",
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".",
"But",
"Dale",
"Irvine",
",",
"director",
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"center",
",",
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"outlying",
"San",
"Francisco",
"areas",
".",
"In",
"Chicago",
"yesterday",
",",
"Options",
"Clearing",
"confirmed",
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"the",
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"Wayne",
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",",
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"Clearing",
".",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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",",
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")",
".",
"Investors",
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"options",
"``",
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",",
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[
"Ford",
"Motor",
"Co.",
"intensified",
"its",
"battle",
"with",
"General",
"Motors",
"Corp.",
"over",
"Jaguar",
"PLC",
"by",
"saying",
"it",
"is",
"prepared",
"to",
"make",
"a",
"bid",
"for",
"all",
"of",
"the",
"British",
"auto",
"maker",
"when",
"restrictions",
"on",
"its",
"shareholding",
"are",
"lifted",
".",
"The",
"statement",
"was",
"part",
"of",
"a",
"Ford",
"filing",
"with",
"the",
"U.S.",
"Securities",
"and",
"Exchange",
"Commission",
".",
"Ford",
"did",
"n't",
"say",
"how",
"much",
"it",
"might",
"offer",
"for",
"Jaguar",
",",
"or",
"when",
".",
"The",
"British",
"government",
"currently",
"forbids",
"any",
"outside",
"investor",
"from",
"holding",
"more",
"than",
"15",
"%",
"of",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"shares",
"without",
"permission",
"until",
"Dec.",
"31",
",",
"But",
"with",
"its",
"stake",
"in",
"Jaguar",
",",
"which",
"it",
"raised",
"yesterday",
"to",
"11.95",
"%",
",",
"Ford",
"could",
"convene",
"a",
"special",
"Jaguar",
"shareholders",
"'",
"meeting",
"and",
"urge",
"holders",
"to",
"vote",
"to",
"drop",
"the",
"restriction",
"sooner",
".",
"A",
"successful",
"vote",
"would",
"put",
"pressure",
"on",
"the",
"British",
"government",
"to",
"lift",
"the",
"restriction",
".",
"``",
"We",
"have",
"not",
"made",
"that",
"decision",
"''",
"to",
"seek",
"a",
"Jaguar",
"special",
"shareholders",
"'",
"meeting",
",",
"said",
"Martyn",
"Watkins",
",",
"a",
"Ford",
"spokesman",
"in",
"London",
".",
"He",
"emphasized",
"that",
"the",
"car",
"maker",
"only",
"would",
"bid",
"for",
"all",
"of",
"Jaguar",
"under",
"the",
"right",
"circumstances",
",",
"and",
"said",
"``",
"those",
"circumstances",
"are",
"n't",
"right",
"or",
"possible",
"at",
"the",
"moment",
".",
"''",
"Last",
"month",
",",
"Ford",
"announced",
"plans",
"to",
"acquire",
"as",
"much",
"as",
"15",
"%",
"of",
"Jaguar",
".",
"Since",
"then",
",",
"Jaguar",
"officials",
"have",
"confirmed",
"that",
"they",
"are",
"discussing",
"an",
"alliance",
"with",
"GM",
"and",
"said",
"last",
"week",
"that",
"they",
"hoped",
"to",
"reach",
"an",
"agreement",
"within",
"a",
"month",
".",
"Analysts",
"have",
"been",
"expecting",
"a",
"GM-Jaguar",
"pact",
"that",
"would",
"give",
"the",
"U.S.",
"car",
"maker",
"an",
"eventual",
"30",
"%",
"stake",
"in",
"the",
"British",
"company",
"and",
"create",
"joint",
"ventures",
"that",
"would",
"produce",
"an",
"executive-model",
"range",
"of",
"cars",
".",
"But",
"the",
"specter",
"of",
"Ford",
"eventually",
"launching",
"a",
"full-fledged",
"bid",
"could",
"unravel",
"the",
"GM-Jaguar",
"talks",
".",
"Jaguar",
"seems",
"to",
"be",
"losing",
"interest",
"in",
"giving",
"GM",
"a",
"minority",
"stake",
",",
"said",
"one",
"individual",
"close",
"to",
"the",
"talks",
",",
"adding",
",",
"``",
"It",
"would",
"n't",
"surprise",
"me",
"if",
"-LCB-",
"Jaguar",
"executives",
"-RCB-",
"want",
"to",
"wait",
"and",
"see",
"what",
"the",
"color",
"of",
"that",
"-LCB-",
"Ford",
"bid",
"-RCB-",
"is",
"''",
"first",
".",
"He",
"predicted",
"Ford",
"officials",
"will",
"meet",
"with",
"Jaguar",
"executives",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"week",
"to",
"outline",
"their",
"proposed",
"offer",
".",
"Sir",
"John",
"Egan",
",",
"Jaguar",
"'s",
"chairman",
",",
"so",
"far",
"has",
"refused",
"to",
"meet",
"with",
"Ford",
"officials",
",",
"but",
"he",
"is",
"believed",
"to",
"be",
"willing",
"to",
"consider",
"a",
"specific",
"bid",
"proposal",
".",
"As",
"for",
"GM",
",",
"its",
"``",
"fallback",
"position",
"has",
"to",
"be",
"a",
"full",
"bid",
"itself",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Stephen",
"Reitman",
",",
"European",
"auto-industry",
"analyst",
"at",
"London",
"brokers",
"UBS-Phillips",
"&",
"Drew",
".",
"A",
"Ford",
"takeover",
"of",
"Jaguar",
"would",
"``",
"have",
"such",
"implications",
"for",
"the",
"balance",
"of",
"power",
"in",
"the",
"1990s",
"that",
"General",
"Motors",
"ca",
"n't",
"afford",
"to",
"step",
"aside",
".",
"They",
"will",
"have",
"to",
"throw",
"their",
"hat",
"in",
"the",
"ring",
".",
"''",
"A",
"GM",
"spokesman",
"yesterday",
"reiterated",
"the",
"company",
"'s",
"interest",
"in",
"acquiring",
"a",
"minority",
"stake",
"to",
"help",
"Jaguar",
"remain",
"independent",
".",
"A",
"pitched",
"battle",
"could",
"mean",
"Jaguar",
"would",
"fetch",
"#",
"10",
"(",
"$",
"16.02",
")",
"a",
"share",
",",
"or",
"about",
"#",
"1.8",
"billion",
"(",
"$",
"2.88",
"billion",
")",
",",
"several",
"analysts",
"believe",
".",
"The",
"prospect",
"of",
"such",
"a",
"takeover",
"fight",
"has",
"sent",
"Jaguar",
"shares",
"soaring",
"in",
"recent",
"weeks",
".",
"U.S.",
"takeover-stock",
"speculators",
"now",
"own",
"an",
"estimated",
"25",
"%",
"of",
"Jaguar",
"shares",
".",
"In",
"a",
"declining",
"London",
"stock",
"market",
"yesterday",
",",
"Jaguar",
"shares",
"were",
"down",
"four",
"pence",
"from",
"Monday",
"in",
"late",
"trading",
",",
"at",
"694",
"pence",
"(",
"$",
"11.11",
")",
"a",
"share",
".",
"In",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"Jaguar",
"'s",
"American",
"depositary",
"receipts",
"rose",
"12.5",
"cents",
"in",
"over-the-counter",
"trading",
",",
"to",
"$",
"11.25",
".",
"Both",
"Ford",
"and",
"GM",
"badly",
"need",
"a",
"luxury",
"brand",
"to",
"combat",
"new",
"competition",
"from",
"the",
"Japanese",
"in",
"the",
"European",
"and",
"U.S.",
"markets",
".",
"And",
"financially",
"strapped",
"Jaguar",
"has",
"spent",
"over",
"a",
"year",
"looking",
"for",
"a",
"rich",
"uncle",
"to",
"provide",
"cash",
"and",
"technological",
"know-how",
".",
"The",
"company",
"has",
"expressed",
"a",
"preference",
"for",
"GM",
"over",
"Ford",
"because",
"GM",
"has",
"promised",
"it",
"would",
"keep",
"Jaguar",
"independent",
".",
"Ford",
"'s",
"need",
"to",
"acquire",
"some",
"or",
"all",
"of",
"Jaguar",
"became",
"more",
"acute",
"last",
"week",
"when",
"it",
"abandoned",
"a",
"four-year",
"effort",
"to",
"market",
"its",
"German-built",
"Merkur",
"Scorpio",
"sedan",
"as",
"a",
"European",
"luxury",
"import",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
".",
"Then",
",",
"last",
"Friday",
",",
"Ford",
"'s",
"talks",
"about",
"a",
"possible",
"alliance",
"with",
"Saab-Scania",
"AB",
"of",
"Sweden",
"collapsed",
".",
"GM",
"'s",
"interest",
"in",
"Jaguar",
"reflects",
"a",
"desire",
"to",
"help",
"diversify",
"the",
"U.S.",
"company",
"'s",
"products",
"in",
"the",
"growing",
"luxury-car",
"segment",
"of",
"the",
"market",
".",
"Its",
"Opel",
"line",
"has",
"a",
"solid",
"image",
"and",
"a",
"recent",
"string",
"of",
"highly",
"successful",
"new",
"models",
",",
"but",
"it",
"lacks",
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"Di",
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[
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",",
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",",
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"bassist",
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".",
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",",
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"Rain",
",",
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",",
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"``",
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".",
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",",
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".",
"Keeping",
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"light",
",",
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"then",
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"chortled",
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"some",
"murderous",
"polyrhythms",
",",
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"as",
"an",
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"to",
"Hindemith",
"'s",
"dry",
"theory-teaching",
"techniques",
",",
"and",
"then",
",",
"with",
"Mr.",
"Gomez",
",",
"soared",
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"tight",
"``",
"Bebop",
"Etudes",
".",
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"first",
"half",
",",
"however",
",",
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"be",
"waiting",
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":",
"the",
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",",
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"as",
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",",
"Ms.",
"Collins",
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"Mitchell",
"'s",
"``",
"For",
"Free",
"''",
"--",
"about",
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"encounter",
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"a",
"street-corner",
"clarinetist",
",",
"to",
"which",
"Mr.",
"Stoltzman",
"contributed",
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"obligatto",
"--",
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"setting",
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"a",
"Gaelic",
"blessing",
",",
"``",
"Deep",
"Peace",
".",
"''",
"``",
"Deep",
"Peace",
"''",
"also",
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"show",
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"but",
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"images",
"of",
"clouds",
",",
"beaches",
",",
"deserts",
",",
"sunsets",
",",
"etc",
".",
"It",
"was",
"all",
"too",
"mellow",
"to",
"be",
"believed",
",",
"but",
"they",
"probably",
"would",
"have",
"gotten",
"away",
"with",
"it",
",",
"had",
"they",
"not",
"felt",
"compelled",
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"add",
"Ms.",
"Collins",
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"tune",
",",
"``",
"Amazing",
"Grace",
",",
"''",
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"ask",
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"audience",
"participation",
".",
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"went",
"over",
"the",
"permissible",
"line",
"for",
"warm",
"and",
"fuzzy",
"feelings",
".",
"Was",
"this",
"why",
"some",
"of",
"the",
"audience",
"departed",
"before",
"or",
"during",
"the",
"second",
"half",
"?",
"Or",
"was",
"it",
"because",
"Ms.",
"Collins",
"had",
"gone",
"?",
"Either",
"way",
"it",
"was",
"a",
"pity",
",",
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"Steve",
"Reich",
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"York",
"Counterpoint",
",",
"''",
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".",
")",
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"must",
"have",
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"that",
"his",
"audience",
"might",
"not",
"be",
"able",
"to",
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":",
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"``",
"New",
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"Counterpoint",
"''",
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"11",
"1/2",
"minutes",
".",
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"also",
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"illustrated",
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"intricate",
",",
"jazzy",
"tapestry",
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"Pearson",
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",",
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"repeating",
"objects",
",",
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"was",
"thoroughly",
"distracting",
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"Reich",
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"Mr.",
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".",
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"Parker",
",",
"Ornette",
"Coleman",
",",
"Bill",
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"Gomez",
",",
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"for",
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"enjoyable",
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"hear",
"accomplished",
"jazz",
"without",
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"was",
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"take",
"and",
"ultimately",
"forgettable",
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"this",
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"of",
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"music",
"?",
"Managers",
"and",
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"are",
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",",
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"food",
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"BSN",
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"It",
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"Match",
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"."
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[
"Eastman",
"Kodak",
"Co.",
",",
"seeking",
"to",
"position",
"itself",
"in",
"the",
"potentially",
"huge",
"high-definition",
"television",
"market",
",",
"unveiled",
"a",
"converter",
"that",
"can",
"transform",
"conventional",
"motion-picture",
"film",
"into",
"high-definition",
"video",
".",
"The",
"move",
"also",
"helps",
"the",
"Rochester",
",",
"N.Y.",
",",
"photographic",
"giant",
"ensure",
"that",
"its",
"motion-picture",
"film",
"business",
"--",
"for",
"which",
"it",
"holds",
"a",
"virtual",
"monopoly",
",",
"supplying",
"every",
"Hollywood",
"movie",
"company",
"--",
"is",
"n't",
"made",
"obsolete",
"by",
"the",
"upstart",
"HDTV",
"business",
".",
"While",
"the",
"prototype",
"converter",
"is",
"costly",
",",
"it",
"'s",
"being",
"lauded",
"by",
"the",
"infant",
"HDTV",
"industry",
"as",
"a",
"way",
"of",
"increasing",
"the",
"number",
"of",
"high-quality",
"shows",
"that",
"can",
"be",
"seen",
"on",
"the",
"new",
"medium",
".",
"``",
"The",
"industry",
"has",
"been",
"waiting",
"with",
"bated",
"breath",
"for",
"the",
"machines",
"to",
"come",
"along",
",",
"''",
"says",
"David",
"Niles",
",",
"president",
"of",
"Eleven",
"Twenty",
"Five",
"Productions",
"Inc.",
",",
"a",
"New",
"York",
"pioneer",
"in",
"high-definition",
"programming",
".",
"He",
"notes",
"that",
"industry",
"executives",
"have",
"until",
"now",
"worried",
"that",
"they",
"would",
"face",
"a",
"severe",
"shortage",
"of",
"programs",
"once",
"consumers",
"begin",
"replacing",
"their",
"TV",
"sets",
"with",
"HDTVs",
".",
"Japanese",
"electronic",
"giants",
",",
"such",
"as",
"Sony",
"Corp.",
"and",
"Hitachi",
"Ltd.",
",",
"have",
"focused",
"almost",
"entirely",
"on",
"HDTV",
"hardware",
",",
"and",
"virtually",
"ignored",
"software",
"or",
"programs",
"shot",
"in",
"high-definition",
".",
"And",
"only",
"a",
"handful",
"of",
"small",
"U.S.",
"companies",
"are",
"engaged",
"in",
"high-definition",
"software",
"development",
".",
"It",
"'s",
"estimated",
"that",
"just",
"about",
"250",
"hours",
"of",
"HD",
"programming",
"is",
"currently",
"available",
"for",
"airing",
".",
"Kodak",
"says",
"its",
"new",
"CCD",
"HDTV",
"converter",
"will",
"help",
"alleviate",
"the",
"problem",
"by",
"allowing",
"programmers",
"and",
"broadcasters",
"to",
"convert",
"movies",
"and",
"television",
"programs",
"shot",
"in",
"35mm",
"motion-picture",
"film",
"into",
"high-definition",
"video",
".",
"Consumers",
"will",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"switch",
"on",
"their",
"HDTV",
"sets",
"and",
"get",
"all",
"the",
"viewing",
"benefits",
"the",
"high-tech",
"medium",
"offers",
".",
"Otherwise",
",",
"they",
"'d",
"be",
"watching",
"programs",
"that",
"are",
"no",
"different",
"in",
"quality",
"from",
"what",
"they",
"currently",
"view",
"on",
"color",
"TVs",
".",
"It",
"would",
"be",
"like",
"``",
"watching",
"a",
"black",
"and",
"white",
"movie",
"on",
"a",
"color",
"TV",
"set",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Malcolm",
"G.",
"Saull",
",",
"chairman",
"of",
"the",
"film",
"and",
"video",
"department",
"at",
"the",
"Rochester",
"Institute",
"of",
"Technology",
".",
"The",
"new",
"converters",
"are",
"``",
"a",
"critical",
"link",
"between",
"film",
"and",
"the",
"television",
"domain",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Joerg",
"D.",
"Agin",
",",
"vice",
"president",
"and",
"general",
"manager",
"of",
"Kodak",
"'s",
"Motion",
"Picture",
"and",
"Audiovisual",
"Products",
"division",
".",
"Kodak",
"wo",
"n't",
"disclose",
"the",
"cost",
"or",
"when",
"its",
"converter",
"will",
"be",
"on",
"the",
"market",
",",
"but",
"it",
"'s",
"estimated",
"the",
"machine",
"may",
"be",
"available",
"within",
"two",
"years",
".",
"A",
"similar",
"machine",
"already",
"on",
"the",
"market",
",",
"made",
"by",
"Rank",
"Sintel",
"Ltd.",
",",
"a",
"unit",
"of",
"Rank",
"Organisation",
",",
"costs",
"about",
"$",
"500,000",
".",
"And",
"the",
"potential",
"market",
"is",
"tremendous",
",",
"industry",
"experts",
"say",
".",
"If",
"HDTV",
"takes",
"off",
"in",
"the",
"U.S.",
",",
"there",
"will",
"be",
"demand",
"for",
"some",
"4,000",
"to",
"5,000",
"HDTV",
"converters",
",",
"known",
"in",
"the",
"industry",
"as",
"telecines",
".",
"Demand",
"will",
"come",
"first",
"from",
"programming",
"production",
"companies",
"and",
"then",
"from",
"television",
"stations",
".",
"``",
"The",
"converter",
"is",
"head",
"and",
"shoulders",
"above",
"anything",
"else",
"I",
"'ve",
"seen",
",",
"''",
"says",
"Richard",
"J.",
"Stumpf",
",",
"vice",
"president",
"-",
"engineering",
"and",
"development",
"at",
"MCA",
"Inc.",
"'s",
"Universal",
"City",
"Studios",
".",
"And",
"Mr.",
"Niles",
",",
"the",
"program",
"producer",
",",
"contends",
"that",
"Kodak",
"'s",
"move",
"is",
"``",
"a",
"sound",
"marketing",
"decision",
".",
"They",
"ca",
"n't",
"afford",
"to",
"stay",
"out",
"of",
"HDTV",
".",
"''",
"Indeed",
",",
"the",
"stakes",
"are",
"high",
".",
"The",
"U.S.",
"electronics",
"industry",
"estimates",
"that",
"the",
"HDTV",
"market",
"will",
"total",
"about",
"$",
"150",
"billion",
"over",
"the",
"next",
"two",
"decades",
",",
"with",
"an",
"additional",
"$",
"400",
"billion",
"expected",
"to",
"go",
"for",
"related",
"products",
".",
"HDTVs",
"break",
"down",
"images",
"into",
"more",
"than",
"1,100",
"lines",
",",
"compared",
"with",
"525",
"for",
"today",
"'s",
"televisions",
",",
"providing",
"considerably",
"sharper",
"detail",
".",
"And",
"the",
"sets",
"are",
"wider",
",",
"resembling",
"the",
"dimensions",
"of",
"a",
"movie",
"screen",
".",
"But",
"the",
"financial",
"rewards",
"are",
"n't",
"expected",
"soon",
",",
"nor",
"are",
"they",
"guaranteed",
".",
"Experts",
"estimate",
"the",
"first",
"sets",
"of",
"HDTVs",
"wo",
"n't",
"be",
"available",
"for",
"another",
"five",
"to",
"10",
"years",
",",
"and",
"will",
"probably",
"retail",
"for",
"more",
"than",
"$",
"3,000",
"each",
"in",
"today",
"'s",
"dollars",
".",
"Some",
"critics",
"say",
"they",
"wo",
"n't",
"be",
"quickly",
"embraced",
"by",
"consumers",
"because",
"of",
"the",
"high",
"price",
".",
"Nevertheless",
",",
"Kodak",
"could",
"n't",
"risk",
"letting",
"HDTV",
"turn",
"its",
"motion-picture",
"film",
"business",
"into",
"a",
"dinosaur",
".",
"``",
"Kodak",
"understands",
"HDTV",
"is",
"where",
"everybody",
"is",
"going",
",",
"''",
"says",
"RIT",
"'s",
"Mr.",
"Spaull",
"."
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[
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"moved",
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".",
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".",
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",",
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".",
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",",
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"wide",
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"agencies",
"moved",
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".",
"The",
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"Development",
"prepared",
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"as",
"100",
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"houses",
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",",
"the",
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"from",
"the",
"school-lunch",
"program",
"to",
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"victims",
",",
"and",
"the",
"Pentagon",
"was",
"providing",
"everything",
"from",
"radio",
"communications",
"to",
"blood",
"transfusions",
"to",
"military",
"police",
"for",
"directing",
"traffic",
".",
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"the",
"pool",
"of",
"federal",
"emergency-relief",
"funds",
"already",
"is",
"running",
"low",
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",",
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"``",
"That",
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"enough",
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"will",
"have",
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"appropriate",
"requests",
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"follow-on",
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"''",
"Mr.",
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"even",
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"yet",
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"will",
"cost",
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".",
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"a",
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"large",
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"could",
"be",
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"a",
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"could",
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"added",
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"an",
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"spending",
"bill",
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"is",
"to",
"begin",
"considering",
"next",
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".",
"But",
"it",
"is",
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"are",
"spread",
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";",
"its",
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"manpower",
"also",
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".",
"FEMA",
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"centers",
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"handle",
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",",
"and",
"spokesman",
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"``",
"we",
"'re",
"pretty",
"thin",
".",
"''",
"Mr.",
"Clanahan",
"says",
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"now",
"possibly",
"may",
"have",
"the",
"heaviest",
"caseload",
"in",
"its",
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".",
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"further",
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"efforts",
",",
"the",
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"American",
"Red",
"Cross",
"also",
"finds",
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"funds",
"after",
"its",
"big",
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".",
"``",
"It",
"'s",
"been",
"a",
"bad",
"month",
"money-wise",
"and",
"every",
"other",
"way",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Sally",
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",",
"a",
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"the",
"Red",
"Cross",
".",
"``",
"It",
"just",
"makes",
"it",
"a",
"little",
"rough",
"when",
"you",
"have",
"to",
"worry",
"about",
"the",
"budget",
".",
"''",
"The",
"Red",
"Cross",
"has",
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"30",
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"the",
"Bay",
"area",
",",
"serving",
"5,000",
"people",
".",
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"trucks",
"capable",
"of",
"cooking",
"food",
"were",
"dispatched",
"from",
"other",
"states",
".",
"All",
"the",
"precise",
"types",
"of",
"federal",
"aid",
"that",
"will",
"be",
"sent",
"to",
"California",
"wo",
"n't",
"be",
"determined",
"until",
"state",
"officials",
"make",
"specific",
"requests",
"to",
"FEMA",
",",
"agency",
"officials",
"said",
".",
"And",
"in",
"the",
"confusion",
"after",
"the",
"earthquake",
",",
"``",
"the",
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"flow",
"is",
"a",
"little",
"slow",
"coming",
"in",
"from",
"the",
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",",
"''",
"said",
"Carl",
"Suchocki",
",",
"a",
"FEMA",
"spokesman",
".",
"Still",
",",
"some",
"aid",
"is",
"moving",
"westward",
"from",
"Washington",
"almost",
"immediately",
".",
"HUD",
"officials",
"said",
"they",
"will",
"make",
"available",
"as",
"many",
"as",
"100",
"Bay",
"area",
"houses",
"that",
"are",
"under",
"HUD",
"loans",
"but",
"now",
"are",
"vacant",
"after",
"the",
"houses",
"have",
"been",
"inspected",
"to",
"ensure",
"they",
"are",
"sound",
".",
"Additional",
"housing",
"vouchers",
"and",
"certificates",
"will",
"be",
"made",
"available",
",",
"officials",
"said",
",",
"and",
"some",
"housing",
"and",
"community-development",
"funds",
"may",
"be",
"shifted",
"from",
"other",
"programs",
"or",
"made",
"available",
"for",
"emergency",
"use",
".",
"Another",
"federal",
"agency",
"not",
"normally",
"associated",
"with",
"disaster",
"relief",
"--",
"the",
"Internal",
"Revenue",
"Service",
"--",
"moved",
"quickly",
"as",
"well",
".",
"The",
"IRS",
"said",
"it",
"will",
"waive",
"certain",
"tax",
"penalties",
"for",
"earthquake",
"victims",
"unable",
"to",
"meet",
"return",
"deadlines",
"or",
"make",
"payments",
"because",
"of",
"the",
"quake",
"'s",
"devastation",
".",
"The",
"agency",
"plans",
"to",
"announce",
"specific",
"relief",
"procedures",
"in",
"the",
"coming",
"days",
".",
"And",
"the",
"Treasury",
"said",
"residents",
"of",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"area",
"will",
"be",
"able",
"to",
"cash",
"in",
"savings",
"bonds",
"even",
"if",
"they",
"have",
"n't",
"held",
"them",
"for",
"the",
"minimum",
"six-month",
"period",
".",
"One",
"advantage",
"that",
"federal",
"officials",
"have",
"in",
"handling",
"earthquake",
"relief",
"is",
"the",
"large",
"number",
"of",
"military",
"facilities",
"in",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"Bay",
"area",
",",
"facilities",
"that",
"provide",
"a",
"ready",
"base",
"of",
"supplies",
"and",
"workers",
".",
"Even",
"before",
"the",
"full",
"extent",
"of",
"the",
"devastation",
"was",
"known",
",",
"Defense",
"Secretary",
"Dick",
"Cheney",
"ordered",
"the",
"military",
"services",
"to",
"set",
"up",
"an",
"emergency",
"command",
"center",
"in",
"the",
"Pentagon",
"and",
"prepare",
"to",
"respond",
"to",
"various",
"FEMA",
"requests",
"for",
"assistance",
".",
"By",
"yesterday",
"afternoon",
",",
"Air",
"Force",
"transport",
"planes",
"began",
"moving",
"additional",
"rescue",
"and",
"medical",
"supplies",
",",
"physicians",
",",
"communications",
"equipment",
"and",
"FEMA",
"personnel",
"to",
"California",
".",
"A",
"military",
"jet",
"flew",
"a",
"congressional",
"delegation",
"and",
"senior",
"Bush",
"administration",
"officials",
"to",
"survey",
"the",
"damage",
".",
"And",
"the",
"Pentagon",
"said",
"dozens",
"of",
"additional",
"crews",
"and",
"transport",
"aircraft",
"were",
"on",
"alert",
"``",
"awaiting",
"orders",
"to",
"move",
"emergency",
"supplies",
".",
"''",
"Two",
"Air",
"Force",
"facilities",
"near",
"Sacramento",
",",
"and",
"Travis",
"Air",
"Force",
"Base",
",",
"50",
"miles",
"northeast",
"of",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"were",
"designated",
"to",
"serve",
"as",
"medical-airlift",
"centers",
".",
"Some",
"victims",
"also",
"were",
"treated",
"at",
"the",
"Letterman",
"Army",
"Medical",
"Center",
"in",
"San",
"Francisco",
"and",
"at",
"the",
"Naval",
"Hospital",
"in",
"Oakland",
".",
"In",
"addition",
",",
"20",
"military",
"police",
"from",
"the",
"Presidio",
",",
"a",
"military",
"base",
"in",
"San",
"Francisco",
",",
"are",
"assisting",
"with",
"traffic",
"control",
",",
"and",
"a",
"Navy",
"ship",
"was",
"moved",
"from",
"a",
"naval",
"station",
"at",
"Treasure",
"Island",
"near",
"the",
"Bay",
"Bridge",
"to",
"San",
"Francisco",
"to",
"help",
"fight",
"fires",
".",
"To",
"help",
"residents",
"in",
"Northern",
"California",
"rebuild",
",",
"FEMA",
"intends",
"to",
"set",
"up",
"17",
"disaster",
"assistance",
"offices",
"in",
"the",
"earthquake",
"area",
"in",
"the",
"next",
"several",
"days",
"and",
"to",
"staff",
"them",
"with",
"400",
"to",
"500",
"workers",
"from",
"various",
"agencies",
",",
"said",
"Robert",
"Volland",
",",
"chief",
"of",
"the",
"agency",
"'s",
"individual",
"assistance",
"division",
".",
"At",
"these",
"offices",
",",
"earthquake",
"victims",
"will",
"be",
"helped",
"in",
"filling",
"out",
"a",
"one-page",
"form",
"that",
"they",
"will",
"need",
"to",
"qualify",
"for",
"such",
"federal",
"assistance",
"as",
"home-improvement",
"loans",
"and",
"to",
"repair",
"houses",
".",
"And",
"federal",
"officials",
"are",
"promising",
"to",
"move",
"rapidly",
"with",
"federal",
"highway",
"aid",
"to",
"rebuild",
"the",
"area",
"'s",
"severely",
"damaged",
"road",
"system",
".",
"The",
"Federal",
"Highway",
"Administration",
"has",
"an",
"emergency",
"relief",
"program",
"to",
"help",
"states",
"and",
"local",
"governments",
"repair",
"federally",
"funded",
"highways",
"and",
"bridges",
"seriously",
"damaged",
"by",
"natural",
"disasters",
".",
"The",
"account",
"currently",
"has",
"$",
"220",
"million",
".",
"And",
"though",
"federal",
"law",
"dictates",
"that",
"only",
"$",
"100",
"million",
"can",
"be",
"disbursed",
"from",
"that",
"fund",
"in",
"any",
"one",
"state",
"per",
"disaster",
",",
"administration",
"officials",
"expect",
"Congress",
"to",
"move",
"in",
"to",
"authorize",
"spending",
"more",
"now",
"in",
"California",
".",
"To",
"get",
"that",
"money",
",",
"states",
"must",
"go",
"through",
"an",
"elaborate",
"approval",
"process",
",",
"but",
"officials",
"expect",
"red",
"tape",
"to",
"be",
"cut",
"this",
"time",
".",
"Keith",
"Mulrooney",
",",
"special",
"assistant",
"to",
"Federal",
"Highway",
"Administrator",
"Thomas",
"Larson",
",",
"also",
"said",
"that",
"after",
"the",
"1971",
"San",
"Fernando",
"earthquake",
"in",
"Southern",
"California",
",",
"the",
"state",
"set",
"tougher",
"standards",
"for",
"bridges",
",",
"and",
"with",
"federal",
"aid",
",",
"began",
"a",
"program",
"to",
"retrofit",
"highways",
"and",
"bridges",
"for",
"earthquake",
"hazards",
".",
"The",
"first",
"phase",
"of",
"the",
"program",
"has",
"been",
"completed",
",",
"but",
"two",
"other",
"phases",
"are",
"continuing",
".",
"The",
"two",
"major",
"structures",
"that",
"failed",
"Tuesday",
"night",
",",
"he",
"said",
",",
"were",
"both",
"built",
"well",
"before",
"the",
"1971",
"earthquake",
"--",
"the",
"San",
"Francisco",
"Bay",
"Bridge",
",",
"completed",
"in",
"the",
"1930s",
",",
"and",
"the",
"section",
"of",
"I-880",
",",
"built",
"in",
"the",
"1950s",
".",
"The",
"I-880",
"section",
"had",
"completed",
"the",
"first",
"phase",
"of",
"the",
"retrofitting",
".",
"Laurie",
"McGinley",
"contributed",
"to",
"this",
"article",
"."
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3,
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[
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".",
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[
"The",
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"--",
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"The",
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"In",
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",",
"Majority",
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"Alan",
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"used",
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"also",
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"funds",
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".",
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"assistance",
"would",
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"a",
"state",
"'s",
"normal",
"allocation",
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"highway",
"funds",
",",
"and",
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"would",
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"Bay",
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".",
"The",
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"is",
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"required",
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"this",
"fall",
"and",
",",
"since",
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"current",
"fiscal",
"year",
"began",
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"1",
",",
"only",
"the",
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"and",
"Interior",
"departments",
"are",
"operating",
"on",
"permanent",
"appropriations",
"enacted",
"into",
"law",
".",
"The",
"standoff",
"over",
"abortion",
"is",
"certain",
"to",
"contribute",
"to",
"further",
"delays",
"and",
",",
"apart",
"from",
"the",
"health",
"and",
"education",
"measure",
"vetoed",
"by",
"Mr.",
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",",
"bills",
"funding",
"the",
"District",
"of",
"Columbia",
"and",
"the",
"entire",
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"foreign-aid",
"budget",
"are",
"in",
"jeopardy",
"because",
"of",
"related",
"abortion",
"or",
"family-planning",
"issues",
".",
"The",
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"yesterday",
"was",
"the",
"most",
"partisan",
"in",
"many",
"years",
",",
"and",
"though",
"the",
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"leadership",
"is",
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",",
"the",
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".",
"The",
"189",
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"compare",
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"175",
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"136",
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"on",
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"similar",
"vote",
".",
"By",
"comparison",
",",
"Republicans",
"have",
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".",
"Only",
"42",
"GOP",
"members",
"opposed",
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"a",
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"increase",
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"just",
"12",
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"the",
"30",
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"supported",
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"exemption",
"last",
"year",
".",
"At",
"a",
"recent",
"White",
"House",
"meeting",
",",
"Rep.",
"Silvio",
"Conte",
"(",
"R.",
",",
"Mass.",
")",
",",
"the",
"ranking",
"minority",
"member",
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"the",
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"Appropriations",
"Committee",
",",
"argued",
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"friend",
"Mr.",
"Bush",
"against",
"a",
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",",
"and",
"though",
"Mr.",
"Conte",
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"Minority",
"Leader",
"Robert",
"Michel",
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"Illinois",
"stood",
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"the",
"president",
"yesterday",
",",
"they",
"are",
"plainly",
"uncomfortable",
"with",
"his",
"position",
".",
"``",
"This",
"is",
"n't",
"a",
"political",
"issue",
",",
"this",
"is",
"a",
"moral",
"issue",
",",
"''",
"said",
"Rep.",
"Henry",
"Hyde",
"(",
"R.",
",",
"Ill.",
")",
",",
"the",
"most",
"eloquent",
"spokesman",
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".",
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"after",
"years",
"of",
"using",
"the",
"issue",
"for",
"its",
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",",
"the",
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"candidates",
"on",
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".",
"New",
"Jersey",
"gubernatorial",
"candidate",
"Rep.",
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"vote",
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"in",
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",",
"GOP",
"Rep.",
"James",
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",",
"who",
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"supported",
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"restrictions",
"in",
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".",
"In",
"an",
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"and",
"church-state",
"powers",
",",
"Rep.",
"Robert",
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"(",
"R.",
",",
"Calif",
".",
")",
"lectured",
"his",
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"Roman",
"Catholics",
"--",
"including",
"Mr.",
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"--",
"for",
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"the",
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"chutzpah",
"''",
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"on",
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".",
"Rep.",
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"was",
"as",
"blunt",
"on",
"behalf",
"of",
"the",
"abortion-rights",
"movement",
".",
"``",
"This",
"may",
"not",
"make",
"George",
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"one-term",
"president",
",",
"''",
"said",
"the",
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",",
"addressing",
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".",
"``",
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"if",
"you",
"support",
"him",
"over",
"rape",
"victims",
",",
"this",
"may",
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"''",
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",",
"the",
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"approved",
"a",
"nearly",
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"compromise",
"spending",
"bill",
"providing",
"the",
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"construction",
"funds",
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"and",
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"far-reaching",
"provisions",
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"market",
".",
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[
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