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Inflation_News_Sentiment_Analysis

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Notably, following the 2008 financial crisis and the Great Recession, which came to end in mid 2009, the FOMC decreased the rate to zero, almost eight years ago on Dec 16, 2008. President Donald Trump's proposed infrastructure spending plans, tax cuts and reduced regulations are likely to spur economic activity, resulting in rise in inflation, leading to further hike in rates. Most financial entities like banks, insurance companies, brokerage firms and money managers will benefit from rising rates as margins expand, though consumption and investment will decrease.

Oracle Corp. (ORCL): Application Software Industry. What we know is that economic recovery has faltered, that the US’s fiscal situation is concerning and that Eurozone debt woes are increasingly alarming. But other members are more worried about inflation risks which may prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy sooner than expected.

See Key PowerShares DB Base Metals Fund (DBB) This PowerShares DB Base Metals Fund (NYSE: DBB ) seeks to track the price and yield performance of the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index - Optimum Yield Industrial Metals Excess Return. Top ETFs to Buy Now In addition to political changes in the Middle East and North Africa, along with the continuing threat of European debt contagion, the recent earthquake and tsunami in Japan add more pressure to the prospects of long-term inflation. Holdings include futures contracts of cocoa, sugar, coffee, live cattle, soybean, corn, wheat, lean hogs, etc.

(click to enlarge) Conclusions: We believe that the most pertinent implications of the forthcoming major Risk-On phase are as follow: Bond yields will likely rise significantly higher to adjust to the levels implied by stronger inflation and US GDP growth over the near-term. (click to enlarge) Inflation expectations and bond yields are bottoming The broad underpinnings of the January CPI data confirms that the reality of higher inflation will remain a game-maker in our near-future. That had significant impact in the pricing of major financial assets, especially bonds.

For example, the Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3x Shares ETF (NYSEArca: TYD ) and Direxion 7-10 year Treasury Bear 3x (NYSEArca: TYO ) helped provide a long and short leveraged 300% daily stance on Treasury debt securities with seven to 10 year maturity. Fed officials also moved toward a consensus on a proposal to start gradually shrinking its $4.5 trillion in holdings of Treasury and mortgage securities later this year. Supporting the rate outlook, the U.S. is seeing increased economic growth, rising inflation and greater employment numbers.

Here's why they picked Palo Alto Networks (NYSE: PANW) , Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) , and Energy Transfer Partners (NYSE: ETP) . That's significant because it seemed many analysts and investors were quick to overlook its sky-high spending and mounting losses because of its top-line growth. Now, it seems, everyone expects inflation to ramp higher on the back of government infrastructure spending, tax reform, and a myriad of policy proposals that are still in the "idea" phase.

Annual average gold price was the highest in 2012, due to buying from major central banks to diversify their asset base, high jewelry demand, quantitative easing, and rising inflation. Overall, the locus of the world gold mine production seems to be shifting from the big three (i.e. South Africa, United States, and Australia) to the emerging market nations. The primary drivers for a bullish view include higher retail and institutional investment, increased gold buying by major central banks over the world due to a possibility of a global economic slowdown, and prospects of a truce in US-China trade tensions.

This year has been a busy one for Devon Energy (NYSE: DVN) . That uptick in higher-margin NGLs, when combined with U.S. oil output at the mid-point of its forecast, should have enabled Devon to generate solid earnings and cash flow during the quarter even though it fell short in Canada. That would be a noteworthy accomplishment since several peers have boosted spending due to cost inflation and a decision to ramp up drilling activities thanks to higher oil prices .

By contrast,iShares MSCI EAFE Index ( EFA ), tracking developed foreign markets, andiShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index ( EEM ) ended nearly flat. Japan ETFs defied global stock market weakness Wednesday, surging to new highs after the country's central bank governor unexpectedly announced he would resign before his term ends. Abe has asked the BOJ to undergo unlimited easing policies to devalue the currency, invigorate exports and fan inflation.

Celanese also recently announced the hike in prices for vinyl acetate ethylene (VAE) emulsions in Asia (outside of China) by $80/MT, effective Jun 21 or as contracts permit. Celanese witnessed raw material price inflation in its Acetyl Chain business in the last reported quarter. Celanese's strategic measures including cost savings through productivity actions are expected to lend support to its earnings in 2017.

On Frankfurt's DAX, athletic apparel company adidas was 1.5% higher, gas and engineering company Linde also gained 1.5%, chemical company Bayer rose 1.2% and kidney dialysis company Fresenius Medical Care gained 1.1%. The pan-European Stoxx 600 Index finished 0.63% higher, London's FTSE 100 Index gained 0.67%, Frankfurt's DAX rose 0.20% and Paris' CAC-40 closed 0.59% higher. European equities closed higher on Thursday after annual inflation exceeded a two-year high across the shared currency union, UK retail sales posted buoyant growth and a jump in oil prices provided a boost to commodities stocks.

Geithner has stated that the Treasury will defer and delay some payments to create approximately $200 billion worth of additional room under the ceiling, but exactly how much time this buys is unknown. Newly appointed Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has announced some of his cabinet members economic advisor Hamada spoke overnight, stating that the BoJ should consider buying more longer-dated JGB's and other longer-dated assets and would even consider buying foreign bonds to boost inflation through currency devaluation. However, they expect gold to rally in the face of increased central bank liquidity and rising inflation fears.

By Scott Carmack : Janet Yellen, in a speech on Friday mentioned that the Fed could choose to allow the U.S. economy to "run hot" to allow for an increase in the labor participation rate. In Holbrook's Q2 newsletter, " Brexit is not the Problem, Central Bank Policy is ," we wrote: Janet Yellen's comments on Friday indicate that this scenario is increasingly likely. Bearish sentiment is still pervasive, and Fed inaction in the face of higher inflation should be welcomed by equity investors, at least in the short run.

Separately, Automatic Data Processing ( ADP ) reported that 173,000 private sector jobs were created last month. The Top 10 S&P 500 Dividend Stocks to Buy Now In other news, the Commerce Department announced that the trade gap widened by 5.3% to $37.4 billion. 7 Stocks You Should Dump From Your Retirement Portfolio It's likely that higher gasoline prices and housing costs are making consumers more cautious.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc. The timing is data-dependent and Dudley expects to see indications of increasing inflation soon enough. Meanwhile, Foot Locker, Inc.'s ( FL ) shares gained 5.7% after its adjusted earnings of $1.00 per share came ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 94 cents, and jumped 20% year over year.

Add to that unease the European contagion potential where many German and French banks have been selling their gold for the past five years to buy sovereign debt. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke can inject capital into the market, but if it is overwhelmed with regulations, there is not going to be turnover of that money supply. We have noticed in our financial models that any time a government pays less on their Treasury bills than inflation, gold starts rising in that country's currency.

In line with this, Newell Brands Inc. NWL trimmed earnings guidance for 2017 on increased inflationary pressures due to low resins' supply. Click to get this free report Newell Brands Inc. (NWL): Free Stock Analysis Report LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB): Free Stock Analysis Report Greif Bros. Consequently, a critical part of the supply chain for the industry has been paralyzed with petrochemical plants not in operation and the rail companies that ship them still restoring service.

The drop in crude oil boosted the ProShares UltraShort Crude Oil (NYSEARCA: SCO ) recommended to Edge subscribers another 1.5% to bring its total gain since recommended on Jan. 11 to 20%. All this is being motivated by ongoing evidence of labor market tightening, bubbling inflationary pressure and off-the-charts optimism reflected in consumer, investor and business survey data. A hawkish turn by the Fed would reverse the long standing assumption our central bank would be dovish always and everywhere - using any excuse to hold interest rates as low as possible.

According to figures released by the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communication, Rising prices for fuel, light and water charges (+6.4%), furniture and household utensils (+3.2%) and culture and recreation (+2.6%) contributed to the pickup in inflationary pressure. Market risk sentiment will continue to be the key driver, with recent economic data suggesting that ECB is likely to remain on the more dovish side near-term. Key earnings results include those for Chevron Corp. and Exxon Mobil Corp. At the time of writing, the Dollar Spot Index was down by 0.06% to 98.147.

Nonetheless, Mr. Bernanke understands that inflation pressures remain very low (even though he has failed to apply or promote the proper solution to our current balance sheet recession). But I believe gold prices are moving higher due to the public's opposition to fiat currency, fiscal stimulus and what is generally viewed as continued "money printing". It has caused the increasing rally cry for reduced government spending and continued shrieking from deficit hawks who haven't differentiated between the currency system in the EMU and in most other developed nations.

SPDR Gold Shares (NYSEArca: GLD ) : Metal markets may look more attractive with higher interest rates. Mary Anne and Pam Aden of MoneyShow.com report that the 30-year T-bond yield crossed the 4.65-4.75 percent mega-trend threshold this month. With higher yields, Mary Anne and Pam warn that: Inflation will start to pick up momentum, making metal markets more attractive.

Geithner has stated that the Treasury will defer and delay some payments to create approximately $200 billion worth of additional room under the ceiling, but exactly how much time this buys is unknown. Newly appointed Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has announced some of his cabinet members economic advisor Hamada spoke overnight, stating that the BoJ should consider buying more longer-dated JGB's and other longer-dated assets and would even consider buying foreign bonds to boost inflation through currency devaluation. However, they expect gold to rally in the face of increased central bank liquidity and rising inflation fears.

Ericsson ( ERIC ) was upgraded by analysts at Swedbank to a Buy rating from Neutral. European shares were narrowly mixed, with German stocks just edging out a gain despite weak retail sales. Also, the annual rate of inflation in the eurozone rose to 0.9% from 0.7% in October, the European Union's statistics office said in a preliminary estimate today.

Active broad-market exchange-traded funds in Tuesday's regular session: SPDR Select Sector Fund - Financial ( XLF ): -0.2% iShares MSCI Emerging Index Fund ( EEM ): -0.6% U.S. stocks were lower at session's half, as another sell-off in shares of General Electric (GE) coupled with accelerating inflation and heavy losses in the energy sector soured Wall Street's appetite for risk. Goldman Sachs Group (GS) was down 1.5% after CFO Marty Chavez said Tuesday in the bank's view, the consumer lending opportunity within three years is about $13 billion.

However, the ECB seems reluctant and the unexpected rise in the September flash CPI reading of 2.7% (Bloomberg consensus was 2.4%) reported at the end of last week, will give it cover. A subtext is because the ECB has knowingly gone against the Bundesbank and its hard money stance with its Outright Market Transaction program and its liberal collateral framework, some concession must be made. Prime Minister Rajoy meets with regional leaders on Tuesday, but it will be difficult to diffuse the situation ahead of the local elections in Galicia and Basque Country on Oct 21.

Inflation hasn't been a worry for investors recently and is unlikely to affect broader market sentiment. The so-called core reading, which excludes food and energy, is expected to rise about 0.4 percent. The biggest news may actually occur well before the market opens when China's HSBC flash PMI manufacturing index is released overnight.

The company expects favorable demand for paint and coatings in most domestic markets in 2017. It expects higher year-over-year raw materials costs in 2017 with most of the inflation is expected to come from TiO2. This is because the Most Accurate estimate is $2.05 and the Zacks Consensus Estimate is $2.07.

Top holdings include well-known names such as Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron Corp (CVX), and ConocoPhilips (COP). The Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) had just found its footing in the second half of 2017 as surging commodity prices boosted demand for oil and gas stocks. Investors chasing the energy theme are likely to be buoyed by the expectation of rising commodity prices, growing inflationary pressures, and the perceived value of beaten-down stocks.

Moreover, the negative impact of overseas issues in the eastern markets, coupled with stiff competition in the restaurant industry, is taking a toll on McDonald's financial performance this year, as the company witnesses declining customer traffic and diminishing brand appeal. The company mentions that its China unit is diligently working to restore customer confidence by introducing various lucrative value meals and other meat items to attract the fast food lovers. However, with commodity inflation, lowering menu prices might hamper its margins, but the company might opt for this risky option in order to drive long-term growth.

Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN): Apparel Stores Industry. What we know is that economic recovery has faltered, that the US’s fiscal situation is concerning and that Eurozone debt woes are increasingly alarming. But other members are more worried about inflation risks which may prompt the Fed to tighten monetary policy sooner than expected.

The most heavily traded Chinese ETF, the iShares FTSE China 25 ETF (NYSEArca:FXI), is down 12 percent from the November high. The broad array of single-country ETFs now on the market make this challenge easy to meet for investors looking to buy on the dip in rapidly expanding countries such as India. This move is in response to rising commodity prices, which has led to fears of inflation in the booming nation, which surpassed Japan last year as the world's second-biggest economy.

SPDR S&P China (NYSEArca: GXC ) Claymore/AlphaShares China All-Cap (NYSEArca: YAO ) iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 (NYSEArca: FXI ) PowerShares USX Golden Dragon Halter (NYSEArca: PGJ ) Global X China Consumer ETF (NYSEArca: CHIQ ) Max Chen contributed to this article. China has expressed confidence in Europe's economy and debt, giving exchange traded funds (ETFs) a nice bounce today. Food prices have been pushing up China's inflation, which is lending more weight to potentially tighter monetary policies, writes Andrew Peaple for The Wall Street Journal .

I got Outstanding Investment readers out of two of the large South African players, AngloGold Ashanti Ltd. (NYSE:AU; JSE:ANG; ASX:AGG; LSE:AGD) and Gold Fields Ltd. ( GFI ) . Byron King: Whether Obama remains in office or a Republican wins the election, it is going to be tough to deal with the inflation and the built-in spending that is driving gold prices up. He has been interviewed by dozens of major print and broadcast media outlets including The Financial Times, The Guardian, The Washington Post, MSN Money, Marketwatch.com, Fox Business News, and PBS Newshour.

Several companies have already announced changes to their plans, including Noble Energy (NYSE: NBL) and ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) . ConocoPhillips, likewise, plans to shift gears, saying it will reallocate at least one rig from the Permian to the Eagle Ford. Several large oil companies increased their capital budgets during the second quarter, including ConocoPhillips, in part because of cost inflation.

Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF ( GDX ) picked up 1% to 52.33. Gold prices found support at their key 50-day moving average line as the stock market weakened more Monday afterCaterpillar ( CAT ) cut its 2012 outlook for the second time this year. "The gold bulls have voted and they expect that the U.S. government will not be able to dig itself out of the current hole, relying instead on inflation and devaluation as a poor-man's solution while growth remains soft for the foreseeable future," Waverly Advisors wrote in a client note Monday.