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66
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118
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stringlengths 159
1.79k
| end_date_iso
stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
⌀ | active
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classes | closed
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classes | market_slug
stringlengths 12
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listlengths 1
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⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xcb1da7b37db54efb140fc6c007cdedcd37d5e882695a737ecf8eec89f6cef901
|
0xf93660084fe450ce104644078abb801012baf4238d61763e26165fc5b42b155b
|
Will the New Democrats win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?
|
The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario.
This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in the 44th Parliament of Ontario as a result of the upcoming election.
If voting in the next Ontario parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).
|
2025-02-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-new-democrats-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-ontario-parliamentary-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Canada",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"Ontario"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x18398072e4cc8d8281ea45de177d6ac712b1be6239ddd608bf0750727f392106
|
0xe53efb9b4a42621a85dbceecc3e4ea2f85f115e3441786eb21f6fe0a0e871b35
|
Will ICE detain 1100-1199 people on January 31?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 31, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<600" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-1100-1199-people-on-january-31
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6219f2b4e1711de92f9cb2e174434cf703f280e1d60d827776859ea573363907
|
0x716ce4b062cfa981ecc84d4c56b919dd2de9aa7eafcc9c7ad42f81d8e99f584a
|
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-350-374-times-jan-31-feb-1
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x27e1ad490f311e659af855a29878a45f78d79315b09110311e764bd83d4e37d2
|
0x119fa4a865238b2dafdf385cf07c7193ad18e7a35165dec335f8bf59a490788e
|
Will Marquise Brown score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player scores one or more rushing, receiving, or return touchdown in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Passing TDs will not count.
Special teams and Defensive TDs will count for the player to cross the goal line with possession of the ball, and for the unit that scores (ie if Xavier Worthy scores a TD on special teams, it will count for both Xavier Worthy AND Chiefs D/ST).
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-marquise-brown-score-a-td-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"ATTD",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa3c4ae37c9b3bfb385f450c28c4beb79a53e14517ea6438667213c6402affe01
|
0x596c8c06b0fce5a1cd6b240c31133c1d23ee372c51e07ae61b52f6321ca811d3
|
Will the highest temperature in London between 39-40°F on February 1?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 1, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-between-39-40f-on-february-1
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x244d01e561f29dac7cd4cc002800e3fe9555d8db96abf175fdfd452e2e1dc9eb
|
0x70a1c7e933c7a5cbc0243e088abb5965fde8b0ee385f0bd47857b3fae5487ddb
|
Will the Eagles score 34 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market refers to Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Philadelphia Eagles score 34 or more points in their game against the Kansas City Chiefs.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-eagles-score-34-or-more-points-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"totals",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Team Totals",
"Game Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x514ef1e9f17b42e4e30d724c1a65059d073d04d1aa8d786f629fd65826079706
|
0x58833847cf1534e91eb18edf8d0c360dddead9f045964d8c4fb9e14e441c7451
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "A.D.H.D" first?
|
This market will resolve according to the first song Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source will be live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-adhd-first
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x7396c1edf42f942d14e726dd25145c1c935bce81879d65bb662b17e90d8df203
|
0x049332e811622215eb02c4d94b0c439d250be5e8cee339759f679fdf9df9e667
|
Will egg prices be between $4.50-4.75 for January?
|
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the January data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The January release is presently scheduled for February 12, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
|
2025-02-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-egg-prices-be-between-4pt50-4pt75-for-january
|
[
"Inflation",
"Economy",
"Recurring",
"Trade War",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0b23abe22276c579120169830cbad22811aea8c850946818b3454482a41bddb4
|
0xe56bbbd3b58d7109de0d483e93f1c3bbfaacb8d4d0156e2d221183073523614f
|
Will Kareem Hunt rush for 46 or more yards in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Over” if the listed player exceeds the listed total number of rushing yards recorded in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The resolution source will be the official final stats from Super Bowl LIX on NFL.com.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kareem-hunt-rush-for-46-or-more-yards-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x514ef1e9f17b42e4e30d724c1a65059d073d04d1aa8d786f629fd65826079704
|
0x57ebf6b1d4323fc3c8c2b357cb6bdf360d5997387340bc42f3dd939f17fdaf19
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "King Kunta" first?
|
This market will resolve according to the first song Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source will be live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-king-kunta-first
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0c6a6cf176811d95358b50ac594dd3158dfa890ea638098fd00d48eeb47d85ba
|
0x98270f9a8d6e3c1a902142fe1dfc672e7b306c0bea29351bbfe7de0c05e0bcc9
|
Will the Chiefs beat the Eagles by 11 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market refers to Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Chiefs” if the Kansas City Chiefs win their game against the Philadelphia Eagles by 11 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Eagles.”
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-chiefs-beat-the-eagles-by-10-or-more-points-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Game Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0xa855f30fbf996e65fb5f2244628fcb29d66534c217bfac41da620a66f19f94ff
|
0x95e2155e998cb16fd88a15065b985c2c9aee58873d29346b0a5fdd7add326e01
|
Will DeAndre Hopkins record 2 or more receptions in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player exceeds the listed total number of receptions recorded in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be the official final stats from Super Bowl LIX on NFL.com.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-deandre-hopkins-record-2-or-more-receptions-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Player Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x726fb59d0e58e0f8e138dc791e828bb350feea005c0c1fba93e90c989413da00
|
0xfdb42a3ef77207307fe9cfe4de3c9a978d8535c415ea836dd4dfa6a81bcf93e4
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 35°F or below on February 1?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 1, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-35f-or-below-on-february-1
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe0fc609e961f81cd8b1df5eaae5192720daa6bfd26f5b39a901b6a5644d6f0b3
|
0x1021195c4a9982e34ccb94e4d9776db5cf23dcece3881d134f706f65d8720666
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Euphoria"?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to the listed song during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source will live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-euphoria
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xc47466b39e13b4ebafd90f150bfdcdd876609ef31e19b0f32f05aa2b50bbf907
|
0x9b94a7cd007ad2acd9cbeeb2ddb31280edfd6df836772661cdfa30b5e10a9f1f
|
Will 350-400k federal employees accept the buyout?
|
The Trump administration announced Tuesday that it is offering deferred resignations to all federal employees who opt to leave their jobs by February 6 (see: https://www.opm.gov/fork)
This market will resolve according to the number of employees that accept the deferred resignation offer.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the number is reported as a percentage of the Federal workforce, with no reporting of the actual number by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will use the most exact unrounded percentage reported out of 3,010,000 to calculate the number of deferred resignations (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001).
If the Trump Administration does not publish the number or percentage of employees that accept the deferred resignation offer by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-350-400k-federal-employees-accept-the-buyout
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Elon Musk",
"DOGE",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"deficit"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x05baea977b2898ecb26d4fc58fac0dcdcf962f3ffcc81a2f7abd34a4e14a6263
|
0x9c4bdd9bc5b6f3ba2e9fc8b7f37df79a35736bef4ac2ce71e870bb7b884798b3
|
Will Trump halt NYC congestion pricing before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law or otherwise takes any formal action which aims to limit or remove New York City’s congestion pricing program by March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-halt-nyc-congestion-pricing-before-april
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"MAGA",
"New York",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Executive Actions",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x29e36902c864f5021369c936b7d8d87725f48c5129dbd970130fa0c61fb4d100
|
0xc35229d3aedafca242397b2035267c5cbbeb6fdc57c15f4c5c944fa7da54b776
|
Ziam vs. Davis
|
This is a market on whether Farés Ziam or Mike Davis will win their bout at UFC Fight Night scheduled for February 1, 2025, at The Venue in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
If Farés Ziam is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Ziam.”
If Mike Davis is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Davis.”
If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after February 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The Resolution source will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/mma/fightcenter/_/league/ufc), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ziam-vs-davis
|
[
"Sports",
"UFC"
] | false
| null | null |
0x7f2a1a7983dd6e4a06cae2629386f7b2f2cd025fed62ac5926e5a48cda9a3f3e
|
0xe554fd1905acea5004314244982f860ebaba941bc39e7e8bcfc6545a50e41e7f
|
Will the Eagles lead the Chiefs by 6 or more points after the first quarter of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market refers to Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Eagles” if the Philadelphia Eagles lead by the Kansas City Chiefs by 6 or more points after the first quarter of play in Super Bowl LIX.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Chiefs.”
If the first quarter is not completed by or the game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-eagles-lead-the-chiefs-by-6-or-more-points-after-the-first-quarter-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Spreads",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Game Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x7396c1edf42f942d14e726dd25145c1c935bce81879d65bb662b17e90d8df202
|
0xa3658667051a8fe1bcf30b0a202d2b1167afcfe61872e65b6aa300d7b6a5e7b1
|
Will egg prices be between $4.25-4.50 for January?
|
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the January data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The January release is presently scheduled for February 12, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
|
2025-02-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-egg-prices-be-between-4pt25-4pt50-for-january
|
[
"Inflation",
"Economy",
"Recurring",
"Trade War",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd9af64980a8704a3a4c244468607a71efc702e6f1fd9ca11aec667ab26f8e049
|
0xff68e0a5f17dcc0dab8646c623fe9a301a128fc8e0f32d64f978ad027fe26bd8
|
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 by February 28 2025?
|
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between February 1, 2025, 00:00 and February 28, 2025, 23:59in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $3,000.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ethereum-dip-to-3000-by-february-28-2025
|
[
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x6219f2b4e1711de92f9cb2e174434cf703f280e1d60d827776859ea573363908
|
0x4d710a606f47a6a2b6d0ea7923155451d9d3e43c2319f8ff43e61a98150ef5e8
|
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-375-399-times-jan-31-feb-1
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbc228e071672729e57460b5bd86c96af07390142660a5770d8b6c1146088923f
|
0xad402f7b6b7d48bbac790b3c4340610c5ef69f99d454040cafd2a8dcdbb4d020
|
Alibaba AI model better than DeepSeek before March?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model by Alibaba has a higher arena score than all DeepSeek models on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by February 28, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the arena score must be higher - if it ties with the best DeepSeek arena score it will not count.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
alibaba-ai-model-better-than-deepseek-before-march
|
[
"AI",
"DeepSeek"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf6c21d059a6694c8c9ec2d9067912323407b4446f45997aa32b535af15aa8905
|
0x7674acf647263dbe41383d96a30c7884088ae6478402f4405b9b616564282225
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on February 3?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 3, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-52-53f-on-february-3
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x68122b11be5faaa6fb1cc1bdfb732e25ea8d7f68144a64001c1095a19c575102
|
0x8baee27a8b25a562072a2ffa7fcfe0aa74e48010175c42fdbdfc8a288df4d40b
|
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?
|
The Gatorade shower is a celebratory tradition in which the winning head coach of the Super Bowl is doused with Gatorade or a similar liquid. Super Bowl LIX is scheduled to take place on February 9, 2025, in New Orleans, Louisiana, at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
This market will resolve according to the color of the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX.
If there is no Gatorade shower during or after the game, the corresponding market for “No Gatorade Shower” will resolve to “Yes,” and all other markets will resolve to “No.”
If for any reason the Gatorade shower does not clearly match one of the listed options or cannot be determined, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option that looks the closest.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of Super Bowl LIX, including the live broadcast, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-gatorade-shower-at-super-bowl-lix-be-greenyellow
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xccc125bae06ac672e6f70dee73767b9f25fce74aa3b50ddb6a38b35cb617e405
|
0xd70a0cbbfaf8cec20a3df55b9129b15e57875f3f2e6978807b784107a6214d2a
|
Will Ethereum dip to $2750 by February 28 2025?
|
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between February 1, 2025, 00:00 and February 28, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $2,750.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ethereum-dip-to-2750-by-february-28-2025
|
[
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x135022e4915da27a38e62ca8c08168bfe5a7c79c88c7d2e177b03630bacd2854
|
0x08075f992129ccb958e624b318efbe5202ecf88f9c525de88b6475641d81394f
|
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2024-25 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note: reaching the Play-In Tournament will not qualify as making the Playoffs. To make the 2024-25 NBA Playoffs, a team must earn one of the 16 spots in the postseason bracket.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to make the Playoffs based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from reaching the Play-In), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.
|
2025-04-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-golden-state-warriors-make-the-nba-playoffs
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xcef5908272d711a1afc418d1ceb1c86597676a3a40eec9b385b1583900b86de3
|
0x3b6ce666c2fed79185cb7bb61f18d0d45e49b703f4e5fa8dd01a1d2f362e6857
|
Will the Eagles score 19 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market refers to Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Philadelphia Eagles score 19 or more points in their game against the Kansas City Chiefs.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-eagles-score-19-or-more-points-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"totals",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Team Totals",
"Game Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0xaec69cbb9441050ebf7030158437ce6497ff049f6d5be2b1d0284d16f9026b10
|
0xf92ed2e383ac05601cd1864c63098c711e48f0edf015e2c7b152b4a0de2ef3da
|
Will the Eagles lead the Chiefs by 3 or more points after the first half of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market refers to Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Eagles” if the Philadelphia Eagles lead the Kansas City Chiefs by 3 or more points after the first half of play in Super Bowl LIX.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Chiefs.”
If the first half is not completed by or the game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-eagles-lead-the-chiefs-by-3-or-more-points-after-the-first-half-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Spreads",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"First Half",
"Game Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x8b18dffd6d7d3faae88e0b79e3ce96291a2afde9dd38ebf6e1efcec8e41e0105
|
0x007b2f0c1456919ea6b1b22e127647a6e7757b365a80ad8f3ff7058a7f517184
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on January 31?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 31, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-48-49f-on-january-31
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8b18dffd6d7d3faae88e0b79e3ce96291a2afde9dd38ebf6e1efcec8e41e0100
|
0x6fba4b4354acb326d4b4b3a184615f585409338715d76df5a5e264a17a700581
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 39°F or below on January 31?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 31, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-39f-or-below-on-january-31
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2225f23309919cdfd927a0136876625c5d08dc4fdfbb219e124e16bfcd363105
|
0x9e78bb7db1ef53c9766b866ebeda369a17c823718874a30b209d158f84bed784
|
Will ETHBTC be between .028-.029 on February 7?
|
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the final “Close” value for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHBTC 07 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) lies. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHBTC "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_BTC with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the fifth decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note that this market is about the ratio according to Binance ETHBTC, not according to other sources or spot markets.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ethbtc-be-between-028-029-on-february-7
|
[
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6219f2b4e1711de92f9cb2e174434cf703f280e1d60d827776859ea573363901
|
0x5a7f530012324d66319236194307ae72b665d40f85e8f60c875dd86f8b3033df
|
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-200-224-times-jan-31-feb-1
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets",
"Elon Tweets",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5d037c97100d475c6fe1aaaf9895d7a883641a7246d1c9d0976821152624d402
|
0x3553fb237e53dd1cc26d0576a266c71785dc94f033d93feaddee2872d77a7749
|
Will ICE detain 700-799 people on January 30?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 30, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<600" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-700-799-people-on-january-30
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x8a2bba2b72abd73fd0e5e7ea4145817d01a484006c85cb86592e9296a0ede1ee
|
0xa34809d96b6498ad1b505030b6ecbc0f4c264fd74c36ffd647e4c7a6ad3ebf40
|
Will Patrick Mahomes record 253 or more passing yards in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Over” if Patrick Mahomes records 253 or more passing yards in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The resolution source will be the official final stats from Super Bowl LIX on NFL.com.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-patrick-mahomes-record-253-or-more-passing-yards-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Mahomes",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Hurts",
"Player Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0xf0d9a679d4497ff49c0079b5390013f455f247fe0712363311ced1e09cf26e00
|
0x9447be5405a3fce6b64c752baf09871dc1a88f7268477222db65deb7c3d20eb8
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 42°F or below on February 3?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 3, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-42f-or-below-on-february-3
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdcf8566fc0ef96005dbd75d9b06456de4bf991e9d3f79c788cc783d0060775ae
|
0x543ef66f5977d1d27a9dc7489629fe9e79af9da42cd53f1a0cfd0dc844970e92
|
Will Noah Gray record 2 or more receptions in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Over” if the listed player exceeds the listed total number of receptions recorded in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The resolution source will be the official final stats from Super Bowl LIX on NFL.com.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-noah-gray-record-2-or-more-receptions-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Player Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0xcae501d7874edfd65e99670c82c1e64f45c9231fdf9bc2e633e9bb526f0e48b8
|
0xe4eda3709ce5f2450243e54858eef3a6add9ea928f07209b05a0f52236a3761c
|
Will the Chiefs score 17 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market refers to Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Kansas City Chiefs score 17 or more points in their game against the Philadelphia Eagles.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under.”
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-chiefs-score-17-or-more-points-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"NFL",
"totals",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Team Totals",
"Game Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0xfb7c6afacf149c1f07a2f46a4aa40b831a7a7efa22dbe8f5b26ee2b295f6efc4
|
0xabc74f08d53602bf6ba1bf7eae8c02589a92958e0c34d7cfb3198deeaf8ab1bb
|
Will the Eagles beat the Chiefs by 9 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market refers to Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Eagles” if the Philadelphia Eagles win their game against the Kansas City Chiefs by 9 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Chiefs.”
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-eagles-beat-the-chiefs-by-9-or-more-points-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Game Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x5d037c97100d475c6fe1aaaf9895d7a883641a7246d1c9d0976821152624d401
|
0x51cb4fe124d35a45d7cc1ebe48c1960cd425971a039874916e5859c9639d9a64
|
Will ICE detain 600-699 people on January 30?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 30, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<600" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-600-699-people-on-january-30
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf6c21d059a6694c8c9ec2d9067912323407b4446f45997aa32b535af15aa8901
|
0x95f67f859b3e9eac54b4df7628250c0bf8290e3caaef32987249d833dc1846f4
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on February 3?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 3, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-44-45f-on-february-3
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc3bb991b7ca6eb30ba2333b06cfe929e3a7549d8bae8fdd93b029104d2615144
|
0x6e5986d1b41dc8d7403c5995da287ab2d3b6f10ff55ce557e96db74ccd5a0bb7
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "N95"?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to the listed song during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source will live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-n95
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x514ef1e9f17b42e4e30d724c1a65059d073d04d1aa8d786f629fd65826079707
|
0xe49be0b8cb08c4cc243054d7722aaf6f8dda9fe2433680b5fdc80d0d200b8f32
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Not Like Us" first?
|
This market will resolve according to the first song Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source will be live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-not-like-us-first
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x18ec15a5e26f994c39b98c33ef1ca6468445e6c004449d49dd15fc9593dd592b
|
0xc28e4c67e5cb41fe6afaa5875ff481f7a2a241004082a12f0818352e8f26db30
|
Will Xavier Worthy rush for 7 or more yards in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Over” if the listed player exceeds the listed total number of rushing yards recorded in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The resolution source will be the official final stats from Super Bowl LIX on NFL.com.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-xavier-worthy-rush-for-7-or-more-yards-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0xf0d9a679d4497ff49c0079b5390013f455f247fe0712363311ced1e09cf26e01
|
0x21051ba5fe9f277fd225070a252dde3d857f3f464fa986365d07f3a7dfd93a82
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on February 3?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 3, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-43-44f-on-february-3
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x52963a918b6d85e31cdd900a23948d5824ef37cc063b0d97ae78f659fe15fe83
|
0xe2176c0e10443fc3f59a205d86f016104eab52d30c27a3324f0fe13c4637e46b
|
Will Solana hit $275 by February 28 2025?
|
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between February 1, 2025, 00:00 and February 28, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $270.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-solana-hit-275-by-february-28-2025
|
[
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x80b2bbc05369d6b548a9c85dd294857b1050269909d9e6e0d766f77accc1de20
|
0x9370c35b9adbc85253b0a9c74cfc270689394296d77112afda7d4b1b255c839b
|
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2024-25 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note: reaching the Play-In Tournament will not qualify as making the Playoffs. To make the 2024-25 NBA Playoffs, a team must earn one of the 16 spots in the postseason bracket.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to make the Playoffs based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from reaching the Play-In), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.
|
2025-04-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-portland-trail-blazers-make-the-nba-playoffs
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x514ef1e9f17b42e4e30d724c1a65059d073d04d1aa8d786f629fd65826079716
|
0xf46b759cbd121600d0be0550192914337fe29980deb00f2653eda9590d3ad5f4
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Hey Now" first?
|
This market will resolve according to the first song Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source will be live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-hey-now-first
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x18398072e4cc8d8281ea45de177d6ac712b1be6239ddd608bf0750727f392100
|
0x53c134c464324b5da2b28193d2d9b5c6a939d1fff70dc1194f1a9ed7180bdca0
|
Will ICE detain less than 600 people on January 31?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 31, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<600" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-less-than-600-people-on-january-31
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5c4d52c07e9d2e113010e7a6e1b838020276bf9c67ce8c9d204a3a66582160b5
|
0x9352ec45721fe468cea3d9cb7548873ac7f519f945c774bec21b818145f92a81
|
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?
|
On January 25, Donald Trump said he had been speaking to Egypt and Jordan about taking Palestinian refugees. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/26/world/middleeast/trump-gaza-jordan-egypt.html
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Egypt or Jordan announces their intention to accept or otherwise accept at least 100,000 Gazan refugees between them, either temporarily or long-term, between January 29 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note: This market's resolution is based on the sum total of Gazan refugees accepted by both Egypt and Jordan.
If Egypt or Jordan announce they will accept or otherwise accept an undisclosed number of Gazan refugees, this market will remain open until the resolution date or further announcements are made clarifying the number of refugees to be accepted, or the number is otherwise confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
the primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the governments of Egypt and Jordan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
egyptjordan-agree-to-take-100k-gazan-refugees-before-april
|
[
"Politics",
"Gaza",
"egypt",
"Israel",
"Geopolitics",
"Jordan",
"Foreign Policy",
"World"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf11497e2d5730a2e84c7d90f4262cb2aac48e077452dfc2c915d74d78b1fce11
|
0x78a2bce0f6b24851b19b1d0c3187ec4390df557b3b802a7f8446812e5e8d5f66
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Heart 5"?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to the listed song during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source will live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-heart-5
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x160b4dffe2d99ac62afbcf7fae8d5544d7218fdf8a8d9e1a4dd6ceb830037500
|
0x55603ee8f5e594b8623b4b94124bf3a15d17d1fc8b8bb7b375fdc80c13ee65f2
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 32°F or below on February 2?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 2, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-32f-or-below-on-february-2
|
[
"Weather",
"New York City",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x120c385859c002d7a7f06ca16d4b249352738d17fc08819a765523028000333b
|
0x6e2d7849c0bc1dd94a7fb2507345fe28d9a0fc14c8e34576725e72611f56f448
|
Will Travis Kelce record 64 or more receiving yards in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Over” if the listed player exceeds the listed total number of receiving yards recorded in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The resolution source will be the official final stats from Super Bowl LIX on NFL.com.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-travis-kelce-record-64-or-more-receiving-yards-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Player Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x42ba937f5f3a4a8b2a61b5e900f3807d894813f2a31386c8e2e404efe5ffd64d
|
0x52581a3f6bded1bf7856163cb9c1e2619f7dbd872436bed446931763014489a8
|
Will Dallas Goedert record 5 or more receptions in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Over” if the listed player exceeds the listed total number of receptions recorded in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The resolution source will be the official final stats from Super Bowl LIX on NFL.com.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-dallas-goedert-record-5-or-more-receptions-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Player Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x5d037c97100d475c6fe1aaaf9895d7a883641a7246d1c9d0976821152624d407
|
0xcc44f4940b8455e187413c0fb4791b74a925b6f3f739558a6fe6955cf9360c19
|
Will ICE detain 1200 or more people on January 30?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 30, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<600" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-1200-or-more-people-on-january-30
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x14cf9b67233877b6ca4182ce4b6e5753ba03e684e7a1faea284c4ff27eb284f1
|
0x2e425ad41919c55100a42c96fb105adce9d073c3f654c7815b5dd9dde2c42248
|
Will Jalen Hurts record 211 or more passing yards in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Over” if Jalen Hurts records 211 or more passing yards in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The resolution source will be the official final stats from Super Bowl LIX on NFL.com.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-jalen-hurts-record-211-or-more-passing-yards-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Mahomes",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Hurts",
"Player Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x8b18dffd6d7d3faae88e0b79e3ce96291a2afde9dd38ebf6e1efcec8e41e0101
|
0x755b22a6e3cd779213d4f022a58e775e0cab5839079317def3d57e44d08d6b44
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on January 31?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 31, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-40-41f-on-january-31
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc9337709121904beff553335f98742d62e142bb2c2b92c6e0356a7fa3da757ed
|
0xc63a3661b2c2c0958a8f344fe80bebf56f4264be59ee0d05cfbd0211d3bebb31
|
Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2024-25 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note: reaching the Play-In Tournament will not qualify as making the Playoffs. To make the 2024-25 NBA Playoffs, a team must earn one of the 16 spots in the postseason bracket.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to make the Playoffs based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from reaching the Play-In), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.
|
2025-04-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-new-orleans-pelicans-make-the-nba-playoffs
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x78dc90cc54a6c7d7b6255d201de06d1c79d68739f6c5c7a9b14e8f2bb3e09a23
|
0xc584e38cb433a08ef874b37b85f1cc2a8c5ca840ec40f4bbdc950f4063c66d0d
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Family Ties"?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to the listed song during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source will live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-family-ties
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x83a5b87cac5121e64817066be0481fda1d1e232a54cc6ae3809927618ca9e470
|
0x931345c2c0a01fbfd0a1c9479b2eb707b948876f4232acef873cd7eb752b8797
|
Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2024-25 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note: reaching the Play-In Tournament will not qualify as making the Playoffs. To make the 2024-25 NBA Playoffs, a team must earn one of the 16 spots in the postseason bracket.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to make the Playoffs based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from reaching the Play-In), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.
|
2025-04-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-sacramento-kings-make-the-nba-playoffs
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf10431173f2916e553df2f426cb5d216de5132d2c6bc90e066cfb71c637ca6c9
|
0x3254f16fb7fbf7c8b00ff7507fef145d69aaca832967446fb8090c3f5de0c9f4
|
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?
|
This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 30, 2025 will count for this market.
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-issue-an-executive-order-on-day-11
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Executive Actions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcb1da7b37db54efb140fc6c007cdedcd37d5e882695a737ecf8eec89f6cef902
|
0x07882bd27ae84a82c425e167582f2843a6e14b8577b71124466530ebe3b3acf3
|
Will the Liberals win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?
|
The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario.
This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in the 44th Parliament of Ontario as a result of the upcoming election.
If voting in the next Ontario parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).
|
2025-02-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-liberals-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-ontario-parliamentary-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Canada",
"Global Elections",
"World Elections",
"Ontario"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x82a55339c54a05c5ec1755324e942a5ddc839de97c8a51b344bc0120419be900
|
0xc503e7867b933eb1ecb3d25bd2414cfb3738c318216fbe929da6cc8944fadcd7
|
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in February 2025?
|
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of a named bracket for February 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for February 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2025 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-global-temperature-increase-by-less-than-1pt20c-in-february-2025
|
[
"Weather",
"climate",
"global warming",
"Global Temp",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x05b84fc6d8504c14b67d34b3bfd33c8a6a8f4a059bc4a771b82ffbb4e1453396
|
0x01ab5485a65f554e399aa5fa676dc8ffbd5e174b1a890ae40cbd97b2d7703716
|
Will Saquon Barkley rush for 117 or more yards in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Over” if the listed player exceeds the listed total number of rushing yards recorded in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The resolution source will be the official final stats from Super Bowl LIX on NFL.com.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-saquon-barkley-rush-for-117-or-more-yards-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0xbace7dafc8497d9637b7664cddc0373ff3147e413813f4ffd81ac814749be2fc
|
0xebc4e0e2899dba6c902be6ab05bfb8cd266eebe1bcab73cba268d738e8f0c464
|
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2024-25 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note: reaching the Play-In Tournament will not qualify as making the Playoffs. To make the 2024-25 NBA Playoffs, a team must earn one of the 16 spots in the postseason bracket.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to make the Playoffs based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from reaching the Play-In), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.
|
2025-04-19T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-phoenix-suns-make-the-nba-playoffs
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8ba0ec6d6233b89afd876022f3154899360b946262b3eea95221eb9c388d9556
|
0x16d112a2d1fbabbc035aec3a1b53a8f4727c6167b3cf148344810cc28b71af9b
|
Will JuJu Smith-Schuster record 16 or more receiving yards in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Over” if the listed player exceeds the listed total number of receiving yards recorded in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The resolution source will be the official final stats from Super Bowl LIX on NFL.com.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-juju-smith-schuster-record-16-or-more-receiving-yards-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Player Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x66b2911e8241dd2941b38dcdfa9fb5c1a9d072e094471de03575a90966131b49
|
0x85f97463c53731e1357759bae4533c4b25a02fa9d2d955efbf6f2f37365a4bb6
|
Will the Eagles lead the Chiefs after the first quarter of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to "Eagles" if the Philadelphia Eagles are leading the Kansas City Chiefs after the first quarter of play in Super Bowl LIX.
This market will resolve to "Cheifs" if the Kansas City Chiefs are leading the Philadelphia Eagles after the first quarter of play in Super Bowl LIX.
If the score is tied after the first quarter of play, the first quarter of play is not completed, or the game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-eagles-lead-the-cheifs-after-the-first-quarter-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x7bb3b3f45dad2cd1456a98461bdaccb1ae57d15fd30a8f9705193296135e2bac
|
0x4a4798ee64e566de74d342577d1574e39399c235e2a4527d22cd91fc7a517eaa
|
Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI o3-mini model has a higher arena score than all DeepSeek models on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by February 28, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
All OpenAI o3-mini models will count (i.e. o3-mini and o3-mini-high both count). If any of them is higher than DeepSeek it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Note that the arena score must be higher - if it ties with the best DeepSeek arena score it will not count.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
o3-mini-better-than-deepseek-before-march
|
[
"AI",
"llm",
"artificial intelligence",
"Tech"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf6c21d059a6694c8c9ec2d9067912323407b4446f45997aa32b535af15aa8904
|
0x9926bc0f815a09dc0403d130ea06dfde3e9219f74811756c3f8f8ac0455704d5
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 50-51°F on February 3?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 3, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-50-51f-on-february-3
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x7d1f5dd03e9e03aeaf3433dbf5f4ef356739b273a88aacce16099294ad6bb0b4
|
0xb303fceda7906a905f697c1f9eac462da9cd8c9b1a8d18898363437a7be31561
|
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures St. Michael's church in Pokrovsk located on Hrushevskoho Vulytsia by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
The church will be considered captured if any part of building is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
Once Russia captures the church, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Church Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovsk+Church+Location.png
Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png
Location on Google maps: https://www.google.com/maps/@48.2794472,37.1801207,592m/data=!3m1!1e3
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
|
2025-06-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| false
|
will-russia-capture-pokrovsk-by-june-30
|
[
"Politics",
"russia",
"Ukraine",
"putin",
"Geopolitics",
"World"
] | false
| 0.003
| 0.997
|
0x514ef1e9f17b42e4e30d724c1a65059d073d04d1aa8d786f629fd65826079703
|
0x4cc20269f9d51757b3bd15d4a4768e87cb94ea8aa93b11e8227019bc084a7c82
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up" first?
|
This market will resolve according to the first song Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source will be live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-squabble-up-first
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x7a30591f8ad38bcc1b7667454e367f2a9c031d7707f6177ca47c48a2a584a960
|
0x58b1424e159fec117d4bb7d8b50fdcb887c06e8212a752a0188a0d928b58ff9e
|
Will Ethereum dip to $3250 by February 28 2025?
|
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between February 1, 2025, 00:00 and February 28, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $3,250.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ethereum-dip-to-3250-by-february-28-2025
|
[
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xa3c4ae37c9b3bfb385f450c28c4beb79a53e14517ea6438667213c6402affe05
|
0xe83c11cb3ac0a2647ffaa6086f628aff1642fb5db6288559b655f65cfc83293c
|
Will the highest temperature in London between 47-48°F on February 1?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 1, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-between-47-48f-on-february-1
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x005aeb63f1cc798548f94c9593453e318b2009810e194ec3d208084d84a14ae0
|
0x50fa6432b0383357c192fb0335ed2db9abc3f16f53eef7d242ed0e206400ba3a
|
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bob Menendez receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Menendez is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-pardon-bob-menendez-in-his-first-100-days
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Campaign Promises",
"Trump 100 Days",
"First 100 days",
"Sam Bankman"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5d037c97100d475c6fe1aaaf9895d7a883641a7246d1c9d0976821152624d406
|
0xa0fc7f175972db93629b51327e7ff656379e32ad50201a3f1349f41de52ef716
|
Will ICE detain 1100-1199 people on January 30?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 30, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<600" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-1100-1199-people-on-january-30
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8b18dffd6d7d3faae88e0b79e3ce96291a2afde9dd38ebf6e1efcec8e41e0103
|
0x86f60f5727e0dd49b83ec0d08d0ed196cf4cbef8811d1f422f495d964b8ec457
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on January 31?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 31, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-44-45f-on-january-31
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x5d037c97100d475c6fe1aaaf9895d7a883641a7246d1c9d0976821152624d405
|
0xf426629f6fefb8852c605434033eb8dce91865f769ec90f3f672795ecda8f6eb
|
Will ICE detain 1000-1099 people on January 30?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for January 30, 2025. If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<600" bracket.
The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
|
2025-01-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ice-detain-1000-1099-people-on-january-30
|
[
"Politics",
"Immigration",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x12e2f183761a51ab2867da9ab7731b7868ac2b12ef69468a039000d5317b2900
|
0x1af0e41d7b7a6d9ab5ba898a6ac9a4f9ae813c42dd3a5abc7fd1dab228cf036d
|
50 or more bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
|
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) March 2025 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for March 5-6, 2025 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
|
2025-03-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
50-or-more-bps-decrease-in-ecb-interest-rates-after-march-2025-meeting
|
[
"Politics",
"Business",
"finance",
"eu",
"Economy",
"Europe",
"ECB",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x7396c1edf42f942d14e726dd25145c1c935bce81879d65bb662b17e90d8df201
|
0x17ac1ccfe01a6036ccb14d10439c50dddc00b384be1d72651cee103694546ff9
|
Will egg prices be between $4-4.25 for January?
|
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the January data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The January release is presently scheduled for February 12, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
|
2025-02-12T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-egg-prices-be-between-4-4pt25-for-january
|
[
"Inflation",
"Economy",
"Recurring",
"Trade War",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe545a4ae149f8fde202665e1aa6dcbc85bbebb71bb2e3114b5ef50c281b922ff
|
0xc99f83ed10c6e47f43cfe900c70d3a7f404d02265cf10c1edd972ab626f26f00
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Alright"?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to the listed song during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source will live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-alright
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x82a55339c54a05c5ec1755324e942a5ddc839de97c8a51b344bc0120419be903
|
0x469095132de3f9f67b3a6f148f289cfc8375262ce0285383c5f7e983700aa912
|
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in February 2025?
|
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of a named bracket for February 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for February 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2025 is provided by NASA by June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-global-temperature-increase-by-between-1pt30-1pt34c-in-february-2025
|
[
"Weather",
"climate",
"global warming",
"Global Temp",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9effc0ae34b6a9b26dee54c74f2f06d4d19112c76e0687f84618b03bb9fdc388
|
0x45060e3ad88e835074c1d7853d36d504c6f0d00120090bfe607b7dc5afdcb554
|
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025?
|
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between February 1, 2025, 00:00 and February 28, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $130,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-bitcoin-reach-130000-by-february-28-2025
|
[
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x68122b11be5faaa6fb1cc1bdfb732e25ea8d7f68144a64001c1095a19c575101
|
0x05da88af64b05105ddd21456b20f61e9d8fa4c505fdceefcad106ead6b6542c3
|
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be orange?
|
The Gatorade shower is a celebratory tradition in which the winning head coach of the Super Bowl is doused with Gatorade or a similar liquid. Super Bowl LIX is scheduled to take place on February 9, 2025, in New Orleans, Louisiana, at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
This market will resolve according to the color of the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX.
If there is no Gatorade shower during or after the game, the corresponding market for “No Gatorade Shower” will resolve to “Yes,” and all other markets will resolve to “No.”
If for any reason the Gatorade shower does not clearly match one of the listed options or cannot be determined, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option that looks the closest.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of Super Bowl LIX, including the live broadcast, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-gatorade-shower-at-super-bowl-lix-be-orange
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x893c0c9d824fcdc8438bbc36ab290d2b3e559dd7cce7d02b7fd9292c9c023c43
|
0x3e4bd2421985e0ca796d22699671bd63c49a7db5b0f505d25a0e904acfc4592f
|
Ripple above $3.10 on February 7?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRPUSDT 07 Feb '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 3.10001 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRPUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRPUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
ripple-above-3pt10-on-february-7
|
[
"Crypto",
"Crypto Prices",
"XRP",
"ripple",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x57d0bc413eb9436dc2fc95a824809f6e8b6d29afa79392f59457bb1569c89d1d
|
0x83cb26e7a3fc94a6b74969d4c29a7d7ef6ee0deb12b7f5c2bb1e274cada14dfd
|
Will PHI Eagles D/ST score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player scores one or more rushing, receiving, or return touchdown in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Passing TDs will not count.
Special teams and Defensive TDs will count for the player to cross the goal line with possession of the ball, and for the unit that scores (ie if Xavier Worthy scores a TD on special teams, it will count for both Xavier Worthy AND Chiefs D/ST).
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-phi-eagles-dst-score-a-td-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"ATTD",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x66eed4908b3953cb5fe24fba1e2842df3e93d1732b3210c5226aa4ca2a1063f6
|
0x9fea7ea6187cf8842a3736746c62c1bb48159d6aa4d31fcac1c277f90d654979
|
Will Jahan Dotson record 3 or more receiving yards in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Over” if the listed player exceeds the listed total number of receiving yards recorded in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The resolution source will be the official final stats from Super Bowl LIX on NFL.com.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-jahan-dotson-record-3-or-more-receiving-yards-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Player Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0x514ef1e9f17b42e4e30d724c1a65059d073d04d1aa8d786f629fd65826079714
|
0xd814a865119a91dc7244e54664f02df4b9324c3e4631595e79a17f098e0c1075
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Heart 5" first?
|
This market will resolve according to the first song Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source will be live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-heart-5-first
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa3c4ae37c9b3bfb385f450c28c4beb79a53e14517ea6438667213c6402affe00
|
0x82a8bbae9046edb3bf0dd77e9c07058a72fce531a4e241a4ac089adcffafae4f
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 38°F or below on February 1?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 1, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-38f-or-below-on-february-1
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xffe65aaf256b3382a31bdb134b0ec11d138a4bf04d6de48c21523d9c7f3b4966
|
0xb4973a13d696fc496b5a334413347f56fb7630216229044575d0f82d64875821
|
Terry Rozier suspended before March?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Terry Rozier has been suspended by the NBA or the Miami Heat for one or more NBA Regular Season Game, by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA and Miami Heat however or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
terry-rozier-suspended-before-march
|
[
"Sports",
"NBA",
"Terry Rozier"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xab6c8dc19802cc83c5272e5c74f7d72c9d2c42fae4ddc6c260c6065929d1661d
|
0x0f9f1a10f3664cb18a2b1b36d3c3c0a6cf1fe6890dd3a31a90b5831a1bfdb5a3
|
Will Harry Sisson get White House press credentials?
|
Harry Sisson recently announced that he had applied for White House press credentials (see: https://www.instagram.com/reel/DFZHVHOxk3U/)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Harry Sisson receives White House press credentials by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If Harry Sisson announces that his application for White House press credentials was denied, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Harry Sisson however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-harry-sisson-get-white-house-press-credentials
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"karoline leavitt",
"press"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xee46fe64b3cb9a7fe5f5c5fc4ff05322fc0447a9086c433e83eed679ace91abe
|
0x10bfbe0f65e4471ca3c2759739189afdf082fe4602a8fcf7f40ad32c126b3929
|
Will Solana hit $350 by February 28 2025?
|
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between February 1, 2025, 00:00 and February 28, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $350.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-solana-hit-350-by-february-28-2025
|
[
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0bf54b8d572f6b3e3e5f41245b74df0a258f874eaeb26f53b5366be03432577b
|
0x60a1de8082178cbd00c3e9e664a256e189d09b293bda730317e249ca8c0f553b
|
Will Ethereum dip to $2500 by February 28 2025?
|
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between February 1, 2025, 00:00 and February 28, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $2,500.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ethereum-dip-to-2500-by-february-28-2025
|
[
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x0b0a5ae348adf69db666cc701f04be0991fc7173ac1b9379be7b2c7d299a9b04
|
0xc50245fb2645761c526ad38d71660cc1233f63e89c18ce1b131cd8cf26c1df71
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on February 2?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on February 2, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-02-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-47-48f-on-february-2
|
[
"Weather",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1a18e1a89fca05c13b8927f23c4b4589590aa9f14e28f1099c2722122916039c
|
0x6e5a58ad9335fb9334ea721634739e43d877af1398df97517fbc40abea4ec936
|
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?
|
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between February 1, 2025, 00:00 and February 28, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $140,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-bitcoin-reach-140000-by-february-28-2025
|
[
"Crypto",
"Bitcoin",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x514ef1e9f17b42e4e30d724c1a65059d073d04d1aa8d786f629fd65826079705
|
0x8585b44e20803d7e67ee13fd7ed109816b53671b3ab0344b8d452f4feb34bee7
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "DNA" first?
|
This market will resolve according to the first song Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source will be live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-dna-first
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x514ef1e9f17b42e4e30d724c1a65059d073d04d1aa8d786f629fd65826079708
|
0xf255ba84487aec16e1252f665f7b766dd4cfbd88e65104592aef203e50c372d9
|
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Like That" first?
|
This market will resolve according to the first song Kendrick Lamar sings or raps lyrics to during the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show. Music, background vocals, or songs played without Kendrick vocalizing lyrics will not count.
If Kendrick Lamar does not perform or if Super Bowl LIX is postponed beyond February 28, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source will be live footage of the halftime show.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kendrick-lamar-perform-like-that-first
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Kendrick Halftime Show"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x15263068ac11253fd892084a39278e1716881319bff9461ed1a16639874e9f77
|
0x932de4fceb558887a63958ed757e6af2c38732594b3bcef6615890e55d12e848
|
Will Joe Biden attend Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Attending the game is defined as being in physical attendance during any part between the start and end of the game.
If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-joe-biden-attend-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials",
"Super Bowl LIX Specials"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc47466b39e13b4ebafd90f150bfdcdd876609ef31e19b0f32f05aa2b50bbf900
|
0x19489d6de9495485e7e11e37401b22759cb981f558913e5b9ebe30ae8630b09a
|
Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?
|
The Trump administration announced Tuesday that it is offering deferred resignations to all federal employees who opt to leave their jobs by February 6 (see: https://www.opm.gov/fork)
This market will resolve according to the number of employees that accept the deferred resignation offer.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the number is reported as a percentage of the Federal workforce, with no reporting of the actual number by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will use the most exact unrounded percentage reported out of 3,010,000 to calculate the number of deferred resignations (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001).
If the Trump Administration does not publish the number or percentage of employees that accept the deferred resignation offer by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-fewer-than-50k-federal-employees-accept-the-buyout
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Elon Musk",
"DOGE",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"deficit"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x975f4a2d624e418114be513934892eee58863f5e2cd143684a340579bd4dbd37
|
0x10db0157fb4dbc15195b8c824b476fd0d8129d97e908540ba3b2b594352edcea
|
Will A.J. Brown record 71 or more receiving yards in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to “Over” if the listed player exceeds the listed total number of receiving yards recorded in Super Bowl LIX scheduled for February 9, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
If this game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The resolution source will be the official final stats from Super Bowl LIX on NFL.com.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-aj-brown-record-71-or-more-receiving-yards-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Player Props"
] | false
| null | null |
0xb89d6e747baf8a44967c0bbe965f27c5f5432b85181f7f9bbac2a92e481dc55b
|
0x874f6c3a3963fc56b648d431a0ecefa4a29894af68c90731bd4292ed1cd8e28f
|
Will Solana dip to $140 by February 28 2025?
|
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOLUSDT) between February 1, 2025, 00:00 and February 28, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $140.00 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOLUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOLUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-solana-dip-to-140-by-february-28-2025
|
[
"Crypto",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices",
"Recurring"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x439d99c84bb87877f6818c278c133bfa20965688cfd9856fdc822cd2ffab1db3
|
0x87fd31b8d33fee572eda5180b25dd8b42d6d78049f26b33de181a8bb42021576
|
Will the Chiefs lead the Eagles by 7 or more points after the first quarter of Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market refers to Super Bowl LIX between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Chiefs” if the Kansas City Chiefs lead the Philadelphia Eagles by 7 or more points after the first quarter of play in Super Bowl LIX.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Eagles.”
If the first quarter is not completed by or the game is postponed after February 28, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-chiefs-lead-the-eagles-by-7-or-more-points-after-the-first-quarter-of-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"NFL",
"Spreads",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Game Props"
] | false
| null | null |
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