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stringlengths 159
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| end_date_iso
stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
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classes | closed
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classes | market_slug
stringlengths 12
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⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d28
|
0xf01bffd7827f87e9f8bd09a28140502cd7cb34e78091e742eac12a620f040ce0
|
Will Alabama State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-alabama-state-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xccf54aa03117ac9494704442bbee300f53d8e1a8908cd4cd89bb790c5099dfd5
|
0xb5620ad9f9366565e4727cb7712dd743c6647bb021fc0fe760da10baee01f393
|
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 6?
|
This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 25, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 25, 2025 will count for this market.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-issue-an-executive-order-on-day-6
|
[
"Politics",
"Breaking News",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x528333a72190e408f3db5b1c1dcae9fadf974fe3a83273f03c033ad401bbc202
|
0xcc4696cdf2569652aae4c098b42024615367a2284fb66182515819184e572536
|
Avalanche vs. Islanders
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 28 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Colorado Avalanche win, the market will resolve to “Avalanche”.
If the New York Islanders win, the market will resolve to “Islanders”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-col-nyi-2025-01-28
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xeaef1d67bf597d21d7162fd6c03de3e57ee9a822f1b70b76bf453019a0cf6e00
|
0xba8f2226ce962ed3e1fecf588d1ae9c2cbdab3120bffa4f91f6759317cf910f8
|
Will Barcelona beat Atalanta?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Barcelona and Atalanta scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Barcelona wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-barcelona-beat-atalanta
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"barcelona",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Atalanta"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d0d
|
0x664b1ef991cea7d4a781d753d72ed3aa1f308977d96d20d5714fe354caa8cc90
|
Will Marquette win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-marquette-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xeaef1d67bf597d21d7162fd6c03de3e57ee9a822f1b70b76bf453019a0cf6e02
|
0x13e9b2b636a806d2fedd852ff2c04346642212518d3c9561ac0832f67ea5f1ee
|
Will the match between Barcelona and Atalanta end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Barcelona and Atalanta scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-barcelona-and-atalanta-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"barcelona",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Atalanta"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x2fc19822308b451e760886a7cb4cbaca59b6792f16de6c4edc12459ffcb91c00
|
0x659f2565c5b656f3f17da9062cce12ddb2ce189332e547f0f3918e8e93ddeea2
|
Utah vs. Jets
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 24 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Utah win, the market will resolve to “Utah”.
If the Winnipeg Jets win, the market will resolve to “Jets”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-utah-wpg-2025-01-24
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x76fcce30f4a4b33e1f11fa415d9126bd5706805667ff40c7c039d76623d3da6a
|
0xa15f25bf173673c1e33e45106a0f04cacf9e1fd2b814ccfbed5c815ed247d67f
|
Will DeepSeek be #1 model before April?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any DeepSeek model has the highest Arena Score on the lmarena.ai Leaderboard at any point between January 23 and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable before this market's resolution date, another source will be chosen.
|
2025-05-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-deepseek-be-1-model-before-april
|
[
"AI",
"llm",
"artificial intelligence",
"Tech",
"DeepSeek"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf882a956f2f1dce07ceed84c98ac33cc68b4d5c2537750a03df6f0fc78a9951d
|
0x376d2afea494c4728ecd9e1ce9de7791e66844246308cbeb006018ecbec4d74e
|
Will David Portnoy launch a coin in January?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Portnoy officially launches a token by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by David Portnoy, either through posts form official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-david-portnoy-launch-a-coin-in-janaury
|
[
"Crypto",
"Memecoins"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x69ccf1a93575932b7419cb3786d1ff01beb0a35a90e96d5c1886a7f74c26c103
|
0x10f129e9548aadf8d420beccd6db876865d1fb4207bb67473ace3093326f9946
|
Will "Nickel Boys" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the film that wins the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No."
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-nickel-boys-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa93a41831f1ba87fb52550b976313571b8a7c84081da0e28c1d77c33d01542f3
|
0x631286ea641064df359a499292ebe4bb1f2b5fc5933c5b418b1459fda0914785
|
Will Trump list Los Zetas as a terrorist organization before April?
|
On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed the executive order "Designating Cartels and Other Organizations as Foreign Terrorist Organizations and Specially Designated Global Terrorists," directing the U.S. government to assess and potentially designate certain cartels under these classifications. (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/designating-cartels-and-other-organizations-as-foreign-terrorist-organizations-and-specially-designated-global-terrorists/)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates the listed cartel as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT) by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be an official announcement from the U.S. State Department, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-list-los-zetas-as-a-terrorist-organization-before-april
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"gang",
"Foreign Policy",
"Immigration/Border"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xa188eb048b4510c283bfc5493f965f056c8d530d5f7f461bab76fa05efc623b5
|
0x6d32d0fcaf14adfa8ebd33f8797e6cce6cc9c282137618ae6c47a251effa7830
|
Stars vs. Golden Knights
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 28 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Dallas Stars win, the market will resolve to “Stars”.
If the Vegas Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to “Golden Knights”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-dal-las-2025-01-28
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x4721ac746daaa0854b81e540b679cb6f22bbc8613320dad6ca9c2d43a72697c8
|
0xb55f6a940157e27c74d9221abde986c2a098b96eb697b0d40b01079b9905f112
|
Panthers vs. Golden Knights
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 26 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Florida Panthers win, the market will resolve to “Panthers”.
If the Vegas Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to “Golden Knights”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-fla-las-2025-01-26
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d3b
|
0x18b5f442ef747cc4f9ff11ebeb8a43eb10d6c4f60ecee335d283a5a49252abd9
|
Will Mount St. Mary's win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-mount-st-marys-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3d9b4f1c2544fd21fefd83a7811eff57a289f85a28afba1d2407feeab1f13904
|
0xd53ca5395fd428b8d8944558b547b18068fb68c0727faf8c4dafa651e82c3648
|
Will the Bills beat the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to exact outcome of Super Bowl LIX.
If Super Bowl LIX has not been completed by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-bills-beat-the-eagles-in-superbowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"bills",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"commanders",
"Superbowl",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x62258520a96fbb7753ca0a7e40f73a7a105eb284ad559acb4cd27cd4489f1807
|
0xc9f67551e90ed8b660b93178f8f7b97cf2125849033af254b0ec30927a0f767a
|
650 or more Detainers Lodged in next ICE update?
|
On January 24, ICE posted the following update: https://x.com/ICEgov/status/1882955710612291627.
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's next daily update. If ICE doesn't release a daily update by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<350" bracket.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
650-or-more-detainers-lodged-in-next-ice-update-1
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe96f2123106bd2dc7ab16de76993fa39baec7efc5eeda724465ed00774bc804
|
0x91b925a3020b7a5d5691416e57a435a0158a7de2de852eedb564d0013e13501f
|
Will USC win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-usc-win-the-2025-womens-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d29
|
0xc127b2ef7a222d046d5f45aaf4dc3aef9f4f6f8d97d66e339eb404013e6b9be9
|
Will Saint Francis win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-saint-francis-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x87b6577e5d11ad7573a35e6d0dba16a590badfd67848c7f55de3a4ba355d96a2
|
0x481fddb3835d2c51543b0180a58e5fa3cf9d590ea9b5410d7259ab5982443a1e
|
Golden Knights vs. Stars
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 24 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Vegas Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to “Golden Knights”.
If the Dallas Stars win, the market will resolve to “Stars”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-las-dal-2025-01-24
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x62258520a96fbb7753ca0a7e40f73a7a105eb284ad559acb4cd27cd4489f1805
|
0x473293adcd8eb455a811fbe39460cc6b8d4ba295b9adce2a110365266d1a4541
|
Between 550-599 Detainers Lodged in next ICE update?
|
On January 24, ICE posted the following update: https://x.com/ICEgov/status/1882955710612291627.
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's next daily update. If ICE doesn't release a daily update by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<350" bracket.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
between-550-599-detainers-lodged-in-next-ice-update-1
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe96f2123106bd2dc7ab16de76993fa39baec7efc5eeda724465ed00774bc812
|
0xf6f60fd851bb43c4dd6c52397b74699ff7e576e2a0763113ec29b7fc76f8392d
|
Will Iowa State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-iowa-state-win-the-2025-womens-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6e3cac2082b3326512a3133d92a758ea6d9d943419cf4d4e5155c06b40814200
|
0x0ccb9edfc40ca89d099e078f4a34ce0abbe840259f55a838b7e478ef7e69d7e5
|
Will Bayern Munich beat Slovan Bratislava?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Bayern Munich and Slovan Bratislava scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Bayern Munich wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-bayern-munich-beat-slovan-bratislava
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"bayern munich",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Slovan Bratislava"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x0180e8f93c703e241c7e24f54c160a06d319bba3debad20942c6a2ff939c5603
|
0x9458703195c44a6eac0804896bf773d43651c4c760a042af3dc02f4132ab8e04
|
Will Jaylen Hurts record the most passing yards on Championship Sunday?
|
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most passing yards during the AFC and NFC Championship games scheduled for January 26, 2025.
If two or more players are tied for most passing yards recorded from these two games, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the AFC or NFC Championship games have has not been completed by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or a player not named in this market records the most passing yards out of all players in these two games, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-jaylen-hurts-record-the-most-passing-yards-on-championship-sunday
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"AFC Championship",
"NFC Championship"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x41cbcaecd8948089f94e566e0f726e4c47b03494ff58bb8ebd8819ef0e9b08eb
|
0xa6d4e36b9b94adc9c41b943caebfb83012be1c5708a5ee1340484fde17dda67f
|
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knights
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 30 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Columbus Blue Jackets win, the market will resolve to “Blue Jackets”.
If the Vegas Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to “Golden Knights”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-cbj-las-2025-01-30
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xedc98ec302c7bc9c256a2a924c9dab37f5aa8bc3c9e1d08d2fabc231f1b10f02
|
0xffffb2874475ae9c1e3a0e3c3c4b4e329eb3105427aa484f357bf41c5fd77c4f
|
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
|
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's May 2025 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 6 - 7, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
|
2025-05-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-may-2025-meeting
|
[
"Politics",
"Fed Rates",
"Economy",
"Economic Policy"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d2f
|
0xf7fb38bdb6e18dd228fadf02facd82a31993316d808d04afed400c2cad13e4b1
|
Will Omaha win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-omaha-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x640323e6a3769cd522404f9620fa23057e596c1cfaec474a3633a8fe485b6100
|
0x2c848cf34845831c89b46904e9986a495bbd60b9c4581fbef44aeaa666f22d07
|
Will Dinamo Zagreb beat AC Milan?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Dinamo Zagreb and AC Milan scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Dinamo Zagreb wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-dinamo-zagreb-beat-ac-milan
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"AC Milan",
"Dinamo Zagreb"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xc58b5170b374d4310ec6f03e8cfcf4b1d11bc54a65428241f13c72aa0ff7d246
|
0xd807b48f3f975160454f7ece14e31e86addefeccfafd84d2de715f798d67d716
|
Jets vs. Canadiens
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 28 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Winnipeg Jets win, the market will resolve to “Jets”.
If the Montreal Canadiens win, the market will resolve to “Canadiens”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-05T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-wpg-mon-2025-01-28
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d2a
|
0x451cd09d9cd0be4013db9089fa3325e2b2ff5eacb4ec753e2b1f0316a57a1f56
|
Will Arkansas win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-arkansas-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd4ee527f8b1021acf2b94b3907ff735a6bca02ccf9f2775742b481bd2362d2f5
|
0x49317c4da2c3073e03180b7e8bb77d8d70eda54dfdd7fbee4fe61e83a5fe401a
|
Obama affair with Jennifer Aniston?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence is made public by January 27, 11:59 PM ET, that Barack Obama and Jennifer Aniston engaged in sexual relations. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For example, confirmation from either Barack Obama or Jennifer Aniston will qualify as "definitive evidence".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
obama-affair-with-jennifer-aniston
| null | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x7196d857c810ac6976b73ab12968a93c1df550a6c413eda054778ea21e3dcd00
|
0x6833fc8a87fb47bea27387c0e94a8c7007c4b0c514fcc6cff605eae61b8ae768
|
Will Inter Milan beat Monaco?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Inter Milan and AS Monaco scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Inter Milan wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-inter-milan-beat-monaco
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"inter milan",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Monaco",
"AS Monaco"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xc910c9cb94a579d5a3013e2262ad122817602235a1e053dbe48c73c6f0794059
|
0x6a43bd56a870849898b7c2a1141f0f8519cd74216e1588f22bdb378c2e7ce642
|
Avalanche vs. Bruins
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 25 at 1:00PM ET:
If the Colorado Avalanche win, the market will resolve to “Avalanche”.
If the Boston Bruins win, the market will resolve to “Bruins”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-col-bos-2025-01-25
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xec83f33a3e184315b222df96d1991ec6bb92fce0bb10e628d93b903ae30b5e03
|
0xcc7b7f1e70e69b412576f1313addddebf735b56a97e647f1278fd7680d960fbb
|
Will "September 5" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the film that wins the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No."
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-september-5-win-best-original-screenplay-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x63975ac5732b09e9f14c184e455c77fa6f525c4b36f7ca41f1be825146c90106
|
0x03596c78c5bd44de7293be976bfd5a0edb8c0fc93a0e1f98bf8bcf26c5fe7a96
|
Will Andrew Tate tweet 260-279 times Jan 24-31?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@cobratate), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-andrew-tate-tweet-260-279-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe96f2123106bd2dc7ab16de76993fa39baec7efc5eeda724465ed00774bc809
|
0x9724b6191a5110d864533373fd0825723042dbac71ff531e3c660c74726d5404
|
Will TCU win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-tcu-win-the-2025-womens-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc0e1e6bb0937120510b053330180b7328011d93a89507cbe898d959d6e725a1c
|
0x332efa96c8baa05ea4dc8b1046114978fb29298e81d2fe238ed4db666cdf35bf
|
Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government?
|
On January 23, President Trump signed an executive order for the declassification of the records on JFK's assassination (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/declassification-of-records-concerning-the-assassinations-of-president-john-f-kenned/)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, definitive evidence is made public confirming that a foreign government orchestrated or was directly involved in the assassination of John F. Kennedy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be publicly released information from the U.S. government.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
was-jfk-assassinated-by-a-foreign-government-march-31
|
[
"Trump",
"Declassification",
"MAGA",
"Trump 100 Days",
"John F. Kennedy",
"JFK Files"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3dbcd27020d4c9f2c432d69f76533f32eac8317b30f7522d299fd56159681901
|
0xd7b0c49cabacd3e420efa1d02e0866847573156290ae61fe9c24e7ae9238de19
|
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No."
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-brady-corbet-win-best-director-at-the-2025-oscars-for-the-brutalist
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf5224805226dd32c62da48cc9f4756fa88323c525d1185678aa43480b311dd00
|
0xa6f055b983c833b5c0b755806b2feddf0d43bd9ff1c00439e5d1af10ef0609f3
|
Will Lille beat Feyenoord?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Lille and Feyenoord scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Lille wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-lille-beat-feyenoord
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Feyenoord",
"Lille"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x9ce78a4450e438ce7994d5de0c737a391d77e4cfbdb6ae007fb3844087002100
|
0x61820bdcf957141b3213d2a60ad9b8a808a8226ca89479be9baa30f6fa1eff71
|
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Shakhtar Donetsk?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Borussia Dortmund and Shakhtar Donetsk scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Borussia Dortmund wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-borussia-dortmund-beat-shakhtar-donetsk
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Borussia Dortmund",
"BVB",
"Shakhtar Donetsk"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x68f4d24a0d8ab8d8f1a0520e859127f5a846b71197e931d1d7c9d3104c645a04
|
0xe164897f8532a737b9e40b31da105cd54acafdc3d2dedd85c1652c57397913c5
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on January 24?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 24, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-53-54f-on-january-24
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe96f2123106bd2dc7ab16de76993fa39baec7efc5eeda724465ed00774bc80c
|
0x951a709e3c29be566770c5b3be577d5d51e9fb8b888b914aaea54c6142a16243
|
Will Michigan State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-michigan-state-win-the-2025-womens-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d16
|
0xfebc5b16a94632e9f141867d6f5dbe5f6da597000c5660e1f27ad804ed6d0907
|
Will Memphis win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-memphis-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x235a59f07a1cfef39c78993f982be74b59664c65f1f41086e4467f990dc4670f
|
0xd7b5d9d6ce3e0e59b33cb5041244782cc339574c250a0845ae1c8154978a052b
|
Flyers vs. Islanders
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 24 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Philadelphia Flyers win, the market will resolve to “Flyers”.
If the New York Islanders win, the market will resolve to “Islanders”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-phi-nyi-2025-01-24
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d02
|
0x5e924edf6ae984ac3d2acb8bdd4ca69ce318c173ce6a416ce46cc97f8c3ba950
|
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-houston-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf5224805226dd32c62da48cc9f4756fa88323c525d1185678aa43480b311dd02
|
0x42830ae19fc8253dac8ea39d6cbbaade6d4ea33a096ce051edb9d9160615d675
|
Will the match between Lille and Feyenoord end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Lille and Feyenoord scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-lille-and-feyenoord-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Feyenoord",
"Lille"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d01
|
0x8a0fdd780612034bca86feefbd8e854671c3a47f8ede2ebaab12dabd3bb83611
|
Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-auburn-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d12
|
0x3d05ed5ecbdafd11a57075e5dd9589c83bfe18468f9a4484ba84d057ae862b52
|
Will Arizona win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-arizona-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdb1e65a6b64220f596f76b23810e1032321f944a13f0f154fe93dff8d488e000
|
0x2fd635f5977bf779adf479a85555f86ba4af42ddb98e1ccc1311ef0cfdaf63cf
|
Will Young Boys beat Red Star Belgrade?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Young Boys and Red Star Belgrade scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Young Boys wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-young-boys-beat-red-star-belgrade
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Red Star Belgrade",
"Young Boys"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d38
|
0x6ed13cf18a69fb2c1c72b06f2fccea264da2d5fce2f4c3d89987d5a55ed70db6
|
Will Montana win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-montana-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xea0340cd52e5d7b25f0dfa1d4370093bdaa543a16404d94a7bcc7e94c615a0c4
|
0x015af2cd4ed01b05b03508e93fe1f1f739b81957817127f255c8b023e3fb67a3
|
Hegseth test vote passes today?
|
A test vote for the current Trump nominee for US Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth, is scheduled for Thursday, January 23, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/01/23/us/trump-news#hegseth-defense-secretary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if this test vote indicates a confirmation vote for Pete Hegseth as US secretary of defense would pass the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of such a test vote in the US senate.
If no test vote is finalized by January 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
hegseth-test-vote-passes-today
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Cabinet"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x0180e8f93c703e241c7e24f54c160a06d319bba3debad20942c6a2ff939c5600
|
0x1c5c04f2115504572219f44d6e57eb0a6b65c2b54732b4ac51b3104b451573b7
|
Will Josh Allen record the most passing yards on Championship Sunday?
|
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most passing yards during the AFC and NFC Championship games scheduled for January 26, 2025.
If two or more players are tied for most passing yards recorded from these two games, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the AFC or NFC Championship games have has not been completed by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or a player not named in this market records the most passing yards out of all players in these two games, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-josh-allen-record-the-most-passing-yards-on-championship-sunday
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"AFC Championship",
"NFC Championship"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd2b9554db24656683c3838ed7ab3f7ea522bfc79000f69087b1f810f5e3ed605
|
0x23acbac4dadc9a4ad88976f5bd27d916547b0253f9a7ae77a3f1ee00704a153a
|
Will Donald Trump issue 40 or more executive orders in his first week?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of executive orders Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between January 20 and January 27, 2025.
The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates between January 20-27, (inclusive) will count for this market.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-donald-trump-issue-40-or-more-executive-orders-in-his-first-week
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3d9b4f1c2544fd21fefd83a7811eff57a289f85a28afba1d2407feeab1f13902
|
0x17eab276726e5d34e41908745f5dfe4b0af0f0428ea82cfd52fec236826494f5
|
Will the Chiefs beat the Commanders in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to exact outcome of Super Bowl LIX.
If Super Bowl LIX has not been completed by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-chiefs-beat-the-commanders-in-superbowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"bills",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"commanders",
"Superbowl",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x05d8d7cfad3cccf8d033b46ad2e7915e3e989c110f9f5e6e1d9a2f55ec37ac01
|
0x4bb3246b5bc53cc893664244e194a73b92edff905bff5a4fc03c3df3c5a37d2e
|
Will Club Brugge beat Manchester City?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Manchester City and Club Brugge scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Club Brugge wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-club-brugge-beat-manchester-city
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Club Brugge",
"Manchester City"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9435f2e2dadfba1c5a1bc7d262b608e87851f1a6bc1195157fee61ee5b00d32c
|
0x8cf6a8c35aef92d93979357c11b2f391cf361468c98a4b7d1671b9ae276f999c
|
Devils vs. Canadiens
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 25 at 7:00PM ET:
If the New Jersey Devils win, the market will resolve to “Devils”.
If the Montreal Canadiens win, the market will resolve to “Canadiens”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-nj-mon-2025-01-25
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x62258520a96fbb7753ca0a7e40f73a7a105eb284ad559acb4cd27cd4489f1802
|
0x9fe19cac673717d0606402b570a4161470f4128dcb4018d385fa5da86a29b5a5
|
Between 400-449 Detainers Lodged in next ICE update?
|
On January 24, ICE posted the following update: https://x.com/ICEgov/status/1882955710612291627.
This market will resolve according to the number of "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's next daily update. If ICE doesn't release a daily update by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "<350" bracket.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
between-400-449-detainers-lodged-in-next-ice-update-1
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d0c
|
0xdf4d3663d4fc36012316f5470e1ba02f304f2b61f04a47faa62c68509e57bd41
|
Will UConn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-uconn-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbb7570f8cc7f14eb4aa9591378f3f238affe85b8ee9bc89db5761753f16ac602
|
0x76388189288bcf91b8d17e009deec9753c1e362814d82d30d182113e8025d292
|
Will the match between Juventus and Benfica end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Juventus and Benfica scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-juventus-and-benfica-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Juventus",
"Benfica"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x69ccf1a93575932b7419cb3786d1ff01beb0a35a90e96d5c1886a7f74c26c104
|
0x9006cbac5ed23f7f22e023ad0f84f5fddf97bebaea85d0256da3f389c4bbeab8
|
Will "Sing Sing" win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025, the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the film that wins the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No."
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-sing-sing-win-best-adapted-screenplay-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2f6a85f3564466937ca41fd262d630f0b13e3ec2f81b2a91575e82dabf572539
|
0x3f42da2d2475793963df30ff98e428ee3796fc9c0d719456eb9d0e2fa2e6d595
|
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 5?
|
This market will resolve "Yes" of Donald Trump issues and signs an executive order on January 24, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government (e.g. https://www.whitehouse.gov/, https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders). Only executive orders with issuance dates of January 24, 2025 will count for this market.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-issue-an-executive-order-on-day-5
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x5a222e84ef6b89e1e4f56c47154721671c255bfe3f9259c2c0532e60722b96c8
|
0x3ec9a6fc156ff16ba51659e7099dd0f4fbfa8bf24ef1d759af5ec49b3679c901
|
Hurricanes vs. Islanders
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 25 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Carolina Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to “Hurricanes”.
If the New York Islanders win, the market will resolve to “Islanders”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-car-nyi-2025-01-25
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x3deac835c9bb1cee3ceec7a9bf8101c5ef9bacb551e619b642f14325f2273626
|
0x83db8ba7bbbae39dfb017f61c634f199579acb813e2dd6d81068ffefb59c1bae
|
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation on Mexican soil by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government, however an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
|
2025-04-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
us-anti-cartel-operation-in-mexico-before-may
|
[
"Politics",
"U.S. Politics",
"Trump 100 Days",
"Foreign Policy",
"Immigration/Border",
"First 100 days",
"World"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb3018d8c76aa45523729753ce14d25fedff1e1c9c10b93008cb264973122bb43
|
0x24ec36fdbed34de01a6899e1812cc0c0ddfdb9fb93f72aab592116fad8f49487
|
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before March?
|
Shortly after the enactment of the "Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship" executive order, a judge issued a temporary block preventing it from going into effect. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-judge-hear-states-bid-block-trump-birthright-citizenship-order-2025-01-23/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the block on the portion of this executive order that curtails automatic birthright citizenship is lifted by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
trumps-birthright-citizenship-ban-unblocked-before-march
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Immigration/Border"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x63975ac5732b09e9f14c184e455c77fa6f525c4b36f7ca41f1be825146c90105
|
0x2b632bc79681523248b39e150602bedb90d4b74f93046e41b881b97dad167b65
|
Will Andrew Tate tweet 240-259 times Jan 24-31?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@cobratate), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-andrew-tate-tweet-240-259-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Culture",
"Tweet Markets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe96f2123106bd2dc7ab16de76993fa39baec7efc5eeda724465ed00774bc807
|
0xaec4a3df2e041c1438e35d19da311f70e10b31542134f9e5f045028bcc9af6e7
|
Will Kansas State win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kansas-state-win-the-2025-womens-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5012af8918e71a95d854ffe8a4930d21857d8908b3e3cd9cfc9368340ffb170b
|
0x33bb019d25a8b826bb7d8d7d06ed3ed6ef5e9cf14db8d856dfe726c5aaa20601
|
Jets vs. Bruins
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 30 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Winnipeg Jets win, the market will resolve to “Jets”.
If the Boston Bruins win, the market will resolve to “Bruins”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-wpg-bos-2025-01-30
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d1d
|
0x99b83aca951fa7eda260b996259b695a3abba885eabf2fcb47c4273082464e11
|
Will Baylor win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-baylor-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf8d7232fa0851e455dca4a25712c9fa41fbfcd6d43d53dce0de5d21daf923de8
|
0x142db25ea35f08b0a8709480697621f611efd06d51ff6d255c3aaf5787b5c421
|
Penguins vs. Kraken
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 25 at 4:00PM ET:
If the Pittsburgh Penguins win, the market will resolve to “Penguins”.
If the Seattle Kraken win, the market will resolve to “Kraken”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-pit-sea-2025-01-25
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xf3f872a7a808442508636cf96c622ee6411ba5e8e00482af7c1f7cbab53ac605
|
0x36891b5f352c99f3231a24a21aaa8362f98f5992cf661d40910bfe6ee02b0e24
|
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 24-31?
|
Note: Lower options can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-24-31-lower-options
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-350-374-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbb7570f8cc7f14eb4aa9591378f3f238affe85b8ee9bc89db5761753f16ac600
|
0xc6d9d54ef3b7079eab885fa6b93fe3c9daf972058a0ce50f3918fe2cada2397a
|
Will Juventus beat Benfica?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Juventus and Benfica scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Juventus wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-juventus-beat-benfica
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Juventus",
"Benfica"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d1e
|
0x4c278be867168f3b2986c3f734a73e5ded69400368fb130cbe3174cbc400ef31
|
Will Oklahoma win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-oklahoma-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xcad8bdf56de3988703417205bfd01d84ded2080dca274517363ed186a88293fb
|
0xc0278fa94d088455a7d75187f9e27774e5bb33edb14af26143d23e117d633d8b
|
Will Trump list the Sinaloa Cartel as a terrorist organization before April?
|
On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed the executive order "Designating Cartels and Other Organizations as Foreign Terrorist Organizations and Specially Designated Global Terrorists," directing the U.S. government to assess and potentially designate certain cartels under these classifications. (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/designating-cartels-and-other-organizations-as-foreign-terrorist-organizations-and-specially-designated-global-terrorists/)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates the listed cartel as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT) by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be an official announcement from the U.S. State Department, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-list-the-sinaloa-cartel-as-a-terrorist-organization-before-april
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"gang",
"Foreign Policy",
"Immigration/Border"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x68f4d24a0d8ab8d8f1a0520e859127f5a846b71197e931d1d7c9d3104c645a05
|
0xb31803fb9a778b9f11d3607ab91248737f0ed26c388d112285064715aaef116a
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on January 24?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 24, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-55-56f-on-january-24
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x39cd75b9c079f7133f357053ef64b7b1df317e3419959996d90e061ef51f4806
|
0x92b96621e4bf8013aa87ac603218ea2220d61b1f5a0c5ad17794c31a42837869
|
Will Trump's approval rating be 58% or higher on January 31?
|
This market will resolve according to Donald Trump’s approval rating as reported by RealCelarPolitics (RCP) as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon).
The resolution source will be RCP's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the approval rating listed in the ‘APPROVE’ column for ‘RCP AVERAGE’. Changes in the methodology by which RCP calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve according to the value as of 12:00 PM ET noon on the listed date. If the RCP Average is unavailable at this time, the last listed value will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trumps-approval-rating-be-58-or-higher-on-january-31
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa4a4fb1b4e45b2847e35f99c8564e62abcf7950e4ca7c415dfee7fb53393ff01
|
0x0cbd409c993f876b449a05f91197eae14733daeff2f4f39d96122bec26fd3980
|
Will Bologna beat Sporting CP?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Sporting CP and Bologna scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Bologna wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-bologna-beat-sporting-cp
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Sporting CP",
"Bologna"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x5b8b12adf23e4be4ee958dadae15d6ab1bd39b95ac4018ba5922466fdce98e12
|
0x3dafbc946a4ce623ab70577b68caa254d65e597030f0ba1b8b4370f50878531d
|
Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill that has the effect of allowing Donald Trump to legally run for a third presidential term passes the US House by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-05-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
bill-allowing-trump-3rd-term-passes-house-before-june
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Congress",
"MAGA",
"third",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf3f872a7a808442508636cf96c622ee6411ba5e8e00482af7c1f7cbab53ac60d
|
0x0473ed0e14416da9440cce4d234710cc4fe1871c7aa40213fe5dc6aaf4a485d8
|
Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Jan 24-31?
|
Note: Lower options can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-24-31-lower-options
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-550-or-more-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x886d70def3f992921317d5bd769671de60a1d0bf321d21d69e777d832b5ced01
|
0xcb58acdc1505264e49e989ecde32262c0d3ea909cc7b8c6238476750ca80fb5a
|
Will Josh Allen win Super Bowl LIX MVP?
|
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Super Bowl LIX MVP Award.
If 2 or more players are announced as winners of the Super Bowl LIX MVP Award, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If Super Bowl LIX has not been completed or the MVP Award is not announced by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or there this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-josh-allen-win-super-bowl-lix-mvp
|
[
"Sports",
"Awards",
"NFL",
"Super Bowl",
"Super Bowl LIX",
"Super Bowl Props",
"Super Bowl Specials"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x74f3b772977cab5127d775f2f0f457a0df54a64e3764e0aa5b20d79a2d676ca5
|
0xcf62eb9cbe7482c6c8f366fcbca8ce3715060e3ae6ee337e3cfb472dd7a4240f
|
Sharks vs. Kraken
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 30 at 10:30PM ET:
If the San Jose Sharks win, the market will resolve to “Sharks”.
If the Seattle Kraken win, the market will resolve to “Kraken”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-sj-sea-2025-01-30
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d05
|
0x3d7da282ed811e58067cbce201d02339fbb2aa36eeb21ad466bbc9681a100765
|
Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-tennessee-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x32b0c0bea8b480f3ec64d6bf42f872041a1f7bd0aa03e6cbfb5c7e87fe4647fc
|
0x445e6e1e96571dde0a38b0a28d7132c4df7af6abac557de667597473277c3181
|
Penguins vs. Utah
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 29 at 9:30PM ET:
If the Pittsburgh Penguins win, the market will resolve to “Penguins”.
If the Utah win, the market will resolve to “Utah”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-pit-utah-2025-01-29
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x979198380b9e6681a6a2680974cd86ca1dd4ead095e0700194699792c6769a05
|
0x5c7169530a9b0c67d198f3d623b80fde4a1abc8f2e823b62a5d2cbf17d310037
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on January 25?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 25, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-47-48f-on-january-25
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x3d9b4f1c2544fd21fefd83a7811eff57a289f85a28afba1d2407feeab1f13905
|
0xfe4199dbdd3110ef46acb790228c7d24befa5ff59ff0ef75b8fe2730fc6fd596
|
Will the Eagles beat the Bills in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to exact outcome of Super Bowl LIX.
If Super Bowl LIX has not been completed by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-eagles-beat-the-bills-in-superbowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"bills",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"commanders",
"Superbowl",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x979198380b9e6681a6a2680974cd86ca1dd4ead095e0700194699792c6769a04
|
0xd9d95f678043feb0e37ce243563f0173b2c9e4b166fc3fb4a973059b9eb3a786
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on January 25?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 25, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-25T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-45-46f-on-january-25
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d31
|
0xc2673f60918fe572e2485f0c5bdc9e5ea8a992aeed2804d556122b45851bea02
|
Will Wisconsin win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-wisconsin-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6f1d39062acf4d0aba2ce65f48a0b0c4c2687de00547f1a38fa4ece67bb4c28f
|
0x4236d68003ebce2ca55d82c0eb959bf0da378da393c609fbb9fe928630b511b4
|
Flyers vs. Devils
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 29 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Philadelphia Flyers win, the market will resolve to “Flyers”.
If the New Jersey Devils win, the market will resolve to “Devils”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-phi-nj-2025-01-29
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d41
|
0x41ab23e6ee665d4a939c4a3c46be4e17737ad3bd1610fb38b42d987bdbb23154
|
Will Wofford win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-wofford-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3d9b4f1c2544fd21fefd83a7811eff57a289f85a28afba1d2407feeab1f13900
|
0xfff93d289ea6a004674c4153f29b175287754d18030d7d8eb90f6b7bee5d3c0f
|
Will the Chiefs beat the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve to exact outcome of Super Bowl LIX.
If Super Bowl LIX has not been completed by February 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-02-09T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-chiefs-beat-the-eagles-in-superbowl-lix
|
[
"Sports",
"bills",
"chiefs",
"eagles",
"commanders",
"Superbowl",
"Super Bowl Props"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x76cabfb84818a635fcf17f0921c7ab058c75720ab2a7688b730b28621eb80902
|
0xadad6bfbaef498559e94938739e79ad28aa6bb3cffdd3506b82fc0052d322c82
|
Will the Bills face the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX?
|
This market will resolve according to the teams that advance to Super Bowl LIX.
If the Super Bowl LIX matchup has not been confirmed by February 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-bills-face-the-eagles-in-super-bowl-lix
|
[
"NFL",
"Superbowl",
"Super Bowl LIX"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xfe96f2123106bd2dc7ab16de76993fa39baec7efc5eeda724465ed00774bc811
|
0x8c23bb9a6e433c8aca7b402bf223068b1d344665a73ac0fdea3461b229372b40
|
Will Iowa win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-iowa-win-the-2025-womens-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf3f872a7a808442508636cf96c622ee6411ba5e8e00482af7c1f7cbab53ac60a
|
0x0375a773e472787aa3a747c16ff83c0f34ec68fbacf3770282cbaa52cf87c69b
|
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Jan 24-31?
|
Note: Lower options can be found here: https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-january-24-31-lower-options
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X between January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-tweet-475-499-times-jan-24-31
|
[
"Elon Musk",
"Culture",
"Elon Tweets"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc8e9e0b321653578db1e1aae4a31efaf555838f8a915bcffd2d28c1fc32e6d19
|
0xef0c581597762038cc7930df63501d375a84c9376235ef388e8975d7d74c7ff6
|
Will Maryland win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
|
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2025 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
|
2025-04-07T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-maryland-win-the-2025-ncaa-tournament
|
[
"Sports",
"Basketball",
"March Madness",
"NCAA",
"CBB"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x63f6635e5d686795e921e1b5ad74779792b5b344dfd2431c0656b2e9ab698b01
|
0xd5f991861be925b30628257b847dfb35feb339a23a086fccc371bcd89635c92a
|
Will RB Leipzig beat Sturm Graz?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Sturm Graz and RB Leipzig scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If RB Leipzig wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-rb-leipzig-beat-sturm-graz
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"rb leipzig",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Sturm Graz"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x640323e6a3769cd522404f9620fa23057e596c1cfaec474a3633a8fe485b6102
|
0xa4286dc0e7517c25e351ed8d08ebef01bb48696694eda668d111e71cca66df55
|
Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and AC Milan end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Dinamo Zagreb and AC Milan scheduled for January 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond February 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
| null | true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-dinamo-zagreb-and-ac-milan-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"AC Milan",
"Dinamo Zagreb"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x59d8f2b681e79c7f8753e79b43d267c56de6c7b95227ae80a18cf6dfef2ce45d
|
0xde1f81d8ce6867fb0fd0dd45f52615eaf38d33ba894b5e1bb6cdfd03a382e7fb
|
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
|
German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Free Democratic Party (FDP, Freie Demokratische Partei) wins 5% or more of all party list votes in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
If voting in the next German parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
|
2025-02-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
fdp-wins-5-or-more-of-vote-in-german-election
|
[
"Politics",
"Global Elections",
"German Election",
"Free Democratic Party",
"Freie Demokratische Parte"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6b55a83b7b50f5498607328271ac293652d58773a42c85b9b1a0128aa9fca3c6
|
0xfd1a6049ebd48922214ea7b4466f7ee736e6dac0ca9aec39dc0d4df5d0213285
|
Kings vs. Panthers
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 29 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Los Angeles Kings win, the market will resolve to “Kings”.
If the Florida Panthers win, the market will resolve to “Panthers”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-06T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-lak-fla-2025-01-29
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x41ffebd83dfcab2d6d5d81adc0f2f812c4ad7eaefbe6647d3a2e1d1bf427502b
|
0xc92e2e960f0c7c8123df553b369209a9ac389533d82cb194d52e2ac9b56779c7
|
Will Trump list the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) as a terrorist organization before April?
|
On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed the executive order "Designating Cartels and Other Organizations as Foreign Terrorist Organizations and Specially Designated Global Terrorists," directing the U.S. government to assess and potentially designate certain cartels under these classifications. (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/designating-cartels-and-other-organizations-as-foreign-terrorist-organizations-and-specially-designated-global-terrorists/)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates the listed cartel as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT) by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be an official announcement from the U.S. State Department, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-list-the-jalisco-new-generation-cartel-cjng-as-a-terrorist-organization-before-april
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump 100 Days",
"gang",
"Foreign Policy",
"Immigration/Border"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x39cd75b9c079f7133f357053ef64b7b1df317e3419959996d90e061ef51f4803
|
0x93d672fe3a0552ee6cae4951eeb2f6a64ababf589d8678018a8f845e96821b42
|
Will Trump's approval rating be between 52% and 54% on January 31?
|
This market will resolve according to Donald Trump’s approval rating as reported by RealCelarPolitics (RCP) as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon).
The resolution source will be RCP's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the approval rating listed in the ‘APPROVE’ column for ‘RCP AVERAGE’. Changes in the methodology by which RCP calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve according to the value as of 12:00 PM ET noon on the listed date. If the RCP Average is unavailable at this time, the last listed value will be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trumps-approval-rating-be-between-52-and-54-on-january-31
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2698827a73929a682b561cc79e8b1a1f2611bc03a21eefa795ed29ad4b62885f
|
0x50f9d72793198ee767a2c2a03416d336702bdc337a2aa0473499249d57296ac6
|
Utah vs. Senators
|
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 26 at 5:00PM ET:
If the Utah win, the market will resolve to “Utah”.
If the Ottawa Senators win, the market will resolve to “Senators”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
|
2025-02-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
nhl-utah-ott-2025-01-26
|
[
"Sports",
"NHL",
"Games"
] | false
| null | null |
0x0283ba6c6993cce9f692cff8acfe84c62d84998c0825dbe630f4bc4c5e706bbd
|
0x506d11e833d0401face9a4ff65e34eedaeb78fe5494757dfc534848f94f5b1b4
|
archWill US gov sell Bitcoin before March?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government sells any of its Bitcoin by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-03-31T00:00:00Z
| false
| false
|
will-us-gov-sell-bitcoin-before-march
|
[
"Crypto",
"finance",
"Bitcoin",
"Economy"
] | false
| 0.06
| 0.94
|
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