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stringdate 2024-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-28 00:00:00
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xa8d9a86f52f7e5eda9dd5d664322d7bb76088ca4f96cbe6640f39e8eb5728600
|
0x75a8981659dc4efa2a2bdb4b3d31c5a5827500a2feb19f6a4cb3889893f1485c
|
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
oscars-best-picture-will-anora-win-best-picture-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xbd8ac42157fa81b2fab1013846b2515ed6197fa6f0b4e224a32af58527dd8f01
|
0x8af918c78262a3dbacd80d866f44b3dd31714ee1196658b99d7cb223f00cb49c
|
Will Juventus beat Club Brugge?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Club Brugge and Juventus scheduled for January 21, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Juventus wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-juventus-beat-club-brugge
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Juventus",
"Club Brugge"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0a68800835602e50f8ebd3c26b43949e9e74285e1df5ec54650ccb5e8ceb5ac6
|
0x98e6b920eca0d9489fc40fc887565f544ca4c47de77e761f568d17919fc83ff4
|
Australian Open: Zverev vs. Djokovic
|
Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic are scheduled to play each other in a semifinal matchup in the Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament on January 24, 2025.
This market will resolve to “Zverev” if Alexander Zverev advances against Novak Djokovic in the semifinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament.
This market will resolve to “Djokovic” if Novak Djokovic advances against Alexander Zverev in the semifinals of the Australian Open Men’s Singles tournament.
If the match ends in a tie, is canceled, or delayed beyond January 26, 2025, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/) including live footage, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
australian-open-zverev-vs-djokovic
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open",
"Games",
"Zverev",
"Djokovic"
] | false
| null | null |
0xbd8ac42157fa81b2fab1013846b2515ed6197fa6f0b4e224a32af58527dd8f02
|
0x2b886314b1994ecbd1c149cfdac87ca2bfa84652bf9e762eeb0aac4dabc872ed
|
Will the match between Club Brugge and Juventus end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Club Brugge and Juventus scheduled for January 21, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-club-brugge-and-juventus-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Juventus",
"Club Brugge"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x9341dfe705f8adaec711b2e09490a4ab6af3262abdf556a62aa0a9abc1d27600
|
0xf449c9d4e71c101bed9fd86cbbeac6042c5eece46b39f5df68c085451d9f5f26
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 25°F or below on January 23?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-25f-or-below-on-january-23-25
|
[
"Weather",
"climate"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2493908792ff0a4ecf5470ae9bd710fbd02e1544b16b51a1db673c9df51c043d
|
0xce93aba7f47db6c82770ae8e2844415c3a901134e0037cc0ad2f8bfaad8fa39a
|
Will Trump sue AOC before March?
|
On January 19, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez referred to President Donald Trump as a rapist (see: https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5095601-ocasio-cortez-skips-trump-inauguration/)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be statements from relevant courts, Donald Trump, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, or any of their legal representatives and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-sue-aoc-before-march
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"MAGA",
"Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez",
"Trump Presidency",
"Social Policy"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9b32ed937079925054a360e7265ebcb42ce59dfc3a9488d837230bf14bab3003
|
0x955842fcc16794030c4c8cd3c2b78268a1ea3bc00ce4a79f14c5d1c5dbec2090
|
Will Denzel Washington win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the actor who wins the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
oscars-best-supporting-actor-will-denzel-washington-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9b32ed937079925054a360e7265ebcb42ce59dfc3a9488d837230bf14bab3001
|
0x2267bf0dae9c9d10e36752b073de3f3ca2638d11eafb04d666fbebd43c3ac59b
|
Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the actor who wins the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
oscars-best-supporting-actor-will-kieran-culkin-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x5ddfd922298288647f550617546274b899e6f33fd9de7db030ff97293446158f
|
0xafa53eccade9b03e94e63923408cc562530c097f2ca285c8dc5c2fe7f1f839da
|
Will Isiah Pacheco score a Touchdown in the AFC Championship?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player scores one or more rushing or receiving touchdown in the 2024-25 AFC Championship game scheduled for January 26, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Passing, Special teams, and Defensive TDs will not count.
If this game is postponed after February 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-isiah-pacheco-score-a-touchdown-in-the-afc-championship
|
[
"Sports",
"bills",
"chiefs",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x822788996f0be2f17ce001d3885c022dc6eda3a7837da92da25adbeea8f6fa00
|
0x640c5e024c631fb7da6fc7bb243e83c15128b95efd7fa2715648309edbcd0072
|
Will Everton win on 2025-02-01?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for February 1 at 10:00AM ET,
If Everton wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Everton loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-eve-lei-2025-02-01-eve
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xa8d9a86f52f7e5eda9dd5d664322d7bb76088ca4f96cbe6640f39e8eb5728608
|
0x5cc16bf2966232894ef5bbbc7dda24e98fdae7197fd1552376facb7494e759df
|
Will "Sing Sing" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
oscars-best-picture-will-sing-sing-win-best-picture-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x1771b2c8bd3e7290b30c3c52fef599cacabad5c0eccc8d299680efa60d410201
|
0x4d70da23b05c4380a1c096c4763c063e16f4f475ae99667e2247087a6f897416
|
Will FC Midtjylland beat Ludogorets?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between Ludogorets and FC Midtjylland scheduled for January 23, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If FC Midtjylland wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-fc-midtjylland-beat-ludogorets
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Ludogorets",
"FC Midtjylland"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xd075eefb307b16b884039a296aee90a7107879808867b8ad3fe5a251508b4f8e
|
0x9645a29e64ce8d9612cf700b1dd7a3ca1ad10d6f60c99fe4edc3670844cd02e2
|
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Elon Musk has resigned or will resign as head/co-head of the of the Department of Governmental Efficiency (DOGE), or otherwise ceases to be head of the of the Department of Governmental Efficiency (DOGE) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of Musk's resignation or removal before the resolution date, made by DOGE, Elon Musk, or the Trump Administration will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source will be official information from DOGE, Elon Musk, or the Trump Administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-12-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
elon-musk-out-as-head-of-doge-in-2025
|
[
"Politics",
"Elon Musk",
"DOGE",
"Trump Presidency",
"2025 Predictions"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xc38de62f623d3a6752dc2c4bd8cdf30a06ab8c9c7ee09e28b827e3572460a202
|
0xca628505210c3554d0ec526b6c7039a8080cb06d1029008139ee64e4e339def6
|
Will Trump issue 150-199 executive orders in first week?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of executive orders Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between January 20 and January 27, 2025.
The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates between January 20-27, (inclusive) will count for this market.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
how-many-executive-orders-will-trump-issue-in-his-first-week-continued-will-trump-issue-150-199-executive-orders-in-first-week
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x15804673d8068ca88af283c89c250b3baa2aa06b5280883a9f4d7c6bece8a802
|
0x2a9a6f9c3dc3aeb8ec0e67ebf580dd06c397601beb8c27e41a6db8037e2fa823
|
Will the match between Paris Saint-Germain and Manchester City end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Paris Saint-Germain and Manchester City scheduled for January 22, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-paris-saint-germain-and-manchester-city-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Manchester City",
"Paris Saint-Germain"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf85396d18a45ee6d3521dbd0c0006da92a0f4d1a6396fe0500a5ae4827a2ec01
|
0x34576cd266c5e48682933a05f40d33d6e620a6d071cdc22070061e214e62e333
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 17-18°F on January 22?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 22, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-jan-22-will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-17-18f-on-january-22
|
[
"Science",
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9793fb545abad7e32e87d8564a44b878e157fac225c074ba4852c068e2377902
|
0xb535ab8d28a79a78f2a643f0568179fc4a88f6b049af6840848650daa2e20bff
|
Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted by the Broncos?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ashton Jeanty is selected by the Denver Broncos in the 2025 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source will be the official live broadcast of the NFL Draft, scheduled for April 24, 2025.
|
2025-04-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ashton-jeanty-get-drafted-by-the-broncos
|
[
"Sports",
"NFL",
"NFL Draft",
"Ashton Jeanty"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa8d9a86f52f7e5eda9dd5d664322d7bb76088ca4f96cbe6640f39e8eb5728602
|
0x4fcec6c3654c545c23b12f1d5e0b9235a5aeebb03907987b9608cf6b63d909bc
|
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
oscars-best-picture-will-a-complete-unknown-win-best-picture-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8fa1c0ad1672823c896e5161a65f0d78dbcf55b4374cad1f460b86070c895002
|
0xda76a179faf071ebbb1615a5c0a35123b17d1184ce66ab7feb876c33f5863c8a
|
Will the match between FC Porto and Olympiacos end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between FC Porto and Olympiacos scheduled for January 23, 2025, 12:45 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-fc-porto-and-olympiacos-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"porto",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Olympiacos"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9e771b658ebaa1a12622bc07f8d36eb34b77a75b28c1b0872de533eff8ba2e6c
|
0x29205f7b740c1b10d984a56af9cfa8fa2072cc923f8ce9358126bd623ec968f2
|
Will Marquise Brown score a Touchdown in the AFC Championship?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player scores one or more rushing or receiving touchdown in the 2024-25 AFC Championship game scheduled for January 26, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Passing, Special teams, and Defensive TDs will not count.
If this game is postponed after February 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-marquise-brown-score-a-touchdown-in-the-afc-championship
|
[
"Sports",
"bills",
"chiefs",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa0f50f0ca2f44cca7b2593f8f5328b9eccf1be3cec230561345d0d1ad8d76bd2
|
0x8b4ebdff6d16444de991509cbb3d600565b7d83a9738c7a836a70d9f306c2f81
|
Will Trump say "Altman" during the announcement?
|
Donald Trump is scheduled to speak with press on January 21, 4:00 PM ET (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-make-massive-infrastructure-announcement-white-house-says-2025-01-21/). This market refers to anything Trump says during this scheduled event, including any prepared remarks and/or Q&A.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Altman" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Altman" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Sam Altman.
If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 22, ET, this market will resolve to "No".
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-altman-during-the-announcement
|
[
"Politics",
"Mentions",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x99ab0ad16810fb156f4d6410e53416456395174e9d398a7472d3fb42ac816116
|
0xedb89bdf577e3b6e725cd2e288ca0657611eadbefbe16b2364597d77cb812915
|
Will Brian Robinson Jr. score a Touchdown in the NFC Championship?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player scores one or more rushing or receiving touchdown in the 2024-25 NFC Championship game scheduled for January 26, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Passing, Special teams, and Defensive TDs will not count.
If this game is postponed after February 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-brian-robinson-jr-score-a-touchdown-in-the-nfc-championship
|
[
"Sports",
"commanders",
"NFL",
"Games",
"props",
"ATTD"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xaf0a61befe58ad538859d7ca27c05c9ae1c3e809643b17b113eb103cef25d6cc
|
0x2ec83f1dc75b8a440ee45b53d95af45474c4973cc8ec90d0773205518e3d29bf
|
TikTok on App Store again before March?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the TikTok iOS app is available for download on the US Apple App Store between Jan 22, and February 28, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the app is inaccessible due to technical issues with the App Store itself, it will still be considered available for download.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Apple and the Apple App Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
tiktok-on-app-store-again-before-march
|
[
"Politics",
"Business",
"TikTok",
"Tech",
"Trump 100 Days"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xdaae5d4fc2def00ab55103b74ced429588c20efbf629b0094f8a2ed871113106
|
0xd3c6f323bab5e0b06f1d371ca3f3d1680193d95132a1c75ef9056b8ec9e24bdd
|
Will POTUS tweet 40-44 times Jan 22-29?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between January 22, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 29, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-potus-tweet-40-44-times-jan-22-29
|
[
"Politics",
"Tweet Markets",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x04554d3245332f366152bd01950492145dfa66ec1669e21ad47381884324cd00
|
0x4521400689a108ec940e518a2671e2fb3bd1c2cdb6be1f263d4fec0567783b10
|
Will AC Milan beat Girona?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between AC Milan and Girona scheduled for January 22, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If AC Milan wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ac-milan-beat-girona
|
[
"Sports",
"girona",
"Games",
"AC Milan"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xfdca3089aab936f1afe68ba5e62321de9ce2dab4e8736a426321d24f1ad3c800
|
0xec0cab826fd3c44f6345aa80f3464c0b1fa5d0abbe08eaa378f33d7e39ff179e
|
Will Frankfurt beat Ferencvaros?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Ferencvaros scheduled for January 23, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Eintracht Frankfurt wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-frankfurt-beat-ferencvaros
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Frankfurt",
"Ferencvaros"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x722162bd06e881977592a233c2b36fb706af1057f8314e8de722a2c16f0f04c9
|
0xb433f38bcedd3c120ec7c2049407e32f63aeaab3e56e396ddba25c56b84d51bb
|
Will Trump say "DOGE" during Fox News Oval Office interview?
|
Fox News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump from the Oval Office on Wednesday, January 22, at 9 p.m. ET (see: https://www.foxnews.com/media/fox-news-sean-hannity-interview-president-trump-from-oval-office)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "DOGE" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "DOGE" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to either the Department of Government Efficiency, or Dogecoin.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the video of the interview.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-doge-during-fox-news-oval-office-interview
|
[
"Politics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xb429b7ab6dd66ffc4fa351c446944eac7a303796ee758daece1788e8a1622d01
|
0xd249cbadb1bdab07f0466e307dc9493428c3540e8bc2c4408e3138390603d8ac
|
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Bologna?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Bologna and Borussia Dortmund scheduled for January 21, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Borussia Dortmund wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-borussia-dortmund-beat-bologna
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Borussia Dortmund",
"Bologna"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xbce4c8e26a1076565c10c4f5c64d9998cf05eb2600435cd09db301d6054b7000
|
0x474bd9b38ba3c0f293eedab0fe05f3489c55184f448d0dee61df693674489266
|
Will Adrien Brody win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the actor who wins the Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
oscars-best-actor-will-adrien-brody-win-best-actor-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xf85396d18a45ee6d3521dbd0c0006da92a0f4d1a6396fe0500a5ae4827a2ec06
|
0x1b9fad812fea5f5788a86299b0d0e9705b54787f29312e0844773f29c815066e
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 27°F or higher on January 22?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 22, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
highest-temperature-in-nyc-on-jan-22-will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-27f-or-higher-on-january-22
|
[
"Science",
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x85ea4be337dd84bd217fa0ef424441eccc9efd264c0db9dbf753c8c5fb00551f
|
0x25509cc8fa699caf1963914fbd4d035594a3e5ad423c3104fa3c5de48d243df1
|
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Fox News Oval Office interview?
|
Fox News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump from the Oval Office on Wednesday, January 22, at 9 p.m. ET (see: https://www.foxnews.com/media/fox-news-sean-hannity-interview-president-trump-from-oval-office)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Greenland" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Greenland" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the island which is currently administered by Denmark.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the video of the interview.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-greenland-during-fox-news-oval-office-interview
|
[
"Politics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf9a276ce8978d4b4f1ae6b0e91d7b2d369ca1df4423a4b8e5027c8dddf8d7f03
|
0x434f2337e189291ecd3ec3b659382af59c91cd9474f86cc8d57e05dccc1268f6
|
Will Donald Trump tweet 6-7 times Jan 20-27?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on X between January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 27, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| false
| false
|
how-many-times-will-trump-tweet-in-1st-week-will-donald-trump-tweet-6-7-times-jan-20-27
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Tweet Markets",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0.17
| 0.83
|
0x49425deb8143d8bcbd545263563771b947186d64f541f3c7ee32f4d3cf26a601
|
0xfc7a6b8d488cb8415b4528cec97931133a27c95a912bc60cb348bedcb108c241
|
Will Stade Brestois beat Shakhtar Donetsk?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Stade Brestois scheduled for January 22, 2025, 12:45 PM ET.
If Stade Brestois wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-stade-brestois-beat-shakhtar-donetsk
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Stade Brestois",
"Shakhtar Donetsk"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe3e171df662e41d4bc856876cd49cee8ed318ee9155a1b0d889ee270a45ab413
|
0x73f6542842b6934710ff588c23e470ef8376d681ede92c543041e3ec52a07092
|
Will SOL flip ETH before May?
|
This is a market on whether the market capitalization of Solana (SOL) will surpass that of Ethereum (ETH) within this market's timeframe, according to CoinGecko. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum respectively.
This market's timeframe spans from January 22, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, to April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at any point within this market's timeframe SOL has a greater market cap than ETH according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data through May 1, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
|
2025-04-30T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-sol-flip-eth-before-may
|
[
"Crypto",
"Ethereum",
"Solana",
"Crypto Prices"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe2f6c88c77aa55c0dc21f757b5efa8415d34658fc0e20e492b22be11eba8a001
|
0x8407ea19f9b4bdb1a1fb1d4b81218e4e8e0d6eabcf8729a98ad67576bdf5ef25
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 30-31°F on January 24?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 24, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-24T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-30-31f-on-january-24
|
[
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x32305235d6c6b17ef11f1d1e567f4f0da19b12e46b76db4c528ab72d50f90f06
|
0xaebf95fc7749b2cf0f2863a62b58b99535699e7a98fc9ef7cadd829f081caa93
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 54°F or higher on January 23?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-54f-or-higher-on-january-23
|
[
"Weather",
"climate"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf83f3060bfa0843bd3b003e7b0e59aad68427ca537a88795393a33c5effd5a16
|
0x698eff40b7d4a15a99e47eff131ea6b204587122c19dd3f175ecad0e3ba96a91
|
Will A.J. Brown score a Touchdown in the NFC Championship?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player scores one or more rushing or receiving touchdown in the 2024-25 NFC Championship game scheduled for January 26, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Passing, Special teams, and Defensive TDs will not count.
If this game is postponed after February 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-aj-brown-score-a-touchdown-in-the-nfc-championship
|
[
"Sports",
"commanders",
"NFL",
"Games",
"props",
"ATTD"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x5139890b51917b58dd62bd76602c96d7526857b150b3f4c9d6c916dd761a8dae
|
0x3416f6e7da8504672a287451488f488e5376c0d2b22c07a6b15f36475cbbda50
|
Will Austin Ekeler score a Touchdown in the NFC Championship?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player scores one or more rushing or receiving touchdown in the 2024-25 NFC Championship game scheduled for January 26, 2025, 3:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Passing, Special teams, and Defensive TDs will not count.
If this game is postponed after February 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-austin-ekeler-score-a-touchdown-in-the-nfc-championship
|
[
"Sports",
"commanders",
"NFL",
"Games",
"props",
"ATTD"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9341dfe705f8adaec711b2e09490a4ab6af3262abdf556a62aa0a9abc1d27604
|
0xdf7fb2727c73e5107985679844619618090fe543966b5e6665e31ea6cd8bdee3
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 32-33°F on January 23?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-32-33f-on-january-23-25
|
[
"Weather",
"climate"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf8a61540b93ce13369d9f017a06aa7d3081a13b10cf597fedfaf6cbeb90014da
|
0x61bd58ea8e8462c8c7b0b66906dc88b71b8b4a296be07ec9376f7c65ab5c50a1
|
Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?
|
On January 20, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled "Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship," which establishes a new definition for birthright citizenship as implemented by the 14th amendment. You can read that executive order here: https://whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/protecting-the-meaning-and-value-of-american-citizenship/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled "Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship" in any part of the United States by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks the implementation of this executive order will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
birthright-citizenship-ban-blocked-in-january
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Executive Orders"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x73b83aa55f51b626e2f5b17e2718ae3597b888a511f2e0c70b715501d1af6459
|
0xd5d3f9c99af44cd3ff8daaa51a9af49e7dacdd42a88d5beb0cf01a8b4eba4725
|
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in his first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Stone receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Roger Stone is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-pardon-roger-stone-in-his-first-100-days
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Campaign Promises",
"Trump 100 Days",
"First 100 days",
"Sam Bankman"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x15804673d8068ca88af283c89c250b3baa2aa06b5280883a9f4d7c6bece8a801
|
0xb0c561798cf9e43792baa231a4246d99880b6facb6621fed108b6a8a56e164df
|
Will Manchester City beat Paris Saint-Germain?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Paris Saint-Germain and Manchester City scheduled for January 22, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Manchester City wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-manchester-city-beat-paris-saint-germain
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Manchester City",
"Paris Saint-Germain"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa43aea02a47d348d6bf447e20320c166567d50448b0972c0b044c4d2e4ee3e03
|
0xf4225aa419cdfd4aa99ff64114eb8545200cd5b6e0c8050f52c7d01950b0f399
|
Will Kareem Hunt score a Touchdown in the AFC Championship?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player scores one or more rushing or receiving touchdown in the 2024-25 AFC Championship game scheduled for January 26, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Passing, Special teams, and Defensive TDs will not count.
If this game is postponed after February 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-kareem-hunt-score-a-touchdown-in-the-afc-championship
|
[
"Sports",
"bills",
"chiefs",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xf89d5d1e39d222d68c7c1b4eb029e0dc87380b693e10774082e8ca6bc169ba39
|
0x5076aadc143875fa8434d26eb6335234b7cf29d7aa8ade49b1b5f06822d978b4
|
Will Trump say "Barron" during Fox News Oval Office interview?
|
Fox News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump from the Oval Office on Wednesday, January 22, at 9 p.m. ET (see: https://www.foxnews.com/media/fox-news-sean-hannity-interview-president-trump-from-oval-office)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Barron" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Barron" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Barron Trump.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the video of the interview.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-barron-during-fox-news-oval-office-interview
|
[
"Politics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd4c53da9d32f1dbbf9115f137affa0ec2b1edf5ae3cf495e3fdf1297b5985a20
|
0xbe37a3cb4f113fa049887e79938d238f01015e7fa107ce796eccfd35f6ed12fe
|
Will Trump say "reserve" during Fox News Oval Office interview?
|
Fox News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump from the Oval Office on Wednesday, January 22, at 9 p.m. ET (see: https://www.foxnews.com/media/fox-news-sean-hannity-interview-president-trump-from-oval-office)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "reserve" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "reserve" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a supply of a commodity or asset.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the video of the interview.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-reserve-during-fox-news-oval-office-interview
|
[
"Politics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2f6ae77ff15de81dab39b2c1f3a32c3970e399cf21d56c2196f44c8995a4f206
|
0x92be7ddfe1468f4f8e7f3538f359549aaf5f19568b129c9a27831e0de384bd11
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 46°F or higher on January 22?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 22, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
highest-temperature-in-london-on-jan-22-will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-46f-or-higher-on-january-22
|
[
"Science",
"Weather"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe386ad6b5606964b20091a0582b5990055a82264f602c9b4c16895a545743b05
|
0x704efbb483906aac2e30fe0250d2c944cc8da99ed326a2488f397ebd3bf503ba
|
Will Elon Musk's net worth be $450B or more on January 31?
|
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/ is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
|
2025-01-31T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-elon-musks-net-worth-be-450b-or-more-on-january-31
|
[
"Business",
"Elon Musk",
"Tech"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9341dfe705f8adaec711b2e09490a4ab6af3262abdf556a62aa0a9abc1d27601
|
0xf3b1147cd80306abfbe916d54e4c064dbf44c23881507cde6e4487852b22db28
|
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 26-27°F on January 23?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-26-27f-on-january-23-25
|
[
"Weather",
"climate"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa02ef80369eaea42425e2f6d8a056dc1b9edb995e60fd86e666019f55d1a46bd
|
0x014805048b937896d4c9fcbe79f477f169907b01a2abad21f1294de2add64e1c
|
Will Trump say "Border" 5 or more times during Fox News Oval Office interview?
|
Fox News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump from the Oval Office on Wednesday, January 22, at 9 p.m. ET (see: https://www.foxnews.com/media/fox-news-sean-hannity-interview-president-trump-from-oval-office)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 5 or more times during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the video of the interview.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-border-5-or-more-times-during-fox-news-oval-office-interview
|
[
"Politics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x63a5f07e0f704f58b6cb9cab4ee461b29ce85e2422f749c7ad0a3d9418465cea
|
0xa54005f8dd1e1a3402d1f83f6c53554dd20dc4e84345634a69c6b29233562219
|
Will Trump say "Texas" during the announcement?
|
Donald Trump is scheduled to speak with press on January 21, 4:00 PM ET (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-make-massive-infrastructure-announcement-white-house-says-2025-01-21/). This market refers to anything Trump says during this scheduled event, including any prepared remarks and/or Q&A.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Texas" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Texas" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the U.S. state.
If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 22, ET, this market will resolve to "No".
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-texas-during-the-announcement
|
[
"Politics",
"Mentions",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf69852162ea7eafdd647660b0c84a07071af67a66087888333fb54f666164f98
|
0x140d82629dcd20405c9e413091efd4f7eef0acfe7146b04c5f54241f3df101d4
|
Will Ray Davis score a Touchdown in the AFC Championship?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player scores one or more rushing or receiving touchdown in the 2024-25 AFC Championship game scheduled for January 26, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Passing, Special teams, and Defensive TDs will not count.
If this game is postponed after February 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-ray-davis-score-a-touchdown-in-the-afc-championship
|
[
"Sports",
"bills",
"chiefs",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6795bba3805364eb09a6b1dfb6837831d6956e0fa92a50e97f10ff30524dc400
|
0xb0fc3e83ca8d292e0a182a78d838a1417e0c41fcae8e5f50c8d82a77b9d0d24f
|
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for February 3 at 3:00PM ET,
If Chelsea wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Chelsea loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-02-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-che-wes-2025-02-03-che
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x8dcdf762fe5ce80404f945e8ce0fb8c67b4e164b83576b1b977ed0a5891fdd02
|
0x385c90973583bfe867705aff2b6e3eca572addcab880af9c8d95b75a7d2d4c4e
|
Will "Here We Go (Uh Oh)" by Coco Jones win Best R&B Song?
|
The 67th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between September 16, 2023, to August 30, 2024. It is scheduled to take place at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on February 2, 2025. The nominations were announced on November 8, 2024.
This market will resolve according to the song which wins the Grammy for Best R&B Song at the 67th GRAMMYs Awards Show.
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song which comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.
|
2025-02-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
grammys-best-rb-song-will-here-we-go-uh-oh-by-coco-jones-win-best-rb-song
|
[
"Music",
"Culture",
"Grammys"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x4215f7e9cbbafba06d5b46a9445e1c2333480a041ad94654923c03266430a21b
|
0x0af2a16064fc585039af7ec4fc3c9856488308c3ead260b4a235330fe7719340
|
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during the announcement?
|
Donald Trump is scheduled to speak with press on January 21, 4:00 PM ET (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-make-massive-infrastructure-announcement-white-house-says-2025-01-21/). This market refers to anything Trump says during this scheduled event, including any prepared remarks and/or Q&A.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "drill baby drill" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 22, ET, this market will resolve to "No".
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-drill-baby-drill-during-the-announcement
|
[
"Politics",
"Mentions",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x2727f0efc1b522743fe84ec0d8aceba7b6bd967918af6c26ac273c8c288ef701
|
0x77f8e2823408bf7e3a06dc7d6c9f4215a16bfcc6c0d0455c4047eca9084d5a0b
|
Will Maccabi TLV beat Bodo Glimt?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between Bodo Glimt and Maccabi TLV scheduled for January 23, 2025, 12:45 PM ET.
If Maccabi TLV wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-maccabi-tlv-beat-bodo-glimt
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Bodo Glimt",
"Maccabi TLV"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xc84580af4e3250cbd1fe7ce15e98fa92b528024decfd12fe0819b20e5e156d01
|
0xdbef69510350b710a71c19dfc2c05a339eec504050ebafeb97754eec37537983
|
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton end in a draw?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for February 1 at 7:30AM ET,
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-not-bri-2025-02-01-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x16f37f8aaf7d7d8affba68ce2f5736974cb8e182331ae64caacb080fdd6d5404
|
0xb6ef4ee16da2e6530b1e4000302fb15fc915a1ef898c5677eee563cbf58f8e3e
|
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?
|
On January 22, Donald Trump published a post on Truth Social, stating that Putin should make a deal to end the war in Ukraine, or the United States would impose new sanctions on Russia. You can read that post here: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/113872782548137314
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between January 21 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if those sanctions do not come into effect until after this market's resolution date (e.g. https://www.state.gov/division-for-counter-threat-finance-and-sanctions/ukraine-and-russia-sanctions).
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-sanction-russia
|
[
"Politics",
"russia",
"Trump",
"putin",
"Geopolitics",
"Trump Presidency"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x9b32ed937079925054a360e7265ebcb42ce59dfc3a9488d837230bf14bab3008
|
0x1c98421ccf339694ec2eb2e277361126e850e97bfda11fc262a898f4ea242467
|
Will Yura Borisov win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the actor who wins the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-yura-borisov-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa8d9a86f52f7e5eda9dd5d664322d7bb76088ca4f96cbe6640f39e8eb572860c
|
0xb07802d4f843a84efb2d44334afb8f1b512e03b3372333cc0d91b1cb630a5ca2
|
Will "September" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
oscars-best-picture-will-september-win-best-picture-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdaae5d4fc2def00ab55103b74ced429588c20efbf629b0094f8a2ed871113109
|
0x5b5eb083d4ff1ae9cccb1fdd3a9bbe9891ecf377924a55e17df59e1300b35b7f
|
Will POTUS tweet 35-39 times Jan 22-29?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between January 22, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 29, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-potus-tweet-35-39-times-jan-22-29
|
[
"Politics",
"Tweet Markets",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x3f58d76477c8f46d2280020a31eebaa1e7b8b8172ad736e4a3fcd78d827a6002
|
0x9b0c0a7308731fdf647badfbb5d7abac9ca81de3890a27abc40212cc17e80640
|
Will the match between Qarabag and FCSB end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between Qarabag and FCSB scheduled for January 23, 2025, 12:45 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-qarabag-and-fcsb-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Qarabag",
"FCSB",
"FK Qarabag"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x0cc683147f61d1849f87c4de479100f9c11ab98793ecd2196d9967f0abcd4d01
|
0xa55c0e5927de8c1b8804d1fb8b9bff12aa2c59cbb7c2adfcbdee588a45ea4dd0
|
Will "Flight Risk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $7m and $10m?
|
This market will resolve according to how much “Flight Risk”' (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Flight-Risk-(2025)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (January 24 - 26) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by February 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
flight-risk-opening-weekend-box-office-will-flight-risk-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-7m-and-10m
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x17f13dcf4e5d34848e85e3091ae78f2ec39ae877556edc24bcab307be2166703
|
0x36372e72a96ab95b20cd190626aaea27aa9fee07bd21abaa8468020eb7bbf3ee
|
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?
|
This market will resolve according to how much “Dog Man” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Dog-Man(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (January 31 - February 2) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by February 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
|
2025-02-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-dog-man-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-35-40m
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x76a65bfe6171684173cfed64b7b43a6a5757e14368b9724ab3b8b944bb8ae405
|
0xdda0df5cd2a75c4e24a0b6dea6bc9aa60bfd987632c61f9eeb367b6acf10bfaa
|
arcWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 44-45°F on January 23?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| false
| false
|
arcwill-the-highest-temperature-in-nyc-be-between-44-45f-on-january-23
|
[
"Weather",
"climate"
] | false
| 0.5
| 0.5
|
0x1771b2c8bd3e7290b30c3c52fef599cacabad5c0eccc8d299680efa60d410202
|
0xe67f0c00161dd90de1ed23eb95d93f7446b39e429a578625012c33688f87b284
|
Will the match between Ludogorets and FC Midtjylland end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between Ludogorets and FC Midtjylland scheduled for January 23, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-ludogorets-and-fc-midtjylland-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Ludogorets",
"FC Midtjylland"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdd240c28ae38aa4ae83bbf1bf13d098765a2235614ada97bfcf00cc664669800
|
0xdbc38b9ce8ca57c0f5665fa35c6bdd0f08db8ad590ff9b49271b9b682a81975d
|
Will RB Leipzig beat Sporting CP?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between RB Leipzig and Sporting CP scheduled for January 22, 2025, 12:45 PM ET.
If RB Leipzig wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-rb-leipzig-beat-sporting-cp
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"rb leipzig",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Sporting CP"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x32305235d6c6b17ef11f1d1e567f4f0da19b12e46b76db4c528ab72d50f90f00
|
0x21d54f4554228b4f4988ca569e3f4b10785dc46411039e895b6f8c42da1539e5
|
Will the highest temperature in London be 43°F or below on January 23?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-43f-or-below-on-january-23
|
[
"Weather",
"climate"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xade0c6b5de5993e9c57a0843e6f4082f2351f5f2a8dc193aebab1a8542c0f701
|
0xc4ca118e2a198f198b9209ada099a408f08779b5a317fd8ff3930421fdb5094f
|
Will Stuttgart beat Slovan Bratislava?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Slovan Bratislava and VfB Stuttgart scheduled for January 21, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If VfB Stuttgart wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-stuttgart-beat-slovan-bratislava
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Slovan Bratislava",
"Stuttgart"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xa8d9a86f52f7e5eda9dd5d664322d7bb76088ca4f96cbe6640f39e8eb572860e
|
0x4278b4ae82832f01f735a8fa14c4febdb208fd9a5190a9143ca07e52ca684a2f
|
Will "The Substance" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-substance-win-best-picture-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd81e9f2289e4d7fd16e43ddbc41ddfbf8647c8363f6a25028a0b4d5c88106f01
|
0x837d4dd0a296710c7b1ff6174d2cc608bc0f9d4b0913501a831135eedfb00800
|
Will Karla Sofía Gascón win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the actress who wins the Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
oscars-best-actress-will-karla-sofa-gascn-win-best-actress-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf1fce004a889757fcda99e23935bff68fad81b2b535b2cc306a52ce971fd1801
|
0x18f74f81efddc1d49a73b2af158ff387b0b73c18cb3e979f4bbc6911547e8b2f
|
Will Young Boys beat Celtic?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Celtic and Young Boys scheduled for January 22, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Young Boys wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-young-boys-beat-celtic
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Celtic",
"Young Boys"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x04554d3245332f366152bd01950492145dfa66ec1669e21ad47381884324cd01
|
0xe55d3081baad840dea2aaf39dd1620c78c3079ec00dfd1c6bbe897bc845fcd7e
|
Will Girona beat AC Milan?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between AC Milan and Girona scheduled for January 22, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Girona wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-girona-beat-ac-milan
|
[
"Sports",
"girona",
"Games",
"AC Milan"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8fa1c0ad1672823c896e5161a65f0d78dbcf55b4374cad1f460b86070c895001
|
0xadca1d108e2454632f356209894d20e3fa90e32563514cca463864417d0fb7d5
|
Will Olympiacos beat FC Porto?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between FC Porto and Olympiacos scheduled for January 23, 2025, 12:45 PM ET.
If Olympiacos wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-olympiacos-beat-fc-porto
|
[
"Sports",
"porto",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Olympiacos"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x891ac146e35aa7e2544693afdea92e264a191488b381b7261ec4dd123d9bcb1b
|
0xbceac568cd4fb0027f35bf5ceceffe2e7169a88079d8b689bbab9c547a2d704d
|
Will Noah Gray score a Touchdown in the AFC Championship?
|
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player scores one or more rushing or receiving touchdown in the 2024-25 AFC Championship game scheduled for January 26, 2025, 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Passing, Special teams, and Defensive TDs will not count.
If this game is postponed after February 2, 2025 (11:59 PM ET) or canceled, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.
|
2025-01-26T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-noah-gray-score-a-touchdown-in-the-afc-championship
|
[
"Sports",
"bills",
"chiefs",
"NFL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x17f13dcf4e5d34848e85e3091ae78f2ec39ae877556edc24bcab307be2166702
|
0xdd9d39a810ff12ef6612991558234cb8050878a5eb8740386de6f89118f86acd
|
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $30-35m?
|
This market will resolve according to how much “Dog Man” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Dog-Man(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (January 31 - February 2) are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by February 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
|
2025-02-03T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-dog-man-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-30-35m
|
[
"Movies",
"Culture"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x508942f29b39a677e4471a393783a4687ad5685f4014016c82a5a57f55e47b10
|
0xad9aa56affb48d6cbc056a41a25f0c51bbf89a4823a9fcdffe542542d06e2b1c
|
Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada before March?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on Canada by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
|
2025-02-28T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-impose-tariffs-on-canada-before-march
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Canada",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x0f2c4f61934529dfd04f61dcb65dc9adcbfa9924f27919578c8fe851769c8501
|
0x85983b3903e7d7db133195ee7d2cec2fc867b1999ca38b16cc212ec5192f1026
|
Will Dinamo Zagreb beat Arsenal?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Arsenal and Dinamo Zagreb scheduled for January 22, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Dinamo Zagreb wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-dinamo-zagreb-beat-arsenal
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"arsenal",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Dinamo Zagreb"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xe454f02d439661fd7f0231c7fdcfb5c526dd5ce206a5b695a8fd2229b9f4fc89
|
0x6e7e38997e252198e5601295bdd979347676ada99d9616fe096ce7dcc5f5890b
|
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?
|
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rudy Giuliani receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether Rudy Giuliani is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
|
2025-04-29T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-pardon-rudy-giuliani-in-his-first-100-days
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"U.S. Politics",
"Trump Presidency",
"Campaign Promises",
"Trump 100 Days",
"First 100 days",
"Sam Bankman"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8d49341c6a643ebc4812e61eb53538ffb8b26e2b963ee4b9efca8315a6077001
|
0x08634004abbe5c3bf0c8cf7196446840140a3361365f026fae82436828dd928f
|
Will Nice beat IF Elfsborg?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between IF Elfsborg and Nice scheduled for January 23, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Nice wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-nice-beat-if-elfsborg
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"IF Elfsborg",
"Nice"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xd81e9f2289e4d7fd16e43ddbc41ddfbf8647c8363f6a25028a0b4d5c88106f02
|
0x7b551fa8644eeec08deba27c1e5af9e708650481b86cf2787c10d4ea53098a42
|
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the actress who wins the Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
oscars-best-actress-will-mikey-madison-win-best-actress-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xb4504f92b01abe933b448d5d6b282e0ff66ade21b1d0abd558cdb6188051eb00
|
0xfb212658ad3c636900201da1f513e76cd74baecb4c448d467bda8241d8743a51
|
Will PAOK beat Slavia Praha?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between PAOK Salonika and Slavia Praha scheduled for January 23, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If PAOK Salonika wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-paok-beat-slavia-praha
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"PAOK",
"Slavia Praha"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x65d4e91dca031619cc4e9b30022da7c2d999a36a745861ab9048774e64a8f601
|
0x1e46f57ec768c766710b8340246a2892235b9832eab8bc8804387a1e33e5f357
|
Will Anderlecht beat Viktoria Plzen?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between Viktoria Plzen and Anderlecht scheduled for January 23, 2025, 12:45 PM ET.
If Anderlecht wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-anderlecht-beat-viktoria-plzen
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Viktoria Plzen",
"Anderlecht"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x08263fc22d02cf5b4952d340c154175546f2afd9c6f101c6fad8163cae6fc702
|
0xd8209fd8d1cabc9399e91d3cf37c3d560a765d24d6d1576a1997d08715cd1f31
|
Will the match between Benfica and Barcelona end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Benfica and Barcelona scheduled for January 21, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-benfica-and-barcelona-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Champions League",
"barcelona",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Benfica"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x8d49341c6a643ebc4812e61eb53538ffb8b26e2b963ee4b9efca8315a6077000
|
0xc6f5013ace0a8b59a3e2f46fefd15c5aac25218f267fd037285f540edf77ee73
|
Will IF Elfsborg beat Nice?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between IF Elfsborg and Nice scheduled for January 23, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If IF Elfsborg wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-if-elfsborg-beat-nice
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"IF Elfsborg",
"Nice"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0xc38de62f623d3a6752dc2c4bd8cdf30a06ab8c9c7ee09e28b827e3572460a200
|
0x22417fc06ed67e2a702263979cf7c9181d69454801bd3fc6f34a6071c37cd6af
|
Will Trump issue less than 100 executive orders in first week?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of executive orders Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between January 20 and January 27, 2025.
The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates between January 20-27, (inclusive) will count for this market.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
how-many-executive-orders-will-trump-issue-in-his-first-week-continued-will-trump-issue-less-than-100-executive-orders-in-first-week
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Trump Presidency",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x4adaac6ff385c2ca63aaf97f71401f835a30684170c5d10609333b49311b4e01
|
0xf2eb7ab1ad576425c979cac0bfa1e370f6bf8dd2b03681733fa21dc38a778c90
|
Will Lille beat Liverpool?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Liverpool and Lille scheduled for January 21, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If Lille wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-lille-beat-liverpool
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"Games",
"UCL",
"Liverpool",
"Lille"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xda1afa339b7e1c1ac07870cf0799a5aed07d820f06cf4db2e1d251f8e2010900
|
0xa5598c7f323e50dfd0db920cc25d258e63013d403ab964ab0a440540bcf589b2
|
Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-01?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for February 1 at 10:00AM ET,
If Ipswich wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Ipswich loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-ips-sou-2025-02-01-ips
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xa2ae95f9675a05386db97a8eab1edea9b9b7ad778665d17e173a319ad9cdaa00
|
0x2cf69cd74ea8aa61d735ffec8437b60f1986c231840a907fc6f3f2a8b729b231
|
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
|
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23.
This market will resolve according to the actress who wins the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-03-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
oscars-best-supporting-actress-will-zoe-saldaa-win-best-supporting-actress-at-the-2025-oscars
|
[
"Awards",
"Movies",
"Culture",
"Oscars",
"Rewards"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x632c8da36d09bbb1474c5bdaeae47e0be9a85288c95dbf02f10940dd67408493
|
0xdddae6c0f1fc8c15c9c93585defdbbb7e354216b112bc13d1173e8f2fc708b4b
|
Will Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Fox News Oval Office interview?
|
Fox News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump from the Oval Office on Wednesday, January 22, at 9 p.m. ET (see: https://www.foxnews.com/media/fox-news-sean-hannity-interview-president-trump-from-oval-office)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Artificial Intelligence (e.g. "OpenAI" would count).
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the video of the interview.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-ai-or-artificial-intelligence-during-fox-news-oval-office-interview
|
[
"Politics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x32305235d6c6b17ef11f1d1e567f4f0da19b12e46b76db4c528ab72d50f90f05
|
0x434049098ed902a592b4532247b1485a8c36b467c7c82a76ba332a39e1d32b3b
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on January 23?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 23, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-52-53f-on-january-23
|
[
"Weather",
"climate"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xdecd2a0ec87918c393cbc277383535f361a4737c27c882d4b48bb2decfb8fd1e
|
0x7ce62cb18ae54b3411071ac2cd8e80ee3fb4cbd64daeb3ac67834ebbc22a97fa
|
Australian Open (W): Sabalenka vs. Badosa
|
Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa are scheduled to play each other in a semifinal matchup in the Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament on January 23, 2025, at 3:30 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Sabalenka” if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Paula Badosa in the semifinals of the Australian Open Women’s Singles tournament.
This market will resolve to “Badosa” if Paula Badosa advances against Aryna Sabalenka in the semifinals of the Australian Open Women’s Singles tournament.
If the match ends in a tie, is canceled, or delayed beyond January 25, 2025, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/) including live footage, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
australian-open-w-sabalenka-vs-badosa
|
[
"Sports",
"Tennis",
"australian open",
"Games",
"Sabalenka",
"Badosa"
] | false
| null | null |
0xe30d4bd41ff5d7e5345148d608cd68b9af3ae312fee0bd0068b77b959cf77302
|
0x87c0d81420e14b25e1fb2da3eeae3e317af0e0168bade0c0c1d5f51085c03062
|
Will the match between Atlético Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Champions League league stage match between Atlético Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen scheduled for January 21, 2025, 3:00 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League.
|
2025-01-21T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-atltico-madrid-and-bayer-leverkusen-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Champions League",
"atletico madrid",
"Soccer",
"Games",
"Bayer Leverkusen"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x6cd578b0a6bfc81ba1d9bd1d5aace87bf38b4dcc58b9f34a9a6ccf836e9fb300
|
0xdfbbe1e0d85971c8a3c271cb20b938a679222ce477ff863365f770b61579901c
|
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?
|
In the upcoming EPL game, scheduled for February 2 at 11:30AM ET,
If Arsenal wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If Arsenal loses, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”.
|
2025-02-02T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
epl-ars-mac-2025-02-02-ars
|
[
"Sports",
"Premier League",
"EPL",
"Games"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x44d052df080a044e5f0d3e3f284e0b5cf59f0083778bfff4be46dd5a3b714d02
|
0x4a6d32b3193b04b09f5398a7ba7f7a715f3907ba4f42cf7f719199846f935440
|
Will the match between Hoffenheim and Tottenham end in a draw?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between TSG Hoffenheim and Tottenham Hotspur scheduled for January 23, 2025, 12:45 PM ET.
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-the-match-between-hoffenheim-and-tottenham-end-in-a-draw
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Tottenham",
"Hoffenheim"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0x2f6ae77ff15de81dab39b2c1f3a32c3970e399cf21d56c2196f44c8995a4f203
|
0x2e56e2b9bf8f57279413ac9a84a9ccd9e2c1ea11907e1ac0dcd2627fcb141222
|
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on January 22?
|
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on January 22, 2025.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
highest-temperature-in-london-on-jan-22-will-the-highest-temperature-in-london-be-between-40-41f-on-january-22
|
[
"Science",
"Weather"
] | false
| 1
| 0
|
0x7786fbdba3e31d6970e713eed82ffa733d8a369609a129ecb3e5f653f419261a
|
0x3b7e4cd09ca1409fa4b90d8e9abbd9cecf5b8e88781691f8429a65cecfbade0c
|
Adesanya vs. Imavov
|
This is a market on whether Israel Adesanya or Nassourdine Imavov will win their bout at UFC Fight Night scheduled for February 1, 2025, at The Venue in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
If Israel Adesanya is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Adesanya.”
If Nassourdine Imavov is declared the winner of this bout, this market will resolve to “Imavov.”
If this fight is declared a draw, or if for any reason the match is not scored, postponed after February 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
The Resolution source will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/mma/fightcenter/_/league/ufc), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
|
2025-02-01T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
adesanya-vs-imavov
|
[
"Sports",
"UFC"
] | false
| null | null |
0xc6a2510db51f872676e5fc674d2e741939e6fd15375b51efbbc90ead09beed76
|
0xc22b271732f78cf9065bf54a68582de089463d143efa9f0442605c0998ed6f99
|
Will Trump say "Stargate" during Fox News Oval Office interview?
|
Fox News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump from the Oval Office on Wednesday, January 22, at 9 p.m. ET (see: https://www.foxnews.com/media/fox-news-sean-hannity-interview-president-trump-from-oval-office)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Stargate" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Compound words will count as long as "Stargate" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the plan to build artificial intelligence infrastructure in the United States.
This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the video of the interview.
|
2025-01-22T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-trump-say-stargate-during-fox-news-oval-office-interview
|
[
"Politics",
"Mentions"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf9a276ce8978d4b4f1ae6b0e91d7b2d369ca1df4423a4b8e5027c8dddf8d7f01
|
0x28b7794ffb9a6df2e56ff38d4e7a27ee08428d6baad90f61edbf0ef7610b9058
|
Will Donald Trump tweet 2-3 times Jan 20-27?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on X between January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 27, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| false
| false
|
how-many-times-will-trump-tweet-in-1st-week-will-donald-trump-tweet-2-3-times-jan-20-27
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Tweet Markets",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0.315
| 0.685
|
0x3f58d76477c8f46d2280020a31eebaa1e7b8b8172ad736e4a3fcd78d827a6000
|
0xbab4dbefbc288fe7adcbbafd07c6ed6d4b238f4151c5c111b4204e1f849b955b
|
Will Qarabag beat FCSB?
|
This market refers to the UEFA Europa League league stage match between Qarabag and FCSB scheduled for January 23, 2025, 12:45 PM ET.
If Qarabag wins the match, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If the game is canceled or delayed beyond January 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Europa League.
|
2025-01-23T00:00:00Z
| true
| true
|
will-qarabag-beat-fcsb
|
[
"Sports",
"Soccer",
"Europa League",
"Games",
"Qarabag",
"FCSB",
"FK Qarabag"
] | false
| 0
| 1
|
0xf9a276ce8978d4b4f1ae6b0e91d7b2d369ca1df4423a4b8e5027c8dddf8d7f08
|
0x6c75b392d36abfdfb8db623ad9f5ebea87e99a8e358a26b26a1ee0355885a9f1
|
Will Donald Trump tweet 16-17 times Jan 20-27?
|
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on X between January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 27, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
|
2025-01-27T00:00:00Z
| false
| false
|
how-many-times-will-trump-tweet-in-1st-week-will-donald-trump-tweet-16-17-times-jan-20-27
|
[
"Politics",
"Trump",
"Tweet Markets",
"Trump Week 1"
] | false
| 0.11
| 0.89
|
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