diff --git "a/web/sveltekit/build/q/sample.html" "b/web/sveltekit/build/q/sample.html" --- "a/web/sveltekit/build/q/sample.html" +++ "b/web/sveltekit/build/q/sample.html" @@ -6,44 +6,44 @@ Riprap — flood-exposure briefing - - + + - + - + - + - + - + - +
riprap / flood-exposure briefing

Flood-exposure briefing 80 Pioneer Street · Red Hook · Brooklyn

80 Pioneer Street, Red Hook, Brooklyn 11231. Block 597, Lot 30. Industrial Business Zone (IBZ-RH). Queried 2026-05-02 14:22 ET. Briefing v0.4.2 · 9 specialists fired · 1 silent (TidalGauge: out of range)

01 Coastal-edge, post-Sandy, multi-hazard

Empirical: directly measured or observed The address sits 380 ft inland of the Erie Basin bulkhead, at a ground elevation of 6.2 ft NAVD88[1] — within the Empirical: directly measured or observed 2012 Sandy Inundation Zone, which recorded a peak storm tide of 11.4 ft NAVD88 at the Battery[2] 2.4 mi to the northwest. Modeled: scenario-based prediction FEMA's preliminary FIRM places the parcel in Zone AE (BFE 11 ft NAVD88)[4], a 4.8 ft freeboard above current grade. The site is upgradient of two FloodNet sensors and three blocks from a chronic 311 cluster.

02 Empirical: directly measured or observed EMP

Empirical: directly measured or observed FloodNet sensor BK-RH-002 (Coffey Park, 1,200 ft south) recorded 7 above-curb events between 2024-06 and 2026-04[3], with a peak depth of 14.3 cm during the 2025-09-29 nor'easter. Empirical: directly measured or observed USGS post-Sandy high-water marks within 500 ft cluster between 6.8 and 8.1 ft NAVD88[1], consistent with 0.6–1.9 ft of standing water at the queried address during the storm.

03 Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD

Modeled: scenario-based prediction DEP's Moderate Stormwater Scenario (2.13 in/hr design storm) shows ponding ≥4 in across the western half of the lot[5], routed by the 1.2% slope toward Imlay St. Modeled: scenario-based prediction Under NPCC4's 2050 90th-percentile sea-level rise (30 in)[6], the parcel falls within the projected daily-tidal floodplain by mid-century. Synthetic prior: generated, not observed Synthetic SAR backscatter for 2025-09-14 (Sentinel-1 cloud-occluded) was generated by TerraMind v1.2 and is presented as a prior, not an observation[9]; treat with appropriate caution.

04

Proxy: indirect indicator 311 flood complaints within the surrounding census tract total 89 calls over 2019–2025, with seasonal clustering in Aug–Oct[7]. Proxy: indirect indicator NFIP claims aggregated to tract 36047008500 total $4.1M across 47 paid losses since 2000[8]. Modeled: scenario-based prediction The site lies within the NYC Waterfront Revitalization Program Coastal Risk Area; CEQR §817 review applies to any discretionary action[10].

Findings · grouped by Stone

cards = what each Stone found · provenance collapses below
5 Stones · 17 fired · 5 silent · 1 errored · 4 not invoked · 13 evidence cards · 14.0s wall-clock · 92% cache · 27 registered
01

Cornerstone

· the hazard reader what NYC's ground remembers
3 cards · 5 fired · 1.2s
Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD Empirical: directly measured or observed EMP Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD
02

Keystone

· the asset register what's exposed
1 card · 0 fired · 4 silent · 2 not invoked · 30ms
Empirical: directly measured or observed EMP
  • KEY-001 Empirical: directly measured or observed mta_entrance_exposure — no entrances within radius 30ms
  • KEY-002 Empirical: directly measured or observed nycha.development_join — no NYCHA developments within 1.0 mi 28ms
  • KEY-003 Empirical: directly measured or observed doe.school_join — no DOE schools within 1.0 mi 24ms
  • KEY-004 Empirical: directly measured or observed doh.facility_join — no acute-care hospitals within 1.0 mi 22ms
  • KEY-005 Empirical: directly measured or observed pluto.lot_lookup — PLUTO join skipped: queried address not in NYC PLUTO dataset
  • KEY-006 Modeled: scenario-based prediction terramind.buildings — TerraMind Buildings adapter: heavy specialist disabled (RIPRAP_HEAVY_SPECIALISTS=0)
03

Touchstone

· the live observer what's happening now
5 cards · 6 fired · 4.9s
Empirical: directly measured or observed EMP Proxy: indirect indicator PRX Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD Synthetic prior: generated, not observed SYN Empirical: directly measured or observed EMP
04

Lodestone

· the projector what's coming
3 cards · 3 fired · 1 silent · 1 errored · 1 not invoked · 1.5s
Modeled: scenario-based prediction Granite TTM r2 (zero-shot)
v. 2026-05-05 12:00 ET

Storm surge nowcast at The Battery — 9.6 h horizon (regional)

+47 cm peak surge residual · 9.6h horizon · 6-min cadence
regional · The Battery, not point-of-query Regional disclosure. Nowcast applies city-wide via NOAA station 8518750. Distinct from the fine-tuned Battery surge nowcast.
Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD
Modeled: scenario-based prediction msradam/Granite-TTM-r2-Battery-Surge
v. 2026-05-05 12:00 ET

Storm surge nowcast at The Battery — 96 h horizon (NYC-specialized fine-tune)

+53 cm peak surge · 96h horizon · hourly cadence
regional · The Battery, not point-of-query Fine-tuned on NYC tide-gauge history. Trained on AMD MI300X.
Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD
Modeled: scenario-based prediction NPCC4
v. 2024-03

Sea-level rise projections, Lower NY Harbor

inches MSL · 17th–83rd %ile range, median line. Battery tide-gauge baseline.
Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD
  • LOD-001 Modeled: scenario-based prediction nws_alerts.flood_relevant 110ms
  • LOD-002 Modeled: scenario-based prediction ttm_battery_surge.zero_shot 1.5s
  • LOD-003 Modeled: scenario-based prediction ttm_battery_surge.fine_tune 1.5s
  • LOD-004 Modeled: scenario-based prediction ttm_311_forecast — 311 history fetch failed: HTTP 503 at NYC OpenData (3 retries) 0ms
  • LOD-005 Modeled: scenario-based prediction floodnet_forecast — sensor has only 2 historical events; forecast omitted (silent-floor: 5) 14ms
  • LOD-006 Modeled: scenario-based prediction npcc4.slr_projection — NPCC4 SLR projection: not yet wired into FSM (static reference card on hold)
05

Capstone

· the synthesizer writes it all down with citations
1 card · 3 fired · 1 not invoked · 6.2s
Modeled: scenario-based prediction Mellea
v. 2026-05-05 14:22 ET

Briefing reconciliation

mellea reroll
1 reroll
grounding checks
4/4 passed
citations resolved
4
wall-clock
24.0 s
Capstone produces prose, not cards. This meta-card summarizes the reconciler chain that wrote the four-section briefing above.
RIPRAP-CAP-RH80 Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD
  • CAP-001 Proxy: indirect indicator rag.granite_embedding 410ms
  • CAP-002 Proxy: indirect indicator gliner.typed_extraction 280ms
  • CAP-003 Modeled: scenario-based prediction granite41.compose_briefing 6.2s
  • CAP-004 Modeled: scenario-based prediction mellea.grounding_check — Mellea grounding-check: rolled into reconcile step on this run

Findings · grouped by Stone

cards = what each Stone found · provenance collapses below
5 Stones · 17 fired · 5 silent · 1 errored · 4 not invoked · 13 evidence cards · 14.0s wall-clock · 92% cache · 27 registered
01

Cornerstone

· the hazard reader what NYC's ground remembers
3 cards · 5 fired · 1.2s
Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD Empirical: directly measured or observed EMP Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD
02

Keystone

· the asset register what's exposed
1 card · 0 fired · 4 silent · 2 not invoked · 30ms
Empirical: directly measured or observed EMP
  • KEY-001 Empirical: directly measured or observed mta_entrance_exposure — no entrances within radius 30ms
  • KEY-002 Empirical: directly measured or observed nycha.development_join — no NYCHA developments within 1.0 mi 28ms
  • KEY-003 Empirical: directly measured or observed doe.school_join — no DOE schools within 1.0 mi 24ms
  • KEY-004 Empirical: directly measured or observed doh.facility_join — no acute-care hospitals within 1.0 mi 22ms
  • KEY-005 Empirical: directly measured or observed pluto.lot_lookup — PLUTO join skipped: queried address not in NYC PLUTO dataset
  • KEY-006 Modeled: scenario-based prediction terramind.buildings — TerraMind Buildings adapter: heavy specialist disabled (RIPRAP_HEAVY_SPECIALISTS=0)
03

Touchstone

· the live observer what's happening now
5 cards · 6 fired · 4.9s
Empirical: directly measured or observed EMP Proxy: indirect indicator PRX Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD Synthetic prior: generated, not observed SYN Empirical: directly measured or observed EMP
04

Lodestone

· the projector what's coming
3 cards · 3 fired · 1 silent · 1 errored · 1 not invoked · 1.5s
Modeled: scenario-based prediction Granite TTM r2 (zero-shot)
v. 2026-05-05 12:00 ET

Storm surge nowcast at The Battery — 9.6 h horizon (regional)

+47 cm peak surge residual · 9.6h horizon · 6-min cadence
regional · The Battery, not point-of-query Regional disclosure. Nowcast applies city-wide via NOAA station 8518750. Distinct from the fine-tuned Battery surge nowcast.
Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD
Modeled: scenario-based prediction msradam/Granite-TTM-r2-Battery-Surge
v. 2026-05-05 12:00 ET

Storm surge nowcast at The Battery — 96 h horizon (NYC-specialized fine-tune)

+53 cm peak surge · 96h horizon · hourly cadence
regional · The Battery, not point-of-query Fine-tuned on NYC tide-gauge history. Trained on AMD MI300X.
Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD
Modeled: scenario-based prediction NPCC4
v. 2024-03

Sea-level rise projections, Lower NY Harbor

inches MSL · 17th–83rd %ile range, median line. Battery tide-gauge baseline.
Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD
  • LOD-001 Modeled: scenario-based prediction nws_alerts.flood_relevant 110ms
  • LOD-002 Modeled: scenario-based prediction ttm_battery_surge.zero_shot 1.5s
  • LOD-003 Modeled: scenario-based prediction ttm_battery_surge.fine_tune 1.5s
  • LOD-004 Modeled: scenario-based prediction ttm_311_forecast — 311 history fetch failed: HTTP 503 at NYC OpenData (3 retries) 0ms
  • LOD-005 Modeled: scenario-based prediction floodnet_forecast — sensor has only 2 historical events; forecast omitted (silent-floor: 5) 14ms
  • LOD-006 Modeled: scenario-based prediction npcc4.slr_projection — NPCC4 SLR projection: not yet wired into FSM (static reference card on hold)
05

Capstone

· the synthesizer writes it all down with citations
1 card · 3 fired · 1 not invoked · 6.2s
Modeled: scenario-based prediction Mellea
v. 2026-05-05 14:22 ET

Briefing reconciliation

mellea reroll
1 reroll
grounding checks
4/4 passed
citations resolved
4
wall-clock
24.0 s
Capstone produces prose, not cards. This meta-card summarizes the reconciler chain that wrote the four-section briefing above.
RIPRAP-CAP-RH80 Modeled: scenario-based prediction MOD
  • CAP-001 Proxy: indirect indicator rag.granite_embedding 410ms
  • CAP-002 Proxy: indirect indicator gliner.typed_extraction 280ms
  • CAP-003 Modeled: scenario-based prediction granite41.compose_briefing 6.2s
  • CAP-004 Modeled: scenario-based prediction mellea.grounding_check — Mellea grounding-check: rolled into reconcile step on this run