import argparse import datetime import math import os from collections import defaultdict from glob import glob import numpy as np import pandas as pd import plotly.express as px from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression from tqdm import tqdm from utils import load_model_answers from src.envs import HF_TOKEN_PRIVATE def compute_mle_elo(df, SCALE=400, BASE=10, INIT_RATING=1000): models = pd.concat([df["model_a"], df["model_b"]]).unique() models = pd.Series(np.arange(len(models)), index=models) # duplicate battles df = pd.concat([df, df], ignore_index=True) p = len(models.index) n = df.shape[0] X = np.zeros([n, p]) X[np.arange(n), models[df["model_a"]]] = +math.log(BASE) X[np.arange(n), models[df["model_b"]]] = -math.log(BASE) # one A win => two A win Y = np.zeros(n) Y[df["winner"] == "model_a"] = 1.0 # one tie => one A win + one B win # find tie + tie (both bad) index tie_idx = (df["winner"] == "tie") | (df["winner"] == "tie (bothbad)") tie_idx[len(tie_idx) // 2 :] = False Y[tie_idx] = 1.0 lr = LogisticRegression(fit_intercept=False, penalty=None, tol=1e-8) lr.fit(X, Y) elo_scores = SCALE * lr.coef_[0] + INIT_RATING # set anchor as gpt-3.5-turbo-0125 = 1000 if "gpt-3.5-turbo-0125" in models.index: elo_scores += 1000 - elo_scores[models["gpt-3.5-turbo-0125"]] return pd.Series(elo_scores, index=models.index).sort_values(ascending=False) def get_bootstrap_result(battles, func_compute_elo, num_round): rows = [] for i in tqdm(range(num_round), desc="bootstrap"): rows.append(func_compute_elo(battles.sample(frac=1.0, replace=True))) df = pd.DataFrame(rows) return df[df.median().sort_values(ascending=False).index] def preety_print_two_ratings(ratings_1, ratings_2, column_names): df = ( pd.DataFrame( [[n, ratings_1[n], ratings_2[n]] for n in ratings_1.keys()], columns=["Model", column_names[0], column_names[1]], ) .sort_values(column_names[0], ascending=False) .reset_index(drop=True) ) df[column_names[0]] = (df[column_names[0]] + 0.5).astype(int) df[column_names[1]] = (df[column_names[1]] + 0.5).astype(int) df.index = df.index + 1 return df def visualize_bootstrap_scores(df, title): bars = ( pd.DataFrame(dict(lower=df.quantile(0.025), rating=df.quantile(0.5), upper=df.quantile(0.975))) .reset_index(names="model") .sort_values("rating", ascending=False) ) bars["error_y"] = bars["upper"] - bars["rating"] bars["error_y_minus"] = bars["rating"] - bars["lower"] bars["rating_rounded"] = np.round(bars["rating"], 2) fig = px.scatter( bars, x="model", y="rating", error_y="error_y", error_y_minus="error_y_minus", text="rating_rounded", title=title, ) fig.update_layout(xaxis_title="Model", yaxis_title="Rating", height=600) return fig def predict_win_rate(elo_ratings, SCALE=400, BASE=10, INIT_RATING=1000): names = sorted(list(elo_ratings.keys())) wins = defaultdict(lambda: defaultdict(lambda: 0)) for a in names: for b in names: ea = 1 / (1 + BASE ** ((elo_ratings[b] - elo_ratings[a]) / SCALE)) wins[a][b] = ea wins[b][a] = 1 - ea data = {a: [wins[a][b] if a != b else np.NAN for b in names] for a in names} df = pd.DataFrame(data, index=names) df.index.name = "model_a" df.columns.name = "model_b" return df.T def get_win_rate_column(df, column, baseline="gpt-3.5-turbo-0125"): to_dict = df[["model", column]].set_index("model").to_dict()[column] win_rate_table = predict_win_rate(to_dict) return win_rate_table[baseline].fillna(0.5).apply(lambda x: round(x * 100, 2)) def get_battles_from_judgment(judge_name, first_game_only=False, WEIGHT=3): arena_hard_battles = pd.DataFrame() print("Turning judgment results into battles...") directory = f"data/arena-hard-v0.1/model_judgement/{judge_name}" assert os.path.exists(directory) for file in tqdm(glob(f"{directory}/*jsonl")): df = pd.read_json(file, lines=True) for _, row in df.iterrows(): # game 1 output = {"question_id": row["question_id"], "model_a": "gpt-3.5-turbo-0125", "model_b": row["model"]} game = row["games"][0] weight = 1 if game["score"] == "A=B": output["winner"] = "tie" elif game["score"] == "A>B": output["winner"] = "model_a" elif game["score"] == "A>>B": output["winner"] = "model_a" weight = WEIGHT elif game["score"] == "B>A": output["winner"] = "model_b" elif game["score"] == "B>>A": output["winner"] = "model_b" weight = WEIGHT else: weight = 0 if weight: arena_hard_battles = pd.concat([arena_hard_battles, pd.DataFrame([output] * weight)]) if not first_game_only: # game 2 output = {"question_id": row["question_id"], "model_a": "gpt-3.5-turbo-0125", "model_b": row["model"]} game = row["games"][1] weight = 1 if game["score"] == "A=B": output["winner"] = "tie" elif game["score"] == "A>B": output["winner"] = "model_b" elif game["score"] == "A>>B": output["winner"] = "model_b" weight = WEIGHT elif game["score"] == "B>A": output["winner"] = "model_a" elif game["score"] == "B>>A": output["winner"] = "model_a" weight = WEIGHT else: weight = 0 if weight: arena_hard_battles = pd.concat([arena_hard_battles, pd.DataFrame([output] * weight)]) arena_hard_battles.to_json("data/arena_hard_battles.jsonl", lines=True, orient="records") return arena_hard_battles if __name__ == "__main__": parser = argparse.ArgumentParser() parser.add_argument("--bench-name", type=str, default="arena-hard-v0.1") parser.add_argument("--judge-name", type=str, default="gpt-4-1106-preview") parser.add_argument("--baseline", type=str, default="gpt-3.5-turbo-0125") parser.add_argument("--load-battles", action="store_true") parser.add_argument("--load-bootstrap", action="store_true") parser.add_argument("--show-elo", action="store_true") parser.add_argument("--weight", type=int, default=3) parser.add_argument("--num-rounds", type=int, default=100) parser.add_argument("--output", action="store_true") parser.add_argument("--first-game-only", action="store_true") args = parser.parse_args() print(args) assert not args.load_bootstrap or ( args.load_battles and args.load_bootstrap ), "If loading prexisting bootstrapping data, you must also load preexisting battles." answer_dir = os.path.join("data", args.bench_name, "model_answers/external") model_answers = load_model_answers(answer_dir) if args.load_battles: assert os.path.exists("data/arena_hard_battles.jsonl") battles = pd.read_json("data/arena_hard_battles.jsonl", lines=True) else: battles = get_battles_from_judgment(args.judge_name, args.first_game_only, args.weight) bootstrap_online_elo = compute_mle_elo(battles) if args.load_bootstrap: bootstrap_elo_lu = pd.read_json("data/bootstrapping_results.jsonl", lines=True) else: np.random.seed(42) bootstrap_elo_lu = get_bootstrap_result(battles, compute_mle_elo, args.num_rounds) bootstrap_elo_lu.to_json("data/bootstrapping_results.jsonl", lines=True, orient="records") stats = pd.DataFrame() stats["results"] = None stats["results"] = stats["results"].astype("object") for i, model in enumerate(bootstrap_online_elo.index): assert model in bootstrap_elo_lu.columns stats.at[i, "model"] = model stats.at[i, "score"] = bootstrap_online_elo[model] stats.at[i, "lower"] = np.percentile(bootstrap_elo_lu[model], 2.5) stats.at[i, "upper"] = np.percentile(bootstrap_elo_lu[model], 97.5) length = 0 if model in model_answers: for _, row in model_answers[model].items(): turn = row["choices"][0]["turns"][0] length += turn["token_len"] length /= len(model_answers[model]) stats.at[i, "avg_tokens"] = int(length) stats.at[i, "results"] = bootstrap_elo_lu[model].tolist() if not args.show_elo: stats.sort_values(by="model", inplace=True) stats["score"] = get_win_rate_column(stats, "score", args.baseline).tolist() stats["lower"] = get_win_rate_column(stats, "lower", args.baseline).tolist() stats["upper"] = get_win_rate_column(stats, "upper", args.baseline).tolist() decimal = 1 else: decimal = 0 stats = stats.astype({"score": int, "lower": int, "upper": int}) stats.sort_values(by="score", ascending=False, inplace=True) for _, row in stats.iterrows(): interval = str((round(row["lower"] - row["score"], decimal), round(row["upper"] - row["score"], decimal))) print( f"{row['model'] : <30} | score: {round(row['score'], decimal) : ^5} | 95% CI: {interval : ^12} | average #tokens: {int(row['avg_tokens'])}" ) if args.output: cur_date = datetime.datetime.now() date_str = cur_date.strftime("%Y%m%d") json_file_name = f"arena_hard_leaderboard_{date_str}.json" stats.to_json(json_file_name, orient="records", indent=4) import huggingface_hub huggingface_hub.HfApi().upload_file( path_or_fileobj=json_file_name, path_in_repo="leaderboard.json", repo_id="Vikhrmodels/arena-leaderboard-metainfo", repo_type="dataset", token=HF_TOKEN_PRIVATE, ) huggingface_hub.HfApi().upload_file( path_or_fileobj=json_file_name, path_in_repo=f"leaderboard_logs/{json_file_name}", repo_id="Vikhrmodels/arena-leaderboard-metainfo", repo_type="dataset", token=HF_TOKEN_PRIVATE, )