import streamlit as st import pandas as pd import time from datetime import datetime import numpy as np import pmdarima as pm import matplotlib.pyplot as plt from pmdarima import auto_arima import plotly.graph_objects as go import torch from transformers import pipeline, TapasTokenizer, TapasForQuestionAnswering st.set_page_config( page_title="Sales Forecasting System", page_icon="📈", layout="wide", initial_sidebar_state="expanded", ) # Preprocessing @st.cache_data def merge(B, C, A): i = j = k = 0 # Convert 'Date' columns to datetime.date objects B['Date'] = pd.to_datetime(B['Date']).dt.date C['Date'] = pd.to_datetime(C['Date']).dt.date A['Date'] = pd.to_datetime(A['Date']).dt.date while i < len(B) and j < len(C): if B['Date'].iloc[i] <= C['Date'].iloc[j]: A['Date'].iloc[k] = B['Date'].iloc[i] A['Sales'].iloc[k] = B['Sales'].iloc[i] i += 1 else: A['Date'].iloc[k] = C['Date'].iloc[j] A['Sales'].iloc[k] = C['Sales'].iloc[j] j += 1 k += 1 while i < len(B): A['Date'].iloc[k] = B['Date'].iloc[i] A['Sales'].iloc[k] = B['Sales'].iloc[i] i += 1 k += 1 while j < len(C): A['Date'].iloc[k] = C['Date'].iloc[j] A['Sales'].iloc[k] = C['Sales'].iloc[j] j += 1 k += 1 return A @st.cache_data def merge_sort(dataframe): if len(dataframe) > 1: center = len(dataframe) // 2 left = dataframe.iloc[:center] right = dataframe.iloc[center:] merge_sort(left) merge_sort(right) return merge(left, right, dataframe) else: return dataframe @st.cache_data def drop (dataframe): def get_columns_containing(dataframe, substrings): return [col for col in dataframe.columns if any(substring.lower() in col.lower() for substring in substrings)] columns_to_keep = get_columns_containing(dataframe, ["date", "sale"]) dataframe = dataframe.drop(columns=dataframe.columns.difference(columns_to_keep)) dataframe = dataframe.dropna() return dataframe @st.cache_data def date_format(dataframe): for i, d, s in dataframe.itertuples(): dataframe['Date'][i] = dataframe['Date'][i].strip() for i, d, s in dataframe.itertuples(): new_date = datetime.strptime(dataframe['Date'][i], "%m/%d/%Y").date() dataframe['Date'][i] = new_date return dataframe @st.cache_data def group_to_three(dataframe): dataframe['Date'] = pd.to_datetime(dataframe['Date']) dataframe = dataframe.groupby([pd.Grouper(key='Date', freq='3D')])['Sales'].mean().round(2) dataframe = dataframe.replace(0, np.nan).dropna() return dataframe @st.cache_data def series_to_df_exogenous(series): dataframe = series.to_frame() dataframe = dataframe.reset_index() dataframe = dataframe.set_index('Date') dataframe = dataframe.dropna() # Create the eXogenous values dataframe['Sales First Difference'] = dataframe['Sales'] - dataframe['Sales'].shift(1) dataframe['Seasonal First Difference'] = dataframe['Sales'] - dataframe['Sales'].shift(12) dataframe = dataframe.dropna() return dataframe @st.cache_data def dates_df(dataframe): dataframe = dataframe.reset_index() dataframe['Date'] = dataframe['Date'].dt.strftime('%B %d, %Y') dataframe[dataframe.columns] = dataframe[dataframe.columns].astype(str) return dataframe @st.cache_data def get_forecast_period(period): return round(period / 3) # SARIMAX Model @st.cache_data def train_test(dataframe): n = round(len(dataframe) * 0.2) training_y = dataframe.iloc[:-n,0] test_y = dataframe.iloc[-n:,0] test_y_series = pd.Series(test_y, index=dataframe.iloc[-n:, 0].index) training_X = dataframe.iloc[:-n,1:] test_X = dataframe.iloc[-n:,1:] future_X = dataframe.iloc[0:,1:] return (training_y, test_y, test_y_series, training_X, test_X, future_X) @st.cache_data def test_fitting(dataframe, Exo, trainY): trainTestModel = auto_arima(X = Exo, y = trainY, start_p=1, start_q=1, test='adf',min_p=1,min_q=1, max_p=3, max_q=3, m=12, start_P=0, seasonal=True, d=None, D=1, trace=True, error_action='ignore', suppress_warnings=True, stepwise=True) model = trainTestModel return model @st.cache_data def forecast_accuracy(forecast, actual): mape = np.mean(np.abs(forecast - actual)/np.abs(actual)).round(4) # MAPE rmse = (np.mean((forecast - actual)**2)**.5).round(2) # RMSE corr = np.corrcoef(forecast, actual)[0,1] # corr mins = np.amin(np.hstack([forecast[:,None], actual[:,None]]), axis=1) maxs = np.amax(np.hstack([forecast[:,None], actual[:,None]]), axis=1) minmax = 1 - np.mean(mins/maxs) # minmax return({'mape':mape, 'rmse':rmse, 'corr':corr, 'min-max':minmax}) @st.cache_data def sales_growth(dataframe, fittedValues): sales_growth = fittedValues.to_frame() sales_growth = sales_growth.reset_index() sales_growth.columns = ("Date", "Sales") sales_growth = sales_growth.set_index('Date') sales_growth['Sales'] = (sales_growth['Sales']).round(2) # Calculate and create the column for sales difference and growth sales_growth['Forecasted Sales First Difference']=(sales_growth['Sales']-sales_growth['Sales'].shift(1)).round(2) sales_growth['Forecasted Sales Growth']=(((sales_growth['Sales']-sales_growth['Sales'].shift(1))/sales_growth['Sales'].shift(1))*100).round(2) # Calculate and create the first row for sales difference and growth sales_growth['Forecasted Sales First Difference'].iloc[0] = (dataframe['Sales'].iloc[-1]-dataframe['Sales'].iloc[-2]).round(2) sales_growth['Forecasted Sales Growth'].iloc[0]=(((dataframe['Sales'].iloc[-1]-dataframe['Sales'].iloc[-2])/dataframe['Sales'].iloc[-1])*100).round(2) return sales_growth @st.cache_data def merge_forecast_data(actual, predicted, future): actual = actual.to_frame() actual.rename(columns={actual.columns[0]: "Actual Sales"}, inplace=True) predicted = predicted.to_frame() predicted.rename(columns={predicted.columns[0]: "Predicted Sales"}, inplace=True) future = future.to_frame() future = future.rename_axis('Date') future.rename(columns={future.columns[0]: "Forecasted Future Sales"}, inplace=True) merged_dataframe = pd.concat([actual, predicted, future], axis=1) merged_dataframe = merged_dataframe.reset_index() return merged_dataframe @st.cache_data def interpret_mape(acc): acc = acc * 100 if acc['mape'] < 10: return "Great" elif acc['mape'] < 20: return "Good" elif acc['mape'] < 50: return "Relatively Good" else: return "Poor" # TAPAS Model @st.cache_resource def load_tapas_model(): model_name = "google/tapas-large-finetuned-wtq" tokenizer = TapasTokenizer.from_pretrained(model_name) model = TapasForQuestionAnswering.from_pretrained(model_name, local_files_only=False) pipe = pipeline("table-question-answering", model=model, tokenizer=tokenizer) return pipe pipe = load_tapas_model() def get_answer(table, query): answers = pipe(table=table, query=query) return answers def convert_answer(answer): if answer['aggregator'] == 'SUM': cells = answer['cells'] converted = sum(float(value.replace(',', '')) for value in cells) return converted if answer['aggregator'] == 'AVERAGE': cells = answer['cells'] values = [float(value.replace(',', '')) for value in cells] converted = sum(values) / len(values) return converted if answer['aggregator'] == 'COUNT': cells = answer['cells'] converted = sum(int(value.replace(',', '')) for value in cells) return converted else: return answer def get_converted_answer(table, query): converted_answer = convert_answer(get_answer(table, query)) return converted_answer # Session States if 'uploaded' not in st.session_state: st.session_state.uploaded = False if 'forecasted' not in st.session_state: st.session_state.forecasted = False # Web Application st.title("Forecasting Dashboard 📈") if not st.session_state.uploaded: st.subheader("Welcome User, get started forecasting by uploading your file in the sidebar!") # Sidebar Menu with st.sidebar: # TODO Name for product st.title("MLCast v1.0") st.subheader("An intelligent sales forecasting system") uploaded_file = st.file_uploader("Upload your store data here to proceed (must atleast contain Date and Sales)", type=["csv"]) if uploaded_file is not None: date_found = False sales_found = False df = pd.read_csv(uploaded_file, parse_dates=True) for column in df.columns: if 'Date' in column: date_found = True if 'Sales' in column: sales_found = True if(date_found == False or sales_found == False): st.error('Please upload a csv containing both Date and Sales...') st.stop() st.success("File uploaded successfully!") st.write("Your uploaded data:") st.write(df) df = drop(df) df = date_format(df) merge_sort(df) series = group_to_three(df) st.session_state.uploaded = True with open('sample.csv', 'rb') as f: st.download_button("Download our sample CSV", f, file_name='sample.csv') if (st.session_state.uploaded): st.subheader("Sales History") st.line_chart(series) MIN_DAYS = 30 MAX_DAYS = 90 period = st.slider('How many days would you like to forecast?', min_value=MIN_DAYS, max_value=MAX_DAYS) forecast_period = get_forecast_period(period) forecast_button = st.button( 'Start Forecasting', key='forecast_button', type="primary", ) if (forecast_button or st.session_state.forecasted): df = series_to_df_exogenous(series) train = train_test(df) training_y, test_y, test_y_series, training_X, test_X, future_X = train train_test_model = test_fitting(df, training_X, training_y) n_periods = round(len(df) * 0.2) future_n_periods = forecast_period + n_periods fitted, confint = train_test_model.predict(X=test_X, n_periods=n_periods, return_conf_int=True) index_of_fc = test_y_series.index # make series for plotting purpose fitted_series = pd.Series(fitted) fitted_series.index = index_of_fc lower_series = pd.Series(confint[:, 0], index=index_of_fc) upper_series = pd.Series(confint[:, 1], index=index_of_fc) #Future predictions frequency = '3D' future_fitted, confint = train_test_model.predict(X=df.iloc[-future_n_periods:,1:], n_periods=future_n_periods, return_conf_int=True, freq=frequency) future_index_of_fc = pd.date_range(df['Sales'].index[-1], periods = future_n_periods, freq=frequency) # make series for future plotting purpose future_fitted_series = pd.Series(future_fitted) future_fitted_series.index = future_index_of_fc future_lower_series = pd.Series(confint[:, 0], index=future_index_of_fc) future_upper_series = pd.Series(confint[:, 1], index=future_index_of_fc) # Plot # plt.plot(df['Sales'], color='b', label = 'Actual Sales') # plt.plot(test_y, color='b') # plt.plot(fitted_series, color='r', label = 'Predicted Sales') # plt.title("SARIMAX - Forecast of Auto Business Retail Sales VS Actual Sales") # plt.legend(loc='upper left', fontsize=8) # plt.plot(future_fitted_series, color='darkgreen', label ='Future Forecasted Sales') # plt.fill_between(future_lower_series.index, # future_lower_series, # future_upper_series, # color='k', alpha=.15) # plt.fill_between(lower_series.index, # lower_series, # upper_series, # color='k', alpha=.15) future_sales_growth = sales_growth(df, future_fitted_series) future_sales_growth = future_sales_growth.iloc[n_periods:] df = dates_df(future_sales_growth) test_y, predictions = np.array(test_y), np.array(fitted) acc = forecast_accuracy(predictions, test_y) interpretation = interpret_mape(acc) col = st.columns(2) with col[0]: merged_data = merge_forecast_data(df['Sales'], fitted_series, future_fitted_series) fig = go.Figure() fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=merged_data[merged_data.columns[0]], y=merged_data['Actual Sales'], mode='lines', name='Actual Sales')) fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=merged_data[merged_data.columns[0]], y=merged_data['Predicted Sales'], mode='lines', name='Predicted Sales')) fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=merged_data[merged_data.columns[0]], y=merged_data['Forecasted Future Sales'], mode='lines', name='Forecasted Future Sales')) fig.update_layout(title='Forecasted Sales Data', xaxis_title='Date', yaxis_title='Sales') fig.update_xaxes(range=['2018-01-01', '2026-01-01']) col[0].plotly_chart(fig) col[0].write(f"MAPE score: {acc['mape'] * 100}% - {interpretation}") with col[1]: col[1].subheader(f"Forecasted sales in the next {period} days") col[1].write(df) st.session_state.forecasted = True with st.form("question_form"): question = st.text_input('Ask a Question about the Forecasted Data', placeholder="What is the total sales in the month of December?") query_button = st.form_submit_button(label='Generate Answer') if query_button or question: answer = get_converted_answer(df, question) if answer is not None: st.subheader("The answer is:", answer) else: st.subheader("Answer is not found in table") # Hide Streamlit default style hide_st_style = """ """ st.markdown(hide_st_style, unsafe_allow_html=True)