Risk Number & Description Triggers Operational Consequences Strategic Consequences Opportunities 8. A major gas, petrochemical, industrial accident Up to 3km around site causing from 10 to 500 fatalities and from 150 to 1500 casualties. Gas terminal event likely to be of short duration once feed lines are isolated; event at a storage site could last for days if the explosion damaged control equipment. Gas shortage not expected but some disconnections of intensive users. Disruption to transport services (road and rail) locally for up to a week and to provision of health services locally. Fire or explosion at a gas LPG or LNG terminal (or associated onshore feedstock pipeline) or flammable gas storage sites Fire or explosion at an oil refinery Industrial Toxic Chemical Releases Radioactive substance release from a nuclear reactor accident incident declared Probable invocation of local, and possibly national, Mutual Aid arrangements National coordination Unavoidable pollution due to necessary fire / incident ground action Death or (severe) injury to fire-fighter(s) in addition to scene casualties etc. Reputational risk if incident management is called into question Criminal proceedings proceedings Possible large fines Public Inquiry Political impact Environmental impact Public scrutiny/perception Reliefs over a protracted incident. Invocation of Mutual Aid arrangements. Invocation of SCG over a protracted period and the possible consequence on strategic managers and maintaining business as usual. Liaison with COBRA leading to national direction. Potential postponement of Service business. Business continuity plans invoked Positive PR. Raises profile of ECFRS with politicians. Improve relationships with partner agencies Training with partner agencies Planning with partner agencies Build strong relationships with site managers Provision of MoU with private sector to increase our response capacity in more specialised equipment (i.e. foam)
Risk Number & Description Triggers Operational Consequences Strategic Consequences Opportunities 3. Failure to provide the appropriate Environmental Management during Operational response Failure to understand and identify the nature and extent of the incident Poor situational awareness (surrounding area/water courses and risks involved etc) Failure to prevent pollutant flow on ground Fire-fighting run-off not effectively managed (e.g. into watercourses) run-off from incidents using foam as the extinguishing media entering watercourses Controlled burn strategy Incomplete or inadequate information leading to Control or IC not requesting the attendance of an HMEPO and/or other relevant agency/authority at the appropriate time. Contamination of personnel and equipment Illness through contamination (FF and parties) Contamination – ground, water courses (tidal, other) Air pollution. No liaison with Environment Agency to speed decision making and subsequent environmental mitigation. Appropriate resources not available quickly enough Potential impact on e.g. water abstraction etc Prolonged attendance at incident Investigation by Regulatory body Slow response to incident management issues, e.g. evacuation Legal action against ECFRS by EA, HSE, local businesses etc. Financial penalty Reputational risk through poor operational management Strain placed on EA/ECFRS partnership. Impact on communities, business’s and their continuity. Prolonged recovery period leading to potential environmental legacy issues. Increased operating costs Recovery of cost from polluter. Development of new firefighting techniques that use less water and cause less damage. New technology that helps extinguish fires with less water used.
Risk Number & Description Triggers Operational Consequences Strategic Consequences Opportunities 11. The security of Personnel, Premises, Appliances, Equipment and PPE is put at risk due to a high terrorist threat level. There is also the threat of fire service resources being used by terrorist organisations. A terrorist attack include multiple incidents and secondary devices The National Security Strategy 2010 identifies international terrorism and cyber-attack in its four top risks. Under that, the NRR includes the threat of terrorist attacks and the current (2015) risk register and identifies seven risk areas: Catastrophic terrorist attacks Cyber attacks: infrastructure Terrorist attacks on infrastructure Small scale CBR terrorist attacks Terrorist attacks on crowded places Terrorist attacks on transport systems Cyber attacks: data confidentiality Political unrest leading to action from militant organisations and/or fundamentalists. Terrorist change in tactics to include attack on ECFRS infrastructure. Terrorist change in tactics to include Essex (infrastructure and/or high risk targets). London event affecting Essex. Possible public issues High loss of life. Service New Dimensions resources not adequately resourced. Ability to maintain suitable fire Arson attacks on specific communities. Confusions over appropriate application of current standards. Greater demand on resources. Detrimental effect on fire cover, during and post CBRNE incident. Resources deployed for longer periods. Greater demand for specialist skills appliances and equipment. Greater demand for rapid transportation of specialist personnel and equipment (DIM). Infiltration of secure high risk premises. Breach of security zones at incidents. Insufficient resources to respond effectively to multiple incidents. Longer response times to non CBRNE incidents. Secondary hazards and potential RVP’s potentially compromised. Contamination, and in completing mass decontamination. Ways of Working – Multi Agency response cohesion London – cross border /mutual aid Long term resource management of the New Dimension’s programme. Control of confidential shared information between responders. Theft of confidential information on local risks. Theft of fire service vehicles, equipment and uniforms leading to a Trojan Horse event. Lack of available funding. Increase in Service delivery Personnel security checks. Conflicting advice leading to increased risk to life. Public and fire-fighters at risk from terrorist actions Potential increase in long-term welfare issues. Breakdown in community relations/law and order. Reputational risk. Personnel refusing to undertake tasks. Opportunities to develop search and rescue response capability to any incident. Develop interdepartmental liaison. Improve partnership arrangements with Police Improve multi-agency liaison generally. Opportunity to specialist skills and equipment across agencies Greater organisational awareness of other agencies special procedures
Rating Rating Scale Staff / Safety Service Disruption Service Objectives Direct Loss /Finance Media Attitude /Reputation Action Environment Insignificant 1 No injuries or threat of injuries. H & S compliant Very little disruption to normal services. Some problems delivering departmental objectives Financial loss <£25k No media coverage. External parties not impacted or aware of problem Unsupported threat of action. High compliance standards recognised. No damage to local environment. 2 Minor injuries (first aid required).H & S Policy review required Minor disruption to delivery of services. Inability to deliver a departmental objective. Financial loss >£26k <£100k Some local media coverage. Some external parties aware of the problem, but impacts on external parties are minimal. Legal action with limited potential for decision against. / Oral comments received Minimal damage to local environment Significant 3 Serious injury. term hospitalisation. H&S standards insufficient / poor training. Significant disruption to important services. Inability to deliver departmental objectives Financial loss >£101k <£250k Extensive local front page press & local TV coverage. Significant number of external parties aware of problems Probable settlement out of court. / Findings in written examination report Moderate damage to local environment. Major 4 Severe/multiple injuries possibly leading to loss of life. Long term hospitalisation. H&S investigation. Major disruption to important services Inability to deliver one of the corporate objectives Financial loss >£251k <£500k Some national broadsheet & TV coverage. Cost to third parties. Civil action against for significant violation with limited opportunity for quick settlement. Possible criminal action. / Multiple or repeat violations. Significant damage to local environment. Critical 5 Loss of life. Severe/Multiple injuries & long term hospitalisation. H&S breach causing serious fine, investigation, fees and possible stop notice. disruption to a number of critical services. Inability to deliver all or a number of corporate objectives. Financial loss >£501k Extended national media coverage, inc broadsheet editorial & TV./ Third parties suffer major loss and/or cost. Action brought against for major violation. / Action brought against for significant violation. Very large penalty/fine. Major local and significant national environmental damage