Annex. Results and resources framework for Ethiopia (2016-2020) NATIONAL PRIORITY OR GOAL: Structural transformation and inclusive growth UNDAF OUTCOME 1: By 2020 Ethiopia has achieved robust and inclusive growth in agricultural production, productivity and commercialization of the agricultural sector. RELATED STRATEGIC PLAN OUTCOME: Growth and development are inclusive and sustainable, incorporating productive capacities that create employment and livelihoods for the poor and excluded. UNDAF outcome indicators, baselines and targets Data source and frequency of data collection, and responsibilities Indicative country programme outputs (including indicators, baselines and targets) Major partners and partnership frameworks Indicative resources by outcome (in dollars) food crop production in million quintals disaggregated by farmer type Baseline (2013) 251 Smallholder farmers: 241 commercial farms: 10 Target : 414 Smallholder farmers: 397 Commercial farms: 17 spending on agriculture as % of GDP Baseline: (2015): 0.7% Target: 0.9% of GDP of export of agricultural products (in billions of United States dollars) Baseline: $2.3 billion (2014) Target: $2.8 billion Data source: progress reports for GTP II, ATA reports, Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) reports Frequency: Annually Responsibility: ATA, MoFED, MoA Output 1: Farmers have strengthened technical capacities and skills to adopt inclusive value chain approaches in the commercialization of cereals, pulses and oil seeds. Indicator 1: number of households using improved methods of farming (technology , seeds , fertilizers, and other extension services) Baseline: 15,200,000 Target: 19,760,000 Indicator 2: number of unions using improved storage and other post-harvest handling practices Baseline: 30 Target: 45 Indicator 3: number of coops and unions linked with buyers through contractual agreement and other remunerative markets Baseline: primary cooperative: 270 unions: 30 Target: primary cooperatives: 405 MoA, ATA; Bill and Melinda Foundation; Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development Canada
Baseline 2013: 629,050 Target: 1,000,000 Data Source: MoFED Progress reports of GTP, Federal Micro and Small Enterprises Development Agency (FeMSEDA) reports Frequency: annually Responsibility: MoFED, FeMSEDA Output 2: Access to innovative financial products and services by MSMEs strengthened Indicator 1: number of MSMEs with access to new financial products/services Baseline: 0 Target: 100 National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE), Development Bank of Ethiopia, participating financial institutions, FeMSEDA Data Source: Entrepreneurship Development Centre annual reports Frequency: annually Responsibility: MoI, EDC Output 3: Private sector enterprises have improved skills to be productive and competitive Indicator 1 : Number of new jobs and other livelihoods generated (disaggregated by sex) Baseline Men: 0 Baseline women: 0 Target Men: 200,000 Target Women: 100,000 Indicator 2: Number of entrepreneurs with increased access to investment advisory services (disaggregated by sex) Baseline men 2,168 Baseline 2,359 Target men: 40,000 Target women: 40,000 Ministry of Development, Housing and Construction (MoUDHC), FeMSEDA, MoI Data Source: Ethiopian Maritime Affair Authority (EMAA) annual reports Frequency: annually Responsibility: EMAA Output 4 Improved facilitation and logistical services for enhanced trade competitiveness Indicator 1: Extent to which capacities of the EMAA competitively provide trade facilitation and logistical services are improved Baseline: 2 Ministry of Trade, EMAA, MoI, NBE
Target: 4 Indicator 2: Cargo dwelling time at seaport of entry Baseline: 44 days Target: 10 days Data Source: MoFED progress reports of GTP II, Ethiopian Tourism Organization (ETO) annual reports Frequency: annually Responsibility: ETO, Output 5: Improved and enabling environment for an expanded and sustainable tourism sector Indicator 1: Extent to which tourism service centres have the financial and human resources capacities to expand the tourism sector Baseline: 1 Target: 4 Indicator 2: Number of jobs created by the tourism sector Baseline: 783,638 Target: 1,000,000 Ministry of Culture and Tourism (MoCT), ETO NATIONAL PRIORITY OR GOAL: Ethiopia to become a green, carbon-neutral and climate-resilient middle-income economy by 2025. UNDAF (OR EQUIVALENT) OUTCOME: By 2020, key government institutions at federal level and in all regions and cities are able to plan, implement and monitor priority climate change mitigation and adaptation actions and sustainable natural resource management. RELATED STRATEGIC PLAN OUTCOME: Countries are able to reduce the likelihood of conflict and lower the risk of natural disasters, including from climate change. Number of annual greenhouse gas emissions (in million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent) Baseline: 130 Target: 130 Coverage of renewable energy in gigawatt hours Data source: third national communication, sectoral reports, MoUDHC, Ministry of Environment and Forest (MoEF), Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Energy (MoWIE), MoA, Output 1: Enhanced financial, technical and institutional capacity of CRGE sectors, line ministries to develop, implement and monitor, strategies and plans that promote climate-resilient green economy and society. Indicator 1. Number of households benefiting from mitigation and adaptation initiatives MoWIE, MoFED, MoEF, MoI, Ministry of Transport, MoUDHC, regional state bureaux
Baseline: 8,702 Target: 58,703 MoCT reports, CRGE sectors Frequency: annual Responsible: MoUDHC, MoEF, MoA, CRGE sectors including MoCT Baseline: TBD Target:250,000 households Indicator 2: Number of cities implementing waste management and urban greenery initiatives Baseline: 2 Target: 16 Indicator 3: Number of households adopting climate change adaptation technologies Baseline: 0 Target: 20,000 Indicator 4: Number of sectors with strengthened systems in place to access, monitor and report on use of climate finance Baseline: 0 Target: 7 Indicator 5: Number of rural households accessing green technology initiatives Baseline: 9,000,000 Target: 9,800,000 Data source: MoEF, MoA, Ethiopia Wildlife Conservation Authority (EWCA), Ethiopian Biodiversity Institute (EBI) reports Frequency: Annually Responsible: MoEF, MoA, EWCA, EBI Output 2: Regional administrations enabled to ensure the conservation, sustainable use and access of natural resources, biodiversity and ecosystems. Indicator 1: Number of households benefiting from sustainable forest management and biodiversity conservation Baseline: TBD Target: 75,000 Indicator 2: Extent to which protected areas (forest, wildlife and heritage sites) are sustainably managed and conserved. Baseline: 1 Target: 3 EWCA, EBI, regions and city administrations Data source: National Meteorology Agency (NMA), MoEF reports, Output 3: Enhanced institutional capacity at all levels to effectively manage, coordinate and mainstream NMA, DRMFSS/MoA, MoWIE, regional bureaux
Hectares of land managed sustainably through afforestation/ reforestation, protected area management, biodiversity and ecosystem conservation Baseline: 1,200,000 Target: 6,700,000 Disaster Risk Management and Food Security Sector (DRMFSS) Frequency: Annually Responsible: CRGE sectors, MoCT DRM policy, plan, strategies and programmes and to utilize climate information and early warning systems. Indicator 1: Extent to which capacities for effective coordination of preparedness and response to disasters are improved Baseline: 2 Target: 4 Indicator 2: Number of woredas (districts) accessing climate and early warning information Baseline: 74 Target: 250 Indicator 3: Number of rural households benefiting from climate information and early warning systems Baseline: 2,800,000 Target: 9,015,000 Data source: MoUDHC, MoWIE, Ministry of Science and Technology, MoEF and MoCT reports; DRMFSS Frequency : annually Responsibility: MoEF, MoWIE, MoCT Output 4: Enhanced resilience of households and communities in areas, including livelihood recovery support provided to refugees, host communities and internally displaced persons Indicator 1: Number of communities with disaster preparedness and response plans; Baseline: 54 Target: 180 Indicator 2: number of households benefiting from life-saving livelihood recovery support Baseline: 35,000 Target: 47,750 DRMFSS (federal and regional), (federal and regional), National DRM Technical Working Group, United Nations agencies National Priority/Goal: Democracy and good governance are maintained through people’s participation and social justice is secured. Outcome Involving UNDP: Key government institutions and other stakeholders utilize enhanced capacities to ensure equitable, efficient, accountable, participatory and gender-responsive development.