Crisis Behavior Fearon, James. “Signaling Foreign Policy Interests: Tying Hands versus Sinking Costs.” Journal of Conflict Resolution (February 1997): 68-90. Kroenig, Matthew. “Nuclear Superiority and the Balance of Resolve: Explaining Nuclear Crisis Outcomes.” International Organization (January 2012): 141-171. Weeks, Jessica. “Autocratic Audience Costs: Regime Type and Signaling Resolve.” International Organization (January 2008): 35-64. Snyder, Jack and Erica D. Borghard. “The Cost of Empty Threats: A Penny, Not a Pound.” American Political Science Review (August 2011): 437-456. Slantchev, Branislav. “Military Coercion in Interstate Crises.” American Political Science Review (November 2005): 533-547. Trager, Robert. “Diplomatic Calculus in Anarchy.” American Political Science Review (May: 2010): 347-368. Press, Daryl. “The Credibility of Power: Assessing Threats during the Appeasement Crisis of the 1930s.” International Security (Winter 2004/2005): 136-169. Sechser, Todd. “Goliath's Curse: Coercive Threats and Asymmetric Power. International Organization (Fall 2010): 627-60. War Conduct and Outcomes Reiter, Dan and Allan Stam. “Understanding Victory: Why Political Institutions Matter.” International Security (Summer 2003): 168-179. Downes, Alexander B. “How Smart and Tough Are Democracies? Reassessing Theories of Democratic Victory in War.” International Security (Spring 2009): 9-51. Reiter, Dan, Allan Stam, and Alexander B. Downes. “Correspondence: Another Skirmish in the Battle over Democracies and War.” International Security (Fall 2009): 194. Kahl, Colin. “In the Crossfire or the Crosshairs? Norms, Civilian Casualties, and U.S. Conduct in Iraq.” International Security (Summer 2007): 7-46. Downes, Alex. “Desperate Times, Desperate Measures: The Causes of Civilian Victimization in War.” International Security (Spring 2006): 152-195.
Lyall, Jason and Isaiah Wilson II. “Rage against the Machines: Explaining Victory in Counterinsurgency Wars.” International Organization (January 2009): 67-107. Blair, Graeme, Christine Fair, Neil Malhotra, and Jacob Shapiro. “Poverty and Support for Militant Politics in Pakistan.” American Journal of Political Science, forthcoming, available at online first. Abrahms, Max. “Why Terrorism Doesn’t Work.” International Security (Fall 2006): 42-78. Lyall, Jason. “Are Coethnics More Effective Counterinsurgents? Evidence from the Second Chechnyan War.” American Political Science Review (February 2010): 1-20. Chenoweth, Erica. “Democratic Competition and Terrorist Activity.” Journal of Politics (January 2010): 16-30. Compliance with International Agreements Fearon, James. “Bargaining, Enforcement, and International Cooperation.” International Organization (Spring 1998), 269-306. Vreeland, James Raymond. “Political Institutions and Human Rights: Why Dictatorships Enter into the United Nations Convention Against Torture.” International Organization (January 2008): 65-101 . Simmons, Beth and Allison Danner. “Credible Commitments and the International Criminal Court.” International Organization (April 2010): 225-256. Xinyuan, Dai. “Why Comply? The Domestic Constituency Mechanism.” International Organization (April 2005): 363-398. Von Stein, Jana. “Do Treaties Constrain or Screen? Selection Bias and Treaty Compliance.” American Political Science Review (November 2005): 611-622. International Trade Tomz, Michael, Judith L. Goldstein, and Douglas Rivers. “Do We Really Know that the WTO Increases Trade? Comment.” American Economic Review (December 2007): 2005-2018.
David C. Kang, “,” International Security, Vol. 27, No. 4 (Spring 2003), 57-85 The Origins of Instability and War Robert Jervis, “,” World Politics, Vol. 30, No. 2 (January 1978), 167-214. Stephen Van Evera, “,” International Security, Vol. 9, No. 1 (Summer 1984), 58-107. Keir A. Lieber, “,” International Security, Vol. 25, No. 1 (Summer 2000), 71–104. Kenneth N. Waltz, “,” The Journal of Interdisciplinary History, Vol. 18, No. 4 (Spring 1988), 615-628. Robert Gilpin, “,” The Journal of Interdisciplinary History, Vol. 18, No. 4 (Spring 1988), Jack S. Levy, “,” World Politics, Vol. 40, No. 1 (October 1987), 82-107. Robert Powell, “,” International Organization, Vol. 60, No. 1 (Winter 2006), 169-204. The Bargaining of War James D. Fearon, “,” International Organization, Vol. 4, No. 3 (Summer 1995), 379-414. Dan Reiter, “,” Perspective on Politics, Vol. 1, No. 1 (March 2003), 27-43. David A. Lake, “,” International Security, Vol. 35, No. 3 (Winter 2010/11), 7-52. Barbara F. Walter, “,” Annual Review of Political Science, Vol. 12 (2009), 243-261. Ron E. Hassner, “,” International Security, Vol. 31, No. 3 (Winter 2006/07), 107-138. Jonathan D. Kirshner, “” Security Studies, Vol. 10, No. 1 (Autumn 2000), 143-50. Coercion, Credibility, and Reputation Robert Jervis, Perception and Misperception in International Politics (Princeton, 1976). Daryl G. Press, “,” International Security, Vol. 29, No. 3 (2004), 136-69. Jonathan Mercer, “,” International Organization, Vol. 67, No. 2 (Spring 2013), 221-252.
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and George W. Downs, “,” International Organization, Vol. 60, No. 3 (Summer 2006), 627-649. Alexander B. Downes and Jonathan Monten, “,” International Security, Vol. 37, No. 4 (Spring 2013), 90-131. Alan J. Kuperman, “,” International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 52, No. 1 (March 2008), 49-80. Virginia Page Fortna, “,” International Studies Quarterly, Vol. 48, No. 2 (June 2004), 269-292. Michael W. Doyle and Nicholas Sambanis, “,” American Political Science Review, Vol. 94, No. 4 (December 2000), 779-801. Sub-field C: International Political Economy Introduction to Political Economy Introduction to International Political Economy
Christopher Layne, “The Unipolar Exit: Beyond the Pax Americana,” Cambridge Review of International Affairs, Vol. 24, No. 1, June 2011 Sebastian Rosato & John Schuessler, “A Realist Foreign Policy for the United States,” Perspectives on Politics, December 2011, 803-819 John Mearsheimer, “America Unhinged,” National Interest, January/February, 2014, 9 -30 Campbell Craig et al., Correspondence: Debating American Engagement & the Future of Grand Strategy,” International Security, Fall 2013, (see especially the rejoinder by Brooks, Ikenberry, & Wohlforth, 191-199) Keir Lieber & Daryl Press, “Why States Won’t Give Nuclear Weapons to Terrorists,” International Security, Summer 2013 Conservative Internationalism and Neoconservatism Henry Nau, Conservative Internationalism, Introduction & Chapters 1-3, (1-80), Conclusion, (201-245) Elliott Abrams, “Neoconservatism: A Good Idea That Won’t Go Away,” Standpoint Magazine (London), June 2013 Balancers and Peer Competitors: America and China; “Soft Balancing” Brooks & Wohlforth, Chapter 2, “Realism, Balance-of-Power Theory, and the Counterbalancing Constraint,” and Chapter 3, “Realism, Balance-of-Threat Theory, and the ‘Soft Balancing’ Constraint,” pp. 22-59, 60-97. Friedberg, A Contest for Supremacy, Introduction, Chapters 1,2,7,8,9,10,11 Michael Beckley, “China’s Century? Why America’s Edge Will Endure,” International Security, Vol. 36, No. 3 (Winter 2011/12): 41-78 Azar Gat, “The Return of Authoritarian Great Powers,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 86, No. 4 (July/August 2007): 59-69 Azar Gat vs. John Ikenberry et al., Way is History Marching? Debating the Authoritarian Revival,” Foreign Affairs, July/August 2009: 150-159 Domestic Foundations and Constraints Michael Mandelbaum, The Frugal Superpower, Introduction, Chapters 1,2,4,5 (1-63, 101-180)
Robert J. Samuelson, “A country in denial about its fiscal future,” Washington Post, December 25, 2011 Tyler Cowan, “What Export-Oriented America Means,” American Interest, May/June, 2012 (5-11) Brooks & Wohlforth, Chapter 4, “Liberalism, Globalization, and Constraints Derived from Economic Interdependence,” 98-147 R. Lieber, Power & Willpower, Chapters 2, 3 (30-79) Pew Research Center, “Public Sees U.S. Power Declining as Support for Global Engagement Slips,” December 3, 2013, us-power-declining-as-support-for-global-engagement-slips/ The U.S. and the Rise of the Rest Kupchan, Chapter 4, “The Next Turn: The Rise of the Rest,” Brooks & Wohlforth, Chapter 6, “Constructivism & the Restraints of Legitimacy,” 171- 207 Jorge G. Castaneda, “Not Ready for Prime Time: Why Including Emerging Powers at the Helm Would Hurt Global Governance,” Foreign Affairs, Sep/Oct 2010: 109-122 R. Lieber, “Multipolar or Multilateral? Diffusion of Power, the BRICS and the United States,” forthcoming in International Politics (London), spring 2014 (page proofs will be available) Daniel Drezner, “Military Primacy Doesn’t Pay (Nearly As Much As You Think,” International Security, Summer 2013 (especially pages on “The Public Goods Benefits of Military Primacy,” 67-79) An Doctrine? Owen Harries & Tom Switzer, “Leading From Behind: Third Time A Charm,”American Interest, May/June 2013 Eliot Cohen, “American Withdrawal and World Disorder,” Wall Street Journal, March 20, 2013. Economist, “The man who used to walk on water,” November 23, 2013, Martin Indyk, Kenneth Lieberthal, and Michael E. O'Hanlon, “Scoring Obama's
Foreign Policy: A Progressive Pragmatist Tries to Bend History,” Foreign Affairs, May/June 2012 Bob Woodward, “Robert Gates, former defense secretary, offers harsh critique of Obama’s leadership in ‘Duty’,” Washington Post, Is American Primacy Sustainable? Mandelbaum, Conclusion & Epilogue, 181-213 Christopher Layne, “This Time It’s Real: The End of Unipolarity and the ‘Pax Americana,’ ” International Studies Quarterly (Feb 2012): 11pps William C. Wohlforth, “How Not to Evaluate Theories,” International Studies Quarterly (Feb 2012): 4pps R. Lieber, Power & Willpower Chapter 6 Joseph S. Nye, “The Twenty-First Century Will Not be a ‘Post-American World,” International Studies Quarterly, (Feb 2012), 3pps Nye, Presidential Leadership, Chapter 4, Twenty-First Century Leadership, 136-159 Kupchan, Chapter 7, “Managing No One’s 182-205