2.5 Project Logframe & Results Framework The CATALIST-Uganda project logframe is presented below. This outlines the hierarchy of project goals, objectives, and outputs and includes tentative indicators and targets, method of measurement/verification and related assumptions. Technical activities by commodity are presented in Section 2.6., and a draft Performance Assessment Matrix is presented in Annex 2. Project Logframe Goal Level Description Tentative Indicators & Targets (2016) Measurement/Verification Assumptions Project Goal To sustainably commercialize smallholder agriculture through improved productivity and market development, resulting in marketable surpluses that raise farm incomes in Uganda, and increase food security for the wider East Africa and Great Lakes Region 110,000 participating smallholder households 110,000 households double yields in target commodities and achieve 50% income increases Participating farmers produce a marketable surplus of 224,000 metric tons of cereal equivalents over the life of project Baseline survey and annual surveys M&E of AB clusters and cluster reports Project reports Project mid-term and final evaluation Rainfall and other climate conditions stay within the normal range for the region No sudden outbreaks of pests and/or crop diseases No significant macro-economic or monetary instability No sudden changes in national or regional policies impeding free flow of inputs and outputs No sudden changes in or crop prices and pricing policies Project Objective Smallholder farmers improve production, productivity and quality in commodity-specific cropping systems (Production Push) Output Farmers sustainably increase yields and decrease production 4 geographic-specific CSFSs made available to farmers Annual report lists technical packages and number of farmers adopting them Field visits and reports 80 % of participating farmers correctly at least 2 essential elements of the CSFS recommendations
quality at farm 100 matching investment grants to farmer and farmer groups for improved equipment Annual report lists matching investment grants Grant agreements and grantee reports Field reports on grantees visits Project Objective Agribusiness clusters create by selling into national, East Africa regional and international/Dutch markets and agribusinesses (Market Pull Output 2.1 ABC actors undertake joint purchasing, storage, and selling power 80% of participating farmers are part of a cluster 1,000 cluster members are service providers (agro-input dealers, traders, transporters, agribusinesses, etc.) 50 % of participating farmers that can potentially gain from storage and/or inventory credit have access to these tools 50 % of farmers participate in joint procurements of inputs and/or joint sales of outputs Annual report lists clusters and their membership breakdown M&E of AB clusters and cluster reports Field survey and reports Market survey and analysis of crops stored. Farmers willing to work cooperatively Ministry of Agriculture permits and encourages entrepreneurial enterprise development outside of existing national structures Turnover can be determined by factors outside the control of the project, such as sudden rise or drop in food prices Joint purchasing, storage, and selling activities can take the form of collective action by cluster members or be undertaken by specialists (store managers, traders) depending on level of entrepreneurship and presence of specialists. Each option comes with opportunities and risks, and needs to be carefully analyzed. Attribution of cluster performance may be subject to interventions from different programs and initiatives Financial services or credit organizations are active in the region and willing to make loans at market interest rates 100 matching investment grants to farmer and farmer groups for improved equipment and/or storage 2 innovation grants will test innovations in input and output markets Annual report lists grants agreements and grantee reports Field reports on grantees visits Output Turnover of clusters increases 15% per year and income of cluster actors increases by 50% over life of project M&E of AB clusters and cluster reports Field survey and reports
disease pandemics (such as cassava brown streak virus, various potato diseases, and rice diseases such as yellow mottle virus) through close communication with Ugandan and international research institutes and plant protection agencies Standard mitigation measures are part of the CSFS intervention package that incorporates plant health through chemical and natural means Specific mitigation measures will be developed in collaboration with research institutes and plant protection agencies once new/specific threats are identified Continuous Government intervention in agricultural markets from: Market unfriendly regulation Price controls Subsidies Free distribution of inputs Rent-seeking and favoritism Medium Medium - high CATALIST-Uganda will stay abreast of developments through EKN and its own networks As the timing and effects of government intervention can be unpredictable and the appropriate course of action will be decided as events unfold CATALIST-Uganda participates in policy and stakeholder networks through project beneficiaries and partners to advocate for market-friendly policies and regulations Continuous Changes in the overall investment climate or in the investment climate affecting individual actors/investors Medium Medium CATALIST-Uganda participates in policy and stakeholder networks through project beneficiaries and partners to advocate for market-friendly policies and regulations CATATIST-Uganda will facilitate the development of resilient ABCs including the development of risk-mitigating strategies to enable ABCs to withstand a reasonable amount of external shocks Project activities that focus on decreasing production costs, bulking of inputs/outputs, etc. increase cluster resilience Continuous During the development of cluster risk mitigation strategies Economic insecurity Risk of instability Low High CATALIST-Uganda will stay abreast of developments through EKN and its own networks Continuous