Comments (including % achievement) Not achieved at closure. Original target of 159 km exceeded with additional 7 km of road through Arua town. However, works on the 66 km Kamwenge to Fort Portal road only 49% complete when the Credit was cancelled. Since then the road has been completed and the target met, using Government of Uganda funding. Indicator 2: National Road Safety Authority (NRSA) created and operational quantitative or qualitative) Road Safety managed by Government Department NRSA established and operational NRSA creation turned down by Cabinet Date achieved 07/15/2010 12/31/2014 01/31/2016 Comments (including % achievement) Not achieved. Although the road safety policy statement was agreed, Cabinet turned down the creation of NRSA in November 2014 due to insufficient information. Indicator 3: database established and operational Value quantitative or qualitative) Crash database not yet established Database established and fully operational Database established Date achieved 07/15/2010 12/31/2014 01/31/2016 Comments (including % achievement) Achieved. Database established, made functional and tested in the pilot regions. Data collected from other regions still to be put in system manually Indicator 4: Detailed design and bidding documents for phase 1 bus rapid transit system prepared Value quantitative or qualitative) Design and bidding documents not prepared Documents completed and approved Documents completed and approved Date achieved 07/15/2010 12/31/2014 01/31/2016 Comments (including % achievement) Achieved. Designs and reports approved by a technical committee and by stakeholders at a workshop. Indicator 5: Framework for Metropolitan Area Transport Authority (MATA) prepared Value quantitative or qualitative) No framework in place Framework drafted and approved Framework drafted, but not yet approved Date achieved 07/15/2010 12/31/2014 01/31/2016 Comments (including % achievement) Partially achieved. Framework drafted and received financial clearance, but yet to be approved by Cabinet. Indicator 6: Transport Policy Updated Value quantitative or qualitative) Policy not updated Policy updated and approved Policy drafted, but not yet approved Date achieved 07/15/2010 12/31/2014 01/31/2016 Comments Partially achieved. Revised policy drafted and amended, but financial clearance
1. Project Costs and Financing (a) Project Cost by Component (in US$, millions equivalent) Components Appraisal Estimate (US$, millions) AF Estimate (US$, millions) Actual/Latest Estimate (US$, millions) Latest % of Appraisal Latest % of Revised Estimate A. Road Investments 162.1 235.1 140.7 86.8 59.8 B. Enhanced Road Safety 4.5 4.5 2.1 46.7 46.7 C. Urban Transport Planning 4.5 4.5 4.1 91.1 91.1 D. Institutional Support (Government) 10.9 10.9 5.8 53.2 53.2 E. Institutional Support (UNRA) 16.0 18.0 12.5 78.1 69.4 Project Costs* 198.0 273.0 165.2 83.4 60.5 Total Financing Required 198.0 273.0 — — — Note: *Including physical and price contingencies. (b) Financing Source of Funds Appraisal Estimate (US$, millions) Revised Estimate at AF (US$, millions) Actual/Latest Estimate (US$, millions) Latest % of Appraisal Latest % of Revised Estimate IDA 190.0 265.0 159.1 83.7 60.0 DFID 8.0 8.0 6.1 76.2 76.2
2.1. Joint Institutional Support Plan of Development Partners to the Uganda Transport Sector (2009–2014) Institution Key Issues to be Addressed World Bank EC DFID DANIDA Total MoWT Sector policy setting Strategic planning Sector oversight Transport regulation Sector monitoring Road safety capacity Adjustment of legal framework US$0.4 million under RSDP-3 for TA US$7.9 million support to MoWT under the TSDP US$3.5 million for road safety under the TSDP — US$4.0 million support to World Bank TSDP — US$15.8 million DUCAR Strategy for district road management Planning, budgeting, and expenditure management Technical oversight Monitoring Support to DUCAR included in the above — Support to DUCAR included in the above Long-term advisor to division in MoWT (US$2.0 million) US$2.0 million Road Fund (Ministry of Finance) Establishment of Road Fund Secretariat Regulations Operating procedures Financial management systems Monitoring systems — US$2.6 million for TA to work in coordination with DFID support — — US$2.6 million
Table 3.2. Summary of Main Inputs and Results of the Economic Analysis Location Alternative Surface Type Length (km) Pavement Width Initial Roughness (IRI m/km) Base Year 2007 ADDT Range Revised Financial Costs Revised Economic Analysis Existing Appraised Existing New Total Cost (US$, millions) Cost per km (US$) NPV at 12% (US$, millions) NPV/Cost Ratio A B Gravel Gravel DBST/CSB AC/CSB 11 11 5.0 5.0 9.5 9.5 14.0 14.0 779 779 9.008 11.000 818,919 1,000,000 13.94 12.56 1.548 1.142 A B Gravel Gravel DBST/CSB AC/CSB 63 63 5.0 5.0 9.5 9.5 17.0 17.0 330 330 51.592 63.000 818,919 1,000,000 11.74 4.36 0.228 0.069 Note: AC = Asphalt Concrete; ADDT = ; CSB = Crushed Stone-Base; IRI = International Roughness Index; Economic costs in the economic analysis were calculated to be 91.9 percent of financial costs. The combined project EIRRs are derived from the HDM-4 output tables.
The reduction of transport costs and travel times on major road corridors and enhancing regional connectivity of national roads in poor condition decreased Percentage of population with access to an all road in the target area increased Decline in annual rate of growth of accident fatalities 1.4. Key Project Data Table 7.1. Key Project Data Project ID Type Credit/Grant No. Approval Date Financing Agreement Signing Effectiveness Date Closing Date Amount (US$, millions) P092837 Credit IDA-49790 December 10, 2009 February 3, 2010 July 15, 2010 January 31, 2016 190.00 Grant TF-11094 April 6, 2010 March 27, 2012 March 27, 2012 June 30, 2014 6.15 AF Credit IDA-46790 June 16, 2011 June 5, 2012 October 22, 2012 January 31, 2016 75.00 Total Amount 271.15 1.5. Risk Assessment and Mitigation at Appraisal The following are the critical project and proposed mitigation strategies: Table 7.2. Risks and Mitigation Measures Description of Risk Why is it Important? Risk Rating Mitigation Measures Risk The URF is not operational as per the law. One of the requirements of the Road Fund Law is that user charges are transferred directly from the source to the URF on a monthly basis. The URF is essential for the sustainability of the road network. The URF is expected to provide a consistent flow of finance for maintenance. This will help develop the local construction industry. M The URF, with the MoFPED approval, will the funding for that maintenance of the project. The MoFPED has already committed to secure the budget allocation for the project while UNRA will prioritize the project among other maintenance requirements. L
Uganda Bureau of Statistics. 2016. Census 2014 Final Results. Uganda National Road Agency. 2012. Preparation of Third Phase of Road Sector Development Program. Kagga and Mott Macdonald. Uganda Police. 2013. Annual and Traffic Road Safety Report, Kampala. Uganda Road Fund. Road Maintenance Monitoring Report, Q1 FY2015/16, November 2015. Uganda Sexual and Gender-based Violence Diagnostic. 2016. Washington, DC: World Bank. Uganda Transport Sector Development Project, Environmental Assessment, E1879, July 2009. Uganda Transport Sector Development Project, Resettlement Action Plan, RP665, July 2009. United Nations Refugee Agency. 2005. Uganda Hosts Record 500,000 Refugees and Asylum Seekers. (accessed September 7, 2016), . World Bank. 2010. Rural Road Investment Efficiency: Lessons from Burkina Faso, Cameroon and Uganda, Report 53646. World Bank Bridges Across Borders--Unleashing Uganda’s Regional Trade Potential. Uganda Economic Update 1. 2013 (February). World Bank Northeastern Road Corridor Asset Management Project, Project Appraisal Document, Report PAD 707, Washington, DC: World Bank. 2014 World Bank Uganda Overview, Country at a Glance (accessed October 14, 2016). . World Bank, 2016, Lessons learned and Agenda for Action from the Uganda TSDP World Bank, 2011, Transport Sector Development Project, Project Paper on a Proposed Additional Credit, Report 59825, Washington DC Bank, 2009, Transport Sector Development Project, Project Appraisal Document, Report 50977-UG, Washington DC World Health Organization. 2015. Road Safety Report, Geneva.