Summary of current situation & trends - all districts – June 2017 KEY = low risk Orange = watch Red = high risk KEY ↑ = increasing trend ↓ = decreasing trend ↔ = steady Northern Territory Pastoral Districts Indicator Darwin Katherine VRD Sturt Plateau Roper Gulf Barkly Tennant Northern Springs Plenty Southern Alice Springs Comments 2016/17 pasture growth ↔ ↔ ↑ ↔ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ Arrows indicate trend compared to the long-term median. Current estimated standing biomass ↓ ↓ ↔ ↓ ↔ ↓ ↓ ↔ ↑ ↔ ↓ Arrows indicate trend since previous quarter. Current fire risk ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↔ Arrows indicate the trend since previous quarter. Current seasonal outlook ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↔ ↓ ↔ ↔ Arrows indicate the trend since previous quarter and taking into account the forecasted model predictions. For further information about this Outlook, please contact Chris Materne on 8951 8135 or Dionne Walsh on 8999 2178
Katherine District Risks: Nil to report. Currently (as at 1st June 2017) >1,000 & <2,000kg/ha >2,000 & <3,000kg/ha >3,000kg/ha Wet Season Pasture Growth (kg/ha) 0% 35% 65% 0% Total Standing Dry Matter (kg/ha) 3% 41% 47% 9% Below Average Average Average Pasture Growth (% of district) 15% 37% 48% Total Standing Dry Matter (% of district) 54% 40% 6% Fire Risk (% of district) High 71% Moderate 29% Low 0% Area Burnt (% of district) 9% (since 1st January 2017) 30% (2016/17 Total Area Burnt) 2016/17 Median Pasture Growth (kg/ha) (Running Chance of exceeding Median Pasture Growth (June 2017 – August 2017) Total 2016/17 Pasture Growth (July 2016 – June 2017) Current Estimated Total Standing Dry Matter
Victoria River District Risks: As at the 1st June 2017, 95% of the district had a high fire risk. Currently (as at 1st June 2017) <1,000kg/ha >1,000 & >2,000 & <3,000kg/ha >3,000kg/ha Wet Season Pasture Growth (kg/ha) 0% 30% 60% 10% Standing Dry Matter (kg/ha) 2% 15% 48% 35% Below Average (< 30%) Average Above Average Pasture Growth (% of district) 2% 20% 78% Total Standing Dry Matter (% of district) 30% 40% 30% Fire Risk (% of district) High 95% Moderate 5% Low 0% Area Burnt (% of district) 7% (since 1st January 2017) 15% (2016/17 Total Area Burnt) 2016/17 Median Pasture Growth (kg/ha) (Running Total) Chance of exceeding Median Pasture Growth (June 2017 – August 2017) Total 2016/17 Pasture Growth (July 2016 – June 2017) Current Estimated Total Standing Dry Matter
Sturt Plateau District Risks: As at the 1st June 2017, 98% of the district had a high fire risk. Currently (as at 1st June 2017) <1,000kg/ha >1,000 & <2,000kg/ha >2,000 & >3,000kg/ha Wet Season Pasture Growth (kg/ha) 1% 34% 64% 1% Total Standing Dry Matter (kg/ha) 2% 37% 54% 7% Average Average Above Average Pasture Growth (% of district) 4% 45% 51% Total Standing Dry Matter (% of district) 17% 78% 5% Fire Risk (% of district) High 98% Moderate 2% Low 0% Area Burnt (% of district) 4% 1st January 2017) 13% (2016/17 Total Area Burnt) 2016/17 Median Pasture Growth (kg/ha) (Running Total) Chance of exceeding Median Pasture Growth (June 2017 – August 2017) Total 2016/17 Pasture Growth (July 2016 – June 2017) Current Estimated Total Standing Dry Matter
Roper District Risks: Nil to report. Currently (as at 1st June 2017) <1,000kg/ha >1,000 & <2,000kg/ha >2,000 & >3,000kg/ha Wet Season Pasture Growth (kg/ha) 0% 18% 70% 12% Standing Dry Matter (kg/ha) 1% 15% 50% 34% Below Average Average Above Average Pasture Growth (% of district) 12% 31% 57% Total Standing Dry Matter (% of district) 30% 53% 17% Fire Risk (% of district) High 86% Moderate 14% Low 0% Area Burnt (% of district) 8% (since 1st January 2017) 16% (2016/17 Total Area Burnt) 2016/17 Median Pasture Growth (kg/ha) (Running Chance of exceeding Median Pasture Growth (June 2017 – August 2017) Total 2016/17 Pasture Growth (July 2016 – June 2017) Current Estimated Total Standing Dry Matter
Gulf District Risks: As at the 1st June 2017, 100% of the district had a high fire risk. Currently (as at 1st June 2017) <1,000kg/ha >1,000 & <2,000kg/ha >2,000 & >3,000kg/ha Wet Season Pasture Growth (kg/ha) 0% 27% 63% 10% Standing Dry Matter (kg/ha) 0% 26% 41% 33% Below Average Average Above Average Pasture Growth (% of district) 5% 35% 60% Total Standing Dry Matter (% of district) 32% 55% 13% Fire Risk (% of district) High 100% Moderate 0% Low 0% Area Burnt (% of district) 2% 1st January 2017) 10% (2016/17 Total Area Burnt) 2016/17 Median Pasture Growth (kg/ha) (Running Total) Chance of exceeding Median Pasture Growth (June 2017 – August 2017) Total 2016/17 Pasture Growth (July 2016 – June 2017) Current Estimated Total Standing Dry Matter
Barkly District Risks: As at the 1st June 2017, 99% of the district had a high fire risk. Currently (as at 1st June 2017) <250kg/ha >250 & <500kg/ha >500 & <1,000kg/ha >1,000kg/ha Pasture Growth (kg/ha) Since 1st July 2016 0% 0% 7% 93% Total Standing Dry Matter (kg/ha) 0% 2% 5% 93% Below Average Average Average Pasture Growth (% of district) 0% 5% 95% Total Standing Dry Matter (% of district) 2% 16% 82% Fire Risk (% of district) High 99% Moderate 1% Low 0% Area Burnt (% of district) 2% (since 1st January 2017) 2% (2016/17 Total Area Burnt) 2016/17 Median Pasture Growth (kg/ha) (Running Total) Chance of exceeding Median Pasture Growth (June 2017 – August 2017) Total 2016/17 Pasture Growth (July 2016 – June 2017) Current Estimated Total Standing Dry Matter
Tennant Creek District As at the 1st June 2017, 100% of the district had a high fire risk. Currently (as at 1st June 2017) <250kg/ha >250 & <500kg/ha >500 & <1,000kg/ha Pasture Growth (kg/ha) Since 1st July 2016 0% 0% 12% 88% Total Standing Dry Matter (kg/ha) 0% 0% 2% 98% Average Average Above Average Pasture Growth (% of district) 0% 2% 98% Total Standing Dry Matter (% of district) 3% 22% 75% Fire Risk (% of district) High 100% Moderate 0% Low 0% Area Burnt (% of district) 1% (since 1st January 2017) 2% (2016/17 Total Area Burnt) 2016/17 Median Pasture Growth (kg/ha) (Running Total) Chance of exceeding Median Pasture Growth (June 2017 – August 2017) Total 2016/17 Pasture Growth (July 2016 – June 2017) Current Estimated Total Standing Dry Matter