Day 4: Saturday 14th January 2017 RISK Low risk Medium risk High risk No risk Low risk Medium risk High risk Heavy Rain Strong Winds Angola X X Botswana X X DRC X X Comoros X X Lesotho X X Madagascar X SE coast Malawi X X Mauritius X X Mozambique Central parts X Namibia NW interior X Seychelles X X South Africa X W coast Swaziland X X Tanzania X X Zambia Central parts X Zimbabwe X X Day 5: Sunday 15th January 2017 RISK Low risk Medium risk High risk No risk Low risk Medium risk High risk Heavy Rain Strong Angola X X Botswana X X DRC X X Comoros X X Lesotho X X Madagascar X X Malawi X X Mauritius X X Mozambique Central parts X Namibia X X Seychelles X X South Africa X X Swaziland X X
SEVERE WEATHER EVALUATION FORM (Page 3) Quarterly Evaluation Table (to be fulfilled based on the Severe Weather Event Evaluation Form) A row has to be filled in this table whenever a severe weather event is observed or a warning is issued toward DMCPA. Starting date of the event Evaluation Form Event Number Type of event Region affected Highest observed value RSMC Guidance Which NWP/EPS forecast product(s) used by NMC Local warnings issued? Impact of the event Impact of the warning dd/mm/yy Indicate if extreme phenomena are the consequence of severe convection Indicate the region of the country hit by the severe weather Specify according to the phenomenon Amount predicted (same unit as in the preceding column) Usefulness from 1 to 4 1- Misleading 2 - Not useful 3 - Useful 4 – Very useful Indicate the model(s) and products used Usefulness from 1 to 4 1 - Misleading 2 - Not useful 3 - Useful 4 – Very useful Yes / No Damages, Casualties According to the DMCPA assessment
PROJECT EVALUATION AGAINST SWFDP GOALS SWFDP GOAL COMMENTS ON PROGRESS TOWARDS EACH GOAL Questions to help you with an answer for each box To improve the ability of NMHSs to forecast severe weather events How did the products on the RSMC New Delhi help you make better severe weather forecasts and warnings? To improve the lead time of alerting these events How much earlier do you issue severe weather forecasts & warnings now compared to before? To improve the interaction of NMHSs with Disaster Management and Civil Protection authorities (DMCPAs), the media, and the public, before, during and after severe weather events Comment on any interactions with your disaster agency, media agencies and the public. Please indicate if there hasn't been any interaction since the last repor,. To identify gaps and areas for improvements What are the weaknesses in your forecast system? To improve the of products from Global Centres through feedback from NMHSs What weaknesses have you found in the products from RSMC, New Delhi, JMA, NCEP, UKMO, ECMWFetc.? EVALUATION OF PWS COMPONENT Users Question Answer Comments Public Any feedback from the public? Yes or No If Yes, please give details. Any public reaction when the warnings were or received? Yes or No If Yes, please give details. Were there any difficulties in obtaining feedback? Yes or No If Yes, please give details. Disaster Management Any feedback from disaster management authorities about the timeliness and/or usefulness of the warnings Yes or No If Yes, please give details. Were safety messages and/or call to action statements issued by the disaster management authority in agreement with your forecasts & warnings? Yes or No If Yes, please give details. Media Any feedback from the Media? Yes or No If Yes, please give details. How did your relationship with the Media work in getting warnings delivered? Yes or No If Yes, please give details. Were their difficulties in working Yes or No If Yes, please give