Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP) Regional Sub-project for West Africa Training Workshop on Severe Weather Forecasting (Week 1) and Delivery of Warning Services (Week 2) (Lomé, Togo, 20-30 November 2018) Provisional Programme for Week-1 (20-24 November 2018) Day 1: Tuesday, 20 November 2018 09:00-09:30 Registration All 09:30-10:00 Opening Welcome Remarks by local host Message by WMO Group Photo DGMN-Togo Mr Abdoulaye Harou (WMO) All (30 min) 10:00-10:30 Coffee/ Tea 10:30-10:45 Strengthening capacity of NMHSs in improving forecasts and warnings through SWFDP Mr Abdoulaye (15 min) 10:45-11:00 Africa Training programme and objectives The role of SWIFT and joint aims of SWIFT and SWFDP in this workshop Mr Abdoulaye & Douglas Parkar (15 min) 11:00-11:30 RSMC Website and portal for SWFDP-West Africa (Interactive Demonstration) Mr Sadobou Ba (to instruct) (30 min) 11:30-12:30 hazards and forecasting capacity in West African countries 15 will make short presentations (2-3 slides) on major hazards & national forecasting/warning capacity & verification activities (Benin, Burkina Faso, Cabo Verde, The Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Ivory Coast, Liberia, Mali, Nigeria, Niger, Senegal, Sierra Leone and Togo) All NMHs Abdoulaye & Sadibou (to facilitate) (120 min) 12:30-13:30 Lunch Break 13:30-14:30 What are the hazards and forecasting capacity in your country? presentations …continue All NMHSs 14:30-14:45 Current weather discussion NMHS-Togo (15 min) 14:45-15:30 Forecaster’s Handbook Elements Basic climatological framework Elijah Adefisan (45 min) 15:30-16:00 Coffee/ Tea Break 16:00-17:30 Synoptic dynamics and synoptic analysis based on NWP fields Douglas Parker (90 min)
Day 2: Wednesday, 21 November 2018 09:00-09:45 SWFDP-Eastern Africa – Practices & Experience Guidance product development process and interpretation of guidance product Case studies – lessons learned, success stories and failures David Koros (45 min) 09:45-10:30 SWFDP-Eastern Africa – Verification Experience Forecast verification process at RSMC Nairobi SWFDP Evaluation form David Koros (45 min) 10:30-11:00 Coffee/ Tea Break 11:00-12:30 Global NWP products for SWFDP-West Africa NOAA/NCEP products through African Desk: an overview (access demo), interpretation and usage in forecasting ECC Canada – availability of data and products: an overview (access demo), interpretation and in forecasting TBD – NOAA/NCEP (45 min) Andre Giguere (45 min) 12:30-13:30 Lunch Break 13:30-13:45 Current weather discussion DGMN-Togo (15 min) 13:45-14:30 MeteoFrance – availability of data and products: overview (access demo), interpretation and usage in forecasting Marjorie Bougeon (45 min) 14:30-15:30 Forecaster’s Handbook Elements Deep convection Douglas Parker (60 min) 15:30-16:00 Coffee/ Tea Break 16:00-17:30 Regional NWP/Limited Area Model (LAM) – Products and Services Products and services available from regional centres including interpretation and usage (e.g. case studies) RSMC Dakar ACMAD AGRHYMET Regional Centre Abdou Aziz Diop (30 min) Elijah Adefisan (30 min) TBD-AGRHYMET (30 min) Day 3: Thursday, 22 November 2018 09:00-1030 Forecaster’s Handbook Elements weather Douglas Parker (90 min) 10:30-11:00 Coffee/ Tea break
Please click on "Verification module" to take the course on above website. Participants should complete the introductory module and the module on Categorical forecast verification --- about 2 hours work 12:30-13:30 Break 13:30-13:45 Current weather discussion DGMN-Togo (15 min) 13:45-15:00 Verification of forecast Verifying forecasts and warnings SWFDP verification tasks (probability of detection, false alarm ratio etc.) (theory and hands-on session) Koros (to instruct) Andre Giguere (to assist) (75 min) 15:00-15:30 SWFDP database and submission of Progress Reports Demonstration of SWFDP data base for submission of progress reports Abdoulaye Harou (30 min) 15:30-16:00 Coffee/ Tea Break 16:00-17:30 Practical session: Case studies over West Africa Douglas Parker (90 min) Day 5: Saturday, 24 November 2018 09:00-10:30 Practical session: Case studies over West Africa Douglas Parker (90 min) 10:30-11:00 Coffee/ Tea Break 11:00-12:30 Practical session: Case studies review/verification Douglas Parkar (90 min) 12:30-13:30 Break 13:30-15.30 Practical session: Case studies review/verification (continues…) Douglas Parkar (120 min) 15:30-16:00 Coffee/ Tea Break 16:00-17:15 Discussions about SWFDP-West Africa: Expectations and Way forward All Abdoulaye Harou (to facilitate) (75 min) 17:15-17:30 Closing of workshop (remarks by the host, WMO and participants) All (15 min) Lecturers: Mr André Giguère - ECC Canada Ms Marjorie Bougeon - MeteoFrance TBD - NOAA/NCEP Mr Abdou Aziz Diop - RSMC Dakar
Mr Sadibou Ba - RSMC TBD - AGRHYMET Dr Douglas Parker-University of Leads (GSRF African-SWIFT) Mr Elijah Adefisan – FUTA/ACMAD (GSRF African-SWIFT) Mr David Koros – RSMC Nairobi (KMD) (GSRF African-SWIFT) Mr Abdoulaye Harou – WMO Secretariat Important Note for Trainees on pre-workshop e-learning Courses: All the trainees are required to complete a few e-learning courses (as mentioned above within the training programme) before coming to the training workshop. The objective of the e-learning courses is to assist the trainees to have better preparation and to refresh their knowledge prior to the workshop.