Supply and demand pipeline overview A – Initial Teacher Education Application 6,243 applications, 6,056 offers and 4,683 acceptances made to ITE courses through VTAC B – Initial teacher education 16,144 undergraduate and 5,642 graduate ITE enrolments across four years C – Graduation 5,430 graduate teachers from ITE courses D – Registration 121,663 teachers registered with VIT, including 6,582 early childhood teachers E – Recruitment 270,269 applications made for advertised teaching positions in the government sector F – Victorian workforce 70,400 FTE teachers working in Victoria across 3 sectors, an increase of 4% from the previous year. Independent workforce: 12,686 FTE independent sector teachers G - Government workforce 47,826 active government sector teachers by headcount H – Catholic workforce 14,936 FTE Catholic sector teachers I – Attrition government and 4.6% Catholic teacher workforce attrition rate in 2015 J – Early childhood 77,816 government funded kindergarten enrolments, forecast to 88,383 enrolments by 2022 K – Primary students 518,507 primary enrolments, forecast to reach 576,481 enrolments by 2022 L – Secondary students 398,106 secondary enrolments, forecast to reach 462,942 enrolments by 2022 M – Special students 13,894 special student enrolments, forecast to reach 18,434 enrolments by 2022 N – Language students 1,601 government sector language enrolments, forecast to reach 2,016 enrolments by 2022 O – Supply and demand Forecast available supply surplus for kindergarten (1,144), primary (2,096) and secondary (238) teachers in 2022. Total available supply is forecast to meet demand for additional teachers every year until 2022.
Practicum placement by location 72% Regional / Rural 28% Practicum placement by sector Government 72% 14% Catholic 15% Practicum placement by type Block 75% 2% Distributed 23% Source: Customised dataset from ITE course providers, 2016
Forecast total supply by migration and ITE graduation Migration 1,139 1,139 1,140 1,140 (20%) (21%) (18%) (16%) ITE raduation 4,628 (80%) 4,259 (79%) 5,034 (82%) 6,200 (84%) 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: Customised ITE provider enrolment dataset, ITE providers, 2016; VIT Annual Reports, VIT, 2007-2016; ABS 4221.0 Schools, Australia, 2016 Early childhood teacher supply and demand Total demand for early childhood teachers is made up of demand from government funded kindergarten programs and long day care services. The total available additional supply of early childhood teachers is comprised of teacher migration and ITE graduates with early childhood or early childhood/primary dual qualifications. Forecast available supply numbers for 2021-2022 assume the same numbers as 2020. All figures represent teacher headcount. *All dual qualified early childhood teachers have been included in the total available supply, as future employment destinations are unknown. Forecast 2022 summary Supply exceeds demand 1,144* surplus Forecast additional supply and demand of early childhood teachers 1,500 1,000 500 0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Spike in total demand for 2020 represents additional forecast demand for teachers to meet 2020 requirements of Education and Care Services National Regulations.