Progress against Key Indicators INDICATOR DESCRIPTION LEVEL RELATED GOAL RESULT COMMENT AND IMPLICATIONS KPI 1 Share of public expenditure Public expenditure on education as percentage of total public expenditure (covers MoEC and MoRA expenditure) National Government commitment Positive Comment: Significant growth in allocations as proportion of national expenditure, from 12% 2001 (12%) to 20% by 2013. Implications: Stable growth in education financing is positive for further investment. KPI 2 Share of GDP Public expenditure on education as percentage of GDP National Government commitment Positive Comment: Education expenditure, as a proportion of GDP, increased from 3.3% in 2011 to 3.7% in 2013. KPI 3 of resources % share of education budget spending on costs. National Quality Positive Comment: Non-salary share of expenditures in 2011 increased to 25% of total district level expenditures (up from 13% in 2010). Implications: Growth in budget is not solely consumed by salaries. New budget allocations were especially strong for capital items. KPI 4 District commitment to education Education as % of total public expenditures District Government commitment Equity/access Neutral Comment: The strong increase in the education share of district budgets in 2011 was reversed in last 2 years 2012 and 2013, with the education share dropping to 34% from 36%. Implications: Poorest districts with low allocations for education should be monitored KPI 5 Annual growth in spending in the poorest districts Annual % change in public expenditures for education in lowest quintile districts compared to national % change in public expenditure for education District Equity/access Positive Comment: Average growth in education allocations improved for poorest districts and there fewer poorest districts allocating less than 15% of the budget for education. Implications: Papua accounts for the majority of poorest districts with contracting budget allocations in 2013. KPI 6 Average district expenditure per student Public expenditure from APBD divided by number of school students District Government commitment Quality Positive Comment: Average expenditure per student across the country grew in 2013 at a reasonable rate. Implications: had average growth in 2013 (unlike 2012) but it salary salary
still had 13 districts with contracting budgets for education. KPI 7 Actual education expenditure as % of planned expenditure Realised APBD for education as % of planned APBD for education District Government commitment Positive Comment: Districts in 2007 (the last year for which verified data are available) managed to spend nearly 100% of their planned budget. This was a significant improvement on 2006 where only 91% of funds were spent nationally. Implications: Updated data are required to reach conclusions about possible changes in expenditure patterns SPI 1 Discretionary school funds as % of total district school expenditure Estimated BOS expenditure as % of total school expenditure District Quality Neutral Comment: In 2013, were not further indexed for inflation but are still substantial following the previous year increase in per student allocations. Implications: Principals and school committees have substantial funds for discretionary spending at school level SPI 2 Comparing education and health allocations at district Analysing education and health allocations in low and high allocation districts for any correlations District Quality Positive Comment: No evidence that education and health expenditures are crowding each other. Evidence shows where education spending contracts it also contracts for health. Implications: Education and health sectors may benefit from cooperation. SPI 3 Allocation patterns and statistical impact of newly established districts Budget comparisons between old, newer and newest districts Neutral Comment: districts are more likely to have larger populations and larger education budgets. Newer districts are more likely to be in a rural area and remote and have higher average per student allocations. Implications: Newest districts can have very high initial per student costs. Newest group of districts is small and has not had any significant distorting impact on this analysis. Risk Areas for the Education Partnership
Table 2: Progress against Key Indicators INDICATOR DESCRIPTION LEVEL RELATED GOAL RESULT COMMENT AND IMPLICATIONS KPI 1 Share of public expenditure Public expenditure on education as percentage of total public expenditure (covers MoEC and MoRA expenditure) National Government commitment Positive Comment: Significant growth in allocations as proportion of national expenditure, from 12% 2001 (12%) to 20% by 2013. Implications: Stable growth in education financing is positive for further investment. KPI 2 Share of GDP Public expenditure on education as percentage of GDP National Government commitment Positive Comment: Education expenditure, as a proportion of GDP, increased from 3.3% in 2011 to 3.7% in 2013. KPI 3 Share of non-salary resources % share of education budget spending on non-salary costs. National Quality Positive Comment: Non-salary share of expenditures in 2011 increased to 25% of total district level expenditures (up from 13% in 2010). Implications: Growth in budget is not being solely consumed by salaries. New budget allocations were especially strong for capital items. KPI 4 District commitment to education Education as % of total public expenditures District Government commitment Equity/access Neutral Comment: The strong increase in the education share of district budgets in 2011 was reversed in last 2 years 2012 and 2013, with the education share dropping to 34% from 36%. Implications: Poorest districts with low allocations for education should be monitored KPI 5 Annual growth in spending in the poorest districts Annual % change in public expenditures for education in lowest quintile districts compared to national % change in public expenditure for education District Equity/access Positive Comment: Average growth in education allocations improved for poorest districts and fewer poorest districts allocating less than 15% of the budget for education. Implications: Papua accounts for the majority of poorest districts with contracting budget allocations in 2013. KPI 6 Average district expenditure per student Public expenditure from APBD divided by number of school students District Government commitment Quality Positive Comment: Average expenditure per student across the country grew in 2013 at a reasonable rate.