ANNEX 1 RISK ASSESSMENT Source(s) of Risk Risk Event Impact/s on Project Risk Mitigation Responsibility Risk Probability Political Political Instability causing change in the political/bureaucratic leadership Delayed due to lack of ownership by new actors Diversify project implementation through multiple partners Robust consultation and coordination with new government From the very inception of the project the second and third tier of leadership is involved in relevant institutions. Senior Management, Project Coordinator and Provincial Manager and partners Low Security The Crisis escalates to project areas -Attacks on UNDP partners/Assets- damage to staff, partners’ staff and assets Limited Access to project areas / communities Delayed or temporary suspension and increase in security costs Integrate MOSS compliance offices, armored vehicles and communication equipment. Security costs are incorporated in the project budget. Implementation is through local partners and governments /additional security cost factored into partner’s budget. Monitoring is outsources to independent monitors who provide UNDP regular reports and spot checks Senior Management UNDSS/ Project Manager Medium Medium Disasters Another large scale disaster like floods or earthquake _____ _____ _____ High Social unemployed and discontented youth escalating forms of violence Cultural resistance to Jeopardizes the small gains of the project towards sustainability Delayed Focus project interventions on youth Pre project gender participatory needs assessment and consultations with communities, organize small Project Coordinator and Provincial Prog Manager Project Medium Medium
concepts such as gender equality, as western constructs. Resistance to IPs and UNDP due to the optics of individual/partner organizations involved Delays due to a non receptive environment for groups. A robust and analytical recruitment process for project staff and partners. Horizontal and vertical sensitization of the prog with local religious scholars, local political and community leaders. Coordinator and Provincial Prog Manager HR Manager and Project team Low Operational Resource Mobilization constraints Rigid, Financial procurement and HR processes Unable to meet the government and community expectations Flexible project components with initially pilot projects which are later scaled up on availability of funding. Optimize resources through effective coordination and partnerships Senior Project Team Low Coordination: Programmes by int'l. agencies in KP, Balochistan and FATA S. No Organisation Project Duration Allocation (in millions) Location - Province 1 DFID Khyber Pukhtunkhwa Education Sector Programme July 2011 - July 2016 £203.5 KP 2 DFID Citizen Damage Compensation Programme (for flood affectees) Jan. 2011 - April 2014 £65.1 KP, Balochistan, FATA and other provinces 3 DFID Peacebuilding Support to PCNA April 2011 - March 2016 £30.2 KP and FATA 4 DFID Resilience support to Pakistan August 2012 - July 2015 £39.7 KP, Balochistan, FATA and other provinces 5 DFID Emergency Assistance to Internally Displaced Persons in Areas of Pakistan Jan. 2013 - Sept. 2013 £13.5 FATA
women trained on crisis sensitive reporting techniques and ethics Increased incidence of reporting to promote social cohesion and peace building Active participation of media personnel in activities related to peace building and social cohesion such as citizen media dialogues, exposure visits, meetings and seminars etc. completed in year-5. -Exposure visits of COs/peace committees arranged each year to media set-ups initiated in year-2 and completed in year-4. - Award/incentive competitions held each year for active journalists base on their performance on good reporting on peace and building and social cohesion issues arranged each year initiated in year 2 and ending in year. sensitive reporting Purchase of cameras, i-pads, laptops and other related equipment for awards to active journalists Listing of potential and active organizations and personalities for citizen dialogues Arranging exposure visits for COs/peace committees to different media set-ups Documenting best practices and developing knowledge products/documentaries for wider circulation on issues of social cohesion and peace building US$ 12,000 Exposure trips for COs/peace committees: US$ 30,000 Knowledge products: US$ 20,000 Total budget: US$154,000