C. Ratings Summary C.1 Performance Rating by ICR Outcomes: Moderately Satisfactory Risk to Global Environment Outcome Moderate Bank Performance: Moderately Satisfactory Borrower Performance: Moderately Satisfactory C.2 Detailed Ratings of Bank and Borrower Performance Bank Ratings Borrower Ratings Quality at Entry: Moderately Unsatisfactory Government: Moderately Satisfactory Quality of Supervision: Moderately Satisfactory Implementing Agency/Agencies: Moderately Satisfactory Overall Bank Performance: Moderately Satisfactory Overall Borrower Performance: Moderately Satisfactory C.3 Quality at Entry and Implementation Performance Indicators Implementation Performance Indicators QAG Assessments (if any) Rating Potential Problem Project at any time (Yes/No): No Quality at Entry (QEA): None Problem Project at any time (Yes/No): Yes Quality of Supervision (QSA): None GEO rating before Closing/Inactive status Moderately Satisfactory D. Sector and Theme Codes Original Actual Sector Code (as % of total Bank financing): General water, sanitation and flood protection 100% 100% Theme Code (as % of total Bank financing): Climate Change Biodiversity 67% 33% 67% 33%
Indicator Baseline Value Original Target Values (from approval documents) Formally Revised Target Values Actual Value Achieved at Completion or Target Years GEO Indicator A Design documents for pilot adaptation measures that facilitate prompt implementation and include sustainability strategy as well as monitoring provisions developed. Value (quantitative or qualitative) No adaptation measures in selected coastal wetlands. Implemented measures provide results on adaptation approaches in wetlands; monitoring system fully operating and generating continuous data. Three design documents completed. Three design documents for pilot adaptation measures completed. Date achieved 23-Nov-2010 31-Oct-2015 31-Oct-2016 31-Oct-2016 Comments including % achievement 100 % achieved. The revised target was achieved, as design documents for pilot adaptation measures (which include sustainability strategies and guidance for a prompt implementation and management provisions) were completed for all three pilot sites (Tabasco, Veracruz and in Quintana Roo). The original monitoring framework in the PAD refers to “measures” rather than “design documents” and expected that “at least 6” such measures would be under implementation in year 4. However, following the October 2015 restructuring, the target value was changed to “design documents under preparation” and the target reduced from 6 to 3. This indicator contributes to the achievement of GEO (a). GEO Indicator B Two land use plans and a revised protected area management program, incorporating climate change adaptation activities, discussed with stakeholders, and at least one land use planning program submitted for approval to decision making authorities and supported by local and state institutions (depending on the aptitude of the territory in each pilot site, the land use planning will incorporate conservation elements). Value (quantitative or qualitative) Limited availability of Wetland Management Plan (WMP) (exception Sian Ka’an); existing ones do not consider Climate Change (CC) information or expected impacts At least one WMP updated based on relevant CC data; at least three WMP prepared, and a Protected Area Management Plan (PAMP) revised. At least two land use planning process (LUPPs) submitted for approval by deciding authorities. Two LUPPs completed and the one for Tabasco approved by local authorities; protected area management program (PAMP) for Sian Ka’an
Reserve revised. Date achieved 23-Nov-2010 31-Oct-2015 31-Oct-2016 31-Oct-2016 Comments including % achievement 100% achieved. The LUPP for Alvarado Lagoon (Veracruz) incorporating climate change adaptation and conservation measures was completed and is under consultation with local and state authorities (expected to be approved in 2017), and the LUPP for Tabasco has been updated incorporating climate change adaptation and conservation measures and has been approved by local authorities. The PAMP in Sian Ka’an has been revised to include climate change considerations and has been discussed with key stakeholders. At the time of restructuring the original indicator which referred to WMPs, which are developed for official wetland Protected Areas was modified to the more appropriate land use plans, which are utilized for non-Protected Areas as the two wetlands involved do not have official Protected Area status. This indicator contributes to the achievement of GEO (a). GEO Indicator C More than 50 ha of mangrove ecosystem and riparian zones reforested, more than 70 ha of water fluxes rehabilitated in Veracruz and Tabasco, and at least six areas in the Sian Ka’an Biosphere Reserve with repopulated coral genotypes. Value (quantitative or qualitative) No adaptation measures in pilot sites Conservation plans presented for a target of 15,000 ha to Municipal Councils; a target of 5,000 ha reforested with native species; a target of 1,000 m of coastal stabilization works finished; a target of genetically diverse coral patches established (3,750 m2) achieved Reforestation of an average of 25 ha of mangrove ecosystems and 5 ha of riparian zones in each of two pilot areas; rehabilitation of water fluxes in El Playón mangrove ecosystem in Sian Ka’an and in Papaloapan and repopulation of genetically diverse coral genotypes in six areas in the Sian Ka’an Biophere Reserve 50 ha of mangrove ecosystems and 10 ha of riparian zones reforested in Veracruz and Tabasco; rehabilitation of at least 70 ha of water fluxes in El Playón mangrove ecosystem in Sian Ka’an and at least 3 kms in Papaloapan. Repopulation of coral reefs in Sian Ka’an completed in six areas. resistant resistant resistant
(component 2) Value (quantitative or qualitative) Limited information about CC Capacities for adaptation strengthened in at least one location through follow-up workshops. - Capacities for adaptation strengthened in Carmen Date achieved 23-Nov-2010 31-Oct-2015 - 31-Oct-2016 Comments including % achievement 100% achieved. Field visits and at least 4 capacity building workshops took place in the communities of el Golpe Primera Sección, el Mingo and Las Coloradas in the Lagoon system of Carmen Pajonal Machona. These workshops focused on: (i) presenting a diagnostic of the CC conditions in the area, (ii) presenting the proposed design for the adaptation measures; (iii) strengthening the capacities for CC adaptation; and (iv) presenting the overall results, risk perceptions to vulnerability to CC, and social emergency plans. Surveys carried out during these workshops reflect the high level of participation and enhance capacity at the community level to adapt to CC, to organize and work around community emergency procedures in case of extreme weather (see Annex 5 and 6 of the ICR). Working groups have been established with specific adaptation measure and emergency plans between the federal, state, and local levels and support from the local population has been developed. This indicator contributes to the achievement of GEO (a). Indicator 17 (component 2) Sian Ka’an (Quintana Roo). Protected area monitoring system strengthened including climate change parameters Value (quantitative or qualitative) Monitoring of wetland does not include CC data CC data part of monitoring program of wetland Monitoring system was strengthened to include CC parameters. Date achieved 23-Nov-2010 31-Oct-2015 31-Oct-2016 Comments including % achievement 100% achieved. The monitoring protocol was developed and the mareographic and meteorological instruments are installed and operating. The oceanographic equipment was acquired, but official donation to CONANP was pending at the time of project closing due to administrative timelines that are expected to be met during 2017. This indicator contributes to measure GEO (a). Indicator 18 (component 2) Sian Ka’an (Quintana Roo). Protected area management plan revised to include climate change considerations. Value (quantitative or qualitative) Protected area management plan does not include CC data Management plan revised to include CC considerations; first results of management plan collected and reported Not revised Protected Area Management plan was revised to include CC considerations and adaptation measures
Value (quantitative or qualitative) The mangrove ecosystem of El Playón is degraded and requires rehabilitation of water system Rehabilitation of water fluxes and restoration of El Playón mangrove ecosystem in at least 70 ha. N/A 100 ha of water fluxes rehabilitated and 6 sewers unclogged Date achieved 23-Nov-2010 31-Oct-2015 14-Oct-2015 31-Oct-2016 Comments including % achievement 100% achieved and target exceeded as 100 ha of water fluxes have been rehabilitated and 6 sewers unclogged, which will permit restoration of hydrological flow in the mangrove area of El Playón. This indicator contributes to achievement of GEO (a). Indicator 22 (component 3) Climate change impact scenarios developed for national water resources and for coastal wetlands including identification of response options. Value (quantitative or qualitative) National policies do not yet incorporate CC impacts on water availability At least one water resource management response option identified that considers CC impact scenarios - One national water response option that considers CC impact scenarios developed Date achieved 23-Nov-2010 31-Oct-2015 - 31-Oct-2016 Comments including % achievement 100% achieved. Even though expressed somewhat differently, this is essentially the same as original GEO indicator D (see above) whose results were 100% achieved. It was not revised during restructuring. Indicator 23 (component 4) Established processes for articulation and coordination among the agencies involved. Time reduction of drafting contracts and administrative processes. Value (quantitative or qualitative) Lack of articulation among agencies involved leading to administrative bottlenecks Project management has improved during the last review period as reflected by the level of disbursements, committed resources and progress in implementation of key activities Stakeholders involved in processing contracts significantly increase their management and action capacity, which is reflected in the number of implemented activities and by the level of disbursements.
Sistema Lagunar $18.3 $5.6 $11.9 In summary, the figures generated by this analysis were positive for all three discount rates, including the higher 10% rate used by the SHCP to assess regular investments. The higher NPV for the Rio Papaloapan site at the lower discount rate is attributed to the greater expected survival rate of the reforested mangrove at that site (90% versus 75% at the Sistema Lagunar site), even though its initial investment costs were higher. Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes (a) Task Team members Names Title Unit Responsibility/ Specialty Lending Walter Vergara Lead Environmental Specialist TTL Alejandro M. Deeb Consultant GEN04 Alfred H Grunwaldt E T Consultant LCSEN - HIS Seraphine Marie Haeussling E T Consultant LCSEN - HIS Alonso Zarzar Casis Sr. Social Specialist GSU04 Safeguards Specialist Efraim Jimenez Consultant OFSPF Procurement Daniel J. Boyce Practice Manager GGO22 Financial Management Jorge Luis Alva-Lup Senior Counsel LEGES Ricardo Hernandez Sr. Environmental Specialist LCSEN Keiko Ashida Tao Environmental Specialist GEN04 Victor Manuel Ordonez Sr. Finance Officer Supervision/ICR Beatriz Eugenia Gonzalez Team Assistant LCC1C Daniel Mira-Salama Sr. Environmental Specialist GEN01 TTL Javier Zuleta Sr. Water Resources Mgmt. Specialist GWA03 TTL Renan Alberto Poveda Sr. Environmental Specialist GEN04 TTL Hector Alexander S. Water Resources Mgmt. Specialist GWA03 Keiko Ashida Tao Environment Specialist GEN04 Gabriel Penaloza Sr. Procurement Specialist GGO04 Procurement Dimitri Gourfinkel Sr. Financial Management Specialist GGO22 Financial Management Luz A. Zeron Sr. Financial Management Specialist GGO22 Financial Management Luis Barajas Gonzalez Financial Management Specialist GGO22 Financial Management Alonso Zarzar Casis Sr. Social Scientist GSU04 Safeguards Adrian Pedrozo Acuna Consultant GENDR Dora Patricia Andrade Consultant GEN04 Safeguards Katharina Siegmann Environmental Specialist GEN04 Nadya Selene Alencastro Larios Consultant GSU10 Diana Gabriela Jimenez Program Assistant LCC1C
Through this project, the inhabitants of the communities (where the activities were undertaken) developed and enhanced their overall knowledge on climate change (CC), including not only those related to actions to be developed under different CC scenarios but also their overall capacity to implement adaptation measures. The workshops facilitated the appropriation and understanding of CC and adaptation measures by the society including public and private sector, academia and inhabitants not associated directly to the project. It was clear that CC is a natural phenomenon that is being accelerated by humans, and there are specific geographical zones which are more vulnerable to climate impacts. Thus, specific measures are needed to be put in place in order to face potential challenges, and where stakeholder or society as a whole plays a key role through the implementation of integrative measures. The workshop reports highlight how communities experienced an ongoing capacity building process associated to different aspects of CC, in which they participated for the constant awareness they were continuously acquiring, which generated a deep engagement in the community. At the time of writing this report communities are still requesting the continuation of the trainings/capacity building workshops. Furthermore, the workshops allowed the incorporation and appropriation of the necessary tools needed to ensure the correct operation and maintenance of the adaptation measures including the stilts; the communal enterprises such as “Gotita de Amor”; reforestation activities; and disilting of channels in the wetlands. Moreover, the new capacities and organizational abilities developed through the workshops allowed the creation of working groups (integrated by representatives of the 3 levels of government and communities and private sector) which played a key role in contributing to the design of risks maps, formulation of the local land zoning plans (with a focus on CC). These groups today are of paramount importance in providing continuity to the activities initiated. The workshops also allowed for the reconstruction of social trust in governmental institutions while promoting unity among the inhabitants. In addition, they strengthened the link between consultants and communities, enabling the transformation of the pilot sites into new spaces for knowledge sharing and exchange. In fact, the workshops became a space for reflection, communication and joint problem solving to the challenges that communities are constantly facing. Annex 7. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR