(SOPs) and technical specifications for establishment of wind farms. developed SOPs and specifications can only be applied for the other 3 wind farms 2.3 - Development of a feed-in tariff (FiT) policy NAMA for wind power in Sudan 2.3 No tariff policy existed 2.3 - feed-in tariff policy NAMA for wind power in Sudan developed 2.3 - FiT policy document and NAMA project document and reports. 2.3 - The FiT NAMA project was developed and registered for support with NAMA domain. 2.4 - Extent to which RE policies and regulations are adopted and enforced. 2.4 - A bill has been drafted for RE policies. 2.4 - policies and legislation for renewable energy are effectively adopted and enforced 2.4 - Project monitoring reports and final evaluation. 2.4 - Assuming that the proposed legal and regulatory improvements pass swiftly through the Government and Parliamentary approval process. Outcome 3 The wind technology support and delivery system Strengthened. 3.1 - Number of individuals and organisations trained and capable of supporting activity in the Sudanese wind market. 3.1 - Preliminary wind have been carried out as well as some feasibility based on those 3.1.A - 100 engineers trained in wind technology (50 males & 50 females). 3.1.B - 5 institutions supported in wind technology. 3.1 - Project reports. 3.1 - Lack of interest while the market opportunity is not yet clear to participants (this risk is minimal). 3.2 – Development of a reliable national wind atlas. 3.2 - MWRE has developed a wind atlas based on of world data with high probability of inaccuracy. 3.2 – Wind atlas developed 3.2 - Wind maps and atlas 3.2 - Lack of reporting by market participants, making collection of data difficult. Outcome 4 Adaptive learning and replication plan supported. 4.1 - Quality Management System for Dongola wind farm is established. 4.1 - There is currently no plan for compiling and 4.1 - Establishment of a quality management certification process (e.g. ISO 9001) for Dongola wind farm. 4.1 - Project reports. Obtaining the quality certificate. 4.1 - The major risk is garnering interest by convincing individuals that there is a future for wind power in Sudan. g n
in wind power. 4.2 - Number of educational tours conducted to wind farms in neighbouring countries 4.2 - Limited exchange of experiences with countries with established wind farm like Egypt and Ethiopia. 4.2 – Ten Study tours undertaken to wind plants in the neighboring countries (including 50% female and 50% male). 4.2 - Project reports and annual work plans. 4.2 - Lack of fund
4. Total budget and work plan Award ID: 00080570 Project ID(s): 00090222 Award Title: Promoting utility scale power generation from wind energy Business Unit: SDN10 Project Title: Promoting Utility-Scale Power Generation from Wind Energy PIMS no. 4726 Implementing Partner (Executing Agency) Ministry of Water Resources and Electricity GEF Outcome/Atlas Activity Party/ Fund ID Donor Name Atlas Code ATLAS Budget Description Amount Year 1 (USD) Amount Year 2 (USD) Amount Year 3 (USD) Amount Year 4 (USD) Amount Year 5 (USD) Total (USD) See Budget Note: OUTCOME 1: Grid-connected power generation from wind farm introduced. MWRE 62000 GEF 71200 International Consultants 0 250,000 250,000 291,864 200,000 991,864 a 71300 Local Consultants 85,000 85,000 85,000 85,000 340,000 b 71400 Contr. services – indiv. 0 45,000 45,000 45,000 40,000 175,000 c 71600 Travel 0 25,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 85,000 d 72200 Equipment 0 400,000 400,000 0 0 800,000 e Sub-total GEF - 805,000 800,000 441,864 345,000 2,391,864 Total Outcome 1 0 805,000 800,000 441,864 345,000 2,391,864 OUTCOME 2: Policy, institutional and regulatory framework adopted MWRE 62000 GEF 71200 International Consultants 0 75,000 70,000 50,000 20,000 215,000 f 71300 Local Consultants 0 30,000 20,000 20,000 10,000 80,000 71400 Contr. services – indiv. 10,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 40,000 h 71600 Travel 8,000 6,000 3,000 3,000 2,410 22,410 i t
responsibilities to relevant team members. annually when required. Measurement of Means of Verification for Project Progress on output and implementation Oversight by Project Manager Project team To be determined as part of the Annual Work Plan's preparation. Annually prior to ARR/PIR and to the definition of annual work plans ARR/PIR Project manager and team UNDP CO UNDP RTA UNDP GEF None Annually Periodic status/ progress reports Project manager and team None Quarterly Mid-term Review Project manager and team UNDP CO UNDP RCU External Consultants (i.e. evaluation team) Indicative cost: 33,000 At the mid-point of project implementation. Final Evaluation Project manager and team, UNDP CO UNDP RCU External Consultants (i.e. evaluation team) Indicative cost : 40,000 At least three months before the end of project implementation Project Terminal Report Project manager and team UNDP CO local consultant 0 At least three months before the end of the project Audit UNDP CO Project manager and team Indicative cost per year: 2,000 Yearly Visits to field sites UNDP CO UNDP RCU (as appropriate) Government representatives For GEF-supported projects, paid from IA fees and operational budget Yearly TOTAL indicative COST Excluding project team staff time and UNDP staff and travel expenses US$ 93,000 (+/- 5% of total budget)
Monitoring and Evaluation Plan Matrix ( SP / CPAP ) Expected results (Outcomes & outputs) CP related outcomes if any SP/related outcomes if any Indicators (with baselines & indicative targets) M&E event with data methods Time or schedule and frequency of events Responsibilities. Means of Verification: Data Source and Type Resources Risks Remarks on development of capacities for monitoring Countries have strengthened institutions to progressively deliver universal access to basic services. Align with latest UNDP Strategic Plan Government and stakeholders have policies, strategic plans and mechanisms to ensure an enabling environment for improved basic services; and people in Sudan, with special emphasis on populations in need, have access to equitable and sustainable quality basic services. Growth and development are inclusive and sustainable, incorporating productive capacities that create employment and livelihoods for the poor and excluded Total number of joules of renewable energy consumption (Joules) ((291090 kWh) Targets ((592007 kWh) Energy balance Annually written reports on energy balance Ministry of water resources (MWRE) Ministry of Petroleum (MoP) Energy consuming sector Reports Energy consumption surveys No resources needed (Report on the indicator is part of the project activities ) Irregularity of Ministries’ report Country wide Energy consuming Number of kilowatt hours (kWh) of wind energy generation from renewable energy projects (Baseline 0 KWh) (Target 300,917 kWh) Project progress reports Project report on wind power generation Ministry of water resources (MWRE) Electricity generation reports No resources needed (Report on the indicator is part of the project activities ) Irregularity of Ministries’ report Country wide Energy consuming
8. Annexes 8.1 Risk Analysis # Description Date identified Type Impact & Probability Countermeasures / Management response Owner Submitted, updated by Last Update Status 1 The security situation in Sudan may pose some risks or perceived risks. Without general security, the ability of crews to travel, transport goods and work will be restricted. With renewable energy equipment, where the entire capital is procured and installed upfront, theft or damage can mean a complete loss of invested capital. Political May prevent access to certain areas for implementation of projects. P = 2 I = 3 Advice on secure travel routes within Sudan. An escort from MWRE will be provided where necessary. The locations of main activities in the project (Dongola, in the North State, Red Sea, Khartoum) are secure and fall within the Minimal, Low or Moderate Threat Level areas identified by the UN (). Project Board N/A N/A 2 The Government may fail to marshal the necessary resources or coordination amongst its entities to design and implement the desired policy changes. Financial Lack of policy basis to catalyse adoption of wind energy P = 2 I = 5 Policy reform and decision making can be slow in Sudan. UNDP will rely on close relations with MWRE and other counterparts. Through close participation, UNDP will aim to spur action. Sudan’s need for electric power and previously demonstrated commitment to building power projects indicates that there is a will to move forward. The project supports existing government policy to encourage renewable energy and bring private developers into the market. Government N/A N/A
P=2 I=3 A protocol will be developed to reduce the avian strike risk. 9 Climate Change Risk Risk A shift in wind patterns due to global warming could adversely affect the wind farms. A shift in rainfall causing less flow on the Nile could reduce hydro-power making wind more important P=2 I=2 Consideration of long term wind patterns and expected shifts as a consequence of warming should be taken into account when the wind farms are planned. Government 10 Risk to settlements Social Risk Wind farms may disturb settlers by causing noise or light flicker. P=1 I=2 Wind farms should only be sited on areas sufficiently far from populations to avoid disturbance. Government