Logical Framework Matrix Hierarchy of Objectives Indicators Means of Verification Assumptions Impact (by 2020) More internationally competitive economy with increased productivity, reduced corruption and accelerated growth in employment and income. Improvements in Viet Nam's Global Competitiveness Index score (up from 4.18 in Improvements in Viet Nam's Global Competitiveness Index score N.A A recovery in the annual rate of growth in labour productivity, from 3.2% in 2005-11, to > 4.8%. Accelerated growth in labour productivity (General Statistics Office Data) Improvements in Vietnam's Corruption Perception Index score (up from a score of 31 in 2013) Improvements in Vietnam's Global Corruption score Outcome (by December 2016): Improved implementation of selected elements of the Master Plan for Economic Restructuring in line with economic cooperation agreements Policy recommendations resulted in GoV, CPV’s strategic documents dealing with economic restructuring including restructuring of the rural economy (e.g., CPV 30 years Doi Moi review, CPV Plenum doc, SEDP 2016-2020) End of RCV Completion Report in December 2016; Annual RCV reports Reduced business compliance costs and time End of RCV Completion Report in December 2016; Annual RCV reports that include: WB Doing Business report, and CIEM analysis of change in compliance costs following revised laws GoV and National Assembly remains committed to taking action to facilitate private sector development. Concrete actions taken by Dong Thap to restructure the institution for rice production and attract interest from local and central stakeholders End of RCV Completion Report in December 2016; Annual RCV reports that include Dong Thap province decisions on institution for rice production that address identified impediments. Dong Thap province authorities remains committed to take action to restructure the institution for rice production Number and quality of successful competition and trade remedy cases handled by VCA improves from those reported in 2013 End of RCV Completion Report in December 2016; Annual RCV reports that include: VCA annual reports; reference to VCA role in breaking up cartels in media VCA gets support to handle competition issues in targeted sectors.
4 -Capacity building targets only individuals VCA's institutional capacity is not improved as expected Moderate Likely High -Training needs assessment (including assessment of gaps in institutional capacity) will be carried out before capacity building design - Detailed knowledge transfer/ sharing to wider beneficiaries in the agency will be part of follow up action plan of capacity building's beneficiaries - Criteria to select trainees will take into account trainees' potential to make institutional reforms VCA Component Director Component 3: Component 3: Restructuring of Rural Economy Focussing on Rice Value Chains 5 Interest of rice value chain's stakeholders are different Institutional structure for rice production value chain in Dong Thap is not changed. (e.g., the establishment of appropriate rice value chain institutional arrangements in Dong Thap is delayed or ineffective) Major Likely High - IPSARD will pursue bottom up approach in working with local level's stakeholders in the value chain in Dong Thap to build pressure for changes in institutional structure -Open policy debate will be conducted with all stakeholders of the rice value chain including farmers, researcher, SOE, private sector....) to present evidence based analysis and get their consensus on the most appropriate institutional structure to increase rice value added in Dong Thap High IPSARD Component Director 6 The activities proposed by IPSARD are still vague. Program support may not generate the tangible contributions to practical restructuring initiatives expected under this program Moderate Likely High -The program will closely monitor the planning and implementation of IPSARD's activities. Two planning will be carried out but with an initial focus on specific and feasible outputs for the first year of program budgeting and resources allocation. - Annual review and planning mechanism will allow the adjustment of the intervention areas as needed. High PCU, Program Director, DFAT SPM, IPSARD Component Director
Appendix 7: Component implementation schedule CIEM Summary Description Performance/target Indicators Data sources to verify progress Key assumptions Timeline Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q2 16 Activity 1.1: Periodical reports (1) Drafting 2 periodical thematic reports: recruiting 02 senior national consultants for each report; (2) Organizing fieldvisits to provinces in 3 regions for each report; (3) Organizing 01 consultation workshop for each report; (4) Peer-review: Recruiting 02 senior national experts and 1 senior international expert for each report; (5) Organizing 02 national conference for report dissemination (for 02 report); (6) Publication of 02 final reports. Periodical reports Reports on implementation of economic restructuring undertaken by ministries, central and local government agencies, enterprises; Statistic data; In-depth interviews; Experts. Activity 1.2: Ad hoc reports (1) Drafting 01 thematic report: recruiting 02 national consultants; (2) Organizing 01 consultation workshop; (3) Peer-review: Recruiting 01 senior national experts and 1 senior international expert; (4) Publication of the final report Ad-hoc reports Reports provided by ministries, central and local government agencies, enterprises; Statistic data; In-depth interviews; Experts.
Activity 2.1: Thematic studies for the meetings of the Enterprise Law Drafting Committee and the Investment Law drafting Committee (1) Drafting 2 thematic reports: recruiting 01 senior national consultants for each report; (2) Organizing 01 consultation workshop for each report; (3) Peer-review: Recruiting 01 senior national experts and 1 senior international expert for each report; (4) Publication of the final reports. Reports as inputs for the Enterprise Law and the Investment Law Literature review Reports provided by ministries, central and local government agencies, enterprises; Statistic data; In-depth interviews; Experts. Activity 2.2: Public consultation workshops for getting comments on the Enterprise Law and the Investment Law Organize 5 workshops in 3 regions for each law. Of which: - 03 workshops in Hanoi: + 01 workshop for staff of central government agencies; + 01 workshop for staff of local government agencies; + 01 workshop for bussiness and community. - 01 workshop in the Central (for all audience) - 01 workshop in the South (for all audience) Public consultation workshops for getting comments on the two laws. The audience includes: staff of government agencies at both central and local level, business and community.
Activity 2.3: Learning international experiences - Study tour to Australia (1) Study tour to Australia is to study Australia's experiences in enabling the business environment, enhancing fair competition among different types of business; role of SOEs in Australia and their compliance of the standard principles of corporate governance; (2) Workshop on sharing the results of the study-tour. Study tour Summary report of the study tour Organizing a delegation of 10 persons from the following agencies: - National Assembly; - Party's agencies; - Government agencies; - Project management Committee; - CIEM The delegation plans to visit Australia's state government departments/agencies, business organizations, and some enterprises Activity 2.4: Laws publication/ printing Printing 2000 of the Enterprise Law submitted to the National Assembly and government agencies Activity 2.5: Thematic studies for drafting the Decree of guiding the of the Enterprise Law (1) Drafting 01 thematic report: recruiting 01 senior national consultant (2) Organizing 01 consultation workshop; (3) Peer-review: Recruiting 01 senior national experts and 1 senior international expert for each report; (4) Publication of the final report Report as inputs for the decree guiding the of the Enterprise Law Literature review Reports provided by ministries, central and local government agencies, enterprises; Statistic data; In-depth interviews; Experts.
Activity 3.3: Assessing administrative procedures for cross-border trade activities and solutions for reducing the number of days and the cost of completing the export and import procedures (1) Drafting reports; (2) Fieldvisit to provinces in the North and the South; (3) Organizing 01 consultation workshop; (4) Peer review on reports; (5) Organizing 01 national conferences; (6) Publication Activity 3.4: Identifying and assessing impacts of TFAs (such as TPP and RCEP) on economic restructuring, and key towards domestic reforms in line with deeper economic integration. (1) Drafting reports; (2) Fieldvisit to provinces in the North and the South; (3) Organizing 01 consultation workshop; (4) Peer review on reports; (5) Organizing 01 national conferences; (6) Publication • Survey of key and impediments to Vietnam's trade with TPP,RCEP partners • Consultations on approaches and policies to facilitate Vietnam's trade with TPP, RCEP partners • Research on harmonizing implementation of TPP, RCEP commitments and preparations for FTAAP (Free Trade Area of
Activity 4.1: Quarterly reports on the independent assessments of changes in Vietnam for high-level policy discussion/ dialogues (1) Drafting reports; (2) Organizing 01 consultation workshop/report; (3) Peer review on reports Quarterly reports on the independent assessments of changes in Vietnam Data framework Use macroeconometric model with quarterly data (structural, using SNA data) to provide macroeconomic judgments and forecast Trainings of practical econometric modelling Activity 4.2: High-level policy dialogues 05 policy dialogues and report publication Activity 4.3: Reports on for improving the effectiveness of the State's management submitted to the MPI, the PM and other GoV agencies (1) Drafting reports (4 reports for 2 years 2014-2016); (2) Organizing 01 consultation workshop/report; (3) Peer review on reports Data framework Use macroeconometric Conclusions from policy dialogues Contingency
Activity: Flexible reports COMPONENT 2: VCA Activity Activity description Inputs needed Outputs Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q2 16 Activity 1.1. Research on pillars to be revised and options for consideration in the Competition Law and other guiding legal documents • Research on pillars to be revised and options for consideration and organize a seminar to public results of report in the Competition law and other guiding legal documents • Studies on the enforcement and effectiveness of the Vietnamese competition law • Studies on international experience to build the competition law • Other studies upon the request of the Government and the National Assembly • experts • experts • • Study report 1.1.1. Conducting research on pillars to be revised and options for consideration in the Competition Law and other guiding legal documents
1.1.2. Printing Activity 1.2. Report on reviewing the conflicts between Sectoral Laws and Vietnam Competition Law Report on reviewing the conflicts between Sectoral Laws and Vietnam Competition Law • Local experts Report on reviewing the conflicts between Sectoral Laws and Vietnam Competition Law Activity 1.3. Conducting advocacy activities of the competition law in order to increase the compliance level of the law within the business community • Survey on the awareness of competition law • Building the advocacy strategy and compliance strategy for the competition law • Building tools/ advocacy materials for the competition law • Conducting advocacy seminars • Local experts • experts • • Seminars • • Report on the level of awareness about the competition law • Advocacy tools reach the business community 1.3.1. Building leaflet advocacy for the competition law 1.3.2. Making a short video to advocate on cartel (5 minutes)
• Working with sectoral regulators about cooperating regime to control the economic concentration • Conducting a report on M&As in Vietnam with view of competition and organize a Seminar to public results of report • Organizing national conference and seminar to publish the study results. • Report publications 2.2.3. Conference/ Seminar to publish report Activity 3.1. Reviewing report on three Ordinances related to Vietnamese trade remedy, taking into account the comparison with the commitments of economic integration, specifically those related to WTO; so that the Vietnamese legal • Reviewing report on three Ordinances (anti-dumping, anti- subsidiary, and Countervailing) and other legal guidelines on implementation • Reviewing report on other legal documents related to trade defense • Reviewing report on Vietnam's commitments to apply trade remedies or trade dispute resolution body at WTO stated in its Agreements (both bilateral and multilateral) • Recommendations to complete the legal documents so as to ensure the legal system in Vietnam in line with the Vietnam's commitments regarding the international economic integration. • Organizing seminars • Local experts • experts • • Reports are built and might be sent to the Government/ National Assembly (in case a recommendation to revise the Ordinances is made) • Recommendations are made and sent to related state agencies
Activity 3.2. Building the Handbook and software on investigation procedure, calculation method for margin and injury in the anti-dumping cases in line with international trade law and good practices • Building Reports on international practices regarding the investigation, including the calculation method in the anti-dumping cases • Building handbook on investigation procedure and the software program on calculating the dumping margin in line with the international law and good practices. • Building the handbook on investigation procedure and the software program on calculating the injury in the anti-dumping cases in line with international law and good practices. • Local experts • experts • Printing cost • Handbook for investigator in the anti-dumping field is built • Software program on calculating the dumping margin and injury in the anti-dumping cases is built 3.2.1. Build the Handbook on investigation procedure in anti-dumping cases 3.2.2. Build the software on calculating the dumping margin and injury in the anti-dumping cases
Activity 3.4. Report on reviewing state subsidy policies for economic sectors so as to place for the Government to remove those policies conflict with the economic integration commitments • Building reports on reviewing anti-subsidy cases against Vietnam products • Building reports on reviewing state subsidy policies for certain economic sectors (including those being sued in the cases). • Recommendations to remove state subsidy policies that conflict with the economic integration commitments. • Conducting conferences/ seminars to publish the reports' result. • Local experts • experts • Report on reviewing state subsidy policies for economic sectors so as to place recommendations for the Government to remove those policies conflict with the economic integration commitments 3.4.1. Conducting research to review state subsidy policies for economic sectors 3.4.2. Printing
Activity 4.1. Strengthening the early warning for the and anti-subsidiary cases so as to reduce the cases against Vietnamese exports • Implement a research on current platform of the EWS for the anti-dumping and cases against Vietnamese exports and solutions to increase effectiveness of the EWS • Upgrading and expanding the online early warning system for the anti-dumping cases against Vietnamese exports • Training course designed for enterprises and trade associations about exploiting the early warning system • experts • experts • Domestic training • Statistics • The early warning system is upgraded and expanded • The early warning is timely and more effective • The number of enterprises receiving the instruction on using the early warning system increases 4.1.1. Building report on the status quo of the warning system for the anti-dumping and cases and 4.1.2. Upgrading the EWS 4.1.3. Conducting 02 training courses for the business community to utilize the EWS
1.2.7 report on risks and benefits sharing among stakeholders of the value chain report on risks and benefits sharing among stakeholders of the value chain 1.2.8 Writing report on field survey results at Dong Thap Field survey report 1.2.9 Workshop in Dong Thap to present findings and collect comments/advice Event minutes 1.2.10 Report finalizing Final field survey report 1.3 Recommend the Plan for Restructuring Rice Value Chain in Dong Thap province Case study results/ report Plan for Restructuring Rice Value Chain in Dong Thap 1.3.1 Preparing a Plan on Restructuring Rice Value Chain in Dong Thap province (team leader) Draft plan for Restructuring Rice Value Chain in Dong Thap 1.3.2 Regional workshop to present restructuring plan and collect comments/advice Event minutes 1.3.3 Seminar/Policy dialogue Event minutes 1.3.4 Restructuring plan finalizing Final restructuring plan Output 2: Developing economic models to evaluate the impacts of policies regarding rice/paddy land conversion and FTA commitments 2.1 Activity 2.1: Survey of international experience and processing data for modeling data and Literature review & database for modelling
2.1.1 Surveying models proposed for evaluating policies regarding the conversion of production factors (especially land) Literature review 2.1.2 Processing data for modeling rice/paddy land conversion Database for modelling 2.2 Activity 2.2: Developing a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to evaluate the impacts of the land conversion policy and FTA commitments Report on evaluating the impacts of the land conversion policy and FTA commitments 2.2.1 Formulating the model, coding, simulation and scenario analysis SAM table for CGE modelling, FTA scenarios, household data for livelihood and food security analysis 2.2.2 A model-based assessment of the impacts of the policies on macroeconomic indicators such as GDP, inflation, employment, trade balance CGE model 2.2.3 A model-based assessment of the impacts of the policies on microeconomic aspects such as livelihoods of farmers and food security CGE model
2.2.4 the CGE model to propose the rate of paddy land conversion CGE model 2.2.5 A model-based assessment of the impacts of FTAs on rice production CGE model 2.2.6 Report writing report 2.2.7 Organizing workshop to collect comments for the report Event minutes 2.2.8 Report finalizing Final report Output 3: Improved awareness of opportunities for increasing competitiveness through re-structuring of rice value chains 3.1 Writing the synthesis draft report and policy recommendations/ brief reports Synthesis report that findings from survey and modelling work 3.2 Printing the synthesis report (01) and policy recommendations/ briefs (03 tentatively) Printed report and policy brief 3.3 Seminar for launching report and/or policy dialogue Event minutes