P. Area Restriction in Effect Check if there are any restrictions in effect, such as road or area closures, especially those noted in Block 28. 35 Weather Concerns (synopsis of current and predicted weather; discuss related factors that may cause concern) Complete a short synopsis/discussion on significant weather factors that could cause concerns for the incident when relevant. Include current and/or predicted weather factors, and the timeframe for predictions. Include relevant factors such as: Wind (label units, such as mph). Wind direction (clarify and label where wind is coming from and going to in plain language – e.g., “from NNW,” “from E,” or “from SW”). Temperature (label units, such as F). Relative humidity (label %). Watches. Warnings. Tides. Currents. Any other weather information relative to the incident, such as flooding, hurricanes, etc. Number Block Title Instructions 36 Projected Incident Activity, Potential, Movement, Escalation, or Spread and influencing factors during the next operational period and in 12-, 24-, 48-, and timeframes 12 hours 24 hours 48 72 hours Anticipated 72 hours Provide an estimate (when it is possible to do so) of the direction/scope in which the incident is expected to spread, migrate, or expand during the next indicated operational period, or other factors that may cause activity changes. Discuss incident potential relative to values at risk, or values to be protected (such as human life), and the potential changes to those as the incident changes. Include an estimate of the acreage or area that will likely be affected. If provide the above information in 12-, 24-, 48- and 72-hour timeframes, and any activity anticipated after 72 hours. 37 Strategic Objectives (define planned for incident) Briefly discuss the desired outcome for the incident based on currently available information. Note any high-level objectives and any possible strategic benefits as well (especially for planned events).
40 Strategic Discussion: Explain the relation of overall strategy, constraints, and current available information to: 1) critical resource needs identified above, 2) the Incident Action Plan and management objectives and targets, 3) anticipated results. Explain major problems and concerns such as operational challenges, incident management problems, and social, political, economic, or environmental concerns or impacts. Wording should be consistent with Block 39 to justify critical resource needs, which should relate to planned actions in the Incident Action Plan. Give a short assessment of the likelihood of meeting the incident management targets, given the current management strategy and currently known constraints. Identify when the chosen management strategy will succeed given the current constraints. Adjust the anticipated incident management completion target in Block 43 as needed based on this discussion. Explain major problems and concerns as indicated. 41 Planned Actions for Next Operational Period Provide a short summary of actions planned for the next operational period. Examples: “The current Incident Management Team will transition out to a replacement IMT.” “Continue to review operational/ engineering plan to facilitate removal of the partially collapsed west bridge supports.” “Continue refining mapping of the recovery operations and damaged assets using GPS.” “Initiate removal of unauthorized food vendors.” Block Number Block Title Instructions 42 Projected Final Incident Size/Area (use unit label – e.g., “sq mi”) Enter an estimate of the total area likely to be involved or affected over the course of the incident. Label the estimate of the total area or population involved, affected, or impacted with the relevant units such as acres, hectares, square miles, etc. Note that total area involved may not be limited to geographic area (see previous discussions regarding incident definition, scope, operations, and objectives). Projected final size may involve a population rather than a geographic area.