One fundamental issue in managing bike sharing systems is bike flow prediction. Due to the hardness of predicting flow for a single station, recent research often predicts flow at cluster-level. However, they cannot directly guide fine-grained system management issues at station-level. In this paper, we revisit the problem of the stationlevel bike flow prediction, aiming to boost the prediction accuracy using the breakthroughs of deep learning techniques. We propose a multi-graph convolutional neural network model to predict flow at station-level, where the key novelty is viewing the bike sharing system from the graph perspective. More specifically, we construct multiple graphs for a bike sharing system to reflect heterogeneous inter-station relationships. Afterward, we fuse multiple graphs and apply the convolutional layers to predict station-level future bike flow. The results on realistic bike flow datasets verify that our multigraph model can outperform state-of-the-art prediction models by reducing up to 25.1% prediction error.
Chai et al. REF propose a multi-graph convolutional network to catch heterogeneous inter-station spatial correlations.
Bike flow prediction with multi-graph convolutional networks
SIGSPATIAL '18
Computer Science Mathematics