Social media generates a prodigious wealth of real-time content at an incessant rate. From all the content that people create and share, only a few topics manage to attract enough attention to rise to the top and become temporal trends which are displayed to users. The question of what factors cause the formation and persistence of trends is an important one that has not been answered yet. In this paper, we conduct an intensive study of trending topics on Twitter and provide a theoretical basis for the formation, persistence and decay of trends. We also demonstrate empirically how factors such as user activity and number of followers do not contribute strongly to trend creation and its propagation. In fact, we find that the resonance of the content with the users of the social network plays a major role in causing trends.
Asur et al. REF model the formation, persistence, and decay of trends, and show evidence that, surprisingly, factors such as user activity and number of followers are not strong determinants for the creation of trends.
Trends in Social Media : Persistence and Decay
ICWSM
Computer Science Physics