Shipping, although a crucial component of the transportation of commodities worldwide, is hardly present in the finance literature at this point. The first and foremost goal of this paper is to describe and explain from an economic perspective the key features of shipping markets; the second one is to analyze the behavior of freight rates, which define the final cost of an imported commodity. We focus on the major index, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) and propose some diffusion models able to capture the unique features of its trajectories, namely large swings and continuity. Their performance is exhibited on a database covering the period 1988-2010. Such spot models should facilitate the growth of the market of freight rates options, a safe hedging instrument for farmers and cooperatives that ship their grains to distant destinations. JEL classifications: G19; L91; R41
Geman and Smith REF aimed to describe and explain the key features of shipping markets; and analyse the behaviour of freight rates.
Shipping Markets and Freight Rates:An Analysisof the Baltic Dry Index
The Journal of Alternative Investments
Economics