[Nexus 6  General] Android1126:
My hypothesis....

Hey guys, I have received my 64GB N6, though I have still been following this thread to gauge availability and expected delivery times.

I know orders are starting to trickle in, though that's mostly for the 32GB. So far, I have seen less than a handful of people receive their 64GB N6 order from T-Mobile.

The ones that did all ordered around the same exact time, i.e. 9:30 AM EST/8:30 AM CST. Many have been long term customers, i.e. exceeding 10 years.

Now here is what I suspect.......

First of all, many of us are getting clouded with emotion and are forgetting that T-Mobile is a massive corporation and that their initial distribution has to offset cash flow negative to cash flow positive. What I believe is, people who are a) Buying the phone outright (profit earned) b.) New customers who either signed a contract, or who's business value exceeds the value that may be lost from the phone cost not being paid in full.

Keep in mind, almost all over the world (not so much in America), people have whole businesses around cheating the American phone subsidy system, i.e. someone with a good line of credit purchases hundreds of handsets at $100-$200 a piece for a subsidized price, and defaults on payments.breaks his/her service agreement, turns around and sells them for $700 a piece overseas (I travel a lot, and I know this to be fact, especially with an already unlocked device though that is hardly a barrier in Asia). Or, if you can't picture that, imagine if out of all of the people who ordered the N6, 1,000 of those people stopped paying their EIP or just defaulted on the amount due. The Phone would still be in that persons hand.........

I believe that this early in the game, T-Mobile is selecting specific customers to ship the phone to based on pre-defined business logic and accounting rules that will allow them to recoup their investment early. After they achieve cash flow positive the flood gates will be opened. Don't get me wrong, there is an actual shortage, but that is even more reason to be careful from a business perspective so that they can treat each handset as cash in.

Another hypothesis, and actually, I believe this to be a combination of the above is.... Anyone who has dealt with customer care or T-Mobile systems in general are aware that their inventory systems are not the greatest, nor are their systems in general.

I believe the people who ordered at 12:01 AM or 2:00 AM assumed their strategy would ensure they receive a device (don't feel bad, I would have too), but it is highly possible that there was a limited quantity at that specific time, and at approximately 9:00 AM EST their inventory systems were updated or they received more inventory at that time, which was also gobbled up right away by orders processed at the same time the inventory database was updated, i.e. around 9:30AM EST.

Again, it may be a combination of both, and someone willing to pay for the phone outright, at the right time received their phone, while the early-bird customer who's order was already stamped as "Back-Ordered", didn't necessarily go to the back of the line, it seems that the systems processed those people as, 'OK, they are being dealt with", but hey, our available inventory just went to 100, and the next paid in full orders will ship (given they meet our business logic prerequisites).

Again, it's just a flaw in their inventory system combined with business rules in a way that ensures T-Mobile can make the maximum amount of money in the shortest time possible,, i.e. the time taken to achieve cash flow positive (after that, it isn't AS important as the risk of losing money, or not making enough money as projected has been mitigated).

As for long term customers, maybe their business rules assign a value to this person saying, 10 years 'X' amount of dollars profited -> Credit=good, or paid in full at time of purchase -> credit=good, or for a new customer, good for future business -> credit=new business.

Again, this is what I believe, I am not stating all of this as fact. This is just based on what I have seen, and what little I understand of business.

You guys should also state if you paid for the phone outright, or how much $$ you did put towards the phone, so we can gauge all of these things accurately and paint a bigger picture. Those of you who have received your devices should also mention these things along with storage size purchased so we can test my hypotheses and try and understand their distribution logic.

Loving my 64GB Nexus 6.

Ordered at approximately 9:30 AM EST. Off contract, paid the full price. Received the phone on Monday the 24th. UPS ground, no overnight. 64GB order # ended in 1566.