The study found that small changes in water temperature in the Atlantic and Pacific oceans are closely related to the area of fires in the Amazon rainforest area in South America. Building a mathematical model of this relationship can be used to predict fire conditions in the Amazon rainforest area in the coming year. Which of the following, if true, would best support this view? ['Atlantic seawater temperature rises by 0.2 ° C, and the area under fire in the Amazon rainforest increases by 11% the following year.', 'Increased seawater temperature will cause water evaporation, resulting in reduced precipitation, drought or fire.', 'Although seawater temperature changes are small, they may have important impacts on tropical rainforest ecosystems.', 'Water temperature in the Arctic Ocean and other areas can predict the incidence and area of Siberian rain forest fires nearby.']