In a shooting case in a city, the police arrested Li after investigation and determined that he was the murderer. The reasoning process of the police was as follows: The deceased was shot while passing by the city bank building, and according to the person at the scene at the time, the bullet was fired from the third floor of the bank building. This means that only the person who stayed on the third floor of the bank building when the deceased was shot can commit the crime, and it was proved that Li was on the third floor of the bank building at the time. So Li was the murderer. Which of the following reasoning is similar to the police's wrong reasoning? ["If it rains, the yard will get wet; if it doesn't rain, the yard won't get wet.", 'Only when the yard is wet, it rains; the yard is wet, so it rains.', 'Only when the yard is wet, it rains; the sky is not raining, so the yard is not wet.', "If it rains, the yard will be wet; the yard is not wet, so it doesn't rain."]