Commentator: Because of teacher hiring freezes, the quality of education in that country will not improve. Thus, it will surely deteriorate. The flawed reasoning in which one of the following is most similar to that in the commentator's argument? ['Since funding levels for social programs are being frozen, our society will not become more harmonious. Thus, it may become more discordant.', 'Given that over 250 years of attempts to prove the Goldbach conjecture have failed, it will probably never be proved. Hence, it is more likely to be disproved than proved.', 'Because Raoul is a vegetarian, he will not have the pepperoni pizza for lunch. It follows that he will have the cheese pizza.', 'Since there is a storm moving in, the outside temperature cannot rise this afternoon. Ttherefore, it must fall.']