Editorial: Despite the fact that recent military success has made the prime minister personally popular, her party will lose the next election unless the economy is no longer in recession; the electorate will blame the state of the economy on her, even though she is hardly responsible for it and her policies will be beneficial in the long run. Which one of the following is an assumption on which the editorial's argument depends? ['In the next election, voters will place as much weight on economic performance as on military success.', "The prime minister's party will win the next election if the economy shows some signs of recovery from the recession at the time of the election.", "In the next election, the majority of voters will base their votes on which party's leader they admire most.", "The prime minister's party will not win the next election if the electorate believes the prime minister is responsible for a continuing recession."]