['To determine whether gas exchange improvement in response to the prone position is associated with an improved outcome in acute lung injury (ALI)/acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS).', 'Retrospective analysis of patients in the pronation arm of a controlled randomized trial on prone positioning and patients enrolled in a previous pilot study of the prone position.', 'Twenty-eight Italian and two Swiss intensive care units.', 'We studied 225 patients meeting the criteria for ALI or ARDS.', 'Patients were in prone position for 10 days for 6 hrs/day if they met ALI/ARDS criteria when assessed each morning. Respiratory variables were recorded before and after 6 hrs of pronation with unchanged ventilatory settings.', 'We measured arterial blood gas alterations to the first pronation and the 28-day mortality rate. The independent risk factors for death in the general population were the Pao2/Fio2 ratio (odds ratio, 0.992; confidence interval, 0.986-0.998), the minute ventilation/Paco2 ratio (odds ratio, 1.003; confidence interval, 1.000-1.006), and the concentration of plasma creatinine (odds ratio, 1.385; confidence interval, 1.116-1.720). Pao2 responders (defined as the patients who increased their Pao2/Fio2 by > or =20 mm Hg, 150 patients, mean increase of 100.6 +/- 61.6 mm Hg [13.4 +/- 8.2 kPa]) had an outcome similar to the nonresponders (59 patients, mean decrease -6.3 +/- 23.7 mm Hg [-0.8 +/- 3.2 kPa]; mortality rate 44% and 46%, respectively; relative risk, 1.04; confidence interval, 0.74-1.45, p =.65). The Paco2 responders (defined as patients whose Paco2 decreased by > or =1 mm Hg, 94 patients, mean decrease -6.0 +/- 6 mm Hg [-0.8 +/- 0.8 kPa]) had an improved survival when compared with nonresponders (115 patients, mean increase 6 +/- 6 mm Hg [0.8 +/- 0.8 kPa]; mortality rate 35.1% and 52.2%, respectively; relative risk, 1.48; confidence interval, 1.07-2.05, p =.01).'] Is decrease in PaCO2 with prone position predictive of improved outcome in acute respiratory distress syndrome?