['What factors predict postoperative pulmonary and pleural complications following aortic valve replacement?', 'Retrospective study.', 'One thousand consecutive patients who underwent aortic valve replacement with a pericardial valve between 1986 and 2006. Of these, 610 underwent also coronary artery surgery.', 'Thirty putative predictors were investigated. Postoperative pulmonary complications (defined as respiratory failure, pneumonia, atelectasis) and postoperative pleural complications (defined as pleural effusion, pneumothorax, haemothorax, empyema) within 30 days of surgery were identified.', '58 (6%) patients developed pulmonary complications and 45 (5%) developed pleural complications. None of the pleural and only 3 of the pulmonary complications were fatal if they occurred alone. Postoperative heart failure (OR 4.7, 95% CI 1.8 to 11.9), previous pacemaker implant (OR 4.4, 95% CI 1.8 to 11.2) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.0 to 3.1) independently predicted postoperative pulmonary complications. Postoperative bleeding (OR 7.4, 95% CI 1.8 to 29.9), carotid artery disease (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.4 to 5.5), previous coronary artery surgery (OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.1 to 6.4), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.0 to 3.8) and cardiac conduction defect (OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.0 to 3.7) independently predicted postoperative pleural complications.'] Is the risk of postoperative pulmonary or pleural complications after aortic valve replacement low in elderly patients : an observational study?