 Other cases, assuming the present trend, predict smaller incubation periods ( between 4 and 5 days) and yield between 30000 and 90000 deaths and IFRs between 0.5 \% and 1 \%. This means that the intensity of the lockdown (and behaviour of the population) is essential and that the measures have to be guided by precise model predictions.
<coherence>  Other cases, assuming the present trend, predict smaller incubation periods ( between 4 and 5 days) and yield between 30000 and 90000 deaths and IFRs between 0.5 \% and 1 \%. This means that the intensity of the lockdown (and behaviour of the population) is essential and that the measures have to be guided by precise model predictions.
 Other cases, assuming the present trend, predict smaller incubation periods ( between 4 and 5 days) and yield between 30000 and 90000 deaths and IFRs between 0.5 \% and 1.1 \%.