Evolutionary game theory assumes that players replicate a highly scored player's strategy through genetic inheritance  , but in terms of cultural learning , it is often difficult to recognize a strategy just by observing the behaviour. In this work, we consider players with memory-one stochastic strategies in the iterated prisoner's dilemma, with an assumption that they cannot directly access each other's strategy but only observe the actual moves for a certain number of rounds. Based on the observation, the observer has to infer the resident strategy in a Bayesian way and adjust his or her own strategy accordingly. By examining  best-response relations, we argue that players can escape from full defection into a cooperative equilibrium supported by Win-Stay-Lose-Shift in a self-confirming manner, provided that the cost of cooperation is low and the observational learning supplies sufficiently large uncertainty.
Evolutionary game theory assumes that players replicate a highly scored player's strategy through genetic inheritance . However, when learning occurs culturally , it is often difficult to recognize someone's strategy just by observing the behaviour. In this work, we consider players with memory-one stochastic strategies in the iterated prisoner's dilemma, with an assumption that they cannot directly access each other's strategy but only observe the actual moves for a certain number of rounds. Based on the observation, the observer has to infer the resident strategy in a Bayesian way and chooses his or her own strategy accordingly. By examining the best-response relations, we argue that players can escape from full defection into a cooperative equilibrium supported by Win-Stay-Lose-Shift in a self-confirming manner, provided that the cost of cooperation is low and the observational learning supplies sufficiently large uncertainty.
A
. However, when learning occurs culturally
D
but in terms of cultural learning ,
R
a
someone's
R
adjust
chooses
A
the