We investigate the problem of dynamic portfolio optimization in continuous-time, finite-horizon setting for a portfolio of two stocks and one risk-free asset. The stocks follow the Cointelation model. The proposed optimization methods are twofold. In what we call an Stochastic Differential Equation approach , we compute the optimal weights using mean-variance criterion and power utility maximization. We show that dynamically switching between these two optimal strategies by introducing a triggering function can further improve the portfolio returns. We contrast this with the machine learning clustering methodology inspired by the band-wise Gaussian mixture model. The first benefit of the machine learning over the Stochastic Differential Equation approach is that we were able to achieve the same results though a simpler channel. The second advantage is a flexibility to regime change & .
With the recent rise of Machine Learning as a candidate to partially replace classic Financial Mathematics methodologies, we investigate the performances of both in solving the problem of dynamic portfolio optimization in continuous-time, finite-horizon setting for a portfolio of two assets that are intertwined. In Financial Mathematics approach we model the asset prices not via the common approaches used in pairs trading such as a high correlation or cointegration, but with the cointelation model that aims to reconcile both short-term risk and long-term equilibrium. We maximize the overall P L with Financial Mathematics approach that dynamically switches between a mean-variance optimal strategy and a power utility maximizing strategy. We use a stochastic control formulation of the problem of power utility maximization and solve numerically the resulting HJB equation with the Deep Galerkin method. We turn to Machine Learning for the same P&L maximization problem and use clustering analysis to devise bands, combined with in-band optimization. Although this approach is model agnostic, results obtained with data simulated from the same cointelation model as FM give an edge to ML .
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We investigate the
With the recent rise of Machine Learning as a candidate to partially replace classic Financial Mathematics methodologies, we investigate the performances of both in solving the
R
stocks and one risk-free asset. The stocks follow the Cointelation model. The proposed optimization methods are twofold. In what we call an Stochastic Differential Equation approach , we compute the optimal weights using mean-variance criterion and power utility maximization. We show that dynamically switching between these two optimal strategies by introducing a triggering function can further improve the portfolio returns. We contrast this with the machine learning clustering methodology inspired by the band-wise Gaussian mixture model. The first benefit of the machine learning over the Stochastic Differential Equation approach is that we were able to achieve the same results though a simpler channel. The second advantage is a flexibility to regime change
assets that are intertwined. In Financial Mathematics approach we model the asset prices not via the common approaches used in pairs trading such as a high correlation or cointegration, but with the cointelation model that aims to reconcile both short-term risk and long-term equilibrium. We maximize the overall P
A
L with Financial Mathematics approach that dynamically switches between a mean-variance optimal strategy and a power utility maximizing strategy. We use a stochastic control formulation of the problem of power utility maximization and solve numerically the resulting HJB equation with the Deep Galerkin method. We turn to Machine Learning for the same P
A
L maximization problem and use clustering analysis to devise bands, combined with in-band optimization. Although this approach is model agnostic, results obtained with data simulated from the same cointelation model as FM give an edge to ML