# การเลือกตั้งประธานาธิบดีสหรัฐในรัฐเพนซิลเวเนีย พ.ศ. 2563
การเลือกตั้งประธานาธิบดีสหรัฐในรัฐเพนซิลเวเนีย พ.ศ. 2563 จัดขึ้นในวันอังคารที่ 3 พฤศจิกายน พ.ศ. 2563 เป็นส่วนหนึ่งของการเลือกตั้งประธานาธิบดีสหรัฐ พ.ศ. 2563 ที่รัฐทั้ง 50 รัฐและเขตโคลัมเบียจะเข้าร่วม รัฐเพนซิลเวเนียและเลือกประธานาธิบดีในคณะผู้เลือกตั้งตามคะแนนความนิยม รัฐเพนซิลเวเนียมี 20 เสียงในคณะผู้เลือกตั้ง ในวันที่ 7 พฤศจิกายนมีการคาดการณ์ว่าไบเดินชนะการเลือกตั้งในรัฐเพนซิลเวเนียและเขาได้รับการประกาศให้เป็นผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้ง

 การคาดการณ์ 
ที่มาอันดับวันที่Princeton Electoral Consortium5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563The Cook Political Report5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563Inside Elections5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563Sabato's Crystal Ball5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563Politico5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563RCP5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563Niskanen2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions , Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 20205 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563CNN23 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563The Economist5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563CBS News5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563270towin5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563ABC News5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563NPR5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563NBC News5 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.25635385 ตุลาคม พ.ศ.2563

 การสำรวจ 
 การสรุปโดยกราฟ 

 การสำรวจโดยรวม 
+Source of pollaggregationDates administeredDates updatedJoeBiden DonaldTrumpOther/UndecidedMargin270 to WinOctober 22 – November 2, 2020November 3, 202049.4%45.7%4.9%Biden +3.7Real Clear PoliticsOctober 29–November 2, 2020November 3, 202048.7%47.5%3.8%Biden +1.2FiveThirtyEight until November 2, 2020November 3, 202050.2%45.6%4.2%Biden +4.6Average49.4%46.3%4.3%Biden +3.1

 แบบสำรวจ 
 Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize MarginDonaldTrumpJoeBidenJoJorgensenHowieHawkinsOtherUndecidedSusquehanna Polling & Research Inc.Nov 1–2499 (LV)± 4.3%49%48%1% -0%0%Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen ReportsOct 31 – Nov 1800 (LV)± 3.5%47%50% - -1% –Research Co.Oct 31 – Nov 1450 (LV)± 4.6%46%52% - -2%4%AYTM/Aspiration Oct 30 – Nov 1340 (LV) –49%51% - - – –Change Research/CNBCOct 29 – Nov 1699 (LV)± 3.71%46%50%2% - –2%Marist College/NBCOct 29 – Nov 1772 (LV)± 4.4%46%51% - -1%2%Monmouth UniversityOct 28 – Nov 1502(RV)± 4.4%45%50%1% -0%4%502 (LV)44%51% - - – –45%50% - - – –Swayable Oct 27 – Nov 11,107 (LV)± 3.9%48%50%2% - – –Data for ProgressOct 27 – Nov 11,417 (LV)± 2.6%45%52%2%0%0% –Ipsos/ReutersOct 27 – Nov 1673 (LV)± 4.3%45%51%1%1%2% –44%51% - -3%2%46%52% - -2% –TrafalgarOct 30–311,062 (LV)± 2.93%48%46%2% -1%4%Frederick Polls/Compete EverywhereOct 30–31879 (LV)± 3%48%52% - - – –Insider Advantage/Center for American GreatnessOct 30–31500 (LV)± 4.4%48.7%47.4%1.3% - –2.6%Siena College/NYT UpshotOct 26–311,862 (LV)± 2.4%43%49%2% -0%5%Morning ConsultOct 22–312,686 (LV)± 2%43%52% - - – –Emerson CollegeOct 29–30823 (LV)± 3.3%47%52% - -2% –AtlasIntel Oct 29–30672 (LV)± 4%50%49% - -2% –Targoz Market Research/PollSmartOct 25–30998 (LV) –42%56% - -2% –Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PACOct 28–291,012 (V) –45%52% - - –3%Redfield & Wilton StrategiesOct 26–292,125 (LV) –45%50%1% -1%3%Harvard-Harris/The HillOct 26–29901 (LV) –46%51% - - –3%ABC/Washington PostOct 24–29824 (LV)± 4%44%51%3% -0%1%Muhlenberg College/Morning CallOct 23–28419 (LV)± 5.5%44%49% - -4%2%SurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 1–2810,599 (LV)± 1.5%46%52% - - – -RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 25–27800 (LV)± 3.5%45%51% - -2%2%44%52% - -2%2%47%49% - -2%2%Quinnipiac UniversityOct 23–271,324 (LV)± 2.7%44%51% - - 1%4%SwayableOct 23–26491 (LV)± 6%46%52%2% - – –Civiqs/Daily KosOct 23–261,145 (LV)± 3%45%52% - -2%1%Ipsos/ReutersOct 20–26655 (LV)± 4.4%44%51%3%0%1% –45%50% - -3%2%Insider Advantage/Center for American GreatnessOct 25400 (LV)± 4.9%48.5%45.5%3.3% - –2.8%Trafalgar GroupOct 24–251,076 (LV)± 2.91%48%48%2% -1%1%Wick Surveys Oct 24–251,000 (LV)± 3.1%49%47% - - – –Franklin & Marshall CollegeOct 19–25558 (LV)± 5%44%50%2% -1%3%Univision/University of Houston/LatinoDecisions/North Star Opinion ResearchOct 17–25723 (RV)± 3.64%45%50% - -3%2%Gravis MarketingOct 23602 (LV)± 4%44%51% - - –5%Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PACOct 21–22980 (V) –46%51% - - –4%Civiqs/Dan HopkinsOct 17–211,577 (A)3%46%52% - - –2%YouGov/University of Wisconsin-MadisonOct 13–21669 (LV)± 4.45%44%52% - -3% –Citizen DataOct 17–201,000 (LV)± 3.1%39%44%9%0%1%7%CNN/SSRSOct 15–20843 (LV)± 4%43%53%2% -1%1%Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Oct 13–20416 (LV)± 5.5%44%51% - -2%4%Morning ConsultOct 11–202,563 (LV)± 1.9%43%52% - - – –Fox NewsOct 18–191,045 (LV)± 3%45%50%1% -1%2%Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen ReportsOct 18–19800 (LV)± 3.5%47%50% - -2%3%Quinnipiac University Oct 16–19 1,241 (LV) ± 2.8% 43%51% - - 1% 5%Change Research/CNBCOct 16–19574 (LV) –47%49% - - – –Suffolk University/USA TodayOct 15–19500 (LV)± 4.4% 42%49% 1% - 4% 4%Ipsos/ReutersOct 13–19653 (LV)± 4.4%45%49%2%0%3% –45%49% - -3%4%Trafalgar Group/Restoration PACOct 13–151,041 (LV)± 2.96%46%48%3% -2%2%HarrisX/The HillOct 12–151,289 (LV) –46%51% - - – –Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness Oct 12–13400 (LV)± 4.9%43%46% 2% - – 9%Redfield & Wilton StrategiesOct 10–131,289 (LV) –43%51%1%0% – –Trafalgar GroupOct 10–121,034 (LV)± 2.97%45%47%3% -3%2%RMG Research/PoliticalIQ Oct 7–12800 (LV) –43%49%1% –1%6%42%50%1% –1%6%45%47%1% –1%6%Civiqs/Rust Belt RisingOct 8–11600 (LV)± 4.2%45%52% - -2%1%Ipsos/ReutersOct 6–11622 (LV)± 4.5%45%51%1%0%2% –44%51% - -1%4%Morning Consult Oct 2–11 2,610 (LV) ± 1.9% 44%52% - - – –Redfield & Wilton StrategiesOct 9–101,145 (LV) –44%49%1% - – –Whitman Insight Strategies Oct 5–9517 (LV)± 4.3%46%51% - -1%3%Baldwin Wallace UniversitySep 30 – Oct 81,140 (LV)± 3.1%45%50%1%0%0%4%YouGov/CCES  Sep 29 – Oct 7 2,703 (LV) – 44%52% - - – –Redfield & Wilton Strategies Oct 4–6 927 (LV) ± 3.22%42%49%1% -1%7%Emerson College Oct 4–5 688 (LV) ± 3.7% 47%51% - - 2% –Quinnipiac University Oct 1–5 1,211 (LV) ± 2.8% 41%54% - - 1% 3%Ipsos/Reuters Sep 29 – Oct 5 605 (LV) ± 4.5% 45%50% - - 2% 3%Change Research/CNBCOct 2–4468 (LV) –46%50% - - – –Monmouth UniversitySep 30 – Oct 4500 (RV)± 4.4%42%54%1% -0%2%500 (LV)43%54% - - – –45%53% - - – –YouGov/CBS Sep 30 – Oct 21,287 (LV)± 3.2%44%51% - -2%5%Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 30 – Oct 2 706 (LV) ± 4.1% 42%49% 3% - 0% 5%SurveyMonkey/AxiosSep 1–304,613 (LV) –46%52% - - –2%ABC News/Washington Post Sep 21–26 567 (LV) ± 5.0% 45%54% - -0%1%Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 25–27 711 (LV) ± 4.3% 40%49% 2% - 0% 8%TIPP/The Federalist Sep 24–26 774 (LV) ± 3.6% 45%50% - - 1% 4%Redfield & Wilton StrategiesSep 23–251,015 (LV)± 3.08%44%50%0% –1%5%Fox NewsSep 20–23 856 (LV) ± 3%44%51%2% –1%2% 910 (RV)± 3%43%51%2% –2%3%Baldwin Wallace University Sep 9–22 1,012 (LV) ± 3.6%45%47%2%0%1%5%Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC Sep 18–21 1,006 (LV) ± 2.99%46%48%1%1%2%2%YouGov/UW-Madison Elections ResearchCenter/Wisconsin State Journal Sep 10–21 642 (LV) –45%49% - - – –Change Research/CNBC Sep 18–20 579 (LV) –45%49% - - – –Franklin & Marshall College Sep 14–20480 (LV)± 7.8%42%48% - - – –Hart Research Associates/Human Rights CampaignSep 17–19400 (LV)± 4.9%42%53% - - – –CPEC Sep 15–17830 (LV)± 2.3%45%50% - -1%4%Trafalgar Group (R)Sep 15–171,006 (LV)± 2.99%45%47%2%1%2%2%Ipsos/ReutersSep 11–16611 (LV)± 4.5%46%49% - - 2% 4%Civiqs/Rust Belt RisingSep 11–15704 (RV)± 4.4%45%52% - -1%2%Redfield & Wilton StrategiesSep 12–141,036 (LV)± 3.04%44%49%1%1%0%5%Climate NexusSep 8–11659 (RV)± 4%43%48% - -3%6%Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARPAug 28 – Sep 81,600 (LV)± 2.5%46%49% - -1%4%Marist College/NBC NewsAug 31 – Sep 7771 (LV)± 4.4%44%53% - -1%2%Morning ConsultAug 29 – Sep 72,227 (LV)± (2%-4%)45%50% - - – –Change Research/CNBCSep 4–6829 (LV) –46%50% - -4% –TargetSmart Sep 3–6835 (LV)± 3.4%44%51% - -3%3%Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.Aug 26 – Sep 4498 (LV)± 4.3%42%44% - -6%7%Redfield & Wilton StrategiesAug 30 – Sep 31,053 (LV)± 3.02%43%48%1%1%1%7%Quinnipiac Aug 28 – Sep 11,235 (LV)± 3%44%52% - -1%3%ALG Research/Progressive Policy InstituteAug 26 – Sep 1500 (LV) –44%50% - - – –Monmouth UniversityAug 28–31400 (RV)± 4.9%45%49%2%0%1%4%400 (LV)46%49% - -2%3%47%48% - -2%3%Hodas & Associates/Restoration PACAug 26–31600 (LV) –45%51% - - –4%SurveyMonkey/AxiosAug 1–313,531 (LV) –45%53% - - –2%Morning ConsultAug 21–302,158 (LV)± (2%–4%)45%49% - - – – Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports Aug 25–27 1,000 (LV) ± 3% 48% 48% - - 4% – GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC  Aug 20–24 971 (LV) ± 4.4% 43%52% - - –5% Franklin & Marshall College Aug 17–24 681 (RV) ± 5.2% 42%50% - - 3% 7% Change Research/CNBC Aug 21–23 984 (LV) – 46%49% - - – – Global Strategy Group/Climate Power 2020/League of Conservation Voters/Sierra Club Aug 13–19801 (RV)± 3.5% 42% 50% 2% 1% – 5% 43%53% - - – 4%Redfield and Wilton StrategiesAug 16–171,006 (LV)± 3.1%41%48% 1% 1%1%8%Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising Aug 13–17617 (RV) –44%51% - -3%1%Muhlenberg College/Morning CallAug 11–17416 (LV)± 5.5%45%49% - -3%3%Morning ConsultAug 7–161,777 (LV)± (2%–4%)44%50% - - – –Emerson CollegeAug 8–10843 (LV)± 3.8%47%53% - - – –Change Research/CNBCAug 7–9456 (RV) –44%48% - - – –YouGov/CBSAug 4–71,211 (LV)± 3.7%43%49% - -3%5%OnMessage Inc./Heritage ActionAug 2–4400 (LV)± 4.7%46%50% - - –4%YouGov/University of Wisconsin-MadisonJul 27 – Aug 6742 (RV)± 4.9%41%50% - -2%5%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJul 1–314,208 (LV) –48%50% - - –2%Change Research/CNBCJul 24–26382 (LV) –46%48% - - – –Franklin & Marshall CollegeJul 20–26667 (RV)± 5.5%41%50% - -2%6%Morning ConsultJul 17–262,092 (LV)± 2.1%42%50% - - – –Gravis MarketingJul 22–241,006 (RV)± 3.1%45%48% - - –8%Zogby AnalyticsJul 21–23809 (RV)± 3.4%43%44% 4% 2% -8%Hodas & Associates/Restoration PACJul 17–22600 (LV) –45%51% - - –5%Redfield & Wilton StrategiesJul 19–211,016 (LV) –41%48% 1% 0%2%8%Fox NewsJul 18–20793 (RV)± 3.5%39%50% - -5%6%Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC Jul 15–16750 (LV)± 4%46%51% - -2%1%Spry Strategies/American Principles ProjectJul 11–16700 (LV)± 3.7%48%47% - - –5%Monmouth UniversityJul 9–13401 (RV)± 4.9%40%53% - -3%4%401 (LV)42%52% - -3%3%44%51% - -2%3%Change Research/CNBCJul 10–12743 (LV) –42%50% - - – –Trafalgar GroupJun 29 – Jul 21,062 (LV)± 2.92%43%48% - -6%3%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJun 8–302,184 (LV) –48%50% - - –2%Change Research/CNBCJun 26–28760 (LV) –44%50% - - – –Susquehanna Polling/Fox 43Jun 15–23715 (LV) –41%46% - -5%8%Redfield & Wilton StrategiesJun 14–161,125 (LV)± 2.92%39%49% 1% 1%1%9%Siena College/NYT UpshotJun 8–16651 (RV)± 4.2%40%50% - -3%6%Change Research/CNBCJun 12–14 491 (LV) –46%49% - -3% –Hodas & Associates/Restoration PACJun 8–11600 (LV)± 4.0%42%54% - - –4%Civiqs/Dan HopkinsJun 6–111,221 (A)3.6%46%49% - - –5%Civiqs/Dan HopkinsMay 30 – Jun 22,045 (A)2.4%46%49% - - –5%Change Research/CNBCMay 29–31579 (LV) –50%46% - -2%2%Morning ConsultMay 17–262,120 (LV) –44%48% - - – –Redfield & Wilton StrategiesMay 10–14963 (LV)± 3.2%39%48% - -2%11%Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC May 9–13 600 (LV) ± 3.0%51% 46% - - – 4%Harper Polling (R)  Apr 21–26 644 (LV) ± 3.9% 43%49% - - – 8% Public Policy Polling Apr 20–21 1,251 (RV) – 44% 51% - - – 5% Fox NewsApr 18–21803 (RV)± 3.5 %42%50% - - – – Ipsos Apr 15–20 578 (RV) ± 5.0% 40% 46% - - – –Suquehanna Research/Fox 43 Apr 14–20 693 (LV) –42%48% - - – – Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC Apr 16–18 600 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 47% - - – 6%Civiqs/Dan HopkinsApr 4–81,912 (A)2.5%47%47% - - –6% Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes Mar 17–25 973 (RV) ± 3.9% 47% 45% - - – 9% Change ResearchMar 21–23510 (LV) –50%47% - - – 4% Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC Mar 19–21 600 (RV) –47%45% - - – –Civiqs/Dan HopkinsMar 14–181,589 (A)2.7%48%46% - - –6%YouGov/Yahoo NewsMar 6–8725 (RV) –40%46% - -5%8% Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus Mar 5–7533 (RV)± 5.3 %45% 44% - - – –Civiqs/Dan HopkinsFeb 27 – Mar 32,462 (A)2.2%48%46% - - –7% Muhlenberg College/Morning CallFeb 12–20424 (RV)± 5.5%47%47% - - 2% 4% YouGovFeb 11–201,171 (RV)± 4.0 %45%46% - - – – Quinnipiac University Feb 12–18849 (RV)± 3.4 %42%50% - -6%3%Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute Feb 6–18 500 (RV) – 42% 47% - - – 11%

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