In article <C4yxMJ.BLE@news.udel.edu>, philly@bach.udel.edu (Robert C Hite) writes: > In article <1993Apr3.182452.1@ulkyvx.louisville.edu> pjtier01@ulkyvx.louisville.edu writes: >  >>>Everytime I have written on the net about the possibility of a >>>successfuls season by the Philadelphia Phillies, I have gotten ripped >>>from everybody from Pittsburgh to Calcutta.  But if all the >>>ignoramouses, care to look at this week's Baseball Weekly, they will see >>>  ^^^^^^^^^^^^                              ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ >>>that I'm not the only one who considers then as division winners - the >>>rest of the most respected baseball writers in the country do as well. >> >  >>And what was the reasoning of this genius writer?  That, even though their >>pitching is at best "sound", they will win on the strength of their offense. >>Lesse: >>           '93 offense = '92 offense + (Thompson & Incaviglia) >>  >>                     '92 offense = 72 wins >>                     '93 division winners = (at least) 88 wins >>             >>So,               >>               88 wins = 72 wins + (Thompson & Incaviglia) >> >>Therefore, >>               16 wins = Thompson & Incaviglia >> >>What did you learn in school today? >> >>If you take a math course and your teacher turns out to be Rob Rains, run, >>don't walk, to drop/add. >>                                                                 P. Tierney >  > You obviously don't know what the hell you're talking about.  No, > Thompson and Incaviglia don't equal 16 wins, but I'll take the two > of them over Stan Javier and Ruben Amaro (.249 1HR, 334AB & > .219 7HR 374 AB)  I'd say this improvement should equate to 6or 7 > wins at least. >  > Then, I'll take Lenny Dykstra who played 85 games last year and > project his numbers (.301, 104 hits, 18 2B's, 6 HR, 39RBI, 30 SB) > over 150 games. Thus(.301, 188 hits, 32 2B's, 11HR, 70RBI, 54 SB) > Okay, now we'll put these numbers in the leadoff hole and thus > I have to bump Kruk, Hollins, Daulton RBI numbers up just a tad... > now lesse... they knocked in 70, 93, and 109 respectively.  Don't > you think it's fair to add about 5 or 6 RBI to each?  They managed > to knock in a pretty nice amount of runs with a .219 leadoff hitter. > Okay bozo, do you think it's fair to add maybe 7 or 8 more wins > now?    Oh, and how can I forget Wes Chamberlain, 275 AB's 9 HR,  > 41 RBI even WITH a month and 1/2 in AAA and a horrible first half. > Well project that over a full season to get 18 HR and 80 RBI or so. > Is that worth a win or two?   >  > Finally, take the *worse* pitching staff in the NL last year, add > the worse injury decimation of 1992.  Okay, now we add Danny > jackson, some health, and a full season for Schilling... is that > worth at least 3 wins? >  > Okay we've been conservative and added about 18 wins so far.  Now > we're adding about 4 more wins thanks to the expansion teams... > Okay, thats 22 wins.  Lesse dipshit math genuious, 72 + 22 = 94 > Hmmm... I think thats good enough to win the worse division in > baseball? >  > Next time, before you say something foolish, get a clue first! >  >    Actually, I was simply relaying the reasoning of this so-called genius BW writer.  I agree.  The reasoning was foolish.    Next time, before you say something foolish, be aware what you are responding to.