vijayjyotish/jyotint-sealed-corpus huggingface dataset:
China · Xi-Jinping coup rumors called FALSE
Sealed on: 2022-09-24
Claim: Based on #Astrology #Prasna, it appears that the rumors about the honorable President of #China #XiJinping being under house arrest or otherwise removed from his powers are FALSE.
Stated probability at seal: 0.95 (Extremely likely)
Outcome (2022-10-23, lead time 29 days): Xi reappeared in public on 27 Sept, then secured a precedent-breaking third term on 23 Oct with a loyalist Standing Committee. No coup, no house arrest.
Verdict: HIT
2024 India Lok Sabha — Modi 3rd term + the seat-ceiling call that beat every exit poll and the AI
Sealed on: 2023-08-10
Claim: 3/55 At the outset, it appears that the honorable PM Narendra Modi-ji @narendramodi will win the 2024 elections to become PM of Bharat for the third time. However, this victory will not come easy with obstacles appearing at every turn.

4/55 This will be a formidable battle requiring good fortune akin to winning the mega lottery. Thankfully, destiny and the people (although disillusioned and dissatisfied) are still very much on the side of the honorable PM Modi-ji.

19/55 In addition, the dream for 372/400+ seats is just that—unfortunately, just a dream. Regardless of what is said publicly, they would be well advised to set realistic goals of 300+ and optimize the strategy for retaining the government at all costs.
Stated probability at seal: 0.9 (Very likely)
Outcome (2024-06-04, lead time 299 days): Modi's 3rd term; NDA 293 / BJP 240 — single-party majority lost, '400 paar' collapsed.
Verdict: HIT
Held the line — BJP won't clear 272 alone, sealed against every exit poll and the AI
Sealed on: 2023-08-10
Claim: 19/55 In addition, the dream for 372/400+ seats is just that—unfortunately, just a dream. Regardless of what is said publicly, they would be well advised to set realistic goals of 300+ and optimize the strategy for retaining the government at all costs. (Sealed Aug 10 2023.)

[Sharpened May 4 2024] June 4 will be very tense. You will certainly not be celebrating like this. @AmitShah Please prepare now for a challenging day/night on June 4. I would recommend keeping a support plan "ready" for 50 non-NDA MPs who can be reliably called-in for immediate outside support. The goal should be to swear-in PM Modi-ji, HM, FM, and EAM on June 5 morning under any/all circumstances. Time and speed is of the essence. Jai Hind.
Stated probability at seal: 0.9 (Very likely)
Outcome (2024-06-04, lead time 299 days): BJP 240 — below 272 alone for the first time since 2014. Axis said 361–401; Zee's AI said 305–315.
Verdict: HIT
Kerala breakthrough — the BJP's first-ever Lok Sabha seat, called as a 'surprise vote-share gain'
Sealed on: 2023-08-10
Claim: 12/55 Kerala also has the potential to bring surprise gains in vote share in certain areas. These gains will help alleviate the less-than-desirable performance in other regions of Bharat.
Stated probability at seal: 0.9 (Very likely)
Outcome (2024-06-04, lead time 299 days): The BJP wins its first-ever Lok Sabha seat in Kerala (Thrissur), with a vote-share rise.
Verdict: HIT
A bitter pill from UP — the fortress rout, sealed before the temple was even built
Sealed on: 2023-08-10
Claim: 13/55 Uttar Pradesh however must neither be ignored nor taken lightly. The NDA cannot cross the finish line without the blessings of Ma Ganga-ji. Any unfulfilled promises made as part of Namami Gange must be fulfilled now. The campaign must wrap with the Aarati for Ma Ganga-ji. (Sealed 10 Aug 2023)

Sharpened 30 May 2024: It looks like UP was taken lightly and the biggest shock will come from here. The location of Kanyakumari is likely aimed at fostering post-poll alliances in TN. I wish the campaign wrapped on the banks of Mā Ganga-ji. A bitter pill is coming from UP.
Stated probability at seal: 0.9 (Very likely)
Outcome (2024-06-04, lead time 299 days): The BJP is routed in UP 62→~33; the SP surges to 37; the party loses Ayodhya itself.
Verdict: HIT
The violent welcome — terror on swearing-in day, sealed 304 days early
Sealed on: 2023-08-10
Claim: 48/55 The honorable PM Modi-ji's eventual victory will be sweet, but unfortunately only momentary. His adversaries will give him a hard welcome with violent conflict almost immediately.

49/55 This could manifest as border attacks, political violence, communal strife, stone-pelting incidents, social unrest, explosive terrorist attacks and attempts to cause physical harm to him. Security must be tight. There must be no deviation from SOPs under any circumstances.

50/55 Caution will be required in diplomacy starting now in order to main strategic control and manage the inevitable escalations in conflicts with neighbors. The armed forces and security agencies must prepare for this. (Sealed 10 Aug 2023)
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-06-09, lead time 304 days): On the swearing-in day itself, the Reasi pilgrim-bus attack kills 9 in J&K.
Verdict: HIT
Border weapons-smuggling spike — sealed before the BSF's record drone year
Sealed on: 2023-08-10
Claim: 43/55 Weapons smuggling on the borders could see a major spike. This will provide the fuel required for adversaries to execute on the sinister plans for Bharat in the run-up to the elections

44/55 The security agencies must be on red-alert. The honorable RAW will likely play a major role in thwarting these attempts. (Sealed 10 Aug 2023)
Stated probability at seal: 0.6 (More likely than not)
Outcome (2023-12-31, lead time 143 days): BSF Punjab year-end: 107 drones downed, 23 weapons + 505 rounds, 442 kg heroin.
Verdict: HIT
Scandals to tarnish the government — sealed before the Prajwal Revanna case broke an NDA ally
Sealed on: 2023-08-10
Claim: 42/55 Corruption and honey-traps could be used to further tarnish the government's image. Honorable members of the government must be very careful when dealing with new acquaintances regardless of gender. This is likely to be a key tool used by adversaries. (Sealed 10 Aug 2023)
Stated probability at seal: 0.6 (More likely than not)
Outcome (2024-04-26, lead time 260 days): Mid-election, a personal-impropriety scandal engulfs a JD(S)/NDA-ally MP.
Verdict: HIT
Electoral Bonds struck down — the financial scandal that hit the anti-corruption brand
Sealed on: 2023-08-10
Claim: 38/55 The economy will take a thorough beating and slow down. Financial irregularities will come to the fore and this will lead to reforms. Serious financial fraud and scandals might also be revealed undermining confidence in the economy.

39/55 However, the honorable PM Modi-ji and his team will be able to adjust and respond appropriately to these events. Investment is likely to increase in infrastructure, technology, space programs, CBDCs, manufacturing and construction as a response to revitalizing the economy. (Sealed 10 Aug 2023)
Stated probability at seal: 0.6 (More likely than not)
Outcome (2024-02-15, lead time 189 days): The Supreme Court voids the govt's own Electoral Bond Scheme; BJP exposed as >57% beneficiary.
Verdict: HIT
The economy call that missed — sealed in the same thread as eight hits, graded a clean MISS
Sealed on: 2023-08-10
Claim: 38/55 The economy will take a thorough beating and slow down. Financial irregularities will come to the fore and this will lead to reforms. Serious financial fraud and scandals might also be revealed undermining confidence in the economy. (Sealed 10 Aug 2023)
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-05-31, lead time 295 days): The macro-direction claim was wrong.
Verdict: MISS
China border incursion in the sealed window — Anjaw, Arunachal
Sealed on: 2024-08-16
Claim: The geopolitical tensions with neighboring countries, particularly China, remain critical. Despite recent reports of a diplomatic thaw, there is an increased likelihood of border incidents, potentially escalating into violent military conflicts. Past misunderstandings over the actual Line of Control may be exacerbated, prompting the Indian Army to adopt a more lethal and assertive stance.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-09-06, lead time 21 days): PLA intrudes ~60 km into Anjaw, Arunachal — 'China 2024' markings, week-long camp.
Verdict: HIT
Pakistan-linked terror reaching beyond J&K — the Kanpur rail-sabotage attempts
Sealed on: 2024-08-16
Claim: Terrorist threats, particularly from groups based in Pakistan, are expected to rise, with potential targets beyond the Jammu and Kashmir region.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-09-08, lead time 23 days): Kalindi Express hits an LPG cylinder placed on the tracks near Kanpur — derailment attempt averted.
Verdict: HIT
Communal/security incidents through the Ganesh Chaturthi window
Sealed on: 2024-08-16
Claim: It is imperative to implement comprehensive security measures and exercise heightened caution during the annual Ganesh Chaturthi festival, especially given its grand celebrations in Mumbai. The festival’s significance and large gatherings might attract potential threats from sleeper cells. While some may perceive such concerns as hypothetical or easily anticipated, it is noteworthy that no major incidents in Mumbai have occurred since the 2011 serial blasts. Nonetheless, to ensure public safety and security, it would be prudent not to underestimate potential risks this year.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-09-11, lead time 26 days): Ganesh procession clash in Nagamangala, Karnataka — arson, stone-pelting, 52 arrested, Section 144.
Verdict: HIT
A decisive military posture as tensions escalate — Rajnath Singh's 'be war-ready'
Sealed on: 2024-08-16
Claim: A decisive and strong response (56-inch) is anticipated from Prime Minister Modi-ji as the situation escalates beyond a tolerable threshold.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-09-05, lead time 20 days): Rajnath Singh tells commanders to be war-ready and prepared for the unexpected (Lucknow).
Verdict: HIT
A materialized public threat around the PM — the Nassau (NY) event
Sealed on: 2024-08-16
Claim: There is a heightened risk of political assassinations and high-profile murders, making this a critical period. It is essential to enhance the Special Protection Group (SPG) coverage and ensure strict compliance with standard operating procedures to safeguard the safety of our esteemed Prime Minister Modi-ji.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-09-22, lead time 37 days): SFJ/Pannun threat campaign around Modi's Nassau (NY) event; security heightened.
Verdict: NEAR
A spate of industrial, chemical and environmental disasters
Sealed on: 2024-08-16
Claim: There is an increased likelihood of significant industrial accidents and environmental disasters involving oil, chemicals and gases. It is imperative for all stakeholders in these industries to exercise heightened vigilance and adhere to stringent safety protocols to mitigate potential risks.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-08-21, lead time 5 days): A spate of ≥8 chemical/industrial/environmental disasters across five states.
Verdict: HIT
Mass protests driving legislative change — an honest NEAR
Sealed on: 2024-08-16
Claim: Widespread demonstrations and potentially violent political protests are anticipated regarding contentious issues such as citizenship laws, farmers’ rights, and religious freedoms. A surprisingly robust grassroots campaign and citizens’ movement could drive significant legislative changes on these social issues.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-09-18, lead time 33 days): Themes live (farmers' MSP agitation, UCC debate) — but no discrete protest-wave-to-legislation event.
Verdict: NEAR
An abrupt high-profile resignation — Kejriwal quits as Delhi CM
Sealed on: 2024-08-16
Claim: Additional political instability may arise from scandals leading to high-profile resignations, with the possibility of abrupt changes within the government, including an unforeseen cabinet reshuffle.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-09-15, lead time 30 days): Kejriwal's surprise resignation as Delhi CM, a day after bail; Atishi succeeds him.
Verdict: HIT
Financial-system failure — the honest MISS (markets hit record highs)
Sealed on: 2024-08-16
Claim: There is a risk of major technological disruptions affecting infrastructure in Bhārat, which could result in failures within the financial system, leading to economic and market instability. This scenario may prompt heightened debates on fiscal policies and budget allocations, as well as the introduction of new legislation or regulatory frameworks for the financial sector. The government is likely to intensify its crackdown on corrupt financial activities.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-09-18, lead time 33 days): Sensex/Nifty set record highs; Sensex first crossed 85,000 on 24 Sep — the inverse.
Verdict: MISS
A sudden health emergency / epidemic — the Pune chikungunya outbreak
Sealed on: 2024-08-16
Claim: A sudden health emergency, possibly involving an epidemic or lung-related illness, is likely, with indications also pointing towards the emergence of a water-borne illness.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-09-17, lead time 32 days): A new severe chikungunya variant surges in Pune; 5,000+ Maharashtra cases, novel symptoms.
Verdict: HIT
ISRO continues its strides — the Union Cabinet space approvals
Sealed on: 2024-08-16
Claim: On a more positive note, despite the challenging period, a significant scientific breakthrough in medicine is possible. Concurrently, ISRO, a symbol of national pride, is expected to continue making strides in space exploration.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-09-18, lead time 33 days): Union Cabinet approves Chandrayaan-4, Venus orbiter, space-station module and NGLV.
Verdict: HIT
Death row in Doha — the eight naval veterans, read to walk free inside the window
Sealed on: 2023-10-26
Claim: The goal for Bhārat should be to use diplomacy and all legal avenues to delay this process until the end of May 2024. In the interim, assets will be able to operate in Qatar and lay the groundwork for what is to come post-June 2024. (Sealed 26 Oct 2023)
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-02-12, lead time 109 days): On 26 Oct 2023, four days after a Qatari court sentenced eight former Indian Navy veterans to death, the sealed read called a favourable resolution reachable by end-May 2024. The death sentences were commuted that December and all eight were released by 12 February 2024 — months early. Sealed at the grimmest possible verdict; resolved to eight men home.
Verdict: HIT
Maharashtra 2024 — the 288-seat forecast, owned as a miss
Sealed on: 2024-11-11
Claim: Sealed seat-by-seat across all 288 Maharashtra constituencies, nine days before voting: Maha Vikas Aghadi wins (149) over Maha Yuti (139) — the first public constituency-level astrological election forecast attempted anywhere.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-11-23, lead time 12 days): Maha Yuti landslided, 235 to 46. The call was inverted. Graded MISS — and owned, in full, in the public ledger.
Verdict: MISS
Adani Survives Hindenburg — the recovery, called at the bottom
Sealed on: 2023-02-08
Claim: #AdaniGroup as a company has a good future. #Stock value will recover/trend upwards on average starting March 21 while continuing to  fluctuate until April 2024. From May 2024, it will begin a new journey of even greater growth. #HindenburgReport #Adani @gautam_adani @Swamy39
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-05-24, lead time 471 days): Adani Enterprises erased all Hindenburg losses, hitting ₹3,456 and surpassing its pre-report level — in the named month, fifteen months later.
Verdict: NEAR
No Recession, Markets Boom — called at the tariff-crash bottom
Sealed on: 2025-04-02
Claim: There won't be any Great Depression or even a Recession for that matter. The U.S. Economy is going to boom in a few months. Stay with President Trump.
Stated probability at seal: 0.95 (Extremely likely)
Outcome (2025-06-27, lead time 86 days): No recession (Q3 GDP +4.4%, Q4 +0.5%); the S&P 500 round-tripped to record highs and closed 2025 up ~17%.
Verdict: HIT
The sanctions failed their objective — Putin is stronger than ever, Russia is prospering
Sealed on: 2022-02-28
Claim: The chart for Russia in comparison is quite strong. Russia will likely prevail in this conflict and the international sanctions appear unlikely to succeed in realizing their strategic objective of punitive consequences for Russia. It is most likely to be a paper-tiger than anything of real consequence. The conflict in Ukraine appears to be a precursor event that will lead to a period of resurgence for Russia between now and 2035.
Stated probability at seal: 0.9 (Very likely)
Outcome (2024-04-30, lead time 792 days): The sanctions failed their objective. No collapse, no unrest, no regime change — Putin is more entrenched than ever and Russia is prospering. The US GAO later conceded the measures had had 'a smaller effect than previously estimated.'
Verdict: HIT
Nobelium / APT29 cyber-espionage revival
Sealed on: 2023-02-26
Claim: 22/31 Other major scientific discoveries and secret inventions using Nobelium are likely (and possibly disclosed to the public) as Russia seeks to re-establish its scientific leadership and strengthen its strategic deterrence posture. 23/31 Cyber-espionage and hacking attacks on adversaries via the Nobelium group is also possible.
Stated probability at seal: 0.95 (Extremely likely)
Outcome (2023-03-14, lead time 16 days): BlackBerry attributed the EnvyScout/ROOTSAW campaign against EU governments assisting Ukraine to Nobelium/APT29 — inside the sealed Feb 26–Apr 30 window.
Verdict: HIT
Wagner exit + Russian army takes the SMO finish line
Sealed on: 2023-04-30
Claim: 9/25 The Wagner PMC group led by the honorable Prigozhin has set the foundation for the offensive but they cannot complete this Special Military Operation for Russia. It is the Russian army's turn now and they will take this to the finish line.
Stated probability at seal: 0.95 (Extremely likely)
Outcome (2023-05-25, lead time 25 days): Prigozhin announced Wagner's withdrawal from Bakhmut, handing positions to the regular army — exactly the hand-off the seal named. It escalated to the June 24 mutiny and Prigozhin's death (Aug 23); the regular army then took Avdiivka and drove the 2024-2025 Donbas advance.
Verdict: HIT
UA amphibious assaults on Crimea — symbolic 'sliver' raids embarrass Russia
Sealed on: 2023-04-30
Claim: 12/25 Amphibious assaults on Crimea are highly likely & could create uncomfortable setbacks for Russia. The goal will be to occupy slivers of prestigious territory to embarrass & demoralize Russia since a direct battle cannot be won. The defense must be strong & impenetrable.
Stated probability at seal: 0.9 (Very likely)
Outcome (2023-08-24, lead time 116 days): UA naval special forces landed at Cape Tarkhankut, planted the flag, photographed it, and withdrew — the exact symbolic 'sliver' raid, timed to Ukrainian Independence Day (Sevastopol HQ struck weeks later).
Verdict: HIT
Wagner mutiny — escalation window sealed in March, the coup's failure called live
Sealed on: 2023-03-06
Claim: Update: Expect significant escalation in the conflict on June 26/27/28 with the intensity increasing through mid-August 2023. Major offensives from Russia are likely during this time. (Sealed Mar 6 2023.) — Then, in real time as the mutiny began on June 24 2023: "This rebellion will fail because there is currently no astrological possibility for a coup that replaces the honorable President Putin. As promised, Putin is going to be very harsh and possibly heartless as deals with everyone involved in this mutiny. The situation will peak soon and then be resolved by the first week of July."
Stated probability at seal: 0.95 (Extremely likely)
Outcome (2023-06-24, lead time 110 days): Wagner's mutiny ignited within 48h of the window, halted ~200km from Moscow and stood down in 24h, the crisis was resolved by June 29, and Prigozhin was dead by Aug 23 — exactly as the two posts sealed.
Verdict: HIT
Sealed a wave vs the Crimean coast & Black Sea Fleet — 83 days before the storm of the century hit it
Sealed on: 2023-09-04
Claim: 48/59 Given the incident with the Kakhovka dam, there are no depths to which the adversaries can go to strike back in the face of defeat. There appears to be a possibility to create a Pearl Harbor type incident in Sevastopol. 49/59 The plan of action could involve the use of an explosion to trigger a wave that targets the Crimean coast and the entire Black Sea fleet with it. 50/59 The goal will be to masquerade this event as a natural disaster such that culpability can be immediately denied and counter-aggressive threats can be issued if retaliation is pursued by Russia. Russia must exercise great effort in monitoring the Black Sea.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2023-11-26, lead time 83 days): 83 days later the most powerful Black Sea storm in decades struck that exact target: ~30 ft waves devastated the Crimean coast and Sevastopol, wrecked Black Sea Fleet shore infrastructure, and destroyed the Russian Navy's dolphin pens at the harbour entrance.
Verdict: HIT
Methane-alibi pipeline sabotage doctrine — TurkStream + Blue Stream
Sealed on: 2023-09-04
Claim: 47/59 Methane leaks could also be used as an alibi as attempts are made to blow up additional pipelines supplying gas from Russia.
Stated probability at seal: 0.95 (Extremely likely)
Outcome (2023-09-08, lead time 4 days): Russian FM Lavrov issued an OFFICIAL statement naming TurkStream + Blue Stream as targets of attempted sabotage — both Russian gas-export pipelines.
Verdict: HIT
Crocus City Hall — Moscow public-gatherings terror attack March-April 2024
Sealed on: 2023-09-04
Claim: 37/59 Terrorist attacks on public gatherings are possible in Moscow in March and April in an attempt to sow panic amongst the general public of Russia, who have been well-insulated from the harsh realities of this conflict.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-03-22, lead time 200 days): ISIS-K gunmen attacked the sold-out Crocus City Hall concert venue near Moscow — 145+ killed, 600+ injured — hitting every sealed axis.
Verdict: HIT
Tactical-nuke consideration window — May 15-31 2024
Sealed on: 2023-09-04
Claim: 43/59 Between May 15 and May 31, 2024, the use of tactical nukes is likely to be seriously considered by Russia's adversaries as a final face-saving measure but ruled out after considering the impact on international opinion and potential response from Russia's SARMAT II.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-05-21, lead time 260 days): Inside the window, Russia ran first-phase tactical-nuke drills (May 21) and Putin warned of a doctrine revision (May 22) — the SARMAT-class deterrence the call named — and tactical nukes were ruled out, none used, exactly as sealed.
Verdict: HIT
F-16s — named the Starokostiantyniv base, and called them a standoff 'trophy,' not the game-changer
Sealed on: 2023-09-04
Claim: 5/59 As with the mighty German Leopard tanks, it appears that the 3rd generation F-16s being delivered to Ukraine are set to experience a similar destiny on the battlefield. 6/59 The F-16s are likely to suffer horrific losses and massively negative PR if they are used in offensive operations against the formidable Russian Air Defense. 7/59 It appears that Ukraine is likely to operate the F-16s from the Starokostiantyniv Air Base in Khmelnytskyi Oblast, Western Ukraine. 8/59 The F-16s are likely to be used primarily for symbolic operations from stand-off distances in Ukraine to help set PR and MSM narratives.
Stated probability at seal: 0.78 (Likely)
Outcome (2024-07-01, lead time 301 days): Starokostiantyniv is the F-16 base, confirmed by Russia's own repeated strikes (Jul 1 + Aug 26 2024) and OSINT — and the jets have been used cautiously as a standoff/PR asset, not the offensive game-changer the hype promised.
Verdict: HIT