Edward Luttwak
Edward Nicolae Luttwak (born 4 November 1942) is an American military strategist and author known for his works on grand strategy, geoeconomics, military history, and international relations. He is best known for being the author of <nowiki></nowiki>"". His book "Strategy: The Logic of War and Peace", also published in Chinese, Russian and nine other languages, is widely used at war colleges around the world. Early life. Luttwak was born into a Jewish family in Arad, Romania, and raised in Italy and England. Career. After attending a boarding school in Berkshire, where he joined the British Army  cadet corps, Luttwak moved to London at the age of 16 and went to a grammar school (which in England is an academically selective school for students aged from 11 to 18). He then studied analytical economics at the London School of Economics. In 1968, when he was 26 and working in London as a consultant for the oil industry, he published the book "", a pastiche of a military manual. The book explains in detail how to overthrow the government of a state, looking in particular at coups d'état on the African continent and in the Middle East. The spy  fiction author John le Carré praised the book and compared Luttwak to Machiavelli. Luttwak graduated from the London School of Economics in 1969. Luttwak was a war volunteer in Israel in 1967 and later worked for the Israeli Defence Forces. In 1972 he moved to the United States for graduate studies at Johns Hopkins in Baltimore. He graduated with a PhD in International Relations in 1975. The title of his dissertation was "Force and Diplomacy in Roman Strategies of Imperial Security". Earlier, during a two-month visit to Washington, D.C. in 1969, Luttwak and Richard Perle, his former roommate in  London, joined a thinktank, the Committee to Maintain a Prudent Defence Policy, assembled by Dean Acheson and Paul Nitze to lobby Congress for anti-ballistic missile systems. In late 1974 and into 1975 a series of articles was published by neoconservative intellectuals discussing whether the US military should seize the oilfields in Saudi Arabia. In March 1975, "Harper's Magazine" published an article that Luttwak had written under the pseudonym "Miles Ignotus" with the title "Seizing Arab Oil". Luttwak had previously published the gist of his argument on how to break Arab power under the title "Obsolescent Elites", using his  real name, in "The Times Literary Supplement". He suggested that U.S. Marines, assisted by the 82nd Airborne Division, should storm the eastern beaches of Saudi Arabia. The article and the author attracted considerable attention, but there is no evidence that the Ford administration ever considered such an intervention. James Atkins, then U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia, publicly denounced the "invasion scenario" as a product of "sick minds". In 2004 Luttwak told the "Wall Street Journal" that he had written the article "after discussion with several like-minded consultants and officials in the Pentagon". In 1976 Luttwak published "The Grand Strategy  of the Roman Empire from the First Century AD to the Third", which generated controversy among professional historians who saw Luttwak as an outsider and a non-specialist in the field. However, the book is recognized as seminal because it raised basic questions about the Roman Army and its defense of the Roman frontier. Later he started researching the Byzantine empire, beginning with its earliest surviving texts. According to Harry Sidebottom, the majority of scholars were hostile to Luttwak's enthusiasm for fighting wars on client state territory and the book made uncomfortable reading in some circles in western Europe  because in the 1980s Luttwak became a security consultant to U.S. President Ronald Reagan. In 1987 Luttwak published "Strategy: The Logic of War and Peace". According to Luttwak's publisher, Harvard University Press, the book has been widely acclaimed. Luttwak became known for his innovative ideas. He suggested, for example, that attempts by major powers to quell regional wars actually make conflicts more protracted. Luttwak went on to provide consulting services to multinational corporations and government agencies, including various branches of the U.S. government and the U.S. military. Luttwak has served on the editorial boards of "Géopolitique" (France), the "Journal  of Strategic Studies", "The European Journal of International Affairs", and the "Washington Quarterly". He speaks English, French, Hebrew, Italian,and Spanish, in addition to his native Romanian. In 1997, with three partners, he purchased 17,000 hectares of land in the Bolivian Amazon, where he set up a cattle ranch. Luttwak was a lecturer in economics at the University of Bath from 1964 to 1966. In 2004 Luttwak was awarded an honorary doctorate degree (LLD) from the University of Bath. He has also received honorary degrees from a university in Arad, Romania and the University of Bucharest. His book "The Grand  Strategy of the Byzantine Empire" was published in late 2009. Leon Wieseltier, who got to know Luttwak during the Reagan years, wrote: "Edward was this figure out of a Werner Herzog film. He was not some person who had read a bit of Tacitus and now worked at the Pentagon. He knew all the languages, the geographies, the cultures, the histories. He is the most bizarre humanist I have ever met." Predictions. Before the first Persian Gulf War Luttwak incorrectly predicted that Iraqi President Saddam Hussein would evacuate Kuwait "after a week or two of bombing [the bombing continued for  six weeks without inducing him to do so] and warned that the use of ground forces without heavy preliminary bombing 'could make Desert Storm a bloody, grinding combat with thousands of (US) casualties.'" Writing a month into the bombing, Luttwak still opposed a ground campaign. He forecast that it would lead inevitably to a military occupation of Iraq from which the United States would be unable to disengage without disastrous foreign policy consequences. In the 1999 book "Turbo-Capitalism: Winners and Losers in the Global Economy" Luttwak predicted that dynamic economic growth would increase ugly social phenomena such as crime  rates and job insecurity, as anticipated in his "London Review of Books" article "Why Fascism is the Wave of the Future". In 2009 Richard Posner analyzed intellectuals with a public profile in the U.S. Posner claimed that Luttwak sees many affinities between the United States and the declining Roman empire, leading Luttwak to predict a dark age in which the U.S. population will experience decline into Third World status. According to Posner, Luttwak retained his economic pessimism when the economy of the United States stood at the turn of the century. In 2015, Luttwak predicted that the Middle East will  be embroiled in internecine war for the next thousand years, thanks to the "brilliant stroke" of strategic genius, far exceeding even Bismarck's abilities, exemplified by George W. Bush when he ignited a religious war between Sunnis and Shiites. Luttwak predicted in a 2016 op-ed in "The Wall Street Journal" that the Trump administration would pursue a foreign policy "unlikely to deviate from standard conservative norms", withdrawing troops from Afghanistan and Iraq, avoiding involvement in Syria and Libya, eschewing trade wars, and modestly reducing spending — in short, "changes at the margin". On grand strategy. Luttwak has long insisted on  the necessity of a grand strategy, but he moved beyond preoccupation with military intervention, and started to theorize diplomacy and military alliances. His "Grand Strategy of the Soviet Union" (1983) was the first English-language text that recognized the different nationalities that were re-emerging in the USSR and were ignored by both "Kremlinologists" and U.S. intelligence. Luttwak concluded that the Soviet Union relied entirely on military instruments for its grand strategy. Luttwak argued that Carl von Clausewitz's warning against aggressive wars was no longer relevant in the post-World War II era. He reasoned that when confronted with  weapons of mass destruction, statecraft needed a grand strategy, that is, "the firm subordination of tactical priorities, material ideals, and warlike instincts to political goals". For Luttwak, grand strategy was no longer a military doctrine, but a political issue, and diplomacy was needed to achieve the security of the state. Writing in 2007 for the "National Review", former George W. Bush's speechwriter David Frum said of Luttwak: "His book on the grand strategy of the Roman Empire was terrific, and his "Coup d'État" is that astounding thing: a great work of political science that is also a hilarious satire . Personal life. Luttwak describes himself as a "fanatical snorkeler" and exercises every day. He lives with his wife in Maryland. He has a son. Works. Several books among those listed below have been translated into such languages as Arabic, Chinese, Czech, Danish, Dutch, Estonian, Finnish, French, German, Greek, Indonesian (Bahasa), Italian, Japanese, Korean, Mongolian, Norwegian, Polish, Portuguese (and Brazilian Portuguese), Romanian, Russian, Spanish (in Spain, Argentina and Venezuela), Swedish, and Turkish. Books. In Japanese only: In Italian only: As contributor: Preface, foreword: Selected book reviews. Luttwak has written book reviews for publications such as "The American Spectator", "Commentary Magazine", "London  Review of Books", "The New Republic", and "The New York Times".