Crop estimates for 26 October 2016	Toggle navigation
Sojaflits 5Strooptyd kom nou vinnig naderOilseeds FocusVol 3 No 2 Out NowPersonal income and cost budgetCalculate onlinePreviousNext	Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 26 October 2016 20 December 2016 24 November 2016 26 OCTOBER 2016 27 September 2016 25 August 2016 27 July 2016 Intentions to plant summer crops 2017
Area planted and third production forecast of winter crops 2016
Graph: White maize – area planted / Grafiek: Witmielies – oppervlakte beplant
Graph: Yellow maize – area planted / Grafiek: Geelmielies – oppervlakte beplant
Graph: Total maize – area planted / Grafiek: Totale mielies – oppervlakte beplant
Graph: Wheat – Northern Cape / Grafiek: Koring – Noord-Kaap
Final estimateFinale skatting
2017as mid October 2016soos middel October 2016
2016as on / soos op27 September 2016
9 161 870
Area planted 2010-2017 Oppervlakte beplant
Intentions to plant 26 October/Oktober 2016 Voorneme om te plant
Producers intentions to plant summer crops are based on the results of a nonprobability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis of the Department of Agricul­ture, Forestry and Fisheries and reflects the position as at the middle of October 2016.
According to the results of the survey, commercial producers intend to plant 2,463 million ha of maize for 2017, which is 26,5% or 516 250 ha more than the 1,947 million ha planted last season.
The figures show that producers intend to plant 1,455 million ha to white maize, which is 440 250 ha (43,4%) more than in the pre­vious season. In the case of yellow maize, the expected plantings are 1,008 million ha, which is 76 000 ha (8,2%) more than in the previous season.
Producers indicated that more maize will be planted for the 2017 season, mainly because of favourable weather forecasts for the new season, which will hopefully bring relief after the previous seasons' drought conditions. However, the rainfall can still in­fluence farmers' decisions.
In the case of sunflower seed, the expected area planted is estimated at 670 000 ha, which is 6,8% or 48 500 ha less than the 718 500 ha planted last season.
The intended plantings of soybeans shows an increase of 2,6% compared to the previous season – from 502 800 ha to 516 000 ha.
The expected plantings of groundnuts will increase by 48,2%, from 22 600 ha to 33 500 ha.
The intended plantings of sorghum is expected to decrease by 21,0% or 10 200 ha to 38 300 ha, compared to the previous season.
The expected plantings of dry beans is estimated at 33 000 ha, which is 4,1% or 1 400 ha less than in the previous season.
Please note that the preliminary area planted estimate for summer grains for 2017 will be released on 26 January 2017.
Produsente se voorneme om somergewasse te plant is gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise van die Depar­te­ment van Landbou, Bosbou en Visserye en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van Oktober 2016.
Volgens die resultate van die opname, is kommersiele produsente van voorneme om 2,463 miljoen ha mielies vir 2017 te plant, wat 26,5% of 516 250 ha meer is as die 1,947 miljoen ha aangeplant verlede seisoen.
Die syfers toon dat produsente van voorneme is om 1,455 miljoen ha witmielies aan te plant, wat 440 250 ha (43,4%) meer is as in die vorige seisoen. In die geval met geelmielies is die verwagte aanplantings 1,008 miljoen ha, wat 76 000 ha (8,2%) meer is as in die vorige seisoen.
Produsente het aangedui dat meer mielies aangeplant sal word vir die 2017-seisoen, hoofsaaklik as gevolg van gunstige weer­voor­uitsigte vir die nuwe seisoen, wat hopelik verligting sal bring na die vorige seisoen se droogtetoestande. Maar reënval kan steeds boere se besluite beïnvloed.
In die geval van sonneblomsaad word die verwagte aanplantings beraam op 670 000 ha, wat 6,8% of 48 500 ha minder is as die 718 500 ha aangeplant verlede seisoen.
Die voorgenome sojaboon-aanplantings toon 'n toename van 2,6% in vergelyking met die vorige seisoen – vanaf 502 800 ha tot 516 000 ha.
Die verwagte aanplantings van grondbone gaan toeneem met 48,2%, van 22 600 ha tot 33 500 ha.
Die voorgenome aanplantings van sorghum sal na verwagting afneem met 21,0% of 10 200 ha na 38 300 ha, in vergelyking met die vorige seisoen.
Die verwagte aanplantings van droëbone word beraam op 33 000 ha, wat 4,1% of 1 400 ha minder is as in die vorige seisoen.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir somergewasse vir 2017 op 26 Januarie 2017 vrygestel sal word.
Area planted and third production forecast 2016 Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Second forecastTweede skatting
Production for Western Cape 2010-2016 Wes-Kaap produksie
Production for Northern Cape 2010-2016 Noord-Kaap produksie
Production for Free State 2010-2016 Vrystaat produksie
Area estimate and third production forecast 26 October/Oktober 2016 Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Please note that the yield for the Western Cape is mainly based on information as collected objectively by the National Crop Statis­tics Consortium (NCSC), which is led by the ARC. Information on the objective yield for the Free State will be available on 20 De­cem­ber 2016.
The expected commercial production of wheat is 1,734 million tons, which is 2,0% or 33 590 tons more than the previous fore­cast of 1,700 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,41 t/ha.
The expected production in the Western Cape is 936 700 tons (54%), in the Free State 308 000 tons (18%) and in the Northern Cape 252 000 tons (15%).
The area estimate for wheat was revised to 508 365 ha, which is 215 ha more than the 508 150 ha of the previous forecast. This was mainly as a result of information that was received by the Consortium on the area planted for the Gauteng province.
Other crops: The production forecast for malting barley is 299 895 tons, which is 2,8% more than the previous forecast of 291 595 tons. The area planted is estimated at 88 695 ha, while the ex­pect­ed yield is 3,38 t/ha.
The expected canola crop was adjusted upwards by 6 800 tons to 108 860 tons. The area estimate for canola is 68 075 ha, with an expected yield of 1,60 t/ha.
Please note that the fourth production forecast for winter cereals for 2016 will be released on 24 November 2016.
Let wel, die opbrengs vir die Wes-Kaap is hoofsaaklik gebaseer op inligting soos objektief versamel deur die LNR-begeleide Nasio­nale Oesskattingskonsortium. Inligting oor die objektiewe op­brengs vir die Vrystaat sal op 20 Desember 2016 beskikbaar wees.
Die verwagte kommersiële produksie vir koring is 1,734 miljoen ton, wat 2,0% of 33 590 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1,700 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,41 t/ha is.
Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 936 700 ton (54%), in die Vrystaat 308 000 ton (18%) en in die Noord-Kaap 252 000 ton (15%).
Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is hersien na 508 365 ha, wat 215 ha meer is as die 508 150 ha teenoor die vorige skatting. Dit is hoofsaaklik as gevolg van inligting wat ontvang is vanaf die Konsortium ten opsigte van die oppervlakte beplant vir die Gauteng provinsie.
Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is 299 895 ton, wat 2,8% meer is as die vorige skatting van 291 595 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant is beraam op 88 695 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,38 t/ha beloop.
Die verwagte canola-oes is opwaarts aangepas met 6 800 ton na 108 860 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 68 075 ha, met ŉ verwagte opbrengs van 1,60 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die vierde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2016 op 24 November 2016 vrygestel sal word.