Seventh summer crops 2019 and first winter cereals: 27 August 2019
Index of August 27 Augustus Indeks
Graph: Sunflower seed production /
Grafiek: Sonneblomsaad produksie
Graph: Soybean production /
Graph: Sorghum production /
Area planted and seventh production forecast 2019 Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting
White maize / Witmielies 1 298 400 5 572 240 5 572 240 1 268 100 6 540 000 –
Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 002 100 5 444 420 5 406 620 1 050 750 5 970 000 +0.70
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 300 500 11 016 660 10 978 860 2 318 850 12 510 000 +0.34
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 515 350 680 940 655 640 601 500 862 000 +3.86
Soybeans / Sojabone 730 500 1 170 345 1 170 345 787 200 1 540 000 –
Groundnuts / Grondbone 20 050 18 880 18 880 56 300 57 000 –
Sorghum 50 500 147 300 153 950 28 800 115 000 -4.32
Dry beans / Droëbone 59 300 66 355 66 355 53 360 69 360 –
Total maize / Totaal mielies 296 000 549 180 549 180 314 835 593 975 –
Commercial + Non-commercial maize / Kommersieël + Nie-kommersiële mielies
Total maize RSA Totaal mielies 2 596 500 11 565 840 11 528 040 2 633 685 13 103 975 +0.33
Final crop ¹
650 000 380 000 1 030 000 2 795 000 1 596 000 4 391 000 644 000 410 000 1 054 000 3 350 000 1 925 000 5 275 000
45 000 54 000 99 000 270 000 388 800 658 800 45 000 50 000 95 000 280 000 380 000 660 000
145 000 338 000 483 000 812 000 1 892 800 2 704 800 140 000 340 000 480 000 812 000 2 005 000 2 817 000
48 000 60 000 108 000 259 200 336 000 595 200 50 000 62 000 112 000 275 000 356 500 631 500
390 000 95 000 485 000 1 287 000 389 500 1 676 500 370 000 110 000 480 000 1 670 000 428 550 2 098 550
1 298 400 1 002 100 2 300 500 5 572 240 5 444 420 11 016 660 1 268 100 1 050 750 2 318 850 6 540 000 5 970 000 12 510 000
Free State / Vrystaat 270 000 391 500 314 000 490 000
Limpopo 61 000 61 000 45 000 36 000
North West / Noordwes 175 000 218 750 233 000 326 200
Total / Totaal 515 350 680 940 601 500 862 000
Free State / Vrystaat 301 000 391 300 345 000 552 000
KwaZulu-Natal 33 000 99 000 40 000 124 000
Mpumalanga 310 000 511 500 310 000 672 700
Total / Totaal 730 500 1 170 345 787 200 1 540 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 2 520 2 800 7 000
Free State / Vrystaat 11 500 8 625 22 000 21 150
Limpopo 1 850 3 885 3 500 7 350
North West / Noordwes 5 500 3 850 28 000 21 500
Total / Totaal 20 050 18 880 56 300 57 000
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 180 20 30
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 000 1 400 540 1 080
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 400 720 300 450
KwaZulu-Natal 3 500 4 025 3 000 3 600
Mpumalanga 7 500 6 750 7 000 9 800
Limpopo 7 800 12 480 7 500 15 000
Gauteng 1 500 1 950 1 000 1 200
North West / Noordwes 10 500 10 500 8 000 9 600
Total / Totaal 59 300 66 355 53 360 69 360
Free State / Vrystaat 8 000 27 200 6 300 25 200
KwaZulu-Natal 500 1 500 500 2 200
Limpopo 25 000 57 500 5 000 15 500
North West / Noordwes 8 500 20 400 8 000 26 650
Total / Totaal 50 500 147 300 28 800 115 000
Area estimate and seventh production forecast (2019) / Oppervlakte- en sewende produksieskatting (2019)
Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 11,017 million tons, which is 0,34% or 37 800 tons more than the previous forecast of 10,979 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,301 million ha, while the expected yield is 4,79 t/ha.
The estimated maize crop is 12% smaller than the 2018 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 80% of the 2019 crop.
The production forecast of white maize remained unchanged at 5,572 million tons. The yield for white maize is 4,29 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 5,444 million tons, which is 0,70% or 37 800 tons more than the 5,407 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 5,43 t/ha.
Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed increased by 3,86% or 25 300 tons to 680 940 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 515 350 ha, while the expected yield is 1,32 t/ha.
The production forecast for soybeans remained unchanged at 1,170 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 730 500 ha and the expected yield is 1,60 t/ha.
The expected groundnut crop also remained unchanged at 18 880 tons, with an expected yield of 0,94 t/ha. The area estimate for groundnuts is 20 050 ha.
The production forecast for sorghum decreased by 4,32% or 6 650 tons, from 153 950 tons to 147 300 tons. The area estimate for sorghum is 50 500 ha and the expected yield is 2,92 t/ha.
In the case of dry beans, the production forecast remained unchanged at 66 355 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 59 300 ha, with an expected yield of 1,12 t/ha.
Please note that the eighth production forecast for summer field crops for 2019 will be released on 26 September 2019.
Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 11,017 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,34% of 37 800 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 10,979 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,301 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 4,79 t/ha is.
Die geskatte mielie-oes is 12% kleiner as die 2018-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 80% van die 2019-oes produseer.
Die produksieskatting van witmielies is onveranderd gelaat op 5,572 miljoen ton. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 4,29 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 5,444 miljoen ton, wat 0,70% of 37 800 ton meer is as die 5,407 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,43 t/ha.
Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonne­blomsaad het toegeneem met 3,86% of 25 300 ton na 680 940 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonne­blomsaad is 515 350 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,32 t/ha is.
Die produksieskatting van sojabone is onveranderd gelaat op 1,170 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 730 500 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,60 t/ha.
Die verwagte grondbone-oes is ook onveranderd gelaat op 18 880 ton, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 0,94 t/ha. Die oppervlakteskatting vir grondbone is 20 050 ha.
Die produksieskatting van sorghum het afgeneem met 4,32% of 6 650 ton, van 153 950 ton tot 147 300 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 50 500 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,92 t/ha.
In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting onveranderd gelaat op 66 355 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 59 300 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,12 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die agtste produk­sieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2019, op 26 September 2019 vrygestel sal word.
Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 296 000 ha, wat 'n afname van 5,98% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 314 835 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 549 180 ton, wat 7,54% minder is as die 593 975 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 43% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word, gevolg deur KwaZulu-Natal met 27%.
Revised area planted and first production forecast 2019 Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksieskatting
Wheat / Koring 537 000 1 915 650 503 350 1 868 000 +2.55
Malting barley / Moutgars 131 960 401 460 119 000 421 790 -4.75
Canola 74 000 103 600 77 000 104 500 -0.86
Cereal oats / Hawermout 25 000 40 000 19 235 32 700 +22.32
Note: Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2019/20 = 2020
Nota: Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2019/20 = 2020
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 325 000 861 250 318 000 890 500
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 37 500 281 250 38 000 294 500
Free State / Vrystaat 125 000 462 500 100 000 385 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 3 100 20 150 1 650 10 730
KwaZulu-Natal 7 500 45 750 7 000 43 400
Mpumalanga 4 000 26 000 3 500 22 740
Limpopo 20 000 128 000 20 000 128 000
Gauteng 1 400 8 400 1 200 7 800
North West / Noordwes 13 500 82 350 14 000 85 330
Total / Totaal 537 000 1 915 650 503 350 1 868 000
Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Revised area estimate and first production forecast for 2019 / Hersiene oppervlakte- en eerste produksiekskatting vir 2019
Winter cereal crops – 2019
The expected production of wheat is 1,916 million tons, which is 2,55% or 47 650 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 1,868 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,57 t/ha.
The expected production in the Western Cape is 861 250 tons (45%), which is 29 250 tons less than the 890 500 tons produced in the previous season. In the Free State, the expected production is 462 500 tons (24%), which is 77 500 tons more than the previous seasons' crop of 385 000 tons. In the Northern Cape, 281 250 tons (15%) is expected to be produced – 13 250 tons less than the 294 500 tons produced in the previous season.
The area estimate for wheat was revised to 537 000 ha, which is 50 ha higher than the 536 950 ha of the previous forecast. An estimated 325 000 ha or 61% is planted in the Western Cape, 125 000 ha or 23% in the Free State and 37 500 ha or 7% in the Northern Cape.
The production forecast for malting barley is 401 460 tons, which is 4,75% or 20 040 tons less than the previous seasons' crop of 421 500 tons. The area planted is estimated at 131 960 ha, while the expected yield is 3,04 t/ha.
The expected canola crop is 103 600 tons, which is 0,86% or 900 tons less than the previous seasons' crop of 104 500 tons. The area estimate for canola is 74 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,40 t/ha.
The revised area estimate for oats (cereals) for the 2019 season is 25 000 ha and the expected crop is 40 000 tons. The expected yield is 1,60 t/ha.
Please note that the second production forecast for winter cereals for 2019 will be released on 26 Sep­tember 2019.
Wintergewasse – 2019
Die verwagte produksie vir koring is 1,916 miljoen ton, wat 2,55% of 47 650 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 1,868 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,57 t/ha is.
Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 861 250 ton (45%), wat 29 250 ton minder is as die 890 500 ton geproduseer in die vorige seisoen. In die Vrystaat is die verwagte produksie 462 500 ton (24%), wat 77 500 ton meer is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 385 000 ton. In die Noord-Kaap is die beraamde produksie 281 250 ton (15%) – 13 250 ton minder as die 294 500 ton geproduseer in die vorige seisoen.
Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is hersien na 537 000 ha, wat 50 ha hoër is as die 536 950 ha teenoor die vorige skatting. Die beraamde opper­vlakte geplant in die Wes-Kaap is 325 000 ha of 61%, die Vrystaat is 125 000 ha of 23% en 37 500 ha of 7% is in die Noord-Kaap.
Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is 401 460 ton, wat 4,75% of 20 040 ton minder is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 421 500 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 131 960 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,04 t/ha beloop.
Die verwagte canola-oes is 103 600 ton, wat 0,86% of 900 ton minder is as die vorige seisoen se oes van 104 500 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 74 000 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,40 t/ha.
Die hersiene oppervlakteskatting vir hawer (ontbyt­graan) vir die 2019-seisoen is 25 000 ha en die verwagte oes is 40 000 ton. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,60 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die tweede produk­sie­skatting vir wintergewasse vir 2019 op 26 September 2019 vrygestel sal word.