Oil and Protein Seed Development Trust and Oilseeds Advisory Committee Summer / Winter crop estimates: 28 February 2017
STATISTICS AND ESTIMATES CROP ESTIMATES 2017 SEASON 28 February 2017
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 635 760 928 620 718 500 755 000 +23.00
REVISED AREA PLANTED AND FIRST PRODUCTION FORECAST | 2017 | HERSIENE OPPERVLAKTE EN EERSTE PRODUKSIESKATTING
OPPERVLAKTE BEPLANT FIRST ESTIMATE
28 FEBRUARY/FEBRUARIE 2017
Commercial maize: The revised area estimate for maize is 2,629 million ha, which is 35,03% or 681 850 ha more than the 1,947 million ha planted for the previous season and also 3,11% or 79 400 ha more than the preliminary area estimate of 2,549 million ha released in January 2017.
Please note that information from the objective yield survey by the NCSC for the Mpumalanga province will be available in April 2017; and for the Free State and North West provinces in May 2017. The current yield figures are mainly obtained from producers in the different provinces.
Sunflower seed: The revised area estimate for sunflower seed is 635 750 ha, which is 11,52% or 82 750 ha less than the 718 500 ha planted the previous season. The production forecast for sun­flower seed is 928 620 tons, which is 23,00% or 173 620 tons more than the 755 000 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 1,46 t/ha.
Other crops: It is estimated that 565 850 ha have been planted to soybeans, which represents an increase of 12,54% or 63 050 ha compared to the 502 800 ha planted last season. The production forecast is 1,070 million tons, which is 44,27% or 328 495 tons more than the 742 000 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 1,89 t/ha.
For groundnuts, the area estimate is 52 500 ha, which is 132,30% or 29 900 ha more than the 22 600 ha planted for the previous season. The expected crop is 88 175 tons – which is 398,73% or 70 495 tons more than the 17 680 tons of last season. The expected yield is 1,68 t/ha.
The area estimate for sorghum decreased by 12,68% or 6 150 ha, from 48 500 ha to 42 350 ha against the previous season. The production fore­cast for sorghum is 140 950 tons, which is 99,93% or 70 450 tons more than the 70 500 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 3,33 t/ha.
For dry beans, the area estimate is 45 550 ha, which is 32,41% or 11 150 ha more than the 34 400 ha planted for the previous season. The production forecast is 64 345 tons, which is 81,53% or 28 900 tons more than the 35 445 tons of the previous season. The expected yield is 1,41 t/ha.
Kommersiële mielies: Die hersiene skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies beloop 2,629 miljoen ha, wat 35,03% of 681 850 ha meer is as die 1,947 mil­joen ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is, maar ook 3,11% of 79 400 ha meer as die voorlopige op­per­vlakteskatting van 2,549 miljoen ha soos vry­ge­stel in Januarie 2017.
Die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is 13,918 mil­joen ton wat 78,93% of 6,140 miljoen ton meer is as die 7,778 miljoen ton van die vorige seisoen (2016), wat 'n droogte jaar was.
Die oppervlakte beplant syfers is hoofsaaklik verkry vanaf die Produsente Onafhanklike Oesskattingstel­sel (PICES), soos deur die Nasionale Oesskattings­konsortium gerapporteer vir Vrystaat, KwaZulu-Natal, Mpumalanga, Limpopo, Gauteng en Noordwes provinsies.
Neem kennis dat inligting van die objektiewe op­brengs­opname van die Konsortium vir die Mpuma­langa provinsie, in April 2017 gerapporteer word en vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies in Mei 2017. Die huidige opbrengs syfers is hoofsaaklik verkry vanaf produsente in die verskillende provinsies.
Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,643 miljoen ha, wat 'n toename van 61,92% of 628 350 ha ver­teenwoordig vergeleke met die 1,015 miljoen ha die vorige seisoen. In die geval van geelmielies is die oppervlakteskatting 985 500 ha, wat ook 5,74% of 53 500 ha meer is as die 932 000 ha geplant die vorige seisoen.
Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 8,313 miljoen ton, 143,89% of 4,904 miljoen ton meer is as die 3,408 miljoen ton van die vorige seisoen. Die op­brengs van witmielies is 5,06 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 5,605 mil­joen ton, wat 28,27% of 1,235 miljoen ton meer is as die 4,370 miljoen ton van die vorige seisoen. Die op­brengs van geelmielies is 5,69 t/ha.
Sonneblomsaad: Die voorlopige oppervlakte­skat­ting vir sonneblomsaad is 635 750 ha, wat 11,52% of 82 750 ha minder is as die 718 500 ha aan­geplant die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 928 620 ton, wat 23,00% of 173 620 ton meer is as die 755 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,46 t/ha.
Ander gewasse: Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant met sojabone is 565 850 ha, wat 'n toename van 12,54% of 63 050 ha verteenwoordig vergeleke met die 502 800 ha geplant die vorige seisoen. Die produksieskatting is 1,070 miljoen tons, wat 44,27% of 328 495 ton meer is as die 742 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,89 t/ha.
Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 52 500 ha, wat 132,30% of 29 900 ha meer is as die 22 600 ha geplant vir die vorige seisoen. Die ver­wagte grondbone-oes is 88 175 ton – 398,73% of 70 495 ton meer is as die 17 680 ton van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,68 t/ha.
Vir droëbone is die geskatte oppervlakte beplant 45 550 ha, wat 32,41% of 11 150 ha meer is as die 34 400 ha geplant vir die vorige seisoen. Die pro­duksieskatting is 64 345 ton, wat 81,53% of 28 900 ton meer is as die 35 445 ton van die vorige sei­soen. Die verwagte opbrengs is 1,41 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die tweede produksie­skat­ting vir somergewasse vir 2016, op 28 Maart 2017 vrygestel sal word.
AREA PLANTED AND FINAL PRODUCTION ESTIMATE | 2016 | OPPERVLAKTE- EN FINALE PRODUKSIESKATTING
Production | 2009-2016 | Produksie
28 FEBRUARY / FEBRUARIE 2017
Wheat: The expected commercial production of wheat is 1,910 million tons, which is 0,85% or 16 150 tons more than the previous forecast of 1,893 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,76 t/ha.
The expected production in the Western Cape in­creased by 1,49 % or 16 150 tons, from 1,082 mil­lion tons to 1,098 million tons against the previous forecast.
The expected canola crop also remained un­chang­ed at 105 460 tons. The area estimate for canola is 68 075 ha, with an expected yield of 1,55 t/ha.
Koring: Die verwagte kommersiële produksie vir koring is 1,910 miljoen ton, wat 0,85% of 16 150 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1,893 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,76 t/ha is.
Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap het met 1,49 % of 16 150 ton toegeneem, van 1,082 miljoen ton tot 1,098 miljoen ton teenoor die vorige skatting.
Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting vir mout­gars is onveranderd gelaat op 354 065 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant is beraam op 88 695 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,99 t/ha beloop.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorneme om winter­gewasse te plant vir 2017 op 25 April 2017 vrygestel sal word.