Assertion: boy | /r/HasProperty | born on tuesday
Facets:
Source sentences:
text: The first term in the numerator is the probability of at least one boy born on Tuesday, given that the family has two boys, or 1 − (1 − ε)2 (one minus the probability that neither boy is born on Tuesday).
text: The first term in the numerator is the probability of at least one boy born on Tuesday, given that the family has two boys, or 1 − (1 − ε)2 (one minus the probability that neither boy is born on Tuesday).
text: It seems that quite irrelevant information was introduced, yet the probability of the sex of the other child has changed dramatically from what it was before (the chance the other child was a girl was 2/3, when it was not known that the boy was born on Tuesday).
text: Suppose we were told not only that Mr. Smith has two children, and one of them is a boy, but also that the boy was born on a Tuesday: does this change the previous analyses?
text: From Bayes' Theorem that the probability of two boys, given that one boy was born on a Tuesday is given by:
text: However, is it really plausible that the family with at least one boy born on a Tuesday was produced by choosing just one of such families at random?
text: This is a very different procedure from (1) picking a two-child family at random from all families with two children, at least one a boy, born on a Tuesday.