Assertion: yield curve | /r/CapableOf | predict recession
Facets:
Source sentences:
text: While a negative spread between the 10- and 2-year Treasuries is a strong predictor of a subsequent recession, there is no single well-accepted theory of why this relationship, or more generally an inverted yield curve, predicts a recession.
text: So, yield curves do predict recessions, but they tend to be about 20 months early, and history says you don’t want to sit out those 20 months.