  Measles is considered as a highly contagious disease that leads to serious
complications around the world. Thus, the paper determined the trend and the
five-year forecasted data of the Measles in the Philippines. This study
utilized the time series data for trend analysis and data forecasting using the
ARIMA model to visualize the measles cases. Figures for the time-series and
forecasted results are individually presented with the use of GRETL software.
Results showed that there was an increasing pattern of the disease from 2016 to
2019. However, there was a decreasing pattern of its occurrence in the next
five years based on the five-year forecast. Nevertheless, with the results of
the study, there is still a need to improve the different intervention plans of
the authority in alleviating the occurrence of the disease though it yielded a
decreasing pattern in the future since it is evident that the figure of the
forecasted data is still approximately 15,000 and above.
