2004 United States presidential election

[[File:ElectoralCollege2004.svg|right|thumb|300px|Now [[Ohio]] is the center of controversy.]]
{{uspolitics}}
{{Quote|[[Massachusetts|This land]] is [[John Kerry|your]] land, [[Texas|this land]] is [[George W. Bush|my]] land. I’m a Texas tiger, you're a liberal wiener. I’m a great crusader, you’re a Herman Munster. This land will surely vote for me.|[[George W. Bush]] (parody)<ref>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z8Q-sRdV7SY</ref>}}
{{Quote|This land is [[George W. Bush|your]] land, this land is [[John Kerry|my]] land. I’m an intellectual, you're a [[Stupidity|stupid dumbass]]. I’m a Purple Heart winner, and yes it’s true I won it thrice. This land will surely vote for me.|[[John Kerry]] (parody)<ref>https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z8Q-sRdV7SY</ref>}}
The '''2004 [[U.S.]] presidential election''' was an opportunity for U.S. citizens to change the course of the first decade of the millennium for the better. [[Groupthink|They declined to]]. (Perhaps we may blame [[The Guardian|the ''Guardian'']].<ref>(November 4, 2004). [http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/3981823.stm "Did Guardian turn Ohio to Bush?"]. ''BBC News''.</ref>)

Kerry was the centrist brain genius to navigate the tumultuous political times: a veteran who threw his medals over a fence. Boom! Appeal to patriots and anti-war people at the same time. And what did the Republicans do? Call him a French fag with fake purple hearts. Devastating at the time (but in retrospect it's hilarious).

The '04 election also pivoted on gay marriage, which was a threat to Western civilization...somehow. At the time, papers thought America was turning into a Christian theocracy,<ref>[https://www.theguardian.com/world/2004/nov/10/uselections2004.usa "Turning democracy into theocracy"], ''Guardian'' (10 November 2004, 6:54 PM EST).</ref> but as it turned out, it's more like a casino now.

==The Democratic challengers==
Given the sting felt from the [[2000 U.S. Presidential Election|previous election]], the recount and the loss of [[Florida]] in the [[Supreme Court]] decision ''[[Bush v. Gore]]'', many U.S. citizens felt it was time for a change.  There was a big desire among [[Democrat]]s to win in the wake of the many failures of the Bush administration.  

===Howard Dean===
Got really excited about taking down Bush, but became a sound bite that made him sound crazy.  

[[Howard Dean]] went from being an obscure candidate early on to being the presumed frontrunner leading in the polls by the end of 2003, largely on the positive response to a speech he gave declaring himself a member of the "[[No True Scotsman|Democratic wing of the Democratic Party]]" and asking why most Democrats in [[Congress]] rolled over and voted with the Bush administration on the [[Iraq War]].  However, Dean soon became the target of nasty attack ads in [[Iowa]] from the Richard Gephardt campaign which, among other things, portrayed Dean as being weak on [[national security]].  Gephardt, who had won the Iowa caucuses in 1988, was counting on a repeat in 2004 to put him in frontrunner status going into the [[New Hampshire]] primary.  Instead, the combination of Gephardt's going negative, and hordes of undisciplined Dean supporters descending on the state, turned Iowa voters off from both candidates. [[John Kerry]] and John Edwards, both of whom had played it cool and stayed above the fray, surged in the polls at the last minute.  After Dean finished third in the Iowa caucus behind Kerry and Edwards, he gave a speech that was punctuated with an unusual... scream.  This gaffe's popularity on [[Fox News]] and other [[media]] channels was seen as sinking his campaign, and he eventually dropped out of the race after Kerry swept almost all state primaries and caucuses. (Dean won only [[Vermont]] and the [[DC|District of Columbia]].)

===John Edwards===
One-term Senator from [[North Carolina]], previously notable for deposing Monica Lewinsky and being on the shortlist for [[Al Gore]]'s VP in 2000.<ref>https://www.npr.org/programs/specials/democrats2004/edwards.html</ref> Supported [[ObamaCare|the individual mandate]] before it was cool,<ref>https://web.archive.org/web/20100127145817/http://johnedwards.com/issues/health-care/health-care-fact-sheet/</ref> wanted a pathway to citizenship for illegal immigrants,<ref>https://web.archive.org/web/20100127145817/http://johnedwards.com/issues/health-care/health-care-fact-sheet/</ref> made the first "carbon-neutral' campaign,<ref>https://web.archive.org/web/20100127145817/http://johnedwards.com/issues/health-care/health-care-fact-sheet/</ref> but voted for the [[Iraq War]]<ref>https://web.archive.org/web/20100127145817/http://johnedwards.com/issues/health-care/health-care-fact-sheet/</ref> so none of it mattered. Eventually got picked up as Kerry's running mate, lost, tried to run in [[2008 U.S. Presidential Election|2008]], got beaten by some [[Hillary Clinton|other]] [[Barack Obama|people]], then eventually got caught cheating on his wife with cancer and covering it up with campaign money. As a future [[Donald Trump|president]] would say, Sad!

===Richard Gephardt===
Tearfully dropped out after coming in fourth in the Iowa caucus.  Gephardt had run, as in [[1988 U.S. Presidential Election|1988]], as the candidate of [[trade union|organized labor]], but in 2004 John Edwards also played to that constituency and won over many voters eager for a fresher face and turned off by Gephardt's going negative against Dean.

===Wesley Clark===
Was a late entry into the primaries, the product of a draft Clark campaign, and endorsed by among others [[Michael Moore]].  Part of the appeal of Clark was voters who wanted somebody with a military background, thus who might be more immune to the "weak on national security" attacks being made on Howard Dean, but who was still opposed to the Iraq War.  Clark only won one primary, [[Oklahoma]], and soon dropped out.

===Dennis Kucinich===
A formerly-obscure congressman from [[Ohio]], [[Dennis Kucinich]] caught a lot of people's attention when he gave speeches on the [[House of Representatives|House]] floor vehemently denouncing the buildup to the Iraq War, and the [[PATRIOT Act]], while proposing the creation of a cabinet-level Department of Peace.  A draft Kucinich for President campaign followed.  With Dean and Clark capturing much of the anti-Iraq War vote and Kucinich considered very much a longshot, his campaign failed to take off.  As a sidenote, Kucinich had voted [[pro-life]] on [[consistent life ethic]] grounds up to that point, but reversed his position and declared himself [[pro-choice]] at the time he entered the 2004 presidential primaries.

===Joe Lieberman===
Having been [[Al Gore]]'s running mate in 2000 and a "[[Chickenhawk|hawk]]" on the Iraq War, [[Joe Lieberman]] was a candidate in the 2004 primaries.  His campaign went nowhere.  Two years later a grassroots primary campaign defeated him in the Democratic primary for [[U.S. Senate]], and he narrowly kept his seat by running as an independent in the general election.  In [[2008 U.S. Presidential Election|2008]] he endorsed and spoke at the Republican convention in support of [[John McCain]].

===John Kerry===
[[File:Kerry02.jpg|thumb|300px|Senator Kerry holding a rally in St. Louis, [[Missouri]].]]
{{cquote|Kerry's theatrics did not improve as the primary campaign wore on. The Massachusetts senator all but asked Republicans to ridicule him, with ad-libs such as, 'Who among us does not love NASCAR?' In an interview in the men's magazine GQ, he joined he reporter for a beer (alcoholic—no teetotaler he!) while confessing to a modicum of lust for Charlize Theron and Catherine Zeta-Jones. One day during the campaign he invited reporters to follow him around on a 'day off,' when his errands included buying a jockstrap.|||Frank Rich, ''The Greatest Story Ever Sold''}}

The ultimate challenger would be [[Massachusetts]] Senator John Kerry, who swept every state primary excepting Oklahoma (Clark), Vermont and D.C. (Dean), and North and [[South Carolina]] (Edwards).  [[North Carolina]] Senator John Edwards resigned from his Senate seat to campaign full-time with John Kerry, expecting to win.  Bad move.

The Kerry campaign attempted to emphasize an expanded national service plan, including a proposal for four years of prepaid college tuition for two years of (either military or non-military - the latter presumably involving an expanded Americorps or something like it) national service.  Kerry did not, however, emphasize issues that rank and file Democrats wanted to hear at the time, namely seriously challenging Bush on his foreign policy and domestic homeland security agenda.  He went on a whistle-stop tour infamous for many gaffes - such as purposely not stopping in states like [[Kansas]] which were considered Bush country, leaving Edwards to have to go back and do damage control, and Teresa Heinz Kerry's opening words "Hello, [[Nevada]]" at a stop in [[Arizona]]. Having been for the war before being against it, but not willing to cut and run from Iraq either, his campaign's only strong point was that he was indeed not George W. Bush, despite being a wealthy Yale graduate who was a member of Skull and Bones. Most of his policies were vague and too similar to the GOP's. He ended up as Bush-Light, which like the beer of the same (sounding) name, proves weak and disappointing. 

Republicans [[Karl Rove|went negative]] against Kerry in the same way they had against Michael Dukakis in 1988.  Like Dukakis, Kerry tried taking the high ground and responded too little, too late.  In both cases, this strategy backfired.

====Frankenstein====
Kerry was [[Ad hominem|made fun of]] for his Botox injections, which made his face appear fake and hard, much like [[Frankenstein]]'s monster.  Some GOP [[pundit]]s called him "Frankenberry" or "Frankenkerry", so as to equate him as a [[Communist|pinko commie bastard]] (or possibly [[Gay|the other pink]]).

====Flip-flopping====
Kerry famously stated that he was against the War in Iraq before he voted for it (or was it the other way around?). Additionally, in late 2003 Kerry voted in favor of an $87 billion supplemental funding bill for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan; later he voted against an updated version of that same bill in protest of the no-bid contracts that had been added to it since his initial vote. This led to his famous "''I voted for it before I voted against it''" comment, an ill-advised albeit technically accurate statement that quickly became the subject of ridicule.<ref>[https://www.cbsnews.com/news/kerry-admits-clumsy-words-on-iraq/ Kerry Admits Clumsy Words On Iraq], ''CBS News''</ref> Kerry had in fact voted for the Iraq War resolution, and as the war was already underway during the 2004 race, could not or would not bring himself to call for bringing the troops home.  

Republicans jumped on this inconsistency as a weakness, still under the belief that someone who was horribly stubborn in his ways was preferable to someone who was willing to look at both sides of an issue. Many GOP supporters started carrying flip-flop sandals around and stapling them to signs to hammer in this point, much to the dismay of Jimmy Buffett fans.

====Swiftboat controversy====
{{main|Swiftboating}}
Kerry was targeted by a group called "Swift Boat Veterans for Truth."  Their claim was that Kerry was not the [[Vietnam War]] hero he claimed to be.  Despite all [[evidence]] against the claims (as well as the [[ironic]]/[[Newspeak]] name for the group), the tactics were partly responsible for the eventual outcome of the election.  [[Jerome Corsi]] ([[conspiracy theorist]], [[abiotic oil]] crank, and [[WorldNetDaily]] columnist) and John O'Neill (who had been recruited by [[Chuck Colson]] of the [[Nixon]] [[White House]] to be a pro-war foil against Kerry in the early 1970s, and later co-founded Swift Boat Veterans for Truth) rushed their book ''Unfit for Command'', published by [[Regnery Publishing]], to market to coincide with the campaign. The book focused in part on attacking Kerry for his [[anti-war]] activities after coming home from Vietnam.

The same group tried to associate [[Barack Obama]] with [[Bill Ayers|William Ayers]] in [[2008 U.S. Presidential Election|2008]] but was less than successful.

==Other parties==
[[Ralph Nader]], the candidate of the [[Green Party]] in 2000, chose to run as an independent in 2004. The [[Reform Party]] endorsed him rather than run their own candidate. They couldn't stomach [[Pat Buchanan]] and [[Ross Perot]] was not available. He was not particularly a factor in the 2004 race. The Green Party's own nominated candidate, David Cobb, also was not a factor.

The [[Libertarian Party]] had a nasty primary battle between [[Aaron Russo]] and Gary Nolan. The nomination wound up going to one of the also-rans, Michael Badnarik, after he caught the convention off-guard with a rousing speech shifting much support in his direction. Nolan, more eager at that point to stop Russo from getting the nomination, released his delegates to vote for Badnarik.

==Incumbency==
[[File:George-W-Bush.jpeg|thumb|100px|The winner, [[Republican]] incumbent George W. Bush]]
The [[Republican Party]] chose to run its incumbents, then-current President [[George W. Bush]] and Vice President [[Dick Cheney]].  Their campaign strategy was largely "Let us finish the job" they started when they failed to finish the job in Iraq and [[Afghanistan]], even though finding [[WMD]]s and [[Osama bin Laden]] was apparently very low on their list of priorities.

===Ketchup===
One grocery goods manufacturer released "W.", the 
torture
 "American Flavored" ketchup.<ref>[http://www.wketchup.com W Ketchup]</ref>  While the "W" in the name was obviously a plug for George W. Bush, the manufacturers claimed that it was set up to support the Freedom Alliance Scholarship Fund after the death of [[Ronald Reagan]].  In actuality, the ketchup was created to [[Conservative correctness|offer an alternative]] to Heinz Ketchup, as John Kerry was married to a Heinz.

It is recommended that "W." is ideal to pour on your [[freedom fries]] but not your [[Anthony Weiner|hot dogs]].

==Results==
Unable to prove that Americans were incapable of making a bad decision twice, they re-elected Bush/Cheney.  Stung again, some Democrats continued to keep their "Kerry/Edwards" bumper stickers on the back of their Volvos and Subarus until the popular [[Barack Obama|Obama]] "Hope" stickers were made available three years later. Others had a 1/20/09 bumper sticker, noting Bush's last day. For some reason 3 of [[Captain Planet]]'s rings were also on the bumper sticker. 

There was very little change in the electoral vote from 2000 to 2004.  New Hampshire flipped to the Democratic column in 2004, and Iowa and [[New Mexico]] flipped into the Republican column.  Otherwise the geography looked the same as in 2000, cementing in place the "[[red state]]/[[blue state]]" map popularized after 2000 by some pundits.

==Conspiracy theories==
[[File:Robert Kennedy Jr. speech 2.jpg|thumb|right|300px|RFK Jr. addressing a crowd in [[Illinois]], 2007.]]
[[Moonbat]] conspiracy theorists claim that the Republicans rigged the 2004 election.  [[Robert Kennedy, Jr.|Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.]] argued in favor of this conspiracy theory in Issue 1002 of Rolling Stone in 2006.<ref name="RFK">[https://web.archive.org/web/20060614224028/http://www.rollingstone.com/news/story/10432334/was_the_2004_election_stolen Was the 2004 Election Stolen?] by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (15 June 2006) ''Rolling Stone'' no. 1002, pp. 46-114 (archived from June 14, 2006).</ref>

===Ohio===
Because Ohio was the state that determined the outcome of the presidential election, and because there were myriad election irregularities that occurred on election day in Ohio, conspiracy theorists focus most of their time on Ohio. Had Ohio flipped blue, Kerry would have won in a 271-266 vote, the inverse of what Bush got in [[2000 U.S. presidential election|2000]]. 

====Voter purges====
Voters who haven’t voted in the last two presidential elections are considered inactive, and thus are purged from the voter rolls. Kenneth Blackwell, who was the Republican Ohio Secretary of State during the 2004 election, ordered the purge of some 300,000 inactive voters. However, about 10% of the voters purged were active voters and were unfairly disenfranchised. Since a non-negligible number of active voters purged were from Cleveland, a pro-Kerry constituency, RFK Jr. believes that Ken Blackwell’s decision to purge these voters from the rolls was an arbitrary and deliberate attempt to rig the election.<ref name="RFK"/> But it wasn’t arbitrary or deliberate – it was codified in state law. The Ohio code says that inactive voters must be purged.<ref name="code">Ohio code, [http://moritzlaw.osu.edu/electionlaw/ebook/part1/eligibility_rules_os.html 3503.19]</ref> Blackwell’s decision to purge voters from the rolls followed state law.

====Provisional ballots====
If a voter believes that they are registered, but they don’t show up on the rolls when they go to vote, they can fill out a provisional ballot, and the vote will be counted if it is determined that the voter in question is a registered voter. One in every four provisional ballots cast in Ohio were found to be invalid. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. writes that Kerry voters were disproportionately more likely to cast provisional ballots “thanks to GOP efforts to stem the unprecedented flood of Democrats eager to cast ballots,”<ref name="RFK"/> citing the Democratic Party’s report on Ohio as evidence for this claim. But the report in question does not say that Kerry voters were disproportionately more likely to have to fill out a provisional ballot. In fact, the report says that 4.2 percent of Kerry voters and that 4.1 percent of Bush voters were forced to cast a provisional ballot – a far cry from RFK Jr’s claim of an astounding partisan bent.<ref name="DNC">Democratic National Committee: Institute of Voting Rights (2005), [http://www-personal.umich.edu/~wmebane/Ohio2004/OhioReportCover2Cover.pdf Democracy at Risk: The 2004 Election in Ohio]</ref>

====Racial discrimination====
Black voters were more likely to experience voting irregularities on election day than whites. They were more likely to face long lines and cast provisional ballots.<ref name="DNC"/> RFK Jr claims that Republicans deliberately suppressed the black vote, pointing to Republican politicians distributing insufficient amounts of voting machines to predominantly black inner-city precincts, while allocating sufficient amounts to white Republican suburban precincts. The low number of voting machines in inner-city precincts meant that black voters faced longer lines, and according to Kennedy, these long lines dissuaded enough black people from voting for Kerry, costing him the state of Ohio, and thus the election.<ref name="RFK"/> There are three responses to this claim: 

*The Democrats’ report on the 2004 election in Ohio showed that voters who didn’t vote due to long lines would have split evenly between Kerry and Bush.<ref name="DNC"/>
*[[Hanlon's razor]] applies here: There’s no direct evidence that Republican politicians did this with malicious intent. Incompetence is a much more reasonable explanation, as Ohio politicians failed to adequately respond to new changes in election technology.<ref name="manjoo">Farhad Manjoo, Salon, [https://www.salon.com/2006/06/03/kennedy_39/#.Wb3NOsnM0yM Was the 2004 Election Stolen? No. – Critique of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s Rolling Stone Article] June 3, 2006</ref>
*Farhad Manjoo of Salon writes, “[I]n Ohio, decisions about voting-machine allocation and precinct location are determined by local boards of elections, which are bipartisan; any Republican effort to allocate machines in a way meant to harm Democrats would have necessarily involved Democratic officials.”<ref name="manjoo"/>

===Exit polls===
The early exits pointed to Kerry winning the election, but Bush won the actual vote; therefore, the early exits were wrong in predicting the winner. Mitosfky International, the polling company responsible for the early exits during the 2004 election, said that the polling error occurred as a result of Kerry voters being more likely to fill out exit polls, leading to a pro-Kerry bias in the exits.<ref name="mitofsky">Edison Media Research; Mitofsky International (January 19, 2005), [http://www.electionmathematics.org/em-exitpolls/EvaluationJan192005.pdf Evaluation of Edison/Mitofsky Election System 2004,] archived from the original (PDF) on June 14, 2007.</ref> 

Nevertheless, this hasn't stopped conspiracy theorists from believing that the exit polls accurately predicted the winner.

====Exit polls are actually accurate====
Conspiracy theorists will claim that exit polls are accurate by [[cherry picking|cherry picking]] the instances in which exit polls accurately predicted the winner. RFK Jr. claims that the exit polls accurately predicted the 2004 Ukrainian election.<ref name="RFK"/> But exit polls have a bad track record in Europe.<ref name="manjoo"/> In addition, exit polls are notoriously unreliable, since anyone can participate in an exit poll, which can lead to a biased sample. This is what happened in 2004, according to the exit pollsters: Kerry voters were oversampled, leading to a pro-Kerry bias in the exits.<ref name="mitofsky"/>

====Kerry had an insurmountable lead in early exits====
RFK Jr, writing for Rolling Stone, claims that Kerry had an insurmountable lead in ten battleground states, according to early exits.<ref name="RFK"/> But Kerry's lead in those ten battleground states was within the margin of error. It was not an insurmountable lead.

==See also==
*[[2000 U.S. presidential election]]
*[[2008 U.S. presidential election]]
*[[2012 U.S. presidential election]]
*[[2016 U.S. presidential election]]
*[[2020 U.S. presidential election]]

==References==
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[[Category:Conspiracy theories]]
[[Category:Ohio]]
[[Category:United States presidential elections]]

Categories: Conspiracy theories, Ohio, United States presidential elections