Nobel disease

{{bronze}}[[File:NikoTinbergen.jpg|thumb|right|165px|Nikolaas Tinbergen with his Nobel medal]]{{cquote|The ideal audience would be Nobel Prize winners…. They often have an ego with them that says, ‘I am really smart so I can't be fooled.’ No one is easier to fool.|||{{w|Ricky Jay||,}} stage [[magician]]<ref>Paul Hoffman (October 19, 2011). [https://www.discovermagazine.com/mind/why-are-smart-people-some-of-the-most-gullible-people-around "Why Are Smart People Some of the Most Gullible People Around?"]. ''Discover Magazine''.</ref>}}{{languagenav}}{{pseudosciencenav}}
'''Nobel disease''', also known as '''nobelitis''',<ref>Diamandis EP. [https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/23729580/ Nobelitis: a common disease among Nobel laureates?] Clin Chem Lab Med. 2013 Aug;51(8):1573-4. doi: 10.1515/cclm-2013-0273. PMID: 23729580.</ref> is a phenomenon where a [[Nobel Prize]]-winning [[science|scientist]] endorses or performs "research" in [[pseudoscience|pseudoscientific]] areas in their later years, generally (though not always) ''after'' having won the esteemed prize for some ''legitimate'' scientific achievement.

What makes the term special is the fact that you'd think Nobel laureates (of all people) would be the ''most'' resistant to [[crank]]ery. On the contrary, however, the Nobel disease underscores the fact that human beings simply aren't "immune" to falling for crank ideas — accomplished scientists included.

A meager upside to all this is that at least the existence of the Nobel disease cancels out the oft-repeated [[argument from authority]]:

{{cquote|If a Nobel prize-winning scientist supports X, it ''must'' be true!}}

Science relies on the [[scientific method]] and institutions to discover what is true or false, rather than the authority of any individual. This is how scientific journals avoid publishing crankery, even if it is coming from a Nobel laureate.

==Possible causes==
{{cquote|Being a Nobel laureate is a license to be an expert in lots of things as long as you do your homework.|||Kary Mullis<ref>[https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/chemistry/1993/mullis/facts/ Kary B. Mullis] ''The Nobel Prize''.</ref>}}
Nobel Prizes are awarded to scientists who help make a great discovery, not for being good role models. Even if the Nobel institutes required winners to be good role models, there would be nothing to stop them from going off the rails after they won.

As a comparison, many other awards are claimed to be followed by a career decline or other misfortune, often called a "curse": the Oscars (both careerwise<ref>[https://www.cnbc.com/2011/02/22/13-Actors-Hit-With-The-Oscar-Curse.html 13 Actors Hit With The Oscar Curse], CNBC, 22 Feb 2013</ref> and in personal life<ref>{{wpa|Oscar love curse}}</ref>), best new artist Grammy,<ref>[https://www.billboard.com/articles/news/grammys/8095478/grammy-curse-milli-vanilli-reflect-best-new-artist A Grammy Curse? Milli Vanilli's Fab Morvan, Others Reflect on Best New Artist Award], Billboard, 2018</ref> English Premier League Manager of the Month,<ref>[https://www.theguardian.com/football/blog/2014/oct/19/manager-of-the-month Mundane statistics lift the lid on the curse of the manager's award], The Guardian, 19 Oct 2014</ref> the Mercury Music Prize,<ref>[https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/music/features/curse-of-the-mercury-6095447.html Curse of the Mercury], The Independent, 13 July 2006</ref> and even the Nobel Prize for Literature.<ref>[http://time.com/3484572/patrick-modiano-nobel-curse/ Patrick Modiano, Beware: The Curse of the Literature Nobel Prize], Time, Oct 9, 2014</ref>

One explanation for this is [[regression to the mean]]. These awards are typically given out to people because they reached the high point of their career. Where does someone go once they reach the high point? Downhill, of course. Furthermore, if someone is universally hailed as "right" or "a genius", it may bolster their own [[confirmation bias]] at the expense of [[skepticism]], discourage others from likewise questioning them, and encourage them to comment on topics they don't actually know anything about.<ref name="Sciencemediacenter">{{cite web |last1=Winter |first1=David |title=The nobel disease |url=https://sciblogs.co.nz/the-atavism/2011/10/08/the-nobel-disease/ |website=Sciblogs |publisher=Science Media Center |accessdate=19 May 2020}}</ref> 

It's not clear whether age is a factor. In the past, it was noticeable that scientists tended to make great discoveries before the age of 40, especially in some fields like quantum physics. Younger scientists sometimes had the edge because they were less stuck in the existing ways of thinking. Nowadays, the average Nobel laureate makes their discovery at the age of 48.<ref>[http://www.livescience.com/16911-scientific-breakthroughs-genius-aging.html The Stroke of Genius Strikes Later in Modern Life] by Charles Q. Choi (November 7, 2011 03:01pm ET) ''Live Science''.</ref> Nobel Prizes are however often awarded to scientists decades after the discovery or invention that earned them the prize (in no small part because of some embarrassing instances of Nobel awards for discoveries that turned out to be false), which increases the chances of senility by the time the prize is awarded.

This actually highlights another possible cause: the one thing that scientists who make great discoveries have in common with the promoters of [[woo]] is that both are willing to go against the existing ways of thinking.<ref name="Outsidethebox">{{cite web |last1=Egnor |first1=Michael |authorlink=Michael Egnor |title=Thinking outside the box is not a disease |url=https://mindmatters.ai/2020/05/thinking-outside-the-box-is-not-a-disease/ |website=Mind Matters News |date=14 May 2020 |publisher=Walter Bradley Center for Natural and Artificial Intelligence. |accessdate=19 May 2020}}</ref> That being said, there is no evidence that Nobel laureates are more likely to support pseudoscience, but the list of those who have is surprisingly long.

==(In)famous victims of disease==
*Pierre Curie ([[Physics]], 1903) &mdash; {{wpl|Eusapia Palladino#France|His support}} for [[psychic]] [[medium]] [[Eusapia Palladino]].<ref>[http://che-mix.utm.com.pl/pierre_curie.html Pierre Curie bio]</ref>
*Marie Curie ([[Physics]], 1903 and [[Chemistry]], 1911) &mdash; Her support for Eusapia Palladino (though less so than Pierre, see above).
*John William Strutt, Lord Rayleigh (Physics, 1904) &mdash; [[Paranormal]], ghosts<ref>[http://www.nndb.com/people/497/000099200/ John William Strutt bio]</ref><ref>''The Other World: Spiritualism and Psychical Research in England, 1850-1914'' by Janet Oppenheim (1988) ''Cambridge University Press''. ISBN 052134767X.</ref>
*{{wpl|Philipp Lenard}} (Physics, 1905) &mdash; [[Deutsche Physik]]<ref>Lenard, Philipp (1936). Deutsche Physik in vier Bänden (in German). J.F. Lehmann.</ref>
*Joseph Thomson (Physics, 1906) &mdash; Psychic, [[dowsing]] and paranormal<ref>''Recollections and reflections'' by J. J. Thomson (1937). Macmillan.</ref>
*Alexis Carrel ([[Physiology]] or [[Medicine]], 1912) &mdash; [[eugenics]] and [[Nazi]] racial theories.<ref>''God's Eugenicist: Alexis Carrel And the Sociobiology of Decline'' by Andrés Horacio Reggiani (2006) Berghahn Books. ISBN 1845451724.</ref>
*Charles Richet (Physiology or Medicine, 1913) &mdash; [[ESP]], paranormal, dowsing, [[ghost]]s<ref>[http://www.nndb.com/people/207/000125829/ Charles Richet bio]</ref>
*[[Albert Einstein]] (Physics, 1921) &mdash; Endorsed a psychic in 1932.<ref>[http://www.newrepublic.com/article/119292/controversy-einsteins-endorsement-psychic-upton-sinclair-defends Albert Einstein Endorsed a Popular Psychic in 1932. This Is the Controversy that Ensued] (March 8, 1932) ''The New Republic''.</ref><ref>[http://freethoughtblogs.com/pharyngula/2014/09/08/the-reputation-of-another-famous-scientist-is-dashed-to-the-ground/ The reputation of another famous scientist is dashed to the ground] Pharyngula (2014/09/08) ''Free Though Blogs''.</ref>
*Erwin Schrödinger (Physics, 1933) &mdash; [[Quantum mysticism]] and global consciousness<ref>My View of the World Erwin Schrödinger chapter iv. What Is life? the physical aspect of the living cell & Mind and matter — By Erwin Schrödinger</ref><ref>''The Observer'' (11 January 1931)</ref><ref>''Psychic Research'' (1931), Vol. 25, p. 91</ref> 
and [[Schrödinger's cat|cruelty to cats]]

*Otto Stern (Physics, 1943) &mdash; [[Psychokinesis]] and Pauli effect<ref>[http://books.google.fr/books?id=JMczYbPasfsC&pg=PA122&lpg=PA122&dq=Otto+Stern+paranormal&source=bl&ots=2F9Da5FYHI&sig=T-IKOyJtMfDeqOsRCyYdWZaO01Y&hl=fr&sa=X&ei=djXHU5iBBOq30QWn34HQCg&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q=Otto%20Stern%20paranormal&f=false ''Psychoanalysis and the Paranormal: Lands of Darkness''] by Nick Totton (2003). Karnac Books. ISBN 1855759853. p. 122.</ref>
*Ernst Boris Chain (Physiology or Medicine, 1945) &mdash; [[Evolution denial]]<ref>Chain, 1971, “Social Responsibility and the Scientist in Modern Western Society,” Perspectives in Biology and Medicine, Spring 1971, Vol. 14, No. 3, p. 368</ref>
*Wolfgang Pauli (Physics, 1945) &mdash; Pauli effect, [[psychokinesis]] and paranormal<ref>[http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Wolfgang_Pauli Wolfgang Pauli] Wikiquote</ref><ref>{{wpa|Pauli effect}}</ref>
*Hideki Yukawa (Physics, 1949) &mdash; [[Intuition]] and [[mysticism]] superior to logic and reason, [[anti-science]] and [[Taoism|Taoist]] relativism<ref>Creativity and intuition : a physicist looks at East and West / by Hideki Yukawa ; translated by John Bester (1973)</ref>
*[[Linus Pauling]] (Chemistry, 1954, and [[Nobel Peace Prize|Peace]], 1962) &mdash; [[Vitamin C]] [[quackery]]/[[orthomolecular medicine]]<ref>[http://www.quackwatch.com/01QuackeryRelatedTopics/pauling.html The Dark Side of Linus Pauling's Legacy] by Stephen Barrett (revised on September 14, 2014) ''Quackwatch''.</ref>
*William Shockley (Physics, 1956) &mdash; [[Racialism]] and [[eugenics]]<ref>[http://www.pbs.org/transistor/album1/shockley/shockley3.html Bill Shockley bio]</ref>
*James Watson (Physiology or Medicine, 1962) &mdash; Promoter of [[racialism]]<ref>[http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/fury-at-dna-pioneers-theory-africans-are-less-intelligent-than-westerners-394898.html Fury at DNA Pioneer's Theory: Africans are Less Intelligent than Westerners], ''The Independent''</ref><ref>Laura Blue, [https://web.archive.org/web/20120118080639/https://time.com/time/health/article/0,8599,1673952,00.html The Mortification of James Watson], ''Time'', 19 October 2007, where Watson clarifies he speaks as "people who have to deal with black employees".</ref>
*Eugene Wigner (Physics, 1963) &mdash; Quantum mysticism{{fact}}
*John Eccles (Physiology or Medicine, 1963) &mdash; [[Quantum consciousness]]<ref>Eccles, John (1973). "6 'Brain, Speech, and Consciousness'". The Understanding of the Brain. McGraw-Hill Book Company. p. p. 189. ISBN 0-07-018863-7.</ref>
*Julian Schwinger (Physics, 1965) &mdash; Pushed [[cold fusion]] as late as 1991.<ref>[http://www.lenr-canr.org/acrobat/SchwingerJcoldfusiona.pdf Cold Fusion—Does It Have a Future?] by Julian Schwinger (December 7, 1991) Talk given in Japan.</ref>
*Alfred Kastler (Physics, 1966) &mdash; Paranormal<ref>[http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/article/rhs_0151-4105_1977_num_30_1_1466 Alfred Kastler, Cette étrange matière] by J. Rosmorduc (1977) ''Revue d'histoire des sciences Année''. Vol. 30, Num. 1 pp. 84-87.</ref>
*Hannes Alfvén (Physics, 1970) &mdash; [[Plasma cosmology]]<ref>Hannes Alfvén, Cosmology—Myth or Science? ''J. Astrophysics and Astronomy'', vol. 5, pp. 79-98, (1984).</ref>
*Ivar Giaever (Physics, 1973) &mdash; [[Global warming denial]]<ref>[http://www.desmogblog.com/ivar-giaever Ivar Giaevar], DeSmog Blog</ref>
*Brian Josephson (Physics, 1973) &mdash; Psychic and [[paranormal]] phenomena.<ref>[http://www.tcm.phy.cam.ac.uk/~bdj10/mm/articles/PWprofile.html Pioneer of the Paranormal]</ref> [[Cold fusion]].<ref>[http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Talk:Cold_fusion&diff=next&oldid=566552108]</ref> [[Water memory]] and [[homeopathy]].<ref>[http://www.quackometer.net/blog/2010/10/john-benneth-brian-josephson-and-an-absurd-talk-at-cambridge.html John Benneth, Brian Josephson and an Absurd Talk at Cambridge] by Andy Lewis (October 9, 2010) ''Quackometer''.</ref><ref>[http://www.tcm.phy.cam.ac.uk/~bdj10/ Brian Josephson's home page] University of Cambridge</ref>
*Nikolaas Tinbergen (Physiology or Medicine, 1973) &mdash; Crank theories of [[autism]]<ref>[http://photoninthedarkness.com/?p=38 Outside the Box or Around the Bend?] Photon in the Darkness</ref>
*[[Kary Mullis]] ([[Chemistry]], 1993) &mdash; Generally barking mad. [[AIDS denial]], [[alien abduction]], [[Aliensdidit]], [[astrology]], [[astral projection]], [[conspiracy theories]], cosmic raccoons, global warming denial, [[ozone layer|ozone denial]]. Possibly related to his heavy use of [[LSD]].<ref>[http://denyingaids.blogspot.com/2010/01/beyond-kary-mullis-alien-conspiracy.html Beyond Kary Mullis: The Alien Conspiracy Theory of AIDS], Denying AIDS</ref><ref>{{wpl|Kary_Mullis#Personal_views | Kary Mullis &mdash; Personal Views}}, Wikipedia</ref>
*Walter Gilbert ([[Chemistry]], 1980) &mdash; [[AIDS denial]].<ref>[https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Walter_Gilbert Walter Gilbert] Wikiquote</ref> Although there are claims he is no longer skeptical of the claim HIV causes AIDS, the source for that seems to be a message board post that no longer exists. 
*Richard Smalley ([[Chemistry]], 1996) &mdash; [[Creationism]], [[Intelligent Design]] and evolution denial<ref>[http://web.archive.org/web/20150414202008/http://www.montanasnews.tv/articles.php?mode=view&id=3262 Creation Scientists Applaud Pa Judge's Ruling Against 'Intelligent Design' &mdash; Dressing Up Id Is No Substitute For Real Science] ''Montana News Association'' (Apr 14, 2015, archived copy).</ref><ref>[http://www.christianpost.com/news/creation-scientists-in-three-way-debate-with-intelligent-design-evolution-7807/ Creation Scientists in Three-Way Debate with Intelligent Design, Evolution] ''The Christian Post'' (Dec 22, 2005).</ref>
*Louis J. Ignarro (Physiology or Medicine, 1998) &mdash; [[Herbalife]]<ref>[http://archive.is/Yd4ZR Nobel Prize Winner Didn't Disclose Herbalife Contract (Update1)] by David Evans (December 8, 2004 11:38 EST) ''Bloomberg'' (archived from 27 Nov 2013 20:01:52 UTC).</ref>
*Martin Evans (Physiology or Medicine, 2007) stem cell quackery<ref>https://forbetterscience.com/2019/04/04/sir-martin-and-ajan-the-stem-cell-gold-diggers/</ref>
*[[Luc Montagnier]] (Physiology or Medicine, 2008) &mdash; Homeopathy, water memory, autism quackery, AIDS cured by nutrition and [[vaccine hysteria]]<ref>[http://scienceblogs.com/insolence/2012/06/27/luc-montagnier-hits-a-new-low-age-of-autism-rallies-to-defend-him/ Nobel Laureate Luc Montagnier hits a new low: Age of Autism rallies to defend him] by Orac (June 27, 2012) ''ScienceBlogs''.</ref><ref>[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rP_q2VI9c1w Dr. Luc Montagnier, HIV and AIDS truth exposed, Un-cuted{{sic}} footage from "House of Numbers"] (Oct 15, 2012) ''YouTube''.</ref><ref>[http://scienceblogs.com/insolence/2011/01/14/the-nobel-disease-meets-dna-teleportatio/ The Nobel disease meets DNA teleportation and homeopathy] by Orac (January 14, 2011) ''ScienceBlogs''.</ref>
*Michael Levitt (Chemistry, 2013) — said that [[COVID]] was "exactly as dangerous as flu".<ref>[https://anti-empire.com/watch-furious-nobel-prize-winning-biologist-we-should-have-never-listened-to-epidemiologists/ Nobel-Prize Winning Biologist: We Should Have Never Listened to Epidemiologists] by David Matthews (2 Jul 20) ''Anti-Empire''.</ref> He is a signatory to the pseudoscientific [[Great Barrington Declaration]] that opposes non-pharmaceutical interventions to COVID.<ref>[https://gbdeclaration.org/ Great Barrington Declaration]</ref>
*[[Roger Penrose]] (Physics 2020) — quantum consciousness
*John F. Clauser (Physics, 2022) – rapid-onset Nobel disease in 2023, self-admitted climate change denier in 2023 (his Nobel prize was for quantum mechanics, unrelated to climate forecasting)<ref>[https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2023/11/16/john-clauser-nobel-climate-denial He won a Nobel Prize. Then he started denying climate change. John Clauser shared the Nobel in physics last year. Now he’s a self-described ‘denier’ of the overwhelming scientific consensus on a warming planet.] by Maxine Joselow (November 16, 2023 at 6:00 a.m. EST) ''The Washington Post''.</ref>

==Inverted Nobel disease==
[[File:Tu Youyou 5012-2015.jpg|thumb|right|Here, we show a picture of Tu Youyou to you.]]
{{hatnote|See also: [[stopped clock]]}}
In a more bizarre case, [[Tu Youyou]] received the 2015 Nobel Prize in Medicine for the discovery of artemisinin, a drug used to treat [[malaria]] and that is saving millions of lives. She discovered this while [[Scientific method|testing thousands]] of different herbs that were in her field of study: [[Traditional Chinese Medicine]]. Tu Youyou tested various herbal remedies and found another important drug, and for that we are thankful. Science works.

If the Scientific Method had not been developed yet, many parts of TCM would be considered [[proto-science|''proto''-science]] rather than [[pseudoscience]]. [[Shaman|Shamans]], medicine men, cunning men, witch doctors, and the likes would often perceive an apparent correlation between administration of herb or practice X with the outcome of ailment Y, and would pass these hypotheses down through the generations.

[[Correlation does not equal causation|Oftentimes, no causation was actually present, of course]], and a lot of [[superstition]]s were formed in this manner, but without things like rapid communication, [[peer review]], an understanding of [[cognitive bias]]es, or access to well-equipped laboratories, any better form of acquiring knowledge was simply unavailable. Then when society did reach a point where a city could afford the resources for the labs, many early scientists began testing various herbal remedies that had been passed down from the shamans. What worked was carefully recorded and kept, such as aspirin from willow bark tea, while what didn't 
was discarded as proven ineffective
 stays in use to this day in the realm of [[alternative medicine]]. Many have not been tested, or have been tested in studies without sufficient controls or sample size. Such results are disregarded as statistically insignificant and disregarded on the assumption of the negative until further data is available.

==See also==
*[[Stopped clock]]
*[[Inverse stopped clock]]
*[[Engineers and woo]]
*[[Ultracrepidarian]]
*[[Science woo]]
*[[Dunning-Kruger effect]]
*[[Igon Value Problem]]
*[[Fun:Sudden Moron Syndrome]]
*[[Aung San Suu Kyi]] — the Nobel Peace Prize recipient who has denied that an [[ethnic cleansing]] occurred under her ''de facto'' leadership

==External links==
*[http://www.skepdic.com/nobeldisease.html The Nobel Disease], [[The Skeptic's Dictionary]]
*{{wpa|Nobel disease}}
*{{wpa|Nobel Prize effect}}

==References==
{{reflist|2|80%}}
[[Category:Pseudoscience]]
[[Category:Science]]
[[Category:Neologisms]]
[[Category:Woo]]

Categories: Pseudoscience, Science, Neologisms, Woo